EX-99.1 17 dex991.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 EXHIBIT 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Naugatuck Valley

Financial Corp.

Conversion

Valuation

Appraisal

May 28, 2010


Table of Contents

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation

Naugatuck, Connecticut

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

   I

INTRODUCTION

   1

1.      OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

   4

GENERAL OVERVIEW

   4

HISTORY AND OVERVIEW

   5

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

   7

BALANCE SHEET TRENDS

   8

LOAN PORTFOLIO

   12

INVESTMENTS

   16

INVESTMENTS AND MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES

   18

ASSET QUALITY

   19

FUNDING COMPOSITION

   23

ASSET/LIABILITY MANAGEMENT

   26

NET WORTH AND CAPITAL

   27

PROFITABILITY TRENDS

   28

LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

   35

SUBSIDIARIES

   35

2.      MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

   36

3.      COMPARISONS WITH PUBLICLY TRADED THRIFTS

   38

INTRODUCTION

   38

SELECTION CRITERIA

   38

OVERVIEW OF THE COMPARABLES

   40

4.      MARKET VALUE DETERMINATION

   44

MARKET VALUE ADJUSTMENTS

   44

FINANCIAL CONDITION

   45

ASSET QUALITY

   48

BALANCE SHEET GROWTH

   50

EARNINGS QUALITY, PREDICTABILITY AND GROWTH

   51


MARKET AREA

   58

CASH DIVIDENDS

   60

LIQUIDITY OF THE ISSUE

   61

RECENT REGULATORY MATTERS

   62

5.      OTHER FACTORS

   63

MANAGEMENT

   63

SUBSCRIPTION INTEREST

   64

VALUATION ADJUSTMENTS

   66

6.      VALUATION

   67

DISCUSSION OF WEIGHT GIVEN TO VALUATION MULTIPLES

   67

FULL OFFERING VALUE IN RELATION TO COMPARABLES

   69

COMPARISON TO OTHER PENDING SECOND STEP CONVERSIONS

   72

COMPARISON OF THE EXCHANGE VALUE AND STOCK PRICE

   73

VALUATION CONCLUSION

   74


List of Figures

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation

Naugatuck, Connecticut

 

FIGURE 1 - CURRENT FACILITIES LIST

   4

FIGURE 2 - ASSET AND RETAINED EARNINGS CHART

   9

FIGURE 3 - KEY BALANCE SHEET DATA

   10

FIGURE 4 - KEY RATIOS

   11

FIGURE 5 - NET LOANS RECEIVABLE CHART

   13

FIGURE 6 - LOAN MIX AS OF MARCH 31, 2010

   14

FIGURE 7 - LOAN MIX AT MARCH 31, 2010

   15

FIGURE 8 - SECURITIES CHART

   17

FIGURE 9 - INVESTMENT MIX

   18

FIGURE 10 - ASSET QUALITY CHART

   20

FIGURE 11 - NONPERFORMING LOANS

   21

FIGURE 12 - ALLOWANCE FOR POSSIBLE LOAN AND LEASE LOSSES CHART

   22

FIGURE 13 - DEPOSIT AND BORROWING TREND CHART

   24

FIGURE 14 - DEPOSIT MIX

   25

FIGURE 15 - INTEREST RATE RISK

   26

FIGURE 16 - CAPITAL ANALYSIS

   27

FIGURE 17 - NET INCOME CHART

   29

FIGURE 18 - AVERAGE YIELDS AND COSTS

   30

FIGURE 19 - SPREAD AND MARGIN CHART

   33

FIGURE 20 - INCOME STATEMENT TRENDS

   34

FIGURE 21 - DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR NEW HAVEN, CT

   37

FIGURE 22 - DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR FAIRFIELD, CT

   37

FIGURE 23 - COMPARABLE GROUP

   39

FIGURE 24 - KEY FINANCIAL INDICATORS

   42

FIGURE 25 - KEY BALANCE SHEET DATA

   45

FIGURE 26 - CAPITAL DATA

   46

FIGURE 27 - ASSET QUALITY TABLE

   48

FIGURE 28 - BALANCE SHEET GROWTH DATA

   50

FIGURE 29 - PROFITABILITY DATA

   53

FIGURE 30 - INCOME STATEMENT DATA

   56

FIGURE 31 - MARKET AREA DATA

   58

FIGURE 32 - DIVIDEND DATA

   60

FIGURE 33 - MARKET CAPITALIZATION DATA

   61

FIGURE 34 - SECOND STEP CONVERSIONS (SINCE 1/1/08) PRO FORMA DATA

   64

FIGURE 35 - CONVERSIONS PRICE APPRECIATION

   65

FIGURE 36 - VALUE RANGE

   69

FIGURE 37 - APPRAISED VALUE

   69

FIGURE 38 - CONVERSION OFFERING PRICING MULTIPLES

   70

FIGURE 39 - COMPARABLE CONVERSION PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANK’S PRO FORMA MIDPOINT

   70

FIGURE 40 - COMPARABLE CONVERSION PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANK’S PRO FORMA SUPER MAXIMUM

   70

FIGURE 41 - COMPARABLE CONVERSION PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANK’S PRO FORMA MINIMUM

   71

FIGURE 42 - COMPARISON TO OTHER PENDING SECOND STEP CONVERSIONS

   72

FIGURE 43 - COMPARISON OF THE EXCHANGE VALUE PER MINORITY SHARE AND STOCK PRICE

   73


List of Exhibits

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation

Naugatuck, Connecticut

 

Exhibit

   
        1.   Profile of FinPro, Inc. and the Author of the Appraisal
        2.   Consolidated Balance Sheets: NVSL and SSE
        3.   Consolidated Statements of Income: NVSL and SSE
        4.   Consolidated Statements of Equity and Comprehensive Income: NVSL and SSE
        5.   Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows: NVSL and SSE
        6.   Income Reconciliation of TFR to Consolidated Statements: NVSL
        7.   Comparable Group Selection Screens
        8.   Selected Financial Data
        9.   Industry Pricing Multiples
      10.   Second Step Conversions 2008 to Year-to-Date
      11.   Consolidated Merger Pro forma Balance Sheet (w/o second step conversion): March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009
      12.   Consolidated Merger Pro forma Income Statement (w/o second step conversion): 12 months ending March 31, 2010, 3 months ending March 31, 2010, and 12 months ending December 31, 2009
      13.   Appraisal Second Step No Foundation Pro Forma March 31, 2010 – 12 Months
      14.   Stub Second Step No Foundation Pro Forma March 31, 2010 – 3 Months
      15.   Offering Circular Second Step No Foundation Pro Forma December 31, 2009 – 12 Months
      16.   Consolidated Merger Pro forma Balance Sheet: March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009
      17.   Consolidated Merger Pro forma Income Statement: 12 months ending March 31, 2010, 3 months ending March 31, 2010, and 12 months ending December 31, 2009


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 1   
 

 

Introduction

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation, a newly formed Maryland corporation, is offering common stock for sale in connection with the conversion of Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan from the mutual holding company form of organization to the stock form. As part of the conversion, the Bank is offering for sale common stock representing the 59.6% ownership interest of Naugatuck Valley Financial that is currently held by Naugatuck Valley Mutual Holding Company. At the conclusion of the conversion and offering, existing public shareholders of Naugatuck Valley Financial will receive shares of common stock in the new Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation in exchange for their existing shares of common stock of Naugatuck Valley Financial.

In compiling the pro formas, FinPro relied upon the assumptions provided by the Bank and its agents. The pro forma assumptions are as follows:

 

   

59.6% of the total shares will be sold to the depositors and public,

 

   

the stock will be issued at $10.00 per share,

 

   

the conversion expenses will be $2.2 million at the midpoint,

 

   

there will be an ESOP equal to 6% of the shares issued funded internally, amortized over 15 years straight-line,

 

   

there will be an MRP equal to 3% of the shares issued, amortized over 5 years straight-line,

 

   

there will be a Stock Option Plan equal to 10% of the shares issued, expensed at $2.73 per option over 5 years straight-line,

 

   

the tax rate is assumed at 34.00% and,

 

   

the net proceeds will be invested at the three-year Treasury Note rate of 1.60%, pre-tax.

Simultaneous with the completion of the offering, Naugatuck Valley Financial will acquire Southern Connecticut Bancorp, Inc. (the “Target”). In connection with the merger, Naugatuck Valley Financial will issue to the Target an aggregate of approximately 977,264 shares of common stock and pay approximately $9.8 million in cash.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 2   
 

 

It is our understanding that the Bank will offer its stock in a subscription and community offering to Eligible Account Holders, to the Employee Plans, and to Supplemental Eligible Account Holders of the Bank. This appraisal has been prepared in accordance with Regulation 563b.7 and the “Guidelines for Appraisal Reports for the Valuation of Savings and Loan Associations Converting from Mutual to Stock Form of Organization” of the Office of Thrift Supervision (“OTS”) which have been adopted in practice by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”), including the most recent revisions as of October 21, 1994, and applicable regulatory interpretations thereof.

In the course of preparing our report, we reviewed the Bank’s and the Target’s audited financials for the year ended December 31, 2009, and the Bank’s and Target’s unaudited financials for the three months ending March 31, 2010. We also reviewed the registration statement on Form S-1 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). We have conducted due diligence analysis of the Bank and held due diligence related discussions with the Bank’s Management and Board, Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated, (the Bank’s underwriter), Kilpatrick Stockton LLP (the Bank’s special counsel), and Ostrowski and Company (the Bank’s M&A advisor for this transaction). The valuation parameters set forth in the appraisal were predicated on these discussions but all conclusions related to the valuation were reached and made independent of such discussions.

Where appropriate, we considered information based upon other publicly available sources, which we believe to be reliable; however, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information. We visited the Bank’s primary market area and reviewed the market area’s economic condition. We also reviewed the competitive environment in which the Bank operates and its relative strengths and weaknesses. We compared the Bank’s performance with selected publicly traded thrift institutions. We reviewed conditions in the securities markets in general and in the market for savings institutions in particular. Our analysis included a review of the estimated effects of the Conversion of the Bank on the operations and expected financial performance as they related to the Bank’s estimated pro forma value.

In preparing our valuation, we relied upon and assumed the accuracy and completeness of financial and other information provided to us by the Bank and its independent accountants. We did not independently verify the financial statements and other information provided by the Bank and its independent accountants, nor did we independently value any of the Bank’s assets or liabilities. This estimated valuation considers the Bank only as a going concern and should not be considered as an indication of its liquidation value.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 3   
 

 

Our valuation is not intended, and must not be construed, to be a recommendation of any kind as the advisability of purchasing shares of Common Stock in the stock issuance. Moreover, because such valuation is necessarily based upon estimates and projections of a number of matters, all of which are subject to change from time to time, no assurance can be given that persons who purchase shares of Common Stock in the stock issuance will thereafter be able to sell such shares at prices related to the foregoing valuation of the pro forma market value thereof. FinPro is not a seller of securities within the meaning of any federal or state securities laws. Any report prepared by FinPro shall not be used as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.

The estimated valuation herein will be updated as appropriate. These updates will consider, among other factors, any developments or changes in the Bank’s financial condition, operating performance, management policies and procedures and current conditions in the securities market for thrift institution common stock. Should any such developments or changes, in our opinion, be material to the estimated pro forma market value of the Bank, appropriate adjustments to the estimated pro forma market value will be made. The reasons for any such adjustments will be explained at that time.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 4   
 

 

1. Overview and Financial Analysis

GENERAL OVERVIEW

As of March 31, 2010, the Bank had $564.2 million in total assets, $388.1 million in deposits, $480.8 million in net loans and $50.7 million in equity.

As of March 31, 2010, the Target had $135.7 million in total assets, $117.7 million in deposits, $113.2 million in net loans and $15.7 million in equity.

The following table sets forth information with respect to the Bank’s and the Target’s full-service banking offices. The data shown below is the most recently available public data with regard to branch deposits (June 30, 2009).

FIGURE 1 – CURRENT FACILITIES LIST

 

         City    State    County    Zip Code    Deposits as of June 30,    Growth (%)  

Address

               2009    2008    2004    2008 - 2009     2004 - 2009  

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation (MHC)

                
1.  

1009 New Haven Rd

   Naugatuck    CT    New Haven    06770-4716    42,853    40,800    34,899    5.03   22.79
2.  

333 Church St

   Naugatuck    CT    New Haven    06770-2806    134,454    133,739    118,436    0.53   13.52
3.  

127 S Main St

   Beacon Falls    CT    New Haven    06403-1447    25,391    25,185    16,684    0.82   52.19
4.  

504 Bridgeport Ave Unit 300

   Shelton    CT    Fairfield    06484-4765    35,640    34,573    22,257    3.09   60.13
5.  

49 Pershing Dr

   Derby    CT    New Haven    06418-1406    25,973    23,723    10,146    9.48   155.99
6.  

249 West St

   Seymour    CT    New Haven    06483-2650    40,127    36,489    NA    9.97   NA   
7.  

1699 Highland Ave

   Cheshire    CT    New Haven    06410-1271    22,139    14,986    NA    47.73   NA   
8.  

1030 Hamilton Ave

   Waterbury    CT    New Haven    06706-2348    23,900    16,028    NA    49.11   NA   
9.  

1570 Southford Rd

   Southbury    CT    New Haven    06488-2412    19,340    16,251    NA    19.01   NA   
10.  

450 Heritage Rd Ste 3C

   Southbury    CT    New Haven    06488-3871    11,424    1,678    NA    580.81   NA   
 

Total - Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation (MHC)

   381,241    343,452    202,422     

Bank of Southern Connecticut

                
1.  

215 Church St

   New Haven    CT    New Haven    06510-1803    58,056    42,913    38,961    35.29   49.01
2.  

445 W Main St

   Branford    CT    New Haven    06405-3415    18,955    17,165    5,894    10.43   221.60
3.  

1475 Whalley Ave

   New Haven    CT    New Haven    06515-1155    20,611    13,544    8,092    52.18   154.71
4.  

24 Washington Ave

   North Haven    CT    New Haven    06473-2309    20,610    16,019    NA    28.66   NA   
 

Total - Bank of Southern Connecticut

         118,232    89,641    52,947     
 

Total - Combined Entity (14 Branches)

         499,473    433,093    255,369     

Source: SNL Financial


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 5   
 

 

HISTORY AND OVERVIEW

NAUGATUCK VALLEY FINANCIAL

Naugatuck Valley Financial was organized on September 30, 2004 under the laws of the United States to be a holding company for Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan, a stock savings bank also organized under the laws of the United States in connection with Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan’s conversion from the mutual to the mutual holding company form of organization. On September 30, 2004, Naugatuck Valley Financial completed its initial public offering in which it sold 3,269,881 shares, or 43.0%, of its common stock to the public, including 298,091 shares to the Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan Employee Stock Ownership Plan. An additional 4,182,407 shares, or 55.0% of Naugatuck Valley Financial’s outstanding stock, were issued to Naugatuck Valley Mutual Holding Company, Naugatuck Valley Financial’s federally chartered mutual holding company. Additionally, Naugatuck Valley Financial contributed 152,087 shares, or 2.0% of its outstanding common stock, to the Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan Charitable Foundation.

