-----BEGIN PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE----- Proc-Type: 2001,MIC-CLEAR Originator-Name: webmaster@www.sec.gov Originator-Key-Asymmetric: MFgwCgYEVQgBAQICAf8DSgAwRwJAW2sNKK9AVtBzYZmr6aGjlWyK3XmZv3dTINen TWSM7vrzLADbmYQaionwg5sDW3P6oaM5D3tdezXMm7z1T+B+twIDAQAB MIC-Info: RSA-MD5,RSA, FVA78JKbgQTQ9JHPpOdUryYkQws3fkVrZrEu0UACluEA1du3/+awd7GmBa6mSIpR F1++LYAGK6jxdzXBuikSxQ== 0000950152-09-001003.txt : 20090205 0000950152-09-001003.hdr.sgml : 20090205 20090205081446 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0000950152-09-001003 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 7 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20090202 ITEM INFORMATION: Results of Operations and Financial Condition ITEM INFORMATION: Regulation FD Disclosure ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20090205 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20090205 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORP CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0000020286 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE [6331] IRS NUMBER: 310746871 STATE OF INCORPORATION: OH FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 000-04604 FILM NUMBER: 09570013 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 6200 S GILMORE RD CITY: FAIRFIELD STATE: OH ZIP: 45014 BUSINESS PHONE: 5138702000 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: P.O. BOX 145496 CITY: CINCINNATI STATE: OH ZIP: 45250 8-K 1 l35357ae8vk.htm FORM 8-K FORM 8-K
 
 
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report: February 2, 2009
(Date of earliest event reported)
CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
         
Ohio   0-4604   31-0746871
(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation)
  (Commission
File Number)
  (I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
     
6200 S. Gilmore Road, Fairfield, Ohio   45014-5141
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (513) 870-2000
N/A
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
o   Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
 
o   Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
 
o   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
 
o   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13a-4(c))
 
 

 


 

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
On February 5, 2009, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release titled “Cincinnati Financial Reports Profitable 2008 Fourth Quarter and Full Year,” furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. On February 5, 2009, the company also distributed the attached information titled “Supplemental Financial Data,” furnished as Exhibit 99.2 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. This report should not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information contained in the news release or supplemental financial data.
In accordance with general instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information furnished in this report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.
On February 2, 2009, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release “Cincinnati Financial Corporation Board Declares 39¢ Quarterly Cash Dividend.” The news release is furnished as Exhibit 99.3 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference. This report should not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information contained in the news release.
Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure.
On February 2, 2009, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release “Cincinnati Financial Corporation Subsidiaries Announce Appointments and Promotions.” The news release is furnished as Exhibit 99.4 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference. This report should not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information contained in the news release.
The information furnished in Item 7.01 of this report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(c) Exhibits
         
Exhibit 99.1
    News release dated February 5, 2009, “Cincinnati Financial Reports Profitable 2008 Fourth Quarter and Full Year”
 
       
Exhibit 99.2
    Supplemental Financial Data dated February 5, 2009
 
       
Exhibit 99.3
    News release dated February 2, 2009, titled “Cincinnati Financial Corporation Board Declares 39¢ Quarterly Cash Dividend”
 
       
Exhibit 99.4
    News release dated February 2, 2009, titled “Cincinnati Financial Corporation Subsidiaries Announce Appointments and Promotions”

 


 

Signature
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
         
  CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION
 
 
Date: February 5, 2009  /S/ Steven J. Johnston, FCAS, MAAA, CFA    
  Steven J. Johnston, FCAS, MAAA, CFA   
  Chief Financial Officer, Secretary and Treasurer   
 

 

EX-99.1 2 l35357aexv99w1.htm EX-99.1 EX-99.1
Exhibit 99.1
    CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION
 
(CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION LOGO)   Investor Contact: Heather J. Wietzel, 513-870-2768
CINF-IR@cinfin.com
Media Contact: Joan O. Shevchik, 513-603-5323
Media_Inquiries@cinfin.com
 
Cincinnati Financial Reports Profitable 2008 Fourth Quarter and Full Year
Cincinnati, February 5, 2009 — Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:
  Fourth-quarter 2008 net income of $161 million, or 99 cents per share, compared with $187 million, or $1.11, in the 2007 fourth quarter; operating income* of $92 million, or 57 cents per share, compared with $179 million, or $1.07.
  Full-year 2008 net income of $429 million, or $2.62 per share, compared with $855 million, or $4.97, in 2007. Operating income of $344 million, or $2.10 per share, compared with $610 million, or $3.54, in 2007.
  $9 million fourth-quarter property casualty underwriting gain reduced full-year underwriting loss to $17 million. Loss reflected effects of weak insurance pricing throughout 2008 and more than seven-fold increase in catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance, to a record $203 million.
Financial Highlights
                                                     
    Three months ended December 31,       Twelve months ended December 31,    
(Dollars in millions except share data)   2008     2007       Change %   2008     2007     Change %
 
Revenue Highlights
                                                   
Earned premiums
  $ 780     $ 802       (2.7 )     $ 3,136     $ 3,250       (3.5 )  
Investment income
    125       157       (20.5 )       537       608       (11.6 )  
Total revenues
    1,018       977       4.2         3,824       4,259       (10.2 )  
Income Statement Data
                                                   
Net income
  $ 161     $ 187       (13.9 )     $ 429     $ 855       (49.9 )  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    69       8       801.9         85       245       (65.4 )  
 
                                           
Operating income*
  $ 92     $ 179       (48.6 )     $ 344     $ 610       (43.7 )  
 
                                           
Per Share Data (diluted)
                                                   
Net income
  $ 0.99     $ 1.11       (10.8 )     $ 2.62     $ 4.97       (47.3 )  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.42       0.04       950.0         0.52       1.43       (63.6 )  
 
                                           
Operating income*
  $ 0.57     $ 1.07       (46.7 )     $ 2.10     $ 3.54       (40.7 )  
 
                                           
 
                                                   
Book value
                            $ 25.75     $ 35.70       (27.9 )  
Cash dividend declared
  $ 0.39     $ 0.355       9.9       $ 1.56     $ 1.42       9.9    
Weighted average shares outstanding
    162,485,576       168,163,752       (3.4 )       163,362,409       172,167,452       (5.1 )  
Insurance Operations Highlights
  98.9 percent fourth-quarter 2008 property casualty combined ratio as net written premiums declined 1.0 percent. Full-year 2008 property casualty combined ratio at 100.6 percent, with 3.4 percent decline in net written premiums.
  23.6 percent and 13.1 percent increase in new business written by agencies in the 2008 fourth quarter and full year, partially offsetting the effects of the very competitive insurance market and slowing economy.
  $14 million in net written premiums from excess and surplus lines operation launched in 2008.
  24 cents per share contribution from life insurance operating income to full-year results, up 2 cents from 2007.
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
  $1.009 billion in cash and cash equivalents at year-end 2008, providing exceptional liquidity and capital flexibility.
  $25.75 book value, down from $28.87 at September 30 and $35.70 at year-end 2007 on lower investment values.
  Investment portfolio at year-end reflected application of investment guidelines revised in 2008 that increased diversification and reduced concentrations. Investment income declined in the fourth-quarter and full-year because of portfolio changes and lower dividends from holdings in the equity portfolio.
Outlook**
  Management sees strategies leading to rate of book value growth plus rate of dividend contribution, a measure of value creation, averaging 12 percent to 15 percent between 2010 and 2014. Dividend contribution rate defined as annual dividends declared as a percent of beginning shareholders’ equity.
 
 
*   The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 13 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles or Statutory Accounting Principles.
 
**   Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company’s safe harbor statement (see Page 9).
 
nm   Not meaningful


 

Looking to a Strong Future
Kenneth W. Stecher, president and chief executive officer, said, “2008 was a tough year for our economy, our industry and our company. Our long-term perspective lets us address the immediate challenges while focusing on the major decisions that best position the company for success through all market cycles. We believe that this forward-looking view has consistently benefited our policyholders, agents, shareholders and associates.
“To measure our progress, we’re defining a value creation ratio that we believe captures the contribution of our insurance operations, the success of our investment strategy and the importance we place on paying cash dividends to shareholders. Between 2010 and 2014, we expect the total of our rate of growth in book value plus the rate of dividend contribution to average 12 percent to 15 percent. With the current economic and market uncertainty, we believe this ratio is an appropriate way to measure our long-term progress in creating value.”
Strategic Initiatives
Stecher added, “We were founded more than 50 years ago by independent agents who established the mission that continues to guide us — To grow profitably and enhance the ability of local independent insurance agents to deliver quality financial protection to the people and businesses they serve. To continue to achieve that objective, we have worked with our board of directors to identify actions that will position us for long-term success in three broad areas of strategic focus — preservation of capital, profitability and growth.
Stecher said, “First, we are addressing preservation of capital to sustain our capacity for growth of our insurance business. We ended 2008 with a healthy property casualty premium to surplus ratio of 0.9-to-1. All of our insurance subsidiaries continue to be highly rated, operating with a level of capital far exceeding regulatory requirements. We also can sustain our investment in the people and infrastructure needed to succeed in the future. Smart spending today means we’ll be even better prepared with strong, local market-based relationships when external conditions improve.
“As we stated on Monday, we’re working on a variety of initiatives, including the repositioning of our investment portfolio, to preserve our capital strength and liquidity. Additionally, we hold more than $1 billion of our assets at the parent company level, increasing our flexibility through all periods to maintain our cash dividend and to continue to invest in and expand our insurance operations.”
Stecher said, “Second, we are emphasizing business initiatives that support improved cash flow and profitability for the agencies that represent us and for our company.
“Several technology initiatives are well under way to improve critical efficiencies and streamline processes for our appointed agencies, allowing us to win an increasing share of their business. By the end of this year, we expect to make significant strides with deployment of a new commercial lines policy administration system; the groundwork for a major upgrade of our personal lines policy administration system; and a variety of online initiatives to serve agencies and policyholders. We’ll also sustain our reputation for superior claims service, improving processes with options such as allowing agents access to more detailed information on the status of pending claims.
“Other technology projects in process will improve our business data, supporting accurate underwriting, pricing and decisions. These will enhance our hallmark — local decision making based on the local knowledge and risk selection expertise we derive from our agents and from having a large network of field representatives who live and work in our agents’ communities.
“All of our initiatives seek to strengthen our relationships with agents, allowing them to serve clients faster and manage expenses better. We expect these efforts to contribute to our rank as the No. 1 or No. 2 carrier in agencies that have represented us for at least five years. In 2008, we again earned that rank in more than 75 percent of the agencies that have represented Cincinnati Insurance for more than five years. We are working to improve that rank again in 2009 and in each of the years that follow.”
Stecher added, “The third area of focus is adding to our property casualty premiums without significant concentration of risk or infrastructure expense. Expanding our geographic footprint and diversifying our premium sources should give us profitable growth while also reducing catastrophe exposure risk. With our entry into Texas during the fourth quarter of 2008, Cincinnati Insurance now is actively marketing our policies in 35 states, expanding our opportunities beyond the Midwest and South. We now have a sizeable presence in the western states — opening New Mexico and Washington in 2007, Utah in 2000, Idaho in 1999 and Montana in 1998. We plan to look next at taking the Cincinnati Insurance franchise to agencies in Colorado and Wyoming.

2


 

“To diversify the sources of our premiums, we also continue to appoint new agencies in our current operating territories, adding 76 in 2008 and targeting at least 65 additional appointments in 2009. We are working to position our personal lines business for profitable future growth with rate and credit modifications and making personal lines policies available in new geographies to spread risk. Another source of premiums is our new excess and surplus lines operation, which ended the year on track with $14 million of written premiums and products available in 33 states.”
Factors Influencing 2009 Performance
Steven J. Johnston, FCAS, MAAA, CFA, chief financial officer, said, “When looking at our longer-term objectives, we believe over any five-year period our agency relationships and growth strategies can lead to a property casualty written premium growth rate that exceeds the industry average. We also believe our underwriting philosophy can generate a GAAP combined ratio over any five-year period that is consistently below 100 percent. Finally, we believe our investment philosophy can drive investment income growth and lead to a total return on our equity investment portfolio that exceeds the Standard & Poor’s 500’s five-year return.”
Johnston added, “Our view of the value we can create over the next five years relies on two assumptions about the external environment. First, we’re anticipating some firming of commercial insurance pricing during 2009. Second, we believe that the economy and financial markets can resume a growth track by the end of 2010.”
On 2008 results and the outlook for 2009, Johnston said, “In 2009, we believe our value creation ratio may be below our long-term target for several reasons. First, the weak economy is expected to continue to affect policyholders by deflating their business and personal insurable assets. Until the economy begins to recover, we also do not expect to see significant appreciation of our investments. Second, the lingering effects of soft insurance market pricing are expected to affect growth rates and earned premium levels into 2010, continuing to weaken loss ratios and hamper near-term profitability. Third, our property casualty written premium growth may lag as our growth initiatives need more time to reach their full contribution. Fourth, we continue to invest in our business, including technology, new states and process initiatives to create long-term value.
Johnston noted, “The diversification of the investment portfolio over the past year included sales of selected positions to lock in gains, reduce concentrations and increase liquidity. We expect to continue to make changes to the portfolio, as appropriate. Proceeds of sales are being reinvested in both fixed income and equity securities with yields that we believe are likely to be more secure. This may slow the return to growth in investment income although we believe year-over-year comparisons may turn positive in the second half of the year.”

3


 

Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations
                                                     
(Dollars in millions; percent change given for dollar amounts   Three months ended December 31,       Twelve months ended December 31,    
and point change given for ratios)   2008     2007      Change %   2008     2007     Change %
 
Earned premiums
  $ 747     $ 777       (3.8 )     $ 3,010     $ 3,125       (3.7 )  
 
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses
    490       397       23.5         1,853       1,806       2.6    
Loss and loss expenses from catastrophe losses
    (16 )     (2 )     (800.3 )       203       26       681.1    
 
                                           
Total loss and loss expenses
    474       395       20.1         2,056       1,832       12.2    
Underwriting expenses
    264       270       (2.1 )       971       989       (1.8 )  
 
                                           
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $ 9     $ 112       (92.3 )     $ (17 )   $ 304     nm    
 
                                           
 
                                                   
Other business metrics:
                                                   
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 669     $ 705       (5.0 )     $ 2,828     $ 2,960       (4.4 )  
Agency new business written premiums
    100       81       23.6         368       325       13.1    
Net written premiums
    717       724       (1.0 )       3,010       3,117       (3.4 )  
                                                     
                    Points                       Points    
     
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                                                   
Loss and loss expenses
    63.6 %     50.9 %     12.7         68.3 %     58.6 %     9.7    
Underwriting expenses
    35.3       34.7       0.6         32.3       31.7       0.6    
 
                                           
Combined ratio
    98.9 %     85.6 %     13.3         100.6 %     90.3 %     10.3    
 
                                           
 
                                                   
Other business metrics:
                                                   
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (2.1 )     (0.2 )     (1.9 )       6.8       0.8       6.0    
Contribution from prior period reserve development
    (16.1 )     (15.3 )     (0.8 )       (10.7 )     (7.7 )     (3.0 )  
  1.0 percent and 3.4 percent declines in fourth-quarter and full-year 2008 property casualty net written premiums, reflecting disciplined underwriting in the midst of soft pricing and a weakening economy.
  $43 million rise to $368 million in 2008 new business written by agencies reflected the contribution from growth initiatives, with $29 million from agencies appointed since 2004 and $14 million from new excess and surplus lines capabilities.
  0.9-to-1 ratio of net written premiums to property casualty statutory surplus for 2008 from 0.7-to-1 ratio for 2007.
  1,133 agency relationships with 1,387 reporting locations marketing standard market property casualty insurance products at year-end 2008, up from 1,092 agency relationships with 1,327 reporting locations at year-end 2007.
  Full-year 2008 GAAP combined ratio was near breakeven despite record catastrophe losses. The effects of soft pricing and loss cost inflation were offset by higher savings from favorable development on prior year reserves.
  Previously announced pension plan settlement cost of $27 million included in fourth-quarter results. Consolidated property casualty cost of $25 million added 3.3 percentage points to the fourth-quarter 2008 combined ratio and 0.8 points for the full year. Transition from a defined benefit pension plan reduces company risk while providing flexible, company-sponsored 401(k) benefit to associates.
  10.3 percentage point increase in full-year 2008 combined ratio reflected substantially higher catastrophe losses, the pension plan settlement cost, an uptick in larger commercial lines losses and the effects of lower prices due to soft market conditions and of normal loss cost inflation. These factors were partially offset by a higher level of savings from favorable development on prior period loss reserves.
  High prior period reserve development in the fourth quarters of both 2008 and 2007 reflected the more extensive actuarial review normally conducted in that period. Savings from favorable development remained high for full-year 2008 in part because of a refinement that redistributed $69 million of reserves for incurred but not yet reported losses from prior years to accident year 2008.

4


 

  Positive catastrophe loss contribution for fourth quarter 2008 includes $15 million reduction in estimates of losses from catastrophe events earlier in 2008 and $1 million reduction in estimates of losses from prior year events.
                                                 
(In millions, net of reinsurance)   Three months ended December 31,     Twelve months ended December 31,  
    Commercial     Personal             Commercial     Personal        
Dates   lines     lines     Total     lines     lines     Total  
 
2008
                                               
First quarter catastrophes
  $ (1 )   $ 1     $ 0     $ 20     $ 22     $ 42  
Second quarter catastrophes
    (7 )     (4 )     (11 )     59       30       89  
Third quarter catastrophes
    1       (3 )     (2 )     25       45       70  
Fourth quarter catastrophes
    0       0       0       0       0       0  
All other
    (1 )     (1 )     (2 )     2       2       4  
Development on 2007 and prior catastrophes
    (1 )     0       (1 )     (3 )     1       (2 )
 
                                   
Calendar year incurred total
  $ (9 )   $ (7 )   $ (16 )   $ 103     $ 100     $ 203  
 
                                   
 
                                               
2007
                                               
First quarter catastrophes
  $ 1     $ 0     $ 1     $ 6     $ 2     $ 8  
Second quarter catastrophes
    0       1       1       4       5       9  
Third quarter catastrophes
    1       (2 )     (1 )     2       4       6  
Fourth quarter catastrophes
    0       0       0       0       0       0  
All other
    (4 )     1       (3 )     14       9       23  
Development on 2006 and prior catastrophes
    1       (1 )     0       (10 )     (10 )     (20 )
 
                                   
Calendar year incurred total
  $ (1 )   $ (1 )   $ (2 )   $ 16     $ 10     $ 26  
 
                                   
  Finalized 2009 property casualty reinsurance program. Reinsurance premiums expected to be relatively stable in 2009 despite higher rates for some program components. Program designed to maintain balance between the cost of the program and the level of risk retained.
2009 Reinsurance Program
         
Treaties   Retention Summary   Comments
 
Property catastrophe
  For any one event, retain losses of:
100% of first $45 million
33% between $45 million and $70 million
19% between $70 million and $105 million
7% to 20% for layers between $105 million and    $500 million
 
   After reinsurance, our maximum exposure to a catastrophic event that caused $500 million in covered losses would be $118 million compared with $105 million in 2008. The largest catastrophe loss in our history was Hurricane Ike, estimated at $129 million before reinsurance at December 31, 2008.
 
