-----BEGIN PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE----- Proc-Type: 2001,MIC-CLEAR Originator-Name: webmaster@www.sec.gov Originator-Key-Asymmetric: MFgwCgYEVQgBAQICAf8DSgAwRwJAW2sNKK9AVtBzYZmr6aGjlWyK3XmZv3dTINen TWSM7vrzLADbmYQaionwg5sDW3P6oaM5D3tdezXMm7z1T+B+twIDAQAB MIC-Info: RSA-MD5,RSA, Emuo4kesZB/mdUD/gpMfJJN7RChfcb/mNS5+SIRoyuWtZFeDsl2muUR2ll4njaol FrVPlw7+dhYkFYXYGoWhhg== 0000906318-07-000015.txt : 20070207 0000906318-07-000015.hdr.sgml : 20070207 20070207091607 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0000906318-07-000015 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 5 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20070205 ITEM INFORMATION: Results of Operations and Financial Condition ITEM INFORMATION: Regulation FD Disclosure ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20070207 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20070207 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORP CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0000020286 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE [6331] IRS NUMBER: 310746871 STATE OF INCORPORATION: OH FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 000-04604 FILM NUMBER: 07586326 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 6200 S GILMORE RD CITY: FAIRFIELD STATE: OH ZIP: 45014 BUSINESS PHONE: 5138702000 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: P.O. BOX 145496 CITY: CINCINNATI STATE: OH ZIP: 45250 8-K 1 cinfin8k2507.htm FORM 8-K .




UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

FORM 8-K

 

CURRENT REPORT

 

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

 

Date of Report:  February 5, 2007

(Date of earliest event reported)

  

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

Ohio

0-4604

31-0746871

(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation)

(Commission
File Number)

(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)

   

6200 S. Gilmore Road, Fairfield, Ohio

45014-5141

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

  

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:  (513) 870-2000

 

N/A

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:


¨

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13a-4(c))


Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.  


On February 7, 2007, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release titled “Cincinnati Financial 2006 Net Income at $5.30 per Share and Operating Income* at $2.82,” furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. On February 7, 2007, the company also distributed the attached information titled “Supplemental Financial Data,” furnished as Exhibit 99.2 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. This report should not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information contained in the news release or supplemental financial data.


In accordance with general instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information furnished in this report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.






Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure.


On February 5, 2007, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release “Cincinnati Financial Corporation Increases Cash Dividend and Announces Board Actions.” The news release is furnished as Exhibit 99.3 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference. This report should not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information contained in the news release.

On February 5, 2007, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release “Cincinnati Financial Corporation's Subsidiaries Announce Appointments.” The news release is furnished as Exhibit 99.4 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference. This report should not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information contained in the news release.

The information furnished in Item 7.01 of this report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.


(c)

Exhibits


Exhibit 99.1 – News release dated February 7, 2007, “Cincinnati Financial 2006 Net Income at $5.30 per Share and Operating Income* at $2.82”


Exhibit 99.2 – Supplemental Financial Data dated February 7, 2007


Exhibit 99.3 News release dated February 5, 2007, titled “Cincinnati Financial Corporation Increases Cash Dividend and Announces Board Actions”


Exhibit 99.4 News release dated February 5, 2007, titled “Cincinnati Financial Corporation's Subsidiaries Announce Appointments”



Signature


Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.


 

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION

  
  
  

Date:  February 7, 2007

/s/ Kenneth W. Stecher

 

Kenneth W. Stecher

 

Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President, Secretary and Treasurer

 

(Principal Accounting Officer)







EX-99 2 ex991.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 Converted by EDGARwiz

CINCINNATI  FINANCIAL  CORPORATION

Mailing Address:                  P.O. BOX 145496

CINCINNATI, OHIO  45250-5496

              (513) 870-2000


Investor Contact:  Heather J. Wietzel

513-870-2768

Media Contact:  Joan O. Shevchik

513-603-5323

Cincinnati Financial 2006 Net Income at $5.30 per Share and Operating Income* at $2.82


Cincinnati, February 7, 2007 – Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:

·

Fourth-quarter net income of 75 cents per share and operating income of 70 cents per share

·

Full-year net income of $5.30 per share including $2.35 from first-quarter 2006 sale of Alltel common stock holding.

·

Record book value of $39.38 per share, up 12.9 percent from year-end 2005.

·

Property casualty underwriting profits of $181 million tempered by higher catastrophe losses, increased loss severity and less savings from favorable development on prior period losses as well as higher underwriting expenses.

Financial Highlights

(Dollars in millions except share data)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

 

 

2006

 

2005

Change %

 

2006

 

2005

Change %

 

Revenue Highlights

           

   Earned premiums

 $

832

 $

803

3.6 

 $

3,278

 $

3,164

3.6 

 

   Investment income

 

145

 

136

6.7 

 

570

 

526

8.4 

 

   Total revenues

 

995

 

967

2.9 

 

4,550

 

3,767

20.8 

 

Income Statement Data

           

   Net income

 $

130

 $

183

(28.6)

 $

930

 $

602

54.5 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

8

 

16

(49.7)

 

434

 

40

993.0 

 

   Operating income*

 $

122

 $

167

(26.6)

 $

496

 $

562

(11.8)

 

Per Share Data (diluted)

           

   Net income

 $

0.75

 $

1.03

(27.2)

 $

5.30

 $

3.40

55.9 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

0.05

 

0.09

(44.4)

 

2.48

 

0.23

978.3 

 

   Operating income*

 $

0.70

 $

0.94

(25.5)

 $

2.82

 $

3.17

(11.0)

 
            

   Book value

     

 $

39.38

 $

34.88

12.9 

 

   Cash dividend declared

 $

0.335

 $

0.305

9.8 

 $

1.34

 $

1.205

11.2 

 

   Weighted average shares outstanding

174,988,162

177,045,508

(1.2)

175,451,341

177,116,126

(0.9)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Insurance Operations Highlights

·

3.8 percent and 3.3 percent increases in fourth-quarter and full-year property casualty net written premiums.

·

Strong commercial lines growth with 2006 net written premiums up 6.7 percent and new business written by our agencies up 14.9 percent to a record $324 million.

·

Second-half 2006 personal lines new business up 17.6 percent. Pricing changes made July 1, 2006, improved ability to market personal lines.

·

94.5 percent and 94.3 percent fourth-quarter and full-year property casualty combined ratios, in line with previous announcement.

·

5.5 percentage points from catastrophe losses in the 2006 fourth-quarter and full-year combined ratios. In the comparable 2005 periods, catastrophe losses accounted for 5.6 and 4.1 percentage points of the ratios.

·

4 cents and 19 cents contribution from the life insurance operations to fourth-quarter and full-year operating income.

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights

·

6.7 percent and 8.4 percent growth in fourth-quarter and full-year pretax investment income.

·

Book value of $39.38 at year-end 2006, up $4.50 from year-end 2005. Invested assets rose on new investments and appreciation in the equity portfolio.

Full-year 2007 Outlook**

·

Property casualty net written premium growth expected to be in the low single digits in 2007. New agency appointments and new states to help drive long-term growth.

·

Combined ratio expected to be 97 percent to 99 percent in 2007, assuming catastrophe losses contribute approximately 5.5 percentage points.

·

Investment income growth target at 6.5 percent to 7.0 percent range for 2007.


*

The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 13 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles or Statutory Accounting Principles.

**

Outlook and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company’s forward-looking information safe-harbor statement (see Page 10).



1



Current Results and Long-term Position

“We reached record levels of new business and total property casualty insurance premiums in 2006 in the face of growing competition,” said John J. Schiff, Jr., CPCU, chairman and chief executive officer. “Business policyholders continued to respond favorably to their local independent agents’ presentation of the Cincinnati value proposition. In the second half of the year, agents and personal lines policyholders responded to new pricing for Cincinnati’s personal lines products with higher customer retention rates and rising new business. Further, our equity-focused investment strategy led to another year of record investment income and record book value.”

“However, other factors dampen our enthusiasm for those favorable results. Nine catastrophe events, primarily storms affecting our policyholders in the Midwest, led to a record level of catastrophe losses even as the industry experienced a lighter catastrophe year. Loss severity crept upward. And ongoing investment in our people and our infrastructure, including technology and systems to make it easier for agents to do business with our company, contributed to expenses rising more rapidly than premiums,” Schiff noted.

“Finally, this year’s earnings reflected the adoption of stock option expensing, and as anticipated, savings from favorable development on prior period losses was below the unusually high level of the past few years,” Schiff noted.

“We look beyond this year with confidence. We remain committed to providing a stable market for our agents’ high quality business, underwriting this business carefully and producing steady value for our shareholders, as represented by the board of directors’ recent decision to increase our 2007 indicated annual dividend by 6 percent, which would mark the 47th consecutive year of increase in that measure. Their action reflected our belief that we can achieve above-industry-average growth in written premiums and industry-leading profitability over the long term by building on our proven strategies: strong agency relationships, front-line underwriting, quality claims service, solid reserves, and total return investing,” Schiff said.

New States and New Agency Appointments to Support Continued Growth

Schiff added, “We finished 2006 with more agencies than ever, making 55 new agency appointments during the course of the year. Over the past 10 years, we have selectively added more than 400 highly professional agencies. As part of our plans for 2007, we expect to appoint another 50+ agencies. We are working on plans to enter New Mexico and eastern Washington within the next year and will soon begin the process by preparing policy forms and rates to submit to the departments of insurance in those states.

“Whether appointing new agencies in our current states or moving into new geographic areas, we look for the most professionally managed agencies in each area where we see opportunities to bring Cincinnati’s insurance products and services to families and businesses. Field teams introduce these agencies to the Cincinnati value proposition – customized coverage packages, multi-year commercial policies, superior claims service, our A++ rating from A.M. Best Co. and local field representatives with decision-making authority. Within the five years following an appointment, Cincinnati sets out to earn a prominent position among the carriers serving that agency. We have seen annual premiums from newly appointed agencies rise to an average of approximately $2 million by the fifth year.”

2006 Catastrophe Losses

James E. Benoski, vice chairman, chief insurance officer and president, said, “Again in 2006, policyholders had ample opportunities to benefit from the Cincinnati relationship. In early October, a Midwest storm caused heavy hail damage in central Ohio, resulting in an estimated $38 million of losses for our policyholders. In late-November, another storm across the Midwest resulted in $8 million of fourth-quarter losses.

“Of the more than 12,000 catastrophe claims reported through January 31, 2007, for severe storms during 2006, more than 90 percent are already closed. Our field claims representatives’ prompt responses and personal approach reflect positively on our agents, supporting their marketing efforts,” Benoski noted.



2



2007 Property Casualty Outlook Update

Kenneth W. Stecher, chief financial officer and executive vice president commented, “While we expect competition to continue accelerating in most property casualty business lines in 2007, we believe that our strong agency relationships will lead to full-year 2007 net written premium growth in the low single digits. That growth rate takes into account an anticipated $22 million increase in reinsurance premiums we pay. Our strong financial position affords us the flexibility to help manage the increase by raising our risk retention to a slightly higher level.”

Stecher added, “If catastrophe losses contribute approximately 5.5 percentage points to the ratio, we would expect the full-year combined ratio to be in the 97 percent to 99 percent range. Several factors support this view. First, the loss and loss expense ratio may move up as pricing becomes even more competitive and loss costs increase.

“Second, we continue to see favorable reserve development attributable to improving loss trends following the re-underwriting of our commercial lines business between 2000 and 2003. As more data that reflects the improved commercial lines risk profile becomes available, we should be able to improve the accuracy of our initial estimates of reserves for incurred by not yet reported claims. Over the next several years, these ongoing improvements in the accuracy of reserve estimates should result in savings from favorable development moving below this year’s level.

“Finally, continued investment in people and technology may contribute to an increase in other underwriting expenses, particularly while premium growth is slowing.”

Investment Strategy Key to Long-term Growth and Stability

“Our buy-and-hold equity investing strategy is key to the company’s long-term growth and stability,” Schiff noted. “We are looking for pretax investment income growth in the range of 6.5 percent to 7.0 percent in 2007, and we continue to invest to further build book value, an important measure of our long-term success.”

Schiff noted, “In 2007, we anticipate allocating a higher proportion of cash available for investment to equity securities. We continue to identify companies with the potential for revenue, earnings and dividend growth, a strong management team and favorable outlook. These equities offer a steadily increasing flow of dividend income along with the potential for capital appreciation.”

Stecher added, “When allocating available cash for investment between fixed-maturity securities, equities and share repurchase, we are mindful of rating agency capitalization measures. We believe that our strong capitalization and high insurer financial strength ratings give our agents a distinct advantage marketing to value-oriented clients.”



3



Property Casualty Insurance Operations

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

Change %

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

Change %

Written premiums

 $

755

 

 $

727 

 

3.8 

 $

3,178

 

 $

3,076

 

3.3 

               

Earned premiums

 $

802

 

 $

775 

 

3.5 

 $

3,164

 

 $

3,058

 

3.5 

               

Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophes

 

458

  

373 

 

22.6 

 

1,833

  

1,685

 

8.8 

Catastrophe loss and loss expenses

 

44

  

44 

 

1.1 

 

175

  

127

 

37.9 

Commission expenses

 

144

  

142 

 

1.6 

 

596

  

592

 

0.7 

Underwriting expenses

 

108

  

93 

 

14.6 

 

363

  

319

 

13.9 

Policyholder dividends

 

4

  

(2)

 

300.9 

 

16

  

5

 

208.1 

   Underwriting profit

 $

44

 

 $

125 

 

(64.6)

 $

181

 

 $

330

 

(45.2)

               

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:

              

   Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophes

 

57.1

%

 

48.2 

%

  

58.0

%

 

55.1

%

 

   Catastrophe loss and loss expenses

 

5.5

  

5.6 

   

5.5

  

4.1

  

   Loss and loss expenses

 

62.6

%

 

53.8 

%

  

63.5

%

 

59.2

%

 

   Commission expenses

 

18.0

  

18.3 

   

18.8

  

19.4

  

   Underwriting expenses

 

13.3

  

12.1 

   

11.5

  

10.4

  

   Policyholder dividends

 

0.6

  

(0.3)

   

0.5

  

0.2

  

      Combined ratio

 

94.5

%

 

83.9 

%

  

94.3

%

 

89.2

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

·

3.8 percent rise in fourth-quarter property casualty net written premiums, with a 3.3 percent full-year increase.

·

$88 million in fourth-quarter new business written directly by agencies, up 6.3 percent. Full-year new business rose 13.5 percent to $357 million.

·

1,066 agency relationships with 1,289 reporting locations marketing our insurance products at year-end 2006, up from 1,024 agency relationships with 1,252 locations at year-end 2005.

·

94.3 percent full-year 2006 property casualty combined ratio. The ratio rose 5.1 percentage points largely because of softer pricing, higher catastrophe losses, increased loss severity, less savings from favorable development on prior period losses and higher expenses.

·

$44 million in fourth-quarter 2006 catastrophe losses, reflecting $46 million from severe storms during the period and $2 million of savings from development on prior period storms. $175 million in full-year 2006 catastrophe losses contributed 5.5 percentage points to the combined ratio.

Catastrophe Loss and Loss Expenses Incurred

(In millions, net of reinsurance)

 

Twelve months ended December 31, 2006

 

Region

 

Commercial

 

Personal

  

Dates

Cause of loss

 

lines

 

lines

 

Total

Mar. 11-13

Wind, hail

Midwest, Mid-Atlantic

$

29

$

8

$

37

Apr. 2-3

Wind, hail

Midwest

 

12

 

5

 

17

Apr. 6-8

Wind, hail

South

 

13

 

24

 

37

Apr. 13-15

Wind, hail

South

 

4

 

6

 

10

Jun. 18-22

Wind, hail, flood

South

 

3

 

2

 

5

Jul. 19-21

Wind, hail, flood

South

 

4

 

1

 

5

Aug. 23-25

Wind, hail, flood

Midwest

 

5

 

2

 

7

Oct. 2-4

Wind, hail, flood

Midwest

 

7

 

31

 

38

Nov. 30 - Dec. 3

Wind, hail, ice, snow

Midwest, South

 

4

 

4

 

8

Other 2006 and development on 2005 and prior catastrophes

 

8

 

3

 

11

   Totals

  

$

89

$

86

$

175

 

·

Fourth-quarter 2006 net savings from favorable development on prior period reserves improved the combined ratio by 10.0 percentage points. In last year’s fourth quarter, savings improved the ratio by 10.3 percentage points.

·

Full-year 2006 net savings from favorable development improved the combined ratio by 3.7 percentage points. In 2005, savings improved the ratio by 5.2 percentage points.







The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 13 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).



4



·

2007 property casualty reinsurance program finalized. Program updated to maintain balance between the cost of the programs and the level of risk retained. Estimated incremental premium increase of $22 million primarily due to higher rates.

2007 Reinsurance Programs

Treaties

Retention Summary

Comments

Property catastrophe treaty

For any one event:

·

Retain 100% of first $45 million in losses

·

Retain 5% of losses between $45 million and $200 million

·

Retain 14% of losses between $200 million and $300 million

·

Retain 18% of losses between $300 million and $500 million

·

After reinsurance, our maximum exposure to a catastrophic event that caused $500 million in covered losses would be $103 million compared with $68 million in 2006. The largest catastrophe loss in our history was $87 million before reinsurance.

Property and casualty per risk treaties

For a single loss:

·

Retain 100% of first $4 million in losses

·

Retain 0% of losses between $4 million and $25 million

·

Obtain facultative reinsurance for losses above $25 million

·

No changes in 2007

Casualty third excess treaty

·

$25 million excess of $25 million

·

No changes in 2007

Casualty fourth excess treaty

·

$20 million excess of $50 million

·

No changes in 2007






5



Commercial Lines Insurance Operations

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

Change %

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

Change %

Written premiums

 $

589

 

 $

548 

 

7.5 

 $

2,442

 

 $

2,290

 

6.7 

               

Earned premiums

 $

619

 

 $

576 

 

7.4 

 $

2,402

 

 $

2,254

 

6.6 

               

Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophes

 

357

  

280 

 

27.1 

 

1,377

  

1,222

 

12.7 

Catastrophe loss and loss expenses

 

11

  

14 

 

(18.0)

 

89

  

76

 

16.6 

Commission expenses

 

113

  

114 

 

(0.4)

 

444

  

438

 

1.4 

Underwriting expenses

 

79

  

67 

 

16.4 

 

268

  

228

 

17.8 

Policyholder dividends

 

4

  

(2)

 

300.9 

 

16

  

5

 

208.1 

   Underwriting profit

 $

55

 

 $

103 

 

(46.4)

 $

208

 

 $

285

 

(27.0)

               

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:

              

   Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophes

 

57.6

%

 

48.7 

%

  

57.3

%

 

54.2

%

 

   Catastrophe loss and loss expenses

 

1.9

  

2.4 

   

3.7

  

3.4

  

   Loss and loss expenses

 

59.5

%

 

51.1 

%

  

61.0

%

 

57.6

%

 

   Commission expenses

 

18.3

  

19.7 

   

18.5

  

19.5

  

   Underwriting expenses

 

12.6

  

11.7 

   

11.1

  

10.1

  

   Policyholder dividends

 

0.7

  

(0.4)

   

0.7

  

0.2

  

      Combined ratio

 

91.1

%

 

82.1 

%

  

91.3

%

 

87.4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

·

7.5 percent growth in fourth-quarter commercial lines net written premiums, with a 6.7 percent full-year increase.

·

$80 million in new commercial lines business written directly by agencies in fourth-quarter 2006, up 4.9 percent. Full-year new commercial lines business rose 14.9 percent to record $324 million.

·

91.3 percent full-year 2006 commercial lines combined ratio. The ratio rose 3.9 percentage points largely because of softer pricing, increasing loss severity, less savings from favorable development on prior period reserves and adoption of stock option expensing.

·

Fourth-quarter 2006 net savings from favorable development on prior period reserves improved the commercial lines combined ratio by 10.0 percentage points. In last year’s fourth quarter, savings improved the ratio by 9.6 percentage points.

·

Full-year 2006 net savings from favorable development improved the commercial lines combined ratio by 4.1 percentage points. In 2005, savings improved the ratio by 5.6 percentage points.

·

1.0 percentage-point decrease in full-year commercial lines commission expense ratio, primarily due to lower profit-sharing commissions on lower overall underwriting profits.

·

1.0 percentage-point increase in full-year commercial lines non-commission expense ratio, excluding policyholder dividends. Higher staffing expense was the primary reason for the increase, with stock option expense contributing 0.5 percentage-points to the ratio. Higher technology expense also contributed to the increase.

·

Commercial casualty, commercial property and workers’ compensation – three of the company’s four largest commercial business lines – reported strong net written premium growth in 2006. Healthy new business and policy retention rates offset pricing pressures due to competitive market conditions. As expected, the fourth of the largest business lines – commercial auto – saw net written premiums decline slightly due to pricing.

·

Continued strong commercial lines profitability although softer pricing, increased loss severity and changes in reserve development also affected comparisons for some business lines. For the second consecutive quarter, the commercial auto and workers’ compensation business lines experienced higher-than-anticipated new large losses. In the fourth quarter, new large losses in the commercial casualty business line also were higher than anticipated.

·

2007 plans include integration with agency management systems for WinCPP®, the company’s online, real-time commercial lines rate quoting system used by all agencies. Plans also include roll-out of Businessowner (BOP) and Dentist’s Package Policy (DBOP) capabilities in 12 additional states for e-CLAS™, the company’s Web-based policy processing system currently used in seven states representing 44 percent of  BOP and DBOP premiums.










The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 13 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).



6



Personal Lines Insurance Operations

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

2006

 

2005

 

Change %

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

Change %

Written premiums

 $

166 

 

 $

179

 

(7.4)

 $

736 

 

 $

786

 

(6.4)

               

Earned premiums

 $

183 

 

 $

199

 

(8.0)

 $

762 

 

 $

804

 

(5.3)

               

Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophes

 

101 

  

93

 

9.3 

 

456 

  

463

 

(1.5)

Catastrophe loss and loss expenses

 

33 

  

30

 

10.2 

 

86 

  

51

 

69.8 

Commission expenses

 

31 

  

28

 

9.6 

 

152 

  

154

 

(1.6)

Underwriting expenses

 

29 

  

26

 

10.0 

 

95 

  

91

 

4.2 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

 $

(11)

 

 $

22

 

(150.2)

 $

(27)

 

 $

45

 

(160.0)

               

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:

              

   Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophes

 

55.5 

%

 

46.8

%

  

59.9 

%

 

57.6

%

 

   Catastrophe loss and loss expenses

 

17.9 

 

 

14.9

   

11.3 

  

6.3

  

   Loss and loss expenses

 

73.4 

%

 

61.7

%

  

71.2 

%

 

63.9

%

 

   Commission expenses

 

16.9 

  

14.2

   

19.9 

  

19.2

  

   Underwriting expenses

 

15.7 

  

13.1

   

12.5 

  

11.3

  

      Combined ratio

 

106.0 

%

 

89.0

%

  

103.6 

%

 

94.4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

·

7.4 percent decrease in fourth-quarter personal lines net written premiums, with a 6.4 percent full-year decrease, in part due to reduced pricing effective July 2006.

