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Valuation
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2013
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Valuation
Valuation
The following is a description of the valuation methodologies used for the Company's financial instruments.
Level 1 valuation methodologies include the observation of quoted prices (unadjusted) for identical assets or liabilities in active markets, often received from widely recognized data providers.
Level 2 valuation methodologies include the observation of (i) quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities in active markets, (ii) inputs other than quoted prices that are observable for the asset or liability (for example, interest rates and yield curves) in active markets and (iii) quoted prices for identical or similar assets or liabilities in markets that are not active.
Level 3 valuation methodologies include (i) the solicitation of valuations from third parties (typically, broker-dealers), (ii)the use of proprietary models that require the use of a significant amount of judgment and the application of various assumptions including, but not limited to, prepayment assumptions and default rate assumptions, and (iii) the assessment of observable or reported recent trading activity. The Manager utilizes such information to assign a good faith fair value (the estimated price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction at the valuation date) to each such financial instrument.
The Manager seeks to obtain at least one third-party indicative valuation for each instrument, and often obtains multiple indicative valuations when available. Third-party valuation providers often utilize proprietary models that are highly subjective and also require the use of a significant amount of judgment and the application of various assumptions including, but not limited to, prepayment assumptions and default rate assumptions. The Manager has been able to obtain third-party valuations on the vast majority of the Company's assets and expects to continue to solicit third-party valuations on substantially all assets in the future to the extent practical. Beginning January 1, 2013, the Manager generally values each financial instrument at the average of third party valuations received and not rejected as described below. Third-party valuations are not binding on the Company and while the Manager generally does not adjust valuations it receives, the Manager may challenge or reject a valuation when, based on the validation criteria, the Manager determines that such valuation is unreasonable or erroneous. Furthermore, the Manager may determine, based on validation criteria, that for a given instrument the average of the third-party valuations received does not result in what the Manager believes to be fair value, and in such circumstances the Manager may override this average with its own good faith valuation. The validation criteria include the use of the Manager's own models, recent trading activity in the same or similar instruments, and valuations received from third parties. Prior to 2013, the valuation process relied more heavily on the use of the Manager's models and observation of reported recent trading activity, which was substantiated by third party valuations. The Manager's valuation process, including the application of validation criteria, is overseen by the Manager's valuation committee. Because of the inherent uncertainty of valuation, these estimated values may differ significantly from the values that would have been used had a ready market for the financial instruments existed and the differences could be material to the consolidated financial statements.
The table below reflects the value of the Company's Level 1, Level 2, and Level 3 financial instruments at March 31, 2013:
(In thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Description
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Total
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash and cash equivalents
 
$
64,753

 
$

 
$

 
$
64,753

Investments at fair value-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agency residential mortgage-backed securities
 
$

 
$
934,747

 
$
16,228

 
$
950,975

Private label residential mortgage-backed securities
 

 

 
557,820

 
557,820

Private label commercial mortgage-backed securities
 

 

 
5,778

 
5,778

Commercial mortgage loans
 

 

 
9,713

 
9,713

Other asset-backed securities
 

 

 
11,638

 
11,638

Total investments at fair value
 

 
934,747

 
601,177

 
1,535,924

Financial derivatives-assets at fair value-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit default swaps on asset-backed securities
 

 

 
26,398

 
26,398

Credit default swaps on asset-backed indices
 

 
9,407

 

 
9,407

Interest rate swaps
 

 
384

 

 
384

Total return swaps
 

 
61

 

 
61

Total financial derivatives-assets at fair value
 

 
9,852

 
26,398

 
36,250

Repurchase agreements
 

 
42,614

 

 
42,614

Total investments, financial derivatives-assets at fair value, and repurchase agreements
 
$

 
$
987,213

 
$
627,575

 
$
1,614,788

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investments sold short at fair value-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury and Agency residential mortgage-backed securities
 
$

 
$
(649,756
)
 
$

 
$
(649,756
)
Financial derivatives-liabilities at fair value-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit default swaps on corporate indices
 

 
(2,759
)
 

 
(2,759
)
Credit default swaps on asset-backed indices
 

 
(14,170
)
 

 
(14,170
)
Credit default swaps on asset-backed securities
 

 

 
(2
)
 
(2
)
Interest rate swaps
 

 
(1,484
)
 

 
(1,484
)
Total return swaps
 

 
(27
)
 

 
(27
)
Unrealized depreciation on futures contracts
 
(48
)
 

 

