EX-99.1 12 w74385a4exv99w1.htm EX-99.1 exv99w1
Exhibit 99.1
Pro Forma Valuation Appraisal Update Report
of
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania
 
As of August 7, 2009
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Curtis Financial Group, LLC One Liberty Place 1650 Market Street, Suite 4400 Philadelphia, PA 19103
(P) 215.972.2375 (F) 215.972.2388 www.curtisfinancial.com
Securities sold through Curtis Securities, LLC

 


 

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August 7, 2009
Board of Directors
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
72 North Franklin Street
Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 18773
Members of the Board:
At your request, Curtis Financial Group, LLC (“Curtis”) completed and hereby provides an updated independent appraisal (the “Appraisal Update”) of the estimated consolidated pro forma market value of Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company (“PMMHC”) as of August 7, 2009, which is conducting a public offering in connection with the Plan of Conversion, as of April 22, 2009 (the “Plan” or “Offering”) transaction described below. PMHC Corp. (“PMHC”) is the wholly-owned subsidiary of PMMHC and the holding company for Penn Millers Insurance Company (“PMIC”, and together with PMHC and PMMHC, “Penn Millers” or the “Company”). Our previous Appraisal as of April 1, 2009 and appraisal update as of June 5, 2009 are incorporated herein by reference.
Because the Plan involves the conversion of PMMHC from mutual to stock form, the Plan must be approved by the Pennsylvania Insurance Commissioner pursuant to the Commissioner’s 1998 order approving the conversion transaction by which the Company’s current mutual holding company structure was created. Accordingly, and in order to ensure that this Plan is fair to members of PMMHC, the Company has discussed this Plan with senior staff at the Pennsylvania Insurance Department (“PID”), and, as a condition to the Offering, will obtain from the Insurance Commissioner an approval of the Offering or, as applicable, will obtain written confirmation from the Commissioner that such approval is not required and that the Company may proceed with the Offering. In accordance with the Plan, the estimated consolidated pro forma market value of the Company shall be determined by an independent valuation expert and shall represent the aggregate price of common stock (the “Estimated Pro Forma Market Value”). Furthermore, the pro forma market value may be expressed as a range of value and may be that value that is estimated to be necessary to attract a full subscription for the shares of common stock offered for sale in the Offering.
THE PLAN OF CONVERSION
The Board of Directors of the Company has adopted the Plan. As part of the Plan, PMMHC will convert from mutual to stock form and issue its common stock to its newly formed holding company, Penn Millers Holding Corporation, which will offer shares of its common stock (“Common Stock”) for sale in a subscription offering to the following potential subscribers: the Company’s policyholders, the Company’s employee stock ownership plan (“ESOP”), and directors, officers and employees of the Company in accordance with the terms and conditions of
Curtis Financial Group, LLC One Liberty Place 1650 Market Street, Suite 4400 Philadelphia, PA 19103
(P) 215.972.2375 (F) 215.972.2388 www.curtisfinancial.com
Securities sold through Curtis Securities, LLC

 


 

Board of Directors
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Page 2 of 4
the Plan. To the extent that shares remain available for purchase after satisfaction of all subscriptions received in the subscription offering, the shares may be offered for sale in a community offering and a syndicated community offering, if needed.
CURTIS FINANCIAL GROUP, LLC
Curtis is an investment banking firm specializing in business valuations, mergers and acquisitions, and raising private capital. The professional staff has a diverse background in investment banking, securities analysis, banking, insurance, engineering, accounting and tax. The expertise of the staff includes valuing, originating, structuring, negotiating and closing a wide variety of investment banking transactions. The background of Curtis is presented in Exhibit III. We believe that, except for the fee we will receive for our appraisal, we are independent of the Company and the other parties engaged by the Company to assist in the corporate reorganization and stock issuance process.
VALUATION METHODOLOGY
In preparing the Appraisal Update, we conducted an analysis of PMMHC that included discussions with the Company’s management. We reviewed the audited GAAP and statutory financial statements of the Company as of and for the years ended December 31, 2003 through December 31, 2008 and the quarterly periods ended March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009. In addition, where appropriate, we considered information based on other available published sources that we believe are reliable; however, we cannot guarantee the accuracy and completeness of such information.
In preparing the Appraisal Update, we also reviewed and analyzed: (i) financial and operating information with respect to the business, operations, and prospects of the Company furnished to us by the Company; (ii) publicly available information concerning the Company that we believe to be relevant to our analysis; (iii) a comparison of the historical financial results and present financial condition of the Company with those of selected, publicly-traded insurance companies that we deemed relevant; and (iv) financial performance and market valuation data of certain publicly-traded insurance industry aggregates as provided by industry sources.
The Appraisal Update is based on the Company’s representation that the information contained in the Plan and additional evidence furnished to us by the Company and its independent auditor are truthful, accurate, and complete. We did not independently verify the financial statements and other information provided by the Company and reviewed by its independent auditor, nor did we independently value the assets or liabilities of the Company. The Appraisal Update considers the Company only as a going concern on a stand-alone basis and should not be considered as an indication of the liquidation value of the Company.
We have investigated the competitive environment within which the Company operates and have assessed the Company’s strengths and weaknesses relative to comparable companies. We have monitored material regulatory and legislative actions affecting financial institutions generally and analyzed the potential impact of such developments on the Company and the industry as a whole, to the extent we were aware of such matters. We have analyzed the potential effects of
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Board of Directors
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
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the Offering on the Company’s operating characteristics and financial performance as they relate to the Estimated Pro Forma Market Value of PMMHC. We have reviewed the economy and demographic characteristics of the primary market area in which the Company currently operates. We have compared the Company’s financial performance and condition with publicly-traded insurance institutions evaluated and selected in accordance with the valuation guidelines. We have reviewed conditions in the securities markets in general and the markets for insurance companies, and insurance holding companies.
Our appraised value is predicated on a continuation of the current operating environment for PMHC, PMMHC, and for all insurance companies and their holding companies. Changes in the local and national economy, the federal and state legislative and regulatory environments for insurance companies, the stock market, interest rates, and other external forces (such as natural disasters or significant world events) may occur from time to time, often with great unpredictability, and may materially impact the value of insurance stocks as a whole or the Company’s value alone. To the extent that such factors can be foreseen, they have been factored into our analysis.
VALUATION CONCLUSION
It is our opinion that, as of August 7, 2009, the Estimated Pro Forma Market Value of the aggregate common shares outstanding immediately following the Offering, was within a range (the “Valuation Range”) of $45.05 million to $60.95 million with a midpoint of $53.0 million. The Valuation Range was based upon a fifteen percent decrease from the midpoint to determine the minimum and a fifteen percent increase from the midpoint to determine the maximum. Exhibit VII shows the assumptions and calculations utilized in determining the Company’s Valuation Range.
LIMITING FACTORS AND CONSIDERATIONS
Our Appraisal Update is not intended, and must not be construed, to be a recommendation of any kind as to the advisability of purchasing shares of Common Stock. Moreover, because the Appraisal Update is necessarily based upon estimates and projections of a number of matters, all of which are subject to change from time to time, no assurance can be given that persons who purchase shares of stock in the conversion will thereafter be able to sell such shares at prices related to the foregoing Estimated Pro Forma Market Value. The Appraisal Update reflects only a valuation range as of this date for the Estimated Pro Forma Market Value of PMMHC immediately upon issuance of the stock and does not take into account any trading actively with respect to the purchase and sale of common stock in the secondary market on the date of issuance of such securities or at anytime thereafter following the completion of the Offering. Any report prepared by Curtis shall not be used as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.
Curtis has made no recommendation regarding the merits of the decision to proceed or not to proceed with the Offering. The results of our Appraisal Update are but one of the many factors the Company’s Board of Directors should consider in making its decision. The Company has
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Board of Directors
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Page 4 of 4
assured Curtis that it has relied on its own counsel, accountants and other experts for legal, accounting, tax and similar professional advice.
The Valuation Range reported herein will be updated as appropriate. These updates will consider, among other factors, any developments or changes in the Company’s operating performance, financial condition, or management policies, and current conditions in the securities markets for insurance company common stocks. Should any such new developments or changes be material, in our opinion, to the Estimated Pro Forma Market Value of PMMHC, appropriate adjustments will be made to the Valuation Range. The reasons for any such adjustments will be explained in detail at that time.
         
  Respectfully submitted,    
  -s- Curtis Financial Group, LLC  
  Curtis Financial Group, LLC    
     
     
 
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
TABLE OF CONTENTS
         
I. RECENT FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
    1  
Financial Condition
    1  
Income and Expense Trends
    3  
III. INDUSTRY UPDATE
    11  
IV. COMPARISONS WITH PUBLICLY-TRADED COMPANIES
    13  
Recent Financial Comparisons
    13  
V. MARKET CONDITIONS AND MARKET VALUE ADJUSTMENTS
    17  
Stock Price Performance and Market Conditions
    17  
VI. VALUATION ANALYSIS AND CONCLUSIONS
    19  
Valuation Review
    19  
Valuation Analysis
    19  
Valuation Conclusion
    22  
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
TABLE OF EXHIBITS
     
I.
  Statement of General Assumptions and Limiting Conditions
 
   
II.
  Certification
 
   
III.
  Overview of Curtis and Qualifications of Appraisers
 
   
IV-1.
  Balance Sheets — GAAP Basis
 
   
IV-2.
  Income Statements — GAAP Basis
 
   
IV-3.
  Investment Portfolio — GAAP Basis
 
   
V-1.
  Balance Sheets — Statutory Basis
 
   
V-2
  Income Statements — Statutory Basis
 
   
VI-1.
  Financial Performance Data for Public P&C Insurance Companies
 
   
VI-2.
  Market Valuation Data for Public P&C Insurance Companies
 
   
VII-1.
  Pro Forma Assumptions for Conversion Valuation
 
   
VII-2.
  Pro Forma Conversion Valuation Range
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
I. RECENT FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Financial Condition
     Table 1 presents selected data concerning the Company’s financial position as of March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009. Exhibit IV-1 presents the Company’s balance sheet as of December 31, 2003 through December 31, 2008, as well as March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009.
Table 1
Selected Financial Condition Data

As of March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009
(Dollars in Thousands)
                 
    6/30/2009   3/31/2009
Balance Sheet Data
               
Total assets
    228,385       228,415  
Total investments and cash
    146,878       143,993  
Premiums and fees receivable
    26,783       28,753  
Reinsurance receivables and recoverables
    25,950       25,064  
 
               
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves
    118,025       116,775  
Unearned premiums
    41,218       44,811  
Total liabilities
    176,413       177,254  
Total surplus
    51,972       51,161  
Total surplus / assets
    22.76 %     22.40 %
 
Source: Penn Millers’ GAAP financial statements.
     The Company’s total assets remained flat at $228.4 million at March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009. From March 31, 2009 to June 30, 2009, total investments increased by $6.5 million, This increase was mostly offset by a $3.6 million reduction in cash, a $2.0 million decline in premiums and fees receivable, and a $1.4 million decline in assets from discontinued operations.
     The Company’s portfolio of investment securities amounted to $134.8 million at June 30, 2009 and constituted 59.0% of total assets. As of June 30, 2009, Penn Millers’ investments consisted of $26.7 million of mortgage-backed securities, and $108.0 million of other types of fixed-income securities. Exhibit IV-3 presents the Company’s investment portfolio as of December 31, 2006, December 31, 2007, December 31, 2008, and June 30, 2009. The following
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
chart shows the composition of securities of Penn Millers’ investment portfolio as of June 30, 2009.
Chart 2
Penn Millers’ Investment Portfolio
As of June 30, 2009
(PIE CHART)
 
Source: Penn Millers’ management.
     It should be noted that the Company advised that early in the third quarter of 2009, it became apparent that one corporate bond in its portfolio had suffered significant declines from which it was unlikely to recover. As a result of this new information, on July 16, 2009 the Company sold its holdings in this security, and recorded a pre-tax other-than-temporary impairment loss as of June 30, 2009 of approximately $197,000.
     Total liabilities decreased from $177.3 million at March 31, 2009 to $176.4 million at June 30, 2009. The $841,000 decrease in total liabilities from March 31, 2009 to June 30, 2009 primarily reflected a $3.6 million decrease in unearned premiums, offset by a $1.3 million increase in loss and loss adjustment expense reserves and a $1.6 million increase in accounts
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
payable and accrued expenses. Penn Millers borrowed debt outstanding remained flat at $3.0 million at March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009.
     The Company’s total surplus, as measured under generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), increased modestly from $51.2 million at March 31, 2009 to $52.0 million at June 30, 2009, primarily as a result of an increase in accumulated unrealized investment gains from continuing operations. The Company’s ratio of total surplus to total assets increased from 22.4% at March 31, 2009 to 22.8% at June 30, 2009. As shown in the following chart, the Company’s return on average assets (“ROAA”) and return on average equity (“ROAE”) improved slightly from March to June 2009.
Chart 3
Penn Millers ROAA and ROAE

For the Years Ended December 31, 2003 through 2008, March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009
(PERFORMANCE GRAPH)
 
Source: Curtis calculation based on Penn Millers’ GAAP financial statements.
 
*   Note: ROAA and ROAE are calculated using net income for the trailing twelve month period and the average assets and equity book values at the ending twelve month period and corresponding prior year period.
Income and Expense Trends
     Table 2 displays the Company’s earnings results and selected operating ratios for the trailing twelve month (“TTM”) periods ended March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009. Exhibit IV-2
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
displays the Company’s annual income statements for 2003 through 2008, as well as the TTM periods ended March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009.
Table 2
Selected Operating Performance Data

For the TTM periods ended March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009
(Dollars in Thousands)
                 
    TTM ended     TTM ended  
    6/30/2009 (e)     3/31/2009 (e)  
REVENUE
               
 
               
Premiums earned
  $ 76,294     $ 77,327  
Investment income, net of investment expense
    5,381       5,298  
Realized investment (losses) gains, net
    (7,828 )     (7,627 )
Fee Income
    0       0  
Commission income
    0       0  
Other income
    301       282  
 
           
 
               
Total revenue
    74,148       75,280  
 
               
LOSSES AND EXPENSES
               
 
               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    54,564       56,343  
Underwriting and administrative expenses (a)
    26,056       26,414  
Interest expense
    253       213  
Other expenses, net
    379       376  
 
           
 
               
Total losses and expenses
    81,252       83,346  
 
               
Income from continuing operations
    (7,104 )     (8,066 )
 
               
 
           
Income taxes expense (benefit)
    (1,765 )     (2,074 )
 
           
 
               
Net income (loss) from continuing operations
    (5,339 )     (5,992 )
 
           
 
               
Discontinued Operations:
               
Pre-tax (loss) income on discontinued ops
    (3,081 )     (3,104 )
Income tax (benefit) expense
    641       632  
 
           
(Loss) income on discontinued ops
    (3,722 )     (3,736 )
 
               
Net income
    (9,061 )     (9,728 )
 
           
 
               
Operating Ratios
               
Loss ratio (b)
    71.5 %     72.9 %
Expense ratio (c)
    34.2 %     34.2 %
Combined ratio (d)
    105.7 %     107.0 %
 
Notes:
 
(a)   Includes amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs.
 
