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Regulatory Matters
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2012
Regulatory Matters Disclosure [Line Items]  
Regulatory Matters

5.       REGULATORY MATTERS

On January 8, 2011, Progress Energy and Duke Energy entered into the Merger Agreement. See Note 2 for regulatory information related to the merger with Duke Energy.

A.       PEC RETAIL RATE MATTERS

COST RECOVERY FILINGS

On March 1, 2012, PEC filed with the SCPSC for a $5 million increase in the demand-side management (DSM) and energy-efficiency (EE) rate, driven by the introduction of new, and the expansion of existing, DSM and EE programs. If approved, the increase will be effective July 1, 2012, and will increase residential electric bills by $1.37 per 1,000 kilowatt-hours (kWh). We cannot predict the outcome of this matter.

B.       PEF RETAIL RATE MATTERS

CR3 OUTAGE

In September 2009, Crystal River Nuclear Plant Unit 3 (CR3) began an outage for normal refueling and maintenance as well as an uprate project to increase its generating capability and to replace two steam generators. During preparations to replace the steam generators, workers discovered a delamination (or separation) within the concrete at the periphery of the containment building, which resulted in an extension of the outage. After analysis, PEF determined that the concrete delamination at CR3 was caused by redistribution of stresses in the containment wall that occurred when PEF created an opening to accommodate the replacement of the unit's steam generators. In March 2011, the work to return the plant to service was suspended after monitoring equipment at the repair site identified a new delamination that occurred in a different section of the outer wall after the repair work was completed and during the late stages of retensioning the containment building. CR3 has remained out of service while PEF conducted an engineering analysis and review of the new delamination and evaluated repair options. Subsequent to March 2011, monitoring equipment has detected additional changes and further damage in the partially tensioned containment building and additional cracking or delaminations could occur during the repair process.

PEF analyzed multiple repair options as well as early decommissioning and believes, based on the information and analyses conducted to date, that repairing the unit is the best option. PEF engaged outside engineering consultants to perform the analysis of possible repair options for the containment building. The consultants analyzed 22 potential repair options and ultimately narrowed those to four. PEF, along with other independent consultants, reviewed the four options for technical issues, constructability, and licensing feasibility as well as cost.

Based on that initial analysis, PEF selected the best repair option, which would entail systematically removing and replacing concrete in substantial portions of the containment structure walls. The planned option does not include the area where concrete was replaced during the initial repair. The preliminary cost estimate for this repair as filed with the FPSC on June 27, 2011, is between $900 million and $1.3 billion. Engineering design of the repair is under way. PEF will update the current estimate as this work is completed.

PEF is moving forward systematically and will perform additional detailed engineering analyses and designs, which could affect any repair plan. This process will lead to more certainty for the cost and schedule of the repair. PEF will continue to refine and assess the plan, and the prudence of continuing to pursue it, based on new developments and analyses as the process moves forward. Under this repair plan, PEF estimates that CR3 will return to service in 2014. The decision related to repairing or decommissioning CR3 is complex and subject to a number of unknown factors, including but not limited to, the cost of repair and the likelihood of obtaining NRC approval to restart CR3 after repair. A number of factors could affect the repair plan, the return-to-service date and costs, including regulatory reviews, final engineering designs, contract negotiations, the ultimate work scope completion, testing, weather, the impact of new information discovered during additional testing and analysis and other developments.

PEF maintains insurance coverage against incremental costs of replacement power resulting from prolonged accidental outages at CR3 through Nuclear Electric Insurance Limited (NEIL). NEIL has confirmed that the CR3 initial delamination is a covered accident but has not yet made a determination as to coverage for the second delamination. Following a 12-week deductible period, the NEIL program provided reimbursement for replacement power costs for 52 weeks at $4.5 million per week, through April 9, 2011. An additional 71 weeks of coverage, which runs through August 2012, is provided at $3.6 million per week. Accordingly, the NEIL program provides replacement power coverage of up to $490 million per event. Actual replacement power costs have exceeded the insurance coverage through March 31, 2012. PEF anticipates that future replacement power costs will continue to exceed the insurance coverage. PEF also maintains insurance coverage through NEIL's accidental property damage program, which provides insurance coverage up to $2.25 billion with a $10 million deductible per claim.

