EX-99.1 2 exhibit9913q16.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 Exhibit
cfclogoa02a03.jpg
 
The Cincinnati Insurance Company n The Cincinnati Indemnity Company
The Cincinnati Casualty Company n The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company n CFC Investment Company n CSU Producer Resources Inc.

Investor Contact: Dennis E. McDaniel, 513-870-2768
CINF-IR@cinfin.com

Media Contact: Betsy E. Ertel, 513-603-5323
Media_Inquiries@cinfin.com

Cincinnati Financial Reports Third-Quarter 2016 Results

Cincinnati, October 25, 2016 – Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:
Third-quarter 2016 net income of $180 million, or $1.08 per share, compared with $174 million, or $1.05 per share, in the third quarter of 2015.
$29 million decrease in operating income* to $143 million, or 86 cents per share, down from $172 million, or $1.04 per share, in the third quarter of last year.
$6 million increase in third-quarter 2016 net income, reflecting the after-tax net effect of two primary items: a $35 million increase in net realized investment gains; partially offset by an increase of $19 million in catastrophe losses.
$43.24 book value per share at September 30, 2016, a record-high amount and up $4.04 or 10 percent since December 31, 2015.
14.0 percent value creation ratio for the first nine months of 2016, compared with zero percent for the same period of 2015.

Financial Highlights
(Dollars in millions except per share data)
Three months ended September 30,
Nine months ended September 30,
 
2016
 
2015
 
% Change
 
2016
 
2015
 
% Change
Revenue Data
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Earned premiums
 
$
1,191

 
$
1,127

 
6
 
$
3,518

 
$
3,332

 
6
   Investment income, net of expenses
 
148

 
143

 
3
 
442

 
422

 
5
   Total revenues
 
1,402

 
1,278

 
10
 
4,137

 
3,879

 
7
Income Statement Data
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Net income
 
$
180

 
$
174

 
3
 
$
491

 
$
478

 
3
   Realized investment gains, net
 
37

 
2

 
nm
 
105

 
71

 
48
   Operating income*
 
$
143

 
$
172

 
(17)
 
$
386

 
$
407

 
(5)
Per Share Data (diluted)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Net income
 
$
1.08

 
$
1.05

 
3
 
$
2.95

 
$
2.89

 
2
   Realized investment gains, net
 
0.22

 
0.01

 
nm
 
0.63

 
0.43

 
47
   Operating income*
 
$
0.86

 
$
1.04

 
(17)
 
$
2.32

 
$
2.46

 
(6)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Book value
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
43.24

 
$
38.77

 
12
   Cash dividend declared
 
$
0.48

 
$
0.46

 
4
 
$
1.44

 
$
1.38

 
4
   Diluted weighted average shares outstanding
 
166.8

 
165.5

 
1
 
166.5

 
165.5

 
1

*
The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles.
**
Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company’s safe harbor statement.


CINF 3Q16 Release 1


Insurance Operations Third-Quarter Highlights
92.4 percent third-quarter 2016 property casualty combined ratio, up from 87.8 percent for third-quarter 2015.
7 percent growth in third-quarter net written premiums, reflecting price increases and premium growth initiatives.
$149 million third-quarter 2016 property casualty new business written premiums, up 8 percent. Agencies appointed since the beginning of 2015 contributed $10 million or 7 percent of total new business written premiums.
14 percent growth in third-quarter life insurance earned premiums, with steady progress in life insurance operations and financial contribution.
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
3 percent or $5 million increase in third-quarter 2016 pretax investment income, including 5 percent growth for stock portfolio dividends and 3 percent growth for bond interest income.
Three-month increase of 1 percent in fair value of total investments at September 30, 2016, including a 1 percent increase for both the stock portfolio and the bond portfolio.
$2.128 billion parent company cash and marketable securities at September 30, 2016, up 22 percent from year-end 2015.

Maintaining Investment Income Growth
Steven J. Johnston, president and chief executive officer, commented: “Net income for both the third quarter and the first nine months of 2016 increased 3 percent. Steady cash flow from our insurance operations allowed us to purchase additional securities. Those additional purchases contributed to a 5 percent third-quarter increase in dividend income from our high-quality stock investments and a 3 percent increase in interest income from our bond portfolio.”

Producing Stable Property Casualty Results
“Higher catastrophe losses continued in the third quarter of this year. Weather-related natural catastrophes for accident year 2016 accounted for 4.7 points of our 92.4 percent quarterly combined ratio and 7.8 points of our 94.4 percent nine-month combined ratio.

“We continue to benefit from our consistent reserving philosophy. Favorable reserve development of 4.6 points for the first nine months is within 0.2 points of last year’s nine-month favorable reserve development of 4.4 points.

“To evaluate our current progress on our major profitability initiatives, we look at our core underwriting results as measured by our nine-month combined ratio before catastrophe losses and before reserve development for prior accident years. At 91.2 percent, that ratio improved 0.6 points compared with the same period last year.”

Growing As Expected
“Consolidated property casualty net written premiums increased 6 percent to $3.5 billion for the first nine months of 2016 compared with the first nine months of 2015. New agency appointments, continued refinements in pricing precision and policy segmentation, along with our expansion into high net worth personal lines business and assumed reinsurance are cumulatively keeping our growth in line with our expectations.

