EX-99.1 7 w74385a2exv99w1.htm EX-99.1 exv99w1
Exhibit 99.1
Pro Forma Valuation Appraisal Update Report
of
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania
 
As of June 5, 2009
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Curtis Financial Group, LLC One Liberty Place 1650 Market Street, Suite 4400 Philadelphia, PA 19103
(P) 215.972.2375 (F) 215.972.2388 www.curtisfinancial.com
Securities sold through Curtis Securities, LLC

 


 

(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)
June 5, 2009
Board of Directors
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
72 North Franklin Street
Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 18773
Members of the Board:
At your request, Curtis Financial Group, LLC (“Curtis”) completed and hereby provides an updated independent appraisal (the “Appraisal”) of the estimated consolidated pro forma market value of Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company (“PMMHC”) as of June 5, 2009, which is conducting a public offering in connection with the Plan of Conversion, as of April 22, 2009 (the “Plan” or “Offering”) transaction described below. PMHC Corp. (“PMHC”) is the wholly-owned subsidiary of PMMHC and the holding company for Penn Millers Insurance Company (“PMIC”, and together with PMHC and PMMHC, “Penn Millers” or the “Company”). Our previous Appraisal as of April 1, 2009 is incorporated herein by reference.
Because the Plan involves the conversion of PMMHC from mutual to stock form, the Plan must be approved by the Pennsylvania Insurance Commissioner pursuant to the Commissioner’s 1998 order approving the conversion transaction by which the Company’s current mutual holding company structure was created. Accordingly, and in order to ensure that this Plan is fair to members of PMMHC, the Company has discussed this Plan with senior staff at the Pennsylvania Insurance Department (“PID”), and, as a condition to the Offering, will obtain from the Insurance Commissioner an approval of the Offering or, as applicable, will obtain written confirmation from the Commissioner that such approval is not required and that the Company may proceed with the Offering. In accordance with the Plan, the estimated consolidated pro forma market value of the Company shall be determined by an independent valuation expert and shall represent the aggregate price of common stock (the “Estimated Pro Forma Market Value”). Furthermore, the pro forma market value may be expressed as a range of value and may be that value that is estimated to be necessary to attract a full subscription for the shares of common stock offered for sale in the Offering.
THE PLAN OF CONVERSION
The Board of Directors of the Company has adopted the Plan. As part of the Plan, PMMHC will convert from mutual to stock form and issue its common stock to its newly formed holding company, Penn Millers Holding Corporation, which will offer shares of its common stock (“Common Stock”) for sale in a subscription offering to the following potential subscribers: the Company’s policyholders, the Company’s employee stock ownership plan (“ESOP”), and directors, officers and employees of the Company in accordance with the terms and conditions of the Plan. To the extent that shares remain available for purchase after satisfaction of all subscriptions received in the subscription offering, the shares may be offered for sale in a community offering and a syndicated community offering, if needed.
Curtis Financial Group, LLC One Liberty Place 1650 Market Street, Suite 4400 Philadelphia, PA 19103
(P) 215.972.2375 (F) 215.972.2388 www.curtisfinancial.com
Securities sold through Curtis Securities, LLC

 


 

Board of Directors
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Page 2 of 4
CURTIS FINANCIAL GROUP, LLC
Curtis is an investment banking firm specializing in business valuations, mergers and acquisitions, and raising private capital. The professional staff has a diverse background in investment banking, securities analysis, banking, insurance, engineering, accounting and tax. The expertise of the staff includes valuing, originating, structuring, negotiating and closing a wide variety of investment banking transactions. The background of Curtis is presented in Exhibit III. We believe that, except for the fee we will receive for our appraisal, we are independent of the Company and the other parties engaged by the Company to assist in the corporate reorganization and stock issuance process.
VALUATION METHODOLOGY
In preparing the Appraisal Update, we conducted an analysis of PMMHC that included discussions with the Company’s management. We reviewed the audited GAAP and statutory financial statements of the Company as of and for the years ended December 31, 2003 through December 31, 2008 and the quarterly period ended March 31, 2009. In addition, where appropriate, we considered information based on other available published sources that we believe are reliable; however, we cannot guarantee the accuracy and completeness of such information.
In preparing the Appraisal Update, we also reviewed and analyzed: (i) financial and operating information with respect to the business, operations, and prospects of the Company furnished to us by the Company; (ii) publicly available information concerning the Company that we believe to be relevant to our analysis; (iii) a comparison of the historical financial results and present financial condition of the Company with those of selected, publicly-traded insurance companies that we deemed relevant; and (iv) financial performance and market valuation data of certain publicly-traded insurance industry aggregates as provided by industry sources.
The Appraisal Update is based on the Company’s representation that the information contained in the Plan and additional evidence furnished to us by the Company and its independent auditor are truthful, accurate, and complete. We did not independently verify the financial statements and other information provided by the Company and reviewed by its independent auditor, nor did we independently value the assets or liabilities of the Company. The Appraisal Update considers the Company only as a going concern on a stand-alone basis and should not be considered as an indication of the liquidation value of the Company.
We have investigated the competitive environment within which the Company operates and have assessed the Company’s strengths and weaknesses relative to comparable companies. We have monitored material regulatory and legislative actions affecting financial institutions generally and analyzed the potential impact of such developments on the Company and the industry as a whole, to the extent we were aware of such matters. We have analyzed the potential effects of the Offering on the Company’s operating characteristics and financial performance as they relate to the Estimated Pro Forma Market Value of PMMHC. We have reviewed the economy and
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Board of Directors
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Page 3 of 4
demographic characteristics of the primary market area in which the Company currently operates. We have compared the Company’s financial performance and condition with publicly-traded insurance institutions evaluated and selected in accordance with the valuation guidelines. We have reviewed conditions in the securities markets in general and the markets for insurance companies, and insurance holding companies.
Our appraised value is predicated on a continuation of the current operating environment for PMHC, PMMHC, and for all insurance companies and their holding companies. Changes in the local and national economy, the federal and state legislative and regulatory environments for insurance companies, the stock market, interest rates, and other external forces (such as natural disasters or significant world events) may occur from time to time, often with great unpredictability, and may materially impact the value of insurance stocks as a whole or the Company’s value alone. To the extent that such factors can be foreseen, they have been factored into our analysis.
VALUATION CONCLUSION
It is our opinion that, as of June 5, 2009, the Estimated Pro Forma Market Value of the aggregate common shares outstanding immediately following the Offering, was within a range (the “Valuation Range”) of $45.05 million to $60.95 million with a midpoint of $53.0 million. The Valuation Range was based upon a fifteen percent decrease from the midpoint to determine the minimum and a fifteen percent increase from the midpoint to determine the maximum. Exhibit VII shows the assumptions and calculations utilized in determining the Company’s Valuation Range.
LIMITING FACTORS AND CONSIDERATIONS
Our Appraisal Update is not intended, and must not be construed, to be a recommendation of any kind as to the advisability of purchasing shares of Common Stock. Moreover, because the Appraisal Update is necessarily based upon estimates and projections of a number of matters, all of which are subject to change from time to time, no assurance can be given that persons who purchase shares of stock in the conversion will thereafter be able to sell such shares at prices related to the foregoing Estimated Pro Forma Market Value. The Appraisal Update reflects only a valuation range as of this date for the Estimated Pro Forma Market Value of PMMHC immediately upon issuance of the stock and does not take into account any trading actively with respect to the purchase and sale of common stock in the secondary market on the date of issuance of such securities or at anytime thereafter following the completion of the Offering. Any report prepared by Curtis shall not be used as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.
Curtis has made no recommendation regarding the merits of the decision to proceed or not to proceed with the Offering. The results of our Appraisal Update are but one of the many factors the Company’s Board of Directors should consider in making its decision. The Company has assured Curtis that it has relied on its own counsel, accountants and other experts for legal, accounting, tax and similar professional advice.
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Board of Directors
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
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The Valuation Range reported herein will be updated as appropriate. These updates will consider, among other factors, any developments or changes in the Company’s operating performance, financial condition, or management policies, and current conditions in the securities markets for insurance company common stocks. Should any such new developments or changes be material, in our opinion, to the Estimated Pro Forma Market Value of PMMHC, appropriate adjustments will be made to the Valuation Range. The reasons for any such adjustments will be explained in detail at that time.
Respectfully submitted,
(CURTIS FINANCIAL GROUP, LLC)
Curtis Financial Group, LLC
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
         
I. RECENT FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
    1  
Financial Condition
    1  
Income and Expense Trends
    3  
III. INDUSTRY UPDATE
    11  
IV. COMPARISONS WITH PUBLICLY-TRADED COMPANIES
    13  
Recent Financial Comparisons
    13  
V. MARKET CONDITIONS AND MARKET VALUE ADJUSTMENTS
    16  
Stock Price Performance and Market Conditions
    16  
VI. VALUATION ANALYSIS AND CONCLUSIONS
    18  
Valuation Review
    18  
Valuation Analysis
    18  
Valuation Conclusion
    21  
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TABLE OF EXHIBITS
     
I.
  Statement of General Assumptions and Limiting Conditions
 
   
II.
  Certification
 
   
III.
  Overview of Curtis and Qualifications of Appraisers
 
   
IV-1.
  Balance Sheets — GAAP Basis
 
   
IV-2.
  Income Statements — GAAP Basis
 
   
IV-3.
  Investment Portfolio — GAAP Basis
 
   
V-1.
  Balance Sheets — Statutory Basis
 
   
V-2
  Income Statements — Statutory Basis
 
   
VI-1.
  Financial Performance Data for Public P&C Insurance Companies
 
   
VI-2.
  Market Valuation Data for Public P&C Insurance Companies
 
   
VII-1.
  Pro Forma Assumptions for Conversion Valuation
 
   
VII-2.
  Pro Forma Conversion Valuation Range
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I. RECENT FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Financial Condition
     Table 1 presents selected data concerning the Company’s financial position as of December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2009. Exhibit IV-1 presents the Company’s balance sheet as of December 31, 2003 through December 31, 2008, as well as March 31, 2009.
Table 1
Selected Financial Condition Data

As of December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2009
(Dollars in Thousands)
                 
    3/31/2009   12/31/2008
Balance Sheet Data
               
Total assets
    228,415       220,524  
Total investments and cash
    143,993       133,873  
Premiums and fees receivable
    28,753       31,080  
Reinsurance receivables and recoverables
    25,064       20,637  
 
               
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves
    116,775       108,065  
Unearned premiums
    44,811       45,322  
Total liabilities
    177,254       169,769  
Total surplus
    51,161       50,755  
Total surplus / assets
    22.40 %     23.02 %
Source: Penn Millers’ GAAP financial statements.
     The Company’s total assets increased 3.6% from $220.5 million at December 31, 2008 to $228.4 million at March 31, 2009. From December 31, 2008 to March 31, 2009, total investments increased by $6.4 million, reinsurance receivables and recoverables increased by $4.4 million, and cash increased by $3.7 million. These increases were mostly offset by a $2.3 million decline in premiums and fees receivable, a $1.8 million decline in assets from discontinued operations, a $1.1 million decline in deferred income taxes and an $821,000 decline in other assets.
     The Company’s portfolio of investment securities amounted to $128.3 million at March 31, 2009 and constituted 56.2% of total assets. As of March 31, 2009, Penn Millers’ investments
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
consisted of $24.4 million of mortgage-backed securities, and $102.0 million of other types of fixed-income securities. Exhibit IV-3 presents the Company’s investment portfolio as of December 31, 2006, December 31, 2007, December 31, 2008, and March 31, 2009. The following chart shows the composition of securities of Penn Millers’ investment portfolio as of March 31, 2009.
Chart 2
Penn Millers’ Investment Portfolio
As of March 31, 2009
(PIE CHART)
Source: Penn Millers’ management.
     Total liabilities increased from $169.8 million at December 31, 2008 to $177.3 million at March 31, 2009. The $7.5 million increase in total liabilities from December 31, 2008 to March 31, 2009 primarily reflected an $8.7 million increase in loss and loss adjustment expense reserves, offset by a $722,000 decline in accounts payable and accrued expenses.
     Penn Millers had $2.4 million of borrowed debt outstanding as of December 31, 2008 and $3.0 million of borrowed debt outstanding as of March 31, 2009. The $655,000 increase is due to increased borrowings under a line of credit to fund expenses associated with the Offering discussed herein.
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     The Company’s total surplus, as measured under generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), increased modestly from $50.8 million at December 31, 2008 to $51.2 million at March 31, 2009 as a result of profitable operating results in the first quarter of 2009. The Company’s ratio of total surplus to total assets decreased from 23.0% at December 31, 2008 to 22.4% at March 31, 2009. As shown in the following chart, the Company’s return on average assets (“ROAA”) and return on average equity (“ROAE”) continue to decline.
Chart 3
Penn Millers ROAA and ROAE

For the Year Ended December 31, 2003 to December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2009
(LINE GRAPH)
Source: Curtis calculation based on Penn Millers’ GAAP financial statements.
*Note: ROAA and ROAE are calculating using net income for the 12 month period ended March 31, 2009 and the average assets and equity book values at 3/31/2008 and 3/31/2009.
Income and Expense Trends
     Table 2 displays the Company’s earnings results and selected operating ratios for the trailing twelve month (“TTM”) periods ended December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2009. Exhibit IV-2 displays the Company’s annual income statements for 2003 through 2008, as well as the TTM period ended March 31, 2009.
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Table 2
Selected Operating Performance Data

For the TTM periods ended December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2009
(Dollars in Thousands)
                 
    TTM ended    
    3/31/2009 (e)   2008
REVENUE
               
Premiums earned
  $ 77,327     $ 78,737  
Investment income, net of investment expense
    5,298       5,335  
Realized investment (losses) gains, net
    (7,627 )     (5,819 )
Other income
    282       411  
 
           
Total revenue
    75,280       78,664  
 
               
LOSSES AND EXPENSES
               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    56,343       57,390  
Underwriting and administrative expenses (a)
    26,414       26,562  
Interest expense
    213       184  
Other expenses, net
    376       365  
 
           
Total losses and expenses
    83,346       84,501  
 
               
Income from continuing operations
    (8,066 )     (5,837 )
 
               
 
           
Income taxes expense (benefit)
    (2,074 )     (1,378 )
 
           
 
               
Net income (loss) from continuing operations
    (5,992 )     (4,459 )
 
           
 
               
Discontinued Operations:
               
Pre-tax (loss) income on discontinued ops
    (3,104 )     (3,090 )
Income tax (benefit) expense
    632       (170 )
 
           
(Loss) income on discontinued ops
    (3,736 )     (2,920 )
 
               
Net income
    (9,728 )     (7,379 )
 
           
 
               
Operating Ratios
               
Loss ratio (b)
    72.9 %     72.9 %
Expense ratio (c)
    34.2 %     33.7 %
Combined ratio (d)
    107.0 %     106.6 %
 
Notes: 
 
(a)   Includes amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs.
 
