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Property Casualty Loss And Loss Expenses (Tables)
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2016
Insurance [Abstract]  
Consolidated Property Casualty Loss And Loss Expense Reserves
This table summarizes activity for our consolidated property casualty loss and loss expense reserves:
(Dollars in millions)
 
Years ended December 31,
 
 
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Gross loss and loss expense reserves, January 1
 
$
4,660

 
$
4,438

 
$
4,241

Less reinsurance recoverable
 
281

 
282

 
299

Net loss and loss expense reserves, January 1
 
4,379

 
4,156

 
3,942

Net incurred loss and loss expenses related to:
 
 

 
 

 
 

Current accident year
 
3,029

 
2,756

 
2,725

Prior accident years
 
(168
)
 
(184
)
 
(98
)
Total incurred
 
2,861

 
2,572

 
2,627

Net paid loss and loss expenses related to:
 
 

 
 

 
 

Current accident year
 
1,260

 
1,152

 
1,212

Prior accident years
 
1,243

 
1,197

 
1,201

Total paid
 
2,503

 
2,349

 
2,413

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net loss and loss expense reserves, December 31
 
4,737

 
4,379

 
4,156

Plus reinsurance recoverable
 
298

 
281

 
282

Gross loss and loss expense reserves, December 31
 
$
5,035

 
$
4,660

 
$
4,438

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Reconciliation of Property casualty Incurred Losses and ALAE and Paid Losses and ALAE Development Information
The following table provides a reconciliation of the property casualty incurred losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses (ALAE) development and paid losses and ALAE development information at December 31, 2016.
(Dollars in millions)
 
Cumulative incurred losses
and ALAE
as reported within the triangles,
net of reinsurance
 
Cumulative paid losses and ALAE as reported within the triangles,
net of reinsurance
 
Liabilities for loss and ALAE for accident years not presented in the triangles, net of reinsurance
 
Total liabilities for loss and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses
 
Total liabilities for gross loss and loss expense reserves
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial casualty
 
$
4,160

 
$
2,421

 
$
81

 
$
1,820

 
$
137

 
$
1,957

Workers' compensation
 
2,370

 
1,686

 
242

 
926

 
75

 
1,001

Commercial auto
 
1,768

 
1,264

 
12

 
516

 
5

 
521

Commercial property
 
2,187

 
1,910

 
11

 
288

 
18

 
306

Personal auto
 
1,633

 
1,388

 
4

 
249

 
31

 
280

Homeowner
 
1,452

 
1,322

 
2

 
132

 
2

 
134

Excess and surplus
 
366

 
144

 
1

 
223

 
6

 
229

Other short-duration insurance lines
 
342

Total liabilities for loss and ALAE reserves
 
4,770

Unallocated loss adjustment expense reserves
 
265

Gross loss and loss expense reserves
 
$
5,035

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Schedule of Incurred and Paid Losses and ALAE Development by Accident Year
The following table shows the commercial auto incurred and paid losses and ALAE development by accident year. The table also shows the IBNR reserves plus expected development on reported losses and claim frequency:
(Dollars in millions, reported claims in thousands)
As of December 31, 2016
Incurred losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
 
Total of incurred
but not reported
liabilities plus
expected
development on
reported losses
 
Cumulative number of reported claims
 
Years ended December 31,
 
 
Accident
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
 
 
 
Year
 
Unaudited
 
2016
 
 
2012
 
$
275

 
$
273

 
$
285

 
$
288

 
$
294

 
$
2

 
43

2013
 
 
 
292

 
305

 
315

 
322

 
9

 
46

2014
 
 
 
 
 
333

 
346

 
351

 
14

 
51

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
374

 
384

 
38

 
51

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
417

 
81

 
49

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
1,768

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cumulative paid losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
 
 
 
 
 
2012
 
$
129

 
$
184

 
$
222

 
$
258

 
$
278

 
 
 
 
2013
 
 
 
141

 
199

 
246

 
285

 
 
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
159

 
223

 
273

 
 
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
173

 
244

 
 
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
184

 
 
 
 
Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,264

 
 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance
 
12

 
 
 
 
Liabilities for loss and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
$
516

