Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses |
12 Months Ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dec. 31, 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Insurance [Abstract] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses | Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses General The Company believes the most significant accounting judgment made by management is its estimate of loss and LAE reserves. Loss and LAE reserves represent estimates, including actuarial projections of the ultimate settlement and costs for unpaid loss and LAE arising from the reinsurance contracts entered into by the Company. The Company establishes its loss and LAE reserves by taking losses reported to the Company by insureds and ceding companies, but which have not yet been paid ("case reserves"), adding estimates for the anticipated cost of claims incurred but not yet reported to the Company, or incurred but not enough reported to the Company (collectively referred to as "IBNR") and, if deemed necessary, adding costs for additional case reserves which represent the Company’s estimates for claims related to specific contracts previously reported to the Company which it believes may not be adequately estimated by the client as of that date, or adequately covered in the application of IBNR. Our reserve for loss and LAE comprises:
The following table represents a reconciliation of our beginning and ending gross and net loss and LAE reserves:
The Company uses both historical experience and industry-wide loss development factors to provide a reasonable basis for estimating future losses. In the future, certain events may be beyond the control of management, such as changes in law, judicial interpretations of law, and inflation, which may favorably or unfavorably impact the ultimate settlement of the Company’s loss and LAE reserves. The anticipated effect of inflation is implicitly considered when estimating liabilities for losses and LAE. While anticipated changes in claim costs due to inflation are considered in estimating the ultimate claim costs, changes in the average severity of claims are caused by a number of factors that vary with the individual type of policy written. Ultimate losses are projected based on historical trends adjusted for implemented changes in underwriting standards, policy provisions, and general economic trends. Those anticipated trends are monitored based on actual development and are modified if necessary. The reserving process begins with the collection and analysis of paid losses and incurred claims data for each of our contracts. While reserves are reviewed on a contract by contract basis, paid losses and incurred claims data is also aggregated into reserving segments. The segmental data is disaggregated by reserving class and further disaggregated by either accident year (i.e. the year in which the loss event occurred) or by underwriting year (i.e. the year in which the contract generating the premium and losses incepted). The Company uses underwriting year information to analyze our Diversified Reinsurance segment and subsequently allocate reserves to the respective accident years. The reserving lines of business are selected to ensure that the underlying business have homogeneous loss development characteristics, while remaining large enough to make the estimation of trends credible. 9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) Actuarial Methods Used to Estimate Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves The Company utilizes a variety of standard actuarial methods in its analysis of loss reserves. The selections from these various methods are based on the loss development characteristics of the specific line of business and significant actuarial judgment. The actuarial methods the Company utilizes include: The Expected Loss Ratio ("ELR") method is a technique that multiplicatively applies an expected loss ratio to earned premium to yield estimated ultimate losses. The ELR assumption is generally derived from pricing information and historical experience of the business. This method is frequently used for the purpose of stability in the early valuations of an underwriting year with large and uncertain loss development factors. This technique does not take into account actual loss emergence for the underwriting year being projected. As an underwriting year matures and actual loss experience becomes more credible, other methods may be applied in determining the estimated ultimate losses. The Loss Development ("LD") method is a reserving method in which ultimate losses are estimated by applying a loss development factor to actual reported (or paid) loss experience. This method fully utilizes actual experience. Multiplication of underwriting year actual reported (or paid) losses by its respective development factor produces the estimated ultimate losses. The LD method is based upon the assumption that the relative change in a given underwriting year’s losses from one evaluation point to the next is similar to the relative change in prior underwriting years’ losses at similar evaluation points. In addition, this method is based on the assumption that the reserving and payment patterns as well as the claim handling procedures have not changed substantially over time. When a company has a sufficiently reliable loss development history, a development pattern based on the company’s historical indications may be used to develop losses to ultimate values. The Bornhuetter-Ferguson ("BF") reserving technique is used for long-tailed or lower frequency, more volatile lines. It is also useful in situations where the reported loss experience is relatively immature and/or lacks sufficient credibility for the application of methods that are more heavily reliant on emerged experience. The