(b)   Losses and loss adjustment expenses divided by premiums earned.
 
(c)   Underwriting and administrative expenses divided by premiums earned.
 
(d)   Sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
 
(e)   Represents the trailing twelve month period ended March 31, 2009.
Source: Financial reports prepared by management and reviewed by KPMG.
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     On February 2, 2009, the Company completed the sale of Eastern Insurance Group (“EIG”) to Eastern Insurance Acquisition Agency, LLC for approximately $3.4 million. Performance results of EIG have been classified as discontinued operations in Penn Millers’ historical financial statements.
     Excluding revenue from discontinued operations, Penn Millers’ total revenue decreased from $78.7 million for the TTM period ended December 31, 2008 to $75.3 million for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009 due to a $1.4 million decrease in premiums earned and a $1.8 million increase in realized investment losses from the TTM period ended December 31, 2008 to the TTM period ended March 31, 2009. Including discontinued operations, Penn Millers experienced a net loss of $9.7 million for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009 as compared to net loss of $7.4 million for the TTM period ended December 31, 2008.
     Underwriting and administrative expenses remained flat at $26.4 million for the TTM period ended December 31, 2008 to the TTM period ended March 31, 2009. As a percent of earned premium revenue, the Company’s expense ratio increased from 33.7% for the TTM period ended December 31, 2008 to 34.2% for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009. The loss ratio remained flat at 72.9% for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009, resulting in a combined ratio that increased from 106.6% for the TTM period ended December 31, 2008 to 107.0% for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009. According to management, Penn Millers continued to experience unusually high losses during the first quarter of 2009. As shown in the following chart, since 2003, Penn Millers’ combined ratio has ranged from 103.7% to 107.3%.
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Chart 4
Penn Millers Combined Ratio Composition

For the Year Ended December 31, 2003 to December 31, 2008
and the TTM Period Ended March 31, 2009
(BAR GRAPH)
Source: Penn Millers GAAP financial statements. Statutory ratios provided in Exhibit V.
     The Company’s commercial lines segment remained unprofitable for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009. Net premiums earned decreased by 3.1% to $30.8 million for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009. Losses and loss adjustment expenses decreased from 80.1% of net premiums earned in the TTM period ended December 31, 2008 to 77.9% of net premiums in the TTM period ended March 31, 2009. Commercial losses totaled $4.5 million in the TTM period ended March 31, 2009.
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Chart 5
Penn Millers Commercial Lines Net Premiums Written and Loss Ratio

For the TTM Periods ended December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2009
(BAR GRAPH)
Source: Penn Millers financial statements.
     The Company’s agribusiness segment was unprofitable in the TTM period ended March 31, 2009. Net premiums earned decrease by 0.9% to $44.9 million in TTM period ended March 31, 2009. Losses and loss adjustment expenses increased from 68.7% of net premiums earned in the TTM period ended December 31, 2008 to 71.0% of net premiums in the TTM period ended March 31, 2009. Agribusiness underwriting loss totaled $800,000 in the TTM period ended March 31, 2009.
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Chart 6
Penn Millers Agribusiness Net Premiums Written and Loss Ratio

For the TTM Periods ended December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2009
(BAR GRAPH)
Source: Penn Millers financial statements.
     The Company exited the personal lines business in 2004. Expenses related to the personal lines amounted to approximately $198,000 in the TTM period ended March 31, 2009. Assumed reinsurance was profitable in the TTM period ended March 31, 2009.
     Penn Millers ceded $18.6 million of gross written premiums to reinsurers for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009, an increase of approximately $1.0 million as compared to the prior TTM.
     Table 3 provides operating performance segment data for the Company for the TTM periods ended December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2009.
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Table 3
Segment Operating Performance Data

For the TTM Periods ended December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2009
(Dollars in Thousands)
                                                                         
    For the twelve month period ended March 31, 2009
                                                    As a % of Total    
    Agri     Commerical     Personal     Assumed     Total     Agri   Comm   Pers   Assum
Direct premiums written
  $ 59,305     $ 35,661     $ 0     $ 263       95,229       62.3 %     37.4 %     0.0 %     0.3 %
 
                                                                       
Net premiums written
    46,085       28,494       0       1,618       76,197       60.5 %     37.4 %     0.0 %     2.1 %
 
                                                                       
Net premiums earned
    44,879       30,823       0       1,625       77,327       58.0 %     39.9 %     0.0 %     2.1 %
 
                                                                       
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    31,845       24,026       (198 )     673       56,346       56.5 %     42.6 %     -0.4 %     1.2 %
Other underwriting expenses
    13,834       11,346       0       598       25,778       53.7 %     44.0 %     0.0 %     2.3 %
 
                                                     
 
                                                                       
Total losses and expenses
    45,679       35,372       (198 )     1,271       82,124       55.6 %     43.1 %     -0.2 %     1.5 %
 
                                                                       
Underwriting income (loss)
    (800 )     (4,549 )     198       354       (4,797 )     16.7 %     94.8 %     -4.1 %     -7.4 %
                                                                         
    For the twelve month period ended December 31, 2008
                                                    As a % of Total    
    Agri     Commerical     Personal     Assumed     Total     Agri   Comm   Pers   Assum
Direct premiums written
  $ 57,281     $ 37,458     $ 0     $ 245       94,984       60.3 %     39.4 %     0.0 %     0.3 %
 
                                                                       
Net premiums written
    45,110       30,632       0       1,625       77,367       58.3 %     39.6 %     0.0 %     2.1 %
 
                                                                       
Net premiums earned
    45,298       31,805       0       1,634       78,737       57.5 %     40.4 %     0.0 %     2.1 %
 
                                                                       
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    31,137       25,480       (335 )     1,108       57,390       54.3 %     44.4 %     -0.6 %     1.9 %
Other underwriting expenses
    13,848       11,371       0       574       25,793       53.7 %     44.1 %     0.0 %     2.2 %
 
                                                     
 
                                                                       
Total losses and expenses
    44,985       36,851       (335 )     1,682       83,183       54.1 %     44.3 %     -0.4 %     2.0 %
 
                                                                       
Underwriting income (loss)
    313       (5,046 )     335       (48 )     (4,446 )     -7.0 %     113.5 %     -7.5 %     1.1 %
Source: Penn Millers financial statements.
     Table 4 presents additional gross premium data for the Company’s agribusiness and commercial lines segments for the TTM periods ended December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2009.
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Table 4
Agribusiness and Commercial Lines Segment Gross Premium Data

For the TTM Periods ended December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2009
(Dollars in Thousands)
                                 
    Agribusiness   Commerical Lines
    TTM 3/31/09   2008   TTM 3/31/09   2008
                     
Direct premiums written:
                               
Fire and Allied
    19,235       18,504       4,837       5,097  
Inland
    2,238       2,166       275       281  
Workers Compensation
    8,290       8,064       7,373       8,031  
General Liability
    10,407       10,048       5,670       5,949  
Product Liability
    4,871       4,529       426       334  
Surety
    19       19       0        
Burglary
    168       161       61       38  
Boiler and Machinery
    898       871       838       850  
Auto
    13,181       12,919       5,041       5,068  
Commercial Multi-Peril
                11,118       11,782  
Earthquake
                22       27  
                     
Total
    59,305       57,281       35,661       37,458  
                     
 
                               
(% of Total Premiums)
                               
Direct premiums written:
                               
Fire and Allied
    32.4 %     32.3 %     13.6 %     13.6 %
Inland
    3.8 %     3.8 %     0.8 %     0.7 %
Workers Compensation
    14.0 %     14.1 %     20.7 %     21.4 %
General Liability
    17.5 %     17.5 %     15.9 %     15.9 %
Product Liability
    8.2 %     7.9 %     1.2 %     0.9 %
Surety
    0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %
Burglary
    0.3 %     0.3 %     0.2 %     0.1 %
Boiler and Machinery
    1.5 %     1.5 %     2.3 %     2.3 %
Auto
    22.2 %     22.6 %     14.1 %     13.5 %
Commercial Multi-Peril
    0.0 %     0.0 %     31.2 %     31.5 %
Earthquake
    0.0 %     0.0 %     0.1 %     0.1 %
                     
Total
    100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %
                     
Source: Penn Millers GAAP financial data.
     Fire and allied direct premiums written, the largest component of the Company’s agribusiness segment, increased by 4.0% to $19.2 million in the TTM period ended March 31, 2009. Direct commercial multi-peril direct premiums written, the largest component of the Company’s commercial lines segment, decreased by 5.6% to $11.1 million in the TTM period ended March 31, 2009 due to declining prices. The chart below shows the Company’s composition of direct premiums written, by line of business, for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
Chart 7
Agribusiness and Commercial Lines Composition of Gross Premiums Written
For the TTM Period Ended March 31, 2009
Agribusiness
(PIE CHART)
Commercial Lines
(PIE CHART)
Source: Penn Millers financial data.
III. INDUSTRY UPDATE
     The P&C insurance industry continues to experience a soft market. According to P&C insurance data from SNL Financial as of May 22, 2009 for the first quarter of 2009, after-tax realized capital losses though near an historically high level, did exhibit marginal improvements
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
from the loss levels in the third and fourth quarters of 2008. The number of companies reporting realized capital losses during the first quarter of 2009 outnumbered those posting gains by a count of 995 to 828. The industry’s combined ratio of 102.01% for the first quarter of 2009, was similar to the combined ratio of 102.53% for the fourth quarter of 2008. Net premiums written increased by approximately 7.9% from $98.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 2008 to $106.5 billion in the first quarter of 2009.
P&C individual insurance entity performance
2,691 out of 2,824 estimated P&C filers
                                                                 
    Q1’09   Q1’08   Q1’07   Q4’08   Q4’07   Q4’06   2008Y   2007Y
Direct premiums written ($000)
    118,455,173       121,804,657       124,068,523       111,594,148       116,741,582       118,218,869       485,991,577       494,306,660  
Net premiums written ($000)
    106,506,506       110,863,246       110,075,278       98,751,445       103,103,331       104,799,553       436,753,985       442,117,195  
Premiums earned ($000)
    105,705,550       108,127,697       108,519,714       107,782,211       110,306,568       110,149,769       438,802,790       439,868,969  
Losses & LAE ($000)
    78,817,336       78,364,422       70,482,463       79,487,557       77,200,013       71,449,801       337,270,449       297,370,025  
Under writing expenses ($000)
    28,883,752       30,024,309       29,553,977       27,688,341       28,600,233       29,396,912       119,469,343       108,149,919  
Under writing gain
    -1,995,539       -261,033       8,483,274       606,313       4,506,322       9,303,056       -17,937,002       34,349,026  
Dividends to policyholders ($000)
    343,872       386,482       326,130       803,002       1,133,648       2,083,073       2,005,743       3,322,619  
Loss ratio (%)
    74.56 %     72.47 %     64.95 %     73.75 %     69.99 %     64.87 %     76.86 %     67.60 %
Expense ratio (NPW) (%)
    27.12 %     27.08 %     26.85 %     28.04 %     27.74 %     28.05 %     27.35 %     24.46 %
Policy holder dividend ratio (%)
    0.33 %     0.36 %     0.30 %     0.75 %     1.03 %     1.89 %     0.46 %     0.76 %
Combined ratio (%)
    102.01 %     99.91 %     92.10 %     102.53 %     98.75 %     94.81 %     104.67 %     92.82 %
Change in DPW (%)
    -2.75 %     -1.82 %             -4.41 %     -1.25 %             -1.68 %     0.78 %
Change in NPW (%)
    -3.93 %     0.72 %             -4.22 %     -1.62 %             -1.21 %     -0.23 %
After-tax realized capital gains ($000)
    -7,919,560       -364,638       1,858,954       -10,166,651       1,598,324       1,505,369       -19,367,269       8,807,110  
Source: SNL Financial
     Fitch Ratings (“Fitch”) believes that profitability will improve moderately in 2009 but underwriting losses are anticipated to continue. Both SNL Financial and Fitch acknowledged that a primary contributor to the poor underwriting performance in the P&C sector was due to the deterioration in results for financial guarantors and mortgage insurers, which are included in the P&C industry.
     Fitch’s outlook for the P&C insurance industry is negative based on economic and investment uncertainty. Key negative factors affecting the P&C industry include: pricing trends and recession related reductions in insurance exposure that will promote a decline in premium revenue and higher expense ratios; higher accident year loss ratios (excluding catastrophe losses); reduced prior period favorable reserve development; and low investment yields and returns. According to Fitch, market underwriting capacity has not declined to a level that will spark premium rate improvements.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

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IV. COMPARISONS WITH PUBLICLY-TRADED COMPANIES
Recent Financial Comparisons
     As outlined in the April 1, 2009 Appraisal, we compared PMMHC to a group of comparable companies (the “Comparable Group”). Table 5 summarizes certain key financial comparisons between PMMHC and the Comparable Group for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009. The selection criteria and background information of the publicly traded property and casualty (“P&C”) insurance companies comprising the Comparable Group were discussed in our April 1, 2009 Appraisal.
     The financial comparisons summarized in the April 1, 2009 Appraisal remained relatively unchanged for this Appraisal Update. The Company’s total assets of $228.4 and total equity of $51.2 million remained below the Comparable Group’s respective total asset mean of $651.1 million and total equity mean of $195.9 million.
     The Company experienced an increase in its book equity value of 0.8%, or approximately $406,000 between December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2009. The Comparable Group experienced mean and median increases in book equity value of 1.8% and 5.3%, respectively, over the same time period. The Company’s ratio of total equity to total assets was 22.4% at March 31, 2009 and remained below the Comparable Group mean ratio of total equity to total assets of 31.4%. The Company’s ratio of cash and investments to total assets was 63.0% at March 31, 2009 and remained below the Comparable Group mean ratio of 69.4%.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
Table 5
Comparable Financial Condition Data
Penn Millers and the Comparable Group

