EX-99 3 ex992.htm EXHIBIT 99.2 Cincinnati Financial Corporation


Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Supplemental Financial Data

December 31, 2006

Fourth Quarter

   
   
 

6200 South Gilmore Road

 
 

Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141

 
 

www.cinfin.com/investors

 
   
   

Investor Contact:

Media Contact:

Shareholder Contact:

Heather J. Wietzel

Joan O. Shevchik

Jerry L. Litton

513-870-2768

513-603-5323

513-870-2639

   
   

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

  
 

A.M. Best

Fitch

Moody’s

Standard & Poor’s

     

Corporate Debt

aa-

A+

A2

A

     

The Cincinnati Insurance Companies

    
     
 

A.M. Best

Fitch

Moody’s

Standard & Poor’s

     

Property Casualty Group

A++

--

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Insurance Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Indemnity Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Casualty Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

     

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

A+

AA

--

AA-

     
     
 

Ratings are as of February 7, 2007, under continuing review and subject to change and/or affirmation.  For the latest ratings, select the Ratings tab on www.cinfin.com/investors.

 
  
 

The consolidated financial statements and financial exhibits that follow are unaudited.  These consolidated financial statements and exhibits should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes included in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2005. The results of operations for interim periods should not be considered indicative of results to be expected for the full year. Certain 2006 interim period data has been updated to correct rounding differences.

 







 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

 
 

Supplemental Financial Data

 
 

Fourth Quarter 2006

 
  

Page

Status

 

Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

3

2/7/2007

    

Consolidated

  
 

Quick Reference

4

2/7/2007

 

Consolidated Statements of Income

5

2/7/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2006

6

2/7/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2005

7

2/7/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Three Months Ended December 31, 2006

8

2/7/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Three Months Ended December 31, 2005

9

2/7/2007

 

Consolidated Balance Sheets

10

2/7/2007

 

10-Year Net Income Reconciliation

11

2/7/2007

 

Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

12

2/7/2007

 

Top Holdings -- Common Stocks

13

2/7/2007

    

Property Casualty Insurance Operations

  
 

GAAP Statements of Income

14

2/7/2007

 

Statutory Statements of Income

15

2/7/2007

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Consolidated

16

2/7/2007

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Commercial Lines

17

2/7/2007

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Personal Lines

18

2/7/2007

 

Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business and State

19

2/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines of Business

20

2/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines of Business

21

2/7/2007

    

Reconciliation Data

  
 

10-Year Property Casualty Data – Consolidated

22

2/7/2007

 

6-Year Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines

23

2/7/2007

 

6-Year Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines

24

2/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Consolidated

25

2/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines

26

2/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines

27

2/7/2007

    

Life Insurance Operations

  
 

GAAP Statements of Income

28

2/7/2007

 

Statutory Statements of Income

29

2/7/2007

 

Expenses as a Percentage of Premium

30

2/7/2007



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 2



Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.

Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments – when analyzing both GAAP and certain non-GAAP measures may improve understanding of trends in the underlying business, helping avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.

·

Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities and embedded derivatives without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.

For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.

·

Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.

·

Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.

·

Written premium adjustment – statutory basis only: In 2002, the company refined its estimation process for matching property casualty written premiums to policy effective dates, which added $117 million to 2002 written premiums. To better assess ongoing business trends, management may exclude this adjustment when analyzing trends in written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

·

Codification: Adoption of Codification of Statutory Accounting Principles was required for Ohio-based insurance companies effective January 1, 2001. The adoption of Codification changed the manner in which the company recognized statutory property casualty written premiums. As a result, 2001 statutory written premiums included $402 million to account for unbooked premiums related to policies with effective dates prior to January 1, 2001. To better assess ongoing business trends, management excludes this $402 million when analyzing written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

·

Life insurance gross written premiums: In analyzing the life insurance company’s gross written premiums, management excludes five larger, single-pay life insurance policies (bank-owned life insurance or BOLIs) written in 2004, 2002, 2000 and 1999 to focus on the trend in premiums written through the independent agency distribution channel.

·

One-time charges or adjustments: Management analyzes earnings and profitability excluding the impact of one-time items.

In 2003, as the result of a settlement negotiated with a vendor, pretax results included the recovery of $23 million of the $39 million one-time, pretax charge incurred in 2000.

In 2000, the company recorded a one-time charge of $39 million, pre-tax, to write down previously capitalized costs related to the development of software to process property casualty policies.

In 2000, the company earned $5 million in interest in the first quarter from a $303 million single-premium BOLI policy that was booked at the end of 1999 and segregated as a separate account effective April 1, 2000. Investment income and realized investment gains and losses from separate accounts generally accrue directly to the contract holder and, therefore, are not included in the company’s consolidated financials.



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 3





Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Quick Reference - Fourth Quarter 2006

(all data shown is for the three months ended or as of December 31, 2006)

         

(Based on reported data - see Pages 25-27 for adjusted data)

      
         

(Dollars in millions except share data)

        

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

Benefits and expenses:

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Commercial lines net written premiums

$

589 

 

 

Commercial lines loss and loss expenses

$

368 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

7.5 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

25.4 

%

Personal lines net written premiums

$

166 

 

 

Personal lines loss and loss expenses

$

134 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(7.4)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

10.4 

%

Property casualty net written premiums

$

755 

 

 

Property casualty loss and loss expenses

$

502 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

3.8 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

20.4 

%

Commercial lines net earned premiums

$

619 

 

 

Life and accident and health losses and policy benefits

$

30 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

7.4 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

22.9 

%

Personal lines net earned premiums

$

183 

 

 

Operating expenses

$

277 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(8.0)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

9.8 

%

Property casualty net earned premiums

$

802 

 

 

Interest expenses

$

14 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

3.5 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

10.4 

%

Life and accident and health net earned premiums

$

31 

 

 

Total expenses

$

823 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

10.5 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

16.6 

%

Investment income

$

145 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

172 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

6.7 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(34.1)

%

Realized gains on investments

$

12 

 

 

Total income tax

$

42 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(46.6)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(46.9)

%

Other income

$

 

 

Effective tax rate

 

24.2 

%

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

1.6 

%

     

Total revenues

$

995 

 

 

Ratios:

 

 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

2.9 

%

 

 

  

 

 

    

Commercial lines GAAP combined ratio

 

91.1 

%

Income:

    

Personal lines GAAP combined ratio

 

106.0 

%

 

    

Property casualty GAAP combined ratio

 

94.5 

%

Operating income

$

122 

  

 

  

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(26.6)

%

 

Commercial lines STAT combined ratio

 

92.4 

%

Net realized investment gains and losses

$

  

Personal lines STAT combined ratio

 

107.7 

%

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(49.7)

%

 

Property casualty STAT combined ratio

 

95.9 

%

Net income

$

130 

  

 

   

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(28.6)

%

 

Return on equity based upon net income

 

7.9 

%

 

    

Return on equity based upon operating income

 

25.1 

%

Per share: (diluted)

    

 

 

 

 

 

    

Balance Sheet:

  

 

Operating income

$

0.70 

     

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(25.5)

%

 

Fixed maturity investments

$

5,805 

 

Net realized investment gains and losses

$

0.05 

  

Equity securities

 

7,799 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(44.4)

%

 

Other invested assets

 

155 

 

Net income

$

0.75 

  

  Total invested assets

$

13,759 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(27.2)

%

 

 

  

 

Book value

$

39.38 

  

Property casualty and life loss and loss expense reserves

$

3,860 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

12.9 

%

 

Total debt

 

840 

 

Weighted average shares – diluted

174,988,162 

  

Shareholders equity

 

6,808 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(1.2)

%

 

 

 

 

 



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 4






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Income

                
 

For the Three Months Ended December 31,

 

 

For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

 

     

 

 

 

     

 

  Premiums earned:

 

     

 

 

 

     

 

    Property casualty

$

 844,769,727 

$

818,784,983 

$

25,984,744 

3.17 

 

$

 3,320,696,134 

$

 3,237,013,369 

$

83,682,765 

2.59 

    Life

 

43,271,070 

 

40,421,077 

 

2,849,993 

7.05 

  

152,590,039 

 

143,808,461 

 

8,781,578 

6.11 

    Accident health

 

1,703,987 

 

1,617,668 

 

86,319 

5.34 

  

6,652,508 

 

6,347,605 

 

304,903 

4.80 

    Premiums ceded  

 

(57,316,655)

 

(57,661,923)

 

345,268 

0.60 

  

(202,091,894)

 

(223,269,321)

 

21,177,427 

9.49 

      Total premiums earned  

 

832,428,129 

 

803,161,805 

 

29,266,324 

3.64 

  

3,277,846,787 

 

 3,163,900,114 

 

113,946,673 

3.60 

    Investment income

 

145,070,825 

 

135,899,274 

 

9,171,551 

6.75 

  

570,103,128 

 

 525,984,174 

 

44,118,954 

8.39 

    Realized gain on investments

 

12,324,061 

 

23,074,192 

 

(10,750,131)

(46.59)

  

683,701,293 

 

60,715,922 

 

622,985,371 

1,026.07 

    Other income

 

4,682,861 

 

4,608,019 

 

74,842 

1.62 

  

18,461,940 

 

16,722,246 

 

1,739,694 

10.40 

Total revenues

$

994,505,876 

$

966,743,290 

$

27,762,586 

2.87 

 

$

4,550,113,148 

$

3,767,322,456 

$

782,790,692 

20.78 

 

      

 

       

 

Benefits & expenses:

      

 

       

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

550,901,417 

$

448,396,645 

$

102,504,772 

22.86 

 

$

2,245,203,172 

$

2,076,864,037 

$

168,339,135 

8.11 

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(18,732,359)

 

(6,977,995)

 

(11,754,364)

(168.45)

  

(117,399,472)

 

(165,516,591)

 

48,117,119 

29.07 

  Commissions

 

152,523,580 

 

150,815,496 

 

1,708,084 

1.13 

  

630,269,528 

 

627,048,255 

 

3,221,273 

0.51 

  Other operating expenses

 

95,572,467 

 

76,263,586 

 

19,308,881 

25.32 

  

338,085,073 

 

289,555,517 

 

48,529,556 

16.76 

  Interest expense

 

13,804,440 

 

12,500,619 

 

1,303,821 

10.43 

  

53,116,383 

 

 51,484,731 

 

1,631,652 

3.17 

  Taxes, licenses & fees  

 

18,740,629 

 

19,473,480 

 

(732,851)

(3.76)

  

76,742,883 

 

71,538,216 

 

5,204,667 

7.28 

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

5,382,897 

 

4,829,527 

 

553,370 

(11.46)

  

(21,359,500)

 

(18,748,605)

 

(2,610,895)

(13.93)

  Other expenses  

 

4,244,124 

 

377,634 

 

3,866,490 

1,023.87 

  

16,342,089 

 

12,319,865 

 

4,022,224 

32.65 

Total expenses

$

822,437,195 

$

705,678,992 

$

116,758,203 

16.55 

 

$

3,221,000,156 

$

2,944,545,425 

$

276,454,731 

9.39 

Income before income taxes

$

172,068,681 

$

261,064,298 

$

(88,995,617)

(34.09)

 

$

1,329,112,992 

$

822,777,031 

$

506,335,961 

61.54 

 

      

 

       

 

Provision for income taxes:

      

 

       

 

Current operating income

$

36,443,952 

$

54,468,304 

$

(18,024,352)

(33.09)

 

$

155,204,170 

$

166,470,189 

$

11,266,019)

(6.77)

Realized investments gains and losses

 

4,310,014 

 

7,136,284 

 

(2,826,270)

(39.60)

  

249,202,156 

 

 20,964,114 

 

228,238,042 

1,088.71 

Deferred

 

895,839 

 

16,787,609 

 

(15,891,770)

(94.66)

  

(5,497,770)

 

33,372,538 

 

(38,870,308)

(116.47)

Total income taxes

$

41,649,805 

$

78,392,197 

$

(36,742,392)

(46.87)

 

$

398,908,556 

$

220,806,841 

$

178,101,715 

80.66 

 

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

Net income

$

130,418,876 

$

182,672,101 

$

(52,253,225)

(28.60)

 

$

930,204,436 

$

601,970,190 

$

328,234,246 

54.53 

Comprehensive net income

$

416,378,747 

$

137,022,076 

$

279,356,671 

203.88 

 

$

1,025,818,263 

$

98,196,296 

$

927,621,967 

944.66 

 

      

 

       

 

Operating income

$

122,404,829 

$

166,734,193 

$

(44,329,364)

(26.59)

 

$

495,705,299 

$

562,218,382 

$

(66,513,083)

(11.83)

Net realized investments gains and losses

$

8,014,047 

$

15,937,908 

$

(7,923,861)

(49.72)

 

$

434,499,137 

$

39,751,808 

$

 394,747,329 

993.03 

 

      

 

    

  

  

 

Net income per share:

      

 

       

 

  Operating income

$

0.71 

$

 0.95 

$

(0.24) 

25.26 

 

$

2.86 

$

3.21 

$

(0.35)

(10.90)

  Net realized investments gains
   and losses

 

0.04 

 

0.09 

 

(0.05)

(55.56)

  

2.50 

 

0.23 

 

2.27 

986.96 

  Net income per share (basic)

$

0.75 

$

1.04 

$

(0.29)

27.88 

 

$

5.36 

$

3.44 

$

1.92 

55.81 

  Operating income

$

0.70 

$

0.94 

$

(0.24)

(25.53)

 

$

2.82 

$

3.17 

$

(0.35)

(11.04)

  Net realized investments gains
   and losses

 

0.05 

 

0.09 

 

(0.04)

(44.44)

  

2.48 

 

0.23 

 

2.25 

978.26 

  Net income per share (diluted)

$

0.75 

$

1.03 

$

(0.28)

(27.18)

 

$

5.30 

$

3.40 

$

1.90 

55.88 

Dividends per share:

      

 

       

 

  Paid

$

0.335 

$

0.305 

$

0.03 

9.84 

 

$

1,310 

$

1,162 

$

0.148 

12.74 

  Declared  

$

0.335 

$

0.305 

$

0.03 

9.84 

 

$

1,340 

$

1,205 

$

0.135 

11.20 

Number of shares:

      

 

       

 

  Weighted avg - basic

 

173,030,127 

 

174,671,340 

 

(1,641,213)

(0.94)

  

173,423,395 

 

175,062,669 

 

(1,639,274)

(0.94)

  Weighted avg - diluted

 

174,988,162 

 

177,045,508 

 

(2,057,346)

(1.16)

  

175,451,341 

 

177,116,126 

 

(1,664,785)

(0.94)



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 5






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2006

   

 

 

Total

 

CFC

 

CIC GROUP

 

CLIC

 

CFC-I

 

CINFIN

 

ELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

3,320,696,134 

$

$

3,321,610,148 

$

$

$

0

$

(914,014)

    Life

 

152,590,039 

 

 

 

152,590,039 

 

 

0

 

    Accident health

 

6,652,508 

 

 

 

6,652,508 

 

 

0

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(202,091,894)

 

 

(157,587,693)

 

(44,504,201)

 

 

0

 

      Total earned premium

 

3,277,846,787 

 

 

3,164,022,455 

 

114,738,346 

 

 

0

 

(914,014)

    Investment income

 

570,103,128 

 

