EX-99.1 19 dex991.htm APPRAISAL Appraisal

Exhibit 99.1

FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

1001 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NW SUITE 840

WASHINGTON, DC 20036

202-467-6862 (FAX) 202-467-6963

Asheville Saving Bank, S.S.B.

Asheville, North Carolina

Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report

Valued as of May 9, 2011

Prepared By

Feldman Financial Advisors, Inc.

Washington, DC


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

1001 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NW SUITE 840

WASHINGTON, DC 20036

202-467-6862 (FAX) 202-467-6963

May 9, 2011

Board of Directors

Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B.

11 Church Street

Asheville, North Carolina 28801

Members of the Board:

At your request, we have completed and hereby provide an independent appraisal (“Appraisal”) of the estimated pro forma market value of Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B. (the “Bank”) in connection with the simultaneous conversion of the Bank from the mutual to stock form of ownership, the issuance of the Bank’s capital stock to ASB Bancorp, Inc. (the “Company”), and the offering of shares of common stock of the Company for sale to certain depositors of the Bank, employee benefit plans of the Bank, and other members of the general public (collectively referred to herein as the “Conversion”). This Appraisal is furnished pursuant to the Bank’s regulatory filing of the Application for Conversion (“Application”) with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”) and the North Carolina Commissioner of Banks.

Feldman Financial Advisors, Inc. (“Feldman Financial”) is a financial consulting and economic research firm that specializes in financial valuations and analyses of business enterprises and securities in the thrift, banking, and mortgage industries. The background of Feldman Financial is presented in Exhibit I. In preparing the Appraisal, we conducted an analysis of the Bank that included discussions with the Bank’s management, the Bank’s legal counsel, Kilpatrick Townsend & Stockton LLP, and the Bank’s independent auditor, Dixon Hughes Goodman LLP. In addition, where appropriate, we considered information based on other available published sources that we believe are reliable; however, we cannot guarantee the accuracy and completeness of such information.

We also reviewed, among other factors, the economy in the Bank’s primary market area and compared the Bank’s financial condition and operating performance with that of selected publicly traded thrift institutions. We reviewed conditions in the securities markets in general and in the market for thrift institution common stocks in particular.

The Appraisal is based on the Bank’s representation that the information contained in the Application and additional evidence furnished to us by the Bank and its independent auditor are truthful, accurate, and complete. We did not independently verify the financial statements and other information provided by the Bank and its independent auditor, nor did we independently value the assets or liabilities of the Bank. The Appraisal considers the Bank only as a going concern and should not be considered as an indication of the liquidation value of the Bank.


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

Board of Directors

Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B.

May 9, 2011

Page Two

 

It is our opinion that, as of May 9, 2011, the estimated aggregate pro forma market value of the Bank was within a range (the “Valuation Range”) of $53,550,000 to $72,450,000 with a midpoint of $63,000,000. The Valuation Range was based upon a 15% decrease from the midpoint to determine the minimum and a 15% increase from the midpoint to establish the maximum. Assuming an additional 15% increase above the maximum value would result in an adjusted maximum of $83,317,500. Thus, assuming an offering price of $10.00 per share of common stock, the Company will offer a minimum of 5,355,000 shares, a midpoint of 6,300,000 shares, a maximum of 7,245,000 shares, and an adjusted maximum of 8,331,750 shares.

Our Appraisal is not intended, and must not be construed, to be a recommendation of any kind as to the advisability of purchasing shares of common stock in the Conversion. Moreover, because the Appraisal is necessarily based upon estimates and projections of a number of matters, all of which are subject to change from time to time, no assurance can be given that persons who purchase shares of stock in the Conversion will thereafter be able to sell such shares at prices related to the foregoing estimate of the Bank’s pro forma market value. Feldman Financial is not a seller of securities within the meaning of any federal or state securities laws and any report prepared by Feldman Financial shall not be used as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.

The Valuation Range reported herein will be updated as appropriate. These updates will consider, among other factors, any developments or changes in the Bank’s operating performance, financial condition, or management policies, and current conditions in the securities markets for thrift institution common stocks. Should any such new developments or changes be material, in our opinion, to the valuation of the Bank, appropriate adjustments to the estimated pro forma market value will be made. The reasons for any such adjustments will be explained in detail at that time.

 

Respectfully submitted,
Feldman Financial Advisors, Inc.

/s/ Trent R. Feldman

Trent R. Feldman
President

/s/ Peter W. L. Williams

Peter W. L. Williams
Principal


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

TAB

            PAGE  
  INTRODUCTION      1   

I.

  Chapter One – BUSINESS OF ASHEVILLE SAVINGS BANK, S.S.B.   
  General Overview      4   
  Financial Condition      11   
  Income and Expense Trends      23   
  Interest Rate Risk Management      31   
  Asset Quality      34   
  Office Properties      37   
  Market Area      39   

II.

  Chapter Two – COMPARISONS WITH PUBLICLY TRADED THRIFTS   
  General Overview      51   
  Selection Criteria      52   
  Recent Financial Comparisons      56   

III.

  Chapter Three – MARKET VALUE ADJUSTMENTS   
  General Overview      70   
  Earnings Prospects      71   
  Financial Condition      73   
  Market Area      74   
  Management      75   
  Dividend Policy      75   
  Liquidity of the Issue      76   
  Subscription Interest      77   
  Recent Acquisition Activity      78   
  Effect of Government Regulations and Regulatory Reform      80   
  Stock Market Conditions      80   
  New Issue Discount      83   
  Adjustments Conclusion      86   
  Valuation Approach      86   
  Valuation Conclusion      89   

IV.

  Appendix – EXHIBITS   
  I    Background of Feldman Financial Advisors, Inc.      I-1   
  II-1    Consolidated Balance Sheets      II-1   
  II-2    Consolidated Income Statements      II-2   
  II-3    Loan Portfolio Composition      II-3   
  II-4    Net Loan Activity      II-4   
  II-5    Investment Portfolio Composition      II-5   
  II-6    Deposit Account Distribution      II-6   
  II-7    Borrowed Funds Distribution      II-7   
  II-8    Office Properties      II-8   
  III    Financial and Market Data for All Public Thrifts      III-1   
  IV-1    Pro Forma Assumptions for Conversion Stock Offering      IV-1   
  IV-2    Pro Forma Conversion Valuation Range      IV-2   
  IV-3    Pro Forma Conversion Analysis at the Maximum Valuation      IV-3   
  IV-4    Comparative Valuation Ratio Differential      IV-4   

 

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LIST OF TABLES{PRIVATE}

 

TAB

        PAGE  
I.    Chapter One – BUSINESS OF ASHEVILLE SAVINGS BANK, S.S.B.   
   Table 1    Selected Financial Condition Data      11   
   Table 2    Relative Balance Sheet Concentrations      12   
   Table 3    Income Statement Summary      24   
   Table 4    Selected Operating Ratios      25   
   Table 5    Income Statement Ratios      27   
   Table 6    Yield and Cost Summary      29   
   Table 7    Interest Rate Risk Analysis      33   
   Table 8    Non-performing Assets Summary      35   
   Table 9    Allowance for Loan Loss Summary      36   
   Table 10    Branch Office Deposit Data      38   
   Table 11    Selected Demographic Data      41   
   Table 12    Comparative Employment Concentrations      44   
   Table 13    Major Employers in the Asheville Area      45   
   Table 14    Deposit Market Share in the Asheville MSA      47   
   Table 15    Deposit Market Share in the Greater Asheville Area      48   
   Table 16    Residential Mortgage Lending Market Share in the Asheville MSA      50   

II.

   Chapter Two – COMPARISONS WITH PUBLICLY TRADED THRIFTS   
   Table 17    Comparative Group Operating Summary      55   
   Table 18    Key Financial Comparisons      57   
   Table 19    General Operating Characteristics      64   
   Table 20    Summary Financial Performance Ratios      65   
   Table 21    Income and Expense Analysis      66   
   Table 22    Yield-Cost Structure and Growth Rates      67   
   Table 23    Balance Sheet Composition      68   
   Table 24    Regulatory Capital, Credit Risk, and Loan Composition      69   

III.

   Chapter Three – MARKET VALUE ADJUSTMENTS   
   Table 25    Summary of Recent North Carolina Acquisition Activity      79   
   Table 26    Comparative Stock Index Performance      81   
   Table 27    Summary of Recent Standard Conversion Stock Offerings      85   
   Table 28    Comparative Pro Forma Market Valuation Analysis      90   

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

INTRODUCTION

As requested, we have completed and hereby provide an independent appraisal (“Appraisal”) of the estimated pro forma market value of Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B. (“Asheville Savings Bank,” “ASB,” or the “Bank”) in connection with the simultaneous conversion of the Bank from the mutual to stock form of ownership, the issuance of the Bank’s capital stock to ASB Bancorp, Inc. (the “Company”), and the offering of shares of common stock of the Company for sale to certain depositors of the Bank, employee benefit plans of the Bank, and other members of the general public (collectively referred to herein as the “Conversion”). This appraisal report is furnished pursuant to the Bank’s filing of the Application for Conversion with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”) and the North Carolina Commissioner of Bank. Our estimate of the pro forma market value of ASB is expressed in the form of a range (“Valuation Range”) based on accepted regulatory guidelines.

In the course of preparing the Appraisal, we reviewed and discussed with the Bank’s management and the Bank’s independent accountants, Dixon Hughes Goodman LLP, the audited financial statements of the Bank’s operations for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2010. We also reviewed and discussed with management other financial matters of the Bank. Where appropriate, we considered information based upon other available public sources, which we believe to be reliable; however, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information. We visited the Bank’s primary market area and examined the prevailing economic conditions. We also examined the competitive environment within which the Bank operates and assessed the Bank’s relative strengths and weaknesses.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

We examined and compared the Bank’s financial performance with selected segments of the thrift industry and selected publicly traded thrift institutions. We reviewed conditions in the securities markets in general and the market for thrift institution common stocks in particular. We included in our analysis an examination of the potential effects of the Conversion on the Bank’s operating characteristics and financial performance as they relate to the estimated pro forma market value of the Bank.

In preparing the Appraisal, we have relied upon and assumed the accuracy and completeness of financial and statistical information provided by the Bank and its independent accountants. We did not independently verify the financial statements and other information provided by the Bank and its independent accountants, nor did we independently value the assets or liabilities of the Bank. The Appraisal considers the Bank only as a going concern and should not be considered as an indication of the liquidation value of the Bank.

Our Appraisal is not intended, and must not be construed, to be a recommendation of any kind as to the advisability of purchasing shares of common stock in the Conversion. Moreover, because the Appraisal is necessarily based on estimates and projections of a number of matters, all of which are subject to change from time to time, no assurance can be given that persons who purchase shares of common stock in the Conversion will thereafter be able to sell such shares at prices related to the foregoing estimate of the Bank’s pro forma market value. Feldman Financial is not a seller of securities within the meaning of any federal and state securities laws and any report prepared by Feldman Financial shall not be used as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

The Valuation Range reported in this Appraisal will be updated as appropriate. These updates will consider, among other factors, any developments or changes in the Bank’s financial performance or management policies, and current conditions in the securities market for thrift institution common stocks. Should any such developments or changes be material, in our opinion, to the valuation of the Bank, appropriate adjustments to the estimated pro forma market value will be made. The reasons for any such adjustments will be explained in detail at that time.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

I. BUSINESS OF ASHEVILLE SAVINGS BANK, S.S.B.

General Overview

Asheville Savings Bank is a North Carolina chartered mutual savings bank headquartered in Asheville, North Carolina. Founded originally in 1936, the Bank operates as a community-oriented financial institution offering traditional financial services to consumer and businesses in its primary market area. At March 31, 2011, ASB had total assets of $750.7 million, net loans of $472.1 million, total deposits of $616.6 million, and equity capital of $63.3 million or 8.43% of total assets. The Bank is subject to extensive regulation by the North Carolina Commissioner of Banks, as its chartering agency, and by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”), as its deposit insurer. The Bank is a member of the Federal Home Loan Bank (“FHLB”) of Atlanta.

ASB is primarily engaged in the business of attracting deposits from the general public and using those funds to originate primarily one- to four-family residential mortgage loans and commercial real estate loans, and, to a lesser extent, home equity loans and lines of credit, consumer loans, construction and land development loans, and commercial and industrial loans. The Bank conducts its lending and deposit activities primarily with individuals and small businesses in its primary market area, which consists of Asheville, North Carolina and the rest of Buncombe County where it operates eight branch offices, as well as Henderson, Madison, McDowell, and Transylvania counties where it has a total of five branch offices.

The Bank has two subsidiaries. Appalachian Financial Services, Inc. was formed to engage in investment activities but is currently inactive. Wenoca, Inc. serves as the Bank’s trustee regarding deeds of trust. Both subsidiaries are organized as North Carolina corporations and do not have a material impact on the Bank’s operating performance.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

The Bank experienced significant growth over the past decade. At December 31, 1999, the Bank had total assets of $364.3 million and nine branch locations. By December 31, 2009, the Bank had expanded its total assets to $749.4 million and operated 13 branch offices. The Bank’s asset base more than doubled over this ten-year period and increased at a compound annual growth rate of 7.5%. In addition, the Bank began to diversify its loan portfolio through the increased origination of commercial real estate and consumer loans. Historically, the Bank had mainly emphasized the origination of one- to four-family residential mortgage loans, which represented 71.5% or $204.0 million of the total loan portfolio of $285.4 million at December 31, 1999. By December 31, 2009, the concentration of residential mortgage loans had declined to 31.9% of the total loan portfolio and amounted to $191.0 million of total loans of $598.1 million. The Bank’s net loan growth was fueled largely by the growth of the commercial real estate loan portfolio, which expanded from $7.5 million at December 31, 1999 to $197.2 million at December 31, 2009. The consumer loan portfolio also expanded, increasing primarily as a result of indirect automobile lending activity. Consumer loans increased from $40.3 million at December 31, 1999 to $86.8 million at December 31, 2009.

The Bank’s asset growth was funded primarily by deposit expansion, supported by increased borrowings and capital accumulation from profitable operations. The Bank reported positive earnings in each year from 2000 to 2009, although its profitability began to decline toward the latter part of the decade due to a narrowed net interest margin attributable mainly to the generally lower interest rate environment and increased provisions for loan losses. In addition, by the end of year-end 2009, the Bank had begun to experience a marked increase in non-performing assets. Total non-performing assets increased from $9.8 million (1.39% of total assets) at year-end 2008 to $20.3 million (2.71% of total assets) and $24.1 million (3.21% of total assets) at year-end 2009 and 2010, respectively.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

The Bank’s increased emphasis on commercial mortgage and commercial construction and land development loans has exposed it to losses as the recent economic recession, whose adverse effects were delayed in impacting Western North Carolina, has unfavorably affected businesses and developers in ASB’s market area. The Bank charged off $7.9 million of commercial construction and land development loans and $6.1 million of commercial mortgage loans in 2010. The Bank also suffered recent losses in its residential mortgage loan portfolio, with charge-offs totaling $1.8 million in 2010 on residential mortgage loans. Total charge-offs in the consumer loan portfolio totaled $1.1 million in 2010. The losses in the Bank’s consumer loan portfolio have been related primarily to its indirect financing of automobile loans and, as a result of such losses, ASB has suspended its indirect automobile financing activities. The Bank is continuing to emphasize its commercial mortgage lending activities. However, due to recent economic conditions, the Bank has suspended financing the construction of any properties built on a speculative basis and is emphasizing the origination of commercial mortgage loans secured by owner-occupied properties.

Because of its heightened credit risk exposure, the Bank increased it provision for loan losses to $22.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2010 as compared to $4.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2009. The increase in the provision was deemed necessary by the Bank to replenish the allowance for loan losses that was depleted due to $18.7 million in net charge-offs of non-performing loans in 2010, as well as management’s efforts to increase the allowance for loan losses in response to continued elevated levels of non-performing loans. The

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

increased loan loss provision contributed to a net operating loss of $9.5 million for 2009. In addition, the Bank’s equity capital declined from $73.6 million (9.83% of total assets) at December 31, 2009 to $62.9 million (8.38% of total assets) at December 31, 2010. The Bank returned to profitability for the first quarter of 2011 with reported earnings of $585,000 for the three months ended March 31, 2011, as compared to $430,000 for the three months ended March 31, 2010.

The Bank’s primary objective is to operate and grow a profitable community-oriented financial institution serving customers in its primary market area. ASB has sought to achieve this through the adoption of a business strategy designed to maintain a strong capital position and high asset quality. The Bank has implemented a plan to resolve its current asset quality problems and has hired senior management with backgrounds in consumer and commercial banking to help diversify its product offerings, expand its commercial deposit and lending products, and expand its consumer deposit and lending products, while emphasizing high asset quality standards. The Bank’s operating strategies includes the following:

 

   

Continuing to provide products and services to individuals and businesses in the communities served by its branch offices. ASB has operated continuously as a community-oriented financial institution since it was established in 1936. The Bank is committed to meeting the financial needs of the communities in which it operates, and it is dedicated to providing quality personal service to customers. The Bank provides a broad range of consumer and business financial services through its branch office network and plans to continually seek out ways to improve convenience, safety and service through its product offerings.

 

   

Continuing to originate residential and commercial mortgage loans. The Bank’s primary lending focus has been and will continue to be aimed at operating as a residential and commercial mortgage lender. ASB originates fixed-rate and adjustable-rate residential and commercial mortgage loans that are retained in its loan portfolio. However, most of the fixed-rate residential mortgage loans originated by the Bank are sold into the secondary market with servicing released. At March 31, 2011, residential mortgage loans totaled $177.8 million, or 36.7% of the total loan portfolio, and commercial mortgage loans totaled $162.7 million, or 33.5% of the

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

 

total loan portfolio. Although total residential and commercial mortgage loans have decreased from a high of $388.2 million at December 31, 2009 to $340.5 million at March 31, 2011 as the Bank addressed certain asset quality problems throughout 2009 and 2010 and experienced lower demand for commercial mortgage loans, ASB intends to continue to emphasize its residential and commercial mortgage lending activities.

 

   

Expanding commercial and industrial lending activities and emphasizing the origination of small business loans. The Bank seeks to expand its commercial and industrial lending activities and to originate an increased number of small business loans. ASB has hired additional experienced lending officers and credit management personnel over the past several years in order to continue to prudently manage this type of lending. Although commercial and industrial lending has decreased recently as the Bank has addressed asset quality issues and experienced decreased loan demand, ASB’s goal is to expand this portion of its portfolio using conservative underwriting practices to increase the overall yield of its loan portfolio.

 

   

Emphasizing lower cost core deposits to maintain low funding costs. ASB seeks to increase net interest income by controlling costs of funding. As a traditional thrift institution, a larger concentration of its deposit base has consisted of higher balance, higher cost certificates of deposit. Over the past several years, the Bank has attempted to reduce its dependence on traditional higher cost deposits in favor of stable, lower cost demand deposits. The Bank has utilized additional product offerings, technology, and a focus on customer service in working toward this goal. In addition, ASB intends to seek demand deposits by growing commercial banking relationships.

 

   

Expanding market share within its primary market area. ASB intends to expand its market share in its primary market area by evaluating additional branch expansion opportunities. Subject to favorable market conditions, it is currently the Bank’s goal to continue to open additional branch offices in its primary market area in the years following the Conversion. In addition, ASB is interested in pursuing opportunities to acquire other financial institutions, including through FDIC-assisted transactions, and branches of financial institutions in its primary market area and surrounding areas. However, the Bank currently has no definitive plans or commitments regarding potential acquisition opportunities.

 

   

Seeking to enhance fee income through investment advisory services. The Bank currently provides a full array of investment services for individuals and small businesses, including full access to financial market instruments such as mutual funds and equities, through a relationship with LPL Financial Services (formerly UVEST Investment Services). For the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2011, commission income relating to investment advisory services totaled $49,000 and $65,000, respectively. In the future, the Bank intends to continue to enhance its fee income by providing investment advisory services to customers through its relationship with LPL Financial Services.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

While the Bank’s present equity capital level is solid at 8.43% of total assets at March 31, 2011, the Bank believes it is a prudent course of action to raise additional capital in order to facilitate its growth objectives and loan diversification, and provide a greater capital cushion in response to the heightened risk profile associated with uncertain economic conditions. The Bank’s equity position recently increased from $62.8 million or 8.38% of total assets at December 31, 2010 to $63.3 million at March 31, 2011, but remains below the level of $73.6 million or 9.82% of total assets at year-end 2009 prior to incurring the net loss in 2010.

As a stock corporation upon completion of the Conversion, the Bank will be organized in the form used by commercial banks, most major corporations, and a majority of savings institutions. The ability to raise new equity capital through the issuance and sale of capital stock will allow the Bank the flexibility to increase its equity capital position more rapidly than by accumulating earnings.

The Bank also believes that the ability to attract new capital also will help address the needs of the communities it serves and enhance its ability to expand or to make acquisitions. After the Conversion, the Bank will have increased ability to merge with or acquire other financial institutions or business enterprises. Finally, the Bank expects to benefit from its employees and directors having stock ownership in its business, since that is viewed as an effective performance incentive and a means of attracting, retaining, and compensating employees and directors.

As a stock holding company, the Company also will have greater flexibility than the Bank now has in structuring mergers and acquisitions, including the offer consideration paid in a transaction. The Bank’s current mutual savings bank structure, by its nature, limits its ability to

 

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offer any common stock as consideration in a merger or acquisition transactions. The stock holding company structure will enhance the ability of the Company to compete with other bidders when acquisition opportunities arise by better enabling it to offer stock or cash consideration, or a combination of the two.

In summary, the Bank’s primary reasons for implementing the Conversion and undertaking the stock offering are to:

 

   

enhance profitability and earnings through reinvesting and leveraging the offering proceeds, primarily through traditional funding and lending activities;

 

   

support future branching activities and/or the acquisition of financial institutions or financial services companies;

 

   

enhance the Bank’s ability to compete in its primary market area by offering new products and services; and

 

   

increase capital to meet anticipated industry-wide increases in regulatory capital requirements; and

 

   

implement equity compensation plans to retain and attract qualified directors, officers, and staff and to enhance the current incentive-based compensation programs.

The remainder of Chapter I examines in more detail the trends addressed in this section, including the impact of changes in the Bank’s economic and competitive environment, and recent management initiatives. The discussion is supplemented by the exhibits in the Appendix. Exhibit II-1 summarizes the Bank’s consolidated balance sheets as of the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2010 and as of March 31, 2011. Exhibit II-2 presents the Bank’s consolidated income statements for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2010 and the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2011.

 

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Financial Condition

Table 1 presents selected data concerning the Bank’s financial position as of December 31, 2006 to 2010 and March 31, 2011. Table 2 displays relative balance sheet concentrations for the Bank as of similar fiscal year-end periods.

Table 1

Selected Financial Condition Data

As of December 31, 2006 to 2010 and March 31, 2011

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

     March 31,
2011
     December 31,  
        2010      2009      2008      2007      2006  

Total assets

   $ 750,709       $ 749,965       $ 749,307       $ 705,095       $ 638,656       $ 597,034   

Cash and cash equivalents

     26,436         24,234         23,176         39,384         54,789         54,006   

Investment securities available-for-sale

     198,596         175,445         90,057         37,362         26,996         23,930   

Investment securities held-to-maturity

     5,720         5,948         6,958         5,442         10,856         12,523   

Federal Home Loan Bank stock

     3,970         3,970         3,993         5,020         3,325         2,952   

Loans receivable, net

     472,097         487,327         588,607         583,692         516,080         482,000   

Loans held for sale

     1,263         8,386         3,890         2,926         2,548         2,107   

Foreclosed real estate

     10,506         10,650         3,699         6,272         —           —     

Total deposits

     616,586         619,757         608,538         535,640         505,290         480,296   

Federal Home Loan Bank advances

     60,000         60,000         60,000         60,000         50,000         40,000   

Overnight and short-term borrowings

     1,404         1,008         1,694         31,219         4,561         1,704   

Total equity

     63,295         62,881         73,649         69,921         71,059         66,822   

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus.

Asset Composition

The Bank’s total assets amounted to $750.7 million at March 31, 2011, reflecting a marginal 0.2% or $1.4 million increase from total assets of $749.3 million at year-end 2009. The negligible asset growth was primarily due to shrinkage of the loan portfolio by 19.8% or $116.5 million since year-end 2009. Net loans receivable declined from $588.6 million at year-end 2009 to $472.1 million at March 31, 2011 due to reduced loan originations and increased levels of loan sales, charge-off activity, and transfer of foreclosed loans to real estate owned.

 

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Table 2

Relative Balance Sheet Concentrations

As of December 31, 2006 to 2010 and March 31, 2011

(Percent of Total Assets)

 

     March 31,      December 31,  
     2011      2010      2009      2008      2007      2006  
     (%)      (%)      (%)      (%)      (%)      (%)  

Cash and cash equivalents

     3.52         3.23         3.09         5.59         8.58         9.05   

Investment securities available-for-sale

     26.45         23.39         12.02         5.30         4.23         4.01   

Investment securities held-to-maturity

     0.76         0.79         0.93         0.77         1.70         2.10   

Federal Home Loan Bank stock

     0.53         0.53         0.53         0.71         0.52         0.49   

Loans receivable, net

     62.89         64.98         78.55         82.78         80.81         80.23   

Loans held for sale

     0.17         1.12         0.52         0.41         0.40         0.35   

Foreclosed real estate

     1.40         1.42         0.49         0.89         —           —     

Other assets

     4.28         4.53         3.86         3.55         3.77         3.77   
                                                     

Total assets

     100.00         100.00         100.00         100.00         100.00         100.00   
                                                     

Total deposits

     82.13         82.64         81.21         75.97         79.12         80.45   

Federal Home Loan Bank advances

     7.99         8.00         8.01         8.51         7.83         6.70   

Overnight and short-term borrowings

     0.19         0.13         0.23         4.43         0.71         0.29   

Other liabilities

     1.26         0.84         0.72         1.18         1.21         1.38   
                                                     

Total liabilities

     91.57         91.62         90.17         90.08         88.87         88.81   

Total equity

     8.43         8.38         9.83         9.92         11.13         11.19   
                                                     

Total liabilities and equity

     100.00         100.00         100.00         100.00         100.00         100.00   
                                                     

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus; Feldman Financial calculations.

As a result of the shrinkage of the loan portfolio, net loans receivable declined from 82.8% of total assets at December 31, 2008 to 62.9% at March 31, 2011. Conversely, the level of securities available for sale increased from 5.3% at December 31, 2008 to 26.5% at March 31, 2011. Total cash and securities increased from $87.2 million or 12.4% of total assets at December 31, 2008 to $234.7 million or 31.3% of total assets at March 31, 2011.

As presented in Exhibit II-3, the Bank’s current loan portfolio includes residential mortgages and commercial mortgage as core products. The largest component of the Bank’s loan portfolio are real estate mortgage loans, primarily one- to four-family residential mortgage loans and commercial mortgage loans, and to a lesser extent, revolving mortgage loans (which consist

 

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of home equity loans and lines of credit), consumer loans, construction and land development loans, and commercial and industrial loans. The Bank originates loans for investment purposes, although it generally sells fixed-rate residential mortgage loans into the secondary market with servicing released. ASB intends to continue to emphasize residential and commercial mortgage lending, while also concentrating on ways to expand its commercial and industrial lending activities with a focus on serving small businesses and emphasizing relationship banking in its primary market area. The Bank does not offer, and has not offered, subprime, Alt-A, or no-documentation mortgage loans.

