EX-99.1 3 dex991.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 Exhibit 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc.

Conversion

Valuation

Appraisal

April 29, 2010


Table of Contents

Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc.

Hatboro, Pennsylvania

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

   I

INTRODUCTION

   1

1.

   OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS    3
   GENERAL OVERVIEW    3
   HISTORY AND OVERVIEW    4
   STRATEGIC DIRECTION    5
   BALANCE SHEET TRENDS    6
   LOAN PORTFOLIO    8
   INVESTMENTS    11
   INVESTMENTS AND MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES    12
   ASSET QUALITY    13
   FUNDING COMPOSITION    16
   ASSET/LIABILITY MANAGEMENT    18
   NET WORTH AND CAPITAL    19
   PROFITABILITY TRENDS    20
   LEGAL PROCEEDINGS    24
   SUBSIDIARIES    24

2.

   MARKET AREA ANALYSIS    25

3.

   COMPARISONS WITH PUBLICLY TRADED THRIFTS    30
   INTRODUCTION    30
   SELECTION CRITERIA    30
   OVERVIEW OF THE COMPARABLES    32

4.

   MARKET VALUE DETERMINATION    34
   MARKET VALUE ADJUSTMENTS    34
   FINANCIAL CONDITION    35
   BALANCE SHEET GROWTH    39
   EARNINGS QUALITY, PREDICTABILITY AND GROWTH    40
   MARKET AREA    45


   CASH DIVIDENDS    47
   LIQUIDITY OF THE ISSUE    48
   RECENT REGULATORY MATTERS    49

5.

   OTHER FACTORS    50
   MANAGEMENT    50
   SUBSCRIPTION INTEREST    51
   VALUATION ADJUSTMENTS    53

6.

   VALUATION    54
   DISCUSSION OF WEIGHT GIVEN TO VALUATION MULTIPLES    54
   FULL OFFERING VALUE IN RELATION TO COMPARABLES    56
   COMPARISON TO OTHER PENDING SECOND STEP CONVERSIONS    59
   COMPARISON OF THE EXCHANGE VALUE AND STOCK PRICE    60
   VALUATION CONCLUSION    61


List of Figures

Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc.

Hatboro, Pennsylvania

 

FIGURE 1 - CURRENT FACILITIES LIST

   3

FIGURE 2 - ASSET AND RETAINED EARNINGS CHART

   6

FIGURE 3 - KEY BALANCE SHEET DATA

   7

FIGURE 4 - KEY RATIOS

   7

FIGURE 5 - NET LOANS RECEIVABLE CHART

   8

FIGURE 6 - LOAN MIX AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2009

   9

FIGURE 7 - LOAN MIX AT DECEMBER 31, 2009

   10

FIGURE 8 - SECURITIES CHART

   11

FIGURE 9 - INVESTMENT MIX

   12

FIGURE 10 - ASSET QUALITY CHART

   13

FIGURE 11 - NONPERFORMING LOANS

   14

FIGURE 12 - ALLOWANCE FOR POSSIBLE LOAN AND LEASE LOSSES CHART

   15

FIGURE 13 - DEPOSIT AND BORROWING TREND CHART

   16

FIGURE 14 - DEPOSIT MIX

   17

FIGURE 15 - INTEREST RATE RISK

   18

FIGURE 16 - CAPITAL ANALYSIS

   19

FIGURE 17 - NET INCOME CHART

   20

FIGURE 18 - AVERAGE YIELDS AND COSTS

   21

FIGURE 19 - SPREAD AND MARGIN CHART

   22

FIGURE 20 - INCOME STATEMENT TRENDS

   23

FIGURE 21 - DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR ATLANTIC, NJ

   26

FIGURE 22 - DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR CAPE MAY, NJ

   26

FIGURE 23 - DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR BUCKS, PA

   27

FIGURE 24 - DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR CHESTER, PA

   27

FIGURE 25 - DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR DELAWARE, PA

   28

FIGURE 26 - DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR MONTGOMERY, PA

   28

FIGURE 27 - DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR PHILADELPHIA, PA

   29

FIGURE 28 - FRANCHISE DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC SUMMARY DATA

   29

FIGURE 29 - COMPARABLE GROUP

   31

FIGURE 30 - KEY FINANCIAL INDICATORS

   33

FIGURE 31 - KEY BALANCE SHEET DATA

   35

FIGURE 32 - CAPITAL DATA

   36

FIGURE 33 - ASSET QUALITY TABLE

   37

FIGURE 34 - BALANCE SHEET GROWTH DATA

   39

FIGURE 35 - NET INCOME CHART

   41

FIGURE 36 - PROFITABILITY DATA

   42

FIGURE 37 - INCOME STATEMENT DATA

   43

FIGURE 38 - MARKET AREA DATA

   45

FIGURE 39 - DIVIDEND DATA

   47

FIGURE 40 - MARKET CAPITALIZATION DATA

   48

FIGURE 41 - SECOND STEP CONVERSIONS (SINCE 1/1/08) PRO FORMA DATA

   51

FIGURE 42 - CONVERSIONS PRICE APPRECIATION

   52

FIGURE 43 - VALUE RANGE

   56

FIGURE 44 – APPRAISED VALUE

   56

FIGURE 46 - COMPARABLE CONVERSION PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANK’S PRO FORMA MIDPOINT

   57

FIGURE 47 - COMPARABLE CONVERSION PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANK’S PRO FORMA SUPER MAXIMUM

   57


FIGURE 48 - COMPARABLE CONVERSION PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANK’S PRO FORMA MINIMUM

   58

FIGURE 49 - COMPARISON TO OTHER PENDING SECOND STEP CONVERSIONS

   59

FIGURE 50 - COMPARISON OF THE EXCHANGE VALUE PER MINORITY SHARE AND STOCK PRICE

   60


List of Exhibits

Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc.

Hatboro, Pennsylvania

 

Exhibit

1.    Profile of FinPro, Inc. and the Author of the Appraisal
2.    Consolidated Balance Sheets
3.    Consolidated Statements of Income
4.    Consolidated Statements of Equity and Comprehensive Income
5.    Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
6.    Income Reconciliation of TFR to Consolidated Statements
7.    Comparable Group Selection Screens
8.    Selected Financial Data
9.    Industry Pricing Multiples
10.    Second Step Conversions 2008 to Year-to-Date
11.    Appraisal Full Offering No Foundation Pro Forma December 31, 2009 – 12 Months


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 1

 

 

Introduction

Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc., a Maryland corporation, is offering shares of common stock for sale in connection with the conversion of Fox Chase Bank from the mutual holding company form of organization to the stock form of organization. Upon completion of the conversion and the offering, all of the common stock of Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. will be owned by public stockholders. This report represents FinPro, Inc.’s (“FinPro”) independent appraisal of the estimated pro forma market value of the common stock (the “Common Stock”) of Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (hereafter referred to on a consolidated basis as the “Bank”).

In compiling the pro formas, FinPro relied upon the assumptions provided by the Bank and its agents. The pro forma assumptions are as follows:

 

   

59.9% of the total shares will be sold to the depositors and public,

 

   

the stock will be issued at $10.00 per share,

 

   

the conversion expenses will be $4.5 million at the midpoint,

 

   

there will be an ESOP equal to 4% of the shares issued funded internally, amortized over 15 years straight-line,

 

   

there will be an MRP equal to 3.15% of the shares issued, amortized over 5 years straight-line,

 

   

there will be a Stock Option Plan equal to 7.87% of the shares issued, expensed at $2.92 per option over 5 years straight-line,

 

   

the tax rate is assumed at 34.00% and,

 

   

the net proceeds will be invested at the three-year Treasury Note rate of 1.66%, pre-tax.

It is our understanding that the Bank will offer its stock in a subscription and community offering to Eligible Account Holders, to the Employee Plans, and to Supplemental Eligible Account Holders of the Bank. This appraisal has been prepared in accordance with Regulation 563b.7 and the “Guidelines for Appraisal Reports for the Valuation of Savings and Loan Associations Converting from Mutual to Stock Form of Organization” of the Office of Thrift Supervision (“OTS”) which have been adopted in practice by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”), including the most recent revisions as of October 21, 1994, and applicable regulatory interpretations thereof.

In the course of preparing our report, we reviewed the Bank’s audited financials for the years ended December 31, 2009 and December 31, 2009. We also reviewed the registration statement on Form S-1 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). We have conducted due diligence analysis of the Bank and held due diligence related discussions with the Bank’s Management and Board, Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated, (the Bank’s underwriter), and Kilpatrick Stockton LLP (the Bank’s special counsel). The valuation parameters set forth in the appraisal were predicated on these discussions but all conclusions related to the valuation were reached and made independent of such discussions.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 2

 

 

Where appropriate, we considered information based upon other publicly available sources, which we believe to be reliable; however, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information. We visited the Bank’s primary market area and reviewed the market area’s economic condition. We also reviewed the competitive environment in which the Bank operates and its relative strengths and weaknesses. We compared the Bank’s performance with selected publicly traded thrift institutions. We reviewed conditions in the securities markets in general and in the market for savings institutions in particular. Our analysis included a review of the estimated effects of the Conversion of the Bank on the operations and expected financial performance as they related to the Bank’s estimated pro forma value.

In preparing our valuation, we relied upon and assumed the accuracy and completeness of financial and other information provided to us by the Bank and its independent accountants. We did not independently verify the financial statements and other information provided by the Bank and its independent accountants, nor did we independently value any of the Bank’s assets or liabilities. This estimated valuation considers the Bank only as a going concern and should not be considered as an indication of its liquidation value.

Our valuation is not intended, and must not be construed, to be a recommendation of any kind as the advisability of purchasing shares of Common Stock in the stock issuance. Moreover, because such valuation is necessarily based upon estimates and projections of a number of matters, all of which are subject to change from time to time, no assurance can be given that persons who purchase shares of Common Stock in the stock issuance will thereafter be able to sell such shares at prices related to the foregoing valuation of the pro forma market value thereof. FinPro is not a seller of securities within the meaning of any federal or state securities laws. Any report prepared by FinPro shall not be used as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.

The estimated valuation herein will be updated as appropriate. These updates will consider, among other factors, any developments or changes in the Bank’s financial condition, operating performance, management policies and procedures and current conditions in the securities market for thrift institution common stock. Should any such developments or changes, in our opinion, be material to the estimated pro forma market value of the Bank, appropriate adjustments to the estimated pro forma market value will be made. The reasons for any such adjustments will be explained at that time.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 3

 

 

1. Overview and Financial Analysis

GENERAL OVERVIEW

As of December 31, 2009, the Bank had $1.2 billion in total assets, $858.3 million in deposits, $631.3 million in net loans and $123.6 million in equity. The following table sets forth information with respect to the Bank’s full-service banking offices. The data shown below is the most recently available public data with regard to branch deposits.

FIGURE 1 – CURRENT FACILITIES LIST

 

               Deposits as of June 30,    Growth (%)

Address

   City    State    2009    2008    2004    2008-2009    2004-2009

New Jersey

                    

1) 6059 Black Horse Pike

   Egg Harbor    NJ    $ 55,866    $ 38,706    $ 61,631    44.33    -9.35

2) 921 West Ave

   Ocean City    NJ      23,795      15,392      37,878    54.59    -37.18

3) 8 US Rt 9 S

   Marmora    NJ      14,792      7,735      —      91.23    —  

Pennsylvania

                    

1) 401 Rhawn St

   Philadelphia    PA      298,206      260,515      379,362    14.47    -21.39

2) 815 Bustleton Pike

   Richboro    PA      154,967      104,923      144,550    47.70    7.21

3) 4390 Davisville Rd

   Hatboro    PA      111,791      82,107      72,564    36.15    54.06

4) 1 Fitzwatertown Rd

   Willow Grove    PA      63,114      36,728      57,581    71.84    9.61

5) 1041 York Rd

   Warminster    PA      51,217      27,994      38,012    82.96    34.74

6) 137 N High St

   West Chester    PA      43,199      13,604      —      217.55    —  

7) 5871 Lower York Rd

   Lahaska    PA      30,083      12,073      —      149.18    —  

8) 210 W State St

   Media    PA      15,394      3,827      —      302.25    —  
   Total       $ 862,424    $ 603,604    $ 791,578      

Source: SNL Financial


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 4

 

 

HISTORY AND OVERVIEW

FOX CHASE BANK

Fox Chase Bank is headquartered in Hatboro, Pennsylvania and has provided community banking services to customers for over 142 years. The Bank currently operates eleven full-service locations in Bucks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery and Philadelphia counties in Pennsylvania and Atlantic and Cape May counties in the southern New Jersey area. At December 31, 2009, the Bank exceeded all regulatory capital requirements and was not a participant in any of the U.S. Treasury’s capital raising programs for financial institutions.

The Bank is a full service retail banking institution. The Company’s primary business lines involve generating funds from deposits or borrowings and investing such funds in loans and investment securities. The principal focus is to become the leading relationship-based business and consumer bank in our market areas. The Bank currently operates eleven retail banking locations and ten automated teller machines throughout the Philadelphia metropolitan area and in the southern New Jersey area.

