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Fair Value Measurement
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2018
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value Measurement Fair value measurement
JPMorgan Chase carries a portion of its assets and liabilities at fair value. These assets and liabilities are predominantly carried at fair value on a recurring basis (i.e., assets and liabilities that are measured and reported at fair value on the Firm’s Consolidated balance sheets). Certain assets (e.g., held-for-sale loans), liabilities and unfunded lending-related commitments are measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis; that is, they are not measured at fair value on an ongoing basis but are subject to fair value adjustments only in certain circumstances (for example, when there is evidence of impairment).
Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Fair value is based on quoted market prices or inputs, where available. If prices or quotes are not available, fair value is based on valuation models and other valuation techniques that consider relevant transaction characteristics (such as maturity) and use as inputs observable or unobservable market parameters, including yield curves, interest rates, volatilities, equity or debt prices, foreign exchange rates and credit curves. Valuation adjustments may be made to ensure that financial instruments are recorded at fair value, as described below.
The level of precision in estimating unobservable market inputs or other factors can affect the amount of gain or loss recorded for a particular position. Furthermore, while the Firm believes its valuation methods are appropriate and consistent with those of other market participants, the methods and assumptions used reflect management judgment and may vary across the Firm’s businesses and portfolios.
The Firm uses various methodologies and assumptions in the determination of fair value. The use of different methodologies or assumptions by other market participants compared with those used by the Firm could result in the Firm deriving a different estimate of fair value at the reporting date.
Valuation process
Risk-taking functions are responsible for providing fair value estimates for assets and liabilities carried on the Consolidated balance sheets at fair value. The Firm’s VCG, which is part of the Firm’s Finance function and independent of the risk-taking functions, is responsible for verifying these estimates and determining any fair value adjustments that may be required to ensure that the Firm’s positions are recorded at fair value. The VGF is composed of senior finance and risk executives and is responsible for overseeing the management of risks arising from valuation activities conducted across the Firm. The Firmwide VGF is chaired by the Firmwide head of the VCG (under the direction of the Firm’s Controller), and includes sub-forums covering the CIB, CCB, CB, AWM and certain corporate functions including Treasury and CIO.

Price verification process
The VCG verifies fair value estimates provided by the risk-taking functions by leveraging independently derived prices, valuation inputs and other market data, where available. Where independent prices or inputs are not available, the VCG performs additional review to ensure the reasonableness of the estimates. The additional review may include evaluating the limited market activity including client unwinds, benchmarking valuation inputs to those used for similar instruments, decomposing the valuation of structured instruments into individual components, comparing expected to actual cash flows, reviewing profit and loss trends, and reviewing trends in collateral valuation. There are also additional levels of management review for more significant or complex positions.
The VCG determines any valuation adjustments that may be required to the estimates provided by the risk-taking functions. No adjustments to quoted prices are applied for instruments classified within level 1 of the fair value hierarchy (refer to below for further information on the fair value hierarchy). For other positions, judgment is required to assess the need for valuation adjustments to appropriately reflect liquidity considerations, unobservable parameters, and, for certain portfolios that meet specified criteria, the size of the net open risk position. The determination of such adjustments follows a consistent framework across the Firm:
Liquidity valuation adjustments are considered where an observable external price or valuation parameter exists but is of lower reliability, potentially due to lower market activity. Liquidity valuation adjustments are applied and determined based on current market conditions. Factors that may be considered in determining the liquidity adjustment include analysis of: (1) the estimated bid-offer spread for the instrument being traded; (2) alternative pricing points for similar instruments in active markets; and (3) the range of reasonable values that the price or parameter could take.
The Firm manages certain portfolios of financial instruments on the basis of net open risk exposure and, as permitted by U.S. GAAP, has elected to estimate the fair value of such portfolios on the basis of a transfer of the entire net open risk position in an orderly transaction. Where this is the case, valuation adjustments may be necessary to reflect the cost of exiting a larger-than-normal market-size net open risk position. Where applied, such adjustments are based on factors that a relevant market participant would consider in the transfer of the net open risk position, including the size of the adverse market move that is likely to occur during the period required to reduce the net open risk position to a normal market-size.
Unobservable parameter valuation adjustments may be made when positions are valued using prices or input parameters to valuation models that are unobservable due to a lack of market activity or because they cannot be implied from observable market data. Such prices or parameters must be estimated and are, therefore, subject to management judgment. Unobservable
parameter valuation adjustments are applied to reflect the uncertainty inherent in the resulting valuation estimate.
Where appropriate, the Firm also applies adjustments to its estimates of fair value in order to appropriately reflect counterparty credit quality (CVA), the Firm’s own creditworthiness (DVA) and the impact of funding (FVA), using a consistent framework across the Firm. For more information on such adjustments refer to Credit and funding adjustments on page 175 of this Note.
Valuation model review and approval
If prices or quotes are not available for an instrument or a similar instrument, fair value is generally determined using valuation models that consider relevant transaction data such as maturity and use as inputs market-based or independently sourced parameters. Where this is the case the price verification process described above is applied to the inputs to those models.
Under the Firm’s Estimations and Model Risk Management Policy, the Model Risk function reviews and approves new models, as well as material changes to existing models, prior to implementation in the operating environment. In certain circumstances, the head of the Model Risk function may grant exceptions to the Firm’s policy to allow a model to be used prior to review or approval. The Model Risk function may also require the user to take appropriate actions to mitigate the model risk if it is to be used in the interim. These actions will depend on the model and may include, for example, limitation of trading activity.
Valuation hierarchy
A three-level valuation hierarchy has been established under U.S. GAAP for disclosure of fair value measurements. The valuation hierarchy is based on the transparency of inputs to the valuation of an asset or liability as of the measurement date. The three levels are defined as follows.
Level 1 – inputs to the valuation methodology are quoted prices (unadjusted) for identical assets or liabilities in active markets.
Level 2 – inputs to the valuation methodology include quoted prices for similar assets and liabilities in active markets, and inputs that are observable for the asset or liability, either directly or indirectly, for substantially the full term of the financial instrument.
Level 3 – one or more inputs to the valuation methodology are unobservable and significant to the fair value measurement.
A financial instrument’s categorization within the valuation hierarchy is based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement.
The following table describes the valuation methodologies generally used by the Firm to measure its significant products/instruments at fair value, including the general classification of such instruments pursuant to the valuation hierarchy.
 
Product/instrument
 Valuation methodology
Classifications in the valuation hierarchy
 
Securities financing agreements
Valuations are based on discounted cash flows, which consider:
Predominantly level 2
 
• Derivative features: for further information refer to the discussion of derivatives below.
 
• Market rates for the respective maturity
 
• Collateral characteristics
 
Loans and lending-related commitments — wholesale
 
 
Loans carried at fair value
(e.g., trading loans and non-trading loans) and associated
lending-related commitments

Where observable market data is available, valuations are based on:
Level 2 or 3
 
• Observed market prices (circumstances are infrequent)
 
 
• Relevant broker quotes
 
 
• Observed market prices for similar instruments
 
 
 
Where observable market data is unavailable or limited, valuations are based on discounted cash flows, which consider the following:
 
 
 
• Credit spreads derived from the cost of CDS; or benchmark credit curves developed by the Firm, by industry and credit rating
 
 
 
• Prepayment speed
 
 
 
• Collateral characteristics
 
 
Loans — consumer
 
 
 
Trading loans — conforming residential mortgage loans expected to be sold (CCB, CIB)
Fair value is based on observable prices for mortgage-backed securities with similar collateral and incorporates adjustments to these prices to account for differences between the securities and the value of the underlying loans, which include credit characteristics, portfolio composition, and liquidity.
Predominantly level 2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investment and trading securities
Quoted market prices are used where available.
Level 1
 
 
In the absence of quoted market prices, securities are valued based on:
Level 2 or 3
 
 
• Observable market prices for similar securities
 
 
 
  Relevant broker quotes
 
 
 
  Discounted cash flows
 
 
 
In addition, the following inputs to discounted cash flows are used for the following products:
 
 
 
Mortgage- and asset-backed securities specific inputs:
 
 
 
  Collateral characteristics
 
 
 
• Deal-specific payment and loss allocations
 
 
 
• Current market assumptions related to yield, prepayment speed, conditional default rates and loss severity
 
 
 
Collateralized loan obligations (“CLOs”) specific inputs:
 
 
 
  Collateral characteristics
 
 
 
  Deal-specific payment and loss allocations
 
 
 
  Expected prepayment speed, conditional default rates, loss severity
 
 
 
  Credit spreads
 
 
 
• Credit rating data
 
 
Physical commodities
Valued using observable market prices or data.
Level 1 and 2

Product/instrument
Valuation methodology
Classifications in the valuation hierarchy
Derivatives
Exchange-traded derivatives that are actively traded and valued using the exchange price.
Level 1
 