PEF is continuing to work with NEIL for recovery of applicable repair costs and associated replacement power costs. PEF has not yet received a definitive determination from NEIL about the insurance coverage related to the second delamination. In addition, no replacement power reimbursements have been received from NEIL since May 2011. These considerations led us to conclude that it was not probable that NEIL will voluntarily pay the full coverage amounts we believe they owe under the applicable insurance policies. Given the circumstances, accounting standards require full recovery to be probable to recognize an insurance receivable. Therefore, PEF has not recorded insurance receivables from NEIL related to the second delamination. Negotiations continue with NEIL regarding coverage associated with the second delamination, and PEF continues to believe that all applicable costs associated with bringing CR3 back into service are covered under all insurance policies.

The following table summarizes the CR3 replacement power and repair costs and recovery through March 31, 2012:

(in millions)Replacement Power Costs Repair Costs
Spent to date$506$279
NEIL proceeds received to date (162) (143)
Insurance receivable at March 31, 2012, net (55) 0
 Balance for recovery(a)$289$136
       
(a)  See "2012 Settlement Agreement" below for discussion of PEF's ability to recover prudently incurred fuel and purchased power costs and CR3 repair costs.
       

PEF believes the actions taken and costs incurred in response to the CR3 delamination have been prudent and, accordingly, considers replacement power and capital costs not recoverable through insurance to be recoverable through its fuel cost-recovery clause or base rates. Additional replacement power costs and repair and maintenance costs incurred until CR3 is returned to service could be material. Additionally, we cannot be assured that CR3 can be repaired and brought back to service until full engineering and other analyses are completed.

2012 SETTLEMENT AGREEMENT

On February 22, 2012, the FPSC approved a comprehensive settlement agreement among PEF, the Florida Office of Public Counsel and other consumer advocates. The 2012 settlement agreement will continue through the last billing cycle of December 2016. The agreement addresses three principal matters: PEF's proposed Levy Nuclear Power Plant (Levy) Nuclear Project cost recovery, the CR3 delamination prudence review then pending before the FPSC, and certain base rate issues. When all of the settlement provisions are factored in, the total increase in 2013 for residential customer bills will be approximately $4.93 per 1,000 kWh, or 4 percent.

Levy

Under the terms of the 2012 settlement agreement, PEF will set the residential cost-recovery factor of PEF's proposed two units at Levy (see “Nuclear Cost Recovery – Levy Nuclear”) at $3.45 per 1,000 kWh effective in the first billing cycle of January 2013 and continuing for a five-year period. PEF will not recover any additional Levy costs from customers through the term of the agreement, or file for any additional recovery before March 1, 2017, unless otherwise agreed to by the parties to the agreement. This amount is intended to recover the estimated retail project costs to date plus costs necessary to obtain the combined license (COL) and any engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) cancellation costs, if PEF ultimately chooses to cancel that contract. In addition, the consumer parties will not oppose PEF continuing to pursue a COL for Levy. After the five-year period, PEF will true up any actual costs not recovered under the Levy cost-recovery factor.

The 2012 settlement agreement also provides that PEF will treat the allocated wholesale cost of Levy as a retail regulatory asset and include this asset as a component of rate base and amortization expense for regulatory reporting. PEF will have the discretion to accelerate and/or suspend such amortization in full or in part provided that PEF amortizes all of the regulatory asset by December 31, 2016.

CR3

Under the terms of the 2012 settlement agreement, PEF will be permitted to recover prudently incurred fuel and purchased power costs through the fuel clause without regard for the absence of CR3 for the period from the beginning of the CR3 outage through the earlier of the term of the agreement or the return of CR3 to commercial service. If PEF does not begin repairs of CR3 prior to the end of 2012, PEF will refund replacement power costs on a pro rata basis based on the in-service date of up to $40 million in 2015 and $60 million in 2016. The parties to the agreement waive their right to challenge PEF's recovery of replacement power costs. The parties to the agreement maintain the right to challenge the prudence and reasonableness of PEF's fuel acquisition and power purchases, and other fuel prudence issues unrelated to the CR3 outage. All prudence issues from the steam generator project inception through the date of settlement approval by the FPSC are resolved.

