-----BEGIN PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE----- Proc-Type: 2001,MIC-CLEAR Originator-Name: webmaster@www.sec.gov Originator-Key-Asymmetric: MFgwCgYEVQgBAQICAf8DSgAwRwJAW2sNKK9AVtBzYZmr6aGjlWyK3XmZv3dTINen TWSM7vrzLADbmYQaionwg5sDW3P6oaM5D3tdezXMm7z1T+B+twIDAQAB MIC-Info: RSA-MD5,RSA, HaiCL1kn6g+Bvvckqt5OFoX6NPYcMeHplczboLjL8HHqikZKvRSVO2KImP+Me0Kb zhL4OvBBA/0McAyIGRKl/Q== 0000906318-06-000095.txt : 20061101 0000906318-06-000095.hdr.sgml : 20061101 20061101080249 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0000906318-06-000095 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 3 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20061101 ITEM INFORMATION: Results of Operations and Financial Condition ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20061101 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20061101 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORP CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0000020286 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE [6331] IRS NUMBER: 310746871 STATE OF INCORPORATION: OH FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 000-04604 FILM NUMBER: 061177152 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 6200 S GILMORE RD CITY: FAIRFIELD STATE: OH ZIP: 45014 BUSINESS PHONE: 5138702000 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: P.O. BOX 145496 CITY: CINCINNATI STATE: OH ZIP: 45250 8-K 1 cinfin8k11106.htm FORM 8-K .






UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)

November 1, 2006


CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Ohio

0-4604

31-0746871

(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation)

(Commission
File Number)

(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)

6200 S. Gilmore Road, Fairfield, Ohio

45014-5141

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code    

(513) 870-2000

 

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

¨

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13a-4(c))

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.  On November 1, 2006, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release titled “Cincinnati Financial Third-quarter Net Income and Operating Income* at 66 Cents,” furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. On November 1, 2006, the company also distributed the attached information titled “Supplemental Financial Data,” furnished as Exhibit 99.2 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. This report should not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information contained in the news release or supplemental financial data.

In accordance with general instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information furnished in this report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(c)

Exhibits

Exhibit 99.1 – News release dated November 1, 2006, “Cincinnati Financial Third-quarter Net Income and Operating Income* at 66 Cents”

Exhibit 99.2 – Supplemental Financial Data dated November 1, 2006


Signature

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION

Date November 1, 2006

By  /s/ Kenneth W. Stecher                  

Kenneth W. Stecher

Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President, Secretary and Treasurer

(Principal Accounting Officer)





EX-99 2 ex991.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 Converted by EDGARwiz

CINCINNATI  FINANCIAL  CORPORATION

Mailing Address:                  P.O. BOX 145496

CINCINNATI, OHIO  45250-5496

              (513) 870-2000


Investor Contact:  Heather J. Wietzel

(513) 870-2768

Media Contact:  Joan O. Shevchik

(513) 603-5323


Cincinnati Financial Third-quarter Net Income and Operating Income* at 66 Cents



Cincinnati, November 1, 2006 – Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:

·

Third-quarter and nine-month net and operating income in line with previous announcement.

·

Record book value of $37.32 per share.

·

Results tempered by rising loss severity and by storm activity that will lead to record year for catastrophe losses.

Financial Highlights

(Dollars in millions except share data)

 

Three months ended September 30,

 

Nine months ended September 30,

 

2006

 

2005

Change %

 

2006

 

2005

Change %

Revenue Highlights

          

   Earned premiums

$

819

$

790

3.6 

$

2,446

$

2,361

3.6 

   Investment income

 

144

 

134

7.5 

 

425

 

390

9.0 

   Total revenues

 

967

 

944

2.4 

 

3,556

 

2,801

27.0 

Income Statement Data

          

   Net income

$

115

$

117

(1.6)

$

800

$

419

90.7 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

0

 

10

(100.8)

 

427

 

24

1,690.9 

   Operating income*

$

115

$

107

7.5 

$

373

$

395

(5.6)

Per Share Data (diluted)

          

   Net income

$

0.66

$

0.66

0.0 

$

4.56

$

2.37

92.4 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

0.00

 

0.05

nm 

 

2.43

 

0.14

1,635.7 

   Operating income*

$

0.66

$

0.61

8.2 

$

2.13

$

2.23

(4.5)

           

   Book value

     

$

37.32

$

34.43

8.4 

   Cash dividend declared

$

0.335

$

0.305

9.8 

$

1.005

$

0.90

11.7 

   Weighted average shares outstanding

175,260,063

176,806,267

(0.9)

175,542,616

177,212,677

(0.9)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Insurance Operations Highlights

·

2.4 percent and 3.2 percent increases in three- and nine-month property casualty net written premiums.

·

Strong commercial lines growth with three-month net written premiums up 6.5 percent and new business at $89 million.

·

Third-quarter personal lines new business up 14.4 percent. Rate changes made effective July 1, 2006, have better positioned personal lines products in certain markets.

·

96.1 percent and 94.2 percent three- and nine-month property casualty combined ratios, in line with previous announcement.

·

Catastrophe losses contributed 3.5 and 5.5 percentage points to the 2006 three- and nine-month combined ratios. In the comparable 2005 periods, catastrophe losses contributed 8.6 and 3.6 percentage points to the ratios.

·

5 cents and 15 cents contribution from the life insurance segment to three- and nine-month 2006 operating income.

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights

·

7.5 percent and 9.0 percent growth in three- and nine-month pretax investment income.

·

Book value of $37.32 at September 30, 2006, up $2.44 from year-end 2005 level. Invested assets rose on new investments, interest-rate-driven improvement in bond values and appreciation of equity portfolio.

Full-year 2006 Outlook in Line with October 23, 2006, Announcement**

·

Property casualty written premiums target unchanged at 2+ percent growth in full-year 2006. Growth in commercial lines is more than offsetting the expected decline in personal lines.

·

Combined ratio target raised to a range of 94 percent to 95 percent including at least 5.0 percentage points from full-year catastrophe losses, from a range of 92 percent to 94 percent including 4.0 to 4.5 percentage points.

·

Investment income growth target unchanged at 8.0 percent to 8.5 percent range for full-year 2006.


*

The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 12 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles or Statutory Accounting Principles.

**

Outlook and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company's forward-looking information safe-harbor statement (see Page 9).



1



Overall Results and Long-term Position

“Third-quarter property casualty underwriting results reflected the normal ebb and flow of the insurance business. As we reported on a preliminary basis on October 23, a few business lines showed some inconsistency because of rising loss severity, including higher new large losses. We are further studying those lines so they can receive the attention necessary. We are confident we are working effectively to address each set of circumstances appropriately,” said John J. Schiff, Jr., CPCU, chairman and chief executive officer. “Looking at the big picture, many aspects of our third-quarter performance were exemplary and strengthened our confidence in our long-term outlook..

“In the insurance area, our largest commercial and personal business lines reported healthy third-quarter results, in line with recent trends. Business policyholders are continuing to respond favorably to their local independent agents’ presentation of the Cincinnati value proposition – customized, multi-year coverage packages, superior claims service, our A++ rating from A.M. Best Co. and a local field force. Personal lines policyholders are responding favorably to agents’ presentation of new pricing for Cincinnati’s personal lines products, leading to the first quarter-over-quarter increase in new personal lines business since the fourth quarter of 2002. And our life insurance operation continued to contribute to income, an important balance to the inevitable swings in property casualty insurance results.”

Turning to investments, Schiff added, “Our buy-and-hold equity investing strategy drives the company’s long-term growth and stability and contributed again in the third quarter. Investment income growth was healthy, helped by dividends from our equity holdings. New investments, interest-rate driven improvement in bond values and appreciation of the equity portfolio led to higher investment assets and a $2.44 gain in book value from year-end to a record $37.32.”

Schiff said, “Our long-standing strategy is to be strong on agency relationships, claims service and reserving, and total return investing. We continued during the third quarter to protect and build on these advantages, providing a stable market for our agents’ business and producing steady value for our shareholders.”

Year-to-date Catastrophe Losses

James E. Benoski, vice chairman, chief insurance officer and president, said, “This year, as in 2005, policyholders have had ample opportunities to benefit from the Cincinnati relationship. After a number of second quarter storms, severe weather continued across the Midwest during the third quarter. Policyholders affected by an April hailstorm also continue to report claims, moving the total from that storm above our initial estimate. Of the more than 8,500 catastrophe claims reported for storms during the first nine months of this year, approximately 93 percent are already closed. Our claims representatives’ prompt responses and personal approach reflect positively on our agents, supporting their marketing efforts to value-oriented clients.

“In early October, a Midwest storm caused heavy hail damage in central Ohio, resulting in at least $35 million of losses for our policyholders. Of the approximately 1,500 losses we have received from policyholders affected by that storm, more than 68 percent are already closed,” Benoski noted.

2006 Property Casualty Outlook Update

Kenneth W. Stecher, chief financial officer and executive vice president commented, “In view of the healthy investment income and premium trends, we remain comfortable with the targets for these measures we provided last quarter. Investment income growth should be between 8.0 and 8.5 percent. Our consolidated property casualty written premium growth should be at least 2 percent for the year compared with the 2.6 percent increase in 2005.

“As we announced on October 23, we have modified our expected range for the combined ratio to 94 percent to 95 percent, including at least 5.0 percentage points from full-year catastrophe losses. Catastrophe losses through nine months totaled $130 million, and we’ve already experienced one major storm in October. The rising level of large, non-catastrophe losses in the third quarter took away some of the cushion we had to handle this year’s higher level of catastrophe losses. Without any additional storms, we’re already at a record level that will add at least 5 percentage points to the full-year combined.”



2



Looking at other aspects of the combined ratio, Stecher said, “We continue to believe that savings in 2006 from favorable loss reserve development from prior accident years is likely to reduce the 2006 combined ratio by 2 to 3 percentage points, in line with historical levels. Net savings from favorable development improved this year’s third-quarter loss and loss expense ratio by 4.9 percentage points. For the first nine months of 2006, savings improved the ratio by 1.5 percentage points. In 2005 and 2004, savings – particularly for liability coverages – were at a higher-than-normal level.”

Opportunities

Schiff added, “We plan to finish the year with more agencies than ever, carefully appointing only the most professionally managed agencies in each area where we see opportunities to bring Cincinnati’s insurance products and services to families and businesses. This high-quality representation is an advantage we have been carefully expanding. We made 49 agency appointments in the first nine months, near our target of 55 to 60 new agency appointments for the year. These new appointments and other changes in agency structures brought total reporting agency locations to 1,286, a net increase of 34 since year-end 2005.

“The agencies that market our insurance products recently helped The Cincinnati Insurance Companies rank among the top companies in a survey conducted by Greenwich Associates, an independent financial services research firm. Greenwich surveyed a broad cross-section of agents and brokers to statistically measure carriers on fundamental qualitative measures, including client loyalty, claims coordination, competitive pricing and coverage.”

Schiff concluded, “We continue to target above-industry-average growth in written premiums and industry-leading profitability. We believe that our 2006 performance will support our ability to reward shareholders over the long term.”




3



Property Casualty Insurance Operations

(Dollars in millions)

 

Three months ended September 30,

 

Nine months ended September 30,

2006

2005

Change %

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

Change %

Written premiums

$

780

 

$

761

 

2.4 

$

2,423

 

$

2,349

 

3.2 

               

Earned premiums

$

791

 

$

765

 

3.4 

$

2,362

 

$

2,283

 

3.5 

               

Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophes

 

489

  

435

 

12.2 

 

1,375

  

1,312

 

4.8 

Catastrophe loss and loss expenses

 

27

  

66

 

(58.2)

 

130

  

83

 

57.2 

Commission expenses

 

147

  

151

 

(2.6)

 

452

  

451

 

0.4 

Underwriting expenses

 

94

  

84

 

11.4 

 

256

  

225

 

13.7 

Policyholder dividends

 

3

  

3

 

39.4 

 

12

  

7

 

56.5 

   Underwriting profit

$

31

 

$

26

 

19.0 

$

137

 

$

205

 

(33.4)

               

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:

              

   Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophes

 

61.7

%

 

56.9

%

  

58.3

%

 

57.5

%

 

   Catastrophe loss and loss expenses

 

3.5

  

8.6

   

5.5

  

3.6

  

   Loss and loss expenses

 

65.2

  

65.5

   

63.8

  

61.1

  

   Commission expenses

 

18.7

  

19.8

   

19.1

  

19.7

  

   Underwriting expenses

 

11.8

  

11.0

   

10.8

  

9.9

  

   Policyholder dividends

 

0.4

  

0.3

   

0.5

  

0.3

  

      Combined ratio

 

96.1

%

 

96.6

%

  

94.2

%

 

91.0

%

 
               

Property Casualty Insurance Highlights

·

2.4 percent rise in three-month 2006 property casualty written premiums, with a 3.2 percent nine-month increase. The 2006 net written premium growth rates were increased by the net effect of reinsurance reinstatement premiums and assumed pool adjustments in the third quarter of 2005. These added 0.5 and 0.1 percentage points, respectively, to the growth rates for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006.

·

$98 million in new business written directly by agencies compared with $79 million in last year’s three months. Nine-month new business rose 16.1 percent to $268 million from $231 million.

·

1,065 agency relationships with 1,286 reporting locations marketing our insurance products at September 30, 2006, up from 1,024 agency relationships with 1,252 locations at year-end 2005.

·

3.2 percentage point increase in the nine-month property casualty combined ratio due to rising loss severity, catastrophe losses, a lower level of savings from favorable development on prior period reserves and underwriting expenses, including stock option expensing.

·

$27 million in third-quarter 2006 catastrophe losses, reflecting $19 million from weather events during the period and $8 million of development on catastrophe events in prior periods. $130 million in nine-month 2006 catastrophe losses contributed 5.5 percentage points to the nine-month combined ratio.

2006 Year-to-date Events

Dates

States Primarily Affected

Reported Claims
(as of October 27)

Loss Estimate (pretax, net of reinsurance)

Midwest tornadoes and severe weather

Mar. 11-13

Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Missouri, Oklahoma

1,629

$38 million

Midwest wind and hail

Apr. 2-3

Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Missouri, Tennessee

1,227

$18 million

Midwest wind and hail

Apr. 6-8

Alabama, Georgia, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Nebraska, Ohio, Tennessee

976

$10 million

Midwest wind and hail

Apr. 13-15

Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Wisconsin

3,360

$38 million

Midwest wind, hail and flood

Jun. 18-22

Indiana, Ohio, Wisconsin

535

$5 million

Midwest wind, hail and flood

Jul. 19-21

Illinois, Kentucky, Missouri, Tennessee and Wisconsin

472

$6 million

Midwest wind, hail and flood

Aug. 23-25

Illinois, Indiana, Minnesota, Wisconsin

337

$8 million

Midwest wind, hail and flood

Oct. 2-4

Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, Wisconsin

1,479

$35 million

·

Three-month 2006 net savings from favorable development on prior period reserves improved the combined ratio by 4.9 percentage points. In last year’s third quarter, savings improved the ratio by 6.5 percentage points.

·

Nine-month 2006 net savings from favorable development improved the combined ratio by 1.5 percentage points. In the comparable 2005 period, savings improved the ratio by 3.5 percentage points. The year-over-year differences largely related to development on commercial casualty losses, which can fluctuate due to the nature and size of liability policies and limits, such as those on commercial umbrella policies.


The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 12 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).



4



Commercial Lines Insurance Operations

(Dollars in millions)

 

Three months ended September 30,

 

Nine months ended September 30,

 

2006

  

2005

 

Change %

 

2006

  

2005

 

Change %

Written premiums

$

582

 

$

546

 

6.5 

$

1,853

 

$

1,741

 

6.4 

               

Earned premiums

$

602

 

$

564

 

6.7 

$

1,783

 

$

1,678

 

6.3 

               

Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophes

 

363

  

307

 

18.1 

 

1,020

  

942

 

8.4 

Catastrophe loss and loss expenses

 

14

  

53

 

(73.4)

 

77

  

62

 

24.4 

Commission expenses

 

109

  

110

 

(0.5)

 

331

  

325

 

2.1 

Underwriting expenses

 

74

  

64

 

14.2 

 

190

  

160

 

18.5 

Policyholder dividends

 

3

  

3

 

39.4 

 

12

  

7

 

56.5 

   Underwriting profit

$

39

 

$

27

 

44.9 

$

153

 

$

182

 

(16.0)

               

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:

              

   Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophes

 

60.2

%

 

54.4

%

  

57.3

%

 

56.1

%

 

   Catastrophe loss and loss expenses

 

2.3

  

9.5

   

4.3

  

3.7

  

   Loss and loss expenses

 

62.5

  

63.9

   

61.6

  

59.8

  

   Commission expenses

 

18.2

  

19.5

   

18.6

  

19.4

  

   Underwriting expenses

 

12.2

  

11.4

   

10.6

  

9.5

  

   Policyholder dividends

 

0.5

  

0.4

   

0.6

  

0.5

  

      Combined ratio

 

93.4

%

 

95.2

%

  

91.4

%

 

89.2

%

 

 

              


Commercial Lines Insurance Highlights

·

6.5 percent growth in three-month 2006 commercial lines net written premiums with a 6.4 percent nine-month increase. 2006 net written premium growth rates were increased by the effect of reinsurance reinstatement premiums in the third quarter of 2005. These added 1.0 and 0.3 percentage points, respectively, to the growth rates for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006.

·

$89 million in new commercial lines business written directly by agencies in third-quarter 2006, up 25.1 percent. Nine-month new commercial lines business rose 18.5 percent to $244 million.

·

91.4 percent nine-month 2006 commercial lines combined ratio. The ratio rose 2.2 percentage points largely because of higher catastrophe losses, a lower level of savings from favorable development on prior period reserves and rising loss severity, including an increase in the number of losses greater than $1 million.

·

0.8 percentage-point decrease in nine-month commercial lines commission expense ratio, primarily due to lower profit-sharing commissions on lower overall underwriting profits.

·

1.2 percentage-point increase in nine-month noncommission expense ratio, including policyholder dividends. The rise largely was due to higher technology and staffing expenses. Stock option expense contributed 0.5 percentage points.

·

Commercial property and commercial casualty – the company’s two largest commercial business lines – reported strong growth and healthy profitability, with nine-month loss and loss expense ratios excluding catastrophes improved from the year ago period.

·

Commercial auto and workers’ compensation results in line with previous announcement. In addition to rising loss severity and a higher number of new large losses, commercial auto results reflected the increasing competition in the commercial lines marketplace and workers’ compensation reflected a review we made of established case reserves.

·

Continued commercial lines growth anticipated due to strong agency relationships, which promoted healthy new business growth and policyholder retention.













The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 12 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).



5



Personal Lines Insurance Operations

(Dollars in millions)

 

Three months ended September 30,

 

Nine months ended September 30,

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

Change %

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

Change %

Written premiums

$

198 

 

$

215 

 

(8.0)

$

570 

 

$

608

 

(6.1)

               

Earned premiums

$

189 

 

$

201 

 

(5.9)

$

579 

 

$

605

 

(4.4)

               

Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophes

 

126 

  

128 

 

(1.9)

 

355 

  

370

 

(4.2)

Catastrophe loss and loss expenses

 

13 

  

13 

 

6.4 

 

53 

  

21

 

153.9 

Commission expenses

 

38 

  

41 

 

(8.0)

 

121 

  

126

 

(4.1)

Underwriting expenses

 

20 

  

20 

 

2.3 

 

66 

  

65

 

1.9 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

$

(8)

 

$

(1)

 

(670.2)

$

(16)

 

$

23

 

(169.2)

               

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:

              

   Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophes

 

66.6 

%

 

63.9 

%

  

61.3 

%

 

61.1

%

 

   Catastrophe loss and loss expenses

 

7.1 

  

6.3 

   

9.2 

  

3.5

  

   Loss and loss expenses

 

73.7 

  

70.2 

   

70.5 

%

 

64.6

  

   Commission expenses

 

20.1 

  

20.5 

   

20.8 

  

20.8

  

   Underwriting expenses

 

10.6 

  

9.8 

   

11.5 

  

10.7

  

      Combined ratio

 

104.4 

%

 

100.5 

%

  

102.8 

%

 

96.1

%

 

 

              


Personal Lines Insurance Highlights

·

8.0 percent decrease in three-month 2006 personal lines net written premiums with a 6.1 percent nine-month decrease. 2006 net written premium growth rates include the net effect of reinsurance reinstatement premiums and assumed pool adjustments in the third quarter of 2005. These reduced the decline by 0.8 and 0.3 percentage points, respectively, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006.

·

14.4 percent increase in third-quarter new personal lines business to $9 million compared with $8 million in the third quarter of 2005, the first quarter-over-quarter increase in new personal lines business since the fourth quarter of 2002. New personal lines business written directly by agencies was $24 million in the first nine months of 2006, compared with $25 million in year-ago period.

·

102.8 percent nine-month 2006 personal lines combined ratio. The 6.7 percentage-point increase reflected a 5.7 percentage point rise in the contribution from catastrophe losses.

·

Increase in three- and nine-month noncommission underwriting expense ratio, largely due to higher technology and staffing expenses. The adoption of stock option expensing contributed 0.4 and 0.5 percentage points to the three- and nine-month increases, respectively.

·

Diamond, the company’s personal lines policy processing system, in use in 13 states that represent approximately 90 percent of total 2005 personal lines earned premium volume. 2006 rollout to Georgia, Kentucky, Minnesota, Missouri, Tennessee and Wisconsin agents completed on schedule. Plans for 2007 include the introduction of Diamond in Pennsylvania, Virginia and other low-volume states.

