-----BEGIN PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE----- Proc-Type: 2001,MIC-CLEAR Originator-Name: webmaster@www.sec.gov Originator-Key-Asymmetric: MFgwCgYEVQgBAQICAf8DSgAwRwJAW2sNKK9AVtBzYZmr6aGjlWyK3XmZv3dTINen TWSM7vrzLADbmYQaionwg5sDW3P6oaM5D3tdezXMm7z1T+B+twIDAQAB MIC-Info: RSA-MD5,RSA, Kkig428o1mOzi/Bxokm/v4/Mazq0d6KEVfqlatTs1bPyIWQYx4CtkDCOp6Z7zwW5 MidmkjVra180d6ohlJoFPw== 0001193125-05-136854.txt : 20050701 0001193125-05-136854.hdr.sgml : 20050701 20050701165828 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001193125-05-136854 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 3 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20050701 ITEM INFORMATION: Other Events ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20050701 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20050701 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: BRISTOL MYERS SQUIBB CO CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0000014272 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS [2834] IRS NUMBER: 220790350 STATE OF INCORPORATION: DE FISCAL YEAR END: 0615 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 001-01136 FILM NUMBER: 05933961 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 345 PARK AVE CITY: NEW YORK STATE: NY ZIP: 10154 BUSINESS PHONE: 2125464000 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: 345 PARK AVE CITY: NEW YORK STATE: NY ZIP: 10154 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: BRISTOL MYERS CO DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 19891012 8-K 1 d8k.htm FORM 8-K Form 8-K

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 


 

FORM 8-K

 


 

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

 

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): July 1, 2005

 


 

BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in its Charter)

 


 

Delaware   1-1136   22-079-0350

(State or Other Jurisdiction of

Incorporation)

  (Commission File Number)  

(IRS Employer

Identification Number)

 

345 Park Avenue

New York, NY, 10154

(Address of Principal Executive Office)

 

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (212) 546-4000

 


 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 



Item 8.01. Other Events.

 

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (“Company” or “BMS”) seeks to continuously improve the quality of its estimates of months on hand of inventories held by its direct wholesaler customers including through review of its methodologies and processes for calculation of these estimates and review and analysis of its own and third parties’ data used in such calculations.

 

As a result of this ongoing review and analysis, attached as Exhibit 99.1 are months on hand estimates of selected U.S. pharmaceutical products as of September 30, 2004, December 31, 2004 and March 31, 2005 that reflect certain adjustments to the estimates previously disclosed for such quarters. For the third and fourth quarters of 2004, the previously disclosed estimates were calculated using out-movement of the products over a period of twenty-eight days. In the first quarter of 2005, in conjunction with its analysis of direct customer inventory levels for its non-U.S. Pharmaceuticals businesses, BMS revised its methodology to calculate such estimates for all its businesses worldwide based on out-movement of the products over a period of thirty-one days. In addition, in the second quarter of 2005, BMS determined that inventory levels reported by U.S. pharmaceutical wholesalers, which did not include amounts related to goods in transit, should be adjusted to add the Company’s estimate of goods in transit to such wholesalers.

 

Also attached as Exhibit 99.2 are net sales and estimated number of months on hand of inventories in the direct customer distribution channel for the Company’s International Pharmaceuticals, Mead Johnson Nutritionals and Related Healthcare products as of March 31, 2005.

 

The Company expects that it will continue to review and refine its methodologies and processes for calculation of these estimates and will continue to review and analyze its own and third parties’ data used in such calculations.

 

Item 9.01 Financial Statement and Exhibits

 

(c)    Exhibits

 

99.1   Months on hand estimates of selected pharmaceutical products in the Company’s U.S. wholesaler distribution chain as of September 30, 2004, December 31, 2004 and March 31, 2005.
99.2   Months on hand estimates of key products in the Company’s International Pharmaceuticals, Mead Johnson Nutritionals and related healthcare direct customer distribution chain as of March 31, 2005.


SIGNATURES

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

    Bristol-Myers Squibb Company

Date: July 1, 2005

       
    By:  

/s/ Sandra Leung


    Name:   Sandra Leung
    Title:   Secretary


EXHIBIT INDEX

 

Exhibit No.