BF method is an additive IBNR method that combines the ELR and LD techniques by splitting the expected loss into two pieces - expected reported (or paid) losses and expected unreported (or unpaid) losses. Expected unreported (unpaid) losses, estimated by the use of loss development factors, are added to the current actual reported (or paid) losses to produce an estimate of ultimate losses by underwriting year. The BF method introduces an element of stability that moderates the impact of inconsistent changes in paid and reported losses. The average frequency and severity ("FS") technique is used for lines where claim count is available, and the estimate of loss development factors is more difficult due to volatility in historical data. The available data for such lines is usually more volatile in the estimation of future losses using the LD and BF reserving methods. The frequency and severity method uses historical data to estimate the average number of ultimate claims (frequency) and the average costs of closed claims (severity). The estimate of ultimate losses by underwriting year is the result of the multiplication of the ultimate number of claims and the average cost of a claim. With the guidance of the methods above, actuarial judgment is applied in the determination of ultimate losses. In general, the Company’s segments have varying levels of seasoning with which the Company has direct experience and as a result, differing methods are utilized to estimate loss and LAE reserves in each segment. In the Diversified Reinsurance segment, the Company’s executive and technical management, including Claims, Underwriting and Actuarial, have significant experience with this book of business, which also has more than 30 years of loss experience associated with it. In general for the Diversified Reinsurance segment, the Company utilizes the ELR approach at the onset of reserving an account, the BF method for business with less but maturing loss experience, and as the experience matures the LD method. For proportional or pro-rata business, the Company typically relies heavily on the actual historical contract experience to estimate reserving parameters such as loss development factors, whereas for excess of loss business there will be more usage of industry and/or Company benchmark assumptions. The Company has underwritten the AmTrust Reinsurance segment since July 1, 2007. The majority of the exposure in the underlying book of business has significant seasoning, and allows for a significant amount of credibility in using parameters derived from historical experience to calculate reserve estimates. Some segments of the book are a result of recent acquisitions or newer markets for AmTrust. These segments require a greater level of assumptions and professional judgment in deriving ultimate losses, which inherently implies a wider range of reasonable estimates. As a result, we have tended to rely on a weighted approach which primarily employs the LD method for aspects of the segment with ample historical data, while also considering the ELR or BF method for exposure resulting from recent acquisitions, or a relative business with a more limited level of experience. The FS method is also considered for segments of the AmTrust book of business for which claim count information is available. The Company’s actuarial analysis of this book of business is more refined in that it utilizes a combination of quarterly and annual data instead of contract period data in totality. Additional data detailing items such as class of business, state, claim counts, frequency and severity is available, further enhancing the reserve analysis. 9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) Prior Year Development Prior period development arises from changes to loss estimates recognized in the current year that relate to loss reserves in previous calendar years. The development reflects changes in management's best estimate of the ultimate losses under the relevant reinsurance policies after review of changes in actuarial assessments. The following table summarizes adverse prior period development experienced in each of our reportable segments for the years ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015:
During 2017, the Company increased incurred losses for 2016 and prior accident years by $357,893 or 12.8% of prior year net loss and LAE reserves compared to $219,452 or 9.0% in 2016 and $74,866 or 3.3% in 2015. The increase in prior year incurred losses was primarily due to the $321,494 of adverse development driven by $239,896 of adverse development in the AmTrust Reinsurance segment but also contributed to by $71,384 in the Diversified Reinsurance and $10,214 in the Company's run-off business within the Other category. In addition, some premium for prior accident years is reported to us in subsequent periods. This leads to increases in the provision for loss and LAE in prior years during current periods, which is not considered adverse development. During 2017, incurred losses in the AmTrust segment increased $37,212 associated with $57,026 of earned premium reported during 2017 attributable to 2016 and prior accident years. Due to loss sensitive features of certain contracts, favorable (or unfavorable) loss reserve development does not necessarily result in a commensurate amount of additional (or reduced) underwriting income, as ceding commission may be adjusted proportionally to the amount of loss development, pursuant to the terms of the individual contracts. In 2016, the Company recognized approximately $165,344 of adverse prior year development, net of commission changes on adjustable contracts largely due to significant fourth quarter adverse development in commercial auto liability in both the Diversified Reinsurance and AmTrust Reinsurance