EX-99.1 21 dex991.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 EXHIBIT 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Table of Contents

Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc.

Hatboro, Pennsylvania

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

   I

INTRODUCTION

   1

1.      OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

   4

GENERAL OVERVIEW

   4

HISTORY AND OVERVIEW

   5

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

   6

BALANCE SHEET TRENDS

   7

LOAN PORTFOLIO

   9

INVESTMENTS

   12

INVESTMENTS AND MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES

   13

ASSET QUALITY

   14

FUNDING COMPOSITION

   17

ASSET/LIABILITY MANAGEMENT

   19

NET WORTH AND CAPITAL

   20

PROFITABILITY TRENDS

   21

LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

   27

SUBSIDIARIES

   27

ORDER TO CEASE AND DESIST

   28

2.      MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

   30

3.      COMPARISONS WITH PUBLICLY TRADED THRIFTS

   33

INTRODUCTION

   33

SELECTION CRITERIA

   33

BASIS FOR COMPARISON

   35

OVERVIEW OF THE COMPARABLES

   35

4.      MARKET VALUE DETERMINATION

   38

MARKET VALUE ADJUSTMENTS

   38

FINANCIAL CONDITION

   39

BALANCE SHEET GROWTH

   43


EARNINGS QUALITY, PREDICTABILITY AND GROWTH

   44

MARKET AREA

   49

CASH DIVIDENDS

   52

LIQUIDITY OF THE ISSUE

   54

RECENT REGULATORY MATTERS

   55

5.      OTHER FACTORS

   56

MANAGEMENT

   56

ORDER TO CEASE AND DESIST

   57

SUBSCRIPTION INTEREST

   58

VALUATION ADJUSTMENTS

   60

6.      VALUATION

   61

DISCUSSION OF WEIGHT GIVEN TO VALUATION MULTIPLES

   61

FULL OFFERING VALUE IN RELATION TO COMPARABLES

   63

COMPARISON TO RECENT MHC CONVERSIONS

   66

VALUATION CONCLUSION

   67


List of Figures

Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc.

Hatboro, Pennsylvania

 

FIGURE 1 – CURRENT FACILITIES LIST

   4

FIGURE 2 - ASSET AND RETAINED EARNINGS CHART

   7

FIGURE 3 - KEY BALANCE SHEET DATA

   8

FIGURE 4 - KEY RATIOS

   8

FIGURE 5 - NET LOANS RECEIVABLE CHART

   9

FIGURE 6 - LOAN MIX AS OF MARCH 31, 2006

   10

FIGURE 7 - LOAN MIX AT MARCH 31, 2006

   11

FIGURE 8 - SECURITIES CHART

   12

FIGURE 9 - INVESTMENT MIX

   13

FIGURE 10 - ASSET QUALITY CHART

   14

FIGURE 11 - NONPERFORMING LOANS

   15

FIGURE 12 - ALLOWANCE FOR POSSIBLE LOAN AND LEASE LOSSES CHART

   16

FIGURE 13 - DEPOSIT AND BORROWING TREND CHART

   17

FIGURE 14 - DEPOSIT MIX

   18

FIGURE 15 – INTEREST RATE RISK

   19

FIGURE 16 - CAPITAL ANALYSIS

   20

FIGURE 17 - NET INCOME CHART

   21

FIGURE 18 – CORE NET INCOME CALCULATION

   22

FIGURE 19 - AVERAGE YIELDS AND COSTS

   23

FIGURE 20 - SPREAD AND MARGIN CHART

   24

FIGURE 21 - INCOME STATEMENT TRENDS

   25

FIGURE 22 - PROFITABILITY TREND CHART

   26

FIGURE 23 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR BUCKS COUNTY

   30

FIGURE 24 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR MONTGOMERY COUNTY

   31

FIGURE 25 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR PHILADELPHIA COUNTY

   31

FIGURE 26 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR CAPE MAY COUNTY

   32

FIGURE 27 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR ATLANTIC COUNTY

   32

FIGURE 28 - COMPARABLE GROUP

   34

FIGURE 29 - KEY FINANCIAL INDICATORS

   37

FIGURE 30 - KEY BALANCE SHEET DATA

   39

FIGURE 31 - CAPITAL DATA

   40

FIGURE 32 - ASSET QUALITY TABLE

   41

FIGURE 33 - BALANCE SHEET GROWTH DATA

   43

FIGURE 34 - NET INCOME CHART

   45

FIGURE 35 - PROFITABILITY DATA

   46

FIGURE 36 - INCOME STATEMENT DATA

   47

FIGURE 37 – MARKET AREA DATA

   50

FIGURE 38 - DIVIDEND DATA

   52

FIGURE 39 - MARKET CAPITALIZATION DATA

   54

FIGURE 40 - MHC REORGANIZATIONS (SINCE 1/1/03) PRO FORMA DATA

   58

FIGURE 41 - MHC REORGANIZATIONS PRICE APPRECIATION

   59

FIGURE 42 - VALUE RANGE - FULL OFFERING

   63

FIGURE 43 – AS IF FULLY CONVERTED OFFERING PRICING MULTIPLES

   64

FIGURE 44 - COMPARABLE AS IF FULLY CONVERTED PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANK’S PRO FORMA MIDPOINT

   64

FIGURE 45 - COMPARABLE AS IF FULLY CONVERTED PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANK’S PRO FORMA SUPER MAXIMUM

   64

FIGURE 46 - VALUE RANGE MHC OFFERING DATA

   65

FIGURE 47 - COMPARABLE GAAP PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANK’S PRO FORMA MIDPOINT

   65

FIGURE 48 - COMPARABLE GAAP PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANK’S PRO FORMA SUPER MAXIMUM

   65

FIGURE 49 – COMPARISON TO FILED AND PENDING MHC OFFERINGS

   66


List of Exhibits

Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc.

Hatboro, Pennsylvania

 

Exhibit

    

1.

  

Profile of FinPro, Inc. and the Author of the Appraisal

2.

  

Consolidated Statements of Condition

3.

  

Consolidated Statements of Operations

4.

  

Consolidated Statements of Changes in Retained Equity

5.

  

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

6.

  

Reconciliation of the Trailing Twelve Month Net Income

7.

  

Comparable Group Selection Screens

8.

  

Selected Financial Data

9.

  

Industry Fully Converted Pricing Multiples

10.

  

MHC Conversions 2005 to Date

11.

  

Full Offering No Foundation Appraisal Pro Forma March 31, 2006 – 12 Months

12.

  

Full Offering With Foundation Appraisal Pro Forma March 31, 2006 – 12 Months

13.

  

MHC Appraisal Pro Forma March 31, 2006 – 12 Months

14.

  

MHC Stub Period Offering Circular Pro Forma March 31, 2006 – 3 Months

15.

  

MHC Fiscal Year Offering Circular Pro Forma December 31, 2005 – 12 Months


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 1

 

Introduction

Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (the “Mid-tier”), is offering for sale shares of its common stock in connection with the reorganization of Fox Chase Bank (the “Bank”) into the mutual holding company form of ownership. The shares being offered represent 43.6% of the shares of common stock of the Mid-tier that will be outstanding following the reorganization. The Mid-tier also intends to contribute 135,000 of the shares of the Mid-tier that will be outstanding following the reorganization, and $150,000 in cash to a charitable foundation established by the Fox Chase Bank. After the stock offering, over 50.0% of the Mid-tier outstanding shares of common stock will be owned by Fox Chase, MHC (the “MHC”), the proposed mutual holding company parent. The Mid-tier is the proposed holding company for the Bank. This report represents FinPro, Inc.’s (“FinPro”) independent appraisal of the estimated pro forma market value of the common stock (the “Common Stock”) of Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc. (hereafter referred to on a consolidated basis as the “Bank”).