The Company’s principal executive offices are located at 4390 Davisville Road, Hatboro, Pennsylvania 19040.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 5

 

 

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

The Bank’s business strategy is to grow and improve profitability by:

 

   

remaining a community-oriented financial institution;

 

   

improve earnings through asset diversification and growth;

 

   

improve asset quality;

 

   

improve the funding mix by focusing on core deposits;

 

   

grow through geographic expansion;

 

   

maintain strong capital levels; and

 

   

continue expense control.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 6

 

 

BALANCE SHEET TRENDS

The Bank’s balance sheet declined by $24.3 million between December 31, 2005 and December 31, 2006, but assets increased $55.9 million between December 31, 2006 and December 31, 2007. The balance sheet grew by $118.4 million from December 31, 2007 to December 31, 2008 and grew by $242.5 million between December 31, 2008 and December 31, 2009.

Equity was $123.6 million as of December 31, 2009 and the equity to assets ratio was 10.53% at December 31, 2009.

FIGURE 2 - ASSET AND RETAINED EARNINGS CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 7

 

 

The following tables set forth certain information concerning the financial position of the Bank at the dates indicated.

FIGURE 3 - KEY BALANCE SHEET DATA

 

     At December 31,
Selected Financial Condition (in thousands)    2009    2008    2007    2006    2005
               (in thousands)          

Total assets

   $ 1,173,818    $ 931,270    $ 812,919    $ 756,985    $ 781,291

Cash and cash equivalents

     65,418      3,944      31,275      134,441      46,086

Securities available-for-sale

     422,467      294,723      296,304      228,432      329,504

Loans receivable, net

     631,296      588,975      447,035      355,617      366,393

Deposits

     858,277      608,472      585,560      596,534      682,307

Federal Home Loan Bank advances

     137,165      146,379      80,000      30,000      30,000

Other borrowed funds

     50,000      50,000      20,000      —        —  

Total stockholders’ equity

     123,634      121,220      122,371      125,645      63,521

Source: Offering Prospectus

FIGURE 4 - KEY RATIOS

 

     At December 31,  
     2009     2008     2007     2006     2005  

Performance Ratios:

          

Return on average assets

   -0.09   0.14   0.26   0.49   0.71

Return on average equity

   -0.82   1.00   1.54   4.59   9.50

Interest rate spread (1)

   1.74   2.01   1.85   1.90   1.78

Net interest margin (2)

   2.16   2.59   2.60   2.33   2.05

Noninterest expense to average assets

   1.81   2.18   2.48   2.66   1.80

Efficiency ratio (3)

   79.90   82.00   91.80   105.80   79.70

Average interest-earning assets to average interest-bearing liabilities

   115.60   119.70   123.70   113.50   109.10

Average equity to average assets

   11.11   13.98   16.66   10.58   7.44

Asset Quality Ratios:

          

Allowance for loan losses as a percent of total loans

   1.65   1.05   0.75   0.82   2.22

Allowance for loan losses as a percent of nonperforming loans and accruing loans of 90 days or more past due

   35.73   107.01   412.21   91.44   163.90

Net charge-offs to average outstanding loans during the period

   0.75   —        —        —        —     

Nonperforming loans as a percent of total loans

   4.62   0.98   0.18   0.90   1.36

Nonperforming loans as a percent of total assets

   2.87   0.63   0.10   0.43   0.67

Capital Ratios:

          

Total equity to total assets

   10.53   13.02   15.05   16.60   8.13

Tier 1 capital (to adjusted assets) (4)

   8.51   10.70   12.03   12.49   8.40

Tier 1 capital (to risk-weighted assets) (4)

   15.41   18.11   21.78   26.79   17.76

Total risk-based capital (to risk-weighted assets) (4)

   16.57   19.25   22.54   27.62   19.02

Other Data:

          

Deposit accounts

   52,416      49,252      52,817      55,957      61,349   

Offices

   11      11      11      11      8   

 

(1) Represents the difference between the weighted average yield on average interest-earning assets and the weighted average cost of interest-bearing liabilities.
(2) Represents net interest income as a percent of average interest-earning assets.
(3) Represents noninterest expense divided by the sum of net interest income and noninterest income, excluding gains or losses on the sale of securities, premises and equipment and assets acquired through foreclosure. For 2006, reflects a charge of $1.5 million for the contribution made to the Fox Chase Bank Charitable Foundation in connection with our initial public offering.
(4) Ratios are for Fox Chase Bank.

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 8

 

 

LOAN PORTFOLIO

The Bank’s loan portfolio has increased by $264.9 million from December 31, 2005 to December 31, 2009, with $141.9 million of the growth coming between December 31, 2007 and December 31, 2008. As a percent of assets, the loan portfolio has increased from 46.90% to 53.78% between December 31, 2005 and December 31, 2009, respectively.

FIGURE 5 - NET LOANS RECEIVABLE CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 9

 

 

Since December 31, 2005, the loan portfolio composition has shifted toward multi-family and commercial real estate and commercial loans and has shifted away from one-to-four-family residential real estate and home equity loans.

FIGURE 6 - LOAN MIX AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2009

 

     At December 31,  
     2009     2008     2007     2006     2005  
     Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent  

Real estate loans:

                    

One-to four-family

   $ 268,535      41.80   $ 260,833      43.80   $ 215,817      47.90   $ 209,463      58.30   $ 228,476      60.90

Multi-family and commercial

     207,738      32.40     155,564      26.20     76,287      16.90     44,681      12.40     32,923      8.80

Construction

     40,799      6.40     65,002      10.90     46,471      10.30     11,568      3.20     31,015      8.30
                                                                      

Total real estate loans

     517,072      80.60     481,399      80.90     338,575      75.10     265,712      73.90     292,414      78.00

Consumer loans:

                    

Home equity loans

     50,080      7.80     63,987      10.70     68,431      15.20     73,456      20.50     65,003      17.30

Home equity lines of credit

     13,664      2.10     11,486      1.90     9,642      2.10     10,468      2.90     16,269      4.30

Other

     5,618      0.90     613      0.20     671      0.20     1,178      0.40     1,468      0.40
                                                                      

Total consumer loans

     69,362      10.80     76,086      12.80     78,744      17.50     85,102      23.80     82,740      22.00

Commercial and industrial

     55,434      8.60     37,371      6.30     33,356      7.40     8,194      2.30     175      —     
                                                                      

Total loans

     641,868      100.00     594,856      100.00     450,675      100.00     359,008      100.00     375,329      100.00

Less:

                    

Deferred loan origination costs (fees), net

     33          379          (264       (442       (587  

Allowance for loan losses

     (10,605       (6,260       (3,376       (2,949       (8,349  
                                                                      

Net loans

   $ 631,296        $ 588,975        $ 447,035        $ 355,617        $ 366,393     

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 10

 

 

The two large components in the loan portfolio are 1-4 family residential loans, which account for 42% of the portfolio mix at December 31, 2009, and multi-family and commercial real estate loans, which account for 32% of the portfolio mix at December 31, 2009.

FIGURE 7 - LOAN MIX AT DECEMBER 31, 2009

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 11

 

 

INVESTMENTS

The investment portfolio increased $126.2 million between December 31, 2007 and December 31, 2009.

FIGURE 8 - SECURITIES CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 12

 

 

INVESTMENTS AND MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES

The following table sets forth the amortized cost and fair values of the Bank’s securities portfolio at the dates indicated. All of the securities were classified as available-for-sale at the dates indicated. The portfolio is predominately agency sponsored MBS. As a result of negative trends for the Company’s private label residential mortgage security, management’s analysis during the second quarter 2009 indicated that the security was other-than-temporary impaired in the amount of $605 thousand, $157 thousand of which was recognized on the Statement of Operations and $448 thousand in other comprehensive income (before taxes). There was no additional other-than-temporary credit impairment charge on this investment in the third or fourth quarter of 2009.

FIGURE 9 - INVESTMENT MIX

 

     At December 31,
     2009    2008    2007
     Amortized Cost    Fair Value    Amortized Cost    Fair Value    Amortized Cost    Fair Value
               (in thousands)          

Obligations of U.S. government agencies

   $ 305    $ 306    $ —      $ —      $ 10,000    $ 10,016

State and political subdivisions

     9,199      9,292      14,679      14,463      81,019      81,143

Corporate securities

     9,838      9,950      11,124      10,578      —        —  
                                         

Total investment securities

     19,342      19,548      25,803      25,041      91,019      91,159

Private label residential mortgage related security

     628      195      889      269      1,181      1,208

Private label commercial mortgage related securities

     17,607      17,833      10,049      7,304      10,069      10,137

Agency residential mortgage related securities

     374,824      384,891      257,990      262,109      193,112      193,800
                                         

Total mortgage related securities

     393,059      402,919      268,928      269,682      204,362      205,145

Total securities

   $ 412,401    $ 422,467    $ 294,731    $ 294,723    $ 295,381    $ 296,304

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 13

 

 

ASSET QUALITY

The Bank’s nonperforming assets increased to $33.7 million at December 31, 2009 from $5.2 million at December 31, 2005. The Bank’s nonperforming asset to total assets ratio increased from 0.67% at December 31, 2005 to 2.87% at December 31, 2009.

The increase in NPAs between December 31, 2008 and December 31, 2009 was primarily attributable to a $12.2 million increase in nonaccrual construction loans, a $6.2 million increase in nonaccrual 1-4 family mortgages and a $4.1 million increase in real estate owned.

The increase on nonaccrual construction loans relates to weak sales of new construction properties. The increase in nonaccrual 1-4 family mortgages was attributable to higher unemployment among other things.

FIGURE 10 - ASSET QUALITY CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 14

 

 

At December 31, 2009, the Company’s nonperforming loans to total loan ratio was 4.62% and the nonperforming assets to total assets ratio was 2.87%. The largest increases in the portfolio were construction loans, one-to-four family real estate, and multi-family and commercial real estate and the construction categories. Nonperforming one-to-four-family real estate loans increased by $6.2 million from December 31, 2008 to December 31, 2009. Nonperforming multi-family and commercial real estate increased by $4.1 million from December 31, 2008 to December 31, 2009. Nonperforming construction loans increased $12.2 million from December 31, 2008 to December 31, 2009.

FIGURE 11 - NONPERFORMING LOANS

 

     At December 31,  
     2009     2008     2007     2006     2005  
     (Dollars in thousands)  

Nonaccrual loans:

          

One- to four-family real estate

   $ 7,740      $ 1,503      $ 155      $ 284      $ 548   

Multi-family and commercial real estate

     4,738        685        105        —          2,972   

Construction

     15,739        3,495        —          —          —     

Consumer

     612        167        —          —          —     

Commercial and industrial

     250        —          —          —          —     
                                        

Total

     29,079        5,850        260        284        3,520   
                                        

Accruing loans past due 90 days or more:

          

One- to four-family

     —          —          559        —          —     

Multi-family and commercial real estate

     601        —          —          2,941        1,574   
                                        

Total

     601        —          559        2,941        1,574   
                                        

Total of nonaccrual loans and accruing loans 90 days or more past due

   $ 29,680      $ 5,850      $ 819      $ 3,225      $ 5,094   
                                        

Real estate owned

     4,052        —          —          —          107   
                                        

Total nonperforming assets

   $ 33,732      $ 5,850      $ 819      $ 3,225      $ 5,201   
                                        

Total nonperforming loans and accruing loans past due 90 days or more to total loans

     4.62     0.98     0.18     0.90     1.36

Total nonperforming loans to total assets

     2.53     0.63     0.10     0.43        0.65

Total nonperforming assets to total assets

     2.87     0.63     0.10     0.43        0.67

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 15

 

 

The Bank’s reserve to loan ratio was 1.65% as of December 31, 2009. The ratio has trended upward since 2007.

FIGURE 12 - ALLOWANCE FOR POSSIBLE LOAN AND LEASE LOSSES CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 16

 

 

FUNDING COMPOSITION

Following two years of declines, the Bank experienced deposit growth of $272.7 million between December 31, 2007 and December 31, 2009. Borrowings trended upward between December 31, 2006 and December 31, 2009 due to the Bank implementing leverage strategies. As of December 31, 2009, the Bank had outstanding borrowings of $187.2 million.

FIGURE 13 - DEPOSIT AND BORROWING TREND CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 17

 

 

The following chart illustrates the Bank’s deposit mix as of December 31, 2009. The two largest components of the deposit mix are certificates of deposit and money market accounts.

FIGURE 14 - DEPOSIT MIX

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 18

 

 

ASSET/LIABILITY MANAGEMENT

The following table, which is based on information that the Bank provided to the Office of Thrift Supervision, presents the change in the net portfolio value of the Bank at September 30, 2009 (the latest date for which the information is available) that would occur in the event of an immediate change in interest rates based on Office of Thrift Supervision assumptions, with no effect given to any steps that the Bank might take to counteract that change. The Bank’s interest rate risk position is considered to be “Minimum Risk” according to TB-13a.