“In the first nine months of 2016, new business written premiums from our agencies’ high net worth clients totaled approximately $21 million. As our relationships with recently appointed agencies that focus on high net worth accounts continue to mature, we’re confident that we’ll reach our 2016 goal of $25 million in new high net worth business.

“The reinsurance market has responded favorably to our financial strength and relationship-based model, and our experienced reinsurance team continues to write new business as planned. Cincinnati Re contributed 2 percentage points to our overall premium growth for the year.”

Delivering Steady Value for Shareholders
“At September 30, our book value again reached a record high, increasing 10 percent since December 31, 2015, to $43.24. Consolidated cash and total investments again topped $16 billion. Our ample capital allows us to execute on our long-term strategies and, at the same time, continue to pay dividends to shareholders.

“Our value creation ratio, which considers the dividends we pay as well as growth in book value, was 14 percent for the first nine months - and is on a pace to meet our 10 percent to 13 percent average annual target for this measure.”


CINF 3Q16 Release 2


Insurance Operations Highlights
Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Results
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended September 30,
 
Nine months ended September 30,
 
 
2016
 
2015
 
% Change
 
2016
 
2015
 
% Change
Earned premiums
 
$
1,133

 
$
1,076

 
5

 
$
3,343

 
$
3,176

 
5

Fee revenues
 
3

 
2

 
50

 
7

 
6

 
17

   Total revenues
 
1,136

 
1,078

 
5

 
3,350

 
3,182

 
5

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and loss expenses
 
690

 
613

 
13

 
2,110

 
1,956

 
8

Underwriting expenses
 
356

 
332

 
7

 
1,044

 
983

 
6

   Underwriting profit
 
$
90

 
$
133

 
(32
)
 
$
196

 
$
243

 
(19
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
     Loss and loss expenses
 
61.0
 %
 
56.9
 %
 
4.1

 
63.1
 %
 
61.5
 %
 
1.6

     Underwriting expenses
 
31.4

 
30.9

 
0.5

 
31.3

 
31.0

 
0.3

           Combined ratio
 
92.4
 %
 
87.8
 %
 
4.6

 
94.4
 %
 
92.5
 %
 
1.9

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
% Change
 
 
 
 
 
% Change
Agency renewal written premiums
 
$
1,036

 
$
999

 
4

 
$
3,121

 
$
3,000

 
4

Agency new business written premiums
 
149

 
138

 
8

 
417

 
392

 
6

Cincinnati Re net written premiums
 
21

 

 
nm

 
56

 

 
nm

Other written premiums
 
(31
)
 
(39
)
 
21

 
(78
)
 
(86
)
 
9

   Net written premiums
 
$
1,175

 
$
1,098

 
7

 
$
3,516

 
$
3,306

 
6

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
     Current accident year before catastrophe losses
 
59.8
 %
 
58.7
 %
 
1.1

 
59.9
 %
 
60.8
 %
 
(0.9
)
     Current accident year catastrophe losses
 
4.7

 
2.6

 
2.1

 
7.8

 
5.1

 
2.7

     Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
 
(3.7
)
 
(4.3
)
 
0.6

 
(4.4
)
 
(4.0
)
 
(0.4
)
     Prior accident years catastrophe losses
 
0.2

 
(0.1
)
 
0.3

 
(0.2
)
 
(0.4
)
 
0.2

           Loss and loss expense ratio
 
61.0
 %
 
56.9
 %
 
4.1

 
63.1
 %
 
61.5
 %
 
1.6

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year combined ratio before
   catastrophe losses
 
91.2
 %
 
89.6
 %
 
1.6

 
91.2
 %
 
91.8
 %
 
(0.6
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

$77 million or 7 percent growth of third-quarter 2016 property casualty net written premiums and nine-month growth of 6 percent, with Cincinnati Re contributing 2 percentage points for each respective period. The increase also reflected other growth initiatives, price increases and a higher level of insured exposures.
$11 million or 8 percent increase in third-quarter 2016 new business premiums written by agencies and nine-month growth of 6 percent, primarily due to contributions from new agency appointments.
1,592 agency relationships in 2,059 reporting locations marketing property casualty insurance products at September 30, 2016, compared with 1,526 agency relationships in 1,956 reporting locations at year-end 2015. During the first nine months of 2016, 60 new agency appointments were made for agencies that offer most or all of our property casualty insurance products.
4.6 and 1.9 percentage-point third-quarter and nine-month 2016 combined ratio increases, including increases of 2.4 and 2.9 points for losses from natural catastrophes.
3.5 percentage-point third-quarter 2016 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $40 million, compared with 4.4 points or $48 million for third-quarter 2015.
4.6 percentage-point nine-month 2016 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development, compared with 4.4 points for the 2015 period.
0.9 percentage-point improvement, to 59.9 percent, for the nine-month 2016 ratio of current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, including an increase of 0.5 points in the ratio for current accident year losses of $1 million or more per claim.
0.3 percentage-point increase in the nine-month 2016 underwriting expense ratio, as higher earned premiums and ongoing expense management efforts were slightly offset by strategic investments that include enhancement of underwriting expertise.

