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Investment Securities
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2013
Available-for-sale Securities [Abstract]  
Investment Securities
Investment Securities

As of March 31, 2013, we had agency MBS at fair value of $76.3 billion, with a total cost basis of $75.1 billion. The net unamortized premium balance on our investment portfolio as of March 31, 2013 was $3.8 billion, including interest-only and principal-only strips. The following tables summarize our investments in agency MBS as of March 31, 2013 (dollars in millions):
 
 
March 31, 2013
Agency MBS
 
Fannie Mae
 
Freddie Mac
 
Ginnie Mae
 
Total
Available-for-sale agency MBS:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agency MBS, par
 
$
50,510

 
$
20,228

 
$
218

 
$
70,956

Unamortized discount
 
(20
)
 

 

 
(20
)
Unamortized premium
 
2,691

 
939

 
9

 
3,639

Amortized cost
 
53,181

 
21,167

 
227

 
74,575

Gross unrealized gains
 
1,044

 
330

 
6

 
1,380

Gross unrealized losses
 
(116
)
 
(60
)
 

 
(176
)
Total available-for-sale agency MBS, at fair value
 
54,109

 
21,437

 
233

 
75,779

Agency MBS remeasured at fair value through earnings:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Interest-only and principal-only strips, amortized cost (1)
 
463

 
50

 

 
513

Gross unrealized gains
 
24

 
1

 

 
25

Gross unrealized losses
 
(11
)
 
(11
)
 

 
(22
)
Total agency MBS remeasured at fair value through earnings
 
476

 
40

 

 
516

Total agency MBS, at fair value
 
$
54,585

 
$
21,477

 
$
233

 
$
76,295

Weighted average coupon as of March 31, 2013 (2)
 
3.75
%
 
3.67
%
 
3.76
%
 
3.73
%
Weighted average yield as of March 31, 2013 (3)
 
2.74
%
 
2.80
%
 
1.59
%
 
2.75
%
Weighted average yield for the three months ended March 31, 2013 (3)
 
2.79
%
 
2.83
%
 
1.56
%
 
2.80
%
 ________________________
1.
The underlying unamortized principal balance (“UPB” or “par value”) of our interest-only agency MBS strips was $1.5 billion and the weighted average contractual interest we are entitled to receive was 5.78% of this amount as of March 31, 2013. The par value of our principal-only agency MBS strips was $295 million as of March 31, 2013.
2.
The weighted average coupon includes the interest cash flows from our interest-only agency MBS strips taken together with the interest cash flows from our fixed-rate, adjustable-rate and CMO agency MBS as a percentage of the par value of our agency MBS (excluding the UPB of our interest-only securities) as of March 31, 2013.
3.
Incorporates a weighted average future constant prepayment rate assumption of 9% based on forward rates as of March 31, 2013.
 
 
March 31, 2013
Agency MBS
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Gross
Unrealized
Gain
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
 
Fair Value
Fixed-Rate
 
$
73,649

 
$
1,355

 
$
(176
)
 
$
74,828

Adjustable-Rate
 
773

 
21

 

 
794

CMO
 
153

 
4

 

 
157

Interest-only and principal-only strips
 
513

 
25

 
(22
)
 
516

Total agency MBS
 
$
75,088

 
$
1,405

 
$
(198
)
 
$
76,295



As of December 31, 2012, we had agency MBS at fair value of $85.2 billion, with a total cost basis of $83.2 billion. The net unamortized premium balance on our investment portfolio as of December 31, 2012 was $4.4 billion, including interest-only and principal-only strips. The following tables summarize our investments in agency MBS as of December 31, 2012 (dollars in millions): 

 
 
December 31, 2012
Agency MBS
 
Fannie Mae
 
Freddie Mac
 
Ginnie Mae
 
Total
Available-for-sale agency MBS:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agency MBS, par
 
$
58,912

 
$
19,336

 
$
238

 
$
78,486

Unamortized premium
 
3,208

 
948

 
10

 
4,166

Amortized cost
 
62,120

 
20,284

 
248

 
82,652

Gross unrealized gains
 
1,585

 
481

 
6

 
2,072

Gross unrealized losses
 
(18
)
 
