EX-99 3 ex992.htm EXHIBIT 99.2 Cincinnati Financial Corporation


Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Supplemental Financial Data

September 30, 2006

Third Quarter

   
   
 

6200 South Gilmore Road

 
 

Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141

 
 

www.cinfin.com/investors

 
   
   

Investor Contact:

Media Contact:

Shareholder Contact:

Heather J. Wietzel

Joan O. Shevchik

Jerry L. Litton

(513) 870-2768

(513) 603-5323

(513) 870-2639

   
   

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

  
 

A.M. Best

Fitch

Moody’s

Standard & Poor’s

     

Corporate Debt

aa-

A+

A2

A

     

The Cincinnati Insurance Companies

    
     
 

A.M. Best

Fitch

Moody’s

Standard & Poor’s

     

Property Casualty Group

A++

--

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Insurance Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Indemnity Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Casualty Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

     

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

A+

AA

--

AA-

     
     
 

Ratings are as of November 1, 2006, under continuing review and subject to change and/or affirmation.  For the latest ratings, select the Ratings tab on www.cinfin.com/investors.

 
  
 

The consolidated financial statements and financial exhibits that follow are unaudited.  These consolidated financial statements and exhibits should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes included in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2005. The results of operations for interim periods should not be considered indicative of results to be expected for the full year.

 








 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

 
 

Supplemental Financial Data

 
 

Third Quarter 2006

 
    
  

Page

Status

 

Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

3

11/1/2006

    

Consolidated

  
 

Quick Reference

4

11/1/2006

 

Consolidated Statements of Income

5

11/1/2006

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006

6

11/1/2006

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Nine Months Ended September 30, 2005

7

11/1/2006

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Three Months Ended September 30, 2006

8

11/1/2006

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Three Months Ended September 30, 2005

9

11/1/2006

 

Consolidated Balance Sheets

10

11/1/2006

 

10-Year Net Income Reconciliation

11

11/1/2006

 

Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

12

11/1/2006

 

Top Holdings -- Common Stocks

13

11/1/2006

    

Property Casualty Insurance Operations

  
 

GAAP Statements of Income

14

11/1/2006

 

Statutory Statements of Income

15

11/1/2006

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Consolidated

16

11/1/2006

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Commercial Lines

17

11/1/2006

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Personal Lines

18

11/1/2006

 

Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business and State

19

11/1/2006

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines of Business

20

11/1/2006

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines of Business

21

11/1/2006

    

Reconciliation Data

  
 

10-Year Property Casualty Data – Consolidated

22

11/1/2006

 

6-Year Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines

23

11/1/2006

 

6-Year Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines

24

11/1/2006

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Consolidated

25

11/1/2006

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines

26

11/1/2006

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines

27

11/1/2006

    

Life Insurance Operations

  
 

GAAP Statements of Income

28

11/1/2006

 

Statutory Statements of Income

29

11/1/2006

 

Expenses as a Percentage of Premium

30

11/1/2006



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 2



Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.

Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments – when analyzing both GAAP and certain non-GAAP measures may improve understanding of trends in the underlying business, helping avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.

·

Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities and embedded derivatives without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.

For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.

·

Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.

·

Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.

·

Written premium adjustment – statutory basis only: In 2002, the company refined its estimation process for matching property casualty written premiums to policy effective dates, which added $117 million to 2002 written premiums. To better assess ongoing business trends, management may exclude this adjustment when analyzing trends in written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

·

Codification: Adoption of Codification of Statutory Accounting Principles was required for Ohio-based insurance companies effective January 1, 2001. The adoption of Codification changed the manner in which the company recognized statutory property casualty written premiums. As a result, 2001 statutory written premiums included $402 million to account for unbooked premiums related to policies with effective dates prior to January 1, 2001. To better assess ongoing business trends, management excludes this $402 million when analyzing written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

·

Life insurance gross written premiums: In analyzing the life insurance company’s gross written premiums, management excludes five larger, single-pay life insurance policies (bank-owned life insurance or BOLIs) written in 2004, 2002, 2000 and 1999 to focus on the trend in premiums written through the independent agency distribution channel.

·

One-time charges or adjustments: Management analyzes earnings and profitability excluding the impact of one-time items.

In 2003, as the result of a settlement negotiated with a vendor, pretax results included the recovery of $23 million of the $39 million one-time, pretax charge incurred in 2000.

In 2000, the company recorded a one-time charge of $39 million, pre-tax, to write down previously capitalized costs related to the development of software to process property casualty policies.

In 2000, the company earned $5 million in interest in the first quarter from a $303 million single-premium BOLI policy that was booked at the end of 1999 and segregated as a separate account effective April 1, 2000. Investment income and realized investment gains and losses from separate accounts generally accrue directly to the contract holder and, therefore, are not included in the company’s consolidated financials.



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 3





Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Quick Reference - Third Quarter 2006

(all data shown is for the three months ended or as of September 30, 2006)

         

(Based on reported data - see Pages 25-27 for adjusted data)

      
         

(Dollars in millions except share data)

        

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

Benefits and expenses:

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Commercial lines net written premiums

$

582 

 

 

Commercial lines loss and loss expenses

$

377 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

6.5 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

4.5 

 %

Personal lines net written premiums

$

198 

 

 

Personal lines loss and loss expenses

$

139 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(8.0)

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(1.2)

 %

Property casualty net written premiums

$

780 

 

 

Property casualty loss and loss expenses

$

516 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

2.4 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

2.9 

 %

Commercial lines net earned premiums

$

602 

 

 

Life and accident and health losses and policy benefits

$

33 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

6.7 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

21.2 

 %

Personal lines net earned premiums

$

189 

 

 

Operating expenses

$

257 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(5.9)

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

2.2 

 %

Property casualty net earned premiums

$

791 

 

 

Interest expenses

$

13 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

3.4 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

1.6 

 %

Life and accident and health net earned premiums

$

28 

 

 

Total expenses

$

819 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

9.4 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

3.3 

 %

Investment income

$

144 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

148 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

7.5 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(2.4)

 %

Realized gains on investments

$

 

 

Total income tax

$

33 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

nm 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(5.2)

 %

Other income

$

 

 

Effective tax rate

 

21.9 

 %

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(2.6)

 %

     

Total revenues

$

967 

 

 

Ratios:

 

 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

2.4 

 %

 

 

  

 

 

    

Commercial lines GAAP combined ratio

 

93.4 

 %

Income:

    

Personal lines GAAP combined ratio

 

104.4 

 %

 

  

 

 

Property casualty GAAP combined ratio

 

96.1 

 %

Operating income

$

115 

 

 

 

  

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

7.5 

 %

 

Commercial lines STAT combined ratio

 

94.1 

 %

Net realized investment gains and losses

$

 

 

Personal lines STAT combined ratio

 

104.0 

 %

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

nm 

 %

 

Property casualty STAT combined ratio

 

96.4 

 %

Net income

$

115 

 

 

 

  

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(1.6)

 %

 

Return on equity based upon net income (annualized)

 

7.4 

 %

 

    

Return on equity based upon operating income (annualized)

 

7.4 

 %

Per share: (diluted)

    

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

Balance Sheet:

  

 

Operating income

$

 0.66 

 

    

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

8.2 

 %

 

Fixed maturity investments

$

5,790 

 

Net realized investment gains and losses

$

 0.00 

 

 

Equity securities

 

7,256 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

nm 

 %

 

Other invested assets

 

58 

 

Net income

$

0.66 

 

 

  Total invested assets

$

13,104 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

0.0 

 %

    

 

Book value

$

37.32 

 

 

Property casualty and life loss and loss expense reserves

$

3,878 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

8.4 

 %

 

Total debt

 

840 

 

Weighted average shares -- diluted

175,260,063 

 

 

Shareholders equity

 

6,464 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(0.9)

 %

 

 

 

 

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 4






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Income

  

For the Three Months Ended September 30,

  

For the Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

  

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

    Property casualty

$

    832,224,817 

 $

    816,434,954 

 $

       15,789,863 

1.93 

 

$

    2,475,926,407 

$

 $2,418,228,387 

 $

  57,698,020 

2.39 

    Life

 

36,294,277 

 

33,816,806 

 

2,477,471 

7.33 

  

109,318,969 

 

103,387,385 

 

5,931,584 

5.74 

    Accident health

 

1,709,173 

 

1,640,686 

 

68,487 

4.17 

  

4,948,521 

 

4,729,937 

 

218,584 

4.62 

    Premiums ceded  

 

(51,268,668)

 

(61,598,673)

 

10,330,005 

16.77 

  

(144,775,239)

 

(165,607,399)

 

20,832,160 

12.58 

      Total premiums earned  

 

818,959,599 

 

790,293,773 

 

28,665,826 

3.63 

  

2,445,418,658 

 

2,360,738,310 

 

84,680,348 

3.59 

  Investment income

 

143,775,266 

 

133,715,046 

 

10,060,220 

7.52 

  

425,032,304 

 

390,084,902 

 

34,947,402 

8.96 

  Realized gain on investments

 

(172,581)

 

15,956,443 

 

(16,129,024)

(101.08)

  

671,377,232 

 

37,641,729 

 

633,735,503 

1,683.60 

  Other income

 

4,404,807 

 

4,522,882 

 

(118,075)

(2.61)

  

13,779,080 

 

12,114,228 

 

1,664,852 

13.74 

Total revenues

$

    966,967,091 

 $

    944,488,144 

 $

       22,478,947 

2.38 

 

$

    3,555,607,274 

 $

   2,800,579,169 

 $

  755,028,105 

26.96 

 

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

    578,846,827 

 $

    591,433,357 

 $

      (12,586,530)

(2.13)

 

$

    1,694,301,755 

 $

   1,628,467,395 

 $

 65,834,360 

4.04 

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(30,315,757)

 

(63,310,660)

 

32,994,903 

52.12 

  

(98,667,113)

 

(158,538,599)

 

59,871,486 

37.76 

  Commissions

 

155,791,819 

 

160,017,630 

 

(4,225,811)

(2.64)

  

477,745,948 

 

476,232,758 

 

1,513,190 

0.32 

  Other operating expenses

 

83,215,761 

 

73,763,514 

 

9,452,247 

12.81 

  

242,512,606 

 

213,291,931 

 

29,220,675 

13.70 

  Interest expense

 

13,349,408 

 

13,137,277 

 

212,131 

1.61 

  

39,311,943 

 

38,984,112 

 

327,831 

0.84 

  Taxes, licenses & fees  

 

19,382,354 

 

16,966,814 

 

2,415,540 

14.24 

  

58,002,253 

 

52,064,735 

 

5,937,518 

11.40 

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

(4,798,858)

 

(4,753,685)

 

(45,173)

(0.95)

  

(26,742,398)

 

(23,578,132)

 

(3,164,266)

(13.42)

  Other expenses  

 

3,789,308 

 

5,906,680 

 

(2,117,372)

(35.85)

  

12,097,966 

 

11,942,231 

 

155,735 

1.30 

Total expenses

$

    819,260,862 

 $

    793,160,927 

 $

       26,099,935 

3.29 

 

$

    2,398,562,960 

 $

   2,238,866,431 

 $

  159,696,529 

7.13 

Income before income taxes

$

    147,706,229 

 $

    151,327,217 

 $

       (3,620,988)

(2.39)

 

$

    1,157,044,314 

 $

      561,712,738 

 $

 595,331,576 

105.99 

 

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

Current operating income

$

      23,097,937 

 $

      12,662,082 

 $

       10,435,855 

82.42 

 

$

    118,760,218 

 $

   112,001,886 

 $

  6,758,332 

6.03 

Realized investments gains and losses

 

(89,965)

 

6,181,378 

 

(6,271,343)

(101.46)

  

244,892,142 

 

13,827,830 

 

231,064,312 

1,671.01 

Deferred

 

9,386,153 

 

15,338,400 

 

(5,952,247)

(38.81)

  

(6,393,609)

 

16,584,928 

 

(22,978,537)

(138.55)

Total income taxes

$

      32,394,125 

 $

      34,181,860 

 $

       (1,787,735)

(5.23)

 

$

    357,258,751 

 $

   142,414,644 

 $

214,844,107 

150.86 

  

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

Net income

$

    115,312,104 

 $

    117,145,357 

 $

       (1,833,253)

(1.56)

 

$

    799,785,563 

 $

   419,298,094 

 $

380,487,469 

90.74 

Comprehensive net income

$

455,185,004 

 $

(58,836,741)

 $

514,021,755 

(873.64)

 

$

609,439,522 

 $

(38,825,775)

 $

648,265,297 

(1,669.68)

  

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

Operating income

$

    115,394,725 

 $

    107,370,292 

 $

        8,024,433 

7.47 

 

$

    373,300,473 

 $

   395,484,195 

 $

(22,183,722)

(5.61)

Net realized investments gains and losses

$

           (82,615)

 $

    9,775,065 

 $

       (9,857,680)

(100.85)

 

$

    426,485,090 

 $

     23,813,899 

 $

402,671,191 

1,690.91 

 

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

Net income per share:

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

  Operating income

$

                0.67 

 $

                0.61 

 $

                0.06 

9.84 

 

$

               2.15 

 $

               2.26 

 $

  (0.11)

(4.87)

  Net realized investments gains
     and losses

 

0.00 

 

0.06 

 

(0.06)

(100.00)

  

2.46 

 

0.13 

 

2.33 

1,792.31 

  Net income per share (basic)

$

                0.67 

 $

                0.67 

 $

                0.00 

0.00 

 

$

               4.61 

 $

               2.39 

 $

  2.22 

92.89 

  Operating income

$

                0.66 

 $

                0.61 

 $

                0.05 

8.20 

 

$

               2.13 

 $

               2.23 

 $

 (0.10)

(4.48)

  Net realized investments gains
     and losses

 

0.00 

 

0.05 

 

(0.05)

(100.00)

  

2.43 

 

0.14 

 

2.29 

1,635.71 

  Net income per share (diluted)

$

                0.66 

 $

                0.66 

 $

                    -    

0.00 

 

$

               4.56 

 $

               2.37 

 $

 2.19 

92.41 

Dividends per share:

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

  Paid

$

              0.335 

 $

              0.305 

 $

               0.030 

9.84 

 

$

             0.975 

 $

             0.857 

 $

 0.118 

13.77 

  Declared  

$

              0.335 

 $

              0.305 

 $

               0.030 

9.84 

 

$

             1.005 

 $

             0.900 

 $

 0.105 

11.67 

Number of shares:

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

  Weighted avg - basic

 

173,224,254 

 

174,811,150 

 

(1,586,896)

(0.91)

  

173,555,925 

 

175,194,545 

 

(1,638,620)

(0.94)

  Weighted avg - diluted

 

175,260,063 

 

176,806,267 

 

(1,546,204)

(0.87)

  

175,542,616 

 

177,212,677 

 

(1,670,061)

(0.94)



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 5






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006

               
 

Total

CFC

CIC GROUP

CLIC

CFC-I

CINFIN

SELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

     2,475,926,407 

 $

$

$2,476,130,642 

 $

$

$

0

$

        (204,235)

    Life

 

109,318,969 

 

 