FIGURE 15 – INTEREST RATE RISK

 

      Net Portfolio Value     Net Portfolio Value as %  of
Portfolio Value of Assets

Basis point ("bp")

Change in rates

   Amount    Change     % Change     NPV Ratio     Change (bp)
     (Dollars in thousands)

300

   $ 80,064    $ (45,613   -36   6.84   -333

200

     99,038      (26,640   -21   8.28   -189

100

     118,970      (6,707   -5   9.77   -40

50

     119,307      (6,370   -5   9.72   -45

0

     125,677      —          10.17   0

-50

     122,942      (2,735   -2   9.90   -27

-100

     124,218      (1,459   -1   9.97   -20

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 19

 

 

NET WORTH AND CAPITAL

At December 31, 2009 the Bank had capital in excess of the minimum requirements for all capital ratios.

FIGURE 16 - CAPITAL ANALYSIS

 

     At December 31, 2009  

Bank Level

Regulatory Capital Position

   Amount
(000’s)
   Percentage of
Assets
 

GAAP capital

   $ 106,136    9.02

Tier 1 leverage capital

     

Capital level

     99,592    8.51

Requirement

     46,809    4.00
             

Excess

     52,783    4.51

Tier 1 risk-based capital

     

Capital level

     99,592    15.41

Requirement

     25,854    4.00
             

Excess

     73,738    11.41

Total risk-based capital

     

Capital level

     107,092    16.57

Requirement

     51,707    8.00
             

Excess

   $ 55,385    8.57
             

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 20

 

 

PROFITABILITY TRENDS

Net income trended downward between the twelve months ended December 31, 2005 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2009. The decline of over this time period was primarily attributable to higher provision expense. Provision recoveries were $6.0 million and $5.9 million for the twelve months ended December 31, 2005 and December 31, 2006, respectively. Provision expense increased to $425 thousand for the twelve months ended December 31, 2007 and increased to $2.9 million and $9.1 million for the twelve months ended December 31, 2008 and December 31, 2009, respectively.

The adverse change in profitability between December 31, 2008 and December 31, 2009 was primarily attributable to a $6.2 million increase in provision expense and a $1.4 million increase in noninterest expense. The increased provision expense was largely attributable to the $4.7 million in charge-offs and the rise in NPAs.

FIGURE 17 - NET INCOME CHART

LOGO

For the twelve months ended,

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 21

 

 

The net interest spread and margin decreased between the twelve months ended December 31, 2008 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2009. The decline was primarily attributable to the yield on earning assets declining more than the cost of funding.

FIGURE 18 - AVERAGE YIELDS AND COSTS

 

    Years Ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     2007  
    Average
Balance
  Interest
and
Dividends
  Yield/
Cost
    Average
Balance
  Interest
and
Dividends
  Yield/
Cost
    Average
Balance
  Interest
and

Dividends
  Yield/
Cost
 
    (Dollars in thousands)  

Assets:

                 

Interest-earning assets:

                 

Interest-earning demand deposits

  $ 50,506   $ 622   1.23   $ 10,218   $ 131   1.28   $ 81,864   $ 4,167   5.09

Money market funds

    27,564     183   0.67     16,892     536   3.17     806     40   4.96

Mortgage-related securities

    352,542     14,654   4.16     246,811     12,356   5.01     147,978     7,329   4.95

Taxable securities

    28,102     764   2.72     29,334     1,240   4.23     61,530     3,236   5.26

Nontaxable securities

    12,082     482   3.99     15,350     613   3.99     24,023     924   3.85

Loans:

                 

Residential loans

    266,577     14,575   5.47     238,858     13,550   5.67     208,828     11,791   5.65

Commercial loans

    285,460     15,882   5.49     203,391     13,048   6.31     113,822     8,800   7.63

Consumer loans

    73,572     4,236   5.76     76,545     4,410   5.76     81,467     4,770   5.86
                                         

Total Loans

    625,609     34,693   5.51     518,794     31,008   5.94     404,117     25,361   6.25

Allowance for loan losses

    -7,311         -3,857         -3,056    
                                         

Net loans

    618,298     34,693       514,937     31,008       401,061     25,361  
                                         

Total interest-earning assets

    1,089,094     51,398   4.67     833,542     45,884   5.45     717,262     41,057   5.68
                             

Noninterest-earning assets

    37,282         35,946         36,172    
                             

Total assets

  $ 1,126,376       $ 869,488       $ 753,434    
                             

Liabilities and equity:

                 

Interest-bearing liabilities:

                 

NOW and money market deposit accounts

  $ 189,946     2,874   1.51   $ 109,499     2,307   2.11   $ 81,943     1,997   2.44

Savings accounts

    51,350     90   0.17     52,748     158   0.30     59,160     424   0.72

Certificates of deposit

    506,076     17,625   3.48     385,141     15,998   4.15     402,120     18,105   4.50
                                         

Total interest-bearing deposits

    747,372     20,589   2.75     547,388     18,463   3.37     543,223     20,526   3.78

FHLB advances

    144,224     5,311   3.63     122,145     4,653   3.73     34,422     1,642   4.77

Other borrowed funds - short term

    284     2   0.69     —       0.00     —       —     0.00

Other borrowed funds - long term

    50,000     1,733   3.42     26,863     963   3.53     2,222     82   3.62
                                         

Total borrowings

    194,508     7,046   3.57     149,008     5,598   3.70     36,644     1,724   4.64
                                 

Total interest-bearing liabilities

    941,880     27,635   2.92     696,396     24,061   3.44     579,867     22,250   3.83
                                     

Noninterest-bearing deposits

    50,743         46,044         43,036    

Other noninterest-bearing liabilities

    8,665         5,462         4,983    
                             

Total liabilities

    1,001,288         747,902         627,886    
                     

Retained earnings

    120,619         121,852         126,257    

Accumulated comprehensive income

    4,469         -266         -709    
                             

Total stockholder’s equity

    125,088         121,586         125,548    
                             

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

  $ 1,126,376       $ 869,488       $ 753,434    
                             

Net interest income

    $ 23,763       $ 21,823       $ 18,807  
                             

Interest rate spread

      1.74       2.01       1.85

Net interest margin

      2.16       2.59       2.60

Average interest-earning assets to average interest-bearing liabilities

      115.63       119.69       123.69

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 22

 

 

Spread and margin trended downward between December 31, 2007 and December 31, 2009, due in large part to declining yield.

The net interest spread and margin both decreased between the twelve months ended December 31, 2008 and December 31, 2009 due to yields declining more than the cost of funding.

FIGURE 19 - SPREAD AND MARGIN CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 23

 

 

Net income trended downward between the twelve months ended December 31, 2005 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2009. The decline over this time period was primarily attributable to higher provision expenses. Net interest income and noninterest income increased between the twelve months ended December 31, 2008 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2009. This increase was offset by higher provision expense and higher noninterest expense during the period between the twelve months ended December 31, 2008 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2009.

FIGURE 20 - INCOME STATEMENT TRENDS

 

     At December 31,  
Selected Financial Condition (in thousands)    2009     2008    2007    2006     2005  
     (in thousands)  

Interest income

   $ 51,398      $ 45,884    $ 41,057    $ 37,177      $ 37,601   

Interest expense

     27,635        24,061      22,250      20,459        20,697   
                                      

Net interest income

     23,763        21,823      18,807      16,718        16,904   

Provision (credit) for loan losses

     9,052        2,900      425      (5,394     (6,025

Net interest income after provision (credit) for loan losses

     14,711        18,923      18,382      22,112        22,929   

Noninterest income

     3,767        1,405      2,696      2,073        1,214   

Noninterest expense

     20,333        18,948      18,688      19,867        15,208   
                                      

(Loss) income before income tax (benefit) expense

     (1,855     1,380      2,390      4,318        8,935   

Income tax (benefit) expense

     (827     165      460      684        2,975   
                                      

Net (loss) income (1)

   $ (1,028   $ 1,215    $ 1,930    $ 3,634      $ 5,960   

Source: Offering Prospectus

 

(1) Net income for 2006 reflects a charge of $1.5 million for the contribution made to the Fox Chase Bank Charitable Foundation in connection with our initial public offering.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 24

 

 

LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

At December 31, 2009, the Bank was not involved in any legal proceedings the outcome of which it believes would be material to its financial condition or results of operations. Periodically, there have been various claims and lawsuits against the Bank, such as claims to enforce liens, condemnation proceedings on properties in which the Bank holds security interests, claims involving the making and servicing of real property loans and other issues incident to the Bank’s business. The Bank is currently not a party to any pending legal proceedings that the Bank believes would have a material adverse effect on the financial condition, results of operations or cash flows.

SUBSIDIARIES

Fox Chase Bank established Fox Chase Financial, Inc. in 1999. As a Delaware-chartered corporation investment company, Fox Chase Financial manages and holds investment securities.

In February 2009, Fox Chase Bank established Fox Chase Service Corporation as a wholly-owned subsidiary. A Pennsylvania-chartered corporation, Fox Chase Service Corporation made and manages the Bank’s investment in Philadelphia Mortgage Advisors, Inc.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 25

 

 

2. Market Area Analysis

New Jersey Market Area. The economy of Atlantic County is dominated by the gaming industry in nearby Atlantic City as the primary employer. The economy of Cape May County is primarily geared towards tourism. According to published statistics, Atlantic County’s population in 2009 was approximately 279,000 and Cape May County’s population was approximately 101,000. The economy in Atlantic County, while strong in recent years as new and expanding casinos in Atlantic City were being developed, began deteriorating as gaming revenues fell in 2008 and 2009. Cape May County also generally benefits from the growth in and around Atlantic City, as many residents commute to that area for employment. Although the economy in this market area has been strong in recent years, during 2008 and 2009 gaming revenues and casino development has declined, resulting in a significant deterioration in development and employment. Additionally, median household and per capita income in Atlantic and Cape May Counties are lower than the comparable figures for New Jersey as a whole. The southern New Jersey market is located outside of a major metropolitan area, resulting in lower average income levels and a smaller portion of higher-paying, professional jobs.

Philadelphia Market Area. The economy of the Philadelphia market area is primarily dominated by the service sector. According to published statistics, the population of the five-county area served by the Bank’s branches totaled approximately 3.9 million in 2008. The economy in the Philadelphia market area contains a highly-educated workforce and a diverse local economy as traditional employers in the manufacturing and financial services industry have been bolstered by growth in the life sciences and health care industries as well as the information technology and communication sectors. The median household and per capita income in Bucks, Chester, Delaware and Montgomery Counties significantly exceeds the comparable figures for Pennsylvania as a whole, while the median household and per capita income in Philadelphia County trailed the comparable figures for Pennsylvania.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 26

 

 

The following tables provide deposit and demographic data for the Bank’s market area.

FIGURE 21 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR ATLANTIC, NJ

 

Market: Atlantic, NJ    Deposit Data as of 6/30/2009

 

Deposits Summary

                    
(Deposit data in $000)                                   
     6/2004    6/2005    6/2006    6/2007    6/2008    6/2009    CAGR(%)

Total Deposits

   3,686,797    4,604,486    4,704,101    4,769,306    4,126,909    4,450,923    1.56

Demographic Data

 

     Base
2000
   Current
2009
   Projected
2014
   % Change
2000-2009
   % Change
2009-2014

Total Population:

   252,552    279,172    289,448    10.54    3.68

0-14 Age Group (%):

   21    20    19    1.16    3.12

15-34 Age Group (%):

   25    26    27    13.36    6.25

35-54 Age Group (%):

   31    29    26    4.84    -6.43

55+ Age Group (%):

   23    25    28    24.00    13.09

Total Households:

   95,024    105,339    109,300    10.86    3.76

$0-24K Households (%):

   26    19    17    -21.12    -8.59

$25-50K Households (%):

   30    25    22    -7.86    -7.16

$50K+ Households (%):

   44    56    61    43.16    12.74

Average Household Income:

   54,678    67,826    69,627    24.05    2.66

Median Household Income:

   43,991    55,982    59,659    27.26    6.57

Per Capita Income:

   21,034    26,022    26,761    23.71    2.84

Source: ESRI

Source: SNL Securities and ESRI

FIGURE 22 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR CAPE MAY, NJ

 

Market: Cape May, NJ   Deposit Data as of 6/30/2009

 

Deposits Summary

                    

(Deposit data in $000)

                    
     6/2004    6/2005    6/2006    6/2007    6/2008    6/2009    CAGR(%)

Total Deposits

   2,398,471    2,565,456    2,566,519    2,513,469    2,432,984    2,598,470    0.49

Demographic Data

 

     Base
2000
   Current
2009
   Projected
2014
   % Change
2000-2009
   % Change
2009-2014

Total Population:

   102,326    100,834    99,950    -1.46    -0.88

0-14 Age Group (%):

   18    16    15    -15.87    -2.81

15-34 Age Group (%):