Naugatuck Valley Financial’s business activities consist of the ownership of Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan’s capital stock and the management of the offering proceeds it retained. Naugatuck Valley Financial does not own or lease any property. Instead, it uses the premises, equipment and other property of Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan. Accordingly, the information set forth in this prospectus, including the consolidated financial statements and related financial data, relates primarily to Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan. As a federally chartered savings and loan holding company, Naugatuck Valley Financial is subject to the regulation of the Office of Thrift Supervision.

Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan operates as a community-oriented financial institution offering traditional financial services to consumers and businesses in its market areas. Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan attracts deposits from the general public and uses those funds to originate one- to four-family real estate, multi-family and commercial real estate, construction, commercial and consumer loans, which Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan generally holds for investment. Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan also maintains an investment portfolio. Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan is regulated by the Office of Thrift Supervision and its deposits are insured up to applicable legal limits under the Deposit Insurance Fund administered by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan is also a member of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Boston.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 6   
 

 

SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT BANCORP

Southern Connecticut Bancorp (“the Target”) is a bank holding company headquartered in New Haven, Connecticut that was incorporated on November 8, 2000. Southern Connecticut Bancorp’s strategic objective is to serve as a bank holding company for a community-based commercial bank and a mortgage broker serving primarily New Haven County (the “Greater New Haven Market”). Southern Connecticut Bancorp owns 100% of the capital stock of The Bank of Southern Connecticut, a Connecticut-chartered bank with its headquarters in New Haven, Connecticut, and 100% of the capital stock of SCB Capital Inc., operating under the name “Evergreen Financial Services” (“Evergreen”), which is licensed by the State of Connecticut Department of Banking to operate a mortgage brokerage business and also operates from Southern Connecticut Bancorp’s headquarters in New Haven, Connecticut. Southern Connecticut Bancorp and its subsidiaries focus on meeting the financial services needs of consumers and small to medium-sized businesses, professionals and professional corporations, and their owners and employees in the Greater New Haven Market.

The Bank of Southern Connecticut operates branches at four locations, including downtown New Haven, the Amity/Westville section of New Haven, Branford and North Haven. The Bank of Southern Connecticut’s branches have a consistent, attractive appearance. Each location has an open lobby, comfortable waiting area, offices for the branch manager and a loan officer, and a conference room. The design of the branches complements the business development strategy of The Bank of Southern Connecticut, affording an appropriate space to deliver personalized banking services in professional, confidential surroundings.

The Bank of Southern Connecticut focuses on serving the banking needs of small to medium-sized businesses, professionals and professional corporations, and their owners and employees in the Greater New Haven Market. The Bank of Southern Connecticut’s target commercial customer has between $1.0 and $30.0 million in revenues, 15 to 150 employees, and borrowing needs of up to $3.0 million. The primary focus on this commercial market makes The Bank of Southern Connecticut uniquely qualified to move deftly in responding to the needs of its clients. The Bank of Southern Connecticut has been successful in winning business by offering a combination of competitive pricing for its services, quick decision making processes and a high level of personalized, “high touch” customer service.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 7   
 

 

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

The Bank’s business strategy is to grow and improve profitability by:

 

   

Maintaining capital at “well capitalized” levels;

 

   

Maintaining high levels of asset quality;

 

   

Maintaining a well diversified loan portfolio;

 

   

Improving the efficiency ratio;

 

   

Managing interest rate risk;

 

   

Expanding the franchise and footprint through acquisition opportunities and the opening of additional branch offices;

 

   

Developing secondary market capabilities; and

 

   

Maintaining multiple sources of liquidity.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 8   
 

 

BALANCE SHEET TRENDS

The Bank’s balance sheet increased by $58.5 million between December 31, 2005 and December 31, 2006, by $48.7 million between December 31, 2006 and December 31, 2007, by $72.9 million from December 31, 2007 to December 31, 2008 and by $21.3 million between December 31, 2008 and December 31, 2009. For the three months ended March 31, 2010, the Bank’s balance sheet increased $7.2 million.

Equity was $50.7 million as of March 31, 2010 and the equity to assets ratio was 8.99% at March 31, 2010.

The Target’s balance sheet increased by $35.7 million between December 31, 2005 and December 31, 2006 and by $6.3 million between December 31, 2006 and December 31, 2007. From December 31, 2007 to December 31, 2008 the balance sheet decreased $15.6 million. From December 31, 2008 and December 31, 2009 the Target increased total assets $20.7 million. For the three months ended March 31, 2010, the Bank’s balance sheet increased $99 thousand.

Equity was $15.7 million as of March 31, 2010 and the equity to assets ratio was 11.54% at March 31, 2010.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 9   
 

 

FIGURE 2 - ASSET AND RETAINED EARNINGS CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 10   
 

 

The following tables set forth certain information concerning the financial position of the Bank and the Target at the dates indicated.

FIGURE 3 - KEY BALANCE SHEET DATA

Naugatuck Valley Financial

 

      At March 31,    At December 31,

Selected Financial Condition (in thousands)

   2010    2009    2008    2007    2006    2005

Total assets

   $ 564,215    $ 556,955    $ 535,386    $ 462,527    $ 413,855    $ 355,346

Securities held-to-maturity

     1,373      1,451      —        1,190      2,531      5,002

Securities available-for-sale

     40,432      37,623      63,844      65,264      67,736      58,047

Loans receivable, net

     480,841      473,304      431,976      359,831      308,376      259,427

Cash and cash equivalents

     9,263      12,146      8,247      8,370      7,942      8,951

Deposits

     388,077      380,931      363,026      321,398      289,198      240,846

Borrowed Funds

     120,933      118,984      119,148      85,107      68,488      57,059

Total capital

     50,710      50,308      45,589      50,457      51,084      50,964

Southern Connecticut Bancorp

 

     At March 31,    At December 31,

Selected Financial Condition (in thousands)

   2010    2009    2008    2007    2006    2005

Total assets

   $ 135,709    $ 135,610    $ 114,917    $ 130,564    $ 124,263    $ 88,574

Securities held-to-maturity

     —        —        —        —        —        —  

Securities available-for-sale

     2,735      2,220      5,130      5,266      8,055      9,973

Loans receivable, net

     113,217      109,865      89,241      85,995      75,306      55,882

Cash and cash equivalents

     2,860      2,542      5,267      3,891      5,821      967

Deposits

     117,687      117,556      93,970      107,422      101,274      65,280

Borrowed Funds

     1,382      1,470      1,395      1,730      2,072      2,553

Total capital

     15,664      15,633      18,541      20,084      20,332      20,297

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 11   
 

 

FIGURE 4 - KEY RATIOS

Naugatuck Valley Financial

 

     At March 31,     At December 31,  
     2010     2009     2008     2007     2006     2005  

Performance Ratios:

            

Return on average assets

   0.22   0.37   -0.06   0.33   0.38   0.62

Return on average equity

   2.45   4.10   -0.64   2.77   2.79   3.66

Interest rate spread (1)

   3.38   3.00   2.88   2.76   3.07   3.68

Net interest margin (2)

   3.45   3.09   3.02   2.95   3.26   3.87

Noninterest expense to average assets

   2.75   2.68   2.66   2.86   3.03   3.27

Efficiency ratio (3)

   75.43   78.43   101.28   87.18   85.93   80.61

Average int-earning assets to average int-bearing liabilities

   103.54   103.77   104.46   105.65   107.18   111.20

Average equity to average assets

   9.16   8.97   9.71   11.80   13.65   16.87

Asset Quality Ratios:

            

Allowance for loan losses as a percent of total loans

   0.99   0.84   0.66   0.60   0.67   0.72

Allowance for loan losses as a percent of nonperforming loans

            
   43.00   66.60   107.13   222.99   103.03   638.78

Net charge-offs to average outstanding loans during the period

   0.00   0.00   -0.01   0.02   0.00   0.01

Nonperforming loans as a percent of total loans

   2.30   1.26   0.62   0.27   0.65   0.11

Nonperforming assets as a percent of total assets

   2.00   1.10   0.50   0.21   0.49   0.10

Capital Ratios:

            

Total equity to total assets

   8.99   9.03   8.52   10.91   12.34   14.34

Tier 1 capital (to adjusted assets) (4)

   7.74   7.76   7.58   8.81   9.53   11.42

Tier 1 capital (to risk-weighted assets) (4)

   10.08   10.16   10.36   12.22   13.56   17.07

Total capital (to risk-weighted assets) (4)

   11.19   11.10   11.09   12.88   14.29   17.88

Other Data:

            

Deposit accounts

   30,883      30,712      30,721      29,489      27,385      25,592   

Offices

   10      10      10      9      9      6   

Southern Connecticut Bancorp

 

     At March 31,     At December 31,  
     2010     2009     2008     2007     2006     2005  

Performance Ratios:

            

Return on average assets

   0.05   -2.24   0.12   -0.45   -0.12   -0.33

Return on average equity

   0.46   -17.50   0.68   -2.80   -0.58   -1.38

Interest rate spread (1)

   3.42   2.68   3.31   3.51   3.81   4.04

Net interest margin (2)

   4.07   3.45   4.46   4.89   5.27   5.02

Noninterest expense to average assets

   4.42   4.46   5.28   5.28   5.57   5.53

Efficiency ratio (3)

   101.08   118.74   94.40   100.54   97.62   101.33

Average int-earning assets to average int-bearing

   143.93   144.11   155.03   148.32   160.56   168.28

Average equity to average assets

   11.59   12.79   17.05   15.99   20.46   23.66

Asset Quality Ratios:

            

Allowance for loan losses as a percent of total loans

   2.36   2.46   1.31   1.43   1.39   1.37

Allowance for loan losses as a percent of nonperforming loans

   45.03   47.36   99.44   100.08   351.99   134.37

Net charge-offs to average outstanding loans during the

   0.00   0.42   0.36   0.41   0.05   0.35

Nonperforming loans as a percent of total loans

   5.24   5.19   1.40   1.43   0.39   1.02

Nonperforming assets as a percent of total assets

   4.49   4.31   1.10   0.96   0.24   0.65

Capital Ratios:

            

Total equity to total assets

   11.54   11.56   16.13   15.38   16.36   22.92

Tier 1 capital (to adjusted assets) (4)

   11.53   11.24   15.64   15.08   17.56   24.17

Tier 1 capital (to risk-weighted assets) (4)

   12.31   11.99   17.13   18.80   21.80   29.17

Total capital (to risk-weighted assets) (4)

   13.57   13.25   18.46   19.97   22.96   30.30

Other Data:

            

Deposit accounts

   3,294      3,727      3,647      3,657      3,181      2,063   

Offices

   4      4      4      5      5      4   

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 12   
 

 

LOAN PORTFOLIO

The Bank’s loan portfolio has increased by $48.9 million from December 31, 2005 to December 31, 2006, by $51.5 million from December 31, 2006 to December 31, 2007, by $72.1 million from December 31, 2007 to December 31, 2008 and by $41.3 million from December 31, 2008 to December 31, 2009. The Bank increased net loans by $7.5 million from December 31, 2009 to March 31, 2010. As a percent of assets, the loan portfolio has increased from 73.01% to 85.22% between December 31, 2005 and March 31, 2010, respectively.

The Target’s loan portfolio has increased by $19.4 million from December 31, 2005 to December 31, 2006, by $10.7 million from December 31, 2006 to December 31, 2007, by $3.2 million from December 31, 2007 to December 31, 2008 and by $20.6 million from December 31, 2008 to December 31, 2009. The Target increased net loans by $3.4 million from December 31, 2009 to March 31, 2010. As a percent of assets, the loan portfolio has increased from 63.09% to 83.43% between December 31, 2005 and March 31, 2010, respectively.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 13   
 

 

FIGURE 5 - NET LOANS RECEIVABLE CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 14   
 

 

Since December 31, 2005, the Bank’s loan portfolio composition has shifted toward multi-family and commercial real estate and commercial loans and has shifted away from one-to-four-family residential real estate and home equity loans.

FIGURE 6 - LOAN MIX AS OF MARCH 31, 2010

Naugatuck Valley Financial

 

    At March 31,     At December 31,  

($000s)

  2010     2009     2008     2007     2006     2005  
    Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent  

Real estate loans:

                       

One-to four-family

  $ 230,913      47.24   $ 229,693      47.74   $ 216,201      49.51   $ 193,787      53.24   $ 179,374      57.27   $ 156,900      59.44

Multi-family and commercial

    153,159      31.33     134,931      28.05     106,028      24.28     70,051      19.25     45,879      14.65     33,608      12.73

Construction

    35,318      7.23     46,298      9.62     50,596      11.59     41,041      11.27     30,124      9.62     24,943      9.45
                                                                                   

Total real estate loans

    419,390      85.80     410,922      85.41     372,825      85.38     304,879      83.76     255,377      81.54     215,451      81.62

Consumer loans:

                       

Savings accounts

    2,585      0.53     1,113      0.23     1,093      0.25     1,272      0.35     634      0.20     785      0.30

Personal

    207      0.04     256      0.05     262      0.06     302      0.08     275      0.09     212      0.08

Automobile

    203      0.04     230      0.05     271      0.06     327      0.09     186      0.06     160      0.06

Home equity

    36,161      7.40     37,276      7.75     39,655      9.08     40,517      11.13     43,220      13.80     37,628      14.25
                                                                                   

Total consumer loans

    39,156      8.01     38,875      8.08     41,281      9.45     42,418      11.65     44,315      14.15     38,785      14.69

Commercial and industrial

    30,278      6.19     31,325      6.51     22,567      5.17     16,690      4.59     13,508      4.31     9,728      3.69
                                                                                   

Total loans

    488,824      100     481,122      100     436,673      100     363,987      100     313,200      100     263,964      100

Less:

                       

Deferred loan origination costs (fees), net

    (501       (486       (529       (461       (410       (401  

Allowance for loan losses

    (4,795       (3,996       (2,869       (2,163       (2,071       (1,878  

Undisbursed construction loans

    (2,687       (3,336       (1,299       (1,532       (2,343       (2,258  
                                                                                   

Net loans

  $ 480,841        $ 473,304        $ 431,976        $ 359,831        $ 308,376        $ 259,427     
                                                                                   

Southern Connecticut Bancorp

 

($000s)

   At March 31,
2010
    At December 31,
2009
 
     Amount    Percent     Amount    Percent  

Commercial loans secured by RE

   $ 64,811    55.83   $ 63,837    56.60

Commercial loans

     46,363    39.94     43,893    38.92

Construction loans

     4,543    3.91     4,608    4.09

Consumer installment loans

     367    0.32     449    0.40
                          

Total Loans

   $ 116,084    100.00   $ 112,786    100.00
                          

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 15   
 

 

The two large components in the Bank’s loan portfolio are 1-4 family residential loans, which account for 47.24% of the portfolio mix at March 31, 2010, and multi-family and commercial real estate loans, which account for 31.33% of the portfolio mix at March 31, 2010.