 

109,318,969 

 

 

0

 

    Accident health

 

4,948,521 

 

 

 

4,948,521 

 

 

0

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(144,775,239)

 

 

(114,086,242)

 

(30,688,997)

 

 

0

 

      Total earned premium

 

2,445,418,658 

 

 

2,362,044,400 

 

83,578,493 

 

 

0

 

(204,235)

  Investment income

 

425,032,304 

 

72,886,606 

 

273,650,490 

 

80,603,825 

 

46,800 

 

152,135

 

(2,307,553)

  Realized gain on investments  

 

671,377,232 

 

408,476,440 

 

218,522,618 

 

42,327,225 

 

(541,501)

 

13,974

 

2,578,476 

  Other income

 

13,779,080 

 

7,562,069 

 

2,543,187 

 

2,559,919 

 

8,325,040 

 

1,752,535

 

(8,963,671)

Total revenues

$

     3,555,607,274 

 $

 488,925,115 

 $

   2,856,760,695 

 $

209,069,462 

 $

   7,830,339 

 $

 1,918,644

 $

     (8,896,983)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

     1,694,301,755 

 $

$

   1,577,665,678 

 $

 118,288,412 

 $

$

0

$

     (1,652,335)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(98,667,113)

 

 

(71,961,815)

 

(26,705,298)

 

 

0

 

  Commissions

 

477,745,948 

 

 

452,075,295 

 

25,670,653 

 

 

0

 

  Other operating expenses

 

242,512,606 

 

14,648,994 

 

212,430,180 

 

19,784,207 

 

3,954,490 

 

395,698

 

(8,700,963)

  Interest expense

 

39,311,943 

 

38,152,316 

 

392,450 

 

 

1,961,356 

 

0

 

(1,194,179)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

58,002,253 

 

867,522 

 

55,196,080 

 

2,144,949 

 

(241,964)

 

35,667

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(26,742,398)

 

 

(12,504,697)

 

(14,237,700)

 

 

0

 

  Other expenses

 

12,097,966 

 

 

12,097,857 

 

108 

 

 

0

 

Total expenses

$

2,398,562,960 

$

 53,668,832 

 $

 2,225,391,028 

 $

  124,945,331 

 $

 5,673,882 

 $

 431,365

 $

   (11,547,477)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

1,157,044,314 

$

435,256,283 

 $

     631,369,667 

 $

   84,124,131 

 $

 2,156,457 

 $

 1,487,279

 $

      2,650,494 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

  Current operating income

$

118,760,218 

$

   (3,584,929)

 $

     115,636,895 

 $

   5,319,857 

 $

  909,580 

 $

  478,815

 $

                   - 

  Capital gains/losses

 

244,892,142 

 

152,440,557 

 

77,515,165 

 

14,931,529 

 

 

4,891

 

  Deferred

 

(6,393,609)

 

(5,488,385)

 

(11,476,491)

 

9,777,623 

 

(142,061)

 

8,032

 

927,673 

Total income tax

$

357,258,751 

$

143,367,243 

 $

     181,675,569 

 $

    30,029,009 

 $

  767,519 

 $

  491,738

 $

         927,673 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - current year

$

799,785,563 

$

  291,889,040 

 $

     449,694,098 

 $

  54,095,122 

 $

 1,388,938 

 $

  995,541

 $

      1,722,821 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

419,298,094 

$

  27,733,445 

 $

     354,886,734 

 $

  31,469,807 

 $

       2,651,223 

 $

         908,027

 $

      1,648,858 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

90.7%

 

952.5%

 

26.7%

 

71.9%

 

-47.6%

 

9.6%

 

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 6






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2005

               
 

Total

CFC

CIC GROUP

CLIC

CFC-I

CINFIN

ELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

 2,418,228,387 

$

$

 2,418,671,941 

 $

$

$

$

       (443,554)

    Life

 

103,387,385 

 

 

 

103,387,385 

 

 

 

    Accident health

 

4,729,937 

 

 

 

4,729,937 

 

 

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(165,607,399)

 

 

(135,659,874)

 

(29,947,525)

 

 

 

      Total earned premium

 

2,360,738,310 

 

 

2,283,012,067 

 

78,169,797 

 

 

 

(443,554)

  Investment income

 

390,084,902 

 

64,294,291 

 

250,431,732 

 

73,310,458 

 

798,193 

 

97,329 

 

1,152,899 

  Realized gain on investments  

 

37,641,729 

 

843,339 

 

28,137,043 

 

7,356,820 

 

 

(79,278)

 

1,383,805 

  Other income

 

12,114,228 

 

9,318,419 

 

2,448,898 

 

2,545,788 

 

7,274,534 

 

1,689,454 

 

(11,162,865)

Total revenues

$

 2,800,579,169 

$

          74,456,049 

 $

    2,564,029,740 

 $

     161,382,863 

 $

    8,072,727 

 $

         1,707,505 

 $

    (9,069,715)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

 1,628,467,395 

$

$

  1,501,898,504 

 $

     128,224,954 

 $

$

$

    (1,656,063)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(158,538,599)

 

 

(107,171,591)

 

(51,367,008)

 

 

 

  Commissions

 

476,232,758 

 

 

450,455,747 

 

25,777,011 

 

 

 

  Other operating expenses

 

213,291,931 

 

15,702,843 

 

185,451,011 

 

17,860,479 

 

2,851,948 

 

318,173 

 

(8,892,523)

  Interest expense

 

38,984,112 

 

39,002,632 

 

 

 

1,039,313 

 

 

(1,057,833)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

52,064,735 

 

(578,709)

 

49,018,411 

 

3,172,446 

 

424,839 

 

27,748 

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(23,578,132)

 

 

(13,811,253)

 

(9,766,879)

 

 

 

  Other expenses

 

11,942,231 

 

 

11,942,123 

 

108 

 

 

 

Total expenses

$

 2,238,866,431 

$

               54,126,766 

 $

    2,077,782,952 

 $

    113,901,111 

 $

       4,316,100 

 $

               345,921 

 $

  (11,606,419)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

561,712,738 

$

               20,329,283 

 $

     486,246,788 

 $

      47,481,752 

 $

     3,756,627 

 $

           1,361,584 

 $

     2,536,704 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Current operating income

$

112,001,886 

$

              (13,972,411)

 $

     115,007,157 

 $

       9,098,378 

 $

        1,387,999 

 $

              480,763 

 $

  Capital gains/losses

 

13,827,830 

 

607,712 

 

10,674,562 

 

2,574,887 

 

 

(29,331)

 

  Deferred

 

16,584,928 

 

5,960,537 

 

5,678,335 

 

4,338,680 

 

(282,595)

 

2,125 

 

887,846 

Total income tax

$

142,414,644 

$

(7,404,162)

 $

131,360,054 

 $

16,011,945 

 $

1,105,404 

 $

                      453,557 

 $

887,846 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - current year

$

419,298,094 

$

27,733,445 

 $

354,886,734 

 $

31,469,807 

 $

2,651,223 

 $

908,027 

 $

1,648,858 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

 391,575,234 

$

68,027,300 

 $

386,869,008 

 $

23,966,096 

 $

788,358 

 $

894,629 

 

($88,970,157)

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

7.1%

 

-59.2%

 

-8.3%

 

31.3%

 

236.3%

 

1.5%

 

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 7






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2006

               
 

Total

CFC

CIC GROUP

CLIC

CFC-I

CINFIN

ELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

          832,224,817 

 $

$

  832,230,217 

 $

$

$

0

$

               (5,400)

    Life

 

36,294,277 

 

 

 

36,294,277 

 

 

0

 

    Accident health

 

1,709,173 

 

 

 

1,709,173 

 

 

0

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(51,268,668)

 

 

(40,812,821)

 

(10,455,847)

 

 

0

 

      Total earned premium

 

818,959,599 

 

 

791,417,396 

 

27,547,603 

 

 

0

 

(5,400)

  Investment income

 

143,775,267 

 

24,507,149 

 

92,191,499 

 

27,213,672 

 

46,800 

 

55,452

 

(239,306)

  Realized gain on investments

 

(172,581)

 

(2,726,812)

 

2,792,195 

 

(256,745)

 

(541,501)

 

4,410

 

555,872 

  Other income

 

4,404,808 

 

2,537,505 

 

761,677 

 

755,639 

 

2,742,563 

 

600,330

 

(2,992,907)

Total revenues

$

          966,967,093 

 $

               24,317,842 

 $

        887,162,767 

 $

          55,260,169 

 $

          2,247,862 

 $

              660,192

 $

         (2,681,741)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

          578,846,827 

 $

$

        536,647,193 

 $

           42,750,492 

 $

$

0

$

            (550,858)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(30,315,757)

 

 

(20,587,535)

 

(9,728,222)

 

 

0

 

  Commissions

 

155,791,819 

 

 

147,356,940 

 

8,434,879 

 

 

0

 

  Other operating expenses

 

83,215,761 

 

5,263,781 

 

72,719,732 

 

6,877,898 

 

1,067,271 

 

129,658

 

(2,842,579)

  Interest expense

 

13,349,408 

 

12,615,175 

 

 

 

734,233 

 

0

 

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

19,382,352 

 

371,758 

 

18,568,187 

 

394,060 

 

36,459 

 

11,889

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(4,798,858)

 

 

1,745,550 

 

(6,544,407)

 

 

0

 

  Other expenses

 

3,789,308 

 

 

3,789,308 

 

(1)

 

 

0

 

Total expenses

$

          819,260,860 

 $

               18,250,714 

 $

        760,239,375 

 $

       42,184,699 

 $

               1,837,963 

 $

                141,547

 $

         (3,393,437)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

          147,706,233 

 $

                 6,067,128 

 $

        126,923,392 

 $

         13,075,470 

 $

              409,899 

 $

              518,645

 $

             711,696 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

  Current operating income

$

23,097,936 

 $

(1,882,887)

 $

24,605,468 

 $

              (33,442)

 $

243,709 

 $

              165,088

 $

  Capital gains/losses

 

(89,966)

 

(1,672,581)

 

1,553,933 

 

27,139 

 

 

1,543

 

  Deferred

 

9,386,153 

 

(292,846)

 

5,203,394 

 

4,382,846 

 

(161,732)

 

5,397

 

249,094 

Total income tax

$

32,394,123 

 $

(3,848,314)

 $

31,362,795 

 $

4,376,543 

 $

81,977 

 $

172,028

 $

249,094 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - current year

$

115,312,110 

 $

9,915,442 

 $

95,560,597 

 $

8,698,927 

 $

327,922 

 $

346,617

 $

462,602 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

117,145,356 

 $

11,567,302 

 $

95,574,518 

 $

8,114,811 

 $

1,085,652 

 $

270,355

 $

532,718 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

-1.6%

 

-14.3%

 

0.0%

 

7.2%

 

-69.8%

 

28.2%

 

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 8






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Tree Months Ended September 30, 2005

               
  

Total

 

CFC

 

CIC GROUP

 

CLIC

 

CFC-I

 

CINFIN

 

ELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

    816,434,954  

 $

$

  816,500,613 

 $

$

$

$

             (65,659)

    Life

 

33,816,806 

 

 

 

33,816,806 

 

 

 

    Accident health

 

1,640,686 

 

 

 

1,640,686 

 

 

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(61,598,673)

 

 

(51,311,141)

 

(10,287,532)

 

 

 

      Total earned premium

 

790,293,773 

 

 

765,189,472 

 

25,169,960 

 

 

 

(65,659)

  Investment income

 

133,717,730 

 

21,972,750 

 

86,697,604 

 

24,913,462 

 

15,175 

 

34,276 

 

84,463 

  Realized gain on investments  

 

15,956,443 

 

2,927,373 

 

12,669,320 

 

(288,018)

 

 

(87,334)

 

735,102 

  Other income

 

4,520,198 

 

3,417,095 

 

797,963 

 

951,468 

 

2,532,634 

 

576,653 

 

(3,755,615)

Total revenues

$

    944,488,144 

 $

    28,317,218 

 $

  865,354,359 

 $

   50,746,872 

 $

       2,547,809 

 $

     523,595 

 $

   (3,001,709)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

    591,433,357 

 $

$

 542,942,994 

 $

   49,044,146 

 $

$

$

    (553,783)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(63,310,660)

 

 

(41,513,881)

 

(21,796,779)

 

 

 

  Commissions

 

160,017,630 

 

 

151,232,688 

 

8,784,942 

 

 

 

  Other operating expenses

 

73,788,697 

 

5,799,521 

 

63,480,451 

 

6,596,022 

 

694,285 

 

107,367 

 

(2,888,949)

  Interest expense

 

13,137,277 

 

13,152,236 

 

 

 

363,583 

 

 

(378,542)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

16,941,631 

 

(929,793)

 

16,707,845 

 

1,021,334 

 

132,745 

 

9,500 

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(4,753,685)

 

 

230,422 

 

(4,984,107)

 

 

 

  Other expenses

 

5,906,680 

 

 

5,906,680 

 

 

 

 

Total expenses

$

    793,160,927 

 $

    18,021,964 

 $

 738,987,199 

 $

    38,665,558 

 $

     1,190,613 

 $

         116,867 

 $

   (3,821,274)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

    151,327,217 

 $

   10,295,254 

 $

 126,367,160 

 $

   12,081,314 

 $

   1,357,196 

 $

       406,728 

 $

       819,565 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

  Current operating income

$

      12,662,082 

 $

    (2,741,890)

 $

  12,002,070 

 $

   2,852,503 

 $

    385,645 

 $

        163,754 

 $

                 - 

  Capital gains/losses

 

6,181,378 

 

1,050,982 

 

5,260,859 

 

(100,806)

 

 

(29,657)

 

  Deferred

 

15,338,400 

 

418,860 

 

13,529,713 

 

1,214,805 

 

(114,101)

 

2,276 

 

286,847 

Total income tax

$

34,181,860 

 $

   (1,272,048)

 $

  30,792,642 

 $

   3,966,502 

 $

    271,544 

 $

136,373 

 $

286,847 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - current year

$

117,145,357 

 $

11,567,302 

 $

 95,574,518 

 $

8,114,812 

 $

1,085,652 

 $

270,355 

 $

532,718 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

90,137,006 

 $

20,784,242 

 $

  63,289,855 

 $

5,309,501 

 $

   (642,790)

 $

    323,168 

 $

1,073,030 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

30.0%

 

-44.3%

 

51.0%

 

52.8%

 

-268.9%

 

-16.3%

 

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 9




Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Balance Sheets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Dollars in millions except per share data)

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

 

 

 

2006

 

2005

    

(unaudited)

  

Assets

      

   Investments

      

      Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2006—$5,719; 2005—$5,387)

  

$

5,790 

$

5,476 

      Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2006—$2,574; 2005—$2,128)

   

7,256 

 

7,106 

      Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2005—$75)

   

 

75 

      Other invested assets

   

58 

 

45 

   Cash and cash equivalents

   

239 

 

119 

   Securities lending collateral

   

1,016 

 

   Investment income receivable

   

115 

 

118 

   Finance receivable

   

106 

 

105 

   Premiums receivable

   

1,166 

 