 

Description


99.1   Months on hand estimates of selected pharmaceutical products in the Company’s U.S. wholesaler distribution chain as of September 30, 2004, December 31, 2004 and March 31, 2005
99.2   Months on hand estimates of key products in the Company’s international pharmaceuticals, Mead Johnson Nutritionals and related healthcare direct customer distribution chain as of March 31, 2005
EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm MONTHS ON HAND OF SELECTED PHARMACEUTICAL PRODUCTS Months on hand of selected pharmaceutical products

Exhibit 99.1

 

Months on Hand of Selected Pharmaceutical Products in the U.S. Wholesaler Distribution Channel

 

The following table sets forth, for selected Company pharmaceutical products sold by the U.S. Pharmaceuticals business, the amount of the U.S. Pharmaceuticals business’s net sales of the applicable product for each of the three months ended September 30, 2004, December 31, 2004, and March 31, 2005 and the estimated number of months on hand of the applicable product in the U.S. wholesaler distribution channel at the end of each such quarter.

 

     Three Months Ended
September 30, 2004


   Three Months Ended
December 31, 2004


   Three Months Ended
March 31, 2005


 
     Net Sales

   Months
on Hand


   Net Sales

    Months
On Hand


   Net Sales

   Months
on Hand


 
     (in millions)         (in millions)          (in millions)       

ABILIFY

   $ 152    0.6    $ 170     0.9    $ 161    0.7  

AVAPRO*/AVALIDE*

     148    0.6      154     0.9      102    0.8  

CEFZIL

     30    0.6      60     1.1      50    0.7  

COUMADIN

     58    0.9      69     1.0      42    1.0  

ERBITUX*

     83    0.2      88     0.2      87    * *

GLUCOPHAGE* Franchise (1)

     39    1.0      48     1.1      39    1.0  

MONOPRIL

     13    1.1      9     1.1      4    2.8  

PARAPLATIN

     145    1.2      (12 )   1.2      15    0.9  

PLAVIX*

     781    0.6      816     0.9      673    0.8  

PRAVACHOL

     318    0.6      433     1.0      258    0.8  

REYATAZ

     75    0.6      99     0.9      92    0.8  

SUSTIVA

     95    0.7      103     0.8      103    0.8  

TEQUIN

     31    0.7      39     0.9      38    0.7  

VIDEX/VIDEX EC

     27    0.6      25     0.9      10    1.2  

ZERIT

     34    0.7      31     0.9      26    0.8  

** Less than 0.1 months on hand.
(1) Includes GLUCOPHAGE* XR, GLUCOPHAGE* IR, GLUCOVANCE*, and METAGLIP*.

 

At December 31, 2004, the estimated value of CEFZIL inventory in the U.S. wholesaler distribution channel exceeded one month on hand by approximately $1.6 million. Prescriptions for CEFZIL, an antibiotic product, are typically higher in the winter months in the U.S. As a result, the Company’s U.S. wholesalers build higher inventories of the product in the fourth quarter to meet that expected higher demand. At March 31, 2005, the Company had worked down U.S. wholesaler inventory levels of CEFZIL to less than one month on hand.

 

In October 2004, the U.S. patent for PARAPLATIN (carboplatin) expired, and the product lost exclusivity. Prior to October 2004, the Company had entered into an agreement with Teva Pharmaceuticals USA, Inc. (Teva) allowing an affiliate of Teva to distribute an unbranded version of carboplatin supplied by the Company commencing June 24, 2004. The resulting generic competition for PARAPLATIN led to a decrease in demand for PARAPLATIN in the third quarter of 2004 which accelerated in the fourth quarter of 2004 upon expiration of the patent. This increased generic competition in turn led to the months on hand of the product in the U.S. wholesaler distribution channel exceeding one month at September 30, 2004 and at December 31, 2004. The estimated value of PARAPLATIN inventory in the U.S. wholesaler distribution channel over one month on hand was approximately $6.6 million at September 30, 2004 and $6.0 million at December 31, 2004. At March 31, 2005, the Company had worked down U.S. wholesaler inventory levels of PARAPLATIN to less then one month on hand.

