-----BEGIN PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE----- Proc-Type: 2001,MIC-CLEAR Originator-Name: webmaster@www.sec.gov Originator-Key-Asymmetric: MFgwCgYEVQgBAQICAf8DSgAwRwJAW2sNKK9AVtBzYZmr6aGjlWyK3XmZv3dTINen TWSM7vrzLADbmYQaionwg5sDW3P6oaM5D3tdezXMm7z1T+B+twIDAQAB MIC-Info: RSA-MD5,RSA, HaIxNRYWpxUZK1tl9KK09uqEQ00t4dMDKzeymfWKKqrbLQl/Ab3t/kYYoecdv9jz KbP2D2rubwHxMD8mLcZ+4A== 0000018808-08-000063.txt : 20080520 0000018808-08-000063.hdr.sgml : 20080520 20080520170611 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0000018808-08-000063 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 1 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20080520 ITEM INFORMATION: Regulation FD Disclosure FILED AS OF DATE: 20080520 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20080520 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: CENTRAL VERMONT PUBLIC SERVICE CORP CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0000018808 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: ELECTRIC SERVICES [4911] IRS NUMBER: 030111290 STATE OF INCORPORATION: VT FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 001-08222 FILM NUMBER: 08849456 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 77 GROVE ST CITY: RUTLAND STATE: VT ZIP: 05701 BUSINESS PHONE: 802-773-2711 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: 77 GROVE STREET CITY: RUTLAND STATE: VT ZIP: 05701 8-K 1 frm8k520.htm CURRENT REPORT ON FORM 8-K DATED 5/20/08 frm8k520.htm
 
 

 

UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D. C.   20549
 
FORM 8-K
 
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
 
 
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)    May 20, 2008   
 
 
      CENTRAL VERMONT PUBLIC SERVICE CORPORATION      
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

               Vermont                
(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation)
      1-8222       
(Commission
File Number)
          03-0111290         
(IRS Employer
Identification No.)

       77 Grove Street, Rutland, Vermont               05701       
(Address of principal executive offices)          (Zip Code)
 
Registrant's telephone number, including area code (802) 773-2711
 
 
                                      N/A                                      
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
 
¨   Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
 
¨   Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
 
¨   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
 
¨   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))


 
 

 


Item 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure.

This presentation will be conducted at the CVPS utility analyst luncheon in New York City, New York before an audience of electric industry analysts and industry professionals on Thursday, May 22, 2008.
 
Slide 1
CVPS Analyst Luncheon
New York City, May 22, 2008
Presented by Robert Young, Pamela Keefe and William Deehan
 
Slide 2
Safe Harbor Statement
Statements contained in this presentation that are not historical fact are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Whenever used in this presentation, the words “estimate,” “expect,” “believe,” or similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve estimates, assumptions, risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. Actual results will depend upon, among other things, the actions of regulators, performance of the Vermont Yankee nuclear power plant, effects of and changes in weather and economic conditions, volatility in wholesale power markets, our ability to maintain our current credit ratings, performance of our unregulated businesses, and other considerations such as the operations of ISO-New England, changes in the cost or availability of capital, authoritative accounting guidance, and the effect of the volatility in the equity markets on pension benefit and other costs. We cannot predict the outcome of any of these matters; accordingly, there can be no assurance that such indicated results will be realized. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
 
Investor Contact Information
 
Pamela J. Keefe
Vice President, CFO & Treasurer
(802) 747-5435
e-mail: pkeefe@cvps.com
 
Ann Warrell
Investor Relations Specialist
(802) 747-5697
e-mail: awarrel@cvps.com
 
Slide 3
CVPS Profile
 Vermont’s largest integrated electric utility
 CVPS serves 158,000 customers in a territory covering half of the area of Vermont
 Rural service territory of 20 customers per mile of line

Credit Ratings
Standard & Poor’s
Corporate Credit Rating
BB+
First Mortgage Bonds
BBB+
Preferred Stock
B+






 
 

 