Residential mortgage loans. Residential mortgage loans totaled $177.8 million or 36.7% of the Bank’s loan portfolio at March 31, 2011. The Bank’s residential lending policies and procedures generally conform to the secondary market guidelines. ASB generally offers a mix of adjustable-rate mortgage loans and fixed-rate mortgage loans with terms of up to 30 years. The relative amount of fixed-rate mortgage loans and adjustable-rate mortgage loans that can be originated at any time is largely determined by the demand for each in a competitive environment. Interest rates and payments on the Bank’s adjustable-rate mortgages generally adjust annually after an initial fixed period that typically ranges from one to seven years. Interest rates and payments on adjustable-rate mortgages generally are indexed to the one year U.S. Treasury Constant Maturity Index.

The Bank generally does not make owner-occupied one- to four-family residential real estate loans with loan-to-value ratios exceeding 95%. Loans with loan-to-value ratios in excess of 80% typically require private mortgage insurance. In addition, ASB generally does not make non-owner occupied, one- to four-family residential real estate loans with loan-to-value ratios

 

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exceeding 80%. The Bank requires all properties securing mortgage loans to be appraised by a Board-approved independent appraiser. The Bank also requires title insurance on all first mortgage loans. Borrowers must obtain hazard insurance, and flood insurance is required for all loans located in flood hazard areas.

Commercial mortgage loans. Commercial mortgage loans totaled $162.7 million or 33.5% of the Bank’s loan portfolio at March 31, 2011. ASB offers fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgage loans secured by non-residential real estate and multi-family properties. The Bank’s commercial mortgage loans are generally secured by commercial, industrial and manufacturing, small to moderately-sized office and retail properties, hotels, multi-family properties, and hospitals and churches located in its primary market area. Although ASB has historically made commercial mortgage loans that are secured by both owner-occupied and non-owner occupied properties, the Bank is currently emphasizing the origination of commercial mortgage loans that are secured by owner-occupied properties. At March 31, 2011, $35.6 million or 21.9% of the Bank’s commercial real estate loans were secured by owner-occupied properties.

The Bank originates fixed-rate and adjustable-rate commercial mortgage loans, generally with terms of three to five years and payments based on an amortization schedule of up to 25 years, resulting in “balloon” balances at maturity. For adjustable-rate commercial mortgage loans, interest rates are typically equal to the prime lending rate as reported in the Wall Street Journal plus an applicable margin. Currently, the Bank’s adjustable-rate commercial mortgage loans typically provide for an interest rate floor. Loans are secured by first mortgages, are generally originated with a maximum loan-to-value ratio of 85%, and may require specified debt service coverage ratios depending on the characteristics of the project. Rates and other terms on

 

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such loans generally depend on the Bank’s assessment of credit risk after considering such factors as the borrower’s financial condition, credit history, loan-to-value ratio, debt service coverage ratio and other factors, including whether the property securing the loan will be owner-occupied. At March 31, 2011, the Bank’s largest commercial mortgage loan had an outstanding balance of $7.0 million. This loan was originated in November 2009 and is secured by a multi-use property, including a warehouse and office space, located in Fletcher, North Carolina. The loan is currently performing in accordance with its original terms.

Construction and land development loans. Construction and land development loans totaled $35.7 million or 7.4% of the Bank’s loan portfolio at March 31, 2011. The Bank has originated construction and land development loans for commercial properties, such as retail shops and office units, and multi-family properties, and construction and land development loans for one-to four-family homes. At March 31, 2011, commercial construction and land development loans totaled $27.8 million and residential construction and land development loans totaled $7.9 million. Residential construction loans are typically for a term of 12 months with monthly interest only payments, and generally are followed by an automatic conversion to a 15-year to 30-year permanent loan with monthly payments of principal and interest. Except for speculative loans, residential construction loans are generally only made to homeowners and the repayment of such loans generally comes from the proceeds of a permanent mortgage loan for which a commitment is typically in place when the construction loan is originated. Interest rates on construction loans are generally tied to an index plus an applicable margin. ASB generally requires a maximum loan-to-value ratio of 80% for all construction loans. The Bank generally disburses funds on a percentage-of-completion basis following an inspection by a third party inspector.

 

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In the past, the Bank has originated speculative construction loans to builders who have not identified a buyer for the completed property at the time of origination. However, due to recent economic conditions, ASB is no longer emphasizing the origination of speculative construction loans. At March 31, 2011, the Bank had speculative residential construction loans of $3.1 million and speculative commercial construction loans of $9.6 million.

At March 31, 2011, the Bank’s largest construction loan secured by a project being built on speculation was an $8.6 million loan secured by a mixed-use residential condominium, commercial office and retail project located in Western North Carolina. The borrower is in Chapter 11 bankruptcy. Through the bankruptcy process, ASB made an additional loan to a third party totaling $2.3 million. That third party then made a $2.9 million “debtor in possession” loan to the original borrower to facilitate the completion of the building. An interest reserve for the $8.6 million loan was created with a portion of the proceeds of the additional $2.9 million debtor in possession loan. The $2.3 million loan to the third party debtor in possession lender is secured by an assignment of the debtor in possession note. Both of these loans are performing in accordance with their terms. The mixed-use condominium, commercial office and retail project serving as collateral for the original $8.6 million loan consists of 29 residential condominiums, of which one has been sold, 11 commercial office condominiums, of which three have been sold, and eight commercial retail spaces, of which four are currently leased.

The Bank also selectively originates loans to individuals and developers for the purpose of developing vacant land in its primary market area, typically for building an individual’s future residence or, in the case of a developer, residential subdivisions. Land development loans, which are offered for terms of up to 18 months, are generally indexed to the prime rate as reported in

 

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the Wall Street Journal plus an applicable margin. The Bank generally requires a maximum loan-to-value ratio to 75% of the discounted market value based upon expected cash flows upon completion of the project. ASB also originates loans to individuals secured by undeveloped land held for investment purposes. These loans are typically amortized for no more than 15 years with a three or five year balloon payment. At March 31, 2011, the Bank’s largest land development loan had an outstanding balance of $3.9 million and was performing in accordance with its original terms.

Revolving mortgages and consumer loans. The Bank offers revolving mortgage loans, which consist of home equity loans and lines of credit, and various consumer loans, including automobile loans and loans secured by deposits. At March 31, 2011, revolving mortgage loans amounted to $52.0 million, or 10.7% of total loans, and consumer loans totaled $41.1 million, or 8.5% of the overall loan portfolio. The Bank’s revolving mortgage loans consist of fixed-rate home equity loans with terms of up to 15 years and adjustable-rate lines of credit with interest rates indexed to the prime rate, as published in the Wall Street Journal, plus an applicable margin. Consumer loans typically have shorter maturities and higher interest rates than traditional one- to four-family residential loans. The Bank typically does not originate home equity loans with loan-to-value ratios exceeding 80%, including any first mortgage loan balance. Until recently, ASB originated indirect financing for automobile loans. However, this product was suspended because the Bank began experiencing substantial losses on that segment of the loan portfolio. The Bank has indicated that any future restatement of the indirect automobile lending program will be conducted in accordance with prudent underwriting standards.

 

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Commercial and industrial loans. Commercial and industrial loans totaled $15.8 million or 3.2% of the Bank’s loan portfolio at March 31, 2011. ASB typically offers commercial and industrial loans to small businesses located in its primary market area. Commercial and industrial loans consist of floating rate loans indexed to the prime rate as published in the Wall Street Journal plus an applicable margin and fixed-rate loans for terms of up to 25 years, depending on the collateral type. The Bank’s commercial and industrial loan portfolio consists primarily of loans that are secured by equipment, accounts receivable and inventory, but also includes a smaller amount of unsecured loans for purposes of financing expansion or providing working capital for general business purposes.

At March 31, 2011, ASB’s largest commercial and industrial loan was a $2.3 million it made to a third party to finance a debtor in possession loan in connection with its largest speculative construction loan, which is performing in accordance with its original terms. At March 31, 2011, the Bank’s second largest commercial and industrial loan had an outstanding balance of $1.4 million. This loan was originated in October 2009 and is secured by the borrower’s inventory of automobile parts. The loan is currently performing in accordance with its original terms.

As shown in Exhibit II-4, total loan originations decreased from $320.6 million in 2008 to $275.1 million in 2009 and $197.1 million for 2010. The reduction in loan originations was primarily related to decrease volumes of commercial mortgage and indirect automobile loans. Loan sales increased from $50.1 million in 2008 to $116.4 million and $97.1 million for 2009 and 2010, respectively. The Bank generally sells in the secondary market long-term, fixed-rate residential mortgage loans that it originates. The decision by the Bank to sell loans is based on

 

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prevailing market interest rate conditions, interest rate management, and liquidity needs. Occasionally, the Bank has purchased participation interests in commercial real estate loans to supplement its loan origination volume. At March 31, 2011, participation interests totaled $18.4 million, $11.0 million of which was secured by out-of-market properties.

Exhibit II-5 presents a summary of the Bank’s investment portfolio as of December 31, 2009 and 2010 and March 31, 2011. At March 31, 2011, the Bank’s securities portfolio consisted of securities of U.S. government agencies and corporations, securities of state and local governments, and mortgage-backed securities issued by Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, and Ginnie Mae. The Bank’s securities portfolio is used to invest excess funds for increased yield, manage interest rate risk, and as collateralization for public unit deposits.

At March 31, 2011, the Bank’s securities portfolio represented 27.2% of total assets ($204.3 million), compared to 6.1% of total assets ($42.8 million) at December 31, 2008 as a result of an increase in liquidity due to increased loan sales and reduced loan originations. As of March 31, 2011, $198.6 million of the securities portfolio was classified as available for sale and $5.7 million of the securities portfolio was classified as held to maturity. The securities portfolio was composed of $63.3 million of U.S. government agency securities, $133.4 million of mortgage-backed securities, and $6.9 million of state and local government securities. In addition, at March 31, 2011, the Bank had $4.0 million of other investments, at cost, which consisted solely of FHLB of Atlanta common stock. Securities increased by $22.9 million, or 12.6% to $204.3 million at March 31, 2011 from $181.4 million at December 31, 2010 primarily as a result of proceeds from loan repayments and sales being invested in securities.

 

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Total securities increased by $84.4 million, or 87.0%, to $181.4 million at December 31, 2010 from $97.0 million at December 31, 2009 primarily as a result of proceeds from loan repayments and sales being invested in securities. For all periods presented, the Bank’s mortgage-backed and related securities did not include any private label issues or real estate mortgage investment conduits.

Liability Composition

Deposits are the Bank’s major external source of funds for lending and investment purposes. Exhibit II-6 presents a summary of the Bank’s deposit composition as of December 31, 2009 and 2010 and March 31, 2011. Total deposits amounted to $616.6 million or 82.1% of total assets and 89.7% of total liabilities at March 31, 2011. Deposits have been held relatively steady over the past two years, totaling $608.5 million and $619.8 million at December 31, 2009 and 2010, respectively.

ASB accepts deposits primarily from individuals and businesses who are located in its primary market area or who have a pre-existing lending relationship with the Bank. ASB relies on competitive pricing, customer service, account features, and branch office locations to attract and retain deposits. Deposit accounts offered include individual and business checking accounts, money market accounts, individual NOW accounts, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit. Non-interest bearing accounts consist of free checking and commercial checking accounts.

The Bank’s deposit base at March 31, 2011 comprised $280.7 million of certificate accounts (45.5% of total deposits), $135.3 million of NOW accounts (22.0%), $133.1 million of money market accounts (21.6%), $45.0 million of non-interest bearing accounts (7.3%), and $22.5 million of savings accounts (3.6%). Jumbo certificates of deposit, which have minimum balances of $100,000, amounted to $100.7 million or 16.3% of total deposits at March 31, 2011.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Non-interest bearing and NOW accounts increased by 37.4% and 10.1% for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2010, respectively, and increased 0.3% during the three months ended March 31, 2011. The increases in demand deposit and NOW accounts were primarily due to customers moving funds out of certificates of deposit and the Bank’s marketing efforts to attract non-interest bearing deposit and NOW accounts. Certificates of deposit decreased by $6.7 million during the three months ended March 31, 2011 and decreased $20.9 million in 2010 from $308.3 million at December 31, 2009 to $287.4 million at December 31, 2010. The decrease reflects management’s continued focus on reducing deposit interest rates to improve the Bank’s net interest margin. A portion of these certificate accounts moved to other types of interest-bearing deposits with the Bank including money market accounts. The Bank’s need for loan funding, ability to invest these funds for a positive return, and consideration of other customer relationships influences its willingness to match competitor’s rates to retain these accounts, which ASB has not been willing to do in recent periods.

The Bank utilizes borrowings as a supplemental, cost-effective source of funds when they can be invested at a positive interest rate spread or to meet asset-liability management objectives. The Bank’s borrowings consist of FHLB advances, federal funds purchased, and other short-term borrowings. The Bank’s FHLB advances are fixed-rate borrowings that at the option of the FHLB can be converted to variable rates. If the FHLB exercises its options to convert the fixed-rate advances to variable rates, then ASB can accept the new terms or repay the advance without any prepayment penalty.

 

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As of March 31, 2011, the Bank had $60.0 million in FHLB advances outstanding and the ability to borrow an additional $55.3 million of FHLB advances. The average balance of FHLB advances outstanding amounted to $60.0 million for 2009, 2010, and the three months ended March 31, 2011. Also, as of March 31, 2011, the Bank had $1.4 million of borrowings through securities sold under agreements to repurchase. The weighted average interest rate of outstanding FHLB advances at March 31, 2011 was 4.03%. The weighted average interest rate of outstanding repurchase agreements at March 31, 2011 was 0.22%.

Equity Capital

ASB has historically maintained solid capital levels. Due to a net operating loss of $9.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2010, the Bank’s equity capital declined from $73.6 million or 9.83% of total assets at year-end 2010 to $62.9 million or 8.38% of total assets at year-end 2010. As of March 31, 2011, the Bank’s equity capital of $63.3 million measured 8.43% of total assets.

ASB’s capital level remains strong in comparison to minimum regulatory requirements. The Bank’s regulatory capital ratios of Tier 1 Leverage Capital, Tier 1 Risk-based Capital, and Total Risk-based Capital were 8.60%, 13.67%, and 14.94%, respectively, as of March 31, 2011. In comparison, the minimum regulatory requirements under FDIC guidelines were 4.00%, 4.00%, and 8.00%, and the threshold requirements for regulatory “well capitalized” levels were 5.00%, 6.00%, and 10.00%, respectively. Based on these regulatory capital ratios and requirements, the Bank was considered “well capitalized” as of March 31, 2011.

 

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Income and Expense Trends

Table 3 displays the main components of ASB’s earnings performance for the years ended December 31, 2006 to 2010 and the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2011. Table 4 presents a summary of selected operating ratios. Table 5 displays the Bank’s principal income and expense ratios as a percent of average assets. Table 6 presents the Bank’s weighted average yields on interest-earning assets and weighted average costs of interest-bearing liabilities.

General Overview

ASB historically had exhibited a record of above-average profitability, reflecting a trend of relatively stable net interest margins, consistently high levels of non-interest income, and favorable efficiency ratios. The Bank’s return on average assets (“ROA”) indicated an average level of 0.71% for the ten-year period from 2000 to 2009. However, from 2006 to 2010, the Bank’s ROA declined continually from 0.90% in 2006 and 0.75% in 2007 to 0.37% in 2008 and 0.21% in 2009, before dropping to negative 1.25% for 2010. The Bank’s downward trend in profitability was caused by a decreasing net interest margin and increased levels of loan loss provisions. The net loss of $9.5 million sustained in 2010 was attributable to an increased provision for loan losses amounting to $22.4 million.

Three Months Ended March 31, 2010 and 2011

Net income was $585,000 for the quarter ended March 31, 2011 as compared to $430,000 for the quarter ended March 31, 2010. The annualized ROA improved to 0.32% for the first quarter of 2011 versus 0.23% for the 2010 period. The $155,000 or 36.0% earnings increase in the 2011 period was primarily due to a $1.2 million decrease in the loan loss provision, partially offset by decreases of $549,000 in net interest income and $378,000 in non-interest income.

 

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Table 3

Income Statement Summary

For the Years Ended December 31, 2006 to 2010

And the Three Months Ended March 31, 2010 and 2011

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

     Three Months
Ended March 31,
     Year Ended December 31,  
     2011      2010      2010     2009      2008      2007      2006  

Interest and dividend income

   $ 7,382       $ 8,678       $ 32,815      $ 35,654       $ 36,683       $ 39,091       $ 35,126   

Interest expense

     2,304         3,051         11,444        14,772         16,745         19,116         15,751   
                                                             

Net interest income

     5,078         5,627         21,371        20,882         19,938         19,975         19,375   

Provision for loan losses

     657         1,859         22,419        4,655         3,049         932         647   
                                                             

Net interest income (loss) after provision for loan losses

     4,421         3,768         (1,048     16,227         16,889         19,043         18,728   

Non-interest income

     1,680         2,058         7,683        7,166         5,286         5,686         5,920   

Non-interest expense

     5,232         5,154         22,167        21,071         18,361         17,395         16,402   
                                                             

Income (loss) before income taxes

     869         672         (15,532     2,322         3,814         7,334         8,246   

Income tax provision (benefit)

     284         242         (6,074     791         1,382         2,642         2,983   
                                                             

Net income (loss)

   $ 585       $ 430       $ (9,458   $ 1,531       $ 2,432       $ 4,692       $ 5,263   
                                                             

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus.

Net interest income decreased by $549,000, or 9.8%, to $5.1 million for the three months ended March 31, 2011 as compared to the three months ended March 31, 2010. Total interest income decreased by $1.3 million, or 14.9%, to $7.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2011 as compared to the three months ended March 31, 2010, primarily as a result of a 64 basis point decrease in the weighted average yield on interest-earning assets from 4.89% to 4.25%. Increased concentrations of securities versus loans in the generally lower interest rate environment contributed to the lower yield on earning assets. The average balance of investment securities and mortgage-backed securities increased $26.8 million and $56.9 million, or 77.5% and 85.5%, respectively, to $61.4 million and $123.4 million, respectively, for the three months ended March 31, 2011 as compared to the three months ended March 31, 2010, primarily as a result of the reinvestment in securities of proceeds from loan repayments and sales.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 4

Selected Operating Ratios

As of or For the Years Ended December 31, 2006 to 2010

And As of or For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2010 and 2011

 

     Three Months Ended
March  31,
    Year Ended December 31,  
     2011     2010     2010     2009     2008     2007     2006  

Performance Ratios (1)

              

Return on average assets

     0.32     0.23     (1.25 )%      0.21     0.37     0.75     0.90

Return on average equity

     3.73        2.32        (13.01     2.14        3.33        6.70        8.10   

Interest rate spread (2)

     2.76        2.93        2.73        2.69        2.74        2.83        3.06   

Net interest margin (3)

     2.92        3.17        2.95        2.98        3.15        3.33        3.49   

Other expenses to average assets

     2.85        2.78        2.92        2.88        2.77        2.77        2.81   

Efficiency ratio (4)

     77.42        66.95        76.18        75.07        72.79        67.79        64.84   

Capital Ratios

              

Tangible capital as a percent of adjusted total assets

     8.43        9.73        8.38        9.83        9.92        11.13        11.19   

Tier 1 leverage capital as a percent of average adjusted total assets

     8.60        10.13        8.33        10.13        10.98        11.16        11.34   

Tier 1 risk-based capital as a percent of average risk-weighted assets

     13.67        13.78        13.04        13.72        13.84        15.42        15.59   

Total risk-based capital as a percent of average risk-weighted assets

     14.94        15.03        14.31        14.98        15.03        16.51        16.67   

Asset Quality Ratios

              

Allowance for loan losses as a percent of total loans

     2.60        1.54        2.49        1.50        1.08        0.97        0.95   

Allowance for loan losses as a percent of non-performing loans

     89.02        51.75        94.43        54.23        180.32        103.00        192.45   

Net charge-offs to average outstanding loans during the period

     0.58        1.22        3.37        0.34        0.31        0.10        0.14   

Non-performing loans as a percent of total loans

     2.92        2.98        2.68        2.77        0.60        0.94        0.50   

Non-performing assets as a percent of total assets

     3.29        2.82        3.21        2.71        1.39        0.77        0.40   

Other Data

              

Number of offices

     13        13        13        13        13        12        12   

Number of deposit accounts

     71,389        64,965        72,297        64,623        55,572        49,614        49,654   

Number of loans

     10,356        12,871        10,417        13,766        15,449        21,816        21,585   

 

(1) Performance ratios for the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2011 are annualized.
(2) Represents the difference between the weighted average yield on interest-earning assets and the weighted average cost of interest-bearing liabilities. Tax exempt income is reported on a tax equivalent basis using a federal marginal tax rate of 34%.
(3) Represents net interest income as a percent of average interest-earning assets. Tax exempt income is reported on a tax equivalent basis using a federal marginal tax rate of 34%.
(4) Represents other expenses divided by the sum of net interest income and other income.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus.

 

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The provision for loan losses was $657,000 for the three months ended March 31, 2011 compared to $1.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2010. The decrease in the provision was due to fewer charge-offs on the loan portfolio and lower loan balances. The allowance for loan losses had been bolstered significantly during the year ended December 31, 2010. The allowance for loan losses as a percent of total loans was 2.60% at March 31, 2011, as compared to 1.54% at March 31, 2010. The allowance for loan losses as a percent of non-performing loans was 89.0% at March 31, 2011, as compared to 51.8% at March 31, 2010.

Non-interest income decreased $378,000 to $1.7 million during the March 2011 quarter from $2.1 million for the March 2010 quarter. Factors that contributed to the decrease in non-interest income during the 2011 period were no gains on the sale of securities for the March 2011 quarter compared to gains on the sale of securities of $486,000 for the March 2010 quarter and a $96,000 decrease in fees on deposit and other service charge income, partially offset by a $33,000 increase in fees related to debit cards and a $157,000 increase in mortgage banking income resulting from an increase in refinanced mortgage loans that were sold during the period.

Non-interest expense increased $78,000 for the three months ended March 31, 2011 as compared to the three months ended March 31, 2010. Foreclosed property expenses increased $72,000 and salary and benefits expense decreased by $54,000 primarily due to a reduction in accruals under the management incentive plan. Data processing fees increased by $66,000 during the three months ended March 31, 2011 as a result of expenses related to additional data processing services, and advertising expenses decreased $103,000 during the three months ended March 31, 2011 compared to the three months ended March 31, 2010. The annualized ratio of non-interest expense to average assets increased from 2.78% to 2.85% over the observed periods.

 

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Table 5

Income Statement Ratios

For the Years Ended December 31, 2006 to 2010

And the Three Months Ended March 31, 2010 and 2011

(Percent of Average Assets)

 

     Three Months
Ended March 31,
    Year Ended December 31,  
     2011(1)     2010(1)     2010     2009     2008     2007     2006  

Interest and dividend income

     4.02     4.68     4.32     4.88     5.53     6.22     6.02

Interest expense

     1.25        1.65        1.51        2.02        2.52        3.04        2.70   
                                                        

Net interest income

     2.77        3.03        2.81        2.86        2.01        3.18        3.32   

Provision for loan losses

     0.36        1.00        2.95        0.64        0.46        0.15        0.11   
                                                        

Net interest income (loss) after provision for loan losses

     2.41        2.03        (0.14     2.22        2.55        3.03        3.21   

Non-interest income

     0.92        1.11        1.01        0.98        0.80        0.91        1.01   

Non-interest expense

     2.85        2.78        2.92        2.88        2.77        2.77        2.81   
                                                        

Income (loss) before income taxes

     0.47        0.36        (2.05     0.32        0.58        1.17        1.41   

Income taxes

     0.15        0.13        (0.80     0.11        0.21        0.42        0.51   
                                                        

Net income (loss)

     0.32     0.23     (1.25 )%      0.21     0.37     0.75     0.90
                                                        

 

(1) Ratios for the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2011 are annualized.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus; Feldman Financial calculations.

Years Ended December 31, 2009 and 2010

ASB incurred a net loss of $9.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2010 compared to net income of $1.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2009, primarily due to a $17.8 million increase in the provision for loan losses to $22.4 million in 2010 versus $4.7 million in 2009. The significant increase in the provision for loan losses was due to an increase of $16.7 million in net loan charge-offs from $2.0 million in 2009 to $18.7 million in 2010. The Bank’s primary source of income during each of the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2010 was net interest income, which increased from $20.9 million at December 31, 2009 to $21.4 million at December 31, 2010. Non-interest income increased by $517,000 during the year ended December 31, 2010, while non-interest expense increased by $1.1 million during 2010.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Net interest income increased by $489,000, or 2.3%, for the year ended December 31, 2010 as compared to the year ended December 31, 2009, primarily due to a decrease in interest on loans, which was offset by an increase in income from securities, as well as a decrease in interest expense. Total interest income decreased by $2.8 million, or 8.0%, as loan interest income decreased by $4.2 million, or 12.8%, during the year ended December 31, 2010, due primarily to a decrease in average loan balances of $44.0 million, or 7.2%, primarily because loan charge-offs and loan repayments were not replaced by new loan originations, and a 32 basis point decrease in the yield earned on loans during fiscal 2010. Income from securities increased by $1.3 million primarily due to an increase in the average balance of investment securities and mortgage-backed and related securities of $31.4 million and $37.4 million, respectively, the effect of which was partially offset by a decrease in the yield earned on investment securities and mortgage-backed and related securities of 139 basis points and 103 basis points, respectively. The increased balance of investment securities and mortgage-backed and related securities was primarily due to the reinvestment into securities of proceeds from loan repayments and sales and as well as deposit growth. Total interest expense decreased by $3.3 million, or 22.5%, during the year ended December 31, 2010, primarily resulting from a 61 basis point decrease in the cost of interest-bearing liabilities, the effect of which was partially offset by a $22.6 million, or 3.7%, increase in average interest-bearing liabilities. Interest-bearing liabilities increased due primarily to an increase in the average balance of deposits of $25.5 million, or 4.6%, principally due to growth in NOW and money market accounts. The cost of interest bearing liabilities decreased primarily due to a decrease of 68 basis points in the cost of deposits. The decrease in the cost of deposits was due primarily to the Bank’s continued focus on reducing deposit interest rates by not aggressively competing for certificates of deposit.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 6

Yield and Cost Summary

For the Years Ended December 31, 2008 to 2010

And the Three Months Ended March 31, 2010 and 2011

And as of March 31, 2011

 

     As of
March  31,

2011
    Three Mos. Ended
March 31,
    Year Ended
December 31,
 
       2011     2010     2010     2009     2008  

Weighted Average Yields

            

Interest-bearing deposits

     0.25     0.24     0.26     0.27     0.24     2.35

Loans receivable (1)

     4.96        5.05        5.26        5.07        5.39        6.05   

Investment securities

     2.51        2.56        3.90        3.13        4.52        5.77   

Mortgage-backed and related securities

     2.84        2.57        3.74        3.07        4.09        4.73   

Other interest-earning assets

     0.79        0.82        0.30        0.38        0.20        4.16   

Total interest-earning assets

     4.18        4.25        4.89        4.52        5.09        5.79   

Weighted Average Costs

            

NOW accounts

     0.81        0.95        1.62        1.39        1.58        1.12   

Money market accounts

     0.56        0.55        0.96        0.84        1.24        1.99   

Savings accounts

     0.31        0.32        0.38        0.35        0.40        0.50   

Certificates of deposit

     1.70        1.73        2.18        2.00        2.96        4.01   

Total interest-bearing deposits

     1.17        1.22        1.75        1.56        2.24        2.96   

FHLB advances

     4.04        4.03        4.03        4.03        4.03        3.77   

Overnight and short-term borrowings

     0.22        0.47        0.27        0.25        0.37        3.40   

Total interest-bearing liabilities

     1.44        1.49        1.96        1.79        2.40        3.05   

Net interest spread (2)

     2.74        2.76        2.93        2.73        2.69        2.74   

Net interest margin (3)

     NA        2.92        3.17        2.95        2.98        3.15   

 

(1) Includes non-accrual loans for the respective periods.
(2) Difference between the weighted average yield on interest-earning assets and the weighted average cost of interest-bearing liabilities.
(3) Net interest income as a percentage of average interest-earning assets.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus.

