EX-99.1 2 bws8k043008ex99_1.htm PRESENTATION bws8k043008ex99_1.htm


Investor Update
BROWN SHOE COMPANY, INC.


April 2008

 
 

 

This investor update contains certain forward-looking statements and expectations regarding the Company's future performance and the future performance of its brands. Such statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. These include (i) the preliminary nature of estimates of the costs and benefits of the Earnings Enhancement Plan, which are subject to change as the Company makes decisions and refines these estimates over time; (ii) potential disruption to the Company's business and operations as a result of the Company's decision to relocate positions from its Madison, Wisconsin office to its St. Louis, MO headquarters; (iii) intense competition within the footwear industry; (iv) rapidly changing consumer demands and fashion trends and purchasing patterns, which may be influenced by consumers' disposable income, which in turn can be influenced by general economic conditions; (v) customer concentration and increased consolidation in the retail industry; (vi) the Company’s ability to successfully implement its Earnings Enhancement Plan, including the relocation of functions to St. Louis, MO and the Company's ability to attract and retain talent; (vii) political and economic conditions or other threats to continued and uninterrupted flow of inventory from China and Brazil, where the Company relies heavily on third-party manufacturing facilities for a significant amount of its inventory; (viii) the Company's ability to attract and retain licensors and protect its intellectual property; (ix) the Company's ability to secure leases on favorable terms; (x) the Company's ability to maintain relationships with current suppliers; (xi) the uncertainties of pending litigation; and (xii) the Company’s ability to successfully execute its international growth strategy. The Company's reports to the Securities and Exchange Commission contain detailed information relating to such factors, including, without limitation, the information under the caption “Risk Factors” in Item 1A of the Company’s Annual Report for the year ended February 2, 2008, which information is incorporated by reference herein. The Company does not undertake any obligation or plan to update these forward-looking statements, even though its situation may change. 
 -    April 29, 2008


 
NOTE:
Full-Year and First Quarter 2008 guidance was issued on March 5, 2008 and has not been updated. Estimates related to the Company’s relocation of its Madison office were issued on April 10, 2008 and have not been updated.

 
 

 
BROWN SHOE FITS THE WORLD…

with lifestyle footwear that expresses the individual consumer’s fashion sensibility. Whether at play, at work or on the town, people trust Brown Shoe’s signature brands to walk them through the stories of their lives.


Brown Shoe is proud to offer a compelling family of footwear brands that reveal an intrinsic understanding of its consumers at every stage of their lives. Each shoe is an intuitive yet calculated response to the needs, desires and distinctive personalities of men, women and children passionate about substance and style.
 

Every day, people around the globe put on shoes before stepping out into the world. Every day, Brown Shoe works diligently to design and deliver brands that strengthen its highly personal connection to consumers. Brown Shoe delivers an expertly crafted business model – across retail, e-commerce and wholesale – built on a global platform of integrated business systems and diverse distribution channels.
 
Future-focused and innovative,
 
Brown Shoe listens carefully and thoughtfully, evolving brands that give our customers the confidence to be themselves... 

   every person,
  every day,
   every moment.

 
 

 

Brown Shoe - $2.4 Billion in Sales for 2007


Total BWS
Direct-to-Consumer
$110 million
(Includes FamousFootwear.com, Naturalizer.com, Naturalizer Catalog, Shoes.com)
 
 
67% Retail
 
Famous Footwear
Appx. 1,100 retail stores in the U.S.
$1.3 billion
 
Specialty Retail
Appx. 300 stores in the U.S.
$263 million
 
33% Wholesale
 
Spec. Stores 18%
Dept. Stores 22%
Mass 37%
Mid-Tier 23%
 

 
 

 

Brown Shoe Platform
 
A greatly connected footwear company with an integrated, synergistic wholesale-retail platform

 
Appx. 1,400 total retail doors – appx. 1,100
 
Famous Footwear, appx. 300 Naturalizer, Brown Shoe Closet, FX LaSalle, and branded concepts.  130 million consumer visits per year
   
 
•2,000 retail customers served across our branded and private label/brand divisions
   
 
•Integrated ecommerce platform for all BWS brands – including 3rd largest pureplay internet footwear retailer in Shoes.com.
 