In compiling the pro formas, FinPro relied upon the assumptions provided by the Bank and its agents. The pro forma assumptions are as follows:

 

    43.57% of the total shares will be sold to the depositors and public,

 

    135,000 shares will be contributed to a charitable foundation,

 

    cash equal to $150,000 will be contributed to a charitable foundation,

 

    the stock will be issued at $10.00 per share,

 

    the conversion expenses will be $1.9 million at the midpoint,

 

    there will be an ESOP equal to 3.92% of the total shares outstanding funded internally, amortized over 15 years straight-line,

 

    there will be an MRP equal to 1.96% of the total shares outstanding, amortized over 5 years straight-line,

 

    there will be a Stock Option Plan equal to 10% of the total shares outstanding, expensed at $4.20 per option over 5 years straight-line,

 

    the tax rate is assumed at 34.00%, and

 

    the net proceeds will be invested at the one-year treasury rate of 4.82%, pre-tax.

It is our understanding that the Bank will offer its stock in a subscription and community offering to Eligible Account Holders, to the Employee Plans and to Supplemental Eligible Account Holders of the Bank. This appraisal has been prepared in accordance with Regulation 563b.7 and the “Guidelines for Appraisal Reports for the Valuation of Savings and Loan Associations Converting from Mutual to Stock Form of Organization” of the Office of Thrift Supervision (“OTS”) which have been adopted in practice by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”), including the most recent revisions as of October 21, 1994, and applicable regulatory interpretations thereof.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 2

 

In the course of preparing our report, we reviewed the Bank’s audited financials for the years ended December 31, 2004 and December 31, 2005 and the unaudited financials for the three months ended March 31, 2006. We also reviewed the registration statement on Form S-1 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). We have conducted due diligence analysis of the Bank and held due diligence related discussions with the Bank’s Management and Board, Sandler O’Neill & Partners L.P. (the Bank’s underwriter), and Muldoon Murphy and Aggugia LLP (the Bank’s special counsel). The valuation parameters set forth in the appraisal were predicated on these discussions but all conclusions related to the valuation were reached and made independent of such discussions.

Where appropriate, we considered information based upon other publicly available sources, which we believe to be reliable; however, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information. We visited the Bank’s primary market area and reviewed the market area’s economic condition. We also reviewed the competitive environment in which the Bank operates and its relative strengths and weaknesses. We compared the Bank’s performance with selected publicly traded thrift institutions. We reviewed conditions in the securities markets in general and in the market for savings institutions in particular. Our analysis included a review of the estimated effects of the Conversion of the Bank on the operations and expected financial performance as they related to the Bank’s estimated pro forma value.

In preparing our valuation, we relied upon and assumed the accuracy and completeness of financial and other information provided to us by the Bank and its independent accountants. We did not independently verify the financial statements and other information provided by the Bank and its independent accountants, nor did we independently value any of the Bank’s assets or liabilities. This estimated valuation considers the Bank only as a going concern and should not be considered as an indication of its liquidation value.

Our valuation is not intended, and must not be construed, to be a recommendation of any kind as the advisability of purchasing shares of Common Stock in the stock issuance. Moreover, because such valuation is necessarily based upon estimates and projections of a number of matters, all of which are subject to change from time to time, no assurance can be given that persons who purchase shares of Common Stock in the stock issuance will thereafter be able to sell such shares at prices related to the foregoing valuation of the pro forma market value thereof. FinPro is not a seller of securities within the meaning of any federal or state securities laws. Any report prepared by FinPro shall not be used as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 3

 

The estimated valuation herein will be updated as appropriate. These updates will consider, among other factors, any developments or changes in the Bank’s financial condition, operating performance, management policies and procedures and current conditions in the securities market for thrift institution common stock. Should any such developments or changes, in our opinion, be material to the estimated pro forma market value of the Bank, appropriate adjustments to the estimated pro forma market value will be made. The reasons for any such adjustments will be explained at that time.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 4

 

1. Overview and Financial Analysis

GENERAL OVERVIEW

As of March 31, 2006, the Bank had $754.1 million in total assets, $655.9 million in deposits, $358.4 million in net loans and $63.3 million in equity. The following table shows the Bank’s facilities as of March 31, 2006.

FIGURE 1 – CURRENT FACILITIES LIST

 

Location :

   Year
Opened
   Owned/
Leased
   Net Book
Value as of
03/31/06
   Date of Lease
Expiration

Main Office:

           

4390 Davisville Road

           

Hatboro, Pennsylvania

   1996    Owned    $ 2,222    N/A

Branch Offices:

           

401 Rhawn Street

           

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

   1956    Owned      610    N/A

815 Bustleton Pike

           

Richboro, Pennsylvania

   1985    Owned      553    N/A

1 Fitzwatertown Road

           

Willow Grove, Pennsylvania

   1995    Owned      409    N/A

1041 York Road

           

Warminster, Pennsylvania

   2000    Owned      904    N/A

921 West Avenue

           

Ocean City, New Jersey

   2000    Owned      524    N/A

6059 Black Horse Pike

           

Egg Harbor Township, New Jersey

   2000    Owned      923    N/A

5871 Lower York Road

           

Lahaska, Pennsylvania

   2004    Owned      1,518    N/A

8 U.S. Route 9 South

           

Marmora, New Jersey

   2006    Owned      1,606    N/A

Administrative Offices:

           

1225 Industrial Boulevard

           

Southampton, Pennsylvania

   N/A    Owned      754    N/A

Other Properties:

           

811 Bustleton Pike

           

Richboro, Pennsylvania

   N/A    Owned      52    N/A

Absecon, New Jersey

   N/A    Owned      2,008    N/A

Pleasantville, New Jersey

   N/A    Owned      489    N/A

67 Dowlin Forge Road

           

Exton, Pennsylvania

   N/A    Leased      N/A    2007

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 5

 

HISTORY AND OVERVIEW

Fox Chase Bank is a community-oriented financial institution dedicated to serving the financial service needs of consumers and businesses within its market area. Fox Chase Bank is subject to extensive regulation, examination and supervision by the Office of Thrift Supervision, its primary federal regulator, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, its deposit insurer. The Bank attracts deposits from the general public and has historically used such funds to originate one-to four-family residential real estate loans, construction and land development loans and consumer loans.

Recently, the Bank has begun to emphasize the origination of multifamily and commercial real estate loans, commercial business loans and construction loans in the Philadelphia metropolitan area and greater Delaware Valley, while eliminating the origination of higher risk acquisition, development and construction loans in the southern New Jersey shore area. At March 31, 2006, the Bank operated out of its main office in Hatboro, Pennsylvania and eight branch offices in Bucks, Montgomery and Philadelphia Counties, Pennsylvania and Atlantic and Cape May Counties, New Jersey. At March 31, 2006, the Bank had total assets of $754.1 million, deposits of $655.9 million and total equity of $63.3 million.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 6

 

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

The Bank’s mission is to become the leading relationship-based business and consumer bank in its market area by delivering financial products and services tailored to its clients’ needs. After the reorganization, the Bank plans to continue its strategy of:

 

    adhering to the directives of the Cease and Desist Order issued by the Office of Thrift Supervision;

 

    pursuing opportunities to increase commercial lending in its primary market area;

 

    building profitable business and consumer relationships with an emphasis on growing transaction deposit accounts and deposit balances;

 

    increasing income by expanding our product offerings and continuing to offer exceptional customer service; and

 

    expanding the Bank’s footprint and market presence through opening additional branch and loan production offices.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 7

 

BALANCE SHEET TRENDS

The Bank’s balance sheet decreased by $27.2 million, or 3.5%, from $781.3 million at December 31, 2005 to $754.1 million at March 31, 2006.

Equity has decreased $250 thousand from $63.5 million at December 31, 2005 to $63.3 million at March 31, 2006. The equity to assets ratio was 8.39% at March 31, 2006.

FIGURE 2 - ASSET AND RETAINED EARNINGS CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 8

 

The following tables set forth certain information concerning the financial position of the Bank at the dates indicated.