·

17.6 percent increase in new personal lines business written directly by agencies for the second half of 2006, following the pricing changes that improved agents’ ability to market personal lines. With pricing reduced to better compete in the current market, agents had more opportunity to sell service and value, contributing to improved policy retention and new business growth.

·

Fourth-quarter 2006 personal lines new business rose 21.3 percent to $9 million. Second-half new business growth offset the decline in the first half of 2006, leading to 1.6 percent full-year new business growth.

·

103.6 percent 2006 personal lines combined ratio. The 9.2 percentage-point increase reflected a 5.0 percentage point rise in catastrophe losses. Other factors included the decline in earned premiums, less savings from favorable development on prior period reserves, the third-quarter 2006 uptick in loss severity and higher expenses.

·

Fourth-quarter 2006 net savings from favorable development on prior period reserves improved the personal lines combined ratio by 9.6 percentage points. In last year’s fourth quarter, savings improved the ratio by 12.5 percentage points.

·

Full-year 2006 net savings from favorable development improved the personal lines combined ratio by 2.4 percentage points. In 2005, savings improved the ratio by 4.3 percentage points.

·

0.7 percentage-point increase in full-year personal lines commission expense ratio, primarily because of higher contingent commissions due to accrual and allocation adjustments.

·

1.2 percentage point increase in personal lines non-commission expense ratio. Higher staffing expense contributed to the increase, with stock option expense adding 0.5 percentage-points to the ratio. Higher technology expense was the other significant factor in the increase.

·

82 percent of agencies writing personal lines policies now use Diamond, the company’s personal lines policy processing system. Approximately 90 percent of total 2006 personal lines earned premium volume was written in the 13 active Diamond states. Agents in Pennsylvania and Virginia will begin using Diamond early this year, with several other states planned for later in 2007.

·

Personal auto – the company’s largest personal business line – reported another full year of healthy profitability despite a fourth-quarter uptick in the loss ratio.

·

Homeowner results reflected higher catastrophe losses as well as industrywide trends of higher material costs, increased insured property values and rising deductibles. Loss severity returned to a more normal level after rising in the third quarter.










The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 13 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).



7



Life Insurance Operations

(In millions)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

2006

2005

Change %

2006

2005

Change %

Written premiums

$

41

$

43

(5.1)

$

161

$

205

(21.3)

           

Earned premiums

$

31

$

28

10.5 

$

115

$

106

7.9 

Investment income, net of expenses

 

27

 

26

4.0 

 

108

 

99

8.4 

Other income

 

1

 

1

(2.3)

 

3

 

4

(0.2)

  Total revenues, excluding realized investment gains
     and losses

 

59

 

55

7.2 

 

226

 

209

8.0 

Policyholder benefits

 

30

 

25

22.9 

 

122

 

102

20.1 

Expenses

 

18

 

15

17.7 

 

51

 

52

(1.8)

    Total benefits and expenses

 

48

 

40

20.9 

 

173

 

154

12.6 

Net income before income tax and
    realized investment gains and losses

 

11

 

15

(29.5)

 

53

 

55

(5.0)

Income tax

 

4

 

6

(36.0)

 

19

 

19

(1.9)

Net income before realized investment
   gains and losses

$

7

$

9

(25.5)

$

34

$

36

(6.6)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

·

$161 million in full-year 2006 total life insurance segment net written premiums, compared with $205 million in 2005. Written premiums include life insurance, annuity and accident and health premiums.

·

12.7 percent increase to $127 million in statutory written premiums for term and other life insurance products in 2006. Since late 2005, the company has de-emphasized annuities because of an unfavorable interest rate environment. Statutory written annuity premiums decreased to $30 million in 2006 from $88 million in 2005.

·

27.2 percent rise in 2006 term life insurance written premiums reflecting competitive advantages of offering competitive, up-to-date products, providing close personal attention and exhibiting financial strength and stability.

·

10.6 percent rise in face amount of life policies in force to $56.871 billion at year-end 2006, from $51.493 billion at year-end 2005.

·

$19 million increase in full-year 2006 benefits and expenses compared with 2005, principally due to reserve and mortality expense increases associated with growth and aging of  life insurance in force. Mortality experience remained within pricing guidelines. Adoption of stock option expensing contributed approximately $1 million to operating expenses.

·

2007 plans include enhancement of term and other life insurance products, including an expanded worksite product portfolio, and introduction of two new universal and whole life products. The priority continues to be expansion within the insurance agencies currently marketing our property casualty insurance products.























The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 13 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).



8



Investment Operations

(In millions)

 

Three months ended December 31,

 

Twelve months ended December 31,

 

2006

 

2005

Change %

 

2006

 

2005

Change %

Investment income:

          

   Interest

$

75 

$

72 

3.9 

$

300 

$

280 

7.1 

   Dividends

 

68 

 

63 

7.4 

 

262 

 

244 

7.5 

   Other

 

 

133.2 

 

15 

 

90.0 

   Investment expenses

 

(2)

 

(1)

(34.2)

 

(7)

 

(6)

(19.3)

      Total net investment income

 

145 

 

136 

6.7 

 

570 

 

526 

8.4 

Investment interest credited to contract holders

 

(14)

 

(13)

(4.8)

 

(54)

 

(51)

(5.7)

Net realized investment gains and losses:

          

   Realized investment gains and losses

 

11 

 

28 

(60.9)

 

678 

 

69 

883.0 

   Change in valuation of embedded derivatives

 

 

(5)

131.0 

 

 

(7)

200.7 

   Other-than-temporary impairment charges

 

 

(100.0)

 

(1)

 

(1)

41.7 

      Net realized investment gains (losses)

 

13 

 

23 

(46.6)

 

684 

 

61 

1,026.0 

Investment operations income

$

144 

$

146 

(1.5)

$

1,200 

$

536 

124.0 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

·

6.7 percent increase in fourth-quarter pretax net investment income with 8.4 percent increase for the year. Fifth Third Bancorp, the company’s largest equity holding, contributed 43.8 percent of 2006 full-year dividend income.

·

Growth in investment income reflected new investments, higher interest income from the growing fixed-maturity portfolio and increased dividend income from the common stock portfolio. In addition, proceeds from the sale of the Alltel Corporation holding used to make the applicable tax payments in 2006 were invested in short-term instruments that generated approximately $5 million in interest income in 2006.

·

$16 million annually in additional investment income expected during 2007 from dividend increases announced during 2006 by Fifth Third and another 37 of the 50 common stock holdings in the equity portfolio.

·

$684 million in full-year 2006 net realized investment gains (pretax), including $647 million from the first-quarter sale of the company’s holdings of Alltel common stock.

Balance Sheet

(Dollars in millions except share data)

 

 

 

 

 

 

At December 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

Balance sheet data

            

   Invested assets

      

$

13,759

 

$

12,702

 

   Total assets

       

17,222

  

16,003

 

   Short-term debt

       

49

  

0

 

   Long-term debt

       

791

  

791

 

   Shareholders' equity

       

6,808

  

6,086

 

   Book value per share

       

39.38

  

34.88

 

   Debt-to-capital ratio

       

11.0

%

 

11.5

%

 

 

 

 

         
 

Three months ended Dec. 31,

Twelve months ended Dec. 31,

 

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

Performance measures

            

   Comprehensive income

$

416

 

$

137

 

$

1,025

 

$

99

 

   Return on equity

 

7.9

%

 

12.1

%

 

14.4

%

 

9.8

%

   Return on equity based on comprehensive income

 

25.1

  

9.1

  

15.9

  

1.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

·

Book value of $39.38 at year-end 2006, up $4.50 from year-end 2005 level. Invested assets rose from year-end 2005 because of new investments and appreciation in the equity portfolio. Equity portfolio returned 16.1 percent in 2006 compared with a 15.8 percent return for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index.

·

$4.723 billion in statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at year-end 2006, up from $4.194 billion at year-end 2005. The ratio of common stock to statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group portfolio was 97.3 percent at year-end 2006, compared with 97.0 percent at year-end 2005.

·

31.5 percent ratio of investment securities held at the holding-company level to total holding-company-only assets at year-end 2006, comfortably within management’s below-40 percent target.

·

504,221 shares repurchased in fourth quarter. Full-year 2006 repurchases totaled 2,646,787 shares for a total cost of $118 million.










The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 13 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).



9



Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers property and casualty insurance, its main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company, The Cincinnati Indemnity Company and The Cincinnati Casualty Company. The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company markets life and disability income insurance and annuities. CFC Investment Company offers commercial leasing and financing services. CinFin Capital Management Company provides asset management services to institutions, corporations and individuals. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.


For additional information or to register for this morning’s conference call webcast, please visit www.cinfin.com/investors.


This is our “Safe Harbor” statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2005 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 21. Although we often review or update our forward-looking statements when events warrant, we caution our readers that we undertake no obligation to do so.


Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:

·

Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes

·

Increased frequency and/or severity of claims

·

Inaccurate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting estimates

·

Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company’s future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

·

Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company’s relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company’s opportunities for growth, such as:

Downgrade of the company’s financial strength ratings,

Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult or

Perceptions that the company’s level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace

·

Delays or inadequacies in the development, implementation, performance and benefits of technology projects and enhancements

·

Ability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for non-payment or delay in payment by reinsurers

·

Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company’s premium growth rate

·

Underwriting and pricing methods adopted by competitors that could allow them to identify and flexibly price risks, which could decrease our competitive advantages

·

Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies that:

Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business

Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations

Increase our expenses

Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes

Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates

Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace or

Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents

·

Sustained decline in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company’s equity portfolio and book value; in particular a sustained decline in the market value of Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:FITB) shares, a significant equity holding

·

Recession or other economic conditions or regulatory, accounting or tax changes resulting in lower demand for insurance products

·

Events that lead to a significant decline in the value of a particular security and impairment of the asset

·

Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company’s ability to generate growth in investment income or interest-rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments

·

Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings

·

Investment activities or market value fluctuations that trigger restrictions applicable to the parent company under the Investment Company Act of 1940

·

Events, such as an avian flu epidemic, natural catastrophe or construction delays, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location


Further, the company’s insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as recent measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.



10



Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(Dollars in millions except per share data)

 

December 31,

 

December 31,

 

2006

 

2005

 

 

 

 

(unaudited)

 

 

ASSETS

      

   Investments

      Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2006—$5,739; 2005—$5,387)

 

$

5,805 

$

5,476 

      Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2006—$2,621; 2005—$2,128)

   

7,799 

 

7,106 

      Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2006—$95; 2005—$75)

  

95 

 

75 

      Other invested assets

   

60 

 

45 

   Cash and cash equivalents

   

202 

 

119 

   Investment income receivable

   

121 

 

117 

   Finance receivable

   

108 

 

105 

   Premiums receivable

   

1,128 

 

1,116 

   Reinsurance receivable

   

683 

 

681 

   Prepaid reinsurance premiums

   

13 

 

14 

   Deferred policy acquisition costs

   

453 

 

429 

   Land, building and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation:
      2006—$261; 2005—$232)  

 

193 

 

168 

   Other assets

   

58 

 

66 

   Separate accounts

   

504 

 

486 

      Total assets

  

$

17,222 

$

16,003 

 

LIABILITIES

   Insurance reserves

      

      Loss and loss expense reserves

  

$

3,896 

$

3,661 

      Life policy reserves

   

1,409 

 

1,343 

   Unearned premiums

   

1,579 

 

1,559 

   Other liabilities

   

533 

 

455 

   Deferred income tax

   

1,653 

 

1,622 

   Notes payable

   

49 

 

   6.125% senior notes due 2034

   

371 

 

371 

   6.9% senior debentures due 2028

   

28 

 

28 

   6.92% senior debenture due 2028

   

392 

 

392 

   Separate accounts

   

504 

 

486 

      Total liabilities

   

10,414 

 

9,917 

       

SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY

   Common stock, par value-$2 per share; authorized: 2006-500 million shares, 2005-
      500 million shares; issued: 2006-196 million shares, 2005-194 million shares

 

391 

 

389 

   Paid-in capital

   

1,015 

 

969 

   Retained earnings

   

2,786 

 

2,088 

   Accumulated other comprehensive income

 

3,379 

 

3,284 

   Treasury stock at cost (2006—23 million shares, 2005—20 million shares)

 

(763)

 

(644)

      Total shareholders' equity

   

6,808 

 

6,086 

      Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

  

$

17,222 

$

16,003 

 



11



Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Income

(In millions except per share data)

 

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

 

2006

 

2005

 

2006

 

2005

 

 

 

(unaudited)

 

 

 

(unaudited)

 

 

REVENUES

         

   Earned premiums

    

      Property casualty

 

$

802

$

775

$

3,163 

$

3,058 

      Life

  

31

 

28

 

115 

 

106 

   Investment income, net of expenses

  

145

 

136

 

570 

 

526 

   Realized investment gains and losses

  

12

 

23

 

684 

 

61 

   Other income

  

5

 

5

 

18 

 

16 

      Total revenues

  

995

 

967

 

4,550 

 

3,767 

     

BENEFITS AND EXPENSES

    

   Insurance losses and policyholder benefits

  

532

 

442

 

2,128 

 

1,911 

   Commissions

  

153

 

151

 

630 

 

627 

   Other operating expenses

  

100

 

76

 

354 

 

302 

   Taxes, licenses and fees

  

19

 

19

 

77 

 

72 

   Increase in deferred policy acquisition costs

  

5

 

5

 

(21)

 

(19)

   Interest expense

  

14

 

13

 

53 

 

51 

      Total benefits and expenses

  

823

 

706

 

3,221 

 

2,944 

     

INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES

  

172

 

261

 

1,329 

 

823 

     

PROVISION (BENEFIT) FOR INCOME TAXES

    

   Current

  

41

 

61

 

404 

 

188 

   Deferred

  

1

 

17

 

(5)

 

33 

      Total provision for income taxes

  

42

 

78

 

399 

 

221 

     

NET INCOME

 

$

130

$

183

$

930 

$

602 

     

PER COMMON SHARE

    

   Net income—basic

 

$

0.75

$

1.04

$

5.36 

$

3.44 

   Net income—diluted

 

$

0.75

$

1.03

$

5.30 

$

3.40 

 

 

 

 

 



Since 1996, Cincinnati Financial has disclosed the estimated impact of stock options on net income and earnings per share in a Note to the Financial Statements. For the fourth-quarter and year ended December 31, 2005, diluted net income would have been reduced by approximately 2 cents and 8 cents per share, if option expense, calculated using the binomial option-pricing model, were included as an expense.


***








12



Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

(See attached tables for 2006 and 2005 data; prior-period reconciliations available at www.cinfin.com/investors.)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.

Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments – when analyzing both GAAP and certain non-GAAP measures may improve understanding of trends in the underlying business, helping avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.

·

Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities and embedded derivatives without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gain s or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.

For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.

·

Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.

·

Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.

·

Written premium adjustment – statutory basis only: In 2002, the company refined its estimation process for matching property casualty written premiums to policy effective dates, which added $117 million to 2002 written premiums. To better assess ongoing business trends, management may exclude this adjustment when analyzing trends in written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

·

Codification: Adoption of Codification of Statutory Accounting Principles was required for Ohio-based insurance companies effective January 1, 2001. The adoption of Codification changed the manner in which the company recognized statutory property casualty written premiums. As a result, 2001 statutory written premiums included $402 million to account for unbooked premiums related to policies with effective dates prior to January 1, 2001. To better assess ongoing business trends, management excludes this $402 million when analyzing written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

·

Life insurance gross written premiums: In analyzing the life insurance company’s gross written premiums, management excludes five larger, single-pay life insurance policies (bank-owned life insurance or BOLIs) written in 2004, 2002, 2000 and 1999 to focus on the trend in premiums written through the independent agency distribution channel.

·

One-time charges or adjustments: Management analyzes earnings and profitability excluding the impact of one-time items.

In 2003, as the result of a settlement negotiated with a vendor, pretax results included the recovery of $23 million of the $39 million one-time, pretax charge incurred in 2000.

In 2000, the company recorded a one-time charge of $39 million, pre-tax, to write down previously capitalized costs related to the development of software to process property casualty policies.

In 2000, the company earned $5 million in interest in the first quarter from a $303 million single-premium BOLI policy that was booked at the end of 1999 and segregated as a separate account effective April 1, 2000. Investment income and realized investment gains and losses from separate accounts generally accrue directly to the contract holder and, therefore, are not included in the company’s consolidated financials.



13






 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

 

(In millions except per share data)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

                             

   Net income

$

130 

$

115 

$

132 

$

552 

$

183 

$

117 

$

158 

$

144 

$

684 

$

302 

$

800 

$

419 

$

930 

$

602 

 

   One-time item

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Net income before one-time item

 

130 

 

115 

 

132 

 

552 

 

183 

 

117 

 

158 

 

144 

 

684 

 

302 

 

800 

 

419 

 

930 

 

602 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

 

 

 

421 

 

16 

 

10 

 

 

 

426 

 

14 

 

427 

 

24 

 

434 

 

40 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

 

122 

 

115 

 

126 

 

131 

 

167 

 

107 

 

150 

 

138 

 

258 

 

288 

 

373 

 

395 

 

496 

 

562 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

(29)

 

(18)

 

(41)

 

(26)

 

(28)

 

(43)

 

(9)

 

(2)

 

(67)

 

(11)

 

(85)

 

(54)

 

(113)

 

(82)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and
      one-time item

$

151 

$

133 

$

167 

$

157 

$

195 

$

150 

$

159 

$

140 

$

325 

$

299 

$

458 

$

449 

$

609 

$

644 

 
                              

Diluted per share data

                             

   Net income

$

0.75 

$

0.66 

$

0.76 

$

3.13 

$

1.03 

$

0.66 

$

0.89 

$

0.81 

$

3.90 

$

1.70 

$

2.13 

$

2.37 

$

5.30 

$

3.40 

 

   One-time item

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

   Net income before one-time item

 

0.75 

 

0.66 

 

0.76 

 

3.13 

 

1.03 

 

0.66 

 

0.89 

 

0.81 

 

3.90 

 

1.70 

 

2.13 

 

2.37 

 

5.30 

 

3.40 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

0.05 

 

0.00 

 

0.04 

 

2.39 

 

0.09 

 

0.05 

 

0.05 

 

0.03 

 

2.43 

 

0.08 

 

2.43 

 

0.14 

 

2.48 

 

0.23 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

 

0.70 

 

0.66 

 

0.72 

 

0.74 

 

0.94 

 

0.61 

 

0.84 

 

0.78 

 

1.47 

 

1.62 

 

4.56 

 

2.23 

 

2.82 

 

3.17 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

(0.16)

 

(0.10)

 

(0.24)

 

(0.14)

 

(0.16)

 

(0.24)

 

(0.05)

 

(0.01)

 

(0.38)

 

(0.06)

 

(0.48)

 

(0.30)

 

(0.65)

 

(0.46)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and
      one-time item

$

0.86 

$

0.76 

$

0.96 

$

0.88 

$

1.10 

$

0.85 

$

0.89 

$

0.79 

$

1.85 

$

1.68 

$

5.04 

$

2.53 

$

3.47 

$

3.63 

 
 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

equal the full year as each is computed independently.



