EX-99 3 ex992.htm EXHIBIT 99.2 .


Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Supplemental Financial Data

June 30, 2007

Second Quarter

   
   
 

6200 South Gilmore Road

 
 

Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141

 
 

www.cinfin.com/investors

 
   
   

Investor Contact:

Media Contact:

Shareholder Contact:

Heather J. Wietzel

Joan O. Shevchik

Jerry L. Litton

513-870-2768

513-603-5323

513-870-2639

   
   

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

  
 

A.M. Best

Fitch

Moody’s

Standard & Poor’s

     

Corporate Debt

aa-

A+

A2

A

     

The Cincinnati Insurance Companies

    
     
 

A.M. Best

Fitch

Moody’s

Standard & Poor’s

     

Property Casualty Group

A++

na

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Insurance Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Indemnity Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Casualty Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

     

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

A+

AA

na

AA-

     
     
 

Ratings are as of August 7, 2007, under continuing review and subject to change and/or affirmation.  For the latest ratings, select the Ratings tab on www.cinfin.com/investors.

 
  
 

The consolidated financial statements and financial exhibits that follow are unaudited. These consolidated financial statements and exhibits should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes included in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2006. The results of operations for interim periods should not be considered indicative of results to be expected for the full year. Certain 2006 interim period data has been updated to correct rounding differences.

 







 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

 
 

Supplemental Financial Data

 
 

Second Quarter 2007

 
  

Page

Status

 

Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

3

8/7/2007

    

Consolidated

  
 

Quick Reference

4

8/7/2007

 

Consolidated Statements of Income

5

8/7/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Six Months Ended June 30, 2007

6

8/7/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Six Months Ended June 30, 2006

7

8/7/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Three Months Ended June 30, 2007

8

8/7/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Three Months Ended June 30, 2006

9

8/7/2007

 

Consolidated Balance Sheets

10

8/7/2007

 

10-Year Net Income Reconciliation

11

8/7/2007

 

Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

12

8/7/2007

 

Top Holdings – Common Stocks

13

8/7/2007

 

CFC Subsidiaries – Selected Quarterly Balance Sheet Data

14

8/7/2007

    

Property Casualty Insurance Operations

  
 

GAAP Statements of Income

15

8/7/2007

 

Statutory Statements of Income

16

8/7/2007

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Consolidated

17

8/7/2007

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Commercial Lines

18

8/7/2007

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Personal Lines

19

8/7/2007

 

Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business and State

20

8/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines of Business

21

8/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines of Business

22

8/7/2007

 

Quarterly Detailed Loss Analysis

23

8/7/2007

    

Reconciliation Data

  
 

10-Year Property Casualty Data – Consolidated

24

8/7/2007

 

6-Year Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines

25

8/7/2007

 

6-Year Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines

26

8/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Consolidated

27

8/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines

28

8/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines

29

8/7/2007

    

Life Insurance Operations

  
 

GAAP Statements of Income

30

8/7/2007

 

Statutory Statements of Income

31

8/7/2007

 

Expenses as a Percentage of Premium

32

8/7/2007




Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures


Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.

Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments – when analyzing both GAAP and certain non-GAAP measures may improve understanding of trends in the underlying business, helping avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.

·

Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities and embedded derivatives without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.

For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.

·

Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.

·

Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.

·

Written premium adjustment – statutory basis only: In 2002, the company refined its estimation process for matching property casualty written premiums to policy effective dates, which added $117 million to 2002 written premiums. To better assess ongoing business trends, management may exclude this adjustment when analyzing trends in written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

·

Codification: Adoption of Codification of Statutory Accounting Principles was required for Ohio-based insurance companies effective January 1, 2001. The adoption of Codification changed the manner in which the company recognized statutory property casualty written premiums. As a result, 2001 statutory written premiums included $402 million to account for unbooked premiums related to policies with effective dates prior to January 1, 2001. To better assess ongoing business trends, management excludes this $402 million when analyzing written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

·

Life insurance gross written premiums: In analyzing the life insurance company’s gross written premiums, management excludes five larger, single-pay life insurance policies (bank-owned life insurance or BOLIs) written in 2004, 2002, 2000 and 1999 to focus on the trend in premiums written through the independent agency distribution channel.

·

One-time charges or adjustments: Management analyzes earnings and profitability excluding the impact of one-time items.

In 2003, as the result of a settlement negotiated with a vendor, pretax results included the recovery of $23 million of the $39 million one-time, pretax charge incurred in 2000.

In 2000, the company recorded a one-time charge of $39 million, pre-tax, to write down previously capitalized costs related to the development of software to process property casualty policies.

In 2000, the company earned $5 million in interest in the first quarter from a $303 million single-premium BOLI policy that was booked at the end of 1999 and segregated as a separate account effective April 1, 2000. Investment income and realized investment gains and losses from separate accounts generally accrue directly to the contract holder and, therefore, are not included in the company’s consolidated financials.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

3







Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Quick Reference - Second Quarter 2007

(all data shown is for the three months ended or as of June 30, 2007)

         

(Based on reported data - see Pages 27-29 for adjusted data)

      
         

(Dollars in millions except share data)

        

Revenues:

    

Benefits and expenses:

   

 

    

 

   

Commercial lines net written premiums

$

613 

  

Commercial lines loss and loss expenses

$

335 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

1.7 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(8.7)

%

Personal lines net written premiums

$

197 

  

Personal lines loss and loss expenses

$

120 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(6.8)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(20.3)

%

Property casualty net written premiums

$

810 

  

Property casualty loss and loss expenses

$

455 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(0.5)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(12.1)

%

Commercial lines net earned premiums

$

607 

  

Life and accident and health losses and policy benefits

$

35 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

1.3 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

22.1 

%

Personal lines net earned premiums

$

180 

  

Operating expenses

$

259 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(7.1)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

5.1 

%

Property casualty net earned premiums

$

787 

  

Interest expenses

$

13 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(0.8)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(1.8)

%

Life and accident and health net earned premiums

$

35 

  

Total expenses

$

762 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

18.9 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(5.4)

%

Investment income

$

150 

  

Income before income taxes

$

508 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

5.0 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

189.4 

%

Realized gains on investments

$

293 

  

Total income tax

$

157 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

2,482.0 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

265.8 

%

Other income

$

  

Effective tax rate

 

30.9 

%

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

15.5 

%

     

Total revenues

$

1,270 

  

Ratios:

   

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

29.4 

%

 

 

   

 

    

Commercial lines GAAP combined ratio

 

85.2 

%

Income:

    

Personal lines GAAP combined ratio

 

99.9 

%

 

    

Property casualty GAAP combined ratio

 

88.6 

%

Operating income

$

164 

      

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

29.5 

%

 

Commercial lines STAT combined ratio

 

84.4 

%

Net realized investment gains and losses

$

187 

  

Personal lines STAT combined ratio

 

98.6 

%

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

3,022.2 

%

 

Property casualty STAT combined ratio

 

87.7 

%

Net income

$

351 

  

 

   

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

164.7 

%

 

Return on equity based upon net income

 

20.7 

%

     

Return on equity based upon operating income

 

9.7 

%

Per share (diluted):

        
     

Balance Sheet:

   

Operating income

$

 0.94 

      

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

30.6 

%

 

Fixed maturity investments

$

5,891 

 

Net realized investment gains and losses

$

       1.08 

  

Equity securities

 

7,650 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

2,600.0 

%

 

Short-term investments

 

101 

 

Net income

$

       2.02 

  

Other invested assets

 

70 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

165.8 

%

 

  Total invested assets

$

13,712 

 

Book value

$

39.74 

      

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

13.5 

%

 

Property casualty and life loss and loss expense reserves

$

3,953 

 

Weighted average shares -- diluted

 

173,423,572 

  

Total debt

 

840 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(0.9)

%

 

Shareholders equity

 

6,826 

 



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

4






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Income

 

For the Three Months Ended June 30,

 

For the Six Months Ended June 30,

 

2007

2006

Change

% Change

 

2007

2006

Change

% Change

Revenues:

               

  Premiums earned:

               

    Property casualty

$

829,606,651 

$

827,658,862 

$

1,947,789 

0.24 

 

$

1,656,897,309 

$

1,643,701,590 

$

13,195,719 

0.80 

    Life

 

43,321,722 

 

38,150,148 

 

5,171,574 

13.56 

  

82,268,196 

 

73,024,692 

 

9,243,504 

12.66 

    Accident health

 

1,605,439 

 

1,505,451 

 

99,988 

6.64 

  

3,364,290 

 

3,239,348 

 

124,942 

3.86 

    Premiums ceded

 

(52,688,518)

 

(44,895,865)

 

(7,792,653)

17.36 

  

(106,037,437)

 

(93,506,571)

 

(12,530,866)

13.40 

      Total premiums earned

 

821,845,294 

 

822,418,596 

 

(573,302)

(0.07)

  

1,636,492,358 

 

1,626,459,059 

 

10,033,299 

0.62 

  Investment income

 

149,930,929 

 

142,723,984 

 

7,206,945 

5.05 

  

298,325,295 

 

281,257,037 

 

17,068,258 

6.07 

  Realized gain on investments

 

292,255,060 

 

11,318,913 

 

280,936,147 

2,482.01 

  

354,433,292 

 

671,549,813 

 

(317,116,521)

(47.22)

  Other income

 

5,864,907 

 

5,076,762 

 

788,145 

15.52 

  

11,553,775 

 

9,374,272 

 

2,179,503 

23.25 

Total revenues

$

1,269,896,190 

$

981,538,255 

$

288,357,935 

29.38 

 

$

2,300,804,720 

$

2,588,640,181 

$

(287,835,461)

(11.12)

Benefits & expenses:

               

  Losses & policy benefits

$

548,496,253 

$

591,893,064 

$

(43,396,811)

(7.33)

 

$

1,063,528,068 

$

1,115,454,928 

$

(51,926,860)

(4.66)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(58,815,190)

 

(46,075,717)

 

(12,739,473)

27.65 

  

(89,624,119)

 

(68,351,356)

 

(21,272,763)

31.12 

  Commissions

 

159,707,198 

 

156,229,167 

 

3,478,031 

2.23 

  

329,859,970 

 

321,954,129 

 

7,905,841 

2.46 

  Other operating expenses

 

85,314,154 

 

79,143,480 

 

6,170,674 

7.80 

  

169,354,833 

 

159,296,845 

 

10,057,988 

6.31 

  Interest expense

 

12,883,633 

 

13,122,241 

 

(238,608)

(1.82)

  

25,976,556 

 

25,962,535 

 

14,021 

0.05 

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

18,953,280 

 

14,354,449 

 

4,598,831 

32.04 

  

38,896,211 

 

38,619,901 

 

276,310 

0.72 

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

(7,039,022)

 

(7,484,427)

 

445,405 

(5.95)

  

(22,693,713)

 

(21,943,540)

 

(750,173)

3.42 

  Other expenses

 

2,786,759 

 

4,976,451 

 

(2,189,692)

(44.00)

  

6,950,040 

 

8,308,658 

 

(1,358,618)

(16.35)

Total expenses

$

762,287,065 

$

806,158,708 

$

(43,871,643)

(5.44)

 

$

1,522,247,846 

$

1,579,302,100 

$

(57,054,254)

(3.61)

Income before income taxes

$

507,609,125 

$

175,379,547 

$

332,229,578 

189.43 

 

$

778,556,874 

$

1,009,338,081 

$

(230,781,207)

(22.86)

Provision for income taxes:

               

Current operating income

$

50,417,643 

$

43,141,111 

$

7,276,532 

16.87 

 

$

105,943,632 

$

95,662,282 

$

10,281,350 

10.75 

Realized investments gains and losses

 

105,361,189 

 

5,332,924 

 

100,028,265 

1,875.67 

  

126,420,231 

 

244,982,108 

 

(118,561,877)

(48.40)

Deferred

 

1,099,968 

 

(5,581,248)

 

6,681,216 

(119.71)

  

1,334,514 

 

(15,779,762)

 

17,114,276 

(108.46)

Total income taxes

$

156,878,800 

$

42,892,787 

$

113,986,013 

265.75 

 

$

233,698,377 

$

324,864,628 

$

(91,166,251)

(28.06)

                

Net income

$

350,730,325 

$

132,486,760 

$

218,243,565 

164.73 

 

$

544,858,497 

$

684,473,453 

$

(139,614,956)

(20.40)

Comprehensive net income

$

171,137,717 

$

(86,182,691)

$

257,320,409 

(298.58)

 

$

184,085,616 

$

154,254,515 

$

29,831,101 

19.34 

Operating income

$

163,836,454 

$

126,500,771 

$

37,335,683 

29.51 

 

$

316,845,436 

$

257,905,748 

$

58,939,688 

22.85 

Net realized investments gains and losses

$

186,893,871 

$

5,985,989 

$

180,907,882 

3,022.19 

 

$

228,013,061 

$

426,567,705 

$

(198,554,644)

(46.55)

                

Net income per share:

               

  Operating income

$

0.95 

$

0.73 

$

0.22 

30.14 

 

$

1.84 

$

1.49 

$

0.35 

23.49 

  Net realized investments gains
   and losses

 

1.09 

 

0.04 

 

1.05 

2,625.00 

  

1.32 

 

2.45 

 

(1.13)

(46.12)

  Net income per share (basic)

$

2.04 

$

0.77 

$

1.27 

164.94 

 

$

3.16 

$

3.94 

$

(0.78)

(19.80)

  Operating income

$

0.94 

$

0.72 

$

0.22 

30.56 

 

$

1.82 

$

1.47 

$

0.35 

23.81 

  Net realized investments gains
   and losses

 

1.08 

 

0.04 

 

1.04 

2,600.00 

  

1.31 

 

2.43 

 

(1.12)

(46.09)

  Net income per share (diluted)

$

2.02 

$

0.76 

$

1.26 

165.79 

 

$

3.13 

$

3.90 

$

(0.77)

(19.74)

Dividends per share:

               

  Paid

$

0.355 

$

0.335 

$

0.02 

5.97 

 

$

0.690 

$

0.640 

$

0.05 

7.81 

  Declared

 

0.355 

 

0.335 

 

0.02 

5.97 

  

0.710 

 

0.670 

 

0.04 

5.97 

Number of shares:

               

  Weighted avg - basic

 

171,712,547 

 

173,275,927 

 

(1,563,380)

(0.90)

  

172,178,180 

 

173,724,517 

 

(1,546,337)

(0.89)

  Weighted avg - diluted

 

173,423,572 

 

175,022,367 

 

(1,598,795)

(0.91)

  

173,871,612 

 

175,615,017 

 

(1,743,405)

(0.99)



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

5






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2007

               
 

Total

CFC

CIC GROUP

CLIC

CFC-I

CINFIN

ELIM

Revenues:

              

  Premiums earned:

              

    Property casualty

$

1,656,897,309 

$

  - 

$

1,657,229,337 

$

  - 

$

  - 

$

  - 

$

  (332,028)

    Life

 

82,268,196 

 

 

 

82,268,196 

 

 

 

    Accident health

 

3,364,290 

 

 

 

3,364,290 

 

 

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(106,037,437)

 

 

(86,198,579)

 

(19,838,858)

 

 

 

      Total earned premium

 

1,636,492,358 

 

 

1,571,030,758 

 

65,793,628 

 

 

 

(332,028)

  Investment income

 

298,325,295 

 

49,122,220 

 

193,465,425 

 

56,078,479 

 

72,839 

 

125,754 

 