FIGURE 3 - KEY BALANCE SHEET DATA

 

    

At March 31,

2006

   At December 31,

Financial Condition Data:

      2005    2004    2003    2002    2001
          $ in thousands

Total assets

   $ 754,050    $ 781,291    $ 899,805    $ 821,118    $ 788,917    $ 649,989

Cash and cash equivalents

     27,254      46,086      43,722      32,022      46,129      40,775

Interest-earning time deposits

     600      600      3,174      4,392      2,800      3,444

Securities available-for-sale

     329,060      329,504      330,199      335,388      310,118      194,216

Securities held-to-maturity

     —        —        —        —        —        2,008

Loans receivable net

     355,729      366,393      482,606      414,438      410,139      388,507

Loans held for sale

     2,704      357      —        —        —        —  

Deposits

     655,892      682,307      805,250      723,838      695,010      561,179

Advances from Federal Home Loan Bank

     30,000      30,000      30,000      30,000      30,000      30,000

Total equity

     63,271      63,521      59,190      62,331      58,760      53,388

Source: Offering Prospectus

FIGURE 4 - KEY RATIOS

 

      At or for the three months
Ended March 31,
   

At or for the Years

Ended December 31,

 

Selected Financial Ratios and Other Data:

   2006     2005     2005     2004     2003     2002     2001  

Performance Ratios:

              

Return on average assets

   0.14 %   0.53 %   0.70 %   -0.21 %   0.59 %   0.59 %   0.33 %

Return on average equity

   1.68     8.04     9.51     (2.82 )   7.64     7.45     3.71  

Interest rate spread

   1.86     2.09     1.78     1.92     1.61     2.19     1.95  

Net interest margin

   2.21     2.32     2.05     2.11     1.87     2.40     2.25  

Noninterest expense to average assets

   2.23     1.73     1.80     1.29     1.34     1.40     1.53  

Efficiency ratio

   93.86     69.95     83.94     56.34     59.96     56.49     72.80  

Average interest-earning assets to average interest-bearing liabilities

   93.86     106.30     109.08     107.69     109.68     106.30     106.63  

Average equity to average assets

   8.39     6.36     7.43     7.59     7.67     7.91     8.78  

Capital Ratios:

              

Tangible capital

   8.72     6.88     8.40     6.66     7.54     7.24     8.14  

Core capital

   18.79     13.64     17.76     12.92     15.76     14.59     12.63  

Total risk-based capital

   20.06     14.92     19.02     14.17     16.29     15.13     12.86  

Asset Quality Ratios:

              

Allowance for loan losses as a percent of total loans

   2.29     2.90     2.22     2.89     0.50     0.50     0.25  

Allowance for loan losses as a percent of non-performing loans

   186.82     3,451.08     163.90     997.99     159.29     158.45     197.37  

Net charge-offs to average outstanding loans during the period

   —       —       —       —       —       —       —    

Non-performing loans as a percent of total loans

   1.26     0.08     1.39     0.30     0.32     0.32     0.13  

Other Data:

              

Number of:

              

Deposit Accounts

   59,643     65,876     61,349     66,800     65,796     66,554     61,981  

Offices

   9     8     8     8     7     7     7  

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 9

 

LOAN PORTFOLIO

The Bank’s loan portfolio has decreased by $10.7 million from December 31, 2005 to March 31, 2006, and as a percent of assets, the loan portfolio has increased from 46.90% to 47.18%, respectively.

FIGURE 5 - NET LOANS RECEIVABLE CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 10

 

The loan portfolio has grown rapidly. The mix has shifted from 1-4 family loans to multi-family and commercial real estate and home equity loans.

FIGURE 6 - LOAN MIX AS OF MARCH 31, 2006

 

    At March 31,     At December 31,  
    2006     2005     2004     2003     2002     2001  
    Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent     Amount     Percent  
    (Dollars in thousand)  

Types of loan:

                       

Real estate loans:

                       

Single-family 1-4 units

  $ 225,164     61.8 %   $ 228,476     60.87 %   $ 250,015     50.15 %   $ 262,753     62.69 %   $ 350,651     84.31 %   $ 353,343     89.64 %

Multi-family 5 and commercial

    34,681     9.5 %     32,923     8.77 %     85,585     17.17 %     57,495     13.72 %     16,173     3.89 %     5,276     1.34 %

Real estate construction

    22,466     6.2 %     31,015     8.26 %     92,210     18.50 %     46,850     11.18 %     —       0.00 %     —       0.00 %
                                                                               

Total real estate

    282,311     77.5 %     292,414     77.90 %     427,810     85.82 %     367,098     87.59 %     366,824     88.20 %     358,619     90.98 %

Consumer loans:

                       

Lines of credit

    13,465     3.67 %     16,269     4.33 %     18,249     3.66 %     13,947     3.33 %     11,314     2.72 %     3,177     0.81 %

Automobile loans

    1,157     0.31 %     1,280     0.34 %     1,872     0.38 %     1,439     0.34 %     2,589     0.62 %     3,936     1.00 %

Home equity loans

    67,357     18.34 %     65,003     17.32 %     49,154     9.86 %     36,065     8.60 %     34,585     8.32 %     27,967     7.10 %

Other

    172     0.05 %     188     0.05 %     1,305     0.26 %     438     0.10 %     465     0.11 %     363     0.09 %
                                                                           

Total consumer loans

    82,151     22.37 %     82,740     22.04 %     70,580     14.16 %     51,889     12.37 %     48,953     11.77 %     35,443     9.00 %

Commercial business

    175     0.00 %     175     0.05 %     175     0.04 %     175     0.04 %     115     0.03 %     115     0.03 %
                                                                                   

Total gross loans

    364,637     100.0 %     375,329     99.99 %     498,565     100.02 %     419,162     100.00 %     415,892     100.00 %     394,177     100.01 %

Less:

                       

Deferred loan fees, net

    (559 )       (587 )       (1,568 )       (2,615 )       (3,671 )       (4,695 )  

Allowance for loan losses

    (8,349 )       (8,349 )       (14,391 )       (2,109 )       (2,082 )       (975 )  
                                                           

Total loans, net

  $ 355,729       $ 366,393       $ 482,606       $ 414,438       $ 410,139       $ 388,507    

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 11

 

Over half of the loan mix is 1-4 family residential. The remainder of the mix is diverse with the largest piece being home equity loans.

FIGURE 7 - LOAN MIX AT MARCH 31, 2006

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 12

 

INVESTMENTS

The investment portfolio decreased slightly between December 31, 2005 and March 31, 2006.

FIGURE 8 - SECURITIES CHART

LOGO

Note: Securities designated AFS were shown at market value and securities designated HTM were shown at amortized cost.

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 13

 

INVESTMENTS AND MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES

The following table provides the Bank’s investment portfolio.

FIGURE 9 - INVESTMENT MIX

 

     At March 31,    At December 31,
     2006    2005    2004    2003
     Amortized
Cost
  

Fair

Value

   Amortized
Cost
  

Fair

Value

   Amortized
Cost
  

Fair

Value

   Amortized
Cost
  

Fair

Value

     (In thousands)

Securities available-for-sale:

                       

Obligations of U.S. government agencies

   $ 101,305    $ 99,972    $ 99,602    $ 98,308    $ 90,318    $ 89,252    $ 84,989    $ 84,847

State and political subdivisions

     23,083      22,870      18,863      18,808      18,493      18,571      17,361      17,513

Mortgage-backed securities

     201,232      198,475      189,698      187,721      185,263      185,178      176,414      176,474

Corporate debt securities

     7,890      7,743      7,926      7,603      15,398      15,559      34,338      35,102

Mutual Funds

     —        —        17,064      17,064      21,879      21,639      21,366      21,277
                                                       

Total securities available-for-sale

   $ 333,510    $ 329,060    $ 333,153    $ 329,504    $ 331,351    $ 330,199    $ 334,468    $ 335,213
                                                       

Total securities

   $ 333,510    $ 329,060    $ 333,153    $ 329,504    $ 331,351    $ 330,199    $ 334,468    $ 335,213
                                                       

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 14

 

ASSET QUALITY

The Bank’s level of nonperforming assets decreased in 2006. At March 31, 2006, nonperforming assets were $4.5 million, or 0.59% of total assets.

FIGURE 10 - ASSET QUALITY CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 15

 

At March 31, 2006, the Bank’s nonperforming loans to total loan ratio was 1.26% and the nonperforming assets to total assets ratio was 0.59%.