       
Casualty per risk
  For a single loss, retain:  
  Increased casualty treaty retention to $6 million
 
  100% of first $6 million  
from $5 million
 
  0% between $6 million and $25 million    
 
  Obtain facultative reinsurance above $25
   million
   
 
       
Property per risk
  For a single loss, retain:  
  Increased property treaty retention to $5 million
 
  100% of first $5 million  
from $4 million
 
  0% between $5 million and $25 million    
 
  Obtain facultative reinsurance above $25
   million
   
 
       
Casualty third excess
  Coverage of:   No changes in 2009
 
  $25 million excess of $25 million    
 
       
Casualty fourth excess
  Coverage of:   No changes in 2009
 
  $20 million excess of $50 million    

5


 

Insurance Segments Highlights
Commercial Lines Insurance Operations
                                                     
(Dollars in millions; percent change given for dollar amounts   Three months ended December 31,       Twelve months ended December 31,    
and point change given for ratios)   2008     2007     Change %   2008     2007     Change %
 
Earned premiums
  $ 573     $ 601       (4.5 )     $ 2,316     $ 2,411       (3.9 )  
 
                                                   
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses
    367       310       18.4         1,401       1,378       1.6    
Loss and loss expenses from catastrophe losses
    (9 )     0     nm         103       16       522.5    
 
                                           
Total loss and loss expenses
    358       310       15.6         1,504       1,394       7.8    
Underwriting expenses
    204       215       (5.0 )       742       756       (1.8 )  
 
                                           
Underwriting profit
  $ 11     $ 76       (84.8 )     $ 70     $ 261       (73.0 )  
 
                                           
 
                                                   
Other business metrics:
                                                   
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 514     $ 546       (5.9 )     $ 2,156     $ 2,271       (5.1 )  
Agency new business written premiums
    83       71       16.4         312       287       8.8    
Net written premiums
    552       562       (1.9 )       2,311       2,413       (4.2 )  
 
                    Points                     Points  
     
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                                                   
Loss and loss expenses
    62.5 %     51.5 %     11.0         64.9 %     57.9 %     7.0    
Underwriting expenses
    35.6       35.8       (0.2 )       32.1       31.3       0.8    
 
                                           
Combined ratio
    98.1 %     87.3 %     10.8         97.0 %     89.2 %     7.8    
 
                                           
 
                                                   
Other business metrics:
                                                   
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (1.5 )     0.0       (1.5 )       4.5       0.7       3.8    
Contribution from prior period reserve development
    (17.0 )     (17.0 )     0.0         (11.8 )     (8.4 )     (3.4 )  
  1.9 percent and 4.2 percent declines in fourth-quarter and full-year 2008 commercial lines net written premiums, primarily a result of weakening economy, soft pricing and disciplined underwriting.
  $83 million in fourth-quarter 2008 new commercial lines business written directly by agencies, up 16.4 percent from $71 million in last year’s fourth quarter. Full-year 2008 new business rose 8.8 percent to $312 million from $287 million.
  7.8 percentage point increase in full-year 2008 combined ratio. The uptick in larger commercial lines losses was primarily seen in new losses from directors and officers coverages. The effects of lower prices due to soft market conditions and of normal loss cost inflation were most significant in the commercial property, commercial auto and workers’ compensation business lines.
  Higher savings from prior period reserve development for the commercial lines segment was primarily due to reduced umbrella liability reserves, reflecting revised expectations for loss cost inflation. A claims mediation process that promotes earlier liability settlement resolution also contributed to commercial casualty business line results.
Personal Lines Insurance Operations
                                                     
               
(Dollars in millions; percent change given for dollar amounts   Three months ended December 31,       Twelve months ended December 31,    
and point change given for ratios)   2008     2007     Change %   2008     2007     Change %
 
Earned premiums
  $ 171     $ 176       (2.9 )     $ 689     $ 714       (3.4 )  
 
                                                   
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses
    120       87       37.1         447       428       4.6    
Loss and loss expenses from catastrophe losses
    (7 )     (2 )     (308.2 )       100       10       958.8    
 
                                           
Total loss and loss expenses
    113       85       31.6         547       438       25.2    
Underwriting expenses
    58       55       6.6         224       233       (3.9 )  
 
                                           
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $ 0     $ 36     nm       $ (82 )   $ 43     nm    
 
                                           
 
                                                   
Other business metrics:
                                                   
Agency renewal direct written premiums
  $ 156     $ 159       (2.3 )     $ 672     $ 690       (2.5 )  
Agency new business direct written premiums
    11       10       17.9         42       38       9.5    
Net written premiums
    159       162       (1.4 )       685       704       (2.7 )  
 
                    Points                     Points  
     
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                                                   
Loss and loss expenses
    65.9 %     48.6 %     17.3         79.4 %     61.3 %     18.1    
Underwriting expenses
    34.1       31.1       3.0         32.5       32.6       (0.1 )  
 
                                         
 
                                                 
Combined ratio
    100.0 %     79.7 %     20.3         111.9 %     93.9 %     18.0    
 
                                           
 
                                                   
Other business metrics:
                                                   
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (4.1 )     (1.0 )     (3.1 )       14.5       1.3       13.2    
Contribution from prior period reserve development
    (13.2 )     (9.2 )     (4.0 )       (7.2 )     (5.7 )     (1.5 )  
  1.4 percent and 2.7 percent declines in fourth-quarter and full-year 2008 personal lines net written premiums. Higher new personal lines business partially offset lower policy counts and pricing changes that reduced premiums per policy. Full-year 2008 written and earned premiums included a $9 million reinsurance reinstatement premium to restore affected coverages following Hurricane Ike.
  $11 million in fourth-quarter 2008 personal lines new business written directly by agencies, up 17.9 percent from $10 million in last year’s fourth quarter. Full-year new business rose 9.5 percent to $42 million from $38 million.

6


 

  18.0 percentage point increase in full-year 2008 combined ratio primarily due to higher catastrophe losses. The effects of lower prices due to soft market conditions and of normal loss cost inflation primarily was seen in the homeowner business line, where rate tiers continue to be modified. Personal lines also benefited modestly from lower underwriting expenses.
Life Insurance Operations
                                                     
(In millions)   Three months ended December 31,       Twelve months ended December 31,    
    2008     2007     Change %   2008     2007     Change %
 
Written premiums
  $ 50     $ 41       24.2       $ 185     $ 167       11.0    
 
                                           
Earned premiums
  $ 33     $ 25       30.6       $ 126     $ 125       0.8    
Investment income, net of expenses
    31       30       4.9         120       115       4.5    
Other income
    1       1       (35.6 )       2       4       (56.0 )  
 
                                           
Total revenues, excluding realized investment gains and losses
    65       56       15.8         248       244       1.5    
 
                                           
Contract holders benefits
    27       35       (23.3 )       142       133       6.2    
Expenses
    12       8       54.6         45       52       (12.8 )  
 
                                           
Total benefits and expenses
    39       43       (8.6 )       187       185       0.8    
 
                                           
Net income before income tax and realized investment gains and losses
    26       13       96.9         61       59       3.6    
Income tax
    9       4       110.3         21       20       6.5    
 
                                           
Net income before realized investment gains and losses
  $ 17     $ 9       90.4       $ 40     $ 39       2.1    
 
                                           
  $185 million in total 2008 life insurance segment net written premiums. Written premiums include life insurance, annuity and accident and health premiums.
 
  4.7 percent increase to $147 million in full-year 2008 written premiums for life insurance products, the largest component of segment premiums. Gain included 10.8 percent rise to $81 million in full-year 2008 term life insurance written premiums, reflecting marketing advantages of competitive, up-to-date products, personal service and policies backed by financial strength.
 
  6.5 percent rise in face amount of life policies in force to $65.888 billion at year-end 2008, from $61.875 billion at year-end 2007.
 
  $1 million increase in full-year 2008 operating profit. Total benefits and expenses declined in the fourth quarter, reflecting refined actuarial calculations.
 
  During 2008, the LifeHorizons Termsetter portfolio was redesigned and a new 20-year term worksite product was introduced. These improvements supported opportunities to cross-sell life insurance products to clients of the independent agencies that sell Cincinnati’s property casualty insurance policies.

7


 

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
Investment Operations
                                                     
(In millions)   Three months ended December 31,       Twelve months ended December 31,    
    2008     2007     Change %   2008     2007     Change %
 
Investment income:
                                                   
Interest
  $ 88     $ 79       12.6       $ 326     $ 308       6.0    
Dividends
    35       75       (53.0 )       204       294       (30.5 )  
Other
    4       4       (6.1 )       14       15       (4.5 )  
Investment expenses
    (2 )     (1 )   nm         (7 )     (9 )     12.6    
 
                                           
Total investment income, net of expenses
    125       157       (20.5 )       537       608       (11.6 )  
 
                                           
Investment interest credited to contract holders
    (16 )     (17 )     7.9         (63 )     (59 )     (5.2 )  
 
                                           
Realized investment gains and losses summary:
                                                   
Realized investment gains and losses
    245       38       535.9         686       409       67.6    
Change in fair value of securities with embedded derivatives
    (25 )     (12 )     (108.1 )       (38 )     (11 )     (243.8 )  
Other-than-temporary impairment charges
    (110 )     (14 )     (672.7 )       (510 )     (16 )   nm    
 
                                           
Total realized investment gains and losses
    110       12       804.7         138       382       (64.0 )  
 
                                           
Investment operations income
  $ 219     $ 152       43.5       $ 612     $ 931       (34.2 )  
 
                                           
  20.5 percent and 11.6 percent declines in fourth-quarter and full-year 2008 pretax net investment income. 30.5 percent decline in full-year dividend income due to dividend reductions by common and preferred holdings, including reductions during the year on positions subsequently sold or reduced.
  $110 million of fourth-quarter pretax realized investment gains included $245 million in net gains from investment sales and bond calls offsetting $110 million in other-than-temporary impairment charges and $25 million of fair value changes.
  Impairments of equity securities accounted for more than 65 percent of 2008 other-than-temporary impairment charges, reflecting the portfolio mix, the historic weighting in financial sector securities and the unprecedented decline in overall stock market values during 2008.
                 
(Dollars in millions except share data)   At December 31,     At December 31,  
    2008     2007  
 
Balance sheet data
               
Invested assets
  $ 8,890     $ 12,261  
Total assets
    13,369       16,637  
Short-term debt
    49       69  
Long-term debt
    791       791  
Shareholders’ equity
    4,182       5,929  
Book value per share
    25.75       35.70  
 
               
Debt-to-capital ratio
    16.7 %     12.7 %
                                 
    Three months ended December 31,     Twelve months ended December 31,  
    2008     2007     2008     2007  
 
Performance measures
                               
Comprehensive loss
  $ (449 )   $ (397 )   $ (1,375 )   $ (368 )
Return on equity, annualized
    14.5 %     12.0 %     8.5 %     13.4 %
Return on equity, annualized, based on comprehensive loss
    (40.5 )     (25.4 )     (27.2 )     (5.8 )
  $9.899 billion in cash and invested assets at December 31, 2008, compared with $10.507 billion at September 30, 2008, and $12.487 billion at December 31, 2007. Cash and equivalents of $1.009 billion at year-end, compared with $347 million at September 30, 2008, and $226 million at year-end 2007.
  $5.911 billion A3/A+-average rated bond portfolio at December 31, 2008, reflecting a diverse mix of taxable and tax-exempt securities.
  $2.896 billion equity portfolio was 32.6 percent of invested assets and included $819 million in pretax unrealized gains at December 31, 2008.
  Application of new investment parameters led to financial sector holdings at 12.4 percent of publicly traded common stocks portfolio at year-end 2008, down from 56.2 percent at year-end 2007.
  $3.360 billion estimate of statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at December 31, 2008, compared with $3.687 billion at September 30, 2008.
  No repurchases of common stock since mid year. Approximately 8.5 million shares remain authorized for repurchase.

8


 

For additional information or to register for this morning’s conference call webcast, please visit www.cinfin.com/investors.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers property and casualty insurance, our main business, through our three standard market companies, The Cincinnati Insurance Company, The Cincinnati Indemnity Company and The Cincinnati Casualty Company. The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company markets life and disability insurance and annuities. The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company provides excess and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. CSU Producer Resources Inc., our excess and surplus lines brokerage, serves the same local independent agencies that offer our standard market policies. CFC Investment Company offers commercial leasing and financing services. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.
     
Mailing Address:
  Street Address:
P.O. Box 145496
  6200 South Gilmore Road
Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496
  Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141
Safe Harbor Statement
This is our “Safe Harbor” statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 21, with updates to certain risk factors described in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2008. Although we often review and update our forward-looking statements when events warrant, we caution our readers that we undertake no obligation to do so.
Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:
  Further decline in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company’s equity portfolio and book value
  Events, such as the credit crisis, followed by prolonged periods of economic instability, that lead to:
  o   Significant or prolonged decline in the value of a particular security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
 
  o   Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of securities
 
  o   Significant rise in losses from surety and director and officer policies written for financial institutions
  Recession or other economic conditions or regulatory, accounting or tax changes resulting in lower demand for insurance products
  Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company’s ability to generate growth in investment income or interest rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments
  Changing consumer buying habits and consolidation of independent insurance agencies that could alter our competitive advantages
  Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes
  Increased frequency and/or severity of claims
  Delays or inadequacies in the development, implementation, performance and benefits of technology projects and enhancements
  Ability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for non-payment or delay in payment by reinsurers
  Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company’s premium growth rate
  Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company’s relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company’s opportunities for growth, such as:
  o   Multi-notch downgrades of the company’s financial strength ratings
 
  o   Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult or
 
  o   Perceptions that the company’s level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace
  Underwriting and pricing methods adopted by competitors that could allow them to identify and flexibly price risks, which could decrease our competitive advantages
  Personal lines pricing and loss trends that lead management to conclude that this segment could not attain sustainable profitability, which could prevent the capitalization of policy acquisition costs
  Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies that:
  o   Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business
 
  o   Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations
 
  o   Increase our expenses
 
  o   Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes
 
  o   Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
 
  o   Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
 
  o   Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents
  Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
  Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company’s future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
  Inaccurate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting estimates

9


 

  Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
  Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location
Further, the company’s insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as recent measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.
Financial strength ratings are effective as of the date of this release, are under continuous review and are subject to change and/or affirmation. For the latest ratings, access Financial Strength Ratings at www.cinfin.com.
* * *

10


 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
                 
(Dollars in millions except per share data)   December 31,     December 31,  
    2008     2007  
 
ASSETS
               
Investments
               
Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2008—$6,058; 2007—$5,783)
  $ 5,827     $ 5,848  
(includes securities pledged to creditors: 2008—$0; 2007—$745)
               
Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2008—$2,077; 2007—$2,975)
    2,896       6,249  
Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2008—$84; 2007—$101)
    84       101  
Other invested assets
    83       63  
 
           
Total investments
    8,890       12,261  
 
               
Cash and cash equivalents
    1,009       226  
Securities lending collateral invested
    0       760  
Investment income receivable
    98       124  
Finance receivable
    71       92  
Premiums receivable
    1,059       1,107  
Reinsurance receivable
    759       754  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    15       13  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    509       461  
Deferred income tax
    126       0  
Land, building and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation:
               
2008—$297; 2007—$276)
    236       239  
Other assets
    49       72  
Separate accounts
    548       528  
 
           
Total assets
  $ 13,369     $ 16,637  
 
           
 
               
LIABILITIES
               
Insurance reserves
               
Loss and loss expense reserves
  $ 4,086     $ 3,967  
Life policy reserves
    1,551       1,478  
Unearned premiums
    1,544       1,564  
Securities lending payable
    0       760  
Other liabilities
    618       574  
Deferred income tax
    0       977  
Note payable
    49       69  
6.125% senior notes due 2034
    371       371  
6.9% senior debentures due 2028
    28       28  
6.92% senior debentures due 2028
    392       392  
Separate accounts
    548       528  
 
           
Total liabilities
    9,187       10,708  
 
           
 
               
SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
Common stock, par value—$2 per share; (authorized: 2008—500 million shares, 2007—500 million shares; issued: 2008—196 million shares, 2007—196 million shares)
    393       393  
Paid-in capital
    1,069       1,049  
Retained earnings
    3,579       3,404  
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    347       2,151  
Treasury stock at cost (2008—34 million shares, 2007—30 million shares)
    (1,206 )     (1,068 )
 
           
Total shareholders’ equity
    4,182       5,929  
 
           
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 13,369     $ 16,637  
 
           

11


 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Income (unaudited)
                                   
(In millions except per share data)   Three months ended December 31,     Twelve months ended December 31,  
    2008     2007     2008     2007  
 
REVENUES
                               
Earned premiums
                               
Property casualty
  $ 747     $ 777     $ 3,010     $ 3,125  
Life
    33       25       126       125  
Investment income, net of expenses
    125       157       537       608  
Realized investment gains and losses
    110       12       138       382  
Other income
    3       6       13       19  
 
                       
Total revenues
    1,018       977       3,824       4,259  
 
                       
 
                               
BENEFITS AND EXPENSES
                               
Insurance losses and policyholder benefits
    500       430       2,193       1,963  
Commissions
    149       158       576       624  
Other operating expenses
    118       96       411       362  
Taxes, licenses and fees
    15       18       68       75  
Increase in deferred policy acquisition costs
    1       8       (17 )     (9 )
Interest expense
    14       13       53       52  
 
                       
Total benefits and expenses
    797       723       3,284       3,067  
 
                       
 
                               
INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES
    221       254       540       1,192  
 
                       
 
                               
PROVISION (BENEFIT) FOR INCOME TAXES
                               
Current
    93       60       238       325  
Deferred
    (33 )     7       (127 )     12  
 
                       
Total provision for income taxes
    60       67       111       337  
 
                       
 
                               
NET INCOME
  $ 161     $ 187     $ 429     $ 855  
 
                       
 
                               
PER COMMON SHARE
                               
Net income—basic
  $ 0.99     $ 1.12     $ 2.63     $ 5.01  
Net income—diluted
  $ 0.99     $ 1.11     $ 2.62     $ 4.97  
* * *

12


 

Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
(See attached tables for 2008 reconciliations; prior-period reconciliations available at www.cinfin.com/investors.)
Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.
Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas — property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures may improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.
  Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.

For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
  Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
  Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.
  Written premium adjustment — statutory basis only: In 2002, the company refined its estimation process for matching property casualty written premiums to policy effective dates, which added $117 million to 2002 written premiums. To better assess ongoing business trends, management may exclude this adjustment when analyzing trends in written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

13


 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Net Income Reconciliation
                 
(In millions except per share data)   Three months ended     Twelve months ended  
    December 31, 2008     December 31, 2008  
 
Net income
  $ 161     $ 429  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    69       85  
 
           
Operating income
    92       344  
Less catastrophe losses
    10       (132 )
 
           
Operating income before catastrophe losses
  $ 82     $ 476  
 
           
 
               
Diluted per share data:
               
Net income
  $ 0.99     $ 2.62  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.42       0.52  
 
           
Operating income
    0.57       2.10  
Less catastrophe losses
    0.06       (0.81 )
 
           
Operating income before catastrophe losses
  $ 0.51     $ 2.91  
 
           
Property Casualty Reconciliation
                         
(Dollars in millions)   Three months ended December 31, 2008  
    Consolidated*     Commercial     Personal  
 
Premiums:
                       
Adjusted written premiums — statutory
  $ 730     $ 565     $ 159  
Written premium adjustment
    (13 )     (13 )     0  
 
                 
Reported written premiums — statutory
    717       552       159  
Unearned premiums change
    30       21       12  
 
                 
Earned premiums
  $ 747     $ 573     $ 171  
 
                 
 
                       
Statutory combined ratio :
                       
Statutory combined ratio
    100.2 %     99.0 %     102.1 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (2.1 )     (1.5 )     (4.1 )
 
                 
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    102.3 %     100.5 %     106.2 %
 
                 
 
                       
Commission expense ratio
    20.8 %     20.8 %     21.2 %
Other expense ratio
    15.9       15.7       15.0  
 
                 
Statutory expense ratio
    36.7 %     36.5 %     36.2 %
 
                 
 
                       
GAAP combined ratio:
    98.9 %     98.1 %     100.0 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (2.1 )     (1.5 )     (4.1 )
 
                 
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    101.0 %     99.6 %     104.1 %
 
                 
                         
(Dollars in millions)   Twelve months ended December 31, 2008  
    Consolidated*     Commercial     Personal  
 
Premiums:
                       
Adjusted written premiums — statutory
  $ 3,040     $ 2,341     $ 685  
Written premium adjustment
    (30 )     (30 )     0  
 
                 
Reported written premiums — statutory
    3,010       2,311       685  
Unearned premiums change
    0       5       4  
 
                 
Earned premiums
  $ 3,010     $ 2,316     $ 689  
 
                 
 
                       
Statutory combined ratio :
                       
Statutory combined ratio
    100.4 %     96.6 %     111.6 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    6.8       4.5       14.5  
 
                 
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    93.6 %     92.1 %     97.1 %
 
                 
 
                       
Commission expense ratio
    18.4 %     18.0 %     19.5 %
Other expense ratio
    13.7       13.7       12.7  
 
                 
Statutory expense ratio
    32.1 %     31.7 %     32.2 %
 
                 
 
                       
GAAP combined ratio:
    100.6 %     97.0 %     111.9 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    6.8       4.5       14.5  
 
                 
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    93.8 %     92.5 %     97.4 %
 
                 
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
 
*   Consolidated property casualty data includes results from our excess and surplus line of business.