COMMON STOCK PROFILE (NYSE: CV)
Quarter Ended March 31, 2008
 
Market Capitalization
  $ 246,863,411  
Book Value
  $ 18.52  
Market-to-Book
    1.29  
12-month Range
  $ 22.40-$41.05  
Price/Earnings Ratio
    15.62  
Debt/Equity Ratio
    61 %
Average Daily Volume
    62,044  
Shares Outstanding
    10,329,013  
Annualized Dividend Yield
    3.85 %

Slide 4
Today’s Discussion Topics
Accomplishments & attributes
Key measures of success
Regulatory update
Infrastructure improvements and investments
Financial position and performance
Long-term strategy
 
Slide 5
Attributes & Recent Accomplishments
Rate increase 2.3% January 2008
Lowest rates among major utilities in New England
Among lowest carbon-emitting power mixes in the U.S.
2007 EEI Emergency Recovery Award for April 2007 storm response
Customer transactional satisfaction rated 90%
Exceeded 17 SERVE standards for third straight year
CVPS ranked first in Northeast region for price and value, image, and billing and payment in J.D. Power survey
 
Slide 6
Key Measures of Success
Keep customer rates low while maintaining superior reliability
Meet SERVE standards
Restore credit rating to investment grade
Increase rate base on which shareholders earn a return
Complete capital projects through Asset Management Plan, including AMI, through 2012 and beyond
Achieve positive regulatory outcomes
Gain approval of Alternative Regulation Proposal
Maintain positive, productive relationship with regulators
Secure stable, long-term, clean, competitively priced energy supplies
Negotiate future contracts with Vermont Yankee and Hydro-Quebec
Meet Vermont’s RPS requirements


 
 

 


Slide 7
Regulatory Update
Alternative Regulation Plan
Proposal filed Aug. 31, 2007
CVPS proposal includes:
Quarterly power cost adjustment mechanism
Annual earnings sharing mechanism (subject to collar)
Annual base rate adjustment (subject to caps)
Timeline for rate adjustments and plan expiration
Hearings scheduled for July and negotiations are ongoing
Plan would be effective Nov. 1 (whether settled or litigated)
Anticipate additional rate change Jan. 1, 2009
 
Slide 8
Regulatory Update
Vermont Yankee relicensing
As part of 2002 sale of Vermont Yankee, Vermont Legislature to vote on plant relicensing
Public Service Board has permitting authority
New, favorable long-term utility contracts would position Vermont Yankee as critical power resource in Vermont

Vermont Yankee Timeline
Public Service Board to address Entergy/Vermont Yankee corporate restructuring
September 2008
Nuclear Regulatory Commission decision expected
November 2008
Vermont Public Service Board expected to address Vermont Yankee relicensing
Spring 2009
Vermont Legislature expected to address Vermont Yankee relicensing
May 2009
Vermont Yankee Forward Capacity Market bidding for June 2012 to May 2013 pricing
2009
Current Vermont Yankee license expires
March 21, 2012

Slide 9
Regulatory Update
Renewable Portfolio Standard
Vermont SPEED (RPS) law requires that, by 2013, new renewable resources must equal 5% of state’s total retail sales in 2005, plus net sales growth after 2005
New renewables may be:
Hydro, methane recapture, wind, solar, wood products, etc.
Generated in-state or outside Vermont
Less than 80 megawatts
Increased output from pre-2005 renewable project
Standard applies collectively to Vermont utilities; if not met, individual RPS standards would be applied
 
Slide 10
Aging Infrastructure Drives Cap Ex Increases
CAIDI performance (outage duration) has proven consistent over time, demonstrating continued, superior outage response performance
SAIFI performance (outage frequency) has declined
Trees, equipment failure and animal outages are primary causes
Asset Management Plan addresses reliability with targeted spending


 
 

 


OVERALL SYSTEM RELIABILITY (SAIFI)
2003
1.86
2004
1.55
2005
1.86
2006
2.09
2007
2.45
2008
2.68

System reliability results indicate need for long-term infrastructure investments
 