(539,422)

  Realized gain on investments

 

354,433,292 

 

82,625,866 

 

207,210,519 

 

51,868,589 

 

 

(5,209)

 

12,733,527 

  Other income

 

11,553,775 

 

4,951,291 

 

3,651,137 

 

2,319,751 

 

5,458,578 

 

1,235,720 

 

(6,062,702)

Total revenues

$

2,300,804,720 

$

136,699,377 

$

1,975,357,839 

$

176,060,447 

$

5,531,417 

$

1,356,265 

$

  5,799,375 

               

Benefits & expenses:

              

  Losses & policy benefits

$

1,063,528,068 

$

  - 

$

982,523,609 

$

  82,105,936 

$

  - 

$

  - 

$

(1,101,477)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(89,624,119)

 

 

(69,477,125)

 

(20,146,994)

 

 

 

  Commissions

 

329,859,970 

 

47,500 

 

311,799,584 

 

18,012,886 

 

 

 

  Other operating expenses

 

169,354,833 

 

9,502,629 

 

147,892,691

 

15,550,427 

 

2,146,605 

 

345,996 

 

(6,083,515)

  Interest expense

 

25,976,556 

 

24,516,479 

 

 

 

1,470,946 

 

 

(10,869)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

38,896,211 

 

613,513 

 

36,332,300 

 

1,826,053 

 

30,067 

 

94,278 

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(22,693,713)

 

 

(16,365,094)

 

(6,328,619)

 

 

 

  Other expenses

 

6,950,040 

 

 

6,949,932 

 

108 

 

 

 

Total expenses

$

1,522,247,846 

$

  34,680,121 

$

1,399,655,897

$

  91,019,797 

$

  3,647,618 

$

  440,274 

$

(7,195,861)

               

Income before income taxes

$

778,556,874 

$

102,019,256 

$

575,701,942

$

  85,040,650 

$

  1,883,799 

$

  915,991 

$

12,995,236

               

Provision for income taxes:

              

  Current operating income

$

105,943,632 

$

  (441,194)

$

106,361,563 

$

  3,432,897 

$

  729,755 

$

  317,345 

$

(4,456,734)

  Capital gains/losses

 

126,420,231 

 

30,259,053 

 

73,423,681 

 

18,280,006 

 

 

757 

 

4,456,734 

  Deferred

 

1,334,514 

 

765,519 

 

(11,711,636)

 

7,742,997 

 

(7,717)

 

(2,981)

 

4,548,332 

Total income tax

$

233,698,377 

$

  30,583,378 

$

168,073,608 

$

  29,455,900 

$

  722,038 

$

  315,121 

$

  4,548,332 

               

Net income - current year

$

544,858,497 

$

  71,435,878 

$

407,678,334

$

55,584,750 

$

1,161,761 

$

  600,870 

$

8,446,904

               

Net income - prior year

$

684,473,453 

$

281,973,598 

$

354,133,501 

$

45,396,195 

$

1,061,016 

$

  648,924 

$

  1,260,219 

               

Change in net income

 

-20.4%

 

-74.7%

 

15.1%

 

22.4%

 

9.5%

 

-7.4%

  



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

6








Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2006

 
 

Total

CFC

CIC GROUP

CLIC

CFC-I

CINFIN

ELIM

Revenues:

              

  Premiums earned:

              

    Property casualty

$

1,643,701,590 

$

  - 

$

1,643,900,425 

$

  - 

$

  - 

$

  - 

$

  (198,835)

    Life

 

73,024,692 

 

 

 

73,024,692 

 

 

 

    Accident health

 

3,239,348 

 

 

 

3,239,348 

 

 

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(93,506,571)

 

 

(73,273,421)

 

(20,233,150)

 

 

 

      Total earned premium

 

1,626,459,059 

 

 

1,570,627,004 

 

56,030,890 

 

 

 

(198,835)

  Investment income

 

281,257,037 

 

48,379,457 

 

181,458,991 

 

53,390,153 

 

 

96,683 

 

(2,068,247)

  Realized gain on investments

 

671,549,813 

 

411,203,252 

 

215,730,423 

 

42,583,970 

 

 

9,564 

 

2,022,604 

  Other income

 

9,374,272 

 

5,024,564 

 

1,781,510 

 

1,804,280 

 

5,582,477 

 

1,152,205 

 

(5,970,764)

Total revenues

$

2,588,640,181 

$

464,607,273 

$

1,969,597,928 

$

153,809,293 

$

5,582,477 

$

1,258,452 

$

(6,215,242)

               

Benefits & expenses:

              

  Losses & policy benefits

$

1,115,454,928 

$

  - 

$

1,041,018,485 

$

  75,537,920 

$

  - 

$

  - 

$

(1,101,477)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(68,351,356)

 

 

(51,374,280)

 

(16,977,076)

 

 

 

  Commissions

 

321,954,129 

 

 

304,718,355 

 

17,235,774 

 

 

 

  Other operating expenses

 

159,296,845 

 

9,385,213 

 

139,710,448 

 

12,906,309 

 

2,887,219 

 

266,040 

 

(5,858,384)

  Interest expense

 

25,962,535 

 

25,537,141 

 

392,450 

 

 

1,227,123 

 

 

(1,194,179)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

38,619,901 

 

495,764 

 

36,627,893 

 

1,750,889 

 

(278,423)

 

23,778 

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(21,943,540)

 

 

(14,250,247)

 

(7,693,293)

 

 

 

  Other expenses

 

8,308,658 

 

 

8,308,549 

 

109 

 

 

 

Total expenses

$

1,579,302,100 

$

  35,418,118 

$

1,465,151,653 

$

  82,760,632 

$

3,835,919 

$

  289,818 

$

(8,154,040)

               

Income before income taxes

$

1,009,338,081 

$

429,189,155 

$

  504,446,275 

$

  71,048,661 

$

1,746,558 

$

  968,634 

$

  1,938,798 

               

Provision for income taxes:

              

  Current operating income

$

  95,662,282 

$

  (1,702,042)

$

  91,031,427 

$

  5,353,299 

$

  665,871 

$

  313,727 

$

  - 

  Capital gains/losses

 

244,982,108 

 

154,113,138 

 

75,961,232 

 

14,904,390 

 

 

3,348 

 

  Deferred

 

(15,779,762)

 

(5,195,539)

 

(16,679,885)

 

5,394,777 

 

19,671 

 

2,635 

 

678,579 

Total income tax

$

324,864,628 

$

147,215,557 

$

  150,312,774 

$

  25,652,466 

$

  685,542 

$

  319,710 

$

  678,579 

               

Net income - current year

$

684,473,453 

$

281,973,598 

$

  354,133,501 

$

  45,396,195 

$

1,061,016 

$

  648,924 

$

  1,260,219 

               

Net income - prior year

$

302,152,738 

$

  16,166,143 

$

  259,312,216 

$

  23,354,996 

$

1,565,571 

$

  637,672 

$

  1,116,140 

               

Change in net income

 

126.5%

 

1644.2%

 

36.6%

 

94.4%

 

-32.2%

 

1.8%

  



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

7








Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended June 30, 2007

        
 

Total

CFC

CIC GROUP

CLIC

CFC-I

CINFIN

ELIM

Revenues:

              

  Premiums earned:

              

    Property casualty

$

  829,606,651 

$

  - 

$

  829,657,090 

$

  - 

$

  - 

$

  -

$

  (50,439)

    Life

 

43,321,722 

 

 

 

43,321,722 

 

 

-

 

    Accident health

 

1,605,439 

 

 

 

1,605,439 

 

 

-

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(52,688,518)

 

 

(43,136,002)

 

(9,552,516)

 

 

-

 

      Total earned premium

 

821,845,294 

 

 

786,521,088 

 

35,374,645 

 

 

-

 

(50,439)

  Investment income

 

149,930,929 

 

25,220,671 

 

96,856,271 

 

27,765,895 

 

72,229 

 

65,310

 

(49,447)

  Realized gain on investments

 

292,255,060 

 

62,056,942 

 

177,301,754 

 

43,724,176 

   

2,430

 

9,169,758 

  Other income

 

5,864,907 

 

2,536,492 

 

2,063,478 

 

954,180 

 

2,691,317 

 

612,548

 

(2,993,108)

Total revenues

$

  1,269,896,190 

$

  89,814,105 

$

  1,062,742,591 

$

  107,818,896 

$

  2,763,546 

$

  680,288

$

  6,076,764 

               

Benefits & expenses:

              

  Losses & policy benefits

$

  548,496,253 

$

  - 

$

  503,831,388 

$

  45,215,724 

$

  - 

$

  -

$

  (550,859)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(58,815,190)

 

 

(48,321,121)

 

(10,494,069)

 

 

-

 

  Commissions

 

159,707,198 

 

47,500 

 

150,586,087 

 

9,073,611 

 

 

-

 

  Other operating expenses

 

85,314,154 

 

4,318,528 

 

74,552,175 

 

8,064,874 

 

1,186,609 

 

95,388

 

(2,903,420)

  Interest expense

 

12,883,633 

 

12,156,718 

 

 

 

726,915 

 

-

 

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

18,953,280 

 

306,757 

 

17,676,507 

 

879,191 

 

11,992 

 

78,833

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(7,039,022)

 

 

(4,646,840)

 

(2,392,182)

 

 

-

 

  Other expenses

 

2,786,759 

 

 

2,786,715 

 

44 

 

 

-

 

Total expenses

$

  762,287,065 

$

  16,829,503 

$

  696,464,911 

$

  50,347,193 

$

  1,925,516 

$

  174,221

$

  (3,454,279)

               

Income before income taxes

$

  507,609,125 

$

  72,984,602 

$

  366,277,680 

$

  57,471,703 

$

  838,030 

$

  506,067

$

  9,531,043 

               

Provision for income taxes:

              

  Current operating income

$

  50,417,643 

$

  (2,079,722)

$

  55,744,604 

$

  732,143 

$

  311,840 

$

  165,512

$

  (4,456,734)

  Capital gains/losses

 

105,361,189 

 

22,704,380 

 

62,790,613 

 

15,409,462 

 

 

-

 

4,456,734 

  Deferred

 

1,099,968 

 

55,408 

 

(5,956,260)

 

3,683,568 

 

(19,296)

 

684

 

3,335,864 

Total income tax

$

  156,878,800 

$

  20,680,066 

$

  112,578,957 

$

  19,825,173 

$

  292,544 

$

  166,196

$

  3,335,864 

               

Net income - current year

$

  350,730,325 

$

  52,304,536 

$

  253,698,723 

$

  37,646,530 

$

  545,486 

$

  339,871

$

  6,195,179 

               

Net income - prior year

$

  132,486,760 

$

  12,267,109 

$

  108,251,853 

$

  10,332,529 

$

  741,701 

$

  323,216

$

  570,352 

               

Change in net income

 

164.7%

 

326.4%

 

134.4%

 

264.3%

 

-26.5%

 

5.2%

  



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

8








Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended June 30, 2006

 
 

Total

CFC

CIC GROUP

CLIC

CFC-I

CINFIN

ELIM

Revenues:

              

  Premiums earned:

              

    Property casualty

$

  827,658,862 

$

  - 

$

  827,663,672 

$

  - 

$

  - 

$

  -

$

  (4,810)

    Life

 

38,150,148 

 

 

 

38,150,148 

 

 

-

 

    Accident health

 

1,505,451 

 

 

 

1,505,451 

 

 

-

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(44,895,865)

 

 

(34,983,325)

 

(9,912,540)

 

 

-

 

      Total earned premium

 

822,418,596 

 

 

792,680,347 

 

29,743,059 

 

 

-

 

(4,810)

  Investment income

 

142,723,984 

 

24,703,035 

 

92,143,031 

 

27,114,967 

 

 

52,081

 

(1,289,130)

  Realized gain on investments

 

11,318,913 

 

386,450 

 

9,560,458 

 

249,714 

 

 

9,225

 

1,113,066 

  Other income

 

5,076,762 

 

2,535,784 

 

1,115,564 

 

1,058,226 

 

2,784,784 

 

575,779

 

(2,993,375)

Total revenues

$

  981,538,255 

$

  27,625,269 

$

  895,499,400 

$

  58,165,966 

$

  2,784,784 

$

  637,085

$

  (3,174,249)

               

Benefits & expenses:

              

  Losses & policy benefits

$

  591,893,064 

$

  - 

$

  546,240,564 

$

  46,203,299 

$

  - 

$

  -

$

  (550,799)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(46,075,717)

 

 

(28,233,643)

 

(17,842,074)

 

 

-

 

  Commissions

 

156,229,167 

 

 

147,400,309 

 

8,828,858 

 

 

-

 

  Other operating expenses

 

79,143,480 

 

4,067,663 

 

70,115,601 

 

6,764,016 

 

895,514 

 

143,203

 

(2,842,517)

  Interest expense

 

13,122,241 

 

12,696,847 

 

392,450 

 

 

691,341 

 

-

 

(658,397)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

14,354,449 

 

247,838 

 

13,165,136 

 

920,480 

 

9,106 

 

11,889

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(7,484,427)

 

 

(4,733,539)

 

(2,750,888)

 

 

-

 

  Other expenses

 

4,976,451 

 

 

4,976,406 

 

45 

 

 

-

 

Total expenses

$

  806,158,708 

$

  17,012,348 

$

  749,323,284 

$

  42,123,736 

$

  1,595,961 

$

  155,092

$

  (4,051,713)

               

Income before income taxes

$

  175,379,547 

$

  10,612,921 

$

  146,176,116 

$

  16,042,230 

$

  1,188,823 

$

  481,993

$

  877,464 

               

Provision for income taxes:

              

  Current operating income

$

  43,141,111 

$

  (2,812,998)

$

  42,120,489 

$

  3,219,524 

$

  461,071 

$

  153,025

$

  - 

  Capital gains/losses

 

5,332,924 

 

1,565,910 

 

3,676,147 

 

87,400 

 

 

3,467

 

  Deferred

 

(5,581,248)

 

(407,100)

 

(7,872,373)

 

2,402,777 

 

(13,949)

 

2,285

 

307,112 

Total income tax

$

  42,892,787 

$

  (1,654,188)

$

  37,924,263 

$

  5,709,701 

$

  447,122 

$

  158,777

$

  307,112 

               

Net income - current year

$

  132,486,760 

$

  12,267,109 

$

  108,251,853 

$

  10,332,529 

$

  741,701 

$

  323,216

$

  570,352 

               

Net income - prior year

$

  157,796,333 

$

  7,705,244 

$

  135,510,300 

$

  12,940,413 

$

  717,806 

$

  354,928

$

  567,642 

               

Change in net income

 

-16.0%

 

59.2%

 

-20.1%

 

-20.2%

 

3.3%

 

-8.9%

  



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

9








Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Balance Sheets

 

(Dollars in millions except per share data)

 

 

June 30,

December 31,

 

 

 

2007

2006

   

(unaudited)

 

Assets

    

   Investments

    

      Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2007—$5,910; 2006—$5,739)

  

 $              5,891 

 $              5,805 

      Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2007—$2,943; 2006—$2,621)

  

                 7,650 

                 7,799 

      Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2007—$101; 2006—$95)

  

                    101 

                      95 

      Other invested assets

  

                     70 

                      60 

      Total investments

  

               13,712 

               13,759 

     

   Cash and cash equivalents

  

                    122 

                    202 

   Securities lending collateral

  

                    976 

                        - 

   Investment income receivable

  