 
(48
)
Total financial derivatives-liabilities at fair value
 
(48
)
 
(18,440
)
 
(2
)
 
(18,490
)
Securitized debt
 

 

 
(1,205
)
 
(1,205
)
Total investments sold short, financial derivatives-liabilities at fair value, and securitized debt
 
$
(48
)
 
$
(668,196
)
 
$
(1,207
)
 
$
(669,451
)

Investments under the Agency residential mortgage-backed securities Level 3 category are investments in Agency interest only RMBS securities. There were no transfers of financial instruments between Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 during the three month period ended March 31, 2013.
The Company's reverse repurchase agreements are carried at cost, which approximates fair value. These liabilities are classified as Level 2 liabilities based on the adequacy of the collateral and their short term nature.
The following table identifies the significant unobservable inputs that affect the valuation of the Company's Level 3 assets and liabilities as of March 31, 2013:
 
Fair Value as of
March 31, 2013
 
Valuation Technique
 
Unobservable Input
 
Range
 
Weighted
Average
Description
 
 
 
Min
 
Max
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Private label residential mortgage-backed securities and Other asset-backed securities(1)
$
501,742

 
Market Quotes
 
Non Binding Indicative Price
 
$
1.31

 
$
151.77

 
$
79.13

Private label residential mortgage-backed securities
66,511

 
Discounted Cash Flows
 
Yield
 
4.7
%
 
17.9
%
 
8.6
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Prepayments
 
0.7
%
 
51.0
%
 
24.5
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Losses
 
14.6
%
 
48.6
%
 
27.5
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Recoveries
 
2.3
%
 
34.3
%
 
19.0
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Scheduled Amortization
 
9.4
%
 
67.2
%
 
29.0
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
100.0
%
Credit default swaps on asset-backed securities
26,396

 
Net Discounted Cash Flows
 
Projected Collateral Prepayments
 
8.9
%
 
44.5
%
 
14.6
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Losses
 
20.2
%
 
56.6
%
 
46.4
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Recoveries
 
13.2
%
 
32.8
%
 
24.8
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Scheduled Amortization
 
10.2
%
 
35.9
%
 
14.2
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
100.0
%
Private label commercial mortgage-backed securities and Commercial mortgage loans
10,728

 
Market Quotes
 
Non Binding Indicative Price
 
$
75.89

 
$
99.00

 
$
90.50

Commercial mortgage loans(2)
4,763

 
Discounted Cash Flows
 
Yield
 
15.0
%
 
15.0
%
 
15.0
%
 
 
 
 
 
Recovery Timeline(3)
 
3

 
3

 
3

Agency interest only residential mortgage-backed securities
16,228

 
Market Quotes
 
Non Binding Indicative Price
 
$
6.58

 
$
23.14

 
$
14.48

(1)
Includes securitized debt with a fair value of $1.2 million as of March 31, 2013.
(2)
Represents non-performing commercial whole loan.
(3)
Represented in number of months.
Third-party non-binding indicative prices are validated by comparing such prices to internally generated prices based on the Company's models and to recent trading activity in the same or similar instruments.
For those instruments valued using discounted and net discounted cash flows, collateral prepayments, losses, recoveries, and scheduled amortization are projected over the remaining life of the collateral and expressed as a percentage of the collateral's current principal balance. Averages are weighted based on the fair value of the related instrument. In the case of credit default swaps on asset-backed securities, averages are weighted based on each instrument's bond equivalent value. Bond equivalent value represents the investment amount of a corresponding position in the reference obligation, calculated as the difference between the outstanding principal balance of the underlying reference obligation and the fair value, inclusive of accrued interest, of the derivative contract. The Company considers the expected timeline to resolution in the determination of fair value for its non-performing commercial loans.
Material changes in any of the inputs above in isolation could result in a significant change to reported fair value measurements. Additionally, fair value measurements are impacted by the interrelationships of these inputs. For example, a higher expectation of collateral prepayments will generally be accompanied by a lower expectation of collateral losses. Conversely, higher losses will generally be accompanied by lower prepayments. Because the Company's credit default swaps on asset-backed security holdings represent credit default swap contracts whereby the Company has purchased credit protection, such default swaps on asset-backed securities generally have the directionally opposite sensitivity to prepayments, losses, and recoveries as compared to the Company's long securities holdings. Prepayments do not represent a significant input for the Company's commercial mortgage-backed securities and commercial mortgage loans. Losses and recoveries do not represent a significant input for the Company's Agency RMBS interest only securities, given the guarantee of the issuing government agency or government-sponsored enterprise.
The table below reflects the value of the Company's Level 1, Level 2, and Level 3 financial instruments at December 31, 2012:
(In thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Description
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Total
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash and cash equivalents
 