30+ million e-visitors per year
 
World class global sourcing network.  Sourced 76 million pairs at wholesale and sold 40 million at retail

 
•All BWS brands play across BWS retail/ecommerce concepts
   
 
•13% to 15% of Famous Footwear sales from BWS brands
   
 
•Front-end / Back-end perspective from retail and wholesale provides greater insights to consumer desires and understanding of trends
   
 
•Cross-skilled talent base

 
 

 

Brown Shoe Platform

Power of the Integrated Wholesale/Retail Model  Driving Growth, Profitability, and Value Creation
 
Control theCustomer Experience
•  
Fragmentation of the consumer has significantly expanded the matrix of style preferences and retail options
•  
Integrated model allows a wide variety of brands in the “right” channel
 
Maximize the Value of Footwear Expertise
•  
Consumer contact and feedback at retail and ecommerce stimulates and accelerates the design process
•  
Improves ability to stay “on-trend” across segments
 
Own the Entire Margin
•  
Capturing greater product margin on owned brands through owned retail
•  
Careful balance to minimize channel conflict

Leverage Infrastructure
•  
Optimizes supply chain and distribution
•  
Leverages shared resources and costs
•  
Increases scale

Diversify the Business Model
•  
Removes volatility through portfolio of retail and wholesale brands
•  
Maximizes returns on capital

 
 

 

Brown Shoe Portfolio

Source:  NPD. 12 months ending February 1, 2008.  This NPD data is confidential and proprietary and cannot be reproduced or disseminated by third parties without prior written consent.

Fashion
Domestic Sales = $32.7B*

Athletic
Domestic Sales = $10.8B*
 
Salon
Bridge
Impulse
Better
Moderate
Junior
Comfort
Mass

 
 

 

Brown Shoe Vision

Brown Shoe is the leading fashion footwear marketer, winning loyal customers with compelling global brands.
 

Doubling our rate of profitability while doubling our sales over the next five years.

 
 

 

Growth and Profit Drivers

1•  
Build powerful consumer brands
•  
Grow brand equity of flagship brands
•  
Test, incubate, and grow new brands
•  
Search for strategic opportunities that fit our growth criteria

2•  
Drive brands through owned retail
•  
Leverage vertical & multi-channel businesses
•  
Maximize owned-distribution and owned-branded assets

3•  
Expand our brands to global markets
•  
Extend existing brands to international markets
•  
Build and acquire brands with international demand
 
 
4•  
Penetrate growth markets
•  
Target new and fast-growing markets and channels of distribution

5•  
Drive operational excellence and maximize synergies
•  
Earnings Enhancement Plan, Real Estate Strategy, Consumer-Driven Model, Inventory Management
•  
Implementing enterprise-wide information systems to support and leverage our operations
 
Investing over $1 billion in Talent, Stores, Systems, and Marketing over the next five years

 
 

 

Famous Footwear
“Shoe Love Is True Love”

●  
Growth opportunity to a minimum of 1,500 doors. As new stores mature, operating performance will improve across the store base
●  
Real estate strategy to maximize markets
●  
Leading inventory management disciplines
●  
Leveraging multi-channel platform
●  
Using technology to redefine service
●  
Vertical synergy ¢ 13% - 15% of sales from Brown Shoe brands. Retail growth feeds Wholesale growth
●  
Approximately 54% of sales are driven by our rewards program

 
 

 

Naturalizer
“Beautiful Feels So Good”