97,437,082 

 

367,304,753 

 

107,656,860 

 

62,400 

 

209,379

 

(2,567,346)

    Realized gain on investments  

 

683,701,293 

 

410,338,912 

 

225,846,088 

 

44,861,000 

 

(324,417)

 

5,697

 

2,974,013 

    Other income

 

18,461,940 

 

10,098,558 

 

3,266,830 

 

3,552,294 

 

11,131,714 

 

2,374,373

 

(11,961,829)

Total revenues

$

4,550,113,148 

$

517,874,552 

$

3,760,440,126 

$

270,808,500 

$

10,869,697 

$

2,589,449

$

(12,469,176)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

2,245,203,172 

$

$

2,085,421,315 

$

161,984,990 

$

$

0

$

(2,203,133)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(117,399,472)

 

 

(77,446,382)

 

(39,953,090)

 

 

0

 

  Commissions

 

630,269,528 

 

 

596,188,393 

 

34,081,135 

 

 

0

 

  Other operating expenses

 

338,085,073 

 

19,609,842 

 

292,709,156 

 

31,977,077 

 

5,416,146 

 

626,085

 

(12,253,233)

  Interest expense

 

53,116,383 

 

50,612,821 

 

888,930 

 

98,000 

 

2,715,584  

 

0

 

(1,198,952)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

76,742,883 

 

1,152,118 

 

72,695,021 

 

3,080,836 

 

(232,648)

 

47,556

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(21,359,500)

 

 

(3,642,356)

 

(17,717,144)

 

 

0

 

  Other expenses

 

16,342,089 

 

 

16,341,980 

 

109 

 

 

0

 

Total expenses

$

3,221,000,156 

$

71,374,781 

$

2,983,156,057 

$

173,551,913 

$

7,899,082 

$

673,641

$

(15,655,318)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

1,329,112,992 

$

446,499,771 

$

777,284,069 

$

97,256,587 

$

2,970,615 

$

1,915,808

$

3,186,142 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

  Current operating income

$

155,204,170 

$

(178,058)

$

147,254,816 

$

6,273,558 

$

1,232,459 

$

621,395

$

  Capital gains/losses

 

249,202,156 

 

153,102,119 

 

80,218,693 

 

15,879,350 

 

 

1,994

 

  Deferred

 

(5,497,770)

 

(10,819,456)

 

(8,069,068)

 

12,406,344 

 

(137,973)

 

7,233

 

1,115,150 

Total income tax

$

398,908,556 

$

142,104,605 

$

219,404,441 

$

34,559,252 

$

1,094,486 

$

630,622

$

1,115,150 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

Net income - current year

$

930,204,436 

$

304,395,166 

$

557,879,628 

$

62,697,335 

$

1,876,129 

$

1,285,186

$

2,070,992 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

601,970,190 

$

36,770,595 

$

511,573,782 

$

47,282,395 

$

3,072,943 

$

1,206,078

$

2,064,397 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

54.5%

 

727.8%

 

9.1%

 

32.6%

 

-38.9%

 

6.6%

 

 



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 6






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2005

   

 

 

Total

 

CFC

 

CIC GROUP

 

CLIC

 

CFC-I

 

CINFIN

 

ELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

3,237,013,369 

$

$

3,237,519,279 

$

$

$

$

(505,910)

    Life

 

143,808,461 

 

 

 

143,808,461 

 

 

 

    Accident health

 

6,347,605 

 

 

 

6,347,605 

 

 

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(223,269,321)

 

 

(179,470,542)

 

(43,798,779)

 

 

 

      Total earned premium

 

3,163,900,114 

 

 

3,058,048,737 

 

106,357,287 

 

 

 

(505,910)

  Investment income

 

525,984,174 

 

89,320,917 

 

337,906,534 

 

99,323,763 

 

816,858 

 

145,299 

 

(1,529,197)

  Realized gain on investments  

 

60,715,922 

 

2,139,719 

 

39,965,940 

 

17,188,854 

 

 

(78,963)

 

1,500,372 

  Other income

 

16,722,246 

 

9,843,807 

 

3,100,348 

 

3,561,244 

 

9,913,081 

 

2,251,646 

 

(11,947,880)

Total revenues

$

3,767,322,456 

$

101,304,443 

$

3,439,021,559 

$

226,431,148 

$

10,729,939 

$

2,317,982 

$

(12,482,615)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

2,076,864,037 

$

$

1,937,904,906 

$

141,170,430 

$

$

$

(2,211,299)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(165,516,591)

 

 

(125,974,401)

 

(39,542,190)

 

 

 

  Commissions

 

627,048,255 

 

 

592,329,261 

 

34,718,994 

 

 

 

  Other operating expenses

 

289,555,517 

 

18,826,237 

 

249,373,992 

 

28,592,514 

 

4,088,594 

 

463,774 

 

(11,789,594)

  Interest expense

 

51,484,731 

 

51,606,330 

 

 

 

1,536,119 

 

 

(1,657,718)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

71,538,216 

 

919,910 

 

66,678,800 

 

3,205,175 

 

697,083 

 

37,248 

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(18,748,605)

 

 

(4,700,131)

 

(14,048,474)

 

 

 

  Other expenses

 

12,319,865 

 

 

12,319,757 

 

108 

 

 

 

Total expenses

$

2,944,545,425 

$

71,352,477 

$

2,727,932,184 

$

154,096,557 

$

6,321,796 

$

501,022 

$

(15,658,611)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

822,777,031 

$

29,951,966 

$

711,089,375 

$

72,334,591 

$

4,408,143 

$

1,816,960 

$

3,175,996 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Current operating income

$

166,470,189 

$

(27,417,773)

$

178,744,156 

$

12,721,453 

$

1,793,487 

$

628,866 

$

  Capital gains/losses

 

20,964,114 

 

987,574 

 

13,988,078 

 

6,016,099 

 

 

(27,637)

 

  Deferred

 

33,372,538 

 

19,611,570 

 

6,783,359 

 

6,314,644 

 

(458,287)

 

9,653 

 

1,111,599 

Total income tax

$

220,806,841 

$

(6,818,629)

$

199,515,593 

$

25,052,196 

$

1,335,200 

$

610,882 

$

1,111,599 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - current year

$

601,970,190 

$

36,770,595 

$

511,573,782 

$

47,282,395 

$

3,072,943 

$

1,206,078 

$

2,064,397 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

584,021,320 

$

81,024,634 

$

550,420,421 

$

38,180,265 

$

1,548,487 

$

1,227,691 

$

(88,380,178)

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

3.1%

 

-54.6%

 

-7.1%

 

23.8%

 

98.4%

 

-1.8%

 

 



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 7






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2006

   

 

 

Total

 

CFC

 

CIC GROUP

 

CLIC

 

CFC-I

 

CINFIN

 

ELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

844,769,727   

$

$

845,479,506 

$

$

0

$

$

(709,779)

    Life

 

43,271,070 

 

 

 

43,271,070 

 

0

 

 

    Accident health

 

1,703,987 

 

 

 

1,703,987 

 

0

 

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(57,316,655)

 

 

(43,501,451)

 

(13,815,204)

 

0

 

 

      Total earned premium

 

832,428,129 

 

 

801,978,055 

 

31,159,853 

 

0

 

 

(709,779)

  Investment income

 

145,070,824 

 

24,550,476 

 

93,654,263 

 

27,053,035 

 

15,600

 

57,244 

 

(259,793)

  Realized gain on investments  

 

12,324,061 

 

1,862,472 

 

7,323,470 

 

2,533,775 

 

217,084

 

(8,277)

 

395,537 

  Other income

 

4,682,860 

 

2,536,489 

 

723,643 

 

992,375 

 

2,806,674

 

621,838 

 

(2,998,158)

Total revenues

$

994,505,874 

$

28,949,437 

$

903,679,431 

$

61,739,038 

$

3,039,358

$

670,805 

$

(3,572,193)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

550,901,417 

$

$

507,755,637 

$

43,696,578 

$

0

$

$

(550,798)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(18,732,359)

 

 

(5,484,567)

 

(13,247,792)

 

0

 

 

  Commissions

 

152,523,580 

 

 

144,113,098 

 

8,410,482 

 

0

 

 

  Other operating expenses

 

95,572,467 

 

4,960,848 

 

80,278,976 

 

12,192,870 

 

1,461,656

 

230,387 

 

(3,552,270)

  Interest expense

 

13,804,440 

 

12,460,505 

 

496,480 

 

98,000 

 

754,228

 

 

(4,773)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

18,740,630 

 

284,596 

 

17,498,941 

 

935,887 

 

9,316

 

11,889 

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

5,382,898 

 

 

8,862,341 

 

(3,479,444)

 

0

 

 

  Other expenses

 

4,244,123 

 

 

4,244,123 

 

 

0

 

 

Total expenses

$

822,437,196 

$

17,705,949 

$

757,765,029 

$

48,606,582 

$

2,225,200

$

242,276 

$

(4,107,841)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

172,068,678 

$

11,243,488 

$

145,914,402 

$

13,132,456 

$

814,158

$

428,529 

$

535,648 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

  Current operating income

$

36,443,952 

$

3,406,871 

$

31,617,921 

$

953,701 

$

322,879

$

142,580 

$

  Capital gains/losses

 

4,310,014 

 

661,562 

 

2,703,528 

 

947,821 

 

0

 

(2,897)

 

  Deferred

 

895,839 

 

(5,331,071)

 

3,407,423 

 

2,628,721 

 

4,088

 

(799)

 

187,477 

Total income tax

$

41,649,805 

$

(1,262,638)

$

37,728,872 

$

4,530,243 

$

326,967

$

138,884 

$

187,477 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - current year

$

130,418,873 

$

12,506,126 

$

108,185,530 

$

8,602,213 

$

487,191

$

289,645 

$

348,171 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

182,672,096 

$

9,037,150 

$

156,687,048 

$

15,812,588 

$

421,720

$

298,051 

$

415,539 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

-28.6%

 

38.4%

 

-31.0%

 

-45.6%

 

15.5%

 

-2.8%

 

 



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 8






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2005

   

 

 

Total

 

CFC

 

CIC GROUP

 

CLIC

 

CFC-I

 

CINFIN

 

ELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

818,784,982 

$

$

818,847,338 

$

$

$

0

$

(62,356)

    Life

 

40,421,076 

 

 

 

40,421,076 

 

 

0

 

    Accident health

 

1,617,668 

 

 

 

1,617,668 

 

 

0

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(57,661,922)

 

 

(43,810,668)

 

(13,851,254)

 

 

0

 

      Total earned premium

 

803,161,804 

 

 

775,036,670 

 

28,187,490 

 

 

0

 

(62,356)

  Investment income

 

135,899,272 

 

25,026,626 

 

87,474,802 

 

26,013,305 

 

18,665 

 

47,970

 

(2,682,096)

  Realized gain on investments  

 

23,074,193 

 

1,296,380 

 

11,828,897 

 

9,832,034 

 

 

315

 

116,567 

  Other income

 

4,608,018 

 

525,388 

 

651,450 

 

1,015,456 

 

2,638,547 

 

562,192

 

(785,015)

Total revenues

$

966,743,287 

$

26,848,394 

$

874,991,819 

$

65,048,285 

$

2,657,212   

$

610,477

$

(3,412,900)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

448,396,642 

$

$

436,006,402 

$

12,945,476 

$

$

0

$

(555,236)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(6,977,992)

 

 

(18,802,810)

 

11,824,818 

 

 

0

 

  Commissions

 

150,815,497 

 

 

141,873,514 

 

8,941,983 

 

 

0

 

  Other operating expenses

 

76,263,586 

 

3,123,394 

 

63,922,981 

 

10,732,035 

 

1,236,646 

 

145,601

 

(2,897,071)

  Interest expense

 

12,500,619 

 

12,603,698 

 

 

 

496,806 

 

0

 

(599,885)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

19,473,481 

 

1,498,619 

 

17,660,389 

 

32,729 

 

272,244 

 

9,500

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

4,829,527 

 

 

9,111,122 

 

(4,281,595)

 

 

0

 

  Other expenses

 

377,634 

 

 

377,634 

 

 

 

0

 

Total expenses

$

705,678,994 

$

17,225,711 

$

650,149,232 

$

40,195,446 

$

2,005,696 

$

155,101

$

(4,052,192)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

261,064,293 

$

9,622,683 

$

224,842,587 

$

24,852,839 

$

651,516 

$

455,376

$

639,292 

 

              

Provision for income taxes:

              

  Current operating income

$

54,468,303 

$

(13,445,362)

$

63,736,999 

$

3,623,075 

$

405,488 

$

148,103

$

  Capital gains/losses

 

7,136,284 

 

379,862 

 

3,313,516 

 

3,441,212 

 

 

1,694

 

  Deferred

 

16,787,610 

 

13,651,033 

 

1,105,024 

 

1,975,964 

 

(175,692)

 

7,528

 

223,753 

Total income tax

$

78,392,197 

$

585,533 

$

68,155,539 

$

9,040,251 

$

229,796 

$

157,325

$

223,753 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - current year

$

182,672,096 

$

9,037,150 

$

156,687,048 

$

15,812,588 

$

421,720 

$

298,051

$

415,539 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

192,446,086 

$

12,997,334 

$

163,551,413 

$

14,214,169 

$

760,129 

$

333,062

$

589,979 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

-5.1%

 

-30.5%

 

-4.2%

 

11.2%

 

-44.5%

 

-10.5%

 

 



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 9






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Balance Sheets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Dollars in millions except per share data)

 

 

 

December 31,

 

December 31,

 

 

 

 

2006

 

2005

    

(unaudited)

  

Assets

      

   Investments

      

     Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2006—$5,739; 2005—$5,387)

  

$

5,805

$

5,476

     Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2006—$2,621; 2005—$2,128)

   

7,799

 

7,106

     Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2006—$95; 2005—$75)

   

95

 

75

     Other invested assets

   

60

 

45

   Cash and cash equivalents

   

202

 

119

   Investment income receivable

   

121

 

117

   Finance receivable

   

108

 

105

   Premiums receivable

   

1,128

 

1,116

   Reinsurance receivable

   

683

 

681

   Prepaid reinsurance premiums

   

13

 

14

   Deferred policy acquisition costs

   

453

 

429

   Property and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation:  2006—$261; 2005—$232)

 

193

 

168

   Other assets

   

58

 

66

   Separate accounts

   

504

 

486

     Total assets

  

$

17,222

   $  

16,003

       

Liabilities

      

   Insurance reserves

      

     Losses and loss expense

  

$

3,896

$

3,661

     Life policy reserves

   

1,409

 

1,343

   Unearned premiums

   

1,579

 

1,559

   Other liabilities

   

533

 

455

   Deferred income tax

   

1,653

 

1,622

   Notes payable

   

49

 

0

   6.125% senior debenture due 2034

   

371

 

371

   6.90% senior debenture due 2028

   

28

 

28

   6.92% senior debenture due 2028

   

392

 

392

   Separate accounts

   

504

 

486

     Total liabilities

   

10,414

 

9,917

       

Shareholders' equity

      

   Common stock, par value-$2 per share; authorized: 2006-500 million shares, 2005-
     500 million shares; issued: 2006-196 million shares, 2005-194 million shares

   

391

 

389

   Paid-in capital

   

1,015

 