$
59,084

 
$

 
$

 
$
59,084

Investments at fair value-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agency residential mortgage-backed securities
 
$

 
$
811,233

 
$
6,644

 
$
817,877

Private label residential mortgage-backed securities
 

 

 
528,366

 
528,366

Private label commercial mortgage-backed securities
 

 

 
19,327

 
19,327

Commercial mortgage loans
 

 

 
9,546

 
9,546

Total investments at fair value
 

 
811,233

 
563,883

 
1,375,116

Financial derivatives-assets at fair value-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit default swaps on asset-backed securities
 

 

 
36,031

 
36,031

Credit default swaps on asset-backed indices
 

 
12,468

 

 
12,468

Interest rate swaps
 

 
5

 

 
5

Total financial derivatives-assets at fair value
 

 
12,473

 
36,031

 
48,504

Repurchase agreements
 

 
13,650

 

 
13,650

Total investments, financial derivatives-assets at fair value, and repurchase agreements
 
$

 
$
837,356

 
$
599,914

 
$
1,437,270

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investments sold short at fair value-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury and Agency residential mortgage-backed securities
 
$

 
$
(622,301
)
 
$

 
$
(622,301
)
Financial derivatives-liabilities at fair value-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit default swaps on corporate indices
 

 
(484
)
 

 
(484
)
Credit default swaps on asset-backed indices
 

 
(13,468
)
 

 
(13,468
)
Credit default swaps on asset-backed securities
 

 

 
(1
)
 
(1
)
Interest rate swaps
 

 
(1,124
)
 

 
(1,124
)
Total return swaps
 

 
(65
)
 

 
(65
)
Unrealized depreciation on futures contracts
 
(70
)
 

 

 
(70
)
Total financial derivatives-liabilities at fair value
 
(70
)
 
(15,141
)
 
(1
)
 
(15,212
)
Securitized debt
 
$

 
$

 
$
(1,335
)
 
$
(1,335
)
Total investments sold short and financial derivatives-liabilities at fair value
 
$
(70
)
 
$
(637,442
)
 
$
(1,336
)
 
$
(638,848
)

Investments under the Agency residential mortgage-backed securities Level 3 category are investments in Agency interest only RMBS securities. There were no transfers of financial instruments between Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 during the year ended December 31, 2012.
The Company's reverse repurchase agreements are carried at cost, which approximates fair value. These liabilities are classified as Level 2 liabilities based on the adequacy of the collateral and their short term nature.
The following table identifies the significant unobservable inputs that affect the valuation of the Company's Level 3 assets and liabilities as of December 31, 2012:
 
Fair Value as of
December 31, 2012
 
Valuation Technique
 
Unobservable Input
 
Range
 
Weighted
Average
Description
 
 
 
Min
 
Max
 
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Private label residential mortgage-backed securities(1)
$
527,031

 
Discounted Cash Flows
 
Yield
 
2.6
%
 
29.1
%
 
7.8
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Prepayments
 
0.7
%
 
64.6
%
 
22.7
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Losses
 
3.7
%
 
79.7
%
 
28.0
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Recoveries
 
0.0
%
 
41.0
%
 
21.4
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Scheduled Amortization
 
4.1
%
 
90.4
%
 
27.9
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
100.0
%
Credit default swaps on asset-backed securities
36,030

 
Net Discounted Cash Flows
 
Projected Collateral Prepayments
 
8.7
%
 
44.1
%
 
18.7
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Losses
 
20.4
%
 
57.1
%
 
37.8
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Recoveries
 
12.2
%
 
32.8
%
 
19.3
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Scheduled Amortization
 
9.8
%
 
35.5
%
 
24.2
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
100.0
%
Private label commercial mortgage-backed securities and Commercial mortgage loans
28,873

 
Discounted Cash Flows
 
Yield
 
5.2
%
 
17.9
%
 
9.5
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Losses
 
0.0
%
 
25.1
%
 
3.9
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Recoveries
 
0.0
%
 
88.9
%
 
20.5
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Scheduled Amortization
 
0.0
%
 
100.0
%
 
75.6
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
100.0
%
Agency interest only residential mortgage-backed securities
6,644