 

At December 31, 2004, the estimated value of GLUCOPHAGE* Franchise products inventory (GLUCOPHAGE* XR, GLUCOPHAGE* IR, GLUCOVANCE* and METAGLIP*) in the U.S. wholesaler distribution channel exceeded one month on hand by approximately $1.6 million. As with all products, the


months on hand estimate for the GLUCOPHAGE* Franchise products is an average of months on hand for all stock-keeping units (SKUs) of the product group. The increase in months on hand of the GLUCOPHAGE* Franchise products at the end of the fourth quarter to above one month on hand resulted primarily from the purchase by wholesalers of certain SKUs. After giving effect to these purchases, the increased months on hand for these SKUs were less than one month on hand. However, when the increased months on hand for these SKUs were averaged with all SKUs for the GLUCOPHAGE* Franchise products, the aggregate estimated months on hand exceeded one month. At March 31, 2005, the estimated value of GLUCOPHAGE* Franchise products inventory in the U.S. wholesaler distribution channel had been worked down to approximately one month on hand. The Company plans to continue to monitor GLUCOPHAGE* Franchise products sales with the intention of working down wholesaler inventories to less than one month on hand.

 

The estimated value of MONOPRIL inventory in the U.S. wholesaler distribution channel exceeded one month on hand by approximately $0.4 million at September 30, 2004, $0.8 million at December 31, 2004 and $6.2 million at March 31, 2005. Since its loss of exclusivity in 2003, MONOPRIL has experienced continuing significant declines in demand. The Company plans to continue to monitor MONOPRIL sales with the intention of working down wholesaler inventory levels to less than one month on hand.

 

At March 31, 2005, the estimated value of VIDEX/VIDEX EC inventory in the U.S. wholesaler distribution channel exceeded one month on hand by approximately $1.1 million. As a result of generic competition in the U.S. commencing in the fourth quarter of 2004, demand for VIDEX EC decreased significantly. The Company plans to continue to monitor VIDEX/VIDEX EC sales with the intention of working down wholesaler inventory levels to less than one month on hand.

 

For all products other than ERBITUX*, the Company determines the above months on hand estimates by dividing the estimated amount of the product in the U.S. wholesaler distribution channel by the estimated amount of out-movement of the product from the U.S. wholesaler distribution channel over a period of thirty-one days, all calculated as described below. Factors that may influence the Company’s estimates include generic competition, seasonality of products, wholesaler purchases in light of increases in wholesale list prices, new product launches, new warehouse openings by wholesalers and new customer stockings by wholesalers. In addition, such estimates are calculated using data from third parties which data are a product of the third parties’ own record-keeping processes and such third-party data also may reflect estimates.

 

The Company maintains inventory management agreements (IMAs) with most of its U.S. pharmaceutical wholesalers which account for nearly 100% of total gross sales of U.S. pharmaceutical products. Under the current terms of the IMAs, the Company’s three largest wholesaler customers provide the Company with weekly information with respect to inventory levels of product on hand and the amount of out-movement of products. These three wholesalers account for approximately 90% of total gross sales of U.S. pharmaceutical products. The inventory information received from these wholesalers excludes inventory held by intermediaries to whom they sell, such as retailers and hospitals, and excludes goods in transit to such wholesalers. The Company uses the information provided by these three wholesalers as of the Friday closest to quarter end to calculate the amount of inventory on hand for these wholesalers at the applicable quarter end. This amount is then increased by the Company’s estimate of goods in transit to these wholesalers as of the applicable Friday which have not been reflected in the weekly data provided by the wholesalers. Under the Company’s revenue recognition policy, sales are recorded when substantially all the risks and rewards of ownership are transferred, which in the U.S. Pharmaceutical business is generally when product is shipped. In such cases, goods in transit to a wholesaler are owned by the applicable wholesaler and should be reflected in the calculation of inventories in the wholesaler distribution channel. The Company estimates the amount of goods in transit by using information provided by these wholesalers with respect to their open orders as of the applicable Friday and the Company’s records of sales to these wholesalers with respect to such open orders. The Company determines the out-movement of a product from these wholesalers over a period of thirty-one days by using the most recent four weeks of out-movement of a product as provided by these wholesalers and extrapolating such amount to a thirty-one day basis. The Company estimates inventory levels on hand and out-movements for its U.S. Pharmaceutical business’s wholesaler customers other than the three largest wholesalers for each product based on the

 

2


assumption that such amounts bear the same relationship to the three largest wholesalers’ inventory levels and out-movements for such product as the percentage of aggregate sales for all products to these other wholesalers in the applicable quarter bears to aggregate sales for all products to the Company’s three largest wholesalers in such quarter. Finally, the Company considers whether any adjustments are necessary to these extrapolated amounts based on such factors as historical sales of individual products made to such other wholesalers and third-party market research data related to prescription trends and patient demand.