(b)   Losses and loss adjustment expenses divided by premiums earned.
 
(c)   Underwriting and administrative expenses divided by premiums earned.
 
(d)   Sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
 
(e)   Represents the trailing twelve month period.
 
Source: Financial reports prepared by management and reviewed by KPMG.
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
     On February 2, 2009, the Company completed the sale of Eastern Insurance Group (“EIG”) to Eastern Insurance Acquisition Agency, LLC for approximately $3.4 million. Performance results of EIG have been classified as discontinued operations in Penn Millers’ historical financial statements.
     Excluding revenue from discontinued operations, Penn Millers’ total revenue decreased from $75.3 million for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009 to $74.1 million for the TTM period ended June 30, 2009 due to a $1.0 million decrease in premiums earned. Including discontinued operations, Penn Millers experienced a net loss of $9.1 million for the TTM period ended June 30, 2009 as compared to net loss of $9.7 million for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009.
     Underwriting and administrative expenses decreased slightly from $26.4 million for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009 to $26.0 million for the TTM period ended June 30, 2009. As a percent of earned premium revenue, the Company’s expense ratio remained flat at 34.2% for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009 and the TTM period ended June 30, 2009. The loss ratio decreased from 72.9% for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009 to 71.5% for the TTM period ended June 30, 2009, resulting in a combined ratio that decreased from 107.0% for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009 to 105.7% for the TTM period ended June 30, 2009. According to management, the decrease in loss ratio is due to a lower level of new claim activity across most lines of business. As shown in the following chart, since 2003, Penn Millers’ combined ratio has ranged from 103.7% to 107.3%.
     
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
Chart 4
Penn Millers Combined Ratio Composition

For the Year Ended December 31, 2003 to December 31, 2008
and the TTM Periods Ended March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009
(PERFORMANCE GRAPH)
Source: Penn Millers GAAP financial statements. Statutory ratios provided in Exhibit V.
     The Company’s commercial lines segment remained unprofitable for the TTM period ended June 30, 2009. Net premiums earned slightly decreased from $30.8 million for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009 to $30.1 million for the TTM period ended June 30, 2009. Losses and loss adjustment expenses decreased from 77.9% of net premiums earned in the TTM period ended March 31, 2009 to 76.5% of net premiums in the TTM period ended June 30, 2009. Commercial underwriting loss totaled $4.0 million in the TTM period ended June 30, 2009.
Chart 5
Penn Millers Commercial Lines Net Premiums Earned and Loss Ratio

For the TTM Periods ended March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009
(PERFORMANCE GRAPH)
Source: Penn Millers financial statements.
     
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
     The Company’s agribusiness segment was unprofitable in the TTM period ended June 30, 2009. Net premiums earned decreased from $44.9 million in TTM period ended March 31, 2009 to $44.8 million in the TTM period ended June 30, 2009. Losses and loss adjustment expenses decreased from 71.0% of net premiums earned in the TTM period ended March 31, 2009 to 70.0% of net premiums in the TTM period ended June 30, 2009. Agribusiness underwriting loss totaled $428,000 in the TTM period ended June 30, 2009.
Chart 6
Penn Millers Agribusiness Net Premiums Earned and Loss Ratio

For the TTM Periods ended March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009
(PERFORMANCE GRAPH)
Source: Penn Millers financial statements.
     The Company exited the personal lines business in 2004. Underwriting income related to the run-off of personal lines amounted to approximately $467,000 in the TTM period ended June 30, 2009. Assumed reinsurance was profitable in the TTM period ended June 30, 2009.
     Penn Millers ceded $19.3 million of gross written premiums to reinsurers for the TTM period ended June 30, 2009, an increase of approximately $2.5 million as compared to the prior TTM period.
     Table 3 provides operating performance segment data for the Company for the TTM periods ended March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009.
     
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
Table 3
Segment Operating Performance Data

For the TTM Periods ended March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009
(Dollars in Thousands)
                                                                         
    For the twelve month period ended June 30, 2009  
                                                    As a % of Total        
    Agri     Commerical     Personal     Assumed     Total     Agri     Comm     Pers     Assum  
 
                                                                       
Direct premiums written
  $ 57,779     $ 32,938     $ 0     $ 246       90,963       63.5 %     36.2 %     0.0 %     0.3 %
 
                                                                       
Net premiums written
    44,992       26,420       0       1,360       72,772       61.8 %     36.3 %     0.0 %     1.9 %
 
                                                                       
Net premiums earned
    44,767       30,148       0       1,379       76,294       58.7 %     39.5 %     0.0 %     1.8 %
 
                                                                       
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    31,359       23,051       (467 )     621       54,564       57.5 %     42.2 %     -0.9 %     1.1 %
Other underwriting expenses
    13,836       11,130       0       537       25,503       54.3 %     43.6 %     0.0 %     2.1 %
 
                                                     
 
                                                                       
Total losses and expenses
    45,195       34,181       (467 )     1,158       80,067       56.4 %     42.7 %     -0.6 %     1.4 %
 
                                                                       
Underwriting income (loss)
    (428 )     (4,033 )     467       221       (3,773 )     11.3 %     106.9 %     -12.4 %     -5.9 %
                                                                         
    For the twelve month period ended March 31, 2009  
                                                    As a % of Total        
    Agri     Commerical     Personal     Assumed     Total     Agri     Comm     Pers     Assum  
 
                                                                       
Direct premiums written
  $ 59,305     $ 35,661     $ 0     $ 263       95,229       62.3 %     37.4 %     0.0 %     0.3 %
 
                                                                       
Net premiums written
    46,085       28,494       0       1,618       76,197       60.5 %     37.4 %     0.0 %     2.1 %
 
                                                                       
Net premiums earned
    44,879       30,823       0       1,625       77,327       58.0 %     39.9 %     0.0 %     2.1 %
 
                                                                       
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    31,845       24,026       (198 )     673       56,346       56.5 %     42.6 %     -0.4 %     1.2 %
Other underwriting expenses
    13,834       11,346       0       598       25,778       53.7 %     44.0 %     0.0 %     2.3 %
 
                                                     
 
                                                                       
Total losses and expenses
    45,679       35,372       (198 )     1,271       82,124       55.6 %     43.1 %     -0.2 %     1.5 %
 
                                                                       
Underwriting income (loss)
    (800 )     (4,549 )     198       354       (4,797 )     16.7 %     94.8 %     -4.1 %     -7.4 %
Source: Penn Millers financial statements.
     Table 4 presents additional gross premium data for the Company’s agribusiness and commercial lines segments for the TTM periods ended March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009.
     
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
Table 4
Agribusiness and Commercial Lines Segment Gross Premium Data

For the TTM Periods ended March 31, 2009 and June 30, 2009
(Dollars in Thousands)
                                 
    Agribusiness   Commerical Lines
    TTM 6/30/09   TTM 3/31/09   TTM 6/30/09   TTM 3/31/09
Direct premiums written:
                               
Fire and Allied
    18,763       19,235       4,363       4,837  
Inland
    2,187       2,238       282       275  
Workers Compensation
    8,127       8,290       6,856       7,373  
General Liability
    10,212       10,407       5,200       5,670  
Product Liability
    4,721       4,871       531       426  
Surety
    22       19       0       0  
Burglary
    169       168       26       61  
Boiler and Machinery
    887       898       822       838  
Auto
    12,690       13,181       4,771       5,041  
Commercial Multi-Peril
                10,057       11,118  
Earthquake
                31       22  
 
                               
Total
    57,779       59,305       32,939       35,661  
 
                               
 
                               
(% of Total Premiums)
                               
Direct premiums written:
                               
Fire and Allied
    32.5 %     32.4 %     13.2 %     13.6 %
Inland
    3.8 %     3.8 %     0.9 %     0.8 %
Workers Compensation
    14.1 %     14.0 %     20.8 %     20.7 %
General Liability
    17.7 %     17.5 %     15.8 %     15.9 %
Product Liability
    8.2 %     8.2 %     1.6 %     1.2 %
Surety
    0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %
Burglary
    0.3 %     0.3 %     0.1 %     0.2 %
Boiler and Machinery
    1.5 %     1.5 %     2.5 %     2.3 %
Auto
    22.0 %     22.2 %     14.5 %     14.1 %
Commercial Multi-Peril
    0.0 %     0.0 %     30.5 %     31.2 %
Earthquake
    0.0 %     0.0 %     0.1 %     0.1 %
 
                               
Total
    100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %
 
                               
Source: Penn Millers GAAP financial data.
     Fire and allied direct premiums written, the largest component of the Company’s agribusiness segment, decreased by 2.5% to $18.8 million in the TTM period ended June 30, 2009. Direct commercial multi-peril direct premiums written, the largest component of the Company’s commercial lines segment, decreased by 9.5% to $10.1 million in the TTM period ended June 30, 2009 due to declining prices. The chart below shows the Company’s composition of direct premiums written, by line of business, for the TTM period ended June 30, 2009.
     
( CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)   9

 


 

PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
Chart 7
Agribusiness and Commercial Lines Composition of Direct Premiums Written
For the TTM Period Ended June 30, 2009
( PIE CHART)
Source: Penn Millers financial data.
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
III. INDUSTRY UPDATE
     The P&C insurance industry continues to experience a soft market. According to P&C insurance data from SNL Financial as of May 22, 2009 for the first quarter of 2009, after-tax realized capital losses though near an historically high level, did exhibit marginal improvements from the loss levels in the third and fourth quarters of 2008. The number of companies reporting realized capital losses during the first quarter of 2009 outnumbered those posting gains by a count of 995 to 828. The industry’s combined ratio of 102.01% for the first quarter of 2009, was similar to the combined ratio of 102.53% for the fourth quarter of 2008. Net premiums written increased by approximately 7.9% from $98.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 2008 to $106.5 billion in the first quarter of 2009.
Table 5
Historical P&C Insurance Performance
P&C individual insurance entity performance
2,691 out of 2,824 estimated P&C filers
                                                                 
    Q1’09   Q1’08   Q1’07   Q4’08   Q4’07   Q4’06   2008Y   2007Y
Direct premiums written ($000)
    118,455,173       121,804,657       124,068,523       111,594,148       116,741,582       118,218,869       485,991,577       494,306,660  
Net premiums written ($000)
    106,506,506       110,863,246       110,075,278       98,751,445       103,103,331       104,799,553       436,753,985       442,117,195  
Premiums earned ($000)
    105,705,550       108,127,697       108,519,714       107,782,211       110,306,568       110,149,769       438,802,790       439,868,969  
Losses & LAE ($000)
    78,817,336       78,364,422       70,482,463       79,487,557       77,200,013       71,449,801       337,270,449       297,370,025  
Underwriting expenses ($000)
    28,883,752       30,024,309       29,553,977       27,688,341       28,600,233       29,396,912       119,469,343       108,149,919  
Underwriting gain
    -1,995,539       -261,033       8,483,274       606,313       4,506,322       9,303,056       -17,937,002       34,349,026  
Dividends to policyholders ($000)
    343,872       386,482       326,130       803,002       1,133,648       2,083,073       2,005,743       3,322,619  
Loss ratio (%)
    74.56 %     72.47 %     64.95 %     73.75 %     69.99 %     64.87 %     76.86 %     67.60 %
Expense ratio (NPW) (%)
    27.12 %     27.08 %     26.85 %     28.04 %     27.74 %     28.05 %     27.35 %     24.46 %
Policyholder dividend ratio (%)
    0.33 %     0.36 %     0.30 %     0.75 %     1.03 %     1.89 %     0.46 %     0.76 %
Combined ratio (%)
    102.01 %     99.91 %     92.10 %     102.53 %     98.75 %     94.81 %     104.67 %     92.82 %
Change in DPW (%)
    -2.75 %     -1.82 %             -4.41 %     -1.25 %             -1.68 %     0.78 %
Change in NPW (%)
    -3.93 %     0.72 %             -4.22 %     -1.62 %             -1.21 %     -0.23 %
After-tax realized capital gains ($000)
    -7,919,560       -364,638       1,858,954       -10,166,651       1,598,324       1,505,369       -19,367,269       8,807,110  
 
Source: SNL Financial
     Fitch Ratings (“Fitch”) believes that profitability will improve moderately in 2009 but underwriting losses are anticipated to continue. Both SNL Financial and Fitch acknowledged that a primary contributor to the poor underwriting performance in the P&C sector was due to the deterioration in results for financial guarantors and mortgage insurers, which are included in the P&C industry.
     Fitch’s outlook for the P&C insurance industry is negative based on economic and investment uncertainty. Key negative factors affecting the P&C industry include: pricing trends
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
and recession related reductions in insurance exposure that will promote a decline in premium revenue and higher expense ratios; higher accident year loss ratios (excluding catastrophe losses); reduced prior period favorable reserve development; and low investment yields and returns. According to Fitch, market underwriting capacity has not declined to a level that will spark premium rate improvements.
     National Underwriter reported in August, 2009 that insurance renewals remain soft, but some experts believe that signs indicate the market has begun to turn. Some companies are beginning to turn down high risks and are raising prices as they begin to seek underwriting profit. The ratio of policyholders’ surplus to United States gross domestic product, which measures the supply of insurance capacity relative to the demand for that capacity, suggests that the market is close to its bottom. One expert noted that he believes pricing increases will occur by the end of this year or the beginning of 2010.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
IV. COMPARISONS WITH PUBLICLY-TRADED COMPANIES
Recent Financial Comparisons
     As outlined in the April 1, 2009 Appraisal, we compared PMMHC to a group of comparable companies (the “Comparable Group”). Table 5 summarizes certain key financial comparisons between PMMHC and the Comparable Group for the most recent TTM period. The selection criteria and background information of the publicly traded property and casualty (“P&C”) insurance companies comprising the Comparable Group were discussed in our April 1, 2009 Appraisal.
     The financial comparisons summarized in the April 1, 2009 Appraisal remained relatively unchanged for this Appraisal Update. The Company’s total assets of $228.4 and total equity of $52.0 million remained below the Comparable Group’s total asset mean of $656.3 million and total equity mean of $203.5 million, respectively.
     The Company’s ratio of total equity to total assets was 22.8% at June 30, 2009 and remained below the Comparable Group mean ratio of total equity to total assets of 32.0%. The Company’s ratio of cash and investments to total assets was 64.3% at June 30, 2009 and remained below the Comparable Group mean ratio of 70.2%.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
Table 6
Comparable Financial Condition Data
Penn Millers and the Comparable Group