The Target’s loan portfolio was heavily weighted in loans secured by commercial real estate as well as a moderate concentration in commercial and industrial loans at March 31, 2010.

FIGURE 7 - LOAN MIX AT MARCH 31, 2010

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 16   
 

 

INVESTMENTS

The Bank’s investment portfolio decreased $21.2 million between December 31, 2005 and March 31, 2010. The Target’s investment portfolio decreased $7.2 million between December 31, 2005 and March 31, 2010.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 17   
 

 

FIGURE 8 - SECURITIES CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 18   
 

 

INVESTMENTS AND MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES

The following table sets forth the amortized cost and fair values of the Bank’s securities portfolio at the dates indicated. All of the securities were classified as available-for-sale at the dates indicated. The portfolio is predominately agency sponsored MBS.

FIGURE 9 - INVESTMENT MIX

Naugatuck Valley Financial

 

     At March 31,
2010
   At December 31,
        2009    2008    2007

(in thousands)

   Amortized
Cost
   Fair
Value
   Amortized
Cost
   Fair
Value
   Amortized
Cost
   Fair
Value
   Amortized
Cost
   Fair
Value

Available-for-sale Securities

                       

U.S. Government and agency obligations

   $ 1,527    $ 1,587    $ 1,529    $ 1,583    $ 1,537    $ 1,604    $ 2,749    $ 2,744

Mortgage-backed securities

     26,176      27,216      23,561      24,500      42,297      43,030      31,352      31,261

Collateralized mortgage obligations

     3,125      3,028      3,091      3,000      3,339      3,183      3,547      3,494

Municipal obligations

     —        —        —        —        8,888      8,993      14,092      14,075

Money market preferred obligations

     8,200      7,868      8,200      7,880      9,273      6,744      12,700      12,700

Corporate obligations

     1,000      733      1,000      660      1,000      290      1,000      990

Held-to-maturity securities:

                       

U.S. Government and agency obligations

     1,373      1,398      1,451      1,475      —        —        1,000      998

Interest-bearing balances

     —        —        —        —        —        —        190      190
                                                       

Total

   $ 41,401    $ 41,830    $ 38,832    $ 39,098    $ 66,334    $ 63,844    $ 66,630    $ 66,452
                                                       

Southern Connecticut Bancorp

 

     At March 31,
2010

($000s)

   Amortized Cost

U.S. Government sponsored agency obligations

   $ 956

U.S. Treasury bills

     1,700

Mortgage-backed securities

     80
      

Total

   $ 2,735
      

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 19   
 

 

ASSET QUALITY

The Bank’s nonperforming assets increased to $11.3 million at March 31, 2010 from $341 thousand at December 31, 2005. The Bank’s nonperforming asset to total assets ratio increased from 0.10% at December 31, 2005 to 2.00% at March 31, 2009.

The Target’s nonperforming asset to total assets ratio increased from 0.65% at December 31, 2005 to 4.47% at March 31, 2009.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 20   
 

 

FIGURE 10 - ASSET QUALITY CHART

Naugatuck Valley Financial

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 21   
 

 

At March 31, 2010, the Bank’s nonperforming loans to total loan ratio was 2.30% and the nonperforming assets to total assets ratio was 2.00%. The largest increases in the portfolio were multi-family and commercial real estate. Nonperforming one-to-four-family real estate loans increased by $422 thousand from December 31, 2009 to March 31, 2010. Nonperforming multi-family and commercial real estate increased by $3.7 million from December 31, 2009 to March 31, 2010. Nonperforming construction loans increased $25 thousand from December 31, 2009 to March 31 2010.

FIGURE 11 - NONPERFORMING LOANS

Naugatuck Valley Financial

 

      March  31,
2010
    At December 31,  

($000s)

     2009     2008     2007     2006     2005  

Nonaccrual loans:

            

One- to four-family

   $ 2,248      $ 1,826      $ 1,100      $ 422      $ 423      $ 165   

Construction

     4,331        1,250        370        —          1,036        —     

Multi-family and commercial real estate

     2,734        2,114        1,001        356        352        120   

Commercial business

     477        452        142        144        142        9   

Consumer

     170        358        65        48        57        —     
                                                

Total non performing loans

     9,960        6,000        2,678        970        2,010        294   
                                                

Troubled debt restructurings

     1,190        —          —          —          —          —     
                                                

Foreclosed real estate

     120        140        —          —          —          47   
                                                

Total nonperforming assets

   $ 11,270      $ 6,140      $ 2,678      $ 970      $ 2,010      $ 341   

Total nonperforming loans to total loans

     2.30     1.26     0.62     0.27     0.65     0.11

Total nonperforming loans to total assets

     1.98     1.08     0.50     0.21     0.49     0.08

Total nonperforming assets to total assets

     2.00     1.10     0.50     0.21     0.49     0.10

Southern Connecticut Bancorp

 

      March  31,
2010
   At December 31,

($000s)

      2009    2008

Non-accrual loans

   $ 5,713    $ 5,363    $ 882

Accruing loans contractually past due 90 days or more

        

Loans past due 90 days or more and still accruing

     211      484      196

Matured loans pending renewal and still accruing

     146      —        189
                    

Total

   $ 358    $ 484    $ 384
                    

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 22   
 

 

FIGURE 12 - ALLOWANCE FOR POSSIBLE LOAN AND LEASE LOSSES CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 23   
 

 

FUNDING COMPOSITION

The Bank experienced deposit growth of $147.2 million between December 31, 2005 and March 31, 2010 as deposits increased from $240.8 million to $388.1 million. Borrowings trended upward between December 31, 2005 and March 31, 2010 as well, due to the Bank implementing leverage strategies. As of March 31, 2009, the Bank had outstanding borrowings of $120.3 million.

The Target’s deposits fluctuated from December 31, 2005 through March 31, 2010, increasing a total of $52.3 over the time period from $65.3 to a total of $117.7. Borrowing levels trended downward, decreasing $1.2 million from $2.6 million to $1.4 million.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 24   
 

 

FIGURE 13 - DEPOSIT AND BORROWING TREND CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 25   
 

 

The following chart illustrates the Bank’s deposit mix as of March 31, 2010. The two largest components of the deposit mix are certificates of deposit and savings accounts.

FIGURE 14 - DEPOSIT MIX

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 26   
 

 

ASSET/LIABILITY MANAGEMENT

The following table, which is based on information that the Bank provided to the Office of Thrift Supervision, presents the change in the net portfolio value of the Bank at March 31, 2010 (the latest date for which the information is available) that would occur in the event of an immediate change in interest rates based on Office of Thrift Supervision assumptions, with no effect given to any steps that the Bank might take to counteract that change. The Bank’s interest rate risk position is considered to be “Minimum Risk” according to TB-13a.

FIGURE 15 - INTEREST RATE RISK

Naugatuck Valley Financial

 

     Net Portfolio Value     Portfolio Value of Assets  

Basis point (“bp”) Change in rates

   Amount    Change     % Change     NPV Ratio     Change (bp)  
          ($000s)                    

300

   $ 36,150    (22,289   -38.14   6.58   (338

200

     44,660    (13,779   -23.58   7.93   (203

100

     52,573    (5,866   -10.04   9.13   (83

50

     55,902    (2,537   -4.34   9.61   (35

0

     58,439    —        0.00   9.96   —     

-50

     59,677    1,238      2.12   10.10   14   

-100

     59,827    1,388      2.38   10.08   12   

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 27   
 

 

NET WORTH AND CAPITAL

At March 31, 2010 the Bank and the Target had capital in excess of the minimum requirements for all capital ratios.

FIGURE 16 - CAPITAL ANALYSIS

Naugatuck Valley Financial

 

     Naugatuck Valley Financial
Corporation (MHC)
    Naugatuck Valley Savings
& Loan (MHC)
 

March 31, 2010

   Actual    Capital
Adequacy
Target Ratio
    Actual     Capital
Adequacy
Target Ratio
 

Total Capital to Risk Weighted Assets

   NA    8.00   11.19   8.00

Tier 1 Capital to Risk Weighted Assets

   NA    4.00   10.08   4.00

Tier 1 (leverage) Capital Ratio to Average Assets

   NA    4.00   7.74   4.00

Southern Connecticut Bancorp

 

     Southern Connecticut
Bancorp
    The Bank of Southern
Connecticut
 

March 31, 2010

   Actual     Capital
Adequacy
Target Ratio
    Actual     Capital
Adequacy
Target Ratio
 

Total Capital to Risk Weighted Assets

   13.57   8.00   12.73   8.00

Tier 1 Capital to Risk Weighted Assets

   12.31   4.00   11.47   4.00

Tier 1 (leverage) Capital Ratio to Average Assets

   11.53   4.00   10.75   4.00

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 28   
 

 

PROFITABILITY TRENDS

Net income trended downward between the twelve months ended December 31, 2005 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2008. For the twelve months ended December 31, 2009, the Bank achieved $2.0 million in net income, which represents an increase over the twelve months ended December 31, 2005. In the first three months of 2010, the Bank achieved $314 thousand in net income.

The Target’s net income has been historically negative and it achieved modest profitability only once from December 31, 2005 to December 2009. In the first three months of 2010, the Target achieved $18 thousand of net income.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 29   
 

 

FIGURE 17 - NET INCOME CHART

LOGO


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 30   
 

 

The net interest spread and margin increased between the three months ended March 31, 2009 and the three months ended March 31, 2010. The increase was primarily attributable to the cost of funds decreasing at a faster rate compared to the yield on earning assets.

FIGURE 18 - AVERAGE YIELDS AND COSTS

Naugatuck Valley Financial

 

     Three Months Ended March 31,  
     2010     2009  
Dollars in thousands    Average
Balance
   Interest
and
Dividends
   Yield/
Cost
    Average
Balance
   Interest
and
Dividends
   Yield/
Cost
 

Interest-earning assets:

                

Loans

   $ 475,011    $ 6,684    5.63   $ 434,724    $ 6,378    5.87

Fed Funds sold

     4,128      1    0.10     11,444      3    0.10

Investment securities

     39,873      458    4.59     59,580      707    4.75

Federal Home Loan Bank stock

     6,252      —      0.00     6,252      —      0.00
                                        

Total interest-earning assets

     525,264      7,143    5.44     512,000      7,088    5.54

Noninterest-earning assets

     35,369           30,706      
                        

Total assets

   $ 560,633         $ 542,706      

Interest-bearing liabilities:

                

Certificate accounts

   $ 233,657    $ 1,658    2.84     240,824    $ 2,096    3.48

Regular savings accounts and escrow

     68,421      85    0.50     53,515      96    0.72

Checking and NOW accounts

     56,269      11    0.08     57,643      12    0.08

Money market savings accounts

     25,881      57    0.88     25,137      96    1.53
                                        

Total interest-bearing deposits

     384,228      1,811    1.89     377,119      2,300    2.44

FHLB advances

     109,895      772    2.81     115,332      1,105    3.83

Other borrowings

     13,170      32    0.97     1,784      10    2.24
                                        

Total interest-bearing liabilities

     507,293      2,615    2.06     494,235      3,415    2.76

Noninterest-bearing liabilities

     1,999           1,898      
                        

Total liabilities

     509,292           496,133      

Stockholders’ equity

     51,341           46,573      
                        

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

   $ 560,633         $ 542,706      

Net interest income

      $ 4,528         $ 3,673   

Interest rate spread

         3.38         2.77

Net interest margin

         3.45         2.87

Average interest-earning assets to average interest-bearing liabilities

         103.54         103.59

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 31   
 

 

Southern Connecticut Bancorp

 

      Three Months Ended March 31,  
     2010     2009  
Dollars in thousands    Average
Balance
    Interest
and
Dividends
   Yield/
Cost
    Average
Balance
    Interest
and
Dividends
   Yield/
Cost
 

Interest-earning assets:

              

Loans (1)(2)

   $ 115,179      $ 1,741    6.13   $ 89,799      $ 1,458    6.58

Short-term and other investments

     11,659        23    0.80     11,433        48    1.70

Investments

     2,718        7    1.04     5,151        59    4.65

Federal funds sold

     —          —      0.00       
                                          

Total interest-earning assets

     129,556        1,771    5.54     106,383        1,565    5.97

Cash and due from banks

     3,811             4,149        

Premises and equipment, net

     2,460             2,727        

Allowance for loan losses

     (2,774          (1,232     

Other

     2,768             2,237        
                          

Total Non interest-earning assets

     6,265             7,881        
                          

Total assets

   $ 135,821           $ 114,264        

Interest-bearing liabilities:

              

Time certificates

   $ 51,586      $ 331    2.60   $ 35,690      $ 300    3.41

Savings deposits

     2,377        4    0.68     1,478        5    1.37

Money market/checking deposits

     33,534        90    1.09     32,054        144    1.82

Capital lease obligations

     1,175        44    15.19     1,180        44    15.12

Repurchase agreements

     1,343        2    0.60     450        1    0.90
                                          

Total interest bearing liabilities

     90,015        471    2.12     70,852        494    2.83

Non-interest bearing deposits

     29,115             23,942        

Accrued expenses and other liabilities

     945             1,016        
                          

Total Noninterest-bearing liabilities

     30,060             24,958        
                          

Total liabilities

     120,075             95,810        

Stockholders’ equity

     15,746             18,454        
                          

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

   $ 135,821           $ 114,264        

Net interest income

     $ 1,300        $ 1,071   

Interest rate spread

        3.42        3.14

Net interest margin

        4.07        4.08

Average interest-earning assets to average interest-bearing liabilities

        143.93        150.15

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 32   
 

 

The Banks’ spread and margin trended downward between December 31, 2005 and December 31, 2007, however from December 31, 2008 through March 31, 2010, the Bank’s spread and margin increased as rates decreased. The Target’s spread and margin decreased from December 31, 2005 to December 31, 2009 but increased in the first quarter of 2010.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 33   
 

