Exhibit 99.2
Clearwater Paper CorporationSECOND quarter 2016Supplemental Information Linda Massman President, Chief Executive Officer and DirectorJohn HertzSenior Vice President Finance and Chief Financial Officer 7/21/16
Forward-Looking Statements This presentation of supplemental information contains, in addition to historical information, certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements regarding financial models; the costs, timing and benefits associated with strategic capital investments and operational improvements; segment, corporate and consolidated outlook for Q3 2016 and fiscal year 2016; production; product volumes shipped; product pricing and sales mix; pulp and wood fiber costs and supply; chemical costs; operational and packaging supply costs; transportation costs; energy costs; cost and timing of major maintenance and repairs; cost of wages and benefits; selling, general, and administrative expenses; corporate expenses; estimated Q3 2016 and fiscal year 2016 EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA; and segment maintenance expense for 2016. These forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations, estimates, assumptions and projections that are subject to change. Our actual results of operations may differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. Important factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include the risks and uncertainties described from time to time in the company's public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, as well as the following: competitive pricing pressures for our products, including as a result of increased capacity as additional manufacturing facilities are operated by our competitors in North America and abroad;changes in the U.S. and international economies and in general economic conditions in the regions and industries in which we operate;changes in customer product preferences and competitors' product offerings;the loss of or changes in prices in regards to a significant customer;cyclical industry conditions;changes in the cost and availability of wood fiber and wood pulp;inability to successfully implement our operational efficiencies and expansion strategies;changes in transportation costs and disruptions in transportation services;customer acceptance in North America and abroad, timing and quantity of purchases of our tissue products;changes in costs for and availability of packaging supplies, chemicals, energy and maintenance and repairs;environmental liabilities or expenditures;labor disruptions;manufacturing or operating disruptions, including IT system and IT system implementation failures, equipment malfunction and damage to our manufacturing facilities;changes in expenses and required contributions associated with our pension plans;reliance on a limited number of third-party suppliers for raw materials;inability to fund our debt obligations;restrictions on our business from debt covenants and terms; andchanges in laws, regulations or industry standards affecting our business.Forward-looking statements contained in this presentation present management’s views only as of the date of this presentation. We undertake no obligation to publicly update forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. 1
second Quarter financial highlights $437 million net sales, flat VS. Q1’16$40 million gaap operating income, up 6% vs. Q1’16$66 million adjusted EBitda1, up 10% VS. q1’16, above high end of our outlook of $56 to $64 millionDiluted gaap eps of $1.21, record high Adjusted diluted eps of $1.371PPD GAAP operating margin at 21.2%, PPD adjusted ebitda margin1 at 24.6%, 300 basis point improvement in ppd adjusted ebitda margin1 vs. q1’16$9 million of operating income and adjusted ebitda1 benefit achieved from strategic capital and operational efficiency initiatives in q2’16, $27 million total operating income and $28 million total adjusted ebitda1 since q1’15 2 1 Non-GAAP measure – See Appendix for the definition and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure.