14

EX-99.2 3 l35357aexv99w2.htm EX-99.2 EX-99.2
Exhibit 99.2
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Supplemental Financial Data
Fourth Quarter 2008
         
    Page
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
    3  
 
       
Consolidated
       
Quick Reference
    4  
Consolidated Statements of Income
    5  
CFC and Subsidiaries Consolidation — Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2008
    6  
CFC and Subsidiaries Consolidation — Three Months Ended December 31, 2008
    7  
Consolidated Balance Sheets
    8  
10-Year Net Income Reconciliation
    9  
Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation
    10  
CFC Subsidiaries — Selected Balance Sheet Data
    11  
 
       
Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations
(Includes Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company (CSU))
       
GAAP Statements of Income
    12  
Statutory Statements of Income
    13  
Statutory Quarterly Analysis — Consolidated
    14  
Statutory Quarterly Analysis — Commercial Lines
    15  
Statutory Quarterly Analysis — Personal Lines
    16  
Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business and State
    17  
Quarterly Property Casualty Data — Commercial Lines of Business
    18  
Quarterly Property Casualty Data — Personal Lines of Business
    19  
Quarterly Detailed Loss Analysis
    20  
 
       
Reconciliation Data
       
10-Year Property Casualty Data — Consolidated
    21  
6-Year Property Casualty Data — Commercial Lines
    22  
6-Year Property Casualty Data — Personal Lines
    23  
Quarterly Property Casualty Data — Consolidated
    24  
Quarterly Property Casualty Data — Commercial Lines
    25  
Quarterly Property Casualty Data — Personal Lines
    26  
 
       
Life Insurance Operations
       
GAAP Statements of Income
    27  
Statutory Statements of Income
    28  

 


 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Quick Reference — Fourth Quarter 2008
(all data shown is for the three months ended or as of December 31, 2008)
(Based on reported data — see Pages 21-23 for adjusted data)
                 
            Year over year  
    12/31/2008     change %  
Revenues:
               
 
               
Commercial lines net written premiums
  $ 552       (1.9 )
Personal lines net written premiums
    159       (1.4 )
Excess & surplus lines net written premiums
    6     nm  
Property casualty net written premiums
    717       (1.0 )
Commercial lines net earned premiums
    573       (4.5 )
Personal lines net earned premiums
    171       (2.9 )
Excess & surplus lines net earned premiums
    3     nm  
Property casualty net earned premiums
    747       (3.8 )
Life and accident and health net earned premiums
    33       30.6  
Investment income
    125       (20.5 )
Realized gains on investments
    110       804.7  
Other income
    3       (30.3 )
Total revenues
    1,018       4.2  
 
           
 
               
Income:
               
 
               
Operating income
  $ 92       (48.6 )
Net realized investment gains and losses
    69       801.9  
Net income
    161       (13.9 )
 
           
 
               
Per share (diluted):
               
 
               
Operating income
  $ 0.57       (46.7 )
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.42       950.0  
Net income
    0.99       (10.8 )
Book value
    25.75       (27.9 )
Weighted average shares — diluted
    162,485,576       (3.4 )
 
           
 
Benefits and expenses:
               
 
               
Commercial lines loss and loss expenses
  $ 358       15.6  
Personal lines loss and loss expenses
    113       31.6  
Excess & surplus lines loss and loss expenses
    2     nm  
Life and accident and health losses and policy benefits
    27       (23.3 )
Operating expenses
    283       1.1  
Interest expenses
    14       10.1  
Total expenses
    797       10.3  
Net loss before income taxes
    221       (13.1 )
Total income tax benefit
    60       (11.2 )
Effective tax rate
    27.1     nm  
 
           
 
               
Ratios:
               
 
               
Commercial lines GAAP combined ratio
    98.1 %        
Personal lines GAAP combined ratio
    100.0          
Property casualty GAAP combined ratio
    98.9          
 
Commercial lines STAT combined ratio
    99.0 %        
Personal lines STAT combined ratio
    102.1          
Property casualty STAT combined ratio
    100.2          
 
Return on equity based upon net income
    14.5 %        
Return on equity based upon operating income
    8.3          
 
             
 
               
Balance Sheet:
               
 
               
Fixed maturity investments
  $ 5,827          
Equity securities
    2,896          
Short-term investments
    84          
Other invested assets
    83          
 
             
Total invested assets
  $ 8,890          
 
             
 
Property casualty and life loss and loss expense reserves
  $ 5,637          
Total debt
    840          
Shareholders’ equity
    4,182          
 
             

 


 

     
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Income
                                                                   
    For the Three Months Ended December 31,     For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,
(Dollars in millions except per share data)   2008   2007   Change   % Change     2008   2007   Change   % Change
           
Revenues:
                                                                 
Premiums earned:
                                                                 
Property Casualty
  $ 790     $ 821     $ (31 )     3.8     $ 3,187     $ 3,299     $ (112 )     (3.4 )
Life
    48       47       1       2.6         173       171       2       1.2  
Accident health
    2       2           (1.8 )       7       7             3.7  
Premiums ceded
    (59 )     (61 )     1       (2.4 )       (232 )     (228 )     (5 )     2.0  
Total premiums earned
    780       809       (28 )     (3.5 )       3,136       3,250       (114 )     (3.5 )
Investment income
    125       157       (32 )     (20.6 )       537       608       (71 )     (11.6 )
Realized gain on investments
    109       12       97       804.7         138       382       (245 )     (64.0 )
Other income
    3       5       (1 )     (30.3 )       14       20       (6 )     (28.9 )
Total revenues
  $ 1,018     $ 983     $ 35       (3.5 )     $ 3,824     $ 4,259     $ (435 )     (10.2 )
 
                                                                 
Benefits & expenses:
                                                                 
Losses & policy benefits
  $ 487     $ 461     $ 26       5.7       $ 2,352     $ 2,110     $ 242       11.5  
Reinsurance recoveries
    13       (31 )     44       (141.7 )       (159 )     (147 )     (12 )     8.0  
Commissions
    149       164       (16 )     (9.5 )       576       624       (47 )     (7.6 )
Other operating expenses
    118       90       28       30.8         411       348       63       18.1  
Interest expense
    14       13       1       10.0         53       51       2       3.8  
Taxes, licenses & fees
    15       18       (3 )     (15.7 )       68       75       (7 )     (9.7 )
Incr deferred acq expense
    1       8       (8 )     (91.4 )       (17 )     (9 )     (9 )     99.0  
Other expenses
          5       (5 )                   14       (14 )      
Total expenses
  $ 797     $ 729     $ 68       9.4       $ 3,284     $ 3,067     $ 217       7.1  
Income before income taxes
  $ 221     $ 254     $ (33 )     (13.1 )     $ 540     $ 1,192     $ (652 )     (54.7 )
Provision for income taxes:
                                                                 
Current operating income
  $ 52     $ 56     $ (4 )     (7.2 )     $ 186     $ 188     $ (3 )     (1.5 )
Realized investments gains and losses
    40       4       36       809.6         53       137       (84 )     (61.5 )
Deferred
    (33 )     7       (39 )     (590.5 )       (127 )     12       (138 )     nm
Total income taxes
  $ 60     $ 67     $ (8 )     (11.2 )     $ 112     $ 337     $ (225 )     (66.8 )
 
                                                                 
Net income
  $ 161     $ 187     $ (26 )     (13.9 )     $ 429     $ 855     $ (427 )     (49.9 )
Comprehensive net income
  $ (449 )   $ (397 )   $ (52 )     13.1       $ (1,375 )   $ (368 )   $ (1,008 )     274.2  
Operating income
  $ 92     $ 179     $ (87 )     (48.6 )     $ 344     $ 610     $ (266 )     (43.7 )
Net realized investments gains and losses
  $ 69     $ 8     $ 61       801.8       $ 85     $ 245     $ (160 )     (65.4 )
 
                                                                 
Net income per share:
                                                                 
Operating income
  $ 0.57     $ 1.07     $ (0.50 )     (46.7 )     $ 2.11     $ 3.57     $ (1.46 )     (40.9 )
Net realized investments gains and losses
    0.42       0.05       0.37       740.0         0.52       1.44       (0.92 )     (63.9 )
Net income per share (basic)
  $ 0.99     $ 1.12     $ (0.13 )     (11.6 )     $ 2.63     $ 5.01     $ (2.38 )     (47.5 )
Operating income
  $ 0.57     $ 1.07     $ (0.50 )     (46.7 )     $ 2.10     $ 3.54     $ (1.44 )     (40.7 )
Net realized investments gains and losses
    0.42       0.04       0.38       950.0         0.52       1.43       (0.91 )     (63.6 )
Net income per share (diluted)
  $ 0.99     $ 1.11     $ (0.12 )     (10.8 )     $ 2.62     $ 4.97     $ (2.35 )     (47.3 )
Dividends per share:
                                                                 
Paid
  $ 0.39     $ 0.36     $ 0.04       9.9       $ 1.53     $ 1.40     $ 0.13       8.9  
Declared
  $ 0.39     $ 0.36     $ 0.04       9.9       $ 1.56     $ 1.42     $ 0.14       9.9  
Number of shares:
                                                                 
Weighted avg — basic
    162,393,879       167,007,116       (4,613,237 )     (2.8 )       163,150,329       170,595,204       (7,444,875 )     (4.4 )
Weighted avg — diluted
    162,485,576       168,163,752       (5,678,176 )     (3.4 )       163,362,409       172,167,452       (8,805,043 )     (5.1 )
* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 


 

     
Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2008
                                                                 
(Dollars in millions)   Total   CFC   CONSOL P&C   CLIC   CFC-I   CINFIN   C-SUPR   ELIM
     
Revenues:
                                                               
Premiums earned:
                                                               
Property Casualty
  $ 3,187     $     $ 3,188     $     $     $     $     $ (1 )
Life
    173                   173                          
Accident health
    7                   7                          
Premiums ceded
    (232 )           (178 )     (54 )                        
Total earned premium
    3,136             3,010       126                         (1 )
Investment income
    537       67       350       120                        
Realized gain on investments
    138       54       41       (90 )           (1 )           133  
Other income
    14       13       4       2       8       2       1       (15 )
Total revenues
  $ 3,824     $ 134     $ 3,405     $ 158     $ 9     $ 1     $ 1     $ 117  
 
                                                               
Benefits & expenses:
                                                               
Losses & policy benefits
  $ 2,352     $     $ 2,182     $ 175     $     $     $     $ (5 )
Reinsurance recoveries
    (159 )           (126 )     (33 )                        
Commissions
    576             552       25                         (1 )
Other operating expenses
    411       24       356       34       4       1       3       (11 )
Interest expense
    53       51       1             3                    
Taxes, licenses & fees
    68       1       62       4                          
Incr deferred acq expenses
    (17 )                 (18 )                        
Total expenses
  $ 3,284     $ 76     $ 3,027     $ 187     $ 7     $ 1     $ 3     $ (17 )
 
                                                               
Income before income taxes
  $ 540     $ 58     $ 378     $ (29 )   $ 2     $     $ (2 )   $ 134  
 
                                                               
Provision for income taxes:
                                                               
Current operating income
  $ 186     $ 3     $ 194     $ 34     $ 1     $ 1     $ (1 )   $ (47 )
Capital gains/losses
    53       20       18       (31 )                       47  
Deferred
    (127 )     (20 )     (139 )     (13 )                       47  
Total income tax
  $ 113     $ 3     $ 73     $ (11 )   $ 1     $ 1     $ (1 )   $ 47  
 
                                                               
Net income — current year
  $ 428     $ 56     $ 305     $ (19 )   $ 1     $ (1 )   $ (1 )   $ 87  
 
                                                               
Net income — prior year
  $ 855     $ 108     $ 670     $ 65     $ 2     $ 1     $     $ 9  
 
                                                               
Change in net income
    (50.0 )%     (48.5 )%     (54.5 )%     (128.5 )%     (56.8 )%     (169.6 )%     nm          
* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 


 

     
Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2008
                                                                 
(Dollars in millions)   Total   CFC   CONSOL P&C   CLIC   CFC-I   CINFIN   C-SUPR   ELIM
     
Revenues:
                                                               
Premiums earned:
                                                               
Property Casualty
  $ 790     $     $ 790     $     $     $     $     $  
Life
    48                   48                          
Accident health
    2                   2                          
Premiums ceded
    (59 )           (43 )     (16 )                        
Total earned premium
    780             747       33                          
Investment income
    125       11       83       31                         (1 )
Realized gain on investments
    109       195       (62 )     (23 )                        
Other income
    3       4       1       1       2                   (4 )
Total revenues
  $ 1,018     $ 210     $ 769     $ 42     $ 2     $     $     $ (5 )
 
                                                               
Benefits & expenses:
                                                               
Losses & policy benefits
  $ 487     $     $ 462     $ 27     $     $     $     $ (1 )
Reinsurance recoveries
    13             13                                
Commissions
    149             143       6                          
Other operating expenses
    118       6       101       11       1             1       (3 )
Interest expense
    14       13                   1                    
Taxes, licenses & fees
    15             14       1                          
Incr deferred acq expenses
    1             6       (5 )                        
Total expenses
  $ 797     $ 20     $ 739     $ 39     $ 2     $     $ 1     $ (4 )
 
                                                               
Income before income taxes
  $ 221     $ 190     $ 30     $ 3     $     $ (1 )   $ (1 )   $ (1 )
 
                                                               
Provision for income taxes:
                                                               
Current operating income
  $ 52     $ 2     $ 37     $ 14     $     $     $     $  
Capital gains/losses
    40       70       (21 )     (8 )                        
Deferred
    (33 )     (8 )     (19 )     (5 )                        
Total income tax
  $ 60     $ 64     $ (4 )   $ 1     $     $     $     $  
 
                                                               
Net income — current year
  $ 161     $ 126     $ 34     $ 2     $     $     $ (1 )   $  
 
                                                               
Net income — prior year
  $ 187     $ 10     $ 174     $ 1     $     $     $     $ 1  
 
                                                               
Change in net income
    (13.9 )%     nm       (80.3 )%     49.5 %     (73.7 )%     (227.3 )%     nm          
* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 


 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Balance Sheets
                 
    December 31,   December 31,
    2008   2007
(Dollars in millions except per share data)   (unaudited)        
Assets
               
Investments
               
Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2008—$6,058; 2007—$5,783)
  $ 5,827     $ 5,848  
(includes securities pledged to creditors: 2008—$0; 2007—$745)
               
Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2008—$2,077; 2007—$2,975)
    2,896       6,249  
Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2008—$84; 2007—$101)
    84       101  
Other invested assets
    83       63  
     
Total investments
    8,890       12,261  
 
               
Cash and cash equivalents
    1,009       226  
Securities lending collateral invested
          760  
Investment income receivable
    98       124  
Finance receivable
    71       92  
Premiums receivable
    1,059       1,107  
Reinsurance receivable
    759       754  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    15       13  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    509       461  
Deferred income tax
    126        
Land, building and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation: 2008—$297; 2007—$276)
    236       239  
Other assets
    49       72  
Separate accounts
    548       528  
     
Total assets
  $ 13,369     $ 16,637  
     
 
               
Liabilities
               
Insurance reserves
               
Losses and loss expense
  $ 4,086     $ 3,967  
Life policy reserves
    1,551       1,478  
Unearned premiums
    1,544       1,564  
Securities lending payable
          760  
Other liabilities
    618       574  
Deferred income tax
          977  
Notes payable
    49       69  
6.125% senior debenture due 2034
    371       371  
6.9% senior debenture due 2028
    28       28  
6.92% senior debenture due 2028
    392       392  
Separate accounts
    548       528  
     
Total liabilities
    9,187       10,708  
     
 
               
Shareholders’ equity
               
Common stock, par value—$2 per share; authorized: 2008—500 million shares, 2007—500 million shares; issued: 2008—196 million shares, 2007—196 million shares
    393       393  
Paid-in capital
    1,069       1,049  
Retained Earnings
    3,579       3,404  
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    347       2,151  
Treasury stock at cost (2008—34 million shares, 2007—30 million shares)
    (1,206 )     (1,068 )
     
Total shareholders’ equity
    4,182       5,929  
     
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 13,369     $ 16,637  
     

 


 

     
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
10-Year Net Income Reconciliation
                                                                                 
    Years ended December 31,
(Dollars in millions except per share data)   2008   2007   2006   2005   2004   2003   2002   2001   2000   1999
 
Net income
  $ 429     $ 855     $ 930     $ 602     $ 584     $ 374     $ 238     $ 193     $ 118     $ 255  
One-time item
                                  15                   (25 )      
 
Net income before one-time item
    429       855       930       602       584       359       238       193       143       255  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    85       245       434       40       60       (27 )     (62 )     (17 )     (2 )      
 
Operating income before one-time item
    344       610       496       562       524       386       300       210       145       255  
Less catastrophe losses
    (132 )     (17 )     (113 )     (82 )     (96 )     (63 )     (57 )     (42 )     (33 )     (24 )
 
Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item
  $ 476     $ 627     $ 609     $ 644     $ 620     $ 449     $ 357     $ 252     $ 178     $ 279  
 
Diluted per share data
                                                                               
Net income
  $ 2.62     $ 4.97     $ 5.30     $ 3.40     $ 3.28     $ 2.10     $ 1.32     $ 1.07     $ 0.67     $ 1.37  
One-time item
                                  0.09                   (0.14 )      
 
Net income before one-time item
    2.62       4.97       5.30       3.40       3.28       2.01       1.32       1.07       0.81       1.37  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.52       1.43       2.48       0.23       0.34       (0.15 )     (0.35 )     (0.10 )     (0.01 )      
 
Operating income before one-time item
    2.10       3.54       2.82       3.17       2.94       2.16       1.67       1.17       0.82       1.37  
Less catastrophe losses
    (0.81 )     (0.10 )     (0.65 )     (0.46 )     (0.54 )     (0.35 )     (0.31 )     (0.23 )     (0.18 )     (0.13 )
 
Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item
  $ 2.91     $ 3.64     $ 3.47     $ 3.63     $ 3.48     $ 2.51     $ 1.98     $ 1.40     $ 1.00     $ 1.50  
 
 
                                                                               
Return on equity
                                                                               
Return on average equity
    8.5 %     13.4 %     14.4 %     9.8 %     9.4 %     6.3 %     4.1 %     3.2 %     2.1 %     4.6 %
One-time item
                                  (0.3 )                 0.4        
 
Return on average equity before one-time item
    8.5 %     13.4 %     14.4 %     9.8 %     9.4 %     6.0 %     4.1 %     3.2 %     2.5 %     4.6 %
 
 
                                                                               
Return on equity based on comprehensive income
                                                                               
ROE based on comprehensive income
    (27.2 )%     (5.8 )%     16.4 %     1.6 %     4.6 %     13.8 %     (4.0 )%     2.5 %     13.1 %     1.9 %
One-time item
                                  (0.3 )                 0.4        
 
ROE based on comprehensive income before one-time item
    (27.2 )%     (5.8 )%     16.4 %     1.6 %     4.6 %     13.5 %     (4.0 )%     2.5 %     13.5 %     1.9 %
 
 
                                                                               
Value creation ratio
                                                                               
Book value per share growth
  (27.9 )%   (9.3 )%   12.9 %   (2.0 )%   1.4 %   11.7 %   (6.5 )%   (0.5 )%   11.4 %   -0.8 %
Shareholder dividend as a percentage of beginning book value
    4.4       3.6       3.8       3.4       3.0       2.9       2.4       2.2       2.3     2.0  
 
Value creation ratio
  (23.5 )%   (5.7 )%   16.7 %   1.4   4.4 %   14.5 %   (4.1 )%   1.7 %   13.6 %   1.3 %
 
 
                                                                               
Investment income
                                                                               
Investment income, net of expenses
  $ 537     $ 608     $ 570     $ 526     $ 492     $ 465     $ 445     $ 421     $ 415     $ 387  
BOLI
                                                    (5 )      
 
Investment income before BOLI
  $ 537     $ 608     $ 570     $ 526     $ 492     $ 465     $ 445     $ 421     $ 410     $ 387  
 
     
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 


 

     
     
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation
                                                                                                                       
    Three months ended     Six months ended     Nine months ended     Twelve months ended
(Dollars in millions except per share data)   12/31/08   9/30/08   6/30/08   3/31/08   12/31/07   9/30/07   6/30/07   3/31/07     6/30/08   6/30/07     9/30/08   9/30/07     12/31/08   12/31/07
                   
Net income (loss)
  $ 161     $ 247     $ 63     $ (42 )   $ 187     $ 124     $ 351     $ 194       $ 21     $ 545       $ 268     $ 669       $ 429     $ 855  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    69       173       (6 )     (151 )     8       10       187       41         (157 )     228         16       238         85       245  
                   
Operating income
    92       74       69       109       179       114       164       153         178       317         252       431         344       610  
Less catastrophe losses
    10       (41 )     (74 )     (28 )     1       (9 )     (7 )     (2 )       (101 )     (9 )       (142 )     (18 )       (132 )     (17 )
                   
Operating income before catastrophe losses
  $ 82     $ 115     $ 143     $ 137     $ 178     $ 123     $ 171     $ 155       $ 279     $ 326       $ 394     $ 449       $ 476     $ 627  
                   
                   
Diluted per share data
                                                                                                                     
Net income (loss)
  $ 0.99     $ 1.50     $ 0.38     $ (0.26 )   $ 1.11     $ 0.72     $ 2.02     $ 1.11       $ 0.13     $ 3.13       $ 1.64     $ 3.86       $ 2.62     $ 4.97  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.42       1.05       (0.04 )     (0.92 )     0.04       0.06       1.08       0.23         (0.95 )     1.31         0.10       1.37         0.52       1.43  
                   