Derivatives that are valued using models such as the Black-Scholes option pricing model, simulation models, or a combination of models that may use observable or unobservable valuation inputs as well as considering the contractual terms.
The key valuation inputs used will depend on the type of derivative and the nature of the underlying instruments and may include equity prices, commodity prices, interest rate yield curves, foreign exchange rates, volatilities, correlations, CDS spreads and recovery rates.  Additionally, the credit quality of the counterparty and of the Firm as well as market funding levels may also be considered.
Level 2 or 3
 
In addition, specific inputs used for derivatives that are valued based on models with significant unobservable inputs are as follows:
 
 
Structured credit derivatives specific inputs include:
 
 
  CDS spreads and recovery rates
 
 
  Credit correlation between the underlying debt instruments
 
 
Equity option specific inputs include:
 
 
  Equity volatilities
 
 
  Equity correlation
 
 
  Equity-FX correlation
 
 
  Equity-IR correlation
 
 
Interest rate and FX exotic options specific inputs include:
 
 
  Interest rate spread volatility
 
 
  Interest rate correlation
 
 
  Foreign exchange correlation
 
 
  Interest rate-FX correlation
 
 
Commodity derivatives specific inputs include:
 
 
  Commodity volatility
 
 
  Forward commodity price
 
 
Additionally, adjustments are made to reflect counterparty credit quality (CVA) and the impact of funding (FVA). Refer to page 175 of this Note.
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage servicing rights
Refer to Mortgage servicing rights in Note 15.
Level 3
 
Private equity direct investments
Fair value is estimated using all available information; the range of potential inputs include:
Level 2 or 3
• Transaction prices
 
• Trading multiples of comparable public companies
 
 
• Operating performance of the underlying portfolio company
 
 
• Adjustments as required, since comparable public companies are not identical to the company being valued, and for company-specific issues and lack of liquidity.
 
 
• Additional available inputs relevant to the investment.
 
Fund investments (e.g., mutual/collective investment funds, private equity funds, hedge funds, and real estate funds)
Net asset value
 
• NAV is supported by the ability to redeem and purchase at the NAV level.
Level 1
 
• Adjustments to the NAV as required, for restrictions on redemption (e.g., lock-up periods or withdrawal limitations) or where observable activity is limited.
Level 2 or 3(a)
 
 
Beneficial interests issued by consolidated VIEs
Valued using observable market information, where available.
Level 2 or 3
In the absence of observable market information, valuations are based on the fair value of the underlying assets held by the VIE.
 
(a)
Excludes certain investments that are measured at fair value using the net asset value per share (or its equivalent) as a practical expedient.


 
Product/instrument
Valuation methodology
Classification in the valuation hierarchy
 
Structured notes (included in deposits, short-term borrowings and long-term debt)
• Valuations are based on discounted cash flow analyses that consider the embedded derivative and the terms and payment structure of the note.

• The embedded derivative features are considered using models such as the Black-Scholes option pricing model, simulation models, or a combination of models that may use observable or unobservable valuation inputs, depending on the embedded derivative. The specific inputs used vary according to the nature of the embedded derivative features, as described in the discussion above regarding derivatives valuation. Adjustments are then made to this base valuation to reflect the Firm’s own credit risk (DVA). Refer to page 175 of this Note.
Level 2 or 3
 
 
 
 


The following table presents the assets and liabilities reported at fair value as of December 31, 2018 and 2017, by major product category and fair value hierarchy.
Assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fair value hierarchy
 
 
 
December 31, 2018 (in millions)
Level 1
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Derivative netting adjustments
Total fair value
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under resale agreements
$

$
13,235

 
$

 
$

$
13,235

Securities borrowed

5,105

 

 

5,105

Trading assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Debt instruments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government agencies(a)

76,249

 
549

 

76,798

Residential – nonagency

1,798

 
64

 

1,862

Commercial – nonagency

1,501

 
11

 

1,512

Total mortgage-backed securities

79,548

 
624

 

80,172

U.S. Treasury and government agencies(a)
51,477

7,702

 

 

59,179

Obligations of U.S. states and municipalities

7,121

 
689

 

7,810

Certificates of deposit, bankers’ acceptances and commercial paper

1,214

 

 

1,214

Non-U.S. government debt securities
27,878

27,056

 
155

 

55,089

Corporate debt securities

18,655

 
334

 

18,989

Loans(b)

40,047

 
1,706

 

41,753

Asset-backed securities

2,756

 
127

 

2,883

Total debt instruments
79,355

184,099

 
3,635

 

267,089

Equity securities
71,119

482

 
232

 

71,833

Physical commodities(c)
5,182

1,855

 

 

7,037

Other

13,192

 
301

 

13,493

Total debt and equity instruments(d)
155,656

199,628

 
4,168

 

359,452

Derivative receivables:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate
682

266,380

 
1,642

 
(245,490
)
23,214

Credit

19,235

 
860

 
(19,483
)
612

Foreign exchange
771

166,238

 
676

 
(154,235
)
13,450

Equity

46,777

 
2,508

 
(39,339
)
9,946

Commodity

20,339

 
131

 
(13,479
)
6,991

Total derivative receivables(e)
1,453

518,969

 
5,817

 
(472,026
)
54,213

Total trading assets(f)
157,109

718,597

 
9,985

 
(472,026
)
413,665

Available-for-sale securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government agencies(a)

68,646

 

 

68,646

Residential – nonagency

8,519

 
1

 

8,520

Commercial – nonagency

6,654

 

 

6,654

Total mortgage-backed securities

83,819

 
1

 

83,820

U.S. Treasury and government agencies
56,059


 

 

56,059

Obligations of U.S. states and municipalities

37,723

 

 

37,723

Certificates of deposit

75

 

 

75

Non-U.S. government debt securities
15,313

8,789

 

 

24,102

Corporate debt securities

1,918

 

 

1,918

Asset-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Collateralized loan obligations

19,437

 

 

19,437

Other

7,260

 

 

7,260

Total available-for-sale securities
71,372

159,021

 
1

 

230,394

Loans

3,029

 
122

 

3,151

Mortgage servicing rights


 
6,130

 

6,130

Other assets(f)(g)
7,810

195

 
927

 

8,932

Total assets measured at fair value on a recurring basis
$
236,291

$
899,182

 
$
17,165

 
$
(472,026
)
$
680,612

Deposits
$

$
19,048

 
$
4,169

 
$

$
23,217

Federal funds purchased and securities loaned or sold under repurchase agreements

935

 

 

935

Short-term borrowings

5,607

 
1,523

 

7,130

Trading liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 


Debt and equity instruments(d)
80,199

22,755

 
50

 

103,004

Derivative payables:
 
 
 
 
 
 


Interest rate
1,526

239,576

 
1,680

 
(234,998
)
7,784

Credit

19,309

 
967

 
(18,609
)
1,667

Foreign exchange
695

163,549

 
973

 
(152,432
)
12,785

Equity

46,462

 
4,733

 
(41,034
)
10,161

Commodity

21,158

 
1,260

 
(13,046
)
9,372

Total derivative payables(e)
2,221

490,054

 
9,613

 
(460,119
)
41,769

Total trading liabilities
82,420

512,809

 
9,663

 
(460,119
)
144,773

Accounts payable and other liabilities
3,063

196

 
10

 

3,269

Beneficial interests issued by consolidated VIEs

27

 
1

 

28

Long-term debt

35,468

 
19,418

 

54,886

Total liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis
$
85,483

$
574,090

 
$
34,784

 
$
(460,119
)
$
234,238

 
Fair value hierarchy
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2017 (in millions)
Level 1
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Derivative netting adjustments
 
Total fair value
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under resale agreements
$

$
14,732

 
$

 
$

 
$
14,732

Securities borrowed

3,049

 

 

 
3,049

Trading assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Debt instruments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government agencies(a)

41,515

 
307

 

 
41,822

Residential – nonagency

1,835

 
60

 

 
1,895

Commercial – nonagency

1,645

 
11

 

 
1,656

Total mortgage-backed securities

44,995

 
378

 

 
45,373

U.S. Treasury and government agencies(a)
30,758

6,475

 
1

 

 
37,234

Obligations of U.S. states and municipalities

9,067

 
744

 

 
9,811

Certificates of deposit, bankers’ acceptances and commercial paper

226

 

 

 
226

Non-U.S. government debt securities
28,887

28,831

 
78

 

 
57,796

Corporate debt securities

24,146

 
312

 

 
24,458

Loans(b)

35,242

 
2,719

 

 
37,961

Asset-backed securities

3,284

 
153

 

 
3,437

Total debt instruments
59,645

152,266

 
4,385

 

 
216,296

Equity securities
87,346

197

 
295

 

 
87,838

Physical commodities(c)
4,924

1,322

 

 

 
6,246

Other

14,197

 
690

 

 
14,887

Total debt and equity instruments(d)
151,915

167,982

 
5,370

 

 
325,267

Derivative receivables:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate
181

314,107

 
1,704

 
(291,319
)
 
24,673

Credit

21,995

 
1,209

 
(22,335
)
 