969

   Retained earnings

   

2,786

 

2,088

   Accumulated other comprehensive income

   

3,379

 

3,284

   Treasury stock at cost (2006—23 million shares, 2005—20 million shares)

   

(763)

 

(644)

     Total shareholders' equity

   

6,808

 

6,086

     Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

  

$

17,222

$

16,003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 10






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

10-Year Net Income Reconciliation

 

(Dollars in millions except per share data)

Years ended December 31,

 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

 

   Net income

$

930 

 

$

602 

 

$

584 

 

$

374 

 

$

238 

 

$

193 

 

$

118 

 

$

255 

 

$

242 

 

$

299 

 

   One-time item

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

15 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(25)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Net income before one-time item

 

930 

  

602 

  

584 

  

359 

  

238 

  

193 

  

143 

  

255 

  

242 

  

299 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

434 

 

 

40 

 

 

60 

 

 

(27)

 

 

(62)

 

 

(17)

 

 

(2)

 

 

 

 

43 

 

 

45 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

 

496 

  

562 

  

524 

  

386 

  

300 

  

210 

  

145 

  

255 

  

199 

  

254 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

(113)

 

 

(82)

 

 

(96)

 

 

(63)

 

 

(57)

 

 

(42)

 

 

(33)

 

 

(24)

 

 

(61)

 

 

(17)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item

$

609 

 

$

644 

 

$

620 

 

$

449 

 

$

357 

 

$

252 

 

$

178 

 

$

279 

 

$

260 

 

$

271 

 

 

Diluted per share data

                              

   Net income

$

5.30 

 

$

3.40 

 

$

3.28 

 

$

2.10 

 

$

1.32 

 

$

1.07 

 

$

0.67 

 

$

1.37 

 

$

1.28 

 

$

1.61 

 

   One-time item

 

0.00 

 

 

0.00 

 

 

0.00 

 

 

0.09 

 

 

0.00 

 

 

0.00 

 

 

(0.14)

 

 

0.00 

 

 

0.00 

 

 

0.00 

 

   Net income before one-time item

 

5.30 

  

3.40 

  

3.28 

  

2.01 

  

1.32 

  

1.07 

  

0.81 

  

1.37 

  

1.28 

  

1.61 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

2.48 

 

 

0.23 

 

 

0.34 

 

 

(0.15)

 

 

(0.35)

 

 

(0.10)

 

 

(0.01)

 

 

0.00 

 

 

0.23 

 

 

0.26 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

 

2.82 

  

3.17 

  

2.94 

  

2.16 

  

1.67 

  

1.17 

  

0.82 

  

1.37 

  

1.05 

  

1.35 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

(0.65)

 

 

(0.46)

 

 

(0.54)

 

 

(0.35)

 

 

(0.31)

 

 

(0.23)

 

 

(0.18)

 

 

(0.13)

 

 

(0.32)

 

 

(0.13)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item

$

3.47 

 

$

3.63 

 

$

3.48 

 

$

2.51 

 

$

1.98 

 

$

1.40 

 

$

1.00 

 

$

1.50 

 

$

1.37 

 

$

1.49 

 

 

Return on equity

                              

   Return on average equity

 

14.4 

%

9.8 

%

9.4 

%

6.3 

%

4.1 

%

3.2 

%

2.1 

%

4.6 

%

4.7 

%

7.6 

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(0.3)

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.4 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   Return on average equity before one-time item

 

14.4 

%

9.8 

%

9.4 

%

6.0 

%

4.1 

%

3.2 

%

2.5 

%

4.6 

%

4.7 

%

7.6 

%

 

Return on equity based on comprehensive income

                              

   ROE based on comprehensive income

 

15.9 

%

1.6 

%

4.6 

%

13.8 

%

(4.0)

%

2.5 

%

13.1 

%

1.9 

%

19.6 

%

42.6 

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(0.3)

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.4 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   ROE based on comprehensive income before one-time item

 

15.9 

%

1.6 

%

4.6 

%

13.5 

%

(4.0)

%

2.5 

%

13.5 

%

1.9 

%

19.6 

%

42.6 

%

 

   Investment income, net of expenses

$

570 

 

$

526 

 

$

492

 

$

465

 

$

445

 

$

421

 

$

415

 

$

387

 

$

368

 

$

349

 

   BOLI

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

(5)

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

   Investment income before BOLI

$

570 

 

$

526 

 

$

492

 

$

465

 

$

445

 

$

421

 

$

410

 

$

387

 

$

368

 

$

349

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 11






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

 

(In millions except per share data)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

                              

   Net income

$

130 

$

115 

$

132 

$

552 

$

183 

$

117 

$

158 

$

144 

$

684 

$

302 

$

800 

$

419 

$

930 

$

602 

 

   One-time item

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Net income before one-time item

 

130 

 

115 

 

132 

 

552 

 

183 

 

117 

 

158 

 

144 

 

684 

 

302 

 

800 

 

419 

 

930 

 

602 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

 

 

 

421 

 

16 

 

10 

 

 

 

426 

 

14 

 

427 

 

24 

 

434 

 

40 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

 

122 

 

115 

 

126 

 

131 

 

167 

 

107 

 

150 

 

138 

 

258 

 

288 

 

373 

 

395 

 

496 

 

562 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

(29)

 

(18)

 

(41)

 

(26)

 

(28)

 

(43)

 

(9)

 

(2)

 

(67)

 

(11)

 

(85)

 

(54)

 

(113)

 

(82)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and
      one-time item

$

151 

$

133 

$

167 

$

157 

$

195 

$

150 

$

159 

$

140 

$

325 

$

299 

$

458 

$

449 

$

609 

$

644 

 
                              

Diluted per share data

                             

   Net income

$

0.75 

$

0.66 

$

0.76 

$

3.13 

$

1.03 

$

0.66 

$

0.89 

$

0.81 

$

3.90 

$

1.70 

$

2.13 

$

2.37 

$

5.30 

$

3.40 

 

   One-time item

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

   Net income before one-time item

 

0.75 

 

0.66 

 

0.76 

 

3.13 

 

1.03 

 

0.66 

 

0.89 

 

0.81 

 

3.90 

 

1.70 

 

2.13 

 

2.37 

 

5.30 

 

3.40 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

0.05 

 

0.00 

 

0.04 

 

2.39 

 

0.09 

 

0.05 

 

0.05 

 

0.03 

 

2.43 

 

0.08 

 

2.43 

 

0.14 

 

2.48 

 

0.23 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

 

0.70 

 

0.66 

 

0.72 

 

0.74 

 

0.94 

 

0.61 

 

0.84 

 

0.78 

 

1.47 

 

1.62 

 

4.56 

 

2.23 

 

2.82 

 

3.17 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

(0.16)

 

(0.10)

 

(0.24)

 

(0.14)

 

(0.16)

 

(0.24)

 

(0.05)

 

(0.01)

 

(0.38)

 

(0.06)

 

(0.48)

 

(0.30)

 

(0.65)

 

(0.46)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and
      one-time item

$

0.86 

$

0.76 

$

0.96 

$

0.88 

$

1.10 

$

0.85 

$

0.89 

$

0.79 

$

1.85 

$

1.68 

$

5.04 

$

2.53 

$

3.47 

$

3.63 

 
 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

equal the full year as each is computed independently.




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 12





Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Top Holdings – Common Stocks

         

(Dollars in millions)

As of and for the year ended December 31, 2006

 

Actual
cost

Fair
value

Percent of
fair value

Earned dividend
income

Fifth Third Bancorp

$

283

$

2,979

39.4

%

$

115

Exxon Mobil Corporation

 

133

 

687

9.1

  

11

The Procter & Gamble Company

 

192

 

469

6.2

  

8

National City Corporation

 

171

 

358

4.7

  

15

PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

 

62

 

348

4.6

  

10

AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.

 

60

 

266

3.5

  

12

U.S. Bancorp

 

150

 

251

3.3

  

9

Johnson & Johnson

 

194

 

238

3.1

  

5

Wyeth

 

62

 

225

3.0

  

4

Wells Fargo & Company

 

96

 

193

2.5

  

6

Piedmont Natural Gas Company, Inc.

 

64

 

151

2.0

  

5

Sky Financial Group, Inc.

 

91

 

133

1.8

  

4

FirstMerit Corporation

 

55

 

129

1.7

  

6

All other common stock holdings

 

789

 

1,137

15.1

  

31

   Total

$

2,402

$

7,564

100.0

%

$

241

         




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 13






Cincinnati Insurance Group

GAAP Statements of Income

 
 

 

For the Three Months Ended December 31,

 

 

For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

      

 

       

 

  Premiums earned:

      

 

       

 

    Property casualty

$

845,479,506 

$

818,847,338 

$

26,632,168 

3.25 

 

$

3,321,610,148 

$

 3,237,519,279 

$

 84,090,869 

2.60 

    Life

 

 

 

NA 

  

 

 

NA 

    Accident health

 

 

 

NA 

  

 

 

NA 

    Premiums ceded  

 

(43,501,451)

 

(43,810,668)

 

309,217 

0.71 

  

(157,587,693)

 

(179,470,542)

 

21,882,849 

12.19 

      Total premiums earned  

 

801,978,055 

 

775,036,670 

 

26,941,385 

3.48 

  

3,164,022,455 

 

3,058,048,737 

 

105,973,718 

3.47 

  Investment income

 

93,654,263 

 

87,474,802 

 

6,179,461 

7.06 

  

367,304,753 

 

337,906,534 

 

29,398,219 

8.70 

  Realized gain on investments

 

7,323,470 

 

11,828,897 

 

(4,505,427)

(38.09)

  

225,846,088 

 

39,965,940 

 

185,880,148 

465.10 

  Other income

 

723,643 

 

651,450 

 

72,193 

11.08 

  

3,266,830 

 

3,100,348 

 

166,482 

5.37 

      Total revenues

$

903,679,431 

$

874,991,819 

$

28,687,612 

3.28 

 

$

3,760,440,126 

$

3,439,021,559 

$

321,418,567 

9.35 

 

      

 

       

 

Benefits & expenses:

      

 

       

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

507,755,637 

$

436,006,402 

$

 71,749,235 

16.46 

 

$

2,085,421,315 

$

1,937,904,906 

$

147,516,409 

7.61 

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(5,484,567)

 

(18,802,810)

 

13,318,243 

70.83 

  

(77,446,382)

 

(125,974,401)

 

48,528,019 

38.52 

  Commissions

 

144,113,098 

 

141,873,514 

 

2,239,584 

1.58 

  

596,188,393 

 

592,329,261 

 

3,859,132 

0.65 

  Other operating expenses

 

80,278,976 

 

63,922,981 

 

16,355,995 

25.59 

  

292,709,156 

 

249,373,992 

 

43,335,164 

17.38 

  Interest expense

 

496,480 

 

 

496,480 

NA 

  

888,930 

 

 

888,930 

NA 

  Taxes, licenses & fees  

 

17,498,941 

 

17,660,389 

 

(161,448)

(0.91)

  

72,695,021 

 

66,678,800 

 

6,016,221 

9.02 

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

8,862,341 

 

9,111,122 

 

(248,781)

(2.73)

  

(3,642,356)

 

(4,700,131)

 

1,057,775 

22.51 

  Other expenses  

 

4,244,123 

 

377,634 

 

3,866,489 

1,023.87 

  

16,341,980 

 

12,319,757 

 

4,022,223 

32.65 

     Total expenses

$

757,765,029 

$

650,149,232 

$

107,615,797 

16.55 

 

$

2,983,156,057 

$

2,727,932,184 

$

255,223,873 

9.36 

     Income before income taxes

$

145,914,402 

$

224,842,587 

$

(78,928,185)

(35.10)

 

$

777,284,069 

$

711,089,375 

$

66,194,694 

9.31 

 

      

 

       

 

Provision for income taxes:

      

 

       

 

Current operating income

$

31,617,921 

$

63,736,999 

$

(32,119,078)

(50.39)

 

$

147,254,816 

$

178,744,156 

$

(31,489,340)

(17.62)

Current realized investments gains and losses

 

2,703,528 

 

3,313,516 

 

(609,988)

(18.41)

  

80,218,693 

 

13,988,078 

 

66,230,615 

473.48 

  Deferred

 

3,407,423 

 

1,105,024 

 

2,302,399 

208.36 

  

(8,069,068)

 

6,783,359 

 

(14,852,427)

(218.95)

     Total income taxes

$

37,728,872 

$

68,155,539 

$

(30,426,667)

(44.64)

 

$

219,404,441 

$

199,515,593 

$

19,888,848 

9.97 

 

      

 

       

 

     Net income

$

108,185,530 

$

156,687,048 

$

(48,501,518)

(30.95)

 

$

557,879,628 

$

511,573,782 

$

46,305,846 

9.05 








2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 14






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Statutory Statements of Income

 
 

 

For the Three Months Ended December 31,

 

For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,

 

 

2006

2005

% Change

 

2006

2005

% Change

Underwriting income

 

   

 

    

 

Net premiums written

$

755,245,797 

$

727,352,851 

3.83 

$

3,178,105,582

 $

3,076,183,237 

3.31 

Unearned premiums increase

 

(46,732,257)

 

(47,683,819)

 

 

14,083,124

 

18,134,500 

 

Earned premiums

 

801,978,054 

 

775,036,669 

3.48 

 

3,164,022,457

 

3,058,048,736 

3.47 

 

 

   

 

    

 

Losses incurred

$

379,133,413 

$

347,956,479 

8.96 

$

1,640,711,403

 $

1,505,591,684 

8.97 

Allocated loss expenses incurred

 

71,979,236 

 

24,759,130 

190.72 

 

183,420,723

 

140,414,792 

30.63 

Unallocated loss expenses incurred

 

51,158,422 

 

44,487,984 

14.99 

 

183,842,807

 

165,924,030 

10.80 

Other underwriting expenses incurred

 

246,289,916 

 

229,664,309 

7.24 

 

948,113,154

 

904,044,693 

4.87 

Workers compensation dividend incurred

 

5,135,756 

 

2,929,147 

75.33 

 

17,343,175

 

10,419,002 

66.46 

 

    

 

    

 

   Total underwriting deductions

$

753,696,744 

$

649,797,049 

15.99 

$

2,973,431,262

 $

2,726,394,200 

9.06 

Net underwriting gain (loss)

$

48,281,310 

$

125,239,621 

(61.45)

$

190,591,195

 $

331,654,536 

(42.53)

 

    

 

    

 

Investment income

    

 

    

 

Gross investment income earned

$

94,867,708 

$

88,574,194 

7.11 

$

371,912,860

 $

342,027,603 

8.74 

Net investment income earned

 

93,654,263 

 

87,474,802 

7.06 

 

367,304,753

 

337,906,533 

8.70 

Net realized capital gains

 

4,677,265 

 

5,480,142 

(14.65)

 

146,526,143

 

37,239,021 

293.47 

Net investment gains (excl. subs)

$

98,331,529 

$

92,954,945 

5.78 

$

513,830,897

 $

375,145,555 

36.97 

Dividend from subsidiary

 

12,000,000 

  

 

 

26,000,000

  

 

   Net investment gains

$

110,331,529 

$

92,954,945 

18.69 

$

539,830,897

 $

375,145,555 

43.90 

 

    

 

    

 

 

    

 

    

 

   Other income

$

618,259 

$

(192,707)

N/A 

$

2,488,123

 $

(2,195,078)

N/A 

 

    

 

    

 

Net income before federal income taxes

$

159,231,098 

$

218,001,858 

(26.96)

$

732,910,214

 $

704,605,013 

4.02 

Federal and foreign income taxes incurred

$

30,398,414 

$

46,998,734 

(35.32)

$

143,561,772

 $

172,680,453 

(16.86)

   Net income (statutory)

$

128,832,684 

$

171,003,124 

(24.66)

$

589,348,442

 $

531,924,560 

10.80 

 

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate

regulatory bodies.