   21    21    20    -1.16    -1.87

35-54 Age Group (%):

   29    27    25    -7.87    -10.01

55+ Age Group (%):

   32    36    39    12.64    7.42

Total Households:

   42,148    42,787    42,707    1.52    -0.19

$0-24K Households (%):

   29    19    17    -31.90    -12.12

$25-50K Households (%):

   30    26    24    -11.16    -10.52

$50K+ Households (%):

   41    55    60    33.92    9.01

Average Household Income:

   57,755    71,553    73,604    23.89    2.87

Median Household Income:

   41,660    54,354    58,341    30.47    7.34

Per Capita Income:

   24,172    30,858    32,015    27.66    3.75

Source: ESRI

Source: SNL Securities and ESRI


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 27

 

 

FIGURE 23 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR BUCKS, PA

 

Market: Bucks, PA   Deposit Data as of 6/30/2009

 

Deposits Summary                     

(Deposit data in $000)

                    
     6/2004    6/2005    6/2006    6/2007    6/2008    6/2009    CAGR(%)

Total Deposits

   10,446,988    11,054,621    11,912,031    12,130,075    12,355,319    13,986,195    3.30
Demographic Data                     

 

     Base
2000
   Current
2009
   Projected
2014
   % Change
2000-2009
   % Change
2009-2014

Total Population:

   597,635    634,223    648,313    6.12    2.22

0-14 Age Group (%):

   21    20    20    -1.36    1.54

15-34 Age Group (%):

   24    23    23    1.02    2.51

35-54 Age Group (%):

   33    32    29    1.26    -5.21

55+ Age Group (%):

   22    26    28    26.59    11.59

Total Households:

   218,725    234,527    240,768    7.22    2.66

$0-24K Households (%):

   16    10    9    -33.69    -2.39

$25-50K Households (%):

   25    16    14    -28.74    -11.36

$50K+ Households (%):

   59    74    77    33.05    6.43

Average Household Income:

   73,983    98,997    103,374    33.81    4.42

Median Household Income:

   59,726    79,444    83,374    33.01    4.95

Per Capita Income:

   27,430    36,801    38,605    34.16    4.90

Source: ESRI

Source: SNL Securities and ESRI

FIGURE 24 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR CHESTER, PA

 

Market: Chester, PA   Deposit Data as of 6/30/2009

 

Deposits Summary                     

(Deposit data in $000)

                    
     6/2004    6/2005    6/2006    6/2007    6/2008    6/2009    CAGR(%)

Total Deposits

   7,174,541    7,752,029    8,739,697    9,034,615    8,889,453    10,212,787    4.84
Demographic Data                     

 

     Base
2000
   Current
2009
   Projected
2014
   % Change
2000-2009
   % Change
2009-2014

Total Population:

   433,501    499,763    532,960    15.29    6.64

0-14 Age Group (%):

   22    21    20    8.90    5.35

15-34 Age Group (%):

   25    24    24    9.96    9.21

35-54 Age Group (%):

   33    31    29    10.06    -2.33

55+ Age Group (%):

   21    24    27    36.73    16.65

Total Households:

   157,905    184,056    197,363    16.56    7.23

$0-24K Households (%):

   15    10    9    -23.08    1.88

$25-50K Households (%):

   22    15    13    -20.22    -7.39

$50K+ Households (%):

   63    75    78    38.71    10.88

Average Household Income:

   85,047    112,852    118,507    32.69    5.01

Median Household Income:

   64,836    87,308    93,734    34.66    7.36

Per Capita Income:

   31,627    41,991    44,340    32.77    5.59

Source: ESRI

Source: SNL Securities and ESRI


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 28

 

 

FIGURE 25 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR DELAWARE, PA

 

Market: Delaware, PA   Deposit Data as of 6/30/2008

 

Deposits Summary                     

(Deposit data in $000)

                    
     6/2004    6/2005    6/2006    6/2007    6/2008    6/2009    CAGR(%)

Total Deposits

   7,911,118    8,385,152    8,796,331    9,082,089    9,140,696    10,650,784    3.42

 

Demographic Data               
     Base
2000
   Current
2009
   Projected
2014
   % Change
2000-2009
   % Change
2009-2014

Total Population:

   550,864    558,969    559,509    1.47    0.10

0-14 Age Group (%):

   21    19    19    -6.55    -0.99

15-34 Age Group (%):

   26    26    26    0.52    1.44

35-54 Age Group (%):

   30    29    26    -1.40    -8.52

55+ Age Group (%):

   24    27    29    12.91    8.89

Total Households:

   206,320    209,124    209,753    1.36    0.30

$0-24K Households (%):

   23    15    15    -32.87    -3.47

$25-50K Households (%):

   27    21    19    -20.69    -12.25

$50K+ Households (%):

   50    64    67    28.85    5.37

Average Household Income:

   65,639    83,416    87,323    27.08    4.68

Median Household Income:

   50,104    66,300    69,779    32.32    5.25

Per Capita Income:

   25,040    31,792    33,396    26.96    5.05

Source: ESRI

Source: SNL Securities and ESRI

FIGURE 26 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR MONTGOMERY, PA

 

Market: Montgomery, PA   Deposit Data as of 6/30/2008

 

Deposits Summary                     

(Deposit data in $000)

                    
     6/2004    6/2005    6/2006    6/2007    6/2008    6/2009    CAGR(%)

Total Deposits

   15,585,373    16,783,565    18,410,895    19,539,913    20,436,795    21,818,516    4.38

 

Demographic Data               
     Base
2000
   Current
2009
   Projected
2014
   % Change
2000-2009
   % Change
2009-2014

Total Population:

   750,097    786,653    801,186    4.87    1.85

0-14 Age Group (%):

   20    19    19    -0.83    0.67

15-34 Age Group (%):

   24    23    24    -1.14    4.70

35-54 Age Group (%):

   31    31    28    2.64    -6.45

55+ Age Group (%):

   24    27    29    18.71    9.60

Total Households:

   286,098    302,908    309,446    5.88    2.16

$0-24K Households (%):

   16    10    9    -34.38    -3.00

$25-50K Households (%):

   24    17    15    -23.67    -11.96

$50K+ Households (%):

   60    73    76    28.48    6.22

Average Household Income:

   79,813    103,260    108,780    29.38    5.35

Median Household Income:

   60,868    80,212    84,230    31.78    5.01

Per Capita Income:

   30,898    40,149    42,445    29.94    5.72

Source: ESRI

Source: SNL Securities and ESRI


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 29

 

 

FIGURE 27 - DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR PHILADELPHIA, PA

 

Market: Philadelphia, PA   Deposit Data as of 6/30/2008

 

Deposits Summary                     
(Deposit data in $000)                     
     6/2004    6/2005    6/2006    6/2007    6/2008    6/2009    CAGR(%)

Total Deposits

   29,257,357    35,226,046    41,545,533    44,400,259    44,803,956    47,957,154    10.83

Demographic Data

 

     Base
2000
   Current
2009
   Projected
2014
   % Change
2000-2009
   % Change
2009-2014

Total Population:

   1,517,550    1,452,449    1,413,509    -4.29    -2.68

0-14 Age Group (%):

   21    20    20    -11.47    -2.07

15-34 Age Group (%):

   30    30    29    -4.95    -3.89

35-54 Age Group (%):

   27    26    24    -5.55    -9.76

55+ Age Group (%):

   22    24    27    4.94    5.85

Total Households:

   590,071    568,420    554,585    -3.67    -2.43

$0-24K Households (%):

   42    33    32    -25.15    -5.38

$25-50K Households (%):

   29    26    23    -14.48    -13.43

$50K+ Households (%):

   29    42    46    38.04    6.66

Average Household Income:

   41,525    52,609    54,501    26.69    3.60

Median Household Income:

   30,781    41,408    45,404    34.52    9.65

Per Capita Income:

   16,509    21,112    21,992    27.88    4.17

Source: ESRI

              

Source: SNL Securities and ESRI

FIGURE 28 - FRANCHISE DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC SUMMARY DATA

 

County

   Market
Rank
   Number
of
Branches
   Company
Deposits
in Market
($000)
   Deposit
Market
Share
(%)
   Percent of
National
Franchise
(%)
   Total
Population
2009

(Actual)
   Population
Change
2000-2009
(%)
    Projected
Population
Change
2009-2014
(%)
    Median
HH
Income
2009

($)
   HH
Income
Change
2000-2009
(%)
   Projected
HH Income
Change
2009-2014
(%)

Philadelphia

   14    1    298,206    0.62    34.58    1,452,449    (4.29   (2.68   41,408    34.52    9.65

Bucks

   16    3    236,267    1.69    27.40    634,223    6.12      2.22      79,444    33.01    4.95

Montgomery

   20    2    174,905    0.80    20.28    786,653    4.87      1.85      80,212    31.78    5.01

Chester

   31    1    43,199    0.42    5.01    499,763    15.29      6.64      87,308    34.66    7.36

Delaware

   36    1    15,394    0.14    1.78    558,969    1.47      0.10      66,300    32.32    5.25
                                                        

PA Totals

      8    767,971       89.05    3,932,057             

Weighted Average: Pennsylvania Franchise

                     2.22      0.44      65,028    33.40    6.93

Aggregate: Entire State of Pennsylvania

                  12,598,860    2.59      0.80      53,225    32.70    4.87
                                                        

Atlantic

   14    1    55,866    1.26    6.48    279,172    10.54      3.68      55,982    27.26    6.57

Cape May

   11    2    38,587    1.48    4.47    100,834    (1.46   (0.88   54,354    30.47    7.34
                                                        

NJ Totals

      3    94,453       10.95    380,006             

Weighted Average: New Jersey Franchise

                     5.64      1.82      55,317    28.57    6.88

Aggregate: Entire State of New Jersey

                  8,834,947    5.00      1.67      72,809    32.18    5.61
                                                        

Aggregate: National

   309,731,508    10.06      4.63      54,719    29.78    4.06
                                                        

Source: SNL Securities


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 30

 

 

3. Comparisons with Publicly Traded Thrifts

INTRODUCTION

This section presents an analysis of the Bank’s operations against a selected group (“Comparable Group”) of publicly traded thrifts. The Comparable Group was selected based upon similarity of characteristics to the Bank. The Comparable Group multiples provide the basis for the valuation of the Bank.

Factors that influence the Bank’s value such as balance sheet structure and size, profitability, income and expense trends, capital levels, credit risk, and recent operating results can be measured against the Comparable Group. The Comparable Group’s current market pricing, coupled with the appropriate aggregate adjustment for differences between the Bank and the Comparable Group, will then be utilized as the basis for the pro forma valuation of the Bank’s to-be-issued common stock.

SELECTION CRITERIA

The goal of the selection criteria process is to find those institutions with characteristics that most closely match those of the Bank. In an ideal world, all of the Comparable Group would contain the exact characteristics of the Bank. However, none of the Comparables selected will be exact clones of the Bank.

As of the date of this appraisal, there are a total of 256 thrifts that trade on public exchanges. There are 147 traded on the NYSE, NASDAQ or AMEX. FinPro limited the Comparable Group to institutions whose common stock is listed on a major exchange, (defined as the NYSE, NASDAQ or AMEX) since these companies tend to trade regularly. FinPro believes that thrifts that trade over-the-counter or as pink sheets are inappropriate for the Comparable Group, due to irregular trading activity and wide bid/ask spreads, which may skew the trading value and make trading multiples less reliable as an indicator of value.

Institutions that were structured as Mutual Holding Companies (MHC’s) were eliminated. 38 institutions were eliminated due to the MHC structure, leaving 109 remaining institutions.

Institutions outside of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast region were eliminated. 59 institutions were eliminated due to being outside the target region.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 31

 

 

Of the 50 remaining institutions, 37 institutions were eliminated due to their size. An institution was eliminated if total assets were below $800 million or above $1.9 billion.

After narrowing the list down for the size range, 13 institutions remained. One institution was then eliminated due to insufficient data. One institution was eliminated due to being located in New Hampshire, which was viewed being too far removed from the target region. One institution was removed due to the institution serving a specific ethnic mix.

The remaining 10 institutions were deemed acceptable Comparables.

Using the criteria established, the Comparable Group was created. It is important to note that none of the Comparables will be identical clones of the Bank and as such subjective adjustments will have to be made. A variance to the Comparable median was established for each data field.