As of or for the most recent TTM Period
                                                                         
                                    Total Cash                            
                            Total Policy     and             Tangible     Total Policy     Cash and  
    Total Assets     Total Equity     Tangible     Reserves     Investments     Equity /     Equity /     Reserves /     Investments /  
    ($ 000)     ($ 000)     Equity ( $000)     ($ 000)     ($ 000)     Assets     Assets     Equity     Assets  
 
                                                                       
Penn Millers
  $ 228,385     $ 51,972     $ 51,972     $ 118,025     $ 146,878       22.8 %     22.8 %     2.27x       64.3 %
 
                                                                       
Public P&C Insurance Group Mean
    12,858,005       3,718,911       3,113,906       6,817,464       8,342,222       31.3 %     28.6 %     2.28x       69.9 %
Public P&C Insurance Group Median
    2,952,489       828,897       766,195       1,687,845       2,194,325       28.6 %     26.0 %     2.02x       71.3 %
 
                                                                       
Comparable Group Mean
    656,297       203,549       191,587       379,975       456,182       32.0 %     30.1 %     1.94x       70.8 %
Comparable Group Median
    673,276       189,064       165,293       377,520       468,155       31.3 %     27.4 %     1.77x       71.0 %
 
                                                                       
Comparable Group
                                                                       
21st Century Holding Company
    204,676       76,228       76,228       114,701       150,471       37.2 %     37.2 %     1.50x       73.5 %
Baldwin & Lyons, Inc.
    765,742       345,853       345,853       369,849       543,677       45.2 %     45.2 %     1.07x       71.0 %
CRM Holdings, Ltd.
    452,951       101,677       98,465       273,506       340,804       22.4 %     21.7 %     2.69x       75.2 %
Donegal Group Inc.
    893,824       371,328       371,328       488,237       638,161       41.5 %     41.5 %     1.31x       71.4 %
Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    385,487       137,234       117,736       207,849       273,564       35.6 %     30.5 %     1.51x       71.0 %
EMC Insurance Group Inc.
    1,142,746       307,348       306,406       723,328       1,002,325       26.9 %     26.8 %     2.35x       87.7 %
First Mercury Financial Corporation
    1,045,694       286,838       223,154       578,191       648,738       27.4 %     21.3 %     2.02x       62.0 %
Hallmark Financial Services, Inc.
    551,279       190,555       121,220       277,022       368,415       34.6 %     22.0 %     1.45x       66.8 %
Mercer Insurance Group, Inc.
    580,809       148,430       143,014       385,190       392,632       25.6 %     24.6 %     2.60x       67.6 %
National Interstate Corporation
    969,243       243,547       243,547       584,812       572,988       25.1 %     25.1 %     2.40x       59.1 %
National Security Group, Inc.
    125,054       35,045       35,045       70,927       93,511       28.0 %     28.0 %     2.02x       74.8 %
NYMAGIC, INC.
    977,190       187,572       187,572       651,829       617,900       19.2 %     19.2 %     3.48x       63.2 %
SeaBright Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    911,125       341,811       336,425       498,059       594,029       37.5 %     36.9 %     1.46x       65.2 %
Unico American Corporation
    182,340       76,226       76,226       96,150       149,331       41.8 %     41.8 %     1.26x       81.9 %
 
Source: Penn Millers’ GAAP financial statements; SNL Financial.
     Table 7 compares Penn Millers with the Comparable Group and Public P&C Insurance Group based on selected measures of profitability.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
Table 7
Comparable Operating Performance Data
Penn Millers and the Comparable Group

For the most recent TTM period
                                                         
    Total Revenue     Net Income     GAAP     GAAP Loss     Combined              
    ($ 000)     ($ 000)     Expense Ratio     Ratio     Ratio     ROAA     ROAE  
 
                                                       
Penn Millers
  $ 74,148       ($5,339 )     34.2 %     71.5 %     105.7 %     -2.4 %     -9.6 %
 
                                                       
Public P&C Insurance Group Mean
    3,533,184       161,709       32.3 %     60.3 %     92.7 %     0.9 %     3.2 %
Public P&C Insurance Group Median
    655,419       29,149       31.3 %     60.8 %     93.7 %     1.3 %     4.4 %
 
                                                       
Comparable Group Mean
    196,170       1,694       36.0 %     64.1 %     100.1 %     -0.4 %     -1.5 %
Comparable Group Median
    166,200       7,201       35.0 %     63.3 %     97.7 %     1.4 %     3.9 %
 
                                                       
Comparable Group
                                                       
21st Century Holding Company
    62,937       (6,484 )     47.5 %     63.8 %     111.3 %     -3.2 %     -8.1 %
Baldwin & Lyons, Inc.
    176,997       10,154       35.3 %     54.0 %     89.3 %     1.3 %     3.0 %
CRM Holdings, Ltd.
    134,533       (14,860 )     51.3 %     80.8 %     132.1 %     -3.5 %     -13.5 %
Donegal Group Inc.
    378,831       17,222       31.2 %     72.7 %     103.9 %     1.9 %     4.7 %
Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    129,820       (20,512 )     34.8 %     67.0 %     101.7 %     -5.4 %     -13.5 %
EMC Insurance Group Inc.
    405,255       3,786       36.4 %     63.1 %     99.5 %     0.3 %     1.3 %
First Mercury Financial Corporation
    251,615       22,708       30.6 %     63.4 %     94.0 %     2.4 %     8.5 %
Hallmark Financial Services, Inc.
    267,758       12,208       29.5 %     62.0 %     91.5 %     2.3 %     6.5 %
Mercer Insurance Group, Inc.
    155,403       9,050       37.0 %     60.9 %     97.9 %     1.6 %     6.5 %
National Interstate Corporation
    295,525       21,474       23.8 %     56.6 %     80.4 %     2.2 %     9.8 %
National Security Group, Inc.
    59,538       (4,505 )     42.0 %     76.5 %     118.4 %     -3.4 %     -11.5 %
NYMAGIC, INC.
    107,837       (52,159 )     48.4 %     48.0 %     96.4 %     -7.1 %     -28.4 %
SeaBright Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    275,243       20,284       30.3 %     67.2 %     97.5 %     2.4 %     6.3 %
Unico American Corporation
    45,089       5,352       26.0 %     61.0 %     87.0 %     2.9 %     7.3 %
 
Source: Penn Millers’ GAAP financial statements; SNL Financial.
     The Company was not profitable in the TTM period ended June 30, 2009. Five companies in the Comparable Group also experienced operating losses during the most recent TTM period. Penn Millers’ profitability continues to be impacted by a high combined ratio, which was 105.7%. The Comparable Group reported mean and median combined ratios of 100.1% and 97.7%, respectively.
     The Company’s relatively high combined ratio was attributable primarily to its higher loss ratio. Penn Millers’ loss ratio measured 71.5% for the TTM period ended June 30, 2009, which was above the Comparable Group mean and median loss ratios of 64.1% and 63.3%. Among the Comparable Group members, CRM Holdings, Ltd., Donegal Group, Inc., and National Security Group, Inc. reported higher loss ratios at 80.8%, 72.7%, and 76.5%, respectively.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
V. MARKET CONDITIONS AND MARKET VALUE ADJUSTMENTS
Stock Price Performance and Market Conditions
     Table 7 summarizes stock price and valuation ratios changes for the Comparable Group from the June 5, 2009 Appraisal Update. Nine companies experienced a price increase, and five companies experienced a price decline. The mean and median price changes among the Comparable Group were positive 6.6% and positive 4.2%, respectively. The market valuation ratios of the Comparable Group have remained relatively unchanged since June 5, 2009.
Table 8
Comparative Market Valuation Performance

As of June 5, 2009 and August 7, 2009
                                                                                                                   
                                                8/7/2009     6/5/2009                                            
    Change in                                         Price /     Price /       8/7/2009     6/5/2009       8/7/2009     6/5/2009       8/7/2009     6/5/2009  
    Closing     8/7/2009     6/5/2009       8/7/2009     6/5/2009       Tangible     Tangible       Price / LTM     Price / LTM       Price / LTM     Price / LTM       Price / Total     Price / Total  
    Price     Closing Price     Closing Price       Price / Book     Price / Book       Book     Book       EPS     EPS       Revenue     Revenue       Assets     Assets  
                               
 
                                                                                                                 
Public P&C Insurance Group Mean
  NA    NA    NA        96.9 %     93.2 %       107.1 %     103.6 %       21.30x       26.05x         1.45x       0.66x         29.7 %     27.6 %
Public P&C Insurance Group Median
  NA    NA    NA        90.3 %     87.2 %       100.0 %     94.5 %       14.35x       10.44x         1.04x       0.95x         26.6 %     25.7 %
 
                                                                                                                 
Comparable Group Mean
    6.6 %   NA    NA        76.6 %     75.3 %       82.3 %     81.5 %       21.90x       27.78x         0.85x       0.82x         24.5 %     23.4 %
Comparable Group Median
    4.2 %   NA    NA        75.7 %     70.4 %       83.1 %     73.4 %       12.85x       11.65x         0.76x       0.73x         23.2 %     23.1 %
 
                                                                                                                 
Comparable Group
                                                                                                                 
21st Century Holding Company
    37.9 %     4.66       3.38         49.0 %     35.5 %       49.0 %     35.5 %     Neg    Neg        0.59x       0.43x         18.2 %     13.2 %
Baldwin & Lyons, Inc.
    0.6 %     21.08       20.95         89.8 %     95.0 %       89.8 %     95.0 %       29.69x       130.94x         1.75x       1.85x         40.6 %     40.4 %
CRM Holdings, Ltd.
    -6.8 %     1.10       1.18         18.1 %     19.3 %       18.7 %     19.9 %     Neg    Neg        0.14x       0.15x         4.1 %     4.3 %
Donegal Group Inc.
    -0.9 %     15.75       15.89         108.1 %     110.2 %       108.1 %     110.4 %       23.16x       20.91x         1.06x       1.07x         44.9 %     45.6 %
Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    4.9 %     9.90       9.44         65.0 %     62.5 %       75.8 %     72.8 %     Neg    Neg        0.69x       0.66x         23.1 %     22.2 %
EMC Insurance Group Inc.
    6.2 %     23.10       21.75         99.5 %     100.7 %       99.8 %     101.0 %       74.52x     Neg        0.75x       0.71x         26.8 %     26.1 %
First Mercury Financial Corporation
    -11.0 %     12.41       13.94         78.1 %     92.0 %       100.3 %     120.1 %       9.85x       6.51x         0.89x       1.09x         21.4 %     25.6 %
Hallmark Financial Services, Inc.
    -4.2 %     6.69       6.98         73.3 %     76.5 %       115.2 %     120.2 %       11.53x       12.03x         0.52x       0.54x         25.3 %     26.4 %
Mercer Insurance Group, Inc.
    21.7 %     18.50       15.20         78.5 %     66.8 %       81.5 %     69.4 %       12.85x       11.26x         0.75x       0.60x         20.1 %     16.7 %
National Interstate Corporation
    11.1 %     18.55       16.69         147.4 %     143.6 %       147.4 %     143.6 %       16.71x       23.51x         1.22x       1.09x         37.1 %     31.5 %
National Security Group, Inc.
    -1.2 %     8.50       8.60         59.8 %     60.5 %       59.8 %     60.5 %     Neg    Neg        0.35x       0.36x         16.8 %     17.0 %
NYMAGIC, INC.
    25.0 %     18.42       14.74         84.7 %     74.0 %       84.7 %     74.0 %     Neg    Neg        1.47x       1.23x         16.3 %     13.0 %
SeaBright Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    3.7 %     9.81       9.46         61.5 %     60.5 %       62.4 %     61.3 %       10.33x       9.01x         0.76x       0.75x         23.1 %     22.5 %
Unico American Corporation
    4.8 %     8.05       7.68         59.2 %     56.5 %       59.2 %     56.5 %       8.47x       8.09x         1.00x       0.96x         24.8 %     23.6 %
Source: SNL Financial and CapitalIQ.
     Table 9 summarizes the recent performance of various insurance stock indexes maintained by SNL Financial, along with selected other industry and broader market indexes. The SNL Insurance Index of all publicly-traded insurance companies increased 13.6% between June 5, 2009 and August 7, 2009. The SNL Insurance Index outperformed the broader markets indexes as reflected by the Standard & Poor’s 500, which increased 7.5% and the Russell 3000, which increased 7.7% between June 5, 2009 and August 7, 2009.
     