The provision for loan losses was increased to $22.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2010 as compared to $4.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2009. The increase in the provision was necessary to replenish the allowance for loan losses that was depleted due to $18.7 million in net charge-offs of non-performing loans in 2010, as well as management’s efforts to increase the allowance for loan losses in response to continued elevated levels of non-performing loans, which increased from $3.6 million at December 31, 2008 to $16.6 million and $13.4

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

million at December 31, 2009 and 2010, respectively. Net charge-offs of $2.1 million and $18.7 million were recognized in 2009 and 2010, respectively. The allowance is determined based upon management’s analysis of historical loss, as well as updated calculations for allowances needed for impaired loans. Among the qualitative risk factors that the Bank considers in determining the loss percentages include current industry conditions, unemployment rates, the levels and trends of delinquencies, percentage of classified loans to total loans, charge-offs, bankruptcy filings, and collateral values in its primary market area.

Non-interest income increased $517,000, or 7.2%, to $7.7 million in 2010 as compared to $7.2 million for 2009. The increase in non-interest income was primarily the result of an increase of $259,000 in gains realized from sales of investment securities, a $178,000 increase in income from debit card services, and a $76,000 increase in deposit and other service charge income, partially offset by a decrease of $14,000 in mortgage banking income. The ratio of non-interest income to average assets increased moderately from 0.98% in 2009 to 1.01% in 2010.

Non-interest expense increased by $1.1 million or 5.2% to $22.2 million for 2010 as compared to $21.1 million for 2009. The primary factors for the increase were a $2.0 million increase in foreclosed property expenses as a result of higher provisions for write-downs of foreclosed properties and a $126,000 increase in professional and outside services, partially offset by a $722,000 decrease in salaries and employee benefits due primarily to the decision to limit accrued payouts in 2010 under the Bank’s management incentive and long-term incentive plans, as well as a $377,000 decrease in federal deposit insurance premiums due to a special assessment in 2009. The ratio of non-interest expense to average assets increased moderately from 2.88% in 2009 to 2.92% for 2010.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Interest Rate Risk Management

ASB seeks to manage the interest rate sensitivity of its interest-bearing liabilities and interest-earning assets in an effort to minimize the adverse effects of changes in the interest rate environment. Deposit accounts typically react more quickly to changes in market interest rates than mortgage loans because of the shorter maturities of deposits. As a result, sharp increases in interest rates may adversely affect the Bank’s earnings while decreases in interest rates may beneficially affect its earnings. To reduce the potential volatility of its earnings, the Bank has sought to improve the match between asset and liability maturities and rates, while maintaining an acceptable interest rate spread.

ASB’s strategy for managing interest rate risk emphasizes: (i) adjusting the maturities of borrowings; (ii) adjusting the investment portfolio mix and duration; and (iii) generally selling in the secondary market substantially all newly originated fixed-rate one- to four-family residential mortgage loans. The Bank currently does not participate in hedging programs, interest rate swaps, or other activities involving the use of derivative financial instruments.

Management actively monitors and manages the Bank’s interest rate risk exposure. The Bank has an Asset-Liability Management Committee, which includes members of management, to communicate, coordinate, and control all aspects involving asset-liability management. The committee establishes and monitors the volume, maturities, pricing, and mix of assets and funding sources with the objective of managing assets and funding sources to provide results that are consistent with liquidity, growth, risk limits, and profitability goals. The Bank’s overriding goal is to manage asset and liability positions to moderate the effects of interest rate fluctuations on net interest and net income.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

The Bank measures its interest rate sensitivity based on the net portfolio value (“NPV”) of market equity as facilitated by the regulatory analytical framework. NPV reflects the simulated equity of the Bank as obtained by estimating the economic present value of its assets, liabilities, and off-balance sheet items under different interest rate scenarios. Table 7 summarizes the interest rate sensitivity of the Bank’s NPV and projected net interest income as of March 31, 2011, assuming instantaneous and sustained parallel shifts in the U.S. Treasury yield curve of 100 to 300 basis points either up or down in various increments. Because of the current level of interest rates, scenarios of down 200-plus basis points have not been considered.

As shown in Table 7 the Bank’s NPV and projected net interest income would be negatively impacted by an immediate increase or decrease in interest rates from current levels. Table 7 indicates that the Bank’s NPV was $89.1 million as of March 31, 2011. Based upon the assumptions utilized, an immediate 100 basis point increase in market interest rates would result in a $5.4 million decrease in the Bank’s NPV and $715,000 decrease in projected net interest income. An immediate 200 basis point increase in market interest rates would result in a $13.5 million decrease in the Bank’s NPV and a $1.5 million decrease in projected net interest income. Similarly, an immediate 100 basis point decrease in market interest rates would result in a $7.0 million decrease in the Bank’s NPV and a $919,000 decrease in projected net interest income.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 7

Interest Rate Risk Analysis

As of March 31, 2011

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

     Net Portfolio Value of Equity     Projected Net Interest Income  

Change in Interest Rates(1)

(basis points)

   Estimated
NPV(2)
     Change
from

Base
(000s)
    Change
from
Base

(%)
    Net
Interest
Income
(000s)
     Change
from

Base
(000s)
    Change
from

Base
(%)
 

+ 300 b.p.

   $ 68,639       $ (20,425     (22.9 )%    $ 20,292       $ (1,992     (8.9 )% 

+ 200 b.p.

     75,529         (13,536     (15.2 )%      20,745         (1,539     (6.9 )% 

+ 100 b.p.

     83,679         (5,385     (6.0 )%      21,569         (715     (3.2 )% 

   0 b.p.

     89,065         —          —          22,284         —          —     

- 100 b.p.

     82,107         (6,957     (7.8 )%      21,365         (919     (4.1 )% 

 

(1) 

Assumes instantaneous and sustained parallel shifts in interest rates.

(2) 

NPV is the discounted present value of expected cash flows from assets, liabilities, and off-balance sheet items.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Asset Quality

Table 8 summarizes the Bank’s total non-performing assets (“NPAs”) as of December 31, 2006 to 2010 and March 31, 2011. Historically, ASB had exhibited an excellent record of asset quality until experiencing an upturn in NPAs during 2009. The Bank’s ratio of non-performing assets to total assets increased from 1.39% at year-end 2008 to 2.71% and 3.21% at year-end 2009 and 2010, respectively. As of March 31, 2011, the ratio of NPAs to assets was 3.29%. The Bank experienced increases in non-accrual loans and foreclosed assets in its portfolios of commercial mortgage, construction and land development, and residential mortgage loans. As of March 31, 2011, the Bank’s non-performing assets totaled $24.7 million and comprised $10.5 million of real estate owned (“REO”), $5.3 million in commercial mortgages, $4.7 million of commercial construction and land development loans, and $3.3 million of residential mortgages. In addition to non-performing assets, the Bank also had $11.6 million of performing troubled debt restructurings, which are loans that have been modified through term extensions or other concessions to help borrowers stay current and avoid foreclosure.

In order to reflect the increased risk inherent in the loan portfolio, the Bank increased its loan loss provision from $4.7 million in 2009 to $22.4 million for 2010, reflecting the increased levels of non-performing assets and loan charge-offs. Total charge-offs increased from $2.2 million in 2009 to $18.9 million in 2010, including $7.9 million of commercial construction and land development loans and $6.1 million of commercial mortgage loans. As a result, the loan loss allowance increased by $3.7 million from $9.0 million or 1.50% of total loans at year-end 2009 to $12.7 million or 2.49% of total loans at year-end 2010. At March 31, 2011, the loan loss allowance was $12.6 million, measuring 2.60% of total loans and 89.0% of non-performing loans.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 8

Non-performing Assets Summary

As of December 31, 2006 to 2010 and March 31, 2011

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

     March 31,     December 31,  
     2011     2010     2009     2008     2007     2006  

Non-accrual loans

            

Commercial:

            

Construction and land development

   $ 4,744      $ 5,205      $ 438      $ —        $ 2,949      $ 93   

Commercial mortgage

     5,319        3,810        6,666        —          —          787   

Other commercial real estate

     —          —          —          —          —          —     

Commercial and industrial

     308        377        1,408        —          —          —     
                                                

Total non-accrual commercial loans

     10,371        9,392        8,512        —          2,949        880   

Non-commercial:

            

Construction and land development

     280        553        456        —          —          —     

Residential

     3,259        3,194        5,558        —          —          —     

Revolving mortgage

     239        191        489        —          —          —     

Consumer

     41        94        1,463        —          37        33   
                                                

Total non-accrual non-commercial loans

     3,819        4,032        7,966        —          37        33   
                                                

Total non-accrual loans

     14,190        13,424        16,478        —          2,986        913   

Accruing loans past due 90 days or more

            

Commercial:

            

Construction and land development

     —          —          —          12        13        550   

Commercial mortgage

     —          —          —          —          —          38   

Other commercial real estate

     —          —          —          —          —          —     

Commercial and industrial

     —          —          —          68        3        9   
                                                

Total accruing comm. loans past due 90+ days

     —          —          —          80        16        597   

Non-commercial:

            

Construction and land development

     —          —          —          374        —          —     

Residential

     —          —          91        1,790        849        301   

Revolving mortgage

     —          —          —          525        456        168   

Consumer

     —          —          15        782        619        431   
                                                

Total accruing non-comm. past due 90+ days

     —          —          106        3,471        1,924        900   
                                                

Total accruing loans past due 90+ days

     —          —          106        3,551        1,940        1,497   
                                                

Total non-performing loans (non-accrual and 90 days or more past due)

     14,190        13,424        16,584        3,551        4,926        2,410   

Real estate owned

     10,506        10,650        3,699        6,272        —          —     

Other non-performing assets

     —          —          —          —          —          —     
                                                

Total non-performing assets

     24,696        24,074        20,283        9,823        4,926        2,410   

Performing troubled debt restructurings (1)

     11,575        18,246        21,216        —          199        513   
                                                

Performing troubled debt restructurings and total non-performing assets

   $ 36,271      $ 42,230      $ 41,499      $ 9,823      $ 5,125      $ 2,923   
                                                

Total non-performing loans to total loans

     2.92     2.68     2.77     0.60     0.94     0.50

Total non-performing loans to total assets

     1.89     1.79     2.21     0.50     0.77     0.40

Total non-performing assets and troubled debt restructurings to total assets

     3.29     3.21     2.71     1.39     0.77     0.40

Performing troubled debt restructurings and total non-performing assets to total assets

     4.83     5.64     5.54     1.39     0.80     0.49

 

(1) Performing troubled debt restructurings do not include troubled debt restructurings that remain on non-accrual status and are included in non-accrual loans above.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 9

Allowance for Loan Loss Summary

For the Years Ended December 31, 2006 to 2010

And the Three Months Ended March 31, 2011

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

     Three Months Ended
March  31,
    Year Ended December 31,  
     2011     2010     2010     2009     2008     2007     2006  

Allowance for loan losses at beginning of period

   $ 12,676      $ 8,994      $ 8,994      $ 6,403      $ 5,074      $ 4,638      $ 4,640   

Provision for loan losses

     657        1,859        22,419        4,655        3,049        931        647   

Charge-offs

              

Commercial:

              

Construction and land development

     23        930        7,926        —          488        —          —     

Commercial mortgage

     109        —          6,074        —          —          —          —     

Commercial and industrial

     14        160        692        214        —          —          —     
                                                        

Total commercial loans

     146        1,090        14,692        214        488        —          —     

Non-commercial:

              

Constr. and land dev. (1-4 family residential)

     78        148        351        94        —          —          —     

Residential mortgage

     181        131        1,767        82        —          —          17   

Revolving mortgage

     274        120        919        199        —          —          —     

Consumer

     125        328        1,134        1,604        1,405        681        899   
                                                        

Total non-commercial loans

     658        727        4,171        1,979        1,405        681        916   
                                                        

Total charge-offs

     804        1,817        18,863        2,193        1,893        681        916   

Recoveries

              

Commercial:

              

Construction and land development

     —          —          —          —          31        —          —     

Commercial mortgage

     —          —          —          —          —          —          —     

Other commercial real estate

     —          —          —          —          —          —          —     

Commercial and industrial

     66        2        12        9        —          —          —     
                                                        

Total commercial loans

     66        2        12        9        31        —          —     

Non-commercial:

              

Constr. and land dev. (1-4 family residential)

     1        —          —          —          —          —          —     

Residential mortgage

     1        —          —          —          —          —          —     

Revolving mortgage

     7        —          —          1        —          —          —     

Consumer

     28        36        115        120        142        185        237   
                                                        

Total non-commercial loans

     37        36        115        121        142        185        237   
                                                        

Total recoveries

     103        38        127        130        173        185        237   

Net charge-offs

     701        1,779        18,737        2,064        1,720        496        679   
                                                        

Allowance for loan losses at end of period

   $ 12,632      $ 9,074      $ 12,676      $ 8,994      $ 6,403      $ 5,074      $ 4,638   
                                                        

Allowance for loan losses to non-performing Loans

     89.02     51.75     94.43     54.23     180.32     103.00     192.45

Allowance for loan losses to total loans outstanding at the end of the period

     2.60     1.54     2.49     1.50     1.08     0.97     0.95

Net charge-offs to average loans outstanding during the period

     0.58     1.22     3.37     0.34     0.31     0.10     0.13

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Office Properties

ASB currently conducts business from its 13 branch offices. Exhibit II-8 provides certain information relating to the Bank’s office properties as of March 31, 2011. A map of the Bank’s branch office network is presented below. Six branch offices are located in Buncombe County, two in Henderson County, and one each in Madison, McDowell, and Transylvania counties.

LOGO

Table 10 provides deposit data for the Bank’s branch offices from June 30, 2005 to June 30, 2010. The Bank’s deposits increased by a compound annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 7.0% over this period with the bulk of the deposit increase occurring in Buncombe and Henderson counties. Approximately 69% of the Bank’s deposits as of June 30, 2010 were maintained in Buncombe County branches, followed by approximately 11% in Henderson County branches and 9% in the McDowell County branch.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 10

Branch Office Deposit Data

 

          June 30,      ‘09-‘10     ‘05-‘10  
          2005      2009      2010      CAGR     CAGR  

Address

  

City

   ($000s)      ($000s)      ($000s)      (%)     (%)  

Buncombe County

                

11 Church Street

   Asheville    $ 59,183       $ 84,627       $ 96,621         14.17        10.30   

1879 Hendersonville Road

   Asheville      47,906         69,133         67,390         (2.52     7.06   

300 West State Street

   Asheville      47,262         56,356         59,861         6.22        4.84   

10 South Tunnel Road

   Asheville      44,994         54,068         54,836         1.42        4.04   

778 Merrimon Avenue

   Asheville      43,241         57,035         59,696         4.67        6.66   

1012 Patton Avenue

   Asheville      48,265         50,839         50,702         (0.27     0.99   

5 Old Eastwood Village Blvd.

   Asheville      13,099         26,538         25,630         (3.42     14.37   

907 Smoky Park Highway

   Candler      7,771         23,183         27,129         17.02        28.41   

Henderson County

                

601 North Main Street

   Hendersonville      34,630         51,882         55,683         7.33        9.96   

3551 Hendersonville Road

   Fletcher      —           7,284         9,368         28.61        NA   

Madison County

                

105 North Main Street

   Mars Hill      29,212         36,874         38,045         3.18        5.43   

McDowell County

                

162 North Main Street

   Marion      48,847         55,979         54,694         (2.30     2.29   

Transylvania County

                

2 Market Street

   Brevard      12,014         29,482         28,355         (3.82     18.74   

Deposits By County ($000s)

                

Buncombe County

        303,950         398,596         414,736         4.05        6.41   

Henderson County

        34,630         59,166         65,051         9.95        13.44   

Madison County

        29,212         36,874         38,045         3.18        5.43   

McDowell County

        48,847         55,979         54,694         (2.30     2.29   

Transylvania County

        12,014         29,482         28,355         (3.82     18.74   
                                  

Total Deposits

      $ 428,653       $ 580,097       $ 600,881         3.58        6.99   
                                  

Deposits By County (%)

                

Buncombe County

        70.91         68.71         69.02        

Henderson County

        8.08         10.20         10.83        

Madison County

        6.81         6.36         6.33        

McDowell County

        11.40         9.65         9.10        

Transylvania County

        2.80         5.08         4.72        
                                  

Total Deposits

        100.00         100.00         100.00        
                                  

Source: SNL Financial.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Market Area

Overview of Market Area

ASB is headquartered in Asheville, North Carolina, the county seat of Buncombe County, and considers its primary market area to comprise Buncombe, Madison, McDowell, Henderson, and Transylvania counties in Western North Carolina and the surrounding areas. Asheville is the largest city in Western North Carolina based on population and Asheville and Buncombe County are the principal city and county, respectively, in the Asheville Metropolitan Statistical Area (“MSA”), which is composed of Buncombe, Haywood, Henderson, and Madison counties. In addition to the Asheville MSA, the Greater Asheville Area is generally considered to include Jackson, McDowell, Polk, Rutherford, Transylvania, and Yancey counties. ASB operates a branch network encompassing 13 offices located in the Asheville MSA. The Bank has eight branch offices in Buncombe County, two branches in Henderson County, and one branch each in Madison, McDowell, and Transylvania counties.

Asheville is located in the heart of the Blue Ridge Mountains, which are part of the Appalachian Mountain range. The city is positioned at the confluence of the French Broad River and the Swannanoa River, and situated on a plateau in the Blue Ridge Mountains. Asheville is both a valley and mountain town, and its climate is mild and temperate with four distinct seasons. The surrounding mountains insulate the valley and are responsible for the moderate weather, which allows residents to enjoy outdoor activities year round. In addition, the Asheville metropolitan area has a vibrant cultural and arts community that parallels that of many larger cities in the United States and is home to a number of historical attractions, the most prominent of which is the Biltmore Estate, a historic mansion with gardens and a winery that draws

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

approximately 900,000 tourists each year. Due to its scenic location and diverse cultural and historical offerings, the Asheville MSA has become a popular destination for tourists, which has historically positively impacted the local economy. Furthermore, affordable housing prices, combined with the region’s favorable climate, scenic surroundings and cultural attractions, have also made the Asheville MSA an increasingly attractive destination for retirees seeking to relocate from other parts of the United States.

Table 11 presents comparative demographic data for the United States, the state of North Carolina, and the Asheville MSA. Also included in Table 11 is demographic information for McDowell and Transylvania counties. The Asheville MSA had a population of approximately 421,000 in 2010, which represented an increase of 14.0% over the prior decade and surpassed the nationwide population growth rate of 10.6%. Over the five-year period from 2010 to 2015, the population in the Asheville MSA is projected to increase by 5.5% to approximately 444,000. The population growth has been fueled by in-migration of residents from the retiring baby-boom generation. The median age in the Asheville MSA is 43.3 years as compared to the national median of 37.0 years. Within the Asheville MSA, the most populous county is Buncombe County with a total of approximately 235,000 residents, followed by Henderson County with nearly 107,000 residents. Buncombe County’s population increased by 13.9% from 2000 to 2010 and is projected to expand by 5.7% from 2010 to 2015. Henderson County’s population increased by 19.9% over the past decade and is forecast to increase by 7.8% from 2010 to 2015. At the present time, ASB is emphasizing expansion of its operations in Henderson County, where it operates two branch offices. Smaller population totals were evident in McDowell County (45,000), Transylvania County (31,000), and Madison County (21,000) with projected growth rates over the next five years in the 2% to 3% range.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 11

Selected Demographic Data

 

     United     North     Asheville     McDowell     Transylvania  
     States     Carolina     MSA     County     County  

Total Population

          

2010 - Current

     311,212,863        9,552,054        420,918        44,846        31,327   

2015 - Projected

     323,209,391        10,345,227        444,059        45,775        32,234   

% Change 2000-10

     10.59     18.67     14.02     6.39     6.79

% Change 2010-15

     3.85     8.30     5.50     2.07     2.90

Age Distribution, 2010

          

0 - 14 Age Group

     20.08     19.59     16.81     18.40     14.80

15 - 34 Age Group

     27.22     26.71     22.12     23.23     20.65

35 - 54 Age Group

     28.03     29.08     28.52     29.56     25.03

55- 69 Age Group

     15.54     15.96     19.72     18.13     22.96

70+ Age Group

     9.12     8.66     12.83     10.67     16.56

Median Age (years)

     37.0        37.6        43.3        40.6        47.9   

Total Households

          

2010 - Current

     116,761,140        3,761,099        179,985        18,045        13,543   

2015 - Projected

     121,359,607        4,088,898        191,081        18,530        14,046   

% Change 2000-10

     10.69     20.09     16.65     8.68     9.93

% Change 2010-15

     3.94     8.72     6.16     2.69     3.71

Median Household Income

          

2010 - Current

   $ 54,442      $ 50,887      $ 45,954      $ 40,053      $ 49,512   

2015 - Projected

   $ 61,189      $ 57,697      $ 53,092      $ 45,345      $ 55,171   

% Change 2000-10

     29.12     29.85     26.51     23.53     27.83

% Change 2010-15

     12.39     13.38     15.53     13.21     11.43

Average Household Income

          

2010 - Current

   $ 70,173      $ 63,346      $ 55,978      $ 47,313      $ 56,794   

2015 - Projected

   $ 79,340      $ 70,818      $ 61,889      $ 51,854      $ 62,425   

% Change 2000-10

     23.88     23.66     19.16     17.27     17.87

% Change 2010-15

     13.06     11.80     10.56     9.60     9.91

Per Capita Income

          

2010 - Current

   $ 26,739      $ 25,349      $ 24,288      $ 19,483      $ 25,015   

2015 - Projected

   $ 30,241      $ 28,417      $ 27,010      $ 21,487      $ 27,712   

% Change 2000-10

     23.87     24.83     21.06     20.94     20.46

% Change 2010-15

     13.10     12.10     11.21     10.29     10.78

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 11 (continued)

Selected Demographic Data

 

     United
States
    North
Carolina
    Asheville
MSA
    McDowell
County
    Transylvania
County
 

Household Net Worh

          

Median

   $ 93,084      $ 79,981      $ 75,541      $ 47,003      $ 105,140   

Average

   $ 418,865      $ 385,990      $ 361,236      $ 231,217      $ 376,037   

Current Household Net Worth

          

$0 - $35,000

     34.96     37.22     37.36     43.98     31.82

$35,000 - $100,000

     16.38     17.00     18.60     22.80     16.92

$100,000 - $250,000

     19.13     18.58     19.67     17.17     21.62

$250,000 - $500,000

     12.97     12.28     11.12     8.19     16.12

$500,000+

     16.56     14.92     13.25     7.85     13.52

Total Number of Owner

          

Occupied Housing Units

          

2010 - Current

     76,868,769        2,607,757        132,724        13,940        10,718   

2015 - Projected

     80,072,859        2,839,374        141,113        14,318        11,130   

% Change 2000-10

     10.10     20.04     16.65     8.72     9.58

% Change 2010-15

     4.17     8.88     6.32     2.71     3.84

Value of Owner Occupied

          

Housing Units

          

2007 - Median

   $ 201,000      $ 150,700      $ 190,200      $ 100,700      $ 173,400   

2009 - Median

   $ 185,200      $ 155,500      $ 193,000      $ 115,300      $ 178,400   

% Change 2007-09

     -7.9     3.2     1.5     14.5     2.9

Current Value of Owner

          

Occupied Housing Units

          

$0 - $100,000

     27.39     32.58     34.37     46.15     25.20

$100,000 - $200,000

     34.48     40.15     33.47     40.11     37.72

$200,000 - $300,000

     17.08     15.70     17.24     9.38     19.72

$300,000 - $500,000

     12.49     7.81     10.17     3.09     11.89

$500,000 +

     8.56     3.76     4.75     1.27     5.47

Unemployment Rates

          

2009 Annual Average

     9.3     10.8     9.0     14.8     9.0

2010 Annual Average

     9.6     10.6     8.5     12.7     9.2

March 2011

     8.8     9.7     8.1     12.3     9.0

Source: SNL Financial, ESRI, and U.S. Census Bureau.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

The economy of the Asheville MSA constitutes a diverse cross section of employment sectors, with a mix of educational and health services, retail and wholesale trade, leisure and hospitality, and manufacturing. There is no single employer or industry upon which a significant concentration of the labor force is dependent. Table 12 provides comparative employment sector data for the United States, North Carolina, and the Asheville MSA. Table 13 presents a summary of the largest employers in the Asheville MSA.

The Asheville MSA labor force comprised nearly 165,000 workers with the largest concentration in the educational and health services sector, numbering approximately 43,000 employees of 26.1% of total employment as compared to the national level of 21.6%. The Asheville MSA is home to University of North Carolina at Asheville, Montreat College, Warren Wilson College, Mars Hill College, and Asheville-Buncombe Technical Community College. Mission Health System Inc., based in Asheville, is the state’s sixth largest health system and the tertiary care regional referral center for western North Carolina. The health care sector has especially been a targeted growth area, along with advanced manufacturing technology. The leisure and hospitality industry remains an important sector in the Asheville MSA with The Biltmore Company and The Grove Park Inn Resort and Spa serving as the primary employers.