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The following table shows the workers’ compensation incurred and paid losses and ALAE development by accident year. The table also shows the IBNR reserves plus expected development on reported losses and claim frequency:
(Dollars in millions, reported claims in thousands)
As of December 31, 2016
Incurred losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
 
 
 
 
Total of incurred
but not reported
liabilities plus
expected
development on
reported losses
 
Cumulative number of
reported
claims
 
 
Years ended December 31,
 
 
Accident
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
 
 
 
Year
 
 
 
Unaudited
 
2016
 
 
2007
 
$
286

 
$
281

 
$
287

 
$
286

 
$
277

 
$
279

 
$
280

 
$
277

 
277

 
$
275

 
$
28

 

2008
 
 
 
298

 
305

 
310

 
302

 
299

 
299

 
297

 
296

 
296

 
31

 

2009
 
 
 
 
 
307

 
278

 
263

 
238

 
238

 
235

 
234

 
234

 
22

 
27

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
283

 
274

 
248

 
242

 
240

 
239

 
240

 
26

 
26

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
284

 
251

 
246

 
242

 
239

 
236

 
26

 
24

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
265

 
245

 
234

 
220

 
213

 
29

 
21

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
264

 
246

 
221

 
212

 
34

 
20

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
261

 
233

 
214

 
48

 
19

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
246

 
220

 
83

 
17

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
230

 
106

 
14

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
2,370

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cumulative paid losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance
2007
 
$
67

 
$
145

 
$
185

 
$
206

 
$
219

 
$
226

 
$
230

 
$
233

 
$
237

 
$
238

 
 
 
 
2008
 
 
 
72

 
155

 
195

 
217

 
233

 
242

 
247

 
251

 
254

 
 
 
 
2009
 
 
 
 
 
65

 
132

 
163

 
179

 
188

 
193

 
198

 
201

 
 
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
67

 
134

 
164

 
181

 
192

 
198

 
202

 
 
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
65

 
131

 
161

 
177

 
186

 
190

 
 
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
62

 
121

 
147

 
162

 
171

 
 
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
61

 
119

 
144

 
157

 
 
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
56

 
110

 
134

 
 
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
47

 
93

 
 
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
46

 
 
 
 
Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,686

 
 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities before 2007, net of reinsurance
 
242

 
 
 
 
Liabilities for loss and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
$
926

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The following table shows the commercial casualty incurred and paid losses and ALAE development by accident year. The table also shows the IBNR reserves plus expected development on reported losses and claim frequency:
(Dollars in millions, reported claims in thousands)
As of December 31, 2016
Incurred losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
 
 
 
 
Total of incurred
but not reported
liabilities plus
expected
development on
reported losses
 
Cumulative number of
reported
claims
 
 
Years ended December 31,
 
 
Accident
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
 
 
 
Year
 
Unaudited
 
2016
 
 
2007
 
$
509

 
$
447

 
$
412

 
$
379

 
$
352

 
$
334

 
$
328

 
$
338

 
$
333

 
$
341

 
$
5

 

2008
 
 
 
516

 
458

 
409

 
387

 
362

 
359

 
357

 
357

 
355

 
10

 

2009
 
 
 
 
 
484

 
409

 
412

 
360

 
370

 
365

 
357

 
357

 
21

 
20

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
495

 
394

 
378

 
349

 
347

 
348

 
349

 
31

 
20

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
466

 
404

 
377

 
377

 
375

 
380

 
37

 
19

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
466

 
414

 
417

 
394

 
394

 
48

 
18

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
448

 
443

 
431

 
416

 
96

 
19

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
503

 
496

 
479

 
128

 
20

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
533

 
526

 
225

 
19

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
563

 
337

 
15

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
4,160

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cumulative paid losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance
2007
 
$
29

 
$
92

 
$
145

 
$
200

 
$
248

 
$
275

 
$
290

 
309

 
$
314

 
$
324

 
 
 
 
2008
 
 
 
31

 
93

 
158

 
212

 
262

 
293

 
315

 
325

 
331

 
 
 
 
2009
 
 
 
 
 
27

 
75

 
151

 
213

 
267

 
295

 
310

 
322

 
 
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
33

 
92

 
159

 
203

 
256

 
285

 
300

 
 