·

Personal auto – the company’s largest personal business line – reported healthy profitability, with the nine-month loss and loss expense ratio excluding catastrophe losses improved from the year ago period.

·

Homeowner results in line with previous announcement. In addition to rising loss severity and a higher number of new large losses, homeowner results reflect industrywide trends of higher material costs and insured property values as well as rising deductibles.

·

Decrease in full-year 2006 personal lines premiums expected. Effective July 1, a limited program of policy credits to incorporate insurance scores into pricing of personal auto and homeowner policies was introduced in most states where the Diamond system is in use. This program lowers premiums for some existing policyholders. These changes can contribute to higher levels of new business and improved policyholder retention by making rates more competitive for agents’ better customers.










The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 12 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).



6



Life Insurance Operations

(In millions)

Three months ended September 30,

Nine months ended September 30,

2006

2005

Change %

2006

2005

Change %

Written premiums

$

40

$

56

(28.7)

$

121

$

163

(25.6)

           

Earned premiums

$

28

$

25

9.4 

$

84

$

78

6.9 

Investment income, net of expenses

 

27

 

25

9.2 

 

81

 

73

10.0 

Other income

 

0

 

1

(20.6)

 

2

 

3

0.5 

  Total revenues, excluding realized investment gains
     and losses

 

55

 

51

8.8 

 

167

 

154

8.3 

Policyholder benefits

 

33

 

27

21.2 

 

92

 

77

19.2 

Expenses

 

9

 

12

(19.8)

 

33

 

37

(9.9)

    Total benefits and expenses

 

42

 

39

9.1 

 

125

 

114

9.7 

Net income before income tax and
    realized investment gains and losses

 

13

 

12

7.8 

 

42

 

40

4.2 

Income tax

 

4

 

4

7.0 

 

15

 

13

12.4 

Net income before realized investment
   gains and losses

$

9

$

8

8.2 

$

27

$

27

0.0 

           


Life Insurance Highlights

·

$121 million in nine-month total life insurance operations net written premiums, compared with $163 million in year-ago period. Written premiums include life insurance, annuity and accident and health premiums.

·

13.2 percent increase to $94 million in statutory written premiums for term and other life insurance products in the first nine months of 2006. Since late 2005, the company has de-emphasized annuities because of an unfavorable interest rate environment. Statutory written annuity premiums decreased to $24 million in the first nine months of 2006 from $77 million in the comparable prior period.

·

8.2 percent rise in face amount of life policies in force to $55.691 billion at September 30, 2006, from $51.493 billion at year-end 2005.

·

$11 million increase in nine-month benefits and expenses primarily due to higher mortality expenses compared with the year-earlier periods, although mortality experience remained within pricing guidelines. Adoption of stock option expensing added approximately $1 million to other operating expenses.

·

29.4 percent rise in first-nine month 2006 term life insurance written premiums, benefiting from the 2005 introduction of a new series of term products. Termsetter Plus series includes an optional return-of-premium feature. Response to the new portfolio has been favorable, with approximately 25 percent of applications requesting the return-of-premium feature.

·

Cash value accumulation universal life products introduced for adults and children to further round out the universal life portfolio.



















The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 12 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).



7



Investment Operations

(In millions)

 

Three months ended September 30,

 

Nine months ended September 30,

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

Change %

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

Change %

Investment income:

   Interest

$

74 

 

$

70 

 

6.1 

$

225 

 

$

208 

 

8.2 

   Dividends

 

67 

  

64 

 

5.2 

 

194 

  

180 

 

7.5 

   Other

 

  

 

130.0 

 

11 

  

 

78.8 

   Investment expenses

 

(1)

  

(2)

 

9.9 

 

(5)

  

(4)

 

(14.4)

      Total net investment income

 

144 

  

134 

 

7.5 

 

425 

  

390 

 

9.0 

Investment interest credited to contract holders

 

(14)

  

(13)

 

(3.4)

 

(40)

  

(38)

 

(6.0)

Net realized investment gains and losses:

   Realized investment gains and losses

 

(2)

  

12 

 

(117.3)

 

667 

  

41 

 

1,519.9 

   Change in valuation of embedded derivatives

 

  

 

(56.0)

 

  

(2)

 

353.6 

   Other-than-temporary impairment charges

 

  

(1)

 

nm 

 

(1)

  

(1)

 

41.7 

      Net realized investment gains (losses)

 

  

16 

 

nm 

 

671 

  

38 

 

1,683.6 

Investment operations income

$

130 

 

$

137 

 

(4.8)

$

1,056 

 

$

390 

 

171.1 

 


Balance Sheet

(Dollars in millions except share data)

 

 

 

 

 

 

At September 30,

At December 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

Balance sheet data

            

   Invested assets

      

$

13,104

 

$

12,702 

 

   Total assets

       

17,671

  

16,003 

 

   Short-term debt

       

49

  

 

   Long-term debt

       

791

  

791 

 

   Shareholders' equity

       

6,464

  

6,086 

 

   Book value per share

       

37.32

  

34.88 

 

   Debt-to-capital ratio

       

11.5

%

 

11.5 

%

             
 

Three months ended Sept. 30,

Nine months ended Sept. 30,

  

2006

 

 

2005

 

 

2006

 

 

2005

 

Performance measures

            

   Comprehensive income (loss)

$

455

 

$

(59)

 

$

609

 

$

(39)

 

   Return on equity, annualized

 

7.4

%

 

7.7 

%

 

17.0

%

 

9.1 

%

   Return on equity, annualized,
      based on comprehensive income

 

29.1

  

(3.9)

  

12.9

  

(0.8)

 
             

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights

·

7.5 percent increase in three-month pretax net investment income with 9.0 percent increase for the nine months. Fifth Third Bancorp, the company’s largest equity holding, contributed 44.2 percent of total nine-month dividend income.

·

Growth in investment income reflected new investments, higher interest income from the growing fixed-maturity portfolio and increased dividend income from the common stock portfolio. In addition, proceeds from the sale of the ALLTEL Corporation holding used to make the applicable tax payments in June 2006 were invested in short-term instruments that generated approximately $5 million in interest income in the first nine months of 2006.

·

$15 million annually in additional investment income expected from dividend increases announced during the 12 months ended September 30, 2006, by Fifth Third and another 37 of the 49 common stock holdings in the equity portfolio.

·

$671 million in nine-month net realized investment gains (pretax) including $647 million due to the first-quarter sale of the company’s holdings of ALLTEL common stock.


·

Book value of $37.32 at September 30, 2006, up $2.44 from year-end 2005 level. Invested assets at September 30, 2006, rose from year-end 2005 because of new investments, interest-rate-driven improvement in bond values and appreciation of the equity portfolio.

·

142,566 shares repurchased in third quarter. Raised nine-month repurchase activity to 2.15 million shares for a total cost of $95 million.

·

$4.616 billion in statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at September 30, 2006, compared with $4.194 billion at year-end 2005. The ratio of common stock to statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group portfolio was 92.6 percent at September 30, 2006, compared with 97.0 percent at year-end 2005.

·

30.9 percent ratio of investment securities held at the holding-company level to total holding-company-only assets at September 30, 2006, comfortably within management’s below-40 percent target.


The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 12 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).



8



Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers property and casualty insurance, its main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company, The Cincinnati Indemnity Company and The Cincinnati Casualty Company. The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company markets life and disability income insurance and annuities. CFC Investment Company offers commercial leasing and financing services. CinFin Capital Management Company provides asset management services to institutions, corporations and individuals. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.


For additional information or to register for this morning’s conference call webcast, please visit www.cinfin.com/investors.


This is our “Safe Harbor” statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2005 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 21. Although we often review or update our forward-looking statements when events warrant, we caution our readers that we undertake no obligation to do so.


Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:

·

Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes

·

Increased frequency and/or severity of claims

·

Inaccurate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting estimates

·

Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company’s future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

·

Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company’s relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company’s opportunities for growth, such as:

Downgrade of the company’s financial strength ratings,

Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult  

Perceptions that the company’s level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace or

Regulations or laws that change industry or company practices for our agents.

·

Delays or inadequacies in the development, implementation, performance and benefits of technology projects and enhancements

·

Ability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for non-payment or delay in payment by reinsurers

·

Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company’s premium growth rate

·

Underwriting and pricing methods adopted by competitors that could allow them to identify and flexibly price risks, which could decrease our competitive advantages

·

Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies that:

Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations

Increase our expenses

Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes

Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates

Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace or

Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents

·

Sustained decline in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company’s equity portfolio and book value; in particular a sustained decline in the market value of Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:FITB) shares, a significant equity holding

·

Recession or other economic conditions or regulatory, accounting or tax changes resulting in lower demand for insurance products

·

Events that lead to a significant decline in the value of a particular security and impairment of the asset

·

Prolonged medium- and long-term low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company’s ability to generate growth in investment income

·

Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings

·

Investment activities or market value fluctuations that trigger restrictions applicable to the parent company under the Investment Company Act of 1940

·

Events, such as an avian flu epidemic, natural catastrophe or construction delays, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location


Further, the company’s insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as recent measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.



9



Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(Dollars in millions except per share data)

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

2006

 

2005

 

 

 

 

(unaudited)

 

 

ASSETS

      

   Investments

      Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2006—$5,719; 2005—$5,387)

 

$

5,790 

$

5,476 

      Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2006—$2,574; 2005—$2,128)

   

7,256 

 

7,106 

      Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2005—$75)

   

 

75 

      Other invested assets

   

58 

 

45 

   Cash and cash equivalents

   

239 

 

119 

   Securities lending collateral

   

1,016 

 

   Investment income receivable

   

115 

 

117 

   Finance receivable

   

106 

 

105 

   Premiums receivable

   

1,166 

 

1,116 

   Reinsurance receivable

   

701 

 

681 

   Prepaid reinsurance premiums

   

13 

 

14 

   Deferred policy acquisition costs

   

458 

 

429 

   Land, building and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation:
      2006—$253; 2005—$232)  

 

185 

 

168 

   Other assets

   

63 

 

66 

   Separate accounts

   

505 

 

486 

      Total assets

  

$

17,671 

$

16,003 

 

LIABILITIES

   Insurance reserves

      

      Loss and loss expense reserves

  

$

3,878 

$

3,661 

      Life policy reserves

   

1,389 

 

1,343 

   Unearned premiums

   

1,623 

 

1,559 

   Securities lending payable

   

1,016 

 

   Other liabilities

   

459 

 

455 

   Deferred income tax

   

1,497 

 

1,622 

   Notes payable

   

49 

 

   6.125% senior notes due 2034

   

371 

 

371 

   6.9% senior debentures due 2028

   

28 

 

28 

   6.92% senior debenture due 2028

   

392 

 

392 

   Separate accounts

   

505 

 

486 

      Total liabilities

   

11,207 

 

9,917 

 

SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY

   Common stock, par value-$2 per share; authorized: 2006-500 million shares, 2005-
      500 million shares; issued: 2006-195 million shares, 2005-194 million shares

 

391 

 

389 

   Paid-in capital

   

1,005 

 

969 

   Retained earnings

   

2,714 

 

2,088 

   Accumulated other comprehensive income

 

3,093 

 

3,284 

   Treasury stock at cost (2006—22 million shares, 2005—20 million shares)

 

(739)

 

(644)

      Total shareholders' equity

   

6,464 

 

6,086 

      Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

  

$

17,671 

$

16,003 

 





10



Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Income

(In millions except per share data)

 

Three months ended Sept. 30,

 

Nine months ended Sept. 30,

 

2006

 

2005

 

2006

 

2005

 

 

(unaudited)

(unaudited)

REVENUES

         

   Earned premiums

    

      Property casualty

 

$

791 

$

765 

$

2,362 

$

2,283 

      Life

  

28 

 

25 

 

84 

 

78 

   Investment income, net of expenses

  

144 

 

134 

 

425 

 

390 

   Realized investment gains and losses

  

 

16 

 

671 

 

38 

   Other income

  

 

 

14 

 

12 

      Total revenues

  

967 

 

944 

 

3,556 

 

2,801 

     

BENEFITS AND EXPENSES

    

   Insurance losses and policyholder benefits

  

549 

 

528 

 

1,596 

 

1,470 

   Commissions

  

156 

 

160 

 

478 

 

476 

   Other operating expenses

  

83 

 

74 

 

243 

 

213 

   Taxes, licenses and fees

  

19 

 

17 

 

58 

 

52 

   Increase in deferred policy acquisition costs

  

(5)

 

(5)

 

(27)

 

(23)

   Interest expense

  

13 

 

13 

 

39 

 

39 

   Other expenses

  

 

 

12 

 

12 

      Total benefits and expenses

  

819 

 

793 

 

2,399 

 

2,239 

     

INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES

  

148 

 

151 

 

1,157 

 

562 

     

PROVISION (BENEFIT) FOR INCOME TAXES

    

   Current

  

23 

 

19 

 

363 

 

126 

   Deferred

  

10 

 

15 

 

(6)

 

17 

      Total provision for income taxes

  

33 

 

34 

 

357 

 

143 

     

NET INCOME

 

$

115 

$

117 

$

800 

$

419 

     

PER COMMON SHARE

    

   Net income—basic

 

$

0.67 

$

0.67 

$

4.61 

$

2.39 

   Net income—diluted

 

$

0.66 

$

0.66 

$

4.56 

$

2.37 

     


Since 1996, Cincinnati Financial has disclosed the estimated impact of stock options on net income and earnings per share in a Note to the Financial Statements. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2005, diluted net income would have been reduced by approximately 2 cents and 6 cents per share, if option expense, calculated using the binomial option-pricing model, were included as an expense.


***








11



Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

(See attached tables for 2006 and 2005 data; prior-period reconciliations available at www.cinfin.com/investors.)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.

Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments – when analyzing both GAAP and certain non-GAAP measures may improve understanding of trends in the underlying business, helping avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.

·

Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities and embedded derivatives without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gain s or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.

For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.

·

Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.

·

Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.

·

Written premium adjustment – statutory basis only: In 2002, the company refined its estimation process for matching property casualty written premiums to policy effective dates, which added $117 million to 2002 written premiums. To better assess ongoing business trends, management may exclude this adjustment when analyzing trends in written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

·

Codification: Adoption of Codification of Statutory Accounting Principles was required for Ohio-based insurance companies effective January 1, 2001. The adoption of Codification changed the manner in which the company recognized statutory property casualty written premiums. As a result, 2001 statutory written premiums included $402 million to account for unbooked premiums related to policies with effective dates prior to January 1, 2001. To better assess ongoing business trends, management excludes this $402 million when analyzing written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

·

Life insurance gross written premiums: In analyzing the life insurance company’s gross written premiums, management excludes five larger, single-pay life insurance policies (bank-owned life insurance or BOLIs) written in 2004, 2002, 2000 and 1999 to focus on the trend in premiums written through the independent agency distribution channel.

·

One-time charges or adjustments: Management analyzes earnings and profitability excluding the impact of one-time items.

In 2003, as the result of a settlement negotiated with a vendor, pretax results included the recovery of $23 million of the $39 million one-time, pretax charge incurred in 2000.

In 2000, the company recorded a one-time charge of $39 million, pre-tax, to write down previously capitalized costs related to the development of software to process property casualty policies.

In 2000, the company earned $5 million in interest in the first quarter from a $303 million single-premium BOLI policy that was booked at the end of 1999 and segregated as a separate account effective April 1, 2000. Investment income and realized investment gains and losses from separate accounts generally accrue directly to the contract holder and, therefore, are not included in the company’s consolidated financials.



12






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

 

(In millions except per share data)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

                 

 

 

  

 

 

  

 

    

   Net income

  

$

115 

$

132 

$

552 

$

183 

$

117 

$

158 

$

144 

$

684 

$

302 

$

800 

$

419 

 

 

$

602 

 

   One-time item

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

   Net income before one-time item

   

115 

 

132 

 

552 

 

183 

 

117 

 

158 

 

144 

 

684 

 

302 

 

800 

 

419 

 

  

602 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

 

 

 

 

421 

 

16 

 

10 

 

 

 

426 

 

14 

 

427 

 

24 

 

 

 

40 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

   

115 

 

126 

 

131 

 

167 

 

107 

 

150 

 

138 

 

258 

 

288 

 

373 

 

395 

 

  

562 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

 

 

(18)

 

(41)

 

(26)

 

(28)

 

(43)

 

(9)

 

(2)

 

(67)

 

(11)

 

(85)

 

(54)

 

 

 

(82)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and
        one-time item

 

 

$

133 

$

167 

$

157 

$

195 

$

150 

$

159 

$

140 

$

325 

$

299 

$

458 

$

449 

 

 

$

644 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted per share data

                

 

   

 

   

 

    

   Net income

  

$

0.66 

$

0.76 

$

3.13 

$

1.03 

$

0.66 

$

0.89 

$

0.81 

$

3.90 

$

1.70 

$

2.13 

$

2.37 

 

 

$

3.40 

 

   One-time item

   

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

  

0.00 

 

   Net income before one-time item

   

0.66 

 

0.76 

 

3.13 

 

1.03 

 

0.66 

 

0.89 

 

0.81 

 

3.90 

 

1.70 

 

2.13 

 

2.37 

 

  

3.40 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

 

 

0.00 

 

0.04 

 

2.39 

 

0.09 

 

0.05 

 

0.05 

 

0.03 

 

2.43 

 

0.08 

 

2.43 

 

0.14 

 

 

 

0.23 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

   

0.66 

 

0.72 

 

0.74 

 

0.94 

 

0.61 

 

0.84 

 

0.78 

 

1.47 

 

1.62 

 

4.56 

 

2.23 

 

  

3.17 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

 

 

(0.10)

 

(0.24)

 

(0.14)

 

(0.16)

 

(0.24)

 

(0.05)

 

(0.01)

 

(0.38)

 

(0.06)

 

(0.48)

 

(0.30)

 

 

 

(0.46)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and
         one-time item

 

 

$

0.76 

$

0.96 

$

0.88 

$

1.10 

$

0.85 

$

0.89 

$

0.79 

$

1.85 

$

1.68 

$

5.04 

$

2.53 

 

 

$

3.63 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

   

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                           



13






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

   

$

787

 

$

804

 

$

796

 

$

765

 

$

764

 

$

780

 

$

787

 

$

1,600

 

$

1,567

 

$

2,387

 

$

2,332

 

 

  

$

3,097

 

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

 

 

 

(7)

 

 

10

 

 

33

 

 

(38)

 

 

(3)

 

 

10

 

 

10

  

43

 

 

20

 

 

36

 

 

17

     

(21)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

   

$

780

 

$

814

 

$

829

 

$

727

 

$

761

 

$

790

 

$

797

 

$

1,643

 

$

1,587

 

$

2,423

 

$

2,349

 

 

  

$

3,076

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

 

 

 

11

 

 

(21)

 

 

(51)

  

48

 

 

4

  

(25)

 

 

(44)

  

(72)

 

 

(73)

 

 

(60)

 

 

(66)

     

(19)

 

   Earned premiums

   

$

791

 

$

793

 

$

778

 

$

775

 

$

765

 

$

765

 

$

753

 

$

1,571

 

$

1,518

 

$

2,362

 

$

2,283

    

$

3,058

 

 

                                          

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

    

96.4

%

 

93.7

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.6

%

 

87.3

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

    

89.0

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

 

 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

 

 

 

 

96.4

%

 

93.7

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.6

%

 

87.3

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

    

89.0

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

 

 

 

3.5

 

 

8.0

 

 

5.0

 

 

5.6

 

 

8.6

 

 

2.0

 

 

0.3

  

6.5

 

 

1.1

 

 

5.5

 

 

3.6

 

    

4.1

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
       excluding catastrophe losses

    

92.9

%

 

85.7

%

 

84.6

%

 

80.2

%

 

88.0

%

 

84.6

%

 

87.0

%

 

85.2

%

 

85.8

%

 

87.7

%

 

86.5

%

    

84.9

%

 

                            

 

     

 

 

    

 

 

   Reported commission expense ratio*

    

19.3

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

20.4

%

 

20.3

%

 

19.3

%

 

16.8

%

 

17.9

%

 

18.0

%

 

18.3

%

 

18.8

%

    

19.2

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   Adjusted commission expense ratio

    

19.3

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

20.4

%

 

20.3

%

 

19.3

%

 

16.8

%

 

17.9

%

 

18.0

%

 

18.3

%

 

18.8

%

    

19.2

%

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

  

 

     

 

 

    

 

 

            

   Reported other expense ratio*

    

11.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

11.6

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.3

%

 

9.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.0

%

 

11.2

%

 

10.2

%

    

10.5

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

 

 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   Adjusted other expense ratio

    

11.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

11.6

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.3

%

 

9.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.0

%

 

11.2

%

 

10.2

%

    

10.5

%

 

                       &nbs p;                  

   Reported statutory expense ratio*

    

31.2

%

 

28.4

%

 

28.9

%

 

32.0

%

 

31.1

%

 

29.6

%

 

26.6

%

 

28.7

%

 

28.0

%

 

29.5

%

 

29.0

%

    

29.7

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory expense ratio

    

31.2

%

 

28.4

%

 

28.9

%

 

32.0

%

 

31.1

%

 

29.6

%

 

26.6

%

 

28.7

%

 

28.0

%

 

29.5

%

 

29.0

%

    

29.7

%

                                           