                    124 

                    121 

   Finance receivable

  

                    100 

                    108 

   Premiums receivable

  

                 1,217 

                 1,128 

   Reinsurance receivable

  

                    751 

                    683 

   Prepaid reinsurance premiums

  

                     12 

                      13 

   Deferred policy acquisition costs

  

                    479 

                    453 

   Property and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation:  2007—$268; 2006—$261)

  

                    212 

                    193 

   Other assets

  

                     51 

                      58 

   Separate accounts

  

                    508 

                    504 

      Total assets

  

 $            18,264 

 $             17,222 

     

Liabilities

    

   Insurance reserves

    

      Losses and loss expense

  

 $              3,953 

 $              3,896 

      Life policy reserves

  

                 1,446 

                 1,409 

   Unearned premiums

  

                 1,662 

                 1,579 

   Securities lending payable

  

                    976 

                        - 

   Other liabilities

  

                    619 

                    533 

   Deferred income tax

  

                 1,434 

                 1,653 

   Notes payable

  

                     49 

                      49 

   6.125% senior debenture due 2034

  

                    371 

                    371 

   6.90% senior debenture due 2028

  

                     28 

                      28 

   6.92% senior debenture due 2028

  

                    392 

                    392 

   Separate accounts

  

                    508 

                    504 

      Total liabilities

  

               11,438 

               10,414 

     

Shareholders' equity

    

   Common stock, par value-$2 per share; authorized: 2007-500 million shares, 2006-
      500 million shares; issued: 2007-196 million shares, 2006-196 million shares

  

                    392 

                    391 

   Paid-in capital

  

                 1,035 

                 1,015 

   Retained earnings

  

                 3,213 

                 2,786 

   Accumulated other comprehensive income

  

                 3,013 

                 3,379 

   Treasury stock at cost (2007—24 million shares, 2006—23 million shares)

  

                   (827)

                   (763)

      Total shareholders' equity

  

                 6,826 

                 6,808 

      Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

  

 $            18,264 

 $             17,222 

     



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

10








Cincinnati Financial Corporation

10-Year Net Income Reconciliation

 

(Dollars in millions except per share data)

Years ended December 31,

 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

                               

  Net income

$

930 

 

$

602 

 

$

584 

 

$

374 

 

$

238 

 

$

193 

 

$

118 

 

$

255 

 

$

242 

 

$

299 

 

  One-time item

 

  

  

  

15 

  

  

  

(25)

  

  

  

 

  Net income before one-time item

 

930 

  

602 

  

584 

  

389 

  

238 

  

193 

  

93 

  

255 

  

242 

  

299 

 

  Net realized investment gains and losses

 

434 

  

40 

  

60 

  

(27)

  

(62)

  

(17)

  

(2)

  

  

43 

  

45 

 

  Operating income before one-time item

 

496 

  

562 

  

524 

  

416 

  

300 

  

210 

  

95 

  

255 

  

199 

  

254 

 

  Less catastrophe losses

 

(113)

  

(82)

  

(96)

  

(63)

  

(57)

  

(42)

  

(33)

  

(24)

  

(61)

  

(17)

 

  Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item

$

609 

 

$

644 

 

$

620 

 

$

479 

 

$

357 

 

$

252 

 

$

128 

 

$

279 

 

$

260 

 

$

271 

 
                               

Diluted per share data

                              

  Net income

$

5.30 

 

$

3.40 

 

$

3.28 

 

$

2.10 

 

$

1.32 

 

$

1.07 

 

$

0.67 

 

$

1.37 

 

$

1.28 

 

$

1.61 

 

  One-time item

 

  

  

  

0.09 

  

  

  

(0.14)

  

  

  

 

  Net income before one-time item

 

5.30 

  

3.40 

  

3.28 

  

2.01 

  

1.32 

  

1.07 

  

0.81 

  

1.37 

  

1.28 

  

1.61 

 

  Net realized investment gains and losses

 

2.48 

  

0.23 

  

0.34 

  

(0.15)

  

(0.35)

  

(0.10)

  

(0.01)

  

  

0.23 

  

0.26 

 

  Operating income before one-time item

 

2.82 

  

3.17 

  

2.94 

  

2.16 

  

1.67 

  

1.17 

  

0.82 

  

1.37 

  

1.05 

  

1.35 

 

  Less catastrophe losses

 

(0.65)

  

(0.46)

  

(0.54)

  

(0.35)

  

(0.31)

  

(0.23)

  

(0.18)

  

(0.13)

  

(0.32)

  

(0.13)

 

  Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item

$

3.47 

 

$

3.63 

 

$

3.48 

 

$

2.51 

 

$

1.98 

 

$

1.40 

 

$

1.00 

 

$

1.50 

 

$

1.37 

 

$

1.48 

 
                               

Return on equity

                              

  Return on average equity

 

14.4 

%

9.8 

%

9.4 

%

6.3 

%

4.1 

%

3.2 

%

2.1 

%

4.6 

%

4.7 

%

7.6 

%

  One-time item

 

  

  

  

(0.3)

  

  

  

0.4 

  

  

  

 

  Return on average equity before one-time item

 

14.4 

%

9.8 

%

9.4 

%

6.0 

%

4.1 

%

3.2 

%

2.5 

%

4.6 

%

4.7 

%

7.6 

%

                               

Return on equity based on comprehensive income

                              

  ROE based on comprehensive income

 

16.4 

%

1.6 

%

4.6 

%

13.8 

%

(4.0)

%

2.5 

%

13.1 

%

1.9 

%

19.6 

%

42.6 

%

  One-time item

 

  

  

  

(0.3)

  

  

  

0.4 

  

  

  

 

  ROE based on comprehensive income before one-time item

 

16.4 

%

1.6 

%

4.6 

%

13.5 

%

(4.0)

%

2.5 

%

13.5 

%

1.9 

%

19.6 

%

42.6 

%

                               

Investment income

                              

  Investment income, net of expenses

$

570 

 

$

526 

 

$

492 

 

$

465 

 

$

445 

 

$

421 

 

$

415 

 

$

387 

 

$

368 

 

$

349 

 

  BOLI

 

  

  

  

  

  

  

(5)

  

  

  

 

  Investment income before BOLI

$

570 

 

$

526 

 

$

492 

 

$

465 

 

$

445 

 

$

421 

 

$

410 

 

$

387 

 

$

368 

 

$

349 

 
                               

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions: certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

11








Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

 

(In millions except per share data)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

                              

  Net income

    

$

351 

$

194 

$

130 

$

115 

$

132 

$

552 

$

545 

$

684 

  

$

800 

  

$

930 

 

  Net realized investment gains and losses

     

187 

 

41 

 

 

 

 

421 

 

228 

 

426 

   

427 

   

434 

 

  Operating income

     

164 

 

153 

 

122 

 

115 

 

126 

 

131 

 

317 

 

258 

   

373 

   

496 

 

  Less catastrophe losses

     

(7)

 

(2)

 

(29)

 

(18)

 

(41)

 

(26)

 

(9)

 

(67)

   

(85)

   

(113)

 

  Operating income before catastrophe losses

    

$

171 

$

155 

$

151 

$

133 

$

167 

$

157 

$

326 

$

325 

  

$

458 

  

$

609 

 
                              

Diluted per share data

                             

  Net income

    

$

2.02 

$

1.11 

$

0.75 

$

0.66 

$

0.76 

$

3.13 

$

3.13 

$

3.90 

  

$

4.56 

  

$

5.30 

 

  Net realized investment gains and losses

     

1.08 

 

0.23 

 

0.05 

 

-

 

0.04 

 

2.39 

 

1.31 

 

2.43 

   

2.43 

   

2.48 

 

  Operating income

     

0.94 

 

0.88 

 

0.70 

 

0.66 

 

0.72 

 

0.74 

 

1.82 

 

1.47 

   

2.13 

   

2.82 

 

  Less catastrophe losses

     

(0.04)

 

(0.01)

 

(0.16)

 

(0.10)

 

(0.24)

 

(0.14)

 

(0.05)

 

(0.38)

   

(0.48)

   

(0.65)

 

  Operating income before catastrophe losses

    

$

0.98 

$

0.89 

$

0.86 

$

0.76 

$

0.96 

$

0.88 

$

1.87 

$

1.85 

  

$

2.61 

  

$

3.47 

 
                              

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year

as each is computed independently.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

12







Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Top Holdings – Common Stocks

 

(Dollars in millions)

As of and for six months ended June 30, 2007

Actual
cost

Fair
value

Percent of
fair value

Earned dividend
income

Fifth Third Bancorp

$

                283

$

              2,894

          39.1

%

$

               61

The Procter & Gamble Company

 

                206

 

                 460

            6.2

  

                5

Exxon Mobil Corporation

 

                  58

 

                 433

            5.9

  

                5

National City Corporation

 

                172

 

                 327

            4.4

  

                8

PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

 

                  62

 

                 337

            4.6

  

                6

AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.

 

                100

 

                 328

            4.4

  

                8

U.S. Bancorp

 

                253

 

                 326

            4.4

  

                7

Wyeth

 

                  62

 

                 254

            3.4

  

                2

Johnson & Johnson

 

                218

 

                 247

            3.3

  

                3

Wells Fargo & Company

 

                107

 

                 201

            2.7

  

                3

Huntington Bancshares Inc (Sky Financial Group)*

 

                140

 

                 168

            2.3

  

                3

Piedmont Natural Gas Company, Inc.

 

                  64

 

                 139

            1.9

  

                3

Wachovia Corp

 

                146

 

                 137

            1.9

  

                2

General Electric Co.

 

                106

 

                 120

            1.6

  

                2

Chevron Corporation

 

                  56

 

                 112

            1.5

  

                1

All other common stock holdings

 

                661

 

                 917

          12.4

  

               14

   Total

$

2,694

   $  

7,400

100.0

%

$

133

 

* As of June 30, 2007, we held 2,288,203 shares of Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (NASDAQ: HBAN) and 4,661,018 shares of

Sky Financial Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: SKYF). On July 1, 2007, Huntington completed its merger with Sky Financial. Under the terms of

the agreement, we received 1,098 shares of Huntington common stock and a cash payment of $3,023 for each share of Sky Financial we

owned on June 29, 2007.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

13








Cincinnati Financial Corporation Subsidiaries

Selected Balance Sheet Data

 (Dollars in millions)

 

12/31/2007

 

9/30/2007

 

6/30/2007

 

3/31/2007

 

12/31/2006

 

9/30/2006

 

6/30/2006

 

3/31/2006

 

Cincinnati Insurance Property Casualty Group

                 

   Fixed Maturities and Equities (Fair Value)

    

$

     9,778 

$

9,834

$

9,790

$

9,393

$

8,987 

$

9,135

 

   Fixed Maturities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

     

         (30)

 

44

 

47

 

51

 

(55)

 

2

 

   Equities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

     

     2,917 

 

3,017

 

3,166

 

2,859

 

2,621 

 

2,758

 

   Loss and Loss Expense Reserves - STAT

     

        3,374 

 

3,373

 

3,356

 

3,314

 

3,237 

 

3,169

 

   Surplus - (STAT)

     

        4,937 

 

4,741

 

4,750

 

4,607

 

4,342 

 

4,334

 
                  

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

                 

   Fixed Maturities and Equities (Fair Value)

    

$

     1,893 

$

1,922

$

1,913

$

1,893

$

1,803 

$

1,808

 

   Fixed Maturities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

     

          (4)

 

20

 

15

 

17

 

(17)

 

6

 

   Equities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

     

        254 

 

305

 

307

 

271

 

238 

 

256

 

   Retained Earnings - GAAP

     

        730 

 

739

 

719

 

688

 

652 

 

666

 

   Surplus - STAT

     

        491 

 

483

 

479

 

461

 

459 

 

470

 
                  

 

 

12/31/2005

 

9/30/2005

 

6/30/2005

 

3/31/2005

 

12/31/2004

 

9/30/2004

 

6/30/2004

 

3/31/2004

 

Cincinnati Insurance Property Casualty Group

                 

   Fixed Maturities and Equities (Fair Value)

$

8,873

$

8,833

$

8,802 

$

8,710

$

8,806

$

8,523

$

6,599 

$

6,882

 

   Fixed Maturities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

 

50

 

86

 

152 

 

99

 

188

 

158

 

84 

 

190

 

   Equities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

 

2,803

 

2,807

 

2,903 

 

2,931

 

3,135

 

1,746

 

1,740 

 

1,924

 

   Loss and Loss Expense Reserves - STAT

 

3,111

 

3,150

 

3,065 

 

3,031

 

2,977

 

3,036

 

2,952 

 

2,901

 

   Surplus - (STAT)

 

4,220

 

4,224

 

4,180 

 

4,065

 

4,196

 

4,037

 

2,871 

 

2,791

 
                  

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

                 

   Fixed Maturities and Equities (Fair Value)

$

1,788

$

1,797

$

1,748 

$

1,688

$

1,637

$

1,695

$

1,637 

$

1,652

 

   Fixed Maturities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

 

31

 

45

 

70 

 

53

 

82

 

76

 

49 

 

94

 

   Equities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

 

266

 

274

 

275 

 

257

 

274

 

261

 

252 

 

266

 

   Retained Earnings - GAAP

 

651

 

348

 

655 

 

622

 

639

 

612

 

584 

 

610

 

   Surplus - STAT

 

451

 

447

 

447 

 

440

 

439

 

409

 

401 

 

395

 



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

14








Cincinnati Insurance Group

GAAP Statements of Income

 
     
  

2007

 

2006

 

Change

% Change

  

2007

 

2006

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

               

  Premiums earned:

               

    Property casualty

$

829,657,090 

$

827,663,672 

$

1,993,418 

0.24 

 

$

1,657,229,337 

$

1,643,900,425 

$

13,328,912 

0.81 

    Life

 

 

 

  

 

 

    Accident health

 

 

 

  

 

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(43,136,002)

 

(34,983,325)

 

(8,152,677)

23.30 

  

(86,198,579)

 

(73,273,421)

 

(12,925,158)

17.64 

      Total premiums earned

 

786,521,088 

 

792,680,347 

 

(6,159,259)

(0.78)

  

1,571,030,758 

 

1,570,627,004 

 

403,754 

0.03 

  Investment income

 

96,856,271 

 

92,143,031 

 

4,713,240 

5.12 

  

193,465,425 

 

181,458,991 

 

12,006,434 

6.62 

  Realized gain on investments

 

177,301,754 

 

9,560,458 

 

167,741,296 

1,754.53 

  

207,210,519 

 

215,730,423 

 

(8,519,904)

(3.95)

  Other income

 

2,063,478 

 

1,115,564 

 

947,914 

84.97 

  

3,651,137 

 

1,781,510 

 

1,869,627 

104.95 

      Total revenues

$

1,062,742,591 

$

895,499,400 

$

167,243,191 

18.68 

 

$

1,975,357,839 

$

1,969,597,928 

$

5,759,911 

0.29 

                

Benefits & expenses:

               

  Losses & policy benefits

$

503,831,388 

$

546,240,564 

$

(42,409,176)

(7.76)

 

$

982,523,609 

$

1,041,018,485 

$

(58,494,876)

(5.62)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(48,321,121)

 

(28,233,643)

 

(20,087,478)

71.15 

  

(69,477,125)

 

(51,374,280)

 

(18,102,845)

35.24 

  Commissions

 

150,586,087 

 

147,400,309 

 

3,185,778 

2.16 

  

311,799,584 

 

304,718,355 

 