869

Foreign exchange
841

158,834

 
557

 
(144,081
)
 
16,151

Equity

37,722

 
2,318

 
(32,158
)
 
7,882

Commodity

19,875

 
210

 
(13,137
)
 
6,948

Total derivative receivables(e)
1,022

552,533

 
5,998

 
(503,030
)
 
56,523

Total trading assets(f)
152,937

720,515

 
11,368

 
(503,030
)
 
381,790

Available-for-sale securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government agencies(a)

70,280

 

 

 
70,280

Residential – nonagency

11,366

 
1

 

 
11,367

Commercial – nonagency

5,025

 

 

 
5,025

Total mortgage-backed securities

86,671

 
1

 

 
86,672

U.S. Treasury and government agencies
22,745


 

 

 
22,745

Obligations of U.S. states and municipalities

32,338

 

 

 
32,338

Certificates of deposit

59

 

 

 
59

Non-U.S. government debt securities
18,140

9,154

 

 

 
27,294

Corporate debt securities

2,757

 

 

 
2,757

Asset-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Collateralized loan obligations

20,720

 
276

 

 
20,996

Other

8,817

 

 

 
8,817

Equity securities(g)
547


 

 

 
547

Total available-for-sale securities
41,432

160,516

 
277

 

 
202,225

Loans

2,232

 
276

 

 
2,508

Mortgage servicing rights


 
6,030

 

 
6,030

Other assets(f)(g)
13,795

343

 
1,265

 

 
15,403

Total assets measured at fair value on a recurring basis
$
208,164

$
901,387

 
$
19,216

 
$
(503,030
)
 
$
625,737

Deposits
$

$
17,179

 
$
4,142

 
$

 
$
21,321

Federal funds purchased and securities loaned or sold under repurchase agreements

697

 

 

 
697

Short-term borrowings

7,526

 
1,665

 

 
9,191

Trading liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Debt and equity instruments(d)
64,664

21,183

 
39

 

 
85,886

Derivative payables:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate
170

282,825

 
1,440

 
(277,306
)
 
7,129

Credit

22,009

 
1,244

 
(21,954
)
 
1,299

Foreign exchange
794

154,075

 
953

 
(143,349
)
 
12,473

Equity

39,668

 
5,727

 
(36,203
)
 
9,192

Commodity

21,017

 
884

 
(14,217
)
 
7,684

Total derivative payables(e)
964

519,594

 
10,248

 
(493,029
)
 
37,777

Total trading liabilities
65,628

540,777

 
10,287

 
(493,029
)
 
123,663

Accounts payable and other liabilities
9,074

121

 
13

 

 
9,208

Beneficial interests issued by consolidated VIEs

6

 
39

 

 
45

Long-term debt

31,394

 
16,125

 

 
47,519

Total liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis
$
74,702

$
597,700

 
$
32,271

 
$
(493,029
)
 
$
211,644

(a)
At December 31, 2018 and 2017, included total U.S. government-sponsored enterprise obligations of $92.3 billion and $78.0 billion, respectively, which were predominantly mortgage-related.
(b)
At December 31, 2018 and 2017, included within trading loans were $13.2 billion and $11.4 billion, respectively, of residential first-lien mortgages, and $2.3 billion and $4.2 billion, respectively, of commercial first-lien mortgages. Residential mortgage loans include conforming mortgage loans originated with the intent to sell to U.S. government agencies of $7.6 billion and $5.7 billion, respectively, and reverse mortgages of zero and $836 million, respectively.
(c)
Physical commodities inventories are generally accounted for at the lower of cost or net realizable value. “Net realizable value” is a term defined in U.S. GAAP as not exceeding fair value less costs to sell (“transaction costs”). Transaction costs for the Firm’s physical commodities inventories are either not applicable or immaterial to the value of the inventory. Therefore, net realizable value approximates fair value for the Firm’s physical commodities inventories. When fair value hedging has been applied (or when net realizable value is below cost), the carrying value of physical commodities approximates fair value, because under fair value hedge accounting, the cost basis is adjusted for changes in fair value. For a further discussion of the Firm’s hedge accounting relationships, refer to Note 5. To provide consistent fair value disclosure information, all physical commodities inventories have been included in each period presented.
(d)
Balances reflect the reduction of securities owned (long positions) by the amount of identical securities sold but not yet purchased (short positions).
(e)
As permitted under U.S. GAAP, the Firm has elected to net derivative receivables and derivative payables and the related cash collateral received and paid when a legally enforceable master netting agreement exists. For purposes of the tables above, the Firm does not reduce derivative receivables and derivative payables balances for this netting adjustment, either within or across the levels of the fair value hierarchy, as such netting is not relevant to a presentation based on the transparency of inputs to the valuation of an asset or liability. The level 3 balances would be reduced if netting were applied, including the netting benefit associated with cash collateral.
(f)
Certain investments that are measured at fair value using the net asset value per share (or its equivalent) as a practical expedient are not required to be classified in the fair value hierarchy. At December 31, 2018 and 2017, the fair values of these investments, which include certain hedge funds, private equity funds, real estate and other funds, were $747 million and $779 million, respectively. Included in these balances at December 31, 2018 and 2017, were trading assets of $49 million and $54 million, respectively, and other assets of $698 million and $725 million, respectively.
(g)
Effective January 1, 2018, the Firm adopted the recognition and measurement guidance. Equity securities that were previously reported as AFS securities were reclassified to other assets upon adoption. Level 3 valuations
The Firm has established well-structured processes for determining fair value, including for instruments where fair value is estimated using significant unobservable inputs (level 3). For further information on the Firm’s valuation process and a detailed discussion of the determination of fair value for individual financial instruments, refer to pages 159–163 of this Note.
Estimating fair value requires the application of judgment. The type and level of judgment required is largely dependent on the amount of observable market information available to the Firm. For instruments valued using internally developed valuation models and other valuation techniques that use significant unobservable inputs and are therefore classified within level 3 of the fair value hierarchy, judgments used to estimate fair value are more significant than those required when estimating the fair value of instruments classified within levels 1 and 2.
In arriving at an estimate of fair value for an instrument within level 3, management must first determine the appropriate valuation model or other valuation technique to use. Second, due to the lack of observability of significant inputs, management must assess all relevant empirical data in deriving valuation inputs including transaction details, yield curves, interest rates, prepayment speed, default rates, volatilities, correlations, equity or debt prices, valuations of comparable instruments, foreign exchange rates and credit curves.
The following table presents the Firm’s primary level 3 financial instruments, the valuation techniques used to measure the fair value of those financial instruments, the significant unobservable inputs, the range of values for those inputs and, for certain instruments, the weighted averages of such inputs. While the determination to classify an instrument within level 3 is based on the significance of the unobservable inputs to the overall fair value measurement, level 3 financial instruments typically include observable components (that is, components that are actively quoted and can be validated to external sources) in addition to the unobservable components. The level 1 and/or level 2 inputs are not included in the table. In addition, the Firm manages the risk of the observable components of level 3 financial instruments using securities and derivative positions that are classified within levels 1 or 2 of the fair value hierarchy.
The range of values presented in the table is representative of the highest and lowest level input used to value the significant groups of instruments within a product/instrument classification. Where provided, the weighted averages of the input values presented in the table are calculated based on the fair value of the instruments that the input is being used to value.
In the Firm’s view, the input range and the weighted average value do not reflect the degree of input uncertainty or an assessment of the reasonableness of the Firm’s estimates and assumptions. Rather, they reflect the characteristics of the various instruments held by the Firm and the relative distribution of instruments within the range of characteristics. For example, two option contracts may have similar levels of market risk exposure and valuation uncertainty, but may have significantly different implied volatility levels because the option contracts have different underlyings, tenors, or strike prices. The input range and weighted average values will therefore vary from period-to-period and parameter-to-parameter based on the characteristics of the instruments held by the Firm at each balance sheet date.
For the Firm’s derivatives and structured notes positions classified within level 3 at December 31, 2018, interest rate correlation inputs used in estimating fair value were concentrated towards the upper end of the range; equity correlation, equity-FX and equity-IR correlation inputs were concentrated in the middle of the range; commodity correlation inputs were concentrated in the middle of the range; credit correlation inputs were concentrated towards the lower end of the range; and the interest rate-foreign exchange (“IR-FX”) correlation inputs were distributed across the range. In addition, the interest rate spread volatility inputs used in estimating fair value were distributed across the range; equity volatilities and commodity volatilities were concentrated in the middle of the range; and forward commodity prices used in estimating the fair value of commodity derivatives were concentrated towards the lower end of the range. Recovery rate inputs used in estimating the fair value of credit derivatives were distributed across the range; credit spreads and conditional default rates were concentrated towards the lower end of the range; loss severity and price inputs were concentrated towards the upper end of the range.
Level 3 inputs(a)
 
December 31, 2018
 
 
 
 
 
Product/Instrument
Fair value (in millions)
 