GAAP combined ratio

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

   GAAP combined ratio

    

96.1

%

 

94.5

%

 

92.0

%

 

83.9

%

 

96.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

88.9

%

 

93.3

%

 

88.2

%

 

94.2

%

 

91.0

%

    

89.2

%

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

    

96.1

%

 

94.5

%

 

92.0

%

 

83.9

%

 

96.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

88.9

%

 

93.3

%

 

88.2

%

 

94.2

%

 

91.0

%

    

89.2

%

 

                                          

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts

          

may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                                     

nm - Not meaningful

                         < /TD>                 

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       



14






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

   

$

589 

 

$

593 

 

$

635 

 

$

584 

 

$

547 

 

$

557 

 

$

617 

 

$

1,228 

 

$

1,174

 

$

1,817 

 

$

1,721 

    

$

2,306 

 

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

   

 

(7)

 

 

10 

 

 

33 

 

 

(36)

 

 

(1)

 

 

 

 

12 

  

43 

 

 

21

 

 

36 

 

 

20 

 

   

 

(16)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

   

$

582 

 

$

603 

 

$

668 

 

$

548 

 

$

546 

 

$

566 

 

$

629 

 

$

1,271 

 

$

1,195

 

$

1,853 

 

$

1,741 

    

$

2,290 

 

   Unearned premiums change

   

 

20 

 

 

(4)

 

 

(86)

 

 

28 

 

 

18 

 

 

(3)

 

 

(78)

  

(90)

 

 

(81)

 

 

(69)

 

 

(63)

 

   

 

(36)

 

   Earned premiums

   

$

602 

 

$

599 

 

$

582 

 

$

576 

 

$

564 

 

$

563 

 

$

551 

 

$

1,181 

 

$

1,114

 

$

1,783 

 

$

1,678 

    

$

2,254 

 

 

                                          

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

    

94.1 

%

 

89.6 

%

 

87.5 

%

 

84.3 

%

 

95.5 

%

 

83.9 

%

 

85.5 

%

 

88.6 

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3 

%

 

88.1 

%

    

87.1 

%

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

    

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm

  

nm 

  

nm 

     

nm 

 

   One-time item

   

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

 

 

0.0

  

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   

 

0.0 

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

    

94.1 

%

 

89.6 

%

 

87.5 

%

 

84.3 

%

 

95.5 

%

 

83.9 

%

 

85.5 

%

 

88.6 

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3 

%

 

88.1 

%

    

87.1 

%

   Less catastrophe losses

   

 

2.3 

 

 

5.6 

 

 

5.1 

 

 

2.4 

 

 

9.5 

 

 

0.4 

 

 

1.1 

  

5.3 

 

 

0.8

  

4.3 

 

 

3.6 

 

   

 

3.4 

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
      excluding catastrophe losses

   

 

91.8 

%

 

84.0 

%

 

82.4 

%

 

81.9 

%

 

86.0 

%

 

83.5 

%

 

84.4 

%

 

83.3 

%

 

83.8

%

 

86.0 

%

 

84.5 

%

   

 

83.7 

%

                         

 

                 

GAAP combined ratio

                        

 

                 

   GAAP combined ratio

    

93.4 

%

 

90.3 

%

 

90.5 

%

 

82.1 

%

 

95.2 

%

 

84.8 

%

 

87.5 

%

 

90.4 

%

 

86.1

%

 

91.4 

%

 

89.2 

%

    

87.4 

%

   One-time item

   

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   

 

0.0 

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

    

93.4 

%

 

90.3 

%

 

90.5 

%

 

82.1 

%

 

95.2 

%

 

84.8 

%

 

87.5 

%

 

90.4 

%

 

86.1

%

 

91.4 

%

 

89.2 

%

    

87.4 

%

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

nm - Not meaningful

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       



15






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/0

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

                                          

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

   

 $

198

 

 $

211

 

 $

161

 

 $

181

 

 $

217

 

 $

223

 

 $

170

 

 $

372

 

 $

393

 

 $

570

 

 $

611

    

$

791

 

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

   

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

(2)

 

 

(2)

 

 

1

 

 

(2)

 

 

0

 

 

(1)

 

 

0

 

 

(3)

     

(5)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

   

 $

198

 

 $

211

 

 $

161

 

 $

179

 

 $

215

 

 $

224

 

 $

168

 

 $

372

 

 $

392

 

 $

570

 

 $

608

    

$

786

 

   Unearned premiums change

   

 

(9)

 

 

(17)

 

 

35

 

 

20

 

 

(14)

 

 

(22)

 

 

34

 

 

18

 

 

8

 

 

9

 

 

(3)

     

17

 

   Earned premiums

   

 $

189

 

 $

194

 

 $

196

 

 $

199

 

 $

201

 

 $

202

 

 $

202

 

 $

390

 

 $

404

 

 $

579

 

 $

605

    

$

804

 

 

                                     ;      

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

    

104.0

%

 

106.4

%

 

98.1

%

 

90.1

%

 

99.9

%

 

93.6

%

 

94.0

%

 

101.6

%

 

93.7

%

 

102.3

%

 

95.7

%

    

94.3

%

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

Nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

     

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

    

104.0

%

 

106.4

%

 

98.1

%

 

90.1

%

 

99.9

%

 

93.6

%

 

94.0

%

 

101.6

%

 

93.7

%

 

102.3

%

 

95.7

%

    

94.3

%

   Less catastrophe losses

    

7.0

 

 

15.6

 

 

5.0

 

 

14.9

 

 

6.3

 

 

6.2

  

2.0

 

 

10.3

 

 

2.1

  

9.2

  

3.5

     

6.3

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
      excluding catastrophe losses

    

97.0

%

 

90.8

%

 

93.1

%

 

75.2

%

 

93.6

%

 

87.4

%

 

96.0

%

 

91.3

%

 

91.6

%

 

93.1

%

 

92.2

%

    

88.0

%

                                           

GAAP combined ratio

                                          

   GAAP combined ratio

    

104.4

%

 

107.6

%

 

96.4

%

 

89.0

%

 

100.5

%

 

95.3

%

 

92.7

%

 

102.0

%

 

94.0

%

 

102.8

%

 

96.1

%

    

94.4

%

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

    

104.4

%

 

107.6

%

 

96.4

%

 

89.0

%

 

100.5

%

 

95.3

%

 

92.7

%

 

102.0

%

 

94.0

%

 

102.8

%

 

96.1

%

    

94.4

%

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                                       

nm - Not meaningful

                                          

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       




16


EX-99 3 ex992.htm EXHIBIT 99.2 Cincinnati Financial Corporation


Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Supplemental Financial Data

September 30, 2006

Third Quarter

   
   
 

6200 South Gilmore Road

 
 

Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141

 
 

www.cinfin.com/investors

 
   
   

Investor Contact:

Media Contact:

Shareholder Contact:

Heather J. Wietzel

Joan O. Shevchik

Jerry L. Litton

(513) 870-2768

(513) 603-5323

(513) 870-2639

   
   

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

  
 

A.M. Best

Fitch

Moody’s

Standard & Poor’s

     

Corporate Debt

aa-

A+

A2

A

     

The Cincinnati Insurance Companies

    
     
 

A.M. Best

Fitch

Moody’s

Standard & Poor’s

     

Property Casualty Group

A++

--

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Insurance Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Indemnity Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Casualty Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

     

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

A+

AA

--

AA-

     
     
 

Ratings are as of November 1, 2006, under continuing review and subject to change and/or affirmation.  For the latest ratings, select the Ratings tab on www.cinfin.com/investors.

 
  
 

The consolidated financial statements and financial exhibits that follow are unaudited.  These consolidated financial statements and exhibits should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes included in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2005. The results of operations for interim periods should not be considered indicative of results to be expected for the full year.

 








 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

 
 

Supplemental Financial Data

 
 

Third Quarter 2006

 
    
  

Page

Status

 

Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

3

11/1/2006

    

Consolidated

  
 

Quick Reference

4

11/1/2006

 

Consolidated Statements of Income

5

11/1/2006

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006

6

11/1/2006

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Nine Months Ended September 30, 2005

7

11/1/2006

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Three Months Ended September 30, 2006

8

11/1/2006

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Three Months Ended September 30, 2005

9

11/1/2006

 

Consolidated Balance Sheets

10

11/1/2006

 

10-Year Net Income Reconciliation

11

11/1/2006

 

Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

12

11/1/2006

 

Top Holdings -- Common Stocks

13

11/1/2006

    

Property Casualty Insurance Operations

  
 

GAAP Statements of Income

14

11/1/2006

 

Statutory Statements of Income

15

11/1/2006

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Consolidated

16

11/1/2006

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Commercial Lines

17

11/1/2006

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Personal Lines

18

11/1/2006

 

Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business and State

19

11/1/2006

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines of Business

20

11/1/2006

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines of Business

21

11/1/2006

    

Reconciliation Data

  
 

10-Year Property Casualty Data – Consolidated

22

11/1/2006

 

6-Year Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines

23

11/1/2006

 

6-Year Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines

24

11/1/2006

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Consolidated

25

11/1/2006

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines

26

11/1/2006

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines

27

11/1/2006

    

Life Insurance Operations

  
 

GAAP Statements of Income

28

11/1/2006

 

Statutory Statements of Income

29

11/1/2006

 

Expenses as a Percentage of Premium

30

11/1/2006



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 2



Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.

Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments – when analyzing both GAAP and certain non-GAAP measures may improve understanding of trends in the underlying business, helping avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.

·

Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities and embedded derivatives without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.

For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.

·

Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.

·

Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.

·

Written premium adjustment – statutory basis only: In 2002, the company refined its estimation process for matching property casualty written premiums to policy effective dates, which added $117 million to 2002 written premiums. To better assess ongoing business trends, management may exclude this adjustment when analyzing trends in written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

·

Codification: Adoption of Codification of Statutory Accounting Principles was required for Ohio-based insurance companies effective January 1, 2001. The adoption of Codification changed the manner in which the company recognized statutory property casualty written premiums. As a result, 2001 statutory written premiums included $402 million to account for unbooked premiums related to policies with effective dates prior to January 1, 2001. To better assess ongoing business trends, management excludes this $402 million when analyzing written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.

·

Life insurance gross written premiums: In analyzing the life insurance company’s gross written premiums, management excludes five larger, single-pay life insurance policies (bank-owned life insurance or BOLIs) written in 2004, 2002, 2000 and 1999 to focus on the trend in premiums written through the independent agency distribution channel.

·

One-time charges or adjustments: Management analyzes earnings and profitability excluding the impact of one-time items.

In 2003, as the result of a settlement negotiated with a vendor, pretax results included the recovery of $23 million of the $39 million one-time, pretax charge incurred in 2000.

In 2000, the company recorded a one-time charge of $39 million, pre-tax, to write down previously capitalized costs related to the development of software to process property casualty policies.

In 2000, the company earned $5 million in interest in the first quarter from a $303 million single-premium BOLI policy that was booked at the end of 1999 and segregated as a separate account effective April 1, 2000. Investment income and realized investment gains and losses from separate accounts generally accrue directly to the contract holder and, therefore, are not included in the company’s consolidated financials.



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 3





Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Quick Reference - Third Quarter 2006

(all data shown is for the three months ended or as of September 30, 2006)

         

(Based on reported data - see Pages 25-27 for adjusted data)

      
         

(Dollars in millions except share data)

        

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

Benefits and expenses:

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Commercial lines net written premiums

$

582 

 

 

Commercial lines loss and loss expenses

$

377 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

6.5 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

4.5 

 %

Personal lines net written premiums

$

198 

 

 

Personal lines loss and loss expenses

$

139 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(8.0)

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(1.2)

 %

Property casualty net written premiums

$

780 

 

 

Property casualty loss and loss expenses

$

516 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

2.4 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

2.9 

 %

Commercial lines net earned premiums

$

602 

 

 

Life and accident and health losses and policy benefits

$

33 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

6.7 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

21.2 

 %

Personal lines net earned premiums

$

189 

 

 

Operating expenses

$

257 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(5.9)

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

2.2 

 %

Property casualty net earned premiums

$

791 

 

 

Interest expenses

$

13 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

3.4 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

1.6 

 %

Life and accident and health net earned premiums

$

28 

 

 

Total expenses

$

819 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

9.4 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

3.3 

 %

Investment income

$

144 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

148 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

7.5 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(2.4)

 %

Realized gains on investments

$

 

 

Total income tax

$

33 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

nm 

 %

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(5.2)

 %

Other income

$

 

 

Effective tax rate

 

21.9 

 %

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(2.6)

 %

     

Total revenues

$

967 

 

 

Ratios:

 

 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

2.4 

 %

 

 

  

 

 

    

Commercial lines GAAP combined ratio

 

93.4 

 %

Income:

    

Personal lines GAAP combined ratio

 

104.4 

 %

 

  

 

 

Property casualty GAAP combined ratio

 

96.1 

 %

Operating income

$

115 

 

 

 

  

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

7.5 

 %

 

Commercial lines STAT combined ratio

 

94.1 

 %

Net realized investment gains and losses

$

 

 

Personal lines STAT combined ratio

 

104.0 

 %

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

nm 

 %

 

Property casualty STAT combined ratio

 

96.4 

 %

Net income

$

115 

 

 

 

  

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(1.6)

 %

 

Return on equity based upon net income (annualized)

 

7.4 

 %

 

    

Return on equity based upon operating income (annualized)

 

7.4 

 %

Per share: (diluted)

    

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

Balance Sheet:

  

 

Operating income

$

 0.66 

 

    

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

8.2 

 %

 

Fixed maturity investments

$

5,790 

 

Net realized investment gains and losses

$

 0.00 

 

 

Equity securities

 

7,256 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

nm 

 %

 

Other invested assets

 

58 

 

Net income

$

0.66 

 

 

  Total invested assets

$

13,104 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

0.0 

 %

    

 

Book value

$

37.32 

 

 

Property casualty and life loss and loss expense reserves

$

3,878 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

8.4 

 %

 

Total debt

 

840 

 

Weighted average shares -- diluted

175,260,063 

 

 

Shareholders equity

 

6,464 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(0.9)

 %

 

 

 

 

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 4






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Income

  

For the Three Months Ended September 30,

  

For the Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

  

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

    Property casualty

$

    832,224,817 

 $

    816,434,954 

 $

       15,789,863 

1.93 

 

$

    2,475,926,407 

$

 $2,418,228,387 

 $

  57,698,020 

2.39 

    Life

 

36,294,277 

 

33,816,806 

 

2,477,471 

7.33 

  

109,318,969 

 

103,387,385 

 

5,931,584 

5.74 

    Accident health

 

1,709,173 

 

1,640,686 

 

68,487 

4.17 

  

4,948,521 

 

4,729,937 

 

218,584 

4.62 

    Premiums ceded  

 

(51,268,668)

 

(61,598,673)

 

10,330,005 

16.77 

  

(144,775,239)

 

(165,607,399)

 

20,832,160 

12.58 

      Total premiums earned  

 

818,959,599 

 

790,293,773 

 

28,665,826 

3.63 

  

2,445,418,658 

 

2,360,738,310 

 

84,680,348 

3.59 

  Investment income

 

143,775,266 

 

133,715,046 

 

10,060,220 

7.52 

  

425,032,304 

 

390,084,902 

 

34,947,402 

8.96 

  Realized gain on investments

 

(172,581)

 

15,956,443 

 

(16,129,024)

(101.08)

  

671,377,232 

 

37,641,729 

 

633,735,503 

1,683.60 

  Other income

 

4,404,807 

 

4,522,882 

 

(118,075)

(2.61)

  

13,779,080 

 

12,114,228 

 

1,664,852 

13.74 

Total revenues

$

    966,967,091 

 $

    944,488,144 

 $

       22,478,947 

2.38 

 

$

    3,555,607,274 

 $

   2,800,579,169 

 $

  755,028,105 

26.96 

 

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

    578,846,827 

 $

    591,433,357 

 $

      (12,586,530)

(2.13)

 

$

    1,694,301,755 

 $

   1,628,467,395 

 $

 65,834,360 

4.04 

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(30,315,757)

 

(63,310,660)

 

32,994,903 

52.12 

  

(98,667,113)

 

(158,538,599)

 

59,871,486 

37.76 

  Commissions

 

155,791,819 

 

160,017,630 

 

(4,225,811)

(2.64)

  

477,745,948 

 

476,232,758 

 

1,513,190 

0.32 

  Other operating expenses

 

83,215,761 

 

73,763,514 

 

9,452,247 

12.81 

  

242,512,606 

 

213,291,931 

 

29,220,675 

13.70 

  Interest expense

 

13,349,408 

 

13,137,277 

 

212,131 

1.61 

  

39,311,943 

 

38,984,112 

 

327,831 

0.84 

  Taxes, licenses & fees  

 

19,382,354 

 

16,966,814 

 

2,415,540 

14.24 

  

58,002,253 

 

52,064,735 

 

5,937,518 

11.40 

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

(4,798,858)

 

(4,753,685)

 

(45,173)

(0.95)

  

(26,742,398)

 

(23,578,132)

 

(3,164,266)

(13.42)

  Other expenses  

 

3,789,308 

 

5,906,680 

 

(2,117,372)

(35.85)

  

12,097,966 

 

11,942,231 

 

155,735 

1.30 

Total expenses

$

    819,260,862 

 $

    793,160,927 

 $

       26,099,935 

3.29 

 

$

    2,398,562,960 

 $

   2,238,866,431 

 $

  159,696,529 

7.13 

Income before income taxes

$

    147,706,229 

 $

    151,327,217 

 $

       (3,620,988)

(2.39)

 

$

    1,157,044,314 

 $

      561,712,738 

 $

 595,331,576 

105.99 

 

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

Current operating income

$

      23,097,937 

 $

      12,662,082 

 $

       10,435,855 

82.42 

 

$

    118,760,218 

 $

   112,001,886 

 $

  6,758,332 

6.03 

Realized investments gains and losses

 

(89,965)

 

6,181,378 

 

(6,271,343)

(101.46)

  

244,892,142 

 

13,827,830 

 

231,064,312 

1,671.01 

Deferred

 

9,386,153 

 

15,338,400 

 

(5,952,247)

(38.81)

  

(6,393,609)

 

16,584,928 

 

(22,978,537)

(138.55)

Total income taxes

$

      32,394,125 

 $

      34,181,860 

 $

       (1,787,735)

(5.23)

 

$

    357,258,751 

 $

   142,414,644 

 $

214,844,107 

150.86 

  

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

Net income

$

    115,312,104 

 $

    117,145,357 

 $

       (1,833,253)

(1.56)

 

$

    799,785,563 

 $

   419,298,094 

 $

380,487,469 

90.74 

Comprehensive net income

$

455,185,004 

 $

(58,836,741)

 $

514,021,755 

(873.64)

 

$

609,439,522 

 $

(38,825,775)

 $

648,265,297 

(1,669.68)

  

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

Operating income

$

    115,394,725 

 $

    107,370,292 

 $

        8,024,433 

7.47 

 

$

    373,300,473 

 $

   395,484,195 

 $

(22,183,722)

(5.61)

Net realized investments gains and losses

$

           (82,615)

 $

    9,775,065 

 $

       (9,857,680)

(100.85)

 

$

    426,485,090 

 $

     23,813,899 

 $

402,671,191 

1,690.91 

 

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

Net income per share:

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

  Operating income

$

                0.67 

 $

                0.61 

 $

                0.06 

9.84 

 

$

               2.15 

 $

               2.26 

 $

  (0.11)

(4.87)

  Net realized investments gains
     and losses

 

0.00 

 

0.06 

 

(0.06)

(100.00)

  

2.46 

 

0.13 

 

2.33 

1,792.31 

  Net income per share (basic)

$

                0.67 

 $

                0.67 

 $

                0.00 

0.00 

 

$

               4.61 

 $

               2.39 

 $

  2.22 

92.89 

  Operating income

$

                0.66 

 $

                0.61 

 $

                0.05 

8.20 

 

$

               2.13 

 $

               2.23 

 $

 (0.10)

(4.48)

  Net realized investments gains
     and losses

 

0.00 

 

0.05 

 

(0.05)

(100.00)

  

2.43 

 

0.14 

 

2.29 

1,635.71 

  Net income per share (diluted)

$

                0.66 

 $

                0.66 

 $

                    -    

0.00 

 

$

               4.56 

 $

               2.37 

 $

 2.19 

92.41 

Dividends per share:

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

  Paid

$

              0.335 

 $

              0.305 

 $

               0.030 

9.84 

 

$

             0.975 

 $

             0.857 

 $

 0.118 

13.77 

  Declared  

$

              0.335 

 $

              0.305 

 $

               0.030 

9.84 

 

$

             1.005 

 $

             0.900 

 $

 0.105 

11.67 

Number of shares:

 

 

    

 

  

 

    

 

  Weighted avg - basic

 

173,224,254 

 

174,811,150 

 

(1,586,896)

(0.91)

  

173,555,925 

 

175,194,545 

 

(1,638,620)

(0.94)

  Weighted avg - diluted

 

175,260,063 

 

176,806,267 

 

(1,546,204)

(0.87)

  

175,542,616 

 

177,212,677 

 

(1,670,061)

(0.94)



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 5






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006

            & nbsp;  
 

Total

CFC

CIC GROUP

CLIC

CFC-I

CINFIN

SELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

     2,475,926,407 

 $

$

$2,476,130,642 

 $

$

$

0

$

        (204,235)

    Life

 

109,318,969 

 

 

 

