EX-99.1 2 a15-21501_2ex99d1.htm EX-99.1 INTERIM REPORT TO SHAREHOLDERS FOR THE PERIOD ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2015

Exhibit 99.1

 

 

Expected 2015 cost savings increase to $400 million

Third-quarter oil sands production up 17%

 

Calgary, Alberta (October 29, 2015) — Cenovus Energy Inc. (TSX: CVE) (NYSE: CVE) continues to make significant progress in reducing its costs while delivering strong operational performance and oil sands production growth. The company is benefiting from the decisive steps taken over the past year to increase its financial resilience in the face of what is expected to be a prolonged period of lower oil prices.

 

“We’re delivering on the commitments we made at the outset of 2015 to improve Cenovus’s position as a  low-cost producer,” said Brian Ferguson, Cenovus President & Chief Executive Officer. “We’ve realized substantial, sustainable cost reductions, maintained capital discipline and strengthened our balance sheet. We  will continue to look for additional opportunities to reduce costs, become more efficient and enhance shareholder value.”

 

Third quarter highlights

 

·                  Maintained financial strength with approximately $4.4 billion of cash and cash equivalents on the balance sheet and a net debt to capitalization ratio of 13%

·                  Achieved cost reductions that were better than forecast, bringing total anticipated savings for 2015 to approximately $400 million

·                  On track to achieve $100 million in forecast annual savings, starting in 2016, from workforce reductions

·                  Reduced oil sands per-unit operating costs by 23% from the third quarter of 2014 and total crude oil per-unit operating expenses by 22%

·                  Generated cash flow of $444 million, down 55% from the same period a year earlier

·                  Recognized for strong performance in corporate responsibility as the only North American oil and gas producer to be included in this year’s Dow Jones Sustainability (DJSI) World Index

 

Production & financial summary

 

(For the period ended September 30)
Production (before royalties)

 

2015
Q3

 

2014
Q3

 

% change

 

Oil sands (bbls/d)

 

146,743

 

125,089

 

17

 

Conventional oil1 (bbls/d)

 

63,679

 

74,000

 

-14

 

Total oil (bbls/d)

 

210,422

 

199,089

 

6

 

Natural gas (MMcf/d)

 

430

 

489

 

-12

 

Financial
($ millions, except per share amounts)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash flow2

 

444

 

985

 

-55

 

Per share diluted

 

0.53

 

1.30

 

 

 

Operating earnings (loss)2

 

(28

)

372

 

-108

 

Per share diluted

 

(0.03

)

0.49

 

 

 

Net earnings

 

1,801

 

354

 

409

 

Per share diluted

 

2.16

 

0.47

 

 

 

Capital investment3

 

400

 

750

 

-47

 

 


1 Includes natural gas liquids (NGLs) and the impact of non-core asset divestitures in 2014 and 2015.

2 Cash flow and operating earnings are non-GAAP measures as defined in the Advisory.

3 Excludes acquisitions and divestitures.

 



 

Overview

 

Cenovus continues to take action to reduce its cost structures to be competitive with light tight oil producers in the U.S. and address the more than 50% decline in benchmark crude oil prices since mid-2014. The company committed earlier this year to streamline its operations and become more efficient to help ensure it is positioned for long-term success during a prolonged period of lower oil prices. To date, the company has achieved meaningful and sustainable improvements in its operating, capital and general and administrative (G&A) costs and reduced the size of its workforce. To align with current market conditions, the company has also made changes to its compensation, benefits and time-off practices, effective in 2016. Cenovus realized significant value for shareholders by selling its royalty interest and fee land business in July for gross cash proceeds of $3.3 billion. Earlier this year, Cenovus also raised capital by issuing common shares and reducing its quarterly dividend as part of the company’s strategy to maintain its long-term financial resilience.

 

Successful cost reductions

 

The company’s cost reduction efforts have progressed at a faster pace than expected. Cenovus is now anticipating total 2015 cost savings of approximately $400 million — significantly higher than its July forecast of $280 million in cost reductions and original April forecast of $200 million in cost reductions for the year. Of Cenovus’s targeted 2015 savings, about 65% are expected to come from operating and G&A cost improvements, with the remaining 35% anticipated to come from reduced capital costs. Cenovus anticipates about 60% of the $400 million in savings would be sustainable, even with oil prices recovering to between US$60 per barrel (bbl) and US$65/bbl West Texas Intermediate (WTI).

 

These cost reductions are being achieved across the company. They include savings related to improved drilling efficiency, optimized scheduling and prioritization of repair and maintenance activities, lower chemical costs and better oil sands waste disposal and handling processes. Some of the savings are the result of work that has been deferred.

 

In addition to its $400 million overall cost-reduction target for 2015, Cenovus expects to achieve significant additional structural cost savings from its workforce reduction program. In July, the company said it anticipated reducing the size of its workforce by another 300 to 400 positions through the remainder of the year, following an initial round of staff cuts made in February. The company has since identified additional workforce efficiencies and reduced its staff count by 700 positions for the second half of the year, double its July forecast. As a result, Cenovus anticipates finishing 2015 with 24% fewer staff than it had at the end of 2014. The cost savings associated with these workforce reductions are expected to be at least $100 million annually, starting in 2016. Cenovus incurred severance costs of about $3 million in the third quarter and expects to incur additional severance costs of approximately $32 million in the fourth quarter related to its most recent round of staff reductions. Cenovus has completed a review of its compensation, benefits and time-off practices to make sure they are aligned with those of its peers and with market conditions, while remaining competitive and allowing the company to continue to attract and retain talented staff. As a result of this review, the company will be making changes to these practices starting in 2016.

 

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“We’ve made difficult, but necessary decisions to help us remain financially resilient,” said Ferguson. “It’s important that the size of our workforce matches our more moderate approach to oil sands growth and our reduced cash flow in a lower commodity price environment.”

 

As previously announced, Cenovus expects to make additional staff reductions in 2016 as a result of the company’s transition to a functional organizational model.

 

Financial performance

 

In the third quarter, upstream operating cash flow declined 48% to $570 million primarily due to a 56% decrease in Cenovus’s average crude oil sales price and a 29% decline in its average natural gas sales price. The impact of lower sales prices on upstream operating cash flow was partially offset by realized risk management gains of $206 million on oil and natural gas production, lower royalties due to the weaker crude oil sales prices and a 22% reduction in crude oil operating expenses. Operating cash flow from refining and marketing declined 57% to $29 million. Total operating cash flow was $599 million, a 48% decrease compared with the third quarter of 2014.

 

Cash flow was $444 million in the third quarter, 55% lower than in the same period in 2014 primarily due to lower crude oil and natural gas sales prices.

 

Cenovus has significantly strengthened its balance sheet in 2015 with the divestiture of its royalty and fee land business in July 2015 and the $1.5 billion common share issuance that closed in March 2015. The company’s net debt to capitalization ratio was 13% and net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 0.8 times, on a trailing 12-month basis, at September 30, 2015.

 

“We have one of the strongest balance sheets in the industry with about $4.4 billion of cash and cash equivalents,” said Ferguson. “Cenovus is well positioned to thrive in a lower-for-longer commodity price environment, and we’ll continue to be prudent, directing capital only to projects that meet our stringent investment hurdles.”

 

Oil sands growth

 

Oil sands production from Cenovus’s Foster Creek and Christina Lake steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) projects increased 17% in the third quarter of 2015 compared with the same period a year earlier. The increase was the result of the ramp-up of new wells associated with phase F at Foster Creek, improved facility performance and some flush production at Foster Creek after operations were temporarily shut down late in the second quarter due to a nearby forest fire. As expected, flush production has tapered off and production rates have returned to pre-forest fire levels.

 

Cenovus’s oil sands business achieved solid operating cost reductions of $2.86/bbl in the third quarter compared with the same period a year earlier. Total operating costs were $9.55/bbl, a 23% decrease from the third quarter of 2014. Increased production, workforce reductions and lower fuel and electricity expenses contributed to the oil sands per-unit operating cost savings in the third quarter. Year to date, Cenovus has also achieved operating cost reductions from improved prioritization of its repair and maintenance activities as well as lower workover costs due to fewer electric submersible pump (ESP) replacements.

 

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The company’s Christina Lake optimization project was completed on time and below budget, with incremental oil production expected to ramp up over a period of 12 months. The project is designed to increase steam generating capacity and optimize oil treating. Christina Lake’s phase F expansion is nearing completion, with first oil expected in the second half of 2016. At Foster Creek, the phase G expansion remains on track for expected production late in the first half of 2016. These three expansion projects are expected to add approximately 100,000 barrels per day (bbls/d) of incremental gross production capacity (50,000 bbls/d net), an increase of about 35% to the company’s current oil sands production capacity.

 

Disciplined capital allocation

 

In the third quarter of 2015, the company invested $272 million in its oil sands assets, $55 million in conventional oil and natural gas, $67 million in its refineries and $6 million in corporate activities. Cenovus expects total capital spending for 2015 of $1.8 billion to $1.9 billion, in line with the company’s budget for the year and almost 40% below 2014 spending levels.

 

“We have tested our financial capacity and even at prices as low as US$45 per barrel WTI through 2017, we believe we can fund our sustaining and growth capital as well as our current dividend level,” said Ferguson. “We also believe we have the financial resilience to consider restarting investment in some of our deferred expansion projects when the timing is right. Those decisions would depend on our ongoing cost-cutting success as well as fiscal and regulatory certainty.”

 

Currently, Cenovus anticipates capital spending of between $1.5 billion and $2.0 billion in 2016. The low end of the range would include capital for the completion of ongoing Christina Lake and Foster Creek expansion projects that are already well advanced. The high end of the range could include growth capital for the potential resumption of work at Christina Lake phase G and Foster Creek phase H, which were deferred earlier this year.

 

The company is currently developing its 2016 budget and intends to provide additional details in a news release scheduled for December 10, 2015.

 

Improving market access

 

Cenovus is working to develop new markets and businesses to help it gain greater control over a larger part of the value chain for its products. At the end of August, the company completed the acquisition of a crude-by-rail trans-loading facility at Bruderheim, Alberta that was announced in the second quarter. During its first full month of ownership, Cenovus and its third-party operator shipped 12 unit trains from the facility, including five unit trains loaded for contract customers.

 

To further enhance its market access, Cenovus continues to assess other strategic opportunities to capture global pricing for its oil and increase returns for shareholders.

 

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Updating guidance

 

Cenovus has updated its 2015 full-year guidance to reflect actual results for the first nine months of the year and the company’s estimates for the fourth quarter. The updated guidance, available at cenovus.com under “Investors,” reflects Cenovus’s expectations for lower capital spending at Foster Creek and better than anticipated oil sands and conventional operating costs compared with the company’s prior guidance.

 

Leadership appointments

 

Cenovus has created the new position on its Leadership Team of Executive Vice-President, Business Innovation. Judy Fairburn has been appointed to the role effective December 1. She will be accountable for developing ground-breaking, cross-sector partnerships in areas of strategic importance to Cenovus. Fairburn has held various leadership roles within Cenovus and its predecessor companies. She has extensive experience building partnerships within the industry and with other sectors, including an integral role in the creation of Canada’s Oil Sands Innovation Alliance (COSIA).

 

As previously announced as part of the Leadership Team retirement transition, Kerry Dyte will be stepping down as Executive Vice-President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary on December 1. Al Reid, who has already joined the Leadership Team as Executive Vice-President, Environment, Corporate Affairs & Legal, will take on the role of General Counsel at that time. Gary Molnar, currently Vice-President Legal & Assistant Corporate Secretary, will become Vice-President, Legal, Assistant General Counsel & Corporate Secretary on December 1.

 

Third quarter details

 

Oil sands

 

Christina Lake

 

·                  Production averaged 75,329 bbls/d net in the third quarter of 2015, 10% higher than in the same period a year earlier.

·                  Operating costs were $7.87/bbl in the third quarter, down 24% from $10.40/bbl in the same period of 2014. Non-fuel operating costs were $5.57/bbl, down 21% from the third quarter of 2014.

·                  The steam to oil ratio (SOR), the amount of steam needed to produce a barrel of oil, was 1.7, unchanged from the third quarter of 2014.

·                  Netbacks were $13.76/bbl in the third quarter, down 72% from the same period a year ago.

 

Foster Creek

 

·                  Production averaged 71,414 bbls/d net in the third quarter, 26% higher than in the third quarter of 2014.

·                  Operating costs were $11.37/bbl, a 23% decline compared with the third quarter of 2014. Non-fuel operating costs were $8.72/bbl, a 17% decline from a year earlier.

·                  The SOR was 2.4 in the third quarter, an improvement from 2.8 in the same period of 2014.

·                  Netbacks were $13.28/bbl in the third quarter, 76% lower than a year earlier.

 

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Conventional oil

 

·                  Total conventional oil production was 63,679 bbls/d in the third quarter, down 14% from 74,000 bbls/d in the same period a year ago, primarily due to expected natural declines, the sale of Cenovus’s royalty and fee land business, and the sale of a non-core asset in 2014, partially offset by successful horizontal well performance in southern Alberta.

·                  Operating costs for Cenovus’s conventional oil operations were $15.61/bbl, down 15% from $18.45/bbl in the third quarter of 2014.

 

Natural gas

 

·                  Natural gas production averaged 430 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d) in the third quarter, down 12% from 489 MMcf/d in the same period in 2014.

·                  Natural gas per-unit operating costs were down 6% to $1.16 per thousand cubic feet (Mcf) in the quarter, compared with the same period a year ago.

 

Downstream

 

·                  Cenovus’s Wood River Refinery in Illinois and Borger Refinery in Texas processed an average of 394,000 bbls/d gross of crude oil in the third quarter (86% utilization), a decrease of 3% from the same period a year ago due to an unplanned outage at Borger and a planned turnaround at Wood River. Together, the two refineries processed an average of 186,000 bbls/d gross of heavy oil compared with 201,000 bbls/d gross in the third quarter of 2014. The decrease was due to the planned turnaround at Wood River.

·                  The refineries produced an average of 414,000 bbls/d gross of refined products in the third quarter, down 3% from 429,000 bbls/d gross in the same period a year earlier.

·                  Cenovus’s refining operating cash flow is calculated on a first-in, first-out (FIFO) inventory accounting basis. Using the last-in, first-out (LIFO) accounting method employed by most U.S. refiners, Cenovus’s operating cash flow from refining would have been $130 million higher in the third quarter, compared with $53 million higher in the third quarter of 2014.

 

Financial

 

Dividends

 

·                  The Board of Directors has declared a fourth quarter dividend of $0.16 per share, payable on December 31, 2015 to common shareholders of record as of December 15, 2015. Based on the October 28, 2015 closing share price on the Toronto Stock Exchange of $19.24, this represents an annualized yield of about 3.3%. Declaration of dividends is at the sole discretion of the Board and will continue to be evaluated on a quarterly basis. Over the long term, Cenovus intends to target a dividend payout ratio of 20% to 25% of after-tax cash flows.

·                  In July, Cenovus announced it had discontinued a temporary discount on its Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRIP). While the DRIP remains in place, going forward, the company plans to purchase common shares required for the DRIP in the open market, eliminating dilution caused by the issuance of shares from Treasury.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

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Corporate and financial information

 

·                  In the third quarter, Cenovus had operating cash flow of $599 million. This included $326 million from its oil sands operations, $241 million from conventional oil and natural gas and $29 million from its downstream operations. The sale of the company’s royalty and fee land business reduced total third quarter operating cash flow by approximately $23 million.

·                  The 57% decline in operating cash flow from refining and marketing was primarily due to higher heavy oil feedstock costs relative to the WTI benchmark price as well as planned and unplanned outages at the company’s two U.S. refineries. This increased operating costs for the third quarter compared with the same period in 2014. The decline was partially offset by improved margins on the sale of secondary products, an increase in average market crack spreads and the weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar.

·                  After investing $400 million in the third quarter, Cenovus had free cash flow of $44 million, down from $235 million in the same period a year earlier.

·                  Cenovus had an operating loss of $28 million in the third quarter, compared with operating earnings of $372 million in the same quarter in 2014. The decrease was primarily due to significantly lower oil and natural gas prices compared with the third quarter of 2014, partially offset by a deferred tax recovery compared with an expense a year ago.

·                  Net earnings were $1.8 billion in the third quarter, a more than five-fold increase from the same period a year earlier. The increase was primarily due to an after-tax gain of $1.9 billion resulting from the disposition of Cenovus’s royalty and fee land business as well as a $385 million deferred tax recovery associated with Cenovus’s U.S. refining assets.

·                  G&A expenses were $75 million, 6% lower than in the third quarter of 2014. The decrease was primarily due to a reduction in discretionary spending, including travel, conferences, offsite meetings and information technology upgrades, offset by higher employee long-term incentive costs compared with the same period in 2014. Cenovus also incurred third quarter severance costs of $3 million related to workforce reductions.

·                  Over the long term, Cenovus continues to target a debt to capitalization ratio of between 30% and 40% and a debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of between 1.0 and 2.0 times. At September 30, 2015, the company’s debt to capitalization ratio was 33% and debt to adjusted EBITDA was 2.7 times, on a trailing 12-month basis. The net debt to capitalization ratio was 13% and net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 0.8 times, on a trailing 12-month basis.

 

Commodity price hedging

 

·                  Cenovus had a realized after-tax hedging gain of $161 million in the third quarter, as the company’s contract prices exceeded the average benchmark price. The company had unrealized after-tax hedging gains of $93 million in the quarter, primarily due to changes in market prices.

 

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Other milestones

 

·                  Cenovus had its best safety performance ever during the first nine months of 2015, with a total recordable injury frequency (TRIF) of 0.35, a 50% improvement from the same period in 2014. Foster Creek achieved injury-free operations over the first nine months of the year. In the third quarter, the company-wide TRIF was down 40% from the same period the previous year.

·                  In September, Cenovus received recognition for its continued strong performance in the area of corporate responsibility. The company was included in the DJSI World Index for the fourth consecutive year and in the DJSI North America Index for the sixth year in a row. Cenovus is the only North American oil and gas producer to make the World Index this year.

·                  Cenovus shares the public’s concerns about climate change and is investing in technology to reduce CO2 emissions from its operations as well as looking for solutions to help eliminate emissions from the end use of oil. The company is proud to be a member of COSIA, which is sponsoring the recently announced NRG COSIA Carbon XPRIZE. The competition challenges innovators from around the world to find ways to turn waste CO2 emissions from fossil fuels into usable products.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

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MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS

 

This Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) for Cenovus Energy Inc. (“we”, “our”, “us”, “its”, “Cenovus”, or the “Company”) dated October 28, 2015, should be read in conjunction with our September 30, 2015 unaudited interim Consolidated Financial Statements and accompanying notes (“interim Consolidated Financial Statements”), the December 31, 2014 audited Consolidated Financial Statements and accompanying notes (“Consolidated Financial Statements”) and the December 31, 2014 MD&A (“annual MD&A”). All of the information and statements contained in this MD&A are made as of October 28, 2015, unless otherwise indicated. This MD&A provides an update to our annual MD&A and contains forward-looking information about our current expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions. See the Advisory for information on the risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially and the assumptions underlying our forward-looking information. Cenovus Management prepared the MD&A. The interim MD&As are approved by the Audit Committee of the Cenovus Board of Directors (the “Board”) and the annual MD&A is reviewed by the Audit Committee and recommended for its approval by the Board. Additional information about Cenovus, including our quarterly and annual reports, the Annual Information Form (“AIF”) and Form 40-F, is available on SEDAR at sedar.com, EDGAR at sec.gov and on our website at cenovus.com. Information on or connected to our website, even if referred to in this MD&A, does not constitute part of this MD&A.

 

Basis of Presentation

 

This MD&A and the interim Consolidated Financial Statements and comparative information have been prepared in Canadian dollars, except where another currency has been indicated, and in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS” or “GAAP”) as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (“IASB”). Production volumes are presented on a before royalties basis.

 

Non-GAAP Measures

 

Certain financial measures in this document do not have a standardized meaning as prescribed by IFRS, such as Operating Cash Flow, Cash Flow, Operating Earnings, Free Cash Flow, Debt, Net Debt, Capitalization and Adjusted Earnings before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (“Adjusted EBITDA”) and therefore are considered non-GAAP measures. These measures may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. These measures have been described and presented in order to provide shareholders and potential investors with additional measures for analyzing our ability to generate funds to finance our operations and information regarding our liquidity. This additional information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures prepared in accordance with IFRS. The definition and reconciliation of each non-GAAP measure is presented in the Financial Results or Liquidity and Capital Resources sections of this MD&A.

 

OVERVIEW OF CENOVUS

 

We are a Canadian integrated oil company headquartered in Calgary, Alberta, with our shares listed on the Toronto and New York stock exchanges. On September 30, 2015, we had a market capitalization of approximately $17 billion. We are in the business of developing, producing and marketing crude oil, natural gas liquids (“NGLs”) and natural gas in Canada with refining operations in the United States (“U.S.”). Our average crude oil and NGLs (collectively, “crude oil”) production for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 was approximately 209,000 barrels per day and our average natural gas production was 447 MMcf per day. Our refineries processed an average of 424,000 gross barrels per day of crude oil feedstock into an average of 448,000 gross barrels per day of refined products.

 

The low commodity price environment continued to significantly impact the oil and gas industry in the third quarter. After experiencing a modest improvement in average crude oil benchmark prices in the second quarter of 2015, average prices fell between 19 percent and 28 percent. Average crude oil prices were also 51 percent to 57 percent lower than in the third quarter of 2014. The significant decline and volatility in commodity prices has caused widespread reductions in capital spending programs and extensive efforts to reduce costs across the industry. We continue to focus on preserving our financial resilience, exercising capital discipline and achieving sustainable cost reductions as we anticipate crude oil prices will remain low for a prolonged period of time.

 

Our Strategy

 

Our strategy is to create value by developing our vast oil sands resources and by achieving stronger global prices for our products. It is based on our execution excellence, our ability to innovate and our financial strength. The manufacturing approach we use to produce oil is a key factor in how we execute our strategy. Applying standardized and repeatable designs and processes to the construction and operation of our facilities provides us with opportunities to reduce costs, and improve productivity and efficiencies at every phase of our oil sands projects. We are focused on driving total shareholder returns through share price appreciation and a strong and sustainable dividend.

 

Our integrated approach enables us to capture the full value chain from production to high-quality end products like transportation fuels. It relies on:

 

·                  Our producing asset mix, including:

·                  Oil sands for growth;

·                  Conventional crude oil for near-term cash flow and diversification of our revenue stream; and

·                  Natural gas for the fuel we use at our oil sands and refining facilities, and for the cash flow it provides to help fund our capital spending programs.

·                  Our marketing, products and transportation activities, including:

·                  Refining oil into various products to reduce the impact of commodity price fluctuations;

·                  Creating a variety of oil blends to help maximize our transportation and refining options; and

·                  Accessing new markets that will enable us to achieve the best pricing for our oil.

 

We have adopted a more moderate and staged approach to future oil sands expansions. We will consider expanding existing projects and developing emerging projects only when we believe we will maximize cost savings and capital efficiencies.

 

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Oil Development

 

We are focusing on the development of our substantial crude oil resources, predominantly from Foster Creek and Christina Lake. Our future opportunities are currently based on the development of the land positions that we hold in the oil sands in northern Alberta, including Narrows Lake, Telephone Lake and Grand Rapids, as well as our conventional oil opportunities. Our normal development planning is to evaluate these resources through stratigraphic test well drilling programs.

 

We anticipate increasing our annual net crude oil production, including our conventional crude oil operations, by fully developing our producing projects and those that currently have regulatory approval.

 

Execution Excellence

 

We apply a manufacturing-like, phased approach to developing our oil sands assets. This approach incorporates learnings from previous phases into future growth plans, allowing us to minimize costs. We continue to focus on executing our business plan in a safe, predictable and reliable way, leveraging the strong foundation we have built to date. We are committed to developing our resources safely and responsibly.

 

Financial Strength

 

We anticipate our total annual capital investment for 2015 to be between $1.8 billion and $1.9 billion. This is a significant reduction from 2014 levels in response to the continued low commodity price environment. We expect proceeds from our common share issuance in March 2015, the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business in July 2015 and internally generated cash flow to fund our capital investment in 2015 and into the next years of our business plan. We remain well positioned to manage through these volatile times. To continue to help ensure our financial flexibility, we plan to prudently use our balance sheet capacity, manage our asset portfolio and consider other corporate and financial opportunities that may be available to us.

 

Dividend

 

In the third quarter of 2015, we paid a dividend of $0.16 per share, a decrease of 40 percent from our first and second quarter dividends of $0.2662 per share. The declaration of dividends is at the sole discretion of our Board and is considered each quarter.

 

In the first quarter of 2015, we initiated a temporary three percent discount under our dividend reinvestment plan (“DRIP”) for shareholders who reinvested their dividends in common shares. While the DRIP continues to be in place, the discount has been discontinued as of July 2015.

 

Innovation and the Environment

 

Technology development, research activities and understanding our impact on the environment play increasingly larger roles in all aspects of our business. We continue to seek out new technologies and are actively developing our own technologies with the goal of increasing recoveries from our reservoirs, while reducing the amount of water, natural gas and electricity consumed in our operations, potentially reducing costs and minimizing our environmental footprint. The Cenovus culture fosters the pursuit of new ideas and new approaches. We have a track record of developing innovative solutions that unlock challenging crude oil resources, building on our history of excellent project execution. Environmental considerations are embedded into our business approach with the objective of reducing our environmental impact.

 

Our Operations

 

Oil Sands

 

Our operations include the following steam-assisted gravity drainage (“SAGD”) oil sands projects in northern Alberta:

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2015

 

 

 

Ownership
Interest
(percent)

 

Net
Production
Volumes
(bbls/d)

 

Gross
Production
Volumes
(bbls/d)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Existing Projects

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek

 

50

 

65,906

 

131,812

 

Christina Lake

 

50

 

74,720

 

149,440

 

Narrows Lake

 

50

 

 

 

Emerging Projects

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Telephone Lake

 

100

 

 

 

Grand Rapids

 

100

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek, Christina Lake and Narrows Lake are operated by Cenovus and jointly owned with ConocoPhillips, an unrelated U.S. public company. Foster Creek and Christina Lake are producing and Narrows Lake is in the initial stages of development. These projects are located in the Athabasca region of northeastern Alberta. Two of our

 

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Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

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100 percent-owned emerging projects are Telephone Lake and Grand Rapids, located within the Borealis and Greater Pelican Lake regions, respectively.

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2015

 

($ millions)

 

Crude Oil

 

Natural Gas

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

853

 

7

 

Capital Investment

 

945

 

1

 

Operating Cash Flow Net of Related Capital Investment

 

(92

)

6

 

 

Conventional

 

Crude oil production from our Conventional business segment continues to generate predictable near-term cash flows. This production provides diversification to our revenue stream and enables further development of our oil sands assets. Our natural gas production acts as an economic hedge for the natural gas required as a fuel source at both our oil sands and refining operations and provides cash flow to help fund our growth opportunities.

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2015

 

($ millions)

 

Crude Oil (1)

 

Natural Gas

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

549

 

231

 

Capital Investment

 

148

 

9

 

Operating Cash Flow Net of Related Capital Investment

 

401

 

222

 

 


(1)         Includes NGLs.

 

We have established crude oil and natural gas producing assets, including a carbon dioxide (“CO2”) enhanced oil recovery project in Weyburn, Saskatchewan, as well as heavy oil assets at Pelican Lake and developing tight oil assets, located in Alberta.

 

Refining and Marketing

 

Our operations include two refineries located in Illinois and Texas that are jointly owned with and operated by Phillips 66, an unrelated U.S. public company.

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2015

 

 

 

Ownership
Interest
(percent)

 

Gross
Nameplate
Capacity
(Mbbls/d)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wood River

 

50

 

314

 

Borger

 

50

 

146

 

 

Our refining operations allow us to capture the value from crude oil production through to refined products, such as diesel, gasoline and jet fuel, to partially mitigate volatility associated with regional North American crude oil differential fluctuations. This segment also includes our crude-by-rail terminal operations, located in Bruderheim, Alberta, and the marketing of third-party purchases and sales of product undertaken to provide operational flexibility for transportation commitments, product quality, delivery points and customer diversification.

 

 

 

Nine Months
Ended

 

 

 

September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

 

 

 

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

424

 

Capital Investment

 

159

 

Operating Cash Flow Net of Related Capital Investment

 

265

 

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

11



 

QUARTERLY OPERATING AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

 

Challenges from the sustained low commodity price environment continued to significantly impact our industry in the third quarter of 2015. Average crude oil benchmark prices declined between 19 percent and 28 percent from the second quarter. Commodity prices are expected to stay low for the remainder of 2015 and throughout 2016. The forward price of Western Canadian Select (“WCS”) for the fourth quarter as at September 30, 2015 is expected to average approximately US$32 per barrel. Maintaining financial resilience, capital spending discipline and conserving cash are extremely important in this low commodity price environment.

 

Cenovus remains well positioned to manage through these volatile times. We are focused on preserving our financial flexibility, exercising capital discipline and achieving sustainable cost reductions. In the third quarter, we:

 

·                  Completed the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business, which included approximately 4.8 million gross acres of royalty interest and mineral fee title lands in Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba. We received cash proceeds of approximately $3.3 billion. A royalty on Cenovus’s working interest production on these fee lands and a Gross Overriding Royalty (“GORR”) on production from our Pelican Lake and Weyburn assets were also included in the sale;

·                  Closed the purchase of a crude-by-rail terminal for $75 million, plus adjustments, to expand our portfolio of transportation options;

·                  Reduced our total crude oil operating costs by $53 million or $3.21 per barrel, compared with 2014;

·                  Continued to reduce our discretionary spending;

·                  Additional workforce reductions were identified in the third quarter and implemented in early October, resulting in a 24 percent reduction of our workforce in 2015; and

·                  Reduced our third quarter dividend to $0.16 per share in response to the low commodity price environment.

 

Operational Results

 

Our upstream assets continued to perform well in the third quarter. Total crude oil production averaged 210,422 barrels per day in the quarter.

 

GRAPHIC

 

Crude oil production from our Oil Sands segment averaged 146,743 barrels per day in the third quarter, an increase of 17 percent from the third quarter of 2014.

 

Production from Foster Creek averaged 71,414 barrels per day in the third quarter, an increase of 26 percent compared with 2014 due to the ramp-up of phase F, strong initial production after operations were temporarily shut down in the second quarter due to a nearby forest fire, and production from additional wells.

 

Average production at Christina Lake rose to 75,329 barrels per day, a 10 percent increase from the third quarter of 2014. The increase was due to production from additional wells, including wells using our Wedge WellTM technology and improved performance of our facilities.

 

Our Conventional crude oil production averaged 63,679 barrels per day, a 14 percent decrease compared with 2014. An increase in production from successful horizontal well performance in southern Alberta was more than offset by expected natural declines, the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business, and the divestiture of a non-core asset in 2014. Third party royalty interest volumes prior to the divestiture were approximately 6,580 barrels of oil equivalent per day.

 

Crude oil processed and refined product output decreased slightly from 2014 due to unplanned outages and planned turnaround activities. We processed an average of 394,000 gross barrels per day (2014 — 407,000 gross barrels per day) of crude oil, of which 186,000 gross barrels per day (2014 — 201,000 gross barrels per day) was heavy crude oil. We produced 414,000 gross barrels per day of refined products, a three percent decrease from 2014.

 

We commenced operations of our crude-by-rail facility at Bruderheim, Alberta, and 12 unit trains, including five unit trains for third parties, were loaded in the first month of operations.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

12



 

Financial Results

 

For an understanding of the trends and events that impacted our financial results, the following discussion should be read in conjunction with our 2014 annual MD&A.

 

GRAPHIC

 


(1)         Non-GAAP measure defined in this MD&A.