1,116 

   Reinsurance receivable

   

701 

 

681 

   Prepaid reinsurance premiums

   

13 

 

14 

   Deferred policy acquisition costs

   

458 

 

428 

   Property and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation: 2006—$253; 2005—$232)

 

185 

 

168 

   Other assets

   

63 

 

66 

   Separate accounts

   

505 

 

486 

      Total assets

  

$

17,671 

$

16,003 

       

Liabilities

      

   Insurance reserves

      

      Losses and loss expense

  

$

3,878 

$

3,661 

      Life policy reserves

   

1,389 

 

1,343 

   Unearned premiums

   

1,623 

 

1,559 

   Securities lending payable

   

1,016 

 

   Other liabilities

   

459 

 

455 

   Deferred income tax

   

1,497 

 

1,622 

   Notes payable

   

49 

 

   6.125% senior debenture due 2034

   

371 

 

371 

   6.90% senior debenture due 2028

   

28 

 

28 

   6.92% senior debenture due 2028

   

392 

 

392 

   Separate accounts

   

505 

 

486 

      Total liabilities

   

11,207 

 

9,917 

       

Shareholders' equity

      

   Common stock, par value-$2 per share; authorized: 2006-500 million shares, 2005-
      500 million shares; issued: 2006-195 million shares, 2005-194 million shares

   

391 

 

389 

   Paid-in capital

   

1,005 

 

969 

   Retained earnings

   

2,714 

 

2,088 

   Accumulated other comprehensive income

   

3,093 

 

3,284 

   Treasury stock at cost (2006—22 million shares, 2005—20 million shares)

   

(739)

 

(644)

      Total shareholders' equity

   

6,464 

 

6,086 

      Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

  

$

17,671 

$

16,003 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 10






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

10-Year Net Income Reconciliation

 

(Dollars in millions except per share data)

Years ended December 31,

 

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

                               

   Net income

$

602 

 

$

584 

 

$

374 

 

$

238 

 

$

193 

 

$

118 

 

$

255 

 

$

242 

 

$

299 

 

$

224 

 

   One-time item

 

  

  

15 

  

  

  

(25)

  

  

  

  

 

   Net income before one-time item

 

602 

  

584 

  

359 

  

238 

  

193 

  

143 

  

255 

  

242 

  

299 

  

224 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

40 

  

60 

  

(27)

 

 

(62)

 

 

(17)

 

 

(2)

 

 

 

 

43 

 

 

45 

 

 

31 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

 

562 

  

524 

  

386 

  

300 

  

210 

  

145 

  

255 

  

199 

  

254 

  

193 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

(82)

  

(96)

  

(63)

 

 

(57)

 

 

(42)

 

 

(33)

 

 

(24)

 

 

(61)

 

 

(17)

 

 

(42)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item

$

644 

 

$

620 

 

$

449 

 

$

357 

 

$

252 

 

$

178 

 

$

279 

 

$

260 

 

$

271 

 

$

235 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted per share data

                              

   Net income

$

3.40 

 

$

3.28 

 

$

2.10 

 

$

1.32 

 

$

1.07 

 

$

0.67 

 

$

1.37 

 

$

1.28 

 

$

1.61 

 

$

1.17 

 

   One-time item

 

0.00 

  

0.00 

  

0.09 

  

0.00 

  

0.00 

  

(0.14)

  

0.00 

  

0.00 

  

0.00 

  

0.00 

 

   Net income before one-time item

 

3.40 

  

3.28 

  

2.01 

  

1.32 

  

1.07 

  

0.81 

  

1.37 

  

1.28 

  

1.61 

  

1.17 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

0.23 

 

 

0.34 

 

 

(0.15)

 

 

(0.35)

 

 

(0.10)

 

 

(0.01)

 

 

0.00 

 

 

0.23 

 

 

0.26 

 

 

0.16 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

 

3.17 

  

2.94 

  

2.16 

  

1.67 

  

1.17 

  

0.82 

  

1.37 

  

1.05 

  

1.35 

  

1.01 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

(0.46)

 

 

(0.54)

 

 

(0.35)

 

 

(0.31)

 

 

(0.23)

 

 

(0.18)

 

 

(0.13)

 

 

(0.32)

 

 

(0.13)

 

 

(0.33)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item

$

3.63 

 

$

3.48 

 

$

2.51 

 

$

1.98 

 

$

1.40 

 

$

1.00 

 

$

1.50 

 

$

1.37 

 

$

1.49 

 

$

1.35 

 

                               

Return on equity

                              

   Return on average equity

 

9.8 

%

9.4 

%

6.3 

%

4.1 

%

3.2 

%

2.1 

%

4.6 

%

4.7 

%

7.6 

%

7.7 

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(0.3)

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.4 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   Return on average equity before one-time item

 

9.8 

%

9.4 

%

6.0 

%

4.1 

%

3.2 

%

2.5 

%

4.6 

%

4.7 

%

7.6 

%

7.7 

%

                               

Return on equity based on comprehensive income

                              

   ROE based on comprehensive income

 

1.6 

%

4.6 

%

13.8 

%

(4.0)

%

2.5 

%

13.1 

%

1.9 

%

19.6 

%

42.6 

%

20.3 

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(0.3)

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.4 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   ROE based on comprehensive income before one-time item

 

1.6 

%

4.6 

%

13.5 

%

(4.0)

%

2.5 

%

13.5 

%

1.9 

%

19.6 

%

42.6 

%

20.3 

%

                               

   Investment income, net of expenses

$

526 

 

$

492 

 

$

465 

 

$

445 

 

$

421 

 

$

415 

 

$

387 

 

$

368 

 

$

349 

 

$

327 

 

   BOLI

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(5)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Investment income before BOLI

$

526 

 

$

492 

 

$

465 

 

$

445 

 

$

421 

 

$

410 

 

$

387 

 

$

368 

 

$

349 

 

$

327 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

       



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 11






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

 

(In millions except per share data)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

                 

 

 

  

 

 

  

 

    

   Net income

  

$

115 

$

132 

$

552 

$

183 

$

117 

$

158 

$

144 

$

684 

$

302 

$

800 

$

419 

 

 

$

602 

 

   One-time item

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

   Net income before one-time item

   

115 

 

132 

 

552 

 

183 

 

117 

 

158 

 

144 

 

684 

 

302 

 

800 

 

419 

 

  

602 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

 

 

 

 

421 

 

16 

 

10 

 

 

 

426 

 

14 

 

427 

 

24 

 

 

 

40 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

   

115 

 

126 

 

131 

 

167 

 

107 

 

150 

 

138 

 

258 

 

288 

 

373 

 

395 

 

  

562 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

 

 

(18)

 

(41)

 

(26)

 

(28)

 

(43)

 

(9)

 

(2)

 

(67)

 

(11)

 

(85)

 

(54)

 

 

 

(82)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and
        one-time item

 

 

$

133 

$

167 

$

157 

$

195 

$

150 

$

159 

$

140 

$

325 

$

299 

$

458 

$

449 

 

 

$

644 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted per share data

                

 

   

 

   

 

    

   Net income

  

$

0.66 

$

0.76 

$

3.13 

$

1.03 

$

0.66 

$

0.89 

$

0.81 

$

3.90 

$

1.70 

$

2.13 

$

2.37 

 

 

$

3.40 

 

   One-time item

   

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

  

0.00 

 

   Net income before one-time item

   

0.66 

 

0.76 

 

3.13 

 

1.03 

 

0.66 

 

0.89 

 

0.81 

 

3.90 

 

1.70 

 

2.13 

 

2.37 

 

  

3.40 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

 

 

0.00 

 

0.04 

 

2.39 

 

0.09 

 

0.05 

 

0.05 

 

0.03 

 

2.43 

 

0.08 

 

2.43 

 

0.14 

 

 

 

0.23 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

   

0.66 

 

0.72 

 

0.74 

 

0.94 

 

0.61 

 

0.84 

 

0.78 

 

1.47 

 

1.62 

 

4.56 

 

2.23 

 

  

3.17 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

 

 

(0.10)

 

(0.24)

 

(0.14)

 

(0.16)

 

(0.24)

 

(0.05)

 

(0.01)

 

(0.38)

 

(0.06)

 

(0.48)

 

(0.30)

 

 

 

(0.46)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and
         one-time item

 

 

$

0.76 

$

0.96 

$

0.88

$

1.10

$

0.85

$

0.89

$

0.79 

$

1.85 

$

1.68

$

5.04

$

2.53 

 

 

$

3.63 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

   

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                           



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 12





Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Top Holdings – Common Stocks

         

(Dollars in millions)

As of and for the nine months ended September 30, 2006

Actual
cost

Fair
value

Percent of
fair value

Earned dividend
income

Fifth Third Bancorp

$

283

$

2,771

39.5

%

$

86

ExxonMobil Corporation

 

134

 

601

8.6

  

9

The Procter & Gamble Company

 

192

 

452

6.4

  

6

National City Corporation

 

172

 

359

5.1

  

11

PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

 

62

 

341

4.8

  

7

Johnson & Johnson

 

194

 

234

3.3

  

4

AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.

 

60

 

228

3.2

  

9

Wyeth

 

62

 

225

3.2

  

3

U.S. Bancorp

 

140

 

222

3.2

  

7

Wells Fargo & Company

 

96

 

196

2.8

  

4

Piedmont Natural Gas Company, Inc.

 

64

 

143

2.0

  

4

FirstMerit Corporation

 

54

 

124

1.8

  

4

Sky Financial Group, Inc.

 

91

 

116

1.6

  

3

All other common stock holdings

 

754

 

1,020

14.5

  

22

   Total

$

2,358

$

7,032

100.0

%

$

179

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 13






Cincinnati Insurance Group

GAAP Statements of Income

      
  

For the Three Months Ended September 30,

  

For the Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

 

% Change

  

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

 

 

     

 

  

 

    

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

     

 

  

 

    

 

    Property casualty

$

832,230,217 

$

816,500,613 

$

15,729,604 

 

1.93 

 

$

2,476,130,642 

 $

2,418,671,941 

 $

57,458,701 

2.38 

    Life

 

 

 

 

NA 

  

 

 

NA 

    Accident health

 

 

 

 

NA 

  

 

 

NA 

    Premiums ceded  

 

(40,812,821)

 

(51,311,141)

 

10,498,320 

 

20.46 

  

(114,086,242)

 

(135,659,874)

 

21,573,632 

15.90 

      Total premiums earned  

 

791,417,396 

 

765,189,472 

 

26,227,924 

 

3.43 

  

2,362,044,400 

 

2,283,012,067 

 

79,032,333 

3.46 

  Investment income

 

92,191,499 

 

86,697,604 

 

5,493,895 

 

6.34 

  

273,650,490 

 

250,431,732 

 

23,218,758 

9.27 

  Realized gain on investments

 

2,792,195 

 

12,669,320 

 

(9,877,125)

 

(77.96)

  

218,522,618 

 

28,137,043 

 

190,385,575 

676.64 

  Other income

 

761,677 

 

797,963 

 

(36,286)

 

(4.55)

  

2,543,187 

 

2,448,898 

 

94,289 

3.85 

       Total revenues

$

887,162,767 

$

865,354,359 

$

21,808,408 

 

2.52 

 

$

2,856,760,695 

 $

2,564,029,740 

 $

292,730,955 

11.42 

 

 

 

     

 

  

 

    

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

     

 

  

 

    

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

 536,647,193 

$

542,942,994 

$

(6,295,801)

 

(1.16)

 

$

1,577,665,678 

 $

1,501,898,504 

 $

75,767,174 

5.04 

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(20,587,535)

 

(41,513,881)

 

20,926,346 

 

50.41 

  

(71,961,815)

 

(107,171,591)

 

35,209,776 

32.85 

  Commissions

 

147,356,940 

 

151,232,688 

 

(3,875,748)

 

(2.56)

  

452,075,295 

 

450,455,747 

 

1,619,548 

0.36 

  Other operating expenses

 

72,719,732 

 

63,480,451 

 

9,239,281 

 

14.55 

  

212,430,180 

 

185,451,011 

 

26,979,169 

14.55 

  Interest expense

 

 

 

 

NA 

  

392,450 

 

 

392,450 

NA 

  Taxes, licenses & fees  

 

18,568,187 

 

16,707,845 

 

1,860,342 

 

11.13 

  

55,196,080 

 

49,018,411 

 

6,177,669 

12.60 

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

1,745,550 

 

230,422 

 

1,515,128 

 

657.54 

  

(12,504,697)

 

(13,811,253)

 

1,306,556 

9.46 

  Other expenses  

 

3,789,308 

 

5,906,680 

 

(2,117,372)

 

(35.85)

  

12,097,857 

 

11,942,123 

 

155,734 

1.30 

       Total expenses

$

760,239,375 

$

738,987,199 

$

21,252,176 

 

2.88 

 

$

2,225,391,028 

 $

2,077,782,952 

 $

147,608,076 

7.10 

       Income before income taxes

$

126,923,392 

$

126,367,160 

$

556,232 

 

0.44 

 

$

631,369,667 

 $

486,246,788 

 $

145,122,879 

29.85 

        

 

  

 

    

 

Provision for income taxes:

       

 

  

 

    

 

Current operating income

$

24,605,468 

$

12,002,070 

$

12,603,398 

 

105.01 

 

$

115,636,895 

 $

115,007,157 

 $

629,738 

0.55 

Current realized investments gains and losses

 

1,553,933 

 

5,260,859 

 

(3,706,926)

 

(70.46)

  

77,515,165 

 

10,674,562 

 

66,840,603 

626.17 

  Deferred

 

5,203,394 

 

13,529,713 

 

(8,326,319)

 

(61.54)

  

(11,476,491)

 

5,678,335 

 

(17,154,826)

(302.11)

       Total income taxes

$

31,362,795 

$

30,792,642 

$

570,153 

 

1.85 

 

$

181,675,569 

 $

131,360,054 

 $

50,315,515 

38.30 

        

 

  

 

   

 

 

       Net income

$

95,560,597 

$

95,574,518 

$

(13,921)

 

(0.01)

 

$

446,694,098 

 $

354,886,734 

 $

94,807,364 

26.71 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 14





Cincinnati Insurance Group

Statutory Statements of Income

     
  

For the Three Months Ended September 30,

 

For the Nine Months Ended September 30,

  

2006

2005

% Change

 

2006

2005

% Change

Underwriting income

 

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Net premiums written

$

 779,850,450 

$

  761,322,000 

2.43 

$

  2,422,859,784

 $

 2,348,830,386 

3.15 

Unearned premiums increase

 

 (11,566,946)

 

  (3,867,472)

 

 

       60,815,381

 

  65,818,319 

 

Earned premiums

 

 791,417,397 

 

 765,189,472 

3.43 

 

 2,362,044,403

 

 2,283,012,067 

3.46 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Losses incurred

$

 433,550,671 

$

 420,377,700 

3.13 

$

 1,261,577,990

$

 1,157,635,205 

8.98 

Allocated loss expenses incurred

 

  39,943,837 

 

  40,348,512 

(1.00)

 

 111,441,487

 

 115,655,662 

(3.64)

Unallocated loss expenses incurred

 

   42,565,137 

 

 40,702,901 

4.58 

 

  132,684,385

 

 121,436,046 

9.26 

Other underwriting expenses incurred

 

240,710,680 

 

  234,156,444 

2.80 

 

  701,823,238

 

 674,380,383 

4.07 

Workers compensation dividend incurred

 

   2,457,033 

 

  2,353,786 

4.39 

 

   12,207,419

 

 7,489,855 

62.99 

  

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

     Total underwriting deductions

$

759,227,358 

$

 737,939,344 

2.88 

$

2,219,734,519

$

2,076,597,151 

6.89 

Net underwriting gain (loss)

$

32,190,038 

$

 27,250,128 

18.13 

$

 142,309,885

$

 206,414,916 

(31.06)

  

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Investment income

 

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Gross investment income earned

$

  93,222,475 

$

  87,831,257 

6.14 

$

  277,045,152

$

 253,453,408 

9.31 

Net investment income earned

 

   92,191,500 

 

  86,697,354 

6.34 

 

  273,650,490

 

 250,431,731 

9.27 

Net realized capital gains

 

    778,019 

 

  9,825,710 

(92.08)

 

  141,848,878

 

 31,758,879 

346.64 

Net investment gains (excl. subs)

$

  92,969,519 

$

  96,523,064 

(3.68)

$

  415,499,368

$

 282,190,610 

47.24 

Dividend from subsidiary

 

  14,000,000 

 

                          

 

 

   14,000,000

 

                              

 

     Net investment gains

$

 106,969,519 

$

  96,523,064 

10.82 

$

   429,499,368

$

 282,190,610 

52.20 

  

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

     Other income

$

   424,108 

$

  (2,772,932)

N/A 

$

   1,869,864

$

 (2,002,370)

N/A 

  

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Net income before federal income taxes

$

139,583,665 

$

 121,000,261 

15.36 

$

   573,679,116

$

 486,603,155 

17.89 

Federal and foreign income taxes incurred

$

23,941,392 

$

  17,262,929 

38.69 

$

   113,163,358

$

 125,681,719 

(9.96)

     Net income (statutory)

$

115,642,273 

$

 103,737,331 

11.48 

$

    460,515,758

$

 360,921,436 

27.59 

           

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association

of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.