109,318,969 

 

 

0

 

    Accident health

 

4,948,521 

 

 

 

4,948,521 

 

 

0

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(144,775,239)

 

 

(114,086,242)

 

(30,688,997)

 

 

0

 

      Total earned premium

 

2,445,418,658 

 

 

2,362,044,400 

 

83,578,493 

 

 

0

 

(204,235)

  Investment income

 

425,032,304 

 

72,886,606 

 

273,650,490 

 

80,603,825 

 

46,800 

 

152,135

 

(2,307,553)

  Realized gain on investments  

 

671,377,232 

 

408,476,440 

 

218,522,618 

 

42,327,225 

 

(541,501)

 

13,974

 

2,578,476 

  Other income

 

13,779,080 

 

7,562,069 

 

2,543,187 

 

2,559,919 

 

8,325,040 

 

1,752,535

 

(8,963,671)

Total revenues

$

     3,555,607,274 

 $

 488,925,115 

 $

   2,856,760,695 

 $

209,069,462 

 $

   7,830,339 

 $

 1,918,644

 $

     (8,896,983)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

     1,694,301,755 

 $

$

   1,577,665,678 

 $

 118,288,412 

 $

$

0

$

     (1,652,335)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(98,667,113)

 

 

(71,961,815)

 

(26,705,298)

 

 

0

 

  Commissions

 

477,745,948 

 

 

452,075,295 

 

25,670,653 

 

 

0

 

  Other operating expenses

 

242,512,606 

 

14,648,994 

 

212,430,180 

 

19,784,207 

 

3,954,490 

 

395,698

 

(8,700,963)

  Interest expense

 

39,311,943 

 

38,152,316 

 

392,450 

 

 

1,961,356 

 

0

 

(1,194,179)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

58,002,253 

 

867,522 

 

55,196,080 

 

2,144,949 

 

(241,964)

 

35,667

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(26,742,398)

 

 

(12,504,697)

 

(14,237,700)

 

 

0

 

  Other expenses

 

12,097,966 

 

 

12,097,857 

 

108 

 

 

0

 

Total expenses

$

2,398,562,960 

$

 53,668,832 

 $

 2,225,391,028 

 $

  124,945,331 

 $

 5,673,882 

 $

 431,365

 $

   (11,547,477)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

1,157,044,314 

$

435,256,283 

 $

     631,369,667 

 $

   84,124,131 

 $

 2,156,457 

 $

 1,487,279

 $

      2,650,494 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

  Current operating income

$

118,760,218 

$

   (3,584,929)

 $

     115,636,895 

 $

   5,319,857 

 $

  909,580 

 $

  478,815

 $

                   - 

  Capital gains/losses

 

244,892,142 

 

152,440,557 

 

77,515,165 

 

14,931,529 

 

 

4,891

 

  Deferred

 

(6,393,609)

 

(5,488,385)

 

(11,476,491)

 

9,777,623 

 

(142,061)

 

8,032

 

927,673 

Total income tax

$

357,258,751 

$

143,367,243 

 $

     181,675,569 

 $

    30,029,009 

 $

  767,519 

 $

  491,738

 $

         927,673 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - current year

$

799,785,563 

$

  291,889,040 

 $

     449,694,098 

 $

  54,095,122 

 $

 1,388,938 

 $

  995,541

 $

      1,722,821 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

419,298,094 

$

  27,733,445 

 $

     354,886,734 

 $

  31,469,807 

 $

       2,651,223 

 $

         908,027

 $

      1,648,858 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

90.7%

 

952.5%

 

26.7%

 

71.9%

 

-47.6%

 

9.6%

 

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 6






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2005

               
 

Total

CFC

CIC GROUP

CLIC

CFC-I

CINFIN

ELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

 2,418,228,387 

$

$

 2,418,671,941 

 $

$

$

$

       (443,554)

    Life

 

103,387,385 

 

 

 

103,387,385 

 

 

 

    Accident health

 

4,729,937 

 

 

 

4,729,937 

 

 

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(165,607,399)

 

 

(135,659,874)

 

(29,947,525)

 

 

 

      Total earned premium

 

2,360,738,310 

 

 

2,283,012,067 

 

78,169,797 

 

 

 

(443,554)

  Investment income

 

390,084,902 

 

64,294,291 

 

250,431,732 

 

73,310,458 

 

798,193 

 

97,329 

 

1,152,899 

  Realized gain on investments  

 

37,641,729 

 

843,339 

 

28,137,043 

 

7,356,820 

 

 

(79,278)

 

1,383,805 

  Other income

 

12,114,228 

 

9,318,419 

 

2,448,898 

 

2,545,788 

 

7,274,534 

 

1,689,454 

 

(11,162,865)

Total revenues

$

 2,800,579,169 

$

          74,456,049 

 $

    2,564,029,740 

 $

     161,382,863 

 $

    8,072,727 

 $

         1,707,505 

 $

    (9,069,715)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

 1,628,467,395 

$

$

  1,501,898,504 

 $

     128,224,954 

 $

$

$

    (1,656,063)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(158,538,599)

 

 

(107,171,591)

 

(51,367,008)

 

 

 

  Commissions

 

476,232,758 

 

 

450,455,747 

 

25,777,011 

 

 

 

  Other operating expenses

 

213,291,931 

 

15,702,843 

 

185,451,011 

 

17,860,479 

 

2,851,948 

 

318,173 

 

(8,892,523)

  Interest expense

 

38,984,112 

 

39,002,632 

 

 

 

1,039,313 

 

 

(1,057,833)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

52,064,735 

 

(578,709)

 

49,018,411 

 

3,172,446 

 

424,839 

 

27,748 

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(23,578,132)

 

 

(13,811,253)

 

(9,766,879)

 

 

 

  Other expenses

 

11,942,231 

 

 

11,942,123 

 

108 

 

 

 

Total expenses

$

 2,238,866,431 

$

               54,126,766 

 $

    2,077,782,952 

 $

    113,901,111 

 $

       4,316,100 

 $

               345,921 

 $

  (11,606,419)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

561,712,738 

$

               20,329,283 

 $

     486,246,788 

 $

      47,481,752 

 $

     3,756,627 

 $

           1,361,584 

 $

     2,536,704 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Current operating income

$

112,001,886 

$

              (13,972,411)

 $

     115,007,157 

 $

       9,098,378 

 $

        1,387,999 

 $

              480,763 

 $

  Capital gains/losses

 

13,827,830 

 

607,712 

 

10,674,562 

 

2,574,887 

 

 

(29,331)

 

  Deferred

 

16,584,928 

 

5,960,537 

 

5,678,335 

 

4,338,680 

 

(282,595)

 

2,125 

 

887,846 

Total income tax

$

142,414,644 

$

(7,404,162)

 $

131,360,054 

 $

16,011,945 

 $

1,105,404 

 $

                      453,557 

 $

887,846 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - current year

$

419,298,094 

$

27,733,445 

 $

354,886,734 

 $

31,469,807 

 $

2,651,223 

 $

908,027 

 $

1,648,858 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

 391,575,234 

$

68,027,300 

 $

386,869,008 

 $

23,966,096 

 $

788,358 

 $

894,629 

 

($88,970,157)

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

7.1%

 

-59.2%

 

-8.3%

 

31.3%

 

236.3%

 

1.5%

 

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 7






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2006

               
 

Total

CFC

CIC GROUP

CLIC

CFC-I

CINFIN

ELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

          832,224,817 

 $

$

  832,230,217 

 $

$

$

0

$

               (5,400)

    Life

 

36,294,277 

 

 

 

36,294,277 

 

 

0

 

    Accident health

 

1,709,173 

 

 

 

1,709,173 

 

 

0

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(51,268,668)

 

 

(40,812,821)

 

(10,455,847)

 

 

0

 

      Total earned premium

 

818,959,599 

 

 

791,417,396 

 

27,547,603 

 

 

0

 

(5,400)

  Investment income

 

143,775,267 

 

24,507,149 

 

92,191,499 

 

27,213,672 

 

46,800 

 

55,452

 

(239,306)

  Realized gain on investments

 

(172,581)

 

(2,726,812)

 

2,792,195 

 

(256,745)

 

(541,501)

 

4,410

 

555,872 

  Other income

 

4,404,808 

 

2,537,505 

 

761,677 

 

755,639 

 

2,742,563 

 

600,330

 

(2,992,907)

Total revenues

$

          966,967,093 

 $

               24,317,842 

 $

        887,162,767 

 $

          55,260,169 

 $

          2,247,862 

 $

              660,192

 $

         (2,681,741)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

          578,846,827 

 $

$

        536,647,193 

 $

           42,750,492 

 $

$

0

$

            (550,858)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(30,315,757)

 

 

(20,587,535)

 

(9,728,222)

 

 

0

 

  Commissions

 

155,791,819 

 

 

147,356,940 

 

8,434,879 

 

 

0

 

  Other operating expenses

 

83,215,761 

 

5,263,781 

 

72,719,732 

 

6,877,898 

 

1,067,271 

 

129,658

 

(2,842,579)

  Interest expense

 

13,349,408 

 

12,615,175 

 

 

 

734,233 

 

0

 

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

19,382,352 

 

371,758 

 

18,568,187 

 

394,060 

 

36,459 

 

11,889

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(4,798,858)

 

 

1,745,550 

 

(6,544,407)

 

 

0

 

  Other expenses

 

3,789,308 

 

 

3,789,308 

 

(1)

 

 

0

 

Total expenses

$

          819,260,860 

 $

               18,250,714 

 $

        760,239,375 

 $

       42,184,699 

 $

               1,837,963 

 $

                141,547

 $

         (3,393,437)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

          147,706,233 

 $

                 6,067,128 

 $

        126,923,392 

 $

         13,075,470 

 $

              409,899 

 $

              518,645

 $

             711,696 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

  Current operating income

$

23,097,936 

 $

(1,882,887)

 $

24,605,468 

 $

              (33,442)

 $

243,709 

 $

              165,088

 $

  Capital gains/losses

 

(89,966)

 

(1,672,581)

 

1,553,933 

 

27,139 

 

 

1,543

 

  Deferred

 

9,386,153 

 

(292,846)

 

5,203,394 

 

4,382,846 

 

(161,732)

 

5,397

 

249,094 

Total income tax

$

32,394,123 

 $

(3,848,314)

 $

31,362,795 

 $

4,376,543 

 $

81,977 

 $

172,028

 $

249,094 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - current year

$

115,312,110 

 $

9,915,442 

 $

95,560,597 

 $

8,698,927 

 $

327,922 

 $

346,617

 $

462,602 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

117,145,356 

 $

11,567,302 

 $

95,574,518 

 $

8,114,811 

 $

1,085,652 

 $

270,355

 $

532,718 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

-1.6%

 

-14.3%

 

0.0%

 

7.2%

 

-69.8%

 

28.2%

 

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 8






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Tree Months Ended September 30, 2005

               
  

Total

 

CFC

 

CIC GROUP

 

CLIC

 

CFC-I

 

CINFIN

 

ELIM

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Property casualty

$

    816,434,954  

 $

$

  816,500,613 

 $

$

$

$

             (65,659)

    Life

 

33,816,806 

 

 

 

33,816,806 

 

 

 

    Accident health

 

1,640,686 

 

 

 

1,640,686 

 

 

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(61,598,673)

 

 

(51,311,141)

 

(10,287,532)

 

 

 

      Total earned premium

 

790,293,773 

 

 

765,189,472 

 

25,169,960 

 

 

 

(65,659)

  Investment income

 

133,717,730 

 

21,972,750 

 

86,697,604 

 

24,913,462 

 

15,175 

 

34,276 

 

84,463 

  Realized gain on investments  

 

15,956,443 

 

2,927,373 

 

12,669,320 

 

(288,018)

 

 

(87,334)

 

735,102 

  Other income

 

4,520,198 

 

3,417,095 

 

797,963 

 

951,468 

 

2,532,634 

 

576,653 

 

(3,755,615)

Total revenues

$

    944,488,144 

 $

    28,317,218 

 $

  865,354,359 

 $

   50,746,872 

 $

       2,547,809 

 $

     523,595 

 $

   (3,001,709)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

    591,433,357 

 $

$

 542,942,994 

 $

   49,044,146 

 $

$

$

    (553,783)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(63,310,660)

 

 

(41,513,881)

 

(21,796,779)

 

 

 

  Commissions

 

160,017,630 

 

 

151,232,688 

 

8,784,942 

 

 

 

  Other operating expenses

 

73,788,697 

 

5,799,521 

 

63,480,451 

 

6,596,022 

 

694,285 

 

107,367 

 

(2,888,949)

  Interest expense

 

13,137,277 

 

13,152,236 

 

 

 

363,583 

 

 

(378,542)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

16,941,631 

 

(929,793)

 

16,707,845 

 

1,021,334 

 

132,745 

 

9,500 

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(4,753,685)

 

 

230,422 

 

(4,984,107)

 

 

 

  Other expenses

 

5,906,680 

 

 

5,906,680 

 

 

 

 

Total expenses

$

    793,160,927 

 $

    18,021,964 

 $

 738,987,199 

 $

    38,665,558 

 $

     1,190,613 

 $

         116,867 

 $

   (3,821,274)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before income taxes

$

    151,327,217 

 $

   10,295,254 

 $

 126,367,160 

 $

   12,081,314 

 $

   1,357,196 

 $

       406,728 

 $

       819,565 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

  Current operating income

$

      12,662,082 

 $

    (2,741,890)

 $

  12,002,070 

 $

   2,852,503 

 $

    385,645 

 $

        163,754 

 $

                 - 

  Capital gains/losses

 

6,181,378 

 

1,050,982 

 

5,260,859 

 

(100,806)

 

 

(29,657)

 

  Deferred

 

15,338,400 

 

418,860 

 

13,529,713 

 

1,214,805 

 

(114,101)

 

2,276 

 

286,847 

Total income tax

$

34,181,860 

 $

   (1,272,048)

 $

  30,792,642 

 $

   3,966,502 

 $

    271,544 

 $

136,373 

 $

286,847 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - current year

$

117,145,357 

 $

11,567,302 

 $

 95,574,518 

 $

8,114,812 

 $

1,085,652 

 $

270,355 

 $

532,718 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income - prior year

$

90,137,006 

 $

20,784,242 

 $

  63,289,855 

 $

5,309,501 

 $

   (642,790)

 $

    323,168 

 $

1,073,030 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in net income

 

30.0%

 

-44.3%

 

51.0%

 

52.8%

 

-268.9%

 

-16.3%

 

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 9




Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Balance Sheets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Dollars in millions except per share data)

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

 

 

 

2006

 

2005

    

(unaudited)

  

Assets

      

   Investments

      

      Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2006—$5,719; 2005—$5,387)

  

$

5,790 

$

5,476 

      Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2006—$2,574; 2005—$2,128)

   

7,256 

 

7,106 

      Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2005—$75)

   

 

75 

      Other invested assets

   

58 

 

45 

   Cash and cash equivalents

   

239 

 

119 

   Securities lending collateral

   

1,016 

 

   Investment income receivable

   

115 

 

118 

   Finance receivable

   

106 

 

105 

   Premiums receivable

   

1,166 

 

1,116 

   Reinsurance receivable

   

701 

 

681 

   Prepaid reinsurance premiums

   

13 

 

14 

   Deferred policy acquisition costs

   

458 

 

428 

   Property and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation: 2006—$253; 2005—$232)

 

185 

 

168 

   Other assets

   

63 

 

66 

   Separate accounts

   

505 

 

486 

      Total assets

  

$

17,671 

$

16,003 

       

Liabilities

      

   Insurance reserves

      

      Losses and loss expense

  

$

3,878 

$

3,661 

      Life policy reserves

   

1,389 

 

1,343 

   Unearned premiums

   

1,623 

 

1,559 

   Securities lending payable

   

1,016 

 

   Other liabilities

   

459 

 

455 

   Deferred income tax

   

1,497 

 

1,622 

   Notes payable

   

49 

 

   6.125% senior debenture due 2034

   

371 

 

371 

   6.90% senior debenture due 2028

   

28 

 

28 

   6.92% senior debenture due 2028

   

392 

 

392 

   Separate accounts

   

505 

 

486 

      Total liabilities

   

11,207 

 

9,917 

       

Shareholders' equity

      

   Common stock, par value-$2 per share; authorized: 2006-500 million shares, 2005-
      500 million shares; issued: 2006-195 million shares, 2005-194 million shares

   

391 

 

389 

   Paid-in capital

   

1,005 

 

969 

   Retained earnings

   

2,714 

 

2,088 

   Accumulated other comprehensive income

   

3,093 

 

3,284 

   Treasury stock at cost (2006—22 million shares, 2005—20 million shares)

   

(739)

 

(644)

      Total shareholders' equity

   

6,464 

 

6,086 

      Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

  

$

17,671 

$

16,003 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 10






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

10-Year Net Income Reconciliation

 

(Dollars in millions except per share data)

Years ended December 31,

 

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

                               

   Net income

$

602 

 

$

584 

 

$

374 

 

$

238 

 

$

193 

 

$

118 

 

$

255 

 

$

242 

 

$

299 

 

$

224 

 

   One-time item

 

  

  

15 

  

  

  

(25)

  

  

  

  

 

   Net income before one-time item

 

602 

  

584 

  

359 

  

238 

  

193 

  

143 

  

255 

  

242 

  

299 

  

224 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

40 

  

60 

  

(27)

 

 

(62)

 

 

(17)

 

 

(2)

 

 

 

 

43 

 

 

45 

 

 

31 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

 

562 

  

524 

  

386 

  

300 

  

210 

  

145 

  

255 

  

199 

  

254 

  

193 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

(82)

  

(96)

  

(63)

 

 

(57)

 

 

(42)

 

 

(33)

 

 

(24)

 

 

(61)

 

 

(17)

 

 

(42)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item

$

644 

 

$

620 

 

$

449 

 

$

357 

 

$

252 

 

$

178 

 

$

279 

 

$

260 

 

$

271 

 

$

235 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted per share data

                              

   Net income

$

3.40 

 

$

3.28 

 

$

2.10 

 

$

1.32 

 

$

1.07 

 

$

0.67 

 

$

1.37 

 

$

1.28 

 

$

1.61 

 

$

1.17 

 

   One-time item

 

0.00 

  

0.00 

  

0.09 

  

0.00 

  

0.00 

  

(0.14)

  

0.00 

  

0.00 

  

0.00 

  

0.00 

 

   Net income before one-time item

 

3.40 

  

3.28 

  

2.01 

  

1.32 

  

1.07 

  

0.81 

  

1.37 

  

1.28 

  

1.61 

  

1.17 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

0.23 

 

 

0.34 

 

 

(0.15)

 

 

(0.35)

 

 

(0.10)

 

 

(0.01)

 

 

0.00 

 

 

0.23 

 

 

0.26 

 

 

0.16 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

 

3.17 

  

2.94 

  

2.16 

  

1.67 

  

1.17 

  

0.82 

  

1.37 

  

1.05 

  

1.35 

  

1.01 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

(0.46)

 

 

(0.54)

 

 

(0.35)

 

 

(0.31)

 

 

(0.23)

 

 

(0.18)

 

 

(0.13)

 

 

(0.32)

 

 

(0.13)

 

 

(0.33)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item

$

3.63 

 

$

3.48 

 

$

2.51 

 

$

1.98 

 

$

1.40 

 

$

1.00 

 

$

1.50 

 

$

1.37 

 

$

1.49 

 

$

1.35 

 

                               

Return on equity

                              

   Return on average equity

 

9.8 

%

9.4 

%

6.3 

%

4.1 

%

3.2 

%

2.1 

%

4.6 

%

4.7 

%

7.6 

%

7.7 

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(0.3)

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.4 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   Return on average equity before one-time item

 

9.8 

%

9.4 

%

6.0 

%

4.1 

%

3.2 

%

2.5 

%

4.6 

%

4.7 

%

7.6 

%

7.7 

%

                               

Return on equity based on comprehensive income

                              

   ROE based on comprehensive income

 

1.6 

%

4.6 

%

13.8 

%

(4.0)

%

2.5 

%

13.1 

%

1.9 

%

19.6 

%

42.6 

%

20.3 

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(0.3)

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.4 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   ROE based on comprehensive income before one-time item

 

1.6 

%

4.6 

%

13.5 

%

(4.0)

%

2.5 

%

13.5 

%

1.9 

%

19.6 

%

42.6 

%

20.3 

%

                               

   Investment income, net of expenses

$

526 

 

$

492 

 

$

465 

 

$

445 

 

$

421 

 

$

415 

 

$

387 

 

$

368 

 

$

349 

 

$

327 

 

   BOLI

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(5)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Investment income before BOLI

$

526 

 

$

492 

 

$

465 

 

$

445 

 

$

421 

 

$

410 

 

$

387 

 

$

368 

 

$

349 

 

$

327 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

       



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 11






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

 

(In millions except per share data)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

                 

 

 

  

 

 

  

 

    

   Net income

  

$

115 

$

132 

$

552 

$

183 

$

117 

$

158 

$

144 

$

684 

$

302 

$

800 

$

419 

 

 

$

602 

 

   One-time item

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

   Net income before one-time item

   

115 

 

132 

 

552 

 

183 

 

117 

 

158 

 

144 

 

684 

 

302 

 

800 

 

419 

 

  

602 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

 

 

 

 

421 

 

16 

 

10 

 

 

 

426 

 

14 

 

427 

 

24 

 

 

 

40 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

   

115 

 

126 

 

131 

 

167 

 

107 

 

150 

 

138 

 

258 

 

288 

 

373 

 

395 

 

  

562 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

 

 

(18)

 

(41)

 

(26)

 

(28)

 

(43)

 

(9)

 

(2)

 

(67)

 

(11)

 

(85)

 

(54)

 

 

 

(82)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and
        one-time item

 

 

$

133 

$

167 

$

157 

$

195 

$

150 

$

159 

$

140 

$

325 

$

299 

$

458 

$

449 

 

 

$

644 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted per share data

                

 

   

 

   

 

    

   Net income

  

$

0.66 

$

0.76 

$

3.13 

$

1.03 

$

0.66 

$

0.89 

$

0.81 

$

3.90 

$

1.70 

$

2.13 

$

2.37 

 

 

$

3.40 

 

   One-time item

   

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

0.00 

 

  

0.00 

 

   Net income before one-time item

   

0.66 

 

0.76 

 

3.13 

 

1.03 

 

0.66 

 

0.89 

 

0.81 

 

3.90 

 

1.70 

 

2.13 

 

2.37 

 

  

3.40 

 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

 

 

 

0.00 

 

0.04 

 

2.39 

 

0.09 

 

0.05 

 

0.05 

 

0.03 

 

2.43 

 

0.08 

 

2.43 

 

0.14 

 

 

 

0.23 

 

   Operating income before one-time item

   

0.66 

 

0.72 

 

0.74 

 

0.94 

 

0.61 

 

0.84 

 

0.78 

 

1.47 

 

1.62 

 

4.56 

 

2.23 

 

  

3.17 

 

   Less catastrophe losses

 

 

 

(0.10)

 

(0.24)

 

(0.14)

 

(0.16)

 

(0.24)

 

(0.05)

 

(0.01)

 

(0.38)

 

(0.06)

 

(0.48)

 

(0.30)

 

 

 

(0.46)

 

   Operating income before catastrophe losses and
         one-time item

 

 

$

0.76 

$

0.96 

$

0.88

$

1.10

$

0.85

$

0.89

$

0.79 

$

1.85 

$

1.68

$

5.04

$

2.53 

 

 

$

3.63 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

   

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                           



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 12





Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Top Holdings – Common Stocks

         

(Dollars in millions)

As of and for the nine months ended September 30, 2006

Actual
cost

Fair
value

Percent of
fair value

Earned dividend
income

Fifth Third Bancorp

$

283

$

2,771

39.5

%

$

86

ExxonMobil Corporation

 

134

 

601

8.6

  

9

The Procter & Gamble Company

 

192

 

452

6.4

  

6

National City Corporation

 

172

 

359

5.1

  

11

PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

 

62

 

341

4.8

  

7

Johnson & Johnson

 

194

 

234

3.3

  

4

AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.