CINF 3Q16 Release 3



Commercial Lines Insurance Results
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended September 30,
 
Nine months ended September 30,
 
 
2016
 
2015
 
% Change
 
2016
 
2015
 
% Change
Earned premiums
 
$
779

 
$
757

 
3

 
$
2,310

 
$
2,235

 
3

Fee revenues
 
1

 
1

 
0

 
3

 
3

 
0

   Total revenues
 
780

 
758

 
3

 
2,313

 
2,238

 
3

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and loss expenses
 
456

 
398

 
15

 
1,425

 
1,289

 
11

Underwriting expenses
 
252

 
239

 
5

 
740

 
705

 
5

   Underwriting profit
 
$
72

 
$
121

 
(40
)
 
$
148

 
$
244

 
(39
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
     Loss and loss expenses
 
58.5
 %
 
52.4
 %
 
6.1

 
61.7
 %
 
57.6
 %
 
4.1

     Underwriting expenses
 
32.3

 
31.6

 
0.7

 
32.0

 
31.6

 
0.4

           Combined ratio
 
90.8
 %
 
84.0
 %
 
6.8

 
93.7
 %
 
89.2
 %
 
4.5

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
% Change
 
 
 
 
 
% Change
Agency renewal written premiums
 
$
698

 
$
678

 
3

 
$
2,174

 
$
2,107

 
3

Agency new business written premiums
 
101

 
96

 
5

 
281

 
268

 
5

Other written premiums
 
(22
)
 
(31
)
 
29

 
(54
)
 
(62
)
 
13

   Net written premiums
 
$
777

 
$
743

 
5

 
$
2,401

 
$
2,313

 
4

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
     Current accident year before catastrophe losses
 
59.1
 %
 
56.6
 %
 
2.5

 
58.7
 %
 
58.8
 %
 
(0.1
)
     Current accident year catastrophe losses
 
3.5

 
1.5

 
2.0

 
8.1

 
4.2

 
3.9

     Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
 
(4.5
)
 
(5.6
)
 
1.1

 
(5.0
)
 
(5.0
)
 
0.0

     Prior accident years catastrophe losses
 
0.4

 
(0.1
)
 
0.5

 
(0.1
)
 
(0.4
)
 
0.3

           Loss and loss expense ratio
 
58.5
 %
 
52.4
 %
 
6.1

 
61.7
 %
 
57.6
 %
 
4.1

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year combined ratio before
   catastrophe losses
 
91.4
 %
 
88.2
 %
 
3.2

 
90.7
 %
 
90.4
 %
 
0.3

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

$34 million or 5 percent increase in third-quarter 2016 commercial lines net written premiums, driven by higher renewal written premiums. Four percent increase in nine-month net written premiums.
$20 million or 3 percent rise in third-quarter renewal written premiums with commercial lines renewal pricing increases averaging in the low-single-digit percent range.
$5 million or 5 percent increase in third-quarter 2016 new business written by agencies. The nine-month increase was also 5 percent, with growth in each major commercial line of business.
6.8 and 4.5 percentage-point increase in third-quarter and nine-month 2016 combined ratio, including increases of 2.5 and 4.2 points for losses from natural catastrophes.
4.1 percentage-point third-quarter 2016 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $31 million, compared with 5.7 points or $43 million for third-quarter 2015.
5.1 percentage-point nine-month 2016 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development, compared with a nine-month 2015 benefit of 5.4 points.
0.1 percentage-point improvement, to 58.7 percent, for the nine-month 2016 ratio of current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, including an increase of 1.8 points in the ratio for current accident year losses of $1 million or more per claim.

CINF 3Q16 Release 4



Personal Lines Insurance Results
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended September 30,
 
Nine months ended September 30,
 
 
2016
 
2015
 
% Change
 
2016
 
2015
 
% Change
Earned premiums
 
$
293

 
$
277

 
6

 
$
864

 
$
817

 
6

Fee revenues
 
1

 
1

 
0

 
3

 
2

 
50

   Total revenues
 
294

 
278

 
6

 
867

 
819

 
6

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and loss expenses
 
217

 
198

 
10

 
614

 
605

 
1

Underwriting expenses
 
85

 
82

 
4

 
253

 
244

 
4

   Underwriting loss
 
$
(8
)
 
$
(2
)
 
300

 
$

 
$
(30
)
 
nm

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
     Loss and loss expenses
 
74.2
 %
 
71.5
 %
 
2.7

 
71.1
 %
 
74.0
 %
 
(2.9
)
     Underwriting expenses
 
29.2

 
29.4

 
(0.2
)
 
29.3

 
29.8

 
(0.5
)
           Combined ratio
 
103.4
 %
 
100.9
 %
 
2.5

 
100.4
 %
 
103.8
 %
 
(3.4
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
% Change
 
 
 
 
 
% Change
Agency renewal written premiums
 
$
303

 
$
288

 
5

 
$
841

 
$
796

 
6

Agency new business written premiums
 
32

 
30

 
7

 
91

 
84

 
8

Other written premiums
 
(6
)
 
(6
)
 
0

 
(17
)
 
(18
)
 
6

   Net written premiums
 
$
329

 
$
312

 
5

 
$
915

 
$
862

 
6

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
     Current accident year before catastrophe losses
 
63.7
 %
 
64.9
 %
 
(1.2
)
 
63.2
 %
 
65.8
 %
 
(2.6
)
     Current accident year catastrophe losses
 
8.9

 
5.7

 
3.2

 
8.3

 
8.0

 
0.3

     Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
 
2.1

 
1.0

 
1.1

 
(0.1
)
 