 
Option Adjusted Spread ("OAS")
 
LIBOR OAS (2)
 
816

 
7,558

 
1,189

 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Prepayments
 
81.0
%
 
100.0
%
 
92.7
%
 
 
 
 
 
Projected Collateral Scheduled Amortization (3)
 
0.0
%
 
19.0
%
 
7.3
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
100.0
%
(1)
Includes securitized debt with a fair value of $1.3 million as of December 31, 2012.
(2)
Shown in basis points.
(3)
For simplicity of presentation, net negative amortization is disregarded.
For those instruments valued using discounted and net discounted cash flows, collateral prepayments, losses, recoveries, and scheduled amortization are projected over the remaining life of the collateral and expressed as a percentage of the collateral's current principal balance. Averages are weighted based on the fair value of the related instrument. In the case of credit default swaps on asset-backed securities, averages are weighted based on each instrument's bond equivalent value. Bond equivalent value represents the investment amount of a corresponding position in the reference obligation, calculated as the difference between the outstanding principal balance of the underlying reference obligation and the fair value, inclusive of accrued interest, of the derivative contract. For those assets valued using the LIBOR Option Adjusted Spread ("OAS") valuation methodology, cash flows are projected using Ellington's models over multiple interest rate scenarios, and these projected cash flows are then discounted using the LIBOR rates implied by each interest rate scenario. The LIBOR OAS of an asset is then computed as the unique constant yield spread that, when added to all LIBOR rates in each interest rate scenario generated by the model, will equate (a) the expected present value of the projected asset cash flows over all model scenarios to (b) the actual current market price of the asset. LIBOR OAS is therefore model-dependent. Generally speaking, LIBOR OAS measures the additional yield spread over LIBOR that an asset provides at its current market price after taking into account any interest rate options embedded in the asset.
Material changes in any of the inputs above in isolation could result in a significant change to reported fair value measurements. Additionally, fair value measurements are impacted by the interrelationships of these inputs. For example, a higher expectation of collateral prepayments will generally be accompanied by a lower expectation of collateral losses. Conversely, higher losses will generally be accompanied by lower prepayments. Because the Company's credit default swaps on asset-backed security holdings represent credit default swap contracts whereby the Company has purchased credit protection, such default swaps on asset-backed securities generally have the directionally opposite sensitivity to prepayments, losses, and recoveries as compared to the Company's long securities holdings. Prepayments do not represent a significant input for the Company's commercial mortgage-backed securities and commercial mortgage loans. Losses and recoveries do not represent a significant input for the Company's Agency RMBS interest only securities, given the guarantee of the issuing government agency or government-sponsored enterprise.
The tables below include a roll-forward of the Company's financial instruments for the three month period ended March 31, 2013 and 2012 (including the change in fair value), for financial instruments classified by the Company within Level 3 of the valuation hierarchy.
Level 3—Fair Value Measurement Using Significant Unobservable Inputs:
Three Month Period Ended March 31, 2013
(In thousands)
Beginning
Balance as of
December 31,
2012
 
Accreted
Discounts /
(Amortized
Premiums)
 
Net Realized
Gain/
(Loss)
 
Change in Net
Unrealized
Gain/(Loss)
 
Purchases/
Payments
 
Sales/
Issuances
 
Transfers In
and/or Out
of Level 3
 
Ending
Balance as of 
March 31,
2013
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investments at fair value-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agency residential mortgage-backed securities
$
6,644

 
$
(870
)
 
$

 
$
238

 
$
10,216

 
$

 
$

 
$
16,228

Private label residential mortgage-backed securities
528,366

 
6,640

 
15,602

 
24,020

 
72,832

 
(89,640
)
 

 
557,820

Private label commercial mortgage-backed securities
19,327

 
57

 
(1,449
)
 
3,244

 
12,344

 
(27,745
)
 

 
5,778

Commercial mortgage loans
9,546

 
8

 

 
159

 

 

 

 
9,713

Other asset-backed securities

 
(49
)
 

 
(107
)
 
11,794

 

 

 
11,638

Total investments at fair value
563,883

 
5,786

 
14,153

 
27,554

 
107,186

 
(117,385
)
 

 
601,177

Financial derivatives- assets at fair value-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit default swaps on asset-backed securities
36,031

 

 
3,251

 
(5,599
)
 
49

 
(7,334
)
 

 
26,398

Total financial derivatives- assets at fair value
36,031

 

 
3,251

 
(5,599
)
 
49

 
(7,334
)
 