FIGURE 29 - COMPARABLE GROUP

 

          Corporate

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Exchange    City    State    Number
of
Offices
   IPO
Date
   Comparable Thrift Data               

ABBC

   Abington Bancorp, Inc.    NASDAQ    Jenkintown    PA    20    06/28/2007

BFED

   Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.    NASDAQ    East Syracuse    NY    8    10/02/2007

CBNJ

   Cape Bancorp, Inc.    NASDAQ    Cape May Court House    NJ    18    02/01/2008

ESSA

   ESSA Bancorp, Inc.    NASDAQ    Stroudsburg    PA    17    04/04/2007

HARL

   Harleysville Savings Financial Corporation    NASDAQ    Harleysville    PA    8    08/04/1987

HIFS

   Hingham Institution for Savings    NASDAQ    Hingham    MA    10    12/20/1988

LEGC

   Legacy Bancorp, Inc.    NASDAQ    Pittsfield    MA    20    10/26/2005

LSBX

   LSB Corporation    NASDAQ    North Andover    MA    8    05/02/1986

UBNK

   United Financial Bancorp, Inc.    NASDAQ    West Springfield    MA    24    12/04/2007

WFD

   Westfield Financial, Inc.    NASDAQ    Westfield    MA    11    01/04/2007

FXCB

   Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    NASDAQ    Hatboro    PA    11    10/02/2006


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 32

 

 

OVERVIEW OF THE COMPARABLES

The members of the Comparable Group were reviewed against the Bank to ensure comparability based upon the following criteria:

 

  1. Asset size

 

  2. Profitability

 

  3. Capital Level

 

  4. Balance Sheet Mix

 

  5. Operating Strategy

 

  6. Date of conversion

1. Asset Size Ideally, the Comparable Group should have a similar asset size to the Bank. The Comparable Group ranged in size from $806.6 million to $1.5 billion in total assets with a median of $1.1 billion. The Bank’s asset size was $1.2 billion as of December 31, 2009. At the pro forma midpoint of the offering range, the Bank is expected to have assets of $1.3 billion.

2. Profitability The Comparable Group had a median core ROAA of 0.54% and a median core ROAE of 3.35% for the last twelve months. The Bank had a core ROAA of -0.21% and a core ROAE of -1.92% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2009. On a pro forma basis, the Bank’s core ROAA and core ROAE are -0.19% and -1.08%, respectively.

3. Capital Level The Comparable Group had a median tangible equity to tangible assets ratio of 10.11% with a high of 20.47% and a low of 6.13%. At December 31, 2009, the Bank had a tangible equity to tangible assets ratio of 10.53%. On a pro forma basis, at the midpoint, the Bank would have a tangible equity to tangible assets ratio of 16.93%.

4. Balance Sheet Mix At December 31, 2009, the Bank had a net loan to asset ratio of 53.78%. The median loan to asset ratio for the Comparables was 68.96%, ranging from a low of 38.96% to a high of 77.95%. On the liability side, the Bank’s deposit to asset ratio was 73.12% at December 31, 2009 while the Comparable median was 66.83%, ranging from 45.58% to 71.45%. The Bank’s borrowing to asset ratio of 15.94% is below the Comparable median of 23.12%.

5. Operating Strategy An institution’s operating characteristics are important because they determine future performance. Operational strategy also affects expected rates of return and investors’ general perception of the quality, risk and attractiveness of a given company. Specific operating characteristics include profitability, balance sheet growth, asset quality, capitalization and non-financial factors such as management strategies and lines of business.

6. Date of Conversion Recent conversions, those completed on or after March 2, 2009, were excluded since the earnings of a newly converted institution do not reflect the reinvestment of conversion proceeds. Additionally, new issues tend to trade at a discount to the market averages.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 33

 

 

The following table represents key financial indicators for the Bank and the Comparable Group.

FIGURE 30 - KEY FINANCIAL INDICATORS

 

     The Bank at or
for the Twelve
Months Ended
12/31/09
    Comparable Group
Median Last
Twelve Months

Balance Sheet Data

    

Gross Loans to Deposits

   74.79      104.16

Total Net Loans to Assets

   53.78      68.96

Securities to Assets

   35.99      22.66

Deposits to Assets

   73.12      66.83

Borrowed Funds to Assets

   15.94      23.12

Balance Sheet Growth

    

Asset Growth Rate

   26.04      3.84

Loan Growth Rate

   7.19      3.27

Deposit Growth Rate

   41.05      14.07

Capital

    

Equity to Assets

   10.53      12.39

Tangible Equity to Tangible Assets

   10.53      10.11

Intangible Assets to Equity

   —        —  

Regulatory Core Capital to Assets

   8.51      10.85

Equity + Reserves to Assets

   11.44      13.37

Asset Quality

    

Non-Performing Loans to Loans

   4.62      1.57

Reserves to Non-Performing Loans

   35.73      59.77

Non-Performing Assets to Assets

   2.87      1.29

Non-Performing Assets to Equity

   27.28      12.19

Reserves to Loans

   1.65      1.21

Reserves to Non-Performing Assets + 90 Days Del.

   31.44      58.81

Profitability

    

Return on Average Assets

   (0.09   0.44

Return on Average Equity

   (0.82   2.74

Core Return on Average Assets

   (0.21   0.54

Core Return on Average Equity

   (1.92   3.35

Income Statement

    

Yield on Average Earning Assets

   4.67      5.16

Cost of Average Interest Bearing Liabilities

   2.92      2.47

Net Interest Spread

   1.74      2.49

Net Interest Margin

   2.16      2.94

Noninterest Income to Average Assets

   0.14      0.41

Noninterest Expense to Average Assets

   1.81      1.97

Efficiency Ratio

   79.90      66.02

Overhead Ratio

   76.82      61.25

Source: The Bank’s Offering Circular, FinPro calculations and SNL Securities


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 34

 

 

4. MARKET VALUE DETERMINATION

MARKET VALUE ADJUSTMENTS

The estimated pro forma market value of the Bank, along with certain adjustments to its value relative to market values for the Comparable Group are delineated in this section. The adjustments are made from potential investors’ viewpoint and are adjustments necessary when comparing the Bank to the Comparable Group. The adjustment factors are subjectively assessed using the appraiser’s knowledge and expertise and an aggregate adjustment is determined. Potential investors include depositors holding subscription rights and unrelated parties who may purchase stock in the community offering and who are assumed to be aware of all relevant and necessary facts as they pertain to the value of the Bank relative to other publicly traded thrift institutions and relative to alternative investment opportunities.

There are numerous criteria on which the market value adjustments are based. The major criteria utilized for purposes of this report include:

Adjustments Relative to the Comparable Group:

 

   

Financial Condition

 

   

Balance Sheet Growth

 

   

Earnings Quality, Predictability and Growth

 

   

Market Area

 

   

Cash Dividends

 

   

Liquidity of the Issue

 

   

Recent Regulatory Matters

Adjustments for Other Factors:

 

   

Management

 

   

Subscription Interest

 

   

Other than Temporary Impairment Charge

To ascertain the market value of the Bank, the median trading multiple values for the Comparable Group are utilized as the starting point. The adjustment, up or down, to the Comparable Group median multiple values is made based on the comparison of the Bank to the Comparable Group.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 35

 

 

FINANCIAL CONDITION

The balance sheet strength of an institution is an important market value determinant, as the investment community considers such factors as cash liquidity, capitalization, asset composition, funding mix, intangible levels and interest rate risk in assessing the attractiveness of investing in the common stock of a thrift. The following figures summarize the key financial elements of the Bank measured against the Comparable Group.

FIGURE 31 - KEY BALANCE SHEET DATA

 

          Key Financial Data for the Most Recent Period End  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Total
Assets
($000)
   Loans/
Deposits
(%)
    Loans/
Assets
(%)
    Securities/
Assets
(%)
   Deposits/
Assets
(%)
   Borrowings/
Assets

(%)
 
   Comparable Thrift Data                

ABBC

   Abington Bancorp, Inc.    1,238,112    91.00      62.49      27.06    68.67    13.20   

BFED

   Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.    1,066,897    119.96      77.95      18.12    64.98    25.20   

CBNJ

   Cape Bancorp, Inc.    1,072,985    103.78      74.14      NA    71.45    15.94   

ESSA

   ESSA Bancorp, Inc.    1,058,692    152.39      69.46      24.46    45.58    36.44   

HARL

   Harleysville Savings Financial Corporation    843,074    104.53      60.95      NA    58.31    34.45   

HIFS

   Hingham Institution for Savings    966,387    108.66      75.93      10.90    69.88    22.52   

LEGC

   Legacy Bancorp, Inc.    946,224    97.95      68.45      20.86    69.88    16.54   

LSBX

   LSB Corporation    806,567    107.96      67.50      27.06    62.53    29.26   

UBNK

   United Financial Bancorp, Inc.    1,512,664    103.59      72.95      20.62    70.42    14.06   

WFD

   Westfield Financial, Inc.    1,199,757    70.68      38.96      54.58    55.12    23.72   
                                    
   Average    1,071,136    106.05      66.88      25.46    63.68    23.13   
   Median    1,062,795    104.16      68.96      22.66    66.83    23.12   
   Maximum    1,512,664    152.39      77.95      54.58    71.45    36.44   
   Minimum    806,567    70.68      38.96      10.90    45.58    13.20   

FXCB

   Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    1,173,818    74.79      53.78      35.99    73.12    15.94   
   Variance to the Comparable Median    111,024    (29.37   (15.18   13.33    6.29    (7.18

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

Asset Size – The Bank’s assets, at $1.2 billion, are moderately above the Comparable Group median of $1.1 billion. At the pro forma midpoint of the offering range, the Bank is expected to have assets of $1.3 billion.

Asset Composition – The Bank’s loans to assets ratio of 53.78% is below the Comparable Group median of 68.96%. The Bank has a higher level of securities as a percentage of assets.

Funding Mix – The Bank funds itself through deposits, 73.12% of assets, and borrowings, 15.94% of assets. The Comparable Group has a deposits to assets ratio of 66.83% and a borrowing to asset ratio of 23.12%.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 36

 

 

Cash Liquidity – The cash liquidity of the Bank and the Comparable Group appear to be sufficient to meet funding requirements and regulatory guidelines.

Interest Rate Risk – The Bank’s interest rate risk position is illustrated on page 18. The Bank’s interest rate risk position is considered to be “Minimum Risk”. The pro forma increase in capital is expected to reduce the institution’s interest rate risk. No similar data is available for the Comparable Group.

FIGURE 32 - CAPITAL DATA

 

          Capital for the Most Recent Period End  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Equity/
Assets
(%)
    Tangible
Tang Equity/
Tang Assets
(%)
   Intangible
Assets/
Equity
(%)
   Core Capital/
Tangible
Assets

(%)
    Equity +
Reserves/
Assets
(%)
 
   Comparable Thrift Data             

ABBC

   Abington Bancorp, Inc.    17.30      17.30    —      13.14      18.03   

BFED

   Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.    9.49      9.49    —      8.56      10.96   

CBNJ

   Cape Bancorp, Inc.    12.05      10.11    17.87    NA      13.16   

ESSA

   ESSA Bancorp, Inc.    16.91      16.91    —      NA      17.54   

HARL

   Harleysville Savings Financial Corporation    6.13      6.13    —      NA      6.41   

HIFS

   Hingham Institution for Savings    6.94      6.94    —      NA      7.57   

LEGC

   Legacy Bancorp, Inc.    12.72      11.62    9.72    NA      13.57   

LSBX

   LSB Corporation    7.69      7.69    —      NA      8.59   

UBNK

   United Financial Bancorp, Inc.    14.82      NA    NA    NA      15.46   

WFD

   Westfield Financial, Inc.    20.47      20.47    —      NA      21.10   
                               
  

Average

   12.45      11.85    3.07    10.85      13.24   
  

Median

   12.39      10.11    —      10.85      13.37   
  

Maximum

   20.47      20.47    17.87    13.14      21.10   
  

Minimum

   6.13      6.13    —      8.56      6.41   

FXCB

   Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    10.53      10.53    —      8.51      11.44   
  

Variance to the Comparable Median

   (1.86   0.42    —      (2.34   (1.93

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

Capitalization – The Comparable Group’s median tangible equity to tangible assets ratio of 10.11% is inline with the Bank’s ratio of 10.53%. The Bank’s pro forma equity to assets ratio is projected to be 16.93% at the midpoint of the valuation range.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 37

 

 

The asset quality of an institution is an important determinant of market value. The investment community considers levels of nonperforming loans, Real Estate Owned (“REO”) and levels of Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses (“ALLL”) in assessing the attractiveness of investing in the common stock of an institution.