Operating income
    0.57       0.45       0.42       0.66       1.07       0.66       0.94       0.88         1.08       1.82         1.54       2.49         2.10       3.54  
Less catastrophe losses
    0.06       (0.25 )     (0.45 )     (0.17 )     0.01       (0.05 )     (0.04 )     (0.01 )       (0.62 )     (0.05 )       (0.87 )     (0.10 )       (0.81 )     (0.10 )
                   
Operating income before catastrophe losses
  $ 0.51     $ 0.70     $ 0.87     $ 0.83     $ 1.06     $ 0.71     $ 0.98     $ 0.89       $ 1.70     $ 1.87       $ 2.41     $ 2.59       $ 2.91     $ 3.64  
                   
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

 


 

     
Cincinnati Financial Corporation Subsidiaries
Selected Balance Sheet Data
                                                                 
(Dollars in millions)   12/31/2008   9/30/2008   6/30/2008   3/31/2008   12/31/2007   9/30/2007   6/30/2007   3/31/2007
 
Cincinnati Insurance Consolidated (including CSU)
                                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ 4,309     $ 4,183     $ 4,304     $ 4,351     $ 4,295     $ 4,366     $ 4,367     $ 4,362  
Equities (fair value)
    2,432       3,210       3,537       4,226       4,595       5,201       5,411       5,472  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    19       162             51       50       19       72       3  
Fixed maturities — pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    (108 )     (132 )     (33 )     39       58       23       (30 )     44  
Equities — pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    627       1,012       1,227       1,831       2,077       2,657       2,917       3,017  
Loss and loss expense reserves — STAT
    3,494       3,507       3,534       3,448       3,398       3,461       3,374       3,373  
Equity GAAP
    3,667       3,947       4,011       4,498       4,784       5,282       5,404       5,272  
Surplus — STAT
    3,360       3,687       3,650       4,027       4,307       4,782       4,937       4,741  
 
                                                               
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
                                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ 1,467     $ 1,483     $ 1,551     $ 1,534     $ 1,465     $ 1,475     $ 1,415     $ 1,384  
Equities (fair value)
    122       200       265       307       371       459       478       539  
Short-term investments (fair value)
                            51       18       29       16  
Fixed maturities — pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    (115 )     (79 )     (35 )           6       4       (4 )     20  
Equities — pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    (7 )     61       92       127       162       225       254       305  
Equity — GAAP
    471       530       617       661       685       724       730       739  
Surplus — STAT
    290       371       420       453       477       485       491       483  
 
 
    12/31/2006       9/30/2006       6/30/2006       3/31/2006       12/31/2005       9/30/2005       6/30/2005       3/31/2005  
 
Cincinnati Insurance Consolidated (including CSU)
                                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ 4,296     $ 4,258     $ 4,160     $ 4,189     $ 4,022     $ 4,049     $ 3,981     $ 3,925  
Equities (fair value)
    5,494       5,134       4,827       4,946       4,851       4,785       4,821       4,785  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    92                   126       74                    
Fixed maturities — pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    47       51       (55 )     2       50       86       152       99  
Equities — pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    3,166       2,859       2,621       2,758       2,803       2,807       2,903       2,931  
Loss and loss expense reserves — STAT
    3,356       3,314       3,237       3,169       3,111       3,150       3,065       3,031  
Equity GAAP
    5,261       5,073       4,702       4,730       4,647       4,660       4,679       4,493  
Surplus — STAT
    4,723       4,607       4,342       4,334       4,220       4,224       4,180       4,065  
 
                                                               
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
                                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ 1,381     $ 1,399     $ 1,344     $ 1,338     $ 1,331     $ 1,340     $ 1,294     $ 1,273  
Equities (fair value)
    532       494       458       470       457       457       454       415  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    3                   20                          
Fixed maturities — pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    15       17       (17 )     6       31       45       70       53  
Equities — pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    307       271       238       256       266       274       275       257  
Equity — GAAP
    719       688       652       666       651       348       655       622  
Surplus — STAT
    479       461       459       470       451       447       447       440  

 


 

     
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
GAAP Statements of Income
                                                                 
    For the Three Months Ended December 31,   For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,
(Dollars in millions)   2008   2007   Change   % Change   2008   2007   Change   % Change
     
Premiums earned:
                                                               
Property casualty
  $ 790     $ 821     $ (31 )     (3.8 )   $ 3,188     $ 3,299     $ (111 )     (3.4 )
Premiums ceded
    (43 )     (44 )     1       (3.0 )     (178 )     (175 )     (3 )     1.9  
Total premiums earned
    747       777       (30 )     (3.8 )     3,010       3,125       (115 )     (3.7 )
Investment income
    83       101       (18 )     (17.8 )     350       393       (43 )     (10.9 )
Realized gain on investments
    (62 )     30       (92 )     308.4       41       232       (191 )     (82.2 )
Other income
    1       1           (28.9 )     4       5       (1 )     (17.4 )
Total revenues
  $ 769     $ 909     $ (140 )     (15.4 )   $ 3,405     $ 3,754     $ (349 )     (9.3 )
 
                                                               
Benefits & expenses:
                                                               
Losses & policy benefits
  $ 462     $ 416     $ 46       11.1     $ 2,182     $ 1,939     $ 243       12.5  
Reinsurance recoveries
    13       (21 )     33       (161.6 )     (126 )     (107 )     (19 )     17.6  
Commissions
    143       159       (16 )     (10.1 )     552       598       (47 )     (7.8 )
Other operating expenses
    101       77       24       30.7       356       303       53       17.7  
Interest expense
                            1             1        
Taxes, licenses & fees
    14       17       (3 )     (18.0 )     62       70       (8 )     (11.0 )
Incr deferred acq expense
    6       11       (5 )     (43.7 )           3       (3 )     (97.3 )
Other expenses
          5       (5 )                 14       (14 )      
Total expenses
  $ 739     $ 665     $ 74       11.1     $ 3,027     $ 2,820     $ 207       7.3  
Income before income taxes
  $ 30     $ 244     $ (214 )     (87.6 )   $ 378     $ 934     $ (556 )     (59.5 )
 
                                                             
Provision for income taxes:
                                                               
Current operating income
  $ 37     $ 48     $ (11 )     (23.8 )   $ 194     $ 185     $ 10       5.2  
Current realized investments gains and losses
    (21 )     11       (32 )     (298.6 )     18       83       (64 )     (77.9 )
Deferred
    (19 )     11       (31 )     (266.5 )     (139 )     (3 )     (136 )     nm  
Total income taxes
  $ (4 )   $ 70     $ (74 )     (105.5 )   $ 73     $ 264     $ (191 )     (72.3 )
 
                                                               
Net income
  $ 34     $ 174     $ (140 )     (80.3 )   $ 305     $ 670     $ (365 )     (54.5 )
* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 


 

     
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Statutory Statements of Income
                                                                   
    For the Three Months Ended December 31,     For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,
(Dollars in millions)   2008   2007   Change   % Change     2008   2007   Change   % Change
           
Underwriting income
                                                                 
Net premiums written
  $ 717     $ 724     $ (7 )     (1.0 )     $ 3,010     $ 3,117     $ (107 )     (3.4 )
Unearned premiums increase
    (30 )     (53 )     23       (43.0 )       (1 )     (8 )     8       (92.5 )
Earned premiums
    747       777       (30 )     (3.8 )       3,010       3,125       (115 )     (3.7 )
 
                                                                 
Losses incurred
  $ 383     $ 292     $ 91       31.3       $ 1,736     $ 1,458     $ 278       19.1  
Allocated loss expenses incurred
    26       63       (36 )     (57.9 )       115       196       (81 )     (41.2 )
Unallocated loss expenses incurred
    65       41       24       (59.3 )       205       178       27       15.2  
Other underwriting expenses incurred
    259       261       (1 )     (0.6 )       956       973       (17 )     (1.7 )
Workers compensation dividend incurred
    4       7       (3 )     (41.6 )       9       15       (6 )     (42.2 )
 
                                                                 
Total underwriting deductions
  $ 738     $ 663     $ 75       11.3       $ 3,021     $ 2,820     $ 201       7.1  
Net underwriting gain
  $ 9     $ 114     $ (105 )     (91.8 )     $ (11 )   $ 305     $ (316 )     (103.5 )
 
                                                                 
Investment income
                                                                 
Gross investment income earned
  $ 84     $ 100     $ (16 )     (15.8 )     $ 355     $ 397     $ (42 )     (10.6 )
Net investment income earned
    83       100       (18 )     (17.5 )       349       392       (43 )     (10.9 )
Net realized capital gains
    (31 )     23       (53 )     (236.6 )       46       158       (112 )     (71.0 )
Net investment gains (excl. subs)
  $ 52     $ 123     $ (71 )     (57.8 )     $ 395     $ 550     $ (155 )     (28.1 )
Dividend from subsidiary
                                                 
Net investment gains
  $ 52     $ 123     $ (71 )     (57.8 )     $ 395     $ 550     $ (155 )     (28.1 )
 
                                                                 
Other income
  $ 1     $ 1     $ (1 )     (50.4 )     $ 2     $ 4     $ (2 )     (43.9 )
 
                                                                 
Net income before federal income taxes
  $ 62     $ 238     $ (176 )     (74.0 )     $ 387     $ 859     $ (472 )     (55.0 )
Federal and foreign income taxes incurred
  $ 32     $ 55     $ (23 )     (42.0 )     $ 200     $ 187     $ 13       6.9  
Net income (statutory)
  $ 30     $ 183     $ (153 )     (83.7 )     $ 187     $ 672     $ (485 )     (72.2 )
     
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
 
*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.


 

     
     
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies — Consolidated
Statutory Quarterly Analysis
(Based on reported data — see Page 21 for adjusted data)
                                                                                                                       
    Three months ended     Six months ended     Nine months ended     Twelve months ended
(Dollars in millions)   12/31/08   9/30/08   6/30/08   3/31/08   12/31/07   9/30/07   6/30/07   3/31/07     6/30/08   6/30/07     9/30/08   9/30/07     12/31/08   12/31/07
                   
Net premiums written
  $ 717     $ 727     $ 790     $ 776     $ 724     $ 736     $ 810     $ 846       $ 1,566     $ 1,656       $ 2,292     $ 2,392       $ 3,010     $ 3,117  
Net premiums earned
  $ 747     $ 751     $ 761     $ 751     $ 777     $ 777     $ 787     $ 785       $ 1,512     $ 1,571       $ 2,263     $ 2,348       $ 3,010     $ 3,125  
 
                                                                                                                     
Losses paid
  $ 383     $ 467     $ 396     $ 382     $ 375     $ 363     $ 379     $ 365       $ 778     $ 744       $ 1,245     $ 1,107       $ 1,629     $ 1,482  
Loss reserve change
    (1 )     (11 )     83       35       (84 )     69       (15 )     6         119       (10 )       108       59         107       (24 )
Total losses incurred
  $ 382     $ 456     $ 479     $ 417     $ 291     $ 432     $ 364     $ 371       $ 897     $ 734       $ 1,353     $ 1,166       $ 1,736     $ 1,458  
Allocated loss expense paid
    39       35       32       25       36       30       34       31         58       65         93       94         131       131  
Allocated loss expense reserve change
    (12 )     (16 )     1       12       27       14       16       8         12       24         (4 )     39         (16 )     65  
Total allocated loss expense incurred
  $ 27     $ 19     $ 33     $ 37     $ 63     $ 44     $ 50     $ 39       $ 70     $ 89       $ 89     $ 133       $ 115     $ 196  
Unallocated loss expense paid
    62       47       43       43       47       44       41       46         86       87         133       131         195       178  
Unallocated loss expense reserve change
    3       1       3       3       (6 )     4       1       2         6       3         7       7         10        
Total unallocated loss expense incurred
  $ 65     $ 48     $ 46     $ 46     $ 41     $ 48     $ 42     $ 48       $ 92     $ 90       $ 140     $ 138       $ 205     $ 178  
Underwriting expenses incurred
    264       241       223       238       270       230       241       248         460       490         701       720         971       989  
                   
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $ 9     $ (13 )   $ (20 )   $ 13     $ 112     $ 23     $ 90     $ 79       $ (7 )   $ 168       $ (20 )   $ 191       $ (17 )   $ 304  
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Ratio Data
                                                                                                                     
Loss ratio
    51.2 %     60.8 %     63.0 %     55.6 %     37.5 %     55.6 %     46.3 %     47.3 %       59.3 %     46.8 %       59.8 %     49.7 %       57.7 %     46.7 %
Allocated loss expense ratio
    3.5       2.5       4.3       5.0       8.1       5.7       6.3       5.0         4.6       5.7         3.9       5.7         3.8       6.3  
Unallocated loss expense ratio
    8.7       6.4       6.1       6.1       5.3       6.1       5.3       6.1         6.1       5.7         6.2       5.9         6.8       5.7  
Net underwriting expense ratio
    36.8       33.1       28.1       30.6       36.9       31.3       29.8       29.3         29.3       29.5         30.6       30.0         32.1       31.6  
                   
Statutory combined ratio
    100.2 %     102.8 %     101.5 %     97.3 %     87.8 %     98.7 %     87.7 %     87.7 %       99.3 %     87.7 %       100.5 %     91.3 %       100.4 %     90.3 %
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophes
    102.3 %     94.4 %     86.6 %     91.5 %     88.1 %     97.0 %     86.3 %     87.3 %       89.0 %     86.8 %       90.8 %     90.1 %       93.6 %     89.5 %
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Loss Detail
                                                                                                                     
New losses greater than $4,000,000
  $ 10     $ 10     $ 18     $ 8     $     $ 4     $     $       $ 26     $       $ 36     $ 4       $ 46     $ 4  
New losses $2,000,000-$4,000,000
    19       17       25       14       36       50       17       22         39       39         56       88         75       125  
New losses $1,000,000-$2,000,000
    22       33       17       22       23       27       26       28         39       54         72       81         94       105  
New losses $750,000-$1,000,000
    12       14       13       9       13       9       9       10         21       19         35       28         48       41  
New losses $500,000-$750,000
    16       16       13       11       16       14       14       14         24       28         40       42         56       58  
New losses $250,000-$500,000
    35       33       27       29       29       24       22       25         57       47         90       70         124       99  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    82       59       54       49       69       50       49       53         103       102         162       152         245       221  
                   
Large losses subtotal
  $ 196     $ 182     $ 167     $ 142     $ 186     $ 178     $ 137     $ 152       $ 309     $ 289       $ 491     $ 465       $ 688     $ 653  
IBNR incurred
    (16 )     (6 )     (6 )     6       (42 )           7       8               15         (6 )     15         (22 )     (28 )
Catastrophe losses incurred
    (16 )     63       113       43       (2 )     13       11       3         156       15         219       28         203       26  
Remaining incurred
    218       217       205       226       149       241       209       208         432       415         649       658         867       807  
                   
Total losses incurred
  $ 382     $ 456     $ 479     $ 417     $ 291     $ 432     $ 364     $ 371       $ 897     $ 734       $ 1,353     $ 1,166       $ 1,736     $ 1,458  
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Loss Ratio
                                                                                                                     
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    1.3 %     1.3 %     2.4 %     1.1 %     %     0.6 %     %     %       1.7 %     %       1.6 %     0.2 %       1.5 %     0.1 %
New losses $2,000,000-$4,000,000
    2.5       2.2       3.3       1.9       4.7       6.4       2.1       2.8         2.6       2.5         2.5       3.8         2.5       4.0  
New losses $1,000,000-$2,000,000
    2.9       4.4       2.2       2.9       3.0       3.4       3.3       3.6         2.6       3.4         3.0       3.4         3.1       3.3  
New losses $750,000-$1,000,000
    1.6       1.9       1.7       1.1       1.7       1.2       1.2       1.3         1.4       1.2         1.6       1.2         1.6       1.3  
New losses $500,000-$750,000
    2.2       2.1       1.7       1.5       2.1       1.8       1.8       1.8         1.6       1.8         1.8       1.8         1.9       1.9  
New losses $250,000-$500,000
    4.6       4.4       3.6       3.9       3.7       3.1       2.8       3.1         3.7       3.0         4.0       3.0         4.1       3.2  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    11.0       7.9       7.1       6.5       8.7       6.4       6.2       6.7         6.9       6.5         7.2       6.4         8.1       7.1  
                   
Large losses subtotal
    26.1 %     24.2 %     22.0 %     18.9 %     23.9 %     22.9 %     17.4 %     19.3 %       20.5 %     18.4 %       21.7 %     19.8 %       22.8 %     20.9 %
IBNR incurred
    (2.1 )     (0.8 )     (0.9 )     0.8       (5.5 )           0.9       1.0               0.9         (0.3 )     0.6         (0.7 )     (0.9 )
Total catastrophe losses incurred
    (2.1 )     8.4       14.9       5.7       (0.2 )     1.7       1.4       0.4         10.3       0.9         9.7       1.2         6.8       0.8  
Remaining incurred
    29.3       29.0       27.0       30.2       19.3       31.0       26.6       26.6         28.5       26.6         28.7       28.1         28.8       25.9  
                   
Total loss ratio
    51.2 %     60.8 %     63.0 %     55.6 %     37.5 %     55.6 %     46.3 %     47.3 %       59.3 %     46.8 %       59.8 %     49.7 %       57.7 %     46.7 %
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Loss Claim Count
                                                                                                                     
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    2       2       5       2             1                     7               9       1         11       1  
New losses $2,000,000-$4,000,000
    7       6       8       5       12       16       5       7         13       12         19       28         26       40  
New losses $1,000,000-$2,000,000
    17       27       13       19       18       21       21       21         32       42         59       63         76       81  
New losses $750,000-$1,000,000
    14       17       15       10       16       11       11       12         25       23         42       34         56       50  
New losses $500,000-$750,000
    28       28       23       21       27       25       26       24         44       50         72       75         100       102  
New losses $250,000-$500,000
    105       100       84       87       88       75       67       72         171       139         271       214         376       302  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    146       102       84       81       112       93       82       93         165       175         267       268         413       380  
                   
Large losses total
    319       282       232       225       273       242       212       229         457       441         739       683         1,058       956  
                   
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
 
*   nm Not meaningful
 
*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.