The unemployment rate in the Asheville MSA has hovered below the national and state rates in recent years, while the North Carolina rate has slightly exceeded the national rate. The unemployment rate for the Asheville MSA measured 8.1% in March 2011, below the national and state rates of 8.8% and 9.7%, respectively. Buncombe County and Henderson County reported March 2011 unemployment rates of 8.1% and 8.3%, respectively, as compared to 9.8% for Transylvania County, 10.2% for Madison County, and 12.3% for McDowell County.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 12

Comparative Employment Concentrations

Average for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2010

 

Industry Sector

   United
States
    North
Carolina
    Asheville
MSA
 

Number Employed

      

Educational and Health Services

     27,101,257        873,681        42,986   

Retail and Wholesale Trade

     20,009,725        605,478        27,365   

Professional and Business Services

     17,075,069        495,101        15,511   

Leisure and Hospitality

     13,997,471        412,827        23,505   

Manufacturing

     11,625,614        434,019        18,225   

Public Administration

     7,621,682        243,725        9,719   

Financial Activities

     7,422,070        196,699        5,505   

Construction

     5,832,636        179,646        7,809   

Transportation and Utilities

     5,524,448        135,852        5,482   

Other Services

     4,434,131        94,110        4,791   

Information

     2,849,791        69,383        1,924   

Natural Resources and Mining

     1,942,826        35,165        1,696   

Unclassified

     169,887        1,789        65   
                        

Total Employment

     125,606,605        3,777,475        164,583   
                        

Percent of Total

      

Educational and Health Services

     21.6     23.1     26.1

Retail and Wholesale Trade

     15.9     16.0     16.6

Professional and Business Services

     13.6     13.1     9.4

Leisure and Hospitality

     11.1     10.9     14.3

Manufacturing

     9.3     11.5     11.1

Public Administration

     6.1     6.5     5.9

Financial Activities

     5.9     5.2     3.3

Construction

     4.6     4.8     4.7

Transportation and Utilities

     4.4     3.6     3.3

Other Services

     3.5     2.5     2.9

Information

     2.3     1.8     1.2

Natural Resources and Mining

     1.5     0.9     1.0

Unclassified

     0.1     0.0     0.0
                        

Total Employment

     100.0     100.0     100.0
                        

 

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics;

Employment Security Commission of North Carolina.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 13

Major Employers in the Asheville Area

 

Company / Organization

  

Industry Description

   Employees  

Buncombe County Public Schools

   Educational Services      3,000+   

Mission Health System and Hospital

   Hospitals      3,000+   

City of Asheville

   Executive, Legislative, & Other General Govt.      1,000-2,999   

The Biltmore Company

   Museums, Historical Sites & Similar Institutions      1,000-2,999   

Buncombe County Government

   Executive, Legislative, & Other General Govt.      1,000-2,999   

The Grove Park Inn Resort & Spa

   Accommodation      1,000-2,999   

Ingles Markets, Inc. (Home Office Buncombe County)

   Food & Beverage Stores      1,000-2,999   

VA Medical Center-Asheville Dept. of Veterans Affairs

   Hospitals      1,000-2,999   

BorgWarner Turbo & Emissions Systems

   Transportation Equip. Manufacturing      750-999   

CarePartners

   Nursing & Residential Care Facilities      750-999   

Eaton Corporation - Electrical Division

   Electrical Equip., Appliance & Component Mfg.      750-999   

Asheville City Schools

   Educational Services      500-749   

Arvato Digital Services

   Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing      500-749   

Sitel, A Subsidiary of Onex Corp.

   Administrative & Support Services      500-749   

Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc.

   Machinery Manufacturing      500-749   

University of North Carolina at Asheville

   Educational Services      500-749   

Asheville-Buncombe Technical Community College

   Educational Services      400-499   

Black Mountain Neuro-Medical Treatment Center

   Nursing & Residential Care Facilities      400-499   

Kearfott Guidance & Navigation Corp.

   Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing      400-499   

Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.

   General Merchandise Stores      400-499   

YMCA of Western NC

   Religious, Civic, Professional Organizations      400-499   

Burger King Restaurants (Carrols Corp.)

   Food Services & Drinking Places      300-399   

Flint Group

   Machinery Manufacturing      300-399   

Givens Estates United Methodist Retirement Community

   Nursing & Residential Care Facilities      300-399   

MB Haynes Corp. (Division Offices)

   Construction of Buildings      300-399   

McDonald’s Corp., Corporate Office

   Food Services & Drinking Places      300-399   

Unison Engine Components

   Transportation Equip. Manufacturing      300-399   

Taylor & Murphy Construction Company, Inc.

   Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction      300-399   

CPU2

   Administrative & Support Services      300-399   

Advantage Care Services

   Ambulatory Health Care Services      200-299   

Asheville Radiology Associates, P.A.

   Ambulatory Health Care Services      200-299   

Biltmore Estate Winery

   Beverage & Tobacco Product Manufacturing      200-299   

Colbond, Inc.

   Chemical Manufacturing      200-299   

Deerfield Episcopal Retirement Community

   Nursing & Residential Care Facilities      200-299   

Eaton Corporation - Electrical Division

   Electrical Equip., Appliance & Component Mfg.      200-299   

Genova Diagnostics

   Ambulatory Health Care Services      200-299   

Highland Farms Retirement Community

   Nursing & Residential Care Facilities      200-299   

HomeTrust Bank

   Credit Intermediation & Related Activities      200-299   

Inn on Biltmore Estate

   Accommodation      200-299   

J & S Cafeteria (Buncombe County)

   Food Services & Drinking Places      200-299   

J. Crew Group

   Clothing & Clothing Accessories Stores      200-299   

Medical Action Industries, Inc.

   Misc. Manufacturing      200-299   

Milkco, Inc.

   Food Manufacturing      200-299   

Mills Manufacturing Corp.

   Textile Product Manufacturing      200-299   

NC State Alcohol & Drug Abuse Treatment Ctr.

   Hospitals      200-299   

Nypro Asheville, Inc.

   Plastics & Rubber Products Manufacturing      200-299   

Pisgah Valley Retirement Community

   Nursing & Residential Care Facilities      200-299   

Sam’s Club (A Division of Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.)

   General Merchandise Stores      200-299   

Swannanoa Valley Youth Development Center

   Justice, Public Order & Safety Activities      200-299   

Tyco Electronics Corp.

   Electrical Equip., Appliance & Component Mfg.      200-299   

United Parcel Service (Asheville)

   Couriers & Messengers      200-299   

United States Postal Service - Asheville Facility

   Postal Service      200-299   

Volvo Construction Equipment North America, Inc.

   Merchant Whols., Durable Goods      200-299   

Warren Wilson College

   Educational Services      200-299   

Source: Asheville Metro Business & Industry Directory 2009-2010.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Market Share Analysis

Table 14 displays branch deposit data for the top 25 financial institutions in the Asheville MSA as of June 30, 2010 (with deposit data adjusted for completed and pending mergers). ASB ranked fourth in the Asheville MSA out of 36 financial institutions with total deposits of $545.0 million and a market share of 7.4%. Previously, as of June 30, 2009, the Bank ranked fourth in the Asheville MSA with total deposits of $517.8 and a market share of 7.2% million. ASB’s deposits increased by 5.2% between June 30, 2009 and 2010, while the total deposits in the Asheville MSA increased by 3.1% from $7.2 billion to $7.4 billion over the same period.

The top three financial institutions (Wells Fargo & Company, First Citizens BancShares, and HomeTrust Bank) held $3.2 billion or 43.1% of the deposit market in the Asheville MSA. The deposit market in the local area has been altered by recent acquisition activity. Wells Fargo entered the market and seized the top deposit share position through its acquisition of Wachovia Bank in October 2008. TD Bank acquired Carolina First Bank in May 2010. Through a failed bank acquisition, First Bancorp assumed the operations of Bank of Asheville in January 2011.

Table 15 displays branch deposit data for the top 25 financial institutions as of June 30, 2010 in the Greater Asheville Area, which includes Buncombe, Haywood, Henderson, Madison, Jackson, McDowell, Polk, Rutherford, Transylvania, and Yancey counties. ASB ranked fifth in the Greater Asheville Area out of 50 financial institutions with total deposits of $628.0 million as of June 30, 2010 and a market share of 6.1%. The top three deposit market leaders in the Greater Asheville Area were the same financial institutions (Wells Fargo, First Citizens, and HomeTrust Bank) as in the Asheville MSA. However, BB&T Corp. surpassed ASB to occupy the fourth position in the Greater Asheville Area with deposits of $698.6 million and a market share of 6.8%.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 14

Deposit Market Share in the Asheville MSA

Data as of June 30, 2010

(Adjusted for Completed and Pending Mergers)

 

Rank

  

Financial Institution

   Type    Branch
Count
     Deposit
Market
Share
(%)
     Total
Deposits
($000)
 
1    Wells Fargo & Co. (CA)    Bank      17         19.14         1,413,860   
2    First Citizens BancShares Inc. (NC)    Bank      22         15.34         1,133,067   
3    HomeTrust Bank (NC)    Thrift      8         8.65         638,772   
4    Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B. (NC)    Thrift      11         7.38         544,961   
5    SunTrust Banks Inc. (GA)    Bank      15         6.89         508,797   
6    1st Financial Services Corp. (NC)    Bank      6         5.84         431,696   
7    BB&T Corp. (NC)    Bank      9         5.44         402,085   
8    Bank of America Corp. (NC)    Bank      9         5.22         385,811   
9    TD Bank (Canada)    Bank      10         5.02         370,427   
10    RBC Bank (Canada)    Bank      8         3.00         221,693   
11    First Bancorp (NC)    Bank      5         2.73         201,409   
12    United Community Banks, Inc. (GA)    Bank      3         2.04         150,641   
13    Mountain Credit Union (NC)    Credit Union      7         2.02         149,158   
14    Champion Credit Union (NC)    Credit Union      2         1.71         126,200   
15    Macon Bancorp (NC)    Thrift      2         1.54         113,675   
16    Capital Bank Corporation (NC)    Bank      4         1.28         94,525   
17    Blue Ridge Savings Bank, Inc. (NC)    Thrift      5         1.17         86,704   
18    Telco Community Credit Union (NC)    Credit Union      1         0.89         65,916   
19    Forest Commercial Bank (NC)    Bank      1         0.83         60,987   
20    Oldtown Bank (NC)    Bank      1         0.78         57,372   
21    Pisgah CommunityBank (NC)    Bank      1         0.76         55,780   
22    WNC Community Credit Union    Credit Union      1         0.67         49,472   
23    Black Mountain Svgs. Bank, S.S.B. (NC)    Thrift      1         0.44         32,217   
24    Southern Community Financial (NC)    Bank      1         0.34         25,299   
25    Oteen VA Federal Credit Union (NC)    Credit Union      1         0.31         22,874   
   Total (36 financial institutions)         193         100.00         7,386,024   

Source: SNL Financial.

 

47


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 15

Deposit Market Share in the Greater Asheville Area

Data as of June 30, 2010

(Adjusted for Completed and Pending Mergers)

 

                        Deposit         
                        Market      Total  
                 Branch      Share      Deposits  

Rank

  

Financial Institution

   Type      Count      (%)      ($000)  

1

   Wells Fargo & Co. (CA)      Bank         24         18.38         1,879,790   

2

   First Citizens BancShares Inc. (NC)      Bank         31         14.18         1,450,096   

3

   HomeTrust Bank (NC)      Thrift         11         8.33         852,521   

4

   BB&T Corp. (NC)      Bank         16         6.83         698,614   

5

   Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B. (NC)      Thrift         13         6.14         628,010   

6

   1st Financial Services Corp. (NC)      Bank         10         5.96         609,204   

7

   TD Bank (Canada)      Bank         18         5.61         574,152   

8

   SunTrust Banks Inc. (GA)      Bank         15         5.29         540,897   

9

   Bank of America Corp. (NC)      Bank         12         4.84         495,003   

10

   RBC Bank (Canada)      Bank         13         3.86         394,831   

11

   United Community Banks, Inc. (GA)      Bank         10         3.80         388,653   

12

   Macon Bancorp (NC)      Thrift         7         3.61         368,968   

13

   First Bancorp (NC)      Bank         5         1.97         201,409   

14

   Mountain Credit Union (NC)      Credit Union         7         1.46         149,158   

15

   Blue Ridge Savings Bank, Inc. (NC)      Thrift         6         1.34         136,821   

16

   Champion Credit Union (NC)      Credit Union         2         1.23         126,200   

17

   Fifth Third Bancorp (OH)      Bank         5         1.12         114,234   

18

   Capital Bank Corporation (NC)      Bank         4         0.92         94,525   

19

   Telco Community Credit Union (NC)      Credit Union         1         0.64         65,916   

20

   Forest Commercial Bank (NC)      Bank         1         0.60         60,987   

21

   Oldtown Bank (NC)      Bank         1         0.56         57,372   

22

   Pisgah CommunityBank (NC)      Bank         1         0.55         55,780   

23

   First National Bank of Shelby (NC)      Bank         1         0.50         50,780   

24

   WNC Community Credit Union (NC)      Credit Union         1         0.48         49,472   

25

   Ecusta Credit Union (NC)      Credit Union         1         0.40         40,901   
   Total (50 financial institutions)         291         100.00         10,229,621   

Source: SNL Financial.

 

48


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 16 provides residential mortgage market share data for the top 25 lenders in the Asheville MSA as ranked by loans funded in 2009. Wells Fargo (Wachovia) and HomeTrust Bank ranked among the top two leading residential lenders in the local market area, funding $374.1 million (13.3% market share) and $304.8 million (10.8% market share) in residential loans, respectively. Bank of America, BB&T Corp., and State Employees’ Credit Union were included in the top five residential lenders. ASB ranked sixth in the Asheville MSA with $136.5 million of residential loans funded and a market share of 4.9%. The top six lenders, including ASB, accounted for 50.5% of the residential loan originations in the Ashville MSA for 2009.

Previously, the Bank ranked 12th with a market share of 3.2% based on total residential mortgage loans funded of $79.6 million in 2008. Total residential mortgage originations in the Asheville MSA increased 14.1% from $2.5 billion in 2008 to $2.8 billion in 2009. The average residential mortgage loan funded in the Asheville MSA was approximately $190,500 in 2009 compared to $188,900 in 2008. The Bank’s average residential mortgage loan funded in the Asheville MSA was approximately $190,100 in 2009 compared to $197,900 in 2008.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 16

Residential Mortgage Lending Market Share in the Asheville MSA

Data for 2009

(Adjusted for Completed and Pending Mergers)

 

                      Total      Total  
               No. of      Market      Funded  
               Funded      Share      Loans  

Rank

  

Company

  

Type

   Loans      (%)      ($000)  

1

   Wells Fargo & Co. (CA)    Bank      1,932         13.30         374,100   

2

   HomeTrust Bank (NC)    Thrift      1,526         10.83         304,830   

3

   Bank of America Corp. (NC)    Bank      1,365         9.26         260,407   

4

   BB&T Corp. (NC)    Bank      927         6.69         188,168   

5

   State Employees’ Credit Union (NC)    Credit Union      948         5.61         157,762   

6

   Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B. (NC)    Thrift      718         4.85         136,499   

7

   SunTrust Banks, Inc. (GA)    Bank      611         4.56         128,321   

8

   Cunningham & Company, Inc. (NC)    Mortgage Bank      468         3.40         95,698   

9

   First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (NC)    Bank      395         3.23         91,014   

10

   1st Financial Services Corp. (NC)    Bank      353         2.30         64,688   

11

   TD Bank (Canada)    Bank      277         1.94         54,480   

12

   JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NY)    Bank      304         1.88         52,899   

13

   Quicken Loans, Inc. (MI)    Mortgage Bank      244         1.52         42,825   

14

   Fifth Third Bancorp (OH)    Bank      202         1.40         39,447   

15

   WR Starkey Mortgage, LLP (TX)    Mortgage Bank      215         1.39         39,231   

16

   United Community Banks, Inc. (GA)    Bank      221         1.37         38,486   

17

   USAA Federal Savings Bank (TX)    Thrift      194         1.30         36,457   

18

   RBC Bank (Canada)    Bank      161         1.21         34,069   

19

   New York Community Bancorp (NY)    Thrift      133         0.94         26,508   

20

   Carolina Bank Holdings, Inc. (NC)    Bank      120         0.89         24,944   

21

   U.S. Bancorp (MN)    Bank      132         0.81         22,889   

22

   Flagstar Bank, FSB (MI)    Thrift      109         0.76         21,343   

23

   Champion Credit Union (NC)    Credit Union      246         0.67         18,724   

24

   Citigroup Inc. (NY)    Bank      122         0.63         17,761   

25

   Provident Funding Assoc. L.P. (CA)    Mortgage Bank      88         0.63         17,690   
   Total         14,765         100.00         2,813,503   

Source: SNL Financial.

 

50


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

II. COMPARISONS WITH PUBLICLY TRADED THRIFTS

General Overview

The comparative market approach provides a sound basis for determining estimates of going-concern valuations where a regular and active market exists for the stocks of peer institutions. The comparative market approach was utilized in determining the estimated pro forma market value of the Bank because: (i) reliable market and financial data are readily available for comparable institutions; (ii) the comparative market method is accepted by the applicable regulatory guidelines; and (iii) other alternative valuation methods (such as income capitalization, liquidation analysis, or discounted cash flow) are unlikely to produce a valuation relevant to the future trading patterns of the related equity interest. The generally employed valuation method in initial public offerings, where possible, is the comparative market approach, which also can be relied upon to determine pro forma market value in a thrift stock conversion.

The comparative market approach derives valuation benchmarks from the trading patterns of selected peer institutions which, due to certain factors such as financial performance and operating strategies, enable the appraiser to estimate the potential value of the subject institution in a stock conversion offering. The pricing and trading history of recent initial public offerings of thrifts are also examined to provide evidence of the “new issue discount” that must be considered. In Chapter II, our valuation analysis focuses on the selection and comparison of the Bank with a comparable group of publicly traded thrift institutions (the “Comparative Group”). Chapter III will detail any additional discounts or premiums that we believe are appropriate to the Bank’s pro forma market value.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Selection Criteria

Selected market price and financial performance data for all public thrifts listed on major stock exchanges are shown in Exhibit III. The list excludes companies that are subject to being acquired under a pending transaction and companies that have a majority ownership interest controlled by a mutual holding company (“MHC”). Several criteria, discussed below, were used to select the individual members of the Comparative Group from the overall universe of publicly traded thrifts.

 

   

Operating characteristics – An institution’s operating characteristics are the most important factors because they affect investors’ expected rates of return on a company’s stock under various business/economic scenarios, and they influence the market’s general perception of the quality and attractiveness of a given company. Operating characteristics, which may vary in importance during the business cycle, include financial variables such as profitability, balance sheet growth, capitalization, asset quality, and other factors such as lines of business and management strategies.

 

   

Degree of marketability and liquidity – Marketability of a stock reflects the relative ease and promptness with which a security may be sold when desired, at a representative current price, without material concession in price merely because of the necessity of sale. Marketability also connotes the existence of buying interest as well as selling interest and is usually indicated by trading volumes and the spread between the bid and asked price for a security. Liquidity of the stock issue refers to the organized market exchange process whereby the security can be converted into cash. We attempted to limit our selection to companies that have access to a regular trading market or price quotations, and therefore only considered companies listed on major stock exchanges. We eliminated from the Comparative Group companies with market prices that were materially influenced by announced acquisitions or other unusual circumstances. However, the expectation of continued industry consolidation is currently embedded in thrift equity valuations.

 

   

Geographic Location – The region of the country where a company operates is also of importance in selecting the comparative group. The operating environment for thrift institutions varies from region to region with respect to business and economic environments, real estate market conditions, speculative takeover activity, and investment climates. Economic and investor climates can also vary greatly within a region, particularly due to takeover activity.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

The operations of the Bank fit the general profile of a diversifying thrift institution, concentrating primarily on real estate lending in its local market and relying significantly on certificates of deposit and other interest-bearing deposit accounts as funding sources. Residential mortgage loans remain as a core product in the Bank’s loan portfolio. However, the Bank has diversified its loan mix through the origination of commercial real estate and consumer loans and, to a lesser extent, commercial business and construction and land development loans.

In determining the Comparative Group composition, we focused chiefly on ASB’s asset size, capital level, credit risk profile, and geographic location. Attempting to concentrate on the Bank’s performance characteristics and to develop a meaningful number of comparables for valuation purposes, we expanded the geographic criterion for comparable thrifts beyond the South region of the United States. As with any composition of a group of comparable companies, the selection criteria were broadened sufficiently to assemble a meaningful number of members. Specifically, we applied the following selection criteria:

 

   

Publicly traded thrift – stockholder-owned thrift whose shares are traded on the New York, NYSE Amex, or NASDAQ stock markets.

 

   

Non-acquisition target – company is not subject to a pending acquisition.

 

   

Excludes mutual holding companies – company’s majority ownership interest is not held by an MHC.

 

   

Seasoned trading issue – company has been publicly traded for a minimum of one full year.

 

   

Asset size – total assets between $500.0 million and $1.25 billion.

 

   

Capitalization –tangible equity to assets ratio greater than or equal to 8.0%.

 

   

Credit risk exposure – ratio of total non-performing assets to total assets less than or equal to 8.0%.

 

   

Geographic location – preference for companies based in the South, with consideration also granted to companies in Mid-Atlantic or Midwest states.

 

53


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

As a result of applying the stated criteria, the screening process produced a reliable representation of publicly traded thrifts. A general operating summary of the ten companies included in the Comparative Group is presented in Table 17. All of the selected companies except one are traded on the NASDAQ market; Teche Holding Company is listed on the NYSE Amex. The Comparative Group ranged in asset size from $512.8 million at First Savings Financial Group, Inc. to approximately $1.1 billion at CFS Bancorp, Inc. and HopFed Bancorp, Inc. The median and average asset sizes of the Comparative Group were $662.6 million and $756.5 million, respectively, compared to ASB’s total assets of $750.7 million at March 31, 2011.

Six of the comparables are located in Southern states (Citizens South Banking Corp. in North Carolina, Community Financial Corporation in Virginia, HopFed Bancorp in Kentucky, Jefferson Bancshares, Inc. in Tennessee, and Home Bancorp, Inc. and Teche Holding Company in Louisiana). Citizens South Banking Corp. is based in Gastonia, North Carolina, approximately 100 miles southeast east of Asheville. Three companies are located in Midwestern states (Citizens Community Bancorp, Inc. in Wisconsin and CFS Bancorp, Inc. and First Savings Financial Group in Indiana). Headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland, BCSB Bancorp, Inc. is located in the Mid-Atlantic region.

In comparison to recent performance trends of the aggregate public thrift industry, the Comparative Group generally exhibited lower profitability returns, moderately lower capital levels, and more favorable asset quality ratios. While some differences inevitably may exist between ASB and the individual companies, we believe that the chosen Comparative Group on the whole provides a meaningful basis of financial comparison for valuation purposes.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 17

Comparative Group Operating Summary

As of March 31, 2011

 

Company

  

City

   State    No. of
Offices
     Conversion
Offering
Date
   Total
Assets
($Mil.)
     Tang.
Equity/
Assets
(%)
 

Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B.

   Asheville    NC      13       NA    $ 750.7         8.43   

Comparative Group

                 

BCSB Bancorp, Inc.

   Baltimore    MD      18       04/11/08      624.8         8.07   

CFS Bancorp, Inc.

   Munster    IN      22       07/24/98      1,144.0         9.94   

Citizens Community Bancorp (1)

   Eau Claire    WI      27       11/01/06      580.3         8.81   

Citizens South Banking Corp.

   Gastonia    NC      21       04/13/98      1,041.4         8.72   

Community Financial Corp. (1)

   Staunton    VA      11       03/30/88      527.7         9.29   

First Savings Financial Group

   Clarksville    IN      12       10/07/08      512.8         9.48   

Home Bancorp, Inc.

   Lafayette    LA      18       10/03/08      700.5         18.73   

HopFed Bancorp, Inc.

   Hopkinsville    KY      18       02/09/98      1,074.0         10.02   

Jefferson Bancshares, Inc.

   Morristown    TN      12       07/02/03      577.5         9.34   

Teche Holding Company

   New Iberia    LA      19       04/19/95      782.2         9.49   

 

(1) As of December 31, 2010.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank; SNL Financial.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Recent Financial Comparisons

Table 18 summarizes certain key financial comparisons between ASB and the Comparative Group. Tables 19 through 24 contain the detailed financial comparisons of the Bank with the individual Comparative Group companies based on measures of profitability, income and expense components, yield-cost structure, capital levels, balance sheet composition, asset quality, and growth rates. Financial data for the Bank, the Comparative Group, and All Public Thrift aggregate were utilized for the latest available period as of for the last twelve months (“LTM”) ended March 31, 2011.

ASB’s LTM ROA was negative 1.22%, reflecting a profitability measure below the Comparative Group median of positive 0.26% and the All Public Thrift median of positive 0.43%. The Bank’s lower ROA was attributable mainly to a lower net interest margin and higher level of loan loss provisions The Bank’s LTM return on average equity (“ROE”) was negative 13.60% and positioned below the Comparative Group median of positive 2.71%. Three members of the Comparative Group reported losses for the LTM period, while the remaining seven exhibited positive earnings. Similar to ASB, the Comparative Group companies reporting negative earnings displayed elevated levels of loan loss provisions for the LTM period.

Based on core earnings as adjusted to exclude intangibles amortization expense and non-recurring income and expense items, ASB’s core profitability ratios also lagged behind those of the Comparative Group. The Bank’s core earnings for the LTM period excluded $312,000 of pre-tax gains on sales of investment securities. The Bank’s core ROA of negative 1.25% was below the Comparative Group median of positive 0.25% and the All Public Thrift median of positive 0.46%.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 18

Key Financial Comparisons

Asheville Savings Bank and the Comparative Group

As of For the Last Twelve Months Ended March 31, 2011

(Ratios in Percent)

 

     Asheville
Savings
Bank
    Comparative
Group
Median
     All Public
Thrift
Median
 

Profitability

       

LTM Return on Average Assets (ROA)

     (1.22     0.26         0.43   

LTM Return on Average Equity (ROE)

     (13.60     2.71         3.50   

Core Return on Avg. Assets (Core ROA)

     (1.25     0.25         0.46   

Core Return on Avg. Equity (Core ROE)

     (13.90     2.59         3.79   

Income and Expense (% of avg. assets)

       

Total Interest Income

     4.14        4.80         4.54   

Total Interest Expense

     1.41        1.35         1.45   

Net Interest Income

     2.74        3.47         3.13   

Provision for Loan Losses

     2.79        0.71         0.48   

Other Operating Income

     0.92        0.71         0.60   

Net Secs. Gains and Non-rec. Income

     0.04        0.02         0.01   

General and Administrative Expense

     2.93        2.89         2.84   

Intangibles Amortization Expense

     0.00        0.03         0.00   

Non-recurring Expense

     0.00        0.01         0.00   

Pre-tax Core Earnings

     (2.06     0.29         0.67   

Efficiency Ratio

     79.98        70.38         69.82   

Yield-Cost Data

       

Yield on Interest-earning Assets

     4.36        5.34         4.93   

Cost of Interest-bearing Liabilities

     1.67        1.62         1.75   

Net Interest Spread

     2.69        3.57         3.39   

Net Interest Margin

     2.88        3.73         3.41   

Asset Utilization (% of avg. total assets)

       

Avg. Interest-earning Assets

     95.08        90.66         93.63   

Avg. Interest-bearing Liabilities

     84.09        82.78         81.80   

Avg. Net Interest-earning Assets

     10.99        8.88         10.96   

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 18 (continued)

Key Financial Comparisons

Asheville Savings Bank and the Comparative Group

As of For the Last Twelve Months Ended March 31, 2011

(Ratios in Percent)

 

     Asheville
Savings
Bank
    Comparative
Group
Median
    All Public
Thrift
Median
 

Balance Sheet Composition (% of total assets)

      

Cash and Securities

     31.27        23.39        23.22   

Loans Receivable, net

     63.06        67.34        68.38   

Real Estate

     1.40        0.80        0.40   

Intangible Assets

     0.00        0.14        0.05   

Other Assets

     4.28        6.47        4.85   

Total Deposits

     82.13        79.04        73.20   

Borrowed Funds

     8.18        9.16        13.09   

Other Liabilities

     1.26        0.70        0.95   

Total Equity

     8.43        9.79        10.98   

Loan Portfolio (% of total loans)

      

Residential First Mortgage Loans

     36.66        31.50        41.55   

Other Real Estate Mortgage Loans

     51.61        53.17        47.48   

Non-mortgage Loans

     11.73        13.91        8.18   

Growth Rates

      

Total Assets

     (1.38     2.26        0.03   

Total Loans

     (18.33     (4.36     (3.43

Total Deposits

     (0.37     1.96        2.30   

Regulatory Capital Ratios

      

Tier 1 Leverage Ratio

     8.60        9.24        9.75   

Tier 1 Risk-based Capital

     13.67        12.51        15.27   

Total Risk-based Capital

     14.94        13.76        16.17   

Credit Risk Ratios

      

Non-performing Loans / Total Loans

     2.92        2.98        3.46   

Non-performing Assets / Total Assets

     4.83        2.44        3.42   

Reserves / Total Loans

     2.60        1.72        1.63   

Reserves / Non-performing Loans

     89.02        39.91        44.26   

Source: Asheville Savings Bank; SNL Financial; Feldman Financial.