 

FIGURE 19 - SPREAD AND MARGIN CHART

LOGO

 


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 34   
 

 

FIGURE 20 - INCOME STATEMENT TRENDS

Naugatuck Valley Financial

 

      For the Twelve Months Ended March 31,    For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,

Selected Financial Condition ($000s)

   2010    2009    2009    2008     2007    2006    2005

Interest income

   $ 7,143    $ 7,088    $ 28,291    $ 28,203      $ 25,030    $ 20,750    $ 15,908

Interest expense

     2,615      3,415      12,537      13,904        13,174      9,350      4,941
                                                 

Net interest income

     4,528      3,673      15,754      14,299        11,856      11,400      10,967

Provision (credit) for loan losses

     809      285      1,144      675        151      192      32

Net interest income after provision (credit) for loan losses

     3,719      3,388      14,610      13,624        11,705      11,208      10,935

Noninterest income

     571      706      2,742      (1,048     2,354      1,948      1,517

Noninterest expense

     3,854      3,598      14,541      13,454        12,422      11,504      10,097
                                                 

(Loss) income before income tax (benefit) expense

     436      496      2,811      (878     1,637      1,652      2,355

Income tax (benefit) expense

     122      127      818      (566     217      204      450
                                                 

Net (loss) income (1)

   $ 314    $ 369    $ 1,993    $ (312   $ 1,420    $ 1,448    $ 1,905
                                                 

Southern Connecticut Bancorp

 

     For the Twelve Months Ended March 31,     For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,  

Selected Financial Condition ($000s)

   2010     2009     2009     2008    2007     2006     2005  

Interest income

   $ 1,771      $ 1,565      $ 6,426      $ 7,000    $ 9,143      $ 7,080      $ 5,179   

Interest expense

     471        494        2,172        2,240      3,378        2,223        1,152   
                                                       

Net interest income

     1,300        1,071        4,254        4,760      5,765        4,857        4,027   

Provision (credit) for loan losses

     (34     2,146        1,992        226      538        253        216   

Net interest income after provision (credit) for loan losses

     1,334        (1,075     2,262        4,534      5,227        4,604        3,811   

Noninterest income

     184        163        629        1,667      960        804        630   

Noninterest expense

     1,500        1,396        5,798        6,067      6,761        5,526        4,719   
                                                       

(Loss) income before income tax (benefit) expense

     18        (2,308     (2,907     134      (574     (118     (278

Income tax (benefit) expense

     —          —          —          —        —          —          —     
                                                       

Net (loss) income (1)

   $ 18      $ (2,308   $ (2,907     134    $ (574   $ (118   $ (278
                                                       

Source: Offering Prospectus


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 35   
 

 

LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

Periodically, there have been various claims and lawsuits against the Bank, such as claims to enforce liens, condemnation proceedings on properties in which the Bank hold security interests, claims involving the making and servicing of real property loans and other issues incident to the Bank’s business. The Bank is not a party to any pending legal proceedings that it believes would have a material adverse effect on its financial condition, results of operations or cash flows.

SUBSIDIARIES

Naugatuck Valley Savings and Loan is the wholly-owned subsidiary of Naugatuck Financial Corporation.

Bank of Southern Connecticut is the wholly-owned subsidiary of Southern Connecticut Bancorp.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 36   
 

 

2. Market Area Analysis

Connecticut Market Area:

The Bank is headquartered in Naugatuck, Connecticut, which is located in southwestern Connecticut approximately six miles south of Waterbury and 26 miles north of Bridgeport. In addition to its main office, it operates nine branch offices in the greater Naugatuck Valley market which is considered the Bank’s market area. The greater Naugatuck Valley market encompasses the communities in the central and lower Naugatuck Valley regions in New Haven County, where the main office and eight of its branch offices are located, and Fairfield County, where one of its branch offices is located. The economy in the market area is primarily oriented to the service, retail, construction, and manufacturing industries.

The Target serves the Greater New Haven Market, which is comprised of the communities located in and around New Haven County in Southern Central Connecticut. The Greater New Haven Market is located in the center of, and is a critical component of, the commercial activity of the northeast corridor in New England. The market focus resides in the busy transportation and commercial area between New York City to the south, Hartford to the north, Providence to the east, and Boston to the northeast. The diversified economic base of this market region includes pharmaceutical, advanced manufacturing, healthcare, defense, technology, service and energy companies. The region is also one of New England’s most popular tourist destinations, featuring popular shoreline and heritage sites. In addition, Southern Connecticut Bancorp’s headquarters is located in downtown New Haven, in the area of Yale University’s campus.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 37   
 

 

The following tables provide deposit and demographic data for the Bank’s market area.

FIGURE 21 - DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR NEW HAVEN, CT

 

Demographic Summary: New Haven, CT              
     Base
2000
   Current
2009
   Projected
2014
   % Change
2000 - 2009
    % Change
2009 - 2014
 

Total Population (actual)

   824,008    848,827    857,643    3.01      1.04   

0-14 Age Group (%)

   20.55    19.05    18.85    (4.48   (0.03

15-34 Age Group (%)

   26.24    25.78    26.41    1.22      3.51   

35-54 Age Group (%)

   30.02    28.84    26.20    (1.05   (8.22

55-69 Age Group (%)

   12.11    15.65    17.64    33.10      13.86   

70+ Age Group (%)

   11.08    10.68    10.91    (0.73   3.20   

Median Age (actual)

   37.00    39.10    39.20    5.68      0.26   

Total Households (actual)

   319,040    329,253    333,263    3.20      1.22   

< $25K Households (%)

   25.33    18.98    17.24    (22.67   (8.06

$25-49K Households (%)

   25.67    20.72    20.65    (16.70   0.90   

$50-99K Households (%)

   33.22    38.37    40.70    19.20      7.35   

$100K+ Households (%)

   15.78    21.93    21.41    43.40      (1.19

Average Household Income ($)

   62,220    77,965    80,512    25.31      3.27   

Median Household Income ($)

   48,834    62,319    66,012    27.61      5.93   

Per Capita Income ($)

   24,439    30,751    31,856    25.83      3.59   
Source: SNL Financial & ESRI              

FIGURE 22 - DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR FAIRFIELD, CT

 

Demographic Summary: Fairfield, CT              
     Base
2000
   Current
2009
   Projected
2014
   % Change
2000 - 2009
    % Change
2009 - 2014
 

Total Population (actual)

   882,567    908,106    914,371    2.89      0.69   

0-14 Age Group (%)

   21.92    21.49    20.73    0.88      (2.92

15-34 Age Group (%)

   24.04    23.05    24.34    (1.32   6.33   

35-54 Age Group (%)

   31.52    30.56    27.50    (0.23   (9.40

55-69 Age Group (%)

   12.74    15.21    17.26    22.85      14.23   

70+ Age Group (%)

   9.78    9.68    10.17    1.84      5.82   

Median Age (actual)

   37.30    39.20    39.70    5.09      1.28   

Total Households (actual)

   324,232    331,823    333,893    2.34      0.62   

< $25K Households (%)

   17.98    12.88    11.70    (26.70   (8.57

$25-49K Households (%)

   20.64    15.20    15.55    (24.64   2.92   

$50-99K Households (%)

   30.35    28.31    26.37    (4.53   (6.28

$100K+ Households (%)

   31.03    43.61    46.38    43.84      7.02   

Average Household Income ($)

   103,255    128,398    136,054    24.35      5.96   

Median Household Income ($)

   64,876    87,897    92,333    35.48      5.05   

Per Capita Income ($)

   38,350    47,227    50,031    23.15      5.94   
Source: SNL Financial & ESRI              


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 38   
 

 

3. Comparisons with Publicly Traded Thrifts

INTRODUCTION

This section presents an analysis of the Bank’s operations against a selected group (“Comparable Group”) of publicly traded thrifts. The Comparable Group was selected based upon similarity of characteristics to the Bank. The Comparable Group multiples provide the basis for the valuation of the Bank.

Factors that influence the Bank’s value such as balance sheet structure and size, profitability, income and expense trends, capital levels, credit risk, and recent operating results can be measured against the Comparable Group. The Comparable Group’s current market pricing, coupled with the appropriate aggregate adjustment for differences between the Bank and the Comparable Group, will then be utilized as the basis for the pro forma valuation of the Bank’s to-be-issued common stock.

SELECTION CRITERIA

The goal of the selection criteria process is to find those institutions with characteristics that most closely match those of the Bank. In an ideal world, all of the Comparable Group would contain the exact characteristics of the Bank. However, none of the Comparables selected will be exact clones of the Bank.

As of the date of this appraisal, there are a total of 256 thrifts that trade on public exchanges or are private companies. There are 144 traded on the NYSE, NASDAQ or AMEX. FinPro limited the Comparable Group to institutions whose common stock is listed on a major exchange, (defined as the NYSE, NASDAQ or AMEX) since these companies tend to trade regularly. FinPro believes that thrifts that trade over-the-counter, as pink sheets, or private companies are inappropriate for the Comparable Group, due to irregular trading activity and wide bid/ask spreads, which may skew the trading value and make trading multiples less reliable as an indicator of value.

Institutions that were structured as Mutual Holding Companies (MHC’s) were eliminated. 38 institutions were eliminated due to the MHC structure, leaving 106 remaining institutions.

Institutions outside of the New England region were eliminated. 90 institutions were eliminated due to being outside the target region.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 39   
 

 

Of the 16 remaining institutions, 6 institutions were eliminated due to their size. An institution was eliminated if total assets were below $450 million or above $1.6 billion.

The remaining 10 institutions were deemed acceptable Comparables.

Using the criteria established, the Comparable Group was created. It is important to note that none of the Comparables will be identical clones of the Bank, and as such, subjective adjustments will have to be made. A variance to the Comparable median was established for each data field.

FIGURE 23 - COMPARABLE GROUP

 

         

Corporate

Ticker

  

Short Name

  

Exchange

  

City

  

State

   Number
of
Offices
  

IPO Date

   Comparable Thrift Data               

CEBK

  

Central Bancorp, Inc.

   NASDAQ    Somerville    MA    11    10/24/1986

CBNK

  

Chicopee Bancorp, Inc.

   NASDAQ    Chicopee    MA    8    07/20/2006

HBNK

  

Hampden Bancorp, Inc.

   NASDAQ    Springfield    MA    9    01/17/2007

HIFS

  

Hingham Institution for Savings

   NASDAQ    Hingham    MA    10    12/20/1988

LEGC

  

Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

   NASDAQ    Pittsfield    MA    20    10/26/2005

LSBX

  

LSB Corporation

   NASDAQ    North Andover    MA    8    05/02/1986

NHTB

  

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   NASDAQ    Newport    NH    27    05/27/1986

NFSB

  

Newport Bancorp, Inc.

   NASDAQ    Newport    RI    6    07/07/2006

UBNK

  

United Financial Bancorp, Inc.

   NASDAQ    West Springfield    MA    24    12/04/2007

WFD

  

Westfield Financial, Inc.

   NASDAQ    Westfield    MA    11    01/04/2007
  

Average

              
  

Median

              
  

Maximum

              
  

Minimum

              
  

Pro-forma Results*

            14   
  

Pro-forma Variance to the Comparable Median

              

NVSL

  

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation (MHC)

   NASDAQ    Naugatuck    CT    10    10/1/2004

SSE

  

Southern Connecticut Bancorp, Inc.

   NYSE Amex    New Haven    CT    4    7/6/2001
  

NVSL Variance to the Comparable Median

              
  

SSE Variance to the Comparable Median

              

* Does not include adjustments resulting from the Second Step Transaction


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 40   
 

 

OVERVIEW OF THE COMPARABLES

The members of the Comparable Group were reviewed against the Bank to ensure comparability based upon the following criteria:

 

  1. Asset size

 

  2. Profitability

 

  3. Capital Level

 

  4. Balance Sheet Mix

 

  5. Operating Strategy

 

  6. Date of conversion

1. Asset Size Ideally, the Comparable Group should have a similar asset size to the Bank. The Comparable Group ranged in size from $456.6 million to $1.5 billion in total assets with a median of $872.6 million. The Bank’s pro forma asset size, prior to the capital raise, was $696.9 million as of March 31, 2010. At the pro forma midpoint of the offering range including the merger, the Bank is expected to have assets of $723.0 million.

2. Profitability The Comparable Group had a median core ROAA of 0.49% and a median core ROAE of 3.10% for the last twelve months. The pro forma Bank, prior to the capital raise, had a core ROAA of 0.23% and a core ROAE of 2.60% for the twelve months ended March 31, 2010. On a pro forma basis including the conversion, the Bank’s core ROAA and core ROAE are 0.20% and 1.67%, respectively.

3. Capital Level The Comparable Group had a median tangible equity to tangible assets ratio of 11.36% with a high of 20.47% and a low of 6.60%. At March 31, 2010, the pro forma Bank, prior to the capital raise, had a tangible equity to tangible assets ratio of 8.01%. At the midpoint of the conversion and including the merger, the Bank would have a pro forma tangible equity to tangible assets ratio of 11.35%.

4. Balance Sheet Mix At March 31, 2010, the pro forma Bank, prior to the capital raise, had a loan to asset ratio of 85.87%. The median loan to asset ratio for the Comparables was 72.48%, ranging from a low of 38.96% to a high of 85.08%. On the liability side, the pro forma Bank’s, prior to the capital raise, deposit to asset ratio was 72.72% at March 31, 2010 while the Comparable median was 67.15%, ranging from 55.12% to 74.88%. The pro forma Bank’s borrowing to asset ratio prior to the capital raise of 17.38% is slightly below the Comparable median of 20.36%.

5. Operating Strategy An institution’s operating characteristics are important because they determine future performance. Operational strategy also affects expected rates of return and investors’ general perception of the quality, risk and attractiveness of a given company. Specific operating characteristics include profitability, balance sheet growth, asset quality, capitalization and non-financial factors such as management strategies and lines of business.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 41   
 

 

6. Date of Conversion Recent conversions, were excluded since the earnings of a newly converted institution do not reflect the reinvestment of conversion proceeds. Additionally, new issues tend to trade at a discount to the market averages.