 

60

 

228

3.2

  

9

Wyeth

 

62

 

225

3.2

  

3

U.S. Bancorp

 

140

 

222

3.2

  

7

Wells Fargo & Company

 

96

 

196

2.8

  

4

Piedmont Natural Gas Company, Inc.

 

64

 

143

2.0

  

4

FirstMerit Corporation

 

54

 

124

1.8

  

4

Sky Financial Group, Inc.

 

91

 

116

1.6

  

3

All other common stock holdings

 

754

 

1,020

14.5

  

22

   Total

$

2,358

$

7,032

100.0

%

$

179

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 13






Cincinnati Insurance Group

GAAP Statements of Income

      
  

For the Three Months Ended September 30,

  

For the Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

 

% Change

  

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

 

 

     

 

  

 

    

 

  Premiums earned:

 

 

     

 

  

 

    

 

    Property casualty

$

832,230,217 

$

816,500,613 

$

15,729,604 

 

1.93 

 

$

2,476,130,642 

 $

2,418,671,941 

 $

57,458,701 

2.38 

    Life

 

 

 

 

NA 

  

 

 

NA 

    Accident health

 

 

 

 

NA 

  

 

 

NA 

    Premiums ceded  

 

(40,812,821)

 

(51,311,141)

 

10,498,320 

 

20.46 

  

(114,086,242)

 

(135,659,874)

 

21,573,632 

15.90 

      Total premiums earned  

 

791,417,396 

 

765,189,472 

 

26,227,924 

 

3.43 

  

2,362,044,400 

 

2,283,012,067 

 

79,032,333 

3.46 

  Investment income

 

92,191,499 

 

86,697,604 

 

5,493,895 

 

6.34 

  

273,650,490 

 

250,431,732 

 

23,218,758 

9.27 

  Realized gain on investments

 

2,792,195 

 

12,669,320 

 

(9,877,125)

 

(77.96)

  

218,522,618 

 

28,137,043 

 

190,385,575 

676.64 

  Other income

 

761,677 

 

797,963 

 

(36,286)

 

(4.55)

  

2,543,187 

 

2,448,898 

 

94,289 

3.85 

       Total revenues

$

887,162,767 

$

865,354,359 

$

21,808,408 

 

2.52 

 

$

2,856,760,695 

 $

2,564,029,740 

 $

292,730,955 

11.42 

 

 

 

     

 

  

 

    

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

 

     

 

  

 

    

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

 536,647,193 

$

542,942,994 

$

(6,295,801)

 

(1.16)

 

$

1,577,665,678 

 $

1,501,898,504 

 $

75,767,174 

5.04 

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(20,587,535)

 

(41,513,881)

 

20,926,346 

 

50.41 

  

(71,961,815)

 

(107,171,591)

 

35,209,776 

32.85 

  Commissions

 

147,356,940 

 

151,232,688 

 

(3,875,748)

 

(2.56)

  

452,075,295 

 

450,455,747 

 

1,619,548 

0.36 

  Other operating expenses

 

72,719,732 

 

63,480,451 

 

9,239,281 

 

14.55 

  

212,430,180 

 

185,451,011 

 

26,979,169 

14.55 

  Interest expense

 

 

 

 

NA 

  

392,450 

 

 

392,450 

NA 

  Taxes, licenses & fees  

 

18,568,187 

 

16,707,845 

 

1,860,342 

 

11.13 

  

55,196,080 

 

49,018,411 

 

6,177,669 

12.60 

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

1,745,550 

 

230,422 

 

1,515,128 

 

657.54 

  

(12,504,697)

 

(13,811,253)

 

1,306,556 

9.46 

  Other expenses  

 

3,789,308 

 

5,906,680 

 

(2,117,372)

 

(35.85)

  

12,097,857 

 

11,942,123 

 

155,734 

1.30 

       Total expenses

$

760,239,375 

$

738,987,199 

$

21,252,176 

 

2.88 

 

$

2,225,391,028 

 $

2,077,782,952 

 $

147,608,076 

7.10 

       Income before income taxes

$

126,923,392 

$

126,367,160 

$

556,232 

 

0.44 

 

$

631,369,667 

 $

486,246,788 

 $

145,122,879 

29.85 

        

 

  

 

    

 

Provision for income taxes:

       

 

  

 

    

 

Current operating income

$

24,605,468 

$

12,002,070 

$

12,603,398 

 

105.01 

 

$

115,636,895 

 $

115,007,157 

 $

629,738 

0.55 

Current realized investments gains and losses

 

1,553,933 

 

5,260,859 

 

(3,706,926)

 

(70.46)

  

77,515,165 

 

10,674,562 

 

66,840,603 

626.17 

  Deferred

 

5,203,394 

 

13,529,713 

 

(8,326,319)

 

(61.54)

  

(11,476,491)

 

5,678,335 

 

(17,154,826)

(302.11)

       Total income taxes

$

31,362,795 

$

30,792,642 

$

570,153 

 

1.85 

 

$

181,675,569 

 $

131,360,054 

 $

50,315,515 

38.30 

        

 

  

 

   

 

 

       Net income

$

95,560,597 

$

95,574,518 

$

(13,921)

 

(0.01)

 

$

446,694,098 

 $

354,886,734 

 $

94,807,364 

26.71 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 14





Cincinnati Insurance Group

Statutory Statements of Income

     
  

For the Three Months Ended September 30,

 

For the Nine Months Ended September 30,

  

2006

2005

% Change

 

2006

2005

% Change

Underwriting income

 

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Net premiums written

$

 779,850,450 

$

  761,322,000 

2.43 

$

  2,422,859,784

 $

 2,348,830,386 

3.15 

Unearned premiums increase

 

 (11,566,946)

 

  (3,867,472)

 

 

       60,815,381

 

  65,818,319 

 

Earned premiums

 

 791,417,397 

 

 765,189,472 

3.43 

 

 2,362,044,403

 

 2,283,012,067 

3.46 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Losses incurred

$

 433,550,671 

$

 420,377,700 

3.13 

$

 1,261,577,990

$

 1,157,635,205 

8.98 

Allocated loss expenses incurred

 

  39,943,837 

 

  40,348,512 

(1.00)

 

 111,441,487

 

 115,655,662 

(3.64)

Unallocated loss expenses incurred

 

   42,565,137 

 

 40,702,901 

4.58 

 

  132,684,385

 

 121,436,046 

9.26 

Other underwriting expenses incurred

 

240,710,680 

 

  234,156,444 

2.80 

 

  701,823,238

 

 674,380,383 

4.07 

Workers compensation dividend incurred

 

   2,457,033 

 

  2,353,786 

4.39 

 

   12,207,419

 

 7,489,855 

62.99 

  

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

     Total underwriting deductions

$

759,227,358 

$

 737,939,344 

2.88 

$

2,219,734,519

$

2,076,597,151 

6.89 

Net underwriting gain (loss)

$

32,190,038 

$

 27,250,128 

18.13 

$

 142,309,885

$

 206,414,916 

(31.06)

  

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Investment income

 

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Gross investment income earned

$

  93,222,475 

$

  87,831,257 

6.14 

$

  277,045,152

$

 253,453,408 

9.31 

Net investment income earned

 

   92,191,500 

 

  86,697,354 

6.34 

 

  273,650,490

 

 250,431,731 

9.27 

Net realized capital gains

 

    778,019 

 

  9,825,710 

(92.08)

 

  141,848,878

 

 31,758,879 

346.64 

Net investment gains (excl. subs)

$

  92,969,519 

$

  96,523,064 

(3.68)

$

  415,499,368

$

 282,190,610 

47.24 

Dividend from subsidiary

 

  14,000,000 

 

                          

 

 

   14,000,000

 

                              

 

     Net investment gains

$

 106,969,519 

$

  96,523,064 

10.82 

$

   429,499,368

$

 282,190,610 

52.20 

  

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

     Other income

$

   424,108 

$

  (2,772,932)

N/A 

$

   1,869,864

$

 (2,002,370)

N/A 

  

 

  

 

 

 

  

 

Net income before federal income taxes

$

139,583,665 

$

 121,000,261 

15.36 

$

   573,679,116

$

 486,603,155 

17.89 

Federal and foreign income taxes incurred

$

23,941,392 

$

  17,262,929 

38.69 

$

   113,163,358

$

 125,681,719 

(9.96)

     Net income (statutory)

$

115,642,273 

$

 103,737,331 

11.48 

$

    460,515,758

$

 360,921,436 

27.59 

           

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association

of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.




2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 15






Cincinnati Insurance Group – Consolidated

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 25 for adjusted data)

  

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Net premiums written

 

$

780

 

$

814 

 

$

829

 

$

727 

 

$

761

 

$

791

 

$

797

 

$

1,643

 

$

1,588

 

$

2,423

 

$

2,349

 

 

$

3,076 

 

Net premiums earned

  

791

  

793 

  

778

  

775 

  

765

  

765

  

753

 

 

1,571

  

1,518

 

 

2,362

  

2,283

 

 

 

3,058 

 

Losses paid

  

367

  

380 

  

347

  

378 

  

348

  

336

  

345

 

 

727

  

681

 

 

1,094

  

1,029

 

 

 

1,407 

 

Loss reserve change

  

66

  

60 

  

42

  

(30)

  

72

  

23

  

33

 

 

101

  

57

 

 

167

  

129

 

 

 

99 

 

   Total losses incurred

 

$

433

 

$

440 

 

$

389

 

$

348 

 

$

420

 

$

359

 

$

378

 

$

828

 

$

738

 

$

1,261

 

$

1,158

 

 

$

1,506 

 

Allocated loss expense paid

  

33

  

31 

  

27

  

32 

  

30

  

29

  

25

 

 

59

  

54

 

 

91

  

84

 

 

 

116 

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

  

7

  

  

5

  

(7)

  

10

  

11

  

11

 

 

13

  

21

 

 

20

  

31

   

24 

 

   Total allocated loss expense incurred

 

$

40

 

$

38 

 

$

32

 

$

25 

 

$

40

 

$

40

 

$

36

 

$

72

 

$

75

 

$

111

 

$

115

  

$

140 

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

  

40

  

39 

  

40

  

46 

  

38

  

37

  

34

 

 

78

  

71

 

 

118

  

108

   

155 

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

  

3

  

  

10

  

(2)

  

3

  

0

  

10

 

 

12

  

10

 

 

15

  

13

   

11 

 

   Total unallocated loss expense incurred

 

$

43

 

$

41 

 

$

50

 

$

44 

 

$

41

 

$

37

 

$

44

 

$

90

 

$

81

 

$

133

 

$

121

  

$

166 

 

   Underwriting expenses incurred

 

 

243

 

 

232 

 

 

240

 

 

233 

 

 

237

 

 

234

 

 

212

 

 

471

 

 

446

 

 

714

 

 

682

 

 

 

914 

 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

 

$

32

 

$

42 

 

$

67

 

$

125 

 

$

27

 

$

95

 

$

83

 

$

110

 

$

178

 

$

142

 

$

207

 

 

$

332 

 
                                      

 

Loss Detail

                      

 

 

    

 

 

        

Losses $1 million or more

 

$

60

 

$

46 

 

$

32

 

$

38 

 

$

27

 

$

28

 

$

43

 

$

79

 

$

70

 

$

139

 

$

98

  

$

137 

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

  

49

  

48 

  

38

  

36 

  

35

  

37

  

32

 

 

86

  

69

 

 

135

  

104

   

139 

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

  

50

  

52 

  

49

  

54 

  

38

  

40

  

36

 

 

102

  

76

 

 

151

  

115

   

168 

 

   Large losses subtotal

 

$

159

 

$

146 

 

$

119

 

$

128 

 

$

100

 

$

105

 

$

111

 

$

267

 

$

215

 

$

425

 

$

317

  

$

444 

 

IBNR incurred

  

11

  

(5)

  

6

  

(58)

  

20

  

13

  

13

 

 

1

  

27

 

 

12

  

47

   

(11)

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

  

27

  

64 

  

40

  

44 

  

66

  

14

  

2

 

 

103

  

17

 

 

130

  

83

   

127 

 

Remaining incurred

  

236

  

234 

  

223

  

234 

  

233

  

226

  

252

 

 

457

  

478

 

 

694

  

711

   

946 

 

   Total losses incurred

 

$

433

 

$

439 

 

$

388

 

$

348 

 

$

419

 

$

358

 

$

378

 

$

828

 

$

737

 

$

1,261

 

$

1,158

 

 

$

1,506 

 

                                     

 

 

Ratio Data

                      

 

 

    

 

 

        

Loss ratio

  

54.8

%

 

55.4 

%

 

50.0

%

 

44.9 

%

 

54.9

%

 

46.9

%

 

50.3

%

 

52.7

%

 

48.6

%

 

53.4

%

 

50.7

%

  

49.2 

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

  

5.0

  

4.8 

  

4.3

  

3.2 

  

5.3

  

5.2

  

4.7

 

 

4.6

  

5.0

 

 

4.7

  

5.1

   

4.6 

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

  

5.4

  

5.1 

  

6.4

  

5.7 

  

5.3

  

4.8

  

5.8

 

 

5.7

  

5.3

 

 

5.6

  

5.3

   

5.4 

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

  

31.2

  

28.4 

  

28.9

  

32.0 

  

31.1

  

29.6

  

26.6

 

 

28.7

  

28.0

 

 

29.5

  

29.0

 

`

 

29.7 

 

   Statutory combined ratio

  

96.4

%

 

93.7 

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8 

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.5

%

 

87.4

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

  

88.9 

%

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
      catastrophes

 

 

92.9

%

 

85.7 

%

 

84.6

%

 

80.2 

%

 

88.0

%

 

84.6

%

 

87.1

%

 

85.1

%

 

85.8

%

 

87.7

%

 

86.5

%

 

 

84.9 

%

                                       

Loss Ratio

                      

 

     

 

         

Losses $1 million or more

  

7.6

%

 

6.0 

%

 

4.2

%

 

5.0 

%

 

3.6

%

 

3.6

%

 

5.7

%

 

5.1

%

 

4.7

%

 

5.9

%

 

4.3

%

  

4.5 

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

  

6.2

  

6.0 

  

4.9

  

4.5 

  

4.6

  

4.8

  

4.3

 

 

5.5

  

4.5

 

 

5.7

  

4.5

   

4.5 

 

Development and case reserve increases
   of $250,000 or more

  

6.3

  

7.4 

  

6.4

  

6.9 

  

5.1

  

5.2

  

4.7

 

 

6.9

  

5.0

 

 

6.4

  

5.0

   

5.5 

 

   Large losses subtotal

  

20.1

%

 

19.4 

%

 

15.5

%

 

16.4 

%

 

13.3

%

 

13.6

%

 

14.7

%

 

17.5

%

 

14.2

%

 

18.0

%

 

13.8

%

  

14.5 

%

IBNR incurred

  

1.3

  

1.3 

  

0.8

  

(7.4)

  

2.5

  

1.8

  

1.8

 

 

1.1

  

1.8

 

 

0.5

  

2.0

   

(0.4)

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

  

3.5

  

8.0 

  

5.0

  

5.6 

  

8.6

  

1.9

  

0.3

 

 

6.5

  

1.1

 

 

5.5

  

3.6

   

4.1 

 

Remaining incurred

  

29.9

  

26.7 

  

28.6

  

30.3 

  

30.6

  

29.6

  

33.5

 

 

27.6

  

31.5

 

 

29.4

  

31.2

   

31.0 

 

   Total loss ratio

 

 

54.8

%

 

55.4 

%

 

49.9

%

 

44.9 

%

 

55.0

%

 

46.9

%

 

50.3

%

 

52.7

%

 

48.6

%

 

53.4

%

 

50.6

%

 

 

49.2 

%

                                       

Loss Claim Count

                      

 

     

 

         

Losses $1 million or more

  

32

  

26 

  

14

  

24 

  

21

  

17

  

15

 

 

40

  

32

 

 

72

  

53

   

77 

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

  

103

  

88 

  

95

  

92 

  

81

  

93

  

73

 

 

183

  

166

 

 

286

  

247

   

339 

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

  

104

  

85 

  

85

  

100 

  

72

  

61

  

67

 

 

170

  

128

 

 

274

  

200

   

300 

 

   Large losses total

 

 

239

 

 

199 

 

 

194

 

 

216 

 

 

174

 

 

171

 

 

155

 

 

393

 

 

326

 

 

632

 

 

500

 

 

 

716 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

NM – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 16






Cincinnati Insurance Group - Commercial Lines

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 26 for adjusted data)

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Net premiums written

   

$

582

 

$

603 

 

$

668

 

$

548 

 

$

546

 

$

567

 

$

629

 

$

1,271

 

$

1,195

 

$

1,852

 

$

1,741

 

 

  

$

2,290

 

Net premiums earned

    

602

  

599 

  

582

  

576 

  

564

  

563

  

551

 

 

1,181

  

1,114

 

 

1,783

  

1,678

 

 

   

2,254

 

Losses paid

    

247

  

251 

  

234

  

256 

  

228

  

214

  

219

 

 

485

  

434

 

 

732

  

662

 

 

   

918

 

Loss reserve change

    

63

  

53 

  

53

  

(19)

  

67

  

32

  

51

 

 

105

  

84

 

 

168

  

151

 

 

   

132

 

   Total losses incurred

   

$

310

 

$

304 

 

$

287

 

$

237 

 

$

295

 

$

246

 

$

270

 

$

590

 

$

518

 

$

901

 

$

813

 

 

  

$

1,050

 

Allocated loss expense paid

    

30

  

28 

  

24

  

28 

  

27

  

26

  

22

 

 

52

  

48

 

 

81

  

75

 

 

   

103

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

    

7

  

  

5

  

(1)

  

9

  

10

  

10

 

 

12

  

20

 

 

19

  

29

 

 

   

28

 

   Total allocated loss expense incurred

   

$

37

 

$

34 

 

$

29

 

$

27 

 

$

36

 

$

36

 

$

32

 

$

64

 

$

68

 

$

100

 

$

104

 

 

  

$

131

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

    

27

  

27 

  

28

  

31 

  

26

  

25

  

22

 

 

54

  

48

 

 

81

  

73

 

 

   

105

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

    

3

  

  

10

  

(1)

  

3

  

1

  

10

 

 

13

  

11

 

 

15

  

13

 

 

   

12

 

   Total unallocated loss expense incurred

   

$

30

 

$

30 

 

$

38

 

$

30 

 

$

29

 

$

26

 

$

32

 

$

67

 

$

59

 

$

97

 

$

86

 

 

  

$

117

 

   Underwriting expenses incurred

 

 

 

 

185

 

 

172 

 

 

179

 

 

182 

 

 

173

 

 

165

 

 

156

 

 

349

 

 

321

 

 

536

 

 

493

 

 

  

 

675

 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

 