 

58


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

As shown in Table 18, the Bank’s net interest margin of 2.88% significantly trailed the Comparative Group median of 3.73% and the All Public Thrift median of 3.41%. The Bank’s net interest margin has been hampered by its increased level of liquidity as its loan portfolio has shrunk due to a combination of loan sales and reduced loan originations. The Bank’s level of cash and securities amounted to 31.3% of total assets and surpassed the Comparative Group median of 21.8% and All Public Thrift median of 23.2%. The Bank’s lower equity position also places its net interest margin at a slight disadvantage. None of the Comparative Group companies exhibited a net interest margin below 3.00% with HopFed Bancorp reporting the lowest net interest margin at 3.12%. Similar to the Bank, HopFed Bancorp also held a relatively large concentration of cash and securities on its balance sheet.

While its cost of interest-bearing liabilities was comparable to the Comparative Group median, the Bank’s yield on interest-earning assets was much lower. The Bank’s 1.67% cost of interest-bearing liabilities was slightly higher than the Comparative Group median of 1.62%. However, the Bank’s 4.36% yield on interest-earning assets was 98 basis points lower than the Comparative Group median of 5.34%. Generally, yields on investment securities are lower than yields on loans and the Bank’s higher concentration of securities places its overall yield on interest-earning assets at a comparative disadvantage.

The Bank’s non-interest operating income totaled 0.92% of average assets, noticeably exceeding the Comparative Group and All Public Thrift medians of 0.71% and 0.60%, respectively. The Bank has consistently generated a stable stream of non-interest revenue from mortgage banking operations, service charges on deposit accounts, debit card services, and other fee income sources. The Bank’s recent level of non-interest operating income at 0.92% of

 

59


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

average assets for the LTM period surpassed the reported levels for all of the Comparative Group companies except for Teche Holding Company. The Bank also generated gains on sale of investment securities, which amounted to 0.04% of average assets for the LTM period and exceeded the Comparative Group and All Public Thrift medians of 0.02% and 0.01%, respectively.

The Bank’s operating expense ratio at 2.93% of average assets was slightly higher than the Comparative Group median of 2.89% and All Public Thrift median of 2.84%. The Bank’s operating expense ratio increased in recent periods as the amount of absolute expense has risen at a greater pace than average assets, which have been held relatively constant over the past two years due to loan portfolio shrinkage. In addition, the Bank’s operating expense total was inflated by higher foreclosed property expenses of $2.1 million for the recent LTM period. Excluding the foreclosed property expenses, the Bank’s operating expense ratio would have measured 2.65% for the LTM ended March 31, 2011.

The Bank’s efficiency ratio (non-interest expense less intangibles amortization expense as a percent of net interest income before provision plus non-interest operating income) was higher at 80.0% versus the Comparative Group and All Public Thrift medians of 70.4% and 69.8%, respectively. Although the operating expense levels are comparable and the Bank has a higher level of non-interest income, the Bank is disadvantaged by a lower level of net interest income at 2.74% of average assets in contrast to the Comparative Group median of 3.47%. For the recent LTM period, the Bank’s net interest income was not sufficient to cover the amount of operating expenses. Only two members of the Comparative Group (CFS Bancorp and Teche Holding Company) exhibited a similar imbalance of net interest income versus operating expenses.

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Prior to 2010, the Bank had increased its provision for loan losses gradually to reflect the overall growth of the loan portfolio. However in 2010, ASB increased the provision significantly due to increased levels of loan charge-offs and heightened credit risk exposure. For the LTM period, the Bank’s provision for loan losses amounted to 2.79% of average assets and exceeded the Comparative Group and All Public Thrift medians of 0.71% and 0.48%, respectively. Several members of the Comparative Group also reported elevated levels of loan loss provisions that contributed to negative earnings or very low profitability.

Table 23 profiles the overall balance sheet composition of the Bank versus that of the Comparative Group. The Bank’s net total loans amounted to 63.1% of total assets as of March 31, 2011, below the median of 67.3% for the Comparative Group. Conversely, the Bank’s ratio of cash and securities to total assets was 31.3% and surpassed the median of 21.8% for the Comparative Group. As noted previously, the Bank’s increased level of cash and securities has contributed to its lower net interest margin in the current interest rate environment. The Bank had no goodwill or other intangible assets on its balance sheet as of March 31, 2011. The Bank’s real estate owned measured 1.4% of total assets and was slightly higher than the 0.1% level reflected by the Comparative Group median. The Bank’s ratio of other assets to total assets measured 4.8% and was lower than the Comparative Group median of 6.9%. The Bank’s category of other assets largely consisted of fixed assets and deferred tax assets.

The Bank’s borrowings level at 8.2% of assets primarily reflected its usage of FHLB advances as a supplemental funding source, and was similar to the Comparative Group’s median borrowings level of 9.2%. The Bank’s deposit level at 82.1% of total assets was similar to the Comparative Group’s median deposit level of 79.0%. The Bank’s equity level before the Conversion was 8.43% relative to total assets, which was slightly lower than the Comparative Group and All Public Thrift medians of 9.79% and 10.98%, respectively.

 

61


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

The Bank had made considerable strides toward diversifying its loan portfolio away from the traditional thrift model’s reliance on residential mortgages as evidenced by the loan composition data displayed in Table 24. The Bank’s level of residential first mortgage loans measured 36.7% of total loans based on regulatory financial data as of March 31, 2011, compared to the Comparative Group and All Public Thrift medians of 31.5% and 41.6%, respectively. The Bank’s concentration of other real estate mortgage loans, which include commercial mortgages, revolving mortgages, and construction and land development loans, measured 51.6% of total loans and was comparable to the Comparative Group median of 53.2%. The Bank’s ratio of non-mortgage loans, which include consumer loans and commercial and industrial loans, amounted to 11.7% of total loans and was positioned slightly below the Comparative Group median of 13.9%.

The Bank’s restrained balance sheet growth in recent periods is reflected in the comparative growth rates. The Bank’s asset growth rate measured negative 1.4% over the recent LTM period and trailed the Comparative Group median of positive 2.3%. The Bank also exhibited negative growth rates of loans and deposits, while the Comparative Group reported median growth rates that were negative for loans and slightly positive for deposits. The sluggish economy and mounting credit-related losses have forced many financial institutions to emphasize capital preservation and credit remediation over growth objectives.

The Bank’s 2.92% ratio of non-performing loans to total loans was comparable to the Comparative Group median of 2.98% and below the All Public Thrift median of 3.42%.

 

62


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

However, the Bank’s ratio of total non-performing assets to total assets was higher at 4.83% versus the Comparative Group and All Public Thrift medians of 2.44% and 3.42%, respectively. For comparative purposes, total non-performing assets include restructured or renegotiated loans in addition to non-performing loans and real estate owned. The Bank’s ratio of reserves to non-performing loans compared favorably to the aggregate medians and reflected the substantial additions to reserves made by the Bank in 2010. The Bank’s 2.60% ratio of reserves to total loans surpassed the Comparative Group and All Public Thrift medians of 1.72% and 1.63%, respectively, and exceeded the high ratios of 2.36% and 2.34% reported by CFS Bancorp and HopFed Bancorp, respectively. Additionally, the Bank’s 89.0% ratio of reserves to non-performing was higher than the Comparative Group and All Public Thrift medians of 39.9% and 44.3%, respectively.

In summary, the Bank’s recent earnings performance trailed the results exhibited by the Comparative Group and All Public Thrift segments. The Bank’s profitability is characterized by a lower net interest margin and, more recently, increased provisions for loan losses. The Bank’s net interest margin has been restrained by the yield potential of its balance sheet structure including comparatively higher levels of investment securities. While the Bank exhibited a higher level of non-interest income and comparable level of non-interest expense, these factors did not offset the Bank’s lower net interest margin. ASB’s earnings growth outlook will depend largely on the Bank’s ability to sustain satisfactory loan quality as its manages and grows the portfolio, improve the net interest margin across movements in the interest rate environment, and control non-interest expense as it expands operations.

 

63


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 19

General Operating Characteristics

As of March 31, 2011

 

     City    State    Ticker    Exchange    No. of
Offices
   Conversion
Offering
Date
   Total Assets
($000s)
     Net
Loans
($000s)
     Total
Deposits
($000s)
     Total
Equity
($000s)
 

Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B.

   Asheville    NC    NA    NA    13    NA      750,709         473,360         616,586         63,295   

Comparative Group Average

                       756,525         505,274         605,170         78,764   

Comparative Group Median

                       662,620         462,964         543,417         66,819   
Comparative Group                              

BCSB Bancorp, Inc.

   Baltimore    MD    BCSB    NASDAQ    18    04/11/08      624,764         374,037         543,215         50,451   

CFS Bancorp, Inc.

   Munster    IN    CITZ    NASDAQ    22    07/24/98      1,144,041         707,128         980,517         113,764   

Citizens Community Bancorp (1)

   Eau Claire    WI    CZWI    NASDAQ    27    11/01/06      580,338         446,306         482,393         51,801   

Citizens South Banking Corp.

   Gastonia    NC    CSBC    NASDAQ    21    04/13/98      1,041,444         713,904         832,803         92,276   

Community Financial Corp. (1)

   Staunton    VA    CFFC    NASDAQ    11    03/30/88      527,684         479,622         386,129         49,028   

First Savings Financial Group, Inc.

   Clarksville    IN    FSFG    NASDAQ    12    10/07/08      512,789         341,059         368,991         56,059   

Home Bancorp, Inc.

   Lafayette    LA    HBCP    NASDAQ    18    10/03/08      700,475         438,541         543,619         132,574   

HopFed Bancorp, Inc.

   Hopkinsville    KY    HFBC    NASDAQ    18    02/09/98      1,074,043         580,729         833,903         108,294   

Jefferson Bancshares, Inc.

   Morristown    TN    JFBI    NASDAQ    12    07/02/03      577,524         393,711         469,237         55,818   

Teche Holding Company

   New Iberia    LA    TSH    NYSE Amex    19    04/19/95      782,152         577,701         610,892         77,578   

 

(1) As of December 31, 2010.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank; SNL Financial; Feldman Financial.

 

64


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 20

Summary Financial Performance Ratios

As of or For the Last Twelve Months Ended March 31, 2011

 

     Total Assets
($000s)
     Total
Equity/
Assets
(%)
     Tang.
Equity/
Assets
(%)
     Total
NPAs/
Assets
(%)
     Net
Interest
Margin
(%)
     Effcy.
Ratio
(%)
     LTM
ROA
(%)
    LTM
ROE
(%)
    Core
ROA
(%)
    Core
ROE
(%)
 

Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B.

     750,709         8.43         8.43         4.83         2.88         79.98         (1.22     (13.60     (1.25     (13.90

Comparative Group Average

     756,525         10.46         10.19         3.32         3.81         72.35         (0.21     (2.73     0.24        1.89   

Comparative Group Median

     662,620         9.79         9.41         2.44         3.73         70.38         0.26        2.71        0.25        2.59   

All Public Thrift Average

     2,790,311         11.90         11.21         4.27         3.33         72.02         0.03        (3.68     0.04        (5.43

All Public Thrift Median

     870,061         10.98         10.00         3.19         3.41         69.82         0.43        3.50        0.46        3.79   
Comparative Group                           

BCSB Bancorp, Inc.

     624,764         8.08         8.07         1.81         3.18         83.10         0.23        2.36        0.24        2.47   

CFS Bancorp, Inc.

     1,144,041         9.94         9.94         7.90         3.59         82.42         0.29        2.86        0.28        2.72   

Citizens Community Bancorp (1)

     580,338         8.93         8.81         2.65         3.87         69.67         (1.29     (13.94     (0.38     (4.07

Citizens South Banking Corp.

     1,041,444         8.86         8.72         3.19         3.41         71.09         (0.24     (2.68     (0.22     (2.44

Community Financial Corp. (1)

     527,684         9.29         9.29         7.56         4.19         61.88         0.26        2.86        0.26        2.86   

First Savings Financial Group, Inc.

     512,789         10.93         9.48         1.49         4.45         67.65         0.61        5.66        0.83        7.69   

Home Bancorp, Inc.

     700,475         18.93         18.73         0.32         4.72         72.17         0.66        3.50        0.85        4.49   

HopFed Bancorp, Inc.

     1,074,043         10.08         10.02         1.41         3.12         68.64         0.26        2.57        0.06        0.65   

Jefferson Bancshares, Inc.

     577,524         9.67         9.34         4.67         3.30         78.43         (3.75     (39.57     (0.43     (4.54

Teche Holding Company

     782,152         9.92         9.49         2.22         4.25         68.47         0.92        9.07        0.92        9.08   

 

(1) As of for the LTM ended December 31, 2010.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank; SNL Financial; Feldman Financial.

 

65


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 21

Income and Expense Analysis

For the Last Twelve Months Ended March 31, 2011

 

     As a Percent of Average Assets  
     Interest
Income
     Interest
Expense
     Net
Interest
Income
     Other
Oper.
Income
     Non-rec.
Income
    Loan
Loss
Prov.
     Gen. &
Admin.
Expense
     Amort.
& Imp.
Intang,
     Non-rec.
Expense
     Pretax
Core
Earnings
 

Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B.

     4.14         1.41         2.74         0.92         0.04        2.79         2.93         0.00         0.00         (2.06

Comparative Group Average

     4.79         1.35         3.46         0.77         0.02        0.77         3.09         0.48         0.05         0.36   

Comparative Group Median

     4.80         1.35         3.47         0.71         0.02        0.71         2.89         0.03         0.01         0.29   

All Public Thrift Average

     4.54         1.48         3.07         0.87         0.03        0.76         2.90         0.06         0.03         0.28   

All Public Thrift Median

     4.54         1.45         3.13         0.60         0.01        0.48         2.84         0.00         0.00         0.67   

Comparative Group

                            

BCSB Bancorp, Inc.

     4.45         1.50         2.95         0.42         (0.02     0.23         2.80         0.00         0.00         0.34   

CFS Bancorp, Inc.

     4.10         0.87         3.22         0.76         0.07        0.27         3.40         0.00         0.04         0.32   

Citizens Community Bancorp (1)

     5.61         1.89         3.72         0.36         (0.39     1.33         2.84         1.02         0.00         (0.10

Citizens South Banking Corp.

     4.19         1.31         2.91         0.73         0.05        1.30         2.75         0.05         0.03         (0.41

Community Financial Corp. (1)

     5.15         1.15         4.00         0.75         0.00        1.55         2.94         0.00         0.00         0.26   

First Savings Financial Group, Inc.

     5.15         1.13         4.05         0.59         0.03        0.26         3.21         0.06         0.31         1.17   

Home Bancorp, Inc.

     4.94         0.82         4.12         0.86         (0.19     0.09         3.59         0.04         0.06         1.30   

HopFed Bancorp, Inc.

     4.67         1.96         2.82         0.68         0.34        0.90         2.45         0.03         0.01         0.16   

Jefferson Bancshares, Inc.

     4.33         1.44         2.89         0.44         0.32        1.25         2.83         3.55         0.00         (0.75

Teche Holding Company

     5.27         1.39         3.88         2.09         0.00        0.52         4.09         0.00         0.00         1.37   

 

(1) For the LTM ended December 31, 2010.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank; SNL Financial; Feldman Financial.

 

66


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 22

Yield-Cost Structure and Growth Rates

For the Last Twelve Months Ended March 31, 2011

 

     Avg.
Int. Earn.
Assets/
Assets
     Avg.
Int.-Bear.
Liabs./
Assets
     Avg. Net
Earning
Assets/
Assets
    Avg.
Equity/
Assets
     Yield on
Int-Earn.
Assets
     Cost of
Int-Bear.
Liabs.
     Net
Interest

Spread
     Asset
Growth
Rate
    Loan
Growth
Rate
    Deposit
Growth
Rate
 

Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B.

     95.08         84.09         10.99        8.99         4.36         1.67         2.69         (1.38     (18.33     (0.37

Comparative Group Average

     90.67         81.72         8.95        10.63         5.29         1.64         3.65         (0.34     (5.26     3.09   

Comparative Group Median

     90.66         82.78         8.88        9.81         5.34         1.62         3.57         2.26        (4.36     1.96   

All Public Thrift Average

     93.06         81.24         11.32        11.43         4.91         1.72         3.25         0.83        (1.99     4.39   

All Public Thrift Median

     93.63         81.80         10.96        10.53         4.93         1.75         3.39         0.03        (3.43     2.30   

Comparative Group

                          

BCSB Bancorp, Inc.

     92.63         84.18         8.45        9.62         4.80         1.78         3.02         4.00        (5.72     4.97   

CFS Bancorp, Inc.

     89.82         80.55         9.27        10.13         4.56         1.09         3.48         4.75        (4.87     10.53   

Citizens Community Bancorp (1)

     96.14         86.83         9.31        9.28         5.83         2.18         3.65         2.42        0.26        18.83   

Citizens South Banking Corp.

     85.34         87.29         (1.95     8.82         4.94         1.50         3.44         (8.05     (8.29     (5.81

Community Financial Corp. (1)

     95.40         84.38         11.02        9.06         5.39         1.36         4.03         (2.45     (3.43     (3.98

First Savings Financial Group, Inc.

     90.94         82.46         8.48        10.81         5.69         1.37         4.32         3.75        (3.85     1.92   

Home Bancorp, Inc.

     87.13         66.80         20.33        18.94         5.67         1.23         4.44         0.54        (2.34     0.68   

HopFed Bancorp, Inc.

     90.37         83.10         7.27        9.99         5.29         2.35         2.93         2.11        (9.61     2.00   

Jefferson Bancshares, Inc.

     87.46         81.93         5.54        9.47         4.95         1.76         3.19         (12.91     (12.25     (2.32

Teche Holding Company

     91.47         79.70         11.77        10.13         5.77         1.75         4.02         2.42        (2.46     4.12   

 

(1) For the LTM ended December 31, 2010.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank; SNL Financial; Feldman Financial.

 

67


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 23

Balance Sheet Composition

As of March 31, 2011

 

     As a Percent of Total Assets  
     Cash &
Securities
     Net
Loans
     Real Est.
Owned
     Intang.
Assets
     Other
Assets
     Total
Deposits
     Borrowed
Funds
     Other
Liabs.
     Total
Liabs.
     Total
Equity
 

Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B.

     31.27         63.06         1.40         0.00         4.28         82.13         8.18         1.26         91.57         8.43   

Comparative Group Average

     23.67         68.32         0.98         0.30         6.72         79.55         9.08         0.91         89.54         10.46   

Comparative Group Median

     23.39         67.34         0.80         0.14         6.47         79.04         9.16         0.70         90.21         9.79   

All Public Thrift Average

     26.04         66.33         0.84         0.71         5.31         73.25         13.73         1.05         88.16         11.84   

All Public Thrift Median

     23.22         68.38         0.40         0.05         4.85         73.20         13.09         0.95         89.02         10.98   

Comparative Group

                             

BCSB Bancorp, Inc.

     33.77         59.87         0.35         0.01         6.00         86.95         2.72         2.25         91.92         8.08   

CFS Bancorp, Inc.

     28.32         61.81         2.06         0.01         7.80         85.71         3.55         0.80         90.06         9.94   

Citizens Community Bancorp (1)

     19.63         76.90         0.09         0.13         3.25         83.12         7.38         0.58         91.07         8.93   

Citizens South Banking Corp.

     21.84         68.55         1.59         0.15         7.87         79.97         10.34         0.84         91.14         8.86   

Community Financial Corp. (1)

     2.27         90.89         1.58         0.00         5.26         73.17         16.93         0.60         90.71         9.29   

First Savings Financial Group, Inc.

     26.76         66.51         0.26         1.61         4.86         71.96         16.59         0.52         89.07         10.93   

Home Bancorp, Inc.

     24.93         62.61         0.77         0.25         11.45         77.61         3.00         0.47         81.07         18.93   

HopFed Bancorp, Inc.

     40.47         54.07         0.84         0.07         4.55         77.64         11.67         0.61         89.92         10.08   

Jefferson Bancshares, Inc.

     20.25         68.17         1.96         0.36         9.26         81.25         7.98         1.11         90.33         9.67   

Teche Holding Company

     18.47         73.86         0.26         0.47         6.94         78.10         10.69         1.29         90.08         9.92   

 

(1) As of December 31, 2010.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank; SNL Financial; Feldman Financial.

 

68


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 24

Regulatory Capital, Credit Risk, and Loan Composition

As of or For the Last Twelve Months Ended March 31, 2011

 

     Tier 1
Leverage
Capital
Ratio
     Tier 1
Risk-
based
Capital
     Total
Risk-
based
Capital
     NPLs/
Loans
     Total
NPAs/
Assets
     Resrvs./
NPLs
     Resrvs./
Loans
     Resid.
First
Mtgs./
Loans
     Other
Real Est.
Mtgs./
Loans
     Non-mtg.
Loans/
Loans
 

Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B.

     8.60         13.67         14.94         2.92         4.83         89.02         2.60         36.66         51.61         11.73   

Comparative Group Average

     9.83         14.18         15.24         3.62         3.32         55.23         1.64         37.87         46.76         15.36   

Comparative Group Median

     9.24         12.51         13.76         2.98         2.44         39.91         1.72         31.50         53.17         13.91   

All Public Thrift Average

     10.31         16.61         17.71         5.05         4.47         59.12         1.89         44.19         45.39         10.42   

All Public Thrift Median

     9.75         15.27         16.17         3.46         3.42         44.26         1.63         41.55         47.48         8.18   

Comparative Group

                             

BCSB Bancorp, Inc.

     10.91         17.24         18.26         2.41         1.81         54.91         1.32         41.24         55.38         3.38   

CFS Bancorp, Inc.

     8.94         12.18         13.22         9.23         7.90         25.57         2.36         27.68         62.21         10.11   

Citizens Community Bancorp (1)

     9.16         10.74         11.50         3.30         2.65         29.66         0.98         58.53         0.16         41.31   

Citizens South Banking Corp.

     9.89         15.44         16.70         3.42         3.19         21.68         1.65         25.06         66.82         8.12   

Community Financial Corp. (1)

     9.32         11.03         12.28         6.45         7.56         29.69         1.92         31.89         49.83         18.28   

First Savings Financial Group, Inc.

     8.26         11.94         13.03         1.63         1.49         67.44         1.20         48.06         38.37         13.57   

Home Bancorp, Inc.

     15.46         22.85         23.65         0.59         0.32         186.32         0.91         30.98         52.38         16.64   

HopFed Bancorp, Inc.

     9.37         15.37         16.22         2.65         1.41         34.52         2.34         31.11         57.00         11.89   

Jefferson Bancshares, Inc.

     8.45         12.32         13.58         4.24         4.67         45.29         1.96         29.95         53.96         16.09   

Teche Holding Company

     8.54         12.69         13.94         2.23         2.22         57.26         1.78         54.24         31.51         14.25   

 

(1) As of or for the LTM ended December 31, 2010.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank; SNL Financial; Feldman Financial.

 

69


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

III. MARKET VALUE ADJUSTMENTS

General Overview

This concluding chapter of the Appraisal identifies certain additional adjustments to the Bank’s estimated pro forma market value relative to the Comparative Group selected in Chapter II. The adjustments discussed in this chapter are made from the viewpoints of potential investors, which would include depositors holding subscription rights and unrelated parties who may purchase stock in a community offering. It is assumed that these potential investors are aware of all relevant and necessary facts as they would pertain to the value of the Bank relative to other publicly traded thrift institutions and relative to alternative investments.

Our appraised value is predicated on a continuation of the current operating environment for the Bank and thrift institutions in general. Changes in the Bank’s operating performance along with changes in the local and national economy, the stock market, interest rates, the regulatory environment, and other external factors may occur from time to time, often with great unpredictability, which could impact materially the pro forma market value of the Bank or thrift stocks in general. Therefore, the Valuation Range provided herein is subject to a more current re-evaluation prior to the actual completion of the Conversion.

In addition to the comparative operating fundamentals discussed in Chapter II, it is important to address additional market value adjustments based on certain financial and other criteria, which include, among other factors:

 

  (1) Earnings Prospects

 

  (2) Financial Condition

 

  (3) Market Area

 

  (4) Management

 

  (5) Dividend Policy

 

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FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

  (6) Liquidity of the Issue

 

  (7) Subscription Interest

 

  (8) Recent Acquisition Activity

 

  (9) Effect of Government Regulations and Regulatory Reform

 

  (10) Stock Market Conditions

 

  (11) New Issue Discount

Earnings Prospects

Earnings prospects are dependent upon the sensitivity of asset yields and liability costs to changes in market rates, the credit quality of assets, the stability of non-interest components of income and expense, and the ability to leverage the balance sheet. Each of the foregoing is an important factor for investors in assessing earnings prospects. The Bank’s profitability in recent years has declined steadily due to a combination of earnings fundamentals reflecting a narrowing net interest margin and increased loan loss provisions.

ASB’s core earnings compared unfavorably to the Comparative Group for the recent LTM period. The Bank’s core earnings amounted to negative 1.25% of average assets versus the Comparative Group median of positive 0.25%. The Bank’s lower net interest margin and higher level of loan loss provisions were the chief factors contributing to the Bank’s earnings disadvantage. As discussed earlier, the Bank’s net interest margin has been restrained by the increased liquidity on its balance sheet. The Bank’s yield on earning assets was 4.36% for the LTM ended March 31, 2011, markedly lower than the Comparative Group median of 5.34%. The earning asset yield limitation contributed to the Bank’s net interest spread of 2.69% trailing the Comparative Group median of 3.57%. The Bank intends to continue to emphasize residential and commercial mortgage lending as a means of increasing its ratio of loans to assets and improving its earnings potential. However, this objective is challenged by the current economic

 

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environment, existing credit quality issues that must be resolved, and persistently low loan demand. The Bank has taken steps to strengthen its ability to compete for loan opportunities and increase its market share. Simultaneously, the Bank is monitoring its interest rate risk exposure to rising rates as it seeks to deploy excess liquidity into loans or higher yielding investments.

Asset expansion over the past decade allowed the Bank to leverage its operating structure and reap the benefits of improved efficiency in the form of a declining operating expense ratio. However, as asset growth stalled due to loan portfolio shrinkage, the Bank’s operating expenses continued to grow on the same level of assets. In addition, Bank’s operating expenses will increase following the Conversion as result of the stock-benefit plans.

Generation of fee income has been a historical strength of the Bank. ASB derives steady non-interest revenue from overdraft protection, mortgage banking operations, debit card interchange fees, deposit service charges, and investment advisory income. Recent regulatory changes will place increased pressure on the ability to expand its non-interest revenue at historical growth rates.