As of or for the TTM Period ended March 31, 2009
                                                                         
                                    Total Cash                            
                            Total Policy     and             Tangible     Total Policy     Cash and  
    Total Assets     Total Equity     Tangible     Reserves     Investments     Equity /     Equity /     Reserves /     Investments /  
    ($000)     ($000)     Equity ($000)     ($000)     ($000)     Assets     Assets     Equity     Assets  
 
Penn Millers
  $ 228,415     $ 51,161     $ 51,161     $ 116,775     $ 143,993       22.4 %     22.4 %     2.28x       63.0 %
 
                                                                       
Public P&C Insurance Group Mean
    12,459,344       3,402,190       2,806,295       6,793,526       7,932,351       30.4 %     27.8 %     2.42x       69.4 %
Public P&C Insurance Group Median
    2,838,743       789,066       756,180       1,724,858       2,126,683       28.0 %     24.6 %     2.15x       70.9 %
 
                                                                       
Comparable Group Mean
    651,072       195,902       183,892       378,004       443,835       31.4 %     29.5 %     2.00x       69.9 %
Comparable Group Median
    665,975       180,855       153,791       388,800       454,018       31.3 %     26.9 %     1.76x       69.7 %
 
                                                                       
Comparable Group
                                                                       
21st Century Holding Company
    204,676       76,228       76,228       114,701       150,471       37.2 %     37.2 %     1.50x       73.5 %
Baldwin & Lyons, Inc.
    765,729       325,649       325,649       398,016       524,088       42.5 %     42.5 %     1.22x       68.4 %
CRM Holdings, Ltd.
    452,951       101,677       98,465       273,506       340,804       22.4 %     21.7 %     2.69x       75.2 %
Donegal Group Inc.
    890,379       368,350       367,428       478,479       641,909       41.4 %     41.3 %     1.30x       72.1 %
Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    385,487       137,234       117,736       207,849       273,564       35.6 %     30.5 %     1.51x       71.0 %
EMC Insurance Group Inc.
    1,105,584       286,182       285,240       724,156       948,106       25.9 %     25.8 %     2.53x       85.8 %
First Mercury Financial Corporation
    985,641       274,384       210,125       548,289       606,108       27.8 %     21.3 %     2.00x       61.5 %
Hallmark Financial Services, Inc.
    551,279       190,555       121,220       277,022       368,415       34.6 %     22.0 %     1.45x       66.8 %
Mercer Insurance Group, Inc.
    566,221       141,843       136,427       379,583       383,947       25.1 %     24.1 %     2.68x       67.8 %
National Interstate Corporation
    1,025,934       224,907       224,907       584,812       572,269       21.9 %     21.9 %     2.60x       55.8 %
National Security Group, Inc.
    125,054       35,045       35,045       70,927       93,511       28.0 %     28.0 %     2.02x       74.8 %
NYMAGIC, INC.
    977,190       171,154       171,154       651,829       582,965       17.5 %     17.5 %     3.81x       59.7 %
SeaBright Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    896,537       333,196       328,636       486,743       578,196       37.2 %     36.7 %     1.46x       64.5 %
Unico American Corporation
    182,340       76,226       76,226       96,150       149,331       41.8 %     41.8 %     1.26x       81.9 %
Source: Penn Millers’ GAAP financial statements; SNL Financial.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
     Table 6 compares Penn Millers with the Comparable Group and Public P&C Insurance Group based on selected measures of profitability.
Table 6
Comparable Operating Performance Data
Penn Millers and the Comparable Group

For the TTM period ended March 31, 2009
                                                         
    Total Revenue     Net Income   GAAP   GAAP Loss   Combined            
    ($000)     ($000)   Expense Ratio   Ratio   Ratio   ROAA   ROAE
 
Penn Millers
  $ 75,280     $ (5,992 )     34.2 %     72.9 %     107.0 %     -2.7 %     -10.6 %
 
                                                       
Public P&C Insurance Group Mean
    3,502,076       161,709       32.1 %     61.4 %     93.6 %     0.6 %     2.2 %
Public P&C Insurance Group Median
    634,172       29,149       31.3 %     60.8 %     93.2 %     1.1 %     3.8 %
 
                                                       
Comparable Group Mean
    193,487       139       36.1 %     63.8 %     99.9 %     -0.4 %     -2.0 %
Comparable Group Median
    163,129       3,844       34.8 %     62.2 %     99.1 %     0.8 %     3.0 %
 
                                                       
Comparable Group
                                                       
21st Century Holding Company
    62,937       (6,484 )     47.5 %     63.8 %     111.3 %     -3.2 %     -8.1 %
Baldwin & Lyons, Inc.
    167,677       2,336       34.9 %     54.1 %     89.0 %     0.3 %     0.7 %
CRM Holdings, Ltd.
    134,533       (14,860 )     51.3 %     80.8 %     132.1 %     -3.5 %     -13.5 %
Donegal Group Inc.
    378,007       19,152       31.2 %     74.7 %     105.9 %     2.2 %     5.3 %
Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    129,820       (20,512 )     34.8 %     67.0 %     101.7 %     -5.4 %     -13.5 %
EMC Insurance Group Inc.
    406,030       (4,121 )     37.8 %     58.2 %     96.0 %     -0.4 %     -1.3 %
First Mercury Financial Corporation
    231,115       39,802       30.4 %     58.0 %     88.4 %     4.4 %     15.2 %
Hallmark Financial Services, Inc.
    267,758       12,208       29.5 %     62.0 %     91.5 %     2.3 %     6.5 %
Mercer Insurance Group, Inc.
    158,581       8,533       36.0 %     62.4 %     98.4 %     1.5 %     6.3 %
National Interstate Corporation
    295,232       13,735       22.4 %     56.6 %     79.0 %     1.4 %     6.4 %
National Security Group, Inc.
    59,538       (4,505 )     42.0 %     76.5 %     118.4 %     -3.4 %     -11.5 %
NYMAGIC, INC.
    102,751       (71,109 )     48.2 %     51.5 %     99.7 %     -7.1 %     -35.5 %
SeaBright Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    269,751       22,414       34.0 %     66.1 %     100.1 %     2.7 %     7.1 %
Unico American Corporation
    45,089       5,352       26.0 %     61.0 %     87.0 %     2.9 %     7.3 %
Source: Penn Millers’ GAAP financial statements; SNL Financial.
     The Company was not profitable in the TTM period ended March 31, 2009. Six companies in the Comparable Group also experienced operating losses during the TTM period ended March 31, 2009. Penn Millers’ profitability continues to be impacted by a high combined ratio, which was 107.0%. The Comparable Group reported mean and median combined ratios of 99.9% and 99.1%, respectively.
     The Company’s relatively high combined ratio was attributable primarily to its higher loss ratio. Penn Millers’ loss ratio measured 72.9% for the TTM period ended March 31, 2009, which was above the Comparable Group mean and median loss ratios of 63.8% and 62.2%. Among the Comparable Group members, CRM Holdings, Ltd., Donegal Group, Inc., and National Security Group, Inc. reported higher loss ratios at 80.8%, 74.7%, and 76.5%, respectively.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
V. MARKET CONDITIONS AND MARKET VALUE ADJUSTMENTS
Stock Price Performance and Market Conditions
     Table 7 summarizes stock price and valuation ratios changes for the Comparable Group from April 1, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively. Ten companies experienced a price increase, and four companies experienced a price decline. The mean and median price changes among the Comparable Group were negative 9.4% and positive 3.5%, respectively. The market valuation ratios of the Comparable Group have remained relatively unchanged since April 1, 2009.
Table 7
Comparative Market Valuation Performance

As of April 1, 2009 and June 5, 2009
                                                                                                                   
                                                6/5/2009     4/1/2009                                            
    Change in                                         Price /     Price /       6/5/2009     4/1/2009       6/5/2009     4/1/2009       6/5/2009     4/1/2009  
    Closing     6/5/2009     4/1/2009       6/5/2009 Price     4/1/2009 Price       Tangible     Tangible       Price / LTM     Price / LTM       Price / LTM     Price / LTM       Price / Total     Price / Total  
    Price     Closing Price     Closing Price       / Book     / Book       Book     Book       EPS     EPS       Revenue     Revenue       Assets     Assets  
                               
Public P&C Insurance Group Mean
  NA     NA     NA         96.4 %     93.2 %       106.9 %     103.6 %       28.43x       26.05x         1.53x       0.66x         28.6 %     27.6 %
Public P&C Insurance Group Median
  NA     NA     NA         92.1 %     87.2 %       101.6 %     94.5 %       11.58x       10.44x         0.99x       0.95x         26.1 %     25.7 %  
 
                                                                                                                 
Comparable Group Mean
    9.4 %   NA     NA         75.3 %     74.7 %       81.5 %     81.6 %       27.78x       12.87x         0.82x       0.85x         23.4 %     23.2 %
Comparable Group Median
    3.5 %   NA     NA         70.4 %     73.4 %       73.4 %     74.0 %       11.65x       10.66x         0.73x       0.77x         23.1 %     24.2 %
 
                                                                                                                 
Comparable Group
                                                                                                                 
21st Century Holding Company
    2.4 %     3.38       3.30         35.5 %     34.7 %       35.5 %     34.7 %     Neg     Neg         0.43x       0.39x         13.2 %     13.4 %
Baldwin & Lyons, Inc.
    6.8 %     20.95       19.61         95.0 %     87.7 %       95.0 %     88.6 %       130.94x     Neg         1.85x       1.85x         40.4 %     37.2 %
CRM Holdings, Ltd.
    87.3 %     1.18       0.63         19.3 %     9.6 %       19.9 %     9.9 %     Neg     Neg         0.15x       0.07x         4.3 %     2.4 %
Donegal Group Inc.
    4.5 %     15.89       15.21         110.2 %     106.8 %       110.4 %     107.1 %       20.91x       15.21x         1.07x       1.04x         45.6 %     44.1 %
Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    24.3 %     9.44       7.60         62.5 %     50.0 %       72.8 %     58.4 %     Neg     Neg         0.66x       0.53x         22.2 %     18.3 %
EMC Insurance Group Inc.
    1.3 %     21.75       21.48         100.7 %     100.6 %       101.0 %     100.9 %     Neg     Neg         0.71x       0.69x         26.1 %     25.7 %
First Mercury Financial Corporation
    -4.4 %     13.94       14.58         92.0 %     100.9 %       120.1 %     134.2 %       6.51x       6.66x         1.09x       1.23x         25.6 %     28.0 %
Hallmark Financial Services, Inc.
    5.6 %     6.98       6.61         76.5 %     76.9 %       120.2 %     126.2 %       12.03x       10.66x         0.54x       0.51x         26.4 %     25.6 %
Mercer Insurance Group, Inc.
    5.6 %     15.20       14.40         66.8 %     65.4 %       69.4 %     68.2 %       11.26x       11.08x         0.60x       0.56x         16.7 %     15.8 %
National Interstate Corporation
    -1.1 %     16.69       16.88         143.6 %     151.2 %       143.6 %     151.2 %       23.51x       30.69x         1.09x       1.11x         31.5 %     33.0 %
National Security Group, Inc.
    -20.7 %     8.60       10.85         60.5 %     77.2 %       60.5 %     77.2 %     Neg     Neg         0.36x       0.44x         17.0 %     21.4 %
NYMAGIC, INC.
    28.8 %     14.74       11.44         74.0 %     59.9 %       74.0 %     59.9 %     Neg     Neg         1.23x       1.75x         13.0 %     10.4 %
SeaBright Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    -11.1 %     9.46       10.64         60.5 %     69.8 %       61.3 %     70.8 %       9.01x       7.71x         0.75x       0.85x         22.5 %     26.9 %
Unico American Corporation
    2.5 %     7.68       7.50         56.5 %     54.6 %       56.5 %     54.6 %       8.09x       8.06x         0.96x       0.90x         23.6 %     22.8 %
Source: SNL Financial and CapitalIQ.
     Table 8 summarizes the recent performance of various insurance stock indexes maintained by SNL Financial, along with selected other industry and broader market indexes. The SNL Insurance Index of all publicly-traded insurance companies increased 17.4% between
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

16


 

PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
April 1, 2009 and June 5, 2009. The SNL Insurance Index slightly outperformed the broader markets indexes as reflected by the Standard & Poor’s 500, which increased 15.9% and the Russell 3000, which increased 17.1% between April 1, 2009 and June 5, 2009.
Table 8
Selected Stock Market Index Performance

For the Period Ended June 5, 2009
                                                 
    Index Value     Index Value             Change (%)                
    6/5/2009     4/1/2009     4/1/2009     YTD     1 Year     3 Years  
SNL Insurance Indexes
                                               
SNL Insurance
    287.77       245.09       17.41       (5.83 )     (41.25 )     (44.17 )
SNL Insurance Underwriter
    283.17       238.83       18.57       (5.28 )     (42.09 )     (45.19 )
SNL Insurance Broker
    469.08       462.05       1.52       (13.73 )     (23.33 )     (20.72 )
S&P Insurance
    138.28       106.56       29.77       (6.63 )     (55.17 )     (60.07 )
SNL Sector Indexes
                                               
SNL Insurance Multiline
    88.20       61.44       43.57       (4.23 )     (76.90 )     (82.86 )
SNL Insurance L&H
    358.42       220.38       62.63       (4.13 )     (48.16 )     (45.58 )
SNL Insurance P&C
    299.74       280.08       7.02       (8.37 )     (26.27 )     (13.59 )
SNL Reinsurance
    379.44       358.14       5.95       (6.09 )     (52.13 )     (55.73 )
SNL Managed Care
    432.64       349.89       23.65       3.99       (30.51 )     (39.59 )
SNL Title Insurer
    425.66       584.99       (27.24 )     (24.98 )     (30.31 )     (60.80 )
SNL Mortgage & Finl Guaranty
    45.50       25.09       81.37       39.06       (33.80 )     (91.56 )
SNL Asset Size Indexes
                                               