●  
Extended brand essence to new categories and consumer touchpoints
●  
Tightly-targeted consumer communications
●  
Sell-through model; fresh trend-right product
●  
Improved product delivered when she wants
 
to buy
●  
All-in brand (retail and wholesale combined) contributes double-digit operating margins
●  
Global expansion – next 5 years, through combination of joint venture and licenses, 400 Naturalizer stores will be opened in China and the Far East, as well as an additional 32 new stores in Japan. Potential for a total 700 – 750 Naturalizer stores outside of US in next 5 years
●  
Launched Natural Soul in Kohl’s in 2007


 
 

 

Direct To Consumer

●  
Growth by winning in new and emerging markets
●  
$350 to $450 million opportunity in next 5 years
●  
Integrated platform. Consolidated Shoes.com into St. Louis in 2007
●  
Re-launched Shoes.com in Spring 2008
●  
Branded web sites and multi-channel opportunities

 
 

 
Brown New York

 
Provides fashion halo to portfolio
 
•Strong emotional connection with consumer
 
•Fashion, Style Credibility, Talent
 
•Brand extension and lifestyle potential
 
•Expect double-digit sales increase in 2008

 
 

 

Dr. Scholl’s®

•  
Innovation and technology
●  
High brand recognition and strong equity
●  
Partnerships with Wal-Mart and Schering-Plough
●  
Extending asset into new categories and channels
●  
Original Dr. Scholl’s
●  
Feel Crazy Green – sustainability product
●  
Dr. Scholl’s Studio – Mid-Tier brand extension
●  
Growth through Brown Shoe vertical model at Famous Footwear
 
 
 

 

Positioning For Growth

Survival
•  
Reorganization of Executive Team
•  
Focus on core activities
•  
Secured financing and stabilized liquidity

Rebuild
•  
IMPACT
•  
Key management changes
•  
1st Naturalizer re-sizing and reorganization

Improving Core Competencies
•  
Strategy development
•  
Good to Great disciplines
•  
Portfolio Management

Increasing Prospects for Profitability
•  
Focus on best brands and market opportunities
•  
Consumer-Driven Wholesale Model
•  
Integrated, efficient business model
•  
Naturalizer turnaround
•  
Bennett acquisition
 
Sustainable Growth
•  
Growing portfolio
•  
Organic
•  
Consolidation
•  
Earnings Enhancement Plan
•  
Brown NY integration
•  
Madison relocation
•  
Accelerating Famous growth
•  
International Opportunities – China, Japan
•  
Edelman investment

 
 

 

Appendix

Non-GAAP Financial Measures
In the following pages, the Company’s financial results and measures are provided both in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), and using certain non-GAAP financial measures.  In particular, the Company provides historic and estimated future net earnings per diluted share excluding certain charges and recoveries, as well as Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA), which are non-GAAP financial measures.  In addition, the Company provides financial data for certain of its Famous Footwear stores, including sales per square foot, total sales, operating earnings, EBITDA, cash investments, and return on investment, which are non-GAAP financial measures. These results and measures are included as a complement to results provided in accordance with GAAP because management believes these non-GAAP financial measures help indicate underlying trends in the Company’s business and provide useful information to both management and investors by excluding certain items that are not indicative of the Company’s core operating results.  These results and measures should be considered in addition to results prepared in accordance with GAAP, but should not be considered a substitute for, or superior to, GAAP results.


 
 

 

Recent Events

On April 10 2008, announced the relocation of Madison office to St. Louis

This move will create one greatly connected footwear company
 
•Will aid in achieving our vision of being a leading footwear marketer and doubling our rate of
 
profitability while doubling sales, as it will foster collaboration, increase speed-to-market and strengthen our connection with consumers
 
The transition will begin during the second quarter and be substantially complete by the end of the third quarter of 2008
 
•All of the 270 Madison-based employees have been offered jobs and relocation assistance or severance and outplacement assistance
 
We expect to incur pre-tax expenses of $25 to $30 million ($0.37 to $0.44 per diluted share) to implement the transition.
Cost breakdown is expected to be as follows:

 
Expense CategoryEstimate of
 
Pre-Tax Expenses
 
People-related costs, including relocation, retention incentives and severance                  $15 - $16 million
 