 
26,398

Total investments and financial derivatives-assets at fair value
$
599,914

 
$
5,786

 
$
17,404

 
$
21,955

 
$
107,235

 
$
(124,719
)
 
$

 
$
627,575

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial derivatives- liabilities at fair value-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit default swaps on asset-backed securities
$
(1
)
 
$

 
$
(28
)
 
$
(1
)
 
$

 
$
28

 
$

 
$
(2
)
Total financial derivatives- liabilities at fair value
$
(1
)
 
$

 
$
(28
)
 
$
(1
)
 
$

 
$
28

 
$

 
$
(2
)
Securitized debt:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Securitized debt
$
(1,335
)
 
$
(9
)
 
$

 
$
69

 
$
70

 
$

 
$

 
$
(1,205
)
Total securitized debt
$
(1,335
)
 
$
(9
)
 
$

 
$
69

 
$
70

 
$

 
$

 
$
(1,205
)
Total financial derivatives- liabilities at fair value and securitized debt
$
(1,336
)
 
$
(9
)
 
$
(28
)
 
$
68

 
$
70

 
$
28

 
$

 
$
(1,207
)

All amounts of net realized and change in net unrealized gain (loss) in the table above are reflected in the accompanying Consolidated Statement of Operations. The table above incorporates changes in net unrealized gain (loss) for both Level 3 financial instruments held by the Company at March 31, 2013, as well as Level 3 financial instruments disposed of by the Company during the three month period ended March 31, 2013. For Level 3 financial instruments held by the Company at March 31, 2013, change in net unrealized gain (loss) of $28.3 million, $(7.2) million, $(1.0) thousand, and $0.07 million, for the three month period ended March 31, 2013 relate to investments, financial derivatives–assets, financial derivatives–liabilities, and securitized debt, respectively.
Level 3—Fair Value Measurement Using Significant Unobservable Inputs:
Three Month Period Ended March 31, 2012
(In thousands)
Beginning
Balance as of
December 31,
2011
 
Accreted
Discounts /
(Amortized
Premiums)
 
Net Realized
Gain/
(Loss)
 
Change in
Net
Unrealized
Gain/(Loss)
 
Purchases/
Payments
 
Sales/
Issuances
 
Transfers In
and/or Out of
Level 3
 
Ending
Balance as of  March 31,
2012
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investments at fair value-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury Agency residential mortgage-backed securities
$
5,337

 
$
(624
)
 
$

 
$
431

 
$
872

 
$

 
$

 
$
6,016

Private label residential mortgage-backed securities
417,533

 
4,374

 
6,201

 
17,660

 
98,678

 
(136,216
)
 

 
408,230

Private label commercial mortgage-backed securities
16,093

 
117

 
344

 
1,688

 
1,308

 
(7,379
)
 

 
12,171

Commercial mortgage loans
4,400

 
28

 

 
72

 

 

 

 
4,500

Total investments at fair value
443,363

 
3,895

 
6,545

 
19,851

 
100,858

 
(143,595
)
 

 
430,917

Financial derivatives- assets at fair value -
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit default swaps on asset-backed securities
61,498

 

 
(4,744
)
 
6,799

 
123

 
(14,930
)
 

 
48,746

Total financial derivatives- assets at fair value
61,498

 

 
(4,744
)
 
6,799

 
123

 
(14,930
)
 

 
48,746

Total investments and financial derivatives- assets at fair value
$
504,861

 
$
3,895

 
$
1,801

 
$
26,650

 
$
100,981

 
$
(158,525
)
 
$

 
$
479,663

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Securitized debt
$

 
$
(13
)
 
$

 
$
10

 
$

 
$
(1,482
)
 
$

 
$
(1,485
)
Total securitized debt
$

 
$
(13
)
 
$

 
$
10

 
$

 
$
(1,482
)
 
$

 
$
(1,485
)

All amounts of net realized and change in net unrealized gain (loss) in the table above are reflected in the accompanying Consolidated Statement of Operations. The table above incorporates changes in net unrealized gain (loss) for both Level 3 financial instruments held by the Company at March 31, 2012, as well as Level 3 financial instruments disposed of by the Company during the three month period ended March 31, 2012. For Level 3 financial instruments held by the Company at March 31, 2012, change in net unrealized gain (loss) of $12.7 million, $(4.5) million, and $0.01 million, for the three month period ended March 31, 2012 relate to investments, financial derivatives–assets, and securitized debt, respectively.