FIGURE 33 - ASSET QUALITY TABLE

 

          Asset Quality for the Most Recent Period Available  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   NPLs/
Loans
(%)
   Reserves/
NPLs
(%)
    NPAs/
Assets
(%)
   NPAs/
Equity
(%)
   Reserves/
Loans
(%)
   Reserves/
NPAs + 90
(%)
 
   Comparable Thrift Data                 

ABBC

   Abington Bancorp, Inc.    3.66    32.07      4.13    23.89    1.17    15.83   

BFED

   Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.    1.87    100.38      1.53    16.17    1.88    90.90   

CBNJ

   Cape Bancorp, Inc.    4.01    41.39      3.45    29.22    1.49    36.00   

ESSA

   ESSA Bancorp, Inc.    1.66    50.87      0.92    5.21    0.90    65.39   

HARL

   Harleysville Savings Financial Corporation    0.17    259.95      0.10    1.66    0.45    259.95   

HIFS

   Hingham Institution for Savings    1.30    61.03      1.36    19.27    0.83    45.59   

LEGC

   Legacy Bancorp, Inc.    2.73    45.77      2.06    16.19    1.25    41.59   

LSBX

   LSB Corporation    0.62    217.08      0.24    3.30    1.34    358.58   

UBNK

   United Financial Bancorp, Inc.    1.49    58.51      1.22    8.21    0.87    52.23   

WFD

   Westfield Financial, Inc.    1.15    139.76      0.60    2.88    1.62    107.19   
                                   
   Average    1.86    100.68      1.56    12.60    1.18    107.32   
   Median    1.57    59.77      1.29    12.19    1.21    58.81   
   Maximum    4.01    259.95      4.13    29.22    1.88    358.58   
   Minimum    0.17    32.07      0.10    1.66    0.45    15.83   

FXCB

   Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    4.62    35.73      2.87    27.28    1.65    31.44   
   Variance to the Comparable Median    3.05    (24.04   1.58    15.09    0.44    (27.37

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

The Bank’s NPA to asset ratio of 2.87% was above the Comparable Group NPA to asset ratio of 1.29%. The Bank’s reserve level, 1.65% to total loans, is above the Comparable median of 1.21% of loans. The Bank’s level of reserves to NPLs, at 35.73%, is below the Comparable Group median of 59.77%. The Bank’s level of NPAs and NPLs increased substantially in the quarter ended December 31, 2009.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 38

 

 

Positive

  

Neutral

  

Negative

Higher Pro forma Capital    Similar Capital    Higher NPLs and NPAs
Lower Borrowings to Assets       Lower ALLL to NPLs
Higher Deposits       Lower Loan to assets
Higher ALLL to Loans      

The Bank’s asset mix is weaker than the Comparable Group’s mix. The Bank has a higher level of deposits and lower level of borrowings as a percentage of assets relative to the Comparable Group. The Bank has similar tangible capital levels, but at the midpoint of the range will have higher tangible capital levels after the conversion. The higher pro forma capital levels will provide the ability for the Bank to grow earning assets. The Bank has a higher level of NPLs and NPAs and the increase came in the quarter ending December 31, 2009. The Bank has a higher level of reserves as a percentage of loans relative to the Comparable levels. The investment community is carefully scrutinizing asset quality. Taken collectively, a downward adjustment is warranted for financial condition.

 


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 39

 

 

BALANCE SHEET GROWTH

The Bank’s assets, loans and deposits have all increased. Relative to the Comparable Group median, the Bank’s asset, loan and deposit growth is significantly higher. The additional capital raised as part of the offering will provide the Bank with the opportunity to grow its balance sheet at a time when the industry is lacking capital.

FIGURE 34 - BALANCE SHEET GROWTH DATA

 

          Growth  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Asset Growth
LTM

(%)
    Loan Growth
LTM

(%)
    Deposit Growth
LTM

(%)
 
   Comparable Thrift Data       

ABBC

   Abington Bancorp, Inc.    4.06      0.72      27.86   

BFED

   Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.    4.46      6.46      10.67   

CBNJ

   Cape Bancorp, Inc.    (2.96   (1.31   (3.01

ESSA

   ESSA Bancorp, Inc.    0.77      (2.06   20.83   

HARL

   Harleysville Savings Financial Corporation    3.61      5.82      11.85   

HIFS

   Hingham Institution for Savings    15.05      9.06      20.22   

LEGC

   Legacy Bancorp, Inc.    (2.26   (7.36   2.73   

LSBX

   LSB Corporation    3.61      13.44      16.29   

UBNK

   United Financial Bancorp, Inc.    21.68      28.17      33.93   

WFD

   Westfield Financial, Inc.    6.58      (1.16   10.07   
                     
   Average    5.46      5.18      15.14   
   Median    3.84      3.27      14.07   
   Maximum    21.68      28.17      33.93   
   Minimum    (2.96   (7.36   (3.01

FXCB

   Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    26.04      7.19      41.05   
   Variance to the Comparable Median    22.20      3.92      26.98   

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

 

Positive

  

Neutral

  

Negative

Higher Asset, Loan and Deposit Growth

     

An upward adjustment is warranted.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 40

 

 

EARNINGS QUALITY, PREDICTABILITY AND GROWTH

The earnings quality, predictability and growth are critical components in the establishment of market values for thrifts. Thrift earnings are primarily a function of:

 

   

net interest income

 

   

loan loss provision

 

   

non-interest income

 

   

non-interest expense

The quality and predictability of earnings is dependent on both internal and external factors. Some internal factors include the mix of the balance sheet, the interest rate sensitivity of the balance sheet, the asset quality, and the infrastructure in place to deliver the assets and liabilities to the public. External factors include the competitive market for both assets and liabilities, the global interest rate scenario, local economic factors and regulatory issues.

Investors are focusing on earnings sustainability as interest rate volatility has caused a wide variation in income levels. With the intense competition for both assets and deposits, banks cannot easily replace lost spread and margin with balance sheet growth.

Each of these factors can influence the earnings of an institution, and each of these factors is volatile. Investors prefer stability and consistency. As such, solid, consistent earnings are preferred to high but risky earnings. Investors also prefer earnings to be diversified and not entirely dependent on interest income.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 41

 

 

Net income trended downward between the twelve months ended December 31, 2005 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2009. The decline over this time period was primarily attributable to higher provision expenses. Net interest income and noninterest income increased between the twelve months ended December 31, 2008 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2009. This increase was offset by higher provision expense and higher noninterest expense for the same periods.

FIGURE 35 - NET INCOME CHART

LOGO

For the twelve months ended,

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 42

 

 

The Bank’s core ROAA and core ROAE are below the Comparable Group medians. The Bank’s higher capitalization and benefit plan expenses following the offering are expected to reduce return on equity for the near term. On a pro forma basis at the midpoint of the range, the Bank’s core ROAA and core ROAE are -0.19% and -1.08%, respectively.

FIGURE 36 - PROFITABILITY DATA

 

          LTM Profitability  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Return on
Avg Assets
(%)
    Return on
Avg Equity
(%)
    Core
Return on
Avg Assets
(%)
    Core
Return on
Avg Equity
(%)
 
   Comparable Thrift Data         

ABBC

   Abington Bancorp, Inc.    (0.59   (3.15   (0.57   (3.01

BFED

   Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.    0.34      3.70      0.48      5.31   

CBNJ

   Cape Bancorp, Inc.    (1.58   (12.69   (1.24   (9.95

ESSA

   ESSA Bancorp, Inc.    0.54      3.00      0.54      3.00   

HARL

   Harleysville Savings Financial Corporation    0.54      8.99      0.57      9.50   

HIFS

   Hingham Institution for Savings    0.98      13.68      1.01      14.09   

LEGC

   Legacy Bancorp, Inc.    (0.87   (6.58   (0.19   (1.40

LSBX

   LSB Corporation    0.70      8.07      0.55      6.26   

UBNK

   United Financial Bancorp, Inc.    0.41      2.48      0.60      3.69   

WFD

   Westfield Financial, Inc.    0.47      2.21      0.53      2.49   
                           
   Average    0.09      1.97      0.23      3.00   
   Median    0.44      2.74      0.54      3.35   
   Maximum    0.98      13.68      1.01      14.09   
   Minimum    (1.58   (12.69   (1.24   (9.95

FXCB

   Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    (0.09   (0.82   (0.21   (1.92
   Variance to the Comparable Median    (0.53   (3.56   (0.75   (5.27

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 43

 

 

FIGURE 37 - INCOME STATEMENT DATA

 

          LTM Income Statement

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Yield on
Ave Earn
Assets
(%)
    Cost of
Funds
(%)
   Net
Interest
Spread
(%)
    Net
Interest
Margin
(%)
    Noninterest
Income/
Avg Assets
(%)
    Noninterest
Expense/
Avg Assets
(%)
    Efficiency
Ratio

(%)
   Overhead
Ratio
(%)
   Comparable Thrift Data                   

ABBC

   Abington Bancorp, Inc.    4.85      2.47    2.38      2.78      (0.12   1.86      77.00    78.12

BFED

   Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.    5.46      2.97    2.49      2.79      0.50      1.74      53.92    45.40

CBNJ

   Cape Bancorp, Inc.    5.36      2.03    3.34      3.58      0.51      2.57      65.23    59.89

ESSA

   ESSA Bancorp, Inc.    5.15      2.70    2.45      2.94      0.56      2.44      68.77    62.60

HARL

   Harleysville Savings Financial Corporation    4.97      NA    NA      2.08      0.23      1.43      62.29    57.92

HIFS

   Hingham Institution for Savings    5.16      NA    NA      3.25      0.22      1.58      44.13    40.20

LEGC

   Legacy Bancorp, Inc.    5.04      2.31    2.73      3.09      0.59      3.01      84.34    81.13

LSBX

   LSB Corporation    5.29      NA    NA      2.62      0.23      1.69      61.10    57.54

UBNK

   United Financial Bancorp, Inc.    5.20      NA    NA      3.50      0.64      2.72      68.67    62.63

WFD

   Westfield Financial, Inc.    4.66      NA    NA      2.94      0.32      2.08      66.81    63.00
                                               
   Average    5.11      2.50    2.68      2.96      0.37      2.11      65.23    60.84
   Median    5.16      2.47    2.49      2.94      0.41      1.97      66.02    61.25
   Maximum    5.46      2.97    3.34      3.58      0.64      3.01      84.34    81.13
   Minimum    4.66      2.03    2.38      2.08      (0.12   1.43      44.13    40.20

FXCB

   Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    4.67      2.92    1.74      2.16      0.14      1.81      79.90    76.82
   Variance to the Comparable Median    (0.49   0.45    (0.75   (0.78   (0.27   (0.16   13.88    15.57

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

Note: The cost of funds and the net interest spread medians are less reliable due to the lack of five data points.

The Bank has a 78 basis point disadvantage in net margin and 27 basis point disadvantage in noninterest income as a percentage of average assets relative to the Comparable Group. This disadvantage was partially offset by a 16 basis point advantage in noninterest expense as a percentage of average assets.

The Bank’s efficiency ratio of 79.90% is above the Comparable median of 66.02%.

On a forward looking basis, after the conversion the Bank’s operating expenses are expected to rise as a result of the stock benefit plans and additional costs of being a public company. At the same time, the Bank will have additional capital to deploy and leverage.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 44

 

 

Positive

 

Neutral

 

Negative

Conversion Proceeds can be Leveraged to Generate Addition Earnings     Lower Core ROAA and Lower Core ROAE
Lower Noninterest Expense     Lower Noninterest Income
    Lower Margin

The Bank’s profitability is below the Comparables on an ROAA and ROAE basis. The Bank’s earnings composition is mixed compared to the Comparable Group as the Bank has a lower margin and lower noninterest income, but lower noninterest expense. The Bank’s historical earnings have been trending downward. After the conversion, the Bank will have capital that can be leveraged to enhance future earnings. Taken collectively, a moderate downward adjustment is warranted for this factor.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 45

 

 

MARKET AREA

The market area that an institution serves has a significant impact on value, as future success is interrelated with the economic, demographic and competitive aspects of the market. The location of an institution will have an impact on the trading value of an institution, as many analysts compare the pricing of institutions relative to a state or regional multiples in investor presentations.

The following figure compares the demographic and competitive data for the counties serviced by the Bank, to the county data of the Comparable Group members.