 

Crude oil benchmark prices declined from the second quarter of 2015 and were significantly lower than in the third quarter of 2014. Low commodity prices continue to significantly impact our financial results.

 

Financial highlights for the third quarter of 2015 compared with 2014 include:

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

Operating Cash Flow decreased 48 percent to $599 million. Upstream Operating Cash Flow of $570 million (2014 — $1,086 million) declined primarily due to the low commodity price environment. The sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business reduced third quarter Operating Cash Flow by approximately $23 million.

 

The decreases in upstream Operating Cash Flow were partially offset by:

 

·                  Realized risk management gains of $206 million compared with losses of $4 million in 2014;

·                  Lower royalties due to a decline in crude oil sales prices, partially offset by additional royalties resulting from the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business; and

·                  A reduction in crude oil operating expenses of $3.21 per barrel to $11.39 per barrel, primarily related to lower fuel costs due to a decrease in natural gas prices, lower repairs and maintenance costs, and a decline in workforce costs.

 

Operating Cash Flow from our Refining and Marketing segment declined $39 million or 57 percent. The decrease resulted from higher heavy crude oil feedstock costs relative to the West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”) benchmark price, higher operating costs and lower refined product output, partially offset by improved margins on the sale of secondary products such as coke and asphalt, an increase in average market crack spreads and weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar.

 

Cash Flow

 

Cash Flow decreased 55 percent to $444 million primarily due to the decline in Operating Cash Flow discussed above.

 

GRAPHIC

 

Operating Earnings (Loss)

 

Operating Earnings decreased $400 million to a loss of $28 million primarily due to lower Cash Flow, as discussed above, partially offset by a recovery of deferred income tax compared with an expense in 2014.

 

Net Earnings

 

Net Earnings was $1,801 million compared with $354 million in 2014. Net Earnings increased due to an after-tax gain of approximately $1.9 billion from the divestiture of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business, partially offset by lower Operating Earnings discussed above, an increase in non-operating unrealized foreign exchange losses, and lower unrealized risk management gains compared with 2014.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

13



 

Capital Investment

 

We continue to pursue our long-term strategy, though at a pace we believe is more in line with the current commodity price environment, focusing on capital discipline and conservation of cash. We have strong producing assets, an integrated portfolio, a solid balance sheet and flexibility in our capital plans, which should allow us to face the challenges ahead.

 

Capital investment in the quarter was $400 million, a decrease of 47 percent. We continued to focus on sustaining existing oil sands production, and completing the Foster Creek phase G expansion and Christina Lake phase F expansion.

 

OPERATING RESULTS

 

GRAPHIC

 

Crude Oil Production Volumes

 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

(barrels per day)

 

2015

 

Percent
Change

 

2014

 

2015

 

Percent
Change

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek

 

71,414

 

26

%

56,631

 

65,906

 

18

%

56,070

 

Christina Lake

 

75,329

 

10

%

68,458

 

74,720

 

11

%

67,400

 

 

 

146,743

 

17

%

125,089

 

140,626

 

14

%

123,470

 

Conventional

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Heavy Oil

 

33,997

 

(13

)%

39,096

 

35,739

 

(11

)%

40,060

 

Light and Medium Oil

 

28,491

 

(15

)%

33,548

 

31,787

 

(8

)%

34,488

 

NGLs (1)

 

1,191

 

(12

)%

1,356

 

1,286

 

7

%

1,200

 

 

 

63,679

 

(14

)%

74,000

 

68,812

 

(9

)%

75,748

 

Total Crude Oil Production

 

210,422

 

6

%

199,089

 

209,438

 

5

%

199,218

 

 


(1)         NGLs include condensate volumes.

 

Foster Creek production increased in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, primarily due to the ramp-up of phase F, strong initial production after operations were temporarily shut down in the second quarter due to a nearby forest fire, and production from additional wells. The ramp-up of phase F, our eleventh oil sands phase, is expected to take approximately eighteen months from start-up, which occurred in the third quarter of 2014. On a year-to-date basis, production increases were partially offset when production at Foster Creek was shut down for 11 full days as a safety precaution due to a nearby forest fire. The forest fire decreased production by approximately 3,500 barrels per day on a year-to-date basis.

 

Production from Christina Lake increased in the third quarter and on a year-to-date basis due to production from additional wells, including wells using our Wedge WellTM technology, and improved performance of our facilities.

 

Our Conventional crude oil production in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 decreased from 2014. An increase in production from successful horizontal well performance in southern Alberta was more than offset by expected natural declines, the divestiture of non-core assets in 2014, and the sale of our royalty interest

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

14



 

and mineral fee title lands business. Production from these divested assets was 1,251 barrels per day in the third quarter (2014 — 6,947 barrels per day) and 3,417 barrels per day on a year-to-date basis (2014 — 7,293 barrels per day).

 

Natural Gas Production Volumes

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

(MMcf per day)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Conventional

 

411

 

466

 

427

 

469

 

Oil Sands

 

19

 

23

 

20

 

22

 

 

 

430

 

489

 

447

 

491

 

 

In the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, our natural gas production declined 12 percent and nine percent, respectively. Production decreased primarily due to expected natural declines and from the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business, which produced 6 MMcf per day and 13 MMcf per day in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, respectively (2014 — 20 MMcf per day and 20 MMcf per day).

 

Operating Netbacks

 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

Crude Oil (1)
($/bbl)

 

Natural Gas
($/Mcf)

 

Crude Oil (1)
($/bbl)

 

Natural Gas
($/Mcf)

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price (2)

 

34.03

 

76.57

 

3.00

 

4.22

 

37.90

 

77.04

 

2.96

 

4.52

 

Royalties

 

1.60

 

6.52

 

0.11

 

0.08

 

1.85

 

6.56

 

0.06

 

0.08

 

Transportation and Blending (2)

 

5.61

 

3.08

 

0.10

 

0.11

 

5.39

 

2.96

 

0.11

 

0.11

 

Operating Expenses

 

11.39

 

14.60

 

1.16

 

1.24

 

12.23

 

16.41

 

1.19

 

1.24

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

0.23

 

0.54

 

0.01

 

0.05

 

0.25

 

0.52

 

0.01

 

0.06

 

Netback Excluding Realized Risk Management

 

15.20

 

51.83

 

1.62

 

2.74

 

18.18

 

50.59

 

1.59

 

3.03

 

Realized Risk Management Gain (Loss)

 

10.07

 

(0.45

)

0.37

 

0.11

 

6.25

 

(1.78

)

0.35

 

0.03

 

Netback Including Realized Risk Management

 

25.27

 

51.38

 

1.99

 

2.85

 

24.43

 

48.81

 

1.94

 

3.06

 

 


(1)         Includes NGLs.

(2)         The crude oil price and transportation and blending costs exclude the cost of purchased condensate which is blended with the heavy oil. On a per-barrel of unblended crude oil basis, the cost of condensate was $19.18 per barrel for the third quarter (2014 — $28.48 per barrel) and in the nine months ended September 30, 2015 was $21.32 per barrel (2014 — $31.92 per barrel).

 

Our average crude oil netback in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, excluding realized risk management gains and losses, decreased $36.63 per barrel and $32.41 per barrel, respectively, compared with 2014. The declines primarily resulted from lower sales prices, consistent with the decline in benchmark prices, partially offset by weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar, a decline in royalties and lower operating costs. The weakening of the Canadian dollar, on a year-to-date basis, compared with 2014 had a positive impact on our crude oil price of approximately $4.98 per barrel. Royalties declined due to lower crude oil sales prices.

 

In 2015, our average natural gas netback, excluding realized risk management gains and losses, decreased primarily due to lower sales prices consistent with the decline in the AECO benchmark price.

 

Refining (1)

 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

2015

 

Percent
Change

 

2014

 

2015

 

Percent
Change

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil Runs (Mbbls/d)

 

394

 

(3

)%

407

 

424

 

 

424

 

Heavy Crude Oil

 

186

 

(7

)%

201

 

202

 

(1

)%

205

 

Refined Product (Mbbls/d)

 

414

 

(3

)%

429

 

448

 

 

446

 

Crude Utilization (percent)

 

86

 

(2

)%

88

 

92

 

 

92

 

 


(1)         Represents 100 percent of the Wood River and Borger refinery operations.

 

In the third quarter, unplanned process unit outages at our Borger refinery for most of July and the start of a planned turnaround at Wood River reduced crude oil runs and refined product output. The Wood River turnaround is expected to be completed in October. In the third quarter of 2014, we had an unplanned coker outage at Borger that lasted approximately two weeks and a planned turnaround at Wood River.

 

On a year-to-date basis, crude oil runs and refined product output remained consistent. The unplanned outages at Borger and planned turnarounds at both of our refineries in 2015 had a similar impact on crude oil runs and refined product output as the outage and turnarounds in 2014.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

15



 

Further information on the changes in our production volumes, items included in our operating netbacks and refining statistics can be found in the Reportable Segments section of this MD&A. Further information on our risk management activities can be found in the Risk Management section of this MD&A and in the notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

COMMODITY PRICES UNDERLYING OUR FINANCIAL RESULTS

 

Key performance drivers for our financial results include commodity prices, price differentials, refining crack spreads as well as the U.S./Canadian dollar exchange rate. The following table shows selected market benchmark prices and the U.S./Canadian dollar average exchange rates to assist in understanding our financial results.

 

Selected Benchmark Prices and Exchange Rates (1)

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

Percent
Change

 

2014

 

Q3
2015

 

Q2
2015

 

Q3
2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil Prices (US$/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Brent

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

 

56.61

 

(47

)%

107.02

 

51.17

 

63.50

 

103.39

 

End of Period

 

48.37

 

(49

)%

94.67

 

48.37

 

63.59

 

94.67

 

WTI

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

 

51.00

 

(49

)%

99.61

 

46.43

 

57.94

 

97.17

 

End of Period

 

45.09

 

(51

)%

91.16

 

45.09

 

59.47

 

91.16

 

Average Differential Brent-WTI

 

5.61

 

(24

)%

7.41

 

4.74

 

5.56

 

6.22

 

WCS (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

 

37.80

 

(52

)%

78.49

 

33.16

 

46.35

 

76.99

 

End of Period

 

31.62

 

(58

)%

75.84

 

31.62

 

48.14

 

75.84

 

Average Differential WTI-WCS

 

13.20

 

(38

)%

21.12

 

13.27

 

11.59

 

20.18

 

Condensate (C5 @ Edmonton)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

 

49.25

 

(51

)%

100.41

 

44.21

 

57.94

 

93.45

 

Average Differential WTI-Condensate (Premium)/Discount

 

1.75

 

(319

)%

(0.80

)

2.22

 

 

3.72

 

Average Differential WCS-Condensate (Premium)/Discount

 

(11.45

)

(48

)%

(21.92

)

(11.05

)

(11.59

)

(16.46

)

Average Refined Product Prices (US$/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chicago Regular Unleaded Gasoline (“RUL”)

 

71.82

 

(38

)%

116.11

 

73.05

 

79.96

 

113.30

 

Chicago Ultra-low Sulphur Diesel (“ULSD”)

 

71.09

 

(42

)%

122.91

 

67.02

 

75.92

 

118.56

 

Refining Margin: Average 3-2-1 Crack Spreads (US$/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chicago

 

20.66

 

11

%

18.61

 

24.67

 

20.77

 

17.57

 

Group 3

 

19.61

 

14

%

17.27

 

22.03

 

19.34

 

16.65

 

Average Natural Gas Prices

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AECO (C$/Mcf)

 

2.81

 

(38

)%

4.55

 

2.80

 

2.67

 

4.22

 

NYMEX (US$/Mcf)

 

2.80

 

(39

)%

4.56

 

2.77

 

2.64

 

4.06

 

Basis Differential NYMEX-AECO (US$/Mcf)

 

0.56

 

44

%

0.39

 

0.61

 

0.50

 

0.16

 

Foreign Exchange Rates (US$ per C$1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

 

0.794

 

(13

)%

0.914

 

0.764

 

0.813

 

0.918

 

 


(1)         These benchmark prices do not reflect our realized sales prices. For our average realized sales prices and realized risk management results, refer to the operating netbacks table in the Operating Results section of this MD&A.

(2)         The average Canadian dollar WCS benchmark price for the third quarter was $43.40 per barrel (2014 — $83.87 per barrel) and for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 was $47.61 per barrel (2014 — $85.88 per barrel).

 

Crude Oil Benchmarks

 

Crude oil benchmark prices in the third quarter declined from the second quarter and were significantly lower than in 2014. The average Brent, WTI and WCS benchmark prices continued to be impacted by a global imbalance of supply and demand which began in the last half of 2014. This global imbalance was created by weak global demand and strong growth in North American crude oil supply which was further amplified by the sustained decision of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (“OPEC”) to maintain its level of crude oil output and discontinue its role as the swing supplier of crude oil. Despite significantly lower crude oil prices in 2015, the global imbalance has only slightly improved. After a slight increase in crude oil prices in the second quarter of 2015, economic uncertainty in China and strong production from Saudi Arabia and Iraq have caused prices to fall.

 

The Brent benchmark is representative of global crude oil prices and, we believe, a better indicator than WTI of inland refined product prices. In the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, the average price of Brent crude oil decreased compared with 2014. The decline was due to the global supply and demand imbalance discussed above.

 

WTI is an important benchmark for Canadian crude oil since it reflects inland North American crude oil prices and its Canadian dollar equivalent is the basis for determining royalties for a number of our crude oil properties. The average Brent-WTI differential narrowed in the third quarter and on a year-to-date basis compared with 2014. WTI

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

16



 

benchmark prices strengthened relative to Brent as a result of declining U.S. supply, high global crude oil inventory levels and continued strong demand in the U.S., leaving transportation costs as the primary driver of the Brent-WTI differential.

 

WCS is blended heavy oil which consists of both conventional heavy oil and unconventional diluted bitumen. The average WTI-WCS differential narrowed by US$6.91 per barrel in the third quarter of 2015 and by US$7.92 per barrel on a year-to-date basis compared with 2014. The narrower differential resulted primarily from increased demand for WCS due to new pipeline infrastructure to the U.S. Gulf Coast, growing rail capacity and the slow return of heavy crude oil supply forced offline due to forest fires in northeastern Alberta during the second quarter of 2015. Late in the third quarter, Canadian crude oil supply was close to levels experienced prior to the fires, causing the WTI-WCS differential to widen compared with the second quarter.

 

Blending condensate with bitumen and heavy oil enables our production to be transported through pipelines. Our blending ratios range from approximately 10 percent to 33 percent. The WCS-Condensate differential is an important benchmark as a narrower differential generally results in an increase in the recovery of condensate costs when selling a barrel of blended crude oil. When the supply of condensate in Alberta does not meet the demand, Edmonton condensate prices may be driven by U.S. Gulf Coast condensate prices plus the value attributed to transporting the condensate to Edmonton.

 

In the third quarter of 2015, the average WTI-Condensate differential decreased by US$1.50 per barrel compared with 2014. On a year-to-date basis, the differential changed by US$2.55 per barrel, with condensate being sold at a discount to WTI in 2015 as compared with being sold at a premium in 2014. This change was primarily due to new diluent pipeline infrastructure into Alberta and condensate supply growth.

 

The average WCS-Condensate differential narrowed by US$5.41 per barrel in the third quarter and US$10.47 per barrel on a year-to-date basis compared with 2014 due to condensate supply growth as well as improved diluent transportation infrastructure for condensate imports into Alberta and heavy oil exports to market.

 

GRAPHIC

 

Refining Benchmarks

 

The Chicago Regular Unleaded Gasoline (“RUL”) and Chicago Ultra-low Sulphur Diesel (“ULSD”) benchmark prices are representative of inland refined product prices and are used to derive the Chicago 3-2-1 crack spread. The 3-2-1 crack spread is an indicator of the refining margin generated by converting three barrels of crude oil into two barrels of regular unleaded gasoline and one barrel of ultra-low sulphur diesel using current month WTI based crude oil feedstock prices and valued on a last in, first out accounting basis.

 

Average inland refined product prices decreased in the third quarter and on a year-to-date basis from 2014 due to weaker global crude oil pricing.

 

Average Chicago 3-2-1 crack spreads increased in the third quarter compared with 2014 as a major unplanned refinery outage in August 2015 caused product inventory drawdowns during the driving season. On a year-to-date basis, Chicago 3-2-1 crack spreads were higher driven by stronger product demand. Average Group 3 crack spreads increased in the third quarter and on a year-to-date basis as the unplanned refinery outage, as discussed above, slightly improved refined product pricing.

 

Our realized crack spreads are affected by many other factors such as the variety of feedstock crude oil inputs, refinery configuration and product output, the time lag between the purchase and delivery of crude oil feedstock, and the cost of feedstock which is valued on a first in, first out (“FIFO”) accounting basis.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

17



 

 

GRAPHIC

 

Natural Gas Benchmarks

 

Average natural gas prices decreased in the third quarter of 2015 and on a year-to-date basis primarily due to an increase in supply from the U.S. and Canada.

 

Foreign Exchange Benchmarks

 

Revenues are subject to foreign exchange exposure as the sales prices of our crude oil, natural gas and refined products are determined by reference to U.S. benchmark prices. A decrease in the value of the Canadian dollar compared with the U.S. dollar has a positive impact on our reported results. Likewise, as the Canadian dollar strengthens, our reported results are lower. In addition to our revenues being denominated in U.S. dollars, we have chosen to borrow U.S. dollar long-term debt. In periods of a weakening Canadian dollar, our U.S. dollar debt gives rise to unrealized foreign exchange losses when translated to Canadian dollars.

 

In the third quarter and on a year-to-date basis compared with 2014, the Canadian dollar weakened relative to the U.S. dollar by $0.15 and $0.12, respectively, due to Canadian political and economic uncertainty, strengthening of the U.S. economy and lower commodity prices. The weakening of the Canadian dollar for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 compared with 2014, had a positive impact of approximately $1,329 million on our revenues and also resulted in an increase of $852 million of unrealized foreign exchange losses on the translation of our U.S. dollar debt.

 

FINANCIAL RESULTS

 

Selected Consolidated Financial Results

 

The following key performance measures are discussed in more detail within this section.

 

($ millions, except per share

 

Nine Months
Ended
September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2013

 

amounts)

 

2015

 

2014

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Q4

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Q4

 

Q3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

10,140

 

15,404

 

3,273

 

3,726

 

3,141

 

4,238

 

4,970

 

5,422

 

5,012

 

4,747

 

5,075

 

Operating Cash Flow (1)

 

2,076

 

3,619

 

599

 

928

 

549

 

539

 

1,154

 

1,296

 

1,169

 

976

 

1,153

 

Cash Flow (1)

 

1,416

 

3,078

 

444

 

477

 

495

 

401

 

985

 

1,189

 

904

 

835

 

932

 

Per Share — Diluted

 

1.74

 

4.06

 

0.53

 

0.58

 

0.64

 

0.53

 

1.30

 

1.57

 

1.19

 

1.10

 

1.23

 

Operating Earnings (Loss) (1)

 

35

 

1,223

 

(28

)

151

 

(88

)

(590

)

372

 

473

 

378

 

212

 

313

 

Per Share — Diluted

 

0.04

 

1.61

 

(0.03

)

0.18

 

(0.11

)

(0.78

)

0.49

 

0.62

 

0.50

 

0.28

 

0.41

 

Net Earnings (Loss)

 

1,259

 

1,216

 

1,801

 

126

 

(668

)

(472

)

354

 

615

 

247

 

(58

)

370

 

Per Share — Basic

 

1.55

 

1.61

 

2.16

 

0.15

 

(0.86

)

(0.62

)

0.47

 

0.81

 

0.33

 

(0.08

)

0.49

 

Per Share — Diluted

 

1.55

 

1.60

 

2.16

 

0.15

 

(0.86

)

(0.62

)

0.47

 

0.81

 

0.33

 

(0.08

)

0.49

 

Capital Investment (2)

 

1,286

 

2,265

 

400

 

357

 

529

 

786

 

750

 

686

 

829

 

898

 

743

 

Dividends

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash Dividends

 

396

 

604

 

133

 

125

 

138

 

201

 

201

 

201

 

202

 

183

 

182

 

In Shares from Treasury

 

182

 

 

 

98

 

84

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Per Share

 

0.6924

 

0.7986

 

0.16

 

0.2662

 

0.2662

 

0.2662

 

0.2662

 

0.2662

 

0.2662

 

0.242

 

0.242

 

 


(1)         Non-GAAP measure defined in this MD&A.

(2)         Includes expenditures on PP&E and Exploration and Evaluation (“E&E”) assets.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

18



 

Revenues

 

In the third quarter, revenues decreased $1,697 million compared with 2014. On a year-to-date basis, revenues decreased $5,264 million compared with 2014.

 

($ millions)

 

Three Months
Ended

 

Nine Months
Ended

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues for the Periods Ended September 30, 2014

 

4,970

 

15,404

 

Increase (Decrease) due to:

 

 

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

(532

)

(1,438

)

Conventional

 

(374

)

(1,112

)

Refining and Marketing

 

(902

)

(3,110

)

Corporate and Eliminations

 

111

 

396

 

Revenues for the Periods Ended September 30, 2015

 

3,273

 

10,140

 

 

Upstream revenues declined in the third quarter and on a year-to-date basis by 45 percent and 41 percent, respectively. Revenues decreased due to lower crude oil blend and natural gas sales prices, partially offset by higher crude oil sales volumes, weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar and lower royalties. The sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business also reduced revenues.

 

Revenues from our Refining and Marketing segment in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 decreased 29 percent and 31 percent, respectively. Refining revenues declined due to the decrease in refined product pricing, consistent with lower Chicago RUL and Chicago ULSD benchmark prices, partially offset by the weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar. Refining revenues in the third quarter were also impacted by lower refined product output compared with 2014. Revenues from third-party crude oil and natural gas sales undertaken by the marketing group in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 decreased 40 percent and 37 percent from 2014, primarily due to a decline in sales prices, partially offset by an increase in purchased crude oil volumes.

 

Corporate and Eliminations revenues relate to sales and operating revenues between segments and are recorded at transfer prices based on current market prices.

 

Further information regarding our revenues can be found in the Reportable Segments section of this MD&A.

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

Operating Cash Flow is a non-GAAP measure that is used to provide a consistent measure of the cash generating performance of our assets for comparability of our underlying financial performance between periods. Operating Cash Flow is defined as revenues less purchased product, transportation and blending, operating expenses and production and mineral taxes plus realized gains less realized losses on risk management activities. Items within the Corporate and Eliminations segment are excluded from the calculation of Operating Cash Flow.

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

3,359

 

5,167

 

10,400

 

16,060

 

(Add) Deduct:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Purchased Product

 

2,012

 

2,918

 

5,826

 

8,836

 

Transportation and Blending

 

483

 

592

 

1,509

 

1,900

 

Operating Expenses

 

480

 

491

 

1,390

 

1,584

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

5

 

12

 

16

 

36

 

Realized (Gain) Loss on Risk Management Activities

 

(220

)

 

(417

)

85

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

599

 

1,154

 

2,076

 

3,619

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30, 2015 Compared With September 30, 2014

 

GRAPHIC

GRAPHIC

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

19



 

Operating Cash Flow declined 48 percent in the third quarter compared with 2014 primarily due to:

 

·                  A 56 percent decrease in our average crude oil sales price and a 29 percent decrease in our average natural gas sales price, consistent with lower associated benchmark prices;

·                  Lower Operating Cash Flow from Refining and Marketing as a result of higher heavy crude oil feedstock costs relative to the WTI benchmark price, higher operating costs and lower refined product output, partially offset by improved margins on the sale of secondary products, an increase in average market crack spreads and weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar; and

·                  A 12 percent decline in our natural gas sales volumes.

 

These declines to Operating Cash Flow were partially offset by:

 

·                  Realized risk management gains of $206 million, excluding Refining and Marketing, compared with losses of $4 million in 2014;

·                  Lower royalties primarily due to a decline in crude oil sales prices;

·                  A reduction of $3.21 per barrel in crude oil operating expenses primarily related to lower fuel costs due to a decrease in natural gas prices, lower repairs and maintenance costs, and a decline in workforce costs; and

·                  A four percent increase in our crude oil sales volumes.

 

GRAPHIC

 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2015 Compared With September 30, 2014

 

GRAPHIC

GRAPHIC

 

Operating Cash Flow declined 43 percent for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 primarily due to:

 

·                  A 51 percent decrease in our average crude oil sales price and a 35 percent decrease in our average natural gas sales price, consistent with lower associated benchmark prices;

·                  Lower Operating Cash Flow from Refining and Marketing as a result of higher heavy crude oil feedstock costs relative to the WTI benchmark price and higher operating costs, partially offset by improved margins on the sale of secondary products and weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar; and

·                  A nine percent decline in our natural gas sales volumes.

 

These declines to Operating Cash Flow were partially offset by:

 

·                  Realized risk management gains of $390 million, excluding Refining and Marketing, compared with losses of $94 million in 2014;

·                  Lower royalties primarily due to a decrease in crude oil sales prices;

·                  A decrease of $4.18 per barrel in crude oil operating expenses primarily due to a decline in workover activities, a reduction in fuel costs due to lower natural gas prices, and lower repairs and maintenance costs; and

·                  A five percent increase in our crude oil sales volumes.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

20



 

GRAPHIC

 

Additional details explaining the changes in Operating Cash Flow can be found in the Reportable Segments section of this MD&A.

 

Cash Flow

 

Cash Flow is a non-GAAP measure commonly used in the oil and gas industry to assist in measuring a company’s ability to finance its capital programs and meet its financial obligations. Cash Flow is defined as cash from operating activities excluding net change in other assets and liabilities and net change in non-cash working capital.

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash From Operating Activities

 

542

 

1,092

 

1,152

 

2,658

 

(Add) Deduct:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Change in Other Assets and Liabilities

 

(13

)

(28

)

(81

)

(97

)

Net Change in Non-Cash Working Capital

 

111

 

135

 

(183

)

(323

)

Cash Flow

 

444

 

985

 

1,416

 

3,078

 

 

In the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, Cash Flow decreased $541 million and $1,662 million, respectively, due to lower Operating Cash Flow, as discussed above, and higher current income tax. On a year-to-date basis, current income tax rose due to the acceleration in timing of income tax payable in response to the Alberta corporate tax rate increase.

 

Operating Earnings (Loss)

 

Operating Earnings (Loss) is a non-GAAP measure that is used to provide a consistent measure of the comparability of our underlying financial performance between periods by removing non-operating items. Operating Earnings (Loss) is defined as Earnings (Loss) Before Income Tax excluding gain (loss) on discontinuance, gain on bargain purchase, unrealized risk management gains (losses) on derivative instruments, unrealized foreign exchange gains (losses) on translation of U.S. dollar denominated notes issued from Canada, foreign exchange gains (losses) on settlement of intercompany transactions, gains (losses) on divestiture of assets, less income taxes on Operating Earnings (Loss) before tax, excluding the effect of changes in statutory income tax rates and the recognition of an increase in U.S. tax basis.

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Earnings, Before Income Tax

 

2,020

 

533

 

1,419

 

1,715

 

Add (Deduct):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unrealized Risk Management (Gain) Loss (1)

 

(127

)

(165

)

169

 

(180

)

Non-operating Unrealized Foreign Exchange (Gain) Loss (2) 

 

437

 

253

 

852

 

272

 

(Gain) Loss on Divestiture of Assets

 

(2,379

)

(137

)

(2,395

)

(157

)

Operating Earnings (Loss), Before Income Tax

 

(49

)

484

 

45

 

1,650

 

Income Tax Expense (Recovery)

 

(21

)

112

 

10

 

427

 

Operating Earnings (Loss)

 

(28

)

372

 

35

 

1,223

 

 


(1)         Includes the reversal of unrealized (gains) losses recorded in prior periods.

(2)         Includes unrealized foreign exchange (gains) losses on translation of U.S. dollar denominated notes issued from Canada and foreign exchange (gains) losses on settlement of intercompany transactions.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

21



 

Operating Earnings decreased $400 million in the third quarter of 2015, primarily due to lower Cash Flow, as discussed above, partially offset by a recovery of deferred income tax compared with an expense in 2014.

 

On a year-to-date basis, Operating Earnings decreased $1,188 million, primarily due to:

 

·                  A decrease in Cash Flow, as discussed above;

·                  Unrealized foreign exchange losses of $26 million related to operating items, as compared with gains of $51 million in 2014; and

·                  An increase in DD&A primarily related to higher sales volumes from our oil sands assets.

 

These decreases were partially offset by a recovery of deferred income tax compared with an expense in 2014, and a recovery of employee long-term incentive costs compared with an expense in 2014.

 

Net Earnings

 

($ millions)

 

Three Months
Ended

 

Nine Months
Ended

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Earnings for the Periods Ended September 30, 2014

 

354

 

1,216

 

Increase (Decrease) due to:

 

 

 

 

 

Operating Cash Flow (1)

 

(555

)

(1,543

)

Corporate and Eliminations:

 

 

 

 

 

Unrealized Risk Management Gain (Loss)

 

(38

)

(349

)

Unrealized Foreign Exchange Gain (Loss)

 

(198

)

(657

)

Gain (Loss) on Divestiture of Assets

 

2,242

 

2,238

 

Expenses (2)

 

34

 

75

 

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

 

2

 

(40

)

Exploration Expense

 

 

(20

)

Income Tax Expense

 

(40

)

339

 

Net Earnings for the Periods Ended September 30, 2015

 

1,801

 

1,259

 

 


(1)         Non-GAAP measure defined in this MD&A.

(2)         Includes general and administrative, finance costs, interest income, realized foreign exchange (gains) losses, research costs, other (income) loss, net and Corporate and Eliminations operating expenses.

 

Net Earnings in the third quarter of 2015 increased $1,447 million and $43 million on a year-to-date basis primarily due to an after-tax gain of approximately $1.9 billion from the divestiture of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business, and a deferred tax recovery related to non-operating items compared with an expense in 2014.

 

This increase was partially offset by:

 

·                  A decline in Operating Earnings, as discussed above;

·                  Non-operating unrealized foreign exchange losses of $437 million in the quarter and $852 million on a year-to-date basis (2014 — unrealized losses of $253 million and $272 million, respectively); and

·                  Unrealized risk management gains of $127 million in the quarter and unrealized risk management losses of $169 million on a year-to-date basis (2014 — unrealized gains of $165 million and $180 million, respectively).

 

Net Capital Investment

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

272

 

494

 

946

 

1,492

 

Conventional

 

55

 

198

 

157

 

621

 

Refining and Marketing

 

67

 

42

 

159

 

111

 

Corporate and Eliminations

 

6

 

16

 

24

 

41

 

Capital Investment

 

400

 

750

 

1,286

 

2,265

 

Acquisitions

 

84

 

 

84

 

17

 

Divestitures

 

(3,329

)

(235

)

(3,345

)

(276

)

Net Capital Investment (1)

 

(2,845

)

515

 

(1,975

)

2,006

 

 


(1)         Includes expenditures on PP&E and E&E.

 

We continue to pursue our long-term strategy, though at a pace we believe is more in line with the current commodity price environment, with a focus on capital discipline and conservation of cash. We have strong producing assets, an integrated portfolio, a solid balance sheet and flexibility in our capital plans, which should allow us to face the challenges expected from an extended period of low commodity prices and market volatility.

 

Capital investment in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 declined 47 percent and 43 percent, respectively. In January, we reduced our planned capital investment with the intent of conserving cash and maintaining the strength of our balance sheet in light of the low commodity price environment. We plan to focus 2015 capital investment on ensuring our assets are appropriately maintained, meet safety, regulatory and contractual obligations, and on our Christina Lake phase F and Foster Creek phase G expansions.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

22



 

In 2015, Oil Sands capital investment focused primarily on sustaining capital related to existing production, the phase G expansion at Foster Creek, Christina Lake’s phase F expansion and the optimization project, and the drilling of 158 gross stratigraphic test wells in the nine months ended September 30, 2015, which were primarily related to near-term phase expansions to determine pad placement.