FIGURE 11 - NONPERFORMING LOANS

 

    

At March 31,

2006

    At December 31,  
       2005     2004     2003     2002     2001  
           (Dollars in thousands)  

Non-accrual loans:

            

Residential real estate:

            

1-4 family

     548       548       1,442       1,324       1,314       494  

Multi-family and commercial real estate

     2,972       2,972       —         —         —         —    

Total non-accrual loans

     3,520       3,520       1,442       1,324       1,314       494  

Accruing loans which are contractually past due 90 days or more - multi-family and commercial real estate

     949       1,574       —         —         —         —    
                                                

Total

     949       1,574       —         —         —         —    
                                                

Total non-accrual and 90 days or more past due loans

     4,469       5,094       1,442       1,324       1,314       494  

Real estate owned

     —         107       —         —         —         102  
                                                

Total nonperforming assets

   $ 4,469     $ 5,201     $ 1,442     $ 1,324     $ 1,314     $ 596  
                                                

Non-accrual and 90 days or more past due loans as a percentage of total loans, net

     1.26 %     1.39 %     0.30 %     0.32 %     0.32 %     0.13 %
                                                

Non-accrual and 90 days or more past due loans as a percentage of total assets

     0.59 %     0.65 %     0.16 %     0.16 %     0.17 %     0.08 %
                                                

Non-performing assets as a percentage of total assets

     0.59 %     0.67 %     0.16 %     0.16 %     0.17 %     0.09 %
                                                

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 16

 

The ALLL decreased $6.0 million from December 31, 2005 to March 31, 2006. The Bank’s ALLL to loans ratio increased slightly from 2.22% at December 31, 2005 to 2.29% at March 31, 2006.

FIGURE 12 - ALLOWANCE FOR POSSIBLE LOAN AND LEASE LOSSES CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 17

 

FUNDING COMPOSITION

Deposits have decreased $26.4 million from December 31, 2005 to March 31, 2006. Borrowings have remained constant since December 31, 2001.

FIGURE 13 - DEPOSIT AND BORROWING TREND CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 18

 

The following chart illustrates the Bank’s deposit mix as of March 31, 2006. The largest portion of the deposit mix is certificates of deposit.

FIGURE 14 - DEPOSIT MIX

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 19

 

ASSET/LIABILITY MANAGEMENT

The following chart provides the net portfolio value sensitivity in various interest rate shock scenarios.

FIGURE 15 – INTEREST RATE RISK

 

                      Net Portfolio Value as % of  
     Estimated Net Portfolio Value     Present Value of Assets  

Change in Interest Rates

   $ Amount    $ Change     % Change     NPV Ratio     BP Change  
     (Dollars in thousands)              

(basis points)

           

+300bp

   52,483    (27,168 )   -34.00 %   7.03 %   (299 )

+200bp

   62,422    (17,229 )   -22.00 %   8.18 %   (184 )

+100bp

   71,849    (7,802 )   -10.00 %   9.22 %   (80 )

   0bp

   79,651    —       0.00 %   10.02 %   —    

-100bp

   81,956    2,305     3.00 %   10.17 %   15  

-200bp

   76,637    (3,014 )   -4.00 %   9.47 %   (55 )

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 20

 

NET WORTH AND CAPITAL

At March 31, 2006 the Bank had capital in excess of the minimum requirements for all capital ratios.

FIGURE 16 - CAPITAL ANALYSIS

 

Bank Level

Regulatory Capital Position

   At March 31, 2006  
   Amount
($000’s)
   Percentage of
Assets
 

GAAP Capital

   $ 63,271    8.39 %

Tier 1 (Core) Capital (to Average Assets)

     

Capital Level

   $ 66,180    8.72 %

Requirement

     11,384    1.50 %
             

Excess

   $ 54,796    7.22 %

Tier 1 (Core) Capital (to Risk-Weighted Assets)

     

Capital Level

   $ 66,180    8.72 %

Requirement

     30,358    4.00 %
             

Excess

   $ 35,822    4.72 %

Total Capital (to Risk-Weighted Assets)

     

Capital Level

   $ 70,631    9.31 %

Requirement

     60,716    8.00 %
             

Excess

   $ 9,915    1.31 %
             

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 21

 

PROFITABILITY TRENDS

The Bank’s annual net income increased between the twelve months ended December 31, 2001 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2003. The increase during this time period was primarily a function of rising net interest income and noninterest income. Noninterest expense and income tax expense also increased to a lesser extent.

The Bank posted a $1.9 million net loss during the twelve months ended December 31, 2004. The loss was primarily a function of a $12.3 million posting of provision expense. The Bank posted a $6.0 million profit for the twelve months ended December 31, 2005. During the twelve months ended December 31, 2005, the Bank recaptured $6.0 million in provision expense. The change in net income/(loss) between the 2004 and 2005 fiscal years was primarily attributable to the $18.3 million change in provision expense. Additionally, between the twelve months ended December 31, 2004 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2005, net interest income declined $969 thousand, noninterest income declined $1.0 million, noninterest expense rose $3.9 million and provision for income tax expense rose $4.6 million.

For the three months ended March 31, 2006 compared to three months ended March 31, 2005, net income declined $899 thousand or 77.04%. The decline was primarily attributable to a decline in net interest income of $989 thousand and an increase in noninterest expense of $398 thousand. These factors were partially offset by a $454 thousand decline in provision for income tax expense.

FIGURE 17 - NET INCOME CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 22

 

There are numerous factors impacting the Bank’s profitability over the past year. The following table provides FinPro’s calculation of the Bank’s core net income for the twelve months ended December 31, 2005 and for the three months and the twelve months ended March 31, 2006.

FIGURE 18 – CORE NET INCOME CALCULATION

 

Unaudited

   For the Twelve
Months Ended
December 31, 2005
    For the Three
Months Ended
March 31, 2006
    For the Twelve
Months Ended
March 31, 2006
 
     ($000’s)     ($000’s)  

Net Income as Reported

   $ 5,960     $ 268     $ 5,061  

Pre-Tax Adjustments:

      

Recapture of excess ALLL

     (6,025 )     —         (6,025 )

Gain on sale of foreclosed assets

     (6 )     (85 )     (85 )

Loss on sale of fixed assets

     161       —         161  

Gain on sale of MBS

     (108 )     —         (108 )

Loss/impairment on sale of fixed assets

     917       17       993  
                        

Total Adjustments

     (5,061 )     (68 )     (5,064 )

Tax Impact (34%)

     (1,721 )     (23 )     (1,722 )
                        

After-Tax Adjustments

     (3,340 )     (45 )     (3,342 )

Core Net Income

   $ 2,620     $ 223     $ 1,719  

Core ROAA

     0.31 %     0.12 %     0.21 %

Core ROAE

     4.18 %     0.47 %     2.66 %

Source: Offering Prospectus and discussions with Bank Management


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 23

 

The net interest spread and margin decreased between the three months ended March 31, 2006 and the three months ended March 31, 2005. The decrease is attributable to a higher cost of interest bearing liabilities, which was partially offset by a higher yield on earning assets.

