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Income Taxes
6 Months Ended
Jun. 30, 2021
Income Tax Disclosure [Abstract]  
Income Taxes Income Taxes
The differences between the 21% statutory federal income tax rate and our effective income tax rate were as follows:
(Dollars in millions)Three months ended June 30,Six months ended June 30,
2021202020212020
Tax at statutory rate:$183 21.0 %$240 21.0 %$344 21.0 %$(91)21.0 %
Increase (decrease) resulting from:        
Tax-exempt income from municipal bonds(5)(0.6)(5)(0.4)(10)(0.6)(10)2.3 
Dividend received exclusion(4)(0.5)(4)(0.3)(9)(0.5)(8)1.9 
Other(5)(0.5)0.3 (8)(0.6)(5)1.3 
Provision (benefit) for income taxes$169 19.4 %$236 20.6 %$317 19.3 %$(114)26.5 %
 
The provision for federal income taxes is based upon filing a consolidated income tax return for the company and its domestic subsidiaries.

We continue to believe that after considering all positive and negative evidence of taxable income in the carryback and carryforward periods as permitted by law, it is more likely than not that all of the deferred tax assets on our U.S. domestic operations will be realized. As a result, we have no valuation allowance for our U.S. domestic operations at June 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020. As more fully discussed below, we do carry a valuation allowance on the deferred tax assets related to Cincinnati Global.

Unrecognized Tax Benefits
At June 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, we had a gross unrecognized tax benefit of $34 million. There were no changes to this amount during the first half of 2021. It is reasonably possible that within the next 12 months, our unrecognized tax benefit could change when the IRS completes its examination of the tax year ended
December 31, 2018.

Cincinnati Global
As a result of operations for the three and six months ended June 30, 2021, Cincinnati Global decreased their net deferred assets $3 million and $4 million with an offsetting decrease of $3 million and $4 million to their valuation allowance. At June 30, 2021, Cincinnati Global had a net deferred tax asset of $52 million and an offsetting valuation allowance of $52 million.

Deferred tax assets are reduced by a valuation allowance when management believes it is more likely than not that some, or all, of the deferred tax assets will not be realized. After considering all positive and negative evidence related to the Cincinnati Global operations, we continue to believe it is appropriate to carry a valuation allowance at June 30, 2021.
At June 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, Cincinnati Global had operating loss carryforwards in the United States of $26 million for both periods and in the United Kingdom of $119 million and $108 million, respectively. These Cincinnati Global losses can only be utilized within the Cincinnati Global group in both the United States and in the United Kingdom and cannot offset the income of our domestic operations in the United States.