EX-99.(C)(4) 4 d842696dex99c4.htm EX-99.(C)(4) EX-99.(c)(4)

Exhibit (c)(4) STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL Project Analysis at Various Prices Lean May 2, 2024 Content must not go below this line


STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL Analysis at Various Prices: premia and implied multiples Unaffected Initial Revised Counter Date Proposal Proposal Proposal 3/6/2024 3/7/2024 5/1/2024 Share Price Sensitivity 4/26/2024 ($ in billions, except per share amounts) 4 Current Share Price $32.08 $34.25 $34.75 $35.25 $35.75 $36.25 $36.65 $36.75 $37.25 $37.75 $38.25 1 NPV of Three Quarters of Dividends ($0.44/share) $1.26– $1.26 $1.26 $1.26 $1.26 $1.26 $1.26 $1.26 $1.26 $1.26 1 $1.67– $1.67 $1.67 $1.67 $1.67 $1.67 $1.67 $1.67 $1.67 $1.67 NPV of Four Quarters of Dividends ($0.44/share) 2 $12.5 $13.3 $13.5 $13.7 $13.9 $14.1 $14.2 $14.3 $14.5 $14.7 $14.8 Market Capitalization 2 Enterprise Value $26.5 $27.3 $27.5 $27.7 $27.9 $28.1 $28.3 $28.3 $28.5 $28.7 $28.9 Implied Offer Premiums Statistic Current Trading $36.65 (12%) (7%) (5%) (4%) (2%) (1%)– 0% 2% 3% 4% Unaffected Share Price 32.08– 7% 8% 10% 11% 13% 14% 15% 16% 18% 19% Indiana Initial Proposal 34.25 (6%)– 1% 3% 4% 6% 7% 7% 9% 10% 12% Indiana Revised Proposal 34.75 (8%) (1%)– 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% Arizona Counter Proposal 38.25 (16%) (10%) (9%) (8%) (7%) (5%) (4%) (4%) (3%) (1%)– 30-day VWAP (Unaffected) 31.07 3% 10% 12% 13% 15% 17% 18% 18% 20% 22% 23% % of 52 Week High 41.12 (22%) (17%) (15%) (14%) (13%) (12%) (11%) (11%) (9%) (8%) (7%) % of 52 Week Low 28.36 13% 21% 23% 24% 26% 28% 29% 30% 31% 33% 35% Implied P / E Multiples Statistic 2024E $2.26 14.2x 15.2x 15.4x 15.6x 15.8x 16.0x 16.2x 16.3x 16.5x 16.7x 16.9x Wall Street 2025E 2.43 13.2x 14.1x 14.3x 14.5x 14.7x 14.9x 15.1x 15.1x 15.4x 15.6x 15.8x Research 2026E 2.52 12.7x 13.6x 13.8x 14.0x 14.2x 14.4x 14.5x 14.6x 14.8x 15.0x 15.2x 2024E $2.28 14.0x 15.0x 15.2x 15.4x 15.6x 15.9x 16.0x 16.1x 16.3x 16.5x 16.7x 3 Mgmt. Forecast 2025E 2.47 13.0x 13.9x 14.1x 14.3x 14.5x 14.7x 14.8x 14.9x 15.1x 15.3x 15.5x 2026E 2.60 12.3x 13.2x 13.4x 13.6x 13.8x 13.9x 14.1x 14.1x 14.3x 14.5x 14.7x Source: S&P Capital IQ as of 05/01/2024, Wall Street equity research and Arizona management Note: Wall Street research consensus estimates and 52 week share price range as of the Unaffected Date (03/06/2024) 1. Represents the net present value (“NPV”) of the next three and four per share quarterly dividends, starting in Q3 2024 and discounted to 05/01/2024 using a discount rate of 6.7%, representing the mid-point of the weighted average (weighted based on EBITDA contribution) WACC range of the Networks and Renewables segments per Moelis presentation to the Content must not Special Committee dated 04/25/2024. Future dividends assumed to be held constant at $0.44 and dividend payment dates assumed to be in-line with historical dividend payment dates go below this line 2. Fully diluted shares outstanding of 388.146 million as of 03/31/2024 per Arizona management, Arizona management does not assume any changes to fully diluted shares outstanding over the forecast period Confidential | 1 3. Based on adjusted net income per the Arizona management forecast 4. Current share price as of 05/01/2024


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