2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 15






Cincinnati Insurance Group – Consolidated

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 25 for adjusted data)

  

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Net premiums written

 

$

780

 

$

814 

 

$

829

 

$

727 

 

$

761

 

$

791

 

$

797

 

$

1,643

 

$

1,588

 

$

2,423

 

$

2,349

 

 

$

3,076 

 

Net premiums earned

  

791

  

793 

  

778

  

775 

  

765

  

765

  

753

 

 

1,571

  

1,518

 

 

2,362

  

2,283

 

 

 

3,058 

 

Losses paid

  

367

  

380 

  

347

  

378 

  

348

  

336

  

345

 

 

727

  

681

 

 

1,094

  

1,029

 

 

 

1,407 

 

Loss reserve change

  

66

  

60 

  

42

  

(30)

  

72

  

23

  

33

 

 

101

  

57

 

 

167

  

129

 

 

 

99 

 

   Total losses incurred

 

$

433

 

$

440 

 

$

389

 

$

348 

 

$

420

 

$

359

 

$

378

 

$

828

 

$

738

 

$

1,261

 

$

1,158

 

 

$

1,506 

 

Allocated loss expense paid

  

33

  

31 

  

27

  

32 

  

30

  

29

  

25

 

 

59

  

54

 

 

91

  

84

 

 

 

116 

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

  

7

  

  

5

  

(7)

  

10

  

11

  

11

 

 

13

  

21

 

 

20

  

31

   

24 

 

   Total allocated loss expense incurred

 

$

40

 

$

38 

 

$

32

 

$

25 

 

$

40

 

$

40

 

$

36

 

$

72

 

$

75

 

$

111

 

$

115

  

$

140 

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

  

40

  

39 

  

40

  

46 

  

38

  

37

  

34

 

 

78

  

71

 

 

118

  

108

   

155 

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

  

3

  

  

10

  

(2)

  

3

  

0

  

10

 

 

12

  

10

 

 

15

  

13

   

11 

 

   Total unallocated loss expense incurred

 

$

43

 

$

41 

 

$

50

 

$

44 

 

$

41

 

$

37

 

$

44

 

$

90

 

$

81

 

$

133

 

$

121

  

$

166 

 

   Underwriting expenses incurred

 

 

243

 

 

232 

 

 

240

 

 

233 

 

 

237

 

 

234

 

 

212

 

 

471

 

 

446

 

 

714

 

 

682

 

 

 

914 

 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

 

$

32

 

$

42 

 

$

67

 

$

125 

 

$

27

 

$

95

 

$

83

 

$

110

 

$

178

 

$

142

 

$

207

 

 

$

332 

 
                                      

 

Loss Detail

                      

 

 

    

 

 

        

Losses $1 million or more

 

$

60

 

$

46 

 

$

32

 

$

38 

 

$

27

 

$

28

 

$

43

 

$

79

 

$

70

 

$

139

 

$

98

  

$

137 

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

  

49

  

48 

  

38

  

36 

  

35

  

37

  

32

 

 

86

  

69

 

 

135

  

104

   

139 

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

  

50

  

52 

  

49

  

54 

  

38

  

40

  

36

 

 

102

  

76

 

 

151

  

115

   

168 

 

   Large losses subtotal

 

$

159

 

$

146 

 

$

119

 

$

128 

 

$

100

 

$

105

 

$

111

 

$

267

 

$

215

 

$

425

 

$

317

  

$

444 

 

IBNR incurred

  

11

  

(5)

  

6

  

(58)

  

20

  

13

  

13

 

 

1

  

27

 

 

12

  

47

   

(11)

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

  

27

  

64 

  

40

  

44 

  

66

  

14

  

2

 

 

103

  

17

 

 

130

  

83

   

127 

 

Remaining incurred

  

236

  

234 

  

223

  

234 

  

233

  

226

  

252

 

 

457

  

478

 

 

694

  

711

   

946 

 

   Total losses incurred

 

$

433

 

$

439 

 

$

388

 

$

348 

 

$

419

 

$

358

 

$

378

 

$

828

 

$

737

 

$

1,261

 

$

1,158

 

 

$

1,506 

 

                                     

 

 

Ratio Data

                      

 

 

    

 

 

        

Loss ratio

  

54.8

%

 

55.4 

%

 

50.0

%

 

44.9 

%

 

54.9

%

 

46.9

%

 

50.3

%

 

52.7

%

 

48.6

%

 

53.4

%

 

50.7

%

  

49.2 

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

  

5.0

  

4.8 

  

4.3

  

3.2 

  

5.3

  

5.2

  

4.7

 

 

4.6

  

5.0

 

 

4.7

  

5.1

   

4.6 

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

  

5.4

  

5.1 

  

6.4

  

5.7 

  

5.3

  

4.8

  

5.8

 

 

5.7

  

5.3

 

 

5.6

  

5.3

   

5.4 

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

  

31.2

  

28.4 

  

28.9

  

32.0 

  

31.1

  

29.6

  

26.6

 

 

28.7

  

28.0

 

 

29.5

  

29.0

 

`

 

29.7 

 

   Statutory combined ratio

  

96.4

%

 

93.7 

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8 

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.5

%

 

87.4

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

  

88.9 

%

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
      catastrophes

 

 

92.9

%

 

85.7 

%

 

84.6

%

 

80.2 

%

 

88.0

%

 

84.6

%

 

87.1

%

 

85.1

%

 

85.8

%

 

87.7

%

 

86.5

%

 

 

84.9 

%

                                       

Loss Ratio

                      

 

     

 

         

Losses $1 million or more

  

7.6

%

 

6.0 

%

 

4.2

%

 

5.0 

%

 

3.6

%

 

3.6

%

 

5.7

%

 

5.1

%

 

4.7

%

 

5.9

%

 

4.3

%

  

4.5 

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

  

6.2

  

6.0 

  

4.9

  

4.5 

  

4.6

  

4.8

  

4.3

 

 

5.5

  

4.5

 

 

5.7

  

4.5

   

4.5 

 

Development and case reserve increases
   of $250,000 or more

  

6.3

  

7.4 

  

6.4

  

6.9 

  

5.1

  

5.2

  

4.7

 

 

6.9

  

5.0

 

 

6.4

  

5.0

   

5.5 

 

   Large losses subtotal

  

20.1

%

 

19.4 

%

 

15.5

%

 

16.4 

%

 

13.3

%

 

13.6

%

 

14.7

%

 

17.5

%

 

14.2

%

 

18.0

%

 

13.8

%

  

14.5 

%

IBNR incurred

  

1.3

  

1.3 

  

0.8

  

(7.4)

  

2.5

  

1.8

  

1.8

 

 

1.1

  

1.8

 

 

0.5

  

2.0

   

(0.4)

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

  

3.5

  

8.0 

  

5.0

  

5.6 

  

8.6

  

1.9

  

0.3

 

 

6.5

  

1.1

 

 

5.5

  

3.6

   

4.1 

 

Remaining incurred

  

29.9

  

26.7 

  

28.6

  

30.3 

  

30.6

  

29.6

  

33.5

 

 

27.6

  

31.5

 

 

29.4

  

31.2

   

31.0 

 

   Total loss ratio

 

 

54.8

%

 

55.4 

%

 

49.9

%

 

44.9 

%

 

55.0

%

 

46.9

%

 

50.3

%

 

52.7

%

 

48.6

%

 

53.4

%

 

50.6

%

 

 

49.2 

%

                                       

Loss Claim Count

                      

 

     

 

         

Losses $1 million or more

  

32

  

26 

  

14

  

24 

  

21

  

17

  

15

 

 

40

  

32

 

 

72

  

53

   

77 

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

  

103

  

88 

  

95

  

92 

  

81

  

93

  

73

 

 

183

  

166

 

 

286

  

247

   

339 

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

  

104

  

85 

  

85

  

100 

  

72

  

61

  

67

 

 

170

  

128

 

 

274

  

200

   

300 

 

   Large losses total

 

 

239

 

 

199 

 

 

194

 

 

216 

 

 

174

 

 

171

 

 

155

 

 

393

 

 

326

 

 

632

 

 

500

 

 

 

716 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

NM – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 16






Cincinnati Insurance Group - Commercial Lines

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 26 for adjusted data)

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Net premiums written

   

$

582

 

$

603 

 

$

668

 

$

548 

 

$

546

 

$

567

 

$

629

 

$

1,271

 

$

1,195

 

$

1,852

 

$

1,741

 

 

  

$

2,290

 

Net premiums earned

    

602

  

599 

  

582

  

576 

  

564

  

563

  

551

 

 

1,181

  

1,114

 

 

1,783

  

1,678

 

 

   

2,254

 

Losses paid

    

247

  

251 

  

234

  

256 

  

228

  

214

  

219

 

 

485

  

434

 

 

732

  

662

 

 

   

918

 

Loss reserve change

    

63

  

53 

  

53

  

(19)

  

67

  

32

  

51

 

 

105

  

84

 

 

168

  

151

 

 

   

132

 

   Total losses incurred

   

$

310

 

$

304 

 

$

287

 

$

237 

 

$

295

 

$

246

 

$

270

 

$

590

 

$

518

 

$

901

 

$

813

 

 

  

$

1,050

 

Allocated loss expense paid

    

30

  

28 

  

24

  

28 

  

27

  

26

  

22

 

 

52

  

48

 

 

81

  

75

 

 

   

103

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

    

7

  

  

5

  

(1)

  

9

  

10

  

10

 

 

12

  

20

 

 

19

  

29

 

 

   

28

 

   Total allocated loss expense incurred

   

$

37

 

$

34 

 

$

29

 

$

27 

 

$

36

 

$

36

 

$

32

 

$

64

 

$

68

 

$

100

 

$

104

 

 

  

$

131

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

    

27

  

27 

  

28

  

31 

  

26

  

25

  

22

 

 

54

  

48

 

 

81

  

73

 

 

   

105

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

    

3

  

  

10

  

(1)

  

3

  

1

  

10

 

 

13

  

11

 

 

15

  

13

 

 

   

12

 

   Total unallocated loss expense incurred

   

$

30

 

$

30 

 

$

38

 

$

30 

 

$

29

 

$

26

 

$

32

 

$

67

 

$

59

 

$

97

 

$

86

 

 

  

$

117

 

   Underwriting expenses incurred

 

 

 

 

185

 

 

172 

 

 

179

 

 

182 

 

 

173

 

 

165

 

 

156

 

 

349

 

 

321

 

 

536

 

 

493

 

 

  

 

675

 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

 

 

 

$

40

 

$

59 

 

$

49

 

$

100 

 

$

31

 

$

90

 

$

61

 

$

111

 

$

148

 

$

150

 

$

182

 

 

 

 

$

281

 
                                           

Loss Detail

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

     

Losses $1 million or more

   

$

51

 

$

40 

 

$

30

 

$

31 

 

$

24

 

$

26

 

$

43

 

$

70

 

$

68

 

$

121

 

$

93

 

 

  

$

124

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

37

  

39 

  

28

  

28 

  

26

  

29

  

22

 

 

67

  

51

 

 

104

  

77

 

 

   

105

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

    

45

  

45 

  

44

  

47 

  

35

  

38

  

29

 

 

90

  

67

 

 

135

  

103

 

 

   

149

 

   Large losses subtotal

   

$

133

 

$

124 

 

$

102

 

$

106 

 

$

85

 

$

93

 

$

94

 

$

227

 

$

186

 

$

360

 

$

273

 

 

  

$

378

 

IBNR incurred

    

10

  

(6)

  

6

  

(36)

  

17

  

12

  

12

 

 

0

  

24

 

 

10

  

41

 

 

   

6

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

    

14

  

34 

  

30

  

14 

  

53

  

2

  

6

 

 

63

  

9

 

 

77

  

62

 

 

   

76

 

Remaining incurred

    

153

  

152 

  

149

  

153 

  

139

  

139

  

159

 

 

300

  

298

 

 

454

  

437

 

 

   

590

 

   Total losses incurred

 

 

 

$

310

 

$

304 

 

$

287

 

$

237 

 

$

294

 

$

246

 

$

271

 

$

590

 

$

517

 

$

901

 

$

813

 

 

 

 

$

1,050

 

                                           

Ratio Data

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

     

Loss ratio

    

51.5

  

50.7 

%

 

49.2

%

 

41.1 

%

 

52.4

%

 

43.8

%

 

49.1

%

 

50.0

%

 

46.5

%

 

50.5

%

 

48.4

%

 

   

46.6

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

    

6.0

  

5.7 

  

5.1

  

4.7 

  

6.5

  

6.4

  

5.8

 

 

5.4

  

6.1

 

 

5.6

  

6.2

 

 

   

5.8

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

    

5.0

  

4.9 

  

6.5

  

5.3 

  

5.1

  

4.6

  

5.9

 

 

5.7

  

5.2

 

 

5.4

  

5.2

 

 

   

5.2

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

    