 

To help maintain the integrity of the Company’s biologic oncology product, ERBITUX*, except as set forth below, the product is shipped only to end-users and not to other intermediaries (such as wholesalers) to hold for later sales. During the periods for which information is provided above, one of the Company’s wholesalers provided warehousing, packing and shipping services for ERBITUX*. Such wholesaler holds ERBITUX* inventory on consignment and, under the Company’s revenue recognition policy, the Company recognizes revenue when such inventory is shipped by the wholesaler to the end-user. In addition, such wholesaler holds limited inventories of ERBITUX* for its own account. The above estimates of months on hand are calculated by dividing the inventories of ERBITUX* held by the wholesaler for its own account as reported by the wholesaler as of the end of each quarter by the Company’s net sales for the last calendar month of such quarter. The inventory levels reported by the wholesaler are a product of the wholesalers’ own record-keeping processes.

 

Explanatory Note:

 

The Company continuously seeks to improve the quality of its estimates of months on hand of inventories held by its direct wholesaler customers including through review of its methodologies and processes for calculation of these estimates and review and analysis of its own and third parties’ data used in such calculations. As a result of this ongoing review and analysis, the months on hand estimates disclosed above as of September 30, 2004, December 31, 2004 and March 31, 2005, reflect certain adjustments to the estimates previously disclosed for such quarters. For the third and fourth quarters of 2004, the previously disclosed estimates were calculated using out-movement of the products over a period of twenty-eight days. In the first quarter of 2005, in conjunction with its analysis of direct customer inventory levels for its non-U.S. Pharmaceuticals businesses, the Company revised its methodology to calculate such estimates for all its businesses worldwide based on out-movement of the products over a period of thirty-one days. In addition, in the second quarter of 2005, the Company determined that inventory levels reported by U.S. pharmaceutical wholesalers, which did not include amounts related to goods in transit, should be adjusted to add the Company’s estimate of goods in transit to such wholesalers. The Company expects that it will continue to review and refine its methodologies and processes for calculation of these estimates and will continue to review and analyze its own and third parties’ data used in such calculations.

 

3


The following tables set forth the estimated months on hand of the Company’s key pharmaceutical products in the U.S. wholesaler distribution channel as previously disclosed in the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2004, for months on hand at September 30, 2004, the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2004, for months on hand at December 31, 2004, and the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2005, for months on hand at March 31, 2005. The charts for estimated months on hand at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2004 also set forth the estimated months on hand as adjusted for the change from a calculation using 28 days of out-movement to a calculation using 31 days of out-movement and as further adjusted to add goods in transit. The previously disclosed estimated months on hand of March 31, 2005 were calculated using 31 days of out-movement and, accordingly, the chart for estimated months on hand at March 31, 2005 includes only an adjustment to add goods in transit.

 

Estimated Months on Hand in U.S. Wholesaler Distribution Channel at September 30, 2004

 

     As Previously
Disclosed


   As Adjusted for
31 Days of Out-
Movement


  

As Adjusted for 31
Days of Out-
Movement and

Goods in Transit


ABILIFY

   0.6    0.5    0.6

AVAPRO*/AVALIDE*

   0.6    0.5    0.6

CEFZIL

   0.6    0.6    0.6

COUMADIN

   0.8    0.7    0.9

GLUCOPHAGE* Franchise (1)

   0.9    0.8    1.0

MONOPRIL

   0.9    0.8    1.1

PARAPLATIN (2)