0.5

 
(0.6
)
     Prior accident years catastrophe losses
 
(0.5
)
 
(0.1
)
 
(0.4
)
 
(0.3
)
 
(0.3
)
 
0.0

           Loss and loss expense ratio
 
74.2
 %
 
71.5
 %
 
2.7

 
71.1
 %
 
74.0
 %
 
(2.9
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year combined ratio before
   catastrophe losses
 
92.9
 %
 
94.3
 %
 
(1.4
)
 
92.5
 %
 
95.6
 %
 
(3.1
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

$17 million or 5 percent increase in third-quarter 2016 personal lines net written premiums, including growth in new business and higher renewal written premiums that benefited from rate increases. Six percent increase in nine-month net written premiums.
$2 million or 7 percent growth in third-quarter new business written by agencies, with a nine-month growth rate of 8 percent. The growth was driven by expanding our share of business from agencies’ high net worth clients, including an increase of approximately $9 million during the first nine months of 2016.
2.5 percentage-point increase in the third-quarter 2016 combined ratio and a 3.4 percentage-point decrease for the nine-month period, including increases of 2.8 and 0.3 points for losses from natural catastrophes.
1.6 percentage-point third-quarter 2016 unfavorable prior accident year reserve development of $4 million, compared with an unfavorable 0.9 points from $2 million for third-quarter 2015.
0.4 percentage-point nine-month 2016 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development, compared with a nine-month 2015 unfavorable effect of 0.2 points.
2.6 percentage-point improvement, to 63.2 percent, for the nine-month 2016 ratio of current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, reflecting a decrease of 2.7 points in the ratio for current accident year losses of $1 million or more per claim.

CINF 3Q16 Release 5



Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance Results
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended September 30,
 
Nine months ended September 30,
 
 
2016
 
2015
 
% Change
 
2016
 
2015
 
% Change
Earned premiums
 
$
48

 
$
42

 
14

 
$
136

 
$
124

 
10

Fee revenues
 
1

 

 
nm

 
1

 
1

 
0

   Total revenues
 
49

 
42

 
17

 
137

 
125

 
10

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and loss expenses
 
15

 
17

 
(12
)
 
55

 
62

 
(11
)
Underwriting expenses
 
14

 
11

 
27

 
40

 
34

 
18

   Underwriting profit
 
$
20

 
$
14

 
43

 
$
42

 
$
29

 
45

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
     Loss and loss expenses
 
31.9
 %
 
41.9
 %
 
(10.0
)
 
40.5
 %
 
50.1
 %
 
(9.6
)
     Underwriting expenses
 
29.4

 
28.0

 
1.4

 
29.4

 
27.8

 
1.6

           Combined ratio
 
61.3
 %
 
69.9
 %
 
(8.6
)
 
69.9
 %
 
77.9
 %
 
(8.0
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
% Change
 
 
 
 
 
% Change
Agency renewal written premiums
 
$
35

 
$
33

 
6

 
$
106

 
$
97

 
9

Agency new business written premiums
 
16

 
12

 
33

 
45

 
40

 
13

Other written premiums
 
(3
)
 
(2
)
 
(50
)
 
(7
)
 
(6
)
 
(17
)
   Net written premiums
 
$
48

 
$
43

 
12

 
$
144

 
$
131

 
10

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
 
 
 
 
 
Pt. Change
     Current accident year before catastrophe losses
 
57.2
 %
 
56.9
 %
 
0.3

 
58.9
 %
 
65.9
 %
 
(7.0
)
     Current accident year catastrophe losses
 
0.2

 
0.3

 
(0.1
)
 
1.3

 
0.7

 
0.6

     Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
 
(25.5
)
 
(15.4
)
 
(10.1
)
 
(19.6
)
 
(16.4
)
 
(3.2
)
     Prior accident years catastrophe losses
 
0.0

 
0.1

 
(0.1
)
 
(0.1
)
 
(0.1
)
 
0.0

           Loss and loss expense ratio
 
31.9
 %
 
41.9
 %
 
(10.0
)
 
40.5
 %
 
50.1
 %
 
(9.6
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current accident year combined ratio before
   catastrophe losses
 
86.6
 %
 
84.9
 %
 
1.7

 
88.3
 %
 
93.7
 %
 
(5.4
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

$5 million or 12 percent increase in third-quarter 2016 excess and surplus lines net written premiums, in part reflecting higher renewal written premiums that benefited from rate increases averaging near the high end of the low-single-digit range. Ten percent increase in nine-month net written premiums.
$4 million or 33 percent increase in third-quarter new business written by agencies, raising the nine-month growth rate to 13 percent and reflecting an increase in marketing efforts while continuing to carefully underwrite each policy.
8.6 percentage-point third-quarter 2016 combined ratio improvement, driven by more favorable prior accident year reserve development. For the nine-month 2016 period, the combined ratio improved 8.0 percentage points, primarily due to a lower ratio for current accident year loss experience before catastrophe losses.
25.5 percentage-point third-quarter 2016 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $12 million, compared with 15.3 points or $7 million for third-quarter 2015.
19.7 percentage-point nine-month 2016 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development, compared with a nine-month 2015 benefit of 16.5 points.
7.0 percentage-point improvement, to 58.9 percent, for the nine-month 2016 ratio of current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, including a decrease of 0.2 points in the ratio for current accident year losses of $1 million or more per claim.