Principal valuation technique
Unobservable inputs(g)
Range of input values
Weighted average
Residential mortgage-backed securities and loans(b)
$
858

 
Discounted cash flows
Yield
0
 %
19%
6%
 
 
 
Prepayment speed
0
 %
24%
9%
 
 
 
 
Conditional default rate
0
 %
9%
1%
 
 
 
 
Loss severity
0
 %
100%
6%
Commercial mortgage-backed securities and loans(c)
419

 
Market comparables
Price
$
0

$103
$90
Obligations of U.S. states and municipalities
689

 
Market comparables
Price
$
62

$100
$96
Corporate debt securities
334

 
Market comparables
Price
$
0

$107
$57
Loans(d)
234

 
Discounted cash flows
Yield
8%
8%
 
942

 
Market comparables
Price
$
2

$101
$78
Asset-backed securities
127

 
Market comparables
Price
$
1

$102
$67
Net interest rate derivatives
(180
)
 
Option pricing
Interest rate spread volatility
16
bps
38bps
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate correlation
(45
)%
97%
 
 
 
 
 
IR-FX correlation
45
 %
60%
 
 
142

 
Discounted cash flows
Prepayment speed
4
 %
30%
 
Net credit derivatives
(163
)
 
Discounted cash flows
Credit correlation
25
 %
55%
 
 
 
 
 
Credit spread
10
bps
1,487bps
 
 
 
 
 
Recovery rate
20
 %
70%
 
 
 
 
 
Conditional default rate
3
 %
72%
 
 
 
 
 
Loss severity
100%
 
 
56

 
Market comparables
Price
$
1

$115
 
Net foreign exchange derivatives
(122
)
 
Option pricing
IR-FX correlation
(45
)%
60%
 
 
(175
)
 
Discounted cash flows
Prepayment speed
8
 %
9%
 
Net equity derivatives
(2,225
)
 
Option pricing
Equity volatility
14
 %
57%
 
 
 
 
 
Equity correlation
20
 %
98%
 
 
 
 
 
Equity-FX correlation
(75
)%
61%
 
 
 
 
 
Equity-IR correlation
20
 %
60%
 
Net commodity derivatives
(1,129
)
 
Option pricing
Forward commodity price
$
39

$56 per barrel
 
 
 
 
Commodity volatility
5
 %
68%
 
 
 
 
 
Commodity correlation
(51
)%
95%
 
MSRs
6,130

 
Discounted cash flows
Refer to Note 15
 
 
 
 
Other assets
306

 
Discounted cash flows
Credit spread
55bps
55bps
 
 
 
 
Yield
8%
10%
8%
 
922

 
Market comparables
Price
$
20

 
$108
$40
 
 
 
 
EBITDA multiple
2.9x
8.3x
7.5x
Long-term debt, short-term borrowings, and deposits(e)
25,110

 
Option pricing
Interest rate spread volatility
16
bps
38bps
 
 
 
 
Interest rate correlation
(45
)%
97%
 
 
 
 
IR-FX correlation
(45
)%
60%
 
 
 
 
Equity correlation
20
 %
98%
 
 
 
 
Equity-FX correlation
(75
)%
61%
 
 
 
 
Equity-IR correlation
20
 %
60%
 
Other level 3 assets and liabilities, net(f)
326

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(a)
The categories presented in the table have been aggregated based upon the product type, which may differ from their classification on the Consolidated balance sheets. Furthermore, the inputs presented for each valuation technique in the table are, in some cases, not applicable to every instrument valued using the technique as the characteristics of the instruments can differ.
(b)
Includes U.S. government agency securities of $541 million, nonagency securities of $65 million and trading loans of $252 million.
(c)
Includes U.S. government agency securities of $8 million, nonagency securities of $11 million, trading loans of $278 million and non-trading loans of $122 million.
(d)
Comprises trading loans.
(e)
Long-term debt, short-term borrowings and deposits include structured notes issued by the Firm that are financial instruments that typically contain embedded derivatives. The estimation of the fair value of structured notes includes the derivative features embedded within the instrument. The significant unobservable inputs are broadly consistent with those presented for derivative receivables.
(f)
Includes level 3 assets and liabilities that are insignificant both individually and in aggregate.
(g)
Price is a significant unobservable input for certain instruments. When quoted market prices are not readily available, reliance is generally placed on price-based internal valuation techniques. The price input is expressed assuming a par value of $100.


Changes in and ranges of unobservable inputs
The following discussion provides a description of the impact on a fair value measurement of a change in each unobservable input in isolation, and the interrelationship between unobservable inputs, where relevant and significant. The impact of changes in inputs may not be independent, as a change in one unobservable input may give rise to a change in another unobservable input. Where relationships do exist between two unobservable inputs, those relationships are discussed below. Relationships may also exist between observable and unobservable inputs (for example, as observable interest rates rise, unobservable prepayment rates decline); such relationships have not been included in the discussion below. In addition, for each of the individual relationships described below, the inverse relationship would also generally apply.
The following discussion also provides a description of attributes of the underlying instruments and external market factors that affect the range of inputs used in the valuation of the Firm’s positions.
Yield – The yield of an asset is the interest rate used to discount future cash flows in a discounted cash flow calculation. An increase in the yield, in isolation, would result in a decrease in a fair value measurement.
Credit spread – The credit spread is the amount of additional annualized return over the market interest rate that a market participant would demand for taking exposure to the credit risk of an instrument. The credit spread for an instrument forms part of the discount rate used in a discounted cash flow calculation. Generally, an increase in the credit spread would result in a decrease in a fair value measurement.
The yield and the credit spread of a particular mortgage-backed security primarily reflect the risk inherent in the instrument. The yield is also impacted by the absolute level of the coupon paid by the instrument (which may not correspond directly to the level of inherent risk). Therefore, the range of yield and credit spreads reflects the range of risk inherent in various instruments owned by the Firm. The risk inherent in mortgage-backed securities is driven by the subordination of the security being valued and the characteristics of the underlying mortgages within the collateralized pool, including borrower FICO scores, LTV ratios for residential mortgages and the nature of the property and/or any tenants for commercial mortgages. For corporate debt securities, obligations of U.S. states and municipalities and other similar instruments, credit spreads reflect the credit quality of the obligor and the tenor of the obligation.

Prepayment speed – The prepayment speed is a measure of the voluntary unscheduled principal repayments of a prepayable obligation in a collateralized pool. Prepayment speeds generally decline as borrower delinquencies rise. An increase in prepayment speeds, in isolation, would result in a decrease in a fair value measurement of assets valued at a premium to par and an increase in a fair value measurement of assets valued at a discount to par.
Prepayment speeds may vary from collateral pool to collateral pool, and are driven by the type and location of the
underlying borrower, and the remaining tenor of the obligation as well as the level and type (e.g., fixed or floating) of interest rate being paid by the borrower. Typically collateral pools with higher borrower credit quality have a higher prepayment rate than those with lower borrower credit quality, all other factors being equal.
Conditional default rate – The conditional default rate is a measure of the reduction in the outstanding collateral balance underlying a collateralized obligation as a result of defaults. While there is typically no direct relationship between conditional default rates and prepayment speeds, collateralized obligations for which the underlying collateral has high prepayment speeds will tend to have lower conditional default rates. An increase in conditional default rates would generally be accompanied by an increase in loss severity and an increase in credit spreads. An increase in the conditional default rate, in isolation, would result in a decrease in a fair value measurement. Conditional default rates reflect the quality of the collateral underlying a securitization and the structure of the securitization itself. Based on the types of securities owned in the Firm’s market-making portfolios, conditional default rates are most typically at the lower end of the range presented.
Loss severity – The loss severity (the inverse concept is the recovery rate) is the expected amount of future realized losses resulting from the ultimate liquidation of a particular loan, expressed as the net amount of loss relative to the outstanding loan balance. An increase in loss severity is generally accompanied by an increase in conditional default rates. An increase in the loss severity, in isolation, would result in a decrease in a fair value measurement.
The loss severity applied in valuing a mortgage-backed security investment depends on factors relating to the underlying mortgages, including the LTV ratio, the nature of the lender’s lien on the property and other instrument-specific factors.
Correlation – Correlation is a measure of the relationship between the movements of two variables (e.g., how the change in one variable influences the change in the other). Correlation is a pricing input for a derivative product where the payoff is driven by one or more underlying risks. Correlation inputs are related to the type of derivative (e.g., interest rate, credit, equity, foreign exchange and commodity) due to the nature of the underlying risks. When parameters are positively correlated, an increase in one parameter will result in an increase in the other parameter. When parameters are negatively correlated, an increase in one parameter will result in a decrease in the other parameter. An increase in correlation can result in an increase or a decrease in a fair value measurement. Given a short correlation position, an increase in correlation, in isolation, would generally result in a decrease in a fair value measurement.
The level of correlation used in the valuation of derivatives with multiple underlying risks depends on a number of factors including the nature of those risks. For example, the correlation between two credit risk exposures would be different than that between two interest rate risk exposures. Similarly, the tenor of the transaction may also impact the correlation input, as the relationship between the underlying risks may be different over different time periods. Furthermore, correlation levels are very much dependent on market conditions and could have a relatively wide range of levels within or across asset classes over time, particularly in volatile market conditions.
Volatility – Volatility is a measure of the variability in possible returns for an instrument, parameter or market index given how much the particular instrument, parameter or index changes in value over time. Volatility is a pricing input for options, including equity options, commodity options, and interest rate options. Generally, the higher the volatility of the underlying, the riskier the instrument. Given a long position in an option, an increase in volatility, in isolation, would generally result in an increase in a fair value measurement.
The level of volatility used in the valuation of a particular option-based derivative depends on a number of factors, including the nature of the risk underlying the option (e.g., the volatility of a particular equity security may be significantly different from that of a particular commodity index), the tenor of the derivative as well as the strike price of the option.
EBITDA multiple – EBITDA multiples refer to the input (often derived from the value of a comparable company) that is multiplied by the historic and/or expected earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (“EBITDA”) of a company in order to estimate the company’s value. An increase in the EBITDA multiple, in isolation, net of adjustments, would result in an increase in a fair value measurement.
Changes in level 3 recurring fair value measurements
The following tables include a rollforward of the Consolidated balance sheets amounts (including changes in fair value) for financial instruments classified by the Firm within level 3 of the fair value hierarchy for the years ended December 31, 2018, 2017 and 2016. When a determination is made to classify a financial instrument within level 3, the determination is based on the significance of the unobservable inputs to the overall fair value measurement. However, level 3 financial instruments typically include, in addition to the unobservable or level 3 components, observable components (that is, components that are actively quoted and can be validated to external sources); accordingly, the gains and losses in the table below include changes in fair value due in part to observable factors that are part of the valuation methodology. Also, the Firm risk-manages the observable components of level 3 financial instruments using securities and derivative positions that are classified within level 1 or 2 of the fair value hierarchy; as these level 1 and level 2 risk management instruments are not included below, the gains or losses in the following tables do not reflect the effect of the Firm’s risk management activities related to such level 3 instruments.
 