14






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

                                          

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

$

785

 

$

787

 

$

804

 

$

796

 

$

765

 

$

764

 

$

780

 

$

787

 

$

1,600

 

 $

1,567

 

$

2,387

 

$

2,332

 

$

3,172

 

$

3,097

 

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

(30)

 

 

(7)

 

 

10

 

 

33

 

 

(38)

 

 

(3)

 

 

10

 

 

10

 

 

43

 

 

20

 

 

36

 

 

17

 

 

6

 

 

(21)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

$

755

 

$

780

 

$

814

 

$

829

 

$

727

 

$

761

 

$

790

 

$

797

 

$

1,643

 

 $

1,587

 

$

2,423

 

$

2,349

 

$

3,178

 

$

3,076

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

13

  

11

  

(21)

  

(51)

  

48

  

4

  

(25)

  

(44)

  

(72)

  

(73)

  

(60)

  

(66)

  

(66)

  

(19)

 

   Earned premiums

$

802

 

$

791

 

$

793

 

$

778

 

$

775

 

$

765

 

$

765

 

$

753

 

$

1,571

 

 $

1,518

 

$

2,362

 

$

2,283

 

$

3,164

 

$

3,058

 

                                           

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

95.9

%

 

96.4

  

93.7

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.6

%

 

87.3

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

 

93.9

%

 

89.0

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

 

95.9

%

 

96.4

%

 

93.7

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.6

%

 

87.3

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

 

93.9

%

 

89.0

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

5.5

 

 

3.5

 

 

8.0

 

 

5.0

 

 

5.6

 

 

8.6

 

 

2.0

 

 

0.3

  

6.5

 

 

1.1

 

 

5.5

 

 

3.6

 

 

5.5

 

 

4.1

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

       excluding catastrophe losses

 

90.4

%

 

92.9

%

 

85.7

%

 

84.6

%

 

80.2

%

 

88.0

%

 

84.6

%

 

87.0

%

 

85.2

%

 

85.8

%

 

87.7

%

 

86.5

%

 

88.4

%

 

84.9

%

                                           

   Reported commission expense ratio*

 

19.9

%

 

19.3

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

20.4

%

 

20.3

%

 

19.3

%

 

16.8

%

 

17.9

%

 

18.0

%

 

18.3

%

 

18.8

%

 

18.7

%

 

19.2

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted commission expense ratio

 

19.9

%

 

19.3

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

20.4

%

 

20.3

%

 

19.3

%

 

16.8

%

 

17.9

%

 

18.0

%

 

18.3

%

 

18.8

%

 

18.7

%

 

19.2

%

                                           

   Reported other expense ratio*

 

13.4

%

 

11.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

11.6

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.3

%

 

9.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.0

%

 

11.2

%

 

10.2

%

 

11.7

%

 

10.5

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted other expense ratio

 

13.4

%

 

11.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

11.6

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.3

%

 

9.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.0

%

 

11.2

%

 

10.2

%

 

11.7

%

 

10.5

%

                                           

   Reported statutory expense ratio*

 

33.3

%

 

31.2

%

 

28.4

%

 

28.9

%

 

32.0

%

 

31.1

%

 

29.6

%

 

26.6

%

 

28.7

%

 

28.0

%

 

29.5

%

 

29.0

%

 

30.4

%

 

29.7

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory expense ratio

 

33.3

%

 

31.2

%

 

28.4

%

 

28.9

%

 

32.0

%

 

31.1

%

 

29.6

%

 

26.6

%

 

28.7

%

 

28.0

%

 

29.5

%

 

29.0

%

 

30.4

%

 

29.7

%

                        

 

      

 

     

 

     

GAAP combined ratio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   GAAP combined ratio

 

94.5

%

 

96.1

%

 

94.5

%

 

92.0

%

 

83.9

%

 

96.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

88.9

%

 

93.3

%

 

88.2

%

 

94.2

%

 

91.0

%

 

94.3

%

 

89.2

%

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

94.5

%

 

96.1

%

 

94.5

%

 

92.0

%

 

83.9

%

 

96.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

88.9

%

 

93.3

%

 

88.2

%

 

94.2

%

 

91.0

%

 

94.3

%

 

89.2

%

                                           

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts

          

may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                                     

nm - Not meaningful

                                          

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       



15







Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

                                          

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

$

618

 

$

589

 

$

593

 

$

635

 

$

584

 

$

547

 

$

557

 

$

617

 

$

1,228

 

$

1,174

 

$

1,817

 

$

1,721

 

$

2,435

 

$

2,306

 

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

 

(29)

 

 

(7)

 

 

10

 

 

33

 

 

(36)

 

 

(1)

 

 

9

 

 

12

  

43

 

 

21

  

36

 

 

20

  

7

 

 

(16)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

$

589

 

$

582

 

$

603

 

$

668

 

$

548

 

$

546

 

$

566

 

$

629

 

$

1,271

 

$

1,195

 

$

1,853

 

$

1,741

 

$

2,442

 

$

2,290

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

30

 

 

20

 

 

(4)

 

 

(86)

 

 

28

 

 

18

 

 

(3)

 

 

(78)

  

(90)

 

 

(81)

  

(69)

 

 

(63)

  

(40)

 

 

(36)

 

   Earned premiums

$

619

 

$

602

 

$

599

 

$

582

 

$

576

 

$

564

 

$

563

 

$

551

 

$

1,181

 

$

1,114

 

$

1,783

 

$

1,678

 

$

2,402

 

$

2,254

 

                                           

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

92.4

%

 

94.1

  

89.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

84.3

%

 

95.5

%

 

83.9

%

 

85.5

%

 

88.6

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3

%

 

88.1

%

 

90.8

%

 

87.1

%

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

 

92.4

%

 

94.1

%

 

89.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

84.3

%

 

95.5

%

 

83.9

%

 

85.5

%

 

88.6

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3

%

 

88.1

%

 

90.8

%

 

87.1

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

1.9

 

 

2.3

 

 

5.6

 

 

5.1

 

 

2.4

 

 

9.5

 

 

0.4

 

 

1.1

  

5.3

 

 

0.8

  

4.3

 

 

3.6

 

 

3.7

 

 

3.4

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
      excluding catastrophe losses

 

90.5

%

 

91.8

%

 

84.0

%

 

82.4

%

 

81.9

%

 

86.0

%

 

83.5

%

 

84.4

%

 

83.3

%

 

83.8

%

 

86.0

%

 

84.5

%

 

87.1

%

 

83.7

%

                                            

GAAP combined ratio

                                          

   GAAP combined ratio

 

91.1

%

 

93.4

%

 

90.3

%

 

90.5

%

 

82.1

%

 

95.2

%

 

84.8

%

 

87.5

%

 

90.4

%

 

86.1

%

 

91.4

%

 

89.2

%

 

91.3

%

 

87.4

%

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

91.1

%

 

93.4

%

 

90.3

%

 

90.5

%

 

82.1

%

 

95.2

%

 

84.8

%

 

87.5

%

 

90.4

%

 

86.1

%

 

91.4

%

 

89.2

%

 

91.3

%

 

87.4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                                        

nm - Not meaningful

                                           

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       



16






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

                                          

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

$

167

 

$

198

 

$

211

 

$

161

 

$

181

 

$

217

 

$

223

 

$

170

 

$

372

 

$

393

 

$

570

 

$

611

 

$

737

 

$

791

 

   Written premium adjustment --

      statutory only

 

(1)

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

(2)

 

 

(2)

 

 

1

 

 

(2)

 

 

0

 

 

(1)

 

 

0

 

 

(3)

 

 

(1)

 

 

(5)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

$

166

 

$

198

 

$

211

 

$

161

 

$

179

 

$

215

 

$

224

 

$

168

 

$

372

 

$

392

 

$

570

 

$

608

 

$

736

 

$

786

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

(17)

 

 

(9)

 

 

(17)

 

 

35

 

 

20

 

 

(14)

 

 

(22)

 

 

34

 

 

18

 

 

8

 

 

9

 

 

(3)

 

 

(26)

 

 

17

 

   Earned premiums

$

183

 

$

189

 

$

194

 

$

196

 

$

199

 

$

201

 

$

202

 

$

202

 

$

390

 

$

404

 

$

579

 

$

605

 

$

762

 

$

804

 

                                           

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

107.7

%

 

104.0

%

 

106.4

%

 

98.1

%

 

90.1

%

 

99.9

%

 

93.6

%

 

94.0

%

 

101.6

%

 

93.7

%

 

102.3

%

 

95.7

%

 

103.6

%

 

94.3

%

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

 

107.7

%

 

104.0

%

 

106.4

%

 

98.1

%

 

90.1

%

 

99.9

%

 

93.6

%

 

94.0

%

 

101.6

%

 

93.7

%

 

102.3

%

 

95.7

%

 

103.6

%

 

94.3

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

17.9

 

 

7.0

 

 

15.6

 

 

5.0

 

 

14.9

 

 

6.3

 

 

6.2

  

2.0

  

10.3

  

2.1

  

9.2

 

 

3.5

  

11.3

  

6.3

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
      excluding catastrophe losses

 

89.8

%

 

97.0

%

 

90.8

%

 

93.1

%

 

75.2

%

 

93.6

%

 

87.4

%

 

96.0

%

 

91.3

%

 

91.6

%

 

93.1

%

 

92.2

%

 

92.3

%

 

88.0

%

                                           

GAAP combined ratio

                                          

   GAAP combined ratio

 

106.0

%

 

104.4

%

 

107.6

%

 

96.4

%

 

89.0

%

 

100.5

%

 

95.3

%

 

92.7

%

 

102.0

%

 

94.0

%

 

102.8

%

 

96.1

%

 

103.6

%

 

94.4

%

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before

      one-time item

 

106.0

%

 

104.4

%

 

107.6

%

 

96.4

%

 

89.0

%

 

100.5

%

 

95.3

%

 

92.7

%

 

102.0

%

 

94.0

%

 

102.8

%

 

96.1

%

 

103.6

%

 

94.4

%

 

                                          

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                        

nm - Not meaningful

                                          

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       




17


EX-99 3 ex992.htm EXHIBIT 99.2 Cincinnati Financial Corporation


Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Supplemental Financial Data

December 31, 2006

Fourth Quarter

   
   
 

6200 South Gilmore Road

 
 

Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141

 
 

www.cinfin.com/investors

 
   
   

Investor Contact:

Media Contact:

Shareholder Contact:

Heather J. Wietzel

Joan O. Shevchik

Jerry L. Litton

513-870-2768

513-603-5323

513-870-2639

   
   

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

  
 

A.M. Best

Fitch

Moody’s

Standard & Poor’s

     

Corporate Debt

aa-

A+

A2

A

     

The Cincinnati Insurance Companies

    
     
 

A.M. Best

Fitch

Moody’s

Standard & Poor’s

     

Property Casualty Group

A++

--

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Insurance Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Indemnity Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Casualty Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

     

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

A+

AA

--

AA-

     
     
 

Ratings are as of February 7, 2007, under continuing review and subject to change and/or affirmation.  For the latest ratings, select the Ratings tab on www.cinfin.com/investors.

 
  
 

The consolidated financial statements and financial exhibits that follow are unaudited.  These consolidated financial statements and exhibits should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes included in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2005. The results of operations for interim periods should not be considered indicative of results to be expected for the full year. Certain 2006 interim period data has been updated to correct rounding differences.

 







 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

 
 

Supplemental Financial Data

 
 

Fourth Quarter 2006

 
  

Page

Status

 

Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

3

2/7/2007

    

Consolidated

  
 

Quick Reference

4

2/7/2007

 

Consolidated Statements of Income

5

2/7/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2006

6

2/7/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2005

7

2/7/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Three Months Ended December 31, 2006

8

2/7/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Three Months Ended December 31, 2005

9

2/7/2007

 

Consolidated Balance Sheets

10

2/7/2007

 

10-Year Net Income Reconciliation

11

2/7/2007

 

Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

12

2/7/2007

 

Top Holdings -- Common Stocks

13

2/7/2007

    

Property Casualty Insurance Operations

  
 

GAAP Statements of Income

14

2/7/2007

 

Statutory Statements of Income

15

2/7/2007

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Consolidated

16

2/7/2007

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Commercial Lines

17

2/7/2007

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Personal Lines

18

2/7/2007

 

Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business and State

19

2/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines of Business

20

2/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines of Business

21

2/7/2007

    

Reconciliation Data

  
 

10-Year Property Casualty Data – Consolidated

22

2/7/2007

 

6-Year Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines

23

2/7/2007

 

6-Year Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines

24

2/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Consolidated

25

2/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines

26

2/7/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines

27

2/7/2007

    

Life Insurance Operations

  
 

GAAP Statements of Income

28

2/7/2007

 

Statutory Statements of Income

29

2/7/2007

 

Expenses as a Percentage of Premium

30

2/7/2007



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 2



Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.

Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments – when analyzing both GAAP and certain non-GAAP measures may improve understanding of trends in the underlying business, helping avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.

·

Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities and embedded derivatives without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.

For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.

·

Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.

·

Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.

·

Written premium adjustment – statutory basis only: In 2002, the company refined its estimation process for matching property casualty written premiums to policy effective dates, which added $117 million to 2002 written premiums. To better assess ongoing business trends, management may exclude this adjustment when analyzing trends in written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

·

Codification: Adoption of Codification of Statutory Accounting Principles was required for Ohio-based insurance companies effective January 1, 2001. The adoption of Codification changed the manner in which the company recognized statutory property casualty written premiums. As a result, 2001 statutory written premiums included $402 million to account for unbooked premiums related to policies with effective dates prior to January 1, 2001. To better assess ongoing business trends, management excludes this $402 million when analyzing written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

·

Life insurance gross written premiums: In analyzing the life insurance company’s gross written premiums, management excludes five larger, single-pay life insurance policies (bank-owned life insurance or BOLIs) written in 2004, 2002, 2000 and 1999 to focus on the trend in premiums written through the independent agency distribution channel.

·

One-time charges or adjustments: Management analyzes earnings and profitability excluding the impact of one-time items.

In 2003, as the result of a settlement negotiated with a vendor, pretax results included the recovery of $23 million of the $39 million one-time, pretax charge incurred in 2000.

In 2000, the company recorded a one-time charge of $39 million, pre-tax, to write down previously capitalized costs related to the development of software to process property casualty policies.

In 2000, the company earned $5 million in interest in the first quarter from a $303 million single-premium BOLI policy that was booked at the end of 1999 and segregated as a separate account effective April 1, 2000. Investment income and realized investment gains and losses from separate accounts generally accrue directly to the contract holder and, therefore, are not included in the company’s consolidated financials.



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 3





Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Quick Reference - Fourth Quarter 2006

(all data shown is for the three months ended or as of December 31, 2006)

         

(Based on reported data - see Pages 25-27 for adjusted data)

      
         

(Dollars in millions except share data)

        

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

Benefits and expenses:

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Commercial lines net written premiums

$

589 

 

 

Commercial lines loss and loss expenses

$

368 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

7.5 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

25.4 

%

Personal lines net written premiums

$

166 

 

 

Personal lines loss and loss expenses

$

134 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(7.4)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

10.4 

%

Property casualty net written premiums

$

755 

 

 

Property casualty loss and loss expenses

$

502 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

3.8 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

20.4 

%

Commercial lines net earned premiums

$

619 

 

 

Life and accident and health losses and policy benefits

$

30 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

7.4 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

22.9 

%

Personal lines net earned premiums

$

183 

 

 

Operating expenses

$

277 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(8.0)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

9.8 

%

Property casualty net earned premiums

$

802 

 

 

Interest expenses

$

14 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

3.5 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

10.4 

%

Life and accident and health net earned premiums

$

31 

 

 

Total expenses

$

823 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

10.5 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

16.6 

%

Investment income

$

145 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

172 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

6.7 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(34.1)

%

Realized gains on investments

$

12 

 

 

Total income tax

$

42 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(46.6)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(46.9)

%

Other income

$

 

 

Effective tax rate

 

24.2 

%

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

1.6 

%

     

Total revenues

$

995 

 

 

Ratios:

 

 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

2.9 

%

 

 

  

 

 

    

Commercial lines GAAP combined ratio

 

91.1 

%

Income:

    

Personal lines GAAP combined ratio

 

106.0 

%

 

    

Property casualty GAAP combined ratio

 

94.5 

%

Operating income

$

122 

  

 

  

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(26.6)

%

 

Commercial lines STAT combined ratio

 

92.4 

%

Net realized investment gains and losses

$

  

Personal lines STAT combined ratio

 

107.7 

%

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(49.7)

%

 

Property casualty STAT combined ratio

 

95.9 

%

Net income

$

130 

  

 

   

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(28.6)

%

 

Return on equity based upon net income

 

7.9 

%

 

    

Return on equity based upon operating income

 

25.1 

%

Per share: (diluted)

    

 

 

 

 

 

    

Balance Sheet:

  

 

Operating income

$

0.70 

     

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(25.5)

%

 

Fixed maturity investments

$

5,805 

 

Net realized investment gains and losses

$

0.05 

  

Equity securities

 

7,799 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(44.4)

%

 

Other invested assets

 

155 

 

Net income

$

0.75 

  

  Total invested assets

$

13,759 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(27.2)

%

 

 

  

 

Book value

$

39.38 

  

Property casualty and life loss and loss expense reserves

$

3,860 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

12.9 

%

 

Total debt

 

840 

 

Weighted average shares – diluted

174,988,162 

  

Shareholders equity

 

6,808 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(1.2)

%

 

 

 

 

 



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 4






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Income

                
 

For the Three Months Ended December 31,

 

 

For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

 

     

 

 

 

     

 

  Premiums earned:

 

     

 

 

 

     

 

    Property casualty

$

 844,769,727 

$

818,784,983 

$

25,984,744 

3.17 

 

$

 3,320,696,134 

$

 3,237,013,369 

$

83,682,765 

2.59 

    Life

 

43,271,070 

 

40,421,077 

 

2,849,993 

7.05 

  

152,590,039 

 

143,808,461 

 

8,781,578 

6.11 

    Accident health

 

1,703,987 

 

1,617,668 

 

86,319 

5.34 

  

6,652,508 

 

6,347,605 

 

304,903 

4.80 

    Premiums ceded  

 

(57,316,655)

 

(57,661,923)

 

345,268 

0.60 

  

(202,091,894)

 

(223,269,321)

 

21,177,427 

9.49 

      Total premiums earned  

 

832,428,129 

 

803,161,805 

 

29,266,324 

3.64 

  

3,277,846,787 

 

 3,163,900,114 

 

113,946,673 

3.60 

    Investment income

 

145,070,825 

 

135,899,274 

 

9,171,551 

6.75 

  

570,103,128 

 

 525,984,174 

 

44,118,954 

8.39 

    Realized gain on investments

 

12,324,061 

 

23,074,192 

 

(10,750,131)

(46.59)

  

683,701,293 

 

60,715,922 

 

622,985,371 

1,026.07 

    Other income

 

4,682,861 

 

4,608,019 

 

74,842 

1.62 

  

18,461,940 

 

16,722,246 

 

1,739,694 

10.40 

Total revenues

$

994,505,876 

$

966,743,290 

$

27,762,586 

2.87 

 

$

4,550,113,148 

$

3,767,322,456 

$

782,790,692 

20.78 

 

      

 

       

 

Benefits & expenses:

      

 

       

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

550,901,417 

$

448,396,645 

$

102,504,772 

22.86 

 

$

2,245,203,172 

$

2,076,864,037 

$

168,339,135 

8.11 

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(18,732,359)

 

(6,977,995)

 

(11,754,364)

(168.45)

  

(117,399,472)

 

(165,516,591)

 

48,117,119 

29.07 

  Commissions

 

152,523,580 

 

150,815,496 

 

1,708,084 

1.13 

  

630,269,528 

 

627,048,255 

 

3,221,273 

0.51 

  Other operating expenses

 

95,572,467 

 

76,263,586 

 

19,308,881 

25.32 

  

338,085,073 

 

289,555,517 

 

48,529,556 

16.76 

  Interest expense

 

13,804,440 

 

12,500,619 

 

1,303,821 

10.43 

  

53,116,383 

 

 51,484,731 

 

1,631,652 

3.17 

  Taxes, licenses & fees  

 

18,740,629 

 

19,473,480 

 

(732,851)

(3.76)

  

76,742,883 

 

71,538,216 

 

5,204,667 

7.28 

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

5,382,897 

 

4,829,527 

 

553,370 

(11.46)

  

(21,359,500)

 

(18,748,605)

 

(2,610,895)

(13.93)

  Other expenses  

 

4,244,124 

 

377,634 

 

3,866,490 

1,023.87 

  

16,342,089 

 

12,319,865 

 

4,022,224 

32.65 

Total expenses

$

822,437,195 

$

705,678,992 

$

116,758,203 

16.55 

 

$

3,221,000,156 

$

2,944,545,425 

$

276,454,731 

9.39 

Income before income taxes

$

172,068,681 

$

261,064,298 

$

(88,995,617)

(34.09)

 

$

1,329,112,992 

$

822,777,031 

$

506,335,961 

61.54 

 

      

 

       

 

Provision for income taxes:

      

 

       

 

Current operating income

$

36,443,952 

$

54,468,304 

$

(18,024,352)

(33.09)

 

$

155,204,170 

$

166,470,189 

$

11,266,019)

(6.77)

Realized investments gains and losses

 

4,310,014 

 

7,136,284 

 

(2,826,270)

(39.60)

  

249,202,156 

 

 20,964,114 

 

228,238,042 

1,088.71 

Deferred

 

895,839 

 

16,787,609 

 

(15,891,770)

(94.66)

  

(5,497,770)

 

33,372,538 

 

(38,870,308)

(116.47)

Total income taxes

$

41,649,805 

$

78,392,197 

$

(36,742,392)

(46.87)

 

$

398,908,556 

$

220,806,841 

$

178,101,715 

80.66 

 

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

Net income

$

130,418,876 

$

182,672,101 

$

(52,253,225)

(28.60)

 

$

930,204,436 

$

601,970,190 

$

328,234,246 

54.53 

Comprehensive net income

$

416,378,747 

$

137,022,076 

$

279,356,671 

203.88 

 

$

1,025,818,263 

$

98,196,296 

$

927,621,967 

944.66 

 

      

 

       

 

Operating income

$

122,404,829 

$

166,734,193 

$

(44,329,364)

(26.59)

 

$

495,705,299 

$

562,218,382 

$

(66,513,083)

(11.83)

Net realized investments gains and losses

$

8,014,047 

$

15,937,908 

$

(7,923,861)

(49.72)

 

$

434,499,137 

$

39,751,808 

$

 394,747,329 

993.03 

 

      

 

    

  

  

 

Net income per share:

      

 

       

 

  Operating income

$

0.71 

$

 0.95 

$

(0.24) 

25.26 

 

$

2.86 

$

3.21 

$

(0.35)

(10.90)

  Net realized investments gains
   and losses

 

0.04 

 

0.09 

 

(0.05)

(55.56)

  

2.50 

 

0.23 

 

2.27 

986.96 

  Net income per share (basic)

$

0.75 

$

1.04 

$

(0.29)

27.88 

 

$

5.36 

$

3.44 

$

1.92 

55.81 

  Operating income

$

0.70 

$

0.94 

$

(0.24)

(25.53)

 

$

2.82 

$

3.17 

$

(0.35)

(11.04)

  Net realized investments gains
   and losses

 

0.05 

 

0.09 

 

(0.04)

(44.44)

  

2.48 

 

0.23 

 

2.25 

978.26 

  Net income per share (diluted)

$

0.75 

$

1.03 

$

(0.28)

(27.18)

 

$

5.30 

$

3.40 

$

1.90 

55.88 

Dividends per share:

      

 

       

 

  Paid

$

0.335 

$

0.305 

$

0.03 

9.84 

 

$

1,310 

$

1,162 

$

0.148 

12.74 

  Declared  

$

0.335 

$

0.305 

$

0.03 

9.84 

 

$

1,340 

$

1,205 

$

0.135 

11.20 

Number of shares:

      

 

       

 

  Weighted avg - basic

 

173,030,127 

 

174,671,340 

 

(1,641,213)

(0.94)

  

173,423,395 

 

175,062,669 

 

(1,639,274)

(0.94)

  Weighted avg - diluted

 

174,988,162 

 

177,045,508 

 

(2,057,346)

(1.16)

  

175,451,341 

 

177,116,126 

 

(1,664,785)

(0.94)



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 5






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2006

   

 

 

Total

 

CFC

 

CIC GROUP

 

CLIC

 

CFC-I

 

CINFIN

 

ELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

3,320,696,134 

$

$

3,321,610,148 

$

$

$

0

$

(914,014)

    Life

 

152,590,039 

 

 

 

152,590,039 

 

 

0

 

    Accident health

 

6,652,508 

 

 

 

6,652,508 

 

 

0

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(202,091,894)

 

 

(157,587,693)

 

(44,504,201)

 

 

0

 

      Total earned premium

 

3,277,846,787 

 

 

3,164,022,455 

 

114,738,346 

 

 

0

 

(914,014)

    Investment income

 

570,103,128 

 

97,437,082 

 

367,304,753 

 

107,656,860 

 

62,400 

 

209,379

 

(2,567,346)

    Realized gain on investments  

 

683,701,293 

 

410,338,912 

 

225,846,088 

 

44,861,000 

 

(324,417)

 

5,697

 

2,974,013 

    Other income

 

18,461,940 

 

10,098,558 

 

3,266,830 

 

3,552,294 

 

11,131,714 

 

2,374,373

 

(11,961,829)

Total revenues

$

4,550,113,148 

$

517,874,552 

$

3,760,440,126 

$

270,808,500 

$

10,869,697 

$

2,589,449

$

(12,469,176)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

2,245,203,172 

$

$

2,085,421,315 

$

161,984,990 

$

$

0

$

(2,203,133)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(117,399,472)

 

 

(77,446,382)

 

(39,953,090)

 

 

0

 

  Commissions

 

630,269,528 

 

 

596,188,393 

 