To the extent that PEF pursues the repair of CR3, PEF will establish an estimated cost and repair schedule with ongoing consultation with the parties to the agreement. The established cost, to be approved by our board of directors, will be the basis for project measurement. If costs exceed the board-approved estimate, overruns will be split evenly between our shareholders and PEF customers up to $400 million. The parties to the agreement agree to discuss the method of recovery of any overruns in excess of $400 million, with final decision by the FPSC if resolution cannot be reached. If the repairs begin prior to the end of 2012, the parties to the agreement waive their rights to challenge PEF's decision to repair and the repair plan chosen by PEF. In addition, there will be limited rights to challenge recovery of the repair execution costs incurred prior to the final resolution on NEIL coverage. The parties to the agreement will discuss the treatment of any potential gap between NEIL repair coverage and the estimated cost, with final decision by the FPSC if resolution cannot be reached. If the repairs do not begin prior to the end of 2012, the parties to the agreement reserve the right to challenge the prudence of PEF's repair decision, plan and implementation.

PEF also retains sole discretion and flexibility to retire the unit without challenge from the parties to the agreement. If PEF decides to retire CR3, PEF is allowed to recover all remaining CR3 investments and to earn a return on the CR3 investments set at its current authorized overall cost of capital, adjusted to reflect a return on equity (ROE) set at 70 percent of the current FPSC-authorized ROE, no earlier than the first billing cycle of January 2017. Additionally, any NEIL proceeds received after the settlement will be applied first to replacement power costs incurred after December 31, 2012, with the remainder used to write down the remaining CR3 investments.

Base Rates, Customer Refund and Other Terms

Under the terms of the 2012 settlement agreement, PEF will maintain base rates at the current levels through the last billing cycle of December 2016, except as described as follows. The agreement provides for a $150 million annual increase in revenue requirements effective with the first billing cycle of January 2013, while maintaining the current ROE range of 9.5 percent to 11.5 percent. PEF suspended depreciation expense and reversed certain regulatory liabilities associated with CR3 effective on the February 22, 2012 implementation date of the agreement, resulting in a $47 million benefit for the quarter ended March 31, 2012, which reduced O&M expense. Additionally, rate base associated with CR3 investments will be removed from retail rate base effective with the first billing cycle of January 2013. PEF will accrue, for future rate-setting purposes, a carrying charge at a rate of 7.4 percent on the CR3 investment until CR3 is returned to service and placed back into retail rate base. Upon return of CR3 to commercial service, PEF will be authorized to increase its base rates for the annual revenue requirements of all CR3 investments. The parties to the agreement reserve the right to participate in any hearings challenging the appropriateness of PEF's CR3 revenue requirements. In the month following CR3's return to commercial service, PEF's ROE range will increase to 9.7 percent to 11.7 percent. If PEF's retail base rate earnings fall below the ROE range, as reported on a FPSC-adjusted or pro-forma basis on a PEF monthly earnings surveillance report, PEF may petition the FPSC to amend its base rates during the term of the agreement.

Under the terms of the 2012 settlement agreement, PEF will refund $288 million to customers through the fuel clause. PEF will refund $129 million in each of 2013 and 2014, and an additional $10 million annually to residential and small commercial customers in 2014, 2015 and 2016. At December 31, 2011, a regulatory liability was established for the $288 million to be refunded in future periods. The corresponding charge was recorded as a reduction of 2011 revenues.

The cost of pollution control equipment that PEF installed and has in-service at Crystal River Units 4 and 5 (CR4 and CR5) to comply with the Federal Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) is currently recovered under the Environmental Cost Recovery Clause (ECRC). The 2012 settlement agreement provides for PEF to remove those assets from recovery in the ECRC and transfer those assets to base rates effective with the first billing cycle of January 2014. The related base rate increase will be in addition to the $150 million base rate increase effective January 2013. O&M expense associated with those assets will not be included in the base rates and will continue to be recovered through the ECRC.

The 2012 settlement agreement provides for PEF to continue to recover carrying costs and other nuclear cost recovery clause-recoverable items related to the CR3 uprate project, but PEF will not seek an in-service recovery until nine months following CR3's return to commercial service. Carrying costs will be recovered through the nuclear cost recovery clause until base rates have been increased for these assets.

The 2012 settlement agreement also allows PEF to continue to reduce amortization expense (cost of removal component) beyond the expiration of the 2010 settlement agreement through the term of the 2012 settlement agreement (see “Cost of Removal Reserve”). Additionally, the 2012 settlement agreement extends PEF's ability to expedite recovery of the cost of named storms and to maintain a storm reserve at its level as of the implementation date of the agreement, and removed the maximum allowed monthly surcharge established by the 2010 settlement agreement.