Slide 11
Asset Management Plan Prioritizes Capital Projects
Asset Management Plan Objectives
Use continuous improvement techniques to optimize efficiencies of transmission & distribution, generating and supporting infrastructure assets
Manage the long term risk of our aging infrastructure
Improve the safety of our assets and keep the system in compliance with the National Electric Safety Code
Minimize capex spikes by leveling expenditures over time
Economically improve system reliability
Develop optimal replacement and maintenance programs that balance meeting the SERVE standards and customer expectations with available capital and system replacement needs
 
Slide 12
Future Energy Planning Considerations
System reliability
Improving transmission and distribution infrastructure to ensure continued high system reliability
Cost
Forward capacity market
Low emission choices are more expensive
Environmental Impact
CVPS committed to responsible stewardship of the environment through CVPS Cow Power™ and CVPS plug ‘n go™
Energy portfolio diversity
Plan to improve energy portfolio diversity to limit risk exposure to any given source
 
Slide 13
Future Power Supply Planning
Integrated resource approach to acquiring future power supply
Competitive solicitation
Long-term contract negotiations
New Vermont utility-owned power sources
Distributed generation
Integrated Resource Plan to be updated in 2008

2007 CVPS ENERGY SOURCES
Nuclear (1)
48.0%
Hydro (2)
39.3%
Oil (3)
1.8%
Wood (4)
3.9%
Methane (5)
0.1%
System Power/unspecified (6)
6.9%


 
 

 


Slide 14
Future Power Supply Planning Under Way
Joint utility feasibility study will show potential for new,
in-state, base load generation
Phase I results considered cost estimates and economic feasibility
Phase II of study results expected at end of May, will discuss infrastructure, fuel, transmission and permitting considerations
Department of Public Service public engagement process completed
Report details available online at http://www.vermontsenergyfuture.info/Results%20and%20reports.html
Revealed attributes customers want in future power resources
Results will be incorporated in updated CVPS Integrated Resource Plan
 
Slide 15
Developments in Power Supply Planning
Forward Capacity Market
New market undergoing administered transition from 2006 to 2010
First auction showed strong competition; considerable capacity bid into market
CVPS expects to largely self-supply capacity requirement through 2012
Expected cost impact of $1.5 million per year
Demand-side management
Vermont efficiency utility targeting specific areas for
transmission DSM
CVPS including DSM as part of Southern Loop
transmission solutions
CVPS sells ~50% of its retail kWh through time-of-day and load management rate offerings
 
Slide 16
2008 First Quarter Financial Summary
Q1 earnings of $0.56 per share
Successful first mortgage bond issuance
S-3 shelf registration filed

   
Quarter ended March 31, 2008
   
Quarter ended March 31, 2007
 
Operating Revenues
           
Retail sales
  $ 75,406     $ 75,541  
Resale sales
    13,502       9,607  
Other
    2,316       1,548  
Total operating revenue
  $ 91,224     $ 86,696  
Operating Expenses
               
Purchased power
  $ 42,906     $ 42,260  
Other operating expenses
    40,027       35,535  
Income tax expense
    1,859       2,838  
Equity in Earnings of Affiliates
  $ 4,185     $ 1,702  
Net Income
  $ 5,908     $ 5,706  
Earnings per share of common stock – diluted
  $ 0.56     $ 0.55  
   
Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts
 


 
 

 


Slide 17
Rate Base Trends
CVPS RATE BASE – ACTUAL AND PROJECTED

Dollars in millions
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Projected Rate Base
$236
$236
$302
$344
$386
$413
$444
$477

Projected CAGR of 8% to 10% from 2007 - 2012
 
Slide 18
Capital Spending Trends

HISTORIC & PROJECTED CAPITAL SPENDING
 
2005
  $ 17,467,055  
2006
  $ 18,059,326  
2007
  $ 23,065,404  
2008
  $ 42,605,736  
2009
  $ 28,735,550  
2010
  $ 49,128,145  
2011
  $ 52,432,547  
2012
  $ 47,516,520  

Historical spending has not been inflated to 2008 dollars. Projected spending includes inflationary assumptions.
 