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 15






Cincinnati Insurance Group - Consolidated

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data – see Page 25 for adjusted data)

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Net premiums written

$

755

 

$

780

 

$

814

 

$

829

 

$

727

 

$

761

 

$

791

 

$

797

 

$

1,643

 

$

1,588

 

$

2,423

 

$

2,349

 

$

3,178

 

$

3,076

 

Net premiums earned

$

802

 

$

791

 

$

793

 

$

778

 

$

775

 

$

765

 

$

765

 

$

753

 

$

1,571

 

$

1,518

 

$

2,362

 

$

2,283

 

$

3,164

 

$

3,058

 
                                           

Losses paid

$

375

 

$

366

 

$

379

 

$

346

 

$

378

 

$

348

 

$

336

 

$

345

 

$

727

  

681

 

$

1,094

 

$

1,029

 

$

1,469

 

$

1,407

 

Loss reserve change

 

4

  

66

  

60

  

42

  

(30)

  

72

  

23

  

33

 

 

101

  

57

  

167

  

129

 

 

172

  

99

 

   Total losses incurred

$

379

 

$

433

 

$

439

 

$

388

 

$

348

 

$

420

 

$

359

 

$

378

 

$

828

 

$

738

 

$

1,261

 

$

1,158

 

$

1,641

 

$

1,506

 

Allocated loss expense paid

 

37

  

33

  

31

  

27

  

32

  

30

  

29

  

25

 

 

59

  

54

  

91

  

84

 

 

127

  

116

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

 

35

  

8

  

7

  

6

  

(7)

  

10

  

11

  

11

 

 

13

  

21

  

20

  

31

 

 

56

  

24

 

   Total allocated loss expense incurred

$

72

 

$

41

 

$

38

 

$

33

 

$

25

 

$

40

 

$

40

 

$

36

 

$

72

 

$

75

 

$

111

 

$

115

 

$

183

 

$

140

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

 

49

  

39

  

39

  

40

  

46

  

38

  

37

  

34

  

78

  

71

  

117

  

108

 

 

167

  

155

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

 

2

  

4

  

3

  

10

  

(2)

  

3

  

0

  

10

  

12

  

10

  

15

  

13

 

 

17

  

11

 

   Total unallocated loss expense incurred

$

51

 

$

43

 

$

42

 

$

50

 

$

44

 

$

41

 

$

37

 

$

44

 

$

90

 

$

81

 

$

132

 

$

121

 

$

184

 

$

166

 

   Underwriting expenses incurred

 

251

 

 

243

 

 

232

 

 

240

 

 

233

 

 

237

 

 

234

 

 

212

 

 

471

  

446

  

715

  

682

 

 

965

  

914

 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

$

49

 

$

31

 

$

42

 

$

67

 

$

125

 

$

27

 

$

95

 

$

83

 

$

110

 

$

178

 

$

143

 

$

207

 

$

191

 

$

332

 
                                           

Loss Detail

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

$

63

 

$

61

 

$

46

 

$

32

 

$

38

 

$

27

 

$

28

 

$

43

 

$

79

 

$

70

 

$

139

 

$

98

 

$

203

 

$

137

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

 

43

  

49

  

48

  

38

  

36

  

35

  

37

  

32

 

 

86

  

69

  

135

  

104

 

 

178

  

139

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

 

64

  

49

  

52

  

49

  

54

  

38

  

40

  

36

 

 

102

  

76

  

151

  

115

 

 

215

  

168

 

   Large losses subtotal

$

170

 

$

159

 

$

146

 

$

119

 

$

128

 

$

100

 

$

105

 

$

111

 

$

267

 

$

215

 

$

425

 

$

317

 

$

596

 

$

444

 

IBNR incurred

 

(57)

  

11

  

(5)

  

6

  

(58)

  

20

  

13

  

13

 

 

1

  

27

 

 

11

  

47

 

 

(47)

  

(11)

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

 

44

  

27

  

64

  

40

  

44

  

66

  

14

  

2

 

 

103

  

17

 

 

131

  

83

 

 

175

  

127

 

Remaining incurred

 

222

 

 

235

 

 

234

 

 

223

 

 

234

 

 

233

 

 

226

 

 

252

 

 

457

 

 

478

 

 

694

 

 

711

 

 

917

 

 

946

 

   Total losses incurred

$

379

 

$

432

 

$

439

 

$

388

 

$

348

 

$

419

 

$

358

 

$

378

 

$

828

 

$

737

 

$

1,261

 

$

1,158

 

$

1,641

 

$

1,506

 

                                           

Ratio Data

                        

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

Loss ratio

 

47.2

%

 

54.8

%

 

55.4

%

 

50.0

%

 

44.9

%

 

54.9

%

 

46.9

%

 

50.3

%

 

52.7

%

 

48.6

%

 

53.4

%

 

50.7

%

 

51.9

  

49.2

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

 

9.0

  

5.0

  

4.8

  

4.3

  

3.2

  

5.3

  

5.2

  

4.7

 

 

4.6

  

5.0

 

 

4.7

  

5.1

 

 

5.8

  

4.6

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

 

6.4

  

5.4

  

5.1

  

6.4

  

5.7

  

5.3

  

4.8

  

5.8

 

 

5.7

  

5.3

 

 

5.6

  

5.3

 

 

5.8

  

5.4

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

 

33.3

 

 

31.2

 

 

28.4

 

 

28.9

 

 

32.0

 

 

31.1

 

 

29.6

 

 

26.6

 

 

28.7

 

 

28.0

 

 

29.5

 

 

29.0

 

 

30.4

 

 

29.7

 

   Statutory combined ratio

 

95.9

%

 

96.4

%

 

93.7

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.5

%

 

87.4

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

 

93.9

  

88.9

%

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
     catastrophes

 

90.4

%

 

92.9

%

 

85.7

%

 

84.6

%

 

80.2

%

 

88.0

%

 

84.6

%

 

87.1

%

 

85.1

%

 

85.8

%

 

87.7

%

 

86.5

%

 

88.4

 

 

84.9

%

                                           

Loss Ratio

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

 

7.9

%

 

7.6

%

 

6.0

%

 

4.2

%

 

5.0

%

 

3.6

%

 

3.6

%

 

5.7

%

 

5.1

%

 

4.7

%

 

5.9

%

 

4.3

%

 

6.4

%

 

4.5

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

 

5.3

  

6.2

  

6.0

  

4.9

  

4.5

  

4.6

  

4.8

  

4.3

 

 

5.5

  

4.5

 

 

5.7

  

4.5

 

 

5.6

  

4.5

 

Development and case reserve increases
   of $250,000 or more

 

8.0

 

 

6.3

 

 

7.4

 

 

6.4

 

 

6.9

 

 

5.1

 

 

5.2

 

 

4.7

 

 

6.9

 

 

5.0

 

 

6.4

 

 

5.0

 

 

6.8

 

 

5.5

 

   Large losses subtotal

 

21.2

%

 

20.1

%

 

19.4

%

 

15.5

%

 

16.4

%

 

13.3

%

 

13.6

%

 

14.7

%

 

17.5

%

 

14.2

%

 

18.0

%

 

13.8

%

 

18.8

%

 

14.5

%

IBNR incurred

 

(7.2)

  

1.3

  

1.3

  

0.8

  

(7.4)

  

2.5

  

1.8

  

1.8

 

 

1.1

  

1.8

 

 

0.5

  

2.0

 

 

(1.4)

  

(0.4)

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

 

5.5

  

3.5

  

8.0

  

5.0

  

5.6

  

8.6

  

1.9

  

0.3

 

 

6.5

  

1.1

 

 

5.5

  

3.6

 

 

5.5

  

4.1

 

Remaining incurred

 

27.7

 

 

29.9

 

 

26.7

 

 

28.6

 

 

30.3

 

 

30.6

 

 

29.6

 

 

33.5

 

 

27.6

 

 

31.5

 

 

29.4

 

 

31.2

 

 

29.0

 

 

31.0

 

   Total loss ratio

 

47.2

%

 

54.8

%

 

55.4

%

 

49.9

%

 

44.9

%

 

55.0

%

 

46.9

%

 

50.3

%

 

52.7

%

 

48.6

%

 

53.4

%

 

50.6

%

 

51.9

%

 

49.2

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss Claim Count

                        

 

     

 

     

 

     

Losses $1 million or more

 

33

  

32

  

26

  

14

  

24

  

21

  

17

  

15

 

 

40

  

32

 

 

72

  

53

 

 

105

  

77

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

 

97

  

103

  

88

  

95

  

92

  

81

  

93

  

73

 

 

183

  

166

 

 

286

  

247

 

 

383

  

339

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

 

94

 

 

104

 

 

85

 

 

85

 

 

100

 

 

72

 

 

61

 

 

67

 

 

170

 

 

128

 

 

274

 

 

200

 

 

368

 

 

300

 

   Large losses total

 

224

 

 

239

 

 

199

 

 

194

 

 

216

 

 

174

 

 

171

 

 

155

 

 

393

 

 

326

 

 

632

 

 

500

 

 

856

 

 

716

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

NM – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed by the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 16









Cincinnati Insurance Group - Commercial Lines

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 26 for adjusted data)

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Net premiums written

$

589

 

$

582

 

$

603

 

$

668

 

$

548 

 

$

546

 

$

567

 

$

629

 

$

1,271

 

$

1,195

 

$

1,853

 

$

1,741

 

$

2,442

 

$

2,290

 

Net premiums earned

$

619

 

$

602

 

$

599

 

$

582

 

$

576 

 

$

564

 

$

563

 

$

551

 

$

1,181

 

$

1,114

 

$

1,783

 

$

1,678

 

$

2,402

 

$

2,254

 
                         

 

     

 

     

 

     

Losses paid

$

256

 

$

247

 

$

251

 

$

234

 

$

256 

 

$

228

 

$

214

 

$

219

 

$

485

 

$

434

 

$

732

 

$

662

 

$

988

 

$

918

 

Loss reserve change

 

5

  

63

  

53

  

53

  

(19)

  

67

  

32

  

51

 

 

105

  

84

 

 

168

  

151

 

 

174

  

132

 

   Total losses incurred

$

261

 

$

310

 

$

304

 

$

287

 

$

237 

 

$

295

 

$

246

 

$

270

 

$

590

 

$

518

 

$

900

 

$

813

 

$

1,162

 

$

1,050

 

Allocated loss expense paid

 

33

  

30

  

28

  

24

  

28 

  

27

  

26

  

22

 

 

52

  

48

 

 

81

  

75

 

 

114

  

103

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

 

37

  

7

  

6

  

5

  

(1)

  

9

  

10

  

10

 

 

12

  

20

 

 

19

  

29

 

 

56

  

28

 

   Total allocated loss expense incurred

$

70

 

$

37

 

$

34

 

$

29

 

$

27 

 

$

36

 

$

36

 

$

32

 

$

64

 

$

68

 

$

100

 

$

104

 

$

170

 

$

131

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

 

34

  

27

  

27

  

28

  

31 

  

26

  

25

  

22

 

 

54

  

48

 

 

81

  

73

 

 

116

  

105

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

 

3

  

3

  

3

  

10

  

(1)

  

3

  

1

  

10

 

 

13

  

11

 

 

15

  

13

 

 

18

  

12

 

   Total unallocated loss expense incurred

$

37

 

$

30

 

$

30

 

$

38

 

$

30 

 

$

29

 

$

26

 

$

32

 

$

67

 

$

59

 

$

96

 

$

86

 

$

134

 

$

117

 

   Underwriting expenses incurred

 

194

 

 

185

 

 

172

 

 

179

 

 

182 

 

 

173

 

 

165

 

 

156

  

349

  

321

  

536

  

493

  

727

  

675

 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

$

57

 

$

40

 

$

59

 

$

49

 

$

100 

 

$

31

 

$

90

 

$

61

 

$

111

 

$

148

 

$

151

 

$

182

 

$

209

 

$

281

 
                                           

Loss Detail

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

    

Losses $1 million or more

$

59

 

$

51

 

$

40

 

$

30

 

$

31 

 

$

24

 

$

26

 

$

43

 

$

70

 

$

68

 

$

121

 

$

93

 

$

180

 

$

124

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

 

35

  

37

  

39

  

28

  

28 

  

26

  

29

  

22

 

 

67

  

51

 

 

104

  

77

 

 

139

  

105

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

 

58

  

45

  

45

  

44

  

47 

  

35

  

38

  

29

 

 

90

  

67

 

 

135

  

103

 

 

193

  

149

 

   Large losses subtotal

$

152

 

$

133

 

$

124

 

$

102

 

$

106 

 

$

85

 

$

93

 

$

94

 

$

227

 

$

186

 

$

360

 

$

273

 

$

512

 

$

378

 

IBNR incurred

 

(45)

  

10

  

(6)

  

6

  

(36)

  

17

  

12

  

12

 

 

0

  

24

 

 

10

  

41

 

 

(36)

  

6

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

 

11

  

14

  

34

  

30

  

14 

  

53

  

2

  

6

 

 

63

  

9

 

 

77

  

62

 

 

89

  

76

 

Remaining incurred

 

143

 

 

153

 

 

152

 

 

149

 

 

153 

 

 

139

 

 

139

 

 

159

 

 

300

 

 

298

 

 

453

 

 

437

 

 

597

 

 

590

 

   Total losses incurred

$

261

 

$

310

 

$

304

 

$

287

 

$

237 

 

$

294

 

$

246

 

$

271

 

$

590

 

$

517

 

$

900

 

$

813

 

$

1,162

 

$

1,050

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ratio Data

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

    

Loss ratio

 

42.2

%

 

51.5

%

 

50.7

%

 

49.2

%

 

41.1 

%

 

52.4

%

 

43.8

%

 

49.1

%

 

50.0

%

 

46.5

%

 

50.5

%

 

48.4

%

 

48.4

%

 

46.6

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

 

11.3

  

6.0

  

5.7

  

5.1

  

4.7 

  

6.5

  

6.4

  

5.8

 

 

5.4

  

6.1

 

 

5.6

  

6.2

 

 

7.1

  

5.8

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

 

6.0

  

5.0

  

4.9

  

6.5

  

5.3 

  

5.1

  

4.6

  

5.9

 

 

5.7

  

5.2

 

 

5.4

  

5.2

 

 

5.5

  

5.2

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

 

32.9

 

 

31.6

 

 

28.3

 

 

26.8

 

 

33.2 

 

 

31.6

 

 

29.1

 

 

24.7

 

 

27.5

 

 

26.8

 

 

28.8

 

 

28.3

 

 

29.8

 

 

29.5

 

   Statutory combined ratio

 

92.4

%

 

94.1

%

 

89.6

%

 