Fixed asset write-offs (non-cash)                           $4 - $5 million
 
Lease termination costs                $4 - $6 million
 
Other                          $2 - $3 million
 
Total                           $25 - $30 million

Under various state economic development programs, we will collaborate with public partners to avail ourselves of eligible incentives
totaling more than $43 million related to training and job creation and redevelopment of our Clayton site
 
•Our growth plan anticipates relocating or creating 500 - 700 new jobs over the next several years
 
•Intend to redevelop our 12-acre property over next few years to build a new international headquarters and multi-use retail and
 
residential facilities.  Working with our development partners, we anticipate a potential monetization of existing assets and an operating leaseback of the new facility or a portion of the existing property.

 
 

 

First Quarter 2008 & Full Year Guidance
Guidance was issued on March 5, 2008 and has not been updated  
The below figures do not reflect the impact of costs related to the Madison relocation

 
Consolidated Sales: 2008 estimated2007 actual
 
First Quarter $575 - $585 million$566 million
 
Full Year$2.50 - $2.55 billion$2.36 billion

 
EPS:
 
First Quarter $0.07  to  $0.11$0.22
 
Full Year$1.52  to  $1.62$1.37

Other Annual Estimates:
Consolidated Tax Rate:30% to 31%
Famous Footwear 
Same-Store Sales:Flat to -2% for the year; -3% to -5% for Q1
Store Openings:100 to 110 openings and approximately 40 closings
Wholesale:Wholesale sales are expected to increase mid-single digits for the year and increase low-single digits in Q1 as we expect retailers to remaincautious on reorders and shipping windows
Capital Expenditures:$75 to $85 million, reflecting new and remodeled stores, logistics networkand other infrastructure, and non-ERP information systems upgrades
Other:Increase in marketing investments of $16 million during the year andtargeted annual incentive compensation costs of $21 million

 
 

 

Sales and EPS – 2003 to Estimated 2008
Guidance was issued on March 5, 2008 and has not been updated

Adjusted EPS
GAAP EPS
Guidance range
 
Sales in Billions
$2.5
$2.0
$2.5
$2.0
$0.5
$0.0
 
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008 Est.
 
$2.55 - $2.50 Billion*
 
Earnings Per Share
$1.50
$1.00
$0.50
$0.00
 
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008 Est.
 
$1.62 - $1.52*
 
 
 
Charges and recoveries included in net earnings and EPS for 2006 &  2007 are listed in Reconciliation of GAAP Net Earnings to Adjusted Net Earnings on pg. 25.
 
NOTE: Please see page 16 for language regarding non-GAAP financial data.

 
 

 

Review of BWS Financials
(all $’s in millions except EPS)


   
52 Weeks Ended Feb. 2, 2008
53 Weeks Ended Feb. 3, 2007
% Chg.
             
Sales
$2,359.9
 
$2,470.9
 
-4.5%
             
Net Earnings
         
 
GAAP
$60.4
 
$65.7
 
-8.0%
 
Adjusted
$72.8
 
$71.0
 
2.5%
             
EPS
           
 
GAAP
$1.37
 
$1.51
 
-9.3%
 
Adjusted
$1.65
 
$1.63
 
1.2%
             
Gross Margin
40.0%
 
39.3%
   
Debt/Cap*
22.8%
 
22.4%
   
EBITDA**
$146.5
 
$157.4
 
-6.9%
             

* See page 23 for Debt/Cap reconciliation table
**See page 24 for EBITDA reconciliation table

NOTE: Please see page 16 for language regarding non-GAAP financial data

 
 

 

Earnings Enhancement Plan:
Savings of $26 million to date


Key Accomplishments in 2007:

Reorganization of Brown Shoe Retail and associated consolidation of key functions:
 
• Blended all retail field operations and store support functions, across
 
all retail formats
 
• Created enterprise-wide D2C organization, including relocation of Shoes.com organization to St. Louis