COST OF REMOVAL RESERVE

The 2012 and 2010 settlement agreements provide PEF the discretion to reduce amortization expense (cost of removal component) by up to the balance in the cost of removal reserve until the earlier of (a) PEF's applicable cost of removal reserve reaches zero, or (b) the expiration of the 2012 settlement agreement at the end of 2016. For the three months ended March 31, 2012, PEF recognized a $58 million reduction in amortization expense pursuant to the settlement agreements. PEF had eligible cost of removal reserves of $216 million remaining at March 31, 2012, which is impacted by accruals in accordance with PEF's latest depreciation study, removal costs expended and reductions in amortization expense as permitted by the settlement agreements.

NUCLEAR COST RECOVERY

Levy Nuclear

In 2008, the FPSC granted PEF's petition for an affirmative Determination of Need and related orders requesting cost recovery under Florida's nuclear cost-recovery rule for PEF's proposed Levy project, together with the associated facilities, including transmission lines and substation facilities.

On April 30, 2012, as part of PEF's annual nuclear cost recovery filing (see “Cost Recovery”), PEF updated the Levy project schedule and cost. Due to lower-than-projected customer demand, the lingering economic slowdown, uncertainty regarding potential carbon regulation and current, low natural gas prices, PEF is shifting the in-service date for the first Levy unit to 2024, with the second unit following 18 months later. The revised schedule is consistent with the recovery approach included in the 2012 settlement agreement. Although the scope and overnight cost for Levy – including land acquisition, related transmission work and other required investments – remain essentially unchanged, the shift in schedule will increase escalation and carrying costs and raise the total estimated project cost to between $19 billion and $24 billion.

Along with the FPSC's annual prudence reviews, we will continue to evaluate the project on an ongoing basis based on certain criteria, including, but not limited to, cost; potential carbon regulation; fossil fuel prices; the benefits of fuel diversification; public, regulatory and political support; adequate financial cost-recovery mechanisms; appropriate levels of joint owner participation; customer rate impacts; project feasibility; DSM and EE programs; and availability and terms of capital financing. Taking into account these criteria, we consider Levy to be PEF's preferred baseload generation option.

CR3 Uprate

In 2007, the FPSC issued an order approving PEF's Determination of Need petition related to a multi-stage uprate of CR3 that will increase CR3's gross output by approximately 180 MW during its next refueling outage. PEF implemented the first-stage design modifications in 2008. The final stage of the uprate required a license amendment to be filed with the NRC, which was filed by PEF in June 2011 and accepted for review by the NRC on November 21, 2011.

Cost Recovery

On April 30, 2012, PEF filed its annual nuclear cost-recovery filing with the FPSC to recover $152 million, which includes recovery of pre-construction and carrying costs and Capacity Cost-Recovery Clause (CCRC) recoverable O&M expense incurred or anticipated to be incurred during 2013, recovery of $88 million of prior years deferrals in 2013, as well as the estimated actual true-up of 2012 costs associated with the CR3 uprate and Levy projects, as permitted by the 2012 settlement agreement. This results in an increase in the nuclear cost-recovery charge of $2.23 per 1,000 kWh for residential customers, which if approved, would begin with the first January 2013 billing cycle. The FPSC has scheduled hearings in this matter for August 2012, with a decision expected in October 2012. We cannot predict the outcome of this matter.

DEMAND-SIDE MANAGEMENT COST RECOVERY

On July 26, 2011, the FPSC voted to set PEF's DSM compliance goals to remain at their current level until the next goal setting docket is initiated. An intervener filed a protest to the FPSC's Proposed Agency Action order, asserting legal challenges to the order. The parties made legal arguments to the FPSC and the FPSC issued an order denying the protest on December 22, 2011. The intervener then filed a notice of appeal of this order to the Florida Supreme Court on January 17, 2012. We cannot predict the outcome of this matter.

OTHER MATTERS

On March 29, 2012, PEF announced plans to convert the 1,011-MW Anclote Units 1 and 2 (Anclote) from oil and natural gas fired to 100 percent natural gas fired and requested that the FPSC permit recovery of the estimated $79 million conversion cost through the ECRC. PEF believes this conversion is the most cost-effective alternative for Anclote to achieve and maintain compliance with applicable environmental regulations (see Note 13B). PEF anticipates that both converted units will be placed in service by the end of 2013. We cannot predict the outcome of this matter.