SNL Insurance < $250M
    323.83       289.98       11.67       9.00       (32.28 )     (47.97 )
SNL Insurance $250M-$500M
    285.08       255.62       11.52       (5.89 )     (36.20 )     (49.44 )
SNL Insurance $500M-$1B
    317.42       308.44       2.91       (2.16 )     (15.52 )     (25.06 )
SNL Insurance $1B-$2.5B
    561.29       520.89       7.75       (7.18 )     (22.07 )     (12.78 )
SNL Insurance $2.5B-$10B
    368.06       353.22       4.20       (8.64 )     (25.19 )     (34.15 )
SNL Insurance > $10B
    272.55       224.41       21.45       (4.75 )     (44.50 )     (47.13 )
SNL Insurance > $1B
    296.65       249.86       18.73       (5.29 )     (42.22 )     (45.25 )
SNL Insurance < $1B
    363.09       346.49       4.79       (1.08 )     (20.74 )     (31.32 )
SNL Market Cap Indexes
                                               
SNL Micro Cap Insurance
    176.53       128.34       37.55       6.35       (44.91 )     (49.17 )
SNL Small Cap Insurance
    358.86       320.07       12.12       (14.25 )     (31.14 )     (38.42 )
SNL Mid Cap Insurance
    199.72       160.14       24.72       (8.71 )     (39.01 )     (50.71 )
SNL Large Cap Insurance
    233.30       199.56       16.91       (4.24 )     (43.55 )     (46.00 )
Broad Market Indexes
                                               
S&P 500
    940.09       811.08       15.91       4.08       (33.04 )     (25.70 )
SNL All Financial Institutions
    347.62       276.88       25.55       (2.94 )     (43.62 )     (55.79 )
Russell 1000
    987.61       847.30       16.56       5.33       (33.40 )     (25.50 )
Russell 2000
    1,318.08       1,066.57       23.58       6.19       (30.51 )     (25.71 )
Russell 3000
    1,008.03       860.92       17.09       5.40       (33.18 )     (25.54 )
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
VI. VALUATION ANALYSIS AND CONCLUSIONS
Valuation Review
     In the April 1, 2009 Appraisal, the Company’s Estimated Pro Forma Market Value was discounted on a P/B basis relative to the trading market valuations of the Comparable Group. The Company’s Estimated Pro Forma Market Value was adjusted for earnings prospects, liquidity of issue and new issue discounts.
     The Comparable Group’s market valuation ratios have remained relatively unchanged since the April 1, 2009 Appraisal. The median P/B ratio of the Comparable Group decreased from 73.4% at April 1, 2009 to 70.4% at June 5, 2009 and the mean P/B ratio of the Comparable Group increased from 74.7% at April 1, 2009 to 75.3% at June 5, 2009. The P/B ratio continues to be the primary valuation metric generally accepted for financial services companies in the current investment climate. Penn Millers’ relatively low returns on equity and assets and negative profitability during the TTM period ended March 31, 2009 render the P/E ratio not applicable. The P/A ratio was again considered to confirm that our Valuation Range for PMMHC was within reason.
Valuation Analysis
     As noted in our April 1, 2009 Appraisal, a discount of approximately 25% to 35% based on the P/B ratio was deemed appropriate for determining the Company’s Estimated Pro Forma Market Value relative to the Comparable Group’s market valuation ratios. The Company is valued at a pro-forma P/B ratio of 50.9% at the minimum, 55.5% at the midpoint, and 59.4% at the maximum as shown in Table 9.
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PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
Table 9
Penn Millers Comparative Valuation Ratios
Based on the Estimated Pro Forma Market Valuation Range

(Dollars in Thousands)
                         
    Estimated Pro Forma Market Valuation Range
    Minimum     Midpoint     Maximum  
 
June 5, 2009 Appraisal
                       
Financial Data as of March 31, 2009
                       
Gross Proceeds
  $ 45,050     $ 53,000     $ 60,950  
 
                       
Price / Book Value
    50.9 %     55.5 %     59.4 %
Price / Tangible Book Value
    50.9 %     55.5 %     59.4 %
Price / Total Assets
    17.0 %     19.4 %     21.8 %
Price / LTM EPS
  neg     neg     neg  
 
                       
April 1, 2009 Appraisal
                       
Financial Data as of December 31, 2008
                       
Gross Proceeds
  $ 45,050     $ 53,000     $ 60,950  
 
                       
Price / Book Value
    51.2 %     55.7 %     59.7 %
Price / Tangible Book Value
    52.7 %     57.3 %     61.2 %
Price / Total Assets
    17.5 %     20.0 %     22.4 %
Price / LTM EPS
  neg     neg     neg  
Source: Curtis Financial Group.
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19


 

PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
     Table 10 displays the market valuation ratios of the Comparable Group as of June 5, 2009 and pro forma ratios for the Company.
Table 10
Comparative Market Valuation Analysis

As of June 5, 2009
                                                                 
                            Price /                         
            Total Market             Tangible    Price / LTM     Price / LTM    Price / Total    Equity / 
    Closing Price     Value ($000’s)     Price / Book    Book    EPS     Revenue    Assets    Assets 
 
Penn Millers
                                                               
Pro Forma Valuation Minimum
  $ 10.00     $ 45,050       50.9 %     50.9 %   Neg       0.59 x   17.0 %     33.3 %
Pro Forma Valuation Midpoint
    10.00       53,000       55.5 %     55.5 %   Neg       0.69 x   19.4 %     35.0 %
Pro Forma Valuation Maximum
    10.00       60,950       59.4 %     59.4 %   Neg       0.79 x   21.8 %     36.6 %
 
                                                               
Comparable Group Mean
  NA     $ 167,438       75.3 %     81.5 %     27.78 x     0.82 x     23.4 %     31.4 %
Comparable Group Median
  NA       136,157       70.4 %     73.4 %     11.65 x     0.73 x     23.1 %     31.3 %
 
                                                               
Comparable Group
                                                               
21st Century Holding Company
    3.38       27,087       35.5 %     35.5 %   Neg       0.43 x     13.2 %     37.2 %
Baldwin & Lyons, Inc.
    20.95       309,369       95.0 %     95.0 %     130.94 x     1.85 x     40.4 %     42.5 %
CRM Holdings, Ltd.
    1.18       19,609       19.3 %     19.9 %   Neg       0.15 x     4.3 %     22.4 %
Donegal Group Inc.
    15.89       405,745       110.2 %     110.4 %     20.91 x     1.07 x     45.6 %     41.4 %
Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    9.44       85,767       62.5 %     72.8 %   Neg       0.66 x     22.2 %     35.6 %
EMC Insurance Group Inc.
    21.75       288,182       100.7 %     101.0 %   Neg       0.71 x     26.1 %     25.9 %
First Mercury Financial Corporation
    13.94       252,444       92.0 %     120.1 %     6.51 x     1.09 x     25.6 %     27.8 %
Hallmark Financial Services, Inc.
    6.98       145,694       76.5 %     120.2 %     12.03 x     0.54 x     26.4 %     34.6 %
Mercer Insurance Group, Inc.
    15.20       94,742       66.8 %     69.4 %     11.26 x     0.60 x     16.7 %     25.1 %
National Interstate Corporation
    16.69       323,002       143.6 %     143.6 %     23.51 x     1.09 x     31.5 %     21.9 %
National Security Group, Inc.
    8.60       21,213       60.5 %     60.5 %   Neg       0.36 x     17.0 %     28.0 %
NYMAGIC, INC.
    14.74       126,620       74.0 %     74.0 %   Neg       1.23 x     13.0 %     17.5 %
SeaBright Insurance Holdings, Inc.
    9.46       201,575       60.5 %     61.3 %     9.01 x     0.75 x     22.5 %     37.2 %
Unico American Corporation
    7.68       43,085       56.5 %     56.5 %     8.09 x     0.96 x     23.6 %     41.8 %
Source: Penn Millers, SNL Financial and Capital IQ.
     The Company’s pro forma P/B valuation ratios reflect discounts to the Comparable Group’s mean ratio of 75.3% measuring 21.0% at the valuation maximum, 26.3% at the valuation midpoint, and 32.3% at the valuation minimum. The Company’s P/B valuation ratios reflect a discount to the Comparable Group’s 70.4% median of 15.5% at the valuation maximum, 21.2% at the valuation midpoint, and 27.6% at the valuation minimum. In our opinion, these levels of discounts are appropriate to reflect the adjustments for earnings prospects, the new issue discount, and liquidity of the issue discussed in the previous Appraisal as of April 1, 2009.
     Based on the P/A ratio, the Company’s midpoint valuation of $45.0 million reflects a P/A ratio of 19.4%, ranging from 17.0% at the minimum to 21.8% at the maximum. The Company’s P/A valuation ratio at the midpoint is below the Comparable Group’s corresponding mean and
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20


 

PRO FORMA VALUATION APPRAISAL
median P/A ratios of 23.4% and 23.1%, respectively, but considered within a reasonable range from the mean and median of the Comparable Group.
Valuation Conclusion
     It is our opinion that, as of June 5, 2009, the Estimated Pro Forma Market Value of the shares to be issued immediately following the Offering was within a range (the “Valuation Range”) of $45.05 million to $60.95 million with a midpoint of $53.0 million. The Valuation Range was based upon a 15% decrease from the midpoint to determine the minimum and a 15% increase from the midpoint to establish the maximum. Exhibit VII shows the assumptions and calculations utilized in determining the Company’s Valuation Range.
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21


 

EXHIBIT I
STATEMENT OF GENERAL ASSUMPTIONS AND LIMITING CONDITIONS
This report is subject to the following general assumptions and limiting conditions.
1.   No investigation has been made of, and no responsibility is assumed for, the legal description of the property being valued or legal matters, including title or encumbrances. Title to the property is assumed to be good and marketable unless otherwise stated. The property is assumed to be free and clear of any liens, easements or encumbrances unless otherwise stated.
 
2.   Information furnished by others, upon which all or portions of this analysis is based, is believed to be reliable, but has not been verified except as set forth in this report. No warranty is given as to the accuracy of such information.
 
3.   This report has been made only for the purpose stated and shall not be used for any other purpose.
 
4.   Except as specified in our engagement letter, neither Curtis nor any individual signing or associated with this report shall be required by reason of this report to give further consultation, provide testimony, or appear in court or other legal proceeding.
 
5.   No responsibility is taken for changes in market conditions and no obligation is assumed to revise this report to reflect events or conditions which occur subsequent to the date hereof.
 
6.   The date to which the opinions expressed in this report apply is set forth in the letter of transmittal. Our opinion is based on the purchasing power of the United States dollar as of that date.
 
7.   It is assumed that all required licenses, certificates of occupancy, consents, or other legislative or administrative authority from any local, state, or national government or private entity or organization have been or can readily be obtained or renewed.
 
8.   Full compliance with all applicable federal, state and local zoning, use, environmental and similar laws and regulations is assumed, unless otherwise stated.
 
9.   Competent management is assumed.
 
10.   The opinion is predicated on the financial structure prevailing as of the date of this report.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)


 

EXHIBIT II
CERTIFICATION
We certify that, to the best of our knowledge and belief:
    the facts and data reported by the reviewer and used in the review process are true and correct;
 
    the analyses, opinions, and conclusions in this report are limited only by the assumptions and limiting conditions stated in this review report, and are our personal, impartial and unbiased professional analyses, opinions and conclusions;
 
    we have no present or prospective interest in the property that is the subject of this review report, and we have no personal interest or bias with respect to the parties involved;
 
    our engagement in this assignment was not contingent upon developing or reporting predetermined results;
 
    our compensation is not contingent on an action or event resulting from the analyses, opinions, or conclusions in, or the use of, this report;
 
    We have made a personal visit to the headquarters of Penn Millers.
         
 
  -s- Anthony A. Latini, Jr.
 
Anthony A. Latini, Jr.
   
 
       
 
  -s- Paul M. Yeakel, Jr.    
 
       
 
  Paul M. Yeakel, Jr.    
 
       
 
  -s- Laura E. Anastasio    
 
       
 
  Laura E. Anastasio    
 
       
 
  June 5, 2009    
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit III
Overview of Curtis
With offices in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, PA, Curtis Financial Group, LLC (“Curtis”) is a leading investment banking and corporate finance advisory firm serving middle-market clients since 1994. Our expertise and experience with financial services industry clients is reflected in our consistently high national rankings by SNL Financial LC. The Curtis team offers clients the benefit of more than 125 years of collective experience, having served: public and private middle-market companies operating in a diverse group of industries in the United States and globally; and entrepreneurs, families, corporations, private equity and venture capital investors. All securities are sold through Curtis Securities, LLC, a FINRA (www.finra.org) registered broker-dealer.
Background of Appraisers
Anthony A. Latini, Jr., CFA
Managing Director
Mr. Latini has over 20 years of experience providing corporate finance and investment banking services to middle market and large corporate clients. Mr. Latini focuses on merger and acquisition advisory services and capital raising for clients in a wide variety of industries including manufacturing, distribution, and financial services. He has been involved with seven mutual to stock conversions. Prior to joining Curtis, Mr. Latini was a Director in the Financial Services Group at Berwind Financial L.P. and has also held positions at Evans & Company, Inc., and CoreStates Financial Corporation. Mr. Latini received his B.S. from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA).
Paul M. Yeakel, Jr.
Vice President
Mr. Yeakel has more than eight years of investment banking and real estate financing experience, having successfully completed projects in industries including telecommunications, flat panel displays, accounts receivable management, healthcare, software, energy and real estate. Prior to joining Curtis Financial Group, Mr. Yeakel co-founded Lighthouse Development Partners, LLC, a real estate development firm, and spent four years working in a corporate development role for CD Ventures and Gatehouse Ventures, both private investment firms located in Berwyn, PA. Additionally, Mr. Yeakel worked for Corning Incorporated as an internal corporate strategy consultant. Mr. Yeakel graduated from Carnegie Mellon’s Graduate School of Industrial Administration with a M.B.A. and earned a B.A. in English from The College of Wooster.
Laura E. Anastasio
Senior Associate
Ms. Anastasio joined Curtis Financial Group in 2005 after two years with Ernst & Young, LLP. As part of the Transaction Advisory Services Group, Ms. Anastasio completed valuation assignments involving both businesses and sale leaseback transactions. She has experience working in a variety of industries ranging from consumer products to computer technology, and has been involved with three mutual to stock conversions. Ms. Anastasio holds a B.S. in Industrial Engineering from Lehigh University. She is also a member of the American Society of Appraisers.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit IV-1
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Historical Balance Sheets — GAAP Basis
(Dollars in Thousands)
                                                         