 

Conventional capital investment focused primarily on maintenance capital and spending for our CO2 enhanced oil recovery project at Weyburn and drilling activity at our tight oil projects in southeast Alberta.

 

Capital investment in the Refining and Marketing segment focused on the debottlenecking project at Wood River, in addition to capital maintenance, projects improving our refinery reliability and safety, and environmental initiatives.

 

Capital also includes spending on technology development, which plays an integral role in our business. Having a strategy focused on innovation and technology development is vital to our ability to minimize our environmental footprint and execute our projects with excellence. Our teams look for ways to improve existing operations and evaluate new ideas to potentially reduce costs, enhance the recovery techniques we use to access crude oil and natural gas and improve our refining processes.

 

Capital investment in our Corporate and Eliminations segment includes spending on corporate assets, which was primarily for computer equipment.

 

Further information regarding our capital investment can be found in the Reportable Segments section of this MD&A.

 

Capital Investment Decisions

 

Our disciplined approach to capital allocation includes prioritizing our uses of cash flow in the following manner:

 

·                  First, to capital for our existing business operations;

·                  Second, to paying a dividend as part of providing strong total shareholder return; and

·                  Third, for growth or discretionary capital.

 

Our approach to capital allocation includes evaluating all opportunities using specific rigorous criteria as well as achieving our objectives of maintaining a prudent and flexible capital structure and strong balance sheet metrics, which allow us to be financially resilient in times of lower cash flow. In addition, we continue to evaluate other corporate and financial opportunities, including generating cash from our existing portfolio. We anticipate maintaining investment grade credit ratings.

 

We expect our total annual capital investment for 2015 to be between $1.8 billion and $1.9 billion, significantly below prior years in light of the commodity price environment. Our capital budget has a degree of flexibility and, as such, we will continue to assess spending plans on a regular basis and make adjustments, if required. Refer to the Reportable Segments section of this MD&A for more details.

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash Flow (1)

 

444

 

985

 

1,416

 

3,078

 

Capital Investment (Committed and Growth)

 

400

 

750

 

1,286

 

2,265

 

Free Cash Flow (2)

 

44

 

235

 

130

 

813

 

Cash Dividends

 

133

 

201

 

396

 

604

 

 

 

(89

)

34

 

(266

)

209

 

 


(1)         Non-GAAP measure defined in this MD&A.

(2)         Free Cash Flow is a non-GAAP measure defined as Cash Flow less capital investment.

 

GRAPHIC

 

We expect our capital investment for the remainder of 2015 and the next years of our business plan to be funded from internally generated cash flow, proceeds from our common share issuance in March 2015 and the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business in July 2015. These transactions strengthen our balance sheet and provide us with greater resiliency to consider investing in opportunities that we believe have strong future returns. Refer to the Liquidity and Capital Resources section of this MD&A for further information.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

23



 

REPORTABLE SEGMENTS

 

Our reportable segments are as follows:

 

Oil Sands, which includes the development and production of Cenovus’s bitumen assets at Foster Creek, Christina Lake and Narrows Lake as well as projects in the early stages of development, such as Grand Rapids and Telephone Lake. The Athabasca natural gas assets also form part of this segment. Certain of Cenovus’s operated oil sands properties, notably Foster Creek, Christina Lake and Narrows Lake, are jointly owned with ConocoPhillips, an unrelated U.S. public company.

 

Conventional, which includes the development and production of conventional crude oil, NGLs and natural gas in Alberta and Saskatchewan, including the heavy oil assets at Pelican Lake. This segment also includes the carbon dioxide enhanced oil recovery project at Weyburn and emerging tight oil opportunities.

 

Refining and Marketing, which is responsible for transporting, selling and refining crude oil into petroleum and chemical products. Cenovus jointly owns two refineries in the U.S. with the operator Phillips 66, an unrelated U.S. public company. This segment coordinates Cenovus’s marketing and transportation initiatives to optimize product mix, delivery points, transportation commitments and customer diversification.

 

GRAPHIC

 

Corporate and Eliminations, which primarily includes unrealized gains and losses recorded on derivative financial instruments, gains and losses on divestiture of assets, as well as other Cenovus-wide costs for general and administrative, financing activities and research costs. As financial instruments are settled, the realized gains and losses are recorded in the operating segment to which the derivative instrument relates. Eliminations relate to sales and operating revenues and purchased product between segments, recorded at transfer prices based on current market prices, and to unrealized intersegment profits in inventory.

 

Revenues by Reportable Segment

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

749

 

1,281

 

2,353

 

3,791

 

Conventional

 

368

 

742

 

1,272

 

2,384

 

Refining and Marketing

 

2,242

 

3,144

 

6,775

 

9,885

 

Corporate and Eliminations

 

(86

)

(197

)

(260

)

(656

)

 

 

3,273

 

4,970

 

10,140

 

15,404

 

 

OIL SANDS

 

In northeastern Alberta, we are a 50 percent partner in the Foster Creek, Christina Lake and Narrows Lake oil sands projects. We have several emerging projects in the early stages of development, including our 100 percent-owned projects at Telephone Lake and Grand Rapids. The Oil Sands segment also includes the Athabasca natural gas property, from which a portion of the natural gas production is used as fuel at the adjacent Foster Creek operations.

 

Significant developments in our Oil Sands segment in the third quarter of 2015 compared with 2014 include:

 

·                  Production at Foster Creek increasing 26 percent, to an average of 71,414 barrels per day primarily as a result of phase F coming on stream, strong initial production after operations were temporarily shut down in the second quarter due to a nearby forest fire, and production from additional wells; and

·                  Christina Lake production increasing 10 percent, to an average of 75,329 barrels per day primarily due to production from additional wells, including wells using our Wedge WellTM technology, and improved performance of our facilities; and

·                  Reduced our crude oil operating costs by $19 million or $2.86 per barrel, compared with 2014.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

24



 

Oil Sands — Crude Oil

 

Three Months Ended September 30, 2015 Compared With September 30, 2014

 

Financial and Per-unit Results

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30, 2015

 

Three Months Ended
September 30, 2014

 

($ millions, unless otherwise noted)

 

 

 

$ per-unit (1)

 

 

 

$ per-unit (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

749

 

56

 

1,334

 

112

 

Less: Royalties

 

7

 

1

 

62

 

5

 

Revenues

 

742

 

55

 

1,272

 

107

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation and Blending

 

431

 

32

 

518

 

44

 

Operating

 

128

 

10

 

147

 

12

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(143

)

(11

)

2

 

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

326

 

24

 

605

 

51

 

Capital Investment

 

272

 

 

 

493

 

 

 

Operating Cash Flow Net of Related Capital Investment

 

54

 

 

 

112

 

 

 

 


(1)         Per-unit amounts are calculated on an unblended crude oil basis.

 

GRAPHIC

 


(1)         Revenues include the value of condensate sold as heavy oil blend. Condensate costs are recorded in transportation and blending expense. The crude oil price excludes the impact of condensate purchases.

 

Revenues

 

Pricing

 

In the third quarter, our average crude oil sales price was $30.35 per barrel, a 33 percent decline from the second quarter and 58 percent lower than the third quarter of 2014. The prices we receive continue to be adversely impacted by the worldwide commodity price environment. The decline in our crude oil price was consistent with the decrease in the WCS and Christina Dilbit Blend (“CDB”) benchmark prices, partially offset by weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar and increased sales into the U.S. market that secure a higher sales price. The WCS-CDB differential narrowed to a discount of US$3.00 per barrel (2014 — a discount of US$3.91 per barrel), primarily due to greater access to refineries on the U.S. Gulf Coast that can process a wider variety of heavier crude oils. In the third quarter, 84 percent of our Christina Lake production was sold as CDB (2014 — 90 percent), with the remainder sold into the WCS stream.

 

Production Volumes

 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30,

 

(barrels per day)

 

2015

 

Percent
Change

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek

 

71,414

 

26

%

56,631

 

Christina Lake

 

75,329

 

10

%

68,458

 

 

 

146,743

 

17

%

125,089

 

 

Foster Creek production increased primarily due to the ramp-up of phase F, strong initial production after operations were temporarily shut down in the second quarter due to a nearby forest fire, and production from additional wells. The ramp-up of phase F, our eleventh oil sands phase, is expected to take approximately eighteen months from start-up, which occurred in the third quarter of 2014. Strong initial production following the forest fire has subsided and production rates have returned to levels prior to the forest fire.

 

Production from Christina Lake increased in the third quarter due to production from additional wells, including wells using our Wedge WellTM technology, and improved performance of our facilities.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

25



 

Condensate

 

The bitumen currently produced by Cenovus must be blended with condensate to reduce its thickness in order to transport it to market. Revenues represent the total value of blended crude oil sold and include the value of condensate.

 

Royalties

 

Royalty calculations for our oil sands projects are based on government prescribed pre- and post-payout royalty rates which are determined on a sliding scale using the Canadian dollar equivalent WTI benchmark price. Royalty calculations differ between properties.

 

Royalties at Foster Creek, a post-payout project, are based on an annualized calculation which uses the greater of: (1) the gross revenues multiplied by the applicable royalty rate (one to nine percent, based on the Canadian dollar equivalent WTI benchmark price); or (2) the net profits of the project multiplied by the applicable royalty rate (25 to 40 percent, based on the Canadian dollar equivalent WTI benchmark price). Gross revenues are a function of sales volumes and realized sales prices. Net profits are a function of sales volumes, realized sales prices and allowed operating and capital costs.

 

Royalties at Christina Lake, a pre-payout project, are based on a monthly calculation that applies a royalty rate (ranging from one to nine percent, based on the Canadian dollar equivalent WTI benchmark price) to the gross revenues from the project.

 

Effective Royalty Rates

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

(percent)

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek

 

0.8

 

7.2

 

Christina Lake

 

3.7

 

7.9

 

 

Royalties decreased $55 million in the third quarter compared with 2014, primarily due to the decline in crude oil sales prices, partially offset by an increase in sales volumes. Foster Creek royalties were based on gross revenues in 2015 as compared with a calculation based on net profits in 2014. The further decline in WTI in the third quarter caused the annual calculation to change from a net profits basis to a gross revenues basis, resulting in a significant decrease in the royalty rate at Foster Creek. The Christina Lake royalty rate decreased in 2015 as a result of lower realized sales prices.

 

Expenses

 

Transportation and Blending

 

Transportation and blending costs decreased $87 million or 17 percent. Blending costs declined primarily due to lower condensate prices, partially offset by an increase in condensate volumes consistent with the rise in production. Our condensate costs were higher than the average benchmark price in 2015 primarily due to the transportation cost associated with moving the condensate to our oil sands projects.

 

Transportation costs increased $54 million primarily due to higher pipeline tariffs and additional sales to the U.S. market which attract higher tariffs. To ensure adequate capacity for our expected future production growth, we hold long-term transportation agreements on the Cold Lake pipeline expansion. Deliveries commenced in the first quarter of 2015. We also have added capacity on the Flanagan South system which increases our sales opportunities into the U.S. market with the expectation of achieving higher sales prices. Deliveries on the Flanagan South system began in the fourth quarter of 2014. Future production growth is expected to reduce our per-barrel transportation costs.

 

Transportation costs also increased as lower volumes transported by rail were more than offset by new lease costs for rail cars, and higher loading fees and storage costs. Overall, in the third quarter of 2015, we moved an average of 6,642 gross barrels per day of crude oil by rail, consisting of 10 unit train shipments (2014 — 11,186 gross barrels per day, 18 unit train shipments). Rail transportation costs are generally higher than pipeline costs; however, rail provides flexibility in destinations, products transported and the duration of the cost commitment, which is typically shorter in term than pipeline commitments.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

26



 

Operating

 

Primary drivers of our operating expenses in the third quarter of 2015 were workforce, fuel, repairs and maintenance, chemical costs and workovers. Total operating expenses decreased $19 million or $2.86 per barrel, primarily as a result of higher production, lower natural gas prices reducing fuel costs, and a decline in workforce costs.

 

Per-unit Operating Expenses

 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30,

 

($/bbl)

 

2015

 

Percent
Change

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fuel

 

2.65

 

(39

)%

4.31

 

Non-fuel

 

8.72

 

(17

)%

10.48

 

Total

 

11.37

 

(23

)%

14.79

 

Christina Lake

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fuel

 

2.30

 

(31

)%

3.32

 

Non-fuel

 

5.57

 

(21

)%

7.08

 

Total

 

7.87

 

(24

)%

10.40

 

Total

 

9.55

 

(23

)%

12.41

 

 

At Foster Creek, fuel costs decreased $1.66 per barrel primarily due to the decline in natural gas prices and a decrease in fuel consumption on a per-barrel basis.

 

Non-fuel operating expenses declined $1.76 per barrel primarily due to higher production volumes and lower electricity costs. Workover costs in the third quarter of 2015 included costs savings associated with well servicing and pump changes, but were higher than in 2014.  In the third quarter of 2014, after a review of our 2014 re-drilling programs at Foster Creek, certain costs that had previously been recognized as workover costs were capitalized in the third quarter as these activities were beyond normal maintenance and enhanced future production capacity. This reduced third quarter 2014 operating expenses by $1.60 per barrel.

 

At Christina Lake, fuel costs decreased by $1.02 per barrel primarily due to the decline in natural gas prices. Non-fuel operating expenses decreased $1.51 per barrel, primarily due to lower workover costs related to fewer pump changes, increased production and a decrease in electricity costs.

 

GRAPHIC

 


(1)         The heavy oil price and transportation and blending costs exclude the cost of purchased condensate which is blended with the heavy oil. On a per-barrel of unblended crude oil basis, the cost of condensate in the third quarter was $24.20 per barrel (2014 — $38.50 per barrel) for Foster Creek, and $26.42 per barrel (2014 — $42.57 per barrel) for Christina Lake. Our blending ratios range from approximately 25 percent to 33 percent.

 

Risk Management

 

Risk management activities in the third quarter resulted in realized gains of $143 million (2014 — realized losses of $2 million), consistent with our contract prices exceeding average benchmark prices.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

27



 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2015 Compared With September 30, 2014

 

Financial and Per-unit Results

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2015

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2014

 

($ millions, unless otherwise noted)

 

 

 

$ per-unit (1)

 

 

 

$ per-unit (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

2,356

 

63

 

3,909

 

117

 

Less: Royalties

 

26

 

1

 

180

 

5

 

Revenues

 

2,330

 

62

 

3,729

 

112

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation and Blending

 

1,336

 

36

 

1,636

 

48

 

Operating

 

390

 

10

 

483

 

15

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(249

)

(7

)

59

 

2

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

853

 

23

 

1,551

 

47

 

Capital Investment

 

945

 

 

 

1,488

 

 

 

Operating Cash Flow Net of Related Capital Investment

 

(92

)

 

 

63

 

 

 

 


(1)         Per-unit amounts are calculated on an unblended crude oil basis.

 

Capital investment in excess of Operating Cash Flow from Oil Sands was funded through Operating Cash Flow generated by our Conventional and Refining and Marketing segments, proceeds from our common share issuance in the first quarter of 2015, and the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business in July 2015.

 

GRAPHIC

 


(1)         Revenues include the value of condensate sold as heavy oil blend. Condensate costs are recorded in transportation and blending expense. The crude oil price excludes the impact of condensate purchases.

 

Revenues

 

Pricing

 

For the nine months ended September 30, 2015, our average crude oil sales price was $33.56 per barrel, a 53 percent decrease from 2014 as the prices we received continued to be adversely impacted by the worldwide commodity price environment. The decline in our crude oil price was consistent with the decrease in the WCS and CDB benchmark prices, partially offset by weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar and increased sales into the U.S. market which secure a higher sales price. The WCS-CDB differential narrowed by 43 percent to a discount of US$2.51 per barrel (2014 — a discount of US$4.38 per barrel), primarily due to greater access to refineries on the U.S. Gulf Coast that can process a wider variety of heavier crude oils. In the nine months ended September 30, 2015, 86 percent of our Christina Lake production was sold as CDB (2014 — 86 percent), with the remainder sold into the WCS stream.

 

Production Volumes

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

(barrels per day)

 

2015

 

Percent
Change

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek

 

65,906

 

18

%

56,070

 

Christina Lake

 

74,720

 

11

%

67,400

 

 

 

140,626

 

14

%

123,470

 

 

Foster Creek production increased due to production from phase F coming on stream in September 2014, and ramping up as expected, and production from additional wells, partially offset by the impact of the forest fire in the second quarter. The forest fire decreased production by approximately 3,500 barrels per day on a year-to-date basis. Strong initial production has subsided and production rates have returned to levels prior to the forest fire.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

28



 

Production from Christina Lake increased in the nine months ended September 30, 2015 due to production from additional wells, including wells using our Wedge WellTM technology, phase E reaching nameplate production capacity in the second quarter of 2014, and improved performance of our facilities.

 

Royalties

 

Effective Royalty Rates

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

(percent)

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek

 

2.1

 

8.2

 

Christina Lake

 

3.0

 

7.6

 

 

Royalties decreased $154 million, primarily related to the decline in crude oil sales prices, partially offset by an increase in sales volumes. At Foster Creek, the royalty calculation was based on gross revenues as compared with a calculation based on net profits for the nine months ended September 30, 2014. In the first quarter of 2015, we received regulatory approval to include certain capital costs incurred in previous years in our royalty calculation and recorded an associated credit, decreasing the overall royalty rate on a year-to-date basis. Excluding the credit, the effective royalty rate for Foster Creek would have been 3.6 percent for the nine months ended September 30, 2015. The Christina Lake royalty rate decreased in 2015 as a result of lower realized sales prices.

 

Expenses

 

Transportation and Blending

 

Transportation and blending costs decreased $300 million or 18 percent. Blending costs declined primarily due to lower condensate prices, partially offset by an increase in condensate volumes consistent with the rise in production. Our condensate costs were higher than the average benchmark price in 2015 primarily due to the utilization of higher-priced inventory and the transportation cost associated with moving the condensate to our oil sands projects.

 

Transportation costs increased $157 million primarily due to higher pipeline tariffs and additional sales to the U.S. market which attract higher tariffs. To help ensure adequate capacity for our expected future production growth, we have capacity commitments in excess of our current production. Future production growth is expected to reduce our per-barrel transportation costs.

 

In addition, transportation costs increased as a result of higher volumes moved by rail. In the nine months ended September 30, 2015, we transported an average of 7,889 gross barrels per day of crude oil by rail, consisting of 36 unit train shipments (2014 — 5,285 gross barrels per day, 25 unit train shipments).

 

Operating

 

Primary drivers of our operating expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 were workforce, fuel, repairs and maintenance, chemical costs and workovers. Total operating expenses decreased $93 million or $4.12 per barrel, primarily as a result of lower natural gas prices that reduced fuel costs, higher production and a decline in workover activities.

 

Per-unit Operating Expenses

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

($/bbl)

 

2015

 

Percent
Change

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fuel

 

2.78

 

(42

)%

4.77

 

Non-fuel

 

10.22

 

(21

)%

12.88

 

Total

 

13.00

 

(26

)%

17.65

 

Christina Lake

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fuel

 

2.22

 

(44

)%

3.98

 

Non-fuel

 

5.91

 

(25

)%

7.89

 

Total

 

8.13

 

(32

)%

11.87

 

Total

 

10.39

 

(28

)%

14.51

 

 

At Foster Creek, fuel costs decreased $1.99 per barrel due to the decline in natural gas prices and a decrease in fuel consumption on a per-barrel basis. Non-fuel operating expenses declined $2.66 per barrel, primarily due to:

 

·                  Higher production volumes;

·                  A reduction in workover expenses due to lower costs associated with well servicing and pump changes; and

·                  Lower electricity costs.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

29



 

Foster Creek non-fuel operating expenses included approximately $2.6 million or $0.15 per barrel of incremental costs associated with the shut-down due to the nearby forest fire that occurred in the second quarter of 2015.

 

At Christina Lake, fuel costs decreased by $1.76 per barrel due to the decline in natural gas prices and a decrease in fuel consumption on a per-barrel basis. Non-fuel operating expenses decreased $1.98 per barrel, primarily due to:

 

·                  Increased production;

·                  Lower workover costs related to fewer pump changes; and

·                  A decrease in repairs and maintenance costs due to a focus on critical operational activities and no turnaround costs in 2015.

 

GRAPHIC

 


(1)         The heavy oil price and transportation and blending costs exclude the cost of purchased condensate which is blended with the heavy oil. On a per-barrel of unblended crude oil basis, the cost of condensate for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 was $27.94 per barrel (2014 — $44.49 per barrel) for Foster Creek, and $30.23 per barrel (2014 — $48.02 per barrel) for Christina Lake. Our blending ratios range from approximately 25 percent to 33 percent.

 

Risk Management

 

Risk management activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 resulted in realized gains of $249 million (2014 — realized losses of $59 million), consistent with our contract prices exceeding average benchmark prices.

 

Oil Sands — Natural Gas

 

Oil Sands includes our 100 percent-owned natural gas operations in Athabasca. A portion of the natural gas produced from our Athabasca property is used as fuel at Foster Creek. Our natural gas production for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, net of internal usage, was 19 MMcf per day and 20 MMcf per day, respectively (2014 — 23 MMcf per day and 22 MMcf per day, respectively). Operating Cash Flow was $3 million in the third quarter (2014 — $5 million) and $7 million on a year-to-date basis (2014 — $43 million). These decreases were primarily related to the decline in natural gas sales prices.

 

Oil Sands — Capital Investment

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek

 

96

 

207

 

318

 

637

 

Christina Lake

 

147

 

198

 

515

 

563

 

 

 

243

 

405

 

833

 

1,200

 

Narrows Lake

 

12

 

38

 

41

 

130

 

Telephone Lake

 

4

 

23

 

19

 

94

 

Grand Rapids

 

6

 

20

 

32

 

36

 

Other (1)

 

7

 

8

 

21

 

32

 

Capital Investment (2)

 

272

 

494

 

946

 

1,492

 

 


(1)         Includes new resource plays and Athabasca natural gas.

(2)         Includes expenditures on PP&E and E&E assets.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

30



 

We continue to pursue our long-term strategy, though at a pace we believe is more in line with the current commodity price environment, with a focus on capital discipline and conservation of cash. We have strong producing assets, an integrated portfolio, a solid balance sheet and flexibility in our capital plans, which should allow us to face the challenges expected from an extended period of low commodity prices and market volatility. We plan to focus our 2015 capital investment on base business activities and on our oil sands expansion phases that are expected to generate near-term cash flow.

 

Existing Projects

 

Capital investment at Foster Creek in 2015 is focused on sustaining capital related to existing production, expansion phase G and the drilling of stratigraphic test wells primarily related to future sustaining well pads. In the third quarter, capital investment declined compared with 2014 due to lower spending related to field construction and completion costs associated with the commissioning of phase F in 2014. On a year-to-date basis, capital investment decreased mainly due to lower spending on phase F construction.

 

In 2015, Christina Lake capital investment is focused on sustaining capital related to existing production, expansion phases F and G, and the optimization project. Capital investment in the third quarter decreased from 2014 primarily due to lower spending on phase F facility detailed engineering and procurement. On a year-to-date basis, capital investment decreased due to lower spending on phase F facilities, partially offset by increased investment in sustaining activities.

 

Capital investment at Narrows Lake in 2015 is focused on detailed engineering and construction wind-down. Capital investment declined in the third quarter and on a year-to-date basis compared with 2014 due to the suspension of new construction at Narrows Lake until further notice.

 

Emerging Projects

 

In 2015, Telephone Lake capital investment has primarily focused on completing front-end engineering work on the central processing facility and preliminary infrastructure development. Capital spending decreased in the third quarter and on a year-to-date basis as we did not drill any stratigraphic test wells in the nine months ended September 30, 2015 (2014 — 45 stratigraphic test wells).

 

Capital investment at Grand Rapids in 2015 has primarily focused on continued operation of the SAGD pilot project. A third well pair was drilled, completed and commenced steam circulation in the second quarter. Costs incurred with the third SAGD well pair were partially offset by not drilling any stratigraphic test wells in 2015 (2014 — 9 stratigraphic test wells). Capital investment decreased compared with 2014 as all work related to the dismantling and removal of an existing SAGD facility purchased in 2014 has been completed.

 

Drilling Activity (1)

 

 

 

Gross Stratigraphic
Test Wells 
(2)

 

Gross Production
Wells 
(3) (4)

 

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek

 

122

 

147

 

21

 

61

 

Christina Lake

 

36

 

52

 

67

 

40

 

 

 

158

 

199

 

88

 

101

 

Narrows Lake

 

 

22

 

 

 

Telephone Lake

 

 

45

 

 

 

Grand Rapids

 

 

9

 

1

 

 

Other

 

 

21

 

 

 

 

 

158

 

296

 

89

 

101

 

 


(1)         In addition to the drilling activity included within the table, we drilled seven gross service wells in the nine months ended September 30, 2015 (2014 — three gross service wells).

(2)         Includes wells drilled using our SkyStratTM drilling rig, which uses a helicopter and a lightweight drilling rig to allow safe stratigraphic well drilling to occur year-round in remote drilling locations. In the nine months ended September 30, 2015, we drilled seven wells (2014 — 14 wells) and commissioned our second SkyStratTM drilling rig.

(3)   SAGD well pairs are counted as a single producing well.

(4)   Includes wells drilled using our Wedge WellTM technology.

 

Future Capital Investment

 

Due to our expectation that low commodity prices will persist for an extended period, we have adopted a more moderate and staged approach to future oil sands expansions. We will consider expanding existing projects and developing emerging projects only when we believe we will maximize cost savings and capital efficiencies.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

31



 

Existing Projects

 

Foster Creek is currently producing from phases A through F. Capital investment for 2015 is forecast to be between $415 million and $435 million. We plan to continue focusing on sustaining capital related to existing production as well as progressing expansion phase G. We expect phase G to add initial design capacity of 30,000 gross barrels per day and first production is anticipated in the first half of 2016. Spending related to construction work on phase H was deferred in response to the low commodity price environment, pushing the expected start-up to beyond 2017. Phase H has an initial design capacity of 30,000 gross barrels per day. In December 2014, we received regulatory approval for expansion phase J, a 50,000 gross barrel per day phase.

 

Christina Lake is producing from phases A through E. Capital investment for 2015 is forecast to be between $685 million and $705 million and we plan to continue focusing on sustaining capital related to existing production, expansion phase F and the optimization project. Expansion work on phase F, including cogeneration, is continuing as planned. We anticipate adding production capacity of 50,000 gross barrels per day from phase F in the second half of 2016. The optimization project is expected to add production capacity of 22,000 gross barrels per day with a ramp-up over a twelve month period. The optimization project began steam injection late in the third quarter of 2015. Spending on phase G engineering and procurement has continued in 2015. Construction work on phase G was deferred earlier this year in response to the low commodity price environment, pushing the expected start-up to beyond 2017. Phase G has an initial design capacity of 50,000 gross barrels per day. We submitted a joint application and environmental impact assessment to regulators in March 2013 for the phase H expansion, a 50,000 gross barrel per day phase, for which we expect to receive regulatory approval in the fourth quarter of 2015.

 

Capital investment at Narrows Lake is forecast to be between $45 million and $50 million in 2015. For the remainder 2015, we plan to continue to focus our capital investment on detailed engineering and procurement. We suspended new construction in response to low commodity prices.

 

Emerging Projects

 

Two of our emerging projects are Telephone Lake and Grand Rapids. Capital investment for our new resource plays is forecast to be between $70 million and $80 million in 2015. We plan to continue the pilot project at Grand Rapids and engineering activities at Telephone Lake.

 

DD&A

 

We deplete crude oil and natural gas properties on a unit-of-production basis over total proved reserves. The unit-of-production rate takes into account expenditures incurred to date, together with future development expenditures required to develop those proved reserves. This rate, calculated at an area level, is then applied to our sales volume to determine DD&A in a given period. We believe that this method of calculating DD&A charges each barrel of crude oil equivalent sold with its proportionate share of the cost of capital invested over the total estimated life of the related asset as represented by total proved reserves.

 

The following calculation illustrates how the implied depletion rate for our upstream assets could be determined using the reported consolidated data:

 

 

 

As at

 

 

 

December 31,

 

($ millions, unless otherwise indicated)

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

Upstream Property, Plant and Equipment

 

14,644

 

Estimated Future Development Capital

 

20,084

 

Total Estimated Upstream Cost Base

 

34,728

 

Total Proved Reserves (MMBOE)

 

2,393

 

Implied Depletion Rate ($/BOE)

 

14.51

 

 

While this illustrates the calculation of the implied depletion rate, our depletion rates are slightly higher and result in a total average rate ranging between $15.50 to $16.50 per barrel of oil equivalent. Amounts related to assets under construction, which would be included in the total upstream cost base and would have proved reserves attributed to them, are not depleted. Property specific rates will exclude upstream assets that are depreciated on a straight-line basis. As such, our actual depletion will differ from depletion calculated by applying the above implied depletion rate. Further information on our accounting policy for DD&A is included in our notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

In the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, Oil Sands DD&A increased $16 million and $49 million, respectively, primarily due to higher sales volumes.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

32



 

CONVENTIONAL

 

Our Conventional operations include predictable cash flow producing crude oil and natural gas assets in Alberta and Saskatchewan, including a CO2 enhanced oil recovery project in Weyburn, our heavy oil asset at Pelican Lake and developing tight oil assets in Alberta. Pelican Lake produces conventional heavy oil using polymer flood technology. The established assets in this segment are strategically important for their long life reserves, stable operations and diversity of crude oil produced. The cash flow generated in our Conventional operations helps to fund future growth opportunities in our Oil Sands segment while our natural gas production acts as an economic hedge for the natural gas required as a fuel source at both our oil sands and refining operations.

 

On July 29, 2015, we completed the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business, which included approximately 4.8 million gross acres of royalty interest and mineral fee title lands in Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba. A royalty on our working interest production from these fee lands and a GORR on production from our Pelican Lake and Weyburn assets were also included in the sale. We received cash proceeds of approximately $3.3 billion and recorded an after-tax gain of approximately $1.9 billion. Associated third party royalty-interest volumes prior to the divestiture were approximately 6,580 barrels of oil equivalent per day.

 

Additional developments in our Conventional segment in the third quarter of 2015 compared with 2014 include:

 

·                  Crude oil production averaging 63,679 barrels per day, decreasing 14 percent, as an increase in production from successful horizontal well performance in southern Alberta was more than offset by expected natural declines, the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business, and the divestiture of a non-core asset in 2014;

·                  Reduced our crude oil operating costs by $34 million or $2.84 per barrel, compared with 2014;

·                  Generating Operating Cash Flow net of capital investment of $186 million, a decrease of 34 percent; and

·                  Resuming drilling activity at our tight oil projects in southeast Alberta and at our CO2 enhanced oil recovery project at Weyburn.

 

Conventional — Crude Oil

 

Three Months Ended September 30, 2015 Compared With September 30, 2014

 

Financial and Per-unit Results

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30, 2015

 

Three Months Ended
September 30, 2014

 

($ millions, unless otherwise noted)

 

 

 

$ per-unit (1)

 

 

 

$ per-unit (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

279

 

48

 

619

 

92

 

Less: Royalties

 

23

 

4

 

58

 

9

 

Revenues

 

256

 

44

 

561

 

83

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation and Blending

 

49

 

8

 

69

 

11

 

Operating

 

90

 

16

 

124

 

18

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

4

 

1

 

10

 

1

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(49

)

(9

)

6

 

1

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

162

 

28

 

352

 

52

 

Capital Investment

 

52

 

 

 

189

 

 

 

Operating Cash Flow Net of Related Capital Investment

 

110

 

 

 

163

 

 

 

 


(1)         Per-unit amounts are calculated on an unblended crude oil basis.