PEC
 
Regulatory Matters Disclosure [Line Items]  
Regulatory Matters

5.       REGULATORY MATTERS

On January 8, 2011, Progress Energy and Duke Energy entered into the Merger Agreement. See Note 2 for regulatory information related to the merger with Duke Energy.

A.       PEC RETAIL RATE MATTERS

COST RECOVERY FILINGS

On March 1, 2012, PEC filed with the SCPSC for a $5 million increase in the demand-side management (DSM) and energy-efficiency (EE) rate, driven by the introduction of new, and the expansion of existing, DSM and EE programs. If approved, the increase will be effective July 1, 2012, and will increase residential electric bills by $1.37 per 1,000 kilowatt-hours (kWh). We cannot predict the outcome of this matter.

PEF
 
Regulatory Matters Disclosure [Line Items]  
Regulatory Matters

5.       REGULATORY MATTERS

On January 8, 2011, Progress Energy and Duke Energy entered into the Merger Agreement. See Note 2 for regulatory information related to the merger with Duke Energy.

B.       PEF RETAIL RATE MATTERS

CR3 OUTAGE

In September 2009, Crystal River Nuclear Plant Unit 3 (CR3) began an outage for normal refueling and maintenance as well as an uprate project to increase its generating capability and to replace two steam generators. During preparations to replace the steam generators, workers discovered a delamination (or separation) within the concrete at the periphery of the containment building, which resulted in an extension of the outage. After analysis, PEF determined that the concrete delamination at CR3 was caused by redistribution of stresses in the containment wall that occurred when PEF created an opening to accommodate the replacement of the unit's steam generators. In March 2011, the work to return the plant to service was suspended after monitoring equipment at the repair site identified a new delamination that occurred in a different section of the outer wall after the repair work was completed and during the late stages of retensioning the containment building. CR3 has remained out of service while PEF conducted an engineering analysis and review of the new delamination and evaluated repair options. Subsequent to March 2011, monitoring equipment has detected additional changes and further damage in the partially tensioned containment building and additional cracking or delaminations could occur during the repair process.

PEF analyzed multiple repair options as well as early decommissioning and believes, based on the information and analyses conducted to date, that repairing the unit is the best option. PEF engaged outside engineering consultants to perform the analysis of possible repair options for the containment building. The consultants analyzed 22 potential repair options and ultimately narrowed those to four. PEF, along with other independent consultants, reviewed the four options for technical issues, constructability, and licensing feasibility as well as cost.

Based on that initial analysis, PEF selected the best repair option, which would entail systematically removing and replacing concrete in substantial portions of the containment structure walls. The planned option does not include the area where concrete was replaced during the initial repair. The preliminary cost estimate for this repair as filed with the FPSC on June 27, 2011, is between $900 million and $1.3 billion. Engineering design of the repair is under way. PEF will update the current estimate as this work is completed.

PEF is moving forward systematically and will perform additional detailed engineering analyses and designs, which could affect any repair plan. This process will lead to more certainty for the cost and schedule of the repair. PEF will continue to refine and assess the plan, and the prudence of continuing to pursue it, based on new developments and analyses as the process moves forward. Under this repair plan, PEF estimates that CR3 will return to service in 2014. The decision related to repairing or decommissioning CR3 is complex and subject to a number of unknown factors, including but not limited to, the cost of repair and the likelihood of obtaining NRC approval to restart CR3 after repair. A number of factors could affect the repair plan, the return-to-service date and costs, including regulatory reviews, final engineering designs, contract negotiations, the ultimate work scope completion, testing, weather, the impact of new information discovered during additional testing and analysis and other developments.

PEF maintains insurance coverage against incremental costs of replacement power resulting from prolonged accidental outages at CR3 through Nuclear Electric Insurance Limited (NEIL). NEIL has confirmed that the CR3 initial delamination is a covered accident but has not yet made a determination as to coverage for the second delamination. Following a 12-week deductible period, the NEIL program provided reimbursement for replacement power costs for 52 weeks at $4.5 million per week, through April 9, 2011. An additional 71 weeks of coverage, which runs through August 2012, is provided at $3.6 million per week. Accordingly, the NEIL program provides replacement power coverage of up to $490 million per event. Actual replacement power costs have exceeded the insurance coverage through March 31, 2012. PEF anticipates that future replacement power costs will continue to exceed the insurance coverage. PEF also maintains insurance coverage through NEIL's accidental property damage program, which provides insurance coverage up to $2.25 billion with a $10 million deductible per claim.