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)   16

 


 

PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
Table 9
Selected Stock Market Index Performance

For the Period Ended August 7, 2009
                                                 
                    Change (%)  
    Index Value     Index Value     Since                    
    8/7/2009     6/5/2009     6/5/2009     YTD     1 Year     3 Years  
SNL Insurance Indexes
                                               
SNL Insurance
    326.80       287.77       13.57       6.94       (22.75 )     (36.29 )
SNL Insurance Underwriter
    322.33       283.17       13.83       7.81       (23.15 )     (37.47 )
SNL Insurance Broker
    516.17       469.08       10.04       (5.07 )     (14.73 )     (6.95 )
S&P Insurance
    157.77       138.28       14.09       6.53       (38.25 )     (53.64 )
SNL Sector Indexes
                                               
SNL Insurance Multiline
    89.71       88.20       1.71       (2.59 )     (67.78 )     (82.44 )
SNL Insurance L&H
    421.40       358.42       17.57       12.72       (29.80 )     (34.33 )
SNL Insurance P&C
    340.66       299.74       13.65       4.14       (6.61 )     (2.07 )
SNL Reinsurance
    443.80       379.44       16.96       9.84       (27.95 )     (48.80 )
SNL Managed Care
    452.33       432.64       4.55       8.72       (19.77 )     (38.35 )
SNL Title Insurer
    528.62       425.66       24.19       (6.83 )     18.73       (47.93 )
SNL Mortgage & Finl Guaranty
    52.46       45.50       15.30       60.33       (14.97 )     (90.25 )
SNL Asset Size Indexes
                                               
SNL Insurance < $250M
    349.06       323.83       7.79       17.49       (18.87 )     (39.80 )
SNL Insurance $250M-$500M
    329.59       285.08       15.62       8.81       (23.54 )     (40.70 )
SNL Insurance $500M-$1B
    329.19       317.42       3.71       1.47       (7.04 )     (20.53 )
SNL Insurance $1B-$2.5B
    574.97       561.29       2.44       (4.91 )     (14.09 )     (12.07 )
SNL Insurance $2.5B-$10B
    409.22       368.06       11.18       1.57       (8.01 )     (27.40 )
SNL Insurance > $10B
    309.51       272.55       13.56       8.17       (25.90 )     (39.75 )
SNL Insurance > $1B
    334.97       296.65       12.92       6.95       (23.87 )     (38.05 )
SNL Insurance < $1B
    384.11       363.09       5.79       4.64       (11.06 )     (25.48 )
SNL Market Cap Indexes
                                               
SNL Micro Cap Insurance
    180.33       176.53       2.15       8.64       (32.73 )     (48.07 )
SNL Small Cap Insurance
    390.73       358.86       8.88       (6.63 )     (16.17 )     (33.17 )
SNL Mid Cap Insurance
    213.53       199.72       6.92       (2.40 )     (27.14 )     (46.89 )
SNL Large Cap Insurance
    305.06       233.30       30.75       25.21       (13.79 )     (28.92 )
Broad Market Indexes
                                               
S&P 500
    1,010.48       940.09       7.49       11.87       (20.19 )     (20.79 )
SNL All Financial Institutions
    409.26       347.62       17.73       14.27       (24.12 )     (48.61 )
Russell 1000
    1,063.95       987.61       7.73       13.47       (20.04 )     (20.05 )
Russell 2000
    1,422.56       1,318.08       7.93       14.61       (19.77 )     (17.77 )
Russell 3000
    1,086.08       1,008.03       7.74       13.56       (20.01 )     (19.88 )
     
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)   17

 


 

PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
VI. VALUATION ANALYSIS AND CONCLUSIONS
Valuation Review
     In the April 1, 2009 Appraisal and June 5, 2009 Appraisal Update, the Company’s Estimated Pro Forma Market Value was discounted on a P/B basis relative to the trading market valuations of the Comparable Group. The Company’s Estimated Pro Forma Market Value was adjusted for earnings prospects, liquidity of issue and new issue discounts.
     The Comparable Group’s market valuation ratios have remained relatively unchanged since the June 5, 2009 Appraisal Update. The median P/B ratio of the Comparable Group increased from 70.4% at June 5, 2009 to 75.7% at August 7, 2009 and the mean P/B ratio of the Comparable Group increased from 75.3% at June 5, 2009 to 76.6% at August 7, 2009. The P/B ratio continues to be the primary valuation metric generally accepted for financial services companies in the current investment climate. Penn Millers’ relatively low returns on equity and assets and negative profitability during the TTM period ended June 30, 2009 render the P/E ratio not applicable. The P/A ratio was again considered to confirm that our Valuation Range for PMMHC was within reason.
Valuation Analysis
     As noted in our April 1, 2009 Appraisal, a discount of approximately 25% to 35% based on the P/B ratio was deemed appropriate for determining the Company’s Estimated Pro Forma Market Value relative to the Comparable Group’s market valuation ratios. The Company is valued at a pro-forma P/B ratio of 50.5% at the minimum, 55.0% at the midpoint, and 59.0% at the maximum as shown in Table 10.
     
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)   18

 


 

PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
Table 10
Penn Millers Comparative Valuation Ratios
Based on the Estimated Pro Forma Market Valuation Range

(Dollars in Thousands)
                         
    Estimated Pro Forma Market Valuation Range
    Minimum     Midpoint     Maximum  
 
 
                       
August 7, 2009 Appraisal
                       
Financial Data as of June 30, 2009
                       
Gross Proceeds
  $ 45,050     $ 53,000     $ 60,950  
 
                       
Price / Book Value
    50.5 %     55.0 %     59.0 %
Price / Tangible Book Value
    50.5 %     55.0 %     59.0 %
Price / Total Assets
    17.0 %     19.4 %     21.8 %
Price / LTM EPS
  neg    neg    neg 
 
                       
June 5, 2009 Appraisal
                       
Financial Data as of March 31, 2009
                       
Gross Proceeds
  $ 45,050     $ 53,000     $ 60,950  
 
                       
Price / Book Value
    50.9 %     55.5 %     59.4 %
Price / Tangible Book Value
    50.9 %     55.5 %     59.4 %
Price / Total Assets
    17.0 %     19.4 %     21.8 %
Price / LTM EPS
  neg    neg    neg 
Source: Curtis Financial Group.
     Table 11 displays the market valuation ratios of the Comparable Group as of August 7, 2009 and pro forma ratios for the Company.
     
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)   19

 


 

PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
Table 11
Comparative Market Valuation Analysis

As of August 7, 2009
                                                                         
            Total                                                
            Market             Price /     Price /     Price /     Price /             Current  
    Closing     Value     Price /     Tangible     LTM     LTM     Total     Equity /     Dividend  
    Price     ($000’s)     Book     Book     EPS     Revenue     Assets     Assets     Yield  
 
 
                                                                       
Penn Millers
                                                                       
Pro Forma Valuation Minimum
  $ 10.00     $ 45,050       50.5 %     50.5 %   Neg     0.60x       17.0 %     33.6 %     0.0 %
Pro Forma Valuation Midpoint
    10.00       53,000       55.0 %     55.0 %   Neg     0.70x       19.4 %     35.3 %     0.0 %
Pro Forma Valuation Maximum
    10.00       60,950       59.0 %     59.0 %   Neg     0.80x       21.8 %     36.9 %     0.0 %
 
                                                                       
Comparable Group Mean
  NA   $ 174,147       76.6 %     82.3 %     21.90x       0.85x       24.5 %     32.0 %     4.6 %
Comparable Group Median
  NA     149,256       75.7 %     83.1 %     12.85x       0.76x       23.2 %     31.3 %     2.8 %
 
                                                                       
Comparable Group
                                                                       
21st Century Holding Company
    4.66       37,345       49.0 %     49.0 %   Neg     0.59x       18.2 %     37.2 %     15.6 %
Baldwin & Lyons, Inc.
    21.08       311,288       90.0 %     90.0 %     29.69x       1.76x       40.7 %     45.2 %     5.5 %
CRM Holdings, Ltd.
    1.10       18,280       18.0 %     18.6 %   Neg     0.14x       4.0 %     22.4 %   NA
Donegal Group Inc.
    15.75       401,238       108.1 %     108.1 %     23.16x       1.06x       44.9 %     41.5 %     2.5 %
Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    9.90       89,946       65.5 %     76.4 %   Neg     0.69x       23.3 %     35.6 %     3.5 %
EMC Insurance Group Inc.
    23.10       305,750       99.5 %     99.8 %     74.52x       0.75x       26.8 %     26.9 %     2.8 %
First Mercury Financial Corporation
    12.41       223,907       78.1 %     100.3 %     9.85x       0.89x       21.4 %     27.4 %   NA
Hallmark Financial Services, Inc.
    6.69       139,640       73.3 %     115.2 %     11.53x       0.52x       25.3 %     34.6 %   NA
Mercer Insurance Group, Inc.
    18.50       116,521       78.5 %     81.5 %     12.85x       0.75x       20.1 %     25.6 %     2.4 %
National Interstate Corporation
    18.55       359,109       147.4 %     147.4 %     16.71x       1.22x       37.1 %     25.1 %     1.3 %
National Security Group, Inc.
    8.50       20,966       59.8 %     59.8 %   Neg     0.35x       16.8 %     28.0 %     6.6 %
NYMAGIC, INC.
    18.42       158,873       84.7 %     84.7 %   Neg     1.47x       16.3 %     19.2 %     1.7 %
SeaBright Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    9.81       210,058       61.5 %     62.4 %     10.33x       0.76x       23.1 %     37.5 %   NA
Unico American Corporation
    8.05       45,137       59.2 %     59.2 %     8.47x       1.00x       24.8 %     41.8 %   NA
 
Source: Penn Millers, SNL Financial and Capital IQ.
     The Company’s pro forma P/B valuation ratios reflect discounts to the Comparable Group’s mean ratio of 76.6% measuring 23.0% at the valuation maximum, 28.2% at the valuation midpoint, and 34.1% at the valuation minimum. The Company’s P/B valuation ratios reflect a discount to the Comparable Group’s 75.7% median of 22.1% at the valuation maximum, 27.3% at the valuation midpoint, and 33.3% at the valuation minimum. In our opinion, these levels of discounts are appropriate to reflect the adjustments for earnings prospects, the new issue discount, and liquidity of the issue discussed in the previous Appraisal as of April 1, 2009 and Appraisal Update as of June 5, 2009.
     Based on the P/A ratio, the Company’s midpoint valuation of $53.0 million reflects a P/A ratio of 19.4%, ranging from 17.0% at the minimum to 21.8% at the maximum. The Company’s P/A valuation ratio at the midpoint is below the Comparable Group’s corresponding mean and
     
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)   20

 


 

PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
median P/A ratios of 24.5% and 23.2%, respectively, but considered within a reasonable range from the mean and median of the Comparable Group.
Valuation Conclusion
     It is our opinion that, as of August 7, 2009, the Estimated Pro Forma Market Value of the shares to be issued immediately following the Offering was within a range (the “Valuation Range”) of $45.05 million to $60.95 million with a midpoint of $53.0 million. The Valuation Range was based upon a 15% decrease from the midpoint to determine the minimum and a 15% increase from the midpoint to establish the maximum. Exhibit VII shows the assumptions and calculations utilized in determining the Company’s Valuation Range.
     
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)   21

 


 

EXHIBIT I
STATEMENT OF GENERAL ASSUMPTIONS AND LIMITING CONDITIONS
This report is subject to the following general assumptions and limiting conditions.
1.   No investigation has been made of, and no responsibility is assumed for, the legal description of the property being valued or legal matters, including title or encumbrances. Title to the property is assumed to be good and marketable unless otherwise stated. The property is assumed to be free and clear of any liens, easements or encumbrances unless otherwise stated.
 
2.   Information furnished by others, upon which all or portions of this analysis is based, is believed to be reliable, but has not been verified except as set forth in this report. No warranty is given as to the accuracy of such information.
 
3.   This report has been made only for the purpose stated and shall not be used for any other purpose.
 
4.   Except as specified in our engagement letter, neither Curtis nor any individual signing or associated with this report shall be required by reason of this report to give further consultation, provide testimony, or appear in court or other legal proceeding.
 
5.   No responsibility is taken for changes in market conditions and no obligation is assumed to revise this report to reflect events or conditions which occur subsequent to the date hereof.
 
6.   The date to which the opinions expressed in this report apply is set forth in the letter of transmittal. Our opinion is based on the purchasing power of the United States dollar as of that date.
 
7.   It is assumed that all required licenses, certificates of occupancy, consents, or other legislative or administrative authority from any local, state, or national government or private entity or organization have been or can readily be obtained or renewed.
 
8.   Full compliance with all applicable federal, state and local zoning, use, environmental and similar laws and regulations is assumed, unless otherwise stated.
 
9.   Competent management is assumed.
 
10.   The opinion is predicated on the financial structure prevailing as of the date of this report.
     
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)    

 


 

EXHIBIT II
CERTIFICATION
We certify that, to the best of our knowledge and belief:
    the facts and data reported by the reviewer and used in the review process are true and correct;
 
    the analyses, opinions, and conclusions in this report are limited only by the assumptions and limiting conditions stated in this review report, and are our personal, impartial and unbiased professional analyses, opinions and conclusions;
 
    we have no present or prospective interest in the property that is the subject of this review report, and we have no personal interest or bias with respect to the parties involved;
 
    our engagement in this assignment was not contingent upon developing or reporting predetermined results;
 
    our compensation is not contingent on an action or event resulting from the analyses, opinions, or conclusions in, or the use of, this report;
 
    We have made a personal visit to the headquarters of Penn Millers.
         
     
  -s- Anthony A. Latini, Jr    
  Anthony A. Latini, Jr.   
     
 
     
  -s- Paul M. Yeakel, Jr    
  Paul M. Yeakel, Jr.   
     
 
     
  -s- Laura E. Anastasio    
  Laura E. Anastasio   
     
 
August 7, 2009
     
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)    

 


 

Exhibit III
Overview of Curtis
With offices in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, PA, Curtis Financial Group, LLC (“Curtis”) is a leading investment banking and corporate finance advisory firm serving middle-market clients since 1994. Our expertise and experience with financial services industry clients is reflected in our consistently high national rankings by SNL Financial LC. The Curtis team offers clients the benefit of more than 125 years of collective experience, having served: public and private middle-market companies operating in a diverse group of industries in the United States and globally; and entrepreneurs, families, corporations, private equity and venture capital investors. All securities are sold through Curtis Securities, LLC, a FINRA (www.finra.org) registered broker-dealer.
Background of Appraisers
Anthony A. Latini, Jr., CFA
Managing Director
Mr. Latini has over 20 years of experience providing corporate finance and investment banking services to middle market and large corporate clients. Mr. Latini focuses on merger and acquisition advisory services and capital raising for clients in a wide variety of industries including manufacturing, distribution, and financial services. He has been involved with seven mutual to stock conversions. Prior to joining Curtis, Mr. Latini was a Director in the Financial Services Group at Berwind Financial L.P. and has also held positions at Evans & Company, Inc., and CoreStates Financial Corporation. Mr. Latini received his B.S. from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA).
Paul M. Yeakel, Jr.
Vice President
Mr. Yeakel has more than eight years of investment banking and real estate financing experience, having successfully completed projects in industries including telecommunications, flat panel displays, accounts receivable management, healthcare, software, energy and real estate. Prior to joining Curtis Financial Group, Mr. Yeakel co-founded Lighthouse Development Partners, LLC, a real estate development firm, and spent four years working in a corporate development role for CD Ventures and Gatehouse Ventures, both private investment firms located in Berwyn, PA. Additionally, Mr. Yeakel worked for Corning Incorporated as an internal corporate strategy consultant. Mr. Yeakel graduated from Carnegie Mellon’s Graduate School of Industrial Administration with a M.B.A. and earned a B.A. in English from The College of Wooster.
Laura E. Anastasio
Senior Associate
Ms. Anastasio joined Curtis Financial Group in 2005 after two years with Ernst & Young, LLP. As part of the Transaction Advisory Services Group, Ms. Anastasio completed valuation assignments involving both businesses and sale leaseback transactions. She has experience working in a variety of industries ranging from consumer products to computer technology, and has been involved with three mutual to stock conversions. Ms. Anastasio holds a B.S. in Industrial Engineering from Lehigh University. She is also a member of the American Society of Appraisers.
     