Slide 19
VELCO Investment Background
 Vermont’s transmission operator
 FERC-regulated
 Owned by 20 Vermont utilities, including investor-owned, municipals and cooperatives
 Independent management and board of directors
 CVPS owns 46%; equity investments generally based on load share of 43%
 Organized LLC (called Transco) in 2006 to improve tax advantages of transmission ownership
 
Slide 20
Additional Capital Investments
VELCO
2007 investment financed with a $53 million bridge loan
Refinanced with first mortgage bonds at 6.83%
2008 VELCO investment up to
$2 million
Next sizable VELCO investment in 2009
Beyond 2009, amounts to be determined

VELCO INVESTMENTS 2004 - 2009
 
2004
  $ 7,000,000  
2005
  $ 0  
2006
  $ 23,291,080  
2007
  $ 53,000,000  
2008
  $ 2,000,000 *
2009
  $ 22,804,954  

* possible 2008 investment up to $2 million


 
 

 


Slide 21
Capital Needs & Drivers
Issued $60 million first mortgage bonds (20-year, 6.83%) to replace bridge facility
Subject to regulatory approvals, planning equity offering up to
$25 million later in 2008
Will likely issue debt in varying amounts annually through 2012
Tentatively planning to issue equity around 2010 to rebalance capital structure
Targeting debt to total capital over time of 40% to 45%
 
Slide 22
2008 Earnings Guidance & Dividends
2008 Earnings Guidance
$1.50 - $1.60 per diluted share
Guidance Drivers:
Variability in transmission costs
Increased capital spending not recovered in rates
(due to lag)
Expected market price of power (exposure largely on resale sales)
Dividends
$ 0.92 annual dividend
61% payout ratio (as of March 31, 2008), in line with peers
Long-term strategy is for payout ratio to remain in line with peer utilities
Over short term, significant amount of available capital is be deployed in infrastructure improvements
 
Slide 23
Long-Term Strategy
Provide superior customer service and reliability
Improve financial strength to restore our credit rating to investment grade and to fuel capital investments in our core business and VELCO
Partner with the state and other utilities to create a vibrant electric future for Vermont
 
These strategies create shareholder value over the long term
 
Slide 24
Investment Attributes
1. Progress continues toward improving financial strength
2. Competitive rates and superior operating performance
3. Increasing shareholder value through core business investments
4. Dividend payout in line with peer utilities

Slide 25
Appendix
CVPS Analyst Luncheon
 
Slide 26
Current CVPS Power Supply Among Cleanest

2007 CVPS ENERGY SOURCES
Nuclear (1)
48.0%
Hydro (2)
39.3%
Oil (3)
1.8%
Wood (4)
3.9%
Methane (5)
0.1%
System Power/unspecified (6)
6.9%


 
 

 


2007 U.S. ENERGY SOURCES
Coal
49.0%
Gas
21.0%
Nuclear
19.0%
Hydro
6.0%
Renewables
2.0%
Oil
2.0%
Other
1.0%

Slide 27
Favorable Long-term Power Contracts
Current market price for power 8-10 cents/kWh
Vermont Yankee contract, license expires in 2012
Power currently priced at 4.1 cents/kWh
Supplies 32% of state’s power and 43% of CVPS’s power
Hydro-Quebec contract begins to expire in 2012
Power currently priced at 6.5 cents/kWh
Power contract ends in phases from 2012 to 2016
Supplies 31% of state’s and 30% of CVPS’s power
 
Slide 28
Adjusted Rate Base
(as approved in 2007 rate case)
 
dollars in millions
 
Utility plant in service, net
  $ 284,794  
Investments in affiliates
    93,424  
Working capital allowance
    23,621  
Accumulated deferred income taxes
    (53,134 )
Accrued post retirement medical expenses
    (2,737 )
All other, net
    (701 )
Total Rate Base
  $ 343,884  
Test year is the 12 months ended Dec. 31, 2006
 

Slide 29
Cost of Capital
Rates according to 2007 approved rate case
 
   
Adjusted
   
% of Total
   
Cost Rate
   
Weighted%
 
Long Term Debt
  $ 176,750       47.29 %     6.35 %     3.00 %
Preferred Stock
    10,054       2.69 %     5.32 %     0.14 %
Common Equity
    186,933       50.02 %     10.21 %     5.11 %
Total
  $ 373,737       100.00               8.25 %