31.6

  

28.3 

  

26.8

  

33.2 

  

31.6

  

29.1

  

24.7

 

 

27.5

  

26.8

 

 

28.8

  

28.3

 

 

   

29.5

 

   Statutory combined ratio

    

94.1

  

89.6 

%

 

87.6

%

 

84.3 

%

 

95.6

%

 

83.9

%

 

85.5

%

 

88.6

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3

%

 

88.1

%

 

   

87.1

%

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
      catastrophes

    

91.7

  

84.0 

%

 

82.5

%

 

81.9 

%

 

86.0

%

 

83.5

%

 

84.4

%

 

83.3

%

 

83.8

%

 

86.0

%

 

84.5

%

    

83.7

%

                                           

Loss Ratio

                        

 

     

 

     

 

     

Losses $1 million or more

    

8.5

  

6.6 

%

 

5.2

%

 

5.4 

%

 

4.3

%

 

4.5

%

 

7.8

%

 

5.9

%

 

6.1

%

 

6.8

%

 

5.5

%

 

   

5.5

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

6.1

  

6.5 

  

4.8

  

4.8 

  

4.7

  

5.2

  

3.9

 

 

5.7

  

4.5

 

 

5.8

  

4.6

 

 

   

4.6

 

Development and case reserve increases
   of $250,000 or more

    

7.5

  

7.6 

  

7.6

  

8.1 

  

6.3

  

6.8

  

5.3

 

 

7.6

  

6.0

 

 

7.6

  

6.1

 

 

   

6.6

 

   Large losses subtotal

    

22.1

  

20.7 

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.3 

%

 

15.3

%

 

16.5

%

 

17.0

%

 

19.2

%

 

16.6

%

 

20.2

%

 

16.2

%

 

   

16.7

%

IBNR incurred

    

1.7

  

(1.0)

  

1.0

  

(6.1)

  

2.9

  

2.2

  

2.2

 

 

0.0

  

2.2

 

 

0.6

  

2.4

 

 

   

0.2

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

    

2.4

  

5.6 

  

5.1

  

2.4 

  

9.5

  

0.4

  

1.1

 

 

5.3

  

0.8

 

 

4.3

  

3.7

 

 

   

3.4

 

Remaining incurred

    

25.4

  

25.4 

  

25.6

  

26.5 

  

24.7

  

24.7

  

28.8

 

 

25.5

  

26.8

 

 

25.5

  

26.1

 

 

   

26.2

 

   Total loss ratio

 

 

 

 

51.5

 

 

50.7 

%

 

49.3

%

 

41.1 

%

 

52.4

%

 

43.8

%

 

49.1

%

 

50.0

%

 

46.4

%

 

50.5

%

 

48.4

%

 

 

 

 

46.5

%

                                           

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

NM – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 17






Cincinnati Insurance Group - Personal Lines

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 27 for adjusted data)

                                           

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Net premiums written

   

$

198 

 

$

211 

 

$

161 

 

$

179 

 

$

215

 

$

224 

 

$

168 

 

$

372 

 

$

393 

 

$

570 

 

$

608 

 

 

  

$

786 

 

Net premiums earned

    

189 

  

194 

  

196 

  

199 

  

201

  

202 

  

202 

 

 

390 

  

404 

 

 

579 

  

605 

 

 

   

804 

 

Losses paid

    

119 

  

129 

  

113 

  

122 

  

120

  

122 

  

126 

 

 

242 

  

247 

 

 

362 

  

367 

 

 

   

489 

 

Loss reserve change

    

  

  

(11)

  

(11)

  

5

  

(9)

  

(18)

 

 

(4)

  

(27)

 

 

(1)

  

(22)

 

 

   

(33)

 

   Total losses incurred

   

$

122 

 

$

136 

 

$

102 

 

$

111 

 

$

125

 

$

113 

 

$

108 

 

$

238 

 

$

220 

 

$

361 

 

$

345 

 

 

  

$

456 

 

Allocated loss expense paid

    

  

  

  

  

3

  

  

 

 

  

 

 

10 

  

 

 

   

13 

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

    

  

  

  

(6)

  

1

  

  

 

 

  

 

 

  

 

 

   

(4)

 

   Total allocated loss expense incurred

   

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

(2)

 

$

4

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

11 

 

$

11 

 

 

  

$

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

    

12 

  

12 

  

12 

  

15 

  

12

  

12 

  

12 

 

 

24 

  

23 

 

 

36 

  

35 

 

 

   

50 

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

    

  

(1)

  

  

(1)

  

0

  

(1)

  

 

 

(1)

  

(1)

 

 

  

 

 

   

(1)

 

   Total unallocated loss expense incurred

   

$

13 

 

$

11 

 

$

12 

 

$

14 

 

$

12

 

$

11 

 

$

12 

 

$

23 

 

$

22 

 

$

36 

 

$

35 

 

 

  

$

49 

 

   Underwriting expenses incurred

 

 

 

 

58 

 

 

60 

 

 

61 

 

 

51 

 

 

64

 

 

69 

 

 

56 

 

 

122 

 

 

125 

 

 

179 

 

 

189 

 

 

  

 

239 

 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

   

$

(8)

 

$

(17)

 

$

18 

 

$

25 

 

$

(4)

 

$

 

$

22 

 

$

(1)

 

$

30 

 

$

(8)

 

$

25 

    

$

51 

 
                                           

Loss Detail

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

     

Losses $1 million or more

   

$

10 

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

3

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

18 

 

$

 

 

  

$

13 

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

12 

  

  

10 

  

  

9

  

  

10 

 

 

19 

  

18 

 

 

31 

  

27 

 

 

   

34 

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

    

  

  

  

  

3

  

  

 

 

12 

  

 

 

16 

  

12 

 

 

   

19 

 

   Large losses subtotal

   

$

26 

 

$

22 

 

$

17 

 

$

22 

 

$

15

 

$

12 

 

$

17 

 

$

40 

 

$

29 

 

$

65 

 

$

44 

 

 

  

$

66 

 

IBNR incurred

    

  

  

  

(22)

  

3

  

  

 

 

  

 

 

  

 

 

   

(17)

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

    

13 

  

30 

  

10 

  

30 

  

13

  

12 

  

(4)

 

 

40 

  

 

 

54 

  

21 

 

 

   

51 

 

Remaining incurred

    

82 

  

82 

  

74 

  

81 

  

94

  

87 

  

93 

 

 

157 

  

180 

 

 

241 

  

274 

 

 

   

356 

 

   Total losses incurred

 

 

 

$

122 

 

$

135 

 

$

101 

 

$

111 

 

$

125

 

$

112 

 

$

107 

 

$

238 

 

$

220 

 

$

361 

 

$

345 

 

 

 

 

$

456 

 

                                           

Ratio Data

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

     

Loss ratio

    

65.1 

%

 

70.0 

%

 

52.2 

%

 

55.9 

%

 

62.2

%

 

55.6 

%

 

53.3 

%

 

61.1 

%

 

54.4 

%

 

62.4 

%

 

57.0 

%

 

   

56.7 

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

    

1.9 

  

2.1 

  

1.7 

  

(1.2)

  

2.0

  

1.8 

  

1.8 

 

 

1.9 

  

1.8 

 

 

2.0 

  

1.9 

 

 

   

1.1 

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

    

6.6 

  

5.8 

  

6.2 

  

7.0 

  

6.1

  

5.5 

  

5.7 

 

 

6.0 

  

5.6 

 

 

6.1 

  

5.8 

 

 

   

6.1 

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

    

30.4 

  

28.5 

  

38.0 

  

28.4 

  

29.7

  

30.7 

  

33.2 

 

 

32.6 

  

31.8 

 

 

31.8 

  

31.0 

 

 

   

30.4 

 

   Statutory combined ratio

    

104.0 

%

 

106.4 

%

 

98.1 

%

 

90.1 

%

 

100.0

%

 

93.6 

%

 

94.0 

%

 

101.6 

%

 

93.6 

%

 

102.3 

%

 

95.7 

%

 

   

94.3 

%

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
      catastrophes

    

97.0 

%

 

90.8 

%

 

93.1 

%

 

75.2 

%

 

93.6

%

 

87.4 

%

 

96.0 

%

 

91.3 

%

 

91.5 

%

 

93.1 

%

 

92.2 

%

    

88.0 

%

                                           

Loss Ratio

                        

 

     

 

     

 

     

Losses $1 million or more

    

5.0 

%

 

3.5 

%

 

1.2 

%

 

3.6 

%

 

1.5

%

 

1.1 

%

 

0.0 

%

 

2.3 

%

 

0.6 

%

 

3.2 

%

 

0.9 

%

 

   

1.6 

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

6.4 

  

4.4 

  

5.3 

  

3.9 

  

4.3

  

3.7 

  

5.2 

 

 

4.9 

  

4.4 

 

 

5.4 

  

4.4 

 

 

   

4.3 

 

Development and case reserve increases
   of $250,000 or more

    

2.1 

  

3.5 

  

2.8 

  

3.5 

  

1.7

  

1.0 

  

3.2 

 

 

3.1 

  

2.1 

 

 

2.8 

  

2.0 

 

 

   

2.4 

 

   Large losses subtotal

    

13.6 

%

 

11.4 

%

 

9.3 

%

 

11.0 

%

 

7.5

%

 

5.8 

%

 

8.4 

%

 

10.3 

%

 

7.1 

%

 

11.4 

%

 

7.3 

%

 

   

8.3 

%

IBNR incurred

    

0.1 

  

0.7 

  

0.0 

  

(11.2)

  

1.4

  

0.6 

  

0.7 

 

 

0.3 

  

0.7 

 

 

0.3 

  

0.9 

 

 

   

(2.1)

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

    

7.1 

  

15.6 

  

5.0 

  

14.9 

  

6.2

  

6.2 

  

(2.0)

 

 

10.3 

  

2.1 

 

 

9.2 

  

3.5 

 

 

   

6.3 

 

Remaining incurred

    

44.4 

  

42.3 

  

38.0 

  

41.2 

  

46.9

  

42.9 

  

46.2 

 

 

40.2 

  

44.5 

 

 

41.5 

  

45.3 

 

 

   

44.3 

 

   Total loss ratio

 

 

 

 

65.1 

%

 

70.0 

%

 

52.3 

%

 

55.9 

%

 

62.0

%

 

55.5 

%

 

53.3 

%

 

61.1 

%

 

54.4 

%

 

62.4 

%

 

57.0 

%

 

 

 

 

56.8 

%

                                           

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

NM – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 18






Cincinnati Insurance Group

 Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006

 (Dollars in millions)

                     

09/30/2006

9/30/2005

 
 

Comm

 

Comm

Comm

 

Workers'

Specialty

Surety &

 

Mach. &

Pers

Home

Other

Agency

Agency

Change

 State

 

Casualty

 

Prop

Auto

 

Comp

Packages

Exec Risk

 

Equip

Auto

Owner

 

Personal

Direct

Direct

%

 

                        

 

 AL

$

14.5

$

 9.0

$

      6.3

$

         1.1 

$

 5.0

$

    1.1

$

   0.4

$

 12.4

$

 16.1

$

 3.4

$

  69.3

$

 67.8

2.3 

 AZ

 

 9.2

 

 4.4

 

      7.3

 

         0.4 

 

  0.8

 

   0.5

 

     0.3

 

 0.0

 

  0.1

 

  0.1

 

23.1

 

 21.1

9.5 

 AR

 

  8.5

 

   7.6

 

        5.3

 

         4.4 

 

  2.8

 

    0.8

 

    0.3

 

 2.1

 

  2.3

 

  0.6

 

 34.7

 

 34.8

0.1 

 DE

 

  0.5

 

  0.3

 

        0.5

 

         1.2 

 

 0.0

 

    0.1

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 2.6

 

 0.6

352.8 

 FL

 

   28.8

 

 16.8

 

      10.2

 

         2.6 

 

  3.0

 

    1.8

 

   0.5

 

 9.8

 

 15.2

 

  2.9

 

 91.6

 

 80.6

13.5 

 GA

 

 20.5

 

 14.9

 

      14.8

 

         9.3 

 

  4.9

 

    5.4

 

    0.5

 

  24.7

 

 20.4

 

 4.9

 

 120.3

 

  112.4

7.0 

 ID

 

 5.4

 

 2.7

 

        3.5

 

 0.0 

 

   0.7

 

   0.5

 

     0.2

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 13.0

 

 11.4

13.9 

 IL

 

 63.7

 

 36.6

 

       27.0

 

       44.9 

 

   9.7

 

   6.6

 

    2.1

 

 20.2

 

 14.7

 

  4.7

 

 230.2

 

 225.3

2.2 

 IN

 

  40.7

 

 30.2

 

      21.9

 

       24.6 

 

   6.0

 

   5.5

 

    1.8

 

  23.1

 

  20.4

 

 5.0

 

179.2

 

180.1

(0.5)

 IA

 

  17.4

 

  11.5

 

        7.4

 

       18.0 

 

   3.3

 

    2.0

 

    1.1

 

  3.7

 

   3.4

 

 1.5

 

 69.3

 

 68.6

1.2 

 KS

 

  5.5

 

 5.8

 

         3.7

 

         5.1 

 

   2.1

 

   1.1

 

     0.3

 

  4.1

 

   5.0

 

 1.0

 

 33.7

 

 33.2

2.1 

 KY

 

 15.6

 

 14.1

 

      11.2

 

         2.9 

 

   3.6

 

   1.9

 

     0.7

 

  15.9

 

  11.2

 

 3.0

 

 80.1

 

 80.2

0.1 

 MD

 

 10.5

 

 4.4

 

        7.8

 

         9.0 

 

   0.8

 

    1.1

 

     0.2

 

 0.0

 

   1.0

 

  0.4

 

 35.2

 

29.7

18.4 

 MI

 

 32.9

 

 20.6

 

      15.0

 

       14.9 

 

 10.1

 

    4.0

 

     1.4

 

  11.2

 

 12.9

 

 2.6

 

 125.6

 

128.0

(2.0)

 MN

 

  21.9

 

 11.7

 

        8.3

 

         5.8 

 

  2.8

 

    1.8

 

    0.8

 

  5.5

 

   4.3

 

 2.4

 

 65.3

 

 66.4

(1.6)

 MO

 

  20.1

 

 13.9

 

        9.1

 

       13.4 

 

  4.0

 

  1.5

 

     0.8

 

  2.5

 

  3.6

 

 0.7

 

 69.6

 

 65.2

6.9 

 MT

 

 9.5

 

 4.8

 

         5.7

 

 0.0 

 

   0.7

 

   0.2

 

     0.2

 

 0.0

 

  0.1

 

 0.0

 

 21.2

 

19.7

7.7 

 NE

 

 6.0

 

 3.9

 

        3.0

 

         6.6 

 

 1.2

 

    0.8

 

    0.3

 

 1.1

 

  1.0

 

 0.3

 

 24.2

 

 26.4

(8.7)

 NH

 

 2.3

 

1.6

 

         1.2

 

         2.0 

 

 0.5

 

    0.4

 

     0.1

 

  0.7

 

  0.6

 

 0.3

 

