EX-99.3 4 ex-99_3.htm CN Q2 2017 MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
This Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) dated July 25, 2017, relates to the consolidated financial position and results of operations of Canadian National Railway Company, together with its wholly-owned subsidiaries, collectively "CN" or the "Company," and should be read in conjunction with the Company's 2017 unaudited Interim Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes thereto. It should also be read in conjunction with the Company's 2016 audited Annual Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes thereto, and the 2016  Annual MD&A. All financial information reflected herein is expressed in Canadian dollars and prepared in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), unless otherwise noted.
CN's common shares are listed on the Toronto and New York stock exchanges. Additional information about CN filed with Canadian securities regulatory authorities and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including the Company's 2016 Annual Information Form and Form 40-F, may be found online on SEDAR at www.sedar.com, on EDGAR at www.sec.gov, and on the Company's website at www.cn.ca in the Investors section. Printed copies of such documents may be obtained by contacting the Corporate Secretary's Office.

 
Business profile

CN is engaged in the rail and related transportation business. CN's network, of approximately 20,000 route miles of track, spans Canada and mid-America, uniquely connecting three coasts: the Atlantic, the Pacific and the Gulf of Mexico. CN's extensive network and efficient connections to all Class I railroads provide CN customers access to all three North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) nations. A true backbone of the economy, CN handles over $250 billion worth of goods annually and carries almost 300 million tons of cargo, serving exporters, importers, retailers, farmers and manufacturers.
CN's freight revenues are derived from seven commodity groups representing a diversified and balanced portfolio of goods transported between a wide range of origins and destinations. This product and geographic diversity better positions the Company to face economic fluctuations and enhances its potential for growth opportunities. For the year ended December 31, 2016, no individual commodity group accounted for more than 24% of total revenues and from a geographic standpoint, 17% of revenues relate to United States (U.S.) domestic traffic, 34% transborder traffic, 18% Canadian domestic traffic and 31% overseas traffic. The Company is the originating carrier for over 85%, and the originating and terminating carrier for over 65%, of traffic moving along its network, which allows it both to capitalize on service advantages and build on opportunities to efficiently use assets.

 
Strategy overview

A description of the Company's strategy is provided in the section entitled Strategy overview of the Company's 2016 Annual MD&A.


2017 Second quarter highlights

·
CN attained record quarterly revenues, operating income, net income, and earnings per share.
·
Net income increased by $173 million, or 20%, to $1,031 million in the second quarter of 2017, with diluted earnings per share rising 24% to $1.36.
·
Adjusted net income (1) increased by $148 million, or 17%, to $1,013 million in the second quarter of 2017, with adjusted diluted earnings per share (1) rising 21% to $1.34.
·
Operating income was $1,495 million in the second quarter of 2017, an increase of $202 million, or 16%, over the same quarter of 2016.
·
CN's operating ratio was 55.1% in the second quarter of 2017, a 0.6-point increase from the second quarter of 2016.
·
The Company generated free cash flow (2) of $811 million, a 39% increase over the same quarter in 2016.
·
The Company repurchased 5.2 million common shares under its share repurchase program, returning $521 million to its shareholders.
·
CN paid a quarterly dividend of $0.4125 per share, representing an increase of 10% when compared to 2016, amounting to $310 million.




(1)   See the section of this MD&A entitled Adjusted performance measures for an explanation of these non-GAAP measures.
(2)   See the section of this MD&A entitled Liquidity and capital resources – Free cash flow for an explanation of this non-GAAP measure.
 
 
 

 
25 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter  

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
2017 Business outlook and assumptions

The Company continues to see growth across a range of commodities, particularly in intermodal traffic, frac sand, Canadian grain, coal exports, and finished vehicles, as well as volume weakness in U.S. thermal coal shipments to domestic markets. The Company now also expects to see growth in volumes of crude oil and petroleum coke, as well as lower volumes for U.S. grain.
Underpinning the 2017 business outlook, the Company assumes that North American industrial production will increase by approximately two percent. For the 2016/2017 crop year, the grain crops in both Canada and the U.S. were above their respective five-year averages. The Company assumes that the 2017/2018 grain crops in both Canada and the U.S. will be in line with their respective five-year averages.
The forward-looking statements discussed in this section are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or performance to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements and are based on certain factors and assumptions which the Company considers reasonable, about events, developments, prospects and opportunities that may not materialize or that may be offset entirely or partially by other events and developments. In addition to the assumptions and expectations discussed in this section, reference should be made to the section of this MD&A entitled Forward-looking statements for assumptions and risk factors affecting such statements.


Forward-looking statements

Certain statements included in this MD&A are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and under Canadian securities laws. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. The Company cautions that its assumptions may not materialize and that current economic conditions render such assumptions, although reasonable at the time they were made, subject to greater uncertainty. Forward-looking statements may be identified by the use of terminology such as "believes," "expects," "anticipates," "assumes," "outlook," "plans," "targets" or other similar words.
Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, those set forth in the table below, which also presents key assumptions used in determining the forward-looking statements. See also the section of this MD&A entitled Strategy overview – 2017 Business outlook and assumptions.

Forward-looking statements
Key assumptions
Statements relating to revenue growth opportunities, including
· North American and global economic growth
those referring to general economic and business conditions
· Long-term growth opportunities being less affected by current economic
 
conditions
   
Statements relating to the Company's ability to meet debt
· North American and global economic growth
repayments and future obligations in the foreseeable future,
· Adequate credit ratios
including income tax payments, and capital spending
· Investment-grade credit ratings
 
· Access to capital markets
 
· Adequate cash generated from operations and other sources of financing
   
Statements relating to pension contributions
· Adequate cash generated from operations and other sources of financing
 
· Adequate long-term return on investment on pension plan assets
 
· Level of funding as determined by actuarial valuations, particularly
 
influenced by discount rates for funding purposes
   

Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results or performance of the Company to be materially different from the outlook or any future results or performance implied by such statements. Accordingly, readers are advised not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Important risk factors that could affect the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, the effects of general economic and business conditions; industry competition; inflation, currency and interest rate fluctuations; changes in fuel prices; legislative and/or regulatory developments; compliance with environmental laws and regulations; actions by regulators; increases in maintenance and operating costs; security threats; reliance on technology; trade restrictions; transportation of hazardous materials; various events which could disrupt operations, including natural events such as severe weather, droughts, floods and earthquakes; climate change; labor negotiations and disruptions; environmental claims; uncertainties of investigations, proceedings or other types of claims and litigation; risks and liabilities arising from derailments; timing and completion of capital programs; and other risks detailed from time to time in reports filed
 
 
 
 
 
26 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter  

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
by CN with securities regulators in Canada and the U.S., including its Annual Information Form and Form 40-F. See the section entitled Business risks of this MD&A and the Company's 2016 Annual MD&A for a description of major risk factors.
Forward-looking statements reflect information as of the date on which they are made. CN assumes no obligation to update or revise forward-looking statements to reflect future events, changes in circumstances, or changes in beliefs, unless required by applicable securities laws. In the event CN does update any forward-looking statement, no inference should be made that CN will make additional updates with respect to that statement, related matters, or any other forward-looking statement.
 
 
Financial highlights
                   
                       
     
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
In millions, except percentage and per share data
   
2017
 
2016
   
2017
 
2016
Revenues
 
$
3,329
$
2,842
 
$
6,535
$
5,806
Operating income
 
$
1,495
$
1,293
 
$
2,798
$
2,510
Net income
 
$
1,031
$
858
 
$
1,915
$
1,650
Adjusted net income (1)
 
$
1,013
$
865
 
$
1,892
$
1,657
Basic earnings per share
 
$
1.36
$
1.10
 
$
2.52
$
2.11
Adjusted basic earnings per share (1)
 
$
1.34
$
1.11
 
$
2.49
$
2.12
Diluted earnings per share
 
$
1.36
$
1.10
 
$
2.51
$
2.10
Adjusted diluted earnings per share (1)
 
$
1.34
$
1.11
 
$
2.48
$
2.11
Dividends declared per share
 
$
0.4125
$
0.3750
 
$
0.8250
$
0.7500
Total assets
 
$
37,245
$
36,094
 
$
37,245
$
36,094
Total long-term liabilities
 
$
18,646
$
18,555
 
$
18,646
$
18,555
Operating ratio
   
55.1%
 
54.5%
   
57.2%
 
56.8%
Free cash flow (2)
 
$
811
$
585
 
$
1,659
$
1,169
                       
(1)
See the section of this MD&A entitled Adjusted performance measures for an explanation of these non-GAAP measures.
(2)
See the section of this MD&A entitled Liquidity and capital resources – Free cash flow for an explanation of this non-GAAP measure.