87.6

%

 

84.3 

%

 

95.6

%

 

83.9

%

 

85.5

%

 

88.6

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3

%

 

88.1

%

 

90.8

%

 

87.1

%

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
      catastrophes

 

90.5

%

 

91.7

%

 

84.0

%

 

82.5

%

 

81.9 

%

 

86.0

%

 

83.5

%

 

84.4

%

 

83.3

%

 

83.8

%

 

86.0

%

 

84.5

%

 

87.1

%

 

83.7

%

                                           

Loss Ratio

                        

 

     

 

     

 

     

Losses $1 million or more

 

9.6

%

 

8.5

%

 

6.6

%

 

5.2

%

 

5.4 

%

 

4.3

%

 

4.5

%

 

7.8

%

 

5.9

%

 

6.1

%

 

6.8

%

 

5.5

%

 

7.5

%

 

5.5

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

 

5.6

  

6.1

  

6.5

  

4.8

  

4.8 

  

4.7

  

5.2

  

3.9

 

 

5.7

  

4.5

 

 

5.8

  

4.6

 

 

5.8

  

4.7

 

Development and case reserve increases
   of $250,000 or more

 

9.4

 

 

7.5

 

 

7.6

 

 

7.6

 

 

8.1 

 

 

6.3

 

 

6.8

 

 

5.3

 

 

7.6

 

 

6.0

 

 

7.6

 

 

6.1

 

 

8.0

 

 

6.6

 

   Large losses subtotal

 

24.6

%

 

22.1

%

 

20.7

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.3 

%

 

15.3

%

 

16.5

%

 

17.0

%

 

19.2

%

 

16.6

%

 

20.2

%

 

16.2

%

 

21.3

%

 

16.8

%

IBNR incurred

 

(7.3)

  

1.7

  

(1.0)

  

1.0

  

(6.1)

  

2.9

  

2.2

  

2.2

 

 

0.0

  

2.2

 

 

0.6

  

2.4

 

 

(1.5)

  

0.2

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

 

1.9

  

2.3

  

5.6

  

5.1

  

2.4 

  

9.5

  

0.4

  

1.1

 

 

5.3

  

0.8

 

 

4.3

  

3.7

 

 

3.7

  

3.4

 

Remaining incurred

 

23.0

 

 

25.4

 

 

25.4

 

 

25.6

 

 

26.5 

 

 

24.7

 

 

24.7

 

 

28.8

 

 

25.5

 

 

26.8

 

 

25.4

 

 

26.1

 

 

24.9

 

 

26.2

 

   Total loss ratio

 

42.2

%

 

51.5

%

 

50.7

%

 

49.3

%

 

41.1 

%

 

52.4

%

 

43.8

%

 

49.1

%

 

50.0

%

 

46.4

%

 

50.5

%

 

48.4

%

 

48.4

%

 

46.6

%

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

NM - Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 17







Cincinnati Insurance Group - Personal Lines

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 27 for adjusted data)

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Net premiums written

$

166

 

$

198

 

$

211

 

$

161

 

$

179

 

$

215

 

$

224

 

$

168

 

$

372

 

$

393

 

$

570

 

$

608

 

$

736

 

$

786

 

Net premiums earned

$

183

 

$

189

 

$

194

 

$

196

 

$

199

 

$

201

 

$

202

 

$

202

 

$

390

 

$

404

 

$

579

 

$

605

 

$

762

 

$

804

 
                         

 

     

 

     

 

     

Losses paid

$

119

 

$

119

 

$

128

 

$

112

 

$

122

 

$

120

 

$

122

 

$

126

 

$

242

 

$

247

 

$

362

 

$

367

 

$

481

 

$

489

 

Loss reserve change

 

(1)

  

3

  

7

  

(11)

  

(11)

  

5

  

(9)

  

(18)

 

 

(4)

  

(27)

 

 

(1)

  

(22)

 

 

(2)

  

(33)

 

   Total losses incurred

$

118

 

$

122

 

$

135

 

$

101

 

$

111

 

$

125

 

$

113

 

$

108

 

$

238

 

$

220

 

$

361

 

$

345

 

$

479

 

$

456

 

Allocated loss expense paid

 

4

  

3

  

3

  

3

  

4

  

3

  

3

  

3

 

 

7

  

6

 

 

10

  

9

 

 

13

  

13

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

 

(2)

  

1

  

1

  

1

  

(6)

  

1

  

1

  

1

 

 

1

  

1

 

 

1

  

2

 

 

0

  

(4)

 

   Total allocated loss expense incurred

$

2

 

$

4

 

$

4

 

$

4

 

$

(2)

 

$

4

 

$

4

 

$

4

 

$

8

 

$

7

 

$

11

 

$

11

 

$

13

 

$

9

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

 

15

  

12

  

12

  

12

  

15

  

12

  

12

  

12

 

 

24

  

23

 

 

36

  

35

 

 

51

  

50

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

 

(1)

  

1

  

0

  

0

  

(1)

  

0

  

(1)

  

0

 

 

(1)

  

(1)

 

 

0

  

0

 

 

(1)

  

(1)

 

   Total unallocated loss expense incurred

$

14

 

$

13

 

$

12

 

$

12

 

$

14

 

$

12

 

$

11

 

$

12

 

$

23

 

$

22

 

$

36

 

$

35

 

$

50

 

$

49

 

   Underwriting expenses incurred

 

57

 

 

58

 

 

60

 

 

61

 

 

51

 

 

64

 

 

69

 

 

56

  

122

  

125

  

179

  

189

  

238

  

239

 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

$

(8)

 

$

(8)

 

$

(17)

 

$

18

 

$

25

 

$

(4)

 

$

5

 

$

22

 

$

(1)

 

$

30

 

$

(8)

 

$

25

 

$

(18)

 

$

51

 
                                           

Loss Detail

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

    

Losses $1 million or more

$

4

 

$

10

 

$

6

 

$

2

 

$

7

 

$

3

 

$

2

 

$

0

 

$

9

 

$

2

 

$

18

 

$

5

 

$

23

 

$

13

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

 

8

  

12

  

9

  

10

  

8

  

9

  

8

  

10

 

 

19

  

18

 

 

31

  

27

 

 

39

  

34

 

Development and case reserve increases

   of $250,000 or more

 

6

 

 

4

 

 

7

 

 

5

 

 

7

 

 

3

 

 

2

 

 

7

 

 

12

 

 

9

 

 

16

 

 

12

 

 

22

 

 

19

 

   Large losses subtotal

$

18

 

$

26

 

$

22

 

$

17

 

$

22

 

$

15

 

$

12

 

$

17

 

$

40

 

$

29

 

$

65

 

$

44

 

$

84

 

$

66

 

IBNR incurred

 

(12)

  

1

  

1

  

0

  

(22)

  

3

  

1

  

1

 

 

1

  

3

 

 

1

  

6

 

 

(11)

  

(17)

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

 

33

  

13

  

30

  

10

  

30

  

13

  

12

  

(4)

 

 

40

  

8

 

 

54

  

21

 

 

86

  

51

 

Remaining incurred

 

79

 

 

82

 

 

82

 

 

74

 

 

81

 

 

94

 

 

87

 

 

93

 

 

157

 

 

180

 

 

241

 

 

274

 

 

320

 

 

356

 

   Total losses incurred

$

118

 

$

122

 

$

135

 

$

101

 

$

111

 

$

125

 

$

112

 

$

107

 

$

238

 

$

220

 

$

361

 

$

345

 

$

479

 

$

456

 

                                           

Ratio Data

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

    

Loss ratio

 

64.4

%

 

65.1

%

 

70.0

%

 

52.2

%

 

55.9

%

 

62.2

%

 

55.6

%

 

53.3

%

 

61.1

%

 

54.4

%

 

62.4

%

 

57.0

%

 

62.9

%

 

56.7

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

 

1.2

  

1.9

  

2.1

  

1.7

  

(1.2)

  

2.0

  

1.8

  

1.8

 

 

1.9

  

1.8

 

 

2.0

  

1.9

 

 

1.7

  

1.1

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

 

7.8

  

6.6

  

5.8

  

6.2

  

7.0

  

6.1

  

5.5

  

5.7

 

 

6.0

  

5.6

 

 

6.1

  

5.8

 

 

6.6

  

6.1

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

 

34.3

 

 

30.4

 

 

28.5

 

 

38.0

 

 

28.4

 

 

29.7

 

 

30.7

 

 

33.2

 

 

32.6

 

 

31.8

 

 

31.8

 

 

31.0

 

 

32.4

 

 

30.4

 

   Statutory combined ratio

 

107.7

%

 

104.0

%

 

106.4

%

 

98.1

%

 

90.1

%

 

100.0

%

 

93.6

%

 

94.0

%

 

101.6

%

 

93.6

%

 

102.3

%

 

95.7

%

 

103.6

%

 

94.3

%

   Statutory combined ratio excluding

     catastrophes

 

89.8

%

 

96.9

%

 

90.8

%

 

93.1

%

 

75.2

%

 

93.6

%

 

87.4

%

 

96.0

%

 

91.3

%

 

91.5

%

 

93.1

%

 

92.2

%

 

92.3

%

 

88.0

%

                                           

Loss Ratio

                        

 

     

 

     

 

     

Losses $1 million or more

 

2.2

%

 

5.0

%

 

3.5

%

 

1.2

%

 

3.6

%

 

1.5

%

 

1.1

%

 

0.0

%

 

2.3

%

 

0.6

%

 

3.2

%

 

0.9

%

 

3.0

%

 

1.6

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

 

4.5

  

6.4

  

4.4

  

5.3

  

3.9

  

4.3

  

3.7

  

5.2

 

 

4.9

  

4.4

 

 

5.4

  

4.4

 

 

5.2

  

4.3

 

Development and case reserve increases

  of $250,000 or more

 

3.4

  

2.1

  

3.5

  

2.7

  

3.5

  

1.7

  

1.0

  

3.2

 

 

3.1

  

2.1

 

 

2.8

  

2.0

 

 

2.9

  

2.4

 

   Large losses subtotal

 

10.1

%

 

13.5

%

 

11.4

%

 

9.2

%

 

11.0

%

 

7.5

%

 

5.8

%

 

8.4

%

 

10.3

%

 

7.1

%

 

11.4

%

 

7.3

%

 

11.1

%

 

8.3

%

IBNR incurred

 

(6.8)

  

0.1

  

0.7

  

0.0

  

(11.2)

  

1.4

  

0.6

  

0.7

 

 

0.3

  

0.7

 

 

0.3

  

0.9

 

 

(1.5)

  

(2.1)

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

 

17.9

  

7.1

  

15.6

  

5.0

  

14.9

  

6.2

  

6.2

  

(2.0)

 

 

10.3

  

2.1

 

 

9.2

  

3.5

 

 

11.3

  

6.3

 

Remaining incurred

 

43.2

 

 

44.4

 

 

42.3

 

 

38.0

 

 

41.2

 

 

46.9

 

 

42.9

 

 

46.2

 

 

40.2

 

 

44.5

 

 

41.5

 

 

45.3

 

 

42.0

 

 

44.3

 

   Total loss ratio

 

64.4

%

 

65.1

%

 

70.0

%

 

52.2

%

 

55.9

%

 

62.0

%

 

55.5

%

 

53.3

%

 

61.1

%

 

54.4

%

 

62.4

%

 

57.0

%

 

62.9

%

 

56.8

%

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

NM – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed by the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 18









Cincinnati Insurance Group

 Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business for the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2006

 (Dollars in millions)

                     

12/31/2006

12/31/2005

 
 

Comm

 

Comm

Comm

 

Workers'

Specialty

Surety &

 

Mach. &

Pers

Home

Other

Agency

Agency

Change

 State

 

Casualty

 

Prop

Auto

 

Comp

Packages

Exec Risk

 

Equip

Auto

Owner

Personal

Direct

Direct

%

 

                        

 

 AL

$

  20.1

$

14.1

$

8.3

$

 1.4

$

7.0

$

1.6

$

 0.6

$

15.6

$

 21.1

$

  4.4

$

 94.2

$

91.7

2.7 

 AZ

 

 12.5

 

   5.5

 

9.3

 

 0.5

 

1.0

 

0.6

 

 0.5

 

 0.0

 

   0.1

 

  0.1

 

 30.1

 

26.5

13.6 

 AR

 

 11.3

 

   9.9

 

6.6

 

 5.7

 

3.7

 

1.1

 

 0.4

 

 2.8

 

   3.0

 

  0.8

 

 45.3

 

44.9

1.0 

 DE

 

   0.8

 

   0.4

 

0.7

 

 1.6

 

 0.0

 

0.1

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

  0.1

 

   3.7

 

  0.9

293.7 

 FL

 

  38.1

 

 23.4

 

  13.2

 

 3.4

 

4.0

 

2.4

 

 0.7

 

12.6

 

 20.0

 

  3.7

 

121.5

 

  106.7

13.8 

 GA

 

27.4

 

 20.3

 

  18.7

 

   12.2

 

6.2

 

6.8

 

 0.7

 

31.7

 

 26.7

 

  6.5

 

157.2

 

  144.8

8.6 

 ID

 

  7.2

 

   3.5

 

4.6

 

 0.0

 

0.9

 

0.6

 

 0.2

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 17.0

 

14.6

16.5 

 IL

 

  82.3

 

 47.2

 

  34.6

 

   64.2

 

  13.0

 

8.2

 

 2.9

 

25.8

 

 19.2

 

  5.9

 

303.3

 

  300.6

0.9 

 IN

 

 51.2

 

 39.4

 

  26.9

 

   32.0

 

7.8

 

6.8

 

 2.2

 

29.7

 

 27.0

 

  6.9

 

229.9

 

  230.0

0.0 

 IA

 

   21.5

 

 15.0

 

9.9

 

   23.2

 

4.3

 

2.5

 

 1.3

 

 4.8

 

   4.5

 

  2.1

 

 89.1

 

88.4

0.7 

 KS

 

6.9

 

   7.3

 

4.7

 

 6.2

 

2.8

 

  1.3

 

0.4

 

5.2

 

 6.4

 

 1.2

 

42.4

 

  40.9

3.7 

 KY

 

  21.1

 

18.4

 

 14.8

 

4.1

 

  4.9

 

  2.9

 

0.9

 

20.5

 

  14.7

 

 3.9

 

106.2

 

107.8

(1.5)

 MD

 

  14.3

 

  5.9

 

 10.8

 

 11.5

 

  1.0

 

  1.5

 

0.3

 

 0.0

 

 1.3

 

 0.5

 

47.1

 

  40.3

16.8 

 MI

 

  43.2

 

27.1

 

 19.6

 

 21.4

 

13.0

 

  5.4

 

1.8

 

14.3

 

  17.0

 

 3.5

 

166.3

 

172.3

(3.5)

 MN

 

27.7

 

15.9

 

 10.1

 

7.7

 

  3.7

 

  2.3

 

1.2

 

7.3

 

 5.7

 

 2.9

 

84.5

 

  85.6

(1.3)

 MO

 

26.0

 

18.9

 

 12.6

 

 17.5

 

  5.2

 

  2.0

 

1.1

 

3.2

 

 4.9

 

 1.0

 

92.4

 

  84.3

9.6 

 MT

 

 13.2

 

  6.7

 