 

     
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies — Commercial Lines
Statutory Quarterly Analysis
(Based on reported data — see Page 22 for adjusted data)
                                                                                                                       
    Three months ended     Six months ended     Nine months ended     Twelve months ended
(Dollars in millions)   12/31/08   9/30/08   6/30/08   3/31/08   12/31/07   9/30/07   6/30/07   3/31/07     6/30/08   6/30/07     9/30/08   9/30/07     12/31/08   12/31/07
                   
Net premiums written
  $ 552     $ 538     $ 597     $ 625     $ 562     $ 544     $ 613     $ 693       $ 1,222     $ 1,306       $ 1,759     $ 1,851       $ 2,311     $ 2,413  
Net premiums earned
  $ 573     $ 582     $ 586     $ 574     $ 601     $ 600     $ 606     $ 604       $ 1,161     $ 1,210       $ 1,743     $ 1,810       $ 2,316     $ 2,411  
 
                                                                                                                     
Losses paid
  $ 262     $ 326     $ 280     $ 266     $ 272     $ 253     $ 270     $ 259       $ 546     $ 530       $ 871     $ 783       $ 1,133     $ 1,054  
Loss reserve change
    26       (3 )     67       32       (53 )     66       (12 )     23         100       11         97       77         123       23  
Total losses incurred
  $ 288     $ 323     $ 347     $ 298     $ 219     $ 319     $ 258     $ 282       $ 646     $ 541       $ 968     $ 860       $ 1,256     $ 1,077  
Allocated loss expense paid
    35       31       28       22       33       26       30       28         50       58         82       84         116       117  
Allocated loss expense reserve change
    (13 )     (15 )     1       12       27       16       16       8         13       24         (3 )     40         (16 )     67  
Total allocated loss expense incurred
  $ 22     $ 16     $ 29     $ 34     $ 60     $ 42     $ 46     $ 36       $ 63     $ 82       $ 79     $ 124       $ 100     $ 184  
Unallocated loss expense paid
    42       34       31       30       34       31       30       33         61       63         95       94         137       128  
Unallocated loss expense reserve change
    7       (1 )     1       3       (3 )     4       1       3         4       4         4       8         10       5  
Total unallocated loss expense incurred
  $ 49     $ 33     $ 32     $ 33     $ 31     $ 35     $ 31     $ 36       $ 65     $ 67       $ 99     $ 102       $ 147     $ 133  
Underwriting expenses incurred
    204       180       166       186       215       170       179       193         352       371         532       541         742       756  
                   
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $ 10     $ 30     $ 12     $ 23     $ 76     $ 34     $ 92     $ 57       $ 35     $ 149       $ 65     $ 183       $ 71     $ 261  
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Ratio Data
                                                                                                                     
Loss ratio
    50.3 %     55.4 %     59.2 %     52.0 %     36.4 %     53.2 %     42.6 %     46.8 %       55.6 %     44.7 %       55.5 %     47.5 %       54.2 %     44.7 %
Allocated loss expense ratio
    3.8       2.7       5.0       5.9       9.9       7.0       7.6       5.9         5.4       6.8         4.5       6.8         4.3       7.6  
Unallocated loss expense ratio
    8.4       5.7       5.5       5.7       5.2       5.7       5.1       5.9         5.7       5.5         5.7       5.6         6.4       5.5  
Net underwriting expense ratio
    36.5       33.5       27.8       29.7       38.2       31.3       29.1       27.9         28.8       28.4         30.2       29.3         31.7       31.4  
                   
Statutory combined ratio
    99.0 %     97.3 %     97.5 %     93.3 %     89.7 %     97.2 %     84.4 %     86.5 %       95.5 %     85.4 %       95.9 %     89.2 %       96.6 %     89.2 %
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophes
    100.5 %     93.3 %     86.2 %     89.4 %     89.7 %     97.1 %     83.6 %     84.7 %       87.8 %     84.1 %       89.5 %     88.3 %       92.2 %     88.5 %
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Loss Detail
                                                                                                                     
New losses greater than $4,000,000
  $ 10     $ 5     $ 18     $ 8     $     $     $     $       $ 26     $       $ 31     $       $ 41     $  
New losses $2,000,000-$4,000,000
    19       17       25       14       34       47       13       22         40       35         56       81         75       116  
New losses $1,000,000-$2,000,000
    18       26       15       18       19       25       23       23         33       46         60       71         78       90  
New losses $750,000-$1,000,000
    10       12       11       8       11       8       6       9         19       15         31       23         41       34  
New losses $500,000-$750,000
    11       14       12       9       14       11       12       12         20       24         34       34         45       49  
New losses $250,000-$500,000
    28       25       22       23       21       18       16       18         45       34         70       53         98       73  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    76       57       51       44       60       45       46       49         96       95         153       140         229       200  
                   
Large losses subtotal
  $ 172     $ 156     $ 154     $ 124     $ 159     $ 154     $ 116     $ 133       $ 279     $ 249       $ 435     $ 402       $ 607     $ 562  
IBNR incurred
    (12 )     (7 )     (8 )     6       (29 )           6       7         (2 )     14         (10 )     16         (22 )     (12 )
Catastrophe losses incurred
    (9 )     23       66       22             1       5       10         89       16         112       17         103       16  
Remaining incurred
    137       151       135       146       89       164       131       132         280       262         431       425         568       511  
                   
Total losses incurred
  $ 288     $ 323     $ 347     $ 298     $ 219     $ 319     $ 258     $ 282       $ 646     $ 541       $ 968     $ 860       $ 1,256     $ 1,077  
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Loss Ratio
                                                                                                                     
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    1.8 %     0.9 %     3.1 %     1.4 %     %     0.1 %     %     %       2.3 %     %       1.8 %     0.1 %       1.8 %     %
New losses $2,000,000-$4,000,000
    3.2       2.9       4.3       2.5       5.7       7.8       2.1       3.6         3.4       2.9         3.2       4.5         3.2       4.7  
New losses $1,000,000-$2,000,000
    3.1       4.5       2.5       3.2       3.2       4.2       3.8       3.8         2.9       3.8         3.4       3.9         3.4       3.7  
New losses $750,000-$1,000,000
    1.7       2.1       1.9       1.3       1.8       1.3       1.0       1.5         1.6       1.2         1.8       1.3         1.8       1.4  
New losses $500,000-$750,000
    2.0       2.3       2.0       1.5       2.2       1.8       2.0       2.0         1.7       2.0         1.9       1.9         2.0       2.0  
New losses $250,000-$500,000
    4.9       4.3       3.8       4.0       3.4       3.0       2.6       2.8         3.9       2.7         4.0       2.9         4.2       2.9  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    13.2       9.8       8.7       7.8       10.1       7.5       7.6       8.1         8.3       7.8         8.8       7.6         9.9       8.3  
                   
Large losses subtotal
    29.9 %     26.8 %     26.3 %     21.7 %     26.4 %     25.7 %     19.1 %     21.8 %       24.0 %     20.4 %       24.9 %     22.2 %       26.3 %     23.1 %
IBNR incurred
    (2.1 )     (1.3 )     (1.4 )     1.0       (4.8 )           1.0       1.2         (0.2 )     1.1         (0.6 )     0.8         (0.9 )     (0.5 )
Total catastrophe losses incurred
    (1.5 )     4.0       11.3       3.9             0.1       0.8       1.8         7.7       1.3         6.4       0.9         4.5       0.7  
Remaining incurred
    24.0       25.9       23.0       25.4       14.8       27.3       21.7       22.0         24.2       21.9         24.8       23.6         24.3       21.4  
                   
Total loss ratio
    50.3 %     55.4 %     59.2 %     52.0 %     36.4 %     53.1 %     42.6 %     46.8 %       55.7 %     44.7 %       55.5 %     47.5 %       54.2 %     44.7 %
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Loss Claim Count
                                                                                                                     
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    2       1       4       2             1                     6               7       1         9       1  
New losses $2,000,000-$4,000,000
    7       6       9       5       11       14       4       7         14       11         20       25         27       36  
New losses $1,000,000-$2,000,000
    14       21       12       16       14       20       19       17         28       36         49       56         63       70  
New losses $750,000-$1,000,000
    11       15       13       9       13       9       7       11         22       18         37       27         48       40  
New losses $500,000-$750,000
    19       24       21       16       23       20       21       20         37       41         61       61         80       84  
New losses $250,000-$500,000
    85       74       67       68       64       57       49       57         135       106         209       163         294       227  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    129       95       76       74       96       80       75       85         150       160         245       240         374       336  
                   
Large losses total
    267       236       202       190       221       201       175       197         392       372         628       573         895       794  
                   
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
 
*   nm — Not meaningful
 
*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.


 

     
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies — Personal Lines
Statutory Quarterly Analysis
(Based on reported data — see Page 23 for adjusted data)
                                                                                                                       
    Three months ended     Six months ended     Nine months ended     Twelve months ended
(Dollars in millions)   12/31/08   9/30/08   6/30/08   3/31/08   12/31/07   9/30/07   6/30/07   3/31/07     6/30/08   6/30/07     9/30/08   9/30/07     12/31/08   12/31/07
                   
Net premiums written
  $ 160     $ 184     $ 191     $ 150     $ 162     $ 192     $ 197     $ 153       $ 341     $ 350       $ 525     $ 542       $ 685     $ 704  
Net premiums earned
  $ 171     $ 167     $ 174     $ 177     $ 176     $ 177     $ 180     $ 181       $ 351     $ 361       $ 518     $ 538       $ 689     $ 714  
                   
Losses paid
  $ 123     $ 141     $ 116     $ 116     $ 103     $ 110     $ 110     $ 105       $ 232     $ 214       $ 373     $ 324       $ 496     $ 426  
Loss reserve change
    (31 )     (8 )     16       3       (30 )     3       (4 )     (17 )       19       (20 )       11       (17 )       (20 )     (47 )
Total losses incurred
  $ 92     $ 133     $ 132     $ 119     $ 73     $ 113     $ 106     $ 88       $ 251     $ 194       $ 384     $ 307       $ 476     $ 379  
Allocated loss expense paid
    4       4       4       3       4       3       3       4         7       7         11       10         15       14  
Allocated loss expense reserve change
    1       (1 )     (1 )           (1 )     (1 )                                 (1 )     (1 )       (1 )     (2 )
Total allocated loss expense incurred
  $ 5     $ 3     $ 3     $ 3     $ 3     $ 2     $ 3     $ 4       $ 7     $ 7       $ 10     $ 9       $ 14     $ 12  
Unallocated loss expense paid
    19       13       13       13       12       13       11       13         25       24         38       38         57       50  
Unallocated loss expense reserve change
    (3 )     1       1       1       (3 )                 (1 )       2       (1 )       3       (2 )       1       (3 )
Total unallocated loss expense incurred
  $ 16     $ 14     $ 14     $ 14     $ 9     $ 13     $ 11     $ 12       $ 27     $ 23       $ 41     $ 36       $ 58     $ 47  
Underwriting expenses incurred
    58       56       55       51       55       60       63       56         106       118         162       178         224       233  
                   
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $     $ (39 )   $ (30 )   $ (10 )   $ 36     $ (11 )   $ (3 )   $ 21       $ (40 )   $ 19       $ (79 )   $ 8       $ (83 )   $ 43  
                   
                   
Ratio Data
                                                                                                                     
Loss ratio
    53.6 %     79.7 %     75.6 %     67.4 %     41.3 %     63.8 %     58.6 %     48.9 %       71.5 %     53.8 %       74.1 %     57.1 %       69.0 %     53.2 %
Allocated loss expense ratio
    2.7       1.8       1.9       1.9       1.8       1.4       1.9       1.8         1.9       1.9         1.9       1.7         2.1       1.7  
Unallocated loss expense ratio
    9.6       8.7       7.9       7.4       5.5       7.3       6.2       6.6         7.6       6.3         8.0       6.7         8.3       6.4  
Net underwriting expense ratio
    36.2       30.4       28.9       34.1       32.8       31.1       31.9       36.2         31.2       33.8         30.9       32.8         32.2       32.8  
                   
Statutory combined ratio
    102.1 %     120.6 %     114.3 %     110.8 %     81.4 %     103.6 %     98.6 %     93.5 %       112.2 %     95.8 %       114.9 %     98.3 %       111.6 %     94.1 %
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophes
    106.2 %     96.8 %     87.3 %     99.2 %     82.4 %     96.6 %     95.1 %     97.6 %       92.9 %     96.1 %       94.2 %     96.2 %       97.1 %     92.8 %
                   
                   
Loss Detail
                                                                                                                     
New losses greater than $4,000,000
  $     $ 5     $     $     $     $     $     $       $     $       $ 5     $       $ 5     $  
New losses $2,000,000-$4,000,000
                            2       7       4                     4               11               13  
New losses $1,000,000-$2,000,000
    4       6       2       4       5       1       3       5         5       8         12       10         16       14  
New losses $750,000-$1,000,000
    3       2       2       1       2       1       3       1         3       4         4       6         7       7  
New losses $500,000-$750,000
    5       2       1       3       2       3       3       3         4       6         6       8         11       11  
New losses $250,000-$500,000
    7       8       5       6       8       6       6       5         12       11         20       17         26       25  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    6       2       3       4       8       5       2       4         7       6         9       12         16       19  
                   
Large losses subtotal
  $ 25     $ 25     $ 13     $ 18     $ 27     $ 23     $ 21     $ 18       $ 31     $ 39       $ 56     $ 64       $ 81     $ 89  
IBNR incurred
    (4 )     2       2             (14 )           1               2       1         4                     (13 )
Catastrophe losses incurred
    (7 )     40       47       21       (2 )     12       6       (7 )       67       (1 )       107       11         100       10  
Remaining incurred
    78       66       70       80       62       78       78       77         151       155         217       232         295       293  
                   
Total losses incurred
  $ 92     $ 133     $ 132     $ 119     $ 73     $ 113     $ 106     $ 88       $ 251     $ 194       $ 384     $ 307       $ 476     $ 379  
                   
                   
Loss Ratio
                                                                                                                     
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    %     3.0 %     %     %     %     %     %     %       %     %       1.0 %     0.1 %       0.7 %     %
New losses $2,000,000-$4,000,000
                            1.0       4.0       2.2                     1.1               2.1               1.8  
New losses $1,000,000-$2,000,000
    2.4       3.8       1.1       2.1       2.8       0.8       1.7       3.0         1.6       2.3         2.3       1.8         2.3       2.0  
New losses $750,000-$1,000,000
    1.5       1.0       1.1       0.4       1.1       0.9       1.7       0.7         0.8       1.1         0.8       1.1         1.0       1.0  
New losses $500,000-$750,000
    2.9       1.3       0.7       1.5       1.1       1.6       1.7       1.9         1.1       1.8         1.2       1.5         1.6       1.5  
New losses $250,000-$500,000
    3.9       4.8       3.0       3.6       4.5       3.2       3.3       3.0         3.3       3.1         3.8       3.1         3.8       3.6  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    3.8       1.4       1.5       2.5       4.4       2.7       1.2       2.2         1.9       1.8         1.7       2.1         2.3       2.7  
                   
Large losses subtotal
    14.5 %     15.3 %     7.5 %     10.0 %     15.1 %     13.2 %     11.8 %     10.6 %       8.7 %     11.2 %       10.8 %     11.8 %       11.7 %     12.6 %
IBNR incurred
    (2.3 )     1.0       0.9       0.2       (7.8 )           0.4               0.6       0.2         0.7       0.1               (1.8 )
Total catastrophe losses incurred
    (4.1 )     23.8       27.0       11.6       (1.0 )     7.0       3.5       (4.1 )       19.3       (0.3 )       20.7       2.1         14.5       1.3  
Remaining incurred
    45.5       39.6       40.2       45.6       35.0       43.6       42.9       42.4         42.9       42.7         41.9       43.1         42.8       41.1  
                   
Total loss ratio
    53.6 %     79.7 %     75.6 %     67.4 %     41.3 %     63.8 %     58.6 %     48.9 %       71.5 %     53.8 %       74.1 %     57.1 %       69.0 %     53.2 %
                   
                   
Loss Claim Count
                                                                                                                     
New losses greater than $4,000,000
          1                                                           1                      
New losses $2,000,000-$4,000,000
                            1       2       1                     1               3         3       4  
New losses $1,000,000-$2,000,000
    3       6       1       3       4       1       2       4         4       6         10       7         7       11  
New losses $750,000-$1,000,000
    3       2       2       1       3       2       4       1         3       5         5       7         14       10  
New losses $500,000-$750,000
    9       4       2       5       4       5       5       4         7       9         11       14         51       18  
New losses $250,000-$500,000
    20       26       17       19       24       18       18       15         36       33         62       51         28       75  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    17       7       8       7       16       13       7       8         15       15         22       28         79       44  
                   
Large losses total
    52       46       30       35       52       41       37       32         65       69         111       110         182       162  
                   
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
 
*   nm — Not meaningful
 
*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 


 

     
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Agency Direct Written Premiums by Risk State by Line of Business for the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2008
                                                                                                                                   
(Dollars in millions)   Standard Market   E&S                     Standard Market   Consolidated
    Commercial   Personal       Consolidated     Commercial   Personal   Total
    Comm   Comm   Comm   Workers’   Specialty   Surety &   Mach. &   Pers   Home   Other   Casualty   2008   2007     Change   Change   Change
Risk State   Casualty   Prop   Auto   Comp   Packages   Exec Risk   Equip   Auto   Owner   Personal   & Prop   Total   Total     %   %   %
       
AL
  $ 19.2     $ 17.1     $ 8.0     $ 1.4     $ 7.8     $ 2.0     $ 0.9     $ 16.3     $ 25.2     $ 5.2     $ 0.2     $ 103.3     $ 100.6         (1.8 )     8.3       2.7  
AZ
    13.1       6.4       10.8       0.4       1.0       0.9       0.8       0.1       0.3       0.1       0.2       34.0       32.3         4.5       49.4       5.5  
AR
    10.4       10.1       6.3       5.2       3.9       1.4       0.5       2.5       2.8       0.8       0.1       44.1       42.9         3.5       (2.1 )     2.9  
DE
    1.4       1.3       0.7       1.7       0.2       0.1       0.1                               5.5       4.5         21.8     nm       21.8  
FL
    28.8       24.4       11.7       2.2       2.6       3.0       0.9       11.5       18.1       3.4             106.5       123.2         (12.3 )     (16.1 )     (13.5 )
GA
    26.2       20.1       17.3       13.4       7.1       6.9       0.9       30.1       28.0       7.8       1.5       159.2       160.7         (5.2 )     3.3       (0.9 )
ID
    10.2       4.7       4.9       0.3       0.8       1.0       0.3                               22.3       20.9         6.6     nm       6.6  
IL
    68.9       45.5       30.4       62.8       13.6       8.2       2.9       23.4       19.2       6.2       2.5       283.5       291.5         (4.2 )     (0.5 )     (2.7 )
IN
    47.0       36.4       23.0       29.3       7.8       7.8       2.2       26.8       26.1       7.0       2.8       216.3       222.3         (5.5 )     0.3       (2.7 )
IA
    20.0       14.9       9.6       25.5       4.4       2.7       1.2       3.4       4.0       1.8       0.1       87.5       88.0         0.8       (11.7 )     (0.6 )
KS
    7.1       7.9       4.6       8.5       3.1       1.4       0.4       4.1       5.4       1.2             43.7       44.0         4.0       (13.1 )     (0.8 )
KY
    21.5       19.9       14.9       3.6       5.5       3.7       1.0       19.8       15.8       4.2             109.8       106.9         2.1       3.8       2.7  
MD
    13.7       6.1       10.1       12.3       1.0       1.6       0.4       0.1       1.6       0.5       0.1       47.3       49.2         (4.7 )     18.9       (3.7 )
MI
    34.0       21.7       15.0       19.5       11.8       6.4       1.8       10.8       14.4       3.2       0.7       139.4       150.9         (7.8 )     (9.0 )     (7.6 )
MN
    22.7       15.8       8.6       8.4       3.3       2.6       1.2       5.9       5.3       2.9       0.3       76.9       83.4         (9.1 )     (3.8 )     (7.8 )
MO
    23.6       18.7       13.4       18.6       5.2       2.6       1.2       2.5       4.1       0.9       0.3       91.2       96.9         (6.6 )     (1.8 )     (5.9 )
MT
    14.1       6.6       6.5       0.1       0.9       0.5       0.4       0.5       0.5       0.1             30.5       30.6         (3.9 )     511.1       (0.5 )
NE
    6.5       5.5       3.4       8.4       1.3       1.0       0.4       0.8       1.0       0.3             28.8       29.7         (2.1 )     (13.2 )     (3.0 )
NH
    2.7       1.7       1.2       2.3       0.7       0.7       0.2       0.7       0.7       0.4             11.2       11.8         (4.4 )     (7.4 )     (4.8 )
NM
    1.8       0.5       0.9       0.4             0.2                                     3.8       0.3       nm     nm     nm  
NY
    29.2       8.1       10.0       2.0       1.4       2.9       0.6                               54.1       59.0         (8.2 )   nm       (8.3 )
NC
    40.6       30.8       21.3       29.1       12.9       9.0       1.6       1.2       2.0       2.6       0.7       151.8       153.5         (2.1 )     15.6       (1.1 )
ND
    5.3       4.1       2.5             0.9       0.7       0.2       0.5       0.5       0.2             14.8       14.3         5.2       (14.0 )     3.5  
OH
    150.6       91.1       67.0       (0.4 )     22.3       24.2       5.0       126.9       91.4       30.6       3.2       611.8       630.3         (4.2 )     (2.4 )     (2.9 )
PA
    46.2       28.8       28.1       52.7       9.3       6.4       1.7       7.4       6.1       3.3       0.1       190.2       194.8         (2.1 )     (5.5 )     (2.3 )
SC
    13.7       9.3       8.0       6.2       2.6       2.8       0.3             0.1       0.2             43.2       44.9         (4.0 )     8.0       (4.0 )
SD
    4.3       2.8       2.1       4.3       0.4       0.7       0.2                               14.7       15.1         (2.7 )   nm       (3.0 )
TN
    23.4       18.3       14.0       12.3       8.6       5.1       1.1       8.2       8.9       3.1       0.1       103.1       106.2         (4.3 )     2.3       (2.9 )
TX
    0.9       1.3       0.8       1.8             0.4                                     5.2       5.3         (2.8 )   nm       (2.6 )
UT
    13.2       5.0       6.4             0.7       1.7       0.4       0.1       0.1             0.2       27.8       23.2         18.4     nm       19.7  
VT
    5.0       4.0       2.8       7.3       1.0       0.9       0.3       0.7       1.0       0.3             23.3       24.2         (4.1 )     (2.2 )     (3.5 )
VA
    32.2       24.1       20.6       21.4       5.1       5.7       1.2       9.1       8.0       2.9       0.4       130.7       137.2         (5.1 )     (5.0 )     (4.7 )
WA
    0.7       0.3       0.5                   0.1                                     1.6       0.4         259.3     nm       292.7  
WV
    7.5       5.2       5.4       0.2       2.3       1.0       0.3             0.7       0.2       0.2       22.9       25.4         (9.8 )     (22.7 )     (9.6 )
WI
    26.5       17.2       11.6       25.7       4.6       2.8       1.6       8.7       7.5       3.3       0.7       110.1       114.7         (4.8 )     (3.4 )     (4.0 )
All Other
    4.2       2.7       2.6       4.3       0.2       1.3       0.1             0.3                   15.8       14.7         7.5       7.9       7.4  
       