 

 

$

40

 

$

59 

 

$

49

 

$

100 

 

$

31

 

$

90

 

$

61

 

$

111

 

$

148

 

$

150

 

$

182

 

 

 

 

$

281

 
                                    < /TD>       

Loss Detail

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

     

Losses $1 million or more

   

$

51

 

$

40 

 

$

30

 

$

31 

 

$

24

 

$

26

 

$

43

 

$

70

 

$

68

 

$

121

 

$

93

 

 

  

$

124

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

37

  

39 

  

28

  

28 

  

26

  

29

  

22

 

 

67

  

51

 

 

104

  

77

 

 

   

105

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

    

45

  

45 

  

44

  

47 

  

35

  

38

  

29

 

 

90

  

67

 

 

135

  

103

 

 

   

149

 

   Large losses subtotal

   

$

133

 

$

124 

 

$

102

 

$

106 

 

$

85

 

$

93

 

$

94

 

$

227

 

$

186

 

$

360

 

$

273

 

 

  

$

378

 

IBNR incurred

    

10

  

(6)

  

6

  

(36)

  

17

  

12

  

12

 

 

0

  

24

 

 

10

  

41

 

 

   

6

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

    

14

  

34 

  

30

  

14 

  

53

  

2

  

6

 

 

63

  

9

 

 

77

  

62

 

 

   

76

 

Remaining incurred

    

153

  

152 

  

149

  

153 

  

139

  

139

  

159

 

 

300

  

298

 

 

454

  

437

 

 

   

590

 

   Total losses incurred

 

 

 

$

310

 

$

304 

 

$

287

 

$

237 

 

$

294

 

$

246

 

$

271

 

$

590

 

$

517

 

$

901

 

$

813

 

 

 

 

$

1,050

 

                                    < /TD>       

Ratio Data

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

     

Loss ratio

    

51.5

  

50.7 

%

 

49.2

%

 

41.1 

%

 

52.4

%

 

43.8

%

 

49.1

%

 

50.0

%

 

46.5

%

 

50.5

%

 

48.4

%

 

   

46.6

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

    

6.0

  

5.7 

  

5.1

  

4.7 

  

6.5

  

6.4

  

5.8

 

 

5.4

  

6.1

 

 

5.6

  

6.2

 

 

   

5.8

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

    

5.0

  

4.9 

  

6.5

  

5.3 

  

5.1

  

4.6

  

5.9

 

 

5.7

  

5.2

 

 

5.4

  

5.2

 

 

   

5.2

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

    

31.6

  

28.3 

  

26.8

  

33.2 

  

31.6

  

29.1

  

24.7

 

 

27.5

  

26.8

 

 

28.8

  

28.3

 

 

   

29.5

 

   Statutory combined ratio

    

94.1

  

89.6 

%

 

87.6

%

 

84.3 

%

 

95.6

%

 

83.9

%

 

85.5

%

 

88.6

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3

%

 

88.1

%

 

   

87.1

%

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
      catastrophes

    

91.7

  

84.0 

%

 

82.5

%

 

81.9 

%

 

86.0

%

 

83.5

%

 

84.4

%

 

83.3

%

 

83.8

%

 

86.0

%

 

84.5

%

    

83.7

%

                                    < /TD>       

Loss Ratio

                        

 

     

 

     

 

     

Losses $1 million or more

    

8.5

  

6.6 

%

 

5.2

%

 

5.4 

%

 

4.3

%

 

4.5

%

 

7.8

%

 

5.9

%

 

6.1

%

 

6.8

%

 

5.5

%

 

   

5.5

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

6.1

  

6.5 

  

4.8

  

4.8 

  

4.7

  

5.2

  

3.9

 

 

5.7

  

4.5

 

 

5.8

  

4.6

 

 

   

4.6

 

Development and case reserve increases
   of $250,000 or more

    

7.5

  

7.6 

  

7.6

  

8.1 

  

6.3

  

6.8

  

5.3

 

 

7.6

  

6.0

 

 

7.6

  

6.1

 

 

   

6.6

 

   Large losses subtotal

    

22.1

  

20.7 

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.3 

%

 

15.3

%

 

16.5

%

 

17.0

%

 

19.2

%

 

16.6

%

 

20.2

%

 

16.2

%

 

   

16.7

%

IBNR incurred

    

1.7

  

(1.0)

  

1.0

  

(6.1)

  

2.9

  

2.2

  

2.2

 

 

0.0

  

2.2

 

 

0.6

  

2.4

 

 

   

0.2

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

    

2.4

  

5.6 

  

5.1

  

2.4 

  

9.5

  

0.4

  

1.1

 

 

5.3

  

0.8

 

 

4.3

  

3.7

 

 

   

3.4

 

Remaining incurred

    

25.4

  

25.4 

  

25.6

  

26.5 

  

24.7

  

24.7

  

28.8

 

 

25.5

  

26.8

 

 

25.5

  

26.1

 

 

   

26.2

 

   Total loss ratio

 

 

 

 

51.5

 

 

50.7 

%

 

49.3

%

 

41.1 

%

 

52.4

%

 

43.8

%

 

49.1

%

 

50.0

%

 

46.4

%

 

50.5

%

 

48.4

%

 

 

 

 

46.5

%

                        & nbsp;                  

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

NM – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 17






Cincinnati Insurance Group - Personal Lines

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 27 for adjusted data)

                                            

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Net premiums written

   

$

198 

 

$

211 

 

$

161 

 

$

179 

 

$

215

 

$

224 

 

$

168 

 

$

372 

 

$

393 

 

$

570 

 

$

608 

 

 

  

$

786 

 

Net premiums earned

    

189 

  

194 

  

196 

  

199 

  

201

  

202 

  

202 

 

 

390 

  

404 

 

 

579 

  

605 

 

 

   

804 

 

Losses paid

    

119 

  

129 

  

113 

  

122 

  

120

  

122 

  

126 

 

 

242 

  

247 

 

 

362 

  

367 

 

 

   

489 

 

Loss reserve change

    

  

  

(11)

  

(11)

  

5

  

(9)

  

(18)

 

 

(4)

  

(27)

 

 

(1)

  

(22)

 

 

   

(33)

 

   Total losses incurred

   

$

122 

 

$

136 

 

$

102 

 

$

111 

 

$

125

 

$

113 

 

$

108 

 

$

238 

 

$

220 

 

$

361 

 

$

345 

 

 

  

$

456 

 

Allocated loss expense paid

    

  

  

  

  

3

  

  

 

 

  

 

 

10 

  

 

 

   

13 

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

    

  

  

  

(6)

  

1

  

  

 

 

  

 

 

  

 

 

   

(4)

 

   Total allocated loss expense incurred

   

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

(2)

 

$

4

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

11 

 

$

11 

 

 

  

$

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

    

12 

  

12 

  

12 

  

15 

  

12

  

12 

  

12 

 

 

24 

  

23 

 

 

36 

  

35 

 

 

   

50 

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

    

  

(1)

  

  

(1)

  

0

  

(1)

  

 

 

(1)

  

(1)

 

 

  

 

 

   

(1)

 

   Total unallocated loss expense incurred

   

$

13 

 

$

11 

 

$

12 

 

$

14 

 

$

12

 

$

11 

 

$

12 

 

$

23 

 

$

22 

 

$

36 

 

$

35 

 

 

  

$

49 

 

   Underwriting expenses incurred

 

 

 

 

58 

 

 

60 

 

 

61 

 

 

51 

 

 

64

 

 

69 

 

 

56 

 

 

122 

 

 

125 

 

 

179 

 

 

189 

 

 

  

 

239 

 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

   

$

(8)

 

$

(17)

 

$

18 

 

$

25 

 

$

(4)

 

$

 

$

22 

 

$

(1)

 

$

30 

 

$

(8)

 

$

25 

    

$

51 

 
                            &nb sp;              

Loss Detail

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

     

Losses $1 million or more

   

$

10 

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

3

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

18 

 

$

 

 

  

$

13 

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

12 

  

  

10 

  

  

9

  

  

10 

 

 

19 

  

18 

 

 

31 

  

27 

 

 

   

34 

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

    

  

  

  

  

3

  

  

 

 

12 

  

 

 

16 

  

12 

 

 

   

19 

 

   Large losses subtotal

   

$

26 

 

$

22 

 

$

17 

 

$

22 

 

$

15

 

$

12 

 

$

17 

 

$

40 

 

$

29 

 

$

65 

 

$

44 

 

 

  

$

66 

 

IBNR incurred

    

  

  

  

(22)

  

3

  

  

 

 

  

 

 

  

 

 

   

(17)

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

    

13 

  

30 

  

10 

  

30 

  

13

  

12 

  

(4)

 

 

40 

  

 

 

54 

  

21 

 

 

   

51 

 

Remaining incurred

    

82 

  

82 

  

74 

  

81 

  

94

  

87 

  

93 

 

 

157 

  

180 

 

 

241 

  

274 

 

 

   

356 

 

   Total losses incurred

 

 

 

$

122 

 

$

135 

 

$

101 

 

$

111 

 

$

125

 

$

112 

 

$

107 

 

$

238 

 

$

220 

 

$

361 

 

$

345 

 

 

 

 

$

456 

 

                            &nb sp;              

Ratio Data

                        

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

    

 

     

Loss ratio

    

65.1 

%

 

70.0 

%

 

52.2 

%

 

55.9 

%

 

62.2

%

 

55.6 

%

 

53.3 

%

 

61.1 

%

 

54.4 

%

 

62.4 

%

 

57.0 

%

 

   

56.7 

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

    

1.9 

  

2.1 

  

1.7 

  

(1.2)

  

2.0

  

1.8 

  

1.8 

 

 

1.9 

  

1.8 

 

 

2.0 

  

1.9 

 

 

   

1.1 

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

    

6.6 

  

5.8 

  

6.2 

  

7.0 

  

6.1

  

5.5 

  

5.7 

 

 

6.0 

  

5.6 

 

 

6.1 

  

5.8 

 

 

   

6.1 

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

    

30.4 

  

28.5 

  

38.0 

  

28.4 

  

29.7

  

30.7 

  

33.2 

 

 

32.6 

  

31.8 

 

 

31.8 

  

31.0 

 

 

   

30.4 

 

   Statutory combined ratio

    

104.0 

%

 

106.4 

%

 

98.1 

%

 

90.1 

%

 

100.0

%

 

93.6 

%

 

94.0 

%

 

101.6 

%

 

93.6 

%

 

102.3 

%

 

95.7 

%

 

   

94.3 

%

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
      catastrophes

    

97.0 

%

 

90.8 

%

 

93.1 

%

 

75.2 

%

 

93.6

%

 

87.4 

%

 

96.0 

%

 

91.3 

%

 

91.5 

%

 

93.1 

%

 

92.2 

%

    

88.0 

%

                            &nb sp;              

Loss Ratio

                        

 

     

 

     

 

     

Losses $1 million or more

    

5.0 

%

 

3.5 

%

 

1.2 

%

 

3.6 

%

 

1.5

%

 

1.1 

%

 

0.0 

%

 

2.3 

%

 

0.6 

%

 

3.2 

%

 

0.9 

%

 

   

1.6 

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

6.4 

  

4.4 

  

5.3 

  

3.9 

  

4.3

  

3.7 

  

5.2 

 

 

4.9 

  

4.4 

 

 

5.4 

  

4.4 

 

 

   

4.3 

 

Development and case reserve increases
   of $250,000 or more

    

2.1 

  

3.5 

  

2.8 

  

3.5 

  

1.7

  

1.0 

  

3.2 

 

 

3.1 

  

2.1 

 

 

2.8 

  

2.0 

 

 

   

2.4 

 

   Large losses subtotal

    

13.6 

%

 

11.4 

%

 

9.3 

%

 

11.0 

%

 

7.5

%

 

5.8 

%

 

8.4 

%

 

10.3 

%

 

7.1 

%

 

11.4 

%

 

7.3 

%

 

   

8.3 

%

IBNR incurred

    

0.1 

  

0.7 

  

0.0 

  

(11.2)

  

1.4

  

0.6 

  

0.7 

 

 

0.3 

  

0.7 

 

 

0.3 

  

0.9 

 

 

   

(2.1)

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

    

7.1 

  

15.6 

  

5.0 

  

14.9 

  

6.2

  

6.2 

  

(2.0)

 

 

10.3 

  

2.1 

 

 

9.2 

  

3.5 

 

 

   

6.3 

 

Remaining incurred

    

44.4 

  

42.3 

  

38.0 

  

41.2 

  

46.9

  

42.9 

  

46.2 

 

 

40.2 

  

44.5 

 

 

41.5 

  

45.3 

 

 

   

44.3 

 

   Total loss ratio

 

 

 

 

65.1 

%

 

70.0 

%

 

52.3 

%

 

55.9 

%

 

62.0

%

 

55.5 

%

 

53.3 

%

 

61.1 

%

 

54.4 

%

 

62.4 

%

 

57.0 

%

 

 

 

 

56.8 

%

                                            

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

NM – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 18






< /TR>

Cincinnati Insurance Group

 Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006

 (Dollars in millions)

                     

09/30/2006

9/30/2005

 
 

Comm

 

Comm

Comm

 

Workers'

Specialty

Surety &

 

Mach. &

Pers

Home

Other

Agency

Agency

Change

 State

 

Casualty

 

Prop

Auto

 

Comp

Packages

Exec Risk

 

Equip

Auto

Owner

 

Personal

Direct

Direct

%

 

                        

 

 AL

$

14.5

$

 9.0

$

      6.3

$

         1.1 

$

 5.0

$

    1.1

$

   0.4

$

 12.4

$

 16.1

$

 3.4

$

  69.3

$

 67.8

2.3 

 AZ

 

 9.2

 

 4.4

 

      7.3

 

         0.4 

 

  0.8

 

   0.5

 

     0.3

 

 0.0

 

  0.1

 

  0.1

 

23.1

 

 21.1

9.5 

 AR

 

  8.5

 

   7.6

 

        5.3

 

         4.4 

 

  2.8

 

    0.8

 

    0.3

 

 2.1

 

  2.3

 

  0.6

 

 34.7

 

 34.8

0.1 

 DE

 

  0.5

 

  0.3

 

        0.5

 

         1.2 

 

 0.0

 

    0.1

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 2.6

 

 0.6

352.8 

 FL

 

   28.8

 

 16.8

 

      10.2

 

         2.6 

 

  3.0

 

    1.8

 

   0.5

 

 9.8

 

 15.2

 

  2.9

 

 91.6

 

 80.6

13.5 

 GA

 

 20.5

 

 14.9

 

      14.8

 

         9.3 

 

  4.9

 

    5.4

 

    0.5

 

  24.7

 

 20.4

 

 4.9

 

 120.3

 

  112.4

7.0 

 ID

 

 5.4

 

 2.7

 

        3.5

 

 0.0 

 

   0.7

 

   0.5

 

     0.2

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 13.0

 

 11.4

13.9 

 IL

 

 63.7

 

 36.6

 

       27.0

 

       44.9 

 

   9.7

 

   6.6

 

    2.1

 

 20.2

 

 14.7

 

  4.7

 

 230.2

 

 225.3

2.2 

 IN

 

  40.7

 

 30.2

 

      21.9

 

       24.6 

 

   6.0

 

   5.5

 

    1.8

 

  23.1

 

  20.4

 

 5.0

 

179.2

 

180.1

(0.5)

 IA

 

  17.4

 

  11.5

 

        7.4

 

       18.0 

 

   3.3

 

    2.0

 

    1.1

 

  3.7

 

   3.4

 

 1.5

 

 69.3

 

 68.6

1.2 

 KS

 

  5.5

 

 5.8

 

         3.7

 

         5.1 

 

   2.1

 

   1.1

 

     0.3

 

  4.1

 

   5.0

 

 1.0

 

 33.7

 

 33.2

2.1 

 KY

 

 15.6

 

 14.1

 

      11.2

 

         2.9 

 

   3.6

 

   1.9

 

     0.7

 

  15.9

 

  11.2

 

 3.0

 

 80.1

 

 80.2

0.1 

 MD

 

 10.5

 

 4.4

 

        7.8

 

         9.0 

 

   0.8

 

    1.1

 

     0.2

 

 0.0

 

   1.0

 

  0.4

 

 35.2

 

29.7

18.4 

 MI

 

 32.9

 

 20.6

 

      15.0

 

       14.9 

 

 10.1

 

    4.0

 

     1.4

 

  11.2

 

 12.9

 

 2.6

 

 125.6

 

128.0

(2.0)

 MN

 

  21.9

 

 11.7

 

        8.3

 

         5.8 

 

  2.8

 

    1.8

 

    0.8

 

  5.5

 

   4.3

 

 2.4

 

 65.3

 

 66.4

(1.6)

 MO

 

  20.1

 

 13.9

 

        9.1

 

       13.4 

 

  4.0

 

  1.5

 

     0.8

 

  2.5

 

  3.6

 

 0.7

 

 69.6

 

 65.2

6.9 

 MT

 

 9.5

 

 4.8

 

         5.7

 

 0.0 

 

   0.7

 

   0.2

 

     0.2

 

 0.0

 

  0.1

 

 0.0

 

 21.2

 

19.7

7.7 

 NE

 

 6.0

 

 3.9

 

        3.0

 

         6.6 

 

 1.2

 

    0.8

 

    0.3

 

 1.1

 

  1.0

 

 0.3

 

 24.2

 

 26.4

(8.7)

 NH

 

 2.3

 

1.6

 

         1.2

 

         2.0 

 

 0.5

 

    0.4

 

     0.1

 

  0.7

 

  0.6

 

 0.3

 

 9.7

 

 9.2

5.9 

 NY

 

 20.6

 

 5.1

 

         7.5

 

         2.0 

 

 0.8

 

    2.3

 

    0.3

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 38.6

 

 33.4

15.9 

 NC

 

 31.2

 

 21.4

 

       19.1

 

       20.2 

 

 8.5

 

    6.1

 

    1.0

 

   1.1

 

  1.3

 

 2.0

 

111.9

 

102.3

9.3 

 ND

 

 2.9

 

 2.4

 

    2.0

 

 0.0 

 

 0.6

 

    0.5

 

    0.2

 

    0.5

 

   0.5

 

 0.2

 

 9.8

 

10.7

(8.4)

 OH

 

 125.4

 

 74.2

 

  59.5

 

 (0.3)

 

15.8

 

  18.9

 

  3.5

 

112.1

 

  71.6

 

22.9

 

 503.6

 

 528.0

(4.6)

 PA

 

 36.3

 

  22.3

 

    24.0

 

       42.3 

 

 6.9

 

    4.7

 

   1.3

 

    6.2

 

   4.8

 

2.5

 

 151.3

 

 149.5

1.1 

 SC

 

  10.5

 

  6.4

 

      6.1

 

         3.7 

 

 1.8

 

    2.2

 

   0.2

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.2

 

 31.1

 

 28.4

9.6 

 SD

 

 3.5

 

  2.2

 

      1.7

 

         3.5 

 

 0.4

 

    0.3

 

    0.1

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 11.7

 

 9.6

22.3 

 TN

 

 19.5

 

  13.0

 

   13.0

 

         9.8 

 

  6.2

 

  3.6

 

    0.8

 

    6.1

 

   6.2

 

 2.1

 

 80.3

 

 75.2

6.8 

 UT

 

 6.2

 

  2.3

 

    3.1

 

 0.0 

 

  0.2

 

  1.1

 

    0.2

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 0.0

 

 13.1

 

 8.9

49.5 

 VT

 

 3.9

 

 2.6

 

     2.4

 

         5.5 

 

  0.6

 

  0.4

 

    0.1

 

    0.7

 

 0.6

 

 0.2

 

  17.0

 

 15.9

8.6 

 VA

 

 28.2

 

 19.9

 

    19.0

 

       17.8 

 

 3.8

 

  4.0

 

    0.8

 

   8.2

 

 6.4

 

2.2

 

 110.3

 

 100.5

9.5 

 WV

 

 7.0

 

   4.6

 

    4.9

 

 0.0 

 

  1.7

 

 0.6

 

    0.3

 

 0.0

 

   0.7

 

 0.2

 

 20.0

 

19.1

4.6 

 WI

 

 24.4

 

 14.5

 

     10.7

 

       20.3 

 

 3.6

 

  1.8

 

    1.3

 

  8.5

 

  6.2

 

 2.6

 

  93.9

 

 96.2

(2.5)

 All Other

 

  4.8

 

  2.7

 

    2.6

 

         3.8 

 

 0.0

 

   0.9

 

    0.1

 

 0.0

 

  0.1

 

 0.0

 

 15.0

 

12.1

19.6 

                          

 Total Agency Direct

$

  657.9

$

 408.4

$

  344.8

$

     294.8 

$

112.9

$

 84.5

$

  22.2

$

280.4

$

230.7

$

68.9

$

2,505.5

$

2,450.5

2.2 

 Other Direct

 

  0.9

 

  1.6

 

      0.7

 

         7.0 

 

  0.3

 

 0.0

 

    -   

 

   0.8

 

 2.2

 

 1.3

 

14.8

 

16.6

(9.6)

 Total Direct

$

658.8

$

410.0

$

    345.5

$

     301.8 

$

 113.2

$

 84.5

$

 22.2

$

281.2

$

 232.9

$

70.2

$

2,520.3

$

2,467.1

2.2 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 19






< TD style="border-bottom:1pt solid #000000" width=16.067> 

Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - By Commercial Lines of Business

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

 