 9.7

 

 9.2

5.9 

 NY

 

 20.6

 

 5.1

 

         7.5

 

         2.0 

 

 0.8

 

    2.3

 

    0.3

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 38.6

 

 33.4

15.9 

 NC

 

 31.2

 

 21.4

 

       19.1

 

       20.2 

 

 8.5

 

    6.1

 

    1.0

 

   1.1

 

  1.3

 

 2.0

 

111.9

 

102.3

9.3 

 ND

 

 2.9

 

 2.4

 

    2.0

 

 0.0 

 

 0.6

 

    0.5

 

    0.2

 

    0.5

 

   0.5

 

 0.2

 

 9.8

 

10.7

(8.4)

 OH

 

 125.4

 

 74.2

 

  59.5

 

 (0.3)

 

15.8

 

  18.9

 

  3.5

 

112.1

 

  71.6

 

22.9

 

 503.6

 

 528.0

(4.6)

 PA

 

 36.3

 

  22.3

 

    24.0

 

       42.3 

 

 6.9

 

    4.7

 

   1.3

 

    6.2

 

   4.8

 

2.5

 

 151.3

 

 149.5

1.1 

 SC

 

  10.5

 

  6.4

 

      6.1

 

         3.7 

 

 1.8

 

    2.2

 

   0.2

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.2

 

 31.1

 

 28.4

9.6 

 SD

 

 3.5

 

  2.2

 

      1.7

 

         3.5 

 

 0.4

 

    0.3

 

    0.1

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 11.7

 

 9.6

22.3 

 TN

 

 19.5

 

  13.0

 

   13.0

 

         9.8 

 

  6.2

 

  3.6

 

    0.8

 

    6.1

 

   6.2

 

 2.1

 

 80.3

 

 75.2

6.8 

 UT

 

 6.2

 

  2.3

 

    3.1

 

 0.0 

 

  0.2

 

  1.1

 

    0.2

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 13.1

 

 8.9

49.5 

 VT

 

 3.9

 

 2.6

 

     2.4

 

         5.5 

 

  0.6

 

  0.4

 

    0.1

 

    0.7

 

 0.6

 

 0.2

 

  17.0

 

 15.9

8.6 

 VA

 

 28.2

 

 19.9

 

    19.0

 

       17.8 

 

 3.8

 

  4.0

 

    0.8

 

   8.2

 

 6.4

 

2.2

 

 110.3

 

 100.5

9.5 

 WV

 

 7.0

 

   4.6

 

    4.9

 

 0.0 

 

  1.7

 

 0.6

 

    0.3

 

 0.0

 

   0.7

 

 0.2

 

 20.0

 

19.1

4.6 

 WI

 

 24.4

 

 14.5

 

     10.7

 

       20.3 

 

 3.6

 

  1.8

 

    1.3

 

  8.5

 

  6.2

 

 2.6

 

  93.9

 

 96.2

(2.5)

 All Other

 

  4.8

 

  2.7

 

    2.6

 

         3.8 

 

 0.0

 

   0.9

 

    0.1

 

 0.0

 

  0.1

 

 0.0

 

 15.0

 

12.1

19.6 

                          

 Total Agency Direct

$

  657.9

$

 408.4

$

  344.8

$

     294.8 

$

112.9

$

 84.5

$

  22.2

$

280.4

$

230.7

$

68.9

$

2,505.5

$

2,450.5

2.2 

 Other Direct

 

  0.9

 

  1.6

 

      0.7

 

         7.0 

 

  0.3

 

 0.0

 

    -   

 

   0.8

 

 2.2

 

 1.3

 

14.8

 

16.6

(9.6)

 Total Direct

$

658.8

$

410.0

$

    345.5

$

     301.8 

$

 113.2

$

 84.5

$

 22.2

$

281.2

$

 232.9

$

70.2

$

2,520.3

$

2,467.1

2.2 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 19






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - By Commercial Lines of Business

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

 

Commercial casualty:

                              

 

     

 

      

Written premiums

   

$

196

 

$

209

 

$

228

 

$

189

 

$

183

 

$

191

 

$

217

 

 $

437

 

 $

409

 

 $

634

 

 $

590

 

 

  

 $

779

  

Earned premiums

    

207

  

208

  

197

  

195

  

193

  

190

  

183

  

405

  

373

 

 

613

  

564

 

 

   

759

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

49.4

%

 

50.3

%

 

51.3

%

 

5.1

%

 

49.3

%

 

55.5

%

 

51.1

%

 

51.6

%

 

53.9

%

 

50.8

%

 

51.8

%

 

   

39.8

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

 

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

 

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

49.4

%

 

50.3

%

 

51.3

%

 

5.1

%

 

49.3

%

 

55.5

%

 

51.1

%

 

51.6

%

 

53.9

%

 

50.8

%

 

51.8

%

    

39.8

%

 
                          

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

      

Commercial property:

                              

 

     

 

      

Written premiums

   

$

126

 

$

122

 

$

134

 

$

115

 

$

113

 

$

122

 

$

126

 

 $

256

 

 $

248

 

 $

381

 

 $

361

 

 

  

 $

476

  

Earned premiums

    

123

  

123

  

121

  

120

  

113

  

118

  

116

 

 

244

  

234

 

 

367

 

 $

347

 

 

   

467

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

54.9

%

 

57.0

%

 

72.6

%

 

52.8

%

 

94.3

%

 

43.0

%

 

68.8

%

 

64.2

%

 

55.5

%

 

61.0

%

 

68.2

%

 

   

64.2

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

    

9.9

 

 

15.9

 

 

22.7

 

 

11.2

 

 

44.0

 

 

1.2

 

 

4.0

 

 

19.3

 

 

2.6

 

 

16.1

 

 

16.1

 

 

 

 

 

14.9

 

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

45.0

%

 

41.1

%

 

49.9

%

 

41.6

%

 

50.3

%

 

41.8

%

 

64.8

%

 

44.9

%

 

52.9

%

 

44.9

%

 

52.1

%

    

49.3

%

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Commercial auto:

                        

 

     

 

     

 

      

Written premiums

   

$

105

 

$

115

 

$

126

 

$

107

 

$

107

 

$

111

 

$

122

 

 $

240

 

 $

233

 

 $

345

 

 $

341

 

 

  

 $

448

  

Earned premiums

    

113

  

112

  

112

  

117

  

115

  

113

  

113

 

 

224

  

225

 

 

337

  

340

 

 

   

457

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

72.8

%

 

59.1

%

 

57.7

%

 

61.5

%

 

60.6

%

 

59.0

%

 

57.9

%

 

57.4

%

 

59.0

%

 

62.5

%

 

59.6

%

 

   

60.1

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

 

  

(0.5)

 

 

3.1

 

 

0.6

 

 

0.0

  

0.2

  

0.2

  

0.0

 

 

1.9

 

 

0.1

 

 

1.0

 

 

0.2

 

 

 

 

 

0.1

 

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

73.3

%

 

56.0

%

 

57.1

%

 

61.5

%

 

60.4

%

 

58.8

%

 

57.9

%

 

55.5

%

 

58.9

%

 

61.5

%

 

59.4

%

    

60.0

%

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Workers' compensation:

                        

 

     

 

     

 

      

Written premiums

   

$

85

 

$

91

 

$

111

 

$

80

 

$

75

 

$

83

 

$

100

 

 $

203

 

 $

183

 

 $

288

 

 $

258

 

 

  

 $

338

  

Earned premiums

    

93

  

90

  

88

  

85

  

82

  

82

  

79

 

 

178

  

161

 

 

271

  

244

 

 

   

328

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

90.3

%

 

82.6

%

 

78.5

%

 

134.2

%

 

74.0

%

 

77.1

%

 

76.5

%

 

80.8

%

 

76.8

%

 

84.1

%

 

75.9

%

 

   

90.9

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

 

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

 

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

90.3

%

 

82.6

%

 

78.5

%

 

134.2

%

 

74.0

%

 

77.1

%

 

76.5

%

 

80.8

%

 

76.8

%

 

84.1

%

 

75.9

%

    

90.9

%

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Specialty packages:

                        

 

     

 

     

 

      

Written premiums

   

$

35

 

$

34

 

$

40

 

$

32

 

$

35

 

$

34

 

$

37

 

 $

74

 

 $

71

 

 $

109

 

 $

105

 

 

  

 $

138

  

Earned premiums

    

35

  

35

  

36

  

34

  

34

  

34

  

34

 

 

71

  

68

 

 

106

  

103

 

 

   

137

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

74.2

%

 

84.0

%

 

64.3

%

 

53.4

%

 

69.9

%

 

57.2

%

 

87.8

%

 

73.1

%

 

72.4

%

 

73.5

%

 

71.5

%

 

   

67.0

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

 

  

7.1

 

 

29.2

 

 

3.6

 

 

4.6

  

9.9

  

1.8

  

4.4

 

 

16.2

 

 

3.1

 

 

13.3

 

 

5.4

 

 

 

 

 

5.2

 

 

Loss and loss expenses
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

67.1

%

 

54.8

%

 

60.7

%

 

48.8

%

 

60.0

%

 

55.4

%

 

83.4

%

 

56.9

%

 

69.3

%

 

60.2

%

 

66.1

%

    

61.8

%

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Surety and executive risk:

                        

 

     

 

     

 

      

Written premiums

   

$

28

 

$

24

 

$

22

 

$

21

 

$

25

 

$

18

 

$

20

 

 $

46

 

 $

38

 

 $

74

 

 $

63

 

 

  

 $

85

  

Earned premiums

    

24

  

24

  

21

  

21

  

21

  

19

  

19

 

 

45

  

38

 

 

69

  

59

 

 

   

80

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

47.3

%

 

92.4

%

 

26.4

%

 

69.2

%

 

31.5

%

 

7.4

%

 

26.4

%

 

60.1

%

 

16.9

%

 

55.6

%

 

22.0

%

 

   

34.2

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

 

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

 

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

47.3

%

 

92.4

%

 

26.4

%

 

69.2

%

 

31.5

%

 

7.4

%

 

26.4

%

 

60.1

%

 

16.9

%

 

55.6

%

 

22.0

%

    

34.2

%

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

 

Machinery and equipment:

                        

 

                  

Written premiums

   

$

7

 

$

8

 

$

7

 

$

6

 

$

7

 

$

6

 

$

7

 

 $

15

 

 $

13

 

 $

22

 

 $

20

 

 

  

 $

26

  

Earned premiums

    

7

  

7

  

7

  

6

  

7

  

6

  

7

 

 

14

  

13

 

 

20

  

19

 

 

   

26

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

45.2

%

 

27.4

%

 

32.2

%

 

31.6

%

 

21.5

%

 

24.1

%

 

12.3

%

 

29.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

34.8

%

 

19.3

%

 

   

22.4

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

 

  

2.1

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(0.1)

  

0.2

  

0.3

  

(0.6)

 

 

0.1

 

 

(0.2)

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

 

 

 

(0.1)

 

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

43.1

%

 

27.4

%

 

32.2

%

 

31.7

%

 

21.3

%

 

23.8

%

 

12.9

%

 

29.5

%

 

18.3

%

 

34.0

%

 

19.3

%

    

22.5

%

 
                                            

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

        

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                                      



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 20






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - By Personal Lines of Business

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Personal auto:

                                          

Written premiums

   

$

96

 

$

104

 

$

79

 

$

89

 

$

112

 

$

119

 

$

89 

 

$

184

 

 $

208

 

 $

279

 

 $

321

    

 $

409

 

Earned premiums

    

95

  

98

  

101

  

104

  

108

  

110

  

111 

  

199

  

221

  

294

  

329

     

433

 

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

60.6

%

 

68.8

%

 

60.1

%

 

54.0

%

 

65.0

%

 

61.0

%

 

60.4 

%

 

62.9

%

 

60.1

%

 

62.2

%

 

61.7

%

    

59.9

%

Less catastrophe loss ratio

    

1.4

 

 

3.6

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.6

  

0.4

  

1.1

  

0.2 

  

2.2

 

 

0.6

 

 

2.0

 

 

0.5

 

 

 

 

 

0.6

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

59.2

%

 

65.2

%

 

59.3

%

 

53.4

%

 

64.6

%

 

59.9

%

 

60.2 

%

 

60.7

%

 

59.5

%

 

60.2

%

 

61.2

%

    

59.3

%

                                           

Homeowner:

                                          

Written premiums

   

$

79

 

$

83

 

$

62

 

$

67

 

$

81

 

$

81

 

$

59 

 

$

144

 

 $

140

 

 $

224

 

 $

221

    

 $

288

 

Earned premiums

    

72

  

74

  

73

  

71

  

72

  

70

  

69 

  

146

  

139

  

219

  

211

     

282

 

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

93.9

%

 

89.2

%

 

64.0

%

 

83.4

%

 

78.0

%

 

75.0

%

 

64.6 

%

 

78.7

%

 

70.3

%

 

83.7

%

 

72.9

%

    

75.6

%

Less catastrophe loss ratio

    

15.0

 

 

33.1

 

 

11.1

 

 

43.2

 

 

15.2

 

 

14.7

 

 

(6.1)

 

 

22.1

 

 

4.4

 

 

19.8

 

 

8.0

 

 

 

 

 

16.9

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

78.9

%

 

56.1

%

 

52.9

%

 

40.2

%

 

62.8

%

 

60.3

%

 

70.7 

%

 

56.6

%

 

65.9

%

 

63.9

%

 

64.9

%

 

 

  

58.7

%

 

                                          

Other personal:

                                          

Written premiums

   

$

23

 

$

24

 

$

20

 

$

21

 

$

23

 

$

24

 

$

20 

 

$

44

 

 $

45

 

 $

67

 

 $

68

    

 $

89

 

Earned premiums

    

22

  

22

  

22

  

22

  

23

  

22

  

22 

 

 

45

  

45

 

 

66

  

67

     

89

 

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

63.3

%

 

72.5

%

 

47.4

%

 

37.0

%

 

58.0

%

 

32.6

%

 

49.5 

%

 

63.9

%

 

37.2

%

 

63.9

%

 

47.1

%

    

44.6

%

Less Catastrophe loss ratio

 

 

  

5.2

 

 

10.8

 

 

3.8

 

 

2.0

  

5.0

  

1.0

  

3.9 

 

 

7.3

 

 

2.5

 

 

6.6

 

 

3.3

 

 

 

 

 

3.0

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

58.1

%

 

61.7

%

 

43.6

%

 

35.0

%

 

53.0

%

 

31.6

%

 

45.6 

%

 

56.6

%

 

34.7

%

 

57.3

%

 

43.8

%

    

41.6

%

 

                                          

 

                                          

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 21







 

Cincinnati Insurance Group

 

10-Year Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

  

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

Premiums

                              

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

3,097

 

$

3,026

 

 $

2,789

 

 $

2,496

 

 $

2,188

 

 $

1,936 

 

 $

1,681

 

 $

1,558

 

 $

1,472

 

 $

1,384

 

   Codification

 

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

402

  

(55)

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

 

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

(21)

 

 

(29)

 

 

26

 

 

117

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)**

 

3,076

  