segments. In the Diversified Reinsurance segment, the adverse prior year development was $71,384 for the year ended December 31, 2017 which was largely due to higher than expected loss emergence emanating primarily from Commercial Auto. Casualty Commercial Auto Liability development during 2017 was $58,776, with $37,485 coming from two accounts which are no longer in-force but which had significantly greater loss emergence during 2017 than expected. In 2016, the development was due to significant fourth quarter adverse development in commercial auto liability. In the AmTrust Reinsurance segment, the adverse prior year development was $239,896 for the year ended December 31, 2017 largely related to the Workers' Compensation of $126,603 and General Liability of $90,784, and to a lesser extent Commercial Auto liability of $19,877. The loss development observed was in part attributable to staffing and other claims operation changes in the cedant's claims department which have distorted historical loss patterns. In 2016, the adverse development largely came from program commercial auto as well as program general liability. Our Other category also incurred adverse prior year development of $10,214 for the year ended December 31, 2017 (2016 - $14,556, 2015 - $12,202) due to increased reserves in the remaining run-off litigated U.S. E&S property claims and increased reserves in the run-off of the NGHC Quota Share Reinsurance Agreement.
The following is a summary of the Company's incurred losses and paid losses development by accident year, net of reinsurance, from the last seven calendar years including the total reserve for losses, IBNR, plus development on reported loss and LAE for both of our reportable segments, Diversified Reinsurance and AmTrust Reinsurance, as of December 31, 2017. Information prior to 2017 is included as unaudited supplementary information. Seven years of information has been presented only as it was impractical to obtain the sufficiently detailed additional information on those earlier years. The incurred and paid amounts have been translated from the local currency to U.S. dollars using the December 31, 2017 spot rate for all years presented in the table below in order to isolate changes in foreign exchange rates from loss development. Information regarding our Other category has not been presented in the development tables below but is included in the reconciliation, as these losses include amounts from our former NGHC Quota Share segment and the remnants of the U.S. excess and surplus business, which are in run-off and related IBNR amounts are not currently material. As a reinsurer of primarily quota share contracts, claim counts are available on a very limited basis. Therefore claim counts have not been provided in the tables below as it is impractical to do so. 9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) The Diversified Reinsurance segment incurred losses and paid losses are analyzed by the following lines of business: (1) Pro-rata Property; (2) Pro-rata Casualty (a) Personal Auto, (b) Commercial Auto, (c)Workers' Compensation and Other Liability; (3) Excess of Loss ("XOL") Property; (4) XOL Casualty, (a) Commercial Auto, (b) Workers' Compensation, (c) Other liability; (5) Accident and Health ("A&H"); and (6) International. The AmTrust Reinsurance segment incurred losses and paid losses are analyzed by the following lines of business: (1) Workers’ Compensation; (2) Commercial Auto Liability; (3) General Liability; (4) European Hospital Liability; and (5) All Other Lines. There are a number of factors to consider when evaluating the information in these tables:
Diversified Reinsurance Segment The following table represents information on the Company's incurred losses and LAE and cumulative paid losses and LAE, both net of reinsurance, since 2011 for our Diversified Reinsurance segment. The development tables below included reserves acquired from the loss portfolio transfer agreement associated with the GMAC RE business as at October 31, 2008 of $755,554 and reserves acquired from the loss portfolio transfer agreement associated with the GMAC International Insurance Services ("IIS") business as at November 30, 2010 of $98,827. For the purposes of the disclosure, the reserves from each of the loss portfolio transfers were allocated to the original accident year. Many pro-rata contracts are big enough that specific company development patterns are used. The ELR from the pricing of the account is typically used for the first year or more until the data suggests an alternative result is likely. Use of the ELR method transitions to the BF and then the LD method. For smaller contracts, benchmark development patterns may be used in both the pricing to establish the ELR and the reserving. The use of benchmark patterns is more prevalent in excess of loss business and the movement to experience based methods is slower. 9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) Diversified Reinsurance: Property Pro-rata The majority of our pro-rata Property business is the property component of multi-line quota shares. In the Diversified Reinsurance segment, most of this exposure comes from Private Passenger Auto quota shares that include coverage for both casualty and automobile physical damage. Private Passenger Auto quota shares typically have either a property occurrence limit or have reinsurance that protects the Company's exposure. This reinsurance can be either purchased by the cedant or by the Company. Property exposures other than auto are written with an occurrence limit. Our initial underwriting year loss projections are generally based on the ELR method, derived from account pricing analyses. Payment and reporting patterns are relatively short-tailed, allowing for rapid movement to loss development methods.