The Bank reported profitable operations for the quarter ended March 31, 2011, registering net income of $585,000 for an annualized ROA of 0.32%. An important challenge confronting the Bank is returning to consistent profitability in the face of the credit quality issues it is currently addressing. In 2009 and 2010, the Bank’s net interest income did not exceed its non-interest expense. Thus, with such a narrow net interest margin, the Bank’s profitability is very susceptible to adverse interest rate movements or elevated credit-related losses in the near term given its current balance sheet structure. Additionally, in an effort to expand its lending activity and improve its franchise penetration in local and other contiguous markets, the Bank is likely to

 

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encounter increased competition which will place additional pressure on operating margins. The Bank’s increased capital position following the Conversion will help to improve its net interest margin across changing interest rate and business cycles and provide additional leverage capacity to grow the balance sheet. However, based on the Bank’s current earnings fundamentals and recent operating results, we believe that a slight downward adjustment is warranted to the Bank’s pro forma market value for fundamental earnings prospects relative to the Comparative Group.

Financial Condition

As discussed and summarized in Chapter I, the Bank’s overall loan composition reflects a solid concentration of residential and commercial mortgage loans. Because of unfavorable credit performance experience, the Bank has suspended its speculative construction lending and indirect automobile financing. In addition to continuing to emphasize its residential and commercial mortgage lending activity, the Bank seeks to expand its commercial and industrial loan portfolio. The shrinkage of the overall loan portfolio has contributed to a buildup of investment securities on the balance sheet. The Bank’s ratio of net loans to assets measured 63.1% of assets at March 31, 2011, compared to the Comparative Group median of 67.3%. The Bank’s ratio of cash and securities to assets measured 31.3% of assets at March 31, 2011, compared to the Comparative Group median of 23.4%. Based on the financial comparisons reviewed in the prior chapter, we note that the Bank’s balance sheet structure is very similar to that of the Comparative Group on the whole, with the notable exception of the larger liquidity concentration.

The Bank’s ratio of non-performing loans to total loans was comparable to the Comparative Group median; however, its ratio of total non-performing assets (including

 

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restructured loans) was higher than the Comparative Group median. The Bank’s level of reserves has been fortified by the sizable provision for loan losses during 2010 and reflects higher coverage ratios in relation to total loans and non-performing versus that of the Comparative Group. Before the infusion of net capital proceeds, the Bank’s equity ratio at 8.43% of assets was in range of the Comparative Group median of 9.79% and should likely surpass this median on a pro forma basis.

The selection criteria for the Comparative Group ensured a collection of companies with solid capital positions and generally satisfactory asset quality, similar to the Bank. We believe that the balance sheet, asset quality, and funding structure fundamentals of the Bank are largely similar to that of the Comparative Group. Therefore, on the whole, we believe that no additional adjustment is warranted for the Bank’s financial condition relative to the Comparative Group.

Market Area

The members of the Comparative Group were drawn from the Southern, Midwestern, and Mid-Atlantic regions of the country. The selection criteria parameters produced one public thrift operating in the Bank’s home state of North Carolina (Citizens South Banking Corp. based in Gastonia), along with five other companies from Southern states (Community Financial in Virginia, HopFed Bancorp in Kentucky, and Home Bancorp and Teche Holding Company in Louisiana). The Comparative Group companies are characterized by a cross-section of market areas that encompass smaller to mid-sized metropolitan areas with relatively stable economies, steady housing values, and moderate population growth prospects, very similar to that experienced by the Bank’s market area. In recognition of these factors, we believe that no adjustment is warranted for market area.

 

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Management

Management’s principal challenges are to generate profitable results, monitor credit risks, and control operating costs while the Bank competes in an increasingly challenging financial services environment. The normal challenges facing the Bank in attempting to deliver earnings growth and enhance its competitiveness remain paramount as it attempts to leverage the stock offering proceeds. The Bank has assembled a senior management team led by individuals who have been promoted from within and recruited externally where specific competencies were targeted. As reflected by its historical operating results, we believe that investors will take into account that the Bank is professionally and capably managed by an experienced management team. Investors will likely rely upon actual earnings results as the means of evaluating the future performance of ASB’s management as the Bank pursues its earnings and growth objectives following the Conversion. Therefore, based on these considerations, we believe no adjustment is warranted relative to the Comparative Group for this factor.

Dividend Policy

Following the Conversion, the Board of Directors of ASB will consider adopting a policy of paying cash dividends. However, there is no guarantee that the Company will pay dividends or that, if paid, dividends will not be reduced or eliminated in the future. The Board of Directors may declare and pay periodic special cash dividends in addition to, or in lieu of, regular cash dividends. In determining whether to declare or pay any dividends, whether regular or special, the Board of Directors will take into account the Company’s and Bank’s financial condition and operating results, tax considerations, capital requirements, industry standards, applicable regulatory guidelines, and economic conditions.

 

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Payment of cash dividends has become commonplace among publicly traded thrifts with relatively high capital levels. Of the ten members of the Comparative Group, four currently pay regular cash dividends and another three companies previously paid regular cash dividends but have suspended the practice at the present time. The average dividend yield of the Comparative Group was 0.94% and the median was 0.00% as of May 9, 2011. The average dividend yield of the All Public Thrift aggregate was 1.59% and the median was 1.06% as of May 9, 2011. Although ASB has yet to establish a policy of paying regular cash dividends, we believe that investors will take note of its solid dividend-paying capacity as evidenced by strong pro forma capital ratios. Therefore, we have concluded that no adjustment was warranted for purposes of dividend policy.

Liquidity of the Issue

With the increased number of market makers and institutional investors following thrift stocks, the majority of thrift stock conversions are able to develop a public market for their new stock issues. Most publicly traded thrift stocks continue to be traded on the NASDAQ market. Nine of the ten members of the Comparative Group are listed on the NASDAQ market, with Teche Holding Company listed on the NYSE Amex exchange. In conjunction with the Conversion, ASB will apply to have its common stock listed on the NASDAQ market.

The number of active buyers and sellers of shares of common stock at any particular time may be limited, which may have an adverse effect on the price at which shares of common stock can be sold. In order to list its shares on NASDAQ, the Company must have at least three broker-dealers who will make a market in the common stock following the Conversion. The development of a public market having the desirable characteristics of depth, liquidity and

 

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orderliness is facilitated by trading on an active exchange such as the NASDAQ market. Therefore, we have concluded the no adjustment to the Bank’s pro forma market value is warranted for anticipated liquidity of its common stock issue.

Subscription Interest

ASB has retained the services of Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc. to assist in the marketing and sale of the stock offering. The Bank’s employee stock ownership plan (“ESOP”) plans to purchase 8.0% of the amount of stock to be sold in the stock offering. ASB expects its directors, executive officers and their associates, to purchase 160,500 shares of common stock in the offering for an aggregate amount of approximately $1.6 million based on a $10.00 offering price per share. Except for the ESOP, no person may purchase in the aggregate more than $300,000 of the common stock, or 30,000 shares sold in the offering. No person, either alone or together with associates of or persons acting in concert with such person, may purchase more than $500,000 of the common stock, or 50,000 shares sold in the offering. The minimum purchase in the offering will be 25 shares or an aggregate amount of $250.

Recent subscription interest in thrift stock conversion offerings has been solid and broad-based. Three thrift stock conversion offerings were completed in the month of April 2011 and each offering was oversubscribed and closed at the adjusted maximum of the valuation range. Until recently over the prior twelve months, while a few conversion offering experienced robust interest and received orders above the maximum offering amount, most converting thrifts had moderately exceeded the minimum of offering ranges and two conversion transactions had been deferred due to an inability to sell sufficient shares. As evident, subscription interest is cyclical and influenced by general stock market conditions and the overall economic outlook. As shown

 

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later in Table 27, the after-market performance of recently converted thrifts has also been mixed with the NASDAQ issues outperforming the over-the-counter (“OTC”) issues. We are not currently aware of any meaningful market evidence or characteristics that may help predict the likely level of interest in ASB’s subscription offering. Accordingly, absent actual results of the subscription offering, we believe that subscription interest is currently a neutral factor and at present requires no further adjustment.

Recent Acquisition Activity

Table 25 summarizes recent acquisition activity involving banks and thrifts based in North Carolina. HomeTrust Bank, a mutual thrift based in Asheville, has continued to expand through mergers with other mutual thrifts. The largest recent acquisition of a North Carolina bank or thrift involved the purchase in December 2008 of Wachovia Corporation by Wells Fargo & Company. Several mid-sized banks, ranging in asset size from $500 million to $2 billion, have also been acquired.

Many of the recent bank acquisition transactions were characterized by sellers experiencing financial difficulties and subsequently being acquired or recapitalized in change of control transactions at prices below book value. However, this profile of the merger and acquisition environment is occurring nationwide as premiums in bank and thrift acquisitions have been pushed downward to historically low levels. The articles of incorporation and bylaws of the Company and certain regulations may prevent or make more difficult an involuntary acquisition of the Company. Accordingly, at the present time, we do not believe that acquisition premiums are a significant factor to consider in determining the Company’s pro forma market value.

 

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Table 25

Summary of Recent North Carolina Acquisition Activity

Transactions Announced Since January 1, 2008

 

                        Seller’s Prior Financial Data                          Offer Value to  

Buyer

   State     

Seller

   B/T
(1)
     Total
Assets
($Mil.)
     Equity/
Assets
(%)
     YTD
ROA
(%)
    YTD
ROE
(%)
    Date
Anncd.
     Status
(2)
     Offer
Value
($Mil.)
     Book
Value
(%)
     Tang.
Book
(%)
     LTM
EPS
(x)
     Total
Assets
(%)
 

Average

              58,428.9         13.20         (2.01     (12.18     NA         NA         1,400.4         82.7         88.9         42.4         9.89   

Median

              163.7         9.31         (0.80     (9.26     NA         NA         30.6         79.0         79.5         51.5         9.64   
                                                                                                         

FNB United Corp.

     NC       Bank of Granite Corporation      B         875.8         2.78         (2.40     (64.11     04/26/11         P         13.0         53.4         53.4         NM         1.49   

Piedmont Community Bank

     NC       Crescent Financial Corp.      B         973.0         8.12         (1.00     (11.18     02/23/11         P         30.6         77.3         77.7         NM         11.36   

American National Bankshares

     VA       MidCarolina Financial Corp.      B         552.3         7.60         0.21        2.88        12/15/10         P         38.7         104.1         104.1         52.3         7.00   

Piedmont Community Bank

     NC       Community Bank of Rowan      B         149.5         6.87         (0.60     (8.13     11/19/10         C         10.0         97.8         97.8         NM         7.92   

North American Fin’l Holdings

     NC       Capital Bank Corporation      B         1,694.3         7.41         (2.19     (27.23     11/03/10         C         41.3         80.7         81.4         NM         11.67   

HomeTrust Bank

     NC       Cherryville Federal S&LA (3)      T         100.7         14.36         0.55        3.84        05/20/10         C         NA         NA         NA         NA         NA   

HomeTrust Bank

     NC       Industrial FSB (3)      T         168.4         24.79         1.01        4.02        10/13/09         C         NA         NA         NA         NA         NA   

Piedmont Community Bank

     NC       VantageSouth Bank      B         96.4         7.58         (1.46     (18.96     06/10/09         C         NA         84.6         84.6         NM         12.40   

Carolina Trust Bank

     NC       Carolina Commerce Bank      B         103.5         9.49         (1.67     (17.47     06/03/09         C         5.2         53.4         53.4         NM         5.06   

Four Oaks Fincorp, Inc.

     NC       Nuestro Banco      B         16.8         54.66         (20.28     (30.50     04/29/09         C         2.7         29.1         29.1         NM         15.90   

First Community Bancshares

     VA       TriStone Community Bank      B         152.4         9.37         (0.19     (1.76     04/02/09         C         8.3         58.2         58.2         NM         5.45   

Wells Fargo & Company

     CA       Wachovia Corporation      B         812,433.0         9.25         (1.03     (10.40     10/03/08         C         15,127.2         23.1         57.3         NM         1.86   

Yadkin Valley Fin’l Corp.

     NC       American Community Bancshs      B         529.9         10.34         0.57        5.34        09/09/08         C         94.4         167.5         206.2         23.4         17.82   

First Community Bancshares

     VA       Coddle Creek Financial Corp.      T         158.9         12.25         0.38        3.16        07/31/08         C         33.0         163.3         163.3         51.5         20.79   

 

(1) B=bank; T=thrift.
(2) P=pending; C=completed.
(3) Merger involving two mutual thrift institutions.

Source: SNL Financial.

 

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Effect of Government Regulations and Regulatory Reform

In response to the financial crisis of 2008 and early 2009, Congress has taken actions that are intended to strengthen confidence and encourage liquidity in financial institutions. The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act was enacted on July 21, 2010, and provides for new restrictions and an expanded framework of regulatory oversight for financial institutions and their holding companies. The legislation also provides for the creation of a consumer financial protection bureau that will have broad authority to issue regulations governing the services and products provided by financial institutions. The implemented legislation could increase compliance costs, raise regulatory capital requirements, alter loan loss provisioning practices, and otherwise adversely impact operations of banks and thrifts. The potential also exists for additional federal or state laws and regulations, or changes in policy, affecting lending and funding practices and liquidity standards.

As a fully converted stock thrift insured by the FDIC and supervised by its primary regulators, ASB will continue to operate in the same regulatory environment that is substantially similar to that faced by the Comparative Group companies. As of March 31, 2011, the Bank was considered well capitalized, similar to all the members of the Comparative Group. Therefore, given these factors, we believe that no specific adjustment is necessary for the effect of government regulations and regulatory reform.

Stock Market Conditions

Table 26 displays the performance of the SNL All Public Thrift, SNL All Southeast Thrift, SNL $500 Million to $1 Billion-Asset Thrift indexes, as compared to the Dow Jones Industrials Average Standard & Poor’s 500-Stock Index (“S&P 500”) over various periods.

 

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Following the stock market turmoil in 2008 related to the systemic financial crisis, the overall market rebounded in 2009 and 2010 while the various public thrift indexes were generally more sluggish. The All Public Thrift Index declined by 38.2% in 2008, parallel with the 38.5% decline in the S&P 500. The All Public Thrift Index declined further by 10.2% in 2009, while the S&P 500 rebounded firmly and advanced 23.5% in 2009. While the broader market staged a strong rally in 2009, the financial sector continued to suffer due to intensifying credit losses and mounting failures of distressed institutions.

The All Public Thrift Index stabilized in 2010 with a change of 0.9%, while the SNL $500 Million-$1 Billion-Asset Thrift Index increased by 7.4%. The Southeast Thrift Index continued to decline in 2010, as many of the region’s financial institutions were beset with asset quality problems related to widespread collapses of real estate construction and development markets.

Table 26

Comparative Stock Index Performance

 

Index

   12/31/08-
12/31/09
    12/31/09-
12/31/10
    12/31/10-
05/09/11
    12/31/08-
05/09/11
 

SNL All Public Thrifts

     -10.2     0.9     -5.2     -14.2

SNL Thrifts $500 Mil.-$1 Bil. Assets

     -8.3     7.4     7.7     6.1

SNL Southeast Thrifts

     -39.2     -8.9     5.8     -41.4

SNL NASDAQ Thrifts

     -12.0     -4.2     -3.8     -18.8

Dow Jones Industrials Average

     18.8     11.0     9.6     44.5

S&P 500 Stock Index

     23.5     12.8     7.1     49.1

Source: SNL Financial.

 

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As the banking industry showed increased signs of stabilizing into 2010, the public thrift indexes fared better through the first of half of 2010. However, commencing in the month of July 2010, there was a major sell-off in financial stocks. Trading prices of banks and thrifts fell on the lack of consensus regarding the prospects for economic growth and increased uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s capacity to revive the stumbling economic recovery. The declining market in the summer months also reflected concerns of a potential “double dip” in the U.S. economy, as growth in consumer spending slowed and unemployment remained at historically high levels. Trading prices of bank and thrift stocks turned weaker again in October 2010 on the heels of negative industry news concerning improper mortgage foreclosure practices and fraudulent documentation. Through the first quarter of calendar 2011, financial stocks staged a rally, spurred by more favorable industry earnings developments. However, concerns about the sustainability of the economic recovery, underpinned by rising oil prices, stalled the rally in the spring and most thrift stock indexes have turned negative based on year-to-date performance.

The FDIC recently reported that the thrift industry reported positive earnings of $1.86 billion for the first quarter of 2011. The first quarter profit of $1.86 billion was down from $2.18 billion in the previous quarter and from $2.05 billion in the first quarter one year earlier. Profitability as measured by ROA was 0.59% in the first quarter, as compared to 0.70% in the fourth quarter of 2010, and 0.65% in the first quarter a year ago. While net interest margins were higher and provisions for loan losses were lower, these benefits were offset by increased operating expenses for the first quarter of 2011. Slight improvements in asset quality were apparent as total non-performing assets (non-current loans, restructured loans, and real estate owned) decreased to 3.81% of assets at the end of the first quarter from 3.95% at the end of the previous quarter and from 3.86% from one year earlier.

 

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Thrift industry earnings results for the first quarter of 2011 were sustained by improving net interest margins, but continue to be dampened by loan loss provisions. The thrift industry continued to prepare for future asset quality challenges by building its provision for loan losses. Simultaneously, the industry also managed to maintain a solid capital cushion, with equity capital measuring 11.58% of assets at the end of the first quarter, up from 11.09% a year earlier. Nonetheless, industry challenges remain as the number of “problem” institutions (including both banks and thrifts) as reported by the FDIC increased to 888, the highest since March 31, 1993, when there were 928. Therefore, we continue to believe the uncertain industry environment and the volatile swings in the market for bank and thrift stocks warrant a downward adjustment.

New Issue Discount

A “new issue” discount that reflects investor concerns and investment risks inherent in all initial public offerings (“IPOs”) is a factor to be considered for purposes of valuing converting thrifts. The magnitude of the new issue discount typically expands during periods of declining thrift stock prices as investors require larger inducements, and narrows during strong market conditions. The thrift conversion market continues to respond to the after-market performance of recent offerings. Table 27 presents a summary of standard full conversion offerings since January 1, 2010.

Thrift stock conversion activity had diminished considerably in the wake of the sharp marked downturn in market conditions. There were only four standard conversion offerings in 2008, followed by three such transactions in 2009. Thrift conversion activity accelerated in 2010 as improved market conditions in the first half of the year, increased regulatory uncertainty, and mounting capital pressures converged to stimulate interest in the conversion market. Twelve

 

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standard thrift conversions were completed in 2010, followed by five such offerings thus far in 2011. The recent after-market price performance of standard thrift conversion IPOs has been mixed. Of the 17 standard conversion offerings completed since January 1, 2010, the average and median one-week price changes were 7.6% and 7.5%, respectively. The after-market performance for thrift conversions traded on NASDAQ exhibited average and median one-week price changes of 9.9% and 14.0%, respectively, while the OTC conversion issues displayed average and median one-week price changes of 5.0% and 0.0%, respectively. As shown in Table 27, the cumulative price changes for all conversion issues were an average of 30.2% and median of 35.3%

The pro forma pricing ratios for the recent standard conversion offerings indicated an average and median price-to-book value ratios of 51.5% and 53.6%, respectively. The average and median pro forma price-to-tangible book value ratios were 52.1% and 54.2%, respectively. The average and median pro forma price-to-LTM earnings ratios were 25.7x and 23.7x, respectively. However, approximately half of the companies reported not meaningful (“NM”) ratios on a P/E basis due to negative or extremely low levels of pro forma earnings.

Accordingly, thrift conversions continue to be priced at discounts to publicly traded companies. This is due to the relatively high pro forma equity ratios, expected low returns on equity, and the uncertainty regarding the prospects of an institution to leverage the balance sheet prudently and effectively in the current low interest rate environment and against the backdrop of unsteady real estate market conditions. Moreover, the uneven after-market price performance of thrift IPOs provides added reason to continue to factor in a new issue discount for valuation of current thrift IPOs.

 

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Table 27

Summary of Recent Standard Conversion Stock Offerings

Transactions Completed Since January 1, 2010

 

                                    Pro Forma Ratios                    After-Market Trading
Price Change
       

Company

   State    Stock
Exchange
   IPO
Conv.
Date
     Total
Assets
($Mil.)
     Gross
Offering
Proceeds
($Mil.)
     Price/
Book
Value
(%)
     Price/
Tang.
Book
(%)
     Price/
LTM
EPS
(x)
     IPO
Price
($)
     5/09/11
Closing
Price
($)
     One
Day
(%)
    One
Week
(%)
    One
Month
(%)
    Change
Through
5/09/11
(%)
 

Average - All Standard Offerings

   NA    NA      NA         319.1         33.2         51.5         52.1         25.7         NA         NA         7.3        7.6        8.5        30.2   

Median - All Standard Offerings

   NA    NA      NA         233.9         17.3         53.6         54.2         23.7         NA         NA         3.9        7.5        7.5        35.3   
                                                                                                                    

Average - NASDAQ

   NA    NA      NA         504.2         55.5         54.0         54.9         22.7         NA         NA         11.1        9.9        10.9        34.0   

Median - NASDAQ

   NA    NA      NA         395.8         34.8         58.0         58.0         20.8         NA         NA         16.0        14.0        7.2        39.9   

Average - OTC

   NA    NA      NA         110.9         8.1         48.8         48.9         28.1         NA         NA         3.1        5.0        6.1        25.9   

Median - OTC

   NA    NA      NA         90.7         6.1         44.0         44.0         22.5         NA         NA         0.0        0.0        5.0        12.5   
                                                                                                                    

Franklin Financial Corporation

   VA    NASDAQ      04/28/11         980.7         138.9         58.0         58.0         NM         10.00         11.88         19.7        18.5        NA        18.8   

Sunshine Financial Inc.

   FL    OTC      04/06/11         149.9         12.3         49.5         50.0         49.4         10.00         11.25         12.5        13.5        15.0        12.5   

Fraternity Community Bancorp, Inc.

   MD    OTC      04/01/11         169.7         15.9         53.6         53.6         NM         10.00         10.55         12.6        11.7        10.0        5.5   

Anchor Bancorp

   WA    NASDAQ      01/26/11         522.2         25.5         37.7         37.7         38.5         10.00         10.00         0.0        0.0        4.5        0.0   

Wolverine Bancorp, Inc.

   MI    NASDAQ      01/20/11         307.6         25.1         40.2         40.2         NM         10.00         14.50         24.5        20.0        35.0        45.0   

SP Bancorp, Inc.

   TX    NASDAQ      11/01/10         233.9         17.3         55.9         55.9         NM         10.00         11.99         (6.0     (6.2     (9.9     19.9   

Madison Bancorp, Inc.

   MD    OTC      10/07/10         150.7         6.1         44.0         44.0         NM         10.00         10.00         0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0   

Standard Financial Corp.

   PA    NASDAQ      10/07/10         395.8         34.8         49.4         57.0         10.7         10.00         15.34         19.0        18.5        29.5        53.4   

Century Next Financial Corp.

   LA    OTC      10/01/10         90.7         10.6         61.5         61.5         21.4         10.00         16.00         0.0        15.0        10.0        60.0   

United-American Savings Bank

   PA    OTC      08/06/10         60.2         3.0         54.2         54.2         23.7         10.00         13.05         0.0        (5.0     5.0        30.5   

Peoples Federal Bancshares, Inc.

   MA    NASDAQ      07/07/10         487.7         66.1         65.2         65.2         27.8         10.00         13.99         4.0        7.5        4.2        39.9   

Fairmount Bancorp, Inc.

   MD    OTC      06/03/10         67.3         4.4         44.0         44.0         10.1         10.00         16.00         0.0        5.0        10.0        60.0   

Harvard Illinois Bancorp, Inc.

   IL    OTC      04/09/10         157.2         7.8         43.1         43.1         NM         10.00         9.90         0.0        0.0        (1.0     (1.0

OBA Financial Services, Inc.

   MD    NASDAQ      01/22/10         357.9         46.3         59.4         59.4         NM         10.00         14.75         3.9        1.5        3.0        47.5   

OmniAmerican Bancorp, Inc.

   TX    NASDAQ      01/21/10         1,006.3         119.0         62.0         62.0         NM         10.00         14.58         18.5        14.0        9.9        45.8   

Versailles Financial Corporation

   OH    OTC      01/11/10         41.6         4.3         40.5         40.5         36.0         10.00         14.00         0.0        0.0        0.0        40.0   

Athens Bancshares Corporation

   TN    NASDAQ      01/07/10         246.0         26.8         58.0         58.8         13.9         10.00         13.53         16.0        15.0        10.6        35.3   

Source: SNL Financial.

 

85


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Adjustments Conclusion

It is our opinion that the Bank’s pro forma market value should be discounted relative to the Comparative Group because of factors associated with earnings prospects, stock market conditions, and the new issue discount. Individual discounts and premiums are not necessarily additive and may, to some extent, offset or overlay each other. Currently, converting thrifts are often valued at meaningful discounts to peer institutions relative to price-to-book and price-to-earnings ratios. It is the judgment of the appraiser to balance the relative dynamics of price-to-book and price-to-earnings discounts or premiums.

Valuation Approach

In determining the estimated pro forma market value of ASB, we have employed the comparative company approach and considered the following pricing ratios: price-to-earnings per share (“P/E”), price-to-book value per share (“P/B”), price-to-tangible book value per share (“P/TB”), and price-to-assets (“P/A”). Table 28 presents the trading market valuation ratios of the Comparative Group and All Public Thrift averages and medians as of May 9, 2011. As shown in Table 28, the average and median P/B ratios for the Comparative Group were 66.6% and 67.2%, respectively. The average and median P/TB ratios for the Comparative Group were 68.8% and 72.5%, respectively. The average and median P/E ratios for the Comparative Group were 17.2x and 18.3x, respectively. On a core earnings basis, average and median core P/E ratios of the Comparative Group were 22.5x and 19.0x, respectively. Four of the Comparative Group companies reported P/E ratios that were either negative due to losses or distortedly high due to low levels of profitability. Such ratios are represented as not meaningful and were not utilized for comparative valuation analysis.

 

86


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Investors continue to make decisions to purchase thrift conversion stocks and more seasoned thrift issues based upon consideration of core earnings profitability and P/B comparisons. The P/E ratio remains an important valuation ratio in the current thrift stock market environment. However, as noted above, the P/E ratio is not useful for companies reporting negative earnings such as ASB. The Bank’s LTM earnings for the period ended March 31, 2011 amounted to negative $9.3 million. On a core earnings basis, which excludes the Bank’s gain on sales of investments, the Bank’s LTM core earnings amounted to negative $9.5 million. Therefore, in the absence of meaningful earnings results, more reliance is on placed on the P/B and P/TB ratios to determine trading valuation benchmarks.

Based on our comparative financial and valuation analyses, we concluded that the Bank should be discounted relative to the trading valuation ratios of the overall Comparative Group. In consideration of the foregoing factors along with the additional adjustments discussed in this chapter, we have determined a pro forma P/B and P/TB ratio of 53.9% for the Bank, which reflects an aggregate midpoint value of $63.0 million based on the assumptions summarized in Exhibit IV. Employing a range of 15% above and below the midpoint, the resulting minimum value of approximately $53.6 million reflects a 49.3% P/B ratio and the resulting maximum value of approximately $72.5 million reflects a 57.9% P/B ratio. The adjusted maximum, computed as an additional 15.0% above the maximum, is positioned at approximately $83.3 million and a P/B ratio of 62.0%. The Bank’s pro forma P/B and P/TB ratios are equivalent due to the absence of any intangible assets on the Bank’s balance sheet.