 

GRAPHIC

 


(1)         Revenues include the value of condensate sold as heavy oil blend. Condensate costs are recorded in transportation and blending expense. The crude oil price excludes the impact of condensate purchases.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

33



 

Revenues

 

Pricing

 

Our average crude oil sales price was $42.43 per barrel in the third quarter, 50 percent lower than in 2014, consistent with the decline in crude oil benchmark prices.

 

Production Volumes

 

(barrels per day)

 

2015

 

Percent
Change

 

2014

 

Heavy Oil

 

33,997

 

(13

)%

39,096

 

Light and Medium Oil

 

28,491

 

(15

)%

33,548

 

NGLs

 

1,191

 

(12

)%

1,356

 

 

 

63,679

 

(14

)%

74,000

 

 

Production declined as higher production from successful horizontal well performance in southern Alberta was more than offset by expected natural declines, the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business, and the divestiture of a non-core asset in 2014. Production from the divested assets was 1,251 barrels per day in the third quarter (2014 — 6,947 barrels per day).

 

Condensate

 

Revenues represent the total value of blended crude oil sold and include the value of condensate.

 

Royalties

 

Royalties decreased $35 million primarily due to lower realized sales prices, partially offset by additional royalties at Pelican Lake, Weyburn and other conventional assets resulting from the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business. In the third quarter, the effective crude oil royalty rate for our Conventional properties was 10.1 percent (2014 — 10.8 percent).

 

Crown royalties at Pelican Lake are determined under oil sands royalty calculations. Pelican Lake is a post-payout project, therefore royalties are based on an annualized calculation which uses the greater of: (1) the gross revenues multiplied by the applicable royalty rate (one to nine percent, based on the Canadian dollar equivalent WTI benchmark price); or (2) the net profits of the project multiplied by the applicable royalty rate (25 to 40 percent, based on the Canadian dollar equivalent WTI benchmark price). Gross revenues are a function of sales volumes and realized sales prices. Net profits are a function of sales volumes, realized sales prices and allowed operating and capital costs. In the third quarter of 2015, the Pelican Lake crown royalty calculation was based on net profits as compared with a calculation based on gross revenues in 2014.

 

Production and mineral taxes decreased, consistent with the decline in crude oil prices and due to the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business.

 

Expenses

 

Transportation and Blending

 

Transportation and blending costs decreased $20 million. Blending costs declined primarily due to lower condensate prices. Transportation charges were $3 million lower primarily due to a decline in sales volumes and a reduction in volumes moved by rail. In the third quarter of 2015, we did not transport any crude oil by rail (2014 — 1,534 barrels per day).

 

Operating

 

Primary drivers of our operating expenses in the third quarter of 2015 were workforce costs, workover activities, electricity, chemical consumption, and property taxes and lease costs. Operating expenses declined $34 million or $2.84 per barrel.

 

The per-unit decline was primarily due to:

 

·                  A decline in workover costs;

·                  Lower repairs and maintenance due to a focus on critical operational activities; and

·                  Lower trucking expenses as we added pipeline infrastructure.

 

These decreases were partially offset by lower production.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

34



 

GRAPHIC

 


(1)         The heavy oil price and transportation and blending costs exclude the cost of purchased condensate which is blended with the heavy oil. On a per-barrel of unblended heavy oil basis, the cost of condensate for our heavy oil properties was $9.56 per barrel in the third quarter (2014 —$13.25 per barrel). Our blending ratios range from approximately 10 percent to 16 percent.

 

Risk Management

 

Risk management activities in the third quarter resulted in realized gains of $49 million (2014 — realized losses of $6 million), consistent with our contract prices exceeding average benchmark prices.

 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2015 Compared With September 30, 2014

 

Financial and Per-unit Results

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2015

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2014

 

($ millions, unless otherwise noted)

 

 

 

$ per-unit (1)

 

 

 

$ per-unit (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

1,000

 

53

 

1,978

 

95

 

Less: Royalties

 

78

 

4

 

174

 

8

 

Revenues

 

922

 

49

 

1,804

 

87

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation and Blending

 

160

 

8

 

249

 

13

 

Operating

 

299

 

16

 

402

 

19

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

14

 

1

 

28

 

1

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(100

)

(5

)

38

 

2

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

549

 

29

 

1,087

 

52

 

Capital Investment

 

148

 

 

 

601

 

 

 

Operating Cash Flow Net of Related Capital Investment

 

401

 

 

 

486

 

 

 

 


(1)         Per-unit amounts are calculated on an unblended crude oil basis.

 

GRAPHIC

 


(1)         Revenues include the value of condensate sold as heavy oil blend. Condensate costs are recorded in transportation and blending expense. The crude oil price excludes the impact of condensate purchases.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

35



 

Revenues

 

Pricing

 

Our average crude oil sales price decreased 47 percent to $46.41 per barrel, consistent with the sustained decline in crude oil benchmark prices.

 

Production Volumes

 

(barrels per day)

 

2015

 

Percent
Change

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Heavy Oil

 

35,739

 

(11

)%

40,060

 

Light and Medium Oil

 

31,787

 

(8

)%

34,488

 

NGLs

 

1,286

 

7

%

1,200

 

 

 

68,812

 

(9

)%

75,748

 

 

Increased production from successful horizontal well performance in southern Alberta was more than offset by expected natural declines, the divestiture of non-core assets in 2014, and the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business. Production from the divested assets was 3,417 barrels per day on a year-to-date basis (2014 — 7,293 barrels per day).

 

Royalties

 

Royalties decreased $96 million primarily due to lower realized sales prices, partially offset by additional royalties at Pelican Lake, Weyburn and other conventional assets resulting from the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business. For the nine months ended September 30, 2015, the effective crude oil royalty rate for our Conventional properties was 9.3 percent (2014 — 10.2 percent). The Pelican Lake royalty calculation was based on net profits in 2015 as compared with a calculation based on gross revenues in 2014.

 

Production and mineral taxes also decreased, consistent with lower crude oil prices in 2015.

 

Expenses

 

Transportation and Blending

 

Transportation and blending costs decreased $89 million. Blending costs declined primarily due to lower condensate prices. Transportation charges were $23 million lower largely due to a decline in sales volumes and a reduction in volumes moved by rail. In the nine months ended September 30, 2015, we transported an average of 799 barrels per day of crude oil by rail (2014 — 3,099 barrels per day).

 

Operating

 

Primary drivers of our operating expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 were workforce costs, workover activities, electricity, chemical consumption, and property taxes and lease costs. Operating expenses declined $103 million or $3.63 per barrel.

 

The per-unit decline was primarily due to:

 

·                  A decline in workover costs and lower repairs and maintenance due to a focus on critical operational activities;

·                  Lower trucking expenses as we added pipeline infrastructure; and

·                  Lower electricity costs as a result of a decrease in consumption due in part to the disposition of non-core assets, and a decline in prices.

 

These decreases were partially offset by lower production.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

36



 

GRAPHIC

 


(1)         The heavy oil price and transportation and blending costs exclude the cost of purchased condensate which is blended with the heavy oil. On a per-barrel of unblended heavy oil basis, the cost of condensate for our heavy oil properties was $11.21 per barrel on a year-to-date basis (2014 — $16.23 per barrel). Our blending ratios range from approximately 10 percent to 16 percent.

 

Risk Management

 

Risk management activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 resulted in realized gains of $100 million (2014 — realized losses of $38 million), consistent with our contract prices exceeding average benchmark prices.

 

Conventional — Natural Gas

 

Financial Results

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

113

 

182

 

346

 

580

 

Less: Royalties

 

5

 

4

 

8

 

10

 

Revenues

 

108

 

178

 

338

 

570

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation and Blending

 

3

 

5

 

12

 

14

 

Operating

 

41

 

51

 

131

 

152

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

1

 

2

 

2

 

8

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(13

)

(4

)

(38

)

(3

)

Operating Cash Flow

 

76

 

124

 

231

 

399

 

Capital Investment

 

3

 

9

 

9

 

20

 

Operating Cash Flow Net of Related Capital Investment

 

73

 

115

 

222

 

379

 

 

Operating Cash Flow from natural gas continued to help fund growth opportunities in our Oil Sands segment.

 

Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2015 Compared With September 30, 2014

 

Revenues

 

Pricing

 

In the third quarter and on a year-to-date basis, our average natural gas sales price decreased 29 percent to $3.00 per Mcf and 34 percent to $2.97 per Mcf, respectively, consistent with the decline in the AECO benchmark price.

 

Production

 

Production decreased 12 percent to 411 MMcf per day in the third quarter (nine percent to 427 MMcf per day on a year-to-date basis) due to expected natural declines and from the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business, which produced 6 MMcf per day and 13 MMcf per day in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, respectively (2014 — 20 MMcf per day and 20 MMcf per day).

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

37



 

Royalties

 

Royalties remained consistent compared with the third quarter of 2014 and decreased on a year-to-date basis. Reduced royalties as a result of lower prices and production declines were offset by additional royalties due to the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business. The average royalty rate in the third quarter was 4.1 percent (2014 — 2.0 percent) and 2.3 percent (2014 — 1.7 percent) on a year-to-date basis.

 

Expenses

 

Transportation

 

In 2015, transportation costs decreased as a result of lower production volumes, partially offset by higher pipeline tariffs.

 

Operating

 

Primary drivers of our operating expenses were property taxes and lease costs, and workforce. In the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, operating expenses decreased by $10 million and $21 million, respectively, primarily due to lower repairs and maintenance, and workforce, partially offset by lower production volumes.

 

Risk Management

 

Risk management activities resulted in realized gains of $13 million in the third quarter and $38 million on a year-to-date basis (2014 — realized gains of $4 million in the third quarter and $3 million on a year-to-date basis), consistent with our contract prices exceeding average benchmark prices.

 

Conventional — Capital Investment

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Heavy Oil

 

14

 

76

 

46

 

264

 

Light and Medium Oil

 

38

 

113

 

102

 

337

 

Natural Gas

 

3

 

9

 

9

 

20

 

Capital Investment (1)

 

55

 

198

 

157

 

621

 

 


(1)   Includes expenditures on PP&E and E&E assets.

 

Capital investment declined in 2015 primarily due to spending reductions on crude oil activities in response to the low commodity price environment. Capital investment in 2015 was primarily related to maintenance capital and spending for our CO2 enhanced oil recovery project at Weyburn and drilling activities at our tight oil projects in southeast Alberta.

 

Conventional Drilling Activity

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

(net wells, unless otherwise stated)

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil

 

15

 

101

 

Recompletions

 

498

 

620

 

Gross Stratigraphic Test Wells

 

 

18

 

Other (1)

 

1

 

34

 

 


(1)         Includes dry and abandoned, observation and service wells.

 

Drilling activity declined in 2015, reflecting the decision to suspend the majority of our 2015 drilling program in southern Alberta and Saskatchewan as a result of the low commodity price environment. In the third quarter, some drilling activity resumed at our tight oil projects in southeast Alberta and at our CO2 enhanced oil recovery project at Weyburn.

 

Future Capital Investment

 

Consistent with our expectation that commodity prices will continue to be low for a prolonged period of time, we are planning a more moderate approach to developing our conventional crude oil opportunities. We plan to focus on drilling projects that are considered to be relatively low risk, with short production cycle times and strong expected returns.

 

Our 2015 crude oil capital investment forecast is between $250 million and $270 million with spending plans mainly focused on maintenance capital and spending for our CO2 enhanced oil recovery project at Weyburn and development of our tight oil assets.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

38



 

DD&A and Exploration Expense

 

DD&A

 

We deplete crude oil and natural gas properties on a unit-of-production basis over total proved reserves. The unit-of-production rate takes into account expenditures incurred to date, together with future development expenditures required to develop those proved reserves. This rate, calculated at an area level, is then applied to our sales volume to determine DD&A in a given period. We believe that this method of calculating DD&A charges each barrel of crude oil equivalent sold with its proportionate share of the cost of capital invested over the total estimated life of the related asset as represented by total proved reserves.

 

Conventional DD&A decreased $28 million and $34 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, respectively.

 

Exploration Expense

 

Costs incurred after the legal right to explore has been obtained and before technical feasibility and commercial viability have been established are capitalized as E&E assets. If a field, area or project is determined not to be technically feasible and commercially viable or we decide not to continue the exploration activity, the unrecoverable costs are charged to exploration expense.

 

For the nine months ended September 30, 2015, $21 million (2014 — $nil) of previously capitalized E&E costs related to certain conventional tight oil exploration assets were deemed not to be commercially viable and technically feasible and were recorded as exploration expense.

 

REFINING AND MARKETING

 

We are a 50-percent partner in the Wood River and Borger refineries, which are located in the U.S. Our Refining and Marketing segment allows us to capture the value from crude oil production through to refined products such as diesel, gasoline and jet fuel. Our integrated approach provides a natural economic hedge against widening crude oil price differentials by providing lower feedstock prices to our refineries. The Refining and Marketing segment’s results are affected by changes in the U.S./Canadian dollar exchange rate. The weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar by 17 percent in the three months ended September 30, 2015, and 13 percent on a year-to-date basis, as compared with 2014, had a positive impact of approximately $36 million and $120 million, respectively, on our refining gross margin.

 

Significant developments in our Refining and Marketing segment in the third quarter of 2015 compared with 2014 include:

 

·                  Closing the purchase of a crude-by-rail terminal for $75 million, plus adjustments, and commencing operations;

·                  Crude oil runs and refined product output decreasing as a result of unplanned process unit outages at our Borger refinery and the start of a planned turnaround at our Wood River refinery in September 2015; and

·                  Operating Cash Flow decreasing 57 percent to $29 million primarily due to higher heavy crude oil feedstock costs relative to the WTI benchmark price, higher operating costs and lower refined product output, partially offset by improved margins on the sale of secondary products, an increase in average market crack spreads and weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar.

 

Refinery Operations (1)

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil Capacity (2) (Mbbls/d)

 

460

 

460

 

460

 

460

 

Crude Oil Runs (Mbbls/d)

 

394

 

407

 

424

 

424

 

Heavy Crude Oil

 

186

 

201

 

202

 

205

 

Light/Medium

 

208

 

206

 

222

 

219

 

Refined Products (Mbbls/d)

 

414

 

429

 

448

 

446

 

Gasoline

 

208

 

230

 

228

 

228

 

Distillate

 

131

 

131

 

141

 

138

 

Other

 

75

 

68

 

79

 

80

 

Crude Utilization (percent)

 

86

 

88

 

92

 

92

 

 


(1)   Represents 100 percent of the Wood River and Borger refinery operations.

(2)         The official nameplate capacity, based on 95 percent of the highest average rate achieved over a continuous 30-day period.

 

On a 100-percent basis, our refineries have total capacity of approximately 460,000 gross barrels per day of crude oil, excluding NGLs, including processing capability of up to 255,000 gross barrels per day of blended heavy crude oil, and capacity of 45,000 gross barrels per day of NGLs. The ability to refine heavy crude oil demonstrates our ability to economically integrate our heavy crude oil production. The discount of WCS relative to WTI benefits our refining operations due to the feedstock cost advantage provided by processing heavy crude oil.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

39



 

We commenced operations of our crude-by-rail facility at Bruderheim, Alberta, and 12 unit trains, including five unit trains for third parties, were loaded in the first month of operations.

 

Financial Results

 

In the third quarter, unplanned process unit outages at our Borger refinery for most of July and the start of a planned turnaround at Wood River reduced crude oil runs and refined product output. The Wood River turnaround is expected to be completed in October. In the third quarter of 2014, we had an unplanned coker outage at Borger that lasted approximately two weeks and a planned turnaround at Wood River.

 

On a year-to-date basis, crude oil runs and refined product output was consistent with 2014. The unplanned outages at Borger and planned turnarounds at both of our refineries in 2015 had a similar impact on crude oil runs and refined product output as the outage and turnarounds in 2014.

 

Our crude utilization represents the percentage of total crude oil processed in our refineries relative to the total capacity. Due to our ability to process a wide slate of crude oils, a feedstock cost advantage is created by processing less expensive crude oil. The amount of heavy crude oil processed, such as WCS and CDB, is dependent on the quality and quantity of available crude oil with the total input slate being optimized at each refinery to maximize economic benefit. The volume of heavy crude oil processed in 2015 decreased from 2014 as a result of processing higher volumes of medium crude oils due to more favorable economics.

 

Financial Results

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

2,242

 

3,144

 

6,775

 

9,885

 

Purchased Product

 

2,012

 

2,918

 

5,826

 

8,836

 

Gross Margin

 

230

 

226

 

949

 

1,049

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating

 

215

 

162

 

552

 

525

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(14

)

(4

)

(27

)

(9

)

Operating Cash Flow

 

29

 

68

 

424

 

533

 

Capital Investment

 

67

 

42

 

159

 

111

 

Operating Cash Flow Net of Related Capital Investment

 

(38

)

26

 

265

 

422

 

 

Gross Margin

 

Our realized crack spreads are affected by many factors, such as the variety of feedstock crude oil inputs, refinery configuration and the proportion of gasoline, distillate and secondary product output; the time lag between the purchase of crude oil feedstock and the processing of that crude oil through our refineries; and the cost of feedstock. Our feedstock costs are valued on a FIFO accounting basis.

 

In the third quarter of 2015, the increase in gross margin was primarily due to:

 

·                  Improved margins on the sale of our secondary products, such as coke and asphalt, due to lower overall feedstock costs consistent with the decline in WTI;

·                  Average market crack spreads increased as unplanned refinery outages in the industry caused product inventory drawdowns and slightly improved refined product pricing; and

·                  Weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar.

 

The increase in gross margin was partially offset by higher heavy crude oil feedstock costs relative to WTI, consistent with the narrowing of the WTI-WCS differential, and lower refined product output.

 

On a year-to-date basis, the decline in gross margin was primarily due to higher heavy crude oil feedstock costs relative to WTI, consistent with the narrowing of the WTI-WCS differential.

 

The decrease in gross margin was partially offset by:

 

·                  Improved margins on the sale of our secondary products, due to lower overall feedstock costs consistent with the decline in WTI; and

·                  Weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar.

 

Our refineries do not blend renewable fuels into the motor fuel products we produce. Consequently, we are obligated to purchase Renewable Identification Numbers (“RINs”). In the third quarter of 2015 and on a year-to-date basis, the cost of our RINs was $27 million and $120 million, respectively (2014 — $29 million and $85 million, respectively). The increase on a year-to-date basis is consistent with the rise in the ethanol RINs benchmark price. This cost remains a minor component of our total refinery feedstock costs.

 

Operating Expense

 

Primary drivers of operating expenses in the third quarter of 2015 and on a year-to-date basis were maintenance, labour, utilities and supplies. Operating expenses increased in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 compared with 2014 primarily due to weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

40



 

dollar, partially offset by a decline in utility costs resulting from lower natural gas prices. In the third quarter, operating expenses were also impacted by higher maintenance costs related to unplanned outages and planned turnaround activities.

 

Refining and Marketing — Capital Investment

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wood River Refinery

 

47

 

30

 

108

 

64

 

Borger Refinery

 

19

 

12

 

49

 

47

 

Marketing

 

1

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

67

 

42

 

159

 

111

 

 

Capital expenditures in 2015 focused on the debottlenecking project at Wood River, in addition to capital maintenance, projects improving our refinery reliability and safety, and environmental initiatives. We received permit approval in the first quarter of 2015 for the Wood River debottlenecking project and start-up is anticipated in the second half of 2016.

 

In 2015, we expect to invest between $220 million and $250 million mainly related to the debottlenecking project at Wood River, in addition to maintenance, reliability and environmental initiatives.

 

DD&A

 

Refining and the crude-by-rail terminal assets are depreciated on a straight-line basis over the estimated service life of each component of the facilities. The service lives of these assets are reviewed on an annual basis. Refining and Marketing DD&A increased by $10 million in the third quarter and $24 million on a year-to-date basis, primarily due to the change in the U.S./Canadian dollar exchange rate.

 

CORPORATE AND ELIMINATIONS

 

The Corporate and Eliminations segment includes intersegment eliminations relating to transactions that have been recorded at transfer prices based on current market prices, as well as unrealized intersegment profits in inventory. The gains and losses on risk management represent the unrealized mark-to-market gains and losses related to derivative financial instruments used to mitigate fluctuations in commodity prices and the unrealized mark-to-market gains and losses on the long-term power purchase contract. In the third quarter, our risk management activities resulted in $127 million of unrealized gains (2014 — $165 million of unrealized gains). On a year-to-date basis, we had $169 million of unrealized losses (2014 — $180 million of unrealized gains). The Corporate and Eliminations segment also includes Cenovus-wide costs for general and administrative, financing costs and research costs.

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

General and Administrative

 

75

 

80

 

220

 

291

 

Finance Costs

 

122

 

105

 

359

 

337

 

Interest Income

 

(6

)

(4

)

(20

)

(31

)

Foreign Exchange (Gain) Loss, Net

 

417

 

263

 

832

 

223

 

Research Costs

 

6

 

3

 

20

 

9

 

(Gain) Loss on Divestiture of Assets

 

(2,379

)

(137

)

(2,395

)

(157

)

Other (Income) Loss, Net

 

(1

)

2

 

1

 

 

 

 

(1,766

)

312

 

(983

)

672

 

 

Expenses

 

General and Administrative

 

Primary drivers of our general and administrative expenses in 2015 were workforce, office rent and information technology costs. General and administrative expenses decreased by $5 million in the third quarter due to reductions in discretionary spending, offset by higher employee long-term incentive costs. During the third quarter, we incurred severance costs of $3 million related to the previously announced reductions to our workforce. It is expected that additional severance costs of $32 million will be recorded in the fourth quarter.

 

On a year-to-date basis, general and administrative expenses decreased by $71 million primarily due to lower employee long-term incentive costs driven by the decline in our share price, and lower discretionary spending.

 

Finance Costs

 

Finance costs include interest expense on our long-term debt, short-term borrowings and U.S. dollar denominated Partnership Contribution Payable, as well as the unwinding of the discount on decommissioning liabilities. Finance

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

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costs increased $17 million in the third quarter ($22 million on a year-to-date basis) compared with 2014 due to higher interest incurred on our U.S. dollar denominated debt due to weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar. On a year-to-date basis, the increase was partially offset by lower interest incurred on the Partnership Contribution Payable which was repaid in the first quarter of 2014.

 

The weighted average interest rate on outstanding debt, excluding the U.S. dollar denominated Partnership Contribution Payable, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 was 5.3 percent (2014 — 5.0 percent).

 

Foreign Exchange

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unrealized Foreign Exchange (Gain) Loss

 

457

 

259

 

878

 

221

 

Realized Foreign Exchange (Gain) Loss

 

(40

)

4

 

(46

)

2

 

 

 

417

 

263

 

832

 

223

 

 

The majority of unrealized foreign exchange gains and losses stem from translation of our U.S. dollar denominated debt. The Canadian dollar weakened by seven percent relative to the U.S. dollar from June 30, 2015 to September 30, 2015 resulting in an unrealized loss in the third quarter; the Canadian dollar weakened by 13 percent relative to the U.S. dollar from December 31, 2014 to September 30, 2015 resulting in a year-to-date unrealized loss of $878 million.

 

DD&A

 

Corporate and Eliminations DD&A includes provisions in respect of corporate assets, such as computer equipment, leasehold improvements and office furniture. Costs associated with corporate assets are depreciated on a straight-line basis over the estimated service life of the assets, which range from three to 25 years. The service lives of these assets are reviewed on an annual basis. DD&A in the third quarter of 2015 was $20 million (2014 — $20 million) and $62 million on a year-to-date basis (2014 — $61 million).

 

Income Tax

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current Tax

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Canada

 

451

 

49

 

686

 

82

 

United States

 

(4

)

(14

)

(10

)

21

 

Total Current Tax Expense (Recovery)

 

447

 

35

 

676

 

103

 

Deferred Tax Expense (Recovery)

 

(228

)

144

 

(516

)

396

 

 

 

219

 

179

 

160

 

499

 

 

The following table reconciles income taxes calculated at the Canadian statutory rate with the recorded income taxes:

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Earnings Before Income Tax

 

1,419

 

1,715

 

Canadian Statutory Rate

 

26.1

%

25.2

%

Expected Income Tax

 

370

 

431

 

Effect of Taxes Resulting From:

 

 

 

 

 

Foreign Tax Rate Differential

 

(15

)

18

 

Non-Deductible Stock-Based Compensation

 

7

 

15

 

Non-Taxable Capital Losses

 

113

 

33

 

Unrecognized Capital Losses Arising from Unrealized Foreign Exchange

 

113

 

33

 

Adjustments Arising From Prior Year Tax Filings

 

(13

)

 

Recognition of Capital Losses

 

(149

)

(6

)

Recognition of U.S. Tax Basis

 

(385

)

 

Change in Statutory Rate

 

158

 

 

Other

 

(39

)

(25

)

Total Tax

 

160

 

499

 

Effective Tax Rate

 

11.3

%

29.1

%

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

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Tax interpretations, regulations and legislation in the various jurisdictions in which Cenovus and its subsidiaries operate are subject to change. We believe that our provision for income taxes is adequate. There are usually a number of tax matters under review and as a result income taxes are subject to measurement uncertainty. The timing of the recognition of income and deductions for the purpose of current tax expense is determined by relevant tax legislation.

 

On a year-to-date basis, current tax increased due to the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business, and from accelerating the timing of income tax payable as a result of certain corporate restructuring transactions and the decision to maximize availability of future income tax deductions in response to the Alberta corporate income tax rate increasing from 10 percent to 12 percent on July 1, 2015. Of the $447 million of current tax, $391 million is attributed to the sale of the royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business.

 

In the third quarter of 2015, we recorded a deferred tax recovery of $385 million arising from an adjustment to the tax basis of our refining assets. The increase in tax basis was a result of our partner recognizing a taxable gain on its interest in WRB Refining LP (“WRB”) which, due to an election filed with the U.S. tax authorities, was added to the tax basis of WRB’s assets.

 

For the nine months ended September 30, 2015, the deferred tax recovery was also due to the reversal of timing differences associated with the recognition of partnership income, unrealized risk management losses and current year operating losses. This was partially offset by a one-time charge of approximately $158 million from the revaluation of the deferred tax liability due to the increase in the Alberta corporate income tax rate.

 

Our effective tax rate is a function of the relationship between total tax expense and the amount of earnings before income taxes. The effective tax rate differs from the statutory tax rate as it reflects higher U.S. tax rates, permanent differences, adjustments for changes in tax rates and other tax legislation, variations in the estimate of reserves and differences between the provision and the actual amounts subsequently reported on the tax returns.

 

Our effective tax rate for 2015 differs from the statutory rate due to an increase in tax basis of our U.S. assets, and the recognition of the benefit of capital losses, partially offset by non-deductible foreign exchange losses and a one-time deferred tax expense arising from the Alberta corporate income tax rate increase.

 

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ millions)

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Cash From (Used In)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating Activities

 

542

 

1,092

 

1,152

 

2,658

 

Investing Activities

 

2,424

 

(463

)

1,357

 

(3,552

)

Net Cash Provided (Used) Before Financing Activities

 

2,966

 

629

 

2,509

 

(894

)

Financing Activities

 

(134

)

(232

)

1,032

 

(457

)

Foreign Exchange Gain (Loss) on Cash and Cash Equivalents Held in Foreign Currency

 

(21

)

(1

)

(23

)

55

 

Increase (Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents

 

2,811

 

396

 

3,518

 

(1,296

)

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

Cash and Cash Equivalents

 

4,401

 

883

 

 

Operating Activities

 

Cash from operating activities was $550 million and $1,506 million lower for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, respectively, mainly due to lower Cash Flow, as discussed in the Financial Results section of this MD&A. Excluding risk management assets and liabilities, working capital was $4,713 million at September 30, 2015 compared with $772 million at December 31, 2014. The increase in working capital was primarily due to the proceeds received from the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business in July of 2015 and the common share issuance in the first quarter of 2015.

 

We anticipate that we will continue to meet our payment obligations as they come due.

 

Investing Activities

 

In the third quarter of 2015, cash from investing activities was $2,424 million, a $2,887 million increase from 2014 due to the divestiture of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business for proceeds of approximately $2.9 billion, net of current tax, and reduced capital expenditures in response to the low commodity price environment.

 

On a year-to-date basis, cash from investing activities was $1,357 million, a $4,909 million increase from 2014, primarily due to the divestiture of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business. Additionally, we spent

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

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US$1.4 billion to repay the Partnership Contribution Payable in March 2014, which contributed to the overall increase in cash from investing activities from 2014 to 2015.

 

Financing Activities

 

Cash used in financing activities decreased $98 million for the three months ended September 30, 2015, primarily due to the 40 percent reduction in our third quarter dividend and a net repayment of short-term borrowings in 2014.

 

Cash provided by financing activities increased $1,489 million on a year-to-date basis, primarily due to net proceeds from our common share issuance and cash savings from our DRIP, partially offset by a net repayment of short-term borrowings. For the nine months ended September 30, 2015, we had a net repayment of short-term borrowings compared with a net issuance in 2014. We issued 67.5 million common shares at a price of $22.25 per share for net proceeds of $1.4 billion in the first quarter of 2015. We plan to use the net proceeds to partially fund our capital expenditure program for 2015 and for general corporate purposes.

 

In the third quarter, we paid cash dividends of $0.16 per share or $133 million (2014 — $0.2662 per share or $201 million). On a year-to-date basis, we paid dividends of $0.6924 per share or $578 million of which $396 million was paid in cash with the remainder reinvested in common shares issued from treasury through our DRIP (2014 — $0.7986 per share or $604 million paid in cash). The declaration of dividends is at the sole discretion of the Board and is considered quarterly. While the DRIP continues to be in place, the discount has been discontinued as of July 2015.

 

Our long-term debt at September 30, 2015 was $6,312 million (December 31, 2014 — $5,458 million) with no principal payments due until October 2019 (US$1.3 billion). The principal amount of long-term debt outstanding in U.S. dollars has remained unchanged since August 2012. The $854 million increase in long-term debt is due to foreign exchange.

 

As at September 30, 2015, we were in compliance with all of the terms of our debt agreements.

 

Available Sources of Liquidity

 

We expect cash flow from our crude oil, natural gas and refining operations to fund a portion of our cash requirements over the next decade. Any potential shortfalls may be required to be funded through prudent use of our balance sheet capacity, management of our asset portfolio and other corporate and financial opportunities that may be available to us.

 

The following sources of liquidity are available at September 30, 2015:

 

($ millions)

 

Amount

 

Term

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and Cash Equivalents

 

4,401

 

Not applicable

 

Committed Credit Facility

 

1,000

 

November 2017

 

Committed Credit Facility

 

3,000

 

November 2019

 

U.S. Base Shelf Prospectus (1)

 

US$2,000

 

July 2016

 

Canadian Base Shelf Prospectus (1)

 

1,500

 

July 2016

 

 


(1)         Availability is subject to market conditions.

 

Committed Credit Facility

 

In 2015, Cenovus renegotiated its existing $3.0 billion committed credit facility, extending the maturity date to November 30, 2019. In addition, a new $1.0 billion tranche was established under the same facility, maturing on November 30, 2017. As at September 30, 2015, we had $4.0 billion available on our committed credit facility.

 

We have a commercial paper program which, together with our committed credit facility, is used to manage our short-term cash requirements. We reserve undrawn capacity under our committed credit facility for amounts of outstanding commercial paper. As of September 30, 2015, there was no commercial paper outstanding.

 

U.S. and Canadian Base Shelf Prospectuses

 

As at September 30, 2015, no notes were issued under our U.S. or Canadian base shelf prospectuses.