Commercial casualty:

                              

 

     

 

      

Written premiums

   

$

196

 

$

209

 

$

228

 

$

189

 

$

183

 

$

191

 

$

217

 

 $

437

 

 $

409

 

 $

634

 

 $

590

 

 

  

 $

779

  

Earned premiums

    

207

  

208

  

197

  

195

  

193

  

190

  

183

  

405

  

373

 

 

613

  

564

 

 

   

759

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

49.4

%

 

50.3

%

 

51.3

%

 

5.1

%

 

49.3

%

 

55.5

%

 

51.1

%

 

51.6

%

 

53.9

%

 

50.8

%

 

51.8

%

 

   

39.8

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

 

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

 

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

49.4

%

 

50.3

%

 

51.3

%

 

5.1

%

 

49.3

%

 

55.5

%

 

51.1

%

 

51.6

%

 

53.9

%

 

50.8

%

 

51.8

%

    

39.8

%

 
                          

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

      

Commercial property:

                              

 

     

 

      

Written premiums

   

$

126

 

$

122

 

$

134

 

$

115

 

$

113

 

$

122

 

$

126

 

 $

256

 

 $

248

 

 $

381

 

 $

361

 

 

  

 $

476

  

Earned premiums

    

123

  

123

  

121

  

120

  

113

  

118

  

116

 

 

244

  

234

 

 

367

 

 $

347

 

 

   

467

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

54.9

%

 

57.0

%

 

72.6

%

 

52.8

%

 

94.3

%

 

43.0

%

 

68.8

%

 

64.2

%

 

55.5

%

 

61.0

%

 

68.2

%

 

   

64.2

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

    

9.9

 

 

15.9

 

 

22.7

 

 

11.2

 

 

44.0

 

 

1.2

 

 

4.0

 

 

19.3

 

 

2.6

 

 

16.1

 

 

16.1

 

 

 

 

 

14.9

 

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

45.0

%

 

41.1

%

 

49.9

%

 

41.6

%

 

50.3

%

 

41.8

%

 

64.8

%

 

44.9

%

 

52.9

%

 

44.9

%

 

52.1

%

    

49.3

%

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Commercial auto:

                        

 

     

 

     

 

      

Written premiums

   

$

105

 

$

115

 

$

126

 

$

107

 

$

107

 

$

111

 

$

122

 

 $

240

 

 $

233

 

 $

345

 

 $

341

 

 

  

 $

448

  

Earned premiums

    

113

  

112

  

112

  

117

  

115

  

113

  

113

 

 

224

  

225

 

 

337

  

340

 

 

   

457

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

72.8

%

 

59.1

%

 

57.7

%

 

61.5

%

 

60.6

%

 

59.0

%

 

57.9

%

 

57.4

%

 

59.0

%

 

62.5

%

 

59.6

%

 

   

60.1

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

 

  

(0.5)

 

 

3.1

 

 

0.6

 

 

0.0

  

0.2

  

0.2

  

0.0

 

 

1.9

 

 

0.1

 

 

1.0

 

 

0.2

 

 

 

 

 

0.1

 

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

73.3

%

 

56.0

%

 

57.1

%

 

61.5

%

 

60.4

%

 

58.8

%

 

57.9

%

 

55.5

%

 

58.9

%

 

61.5

%

 

59.4

%

    

60.0

%

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Workers' compensation:

                        

 

     

 

     

 

      

Written premiums

   

$

85

 

$

91

 

$

111

 

$

80

 

$

75

 

$

83

 

$

100

 

 $

203

 

 $

183

 

 $

288

 

 $

258

 

 

  

 $

338

  

Earned premiums

    

93

  

90

  

88

  

85

  

82

  

82

  

79

 

 

178

  

161

 

 

271

  

244

 

 

   

328

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

90.3

%

 

82.6

%

 

78.5

%

 

134.2

%

 

74.0

%

 

77.1

%

 

76.5

%

 

80.8

%

 

76.8

%

 

84.1

%

 

75.9

%

 

   

90.9

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

 

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

 

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

90.3

%

 

82.6

%

 

78.5

%

 

134.2

%

 

74.0

%

 

77.1

%

 

76.5

%

 

80.8

%

 

76.8

%

 

84.1

%

 

75.9

%

    

90.9

%

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Specialty packages:

                        

 

     

 

     

 

      

Written premiums

   

$

35

 

$

34

 

$

40

 

$

32

 

$

35

 

$

34

 

$

37

 

 $

74

 

 $

71

 

 $

109

 

 $

105

 

 

  

 $

138

  

Earned premiums

    

35

  

35

  

36

  

34

  

34

  

34

  

34

 

 

71

  

68

 

 

106

  

103

 

 

   

137

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

74.2

%

 

84.0

%

 

64.3

%

 

53.4

%

 

69.9

%

 

57.2

%

 

87.8

%

 

73.1

%

 

72.4

%

 

73.5

%

 

71.5

%

 

   

67.0

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

 

  

7.1

 

 

29.2

 

 

3.6

 

 

4.6

  

9.9

  

1.8

  

4.4

 

 

16.2

 

 

3.1

 

 

13.3

 

 

5.4

 

 

 

 

 

5.2

 

 

Loss and loss expenses
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

67.1

%

 

54.8

%

 

60.7

%

 

48.8

%

 

60.0

%

 

55.4

%

 

83.4

%

 

56.9

%

 

69.3

%

 

60.2

%

 

66.1

%

    

61.8

%

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Surety and executive risk:

                        

 

     

 

     

 

      

Written premiums

   

$

28

 

$

24

 

$

22

 

$

21

 

$

25

 

$

18

 

$

20

 

 $

46

 

 $

38

 

 $

74

 

 $

63

 

 

  

 $

85

  

Earned premiums

    

24

  

24

  

21

  

21

  

21

  

19

  

19

 

 

45

  

38

 

 

69

  

59

 

 

   

80

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

47.3

%

 

92.4

%

 

26.4

%

 

69.2

%

 

31.5

%

 

7.4

%

 

26.4

%

 

60.1

%

 

16.9

%

 

55.6

%

 

22.0

%

 

   

34.2

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

 

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

 

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

47.3

%

 

92.4

%

 

26.4

%

 

69.2

%

 

31.5

%

 

7.4

%

 

26.4

%

 

60.1

%

 

16.9

%

 

55.6

%

 

22.0

%

    

34.2

%

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

 

Machinery and equipment:

                        

 

                  

Written premiums

   

$

7

 

$

8

 

$

7

 

$

6

 

$

7

 

$

6

 

$

7

 

 $

15

 

 $

13

 

 $

22

 

 $

20

 

 

  

 $

26

  

Earned premiums

    

7

  

7

  

7

  

6

  

7

  

6

  

7

 

 

14

  

13

 

 

20

  

19

 

 

   

26

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

45.2

%

 

27.4

%

 

32.2

%

 

31.6

%

 

21.5

%

 

24.1

%

 

12.3

%

 

29.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

34.8

%

 

19.3

%

 

   

22.4

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

 

 

  

2.1

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(0.1)

  

0.2

  

0.3

  

(0.6)

 

 

0.1

 

 

(0.2)

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

 

 

 

(0.1)

 

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

43.1

%

 

27.4

%

 

32.2

%

 

31.7

%

 

21.3

%

 

23.8

%

 

12.9

%

 

29.5

%

 

18.3

%

 

34.0

%

 

19.3

%

    

22.5

%

 
                                           

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

        

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                                      



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 20






  

Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - By Personal Lines of Business

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Personal auto:

                                 & nbsp;        

Written premiums

   

$

96

 

$

104

 

$

79

 

$

89

 

$

112

 

$

119

 

$

89 

 

$

184

 

 $

208

 

 $

279

 

 $

321

    

 $

409

 

Earned premiums

    

95

  

98

  

101

  

104

  

108

  

110

  

111 

  

199

  

221

  

294

  

329

     

433

 

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

60.6

%

 

68.8

%

 

60.1

%

 

54.0

%

 

65.0

%

 

61.0

%

 

60.4 

%

 

62.9

%

 

60.1

%

 

62.2

%

 

61.7

%

    

59.9

%

Less catastrophe loss ratio

    

1.4

 

 

3.6

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.6

  

0.4

  

1.1

  

0.2 

  

2.2

 

 

0.6

 

 

2.0

 

 

0.5

 

 

 

 

 

0.6

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

59.2

%

 

65.2

%

 

59.3

%

 

53.4

%

 

64.6

%

 

59.9

%

 

60.2 

%

 

60.7

%

 

59.5

%

 

60.2

%

 

61.2

%

    

59.3

%

                                 & nbsp;         

Homeowner:

                                 & nbsp;        

Written premiums

   

$

79

 

$

83

 

$

62

 

$

67

 

$

81

 

$

81

 

$

59 

 

$

144

 

 $

140

 

 $

224

 

 $

221

    

 $

288

 

Earned premiums

    

72

  

74

  

73

  

71

  

72

  

70

  

69 

  

146

  

139

  

219

  

211

     

282

 

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

93.9

%

 

89.2

%

 

64.0

%

 

83.4

%

 

78.0

%

 

75.0

%

 

64.6 

%

 

78.7

%

 

70.3

%

 

83.7

%

 

72.9

%

    

75.6

%

Less catastrophe loss ratio

    

15.0

 

 

33.1

 

 

11.1

 

 

43.2

 

 

15.2

 

 

14.7

 

 

(6.1)

 

 

22.1

 

 

4.4

 

 

19.8

 

 

8.0

 

 

 

 

 

16.9

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

78.9

%

 

56.1

%

 

52.9

%

 

40.2

%

 

62.8

%

 

60.3

%

 

70.7 

%

 

56.6

%

 

65.9

%

 

63.9

%

 

64.9

%

 

 

  

58.7

%

 

                                 & nbsp;        

Other personal:

                                 & nbsp;        

Written premiums

   

$

23

 

$

24

 

$

20

 

$

21

 

$

23

 

$

24

 

$

20 

 

$

44

 

 $

45

 

 $

67

 

 $

68

    

 $

89

 

Earned premiums

    

22

  

22

  

22

  

22

  

23

  

22

  

22 

 

 

45

  

45

 

 

66

  

67

     

89

 

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

63.3

%

 

72.5

%

 

47.4

%

 

37.0

%

 

58.0

%

 

32.6

%

 

49.5 

%

 

63.9

%

 

37.2

%

 

63.9

%

 

47.1

%

    

44.6

%

Less Catastrophe loss ratio

 

 

  

5.2

 

 

10.8

 

 

3.8

 

 

2.0

  

5.0

  

1.0

  

3.9 

 

 

7.3

 

 

2.5

 

 

6.6

 

 

3.3

 

 

 

 

 

3.0

 

Loss and loss expense
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

58.1

%

 

61.7

%

 

43.6

%

 

35.0

%

 

53.0

%

 

31.6

%

 

45.6 

%

 

56.6

%

 

34.7

%

 

57.3

%

 

43.8

%

    

41.6

%

 

                                         

 

                                         

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 21







 

Cincinnati Insurance Group

 

10-Year Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

  

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

Premiums

                              

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

3,097

 

$

3,026

 

 $

2,789

 

 $

2,496

 

 $

2,188

 

 $

1,936 

 

 $

1,681

 

 $

1,558

 

 $

1,472

 

 $

1,384

 

   Codification

 

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

402

  

(55)

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

 

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

(21)

 

 

(29)

 

 

26

 

 

117

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)**

 

3,076

  

2,997

  

2,815

  

2,613

  

2,590

  

1,881 

  

1,681

  

1,558

  

1,472

  

1,384

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

(18)

 

 

(78)

 

 

(162)

 

 

(222)

 

 

(517)

 

 

(53)

 

 

(23)

 

 

(15)

 

 

(18)

 

 

(17)

 

   Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

3,058

 

$

2,919

 

 $

2,653

 

 $

2,391

 

 $

2,073

 

 $

1,828 

 

 $

1,658

 

 $

1,543

 

 $

1,454

 

 $

1,367

 

                               

Year-over-year growth rate:

                              

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

         2.3

%

         8.5

%

11.7

%

14.0

%

13.0

%

15.2 

%

7.9

%

5.8

%

6.4

%

6.8

%

   Written premiums (statutory)

 

2.6

%

6.5

%

7.7

%

0.9

%

37.7

%

11.9 

%

7.9

%

5.8

%

6.4

%

6.8

%

   Earned premiums

 

4.8

%

10.0

%

11.0

%

15.3

%

13.4

%

10.3 

%

7.5

%

6.1

%

6.4

%

8.2

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statutory combined ratio

                              

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

89.0

%

89.4

%

94.2

%

98.4

%

99.5

%

112.5 

%

100.4

%

104.2

%

98.3

%

103.5

%

   Codification

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

4.1

  

(0.9)

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

1.2

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.8

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

(1.7)

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

89.0

%

89.4

%

95.0

%

99.6

%

103.6

%

109.9 

%

100.4

%

104.2

%

98.3

%

103.5

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

4.1

  

5.1

  

3.6

  

3.6

  

3.1

  

2.7 

  

2.5

  

6.1

       

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
     catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

84.9

%

84.3

%

91.4

%

 

96.0

%

 

100.5

%

 

107.2 

%

 

97.9

%

 

98.1

%

 

     
                               

   Reported commission expense ratio*

 

19.2

%

19.2

%

17.6

%

15.9

%

13.9

%

17.4 

%

17.4

%

17.6

%

     

   Codification

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

2.6

  

(0.5)

  

0.0

  

0.0

       

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

0.8

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

       

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

      

   Commission expense ratio (adjusted)

 

19.2

%

19.2

%

17.6

%

 

16.7

%

 

16.5

%

 

16.9 

%

 

17.4

%

 

17.6

%

      
                               

   Reported other expense ratio*

 

10.5

%

10.1

%

8.9

%

9.6

%

8.7

%

12.6 

%

11.4

%

11.9

%

     

   Codification

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

1.5

  

(0.4)

  

0.0

  

0.0

       

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

0.4

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

       

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(1.7)

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

      

   Other expense ratio (adjusted)

 

10.5

%

10.1

%

9.7

%

 

10.0

%

 

10.2

%

 

10.5 

%

 

11.4

%

 

11.9

%

      
                               

   Reported statutory expense ratio*

 

29.7

%

29.3

%

26.5

%

25.5

%

22.6

%

30.0 

%

28.8

%

29.5

%

     

   Codification

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

4.1

  

(0.9)

  

0.0

  

0.0

       

   Written premium adjustment -- statutory only

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

1.2

  

0.0

  

0.0 

  

0.0

  

0.0

       

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(1.7)

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

      

   Statutory expense ratio (adjusted)

 

29.7

%

29.3

%

27.3

%

 

26.7

%

 

26.7

%

 

27.4 

%

 

28.8

%

 

29.5

%

      

 

 

 

 

 

                          

GAAP combined ratio

                              

   GAAP combined ratio

 

89.2

%

89.8

%

94.7

%

99.7

%

104.9

%

112.8 

%

100.2

%

104.3

%

98.4

%

103.6

%

   One-time item

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.8

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

(2.1)

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

89.2

%

89.8

%

95.5

%

 

99.7

%

 

104.9

%

 

110.7 

%

 

100.2

%

 

104.3

%

 

98.4

%

 

103.6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Written premiums to surplus

                              

   Adjusted premiums to statutory surplus ratio

 

0.739

  

0.721

  

1.002

  

1.067

  

0.864

                

   Written premium adjustment

 

(0.005)

 

 

(0.007)

 

 

0.010

 

 

0.050

 

 

0.159

                

   Reported premiums to statutory surplus ratio

 

0.734

 

 

0.714

 

 

1.012

 

 

1.117

 

 

1.023

                

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.  Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

nm – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

**Prior to 2001, property casualty written premiums were recognized as they were billed throughout the policy period. Effective January 1, 2001, written premiums have been recognized on an annualized basis at

the effective date of the policy. Written premiums for 2000 were reclassified to conform with the 2001 presentation; information was not readily available to reclassify earlier year statutory data.  The growth rates in written premiums

between 1999 and 2000 are overstated because 1999 premiums are shown on a billed basis.



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 22





Cincinnati Insurance Group

6-Year Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

Premiums

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

2,306 

 

$

2,209 

 

$

2,009 

 

$

1,795 

 

$

1,551 

 

$

1,326 

 

   Codification

 

  

  

  

  

276 

  

(51)

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

(16)

 

 

(23)

 

 

22 

 

 

110 

 

 

 

 

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)**

$

2,290 

 

$

2,186 

 

$

2,031 

 

$

1,905 

 

$

1,827 

 

$

1,275 

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

(36)

 

 

(60)

 

 

(123)

 

 

(184)

 

 

(374)

 

 

(43)

 

   Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

2,254 

 

$

2,126 

 

$

1,908 

 

$

1,721 

 

$

1,453 

 

$

1,232 

 

                   

Year-over-year growth rate:

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

4.4 

%

10.0 

%

11.9 

%

15.8 

%

16.9 

%

20.5 

%

   Written premiums (statutory)

 

4.7 

%

7.6 

%

6.6 

%

4.2 

%

43.3 

%

15.9 

%

   Earned premiums

 

6.0 

%

11.4 

%

10.8 

%

18.6 

%

17.9 

%

13.2 

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statutory combined ratio

                  

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

87.1 

%

83.7 

%

90.9 

%

95.3 

%

96.7 

%

117.2 

%

   Codification

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

4.0 

  

(1.2)

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

1.5 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

 

   One-time item

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

 

 

0.7 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(1.6)

 

   Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

87.1 

%

83.7 

%

91.6 

%

96.8 

%

100.7 

%

114.4 

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

3.4 

  

3.4 

  

2.2 

  

2.3 

  

1.9 

  

1.5 

 

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
     catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

83.7 

%

80.3 

%

89.4 

%

94.5 

%

98.8 

%

112.9 

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GAAP combined ratio

                  

   GAAP combined ratio

 

87.4 

%

84.1 

%

91.3 

%

96.6 

%

101.7 

%

117.2 

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.8 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(2.0)

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

87.4 

%

 

84.1 

%

 

92.1 

%

 

96.6 

%

 

101.7 

%

 

115.2 

%

  

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.  Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 

Nm – Not meaningful

 

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the

 

appropriate regulatory bodies.

 

**Prior to 2001, property casualty written premiums were recognized as they were billed throughout the policy period.  Effective

 

January 1, 2001, written premiums have been recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy.  Written premiums for 2000 were reclassified to

conform with the 2001 presentation; information was not readily available to reclassify earlier year statutory data.  The growth rates in written premiums between

1999 and 2000 are overstated because 1999 premiums are shown on a billed basis.

 



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 23





Cincinnati Insurance Group

6-Year Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

 

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

Premiums

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)*

$

791 

 

$

817 

 

$

780 

 

$

701 

 

$

637 

 

$

610 

 

   Codification

 

  

  

  

  

126 

  

(4)

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

(5)

 

 

(6)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)**

$

786 

 

$

811 

 

$

784 

 

$

708 

 

$

763 

 

$

606 

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

18 

 

 

(18)

 

 

(39)

 

 

(38)

 

 

(143)

 

 

(10)

 

   Earned premiums (GAAP)

$

804 

 

$

793 

 

$

745 

 

$

670 

 

$

620 

 

$

596 

 

                   

Year-over-year growth rate:

                  

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

 

(3.2)

%

4.7 

%

12.0 

%

9.8 

%

4.6 

%

5.0 

%

   Written premiums (statutory)

 

(3.0)

%

3.4 

%

10.8 

%

(7.2)

%

26.1 

%

4.3 

%

   Earned premiums

 

1.4 

%

6.4 

%

11.2 

%

8.1 

%

4.0 

%

4.6 

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statutory combined ratio

                  

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

 

94.3 

%

104.6 

%

102.9 

%

106.5 

%

105.9 

%

110.6 

%

   Codification

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

4.6 

  

(0.2)

 

   Written premium adjustment – statutory only

 

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

0.3 

  

0.0 

  

0.0 

 

   One-time item

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

  

1.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(2.0)

 

   Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)

 

94.3 

%

104.6 

%

103.9 

%

106.8 

%

110.5 

%

108.4 

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

6.3 

  

9.7 

  

7.3 

  

7.1 

  

5.8 

  

5.4 

 

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
     catastrophe losses (adjusted)

 

88.0 

%

 

94.9 

%

 

96.6 

%

 

99.7 

%

 

104.7 

%

 

103.0 

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GAAP combined ratio

                  

   GAAP combined ratio

 

94.4 

%

105.0 

%

103.6 

%

107.6 

%

112.4 

%

110.4 

%

   One-time item

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

1.1 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

(2.4)

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

 

94.4 

%

105.0 

%

104.7 

%

107.6 

%

112.4 

%

108.0 

%

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.  Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

nm – Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the

appropriate regulatory bodies.

**Prior to 2001, property casualty written premiums were recognized as they were billed throughout the policy period.  Effective January 1, 2001, written

premiums have been recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Written premiums for 2000 were reclassified to conform with the

2001 presentation; information was not readily available to reclassify earlier year statutory data. The growth rates in written premiums between 1999 and 2000

are overstated because 1999 premiums are shown on a billed basis.