The following table represents key financial indicators for the Bank and the Comparable Group.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 42   
 

 

FIGURE 24 - KEY FINANCIAL INDICATORS

 

     NVSL at or for the
Twelve Months Ended
3/31/10
   SSE at or for the Twelve
Months Ended 3/31/10
    Pro-forma* at or for the
Twelve Months Ended
3/31/10
   Comparable Group
Median Last Twelve
Months

Balance Sheet Data

          

Gross Loans to Deposits

   125.14    98.52      118.08    105.78

Total Net Loans to Assets

   86.07    85.44      85.87    72.48

Securities to Assets

   8.52    2.06      7.31    20.55

Deposits to Assets

   68.78    86.72      72.72    67.15

Borrowed Funds to Assets

   21.43    1.02      17.38    20.36

Balance Sheet Growth

          

Asset Growth Rate

   3.96    19.71      6.25    3.74

Loan Growth Rate

   9.59    28.91      12.82    2.86

Deposit Growth Rate

   2.20    24.57      6.86    7.52

Capital

          

Equity to Assets

   8.99    11.54      8.65    11.91

Tangible Equity to Tangible Assets

   8.98    11.54      8.01    11.36

Intangible Assets to Equity

   0.15    —        0.70    —  

Regulatory Core Capital to Assets

   7.74    10.75      6.61    12.51

Equity + Reserves to Assets

   9.84    13.56      9.34    12.71

Asset Quality

          

Non-Performing Loans to Loans

   2.30    4.93      2.21    1.48

Reserves to Non-Performing Loans

   43.00    47.86      36.20    62.82

Non-Performing Assets to Assets

   2.00    4.21      1.92    1.28

Non-Performing Assets to Equity

   22.22    36.47      22.16    11.22

Reserves to Loans

   0.99    2.36      0.80    1.13

Reserves to Non-Performing Assets + 90 Days Del.

   42.55    45.03      34.94    60.13

Profitability

          

Return on Average Assets

   0.35    (0.43   0.01    0.39

Return on Average Equity

   3.94    (3.66   0.10    2.35

Core Return on Average Assets

   0.36    (0.43   0.23    0.49

Core Return on Average Equity

   4.02    (3.66   2.60    3.10

Income Statement

          

Yield on Average Earning Assets

   5.52    5.04      5.41    5.10

Cost of Average Interest Bearing Liabilities

   2.37    1.64      2.10    2.64

Net Interest Spread

   3.15    2.65      2.95    2.52

Net Interest Margin

   3.24    3.40      3.31    3.22

Noninterest Income to Average Assets

   0.44    0.46      0.48    0.48

Noninterest Expense to Average Assets

   2.66    4.38      3.37    2.70

Efficiency Ratio

   76.16    110.99      84.55    73.69

Overhead Ratio

   72.74    112.52      97.57    69.71

 

* Does not include adjustments resulting from the Second Step


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 43   
 

 

     NVSL at or for the
Twelve Months Ended
3/31/10
   SSE at or for the Twelve
Months Ended 3/31/10
    Pro-forma* at or for the
Twelve Months Ended
3/31/10
   Comparable Group
Median Last Twelve
Months

Balance Sheet Data

          

Gross Loans to Deposits

   125.14    98.52      118.08    105.78

Total Net Loans to Assets

   86.07    85.44      85.87    72.48

Securities to Assets

   8.52    2.06      7.31    20.55

Deposits to Assets

   68.78    86.72      72.72    67.15

Borrowed Funds to Assets

   21.43    1.02      17.38    20.36

Balance Sheet Growth

          

Asset Growth Rate

   3.96    19.71      6.25    3.74

Loan Growth Rate

   9.59    28.91      12.82    2.86

Deposit Growth Rate

   2.20    24.57      6.86    7.52

Capital

          

Equity to Assets

   8.99    11.54      8.65    11.91

Tangible Equity to Tangible Assets

   8.98    11.54      8.01    11.36

Intangible Assets to Equity

   0.15    —        0.70    —  

Regulatory Core Capital to Assets

   7.74    10.75      6.61    12.51

Equity + Reserves to Assets

   9.84    13.56      9.34    12.71

Asset Quality

          

Non-Performing Loans to Loans

   2.30    4.93      2.21    1.48

Reserves to Non-Performing Loans

   43.00    47.86      36.20    62.82

Non-Performing Assets to Assets

   2.00    4.21      1.92    1.28

Non-Performing Assets to Equity

   22.22    36.47      22.16    11.22

Reserves to Loans

   0.99    2.36      0.80    1.13

Reserves to Non-Performing Assets + 90 Days Del.

   42.55    45.03      34.94    60.13

Profitability

          

Return on Average Assets

   0.35    (0.43   0.01    0.39

Return on Average Equity

   3.94    (3.66   0.10    2.35

Core Return on Average Assets

   0.36    (0.43   0.23    0.49

Core Return on Average Equity

   4.02    (3.66   2.60    3.10

Income Statement

          

Yield on Average Earning Assets

   5.52    5.04      5.41    5.10

Cost of Average Interest Bearing Liabilities

   2.37    1.64      2.10    2.64

Net Interest Spread

   3.15    2.65      2.95    2.52

Net Interest Margin

   3.24    3.40      3.31    3.22

Noninterest Income to Average Assets

   0.44    0.46      0.48    0.48

Noninterest Expense to Average Assets

   2.66    4.38      3.37    2.70

Efficiency Ratio

   76.16    110.99      84.55    73.69

Overhead Ratio

   72.74    112.52      97.57    69.71

 

* Does not include adjustments resulting from the Second Step

Source: The Bank’s Offering Circular, FinPro calculations and SNL Securities


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 44   
 

 

4. Market Value Determination

MARKET VALUE ADJUSTMENTS

The estimated pro forma market value of the Bank, along with certain adjustments to its value relative to market values for the Comparable Group are delineated in this section. The adjustments are made from potential investors’ viewpoint and are adjustments necessary when comparing the Bank to the Comparable Group. The adjustment factors are subjectively assessed using the appraiser’s knowledge and expertise and an aggregate adjustment is determined. Potential investors include depositors holding subscription rights and unrelated parties who may purchase stock in the community offering and who are assumed to be aware of all relevant and necessary facts as they pertain to the value of the Bank relative to other publicly traded thrift institutions and relative to alternative investment opportunities.

There are numerous criteria on which the market value adjustments are based. The major criteria utilized for purposes of this report include:

Adjustments Relative to the Comparable Group:

 

   

Financial Condition

 

   

Asset Quality

 

   

Balance Sheet Growth

 

   

Earnings Quality, Predictability and Growth

 

   

Market Area

 

   

Cash Dividends

 

   

Liquidity of the Issue

 

   

Recent Regulatory Matters

Adjustments for Other Factors:

 

   

Management

 

   

Subscription Interest

 

   

Other than Temporary Impairment Charge

To ascertain the market value of the Bank, the median trading multiple values for the Comparable Group are utilized as the starting point. The adjustment, up or down, to the Comparable Group median multiple values is made based on the comparison of the Bank to the Comparable Group.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 45   
 

 

FINANCIAL CONDITION

The balance sheet strength of an institution is an important market value determinant, as the investment community considers such factors as cash liquidity, capitalization, asset composition, funding mix, intangible levels and interest rate risk in assessing the attractiveness of investing in the common stock of a thrift. The following figures summarize the key financial elements of the pro forma Bank measured against the Comparable Group.

FIGURE 25 - KEY BALANCE SHEET DATA

 

          Key Financial Data for the Most Recent Period End  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Total
Assets
($000)
    Loans/
Deposits
(%)
    Loans/
Assets
(%)
   Securities/
Assets
(%)
    Deposits/
Assets
(%)
   Borrowings/
Assets
(%)
 
   Comparable Thrift Data               

CEBK

  

Central Bancorp, Inc.

   542,444      136.07      85.08    8.20      62.53    28.54   

CBNK

  

Chicopee Bancorp, Inc.

   545,765      122.62      78.99    13.08      64.42    18.20   

HBNK

  

Hampden Bancorp, Inc.

   577,841      101.13      72.00    20.48      71.19    11.92   

HIFS

  

Hingham Institution for Savings

   966,387      108.66      75.93    10.90      69.88    22.52   

LEGC

  

Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

   946,224      97.95      68.45    20.86      69.88    16.54   

LSBX

  

LSB Corporation

   806,567      107.96      67.50    27.06      62.53    29.26   

NHTB

  

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   938,665      90.95      68.10    23.18      74.88    14.33   

NFSB

  

Newport Bancorp, Inc.

   456,610      136.27      77.63    12.18      56.97    31.19   

UBNK

  

United Financial Bancorp, Inc.

   1,512,683      103.59      72.95    20.62      70.42    14.06   

WFD

  

Westfield Financial, Inc.

   1,199,757      70.68      38.96    54.58      55.12    23.72   
  

Average

   849,294      107.59      70.56    21.11      65.78    21.03   
  

Median

   872,616      105.78      72.48    20.55      67.15    20.36   
  

Maximum

   1,512,683      136.27      85.08    54.58      74.88    31.19   
  

Minimum

   456,610      70.68      38.96    8.20      55.12    11.92   
  

Pro-forma Results*

   696,907      118.08      85.87    7.31      72.72    17.38   
   Pro-forma Variance to the Comparable Median    (175,709   12.30      13.39    (13.24   5.57    (2.98

NVSL

  

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation (MHC)

   564,215      125.14      86.07    8.52      68.78    21.43   

SSE

  

Southern Connecticut Bancorp, Inc.

   135,709      98.52      85.44    2.06      86.72    1.02   
  

NVSL Variance to the Comparable Median

   (308,401   19.36      13.59    (12.03   1.63    1.07   
  

SSE Variance to the Comparable Median

   (736,907   (7.26   12.96    (18.49   19.57    (19.34

 

* Does not include adjustments resulting from the Second Step Transaction

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

Asset Size - The Bank’s pro forma assets, at $696.9 million, are moderately below the Comparable Group median of $872.6 million. At the pro forma midpoint of the offering range, the Bank is expected to have assets of $723.0 million.

Asset Composition - The Bank’s pro forma loans to assets ratio of 85.87% is above the Comparable Group median of 72.48%. The pro forma Bank has a lower level of securities as a percentage of assets.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 46   
 

 

Funding Mix - The pro forma Bank funds itself through deposits, 72.72% of assets, and borrowings, 17.38% of assets. The Comparable Group has a deposits to assets ratio of 67.15% and a borrowing to asset ratio of 20.36%.

Cash Liquidity - The cash liquidity of the Bank and the Comparable Group appear to be sufficient to meet funding requirements and regulatory guidelines.

Interest Rate Risk - The Bank’s interest rate risk position is illustrated on page 26. The Bank’s interest rate risk position is considered to be “Minimum Risk”. The pro forma increase in capital is expected to reduce the institution’s interest rate risk. No similar data is available for the Comparable Group.

FIGURE 26 - CAPITAL DATA

 

          Capital for the Most Recent Period End  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Equity/
Assets
(%)
    Tangible
Tang Equity/
Tang Assets
(%)
    Intangible
Assets/
Equity
(%)
   Core Capital/
Tangible
Assets

(%)
    Equity  +
Reserves/
Assets
(%)
 
   Comparable Thrift Data            

CEBK

  

Central Bancorp, Inc.

   8.32      7.94      4.95    9.22      8.88   

CBNK

  

Chicopee Bancorp, Inc.

   17.33      17.33      —      17.20      18.12   

HBNK

  

Hampden Bancorp, Inc.

   16.25      16.25      —      15.80      17.29   

HIFS

  

Hingham Institution for Savings

   6.94      6.94      —      7.03      7.57   

LEGC

  

Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

   12.72      11.62      9.72    7.90      13.57   

LSBX

  

LSB Corporation

   7.69      7.69      —      NA      8.59   

NHTB

  

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   9.50      6.60      32.73    NA      10.61   

NFSB

  

Newport Bancorp, Inc.

   11.09      11.09      —      NA      11.85   

UBNK

  

United Financial Bancorp, Inc.

   14.82      14.35      3.70    NA      15.46   

WFD

  

Westfield Financial, Inc.

   20.47      20.47      —      20.65      21.10   
  

Average

   12.51      12.03      5.11    12.97      13.30   
  

Median

   11.91      11.36      —      12.51      12.71   
  

Maximum

   20.47      20.47      32.73    20.65      21.10   
  

Minimum

   6.94      6.60      —      7.03      7.57   
  

Pro-forma Results*

   8.65      8.01      0.70    6.61      9.34   
  

Pro-forma Variance to the Comparable Median

   (3.26   (3.35   0.70    (5.90   (3.37

NVSL

  

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation (MHC)

   8.99      8.98      0.15    7.74      9.84   

SSE

  

Southern Connecticut Bancorp, Inc.

   11.54      11.54      —      10.75      13.56   
  

NVSL Variance to the Comparable Median

   (2.92   (2.38   0.15    (4.77   (2.87
  

SSE Variance to the Comparable Median

   (0.37   0.18      —      (1.76   0.85   

 

* Does not include adjustments resulting from the Second Step Transaction

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

Capitalization - The Comparable Group’s median tangible equity to tangible assets ratio of 11.36% is above the pro forma Bank’s, prior to the capital raise, ratio of 8.01%. The Bank’s pro forma tangible equity to tangible assets ratio is projected to be 11.35% at the midpoint of the valuation range.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 47   
 

 

Positive

  

Neutral

  

Negative

Higher Loan to Assets    Similar Post offering Capital ratio   
Lower Borrowings to Assets      
Higher Deposits to Assets      

The pro forma Bank’s asset mix is weaker than the Comparable Group’s mix. The pro forma Bank has a higher level of loans and deposits and a lower level of borrowings as a percentage of assets relative to the Comparable Group. The pro forma converted Bank has similar tangible capital levels at the midpoint of the range. Collectively a slight upward adjustment is warranted for financial condition.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 48   
 

 

ASSET QUALITY

The asset quality of an institution is an important determinant of market value. The investment community considers levels of nonperforming loans, Real Estate Owned (“REO”) and levels of Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses (“ALLL”) in assessing the attractiveness of investing in the common stock of an institution.