7.1

 

 0.0

 

  0.8

 

  0.3

 

0.3

 

0.1

 

 0.1

 

 0.0

 

28.6

 

  26.1

9.6 

 NE

 

  7.7

 

  5.6

 

3.8

 

9.0

 

  1.6

 

  0.9

 

0.5

 

1.4

 

 1.3

 

 0.2

 

32.0

 

  33.4

(4.2)

 NH

 

2.9

 

  2.0

 

1.4

 

2.4

 

  0.8

 

  0.5

 

0.2

 

0.9

 

 0.7

 

 0.3

 

12.1

 

  11.5

5.0 

 NY

 

 26.7

 

  6.8

 

9.6

 

2.5

 

  1.1

 

  3.3

 

0.4

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

50.4

 

  43.8

14.9 

 NC

 

42.1

 

28.9

 

 25.0

 

 26.7

 

11.6

 

  8.0

 

1.4

 

1.3

 

 1.6

 

 2.7

 

149.3

 

133.0

12.2 

 ND

 

3.9

 

  3.2

 

2.5

 

 0.0

 

  0.8

 

  0.6

 

0.2

 

0.7

 

 0.6

 

 0.1

 

12.6

 

  14.0

(9.9)

 OH

 

168.8

 

 101.0

 

 80.1

 

  (0.3)

 

20.8

 

25.5

 

4.7

 

143.8

 

  93.6

 

  30.3

 

668.3

 

692.5

(3.5)

 PA

 

  48.8

 

29.8

 

 30.7

 

 53.8

 

  9.3

 

  6.7

 

1.7

 

8.4

 

 6.3

 

 3.1

 

198.6

 

195.1

1.8 

 SC

 

14.6

 

  9.1

 

9.4

 

4.6

 

  2.3

 

  3.1

 

0.3

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.3

 

43.7

 

  41.4

5.5 

 SD

 

 4.5

 

  2.7

 

2.0

 

3.8

 

  0.5

 

  0.4

 

0.1

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.2

 

14.2

 

  12.2

16.5 

 TN

 

   25.7

 

 17.2

 

  16.3

 

   12.6

 

8.3

 

4.4

 

 1.0

 

 8.0

 

   8.2

 

  2.6

 

104.3

 

98.1

6.4 

 UT

 

  8.9

 

   3.4

 

4.1

 

 0.1

 

0.4

 

1.3

 

 0.3

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 18.5

 

13.0

42.5 

 VT

 

   5.2

 

   3.7

 

3.0

 

 7.0

 

1.0

 

0.7

 

 0.2

 

 0.9

 

   0.9

 

  0.2

 

 22.8

 

21.9

4.3 

 VA

 

   37.3

 

 25.7

 

  24.4

 

   22.7

 

5.0

 

5.2

 

 1.1

 

   10.6

 

   8.4

 

  2.9

 

143.3

 

  132.6

8.0 

 WV

 

  9.3

 

   6.0

 

6.5

 

 0.0

 

2.3

 

0.7

 

 0.4

 

 0.0

 

   0.9

 

  0.2

 

 26.3

 

24.3

8.2 

 WI

 

  31.1

 

 18.2

 

  13.8

 

   25.3

 

4.7

 

2.4

 

 1.6

 

   10.5

 

   8.1

 

  3.3

 

119.0

 

  121.2

(1.7)

 All Other

 

 5.7

 

   3.4

 

3.3

 

 4.9

 

0.2

 

1.3

 

 0.2

 

 0.0

 

   0.1

 

  0.2

 

 19.3

 

15.3

24.7 

                          

 Total Agency Direct

$

868.0

$

   545.6

$

 448.4

$

 387.7

$

150.0

$

111.4

$

   29.8

$

 360.1

$

   302.4

$

90.1

$

3,293.5

$

3,209.8

2.6 

 Other Direct

 

   1.2

 

   1.9

 

0.8

 

 9.4

 

0.3

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 1.0

 

   2.3

 

1.8

 

18.6

 

21.5

(13.8)

 Total Direct

$

 869.2

$

547.5

$

449.2

$

 397.1

$

150.3

$

111.4

$

   29.8

$

 361.1

$

   304.7

$

91.9

$

3,312.1

$

  3,231.3

2.5 





2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 19









Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - By Commercial Lines of Business

 

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

 

Commercial casualty:

                        

 

                  

Written premiums

$

204

 

$

196

 

$

209

 

$

228

 

$

189

 

$

183

 

$

193

 

$

217

 

$

437

 

 $

409

 

$

634

 

 $

593

 

$

838

 

 $

779

  

Earned premiums

 

219

  

207

  

208

  

197

  

195

  

193

  

192

  

183

  

405

  

375

  

613

  

566

 

S

831

  

759

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

58.8

%

 

49.4

%

 

51.8

%

 

51.3

%

 

5.1

%

 

49.3

%

 

54.3

%

 

51.2

%

 

51.6

%

 

53.0

%

 

50.8

%

 

51.8

%

 

53.0

%

 

39.8

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

58.8

%

 

49.4

%

 

51.8

%

 

51.3

%

 

5.1

%

 

49.3

%

 

54.3

%

 

51.2

%

 

51.6

%

 

53.0

%

 

50.8

%

 

51.8

%

 

53.0

%

 

39.8

%

 
                                            

Commercial property:

                                           

Written premiums

$

124

 

$

126

 

$

122

 

$

134

 

$

115

 

$

113

 

$

122

 

$

126

 

$

256

 

 $

248

 

$

381

 

 $

361

 

$

505

 

 $

476

  

Earned premiums

 

123

  

123

  

123

  

121

  

120

  

113

  

118

  

116

  

244

  

234

  

367

 

 $

347

  

491

  

467

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

47.0

%

 

54.9

%

 

55.8

%

 

72.6

%

 

52.8

%

 

94.3

%

 

42.4

%

 

68.8

%

 

64.2

%

 

55.5

%

 

61.0

%

 

68.2

%

 

57.5

%

 

64.2

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

7.1

  

9.9

  

15.9

  

22.7

  

11.2

  

44.0

  

1.2

  

4.0

  

19.3

  

2.6

  

16.1

  

16.1

  

13.9

  

14.9

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

39.9

%

 

45.0

%

 

39.9

%

 

49.9

%

 

41.6

%

 

50.3

%

 

41.2

%

 

64.8

%

 

44.9

%

 

52.9

%

 

44.9

%

 

52.1

%

 

43.6

%

 

49.3

%

 
                                            

Commercial auto:

                                           

Written premiums

$

105

 

$

105

 

$

115

 

$

126

 

$

107

 

$

107

 

$

111

 

$

122

 

$

240

 

 $

233

 

$

345

 

 $

341

 

$

450

 

 $

448

  

Earned premiums

 

116

  

113

  

112

  

112

  

117

  

115

  

112

  

113

  

224

  

225

  

337

  

340

  

453

  

457

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

58.5

%

 

72.8

%

 

57.0

%

 

57.7

%

 

61.5

%

 

60.6

%

 

60.2

%

 

57.9

%

 

57.4

%

 

59.0

%

 

62.5

%

 

59.6

%

 

61.5

%

 

60.1

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

0.6

  

(0.5)

  

3.1

  

0.6

  

0.0

  

0.2

  

0.3

  

0.0

  

1.9

 

 

0.1

  

1.0

 

 

0.2

  

0.9

  

0.1

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

57.9

%

 

73.3

%

 

53.9

%

 

57.1

%

 

61.5

%

 

60.4

%

 

59.9

%

 

57.9

%

 

55.5

%

 

58.9

%

 

61.5

%

 

59.4

%

 

60.6

%

 

60.0

%

 
                                            

Workers' compensation:

                        

 

                  

Written premiums

$

91

 

$

85

 

$

91

 

$

111

 

$

80

 

$

75

 

$

83

 

$

100

 

$

203

 

 $

183

 

$

288

 

 $

258

 

$

379

 

 $

338

  

Earned premiums

 

95

  

93

  

90

  

88

  

85

  

82

  

82

  

79

  

178

  

161

  

271

  

244

  

366

  

328

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

89.3

%

 

90.3

%

 

83.1

%

 

78.6

%

 

134.2

%

 

74.0

%

 

77.0

%

 

76.5

%

 

80.8

%

 

76.8

%

 

84.1

%

 

75.9

%

 

85.4

%

 

90.9

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

89.3

%

 

90.3

%

 

83.1

%

 

78.6

%

 

134.2

%

 

74.0

%

 

77.0

%

 

76.5

%

 

80.8

%

 

76.8

%

 

84.1

%

 

75.9

%

 

85.4

%

 

90.9

%

 
                                            

Specialty packages:

                                           

Written premiums

$

35

 

$

35

 

$

34

 

$

40

 

$

32

 

$

35

 

$

34

 

$

37

 

$

74

 

 $

71

 

$

109

 

 $

105

 

$

144

 

 $

138

  

Earned premiums

 

35

  

35

  

35

  

36

  

34

  

34

  

34

  

34

  

71

  

68

  

106

  

103

  

141

  

137

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

44.9

%

 

74.2

%

 

82.1

%

 

64.3

%

 

53.4

%

 

69.9

%

 

57.2

%

 

87.8

%

 

73.1

%

 

72.4

%

 

73.5

%

 

71.5

%

 

66.3

%

 

67.0

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

5.8

  

7.1

  

29.2

  

3.6

  

4.6

  

9.9

  

1.8

  

4.4

  

16.2

  

3.1

  

13.3

  

5.3

  

11.4

  

5.2

  

Loss and loss expenses

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

39.1

%

 

67.1

%

 

52.9

%

 

60.7

%

 

48.8

%

 

60.0

%

 

55.4

%

 

83.4

%

 

56.9

%

 

69.3

%

 

60.2

%

 

66.2

%

 

54.9

%

 

61.8

%

 
                                            

Surety and executive risk:

                                           

Written premiums

$

23

 

$

28

 

$

24

 

$

22

 

$

21

 

$

25

 

$

18

 

$

20

 

$

46

 

 $

38

 

$

74

 

 $

63

 

$

97

 

 $

85

  

Earned premiums

 

24

  

24

  

24

  

21

  

21

  

21

  

19

  

19

  

45

  

38

  

69

  

59

  

93

  

80

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

36.3

%

 

47.3

%

 

89.6

%

 

26.5

%

 

69.2

%

 

31.5

%

 

7.4

%

 

26.4

%

 

60.1

%

 

16.9

%

 

55.6

%

 

22.0

%

 

50.7

%

 

34.2

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

36.3

%

 

47.3

%

 

89.6

%

 

26.5

%

 

69.2

%

 

31.5

%

 

7.4

%

 

26.4

%

 

60.1

%

 

16.9

%

 

55.6

%

 

22.0

%

 

50.7

%

 

34.2

%

 
                                            

Machinery and equipment:

                                           

Written premiums

$

7

 

$

7

 

$

8

 

$

7

 

$

6

 

$

7

 

$

6

 

$

7

 

$

15

 

 $

13

 

$

22

 

 $

20

 

$

29

 

 $

26

  

Earned premiums

 

7

  

7

  

7

  

7

  

6

  

7

  

6

  

7

  

14

  

13

  

20

  

19

  

27

  

26

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

62.4

%

 

45.2

%

 

27.0

%

 

32.2

%

 

31.6

%

 

21.5

%

 

24.1

%

 

12.3

%

 

29.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

34.8

%

 

19.3

%

 

42.0

%

 

22.4

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

(0.5)

  

2.1

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

(0.1)

  

0.2

  

0.0

  

(0.6)

  

0.1

 

 

(0.2)

  

0.8

  

0.0

  

0.4

  

(0.1)

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

62.9

%

 

43.1

%

 

27.0

%

 

32.2

%

 

31.7

%

 

21.3

%

 

24.1

%

 

12.9

%

 

29.5

%

 

18.3

%

 

34.0

%

 

19.3

%

 

41.6

%

 

22.5

%

 
                                            
                                            

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed

independently.

                                      




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 20









Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - By Personal Lines of Business

 

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

 

Personal auto:

                                           

Written premiums

$

79

 

$

96

 

$

104

 

$

79

 

$

89

 

$

112

 

$

119

 

$

89 

 

$

184

 

$

208

 

$

279

 

$

321

 

$

359

 

$

409

  

Earned premiums

 

91

  

95

  

98

  

101

  

104

  

107

  

110

  

111 

  

199

  

221

 

 

294

  

329

  

385

  

433

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

74.3

%

 

60.6

%

 

65.8

%

 

60.1

%

 

54.0

%

 

65.0

%

 

59.9

%

 

60.4 

%

 

62.9

%

 

60.1

%

 

62.2

%

 

61.7

%

 

65.0

%

 

59.9

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

5.7

  

1.4

  

3.6

  

0.8

  

0.6

  

0.4

  

1.1

  

0.2 

  

2.2

  

0.6

 

 

2.0

  

0.5

  

2.8

  

0.6

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

68.6

%

 

59.2

%

 

62.2

%

 

59.3

%

 

53.4

%

 

64.6

%

 

58.8

%

 

60.2 

%

 

60.7

%

 

59.5

%

 

60.2

%

 

61.2

%

 

62.2

%

 

59.3

%

 
                               

 

            

Homeowner:

                              

 

            

Written premiums

$

66

 

$

79

 

$

83

 

$

62

 

$

67

 

$

80

 

$

81

 

$

59 

 

$

144

 

$

140

 

$

224

 

$

219

 

$

290

 

$

288

  

Earned premiums

 

70

  

72

  

74

  

73

  

71

  

72

  

70

  

69 

  

146

  

139

 

 

219

  

209

  

289

  

282

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

80.8

%

 

93.9

%

 

93.1

%

 

64.0

%

 

83.4

%

 

78.0

%

 

75.8

%

 

64.6 

%

 

78.6

%

 

70.2

%

 

83.7

%

 

72.9

%

 

83.0

%

 

75.6

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

36.0

  

15.0

  

33.1

  

11.1

  

43.2

  

15.2

  

14.6

  

(6.1)

  

22.1

  

4.3

 

 

19.8

  

8.0

  

23.7

  

16.9

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

44.8

%

 

78.9

%

 

60.0

%

 

52.9

%

 

40.2

%

 

62.8

%

 

61.2

%

 

70.7 

%

 

56.5

%

 

65.9

%

 

63.9

%

 

64.9

%

 

59.3

%

 

58.7

%

 
                                            

Other personal:

                              

 

            

Written premiums

$

21

 

$

23

 

$

24

 

$

20

 

$

21

 

$

23

 

$

24

 

$

20 

 

$

44

 

$

45

 

$

67

 

$

68

 

$

87

 

$

89

  

Earned premiums

 

22

  

22

  

22

  

22

  

22

  

22

  

22

  

22 

  

45

  

45

 

 

66

  

67

  

88

  

89

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

45.6

%

 

63.3

%

 

80.9

%

 

47.4

%

 

37.0

%

 

58.0

%

 

38.3

%

 

49.5 

%

 

64.2

%

 

41.7

%

 

63.9

%

 

47.1

%

 

59.4

%

 

44.6

%

 

Less Catastrophe loss ratio

 

9.9

 

 

5.2

 

 

10.8

 

 

3.8

 

 

2.0

  

5.0

  

1.0

  

3.9 

  

7.4

 

 

2.5

 