Fair value measurements using significant unobservable inputs
 
 
Year ended
December 31, 2018
(in millions)
Fair value at January 1, 2018
Total realized/unrealized gains/(losses)
 
 
 
 
Transfers into
level 3
(h)
Transfers (out of) level 3(h)
Fair value at Dec. 31, 2018
 
Change in unrealized gains/(losses) related to financial instruments held at Dec. 31, 2018
Purchases(f)
Sales
 
Settlements(g)
Assets:(a)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Trading assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Debt instruments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government agencies
$
307

$
(23
)
 
$
478

$
(164
)
 
$
(73
)
$
94

$
(70
)
$
549

 
$
(21
)
 
Residential – nonagency
60

(2
)
 
78

(50
)
 
(7
)
59

(74
)
64

 
1

 
Commercial – nonagency
11

2

 
18

(18
)
 
(17
)
36

(21
)
11

 
(2
)
 
Total mortgage-backed securities
378

(23
)
 
574

(232
)
 
(97
)
189

(165
)
624

 
(22
)
 
U.S. Treasury and government agencies
1


 


 


(1
)

 

 
Obligations of U.S. states and municipalities
744

(17
)
 
112

(70
)
 
(80
)


689

 
(17
)
 
Non-U.S. government debt securities
78

(22
)
 
459

(277
)
 
(12
)
23

(94
)
155

 
(9
)
 
Corporate debt securities
312

(18
)
 
364

(309
)
 
(48
)
262

(229
)
334

 
(1
)
 
Loans
2,719

26

 
1,364

(1,793
)
 
(658
)
813

(765
)
1,706

 
(1
)
 
Asset-backed securities
153

28

 
98

(41
)
 
(55
)
45

(101
)
127

 
22

 
Total debt instruments
4,385

(26
)
 
2,971

(2,722
)
 
(950
)
1,332

(1,355
)
3,635

 
(28
)
 
Equity securities
295

(40
)
 
118

(120
)
 
(1
)
107

(127
)
232

 
9

 
Other
690

(285
)
 
55

(40
)
 
(118
)
3

(4
)
301

 
(301
)
 
Total trading assets – debt and equity instruments
5,370

(351
)
(c) 
3,144

(2,882
)
 
(1,069
)
1,442

(1,486
)
4,168

 
(320
)
(c) 
Net derivative receivables:(b)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate
264

150

 
107

(133
)
 
(430
)
(15
)
19

(38
)
 
187

 
Credit
(35
)
(40
)
 
5

(7
)
 
(57
)
4

23

(107
)
 
(28
)
 
Foreign exchange
(396
)
103

 
52

(20
)
 
30

(108
)
42

(297
)
 
(63
)
 
Equity
(3,409
)
198

 
1,676

(2,208
)
 
1,805

(617
)
330

(2,225
)
 
561

 
Commodity
(674
)
(73
)
 
1

(72
)
 
(301
)
7

(17
)
(1,129
)
 
146

 
Total net derivative receivables
(4,250
)
338

(c) 
1,841

(2,440
)
 
1,047

(729
)
397

(3,796
)
 
803

(c) 
Available-for-sale securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities
1


 


 



1

 

 
Asset-backed securities
276

1

 


 
(277
)



 

 
Total available-for-sale securities
277

1

(d) 


 
(277
)


1

 

 
Loans
276

(7
)
(c) 
123


 
(196
)

(74
)
122

 
(7
)
(c) 
Mortgage servicing rights
6,030

230

(e) 
1,246

(636
)
 
(740
)


6,130

 
230

(e) 
Other assets
1,265

(328
)
(c) 
61

(37
)
 
(37
)
4

(1
)
927

 
(340
)
(c) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fair value measurements using significant unobservable inputs
 
 
Year ended
December 31, 2018
(in millions)
Fair value at January 1, 2018
Total realized/unrealized (gains)/losses
 
 
 
 
 
Transfers (out of) level 3(h)
Fair value at Dec. 31, 2018
 
Change in unrealized (gains)/losses related to financial instruments held at Dec. 31, 2018
Purchases
Sales
Issuances
Settlements(g)
Transfers into
level 3
(h)
Liabilities:(a)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Deposits
$
4,142

$
(136
)
(c)(i) 
$

$

$
1,437

$
(736
)
$
2

$
(540
)
$
4,169

 
$
(204
)
(c)(i) 
Federal funds purchased and securities loaned or sold under repurchase agreements


 







 

 
Short-term borrowings
1,665

(329
)
(c)(i) 


3,455

(3,388
)
272

(152
)
1,523

 
(131
)
(c)(i) 
Trading liabilities – debt and equity instruments
39

19

(c) 
(99
)
114


(1
)
14

(36
)
50

 
16

(c) 
Accounts payable and other liabilities
13


 
(12
)
5



4


10

 

 
Beneficial interests issued by consolidated VIEs
39


 

1


(39
)


1

 

 
Long-term debt
16,125

(1,169
)
(c)(i) 


11,919

(7,769
)
1,143

(831
)
19,418

 
(1,385
)
(c)(i) 
 
Fair value measurements using significant unobservable inputs
 
 
Year ended
December 31, 2017
(in millions)
Fair value at January 1, 2017
Total realized/unrealized gains/(losses)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Transfers (out of) level 3(h)
Fair value at Dec. 31, 2017
 
Change in unrealized gains/(losses) related to financial instruments held at Dec. 31, 2017
Purchases(f)
Sales
 
 
Settlements(g)
Transfers into
level 3
(h)
Assets:(a)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Trading assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Debt instruments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government agencies
$
392

 
$
(11
)
 
$
161

$
(171
)
 
 
$
(70
)
$
49

$
(43
)
$
307

 
$
(20
)
 
Residential – nonagency
83

 
19

 
53

(30
)
 
 
(64
)
132

(133
)
60

 
11

 
Commercial – nonagency
17

 
9

 
27

(44
)
 
 
(13
)
64

(49
)
11

 
1

 
Total mortgage-backed securities
492

 
17

 
241

(245
)
 
 
(147
)
245

(225
)
378

 
(8
)
 
U.S. Treasury and government agencies

 

 


 
 

1


1

 

 
Obligations of U.S. states and municipalities
649

 
18

 
152

(70
)
 
 
(5
)


744

 
15

 
Non-U.S. government debt securities
46

 

 
559

(518
)
 
 

62

(71
)
78

 

 
Corporate debt securities
576

 
11

 
872

(612
)
 
 
(497
)
157

(195
)
312

 
18

 
Loans
4,837

 
333

 
2,389

(2,832
)
 
 
(1,323
)
806

(1,491
)
2,719

 
43

 
Asset-backed securities
302

 
32

 
354

(356
)
 
 
(56
)
75

(198
)
153

 

 
Total debt instruments
6,902

 
411

 
4,567

(4,633
)
 