The Bank’s pro forma midpoint P/B ratio of 53.9% reflects a discount of 19.8% to the Comparative Group average P/B ratio of 66.6% and a discount of 19.1% to the Comparative

 

87


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Group median P/B ratio of 67.2%. At the adjusted maximum, the Bank’s pro forma P/B ratio of 62.0% is positioned at a 6.9% discount to the Comparative Group average and 7.7% discount to the Comparative Group median. Also, at the adjusted maximum, the Bank’s pro forma P/TB ratio of 62.0% is positioned at a 9.9% discount to the corresponding Comparative Group average of 68.8% and 14.5% discount to the Comparative Group median of 72.5%. Based on the Valuation Range as indicated above, the Bank’s pro forma P/E ratios reflected negative values represented as NM or not meaningful due to the Bank’s negative earnings position.

Based on the price-to-assets valuation metric, the Bank’s pro forma midpoint of $63.0 million reflects a corresponding P/A ratio of 7.83%, ranging from 6.73% at the pro forma valuation minimum to 8.92% and 10.14% at the maximum and adjusted maximum, respectively. The Bank’s stronger capitalization level on a pro forma basis resulted in P/A ratio premiums range in contrast to the Comparative Group average P/A ratio of 6.85% and median P/A ratio of 5.53%.

On a pro forma basis, the Company’s ratio of equity to assets ranges from 13.64% at the valuation minimum and 14.52% at the midpoint to 15.39% and 16.36% at the maximum and adjusted maximum, respectively. However, we note that the Bank’s higher pro forma P/A valuation ratios are also indicative of the challenge facing the Bank in generating a competitive ROA and ROE and advancing the other valuation metrics to trading market levels.

 

88


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Valuation Conclusion

It is our opinion that, as of May 9, 2011, the aggregate estimated pro forma market value of the Bank on a fully converted basis was within a Valuation Range of $53,550,000 to $72,450,000 with a midpoint of $63,000,000. The Valuation Range was based upon a 15% decrease from the midpoint to determine the minimum and a 15% increase to establish the maximum. An additional 15% increase above the maximum results in an adjusted maximum of $83,317,500.

Exhibit IV-1 displays the assumptions utilized in calculating the pro forma financial consequences of the stock offering. Exhibit IV-2 displays the pro forma financial data at each level of the Valuation Range. Exhibit IV-3 provides more detailed data at the maximum valuation. Exhibit IV-4 compares the Bank’s pro forma valuation ratios with the averages and medians reported by the Comparative Group and All Public Thrifts.

 

89


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Table 28

Comparative Pro Forma Market Valuation Analysis

Asheville Saving Bank, S.S.B. and the Comparative Group

Computed from Market Price Data as of May 9, 2011

 

Company

   Current
Stock
Price
($)
     Total
Market
Value
($Mil.)
     Price/
LTM
EPS
(x)
     Price/
Core
EPS
(x)
     Price/
Book
Value
(%)
     Price/
Tang.
Book
(%)
     Price/
Total
Assets
(%)
     Total
Equity/
Assets
(%)
     Tang.
Equity/
Assets
(%)
     Current
Dividend
Yield
(%)
 

Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B.(1)

                             

Pro Forma Minimum

     10.00         53.6         NM         NM         49.3         49.3         6.73         13.64         13.64         0.00   

Pro Forma Midpoint

     10.00         63.0         NM         NM         53.9         53.9         7.83         14.52         14.52         0.00   

Pro Forma Maximum

     10.00         72.5         NM         NM         57.9         57.9         8.92         15.39         15.39         0.00   

Pro Forma Adj. Maximum

     10.00         83.3         NM         NM         62.0         62.0         10.14         16.36         16.36         0.00   

Comparative Group Average

     NA         51.4         17.2         22.5         66.6         68.8         6.85         10.46         10.19         0.94   

Comparative Group Median

     NA         48.7         18.3         19.0         67.2         72.5         5.53         9.79         9.41         0.00   

All Public Thrift Average(2)

     NA         339.1         20.7         24.7         80.8         87.2         9.37         11.85         11.15         1.59   

All Public Thrift Median(2)

     NA         63.3         17.9         17.1         82.3         85.1         8.66         10.98         10.00         1.06   

Comparative Group

                             

BCSB Bancorp, Inc.

     13.37         42.7         NM         NM         84.6         84.7         6.83         8.08         8.07         0.00   

CFS Bancorp, Inc.

     5.49         59.7         18.3         19.3         52.5         52.5         5.22         9.94         9.94         0.73   

Citizens Community Bancorp, Inc.

     5.25         26.8         NM         NM         51.8         52.6         4.63         8.93         8.81         0.00   

Citizens South Banking Corporation

     4.75         54.7         NM         NM         76.2         77.8         5.35         8.86         8.72         0.84   

Community Financial Corporation

     3.14         13.7         20.9         20.9         37.3         37.3         2.66         9.29         9.29         0.00   

First Savings Financial Group, Inc.

     16.00         37.9         11.3         8.3         67.6         79.2         7.39         10.93         9.48         0.00   

Home Bancorp, Inc.

     14.79         119.6         23.9         18.6         90.2         91.4         17.08         18.93         18.73         0.00   

HopFed Bancorp, Inc.

     8.20         60.2         18.2         57.2         66.7         67.2         5.70         10.08         10.02         3.90   

Jefferson Bancshares, Inc.

     3.45         22.9         NM         NM         41.0         42.6         3.96         9.67         9.34         0.00   

Teche Holding Company

     36.41         75.9         10.9         10.9         97.8         102.7         9.70         9.92         9.49         3.95   

 

(1)

Pro forma ratios assume sale of 100% of the to-be-outstanding common stock, reflecting gross proceeds of $53.6 million at the minimum, $63.0 million at the midpoint, $72.5 million at the maximum, and $83.3 million at the adjusted maximum of the valuation range.

(2)

Excludes companies subject to mutual holding company ownership or pending acquisition.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank; SNL Financial; Feldman Financial.

 

90


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit I

Background of Feldman Financial Advisors, Inc.

Overview of Firm

Feldman Financial Advisors provides consulting and advisory services to financial institutions and mortgage companies in the areas of corporate valuations, mergers and acquisitions, strategic planning, branch sales and purchases, developing and implementing regulatory business and capital plans, and expert witness testimony and analysis. Our senior staff members have been involved in the stock conversion process since 1982 and have valued more than 350 converting institutions.

Feldman Financial Advisors was incorporated in February 1996 by a group of consultants who were previously associated with Credit Suisse First Boston and Kaplan Associates. Each of the principals at Feldman Financial Advisors has more than 10 years experience in consulting and all were officers of their prior firm. Our senior staff collectively has worked with more than 1,000 banks, thrifts and mortgage companies nationwide. The firm’s office is located in Washington, D.C.

Background of Senior Professional Staff

Trent Feldman - President. Trent is a nationally recognized expert in providing strategic advice to and valuing service companies, and advising on mergers and acquisitions. Trent was with Kaplan Associates for 14 years and was one of three founding principals at that firm. Trent also has worked at the Federal Home Loan Bank Board and with the California State Legislature. Trent holds Bachelors and Masters Degrees from the University of California at Los Angeles.

Peter Williams - Principal. Peter specializes in merger and acquisition analysis, stock and other corporate valuations, strategic business plans and retail delivery analysis. Peter was with Kaplan Associates for 13 years. Peter also served as a Corporate Planning Analyst with the Wilmington Trust Company in Delaware. Peter holds a BA in Economics from Yale University and an MBA in Finance and Investments from George Washington University.

Michael Green - Principal. Mike is an expert in mergers and acquisition analysis, financial institution and corporate valuations, and strategic and business plans. During Mike’s 10 years at Kaplan Associates, his experience also included business restructurings, litigation support, mark-to-market analysis, and goodwill valuations. Mike holds a BA in Finance and Economics from Rutgers College.

Greg Izydorczyk - Senior Vice President. Greg specializes in merger and acquisition analysis and corporate valuations and also has experience in mark-to-market analysis and business plans. Greg was with Kaplan Associates for three years. Previous, Greg worked as a Senior Auditor for First Virginia Bank and Integra Financial and as a Financial Analyst with Airbus Industrie of N.A. Greg holds a BS in Finance from Pennsylvania State University and an MBA in Finance from the Katz Graduate School, University of Pittsburgh.

 

I-1


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit II-1

Consolidated Balance Sheets

Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B.

As of December 31, 2009 and 2010 and March 31, 2011

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

     March 31,
2011
    December 31,  
       2010     2009  

ASSETS

      

Cash and due from banks

   $ 8,399      $ 7,836      $ 10,316   

Interest-bearing deposits with banks

     18,037        16,398        12,860   

Investment securities, available for sale

     198,596        175,445        90,057   

Investment securities, held to maturity

     5,720        5,948        6,958   

Federal Home Loan Bank stock

     3,970        3,970        3,993   

Loans receivable

     484,729        500,003        597,601   

Allowance for loan losses

     (12,632     (12,676     (8,994
                        

Loans receivable, net

     472,097        487,327        588,607   

Loans held for sale

     1,263        8,386        3,890   

Foreclosed real estate, net

     10,506        10,650        3,699   

Premises and equipment, net

     14,624        14,844        14,980   

Other assets

     17,497        19,161        13,947   
                        

TOTAL ASSETS

   $ 750,709      $ 749,965      $ 749,307   
                        

LIABILITIES AND EQUITY

      

Total deposits

   $ 616,586      $ 619,757      $ 608,538   

Federal Home Loan Bank advances

     60,000        60,000        60,000   

Overnight and short-term borrowings

     1,404        1,008        1,694   

Other liabilities

     9,424        6,319        5,426   
                        

Total liabilities

     687,414        687,084        675,658   
                        

Retained earnings

     67,107        66,522        75,950   

Accumulated other comprehensive loss, net

     (3,812     (3,641     (2,331
                        

Total equity

     63,295        62,881        73,649   
                        

TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY

   $ 750,709      $ 749,965      $ 749,307   
                        

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, financial statements.

 

II-1


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit II-2

Consolidated Income Statements

Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B.

For the Years Ended December 31, 2009 and 2010

And the Three Months Ended March 31, 2010 and 2011

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

     Three Months Ended
March 31,
     Year Ended
December 31,
 
       
     2011      2010      2010     2009  

Total interest and dividend income

   $ 7,382       $ 8,678       $ 32,815      $ 35,654   

Total interest expense

     2,304         3,051         11,444        14,772   
                                  

Net interest income

     5,078         5,627         21,371        20,882   

Provision for loan losses

     657         1,859         22,419        4,655   
                                  

Net interest income (loss) after provision

     4,421         3,768         (1,048     16,227   

Deposit and other service charge income

     846         942         3,688        3,612   

Income from debit card services

     295         262         1,176        998   

Mortgage banking income

     367         210         1,419        1,433   

Gain on sale of investment securities

     —           486         798        539   

Other non-interest income

     172         158         602        584   
                                  

Total non-interest income

     1,680         2,058         7,683        7,166   
                                  

Salaries and employee benefits

     2,530         2,584         9,652        10,374   

Occupancy expense, net

     753         761         3,099        3,018   

Foreclosed property expenses

     98         19         2,014        (20

Data processing fees

     418         352         1,511        1,557   

Federal deposit insurance premiums

     —           253         1,037        1,414   

Advertising

     139         42         805        834   

Professional and outside services

     238         158         778        652   

Other expenses

     809         785         3,271        3,242   
                                  

Total non-interest expense

     5,232         5,154         22,167        21,071   
                                  

Income (loss) before income tax provision

     869         672         (15,532     2,322   

Income tax provision (benefit)

     284         242         (6,074     791   
                                  

Net income (loss)

   $ 585       $ 430       $ (9,458   $ 1,531   
                                  

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, financial statements.

 

II-2


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit II-3

Loan Portfolio Composition

As of December 31, 2009 and 2010 and March 31, 2011

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

     March 31,
2011
    December 31,  
       2010     2009  
     Amount      Percent     Amount      Percent     Amount      Percent  

Commercial

               

Commercial mortgage

   $ 162,675         33.53   $ 164,553         32.88   $ 197,239         32.98

Construction & land development

     27,830         5.74        28,473         5.68        30,158         5.04   

Commercial and industrial

     15,764         3.25        17,656         3.53        22,794         3.81   
                                                   

Total

     206,269         42.52        210,682         42.10        250,191         41.83   

Non-commercial

               

Residential mortgage

   $ 177,846         36.65      $ 180,439         36.06      $ 190,965         31.93   

Construction & land development 1-4 family residential

     7,864         1.62        8,670         1.73        15,141         2.53   

Revolving mortgage

     52,042         10.73        53,432         10.68        55,038         9.20   

Consumer

     41,315         8.48        47,212         9.43        86,768         14.51   
                                                   

Total

     278,887         57.48        289,753         57.90        347,912         58.17   

Total loans

     485,156         100.00     500,435         100.00     598,103         100.00

Less:

               

Deferred loan origination fees

     427           432           502      

Allowance for loan losses

     12,632           12,676           8,994      
                                 

Loans receivable, net

   $ 472,097         $ 487,327         $ 588,607      
                                 

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus.

 

II-3


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit II-4

Net Loan Activity

For the Years Ended December 31, 2009 and 2010

And the Three Months Ended March 31, 2010 and 2011

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

     Three Months Ended     Year Ended  
     March 31,     December 31,  
     2011     2010     2010     2009  

Total loans at beginning of period

   $ 495,713      $ 592,497      $ 592,497      $ 586,618   

Loans originated

        

Commercial loans:

        

Commercial mortgage

     1,520        1,161        43,547        74,382   

Commercial and land development

     586        54        —          —     

Commercial and industrial

     450        881        7,737        10,742   

Non-commercial loans:

        

Residential mortgage

     29,463        28,715        121,439        131,017   

Commercial and land development

     618        —          15,845        12,142   

Revolving mortgage

     208        1,433        7,966        20,524   

Consumer

     88        123        523        26,248   
                                

Total loans originated

     32,933        32,367        197,057        275,055   

Loans purchased

        

Commercial loans:

        

Commercial mortgage

     —          18        2,191        6,209   

Commercial and land development

     104        26        41        —     
                                

Total loans purchased

     104        44        2,232        6,209   

Deduct:

        

Loan principal repayments

     28,966        28,021        163,910        151,368   

Loan sales

     25,468        15,958        97,103        116,352   

Foreclosed loans transferred to REO

     200        688        12,585        2,968   

Charge-offs

     804        1,817        18,863        2,193   

Deductions for other items (1)

     (48     70        3,612        2,504   
                                

Net loan activity

     (22,353     (14,143     (96,784     5,879   
                                

Total loans at end of period

   $ 473,360      $ 578,354      $ 495,713      $ 592,497   
                                

 

(1) Other items consist of fees, allowance for loan losses, and loans in process.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus.

 

II-4


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit II-5

Investment Portfolio Composition

As of December 31, 2009 and 2010 and March 31, 2011

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

     March 31,      December 31,  
     2011      2010      2009  
     Amortized
Cost
     Fair
Value
     Amortized
Cost
     Fair
Value
     Amortized
Cost
     Fair
Value
 

Securities available for sale

                 

U.S. government agencies and corporations

   $ 62,732       $ 62,250       $ 50,254       $ 50,043       $ 25,048       $ 25,108   

Mortgage-backed securities and related securities

     131,734         131,216         121,896         121,449         60,880         61,338   

State and local government

     4,494         4,460         3,379         3,287         1,026         1,030   

Other debt securities

     —           —           —           —           2,070         1,944   

Other equity securities

     669         670         664         666         641         637   
                                                     
     199,629         198,596         176,193         175,445         89,665         90,057   

Securities held to maturity

                 

U.S. government agencies and corporations

   $ 1,087       $ 1,151       $ 1,090       $ 1,168       $ 1,102       $ 1,096   

Mortgage-backed securities and related securities

     2,223         2,362         2,449         2,598         3,452         3,590   

State and local government

     2,410         2,484         2,409         2,432         2,404         2,498   

Other debt securities

     —           —           —           —           —           —     

Other equity securities

     —           —           —           —           —           —     
                                                     
     5,720         5,997         5,948         6,198         6,958         7,184   

Total investment securities

   $ 205,349       $ 204,593       $ 182,141       $ 181,643       $ 96,623       $ 97,241   
                                                     

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus.

 

II-5


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit II-6

Deposit Account Distribution

As of December 31, 2009 and 2010 and March 31, 2011

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

     March 31,     December 31,  
     2011     2010     2009  
     Amount      Percent     Amount      Percent     Amount      Percent  

Non-interest bearing deposits

   $ 45,039         7.30   $ 44,996         7.26   $ 37,715         6.20

Interest-bearing deposits:

               

NOW accounts

     135,347         21.95        134,836         21.76        125,648         20.65   

Money market accounts

     133,075         21.58        131,138         21.16        117,866         19.37   

Savings accounts

     22,461         3.64        21,384         3.45        18,973         3.12   

Certificates of deposit

     280,664         45.53        287,403         46.37        308,336         50.67   
                                                   

Total interest-bearing deposits

     571,547         92.70        574,761         92.74        570,823         93.80   

Total deposits

   $ 616,586         100.00   $ 619,757         100.00   $ 608,538         100.00
                                                   

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus.

 

II-6


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit II-7

Borrowed Funds Distribution

As of or For the Years Ended December 31, 2009 and 2010

And As of or For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2011

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

     Three
Months
Ended
March 31,
2011
             
                
       Year Ended
December 31,
 
      
       2010     2009  

FHLB Advances

      

Average balance outstanding

   $ 60,000      $ 60,000      $ 60,000   

Maximum outstanding at any month-end

     60,000        60,000        60,000   

Balance outstanding at period-end

     60,000        60,000        60,000   

Weighted average rate during period

     4.03     4.03     4.03

Weighted average rate at end of period

     4.03     4.03     4.02

Overnight and short-term borrowings

      

Average balance outstanding

   $ 1,737      $ 1,189      $ 4,051   

Maximum outstanding at any month-end

     1,617        1,638        30,783   

Balance outstanding at period-end

     1,404        1,008        1,694   

Weighted average rate during period

     0.47     0.25     0.37

Weighted average rate at end of period

     0.22     0.33     0.28

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus.

 

II-7


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit II-8

Office Properties

As of March 31, 2011

 

Location

   Year
Opened
     Square
Footage
     Owned/
Leased
     Lease
Expiration Date
     Net Book Value
($000s)
 

Banking Centers

              

Downtown Asheville (Main Office)

11 Church Street

Asheville, North Carolina 28801

     1936         24,124         Owned         —         $ 3,662   

Black Mountain

300 West State Street

Black Mountain, North Carolina 28711

     1960         4,500         Owned         —           322   

Mars Hill

105 North Main Street

Mars Hill, North Carolina 28754

     1974         2,500         Owned         —           1,373   

Skyland

1879 Hendersonville Road

Asheville, North Carolina 28803

     1976         3,108         Owned         —           706   

East Asheville

10 South Tunnel Road

Asheville, North Carolina 28805

     1978         3,570         Owned         —           133   

North Asheville

778 Merrimon Avenue

Asheville, North Carolina 28804

     1979         9,846         Owned         —           447   

West Asheville

1012 Patton Avenue

Asheville, North Carolina 28806

     1981         3,670         Owned         —           383   

Marion

162 North Main Street

Marion, North Carolina 28752

     1981         6,000         Owned         —           197   

Hendersonville

601 North Main Street

Hendersonville, North Carolina 28792

     1992         4,000         Owned         —           660   

Brevard

2 Market Street

Brevard, North Carolina 28712

     1995         2,100         Owned         —           869   

Reynolds

5 Olde Eastwood Village Boulevard

Asheville, North Carolina 28803

     2001         3,500         Owned         —           1,069   

Enka-Candler

907 Smoky Park Highway

Candler, North Carolina 28715

     2003         3,500         Owned         —           1,080   

Fletcher

3551 Hendersonville Road

Fletcher, North Carolina 28732

     2008         3,415        

 

 

Lot Leased

Structure

Owned

  

  

  

     1/31/2027         1,017   

Other Offices

              

Operations Center

901 Smoky Park Highway

Candler, North Carolina 28715

     2003         46,000         Leased         4/30/2017         465   

Commercial Lending

11 Church Street

Asheville, North Carolina 28801

     1998         1,940         Owned         —           —    (1) 

 

(1) Net book value is reflected in net book value for main office location.

Source: Asheville Savings Bank, preliminary prospectus.

 

II-8


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit III

Financial and Market Data for All Public Thrifts

 

Company

   State      Ticker      Total
Assets
($Mil.)
     Total
Equity/
Assets
(%)
    Tang.
Equity/
Assets
(%)
    LTM
ROA
(%)
    LTM
ROE

(%)
    Closing
Price
5/09/11
($)
     Total
Market
Value
($Mil.)
     Price/
LTM
EPS
(x)
     Price/
Core
EPS
(x)
     Price/
Book
Value
(%)
     Price/
Tang.
Book
(%)
     Price/
Total
Assets
(%)
     Div.
Yield
(%)
 

All Public Thrifts(1)

                                        

Alliance Bancorp, Inc.

     PA         ALLB         472         18.15        18.15        0.34        2.93        10.92         59.8         39.0         NA         NA         NA         NA         1.47   

Anchor Bancorp

     WA         ANCB         510         12.18        12.18        NA        NA        10.00         25.5         NA         NA         41.0         41.0         5.00         0.00   

Anchor BanCorp Wisconsin Inc.

     WI         ABCW         3,581         (0.27     (0.27     (1.22     (185.57     0.72         15.6         NM         NM         NM         NM         0.45         0.00   

Astoria Financial Corporation

     NY         AF         17,707         7.14        6.16        0.46        7.14        14.22         1,400.6         15.1         14.9         110.8         129.8         7.91         3.66   

Athens Bancshares Corporation

     TN         AFCB         284         17.56        17.44        0.63        3.51        13.53         37.6         19.9         20.0         75.4         76.1         13.25         1.48   

Atlantic Coast Financial Corporation

     FL         ACFC         810         6.77        6.76        (1.70     (27.55     9.73         25.6         NM         NA         NA         NA         NA         0.00   

Bank Mutual Corporation

     WI         BKMU         2,529         12.47        10.58        (2.29     (19.83     3.76         172.9         NM         NM         55.1         66.5         6.82         1.06   

BankAtlantic Bancorp, Inc.

     FL         BBX         4,471         (0.20     (0.52     (3.19     (206.35     0.93         57.6         NM         NM         NM         NM         1.31         0.00   

BankFinancial Corporation

     IL         BFIN         1,531         16.55        15.15        (0.28     (1.64     8.74         184.2         NM         NM         72.7         80.8         12.03         3.20   

BankUnited, Inc.

     FL         BKU         10,808         13.29        12.74        NA        NA        27.89         2,712.0         45.7         NA         188.7         198.2         25.09         2.01   

BCSB Bancorp, Inc.

     MD         BCSB         625         8.08        8.07        0.23        2.36        13.37         42.7         NM         NM         84.6         84.7         6.83         0.00   

Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.

     NY         BFED         1,034         10.77        10.77        0.53        5.18        14.29         91.7         15.5         13.7         82.3         82.3         8.87         1.40   

Berkshire Hills Bancorp, Inc.

     MA         BHLB         2,885         13.52        8.02        0.47        3.39        21.13         354.5         22.0         17.6         76.5         137.0         10.34         3.03   

BofI Holding, Inc.

     CA         BOFI         1,736         8.19        8.19        1.29        14.76        16.29         168.6         9.0         9.4         123.0         123.0         9.74         0.00   

Broadway Financial Corporation

     CA         BYFC         484         6.79        6.79        0.37        5.85        2.25         3.9         5.1         5.1         23.4         23.4         0.84         0.00   

Brookline Bancorp, Inc.

     MA         BRKL         3,058         16.36        14.90        1.06        5.76        8.87         524.0         18.9         18.7         105.3         117.7         17.15         3.83   

Cape Bancorp, Inc.

     NJ         CBNJ         1,062         13.29        11.37        1.10        8.79        10.39         138.3         10.9         10.8         98.0         117.1         13.03         0.00   

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc.

     KS         CFFN         9,798         20.61        20.61        0.42        3.59        10.98         1,839.1         52.3         29.5         91.1         91.1         18.77         2.73   

Carver Bancorp, Inc.

     NY         CARV         744         4.42        4.40        (4.56     (62.62     0.58         1.5         NM         NA         15.5         15.7         0.20         0.00   

Central Bancorp, Inc.

     MA         CEBK         488         9.66        9.25        0.33        3.74        18.85         31.7         27.7         30.1         84.7         90.1         6.63         1.06   

Central Federal Corporation

     OH         CFBK         275         5.81        5.77        (2.41     (35.52     1.07         4.4         NM         NM         49.5         50.2         1.65         0.00   

CFS Bancorp, Inc.

     IN         CITZ         1,144         9.94        9.94        0.29        2.86        5.49         59.7         18.3         19.3         52.5         52.5         5.22         0.73   

Chicopee Bancorp, Inc.

     MA         CBNK         582         15.82        15.82        0.10        0.59        14.37         85.9         NM         184.1         93.4         93.4         14.77         0.00   

Citizens Community Bancorp, Inc.

     WI         CZWI         580         8.93        8.81        (1.29     (13.94     5.25         26.8         NM         NM         51.8         52.6         4.63         0.00   

Citizens South Banking Corporation

     NC         CSBC         1,041         8.86        8.72        (0.24     (2.68     4.75         54.7         NM         NM         76.2         77.8         5.35         0.84   

CMS Bancorp, Inc.

     NY         CMSB         246         8.78        8.78        0.07        0.73        8.92         16.6         NM         NM         77.1         77.1         6.77         0.00   

Colonial Financial Services, Inc.

     NJ         COBK         590         11.76        11.76        0.67        6.83        12.72         53.3         13.1         12.9         76.8         76.8         9.02         0.00   

Community Financial Corporation

     VA         CFFC         528         9.29        9.29        0.26        2.86        3.14         13.7         20.9         20.9         37.3         37.3         2.66         0.00   

Dime Community Bancshares, Inc.

     NY         DCOM         4,143         8.14        6.88        1.05        13.32        14.54         504.3         11.4         NA         149.6         179.2         12.17         3.85   

Eagle Bancorp Montana, Inc.

     MT         EBMT         335         15.82        15.82        0.75        4.94        11.25         45.9         17.9         17.9         86.8         86.8         13.73         2.49   

 

III-1


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit III (continued)

Financial and Market Data for All Public Thrifts

 

Company

   State    Ticker    Total
Assets
($Mil.)
     Total
Equity/
Assets
(%)
     Tang.
Equity/
Assets
(%)
     LTM
ROA
(%)
    LTM
ROE
(%)
    Closing
Price
5/09/11
($)
     Total
Market
Value
($Mil.)
     Price/
LTM
EPS
(x)
     Price/
Core
EPS
(x)
     Price/
Book
Value
(%)
     Price/
Tang.
Book
(%)
     Price/
Total
Assets
(%)
     Div.
Yield
(%)
 

Elmira Savings Bank, FSB

   NY    ESBK      494         11.50         9.13         0.98        8.62        17.15         33.7         10.0         10.3         NA         NA         NA         4.66   

ESB Financial Corporation

   PA    ESBF      1,925         8.79         6.73         0.80        9.02        12.85         191.1         12.9         12.9         112.0         149.3         9.88         2.59   

ESSA Bancorp, Inc.