(7
)
 

 
(25
)
Available-for-sale agency MBS, at fair value
 
63,687

 
20,758

 
254

 
84,699

Agency MBS remeasured at fair value through earnings:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest-only and principal-only strips, amortized cost (1)
 
486

 
55

 

 
541

Gross unrealized gains
 
26

 
1

 

 
27

Gross unrealized losses
 
(9
)
 
(13
)
 

 
(22
)
Agency MBS remeasured at fair value through earnings
 
503

 
43

 

 
546

Total agency MBS, at fair value
 
$
64,190

 
$
20,801

 
$
254

 
$
85,245

Weighted average coupon as of December 31, 2012 (2)
 
3.70
%
 
3.67
%
 
3.77
%
 
3.69
%
Weighted average yield as of December 31, 2012 (3)
 
2.62
%
 
2.61
%
 
1.60
%
 
2.61
%
Weighted average yield for the year ended December 31, 2012 (3)
 
2.83
%
 
2.83
%
 
1.63
%
 
2.82
%
 ________________________
1.
The UPB of our interest-only securities was $1.7 billion and the weighted average contractual interest we are entitled to receive was 5.78% of this amount as of December 31, 2012. The par value of our principal-only agency MBS strips was $302 million as of December 31, 2012.
2.
The weighted average coupon includes the interest cash flows from our interest-only securities taken together with the interest cash flows from our fixed-rate, adjustable-rate and CMO securities as a percentage of the par value of our agency securities (excluding the UPB of our interest-only securities) as of December 31, 2012.
3.
Incorporates a weighted average future constant prepayment rate assumption of 11% based on forward rates as of December 31, 2012.
 
 
December 31, 2012
Agency MBS
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Gross
Unrealized
Gain
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
 
Fair Value
Fixed-Rate
 
$
81,617

 
$
2,043

 
$
(25
)
 
$
83,635

Adjustable-Rate
 
865

 
26

 

 
891

CMO
 
170

 
3

 

 
173

Interest-only strips
 
541

 
27

 
(22
)
 
546

Total agency MBS
 
$
83,193

 
$
2,099

 
$
(47
)
 
$
85,245



As of March 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012, we did not have investments in agency debenture securities.

The actual maturities of our agency MBS securities are generally shorter than the stated contractual maturities. Actual maturities are affected by the contractual lives of the underlying mortgages, periodic contractual principal payments and principal prepayments. As of March 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012, our weighted average expected constant prepayment rate (“CPR”) over the remaining life of our aggregate agency MBS portfolio was 9% and 11%, respectively. Our estimates differ materially for different types of securities and thus individual holdings have a wide range of projected CPRs. We estimate long-term prepayment assumptions for different securities using a third-party service and market data. The third-party service estimates prepayment speeds using models that incorporate the forward yield curve, current mortgage rates and mortgage rates of the outstanding loans, age and size of the outstanding loans, loan-to-value ratios, volatility and other factors. We review the prepayment speeds estimated by the third-party service and compare the results to market consensus prepayment speeds, if available. We also consider historical prepayment speeds and current market conditions to validate reasonableness. As market conditions may change rapidly, we may make adjustments for different securities based on our Manager's judgment. Various market participants could use materially different assumptions.




The following table summarizes our agency MBS classified as available-for-sale as of March 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012 according to their estimated weighted average life classification (dollars in millions):

 
 
March 31, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
Estimated Weighted Average Life of Agency MBS Classified as Available-for-Sale (1)
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Weighted
Average
Coupon
 
Weighted
Average
Yield
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Weighted
Average
Coupon
 
Weighted
Average
Yield
≤ 3 years
 
279

 
272

 
4.54
%
 
3.01
%
 
1,119

 
1,108

 
4.18
%
 
2.14
%
> 3 years and ≤ 5 years
 
17,428

 
16,835

 
3.76
%
 
2.67
%
 
27,448

 
26,750

 
3.36
%
 
2.29
%
> 5 years and ≤10 years
 
49,750

 
49,132

 
3.68
%
 
2.76
%
 
54,054

 
52,735

 
3.69
%
 
2.75
%
> 10 years
 
8,322

 
8,336

 
2.96
%
 
2.65
%
 
2,078

 
2,059

 
3.44
%
 
2.65
%
Total
 
$
75,779

 
$
74,575

 
3.62
%
 
2.73
%
 
$
84,699

 
$
82,652

 
3.59
%
 
2.59
%
 _______________________
1.
Excludes interest and principal-only strips.