   1.0    1.1    1.2

PLAVIX*

   0.6    0.6    0.6

PRAVACHOL

   0.6    0.6    0.6

REYATAZ

   0.6    0.5    0.6

SUSTIVA

   0.7    0.6    0.7

TEQUIN

   0.8    0.7    0.7

VIDEX/VIDEX EC

   0.6    0.5    0.6

ZERIT

   0.7    0.7    0.7

(1) Previous disclosure of estimated months on hand for the GLUCOPHAGE* Franchise products included estimated months on hand for GLUCOPHAGE* XR, GLUCOPHAGE* IR and GLUCOVANCE* and did not include estimated months on hand for METAGLIP*. If estimated months on hand for METAGLIP* had been included, the estimated months on hand for the GLUCOPHAGE* Franchise products would have been unchanged at 1.0 months on hand. All adjusted amounts include GLUCOPHAGE* XR, GLUCOPHAGE* IR, GLUCOVANCE* and METAGLIP*.
(2) The calculation of previously disclosed estimated months on hand for PARAPLATIN reflected inventory levels which included inventories held on consignment by one of the Company’s wholesalers for distribution through the Company’s Oncology Therapeutics Network division and out-movements related to those consignment inventories. Under the Company’s accounting policies, these amounts are owned by the Company and should not be reflected in the wholesaler distribution channel. If the amount of inventory held on consignment and related out-movements were excluded from the calculation of previously disclosed estimates of months on hand, the estimated months on hand would have been 1.2. All adjusted amounts exclude inventories held on consignment.

 

4


Estimated Months on Hand in U.S. Wholesaler Distribution Channel at December 31, 2004

 

     As Previously
Disclosed


   As Adjusted for 31
Days of Out-Movement


  

As Adjusted for 31 Days
of Out-Movement and

Goods in Transit


ABILIFY

   0.7    0.7    0.9

AVAPRO*/AVALIDE*

   0.7    0.6    0.9

COUMADIN

   0.8    0.7    1.0

GLUCOPHAGE* Franchise

   0.9    0.9    1.1

MONOPRIL

   0.8    0.8    1.1

PARAPLATIN (1)

   1.2    1.0    1.2

PLAVIX*

   0.8    0.7    0.9

PRAVACHOL

   0.8    0.8    1.0

REYATAZ

   0.6    0.6    0.9

SUSTIVA

   0.6    0.5    0.8

TEQUIN

   0.6    0.6    0.9

VIDEX/VIDEX EC

   0.6    0.5    0.9

ZERIT

   0.7    0.6    0.9

(1) The calculation of previously disclosed estimated months on hand for PARAPLATIN reflected inventory levels which included inventories held on consignment by one of the Company’s wholesalers for distribution through the Company’s Oncology Therapeutics Network division and out-movements related to those consignment inventories. Under the Company’s accounting policies, these amounts are owned by the Company and should not be reflected in the wholesaler distribution channel. If the amount of inventory held on consignment and related out-movements were excluded from the calculation of previously disclosed estimates of months on hand, the estimated months on hand would have been 1.1. All adjusted amounts exclude inventories held on consignment.

 

Estimated Months on Hand in U.S. Wholesaler Distribution Channel at March 31, 2005

 

     As Previously
Disclosed


  

As Adjusted for

Goods in Transit


ABILIFY

   0.6    0.7

AVAPRO*/AVALIDE*

   0.7    0.8

CEFZIL

   0.6    0.7

COUMADIN

   0.9    1.0

GLUCOPHAGE* Franchise

   1.0    1.0

PARAPLATIN (1)

   0.8    0.9

PLAVIX*

   0.7    0.8

PRAVACHOL

   0.8    0.8

REYATAZ

   0.6    0.8

SUSTIVA

   0.6    0.8

(1) The calculation of previously disclosed estimated months on hand for PARAPLATIN reflected inventory levels which included inventories held on consignment by one of the Company’s wholesalers for distribution through the Company’s Oncology Therapeutics Network division and out-movements related to those consignment inventories. Under the Company’s accounting policies, these amounts are owned by the Company and should not be reflected in the wholesaler distribution channel. If the amount of inventory held on consignment and related out-movements were excluded from the calculation of previously disclosed estimates of months on hand, the estimated months on hand would have been unchanged at 0.8 months on hand. All adjusted amounts exclude inventories held on consignment.