9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) Diversified Reinsurance: Casualty - Personal Auto Pro-rata All of the pro-rata Personal Auto in this category is the liability portion of Personal Auto quota shares. The majority of this business is non-standard Personal Auto which has very low, typically minimum financial responsibility limits which vary by state. The balance is standard or preferred business with higher limits. Personal injury protection, medical payments and uninsured motorists are also covered. Our initial underwriting year loss projections are generally based on the ELR method, primarily derived from individual account pricing analyses. Payment and reporting patterns are relatively short-tailed, allowing for rapid movement to loss development methods.
9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) Diversified Reinsurance: Casualty Commercial Auto - Pro-rata All of the pro-rata Commercial Auto in this category is the liability portion of Commercial Auto quota shares. This business is separated from our Personal Auto liability due to the higher limits typically written on Commercial Auto exposures. Coverage is primarily for the service and commercial vehicle classification and to a lesser extent long haul trucking, common carrier or large fleet exposures. Commercial Auto has been an area of focus due to overall industry concerns regarding increases in loss frequency and severity. Our initial underwriting year loss projections are generally based on the ELR method, primarily derived from individual account pricing analyses. Payment and reporting patterns are can be variable depending on the cedant, class of business, and venue. Transition to BF method and ultimately to LD method can vary in timing depending on our assessment of the stability of such indications.
9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) Diversified Reinsurance: Property - XOL This category is composed of Property business that is either part of a multi-line or a Property only excess of loss treaty. Large limits with high attachment points are generally avoided. Excess of loss Property exposures are written on a per risk basis with an occurrence limit that applies to the aggregation of all Property losses associated with a particular event. This mitigates the Company’s exposure to losses from catastrophes. Our initial underwriting year loss projections are generally based on the ELR method, derived either from account pricing analyses or historical performance metrics. Payment and reporting patterns are relatively short-tailed, allowing for rapid movement to the LD method.
9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) Diversified Reinsurance: Commercial Auto - XOL The Commercial Auto class of business provides auto liability and physical damage coverages, but the vast majority of the losses emanate from liability exposures. Coverage includes service and commercial vehicle classification and also long haul trucking, common carrier or large fleet exposures. This category is composed of Commercial Auto business that is either part of a multi-line or a Commercial Auto only excess of loss treaty or a facultative certificate. Facultative certificates are policies written to cover individually underwritten and priced specific risks for a ceding company. The rest of the excess commercial auto business is written as part of a treaty where the Company underwrites the ceding company but not each individual risk. Our initial underwriting year loss projections are generally based on the ELR method, derived either from account pricing analyses or historical performance metrics. Payment and reporting patterns are medium-tailed, and the movement away from the ELR to the BF or the LD methods may take several years. In some cases, due to changing development characteristics in the line of business, an average FS methodology may be employed.
9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) Diversified Reinsurance: Workers' Compensation - XOL The Workers' Compensation and employers liability treaty exposures focus primarily on regional or super-regional insurers with low to medium hazard exposures for small to medium sized employers. All Workers' Compensation excess coverages are written on an occurrence basis. This category is composed of Workers' Compensation business that is either part of a multi-line or a Workers' Compensation only excess of loss treaty or a facultative certificate. Facultative certificates are policies written to cover individually underwritten and priced specific risks for a ceding company. The rest of the excess workers' compensation business is written as part of a treaty where the Company underwrites the ceding company but not each individual risk. Reinsurance is used to limit the Company’s exposure when higher treaty limits are written. Our initial underwriting year loss projections are generally based on the ELR method, derived either from account pricing analysis or historical performance metrics. Excess workers' compensation exposures typically have long claim payment and reporting patterns, even with the modest limits written. Claims can change due to many factors including, but not limited to, changes in medical inflation, judicial inflation and changing social trends. In addition, ceding company claim practices can influence the ultimate severity of excess claims. The ELR method is generally used for longer periods than for other lines.