The weighted average life of our interest-only strips was 6.0 and 5.7 years as of March 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively. The weighted average life of our principal-only strips was 7.0 and 6.4 years as of March 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively.

Our agency securities classified as available-for-sale are reported at fair value, with unrealized gains and losses excluded from earnings and reported in accumulated OCI. The following table summarizes changes in accumulated OCI, a separate component of stockholders equity, for our available-for-sale securities for the three months ended March 31, 2013 and 2012 (in millions): 

Agency Securities Classified as
Available-for-Sale
 
Beginning Accumulated OCI
Balance
 
Unrealized Gains
and (Losses), Net
 
Reversal of Prior
Period Unrealized
(Gains) and Losses,
Net on Realization
 
Ending
Accumulated OCI
Balance
Three months ended March 31, 2013
 
$
2,041

 
(863
)
 
26

 
$
1,204

Three months ended March 31, 2012
 
$
1,002

 
110

 
(216
)
 
$
896


The following table presents the gross unrealized loss and fair values of our available-for-sale agency securities by length of time that such securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position as of March 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (in millions):

 
 
Unrealized Loss Position For
 
 
Less than 12 Months
 
12 Months or More
 
Total
Agency Securities Classified as
Available-for-Sale
 
Estimated Fair
Value
 
Unrealized
Loss
 
Estimated
Fair Value
 
Unrealized
Loss
 
Estimated Fair
Value
 
Unrealized
Loss
March 31, 2013
 
$
25,963

 
$
(174
)
 
$
84

 
$
(2
)
 
$
26,047

 
$
(176
)
December 31, 2012
 
$
8,430

 
$
(25
)
 
$

 
$

 
$
8,430

 
$
(25
)

As of March 31, 2013, we did not intend to sell any of these agency securities and we do not believe it is more likely than not we will be required to sell the agency securities before recovery of their amortized cost basis. The unrealized losses on these agency securities are not due to credit losses given the government-sponsored entity or government guarantees, but are rather due to changes in interest rates and prepayment expectations.




Gains and Losses
The following table is a summary of our net (loss) gain from the sale of agency MBS for the three months ended March 31, 2013 and 2012 (in millions): 
 
 
Three Months Ended
Agency MBS
 
March 31, 2013
 
March 31, 2012
Agency MBS sold, at cost
 
$
(20,328
)
 
$
(9,243
)
Proceeds from agency MBS sold (1)
 
20,302

 
9,459

Net (loss) gain on sale of agency MBS
 
$
(26
)
 
$
216

 
 
 
 
 
Gross gain on sale of agency MBS
 
$
87

 
$
220

Gross loss on sale of agency MBS
 
(113
)
 
(4
)
Net (loss) gain on sale of agency MBS
 
$
(26
)
 
$
216

  ________________________
1.
Proceeds include cash received during the period, plus receivable for agency MBS sold during the period as of period end.

For the three months ended March 31, 2013 and 2012, we recognized an unrealized loss of $1 million and an unrealized gain of $1 million, respectively, in gain (loss) on derivative instruments and other securities, net in our consolidated statements of comprehensive income for the change in value of investments in interest-only and principal-only strips, net of prior period reversals. For the three months ended March 31, 2013 and 2012, there were no sales of interest-only or principal-only securities.
Pledged Assets
The following tables summarize our assets pledged as collateral under repurchase agreements, debt of consolidated VIEs, derivative agreements and prime broker agreements by type, including securities pledged related to securities sold but not yet settled, as of March 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (in millions):
 
 
March 31, 2013
Assets Pledged
 
Repurchase Agreements
 
Debt of Consolidated VIEs
 
Derivative Agreements
 
Prime Broker Agreements
 
Total
Agency MBS - fair value
 
$
69,537

 
$
1,421

 
$
812

 
$
229

 
$
71,999

Accrued interest on pledged securities
 
196

 
4

 
2

 