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)    

 


 

Exhibit IV-1
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Historical Balance Sheets — GAAP Basis
(Dollars in Thousands)
                                                                 
    6/30/2009   3/31/2009   12/31/2008   12/31/2007   12/31/2006   12/31/2005   12/31/2004   12/31/2003
ASSETS
                                                               
Investments:
                                                               
Fixed securities
    134,783       128,298       121,914       112,769       99,906       94,549       92,752       87,123  
Equity securities
                      13,409       13,697       12,328       12,819       11,266  
 
                                                               
Total investments
    134,783       128,298       121,914       126,178       113,603       106,877       105,571       98,389  
 
                                                               
Cash and cash equivalents (cash overdraft)
    12,095       15,695       11,959       10,134       13,052       10,021       11,431       14,387  
Premiums and fees receivable
    26,783       28,753       31,080       32,489       30,465       26,910       29,256       24,056  
Reinsurance receivables and recoverables
    25,950       25,064       20,637       15,640       18,886       22,923       18,053       22,222  
Deferred acquisition costs
    9,862       10,522       10,601       11,014       10,381       9,646       10,352       9,243  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    3,769       4,170       4,342       4,234       4,119       3,645       3,731       3,209  
Accrued investment income
    1,565       1,391       1,431       1,499       1,439       1,302       1,225       1,236  
PP&E, less accumulated depreciation
    3,958       4,071       4,231       4,401       4,228       4,255       5,020       5,583  
Income taxes receivable
    738       1,294       1,508       1,056             894                
Deferred income taxes
    3,240       3,656       4,728       1,872       1,439       1,429              
Other
    5,642       4,058       4,879       3,972       2,812       2,557       2,144       1,845  
Assets from discontinued operations
          1,443       3,214       7,124       7,344       7,438       5,237       5,285  
 
                                                               
Total assets
    228,385       228,415       220,524       219,613       207,768       197,897       192,020       185,455  
 
                                                               
 
                                                               
LIABILITIES AND SURPLUS
                                                               
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves
    118,025       116,775       108,065       95,956       89,405       83,849       73,287       69,463  
Unearned premiums
    41,218       44,811       45,322       46,595       43,294       39,984       42,798       38,090  
Accounts due reinsurers
                                        2,597       4,973  
Accounts payable and accrued expenses
    14,211       12,631       13,353       12,874       10,394       9,603       7,991       7,226  
Deferred income taxes payable
                                        673       1,344  
Income taxes payable
                            256       1       22       161  
Long-term debt
    2,959       3,037       2,382       1,745       2,307       4,400       3,064       3,059  
Liabilities from discontinued operations
                647       1,042       1,582       2,291       1,682       1,864  
 
                                                               
 
                                                               
Total liabilities
    176,413       177,254       169,769       158,212       147,238       140,128       132,114       126,180  
 
                                                               
Unassigned surplus
    51,730       51,945       51,914       59,293       58,207       56,127       55,837       54,439  
Accumulated other comprehensive income, net
    242       (784 )     (1,159 )     2,108       2,323       1,642       4,069       4,836  
 
                                                               
Total surplus
    51,972       51,161       50,755       61,401       60,530       57,769       59,906       59,275  
 
                                                               
Total liabilities and surplus
    228,385       228,415       220,524       219,613       207,768       197,897       192,020       185,455  
 
                                                               
Performance and Capital Ratios
                                                               
Return on average assets
    -2.37 %     -2.66 %     -2.03 %     0.68 %     0.94 %     0.12 %     0.64 %     1.00 %
Return on average surplus
    -9.61 %     -10.57 %     -7.95 %     2.38 %     3.23 %     0.41 %     2.03 %     3.12 %
Surplus to total assets
    22.76 %     22.40 %     23.02 %     27.96 %     29.13 %     29.19 %     31.20 %     31.96 %
Notes:
Source: Financial reports prepared by management and reviewed by KPMG.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit IV-2
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Historical Income Statements — GAAP Basis
(Dollars in Thousands)
                                                                 
    TTM ended   TTM ended                        
    6/30/2009 (e)   3/31/2009 (e)   2008   2007   2006   2005   2004   2003
REVENUE
                                                               
Premiums earned
  $ 76,294     $ 77,327     $ 78,737     $ 70,970     $ 64,645     $ 64,723     $ 63,090     $ 56,065  
Investment income, net of investment expense
    5,381       5,298       5,335       5,324       4,677       4,444       4,278       4,058  
Realized investment (losses) gains, net
    (7,828 )     (7,627 )     (5,819 )     (702 )     349       424       936       833  
Other income
    301       282       411       508       345       277       301       371  
 
                                                               
Total revenue
    74,148       75,280       78,664       76,100       70,016       69,868       68,605       61,327  
 
                                                               
LOSSES AND EXPENSES
                                                               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    54,564       56,343       57,390       49,783       43,766       40,242       42,910       35,822  
Underwriting and administrative expenses (a)
    26,056       26,414       26,562       24,163       23,296       29,221       24,359       22,911  
Interest expense
    253       213       184       125       222       195       51       56  
Other expenses, net
    379       376       365       184       314       266       82       101  
 
                                                               
Total losses and expenses
    81,252       83,346       84,501       74,255       67,598       69,924       67,402       58,890  
 
                                                               
Income from continuing operations
    (7,104 )     (8,066 )     (5,837 )     1,845       2,418       (56 )     1,203       2,437  
 
                                                               
 
                                                               
Income taxes expense (benefit)
    (1,765 )     (2,074 )     (1,378 )     396       506       (296 )     (4 )     587  
 
                                                               
 
                                                               
Net income (loss) from continuing operations
    (5,339 )     (5,992 )     (4,459 )     1,449       1,912       240       1,207       1,850  
 
                                                               
 
                                                               
Discontinued Operations:
                                                               
Pre-tax (loss) income on discontinued ops
    (3,081 )     (3,104 )     (3,090 )     (489 )     292       385       240       340  
Income tax (benefit) expense
    641       632       (170 )     (126 )     124       151       63       143  
 
                                                               
(Loss) income on discontinued ops
    (3,722 )     (3,736 )     (2,920 )     (363 )     168       234       177       197  
 
                                                               
Net income
    (9,061 )     (9,728 )     (7,379 )     1,086       2,080       474       1,384       2,047  
 
                                                               
Operating Ratios
                                                               
Loss ratio (b)
    71.5 %     72.9 %     72.9 %     70.1 %     67.7 %     62.2 %     68.0 %     63.9 %
Expense ratio (c)
    34.2 %     34.2 %     33.7 %     34.0 %     36.0 %     45.1 %     38.6 %     40.9 %
Combined ratio (d)
    105.7 %     107.0 %     106.6 %     104.2 %     103.7 %     107.3 %     106.6 %     104.8 %
Notes:
 
(a)   Includes amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs.
 
(b)   Losses and loss adjustment expenses divided by premiums earned.
 
(c)   Underwriting and administrative expenses divided by premiums earned.
 
(d)   Sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
 
(e)   Represents the trailing twelve month period.
 
Source: Financial reports prepared by management and reviewed by KPMG. Statutory financials provided in Exhibit V.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit IV-3
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Investment Portfolio
(Dollars in Thousands)
                                                                 
    6/30/2009   12/31/2008   12/31/2007   12/31/2006
    Amortized   Estimated   Amortized   Estimated   Amortized   Estimated   Amortized   Estimated
    Cost   Fair Value   Cost   Fair Value   Cost   Fair Value   Cost   Fair Value
ASSETS
                                                               
Fixed Securities:
                                                               
U.S. government and agencies
    24,796       25,744       23,459       25,399       26,360       26,984       27,509       27,461  
State and political subdivisions
    31,654       33,163       31,775       32,957       30,321       31,134       26,538       27,047  
Mortgage backed
    26,423       26,745       25,374       25,305       20,636       20,724       11,618       11,488  
Corporate
    48,524       49,131       39,930       38,253       33,656       33,927       33,964       33,910  
                 
Total fixed securities
    131,397       134,783       120,538       121,914       110,973       112,769       99,629       99,906  
 
                                                               
Equity
                            10,525       13,409       10,476       13,697  
                 
Total investment securities
    131,397       134,783       120,538       121,914       121,498       126,178       110,105       113,603  
Notes:
Source: Financial reports prepared by management and reviewed by KPMG.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit V-1
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company (b)
Historical Balance Sheets — Statutory Basis (a)
(Dollars in Thousands)
                                                 
    12/31/2008   12/31/2007   12/31/2006   12/31/2005   12/31/2004   12/31/2003
ASSETS
                                               
 
                                               
Investments:
                                               
Bonds
    120,538       110,972       99,628       93,879       89,641       82,441  
Stocks
    1       13,411       13,697       12,329       12,819       11,267  
Real estate
    2,694       2,788       2,909       1,199       1,204       1,076  
Receivables for securities
            91                          
 
                                               
Total investments
    123,233       127,262       116,234       107,407       103,664       94,784  
 
                                               
Cash and cash equivalents (cash overdraft)
    11,695       10,034       12,911       9,459       10,996       14,365  
Premiums and considerations
    31,950       32,416       30,396       26,730       29,076       23,919  
Reinsurance receivables
    3,074       917       1,120       1,114       838       1,036  
Accrued investment income
    1,431       1,499       1,439       1,302       1,225       1,236  
Other receivables
    1,160       1,723       1,524       1,682       1,490       926  
PP&E
    642       857       508       152       194       295  
Income taxes receivable
    1,406       646             10       13        
Deferred income taxes
    5,190       4,893       4,242       4,071       3,820       3,747  
Receivable from parent
    186       557       219       361       204       250  
Aggregate write-ins for other than invested assets
    2,973       3,011       1,960       1,761       981       517  
 
                                               
 
                                               
Total assets
    182,941       183,815       170,553       154,049       152,501       141,075  
 
                                               
 
                                               
LIABILITIES AND SURPLUS
                                               
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves
    85,439       77,222       69,317       61,033       55,805       48,072  
Unearned premiums
    41,061       42,499       39,221       36,348       39,102       35,122  
Accounts due reinsurers and provisions
    5       22       276       227       100       287  
Commissions payable, contingent commissions
    1,488       2,515       2,581       2,292       2,867       2,154  
Other expenses
    6,411       6,532       6,110       6,124       5,480       5,361  
Ceded reinsurance premiums payable
    2,024       3,686       1,275       614       2,482       2,782  
Funds held by company under reinsurance treaties
    2,616             677       73       114       2,191  
Amounts withheld or retained by company
    55       47       67       78       68       130  
Payable for securities
          414       472                    
Aggregate write ins for liabilities
                            811       273  
Payable to parent
    15       83       32       44       227       371  
 
                                               
 
                                               
Total liabilities
    139,115       133,020       120,028       106,833       107,056       96,743  
 
                                               
Aggregate write-ins for special surplus funds
    2,250       2,250       2,250       2,250       2,250       2,250  
Common capital stock
    5,000       5,000       5,000       5,000       5,000       5,000  
Gross paid in and contributed surplus
    5,000       5,000       5,000       5,000       5,000       5,000  
Unassigned surplus
    30,576       38,545       38,275       34,966       33,195       32,082  
 
                                               
 
                                               
Total surplus
    42,826       50,795       50,525       47,216       45,445       44,332  
 
                                               
 
                                               
Total liabilities and surplus
    181,941       183,815       170,553       154,049       152,501       141,075  
 
                                               
 
                                               
Performance and Capital Ratios
                                               
Return on assets
    -2.43 %     0.50 %     0.85 %     2.07 %     0.43 %     0.43 %
Return on surplus
    -9.53 %     1.73 %     2.81 %     6.84 %     1.41 %     1.37 %
Surplus to total assets
    23.41 %     27.63 %     29.62 %     30.65 %     29.80 %     31.42 %
Notes:
 
(a)   Statutory financials do not include the effects of discontinued operations.
 
(b)   Statutory financial statements represent the results of operations of PMHC.
Source: Statutory prepared financial statements.
     
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)    

 


 

Exhibit V-2
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company (e)
Historical Income Statements — Statutory Basis (d)
(Dollars in Thousands)
                                                 
    2008     2007     2006     2005     2004     2003  
REVENUE
                                               
Premiums earned
    78,737     $ 70,970     $ 64,645     $ 64,723     $ 63,090     $ 56,065  
Investment income, net of investment expense
    5,085       5,104       4,370       4,131       4,052       4,097  
Realized investment (losses) gains, net
    (5,778 )     (431 )     232       262       937       833  
 
                                   
 
                                               
Total revenue
    78,044       75,643       69,247       69,116       68,079       60,995  
 
                                               
LOSSES AND EXPENSES
                                               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    57,391       49,774       43,770       40,242       42,910       35,822  
Underwriting and administrative expenses
    25,256       24,059       23,525       24,427       24,407       23,407  
Other expenses, net
    39       (318 )     (31 )     (114 )     (219 )     (212 )
 
                                   
 
                                               
Total losses and expenses
    82,686       73,515       67,264       64,555       67,098       59,017  
 
                                               
Income from continuing operations
    (4,642 )     2,128       1,983       4,561       981       1,978  
 
                                               
 
                                   
Income taxes expense (benefit)
    (181 )     1,250       609       1,390       347       1,369  
 
                                   
 
                                               
Net income (loss)
    (4,461 )     878       1,374       3,171       634       609  
 
                                   
 
                                               
Operating Ratios
                                               
Loss ratio (a)
    72.9 %     70.1 %     67.7 %     62.2 %     68.0 %     63.9 %
Expense ratio (b)
    32.1 %     33.9 %     36.4 %     37.7 %     38.7 %     41.7 %
Combined ratio (c)
    105.0 %     104.0 %     104.1 %     99.9 %     106.7 %     105.6 %
Notes:
 
(a)   Losses and loss adjustment expenses divided by net premiums earned.
 
(b)   Underwriting expenses divided by net premiums earned.
 
(c)   Sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
 
(d)   Statutory financials do not include the effects of discontinued operations.
 
(e)   Statutory financial statements represent the results of operations of PMHC.
Source: Statutory prepared financial statements.
     