CINF 3Q16 Release 6



Life Insurance Subsidiary Results
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended September 30,
 
Nine months ended September 30,
 
2016
 
2015
 
% Change
 
2016
 
2015
 
% Change
Term life insurance
 
$
37

 
$
34

 
9

 
$
112

 
$
103

 
9
Universal life insurance
 
13

 
9

 
44

 
34

 
28

 
21
Other life insurance, annuity, and disability income
   products
 
8

 
8

 
0

 
29

 
25

 
16
    Earned premiums
 
58

 
51

 
14

 
175

 
156

 
12
Investment income, net of expenses
 
40

 
38

 
5

 
117

 
112

 
4
Realized investment gains, net
 
3

 
(1
)
 
nm

 
4

 
1

 
300
Fee revenues
 
2

 
2

 
0

 
4

 
4

 
0
Total revenues
 
103

 
90

 
14

 
300

 
273

 
10
Contract holders’ benefits incurred
 
63

 
57

 
11

 
188

 
175

 
7
Underwriting expenses incurred
 
24

 
16

 
50

 
62

 
50

 
24
    Total benefits and expenses
 
87

 
73

 
19

 
250

 
225

 
11
Net income before income tax
 
16

 
17

 
(6
)
 
50

 
48

 
4
Income tax
 
6

 
6

 
0

 
18

 
17

 
6
Net income of the life insurance subsidiary
 
$
10

 
$
11

 
(9
)
 
$
32

 
$
31

 
3
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

$7 million or 14 percent increase in third-quarter 2016 earned premiums, including a 9 percent increase for term life insurance, our largest life insurance product line. The nine-month 2016 growth rate for term life matched third-quarter.
$1 million improvement in nine-month 2016 life insurance subsidiary net income, primarily due to revenue growth for both earned premiums and investment income.
$106 million or 12 percent nine-month 2016 increase to $979 million in GAAP shareholders’ equity for the life insurance subsidiary, largely reflecting an increase in fair value of the fixed-maturity portfolio due to the effects of lower interest rates.


CINF 3Q16 Release 7



Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
Investments Results
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended September 30,
 
Nine months ended September 30,
 
2016
 
2015
 
% Change
 
2016
 
2015
 
% Change
Investment income, net of expenses
 
$
148

 
$
143

 
3

 
$
442

 
$
422

 
5

Investment interest credited to contract holders’
 
(23
)
 
(21
)
 
(10
)
 
(67
)
 
(64
)
 
(5
)
Realized investment gains, net
 
56

 
3

 
nm

 
161

 
110

 
46

      Investments profit
 
$
181

 
$
125

 
45

 
$
536

 
$
468

 
15

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investment income:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Interest
 
$
111

 
$
108

 
3

 
$
330

 
$
319

 
3

   Dividends
 
39

 
37

 
5

 
117

 
108

 
8

   Other
 
1

 
1

 
0

 
2

 
2

 
0

   Less investment expenses
 
3

 
3

 
0

 
7

 
7

 
0

      Investment income, pretax
 
148

 
143

 
3

 
442

 
422

 
5

      Less income taxes
 
35

 
34

 
3

 
105

 
100

 
5

      Total investment income, after-tax
 
$
113

 
$
109

 
4

 
$
337

 
$
322

 
5

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investment returns:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
      Effective tax rate
 
23.9
%
 
23.7
%
 


 
23.8
%
 
23.7
%
 


 Average invested assets plus cash and cash
   equivalents
 
$
15,564

 
$
14,498

 
 
 
$
15,192

 
$
14,399

 
 
      Average yield pretax
 
3.80
%
 
3.95
%
 


 
3.88
%
 
3.91
%
 


      Average yield after-tax
 
2.90

 
3.01

 


 
2.96

 
2.98

 


Fixed-maturity returns:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Effective tax rate
 
27.3
%
 
27.1
%
 


 
27.3
%
 
27.1
%
 


Average amortized cost
 
$
9,588

 
$
9,347

 
 
 
$
9,491

 
$
9,133

 
 
Average yield pretax
 
4.63
%
 
4.62
%
 


 
4.64
%
 
4.66
%
 


Average yield after-tax
 
3.37

 
3.37

 


 
3.37

 
3.40

 


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

$5 million or 3 percent rise in third-quarter 2016 pretax investment income, including 5 percent growth in equity portfolio dividends and 3 percent growth in interest income.
$62 million or 2 percent third-quarter 2016 increase in pretax net unrealized investment portfolio gains, including an $82 million increase for the equity portfolio. The total increase included the offsetting effect of $57 million of pretax net realized gains from investment portfolio security sales or called bonds during the third quarter of 2016, including $47 million from the equity portfolio.