FIGURE 19 - AVERAGE YIELDS AND COSTS

 

     Three Months Ended March 31,  
     2006     2005  
     Average
Balance
    Interest    Yield/
Cost
    Average
Balance
    Interest    Yield/
Cost
 

Interest-earning assets:

              

Interest-earning demand deposits

   $ 21,781     $ 263    4.83 %   $ 28,293     $ 182    2.51 %

Mortgage-backed securities

     193,958       1,886    3.89 %     183,011       1,434    3.13 %

Taxable securities

     124,472       1,103    3.54 %     130,357       1,056    3.24 %

Nontaxable securities

     21,346       206    3.86 %     18,493       189    4.09 %
                  

Loans

     369,771       5,424    5.87 %     495,208       7,326    5.92 %

Allowance for loan losses

     (8,349 )     —      —         (12,724 )     —      —    
                                  

Net loans

     361,422       —      5.87 %     482,484       —      5.89 %
                                  

Total interest-earning assets

   $ 722,979     $ 8,883    4.86 %   $ 842,638     $ 10,189    4.76 %

Noninterest-earning assets

     38,783            43,159       
                          

Total assets

   $ 761,762       8,883      $ 885,797       10,189   
                                  

Interest-bearing liabilities:

              

NOW and money market deposit accounts

   $ 108,924     $ 381    1.42 %   $ 167,884     $ 618    1.49 %

Savings accounts

     77,094       134    0.70 %     90,321       204    0.92 %

Certificates of deposit

     440,144       3,970    3.66 %     504,472       4,030    3.24 %
                                  

Total interest-bearing deposits

     626,162       4,485    2.90 %     762,677       4,852    2.58 %
                      

FHLB advances

     30,000       366    4.88 %     30,000       366    4.88 %
                                          

Total interest-bearing liabilities

     656,162       4,851    3.00 %     792,677       5,218    2.67 %
                            

Noninterest-bearing liabilities

     33,379        —         31,475       —     
                          

Other non-interest bearing liabilities

     8,329        —         5,270       
                          

Total liabilities

     697,870            829,422       5,218   

Retained earnings

     66,188            57,748       

Accumulated comprehensive income

     (2,296 )          (1,373 )     
                          

Total equity

     63,892            56,375       
                          

Total liabilities and equity

   $ 761,762          $ 885,797       
                          

Net interest income before provision for loan losses

     $ 4,032        $ 4,971   
                      

Interest rate spread

        1.86 %        2.09 %

Net interest margin

        2.21 %        2.32 %

Ratio of average interest-earning assets to average

              

Interest-bearing liabilities

        110.18 %        106.30 %

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 24

 

Net interest margin increased 15 basis points between the twelve month period ended December 31, 2001 and the twelve month period ended December 31, 2002, only to decrease 53 basis points for the twelve months ended December 31, 2003. Net margin increased 24 basis points between the twelve months ended December 31, 2003 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2004, but decreased 4 basis points between the twelve months ended December 31, 2004 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2005.

The net interest spread and margin both decreased between the three months ended March 31, 2005, and the three months ended March 31, 2006.

FIGURE 20 - SPREAD AND MARGIN CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 25

 

The Bank’s annual net income increased between the twelve months ended December 31, 2001 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2003. The increase during this time period was primarily a function of rising net interest income and noninterest income. Noninterest expense and income tax expense also increased to a lesser extent.

The Bank posted a $1.9 million net loss during the twelve months ended December 31, 2004. The loss was primarily a function of a $12.3 million posting of provision expense. The Bank posted a $6.0 million profit for the twelve months ended December 31, 2005. During the twelve months ended December 31, 2005, the Bank recaptured $6.0 million in provision expense. The change in net income/(loss) between the 2004 and 2005 fiscal years was primarily attributable to the $18.3 million change in provision expense. Additionally, between the twelve months ended December 31, 2004 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2005, net interest income declined $969 thousand, noninterest income declined $1.0 million, noninterest expense rose $3.9 million and provision for income tax expense rose $4.6 million.

For the three months ended March 31, 2006 compared to three months ended March 31, 2005, net income declined $899 thousand or 77.04%. The decline was primarily attributable to a decline in net interest income of $989 thousand and an increase in noninterest expense of $398 thousand. These factors were partially offset by a $454 thousand decline in provision for income tax expense.

FIGURE 21 - INCOME STATEMENT TRENDS

 

     For the Three Months Ended
March 31,
  

For the Years Ended

December 31,

 
     2006    2005    2005     2004     2003    2002    2001  
     $ in thousands  

Selected Operating Data:

                  

Interest income

   $ 8,883    $ 10,189    $ 37,601     $ 37,566     $ 35,533    $ 39,607    $ 39,014  

Interest expense

     4,851      5,218      20,697       19,693       20,662      23,031      25,905  
                                                    

Net interest income

     4,032      4,971      16,904       17,873       14,871      16,576      13,109  

Provision for loan losses

     —        —        (6,025 )     12,282       30      1,107      456  
                                                    

Net interest income after provision for loan losses

     4,032      4,971      22,929       5,591       14,841      15,469      12,653  

Other income

     428      444      1,214       2,279       3,405      1,149      (335 )

Other expense

     4,186      3,788      15,208       11,353       10,958      10,013      9,300  
                                                    

Income (loss) before income taxes

     274      1,627      8,935       (3,483 )     7,288      6,605      3,018  

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

     6      460      2,975       (1,595 )     2,497      2,405      1,043  
                                                    

Net earnings

   $ 268    $ 1,167    $ 5,960     $ (1,888 )   $ 4,791    $ 4,200    $ 1,975  
                                                    

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 26

 

Between the fiscal years ended 2001 through 2005 ROAA and ROAE fluctuated. The fiscal year ended December 31, 2004 was adversely affected by a $12.3 million posting of provision expense. The fiscal year ended December 31, 2005 was positively affected by a $6.0 million recovery of provision expense.

The Bank’s core ROAA and ROAE for the three month period ended March 31, 2006 were 0.12% and 0.47%, respectively. These core profitability ratios represent a decrease from the ROAA and ROAE for the three month period ended March 31, 2006.

FIGURE 22 - PROFITABILITY TREND CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 27

 

LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

On April 28, 2006, Gregory S. Cipa, the former President and Chief Executive Officer of Fox Chase Bank, filed a complaint against Fox Chase Bank in the Civil Division of the Court of Common Pleas of Bucks County, Pennsylvania. In the complaint, Mr. Cipa seeks payments of amounts he states he is owed under various compensation arrangements he claims were in place with Fox Chase Bank. Mr. Cipa seeks monetary damages the amount of which is unspecified but is stated to be in excess of $50,000 to be determined at trial and the payment of attorneys’ fees and litigation costs. Fox Chase Bank intends to vigorously defend this action.

SUBSIDIARIES

Fox Chase Bank’s only active subsidiary is Fox Chase Financial, Inc., which was formed in February 1999 to hold investment securities. As a Delaware-chartered corporation, the securities held by Fox Chase Financial are exempt from Pennsylvania income tax under current law. Income savings to Fox Chase Bank from the use of Fox Chase Financial was approximately $19,000 and $630,000 for the three months ended March 31, 2006 and the year ended December 31, 2005, respectively.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 28

 

ORDER TO CEASE AND DESIST

On June 6, 2005, the Bank consented to the issuance of an Order to Cease and Desist by the Office of Thrift Supervision. As part of this order, the Office of Thrift Supervision ordered the Bank to discontinue a number of practices, and specifically ordered the Bank to take certain actions. The Bank was ordered to discontinue making certain loans and to restrict the Bank’s asset growth. The mandated actions related generally to hiring a new chief executive officer, improving the board’s oversight over lending and risk exposure, developing a new business plan, improving loan underwriting and appraisal policies, loans-to-one borrower compliance and internal asset review procedures, enhancing credit administration, board management and governance and providing the Office of Thrift Supervision with quarterly progress reports. In addition, the Bank was required to review and analyze their loan portfolio and, as appropriate, review the allowance for loan losses.