34,081,135 

 

 

0

 

  Other operating expenses

 

338,085,073 

 

19,609,842 

 

292,709,156 

 

31,977,077 

 

5,416,146 

 

626,085

 

(12,253,233)

  Interest expense

 

53,116,383 

 

50,612,821 

 

888,930 

 

98,000 

 

2,715,584  

 

0

 

(1,198,952)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

76,742,883 

 

1,152,118 

 

72,695,021 

 

3,080,836 

 

(232,648)

 

47,556

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(21,359,500)

 

 

(3,642,356)

 

(17,717,144)

 

 

0

 

  Other expenses

 

16,342,089 

 

 

16,341,980 

 

109 

 

 

0

 

Total expenses

$

3,221,000,156 

$

71,374,781 

$

2,983,156,057 

$

173,551,913 

$

7,899,082 

$

673,641

$

(15,655,318)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

1,329,112,992 

$

446,499,771 

$

777,284,069 

$

97,256,587 

$

2,970,615 

$

1,915,808

$

3,186,142 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

  Current operating income

$

155,204,170 

$

(178,058)

$

147,254,816 

$

6,273,558 

$

1,232,459 

$

621,395

$

  Capital gains/losses

 

249,202,156 

 

153,102,119 

 

80,218,693 

 

15,879,350 

 

 

1,994

 

  Deferred

 

(5,497,770)

 

(10,819,456)

 

(8,069,068)

 

12,406,344 

 

(137,973)

 

7,233

 

1,115,150 

Total income tax

$

398,908,556 

$

142,104,605 

$

219,404,441 

$

34,559,252 

$

1,094,486 

$

630,622

$

1,115,150 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

Net income - current year

$

930,204,436 

$

304,395,166 

$

557,879,628 

$

62,697,335 

$

1,876,129 

$

1,285,186

$

2,070,992 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

601,970,190 

$

36,770,595 

$

511,573,782 

$

47,282,395 

$

3,072,943 

$

1,206,078

$

2,064,397 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

54.5%

 

727.8%

 

9.1%

 

32.6%

 

-38.9%

 

6.6%

 

 



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 6






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2005

   

 

 

Total

 

CFC

 

CIC GROUP

 

CLIC

 

CFC-I

 

CINFIN

 

ELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

3,237,013,369 

$

$

3,237,519,279 

$

$

$

$

(505,910)

    Life

 

143,808,461 

 

 

 

143,808,461 

 

 

 

    Accident health

 

6,347,605 

 

 

 

6,347,605 

 

 

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(223,269,321)

 

 

(179,470,542)

 

(43,798,779)

 

 

 

      Total earned premium

 

3,163,900,114 

 

 

3,058,048,737 

 

106,357,287 

 

 

 

(505,910)

  Investment income

 

525,984,174 

 

89,320,917 

 

337,906,534 

 

99,323,763 

 

816,858 

 

145,299 

 

(1,529,197)

  Realized gain on investments  

 

60,715,922 

 

2,139,719 

 

39,965,940 

 

17,188,854 

 

 

(78,963)

 

1,500,372 

  Other income

 

16,722,246 

 

9,843,807 

 

3,100,348 

 

3,561,244 

 

9,913,081 

 

2,251,646 

 

(11,947,880)

Total revenues

$

3,767,322,456 

$

101,304,443 

$

3,439,021,559 

$

226,431,148 

$

10,729,939 

$

2,317,982 

$

(12,482,615)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

2,076,864,037 

$

$

1,937,904,906 

$

141,170,430 

$

$

$

(2,211,299)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(165,516,591)

 

 

(125,974,401)

 

(39,542,190)

 

 

 

  Commissions

 

627,048,255 

 

 

592,329,261 

 

34,718,994 

 

 

 

  Other operating expenses

 

289,555,517 

 

18,826,237 

 

249,373,992 

 

28,592,514 

 

4,088,594 

 

463,774 

 

(11,789,594)

  Interest expense

 

51,484,731 

 

51,606,330 

 

 

 

1,536,119 

 

 

(1,657,718)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

71,538,216 

 

919,910 

 

66,678,800 

 

3,205,175 

 

697,083 

 

37,248 

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(18,748,605)

 

 

(4,700,131)

 

(14,048,474)

 

 

 

  Other expenses

 

12,319,865 

 

 

12,319,757 

 

108 

 

 

 

Total expenses

$

2,944,545,425 

$

71,352,477 

$

2,727,932,184 

$

154,096,557 

$

6,321,796 

$

501,022 

$

(15,658,611)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

822,777,031 

$

29,951,966 

$

711,089,375 

$

72,334,591 

$

4,408,143 

$

1,816,960 

$

3,175,996 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Current operating income

$

166,470,189 

$

(27,417,773)

$

178,744,156 

$

12,721,453 

$

1,793,487 

$

628,866 

$

  Capital gains/losses

 

20,964,114 

 

987,574 

 

13,988,078 

 

6,016,099 

 

 

(27,637)

 

  Deferred

 

33,372,538 

 

19,611,570 

 

6,783,359 

 

6,314,644 

 

(458,287)

 

9,653 

 

1,111,599 

Total income tax

$

220,806,841 

$

(6,818,629)

$

199,515,593 

$

25,052,196 

$

1,335,200 

$

610,882 

$

1,111,599 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - current year

$

601,970,190 

$

36,770,595 

$

511,573,782 

$

47,282,395 

$

3,072,943 

$

1,206,078 

$

2,064,397 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

584,021,320 

$

81,024,634 

$

550,420,421 

$

38,180,265 

$

1,548,487 

$

1,227,691 

$

(88,380,178)

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

3.1%

 

-54.6%

 

-7.1%

 

23.8%

 

98.4%

 

-1.8%

 

 



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 7






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2006

   

 

 

Total

 

CFC

 

CIC GROUP

 

CLIC

 

CFC-I

 

CINFIN

 

ELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

844,769,727   

$

$

845,479,506 

$

$

0

$

$

(709,779)

    Life

 

43,271,070 

 

 

 

43,271,070 

 

0

 

 

    Accident health

 

1,703,987 

 

 

 

1,703,987 

 

0

 

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(57,316,655)

 

 

(43,501,451)

 

(13,815,204)

 

0

 

 

      Total earned premium

 

832,428,129 

 

 

801,978,055 

 

31,159,853 

 

0

 

 

(709,779)

  Investment income

 

145,070,824 

 

24,550,476 

 

93,654,263 

 

27,053,035 

 

15,600

 

57,244 

 

(259,793)

  Realized gain on investments  

 

12,324,061 

 

1,862,472 

 

7,323,470 

 

2,533,775 

 

217,084

 

(8,277)

 

395,537 

  Other income

 

4,682,860 

 

2,536,489 

 

723,643 

 

992,375 

 

2,806,674

 

621,838 

 

(2,998,158)

Total revenues

$

994,505,874 

$

28,949,437 

$

903,679,431 

$

61,739,038 

$

3,039,358

$

670,805 

$

(3,572,193)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

550,901,417 

$

$

507,755,637 

$

43,696,578 

$

0

$

$

(550,798)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(18,732,359)

 

 

(5,484,567)

 

(13,247,792)

 

0

 

 

  Commissions

 

152,523,580 

 

 

144,113,098 

 

8,410,482 

 

0

 

 

  Other operating expenses

 

95,572,467 

 

4,960,848 

 

80,278,976 

 

12,192,870 

 

1,461,656

 

230,387 

 

(3,552,270)

  Interest expense

 

13,804,440 

 

12,460,505 

 

496,480 

 

98,000 

 

754,228

 

 

(4,773)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

18,740,630 

 

284,596 

 

17,498,941 

 

935,887 

 

9,316

 

11,889 

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

5,382,898 

 

 

8,862,341 

 

(3,479,444)

 

0

 

 

  Other expenses

 

4,244,123 

 

 

4,244,123 

 

 

0

 

 

Total expenses

$

822,437,196 

$

17,705,949 

$

757,765,029 

$

48,606,582 

$

2,225,200

$

242,276 

$

(4,107,841)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

172,068,678 

$

11,243,488 

$

145,914,402 

$

13,132,456 

$

814,158

$

428,529 

$

535,648 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

  Current operating income

$

36,443,952 

$

3,406,871 

$

31,617,921 

$

953,701 

$

322,879

$

142,580 

$

  Capital gains/losses

 

4,310,014 

 

661,562 

 

2,703,528 

 

947,821 

 

0

 

(2,897)

 

  Deferred

 

895,839 

 

(5,331,071)

 

3,407,423 

 

2,628,721 

 

4,088

 

(799)

 

187,477 

Total income tax

$

41,649,805 

$

(1,262,638)

$

37,728,872 

$

4,530,243 

$

326,967

$

138,884 

$

187,477 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - current year

$

130,418,873 

$

12,506,126 

$

108,185,530 

$

8,602,213 

$

487,191

$

289,645 

$

348,171 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

182,672,096 

$

9,037,150 

$

156,687,048 

$

15,812,588 

$

421,720

$

298,051 

$

415,539 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

-28.6%

 

38.4%

 

-31.0%

 

-45.6%

 

15.5%

 

-2.8%

 

 



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 8






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2005

   

 

 

Total

 

CFC

 

CIC GROUP

 

CLIC

 

CFC-I

 

CINFIN

 

ELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

818,784,982 

$

$

818,847,338 

$

$

$

0

$

(62,356)

    Life

 

40,421,076 

 

 

 

40,421,076 

 

 

0

 

    Accident health

 

1,617,668 

 

 

 

1,617,668 

 

 

0

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(57,661,922)

 

 

(43,810,668)

 

(13,851,254)

 

 

0

 

      Total earned premium

 

803,161,804 

 

 

775,036,670 

 

28,187,490 

 

 

0

 

(62,356)

  Investment income

 

135,899,272 

 

25,026,626 

 

87,474,802 

 

26,013,305 

 

18,665 

 

47,970

 

(2,682,096)

  Realized gain on investments  

 

23,074,193 

 

1,296,380 

 

11,828,897 

 

9,832,034 

 

 

315

 

116,567 

  Other income

 

4,608,018 

 

525,388 

 

651,450 

 

1,015,456 

 

2,638,547 

 

562,192

 

(785,015)

Total revenues

$

966,743,287 

$

26,848,394 

$

874,991,819 

$

65,048,285 

$

2,657,212   

$

610,477

$

(3,412,900)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

448,396,642 

$

$

436,006,402 

$

12,945,476 

$

$

0

$

(555,236)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(6,977,992)

 

 

(18,802,810)

 

11,824,818 

 

 

0

 

  Commissions

 

150,815,497 

 

 

141,873,514 

 

8,941,983 

 

 

0

 

  Other operating expenses

 

76,263,586 

 

3,123,394 

 

63,922,981 

 

10,732,035 

 

1,236,646 

 

145,601

 

(2,897,071)

  Interest expense

 

12,500,619 

 

12,603,698 

 

 

 

496,806 

 

0

 

(599,885)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

19,473,481 

 

1,498,619 

 

17,660,389 

 

32,729 

 

272,244 

 

9,500

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

4,829,527 

 

 

9,111,122 

 

(4,281,595)

 

 

0

 

  Other expenses

 

377,634 

 

 

377,634 

 

 

 

0

 

Total expenses

$

705,678,994 

$

17,225,711 

$

650,149,232 

$

40,195,446 

$

2,005,696 

$

155,101

$

(4,052,192)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

261,064,293 

$

9,622,683 

$

224,842,587 

$

24,852,839 

$

651,516 

$

455,376

$

639,292 

 

              

Provision for income taxes:

              

  Current operating income

$

54,468,303 

$

(13,445,362)

$

63,736,999 

$

3,623,075 

$

405,488 

$

148,103

$

  Capital gains/losses

 

7,136,284 

 

379,862 

 

3,313,516 

 

3,441,212 

 

 

1,694

 

  Deferred

 

16,787,610 

 

13,651,033 

 

1,105,024 

 

1,975,964 

 

(175,692)

 

7,528

 

223,753 

Total income tax

$

78,392,197 

$

585,533 

$

68,155,539 

$

9,040,251 

$

229,796 

$

157,325

$

223,753 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - current year

$

182,672,096 

$

9,037,150 

$

156,687,048 

$

15,812,588 

$

421,720 

$

298,051

$

415,539 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

192,446,086 

$

12,997,334 

$

163,551,413 

$

14,214,169 

$

760,129 

$

333,062

$

589,979 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

-5.1%

 

-30.5%

 

-4.2%

 

11.2%

 

-44.5%

 

-10.5%

 

 



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 9






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Balance Sheets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Dollars in millions except per share data)

 

 

 

December 31,

 

December 31,

 

 

 

 

2006

 

2005

    

(unaudited)

  

Assets

      

   Investments

      

     Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2006—$5,739; 2005—$5,387)

  

$

5,805

$

5,476

     Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2006—$2,621; 2005—$2,128)

   

7,799

 

7,106

     Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2006—$95; 2005—$75)

   

95

 

75

     Other invested assets

   

60

 

45

   Cash and cash equivalents

   

202

 

119

   Investment income receivable

   

121

 

117

   Finance receivable

   

108

 

105

   Premiums receivable

   

1,128

 

1,116

   Reinsurance receivable

   

683

 

681

   Prepaid reinsurance premiums

   

13

 

14

   Deferred policy acquisition costs

   

453

 

429

   Property and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation:  2006—$261; 2005—$232)

 

193

 

168

   Other assets

   

58

 

66

   Separate accounts

   

504

 

486

     Total assets

  

$

17,222

   $  

16,003

       

Liabilities

      

   Insurance reserves

      

     Losses and loss expense

  

$

3,896

$

3,661

     Life policy reserves

   

1,409

 

1,343

   Unearned premiums

   

1,579

 

1,559

   Other liabilities

   

533

 

455

   Deferred income tax

   

1,653

 

1,622

   Notes payable

   

49

 

0

   6.125% senior debenture due 2034

   

371

 

371

   6.90% senior debenture due 2028

   

28

 

28

   6.92% senior debenture due 2028

   

392

 

392

   Separate accounts

   

504

 

486

     Total liabilities

   

10,414

 

9,917

       

Shareholders' equity

      

   Common stock, par value-$2 per share; authorized: 2006-500 million shares, 2005-
     500 million shares; issued: 2006-196 million shares, 2005-194 million shares

   

391

 

389

   Paid-in capital

   

1,015

 

969

   Retained earnings

   

2,786

 

2,088

   Accumulated other comprehensive income

   

3,379

 

3,284

   Treasury stock at cost (2006—23 million shares, 2005—20 million shares)

   

(763)

 

(644)

     Total shareholders' equity

   

6,808

 

6,086

     Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

  

$

17,222

$

16,003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 10






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

10-Year Net Income Reconciliation

 

(Dollars in millions except per share data)

Years ended December 31,

 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

 

   Net income

$

930 

 

$

602 

 

$

584 

 

$

374 

 

$

238 

 

$

193 

 

$

118 

 

$

255 

 

$

242 

 

$

299 

 

   One-time item

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

15 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(25)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Net income before one-time item

 

930 

  

602 

  

584 

  

359 

  

238 

  

193 

  

143 

  

255 

  

242 

  

299 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

434 

 

 

40 

 

 

60 

 

 

(27)

 

 

(62)

 

 

(17)

 

 

(2)

 

 

 

 

43 

 

 

45 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

 

496 

  

562 

  

524 

  

386 

  

300 

  

210 

  

145 

  

255 

  

199 

  

254 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

(113)

 

 

(82)

 

 

(96)

 

 

(63)

 

 

(57)

 

 

(42)

 

 

(33)

 

 

(24)

 

 

(61)

 

 

(17)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item

$

609 

 

$

644 

 

$

620 

 

$

449 

 

$

357 

 

$

252 

 

$

178 

 

$

279 

 

$

260 

 

$

271 

 

 

Diluted per share data

                              

   Net income

$

5.30 

 

$

3.40 

 

$

3.28 

 

$

2.10 

 

$

1.32 

 

$

1.07 

 

$

0.67 

 

$

1.37 

 

$

1.28 

 

$

1.61 

 

   One-time item

 

0.00 

 

 

0.00 

 

 

0.00 

 

 

0.09 

 

 

0.00 

 

 

0.00 

 

 

(0.14)

 

 

0.00 

 

 

0.00 

 

 

0.00 

 

   Net income before one-time item

 

5.30 

  

3.40 

  

3.28 

  

2.01 

  

1.32 

  

1.07 

  

0.81 

  

1.37 

  

1.28 

  

1.61 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

2.48 

 

 

0.23 

 

 

0.34 

 

 

(0.15)

 

 

(0.35)

 

 

(0.10)

 

 

(0.01)

 

 

0.00 

 

 

0.23 

 

 

0.26 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

 

2.82 

  

3.17 

  

2.94 

  

2.16 

  

1.67 

  

1.17 

  

0.82 

  

1.37 

  

1.05 

  

1.35 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

(0.65)

 

 

(0.46)

 

 

(0.54)

 

 

(0.35)

 

 

(0.31)

 

 

(0.23)

 

 

(0.18)

 

 

(0.13)

 

 

(0.32)

 

 

(0.13)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item

$

3.47 

 

$

3.63 

 

$

3.48 

 

$

2.51 

 

$

1.98 

 

$

1.40 

 

$

1.00 

 

$

1.50 

 

$

1.37 

 

$

1.49 

 

 

Return on equity

                              

   Return on average equity

 

14.4 

%

9.8 

%

9.4 

%

6.3 

%

4.1 

%

3.2 

%

2.1 

%

4.6 

%

4.7 

%

7.6 

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(0.3)

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.4 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   Return on average equity before one-time item

 

14.4 

%

9.8 

%

9.4 

%

6.0 

%

4.1 

%

3.2 

%

2.5 

%

4.6 

%

4.7 

%

7.6 

%

 

Return on equity based on comprehensive income

                              

   ROE based on comprehensive income

 

15.9 

%

1.6 

%

4.6 

%

13.8 

%

(4.0)

%

2.5 

%

13.1 

%

1.9 

%

19.6 

%

42.6 

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(0.3)

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.4 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   ROE based on comprehensive income before one-time item

 

15.9 

%

1.6 

%

4.6 

%

13.5 

%

(4.0)

%

2.5 

%

13.5 

%

1.9 

%

19.6 

%

42.6 

%

 

   Investment income, net of expenses

$

570 

 

$

526 

 

$

492

 

$

465

 

$

445

 

$

421

 

$

415

 

$

387

 

$

368

 

$

349

 

   BOLI

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

(5)

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

   Investment income before BOLI

$

570 

 

$

526 

 

$

492

 

$

465

 

$

445

 

$

421

 

$

410

 

$

387

 

$

368

 

$

349

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 11






 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

 

(In millions except per share data)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

                             

   Net income

$

130 

$

115 

$

132 

$

552 

$

183 

$

117 

$

158 

$

144 

$

684 

$

302 

$

800 

$

419 

$

930 

$

602 

 

   One-time item

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Net income before one-time item

 

130 

 

115 

 

132 

 

552 

 

183 

 

117 

 

158 

 

144 

 

684 

 

302 

 

800 

 

419 

 

930 

 

602 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

 

 

 

421 

 

16 

 

10 

 

 

 

426 

 

14 

 

427 

 

24 

 

434 

 

40 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

 

122 

 

115 

 

126 

 

131 

 

167 

 

107 

 

150 

 

138 

 

258 

 

288 

 

373 

 

395 

 

496 

 

562 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

(29)

 

(18)

 

(41)

 

(26)

 

(28)

 

(43)

 

(9)

 

(2)

 

(67)

 

(11)

 

(85)

 

(54)

 

(113)

 

(82)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and
      one-time item

$

151 

$

133 

$

167 

$

157 

$

195 

$

150 

$

159 

$

140 

$

325 

$

299 

$

458 

$

449 

$

609 

$

644 

 
                              

Diluted per share data

                             

   Net income

$

0.75 

$

0.66 

$

0.76 

$

3.13 

$

1.03 

$

0.66 

$

0.89 

$

0.81 

$

3.90 

$

1.70 

$

2.13 

$

2.37 

$

5.30 

$

3.40 

 

   One-time item

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

   Net income before one-time item

 

0.75 

 

0.66 

 

0.76 

 

3.13 

 

1.03 

 

0.66 

 

0.89 

 

0.81 

 

3.90 

 

1.70 

 

2.13 

 

2.37 

 

5.30 

 

3.40 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

0.05 

 

0.00 

 

0.04 

 

2.39 

 

0.09 

 

0.05 

 

0.05 

 

0.03 

 

2.43 

 

0.08 

 

2.43 

 

0.14 

 

2.48 

 

0.23 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

 

0.70 

 

0.66 

 

0.72 

 

0.74 

 

0.94 

 

0.61 

 

0.84 

 

0.78 

 

1.47 

 

1.62 

 

4.56 

 

2.23 

 

2.82 

 

3.17 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

(0.16)

 

(0.10)

 

(0.24)

 

(0.14)

 

(0.16)

 

(0.24)

 

(0.05)

 

(0.01)

 

(0.38)

 

(0.06)

 

(0.48)

 

(0.30)

 

(0.65)

 

(0.46)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and
      one-time item

$

0.86 

$

0.76 

$

0.96 

$

0.88 

$

1.10 

$

0.85 

$

0.89 

$

0.79 

$

1.85 

$

1.68 

$

5.04 

$

2.53 

$

3.47 

$

3.63 

 
 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

equal the full year as each is computed independently.




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 12





Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Top Holdings – Common Stocks

         

(Dollars in millions)

As of and for the year ended December 31, 2006

 

Actual
cost

Fair
value

Percent of
fair value

Earned dividend
income

Fifth Third Bancorp

$

283

$

2,979

39.4

%

$

115

Exxon Mobil Corporation

 

133

 

687

9.1

  

11

The Procter & Gamble Company

 

192

 

469

6.2

  

8

National City Corporation

 

171

 

358

4.7

  

15

PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

 

62

 

348

4.6

  

10

AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.

 

60

 

266

3.5

  

12

U.S. Bancorp

 

150

 

251

3.3

  

9

Johnson & Johnson

 

194

 

238

3.1

  

5

Wyeth

 

62

 

225

3.0

  

4

Wells Fargo & Company

 

96

 

193

2.5

  

6

Piedmont Natural Gas Company, Inc.

 

64

 

151

2.0

  

5

Sky Financial Group, Inc.