 
202

Restricted cash
 

 

 
116

 
383

 
499

Total
 
$
69,733

 
$
1,425

 
$
930

 
$
612

 
$
72,700

 
 
 
December 31, 2012
Assets Pledged
 
Repurchase Agreements
 
Debt of Consolidated VIEs
 
Derivative Agreements
 
Prime Broker Agreements
 
Total
Agency MBS - fair value
 
$
78,400

 
$
1,535

 
$
1,065

 
$
501

 
$
81,501

Accrued interest on pledged securities
 
217

 
5

 
3

 
1

 
226

Restricted cash
 

 

 
249
 
150

 
399

Total
 
$
78,617

 
$
1,540

 
$
1,317

 
$
652

 
$
82,126







The following table summarizes our securities pledged as collateral under repurchase agreements and debt of consolidated VIEs by remaining maturity, including securities pledged related to sold but not yet settled securities, as of March 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (in millions):
 
 
March 31, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
Securities Pledged by Remaining Maturity of Repurchase Agreements and Debt of Consolidated VIEs
 
Fair Value of Pledged Securities
 
Amortized
Cost of Pledged Securities
 
Accrued
Interest on
Pledged
Securities
 
Fair Value of Pledged Securities
 
Amortized
Cost of Pledged Securities
 
Accrued
Interest on
Pledged
Securities
Agency MBS:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Less than 30 days
 
$
28,076

 
$
27,572

 
$
80

 
$
29,284

 
$
28,525

 
$
82

  31 - 59 days
 
14,020

 
13,774

 
39

 
21,716

 
21,251

 
58

  60 - 90 days
 
7,321

 
7,241

 
21

 
16,188

 
15,780

 
45

  Greater than 90 days
 
21,541

 
21,220

 
60

 
12,747

 
12,447

 
37

Total agency MBS
 
$
70,958

 
$
69,807

 
$
200

 
$
79,935

 
$
78,003

 
$
222

As of March 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012, none of our repurchase agreement borrowings backed by agency MBS were due on demand or mature overnight.
Securitizations and Variable Interest Entities
As of March 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012, we held investments in CMO trusts, which are variable interest entities ("VIEs"). We have consolidated certain of these CMO trusts in our consolidated financial statements where we have determined we are the primary beneficiary of the trusts. All of our CMO securities are backed by fixed or adjustable-rate agency MBS. Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac guarantees the payment of interest and principal and acts as the trustee and administrator of their respective securitization trusts. Accordingly, we are not required to provide the beneficial interest holders of the CMO securities any financial or other support. Our maximum exposure to loss related to our involvement with CMO trusts is the fair value of the CMO securities and interest and principal-only securities held by us, less principal amounts guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
As of March 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012, the fair value of our CMO securities and interest and principal-only securities, excluding the consolidated CMO trusts discussed below, was $673 million and $719 million, respectively, or $1.2 billion and $1.3 billion, respectively, including the net asset value of our consolidated CMO trusts discussed below. Our maximum exposure to loss related to our CMO securities and interest and principal-only securities, including our consolidated CMO trust, was $316 million and $343 million as of March 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively.
In connection with the consolidated trusts, as of March 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012, we recognized agency securities with a total fair value of $1.4 billion and $1.5 billion, respectively, and debt, at fair value of $862 million and $937 million, respectively, in our accompanying consolidated balance sheets. As of March 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012, such agency securities had an aggregate unpaid principal balance of $1.3 billion and $1.4 billion, respectively, and such debt had an aggregate unpaid principal balance of $844 million and $908 million, respectively. During the three months ended March 31, 2013 and 2012, we recognized a net gain of $13 million and $0, respectively, from debt of consolidated VIEs re-measured at fair value through earnings in gain (loss) on derivative instruments and other securities, net in our consolidated statement of comprehensive income. Our involvement with the consolidated trusts is limited to the agency securities transferred by us upon the formation of the trusts and the CMO securities subsequently held by us. There are no arrangements that could require us to provide financial support to the trusts.