   PA    ESSA      1,094         14.86         14.86         0.40        2.50        11.86         151.6         32.1         37.9         NA         NA         NA         1.69   

FedFirst Financial Corporation

   PA    FFCO      339         17.50         17.18         0.16        1.04        14.65         43.8         NM         NA         NA         NA         NA         0.82   

FFD Financial Corporation

   OH    FFDF      211         8.89         8.89         0.69        7.78        14.25         14.4         10.0         NA         NA         NA         NA         4.77   

Fidelity Bancorp, Inc.

   PA    FSBI      685         7.29         NA         0.07        1.00        9.38         28.7         NM         14.8         66.7         NA         4.24         0.85   

First Advantage Bancorp

   TN    FABK      345         19.33         19.33         0.49        2.48        13.16         61.0         33.7         35.1         81.0         81.0         15.66         1.52   

First Bancshares, Inc.

   MO    FBSI      204         10.05         10.00         (1.54     (14.31     6.05         9.4         NM         NM         45.7         45.9         4.59         0.00   

First Capital, Inc.

   IN    FCAP      449         NA         NA         0.83        NA        16.50         46.0         12.2         12.1         NA         NA         NA         4.61   

First Clover Leaf Financial Corp.

   IL    FCLF      575         13.45         11.53         0.65        4.88        6.99         55.0         14.3         15.0         71.3         85.0         9.59         3.43   

First Community Bank Corporation

   FL    FCFL      471         6.11         6.11         (3.62     (48.79     0.27         2.3         NM         NM         14.4         14.4         0.33         0.00   

First Defiance Financial Corp.

   OH    FDEF      2,062         12.76         10.00         0.45        3.85        14.30         139.0         16.3         14.1         61.4         85.2         6.87         0.00   

First Federal Bancshares of Arkansas

   AR    FFBHD      578         6.02         6.02         (1.01     (15.78     10.44         171.2         NM         NM         54.7         54.7         1.80         0.00   

First Federal of North. Mich. Bancp.

   MI    FFNM      215         10.91         10.68         0.09        0.84        3.38         9.7         48.3         NM         41.5         42.5         4.52         0.00   

First Financial Holdings, Inc.

   SC    FFCH      3,302         9.43         8.39         (0.37     (3.88     10.32         170.6         NM         NM         69.2         81.6         5.27         1.94   

First Financial Northwest, Inc.

   WA    FFNW      1,184         14.91         14.91         (2.78     (19.17     6.20         116.6         NM         NM         66.1         66.1         9.85         0.00   

First PacTrust Bancorp, Inc.

   CA    FPTB      835         16.25         16.25         0.30        2.33        14.33         124.6         62.3         NM         102.8         102.8         16.70         2.93   

First Place Financial Corp.

   OH    FPFC      3,153         8.01         7.75         (0.97     (11.45     1.94         33.6         NM         NM         18.0         18.9         1.07         0.00   

First Savings Financial Group, Inc.

   IN    FSFG      513         10.93         9.48         0.61        5.66        16.00         37.9         11.3         8.3         67.6         79.2         7.39         0.00   

Flagstar Bancorp, Inc.

   MI    FBC      13,017         9.50         9.50         (2.34     (27.39     1.42         786.5         NM         NM         79.7         79.7         6.16         0.00   

Flushing Financial Corporation

   NY    FFIC      4,317         9.13         8.76         0.91        10.13        14.21         446.0         11.2         10.6         113.1         118.3         10.32         3.66   

Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc.

   PA    FXCB      1,071         19.31         19.31         0.30        1.84        13.34         194.1         53.4         84.7         93.8         93.8         18.12         0.60   

Franklin Financial Corporation

   VA    FRNK      NA         NA         NA         NA        NA        11.88         169.9         NA         NA         NA         NA         NA         0.00   

Hampden Bancorp, Inc.

   MA    HBNK      575         16.15         16.15         0.33        2.03        13.25         90.1         45.7         44.1         NA         NA         NA         0.91   

Harleysville Savings Financial Corp.

   PA    HARL      856         6.42         6.42         0.58        9.27        14.89         55.6         11.2         NA         101.0         101.0         6.49         5.10   

Heritage Financial Group, Inc.

   GA    HBOS      952         12.75         12.31         0.25        2.22        12.24         106.6         53.2         NM         87.9         91.4         11.20         0.98   

HF Financial Corp.

   SD    HFFC      1,207         7.91         7.58         0.31        4.06        11.05         77.1         20.1         19.0         80.7         84.6         6.39         4.07   

Hingham Institution for Savings

   MA    HIFS      1,033         7.26         7.26         1.09        15.06        51.24         108.8         10.1         10.1         145.1         145.1         10.54         1.87   

HMN Financial, Inc.

   MN    HMNF      879         7.92         7.92         (2.87     (31.81     3.00         13.2         NM         NM         29.1         29.1         1.54         0.00   

Home Bancorp, Inc.

   LA    HBCP      700         18.93         18.73         0.66        3.50        14.79         119.6         23.9         18.6         90.2         91.4         17.08         0.00   

Home Federal Bancorp, Inc.

   ID    HOME      1,336         14.84         14.61         (0.39     (2.30     10.89         180.4         NM         NA         91.0         92.7         13.50         2.02   

 

III-2


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit III (continued)

Financial and Market Data for All Public Thrifts

 

Company

   State    Ticker    Total
Assets
($Mil.)
     Total
Equity/
Assets
(%)
     Tang.
Equity/
Assets
(%)
     LTM
ROA
(%)
    LTM
ROE
(%)
    Closing
Price
5/09/11
($)
     Total
Market
Value
($Mil.)
     Price/
LTM
EPS
(x)
     Price/
Core
EPS
(x)
     Price/
Book
Value
(%)
     Price/
Tang.
Book
(%)
     Price/
Total
Assets
(%)
     Div.
Yield
(%)
 

Home Federal Bancorp, Inc.

   LA    HFBL      218         23.17         23.17         0.98        4.84        13.06         39.8         19.8         NA         NA         NA         NA         1.84   

HopFed Bancorp, Inc.

   KY    HFBC      1,074         10.08         10.02         0.26        2.57        8.20         60.2         18.2         57.2         66.7         67.2         5.70         3.90   

Hudson City Bancorp, Inc.

   NJ    HCBK      52,429         9.02         8.75         (0.28     (3.02     9.41         4,956.2         NM         NM         104.8         108.4         9.45         3.40   

Jacksonville Bancorp, Inc.

   IL    JXSB      308         11.89         11.10         0.77        7.08        12.74         24.5         10.5         11.7         NA         NA         NA         2.35   

Jefferson Bancshares, Inc.

   TN    JFBI      578         9.67         9.34         (3.75     (39.57     3.45         22.9         NM         NM         41.0         42.6         3.96         0.00   

Kaiser Federal Financial Group, Inc.

   CA    KFFG      902         17.22         NA         0.95        7.11        12.27         117.3         13.9         13.9         NA         NA         NA         1.63   

Louisiana Bancorp, Inc.

   LA    LABC      324         18.79         18.79         0.79        3.96        15.20         55.1         20.8         NA         90.3         90.3         16.97         0.00   

LSB Financial Corp.

   IN    LSBI      372         9.57         9.57         0.56        6.09        15.60         24.2         11.5         11.5         68.1         68.1         6.52         0.00   

Mayflower Bancorp, Inc.

   MA    MFLR      245         8.51         8.51         0.54        6.53        9.00         18.7         13.8         16.4         89.6         89.6         7.62         2.67   

Meta Financial Group, Inc.

   IA    CASH      1,130         6.26         6.16         1.14        16.36        14.35         44.7         3.7         3.5         63.1         64.2         3.95         3.62   

MutualFirst Financial, Inc.

   IN    MFSF      1,447         9.05         8.78         0.31        3.40        8.04         56.2         20.6         12.9         56.7         59.2         3.97         2.99   

NASB Financial, Inc.

   MO    NASB      1,337         12.70         12.53         0.49        4.20        13.78         108.4         15.5         17.9         63.8         64.8         8.11         0.00   

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   NH    NHTB      1,002         9.35         6.67         0.83        8.93        12.90         74.5         9.7         11.8         89.0         135.6         7.51         4.03   

New York Community Bancorp, Inc.

   NY    NYB      41,047         13.50         7.87         1.32        10.03        16.16         7,067.5         13.0         NA         127.6         232.9         17.22         6.19   

Newport Bancorp, Inc.

   RI    NFSB      450         11.17         11.17         0.44        4.00        14.35         50.1         24.3         25.1         99.7         99.7         11.14         0.00   

North Central Bancshares, Inc.

   IA    FFFD      452         10.87         10.74         0.37        3.47        16.64         22.5         19.1         19.2         57.6         58.6         5.09         0.24   

Northwest Bancshares, Inc.

   PA    NWBI      8,122         15.85         13.99         0.76        4.72        12.25         1,299.6         21.5         20.4         102.5         118.7         16.25         3.59   

OBA Financial Services, Inc.

   MD    OBAF      354         22.75         22.75         (0.08     (0.42     14.75         68.3         NA         NA         84.7         84.7         19.27         0.00   

Ocean Shore Holding Co.

   NJ    OSHC      861         11.81         11.81         0.63        5.29        12.55         91.6         16.1         15.9         90.0         90.0         10.63         1.91   

OceanFirst Financial Corp.

   NJ    OCFC      2,263         9.10         9.10         0.94        10.73        14.01         264.0         12.1         12.1         128.2         128.2         11.66         3.43   

OmniAmerican Bancorp, Inc.

   TX    OABC      1,335         14.86         14.86         0.14        0.82        14.58         172.6         NM         107.0         87.0         87.0         12.93         0.00   

Oneida Financial Corp.

   NY    ONFC      683         12.70         9.36         0.74        5.95        8.84         63.3         13.8         12.8         NA         NA         NA         5.43   

Oritani Financial Corp.

   NJ    ORIT      2,557         25.28         25.28         0.71        3.10        12.14         682.3         37.9         38.0         105.6         105.6         26.68         3.29   

Park Bancorp, Inc.

   IL    PFED      212         8.51         8.51         (2.48     (24.52     3.65         4.4         NM         NM         24.2         24.2         2.06         0.00   

Parkvale Financial Corporation

   PA    PVSA      1,801         6.88         5.42         (0.83     (12.20     10.42         58.2         NM         8.5         63.2         90.5         3.29         0.77   

Peoples Federal Bancshares, Inc.

   MA    PEOP      529         22.04         22.04         (0.02     (0.09     13.99         99.9         NA         NA         85.8         85.8         18.90         0.00   

People’s United Financial, Inc.

   CT    PBCT      24,962         20.67         13.94         0.54        2.32        13.48         4,847.5         38.5         31.1         92.7         149.2         19.17         4.67   

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.

   CA    PROV      1,339         10.42         10.42         1.04        10.84        8.10         92.5         6.5         6.8         66.3         66.3         6.91         0.49   

Provident Financial Services, Inc.

   NJ    PFS      6,794         13.63         NA         0.76        5.60        13.98         839.3         15.4         14.5         90.6         NA         12.35         3.43   

Provident New York Bancorp

   NY    PBNY      2,919         14.40         9.31         0.70        4.80        9.17         348.8         17.0         22.0         83.1         136.1         11.96         2.62   

Pulaski Financial Corp.

   MO    PULB      1,338         8.87         8.59         0.75        8.94        7.19         79.0         8.9         8.8         90.4         94.8         6.05         5.29   

 

III-3


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit III (continued)

Financial and Market Data for All Public Thrifts

 

Company

   State    Ticker    Total
Assets
($Mil.)
     Total
Equity/
Assets
(%)
     Tang.
Equity/
Assets
(%)
     LTM
ROA
(%)
    LTM
ROE
(%)
    Closing
Price
5/09/11
($)
     Total
Market
Value
($Mil.)
     Price/
LTM
EPS
(x)
     Price/
Core
EPS
(x)
     Price/
Book
Value
(%)
     Price/
Tang.
Book
(%)
     Price/
Total
Assets
(%)
     Div.
Yield
(%)
 

PVF Capital Corp.

   OH    PVFC      777         9.58         9.58         (1.17     (12.22     1.90         48.8         NM         NM         65.5         65.5         6.28         0.00   

River Valley Bancorp

   IN    RIVR      387         8.34         8.32         0.62        7.52        15.65         23.7         11.8         NA         86.9         87.1         6.20         5.37   

Riverview Bancorp, Inc.

   WA    RVSB      859         12.50         9.79         0.51        4.29        3.16         71.0         13.2         13.0         66.4         87.5         8.27         0.00   

Rockville Financial, Inc.

   CT    RCKB      1,678         9.92         9.86         0.76        7.48        9.61         283.5         21.8         22.1         164.1         165.2         16.27         1.78   

Severn Bancorp, Inc.

   MD    SVBI      968         10.98         10.94         0.22        2.01        4.45         44.8         NM         NA         56.7         56.9         4.76         0.00   

SI Financial Group, Inc.

   CT    SIFI      929         13.87         13.49         0.30        3.11        10.10         106.8         38.8         42.7         82.9         85.6         11.49         1.19   

SP Bancorp, Inc.

   TX    SPBC      239         13.44         13.44         0.23        2.65        11.99         20.7         NM         115.4         64.4         64.4         8.66         0.00   

Standard Financial Corp.

   PA    STND      436         17.35         15.50         0.53        3.72        15.34         53.3         NA         NA         70.6         80.8         12.25         0.00   

Teche Holding Company

   LA    TSH      782         9.92         9.49         0.92        9.07        36.41         75.9         10.9         10.9         97.8         102.7         9.70         3.95   

Territorial Bancorp Inc.

   HI    TBNK      1,488         15.29         15.29         0.87        5.56        20.29         243.1         18.3         18.5         107.3         107.3         16.40         1.77   

TF Financial Corporation

   PA    THRD      684         10.85         10.26         0.46        4.39        21.99         62.1         18.2         18.2         83.6         89.0         9.07         0.91   

Timberland Bancorp, Inc.

   WA    TSBK      744         11.77         11.04         0.43        3.62        5.91         41.6         19.7         16.6         58.1         63.5         5.72         0.00   

TrustCo Bank Corp NY

   NY    TRST      4,008         6.45         6.44         0.77        11.59        5.75         444.9         14.7         16.0         171.8         172.2         11.08         4.57   

United Community Financial Corp.

   OH    UCFC      2,115         8.39         8.37         (1.29     (14.58     1.31         40.5         NM         NM         22.9         22.9         1.92         0.00   

United Financial Bancorp, Inc.

   MA    UBNK      1,600         14.01         13.54         0.69        4.80        15.97         257.2         22.5         21.9         114.7         119.3         16.07         2.00   

ViewPoint Financial Group, Inc.

   TX    VPFG      2,796         14.30         14.26         0.77        6.01        12.49         435.1         18.4         20.4         108.8         109.1         15.56         1.60   

Washington Federal, Inc.

   WA    WFSL      13,389         13.73         NA         0.58        4.29        15.40         1,725.9         22.0         24.0         93.9         NA         12.89         1.56   

Wayne Savings Bancshares, Inc.

   OH    WAYN      409         9.28         8.83         0.54        5.83        8.40         25.2         11.1         10.9         66.4         70.2         6.16         2.86   

Westfield Financial, Inc.

   MA    WFD      1,241         17.68         NA         0.24        1.26        8.82         247.4         NM         NM         112.8         NA         19.94         2.72   

Wolverine Bancorp, Inc.

   MI    WBKC      314         13.35         13.35         (1.16     (8.23     14.50         36.4         NA         NA         NA         NA         NA         0.00   

WSB Holdings, Inc.

   MD    WSB      409         12.79         12.79         (0.96     (7.46     3.10         24.8         NM         NA         47.3         47.3         6.06         0.00   

WSFS Financial Corporation

   DE    WSFS      3,952         9.39         NA         0.46        5.08        42.79         367.8         23.0         28.1         115.4         NA         9.43         1.12   

WVS Financial Corp.

   PA    WVFC      247         11.46         11.46         0.20        2.22        8.75         18.0         29.2         29.2         63.5         63.5         7.28         1.83   

Average

   NA    NA      2,794         11.85         11.15         0.03        (3.69     NA         339.1         20.7         24.7         80.8         87.2         9.37         1.59   

Median

   NA    NA      890         10.98         10.00         0.43        3.50        NA         63.3         17.9         17.1         82.3         85.1         8.66         1.06   

 

(1) 

Public thrifts traded on NYSE, NYSE Amex, and NASDAQ; excludes companies subject to pending acquisitions or mutual holding company ownership.

Source: SNL Financial; Feldman Financial.

 

III-4


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit IV-1

Pro Forma Assumptions for Conversion Stock Offering

 

1. The total amount of the net offering proceeds was fully invested at the beginning of the applicable period.

 

2. The net offering proceeds are invested to yield a return of 0.80%, which represented the yield on two-year U.S. Treasury securities at March 31, 2011. The effective combined federal and state corporate income tax rate was assumed to be 38.0%, resulting in a net after-tax yield of 0.50%.

 

3. It is assumed that 8.0% of the total shares of common stock to be sold in the offering will be acquired by the Bank’s employee stock ownership plan (“ESOP”). Pro forma adjustments have been made to earnings and equity to reflect the impact of the ESOP. The annual expense is estimated based on a 15-year loan to the ESOP from the Company. No re-investment is assumed on proceeds used to fund the ESOP.

 

4. It is assumed that that the Bank’s restricted stock plan (“RSP”) will purchase in the open market a number of shares equal to 4.0% of the total shares sold in the offering. Also, it is assumed that these shares are acquired at the initial public offering price of $10.00 per share. Pro forma adjustments have been made to earnings and equity to reflect the impact of the RSP. The annual expense is estimated based on a five-year vesting period. No re-investment is assumed on proceeds used to fund the RSP.

 

5. It is assumed that an additional 10.0% of the total shares sold in the offering will be reserved for issuance by the Bank’s stock option plan. Pro forma net income has been adjusted to reflect the expense associated with the granting of options at an assumed options value of $4.11 per share. It is further assumed that options for all shares reserved under the plan were granted to plan participants at the beginning of the period, 25% of the options granted were non-qualified options for income tax purposes, the options would vest at a rate of 20% per year, and compensation expense will be recognized on a straight-line basis over the five-year vesting period

 

6. The fair value of stock options has been estimated at $4.11 per option using the Black-Scholes option pricing model with the following assumptions: a grant-date share price and option exercise price of $10.00; dividend yield of 0.00%; an expected option life of 10 years; a risk-free interest rate of 3.47%; and a volatility rate of 22.56% based on an index of publicly traded thrift institutions.

 

7. Total fixed offering expenses, excluding marketing agent fees, are estimated at $1.36 million. The marketing agent will receive a success fee equal to 1.0% of the aggregate dollar amount of common stock sold in the subscription and community offerings, excluding shares purchased by the ESOP or by the Bank’s officers, directors, employees, and their family members.

 

8. No effect has been given to withdrawals from deposit accounts for the purpose of purchasing common stock in the offering.

 

9. No effect has been given in the pro forma equity calculation for the assumed earnings on the net proceeds.

 

IV-1


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit IV-2

Pro Forma Conversion Valuation Range

Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B.

Historical Financial Data as of March 31, 2011

(Dollars in Thousands, Except Per Share Data)

 

     Minimum     Midpoint     Maximum     Adj. Max.  

Shares sold

     5,355,000        6,300,000        7,245,000        8,331,750   

Offering price

   $ 10.00      $ 10.00      $ 10.00      $ 10.00   
                                

Gross proceeds

   $ 53,550      $ 63,000      $ 72,450      $ 83,318   

Less: estimated offering expenses

     (1,837     (1,924     (2,010     (2,110
                                

Net offering proceeds

     51,713        61,076        70,440        81,207   

Less: ESOP purchase

     (4,284     (5,040     (5,796     (6,665

Less: RSP purchase

     (2,142     (2,520     (2,898     (3,333
                                

Net investable proceeds

   $ 45,287      $ 53,516      $ 61,746      $ 71,209   
                                

Net Income:

        

Historical LTM ended 3/31/11

   ($ 9,303   ($ 9,303   ($ 9,303   ($ 9,303

Pro forma income on net proceeds

     226        268        309        356   

Pro forma ESOP adjustment

     (177     (208     (240     (276

Pro forma RSP adjustment

     (266     (312     (359     (413

Pro forma option adjustment

     (398     (469     (539     (620
                                

Pro forma net income

   ($ 9,918   ($ 10,024   ($ 10,132   ($ 10,256
                                

Pro forma earnings per share

   ($ 2.00   ($ 1.72   ($ 1.51   ($ 1.33
                                

Core Earnings:

        

Historical LTM ended 3/31/11

   ($ 9,496   ($ 9,496   ($ 9,496   ($ 9,496

Pro forma income on net proceeds

     226        268        309        356   

Pro forma ESOP adjustment

     (177     (208     (240     (276

Pro forma RSP adjustment

     (266     (312     (359     (413

Pro forma option adjustment

     (398     (469     (539     (620
                                

Pro forma core earnings

   ($ 10,111   ($ 10,217   ($ 10,325   ($ 10,449
                                

Pro forma core earnings per share

   ($ 2.04   ($ 1.75   ($ 1.54   ($ 1.36
                                

Total Equity

   $ 63,295      $ 63,295      $ 63,295      $ 63,295   

Net offering proceeds

     51,713        61,076        70,440        81,207   

Less: ESOP purchase

     (4,284     (5,040     (5,796     (6,665

Less: RSP purchase

     (2,142     (2,520     (2,898     (3,333
                                

Pro forma total equity

   $ 108,582      $ 116,811      $ 125,041      $ 134,504   
                                

Pro forma book value

   $ 20.28      $ 18.54      $ 17.26      $ 16.14   
                                

Tangible Equity

   $ 63,295      $ 63,295      $ 63,295      $ 63,295   

Net offering proceeds

     51,713        61,076        70,440        81,207   

Less: ESOP purchase

     (4,284     (5,040     (5,796     (6,665

Less: RSP purchase

     (2,142     (2,520     (2,898     (3,333
                                

Pro forma tangible equity

   $ 108,582      $ 116,811      $ 125,041      $ 134,504   
                                

Pro forma tangible book value

   $ 20.28      $ 18.54      $ 17.26      $ 16.14   
                                

Total Assets

   $ 750,709      $ 750,709      $ 750,709      $ 750,709   

Net offering proceeds

     51,713        61,076        70,440        81,207   

Less: ESOP purchase

     (4,284     (5,040     (5,796     (6,665

Less: RSP purchase

     (2,142     (2,520     (2,898     (3,333
                                

Pro forma total assets

   $ 795,996      $ 804,225      $ 812,455      $ 821,918   
                                

Pro Forma Ratios:

        

Price / LTM EPS

     NM        NM        NM        NM   

Price / Core EPS

     NM        NM        NM        NM   

Price / Book Value

     49.3     53.9     57.9     62.0

Price / Tangible Book Value

     49.3     53.9     57.9     62.0

Price / Total Assets

     6.73     7.83     8.92     10.14

Total Equity / Assets

     13.64     14.52     15.39     16.36

Tangible Equity / Assets

     13.64     14.52     15.39     16.36

 

IV-2


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit IV-3

Pro Forma Conversion Analysis at the Maximum Valuation

Asheville Savings Bank, S.S.B.

Historical Financial Data as of March 31, 2011

 

Valuation Parameters

      

Symbol

        Data        

Net income — LTM

  Y      $ -9,303,000     

Core earnings — LTM

  Y        -9,496,000     

Net worth

    B        63,295,000     

Tangible net worth

    B        63,295,000     

Total assets

    A        750,709,000     

Expenses in conversion

  X        2,010,490     

Other proceeds not reinvested

  O        8,694,000     

ESOP purchase

    E        5,796,000     

ESOP expense (pre-tax)

  F        387,097     

RSP purchase

    M        2,898,000     

RSP expense (pre-tax)

  N        579,032     

Stock option expense (pre-tax)

  Q        595,539     

Option expense tax-deductible

  D        25.00  

Re-investment rate (after-tax)

  R        0.50  

Tax rate

    T        38.00  

Shares for EPS

    S        92.53  

Pro Forma Valuation Ratios at Maximum Value

  

Price / LTM EPS

    P/E        NM     

Price / Core EPS

    P/E        NM     

Price / Book Value

    P/B        57.94  

Price / Tangible Book

  P/TB        57.94  

Price / Assets

    P/A        8.92  

 

Pro Forma Calculation at Maximum Value            
           

Based on

  

V

   =    (P/E /S)*((Y-R*(O+X)-(F+N)*(1-T)-(Q-Q*D*T)))    =      $72,450,000       [LTM earnings]
         1 - (P/E / S) * R         
  

V

   =    (P/E / S)*((Y-R*(O+X)-(F+N)*(1-T)-(Q-Q*D*T))    =      $72,450,000       [Core earnings]
         1 - (P/E / S) * R         
  

V

   =    P/B * (B - X - E - M)    =      $72,450,000       [Book value]
         1 - P/B         
  

V

   =    P/TB * (B - X - E - M)    =      $72,450,000       [Tangible book]
         1 - P/TB         
  

V

   =    P/A * (B - X - E - M)    =      $72,450,000       [Total assets]
         1 - P/A         

 

Pro Forma Valuation Range     

Minimum

   =    $ 63,000,000         x           0.85         =       $53,550,000   

Midpoint

   =    $ 63,000,000         x           1.00         =       $63,000,000   

Maximum

   =    $ 63,000,000         x           1.15         =       $72,450,000   

Adj. Max.

   =    $ 72,450,000         x           1.15         =       $83,317,500   

 

IV-3


FELDMAN FINANCIAL ADVISORS, INC.

 

 

Exhibit IV-4

Comparative Valuation Ratio Differential

Pro Forma Conversion Valuation Range

Computed from Market Price Data as of May 9, 2011

 

          Asheville      Comparative  
Valuation         Savings      Group  

Ratio

   Symbol    Bank      Average     Median  

Price / Book Value

   P/B         66.6        67.2   

Minimum

   (%)      49.3         -26.0     -26.6

Midpoint

        53.9         -19.1     -19.8

Maximum

        57.9         -13.1     -13.8

Adj. Maximum

        62.0         -6.9     -7.7

Price / Tangible Book

   P/TB         68.8        72.5   

Minimum

   (%)      49.3         -28.3     -32.0

Midpoint

        53.9         -21.7     -25.7

Maximum

        57.9         -15.8     -20.1

Adj. Maximum

        62.0         -9.9     -14.5

Price / LTM EPS

   P/E         17.2        18.3   

Minimum

   (x)      NM         NA        NA   

Midpoint

        NM         NA        NA   

Maximum

        NM         NA        NA   

Adj. Maximum

        NM         NA        NA   

Price / Core EPS

   P/E         22.5        19.0   

Minimum

   (x)      NM         NA        NA   

Midpoint

        NM         NA        NA   

Maximum

        NM         NA        NA   

Adj. Maximum

        NM         NA        NA   

Price / Total Assets

   P/A         6.85        5.53   

Minimum

   (%)      6.73         -1.8     21.7

Midpoint

        7.83         14.3     41.8

Maximum

        8.92         30.2     61.4

Adj. Maximum

        10.14         48.0     83.5

 

IV-4