 

Financial Metrics

 

We monitor our capital structure and financing requirements using, among other things, non-GAAP financial metrics consisting of Debt to Capitalization and Debt to Adjusted EBITDA. We define our non-GAAP measure of Debt as short-term borrowings and the current and long-term portions of long-term debt. We define Capitalization as Debt plus Shareholders’ Equity. We define Adjusted EBITDA as earnings before finance costs, interest income, income tax expense, DD&A, goodwill and asset impairments, unrealized gains (losses) on risk management, foreign exchange gains (losses), gains (losses) on divestiture of assets and other income (loss), net, calculated on a trailing twelve-month basis. These metrics are used to steward our overall debt position and as measures of our overall financial strength.

 

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Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

44



 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

As at

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt to Capitalization

 

33

%

35

%

Net Debt to Capitalization (1) (2)

 

13

%

31

%

Debt to Adjusted EBITDA (times)

 

2.7x

 

1.4x

 

Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA (times) (1)

 

0.8x

 

1.2x

 

 


(1)         Net Debt is defined as Debt net of cash and cash equivalents.

(2)         Net Debt to Capitalization is defined as Net Debt divided by Net Debt plus Shareholders’ Equity.

 

We continue to have long-term targets for a Debt to Capitalization ratio of between 30 percent to 40 percent and a Debt to Adjusted EBITDA of between 1.0 times to 2.0 times. At September 30, 2015, our Debt to Capitalization metric was within our target range. Although our Debt to Adjusted EBITDA ratio was above our target of 2.0 times as at September 30, 2015, we believe it will return to within our target range.

 

Debt to Capitalization remained consistent as higher debt balances from the weakening of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar were offset by the increase in Shareholders’ Equity as a result of the common share issuance. The increase in Debt to Adjusted EBITDA was due to higher debt balances as a result of foreign exchange and lower Adjusted EBITDA primarily due to a decline in Operating Cash Flow as a result of low commodity prices.

 

GRAPHIC

GRAPHIC

 

As at September 30, 2015, we held $4.4 billion in cash and cash equivalents. Net Debt to Capitalization and Net Debt to Adjusted EBIDTA were 13 percent and 0.8 times, respectively (December 31, 2014 — 31 percent and 1.2 times, respectively).

 

GRAPHIC

GRAPHIC

 

Additional information regarding our financial metrics and capital structure can be found in the notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

Outstanding Share Data and Stock-Based Compensation Plans

 

Cenovus is authorized to issue an unlimited number of common shares, and first and second preferred shares not exceeding, in aggregate, 20 percent of the number of issued and outstanding common shares. At September 30, 2015, no preferred shares were outstanding. Cenovus issued 76.2 million common shares during the nine months ended September 30, 2015, including 8.7 million shares issued under the DRIP and 67.5 million shares issued related to the common share issuance in the first quarter of 2015.

 

The DRIP permits shareholders to reinvest their dividends into additional common shares. At the discretion of Cenovus, the additional common shares may be issued from treasury or purchased on the market. In the first half of 2015, participants in our DRIP were issued shares from treasury at a three percent discount to the average market price, as defined in the DRIP; this resulted in cash savings of $177 million. For the third quarter dividend, common shares acquired by the DRIP were purchased on the open market. While the DRIP continues to be in place, the discount has been discontinued as of July 2015. Refer to cenovus.com for more details.

 

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Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

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As part of our long-term incentive program, Cenovus has an employee Stock Option Plan that provides employees with the opportunity to exercise an option to purchase a common share of Cenovus. In addition to our Stock Option Plan, Cenovus has a Performance Share Unit (“PSU”) Plan, a Restricted Share Unit (“RSU”) Plan and two Deferred Share Unit Plans.

 

PSUs and RSUs are whole share units which entitle the holder to receive upon vesting either a Cenovus common share or a cash payment equal to the value of a Cenovus common share. Refer to Note 27 of the Consolidated Financial Statements and Note 18 of our interim Consolidated Financial Statements for more details on our Stock Option Plan and our PSU, RSU and DSU Plans.

 

As at September 30, 2015

 

Units
Outstanding
(thousands)

 

Units
Exercisable
(thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Common Shares

 

833,290

 

N/A

 

Stock Options

 

46,950

 

27,462

 

Other Stock-Based Compensation Plans

 

11,368

 

1,459

 

 

Contractual Obligations and Commitments

 

We have entered into various commitments in the normal course of operations primarily related to demand charges on firm transportation agreements. In addition, we have commitments related to our risk management program and an obligation to fund our defined benefit pension and other post-employment benefit plans. For further information, see the notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

Legal Proceedings

 

We are involved in a limited number of legal claims associated with the normal course of operations and we believe we have made adequate provisions for such claims. There are no individually or collectively significant claims.

 

RISK MANAGEMENT

 

For a full understanding of the risks that impact Cenovus, the following discussion should be read in conjunction with the Risk Management section of our 2014 annual MD&A. A description of the risk factors and uncertainties affecting Cenovus can be found in the Advisory and a full discussion of the material risk factors affecting Cenovus can be found in our AIF for the year ended December 31, 2014.

 

Cenovus is exposed to a number of risks through the pursuit of our strategic objectives. Some of these risks impact the oil and gas industry as a whole and others are unique to our operations. Actively managing these risks improves our ability to effectively execute our business strategy. We continue to be exposed to the risks identified in our 2014 annual MD&A in addition to jurisdictional risk.

 

The following provides an update on our commodity price risk management and jurisdictional risk.

 

Commodity Price Risk

 

Fluctuations in commodity prices create volatility in our financial performance. Commodity prices are impacted by a number of factors including global and regional supply and demand, transportation constraints, weather conditions and availability of alternative fuels, all of which are beyond our control and can result in a high degree of price volatility.

 

We manage our commodity price exposure through a combination of activities including business integration, financial hedges and physical contracts. For further details of our financial instruments, including classification, assumptions made in the calculation of fair value and additional discussion on exposure of risks and the management of those risks, see Note 20 to the interim Consolidated Financial Statements. The financial impact is summarized below:

 

Impact of Financial Risk Management Activities

 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

($ millions)

 

Realized

 

Unrealized

 

Total

 

Realized

 

Unrealized

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil

 

(195

)

(141

)

(336

)

9

 

(159

)

(150

)

Natural Gas

 

(15

)

15

 

 

(5

)

 

(5

)

Refining

 

(14

)

(7

)

(21

)

(4

)

(7

)

(11

)

Power

 

4

 

6

 

10

 

 

1

 

1

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(220

)

(127

)

(347

)

 

(165

)

(165

)

Income Tax Expense (Recovery)

 

59

 

34

 

93

 

 

43

 

43

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management, After Tax

 

(161

)

(93

)

(254

)

 

(122

)

(122

)

 

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Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

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Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

($ millions)

 

Realized

 

Unrealized

 

Total

 

Realized

 

Unrealized

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil

 

(355

)

120

 

(235

)

95

 

(173

)

(78

)

Natural Gas

 

(43

)

41

 

(2

)

(4

)

(2

)

(6

)

Refining

 

(26

)

5

 

(21

)

(8

)

(5

)

(13

)

Power

 

7

 

3

 

10

 

2

 

 

2

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(417

)

169

 

(248

)

85

 

(180

)

(95

)

Income Tax Expense (Recovery)

 

112

 

(48

)

64

 

(21

)

47

 

26

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management, After Tax

 

(305

)

121

 

(184

)

64

 

(133

)

(69

)

 

In the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, management of commodity price risk resulted in realized gains on crude oil and natural gas financial instruments, consistent with our contract prices exceeding the average benchmark price. In the third quarter, we recorded unrealized gains on our crude oil financial instruments as a result of changes in market prices. On a year-to-date basis, we recorded unrealized losses on our crude oil and natural gas financial instruments primarily due to the realization of settled positions partially offset by changes in market prices.

 

Jurisdictional Risk

 

The Alberta NDP provincial government is proceeding with plans to study, and potentially modify, Alberta’s royalty structure and increase carbon levies. A change in the Alberta provincial royalty structure could have a significant impact on Cenovus’s future financial results, cost of capital and capital investment plans. We are cautiously awaiting the results of the planned royalty review before finalizing plans to begin reinvesting capital in previously deferred oil sands expansion projects.

 

The newly elected Federal Liberal government may implement new environmental legislation and regulatory oversight, which may have a significant impact on the oil and gas industry. Potential pipeline opposition may result in wider differentials between Canadian heavy blends and North American benchmarks.

 

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING JUDGMENTS, ESTIMATES AND ACCOUNTING POLICIES

 

For more details regarding our critical accounting judgments, estimates and accounting policies the following should be read in conjunction with our 2014 annual MD&A.

 

Management is required to make judgments, estimates and assumptions in the application of accounting policies that could have a significant impact on our financial results. Actual results may differ from those estimates and those differences may be material. The estimates and assumptions used are subject to updates based on experience and the application of new information. Our critical accounting policies and estimates are reviewed annually by the Audit Committee of the Board. Further details on the basis of preparation and our significant accounting policies can be found in the notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and annual MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2014.

 

Critical Judgments in Applying Accounting Policies

 

Critical judgments are those judgments made by Management in the process of applying accounting policies that have the most significant effect on the amounts recorded in our annual and interim Consolidated Financial Statements. There have been no changes to our critical judgments used in applying accounting policies during the nine months ended September 30, 2015. Further information can be found in the notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and annual MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2014.

 

Key Sources of Estimation Uncertainty

 

Critical accounting estimates are those estimates that require Management to make particularly subjective or complex judgments about matters that are inherently uncertain. Estimates and underlying assumptions are reviewed on an ongoing basis and any revisions to accounting estimates are recorded in the period in which the estimates are revised. There have been no changes to our key sources of estimation uncertainty during the nine months ended September 30, 2015. Further information can be found in the notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements and annual MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2014.

 

Changes in Accounting Policies

 

There were no new or amended accounting standards or interpretations adopted during the nine months ended September 30, 2015.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

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Future Accounting Pronouncements

 

Revenue Recognition

 

On May 28, 2014, the IASB issued IFRS 15, “Revenue From Contracts With Customers” (“IFRS 15”) replacing International Accounting Standard 11, “Construction Contracts”, International Accounting Standard 18, “Revenue” and several revenue-related interpretations. IFRS 15 establishes a single revenue recognition framework that applies to contracts with customers. The standard requires an entity to recognize revenue to reflect the transfer of goods and services for the amount it expects to receive, when control is transferred to the purchaser. Disclosure requirements have also been expanded.

 

On September 11, 2015, the IASB published an amendment to IFRS 15, deferring the effective date of the standard by one year to annual periods beginning on or after January 1, 2018. Early adoption is still permitted. The standard may be applied retrospectively or using a modified retrospective approach. We are currently evaluating the impact of adopting IFRS 15 on the Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

Additional Standards

 

A description of additional standards and interpretations that will be adopted in future periods can be found in the notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended December 31, 2014.

 

CONTROL ENVIRONMENT

 

There have been no changes to internal control over financial reporting (“ICFR”) in the three months ended September 30, 2015 that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, ICFR.

 

Internal control systems, no matter how well designed, have inherent limitations. Therefore, even those systems determined to be effective can provide only reasonable assurance with respect to financial statement preparation and presentation. Also, projections of any evaluation of effectiveness to future periods are subject to the risk that controls may become inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate.

 

TRANSPARENCY AND CORPORATE RESPONSIBILITY

 

We are committed to operating in a responsible manner and to integrating our corporate responsibility principles into the way we conduct our business. We recognize the importance of reporting to stakeholders in a transparent and accountable manner. We disclose not only the information we are required to disclose by legislation or regulatory authorities, but also information that more broadly describes our activities, policies, opportunities and risks.

 

Our Corporate Responsibility (“CR”) policy continues to drive our commitments, our CR approach and reporting, and enables alignment with our business objectives and processes. Our CR reporting activities are guided by this policy and focus on improving performance by continuing to track, measure and monitor our CR performance indicators. Our CR policy and CR report are available on our website at cenovus.com.

 

In September 2015, our CR practices were recognized internationally with the inclusion of Cenovus to the Dow Jones Sustainability World Index for the fourth consecutive year. We were also named to the Dow Jones Sustainability North America Index for the sixth consecutive year.

 

In June 2015, Cenovus was named one of the Top 50 Socially Responsible Corporations in Canada by Maclean’s magazine and Sustainalytics for the fourth year in a row and for the fifth consecutive year by Corporate Knights magazine as one of the 2015 Best 50 Corporate Citizens in Canada. We were also included in the Euronext Vigeo World 120 Index for the second year. This index recognizes the top 120 companies globally for their high degree of control of corporate responsibility risk and contributions to sustainable development.

 

In February 2015, Cenovus was named the top Canadian company for Best Sustainability Practice at the Investor Relations Magazine Awards for the third consecutive year. In January 2015, Cenovus was included in the RobecoSAM Sustainability Yearbook for the second time in a row. RobecoSAM is a Swiss-based specialist in international sustainability investment that publishes the Dow Jones Sustainability Index (“DJSI”). Cenovus is also part of the FTSE4Good Index series and the MSCI Global Sustainability Index series. These internationally recognized benchmarks are designed to measure the performance of companies demonstrating strong environmental, social and governance practices.

 

These external recognitions of our commitment to corporate responsibility reaffirm Cenovus’s efforts to balance economic, governance, social and environmental performance.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

48



 

OUTLOOK

 

We expect the remainder of 2015 to continue to be a challenging time for our industry. We anticipate prices will remain low in the fourth quarter of 2015 and into 2016. We revised our 2015 budget in January, reducing our capital spending plans and introducing other initiatives intended to conserve cash and maintain the strength of our balance sheet. We have strong producing assets, an integrated portfolio, a solid balance sheet and flexible capital plans. We continue to pursue our long-term strategy at a pace we believe is in line with the current commodity price environment.

 

The following outlook commentary is focused on the next fifteen months.

 

Commodity Prices Underlying our Financial Results

 

Our crude oil pricing outlook is influenced by the following:

 

·      We expect the general outlook for crude oil prices will be tied primarily to the supply response to the current price environment and the pace of growth of the global economy. Overall, we expect crude oil price volatility in the fourth quarter of 2015 and a modest price improvement in 2016. Slower global supply growth, combined with annual increases in demand growth, should support prices for the next fifteen months, constrained by the need to draw down surplus crude oil inventories and anticipated re-entry of Iranian crude oil into markets. We continue to anticipate slower supply growth from North American producers as a result of the significant reductions in capital spending. The low crude oil price environment also serves to help boost global economic momentum. We believe there is a risk that OPEC will attempt to gain market share by increasing rig counts or increasing OPEC production, which will depress crude oil prices, and that economic uncertainty in China may slow emerging market demand;

 

GRAPHIC

 

·      We expect the Brent-WTI differential to remain near current levels primarily because of high international crude oil storage levels and slowing U.S. supply growth. Overall, the differential will likely be set by transportation costs. The Brent-WTI differential is expected to remain volatile due to mismatches in demand, global imports and refinery turnarounds; and

 

·      We also expect that the WTI-WCS differential will widen from currently narrow levels due to expected Canadian supply growth and declining U.S. light tight oil supply. However, substantially wider differentials are unlikely due to excess rail capacity and further expansions on existing pipeline systems.

 

GRAPHIC

GRAPHIC

 

 


(1)    Refer to the foreign exchange rate sensitivities found within our current guidance available at cenovus.com.

 

Refining crack spreads in 2016, as forecasted at September 30, 2015, are expected to strengthen around the second quarter when refineries conduct their seasonal turnaround activities.

 

Natural gas production is anticipated to increase in the fourth quarter of 2015 as coal-to-gas substitution in the power sector is expected to continue to be the swing demand to balance the market. As a result, natural gas prices are expected to remain weak for the remainder of 2015 and through the first half of 2016.

 

The average foreign exchange forward price expected over the next fifteen months is US$0.746/C$. Canadian federal election results, commodity prices and the timing of a U.S. interest rate increase are expected to influence future foreign exchange fluctuations. We expect that the Canadian dollar, compared with the U.S. dollar, will remain relatively weak in the near term due to Canadian political and economic uncertainty, and then gradually strengthen as 2016 progresses and commodity prices improve. Overall, a weak Canadian dollar should have a positive impact on our revenues and Operating Cash Flow.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

49



 

Our exposure to the light/heavy price differentials is composed of both a global light/heavy component as well as Canadian congestion. While we expect to see volatility in crude oil prices, we mitigate our exposure to light/heavy price differentials through the following [update graph if/when guidance changes]:

 

·      Integration — having heavy oil refining capacity able to process Canadian heavy oil. From a value perspective, our refining business is able to capture value from both the WTI-WCS differential for Canadian crude oil and the Brent-WTI differential from the sale of refined products;

·      Financial hedge transactions — protecting our upstream crude oil prices from downside risk by entering into financial transactions that fix the WTI-WCS differential;

·      Marketing arrangements — protecting our upstream crude oil prices by entering into physical supply transactions with fixed price components directly with refiners; and

·      Transportation commitments and arrangements — supporting transportation projects that move crude oil from our production areas to consuming markets and also to tidewater markets.           

 

GRAPHIC

 


(1)    Expected gross production capacity.

 

Key Priorities

 

Maintain Financial Resilience

 

We have strong producing assets, an integrated portfolio and a solid balance sheet which should position us well to face the challenges in the remainder of 2015 and into 2016. Together, our share issuance in the first quarter of 2015 and the sale of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business in July 2015 raised cash proceeds of approximately $4.7 billion. These transactions strengthen our balance sheet and provide us with greater financial resilience during these uncertain times to consider investing in opportunities that we believe have strong future returns.

 

With an additional $2.9 billion of cash on hand after the divestiture of our royalty interest and mineral fee title lands business, we have started to reinvest capital into expansion projects that were previously deferred to 2016.

 

Our capital planning process remains flexible. We have adopted a more moderate and staged approach to future oil sands expansions. We will consider expanding existing projects and developing emerging opportunities only when we believe we will maximize cost savings and capital efficiencies to generate the greatest potential return for shareholders. We will continue to assess our spending plans on a regular basis while closely monitoring crude oil prices in the fourth quarter of 2015 and into 2016.

 

Attack Cost Structures

 

We continue to challenge cost structures across the organization to maintain our track record of cost efficiency. We must ensure that, over the long term, we maintain an efficient and sustainable cost structure and maximize the strengths of our functional business model. In the nine months ended September 30, 2015, we captured significant savings from capital, operating and general and administrative cost reductions. As a result, we anticipate savings of approximately $400 million for the full year. As previously announced, in light of sustained low commodity price environment and our plan to moderate our pace of growth, we made substantial reductions to our workforce in 2015.

 

Enable Market Access

 

We continue to focus on near- and mid-term strategies to broaden market access for our crude oil production, as illustrated by our purchase of a crude-by-rail terminal and securing a license to export crude oil from the U.S. Gulf Coast. We continue to support proposed new pipeline projects that would connect us to new markets in the U.S. and globally, moving 10 percent to 20 percent of our crude oil production to market by rail, assessing options to maximize the value of our oil by offering a wider range of products, including existing dilbit blends, under-blended bitumen or dry bitumen, and potential expansions of our refining capacity as our production grows.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

50



 

Other Key Challenges

 

The Alberta NDP provincial government is proceeding with plans to study, and potentially modify, Alberta’s royalty structure and increase carbon levies. A change in the Alberta provincial royalty structure could have a significant impact on Cenovus’s future financial results, cost of capital and capital investment plans.

 

The newly elected Federal Liberal government may implement new environmental legislation and regulatory oversight, which may have a significant impact on the oil and gas industry. Potential pipeline opposition may result in wider differentials between Canadian heavy blends and North American benchmarks.

 

We will need to effectively manage our business to support our development plans, including securing timely regulatory and partner approvals, complying with environmental regulations and managing competitive pressures within our industry. Additional details regarding the impact of these factors on our financial results are discussed in the Risk Management section of this MD&A.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Management’s Discussion and Analysis

 

51



 

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF EARNINGS AND COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (unaudited)

For the period ended September 30,

($ millions, except per share amounts)

 

 

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

Notes

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

 

 

3,308

 

5,094

 

10,252

 

15,769

 

Less: Royalties

 

 

 

35

 

124

 

112

 

365

 

 

 

 

 

3,273

 

4,970

 

10,140

 

15,404

 

Expenses

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Purchased Product

 

 

 

1,926

 

2,721

 

5,566

 

8,180

 

Transportation and Blending

 

 

 

483

 

592

 

1,509

 

1,900

 

Operating

 

 

 

479

 

490

 

1,385

 

1,580

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

 

 

5

 

12

 

16

 

36

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

20

 

(347

)

(165

)

(248

)

(95

)

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

 

10

 

473

 

475

 

1,455

 

1,415

 

Exploration Expense

 

9

 

 

 

21

 

1

 

General and Administrative

 

 

 

75

 

80

 

220

 

291

 

Finance Costs

 

4

 

122

 

105

 

359

 

337

 

Interest Income

 

 

 

(6

)

(4

)

(20

)

(31

)

Foreign Exchange (Gain) Loss, Net

 

5

 

417

 

263

 

832

 

223

 

Research Costs

 

 

 

6

 

3

 

20

 

9

 

(Gain) Loss on Divestiture of Assets

 

12

 

(2,379

)

(137

)

(2,395

)

(157

)

Other (Income) Loss, Net

 

 

 

(1

)

2

 

1

 

 

Earnings Before Income Tax

 

 

 

2,020

 

533

 

1,419

 

1,715

 

Income Tax Expense

 

6

 

219

 

179

 

160

 

499

 

Net Earnings

 

 

 

1,801

 

354

 

1,259

 

1,216

 

Other Comprehensive Income (Loss), Net of Tax

 

16

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Items That Will Not be Reclassified to Profit or Loss:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Actuarial Gain (Loss) Relating to Pension and Other Post Retirement Benefits

 

 

 

(4

)

(6

)

5

 

(11

)

Items That May be Reclassified to Profit or Loss:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foreign Currency Translation Adjustment

 

 

 

245

 

149

 

463

 

108

 

Total Other Comprehensive Income, Net of Tax

 

 

 

241

 

143

 

468

 

97

 

Comprehensive Income

 

 

 

2,042

 

497

 

1,727

 

1,313

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Earnings Per Common Share

 

7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic

 

 

 

$

2.16

 

$

0.47

 

$

1.55

 

$

1.61

 

Diluted

 

 

 

$

2.16

 

$

0.47

 

$

1.55

 

$

1.60

 

 

See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (unaudited).

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Consolidated Financial Statements

 

52



 

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (unaudited)

As at

($ millions)

 

 

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

 

 

Notes

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current Assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and Cash Equivalents

 

 

 

4,401

 

883

 

Accounts Receivable and Accrued Revenues

 

 

 

1,113

 

1,582

 

Income Tax Receivable

 

 

 

 

28

 

Inventories

 

8

 

1,132

 

1,224

 

Risk Management

 

20,21

 

294

 

478

 

Current Assets

 

 

 

6,940

 

4,195

 

Exploration and Evaluation Assets

 

1,9

 

1,725

 

1,625

 

Property, Plant and Equipment, Net

 

1,10

 

17,732

 

18,563

 

Risk Management

 

20,21

 

15

 

 

Other Assets

 

 

 

71

 

70

 

Goodwill

 

1

 

242

 

242

 

Total Assets

 

 

 

26,725

 

24,695

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accounts Payable and Accrued Liabilities

 

 

 

1,799

 

2,588

 

Income Tax Payable

 

 

 

134

 

357

 

Risk Management

 

20,21

 

7

 

12

 

Current Liabilities

 

 

 

1,940

 

2,957

 

Long-Term Debt

 

13

 

6,312

 

5,458

 

Risk Management

 

20,21

 

5

 

4

 

Decommissioning Liabilities

 

14

 

2,368

 

2,616

 

Other Liabilities

 

 

 

165

 

172

 

Deferred Income Taxes

 

 

 

2,922

 

3,302

 

Total Liabilities

 

 

 

13,712

 

14,509

 

Shareholders’ Equity

 

 

 

13,013

 

10,186

 

Total Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity

 

 

 

26,725

 

24,695

 

 

See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (unaudited).

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Consolidated Financial Statements

 

53



 

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY (unaudited)

($ millions)

 

 

 

Share
Capital

 

Paid in
Surplus

 

Retained
Earnings

 

AOCI (1)

 

Total

 

 

 

(Note 15)

 

 

 

 

 

(Note 16)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Balance as at December 31, 2013

 

3,857

 

4,219

 

1,660

 

210

 

9,946

 

Net Earnings

 

 

 

1,216

 

 

1,216

 

Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)

 

 

 

 

97

 

97

 

Total Comprehensive Income (Loss)

 

 

 

1,216

 

97

 

1,313

 

Common Shares Issued Under Stock Option Plans

 

32

 

 

 

 

32

 

Stock-Based Compensation Expense

 

 

56

 

 

 

56

 

Dividends on Common Shares

 

 

 

(604

)

 

(604

)

Balance as at September 30, 2014

 

3,889

 

4,275

 

2,272

 

307

 

10,743

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Balance as at December 31, 2014

 

3,889

 

4,291

 

1,599

 

407

 

10,186

 

Net Earnings

 

 

 

1,259

 

 

1,259

 

Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)

 

 

 

 

468

 

468

 

Total Comprehensive Income (Loss)

 

 

 

1,259

 

468

 

1,727

 

Common Shares Issued for Cash

 

1,463

 

 

 

 

1,463

 

Common Shares Issued Pursuant to Dividend Reinvestment Plan

 

182

 

 

 

 

182

 

Common Shares Issued Under Stock Option Plans

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stock-Based Compensation Expense

 

 

33

 

 

 

33

 

Dividends on Common Shares

 

 

 

(578

)

 

(578

)

Balance as at September 30, 2015

 

5,534

 

4,324

 

2,280

 

875

 

13,013

 

 


(1) Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss).

 

See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (unaudited).

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Consolidated Financial Statements

 

54



 

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (unaudited)

For the period ended September 30,

($ millions)

 

 

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

Notes

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating Activities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Earnings

 

 

 

1,801

 

354

 

1,259

 

1,216

 

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

 

10

 

473

 

475

 

1,455

 

1,415

 

Exploration Expense

 

 

 

 

 

21

 

1

 

Deferred Income Taxes

 

6

 

(228

)

144

 

(516

)

396

 

Unrealized (Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

20

 

(127

)

(165

)

169

 

(180

)

Unrealized Foreign Exchange (Gain) Loss

 

5

 

457

 

259

 

878

 

221

 

(Gain) Loss on Divestiture of Assets

 

12

 

(2,379

)

(137

)

(2,395

)

(157

)

Current Tax on Divestiture of Assets

 

12

 

391

 

 

391

 

 

Unwinding of Discount on Decommissioning Liabilities

 

4,14

 

32

 

30

 

94

 

90

 

Other

 

 

 

24

 

25

 

60

 

76

 

 

 

 

 

444

 

985

 

1,416

 

3,078

 

Net Change in Other Assets and Liabilities

 

 

 

(13

)

(28

)

(81

)

(97

)

Net Change in Non-Cash Working Capital

 

 

 

111

 

135

 

(183

)

(323

)

Cash From Operating Activities

 

 

 

542

 

1,092

 

1,152

 

2,658

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investing Activities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Capital Expenditures — Exploration and Evaluation Assets

 

9

 

(23

)

(55

)

(117

)

(198

)

Capital Expenditures — Property, Plant and Equipment

 

10

 

(378

)

(695

)

(1,170

)

(2,073

)

Acquisition

 

11

 

(80

)

 

(80

)

 

Proceeds From Divestiture of Assets

 

12

 

3,329

 

235

 

3,345

 

275

 

Current Tax on Divestiture of Assets

 

12

 

(391

)

 

(391

)

 

Net Change in Investments and Other

 

 

 

 

(2

)

 

(1,581

)

Net Change in Non-Cash Working Capital

 

 

 

(33

)

54

 

(230

)

25

 

Cash From (Used in) Investing Activities

 

 

 

2,424

 

(463

)

1,357

 

(3,552

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Cash Provided (Used) Before Financing Activities

 

 

 

2,966

 

629

 

2,509

 

(894

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financing Activities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Issuance (Repayment) of Short-Term Borrowings

 

 

 

 

(32

)

(19

)

121

 

Common Shares Issued, Net of Issuance Costs

 

15

 

 

 

1,449

 

 

Common Shares Issued Under Stock Option Plans

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

28

 

Dividends Paid on Common Shares

 

7

 

(133

)

(201

)

(396

)

(604

)

Other

 

 

 

(1

)

(1

)

(2

)

(2

)

Cash From (Used in) Financing Activities

 

 

 

(134

)

(232

)

1,032

 

(457

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foreign Exchange Gain (Loss) on Cash and Cash Equivalents Held in Foreign Currency

 

 

 

(21

)

(1

)

(23

)

55

 

Increase (Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents

 

 

 

2,811

 

396

 

3,518

 

(1,296

)

Cash and Cash Equivalents, Beginning of Period

 

 

 

1,590

 

760

 

883

 

2,452

 

Cash and Cash Equivalents, End of Period

 

 

 

4,401

 

1,156

 

4,401

 

1,156

 

 

See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (unaudited).

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Consolidated Financial Statements

 

55



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

1. DESCRIPTION OF BUSINESS AND SEGMENTED DISCLOSURES

 

Cenovus Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries, (together “Cenovus” or the “Company”) are in the business of the development, production and marketing of crude oil, natural gas liquids (“NGLs”) and natural gas in Canada with refining operations in the United States (“U.S.”).

 

Cenovus is incorporated under the Canada Business Corporations Act and its shares are listed on the Toronto (“TSX”) and New York (“NYSE”) stock exchanges. The executive and registered office is located at 2600, 500 Centre Street S.E., Calgary, Alberta, Canada, T2G 1A6. Information on the Company’s basis of preparation for these interim Consolidated Financial Statements is found in Note 2.

 

Management has determined the operating segments based on information regularly reviewed for the purposes of decision making, allocating resources and assessing operational performance by Cenovus’s chief operating decision makers. The Company evaluates the financial performance of its operating segments primarily based on operating cash flow. The Company’s reportable segments are:

 

·                  Oil Sands, which includes the development and production of Cenovus’s bitumen assets at Foster Creek, Christina Lake and Narrows Lake as well as projects in the early stages of development, such as Grand Rapids and Telephone Lake. The Athabasca natural gas assets also form part of this segment. Certain of the Company’s operated oil sands properties, notably Foster Creek, Christina Lake and Narrows Lake, are jointly owned with ConocoPhillips, an unrelated U.S. public company.

 

·                  Conventional, which includes the development and production of conventional crude oil, NGLs and natural gas in Alberta and Saskatchewan, including the heavy oil assets at Pelican Lake. This segment also includes the carbon dioxide enhanced oil recovery project at Weyburn and emerging tight oil opportunities.

 

·                  Refining and Marketing, which is responsible for transporting, selling and refining crude oil into petroleum and chemical products. Cenovus jointly owns two refineries in the U.S. with the operator Phillips 66, an unrelated U.S. public company. This segment coordinates Cenovus’s marketing and transportation initiatives to optimize product mix, delivery points, transportation commitments and customer diversification.

 

·                  Corporate and Eliminations, which primarily includes unrealized gains and losses recorded on derivative financial instruments, gains and losses on divestiture of assets, as well as other Cenovus-wide costs for general and administrative, financing activities and research costs. As financial instruments are settled, the realized gains and losses are recorded in the operating segment to which the derivative instrument relates. Eliminations relate to sales and operating revenues and purchased product between segments, recorded at transfer prices based on current market prices, and to unrealized intersegment profits in inventory.

