EX-99 2 ex991.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 Cincinnati Financial



   
  

Cincinnati Financial

  

C    O    R    P    O    R    A    T    I    O    N

   
  

Credit Suisse Insurance Conference
November 16, 2006






   
  

Cincinnati Financial

  

C    O    R    P    O    R    A    T    I    O    N

   
  

Jack Schiff, Jr., CPCU, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer
J.F. Scherer, Senior Vice President - Sales & Marketing
Marty Hollenbeck, CFA, Vice President - Investments
Heather Wietzel, Vice President - Investor Relations




Nasdaq: CINF


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Today’s presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Please refer to our various filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for factors that could cause results to materially differ from those discussed.

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The forward-looking information in this presentation has been publicly disclosed, most recently on November 16, 2006, and should be considered to be effective only as of that date. Its inclusion in this document is not intended to be an update or reaffirmation of the forward-looking information as of any later date.

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Reconciliations of non-GAAP and non-statutory data are available at www.cinfin.com.



Regional Property Casualty Insurer


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Market capitalization of

[Map attached in PDF format]

 

$8.1 billion

§

22nd largest publicly traded

 

U.S. property casualty

 

insurer based on revenues

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Serving select group of

 

agencies in 32 states

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Market for 75% of agency’s

 

typical risks

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Well capitalized and highly

 

rated with A.M. Best

 

rating of A++



Confidence in the Long-term




[Graph attached in PDF format]














* See the Financials & Analysis tab of the Investors page of ww.cinfin.com for non-GAAP and non-statutory reconciliation information



Outlook: 2006 and Beyond


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2006 outlook

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Written premiums up at least 2%

-

GAAP combined ratio of 94% to 95%, catastrophe losses above 5.0%

-

Investment income growth in 8.0% to 8.5% range

-

Option expensing

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And beyond

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Sustain steady growth

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Maintain industry-leading profitability

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Accelerate investment income growth

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Bring results to bottom line

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Equity portfolio performance ahead of S&P 500 - resumption of book value growth



Distinguishing Cincinnati


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Cultivate relationships with independent agents

-

Making decisions at the local level

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Invest for long-term total-return

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Covering insurance liabilities by purchasing fixed-maturity securities

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Using available cash to purchase equity securities

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Achieve claims excellence

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Responding to reported claims

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Reserving for not-yet paid or reported claims





  

Achieve Claims Excellence

 



Claims Philosophy


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Respond to reported claims

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750 claims representatives

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Based in local communities

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Serving agencies, policyholders and claimants

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Headquarter claims supervisors averaging more than 25 years of experience



Total Statutory Reserve Balance
Objective: modestly redundant reserves

Property casualty group

[Graph attached in PDF format]






  

Cultivate Relationships with
Independent Agents

 



Proven Agency-centered Business Strategy


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Regional carrier

-

Wide range of property casualty coverages

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Market for about 75% of agency’s typical risks

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1,150 field associates assigned to agencies

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Local agents place value on claims service, market stability, financial strength, access to executives

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Cincinnati is #1 or #2 carrier in approximately 74% of reporting agency locations served for more than five years



Market for 75% of Agency’s Typical Risks


Consolidated

$3.164 Billion

Property Casualty

$3.058 Billion



[Charts attached in PDF format]










Percent of 2005 Consolidated Net Earned Premiums

*Includes Machinery & Equipment




Opportunities to Continue Strong Growth


§

Room to grow in

Property casualty insurance

Net written premium growth



[Chart attached in PDF format]

 

marketplace

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Continue to subdivide

 

territories to improve

 

service

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Increase penetration

 

of each agency’s

 

business

§

Selectively appoint

 

new agencies

 

* See the Financials & Analysis tab of the Investors page of ww.cinfin.com for non-GAAP and

non-statutory reconciliation information



Balancing Growth with Profitability


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Targeting FY 2006

Adjusted statutory combined ratio




[Chart attached in PDF format]

 

GAAP combined ratio

 

of 94% - 95%

 

-

Catastrophe losses

 

could be above 5.0%

§

Leverage local

 

knowledge/underwriting

§

Maintain low cost

 

structure

   

* See the Financials & Analysis tab of the Investors page of ww.cinfin.com for non-GAAP and

non-statutory reconciliation information





 

Invest for Long-term
Total Return

 



Investment Philosophy


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Cover current liabilities with fixed-income investments

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Allocate new cash flow to equity securities, considering:

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Insurance department regulations

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Rating agency commentary

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Common stock to statutory surplus ratio

-

Parent-company investment assets to total assets ratio

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Equity investment offers potential for current income and capital appreciation



Portfolio Goals


Income

Growth

§

Achieved with interest and

§

Long-term investment horizon

 

dividends

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Increases surplus

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Bond quality rising;

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Enhances book value and

 

municipals, agency paper

 

financial strength

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Large, long-term positions in

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Primarily achieved with

 

proven, dividend-paying

 

common and convertible

 

companies

 

securities

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Reinvest coupon payments

  

§

Compounding

  



Investment Portfolio

Total-return focused


As of September 30, 2006, in billions



[Chart attached in PDF format]



Compounding Cash Flows

Over the long term


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Pretax investment income

Investment income




[Chart attached in PDF format]

 

provides primary source of

 

profit and cash flow

 

-

Dividend increases from

 

38 equity holdings in the

 

last 12 months =

 

$15 million in annualized

 

investment income

§

Surplus contributes to

 

financial strength

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Drives book value growth



Maintain Financial Strength


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Property casualty surplus ratio of 0.7-to-1 vs. industry average 1.0-to-1 (12/31/05)

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Only 1.7% of property casualty groups rated A++ by A.M. Best


 

Senior Debentures

Property Casualty

Life

A.M. Best

aa-

A++

A+

Fitch

A+

AA

AA

Moody’s

A2

Aa3

--

S&P

A

AA-

AA-





   
  

Cincinnati Financial

  

C    O    R    P    O    R    A    T    I    O    N

   
  

Jack Schiff, Jr., CPCU, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer
J.F. Scherer, Senior Vice President - Sales & Marketing
Marty Hollenbeck, CFA, Vice President - Investments
Heather Wietzel, Vice President - Investor Relations



Enhancing Return to Shareholders


§

Focus on total return -


Total Return Analysis

December 31 totals



[Chart attached in PDF format]

 

appreciation plus dividends

 

plus share repurchase

 

-

1.85 million shares

 

repurchased in first-quarter

 

2006

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11.8% 10-year compound

 

growth of paid dividends

 

(1995-2005)

§

9.8% increase in 2006

 

indicated annual cash

 

dividend rate

 

-

46th consecutive annual

 

cash dividend increase

 





   
  

Cincinnati Financial

  

C    O    R    P    O    R    A    T    I    O    N

   
  

Jack Schiff, Jr., CPCU, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer
J.F. Scherer, Senior Vice President - Sales & Marketing
Marty Hollenbeck, CFA, Vice President - Investments
Heather Wietzel, Vice President - Investor Relations