7,081,229 

2.32 

  Other operating expenses

 

74,552,175 

 

70,115,601 

 

4,436,574 

6.33 

  

147,892,691 

 

139,710,448 

 

8,182,243 

5.86 

  Interest expense

 

 

392,450 

 

(392,450)

  

 

392,450 

 

(392,450)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

17,676,507 

 

13,165,136 

 

4,511,371 

34.27 

  

36,332,300 

 

36,627,893 

 

(295,593)

(0.81)

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

(4,646,840)

 

(4,733,539)

 

86,699 

(1.83)

  

(16,365,094)

 

(14,250,247)

 

(2,114,847)

14.84 

  Other expenses

 

2,786,715 

 

4,976,406 

 

(2,189,691)

(44.00)

  

6,949,932 

 

8,308,549 

 

(1,358,617)

(16.35)

      Total expenses

$

696,464,911 

$

749,323,284 

$

(52,858,373)

(7.05)

 

$

1,399,655,897 

$

1,465,151,653 

$

(65,495,756)

(4.47)

      Income before income taxes

$

366,277,680 

$

146,176,116 

$

220,101,564 

150.57 

 

$

575,701,942 

$

504,446,275 

$

71,255,667 

14.13 

                

Provision for income taxes:

               

Current operating income

$

55,744,604 

$

42,120,489 

$

13,624,115 

32.35 

 

$

106,361,563 

$

91,031,427 

$

15,330,136 

16.84 

Current realized investments gains and losses

 

62,790,613 

 

3,676,147 

 

59,114,466 

1,608.06 

  

73,423,681 

 

75,961,232 

 

(2,537,551)

(3.34)

  Deferred

 

(5,956,260)

 

(7,872,373)

 

1,916,113 

(24.34)

  

(11,711,636)

 

(16,679,885)

 

4,968,249 

(29.79)

      Total income taxes

$

112,578,957 

$

37,924,263 

$

74,654,694 

196.85 

 

$

168,073,608 

$

150,312,774 

$

17,760,834 

11.82 

                

      Net income

$

253,698,723 

$

108,251,853 

$

145,446,870 

134.36 

 

$

407,628,334 

$

354,133,501 

$

53,494,833 

15.11 



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

15








Cincinnati Insurance Group

Statutory Statements of Income

    
 

For the Three Months Ended June 30,

For the Six Months Ended June 30,

  

2007

 

2006

% Change

 

2007

 

2006

% Change

Underwriting income

          

Net premiums written

$

810,172,700

$

814,234,256

(0.50)

$

1,655,972,450

$

1,643,009,334

0.79 

Unearned premiums increase

 

23,651,614

 

21,553,909

9.73 

 

84,941,693

 

72,382,327

17.35 

Earned premiums

 

786,521,086

 

792,680,347

(0.78)

 

1,571,030,756

 

1,570,627,007

0.03 

           

Losses incurred

$

363,866,807

$

439,338,289

(17.18)

$

734,619,843

$

828,027,319

(11.28)

Allocated loss expenses incurred

 

49,710,496

 

38,264,131

29.91 

 

88,786,803

 

71,497,650

24.18 

Unallocated loss expenses incurred

 

41,932,964

 

40,404,510

3.78 

 

89,639,838

 

90,119,248

(0.53)

Other underwriting expenses incurred

 

239,633,680

 

226,727,213

5.69 

 

484,376,019

 

461,112,558

5.05 

Workers compensation dividend incurred

 

1,753,283

 

5,832,528

(69.94)

 

5,402,447

 

9,750,386

(44.59)

           

    Total underwriting deductions

$

696,897,230

$

750,566,672

(7.15)

$

1,402,824,950

$

1,460,507,160

(3.95)

Net underwriting gain (loss)

$

89,623,856

$

42,113,675

112.81 

$

168,205,806

$

110,119,846

52.75 

           

Investment income

          

Gross investment income earned

$

98,166,059

$

93,464,237

5.03 

$

196,013,090

$

183,620,102

6.75 

Net investment income earned

 

96,878,773

 

92,031,641

5.27 

 

193,508,032

 

181,256,416

6.76 

Net realized capital gains

 

114,837,505

 

6,827,130

1,582.08 

 

134,396,687

 

141,070,859

(4.73)

Net investment gains (excl. subs)

$

211,716,278

$

98,858,771

114.16 

$

327,904,719

$

322,327,275

1.73 

Dividend from subsidiary

 

-

 

-

 

-

 

-

    Net investment gains

$

211,716,278

$

98,858,771

114.16 

$

327,904,719

$

322,327,275

1.73 

           
           

    Other income

$

1,791,815

$

1,138,050

57.45 

$

3,308,351

$

1,647,064

100.86 

           

Net income before federal income taxes

$

303,131,950

$

142,110,496

113.31 

$

499,418,876

$

434,094,186

15.05 

Federal and foreign income taxes incurred

$

55,061,836

$

41,083,409

34.02 

$

104,813,158

$

89,221,966

17.47 

    Net income (statutory)

$

248,070,114

$

101,027,087

145.55 

$

394,605,718

$

344,872,220

14.42 

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with

the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

16








Cincinnati Insurance Group - Consolidated

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 27 for adjusted data)

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

Net premiums written

      

$

810 

 

$

846

 

$

755 

 

$

780

 

$

814 

 

$

829

 

$

1,656 

 

$

1,643

    

$

2,423

    

$

3,178 

 

Net premiums earned

      

$

787 

 

$

785

 

$

802 

 

$

791

 

$

793 

 

$

778

 

$

1,571 

 

$

1,571

    

$

2,362

    

$

3,164 

 
                                           

Losses paid

      

$

380 

 

$

365

 

$

375 

 

$

366

 

$

379 

 

$

345

 

$

744 

 

$

727

    

$

1,094

    

$

1,469 

 

Loss reserve change

       

(16)

  

6

  

  

66

  

60 

  

42

  

(9)

  

101

     

167

     

172 

 

  Total losses incurred

      

$

364 

 

$

371

 

$

379 

 

$

432

 

$

439 

 

$

387

 

$

735 

 

$

828

    

$

1,261

    

$

1,641 

 

Allocated loss expense paid

       

34 

  

31

  

37 

  

33

  

31 

  

28

  

65 

  

59

     

91

     

127 

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

       

16 

  

8

  

35 

  

8

  

  

6

  

24 

  

13

     

20

     

56 

 

  Total allocated loss expense incurred

      

$

50 

 

$

39

 

$

72 

 

$

41

 

$

38 

 

$

34

 

$

89 

 

$

72

    

$

111

    

$

183 

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

       

41 

  

46

  

49 

  

39

  

39 

  

40

  

86 

  

78

     

117

     

167 

 

Unallocated loss expense= reserve change

       

  

2

  

  

4

  

  

10

  

  

12

     

15

     

17 

 

  Total unallocated loss expense incurred

      

$

42 

 

$

48

 

$

51 

 

$

43

 

$

42 

 

$

50

 

$

89 

 

$

90

    

$

132

    

$

184 

 

  Underwriting expenses incurred

       

242 

  

248

  

251 

  

243

  

232 

  

240

  

490 

  

471

     

715

     

965 

 

  Underwriting profit (loss)

      

$

90 

 

$

79

 

$

49 

 

$

32

 

$

42 

 

$

67

 

$

168 

 

$

110

    

$

143

    

$

191 

 
                                           

Loss Detail

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

      

$

43 

 

$

50

 

$

63 

 

$

61

 

$

46 

 

$

32

 

$

93 

 

$

79

    

$

139

    

$

203 

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

       

46 

  

48

  

43 

  

49

  

48 

  

38

  

92 

  

86

     

135

     

178 

 

Development and case reserve increases

  of $250,000 or more

       

49 

  

53

  

64 

  

49

  

52 

  

49

  

102 

  

102

     

151

     

215 

 

  Large losses subtotal

      

$

138 

 

$

151

 

$

170 

 

$

159

 

$

146 

 

$

119

 

$

287 

 

$

267

    

$

425

    

$

596 

 

IBNR incurred

       

  

7

  

(57)

  

11

  

(5)

  

6

  

15 

  

1

     

11

     

(47)

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

       

11 

  

3

  

44 

  

27

  

64 

  

39

  

15 

  

103

     

131

     

175 

 

Remaining incurred

       

208 

  

210

  

222 

  

235

  

234 

  

223

  

418 

  

457

     

694

     

917 

 

  Total losses incurred

      

$

364 

 

$

371

 

$

379 

 

$

432

 

$

439 

 

$

387

 

$

735 

 

$

828

    

$

1,261

    

$

1,641 

 
                                           

Ratio Data

                                          

Loss ratio

       

46.3 

%

 

47.2

%

 

47.2 

%

 

54.8

%

 

55.4 

%

 

49.9

%

 

46.8 

%

 

52.7

%

    

53.4

%

    

51.9 

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

       

6.3 

  

5.0

  

9.0 

  

5.0

  

4.8 

  

4.3

  

5.6 

  

4.6

     

4.7

     

5.8 

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

       

5.3 

  

6.1

  

6.4 

  

5.4

  

5.1 

  

6.4

  

5.7 

  

5.7

     

5.6

     

5.8 

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

       

29.8 

  

29.4

  

33.3 

  

31.2

  

28.4 

  

29.0

  

29.6 

  

28.7

     

29.5

     

30.4 

 

  Statutory combined ratio

       

87.7 

%

 

87.7

%

 

95.9 

%

 

96.4

%

 

93.7 

%

 

89.6

%

 

87.7 

%

 

91.7

%

    

93.2

%

    

93.9 

%

  Statutory combined ratio excluding

    catastrophes

       

86.3 

%

 

87.3

%

 

90.4 

%

 

92.9

%

 

85.7 

%

 

84.6

%

 

86.8 

%

 

85.1

%

    

87.7

%

    

88.4 

%

                                           

Loss Ratio

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

       

5.4 

%

 

6.4

%

 

7.9 

%

 

7.6

%

 

6.0 

%

 

4.2

%

 

5.9 

%

 

5.1

%

    

5.9

%

    

6.4 

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

       

5.8 

  

6.0

  

5.3 

  

6.2

  

6.0 

  

4.9

  

5.9 

  

5.5

     

5.7

     

5.6 

 

Development and case reserve increases

  of $250,000 or more

       

6.2 

  

6.8

  

8.0 

  

6.3

  

7.4 

  

6.3

  

6.5 

  

6.9

     

6.4

     

6.8 

 

  Large losses subtotal

       

17.4 

%

 

19.2

%

 

21.2 

%

 

20.1

%

 

19.4 

%

 

15.4

%

 

18.3 

%

 

17.5

%

    

18.0

%

    

18.8 

%

IBNR incurred

       

0.9 

  

1.0

  

(7.2)

  

1.3

  

1.3 

  

0.8

  

0.9 

  

1.1

     

0.5

     

(1.4)

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

       

1.4 

  

0.4

  

5.5 

  

3.5

  

8.0 

  

5.0

  

0.9 

  

6.5

     

5.5

     

5.5 

 

Remaining incurred

       

26.6 

  

26.6

  

27.7 

  

29.9

  

26.7 

  

28.7

  

26.7 

  

27.6

     

29.4

     

29.0 

 

  Total loss ratio

       

46.3 

%

 

47.2

%

 

47.2 

%

 

54.8

%

 

55.4 

%

 

49.9

%

 

46.8 

%

 

52.7

%

    

53.4

%

    

51.9 

%

                                           

Loss Claim Count

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

       

26 

  

28

  

33 

  

32

  

26 

  

14

  

54 

  

40

     

72

     

105 

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

       

104 

  

108

  

97 

  

103

  

88 

  

95

  

212 

  

183

     

286

     

383 

 

Development and case reserve increases

  of $250,000 or more

       

82 

  

93

  

94 

  

104

  

85 

  

85

  

175 

  

170

     

274

     

368 

 

  Large losses total

       

212 

  

229

  

224 

  

239

  

199 

  

194

  

441 

  

393

     

632

     

856 

 

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

*NM - Not meaningful

*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

17








Cincinnati Insurance Group - Commercial Lines

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 28 for adjusted data)

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

Net premiums written

      

$

613 

 

$

693

 

$

589 

 

$

582

 

$

603 

 

$

668

 

$

1,306

 

$

1,271

    

$

1,853

    

$

2,442 

 

Net premiums earned

      

$

607 

 

$

604

 

$

619 

 

$

602

 

$

599 

 

$

582

 

$

1,210

 

$

1,181

    

$

1,783

    

$

2,402 

 
                                           

Losses paid

      

$

270 

 

$

260

 

$

256 

 

$

247

 

$

251 

 

$

233

 

$

530

 

$

485

    

$

732

    

$

988 

 

Loss reserve change

       

(12)

  

23

  

  

63

  

53 

  

53

  

11

  

105

     

168

     

174 

 

  Total losses incurred

      

$

258 

 

$

283

 

$

261 

 

$

310

 

$

304 

 

$

286

 

$

541

 

$

590

    

$

900

    

$

1,162 

 

Allocated loss expense paid

       

30 

  

28

  

33 

  

30

  

28 

  

24

  

58

  

52

     

81

     

114 

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

       

16 

  

8

  

37 

  

7

  

  

5

  

24

  

12

     

19

     

56 

 

  Total allocated loss expense incurred

      

$

46 

 

$

36

 

$

70 

 

$

37

 

$

34 

 

$

29

 

$

82

 

$

64

    

$

100

    

$

170 

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

       

30 

  

32

  

34 

  

27

  

27 

  

28

  

62

  

54

     

81

     

116 

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

       

  

3

  

  

3

  

  

10

  

4

  

13

     

15

     

18 

 

  Total unallocated loss expense incurred

      

$

31 

 

$

35

 

$

37 

 

$

30

 

$

30 

 

$

38

 

$

66

 

$

67

    

$

96

    

$

134 

 

  Underwriting expenses incurred

       

179 

  

193

  

194 

  

185

  

172 

  

179

  

372

  

349

     

536

     

727 

 

  Underwriting profit (loss)

      

$

93 

 

$

57

 

$

57 

 

$

40

 

$

59 

 

$

50

 

$

149

 

$

111

    

$

151

    

$

209 

 
                                           

Loss Detail

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

      

$

36 

 

$

45

 

$

59 

 

$

51

 

$

40 

 

$

30

 

$

81

 

$

70

    

$

121

    

$

180 

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

       

34 

  

38

  

35 

  

37

  

39 

  

28

  

71

  

67

     

104

     

139 

 

Development and case reserve increases

  of $250,000 or more

       

46 

  

49

  

58 

  

45

  

45 

  

44

  

95

  

90

     

135

     

193 

 

  Large losses subtotal

      

$

116 

 

$

132

 

$

152 

 

$

133

 

$

124 

 

$

102

 

$

247

 

$

227

    

$

360

    

$

512 

 

IBNR incurred

       

  

7

  

(45)

  

10

  

(6)

  

6

  

14

  

-

     

10

     

(36)

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

       

  

10

  

11 

  

14

  

34 

  

29

  

16

  

63

     

77

     

89 

 

Remaining incurred

       

131 

  

134

  

143 

  

153

  

152 

  

149

  

264

  

300

     

453

     

597 

 

  Total losses incurred

      

$

258 

 

$

283

 

$

261 

 

$

310

 

$

304 

 

$

286

 

$

541

 

$

590

    

$

900

    

$

1,162 

 
                                           

Ratio Data

                                          

Loss ratio

       