2,997

  

2,815

  

2,613

  

2,590

  

1,881 

  

1,681

  

1,558

  

1,472

  

1,384

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

(18)

 

 

(78)

 

 

(162)

 

 

(222)

 

 

(517)

 

 

(53)

 

 

(23)

 

 

(15)

 

 

(18)

 

 

(17)

 

   Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

3,058

 

$

2,919

 

 $

2,653

 

 $

2,391

 

 $

2,073

 

 $

1,828 

 

 $

1,658

 

 $

1,543

 

 $

1,454

 

 $

1,367

 

                               

Year-over-year growth rate:

                              

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

         2.3

%

         8.5

%

11.7

%

14.0

%

13.0

%

15.2 

%

7.9

%

5.8

%

6.4

%

6.8

%

   Written premiums (statutory)

 

2.6

%

6.5

%

7.7

%

0.9

%

37.7

%

11.9 

%

7.9

%

5.8

%

6.4

%

6.8

%

   Earned premiums

 

4.8

%

10.0

%

11.0

%

15.3

%

13.4

%

10.3 

%

7.5

%

6.1

%

6.4

%

8.2

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statutory combined ratio

                              

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

89.0

%

89.4

%

94.2

%

98.4

%

99.5

%

112.5 

%

100.4

%

104.2

%

98.3

%

103.5

%

   Codification

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

4.1

  

(0.9)

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

1.2

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.8

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

(1.7)

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

89.0

%

89.4

%

95.0

%

99.6

%

103.6

%

109.9 

%

100.4

%

104.2

%

98.3

%

103.5

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

4.1

  

5.1

  

3.6

  

3.6

  

3.1

  

2.7 

  

2.5

  

6.1

       

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
     catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

84.9

%

84.3

%

91.4

%

 

96.0

%

 

100.5

%

 

107.2 

%

 

97.9

%

 

98.1

%

 

     
                               

   Reported commission expense ratio*

 

19.2

%

19.2

%

17.6

%

15.9

%

13.9

%

17.4 

%

17.4

%

17.6

%

     

   Codification

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

2.6

  

(0.5)

  

0.0

  

0.0

       

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

0.8

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

       

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

      

   Commission expense ratio (adjusted)

 

19.2

%

19.2

%

17.6

%

 

16.7

%

 

16.5

%

 

16.9 

%

 

17.4

%

 

17.6

%

      
                               

   Reported other expense ratio*

 

10.5

%

10.1

%

8.9

%

9.6

%

8.7

%

12.6 

%

11.4

%

11.9

%

     

   Codification

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

1.5

  

(0.4)

  

0.0

  

0.0

       

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

0.4

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

       

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(1.7)

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

      

   Other expense ratio (adjusted)

 

10.5

%

10.1

%

9.7

%

 

10.0

%

 

10.2

%

 

10.5 

%

 

11.4

%

 

11.9

%

      
                               

   Reported statutory expense ratio*

 

29.7

%

29.3

%

26.5

%

25.5

%

22.6

%

30.0 

%

28.8

%

29.5

%

     

   Codification

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

4.1

  

(0.9)

  

0.0

  

0.0

       

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

1.2

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

       

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(1.7)

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

      

   Statutory expense ratio (adjusted)

 

29.7

%

29.3

%

27.3

%

 

26.7

%

 

26.7

%

 

27.4 

%

 

28.8

%

 

29.5

%

      

 

 

 

 

 

                          

GAAP combined ratio

                              

   GAAP combined ratio

 

89.2

%

89.8

%

94.7

%

99.7

%

104.9

%

112.8 

%

100.2

%

104.3

%

98.4

%

103.6

%

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(2.1)

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

89.2

%

89.8

%

95.5

%

 

99.7

%

 

104.9

%

 

110.7 

%

 

100.2

%

 

104.3

%

 

98.4

%

 

103.6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Written premiums to surplus

                              

   Adjusted premiums to statutory surplus ratio

 

0.739

  

0.721

  

1.002

  

1.067

  

0.864

                

   Written premium adjustment

 

(0.005)

 

 

(0.007)

 

 

0.010

 

 

0.050

 

 

0.159

                

   Reported premiums to statutory surplus ratio

 

0.734

 

 

0.714

 

 

1.012

 

 

1.117

 

 

1.023

                

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.  Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

nm – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

**Prior to 2001, property casualty written premiums were recognized as they were billed throughout the policy period. Effective January 1, 2001, written premiums have been recognized on an annualized basis at

the effective date of the policy. Written premiums for 2000 were reclassified to conform with the 2001 presentation; information was not readily available to reclassify earlier year statutory data.  The growth rates in written premiums

between 1999 and 2000 are overstated because 1999 premiums are shown on a billed basis.



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 22





Cincinnati Insurance Group

6-Year Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

Premiums

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

2,306 

 

$

2,209 

 

$

2,009 

 

$

1,795 

 

$

1,551 

 

$

1,326 

 

   Codification

 

  

  

  

  

276 

  

(51)

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

(16)

 

 

(23)

 

 

22 

 

 

110 

 

 

 

 

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)**

$

2,290 

 

$

2,186 

 

$

2,031 

 

$

1,905 

 

$

1,827 

 

$

1,275 

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

(36)

 

 

(60)

 

 

(123)

 

 

(184)

 

 

(374)

 

 

(43)

 

   Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

2,254 

 

$

2,126 

 

$

1,908 

 

$

1,721 

 

$

1,453 

 

$

1,232 

 

                   

Year-over-year growth rate:

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

4.4 

%

10.0 

%

11.9 

%

15.8 

%

16.9 

%

20.5 

%

   Written premiums (statutory)

 

4.7 

%

7.6 

%

6.6 

%

4.2 

%

43.3 

%

15.9 

%

   Earned premiums

 

6.0 

%

11.4 

%

10.8 

%

18.6 

%

17.9 

%

13.2 

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statutory combined ratio

                  

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

87.1 

%

83.7 

%

90.9 

%

95.3 

%

96.7 

%

117.2 

%

   Codification

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

4.0 

  

(1.2)

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

1.5 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

 

   One-time item

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

 

 

0.7 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(1.6)

 

   Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

87.1 

%

83.7 

%

91.6 

%

96.8 

%

100.7 

%

114.4 

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

3.4 

  

3.4 

  

2.2 

  

2.3 

  

1.9 

  

1.5 

 

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
     catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

83.7 

%

80.3 

%

89.4 

%

94.5 

%

98.8 

%

112.9 

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GAAP combined ratio

                  

   GAAP combined ratio

 

87.4 

%

84.1 

%

91.3 

%

96.6 

%

101.7 

%

117.2 

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.8 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(2.0)

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

87.4 

%

 

84.1 

%

 

92.1 

%

 

96.6 

%

 

101.7 

%

 

115.2 

%

  

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.  Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 

Nm – Not meaningful

 

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the

 

appropriate regulatory bodies.

 

**Prior to 2001, property casualty written premiums were recognized as they were billed throughout the policy period.  Effective

 

January 1, 2001, written premiums have been recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy.  Written premiums for 2000 were reclassified to

conform with the 2001 presentation; information was not readily available to reclassify earlier year statutory data.  The growth rates in written premiums between

1999 and 2000 are overstated because 1999 premiums are shown on a billed basis.

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 23





Cincinnati Insurance Group

6-Year Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

Premiums

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

791 

 

$

817 

 

$

780 

 

$

701 

 

$

637 

 

$

610 

 

   Codification

 

  

  

  

  

126 

  

(4)

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

(5)

 

 

(6)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)**

$

786 

 

$

811 

 

$

784 

 

$

708 

 

$

763 

 

$

606 

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

18 

 

 

(18)

 

 

(39)

 

 

(38)

 

 

(143)

 

 

(10)

 

   Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

804 

 

$

793 

 

$

745 

 

$

670 

 

$

620 

 

$

596 

 

                   

Year-over-year growth rate:

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

(3.2)

%

4.7 

%

12.0 

%

9.8 

%

4.6 

%

5.0 

%

   Written premiums (statutory)

 

(3.0)

%

3.4 

%

10.8 

%

(7.2)

%

26.1 

%

4.3 

%

   Earned premiums

 

1.4 

%

6.4 

%

11.2 

%

8.1 

%

4.0 

%

4.6 

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statutory combined ratio

                  

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

94.3 

%

104.6 

%

102.9 

%

106.5 

%

105.9 

%

110.6 

%

   Codification

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

4.6 

  

(0.2)

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

0.3 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

 

   One-time item

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

1.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(2.0)

 

   Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

94.3 

%

104.6 

%

103.9 

%

106.8 

%

110.5 

%

108.4 

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

6.3 

  

9.7 

  

7.3 

  

7.1 

  

5.8 

  

5.4 

 

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
     catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

88.0 

%

 

94.9 

%

 

96.6 

%

 

99.7 

%

 

104.7 

%

 

103.0 

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GAAP combined ratio

                  

   GAAP combined ratio

 

94.4 

%

105.0 

%

103.6 

%

107.6 

%

112.4 

%

110.4 

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

1.1 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(2.4)

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

94.4 

%

105.0 

%

104.7 

%

107.6 

%

112.4 

%

108.0 

%

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.  Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

nm – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the

appropriate regulatory bodies.

**Prior to 2001, property casualty written premiums were recognized as they were billed throughout the policy period.  Effective January 1, 2001, written

premiums have been recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Written premiums for 2000 were reclassified to conform with the

2001 presentation; information was not readily available to reclassify earlier year statutory data. The growth rates in written premiums between 1999 and 2000

are overstated because 1999 premiums are shown on a billed basis.



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 24






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

   

$

787

 

$

804

 

$

796

 

$

765

 

$

764

 

$

780

 

$

787

 

$

1,600

 

$

1,567

 

$

2,387

 

$

2,332

 

 

  

$

3,097

 

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

 

 

 

(7)

 

 

10

 

 

33

 

 

(38)

 

 

(3)

 

 

10

 

 

10

  

43

 

 

20

 

 

36

 

 

17

     

(21)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

   

$

780

 

$

814

 

$

829

 

$

727

 

$

761

 

$

790

 

$

797

 

$

1,643

 

$

1,587

 

$

2,423

 

$

2,349

 

 

  

$

3,076

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

 

 

 

11

 

 

(21)

 

 

(51)

  

48

 

 

4

  

(25)

 

 

(44)

  

(72)

 

 

(73)

 

 

(60)

 

 

(66)

     

(19)

 

   Earned premiums

   

$

791

 

$

793

 

$

778

 

$

775

 

$

765

 

$

765

 

$

753

 

$

1,571

 

$

1,518

 

$

2,362

 

$

2,283

    

$

3,058

 

 

                                          

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

    

96.4

%

 

93.7

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.6

%

 

87.3

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

    

89.0

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

 

 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

 

 

 

 

96.4

%

 

93.7

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.6

%

 

87.3

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

    

89.0

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

 

 

 

3.5

 

 

8.0

 

 

5.0

 

 

5.6

 

 

8.6

 

 

2.0

 

 

0.3

  

6.5

 

 

1.1

 

 

5.5

 

 

3.6

 

    

4.1

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
       excluding catastrophe losses

    

92.9

%

 

85.7

%

 

84.6

%

 

80.2

%

 

88.0

%

 

84.6

%

 

87.0

%

 

85.2

%

 

85.8

%

 

87.7

%

 

86.5

%

    

84.9

%

 

                            

 

     

 

 

    

 

 

   Reported commission expense ratio*

    

19.3

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

20.4

%

 

20.3

%

 

19.3

%

 

16.8

%

 

17.9

%

 

18.0

%

 

18.3

%

 

18.8

%

    

19.2

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   Adjusted commission expense ratio

    

19.3

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

20.4

%

 

20.3

%

 

19.3

%

 

16.8

%

 

17.9

%

 

18.0

%

 

18.3

%

 

18.8

%

    

19.2

%

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

  

 

     

 

 

    

 

 

            

   Reported other expense ratio*

    

11.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

11.6

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.3

%

 

9.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.0

%

 

11.2

%

 

10.2

%

    

10.5

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

 

 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   Adjusted other expense ratio

    

11.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

11.6

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.3

%

 

9.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.0

%

 

11.2

%

 

10.2

%

    

10.5

%

 

                                          

   Reported statutory expense ratio*

    

31.2

%

 

28.4

%

 

28.9

%

 

32.0

%

 

31.1

%

 

29.6

%

 

26.6

%

 

28.7

%

 

28.0

%

 

29.5

%

 

29.0

%

    

29.7

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory expense ratio

    

31.2

%

 

28.4

%

 

28.9

%

 

32.0

%

 

31.1

%

 

29.6

%

 

26.6

%

 

28.7

%

 

28.0

%

 

29.5

%

 

29.0

%

    

29.7

%

                                           

GAAP combined ratio

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

   GAAP combined ratio

    

96.1

%

 

94.5

%

 

92.0

%

 

83.9

%

 

96.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

88.9

%

 

93.3

%

 

88.2

%

 

94.2

%

 

91.0

%

    

89.2

%

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

    

96.1

%

 

94.5

%

 

92.0

%

 

83.9

%

 

96.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

88.9

%

 

93.3

%

 

88.2

%

 

94.2

%

 

91.0

%

    

89.2

%

 

                                          

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts

          

may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                                     

nm - Not meaningful

                                          

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 25






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

   

$

589 

 

$

593 

 

$

635 

 

$

584 

 

$

547 

 

$

557 

 

$

617 

 

$

1,228 

 

$

1,174

 

$

1,817 

 

$

1,721 

    

$

2,306 

 

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

   

 

(7)

 

 

10 

 

 

33 

 

 

(36)

 

 

(1)

 

 

 

 

12 

  

43 

 

 

21

 

 

36 

 

 

20 

 

   

 

(16)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

   

$

582 

 

$

603 

 

$

668 

 

$

548 

 

$

546 

 

$

566 

 

$

629 

 

$

1,271 

 

$

1,195

 

$

1,853 

 

$

1,741 

    

$

2,290 

 

   Unearned premiums change

   

 

20 

 

 

(4)

 

 

(86)

 

 

28 

 

 

18 

 

 

(3)

 

 

(78)

  

(90)

 

 

(81)

 

 

(69)

 

 

(63)

 

   

 

(36)

 

   Earned premiums

   

$

602 

 

$

599 

 

$

582 

 

$

576 

 

$

564 

 

$

563 

 

$

551 

 

$

1,181 

 

$

1,114

 

$

1,783 

 

$

1,678 

    

$

2,254 

 

 

                                          

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

    

94.1 

%

 

89.6 

%

 

87.5 

%

 

84.3 

%

 

95.5 

%

 

83.9 

%

 

85.5 

%

 

88.6 

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3 

%

 

88.1 

%

    

87.1 

%

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

    

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm

  

nm 

  

nm 

     

nm 

 

   One-time item

   

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

 

 

0.0

  

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   

 

0.0 

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

    

94.1 

%

 

89.6 

%

 

87.5 

%

 

84.3 

%

 

95.5 

%

 

83.9 

%

 

85.5 

%

 

88.6 

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3 

%

 

88.1 

%

    