PEF is continuing to work with NEIL for recovery of applicable repair costs and associated replacement power costs. PEF has not yet received a definitive determination from NEIL about the insurance coverage related to the second delamination. In addition, no replacement power reimbursements have been received from NEIL since May 2011. These considerations led us to conclude that it was not probable that NEIL will voluntarily pay the full coverage amounts we believe they owe under the applicable insurance policies. Given the circumstances, accounting standards require full recovery to be probable to recognize an insurance receivable. Therefore, PEF has not recorded insurance receivables from NEIL related to the second delamination. Negotiations continue with NEIL regarding coverage associated with the second delamination, and PEF continues to believe that all applicable costs associated with bringing CR3 back into service are covered under all insurance policies.

The following table summarizes the CR3 replacement power and repair costs and recovery through March 31, 2012:

(in millions)Replacement Power Costs Repair Costs
Spent to date$506$279
NEIL proceeds received to date (162) (143)
Insurance receivable at March 31, 2012, net (55) 0
 Balance for recovery(a)$289$136
       
(a)  See "2012 Settlement Agreement" below for discussion of PEF's ability to recover prudently incurred fuel and purchased power costs and CR3 repair costs.
       

PEF believes the actions taken and costs incurred in response to the CR3 delamination have been prudent and, accordingly, considers replacement power and capital costs not recoverable through insurance to be recoverable through its fuel cost-recovery clause or base rates. Additional replacement power costs and repair and maintenance costs incurred until CR3 is returned to service could be material. Additionally, we cannot be assured that CR3 can be repaired and brought back to service until full engineering and other analyses are completed.

2012 SETTLEMENT AGREEMENT

On February 22, 2012, the FPSC approved a comprehensive settlement agreement among PEF, the Florida Office of Public Counsel and other consumer advocates. The 2012 settlement agreement will continue through the last billing cycle of December 2016. The agreement addresses three principal matters: PEF's proposed Levy Nuclear Power Plant (Levy) Nuclear Project cost recovery, the CR3 delamination prudence review then pending before the FPSC, and certain base rate issues. When all of the settlement provisions are factored in, the total increase in 2013 for residential customer bills will be approximately $4.93 per 1,000 kWh, or 4 percent.

Levy

Under the terms of the 2012 settlement agreement, PEF will set the residential cost-recovery factor of PEF's proposed two units at Levy (see “Nuclear Cost Recovery – Levy Nuclear”) at $3.45 per 1,000 kWh effective in the first billing cycle of January 2013 and continuing for a five-year period. PEF will not recover any additional Levy costs from customers through the term of the agreement, or file for any additional recovery before March 1, 2017, unless otherwise agreed to by the parties to the agreement. This amount is intended to recover the estimated retail project costs to date plus costs necessary to obtain the combined license (COL) and any engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) cancellation costs, if PEF ultimately chooses to cancel that contract. In addition, the consumer parties will not oppose PEF continuing to pursue a COL for Levy. After the five-year period, PEF will true up any actual costs not recovered under the Levy cost-recovery factor.

The 2012 settlement agreement also provides that PEF will treat the allocated wholesale cost of Levy as a retail regulatory asset and include this asset as a component of rate base and amortization expense for regulatory reporting. PEF will have the discretion to accelerate and/or suspend such amortization in full or in part provided that PEF amortizes all of the regulatory asset by December 31, 2016.

CR3

Under the terms of the 2012 settlement agreement, PEF will be permitted to recover prudently incurred fuel and purchased power costs through the fuel clause without regard for the absence of CR3 for the period from the beginning of the CR3 outage through the earlier of the term of the agreement or the return of CR3 to commercial service. If PEF does not begin repairs of CR3 prior to the end of 2012, PEF will refund replacement power costs on a pro rata basis based on the in-service date of up to $40 million in 2015 and $60 million in 2016. The parties to the agreement waive their right to challenge PEF's recovery of replacement power costs. The parties to the agreement maintain the right to challenge the prudence and reasonableness of PEF's fuel acquisition and power purchases, and other fuel prudence issues unrelated to the CR3 outage. All prudence issues from the steam generator project inception through the date of settlement approval by the FPSC are resolved.