Financial results

Second quarter and first half of 2017 compared to corresponding periods in 2016
Net income for the second quarter of 2017 was $1,031 million, an increase of $173 million, or 20%, when compared to the same period in 2016, with diluted earnings per share rising 24% to $1.36. Net income for the six months ended June 30, 2017 was $1,915 million, an increase of $265 million, or 16%, when compared to the same period in 2016, with diluted earnings per share rising 20% to $2.51.
Operating income for the quarter ended June 30, 2017 increased by $202 million, or 16%, to $1,495 million. Operating income for the six months ended June 30, 2017 increased by $288 million, or 11%, to $2,798 million. The increase in operating income in both periods mainly reflects higher volumes, and for the second quarter, the positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar.
The operating ratio, defined as operating expenses as a percentage of revenues, was 55.1% in the second quarter of 2017, compared to 54.5% in the second quarter of 2016, a 0.6-point increase. The six-month operating ratio was 57.2% in 2017, compared to 56.8% in 2016, a 0.4-point increase.
Revenues for the quarter ended June 30, 2017 totaled $3,329 million compared to $2,842 million in the same period in 2016, an increase of $487 million, or 17%. Revenues for the first half of 2017 were $6,535 million, an increase of $729 million, or 13%, when compared to the same period in 2016. The increases were mainly attributable to higher volumes of Canadian grain and fertilizers, overseas intermodal traffic, frac sand, coal and petroleum coke exports, crude oil, and finished vehicles; higher applicable fuel surcharge rates; and freight rate increases. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.
Operating expenses for the second quarter of 2017 amounted to $1,834 million compared to $1,549 million in the same quarter of 2016, an increase of $285 million, or 18%. Operating expenses for the first half of 2017 amounted to $3,737 million compared to $3,296 million in the same period of 2016, an increase of $441 million, or 13%. The increases were mainly due to higher fuel costs, increased purchased services and material costs, and higher labor and fringe benefits expense resulting from increased volumes, as well as increased casualty and other expense. The negative translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.
 
 
 
 
 
27 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter  

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
Non-GAAP measures

This MD&A makes reference to non-GAAP measures including adjusted performance measures, constant currency, free cash flow, and adjusted debt-to-adjusted EBITDA multiple, that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore, may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. From management's perspective, these non-GAAP measures are useful measures of performance and provide investors with supplementary information to assess the Company's results of operations and liquidity. These non-GAAP measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP.
For further details of these non-GAAP measures, including a reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures, refer to the sections entitled Adjusted performance measures, Constant currency and Liquidity and capital resources.


Adjusted performance measures

Management believes that adjusted net income and adjusted earnings per share are useful measures of performance that can facilitate period-to-period comparisons, as they exclude items that do not necessarily arise as part of CN's normal day-to-day operations and could distort the analysis of trends in business performance. Management uses these measures, which exclude certain income and expense items in its results that management believes are not reflective of CN's underlying business operations, to set performance goals and as a means to measure CN's performance. The exclusion of items in adjusted net income and adjusted earnings per share does not, however, imply that these items are necessarily non-recurring. These measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore, may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies.
 For the three and six months ended June 30, 2017, the Company reported adjusted net income of $1,013 million, or $1.34 per diluted share, and $1,892 million, or $2.48 per diluted share, respectively. The adjusted figures for the three months ended June 30, 2017 exclude a deferred income tax recovery of $18 million ($0.02 per diluted share), resulting from the enactment of a lower provincial corporate income tax rate. The adjusted figures for the six months ended June 30, 2017 exclude a deferred income tax recovery of $18 million ($0.02 per diluted share) in the second quarter and $5 million ($0.01 per diluted share) in the first quarter, resulting from the enactment of lower provincial corporate income tax rates.
For the three and six months ended June 30, 2016, the Company reported adjusted net income of $865 million, or $1.11 per diluted share, and $1,657 million, or $2.11 per diluted share, respectively, which exclude a deferred income tax expense of $7 million ($0.01 per diluted share) in the second quarter, resulting from the enactment of a higher provincial corporate income tax rate.
The following table provides a reconciliation of net income and earnings per share, as reported for the three and six months ended June 30, 2017 and 2016, to the adjusted performance measures presented herein:

   
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
In millions, except per share data
 
2017
 
2016
   
2017
 
2016
Net income as reported
$
1,031
$
858
 
$
1,915
$
1,650
 Adjustment: Income tax expense (recovery)
 
(18)
 
7
   
(23)
 
7
Adjusted net income
$
1,013
$
865
 
$
1,892
$
1,657
Basic earnings per share as reported
$
1.36
$
1.10
 
$
2.52
$
2.11
Impact of adjustments, per share
 
(0.02)
 
0.01
   
(0.03)
 
0.01
Adjusted basic earnings per share
$
1.34
$
1.11
 
$
2.49
$
2.12
Diluted earnings per share as reported
$
1.36
$
1.10
 
$
2.51
$
2.10
Impact of adjustments, per share
 
(0.02)
 
0.01
   
(0.03)
 
0.01
Adjusted diluted earnings per share
$
1.34
$
1.11
 
$
2.48
$
2.11
 
 
 
 
 
28 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter 

Management's Discussion and Analysis

Constant currency

Financial results at constant currency allow results to be viewed without the impact of fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, thereby facilitating period-to-period comparisons in the analysis of trends in business performance. Measures at constant currency are considered non-GAAP measures and do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore, may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Financial results at constant currency are obtained by translating the current period results denominated in US dollars at the foreign exchange rates of the comparable period in the prior year. The average foreign exchange rates were $1.35 and $1.33 per US$1.00, respectively, for the three and six months ended June 30, 2017, and $1.29 and $1.33 per US$1.00, respectively, for the three and six months ended June 30, 2016.
On a constant currency basis, the Company's net income for the three and six months ended June 30, 2017 would have been lower by $28 million ($0.04 per diluted share) and $6 million ($0.01 per diluted share), respectively.


Revenues
                         
                           
 
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
In millions, unless otherwise indicated
 
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
   
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
Rail freight revenues
$
3,111
$
2,646
18%
15%
 
$
6,186
$
5,491
13%
13%
Other revenues
 
218
 
196
11%
8%
   
349
 
315
11%
10%
Total revenues
$
3,329
$
2,842
17%
14%
 
$
6,535
$
5,806
13%
12%
Rail freight revenues
                         
Petroleum and chemicals
$
549
$
492
12%
8%
 
$
1,133
$
1,070
6%
6%
Metals and minerals
 
389
 
292
33%
29%
   
750
 
602
25%
24%
Forest products
 
464
 
439
6%
2%
   
911
 
901
1%
1%
Coal
 
126
 
95
33%
29%
   
255
 
188
36%
36%
Grain and fertilizers
 
530
 
432
23%
20%
   
1,137
 
954
19%
19%
Intermodal
 
815
 
697
17%
15%
   
1,557
 
1,390
12%
12%
Automotive
 
238
 
199
20%
16%
   
443
 
386
15%
15%
Total rail freight revenues
$
3,111
$
2,646
18%
15%
 
$
6,186
$
5,491
13%
13%
Revenue ton miles (RTMs) (millions)
 
58,789
 
49,717
18%
18%
   
118,565
 
101,973
16%
16%
Rail freight revenue/RTM (cents)
 
5.29
 
5.32
(1%)
(3%)
   
5.22
 
5.38
(3%)
(3%)

Revenues for the quarter ended June 30, 2017 totaled $3,329 million compared to $2,842 million in the same period in 2016, an increase of $487 million, or 17%. Revenues for the first half of 2017 were $6,535 million, an increase of $729 million, or 13%, when compared to the same period in 2016. The increases were mainly attributable to higher volumes of Canadian grain and fertilizers, overseas intermodal traffic, frac sand, coal and petroleum coke exports, crude oil, and finished vehicles; higher applicable fuel surcharge rates; and freight rate increases. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.
Fuel surcharge revenues increased by $65 million in the second quarter and $105 million in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016, as a result of higher applicable fuel surcharge rates and higher freight volumes.
Revenue ton miles (RTMs), measuring the relative weight and distance of rail freight transported by the Company, increased by 18% in the second quarter and 16% in the first half of 2017 relative to the same periods in 2016.
Rail freight revenue per RTM decreased by 1% in the second quarter and 3% in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016 mainly driven by an increase in the average length of haul; partly offset by higher applicable fuel surcharge rates and freight rate increases. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also partly offset the decrease in the second quarter.
 