Financial Summary (GAAP basis)(Unaudited) 3
financial Summary (adjusted
basis)(Unaudited) 1 Non-GAAP measure – See Appendix for the definition
and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure.2 Adjusted gross
profit margin is defined as Adjusted gross profit divided by Net sales.3
Adjusted operating margin is defined as Adjusted operating income
divided by Net sales.4 Adjusted EBITDA margin is defined as Adjusted
EBITDA divided by Net sales.5 This information is based upon
management’s current expectations and estimates, which are in part based
on market and industry data. Many factors are outside the control of
management, including particularly input costs for commodity products,
and actual results may differ materially from the information set forth
above. See “Forward-Looking Statements” on page 1.6 Non-GAAP measure –
See page 18 for the reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP
measure... 4
Q2’16 vs. Q1’16Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA1 Bridge 5 1 Non-GAAP measure – See Appendix for the definition and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure. Price/mix Higher mix of retail tissue sales, partly offset by lower paperboard pricing volume Lower tissue parent roll shipments and lower demand in paperboard commodity grades transportation Higher due to paperboard customer mix chemicals Lower usage and pricing energy Lower natural gas prices, higher internal electricity generation Wages & benefits Lower benefits expense SG&A Higher profit dependent compensation accruals Arkansas boiler reimbursement Partial reimbursement of costs previously incurred related to Arkansas recovery boiler issues from Q2’13 through Q1’15
Q2’16 vs. Q2’15Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA1 Bridge 6 1 Non-GAAP measure – See Appendix for the definition and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure. Price/Mix Lower paperboard pricing, partly offset by a higher mix of retail tissue sales Volume Higher retail tissue shipments, partly offset by lower paperboard shipments Pulp/wood fiber Lower external pulp pricing Chemicals Lower pricing Energy Lower natural gas and other energy pricing maintenance Major maintenance at Arkansas in Q2’15, no major maintenance expense in Q2’16 Wages & Benefits Lower benefits expense SG&A Higher profit dependent compensation accruals Arkansas boiler reimbursement Partial reimbursement of costs previously incurred related to Arkansas recovery boiler issues from Q2’13 through Q1’15 6
Strategic investment and operational improvement scorecard as of Q2’16 7 Strategic plan announced in Q1’15, expected capex of $237-$249 millionExpected to yield a $97-$127 million operating income increase by 2018Expected to yield a $115-$145 million Adjusted EBITDA1 increase by 2018In addition, assume an annual $10-$15 million of margin pressure Continuous Digester3 Warehouse Automation4 Other Projects5 Operational Improvements TOTAL STRATEGIC CAPEX $148-$158 $40-$42 $49 $0 1 Non-GAAP measure – See Appendix for the definition and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure2 Based on Q1’15 prices, input costs, and market and industry data. Many factors are outside the control of management, including particularly input costs for commodity products, and actual results may differ materially from the information set forth above. See “Forward-Looking Statements” on page 1.3 The Continuous Digester is expected to be completed in Q4’17.4 2015 and YTD Q2’16 Adjusted EBITDA contributions were $0.6M and $0.8M, respectively.5 2015 and YTD Q2’16 Adjusted EBITDA contributions were $0.4M and $1.0M, respectively.. 1 1 FULL RUN-RATE EXPECTED IMPACT (MILLIONS $)2 ADJUSTED EBITDA1 $23-$28 OPERATING INCOME $21-$26 7
Key Segment Results – Consumer Products (Unaudited) 8 1 Includes away-from-home (AFH), contract and parent roll tissue products. 2 Includes retail, AFH, and contract tissue case products. 3 Non-GAAP measure – See Appendix for the definition and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure. 4 Non-GAAP measure – Segment Adjusted EBITDA margin is defined as Segment Adjusted EBITDA divided by Segment net sales. Q1'15 Q2’15 Q3’15 Q4’15 Q1’16 Q2’16 Consumer Products Cross-Cycle Financial Model Shipments Non-Retail (short tons)1 21,107 24,744 21,250 23,077 24,358 20,028 Retail (short tons) 71,102 71,476 76,856 73,004 75,027 79,095 Total Tissue Tons 92,209 96,220 98,106 96,081 99,385 99,123 Converted Products (cases in thousands)2 13,025 13,125 13,375 12,624 12,990 13,229 Sales Price Non-Retail ($/short ton)1 $1,475 $1,430 $1,530 $1,448 $1,477 $1,496 Retail ($/short ton) $2,864 $2,846 $2,787 $2,805 $2,784 $2,747 Total Tissue ($/short ton) $2,546 $2,482 $2,515 $2,479 $2,464 $2,494 Segment net sales ($ in thousands) $235,176 $239,391 $247,039 $238,288 $245,018 $247,912 Segment GAAP operating income ($ in thousands) $12,395 $17,032 $15,521 $10,756 $18,390 $18,544 Segment GAAP operating margin 5.3% 7.1% 6.3% 4.5% 7.5% 7.5% Segment Adjusted EBITDA3 ($ in thousands) $26,609 $29,874 $30,791 $25,591 $32,581 $33,280 Segment Adjusted EBITDA margin4 11.3% 12.5% 12.5% 10.7% 13.3% 13.4% 17.0%