To the extent that PEF pursues the repair of CR3, PEF will establish an estimated cost and repair schedule with ongoing consultation with the parties to the agreement. The established cost, to be approved by our board of directors, will be the basis for project measurement. If costs exceed the board-approved estimate, overruns will be split evenly between our shareholders and PEF customers up to $400 million. The parties to the agreement agree to discuss the method of recovery of any overruns in excess of $400 million, with final decision by the FPSC if resolution cannot be reached. If the repairs begin prior to the end of 2012, the parties to the agreement waive their rights to challenge PEF's decision to repair and the repair plan chosen by PEF. In addition, there will be limited rights to challenge recovery of the repair execution costs incurred prior to the final resolution on NEIL coverage. The parties to the agreement will discuss the treatment of any potential gap between NEIL repair coverage and the estimated cost, with final decision by the FPSC if resolution cannot be reached. If the repairs do not begin prior to the end of 2012, the parties to the agreement reserve the right to challenge the prudence of PEF's repair decision, plan and implementation.

PEF also retains sole discretion and flexibility to retire the unit without challenge from the parties to the agreement. If PEF decides to retire CR3, PEF is allowed to recover all remaining CR3 investments and to earn a return on the CR3 investments set at its current authorized overall cost of capital, adjusted to reflect a return on equity (ROE) set at 70 percent of the current FPSC-authorized ROE, no earlier than the first billing cycle of January 2017. Additionally, any NEIL proceeds received after the settlement will be applied first to replacement power costs incurred after December 31, 2012, with the remainder used to write down the remaining CR3 investments.

Base Rates, Customer Refund and Other Terms

Under the terms of the 2012 settlement agreement, PEF will maintain base rates at the current levels through the last billing cycle of December 2016, except as described as follows. The agreement provides for a $150 million annual increase in revenue requirements effective with the first billing cycle of January 2013, while maintaining the current ROE range of 9.5 percent to 11.5 percent. PEF suspended depreciation expense and reversed certain regulatory liabilities associated with CR3 effective on the February 22, 2012 implementation date of the agreement, resulting in a $47 million benefit for the quarter ended March 31, 2012, which reduced O&M expense. Additionally, rate base associated with CR3 investments will be removed from retail rate base effective with the first billing cycle of January 2013. PEF will accrue, for future rate-setting purposes, a carrying charge at a rate of 7.4 percent on the CR3 investment until CR3 is returned to service and placed back into retail rate base. Upon return of CR3 to commercial service, PEF will be authorized to increase its base rates for the annual revenue requirements of all CR3 investments. The parties to the agreement reserve the right to participate in any hearings challenging the appropriateness of PEF's CR3 revenue requirements. In the month following CR3's return to commercial service, PEF's ROE range will increase to 9.7 percent to 11.7 percent. If PEF's retail base rate earnings fall below the ROE range, as reported on a FPSC-adjusted or pro-forma basis on a PEF monthly earnings surveillance report, PEF may petition the FPSC to amend its base rates during the term of the agreement.

Under the terms of the 2012 settlement agreement, PEF will refund $288 million to customers through the fuel clause. PEF will refund $129 million in each of 2013 and 2014, and an additional $10 million annually to residential and small commercial customers in 2014, 2015 and 2016. At December 31, 2011, a regulatory liability was established for the $288 million to be refunded in future periods. The corresponding charge was recorded as a reduction of 2011 revenues.

The cost of pollution control equipment that PEF installed and has in-service at Crystal River Units 4 and 5 (CR4 and CR5) to comply with the Federal Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) is currently recovered under the Environmental Cost Recovery Clause (ECRC). The 2012 settlement agreement provides for PEF to remove those assets from recovery in the ECRC and transfer those assets to base rates effective with the first billing cycle of January 2014. The related base rate increase will be in addition to the $150 million base rate increase effective January 2013. O&M expense associated with those assets will not be included in the base rates and will continue to be recovered through the ECRC.

The 2012 settlement agreement provides for PEF to continue to recover carrying costs and other nuclear cost recovery clause-recoverable items related to the CR3 uprate project, but PEF will not seek an in-service recovery until nine months following CR3's return to commercial service. Carrying costs will be recovered through the nuclear cost recovery clause until base rates have been increased for these assets.

The 2012 settlement agreement also allows PEF to continue to reduce amortization expense (cost of removal component) beyond the expiration of the 2010 settlement agreement through the term of the 2012 settlement agreement (see “Cost of Removal Reserve”). Additionally, the 2012 settlement agreement extends PEF's ability to expedite recovery of the cost of named storms and to maintain a storm reserve at its level as of the implementation date of the agreement, and removed the maximum allowed monthly surcharge established by the 2010 settlement agreement.