 
 
 
 
29 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter 

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
Petroleum and chemicals
                     
   
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
     
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
   
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
Revenues (millions)
 
$
549
$
492
12%
8%
 
$
1,133
$
1,070
6%
6%
RTMs (millions)
   
11,027
 
9,575
15%
15%
   
22,855
 
20,881
9%
9%
Revenue/RTM (cents)
   
4.98
 
5.14
(3%)
(6%)
   
4.96
 
5.12
(3%)
(3%)

Revenues for this commodity group increased by $57 million, or 12%, in the second quarter and $63 million, or 6%, in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increases were mainly due to higher volumes of crude oil resulting from increased production in the Alberta oil sands, and higher volumes of hydrochloric acid and caustic soda; freight rate increases; and higher applicable fuel surcharge rates. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter. Partly offsetting the increases in both periods were lower volumes of plastic pellets and condensate.
Revenue per RTM decreased by 3% in both the second quarter and first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016, mainly due to an increase in the average length of haul; partly offset by freight rate increases and higher applicable fuel surcharge rates. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also partly offset the decrease in the second quarter.


Metals and minerals
                     
   
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
     
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
   
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
Revenues (millions)
 
$
389
$
292
33%
29%
 
$
750
$
602
25%
24%
RTMs (millions)
   
6,887
 
4,751
45%
45%
   
13,330
 
9,454
41%
41%
Revenue/RTM (cents)
   
5.65
 
6.15
(8%)
(11%)
   
5.63
 
6.37
(12%)
(12%)

Revenues for this commodity group increased by $97 million, or 33%, in the second quarter and $148 million, or 25%, in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increases were mainly due to a rise in oil and gas drilling activity along with higher frac sand usage per well, which resulted in increased shipments of frac sand and drilling pipe; higher volumes of wind turbine components and iron ore; freight rate increases; as well as higher applicable fuel surcharge rates. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.
Revenue per RTM decreased by 8% in the second quarter and 12% in the in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016, mainly due to an increase in the average length of haul and unfavorable changes in traffic mix, partly offset by freight rate increases and higher applicable fuel surcharge rates. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also partly offset the decrease in the second quarter.

Forest products
                     
   
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
     
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
   
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
Revenues (millions)
 
$
464
$
439
6%
2%
 
$
911
$
901
1%
1%
RTMs (millions)
   
7,789
 
7,807
-
-
   
15,479
 
15,736
(2%)
(2%)
Revenue/RTM (cents)
   
5.96
 
5.62
6%
2%
   
5.89
 
5.73
3%
2%

Revenues for this commodity group increased by $25 million, or 6%, in the second quarter and $10 million, or 1%, in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increases were mainly due to freight rate increases and higher applicable fuel surcharge rates. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter. Partly offsetting the increases in both periods were lower volumes of a broad range of forest products.
 Revenue per RTM increased by 6% in the second quarter and 3% in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increases were mainly due to freight rate increases and higher applicable fuel surcharge rates. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.
 
 
 
 
 
30 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter 

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
Coal                      
   
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
     
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
   
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
Revenues (millions)
 
$
126
$
95
33%
29%
 
$
255
$
188
36%
36%
RTMs (millions)
   
3,355
 
2,686
25%
25%
   
6,957
 
4,934
41%
41%
Revenue/RTM (cents)
   
3.76
 
3.54
6%
4%
   
3.67
 
3.81
(4%)
(4%)

Revenues for this commodity group increased by $31 million, or 33%, in the second quarter and $67 million, or 36%, in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increases were mainly due to increased exports of Canadian petroleum coke due to improved market conditions, higher metallurgical coal exports via west coast ports following the reopening of two mines in British Columbia, increased exports of U.S. thermal coal via the Gulf Coast primarily in the first quarter; and freight rate increases. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter. Partly offsetting the increases in both periods were reduced volumes of U.S. domestic thermal coal to U.S. Midwest utilities, mainly due to the loss of a utility customer.
Revenue per RTM increased by 6% in the second quarter and decreased by 4% in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increase in the second quarter was mainly due to favorable changes in traffic mix, freight rate increases, and the positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar; partly offset by a significant increase in the average length of haul. The decrease in the first half was mainly due to a significant increase in the average length of haul, partly offset by favorable changes in traffic mix and freight rate increases.

Grain and fertilizers
                     
   
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
     
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
   
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
Revenues (millions)
 
$
530
$
432
23%
20%
 
$
1,137
$
954
19%
19%
RTMs (millions)
   
13,415
 
10,353
30%
30%
   
28,902
 
22,883
26%
26%
Revenue/RTM (cents)
   
3.95
 
4.17
(5%)
(7%)
   
3.93
 
4.17
(6%)
(6%)

Revenues for this commodity group increased by $98 million, or 23%, in the second quarter and $183 million, or 19%, in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increases were mainly due to higher volumes of Canadian wheat to North American and export markets, higher export volumes of Canadian canola, barley, and potash driven by strong offshore demand and a strong 2016/2017 Canadian grain crop, and higher volumes of U.S. soybeans and corn mainly in the first quarter; as well as freight rate increases. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.
Revenue per RTM decreased by 5% in the second quarter and 6% in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The decreases were mainly due to a significant increase in the average length of haul; partly offset by freight rate increases. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also partly offset the decrease in the second quarter.
 
 
 
 
 
31 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter 

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
Intermodal
                     
   
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
     
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
   
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
Revenues (millions)
 
$
815
$
697
17%
15%
 
$
1,557
$
1,390
12%
12%
RTMs (millions)
   
15,109
 
13,519
12%
12%
   
28,813
 
26,182
10%
10%
Revenue/RTM (cents)
   
5.39
 
5.16
4%
3%
   
5.40
 
5.31
2%
2%

Revenues for this commodity group increased by $118 million, or 17%, in the second quarter and $167 million, or 12%, in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increases were mainly due to higher international container traffic via the ports of Vancouver, Prince Rupert, Montreal and Halifax, and increased domestic retail volumes in the consumer and industrial products segments; higher applicable fuel surcharge rates; and freight rate increases. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter. Partly offsetting the increases in both periods were lower domestic wholesale volumes.
Revenue per RTM increased by 4% in the second quarter and 2% in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016, mainly due to higher applicable fuel surcharge rates and freight rate increases. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.

Automotive
                     
   
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
     
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
   
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
Revenues (millions)
 
$
238
$
199
20%
16%
 
$
443
$
386
15%
15%
RTMs (millions)
   
1,207
 
1,026
18%
18%
   
2,229
 
1,903
17%
17%
Revenue/RTM (cents)
   
19.72
 
19.40
2%
(1%)
   
19.87
 
20.28
(2%)
(2%)

Revenues for this commodity group increased by $39 million, or 20%, in the second quarter and $57 million, or 15%, in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increases were mainly due to higher volumes of domestic finished vehicle traffic and finished vehicle imports via the Port of Vancouver resulting from new business; higher applicable fuel surcharge rates; and freight rate increases. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.
Revenue per RTM increased by 2% in the second quarter and decreased by 2% in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increase in the second quarter was mainly due to the positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar, higher applicable fuel surcharge rates, and freight rate increases; partly offset by an increase in the average length of haul. The decrease in the first half of 2017 was mainly due to an increase in the average length of haul, partly offset by higher applicable fuel surcharge rates and freight rate increases.

Other revenues
                     
   
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
     
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
   
2017
 
2016
% Change
% Change at constant currency
Revenues (millions)
 
$
218
$
196
11%
8%
 
$
349
$
315
11%
10%

Other revenues increased by $22 million, or 11%, in the second quarter and $34 million, or 11%, in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016, mainly due to higher revenues from docks and vessels, and automotive logistic services. The positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.