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)    

 


 

Exhibit VI-1 (Continued)
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Financial Performance Data for Publicly Traded Property and Casualty Companies
                                                                                                                                         
                                                    Cash and     Cash and     Policy             Tangible     Net Prem             GAAP     GAAP              
            Total Assets     Total Policy     Total Equity     Tangible Equity     Total Policy     Investments     Investments /     Reserves /     Total Equity     Equity /     Writ/ Avg     GAAP Loss     Expense     Combined              
Company Name   Ticker     ($000)     Reserves ($000)     ($000)     ($000)     Revenue ($000)     ($000)     Assets     Equity     / Assets     Assets     Equity (x)     Ratio (%)     Ratio (%)     Ratio (%)     ROAA (%)     ROAE (%)  
 
 
                                                                                                                                       
21st Century Holding Company
  TCHC     204,676       114,701       76,228       76,228       60,429       150,471       0.74       1.50       0.37       0.37       0.68       63.81       47.50       111.31       -3.17       -8.12  
ACE Limited
  ACE     75,655,000       47,291,000       16,561,000       12,805,000       13,295,000       44,197,000       0.58       2.86       0.22       0.17       0.86       58.90       28.70       87.60       1.58       7.72  
Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  AFFM     811,112       327,695       231,944       51,207       355,658       356,534       0.44       1.41       0.29       0.06       1.63       74.70       24.00       98.70       0.92       3.49  
Alleghany Corporation
    Y       6,012,686       3,164,484       2,551,029       2,400,723       921,215       4,112,254       0.68       1.24       0.42       0.40       0.32       51.70       30.90       82.60       1.47       3.63  
Allied World Assurance Company Holdings, Ltd
  AWH     8,892,255       5,598,837       2,491,860       2,152,983       1,167,805       6,710,099       0.75       2.25       0.28       0.24       0.51       45.80       29.50       75.30       2.15       7.92  
Allstate Corporation
  ALL     133,091,000       95,860,000       15,098,000       14,224,000       28,545,000       97,125,000       0.73       6.35       0.11       0.11       1.76       74.00       24.40       98.40       -1.41       -13.05  
American Financial Group, Inc.
  AFG     25,842,100       20,189,900       2,678,800       2,396,900       3,237,200       17,949,000       0.69       7.54       0.10       0.09       1.02       46.20       35.80       82.00       0.87       8.35  
American Physicians Capital, Inc.
  ACAP     972,209       686,173       240,209       240,209       118,889       811,594       0.83       2.86       0.25       0.25       0.45       49.80       25.10       74.90       4.33       17.15  
American Physicians Service Group, Inc.
  AMPH     288,848       126,792       144,246       141,978       65,415       242,601       0.84       0.88       0.50       0.49       0.50       38.81       17.47       56.28       6.76       14.08  
American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd.
  ASI     1,086,901       714,595       223,150       213,454       174,549       733,395       0.67       3.20       0.21       0.20       0.82       59.40       39.70       99.10       0.01       -0.04  
AMERISAFE, Inc.
  AMSF     1,157,196       730,190       278,273       278,273       278,843       809,089       0.70       2.62       0.24       0.24       1.08       64.30       21.70       86.00       3.90       17.35  
AmTrust Financial Services, Inc.
  AFSI     3,183,530       1,825,488       476,853       374,131       494,965       1,410,833       0.44       3.83       0.15       0.12       1.42       56.30       23.40       79.70       2.72       20.95  
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
  ACGL     16,641,935       9,442,023       4,029,968       3,603,333       2,831,367       11,643,601       0.70       2.34       0.24       0.22       0.78       57.10       29.90       87.00       1.27       5.54  
Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
  AGII     6,919,700       4,056,900       1,459,200       1,208,000       1,362,100       4,103,800       0.59       2.78       0.21       0.17       0.99       60.97       35.05       96.02       0.80       3.76  
Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited
  AHL     8,022,100       4,304,700       2,972,500       2,964,300       1,788,700       6,002,600       0.75       1.45       0.37       0.37       0.65       55.40       30.60       86.00       1.30       3.49  
AXIS Capital Holdings Limited
  AXS     15,378,885       9,232,919       4,909,119       4,814,061       2,720,385       11,055,319       0.72       1.88       0.32       0.31       0.59       55.80       27.60       83.40       1.29       4.15  
Baldwin & Lyons, Inc.
  BWINB     765,742       369,849       345,853       345,853       175,515       543,677       0.71       1.07       0.45       0.45     NA     54.00       35.30       89.30       1.28       3.00  
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
  BRK.A     275,646,000       71,596,000       118,837,000       84,915,000       27,753,000       136,838,000       0.50       0.60       0.43       0.31     NA     74.80       22.04       96.84       1.15       2.74  
Chubb Corporation
  CB     48,572,000       28,435,000       14,504,000       14,037,000       11,520,000       40,297,000       0.83       1.96       0.30       0.29       0.83       56.37       32.24       89.39       2.97       11.33  
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
  CINF     13,522,000       7,412,000       4,144,000       4,144,000       3,095,610       9,962,000       0.74       1.79       0.31       0.31       0.74       79.40       32.70       112.10       3.09       9.87  
CNA Surety Corporation
  SUR     1,610,950       685,832       828,677       689,892       427,424       1,203,988       0.75       0.83       0.51       0.43       0.55       29.30       53.30       82.60       6.82       14.03  
CRM Holdings, Ltd.
  CRMH     452,951       273,506       101,677       98,465       110,733       340,804       0.75       2.69       0.22       0.22       1.04       80.80       51.30       132.10       -3.45       -13.46  
Donegal Group Inc.
  DGICA     893,824       488,237       371,328       367,428       353,129       638,161       0.71       1.31       0.42       0.41       0.97       72.70       31.20       103.90       1.94       4.74  
Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  EIHI     385,487       207,849       137,234       117,736       136,542       273,564       0.71       1.51       0.36       0.31       0.88       66.95       34.77       101.72       -5.35       -13.47  
EMC Insurance Group Inc.
  EMCI     1,142,746       723,328       307,348       306,406       386,275       1,002,325       0.88       2.35       0.27       0.27       1.29       63.10       36.40       99.50       0.34       1.26  
Employers Holdings, Inc.
  EIG     3,764,778       2,655,209       459,942       406,392       364,651       2,273,650       0.60       5.77       0.12       0.11       0.86       53.00       46.80       99.80       2.85       23.33  
Endurance Specialty Holdings Ltd.
  ENH     8,079,345       4,476,916       2,475,597       2,279,724       1,753,852       5,733,830       0.71       1.81       0.31       0.28       0.75       60.40       30.40       90.80       1.88       6.29  
Enstar Group Limited
  ESGR     4,371,009       2,797,827       860,581       839,359       0       3,477,957       0.80       3.25       0.20       0.19       0.00     NA   NA   NA     2.05       14.05  
Erie Indemnity Company
  ERIE     2,635,728       1,422,448       829,116       829,116       207,605       1,024,356       0.39       1.72       0.31       0.31     NA     75.20       28.70       103.90       1.58       4.91  
Everest Re Group, Ltd.
  RE     17,326,935       10,240,069       5,545,415       5,545,415       3,729,431       14,207,305       0.82       1.85       0.32       0.32       0.72       60.20       28.60       88.80       0.77       2.55  
Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited
  FFH     27,020,900       16,838,000       5,613,200       5,297,700       4,496,000       19,489,900       0.72       3.00       0.21       0.20       0.89       70.14       28.36       98.50       3.82       21.20  
First Acceptance Corporation
  FAC     447,662       161,513       226,661       82,219       239,924       215,102       0.48       0.71       0.51       0.18     NA     70.10       23.90       94.00       -1.20       -2.44  
First Mercury Financial Corporation
  FMR     1,045,694       578,191       286,838       223,154       207,640       648,738       0.62       2.02       0.27       0.21       0.79       63.40       30.60       94.00       2.38       8.47  
Flagstone Reinsurance Holdings Limited
  FSR     2,654,398       976,171       1,306,557       1,253,166       736,955       1,822,043       0.69       0.75       0.49       0.47       0.65       37.30       37.00       74.30       -5.92       -11.72  
FPIC Insurance Group, Inc.
  FPIC     977,332       639,534       267,438       256,605       161,794       710,581       0.73       2.39       0.27       0.26       0.57       59.10       25.10       84.20       2.84       10.70  
GAINSCO, INC.
  GAN     246,972       131,732       54,741       54,132       179,266       175,854       0.71       2.41       0.22       0.22       3.11       70.40       25.30       95.70       -0.65       -2.68  
Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd.
  GLRE     1,312,716       245,454       614,546       614,546       158,315       1,135,430       0.86       0.40       0.47       0.47       0.37       56.30       40.40       96.70       -2.53       -5.28  
Hallmark Financial Services, Inc.
  HALL     551,279       277,022       190,555       121,220       236,185       368,415       0.67       1.45       0.35       0.22       1.29       62.00       29.50       91.50       2.26       6.52  
Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.
  THG     7,747,700       4,396,400       2,221,100       2,051,100       2,509,900       4,819,800       0.62       1.98       0.29       0.26       1.25       65.10       33.70       98.80       0.72       3.08  
Harleysville Group Inc.
  HGIC     3,203,625       2,266,835       692,056       668,656       892,119       2,539,439       0.79       3.28       0.22       0.21       1.30       65.96       34.81       100.77       1.46       6.89  
HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  HCC     8,876,261       4,691,848       2,809,465       1,961,673       2,011,984       5,469,185       0.62       1.67       0.32       0.22       0.77       60.50       25.00       85.50       3.60       11.57  
Hilltop Holdings Inc.
  HTH     1,044,775       101,698       791,201       753,659       114,177       915,693       0.88       0.13       0.76       0.72       0.14       48.50       38.00       86.50       -1.33       -1.81  
Horace Mann Educators Corporation
  HMN     5,828,171       3,795,925       561,839       514,443       658,285       4,231,133       0.73       6.76       0.10       0.09       2.02       73.90       25.30       99.20       0.42       5.00  
Infinity Property and Casualty Corporation
  IPCC     1,753,151       920,958       560,212       484,937       882,420       1,200,139       0.68       1.64       0.32       0.28       1.55       70.52       21.63       92.15       1.17       3.80  
IPC Holdings, Ltd.
  IPCR     2,612,668       569,119       2,014,218       2,014,218       407,681       2,308,496       0.88       0.28       0.77       0.77       0.24       15.70       33.50       49.20       5.53       7.34  
Kingsway Financial Services Inc.
  KFS     3,098,788       2,299,905       370,547       308,069       1,376,335       2,369,038       0.76       6.21       0.12       0.10       1.83       86.70       34.00       120.70       -11.08       -63.37  
Markel Corporation
  MKL     9,711,499       6,335,786       2,352,425       2,010,751       1,930,520       7,317,021       0.75       2.69       0.24       0.21       0.80       59.13       38.16       97.29       -1.30       -5.54  
Meadowbrook Insurance Group, Inc.
  MIG     1,878,089       1,193,297       477,442       358,350       482,846       1,142,511       0.61       2.50       0.25       0.19       1.16       58.70       31.50       90.20       2.13       8.66  
Mercer Insurance Group, Inc.
  MIGP     580,809       385,190       148,430       143,014       145,390       392,632       0.68       2.60       0.26       0.25       1.02       60.90       37.00       97.90       1.59       6.53  
Mercury General Corporation
  MCY     4,141,871       1,932,709       1,642,546       1,529,467       2,701,993       3,172,892       0.77       1.18       0.40       0.37       1.63       67.20       29.30       96.50       -2.38       -6.02  
Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd.
  MRH     3,144,100       1,083,400       1,597,000       1,432,500       543,800       2,597,600       0.83       0.68       0.51       0.46       0.41       28.90       38.70       67.60       0.71       1.48  
(CHRTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit VI-1 (Continued)
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Financial Performance Data for Publicly Traded Property and Casualty Companies
                                                                                                                                         
                                    Tangible     Total     Cash and     Cash and     Policy     Total     Tangible     Net Prem             GAAP     GAAP              
            Total Asset     Total Policy     Total Equity     Equity     Policy     Investments     Investments     Reserves /     Equity     Equity /     Writ/ Avg     GAAP Loss     Expense     Combined              
Company Name   Ticker     ($000)     Reserves ($000)     ($000)     ($000)     Revenue ($000)     ($000)     / Assets     Equity     / Assets     Assets     Equity (x)     Ratio (%)     Ratio (%)     Ratio (%)     ROAA (%)     ROAE (%)  
 
 
                                                                                                                                       