FIGURE 38 – MARKET AREA DATA

 

Institution Name

 

County, State

  Number
of
Branches
  Company
Deposits
in  Market
($000)
  Deposit
Market
Share
(%)
    Total
Population
2009

(Actual)
  Population
per Branch
(Actual)
  Population     Median
HH  Income
2009

($)
  HH Income     Unemployment
December
2009

(%)
 
              Change
2000-2009
(%)
    Change
2009-2014
(%)
      Change
2000-2009
(%)
    Change
2009-2014
(%)
   
Abington Bancorp, Inc.   Montogomery, PA   228   609,081   2.10   786,653   3,450   4.87   1.85   80,212   31.78   5.01   8.20
Abington Bancorp, Inc.   Bucks, PA   169   86,463   0.70   634,223   3,753   6.12   2.22   79,444   33.01   4.95   8.90
Abington Bancorp, Inc.   Delaware, PA   119   16,168   0.18   558,969   4,697   1.47   0.10   66,300   32.32   5.25   9.10
                                                         
Deposit Weighted Market Data         1.89     3,515   4.94   1.86   79,803   31.94   5.01   8.31
Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.   Onondaga, NY   124   332,953   4.54   456,119   3,678   -0.48   -0.66   53,512   30.91   8.72   9.00
Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.   Smith, TX   58   92,399   2.75   202,787   3,496   16.07   7.44   46,999   26.09   4.80   6.20
Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.   Middlesex, MA   308   67,181   0.20   1,485,082   4,822   1.34   0.61   84,469   38.90   6.08   9.30
Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.   Warren, TN   18   64,497   9.44   39,847   2,214   4.10   1.52   38,963   26.59   2.55   15.30
Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.   Oneida, NY   53   37,661   1.21   233,392   4,404   -0.88   -0.62   47,038   31.01   9.75   7.90
Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.   Rutherford, TN   62   21,368   0.77   258,542   4,170   42.04   17.95   63,174   36.55   6.35   10.30
                                                         
Deposit Weighted Market Data         3.98     3,684   4.13   1.57   54,327   30.81   7.18   9.25
Cape Bancorp, Inc.   Atlantic, NJ   76   411,778   9.98   279,172   3,673   10.54   3.68   55,982   27.26   6.57   13.40
Cape Bancorp, Inc.   Cape May, NJ   57   335,236   13.78   100,834   1,769   -1.46   -0.88   54,354   30.47   7.34   6.50
                                                         
Deposit Weighted Market Data         11.69     2,819   5.15   1.63   55,251   28.70   6.92   10.30
ESSA Bancorp, Inc.   Monroe, PA   51   369,240   18.49   174,579   3,423   25.88   9.97   59,940   29.51   0.44   9.70
ESSA Bancorp, Inc.   Northampton, PA   100   7,847   0.17   300,620   3,006   12.56   5.48   60,207   33.14   6.11   8.80
                                                         
Deposit Weighted Market Data         18.11     3,414   25.60   9.88   59,946   29.59   0.56   9.68
Harleysville Savings Financial Corpor   Montgomery, PA   235   446,454   1.54   786,653   3,347   4.87   1.85   80,212   31.78   5.01   8.20
                                                         
Deposit Weighted Market Data         1.54     3,347   4.87   1.85   80,212   31.78   5.01   8.20
Hingham Institution for Savings   Plymouth, MA   127   366,836   5.83   498,968   3,929   5.53   1.84   76,101   36.76   6.59   11.60
Hingham Institution for Savings   Norfolk, MA   161   90,148   0.58   661,665   4,110   1.75   0.49   88,399   39.52   6.37   8.90
Hingham Institution for Savings   Suffolk, MA   164   12,715   0.02   695,403   4,240   0.81   0.61   53,416   35.68   6.47   13.30
                                                         
Deposit Weighted Market Data         4.67     3,972   4.68   1.55   77,847   37.26   6.54   11.13
Legacy Bancorp, Inc.   Berkshire, MA   56   522,948   18.24   130,714   2,334   -3.14   -2.36   50,638   29.77   6.56   9.90
Legacy Bancorp, Inc.   Greene, NY   25   36,839   4.28   50,332   2,013   4.43   1.24   46,233   26.31   4.87   7.30
Legacy Bancorp, Inc.   Washington, NY   18   20,906   3.46   63,809   3,545   4.53   1.81   47,455   25.19   4.55   7.00
Legacy Bancorp, Inc.   Hampshire, MA   49   20,595   0.71   154,109   3,145   1.22   0.11   62,790   36.11   5.36   8.70
Legacy Bancorp, Inc.   Schoharie, NY   12   11,404   3.03   32,034   2,670   1.43   0.31   45,764   25.21   5.59   8.40
                                                         
Deposit Weighted Market Data         15.65     2,148   -2.61   -2.00   46,183   27.09   5.88   8.90
LSB Corporation   Essex, MA   173   346,942   2.19   744,480   4,303   2.91   0.62   69,858   34.96   6.80   10.20
LSB Corporation   Rockingham, NH   79   26,099   0.60   302,476   3,829   9.06   3.08   75,903   30.27   5.61   6.40
                                                         
Deposit Weighted Market Data         2.08     4,270   3.34   0.79   70,281   34.63   6.72   9.93
United Financial Bancorp, Inc.   Hampden, MA   126   791,195   10.16   459,791   3,649   0.78   -0.39   50,540   27.24   7.01   12.00
United Financial Bancorp, Inc.   Worcester, MA   133   217,739   2.16   794,206   5,971   5.76   1.83   62,731   31.03   5.37   9.90
United Financial Bancorp, Inc.   Hampshire, MA   50   38,539   1.34   154,109   3,082   1.22   0.11   62,790   36.11   5.36   8.70
                                                         
Deposit Weighted Market Data         8.17     4,111   1.83   0.09   53,525   28.35   6.61   11.44
Westfield Financial, Inc.   Hampden, MA   126   587,284   7.54   459,791   3,649   0.78   -0.39   50,540   27.24   7.01   12.00
                                                         
Deposit Weighted Market Data         7.54     3,649   0.78   -0.39   50,540   27.24   7.01   0.12   
Comparable Median         6.10     3,582   4.40   1.56   57,598   30.20   6.58   9.81
                                                         
Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)   Philadelphia, PA   228   260,515   0.58   1,452,449   6,370   -4.29   -2.68   41,408   34.52   9.65   17.20
Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)   Bucks, PA   167   144,990   1.17   634,223   3,798   6.12   2.22   79,444   33.01   4.95   8.90
Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)   Montgomery, PA   230   118,835   0.41   786,653   3,420   4.87   1.85   80,212   31.78   5.01   8.20
Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)   Atlantic, NJ   77   38,706   0.94   279,172   3,626   10.54   3.68   55,982   27.26   6.57   13.40
Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)   Cape May, NJ   59   23,127   0.95   100,834   1,709   -1.46   -0.88   54,354   30.47   7.34   6.50
Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)   Chester, PA   134   13,604   0.15   499,763   3,730   15.29   6.64   87,308   34.66   7.36   7.20
Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)   Delaware, PA   119   3,827   0.04   558,969   4,697   1.47   0.10   66,300   32.32   5.25   9.10
                                                         
Deposit Weighted Market Data     1014   603,604   0.71     4,747   1.55   0.09   60,807   32.99   7.24   12.50
                                                         

Pennsylvania

    5,807       12,598,860   2,170   2.59   0.80   53,225   32.70   4.87   9.50
                                                         

New Jersey

    3,750       8,834,947   2,356   5.00   1.67   72,809   32.18   5.61   11.20
                                                         

National

    99,546       309,731,508   3,111   10.06   4.63   54,719   29.78   4.06   10.60
                                                         

Sources: SNL Securities


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 46

 

 

The Bank’s population per branch in its market area is higher than the Comparable Group median as well as Pennsylvania, New Jersey and national statistics. Historical population growth was higher for the state and national figures as well as the Comparable median compared to the Bank’s market area’s population growth. Projected population growth for the Bank’s market area is projected to be below all other benchmarks. The Bank’s market area median household income was above the Comparable Group median and Pennsylvania State and national figures, but below the New Jersey State median. Household income in the Bank’s market area is projected to outpace household income growth of the Comparable Group median as well as the state and national figures. The Bank’s market area unemployment percentage was above all other benchmarks, primarily driven by the relatively high unemployment rate in the Philadelphia, Pennsylvania marketplace. Due to the various strengths and weaknesses of the Bank’s market area, no adjustment was given.

 

Positive

 

Neutral

 

Negative

Population Per Branch     Actual and Projected Population Growth
Higher Median HH Income     Unemployment Rate
Higher Projected Median HH Income Growth    


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 47

 

 

CASH DIVIDENDS

The industry has typically not disclosed dividend policies concurrent with conversion. Recently, a number of financial institutions have cut dividend rates in an effort to conserve capital.

FIGURE 39 - DIVIDEND DATA

 

          Dividends

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Current
Dividend
Yield
(%)
   LTM  Dividend
Payout

Ratio
(%)
   Comparable Thrift Data      

ABBC

   Abington Bancorp, Inc.    2.12    NM

BFED

   Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.    2.35    37.04

CBNJ

   Cape Bancorp, Inc.    —      —  

ESSA

   ESSA Bancorp, Inc.    1.53    45.24

HARL

   Harleysville Savings Financial Corporation    5.08    61.29

HIFS

   Hingham Institution for Savings    2.56    26.81

LEGC

   Legacy Bancorp, Inc.    2.10    NM

LSBX

   LSB Corporation    2.70    25.74

UBNK

   United Financial Bancorp, Inc.    1.92    77.78

WFD

   Westfield Financial, Inc.    2.16    263.16
            
   Average    2.25    67.13
   Median    2.14    41.14
   Maximum    5.08    263.16
   Minimum    —      —  

FXCB

   Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    NA    NA
   Variance to the Comparable Median    NA    NA

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

All but one of the Comparable institutions had declared cash dividends. The median dividend payout ratio for the Comparable Group was 41.14%, ranging from a high of 263.16% to a low of 0.00%. The Bank, on a pro forma basis at the mid point of the value range will have a tangible equity to tangible assets ratio of 16.90%. The Bank will have adequate capital to pay cash dividends, but may not have sufficient earnings.

As such, no adjustment is warranted for this factor. The earning adjustment was made previously.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 48

 

 

LIQUIDITY OF THE ISSUE

The Comparable Group is by definition composed only of companies that trade in the public markets with all of the Comparables trading on NASDAQ. Typically, the number of shares outstanding and the market capitalization provides an indication of how much liquidity there will be in a given stock. The actual liquidity can be measured by volume traded over a given period of time.

FIGURE 40 - MARKET CAPITALIZATION DATA

 

          Market Data  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Market
Value
($)
   Stock
Price
($)
   Price
High
($)
   Price
Low
($)
    Book
Value
($)
    Tangible
Book
Value
($)
 
   Comparable Thrift Data                

ABBC

   Abington Bancorp, Inc.    197.00    9.45    9.63    7.05      10.18      10.18   

BFED

   Beacon Federal Bancorp, Inc.    55.70    8.52    9.25    8.14      15.48      15.48   

CBNJ

   Cape Bancorp, Inc.    95.20    7.15    8.15    6.00      9.71      7.97   

ESSA

   ESSA Bancorp, Inc.    180.20    13.09    13.52    11.32      13.01      13.01   

HARL

   Harleysville Savings Financial Corporation    54.80    14.96    14.96    13.06      14.12      14.12   

HIFS

   Hingham Institution for Savings    76.50    36.00    37.99    31.26      31.56      31.56   

LEGC

   Legacy Bancorp, Inc.    83.20    9.54    9.88    8.94      13.80      12.40   

LSBX

   LSB Corporation    60.20    13.35    14.00    10.72      13.77      13.77   

UBNK

   United Financial Bancorp, Inc.    244.10    14.58    15.16    12.72      13.39      12.93   

WFD

   Westfield Financial, Inc.    273.40    9.24    10.37    7.99      8.30      8.30   
                                    
   Average    132.03    13.59    14.29    11.72      14.33      13.97   
   Median    89.20    11.32    11.95    9.83      13.58      12.97   
   Maximum    273.40    36.00    37.99    31.26      31.56      31.56   
   Minimum    54.80    7.15    8.15    6.00      8.30      7.97   

FXCB

   Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    154.50    11.35    12.00    8.55      9.20      9.20   
   Variance to the Comparable Median    65.30    0.03    0.05    (1.28   (4.38   (3.77

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

The market capitalization values of the Comparable Group range from a low of $54.8 million to a high of $273.4 million with a median market capitalization of $89.2 million. The Bank expects to have $170.3 million of market capital at the midpoint on a pro forma basis. It is expected that the Bank will trade on NASDAQ along with all of the Comparables.

No adjustment for this factor appears warranted as both the Bank and the Comparables are expected to be liquidly traded.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 49

 

 

RECENT REGULATORY MATTERS

Regulatory matters influence the market for thrift conversions. It is expected that industry regulation will increase as a result of the current crisis and there is a lack of clarity to the resulting regulatory framework. Both the Bank and the Comparable Group are expected to operate in substantially the same regulatory environment.

No adjustment for this factor is warranted as both the Bank and the Comparables will operate in the same ownership structure and will be supervised in the same regulatory environment.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 50

 

 

5. Other Factors

MANAGEMENT

The current team has considerable banking experience and has held similar positions in other financial institutions. The Bank’s organizational chart is reasonable for an institution of its size and complexity.

The Board is active and oversees and advises on all key strategic and policy decisions.

As such, no adjustment appears to be warranted for this factor.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 51

 

 

SUBSCRIPTION INTEREST

There have been four second step conversions since January 1, 2008. The median price to tangible book value of these conversions was 73.1%. Northwest’s price to pro forma tangible book value was above the others and is partially attributable to the size of the institution. Eagle completed its second step earlier this month at 81.2% of tangible book.

FIGURE 41 - SECOND STEP CONVERSIONS (SINCE 1/1/08) PRO FORMA DATA

 

                         Price to Pro Forma

Ticker

  

Name

   IPO
Date
   Gross
Proceeds
($)
   IPO
Price ($)
   EPS
(%)
   Book
Value (%)
   Tangible Book
Value (%)

BCSB

   BCSB Bancorp, Inc.    4/11/2008    $ 15,677    $ 10.00    NM    61.8    65.0

NWBI

   Northwest Bancshares, Inc.    12/18/2009      603,041      10.00    24.8    89.0    103.8

OSHC

   Ocean Shore Holding Co.    12/21/2009      26,868      8.00    17.3    63.0    63.0

EBMTD

   Eagle Bancorp Montana, Inc.    4/5/2010      19,856      10.00    12.3    81.2    81.2
                                  
           Average       18.1    73.8    78.3
           Median       17.3    72.1    73.1
                                  

Source: SNL Securities


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 52

 

 

There was a first day “pop” for 2009 year-to-date and 2008 full year transactions. The median price change after 1 day was 8.95%. All four second step conversions are currently trading above their IPO price.