42.6 

%

 

46.8

%

 

42.2 

%

 

51.5

%

 

50.7 

%

 

49.2

%

 

44.7

%

 

50.0

%

    

50.5

%

    

48.4 

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

       

7.6 

  

5.9

  

11.3 

  

6.0

  

5.7 

  

5.1

  

6.8

  

5.4

     

5.6

     

7.1 

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

       

5.1 

  

6.0

  

6.0 

  

5.0

  

4.9 

  

6.5

  

5.5

  

5.7

     

5.4

     

5.5 

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

       

29.1 

  

27.8

  

32.9 

  

31.6

  

28.3 

  

26.7

  

28.4

  

27.5

     

28.8

     

29.8 

 

  Statutory combined ratio

       

84.4 

%

 

86.5

%

 

92.4 

%

 

94.1

%

 

89.6 

%

 

87.5

%

 

85.4

%

 

88.6

%

    

90.3

%

    

90.8 

%

  Statutory combined ratio excluding
    catastrophes

       

83.6 

%

 

84.7

%

 

90.5 

%

 

91.7

%

 

84.0 

%

 

82.4

%

 

84.1

%

 

83.3

%

    

86.0

%

    

87.1 

%

                                           

Loss Ratio

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

       

5.9 

%

 

7.4

%

 

9.6 

%

 

8.5

%

 

6.6 

%

 

5.2

%

 

6.7

%

 

5.9

%

    

6.8

%

    

7.5 

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

       

5.6 

  

6.2

  

5.6 

  

6.1

  

6.5 

  

4.8

  

5.9

  

5.7

     

5.8

     

5.8 

 

Development and case reserve increases

  of $250,000 or more

       

7.6 

  

8.2

  

9.4 

  

7.5

  

7.5 

  

7.6

  

7.9

  

7.6

     

7.6

     

8.0 

 

  Large losses subtotal

       

19.1 

%

 

21.8

%

 

24.6 

%

 

22.1

%

 

20.6 

%

 

17.6

%

 

20.5

%

 

19.2

%

    

20.2

%

    

21.3 

%

IBNR incurred

       

1.0 

  

1.2

  

(7.3)

  

1.7

  

(1.0)

  

1.0

  

1.1

  

-

     

0.6

     

(1.5)

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

       

0.8 

  

1.8

  

1.9 

  

2.3

  

5.6 

  

5.1

  

1.3

  

5.3

     

4.3

     

3.7 

 

Remaining incurred

       

21.7 

  

22.0

  

23.0 

  

25.4

  

25.5 

  

25.5

  

21.8

  

25.5

     

25.4

     

24.9 

 

  Total loss ratio

       

42.6 

%

 

46.8

%

 

42.2 

%

 

51.5

%

 

50.7 

%

 

49.2

%

 

44.7

%

 

50.0

%

    

50.5

%

    

48.4 

%

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

*NM - Not meaningful

*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriated regulatory bodies.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

18








Cincinnati Insurance Group - Personal Lines

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 29 for adjusted data)

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

Net premiums written

      

$

197 

 

$

153 

 

$

166 

 

$

198 

 

$

211 

 

$

161 

 

$

350 

 

$

372 

    

$

570 

    

$

736 

 

Net premiums earned

      

$

180 

 

$

181 

 

$

183 

 

$

189 

 

$

194 

 

$

196 

 

$

361 

 

$

390 

    

$

579 

    

$

762 

 

Losses paid

      

$

110 

 

$

105 

 

$

119 

 

$

119 

 

$

128 

 

$

112 

 

$

214 

 

$

242 

    

$

362 

    

$

481 

 

Loss reserve change

       

(4)

  

(17)

  

(1)

  

  

  

(11)

  

(20)

  

(4)

     

(1)

     

(2)

 

  Total losses incurred

      

$

106 

 

$

88 

 

$

118 

 

$

122 

 

$

135 

 

$

101 

 

$

194 

 

$

238 

    

$

361 

    

$

479 

 

Allocated loss expense paid

       

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

     

10 

     

13 

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

          

  

(2)

  

  

  

  

  

     

     

 

  Total allocated loss expense incurred

      

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

    

$

11 

    

$

13 

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

       

11 

  

14 

  

15 

  

12 

  

12 

  

12 

  

24 

  

24 

     

36 

     

51 

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

       

  

(1)

  

(1)

  

  

  

  

(1)

  

(1)

     

     

(1)

 

  Total unallocated loss expense incurred

      

$

11 

 

$

13 

 

$

14 

 

$

13 

 

$

12 

 

$

12 

 

$

23 

 

$

23 

    

$

36 

    

$

50 

 

  Underwriting expenses incurred

       

63 

  

55 

  

57 

  

58 

  

60 

  

61 

  

118 

  

122 

     

179 

     

238 

 

  Underwriting profit (loss)

      

$

(3)

 

$

22 

 

$

(8)

 

$

(8)

 

$

(17)

 

$

17 

 

$

19 

 

$

(1)

    

$

(8)

    

$

(18)

 
                                           

Loss Detail

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

      

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

10 

 

$

 

$

 

$

12 

 

$

    

$

18 

    

$

23 

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

       

12 

  

10 

  

  

12 

  

  

10 

  

21 

  

19 

     

31 

     

39 

 

Development and case reserve increases

  of $250,000 or more

       

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

12 

     

16 

     

22 

 

  Large losses subtotal

      

$

22 

 

$

19 

 

$

18 

 

$

26 

 

$

22 

 

$

17 

 

$

40 

 

$

40 

    

$

65 

    

$

84 

 

IBNR incurred

       

  

  

(12)

  

  

  

  

  

     

     

(11)

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

       

  

(7)

  

33 

  

13 

  

30 

  

10 

  

(1)

  

40 

     

54 

     

86 

 

Remaining incurred

       

77 

  

76 

  

79 

  

82 

  

82 

  

74 

  

154 

  

157 

     

241 

     

320 

 

  Total losses incurred

      

$

106 

 

$

88 

 

$

118 

 

$

122 

 

$

135 

 

$

101 

 

$

194 

 

$

238 

    

$

361 

    

$

479 

 
                                           

Ratio Data

                                          

Loss ratio

       

58.6 

%

 

48.9 

%

 

64.4 

%

 

65.1 

%

 

70.0 

%

 

52.2 

%

 

53.8 

%

 

61.1 

%

    

62.4 

%

    

62.9 

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

       

1.9 

  

1.8 

  

1.2 

  

1.9 

  

2.1 

  

1.7 

  

1.8 

  

1.9 

     

2.0 

     

1.7 

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

       

6.2 

  

6.6 

  

7.8 

  

6.6 

  

5.8 

  

6.2 

  

6.4 

  

6.0 

     

6.1 

     

6.6 

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

       

31.8 

  

36.2 

  

34.3 

  

30.4 

  

28.5 

  

38.0 

  

33.7 

  

32.6 

     

31.8 

     

32.4 

 

  Statutory combined ratio

       

98.5 

%

 

93.5 

%

 

107.7 

%

 

104.0 

%

 

106.4 

%

 

98.1 

%

 

95.7 

%

 

101.6 

%

    

102.3 

%

    

103.6 

%

  Statutory combined ratio excluding
    catastrophes

       

95.1 

%

 

97.6 

%

 

89.8 

%

 

96.9 

%

 

90.8 

%

 

93.1 

%

 

96.1 

%

 

91.3 

%

    

93.1 

%

    

92.3 

%

                                           

Loss Ratio

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

       

3.8 

%

 

3.0 

%

 

2.2 

%

 

5.0 

%

 

3.5 

%

 

1.2 

%

 

3.4 

%

 

2.3 

%

    

3.2 

%

    

3.0 

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

       

6.4 

  

5.4 

  

4.5 

  

6.4 

  

4.4 

  

5.3 

  

5.9 

  

4.9 

     

5.4 

     

5.2 

 

Development and case increases

  of $250,000 or more

       

1.5 

  

2.2 

  

3.4 

  

2.1 

  

3.5 

  

2.7 

  

1.8 

  

3.1 

     

2.8 

     

2.9 

 

Large losses subtotal

       

11.7 

%

 

10.6 

%

 

10.1 

%

 

13.5 

%

 

11.4 

%

 

9.2 

%

 

11.1 

%

 

10.3 

%

    

11.4 

%

    

11.1 

%

IBNR incurred

       

0.4 

  

  

(6.8)

  

0.1 

  

0.7 

  

  

0.2 

  

0.3 

     

0.3 

     

(1.5)

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

       

3.5 

  

(4.1)

  

17.9 

  

7.1 

  

15.6 

  

5.0 

  

(0.3)

  

10.3 

     

9.2 

     

11.3 

 

Remaining incurred

       

43.0 

  

42.4 

  

43.2 

  

44.4 

  

42.3 

  

38.0 

  

42.8 

  

40.2 

     

41.5 

     

42.0 

 

  Total loss ratio

       

58.6 

%

 

48.9 

%

 

64.4 

%

 

65.1 

%

 

70.0 

%

 

52.2 

%

 

53.8 

%

 

61.1 

%

    

62.4 

%

    

62.9 

%

 

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

*NM - Not meaningful

*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

19








Cincinnati Insurance Group

Direct Written Premiums by Risk State by Line of Business for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2007

(Dollars in millions)

  

6/30/2007

6/30/2006

Commercial

Personal

Total

Comm

Comm

Comm

Workers'

Specialty

Surety &

Mach. &

Pers

Home

Other

Agency

Agency

Change

Change

Change

Risk State

Casualty

Prop

Auto

Comp

Packages

Exec Risk

Equip

Auto

Owner

Personal

Direct

Direct

%

%

%

                            

AL

$

11.4

$

8.6

$

4.2

$

0.4 

$

3.6

$

1.0

$

0.2

$

7.6

$

11.0

$

2.3

$

50.3

$

45.6

20.0 

(0.9)

10.3 

AZ

 

7.0

 

3.3

 

4.8

 

0.2 

 

0.5

 

0.4

 

0.2

 

-

 

0.1

 

0.1

 

16.6

 

15.5

7.2 

7.1 

AR

 

5.4

 

4.5

 

3.3

 

2.6 

 

1.9

 

0.7

 

0.2

 

1.3

 

1.4

 

0.4

 

21.7

 

23.0

(5.6)

(6.1)

(5.7)

DE

 

0.4

 

0.3

 

0.3

 

1.1 

 

-

 

-

 

-

 

-

 

-

 

-

 

2.1

 

1.4

50.0 

50.0 

FL

 

20.6

 

13.8

 

7.4

 

0.9 

 

1.8

 

1.2

 

0.5

 

6.5

 

14.5

 

1.9

 

69.1

 

60.2

11.3 

22.5 

14.8 

GA

 

15.5

 

10.2

 

11.5

 

7.6 

 

3.6

 

3.3

 

0.4

 

15.6

 

12.9

 

3.4

 

84.0

 

80.3

9.2 

(2.1)

4.6 

ID

 

4.5

 

1.9

 

2.6

 

 

0.6

 

0.6

 

0.1

 

-

 

-

 

-

 

10.3

 

9.1

13.2 

13.2 

IL

 

43.7

 

24.3

 

18.0

 

31.3 

 

6.7

 

4.2

 

1.5

 

11.7

 

9.2

 

3.2

 

153.8

 

158.4

(2.0)

(7.3)

(2.9)

IN

 

28.6

 

21.0

 

14.5

 

16.2 

 

4.3

 

3.3

 

1.2

 

13.0

 

12.2

 

3.2

 

117.5

 

124.2

(3.5)

(11.0)

(5.4)

IA

 

11.6

 

6.6

 

4.9

 

12.9 

 

2.4

 

1.2

 

0.6

 

2.1

 

2.0

 

0.9

 

45.2

 

44.0

4.1 

(7.4)

2.7 

KS

 

4.5

 

4.2

 

2.3

 

3.9 

 

1.8

 

0.7

 

0.2

 

2.3

 

3.0

 

0.6

 

23.5

 

22.9

7.3 

(9.2)

2.6 

KY

 

11.7

 

10.0

 

7.0

 

2.1 

 

2.5

 

1.2

 

0.5

 

9.3

 

7.1

 

1.9

 

53.3

 

52.2

7.0 

(6.2)

2.1 

MD

 

8.0

 

3.1

 

5.2

 

6.1 

 

0.6

 

0.8

 

0.2

 

-

 

0.6

 

0.2

 

24.8

 

21.9

13.7 

13.2 

MI

 

19.6

 

12.7

 

8.9

 

9.7 

 

6.3

 

2.8

 

0.8

 

6.7

 

7.4

 

1.6

 

76.5

 

86.0

(11.4)

(9.8)

(11.0)

MN

 

15.4

 

9.3

 

6.2

 

5.2 

 

2.2

 

1.3

 

0.5

 

3.4

 

2.9

 

2.1

 

48.5

 

45.4

8.7 

(1.2)

6.8 

MO

 

15.5

 

10.5

 

6.2

 

10.2 

 

2.8

 

0.9

 

0.5

 

1.4

 

2.1

 

0.4

 

50.5

 

46.5

11.2 

(15.2)

8.6 

MT

 

7.6

 

3.6

 

3.9

 

0.1 

 

0.5

 

0.2

 

0.2

 

-

 

0.1

 

-

 

16.2

 

14.2

14.2 

14.1 

NE

 

3.6

 

2.8

 

2.0

 

3.9 

 

0.8

 

0.6

 

0.2

 

0.5

 

0.6

 

0.2

 

15.2

 

17.1

(10.3)

(18.8)

(11.1)

NH

 

1.5

 

1.0

 

0.8

 

1.5 

 

0.4

 

0.3

 

0.1

 

0.4

 

0.4

 

0.2

 

6.6

 

6.5

11.1 

1.5 

NY

 

19.7

 

4.2

 

5.3

 

1.5 

 

0.7

 

1.8

 

0.3

 

-

 

-

 

-

 

33.5

 

25.4

31.9 

31.9 

NC

 

23.9

 

15.1

 

12.9

 

15.2 

 

6.4

 

3.6

 

0.7

 

0.5

 

0.7

 

1.3

 

80.3

 

72.6

11.5 

(10.7)

10.6 

ND

 

2.5

 

1.5

 

1.3

 

 

0.4

 

0.4

 

0.1

 

0.3

 

0.3

 

0.1

 

6.9

 

6.5

6.9

6.2 

OH

 

91.7

 

49.7

 

38.7

 

(0.4)

 

11.1

 

11.2

 

2.3

 

64.8

 

44.7

 

14.9

 

328.7

 

340.6

(1.0)

(7.4)

(3.5)

PA

 

27.3

 

15.6

 

16.8

 

30.1 

 

5.2

 

3.3

 

0.9

 

4.0

 

3.2

 

1.6

 

108.0

 

106.1

1.7 

2.3 

1.8 

SC

 

7.6

 

5.1

 

4.3

 

3.1 

 

1.4

 

1.6

 

0.2

 

-

 

-

 

0.1

 

23.4

 

21.6

8.4 

8.3 

SD

 

2.6

 

1.6

 

1.3

 

2.9 

 

0.3

 

0.3

 

0.1

 

-

 

-

 

-

 

9.1

 

8.0

13.8 

13.8 

TN

 

14.9

 

9.8

 

9.1

 

7.3 

 

4.6

 

2.1

 

0.5

 

4.1

 

4.4

 

1.5

 

58.3

 

54.6

5.9 

11.1 

6.8 

UT

 

5.7

 