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
27

 
93

 
149

 
227

 
266

 
298

 
 
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
27

 
88

 
170

 
232

 
288

 
 
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
35

 
90

 
159

 
232

 
 
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34

 
97

 
172

 
 
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
38

 
108

 
 
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
46

 
 
 
 
Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,421

 
 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities before 2007, net of reinsurance
 
81

 
 
 
 
Liabilities for loss and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
$
1,820

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The following table shows the personal auto incurred and paid losses and ALAE development by accident year. The table also shows the IBNR reserves plus expected development on reported losses and claim frequency:
(Dollars in millions, reported claims in thousands)
As of December 31, 2016
Incurred losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
 
Total of incurred
but not reported
liabilities plus
expected
development on
reported losses
 
Cumulative number of reported claims
 
Years ended December 31,
 
 
Accident
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
 
 
 
Year
 
Unaudited
 
2016
 
 
2012
 
$
260

 
$
265

 
$
269

 
$
270

 
$
271

 
$

 
89

2013
 
 
 
280

 
280

 
293

 
298

 

 
96

2014
 
 
 
 
 
317

 
317

 
325

 

 
104

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
343

 
356

 
12

 
108

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
383

 
38

 
104

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
1,633

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cumulative paid losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
 
 
 
 
 
2012
 
$
174

 
$
223

 
$
250

 
$
262

 
$
268

 
 
 
 
2013
 
 
 
190

 
245

 
272

 
287

 
 
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
210

 
267

 
298

 
 
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
229

 
292

 
 
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
243

 
 
 
 
Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,388

 
 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance
 
4

 
 
 
 
Liabilities for loss and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
$
249

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The following table shows the commercial property incurred and paid losses and ALAE development by accident year. The table also shows the IBNR reserves plus expected development on reported losses and claim frequency:
(Dollars in millions, reported claims in thousands)
As of December 31, 2016
Incurred losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
 
 
Total of incurred
but not reported
liabilities plus
expected
development on
reported losses
 
Cumulative number of reported claims
 
Years ended December 31,
 
 
Accident
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
 
 
 
Year
 
Unaudited
 
2016
 
 
2012
 
$
403

 
$
389

 
$
388

 
$
383

 
$
386

 
$

 
16

2013
 
 
 
389

 
359

 
352

 
356

 
2

 
14

2014
 
 
 
 
 
452

 
444

 
441

 

 
17

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
454

 
414

 
5

 
16

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
590

 
38

 
16

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
2,187

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cumulative paid losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
 
 
 
 
 
2012
 
$
255

 
$
356

 
$
376

 
$
380

 
$
383

 
 
 
 
2013
 
 
 
227

 
330

 
344

 
349

 
 
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
297

 
412

 
432

 
 
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
279

 
388

 
 
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
358

 
 
 
 
Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,910

 
 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance
 
11

 
 
 
 
Liabilities for loss and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
$
288

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The following table shows the homeowner incurred and paid losses and ALAE development by accident year. The table also shows the IBNR reserves plus expected development on reported losses and claim frequency:
(Dollars in millions, reported claims in thousands)
As of December 31, 2016
Incurred losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
 
Total of incurred
but not reported
liabilities plus
expected
development on
reported losses
 
Cumulative number of reported claims
 
Years ended December 31,
 
 
Accident
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
 
 
 
Year
 
Unaudited
 
2016
 
 
2012
 
$
344

 
$
330

 
$
328

 
$
330

 
$
329

 
$

 
33

2013
 
 
 
252

 
246

 
247

 
247

 

 
25

2014
 
 
 
 
 
297

 
283

 
286

 

 
26

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
284

 
275

 
3

 
23

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
315

 
29

 
21

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
1,452

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cumulative paid losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
 
 
 
 
 
2012
 
$
256

 
$
317

 
$
324

 
$
328

 
$
329

 
 
 
 
2013
 
 
 
180

 
236

 
242

 
244

 
 
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
224

 
273

 
281

 
 
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
203

 
260

 
 
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
208

 
 
 
 
Total
 
1,322

 
 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance
 
2

 
 
 
 
Liabilities for loss and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
$
132