FIGURE 27 - ASSET QUALITY TABLE

 

          Asset Quality for the Most Recent Period End  
          NPLs/    Reserves/     NPAs/    NPAs/    Reserves/     Reserves/  
          Loans    NPLs     Assets    Equity    Loans     NPAs + 90  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   (% )    (% )     (% )    (% )    (% )     (% )  
   Comparable Thrift Data                

CEBK

   Central Bancorp, Inc.    1.63    40.25      1.40    16.86    0.66      39.93   

CBNK

   Chicopee Bancorp, Inc.    1.11    89.52      0.90    5.17    1.00      88.05   

HBNK

   Hampden Bancorp, Inc.    2.46    58.88      1.93    11.86    1.45      54.05   

HIFS

   Hingham Institution for Savings    1.41    59.42      1.34    19.39    0.83      47.15   

LEGC

   Legacy Bancorp, Inc.    2.73    45.77      2.06    16.19    1.25      41.59   

LSBX

   LSB Corporation    2.02    66.21      1.36    17.72    1.34      66.21   

NHTB

   New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.    1.47    110.09      1.01    10.59    1.62      110.09   

NFSB

   Newport Bancorp, Inc.    0.50    194.45      0.39    3.52    0.98      194.45   

UBNK

   United Financial Bancorp, Inc.    1.49    58.38      1.22    8.22    0.87      52.13   

WFD

   Westfield Financial, Inc.    0.75    215.62      0.37    1.82    1.62      168.59   
   Average    1.56    93.86      1.20    11.13    1.16      86.22   
   Median    1.48    62.82      1.28    11.22    1.13      60.13   
   Maximum    2.73    215.62      2.06    19.39    1.62      194.45   
   Minimum    0.50    40.25      0.37    1.82    0.66      39.93   
   Pro-forma Results*    2.21    36.20      1.92    22.16    0.80      34.94   
   Pro-forma Variance to the Comparable Median    0.73    (26.62   0.64    10.94    (0.33   (25.19

NVSL

   Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation (MHC)    2.30    43.00      2.00    22.22    0.99      42.55   

SSE

   Southern Connecticut Bancorp, Inc.    4.93    47.86      4.21    36.47    2.36      45.03   
   NVSL Variance to the Comparable Median    0.82    (19.82   0.72    11.00    (0.14   (17.58
   SSE Variance to the Comparable Median    3.45    (14.96   2.93    25.25    1.23      (15.10

 

* Does not include adjustments resulting from the Second Step Transaction

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

The Bank’s pro forma, prior to capital raise, NPA to asset ratio of 1.92% was above the Comparable Group median NPA to asset ratio of 1.28%. The Bank’s pro forma reserve level, 0.80% to total loans, is below the Comparable median of 1.13% of loans. The Bank’s pro forma level of reserves to NPLs, at 36.20%, is below the Comparable Group median of 62.82%. The Bank’s pro forma level of NPAs and NPLs increased substantially in the quarter ended March 31, 2010.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 49   
 

 

Positive

  

Neutral

  

Negative

      Higher NPLs and NPAs
      Lower ALLL to NPLs
      Lower ALLL to Loans

The pro forma Bank has a higher level of NPLs and NPAs and the increase came in the quarter ending March 31, 2010. The Bank has a lower level of reserves as a percentage of loans relative to the Comparable levels due to the FASB 141r adjustment created from the merger. The investment community is carefully scrutinizing asset quality. Taken collectively, a strong downward adjustment is warranted for asset quality.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 50   
 

 

BALANCE SHEET GROWTH

The Bank’s assets, loans and deposits have all increased. Relative to the Comparable Group median, the pro forma Bank’s asset and loan growth is higher, while deposit growth is slightly below the Comparable Group. However, the contribution from SSE has caused the growth rates of the combined company to be high. On a going forward basis, this higher level of growth is not expected to continue.

FIGURE 28 - BALANCE SHEET GROWTH DATA

 

          Growth  
          Asset Growth     Loan Growth     Deposit Growth  
          LTM     LTM     LTM  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   (% )     (% )     (% )  
   Comparable Thrift Data       

CEBK

   Central Bancorp, Inc.    (5.80   0.18      (9.57

CBNK

   Chicopee Bancorp, Inc.    3.87      2.99      1.56   

HBNK

   Hampden Bancorp, Inc.    0.02      7.29      7.65   

HIFS

   Hingham Institution for Savings    15.05      9.06      20.22   

LEGC

   Legacy Bancorp, Inc.    (2.26   (7.36   2.73   

LSBX

   LSB Corporation    3.61      13.44      16.29   

NHTB

   New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.    8.30      1.57      7.39   

NFSB

   Newport Bancorp, Inc.    3.44      2.73      6.77   

UBNK

   United Financial Bancorp, Inc.    21.68      28.17      33.93   

WFD

   Westfield Financial, Inc.    6.58      (1.16   10.07   
   Average    5.45      5.69      9.70   
   Median    3.74      2.86      7.52   
   Maximum    21.68      28.17      33.93   
   Minimum    (5.80   (7.36   (9.57
   Pro-forma Results*    6.25      12.82      6.86   
   Pro-forma Variance to the Comparable Median    2.51      9.96      (0.66

NVSL

   Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation (MHC)    3.96      9.59      2.20   

SSE

   Southern Connecticut Bancorp, Inc.    19.71      28.91      24.57   
   NVSL Variance to the Comparable Median    0.22      6.73      (5.32
   SSE Variance to the Comparable Median    15.97      26.05      17.05   
         

 

* Does not include adjustments resulting from the Second Step Transaction

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

 

Positive

  

Neutral

  

Negative

Higher asset and loan growth

      Slightly lower deposit growth

An moderate upward adjustment is warranted.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 51   
 

 

EARNINGS QUALITY, PREDICTABILITY AND GROWTH

The earnings quality, predictability and growth are critical components in the establishment of market values for thrifts. Thrift earnings are primarily a function of:

 

   

net interest income

 

   

loan loss provision

 

   

non-interest income

 

   

non-interest expense

The quality and predictability of earnings is dependent on both internal and external factors. Some internal factors include the mix of the balance sheet, the interest rate sensitivity of the balance sheet, the asset quality, and the infrastructure in place to deliver the assets and liabilities to the public. External factors include the competitive market for both assets and liabilities, the global interest rate scenario, local economic factors and regulatory issues.

Investors are focusing on earnings sustainability as interest rate volatility has caused a wide variation in income levels. With the intense competition for both assets and deposits, banks cannot easily replace lost spread and margin with balance sheet growth.

Each of these factors can influence the earnings of an institution, and each of these factors is volatile. Investors prefer stability and consistency. As such, solid, consistent earnings are preferred to high but risky earnings. Investors also prefer earnings to be diversified and not entirely dependent on interest income.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 52   
 

 

The Bank’s pro forma, prior to capital raise, core ROAA and core ROAE are below the Comparable Group medians. The Bank’s higher capitalization and benefit plan expenses following the offering are expected to reduce return on equity for the near term. The merger expenses and reduction in ongoing operating expenses should increase return on equity for the near term. On a pro forma basis, inclusive of the second step transaction at the midpoint of the range, the Bank’s core ROAA and core ROAE are 0.20% and 1.67%, respectively (as shown in appraisal). Without the second step transaction, the pro forma core ROAA and core ROAE are 0.23% and 2.60%, respectively.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 53   
 

 

FIGURE 29 - PROFITABILITY DATA


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 54   
 

 

          LTM Profitability  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Return on
Avg Assets
(% )
    Return on
Avg Equity
(% )
    Core
Return on
Avg Assets
(% )
    Core
Return on
Avg Equity
(% )
 
   Comparable Thrift Data         
CEBK   

Central Bancorp, Inc.

   0.36      4.65      0.45      5.77   
CBNK   

Chicopee Bancorp, Inc.

   (0.33   (1.86   (0.14   (0.80
HBNK   

Hampden Bancorp, Inc.

   (0.15   (0.90   (0.13   (0.75
HIFS   

Hingham Institution for Savings

   0.98      13.65      1.00      14.06   
LEGC   

Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

   (0.87   (6.58   (0.19   (1.40
LSBX   

LSB Corporation

   0.70      8.07      0.54      6.26   
NHTB   

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   0.76      8.00      0.60      6.36   
NFSB   

Newport Bancorp, Inc.

   0.18      1.56      0.24      2.08   
UBNK   

United Financial Bancorp, Inc.

   0.41      2.48      0.61      3.71   
WFD   

Westfield Financial, Inc.

   0.47      2.21      0.53      2.49   
  

Average

   0.25      3.13      0.35      3.78   
  

Median

   0.39      2.35      0.49      3.10   
  

Maximum

   0.98      13.65      1.00      14.06   
  

Minimum

   (0.87   (6.58   (0.19   (1.40
  

Pro-forma Results*

   0.01      0.10      0.01      0.17   
  

Pro-forma Variance to the Comparable Median

   (0.38   (2.25   (0.48   (2.93
NVSL   

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation (MHC)

   0.35      3.94      0.36      4.02   
SSE   

Southern Connecticut Bancorp, Inc.

   (0.43   (3.66   (0.43   (3.66
  

NVSL Variance to the Comparable Median

   (0.04   1.59      (0.13   0.92   
  

SSE Variance to the Comparable Median

   (0.82   (6.01   (0.92   (6.76

 

* Does not include adjustments resulting from the Second Step Transaction


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 55   
 

 

          LTM Profitability  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Return on
Avg Assets
(% )
    Return on
Avg Equity
(% )
    Core
Return on
Avg Assets
(% )
    Core
Return on
Avg Equity
(% )
 
   Comparable Thrift Data         
CEBK   

Central Bancorp, Inc.

   0.36      4.65      0.45      5.77   
CBNK   

Chicopee Bancorp, Inc.

   (0.33   (1.86   (0.14   (0.80
HBNK   

Hampden Bancorp, Inc.

   (0.15   (0.90   (0.13   (0.75
HIFS   

Hingham Institution for Savings

   0.98      13.65      1.00      14.06   
LEGC   

Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

   (0.87   (6.58   (0.19   (1.40
LSBX   

LSB Corporation

   0.70      8.07      0.54      6.26   
NHTB   

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   0.76      8.00      0.60      6.36   
NFSB   

Newport Bancorp, Inc.

   0.18      1.56      0.24      2.08   
UBNK   

United Financial Bancorp, Inc.

   0.41      2.48      0.61      3.71   
WFD   

Westfield Financial, Inc.

   0.47      2.21      0.53      2.49   
  

Average

   0.25      3.13      0.35      3.78   
  

Median

   0.39      2.35      0.49      3.10   
  

Maximum

   0.98      13.65      1.00      14.06   
  

Minimum

   (0.87   (6.58   (0.19   (1.40
  

Pro-forma Results*

   0.01      0.10      0.23      2.60   
  

Pro-forma Variance to the Comparable Median

   (0.38   (2.25   (0.26   (0.50
NVSL   

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation (MHC)

   0.35      3.94      0.36      4.02   
SSE   

Southern Connecticut Bancorp, Inc.

   (0.43   (3.66   (0.43   (3.66
  

NVSL Variance to the Comparable Median

   (0.04   1.59      (0.13   0.92   
  

SSE Variance to the Comparable Median

   (0.82   (6.01   (0.92   (6.76

 

* Does not include adjustments resulting from the Second Step Transaction

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 56   
 

 

FIGURE 30 - INCOME STATEMENT DATA

 

          LTM Income Statement

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Yield on
Ave Earn

Assets
(%)
    Cost of
Funds
(%)
    Net
Interest

Spread
(%)
   Net
Interest

Margin
(%)
   Noninterest
Income/
Avg Assets
(%)
    Noninterest
Expense/
Avg Assets
(%)
    Efficiency
Ratio

(%)
   Overhead
Ratio
(%)
   Comparable Thrift Data                    
CEBK   

Central Bancorp, Inc.

   5.38      NA      NA    3.21    0.34      2.68      78.75    76.41
CBNK   

Chicopee Bancorp, Inc.

   4.98      NA      NA    3.22    0.48      3.36      97.18    96.73
HBNK   

Hampden Bancorp, Inc.

   5.00      NA      NA    3.12    0.47      2.98      84.06    81.57
HIFS   

Hingham Institution for Savings

   5.16      NA      NA    3.25    0.22      1.58      44.13    40.20
LEGC   

Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

   5.04      2.31      2.73    3.09    0.59      3.01      84.11    80.85
LSBX   

LSB Corporation

   5.27      2.96      2.31    2.61    0.23      1.69      61.07    57.51
NHTB   

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   4.61      NA      NA    3.30    0.98      2.66      64.19    52.78
NFSB   

Newport Bancorp, Inc.

   5.41      NA      NA    3.29    0.49      2.93      82.16    79.32
UBNK   

United Financial Bancorp, Inc.

   5.20      NA      NA    3.50    0.64      2.72      68.62    62.57
WFD   

Westfield Financial, Inc.

   4.66      NA      NA    2.94    0.32      2.08      66.81    63.00
  

Average

   5.07      2.64      2.52    3.15    0.48      2.57      73.11    69.09
  

Median

   5.10      2.64      2.52    3.22    0.48      2.70      73.69    69.71
  

Maximum

   5.41      2.96      2.73    3.50    0.98      3.36      97.18    96.73
  

Minimum

   4.61      2.31      2.31    2.61    0.22      1.58      44.13    40.20
  

Pro-forma Results*

   5.41      2.10      2.95    3.31    0.48      3.37      84.55    97.57
  

Pro-forma Variance to the Comparable Median

   0.31      (0.54   0.43    0.09    (0.00   0.67      10.86    27.86
NVSL   

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation (MHC)

   5.52      2.37      3.15    3.24    0.44      2.66      76.16    72.74
SSE   

Southern Connecticut Bancorp, Inc.

   5.04      1.64      2.65    3.40    0.46      4.38      110.99    112.52
  

NVSL Variance to the Comparable Median

   0.42      (0.27   0.63    0.02    (0.04   (0.04   2.47    3.03
  

SSE Variance to the Comparable Median

   (0.06   (1.00   0.13    0.18    (0.02   1.68      37.30    42.81

 

* Does not include adjustments resulting from the Second Step Transaction

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

Note: The cost of funds and the net interest spread medians are less reliable due to the lack of five data points.

The pro forma Bank has a 9 basis point advantage in net margin, but a 67 basis point disadvantage in noninterest expense as a percentage of average assets relative to the Comparable Group.

The pro forma Bank’s efficiency ratio of 84.55% is above the Comparable median of 73.69%.

On a forward looking basis, after the conversion the Bank’s operating expenses are expected to rise as a result of the stock benefit plans and additional costs of being a fully public company. However, the merger expenses and reduction in ongoing operating expenses should help decrease non interest expense. At the same time, the Bank will have additional capital to deploy and leverage.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 57   
 

 

Positive

  

Neutral

  

Negative

Conversion proceeds can be leveraged to generate addition earnings    Non interest income    Lower core ROAA and Lower core ROAE
Slightly higher margin       Higher noninterest expense
      Higher efficiency ratio

The Bank’s pro forma profitability is below the Comparables on an ROAA and ROAE basis. The Bank’s earnings composition is mixed compared to the Comparable Group as the Bank has a higher margin, but higher noninterest expense. The Bank’s historical earnings have been trending downward. After the conversion, the Bank will have capital that can be leveraged to enhance future earnings. Taken collectively, a moderate downward adjustment is warranted for this factor.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 58   
 

 

MARKET AREA

The market area that an institution serves has a significant impact on value, as future success is interrelated with the economic, demographic and competitive aspects of the market. The location of an institution will have an impact on the trading value of an institution, as many analysts compare the pricing of institutions relative to a state or regional multiples in investor presentations.