 
(2,028
)
1,346

(2,180
)
4,385

 
68

 
Equity securities
231

 
39

 
176

(148
)
 
 
(4
)
59

(58
)
295

 
21

 
Other
761

 
100

 
30

(46
)
 
 
(162
)
17

(10
)
690

 
39

 
Total trading assets – debt and equity instruments
7,894

 
550

(c) 
4,773

(4,827
)
 
 
(2,194
)
1,422

(2,248
)
5,370

 
128

(c) 
Net derivative receivables:(b)

 
 
 




 
 








 


 
Interest rate
1,263

 
72

 
60

(82
)
 
 
(1,040
)
(8
)
(1
)
264

 
(473
)
 
Credit
98

 
(164
)
 
1

(6
)
 
 

77

(41
)
(35
)
 
32

 
Foreign exchange
(1,384
)
 
43

 
13

(10
)
 
 
854

(61
)
149

(396
)
 
42

 
Equity
(2,252
)
 
(417
)
 
1,116

(551
)
 
 
(245
)
(1,482
)
422

(3,409
)
 
(161
)
 
Commodity
(85
)
 
(149
)
 


 
 
(433
)
(6
)
(1
)
(674
)
 
(718
)
 
Total net derivative receivables
(2,360
)
 
(615
)
(c) 
1,190

(649
)
 
 
(864
)
(1,480
)
528

(4,250
)
 
(1,278
)
(c) 
Available-for-sale securities:
 
 
 
 




 
 







 


 
Mortgage-backed securities
1

 

 


 
 



1

 

 
Asset-backed securities
663

 
15

 

(50
)
 
 
(352
)


276

 
14

 
Total available-for-sale securities
664

 
15

(d) 

(50
)
 
 
(352
)


277

 
14

(d) 
Loans
570

 
35

(c) 

(26
)
 
 
(303
)


276

 
3

(c) 
Mortgage servicing rights
6,096

 
(232
)
(e) 
1,103

(140
)
 
 
(797
)


6,030

 
(232
)
(e) 
Other assets
2,223

 
244

(c) 
66

(177
)
 
 
(870
)

(221
)
1,265

 
74

(c) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fair value measurements using significant unobservable inputs
 
 
Year ended
December 31, 2017
(in millions)
Fair value at January 1, 2017
 
Total realized/unrealized (gains)/losses
 
 
 
 
 
 
Transfers (out of) level 3(h)
Fair value at Dec. 31, 2017
 
Change in unrealized (gains)/losses related to financial instruments held at Dec. 31, 2017
Purchases
Sales
Issuances
 
Settlements(g)
Transfers into
level 3
(h)
Liabilities:(a)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Deposits
$
2,117

 
$
152

(c)(i) 
$

$

$
3,027

 
$
(291
)
$
11

$
(874
)
$
4,142

 
$
198

(c)(i) 
Federal funds purchased and securities loaned or sold under repurchase agreements

 

 



 




 

 
Short-term borrowings
1,134

 
42

(c)(i) 


3,289

 
(2,748
)
150

(202
)
1,665

 
7

(c)(i) 
Trading liabilities – debt and equity instruments
43

 
(3
)
(c) 
(46
)
48


 
3

3

(9
)
39

 

 
Accounts payable and other liabilities
13

 
(2
)
 
(1
)


 
3



13

 
(2
)
 
Beneficial interests issued by consolidated VIEs
48

 
2

(c) 
(122
)
39


 
(6
)
78


39

 

 
Long-term debt
12,850

 
1,067

(c)(i) 


12,458

 
(10,985
)
1,660

(925
)
16,125

 
552

(c)(i) 
 
Fair value measurements using significant unobservable inputs
 
 
Year ended
December 31, 2016
(in millions)
Fair value at January 1, 2016
Total realized/unrealized gains/(losses)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Transfers (out of) level 3(h)
Fair value at
Dec. 31, 2016
Change in unrealized gains/(losses) related to financial instruments held at Dec. 31, 2016
Purchases(f)
 
Sales
 
 
Settlements(g)
 
Transfers into
level 3
(h)
Assets:(a)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Trading assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Debt instruments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government agencies
$
715

$
(20
)
 
$
135

 
$
(295
)
 
 
$
(115
)
 
$
111

$
(139
)
$
392

 
$
(36
)
 
Residential – nonagency
194

4

 
252

 
(319
)
 
 
(20
)
 
67

(95
)
83

 
5

 
Commercial – nonagency
115

(11
)
 
69

 
(29
)
 
 
(3
)
 
173

(297
)
17

 
3

 
Total mortgage-backed securities
1,024

(27
)
 
456

 
(643
)
 
 
(138
)
 
351

(531
)
492

 
(28
)
 
Obligations of U.S. states and municipalities
651

19

 
149

 
(132
)
 
 
(38
)
 


649

 

 
Non-U.S. government debt securities
74

(4
)
 
91

 
(97
)
 
 
(7
)
 
19

(30
)
46

 
(7
)
 
Corporate debt securities
736

2

 
445

 
(359
)
 
 
(189
)
 
148

(207
)
576

 
(22
)
 
Loans
6,604

(343
)
 
2,228

 
(2,598
)
 
 
(1,311
)
 
1,044

(787
)
4,837

 
(169
)
 
Asset-backed securities
1,832

39

 
655

 
(712
)
 
 
(968
)
 
288

(832
)
302

 
19

 
Total debt instruments
10,921

(314
)
 
4,024

 
(4,541
)
 
 
(2,651
)
 
1,850

(2,387
)
6,902

 
(207
)
 
Equity securities
265


 
90

 
(108
)
 
 
(40
)
 
29

(5
)
231

 
7

 
Physical commodities


 

 

 
 

 



 

 
Other
744

79

 
649

 
(287
)
 
 
(360
)
 
26

(90
)
761

 
28

 
Total trading assets – debt and equity instruments
11,930

(235
)
(c) 
4,763

 
(4,936
)
 
 
(3,051
)
 
1,905

(2,482
)
7,894

 
(172
)
(c) 
Net derivative receivables:(b)
 
 
 


 


 
 


 






 


 
Interest rate
876

756

 
193

 
(57
)
 
 
(713
)
 
(14
)
222

1,263

 
(144
)
 
Credit
549

(742
)
 
10

 
(2
)
 
 
211

 
36

36

98

 
(622
)
 
Foreign exchange
(725
)
67

 
64

 
(124
)
 
 
(649
)
 
(48
)
31

(1,384
)
 
(350
)
 
Equity
(1,514
)
(145
)
 
277

 
(852
)
 
 
213

 
94

(325
)
(2,252
)
 
(86
)
 
Commodity
(935
)
194

 
1

 
10

 
 
645

 
8

(8
)
(85
)
 
(36
)
 
Total net derivative receivables
(1,749
)
130

(c) 
545

 
(1,025
)
 
 
(293
)
 
76

(44
)
(2,360
)
 
(1,238
)
(c) 
Available-for-sale securities:




 


 


 
 


 






 


 
Mortgage-backed securities
1


 

 

 
 

 


1

 

 
Asset-backed securities
823

1

 

 

 
 
(119
)
 

(42
)
663

 
1

 
Total available-for-sale securities
824

1

(d) 

 

 
 
(119
)
 

(42
)
664

 
1

(d) 
Loans
1,518

(49
)
(c) 
259

 
(7
)
 
 
(838
)
 

(313
)
570

 

 
Mortgage servicing rights
6,608

(163
)
(e) 
679

 
(109
)
 
 
(919
)
 


6,096

 
(163
)
(e) 
Other assets
2,401

130

(c) 
487

 
(496
)
 
 
(299
)
 


2,223

 
48

(c) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fair value measurements using significant unobservable inputs
 
 
Year ended
December 31, 2016
(in millions)
Fair value at January 1, 2016
Total realized/unrealized (gains)/losses
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Transfers into
level 3(h)
Transfers (out of) level 3(h)
Fair value at Dec. 31, 2016
Change in unrealized (gains)/losses related to financial instruments held at Dec. 31, 2016
Purchases
 
Sales
Issuances
 
Settlements(g)
 
Liabilities:(a)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Deposits
$
2,950

$
(56
)
(c) 
$

 
$

$
1,375

 
$
(1,283
)
 
$

$
(869
)
$
2,117

 
$
23

(c) 
Federal funds purchased and securities loaned or sold under repurchase agreements


 

 


 
(2
)
 
6

(4
)

 

 
Short-term borrowings
639

(230
)
(c) 

 

1,876

 
(1,210
)
 
114

(55
)
1,134

 
(70
)
(c) 
Trading liabilities – debt and equity instruments
63

(12
)
(c) 
(15
)
 
23


 
(22
)
 
13

(7
)
43

 
(18
)
(c) 
Accounts payable and other liabilities
19


 

 


 
(6
)
 


13

 


Beneficial interests issued by consolidated VIEs
549

(31
)
(c) 

 

143

 
(613
)
 


48

 
6

(c) 
Long-term debt
11,447

147

(c) 