2.0

 

2.7

 

 

0.2

 

1.0

 

0.2

 

-

 

-

 

-

 

11.8

 

7.6

55.3 

55.3 

VT

 

2.5

 

2.0

 

1.6

 

4.0 

 

0.5

 

0.3

 

0.1

 

0.4

 

0.4

 

0.1

 

11.9

 

12.0

(10.0)

(0.8)

VA

 

19.1

 

13.4

 

13.2

 

13.4 

 

2.6

 

2.3

 

0.5

 

4.8

 

3.9

 

1.4

 

74.6

 

75.3

(0.3)

(4.7)

(0.9)

WV

 

4.8

 

3.3

 

3.2

 

 

1.2

 

0.4

 

0.1

 

-

 

0.4

 

0.1

 

13.5

 

12.2

12.1 

(16.7)

10.7 

WI

 

16.8

 

9.9

 

6.9

 

16.1 

 

2.4

 

1.3

 

0.8

 

4.6

 

3.6

 

1.6

 

64.0

 

68.7

(5.7)

(12.5)

(6.8)

All Other

 

3.2

 

2.6

 

1.9

 

2.5 

 

0.2

 

0.7

 

0.3

 

0.5

 

0.1

 

0.1

 

12.1

 

10.5

12.9 

75.0 

15.2 

Total

$

478.4

$

287.5

$

233.2

$

211.6 

$

80.5

$

55.0

$

15.2

$

165.8

$

149.2

$

45.4

$

1,721.8

$

1,696.1

3.3 

(4.8)

1.5 

Other Direct

 

0.5

 

0.8

 

0.4

 

3.4 

 

0.1

 

-

 

-

 

0.4

 

1.7

 

0.9

 

8.2

 

9.9

(30.7)

25.0 

(17.2)

Total Direct

$

478.9

$

288.3

$

233.6

$

215.0 

$

80.6

$

55.0

$

15.2

$

166.2

$

150.9

$

46.3

$

1,730.0

$

1,706.0

3.1 

(4.6)

1.4 



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

20








Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - By Commercial Lines of Business

  

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 
 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

 

Commercial casualty:

                                           

Written premiums

      

$

218

 

$

245 

 

$

204 

 

$

196 

 

$

209

 

$

228

 

$

462 

 

$

437

    

$

634

    

$

838

  

Earned premiums

       

209

  

209 

  

219 

  

207 

  

208

  

197

  

418 

  

405

     

613

     

831

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

       

55.0

%

 

53.5 

%

 

58.8 

%

 

49.4 

%

 

51.8

%

 

51.3

%

 

54.2 

%

 

51.6

%

    

50.8

%

    

53.0

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

       

-

  

  

  

  

-

  

-

  

  

-

     

-

     

-

  

Loss and loss expenses
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

       

55.0

%

 

53.5 

%

 

58.8 

%

 

49.4 

%

 

51.8

%

 

51.3

%

 

54.2 

%

 

51.6

%

    

50.8

%

    

53.0

%

 
                                            

Commercial property:

                                           

Written premiums

      

$

125

 

$

138 

 

$

124 

 

$

126 

 

$

122

 

$

134

 

$

263 

 

$

256

    

$

381

    

$

505

  

Earned premiums

       

125

  

123 

  

123 

  

123 

  

123

  

121

  

248 

  

244

     

367

     

491

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

       

45.9

%

 

53.6 

%

 

47.0 

%

 

54.9 

%

 

55.8

%

 

72.6

%

 

49.7 

%

 

64.2

%

    

61.0

%

    

57.5

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

       

3.2

  

6.9 

  

7.1 

  

9.9 

  

15.9

  

22.7

  

5.0 

  

19.3

     

16.1

     

13.9

  

Loss and loss expenses
 excluding catastrophe loss ratio

       

42.7

%

 

46.7 

%

 

39.9 

%

 

45.0 

%

 

39.9

%

 

49.9

%

 

44.7 

%

 

44.9

%

    

44.9

%

    

43.6

%

 
                                            

Commercial auto:

                                           

Written premiums

      

$

112

 

$

124 

 

$

105 

 

$

105 

 

$

114

 

$

126

 

$

236 

 

$

240

    

$

345

    

$

450

  

Earned premiums

       

110

  

113 

  

116 

  

113 

  

112

  

112

  

223 

  

224

     

337

     

453

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

       

62.0

%

 

64.6 

%

 

58.5 

%

 

72.8 

%

 

57.0

%

 

57.7

%

 

63.4 

%

 

57.4

%

    

62.5

%

    

61.5

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

       

-

  

(0.2)

  

0.6 

  

(0.5)

  

3.1

  

0.6

  

  

1.9

     

1.0

     

0.9

  

Loss and loss expenses
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

       

62.0

%

 

64.8 

%

 

57.9 

%

 

73.3 

%

 

53.9

%

 

57.1

%

 

63.4 

%

 

55.5

%

    

61.5

%

    

60.6

%

 
                                            

Workers' compensation:

                                           

Written premiums

      

$

92

 

$

113 

 

$

91 

 

$

85 

 

$

91

 

$

111

 

$

206 

 

$

203

    

$

288

    

$

379

  

Earned premiums

       

95

  

92 

  

95 

  

93 

  

90

  

88

  

187 

  

178

     

271

     

366

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

       

66.8

%

 

76.5 

%

 

89.3 

%

 

90.3 

%

 

83.1

%

 

78.6

%

 

71.5 

%

 

80.8

%

    

84.1

%

    

85.4

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

       

-

  

  

  

  

-

  

-

  

  

-

     

-

     

-

  

Loss and loss expenses
 excluding catastrophe loss ratio

       

66.8

%

 

76.5 

%

 

89.3 

%

 

90.3 

%

 

83.1

%

 

78.6

%

 

71.5 

%

 

80.8

%

    

84.1

%

    

85.4

%

 
                                            

Specialty package:

                                           

Written premiums

      

$

36

 

$

41 

 

$

35 

 

$

35 

 

$

34

 

$

40

 

$

77 

 

$

74

    

$

109

    

$

144

  

Earned premiums

       

37

  

36 

  

35 

  

35 

  

35

  

36

  

73 

  

71

     

106

     

141

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

       

49.9

%

 

69.6 

%

 

44.9 

%

 

74.2 

%

 

82.1

%

 

64.3

%

 

59.6 

%

 

73.1

%

    

73.5

%

    

66.3

%

 

Less Catastrophe loss ratio

       

2.6

  

7.0 

  

5.8 

  

7.1 

  

29.2

  

3.6

  

4.7 

  

16.2

     

13.3

     

11.4

  

Loss and loss expenses
 excluding catastrophe loss ratio

       

47.3

%

 

62.6 

%

 

39.1 

%

 

67.1 

%

 

52.9

%

 

60.7

%

 

54.9 

%

 

56.9

%

    

60.2

%

    

54.9

%

 
                                            

Surety and executive risk:

                                           

Written premiums

      

$

23

 

$

25 

 

$

23 

 

$

28 

 

$

25

 

$

22

 

$

48 

 

$

46

    

$

74

    

$

97

  

Earned premiums

       

24

  

24 

  

24 

  

24 

  

24

  

21

  

47 

  

45

     

69

     

93

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

       

49.2

%

 

24.0 

%

 

36.3 

%

 

47.3 

%

 

89.6

%

 

26.5

%

 

36.7 

%

 

60.1

%

    

55.6

%

    

50.7

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

       

-

  

  

  

  

-

  

-

  

  

-

     

-

     

-

  

Loss and loss expenses
 excluding catastrophe loss ratio

       

49.2

%

 

24.0 

%

 

36.3 

%

 

47.3 

%

 

89.6

%

 

26.5

%

 

36.7 

%

 

60.1

%

    

55.6

%

    

50.7

%

 
                                            

Machinery and equipment:

                                           

Written premiums

      

$

7

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

8

 

$

7

 

$

14 

 

$

15

    

$

22

    

$

29

  

Earned premiums

       

7

  

  

  

  

7

  

7

  

14 

  

14

     

20

     

27

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

       

20.5

%

 

28.2 

%

 

62.4 

%

 

45.2 

%

 

27.0

%

 

32.2

%

 

24.4 

%

 

29.5

%

    

34.8

%

    

42.0

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

       

-

  

(1.6)

  

(0.5)

  

2.1 

  

-

  

-

  

(0.8)

  

-

     

0.8

     

0.4

  

Loss and loss expense
 excluding catastrophe loss ratio

       

20.5

%

 

29.8 

%

 

62.9 

%

 

43.1 

%

 

27.0

%

 

32.2

%

 

25.1 

%

 

29.5

%

    

34.0

%

    

41.6

%

 
                                            

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is

computed independently.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

21








Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - By Personal Lines of Business

  

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 
 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

 

Personal auto:

                                           

Written premiums

      

$

93 

 

$

72 

 

$

79

 

$

96

 

$

104

 

$

79

 

$

165 

 

$

184

    

$

279

    

$

359

  

Earned premiums

       

86 

  

88 

  

91

  

95

  

98

  

101

  

174 

  

199

     

294

     

385

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

       

67.6 

%

 

66.5 

%

 

74.3

%

 

60.6

%

 

65.8

%

 

60.1

%

 

67.1 

%

 

62.9

%

    

62.2

%

    

65.0

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

       

(0.3)

  

(2.3)

  

5.7

  

1.4

  

3.6

  

0.8

  

(1.3)

  

2.2

     

2.0

    

0

2.8

  

Loss and loss expenses

  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

       

67.9 

%

 

68.8 

%

 

68.6

%

 

59.2

%

 

62.2

%

 

59.3

%

 

68.4 

%

 

60.7

%

    

60.2

%

    

62.2

%

 
                                            

Homeowner:

                                           

Written premiums

      

$

80 

 

$

61 

 

$

66

 

$

79

 

$

83

 

$

62

 

$

141 

 

$

144

    

$

224

    

$

290

  

Earned premiums

       

72 

  

71 

  

70

  

72

  

73

  

73

  

144 

  

146

     

219

     

289

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

       

66.8 

%

 

50.0 

%

 

80.8

%

 

93.9

%

 

93.1

%

 

64.0

%

 

58.5 

%

 

78.6

%

    

83.7

%

    

83.0

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

       

8.2 

  

(7.5)

  

36.0

  

15.0

  

33.1

  

11.1

  

0.4 

  

22.1

     

19.8

     

23.7

  

Loss and loss expenses

  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

       

58.6 

%

 

57.5 

%

 

44.8

%

 

78.9

%

 

60.0

%

 

52.9

%

 

58.1 

%

 

56.5

%

    

63.9

%

    

59.3

%

 
                                            

Other personal:

                                           

Written premiums

      

$

24 

 

$

20 

 

$

21

 

$

23

 

$

24

 

$

20

 

$

44 

 

$

44

    

$

67

    

$

87

  

Earned premiums

       

22 

  

22 

  

22

  

22

  

22

  

22

  

44 

  

45

     

66

     

88

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

       

62.8 

%

 

43.4 

%

 

45.6

%

 

63.3

%

 

80.9

%

 

47.4

%

 

53.1 

%

 

64.2

%

    

63.9

%

    

59.4

%

 

Less Catastrophe loss ratio

       

2.6 

  

(0.1)

  

9.9

  

5.2

  

10.8

  

3.8

  

1.2 

  

7.4

     

6.6

     

7.4

  

Loss and loss expenses

  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

       

60.2 

%

 

43.5 

%

 

35.7

%

 

58.1

%

 

70.1

%

 

43.6

%

 

51.9 

%

 

56.8

%

    

57.3

%

    

52.0

%

 
  

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the

full year as each is computed independently.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

22








Cincinnati Insurance Company

Quarterly Detailed Loss Analysis

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

All Lines

                                          

 Loss and loss expenses:

                                          

  Loss and loss expenses - current AY

      

$

484 

 

$

472 

 

$

539 

 

$

526 

 

$

468 

 

$

414 

 

$

956 

 

$

882 

    

$

1,406 

    

$

1,947 

 

  Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's

       

(40)

  

(18)

  

(81)

  

(37)

  

(13)

  

18 

  

(58)

  

     

(32)

     

(113)

 

  Catastrophes - current AY

       

15 

  

17 

  

42 

  

29 

  

67 

  

38 

  

31 

  

105 

     

134 

     

176 

 

  Catastrophes - prior AY's

       

(4)

  

(13)

  

  

(2)

  

(3)

  

  

(17)

  

(2)

     

(4)

     

(2)

 

   Total

      

$

455 

 

$

458 

 

$

502 

 

$

516 

 

$

519 

 

$

471 

 

$

912 

 

$

990 

    

$

1,504 

    

$

2,008 

 

Ratios to Earned Premium

                                          

 Loss and loss expenses :

                                          

  Loss and loss expenses - current AY

       

61.6 

%

 

60.2 

%

 

67.2 

%

 

66.4 

%

 

59.1 

%

 

53.2 

%

 

60.9 

%

 

56.2 

%

    

59.5 

%

    

61.6 

%

  Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's

       

(5.1)

  

(2.3)

  

(10.1)

  

(4.7)

  

(1.7)

  

2.4 

  

(3.7)

  

0.3 

     

(1.4)

     

(3.6)

 

  Catastrophes - current AY

       

1.9 

  

2.1 

  

5.2 

  

3.7 

  

8.5 

  

4.9 

  

2.0 

  

6.7 

     

5.7 

     

5.6 

 

  Catastrophes - prior AY's

       

(0.5)

  

(1.7)

  

0.2 

  

(0.2)

  

(0.5)

  

0.2 

  

(1.1)

  

(0.2)

     

(0.2)

     

(0.1)

 

   Total

       

57.9 

%

 

58.3 

%

 

62.5 

%

 

65.2 

%

 

65.4 

%

 

60.7 

%

 

58.1 

%

 

63.0 

%

    

63.6 

%

    

63.5 

%

                                           

Commercial Lines

                                          

 Loss and loss expenses:

                                          

  Loss and loss expenses - current AY

      

$

370 

 

$

357 

 

$

421 

 

$

396 

 

$

349 

 

$

310 

 

$

727 

 

$

659 

    

$

1,053 

    

$

1,476 

 

  Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's

       

(40)

  

(13)

  

(64)

  

(33)

  

(15)

  

14 

  

(53)

  

(1)

     

(34)

     

(98)

 

  Catastrophes - current AY

       

  

13 

  

  

15 

  

35 

  

28 

  

21 

  

63 

     

78 

     

87 

 

  Catastrophes - prior AY's

       

(3)

  

(3)

  

  

(1)

  

(1)

  

  

(6)

  

     

(1)

     

 

   Total

      

$

335 

 

$

354 

 

$

368 

 

$

377 

 

$

368 

 

$

353 

 

$

689 

 

$

721 

    

$

1,096 

    

$

1,466 

 

Ratios to Earned Premium

                                          

 Loss and loss expenses:

                                          

  Loss and loss expenses - current AY

       

60.9 

%

 

59.0 

%

 

68.1 

%

 

65.6 

%

 

58.3 

%

 

53.3 

%

 

60.0 

%

 

55.8 

%

    

58.9 

%

    

61.4 

%

  Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's

       

(6.5)

  

(2.1)

  

(10.3)

  

(5.5)

  

(2.5)

  

2.5 

  

(4.3)

  

0.0 

     

(1.9)

     

(4.1)

 

  Catastrophes - current AY

       

1.4 

  

2.2 

  

1.5 

  

2.6 

  

5.9 

  