 

6.6

 

 

3.3

 

 

7.4

 

 

3.0

 

 

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

35.7

%

 

58.1

%

 

70.1

%

 

43.6

%

 

35.0

%

 

53.0

%

 

37.3

%

 

45.6 

%

 

56.8

%

 

39.2

%

 

57.3

%

 

43.8

%

 

52.0

%

 

41.6

%

 
                                            
                                            

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

        

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                            




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 21









Cincinnati Insurance Group

10-Year Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

Premiums

                              

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

3,172 

 

$

3,097 

 

$

3,026 

 

 $

2,789

 

 $

2,496

 

$

2,188

 

 $

1,936 

 

 $

1,681

 

 $

1,558

 

 $

1,472

 

   Codification

 

  

  

  

0

  

0

  

402

  

(55)

  

0

  

0

  

0

 

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

 

 

(21)

 

 

(29)

 

 

26

 

 

117

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)**

 

3,178 

  

3,076 

  

2,997 

  

2,815

  

2,613

  

2,590

  

1,881 

  

1,681

  

1,558

  

1,472

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

(14)

 

 

(18)

 

 

(78)

 

 

(162)

 

 

(222)

 

 

(517)

 

 

(53)

 

 

(23)

 

 

(15)

 

 

(18)

 

   Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

3,164 

 

$

3,058 

 

$

2,919 

 

 $

2,653

 

 $

2,391

 

$

2,073

 

 $

1,828 

 

 $

1,658

 

 $

1,543

 

 $

1,454

 

                               

Year-over-year growth rate:

                              

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

          2.4 

%

          2.3 

%

       8.5 

%

11.7

%

14.0

%

13.0

%

15.2 

%

7.9

%

5.8

%

6.4

%

   Written premiums (statutory)

 

3.3 

%

2.6 

%

6.5 

%

7.7

%

0.9

%

37.7

%

11.9 

%

7.9

%

5.8

%

6.4

%

   Earned premiums

 

3.5 

%

4.8 

%

10.0 

%

11.0

%

15.3

%

13.4

%

10.3 

%

7.5

%

6.1

%

6.4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statutory combined ratio

                              

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

93.9 

%

89.0 

  

89.4 

%

94.2

%

98.4

%

99.5

%

112.5 

%

100.4

%

104.2

%

98.3

%

   Codification

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

4.1

  

(0.9)

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm

  

1.2

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(1.7)

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

93.9 

%

89.0 

%

89.4 

%

95.0

%

99.6

%

103.6

%

109.9 

%

100.4

%

104.2

%

98.3

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

5.5 

 

 

4.1 

 

 

5.1 

 

 

3.6

 

 

3.6

 

 

3.1

 

 

2.7 

 

 

2.5

 

 

6.1

  

 

 

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
     catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

88.4 

%

84.9 

% 

84.3 

%

 

91.4

%

 

96.0

% 

100.5

%

 

107.2 

%

 

97.9

%

 

98.1

%

   
                               

   Reported commission expense ratio*

 

18.7 

%

19.3 

%

19.2 

%

17.6

%

15.9

%

13.9

%

17.4 

%

17.4

%

17.6

%

   

   Codification

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

2.6

  

(0.5)

  

0.0

  

0.0

    

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm

  

0.8

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

    

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

    

   Commission expense ratio (adjusted)

 

18.7 

%

19.3 

%

19.2 

%

 

17.6

%

 

16.7

% 

16.5

%

 

16.9 

%

 

17.4

%

 

17.6

%

   
                               

   Reported other expense ratio*

 

11.7 

%

10.5 

%

10.1 

%

8.9

%

9.6

%

8.7

%

12.6 

%

11.4

%

11.9

%

   

   Codification

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

1.5

  

(0.4)

  

0.0

  

0.0

    

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm

  

0.4

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

    

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(1.7)

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

    

   Other expense ratio (adjusted)

 

11.7 

%

10.5 

%

10.1 

%

 

9.7

%

 

10.0

% 

10.2

%

 

10.5 

%

 

11.4

%

 

11.9

%

   
                               

   Reported statutory expense ratio*

 

30.4 

%

29.8 

%

29.3 

%

26.5

%

25.5

%

22.6

%

30.0 

%

28.8

%

29.5

%

   

   Codification

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

4.1

  

(0.9)

  

0.0

  

0.0

    

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm

  

1.2

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

    

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(1.7)

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

   

 

   Statutory expense ratio (adjusted)

 

30.4 

%

29.8 

%

29.3 

%

 

27.3

%

 

26.7

%

26.7

%

 

27.4 

%

 

28.8

%

 

29.5

%

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

GAAP combined ratio

                              

   GAAP combined ratio

 

94.3 

%

89.2 

%

89.8 

%

94.7

%

99.7

%

104.9

%

112.8 

%

100.2

%

104.3

%

98.4

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(2.1)

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

94.3 

%

89.2 

%

89.8 

%

 

95.5

%

 

99.7

%

104.9

%

 

110.7 

%

 

100.2

%

 

104.3

%

 

98.4

%

                               

Written premiums to surplus

                              

   Adjusted premiums to statutory surplus ratio

 

0.672 

  

0.739 

  

0.721 

  

1.002

  

1.067

  

0.864

             

   Written premium adjustment

 

0.001 

 

 

(0.005)

 

 

(0.007)

 

 

0.010

 

 

0.050

  

0.159

             

   Reported premiums to statutory surplus ratio

 

0.673 

 

 

0.734 

 

 

0.714 

 

 

1.012

 

 

1.117

  

1.023

             
                               

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

nm – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed by the appropriate regulatory bodies.

** Prior to 2001, property casualty premiums were recognized as they were billed throughout the policy period. Effective January 1, 2001, written premiums have been recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Written premiums for 2000 were reclassified to conform with the 2001 presentation; information was not readily available to reclassify earlier year statutory data.  The growth rates in written premiums between 1999 and 2000 are overstated because 1999 premiums are showed on a billed basis.




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 22









Cincinnati Insurance Group

6-Year Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

Premiums

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

2,435

 

$

2,306

 

$

2,209

 

$

2,009

 

$

1,795

 

$

1,551

 

   Codification

 

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

276

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

7

 

 

(16)

 

 

(23)

 

 

22

 

 

110

 

 

0

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)

$

2,442

 

$

2,290

 

$

2,186

 

$

2,031

 

$

1,905

 

$

1,827

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

(40)

 

 

(36)

 

 

(60)

 

 

(123)

 

 

(184)

 

 

(374)

 

   Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

2,402

 

$

2,254

 

$

2,126

 

$

1,908

 

$

1,721

 

$

1,453

 

                   

Year-over-year growth rate:

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

5.6

%

4.4

%

10.0

%

11.9

%

15.8

%

16.9

%

   Written premiums (statutory)

 

6.7

%

4.8

%

7.6

%

6.6

%

4.2

%

43.3

%

   Earned premiums

 

6.6

%

6.0

%

11.4

%

10.8

%

18.6

%

17.9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statutory combined ratio

                  

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

90.8

%

87.1

  

83.7

%

90.9

%

95.3

%

96.7

%

   Codification

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

4.0

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

1.5

  

0.0

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.7

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

90.8

%

87.1

%

83.7

%

91.6

%

96.8

%

100.7

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

3.7

  

3.4

  

3.4

  

2.2

  

2.3

  

1.9

 

   Statutory combined ratio excluding

     catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

87.1

%

83.7

%

80.3

%

89.4

%

94.5

%

98.8

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GAAP combined ratio

                  

   GAAP combined ratio

 

91.3

%

87.4

%

84.1

%

91.3

%

96.6

%

101.7

%

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

91.3

%

 

87.4

%

 

84.1

%

 

92.1

%

 

96.6

%

 

101.7

%

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 

nm – Not meaningful

 

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed by the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 23









Cincinnati Insurance Group

6-Year Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

Premiums

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

737 

 

$

791 

 

$

817 

 

$

780 

 

$

701 

 

$

637 

 

   Codification

 

  

  

  

  

  

126 

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

(1)

 

 

(5)

 

 

(6)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)

$

736 

 

$

786 

 

$

811 

 

$

784 

 

$

708 

 

$

763 

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

26 

 

 

18 

 

 

(18)

 

 

(39)

 

 

(38)

 

 

(143)

 

   Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

762 

 

$

804 

 

$

793 

 

$

745 

 

$

670 

 

$

620 

 

                   

Year-over-year growth rate:

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

(6.8)

%

(3.2)

%

4.7 

%

12.0 

%

9.8 

%

4.6 

%

   Written premiums (statutory)

 

(6.4)

%

(3.1)

%

3.4 

%

10.8 

%

(7.2)

%

26.1 

%

   Earned premiums

 

(5.3)

%

1.4 

%

6.4 

%

11.2 

%

8.1 

%

4.0 

%

 

                  

Statutory combined ratio

                  

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

103.6 

%

94.3 

  

104.6 

%

102.9 

%

106.5 

%

105.9 

%

   Codification

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

4.6 

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

0.3 

  

0.0 

 

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

1.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

103.6 

%

94.3 

%

104.6 

%

103.9 

%

106.8 

%

110.5 

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

11.3 

  

6.3 

  

9.7 

  

7.3 

  

7.1 

  

5.8 

 

   Statutory combined ratio excluding

     catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

92.3 

%

 

88.0 

%

 

94.9 

%

 

96.6 

%

 

99.7 

%

 

104.7 

%

                   

GAAP combined ratio

                  

   GAAP combined ratio

 

103.6 

%

94.4 

%

105.0 

%

103.6 

%

107.6 

%

112.4 

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

1.1 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

103.6 

%

94.4 

%

105.0 

%

104.7 

%

107.6 

%

112.4 

%

                   

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

NM – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed by the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 24









Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

                                          

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

$

785

 

$

787

 

$

804

 

$

796

 

$

765

 

$

764

 

$

780

 

$

787

 

$

1,600

 

 $

1,567

 

$

2,387

 

$

2,332

 

$

3,172

 

$

3,097

 

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

(30)

 

 

(7)

 

 

10

 

 

33

 

 

(38)

 

 

(3)

 

 

10

 

 

10

 

 

43

 

 

20

 

 

36

 

 

17

 

 

6

 

 

(21)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

$

755

 

$

780

 

$

814

 

$

829

 

$

727

 

$

761

 

$

790

 

$

797

 

$

1,643

 

 $

1,587

 

$

2,423

 

$

2,349

 

$

3,178

 

$

3,076

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

13

  

11

  

(21)

  

(51)

  

48

  

4

  

(25)

  

(44)

  

(72)

  

(73)

  

(60)

  

(66)

  

(66)

  

(19)

 

   Earned premiums

$

802

 

$

791

 

$

793

 

$

778

 

$

775

 

$

765

 

$

765

 

$

753

 

$

1,571

 

 $

1,518

 

$

2,362

 

$

2,283

 

$

3,164

 

$

3,058

 

                                           

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

95.9

%

 

96.4

  

93.7

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.6

%

 

87.3

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

 

93.9

%

 

89.0

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

 

95.9

%

 

96.4

%

 

93.7

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.6

%

 

87.3

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

 

93.9

%

 

89.0

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

5.5

 

 

3.5

 

 

8.0

 

 

5.0

 

 

5.6

 

 

8.6

 

 

2.0

 

 

0.3

  

6.5

 

 

1.1

 

 

5.5

 

 

3.6

 

 

5.5

 

 

4.1

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

       excluding catastrophe losses

 

90.4

%

 

92.9

%

 

85.7

%

 

84.6

%

 

80.2

%

 

88.0

%

 

84.6

%

 

87.0

%

 

85.2

%

 

85.8

%

 

87.7

%

 

86.5

%

 

88.4

%

 

84.9

%

                                           

   Reported commission expense ratio*

 

19.9

%

 

19.3

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

20.4

%

 

20.3

%

 

19.3

%

 

16.8

%

 

17.9

%

 

18.0

%

 

18.3

%

 

18.8

%

 

18.7

%

 

19.2

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted commission expense ratio

 

19.9

%

 

19.3

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

20.4

%

 

20.3

%

 

19.3

%

 

16.8

%

 

17.9

%

 

18.0

%

 

18.3

%

 

18.8

%

 

18.7

%

 

19.2

%

                                           

   Reported other expense ratio*

 

13.4

%

 

11.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

11.6

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.3

%

 

9.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.0

%

 

11.2

%

 

10.2

%

 

11.7

%

 

10.5

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted other expense ratio

 

13.4

%

 

11.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

11.6

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.3

%

 

9.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.0

%

 

11.2

%

 

10.2

%

 

11.7

%

 

10.5

%

                                           

   Reported statutory expense ratio*

 

33.3

%

 

31.2

%

 

28.4

%

 

28.9

%

 

32.0

%

 

31.1

%

 

29.6

%

 

26.6

%

 

28.7

%

 

28.0

%

 

29.5

%

 

29.0

%

 

30.4

%

 

29.7

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory expense ratio

 

33.3

%

 

31.2

%

 

28.4

%

 

28.9

%

 

32.0

%

 

31.1

%

 

29.6

%

 

26.6

%

 

28.7

%

 

28.0

%

 

29.5

%

 

29.0

%

 

30.4

%

 

29.7

%

                        

 

      

 

     

 

     

GAAP combined ratio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   GAAP combined ratio

 

94.5

%

 

96.1

%

 

94.5

%

 

92.0

%

 

83.9

%

 

96.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

88.9

%

 

93.3

%

 

88.2

%

 

94.2

%

 

91.0

%

 

94.3

%

 

89.2

%

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

94.5

%

 

96.1

%

 

94.5

%

 

92.0

%

 

83.9

%

 

96.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

88.9

%

 

93.3

%

 

88.2

%

 

94.2

%

 

91.0

%

 

94.3

%

 

89.2

%

                                           

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts

          

may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                                     

nm - Not meaningful

                                          

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       






2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 25










Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

                                          

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

$

618

 

$

589

 

$

593

 

$

635

 

$

584

 

$

547

 

$

557

 

$

617

 

$

1,228

 

$

1,174

 

$

1,817

 

$

1,721

 

$

2,435

 

$

2,306

 

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

 

(29)

 

 

(7)

 

 

10

 

 

33

 

 

(36)

 

 

(1)

 

 

9

 

 

12

  

43

 

 

21

  

36

 

 

20

  

7

 

 

(16)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

$

589

 

$

582

 

$

603

 

$

668

 

$

548

 

$

546

 

$

566

 

$

629

 

$

1,271

 

$

1,195

 

$

1,853

 

$

1,741

 

$

2,442

 

$

2,290

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

30

 

 

20

 

 

(4)

 

 

(86)

 

 

28

 

 

18

 

 

(3)

 

 

(78)

  

(90)

 

 

(81)

  

(69)

 

 

(63)

  

(40)

 

 

(36)

 

   Earned premiums

$

619

 

$

602

 

$

599

 

$

582

 

$

576

 

$

564

 

$

563

 

$

551

 

$

1,181

 

$

1,114

 

$

1,783

 

$

1,678

 

$

2,402

 

$

2,254

 

                                           

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

92.4

%

 

94.1

  

89.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

84.3

%

 

95.5

%

 

83.9

%

 

85.5

%

 

88.6

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3

%

 

88.1

%

 

90.8

%

 