Clearwater Paper Tissue Shipmentsand U.S. Retail Tissue Market 9 U.S. Retail Tissue Market ($) (MultiOutlet)1 Category Private Label BRANDS Total Total RetailTissue Share ($) 24% 76% 100% % ChangeQ2’16 vs. Q1’16 0.5% (0.5)% -% 1 Data Source: IRI Worldwide data through June 19, 2016. 9
Price/Mix Shipment volumes External Pulp Chemical costs Op. & Pkg. Supplies Transportation costs Energy costs Maintenance SG&A Q2’16 OutlookVersus Q1’16 3-5% higher 2-4% lower Cost / shipped ton: stable Cost / shipped ton: stable Cost / shipped ton: stable Cost / shipped ton: stable Cost / shipped ton: stable Stable Higher Q2’16 ActualVersus Q1’16 5% higher 1% lower Cost / shipped ton: stable Cost / shipped ton: stable Cost / shipped ton: stable Cost / shipped ton: stable Cost / shipped ton: stable Stable Higher Price/mix Higher mix of retail sales volume Lower parent roll shipments, partly offset by higher retail shipments Wages & benefits Lower benefit expense SG&A Higher profit dependent compensation accruals Q2’16 vs. Q1’16Consumer Products Adjusted EBITDA1 Bridge 10 1 Non-GAAP measure – See Appendix for the definition and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure. Previous Outlook vs. Segment Actual 1 10
Key Segment Results – Pulp and Paperboard(Unaudited) 11 1 Non-GAAP measure – See Appendix for the definition and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure.2 Non-GAAP measure – Segment Adjusted EBITDA margin is defined as Segment Adjusted EBITDA divided by Segment net sales. Pulp and PaperboardCross-Cycle Financial Model Q1’15 Q2’15 Q3’15 Q4’15 Q1’16 Q2’16 Shipments Paperboard (short tons) 191,635 204,983 198,535 201,580 201,340 199,132 Sales Price Paperboard ($/short ton) $1,031 $997 $979 $956 $952 $948 Segment net sales ($ in thousands) $198,850 $205,167 $195,183 $193,307 $192,186 $188,759 Segment GAAP operating income ($ in thousands) $16,194 $27,754 $37,446 $39,467 $35,163 $40,032 Segment GAAP operating margin 8.1% 13.5% 19.2% 20.4% 18.3% 21.2% Segment Adjusted EBITDA1 ($ in thousands) $24,421 $34,491 $44,220 $46,268 $41,530 $46,481 Segment Adjusted EBITDA margin2 12.3% 16.8% 22.7% 23.9% 21.6% 24.6% 19.0% 11
Clearwater Paper Paperboard Shipments and U.S. Paperboard Market 12 U.S. Paperboard Production3 Category Clearwater Paper Other Total Domestic SBS1 Market Share 15% 85% Folding 20% 80% Food Service2 16% 84% Liquid Packaging 4% 96% 1 Solid Bleached Sulfate.2 Food Service includes cup, plate, dish and tray products.3 Data Source: American Forest and Paper Association Solid Bleached Domestic Production – June YTD 2016. 12
Price/Mix Shipment volumes Wood Fiber Chemical costs Op. & Pkg. Supplies Transportation costs Energy costs Maintenance SG&A Q2’16 OutlookVersus Q1’16 1-3% lower 1-3% higher Cost / shipped ton: slightly higher Cost / shipped ton: stable Cost / shipped ton: stable Cost / shipped ton: stable Cost / shipped ton: lower Higher Stable Q2’16 ActualVersus Q1’16 2% lower 1% lower Cost / shipped ton: stable Cost / shipped ton: lower Cost / shipped ton: stable Cost / shipped ton: slightly higher Cost / shipped ton: lower Stable Stable Price/mix Slightly lower paperboard pricing volume Lower demand in commodity grades chemicals Lower usage and pricing energy Lower natural gas prices, higher internal electricity generation transportation Higher due to customer mix Arkansas boiler reimbursement Partial reimbursement of costs previously incurred related to Arkansas recovery boiler issues from Q2’13 through Q1’15 Q2’16 vs. Q1’16 Pulp and Paperboard Adjusted EBITDA1 Bridge 13 1 Non-GAAP measure – See Appendix for the definition and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure. Previous Outlook vs. Segment Actual 1 1 13
Projected 2016 pulp and paperboard maintenance expense of $68 million (Direct and indirect costs) 14
Clearwater Paper Cross-Cycle Financial Model 15 1 Non-GAAP measure – See Appendix for the definition and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure. 15