4.8 

  

1.8 

  

5.4 

     

4.4 

     

3.6 

 

  Catastrophes - prior AY's

       

(0.5)

  

(0.4)

  

0.3 

  

(0.2)

  

(0.4)

  

0.2 

  

(0.5)

  

(0.1)

     

(0.1)

     

 

   Total

       

55.3 

%

 

58.7 

%

 

59.6 

%

 

62.5 

%

 

61.3 

%

 

60.8 

%

 

57.0 

%

 

61.1 

%

    

61.3 

%

    

60.9 

%

                                           

Personal Lines

                                          

 Loss and loss expenses:

                                          

  Loss and loss expenses - current AY

      

$

114 

 

$

115 

 

$

118 

 

$

130 

 

$

119 

 

$

104 

 

$

229 

 

$

223 

    

$

352 

    

$

471 

 

  Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's

       

  

(5)

  

(17)

  

(4)

  

  

  

(5)

  

     

     

(15)

 

  Catastrophes - current AY

       

  

  

33 

  

14 

  

32 

  

10 

  

10 

  

42 

     

57 

     

89 

 

  Catastrophes - prior AY's

       

(1)

  

(10)

  

  

(1)

  

(2)

  

  

(11)

  

(2)

     

(3)

     

(3)

 

   Total

      

$

120 

 

$

104 

 

$

134 

 

$

139 

 

$

151 

 

$

118 

 

$

223 

 

$

269 

    

$

408 

    

$

542 

 

Ratios to Earned Premium

                                          

 Loss and loss expenses:

                                          

  Loss and loss expenses - current AY

       

63.3 

%

 

64.4 

%

 

64.9 

%

 

68.7 

%

 

61.5 

%

 

53.1 

%

 

63.8 

%

 

57.3 

%

    

60.8 

%

    

61.9 

%

  Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's

       

  

(3.0)

  

(9.4)

  

(2.2)

  

0.8 

  

2.0 

  

(1.5)

  

1.4 

     

0.3 

     

(2.0)

 

  Catastrophes - current AY

       

3.8 

  

2.0 

  

18.2 

  

7.4 

  

16.4 

  

5.1 

  

2.9 

  

10.7 

     

9.8 

     

11.7 

 

  Catastrophes - prior AY's

       

(0.3)

  

(6.1)

  

(0.3)

  

(0.3)

  

(0.8)

  

(0.1)

  

(3.2)

  

(0.4)

     

(0.5)

     

(0.4)

 

   Total

       

66.8 

%

 

57.3 

%

 

73.4 

%

 

73.6 

%

 

77.9 

%

 

60.1 

%

 

62.0 

%

 

69.0 

%

    

70.4 

%

    

71.2 

%



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

23








Cincinnati Insurance Group

10-Year Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

Premiums

                              

  Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

3,172 

 

$

3,097 

 

$

3,026 

 

$

2,789 

 

$

2,496 

 

$

2,188 

 

$

1,936 

 

$

1,681 

 

$

1,558 

 

$

1,472 

 

  Codification

 

  

  

  

  

  

402 

  

(55)

  

  

  

 

  Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

  

(21)

  

(29)

  

26 

  

117 

  

  

  

  

  

 

  Reported written premiums (statutory)**

 

3,178 

  

3,076 

  

2,997 

  

2,815 

  

2,613 

  

2,590 

  

1,881 

  

1,681 

  

1,558 

  

1,472 

 

  Unearned premiums change

 

(14)

  

(18)

  

(78)

  

(162)

  

(222)

  

(517)

  

(53)

  

(23)

  

(15)

  

(18)

 

  Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

3,164 

 

$

3,058 

 

$

2,919 

 

$

2,653 

 

$

2,391 

 

$

2,073 

 

$

1,828 

 

$

1,658 

 

$

1,543 

 

$

1,454 

 
                               

Year-over-year growth rate:

                              

  Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

2.4 

%

2.3 

%

8.5 

%

11.7 

%

14.0 

%

13.0 

%

15.2 

%

7.9 

%

5.8 

%

6.4 

%

  Written premiums (statutory)

 

3.3 

%

 

2.6 

%

6.5 

%

7.7 

%

0.9 

%

37.7 

%

11.9 

%

7.9 

%

5.8 

%

6.4 

%

  Earned premiums

 

3.5 

%

4.8 

%

10.0 

%

11.0 

%

15.3 

%

13.4 

%

10.3 

%

7.5 

%

6.1 

%

6.4 

%

                               

Statutory combined ratio

                              

  Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

93.9 

%

89.0 

  

89.4 

%

94.2 

%

98.4 

%

99.5 

%

112.5 

%

100.4 

%

104.2 

%

98.3 

%

  Codification

 

  

  

  

  

  

4.1 

  

(0.9)

  

  

  

 

  Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

1.2 

  

  

-

  

  

  

 

  One-time item

 

  

  

  

0.8 

  

  

  

(1.7)

  

  

  

 

  Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

93.9 

%

89.0 

%

89.4 

%

95.0 

%

99.6 

%

103.6 

%

109.9 

%

100.4 

%

104.2 

%

98.3 

%

  Less catastrophe losses

 

5.5 

  

4.1 

  

5.1 

  

3.6 

  

3.6 

  

3.1 

  

2.7 

  

2.5 

  

6.1 

    

  Statutory combined ratio excluding
    catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

88.4 

%

84.9 

%

 

84.3 

%

 

91.4 

%

 

96.0 

%

 

100.5 

%

 

107.2 

%

 

97.9 

%

 

98.1 

%

   
                               

  Reported commission expense ratio*

 

18.7 

%

19.3 

%

19.2 

%

17.6 

%

15.9 

%

13.9 

%

17.4 

%

17.4 

%

17.6 

%

  

  Codification

 

  

  

  

  

  

2.6 

  

(0.5)

  

  

    

  Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

0.8 

  

  

  

  

    

  One-time item

 

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

    

  Commission expense ratio (adjusted)

 

18.7 

%

19.3 

%

19.2 

%

 

17.6 

%

 

16.7 

%

 

16.5 

%

 

16.9 

%

 

17.4 

%

 

17.6 

%

   
                               

  Reported other expense ratio*

 

11.7 

%

10.5 

%

10.1 

%

8.9 

%

9.6 

%

8.7 

%

12.6 

%

11.4 

%

11.9 

%

  

  Codification

 

  

  

  

  

  

1.5 

  

(0.4)

  

  

    

  Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

0.4 

  

  

  

  

    

  One-time item

 

  

  

  

0.8 

  

  

  

(1.7)

  

  

    

  Other expense ratio (adjusted)

 

11.7 

%

10.5 

%

10.1 

%

 

9.7 

%

 

10.0 

%

 

10.2 

%

 

10.5 

%

 

11.4 

%

 

11.9 

%

   
                               

  Reported statutory expense ratio*

 

30.4 

%

29.8 

%

29.3 

%

26.5 

%

25.5 

%

22.6 

%

30.0 

%

28.8 

%

29.5 

%

  

  Codification

 

  

  

  

  

  

4.1 

  

(0.9)

  

  

    

  Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

1.2 

  

  

  

  

    

  One-time item

 

  

  

  

0.8 

  

  

  

(1.7)

  

  

    

  Statutory expense ratio (adjusted)

 

30.4 

%

29.8 

%

29.3 

%

 

27.3

%

 

26.7 

%

 

26.7 

%

 

27.4 

%

 

28.8 

%

 

29.5 

%

   
                               

GAAP combined ratio

                              

  GAAP combined ratio

 

94.3 

%

89.2 

%

89.8 

%

94.7 

%

99.7 

%

104.9 

%

112.8 

%

100.2 

%

104.3 

%

98.4 

%

  One-time item

 

  

  

  

0.8 

  

  

  

(2.1)

  

  

  

 

  GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

94.3 

%

89.2 

%

89.8 

%

 

95.5 

%

 

99.7 

%

 

104.9 

%

 

110.7 

%

 

100.2 

%

 

104.3 

%

 

98.4 

%

                               

Written premiums to surplus

                              

  Adjusted premiums to statutory surplus ratio

 

0.672 

  

0.739 

  

0.721 

  

1.002 

  

1.067 

  

0.864 

             

  Written premium adjustment

 

0.001 

  

(0.005)

  

(0.007)

  

0.010 

  

0.050 

  

0.159 

             

  Reported premiums to statutory surplus ratio

 

0.673 

  

0.734 

  

0.714 

  

1.012 

  

1.117 

  

1.023 

             
                               

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

*nm - Not meaningful

*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

**Prior to 2001, property casualty written premiums were recognized as they were billed throughout the policy period. Effective January 1, 2001, written premiums have been recognized on an annualized basis at

the effective date of the policy.  Written premiums for 2000 were reclassified to conform with the 2001 presentation; information was not readily available to reclassify earlier year statutory data. The growth rates in written premiums

between 1999 and 2000 are overstated because 1999 premiums are shown on a billed basis.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

24








Cincinnati Insurance Group

6-Year Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

Premiums

                  

  Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

2,435 

 

$

2,306 

 

$

2,209 

 

$

2,009 

 

$

1,795 

 

$

1,551 

 

  Codification

 

  

  

  

  

  

276 

 

  Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

  

(16)

  

(23)

  

22 

  

110 

  

 

  Reported written premiums (statutory)

$

2,442 

 

$

2,290 

 

$

2,186 

 

$

2,031 

 

$

1,905 

 

$

1,827 

 

  Unearned premiums change

 

(40)

  

(36)

  

(60)

  

(123)

  

(184)

  

(374)

 

  Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

2,402 

 

$

2,254 

 

$

2,126 

 

$

1,908 

 

$

1,721 

 

$

1,453 

 
                   

Year-over-year growth rate:

                  

  Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

5.6 

%

 

4.4 

%

10.0 

%

11.9 

%

15.8 

%

16.9 

%

  Written premiums (statutory)

 

6.6 

%

 

4.8 

%

7.6 

%

6.6 

%

4.2 

%

43.3 

%

  Earned premiums

 

6.6 

%

 

6.0 

%

11.4 

%

10.8 

%

18.6 

%

17.9 

%

                   

Statutory combined ratio

                  

  Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

90.8 

%

 

87.1 

%

 

83.7 

%

90.9 

%

95.3 

%

96.7 

%

  Codification

 

  

  

  

  

  

4.0 

 

  Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

1.5 

  

 

  One-time item

 

  

  

  

0.7 

  

  

 

  Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

90.8 

%

 

87.1 

%

83.7 

%

91.6 

%

96.8 

%

100.7 

%

  Less catastrophe losses

 

3.7 

  

3.4 

  

3.4 

  

2.2 

  

2.3 

  

1.9 

 

  Statutory combined ratio excluding
    catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

87.1 

%

 

83.7 

%

80.3 

%

89.4 

%

94.5 

%

98.8 

%

                   

GAAP combined ratio

                  

  GAAP combined ratio

 

91.3 

%

 

87.4 

%

84.1 

%

91.3 

%

96.6 

%

101.7 

%

  One-time item

 

  

  

  

0.8 

  

  

 

  GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

91.3 

%

 

87.4 

%

 

84.1 

%

 

92.1 

%

 

96.6 

%

 

101.7 

%

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

*nm - Not meaningful

*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with

the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

25








Cincinnati Insurance Group

6-Year Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

Premiums

                  

  Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

737 

 

$

791 

 

$

817 

 

$

780 

 

$

701 

 

$

637 

 

  Codification

 

  

  

  

  

  

126 

 

  Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

(1)

  

(5)

  

(6)

  

  

  

 

  Reported written premiums (statutory)

$

736 

 

$

786 

 

$

811 

 

$

784 

 

$

708 

 

$

763 

 

  Unearned premiums change

 

26 

  

18 

  

(18)

  

(39)

  

(38)

  

(143)

 

  Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

762 

 

$

804 

 

$

793 

 

$

745 

 

$

670 

 

$

620 

 
                   

Year-over-year growth rate:

                  

  Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

(6.8)

%

 

(3.2)

%

4.7 

%

12.0 

%

9.8 

%

4.6 

%

  Written premiums (statutory)

 

(6.4)

%

 

(3.1)

%

3.4 

%

10.8 

%

(7.2)

%

26.1 

%

  Earned premiums

 

(5.2)

%

 

1.4 

%

6.4 

%

11.2 

%

8.1 

%

4.0 

%

                   

Statutory combined ratio

                  

  Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

103.6 

%

 

94.3 

%

104.6 

%

102.9 

%

106.5 

%

105.9 

%

  Codification

 

  

  

  

  

  

4.6 

 

  Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

0.3 

  

 

  One-time item

 

  

  

  

1.0 

  

  

 

  Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

103.6 

%

 

94.3 

%

104.6 

%

103.9 

%

106.8 

%

110.5 

%

  Less catastrophe losses

 

11.3 

  

6.3 

  

9.7 

  

7.3 

  

7.1 

  

5.8 

 

  Statutory combined ratio excluding
    catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

92.3 

%

 

88.0 

%

 

94.9 

%

 

96.6 

%

 

99.7 

%

 

104.7 

%

                   

GAAP combined ratio

                  

  GAAP combined ratio

 

103.6 

%

 

94.4 

%

105.0 

%

103.6 

%

107.6 

%

112.4 

%

  One-time item

 

  

-

  

  

1.1 

  

  

 

  GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

103.6 

%

 

94.4 

%

105.0 

%

104.7 

%

107.6 

%

112.4 

%

                   

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

*nm - Not meaningful

*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with

the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

26








Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

Premiums

                                        

  Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

      

$

808 

 

$

811 

 

$

785 

 

$

787 

 

$

804 

 

$

796 

 

$

1,619 

 

$

1,600 

    

$

2,387 

  

$

3,172 

 

  Written premium adjustment –
    statutory only

       

  

35 

  

(30)

  

(7)

  

10 

  

33 

  

37 

  

43 

     

36 

   

 

  Reported written premiums (statutory)*

      

$

810 

 

$

846 

 

$

755 

 

$

780 

 

$

814 

 

$

829 

 

$

1,656 

 

$

1,643 

    

$

2,423 

  

$

3,178 

 

  Unearned premiums change

       

(23)

  

(61)

  

47 

  

11 

  

(21)

  

(51)

  

(85)

  

(72)

     

(60)

   

(14)

 

  Earned premiums

      

$

787 

 

$

785 

 

$

802 

 

$

791 

 

$

793 

 

$

778 

 

$

1,571 

 

$

1,571 

    

$

2,363 

  

$

3,164 

 
                                         

Statutory combined ratio

                                        

  Statutory combined ratio

       

87.7 

%

 

87.7 

%

 

95.9 

%

 

96.4 

%

 

93.7 

%

 

89.6 

%

 

87.7 

%

 

91.7 

%

    

93.2 

%

  

93.9 

%

  Less catastrophe losses

       

1.4 

  

0.4 

  

5.5 

  

3.5 

  

8.0 

  

5.0 

  

0.9 

  

6.5 

     

5.5 

   

5.5 

 

  Statutory combined ratio
    excluding catastrophe losses

       

86.3 

%

 

87.3 

%

 

90.4 

%

 

92.9 

%

 

85.7 

%

 

84.6 

%

 

86.8 

%

 

85.2 

%

    

87.7 

%

  

88.4 

%

                                         

  Commission expense ratio

       

18.1 

%

 

18.0 

%

 

19.9 

%

 

19.3 

%

 

17.6 

%

 

18.2 

%

 

18.0 

%

 

17.9 

%

    

18.3 

%

  