Continued reorganization of key Wholesale operations:
 
• Completed Brown New York reorganization and redevelopment of core merchandising functions

Consolidation of total corporate real estate and organizational locations:
 
• Needham office, Dover Distribution Center, LA office (in Shoes.com relocation), Satellite sourcing offices (Italian offices, Taiwan office, Brazil house)

Executed other key operating efficiency initiatives:
 
• Reorganized corporate and divisional finance functions
 
• Increased leverage of non-trade spend (e.g. indirect procurement)
 
• Achieved budgeted inventory turns due to retail inventory optimization initiative

Remaining key areas of focus:
§  
Distribution Network - made decision to open west coast Retail DC, enabling improved operating efficiencies across our retail supply chain
§  
Headquarters consolidation - decision to join Madison and St. Louis offices announced in April 2008
§  
Enterprise-wide information systems to support and leverage our sourcing, wholesale, retail, and corporate operations

 
 

 


Capital Expenditure Schedule
(all $’s in millions)


     
2008 Est.
     
2007
               
New Stores
 
 $  22.0
 to
 $  24.0
 
 $  22.8
               
Remodel
 
     19.0
 to
     23.0
 
    13.8
               
Logistics
 
     22.0
 to
     22.0
 
      0.1
               
Infrastructure (Incl. IT hardware)
     16.0
 
      4.8
               

 
 

 


Debt to Capital Ratio
($’s in millions, except for Dept to Capital Ratio)


Debt to Capital Ratio
2007
 
2006
 
2005
 
2004
 
2003
 
2002
Total Debt Obligations*
 $          165
 
 $     151
 
 $     200
 
 $     142
 
 $     120
 
 $     152
Total Shareholders' Equity
             559
 
        524
 
        434
 
        391
 
        350
 
        292
Total Capital
 
 $          724
 
 $     675
 
 $     634
 
 $     533
 
 $     470
 
 $     444
                           
Debt to Capital Ratio**
 
22.8%
 
22.4%
 
31.5%
 
26.6%
 
25.4%
 
34.3%


 
*Total Debt Obligations include long term debt, borrowings under revolving credit agreement and capital lease obligations.
 
**Total Debt Obligations divided by Total Capital

 
 

 


EBITDA Reconciliation
(all $’s in millions)



     
2007
 
2006
 
             
Operating Profit
 
 $    95.7
 
 $   108.1
 
             
Depreciation &
         
Amortization
 
       50.8
 
       49.3
 
             
EBITDA
 
 $   146.5
 
 $   157.4
 
             


 
* Depreciation and amortization excludes amortization of debt issuance costs in the amount of $1.5 million in both 2007 and 2006

 
 

 


Reconciliation of GAAP Net Earnings to
Adjusted Net Earnings (2007 vs. 2006)


           
           
           
 
2007
   
2006
 
($'s in thousands)
Net Earnings
EPS
 
Net Earnings
EPS
           
GAAP Net Earnings
$60,427
$1.37
 
$65,708
$1.51
           
Charges/Other Items:
         
Earnings Enhancement Plan
12,351
0.28
 
                3,927
                  0.09
           
Bass Exit Costs
                         -
                         -
 
                2,337
                  0.05
           
Insurance Recoveries, Net
                         -
                         -
 
              (1,007)
                 (0.02)
Adjusted Net Earnings
$72,778
$1.65
 
$70,965
$1.63

 
 

 

NOTE: Please see page 16 for language regarding non-GAAP financial data

 
 

 

Review of Segment Financials


   
Fiscal 2007
 
Fiscal 2006
   
   
52 Weeks Ended Feb. 2, 2008
53 Weeks Ended Feb. 3, 2007
% Chg.
($'s in millions)
         
Famous Footwear
         
 
Sales
$1,313.2
 
$1,282.2
 
2.4%
 
Operating Profit
$84.1
 
$89.8
 
-6.3%
 
Same-Store Sales
-0.6%
 
3.4%
   
             
Specialty Retail
         
 
Sales
$263.2
 
$257.9
 
2.0%
 
Operating Profit*
-$8.2
 
-$3.8
 
-115.8%
 
Same-Store Sales
-0.9%
 
2.1%
   
             
             