 

91

 

133

1.8

  

4

FirstMerit Corporation

 

55

 

129

1.7

  

6

All other common stock holdings

 

789

 

1,137

15.1

  

31

   Total

$

2,402

$

7,564

100.0

%

$

241

         




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 13






Cincinnati Insurance Group

GAAP Statements of Income

 
 

 

For the Three Months Ended December 31,

 

 

For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

      

 

       

 

  Premiums earned:

      

 

       

 

    Property casualty

$

845,479,506 

$

818,847,338 

$

26,632,168 

3.25 

 

$

3,321,610,148 

$

 3,237,519,279 

$

 84,090,869 

2.60 

    Life

 

 

 

NA 

  

 

 

NA 

    Accident health

 

 

 

NA 

  

 

 

NA 

    Premiums ceded  

 

(43,501,451)

 

(43,810,668)

 

309,217 

0.71 

  

(157,587,693)

 

(179,470,542)

 

21,882,849 

12.19 

      Total premiums earned  

 

801,978,055 

 

775,036,670 

 

26,941,385 

3.48 

  

3,164,022,455 

 

3,058,048,737 

 

105,973,718 

3.47 

  Investment income

 

93,654,263 

 

87,474,802 

 

6,179,461 

7.06 

  

367,304,753 

 

337,906,534 

 

29,398,219 

8.70 

  Realized gain on investments

 

7,323,470 

 

11,828,897 

 

(4,505,427)

(38.09)

  

225,846,088 

 

39,965,940 

 

185,880,148 

465.10 

  Other income

 

723,643 

 

651,450 

 

72,193 

11.08 

  

3,266,830 

 

3,100,348 

 

166,482 

5.37 

      Total revenues

$

903,679,431 

$

874,991,819 

$

28,687,612 

3.28 

 

$

3,760,440,126 

$

3,439,021,559 

$

321,418,567 

9.35 

 

      

 

       

 

Benefits & expenses:

      

 

       

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

507,755,637 

$

436,006,402 

$

 71,749,235 

16.46 

 

$

2,085,421,315 

$

1,937,904,906 

$

147,516,409 

7.61 

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(5,484,567)

 

(18,802,810)

 

13,318,243 

70.83 

  

(77,446,382)

 

(125,974,401)

 

48,528,019 

38.52 

  Commissions

 

144,113,098 

 

141,873,514 

 

2,239,584 

1.58 

  

596,188,393 

 

592,329,261 

 

3,859,132 

0.65 

  Other operating expenses

 

80,278,976 

 

63,922,981 

 

16,355,995 

25.59 

  

292,709,156 

 

249,373,992 

 

43,335,164 

17.38 

  Interest expense

 

496,480 

 

 

496,480 

NA 

  

888,930 

 

 

888,930 

NA 

  Taxes, licenses & fees  

 

17,498,941 

 

17,660,389 

 

(161,448)

(0.91)

  

72,695,021 

 

66,678,800 

 

6,016,221 

9.02 

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

8,862,341 

 

9,111,122 

 

(248,781)

(2.73)

  

(3,642,356)

 

(4,700,131)

 

1,057,775 

22.51 

  Other expenses  

 

4,244,123 

 

377,634 

 

3,866,489 

1,023.87 

  

16,341,980 

 

12,319,757 

 

4,022,223 

32.65 

     Total expenses

$

757,765,029 

$

650,149,232 

$

107,615,797 

16.55 

 

$

2,983,156,057 

$

2,727,932,184 

$

255,223,873 

9.36 

     Income before income taxes

$

145,914,402 

$

224,842,587 

$

(78,928,185)

(35.10)

 

$

777,284,069 

$

711,089,375 

$

66,194,694 

9.31 

 

      

 

       

 

Provision for income taxes:

      

 

       

 

Current operating income

$

31,617,921 

$

63,736,999 

$

(32,119,078)

(50.39)

 

$

147,254,816 

$

178,744,156 

$

(31,489,340)

(17.62)

Current realized investments gains and losses

 

2,703,528 

 

3,313,516 

 

(609,988)

(18.41)

  

80,218,693 

 

13,988,078 

 

66,230,615 

473.48 

  Deferred

 

3,407,423 

 

1,105,024 

 

2,302,399 

208.36 

  

(8,069,068)

 

6,783,359 

 

(14,852,427)

(218.95)

     Total income taxes

$

37,728,872 

$

68,155,539 

$

(30,426,667)

(44.64)

 

$

219,404,441 

$

199,515,593 

$

19,888,848 

9.97 

 

      

 

       

 

     Net income

$

108,185,530 

$

156,687,048 

$

(48,501,518)

(30.95)

 

$

557,879,628 

$

511,573,782 

$

46,305,846 

9.05 








2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 14






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Statutory Statements of Income

 
 

 

For the Three Months Ended December 31,

 

For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,

 

 

2006

2005

% Change

 

2006

2005

% Change

Underwriting income

 

   

 

    

 

Net premiums written

$

755,245,797 

$

727,352,851 

3.83 

$

3,178,105,582

 $

3,076,183,237 

3.31 

Unearned premiums increase

 

(46,732,257)

 

(47,683,819)

 

 

14,083,124

 

18,134,500 

 

Earned premiums

 

801,978,054 

 

775,036,669 

3.48 

 

3,164,022,457

 

3,058,048,736 

3.47 

 

 

   

 

    

 

Losses incurred

$

379,133,413 

$

347,956,479 

8.96 

$

1,640,711,403

 $

1,505,591,684 

8.97 

Allocated loss expenses incurred

 

71,979,236 

 

24,759,130 

190.72 

 

183,420,723

 

140,414,792 

30.63 

Unallocated loss expenses incurred

 

51,158,422 

 

44,487,984 

14.99 

 

183,842,807

 

165,924,030 

10.80 

Other underwriting expenses incurred

 

246,289,916 

 

229,664,309 

7.24 

 

948,113,154

 

904,044,693 

4.87 

Workers compensation dividend incurred

 

5,135,756 

 

2,929,147 

75.33 

 

17,343,175

 

10,419,002 

66.46 

 

    

 

    

 

   Total underwriting deductions

$

753,696,744 

$

649,797,049 

15.99 

$

2,973,431,262

 $

2,726,394,200 

9.06 

Net underwriting gain (loss)

$

48,281,310 

$

125,239,621 

(61.45)

$

190,591,195

 $

331,654,536 

(42.53)

 

    

 

    

 

Investment income

    

 

    

 

Gross investment income earned

$

94,867,708 

$

88,574,194 

7.11 

$

371,912,860

 $

342,027,603 

8.74 

Net investment income earned

 

93,654,263 

 

87,474,802 

7.06 

 

367,304,753

 

337,906,533 

8.70 

Net realized capital gains

 

4,677,265 

 

5,480,142 

(14.65)

 

146,526,143

 

37,239,021 

293.47 

Net investment gains (excl. subs)

$

98,331,529 

$

92,954,945 

5.78 

$

513,830,897

 $

375,145,555 

36.97 

Dividend from subsidiary

 

12,000,000 

  

 

 

26,000,000

  

 

   Net investment gains

$

110,331,529 

$

92,954,945 

18.69 

$

539,830,897

 $

375,145,555 

43.90 

 

    

 

    

 

 

    

 

    

 

   Other income

$

618,259 

$

(192,707)

N/A 

$

2,488,123

 $

(2,195,078)

N/A 

 

    

 

    

 

Net income before federal income taxes

$

159,231,098 

$

218,001,858 

(26.96)

$

732,910,214

 $

704,605,013 

4.02 

Federal and foreign income taxes incurred

$

30,398,414 

$

46,998,734 

(35.32)

$

143,561,772

 $

172,680,453 

(16.86)

   Net income (statutory)

$

128,832,684 

$

171,003,124 

(24.66)

$

589,348,442

 $

531,924,560 

10.80 

 

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate

regulatory bodies.




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 15






Cincinnati Insurance Group - Consolidated

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data – see Page 25 for adjusted data)

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Net premiums written

$

755

 

$

780

 

$

814

 

$

829

 

$

727

 

$

761

 

$

791

 

$

797

 

$

1,643

 

$

1,588

 

$

2,423

 

$

2,349

 

$

3,178

 

$

3,076

 

Net premiums earned

$

802

 

$

791

 

$

793

 

$

778

 

$

775

 

$

765

 

$

765

 

$

753

 

$

1,571

 

$

1,518

 

$

2,362

 

$

2,283

 

$

3,164

 

$

3,058

 
                                           

Losses paid

$

375

 

$

366

 

$

379

 

$

346

 

$

378

 

$

348

 

$

336

 

$

345

 

$

727

  

681

 

$

1,094

 

$

1,029

 

$

1,469

 

$

1,407

 

Loss reserve change

 

4

  

66

  

60

  

42

  

(30)

  

72

  

23

  

33

 

 

101

  

57

  

167

  

129

 

 

172

  

99

 

   Total losses incurred

$

379

 

$

433

 

$

439

 

$

388

 

$

348

 

$

420

 

$

359

 

$

378

 

$

828

 

$

738

 

$

1,261

 

$

1,158

 

$

1,641

 

$

1,506

 

Allocated loss expense paid

 

37

  

33

  

31

  

27

  

32

  

30

  

29

  

25

 

 

59

  

54

  

91

  

84

 

 

127

  

116

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

 

35

  

8

  

7

  

6

  

(7)

  

10

  

11

  

11

 

 

13

  

21

  

20

  

31

 

 

56

  

24

 

   Total allocated loss expense incurred

$

72

 

$

41

 

$

38

 

$

33

 

$

25

 

$

40

 

$

40

 

$

36

 

$

72

 

$

75

 

$

111

 

$

115

 

$

183

 

$

140

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

 

49

  

39

  

39

  

40

  

46

  

38

  

37

  

34

  

78

  

71

  

117

  

108

 

 

167

  

155

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

 

2

  

4

  

3

  

10

  

(2)

  

3

  

0

  

10

  

12

  

10

  

15

  

13

 

 

17

  

11

 

   Total unallocated loss expense incurred

$

51

 

$

43

 

$

42

 

$

50

 

$

44

 

$

41

 

$

37

 

$

44

 

$

90

 

$

81

 

$

132

 

$

121

 

$

184

 

$

166

 

   Underwriting expenses incurred

 

251

 

 

243

 

 

232

 

 

240

 

 

233

 

 

237

 

 

234

 

 

212

 

 

471

  

446

  

715

  

682

 

 

965

  

914

 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

$

49

 

$

31

 

$

42

 

$

67

 

$

125

 

$

27

 

$

95

 

$

83

 

$

110

 

$

178

 

$

143

 

$

207

 

$

191

 

$

332

 
                                           

Loss Detail

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

$

63

 

$

61

 

$

46

 

$

32

 

$

38

 

$

27

 

$

28

 

$

43

 

$

79

 

$

70

 

$

139

 

$

98

 

$

203

 

$

137

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

 

43

  

49

  

48

  

38

  

36

  

35

  

37

  

32

 

 

86

  

69

  

135

  

104

 

 

178

  

139

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

 

64

  

49

  

52

  

49

  

54

  

38

  

40

  

36

 

 

102

  

76

  

151

  

115

 

 

215

  

168

 

   Large losses subtotal

$

170

 

$

159

 

$

146

 

$

119

 

$

128

 

$

100

 

$

105

 

$

111

 

$

267

 

$

215

 

$

425

 

$

317

 

$

596

 

$

444

 

IBNR incurred

 

(57)

  

11

  

(5)

  

6

  

(58)

  

20

  

13

  

13

 

 

1

  

27

 

 

11

  

47

 

 

(47)

  

(11)

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

 

44

  

27

  

64

  

40

  

44

  

66

  

14

  

2

 

 

103

  

17

 

 

131

  

83

 

 

175

  

127

 

Remaining incurred

 

222

 

 

235

 

 

234

 

 

223

 

 

234

 

 

233

 

 

226

 

 

252

 

 

457

 

 

478

 

 

694

 

 

711

 

 

917

 

 

946

 

   Total losses incurred

$

379

 

$

432

 

$

439

 

$

388

 

$

348

 

$

419

 

$

358

 

$

378

 

$

828

 

$

737

 

$

1,261

 

$

1,158

 

$

1,641

 

$

1,506

 

                                           

Ratio Data

                        

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

Loss ratio

 

47.2

%

 

54.8

%

 

55.4

%

 

50.0

%

 

44.9

%

 

54.9

%

 

46.9

%

 

50.3

%

 

52.7

%

 

48.6

%

 

53.4

%

 

50.7

%

 

51.9

  

49.2

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

 

9.0

  

5.0

  

4.8

  

4.3

  

3.2

  

5.3

  

5.2

  

4.7

 

 

4.6

  

5.0

 

 

4.7

  

5.1

 

 

5.8

  

4.6

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

 

6.4

  

5.4

  

5.1

  

6.4

  

5.7

  

5.3

  

4.8

  

5.8

 

 

5.7

  

5.3

 

 

5.6

  

5.3

 

 

5.8

  

5.4

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

 

33.3

 

 

31.2

 

 

28.4

 

 

28.9

 

 

32.0

 

 

31.1

 

 

29.6

 

 

26.6

 

 

28.7

 

 

28.0

 

 

29.5

 

 

29.0

 

 

30.4

 

 

29.7

 

   Statutory combined ratio

 

95.9

%

 

96.4

%

 

93.7

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.5

%

 

87.4

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

 

93.9

  

88.9

%

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
     catastrophes

 

90.4

%

 

92.9

%

 

85.7

%

 

84.6

%

 

80.2

%

 

88.0

%

 

84.6

%

 

87.1

%

 

85.1

%

 

85.8

%

 

87.7

%

 

86.5

%

 

88.4

 

 

84.9

%

                                           

Loss Ratio

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

 

7.9

%

 

7.6

%

 

6.0

%

 

4.2

%

 

5.0

%

 

3.6

%

 

3.6

%

 

5.7

%

 

5.1

%

 

4.7

%

 

5.9

%

 

4.3

%

 

6.4

%

 

4.5

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

 

5.3

  

6.2

  

6.0

  

4.9

  

4.5

  

4.6

  

4.8

  

4.3

 

 

5.5

  

4.5

 

 

5.7

  

4.5

 

 

5.6

  

4.5

 

Development and case reserve increases
   of $250,000 or more

 

8.0

 

 

6.3

 

 

7.4

 

 

6.4

 

 

6.9

 

 

5.1

 

 

5.2

 

 

4.7

 

 

6.9

 

 

5.0

 

 

6.4

 

 

5.0

 

 

6.8

 

 

5.5

 

   Large losses subtotal

 

21.2

%

 

20.1

%

 

19.4

%

 

15.5

%

 

16.4

%

 

13.3

%

 

13.6

%

 

14.7

%

 

17.5

%

 

14.2

%

 

18.0

%

 

13.8

%

 

18.8

%

 

14.5

%

IBNR incurred

 

(7.2)

  

1.3

  

1.3

  

0.8

  

(7.4)

  

2.5

  

1.8

  

1.8

 

 

1.1

  

1.8

 

 

0.5

  

2.0

 

 

(1.4)

  

(0.4)

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

 

5.5

  

3.5

  

8.0

  

5.0

  

5.6

  

8.6

  

1.9

  

0.3

 

 

6.5

  

1.1

 

 

5.5

  

3.6

 

 

5.5

  

4.1

 

Remaining incurred

 

27.7

 

 

29.9

 

 

26.7

 

 

28.6

 

 

30.3

 

 

30.6

 

 

29.6

 

 

33.5

 

 

27.6

 

 

31.5

 

 

29.4

 

 

31.2

 

 

29.0

 

 

31.0

 

   Total loss ratio

 

47.2

%

 

54.8

%

 

55.4

%

 

49.9

%

 

44.9

%

 

55.0

%

 

46.9

%

 

50.3

%

 

52.7

%

 

48.6

%

 

53.4

%

 

50.6

%

 

51.9

%

 

49.2

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss Claim Count

                        

 

     

 

     

 

     

Losses $1 million or more

 

33

  

32

  

26

  

14

  

24

  

21

  

17

  

15

 

 

40

  

32

 

 

72

  

53

 

 

105

  

77

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

 

97

  

103

  

88

  

95

  

92

  

81

  

93

  

73

 

 

183

  

166

 

 

286

  

247

 

 

383

  

339

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

 

94

 

 

104

 

 

85

 

 

85

 

 

100

 

 

72

 

 

61

 

 

67

 

 

170

 

 

128

 

 

274

 

 

200

 

 

368

 

 

300

 

   Large losses total

 

224

 

 

239

 

 

199

 

 

194

 

 

216

 

 

174

 

 

171

 

 

155

 

 

393

 

 

326

 

 

632

 

 

500

 

 

856

 

 

716

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

NM – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed by the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 16









Cincinnati Insurance Group - Commercial Lines

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 26 for adjusted data)

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Net premiums written

$

589

 

$

582

 

$

603

 

$

668

 

$

548 

 

$

546

 

$

567

 

$

629

 

$

1,271

 

$

1,195

 

$

1,853

 

$

1,741

 

$

2,442

 

$

2,290

 

Net premiums earned

$

619

 

$

602

 

$

599

 

$

582

 

$

576 

 

$

564

 

$

563

 

$

551

 

$

1,181

 

$

1,114

 

$

1,783

 

$

1,678

 

$

2,402

 

$

2,254

 
                         

 

     

 

     

 

     

Losses paid

$

256

 

$

247

 

$

251

 

$

234

 

$

256 

 

$

228

 

$

214

 

$

219

 

$

485

 

$

434

 

$

732

 

$

662

 

$

988

 

$

918

 

Loss reserve change

 

5

  

63

  

53

  

53

  

(19)

  

67

  

32

  

51

 

 

105

  

84

 

 

168

  

151

 

 

174

  

132

 

   Total losses incurred

$

261

 

$

310

 

$

304

 

$

287

 

$

237 

 

$

295

 

$

246

 

$

270

 

$

590

 

$

518

 

$

900

 

$

813

 

$

1,162

 

$

1,050

 

Allocated loss expense paid

 

33

  

30

  

28

  

24

  

28 

  

27

  

26

  

22

 

 

52

  

48

 

 

81

  

75

 

 

114

  

103

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

 

37

  

7

  

6

  

5

  

(1)

  

9

  

10

  

10

 

 

12

  

20

 

 

19

  

29

 

 

56

  

28

 

   Total allocated loss expense incurred

$

70

 

$

37

 

$

34

 

$

29

 

$

27 

 

$

36

 

$

36

 

$

32

 

$

64

 

$

68

 

$

100

 

$

104

 

$

170

 

$

131

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

 

34

  

27

  

27

  

28

  

31 

  

26

  

25

  

22

 

 

54

  

48

 

 

81

  

73

 

 

116

  

105

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

 

3

  

3

  

3

  

10

  

(1)

  

3

  

1

  

10

 

 

13

  

11

 

 

15

  

13

 

 

18

  

12

 

   Total unallocated loss expense incurred

$

37

 

$

30

 

$

30

 

$

38

 

$

30 

 

$

29

 

$

26

 

$

32

 

$

67

 

$

59

 

$

96

 

$

86

 

$

134

 

$

117

 

   Underwriting expenses incurred

 

194

 

 

185

 

 

172

 

 

179

 

 

182 

 

 

173

 

 

165

 

 

156

  

349

  

321

  

536

  

493

  

727

  

675

 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

$

57

 

$

40

 

$

59

 

$

49

 

$

100 

 

$

31

 

$

90

 

$

61

 

$

111

 

$

148

 

$

151

 

$

182

 

$

209

 

$

281

 
                                           

Loss Detail

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

    

Losses $1 million or more

$

59

 

$

51

 

$

40

 

$

30

 

$

31 

 

$

24

 

$

26

 

$

43

 

$

70

 

$

68

 

$

121

 

$

93

 

$

180

 

$

124

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

 

35

  

37

  

39

  

28

  

28 

  

26

  

29

  

22

 

 

67

  

51

 

 

104

  

77

 

 

139

  

105

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

 

58

  

45

  

45

  

44

  

47 

  

35

  

38

  

29

 

 

90

  

67

 

 

135

  

103

 

 

193

  

149

 

   Large losses subtotal

$

152

 

$

133

 

$

124

 

$

102

 

$

106 

 

$

85

 

$

93

 

$

94

 

$

227

 

$

186

 

$

360

 

$

273

 

$

512

 

$

378

 

IBNR incurred

 

(45)

  

10

  

(6)

  

6

  

(36)

  

17

  

12

  

12

 

 

0

  

24

 

 

10

  

41

 

 

(36)

  

6

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

 

11

  

14

  

34

  

30

  

14 

  

53

  

2

  

6

 

 

63

  

9

 

 

77

  

62

 

 

89

  

76

 

Remaining incurred

 

143

 

 

153

 

 

152

 

 

149

 

 

153 

 

 

139

 

 

139

 

 

159

 

 

300

 

 

298

 

 

453

 

 

437

 

 

597

 

 

590

 

   Total losses incurred

$

261

 

$

310

 

$

304

 

$

287

 

$

237 

 

$

294

 

$

246

 

$

271

 

$

590

 

$

517

 

$

900

 

$

813

 

$

1,162

 

$

1,050

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ratio Data

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

    

Loss ratio

 

42.2

%

 

51.5

%

 

50.7

%

 

49.2

%

 

41.1 

%

 

52.4

%

 

43.8

%

 

49.1

%

 

50.0

%

 

46.5

%

 

50.5

%

 

48.4

%

 

48.4

%

 

46.6

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

 

11.3

  

6.0

  

5.7

  

5.1

  

4.7 

  

6.5

  

6.4

  

5.8

 

 

5.4

  

6.1

 

 

5.6

  

6.2

 

 

7.1

  

5.8

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

 

6.0

  

5.0

  

4.9

  

6.5

  

5.3 

  

5.1

  

4.6

  

5.9

 

 

5.7

  

5.2

 

 

5.4

  

5.2

 

 

5.5

  

5.2

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

 

32.9

 

 

31.6

 

 

28.3

 

 

26.8

 

 

33.2 

 

 

31.6

 

 

29.1

 

 

24.7

 

 

27.5

 

 

26.8

 

 

28.8

 

 

28.3

 

 

29.8

 

 

29.5

 

   Statutory combined ratio

 

92.4

%

 

94.1

%

 

89.6

%

 

87.6

%

 

84.3 

%

 

95.6

%

 

83.9

%

 

85.5

%

 

88.6

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3

%

 

88.1

%

 

90.8

%

 

87.1

%

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
      catastrophes

 

90.5

%

 

91.7

%

 

84.0

%

 

82.5

%

 

81.9 

%

 

86.0

%

 

83.5

%

 

84.4

%

 

83.3

%

 

83.8

%

 

86.0

%

 

84.5

%

 

87.1

%

 

83.7

%

                                           

Loss Ratio

                        

 

     

 

     

 

     

Losses $1 million or more

 

9.6

%

 

8.5

%

 

6.6

%

 

5.2

%

 

5.4 

%

 

4.3

%

 

4.5

%

 

7.8

%

 

5.9

%

 

6.1

%

 

6.8

%

 

5.5

%

 

7.5

%

 

5.5

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

 

5.6

  

6.1

  

6.5

  

4.8

  

4.8 

  