 
 
 

32 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter 

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
Operating expenses

Operating expenses for the second quarter of 2017 amounted to $1,834 million compared to $1,549 million in the same quarter of 2016, an increase of $285 million, or 18%. Operating expenses for the first half of 2017 amounted to $3,737 million compared to $3,296 million in the same period of 2016, an increase of $441 million, or 13%. The increases were mainly due to higher fuel costs, increased purchased services and material costs, and higher labor and fringe benefits expense resulting from increased volumes, as well as increased casualty and other expense. The negative translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.

 
Three months ended June 30
   
Six months ended June 30
           
% Change at constant currency
           
% Change
at constant currency
         
% Change
         
% Change
In millions
 
2017
 
2016
   
2017
 
2016
Labor and fringe benefits
$
527
$
469
(12%)
(10%)
 
$
1,107
$
1,059
(5%)
(5%)
Purchased services and material
432
 
377
(15%)
(12%)
   
872
 
785
(11%)
(11%)
Fuel
 
329
 
243
(35%)
(30%)
   
671
 
478
(40%)
(41%)
Depreciation and amortization
 
326
 
296
(10%)
(8%)
   
649
 
603
(8%)
(8%)
Equipment rents
 
103
 
92
(12%)
(8%)
   
204
 
187
(9%)
(9%)
Casualty and other
 
117
 
72
(63%)
(58%)
   
234
 
184
(27%)
(27%)
Total operating expenses
$
1,834
$
1,549
(18%)
(16%)
 
$
3,737
$
3,296
(13%)
(13%)

Labor and fringe benefits
Labor and fringe benefits expense increased by $58 million, or 12%, in the second quarter of 2017 and by $48 million, or 5%, in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increases were primarily due to general wage increases, higher headcount and overtime costs due to increased volumes of traffic, and higher incentive-based compensation. The negative translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.

Purchased services and material
Purchased services and material expense increased by $55 million, or 15%, in the second quarter of 2017 and $87 million, or 11%, in the first half when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increases were mainly due to higher costs of services purchased from outside contractors and higher repairs and maintenance costs resulting from increased volumes of traffic. The negative translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.

Fuel
Fuel expense increased by $86 million, or 35%, in the second quarter of 2017 and $193 million, or 40%, in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increase in the second quarter was primarily due to increased volumes of traffic, higher fuel prices, and the negative translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar. The increase in the first half was primarily due to higher fuel prices and increased volumes of traffic.

Depreciation and amortization
Depreciation and amortization expense increased by $30 million, or 10%, in the second quarter of 2017 and by $46 million, or 8%, in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increases were mainly due to net capital additions. The negative translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.

Equipment rents
Equipment rents expense increased by $11 million, or 12%, in the second quarter of 2017 and by $17 million, or 9%, in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods of 2016. The increases were primarily due to higher car hire expense resulting from increased volumes of traffic, partly offset by lower car and equipment lease expenses. The negative translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.

Casualty and other
Casualty and other expense increased by $45 million, or 63%, in the second quarter of 2017 and by $50 million, or 27%, in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016. The increases were mainly due to higher incident costs, and increased environmental expenses. The negative translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar also contributed to the increase in the second quarter.
 
 

 
 
33 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter  

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
Other items

Interest expense
Interest expense was $123 million and $245 million for the three and six months ended June 30, 2017, respectively, compared to $116 million and $239 million, respectively, for the same periods in 2016. The increases were mainly due to the negative translation impact of the weaker Canadian dollar and a higher level of debt.

Other income (loss)
In the second quarter and first half of 2017, the Company recorded other income of $1 million and $3 million, respectively, compared to other loss of $1 million and other income of $4 million, respectively, for the same periods in 2016.

Income tax expense
The Company recorded income tax expense of $342 million and $641 million for the three and six months ended June 30, 2017, respectively, compared to $318 million and $625 million, respectively, for the same period in 2016.
The six months ended June 30, 2017 figure included deferred income tax recoveries of $18 million recorded in the second quarter and $5 million recorded in the first quarter, both resulting from the enactment of lower provincial corporate income tax rates.
The six months ended June 30, 2016 figure included a deferred income tax expense of $7 million recorded in the second quarter, resulting from the enactment of a higher provincial corporate income tax rate.
The effective tax rates for the three and six months ended June 30, 2017 were 24.9% and 25.1%, respectively, compared to 27.0% and 27.5%, respectively, for the same periods in 2016. Excluding the aforementioned deferred income tax recoveries and expense, the effective tax rates for the three and six months ended June 30, 2017 were 26.2% and 26.0%, respectively, compared to 26.4% and 27.2%, respectively, for the same periods in 2016. The decrease in the effective tax rate for the six months ended June 30, 2017 was mainly due to a lower proportion of the Company's pre-tax income being earned in higher tax rate jurisdictions and the impact of a higher excess tax benefit resulting from the settlement of equity settled awards in the first quarter of 2017.

 
 
Summary of quarterly financial data

   
2017
Quarters
 
2016
 Quarters
 
2015
 Quarters
In millions, except per share data
Second (1)
 
First (2)
 
   Fourth (3)
 
Third
Second (4)
 
First
   
Fourth
 
Third
Revenues
$
3,329
$
3,206
 
$
3,217
$
3,014
$
2,842
$
2,964
 
$
3,166
$
3,222
Operating income
$
1,495
$
1,303
 
$
1,395
$
1,407
$
1,293
$
1,217
 
$
1,354
$
1,487
Net income
$
1,031
$
884
 
$
1,018
$
972
$
858
$
792
 
$
941
$
1,007
Basic earnings per share
$
1.36
$
1.16
 
$
1.33
$
1.26
$
1.10
$
1.01
 
$
1.19
$
1.26
Diluted earnings per share
$
1.36
$
1.16
 
$
1.32
$
1.25
$
1.10
$
1.00
 
$
1.18
$
1.26
Dividends per share
$
0.4125
$
0.4125
 
$
0.3750
$
0.3750
$
0.3750
$
0.3750
 
$
0.3125
$
0.3125
                                       
(1)
Included in Net income was a deferred income tax recovery of $18 million that resulted from the enactment of a lower corporate income tax rate.
(2)
Included in Net income was a deferred income tax recovery of $5 million that resulted from the enactment of a lower corporate income tax rate.
(3)
Included in Net income was a gain on disposal of the Viaduc du Sud of $76 million, or $66 million after-tax, which was recorded in Other income.
(4)
Included in Net income was a deferred income tax expense of $7 million that resulted from the enactment of a higher corporate income tax rate.

Revenues generated by the Company during the year are influenced by seasonal weather conditions, general economic conditions, cyclical demand for rail transportation, and competitive forces in the transportation marketplace (see the section entitled Business risks of the Company's 2016 Annual MD&A). Operating expenses reflect the impact of freight volumes, seasonal weather conditions, labor costs, fuel prices, and the Company's productivity initiatives. Fluctuations in the Canadian dollar relative to the US dollar have also affected the conversion of the Company's US dollar-denominated revenues and expenses and resulted in fluctuations in net income in the rolling eight quarters presented above.
 
 
 
 
 
34 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter  

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
Liquidity and capital resources

An analysis of the Company's liquidity and capital resources is provided in the section entitled Liquidity and capital resources of the Company's 2016 Annual MD&A. There were no significant changes during the first half of 2017, except as noted below.
As at June 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016, the Company had Cash and cash equivalents of $131 million and $176 million, respectively; Restricted cash and cash equivalents of $461 million and $496 million, respectively; and a working capital deficit of $1,391 million and $901 million, respectively. The working capital deficit increased by $490 million in the first half of 2017 primarily as a result of an increase in the Current portion of long-term debt and Accounts payable and other. There are currently no specific requirements relating to working capital other than in the normal course of business as discussed herein.
The Company expects cash from operations and its various sources of financing to be sufficient to meet its ongoing obligations. The Company is not aware of any trends or expected fluctuations in its liquidity that would impact its ongoing operations or financial condition as at the date of this MD&A.