    3/31/2009   12/31/2008   12/31/2007   12/31/2006   12/31/2005   12/31/2004   12/31/2003
ASSETS
                                                       
Investments:
                                                       
Fixed securities
    128,298       121,914       112,769       99,906       94,549       92,752       87,123  
Equity securities
                13,409       13,697       12,328       12,819       11,266  
 
                                                       
Total investments
    128,298       121,914       126,178       113,603       106,877       105,571       98,389  
 
                                                       
Cash and cash equivalents (cash overdraft)
    15,695       11,959       10,134       13,052       10,021       11,431       14,387  
Premiums and fees receivable
    28,753       31,080       32,489       30,465       26,910       29,256       24,056  
Reinsurance receivables and recoverables
    25,064       20,637       15,640       18,886       22,923       18,053       22,222  
Deferred acquisition costs
    10,522       10,601       11,014       10,381       9,646       10,352       9,243  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    4,170       4,342       4,234       4,119       3,645       3,731       3,209  
Accrued investment income
    1,391       1,431       1,499       1,439       1,302       1,225       1,236  
PP&E, less accumulated depreciation
    4,071       4,231       4,401       4,228       4,255       5,020       5,583  
Income taxes receivable
    1,294       1,508       1,056             894                
Deferred income taxes
    3,656       4,728       1,872       1,439       1,429              
Other
    4,058       4,879       3,972       2,812       2,557       2,144       1,845  
Assets from discontinued operations
    1,443       3,214       7,124       7,344       7,438       5,237       5,285  
 
                                                       
Total assets
    228,415       220,524       219,613       207,768       197,897       192,020       185,455  
 
                                                       
 
                                                       
LIABILITIES AND SURPLUS
                                                       
 
                                                       
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves
    116,775       108,065       95,956       89,405       83,849       73,287       69,463  
Unearned premiums
    44,811       45,322       46,595       43,294       39,984       42,798       38,090  
Accounts due reinsurers
                                  2,597       4,973  
Accounts payable and accrued expenses
    12,631       13,353       12,874       10,394       9,603       7,991       7,226  
Deferred income taxes payable
                                  673       1,344  
Income taxes payable
                      256       1       22       161  
Long-term debt
    3,037       2,382       1,745       2,307       4,400       3,064       3,059  
Liabilities from discontinued operations
          647       1,042       1,582       2,291       1,682       1,864  
 
                                                       
 
                                                       
Total liabilities
    177,254       169,769       158,212       147,238       140,128       132,114       126,180  
 
                                                       
Unassigned surplus
    51,945       51,914       59,293       58,207       56,127       55,837       54,439  
Accumulated other comprehensive income, net
    (784 )     (1,159 )     2,108       2,323       1,642       4,069       4,836  
 
                                                       
Total surplus
    51,161       50,755       61,401       60,530       57,769       59,906       59,275  
 
                                                       
Total liabilities and surplus
    228,415       220,524       219,613       207,768       197,897       192,020       185,455  
 
                                                       
 
                                                       
Performance and Capital Ratios
                                                       
Return on average assets (a)
    -2.66 %     -2.03 %     0.68 %     0.94 %     0.12 %     0.64 %     1.00 %
Return on average surplus (a)
    -10.57 %     -7.95 %     2.38 %     3.23 %     0.41 %     2.03 %     3.12 %
Surplus to total assets
    22.40 %     23.02 %     27.96 %     29.13 %     29.19 %     31.20 %     31.96 %
 
Notes:
 
(a)   Return on average assets and return on average equity as of 3/31/2009; asset and equity values are derived as the average of 3/31/2008 and 3/31/2009.
Source: Financial reports prepared by management and reviewed by KPMG.
(CURTIC FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit IV–2
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Historical Income Statements — GAAP Basis
(Dollars in Thousands)
                                                         
    TTM ended                                      
    3/31/2009 (e)     2008     2007     2006     2005     2004     2003  
REVENUE
                                                       
Premiums earned
  $ 77,327     $ 78,737     $ 70,970     $ 64,645     $ 64,723     $ 63,090     $ 56,065  
Investment income, net of investment expense
    5,298       5,335       5,324       4,677       4,444       4,278       4,058  
Realized investment (losses) gains, net
    (7,627 )     (5,819 )     (702 )     349       424       936       833  
Other income
    282       411       508       345       277       301       371  
 
                                         
Total revenue
    75,280       78,664       76,100       70,016       69,868       68,605       61,327  
 
LOSSES AND EXPENSES
                                                       
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    56,343       57,390       49,783       43,766       40,242       42,910       35,822  
Underwriting and administrative expenses (a)
    26,414       26,562       24,163       23,296       29,221       24,359       22,911  
Interest expense
    213       184       125       222       195       51       56  
Other expenses, net
    376       365       184       314       266       82       101  
 
                                         
Total losses and expenses
    83,346       84,501       74,255       67,598       69,924       67,402       58,890  
 
Income from continuing operations
    (8,066 )     (5,837 )     1,845       2,418       (56 )     1,203       2,437  
 
                                         
Income taxes expense (benefit)
    (2,074 )     (1,378 )     396       506       (296 )     (4 )     587  
 
                                         
 
Net income (loss) from continuing operations
    (5,992 )     (4,459 )     1,449       1,912       240       1,207       1,850  
 
                                         
 
Discontinued Operations:
                                                       
Pre-tax (loss) income on discontinued ops
    (3,104 )     (3,090 )     (489 )     292       385       240       340  
Income tax (benefit) expense
    632       (170 )     (126 )     124       151       63       143  
 
                                         
(Loss) income on discontinued ops
    (3,736 )     (2,920 )     (363 )     168       234       177       197  
 
Net income
    (9,728 )     (7,379 )     1,086       2,080       474       1,384       2,047  
 
                                         
 
Operating Ratios
                                                       
Loss ratio (b)
    72.9 %     72.9 %     70.1 %     67.7 %     62.2 %     68.0 %     63.9 %
Expense ratio (c)
    34.2 %     33.7 %     34.0 %     36.0 %     45.1 %     38.6 %     40.9 %
Combined ratio (d)
    107.0 %     106.6 %     104.2 %     103.7 %     107.3 %     106.6 %     104.8 %
 
Notes:
 
(a)   Includes amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs.
 
(b)   Losses and loss adjustment expenses divided by premiums earned.
 
(c)   Underwriting and administrative expenses divided by premiums earned.
 
(d)   Sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
 
(e)   Represents the trailing twelve month period ended March 31, 2009.
Source: Financial reports prepared by management and reviewed by KPMG. Statutory financials provided in Exhibit V.
(CURTIC FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit IV-3
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Investment Portfolio
(Dollars in Thousands)
                                                                 
    3/31/2009   12/31/2008   12/31/2007   12/31/2006
    Amortized   Estimated   Amortized   Estimated   Amortized   Estimated   Amortized   Estimated
    Cost   Fair Value   Cost   Fair Value   Cost   Fair Value   Cost   Fair Value
                 
ASSETS
                                                               
Fixed Securities:
                                                               
U.S. government and agencies
    24,533       26,063       23,459       25,399       26,360       26,984       27,509       27,461  
State and political subdivisions
    32,228       33,932       31,775       32,957       30,321       31,134       26,538       27,047  
Mortgage backed
    24,431       24,617       25,374       25,305       20,636       20,724       11,618       11,488  
Corporate
    45,220       43,686       39,930       38,253       33,656       33,927       33,964       33,910  
                 
Total fixed securities
    126,412       128,298       120,538       121,914       110,973       112,769       99,629       99,906  
 
                                                               
Equity
                            10,525       13,409       10,476       13,697  
                 
 
                                                               
Total investment securities
    126,412       128,298       120,538       121,914       121,498       126,178       110,105       113,603  
 
Notes:
 
Financial reports prepared by management and reviewed by KPMG.
(CURTIC FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit V-1
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company (b)
Historical Balance Sheets — Statutory Basis (a)
(Dollars in Thousands)
                                                 
    12/31/2008   12/31/2007   12/31/2006   12/31/2005   12/31/2004   12/31/2003
ASSETS
                                               
Investments:
                                               
Bonds
    120,538       110,972       99,628       93,879       89,641       82,441  
Stocks
    1       13,411       13,697       12,329       12,819       11,267  
Real estate
    2,694       2,788       2,909       1,199       1,204       1,076  
Receivables for securities
            91                          
 
                                               
Total investments
    123,233       127,262       116,234       107,407       103,664       94,784  
 
                                               
Cash and cash equivalents (cash overdraft)
    11,695       10,034       12,911       9,459       10,996       14,365  
Premiums and considerations
    31,950       32,416       30,396       26,730       29,076       23,919  
Reinsurance receivables
    3,074       917       1,120       1,114       838       1,036  
Accrued investment income
    1,431       1,499       1,439       1,302       1,225       1,236  
Other receivables
    1,160       1,723       1,524       1,682       1,490       926  
PP&E
    642       857       508       152       194       295  
Income taxes receivable
    1,406       646             10       13        
Deferred income taxes
    5,190       4,893       4,242       4,071       3,820       3,747  
Receivable from parent
    186       557       219       361       204       250  
Aggregate write-ins for other than invested assets
    2,973       3,011       1,960       1,761       981       517  
 
                                               
Total assets
    182,941       183,815       170,553       154,049       152,501       141,075  
 
                                               
 
                                               
LIABILITIES AND SURPLUS
                                               
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves
    85,439       77,222       69,317       61,033       55,805       48,072  
Unearned premiums
    41,061       42,499       39,221       36,348       39,102       35,122  
Accounts due reinsurers and provisions
    5       22       276       227       100       287  
Commissions payable, contingent commissions
    1,488       2,515       2,581       2,292       2,867       2,154  
Other expenses
    6,411       6,532       6,110       6,124       5,480       5,361  
Ceded reinsurance premiums payable
    2,024       3,686       1,275       614       2,482       2,782  
Funds held by company under reinsurance treaties
    2,616             677       73       114       2,191  
Amounts withheld or retained by company
    55       47       67       78       68       130  
Payable for securities
          414       472                    
Aggregate write ins for liabilities
                            811       273  
Payable to parent
    15       83       32       44       227       371  
 
                                               
 
                                               
Total liabilities
    139,115       133,020       120,028       106,833       107,056       96,743  
 
                                               
Aggregate write-ins for special surplus funds
    2,250       2,250       2,250       2,250       2,250       2,250  
Common capital stock
    5,000       5,000       5,000       5,000       5,000       5,000  
Gross paid in and contributed surplus
    5,000       5,000       5,000       5,000       5,000       5,000  
Unassigned surplus
    30,576       38,545       38,275       34,966       33,195       32,082  
 
                                               
Total surplus
    42,826       50,795       50,525       47,216       45,445       44,332  
 
                                               
Total liabilities and surplus
    181,941       183,815       170,553       154,049       152,501       141,075  
 
                                               
Performance and Capital Ratios
                                               
Return on assets
    -2.43 %     0.50 %     0.85 %     2.07 %     0.43 %     0.43 %
Return on surplus
    -9.53 %     1.73 %     2.81 %     6.84 %     1.41 %     1.37 %
Surplus to total assets
    23.41 %     27.63 %     29.62 %     30.65 %     29.80 %     31.42 %
 
Notes:
 
(a)   Statutory financials do not include the effects of discontinued operations.
 
(b)   Statutory financial statements represent the results of operations of PMHC.
Source: Statutory prepared financial statements.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL)

 


 

Exhibit V-2
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company (e)
Historical Income Statements — Statutory Basis (d)
(Dollars in Thousands)
                                                 
    2008   2007   2006   2005   2004   2003
REVENUE
                                               
Premiums earned
    78,737     $ 70,970     $ 64,645     $ 64,723     $ 63,090     $ 56,065  
Investment income, net of investment expense
    5,085       5,104       4,370       4,131       4,052       4,097  
Realized investment (losses) gains, net
    (5,778 )     (431 )     232       262       937       833  
 
                                   
Total revenue
    78,044       75,643       69,247       69,116       68,079       60,995  
 
                                               
LOSSES AND EXPENSES
                                               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    57,391       49,774       43,770       40,242       42,910       35,822  
Underwriting and administrative expenses
    25,256       24,059       23,525       24,427       24,407       23,407  
Other expenses, net
    39       (318 )     (31 )     (114 )     (219 )     (212 )
 
                                   
 
Total losses and expenses
    82,686       73,515       67,264       64,555       67,098       59,017  
Income from continuing operations
    (4,642 )     2,128       1,983       4,561       981       1,978  
 
                                   
Income taxes expense (benefit)
    (181 )     1,250       609       1,390       347       1,369  
 
                                   
 
                                               
Net income (loss)
    (4,461 )     878       1,374       3,171       634       609  
 
                                   
 
                                               
Operating Ratios
                                               
Loss ratio (a)
    72.9 %     70.1 %     67.7 %     62.2 %     68.0 %     63.9 %
Expense ratio (b)
    32.1 %     33.9 %     36.4 %     37.7 %     38.7 %     41.7 %
Combined ratio (c)
    105.0 %     104.0 %     104.1 %     99.9 %     106.7 %     105.6 %
 
Notes:
 
(a)   Losses and loss adjustment expenses divided by net premiums earned.
 
(b)   Underwriting expenses divided by net premiums earned.
 
(c)   Sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
 
(d)   Statutory financials do not include the effects of discontinued operations.
 