4.7

  

5.2

  

3.9

 

 

5.7

  

4.5

 

 

5.8

  

4.6

 

 

5.8

  

4.7

 

Development and case reserve increases
   of $250,000 or more

 

9.4

 

 

7.5

 

 

7.6

 

 

7.6

 

 

8.1 

 

 

6.3

 

 

6.8

 

 

5.3

 

 

7.6

 

 

6.0

 

 

7.6

 

 

6.1

 

 

8.0

 

 

6.6

 

   Large losses subtotal

 

24.6

%

 

22.1

%

 

20.7

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.3 

%

 

15.3

%

 

16.5

%

 

17.0

%

 

19.2

%

 

16.6

%

 

20.2

%

 

16.2

%

 

21.3

%

 

16.8

%

IBNR incurred

 

(7.3)

  

1.7

  

(1.0)

  

1.0

  

(6.1)

  

2.9

  

2.2

  

2.2

 

 

0.0

  

2.2

 

 

0.6

  

2.4

 

 

(1.5)

  

0.2

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

 

1.9

  

2.3

  

5.6

  

5.1

  

2.4 

  

9.5

  

0.4

  

1.1

 

 

5.3

  

0.8

 

 

4.3

  

3.7

 

 

3.7

  

3.4

 

Remaining incurred

 

23.0

 

 

25.4

 

 

25.4

 

 

25.6

 

 

26.5 

 

 

24.7

 

 

24.7

 

 

28.8

 

 

25.5

 

 

26.8

 

 

25.4

 

 

26.1

 

 

24.9

 

 

26.2

 

   Total loss ratio

 

42.2

%

 

51.5

%

 

50.7

%

 

49.3

%

 

41.1 

%

 

52.4

%

 

43.8

%

 

49.1

%

 

50.0

%

 

46.4

%

 

50.5

%

 

48.4

%

 

48.4

%

 

46.6

%

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

NM - Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 17







Cincinnati Insurance Group - Personal Lines

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 27 for adjusted data)

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Net premiums written

$

166

 

$

198

 

$

211

 

$

161

 

$

179

 

$

215

 

$

224

 

$

168

 

$

372

 

$

393

 

$

570

 

$

608

 

$

736

 

$

786

 

Net premiums earned

$

183

 

$

189

 

$

194

 

$

196

 

$

199

 

$

201

 

$

202

 

$

202

 

$

390

 

$

404

 

$

579

 

$

605

 

$

762

 

$

804

 
                         

 

     

 

     

 

     

Losses paid

$

119

 

$

119

 

$

128

 

$

112

 

$

122

 

$

120

 

$

122

 

$

126

 

$

242

 

$

247

 

$

362

 

$

367

 

$

481

 

$

489

 

Loss reserve change

 

(1)

  

3

  

7

  

(11)

  

(11)

  

5

  

(9)

  

(18)

 

 

(4)

  

(27)

 

 

(1)

  

(22)

 

 

(2)

  

(33)

 

   Total losses incurred

$

118

 

$

122

 

$

135

 

$

101

 

$

111

 

$

125

 

$

113

 

$

108

 

$

238

 

$

220

 

$

361

 

$

345

 

$

479

 

$

456

 

Allocated loss expense paid

 

4

  

3

  

3

  

3

  

4

  

3

  

3

  

3

 

 

7

  

6

 

 

10

  

9

 

 

13

  

13

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

 

(2)

  

1

  

1

  

1

  

(6)

  

1

  

1

  

1

 

 

1

  

1

 

 

1

  

2

 

 

0

  

(4)

 

   Total allocated loss expense incurred

$

2

 

$

4

 

$

4

 

$

4

 

$

(2)

 

$

4

 

$

4

 

$

4

 

$

8

 

$

7

 

$

11

 

$

11

 

$

13

 

$

9

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

 

15

  

12

  

12

  

12

  

15

  

12

  

12

  

12

 

 

24

  

23

 

 

36

  

35

 

 

51

  

50

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

 

(1)

  

1

  

0

  

0

  

(1)

  

0

  

(1)

  

0

 

 

(1)

  

(1)

 

 

0

  

0

 

 

(1)

  

(1)

 

   Total unallocated loss expense incurred

$

14

 

$

13

 

$

12

 

$

12

 

$

14

 

$

12

 

$

11

 

$

12

 

$

23

 

$

22

 

$

36

 

$

35

 

$

50

 

$

49

 

   Underwriting expenses incurred

 

57

 

 

58

 

 

60

 

 

61

 

 

51

 

 

64

 

 

69

 

 

56

  

122

  

125

  

179

  

189

  

238

  

239

 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

$

(8)

 

$

(8)

 

$

(17)

 

$

18

 

$

25

 

$

(4)

 

$

5

 

$

22

 

$

(1)

 

$

30

 

$

(8)

 

$

25

 

$

(18)

 

$

51

 
                                           

Loss Detail

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

    

Losses $1 million or more

$

4

 

$

10

 

$

6

 

$

2

 

$

7

 

$

3

 

$

2

 

$

0

 

$

9

 

$

2

 

$

18

 

$

5

 

$

23

 

$

13

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

 

8

  

12

  

9

  

10

  

8

  

9

  

8

  

10

 

 

19

  

18

 

 

31

  

27

 

 

39

  

34

 

Development and case reserve increases

   of $250,000 or more

 

6

 

 

4

 

 

7

 

 

5

 

 

7

 

 

3

 

 

2

 

 

7

 

 

12

 

 

9

 

 

16

 

 

12

 

 

22

 

 

19

 

   Large losses subtotal

$

18

 

$

26

 

$

22

 

$

17

 

$

22

 

$

15

 

$

12

 

$

17

 

$

40

 

$

29

 

$

65

 

$

44

 

$

84

 

$

66

 

IBNR incurred

 

(12)

  

1

  

1

  

0

  

(22)

  

3

  

1

  

1

 

 

1

  

3

 

 

1

  

6

 

 

(11)

  

(17)

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

 

33

  

13

  

30

  

10

  

30

  

13

  

12

  

(4)

 

 

40

  

8

 

 

54

  

21

 

 

86

  

51

 

Remaining incurred

 

79

 

 

82

 

 

82

 

 

74

 

 

81

 

 

94

 

 

87

 

 

93

 

 

157

 

 

180

 

 

241

 

 

274

 

 

320

 

 

356

 

   Total losses incurred

$

118

 

$

122

 

$

135

 

$

101

 

$

111

 

$

125

 

$

112

 

$

107

 

$

238

 

$

220

 

$

361

 

$

345

 

$

479

 

$

456

 

                                           

Ratio Data

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

    

Loss ratio

 

64.4

%

 

65.1

%

 

70.0

%

 

52.2

%

 

55.9

%

 

62.2

%

 

55.6

%

 

53.3

%

 

61.1

%

 

54.4

%

 

62.4

%

 

57.0

%

 

62.9

%

 

56.7

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

 

1.2

  

1.9

  

2.1

  

1.7

  

(1.2)

  

2.0

  

1.8

  

1.8

 

 

1.9

  

1.8

 

 

2.0

  

1.9

 

 

1.7

  

1.1

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

 

7.8

  

6.6

  

5.8

  

6.2

  

7.0

  

6.1

  

5.5

  

5.7

 

 

6.0

  

5.6

 

 

6.1

  

5.8

 

 

6.6

  

6.1

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

 

34.3

 

 

30.4

 

 

28.5

 

 

38.0

 

 

28.4

 

 

29.7

 

 

30.7

 

 

33.2

 

 

32.6

 

 

31.8

 

 

31.8

 

 

31.0

 

 

32.4

 

 

30.4

 

   Statutory combined ratio

 

107.7

%

 

104.0

%

 

106.4

%

 

98.1

%

 

90.1

%

 

100.0

%

 

93.6

%

 

94.0

%

 

101.6

%

 

93.6

%

 

102.3

%

 

95.7

%

 

103.6

%

 

94.3

%

   Statutory combined ratio excluding

     catastrophes

 

89.8

%

 

96.9

%

 

90.8

%

 

93.1

%

 

75.2

%

 

93.6

%

 

87.4

%

 

96.0

%

 

91.3

%

 

91.5

%

 

93.1

%

 

92.2

%

 

92.3

%

 

88.0

%

                                           

Loss Ratio

                        

 

     

 

     

 

     

Losses $1 million or more

 

2.2

%

 

5.0

%

 

3.5

%

 

1.2

%

 

3.6

%

 

1.5

%

 

1.1

%

 

0.0

%

 

2.3

%

 

0.6

%

 

3.2

%

 

0.9

%

 

3.0

%

 

1.6

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

 

4.5

  

6.4

  

4.4

  

5.3

  

3.9

  

4.3

  

3.7

  

5.2

 

 

4.9

  

4.4

 

 

5.4

  

4.4

 

 

5.2

  

4.3

 

Development and case reserve increases

  of $250,000 or more

 

3.4

  

2.1

  

3.5

  

2.7

  

3.5

  

1.7

  

1.0

  

3.2

 

 

3.1

  

2.1

 

 

2.8

  

2.0

 

 

2.9

  

2.4

 

   Large losses subtotal

 

10.1

%

 

13.5

%

 

11.4

%

 

9.2

%

 

11.0

%

 

7.5

%

 

5.8

%

 

8.4

%

 

10.3

%

 

7.1

%

 

11.4

%

 

7.3

%

 

11.1

%

 

8.3

%

IBNR incurred

 

(6.8)

  

0.1

  

0.7

  

0.0

  

(11.2)

  

1.4

  

0.6

  

0.7

 

 

0.3

  

0.7

 

 

0.3

  

0.9

 

 

(1.5)

  

(2.1)

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

 

17.9

  

7.1

  

15.6

  

5.0

  

14.9

  

6.2

  

6.2

  

(2.0)

 

 

10.3

  

2.1

 

 

9.2

  

3.5

 

 

11.3

  

6.3

 

Remaining incurred

 

43.2

 

 

44.4

 

 

42.3

 

 

38.0

 

 

41.2

 

 

46.9

 

 

42.9

 

 

46.2

 

 

40.2

 

 

44.5

 

 

41.5

 

 

45.3

 

 

42.0

 

 

44.3

 

   Total loss ratio

 

64.4

%

 

65.1

%

 

70.0

%

 

52.2

%

 

55.9

%

 

62.0

%

 

55.5

%

 

53.3

%

 

61.1

%

 

54.4

%

 

62.4

%

 

57.0

%

 

62.9

%

 

56.8

%

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

NM – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed by the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 18









Cincinnati Insurance Group

 Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business for the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2006

 (Dollars in millions)

                     

12/31/2006

12/31/2005

 
 

Comm

 

Comm

Comm

 

Workers'

Specialty

Surety &

 

Mach. &

Pers

Home

Other

Agency

Agency

Change

 State

 

Casualty

 

Prop

Auto

 

Comp

Packages

Exec Risk

 

Equip

Auto

Owner

Personal

Direct

Direct

%

 

                        

 

 AL

$

  20.1

$

14.1

$

8.3

$

 1.4

$

7.0

$

1.6

$

 0.6

$

15.6

$

 21.1

$

  4.4

$

 94.2

$

91.7

2.7 

 AZ

 

 12.5

 

   5.5

 

9.3

 

 0.5

 

1.0

 

0.6

 

 0.5

 

 0.0

 

   0.1

 

  0.1

 

 30.1

 

26.5

13.6 

 AR

 

 11.3

 

   9.9

 

6.6

 

 5.7

 

3.7

 

1.1

 

 0.4

 

 2.8

 

   3.0

 

  0.8

 

 45.3

 

44.9

1.0 

 DE

 

   0.8

 

   0.4

 

0.7

 

 1.6

 

 0.0

 

0.1

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

  0.1

 

   3.7

 

  0.9

293.7 

 FL

 

  38.1

 

 23.4

 

  13.2

 

 3.4

 

4.0

 

2.4

 

 0.7

 

12.6

 

 20.0

 

  3.7

 

121.5

 

  106.7

13.8 

 GA

 

27.4

 

 20.3

 

  18.7

 

   12.2

 

6.2

 

6.8

 

 0.7

 

31.7

 

 26.7

 

  6.5

 

157.2

 

  144.8

8.6 

 ID

 

  7.2

 

   3.5

 

4.6

 

 0.0

 

0.9

 

0.6

 

 0.2

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 17.0

 

14.6

16.5 

 IL

 

  82.3

 

 47.2

 

  34.6

 

   64.2

 

  13.0

 

8.2

 

 2.9

 

25.8

 

 19.2

 

  5.9

 

303.3

 

  300.6

0.9 

 IN

 

 51.2

 

 39.4

 

  26.9

 

   32.0

 

7.8

 

6.8

 

 2.2

 

29.7

 

 27.0

 

  6.9

 

229.9

 

  230.0

0.0 

 IA

 

   21.5

 

 15.0

 

9.9

 

   23.2

 

4.3

 

2.5

 

 1.3

 

 4.8

 

   4.5

 

  2.1

 

 89.1

 

88.4

0.7 

 KS

 

6.9

 

   7.3

 

4.7

 

 6.2

 

2.8

 

  1.3

 

0.4

 

5.2

 

 6.4

 

 1.2

 

42.4

 

  40.9

3.7 

 KY

 

  21.1

 

18.4

 

 14.8

 

4.1

 

  4.9

 

  2.9

 

0.9

 

20.5

 

  14.7

 

 3.9

 

106.2

 

107.8

(1.5)

 MD

 

  14.3

 

  5.9

 

 10.8

 

 11.5

 

  1.0

 

  1.5

 

0.3

 

 0.0

 

 1.3

 

 0.5

 

47.1

 

  40.3

16.8 

 MI

 

  43.2

 

27.1

 

 19.6

 

 21.4

 

13.0

 

  5.4

 

1.8

 

14.3

 

  17.0

 

 3.5

 

166.3

 

172.3

(3.5)

 MN

 

27.7

 

15.9

 

 10.1

 

7.7

 

  3.7

 

  2.3

 

1.2

 

7.3

 

 5.7

 

 2.9

 

84.5

 

  85.6

(1.3)

 MO

 

26.0

 

18.9

 

 12.6

 

 17.5

 

  5.2

 

  2.0

 

1.1

 

3.2

 

 4.9

 

 1.0

 

92.4

 

  84.3

9.6 

 MT

 

 13.2

 

  6.7

 

7.1

 

 0.0

 

  0.8

 

  0.3

 

0.3

 

0.1

 

 0.1

 

 0.0

 

28.6

 

  26.1

9.6 

 NE

 

  7.7

 

  5.6

 

3.8

 

9.0

 

  1.6

 

  0.9

 

0.5

 

1.4

 

 1.3

 

 0.2

 

32.0

 

  33.4

(4.2)

 NH

 

2.9

 

  2.0

 

1.4

 

2.4

 

  0.8

 

  0.5

 

0.2

 

0.9

 

 0.7

 

 0.3

 

12.1

 

  11.5

5.0 

 NY

 

 26.7

 

  6.8

 

9.6

 

2.5

 

  1.1

 

  3.3

 

0.4

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

50.4

 

  43.8

14.9 

 NC

 

42.1

 

28.9

 

 25.0

 

 26.7

 

11.6

 

  8.0

 

1.4

 

1.3

 

 1.6

 

 2.7

 

149.3

 

133.0

12.2 

 ND

 

3.9

 

  3.2

 

2.5

 

 0.0

 

  0.8

 

  0.6

 

0.2

 

0.7

 

 0.6

 

 0.1

 

12.6

 

  14.0

(9.9)

 OH

 

168.8

 

 101.0

 

 80.1

 

  (0.3)

 

20.8

 

25.5

 

4.7

 

143.8

 

  93.6

 

  30.3

 

668.3

 

692.5

(3.5)

 PA

 

  48.8

 

29.8

 

 30.7

 

 53.8

 

  9.3

 

  6.7

 

1.7

 

8.4

 

 6.3

 

 3.1

 

198.6

 

195.1

1.8 

 SC

 

14.6

 

  9.1

 

9.4

 

4.6

 

  2.3

 

  3.1

 

0.3

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.3

 

43.7

 

  41.4

5.5 

 SD

 

 4.5

 

  2.7

 

2.0

 

3.8

 

  0.5

 

  0.4

 

0.1

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.2

 

14.2

 

  12.2

16.5 

 TN

 

   25.7

 

 17.2

 

  16.3

 

   12.6

 

8.3

 

4.4

 

 1.0

 

 8.0

 

   8.2

 

  2.6

 

104.3

 

98.1

6.4 

 UT

 

  8.9

 

   3.4

 

4.1

 

 0.1

 

0.4

 

1.3

 

 0.3

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 18.5

 

13.0

42.5 

 VT

 

   5.2

 

   3.7

 

3.0

 

 7.0

 

1.0

 

0.7

 

 0.2

 

 0.9

 

   0.9

 

  0.2

 

 22.8

 

21.9

4.3 

 VA

 

   37.3

 

 25.7

 

  24.4

 

   22.7

 

5.0

 

5.2

 

 1.1

 

   10.6

 

   8.4

 

  2.9

 

143.3

 

  132.6

8.0 

 WV

 

  9.3

 

   6.0

 

6.5

 

 0.0

 

2.3

 

0.7

 

 0.4

 

 0.0

 

   0.9

 

  0.2

 

 26.3

 

24.3

8.2 

 WI

 

  31.1

 

 18.2

 

  13.8

 

   25.3

 

4.7

 

2.4

 

 1.6

 

   10.5

 

   8.1

 

  3.3

 

119.0

 

  121.2

(1.7)

 All Other

 

 5.7

 

   3.4

 

3.3

 

 4.9

 

0.2

 

1.3

 

 0.2

 

 0.0

 

   0.1

 

  0.2

 

 19.3

 

15.3

24.7 

                          

 Total Agency Direct

$

868.0

$

   545.6

$

 448.4

$

 387.7

$

150.0

$

111.4

$

   29.8

$

 360.1

$

   302.4

$

90.1

$

3,293.5

$

3,209.8

2.6 

 Other Direct

 

   1.2

 

   1.9

 

0.8

 

 9.4

 

0.3

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 1.0

 

   2.3

 

1.8

 

18.6

 

21.5

(13.8)

 Total Direct

$

 869.2

$

547.5

$

449.2

$

 397.1

$

150.3

$

111.4

$

   29.8

$

 361.1

$

   304.7

$

91.9

$

3,312.1

$

  3,231.3

2.5 





2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 19









Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - By Commercial Lines of Business

 

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

 

Commercial casualty:

                        

 

                  

Written premiums

$

204

 

$

196

 

$

209

 

$

228

 

$

189

 

$

183

 

$

193

 

$

217

 

$

437

 

 $

409

 

$

634

 

 $

593

 

$

838

 

 $

779

  

Earned premiums

 

219

  

207

  

208

  

197

  

195

  

193

  

192

  

183

  

405

  

375

  

613

  

566

 

S

831

  

759

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

58.8

%

 

49.4

%

 

51.8

%

 

51.3

%

 

5.1

%

 

49.3

%

 

54.3

%

 

51.2

%

 

51.6

%

 

53.0

%

 

50.8

%

 

51.8

%

 

53.0

%

 

39.8

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

58.8

%

 

49.4

%

 

51.8

%

 

51.3

%

 

5.1

%

 

49.3

%

 

54.3

%

 

51.2

%

 

51.6

%

 

53.0

%

 

50.8

%

 

51.8

%

 

53.0

%

 

39.8

%

 
                                            

Commercial property:

                                           

Written premiums

$

124

 

$

126

 

$

122

 

$

134

 

$

115

 

$

113

 

$

122

 

$

126

 

$

256

 

 $

248

 

$

381

 

 $

361

 

$

505

 

 $

476

  

Earned premiums

 

123

  

123

  

123

  

121

  

120

  

113

  

118

  

116

  

244

  

234

  

367

 

 $

347

  

491

  

467

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

47.0

%

 

54.9

%

 

55.8

%

 

72.6

%

 

52.8

%

 

94.3

%

 

42.4

%

 

68.8

%

 

64.2

%

 

55.5

%

 

61.0

%

 

68.2

%

 

57.5

%

 

64.2

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

7.1

  

9.9

  

15.9

  

22.7

  

11.2

  

44.0

  

1.2

  

4.0

  

19.3

  

2.6

  

16.1

  

16.1

  

13.9

  

14.9

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

39.9

%

 

45.0

%

 

39.9

%

 

49.9

%

 

41.6

%

 

50.3

%

 

41.2

%

 

64.8

%

 

44.9

%

 

52.9

%

 

44.9

%

 

52.1

%

 

43.6

%

 

49.3

%

 
                                            

Commercial auto:

                                           

Written premiums

$

105

 

$

105

 

$

115

 

$

126

 

$

107

 

$

107

 

$

111

 

$

122

 

$

240

 

 $

233

 

$

345

 

 $

341

 

$

450

 

 $

448

  

Earned premiums

 

116

  

113

  

112

  

112

  

117

  

115

  

112

  

113

  

224

  

225

  

337

  

340

  

453

  

457

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

58.5

%

 

72.8

%

 

57.0

%

 

57.7

%

 

61.5

%

 

60.6

%

 

60.2

%

 

57.9

%

 

57.4

%

 

59.0

%

 

62.5

%

 

59.6

%

 

61.5

%

 

60.1

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

0.6

  

(0.5)

  

3.1

  

0.6

  

0.0

  

0.2

  

0.3

  

0.0

  

1.9

 

 

0.1

  

1.0

 

 

0.2

  

0.9

  

0.1

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

57.9

%

 

73.3

%

 

53.9

%

 

57.1

%

 

61.5

%

 

60.4

%

 

59.9

%

 

57.9

%

 

55.5

%

 

58.9

%

 

61.5

%

 

59.4

%

 

60.6

%

 

60.0

%

 
                                            

Workers' compensation:

                        

 

                  

Written premiums

$

91

 

$

85

 

$

91

 

$

111

 

$

80

 

$

75

 

$

83

 

$

100

 

$

203

 

 $

183

 

$

288

 

 $

258

 

$

379

 

 $

338

  

Earned premiums

 

95

  

93

  

90

  

88

  

85

  

82

  

82

  

79

  

178

  

161

  

271

  

244

  

366

  

328

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

89.3

%

 

90.3

%

 

83.1

%

 

78.6

%

 

134.2

%

 

74.0

%

 

77.0

%

 

76.5

%

 

80.8

%

 

76.8

%

 

84.1

%

 

75.9

%

 

85.4

%

 

90.9

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

89.3

%

 

90.3

%

 

83.1

%

 

78.6

%

 

134.2

%

 

74.0

%

 

77.0

%

 

76.5

%

 

80.8

%

 

76.8

%

 

84.1

%

 

75.9

%

 

85.4

%

 

90.9

%

 
                                            

Specialty packages:

                                           

Written premiums

$

35

 

$

35

 

$

34

 

$

40

 

$

32

 

$

35

 

$

34

 

$

37

 

$

74

 

 $

71

 

$

109

 

 $

105

 

$

144

 

 $

138

  

Earned premiums

 

35

  

35

  

35

  

36

  

34

  

34

  

34

  

34

  

71

  

68

  

106

  

103

  

141

  

137

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

44.9

%

 

74.2

%

 

82.1

%

 

64.3

%

 

53.4

%

 

69.9

%

 

57.2

%

 

87.8

%

 

73.1

%

 

72.4

%

 

73.5

%

 

71.5

%

 

66.3

%

 

67.0

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

5.8

  

7.1

  

29.2

  

3.6

  

4.6

  

9.9

  

1.8

  

4.4

  

16.2

  

3.1

  

13.3

  

5.3

  

11.4

  

5.2

  

Loss and loss expenses

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

39.1

%

 

67.1

%

 

52.9

%

 

60.7

%

 

48.8

%

 

60.0

%

 

55.4

%

 

83.4

%

 

56.9

%

 

69.3

%

 

60.2

%

 

66.2

%

 

54.9

%

 

61.8

%

 
                                            

Surety and executive risk:

                                           

Written premiums

$

23

 

$

28

 

$

24

 

$

22

 

$

21

 

$

25

 

$

18

 

$

20

 

$

46

 

 $

38

 

$

74

 

 $

63

 

$

97

 

 $

85

  

Earned premiums

 

24

  

24

  

24

  

21

  

21

  

21

  

19

  

19

  

45

  

38

  

69

  

59

  

93

  

80

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

36.3

%

 

47.3

%

 

89.6

%

 

26.5

%

 

69.2

%

 

31.5

%

 

7.4

%

 

26.4

%

 

60.1

%

 

16.9

%

 

55.6

%

 

22.0

%

 

50.7

%

 

34.2

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

36.3

%

 

47.3

%

 

89.6

%

 

26.5

%

 

69.2

%

 

31.5

%

 

7.4

%

 

26.4

%

 

60.1

%

 

16.9

%

 

55.6

%

 

22.0

%

 

50.7

%

 

34.2

%

 
                                            

Machinery and equipment:

                                           

Written premiums

$

7

 

$

7

 

$

8

 

$

7

 

$

6

 

$

7

 

$

6

 

$

7

 

$

15

 

 $

13

 

$

22

 

 $

20

 

$

29

 

 $

26

  

Earned premiums

 

7

  

7

  

7

  

7

  

6

  

7

  

6

  

7

  

14

  

13

  

20

  

19

  

27

  

26

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

62.4

%

 

45.2

%

 

27.0

%

 

32.2

%

 

31.6

%

 

21.5

%

 

24.1

%

 

12.3

%

 

29.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

34.8

%

 

19.3

%

 

42.0

%

 

22.4

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

(0.5)

  

2.1

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

(0.1)

  

0.2

  

0.0

  

(0.6)

  

0.1

 

 

(0.2)

  

0.8

  

0.0

  

0.4

  

(0.1)

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

62.9

%

 

43.1

%

 

27.0

%

 

32.2

%

 

31.7

%

 

21.3

%

 

24.1

%

 

12.9

%

 

29.5

%

 

18.3

%

 

34.0

%

 

19.3

%

 

41.6

%

 

22.5

%

 
            &nbs p;                               
                                            

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed

independently.