FIGURE 42 - CONVERSIONS PRICE APPRECIATION

 

               Percentage Change in Price

Ticker

  

Name

   IPO
Date
   After
1 Day
(%)
   After
1 Week
(%)
   After
1 Month
(%)
   After
3 Months
(%)
   To
Date
(%)

BCSB

   BCSB Bancorp, Inc.    4/11/2008    10.40    14.90    13.50    4.00    4.80

NWBI

   Northwest Bancshares, Inc.    12/18/2009    13.50    13.00    14.00    18.00    26.30

OSHC

   Ocean Shore Holding Co.    12/21/2009    7.50    11.88    13.13    36.25    43.00

EBMTD

   Eagle Bancorp Montana, Inc.    4/5/2010    5.50    5.00    NA    NA    4.40
                                
      Average    9.23    11.20    13.54    19.42    11.25
      Median    8.95    12.44    13.50    18.00    10.96
                                

Source: SNL Securities

No adjustment is given for subscription interest.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 53

 

 

VALUATION ADJUSTMENTS

Relative to the Comparables the following adjustments need to be made to the Bank’s pro forma market value.

 

Valuation Factor

  

Valuation Adjustment

Financial Condition

   Downward

Balance Sheet Growth

   Upward

Earnings Quality, Predictability and Growth

   Moderate Downward

Market Area

   No Adjustment

Dividends

   No Adjustment

Liquidity of the Issue

   No Adjustment

Recent Regulatory Matters

   No Adjustment

Additionally, the following adjustment should be made to the Bank’s market value.

 

Valuation Factor

  

Valuation Adjustment

Management

   No Adjustment

Subscription Interest

   No Adjustment


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 54

 

 

6. Valuation

In applying the accepted valuation methodology promulgated by the regulators, i.e., the pro forma market value approach, three key pricing multiples were considered. The four multiples include:

Price to core earnings (“P/E”)

Price to book value (“P/B”) / Price to tangible book value (“P/TB”)

Price to assets (“P/A”)

All of the approaches were calculated on a pro forma basis including the effects of the conversion proceeds. All of the assumptions utilized are presented in Exhibit 11.

DISCUSSION OF WEIGHT GIVEN TO VALUATION MULTIPLES

To ascertain the pro forma estimated market value of the Bank, the market multiples for the Comparable Group were utilized. As a secondary check, all publicly traded thrifts and the recent and historical conversions were assessed. The multiples for the Comparable Group, all publicly traded thrifts are shown in Exhibit 9.

Price to Earnings – According to the Appraisal Guidelines: “When both the converting institution and the comparable companies are recording “normal” earnings. A P/E approach may be the simplest and most direct method of valuation. When earnings are low or negative, however, this approach may not be appropriate and the greater consideration should be given to the P/BV approach.” In this particular case, the Bank’s earnings are skewed by credit costs. As such, this approach was given limited consideration in this appraisal.

In the pro forma figures for the Bank, FinPro incorporated the impact of SFAS 123, which requires the expensing of stock options. In preparing the fully converted pro forma figures for the Comparable Group, FinPro also incorporated the impact of SFAS 123.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 55

 

 

Price to Book/Price to Tangible Book - According to the Appraisal Guidelines: “The P/BV approach works best when the converting institution and the Comparables have a normal amount of book value. The P/BV approach could seriously understate the value of an institution that has almost no book value but has an outstanding future earnings potential. For converting institutions with high net worth, the appraiser may have difficulty in arriving at a pro forma market value because of pressure placed on the P/E multiple as higher P/BV levels are required to reflect a similar P/BV ratio as the peer group average. The P/BV approach also suffers from the use of historical cost accounting data.”

Since thrift earnings in general have had a high degree of volatility, the P/B is utilized frequently as the benchmark for market value. A better approach is the P/TB approach. In general, investors tend to price financial institutions on a tangible book basis, because it incorporates the P/B approach adjusted for intangibles. Initially following conversion, FinPro believes that thrifts often trade on a price to tangible book basis.

Price to Assets - According to the Appraisal Guidelines: “This approach remedies the problems of a small base that can occur with the P/BV approach, but the approach has many of the other limitations of the latter approach (the P/BV approach).” FinPro places little weight on this valuation approach due to the lack of consideration of asset and funding mixes and the resulting earnings impact.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 56

 

 

FULL OFFERING VALUE IN RELATION TO COMPARABLES

Based upon the adjustments defined in the previous section, the Bank is pricing at the midpoint as a standard conversion is estimated to be $171,181,280. Based upon a range below and above the midpoint value, the respective values are $145,504,090 at the minimum and $196,858,470 at the maximum respectively. At the super maximum of the range, the offering value would be $226,387,240.

At the various levels of the estimated value range, the full offering would result in the following offering data:

FIGURE 43 - VALUE RANGE

 

Conclusion

   Total Shares
Shares
   Price
Per Share
   Total
Value

Appraised Value - Midpoint

   17,118,128    $ 10.00    $ 171,181,280

Range:

        

- Minimum

   14,550,409    $ 10.00      145,504,090

- Maximum

   19,685,847      10.00      196,858,470

- Super Maximum

   22,638,724      10.00      226,387,240

Source: FinPro Inc. Pro forma Model

FIGURE 44 - APPRAISED VALUE

The appraised value of the institution resulted in an exchange value per minority share that ranges from $10.69 per share at the minimum to $16.64 per share at the super maximum, with an exchange value per share of $12.58 at the midpoint.

 

     Appraised Value  
Conclusion    Minimum     Midpoint     Maximum     SuperMaximum *  

Total Shares

     14,550,409        17,118,128        19,685,847        22,638,724   

Price per Share

   $ 10      $ 10      $ 10      $ 10   

Full Conversion Value

   $ 145,504,090      $ 171,181,280      $ 196,858,470      $ 226,387,240   

Exchange Shares

     5,837,909        6,868,128        7,898,347        9,083,099   

Exchange Percent

     40.12     40.12     40.12     40.12

Conversion Shares

     8,712,500        10,250,000        11,787,500        13,555,625   

Conversion Percent

     59.88     59.88     59.88     59.88

Gross Proceeds

   $ 87,125,000      $ 102,500,000      $ 117,875,000      $ 135,556,250   

Exchange Value

   $ 58,379,090      $ 68,681,280      $ 78,983,470      $ 90,830,990   

Exchange Ratio

     1.0692        1.2578        1.4465        1.6635   

Exchange Value per Minority Share

   $ 10.69      $ 12.58      $ 14.47      $ 16.64   

Fully Converted Tangible Book to Minority Share

   $ 14.72      $ 15.74      $ 16.75      $ 17.92   


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 57

 

 

FIGURE 45 –CONVERSION OFFERING PRICING MULTIPLES

 

          Bank     Comparables     State     National  
                Mean     Median     Mean     Median     Mean     Median  
   Min    -58.82               

Price-Core Earnings Ratio P/E

   Mid    -71.43      21.50      18.30      17.29      12.30      23.46      16.05   
   Max    -83.33               
   Smax    -90.91               
   Min    72.62            

Price-to-Book Ratio P/B

   Mid    79.94   92.83   98.80   91.97   96.00   81.02   80.30
   Max    86.36            
   Smax    92.85            
   Min    72.62            

Price-to-Tangible Book Ratio P/TB

   Mid    79.94   95.61   98.80   99.34   99.20   89.23   84.05
   Max    86.36            
   Smax    92.85            
   Min    11.64            

Price-to-Assets Ratio P/A

   Mid    13.54   11.68   8.83   9.65   8.87   8.80   6.76
   Max    15.40            
   Smax    17.50            

Source: FinPro Calculations

FIGURE 46 - COMPARABLE CONVERSION PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANKS PRO FORMA MIDPOINT

 

     Price Relative to  
     Earnings     Core Earnings     Book     Tangible Book     Assets  

The Bank (at midpoint) Full Conversion

   (142.86   (66.67   79.94   79.94   13.54

Comparable Group Median

   15.80      18.30      98.80   98.80   8.83

(Discount) Premium

   -1004.18   -464.32   -19.09   -19.09   53.34

Source: SNL data, FinPro Calculations

As Figure 46 demonstrates, at the midpoint of the estimated valuation range the Bank is priced at a 19.09% discount to the Comparable Group.

FIGURE 47 - COMPARABLE CONVERSION PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANKS PRO FORMA SUPER MAXIMUM

 

     Price Relative to  
     Earnings     Core Earnings     Book     Tangible Book     Assets  

The Bank (at the supermax) Full Conversion

   (166.67   (83.33   92.85   92.85   17.50

Comparable Group Median

   15.80      18.30      98.80   98.80   8.83

(Discount) Premium

   -1154.87   -555.36   -6.02   -6.02   98.19

Source: SNL data, FinPro Calculations

As Figure 47 demonstrates, at the super maximum of the estimated valuation range the Bank is priced at a 6.02% discount to the Comparable Group.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 58

 

 

FIGURE 48 - COMPARABLE CONVERSION PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANKS PRO FORMA MINIMUM

 

      Price Relative to  
     Earnings     Core Earnings     Book     Tangible Book     Assets  

The Bank (at the minimum) Full Conversion

   (142.86   (58.82   72.62   72.62   11.64

Comparable Group Median

   (166.67   (83.33   92.85   92.85   17.50

(Discount) Premium

   -14.29   -29.41   -21.79   -21.79   -33.49

Source: SNL data, FinPro Calculations

As Figure 48 demonstrates, at the minimum of the estimated valuation range the Bank is priced at a 21.79% discount to the Comparable Group.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 59

 

 

COMPARISON TO OTHER PENDING

SECOND STEP CONVERSIONS

FIGURE 49 - COMPARISON TO OTHER PENDING SECOND STEP CONVERSIONS

As Figure 49 demonstrates, the Bank’s offering price to tangible book value per share range is inbetween the high end and low end of the pending second step conversion comparable tangible book basis. The Bank is priced between 72.62% and 92.85% of tangible book value per share.

 

Ticker

  

Institution

   State    Type    Gross
Proceeds ($)
   Price/ TBVS
Range (%)

ORIT

   Oritani Financial Corp    NJ    Second Step    $ 515,775    82.44 - 98.52

FFCO

   FedFirst Financial Corp.    PA    Second Step      29,756.00    57.67 - 76.69

ONFC

   Oneida Financial Corp.    NY    Second Step      41,659.00    89.49 -112.04

JXSB

   Jacksonville Bancorp    IL    Second Step      15,539.00    58.28 - 77.88

VPFG

   ViewPoint Financial Group    TX    Second Step      264,500.00    86.00 -108.70

COBK

   Colonial Financial Services    NJ    Second Step      35,708.00    64.68 - 85.76
                    

FXCB

   Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    PA    Second Step    $ 129,663    72.62 - 92.85
                    

Source: SNL Securities, FinPro calculations

 

* Offering data is presented at the supermax for all deal; Price/Tangible Book Range presents values at the minimum and supermax


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 60

 

 

COMPARISON OF THE EXCHANGE

VALUE AND STOCK PRICE

FIGURE 50 – COMPARISON OF THE EXCHANGE VALUE PER MINORITY SHARE AND STOCK PRICE

LOGO

Source: SNL data, FinPro Calculations

As Figure 50 demonstrates, the Bank’s stock price is currently between the minimum and the midpoint of the range.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 61

 

 

VALUATION CONCLUSION

We believe that the discount on a tangible book basis at the midpoint is appropriate relative to the Comparable Group. The resulting pro forma multiples are inline with other pending offerings.

It is, therefore, FinPro’s opinion that as of April 29, 2010, the estimated pro forma market value of the Bank in a full offering was $171,181,280 at the midpoint of a range with a minimum of $145,504,090 to a maximum of $196,858,470 at 15% below and 15% above the midpoint of the range respectively. Assuming an adjusted maximum value of 15% above the maximum value, the adjusted maximum value or super maximum value in a full offering is $226,387,240.

The document represents an initial valuation for the Bank. Due to the duration of time that passes between the time this document is compiled and the time the offering closes, numerous factors could lead FinPro to update or revise the appraised value of the Bank. Some factors that could lead FinPro to adjust the appraised value include: (1) changes in the Bank’s operations and financial condition; (2) changes in the market valuation or financial condition of the Comparable Group; (3) changes in the broader market; and (4) changes in the market for thrift conversions. Should there be material changes to any of these factors, FinPro will prepare an appraisal update to appropriately adjust the value of the Bank. At the time of closing, FinPro will prepare a final appraisal to determine if the valuation range is still appropriate and determine the exact valuation amount appropriate for the Bank.