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 24






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

   

$

787

 

$

804

 

$

796

 

$

765

 

$

764

 

$

780

 

$

787

 

$

1,600

 

$

1,567

 

$

2,387

 

$

2,332

 

 

  

$

3,097

 

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

 

 

 

 

(7)

 

 

10

 

 

33

 

 

(38)

 

 

(3)

 

 

10

 

 

10

  

43

 

 

20

 

 

36

 

 

17

     

(21)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

   

$

780

 

$

814

 

$

829

 

$

727

 

$

761

 

$

790

 

$

797

 

$

1,643

 

$

1,587

 

$

2,423

 

$

2,349

 

 

  

$

3,076

 

   Unearned premiums change

 

 

 

 

11

 

 

(21)

 

 

(51)

  

48

 

 

4

  

(25)

 

 

(44)

  

(72)

 

 

(73)

 

 

(60)

 

 

(66)

     

(19)

 

   Earned premiums

   

$

791

 

$

793

 

$

778

 

$

775

 

$

765

 

$

765

 

$

753

 

$

1,571

 

$

1,518

 

$

2,362

 

$

2,283

    

$

3,058

 

 

                                          

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

    

96.4

%

 

93.7

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.6

%

 

87.3

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

    

89.0

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

 

 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

 

 

 

 

96.4

%

 

93.7

%

 

89.6

%

 

85.8

%

 

96.6

%

 

86.6

%

 

87.3

%

 

91.7

%

 

86.9

%

 

93.2

%

 

90.1

%

    

89.0

%

   Less catastrophe losses

 

 

 

 

3.5

 

 

8.0

 

 

5.0

 

 

5.6

 

 

8.6

 

 

2.0

 

 

0.3

  

6.5

 

 

1.1

 

 

5.5

 

 

3.6

 

    

4.1

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
       excluding catastrophe losses

    

92.9

%

 

85.7

%

 

84.6

%

 

80.2

%

 

88.0

%

 

84.6

%

 

87.0

%

 

85.2

%

 

85.8

%

 

87.7

%

 

86.5

%

    

84.9

%

 

                            

 

     

 

 

    

 

 

   Reported commission expense ratio*

    

19.3

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

20.4

%

 

20.3

%

 

19.3

%

 

16.8

%

 

17.9

%

 

18.0

%

 

18.3

%

 

18.8

%

    

19.2

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   Adjusted commission expense ratio

    

19.3

%

 

17.6

%

 

18.1

%

 

20.4

%

 

20.3

%

 

19.3

%

 

16.8

%

 

17.9

%

 

18.0

%

 

18.3

%

 

18.8

%

    

19.2

%

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

  

 

     

 

 

    

 

 

            

   Reported other expense ratio*

    

11.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

11.6

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.3

%

 

9.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.0

%

 

11.2

%

 

10.2

%

    

10.5

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

 

 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   Adjusted other expense ratio

    

11.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

11.6

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.3

%

 

9.8

%

 

10.8

%

 

10.0

%

 

11.2

%

 

10.2

%

    

10.5

%

 

                       &nbs p;                  

   Reported statutory expense ratio*

    

31.2

%

 

28.4

%

 

28.9

%

 

32.0

%

 

31.1

%

 

29.6

%

 

26.6

%

 

28.7

%

 

28.0

%

 

29.5

%

 

29.0

%

    

29.7

%

   Written premium adjustment –
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

 

 

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory expense ratio

    

31.2

%

 

28.4

%

 

28.9

%

 

32.0

%

 

31.1

%

 

29.6

%

 

26.6

%

 

28.7

%

 

28.0

%

 

29.5

%

 

29.0

%

    

29.7

%

                                           

GAAP combined ratio

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

   GAAP combined ratio

    

96.1

%

 

94.5

%

 

92.0

%

 

83.9

%

 

96.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

88.9

%

 

93.3

%

 

88.2

%

 

94.2

%

 

91.0

%

    

89.2

%

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

    

96.1

%

 

94.5

%

 

92.0

%

 

83.9

%

 

96.6

%

 

87.5

%

 

88.9

%

 

93.3

%

 

88.2

%

 

94.2

%

 

91.0

%

    

89.2

%

 

                                          

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts

          

may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                                     

nm - Not meaningful

                         < /TD>                 

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 25






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

   

$

589 

 

$

593 

 

$

635 

 

$

584 

 

$

547 

 

$

557 

 

$

617 

 

$

1,228 

 

$

1,174

 

$

1,817 

 

$

1,721 

    

$

2,306 

 

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

   

 

(7)

 

 

10 

 

 

33 

 

 

(36)

 

 

(1)

 

 

 

 

12 

  

43 

 

 

21

 

 

36 

 

 

20 

 

   

 

(16)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

   

$

582 

 

$

603 

 

$

668 

 

$

548 

 

$

546 

 

$

566 

 

$

629 

 

$

1,271 

 

$

1,195

 

$

1,853 

 

$

1,741 

    

$

2,290 

 

   Unearned premiums change

   

 

20 

 

 

(4)

 

 

(86)

 

 

28 

 

 

18 

 

 

(3)

 

 

(78)

  

(90)

 

 

(81)

 

 

(69)

 

 

(63)

 

   

 

(36)

 

   Earned premiums

   

$

602 

 

$

599 

 

$

582 

 

$

576 

 

$

564 

 

$

563 

 

$

551 

 

$

1,181 

 

$

1,114

 

$

1,783 

 

$

1,678 

    

$

2,254 

 

 

                                          

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

    

94.1 

%

 

89.6 

%

 

87.5 

%

 

84.3 

%

 

95.5 

%

 

83.9 

%

 

85.5 

%

 

88.6 

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3 

%

 

88.1 

%

    

87.1 

%

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

    

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm 

  

nm

  

nm 

  

nm 

     

nm 

 

   One-time item

   

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

  

0.0 

 

 

0.0

  

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   

 

0.0 

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

    

94.1 

%

 

89.6 

%

 

87.5 

%

 

84.3 

%

 

95.5 

%

 

83.9 

%

 

85.5 

%

 

88.6 

%

 

84.6

%

 

90.3 

%

 

88.1 

%

    

87.1 

%

   Less catastrophe losses

   

 

2.3 

 

 

5.6 

 

 

5.1 

 

 

2.4 

 

 

9.5 

 

 

0.4 

 

 

1.1 

  

5.3 

 

 

0.8

  

4.3 

 

 

3.6 

 

   

 

3.4 

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
      excluding catastrophe losses

   

 

91.8 

%

 

84.0 

%

 

82.4 

%

 

81.9 

%

 

86.0 

%

 

83.5 

%

 

84.4 

%

 

83.3 

%

 

83.8

%

 

86.0 

%

 

84.5 

%

   

 

83.7 

%

                         

 

                 

GAAP combined ratio

                        

 

                 

   GAAP combined ratio

    

93.4 

%

 

90.3 

%

 

90.5 

%

 

82.1 

%

 

95.2 

%

 

84.8 

%

 

87.5 

%

 

90.4 

%

 

86.1

%

 

91.4 

%

 

89.2 

%

    

87.4 

%

   One-time item

   

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0 

 

 

0.0 

 

   

 

0.0 

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

    

93.4 

%

 

90.3 

%

 

90.5 

%

 

82.1 

%

 

95.2 

%

 

84.8 

%

 

87.5 

%

 

90.4 

%

 

86.1

%

 

91.4 

%

 

89.2 

%

    

87.4 

%

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

nm - Not meaningful

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 26






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/0

12/31/05

9/30/05

6/30/05

3/31/05

6/30/06

6/30/05

9/30/06

9/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Premiums

                                          

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

   

 $

198

 

 $

211

 

 $

161

 

 $

181

 

 $

217

 

 $

223

 

 $

170

 

 $

372

 

 $

393

 

 $

570

 

 $

611

    

$

791

 

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

   

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

0

 

 

(2)

 

 

(2)

 

 

1

 

 

(2)

 

 

0

 

 

(1)

 

 

0

 

 

(3)

     

(5)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

   

 $

198

 

 $

211

 

 $

161

 

 $

179

 

 $

215

 

 $

224

 

 $

168

 

 $

372

 

 $

392

 

 $

570

 

 $

608

    

$

786

 

   Unearned premiums change

   

 

(9)

 

 

(17)

 

 

35

 

 

20

 

 

(14)

 

 

(22)

 

 

34

 

 

18

 

 

8

 

 

9

 

 

(3)

     

17

 

   Earned premiums

   

 $

189

 

 $

194

 

 $

196

 

 $

199

 

 $

201

 

 $

202

 

 $

202

 

 $

390

 

 $

404

 

 $

579

 

 $

605

    

$

804

 

 

                                     ;      

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Reported statutory combined ratio*

    

104.0

%

 

106.4

%

 

98.1

%

 

90.1

%

 

99.9

%

 

93.6

%

 

94.0

%

 

101.6

%

 

93.7

%

 

102.3

%

 

95.7

%

    

94.3

%

   Written premium adjustment --
      statutory only

    

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

Nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

  

nm

     

nm

 

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

  

0.0

     

0.0

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio

    

104.0

%

 

106.4

%

 

98.1

%

 

90.1

%

 

99.9

%

 

93.6

%

 

94.0

%

 

101.6

%

 

93.7

%

 

102.3

%

 

95.7

%

    

94.3

%

   Less catastrophe losses

    

7.0

 

 

15.6

 

 

5.0

 

 

14.9

 

 

6.3

 

 

6.2

  

2.0

 

 

10.3

 

 

2.1

  

9.2

  

3.5

     

6.3

 

   Adjusted statutory combined ratio
      excluding catastrophe losses

    

97.0

%

 

90.8

%

 

93.1

%

 

75.2

%

 

93.6

%

 

87.4

%

 

96.0

%

 

91.3

%

 

91.6

%

 

93.1

%

 

92.2

%

    

88.0

%

                                           

GAAP combined ratio

                                          

   GAAP combined ratio

    

104.4

%

 

107.6

%

 

96.4

%

 

89.0

%

 

100.5

%

 

95.3

%

 

92.7

%

 

102.0

%

 

94.0

%

 

102.8

%

 

96.1

%

    

94.4

%

   One-time item

    

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

  

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

 

0.0

 

    

0.0

 

   GAAP combined ratio before one-time item

    

104.4

%

 

107.6

%

 

96.4

%

 

89.0

%

 

100.5

%

 

95.3

%

 

92.7

%

 

102.0

%

 

94.0

%

 

102.8

%

 

96.1

%

    

94.4

%

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

                                       

nm - Not meaningful

                                          

*   Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

       



2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 27






The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

GAAP Statements of Income

     
  

For the three months ended September 30,

 

For the nine months ended September 30,

  

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

      

 

 

     

 

  Premiums earned:

      

 

      

 

    Property casualty

$

 $

$

      NA   

$

 $

 $

      NA   

    Life

 

36,294,277 

 

33,816,806 

 

2,477,471 

7.33 

 

109,318,969 

 

103,387,385 

 

5,931,584 

5.74 

    Accident health

 

1,709,173 

 

1,640,686 

 

68,487 

4.17 

 

4,948,521 

 

4,729,937 

 

218,584 

4.62 

    Premiums ceded

 

(10,455,847)

 

(10,287,532)

 

(168,315)

(1.64)

 

(30,688,997)

 

(29,947,525)

 

(741,472)

(2.48)

      Total premiums earned

 

27,547,603 

 

25,169,960 

 

2,377,643 

9.45 

 

83,578,493 

 

78,169,797 

 

5,408,696 

6.92 

  Investment income

 

27,213,672 

 

24,913,462 

 

2,300,210 

9.23 

 

80,603,825 

 

73,310,458 

 

7,293,367 

9.95 

  Realized investment gains and losses

 

(256,745)

 

(288,018)

 

31,273 

10.86 

 

42,327,225 

 

7,356,820 

 

34,970,405 

475.35 

  Other income

 

755,639 

 

951,468 

 

(195,829)

(20.58)

 

2,559,919 

 

2,545,788 

 

14,131 

0.56 

       Total revenues

$

55,260,169 

 $

   50,746,872 

$

       4,513,297 

8.89 

$

  209,069,462 

 $

 161,382,863 

 $

      47,686,599 

29.55 

       

 

      

 

       

 

      

 

Benefits & expenses:

 

     

 

      

 

  Losses & policy benefits

$

 42,750,492 

 $

  49,044,146 

$

    (6,293,654)

(12.83)

$

  118,288,412 

 $

  128,224,954 

 $

       (9,936,542)

(7.75)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(9,728,222)

 

(21,796,779)

 

12,068,557 

55.37 

 

(26,705,298)

 

(51,367,008)

 

24,661,710 

48.01 

  Commissions

 

8,434,879 

 

8,784,942 

 

(350,063)

(3.98)

 

25,670,653 

 

25,777,011 

 

(106,358)

(0.41)

  Other operating expenses

 

6,877,898 

 

6,596,022 

 

281,876 

4.27 

 

19,784,207 

 

17,860,479 

 

1,923,728 

10.77 

  Interest expense

 

 

 

NA 

 

 

 

NA 

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

394,060 

 

1,021,334 

 

(627,274)

(61.42)

 

2,144,949 

 

3,172,446 

 

(1,027,497)

(32.39)

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

(6,544,407)

 

(4,984,107)

 

(1,560,300)

(31.31)

 

(14,237,700)

 

(9,766,879)

 

(4,470,821)

(45.78)

  Other expenses

 

(1)

 

 

(1)

NA 

 

108 

 

108 

 

0.00 

       Total expenses

$

 42,184,699 

 $

   38,665,558 

$

     3,519,141 

9.10 

$

 124,945,331 

 $

  113,901,111 

 $

      11,044,220 

9.70 

 

 

     

 

      

 

 

 

     

 

      

 

       Income before income taxes

$

  13,075,470 

 $

  12,081,314 

$

      994,156 

8.23 

$

  84,124,131 

 $

   47,481,752 

 $

      36,642,379 

77.17 

 

 

     

 

      

 

Provision for income taxes:

 

     

 

      

 

  Current

$

  (33,442)

 $

  2,852,503 

$

     (2,885,945)

(101.17)

$

    5,319,857 

 $

     9,098,378 

 $

       (3,778,521)

(41.53)

  Current capital gains/losses

 

   27,139 

 

      (100,806)

 

     127,945 

126.92 

 

    14,931,529 

 

     2,574,887 

 

      12,356,642 

479.89 

  Deferred

 

4,382,846 

 

1,214,805 

 

3,168,041 

260.79 

 

9,777,623 

 

4,338,680 

 

5,438,943 

125.36 

       Total income taxes

$

  4,376,543 

 $

  3,966,502 

$

      410,041 

10.34 

$

    30,029,009 

 $

  16,011,945 

 $

      14,017,064 

87.54 

 

 

     

 

   

 

  

 

       Net income

$

  8,698,927 

 $

      8,114,812 

$

       584,115 

7.20 

$

     54,095,122 

 $

  31,469,807 

 $

      22,625,315 

71.90 





2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 28






The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

Statutory Statements of Income

     
  

For the three months ended September 30,

 

For the nine months ended September 30,

 

 

 2006

2005

% Change

 

 2006

2005

% Change

 

 

   

 

 

 

  

 

Net premiums written

$

   37,886,042 

 $

  53,439,050 

             (29.10)

 $

       115,332,247 

 $

    153,749,079 

    (24.99)

Net investment income

 

   27,213,672 

 

 24,913,462 

                9.23 

 

         80,603,825 

 

      73,310,458 

       9.95 

Amortization of interest maintenance reserve

 

         17,827 

 

     1,422,108 

             (98.75)

 

              100,277 

 

        3,102,027 

    (96.77)

Commissions and expense allowances on reinsurance ceded

 

     1,834,459 

 

     2,309,463 

             (20.57)

 

           5,778,763 

 

        8,761,904 

    (34.05)

Income from fees associated with Separate Accounts

 

       755,639 

 

        951,468 

(20.58)

 

           2,559,919 

 

        2,545,788 

0.56 

Total revenues

$

   67,707,638 

 $

 83,035,551 

(18.46)

$

       204,375,031 

$

    241,469,256 

(15.36)

 

 

   

 

 

 

  

 

Death benefits and matured endowments

$

     9,459,133 

 $

 10,595,563 

(10.73)

$

         30,097,582 

 $

      25,618,091 

17.49 

Annuity benefits

 

   10,463,908 

 

     9,024,180 

15.95 

 

         26,619,650 

 

      16,791,625 

58.53 

Disability benefits and benefits under accident and health contracts

 

       556,563 

 

        484,157 

14.96 

 

           1,215,340 

 

        1,046,366 

16.15 

Surrender benefits and group conversions

 

     4,468,607 

 

     5,407,125 

(17.36)

 

         16,260,645 

 

      14,910,773 

9.05 

Interest and adjustments on deposit-type contract funds

 

     2,259,707 

 

     2,463,402 

(8.27)

 

           7,014,565 

 

        7,486,511 

(6.30)

Increase in aggregate reserves for life and accident and health contracts

 

   26,543,268 

 

 37,868,789 

(29.91)

 

         71,899,714 

 

    115,497,545 

(37.75)

Payments on supplementary contracts with life contingencies

 

         77,577 

 

          73,218 

5.95 

 

              231,661 

 

           220,624 

5.00 

Total benefit expenses

$

   53,828,763 

 $

  65,916,433 

(18.34)

$

       153,339,156 

 $

    181,571,535 

(15.55)

 

 

   

 

 

 

  

 

Commissions

$

     8,319,379 

 $

     8,784,942 

(5.30)

$

         25,355,653 

 $

      25,777,011 

(1.63)

General insurance expenses and taxes

 

     7,487,053 

 

     8,223,280 

(8.95)

 

         24,214,800 

 

      24,041,975 

0.72 

Increase in loading on deferred and uncollected premiums

 

    (1,506,574)

 

       (768,211)

(96.11)

 

          (4,478,863)

 

       (4,573,489)

2.07 

Net transfers to or (from) Separate Accounts

 

                    

 

                     

N/A 

 

             (211,220)

 

                       

N/A 

Other deductions

 

                    

 

                     

N/A 

 

                    109 

 

                 108 

0.63 

Total operating expenses

$

   14,299,858 

 $

 16,240,011 

(11.95)

$

         44,880,478 

 $

      45,245,606 

(0.81)

 

 

   

 

 

 

  

 

Federal and Foreign Income Taxes Incurred

 

       219,114 

 

     2,696,011 

(91.87)

 

           5,022,716 

 

        9,273,251 

(45.84)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net gain from operations before realized capital gains or (losses)

$

      (640,097)

 $

    (1,816,904)

64.77 

$

           1,132,681 

 $

        5,378,864 

(78.94)

 

 

   

 

 

 

  

 

Net realized gains or (losses) net of capital gains tax

 

        (57,569)

 

    (1,000,054)

94.24 

 

         27,640,006 

 

           320,550 

8522.69 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Income (Statutory)

$

      (697,666)

 $

    (2,816,958)

75.23 

$

         28,772,687 

 $

        5,699,414 

404.84 

           

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance  

   

Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

          





2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 29






The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

Expenses as a Percentage of Premium

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/06

09/30/06

06/30/06

03/31/06

12/31/05

09/30/05

06/30/05

03/31/05

06/30/06

06/30/05

09/30/06

09/30/05

12/31/06

12/31/05

Gross Written Premiums

   

 $

50

 

 $

51

 

 $

50

 

 $

57

 

 $

66

 

 $

64

 

$

62

 

$

101

 

$

126

 

 $

152

 

 $

192

    

$

249

 

Bank Owned Life Insurance (BOLI)
  Adjustment

    

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

  

0

 

 

0

  

0

  

0

     

0

 

Adjusted Gross Written Premiums

 

 

 

 $

50

 

 $

51

 

 $

50

 

 $

57

 

 $

66

 

 $

64

 

$

62

 

$

101

 

$

126

 

 $

152

 

 $

192

    

$

249

 

                                           

Insurance Expense

 

 

 

 $

7

 

 $

7

 

 $

7

 

 $

8

 

 $

7

 

 $

7

 

$

7

 

$

14

 

$

14

 

 $

23

 

 $

21

    

$

29

 

                                           

Expense Ratio

    

14.7

%

 

13.5

%

 

14.5

%

 

14.4

%

 

10.3

%

 

10.7

%

 

10.9

%

 

14.0

%

 

10.8

%

 

14.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

   

11.7

%

Expense Ratio based on Adjusted
   Gross Written Premium

    

14.7

%

 

13.5

%

 

14.5

%

 

14.4

%

 

10.3

%

 

10.7

%

 

10.9

%

 

14.0

%

 

10.8

%

 

14.9

%

 

10.8

%

 

   

11.7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                    
                                           
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                        

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

                        

 

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

                        

Gross Written Premiums

 $

249

 

 $

230 

 

 $

173

 

 $

244 

 

 $

122

 

 $

157 

                         

Bank Owned Life Insurance (BOLI)
  Adjustment

 

0

  

(10)

  

0

  

(34)

  

0

  

(20)

                         

Adjusted Gross Written Premiums

 $

249

 

 $

220 

 

 $

173

 

 $

210 

 

 $

122

 

 $

137 

                         
                                           

Insurance Expense

 $

29

 

 $

25 

 

 $

25

 

 $

27 

 

 $

25

 

 $

20 

                         
                                           

Expense Ratio

 

11.7

%

 

11.1 

%

 

14.8

%

 

10.9 

%

 

20.6

%

 

12.9 

%

                        

Expense Ratio based on Adjusted
   Gross Written Premium

 

11.7

%

 

11.6 

%

 

14.8

%

 

12.6 

%

 

20.6

%

 

14.8 

%

                      

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                        
                         &nbs p;                 

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not

       

equal the full year as each is computed independently.

     




2006 Third-Quarter Supplement

 30


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