CINF 3Q16 Release 8


Balance Sheet Highlights
(Dollars in millions except share data)
 
At September 30,
 
At December 31,
 
2016
 
2015
   Total investments
 
$
15,642

 
$
14,423

   Total assets
 
20,455

 
18,888

   Short-term debt
 
20

 
35

   Long-term debt
 
786

 
786

   Shareholders’ equity
 
7,121

 
6,427

   Book value per share
 
43.24

 
39.20

   Debt-to-total-capital ratio
 
10.2
%
 
11.3
%

$16.342 billion in consolidated cash and total investments at September 30, 2016, up 9 percent from $14.967 billion at year-end 2015.
$10.257 billion bond portfolio at September 30, 2016, with an average rating of A3/A. Fair value increased $119 million or 1 percent during the third quarter of 2016, including $150 million in net purchases of fixed-maturity securities.
$5.304 billion equity portfolio was 34 percent of total investments, including $2.135 billion in pretax net unrealized gains at September 30, 2016. Third-quarter 2016 increase in fair value of $62 million or 1 percent.
$4.679 billion of statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at September 30, 2016, up $266 million from $4.413 billion at year-end 2015, after declaring $300 million in dividends to the parent company. For the 12 months ended September 30, 2016, the ratio of net written premiums to surplus was 1.0-to-1, matching year-end 2015.
$0.87 three-month 2016 increase in book value per share, including additions of $0.87 from net income before realized gains and $0.47 from investment portfolio realized gains and changes in unrealized gains that were partially offset by deductions of $0.48 from dividends declared to shareholders.
Value creation ratio of 14.0 percent for the first nine months of 2016, reflecting 6.0 percent from net income before net realized investment gains, which includes underwriting and investment income, and 8.1 percent from investment portfolio realized gains and changes in unrealized gains.

For additional information or to register for our conference call webcast, please visit cinfin.com/investors.
 
About Cincinnati Financial
Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers business, home and auto insurance, our main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company and its two standard market property casualty companies. The same local independent insurance agencies that market those policies may offer products of our other subsidiaries, including life and disability income insurance, fixed annuities and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. For additional information about the company, please visit cinfin.com.

Mailing Address:                        Street Address:
P.O. Box 145496                        6200 South Gilmore Road
Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496                    Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141



CINF 3Q16 Release 9


Safe Harbor Statement
This is our “Safe Harbor” statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2015 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 26.
Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:
Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes
Increased frequency and/or severity of claims or development of claims that are unforeseen at the time of policy issuance
Inadequate estimates, assumptions or reliance on third-party data used for critical accounting estimates
Declines in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company’s equity portfolio and book value
Domestic and global events resulting in capital market or credit market uncertainty, followed by prolonged periods of economic instability or recession, that lead to:
Significant or prolonged decline in the fair value of a particular security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of securities
Significant rise in losses from surety and director and officer policies written for financial institutions or other insured entities
Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company’s ability to generate growth in investment income or interest rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments, including declines in accounts in which we hold bank-owned life insurance contract assets
Recession or other economic conditions resulting in lower demand for insurance products or increased payment delinquencies
Difficulties with technology or data security breaches, including cyberattacks, that could negatively affect our ability to conduct business and our relationships with agents, policyholders and others
Disruption of the insurance market caused by technology innovations such as driverless cars that could decrease consumer demand for insurance products
Delays, inadequate data developed internally or from third parties, or performance inadequacies from ongoing development and implementation of underwriting and pricing methods, including telematics and other usage-based insurance methods, or technology projects and enhancements expected to increase our pricing accuracy, underwriting profit and competitiveness
Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company’s premium volume
Changing consumer insurance-buying habits and consolidation of independent insurance agencies that could alter our competitive advantages
Inability to obtain adequate ceded reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance coverage purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for nonpayment or delay in payment by reinsurers
Inability to defer policy acquisition costs for any business segment if pricing and loss trends would lead management to conclude that segment could not achieve sustainable profitability
Inability of our subsidiaries to pay dividends consistent with current or past levels
Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company’s relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company’s opportunities for growth, such as:
Downgrades of the company’s financial strength ratings
Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult
Perceptions that the company’s level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace
Inability or unwillingness to nimbly develop and introduce coverage product updates and innovations that our competitors offer and consumers expect to find in the marketplace
Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies, including a change to a federal system of regulation from a state-based system, that:
Impose new obligations on us that increase our expenses or change the assumptions underlying our critical accounting estimates
Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations
Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business
Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance-related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes
Increase our provision for federal income taxes due to changes in tax law

CINF 3Q16 Release 10


Increase our other expenses
Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents
Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company’s future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location
Further, the company’s insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, global, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.



* * *


CINF 3Q16 Release 11


Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets and Statements of Income (unaudited)
(Dollars in millions)
 
 
 
September 30,
December 31,
 
 
 
 
 
2016
 
2015
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Investments
 
 
 
 
$
15,642

 
$
14,423

   Cash and cash equivalents
 
 
 
 
700

 
544

   Premiums receivable
 
 
 
 
1,518

 
1,431

   Reinsurance recoverable
 
 
 
 
552

 
542

Deferred policy acquisition costs
 
 
 
 
627

 
616

   Other assets
 
 
 
 
1,416

 
1,332

Total assets
 
 
 
 
$
20,455

 
$
18,888

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Insurance reserves
 
 
 
 
$
7,632

 
$
7,301

   Unearned premiums
 
 
 
 
2,388

 
2,201

   Deferred income tax
 
 
 
 
879

 
638

   Long-term debt and capital lease obligations
 
 
 
 
827

 
821

   Other liabilities
 
 
 
 
1,608

 
1,500

Total liabilities
 
 
 