87.1 

%

   Less catastrophe losses

   

 

2.3 

 

 

5.6 

 

 

5.1 

 

 

2.4 

 

 

9.5 

 

 

0.4 

 

 

1.1 

  

5.3 

 

 

0.8

  

4.3 

 

 

3.6 

 

   

 

3.4 

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
      excluding catastrophe losses

   

 

91.8 

%

 

84.0 

%

 

82.4 

%

 

81.9 

%

 

86.0 

%

 

83.5 

%

 

84.4 

%

 

83.3 

%

 

83.8

%

 

86.0 

%

 

84.5 

%

   

 

83.7 

%

                         

 

                 

GAAP combined ratio

                        

 

                 

   GAAP combined ratio

    

93.4 

%

 

90.3 

%

 

90.5 

%

 

82.1 

%

 

95.2 

%

 

84.8 

%

 

87.5 

%

 

90.4 

%

 

86.1

%

 

91.4 

%

 

89.2 

%

    

87.4 

%

   One-time item

   

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   

 

0.0 

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

    

93.4 

%

 

90.3 

%

 

90.5 

%

 

82.1 

%

 

95.2 

%

 

84.8 

%

 

87.5 

%

 

90.4 

%

 

86.1

%

 

91.4 

%

 

89.2 

%

    

87.4 

%

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

nm - Not meaningful

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 26






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/0

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

                                          

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

   

 $

198

 

 $

211

 

 $

161

 

 $

181

 

 $

217

 

 $

223

 

 $

170

 

 $

372

 

 $

393

 

 $

570

 

 $

611

    

$

791

 

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

   

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

(2)

 

 

(2)

 

 

1

 

 

(2)

 

 

0

 

 

(1)

 

 

0

 

 

(3)

     

(5)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

   

 $

198

 

 $

211

 

 $

161

 

 $

179

 

 $

215

 

 $

224

 

 $

168

 

 $

372

 

 $

392

 

 $

570

 

 $

608

    

$

786

 

   Unearned premiums change

   

 

(9)

 

 

(17)

 

 

35

 

 

20

 

 

(14)

 

 

(22)

 

 

34

 

 

18

 

 

8

 

 

9

 

 

(3)

     

17

 

   Earned premiums

   

 $

189

 

 $

194

 

 $

196

 

 $

199

 

 $

201

 

 $

202

 

 $

202

 

 $

390

 

 $

404

 

 $

579

 

 $

605

    

$

804

 

 

                                          

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

    

104.0

%

 

106.4

%

 

98.1

%

 

90.1

%

 

99.9

%

 

93.6

%

 

94.0

%

 

101.6

%

 

93.7

%

 

102.3

%

 

95.7

%

    

94.3

%

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

Nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

     

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

    

104.0

%

 

106.4

%

 

98.1

%

 

90.1

%

 

99.9

%

 

93.6

%

 

94.0

%

 

101.6

%

 

93.7

%

 

102.3

%

 

95.7

%

    

94.3

%

   Less catastrophe losses

    

7.0

 

 

15.6

 

 

5.0

 

 

14.9

 

 

6.3

 

 

6.2

  

2.0

 

 

10.3

 

 

2.1

  

9.2

  

3.5

     

6.3

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
      excluding catastrophe losses

    

97.0

%

 

90.8

%

 

93.1

%

 

75.2

%

 

93.6

%

 

87.4

%

 

96.0

%

 

91.3

%

 

91.6

%

 

93.1

%

 

92.2

%

    

88.0

%

                                           

GAAP combined ratio

                                          

   GAAP combined ratio

    

104.4

%

 

107.6

%

 

96.4

%

 

89.0

%

 

100.5

%

 

95.3

%

 

92.7

%

 

102.0

%

 

94.0

%

 

102.8

%

 

96.1

%

    

94.4

%

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

    

104.4

%

 

107.6

%

 

96.4

%

 

89.0

%

 

100.5

%

 

95.3

%

 

92.7

%

 

102.0

%

 

94.0

%

 

102.8

%

 

96.1

%

    

94.4

%

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                                       

nm - Not meaningful

                                          

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 27






The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

GAAP Statements of Income

     
  

For the three months ended September 30,

 

For the nine months ended September 30,

  

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

      

 

 

     

 

  Premiums earned:

      

 

      

 

    Property casualty

$

 $

$

      NA   

$

 $

 $

      NA   

    Life

 

36,294,277 

 

33,816,806 

 

2,477,471 

7.33 

 

109,318,969 

 

103,387,385 

 

5,931,584 

5.74 

    Accident health

 

1,709,173 

 

1,640,686 

 

68,487 

4.17 

 

4,948,521 

 

4,729,937 

 

218,584 

4.62 

    Premiums ceded

 

(10,455,847)

 

(10,287,532)

 

(168,315)

(1.64)

 

(30,688,997)

 

(29,947,525)

 

(741,472)

(2.48)

      Total premiums earned

 

27,547,603 

 

25,169,960 

 

2,377,643 

9.45 

 

83,578,493 

 

78,169,797 

 

5,408,696 

6.92 

  Investment income

 

27,213,672 

 

24,913,462 

 

2,300,210 

9.23 

 

80,603,825 

 

73,310,458 

 

7,293,367 

9.95 

  Realized investment gains and losses

 

(256,745)

 

(288,018)

 

31,273 

10.86 

 

42,327,225 

 

7,356,820 

 

34,970,405 

475.35 

  Other income

 

755,639 

 

951,468 

 

(195,829)

(20.58)

 

2,559,919 

 

2,545,788 

 

14,131 

0.56 

       Total revenues

$

55,260,169 

 $

   50,746,872 

$

       4,513,297 

8.89 

$

  209,069,462 

 $

 161,382,863 

 $

      47,686,599 

29.55 

       

 

      

 

       

 

      

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

     

 

      

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

 42,750,492 

 $

  49,044,146 

$

    (6,293,654)

(12.83)

$

  118,288,412 

 $

  128,224,954 

 $

       (9,936,542)

(7.75)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(9,728,222)

 

(21,796,779)

 

12,068,557 

55.37 

 

(26,705,298)

 

(51,367,008)

 

24,661,710 

48.01 

  Commissions

 

8,434,879 

 

8,784,942 

 

(350,063)

(3.98)

 

25,670,653 

 

25,777,011 

 

(106,358)

(0.41)

  Other operating expenses

 

6,877,898 

 

6,596,022 

 

281,876 

4.27 

 

19,784,207 

 

17,860,479 

 

1,923,728 

10.77 

  Interest expense

 

 

 

NA 

 

 

 

NA 

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

394,060 

 

1,021,334 

 

(627,274)

(61.42)

 

2,144,949 

 

3,172,446 

 

(1,027,497)

(32.39)

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

(6,544,407)

 

(4,984,107)

 

(1,560,300)

(31.31)

 

(14,237,700)

 

(9,766,879)

 

(4,470,821)

(45.78)

  Other expenses

 

(1)

 

 

(1)

NA 

 

108 

 

108 

 

0.00 

       Total expenses

$

 42,184,699 

 $

   38,665,558 

$

     3,519,141 

9.10 

$

 124,945,331 

 $

  113,901,111 

 $

      11,044,220 

9.70 

 

 

     

 

      

 

 

 

     

 

      

 

       Income before income taxes

$

  13,075,470 

 $

  12,081,314 

$

      994,156 

8.23 

$

  84,124,131 

 $

   47,481,752 

 $

      36,642,379 

77.17 

 

 

     

 

      

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

     

 

      

 

  Current

$

  (33,442)

 $

  2,852,503 

$

     (2,885,945)

(101.17)

$

    5,319,857 

 $

     9,098,378 

 $

       (3,778,521)

(41.53)

  Current capital gains/losses

 

   27,139 

 

      (100,806)

 

     127,945 

126.92 

 

    14,931,529 

 

     2,574,887 

 

      12,356,642 

479.89 

  Deferred

 

4,382,846 

 

1,214,805 

 

3,168,041 

260.79 

 

9,777,623 

 

4,338,680 

 

5,438,943 

125.36 

       Total income taxes

$

  4,376,543 

 $

  3,966,502 

$

      410,041 

10.34 

$

    30,029,009 

 $

  16,011,945 

 $

      14,017,064 

87.54 

 

 

     

 

   

 

  

 

       Net income

$

  8,698,927 

 $

      8,114,812 

$

       584,115 

7.20 

$

     54,095,122 

 $

  31,469,807 

 $

      22,625,315 

71.90 





2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 28






The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

Statutory Statements of Income

     
  

For the three months ended September 30,

 

For the nine months ended September 30,

 

 

 2006

2005

% Change

 

 2006

2005

% Change

 

 

   

 

 

 

  

 

Net premiums written

$

   37,886,042 

 $

  53,439,050 

             (29.10)

 $

       115,332,247 

 $

    153,749,079 

    (24.99)

Net investment income

 

   27,213,672 

 

 24,913,462 

                9.23 

 

         80,603,825 

 

      73,310,458 

       9.95 

Amortization of interest maintenance reserve

 

         17,827 

 

     1,422,108 

             (98.75)

 

              100,277 

 

        3,102,027 

    (96.77)

Commissions and expense allowances on reinsurance ceded

 

     1,834,459 

 

     2,309,463 

             (20.57)

 

           5,778,763 

 

        8,761,904 

    (34.05)

Income from fees associated with Separate Accounts

 

       755,639 

 

        951,468 

(20.58)

 

           2,559,919 

 

        2,545,788 

0.56 

Total revenues

$

   67,707,638 

 $

 83,035,551 

(18.46)

$

       204,375,031 

$

    241,469,256 

(15.36)

 

 

   

 

 

 

  

 

Death benefits and matured endowments

$

     9,459,133 

 $

 10,595,563 

(10.73)

$

         30,097,582 

 $

      25,618,091 

17.49 

Annuity benefits

 

   10,463,908 

 

     9,024,180 

15.95 

 

         26,619,650 

 

      16,791,625 

58.53 

Disability benefits and benefits under accident and health contracts

 

       556,563 

 

        484,157 

14.96 

 

           1,215,340 

 

        1,046,366 

16.15 

Surrender benefits and group conversions

 

     4,468,607 

 

     5,407,125 

(17.36)

 

         16,260,645 

 

      14,910,773 

9.05 

Interest and adjustments on deposit-type contract funds

 

     2,259,707 

 

     2,463,402 

(8.27)

 

           7,014,565 

 

        7,486,511 

(6.30)

Increase in aggregate reserves for life and accident and health contracts

 

   26,543,268 

 

 37,868,789 

(29.91)

 

         71,899,714 

 

    115,497,545 

(37.75)

Payments on supplementary contracts with life contingencies

 

         77,577 

 

          73,218 

5.95 

 

              231,661 

 

           220,624 

5.00 

Total benefit expenses

$

   53,828,763 

 $

  65,916,433 

(18.34)

$

       153,339,156 

 $

    181,571,535 

(15.55)

 

 

   

 

 

 

  

 

Commissions

$

     8,319,379 

 $

     8,784,942 

(5.30)

$

         25,355,653 

 $

      25,777,011 

(1.63)

General insurance expenses and taxes

 

     7,487,053 

 

     8,223,280 

(8.95)

 

         24,214,800 

 

      24,041,975 

0.72 

Increase in loading on deferred and uncollected premiums

 

    (1,506,574)

 

       (768,211)

(96.11)

 

          (4,478,863)

 

       (4,573,489)

2.07 

Net transfers to or (from) Separate Accounts

 

                    

 

                     

N/A 

 

             (211,220)

 

                       

N/A 

Other deductions

 

                    

 

                     

N/A 

 

                    109 

 

                 108 

0.63 

Total operating expenses

$

   14,299,858 

 $

 16,240,011 

(11.95)

$

         44,880,478 

 $

      45,245,606 

(0.81)

 

 

   

 

 

 

  

 

Federal and Foreign Income Taxes Incurred

 

       219,114 

 

     2,696,011 

(91.87)

 

           5,022,716 

 

        9,273,251 

(45.84)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net gain from operations before realized capital gains or (losses)

$

      (640,097)

 $

    (1,816,904)

64.77 

$

           1,132,681 

 $

        5,378,864 

(78.94)

 

 

   

 

 

 

  

 

Net realized gains or (losses) net of capital gains tax

 

        (57,569)

 

    (1,000,054)

94.24 

 

         27,640,006 

 

           320,550 

8522.69 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Income (Statutory)

$

      (697,666)

 $

    (2,816,958)

75.23 

$

         28,772,687 

 $

        5,699,414 

404.84 

           

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance  

   

Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

          





2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 29






The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

Expenses as a Percentage of Premium

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

09/30/06

06/30/06

03/31/06

12/31/05

09/30/05

06/30/05

03/31/05

06/30/06

06/30/05

09/30/06

09/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Gross Written Premiums

   

 $

50

 

 $

51

 

 $

50

 

 $

57

 

 $

66

 

 $

64

 

$

62

 

$

101

 

$

126

 

 $

152

 

 $

192

    

$

249

 

Bank Owned Life Insurance (BOLI)
  Adjustment

    

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

 

 

0

  

0

  

0

     

0

 

Adjusted Gross Written Premiums

 

 

 

 $

50

 

 $

51

 

 $

50

 

 $

57

 

 $

66

 

 $

64

 

$

62

 

$

101

 

$

126

 

 $

152

 

 $

192

    

$

249

 

                                           

Insurance Expense

 

 

 

 $

7

 

 $

7

 

 $

7

 

 $

8

 

 $

7

 

 $

7

 

$

7

 

$

14

 

$

14

 

 $

23

 

 $

21

    

$

29

 

                                           

Expense Ratio

    

14.7

%

 

13.5

%

 

14.5

%

 

14.4

%

 

10.3

%

 

10.7

%

 

10.9

%

 

14.0

%

 

10.8

%

 

14.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

   

11.7

%

Expense Ratio based on Adjusted
   Gross Written Premium

    

14.7

%

 

13.5

%

 

14.5

%

 

14.4

%

 

10.3

%

 

10.7

%

 

10.9

%

 

14.0

%

 

10.8

%

 

14.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

   

11.7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                    
                                           
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                        

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

                        

 

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

                        

Gross Written Premiums

 $

249

 

 $

230 

 

 $

173

 

 $

244 

 

 $

122

 

 $

157 

                         

Bank Owned Life Insurance (BOLI)
  Adjustment

 

0

  

(10)

  

0

  

(34)

  

0

  

(20)

                         

Adjusted Gross Written Premiums

 $

249

 

 $

220 

 

 $

173

 

 $

210 

 

 $

122

 

 $

137 

                         
                                           

Insurance Expense

 $

29

 

 $

25 

 

 $

25

 

 $

27 

 

 $

25

 

 $

20 

                         
                                           

Expense Ratio

 

11.7

%

 

11.1 

%

 

14.8

%

 

10.9 

%

 

20.6

%

 

12.9 

%

                        

Expense Ratio based on Adjusted
   Gross Written Premium

 

11.7

%

 

11.6 

%

 

14.8

%

 

12.6 

%

 

20.6

%

 

14.8 

%

                      

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                        
                                           

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

     




2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 30