9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) Diversified Reinsurance: Excess of Loss - Other Liability including Umbrella The coverages in this category are written on an occurrence basis. The umbrella class of business is primarily written for small to medium sized regional and some super regional companies on either a stand-alone basis or in support of a treaty covering other exposures. The other liabilities class of business also includes general liability. Most business is from regional companies which include coverage for artisan contractors, but higher severity exposures, such as heavy products liability or completed operations exposures are typically avoided. Professional, Directors and Officers and Errors and Omissions exposures are also typically avoided. This category is composed of excess of loss Other Liability including umbrella business that is either part of a multi-line or an excess of liability or umbrella only excess of loss treaty or, occasionally, a facultative certificate. Facultative certificates are policies written to cover individually underwritten and priced specific risks for a ceding company. The majority of this business is written as part of a treaty where the Company underwrites the ceding company but not each individual risk. Reinsurance is used to limit the Company’s exposure when higher treaty limits are written. Excess other liability and umbrella exposures can have long claim payment and reporting patterns, even with the relatively modest limits written. Our initial underwriting year loss projections are generally based on the ELR method, derived either from account pricing analyses or historical performance metrics. Transitions to the BF method may take a few years, but are typically faster than for workers' compensation.
9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) Diversified Reinsurance: Accident and Health The A&H class of business specialize in reinsuring employer medical stop loss and other A&H lines. The majority of the portfolio is medical stop loss, however, there is expertise to selectively write accident, disability and other ancillary A&H products. Our initial underwriting year loss projections are generally based on the ELR method, derived either from account pricing analyses or historical performance metrics. Payment and reporting patterns are very short-tailed, with most claims completely paid within 18 months of the underlying policy effective date. The movement away from the ELR to BF or LD methods typically happens very rapidly.
9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) Diversified Reinsurance - International The international business written by our IIS team is mainly proportional treaty business, a significant portion of which is Personal Auto quota share but also comprises credit life quota share. Life and personal accident business is also written on a direct basis by Maiden LF. Maiden works with insurance partners, automobile manufacturers and their related credit providers and other organizations to design and implement insurance programs in both auto distribution-related and other consumer insurance products. For the auto quota share exposure, our initial underwriting year loss projections are generally based on the ELR method, derived from account pricing analyses. Payment and reporting patterns are short-tailed, and the movement away from the ELR to BF or LD methods typically happens very rapidly. Credit life reserves are primarily a function of reporting lag, typically only one or several months on average. The reserves are calculated using a FS methodology, where the frequency is a function of the average claims lag and the average per claims severity.
The following tables represent information on the Company's incurred losses and LAE and cumulative paid losses and LAE, both net of reinsurance, by significant line of business since 2011 for our AmTrust Reinsurance segment. All data shown for the AmTrust in the tables that follow are from the Company’s quota share contracts with AmTrust, both the multi-year Reinsurance Agreement and the annually renewable European Hospital Liability Quota Share contract. AmTrust purchases significant reinsurance for losses above $10 million covered by the Reinsurance Agreement. The Company’s share of AmTrust’s loss net of reinsurance in the Reinsurance Agreement is 40%. 9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) AmTrust Reinsurance: Workers’ Compensation This reserve class consists of the Workers’ Compensation portion of the quota share Reinsurance Agreement. The business is written in the U.S. by AmTrust from their Small Commercial Business and their Specialty Program business units. AmTrust’s Small Commercial Business unit focuses on writing smaller, niche workers' compensation exposures in generally low-hazard occupations. Workers’ Compensation business written in the Specialty Program unit is typically part of programs consisting of multiple lines of business. The business is produced by managing general agents with AmTrust regularly adding new programs and terminating or renegotiating unprofitable ones. Our initial underwriting year loss projections are generally based on the ELR method, derived from historical performance after the consideration of loss and premium trends. Since it is proportional exposure, and due to the size and the classes of business insured by AmTrust, this reserving class is much shorter tailed than a traditional workers compensation book, and the transition to the BF and the LD methods happens relatively quickly, within the first several years.