The following figure compares the demographic and competitive data for the counties serviced by the pro forma Bank, to the county data of the Comparable Group members.

FIGURE 31 - MARKET AREA DATA

 

          Number of    Bank’s Deps    Bank’s    Total         Population    Median    HH Income     

Institution
Name

  

County

   Branches
6/30/2009
(actual)
   in the County
6/30/2009
(actual)
   Deposit
Mkt Share
(% )
   Population
2009
(actual)
   Population
Per Branch
(actual)
   Change
2000-2009
(% )
   Change
2009-2014
(% )
   HH Income
2009

($)
   Change
2000-2009
(% )
   Change
2009-2014
(% )
   Unemp.  Rate
Mar-10
(% )

Central Bancorp, Inc.

   Middlesex, MA    517    331,883    0.88    1,485,082    2,872    1.34    0.61    84,469    38.90    6.08    7.40

Central Bancorp, Inc.

   Norfolk, MA    249    29,419    0.17    661,665    2,657    1.75    0.49    88,399    39.52    6.37    8.00

Deposit Weighted Market Data

            0.66       2,803    1.38    0.60    84,789    38.95    6.10    7.58

Chicopee Bancorp, Inc.

   Hampden, MA    159    368,839    4.75    459,791    2,892    0.78    -0.39    50,540    27.24    7.01    11.40

Chicopee Bancorp, Inc.

   Hampshire, MA    59    11,595    0.38    154,109    2,612    1.22    0.11    62,790    36.11    5.36    7.00

Deposit Weighted Market Data

            3.52       2,816    0.79    -0.37    50,913    27.51    6.96    10.30

Hampden Bancorp, Inc.

   Hampden, MA    159    382,379    4.92    459,791    2,892    0.78    -0.39    50,540    27.24    7.01    11.40

Deposit Weighted Market Data

            4.92       2,892    0.78    -0.39    50,540    27.24    7.01    11.40

Hingham Institution for Savings

   Plymouth, MA    163    461,809    6.65    498,968    3,061    5.53    1.84    76,101    36.76    6.59    10.10

Hingham Institution for Savings

   Norfolk, MA    249    95,852    0.55    661,665    2,657    1.75    0.49    88,399    39.52    6.37    8.00

Hingham Institution for Savings

   Suffolk, MA    222    30,463    0.06    695,403    3,132    0.81    0.61    53,416    35.68    6.47    8.30

Deposit Weighted Market Data

            0.78       2,928    4.67    1.56    76,930    37.16    6.55    8.68

Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

   Berkshire, MA    63    535,708    18.12    130,714    2,075    -3.14    -2.36    50,638    29.77    6.56    9.60

Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

   Hampshire, MA    59    10,865    0.35    154,109    2,612    1.22    0.11    62,790    36.11    5.36    7.00

Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

   Greene, NY    26    39,394    4.39    50,332    1,936    4.43    1.24    46,233    26.31    4.87    8.60

Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

   Washington, NY    19    19,686    3.31    63,809    3,358    4.53    1.81    47,455    25.19    4.55    8.60

Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

   Albany, NY    131    19,179    0.12    299,607    2,287    1.71    -0.02    57,331    32.83    7.23    6.50

Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

   Schoharie, NY    12    12,429    3.29    32,034    2,670    1.43    0.31    45,764    25.21    5.59    10.20

Deposit Weighted Market Data

            2.66       2,357    1.70    0.18    51,702    29.24    5.69    7.65

LSB Corporation

   Essex, MA    263    411,029    2.45    744,480    2,831    2.91    0.62    69,858    34.96    6.80    9.90

LSB Corporation

   Rockingham, NH    94    44,706    0.95    302,476    3,218    9.06    3.08    75,903    30.27    5.61    7.40

Deposit Weighted Market Data

            2.12       2,933    5.99    1.85    72,881    32.62    6.21    9.18

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   Sullivan, NH    18    199,177    28.35    43,000    2,389    6.28    2.13    50,087    22.38    1.37    6.90

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   Merrimack, NH    51    190,754    6.38    150,472    2,950    10.46    3.60    61,638    26.61    4.12    6.80

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   Grafton, NH    59    113,671    6.13    87,294    1,480    6.79    2.21    53,139    26.26    2.33    6.00

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   Hillsborough, NH    104    43,216    0.45    407,525    3,919    7.01    2.27    70,703    31.93    5.31    7.40

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   Rutland, VT    26    107,027    12.04    63,505    2,443    0.17    -0.25    49,481    34.54    6.08    7.80

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   Windsor, VT    35    36,403    3.91    57,751    1,650    0.58    -1.40    53,811    32.23    2.70    6.50

Deposit Weighted Market Data

            4.07       2,763    5.22    1.43    56,477    28.99    3.65    7.08

Newport Bancorp, Inc.

   New London, CT    97    48,554    1.07    269,600    2,779    4.06    0.48    65,136    28.58    5.08    8.70

Newport Bancorp, Inc.

   Newport, RI    24    152,568    11.45    83,867    3,494    -1.83    -2.55    66,131    31.24    5.81    13.40

Newport Bancorp, Inc.

   Washington, RI    36    65,838    2.37    130,215    3,617    5.40    1.74    70,461    32.01    6.35    11.30

Deposit Weighted Market Data

            3.09       3,081    2.54    -0.11    67,243    30.61    5.75    10.21

United Financial Bancorp, Inc.

   Hampden, MA    159    793,938    10.23    459,791    2,892    0.78    -0.39    50,540    27.24    7.01    11.40

United Financial Bancorp, Inc.

   Worcester, MA    237    188,540    1.68    794,206    3,351    5.76    1.83    62,731    31.03    5.37    10.20

United Financial Bancorp, Inc.

   Hampshire, MA    59    56,570    1.85    154,109    2,612    1.22    0.11    62,790    36.11    5.36    7.00

Deposit Weighted Market Data

            4.71       3,095    1.71    0.04    53,419    28.41    6.62    10.24

Westfield Financial, Inc.

   Hampden, MA    159    632,736    8.15    459,791    2,892    0.78    -0.39    50,540    27.24    7.01    11.40

Deposit Weighted Market Data

            8.15       2,892    0.78    -0.39    50,540    27.24    7.01    11.40

Comparable Median

            3.30       2,892    1.70    0.11    54,948    29.11    6.38    9.70

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation (MHC)

   New Haven, CT    278    463,833    2.51    848,827    3,053    3.01    1.04    62,319    27.61    5.93    10.00

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation (MHC)

   Fairfield, CT    419    35,640    0.13    908,106    2,167    2.89    0.69    87,897    35.48    5.05    8.40

Deposit Weighted Market Data

                  2,521    3.00    1.01    64,710    28.35    5.84    9.20

Connecticut

      1,313          3,534,235    2,692    3.78    1.14    70,949    31.59    4.99    8.50

National

      99,546          309,731,508    3,111    10.06    4.63    54,719    29.78    4.06    9.90

Sources: SNL Securities


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 59   
 

 

The Bank’s population per branch in its market area is lower than the Comparable Group median as well as Connecticut and national statistics. Historical population growth was higher for the state and national figures compared to the Bank’s market area’s population growth. However, the comparable median historical population growth was well below that of the market area. Projected population growth for the Bank’s market area is projected to remain above the comparable median but below the state and national levels. The Bank’s market area median household income was above the Comparable Group median and national figures, but below the Connecticut state median. Household income in the Bank’s market area is projected to lag behind household income growth of the Comparable Group median but remain above the state and national figures. The Bank’s market area unemployment percentage was below the comparable median and national average but was slightly above the state. Due to the various strengths and weaknesses of the Bank’s market area, no adjustment was given.

 

Positive

  

Neutral

  

Negative

Unemployment Rate       Population per branch
Higher Median HH Income       Lower Projected Median HH Income Growth
Higher Projected Population Growth      


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 60   
 

 

CASH DIVIDENDS

The industry has typically not disclosed dividend policies concurrent with conversion. Recently, a number of financial institutions have cut dividend rates in an effort to conserve capital.

FIGURE 32 - DIVIDEND DATA

 

          Dividends  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Current
Dividend
Yield

(%  )
    LTM  Dividend
Payout

Ratio
(% )
 
   Comparable Thrift Data     

CEBK

  

Central Bancorp, Inc.

   1.74      21.74   

CBNK

  

Chicopee Bancorp, Inc.

   —        —     

HBNK

  

Hampden Bancorp, Inc.

   1.27      NM   

HIFS

  

Hingham Institution for Savings

   2.44      26.81   

LEGC

  

Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

   2.28      NM   

LSBX

  

LSB Corporation

   2.95      25.74   

NHTB

  

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   5.04      46.43   

NFSB

  

Newport Bancorp, Inc.

   —        —     

UBNK

  

United Financial Bancorp, Inc.

   2.06      77.78   

WFD

  

Westfield Financial, Inc.

   2.35      263.16   
  

Average

   2.01      57.71   
  

Median

   2.17      26.28   
  

Maximum

   5.04      263.16   
  

Minimum

   —        —     
  

Pro-forma Results*

   NA      NA   
  

Pro-forma Variance to the Comparable Median

    

NVSL

  

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation (MHC)

   1.73      41.38   

SSE

  

Southern Connecticut Bancorp, Inc.

   —        —     
  

NVSL Variance to the Comparable Median

   (0.44   15.10   
  

SSE Variance to the Comparable Median

   (2.17   (26.28

 

* Does not include adjustments resulting from the Second Step Transaction

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

All but two of the Comparable institutions had declared cash dividends. The median dividend payout ratio for the Comparable Group was 26.28%, ranging from a high of 263.16% to a low of 0.00%. The Bank, on a pro forma basis at the mid point of the value range will have a tangible equity to tangible assets ratio of 11.35%. The Bank will have adequate capital to pay cash dividends.

As such, no adjustment is warranted for this factor.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 61   
 

 

LIQUIDITY OF THE ISSUE

The Comparable Group is by definition composed only of companies that trade in the public markets with all of the Comparables trading on NASDAQ. Typically, the number of shares outstanding and the market capitalization provides an indication of how much liquidity there will be in a given stock. The actual liquidity can be measured by volume traded over a given period of time.

FIGURE 33 - MARKET CAPITALIZATION DATA

 

          Market Data  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Market
Value
($)
    Stock
Price
($)
    Price
High
($)
    Price
Low
($)
    Book
Value
($)
    Tangible
Book
Value
($)
 
   Comparable Thrift Data             

CEBK

  

Central Bancorp, Inc.

   19.20      11.50      11.50      8.41      21.31      19.97   

CBNK

  

Chicopee Bancorp, Inc.

   74.60      11.70      13.15      11.63      14.83      14.83   

HBNK

  

Hampden Bancorp, Inc.

   67.50      9.44      10.16      9.08      13.13      13.13   

HIFS

  

Hingham Institution for Savings

   80.20      37.73      38.05      31.50      31.56      31.56   

LEGC

  

Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

   76.30      8.76      9.84      8.56      13.80      12.40   

LSBX

  

LSB Corporation

   54.90      12.19      14.50      11.61      13.77      13.77   

NHTB

  

New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

   59.60      10.32      11.93      9.91      13.70      8.65   

NFSB

  

Newport Bancorp, Inc.

   44.70      12.15      12.34      11.46      13.61      13.61   

UBNK

  

United Financial Bancorp, Inc.

   226.80      13.56      15.16      12.68      13.39      12.90   

WFD

  

Westfield Financial, Inc.

   251.70      8.51      10.37      7.92      8.30      8.30   
  

Average

   95.55      13.59      14.70      12.28      15.74      14.91   
  

Median

   71.05      11.60      12.14      10.69      13.74      13.37   
  

Maximum

   251.70      37.73      38.05      31.50      31.56      31.56   
  

Minimum

   19.20      8.51      9.84      7.92      8.30      8.30   
  

Pro-forma Results*

   61.80      NA      NA      NA      NA      NA   
  

Pro-forma Variance to the Comparable Median

            

NVSL

  

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corporation (MHC)

   48.80      6.95      7.10      5.76      7.22      7.21   

SSE

  

Southern Connecticut Bancorp, Inc.

   17.00      6.30      6.85      5.66      5.81      5.81   
  

NVSL Variance to the Comparable Median

   (22.25   (4.65   (5.04   (4.93   (6.52   (6.16
  

SSE Variance to the Comparable Median

   (54.05   (5.30   (5.29   (5.03   (7.93   (7.56
               

 

* Does not include adjustments resulting from the Second Step Transaction

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

The market capitalization values of the Comparable Group range from a low of $19.2 million to a high of $251.7 million with a median market capitalization of $71.1 million. The Bank expects to have $61.8 million of market capital at the midpoint on a pro forma basis. It is expected that the Bank will trade on NASDAQ along with all of the Comparables.

A Slight Downward adjustment for this factor appears warranted as the Bank will have a lower market capitalization than the Comparables.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 62   
 

 

RECENT REGULATORY MATTERS

Regulatory matters influence the market for thrift conversions. It is expected that industry regulation will increase as a result of the current crisis and there is a lack of clarity to the resulting regulatory framework. Both the Bank and the Comparable Group are expected to operate in substantially the same regulatory environment.

No adjustment for this factor is warranted as both the Bank and the Comparables will operate in the same ownership structure and will be supervised in the same regulatory environment.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 63   
 

 

5. Other Factors

MANAGEMENT

The current team has considerable banking experience and has held similar positions in other financial institutions. The Bank’s organizational chart is reasonable for an institution of its size and complexity.

The Board is active and oversees and advises on all key strategic and policy decisions.

As such, no adjustment appears to be warranted for this factor.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 64   
 

 

SUBSCRIPTION INTEREST

There have been four second step conversion since January 1, 2008. The median price to tangible book value of these conversions was 73.1%. Northwest’s price to pro forma tangible book value was above the others and is partially attributable to the size of the institution. Eagle completed its second step in April 2010 at 81.2% of tangible book.