                                      




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 20









Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - By Personal Lines of Business

 

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

 

Personal auto:

                                           

Written premiums

$

79

 

$

96

 

$

104

 

$

79

 

$

89

 

$

112

 

$

119

 

$

89 

 

$

184

 

$

208

 

$

279

 

$

321

 

$

359

 

$

409

  

Earned premiums

 

91

  

95

  

98

  

101

  

104

  

107

  

110

  

111 

  

199

  

221

 

 

294

  

329

  

385

  

433

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

74.3

%

 

60.6

%

 

65.8

%

 

60.1

%

 

54.0

%

 

65.0

%

 

59.9

%

 

60.4 

%

 

62.9

%

 

60.1

%

 

62.2

%

 

61.7

%

 

65.0

%

 

59.9

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

5.7

  

1.4

  

3.6

  

0.8

  

0.6

  

0.4

  

1.1

  

0.2 

  

2.2

  

0.6

 

 

2.0

  

0.5

  

2.8

  

0.6

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

68.6

%

 

59.2

%

 

62.2

%

 

59.3

%

 

53.4

%

 

64.6

%

 

58.8

%

 

60.2 

%

 

60.7

%

 

59.5

%

 

60.2

%

 

61.2

%

 

62.2

%

 

59.3

%

 
                               

 

            

Homeowner:

                              

 

            

Written premiums

$

66

 

$

79

 

$

83

 

$

62

 

$

67

 

$

80

 

$

81

 

$

59 

 

$

144

 

$

140

 

$

224

 

$

219

 

$

290

 

$

288

  

Earned premiums

 

70

  

72

  

74

  

73

  

71

  

72

  

70

  

69 

  

146

  

139

 

 

219

  

209

  

289

  

282

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

80.8

%

 

93.9

%

 

93.1

%

 

64.0

%

 

83.4

%

 

78.0

%

 

75.8

%

 

64.6 

%

 

78.6

%

 

70.2

%

 

83.7

%

 

72.9

%

 

83.0

%

 

75.6

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

36.0

  

15.0

  

33.1

  

11.1

  

43.2

  

15.2

  

14.6

  

(6.1)

  

22.1

  

4.3

 

 

19.8

  

8.0

  

23.7

  

16.9

  

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

44.8

%

 

78.9

%

 

60.0

%

 

52.9

%

 

40.2

%

 

62.8

%

 

61.2

%

 

70.7 

%

 

56.5

%

 

65.9

%

 

63.9

%

 

64.9

%

 

59.3

%

 

58.7

%

 
                                            

Other personal:

                              

 

            

Written premiums

$

21

 

$

23

 

$

24

 

$

20

 

$

21

 

$

23

 

$

24

 

$

20 

 

$

44

 

$

45

 

$

67

 

$

68

 

$

87

 

$

89

  

Earned premiums

 

22

  

22

  

22

  

22

  

22

  

22

  

22

  

22 

  

45

  

45

 

 

66

  

67

  

88

  

89

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

 

45.6

%

 

63.3

%

 

80.9

%

 

47.4

%

 

37.0

%

 

58.0

%

 

38.3

%

 

49.5 

%

 

64.2

%

 

41.7

%

 

63.9

%

 

47.1

%

 

59.4

%

 

44.6

%

 

Less Catastrophe loss ratio

 

9.9

 

 

5.2

 

 

10.8

 

 

3.8

 

 

2.0

  

5.0

  

1.0

  

3.9 

  

7.4

 

 

2.5

 

 

6.6

 

 

3.3

 

 

7.4

 

 

3.0

 

 

Loss and loss expense

   excluding catastrophe loss ratio

 

35.7

%

 

58.1

%

 

70.1

%

 

43.6

%

 

35.0

%

 

53.0

%

 

37.3

%

 

45.6 

%

 

56.8

%

 

39.2

%

 

57.3

%

 

43.8

%

 

52.0

%

 

41.6

%

 
                                            
                                            

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

        

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                            




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 21









< TD valign=bottom width=36.267> < TD valign=bottom width=18.133> < TD valign=bottom width=36.267> < TD valign=bottom width=36.267> < TD valign=bottom width=18.133> < TD valign=bottom width=18.133> < TD valign=bottom width=18.133> < TD valign=bottom width=36.267> < TD valign=bottom width=36.267> 

Cincinnati Insurance Group

10-Year Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

Premiums

                             

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

3,172 

 

$

3,097 

 

$

3,026 

 

 $

2,789

 

 $

2,496

 

$

2,188

 

 $

1,936 

 

 $

1,681

 

 $

1,558

 

 $

1,472

 

   Codification

 

  

  

  

0

  

0

  

402

  

(55)

  

0

  

0

  

0

 

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

 

 

(21)

 

 

(29)

 

 

26

 

 

117

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)**

 

3,178 

  

3,076 

  

2,997 

  

2,815

  

2,613

  

2,590

  

1,881 

  

1,681

  

1,558

  

1,472

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

(14)

 

 

(18)

 

 

(78)

 

 

(162)

 

 

(222)

 

 

(517)

 

 

(53)

 

 

(23)

 

 

(15)

 

 

(18)

 

   Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

3,164 

 

$

3,058 

 

$

2,919 

 

 $

2,653

 

 $

2,391

 

$

2,073

 

 $

1,828 

 

 $

1,658

 

 $

1,543

 

 $

1,454

 

                              

Year-over-year growth rate:

                             

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

          2.4 

%

          2.3 

%

       8.5 

%

11.7

%

14.0

%

13.0

%

15.2 

%

7.9

%

5.8

%

6.4

%

   Written premiums (statutory)

 

3.3 

%

2.6 

%

6.5 

%

7.7

%

0.9

%

37.7

%

11.9 

%

7.9

%

5.8

%

6.4

%

   Earned premiums

 

3.5 

%

4.8 

%

10.0 

%

11.0

%

15.3

%

13.4

%

10.3 

%

7.5

%

6.1

%

6.4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statutory combined ratio

                             

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

93.9 

%

89.0 

  

89.4 

%

94.2

%

98.4

%

99.5

%

112.5 

%

100.4

%

104.2

%

98.3

%

   Codification

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

4.1

  

(0.9)

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm

  

1.2

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(1.7)

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

93.9 

%

89.0 

%

89.4 

%

95.0

%

99.6

%

103.6

%

109.9 

%

100.4

%

104.2

%

98.3

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

5.5 

 

 

4.1 

 

 

5.1 

 

 

3.6

 

 

3.6

 

 

3.1

 

 

2.7 

 

 

2.5

 

 

6.1

  

 

 

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
     catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

88.4 

%

84.9 

% 

84.3 

%

 

91.4

%

 

96.0

% 

100.5

%

 

107.2 

%

 

97.9

%

 

98.1

%

   
                              

   Reported commission expense ratio*

 

18.7 

%

19.3 

%

19.2 

%

17.6

%

15.9

%

13.9

%

17.4 

%

17.4

%

17.6

%

   

   Codification

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

2.6

  

(0.5)

  

0.0

  

0.0

    

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm

  

0.8

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

    

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

    

   Commission expense ratio (adjusted)

 

18.7 

%

19.3 

%

19.2 

%

 

17.6

%

 

16.7

% 

16.5

%

 

16.9 

%

 

17.4

%

 

17.6

%

   
                              

   Reported other expense ratio*

 

11.7 

%

10.5 

%

10.1 

%

8.9

%

9.6

%

8.7

%

12.6 

%

11.4

%

11.9

%

   

   Codification

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

1.5

  

(0.4)

  

0.0

  

0.0

    

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm

  

0.4

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

    

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(1.7)

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

    

   Other expense ratio (adjusted)

 

11.7 

%

10.5 

%

10.1 

%

 

9.7

%

 

10.0

% 

10.2

%

 

10.5 

%

 

11.4

%

 

11.9

%

   
                              

   Reported statutory expense ratio*

 

30.4 

%

29.8 

%

29.3 

%

26.5

%

25.5

%

22.6

%

30.0 

%

28.8

%

29.5

%

   

   Codification

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

4.1

  

(0.9)

  

0.0

  

0.0

    

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm

  

1.2

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

    

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(1.7)

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

   

 

   Statutory expense ratio (adjusted)

 

30.4 

%

29.8 

%

29.3 

%

 

27.3

%

 

26.7

%

26.7

%

 

27.4 

%

 

28.8

%

 

29.5

%

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

GAAP combined ratio

                             

   GAAP combined ratio

 

94.3 

%

89.2 

%

89.8 

%

94.7

%

99.7

%

104.9

%

112.8 

%

100.2

%

104.3

%

98.4

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(2.1)

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

94.3 

%

89.2 

%

89.8 

%

 

95.5

%

 

99.7

%

104.9

%

 

110.7 

%

 

100.2

%

 

104.3

%

 

98.4

%

                               

Written premiums to surplus

                             

   Adjusted premiums to statutory surplus ratio

 

0.672 

  

0.739 

  

0.721 

  

1.002

  

1.067

  

0.864

             

   Written premium adjustment

 

0.001 

 

 

(0.005)

 

 

(0.007)

 

 

0.010

 

 

0.050

  

0.159

             

   Reported premiums to statutory surplus ratio

 

0.673 

 

 

0.734 

 

 

0.714 

 

 

1.012

 

 

1.117

  

1.023

             
                               

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

nm – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed by the appropriate regulatory bodies.

** Prior to 2001, property casualty premiums were recognized as they were billed throughout the policy period. Effective January 1, 2001, written premiums have been recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Written premiums for 2000 were reclassified to conform with the 2001 presentation; information was not readily available to reclassify earlier year statutory data.  The growth rates in written premiums between 1999 and 2000 are overstated because 1999 premiums are showed on a billed basis.




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 22









Cincinnati Insurance Group

6-Year Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

Premiums

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

2,435

 

$

2,306

 

$

2,209

 

$

2,009

 

$

1,795

 

$

1,551

 

   Codification

 

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

276

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

7

 

 

(16)

 

 

(23)

 

 

22

 

 

110

 

 

0

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)

$

2,442

 

$

2,290

 

$

2,186

 

$

2,031

 

$

1,905

 

$

1,827

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

(40)

 

 

(36)

 

 

(60)

 

 

(123)

 

 

(184)

 

 

(374)

 

   Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

2,402

 

$

2,254

 

$

2,126

 

$

1,908

 

$

1,721

 

$

1,453

 

                   

Year-over-year growth rate:

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

5.6

%

4.4

%

10.0

%

11.9

%

15.8

%

16.9

%

   Written premiums (statutory)

 

6.7

%

4.8

%

7.6

%

6.6

%

4.2

%

43.3

%

   Earned premiums

 

6.6

%

6.0

%

11.4

%

10.8

%

18.6

%

17.9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statutory combined ratio

                  

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

90.8

%

87.1

  

83.7

%

90.9

%

95.3

%

96.7

%

   Codification

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

4.0

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

1.5

  

0.0

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.7

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

90.8

%

87.1

%

83.7

%

91.6

%

96.8

%

100.7

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

3.7

  

3.4

  

3.4

  

2.2

  

2.3

  

1.9

 

   Statutory combined ratio excluding

     catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

87.1

%

83.7

%

80.3

%

89.4

%

94.5

%

98.8

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GAAP combined ratio

                  

   GAAP combined ratio

 

91.3

%

87.4

%

84.1

%

91.3

%

96.6

%

101.7

%

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

91.3

%

 

87.4

%

 

84.1

%

 

92.1

%

 

96.6

%

 

101.7

%

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 

nm – Not meaningful

 

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed by the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 23









Cincinnati Insurance Group

6-Year Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

Premiums

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

737 

 

$

791 

 

$

817 

 

$

780 

 

$

701 

 

$

637 

 

   Codification

 

  

  

  

  

  

126 

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

(1)

 

 

(5)

 

 

(6)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)

$

736 

 

$

786 

 

$

811 

 

$

784 

 

$

708 

 

$

763 

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

26 

 

 

18 

 

 

(18)

 

 

(39)

 

 

(38)

 

 

(143)

 

   Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

762 

 

$

804 

 

$

793 

 

$

745 

 

$

670 

 

$

620 

 

                   

Year-over-year growth rate:

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

(6.8)

%

(3.2)

%

4.7 

%

12.0 

%

9.8 

%

4.6 

%

   Written premiums (statutory)

 

(6.4)

%

(3.1)

%

3.4 

%

10.8 

%

(7.2)

%

26.1 

%

   Earned premiums

 

(5.3)

%

1.4 

%

6.4 

%

11.2 

%

8.1 

%

4.0 

%

 

                  

Statutory combined ratio

                  

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

103.6 

%

94.3 

  

104.6 

%

102.9 

%

106.5 

%

105.9 

%

   Codification

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

4.6 

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

0.3 

  

0.0 

 

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

1.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

103.6 

%

94.3 

%

104.6 

%

103.9 

%

106.8 

%

110.5 

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

11.3 

  

6.3 

  

9.7 

  

7.3 

  

7.1 

  

5.8 

 

   Statutory combined ratio excluding

     catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

92.3 

%

 

88.0 

%

 

94.9 

%

 

96.6 

%

 

99.7 

%

 

104.7 

%

                   

GAAP combined ratio

                  

   GAAP combined ratio

 

103.6 

%

94.4 

%

105.0 

%

103.6 

%

107.6 

%

112.4 

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

1.1 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

103.6 

%

94.4 

%

105.0 

%

104.7 

%

107.6 

%

112.4 

%

                   

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

NM – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed by the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 24









Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

                                          

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

$

785

 

$

787

 

$

804

 

$

796

 

$

765

 

$

764

 

$

780

 

$

787

 

$

1,600

 

 $

1,567

 

$

2,387

 

$

2,332

 

$

3,172

 

$

3,097

 

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

(30)

 

 

(7)

 

 

10

 

 

33

 

 

(38)

 

 

(3)

 

 

10

 

 

10

 

 

43

 

 

20

 

 

36

 

 

17

 

 

6

 

 

(21)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

$

755

 

$

780

 

$

814

 

$

829

 

$

727

 

$

761

 

$

790

 

$

797

 

$

1,643

 

 $

1,587

 

$

2,423

 

$

2,349

 

$

3,178

 

$

3,076

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

13

  

11

  

(21)

  

(51)

  

48

  

4

  

(25)

  

(44)

  

(72)

  

(73)

  

(60)

  

(66)

  

(66)

  

(19)

 

   Earned premiums

$

802

 

$

791

 

$

793

 

$

778

 

$

775

 

$

765

 

$

765

 

$

753

 

$

1,571

 

 $

1,518

 

$

2,362

 

$

2,283

 

$

3,164

 

$

3,058

 

                                           

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

95.9

%

 

96.4

  

93.7

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.6

%

 

87.3

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

 

93.9

%

 

89.0

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

 

95.9

%

 

96.4

%

 

93.7

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.6

%

 

87.3

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

 

93.9

%

 

89.0

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

5.5

 

 

3.5

 

 

8.0

 

 

5.0

 

 

5.6

 

 

8.6

 

 

2.0

 

 

0.3

  

6.5

 

 

1.1

 

 

5.5

 

 

3.6

 

 

5.5

 

 

4.1

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

       excluding catastrophe losses

 

90.4

%

 

92.9

%

 

85.7

%

 

84.6

%

 

80.2

%

 

88.0

%

 

84.6

%

 

87.0

%

 

85.2

%

 

85.8

%

 

87.7

%

 

86.5

%

 

88.4

%

 

84.9

%

                                           

   Reported commission expense ratio*

 

19.9

%

 

19.3

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

20.4

%

 

20.3

%

 

19.3

%

 

16.8

%

 

17.9

%

 

18.0

%

 

18.3

%

 

18.8

%

 

18.7

%

 

19.2

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted commission expense ratio

 

19.9

%

 

19.3

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

20.4

%

 

20.3

%

 

19.3

%

 

16.8

%

 

17.9

%

 

18.0

%

 

18.3

%

 

18.8

%

 

18.7

%

 

19.2

%

                                           

   Reported other expense ratio*

 

13.4

%

 

11.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

11.6

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.3

%

 

9.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.0

%

 

11.2

%

 

10.2

%

 

11.7

%

 

10.5

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted other expense ratio

 

13.4

%

 

11.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

11.6

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.3

%

 

9.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.0

%

 

11.2

%

 

10.2

%

 

11.7

%

 

10.5

%

                                           

   Reported statutory expense ratio*

 

33.3

%

 

31.2

%

 

28.4

%

 

28.9

%

 

32.0

%

 

31.1

%

 

29.6

%

 

26.6

%

 

28.7

%

 

28.0

%

 

29.5

%

 

29.0

%

 

30.4

%

 

29.7

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory expense ratio

 

33.3

%

 

31.2

%

 

28.4

%

 

28.9

%

 

32.0

%

 

31.1

%

 

29.6

%

 

26.6

%

 

28.7

%

 

28.0

%

 

29.5

%

 

29.0

%

 

30.4

%

 

29.7

%

                        

 

      

 

     

 

     

GAAP combined ratio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   GAAP combined ratio

 

94.5

%

 

96.1

%

 

94.5

%

 

92.0

%

 

83.9

%

 

96.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

88.9

%

 

93.3

%

 

88.2

%

 

94.2

%

 

91.0

%

 

94.3

%

 

89.2

%

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

94.5

%

 

96.1

%

 

94.5

%

 

92.0

%

 

83.9

%

 

96.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

88.9

%

 

93.3

%

 

88.2

%

 

94.2

%

 

91.0

%

 

94.3

%

 

89.2

%

                                           

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts

          

may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                                     

nm - Not meaningful

                                          

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       






2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 25










Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

                                          

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

$

618

 

$

589

 

$

593

 

$

635

 

$

584

 

$

547

 

$

557

 

$

617

 

$

1,228

 

$

1,174

 

$

1,817

 

$

1,721

 

$

2,435

 

$

2,306

 

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

 

(29)

 

 

(7)

 

 

10

 

 

33

 

 

(36)

 

 

(1)

 

 

9

 

 

12

  

43

 

 

21

  

36

 

 

20

  

7

 

 

(16)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

$

589

 

$

582

 

$

603

 

$

668

 

$

548

 

$

546

 

$

566

 

$

629

 

$

1,271

 

$

1,195

 

$

1,853

 

$

1,741

 

$

2,442

 

$

2,290

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

30

 

 

20

 

 

(4)

 

 

(86)

 

 

28

 

 

18

 

 

(3)

 

 

(78)

  

(90)

 

 

(81)

  

(69)

 

 

(63)

  

(40)

 

 

(36)

 

   Earned premiums

$

619

 

$

602

 

$

599

 

$

582

 

$

576

 

$

564

 

$

563

 

$

551

 

$

1,181

 

$

1,114

 

$

1,783

 

$

1,678

 

$

2,402

 

$

2,254

 

                                           

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

92.4

%

 

94.1

  

89.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

84.3

%

 

95.5

%

 

83.9

%

 

85.5

%

 

88.6

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3

%

 

88.1

%

 

90.8

%

 

87.1

%

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

 

92.4

%

 

94.1

%

 

89.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

84.3

%

 

95.5

%

 

83.9

%

 

85.5

%

 

88.6

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3

%

 

88.1

%

 

90.8

%

 

87.1

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

1.9

 

 

2.3

 

 

5.6

 

 

5.1

 

 

2.4

 

 

9.5

 

 

0.4

 

 

1.1

  

5.3

 

 

0.8

  

4.3

 

 

3.6

 

 

3.7

 

 

3.4

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
      excluding catastrophe losses

 

90.5

%

 

91.8

%

 