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The following table shows the excess and surplus incurred and paid losses and ALAE development by accident year. The table also shows the IBNR reserves plus expected development on reported losses and claim frequency:
(Dollars in millions, reported claims in thousands)
As of December 31, 2016
Incurred losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Total of incurred
but not reported
liabilities plus
expected
development on
reported losses
 
Cumulative number of reported claims
 
Years ended December 31,
 
 
Accident
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
 
 
 
Year
 
Unaudited
 
2016
 
 
2011
 
$
48

 
$
47

 
$
44

 
$
38

 
$
36

 
$
35

 
$

 
1

2012
 
 
 
67

 
56

 
49

 
40

 
37

 
2

 
1

2013
 
 
 
 
 
74

 
64

 
54

 
45

 
9

 
2

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
95

 
82

 
75

 
26

 
2

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
96

 
81

 
40

 
2

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
93

 
54

 
2

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
366

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cumulative paid losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2011
 
$
8

 
$
14

 
$
23

 
$
27

 
$
30

 
$
32

 
 
 
 
2012
 
 
 
9

 
15

 
19

 
25

 
29

 
 
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
7

 
12

 
20

 
27

 
 
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
9

 
17

 
27

 
 
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8

 
19

 
 
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
10

 
 
 
 
Total
 
 
 
144

 
 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance
 
 
 
1

 
 
 
 
Liabilities for loss and ALAE, net of reinsurance
 
$
223

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Schedule of Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The following table shows the average annual percentage payout of incurred losses for the commercial casualty line of business:
Average annual percentage payout of incurred losses by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Years
 
1
 
2
 
3
 
4
 
5
 
6
 
7
 
8
 
9
 
10
Average annual percentage payout
 
8.0%
 
15.4%
 
17.7%
 
16.5%
 
13.8%
 
8.3%
 
4.7%
 
4.0%
 
1.5%
 
2.9%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The following table shows the average annual percentage payout of incurred losses for the homeowner line of business:
Average annual percentage payout of incurred losses by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Years
 
1
 
2
 
3
 
4
 
5
Average annual percentage payout
 
73.8%
 
19.7%
 
2.6%
 
1.0%
 
0.3%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The following table shows the average annual percentage payout of incurred losses for the workers’ compensation line of business:
Average annual percentage payout of incurred losses by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Years
 
1
 
2
 
3
 
4
 
5
 
6
 
7
 
8
 
9
 
10
Average annual percentage payout
 
25.7%
 
26.9%
 
12.7%
 
7.1%
 
4.4%
 
2.4%
 
1.6%
 
1.4%
 
1.2%
 
0.5%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The following table shows the average annual percentage payout of incurred losses for the personal auto line of business. Personal auto includes both physical damage and liability losses. A majority of the incurred losses paid after year 2 are the result of liability losses.
Average annual percentage payout of incurred losses by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Years
 
1
 
2
 
3
 
4
 
5
Average annual percentage payout
 
64.0%
 
17.9%
 
9.6%
 
4.8%
 
2.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The following table shows the average annual percentage payout of incurred losses for the commercial property line of business:
Average annual percentage payout of incurred losses by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Years
 
1
 
2
 
3
 
4
 
5
Average annual percentage payout
 
65.0%
 
26.8%
 
4.6%
 
1.2%
 
0.9%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The following table shows the average annual percentage payout of incurred losses for the commercial auto line of business. Commercial auto includes both physical damage and liability losses. A majority of the incurred losses paid after year 2 are the result of liability losses.
Average annual percentage payout of incurred losses by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Years
 
1
 
2
 
3
 
4
 
5
Average annual percentage payout
 
44.4%
 
18.4%
 
13.9%
 
12.2%
 
6.9%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The following table shows the average annual percentage payout of incurred losses for the excess and surplus lines insurance segment. Excess and surplus lines consist mostly of commercial casualty and commercial property coverages. A majority of the incurred losses paid after year 2 are the result of commercial casualty losses.
Average annual percentage payout of incurred losses by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
 
 
Years
 
1
 
2
 
3
 
4
 
5
 
6
Average annual percentage payout
 
15.9%
 
13.5%
 
17.4%
 
13.5%
 
9.9%
 
7.4%