 

The following tabular financial information presents the segmented information first by segment, then by product and geographic location.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

56



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

A) Results of Operations — Segment and Operational Information

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

Conventional

 

Refining and Marketing

 

For the three months ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

756

 

1,343

 

396

 

804

 

2,242

 

3,144

 

Less: Royalties

 

7

 

62

 

28

 

62

 

 

 

 

 

749

 

1,281

 

368

 

742

 

2,242

 

3,144

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Purchased Product

 

 

 

 

 

2,012

 

2,918

 

Transportation and Blending

 

431

 

518

 

52

 

74

 

 

 

Operating

 

133

 

153

 

132

 

176

 

215

 

162

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

 

 

5

 

12

 

 

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(144

)

2

 

(62

)

2

 

(14

)

(4

)

Operating Cash Flow

 

329

 

608

 

241

 

478

 

29

 

68

 

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

 

180

 

164

 

224

 

252

 

49

 

39

 

Exploration Expense

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Segment Income (Loss)

 

149

 

444

 

17

 

226

 

(20

)

29

 

 

 

 

Corporate and
Eliminations

 

Consolidated

 

For the three months ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

(86

)

(197

)

3,308

 

5,094

 

Less: Royalties

 

 

 

35

 

124

 

 

 

(86

)

(197

)

3,273

 

4,970

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Purchased Product

 

(86

)

(197

)

1,926

 

2,721

 

Transportation and Blending

 

 

 

483

 

592

 

Operating

 

(1

)

(1

)

479

 

490

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

 

 

5

 

12

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(127

)

(165

)

(347

)

(165

)

 

 

128

 

166

 

727

 

1,320

 

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

 

20

 

20

 

473

 

475

 

Exploration Expense

 

 

 

 

 

Segment Income (Loss)

 

108

 

146

 

254

 

845

 

General and Administrative

 

75

 

80

 

75

 

80

 

Finance Costs

 

122

 

105

 

122

 

105

 

Interest Income

 

(6

)

(4

)

(6

)

(4

)

Foreign Exchange (Gain) Loss, Net

 

417

 

263

 

417

 

263

 

Research Costs

 

6

 

3

 

6

 

3

 

(Gain) Loss on Divestiture of Assets

 

(2,379

)

(137

)

(2,379

)

(137

)

Other (Income) Loss, Net

 

(1

)

2

 

(1

)

2

 

 

 

(1,766

)

312

 

(1,766

)

312

 

Earnings Before Income Tax

 

 

 

 

 

2,020

 

533

 

Income Tax Expense

 

 

 

 

 

219

 

179

 

Net Earnings

 

 

 

 

 

1,801

 

354

 

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

57



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

B) Financial Results by Upstream Product

 

 

 

Crude Oil (1)

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

Conventional

 

Total

 

For the three months ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

749

 

1,334

 

279

 

619

 

1,028

 

1,953

 

Less: Royalties

 

7

 

62

 

23

 

58

 

30

 

120

 

 

 

742

 

1,272

 

256

 

561

 

998

 

1,833

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation and Blending

 

431

 

518

 

49

 

69

 

480

 

587

 

Operating

 

128

 

147

 

90

 

124

 

218

 

271

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

 

 

4

 

10

 

4

 

10

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(143

)

2

 

(49

)

6

 

(192

)

8

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

326

 

605

 

162

 

352

 

488

 

957

 

 


(1) Includes NGLs.

 

 

 

Natural Gas

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

Conventional

 

Total

 

For the three months ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

6

 

9

 

113

 

182

 

119

 

191

 

Less: Royalties

 

 

 

5

 

4

 

5

 

4

 

 

 

6

 

9

 

108

 

178

 

114

 

187

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation and Blending

 

 

 

3

 

5

 

3

 

5

 

Operating

 

4

 

4

 

41

 

51

 

45

 

55

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

 

 

1

 

2

 

1

 

2

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(1

)

 

(13

)

(4

)

(14

)

(4

)

Operating Cash Flow

 

3

 

5

 

76

 

124

 

79

 

129

 

 

 

 

Other

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

Conventional

 

Total

 

For the three months ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

1

 

 

4

 

3

 

5

 

3

 

Less: Royalties

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1

 

 

4

 

3

 

5

 

3

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation and Blending

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating

 

1

 

2

 

1

 

1

 

2

 

3

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

 

(2

)

3

 

2

 

3

 

 

 

 

 

Total Upstream

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

Conventional

 

Total

 

For the three months ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

756

 

1,343

 

396

 

804

 

1,152

 

2,147

 

Less: Royalties

 

7

 

62

 

28

 

62

 

35

 

124

 

 

 

749

 

1,281

 

368

 

742

 

1,117

 

2,023

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation and Blending

 

431

 

518

 

52

 

74

 

483

 

592

 

Operating

 

133

 

153

 

132

 

176

 

265

 

329

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

 

 

5

 

12

 

5

 

12

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(144

)

2

 

(62

)

2

 

(206

)

4

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

329

 

608

 

241

 

478

 

570

 

1,086

 

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

58



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

C) Geographic Information

 

 

 

Canada

 

United States

 

Consolidated

 

For the three months ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

1,517

 

2,698

 

1,791

 

2,396

 

3,308

 

5,094

 

Less: Royalties

 

35

 

124

 

 

 

35

 

124

 

 

 

1,482

 

2,574

 

1,791

 

2,396

 

3,273

 

4,970

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Purchased Product

 

351

 

542

 

1,575

 

2,179

 

1,926

 

2,721

 

Transportation and Blending

 

483

 

592

 

 

 

483

 

592

 

Operating

 

274

 

334

 

205

 

156

 

479

 

490

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

5

 

12

 

 

 

5

 

12

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(326

)

(154

)

(21

)

(11

)

(347

)

(165

)

 

 

695

 

1,248

 

32

 

72

 

727

 

1,320

 

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

 

425

 

437

 

48

 

38

 

473

 

475

 

Exploration Expense

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Segment Income (Loss)

 

270

 

811

 

(16

)

34

 

254

 

845

 

 

The Oil Sands and Conventional segments operate in Canada. Both of Cenovus’s refining facilities are located and carry on business in the U.S. The Company’s crude-by-rail terminal is located in Canada. The marketing of Cenovus’s crude oil and natural gas produced in Canada, as well as the third-party purchases and sales of product, is undertaken in Canada. Physical product sales that settle in the U.S. are considered to be export sales undertaken by a Canadian business. The Corporate and Eliminations segment is attributed to Canada, with the exception of the unrealized risk management gains and losses, which have been attributed to the country in which the transacting entity resides.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

59



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

D) Results of Operations — Segment and Operational Information

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

Conventional

 

Refining and Marketing

 

For the nine months ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

2,379

 

3,972

 

1,358

 

2,568

 

6,775

 

9,885

 

Less: Royalties

 

26

 

181

 

86

 

184

 

 

 

 

 

2,353

 

3,791

 

1,272

 

2,384

 

6,775

 

9,885

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Purchased Product

 

 

 

 

 

5,826

 

8,836

 

Transportation and Blending

 

1,337

 

1,637

 

172

 

263

 

 

 

Operating

 

405

 

502

 

433

 

557

 

552

 

525

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

 

 

16

 

36

 

 

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(252

)

59

 

(138

)

35

 

(27

)

(9

)

Operating Cash Flow

 

863

 

1,593

 

789

 

1,493

 

424

 

533

 

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

 

508

 

459

 

745

 

779

 

140

 

116

 

Exploration Expense

 

 

1

 

21

 

 

 

 

Segment Income (Loss)

 

355

 

1,133

 

23

 

714

 

284

 

417

 

 

 

 

Corporate and
Eliminations

 

Consolidated

 

For the nine months ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

(260

)

(656

)

10,252

 

15,769

 

Less: Royalties

 

 

 

112

 

365

 

 

 

(260

)

(656

)

10,140

 

15,404

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Purchased Product

 

(260

)

(656

)

5,566

 

8,180

 

Transportation and Blending

 

 

 

1,509

 

1,900

 

Operating

 

(5

)

(4

)

1,385

 

1,580

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

 

 

16

 

36

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

169

 

(180

)

(248

)

(95

)

 

 

(164

)

184

 

1,912

 

3,803

 

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

 

62

 

61

 

1,455

 

1,415

 

Exploration Expense

 

 

 

21

 

1

 

Segment Income (Loss)

 

(226

)

123

 

436

 

2,387

 

General and Administrative

 

220

 

291

 

220

 

291

 

Finance Costs

 

359

 

337

 

359

 

337

 

Interest Income

 

(20

)

(31

)

(20

)

(31

)

Foreign Exchange (Gain) Loss, Net

 

832

 

223

 

832

 

223

 

Research Costs

 

20

 

9

 

20

 

9

 

(Gain) Loss on Divestiture of Assets

 

(2,395

)

(157

)

(2,395

)

(157

)

Other (Income) Loss, Net

 

1

 

 

1

 

 

 

 

(983

)

672

 

(983

)

672

 

Earnings Before Income Tax

 

 

 

 

 

1,419

 

1,715

 

Income Tax Expense

 

 

 

 

 

160

 

499

 

Net Earnings

 

 

 

 

 

1,259

 

1,216

 

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

60



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

E) Financial Results by Upstream Product

 

 

 

Crude Oil (1)

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

Conventional

 

Total

 

For the nine months ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

2,356

 

3,909

 

1,000

 

1,978

 

3,356

 

5,887

 

Less: Royalties

 

26

 

180

 

78

 

174

 

104

 

354

 

 

 

2,330

 

3,729

 

922

 

1,804

 

3,252

 

5,533

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation and Blending

 

1,336

 

1,636

 

160

 

249

 

1,496

 

1,885

 

Operating

 

390

 

483

 

299

 

402

 

689

 

885

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

 

 

14

 

28

 

14

 

28

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(249

)

59

 

(100

)

38

 

(349

)

97

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

853

 

1,551

 

549

 

1,087

 

1,402

 

2,638

 

 


(1) Includes NGLs.

 

 

 

Natural Gas

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

Conventional

 

Total

 

For the nine months ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

17

 

58

 

346

 

580

 

363

 

638

 

Less: Royalties

 

 

1

 

8

 

10

 

8

 

11

 

 

 

17

 

57

 

338

 

570

 

355

 

627

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation and Blending

 

1

 

1

 

12

 

14

 

13

 

15

 

Operating

 

12

 

13

 

131

 

152

 

143

 

165

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

 

 

2

 

8

 

2

 

8

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(3

)

 

(38

)

(3

)

(41

)

(3

)

Operating Cash Flow

 

7

 

43

 

231

 

399

 

238

 

442

 

 

 

 

Other

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

Conventional

 

Total

 

For the nine months ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

6

 

5

 

12

 

10

 

18

 

15

 

Less: Royalties

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6

 

5

 

12

 

10

 

18

 

15

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation and Blending

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating

 

3

 

6

 

3

 

3

 

6

 

9

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

3

 

(1

)

9

 

7

 

12

 

6

 

 

 

 

Total Upstream

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

Conventional

 

Total

 

For the nine months ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

2,379

 

3,972

 

1,358

 

2,568

 

3,737

 

6,540

 

Less: Royalties

 

26

 

181

 

86

 

184

 

112

 

365

 

 

 

2,353

 

3,791

 

1,272

 

2,384

 

3,625

 

6,175

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation and Blending

 

1,337

 

1,637

 

172

 

263

 

1,509

 

1,900

 

Operating

 

405

 

502

 

433

 

557

 

838

 

1,059

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

 

 

16

 

36

 

16

 

36

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(252

)

59

 

(138

)

35

 

(390

)

94

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

863

 

1,593

 

789

 

1,493

 

1,652

 

3,086

 

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

61



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

F) Geographic Information

 

 

 

Canada

 

United States

 

Consolidated

 

For the nine months ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

5,009

 

8,335

 

5,243

 

7,434

 

10,252

 

15,769

 

Less: Royalties

 

112

 

365

 

 

 

112

 

365

 

 

 

4,897

 

7,970

 

5,243

 

7,434

 

10,140

 

15,404

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Purchased Product

 

1,227

 

1,769

 

4,339

 

6,411

 

5,566

 

8,180

 

Transportation and Blending

 

1,509

 

1,900

 

 

 

1,509

 

1,900

 

Operating

 

858

 

1,077

 

527

 

503

 

1,385

 

1,580

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

16

 

36

 

 

 

16

 

36

 

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(227

)

(82

)

(21

)

(13

)

(248

)

(95

)

 

 

1,514

 

3,270

 

398

 

533

 

1,912

 

3,803

 

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

 

1,316

 

1,300

 

139

 

115

 

1,455

 

1,415

 

Exploration Expense

 

21

 

1

 

 

 

21

 

1

 

Segment Income (Loss)

 

177

 

1,969

 

259

 

418

 

436

 

2,387

 

 

G) Joint Operations

 

A significant portion of the operating cash flows from the Oil Sands, and Refining and Marketing segments are derived through jointly controlled entities, FCCL Partnership (“FCCL”) and WRB Refining LP (“WRB”), respectively. These joint arrangements, in which Cenovus has a 50 percent ownership interest, are classified as joint operations and, as such, Cenovus recognizes its share of the assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses.

 

FCCL, which is involved in the development and production of crude oil in Canada, is jointly controlled with ConocoPhillips and operated by Cenovus. WRB has two refineries in the U.S. and focuses on the refining of crude oil into petroleum and chemical products. WRB is jointly controlled with and operated by Phillips 66. Cenovus’s share of operating cash flow from FCCL and WRB for the three months ended September 30, 2015 was $196 million and $27 million, respectively (three months ended September 30, 2014 — $595 million and $67 million). Cenovus’s share of operating cash flow from FCCL and WRB for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 was $616 million and $411 million, respectively (nine months ended September 30, 2014 — $1,551 million and $535 million).

 

H) Exploration and Evaluation Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Goodwill and Total Assets

 

By Segment

 

 

 

E&E (1)

 

PP&E (2)

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

As at

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

1,661

 

1,540

 

8,859

 

8,606

 

Conventional

 

64

 

85

 

4,337

 

6,038

 

Refining and Marketing

 

 

 

4,221

 

3,568

 

Corporate and Eliminations

 

 

 

315

 

351

 

Consolidated

 

1,725

 

1,625

 

17,732

 

18,563

 

 

 

 

Goodwill

 

Total Assets

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

As at

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

242

 

242

 

11,175

 

11,024

 

Conventional

 

 

 

4,489

 

6,211

 

Refining and Marketing

 

 

 

5,867

 

5,520

 

Corporate and Eliminations

 

 

 

5,194

 

1,940

 

Consolidated

 

242

 

242

 

26,725

 

24,695

 

 


(1) Exploration and evaluation (“E&E”) assets.

(2) Property, plant and equipment (“PP&E”).

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

62



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

By Geographic Region

 

 

 

E&E

 

PP&E

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

As at

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Canada

 

1,725

 

1,625

 

13,599

 

14,999

 

United States

 

 

 

4,133

 

3,564

 

Consolidated

 

1,725

 

1,625

 

17,732

 

18,563

 

 

 

 

Goodwill

 

Total Assets

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

As at

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Canada

 

242

 

242

 

21,590

 

20,231

 

United States

 

 

 

5,135

 

4,464

 

Consolidated

 

242

 

242

 

26,725

 

24,695

 

 

I) Capital Expenditures (1)

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

For the period ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Capital

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

272

 

494

 

946

 

1,492

 

Conventional

 

55

 

198

 

157

 

621

 

Refining and Marketing

 

67

 

42

 

159

 

111

 

Corporate

 

6

 

16

 

24

 

41

 

 

 

400

 

750

 

1,286

 

2,265

 

Acquisition Capital

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil Sands (2)

 

 

 

 

15

 

Conventional

 

1

 

 

1

 

2

 

Refining and Marketing

 

83

 

 

83

 

 

 

 

484

 

750

 

1,370

 

2,282

 

 


(1) Includes expenditures on PP&E and E&E.

(2) 2014 asset acquisition includes the assumption of a decommissioning liability of $10 million.

 

2. BASIS OF PREPARATION AND STATEMENT OF COMPLIANCE

 

In these interim Consolidated Financial Statements, unless otherwise indicated, all dollars are expressed in Canadian dollars. All references to C$ or $ are to Canadian dollars and references to US$ are to U.S. dollars.

 

These interim Consolidated Financial Statements have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (“IASB”) applicable to the preparation of interim financial statements, including International Accounting Standard 34, “Interim Financial Reporting” (“IAS 34”), and have been prepared following the same accounting policies and methods of computation as the annual Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended December 31, 2014, except for income taxes. Income taxes on earnings or loss in the interim periods are accrued using the income tax rate that would be applicable to the expected total annual earnings or loss. The disclosures provided are incremental to those included with the annual Consolidated Financial Statements. Certain information and disclosures normally included in the notes to the annual Consolidated Financial Statements have been condensed or have been disclosed on an annual basis only. Accordingly, these interim Consolidated Financial Statements should be read in conjunction with the annual Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended December 31, 2014, which have been prepared in accordance with IFRS as issued by the IASB.

 

These interim Consolidated Financial Statements of Cenovus were approved by the Audit Committee effective October 28, 2015.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

63



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

3. RECENT ACCOUNTING PRONOUNCEMENTS

 

A) New and Amended Accounting Standards and Interpretations Adopted

 

There were no new or amended accounting standards or interpretations adopted during the nine months ended September 30, 2015.

 

B) New Accounting Standards and Interpretations not yet Adopted

 

Revenue Recognition

 

On May 28, 2014, the IASB issued IFRS 15, “Revenue From Contracts With Customers” (“IFRS 15”) replacing IAS 11, “Construction Contracts”, IAS 18, “Revenue” and several revenue-related interpretations. IFRS 15 establishes a single revenue recognition framework that applies to contracts with customers. The standard requires an entity to recognize revenue to reflect the transfer of goods and services for the amount it expects to receive, when control is transferred to the purchaser. Disclosure requirements have also been expanded.

 

On September 11, 2015, the IASB published an amendment to IFRS 15, deferring the effective date of the standard by one year to annual periods beginning on or after January 1, 2018. Early adoption is still permitted. The standard may be applied retrospectively or using a modified retrospective approach. The Company is currently evaluating the impact of adopting IFRS 15 on the Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

Additional Standards

 

A description of additional accounting standards and interpretations that will be adopted by the Company in future periods can be found in the notes to the annual Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended December 31, 2014.

 

4. FINANCE COSTS

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

For the period ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest Expense – Short-Term Borrowings and Long-Term Debt

 

84

 

71

 

243

 

212

 

Interest Expense – Partnership Contribution Payable (1)

 

 

 

 

22

 

Unwinding of Discount on Decommissioning Liabilities (Note 14)

 

32

 

30

 

94

 

90

 

Other

 

6

 

4

 

22

 

13

 

 

 

122

 

105

 

359

 

337

 

 


(1) On March 28, 2014, Cenovus repaid the remaining principal and accrued interest due under the Partnership Contribution Payable.

 

5. FOREIGN EXCHANGE (GAIN) LOSS, NET

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

For the period ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unrealized Foreign Exchange (Gain) Loss on Translation of:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Dollar Debt Issued From Canada

 

437

 

253

 

852

 

272

 

Other

 

20

 

6

 

26

 

(51

)

Unrealized Foreign Exchange (Gain) Loss

 

457

 

259

 

878

 

221

 

Realized Foreign Exchange (Gain) Loss

 

(40

)

4

 

(46

)

2

 

 

 

417

 

263

 

832

 

223

 

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

64



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

6. INCOME TAXES

 

The provision for income taxes is:

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

For the period ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current Tax

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Canada

 

451

 

49

 

686

 

82

 

United States

 

(4

)

(14

)

(10

)

21

 

Total Current Tax Expense (Recovery)

 

447

 

35

 

676

 

103

 

Deferred Tax Expense (Recovery)

 

(228

)

144

 

(516

)

396

 

 

 

219

 

179

 

160

 

499

 

 

In the third quarter of 2015, the Company recorded a deferred tax recovery of $385 million arising from an adjustment to the tax basis of the Company’s refining assets. The increase in tax basis was a result of the Company’s partner recognizing a taxable gain on its interest in WRB which, due to an election filed with the U.S. tax authorities, was added to the tax basis of WRB’s assets.

 

In addition, the Alberta government enacted a two percent increase in the corporate income tax rate effective July 1, 2015. As a result, the Company’s deferred income tax liability increased by $158 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2015.

 

The following table reconciles income taxes calculated at the Canadian statutory rate with the recorded income taxes:

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended

 

For the period ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Earnings Before Income Tax

 

1,419

 

1,715

 

Canadian Statutory Rate

 

26.1

%

25.2

%

Expected Income Tax

 

370

 

431

 

Effect of Taxes Resulting From:

 

 

 

 

 

Foreign Tax Rate Differential

 

(15

)

18

 

Non-Deductible Stock-Based Compensation

 

7

 

15

 

Non-Taxable Capital Losses

 

113

 

33

 

Unrecognized Capital Losses Arising From Unrealized Foreign Exchange

 

113

 

33

 

Adjustments Arising From Prior Year Tax Filings

 

(13

)

 

Recognition of Capital Losses

 

(149

)

(6

)

Recognition of U.S. Tax Basis

 

(385

)

 

Change in Statutory Rate

 

158

 

 

Other

 

(39

)

(25

)

Total Tax

 

160

 

499

 

Effective Tax Rate

 

11.3

%

29.1

%

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

65



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

7. PER SHARE AMOUNTS

 

A) Net Earnings Per Share

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

For the period ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Earnings — Basic and Diluted ($ millions)

 

1,801

 

354

 

1,259

 

1,216

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic — Weighted Average Number of Shares (millions)

 

833.3

 

757.1

 

813.8

 

756.8

 

Dilutive Effect of Cenovus TSARs (1)

 

 

0.8

 

 

1.0

 

Dilutive Effect of Cenovus NSRs (2)

 

 

0.9

 

 

0.1

 

Diluted — Weighted Average Number of Shares

 

833.3

 

758.8

 

813.8

 

757.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Earnings Per Common Share ($)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic

 

$

2.16

 

$

0.47

 

$

1.55

 

$

1.61

 

Diluted

 

$

2.16

 

$

0.47

 

$

1.55

 

$

1.60

 

 


(1) Tandem stock appreciation rights (“TSARs”).

(2) Net settlement rights (“NSRs”).

 

B) Dividends Per Share

 

For the three months ended September 30, 2015, the Company paid dividends of $0.16 per share (three months ended September 30, 2014 — $0.2662 per share). For the nine months ended September 30, 2015, the Company paid dividends of $578 million, including cash dividends of $396 million (nine months ended September 30, 2014 — $604 million, all of which was paid in cash). The Cenovus Board of Directors declared a fourth quarter dividend of $0.16 per share, payable on December 31, 2015, to common shareholders of record as of December 15, 2015. While the dividend reinvestment plan (“DRIP”) remains in place, the discount has been discontinued.

 

8. INVENTORIES

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

As at

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Product

 

 

 

 

 

Refining and Marketing

 

884

 

972

 

Oil Sands

 

188

 

182

 

Conventional

 

12

 

28

 

Parts and Supplies

 

48

 

42

 

 

 

1,132

 

1,224

 

 

As a result of a decline in certain refined product prices, Cenovus recorded a write-down of its refined product inventory of $10 million from cost to net realizable value as at September 30, 2015. As at December 31, 2014, Cenovus recorded a write-down of its product inventory of $131 million.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

66



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

9. EXPLORATION AND EVALUATION ASSETS

 

COST

 

 

 

As at December 31, 2013

 

1,473

 

Additions

 

279

 

Transfers to PP&E (Note 10)

 

(53

)

Exploration Expense

 

(86

)

Divestitures

 

(2

)

Change in Decommissioning Liabilities

 

14

 

As at December 31, 2014

 

1,625

 

Additions

 

117

 

Transfers to PP&E (Note 10)

 

(1

)

Exploration Expense

 

(21

)

Change in Decommissioning Liabilities

 

5

 

As at September 30, 2015

 

1,725

 

 

E&E assets consist of the Company’s projects which are pending determination of technical feasibility and commercial viability. All of the Company’s E&E assets are located within Canada.

 

Additions to E&E assets for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 include $26 million of internal costs directly related to the evaluation of these projects (year ended December 31, 2014 — $51 million). No borrowing costs or costs classified as general and administrative expenses have been capitalized during the nine months ended September 30, 2015 (year ended December 31, 2014 — $nil).

 

For the nine months ended September 30, 2015, $1 million of E&E assets were transferred to PP&E following the determination of technical feasibility and commercial viability of the projects (year ended December 31, 2014 — $53 million).

 

Impairment

 

The impairment of E&E assets and any subsequent reversal of such impairment losses are recorded in exploration expense in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings and Comprehensive Income.

 

During the second quarter of 2015, $21 million of previously capitalized E&E costs related to exploration assets within the Saskatchewan cash-generating unit (“CGU”) were deemed not to be technically feasible and commercially viable, and were recorded as exploration expense in the Conventional segment.

 

For the year ended December 31, 2014, $82 million of previously capitalized E&E costs related to exploration assets within the Northern Alberta CGU were deemed not to be technically feasible and commercially viable, and were recorded as exploration expense in the Conventional segment. In addition, $4 million of costs related to the expiry of leases in the Borealis CGU were recorded as exploration expense in the Oil Sands segment.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

67



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

10. PROPERTY, PLANT AND EQUIPMENT, NET

 

 

 

Upstream Assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Development
& Production

 

Other
Upstream

 

Refining
Equipment

 

Other (1)

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

COST

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at December 31, 2013

 

29,390

 

286

 

3,654

 

849

 

34,179

 

Additions (2)

 

2,522

 

43

 

162

 

63

 

2,790

 

Transfers From E&E Assets (Note 9)

 

53

 

 

 

 

53

 

Transfers to Assets Held for Sale

 

(55

)

 

 

 

(55

)

Change in Decommissioning Liabilities

 

264

 

 

(3

)

 

261

 

Exchange Rate Movements and Other

 

1

 

 

338

 

 

339

 

Divestitures

 

(474

)

 

 

(2

)

(476

)

As at December 31, 2014

 

31,701

 

329

 

4,151

 

910

 

37,091

 

Additions

 

983

 

3

 

157

 

27

 

1,170

 

Acquisition (Note 11)

 

 

 

 

83

 

83

 

Transfers From E&E Assets (Note 9)

 

1

 

 

 

 

1

 

Change in Decommissioning Liabilities

 

(305

)

 

 

 

(305

)

Exchange Rate Movements and Other

 

 

 

647

 

 

647

 

Divestitures

 

(923

)

 

 

 

(923

)

As at September 30, 2015

 

31,457

 

332

 

4,955

 

1,020

 

37,764

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ACCUMULATED DEPRECIATION, DEPLETION AND AMORTIZATION

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at December 31, 2013

 

15,791

 

193

 

386

 

475

 

16,845

 

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

 

1,602

 

40

 

156

 

83

 

1,881

 

Transfers to Assets Held for Sale

 

(27

)

 

 

 

(27

)

Impairment Losses

 

65

 

 

 

 

65

 

Exchange Rate Movements and Other

 

38

 

 

42

 

 

80

 

Divestitures

 

(316

)

 

 

 

(316

)

As at December 31, 2014

 

17,153

 

233

 

584

 

558

 

18,528

 

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

 

1,219

 

34

 

139

 

63

 

1,455

 

Exchange Rate Movements and Other

 

(1

)

 

96

 

(1

)

94

 

Divestitures

 

(45

)

 

 

 

(45

)

As at September 30, 2015

 

18,326

 

267

 

819

 

620

 

20,032

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CARRYING VALUE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at December 31, 2013

 

13,599

 

93

 

3,268

 

374

 

17,334

 

As at December 31, 2014

 

14,548

 

96

 

3,567

 

352

 

18,563

 

As at September 30, 2015

 

13,131

 

65

 

4,136

 

400

 

17,732

 

 


(1) Includes crude-by-rail terminal, office furniture, fixtures, leasehold improvements, information technology and aircraft.

(2) 2014 asset acquisition includes the assumption of a decommissioning liability of $10 million.

 

Additions to development and production assets include internal costs directly related to the development and construction of crude oil and natural gas properties of $128 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 (year ended December 31, 2014 — $216 million). All of the Company’s development and production assets are located within Canada. No borrowing costs or costs classified as general and administrative expenses have been capitalized during the nine months ended September 30, 2015 (year ended December 31, 2014 — $nil).

 

PP&E includes the following amounts in respect of assets under construction and are not subject to depreciation, depletion and amortization (“DD&A”):

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

As at

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Development and Production

 

526

 

478

 

Refining Equipment

 

246

 

159

 

 

 

772

 

637

 

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

68



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

Impairment

 

The impairment of PP&E and any subsequent reversal of such impairment losses are recorded in DD&A in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings and Comprehensive Income. There was no impairment of PP&E for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 (year ended December 31, 2014 — $65 million).

 

11. ACQUISITION

 

On August 31, 2015, the Company completed the acquisition of a crude-by-rail terminal for cash consideration of $75 million, plus adjustments. The transaction was accounted for using the acquisition method of accounting. In connection with the acquisition, the Company assumed an associated decommissioning liability of $4 million and working capital of $1 million. Transaction costs associated with the acquisition have been expensed. These assets, related liabilities and results of operations are reported in the Refining and Marketing segment.

 

12. DIVESTITURES

 

On July 29, 2015, the Company completed the sale of Heritage Royalty Limited Partnership (“HRP”), a wholly-owned subsidiary, to a third party for gross cash proceeds of $3.3 billion, resulting in a gain of $2.4 billion. HRP is a royalty business consisting of approximately 4.8 million gross acres of royalty interest and mineral fee title lands in Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba. Cenovus entered into lease agreements with HRP on the fee lands from which it currently has working interest production. In addition, HRP has a Gross Overriding Royalty on production from Cenovus’s Pelican Lake and Weyburn assets. These assets, related liabilities and results of operations were reported in the Conventional segment.

 

The divestiture gave rise to a taxable gain for which the Company has recognized current tax expense of $391 million. The majority of HRP’s assets had been acquired at a nominal cost and, as such, had minimal benefit from tax depreciation in prior years. For this reason, the current tax expense associated with the divestiture is specifically identifiable; therefore, it has been classified as an investing activity in the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows.

 

In the first quarter of 2015, the Company divested an office building, recording a gain of $16 million.

 

In the third quarter of 2014, the Company completed the sale of certain Wainwright properties to a third party for net proceeds of $234 million, resulting in a gain of $137 million. These assets, related liabilities and results of operations were reported in the Conventional segment.

 

In the second quarter of 2014, the Company completed the sale of certain Bakken properties to a third party for net proceeds of $35 million, resulting in a gain of $16 million. The Company also completed the sale of certain non-core properties and recorded a total gain of $4 million. These assets, related liabilities and results of operations were reported in the Conventional segment.

 

13. LONG-TERM DEBT

 

 

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

As at

 

US$ Principal

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revolving Term Debt (1)

 

 

 

 

U.S. Dollar Denominated Unsecured Notes

 

4,750

 

6,362

 

5,510

 

Total Debt Principal

 

 

 

6,362

 

5,510

 

Debt Discounts and Transaction Costs

 

 

 

(50

)

(52

)

 

 

 

 

6,312

 

5,458

 

 


(1) Revolving term debt may include bankers’ acceptances, LIBOR loans, prime rate loans and U.S. base rate loans.

 

During the second quarter of 2015, Cenovus renegotiated its existing $3.0 billion committed credit facility, extending the maturity date to November 30, 2019. In addition, a new $1.0 billion tranche was established under the same facility, maturing on November 30, 2017. As at September 30, 2015, the Company had $4.0 billion available on its committed credit facility.

 

As at September 30, 2015, the Company is in compliance with all of the terms of its debt agreements.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

69



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

14. DECOMMISSIONING LIABILITIES

 

The decommissioning provision represents the present value of the expected future costs associated with the retirement of upstream crude oil and natural gas assets, refining facilities and the crude-by-rail terminal. The aggregate carrying amount of the obligation is:

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

As at

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Decommissioning Liabilities, Beginning of Year

 

2,616

 

2,370

 

Liabilities Incurred

 

8

 

48

 

Liabilities Acquired

 

4

 

 

Liabilities Settled

 

(52

)

(93

)

Liabilities Divested

 

 

(60

)

Transfers and Reclassifications

 

 

(9

)

Change in Estimated Future Cash Flows

 

(8

)

115

 

Change in Discount Rate

 

(300

)

122

 

Unwinding of Discount on Decommissioning Liabilities

 

94

 

120

 

Foreign Currency Translation

 

6

 

3

 

Decommissioning Liabilities, End of Period

 

2,368

 

2,616

 

 

The undiscounted amount of estimated future cash flows required to settle the obligation has been discounted using a credit-adjusted risk-free rate of 5.6 percent as at September 30, 2015 (December 31, 2014 — 4.9 percent).