 
13,334

 
12,461

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Shareholders’ Equity
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Common stock and paid-in capital
 
 
 
 
1,641

 
1,629

   Retained earnings
 
 
 
 
5,016

 
4,762

   Accumulated other comprehensive income
 
 
 
 
1,752

 
1,344

   Treasury stock
 
 
 
 
(1,288
)
 
(1,308
)
Total shareholders' equity
 
 
 
 
7,121

 
6,427

Total liabilities and shareholders' equity
 
 
 
 
$
20,455

 
$
18,888

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions except per share data)
Three months ended September 30,
 
Nine months ended September 30,
 
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
Revenues
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Earned premiums
$
1,191

 
$
1,127

 
$
3,518

 
$
3,332

   Investment income, net of expenses
148

 
143

 
442

 
422

   Realized investment gains, net
56

 
3

 
161

 
110

   Other revenues
7

 
5

 
16

 
15

      Total revenues
1,402

 
1,278

 
4,137

 
3,879

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Benefits and Expenses
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Insurance losses and contract holders' benefits
753

 
670

 
2,298

 
2,131

   Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
380

 
348

 
1,106

 
1,033

   Interest expense
13

 
14

 
39

 
40

   Other operating expenses
3

 
3

 
10

 
10

      Total benefits and expenses
1,149

 
1,035

 
3,453

 
3,214

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income Before Income Taxes
253

 
243

 
684

 
665

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Provision for Income Taxes
73

 
69

 
193

 
187

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net Income
$
180

 
$
174

 
$
491

 
$
478

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Per Common Share:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Net income—basic
$
1.09

 
$
1.06

 
$
2.98

 
$
2.91

   Net income—diluted
1.08

 
1.05

 
2.95

 
2.89


CINF 3Q16 Release 12



Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
(See attached tables for reconciliations; additional prior-period reconciliations available at cinfin.com/investors.)
Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.
Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures to improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and to help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; supplement reporting segment disclosures with disclosures for a subsidiary company or for a combination of subsidiaries or reporting segments; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.
Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.
For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
Value creation ratio: This is a measure of shareholder value creation that management believes captures the contribution of the company’s insurance operations, the success of its investment strategy and the importance placed on paying cash dividends to shareholders. The value creation ratio measure is made up of two primary components: (1) rate of growth in book value per share plus (2) the ratio of dividends declared per share to beginning book value per share. Management believes this non-GAAP measure is a useful supplement to GAAP information, providing a meaningful measure of long-term progress in creating shareholder value. It is intended to be all-inclusive regarding changes in book value per share, and uses originally reported book value per share in cases where book value per share has been adjusted, such as adoption of Accounting Standards Updates with a cumulative effect of a change in accounting.
Consolidated property casualty insurance results: To supplement reporting segment disclosures related to our property casualty insurance operations, we also evaluate results for those operations on a basis that includes results for our property casualty insurance and brokerage services subsidiaries. That is the total of our commercial lines, personal lines and our excess and surplus lines segment plus our reinsurance assumed operations.
Life insurance subsidiary results: To supplement life insurance reporting segment disclosures related to our life insurance operation, we also evaluate results for that operation on a basis that includes life insurance subsidiary investment income, or investment income plus net realized investment gains, that are also included in our investments reporting segment. We recognize that assets under management, capital appreciation and investment income are integral to evaluating the success of the life insurance segment because of the long duration of life products.
Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.

CINF 3Q16 Release 13


Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Balance Sheet Reconciliation
(Dollars are per share)
 
Three months ended September 30,
 
Nine months ended September 30,
 
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
Value creation ratio:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   End of period book value
 
$
43.24

 
$
38.77

 
$
43.24

 
$
38.77

   Less beginning of period book value
 
42.37

 
39.60

 
39.20

 
40.14

   Change in book value
 
0.87

 
(0.83
)
 
4.04

 
(1.37
)
   Dividend declared to shareholders
 
0.48

 
0.46

 
1.44

 
1.38

   Total value creation
 
$
1.35

 
$
(0.37
)
 
$
5.48

 
$
0.01

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Value creation ratio from change in book value*
 
2.1
%
 
(2.1
)%
 
10.3
%
 
(3.4
)%
Value creation ratio from dividends declared to
   shareholders**
1.1

 
1.2

 
3.7

 
3.4

Value creation ratio
 
3.2
%
 
(0.9
)%
 
14.0
%
 
0.0
 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
* Change in book value divided by the beginning of period book value
 
 
** Dividend declared to shareholders divided by beginning of period book value
 
 
 Net Income Reconciliation
 
(Dollars in millions except per share data)
 
Three months ended September 30,
 
Nine months ended September 30,
 
 
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
Net income
 
$
180

 
$
174

 
$
491

 
$
478

Less:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Realized investment gains, net
 
56

 
3

 
161

 
110

   Income tax on realized investment gains
 
(19
)
 
(1
)
 
(56
)
 
(39
)
   Realized investment gains, after-tax
 
37


2

 
105

 
71

Operating income
 
$
143

 
$
172

 
$
386

 
$
407

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Diluted per share data:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income
 
$
1.08

 
$
1.05

 
$
2.95

 
$
2.89

Less:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Realized investment gains, net
 
0.34

 
0.02

 
0.97

 
0.66

   Income tax on realized investment gains
 
(0.12
)
 