Total
  $ 796.4     $ 538.3     $ 405.2     $ 391.1     $ 154.3     $ 120.3     $ 32.2     $ 322.2     $ 298.8     $ 92.9     $ 14.4     $ 3,166.3     $ 3,253.6         (3.5 )     (1.7 )     (2.7 )
Other Direct
          1.7             7.5                               2.4                   11.6       15.7         (11.4 )     (55.5 )     (26.1 )
       
Total Direct
  $ 796.4     $ 540.0     $ 405.2     $ 398.6     $ 154.3     $ 120.3     $ 32.2     $ 322.2     $ 301.2     $ 92.9     $ 14.4     $ 3,177.9     $ 3,269.3         (3.6 )     (2.1 )     (2.8 )
       
There were no direct written premiums for Excess and Surplus during 2007

 


 

     
Quarterly Property Casualty Data — Commercial Lines
                                                                                                                       
    Three months ended     Six months ended     Nine months ended     Twelve months ended
(Dollars in millions)   12/31/08   9/30/08   6/30/08   3/31/08   12/31/07   9/30/07   6/30/07   3/31/07     6/30/08   6/30/07     9/30/08   9/30/07     12/31/08   12/31/07
                   
Commercial casualty:
                                                                                                                     
Written premiums
  $ 183     $ 171     $ 199     $ 211     $ 189     $ 179     $ 218     $ 245       $ 410     $ 462       $ 582     $ 641       $ 764     $ 830  
Earned premiums
    183       197       194       190       204       205       209       209         384       418         580       623         763       827  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    23.9 %     44.4 %     39.8 %     58.3 %     32.0 %     63.7 %     54.6 %     53.5 %       48.9 %     54.2 %       47.4 %     57.4 %       41.7 %     51.1 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
                                                                                         
                   
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    23.9 %     44.4 %     39.8 %     58.3 %     32.0 %     63.7 %     54.6 %     53.5 %       48.9 %     54.2 %       47.4 %     57.4 %       41.7 %     51.1 %
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Commercial property:
                                                                                                                     
Written premiums
  $ 117     $ 117     $ 124     $ 124     $ 116     $ 120     $ 125     $ 138       $ 247     $ 263       $ 364     $ 383       $ 481     $ 499  
Earned premiums
    122       120       123       122       124       125       125       123         244       248         364       373         487       497  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    47.2 %     70.0 %     97.6 %     75.5 %     32.9 %     61.5 %     45.8 %     53.6 %       86.6 %     49.7 %       81.1 %     53.7 %       72.6 %     48.5 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    (5.3 )     15.6       38.0       16.5             (1.4 )     3.2       6.9         27.3       5.0         23.4       2.9         16.2       2.2  
                   
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    52.5 %     54.4 %     59.6 %     59.0 %     32.9 %     62.9 %     42.6 %     46.7 %       59.3 %     44.7 %       57.7 %     50.8 %       56.4 %     46.3 %
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Commercial auto:
                                                                                                                     
Written premiums
  $ 94     $ 93     $ 108     $ 107     $ 100     $ 92     $ 112     $ 124       $ 215     $ 236       $ 308     $ 329       $ 402     $ 429  
Earned premiums
    103       103       104       101       110       108       110       113         205       223         308       331         411       440  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    94.8 %     63.2 %     67.5 %     63.4 %     60.3 %     66.9 %     62.9 %     64.6 %       65.5 %     63.4 %       64.7 %     64.5 %       72.3 %     63.5 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    (0.8 )     0.1       3.4       (0.4 )     (0.2 )     0.4             (0.2 )       1.5               1.0       0.1         0.6        
                   
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    95.6 %     63.1 %     64.1 %     63.8 %     60.5 %     66.5 %     62.9 %     64.8 %       64.0 %     63.4 %       63.7 %     64.4 %       71.7 %     63.5 %
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Workers’ compensation:
                                                                                                                     
Written premiums
  $ 89     $ 84     $ 95     $ 114     $ 88     $ 84     $ 92     $ 113       $ 209     $ 206       $ 292     $ 289       $ 382     $ 378  
Earned premiums
    93       93       94       94       93       94       95       92         189       187         282       280         375       373  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    128.2 %     90.9 %     78.3 %     64.8 %     113.6 %     82.0 %     66.8 %     76.5 %       71.5 %     71.5 %       77.9 %     75.0 %       90.4 %     84.6 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
                                                                                         
                   
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    128.2 %     90.9 %     78.3 %     64.8 %     113.6 %     82.0 %     66.8 %     76.5 %       71.5 %     71.5 %       77.9 %     75.0 %       90.4 %     84.6 %
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Specialty package:
                                                                                                                     
Written premiums
  $ 37     $ 36     $ 36     $ 37     $ 36     $ 34     $ 36     $ 41       $ 73     $ 77       $ 109     $ 111       $ 145     $ 146  
Earned premiums
    36       35       36       35       36       36       37       36         72       73         107       109         144       146  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    40.6 %     80.2 %     109.7 %     63.4 %     41.9 %     76.7 %     49.9 %     69.6 %       86.8 %     59.6 %       84.6 %     65.3 %       73.5 %     59.4 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    (3.8 )     12.2       43.9       8.1       0.6       6.2       2.6       7.0         26.2       4.7         21.5       5.2         15.2       4.1  
                   
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    44.4 %     68.0 %     65.8 %     55.3 %     41.3 %     70.5 %     47.3 %     62.6 %       60.6 %     54.9 %       63.1 %     60.1 %       58.3 %     55.3 %
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Surety and executive risk:
                                                                                                                     
Written premiums
  $ 24     $ 29     $ 28     $ 25     $ 26     $ 28     $ 23     $ 25       $ 54     $ 48       $ 82     $ 76       $ 107     $ 102  
Earned premiums
    28       27       28       25       27       25       24       24         53       47         80       73         107       100  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    76.5 %     73.6 %     92.0 %     45.9 %     55.7 %     36.5 %     49.3 %     24.0 %       70.1 %     36.7 %       71.3 %     36.7 %       72.6 %     41.8 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
                                                                                         
                   
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    76.5 %     73.6 %     92.0 %     45.9 %     55.7 %     36.5 %     49.3 %     24.0 %       70.1 %     36.7 %       71.3 %     36.7 %       72.6 %     41.8 %
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Machinery and equipment:
                                                                                                                     
Written premiums
  $ 8     $ 8     $ 7     $ 7     $ 7     $ 7     $ 7     $ 7       $ 14     $ 14       $ 22     $ 22       $ 30     $ 29  
Earned premiums
    8       7       7       7       7       7       7       7         14       14         22       21         29       28  
Loss and loss expense ratio
    50.4 %     32.4 %     34.1 %     53.3 %     27.8 %     34.7 %     20.4 %     28.2 %       43.6 %     24.3 %       39.8 %     27.8 %       42.5 %     27.8 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    (0.2 )     2.8       1.0             (0.8 )     1.3             (1.6 )       0.6       (0.8 )       1.3       (0.1 )       0.9       (0.3 )
                   
Loss and loss expense excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    50.6 %     29.6 %     33.1 %     53.3 %     28.6 %     33.4 %     20.4 %     29.8 %       43.0 %     25.1 %       38.5 %     27.9 %       41.6 %     28.1 %
                   
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

 


 

     
Quarterly Property Casualty Data — Personal Lines
                                                                                                                       
                            Three months ended                             Six months ended     Nine months ended     Twelve months ended
(Dollars in millions)   12/31/08   9/30/08   6/30/08   3/31/08   12/31/07   9/30/07   6/30/07   3/31/07     6/30/08   6/30/07     9/30/08   9/30/07     12/31/08   12/31/07
                   
Personal auto:
                                                                                                                     
Written premiums
  $ 73     $ 88     $ 89     $ 69     $ 75     $ 92     $ 93     $ 72       $ 158     $ 164       $ 246     $ 256       $ 320     $ 332  
Earned premiums
    80       81       82       83       83       85       86       88         164       174         245       259         325       342  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    81.0 %     63.7 %     56.8 %     67.6 %     65.3 %     67.7 %     67.6 %     66.5 %       62.2 %     67.1 %       62.7 %     67.3 %       67.2 %     66.8 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    (1.6 )     1.7       3.1       1.7       (0.3 )     0.7       (0.3 )     (2.3 )       2.4       (1.3 )       2.2       (0.6 )       1.2       (0.6 )
                   
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    82.6 %     62.0 %     53.7 %     65.9 %     65.6 %     67.0 %     67.9 %     68.8 %       59.8 %     68.4 %       60.5 %     67.9 %       66.0 %     67.4 %
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Homeowner:
                                                                                                                     
Written premiums
  $ 65     $ 72     $ 79     $ 60     $ 66     $ 77     $ 80     $ 61       $ 139     $ 141       $ 212     $ 218       $ 277     $ 284  
Earned premiums
    69       64       71       72       71       70       72       71         143       143         208       214         277       285  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    52.9 %     122.8 %     130.7 %     91.4 %     36.6 %     82.7 %     66.9 %     50.0 %       110.9 %     58.5 %       114.6 %     66.5 %       99.2 %     59.0 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    (8.5 )     54.5       60.0       25.2       (2.3 )     15.6       8.3       (7.5 )       42.5       0.4         46.2       5.4         32.5       3.5  
                   
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    61.4 %     68.3 %     70.7 %     66.2 %     38.9 %     67.1 %     58.6 %     57.5 %       68.4 %     58.1 %       68.4 %     61.1 %       66.7 %     55.5 %
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Other personal:
                                                                                                                     
Written premiums
  $ 21     $ 24     $ 23     $ 21     $ 21     $ 23     $ 24     $ 20       $ 44     $ 44       $ 67     $ 67       $ 88     $ 88  
Earned premiums
    22       22       21       22       22       22       22       22         44       43         65       65         87       87  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    51.8 %     91.5 %     43.2 %     62.2 %     24.1 %     57.9 %     62.8 %     43.4 %       52.9 %     53.1 %       65.8 %     54.7 %       62.2 %     47.0 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    0.4       14.5       8.0       4.1       0.6       3.7       3.5       (0.1 )       6.0       1.3         8.9       2.0         6.7       1.7  
                   
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    51.4 %     77.0 %     35.2 %     58.1 %     23.5 %     54.2 %     59.3 %     43.5 %       46.9 %     51.8 %       56.9 %     52.7 %       55.5 %     45.3 %
                   
     
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

 


 

     
     
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Detailed Loss Analysis
                                                                                                                       
    Three months ended     Six months ended     Nine months ended     Twelve months ended
(Dollars in millions)   12/31/08   9/30/08   6/30/08   3/31/08   12/31/07   9/30/07   6/30/07   3/31/07     6/30/08   6/30/07     9/30/08   9/30/07     12/31/08   12/31/07
                   
All Lines
                                                                                                                     
Loss and loss expenses:
                                                                                                                     
Loss and loss expenses — current AY
  $ 610     $ 564     $ 532     $ 467     $ 515     $ 558     $ 484     $ 472       $ 999     $ 956       $ 1,564     $ 1,514       $ 2,173     $ 2,029  
Loss and loss expenses — prior AY’s
    (121 )     (104 )     (87 )     (9 )     (118 )     (47 )     (40 )     (17 )       (96 )     (57 )       (200 )     (105 )       (320 )     (222 )
Catastrophes — current AY
    (17 )     62       113       47       (1 )     15       15       16         160       30         222       47         205       45  
Catastrophes — prior AY’s
    1       1             (4 )     (1 )     (2 )     (4 )     (13 )       (4 )     (17 )       (3 )     (19 )       (2 )     (20 )
                   
Total
  $ 473     $ 523     $ 558     $ 501     $ 395     $ 524     $ 455     $ 458       $ 1,059     $ 912       $ 1,583     $ 1,437       $ 2,056     $ 1,832  
                   
Ratio to Earned Premiums
                                                                                                                     
Loss and loss expenses :
                                                                                                                     
Loss and loss expenses — current AY
    81.9 %     75.1 %     69.9 %     62.2 %     66.3 %     71.9 %     61.6 %     60.2 %       66.0 %     60.9 %       69.0 %     64.5 %       72.2 %     64.9 %
Loss and loss expenses — prior AY’s
    (16.2 )     (13.8 )     (11.4 )     (1.3 )     (15.2 )     (6.2 )     (5.1 )     (2.3 )       (6.3 )     (3.6 )       (8.8 )     (4.5 )       (10.7 )     (7.1 )
Catastrophes — current AY
    (2.2 )     8.3       14.8       6.1       (0.1 )     2.0       1.9       2.1         10.6       1.9         9.8       2.0         6.8       1.4  
Catastrophes — prior AY’s
    0.1       0.1       0.1       (0.5 )     (0.1 )     (0.3 )     (0.5 )     (1.7 )       (0.3 )     (1.1 )       (0.1 )     (0.9 )             (0.6 )
                   
Total
    63.6 %     69.7 %     73.3 %     66.6 %     50.9 %     67.4 %     57.9 %     58.3 %       70.0 %     58.1 %       69.9 %     61.1 %       68.3 %     58.6 %
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
Commercial Lines
                                                                                                                     
Loss and loss expenses:
                                                                                                                     
Loss and loss expenses — current AY
  $ 464     $ 436     $ 416     $ 354     $ 412     $ 433     $ 370     $ 356       $ 770     $ 726       $ 1,207     $ 1,158       $ 1,671     $ 1,570  
Loss and loss expenses — prior AY’s
    (97 )     (88 )     (74 )     (11 )     (102 )     (38 )     (40 )     (12 )       (85 )     (52 )       (173 )     (90 )       (270 )     (192 )
Catastrophes — current AY
    (9 )     23       66       25             5       8       12         92       20         115       26         106       25  
Catastrophes — prior AY’s
                      (3 )           (4 )     (3 )     (2 )       (3 )     (5 )       (3 )     (9 )       (3 )     (9 )
                   
Total
  $ 358     $ 371     $ 408     $ 365     $ 310     $ 396     $ 335     $ 354       $ 774     $ 689       $ 1,146     $ 1,085       $ 1,504     $ 1,394  
                   
Ratio to Earned Premiums
                                                                                                                     
Loss and loss expenses:
                                                                                                                     
Loss and loss expenses — current AY
    81.0 %     74.9 %     71.1 %     61.6 %     68.5 %     72.2 %     61.0 %     59.0 %       66.4 %     60.0 %       69.2 %     63.9 %       72.1 %     65.2 %
Loss and loss expenses — prior AY’s
    (17.0 )     (15.0 )     (12.6 )     (1.9 )     (17.0 )     (6.4 )     (6.6 )     (2.1 )       (7.3 )     (4.2 )       (9.9 )     (4.9 )       (11.7 )     (8.0 )
Catastrophes — current AY
    (1.5 )     4.0       11.2       4.5             0.9       1.4       2.2         7.9       1.8         6.6       1.5         4.6       1.1  
Catastrophes — prior AY’s
                0.1       (0.6 )           (0.7 )     (0.5 )     (0.4 )       (0.3 )     (0.4 )       (0.2 )     (0.6 )       (0.1 )     (0.4 )
                   
Total
    62.5 %     63.8 %     69.7 %     63.6 %     51.4 %     66.0 %     55.3 %     58.7 %       66.7 %     57.2 %       65.7 %     59.9 %       64.9 %     57.9 %
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
                   
Personal Lines
                                                                                                                     
Loss and loss expenses:
                                                                                                                     
Loss and loss expenses — current AY
  $ 143     $ 127     $ 115     $ 113     $ 103     $ 125     $ 114     $ 116       $ 228     $ 230       $ 355     $ 356       $ 498     $ 459  
Loss and loss expenses — prior AY’s
    (23 )     (16 )     (13 )     2       (16 )     (9 )           (5 )       (11 )     (5 )       (27 )     (15 )       (51 )     (30 )
Catastrophes — current AY
    (8 )     39       47       22       (1 )     10       7       4         68       10         107       21         99       20  
Catastrophes — prior AY’s
    1       1             (1 )     (1 )     2       (1 )     (11 )       (1 )     (12 )             (10 )       1       (11 )
                   
Total
  $ 113     $ 151     $ 149     $ 136     $ 85     $ 128     $ 120     $ 104       $ 284     $ 223       $ 435     $ 352       $ 547     $ 438  
                   
Ratio to Earned Premiums
                                                                                                                     
Loss and loss expenses:
                                                                                                                     
Loss and loss expenses — current AY
    83.7 %     75.9 %     65.6 %     64.1 %     58.5 %     70.5 %     63.3 %     64.3 %       64.8 %     64.1 %       68.4 %     66.1 %       72.2 %     64.3 %
Loss and loss expenses — prior AY’s
    (13.7 )     (9.6 )     (7.2 )     1.0       (8.9 )     (5.1 )     (0.1 )     (2.9 )       (3.1 )     (1.5 )       (5.1 )     (2.8 )       (7.3 )     (4.3 )
Catastrophes — current AY
    (4.6 )     23.3       27.0       11.9       (0.7 )     5.9       3.8       2.0         19.6       2.9         20.7       3.9         14.4       2.8  
Catastrophes — prior AY’s
    0.5       0.5             (0.3 )     (0.3 )     1.1       (0.3 )     (6.1 )       (0.3 )     (3.5 )             (1.8 )       0.1       (1.5 )
                   
Total
    65.9 %     90.1 %     85.4 %     76.7 %     48.6 %     72.4 %     66.7 %     57.3 %       81.0 %     62.0 %       84.0 %     65.4 %       79.4 %     61.3 %
                   
     
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

 


 

     
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
10-Year Property Casualty Data — Consolidated
                                                                                 
    Years ended December 31,
(Dollars in millions)   2008   2007   2006   2005   2004   2003   2002   2001   2000   1999
 
Premiums
                                                                               
Adjusted written premiums — statutory*
  $ 3,040     $ 3,149     $ 3,172     $ 3,097     $ 3,026     $ 2,789     $ 2,496     $ 2,188     $ 1,936     $ 1,681  
Codification
                                              402       (55 )      
Written premium adjustment — statutory
    (30 )     (32 )     6       (21 )     (29 )     26       117                    
 
Reported written premiums — statutory**
    3,010       3,117       3,178       3,076       2,997       2,815       2,613       2,590       1,881       1,681  
Unearned premium change
          8       (14 )     (18 )     (78 )     (162 )     (222 )     (517 )     (53 )     (23 )
 
Earned premiums (GAAP)
  $ 3,010     $ 3,125     $ 3,164     $ 3,058     $ 2,919     $ 2,653     $ 2,391     $ 2,073     $ 1,828     $ 1,658  
 
 
                                                                               
Year-over-year growth rate:
                                                                               
Adjusted written premiums — statutory
    (3.5 )%     (0.7 )%     2.4 %     2.3 %     8.5 %     11.7 %     14.0 %     13.0 %     15.2 %   7.9 %
Written premiums — statutory
    (3.4 )%     (1.9 )%     3.3 %     2.6 %     6.5 %     7.7 %     0.9 %     37.7 %     11.9 %   7.9 %
Earned premiums
    (3.7 )%     (1.2 )%     3.5 %     4.8 %     10.0 %     11.0 %     15.3 %     13.4 %     10.3 %   7.5 %
 
 
                                                                               
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                               
Reported statutory combined ratio*
    100.4 %     90.3 %     93.9 %     89.0 %     89.4 %     94.2 %     98.4 %     99.5 %     112.5 %     100.4 %
Codification
                                              4.1       (0.9 )      
Written premium adjustment — statutory
  nm     nm     nm     nm     nm     nm       1.2                    
One-time item
                                  0.8                   (1.7 )      
 
Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)
    100.4 %     90.3 %     93.9 %     89.0 %     89.4 %     95.0 %     99.6 %     103.6 %     109.9 %     100.4 %
Less catastrophe losses
    6.8       0.8       5.5       4.1       5.1       3.6       3.6       3.1       2.7       2.5  
 
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses (adjusted)
    93.6 %     89.5 %     88.4 %     84.9 %     84.3 %     91.4 %     96.0 %     100.5 %     107.2 %     97.9 %
 
 
                                                                               
Reported commission expense ratio*
    18.4 %     19.2 %     18.7 %     19.3 %     19.2 %     17.6 %     15.9 %     13.9 %     17.4 %     17.4 %
Codification
                                              2.6       (0.5 )      
Written premium adjustment - statutory
  nm     nm     nm     nm     nm     nm       0.8                    
One-time item
                                                           
 
Commission expense ratio (adjusted)
    18.4 %     19.2 %     18.7 %     19.3 %     19.2 %     17.6 %     16.7 %     16.5 %     16.9 %     17.4 %
 
 
                                                                               
Reported other expense ratio*
    13.7 %     12.5 %     11.7 %     10.5 %     10.1 %     8.9 %     9.6 %     8.7 %     12.6 %     11.4 %
Codification
                                              1.5       (0.4 )      
Written premium adjustment — statutory
  nm     nm     nm     nm     nm     nm       0.4                    
One-time item
                                  0.8                   (1.7 )      
 
Other expense ratio (adjusted)
    13.7 %     12.5 %     11.7 %     10.5 %     10.1 %     9.7 %     10.0 %     10.2 %     10.5 %     11.4 %
 
 
                                                                               
Reported statutory expense ratio*
    32.1 %     31.7 %     30.4 %     29.8 %     29.3 %     26.5 %     25.5 %     22.6 %     30.0 %     28.8 %
Codification
                                              4.1       (0.9 )      
Written premium adjustment — statutory
  nm     nm     nm     nm     nm     nm       1.2                    
One-time item
                                  0.8                   (1.7 )      
 
Statutory expense ratio (adjusted)
    32.1 %     31.7 %     30.4 %     29.8 %     29.3 %     27.3 %     26.7 %     26.7 %     27.4 %     28.8 %
 
 
                                                                               
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    100.6 %     90.3 %     94.3 %     89.2 %     89.8 %     94.7 %     99.7 %     104.9 %     112.8 %     100.2 %
One-time item
                                  0.8                   (2.1 )      
 
GAAP combined ratio before one-time item
    100.6 %     90.3 %     94.3 %     89.2 %     89.8 %     95.5 %     99.7 %     104.9 %     110.7 %     100.2 %
 
 
                                                                               
Written premiums to surplus
                                                                               
Adjusted premiums to statutory surplus ratio
    0.905       0.731       0.668       0.739       0.721       1.002       1.067       0.864                  
Written premium adjustment
    (0.009 )     (0.007 )     0.001       (0.005 )     (0.007 )     0.010       0.050       0.159                  
 
Reported premiums to statutory surplus ratio
    0.896       0.724       0.669       0.734       0.714       1.012       1.117       1.023                  
 
     
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
 
*   nm — Not meaningful
 
*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
 
**   Prior to 2001, property casualty written premiums were recognized as they were billed throughout the policy period. Effective January 1, 2001, written premiums have been recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Written premiums for 2000 were reclassified to conform with the 2001 presentation; information was not readily available to reclassify earlier year statutory data. The growth rates in written premiums between 1999 and 2000 are overstated because 1999 premiums are shown on a billed basis.