Since the issuance of the Order to Cease and Desist, management believes that the Bank has complied with all directives contained in the Order, including (1) hiring new senior management; (2) appointing six new non-employee directors to the board; (3) adopting detailed and more stringent lending and interest rate risk policies, specifically with regard to policies and procedures for the determination of the allowance for loan losses; and (4) developing a new three year strategic plan, which requires the Bank to improve its capital position and earnings capability, which contemplates this mutual holding company reorganization and stock offering. The Bank still subject to the terms of the Order to Cease and Desist. However, on October 12, 2005, the restrictions on asset growth contained in the Order were lifted. On February 10, 2006, the Office of Thrift Supervision terminated the lending restrictions contained in the Order. On March 16, 2006, the restrictions on entering into third party contracts outside of the ordinary course of business without the prior written approval of the Office of Thrift Supervision was lifted. There can be no assurance as to when the Order to Cease and Desist will be terminated.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 29

 

The Order to Cease and Desist did not remove the Bank’s designation as a “troubled institution” as imposed by the Office of Thrift Supervision in January 2005. Such designation requires Fox Chase to pay increased assessment fees to the Office of Thrift Supervision and increases the deposit insurance premiums paid to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Further, such designation generally requires their regulators to undertake additional procedures when considering applications the Bank submits, such as for the establishment of new branches, for acquisitions or for certain dividend payments, which may result in a delay in the processing of the Bank’s applications. If the Bank fails to comply with the Order to Cease and Desist in a manner satisfactory to the Office of Thrift Supervision, it can take additional, and possibly more severe, enforcement action against management and the Board of Directors, including assessing civil monetary penalties and initiating injunctive actions. Moreover, they can impose restrictions on the Bank’s operations, which would negatively affect the Bank’s ability to implement its operating strategy and negatively affect its profitability.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 30

 

2. Market Area Analysis

The following tables provide deposit and demographic data for the Counties of Bucks, Montgomery, Philadelphia, Cape May and Atlantic.

FIGURE 23 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR BUCKS COUNTY

 

Market: Bucks, PA    Deposit Data as of 6/30/2005

Deposits Summary

(Deposit data in $000)

 

     6/2001    6/2002    6/2003    6/2004    6/2005    CAGR(%)

Bank Deposits

   5,700,874    6,359,368    7,410,394    8,041,391    8,573,364    10.74

Thrift Deposits

   1,484,807    1,636,240    1,836,495    1,660,732    1,838,161    5.48

Savings Bank Deposits

   581,172    632,184    686,760    751,197    695,344    4.59

Credit Union Deposits

   731,311    781,651    830,638    849,450    855,194    3.99

Total Deposits

   7,766,853    8,627,792    9,933,649    10,453,320    11,106,869    9.35

Weighted Deposits

   7,766,853    8,627,792    9,933,649    10,453,320    11,106,869    9.35

Weighted deposits are calculated based on the branch types selected in your filter and deposit weightings set under preferences.

Demographic Data

 

     Base
2000
   Current
2005
   Projected
2010
   % Change
2000-2005
   % Change
2005-2010

Total Population:

   597,635    622,564    646,658    4.17    3.87

0-14 Age Group (%):

   21    20    20    -0.03    -0.48

15-34 Age Group (%):

   24    23    23    -0.51    3.24

35-54 Age Group (%):

   33    33    32    2.90    1.32

55+ Age Group (%):

   22    24    26    15.45    11.66

Total Households:

   218,725    232,115    243,352    6.12    4.84

$0-24K Households (%):

   16    12    9    -22.34    -22.94

$25-50K Households (%):

   25    19    14    -16.65    -22.26

$50K+ Households (%):

   60    69    77    23.12    17.11

Average Household Income:

   73,983    92,990    117,909    25.69    26.80

Median Household Income:

   59,726    73,522    89,443    23.10    21.65

Per Capita Income:

   27,430    34,847    44,560    27.04    27.87

Source: ESRI

              

Source: SNL Securities


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 31

 

FIGURE 24 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR MONTGOMERY COUNTY

 

Market: Montgomery, PA    Deposit Data as of 6/30/2005

Deposits Summary

(Deposit data in $000)

 

     6/2001    6/2002    6/2003    6/2004    6/2005    CAGR(%)

Bank Deposits

   10,208,934    10,716,936    12,702,898    14,194,530    15,604,708    11.19

Thrift Deposits

   2,606,875    2,831,424    2,191,595    1,621,835    1,893,091    -7.69

Savings Bank Deposits

   503,544    549,603    807,135    939,719    327,149    -10.22

Credit Union Deposits

   579,158    656,651    752,187    774,042    806,172    8.62

Total Deposits

   13,319,353    14,097,963    15,701,628    16,756,084    17,824,948    7.56

Weighted Deposits

   13,319,353    14,097,963    15,701,628    16,756,084    17,824,948    7.56

Weighted deposits are calculated based on the branch types selected in your filter and deposit weightings set under preferences.

Demographic Data

 

     Base
2000
   Current
2005
   Projected
2010
   % Change
2000-2005
   % Change
2005-2010

Total Population:

   750,097    775,046    798,024    3.33    2.96

0-14 Age Group (%):

   20    20    19    0.59    -1.40

15-34 Age Group (%):

   24    23    23    -1.67    1.89

35-54 Age Group (%):

   31    31    31    2.90    1.83

55+ Age Group (%):

   24    26    27    11.27    8.62

Total Households:

   286,098    300,017    310,675    4.87    3.55

$0-24K Households (%):

   16    12    8    -23.96    -24.95

$25-50K Households (%):

   24    19    14    -17.22    -25.00

$50K+ Households (%):

   60    69    78    21.32    16.13

Average Household Income:

   79,813    101,694    131,989    27.42    29.79

Median Household Income:

   60,868    75,725    94,128    24.41    24.30

Per Capita Income:

   30,898    39,711    51,754    28.52    30.33

Source: ESRI

              

Source: SNL Securities

FIGURE 25 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR PHILADELPHIA COUNTY

 

Market: Philadelphia, PA    Deposit Data as of 6/30/2005

Deposits Summary

(Deposit data in $000)

 

     6/2001    6/2002    6/2003    6/2004    6/2005    CAGR(%)

Bank Deposits

   21,882,516    22,157,254    24,377,204    25,006,160    28,713,152    7.03

Thrift Deposits

   2,764,766    2,994,754    2,932,116    3,314,220    6,115,874    21.96

Savings Bank Deposits

   1,023,395    1,061,130    1,085,059    1,059,172    534,612    -14.98

Credit Union Deposits

   2,379,344    2,804,525    3,153,087    3,425,056    3,613,036    11.01

Total Deposits

   25,670,677    26,213,138    28,394,379    29,379,552    35,363,638    8.34

Weighted Deposits

   25,670,677    26,213,138    28,394,379    29,379,552    35,363,638    8.34

Weighted deposits are calculated based on the branch types selected in your filter and deposit weightings set under preferences.

Demographic Data

 

    

Base

2000

   Current
2005
   Projected
2010
   % Change
2000-2005
   % Change
2005-2010

Total Population:

   1,517,550    1,484,645    1,461,195    -2.17    -1.58

0-14 Age Group (%):

   21    20    19    -6.07    -7.64

15-34 Age Group (%):

   30    30    30    -2.71    -2.02

35-54 Age Group (%):

   27    27    27    0.02    -3.35

55+ Age Group (%):

   22    23    25    -0.32    6.55

Total Households:

   590,071    584,809    579,302    -0.89    -0.94

$0-24K Households (%):

   42    35    31    -16.13    -14.55

$25-50K Households (%):

   29    28    24    -5.40    -13.32

$50K+ Households (%):

   29    37    45    25.42    21.47

Average Household Income:

   41,525    50,876    63,333    22.52    24.49

Median Household Income:

   30,781    36,853    44,292    19.73    20.19

Per Capita Income:

   16,509    20,499    25,623    24.17    25.00

Source: ESRI

              

Source: SNL Securities


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 32

 

FIGURE 26 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR CAPE MAY COUNTY

 

Market: Cape May, NJ    Deposit Data as of 6/30/2005

Deposits Summary

(Deposit data in $000)

 

     6/2001    6/2002    6/2003    6/2004    6/2005    CAGR(%)

Bank Deposits

   940,511    915,628    928,792    994,708    1,053,717    2.88

Thrift Deposits

   443,231    552,289    667,483    703,756    743,771    13.82

Savings Bank Deposits

   506,498    568,658    612,841    648,706    688,286    7.97

Credit Union Deposits

   621    661    0    0    0    -100.00

Total Deposits

   1,890,240    2,036,575    2,209,116    2,347,170    2,485,774    7.09

Weighted Deposits

   1,890,240    2,036,575    2,209,116    2,347,170    2,485,774    7.09

Weighted deposits are calculated based on the branch types selected in your filter and deposit weightings set under preferences.