87.1

%

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

 

92.4

%

 

94.1

%

 

89.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

84.3

%

 

95.5

%

 

83.9

%

 

85.5

%

 

88.6

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3

%

 

88.1

%

 

90.8

%

 

87.1

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

1.9

 

 

2.3

 

 

5.6

 

 

5.1

 

 

2.4

 

 

9.5

 

 

0.4

 

 

1.1

  

5.3

 

 

0.8

  

4.3

 

 

3.6

 

 

3.7

 

 

3.4

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
      excluding catastrophe losses

 

90.5

%

 

91.8

%

 

84.0

%

 

82.4

%

 

81.9

%

 

86.0

%

 

83.5

%

 

84.4

%

 

83.3

%

 

83.8

%

 

86.0

%

 

84.5

%

 

87.1

%

 

83.7

%

                                           

GAAP combined ratio

                                          

   GAAP combined ratio

 

91.1

%

 

93.4

%

 

90.3

%

 

90.5

%

 

82.1

%

 

95.2

%

 

84.8

%

 

87.5

%

 

90.4

%

 

86.1

%

 

91.4

%

 

89.2

%

 

91.3

%

 

87.4

%

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

91.1

%

 

93.4

%

 

90.3

%

 

90.5

%

 

82.1

%

 

95.2

%

 

84.8

%

 

87.5

%

 

90.4

%

 

86.1

%

 

91.4

%

 

89.2

%

 

91.3

%

 

87.4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                                       

nm - Not meaningful

                                          

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 26









Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

                                          

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

$

167

 

$

198

 

$

211

 

$

161

 

$

181

 

$

217

 

$

223

 

$

170

 

$

372

 

$

393

 

$

570

 

$

611

 

$

737

 

$

791

 

   Written premium adjustment --

      statutory only

 

(1)

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

(2)

 

 

(2)

 

 

1

 

 

(2)

 

 

0

 

 

(1)

 

 

0

 

 

(3)

 

 

(1)

 

 

(5)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

$

166

 

$

198

 

$

211

 

$

161

 

$

179

 

$

215

 

$

224

 

$

168

 

$

372

 

$

392

 

$

570

 

$

608

 

$

736

 

$

786

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

(17)

 

 

(9)

 

 

(17)

 

 

35

 

 

20

 

 

(14)

 

 

(22)

 

 

34

 

 

18

 

 

8

 

 

9

 

 

(3)

 

 

(26)

 

 

17

 

   Earned premiums

$

183

 

$

189

 

$

194

 

$

196

 

$

199

 

$

201

 

$

202

 

$

202

 

$

390

 

$

404

 

$

579

 

$

605

 

$

762

 

$

804

 

                                           

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

107.7

%

 

104.0

%

 

106.4

%

 

98.1

%

 

90.1

%

 

99.9

%

 

93.6

%

 

94.0

%

 

101.6

%

 

93.7

%

 

102.3

%

 

95.7

%

 

103.6

%

 

94.3

%

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

 

107.7

%

 

104.0

%

 

106.4

%

 

98.1

%

 

90.1

%

 

99.9

%

 

93.6

%

 

94.0

%

 

101.6

%

 

93.7

%

 

102.3

%

 

95.7

%

 

103.6

%

 

94.3

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

17.9

 

 

7.0

 

 

15.6

 

 

5.0

 

 

14.9

 

 

6.3

 

 

6.2

  

2.0

  

10.3

  

2.1

  

9.2

 

 

3.5

  

11.3

  

6.3

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
      excluding catastrophe losses

 

89.8

%

 

97.0

%

 

90.8

%

 

93.1

%

 

75.2

%

 

93.6

%

 

87.4

%

 

96.0

%

 

91.3

%

 

91.6

%

 

93.1

%

 

92.2

%

 

92.3

%

 

88.0

%

                                           

GAAP combined ratio

                                          

   GAAP combined ratio

 

106.0

%

 

104.4

%

 

107.6

%

 

96.4

%

 

89.0

%

 

100.5

%

 

95.3

%

 

92.7

%

 

102.0

%

 

94.0

%

 

102.8

%

 

96.1

%

 

103.6

%

 

94.4

%

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before

      one-time item

 

106.0

%

 

104.4

%

 

107.6

%

 

96.4

%

 

89.0

%

 

100.5

%

 

95.3

%

 

92.7

%

 

102.0

%

 

94.0

%

 

102.8

%

 

96.1

%

 

103.6

%

 

94.4

%

 

                                          

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                        

nm - Not meaningful

                                          

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 27







The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

GAAP Statements of Income

          
  

For the three months ended December 31,

 

For the twelve months ended December 31,

  

2006

 

2005

 

Change

%Change

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

    Property casualty

$

$

$

NA   

$

$

$

      NA   

    Life

 

43,271,070 

 

40,421,077 

 

2,849,993 

7.05 

 

152,590,039 

 

143,808,461 

 

8,781,578 

6.11 

    Accident health

 

1,703,987 

 

1,617,668 

 

86,319 

5.34 

 

6,652,508 

 

6,347,605 

 

304,903 

4.80 

    Premiums ceded

 

(13,815,204)

 

(13,851,254)

 

36,050 

0.26 

 

(44,504,201)

 

(43,798,779)

 

(705,422)

(1.61)

      Total premiums earned

 

31,159,853 

 

28,187,491 

 

2,972,362 

10.54 

 

114,738,346 

 

106,357,287 

 

8,381,059 

7.88 

  Investment income

 

27,053,035 

 

26,013,305 

 

1,039,730 

4.00 

 

107,656,860 

 

99,323,763 

 

8,333,097 

8.39 

  Realized investment gains and losses

 

2,533,775 

 

9,832,034 

 

(7,298,259)

(74.23)

 

44,861,000 

 

17,188,854 

 

27,672,146 

160.99 

  Other income

 

992,375 

 

1,015,456 

 

(23,081)

(2.27)

 

3,552,294 

 

3,561,244 

 

(8,950)

(0.25)

       Total revenues

$

61,739,038 

$

   65,048,286 

$

   (3,309,248)

(5.09)

$

 270,808,500 

$

226,431,148 

$

44,377,352 

19.60 

 

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

43,696,578 

$

   12,945,476 

$

  30,751,102 

237.54 

$

 161,984,990 

$

141,170,430 

$

20,814,560 

14.74 

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(13,247,792)

 

11,824,818 

 

(25,072,610)

(212.03)

 

(39,953,090)

 

(39,542,190)

 

(410,900)

(1.04)

  Commissions

 

8,410,482 

 

8,941,982 

 

(531,500)

(5.94)

 

34,081,135 

 

34,718,994 

 

(637,859)

(1.84)

  Other operating expenses

 

12,192,870 

 

10,732,035 

 

1,460,835 

13.61 

 

31,977,077 

 

28,592,514 

 

3,384,563 

11.84 

  Interest expense

 

98,000 

 

 

98,000 

NA 

 

98,000 

 

 

98,000 

NA 

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

935,887 

 

32,729 

 

903,158 

2,759.50 

 

3,080,836 

 

3,205,175 

 

(124,339)

(3.88)

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

(3,479,444)

 

(4,281,595)

 

802,151 

18.73 

 

(17,717,144)

 

(14,048,474)

 

(3,668,670)

(26.11)

  Other expenses

 

 

 

NA 

 

109 

 

108 

 

0.93 

       Total expenses

$

48,606,582 

$

   40,195,445 

$

   8,411,137 

20.93 

$

 173,551,913 

$

154,096,557 

$

19,455,356 

12.63 

 

 

 

      

 

    

 

 

 

 

      

 

    

 

       Income before income taxes

$

13,132,456 

$

   24,852,841 

$

(11,720,385)

(47.16)

$

   97,256,587 

$

  72,334,591 

$

24,921,996 

34.45 

 

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

  Current

$

953,701 

$

     3,623,075 

$

   (2,669,374)

(73.68)

$

    6,273,558 

$

  12,721,453 

$

(6,447,895)

(50.69)

  Current capital gains/losses

 

947,821 

 

       3,441,212 

 

      (2,493,391)

(72.46)

 

  15,879,350 

 

  6,016,099 

 

9,863,251 

163.95 

  Deferred

 

2,628,721 

 

1,975,964 

 

652,757 

33.03 

 

12,406,344 

 

6,314,644 

 

6,091,700 

96.47 

       Total income taxes

$

4,530,243 

$

     9,040,251 

$

   (4,510,008)

(49.89)

$

   34,559,252 

$

  25,052,196 

$

 9,507,056 

37.95 

 

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

       Net income

$

8,602,213 

$

   15,812,590 

$

   (7,210,377)

(45.60)

$

   62,697,335 

$

  47,282,395 

$

15,414,940 

32.60 




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 28







The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

Statutory Statements of Income

     
  

For the three months ended December 31,

 

For the twelve months ended December 31,

 

 

 2006

2005

% Change

 

 2006

2005

% Change

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Net premiums written

$

    38,109,979 

$

    40,102,013 

      (4.97)

$

 153,442,227 

$

193,851,091 

    (20.85)

Net investment income

 

         27,053,035 

 

         26,013,305 

       4.00 

 

   107,656,860 

 

     99,323,763 

       8.39 

Amortization of interest maintenance reserve

 

               59,928 

 

              867,345 

    (93.09)

 

           160,205 

 

       3,969,372 

    (95.96)

Commissions and expense allowances on reinsurance ceded

 

           2,482,659 

 

           2,710,463 

      (8.40)

 

        8,261,423 

 

     11,472,367 

    (27.99)

Income from fees associated with Separate Accounts

 

              992,375 

 

           1,015,456 

(2.27)

 

        3,552,294 

 

       3,561,244 

(0.25)

Total revenues

$

    68,697,977 

$

    70,708,582 

(2.84)

$

 273,073,009 

$

312,177,838 

(12.53)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Death benefits and matured endowments

 

      8,866,654 

 

      6,791,497 

30.56 

$

  38,964,236 

 

 32,409,589 

20.22 

Annuity benefits

 

           8,580,838 

 

           5,013,543 

71.15 

 

     35,200,488 

 

     21,805,168 

61.43 

Disability benefits and benefits under accident and health contracts

 

              415,184 

 

              491,221 

(15.48)

 

        1,630,523 

 

       1,537,587 

6.04 

Surrender benefits and group conversions

 

           5,991,218 

 

           4,068,367 

47.26 

 

     22,251,863 

 

     18,979,141 

17.24 

Interest and adjustments on deposit-type contract funds

 

           2,380,022 

 

           2,762,911 

(13.86)

 

        9,394,586 

 

     10,249,422 

(8.34)

Increase in aggregate reserves for life and accident and health contracts

 

         23,436,742 

 

         27,180,937 

(13.78)

 

     95,336,456 

 

  142,678,482 

(33.18)

Payments on supplementary contracts with life contingencies

 

               77,083 

 

               75,111 

2.63 

 

           308,744 

 

          295,735 

4.40 

Total benefit expenses

$

    49,747,741 

$

    46,383,589 

7.25 

$

 203,086,897 

$

227,955,124 

(10.91)

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Commissions

$

      8,344,872 

$

      8,458,360 

(1.34)

$

  33,700,524 

$

 34,235,371 

(1.56)

General insurance expenses and taxes

 

         11,073,587 

 

           9,135,840 

21.21 

 

     35,288,388 

 

     33,177,815 

6.36 

Increase in loading on deferred and uncollected premiums

 

              200,324 

 

             (107,202)

286.87 

 

       (4,278,539)

 

      (4,680,691)

8.59 

Net transfers to or (from) Separate Accounts

 

 

(413,267)

N/A 

 

          (211,220)

 

         (413,267)

48.89 

Other deductions

 

 

N/A 

 

                 109 

 

                108 

0.63 

Total operating expenses

$

    19,618,783 

$

    17,073,731 

12.19 

$

  64,499,261 

$

 62,319,336 

3.50 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Federal and Foreign Income Taxes Incurred

 

              950,983 

 

           2,717,237 

(65.00)

 

        5,973,699 

 

     11,990,488 

(50.18)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net gain from operations before realized capital gains or (losses)

$

     (1,619,530)

$

      4,534,025 

(135.72)

$

     (486,849)

$

  9,912,889 

(104.91)

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

Net realized gains or (losses) net of capital gains tax

 

           1,306,320 

 

         10,768,634 

(87.87)

 

      28,946,326 

 

     11,089,183 

161.03 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Income (Statutory)

$

        (313,210)

$

    15,302,659 

(102.05)

$

  28,459,477 

$

 21,002,073 

35.51 

           

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 29










The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

Expenses as a Percentage of Premium

 
 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

 

12/31/06

09/30/06

06/30/06

03/31/06

12/31/05

09/30/05

06/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

06/30/05

09/30/06

09/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

 

Gross Written Premiums

$

54

 

$

50

 

$

51

 

$

50

 

$

57

 

$

66

 

$

64

 

$

62

 

$

101

 

$

126

 

$

152

 

$

192

 

$

206

 

$

249

 
 

Bank Owned Life Insurance (BOLI)
  Adjustment

 

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

 
 

Adjusted Gross Written Premiums

$

54

 

$

50

 

$

51

 

$

50

 

$

57

 

$

66

 

$

64

 

$

62

 

$

101

 

$

126

 

$

152

 

$

192

 

$

206

 

$

249

 

                                            
 

Insurance Expense

$

10

 

$

7

 

$

7

 

$

7

 

$

8

 

$

7

 

$

7

 

$

7

 

$

14

 

$

14

 

$

21

 

$

21

 

$

31

 

$

29

 

                                            
 

Expense Ratio

 

17.8

%

 

14.7

%

 

13.5

%

 

14.5

%

 

14.4

%

 

10.3

%

 

10.7

%

 

10.9

%

 

14.0

%

 

10.8

%

 

14.0

%

 

10.8

%

 

15.0

%

 

11.7

%

 

Expense Ratio based on Adjusted
   Gross Written Premium

 

17.8

%

 

14.7

%

 

13.5

%

 

14.5

%

 

14.4

%

 

10.3

%

 

10.7

%

 

10.9

%

 

14.0

%

 

10.8

%

 

14.0

%

 

10.8

%

 

15.0

%

 

11.7

%

                                            
                                            
                                            
 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

                        
 

 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

 

                     
 

Gross Written Premiums

$

206

 

$

249

 

$

230

 

$

173

 

$

244

 

$

122

 

$

157

                      
 

Bank Owned Life Insurance (BOLI)
  Adjustment

 

0

  

0

  

(10)

  

0

  

(34)

  

0

  

(20)

                      
 

Adjusted Gross Written Premiums

$

206

 

$

249

 

$

220

 

$

173

 

$

210

 

$

122

 

$

137

                      
                                            
 

Insurance Expense

$

31

 

$

29

 

$

25

 

$

25

 

$

27

 

$

25

 

$

20

 

                     
                                            
 

Expense Ratio

 

15.0

%

 

11.7

%

 

11.1

%

 

14.8

%

 

10.9

%

 

20.6

%

 

12.9

%

                     
 

Expense Ratio based on Adjusted
   Gross Written Premium

 

15.0

%

 

11.7

%

 

11.6

%

 

14.8

%

 

12.6

%

 

20.6

%

 

14.8

%

                    
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                     
                                            
 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

 

equal the full year as each is computed independently.





2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 30