(e)   Statutory financial statements represent the results of operations of PMHC.
Source: Statutory prepared financial statements.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

     
Exhibit VI-1
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Financial Performance Data for Publicly Traded Property and Casualty Companies
                                                                                                                                         
                                                    Cash and     Cash and     Policy             Tangible     Net Prem             GAAP     GAAP              
            Total Assets     Total Policy     Total Equity     Tangible Equity     Total Policy     Investments     Investments /     Reserves /     Total Equity     Equity /     Writ/ Avg     GAAP Loss     Expense     Combined              
Company Name   Ticker     ($000)     Reserves ($000)     ($000)     ($000)     Revenue ($000)     ($000)     Assets     Equity     / Assets     Assets     Equity (x)     Ratio (%)     Ratio (%)     Ratio (%)     ROAA (%)     ROAE (%)  
 
21st Century Holding Company
  TCHC     204,676       114,701       76,228       76,228       60,429       150,471       0.74       1.50       0.37       0.37       0.68       63.81       47.50       111.31       -3.17       -8.12  
ACE Limited
  ACE     73,127,000       46,365,000       14,718,000       10,983,000       13,457,000       41,970,000       0.57       3.15       0.20       0.15       0.86       59.70       27.80       87.50       1.86       8.97  
Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  AFFM     811,112       327,695       231,944       51,207       355,658       356,534       0.44       1.41       0.29       0.06       1.63       74.70       24.00       98.70       0.92       3.49  
Alleghany Corporation
  Y     6,012,686       3,164,484       2,551,029       2,400,723       921,215       4,112,254       0.68       1.24       0.42       0.40       0.32       51.70       30.90       82.60       1.47       3.63  
Allied World Assurance Company Holdings, Ltd
  AWH     8,892,255       5,598,837       2,491,860       2,152,983       1,167,805       6,710,099       0.75       2.25       0.28       0.24       0.51       45.80       29.50       75.30       2.15       7.92  
Allstate Corporation
  ALL     130,371,000       98,099,000       12,271,000       11,397,000       28,712,000       94,710,000       0.73       7.99       0.09       0.09       1.60       71.70       25.10       96.80       -1.61       -14.00  
American Financial Group, Inc.
  AFG     25,842,100       20,189,900       2,678,800       2,396,900       3,241,900       17,135,600       0.66       7.54       0.10       0.09       1.02       47.30       34.60       81.90       0.87       8.35  
American Physicians Capital, Inc.
  ACAP     996,515       700,842       248,092       248,092       121,927       827,666       0.83       2.82       0.25       0.25       0.45       53.30       24.30       77.60       4.27       16.88  
American Physicians Service Group, Inc.
  AMPH     289,825       129,537       142,139       139,885       63,184       240,641       0.83       0.91       0.49       0.48       0.51       37.00       18.00       55.00       7.23       15.42  
American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd.
  ASI     1,036,776       714,595       223,150       213,454       181,102       696,774       0.67       3.20       0.22       0.21       0.82       60.60       40.50       101.10       -0.01       -0.04  
AMERISAFE, Inc.
  AMSF     1,143,399       728,610       262,111       262,111       285,194       808,555       0.71       2.78       0.23       0.23       1.19       67.20       21.40       88.60       3.87       17.81  
AmTrust Financial Services, Inc.
  AFSI     3,164,023       1,848,674       401,488       297,489       474,107       1,355,805       0.43       4.60       0.13       0.09       1.44       56.60       23.10       79.70       2.78       21.30  
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
  ACGL     16,092,287       9,326,748       3,630,396       3,603,333       2,837,784       11,144,493       0.69       2.57       0.23       0.22       0.77       57.20       29.50       86.70       1.53       6.59  
Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
  AGII     6,479,500       3,895,100       1,384,300       1,126,200       1,251,800       4,065,900       0.63       2.81       0.21       0.17       0.92       59.20       37.10       96.30       0.85       3.85  
Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited
  AHL     7,639,800       4,060,000       2,832,400       2,824,200       1,757,400       6,062,500       0.79       1.43       0.37       0.37       0.65       56.10       28.40       84.50       1.54       4.09  
AXIS Capital Holdings Limited
  AXS     14,777,366       9,038,856       4,492,837       4,397,457       2,693,906       10,448,241       0.71       2.01       0.30       0.30       0.57       58.31       28.34       86.65       1.76       5.51  
Baldwin & Lyons, Inc.
  BWINB     765,729       398,016       325,649       326,667       181,375       524,088       0.68       1.22       0.43       0.43       0.49       54.10       34.90       89.00       0.29       0.68  
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
  BRK.A     260,542,000       71,239,000       106,919,000       73,140,000       27,499,000       121,426,000       0.47       0.67       0.41       0.28       0.23       79.38       16.47       95.85       0.95       2.27  
Chubb Corporation
  CB     48,572,000       28,435,000       13,804,000       13,337,000       11,678,000       39,187,000       0.81       2.06       0.28       0.27       0.84       57.15       32.24       89.39       2.97       10.72  
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
  CINF     13,108,000       7,248,000       3,881,000       3,881,000       3,120,026       9,391,000       0.72       1.87       0.30       0.30       0.70       74.20       33.30       107.50       3.55       11.10  
CNA Surety Corporation
  SUR     1,609,466       715,456       797,909       659,124       430,206       1,162,204       0.72       0.90       0.50       0.41       0.59       29.30       53.70       83.00       7.00       14.85  
CRM Holdings, Ltd.
  CRMH     452,951       273,506       101,677       98,465       110,733       340,804       0.75       2.69       0.22       0.22       1.04       80.80       51.30       132.10       -3.45       -13.46  
Donegal Group Inc.
  DGICA     890,379       478,479       368,350       367,428       352,918       641,909       0.72       1.30       0.41       0.41       0.98       74.70       31.20       105.90       2.17       5.32  
Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  EIHI     385,487       207,849       137,234       117,736       136,542       273,564       0.71       1.51       0.36       0.31       0.88       66.95       34.77       101.72       -5.35       -13.47  
EMC Insurance Group Inc.
  EMCI     1,105,584       724,156       286,182       285,240       386,795       948,106       0.86       2.53       0.26       0.26       1.23       58.20       37.80       96.00       -0.36       -1.31  
Employers Holdings, Inc.
  EIG     3,764,778       2,655,209       459,942       406,392       364,651       2,273,650       0.60       5.77       0.12       0.11       0.86       53.00       46.80       99.80       2.85       23.33  
Endurance Specialty Holdings Ltd.
  ENH     7,797,419       4,377,166       2,253,540       2,055,093       1,772,717       5,461,590       0.70       1.94       0.29       0.26       0.74       58.20       34.00       92.20       1.29       4.23  
Enstar Group Limited
  ESGR     4,371,009       2,797,827       860,581       839,359       0       3,477,957       0.80       3.25       0.20       0.19       0.00     NA   NA   NA     2.05       14.05  
Erie Indemnity Company
  ERIE     2,542,434       1,400,302       776,948       776,948       207,231       1,030,654       0.41       1.80       0.31       0.31       0.22       83.10       28.10       111.20       1.86       5.62  
Everest Re Group, Ltd.
  RE     16,724,994       10,207,310       5,039,854       5,039,854       3,714,618       13,601,083       0.81       2.03       0.30       0.30       0.70       61.10       28.60       89.70       0.07       0.23  
Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited
  FFH     25,686,300       16,535,400       4,558,200       4,272,200       4,531,700       18,016,300       0.70       3.63       0.18       0.17       0.92       71.48       27.22       98.70       2.87       16.36  
First Acceptance Corporation
  FAC     447,662       161,513       226,661       82,219       239,924       215,102       0.48       0.71       0.51       0.18     NA     70.10       23.90       94.00       -1.20       -2.44  
First Mercury Financial Corporation
  FMR     985,641       548,289       274,384       210,125       202,767       606,108       0.61       2.00       0.28       0.21       0.81       58.00       30.40       88.40       4.36       15.24  
Flagstone Reinsurance Holdings Limited
  FSR     2,472,039       851,020       1,224,152       1,175,599       691,746       1,770,190       0.72       0.70       0.50       0.48       0.60       44.30       36.10       80.40       -7.45       -13.91  
FPIC Insurance Group, Inc.
  FPIC     985,043       652,238       258,656       247,823       166,949       704,737       0.72       2.52       0.26       0.25       0.57       60.50       23.70       84.20       2.90       10.83  
GAINSCO, INC.
  GAN     246,972       131,732       54,741       54,132       179,266       175,854       0.71       2.41       0.22       0.22       3.11       70.40       25.30       95.70       -0.65       -2.68  
Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd.
  GLRE     1,128,804       212,216       520,545       520,545       133,650       981,729       0.87       0.41       0.46       0.46       0.28       65.40       38.20       103.60       -7.95       -16.00  
Hallmark Financial Services, Inc.
  HALL     551,279       277,022       190,555       121,220       236,185       368,415       0.67       1.45       0.35       0.22       1.29       62.00       29.50       91.50       2.26       6.52  
Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.
  THG     7,698,100       4,395,800       1,967,600       1,798,000       2,499,200       4,789,600       0.62       2.23       0.26       0.23       1.22       67.80       33.40       101.20       -0.13       -0.58  
Harleysville Group Inc.
  HGIC     3,162,276       2,257,692       671,655       648,255       907,165       2,501,363       0.79       3.36       0.21       0.20       1.30       67.30       34.32       101.62       1.11       5.17  
HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  HCC     8,623,917       4,528,233       2,704,910       1,842,252       2,016,616       5,237,354       0.61       1.67       0.31       0.21       0.79       62.80       24.50       87.30       3.66       11.84  
Hilltop Holdings Inc.
  HTH     1,044,775       101,698       791,201       753,659       114,177       915,693       0.88       0.13       0.76       0.72       0.14       48.50       38.00       86.50       -1.33       -1.81  
Horace Mann Educators Corporation
  HMN     5,526,333       3,727,430       444,711       397,315       658,446       3,910,251       0.71       8.38       0.08       0.07       1.87       69.30       25.30       94.60       0.17       1.97  
Infinity Property and Casualty Corporation
  IPCC     1,729,904       928,934       529,639       454,364       902,054       1,182,724       0.68       1.75       0.31       0.26       1.54       70.47       21.94       92.41       0.88       2.85  
IPC Holdings, Ltd.
  IPCR     2,453,085       574,108       1,849,474       1,849,474       396,378       2,189,966       0.89       0.31       0.75       0.75       0.23       39.60       34.60       74.20       0.47       0.62  
Kingsway Financial Services Inc.
  KFS     3,098,788       2,299,905       370,547       308,069       1,376,335       2,369,038       0.76       6.21       0.12       0.10       1.83       86.70       34.00       120.70       -11.08       -63.37  
Markel Corporation
  MKL     9,395,753       6,230,459       2,180,080       1,837,228       1,979,010       6,886,611       0.73       2.86       0.23       0.20       0.81       55.42       39.77       95.19       -0.78       -3.26  
Meadowbrook Insurance Group, Inc.
  MIG     1,849,493       1,184,754       458,181       293,432       432,737       1,116,023       0.60       2.59       0.25       0.16       1.12       58.00       29.70       87.70       2.17       8.70  
Mercer Insurance Group, Inc.
  MIGP     566,221       379,583       141,843       136,427       149,082       383,947       0.68       2.68       0.25       0.24       1.06       62.40       36.00       98.40       1.52       6.26  
Mercury General Corporation
  MCY     4,131,962       1,976,741       1,559,344       1,445,012       2,753,986       3,084,061       0.75       1.27       0.38       0.35       1.60       66.70       30.20       96.90       -3.40       -8.39  
Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd.
  MRH     2,958,800       1,065,100       1,437,300       1,432,500       521,600       2,451,200       0.83       0.74       0.49       0.48       0.38       34.70       39.40       74.10       -3.04       -6.40  
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)


 

     
Exhibit VI-1 (Continued)
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Financial Performance Data for Publicly Traded Property and Casualty Companies
                                                                                                                                         
                                                    Cash and     Cash and     Policy             Tangible     Net Prem             GAAP     GAAP              
            Total Assets     Total Policy     Total Equity     Tangible Equity     Total Policy     Investments     Investments /     Reserves /     Total Equity     Equity /     Writ/ Avg     GAAP Loss     Expense     Combined              
Company Name   Ticker     ($000)     Reserves ($000)     ($000)     ($000)     Revenue ($000)     ($000)     Assets     Equity     / Assets     Assets     Equity (x)     Ratio (%)     Ratio (%)     Ratio (%)     ROAA (%)     ROAE (%)  
 