Demographic Data

 

     Base
2000
   Current
2005
   Projected
2010
   % Change
2000-2005
   % Change
2005-2010

Total Population:

   102,326    112,796    126,200    10.23    11.88

0-14 Age Group (%):

   18    17    15    -1.13    3.10

15-34 Age Group (%):

   21    21    22    13.04    14.92

35-54 Age Group (%):

   29    28    27    6.54    6.09

55+ Age Group (%):

   32    34    36    18.43    19.08

Total Households:

   42,148    47,109    53,165    11.77    12.86

$0-24K Households (%):

   29    25    22    -2.35    -1.58

$25-50K Households (%):

   30    28    25    4.02    2.99

$50K+ Households (%):

   41    47    53    27.25    26.40

Average Household Income:

   57,755    67,949    80,698    17.65    18.76

Median Household Income:

   41,660    46,862    52,822    12.49    12.72

Per Capita Income:

   24,172    28,750    34,362    18.94    19.52

Source: ESRI

              

Source: SNL Securities

FIGURE 27 – DEPOSIT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR ATLANTIC COUNTY

 

Market: Atlantic, NJ    Deposit Data as of 6/30/2005

Deposits Summary

(Deposit data in $000)

     6/2001    6/2002    6/2003    6/2004    6/2005    CAGR(%)

Bank Deposits

   2,338,281    2,760,609    2,978,706    3,205,546    4,100,508    15.08

Thrift Deposits

   147,672    206,779    271,872    357,678    375,969    26.32

Savings Bank Deposits

   289,470    109,585    121,204    123,573    128,009    -18.45

Credit Union Deposits

   100,600    120,245    133,116    137,860    135,717    7.77

Total Deposits

   2,775,423    3,076,973    3,371,782    3,686,797    4,604,486    13.49

Weighted Deposits

   2,775,423    3,076,973    3,371,782    3,686,797    4,604,486    13.49

Weighted deposits are calculated based on the branch types selected in your filter and deposit weightings set under preferences.

Demographic Data

 

     Base
2000
   Current
2005
   Projected
2010
   % Change
2000-2005
   % Change
2005-2010

Total Population:

   252,552    270,524    290,677    7.12    7.45

0-14 Age Group (%):

   21    20    19    2.20    0.10

15-34 Age Group (%):

   25    25    26    5.72    11.55

35-54 Age Group (%):

   31    30    29    6.12    3.14

55+ Age Group (%):

   23    24    26    14.67    14.82

Total Households:

   95,024    102,009    109,710    7.35    7.55

$0-24K Households (%):

   26    23    21    -5.41    -5.04

$25-50K Households (%):

   30    28    26    -1.29    -0.16

$50K+ Households (%):

   44    49    54    21.05    17.85

Average Household Income:

   54,678    63,129    72,323    15.46    14.56

Median Household Income:

   43,991    49,020    53,594    11.43    9.33

Per Capita Income:

   21,034    24,188    27,691    14.99    14.48

Source: ESRI

              

Source: SNL Securities


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 33

 

3. Comparisons with Publicly Traded Thrifts

INTRODUCTION

This section presents an analysis of the Bank’s operations against a selected group (“Comparable Group”) of publicly traded Mutual Holding Companies (“MHCs”). The Comparable Group was selected based upon similarity of characteristics to the Bank. The Comparable Group multiples provide the basis for the valuation of the Bank.

Factors that influence the Bank’s value such as balance sheet structure and size, profitability, income and expense trends, capital levels, credit risk, and recent operating results can be measured against the Comparable Group. The Comparable Group’s current market pricing, coupled with the appropriate aggregate adjustment for differences between the Bank and the Comparable Group, will then be utilized as the basis for the pro forma valuation of the Bank’s to-be-issued common stock.

SELECTION CRITERIA

The goal of the selection criteria process is to find those institutions with characteristics that most closely match those of the Bank. In an ideal world, all of the Comparable Group would contain the exact characteristics of the Bank. However, none of the Comparables selected will be exact clones of the Bank.

Based upon our experience, FinPro has determined that MHCs trade at materially different levels relative to fully converted thrifts due to the unique ownership structure. The primary differences between MHCs and fully converted institutions are that MHCs contain a minority interest and have the potential for a second step. In addition, MHCs have the potential for a remutualization transaction. Due to these differences, MHC trading multiples are substantially different from fully converted trading multiples. FinPro concluded that the appropriate Comparable Group should be comprised of liquidly traded MHCs.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 34

 

As of the date of this appraisal, there are a total of 66 MHCs nationally. There are 37 traded on the NYSE, NASDAQ or AMEX. FinPro limited the Comparable Group to institutions whose common stock is listed on a major exchange, since these companies tend to trade regularly. FinPro believes that thrifts that trade over-the-counter or as pink sheets are inappropriate for the Comparable Group, due to irregular trading activity and wide bid/ask spreads, which may skew the trading value and make trading multiples less reliable as an indicator of value.

To begin the screening process, FinPro eliminated the 12 MHCs located outside of the Northeast Region.

FinPro excluded institutions that have recently converted, as the earnings of newly converted institutions do not reflect a full year’s benefit from the reinvestment of proceeds, and thus the price/earnings multiples and return on equity measures for these institutions tend to be skewed upward and downward, respectively. As such, the 8 institutions that converted after March 31, 2005 were eliminated.

Of the remaining 17, FinPro then eliminated 3 of the institutions with assets in excess of $2.0 billion as these entities have greater financial and managerial resources and a broader branch network and 3 of the institutions with assets less than $350 million as they have less financial and managerial resources and a smaller branch network.

This results in a total of 11 Comparables. FinPro review the recent performance and news releases of these 11 companies and determined that all 11 were acceptable Comparables.

FIGURE 28 - COMPARABLE GROUP

 

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Exchange    City    State    Number
of
Offices
  

IPO

Date

     Comparable Thrift Data                         
ABBC    Abington Community Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    NASDAQ    Jenkintown    PA    13    12/17/2004
BCSB    BCSB Bankcorp, Inc. (MHC)    NASDAQ    Baltimore    MD    18    07/08/1998
CSBK    Clifton Savings Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    NASDAQ    Clifton    NJ    10    03/04/2004
ALLB    Greater Delaware Valley Savings Bank (MHC)    NASDAQ    Broomall    PA    9    03/03/1995
NVSL    Naugatuck Valley Financial Corp. (MHC)    NASDAQ    Naugatuck    CT    6    10/01/2004
OSHC    Ocean Shore Holding Company (MHC)    NASDAQ    Ocean City    NJ    7    12/22/2004
ONFC    Oneida Financial Corp. (MHC)    NASDAQ    Oneida    NY    10    12/30/1998
PBIP    Prudential Bancorp, Inc. of Pennsylvania (MHC)    NASDAQ    Philadelphia    PA    6    03/30/2005
PSBH    PSB Holdings, Inc. (MHC)    NASDAQ    Putnam    CT    6    10/05/2004
SIFI    SI Financial Group Inc. (MHC)    NASDAQ    Willimantic    CT    17    10/01/2004
WFD    Westfield Financial Inc. (MHC)    AMEX    Westfield    MA    10    12/28/2001
   Fox Chase Bank       Hatboro    PA    9   


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 35

 

BASIS FOR COMPARISON

MHCs have different percentages of minority ownership. In order to adjust for this factor, all of the Comparables’ pricing multiples are represented as if the MHC undertook a second step, based upon standardized assumptions. These multiples will be referred to as “fully converted” pricing multiples.

OVERVIEW OF THE COMPARABLES

The members of the Comparable Group were reviewed against the Bank to ensure comparability based upon the following criteria:

 

  1. Asset size

 

  2. Profitability

 

  3. Capital Level

 

  4. Balance Sheet Mix

 

  5. Operating Strategy

 

  6. Date of conversion

1. Asset Size    The Comparable Group should have a similar asset size to the Bank. The Comparable Group ranged in size from $366.2 million to $855.4 million in total assets with a median of $556.8 million. The Bank’s asset size was $754.1 million as of March 31, 2006. On a pro forma basis, the Bank’s assets are projected to be $794.3 million at the midpoint of the estimated value range.