 

15. SHARE CAPITAL

 

A) Authorized

 

Cenovus is authorized to issue an unlimited number of common shares, and first and second preferred shares not exceeding, in aggregate, 20 percent of the number of issued and outstanding common shares. The first and second preferred shares may be issued in one or more series with rights and conditions to be determined by the Company’s Board of Directors prior to issuance and subject to the Company’s articles.

 

B) Issued and Outstanding

 

 

 

September 30, 2015

 

December 31, 2014

 

As at

 

Number of
Common
Shares
(Thousands)

 

Amount

 

Number of
Common
Shares
(Thousands)

 

Amount

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding, Beginning of Year

 

757,103

 

3,889

 

756,046

 

3,857

 

Common Shares Issued, Net of Issuance Costs

 

67,500

 

1,463

 

 

 

Common Shares Issued Pursuant to Dividend Reinvestment Plan

 

8,687

 

182

 

 

 

Common Shares Issued Under Stock Option Plans

 

 

 

1,057

 

32

 

Outstanding, End of Period

 

833,290

 

5,534

 

757,103

 

3,889

 

 

On March 3, 2015, Cenovus issued 67.5 million common shares at a price of $22.25 per common share. The Company intends to use the net proceeds to partially fund its capital expenditure program for 2015 and for general corporate purposes.

 

The Company has a DRIP, whereby holders of common shares may reinvest all or a portion of the cash dividends payable on their common shares in additional common shares. At the discretion of the Company, the additional common shares may be issued from treasury of the Company or purchased on the market. For the nine months ended September 30, 2015, the Company issued 8.7 million common shares from treasury under the DRIP.

 

There were no preferred shares outstanding as at September 30, 2015 (December 31, 2014 — nil).

 

As at September 30, 2015, there were 10 million (December 31, 2014 — 13 million) common shares available for future issuance under stock option plans.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

70



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

16. ACCUMULATED OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (LOSS)

 

As at September 30, 2015

 

Defined
Benefit Plan

 

Foreign
Currency
Translation

 

Available
for Sale
Investments

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Balance, Beginning of Year

 

(30

)

427

 

10

 

407

 

Other Comprehensive Income (Loss), Before Tax

 

6

 

463

 

 

469

 

Income Tax

 

(1

)

 

 

(1

)

Balance, End of Period

 

(25

)

890

 

10

 

875

 

 

As at September 30, 2014

 

Defined
Benefit Plan

 

Foreign
Currency
Translation

 

Available
for Sale
Investments

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Balance, Beginning of Year

 

(12

)

212

 

10

 

210

 

Other Comprehensive Income (Loss), Before Tax

 

(15

)

108

 

 

93

 

Income Tax

 

4

 

 

 

4

 

Balance, End of Period

 

(23

)

320

 

10

 

307

 

 

17. TERMINATION BENEFITS

 

In July 2015, in response to the low-price environment and to align with the Company’s more moderate growth plan, the Company announced plans to reduce its workforce. During the third quarter, employee termination benefits of $3 million were recorded as incurred, and included in general and administrative expense. It is estimated that additional termination benefits of $32 million will be incurred in the fourth quarter.

 

18. STOCK-BASED COMPENSATION PLANS

 

A) Employee Stock Option Plan

 

Cenovus has an Employee Stock Option Plan that provides employees with the opportunity to exercise an option to purchase a common share of the Company. Options issued under the plan have associated TSARs or NSRs.

 

The following table is a summary of the options outstanding at the end of the period:

 

As at September 30, 2015

 

Issued

 

Term
(Years)

 

Weighted
Average
Remaining
Contractual
Life (Years)

 

Weighted
Average
Exercise
Price ($)

 

Closing
Share
Price ($)

 

Number of
Units
Outstanding
(Thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NSRs

 

On or After February 24, 2011

 

7

 

4.58

 

31.65

 

20.24

 

43,231

 

TSARs

 

On or After February 17, 2010

 

7

 

1.45

 

26.72

 

20.24

 

3,719

 

 

NSRs

 

The weighted average unit fair value of NSRs granted during the nine months ended September 30, 2015 was $3.58 before considering forfeitures, which are considered in determining total cost for the period. The fair value of each NSR was estimated on its grant date using the Black-Scholes-Merton valuation model.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

71



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

The following table summarizes information related to the NSRs:

 

As at September 30, 2015

 

Number of
NSRs
(Thousands)

 

Weighted
Average
Exercise
Price ($)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding, Beginning of Year

 

40,549

 

32.63

 

Granted

 

4,106

 

22.25

 

Exercised

 

 

 

Forfeited

 

(1,424

)

32.46

 

Outstanding, End of Period

 

43,231

 

31.65

 

Exercisable, End of Period

 

23,743

 

34.51

 

 

TSARs

 

The Company has recorded a liability of $2 million as at September 30, 2015 (December 31, 2014 — $8 million) in the Consolidated Balance Sheets based on the fair value of each TSAR held by Cenovus employees. The intrinsic value of vested TSARs held by Cenovus employees as at September 30, 2015 was $nil (December 31, 2014 — $nil).

 

The following table summarizes information related to the TSARs held by Cenovus employees:

 

As at September 30, 2015

 

Number of
TSARs
(Thousands)

 

Weighted
Average
Exercise
Price ($)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding, Beginning of Year

 

3,862

 

26.72

 

Exercised for Cash Payment

 

 

 

Exercised as Options for Common Shares

 

 

 

Forfeited

 

(70

)

27.53

 

Expired

 

(73

)

25.89

 

Outstanding, End of Period

 

3,719

 

26.72

 

Exercisable, End of Period

 

3,719

 

26.72

 

 

B) Performance Share Units

 

The Company has recorded a liability of $66 million as at September 30, 2015 (December 31, 2014 — $109 million) in the Consolidated Balance Sheets for performance share units (“PSUs”) based on the market value of Cenovus’s common shares as at September 30, 2015. As PSUs are paid out upon vesting, the intrinsic value of vested PSUs was $nil as at September 30, 2015 and December 31, 2014.

 

The following table summarizes the information related to the PSUs held by Cenovus employees:

 

As at September 30, 2015

 

Number of
PSUs
(Thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding, Beginning of Year

 

7,099

 

Granted

 

2,904

 

Vested and Paid Out

 

(1,436

)

Cancelled

 

(1,273

)

Units in Lieu of Dividends

 

217

 

Outstanding, End of Period

 

7,511

 

 

C) Restricted Share Units

 

Cenovus has granted restricted share units (“RSUs”) to certain employees under its Restricted Share Unit Plan for Employees. RSUs are whole share units and entitle employees to receive, upon vesting, either a common share of Cenovus or a cash payment equal to the value of a Cenovus common share. RSUs vest after three years.

 

RSUs are accounted for as liability instruments and are measured at fair value based on the market value of Cenovus’s common shares at each period end. The fair value is recognized as compensation costs over the vesting period. Fluctuations in the fair value are recognized as compensation costs in the period they occur.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

72



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

The Company has recorded a liability of $10 million as at September 30, 2015 (December 31, 2014 — $1 million) in the Consolidated Balance Sheets for RSUs based on the market value of Cenovus’s common shares as at September 30, 2015. As RSUs are paid out upon vesting, the intrinsic value of vested RSUs was $nil as at September 30, 2015 and December 31, 2014.

 

The following table summarizes the information related to the RSUs held by Cenovus employees:

 

As at September 30, 2015

 

Number of
RSUs
(Thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding, Beginning of Year

 

93

 

Granted

 

2,328

 

Vested and Paid Out

 

(22

)

Cancelled

 

(82

)

Units in Lieu of Dividends

 

81

 

Outstanding, End of Period

 

2,398

 

 

D) Deferred Share Units

 

The Company has recorded a liability of $30 million as at September 30, 2015 (December 31, 2014 — $31 million) in the Consolidated Balance Sheets for deferred share units (“DSUs”) based on the market value of Cenovus’s common shares as at September 30, 2015. The intrinsic value of vested DSUs equals the carrying value as DSUs vest at the time of grant.

 

The following table summarizes the information related to the DSUs held by Cenovus directors, officers and employees:

 

As at September 30, 2015

 

Number of
DSUs
(Thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding, Beginning of Year

 

1,297

 

Granted to Directors

 

65

 

Granted From Annual Bonus Awards

 

55

 

Units in Lieu of Dividends

 

47

 

Redeemed

 

(5

)

Outstanding, End of Period

 

1,459

 

 

E) Total Stock-Based Compensation Expense (Recovery)

 

The following table summarizes the stock-based compensation expense (recovery) recorded for all plans within operating, and general and administrative expenses in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings and Comprehensive Income:

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

For the period ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NSRs

 

6

 

9

 

20

 

33

 

TSARs

 

(1

)

(7

)

(4

)

(3

)

PSUs

 

 

2

 

(7

)

49

 

RSUs

 

2

 

 

5

 

 

DSUs

 

2

 

(5

)

(1

)

2

 

Stock-Based Compensation Expense (Recovery)

 

9

 

(1

)

13

 

81

 

 

19. CAPITAL STRUCTURE

 

Cenovus’s capital structure objectives and targets have remained unchanged from previous periods. Cenovus’s capital structure consists of Shareholders’ Equity plus Debt. Debt is defined as short-term borrowings, and the current and long-term portions of long-term debt. Cenovus’s objectives when managing its capital structure are to maintain financial flexibility, preserve access to capital markets, ensure its ability to finance internally generated growth and to fund potential acquisitions while maintaining the ability to meet the Company’s financial obligations as they come due.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

73



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

Cenovus monitors its capital structure and financing requirements using, among other things, non-GAAP financial metrics consisting of Debt to Capitalization and Debt to Adjusted Earnings Before Interest, Taxes and DD&A (“Adjusted EBITDA”). These metrics are used to steward Cenovus’s overall debt position as measures of Cenovus’s overall financial strength.

 

Cenovus continues to target a Debt to Capitalization ratio of between 30 and 40 percent over the long-term.

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

As at

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Long-Term Debt

 

6,312

 

5,458

 

Shareholders’ Equity

 

13,013

 

10,186

 

Capitalization

 

19,325

 

15,644

 

Debt to Capitalization

 

33

%

35

%

 

Cenovus continues to target a Debt to Adjusted EBITDA ratio of between 1.0 and 2.0 times over the long term. As at September 30, 2015, the Company’s Debt to Adjusted EBITDA ratio was above the target of 2.0 times; however, Cenovus believes it will return to the target range.

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

As at

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt

 

6,312

 

5,458

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Adjusted EBITDA (1)

 

 

 

 

 

Net Earnings

 

787

 

744

 

Add (Deduct):

 

 

 

 

 

Finance Costs

 

467

 

445

 

Interest Income

 

(22

)

(33

)

Income Tax Expense

 

112

 

451

 

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

 

1,986

 

1,946

 

Goodwill Impairment

 

497

 

497

 

E&E Impairment

 

106

 

86

 

Unrealized (Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(247

)

(596

)

Foreign Exchange (Gain) Loss, Net

 

1,020

 

411

 

(Gain) Loss on Divestitures of Assets

 

(2,394

)

(156

)

Other (Income) Loss, Net

 

(3

)

(4

)

 

 

2,309

 

3,791

 

Debt to Adjusted EBITDA

 

2.7x

 

1.4x

 

 


(1) Calculated on a trailing twelve-month basis.

 

Cenovus will maintain a high level of capital discipline and manage its capital structure to ensure sufficient liquidity through all stages of the economic cycle. To manage its capital structure, Cenovus may adjust capital and operating spending, adjust dividends paid to shareholders, purchase shares for cancellation pursuant to normal course issuer bids, issue new shares, issue new debt, draw down on its credit facilities or repay existing debt. It is Cenovus’s intention to maintain investment grade credit ratings.

 

During the second quarter of 2015, Cenovus renegotiated its existing $3.0 billion committed credit facility, extending the maturity date to November 30, 2019. In addition, a new $1.0 billion tranche was established under the same facility, maturing on November 30, 2017. As at September 30, 2015, Cenovus had $4.0 billion available on its committed credit facility. In addition, Cenovus had in place a $1.5 billion Canadian base shelf prospectus and a US$2.0 billion U.S. base shelf prospectus, the availability of which are dependent on market conditions.

 

As at September 30, 2015, Cenovus is in compliance with all of the terms of its debt agreements.

 

20. FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS

 

Cenovus’s consolidated financial assets and financial liabilities consist of cash and cash equivalents, accounts receivable and accrued revenues, accounts payable and accrued liabilities, risk management assets and liabilities, long-term receivables, short-term borrowings and long-term debt. Risk management assets and liabilities arise from the use of derivative financial instruments.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

74



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

A) Fair Value of Non-Derivative Financial Instruments

 

The fair values of cash and cash equivalents, accounts receivable and accrued revenues, accounts payable and accrued liabilities, and short-term borrowings approximate their carrying amount due to the short-term maturity of those instruments.

 

The fair values of long-term receivables approximate their carrying amount due to the specific non-tradeable nature of these instruments.

 

Long-term debt is carried at amortized cost. The estimated fair values of long-term borrowings have been determined based on period-end trading prices of long-term borrowings on the secondary market (Level 2). As at September 30, 2015, the carrying value of Cenovus’s long-term debt was $6,312 million and the fair value was $6,205 million (December 31, 2014 carrying value — $5,458 million, fair value — $5,726 million).

 

Available for sale financial assets comprise private equity investments. These assets are carried at fair value on the Consolidated Balance Sheets in other assets. Fair value is determined based on recent private placement transactions (Level 3) when available. When fair value cannot be reliably measured, these assets are carried at cost. The following table provides a reconciliation of changes in the fair value of available for sale financial assets:

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

As at

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair Value, Beginning of Year

 

32

 

32

 

Acquisition of Investments

 

2

 

4

 

Reclassification of Equity Investments

 

 

(4

)

Fair Value, End of Period

 

34

 

32

 

 

B) Fair Value of Risk Management Assets and Liabilities

 

The Company’s risk management assets and liabilities consist of crude oil, natural gas and power purchase contracts. Crude oil and natural gas contracts are recorded at their estimated fair value based on the difference between the contracted price and the period-end forward price for the same commodity, using quoted market prices or the period-end forward price for the same commodity extrapolated to the end of the term of the contract (Level 2). The fair value of power purchase contracts are calculated internally based on observable and unobservable inputs such as forward power prices in less active markets (Level 3). The unobservable inputs are obtained from third parties whenever possible and reviewed by the Company for reasonableness. The forward prices used in the determination of the fair value of the power purchase contracts as at September 30, 2015 range from $34.00 to $42.75 per megawatt hour.

 

Summary of Unrealized Risk Management Positions

 

 

 

September 30, 2015

 

December 31, 2014

 

 

 

Risk Management

 

Risk Management

 

As at

 

Asset

 

Liability

 

Net

 

Asset

 

Liability

 

Net

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Commodity Prices

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil

 

295

 

 

295

 

423

 

7

 

416

 

Natural Gas

 

14

 

 

14

 

55

 

 

55

 

Power

 

 

12

 

(12

)

 

9

 

(9

)

Total Fair Value

 

309

 

12

 

297

 

478

 

16

 

462

 

 

The following table presents the Company’s fair value hierarchy for risk management assets and liabilities carried at fair value:

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

As at

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Prices Sourced From Observable Data or Market Corroboration (Level 2)

 

309

 

471

 

Prices Determined From Unobservable Inputs (Level 3)

 

(12

)

(9

)

 

 

297

 

462

 

 

Prices sourced from observable data or market corroboration refers to the fair value of contracts valued in part using active quotes and in part using observable, market-corroborated data. Prices determined from unobservable inputs refers to the fair value of contracts valued using data that is both unobservable and significant to the overall fair value measurement.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

75



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

The following table provides a reconciliation of changes in the fair value of Cenovus’s risk management assets and liabilities from January 1 to September 30:

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair Value of Contracts, Beginning of Year

 

462

 

(129

)

Fair Value of Contracts Realized During the Period (1)

 

(417

)

85

 

Change in Fair Value of Contracts in Place at Beginning of Year and Contracts Entered Into During the Period (2)

 

248

 

95

 

Unrealized Foreign Exchange Gain (Loss) on U.S. Dollar Contracts

 

4

 

(3

)

Fair Value of Contracts, End of Period

 

297

 

48

 

 


(1) Includes a realized loss of $7 million related to the power contracts (2014 — $2 million loss).

(2) Includes a decrease of $10 million related to the power contracts (2014 — $2 million decrease).

 

C) Earnings Impact of (Gains) Losses From Risk Management Positions

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

For the period ended September 30,

 

2015

 

2014

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized (Gain) Loss (1)

 

(220

)

 

(417

)

85

 

Unrealized (Gain) Loss (2)

 

(127

)

(165

)

169

 

(180

)

(Gain) Loss on Risk Management

 

(347

)

(165

)

(248

)

(95

)

 


(1) Realized gains and losses on risk management are recorded in the operating segment to which the derivative instrument relates.

(2) Unrealized gains and losses on risk management are recorded in the Corporate and Eliminations segment.

 

21. RISK MANAGEMENT

 

The Company is exposed to financial risks, including market risk related to commodity prices, foreign exchange rates, interest rates as well as credit risk and liquidity risk. A description of the nature and extent of risks arising from the Company’s financial assets and liabilities can be found in the notes to the annual Consolidated Financial Statements as at December 31, 2014. The Company’s exposure to these risks has not changed significantly since December 31, 2014.

 

Net Fair Value of Commodity Price Positions

 

As at September 30, 2015

 

Notional Volumes

 

Terms

 

Average Price

 

Fair Value

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil Contracts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed Price Contracts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Brent Fixed Price

 

18,000 bbls/d

 

January – December 2015

 

$113.75/bbl

 

79

 

Brent Fixed Price

 

8,000 bbls/d

 

October – December 2015

 

$82.59/bbl

 

12

 

Brent Fixed Price

 

18,000 bbls/d

 

October – December 2015

 

US$67.22/bbl

 

40

 

Brent Fixed Price

 

9,000 bbls/d

 

January – June 2016

 

$79.69/bbl

 

15

 

Brent Fixed Price

 

9,000 bbls/d

 

January – June 2016

 

US$69.63/bbl

 

38

 

Brent Fixed Price

 

10,000 bbls/d

 

January – December 2016

 

US$66.93/bbl

 

65

 

WCS Differential (1)

 

26,600 bbls/d

 

January – December 2016

 

US$(13.87)/bbl

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Brent Collars

 

10,000 bbls/d

 

January – December 2015

 

$105.25 – $123.57/bbl

 

36

 

Other Financial Positions (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8

 

Crude Oil Fair Value Position

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

295

 

Natural Gas Contracts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed Price Contracts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AECO Fixed Price

 

149 MMcf/d

 

January – December 2015

 

$3.86/Mcf

 

14

 

Natural Gas Fair Value Position

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Power Purchase Contracts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Power Fair Value Position

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(12

)

 


(1) Cenovus entered into fixed-price swaps to protect against widening light/heavy price differential for heavy crudes.

(2) Other financial positions are part of ongoing operations to market the Company’s production.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

76



 

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

All amounts in $ millions, unless otherwise indicated

For the period ended September 30, 2015

 

Commodity Price Sensitivities — Risk Management Positions

 

The following table summarizes the sensitivity of the fair value of Cenovus’s risk management positions to fluctuations in commodity prices, with all other variables held constant. Management believes the price fluctuations identified in the table below are a reasonable measure of volatility. The impact of fluctuating commodity prices on the Company’s open risk management positions could have resulted in unrealized gains (losses) impacting earnings before income tax as follows:

 

Risk Management in Place as at September 30, 2015

 

Commodity

 

Sensitivity Range

 

Increase

 

Decrease

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil Commodity Price

 

± US$10 per bbl Applied to Brent, WTI and Condensate Hedges

 

(176

)

176

 

Crude Oil Differential Price

 

± US$5 per bbl Applied to Differential Hedges Tied to Production

 

65

 

(65

)

Natural Gas Commodity Price

 

± US$1 per Mcf Applied to NYMEX and AECO Natural Gas Hedges

 

(20

)

20

 

Power Commodity Price

 

± $25 per MWHr Applied to Power Hedge

 

19

 

(19

)

 

22. COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES

 

A) Commitments

 

Cenovus has entered into various commitments in the normal course of operations primarily related to demand charges on firm transportation agreements. In addition, the Company has commitments related to its risk management program and an obligation to fund its defined benefit pension and other post-employment benefit plans. Additional information related to the Company’s commitments can be found in the notes to the annual Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended December 31, 2014. In the third quarter, net transportation commitments of $92 million were assumed upon the acquisition of the Company’s crude-by-rail terminal. The Company did not enter into any other new material contracts for the nine months ended September 30, 2015.

 

B) Legal Proceedings

 

Cenovus is involved in a limited number of legal claims associated with the normal course of operations. Cenovus believes it has made adequate provisions for such legal claims. There are no individually or collectively significant claims.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

 

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

77



 

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION (unaudited)

 

Financial Statistics

($ millions, except per share amounts)

 

Revenues

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Year

 

Q4

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Sales

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Upstream

 

3,737

 

1,152

 

1,410

 

1,175

 

8,261

 

1,721

 

6,540

 

2,147

 

2,295

 

2,098

 

Refining and Marketing

 

6,775

 

2,242

 

2,437

 

2,096

 

12,658

 

2,773

 

9,885

 

3,144

 

3,483

 

3,258

 

Corporate and Eliminations

 

(260

)

(86

)

(68

)

(106

)

(812

)

(156

)

(656

)

(197

)

(218

)

(241

)

Less: Royalties

 

112

 

35

 

53

 

24

 

465

 

100

 

365

 

124

 

138

 

103

 

Revenues

 

10,140

 

3,273

 

3,726

 

3,141

 

19,642

 

4,238

 

15,404

 

4,970

 

5,422

 

5,012

 

 

Operating Cash Flow

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Year

 

Q4

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Crude Oil and Natural Gas Liquids

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek

 

380

 

167

 

129

 

84

 

965

 

228

 

737

 

297

 

227

 

213

 

Christina Lake

 

473

 

159

 

198

 

116

 

1,051

 

237

 

814

 

308

 

291

 

215

 

Conventional

 

549

 

162

 

221

 

166

 

1,360

 

273

 

1,087

 

352

 

388

 

347

 

Natural Gas

 

238

 

79

 

78

 

81

 

553

 

111

 

442

 

129

 

162

 

151

 

Other Upstream Operations

 

12

 

3

 

2

 

7

 

18

 

12

 

6

 

 

8

 

(2

)

 

 

1,652

 

570

 

628

 

454

 

3,947

 

861

 

3,086

 

1,086

 

1,076

 

924

 

Refining and Marketing

 

424

 

29

 

300

 

95

 

211

 

(322

)

533

 

68

 

220

 

245

 

Operating Cash Flow (1)

 

2,076

 

599

 

928

 

549

 

4,158

 

539

 

3,619

 

1,154

 

1,296

 

1,169

 

 

Cash Flow

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Year

 

Q4

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Cash from Operating Activities

 

1,152

 

542

 

335

 

275

 

3,526

 

868

 

2,658

 

1,092

 

1,109

 

457

 

Deduct (Add Back):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Change in Other Assets and Liabilities

 

(81

)

(13

)

(14

)

(54

)

(135

)

(38

)

(97

)

(28

)

(27

)

(42

)

Net Change in Non-Cash Working Capital

 

(183

)

111

 

(128

)

(166

)

182

 

505

 

(323

)

135

 

(53

)

(405

)

Cash Flow (2)

 

1,416

 

444

 

477

 

495

 

3,479

 

401

 

3,078

 

985

 

1,189

 

904

 

Per Share

- Basic

 

1.74

 

0.53

 

0.58

 

0.64

 

4.60

 

0.53

 

4.07

 

1.30

 

1.57

 

1.20

 

 

- Diluted

 

1.74

 

0.53

 

0.58

 

0.64

 

4.59

 

0.53

 

4.06

 

1.30

 

1.57

 

1.19

 

 

Earnings

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Year

 

Q4

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Operating Earnings (Loss) (3)

 

35

 

(28

)

151

 

(88

)

633

 

(590

)

1,223

 

372

 

473

 

378

 

Per Share

- Diluted

 

0.04

 

(0.03

)

0.18

 

(0.11

)

0.84

 

(0.78

)

1.61

 

0.49

 

0.62

 

0.50

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Earnings (Loss)

 

1,259

 

1,801

 

126

 

(668

)

744

 

(472

)

1,216

 

354

 

615

 

247

 

Per Share

- Basic

 

1.55

 

2.16

 

0.15

 

(0.86

)

0.98

 

(0.62

)

1.61

 

0.47

 

0.81

 

0.33

 

 

- Diluted

 

1.55

 

2.16

 

0.15

 

(0.86

)

0.98

 

(0.62

)

1.60

 

0.47

 

0.81

 

0.33

 

 

Tax & Exchange Rates

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Year

 

Q4

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Effective Tax Rates Using:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Earnings (4)

 

11.3

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

37.7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating Earnings, Excluding Divestitures

 

22.2

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

29.7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Canadian Statutory Rate (4)

 

26.1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

25.2

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Statutory Rate

 

38.1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

38.1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foreign Exchange Rates (US$ per C$1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

 

0.794

 

0.764

 

0.813

 

0.806

 

0.905

 

0.881

 

0.914

 

0.918

 

0.917

 

0.906

 

Period End

 

0.747

 

0.747

 

0.802

 

0.789

 

0.862

 

0.862

 

0.892

 

0.892

 

0.937

 

0.905

 

 


(1)

Operating Cash Flow is a non-GAAP measure defined as revenues less purchased product, transportation and blending, operating expenses and production and mineral taxes plus realized gains less realized losses on risk management activities. Items within the Corporate and Eliminations segment are excluded from the calculation of Operating Cash Flow.

(2)

Cash Flow is a non-GAAP measure defined as cash from operating activities excluding net change in other assets and liabilities and net change in non-cash working capital, both of which are defined on the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows.

(3)

Operating Earnings (Loss) is a non-GAAP measure that is used to provide a consistent measure of the comparability of our underlying financial performance between periods by removing non-operating items. Operating Earnings (Loss) is defined as Earnings (Loss) Before Income Tax excluding gain (loss) on discontinuance, gain on bargain purchase, unrealized risk management gains (losses) on derivative instruments, unrealized foreign exchange gains (losses) on translation of U.S. dollar denominated notes issued from Canada, foreign exchange gains (losses) on settlement of intercompany transactions, gains (losses) on divestiture of assets, less income taxes on Operating Earnings (Loss) before tax, excluding the effect of changes in statutory income tax rates and the recognition of an increase in U.S. tax basis.

(4)

On June 29, 2015, the Alberta government enacted a two percent increase in the corporate income tax rate. The rate increase is effective July 1, 2015.

 

Financial Metrics (Non-GAAP measures)

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Year

 

Q4

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt to Capitalization (1) (2)

 

33

%

33

%

35

%

35

%

35

%

35

%

33

%

33

%

33

%

36

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Debt to Capitalization (3) (4)

 

13

%

13

%

28

%

27

%

31

%

31

%

28

%

28

%

30

%

32

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt to Adjusted EBITDA (2) (5)

 

2.7

x

2.7

x

2.1

x

1.9

x

1.4

x

1.4

x

1.3

x

1.3

x

1.2

x

1.4

x

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA (3) (5)

 

0.8

x

0.8

x

1.5

x

1.3

x

1.2

x

1.2

x

1.0

x

1.0

x

1.1

x

1.2

x

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Return on Capital Employed (6)

 

6

%

6

%

(3

)%

0

%

6

%

6

%

9

%

9

%

9

%

7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Return on Common Equity (7)

 

7

%

7

%

(6

)%

(2

)%

7

%

7

%

11

%

11

%

12

%

7

%

 


(1)

Capitalization is a non-GAAP measure defined as debt plus shareholders’ equity.

(2)

Debt includes the Company’s short-term borrowings and the current and long-term portions of long-term debt.

(3)

Net debt includes the Company’s short-term borrowings, and the current and long-term portions of long-term debt, net of cash and cash equivalents.

(4)

Net debt to capitalization is defined as net debt divided by net debt plus shareholders’ equity.

(5)

Adjusted EBITDA is defined as earnings before finance costs, interest income, income tax expense, depreciation, depletion and amortization, asset impairments, unrealized gains (losses) on risk management, foreign exchange gains (losses), gains (losses) on divestiture of assets and other income (loss), net, calculated on a trailing twelve-month basis.

(6)

Return on capital employed is calculated, on a trailing twelve-month basis, as net earnings before after-tax interest divided by average shareholders’ equity plus average debt.

(7)

Return on common equity is calculated, on a trailing twelve-month basis, as net earnings divided by average shareholders’ equity.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Supplemental Information

 

78



 

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION (unaudited)

 

Financial Statistics (continued)

 

Common Share Information

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Year

 

Q4

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Common Shares Outstanding (millions)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Period End

 

833.3

 

833.3

 

833.3

 

828.5

 

757.1

 

757.1

 

757.1

 

757.1

 

757.0

 

756.9

 

Average - Basic

 

813.8

 

833.3

 

828.6

 

778.9

 

756.9

 

757.1

 

756.8

 

757.1

 

756.9

 

756.4

 

Average - Diluted

 

813.8

 

833.3

 

828.6

 

778.9

 

757.6

 

757.1

 

757.9

 

758.8

 

758.0

 

757.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price Range ($ per share)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TSX - C$

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

High

 

26.42

 

20.91

 

24.28

 

26.42

 

34.79

 

30.13

 

34.79

 

34.79

 

34.70

 

32.02

 

Low

 

15.75

 

15.75

 

19.53

 

20.45

 

18.72

 

18.72

 

28.25

 

29.77

 

30.80

 

28.25

 

Close

 

20.24

 

20.24

 

19.98

 

21.35

 

23.97

 

23.97

 

30.13

 

30.13

 

34.59

 

31.97

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NYSE - US$

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

High

 

21.12

 

15.97

 

19.72

 

21.12

 

32.64

 

26.89

 

32.64

 

32.64

 

32.44

 

28.96

 

Low

 

11.85

 

11.85

 

15.69

 

16.29

 

16.11

 

16.11

 

25.52

 

26.57

 

28.35

 

25.52

 

Close

 

15.16

 

15.16

 

16.01

 

16.88

 

20.62

 

20.62

 

26.88

 

26.88

 

32.37

 

28.96

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dividends ($ per share)

 

0.6924

 

0.1600

 

0.2662

 

0.2662

 

1.0648

 

0.2662

 

0.7986

 

0.2662

 

0.2662

 

0.2662

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Share Volume Traded (millions)

 

1,314.1

 

483.3

 

388.7

 

442.1

 

803.8

 

333.1

 

470.7

 

147.7

 

152.7

 

170.3

 

 

Net Capital Investment

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Year

 

Q4

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Capital Investment ($ millions)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek

 

318

 

96

 

73

 

149

 

796

 

159

 

637

 

207

 

209

 

221

 

Christina Lake

 

515

 

147

 

161

 

207

 

794

 

231

 

563

 

198

 

183

 

182

 

Total

 

833

 

243

 

234

 

356

 

1,590

 

390

 

1,200

 

405

 

392

 

403

 

Other Oil Sands

 

113

 

29

 

26

 

58

 

396

 

104

 

292

 

89

 

79

 

124

 

 

 

946

 

272

 

260

 

414

 

1,986

 

494

 

1,492

 

494

 

471

 

527

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Conventional

 

157

 

55

 

36

 

66

 

840

 

219

 

621

 

198

 

153

 

270

 

Refining and Marketing

 

159

 

67

 

48

 

44

 

163

 

52

 

111

 

42

 

46

 

23

 

Corporate

 

24

 

6

 

13

 

5

 

62

 

21

 

41

 

16

 

16

 

9

 

Capital Investment

 

1,286

 

400

 

357

 

529

 

3,051

 

786

 

2,265

 

750

 

686

 

829

 

Acquisitions (1) 

 

84

 

84

 

 

 

18

 

1

 

17

 

 

16

 

1

 

Divestitures

 

(3,345

)

(3,329

)

 

(16

)

(277

)

(1

)

(276

)

(235

)

(39

)

(2

)

Net Acquisition and Divestiture Activity

 

(3,261

)

(3,245

)

 

(16

)

(259

)

 

(259

)

(235

)

(23

)

(1

)

Net Capital Investment

 

(1,975

)

(2,845

)

357

 

513

 

2,792

 

786

 

2,006

 

515

 

663

 

828

 

 


(1)

Q2 2014 asset acquisition includes the assumption of a decommissioning liability of $10 million.