National Interstate Corporation
  NATL     1,025,934       584,812       224,907       224,907       292,530       572,269       0.56       2.60       0.22       0.22       1.34       56.60       22.40       79.00       1.37       6.39  
National Security Group, Inc.
  NSEC     125,054       70,927       35,045       35,045       54,898       93,511       0.75       2.02       0.28       0.28       1.46       76.47       41.98       118.44       -3.36       -11.53  
Navigators Group, Inc.
  NAVG     3,403,633       2,374,350       712,454       705,922       653,182       1,951,428       0.57       3.33       0.21       0.21       0.99       60.80       32.00       92.80       1.22       5.96  
NYMAGIC, INC.
  NYM     977,190       651,829       171,154       171,154       162,298       582,965       0.60       3.81       0.18       0.18       0.79       51.50       48.20       99.70       -7.14       -35.54  
Odyssey Re Holdings Corp.
  ORH     9,533,423       5,985,527       2,713,662       2,777,435       2,034,954       7,458,632       0.78       2.21       0.28       0.29       0.73       67.60       28.90       96.50       3.01       10.73  
Old Republic International Corporation
  ORI     13,293,500       8,719,400       3,643,200       3,578,900       3,248,700       8,944,900       0.67       2.39       0.27       0.27       0.75       83.90       39.60       123.50       -4.49       -15.09  
OneBeacon Insurance Group, Ltd.
  OB     7,680,400       5,283,200       1,188,700       1,188,700       1,911,500       3,833,500       0.50       4.44       0.15       0.15       1.45       59.00       34.60       93.60       -3.89       -23.48  
PartnerRe Ltd.
  PRE     16,274,774       10,521,223       4,282,067       3,852,548       3,884,721       11,401,890       0.70       2.46       0.26       0.24       0.91       55.90       31.10       87.00       0.35       1.38  
Platinum Underwriters Holdings, Ltd.
  PTP     4,990,996       2,708,635       1,829,459       1,829,459       1,060,697       4,314,641       0.86       1.48       0.37       0.37       0.53       58.20       21.90       80.10       4.15       11.09  
PMA Capital Corporation
  PMACA     2,553,043       1,535,859       351,270       321,602       409,551       798,074       0.31       4.37       0.14       0.13       1.15       72.21       38.25       110.46       0.28       1.95  
ProAssurance Corporation
  PRA     4,322,067       2,600,074       1,462,064       1,371,814       442,592       3,597,203       0.83       1.78       0.34       0.32       0.31       66.50       23.10       89.60       3.91       12.66  
Progressive Corporation
  PGR     18,215,100       10,367,900       4,303,300       4,303,300       13,648,000       12,902,900       0.71       2.41       0.24       0.24       3.06       68.60       20.90       89.50       -0.41       -1.73  
RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.
  RNR     8,059,909       2,708,662       3,772,166       3,699,629       1,379,658       6,371,706       0.79       0.72       0.47       0.46       0.36       28.60       27.90       56.50       0.47       1.01  
RLI Corp.
  RLI     2,396,917       1,493,374       711,723       685,509       518,481       1,704,593       0.71       2.10       0.30       0.29       0.68       48.70       39.20       87.90       2.01       6.94  
Safety Insurance Group, Inc.
  SAFT     1,416,693       751,640       605,532       605,532       561,158       1,059,199       0.75       1.24       0.43       0.43       0.89       68.60       30.30       98.90       4.35       10.59  
SeaBright Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  SBX     896,537       486,743       333,196       328,636       249,926       578,196       0.64       1.46       0.37       0.37       0.86       66.10       34.00       100.10       2.73       7.10  
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
  SIGI     5,001,933       3,521,660       910,135       880,498       1,478,090       3,657,712       0.73       3.87       0.18       0.18       1.52       69.30       31.50       100.80       0.21       1.07  
Specialty Underwriters’ Alliance, Inc.
  SUAI     451,750       288,858       138,062       127,317       142,490       261,908       0.58       2.09       0.31       0.28       1.06       60.10       43.45       103.55       1.13       3.67  
State Auto Financial Corporation
  STFC     2,435,800       1,328,000       760,700       758,700       1,132,800       2,063,400       0.85       1.75       0.31       0.31       1.45       78.60       33.40       112.00       -1.34       -4.06  
Tower Group, Inc.
  TWGP     2,481,368       1,335,168       786,930       512,378       414,211       1,486,414       0.60       1.70       0.32       0.21       1.34       53.70       33.00       86.70       3.86       17.56  
Transatlantic Holdings, Inc.
  TRH     13,676,207       9,438,353       3,320,907       3,320,907       4,026,731       10,874,761       0.80       2.84       0.24       0.24       1.27       68.60       26.40       95.00       0.42       1.91  
Travelers Companies, Inc.
  TRV     110,467,000       71,904,000       26,497,000       22,473,000       21,540,000       72,398,000       0.66       2.71       0.24       0.20       0.85       59.70       30.90       90.60       2.34       10.23  
Unico American Corporation
  UNAM     182,340       96,150       76,226       76,226       32,643       149,331       0.82       1.26       0.42       0.42       0.43       61.00       26.00       87.00       2.88       7.27  
United America Indemnity, Ltd.
  INDM     2,415,436       1,601,042       638,777       629,486       347,991       1,574,671       0.65       2.51       0.26       0.26       0.44       60.80       39.20       100.00       -5.51       -19.67  
United Fire & Casualty Company
  UFCS     2,710,869       1,997,120       635,259       634,724       498,753       2,230,103       0.82       3.14       0.23       0.23       0.71       75.30       30.50       105.80       -1.10       -4.35  
Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  UVE     621,498       365,086       109,260       109,260       150,079       333,474       0.54       3.34       0.18       0.18       1.64       54.10     NA     NA       6.67       38.21  
Validus Holdings, Ltd.
  VR     4,762,798       2,113,965       2,022,986       1,876,416       1,283,414       3,462,657       0.73       1.04       0.42       0.39       0.68       41.40       33.60       75.00       1.81       4.12  
W.R. Berkley Corporation
  WRB     16,193,308       11,056,760       3,079,957       2,973,665       4,144,479       12,330,570       0.76       3.59       0.19       0.18       1.23       62.30       31.40       93.70       0.44       2.29  
Wesco Financial Corporation
  WSC     2,718,686       403,777       2,117,734       1,839,939       290,881       1,786,949       0.66       0.19       0.78       0.68       0.15       60.92       29.28       90.20       2.62       3.36  
White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.
  WTM     15,640,500       8,992,400       3,482,300       3,462,700       3,692,300       9,353,200       0.60       2.58       0.22       0.22       0.94       59.60       32.65       92.25       -2.64       -11.80  
Zenith National Insurance Corp.
  ZNT     2,485,881       1,302,902       1,001,431       980,446       566,278       1,932,593       0.78       1.30       0.40       0.39       0.52       73.10       46.60       119.70       2.15       5.32  
 
                                                                                                                                       
Group Aggregate
                                                                                                                                       
Overall P&C Insurance Group Mean
            12,459,344       6,793,526       3,402,190       2,806,295       2,425,368       7,932,351       0.69       2.42       0.30       0.28       0.93       61.36       32.14       93.59       0.56       2.16  
Overall P&C Insurance Group Median
            2,838,743       1,724,858       789,066       756,180       541,379       2,126,683       0.71       2.15       0.28       0.25       0.85       60.80       31.30       93.20       1.12       3.76  
 
                                                                                                                                       
P&C Group Mean > $1.2 Bil. Total Assets
            17,916,913       9,772,544       4,875,543       4,013,053       3,466,740       11,387,864       0.69       2.64       0.29       0.27       0.90       61.01       31.71       92.72       0.63       2.18  
P&C Group Median >$1.2 Bil. Total Assets
            5,769,510       3,343,072       1,908,537       1,833,344       1,329,875       3,988,076       0.71       2.24       0.28       0.24       0.83       60.80       31.10       92.25       1.17       3.97  
 
                                                                                                                                       
P&C Group Mean < $1.2 Bil. Total Assets
            704,582       377,180       228,815       207,123       182,412       489,706       0.69       1.95       0.33       0.29       0.99       62.10       33.07       95.48       0.41       2.10  
P&C Group Median <$1.2 Bil. Total Assets
            788,421       346,391       224,029       155,520       164,624       454,018       0.71       2.01       0.28       0.25       0.88       61.50       34.00       96.00       1.03       3.58  
 
                                                                                                                                       
P&C Group Mean > $500 m Total Revenue
            13,957,254       7,610,881       3,808,104       3,141,218       2,710,412       8,884,268       0.69       2.51       0.30       0.27       0.91       60.88       31.81       92.79       0.71       2.77  
P&C Group Mean > $500 m Total Revenue
            3,403,633       2,257,692       1,001,431       980,446       691,746       2,451,200       0.71       2.25       0.27       0.24       0.84       60.55       31.20       92.25       1.29       4.12  
 
                                                                                                                                       
P&C Group Mean < $500 m Total Revenue
            309,635       163,864       109,779       89,695       113,345       211,243       0.71       1.68       0.35       0.31       1.15       65.18       34.69       99.87       (0.66 )     (2.82 )
P&C Group Median <$500 m Total Revenue
            289,825       131,732       101,677       82,219       110,733       215,102       0.74       1.51       0.36       0.28       0.96       66.95       34.77       101.72       (1.20 )     (2.68 )
Source: SNL Financial.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)


 

Exhibit VI-2
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Market Valuation Data for Publicly Traded Property and Casualty Companies
                                                                                                 
                    Total Diluted                           (a)                                    
                    Shares                     Price /     Price /     (a)                     Current     One-Year  
                    Outstand.       Total Market   Price / Book     Tangible     Operating     Price / LTM     Price / LTM     Price / Total     Dividend     Price Change  
Company Name           Closing price   (000’S)       value (000’s)     (%)     Book (%)     EPS (x)     EPS (x)     Revenue (x)     Assets (%)     Yield (%)     (%)  
            6/5/2009                                                                                  
21st Century Holding Company
  TCHC     3.38       8,014       27,087       35.53       35.53     Neg     Neg     0.43       13.23       15.55       (66.00 )
ACE Limited
  ACE     46.01       336,116       15,464,677       105.07       140.81       6.10       13.03       1.09       21.15       2.04       (24.84 )
Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  AFFM     3.45       15,415       53,182       22.93       103.86       28.75       28.75       0.11       6.56       2.53       (48.51 )
Alleghany Corporation
  Y     258.00       9,499       2,450,616       96.06       102.08       22.96       16.40       2.80       40.76     NA       (27.31 )
Allied World Assurance Company Holdings, Ltd
  AWH     38.86       51,120       1,986,525       79.72       92.27       4.27       10.82       1.66       22.34       1.77       (13.32 )
Allstate Corporation
  ALL     25.05       538,900       13,499,445       110.01       118.45       9.21     Neg       0.46       10.35       5.01       (49.93 )
American Financial Group, Inc.
  AFG     23.10       116,400       2,688,840       100.37       112.18       5.61       13.83       0.62       10.40       2.19       (21.91 )
American Physicians Capital, Inc.
  ACAP     41.93       8,890       372,758       150.25       150.25       8.50       9.12       2.38       37.41       0.83       (11.32 )
American Physicians Service Group, Inc.
  AMPH     21.29       7,083       150,797       106.09       107.80       8.06       8.06       2.03       52.03       1.39       (2.56 )
American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd.
  ASI     12.90       10,475       135,127       60.55       63.31       430.00       430.00       0.68       13.03     NA       (18.10 )
AMERISAFE, Inc.
  AMSF     17.90       19,235       344,305       131.36       131.36       6.23       8.33       1.16       30.11     NA       10.43  
AmTrust Financial Services, Inc.
  AFSI     10.31       60,000       618,600       154.08       207.94       4.78       7.53       1.00       19.55       1.72       (29.77 )
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
  ACGL     59.22       62,560       3,704,801       102.05       102.82       7.34       14.48       1.29       23.02     NA       (16.27 )
Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
  AGII     30.05       30,747       923,947       66.74       82.04       10.96     Neg       0.68       14.26     NA       (22.85 )
Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited
  AHL     24.33       83,572       2,033,303       71.79       72.00       11.22       27.34       1.10       26.61       2.47       (4.10 )
AXIS Capital Holdings Limited
  AXS     26.18       149,023       3,901,422       86.84       88.72       10.08       11.58       1.42       26.40       2.75       (23.23 )
Baldwin & Lyons, Inc.
  BWINB     20.95       14,767       309,369       95.00       94.70       12.20     Neg       1.85       40.40       5.50       1.26  
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
  BRK.A     89,800.00       1,549       139,143,304       130.14       190.24       14.78       27.85       1.32       53.41     NA       (30.60 )
Chubb Corporation
  CB     41.20       358,300       14,761,960       106.94       110.68       7.61       8.37       1.17       30.39       2.59       (22.44 )
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
  CINF     24.12       162,664       3,923,447       101.09       101.09       14.42       9.21       0.98       29.93       5.37       (27.57 )
CNA Surety Corporation
  SUR     16.35       44,376       725,548       90.93       110.08       6.64       6.57       1.52       45.08     NA       14.58  
CRM Holdings, Ltd.
  CRMH     1.18       16,618       19,609       19.29       19.91     Neg     Neg       0.15       4.33     NA       (69.74 )
Donegal Group Inc.
  DGICA     15.89       25,535       405,745       110.15       110.43       18.99       15.89       1.07       45.57       2.50       (5.59 )
Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  EIHI     9.44       9,085       85,767       62.50       72.85     Neg     Neg       0.66       22.25       3.49       (40.06 )
EMC Insurance Group Inc.
  EMCI     21.75       13,250       288,182       100.70       101.03       18.63     Neg       0.71       26.07       2.81       (18.86 )
Employers Holdings, Inc.
  EIG     12.89       48,613       626,620       136.24       154.19       6.23       6.23       1.44       16.64       1.45       (31.62 )
Endurance Specialty Holdings Ltd.
  ENH     29.73       59,007       1,754,285       77.85       85.36       9.87       22.52       0.97       22.50       3.28       (10.61 )
Enstar Group Limited
  ESGR     59.90       13,699       820,595       95.35       97.76       9.49       9.49       13.87       18.77     NA       (39.96 )
Erie Indemnity Company
  ERIE     36.47       57,363       2,092,032       269.26       269.26       18.45       30.65       1.98       82.28       4.78       (26.41 )
Everest Re Group, Ltd.
  RE     74.30       61,433       4,564,472       90.57       90.57       9.54     Neg       1.27       27.29       2.52       (14.05 )
Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited
  FFH     281.50       17,484       4,921,830       107.98       115.21       3.54       3.54       0.72       19.16       1.60       9.43  
First Acceptance Corporation
  FAC     2.04       48,865       99,685       43.98       121.24     Neg     Neg       0.35       22.27     NA       (46.32 )
First Mercury Financial Corporation
  FMR     13.94       18,109       252,444       92.00       120.14       8.43       6.37       1.09       25.61     NA       (21.29 )
Flagstone Reinsurance Holdings Limited
  FSR     9.96       85,208       848,675       69.33       72.19     Neg     Neg       1.68       34.33       1.64       (16.93 )
FPIC Insurance Group, Inc.
  FPIC     34.71       7,824       271,571       104.99       109.58       7.03       9.33       1.48       27.57     NA       (24.40 )
GAINSCO, INC.
  GAN     13.75       23,930       329,038       601.08       607.84       117.47     Neg       1.71       133.23     NA       (21.43 )
Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd.
  GLRE     17.73       36,335       644,217       123.76       123.76     Neg     Neg       14.94       57.07     NA       (17.46 )
Hallmark Financial Services, Inc.
  HALL     6.98       20,873       145,694       76.46       120.19       7.17       6.65       0.54       26.43     NA       (38.77 )
Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.
  THG     37.36       51,400       1,920,304       97.60       106.80       13.26       93.40       0.71       24.95       1.05       (16.08 )
Harleysville Group Inc.
  HGIC     30.09       28,463       856,448       127.51       132.12       11.45       20.90       0.88       27.08       3.46       (22.55 )
HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  HCC     25.49       113,289       2,887,737       106.76       156.75       8.88       9.66       1.25       33.49       1.87       7.28  
Hilltop Holdings Inc.
  HTH     12.33       56,459       696,139       87.99       92.37     Neg     Neg       6.05       66.63     NA       14.70  
Horace Mann Educators Corporation
  HMN     9.88       40,385       399,004       89.72       100.43       8.01       36.59       0.48       7.22       2.29       (38.97 )
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)


 

Exhibit VI-2 (Continued)
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Market Valuation Data for Publicly Traded Property and Casualty Companies
                                                                                                 