Available financing sources
Shelf prospectus and registration statement
The Company's shelf prospectus and registration statement, for which CN can issue debt securities in the Canadian and U.S. capital markets until February 4, 2018, has remaining capacity available of $4,466 million. Access to the Canadian and U.S. capital markets under the shelf prospectus and registration statement is dependent on market conditions.

Revolving credit facility
On March 15, 2017, the Company's revolving credit facility agreement was amended to extend the term of the credit facility by one year. The credit facility of $1.3 billion consists of a tranche for $420 million maturing on May 5, 2020 and a tranche for $880 million maturing on May 5, 2022. As at June 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016, the Company had no outstanding borrowings under its revolving credit facility and there were no draws during the six months ended June 30, 2017.

Commercial paper
There were no changes to the Company's commercial paper programs in the first half of 2017. As at June 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016, the Company had total commercial paper borrowings of US$435 million ($564 million) and US$451 million ($605 million), respectively, presented in Current portion of long-term debt on the Consolidated Balance Sheets.

Accounts receivable securitization program
As at June 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016, the Company had no proceeds received under the accounts receivable securitization program, which provides the Company with access to up to $450 million of proceeds.

Bilateral letter of credit facilities
The Company has a series of committed and uncommitted bilateral letter of credit facility agreements. On March 15, 2017, the Company extended the maturity date of the committed bilateral letter of credit facility agreements to April 28, 2020. As at June 30, 2017, the Company had outstanding letters of credit of $380 million ($451 million as at December 31, 2016) under the committed facilities from a total available amount of $441 million ($508 million as at December 31, 2016) and $124 million ($68 million as at December 31, 2016) under the uncommitted facilities. As at June 30, 2017, included in Restricted cash and cash equivalents was $391 million ($426 million as at December 31, 2016) and $68 million ($68 million as at December 31, 2016) which were pledged as collateral under the committed and uncommitted bilateral letter of credit facilities, respectively.

Additional information relating to the Company's financing sources is provided in the section entitled Liquidity and capital resources – Available financing sources of the Company's 2016 Annual MD&A as well as Note 5  Financing activities to the Company's unaudited Interim Consolidated Financial Statements.

Credit ratings
The Company's long-term debt and commercial paper credit ratings remain unchanged from those described in the section entitled Liquidity and capital resources – Credit ratings of the Company's 2016 Annual MD&A.
 
 
 
 

35 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter  

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
Cash flows
 
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
In millions
 
2017
 
2016
 
Variance
   
2017
 
2016
 
Variance
Net cash provided by operating activities
$
1,505
$
1,271
$
234
 
$
2,761
$
2,336
$
425
Net cash used in investing activities
 
(694)
 
(686)
 
(8)
   
(1,102)
 
(1,167)
 
65
Net cash used in financing activities
 
(937)
 
(628)
 
(309)
   
(1,731)
 
(1,182)
 
(549)
Effect of foreign exchange fluctuations on US
                         
   dollar-denominated cash, cash equivalents,
                         
   restricted cash, and restricted cash equivalents
 
(6)
 
3
 
(9)
   
(8)
 
7
 
(15)
Net decrease in cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash,
                         
   and restricted cash equivalents
 
(132)
 
(40)
 
(92)
   
(80)
 
(6)
 
(74)
Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and restricted
                         
   cash equivalents, beginning of period
 
724
 
710
 
14
   
672
 
676
 
(4)
Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and restricted
                         
   cash equivalents, end of period
$
592
$
670
$
(78)
 
$
592
$
670
$
(78)

Operating activities
Net cash provided by operating activities increased by $234 million in the second quarter and $425 million in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016, due to improvements in cash earnings and favorable changes in working capital.

Pension contributions
The Company's contributions to its various defined benefit pension plans are made in accordance with the applicable legislation in Canada and the U.S. and such contributions follow minimum and maximum thresholds as determined by actuarial valuations.
Actuarial valuations are generally required on an annual basis for all Canadian plans, or when deemed appropriate by the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI). Actuarial valuations are also required annually for the Company's U.S. qualified pension plans. For accounting purposes, the funded status is calculated under GAAP. For funding purposes, the funded status of the Company's Canadian registered defined benefit pension plans is calculated under going concern and solvency scenarios as prescribed under federal pension legislation and is subject to guidance issued by the Canadian Institute of Actuaries and OSFI. The federal pension legislation requires funding deficits to be paid over a number of years. Alternatively, a letter of credit can be subscribed to fulfill solvency deficit payments.
The Company's most recently filed actuarial valuations for funding purposes for its Canadian registered defined benefit pension plans conducted as at December 31, 2016 indicated a funding excess on a going concern basis of approximately $2.6 billion and a funding excess on a solvency basis of approximately $0.2 billion calculated using the three-year average of the plans' hypothetical wind-up ratio.
Pension contributions for the six months ended June 30, 2017 and 2016 of $76 million and $88 million, respectively, primarily represent contributions to the CN Pension Plan, for the current service cost as determined under the Company's current actuarial valuations for funding purposes. In 2017, the Company expects to make total cash contributions of approximately $115 million for all of the Company's pension plans.
Adverse changes to the assumptions used to calculate the Company's funding status, particularly the discount rate, as well as changes to existing federal pension legislation could significantly impact the Company's future pension contributions.
Additional information relating to the pension plans is provided in Note 12 – Pensions and other postretirement benefits to the Company's 2016 Annual Consolidated Financial Statements.

Income tax payments
Net income tax payments decreased by $65 million in the first six months of 2017 when compared to the same period in 2016, mainly due to a lower required final payment in Canada for the 2016 fiscal year, made in February 2017. For 2017, the Company's net income tax payments are expected to be approximately $675 million.
On July 6, 2017, the state of Illinois enacted into law an increase to its current corporate income tax rate from 7.75% to 9.5%, effective as of July 1, 2017, and canceled the scheduled corporate income tax rate decrease to 7.3% in 2025. As a result of this change in law, the Company's net deferred income tax liability is expected to increase by approximately $31 million in the third quarter.
 
 
 
 
 
36 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter   

Management's Discussion and Analysis

Investing activities
Net cash used in investing activities increased by $8 million in the second quarter of 2017 when compared to the same period in 2016. Net cash used in investing activities decreased by $65 million in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same period in 2016, mainly as a result of lower property additions.

Property additions
       
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
In millions
     
2017
 
2016
   
2017
 
2016
Track and roadway
   
$
554
$
560
 
$
853
$
838
Rolling stock
     
25
 
43
   
50
 
164
Buildings
     
13
 
13
   
22
 
21
Information technology
     
51
 
22
   
90
 
42
Other
     
32
 
32
   
56
 
74
Property additions (1)
   
$
675
$
670
 
$
1,071
$
1,139
                         
(1)
Includes $110 million and $192 million associated with the U.S. federal government legislative Positive Train Control implementation in the three and six months ended June 30, 2017, respectively ($64 million and $110 million in the three and six months ended June 30, 2016, respectively).

2017 Capital expenditure program
In the first quarter of 2017, the Company increased its budget for capital spending from approximately $2.5 billion to approximately $2.6 billion, allocating an additional $0.1 billion for the acquisition of 22 new high-horsepower locomotives and various other projects to support growth opportunities. Additional details of the Company's 2017 capital program are provided in the section entitled Liquidity and capital resources – Cash flows of the Company's 2016 Annual MD&A.

Financing activities
Net cash used in financing activities increased by $309 million in the second quarter and $549 million in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same periods in 2016, primarily driven by less cash provided by debt financing activities in the current year.

Debt financing activities
Debt financing activities in the first half of 2017 included the following:
·
Net repayment of commercial paper of $112 million in the second quarter and $23 million in the first half; and
·
Repayment of debt related to capital leases of $29 million in the second quarter and $39 million in the first half.

Debt financing activities in the first half of 2016 included the following:
·
On February 23, 2016, issuance of US$500 million ($686 million) 2.75% Notes due 2026 in the U.S. capital markets, which resulted in net proceeds of $677 million;
·
On June 1, 2016, repayment of US$250 million ($328 million) 5.80% Notes due 2016 upon maturity;
·
Repayment of debt related to capital leases of $59 million in the second quarter and $170 million in the first half; and
·
Net issuance of commercial paper of $622 million in the second quarter and $322 million in the first half.