Adjusted Return on Invested Capital1(Unaudited) 16 1 Adjusted Return on Invested Capital (Adjusted ROIC) is defined as [Net Earnings + Interest Expense] / [Tangible Stockholders’ Equity6 + Debt – Excess (Deficit) Cash6] adjusted for non-recurring discrete items. Non-GAAP measure – See Appendix for the definition and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure.2 2013 Adjusted ROIC Net Earnings was adjusted to remove a benefit of $67.5 million from discrete tax items relating to release of uncertain tax positions.2013 Adjusted ROIC Interest Expense includes debt retirement costs of $17.1 million.3 2014 Adjusted ROIC Net Earnings was adjusted to remove a loss associated with the optimization and sale of the specialty mills totaling $37.0 million after-tax.2014 Adjusted ROIC Interest Expense includes debt retirement costs of $24.4 million. 4 2015 Adjusted ROIC Net Earnings was adjusted to remove a gain associated with the sale of the specialty mills totaling $0.9 million after-tax.5 LTM Ending 6/30/16 Adjusted ROIC Net Earnings was adjusted to remove a loss associated with the sale of the specialty mills totaling $0.1 million after-tax.6 Rolling Adjusted ROIC Average is the average percentage of each annual and prior years’ Adjusted ROIC values. 16
third quarter 2016 Outlook(Compared to Q2’16)1 Arrows represent adjusted ebitda2 impact 17 Consumer products Pulp and Paperboard Corporate Revenue change Higher0-1% higher Lower0-1% lower Shipment volume impact on ADJUSTED EBITDA2 Lower2-4% lower Stable Price/mix impact on ADJUSTED EBITDA2 Higher:5-10% higher Lower: 3–5% lower Pulp/Wood Fiber Costs Cost/shipped ton:higher Cost/shipped ton:higher Chemical Costs Cost/shipped ton:stable Cost/shipped ton:slightly higher Op. & Pkg. Supplies Cost/shipped ton:stable Cost/shipped ton:stable Transportation Costs Cost/shipped ton:stable Cost/shipped ton:stable Energy Costs Cost/shipped ton:slightly higher Cost/shipped ton:slightly higher Maintenance & Repairs Stable Major outage at Idaho, higher maintenance at Arkansas due to timing of water wash impact on P&L SG&A Stable Stable Stable 1 This information is based upon management’s current expectations and estimates, which are in part based on market and industry data. Many factors are outside the control of management, including particularly input costs for commodity products, and actual results may differ materially from the information set forth above. See “Forward-Looking Statements” on page 1.2 Non-GAAP measure – See Appendix for the definition and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure. 17
Q3’16 Outlook1Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited) 18 1 This information is based upon management’s current expectations and estimates, which are in part based on market and industry data. Many factors are outside the control of management, including particularly input costs for commodity products, and actual results may differ materially from the information set forth above. See “Forward-Looking Statements” on page 1.2 EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure that management uses as a supplemental performance measure. The most directly comparable GAAP measure is net earnings (loss). EBITDA is net earnings adjusted for net interest expense (including debt retirement costs), income taxes, and depreciation and amortization. It should not be considered as an alternative to net earnings computed under GAAP.3 Adjusted EBITDA excludes the impact of the items listed that we do not believe are indicative of our core operating performance. 18
2016 OUTLOOK1
RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES (UNAUDITED) 19 1 This
information is based upo
management’s current
expectations and estimates, which are in part based on market and
industry data. Many factors are outside the control of management,
including particularly input costs for commodity products, and actual
results may differ materially from the information set forth above. See
“Forward-Looking Statements” on page 1. 2 EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure
that management uses as a supplemental performance measure. The most
directly comparable GAAP measure is net earnings (loss). EBITDA is net
earnings adjusted for net interest expense (including debt retirement
costs), income taxes, and depreciation and amortization. It should not
be considered as an alternative to net earnings computed under GAAP. 3
Adjusted EBITDA excludes the impact of the items listed that we do not
believe are indicative of our core operating performance. (Dollars in
thousands) FROM TO Earnings before interest, income taxes, and
depreciation & amortization (EBITDA)2 GAAP net earnings $56,000 $61,000
Interest expense, net $30,000 $30,000 Income tax provision $32,000
$35,000 Depreciation and amortization expense $86,000 $88,000 EBITDA2
$204,000 $214,000 Directors' equity-based compensation expense $4,300
$4,300 Costs associated with Long Island facility closure $1,700 $1,700
Adjusted EBITDA3 OUTLOOK TWELVE MONTHS ENDING DECEMBER 31, 2016 RANGE OF
ESTIMATE$210,000 $220,000 19