 

8,140

 
(5,810
)
 
315

(1,389
)
12,850

 
639

(c) 
(a)
Level 3 assets as a percentage of total Firm assets accounted for at fair value (including assets measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis) were 3%, 3% and 4% at December 31, 2018, 2017 and 2016 respectively. Level 3 liabilities as a percentage of total Firm liabilities accounted for at fair value (including liabilities measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis) were 15%, 15% and 12% at December 31, 2018, 2017 and 2016, respectively.
(b)
All level 3 derivatives are presented on a net basis, irrespective of underlying counterparty.
(c)
Predominantly reported in principal transactions revenue, except for changes in fair value for CCB mortgage loans, and lending-related commitments originated with the intent to sell, and mortgage loan purchase commitments, which are reported in mortgage fees and related income.
(d)
Realized gains/(losses) on AFS securities, as well as other-than-temporary impairment (“OTTI”) losses that are recorded in earnings, are reported in investment securities gains/(losses). Unrealized gains/(losses) are reported in OCI. Realized gains/(losses) and foreign exchange hedge accounting adjustments recorded in income on AFS securities were $1 million, zero and zero for the years ended December 31, 2018, 2017 and 2016, respectively. Unrealized gains/(losses) recorded on AFS securities in OCI were zero, $15 million and $1 million for the years ended December 31, 2018, 2017 and 2016, respectively.
(e)
Changes in fair value for MSRs are reported in mortgage fees and related income.
(f)
Loan originations are included in purchases.
(g)
Includes financial assets and liabilities that have matured, been partially or fully repaid, impacts of modifications, deconsolidations associated with beneficial interests in VIEs and other items.
(h)
All transfers into and/or out of level 3 are based on changes in the observability and/or significance of the valuation inputs and are assumed to occur at the beginning of the quarterly reporting period in which they occur.
(i)
Realized (gains)/losses due to DVA for fair value option elected liabilities are reported in principal transactions revenue, and they were not material for the years ended December 31, 2018 and 2017, respectively. Unrealized (gains)/losses are reported in OCI, and they were $(277) million and $(48) million for the years ended December 31, 2018 and 2017, respectively.
Level 3 analysis
Consolidated balance sheets changes
Level 3 assets (including assets measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis) were 0.7% of total Firm assets at December 31, 2018. The following describes significant changes to level 3 assets since December 31, 2017, for those items measured at fair value on a recurring basis. For further information on changes impacting items measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis, refer to Assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis on page 176.
For the year ended December 31, 2018
Level 3 assets were $17.2 billion at December 31, 2018, reflecting a decrease of $2.1 billion from December 31, 2017, largely due to:
$1.2 billion decrease in trading assets — debt and equity instruments predominantly driven by a decrease of $1.0 billion in trading loans primarily due to settlements and net sales.
Transfers between levels for instruments carried at
fair value on a recurring basis
During the year ended December 31, 2018, transfers from level 3 into level 2 included the following:
$1.5 billion of total debt and equity instruments, the majority of which were trading loans, driven by an increase in observability.
$1.2 billion of gross equity derivative receivables and $1.5 billion of gross equity derivative payables as a result of an increase in observability and a decrease in the significance of unobservable inputs.
During the year ended December 31, 2018, transfers from level 2 into level 3 included the following:
$1.4 billion of total debt and equity instruments, the majority of which were trading loans, driven by a decrease in observability.
$1.0 billion of gross equity derivative receivables and $1.6 billion of gross equity derivative payables as a result of a decrease in observability and an increase in the significance of unobservable inputs.
$1.1 billion of long-term debt driven by a decrease in observability and an increase in the significance of unobservable inputs for certain structured notes.
During the year ended December 31, 2017, transfers from level 3 into level 2 included the following:
$1.5 billion of trading loans driven by an increase in observability.
$1.2 billion of gross equity derivative payables as a result of an increase in observability and a decrease in the significance of unobservable inputs.
During the year ended December 31, 2017, transfers from level 2 into level 3 included the following:
$1.0 billion of gross equity derivative receivables and $2.5 billion of gross equity derivative payables as a result of a decrease in observability and an increase in the significance of unobservable inputs.
$1.7 billion of long-term debt driven by a decrease in observability and an increase in the significance of unobservable inputs for certain structured notes.
During the year ended December 31, 2016, transfers from level 3 into level 2 included the following:
$1.4 billion of long-term debt driven by an increase in observability and a reduction in the significance of unobservable inputs for certain structured notes.
During the year ended December 31, 2016, transfers from level 2 into level 3 included the following:
$1.1 billion of gross equity derivative receivables and $1.0 billion of gross equity derivative payables as a result of an decrease in observability and an increase in the significance of unobservable inputs.
$1.0 billion of trading loans driven by a decrease in observability.
All transfers are based on changes in the observability and/or significance of the valuation inputs and are assumed to occur at the beginning of the quarterly reporting period in which they occur.
Gains and losses
The following describes significant components of total realized/unrealized gains/(losses) for instruments measured at fair value on a recurring basis for the years ended December 31, 2018, 2017 and 2016. For further information on these instruments, refer to Changes in level 3 recurring fair value measurements rollforward tables on pages 170-174.
2018
$1.6 billion of net gains on liabilities largely driven by market movements in long-term debt.
2017
$1.3 billion of net losses on liabilities predominantly driven by market movements in long-term debt.
2016
There were no individually significant movements for the year ended December 31, 2016.Credit and funding adjustments – derivatives
Derivatives are generally valued using models that use as their basis observable market parameters. These market parameters generally do not consider factors such as counterparty nonperformance risk, the Firm’s own credit quality, and funding costs. Therefore, it is generally necessary to make adjustments to the base estimate of fair value to reflect these factors.
CVA represents the adjustment, relative to the relevant benchmark interest rate, necessary to reflect counterparty nonperformance risk. The Firm estimates CVA using a scenario analysis to estimate the expected positive credit exposure across all of the Firm’s existing positions with each counterparty, and then estimates losses based on the probability of default and estimated recovery rate as a result of a counterparty credit event considering contractual factors designed to mitigate the Firm’s credit exposure, such as collateral and legal rights of offset. The key inputs to this methodology are (i) the probability of a default event occurring for each counterparty, as derived from observed or estimated CDS spreads; and (ii) estimated recovery rates implied by CDS spreads, adjusted to consider the differences in recovery rates as a derivative creditor relative to those reflected in CDS spreads, which generally reflect senior unsecured creditor risk.
FVA represents the adjustment to reflect the impact of funding and is recognized where there is evidence that a market participant in the principal market would incorporate it in a transfer of the instrument. The Firm’s FVA framework, applied to uncollateralized (including partially collateralized) over-the-counter (“OTC”) derivatives incorporates key inputs such as: (i) the expected funding requirements arising from the Firm’s positions with
each counterparty and collateral arrangements; and (ii) the estimated market funding cost in the principal market which, for derivative liabilities, considers the Firm’s credit risk (DVA). For collateralized derivatives, the fair value is estimated by discounting expected future cash flows at the relevant overnight indexed swap rate given the underlying collateral agreement with the counterparty, and therefore a separate FVA is not necessary.
The following table provides the impact of credit and funding adjustments on principal transactions revenue in the respective periods, excluding the effect of any associated hedging activities. The FVA presented below includes the impact of the Firm’s own credit quality on the inception value of liabilities as well as the impact of changes in the Firm’s own credit quality over time.
Year ended December 31,
(in millions)
2018
 
2017
 
2016
Credit and funding adjustments:
 
 
 
 
 
Derivatives CVA
$
193

 
$
802

 
$
(84
)
Derivatives FVA
(74
)
 
(295
)
 
7


Valuation adjustments on fair value option elected liabilities
The valuation of the Firm’s liabilities for which the fair value option has been elected requires consideration of the Firm’s own credit risk. DVA on fair value option elected liabilities reflects changes (subsequent to the issuance of the liability) in the Firm’s probability of default and LGD, which are estimated based on changes in the Firm’s credit spread observed in the bond market. Realized (gains)/losses due to DVA for fair value option elected liabilities are reported in principal transactions revenue. Unrealized (gains)/losses are reported in OCI. Refer to page 174 in this Note and Note 23 for further information.


Assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis
The following tables present the assets held as of December 31, 2018 and 2017, respectively, for which a nonrecurring fair value adjustment was recorded during the years ended December 31, 2018 and 2017, respectively, by major product category and fair value hierarchy.
 