 

Operating Statistics - Before Royalties

 

Upstream Production Volumes

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Year

 

Q4

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Crude Oil and Natural Gas Liquids (bbls/d)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek

 

65,906

 

71,414

 

58,363

 

67,901

 

59,172

 

68,377

 

56,070

 

56,631

 

56,852

 

54,706

 

Christina Lake

 

74,720

 

75,329

 

72,371

 

76,471

 

69,023

 

73,836

 

67,400

 

68,458

 

67,975

 

65,738

 

 

 

140,626

 

146,743

 

130,734

 

144,372

 

128,195

 

142,213

 

123,470

 

125,089

 

124,827

 

120,444

 

Conventional

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Heavy Oil

 

35,739

 

33,997

 

36,099

 

37,155

 

39,546

 

38,021

 

40,060

 

39,096

 

40,304

 

40,799

 

Light and Medium Oil

 

31,787

 

28,491

 

31,809

 

35,135

 

34,531

 

34,661

 

34,488

 

33,548

 

35,329

 

34,598

 

Natural Gas Liquids (1) 

 

1,286

 

1,191

 

1,312

 

1,358

 

1,221

 

1,282

 

1,200

 

1,356

 

1,228

 

1,013

 

 

 

68,812

 

63,679

 

69,220

 

73,648

 

75,298

 

73,964

 

75,748

 

74,000

 

76,861

 

76,410

 

Total Crude Oil and Natural Gas Liquids

 

209,438

 

210,422

 

199,954

 

218,020

 

203,493

 

216,177

 

199,218

 

199,089

 

201,688

 

196,854

 

Natural Gas (MMcf/d)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil Sands

 

20

 

19

 

21

 

20

 

22

 

22

 

22

 

23

 

23

 

19

 

Conventional

 

427

 

411

 

429

 

442

 

466

 

457

 

469

 

466

 

484

 

457

 

Total Natural Gas

 

447

 

430

 

450

 

462

 

488

 

479

 

491

 

489

 

507

 

476

 

Total Production (BOE/d)

 

283,938

 

282,089

 

274,954

 

295,020

 

284,826

 

296,010

 

281,051

 

280,589

 

286,188

 

276,187

 

 


(1)

Natural gas liquids include condensate volumes.

 

Average Royalty Rates

(Excluding Impact of Realized Gain (Loss) on Risk Management)

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Year

 

Q4

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Oil Sands

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foster Creek (1)

 

2.1

%

0.8

%

5.0

%

(1.2

)%

8.8

%

11.2

%

8.2

%

7.2

%

9.3

%

8.1

%

Christina Lake

 

3.0

%

3.7

%

2.5

%

3.1

%

7.5

%

7.2

%

7.6

%

7.9

%

7.7

%

7.1

%

Conventional

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pelican Lake

 

9.2

%

4.7

%

14.3

%

6.0

%

7.5

%

8.4

%

7.3

%

7.1

%

8.0

%

6.9

%

Weyburn

 

17.9

%

18.7

%

18.4

%

16.5

%

21.9

%

19.0

%

22.6

%

24.0

%

24.4

%

19.4

%

Other

 

3.8

%

8.2

%

1.2

%

3.5

%

5.9

%

6.7

%

5.6

%

6.5

%

5.5

%

4.9

%

Natural Gas Liquids

 

3.4

%

7.1

%

2.2

%

2.3

%

2.1

%

2.6

%

2.0

%

1.6

%

2.2

%

2.2

%

Natural Gas

 

2.2

%

3.7

%

1.2

%

1.6

%

1.9

%

2.5

%

1.8

%

2.0

%

2.0

%

1.4

%

 


(1)

In Q1 2015, regulatory approval was received to include certain capital costs incurred in previous years in the royalty calculation which has resulted in a negative rate. Excluding the credit, the Q1 2015 and year-to-date royalty rate would have been 5.9 percent and 3.6 percent, respectively.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Supplemental Information

 

79



 

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION (unaudited)

 

Operating Statistics - Before Royalties (continued)

 

Refining

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Year

 

Q4

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Refinery Operations (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil Capacity (Mbbls/d)

 

460

 

460

 

460

 

460

 

460

 

460

 

460

 

460

 

460

 

460

 

Crude Oil Runs (Mbbls/d)

 

424

 

394

 

441

 

439

 

423

 

420

 

424

 

407

 

466

 

400

 

Heavy Oil

 

202

 

186

 

200

 

220

 

199

 

179

 

205

 

201

 

221

 

195

 

Light/Medium

 

222

 

208

 

241

 

219

 

224

 

241

 

219

 

206

 

245

 

205

 

Crude Utilization

 

92

%

86

%

96

%

95

%

92

%

91

%

92

%

88

%

101

%

87

%

Refined Products (Mbbls/d)

 

448

 

414

 

462

 

469

 

445

 

442

 

446

 

429

 

489

 

420

 

 


(1)

Represents 100% of the Wood River and Borger refinery operations.

 

Selected Average Benchmark Prices

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Year

 

Q4

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Crude Oil Prices (US$/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Brent

 

56.61

 

51.17

 

63.50

 

55.17

 

99.51

 

76.98

 

107.02

 

103.39

 

109.77

 

107.90

 

West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”)

 

51.00

 

46.43

 

57.94

 

48.63

 

93.00

 

73.15

 

99.61

 

97.17

 

102.99

 

98.68

 

Differential Brent - WTI

 

5.61

 

4.74

 

5.56

 

6.54

 

6.51

 

3.83

 

7.41

 

6.22

 

6.78

 

9.22

 

Western Canadian Select (“WCS”)

 

37.80

 

33.16

 

46.35

 

33.90

 

73.60

 

58.91

 

78.49

 

76.99

 

82.95

 

75.55

 

Differential WTI - WCS

 

13.20

 

13.27

 

11.59

 

14.73

 

19.40

 

14.24

 

21.12

 

20.18

 

20.04

 

23.13

 

Condensate (C5 @ Edmonton)

 

49.25

 

44.21

 

57.94

 

45.62

 

92.95

 

70.57

 

100.41

 

93.45

 

105.15

 

102.64

 

Differential WTI - Condensate (Premium)/Discount

 

1.75

 

2.22

 

 

3.01

 

0.05

 

2.58

 

(0.80

)

3.72

 

(2.16

)

(3.96

)

Refining Margins 3-2-1 Crack Spreads (1) (US$/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chicago

 

20.66

 

24.67

 

20.77

 

16.53

 

17.61

 

14.60

 

18.61

 

17.57

 

19.72

 

18.55

 

Group 3

 

19.61

 

22.03

 

19.34

 

17.46

 

16.27

 

13.28

 

17.27

 

16.65

 

17.75

 

17.41

 

Natural Gas Prices

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AECO (C$/Mcf)

 

2.81

 

2.80

 

2.67

 

2.95

 

4.42

 

4.01

 

4.55

 

4.22

 

4.67

 

4.76

 

NYMEX (US$/Mcf)

 

2.80

 

2.77

 

2.64

 

2.98

 

4.42

 

4.00

 

4.56

 

4.06

 

4.67

 

4.94

 

Differential NYMEX - AECO (US$/Mcf)

 

0.56

 

0.61

 

0.50

 

0.57

 

0.40

 

0.44

 

0.39

 

0.16

 

0.40

 

0.60

 

 


(1)

The 3-2-1 crack spread is an indicator of the refining margin generated by converting three barrels of crude oil into two barrels of regular unleaded gasoline and one barrel of ultra-low sulphur diesel using current month WTI based crude oil feedstock prices and on a last in, first out accounting basis (“LIFO”).

 

Per-unit Results

(Excluding Impact of Realized Gain (Loss) on Risk Management)

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Year

 

Q4

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Heavy Oil - Foster Creek (1) (2) ($/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price

 

36.58

 

33.35

 

48.25

 

29.42

 

69.43

 

51.95

 

76.05

 

76.82

 

79.77

 

71.44

 

Royalties

 

0.59

 

0.20

 

1.97

 

(0.25

)

5.95

 

5.67

 

6.06

 

5.40

 

7.14

 

5.71

 

Transportation and Blending

 

8.95

 

8.50

 

9.04

 

9.39

 

1.98

 

1.85

 

2.02

 

2.17

 

3.10

 

0.78

 

Operating

 

13.00

 

11.37

 

13.47

 

14.48

 

16.55

 

13.65

 

17.65

 

14.79

 

19.38

 

19.09

 

Netback

 

14.04

 

13.28

 

23.77

 

5.80

 

44.95

 

30.78

 

50.32

 

54.46

 

50.15

 

45.86

 

Heavy Oil - Christina Lake (1) (2) ($/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price

 

30.92

 

27.46

 

43.36

 

23.30

 

61.57

 

47.21

 

66.69

 

67.62

 

72.25

 

59.89

 

Royalties

 

0.80

 

0.83

 

0.99

 

0.61

 

4.40

 

3.14

 

4.84

 

5.07

 

5.37

 

4.04

 

Transportation and Blending

 

4.49

 

5.00

 

4.29

 

4.17

 

3.53

 

4.14

 

3.32

 

3.75

 

3.14

 

3.02

 

Operating

 

8.13

 

7.87

 

8.32

 

8.22

 

11.20

 

9.31

 

11.87

 

10.40

 

12.08

 

13.30

 

Netback

 

17.50

 

13.76

 

29.76

 

10.30

 

42.44

 

30.62

 

46.66

 

48.40

 

51.66

 

39.53

 

Total Heavy Oil - Oil Sands (1) (2) ($/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price

 

33.56

 

30.35

 

45.61

 

26.04

 

65.18

 

49.44

 

70.96

 

71.82

 

75.65

 

65.19

 

Royalties

 

0.70

 

0.52

 

1.44

 

0.22

 

5.11

 

4.33

 

5.40

 

5.22

 

6.17

 

4.80

 

Transportation and Blending

 

6.57

 

6.72

 

6.48

 

6.50

 

2.82

 

3.06

 

2.73

 

3.03

 

3.12

 

1.99

 

Operating

 

10.39

 

9.55

 

10.74

 

10.97

 

13.66

 

11.35

 

14.51

 

12.41

 

15.38

 

15.96

 

Netback

 

15.90

 

13.56

 

26.95

 

8.35

 

43.59

 

30.70

 

48.32

 

51.16

 

50.98

 

42.44

 

Heavy Oil - Conventional (1) (2) ($/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price

 

42.01

 

37.09

 

52.63

 

35.85

 

76.25

 

60.25

 

81.05

 

81.30

 

83.29

 

78.52

 

Royalties

 

3.18

 

1.73

 

5.34

 

2.34

 

7.09

 

6.85

 

7.16

 

7.72

 

7.76

 

6.01

 

Transportation and Blending

 

3.29

 

3.36

 

3.09

 

3.42

 

3.29

 

3.22

 

3.31

 

3.40

 

3.44

 

3.09

 

Operating

 

16.21

 

15.75

 

15.62

 

17.21

 

20.74

 

18.24

 

21.49

 

20.02

 

20.66

 

23.73

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

0.06

 

0.07

 

0.08

 

0.02

 

0.18

 

0.03

 

0.23

 

0.24

 

0.32

 

0.13

 

Netback

 

19.27

 

16.18

 

28.50

 

12.86

 

44.95

 

31.91

 

48.86

 

49.92

 

51.11

 

45.56

 

Total Heavy Oil (1) (2) ($/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price

 

35.35

 

31.63

 

47.24

 

28.15

 

67.83

 

51.74

 

73.47

 

73.99

 

77.63

 

68.64

 

Royalties

 

1.23

 

0.75

 

2.35

 

0.68

 

5.59

 

4.87

 

5.84

 

5.79

 

6.58

 

5.12

 

Transportation and Blending

 

5.88

 

6.08

 

5.69

 

5.83

 

2.93

 

3.09

 

2.87

 

3.11

 

3.20

 

2.28

 

Operating

 

11.62

 

10.72

 

11.87

 

12.32

 

15.35

 

12.82

 

16.24

 

14.15

 

16.75

 

17.97

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

0.01

 

0.01

 

0.02

 

 

0.04

 

0.01

 

0.06

 

0.05

 

0.08

 

0.03

 

Netback

 

16.61

 

14.07

 

27.31

 

9.32

 

43.92

 

30.95

 

48.46

 

50.89

 

51.02

 

43.24

 

Light and Medium Oil ($/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price

 

52.13

 

49.57

 

61.66

 

45.81

 

88.30

 

71.10

 

94.16

 

89.85

 

98.27

 

94.18

 

Royalties

 

5.30

 

7.02

 

5.67

 

3.56

 

9.15

 

6.12

 

10.19

 

10.36

 

11.37

 

8.78

 

Transportation and Blending

 

2.94

 

2.88

 

3.06

 

2.88

 

3.34

 

2.89

 

3.49

 

3.06

 

3.31

 

4.11

 

Operating

 

16.06

 

16.09

 

16.19

 

15.91

 

17.28

 

15.84

 

17.77

 

17.40

 

17.45

 

18.47

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

1.60

 

1.60

 

1.95

 

1.28

 

2.70

 

2.59

 

2.74

 

2.99

 

2.97

 

2.23

 

Netback

 

26.23

 

21.98

 

34.79

 

22.18

 

55.83

 

43.66

 

59.97

 

56.04

 

63.17

 

60.59

 

 


(1)

The netbacks do not reflect non-cash write-downs of product inventory.

(2)

Heavy oil price, and transportation and blending costs exclude the costs of purchased condensate, which is blended with the heavy oil. On a per-barrel of unblended crude oil basis, the cost of condensate is as follows:

 

Cost of Condensate per Barrel of Unblended Crude Oil ($/bbl)

 

Foster Creek

 

27.94

 

24.20

 

29.82

 

30.57

 

42.01

 

35.45

 

44.49

 

38.50

 

47.28

 

48.35

 

Christina Lake

 

30.23

 

26.42

 

32.90

 

31.60

 

45.45

 

38.23

 

48.02

 

42.57

 

49.30

 

52.81

 

Heavy Oil - Oil Sands

 

29.17

 

25.33

 

31.48

 

31.14

 

43.87

 

36.92

 

46.41

 

40.71

 

48.39

 

50.77

 

Heavy Oil - Conventional

 

11.21

 

9.56

 

12.42

 

11.50

 

15.71

 

13.98

 

16.23

 

13.25

 

17.70

 

17.56

 

Total Heavy Oil

 

25.37

 

22.34

 

27.06

 

26.91

 

37.13

 

32.04

 

38.91

 

34.42

 

40.44

 

42.17

 

 

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Third Quarter 2015 Report

Supplemental Information

 

80



 

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION (unaudited)

 

Operating Statistics - Before Royalties (continued)

 

Per-unit Results

(Excluding Impact of Realized Gain (Loss) on Risk Management)

 

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q3 Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Year

 

Q4

 

to Date

 

Q3

 

Q2

 

Q1

 

Total Crude Oil (1) ($/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price

 

37.94

 

34.08

 

49.55

 

31.09

 

71.39

 

55.05

 

77.08

 

76.64

 

81.35

 

73.15

 

Royalties

 

1.85

 

1.60

 

2.88

 

1.16

 

6.21

 

5.08

 

6.60

 

6.56

 

7.45

 

5.76

 

Transportation and Blending

 

5.42

 

5.64

 

5.27

 

5.34

 

3.00

 

3.06

 

2.98

 

3.10

 

3.22

 

2.60

 

Operating

 

12.31

 

11.46

 

12.56

 

12.91

 

15.69

 

13.34

 

16.51

 

14.70

 

16.87

 

18.06

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

0.26

 

0.23

 

0.33

 

0.22

 

0.50

 

0.45

 

0.52

 

0.54

 

0.60

 

0.42

 

Netback

 

18.10

 

15.15

 

28.51

 

11.46

 

45.99

 

33.12

 

50.47

 

51.74

 

53.21

 

46.31

 

Natural Gas Liquids ($/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price

 

31.07

 

24.57

 

39.64

 

28.51

 

65.55

 

50.82

 

70.85

 

66.70

 

78.38

 

67.31

 

Royalties

 

1.07

 

1.75

 

0.87

 

0.66

 

1.38

 

1.34

 

1.40

 

1.07

 

1.70

 

1.48

 

Netback

 

30.00

 

22.82

 

38.77

 

27.85

 

64.17

 

49.48

 

69.45

 

65.63

 

76.68

 

65.83

 

Total Liquids (1) ($/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price

 

37.90

 

34.03

 

49.48

 

31.08

 

71.35

 

55.02

 

77.04

 

76.57

 

81.33

 

73.12

 

Royalties

 

1.85

 

1.60

 

2.86

 

1.16

 

6.18

 

5.06

 

6.56

 

6.52

 

7.41

 

5.74

 

Transportation and Blending

 

5.39

 

5.61

 

5.24

 

5.31

 

2.98

 

3.04

 

2.96

 

3.08

 

3.20

 

2.59

 

Operating

 

12.23

 

11.39

 

12.48

 

12.83

 

15.59

 

13.25

 

16.41

 

14.60

 

16.77

 

17.96

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

0.25

 

0.23

 

0.33

 

0.22

 

0.50

 

0.44

 

0.52

 

0.54

 

0.60

 

0.42

 

Netback

 

18.18

 

15.20

 

28.57

 

11.56

 

46.10

 

33.23

 

50.59

 

51.83

 

53.35

 

46.41

 

Total Natural Gas ($/Mcf)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price

 

2.96

 

3.00

 

2.82

 

3.05

 

4.37

 

3.89

 

4.52

 

4.22

 

4.87

 

4.47

 

Royalties

 

0.06

 

0.11

 

0.03

 

0.05

 

0.08

 

0.09

 

0.08

 

0.08

 

0.09

 

0.06

 

Transportation and Blending

 

0.11

 

0.10

 

0.10

 

0.12

 

0.12

 

0.13

 

0.11

 

0.11

 

0.11

 

0.11

 

Operating

 

1.19

 

1.16

 

1.15

 

1.26

 

1.23

 

1.21

 

1.24

 

1.24

 

1.23

 

1.26

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

0.01

 

0.01

 

0.02

 

0.01

 

0.05

 

0.03

 

0.06

 

0.05

 

0.13

 

(0.01

)

Netback

 

1.59

 

1.62

 

1.52

 

1.61

 

2.89

 

2.43

 

3.03

 

2.74

 

3.31

 

3.05

 

Total (1) (2) ($/BOE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Price

 

32.58

 

29.95

 

40.50

 

27.73

 

58.29

 

46.14

 

62.45

 

61.85

 

65.71

 

59.68

 

Royalties

 

1.46

 

1.36

 

2.13

 

0.93

 

4.53

 

3.80

 

4.79

 

4.79

 

5.36

 

4.19

 

Transportation and Blending

 

4.14

 

4.35

 

3.95

 

4.11

 

2.32

 

2.40

 

2.29

 

2.39

 

2.45

 

2.03

 

Operating

 

10.89

 

10.27

 

10.94

 

11.44

 

13.22

 

11.57

 

13.79

 

12.53

 

13.95

 

14.94

 

Production and Mineral Taxes

 

0.21

 

0.19

 

0.27

 

0.17

 

0.44

 

0.36

 

0.47

 

0.48

 

0.65

 

0.28

 

Netback

 

15.88

 

13.78

 

23.21

 

11.08

 

37.78

 

28.01

 

41.11

 

41.66

 

43.30

 

38.24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Impact of Long-Term Incentives Costs (Recovery) on Total Operating Costs ($/BOE)

 

0.06

 

0.09

 

0.16

 

(0.05

)

0.16

 

(0.09

)

0.24

 

0.08

 

0.36

 

0.29

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Impact of Realized Gain (Loss) on Risk Management

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liquids ($/bbl)

 

6.25

 

10.07

 

1.75

 

6.58

 

0.50

 

7.06

 

(1.78

)

(0.45

)

(2.94

)

(2.00

)

Natural Gas ($/Mcf)

 

0.35

 

0.37

 

0.39

 

0.29

 

0.04

 

0.05

 

0.03

 

0.11

 

(0.02

)

 

Total (2) ($/BOE)

 

5.15

 

8.07

 

1.92

 

5.31

 

0.42

 

5.17

 

(1.21

)

(0.13

)

(2.09

)

(1.42

)

 


(1)

The netbacks do not reflect non-cash write-downs of product inventory.

(2)

Natural gas volumes have been converted to barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) on the basis of six thousand cubic feet (Mcf) to one barrel (bbl). BOE may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A conversion ratio of one bbl to six Mcf is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency conversion ratio of 6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis is not an accurate reflection of value.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Supplemental Information

 

81



 

ADVISORY

 

FINANCIAL INFORMATION

 

Basis of Presentation Cenovus reports financial results in Canadian dollars and presents production volumes on a net to Cenovus before royalties basis, unless otherwise stated. Cenovus prepares its financial statements in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS).

 

Non-GAAP Measures

 

This quarterly report contains references to non-GAAP measures as follows:

 

·                  Operating cash flow is defined as revenues, less purchased product, transportation and blending, operating expenses, production and mineral taxes plus realized gains, less realized losses on risk management activities and is used to provide a consistent measure of the cash generating performance of the company’s assets for comparability of Cenovus’s underlying financial performance between periods. Items within the Corporate and Eliminations segment are excluded from the calculation of operating cash flow.

·                  Cash flow is defined as cash from operating activities excluding net change in other assets and liabilities and net change in non-cash working capital, both of which are defined on the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows in Cenovus’s interim and annual Consolidated Financial Statements. Cash flow is a measure commonly used in the oil and gas industry to assist in measuring a company’s ability to finance its capital programs and meet its financial obligations.

·                  Free cash flow is defined as cash flow less capital investment.

·                  Operating earnings is used to provide a consistent measure of the comparability of the company’s underlying financial performance between periods by removing non-operating items. Operating earnings is defined as earnings before income tax excluding gain (loss) on discontinuance, gain on bargain purchase, unrealized risk management gains (losses) on derivative instruments, unrealized foreign exchange gains (losses) on translation of U.S. dollar denominated notes issued from Canada, foreign exchange gains (losses) on settlement of intercompany transactions, gains (losses) on divestiture of assets, less income taxes on operating earnings (loss) before tax, excluding the effect of changes in statutory income tax rates and the recognition of an increase in U.S. tax basis.

·                  Debt to capitalization, net debt to capitalization, debt to adjusted EBITDA and net debt to adjusted EBITDA are ratios that management uses to steward the company’s overall debt position as measures of the company’s overall financial strength. Debt is defined as short-term borrowings and long-term debt, including the current portion. Net debt is defined as debt net of cash and cash equivalents. Capitalization is defined as debt plus shareholders’ equity. Net debt to capitalization is defined as net debt divided by net debt plus shareholders’ equity. Adjusted EBITDA is defined as earnings before finance costs, interest income, income tax expense, depreciation, depletion and amortization, goodwill and asset impairments, unrealized gains or losses on risk management, foreign exchange gains or losses, gains or losses on divestiture of assets and other income and loss, calculated on a trailing 12-month basis.

 

These measures do not have a standardized meaning as prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and therefore are considered non-GAAP measures. These measures may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. These measures have been described and presented in this quarterly report in order to provide shareholders and potential investors with additional information regarding Cenovus’s liquidity and its ability to generate funds to finance its operations. This information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures prepared in accordance with IFRS. For further information, refer to Cenovus’s third quarter 2015 Management’s Discussion & Analysis (MD&A) available at cenovus.com.

 

OIL AND GAS INFORMATION

 

Netbacks reported in this quarterly report are calculated as set out in the Annual Information Form (AIF). Heavy oil prices and transportation and blending costs exclude the costs of purchased condensate, which is blended with heavy oil. For the third quarter of 2015, the cost of condensate on a per barrel of unblended crude oil basis was as follows: Christina Lake - $26.42 and Foster Creek - $24.20.

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

Third Quarter 2015 Report

Advisory

 

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FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION

 

This document contains certain forward-looking statements and other information (collectively “forward-looking information”) about Cenovus’s current expectations, estimates and projections, made in light of the company’s experience and perception of historical trends. Forward-looking information in this document is identified by words such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “expect”, “plan”, “forecast” or “F”, “target”, “projected”, “future”, “guidance”, “could”, “should”, “focus”, “position”, “on track”, “proposed”, “schedule”, “potential”, “capacity”, “may”, “strategy”, “opportunities”, “priority”, “outlook” or similar expressions and includes suggestions of future outcomes, including statements about: the strength of the company’s position under various potential conditions to fund its planned capital programs and current dividend level; potential resumption of investment in certain projects; adequacy of the company’s liquidity to manage through the current low-price environment; growth strategy and related schedules, including priorities and focus; projections contained in the company’s updated 2015 guidance; forecast operating and financial results; planned capital expenditures, capital investment priorities and expected conditions for future capital investments; project capacities; expected future production, including the timing, stability or growth thereof; improving cost structures, including cost reduction targets, and the expected timing, sustainability and potential impacts of anticipated cost savings; the expected timing and potential impacts of the company’s transition to a new functional model; acquisition and disposition strategy; forecast natural gas use at operations; expected SOR; broadening market access and potential impacts thereof, including with respect to shareholder returns; expected increase in production capacity through optimization activity and expansion projects; dividend plans and dividend strategy, including with respect to the dividend reinvestment plan; forecasted commodity prices; targeted future debt to capitalization ratio and debt to adjusted EBITDA; and projected shareholder value. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking information, as the company’s actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied.

 

Developing forward-looking information involves reliance on a number of assumptions and consideration of certain risks and uncertainties, some of which are specific to Cenovus and others that apply to the industry generally.

 

The factors or assumptions on which the forward-looking information is based include: assumptions disclosed in Cenovus’s current guidance, available at cenovus.com; the company’s projected capital investment levels, the flexibility of the company’s capital spending plans and the associated source of funding; estimates of quantities of oil, bitumen, natural gas and liquids from properties and other sources not currently classified as proved; the company’s ability to obtain necessary regulatory and partner approvals; the successful and timely implementation of capital projects or stages thereof; the company’s ability to generate sufficient cash flow to meet its current and future obligations; and other risks and uncertainties described from time to time in the filings we make with securities regulatory authorities.

 

2015 guidance assumes: an average diluted number of shares outstanding of approximately 819 million and 833 million for 2015 and the fourth quarter of 2015, respectively; Brent of US$54.75/bbl; WTI of US$49.70/bbl; WCS of US$36.30/bbl; NYMEX of US$2.75/MMBtu; AECO of $2.65/GJ; Chicago 3-2-1 crack spread of US$18.10/bbl; and an exchange rate of $0.78 US$/C$.

 

The risk factors and uncertainties that could cause Cenovus’s actual results to differ materially include: volatility of and assumptions regarding oil and natural gas prices; the effectiveness of the company’s risk management program, including the impact of derivative financial instruments, the success of the company’s hedging strategies and the sufficiency of its liquidity position; the accuracy of cost estimates; fluctuations in commodity prices, currency and interest rates; fluctuations in product supply and demand; market competition, including from alternative energy sources; risks inherent in Cenovus’s marketing operations, including credit risks; risks inherent to operation of the company’s crude-by-rail terminal, including health, safety and environmental risks; maintaining desirable ratios of debt to adjusted EBITDA, net debt to adjusted EBITDA, debt to capitalization and net debt to capitalization; ability to access various sources of debt and equity capital, generally, and on terms acceptable to Cenovus; changes in credit ratings applicable to Cenovus or any of its securities; changes to Cenovus’s dividend plans or strategy, including the dividend reinvestment plan; accuracy of Cenovus’s reserves, resources and future production estimates; ability to replace and expand oil and gas reserves; ability to maintain the company’s relationships with its partners and to successfully manage and operate its integrated heavy oil business; reliability of the company’s assets; potential disruption or unexpected technical difficulties in developing new products and manufacturing processes; refining and marketing margins; potential failure of new products to achieve acceptance in the market; unexpected cost increases or technical difficulties in constructing or modifying manufacturing or refining facilities; unexpected

 

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Third Quarter 2015 Report

Advisory

 

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difficulties in producing, transporting or refining of crude oil into petroleum and chemical products; risks associated with technology and its application to Cenovus’s business; the timing and the costs of well and pipeline construction; the company’s ability to secure adequate product transportation, including sufficient crude-by-rail or other alternate transportation; changes in the regulatory framework in any of the locations in which Cenovus operates, including changes to the regulatory approval process and land-use designations, royalty, tax, environmental, greenhouse gas, carbon and other laws or regulations, or changes to the interpretation of such laws and regulations, as adopted or proposed, the impact thereof and the costs associated with compliance; the expected impact and timing of various accounting pronouncements, rule changes and standards on Cenovus’s business, its financial results and its consolidated financial statements; changes in the general economic, market and business conditions; the political and economic conditions in the countries in which Cenovus operates; the occurrence of unexpected events such as war, terrorist threats and the instability resulting therefrom; and risks associated with existing and potential future lawsuits and regulatory actions against Cenovus.

 

Readers are cautioned that the foregoing lists are not exhaustive and are made as at the date hereof. For a full discussion of Cenovus’s material risk factors, see “Risk Factors” in our AIF or Form 40-F for the year ended December 31, 2014 and “Risk Management” in our current and annual Management’s Discussion and Analysis (MD&A), available on SEDAR at sedar.com, EDGAR at sec.gov and on the company’s website at cenovus.com.

 

ABBREVIATIONS

 

The following is a summary of the abbreviations that have been used in this document:

 

Crude Oil

Natural Gas

 

 

 

 

bbl

barrel

Mcf

thousand cubic feet

bbls/d

barrels per day

MMcf

million cubic feet

Mbbls/d

thousand barrels per day

Bcf

billion cubic feet

MMbbls

million barrels

MMBtu

million British thermal units

 

 

GJ

Gigajoule

 

 

 

 

BOE

barrel of oil equivalent

 

 

MBOE

thousand barrel of oil equivalent

 

 

TM

Trademark of Cenovus Energy Inc.

 

 

 

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Third Quarter 2015 Report

Advisory

 

84



 

GRAPHIC

 

Cenovus Energy Inc.

500 Centre Street SE

PO Box 766

Calgary, AB T2P 0M5

Phone: 403-766-2000

Fax: 403-766-7600

 

CENOVUS CONTACTS

 

 

 

Investor Relations:

Media:

 

 

Kam Sandhar

General media line

Director, Investor Relations

403-766-7751

403-766-5883

media.relations@cenovus.com

kam.sandhar@cenovus.com

 

 

 

Graham Ingram

 

Manager, Investor Relations

 

403-766-2849

 

graham.ingram@cenovus.com

 

 

 

Steve Murray

 

Senior Analyst, Investor Relations

 

403-766-3382

 

steven.murray@cenovus.com

 

 

cenovus.com