 

* Indicates brand names of products, which are registered trademarks not owned by the Company or its subsidiaries.

 

5

EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm MONTHS ON HAND ESTIMATES OF KEY PRODUCTS Months on hand estimates of key products

Exhibit 99.2

 

International Pharmaceuticals, Mead Johnson Nutritionals and Related Healthcare Net Sales and Months on Hand Information for Key Products as of March 31, 2005

 

The following table sets forth for each of the Company’s key products sold by the reporting segments listed below, the net sales of the applicable product for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and the estimated number of months on hand of the applicable product in the direct customer distribution channel for the reporting segment as of March 31, 2005. The estimates of months on hand for key products described below for the International Pharmaceuticals reporting segment are based on data collected for all of the Company’s significant business units outside of the United States. Also described further below is information on non-key product(s) where the amount of inventory on hand at direct customers is more than a de minimis amount. For the other reporting segments, estimates are based on data collected for the United States and all significant business units outside of the United States. Corresponding information relating to key products sold by the U.S. Pharmaceuticals business appears in the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31, 2005.

 

          Three Months Ended
March 31, 2005


Reporting Segment


  

Product


   Net Sales

   Months on
Hand


          (in millions)     

INTERNATIONAL PHARMACEUTICALS

                
     ABILIFY    $ 27    0.6
     AVAPRO*/AVALIDE*      94    0.4
     CAPOTEN      42    0.8
     EFFERALGAN      88    0.9
     MAXIPIME      46    0.7
     MONOPRIL      56    0.6
     PLAVIX*      141    0.7
     PRAVACHOL      262    0.7
     REYATAZ      57    0.6
     SUSTIVA      70    0.5
     TAXOL      201    0.5
     VIDEX      39    0.8
     ZERIT      33    0.6

MEAD JOHNSON NUTRITIONALS

                
     ENFAMIL      235    0.9
     NUTRAMIGEN      44    1.0

RELATED HEALTHCARE

                

CONVATEC

                
     OSTOMY      127    0.9
     WOUNDCARE      97    0.8

MEDICAL IMAGING

                
     CARDIOLITE      102    0.7

CONSUMER PRODUCTS

                
     EXCEDRIN      39    1.6

* Indicates brand names of products, which are registered trademarks not owned by the company or its subsidiaries.


The above months on hand information represents the Company’s estimates of aggregate product level inventory on hand at direct customers as of March 31, 2005 divided by the expected demand for the applicable product. Expected demand is the estimated ultimate patient/consumer demand calculated based on estimated end-user consumption or direct customer outmovement data over the most recent thirty-one day period or other reasonable period. Factors that may affect the Company’s estimates include generic competition, seasonality of products, direct customer purchases in light of price increases, new product launches, new warehouse openings by direct customers, new customer stockings by direct customers and expected direct customer purchases for governmental bidding situations.

 

The Company relies on a variety of methods to calculate months on hand for these reporting segments. Where available, the Company relies on information provided by third parties to determine estimates of aggregate product level inventory on hand at direct customers and expected demand. For the reporting segments listed above, however, the Company has limited information on direct customer product level inventory, end-user consumption and direct customer outmovement data. Further, the quality of third party information, where available, varies widely. In some circumstances, such as the case with new products or seasonal products, such historical end-user consumption or outmovement information may not be available or applicable. In such cases, the Company uses estimated prospective demand. In cases where direct customer product level inventory, ultimate patient/consumer demand or outmovement data do not exist or are otherwise not available, the company has developed a variety of other methodologies to calculate estimates of such data, including using such factors as historical sales made to direct customers and third party market research data related to prescription trends and end-user demand.

 

As of March 31, 2005, Dafalgan, a non-key analgesic product sold principally in Europe, had net sales of $40 million and approximately 1.3 months of inventory on hand at direct customers. The level of inventory on hand is due primarily to private pharmacists purchasing Dafalgan approximately once every eight weeks.

 

As of March 31, 2005, Excedrin, an analgesic product sold principally in the U.S., had approximately 1.6 months of inventory on hand at direct customers. The level of inventory on hand is due to the customary practice of direct customers to hold within their warehouses and stores one and one-half to two months of product on hand.

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