9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) AmTrust Reinsurance: General Liability This reserve class consists of the General Liability portion of the Reinsurance Agreement. The business is written in the U.S. by AmTrust from their Small Commercial Business and Specialty Program segments. The Small Commercial Business unit focuses on writing smaller, niche business typically underserved by the broader insurance market, which typically have limits of $1,000. General Liability business written in the Small Commercial business unit grew substantially following AmTrust’s renewal rights acquisition in 2014. Specialty Program business may contain a mix of exposures from retail operations, contractors, manufacturer, and other premises. Our initial underwriting year loss projections are generally based on the ELR method, derived from historical performance after the consideration of loss and premium trends. This proportional exposure is relatively short tailed, and the transition to the BF and the LD methods happens relatively quickly, within the first several years.
9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) AmTrust Reinsurance: Commercial Auto Liability Commercial Auto Liability is written in the U.S. and included in the Small Commercial Business and Specialty Program segments. The Small Commercial Business unit focuses on writing smaller, niche business typically underserved by the broader insurance market, and policies typically have limits of $1,000. Auto Liability business written in the Small Commercial business unit grew substantially following AmTrust’s renewal rights acquisition in 2014. Commercial Auto business written in the Specialty Program unit is typically part of programs consisting of multiple lines of business. Our initial underwriting year loss projections are generally based on the ELR method, derived from historical performance after the consideration of loss and premium trends. This proportional exposure is relatively short tailed, and the transition to the BF and the LD methods happens relatively quickly, within the first several years.
9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) AmTrust Reinsurance: European Hospital Liability AmTrust entered this line of business in Italy in 2010 when it believed there were significant opportunities in what had traditionally been an under-performing market. European Hospital Liability policies are written on a claim made basis. Maiden wrote a separate annually renewable contract covering this exposure a year later. It is not part of the Reinsurance Agreement. Currently, most exposure remains in Italy with a modest amount of other European exposure. The European Hospital Liability Quota Share exposure results in many instances where claims are eventually closed with no liability. As a claims made exposure, there is also minimal to no "tail" that would result in IBNR. The net result is a significant amount of negative IBNR accounting for claims with case reserves established that are expected to be closed with no payment. Our initial underwriting year loss projections are generally based on the ELR method, derived from historical performance after the consideration of loss and premium trends. Loss reporting for this line is unique, as a large proportion of claims are initially reserved but eventually closed with no payment, as the insurer is found to have no liability after investigation of the fundamentals of the claim. In addition, the underlying insurance policies we assume are both per claims and aggregate. For these reasons, the LD method is not typically employed in the estimate of loss. After the first several years, we utilize a FS methodology; frequency is estimated on a reported claim basis and adjusted for an estimate of the proportion of claims which will close with no payment, while severity is estimated on both a gross and net of deductible basis.
9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) AmTrust Reinsurance: All Other Lines This category includes all lines except Workers' Compensation, General Liability and Commercial Auto from the AmTrust Small Business Commercial and Specialty Program Divisions. The predominant exposures are property and auto physical damage.
9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued) Reconciliation of Development Tables to Consolidated Balance Sheet The following table represents a reconciliation of the net incurred and paid claims development tables to the reserve for loss and LAE in the Consolidated Balance Sheet at December 31, 2017:
9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (continued)
The following unaudited supplementary information represents the average annual percentage payout of net loss and LAE by age, net of reinsurance, for both our reportable segments at December 31, 2017:
The average annual payout of incurred claims by age, net of reinsurance, is calculated using the amount of claims paid in each development year and is compared with the estimated incurred claims as of the most recent period presented. |