Additional information relating to the Company's outstanding debt securities is provided in Note 10 – Long-term debt to the Company's 2016 Annual Consolidated Financial Statements.
 
 
 
 
 
37 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter  

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
Share repurchase program
The Company may repurchase shares pursuant to a Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) at prevailing market prices plus brokerage fees, or such other prices as may be permitted by the Toronto Stock Exchange. Under its current NCIB, the Company may repurchase up to 33.0 million common shares between October 30, 2016 and October 29, 2017. As at June 30, 2017, the Company had repurchased 14.1 million common shares for $1,305 million under its current program.
The following table provides the information related to the share repurchase program for the three and six months ended June 30, 2017 and 2016:

   
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
In millions, except per share data
2017
2016
 
2017
2016
Number of common shares repurchased (1)
 
5.2
 
7.2
   
10.6
 
14.6
Weighted-average price per share (2)
$
99.38
$
73.80
 
$
94.98
$
72.20
Amount of repurchase (3)
$
521
$
533
 
$
1,012
$
1,053
 
(1)
Includes repurchases of common shares pursuant to private agreements between the Company and arm's length third-party sellers.
(2)
Includes brokerage fees where applicable.
(3)
Includes settlements in subsequent periods.

Share Trusts
The Company's Employee Benefit Plan Trusts ("Share Trusts") purchase common shares on the open market, which are used to deliver common shares under the Share Units Plan. For the six months ended June 30, 2017 and 2016, there were no purchases of common shares by the Share Trusts. For the six months ended June 30, 2017, the Share Trusts disbursed 0.3 million common shares, which had a historical cost of $24 million, representing a weighted-average price per share of $77.99, for settlement under the Share Units Plan. For the six months ended June 30, 2016, the Share Trusts disbursed 0.3 million common shares, which had a historical cost of $23 million, representing a weighted-average price per share of $73.31, for settlement under the Share Units Plan. Additional information relating to the share purchases by Share Trusts is provided in Note 13 – Share capital to the Company's 2016 Annual Consolidated Financial Statements.

Dividends paid
The Company paid quarterly dividends of $0.4125 per share amounting to $310 million and $623 million in the second quarter and first half of 2017 respectively, compared to $291 million and $584 million, at the rate of $0.3750 per share, for the same periods in 2016.

Contractual obligations
In the normal course of business, the Company incurs contractual obligations. The following table sets forth the Company's contractual obligations for the following items as at June 30, 2017:
In millions
 
Total
 
2017
 
2018
 
2019
 
2020
 
2021
 
2022 & thereafter
Debt obligations (1)
$
10,257
$
1,212
$
675
$
707
$
-
$
762
$
6,901
Interest on debt obligations (2)
 
6,916
 
230
 
424
 
375
 
355
 
352
 
5,180
Capital lease obligations (3)
 
388
 
174
 
24
 
16
 
22
 
12
 
140
Operating lease obligations
 
574
 
70
 
127
 
98
 
69
 
51
 
159
Purchase obligations (4)
 
1,478
 
814
 
137
 
92
 
84
 
81
 
270
Other long-term liabilities (5)
 
740
 
36
 
65
 
46
 
65
 
47
 
481
Total contractual obligations
$
20,353
$
2,536
$
1,452
$
1,334
$
595
$
1,305
$
13,131
                               
(1)
Presented net of unamortized discounts and debt issuance costs and excludes capital lease obligations.
(2)
Interest payments on the floating rate notes are calculated based on the applicable three-month London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR).
(3)
Includes $300 million of minimum lease payments and $88 million of imputed interest at rates ranging from 0.7% to 6.8%.
(4)
Includes commitments for wheels, railroad ties, rail, fuel, and other equipment and services, as well as outstanding information technology service contracts and licenses.
(5)
Includes expected payments for workers' compensation, postretirement benefits other than pensions, net unrecognized tax benefits, environmental liabilities and pension obligations that have been classified as contractual settlement agreements.
 
 
 
 
38 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter 

Management's Discussion and Analysis

Free cash flow
Management believes that free cash flow is a useful measure of liquidity as it demonstrates the Company's ability to generate cash for debt obligations and for discretionary uses such as payment of dividends, share repurchases, and strategic opportunities. The Company defines its free cash flow measure as the difference between net cash provided by operating activities and net cash used in investing activities; adjusted for the impact of major acquisitions, if any. Free cash flow does not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore, may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies.
The following table provides a reconciliation of net cash provided by operating activities as reported for the three and six months ended June 30, 2017 and 2016, to free cash flow:

   
Three months ended June 30
 
Six months ended June 30
In millions
 
2017
 
2016
   
2017
 
2016
Net cash provided by operating activities
$
1,505
$
1,271
 
$
2,761
$
2,336
Net cash used in investing activities (1)
 
(694)
 
(686)
   
(1,102)
 
(1,167)
Free cash flow
$
811
$
585
 
$
1,659
$
1,169
                     
(1)
As a result of the retrospective adoption of Accounting Standards Update 2016-18 in the first quarter of 2017, changes in restricted cash and cash equivalents are no longer classified as investing activities within the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows and are no longer included as an adjustment in the Company's definition of free cash flow. There is no impact to free cash flow resulting from this reclassification.

Adjusted debt-to-adjusted EBITDA multiple
Management believes that the adjusted debt-to-adjusted earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) multiple is a useful credit measure because it reflects the Company's ability to service its debt and other long term obligations. The Company calculates the adjusted debt-to-adjusted EBITDA multiple as adjusted debt divided by adjusted EBITDA. These measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore, may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies.
The following table provides a reconciliation of debt and net income to the adjusted measures presented below, which have been used to calculate the adjusted debt-to-adjusted EBITDA multiple:

In millions, unless otherwise indicated
As at and for the twelve months ended June 30,
 
2017
 
2016
Debt
   
$
10,557
$
10,322
Adjustment: Present value of operating lease commitments (1)
   
488
 
561
Adjusted debt
   
$
11,045
$
10,883
               
Net income
   
$
3,905
$
3,598
Interest expense
     
486
 
469
Income tax expense
     
1,303
 
1,315
Depreciation and amortization
     
1,271
 
1,180
EBITDA
     
6,965
 
6,562
Adjustments:
           
     Other income
     
(94)
 
(31)
     Deemed interest on operating leases
     
22
 
27
Adjusted EBITDA
   
$
6,893
$
6,558
Adjusted debt-to-adjusted EBITDA multiple (times)
     
1.60
 
1.66
               
(1)
The operating lease commitments have been discounted using the Company's implicit interest rate for each of the periods presented.

All forward-looking statements discussed in this section are subject to risks and uncertainties and are based on assumptions about events and developments that may not materialize or that may be offset entirely or partially by other events and developments. See the section of this MD&A entitled Forward-looking statements for a discussion of assumptions and risk factors affecting such forward-looking statements.
 
 

 
 
39 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter 

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
Off balance sheet arrangements

Guarantees and indemnifications
In the normal course of business, the Company, including certain of its subsidiaries, enters into agreements that may involve providing guarantees or indemnifications to third parties and others, which may extend beyond the term of the agreements. These include, but are not limited to, residual value guarantees on operating leases, standby letters of credit, surety and other bonds, and indemnifications that are customary for the type of transaction or for the railway business. As at June 30, 2017, the Company has not recorded a liability with respect to guarantees and indemnifications. Additional information relating to guarantees and indemnifications is provided in Note 9 – Major commitments and contingencies to the Company's unaudited Interim Consolidated Financial Statements.

 
Outstanding share data

As at July 25, 2017, the Company had 751.0 million common shares and 5.7 million stock options outstanding.

 
Financial instruments

Risk management
In the normal course of business, the Company is exposed to various financial risks from its use of financial instruments, such as credit risk, liquidity risk, and market risks which include foreign currency risk, interest rate risk and commodity price risk. A description of these risks and how the Company manages them, is provided in the section entitled Financial instruments of the Company's 2016 Annual MD&A.

Foreign currency risk
The estimated annual impact on net income of a year-over-year one-cent change in the Canadian dollar relative to the US dollar is approximately $30 million.