COST OF REMOVAL RESERVE

The 2012 and 2010 settlement agreements provide PEF the discretion to reduce amortization expense (cost of removal component) by up to the balance in the cost of removal reserve until the earlier of (a) PEF's applicable cost of removal reserve reaches zero, or (b) the expiration of the 2012 settlement agreement at the end of 2016. For the three months ended March 31, 2012, PEF recognized a $58 million reduction in amortization expense pursuant to the settlement agreements. PEF had eligible cost of removal reserves of $216 million remaining at March 31, 2012, which is impacted by accruals in accordance with PEF's latest depreciation study, removal costs expended and reductions in amortization expense as permitted by the settlement agreements.

NUCLEAR COST RECOVERY

Levy Nuclear

In 2008, the FPSC granted PEF's petition for an affirmative Determination of Need and related orders requesting cost recovery under Florida's nuclear cost-recovery rule for PEF's proposed Levy project, together with the associated facilities, including transmission lines and substation facilities.

On April 30, 2012, as part of PEF's annual nuclear cost recovery filing (see “Cost Recovery”), PEF updated the Levy project schedule and cost. Due to lower-than-projected customer demand, the lingering economic slowdown, uncertainty regarding potential carbon regulation and current, low natural gas prices, PEF is shifting the in-service date for the first Levy unit to 2024, with the second unit following 18 months later. The revised schedule is consistent with the recovery approach included in the 2012 settlement agreement. Although the scope and overnight cost for Levy – including land acquisition, related transmission work and other required investments – remain essentially unchanged, the shift in schedule will increase escalation and carrying costs and raise the total estimated project cost to between $19 billion and $24 billion.

Along with the FPSC's annual prudence reviews, we will continue to evaluate the project on an ongoing basis based on certain criteria, including, but not limited to, cost; potential carbon regulation; fossil fuel prices; the benefits of fuel diversification; public, regulatory and political support; adequate financial cost-recovery mechanisms; appropriate levels of joint owner participation; customer rate impacts; project feasibility; DSM and EE programs; and availability and terms of capital financing. Taking into account these criteria, we consider Levy to be PEF's preferred baseload generation option.

CR3 Uprate

In 2007, the FPSC issued an order approving PEF's Determination of Need petition related to a multi-stage uprate of CR3 that will increase CR3's gross output by approximately 180 MW during its next refueling outage. PEF implemented the first-stage design modifications in 2008. The final stage of the uprate required a license amendment to be filed with the NRC, which was filed by PEF in June 2011 and accepted for review by the NRC on November 21, 2011.

Cost Recovery

On April 30, 2012, PEF filed its annual nuclear cost-recovery filing with the FPSC to recover $152 million, which includes recovery of pre-construction and carrying costs and Capacity Cost-Recovery Clause (CCRC) recoverable O&M expense incurred or anticipated to be incurred during 2013, recovery of $88 million of prior years deferrals in 2013, as well as the estimated actual true-up of 2012 costs associated with the CR3 uprate and Levy projects, as permitted by the 2012 settlement agreement. This results in an increase in the nuclear cost-recovery charge of $2.23 per 1,000 kWh for residential customers, which if approved, would begin with the first January 2013 billing cycle. The FPSC has scheduled hearings in this matter for August 2012, with a decision expected in October 2012. We cannot predict the outcome of this matter.

DEMAND-SIDE MANAGEMENT COST RECOVERY

On July 26, 2011, the FPSC voted to set PEF's DSM compliance goals to remain at their current level until the next goal setting docket is initiated. An intervener filed a protest to the FPSC's Proposed Agency Action order, asserting legal challenges to the order. The parties made legal arguments to the FPSC and the FPSC issued an order denying the protest on December 22, 2011. The intervener then filed a notice of appeal of this order to the Florida Supreme Court on January 17, 2012. We cannot predict the outcome of this matter.

OTHER MATTERS

On March 29, 2012, PEF announced plans to convert the 1,011-MW Anclote Units 1 and 2 (Anclote) from oil and natural gas fired to 100 percent natural gas fired and requested that the FPSC permit recovery of the estimated $79 million conversion cost through the ECRC. PEF believes this conversion is the most cost-effective alternative for Anclote to achieve and maintain compliance with applicable environmental regulations (see Note 13B). PEF anticipates that both converted units will be placed in service by the end of 2013. We cannot predict the outcome of this matter.