FIGURE 34 - SECOND STEP CONVERSIONS (SINCE 1/1/08) PRO FORMA DATA

 

                         Price to Pro Forma

Ticker

  

Name

   IPO Date    Gross
Proceeds ($)
   IPO
Price ($)
   EPS (%)    Book
Value (%)
   Tangible
Book
Value (%)

BCSB

   BCSB Bancorp, Inc.    4/11/2008    $ 19,765    $ 10.00    NM    61.8    65.0

NWBI

   Northwest Bancshares, Inc.    12/18/2009      688,783      10.00    24.8    89.0    103.8

OSHC

   Ocean Shore Holding Co.    12/21/2009      33,490      8.00    17.3    63.0    63.0

EBMT

   Eagle Bancorp Montana, Inc.    4/5/2010      24,643      10.00    12.3    81.2    81.2
           Average       18.1    73.8    78.3
           Median       17.3    72.1    73.1

Source: SNL Securities


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 65   
 

 

There was a first day “pop” for 2010 year-to-date, 2009 full year transactions, and 2008 full year transactions. The median price change after 1 day was 8.95%. Of the four second step conversions, three are currently trading above their IPO price.

FIGURE 35 - CONVERSIONS PRICE APPRECIATION

 

                     Percentage Change in Price  

Ticker

  

Name

   IPO Date    Gross
Proceeds ($)
   After 1
Day (%)
   After 1
Week (%)
   After
1 Month (%)
   After
3 Months (%)
   To
Date (%)
 

BCSB

   BCSB Bancorp, Inc.    4/11/2008    $ 19,765    10.40    14.90    13.50    4.00    (0.10

NWBI

   Northwest Bancshares, Inc.    12/18/2009      688,783    13.50    13.00    14.00    NA    16.30   

OSHC

   Ocean Shore Holding Co.    12/21/2009      33,490    7.50    11.88    13.13    NA    38.75   

EBMT

   Eagle Bancorp Montana, Inc.    4/5/2010      24,643    5.50    5.00    4.00    NA    0.50   
           Average    9.23    11.20    11.16    4.00    13.86   
           Median    8.95    12.44    13.32    4.00    8.40   

Source: SNL Securities, data as of 5/28/2010

No adjustment is given for subscription interest. There are 9 MHCs currently in the subscription phase of their second step process. The success or failure of these companies may result in a future adjustment.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 66   
 

 

VALUATION ADJUSTMENTS

Relative to the Comparables the following adjustments need to be made to the Bank’s pro forma market value.

 

Valuation Factor

  

Valuation Adjustment

Financial Condition    Slight Upward
Asset Quality    Strong Downward
Balance Sheet Growth    Moderate Upward
Earnings Quality, Predictability and Growth    Moderate Downward
Market Area    No Adjustment
Dividends    No Adjustment
Liquidity of the Issue    Slight Downward
Recent Regulatory Matters    No Adjustment

Additionally, the following adjustment should be made to the Bank’s market value.

 

Valuation Factor

  

Valuation Adjustment

Management

   No Adjustment

Subscription Interest

   No Adjustment


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 67   
 

 

6. Valuation

In applying the accepted valuation methodology promulgated by the regulators, i.e., the pro forma market value approach, three key pricing multiples were considered. The four multiples include:

Price to core earnings (“P/E”)

Price to book value (“P/B”) / Price to tangible book value (“P/TB”)

Price to assets (“P/A”)

All of the approaches were calculated on a pro forma basis including the effects of the conversion proceeds. All of the assumptions utilized are presented in Exhibit 13.

DISCUSSION OF WEIGHT GIVEN TO VALUATION MULTIPLES

To ascertain the pro forma estimated market value of the Bank, the market multiples for the Comparable Group were utilized. As a secondary check, all publicly traded thrifts and the recent and historical conversions were assessed. The multiples for the Comparable Group, all publicly traded thrifts are shown in Exhibit 9.

Price to Earnings – According to the Appraisal Guidelines: “When both the converting institution and the comparable companies are recording “normal” earnings. A P/E approach may be the simplest and most direct method of valuation. When earnings are low or negative, however, this approach may not be appropriate and the greater consideration should be given to the P/BV approach.” In this particular case, the Bank’s earnings are skewed by credit costs. As such, this approach was given limited consideration in this appraisal.

In the pro forma figures for the Bank, FinPro incorporated the impact of SFAS 123, which requires the expensing of stock options. In preparing the fully converted pro forma figures for the Comparable Group, FinPro also incorporated the impact of SFAS 123.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 68   
 

 

Price to Book/Price to Tangible Book – According to the Appraisal Guidelines: “The P/BV approach works best when the converting institution and the Comparables have a normal amount of book value. The P/BV approach could seriously understate the value of an institution that has almost no book value but has an outstanding future earnings potential. For converting institutions with high net worth, the appraiser may have difficulty in arriving at a pro forma market value because of pressure placed on the P/E multiple as higher P/BV levels are required to reflect a similar P/BV ratio as the peer group average. The P/BV approach also suffers from the use of historical cost accounting data.”

Since thrift earnings in general have had a high degree of volatility, the P/B is utilized frequently as the benchmark for market value. A better approach is the P/TB approach. In general, investors tend to price financial institutions on a tangible book basis, because it incorporates the P/B approach adjusted for intangibles. Initially following conversion, FinPro believes that thrifts often trade on a price to tangible book basis.

Price to Assets – According to the Appraisal Guidelines: “This approach remedies the problems of a small base that can occur with the P/BV approach, but the approach has many of the other limitations of the latter approach (the P/BV approach).” FinPro places little weight on this valuation approach due to the lack of consideration of asset and funding mixes and the resulting earnings impact.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 69   
 

 

FULL OFFERING VALUE IN RELATION TO COMPARABLES

Based upon the adjustments defined in the previous section, the Bank is pricing at the midpoint as a standard conversion is estimated to be $61,824,590. Based upon a range below and above the midpoint value, the respective values are $54,016,800 at the minimum and $69,632,380 at the maximum respectively. At the super maximum of the range, the offering value would be $78,611,340. At the minimum as adjusted of the range, the offering value would be $50,064,300.

At the various levels of the estimated value range, the full offering would result in the following offering data:

FIGURE 36 - VALUE RANGE

 

Conclusion

   Total Shares
Shares
   Price
Per Share
   Total Value

Appraised Value - Midpoint

   6,182,459    $ 10.00    $ 61,824,590

Range:

        

- Minimum, Adj.

   5,006,430    $ 10.00      50,064,300

- Minimum

   5,401,680      10.00      54,016,800

- Maximum

   6,963,238      10.00      69,632,380

- Super Maximum

   7,861,134      10.00      78,611,340

Source: FinPro Inc. Pro forma Model

FIGURE 37 - APPRAISED VALUE

 

      Appraised Value  
Conclusion    Minimum, Adj.     Minimum     Midpoint     Maximum     SuperMaximum *  

Total Shares

     5,006,430        5,401,680        6,182,459        6,963,238        7,861,134   

Price per Share

   $ 10      $ 10      $ 10      $ 10      $ 10   

Full Conversion Value

   $ 50,064,300      $ 54,016,800      $ 61,824,590      $ 69,632,380      $ 78,611,340   

Exchange Shares

     1,789,416        1,789,416        2,105,195        2,420,974        2,784,120   

Exchange Percent

     35.74     33.13     34.05     34.77     35.42

Conversion Shares

     2,635,000        2,635,000        3,100,000        3,565,000        4,099,750   

Conversion Percent

     52.63     48.78     50.14     51.20     52.15

Merger Shares

     582,014        977,264        977,264        977,264        977,264   

Merger Percent

     11.63     18.09     15.81     14.03     12.43

Gross Proceeds

   $ 22,397,500      $ 26,350,000      $ 31,000,000      $ 35,650,000      $ 40,997,500   

Exchange Value

   $ 17,894,160      $ 17,894,160      $ 21,051,950      $ 24,209,740      $ 27,841,200   

Exchange Ratio

     0.6300        0.6300        0.7412        0.8524        0.9802   

Exchange Value per Minority Share

   $ 6.30      $ 6.30      $ 7.41      $ 8.52      $ 9.80   

 

* SuperMaximum is an overallotment option that is 15% above the maximum amount.

The appraised value of the institution resulted in an exchange value per minority share that ranges from $6.30 per share at the minimum to $9.80 per share at the super maximum, with an exchange value per share of $7.41 at the midpoint.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 70   
 

 

FIGURE 38 - CONVERSION OFFERING PRICING MULTIPLES

 

          Bank     Comparables     State     National  
                Mean     Median     Mean     Median     Mean     Median  
   Min Adj    34.48               
   Min    35.71               

Price-Core Earnings Ratio P/E

   Mid    41.67      21.94      16.70      32.15      32.15      23.99      15.60   
   Max    47.62               
   Smax    52.63               
   Min Adj    63.78            
   Min    65.66            

Price-to-Book Ratio P/B

   Mid    71.58   84.48   83.70   89.45   89.45   76.58   75.30
   Max    76.98            
   Smax    82.64            
   Min Adj    67.98            
   Min    69.74            

Price-to-Tangible Book Ratio P/TB

   Mid    75.87   90.35   88.90   138.90   138.90   85.18   79.55
   Max    81.37            
   Smax    87.11            
   Min Adj    7.00            
   Min    7.51            

Price-to-Assets Ratio P/A

   Mid    8.55   10.45   9.10   19.06   19.06   8.31   6.85
   Max    9.58            
   Smax    10.74            

Source: FinPro Calculations

FIGURE 39 - COMPARABLE CONVERSION PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANKS PRO FORMA MIDPOINT

 

     Price Relative to  
     Earnings    Core Earnings     Book     Tangible Book     Assets  

The Bank (at midpoint) Full Conversion

   NM    41.67      71.58   75.87   8.55

Comparable Group Median

   12.50    16.70      83.70   88.90   9.10

(Discount) Premium

   NA    149.52   -14.48   -14.66   -5.99

Source: SNL data, FinPro Calculations

As Figure 39 demonstrates, at the midpoint of the estimated valuation range the Bank is priced at a 14.66% discount to the Comparable Group on a tangible book basis.

FIGURE 40 - COMPARABLE CONVERSION PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANKS PRO FORMA SUPER MAXIMUM

 

     Price Relative to  
     Earnings    Core Earnings     Book     Tangible Book     Assets  

The Bank (at the supermax) Full Conversion

   NM    52.63      82.64   87.11   10.74

Comparable Group Median

   12.50    16.70      83.70   88.90   9.10

(Discount) Premium

   NA    215.15   -1.27   -2.01   18.09

Source: SNL data, FinPro Calculations

As Figure 40 demonstrates, at the super maximum of the estimated valuation range the Bank is priced at a 2.01% discount to the Comparable Group on a tangible book basis.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 71   
 

 

FIGURE 41 - COMPARABLE CONVERSION PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANKS PRO FORMA MINIMUM

 

     Price Relative to  
     Earnings    Core Earnings     Book     Tangible Book     Assets  

The Bank (at the minimum) Full Conversion

   NM    35.71      65.66   69.74   7.51

Comparable Group Median

   12.50    16.70      83.70   88.90   9.10

(Discount) Premium

   NA    113.83   -21.55   -21.55   -17.43

Source: SNL data, FinPro Calculations

As Figure 41 demonstrates, at the minimum of the estimated valuation range the Bank is priced at a 21.55% discount to the Comparable Group on a tangible book basis.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 72   
 

 

COMPARISON TO OTHER PENDING SECOND STEP CONVERSIONS

As Figure 42 demonstrates, the Bank’s offering price to tangible book value per share range is in between the high end and low end of the pending second step conversion comparable tangible book basis. The Bank is priced between 69.74% and 87.11% of tangible book value per share.

FIGURE 42 - COMPARISON TO OTHER PENDING SECOND STEP CONVERSIONS

 

Ticker

  

Institution

   State    Type    Gross
Proceeds

($)
   Price/
TBVS Range
(%)

ORIT

   Oritani Financial Corp    NJ    Second Step    $ 515,775    82.44 - 98.52

FFCO

   FedFirst Financial Corp.    PA    Second Step      29,756    57.67 - 76.69

ONFC

   Oneida Financial Corp.    NY    Second Step      41,659    89.49 - 112.04

JXSB

   Jacksonville Bancorp    IL    Second Step      15,539    58.28 - 77.88

VPFG

   ViewPoint Financial Group    TX    Second Step      264,500    86.00 - 108.70

FXCB

   Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    PA    Second Step      133,556    72.62 - 92.85

COBK

   Colonial Financial Services    NJ    Second Step      35,708    64.68 - 85.76

CFFN

   Capitol Federal Financial Inc.    KS    Second Step      2,127,500    95.42 - 106.16

KFFG

   Kaiser Federal Financial    CA    Second Step      105,800    69.83 - 88.81

NVSL

   Naugatuck Valley Financial (MHC)    CT    Second Step    $ 35,650    69.74 - 87.11

Source: SNL Securities, FinPro calculations

 

* Offering data is presented at the supermax for all deal; Price/Tangible Book Range presents values at the minimum and supermax


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 73   
 

 

COMPARISON OF THE EXCHANGE VALUE AND STOCK PRICE

FIGURE 43 - COMPARISON OF THE EXCHANGE VALUE PER MINORITY SHARE AND STOCK PRICE

LOGO

Source: SNL data, FinPro Calculations

As Figure 43 demonstrates, the Bank’s stock price is currently between the minimum and the midpoint of the range.


  Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 74   
 

 

VALUATION CONCLUSION

We believe that the discount on a tangible book basis at the midpoint is appropriate relative to the Comparable Group. The resulting pro forma multiples are inline with other pending offerings.

It is, therefore, FinPro’s opinion that as of May 28, 2010, the estimated pro forma market value of the Bank in a full offering was $61,824,590 at the midpoint of a range with a minimum of $54,016,800 to a maximum of $69,632,380 at 15% below and 15% above the midpoint of the range respectively. Assuming an adjusted maximum value of 15% above the maximum value, the adjusted maximum value or super maximum value in a full offering is $78,611,340. Assuming an adjusted minimum value, the value in a full offering is $50,064,300.

The document represents an initial valuation for the Bank. Due to the duration of time that passes between the time this document is compiled and the time the offering closes, numerous factors could lead FinPro to update or revise the appraised value of the Bank. Some factors that could lead FinPro to adjust the appraised value include: (1) changes in the Bank’s operations and financial condition; (2) changes in the market valuation or financial condition of the Comparable Group; (3) changes in the broader market; and (4) changes in the market for thrift conversions. Should there be material changes to any of these factors, FinPro will prepare an appraisal update to appropriately adjust the value of the Bank. At the time of closing, FinPro will prepare a final appraisal to determine if the valuation range is still appropriate and determine the exact valuation amount appropriate for the Bank.


EXHIBITS

OMITTED

IN ACCORDANCE WITH RULE 202 OF REGULATION S-T, THESE EXHIBITS ARE BEING FILED IN PAPER PURSUANT TO A CONTINUING HARDSHIP EXEMPTION.