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Investment in Life Insurance Policies
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2021
Investments, All Other Investments [Abstract]  
Investment in Life Insurance Policies Investment in Life Insurance Policies
The Company’s investments in life insurance policies are valued based on unobservable inputs that are significant to their overall fair value. Changes in the fair value of these policies, net of premiums paid, are recorded in gain (loss) on life insurance policies, net in our condensed consolidated statements of operations.
The fair value of our life insurance policies is determined as the net present value of the life insurance portfolio’s future expected cash flows (policy benefits received and required premium payments) that incorporates life expectancy estimates obtained when the policy was purchased and current discount rate assumptions. We refer to our valuation methodology as the Longest Life Expectancy methodology. This methodology utilizes a portfolio mortality multiplier (“PMM”) that allows us to “fit” projections to actual results, which provides a basis to forecast future performance more accurately. During the second quarter of 2021, we recalculated the PMM in accordance with our valuation methodology, which requires an analysis any time (1) the six-month moving average of the difference between the actual portfolio performance and projected performance deviates by more than one standard deviation from the mean, and (2) such deviation continues as of the end of any calendar quarter after persisting for three consecutive months. The PMM recalculation resulted in a $16.4 million downward adjustment to the value of the life insurance portfolio during the quarter ended June 30, 2021, as reflected in the year-to-date reconciliation of gain (loss) on life insurance policies table below.

The life expectancies used in our valuation were obtained at the time of policy purchase and are generally derived from reports obtained from widely accepted life expectancy providers (other than insured lives covered under small face amount policies — those with $1.0 million in face value benefits or less — which utilize either a single fully underwritten, or simplified report based on self-reported medical interview). Our valuation methodology also incorporates assumptions relating to cost-of-insurance (premium) rates and other assumptions, including a discount rate.

The discount rate we apply is primarily based on information about the discount rates observed in recent portfolio purchase transactions in the life insurance tertiary market. The discount rate also incorporates fixed income market interest rates, the estimated credit exposure to the insurance companies that issued the life insurance policies and management’s estimate of the operational risk yield premium a purchaser would require to receive the future cash flows derived from our portfolio as a whole. In prior periods, the discount rate also incorporated information about the discount rates observed in the life insurance secondary market through the Company’s internal competitive bidding to purchase policies. However, the Company discontinued the use of this input as of December 31, 2020, as it is no longer actively purchasing policies in the life insurance secondary market. The determination of the discount rate used in the valuation of the Company’s life insurance policies requires management judgment and incorporates information that is reasonably available to management as of the date of the valuation. As a result of management’s analysis, a discount rate of 8.25% was applied to our portfolio as of both September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020.
Portfolio Information
Our portfolio of life insurance policies, owned by GWG Holdings’ subsidiaries as of September 30, 2021, is summarized below:
Life Insurance Portfolio Summary
Total life insurance portfolio face value of policy benefits (in thousands)$1,801,306
Average face value per insured life (in thousands)$1,984
Average life expectancy estimate (years)*6.4
Total number of policies984
Number of unique lives908
Demographics
74% Male; 26% Female
Number of smokers36
Largest policy as % of total portfolio face value0.7 %
Average policy as % of total portfolio face value0.1 %
Average annual premium as % of face value4.1 %
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(*) Averages presented in the table are weighted averages by face amount of policy benefits.

A summary of our policies organized according to their estimated life expectancy dates, grouped by year, as of the reporting date, is as follows (dollars in thousands):
As of September 30, 2021As of December 31, 2020
Years Ending December 31,Number of PoliciesEstimated Fair ValueFace ValueNumber of PoliciesEstimated Fair Value Face Value
Three months ending December 31, 20212$3,226 $3,250 15$19,429 $22,298 
20222123,530 27,611 6266,657 88,698 
202379100,355 141,376 106113,926 178,983 
2024112127,746 207,890 119130,280 229,815 
2025113110,159 217,082 11185,842 187,042 
202610580,135 171,025 115100,280 237,632 
Thereafter552316,409 1,033,072 530275,497 956,247 
Totals984$761,560 $1,801,306 1,058$791,911 $1,900,715 
We recognized life insurance benefits of $43.2 million and $39.8 million during the three months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively, related to policies with a carrying value of $12.3 million and $13.5 million, respectively, and as a result recorded realized gains of $30.9 million and $26.3 million, respectively. We recognized life insurance benefits of $104.7 million and $105.2 million during the nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively, related to policies with a carrying value of $31.0 million and $32.3 million, respectively, and as a result recorded realized gains of $73.7 million and $72.9 million, respectively. The aforementioned carrying value, which represents the aggregate cost basis in the policies that matured during the period, is considered a return of investment within the investing section of the condensed consolidated statements of cash flows. Changes in fair value of policies and the other components of the net gain on life insurance policies, as detailed below, are included in the operating section of the condensed consolidated statements of cash flows.
A reconciliation of gain (loss) on life insurance policies is as follows (in thousands):
Three Months Ended
September 30,
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
2021202020212020
Change in estimated probabilistic cash flows(1)
$13,120 $14,723 $40,230 $47,923 
Premiums and other annual fees(19,267)(18,235)(56,388)(53,060)
Change in life expectancy evaluation— — 2,337 — 
Change in PMM— — (16,386)— 
Face value of matured policies43,217 39,803 104,662 105,194 
Fair value of matured policies(21,586)(22,169)(56,532)(56,702)
Gain on life insurance policies, net$15,484 $14,122 $17,923 $43,355 
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(1)Change in fair value of expected future cash flows relating to our investment in life insurance policies that are not specifically attributable to changes in life expectancy, discount rate changes or policy maturity events.
Estimated premium payments and servicing fees required to maintain our current portfolio of life insurance policies in force for the next five years, assuming no mortalities, are as follows (in thousands):
Years Ending December 31,PremiumsServicingTotal
Three months ending December 31, 2021$13,847 $457 $14,304 
202281,839 1,828 83,667 
202393,037 1,828 94,865 
2024101,998 1,828 103,826 
2025113,722 1,828 115,550 
2026125,911 1,828 127,739 
$530,354 $9,597 $539,951 
Management anticipates funding the majority of the premium payments and servicing fees estimated above from cash flows realized from life insurance policy benefits, and to the extent necessary, with additional borrowing capacity created as the premiums and servicing costs of pledged life insurance policies become due, under the LNV Credit Facility and the net proceeds from our offering of L Bonds as described in Note 9. Management anticipates funding premiums and servicing costs of non-pledged life insurance policies with cash flows realized from life insurance policy benefits from our portfolio of life insurance policies and net proceeds from GWG Holdings’ offering of L Bonds. The proceeds of these capital sources may also be used for: the purchase, policy premiums and servicing costs of additional life insurance policies; working capital; and financing expenditures including paying principal, interest and dividends.