(0.01
)
 
(0.34
)
 
(0.23
)
   Realized investment gains, after-tax
 
0.22

 
0.01

 
0.63

 
0.43

   Operating income
 
$
0.86

 
$
1.04

 
$
2.32

 
$
2.46

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


CINF 3Q16 Release 14


Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Life Insurance Reconciliation
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended September 30,
 
Nine months ended September 30,
 
 
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
Net income of the life insurance subsidiary
 
$
10

 
$
11

 
$
32

 
$
31

Realized investment gains, net
 
3

 
(1
)
 
4

 
1

Income tax on realized investment gains
 
1

 

 
1

 

Operating income
 
8

 
12

 
29

 
30

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investment income, net of expenses
 
(40
)
 
(38
)
 
(117
)
 
(112
)
Investment income credited to contract
     holders’
 
23

 
21

 
67

 
64

Income tax on investment income and investment
   income credited to contract holders’
 
5

 
6

 
17

 
17

Life insurance segment (loss) profit
 
$
(4
)
 
$
1

 
$
(4
)
 
$
(1
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


CINF 3Q16 Release 15


Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Property Casualty Insurance Reconciliation
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended September 30, 2016
 
Consolidated
Commercial
Personal
E&S
 
Cincinnati Re
Premiums:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Written premiums
 
$
1,175

 
 
$
777

 
 
$
329

 
 
$
48

 
 
$
21

   Unearned premiums change
 
(42
)
 
 
2

 
 
(36
)
 
 

 
 
(8
)
   Earned premiums
 
$
1,133

 
 
$
779

 
 
$
293

 
 
$
48

 
 
$
13

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Statutory ratios:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Combined ratio
 
91.9
 %
 
 
91.1
 %
 
 
101.3
 %
 
 
62.7
 %
 
 
49.4
 %
   Contribution from catastrophe losses
 
4.9

 
 
3.9

 
 
8.4

 
 
0.2

 
 
0.0

   Combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
 
87.0
 %
 
 
87.2
 %
 
 
92.9
 %
 
 
62.5
 %
 
 
49.4
 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Commission expense ratio
 
18.5
 %
 
 
18.6
 %
 
 
16.8
 %
 
 
27.3
 %
 
 
21.6
 %
   Other underwriting expense ratio
 
12.4

 
 
14.0

 
 
10.3

 
 
3.5

 
 
8.2

   Total expense ratio
 
30.9
 %
 
 
32.6
 %
 
 
27.1
 %
 
 
30.8
 %
 
 
29.8
 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GAAP ratios:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Combined ratio
 
92.4
 %
 
 
90.8
 %
 
 
103.4
 %
 
 
61.3
 %
 
 
53.3
 %
   Contribution from catastrophe losses
 
4.9

 
 
3.9

 
 
8.4

 
 
0.2

 
 
0.0

   Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
 
(3.7
)
 
 
(4.5
)
 
 
2.1

 
 
(25.5
)
 
 
(3.0
)
Current accident year combined ratio before
   catastrophe losses
 
91.2
 %
 
 
91.4
 %
 
 
92.9
 %
 
 
86.6
 %
 
 
56.3
 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in millions)
Nine months ended September 30, 2016
 
Consolidated
Commercial
Personal
E&S
 
Cincinnati Re
Premiums:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Written premiums
 
$
3,516

 
 
$
2,401

 
 
$
915

 
 
$
144

 
 
$
56

   Unearned premiums change
 
(173
)
 
 
(91
)
 
 
(51
)
 
 
(8
)
 
 
(23
)
   Earned premiums
 
$
3,343

 
 
$
2,310

 
 
$
864

 
 
$
136

 
 
$
33

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Statutory ratios:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Combined ratio
 
93.4
 %
 
 
92.7
 %
 
 
99.3
 %
 
 
70.9
 %
 
 
76.4
 %
   Contribution from catastrophe losses
 
7.6

 
 
8.0

 
 
8.0

 
 
1.2

 
 
0.0

   Combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
 
85.8
 %
 
 
84.7
 %
 
 
91.3
 %
 
 
69.7
 %
 
 
76.4
 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Commission expense ratio
 
18.2
 %
 
 
17.8
 %
 
 
17.5
 %
 
 
27.2
 %
 
 
19.6
 %
   Other underwriting expense ratio
 
12.1

 
 
13.2

 
 
10.7

 
 
3.2

 
 
7.0

   Total expense ratio
 
30.3
 %
 
 
31.0
 %
 
 
28.2
 %
 
 
30.4
 %
 
 
26.6
 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GAAP ratios:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Combined ratio
 
94.4
 %
 
 
93.7
 %
 
 
100.4
 %
 
 
69.9
 %
 
 
81.4
 %
   Contribution from catastrophe losses
 
7.6

 
 
8.0

 
 
8.0

 
 
1.2

 
 
0.0

   Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
 
(4.4
)
 
 
(5.0
)
 
 
(0.1
)
 
 
(19.6
)
 
 
(5.7
)
Current accident year combined ratio before
   catastrophe losses
 
91.2
 %
 
 
90.7
 %
 
 
92.5
 %
 
 
88.3
 %
 
 
87.1
 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on dollar amounts in thousands.


CINF 3Q16 Release 16