 


 

     
     
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
6-Year Property Casualty Data — Commercial Lines
                                                 
    Years ended December 31,
(Dollars in millions)   2008   2007   2006   2005   2004   2003
 
Premiums
                                               
Adjusted written premiums — statutory*
  $ 2,341     $ 2,444     $ 2,435     $ 2,306     $ 2,209     $ 2,009  
Written premium adjustment — statutory
    (30 )     (31 )     7       (16 )     (23 )     22  
 
Reported written premiums — statutory
  $ 2,311     $ 2,413     $ 2,442     $ 2,290     $ 2,186     $ 2,031  
Unearned premium change
    5       (2 )     (40 )     (36 )     (60 )     (123 )
 
Earned premiums (GAAP)
  $ 2,316     $ 2,411     $ 2,402     $ 2,254     $ 2,126     $ 1,908  
 
 
                                               
Year-over-year growth rate:
                                               
Adjusted written premiums — statutory
    (4.2 )%     0.4 %     5.6 %     4.4 %     10.0 %     11.9 %
Written premiums — statutory
    (4.2 )%     (1.2 )%     6.7 %     4.7 %     7.6 %     6.6 %
Earned premiums
    (3.9 )%     0.4 %     6.6 %     6.0 %     11.4 %     10.8 %
 
 
Statutory combined ratio
                                               
Reported statutory combined ratio*
    96.6 %     89.2 %     90.8 %     87.1 %     83.7 %     90.9 %
One-time item
                                  0.7  
 
Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)
    96.6 %     89.2 %     90.8 %     87.1 %     83.7 %     91.6 %
Less catastrophe losses
    4.5       0.7       3.7       3.4       3.4       2.2  
 
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses (adjusted)
    92.1 %     88.5 %     87.1 %     83.7 %     80.3 %     89.4 %
 
 
                                               
GAAP combined ratio
                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    97.0 %     89.2 %     91.3 %     87.4 %     84.1 %     91.3 %
One-time item
                                  0.8  
 
GAAP combined ratio before one-time item
    97.0 %     89.2 %     91.3 %     87.4 %     84.1 %     92.1 %
 
     
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
 
*   nm — Not meaningful
 
*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 


 

     
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
6-Year Property Casualty Data — Personal Lines
                                                 
                    Years ended December 31,        
(Dollars in millions)   2008   2007   2006   2005   2004   2003
 
Premiums
                                               
Adjusted written premiums – statutory*
  $ 685     $ 705     $ 737     $ 791     $ 817     $ 780  
Written premium adjustment – statutory
          (1 )     (1 )     (5 )     (6 )     4  
 
Reported written premiums – statutory
  $ 685     $ 704     $ 736     $ 786     $ 811     $ 784  
Unearned premium change
    4       10       26       18       (18 )     (39 )
 
Earned premiums (GAAP)
  $ 689     $ 714     $ 762     $ 804     $ 793     $ 745  
 
 
                                               
Year-over-year growth rate:
                                               
Adjusted written premiums – statutory
    (2.8 )%     (4.3 )%     (6.8 )%     (3.2 )%     4.7 %     12.0 %
Written premiums – statutory
    (2.7 )%     (4.4 )%     (6.4 )%     (3.1 )%     3.4 %     10.8 %
Earned premiums
    (3.5 )%     (6.3 )%     (5.2 )%     1.4 %     6.4 %     11.2 %
 
 
Statutory combined ratio
                                               
Reported statutory combined ratio*
    111.6 %     94.1 %     103.6 %     94.3 %     104.6 %     102.9 %
One-time item
                                  1.0  
 
Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)
    111.6 %     94.1 %     103.6 %     94.3 %     104.6 %     103.9 %
Less catastrophe losses
    14.5       1.3       11.3       6.3       9.7       7.3  
 
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses (adjusted)
    97.1 %     92.8 %     92.3 %     88.0 %     94.9 %     96.6 %
 
 
GAAP combined ratio
                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    111.9 %     93.9 %     103.6 %     94.4 %     105.0 %     103.6 %
One-time item
                                  1.1  
 
GAAP combined ratio before one-time item
    111.9 %     93.9 %     103.6 %     94.4 %     105.0 %     104.7 %
 
     
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
 
*   nm — Not meaningful
 
*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 


 

     
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data — All Lines
                                                                                                                       
                            Three months ended                             Six months ended     Nine months ended     Twelve months ended
(Dollars in millions)   12/31/08   9/30/08   6/30/08   3/31/08   12/31/07   9/30/07   6/30/07   3/31/07     6/30/08   6/30/07     9/30/08   9/30/07     12/31/08   12/31/07
                   
Premiums  
                                                                                                                                                                           
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 669     $ 687     $ 739     $ 733     $ 705     $ 732     $ 761     $ 762       $ 1,471     $ 1,523       $ 2,159     $ 2,255       $ 2,828     $ 2,960  
Agency new business written premiums
    100       92       100       76       81       82       81       81         176       162         267       244         368       325  
Ceded written premiums
    (41 )     (49 )     (37 )     (38 )     (41 )     (41 )     (39 )     (38 )       (75 )     (77 )       (124 )     (118 )       (165 )     (159 )
Other written premiums
    2       4       1       2       4       6       5       6         3       11         7       17         9       22  
Written premium adjustment – statutory
    (13 )     (8 )     (12 )     3       (25 )     (43 )     2       35         (9 )     37         (17 )     (6 )       (30 )     (31 )
                   
Reported written premiums – statutory*
  $ 717     $ 727     $ 790     $ 776     $ 724     $ 736     $ 810     $ 846       $ 1,566     $ 1,656       $ 2,292     $ 2,392       $ 3,010     $ 3,117  
Unearned premium change
    30       24       (29 )     (25 )     53       41       (23 )     (61 )       (54 )     (85 )       (29 )     (44 )             8  
                   
Earned premiums
  $ 747     $ 751     $ 761     $ 751     $ 777     $ 777     $ 787     $ 785       $ 1,512     $ 1,571       $ 2,263     $ 2,348       $ 3,010     $ 3,125  
                   
Year over year change %
                                                                                                                     
Agency renewal written premiums
    (5.1 )%     (6.1 )%     (3.0 )%     (3.7 )%     (3.5 )%     1.6 %     3.3 %     1.9 %       (3.4 )%     2.6 %       (4.3 )%     2.3 %       (4.5) %     0.8 %
Agency new business written premiums
    23.6       12.1       22.8       (6.3 )     (8.3 )     (15.9 )     (13.3 )     4.8         8.3       (5.2 )       9.6       (9.1 )       13.1       (8.9 )
Ceded written premiums
    0.3       20.3       (4.6 )     (1.1 )     7.3       12.6       29.3       17.5         (2.9 )     23.2         5.1       19.4         3.8       16.0  
Other written premiums
    (50.6 )     (39.1 )     (74.6 )     (71.8 )     (9.5 )     31.6       61.3       60.6         (73.1 )     60.9         (61.6 )     49.6         (59.3 )     32.0  
Written premium adjustment – statutory
    (48.0 )     (81.6 )     (900.0 )     (91.5 )     (18.0 )     521.4       (85.7 )     7.3         (124.3 )     (15.1 )       161.5       (117.8 )       (4.8 )     (616.4 )
Reported written premiums – statutory*
    (1.0 )     (1.3 )     (2.5 )     (8.3 )     (4.1 )     (5.6 )     (0.5 )     2.1         (5.4 )     0.8         (4.2 )     (1.3 )       (3.4 )     (1.9 )
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
                   
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                                                                     
Statutory combined ratio
    100.2 %     102.8 %     101.5 %     97.2 %     87.9 %     98.7 %     87.7 %     87.7 %       99.4 %     87.7 %       100.5 %     91.3 %       100.4 %     90.3 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (2.1 )     8.4       14.9       5.7       (0.2 )     1.7       1.4       0.4         10.3       0.9         9.7       1.2         6.8       0.8  
                   
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    102.3 %     94.4 %     86.6 %     91.5 %     88.1 %     97.0 %     86.3 %     87.3 %       89.1 %     86.8 %       90.8 %     90.1 %       93.6 %     89.5 %
                   
Commission expense ratio
    20.8 %     17.7 %     17.4 %     17.7 %     23.1 %     18.1 %     18.1 %     18.0 %       17.5 %     18.0 %       17.6 %     18.0 %       18.4 %     19.2 %
Other expense ratio
    15.9       15.4       10.7       12.9       13.9       13.2       11.7       11.4         11.8       11.6         12.8       12.1         13.7       12.4  
                   
Statutory expense ratio
    36.7 %     33.1 %     28.1 %     30.6 %     37.0 %     31.3 %     29.8 %     29.4 %       29.3 %     29.6 %       30.4 %     30.1 %       32.1 %     31.6 %
                   
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                                                                     
GAAP combined ratio
    98.9 %     101.2 %     103.5 %     98.6 %     85.6 %     97.3 %     88.6 %     89.6 %       101.1 %     89.1 %       101.1 %     91.8 %       100.6 %     90.3 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (2.1 )     8.4       14.9       5.7       (0.2 )     1.7       1.4       0.4         10.3       0.9         9.7       1.2         6.8       0.8  
                   
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    101.0 %     92.8 %     88.6 %     92.9 %     85.8 %     95.6 %     87.2 %     89.2 %       90.8 %     88.2 %       91.4 %     90.6 %       93.8 %     89.5 %
                   
     
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
 
*   nm — Not meaningful
 
*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 


 

Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data — Commercial Lines
                                                                                                                       
    Three months ended     Six months ended     Nine months ended     Twelve months ended
(Dollars in millions)   12/31/08   9/30/08   6/30/08   3/31/08   12/31/07   9/30/07   6/30/07   3/31/07     6/30/08   6/30/07     9/30/08   9/30/07     12/31/08   12/31/07
                   
Premiums
                                                                                                                     
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 514     $ 502     $ 552     $ 588     $ 546     $ 544     $ 569     $ 612       $ 1,140     $ 1,181       $ 1,642     $ 1,725       $ 2,156     $ 2,271  
Agency new business written premiums
    83       77       87       66       71       72       71       72         153       143         229       216         312       287  
Ceded written premiums
    (23 )     (46 )     (31 )     (32 )     (34 )     (32 )     (32 )     (31 )       (63 )     (62 )       (109 )     (94 )       (131 )     (128 )
Other written premiums
    (9 )     13       1             3       4       3       4         1       7         14       11         4       14  
Written premium adjustment — statutory
    (13 )     (8 )     (12 )     3       (24 )     (44 )     2       36         (9 )     37         (17 )     (7 )       (30 )     (31 )
                   
Reported written premiums — statutory*
  $ 552     $ 538     $ 597     $ 625     $ 562     $ 544     $ 613     $ 693       $ 1,222     $ 1,306       $ 1,759     $ 1,851       $ 2,311     $ 2,413  
Unearned premium change
    21       44       (11 )     (51 )     39       56       (7 )     (89 )       (61 )     (96 )       (16 )     (41 )       5       (2 )
                   
Earned premiums
  $ 573     $ 582     $ 586     $ 574     $ 601     $ 600     $ 606     $ 604       $ 1,161     $ 1,210       $ 1,743     $ 1,810       $ 2,316     $ 2,411  
                   
Year over year change %
                                                                                                                     
Agency renewal written premiums
    (5.9 )%     (7.7 )%     (2.9 )%     (4.0 )%     (3.4 )%     3.5 %     7.4 %     3.9 %       (3.5 )%     5.6 %       (4.8 )%     4.9 %       (5.1 )%     2.8 %
Agency new business written premiums
    16.4       6.0       21.2       (8.3 )     (10.5 )     (18.3 )     (16.9 )     2.7         6.4       (8.1 )       6.3       (11.8 )       8.8       (11.5 )
Ceded written premiums
    (33.0 )     43.6       (1.6 )     2.8       11.6       9.5       24.1       10.9         0.6       17.3         15.1       14.5         2.4       13.7  
Other written premiums
    (391.7 )     250.5       (73.4 )     (99.4 )     (27.0 )     (3.6 )     12.3       37.2         (89.2 )     26.2         25.0       14.3         (66.5 )     1.7  
Written premium adjustment — statutory
    (45.8 )     (81.6 )     (900.0 )     (91.5 )     (18.1 )     530.2       (84.7 )     5.8         (124.3 )     (14.7 )       161.7       (117.8 )       (1.6 )     (526.2 )
Reported written premiums — statutory*
    (1.9 )     (1.2 )     (2.7 )     (9.8 )     (4.6 )     (6.4 )     1.7       3.8         (6.5 )     2.8         (4.9 )     (0.1 )       (4.2 )     (1.2 )
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
                   
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                                                                     
Statutory combined ratio
    99.0 %     97.3 %     97.5 %     93.3 %     89.7 %     97.2 %     84.4 %     86.5 %       95.5 %     85.4 %       95.9 %     89.2 %       96.6 %     89.2 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (1.5 )     4.0       11.3       3.9             0.1       0.8       1.8         7.7       1.3         6.4       0.9         4.5       0.7  
                   
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    100.5 %     93.3 %     86.2 %     89.4 %     89.7 %     97.1 %     83.6 %     84.7 %       87.8 %     84.1 %       89.5 %     88.3 %       92.1 %     88.5 %
                   
Commission expense ratio
    20.8 %     18.1 %     16.9 %     16.5 %     23.1 %     18.2 %     17.7 %     16.7 %       16.7 %     17.2 %       17.1 %     17.5 %       18.0 %     18.8 %
Other expense ratio
    15.7       15.4       10.9       13.2       15.1       13.1       11.4       11.2         12.1       11.3         13.1       11.8         13.7       12.6  
                   
Statutory expense ratio
    36.5 %     33.5 %     27.8 %     29.7 %     38.2 %     31.3 %     29.1 %     27.9 %       28.8 %     28.5 %       30.2 %     29.3 %       31.7 %     31.4 %
                   
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                                                                     
GAAP combined ratio
    98.1 %     94.9 %     99.9 %     95.0 %     87.3 %     95.4 %     85.2 %     88.9 %       97.4 %     87.0 %       96.6 %     89.8 %       97.0 %     89.2 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (1.5 )     4.0       11.3       3.9             0.1       0.8       1.8         7.7       1.3         6.4       0.9         4.5       0.7  
                   
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    99.6 %     90.9 %     88.6 %     91.1 %     87.3 %     95.3 %     84.4 %     87.1 %       89.7 %     85.7 %       90.2 %     88.9 %       92.5 %     88.5 %
                   
     
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
 
*   nm — Not meaningful
 
*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 


 

     
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data — Personal Lines
                                                                                                                       
    Three months ended     Six months ended     Nine months ended     Twelve months ended
(Dollars in millions)   12/31/08   9/30/08   6/30/08   3/31/08   12/31/07   9/30/07   6/30/07   3/31/07     6/30/08   6/30/07     9/30/08   9/30/07     12/31/08   12/31/07
                   
Premiums
                                                                                                                     
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 156     $ 185     $ 186     $ 146     $ 159     $ 188     $ 192     $ 150       $ 332     $ 343       $ 517     $ 531       $ 672     $ 690  
Agency new business written premiums
    11       11       10       8       10       10       10       9         19       18         30       28         42       38  
Ceded written premiums
    (8 )     (13 )     (6 )     (6 )     (7 )     (8 )     (7 )     (8 )       (12 )     (15 )       (26 )     (23 )       (33 )     (30 )
Other written premiums
          1       1       2       1       2       2       2         2       4         4       6         4       7  
Written premium adjustment — statutory
                            (1 )                                                           (1 )
                   
Reported written premiums — statutory*
  $ 159     $ 184     $ 191     $ 150     $ 162     $ 192     $ 197     $ 153       $ 341     $ 350       $ 525     $ 542       $ 685     $ 704  
Unearned premium change
    12       (17 )     (17 )     27       14       (15 )     (17 )     28         10       11         (7 )     (4 )       4       10  
                   
Earned premiums
  $ 171     $ 167     $ 174     $ 177     $ 176     $ 177     $ 180     $ 181       $ 351     $ 361       $ 518     $ 538       $ 689     $ 714  
                   
Year over year change %
                                                                                                                     
Agency renewal written premiums
    (2.3 )%     (1.6 )%     (3.3 )%     (2.8 )%     (3.9 )%     (3.4 )%     (7.1 )%     (5.6 )%       (3.1 )%     (6.5 )%       (2.5 )%     (5.4 )%       (2.5 )%     (5.1 )%
Agency new business written premiums
    17.9       11.8       7.7       (0.5 )     12.1       7.0       26.5       25.4         3.9       26.0         6.7       18.6         9.5       16.9  
Ceded written premiums
    7.0       61.4       (17.3 )     (17.2 )     (9.1 )     26.5       56.4       56.4         (17.3 )     56.4         11.0       44.1         10.1       26.6  
Other written premiums
    (64.9 )     (37.3 )     (76.2 )     (0.4 )     117.4       276.1       265.9       187.1         (43.3 )     227.0         (41.3 )     242.4         (45.4 )     211.2  
Written premium adjustment — statutory
    (100.0 )     (100.0 )           (100.0 )     (17.0 )     (92.9 )     (100.0 )     (100.9 )       (100.0 )     (98.4 )       (100.0 )     (102.0 )       (100.0 )     (5.1 )
Reported written premiums — statutory*
    (1.4 )     (4.0 )     (3.0 )     (2.0 )     (2.3 )     (3.1 )     (6.8 )     (5.1 )       (2.6 )     (6.1 )       (3.1 )     (5.1 )       (2.7 )     (4.4 )
                   
 
                                                                                                                     
                   
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                                                                     
Statutory combined ratio
    102.1 %     120.6 %     114.3 %     110.8 %     81.4 %     103.6 %     98.6 %     93.5 %       112.2 %     95.8 %       114.9 %     98.3 %       111.6 %     94.1 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (4.1 )     23.8       27.0       11.6       (1.0 )     7.0       3.5       (4.1 )       19.3       (0.3 )       20.7       2.1         14.5       1.3  
                   
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    106.2 %     96.8 %     87.3 %     99.2 %     82.4 %     96.6 %     95.1 %     97.6 %       92.9 %     96.1 %       94.2 %     96.2 %       97.1 %     92.8 %
                   