National Interstate Corporation
  NATL     969,243       584,812       243,547       243,547       290,380       572,988       0.59       2.40       0.25       0.25       1.29       56.60       23.80       80.40       2.15       9.80  
National Security Group, Inc.
  NSEC     125,054       70,927       35,045       35,045       54,898       93,511       0.75       2.02       0.28       0.28     NA       76.47       41.98       118.44       -3.36       -11.53  
Navigators Group, Inc.
  NAVG     3,403,633       2,374,350       712,454       705,922       653,182       1,951,428       0.57       3.33       0.21       0.21       0.99       60.80       32.00       92.80       1.22       5.96  
NYMAGIC, INC.
  NYM     977,190       651,829       187,572       187,572       158,247       617,900       0.63       3.48       0.19       0.19       0.87       48.01       48.39       96.40       -7.14       -28.43  
Odyssey Re Holdings Corp.
  ORH     10,150,029       6,096,231       3,138,352       3,138,352       1,999,887       8,090,058       0.80       1.94       0.31       0.31       0.70       67.30       29.20       96.50       3.58       12.60  
Old Republic International Corporation
  ORI     13,718,600       8,869,000       3,753,100       3,753,100       3,225,000       9,277,200       0.68       2.36       0.27       0.27     NA       81.30       41.00       122.30       -1.84       -6.42  
OneBeacon Insurance Group, Ltd.
  OB     7,494,400       5,136,600       1,305,400       1,305,400       1,937,900       3,821,100       0.51       3.93       0.17       0.17       1.52       57.60       35.80       93.40       -2.74       -16.95  
PartnerRe Ltd.
  PRE     16,974,071       10,714,780       4,767,678       4,338,159       3,755,311       12,070,176       0.71       2.25       0.28       0.26       0.88       54.80       30.50       85.30       3.38       13.04  
Platinum Underwriters Holdings, Ltd.
  PTP     4,968,138       2,585,087       1,952,704       1,952,704       1,035,177       4,399,258       0.89       1.32       0.39       0.39       0.53       56.00       22.50       78.50       4.08       10.95  
PMA Capital Corporation
  PMACA     2,525,231       1,518,619       368,998       338,833       413,580       806,945       0.32       4.12       0.15       0.13       1.17       70.45       43.01       113.46       0.22       1.58  
ProAssurance Corporation
  PRA     4,598,409       2,752,983       1,527,671       1,398,036       454,568       3,784,506       0.82       1.80       0.33       0.30       0.32       58.80       22.70       81.50       4.15       12.89  
Progressive Corporation
  PGR     19,087,600       10,578,500       4,925,000       4,925,000       13,678,200       13,611,300       0.71       2.15       0.26       0.26       3.10       70.10       21.00       91.10       -0.23       -0.96  
RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.
  RNR     8,805,437       3,007,377       4,104,164       4,033,321       1,382,902       6,385,938       0.73       0.73       0.47       0.46       0.37       22.50       26.90       49.40       2.20       4.74  
RLI Corp.
  RLI     2,482,685       1,508,800       763,602       737,388       508,678       1,800,089       0.73       1.98       0.31       0.30       0.68       44.30       39.40       83.70       1.87       6.39  
Safety Insurance Group, Inc.
  SAFT     1,417,938       751,793       601,689       601,689       545,462       1,061,367       0.75       1.25       0.42       0.42       0.87       67.20       30.20       97.40       3.97       9.53  
SeaBright Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  SBX     911,125       498,059       341,811       336,425       254,270       594,029       0.65       1.46       0.38       0.37       0.83       67.20       30.30       97.50       2.39       6.27  
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
  SIGI     5,030,875       3,545,857       946,375       916,738       1,461,312       3,631,093       0.72       3.75       0.19       0.18       1.54       68.00       31.60       99.60       -0.05       -0.27  
Specialty Underwriters’ Alliance, Inc.
  SUAI     462,500       297,700       140,700       130,000       143,695       266,400       0.58       2.12       0.30       0.28       1.06       62.80       43.65       106.45       0.49       1.62  
State Auto Financial Corporation
  STFC     2,501,600       1,383,100       780,300       778,300       1,144,300       2,115,000       0.85       1.77       0.31       0.31       1.52       77.80       33.40       111.20       -1.33       -4.16  
Tower Group, Inc.
  TWGP     2,576,254       1,356,288       847,299       571,929       573,548       1,581,576       0.61       1.60       0.33       0.22       1.31       52.80       32.70       85.50       4.37       17.25  
Transatlantic Holdings, Inc.
  TRH     14,084,507       9,731,716       3,549,291       3,549,291       4,032,304       11,298,456       0.80       2.74       0.25       0.25       1.27       67.50       26.80       94.30       0.60       2.59  
Travelers Companies, Inc.
  TRV     111,326,000       72,008,000       26,920,000       22,919,000       21,536,000       73,725,000       0.66       2.67       0.24       0.21       0.84       60.50       31.40       91.90       2.17       9.39  
Unico American Corporation
  UNAM     182,340       96,150       76,226       76,226       32,643       149,331       0.82       1.26       0.42       0.42     NA       61.00       26.00       87.00       2.88       7.27  
United America Indemnity, Ltd.
  INDM     2,505,401       1,550,201       763,362       754,090       322,050       1,678,754       0.67       2.03       0.30       0.30       0.44       59.90       39.70       99.60       -4.63       -16.81  
United Fire & Casualty Company
  UFCS     2,806,189       2,074,826       653,183       652,663       495,150       2,355,893       0.84       3.18       0.23       0.23       0.73       77.10       30.70       107.80       -1.24       -5.09  
Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  UVE     621,498       365,086       109,260       109,260       150,079       333,474       0.54       3.34       0.18       0.18       1.64       54.10     NA     NA       6.67       38.21  
Validus Holdings, Ltd.
  VR     5,008,450       2,168,073       2,151,969       2,006,440       1,302,316       3,530,566       0.70       1.01       0.43       0.40       0.66       39.70       33.80       73.50       3.12       7.17  
W.R. Berkley Corporation
  WRB     16,656,495       11,099,715       3,295,699       3,187,707       4,020,940       12,855,598       0.77       3.37       0.20       0.19       1.23       62.60       32.00       94.60       0.55       2.88  
Wesco Financial Corporation
  WSC     2,718,686       403,777       2,117,734       1,839,939       290,881       1,786,949       0.66       0.19       0.78       0.68       0.15       60.92       29.28       90.20       2.62       3.36  
White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.
  WTM     15,551,000       8,704,200       3,851,400       3,789,100       3,668,900       9,535,200       0.61       2.26       0.25       0.24       0.99       59.24       33.49       92.73       -1.38       -6.23  
Zenith National Insurance Corp.
  ZNT     2,507,708       1,276,498       1,049,916       1,028,931       528,533       2,009,704       0.80       1.22       0.42       0.41       0.50       72.20       45.20       117.40       1.15       2.84  
 
                                                                                                                                       
Group Aggregate
                                                                                                                                       
Overall P&C Insurance Group Mean
            12,858,005       6,817,464       3,718,911       3,113,906       2,421,404       8,342,222       0.70       2.28       0.31       0.29       0.97       60.31       32.30       92.70       0.91       3.16  
Overall P&C Insurance Group Median
            2,952,489       1,687,845       828,897       766,195       544,631       2,194,325       0.71       2.02       0.29       0.26       0.86       60.80       31.30       93.70       1.29       4.45  
 
                                                                                                                                       
P&C Group Mean > $1.2 Bil. Total Assets
            18,193,881       9,639,118       5,252,511       4,392,122       3,402,992       11,791,322       0.70       2.42       0.31       0.28       0.94       59.58       32.08       91.67       1.01       3.24  
P&C Group Median > $1.2 Bil. Total Assets
            5,828,171       3,164,484       2,014,218       1,952,704       1,362,100       4,103,800       0.72       1.98       0.30       0.26       0.84       60.30       31.45       92.44       1.29       4.74  
 
                                                                                                                                       
P&C Group Mean < $1.2 Bil. Total Assets
            692,207       384,094       222,301       199,573       183,383       478,275       0.69       1.97       0.33       0.29       1.05       61.96       32.83       95.12       0.70       2.98  
P&C Group Median < $1.2 Bil. Total Assets
            765,742       365,086       223,150       143,014       161,794       392,632       0.71       2.02       0.28       0.25       0.97       62.80       30.90       96.05       1.28       3.49  
 
                                                                                                                                       
P&C Group Mean > $500 m Total Revenue
            14,404,930       7,637,688       4,163,807       3,486,688       2,705,912       9,344,584       0.70       2.36       0.31       0.28       0.95       59.64       32.01       91.73       1.12       3.95  
P&C Group Mean > $500 m Total Revenue
            3,403,633       2,266,835       1,049,916       1,028,931       736,955       2,539,439       0.71       2.03       0.28       0.26       0.86       60.30       31.20       92.73       1.46       4.91  
 
                                                                                                                                       
P&C Group Mean < $500 m Total Revenue
            310,721       164,541       110,306       90,225       113,727       211,960       0.71       1.68       0.35       0.31       1.21       65.68       34.65       100.33       (0.78 )     (3.19 )
P&C Group Median < $500 m Total Revenue
            288,848       131,732       101,677       82,219       110,733       215,102       0.74       1.51       0.36       0.28       0.96       66.95       34.77       101.72       (1.20 )     (2.68 )
 
                                                                                                                                       
Source: SNL Financial.
(CHRTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit VI-2
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Market Valuation Data for Publicly Traded Property and Casualty Companies
                                                                                             
                                                                                 
                Total Diluted                           (a)                                      
                Shares                     Price /     Price /     (a)                     Current     One-Year  
                Outstand.     Total Market     Price / Book     Tangible     Operating     Price / LTM     Price / LTM     Price / Total     Dividend     Price Change  
Company Name       Closing price     (000’S)     value (000’s)     (%)     Book (%)     EPS (x)     EPS (x)     Revenue (x)     Assets (%)     Yield (%)     (%)  
 
21st Century Holding Company
  TCHC     4.66       8,014       37,345       48.99       48.99     Neg     Neg       0.59       18.25       15.55       (25.80 )
ACE Limited
  ACE     50.54       337,508       17,057,669       103.00       133.21       6.81       14.48       1.24       22.55       2.04       (6.60 )
Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  AFFM     3.95       15,415       60,889       26.25       118.91       32.92     Neg       0.13       7.51       2.53       (40.78 )
Alleghany Corporation
  Y     272.36       9,208       2,507,997       98.31       104.47       23.50     NA       2.87       41.71     NA       (11.80 )
Allied World Assurance Company Holdings, Ltd
  AWH     42.56       51,258       2,181,536       87.55       101.33       4.69       10.06       1.82       24.53       1.77       9.55  
Allstate Corporation
  ALL     27.79       540,600       15,023,274       99.51       105.62       13.92     Neg       0.50       11.29       5.01       (40.48 )
American Financial Group, Inc.
  AFG     25.17       116,500       2,932,305       109.46       122.34       6.04       10.19       0.67       11.35       2.19       (13.65 )
American Physicians Capital, Inc.
  ACAP     32.74       11,275       369,144       153.68       153.68       8.42       9.09       2.42       37.97       0.83       (1.88 )
American Physicians Service Group, Inc.
  AMPH     21.90       7,007       153,453       106.38       108.08       6.54       8.11       2.00       53.13       1.39       10.05  
American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd.
  ASI     15.92       10,524       167,534       75.08       78.49       530.67     Neg       0.87       15.41     NA       (2.69 )
AMERISAFE, Inc.
  AMSF     17.10       19,242       329,040       118.24       118.24       5.86       7.99       1.13       28.43     NA       (5.05 )
AmTrust Financial Services, Inc.
  AFSI     11.72       59,735       700,094       146.82       187.13       5.25       8.31       1.11       21.99       1.72       (17.58 )
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
  ACGL     62.70       62,626       3,926,670       97.44       108.97       8.15       23.14       1.36       23.60     NA       (10.25 )
Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
  AGII     35.62       30,795       1,096,907       75.17       90.80       10.87       21.20       0.74       15.85     NA       (2.17 )
Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited
  AHL     24.15       85,646       2,068,354       69.58       69.78       13.45       20.82       1.09       25.78       2.47       (8.76 )
AXIS Capital Holdings Limited
  AXS     28.72       149,861       4,304,008       87.67       89.40       12.64       30.88       1.59       27.99       2.75       (14.32 )
Baldwin & Lyons, Inc.
  BWINB     21.08       14,733       310,572       89.80       89.80       13.43       29.69       1.75       40.56       5.50       1.79  
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
  BRK.A     108,100.00       1,552       167,740,932       141.15       197.54       18.80       57.17       1.60       60.85     NA       (6.61 )
Chubb Corporation
  CB     48.15       357,400       17,208,810       118.65       122.60       8.81       11.07       1.37       35.43       2.59       (1.59 )
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
  CINF     24.63       162,556       4,003,762       96.62       96.62       20.25       9.51       1.01       29.61       5.37       (12.72 )
CNA Surety Corporation
  SUR     16.81       44,412       746,566       90.09       108.21       6.95       6.98       1.57       46.34     NA       20.59  
CRM Holdings, Ltd.
  CRMH     1.10       16,775       18,453       18.15       18.74     Neg     Neg       0.14       4.07     NA       (69.44 )
Donegal Group Inc.
  DGICA     15.75       25,475       401,238       108.06       109.20       21.44       23.16       1.06       44.89       2.50       (8.16 )
Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  EIHI     9.90       9,009       89,189       64.99       75.75     Neg     Neg       0.69       23.14       3.49       (34.09 )
EMC Insurance Group Inc.
  EMCI     23.10       13,236       305,750       99.48       99.79       13.28       74.52       0.75       26.76       2.81       (7.08 )
Employers Holdings, Inc.
  EIG     14.88       46,506       692,005       150.45       170.28       7.19       8.00       1.59       18.38       1.45       (14.97 )
Endurance Specialty Holdings Ltd.
  ENH     32.21       58,895       1,897,008       76.63       83.21       9.32       15.19       1.03       23.48       3.28       (2.28 )
Enstar Group Limited
  ESGR     59.52       13,788       820,635       95.36       97.77       9.43       10.16       13.87       18.77     NA       (48.23 )
Erie Indemnity Company
  ERIE     37.79       57,363       2,167,751       261.45       261.45       19.12       53.23       2.05       82.24       4.78       (19.25 )
Everest Re Group, Ltd.
  RE     83.09       61,265       5,090,509       91.80       91.80       9.18       39.01       1.38       29.38       2.52       (0.41 )
Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited
  FFH     335.75       17,564       5,897,150       105.06       111.32       4.22       5.90       0.80       21.82       1.60       33.10  
First Acceptance Corporation
  FAC     2.48       48,865       121,185       53.47       147.39     Neg     Neg       0.43       27.07     NA       (35.08 )
First Mercury Financial Corporation
  FMR     12.41       18,042       223,907       78.06       100.34       7.99       9.85       0.89       21.41     NA        
Flagstone Reinsurance Holdings Limited
  FSR     11.10       85,163       945,309       72.35       75.43     Neg     Neg       1.70       35.61       1.64       (10.27 )
FPIC Insurance Group, Inc.
  FPIC     34.40       7,533       259,135       96.90       100.99       7.10       9.56       1.45       26.51     NA       (33.85 )
GAINSCO, INC.
  GAN     14.37       4,741       68,127       124.45       125.85       24.32     Neg       0.35       27.58     NA     NA  
Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd.
  GLRE     18.79       36,690       689,400       112.18       112.18     Neg     Neg       5.51       52.52     NA       (12.40 )
Hallmark Financial Services, Inc.
  HALL     6.69       20,873       139,640       73.28       115.20       6.88       11.53       0.52       25.33     NA       (31.66 )
Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.
  THG     40.01       51,400       2,056,514       92.59       100.26       15.43       33.34       0.76       26.54       1.05       (10.33 )
Harleysville Group Inc.
  HGIC     31.31       28,116       880,319       127.20       131.65       10.26       19.09       0.92       27.48       3.46       (14.85 )
HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  HCC     26.30       112,520       2,959,276       105.33       150.85       9.14       9.81       1.29       33.34       1.87       4.91  
Hilltop Holdings Inc.
  HTH     12.45       56,495       703,363       88.90       93.33     Neg     Neg       6.12       67.32     NA       19.14  
Horace Mann Educators Corporation
  HMN     11.58       40,532       469,361       83.54       91.24       9.09       19.97       0.55       8.05       2.29       (21.49)  
(CHRTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit VI-2 (Continued)
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Market Valuation Data for Publicly Traded Property and Casualty Companies
                                                                                             