18.7 

%

  Other expense ratio

       

11.7 

%

 

11.4 

%

 

13.4 

%

 

11.9 

%

 

10.8 

%

 

10.8 

%

 

11.6 

%

 

10.8 

%

    

11.2 

%

  

11.7 

%

  Statutory expense ratio

       

29.8 

%

 

29.4 

%

 

33.3 

%

 

31.2 

%

 

28.4 

%

 

29.0 

%

 

29.6 

%

 

28.7 

%

    

29.5 

%

  

30.4 

%

                                         

GAAP combined ratio

                                        

  GAAP combined ratio

       

88.6 

%

 

89.6 

%

 

94.5 

%

 

96.1 

%

 

94.5 

%

 

92.0 

%

 

89.1 

%

 

93.3 

%

    

94.2 

%

  

94.3 

%

                                         

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts

may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

*nm - Not meaningful

*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

27








Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

Premiums

                                          

  Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

      

$

611 

 

$

658 

 

$

618 

 

$

589 

 

$

593 

 

$

635 

 

$

1,269 

 

$

1,228 

    

$

1,817 

    

$

2,435 

 

  Written premium adjustment --
    statutory only

       

  

35 

  

(29)

  

(7)

  

10 

  

33 

  

37 

  

43 

     

36 

     

 

  Reported written premiums (statutory) *

      

$

613 

 

$

693 

 

$

589 

 

$

582 

 

$

603 

 

$

668 

 

$

1,306 

 

$

1,271 

    

$

1,853 

    

$

2,442 

 

  Unearned premiums change

       

(6)

  

(89)

  

30 

  

20 

  

(4)

  

(86)

  

(96)

  

(90)

     

(69)

     

(40)

 

  Earned premiums

      

$

607 

 

$

604 

 

$

619 

 

$

602 

 

$

599 

 

$

582 

 

$

1,210 

 

$

1,181 

    

$

1,784 

    

$

2,402 

 
                                           

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

  Statutory combined ratio

       

84.4 

%

 

86.5 

%

 

92.4 

%

 

94.1 

%

 

89.6 

%

87.5 

%

 

85.4 

%

 

88.6 

%

    

90.3 

%

    

90.8 

%

  Less catastrophe losses

       

0.8 

  

1.8 

  

1.9 

  

2.3 

  

5.6 

  

5.1 

  

1.3 

  

5.3 

     

4.3 

     

3.7 

 

  Statutory combined ratio
    excluding catastrophe losses

       

83.6 

%

 

84.7 

%

 

90.5 

%

 

91.8 

%

 

84.0 

%

 

82.4 

%

 

84.1 

%

 

83.3 

%

    

86.0 

%

    

87.1 

%

                                           

GAAP combined ratio

                                          

  GAAP combined ratio

       

85.2 

%

 

88.9 

%

 

91.1 

%

 

93.4 

%

 

90.3 

%

 

90.5 

%

 

87.0 

%

 

90.4 

%

    

91.4 

%

    

91.3 

%

                                           

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is

computed independently.

*nm - Not meaningful

*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

28








Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

Premiums

                                          

  Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

      

$

197 

 

$

153 

 

$

167 

 

$

198 

 

$

211 

 

$

161

 

$

350 

 

$

372

    

$

570

    

$

737 

 

  Written premium adjustment --
    statutory only

       

  

  

(1)

  

  

  

-

  

  

-

     

-

     

(1)

 

  Reported written premiums (statutory)*

      

$

197 

 

$

153 

 

$

166 

 

$

198 

 

$

211 

 

$

161

 

$

350 

 

$

372

    

$

570

    

$

736 

 

  Unearned premiums change

       

(17)

  

28 

  

17 

  

(9)

  

(17)

  

35

  

11 

  

18

     

9

     

26 

 

  Earned premiums

      

$

180 

 

$

181 

 

$

183 

 

$

189 

 

$

194 

 

$

196

 

$

361 

 

$

390

    

$

579

    

$

762 

 
                                           

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

  Statutory combined ratio

       

98.6 

%

 

93.5 

%

 

107.7 

%

 

104.0 

%

 

106.4 

%

 

98.1

%

 

95.8

%

 

101.6

%

    

102.3

%

    

103.6 

%

  Less catastrophe losses

       

3.5 

  

(4.1)

  

17.9 

  

7.1 

  

15.6 

  

5.0

  

(0.3)

  

10.3

     

9.2

     

11.3 

 

  Statutory combined ratio
    excluding catastrophe losses

       

95.1 

%

 

97.6 

%

 

89.8 

%

 

96.9 

%

 

90.8 

%

 

93.1

%

 

96.1 

%

 

91.3

%

    

93.1

%

    

92.3 

%

                                           

GAAP combined ratio

                                          

  GAAP combined ratio

       

99.9 

%

 

92.0 

%

 

106.0 

%

 

104.4 

%

 

107.6 

%

 

96.4

%

 

96.0 

%

 

102.0

%

    

102.8

%

    

103.6 

%

                                           

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is

is computed independently.

*nm - Not meaningful

*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

29








The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

GAAP Statements of Income

 
 

For the Three Months Ended June 30,

For the Six Months Ended June 30,

 

2007

2006

Change

% Change

2007

2006

Change

% Change

Revenues:

              

  Premiums earned:

              

    Property casualty

$

  - 

$

  - 

$

  - 

$

  - 

$

  - 

$

  - 

    Life

 

43,321,722 

 

38,150,148 

 

5,171,574 

13.56 

 

82,268,196 

 

73,024,692 

 

9,243,504 

12.66 

    Accident health

 

1,605,439 

 

1,505,451 

 

99,988 

6.64 

 

3,364,290 

 

3,239,348 

 

124,942 

3.86 

    Premiums ceded

 

(9,552,516)

 

(9,912,540)

 

360,024 

(3.63)

 

(19,838,858)

 

(20,233,150)

 

394,292 

(1.95)

      Total premiums earned

 

35,374,645 

 

29,743,059 

 

5,631,586 

18.93 

 

65,793,628 

 

56,030,890 

 

9,762,738 

17.42 

  Investment income

 

27,765,895 

 

27,114,967 

 

650,928 

2.40 

 

56,078,479 

 

53,390,153 

 

2,688,326 

5.04 

  Realized investment gains and losses

 

43,724,176 

 

249,714 

 

43,474,462 

17,409.70 

 

51,868,589 

 

42,583,970 

 

9,284,619 

21.80 

  Other income

 

954,180 

 

1,058,226 

 

(104,046)

(9.83)

 

2,319,751 

 

1,804,280 

 

515,471 

28.57 

      Total revenues

$

  107,818,896 

$

  58,165,966 

$

  49,652,930 

85.36 

$

  176,060,447 

$

  153,809,293 

$

  22,251,154 

14.47 

               
               

Benefits & expenses:

              

  Losses & policy benefits

$

  45,215,724 

$

  46,203,300 

$

  (987,576)

(2.14)

$

  82,105,936 

$

  75,537,920 

$

  6,568,016 

8.69 

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(10,494,069)

 

(17,842,074)

 

7,348,005 

(41.18)

 

(20,146,994)

 

(16,977,076)

 

(3,169,918)

18.67 

  Commissions

 

9,073,611 

 

8,828,858 

 

244,753 

2.77 

 

18,012,886 

 

17,235,774 

 

777,112 

4.51 

  Other operating expenses

 

8,064,874 

 

6,764,016 

 

1,300,858 

19.23 

 

15,550,427 

 

12,906,309 

 

2,644,118 

20.49 

  Interest expense

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

879,191 

 

920,480 

 

(41,289)

(4.49)

 

1,826,053 

 

1,750,889 

 

75,164 

4.29 

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

(2,392,182)

 

(2,750,888)

 

358,706 

(13.04)

 

(6,328,619)

 

(7,693,293)

 

1,364,674 

(17.74)

  Other expenses

 

44 

 

45 

 

(1)

(2.22)

 

108 

 

109 

 

(1)

(0.92)

      Total expenses

$

  50,347,193 

$

  42,123,737 

$

  8,223,456 

19.52 

$

  91,019,797 

$

  82,760,632 

$

  8,259,165 

9.98 

               
               

      Income before income taxes

$

  57,471,703 

$

  16,042,229 

$

  41,429,474 

258.25 

$

  85,040,650 

$

  71,048,661 

$

  13,991,989 

19.69 

               

Provision for income taxes:

              

  Current

$

  732,143 

$

  3,219,524 

$

  (2,487,381)

(77.26)

$

  3,432,897 

$

  5,353,299 

$

  (1,920,402)

(35.87)

  Current capital gains/losses

 

15,409,462 

 

87,400 

 

15,322,062 

17,530.96 

 

18,280,006 

 

14,904,390 

 

3,375,616 

22.65 

  Deferred

 

3,683,568 

 

2,402,777 

 

1,280,791 

53.30 

 

7,742,997 

 

5,394,777 

 

2,348,220 

43.53 

      Total income taxes

$

  19,825,173 

$

  5,709,701 

$

  14,115,472 

247.22 

$

  29,455,900 

$

  25,652,466 

$

  3,803,434 

14.83 

               

      Net income

$

  37,646,530 

$

  10,332,528 

$

  27,314,002 

264.35 

$

  55,584,750 

$

  45,396,195 

$

  10,188,555 

22.44 



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

30








The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

Statutory Statements of Income

           
 

For the Three Months Ended June 30,

 

For the Six Months Ended June 30,

  

2007

 

2006

% Change

 

2007

 

2006

% Change

           

Net premiums written

$

  42,506,686 

$

  39,137,737 

8.61 

$

  82,947,704 

$

  77,446,206 

7.10 

Net investment income

 

27,770,844 

 

27,114,966 

2.42 

 

56,088,420 

 

53,390,153 

5.05 

Amortization of interest maintenance reserve

 

(29,278)

 

45,868 

(163.83)

 

(10,992)

 

82,450 

(113.33)

Commissions and expense allowances on reinsurance ceded

 

2,556,893 

 

1,937,705 

31.95 

 

4,518,982 

 

3,944,305 

14.57 

Income from fees associated with Separate Accounts

 

954,180 

 

1,058,226 

(9.83)

 

2,319,751 

 

1,804,280 

28.57 

Total revenues

$

  73,759,325 

$

  69,294,503 

6.44 

$

  145,863,865 

$

  136,667,393 

6.73 

           

Death benefits and matured endowments

$

  10,021,052 

$

  10,198,198 

(1.74)

$

  17,046,832 

$

  20,638,449 

(17.40)

Annuity benefits

 

9,205,429 

 

8,319,768 

10.65 

 

17,651,674 

 

16,155,742 

9.26 

Disability benefits and benefits under accident and health contracts

 

599,829 

 

534,747 

12.17 

 

992,416 

 

658,777 

50.65 

Surrender benefits and group conversions

 

6,200,000 

 

4,409,286 

40.61 

 

11,072,348 

 

11,792,038 

(6.10)

Interest and adjustments on deposit-type contract funds

 

1,697,632 

 

1,903,705 

(10.82)

 

4,399,276 

 

4,754,857 

(7.48)

Increase in aggregate reserves for life and accident and health contracts

 

27,858,492 

 

23,805,463 

17.03 

 

54,986,222 

 

45,356,446 

21.23 

Payments on supplementary contracts with life contingencies

 

81,492 

 

78,606 

3.67 

 

172,013 

 

154,084 

11.64 

Total benefit expenses

$

  55,663,926 

$

  49,249,774 

13.02 

$

  106,320,781 

$

  99,510,393 

6.84 

           

Commissions

$

  8,898,611 

$

  8,729,108 

1.94 

$

  17,732,886 

$

  17,036,274 

4.09 

General insurance expenses and taxes

 

9,654,999 

 

8,332,438 

15.87 

 

19,481,284 

 

16,727,747 

16.46 

Increase in loading on deferred and uncollected premiums

 

(2,432,746)

 

(1,618,597)

50.30 

 

(3,811,320)

 

(2,972,289)

28.23 

Net transfers to or (from) Separate Accounts

 

(215,913)

 

(211,220)

2.22 

 

(215,913)

 

(211,220)

2.22 

Other deductions

 

45 

 

45 

(0.04)

 

108 

 

109 

(0.59)

Total operating expenses

$

  15,904,996 

$

  15,231,774 

4.42 

$

  33,187,045 

$

  30,580,620 

8.52 

           

Federal and Foreign Income Taxes Incurred

 

949,482 

 

2,914,410 

(67.42)

 

3,560,686 

 

4,803,602 

(25.87)

           

Net gain from operations before realized capital gains or (losses)

$

  1,240,921 

$

  1,898,546 

(34.64)

$

  2,795,353 

$

  1,772,778 

57.68 

           

Net realized gains or (losses) net of capital gains tax

 

28,916,326 

 

N/A 

 

34,727,877 

 

27,697,576 

25.38 

           

Net Income (Statutory)

$

  30,157,247 

$

  1,898,546 

1,488.44 

$

  37,523,230 

$

  29,470,354 

27.33 

 

*Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed

with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

31








The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

Statutory Expenses as a Percentage of Premium

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

09/30/07

06/30/07

03/31/07

12/31/06

09/30/06

06/30/06

03/31/06

06/30/07

06/30/06

09/30/07

09/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

Gross Written Premiums

      

$

54

 

$

53

 

$

54

 

$

50

 

$

51

 

$

50

 

$

107

 

$

101

    

$

152

    

$

206

 

Bank Owned Life Insurance (BOLI)
 Adjustment

       

-

  

-

  

-

  

-

  

-

  

-

  

-

  

-

     

-

     

-

 

Adjusted Gross Written Premiums

      

$

54

 

$

53

 

$

54

 

$

50

 

$

51

 

$

50

 

$

107

 

$

101

    

$

152

    

$

206

 
                                           

Insurance Expense

      

$

9

 

$

9

 

$

10

 

$

7

 

$

7

 

$

7

 

$

18

 

$

14

    

$

21

    

$

31

 
                                           

Expense Ratio

       

16.7

%

 

17.7

%

 

17.8

%

 

14.7

%

 

13.5

%

 

14.5

%

 

16.8

%

 

14.0

%

    

14.0

%

    

15.0

%

Expense Ratio based on Adjusted
  Gross Written Premium

       

16.7

%

 

17.7

%

 

17.8

%

 

14.7

%

 

13.5

%

 

14.5

%

 

16.8

%

 

14.0

%

    

14.0

%

    

15.0

%

                                           
                                           
                      

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

                        
 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

                      

Gross Written Premiums

$

206

 

$

249

 

$

230

 

$

173

 

$

244

 

$

122

 

$

157

                      

Bank Owned Life Insurance (BOLI)
 Adjustment

 

-

  

-

  

(10)

  

-

  

(34)

  

-

  

(20)

                      

Adjusted Gross Written Premiums

$

206

 

$

249

 

$

220

 

$

173

 

$

210

 

$

122

 

$

137

                      
                                           

Insurance Expense

$

31

 

$

29

 

$

25

 

$

25

 

$

27

 

$

25

 

$

20

                      
                                           

Expense Ratio

 

15.0

%

 

11.7

%

 

11.1

%

 

14.8

%

 

10.9

%

 

20.6

%

 

12.9

%

                     

Expense Ratio based on Adjusted
  Gross Written Premium

 

15.0

%

 

11.7

%

 

11.6

%

 

14.8

%

 

12.6

%

 

20.6

%

 

14.8

%

                    
                                           

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed

independently.




2007 Second-Quarter Supplement

32