Derivative financial instruments
As at June 30, 2017, the Company had outstanding foreign exchange forward contracts with a notional value of US$1,126 million (US$1,035 million as at December 31, 2016). For the three and six months ended June 30, 2017, the Company recorded a loss of $26 million and $41 million, respectively, related to foreign exchange forward contracts, compared to a loss of $2 million and $47 million, respectively, for the same periods in 2016. These losses were largely offset by the re-measurement of US dollar-denominated monetary assets and liabilities recorded in Other income.
As at June 30, 2017, Other current assets included an unrealized gain of $nil ($19 million as at December 31, 2016) and Accounts payable and other included an unrealized loss of $32 million ($1 million as at December 31, 2016), related to the fair value of outstanding foreign exchange forward contracts.

Fair value of financial instruments
As at June 30, 2017, the Company's investments had a carrying amount of $71 million ($68 million as at December 31, 2016) and a fair value of $222 million ($220 million as at December 31, 2016). As at June 30, 2017, the Company's debt had a carrying amount of $10,557 million ($10,937 million as at December 31, 2016) and a fair value of $11,793 million ($12,084 million as at December 31, 2016).

Additional information relating to financial instruments is provided in Note 10 – Financial instruments to the Company's unaudited Interim Consolidated Financial Statements.

 
 
 
 
40 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter   

Management's Discussion and Analysis

Recent accounting pronouncements

The following recent Accounting Standards Update (ASU) issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) was adopted by the Company during the current period:

Standard
 
Description
 
Impact
ASU 2016-18, Statement of Cash Flows (Topic 230): Restricted Cash
 
Requires that a Statement of Cash Flows explain the change during the period in the total of cash, cash equivalents, and amounts generally described as restricted cash or restricted cash equivalents.
 
The Company elected to early adopt the amendments of this ASU in the first quarter of 2017 on a retrospective basis. As a result of the adoption of this ASU, changes in restricted cash and cash equivalents are no longer classified as investing activities, and the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows now explains the change during the period in the total of cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and restricted cash equivalents.

The following recent ASUs issued by FASB have an effective date after June 30, 2017 and have not been adopted by the Company:

Standard (1)
 
Description
 
Impact
 
Effective date (2)
ASU 2017-07 Compensation –Retirement Benefits (Topic 715): Improving the Presentation of Net Periodic Pension Cost and Net Periodic Postretirement Benefit Cost
 
 
 
Requires employers that sponsor defined benefit pension plans and/or other postretirement benefit plans to report the service cost component in the same line item or items as other compensation costs. The other components of net periodic benefit cost are required to be presented in the Statement of Income separately from the service cost component and outside a subtotal of income from operations. The new guidance allows only the service cost component to be eligible for capitalization.
The guidance must be applied retrospectively for the presentation of the service cost component and other components of net periodic benefit cost in the Statement of Income and prospectively for the capitalization of the service cost component of net periodic benefit cost.
 
The amendments will affect the classification of the components of pension and postretirement benefit costs other than service cost which will be shown outside of income from operations in a separate caption in the Company's Consolidated Statements of Income.
Had the ASU been applicable for the three and six months ended June 30, 2017, Operating income would have been reduced by approximately $80 million and $159 million, respectively ($78 million and $145 million for the three and six months ended June 30, 2016, respectively) with a corresponding increase presented in the new caption below Operating income with no impact on Net income as a result of the reclassification.
The guidance allowing only the service cost component to be eligible for capitalization is not expected to have a significant impact on the Company's Consolidated Financial Statements.
CN will adopt the requirements of the ASU effective January 1, 2018.
 
December 15, 2017. Early adoption is permitted.
ASU 2016-02, Leases (Topic 842)
 
Requires the recognition of lease assets and lease liabilities on the Balance Sheet by lessees for most leases. The new standard also requires additional qualitative and quantitative disclosures about leases, significant judgments made in applying requirements, and the amounts recognized in the financial statements relating to leases.
Lessees and lessors are required to recognize and measure leases at the beginning of the earliest period presented using the modified retrospective approach.
 
The Company is evaluating the effects that the adoption of the ASU will have on its Consolidated Financial Statements and related disclosures, processes and internal controls. The Company is reviewing its lease contracts and expects that the majority of its operating leases with a term over twelve months will be recognized on the Company's Consolidated Balance Sheets. The Company expects that the ASU will have a significant impact on its Consolidated Balance Sheets with the most significant changes relating to the recognition of new right of use assets and lease liabilities for leases currently classified as operating leases.
CN expects to adopt the requirements of the ASU effective January 1, 2019.
 
December 15, 2018. Early adoption is permitted.
 
 
 
 
41 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter  

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
Standard (1)
 
Description
 
Impact
 
Effective date (2)
 
ASU 2014-09, Revenue from Contracts with Customers (Topic 606) and related amendments
 
The basis of the new standard is that an entity recognizes revenue to represent the transfer of goods or services to customers in an amount that reflects the consideration to which the entity expects to be entitled in exchange for those goods or services.
Additional financial statement presentations and disclosures will be required to assist users of financial statements understand the nature, amount, timing and uncertainty of revenues and cash flows arising from an entity's contracts.
The guidance can be applied using either the retrospective or modified retrospective transition method.
 
The Company continues to make progress towards implementation of the ASU. With respect to freight contracts, in-depth reviews have been completed and the Company has confirmed that freight revenues will continue to be recognized over time based on the transit time of freight as it moves from origin to destination. The Company has also evaluated principal versus agent considerations, including assessing the nature of its promises to customers, and does not expect any significant changes to revenue recognition from this guidance.
The Company continues to review freight contracts for terms that could represent additional performance obligations, and evaluate transaction price considerations. The Company is also finalizing its review of non-freight contracts to determine the impact of the ASU on its Consolidated Financial Statements. Additionally, the Company is evaluating the disclosure requirements, and changes to processes and internal controls necessary to meet the reporting and disclosure requirements.
Based on the work already performed, the Company does not expect that the ASU will have a material impact on its Consolidated Financial Statements.
The Company plans to adopt this ASU using the modified retrospective transition method, effective January 1, 2018.
 
December 15, 2017. Early adoption is permitted.
 
   
 (1)     Other recently issued ASUs required to be applied for periods beginning on or after June 30, 2017 have been evaluated by the Company and will not have a significant impact on the Company's Consolidated Financial Statements.
 (2)     Effective for annual and interim reporting periods beginning after the stated date.
 
 
Critical accounting estimates

The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates, judgments and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of revenues, expenses, assets and liabilities, and the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements. On an ongoing basis, management reviews its estimates based upon available information. Actual results could differ from these estimates. The Company's policies for income taxes, depreciation, pensions and other postretirement benefits, personal injury and other claims and environmental matters, require management's more significant judgments and estimates in the preparation of the Company's Consolidated Financial Statements and, as such, are considered to be critical. Reference is made to the section entitled Critical accounting estimates of the Company's 2016 Annual MD&A for a detailed description of the Company's critical accounting estimates. There have not been any material changes to these estimates in the first half of 2017.

Management discusses the development and selection of the Company's critical accounting policies, including the underlying estimates and assumptions, with the Audit Committee of the Company's Board of Directors. The Audit Committee has reviewed the Company's related disclosures.

 
 
 
 
42 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter  

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
Business risks

In the normal course of business, the Company is exposed to various business risks and uncertainties that can have an effect on the Company's results of operations, financial position, or liquidity. While some exposures may be reduced by the Company's risk management strategies, many risks are driven by external factors beyond the Company's control or are of a nature which cannot be eliminated.
Reference is made to the section entitled Business risks of the Company's 2016 Annual MD&A for a detailed description of such key areas of business risks and uncertainties with respect to: Competition, Environmental matters, Personal injury and other legal claims, Labor negotiations, Regulation, Economic conditions, Pension funding volatility, Reliance on technology, Trade restrictions, Terrorism and international conflicts, Customer credit risk, Liquidity, Supplier concentration, Availability of qualified personnel, Fuel costs, Foreign exchange, Interest rates, Transportation network disruptions, Severe weather and Climate change, which is incorporated herein by reference. Additional risks and uncertainties not currently known to management or that may currently not be considered material by management, could nevertheless also have an adverse effect on the Company's business.
There have been no material changes to the risks described in the Company's 2016 Annual MD&A. The following is an update on labor negotiations, regulatory matters, and trade restrictions.