                                                                                 
                Total Diluted                           (a)                                      
                Shares                     Price /     Price /     (a)                     Current     One-Year  
                Outstand.     Total Market     Price / Book     Tangible     Operating     Price / LTM     Price / LTM     Price / Total     Dividend     Price Change  
Company Name       Closing price     (000’S)     value (000’s)     (%)     Book (%)     EPS (x)     EPS (x)     Revenue (x)     Assets (%)     Yield (%)     (%)  
 
Infinity Property and Casualty Corporation
  IPCC     41.54       13,828       574,415       102.54       118.45       7.66       28.26       0.65       32.76       0.94       (9.30 )
IPC Holdings, Ltd.
  IPCR     30.60       55,991       1,713,323       85.06       85.06       8.24       14.43       4.00       65.58       2.94       (4.58 )
Kingsway Financial Services Inc.
  KFS     3.48       55,091       191,717       51.74       62.23     Neg     Neg       0.14       6.19       4.37       (58.12 )
Markel Corporation
  MKL     309.46       9,825       3,040,445       129.25       151.21       18.19     Neg       1.74       31.31     NA       (16.36 )
Meadowbrook Insurance Group, Inc.
  MIG     7.48       57,517       430,225       90.11       120.06       8.36       11.33       0.77       22.91       1.24       5.35  
Mercer Insurance Group, Inc.
  MIGP     18.50       6,298       116,521       78.50       81.48       8.76       12.85       0.75       20.06       2.37     NA  
Mercury General Corporation
  MCY     36.52       55,320       2,020,281       123.00       132.09       19.04     Neg       0.80       48.78       5.04       (28.34 )
Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd.
  MRH     15.90       86,400       1,373,760       86.02       95.90       11.62       99.38       2.61       43.69       1.79       (1.30 )
National Interstate Corporation
  NATL     18.55       19,359       359,109       147.45       147.45       8.82       16.71       1.22       37.05       1.34       8.42  
National Security Group, Inc.
  NSEC     8.50       2,467       20,966       59.83       59.83     Neg     Neg       0.35       16.77       6.57       (41.58 )
Navigators Group, Inc.
  NAVG     50.32       16,993       855,088       120.02       121.13       11.64       18.30       1.26       25.12     NA       2.26  
NYMAGIC, INC.
  NYM     18.42       8,625       158,874       84.70       84.70     Neg     Neg       1.47       16.26       1.68       (3.46 )
Odyssey Re Holdings Corp.
  ORH     46.52       59,298       2,758,531       87.90       87.90       17.04       8.02       1.08       27.18       0.58       25.90  
Old Republic International Corporation
  ORI     11.51       235,563       2,711,327       72.24       72.24     Neg     Neg       0.76       19.76       5.70       6.57  
OneBeacon Insurance Group, Ltd.
  OB     12.96       95,100       1,232,496       94.42       94.42       7.78     Neg       0.82       16.45       8.05       (32.50 )
PartnerRe Ltd.
  PRE     69.62       57,469       4,000,992       83.92       92.23       7.84       7.79       0.91       23.57       2.58       (1.96 )
Platinum Underwriters Holdings, Ltd.
  PTP     34.24       51,594       1,766,579       90.47       90.47       8.60       9.33       1.41       35.56       0.89       (4.76 )
PMA Capital Corporation
  PMACA     5.41       32,231       174,372       47.26       51.46       7.98       30.06       0.34       6.91     NA       (43.82 )
ProAssurance Corporation
  PRA     51.82       33,186       1,719,699       112.57       123.01       8.29       9.63       3.07       37.40     NA       (3.95 )
Progressive Corporation
  PGR     16.37       674,600       11,043,202       224.23       224.23       11.69     Neg       0.87       57.86     NA       (16.78 )
RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.
  RNR     50.58       61,322       3,101,651       75.57       76.90       13.28       42.50       2.39       35.22       1.78       (1.60 )
RLI Corp.
  RLI     51.64       21,721       1,121,672       146.89       152.11       10.81       23.80       2.25       45.18       1.70       (8.86 )
Safety Insurance Group, Inc.
  SAFT     32.87       15,648       514,362       85.49       85.49       8.83       9.21       0.85       36.28       4.20       (24.37 )
SeaBright Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  SBX     9.81       21,413       210,058       61.45       62.44       7.11       10.33       0.76       23.05     NA       (14.25 )
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
  SIGI     16.55       53,234       881,023       93.09       96.10       16.09     Neg       0.57       17.51       2.27       (29.81 )
Specialty Underwriters’ Alliance, Inc.
  SUAI     6.53       15,917       103,938       73.87       79.95       13.89       50.23       0.68       22.47     NA       29.05  
State Auto Financial Corporation
  STFC     17.38       39,600       688,248       88.20       88.43     Neg     Neg       0.58       27.51       2.00       (42.03 )
Tower Group, Inc.
  TWGP     23.81       40,606       966,837       114.11       169.05       10.14       8.88       1.33       37.53       0.71       17.87  
Transatlantic Holdings, Inc.
  TRH     44.67       66,803       2,984,090       84.08       84.08       8.10       35.45       0.74       21.19       1.90       (24.10 )
Travelers Companies, Inc.
  TRV     47.46       579,800       27,517,308       102.22       120.06       9.83       11.60       1.15       24.72       2.65       6.92  
Unico American Corporation
  UNAM     8.05       5,607       45,137       59.21       59.21       8.43       8.47       1.00       24.75     NA     NA  
United America Indemnity, Ltd.
  INDM     6.47       50,863       329,085       43.11       43.64       32.20     Neg       0.96       13.14     NA       (53.32 )
United Fire & Casualty Company
  UFCS     17.47       26,592       464,558       71.12       71.18     Neg     Neg       0.81       16.55       1.93       (39.15 )
Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  UVE     5.08       40,530       205,891       188.44       188.44       4.79       5.84       1.10       33.13       32.92       33.68  
Validus Holdings, Ltd.
  VR     24.40       78,942       1,926,187       89.51       96.00       9.39       14.35       1.40       38.46       3.63       5.72  
W.R. Berkley Corporation
  WRB     23.48       166,226       3,902,986       118.43       122.44       8.96       44.30       0.92       23.43       0.87       (0.04 )
Wesco Financial Corporation
  WSC     309.00       7,120       2,200,021       103.89       119.57       23.70       30.26       2.59       80.92       0.53       (16.26 )
White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.
  WTM     287.90       8,857       2,549,930       66.21       67.30     Neg     Neg       0.81       16.40       0.39       (35.07 )
Zenith National Insurance Corp.
  ZNT     24.84       37,342       927,575       88.35       90.15       23.62       31.85       1.52       36.99       6.64       (31.89
(CHRTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit VI-2 (Continued)
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Market Valuation Data for Publicly Traded Property and Casualty Companies
                                                                                 
                                                                     
        Total Diluted                         (a)                                      
        Shares                   Price /     Price /     (a)                     Current     One-Year  
        Outstand.   Total Market     Price / Book     Tangible     Operating     Price / LTM     Price / LTM     Price / Total     Dividend     Price Change  
Company Name   Closing price   (000’S)   value (000’s)     (%)     Book (%)     EPS (x)     EPS (x)     Revenue (x)     Assets (%)     Yield (%)     (%)  
         
Group Aggregate
                                                                               
Overall P&C Insurance Group Mean
            4,350,300       96.87       107.15       19.44       21.30       1.45       29.72       3.42       (11.94 )
Overall P&C Insurance Group Median
            880,671       90.29       100.02       9.25       14.35       1.04       26.53       2.29       (9.30 )
P&C Group Mean > $1.2 Bil. Total Assets
            6,170,984       101.16       110.88       11.83       22.05       1.58       30.68       2.62       (12.11 )
P&C Group Median > $1.2 Bil. Total Assets
            1,926,187       93.09       100.26       9.41       14.84       1.11       27.18       2.12       (10.27 )
P&C Group Mean < $1.2 Bil. Total Assets
            199,138       87.10       98.65       40.59       19.20       1.14       27.56       6.11       (11.49 )
P&C Group Median < $1.2 Bil. Total Assets
            158,874       78.50       99.79       8.59       10.33       0.87       25.33       2.53       (6.07 )
P&C Group Mean > $500 m Total Revenue
            7,702,236       99.01       108.39       11.66       23.25       1.18       28.75       2.72       (10.07 )
P&C Group Mean > $500 m Total Revenue
            2,344,766       92.84       96.36       10.14       18.69       1.05       27.33       2.27       (9.08 )
P&C Group Mean < $500 m Total Revenue
            469,110       94.40       105.72       29.91       18.81       1.76       30.86       4.70       (14.29 )
P&C Group Median < $500 m Total Revenue
            282,443       89.35       100.66       8.42       10.33       1.03       25.04       2.44       (12.40 )
Source: SNL Financial and market data provided by CapitalIQ.
 
(a)   Price / Operating EPS and Price / EPS is reported as “Neg” if the company has negative earnings.
(CHRTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit VII-1
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Pro Forma Assumptions for Conversion Valuation
     
B-1
  The initial offering price is $10.00 per share and the number of shares offered is calculated by dividing the estimated pro forma market value by the offering price.
 
   
B-2
  Conversion and offering expenses are estimated at $2.570 million plus commission and fees of 1.5% of the total gross proceeds in the subscription and community offerings. Also assumes that no shares are sold in a syndicated community offering.
 
   
B-3
  It is assumed that 10% of the shares offered for sale, less one share, will be acquired by the employee stock ownership plan (“ESOP”). Pro forma adjustments have been made to earnings and equity to reflect the impact of the ESOP. Under generally accepted accounting principles, the aggregate purchase price of shares of common stock to be purchased by the ESOP in the offering represents unearned compensation and is reflected as a reduction in capital. It is further assumed that the ESOP purchase is funded by a loan from PMHC. No reinvestment is assumed on proceeds used to fund the ESOP. The amount of this borrowing has been reflected as a reduction from gross proceeds to determine the estimated net funds available for reinvestment. The ESOP expense reflects recognition of expense based upon shares committed to be allocated under the ESOP. For purposes of this calculation, the average market value was assumed to be equal to the initial offering price of $10.00.
 
   
B-4
  The net investable proceeds is fully invested at the beginning of the applicable period. The net investable proceeds are invested to yield a return of 3.52%, which represents the estimated yield on the 10 year U.S. Treasury bond at the end of July 2009. The effective income tax rate was assumed to be 35.0%, resulting in an after-tax yield of 2.26%.
 
   
B-5
  The net increase in earnings excludes after-tax ESOP amortization over 10 years.
 
   
B-6
  No effect has been given in the pro forma equity calculation for the assumed earnings on the net proceeds.
 
   
B-7
  For the earnings per share (“EPS”) calcluations, pro forma per share amounts have been computed by dividing pro forma amounts by the total outstanding number of shares of stock, adjusted to give effect to the purchase of ESOP shares in accordance with Statement of Position (“SOP”) 93-6. Under SOP 93-6, the weighted average of the ESOP shares that have not been committed for release are subtracted from total shares outstanding when calculated EPS.
 
   
B-8
  For the book value calcluations, pro forma per share amounts have been computed by dividing pro forma amounts by the total outstanding number of shares of stock.
 
   
B-9
  The additional shares that Penn Millers expects to issue after the Conversion in conjunction with the grant of options or restricted stock awards under the stock-based incentive plan have not been considered in our analysis.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit VII-2
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Pro Forma Conversion Valuation Range
(Dollars in Thousands, except per share data)
                         
    Minimum     Midpoint     Maximum  
Total implied shares offered
    4,505,000       5,300,000       6,095,000  
Offering price (b-1)
  $ 10.00     $ 10.00     $ 10.00  
 
                 
 
                       
Implied gross proceeds:
  $ 45,050     $ 53,000     $ 60,950  
Less: estimated expenses (b-2)
    (3,246 )     (3,365 )     (3,484 )
 
                 
Implied net offering proceeds
    41,804       49,635       57,466  
Less: ESOP purchase (b-3)
    (4,505 )     (5,299 )     (6,094 )
 
                 
Net investable proceeds (b-4)
  $ 37,300     $ 44,336     $ 51,371  
 
                 
 
                       
Net income:
                       
LTM ended 6/30/2009 (a)
    (5,339 )     (5,339 )     (5,339 )
Pro forma income on net proceeds (b-4)
    853       1,014       1,175  
Pro forma ESOP adjustment (b-5)
    (293 )     (344 )     (396 )
 
                 
Pro forma net income
    (4,778 )     (4,669 )     (4,560 )
Pro forma earnings per share (b-8)
    (1.18 )     (0.98 )     (0.83 )
 
                       
Total Revenue:
                       
LTM ended 6/30/2009 (a)
    74,148       74,148       74,148  
Pro forma revenue on net proceeds, pre-tax
    1,313       1,561       1,808  
 
                 
Pro forma total revenue
    75,461       75,709       75,956  
 
                       
Total Equity:
                       
Total equity at 6/30/2009
    51,972       51,972       51,972  
Net offering proceeds
    41,804       49,635       57,466  
Less: ESOP purchase
    (4,505 )     (5,299 )     (6,094 )
 
                 
Pro forma total equity (b-6)
    89,272       96,308       103,343  
Pro forma book value per share (b-7)
    19.82       18.17       16.96  
 
                       
Tangible Equity:
                       
Total tangible equity at 6/30/2009
    51,972       51,972       51,972  
Net offering proceeds
    41,804       49,635       57,466  
Less: ESOP purchase
    (4,505 )     (5,299 )     (6,094 )
 
                 
Pro forma tangible equity
    89,272       96,308       103,343  
Pro forma tangible book value per share (b-7)
    19.82       18.17       16.96  
 
                       
Total Assets:
                       
Total assets at 6/30/2009
    228,385       228,385       228,385  
Net offering proceeds
    41,804       49,635       57,466  
Less: ESOP purchase
    (4,505 )     (5,299 )     (6,094 )
 
                 
Pro forma total assets
    265,685       272,721       279,756  
 
                       
Pro Forma Ratios:
                       
Price / LTM EPS
    -8.49 x     -10.22 x     -12.03 x
Price / LTM Revenue
    0.60 x     0.70 x     0.80 x
Price / Book Value
    50.46 %     55.03 %     58.98 %
Price / Tangible Book Value
    50.46 %     55.03 %     58.98 %
Price / Total Assets
    16.96 %     19.43 %     21.79 %
Total Equity / Assets
    33.60 %     35.31 %     36.94 %
Tangible Equity / Assets
    33.60 %     35.31 %     36.94 %
 
Notes:  
 
(a)   Excludes income from discontinued operations.
 
(b)   See Exhibit VII-1 for explanation of assumptions.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)