                    Total Diluted                             (a)                                    
                    Shares                     Price /     Price /     (a)                     Current     One-Year  
                    Outstand.     Total Market     Price / Book     Tangible     Operating     Price / LTM     Price / LTM     Price / Total     Dividend     Price Change  
Company Name           Closing price     (000’S)     value (000’s)     (%)     Book (%)     EPS (x)     EPS (x)     Revenue (x)     Assets (%)     Yield (%)     (%)  
            6/5/2009                                                                                  
Infinity Property and Casualty Corporation
  IPCC     38.58       14,185       547,257       103.33       120.44       7.51       31.37       0.61       31.64       0.94       (4.95 )
IPC Holdings, Ltd.
  IPCR     27.93       55,916       1,561,741       84.44       84.44       7.45       19.26       5.37       63.66       2.94       (3.79 )
Kingsway Financial Services Inc.
  KFS     3.89       55,107       214,366       57.85       69.58     Neg     Neg       0.16       6.92       4.37       (57.02 )
Markel Corporation
  MKL     287.23       9,823       2,821,460       129.42       153.57       15.13     Neg       1.53       30.03     NA       (28.59 )
Meadowbrook Insurance Group, Inc.
  MIG     7.12       57,410       408,762       89.21       139.30       8.50       11.67       0.81       22.10       1.24       6.59  
Mercer Insurance Group, Inc.
  MIGP     15.20       6,233       94,742       66.79       69.45       7.31       11.69       0.60       16.73       2.37       (12.69 )
Mercury General Corporation
  MCY     35.58       55,091       1,960,155       125.70       135.65       18.53     Neg       0.77       47.44       5.04       (30.64 )
Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd.
  MRH     14.34       85,000       1,218,900       84.80       85.09       10.78     Neg       3.09       41.20       1.79       (14.39 )
National Interstate Corporation
  NATL     16.69       19,353       323,002       143.62       143.62       9.86       30.35       1.09       31.48       1.34       (24.68 )
National Security Group, Inc.
  NSEC     8.60       2,467       21,213       60.53       60.53     Neg     Neg       0.36       16.96       6.57     NA  
Navigators Group, Inc.
  NAVG     45.38       17,002       771,551       108.29       109.30       10.50       14.93       1.13       22.67     NA       (9.28 )
NYMAGIC, INC.
  NYM     14.74       8,590       126,620       73.98       73.98     Neg     Neg       1.23       12.96       1.68       (33.54 )
Odyssey Re Holdings Corp.
  ORH     41.70       59,849       2,495,696       91.97       89.86       22.38       4.91       0.98       26.18       0.58       12.67  
Old Republic International Corporation
  ORI     10.40       235,259       2,446,696       67.16       68.36     Neg     Neg       0.77       18.41       5.70       (29.68 )
OneBeacon Insurance Group, Ltd.
  OB     12.95       95,100       1,231,545       103.60       103.60       8.89     Neg       0.91       16.03       8.05       (28.77 )
PartnerRe Ltd.
  PRE     67.16       57,320       3,849,631       89.90       99.92       7.48       305.27       0.98       23.65       2.58       (7.54 )
Platinum Underwriters Holdings, Ltd.
  PTP     29.77       53,702       1,598,709       87.39       87.39       7.48       7.48       1.27       32.03       0.89       (16.02 )
PMA Capital Corporation
  PMACA     4.98       32,020       159,461       45.40       49.58       7.13       27.67       0.31       6.25     NA       (48.77 )
ProAssurance Corporation
  PRA     47.39       33,609       1,592,731       108.94       116.10       7.82       9.08       2.96       36.85     NA       (5.05 )
Progressive Corporation
  PGR     16.58       672,000       11,141,760       258.91       258.91       12.32     Neg       0.88       61.17     NA       (17.43 )
RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.
  RNR     47.92       60,989       2,922,584       77.48       79.00       20.97     Neg       2.47       36.26       1.78       (4.67 )
RLI Corp.
  RLI     49.32       21,557       1,063,191       149.38       155.10       9.80       13.70       2.06       44.36       1.70       (4.86 )
Safety Insurance Group, Inc.
  SAFT     33.23       16,189       537,948       88.84       88.84       8.56       7.62       0.86       37.97       4.20       (13.73 )
SeaBright Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  SBX     9.46       21,308       201,575       60.50       61.34       6.86       6.86       0.75       22.48     NA       (37.80 )
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
  SIGI     13.95       52,352       730,310       80.24       82.94       12.37       17.01       0.45       14.60       2.27       (35.54 )
Specialty Underwriters’ Alliance, Inc.
  SUAI     3.65       15,945       58,199       42.15       45.71       7.77       7.77       0.38       12.88     NA       (24.59 )
State Auto Financial Corporation
  STFC     17.72       39,600       701,712       92.25       92.49     Neg     Neg       0.60       28.81       2.00       (36.17 )
Tower Group, Inc.
  TWGP     25.88       33,918       877,800       111.55       171.32       13.14       10.48       1.51       35.38       0.71       6.33  
Transatlantic Holdings, Inc.
  TRH     42.10       66,576       2,802,850       84.40       84.40       7.48       27.52       0.70       20.49       1.90       (33.49 )
Travelers Companies, Inc.
  TRV     43.75       590,400       25,830,000       97.48       114.94       8.65       9.08       1.08       23.38       2.65       (7.41 )
Unico American Corporation
  UNAM     7.68       5,607       43,085       56.52       56.52       8.05       8.73       0.96       23.63     NA       (13.18 )
United America Indemnity, Ltd.
  INDM     4.86       31,507       153,125       23.97       24.33     Neg     Neg       0.42       6.34     NA       (66.39 )
United Fire & Casualty Company
  UFCS     19.22       26,642       512,059       80.61       80.67     Neg     Neg       0.87       18.89       1.93       (42.83 )
Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.
  UVE     5.60       39,922       223,563       204.62       204.62       5.58       5.28       1.20       35.97       32.92       70.21  
Validus Holdings, Ltd.
  VR     23.96       79,103       1,895,299       93.69       101.01       9.03       12.68       1.47       39.79       3.63       13.18  
W.R. Berkley Corporation
  WRB     23.41       161,090       3,771,117       122.44       126.82       9.55       10.22       0.88       23.29       0.87       (11.93 )
Wesco Financial Corporation
  WSC     304.50       7,120       2,167,982       102.37       117.83       27.95       23.35       2.55       79.74       0.53       (27.50 )
White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.
  WTM     212.75       8,826       1,877,732       53.92       54.23     Neg     Neg       0.63       12.01       0.39       (53.75 )
Zenith National Insurance Corp.
  ZNT     23.57       37,330       879,868       87.86       89.74       13.16       6.97       1.36       35.39       6.64       (40.42)  
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)


 

Exhibit VI-2 (Continued)
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Market Valuation Data for Publicly Traded Property and Casualty Companies
                                                                                         
            Total Diluted                           (a)                            
            Shares                   Price /   Price /   (a)                     Current   One-Year
            Outstand.   Total Market   Price / Book     Tangible   Operating   Price / LTM     Price / LTM     Price / Total     Dividend   Price Change
Company Name   Closing price   (000’S)   value (000’s)   (%)     Book (%)   EPS (x)     EPS (x)     Revenue (x)     Assets (%)     Yield (%)   (%)
 
    6/5/2009                                                                                  
Group Aggregate
                                                                                       
Overall P&C Insurance Group Mean
                    3,825,877       96.41       106.86       17.17       28.43       1.53       28.62       3.42       (20.27 )
Overall P&C Insurance Group Median
                    834,635       92.12       101.59       9.03       11.58       0.99       26.12       2.29       (21.43 )
 
                                                                                       
P&C Group Mean > $1.2 Bil. Total Assets
                    5,504,686       100.94       111.55       10.76       24.26       1.48       29.11       2.62       (20.39 )
P&C Group Median > $1.2 Bil. Total Assets
                    1,886,515       94.52       101.59       9.49       12.86       1.04       26.29       2.12       (22.17 )
 
                                                                                       
P&C Group Mean < $1.2 Bil. Total Assets
                    209,980       86.63       96.76       34.61       39.54       1.64       27.55       6.11       (20.01 )
P&C Group Median < $1.2 Bil. Total Assets
                    148,245       82.22       102.44       8.25       8.73       0.85       25.84       2.53       (21.29 )
 
                                                                                       
P&C Group Mean > $500 m Total Revenue
                    6,882,451       99.08       107.53       10.78       27.87       1.12       27.41       2.77       (19.70 )
P&C Group Mean > $500 m Total Revenue
                    2,033,303       93.69       101.01       9.68       13.70       0.98       26.40       2.28       (17.43 )
 
                                                                                       
P&C Group Mean < $500 m Total Revenue
                    455,809       93.46       106.11       25.53       29.04       1.98       29.95       4.51       (20.92 )
P&C Group Median < $500 m Total Revenue
                    271,571       90.93       107.80       8.06       9.22       1.07       25.61       2.37       (22.91 )
 
Source:   SNL Financial and market data provided by CapitalIQ.
 
(a)  Price / Operating EPS and Price / EPS is reported as “Neg” if the company has negative earnings.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit VII-1
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company Pro
Forma Assumptions for Conversion Valuation
B-1   The initial offering price is $10.00 per share and the number of shares offered is calculated by dividing the estimated pro forma market value by the offering price.
B-2   Conversion and offering expenses are estimated at $2.570 million plus commission and fees of 1.5% of the total shares sold in the subscription and community offerings. Also assumes that no shares are sold in a syndicated community offering.
B-3   It is assumed that 10% of the shares offered for sale, less one share, will be acquired by the employee stock ownership plan (“ESOP”). Pro forma adjustments have been made to earnings and equity to reflect the impact of the ESOP. Under generally accepted accounting principles, the aggregate purchase price of shares of common stock to be purchased by the ESOP in the offering represents unearned compensation and is reflected as a reduction in capital. It is further assumed that the ESOP purchase is funded by a loan from PMHC. No reinvestment is assumed on proceeds used to fund the ESOP. The amount of this borrowing has been reflected as a reduction from gross proceeds to determine the estimated net funds available for reinvestment. The ESOP expense reflects recognition of expense based upon shares committed to be allocated under the ESOP. For purposes of this calculation, the average market value was assumed to be equal to the initial offering price of $10.00.
B-4   The net investable proceeds is fully invested at the beginning of the applicable period. The net investable proceeds are invested to yield a return of 3.47%, which represents the estimated yield on the 10 year U.S. Treasury bond at the end of May 2009. The effective income tax rate was assumed to be 35.0%, resulting in an after-tax yield of 2.26%.
B-5   The net increase in earnings excludes after-tax ESOP amortization over 10 years.
B-6   No effect has been given in the pro forma equity calculation for the assumed earnings on the net proceeds.
B-7   For the earnings per share (“EPS”) calcluations, pro forma per share amounts have been computed by dividing pro forma amounts by the total outstanding number of shares of stock, adjusted to give effect to the purchase of ESOP shares in accordance with Statement of Position (“SOP”) 93-6. Under SOP 93-6, the weighted average of the ESOP shares that have not been committed for release are subtracted from total shares outstanding when calculated EPS.
B-8   For the book value calcluations, pro forma per share amounts have been computed by dividing pro forma amounts by the total outstanding number of shares of stock.
B-9   The additional shares that Penn Millers expects to issue after the Conversion in conjunction with the grant of options or restricted stock awards under the stock-based incentive plan have not been considered in our analysis.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)

 


 

Exhibit VII-2
Penn Millers Mutual Holding Company
Pro Forma Conversion Valuation Range
(Dollars in Thousands, except per share data)
                         
    Minimum     Midpoint     Maximum  
Total implied shares offered
    4,505,000       5,300,000       6,095,000  
Offering price (b-1)
  $ 10.00     $ 10.00     $ 10.00  
 
                 
 
                       
Implied gross proceeds:
  $ 45,050     $ 53,000     $ 60,950  
Less: estimated expenses (b-2)
    (3,246 )     (3,365 )     (3,484 )
 
                 
Implied net offering proceeds
    41,804       49,635       57,466  
Less: ESOP purchase (b-3)
    (4,505 )     (5,299 )     (6,094 )
 
                 
Net investable proceeds (b-4)
  $ 37,300     $ 44,336     $ 51,371  
 
                 
Net income:
                       
LTM ended 3/31/2009 (a)
    (5,992 )     (5,992 )     (5,992 )
Pro forma income on net proceeds (b-4)
    841       1,000       1,159  
Pro forma ESOP adjustment (b-5)
    (293 )     (344 )     (396 )
 
                 
Pro forma net income
    (5,444 )     (5,336 )     (5,229 )
Pro forma earnings per share (b-8)
    (1.34 )     (1.12 )     (0.95 )
 
                       
Total Revenue:
                       
LTM ended 3/31/2009 (a)
    75,280       75,280       75,280  
Pro forma revenue on net proceeds, pre-tax
    1,294       1,538       1,783  
 
                 
Pro forma total revenue
    76,574       76,818       77,063  
 
                       
Total Equity:
                       
Total equity at 3/31/2009
    51,161       51,161       51,161  
Net offering proceeds
    41,804       49,635       57,466  
Less: ESOP purchase
    (4,505 )     (5,299 )     (6,094 )
 
                 
Pro forma total equity (b-6)
    88,461       95,497       102,532  
Pro forma book value per share (b-7)
    19.64       18.02       16.82  
 
                       
Tangible Equity:
                       
Total tangible equity at 3/31/2009
    51,161       51,161       51,161  
Net offering proceeds
    41,804       49,635       57,466  
Less: ESOP purchase
    (4,505 )     (5,299 )     (6,094 )
 
                 
Pro forma tangible equity
    88,461       95,497       102,532  
Pro forma tangible book value per share (b-7)
    19.64       18.02       16.82  
 
                       
Total Assets:
                       
Total assets at 3/31/2009
    228,415       228,415       228,415  
Net offering proceeds
    41,804       49,635       57,466  
Less: ESOP purchase
    (4,505 )     (5,299 )     (6,094 )
 
                 
Pro forma total assets
    265,715       272,751       279,786  
 
                       
Pro Forma Ratios:
                       
Price / LTM EPS
    -7.45 x     -8.94 x     -10.49 x
Price / LTM Revenue
    0.59 x     0.69 x     0.79 x
Price / Book Value
    50.93 %     55.50 %     59.44 %
Price / Tangible Book Value
    50.93 %     55.50 %     59.44 %
Price / Total Assets
    16.95 %     19.43 %     21.78 %
Total Equity / Assets
    33.29 %     35.01 %     36.65 %
Tangible Equity / Assets
    33.29 %     35.01 %     36.65 %
 
Notes:
 
(a)   Excludes income from discontinued operations.
 
(b)   See Exhibit VII-1 for explanation of assumptions.
(CURTIS FINANCIAL LOGO)