Labor negotiations
As at June 30, 2017, CN employed a total of 16,116 employees in Canada, of which 11,693, or 73%, were unionized employees; and 6,973 employees in the U.S., of which 5,589, or 80%, were unionized employees. The Company's relationships with its unionized workforce are governed by, amongst other items, collective agreements which are negotiated from time to time. Disputes relating to the renewal of collective agreements could potentially result in strikes, slowdowns and loss of business. Future labor agreements or renegotiated agreements could increase labor and fringe benefits expenses. There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to renew and have its collective agreements ratified without any strikes or lockouts or that the resolution of these collective bargaining negotiations will not have a material adverse effect on the Company's results of operations or financial position.

Canadian workforce
On April 26, 2017, the tentative agreement reached on March 20, 2017 with the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW), governing approximately 700 signals and communications workers, was ratified by its members. The new collective agreement will expire on December 31, 2021.
       On May 29, 2017, the Company reached a tentative agreement with the Teamsters Canada Rail Conference (TCRC) to renew the collective agreement governing approximately 3,000 train conductors and yard coordinators. Ratification is expected by August 7, 2017.

Regulation
On May 16, 2017, the Federal Minister of Transport (Minister) introduced Bill C-49, the Transportation Modernization Act, which proposes a series of amendments to various federal acts respecting transportation. The bill also proposes to amend the CN Commercialization Act to increase the maximum proportion of voting shares of CN that can be held or controlled by any one person to 25%, up from the 15% limit imposed since CN became a public company in 1995.

Economic regulation – Canada
Bill C-49 proposes to amend the Canada Transportation Act to, among other things:
·
expand the Governor in Council's powers to make regulations requiring major railway companies to provide to the Minister and the Canadian Transportation Agency information relating to rates, service and performance;
·
clarify the factors that must be applied in determining whether railway companies are fulfilling their service obligations;
·
enable shippers to obtain terms in their contracts dealing with amounts to be paid in relation to a failure to comply with conditions related to railway companies' service obligations;
·
create a new remedy for shippers who have access to the lines of only one railway company at the point of origin or destination of the movement of traffic in circumstances where interswitching is not available, also called "long-haul interswitching";
·
change the process for the transfer and discontinuance of railway lines to, among other things, require railway companies to make certain information available to the Minister and the public and establish a remedy for non-compliance with the process; and
·
change provisions respecting the maximum revenue entitlement for the movement of Western grain and require certain railway companies to provide to the Minister and the public information respecting the movement of grain.

 
 
 
 
43 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter   

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
Under Bill C-49, the provisions of the Fair Rail for Grain Farmers Act (Bill C-30) will be allowed to sunset on August 1, 2017, with the exception of the provisions dealing with compensation for expenses incurred by shippers and the definition by the Canadian Transportation Agency of 'operational terms' for the purpose of rail level of service arbitrations. Therefore, the provisions respecting authority of the Government to establish minimum volumes of grain to be moved by the Company and Canadian Pacific Railway Company and extended interswitching distances for Prairie Provinces will no longer be in force after August 1, 2017.
On June 19, 2017, Bill C-49 passed second reading in the House of Commons and is expected to be reviewed by the House of Commons Standing Committee on Transport, Infrastructure and Communities in September 2017.

Economic regulation – U.S.
On March 23, 2017, the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia concluded that Section 207 of the Passenger Rail Investment and Improvement Act of 2008 (PRIIA), which gave Amtrak and the Federal Railroad Association joint authority to promulgate PRIIA performance standards, was void and unconstitutional and vacated the performance standards. On May 19, 2017, the Government defendants filed a notice of appeal with the U.S. Court of Appeals challenging the March 23, 2017 decision. Amtrak's complaint filed under Section 213 of PRIIA against CN in 2012 for allegedly sub-standard performance of Amtrak trains on CN's Illinois Central Corporation line is still pending. On July 12, 2017, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit concluded that the Surface Transportation Board (STB) exceeded its authority in adopting its final rule defining intercity passenger on-time performance under Section 213 of PRIIA and vacated the STB's final rule.
On April 26, 2017, the STB denied a reopening petition filed by the Village of Barrington, Illinois and the Illinois Department of Transportation seeking to have the STB extend its monitoring and oversight condition on CN's 2009 acquisition of the Elgin, Joliet and Eastern Railway (EJ&E) for two years beyond the January 23, 2017 expiration and for a grade separation condition at the intersection of U.S. Route 14 and the EJ&E line in Barrington at CN's expense. On May 16, 2017, the Village of Barrington filed a petition seeking reconsideration of the STB's April 26, 2017 decision concerning the request for the grade separation condition. The Village of Barrington is not seeking reconsideration of the STB's decision denying the request to extend the monitoring and oversight condition on CN's 2009 acquisition.

Safety regulation – Canada
On April 26, 2017, the Minister initiated the review of the Railway Safety Act which was initially scheduled for 2018. A panel of three persons was appointed to proceed with the review and provide a report with recommendations by May 2018.
On May 16, 2017, the Minister introduced Bill C-49 which if enacted, in addition to the proposed amendments to federal acts already discussed, will amend the Railway Safety Act to prohibit a railway company from operating railway equipment unless the equipment is fitted with prescribed recording instruments and prescribed information is recorded using those instruments, collected and preserved. The enactment also specifies the circumstances in which the prescribed information that is recorded can be used and communicated by companies, the Minister and railway safety inspectors.
On June 9, 2017, Transport Canada's Locomotive Emissions Regulations (under the Railway Safety Act) came into force. The regulations seek to limit air pollution by establishing emission standards and test procedures for new locomotives, and align Canadian standards with U.S. regulations. The new regulations require railway companies to meet emission standards, undertake emission testing, and adhere to anti-idling provisions, in addition to requirements for labelling, testing, record keeping and reporting. CN's locomotives in service at this time are not required to meet the emission standards or the testing and labelling requirements, however when they are removed from service to be remanufactured, refurbished or upgraded, they must meet the new requirements before they are placed back into service. 
On June 24, 2017, Transport Canada proposed new regulations aimed at lowering the risk of terrorism on the Canadian rail system, entitled Transportation of Dangerous Goods by Rail Security Regulations. The proposed regulations would require all rail carriers to proactively engage in security planning processes and manage security risks, by introducing security awareness training for employees, security plans that include measures to address assessed risks, and security plan training for employees with duties related to the security plan or security sensitive dangerous goods. Rail carriers would also have to conduct security inspections of certain railway vehicles containing dangerous goods, report potential security threats and concerns to the Canadian Transport Emergency Centre, and employ a rail security coordinator.

No assurance can be given that these and any other current or future regulatory or legislative initiatives by the Canadian and U.S. federal governments and agencies will not materially adversely affect the Company's results of operations or its competitive and financial position.

 
 
 
 
44 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter  

Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
Trade restrictions
On December 15, 2016, the U.S. Department of Commerce ("Commerce") agreed to conduct countervailing duty and antidumping duty investigations of Canadian softwood lumber exports to the U.S. During the second quarter of 2017, Commerce made preliminary affirmative determinations in both investigations, announcing preliminary countervailing duties on April 24, 2017 and preliminary antidumping duties on June 26, 2017. As a result of these determinations, U.S. Customs and Border Protection was instructed to collect cash deposits from importers of softwood lumber from Canada based on a company-specific rate for mandatory respondents and a weighted-average rate for all others of 19.88% for countervailing duties and 6.87% for antidumping duties, for a maximum period of four months from the date each duty went into effect. Commerce is scheduled to announce its final determinations in both investigations in September 2017, unless postponed. If final affirmative determinations are made in both investigations, final orders for countervailing and antidumping duties could be issued before the end of 2017.
There can be no assurance that this or any other potential trade actions taken by the Canadian and U.S. federal governments and agencies will not materially adversely affect the volume of rail shipments and/or revenues from commodities carried by the Company, and thus materially and negatively impact earnings and/or cash flow.


Controls and procedures

The Company's Chief Executive Officer and its Chief Financial Officer, after evaluating the effectiveness of the Company's disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)) as of June 30, 2017, have concluded that the Company's disclosure controls and procedures were effective.
During the second quarter ended June 30, 2017, there was no change in the Company's internal control over financial reporting that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company's internal control over financial reporting.
  
 
 
 
 
45 CN | 2017 Quarterly Review – Second Quarter