Wholesale
         
 
Sales
$783.5
 
$930.8
 
-15.8%
 
Operating Profit**
$67.5
 
$71.0
 
-4.8%
             
             


*Includes Earnings Enhancement Plan costs of $3.8 million in 2007 compared with $1.1 million in 2006


**Includes $4.2 million in costs associated with the Earnings Enhancement Plan in 2007 compared with $3.6 million in 2006 and an additional $3.8 million in 2006 of Bass exit costs
NOTE: Please see page 16 for language regarding non-GAAP financial data

 
 

 

 
 

 

Wholesale Portfolio - 2007

Private Label/Private Brand
 

 
 

 

Famous Footwear: Sales by Category 2007
Athletic Product = 43%
Fashion Product = 57%

Accessories
5%
Athletic
15%
Women's
 30%
Men's
Athletic 20%
Kid's
6%
Athletic 8%


 
 

 

Famous Footwear: Rewards Program

Through increased focus on customer relationship management, the Famous Footwear Rewards Program has shown continued improvement and currently contributes more than 50% of Famous Footwear sales.  The Rewards customer spends more per transaction, buys more units per transaction, and buys more often.  The retention rate is approximately 50%.
 
Famous Footwear Rewards - Active Members
(defined as purchased in past 12 months)
 
Active Members
% Member Sales
 
Active Members (millions)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
 
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
 
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
 
Members Sales (% of Famous Footwear Sales)
 
1.9
3.4
3.8
4.4
5.4
6.5
 
17%
30%
34%
39%
45%
54%
 

 
 

 

Famous Footwear: Store Maturity

2007 Sales per Square Foot

Sales Per Square Foot
$-
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
 
1 Year
2 Years
3 Years
4 Years
5 Years
6 Years
7 Years
8 Years
9 Years
10 Years
Other
 
Number of Years Open
 
$139
$152
$185
$171
$170
$182
$187
$210
$211
$242
$195
 
NOTE: Please see page 16 for language regarding non-GAAP financial data

 
 

 


Famous Footwear: New Store Sales Performance
Represents average sales per square foot results for all stores opened during the 2001-2006 period
 
 
Sales Per Square Foot
 $135
$140
$145
$150
$155
$160
$165
$170
$175
$180
$185
 
1st Year Avg.
2ned Year Avg.
3rd Year Avg.
4th Year Avg.
5th Year Avg.
 
$150
$161
$171
$174
$178
 

NOTE: Please see page 16 for language regarding non-GAAP financial data\
 
 

 

Famous Footwear: Unit-level Store Economics
(all $’s in thousands)

2007 Operating Performance
(Average store for all stores more than 2 yrs old)
 
Sales    $1.317
$ per Square Ft.    $188
 
                % of Sales
Operating Earnings    98    7.4%
 
EBITDA    $118    8.9%
 
Cash Investment
(Average for stores opened during last 3 years)
 
Fixed Assets    $176
Tenant Allowances    (98)
 
Inventory        218
 
Accounts Payable    (60)
 
Net Cash Investment    $236
 
 
Return on Investment
 
EBITDA    $118
 
Cash Investment     $236
 
Return on Investment    50%

 
NOTE: Please see page 16 for language regarding non-GAAP financial data

 
 

 


naturalizer - Global Expansion

Current and future international store base
 
Current Domestic Markets
Current International Markets
2008-2012 International Markets
 
 
            2007            2012 Est.
 
US            133
Canada            120
*Central & S. Americ a    25
*Pacific Rim        38
**China        26
 
Total        342        700-750
 
*All Central and South American and Pacific rim store are franchised
**21 of the 26 China stores are franchised byt he B&H Footwear joint venture
to an affiliate of Hongguo International as part of JV agreement