84.0

%

 

82.4

%

 

81.9

%

 

86.0

%

 

83.5

%

 

84.4

%

 

83.3

%

 

83.8

%

 

86.0

%

 

84.5

%

 

87.1

%

 

83.7

%

                                            

GAAP combined ratio

                                          

   GAAP combined ratio

 

91.1

%

 

93.4

%

 

90.3

%

 

90.5

%

 

82.1

%

 

95.2

%

 

84.8

%

 

87.5

%

 

90.4

%

 

86.1

%

 

91.4

%

 

89.2

%

 

91.3

%

 

87.4

%

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

91.1

%

 

93.4

%

 

90.3

%

 

90.5

%

 

82.1

%

 

95.2

%

 

84.8

%

 

87.5

%

 

90.4

%

 

86.1

%

 

91.4

%

 

89.2

%

 

91.3

%

 

87.4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                                        

nm - Not meaningful

                                           

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 26









Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

                                          

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

$

167

 

$

198

 

$

211

 

$

161

 

$

181

 

$

217

 

$

223

 

$

170

 

$

372

 

$

393

 

$

570

 

$

611

 

$

737

 

$

791

 

   Written premium adjustment --

      statutory only

 

(1)

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

(2)

 

 

(2)

 

 

1

 

 

(2)

 

 

0

 

 

(1)

 

 

0

 

 

(3)

 

 

(1)

 

 

(5)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

$

166

 

$

198

 

$

211

 

$

161

 

$

179

 

$

215

 

$

224

 

$

168

 

$

372

 

$

392

 

$

570

 

$

608

 

$

736

 

$

786

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

(17)

 

 

(9)

 

 

(17)

 

 

35

 

 

20

 

 

(14)

 

 

(22)

 

 

34

 

 

18

 

 

8

 

 

9

 

 

(3)

 

 

(26)

 

 

17

 

   Earned premiums

$

183

 

$

189

 

$

194

 

$

196

 

$

199

 

$

201

 

$

202

 

$

202

 

$

390

 

$

404

 

$

579

 

$

605

 

$

762

 

$

804

 

                                           

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

107.7

%

 

104.0

%

 

106.4

%

 

98.1

%

 

90.1

%

 

99.9

%

 

93.6

%

 

94.0

%

 

101.6

%

 

93.7

%

 

102.3

%

 

95.7

%

 

103.6

%

 

94.3

%

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

 

107.7

%

 

104.0

%

 

106.4

%

 

98.1

%

 

90.1

%

 

99.9

%

 

93.6

%

 

94.0

%

 

101.6

%

 

93.7

%

 

102.3

%

 

95.7

%

 

103.6

%

 

94.3

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

17.9

 

 

7.0

 

 

15.6

 

 

5.0

 

 

14.9

 

 

6.3

 

 

6.2

  

2.0

  

10.3

  

2.1

  

9.2

 

 

3.5

  

11.3

  

6.3

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
      excluding catastrophe losses

 

89.8

%

 

97.0

%

 

90.8

%

 

93.1

%

 

75.2

%

 

93.6

%

 

87.4

%

 

96.0

%

 

91.3

%

 

91.6

%

 

93.1

%

 

92.2

%

 

92.3

%

 

88.0

%

                                           

GAAP combined ratio

                                          

   GAAP combined ratio

 

106.0

%

 

104.4

%

 

107.6

%

 

96.4

%

 

89.0

%

 

100.5

%

 

95.3

%

 

92.7

%

 

102.0

%

 

94.0

%

 

102.8

%

 

96.1

%

 

103.6

%

 

94.4

%

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before

      one-time item

 

106.0

%

 

104.4

%

 

107.6

%

 

96.4

%

 

89.0

%

 

100.5

%

 

95.3

%

 

92.7

%

 

102.0

%

 

94.0

%

 

102.8

%

 

96.1

%

 

103.6

%

 

94.4

%

 

                                          

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                        

nm - Not meaningful

                                          

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 27







The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

GAAP Statements of Income

          
  

For the three months ended December 31,

 

For the twelve months ended December 31,

  

2006

 

2005

 

Change

%Change

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

    Property casualty

$

$

$

NA   

$

$

$

      NA   

    Life

 

43,271,070 

 

40,421,077 

 

2,849,993 

7.05 

 

152,590,039 

 

143,808,461 

 

8,781,578 

6.11 

    Accident health

 

1,703,987 

 

1,617,668 

 

86,319 

5.34 

 

6,652,508 

 

6,347,605 

 

304,903 

4.80 

    Premiums ceded

 

(13,815,204)

 

(13,851,254)

 

36,050 

0.26 

 

(44,504,201)

 

(43,798,779)

 

(705,422)

(1.61)

      Total premiums earned

 

31,159,853 

 

28,187,491 

 

2,972,362 

10.54 

 

114,738,346 

 

106,357,287 

 

8,381,059 

7.88 

  Investment income

 

27,053,035 

 

26,013,305 

 

1,039,730 

4.00 

 

107,656,860 

 

99,323,763 

 

8,333,097 

8.39 

  Realized investment gains and losses

 

2,533,775 

 

9,832,034 

 

(7,298,259)

(74.23)

 

44,861,000 

 

17,188,854 

 

27,672,146 

160.99 

  Other income

 

992,375 

 

1,015,456 

 

(23,081)

(2.27)

 

3,552,294 

 

3,561,244 

 

(8,950)

(0.25)

       Total revenues

$

61,739,038 

$

   65,048,286 

$

   (3,309,248)

(5.09)

$

 270,808,500 

$

226,431,148 

$

44,377,352 

19.60 

 

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

43,696,578 

$

   12,945,476 

$

  30,751,102 

237.54 

$

 161,984,990 

$

141,170,430 

$

20,814,560 

14.74 

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(13,247,792)

 

11,824,818 

 

(25,072,610)

(212.03)

 

(39,953,090)

 

(39,542,190)

 

(410,900)

(1.04)

  Commissions

 

8,410,482 

 

8,941,982 

 

(531,500)

(5.94)

 

34,081,135 

 

34,718,994 

 

(637,859)

(1.84)

  Other operating expenses

 

12,192,870 

 

10,732,035 

 

1,460,835 

13.61 

 

31,977,077 

 

28,592,514 

 

3,384,563 

11.84 

  Interest expense

 

98,000 

 

 

98,000 

NA 

 

98,000 

 

 

98,000 

NA 

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

935,887 

 

32,729 

 

903,158 

2,759.50 

 

3,080,836 

 

3,205,175 

 

(124,339)

(3.88)

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

(3,479,444)

 

(4,281,595)

 

802,151 

18.73 

 

(17,717,144)

 

(14,048,474)

 

(3,668,670)

(26.11)

  Other expenses

 

 

 

NA 

 

109 

 

108 

 

0.93 

       Total expenses

$

48,606,582 

$

   40,195,445 

$

   8,411,137 

20.93 

$

 173,551,913 

$

154,096,557 

$

19,455,356 

12.63 

 

 

 

      

 

    

 

 

 

 

      

 

    

 

       Income before income taxes

$

13,132,456 

$

   24,852,841 

$

(11,720,385)

(47.16)

$

   97,256,587 

$

  72,334,591 

$

24,921,996 

34.45 

 

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

  Current

$

953,701 

$

     3,623,075 

$

   (2,669,374)

(73.68)

$

    6,273,558 

$

  12,721,453 

$

(6,447,895)

(50.69)

  Current capital gains/losses

 

947,821 

 

       3,441,212 

 

      (2,493,391)

(72.46)

 

  15,879,350 

 

  6,016,099 

 

9,863,251 

163.95 

  Deferred

 

2,628,721 

 

1,975,964 

 

652,757 

33.03 

 

12,406,344 

 

6,314,644 

 

6,091,700 

96.47 

       Total income taxes

$

4,530,243 

$

     9,040,251 

$

   (4,510,008)

(49.89)

$

   34,559,252 

$

  25,052,196 

$

 9,507,056 

37.95 

 

 

 

    

 

 

 

    

 

       Net income

$

8,602,213 

$

   15,812,590 

$

   (7,210,377)

(45.60)

$

   62,697,335 

$

  47,282,395 

$

15,414,940 

32.60 




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 28







The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

Statutory Statements of Income

     
  

For the three months ended December 31,

 

For the twelve months ended December 31,

 

 

 2006

2005

% Change

 

 2006

2005

% Change

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Net premiums written

$

    38,109,979 

$

    40,102,013 

      (4.97)

$

 153,442,227 

$

193,851,091 

    (20.85)

Net investment income

 

         27,053,035 

 

         26,013,305 

       4.00 

 

   107,656,860 

 

     99,323,763 

       8.39 

Amortization of interest maintenance reserve

 

               59,928 

 

              867,345 

    (93.09)

 

           160,205 

 

       3,969,372 

    (95.96)

Commissions and expense allowances on reinsurance ceded

 

           2,482,659 

 

           2,710,463 

      (8.40)

 

        8,261,423 

 

     11,472,367 

    (27.99)

Income from fees associated with Separate Accounts

 

              992,375 

 

           1,015,456 

(2.27)

 

        3,552,294 

 

       3,561,244 

(0.25)

Total revenues

$

    68,697,977 

$

    70,708,582 

(2.84)

$

 273,073,009 

$

312,177,838 

(12.53)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Death benefits and matured endowments

 

      8,866,654 

 

      6,791,497 

30.56 

$

  38,964,236 

 

 32,409,589 

20.22 

Annuity benefits

 

           8,580,838 

 

           5,013,543 

71.15 

 

     35,200,488 

 

     21,805,168 

61.43 

Disability benefits and benefits under accident and health contracts

 

              415,184 

 

              491,221 

(15.48)

 

        1,630,523 

 

       1,537,587 

6.04 

Surrender benefits and group conversions

 

           5,991,218 

 

           4,068,367 

47.26 

 

     22,251,863 

 

     18,979,141 

17.24 

Interest and adjustments on deposit-type contract funds

 

           2,380,022 

 

           2,762,911 

(13.86)

 

        9,394,586 

 

     10,249,422 

(8.34)

Increase in aggregate reserves for life and accident and health contracts

 

         23,436,742 

 

         27,180,937 

(13.78)

 

     95,336,456 

 

  142,678,482 

(33.18)

Payments on supplementary contracts with life contingencies

 

               77,083 

 

               75,111 

2.63 

 

           308,744 

 

          295,735 

4.40 

Total benefit expenses

$

    49,747,741 

$

    46,383,589 

7.25 

$

 203,086,897 

$

227,955,124 

(10.91)

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Commissions

$

      8,344,872 

$

      8,458,360 

(1.34)

$

  33,700,524 

$

 34,235,371 

(1.56)

General insurance expenses and taxes

 

         11,073,587 

 

           9,135,840 

21.21 

 

     35,288,388 

 

     33,177,815 

6.36 

Increase in loading on deferred and uncollected premiums

 

              200,324 

 

             (107,202)

286.87 

 

       (4,278,539)

 

      (4,680,691)

8.59 

Net transfers to or (from) Separate Accounts

 

 

(413,267)

N/A 

 

          (211,220)

 

         (413,267)

48.89 

Other deductions

 

 

N/A 

 

                 109 

 

                108 

0.63 

Total operating expenses

$

    19,618,783 

$

    17,073,731 

12.19 

$

  64,499,261 

$

 62,319,336 

3.50 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Federal and Foreign Income Taxes Incurred

 

              950,983 

 

           2,717,237 

(65.00)

 

        5,973,699 

 

     11,990,488 

(50.18)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net gain from operations before realized capital gains or (losses)

$

     (1,619,530)

$

      4,534,025 

(135.72)

$

     (486,849)

$

  9,912,889 

(104.91)

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

Net realized gains or (losses) net of capital gains tax

 

           1,306,320 

 

         10,768,634 

(87.87)

 

      28,946,326 

 

     11,089,183 

161.03 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Income (Statutory)

$

        (313,210)

$

    15,302,659 

(102.05)

$

  28,459,477 

$

 21,002,073 

35.51 

           

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.




2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 29










 

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

Expenses as a Percentage of Premium

 
 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

 

12/31/06

09/30/06

06/30/06

03/31/06

12/31/05

09/30/05

06/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

06/30/05

09/30/06

09/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

 

Gross Written Premiums

$

54

 

$

50

 

$

51

 

$

50

 

$

57

 

$

66

 

$

64

 

$

62

 

$

101

 

$

126

 

$

152

 

$

192

 

$

206

 

$

249

 
 

Bank Owned Life Insurance (BOLI)
  Adjustment

 

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

 
 

Adjusted Gross Written Premiums

$

54

 

$

50

 

$

51

 

$

50

 

$

57

 

$

66

 

$

64

 

$

62

 

$

101

 

$

126

 

$

152

 

$

192

 

$

206

 

$

249

 

                                            
 

Insurance Expense

$

10

 

$

7

 

$

7

 

$

7

 

$

8

 

$

7

 

$

7

 

$

7

 

$

14

 

$

14

 

$

21

 

$

21

 

$

31

 

$

29

 

                                            
 

Expense Ratio

 

17.8

%

 

14.7

%

 

13.5

%

 

14.5

%

 

14.4

%

 

10.3

%

 

10.7

%

 

10.9

%

 

14.0

%

 

10.8

%

 

14.0

%

 

10.8

%

 

15.0

%

 

11.7

%

 

Expense Ratio based on Adjusted
   Gross Written Premium

 

17.8

%

 

14.7

%

 

13.5

%

 

14.5

%

 

14.4

%

 

10.3

%

 

10.7

%

 

10.9

%

 

14.0

%

 

10.8

%

 

14.0

%

 

10.8

%

 

15.0

%

 

11.7

%

                                            
                                            
                                            
 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

                        
 

 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

 

                     
 

Gross Written Premiums

$

206

 

$

249

 

$

230

 

$

173

 

$

244

 

$

122

 

$

157

                      
 

Bank Owned Life Insurance (BOLI)
  Adjustment

 

0

  

0

  

(10)

  

0

  

(34)

  

0

  

(20)

                      
 

Adjusted Gross Written Premiums

$

206

 

$

249

 

$

220

 

$

173

 

$

210

 

$

122

 

$

137

                      
                                            
 

Insurance Expense

$

31

 

$

29

 

$

25

 

$

25

 

$

27

 

$

25

 

$

20

 

                     
                                            
 

Expense Ratio

 

15.0

%

 

11.7

%

 

11.1

%

 

14.8

%

 

10.9

%

 

20.6

%

 

12.9

%

                     
 

Expense Ratio based on Adjusted
   Gross Written Premium

 

15.0

%

 

11.7

%

 

11.6

%

 

14.8

%

 

12.6

%

 

20.6

%

 

14.8

%

                    
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                     
                                           
 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

 

equal the full year as each is computed independently.





2006 Fourth-Quarter Supplement

 30





EX-99 4 ex993.htm EXHIBIT 99.3 .

CINCINNATI  FINANCIAL  CORPORATION

Mailing Address:                  P.O. BOX 145496

CINCINNATI, OHIO  45250-5496

              (513) 870-2000


Investor Contact:  Heather J. Wietzel

(513) 870-2768

Media Contact:  Joan O. Shevchik

(513) 603-5323




Cincinnati Financial Corporation Increases Cash Dividend and Announces Board Actions

· Sets stage for 47th consecutive year of higher dividends with 6% increase in indicated annual dividend rate

· Confirms slate of nominees for election by shareholders on May 5

· Affirms codes of conduct and ethics and committee charters and updates governance guidelines


Cincinnati, February 5, 2007 -- Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today announced that the board of directors voted at its regular meeting on February 2, 2007, to increase the regular quarterly cash dividend 6 percent to 35.5 cents per share, payable April 16, 2007, to shareholders of record on March 23, 2007. At the new level, the indicated annual dividend is $1.42 per share. Cash dividends declared in 2006 were $1.34 per share.


Chairman and Chief Executive Officer John J. Schiff, Jr., CPCU, commented, “Careful attention to property casualty underwriting and our total-return investment strategy has helped us maintain a strong financial position and achieve industry-leading results over the long-term. Today’s action signals the board’s continuing confidence in our long-term outlook.


Cincinnati Financial's common stock total return to shareholders over the five years ended December 31, 2006, was 49.4 percent compared with a 35.0 percent total return for the Standard & Poor's 500 Index.


The company also announced that the board confirmed the slate of nominees for election at the company's annual meeting of shareholders on May 5, 2007. Directors standing for re-election for three-year terms to expire in 2010 are: Dirk J. Debbink, Douglas S. Skidmore and newly appointed director Gregory T. Bier, CPA (retired). As previously announced, Michael Brown and John M. Shepherd, current directors, will not stand for re-election due to the company’s guidelines on director age. The board determined that 10 of the current 15 members meet the applicable criteria for independence.


The board also approved the code of ethics for senior financial officers, the code of conduct for all company associates and board committee charters, which are reviewed annually by the respective committees as stipulated in the governance guidelines. Further, the board formalized several current company practices with updates to the corporate governance guidelines on board membership criteria, director elections and stock ownership guidelines for directors and officers.


“Cincinnati Financial’s management and directors purposefully align business decisions with our mission, which includes fulfilling the company’s obligations to its independent agents, policyholders and shareholders as well as associates, suppliers and communities it serves. We work diligently to meet those obligations and to act with integrity,” said Schiff.


Cincinnati Financial plans to report fourth-quarter and year-end 2006 results on Wednesday, February 7. A conference call to discuss the results will be held at 11:00 a.m. EST on that day. Details regarding the Internet broadcast of the conference call are available on www.cinfin.com/investors, as are the code of ethics, code of conduct, board committee charters and corporate governance guidelines.


Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers property and casualty insurance, its main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company, The Cincinnati Indemnity Company and The Cincinnati Casualty Company. The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company markets life and disability income insurance and annuities. CFC Investment Company offers commercial leasing and financing services. CinFin Capital Management Company provides asset management services to institutions, corporations and individuals. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.








This is our “Safe Harbor” statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2005 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 21. Although we often review or update our forward-looking statements when events warrant, we caution our readers that we undertake no obligation to do so.


Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:

·

Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes

·

Increased frequency and/or severity of claims

·

Inaccurate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting estimates

·

Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company’s future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

·

Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company’s relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company’s opportunities for growth, such as:

Downgrade of the company’s financial strength ratings,

Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult  

Perceptions that the company’s level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace or

Regulations or laws that change industry or company practices for our agents

·

Delays or inadequacies in the development, implementation, performance and benefits of technology projects and enhancements

·

Ability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for non-payment or delay in payment by reinsurers

·

Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company’s premium growth rate

·

Underwriting and pricing methods adopted by competitors that could allow them to identify and flexibly price risks, which could decrease our competitive advantages

·

Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies that:

Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business

Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations

Increase our expenses

Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes

Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates

Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace or

Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents

·

Sustained decline in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company’s equity portfolio and book value; in particular a sustained decline in the market value of Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:FITB) shares, a significant equity holding

·

Recession or other economic conditions or regulatory, accounting or tax changes resulting in lower demand for insurance products

·

Events that lead to a significant decline in the value of a particular security and impairment of the asset

·

Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company’s ability to generate growth in investment income or interest-rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments

·

Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings

·

Investment activities or market value fluctuations that trigger restrictions applicable to the parent company under the Investment Company Act of 1940

·

Events, such as an avian flu epidemic, natural catastrophe or construction delays, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location


Further, the company’s insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as recent measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.



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EX-99 5 ex994.htm EXHIBIT 99.4 .

CINCINNATI  FINANCIAL  CORPORATION

Mailing Address:                  P.O. BOX 145496

CINCINNATI, OHIO  45250-5496

              (513) 870-2000


Investor Contact:  Heather J. Wietzel

(513) 870-2768

Media Contact:  Joan O. Shevchik

(513) 603-5323




Cincinnati Financial Corporation’s Subsidiaries Announce Appointments

·

Directors, Officers and Counsel

Cincinnati, February 5, 2007 – Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq:CINF) – Cincinnati Financial Corporation announced today that the boards of its subsidiary companies appointed directors, officers and counsel at their regular meetings on February 2, 2007.


Gregory T. Bier, CPA (retired), who joined the Cincinnati Financial Corporation board of directors in November 2006, was additionally appointed to boards of all insurance subsidiaries.


Boards of subsidiary companies made the following promotions and new or additional appointments of officers and counsel:  


Property Casualty Insurance Subsidiaries:

The Cincinnati Insurance Company

The Cincinnati Casualty Company

The Cincinnati Indemnity Company

Michael R. Abrams, Vice President – Investments

W. Dane Donham, AIM, Vice President – Commercial Lines

David T. Groff, CPCU, FCAS, Vice President – Staff Underwriting

Robyn C. Muhlberg, Vice President – Information Technology

Ronald L. Robinson, Vice President – Field Claims

Michael B. Wedig, CPA, Vice President – Corporate Accounting


Jack Morgan, CFE, Assistant Vice President – Special Investigations

Martin D. Skidmore, Assistant Vice President – Headquarters Claims

Douglas W. Stang, FCAS, MAAA, Assistant Vice President – Staff Underwriting

James E. Streicher, CPCU, AIM, ARe, Assistant Vice President – Personal Lines

William H. Thomas, AIM, CPCU, Assistant Vice President – Commercial Lines


Anthony W. Dunn, CPA, CPCU, Secretary – Internal Audit

David F. Hartkemeier, Secretary – Bond & Executive Risk

Hollis A. Jones, AIM, Secretary – Investments

Michael W. Klenk, Secretary – Data Entry

Doris J. Kuhling, CPCU, AIM, Secretary – Headquarters Claims

Timothy D. Morris, CPCU, APA, Secretary – Premium Audit

Beth A. Scalf, Secretary – Corporate Accounting


Michael J. Donges, CPCU, Assistant Secretary – Web Content Management

Derek J. Rice, AIM, Assistant Secretary – Education & Training

Michael S. Stumpfl, ARM, CSP, Assistant Secretary – Loss Control


Geraldine Brown, Assistant Treasurer – Agency Accounting


Bernard F. Kistler, CPCU, Associate Counsel

Alan E. Mazur, Associate Counsel









The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company:

Michael R. Abrams*

Robyn C. Muhlberg*

Michael B. Wedig*

Anthony W. Dunn*

Hollis A. Jones*

Roger A. Brown, FSA, MAAA, Assistant Secretary – Actuarial

Bernard F. Kistler*

Alan E. Mazur*


*Title as listed above


CinFin Capital Management Company:

Hollis A. Jones*


*Title as listed above


Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers property and casualty insurance, its main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company, The Cincinnati Indemnity Company and The Cincinnati Casualty Company. The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company markets life and disability income insurance and annuities. CFC Investment Company offers commercial leasing and financing services. CinFin Capital Management Company provides asset management services to institutions, corporations and individuals. For additional information, please visit the company’s Web site at www.cinfin.com.

  

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