Slide 30
CVPS Transactional Customer Satisfaction Measured Quarterly
July 06
92%
Oct 06
90%
Jan 07
90%
April 07
93%%
July 07
92%
Oct 07
88%
Jan 08
93%
April 08
90%
National Average
87%


 
 

 


Slide 31
CVPS Compares Favorably in JD Power Customer Survey
Overall Residential Customer Satisfaction Index
PPL Electric Utilities
710
Allegheny Power
688
Central Vermont Public Service
687
Duquesne Light
677
Public Service Electric and Gas
665
Energy East
664
FirstEnergy-East
664
Exelon-PECO
658
EAST REGION AVERAGE
641
Pepco Holdings
634
National Grid
631
Northeast Utilities
622
NSTAR Electric
614
Baltimore Gas & Electric
610
Con Edison
603
Long Island Power Authority
567

Slide 32
Vermont Regulators
Vermont Department of Public Service
Public advocate
Commissioner appointed by governor
Vermont Public Service Board
Adjudicating body
Three-member board
Appointed by governor
Six-year, staggered terms
Governor James Douglas (R)
First elected in 2002, currently in third, two-year term
Previously elected as Vermont Treasurer and Secretary of State
Seeking re-election in 2008


 
 

 
 
Slide 33
Future Energy Planning

Time Period
Bulk Supply Options
Core Actions
Renewables
Demand
AMI/Rates
2012
HQ contract
Extension Negotiations
Resource Choices
SPEED
New Renewable CHP
Efficiency Vermont
Distributed Utility Resources
 
Automated Metering/Information Investment
Rate Redesign
 
2011
HQ contract
Extension Negotiations
E-23 Resource Solicitation
SPEED
New Renewable CHP
Efficiency Vermont
Distributed Utility Resources
 
Automated Metering/Information Investment
Rate Redesign
 
2010
HQ contract
Extension Negotiations
Integrated Resource Plan
SPEED
New Renewable CHP
Efficiency Vermont
Distributed Utility Resources
 
Automated Metering/Information Investment
Rate Redesign
 
2009
HQ contract
Extension Negotiations
Resource Choice & Approvals
SPEED
New Renewable CHP
Efficiency Vermont
Distributed Utility Resources
 
Rate Redesign
2008
HQ contract
Extension Negotiations
ENVY Contract Renegotiation
 
Legislative Process
E-23 Resource Solicitation
SPEED
New Renewable CHP
Efficiency Vermont
Distributed Utility Resources
 
Rate Redesign
2007
HQ contract
Extension Negotiations
ENVY Contract Renegotiation Vermont Power Plant Feasibility Study
DPS Public Engagement Process
Integrated Resource Plan
SPEED
New Renewable CHP
Efficiency Vermont
Distributed Utility Resources
Rate Redesign

Slide 34
CVPS Cow Power™ Supports Renewable Energy Development
Nation’s first direct farm-to-consumer renewable energy choice program
Creates market for manure-based methane generation
Over 4,000 CVPS customers (2.5%) voluntarily purchase Cow Power
Participation ranked in top 20% of renewable choice programs nationwide
Winner of 2006 Governor’s Environmental Excellence Award
Finalist for 2007 Edison Award

Slide 35
CVPS plug ‘n go™ Makes Environmental Responsibility Attractive to Customers
Program allows customer use of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles with CVPS off-peak electric rates
Allows customers to reduce carbon emissions and gasoline costs by substituting off-peak electricity
Off-peak rates provide transportation cost equivalent to less than $1 per gallon of gasoline
First utility in the nation to offer advantage of off-peak charging with standard tariff rates to plug-in hybrid and electric vehicle owners/customers


 
 

 


SIGNATURE
 
      Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
 

CENTRAL VERMONT PUBLIC SERVICE CORPORATION
   
By
  /s/ Pamela J. Keefe                               
Pamela J. Keefe
Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer

May 20, 2008

 
 

 

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