BRIDGE TO Q3’16 ADJUSTED EBITDA OUTLOOK1,2 20 1 This information is based upon management’s current expectations and estimates, which are in part based on market and industry data. Many factors are outside the control of management, including particularly input costs for commodity products, and actual results may differ materially from the information set forth above. See “Forward-Looking Statements” on page 1.2 Non-GAAP measure – See prior slides for the definition and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure. 2016 Adjusted EBITDA Outlook1,2: $210-$220 Million 20
Appendix 21
Adjusted Gross Profit& Adjusted SG&AReconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited) 22 1 Gross profit is defined as net sales minus cost of sales.2 Adjusted gross profit and Adjusted selling, general and administrative expenses exclude the impact of the items listed that we do not believe are indicative of our core operating performance. 22
Segment Adjusted Operating Income (Loss)Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited) 23 1 Adjusted operating income (loss) excludes the impact of the items listed that we do not believe are indicative of our core operating performance. 23
Adjusted Net Earnings & Adjusted Net Earnings per Diluted common shareReconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited) 24 1 All non-tax items are tax effected at the expected annual rate for that period.2 Adjusted net earnings and Adjusted net earnings per diluted common share exclude the impact of the items listed that we do not believe are indicative of our core operating performance. 24
Adjusted Income Tax ProvisionReconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measure (Unaudited) 25 1 Adjusted income tax provision excludes the impact of the items listed that we do not believe are indicative of our core operating performance. 25
EBITDA & Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited) 26 1 EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure that management uses as a supplemental performance measure. The most directly comparable GAAP measure is net earnings (loss). EBITDA is net earnings (loss) adjusted for net interest expense (including debt retirement costs), income taxes, and depreciation and amortization. It should not be considered as an alternative to net earnings (loss) computed under GAAP.2 Adjusted EBITDA excludes the impact of the items listed that we do not believe are indicative of our core operating performance. 26
EBITDA & Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited) 27 1 EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure that management uses as a supplemental performance measure. The most directly comparable GAAP measure is net earnings (loss). EBITDA is net earnings (loss) adjusted for net interest expense (including debt retirement costs), income taxes, and depreciation and amortization. It should not be considered as an alternative to net earnings (loss) computed under GAAP.2 Adjusted EBITDA excludes the impact of the items listed that we do not believe are indicative of our core operating performance. 27
Segment EBITDA & Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation of Non-GAAPFinancial Measures (Unaudited) 28 1 Segment EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure that management uses as a supplemental performance measure. The most directly comparable GAAP measure is segment operating income (loss). Segment EBITDA is segment operating income (loss) adjusted for depreciation and amortization. It should not be considered as an alternative to segment operating income (loss) computed under GAAP. 2 Segment Adjusted EBITDA excludes the impact of the items listed that we do not believe are indicative of our core operating performance. 28
Return on Invested Capital, Tangible Stockholders’ Equity & Excess Cash Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited) 29 1 Non-GAAP measure.2 Tangible stockholders' equity is defined as stockholders’ equity less Goodwill and Intangible assets, net.3 Excess cash is defined as the sum of Cash and Short-term investments less Operating cash1,4.4 Operating cash is defined as a minimum amount of available cash deemed by management to be sufficient to avoid operating disruptions due to a mismatch of cash inflows and outflows during an accounting period.Note: Balance sheet items are as of the end of each period presented. 29
Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP: Strategic investments1 30 1 Based on Q1’15 prices, input costs, and market and industry data. Many factors are outside the control of management, including particularly input costs for commodity products, and actual results may differ materially from the information set forth above. See “Forward-Looking Statements” on page 1.2 Non-GAAP measure – See Appendix for the definition. 30
For more information:www.clearwaterpaper.com 31