Commission expense ratio
    21.2 %     16.4 %     18.6 %     22.3 %     22.8 %     17.6 %     19.3 %     23.8 %       20.2 %     21.2 %       18.9 %     20.6 %       19.5 %     19.9 %
Other expense ratio
    15.0       14.0       10.3       11.8       10.0       13.5       12.6       12.4         11.0       12.6         12.0       12.2         12.7       12.9  
                   
Statutory expense ratio
    36.2 %     30.4 %     28.9 %     34.1 %     32.8 %     31.1 %     31.9 %     36.2 %       31.2 %     33.8 %       30.9 %     32.8 %       32.2 %     32.8 %
                   
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                                                                     
GAAP combined ratio
    100.0 %     122.5 %     115.3 %     110.1 %     79.7 %     103.8 %     99.9 %     92.0 %       112.7 %     96.0 %       115.9 %     98.6 %       111.9 %     93.9 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (4.1 )     23.8       27.0       11.6       (1.0 )     7.0       3.5       (4.1 )       19.3       (0.3 )       20.7       2.1         14.5       1.3  
                   
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    104.1 %     98.7 %     88.3 %     98.5 %     80.7 %     96.8 %     96.4 %     96.1 %       93.4 %     96.3 %       95.2 %     96.5 %       97.4 %     92.6 %
                   
     
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
 
*   nm — Not meaningful
 
*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 


 

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
GAAP Statements of Income
                                                                 
    For the Three Months Ended December 31,   For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,
(Dollars in millions)   2008   2007   Change   % Change   2008   2007   Change   % Change
Revenues:
                                                               
Premiums earned:
                                                               
Life
  $ 48     $ 47     $ 1       2.6     $ 173     $ 171     $ 2       1.2  
Accident health
    2       2             (1.8 )     7       7             3.7  
Premiums ceded
    (16 )     (23 )     7       (28.6 )     (54 )     (53 )     (1 )     2.3  
Total premiums earned
    33       25       8       30.6       126       125       1       0.8  
Investment income
    31       30       1       4.9       120       115       5       4.5  
Realized investment gains and losses
    (23 )     (12 )     (11 )     97.8       (90 )     40       (130 )     (323.4 )
Other income
    1       1             (35.8 )     2       4       (2 )     (56.0 )
Total revenues
  $ 42     $ 45     $ (2 )     (5.4 )   $ 158     $ 284     $ (126 )     (44.5 )
 
                                                               
Benefits & expenses:
                                                               
Losses & policy benefits
  $ 27     $ 46     $ (19 )     (41.9 )   $ 175     $ 174     $ 1       0.7  
Reinsurance recoveries
          (11 )     11       103.2       (33 )     (40 )     7       (17.3 )
Commissions
    6       (1 )     7       (605.8 )     25       25             (0.9 )
Other operating expenses
    11       11             (2.9 )     34       35       (1 )     (2.6 )
Interest expense
                                               
Taxes, licenses & fees
    1       1             21.1       4       4       1       14.5  
Incr deferred acq expense
    (5 )     (3 )     (3 )     (97.1 )     (18 )     (12 )     (6 )     52.2  
Incr deferred acq expense
                                               
Total expenses
  $ 39     $ 43     $ (4 )     (8.6 )   $ 187     $ 185     $ 2       0.8  
 
                                                               
Income before income taxes
  $ 3     $ 1     $ 1       89.8     $ (29 )   $ 99     $ (128 )     (129.4 )
 
                                                               
Provision for income taxes:
                                                               
Current
  $ 14     $ 3     $ 11       354.1     $ 34     $ 8     $ 27       348.6  
Current capital gains/losses
    (8 )     (4 )     (4 )     98.4       (31 )     14       (46 )     (321.0 )
Deferred
    (5 )     1       (6 )     (578.7 )     (13 )     12       (25 )     (210.6 )
Total income taxes
  $ 1     $     $ 1       354.8     $ (11 )   $ 34     $ (44 )     (131.1 )
 
                                                               
Net income
  $ 2     $ 1     $ 1       49.5     $ (19 )   $ 65     $ (84 )     (128.5 )
* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 


 

     
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
Statutory Statements of Income
                                                                 
    For the Three Months Ended December 31,   For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,
(Dollars in millions)   2008   2007   Change   % Change   2008   2007   Change   % Change
Net premiums written
  $ 48     $ 38     $ 10       26.0     $ 177     $ 158     $ 19       12.0  
Net investment income
    31       30       1       4.9       120       114       5       4.5  
Amortization of interest maintenance reserve
                (59.9 )     (2 )     (1 )     (1 )     (73.7 )
Commissions and expense allowances on reinsurance ceded
    2       3           (4.3 )     8       9       (1 )     (10.4 )
Income from fees associated with Separate Accounts
    1       1           (35.8 )     2       4       (2 )     (56.0 )
Total revenues
  $ 82     $ 71     $ 11       15.1     $ 305     $ 285     $ 20       7.0  
 
                                                               
Death benefits and matured endowments
  $ 12     $ 8     $ 4       47.0     $ 46     $ 35     $ 11       29.9  
Annuity benefits
    12       8       4       56.3       34       37       (3 )     (7.7 )
Disability benefits and benefits under accident and health contracts
    1                   47.7       3       2       1       24.9  
Surrender benefits and group conversions
    6       6             2.9       24       23             0.8  
Interest and adjustments on deposit-type contract funds
    3       3             0.8       11       10       2       18.8  
Increase in aggregate reserves for life and accident and health contracts
    25       24       1       4.1       102       96       6       6.4  
Payments on supplementary contracts with life contingencies
                    (4.2 )                     (4.4 )
Total benefit expenses
  $ 59     $ 49     $ 10       19.5     $ 220     $ 203     $ 16       8.1  
 
                                                               
Commissions
  $ 9     $ 8     $ 1       7.9     $ 33     $ 34     $ (1 )     (3.3 )
General insurance expenses and taxes
    10       10             3.7       39       39           (0.1 )
Increase in loading on deferred and uncollected premiums
    (1 )     (1 )         (21.5 )     (3 )     (6 )     3       45.3  
Net transfers to or (from) Separate Accounts
                                             
Other deductions
                                              0.9  
Total operating expenses
  $ 18     $ 17     $ 1       5.1     $ 69     $ 67     $ 2       2.6  
 
                                                               
Federal and Foreign Income Taxes Incurred
    14       3       11       359.4       34       7       26       351.7  
 
                                                               
Net gain from operations before realized capital gains or (losses)
  $ (9 )   $ 1     $ (11 )     (841.5 )   $ (18 )   $ 7     $ (24 )     (355.1 )
 
                                                               
Net realized gains or (losses) net of capital gains tax
    (13 )     (5 )     (8 )     (161.4 )     (53 )     32       (85 )     (262.2 )
 
                                                               
Net Income (Statutory)
  $ (22 )   $ (4 )   $ (18 )     (502.1 )   $ (70 )   $ 39     $ (109 )     (278.4 )
     
*   Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
 
*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 


 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Supplemental Financial Data
December 31, 2008
Fourth Quarter
6200 South Gilmore Road
Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141
www.cinfin.com
         
Investor Contact:
  Media Contact:   Shareholder Contact:
Heather J. Wietzel   Joan O. Shevchik   Jerry L. Litton
(513) 870-2768   (513) 603-5323   (513) 870-2639
                                 
                            Standard &
    A.M. Best   Fitch   Moody’s   Poor’s
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
                               
Corporate Debt
    a       A -     A 3   BBB +
 
                               
The Cincinnati Insurance Companies
                               
Insurer Financial Strength
                               
 
                               
Property Casualty Group
                               
Standard Market Subsidiaries:
    A +           A 1     A +
The Cincinnati Insurance Company
    A +   AA -     A 1     A +
The Cincinnati Indemnity Company
    A +   AA -     A 1     A +
The Cincinnati Casualty Company
    A +   AA -     A 1     A +
Excess and Surplus Lines Subsidiary:
                               
The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company
    A                    
 
                               
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
    A     AA -           A +
Ratings are as of February 5, 2009, under continuous review and subject to change and/or affirmation. For the current ratings, select Financial Strength Ratings on www.cinfin.com.
The consolidated financial statements and financial exhibits that follow are unaudited. These consolidated financial statements and exhibits should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes included our periodic filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The results of operations for interim periods may not be indicative of results to be expected for the full year.

 


 

Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.
Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas — property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures may improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.
  Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.
 
    For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
  Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
  Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.
  Written premium adjustment — statutory basis only: In 2002, the company refined its estimation process for matching property casualty written premiums to policy effective dates, which added $117 million to 2002 written premiums. To better assess ongoing business trends, management may exclude this adjustment when analyzing trends in written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

 

EX-99.3 4 l35357aexv99w3.htm EX-99.3 EX-99.3
Exhibit 99.3
     
(CINCINNATI LOGO)
  CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION

Investor Contact:
Heather J. Wietzel
513-870-2768
CINF-IR@cinfin.com

Media Contact: Joan O. Shevchik
513-603-5323
Media_Inquiries@cinfin.com
Cincinnati Financial Corporation Board Declares 39¢ Quarterly Cash Dividend
     Board expresses confidence in capital position and business plan, highlighting
exceptional liquidity reflected in cash balance slightly above $1 billion

     Full-year 2008 financial results to be announced February 5
Cincinnati, February 2, 2009 — Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today announced that the board of directors voted at its regular meeting on January 30, 2009, to pay a first-quarter cash dividend of 39 cents per share, unchanged from the prior four quarters. The dividend is payable April 15, 2009, to shareholders of record on March 20, 2009. At this level, the indicated annual dividend is $1.56 per share. The company had 162,411,529 shares outstanding at December 31, 2008.
Chairman John J. Schiff, Jr., CPCU, commented, “A long-term perspective governs all of our major decisions — with the goal of benefiting our policyholders, agents, shareholders and associates over time. The ongoing instability of the financial markets highlights the value of operating in an open and consistent way, building a cushion of financial strength over a period of years. In responding to current economic pressures, we are confident in the steps we have taken to protect our capital.
“In view of current economic and market conditions, the board chose to continue for later discussion the potential for an increase in the 2009 dividend payout level,” Schiff said, “The board is cognizant that Cincinnati Financial stands among the top tier of U.S. dividend-paying companies, with a long, uninterrupted history of annual dividend increases that we believe only 11 other companies can claim. While there is merit to sustaining that record, the first priority of the board and management is to assure continued financial strength as the company enters 2009 so that we can reward shareholders over the long term.”
President and Chief Executive Officer Kenneth W. Stecher, added, “Our consistent cash flows and prudent cash balances continue to create exceptional liquidity. At January 31, we had slightly more than $1 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand. That gives us the flexibility to help build value for shareholders by investing where we see potential for both current income and long-term return. Our low debt leverage also enhances flexibility. Our $795 million of long-term debt isn’t due until 2028 and 2032 and we have only $49 million in short-term borrowings on a $75 million line of credit. In addition, we have a second, untapped line of credit with availability of $150 million.
“At year-end 2008, we estimate book value was approximately $25.75. Our year-end consolidated cash and invested assets totaled $9.9 billion, including $2.7 billion of common stock holdings, compared with $10.5 billion, including $3.9 billion of common stock holdings, at September 30, 2008, and $12.5 billion, including $6.0 billion of common stock holdings, at year-end 2007.
“Further, our insurance appetite remains strong. All of our insurance subsidiaries continue to be highly rated, operating with a level of capital far exceeding regulatory requirements. We ended 2008 with a healthy property casualty premium-to-surplus ratio of 0.9 to 1, allowing us the flexibility to reduce risk by expanding our operations into new geographies and product areas. Plus, we hold more than $1 billion of our assets at the parent company level, increasing our flexibility through all periods to continue to invest in and expand our insurance operations while maintaining our cash dividend.”
Stecher said, “Preserving this high level of capital and liquidity remains a key objective. In mid-summer, we began applying new investment guidelines that increased portfolio diversification, reducing single issue and sector concentrations. Our year-end 2008 portfolio, fully detailed today in our regular online portfolio listing, shows how we have positioned the portfolio for reduced volatility going forward. As a result, despite economic and market disruptions that led to unprecedented market value declines, our equity portfolio suffered less than the broader indices

 


 

during the fourth quarter and full year of 2008. It continues to hold up well in the challenging environment we have experienced since the beginning of 2009.
“At year-end, our financial sector holdings were 12.4 percent of our $2.7 billion publicly traded common stock portfolio, below the Standard & Poor’s 500 weighting, and significantly lower than our 56.2 percent financial sector weighting at year-end 2007. Among other changes, we reduced our Fifth Third Bancorp holding to approximately 12 million shares at year-end 2008. Following Fifth Third’s further reduction of its dividend payout in December 2008, we sold the remainder of our holding in January for an additional capital gain.”
Stecher noted, “In addition to equities, our portfolio includes highly rated taxable and tax-exempt fixed maturity and short-term investments valued at $5.8 billion at year-end 2008, virtually unchanged from year-end 2007. This bond portfolio’s value continues to exceed our insurance liabilities. It contains less than 1 percent, or approximately $43 million book value, of collateralized mortgage obligations we obtained in the termination of a securities lending program. We own no other mortgage-related securities nor any other derivative products.”
Stecher concluded, “As the disruptions of the financial market have pressured short-term results for our company and others, we have continued to look to the long term. On Thursday, we will provide a thorough look at our financial results for 2008. We also will share our perspective on Cincinnati’s long-term potential to create value for shareholders by continuing to act on strategic initiatives that further our mission: to grow profitability and enhance the ability of local independent agents to deliver quality financial protection to the people and businesses they serve.”
Cincinnati Financial plans to report fourth-quarter and year-end 2008 results on Thursday, February 5. A conference call to discuss the results will be held at 11:00 a.m. EST on that day. Details regarding the Internet broadcast of the conference call are available on www.cinfin.com/investors. The company today posted a listing of its fixed-maturity and equity portfolio as of year-end 2008 on its Web site at www.cinfin.com/investors.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers property and casualty insurance, our main business, through our three standard market companies, The Cincinnati Insurance Company, The Cincinnati Indemnity Company and The Cincinnati Casualty Company. The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company markets life and disability insurance and annuities. The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company provides excess and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. CSU Producer Resources Inc., our excess and surplus lines brokerage, serves the same local independent agencies that offer our standard market policies. CFC Investment Company offers commercial leasing and financing services. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.
     
Mailing Address:
  Street Address:
P.O. Box 145496
  6200 South Gilmore Road
Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496
  Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141
Safe Harbor Statement
This is our “Safe Harbor” statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 21, with updates to certain risk factors described in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2008. Although we often review and update our forward-looking statements when events warrant, we caution our readers that we undertake no obligation to do so.
Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:
  Further decline in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company’s equity portfolio and book value
 
  Events, such as the credit crisis, followed by prolonged periods of economic instability, that lead to:
  o   Significant or prolonged decline in the value of a particular security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
 
  o   Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of securities
 
  o   Significant rise in losses from surety and director and officer policies written for financial institutions
  Recession or other economic conditions or regulatory, accounting or tax changes resulting in lower demand for insurance products
 
  Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company’s ability to generate growth in investment income or interest rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments
 
  Changing consumer buying habits and consolidation of independent insurance agencies that could alter our competitive advantages

 


 

  Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes
 
  Increased frequency and/or severity of claims
 
  Delays or inadequacies in the development, implementation, performance and benefits of technology projects and enhancements
 
  Ability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for non-payment or delay in payment by reinsurers
 
  Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company’s premium growth rate
 
  Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company’s relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company’s opportunities for growth, such as:
  o   Multi-notch downgrades of the company’s financial strength ratings
 
  o   Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult or
 
  o   Perceptions that the company’s level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace
  Underwriting and pricing methods adopted by competitors that could allow them to identify and flexibly price risks, which could decrease our competitive advantages
 
  Personal lines pricing and loss trends that lead management to conclude that this segment could not attain sustainable profitability, which could prevent the capitalization of policy acquisition costs
 
  Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies that:
  o   Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business
 
  o   Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations
 
  o   Increase our expenses
 
  o   Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes
 
  o   Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
 
  o   Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
 
  o   Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents
  Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
 
  Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company’s future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
 
  Inaccurate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting estimates
 
  Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
 
  Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location
Further, the company’s insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as recent measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.
Financial strength ratings are effective as of the date of this release, are under continuous review and are subject to change and/or affirmation. For the latest ratings, access Financial Strength Ratings at www.cinfin.com.
* * *

 

EX-99.4 5 l35357aexv99w4.htm EX-99.4 EX-99.4
Exhibit 99.4
     
(CINCINNATI LOGO)   CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION

Investor Contact:
Heather J. Wietzel
513-870-2768
CINF-IR@cinfin.com

Media Contact: Joan O. Shevchik
513-603-5323
Media_Inquiries@cinfin.com
Cincinnati Financial Corporation Subsidiaries Announce Appointments and Promotions
Subsidiary Directors, Officers and Counsel
Cincinnati, February 2, 2009 — Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq:CINF) announced today that boards of its subsidiary companies appointed directors, officers and counsel at their regular meetings on January 30, 2009.
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Steven J. Johnston, FCAS, MAAA, CFA, was named to the boards of all subsidiaries. Senior Vice Presidents Martin F. Hollenbeck, CFA, CPCU, and Martin J. Mullen, CPCU, were named to the boards of all insurance subsidiaries, and Hollenbeck was additionally named to the board of CFC Investment Company. Senior Vice Presidents Donald J. Doyle, Jr., CPCU, AIM, and Charles P. Stoneburner II, CPCU, AIM, were named to the boards of all property casualty insurance subsidiaries.
The board also acted on other business, affirming the corporate governance guidelines, the code of ethics for senior financial officers, the code of conduct for all company associates and board committee charters, which are reviewed annually by the respective committees as stipulated in the governance guidelines.
Boards of subsidiary companies made the following promotions and new or additional appointments of officers and counsel:
Property Casualty Insurance — Standard Market:
The Cincinnati Insurance Company
The Cincinnati Casualty Company
The Cincinnati Indemnity Company
Senior Vice President:
Martin F. Hollenbeck, CFA, CPCU — Investments
Vice Presidents:
William J. Geier, CPCU, CLU, ChFC, FLMI, AIM, HIAA — Information Technology
Douglas W. Stang, FCAS, MAAA — Staff Underwriting
Brian K. Wood, CPCU, AIM — Personnel
Assistant Vice Presidents:
William M. Clevidence, CIC — Sales & Marketing
Michael K. Dockery — Information Security
Rodney M. French, CPCU, AIM, ARe — Commercial Lines
Sharon K. Larrick — Staff Underwriting
Stephen M. Spray — Excess & Surplus Lines
Gerald L. Varney — Purchasing/Fleet
Secretaries:
Robert E. Bernard, CPCU, AIM — Personal Lines
Glenn W. Koch, CPCU, AIM — Commercial Lines
Philip D. Motz — Information Technology
James D. Ogle, CPCU, AIC — Headquarters Claims
Stephen G. Stockwell, CPCU, AMIM — Commercial Lines
Sean P. Sweeney, CPCU, PMP — Information Technology
Daniel R. Walsh — Headquarters Claims

 


 

Assistant Secretaries:
Brian K. Baker, CPCU, AIM, AIC — Field Claims
William L. Gregory, SCLA — Headquarters Claims
Molly A. Grimm — Shareholder Services
George A. Grossenbaugh, SCLA — Special Investigation Unit
Ronald C. Klimkowski, CIC, AIC — Sales & Marketing
Kenneth P. Mikkelson, CPCU, ALCM — Loss Control
C. Kathleen Saurber, CPCU — Staff Underwriting
Associate Counsel:
J. Richard Brown
Louis M. DeMarco
Property Casualty Insurance — Excess & Surplus Lines:
The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company:
Martin F. Hollenbeck*
Stephen M. Spray*
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company:
Martin F. Hollenbeck*
William J. Geier*
Brian K. Wood*
Roger A. Brown, FSA, MAAA, Assistant Vice President — Actuarial
Michael K. Dockery*
Gerald L. Varney*
Philip D. Motz*
Sean P. Sweeney*
Mona J. Day, Assistant Secretary — Life Field Services
J. Richard Brown*
Louis M. DeMarco*
Financial Services:
CSU Producer Resources Inc.
Stephen M. Spray*
 
*   Title as listed above

Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers property and casualty insurance, our main business, through our three standard market companies, The Cincinnati Insurance Company, The Cincinnati Indemnity Company and The Cincinnati Casualty Company. The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company markets life and disability insurance and annuities. The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company provides excess and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. CSU Producer Resources Inc., our excess and surplus lines brokerage, serves the same local independent agencies that offer our standard market policies. CFC Investment Company offers commercial leasing and financing services. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.
         
 
  Mailing Address:   Street Address:
 
  P.O. Box 145496   6200 South Gilmore Road
 
  Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496   Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141
***

 

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