Fair value hierarchy
 
Total fair value
December 31, 2018 (in millions)
Level 1

Level 2

 
Level 3

 
Loans
$

$
273

 
$
264

(b) 
$
537

Other assets(a)

8

 
815

 
823

Total assets measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis
$

$
281

 
$
1,079

  
$
1,360

 
Fair value hierarchy
 
Total fair value
December 31, 2017 (in millions)
Level 1

Level 2

 
Level 3

 
Loans
$

$
238

 
$
596

 
$
834

Other assets

283

 
183

 
466

Total assets measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis
$

$
521

 
$
779

 
$
1,300

(a) Primarily includes equity securities without readily determinable fair values that were adjusted based on observable price changes in orderly transactions from an identical or similar investment of the same issuer (measurement alternative) as a result of the adoption of the recognition and measurement guidance. Of the $815 million in level 3 assets measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis as of December 31, 2018, $667 million related to such equity securities. These equity securities are classified as level 3 due to the infrequency of the observable prices and/or the restrictions on the shares.
(b) Of the $264 million in level 3 assets measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis as of December 31, 2018, $225 million related to residential real estate loans carried at the net realizable value of the underlying collateral (e.g., collateral-dependent loans and other loans charged off in accordance with regulatory guidance). These amounts are classified as level 3 as they are valued using information from broker’s price opinions, appraisals and automated valuation models and discounted based upon the Firm’s experience with actual liquidation values. These discounts ranged from 13% to 54% with a weighted average of 25%.

There were no material liabilities measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis at December 31, 2018 and 2017.
Nonrecurring fair value changes
The following table presents the total change in value of assets and liabilities for which a fair value adjustment has been recognized for the years ended December 31, 2018, 2017 and 2016, related to financial instruments held at those dates.
December 31, (in millions)
2018

 
2017

 
2016

 
Loans
$
(68
)
 
$
(159
)
 
$
(209
)
 
Other assets
132

(a) 
(148
)
 
37

 
Accounts payable and other liabilities

 
(1
)
 

 
Total nonrecurring fair value gains/(losses)
$
64

 
$
(308
)
 
$
(172
)
 

(a) Included $149 million for the year ended 2018 of net gains as a result of the measurement alternative.
For further information about the measurement of impaired collateral-dependent loans, and other loans where the carrying value is based on the fair value of the underlying collateral (e.g., residential mortgage loans charged off in accordance with regulatory guidance), refer to Note 12.






Equity securities without readily determinable fair values
As a result of the adoption of the recognition and measurement guidance and the election of the measurement alternative in the first quarter of 2018, the Firm measures certain equity securities without readily determinable fair values at cost less impairment (if any), plus or minus observable price changes from an identical or similar investment of the same issuer, with such changes recognized in other income.
In its determination of the new carrying values upon observable price changes, the Firm may adjust the prices if deemed necessary to arrive at the Firm’s estimated fair values. Such adjustments may include adjustments to reflect the different rights and obligations of similar securities, and other adjustments that are consistent with the Firm’s valuation techniques for private equity direct investments.
The following table presents the carrying value of equity securities without readily determinable fair values held as of December 31, 2018, that are measured under the measurement alternative and the related adjustments recorded during the periods presented for those securities with observable price changes. These securities are included in the nonrecurring fair value tables when applicable price changes are observable.
 
As of or for the
(in millions)
Year ended
 December 31, 2018
Other assets
 
Carrying value
$
1,510

Upward carrying value changes
309

Downward carrying value changes/impairment
(160
)

Included in other assets above is the Firm’s interest in approximately 40 million Visa Class B shares, recorded at a nominal carrying value. These shares are subject to certain transfer restrictions currently and will be convertible into Visa Class A shares upon final resolution of certain litigation matters involving Visa. The conversion rate of Visa Class B shares into Visa Class A shares is 1.6298 at December 31, 2018, and may be adjusted by Visa depending on developments related to the litigation matters. Additional disclosures about the fair value of financial instruments that are not carried on the Consolidated balance sheets at fair value
U.S. GAAP requires disclosure of the estimated fair value of certain financial instruments. Financial instruments within the scope of these disclosure requirements are included in the following table. However, certain financial instruments and all nonfinancial instruments are excluded from the scope of these disclosure requirements. Accordingly, the fair value disclosures provided in the following table include only a partial estimate of the fair value of JPMorgan Chase’s assets and liabilities. For example, the Firm has developed long-term relationships with its customers through its deposit base and credit card accounts, commonly referred to as core deposit intangibles and credit card relationships. In the opinion of management, these items, in the aggregate, add significant value to JPMorgan Chase, but their fair value is not disclosed in this Note.

Financial instruments for which carrying value approximates fair value
Certain financial instruments that are not carried at fair value on the Consolidated balance sheets are carried at amounts that approximate fair value, due to their short-term nature and generally negligible credit risk. These instruments include cash and due from banks, deposits with banks, federal funds sold, securities purchased under resale agreements and securities borrowed, short-term receivables and accrued interest receivable, short-term borrowings, federal funds purchased, securities loaned and sold under repurchase agreements, accounts payable, and accrued liabilities. In addition, U.S. GAAP requires that the fair value of deposit liabilities with no stated maturity (i.e., demand, savings and certain money market deposits) be equal to their carrying value; recognition of the inherent funding value of these instruments is not permitted.
The following table presents by fair value hierarchy classification the carrying values and estimated fair values at December 31, 2018 and 2017, of financial assets and liabilities, excluding financial instruments that are carried at fair value on a recurring basis, and their classification within the fair value hierarchy.
 
December 31, 2018
 
December 31, 2017
 
 
Estimated fair value hierarchy
 
 
 
Estimated fair value hierarchy
 
(in billions)
Carrying
value
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Total estimated
fair value
 
Carrying
value
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Total estimated
fair value
Financial assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash and due from banks
$
22.3

$
22.3

$

$

$
22.3

 
$
25.9

$
25.9

$

$

$
25.9

Deposits with banks
256.5

256.5



256.5

 
405.4

401.8

3.6


405.4

Accrued interest and accounts receivable
72.0


71.9

0.1

72.0

 
67.0


67.0


67.0

Federal funds sold and securities purchased under resale agreements
308.4


308.4


308.4

 
183.7


183.7


183.7

Securities borrowed
106.9


106.9


106.9

 
102.1


102.1


102.1

Investment securities, held-to-maturity
31.4


31.5


31.5

 
47.7


48.7


48.7

Loans, net of allowance for loan losses(a)
968.0


241.5

728.5

970.0

 
914.6


213.2

707.1

920.3

Other(b)
60.5


59.6

1.0

60.6

 
53.9


52.1

9.2

61.3

Financial liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Deposits
$
1,447.4

$

$
1,447.5

$

$
1,447.5

 
$
1,422.7

$

$
1,422.7

$

$
1,422.7

Federal funds purchased and securities loaned or sold under repurchase agreements
181.4


181.4


181.4

 
158.2


158.2


158.2

Short-term borrowings
62.1


62.1


62.1

 
42.6


42.4

0.2

42.6

Accounts payable and other liabilities
160.6

0.2

157.0

3.0

160.2

 
152.0


148.9

2.9

151.8

Beneficial interests issued by consolidated VIEs
20.2


20.2


20.2

 
26.0


26.0


26.0

Long-term debt and junior subordinated deferrable interest debentures
227.1


224.6

3.3

227.9

 
236.6


240.3

3.2

243.5

Effective January 1, 2018, the Firm adopted several new accounting standards. Certain of the new accounting standards were applied retrospectively and, accordingly, prior period amounts were revised. For additional information, refer to Note 1.
(a)
Fair value is typically estimated using a discounted cash flow model that incorporates the characteristics of the underlying loans (including principal, contractual interest rate and contractual fees) and other key inputs, including expected lifetime credit losses, interest rates, prepayment rates, and primary origination or secondary market spreads. For certain loans, the fair value is measured based on the value of the underlying collateral. The difference between the estimated fair value and carrying value of a financial asset or liability is the result of the different methodologies used to determine fair value as compared with carrying value. For example, credit losses are estimated for a financial asset’s remaining life in a fair value calculation but are estimated for a loss emergence period in the allowance for loan loss calculation; future loan income (interest and fees) is incorporated in a fair value calculation but is generally not considered in the allowance for loan losses.
(b)
The prior period amounts have been revised to conform with the current period presentation.
The majority of the Firm’s lending-related commitments are not carried at fair value on a recurring basis on the Consolidated balance sheets. The carrying value of the wholesale allowance for lending-related commitments and the estimated fair value of these wholesale lending-related commitments were as follows for the periods indicated.
 
December 31, 2018
 
December 31, 2017
 
 
Estimated fair value hierarchy
 
 
 
Estimated fair value hierarchy
 
(in billions)
Carrying value(a)
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Total estimated fair value
 
Carrying value(a)
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Total estimated fair value
Wholesale lending-related commitments
$
1.0

$

$

$
2.1

$
2.1

 
$
1.1

$

$

$
1.6

$
1.6

(a)
Excludes the current carrying values of the guarantee liability and the offsetting asset, each of which is recognized at fair value at the inception of the guarantees.
The Firm does not estimate the fair value of consumer lending-related commitments. In many cases, the Firm can reduce or cancel these commitments by providing the borrower notice or, in some cases as permitted by law, without notice. For a further discussion of the valuation of lending-related commitments, refer to page 161 of this Note.