2. Profitability    The Comparable Group had a median ROAA of 0.60% and a median ROAE of 4.31% for the last twelve months. The Comparable Group profitability measures had a dispersion about the mean for the ROAA measure ranging from a low of 0.05% to a high of 0.88%, while the ROAE measure ranged from a low of 0.93% to a high of 7.18%. The Bank had a core ROAA of 0.21% and a core ROAE of 2.66% for the twelve months ended March 31, 2006. On a pro forma basis, the Bank’s core ROAA and core ROAE are 0.25% and 1.84%, respectively.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 36

 

3. Capital Level    The Comparable Group had a median equity to assets ratio of 12.76% with a high of 23.75% and a low of 5.01%. At March 31, 2006, the Bank had an equity to assets ratio of 8.39%. On a pro forma basis, at the midpoint, the Bank would have an equity to assets ratio of 13.03%.

4. Balance Sheet Mix    At March 31, 2006, the Bank had a net loan to asset ratio of 47.18%. The median loan to asset ratio for the Comparables was 56.51%, ranging from a low of 41.76% to a high of 75.09%. On the liability side, the Bank’s deposit to asset ratio was 86.98% at March 31, 2006 while the Comparable median was 73.61%, ranging from 59.97% to 77.69%. The Bank’s borrowing to asset ratio of 3.98% is below the Comparable median of 13.75%.

5. Operating Strategy    An institution’s operating characteristics are important because they determine future performance. Operational strategy also affects expected rates of return and investor’s general perception of the quality, risk and attractiveness of a given company. Specific operating characteristics include profitability, balance sheet growth, asset quality, capitalization and non-financial factors such as management strategies and lines of business.

6. Date of Conversion    Recent conversions, those completed on or after March 31, 2005, were excluded since the earnings of a newly converted institution do not reflect the reinvestment of conversion proceeds. Additionally, new issues tend to trade at a discount to the market averages.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 37

 

The following table represents key financial indicators for the Bank and the Comparable Group.

FIGURE 29 - KEY FINANCIAL INDICATORS

 

    

The Bank at or

for the Twelve

Months Ended

3/31/06

   

Comparable Group

Median Last

Twelve Months

Balance Sheet Data

    

Gross Loans to Deposits

   55.51     76.24

Total Net Loans to Assets

   47.18     56.51

Securities to Assets

   43.64     39.81

Deposits to Assets

   86.98     73.61

Borrowed Funds to Assets

   3.98     13.75

Balance Sheet Growth

    

Asset Growth Rate

   (14.30 )   4.77

Loan Growth Rate

   (26.30 )   16.10

Deposit Growth Rate

   (17.10 )   3.77

Capital

    

Equity to Assets

   8.39     12.76

Tangible Equity to Tangible Assets

   8.39     11.46

Intangible Assets to Equity

   —       —  

Regulatory Core Capital to Assets

   8.72     9.93

Equity + Reserves to Assets

   9.50     13.24

Asset Quality

    

Non-Performing Loans to Loans

   1.26     0.06

Reserves to Non-Performing Loans

   186.22     409.84

Non-Performing Assets to Assets

   0.59     0.09

Non-Performing Assets to Equity

   7.06     0.64

Reserves to Loans

   2.27     0.71

Reserves to Non-Performing Assets + 90 Days Del.

   186.82     360.34

Profitability

    

Return on Average Assets

   0.61     0.60

Return on Average Equity

   6.91     4.31

Income Statement

    

Yield on Average Earning Assets

   4.59     5.43

Cost of Average Interest Bearing Liabilities

   2.86     2.69

Net Interest Spread

   1.72     2.74

Net Interest Margin

   2.02     3.00

Noninterest Income to Average Assets

   0.15     0.42

Noninterest Expense to Average Assets

   1.93     2.31

Efficiency Ratio

   95.14     75.50

Overhead Ratio

   94.76     65.57

Source: The Bank’s Offering Circular, FinPro calculations and SNL Securities


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 38

 

4. Market Value Determination

MARKET VALUE ADJUSTMENTS

The estimated pro forma market value of the Bank, along with certain adjustments to its value relative to market values for the Comparable Group are delineated in this section. The adjustments are made from potential investors’ viewpoint and are adjustments necessary when comparing the Bank to the Comparable Group. The adjustment factors are subjectively assessed using the appraiser’s knowledge and expertise and an aggregate adjustment is determined. Potential investors include depositors holding subscription rights and unrelated parties who may purchase stock in the community offering and who are assumed to be aware of all relevant and necessary facts as they pertain to the value of the Bank relative to other publicly traded thrift institutions and relative to alternative investment opportunities.

There are numerous criteria on which the market value adjustments are based. The major criteria utilized for purposes of this report include:

Adjustments Relative to the Comparable Group:

 

    Financial Condition

 

    Balance Sheet Growth

 

    Earnings Quality, Predictability and Growth

 

    Market Area

 

    Cash Dividends

 

    Liquidity of the Issue

 

    Recent Regulatory Matters

Adjustments for Other Factors:

 

    Management

 

    Subscription Interest

To ascertain the market value of the Bank, the median trading multiple values for the Comparable Group are utilized as the starting point. The adjustment, up or down, to the Comparable Group median multiple values is made based on the comparison of the Bank to the Comparable Group.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 39

 

FINANCIAL CONDITION

The balance sheet strength of an institution is an important market value determinant, as the investment community considers such factors as cash liquidity, capitalization, asset composition, funding mix, intangible levels and interest rate risk in assessing the attractiveness of investing in the common stock of a thrift. The following figures summarize the key financial elements of the Bank measured against the Comparable Group.

FIGURE 30 - KEY BALANCE SHEET DATA

 

          Key Financial Data for the Most Recent Period End  

Ticker

  

Short Name

  

Total

Assets

($ 000)

  

Loans/

Deposits

(%)

   

Loans/

Assets

(%)

   

Securities/

Assets

(%)

  

Deposits/

Assets

(%)

  

Borrowings/

Assets

(%)

 
   Comparable Thrift Data                

ABBC

   Abington Community Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    855,442    103.60     62.13     29.68    59.97    25.34  

BCSB

   BCSB Bankcorp, Inc. (MHC)    812,622    75.68     56.51     35.50    74.67    19.52  

CSBK

   Clifton Savings Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    837,427    69.89     47.88     48.18    68.50    7.01  

ALLB

   Greater Delaware Valley Savings Bank (MHC)    389,035    76.24     58.34     31.66    76.53    13.50  

NVSL

   Naugatuck Valley Financial Corp. (MHC)    366,153    103.93     72.42     NA    69.69    15.43  

OSHC

   Ocean Shore Holding Company (MHC)    556,813    98.92     75.09     NA    75.91    12.12  

ONFC

   Oneida Financial Corp. (MHC)    425,893    77.78     55.66     NA    71.57    14.89  

PBIP

   Prudential Bancorp, Inc. of Pennsylvania (MHC)    447,283    55.22     41.76     52.85    75.64    3.09  

PSBH

   PSB Holdings, Inc. (MHC)    429,749    63.84     43.06     49.84    67.44    20.24  

SIFI

   SI Financial Group Inc. (MHC)    691,868    101.60     74.79     18.16    73.61    13.75  

WFD

   Westfield Financial Inc. (MHC)    822,571    60.42     46.94     44.12    77.69    7.41  
                                    
   Average    603,169    80.65     57.69     38.75    71.93    13.85  
   Median    556,813    76.24     56.51     39.81    73.61    13.75  
   Maximum    855,442    103.93     75.09     52.85    77.69    25.34  
   Minimum    366,153    55.22     41.76     18.16    59.97    3.09  
   Fox Chase Bank    754,050    55.51     47.18     43.64    86.98    3.98  
   Variance to the Comparable Median    197,237    (20.73 )   (9.33 )   3.83    13.37    (9.77 )

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

Asset Size – The Bank, at $754.1 million, is larger than the Comparable Group median of $556.8 million. At the pro forma midpoint of the offering range, the Bank is expected to have assets of $794.3 million.

Asset Composition - The Bank’s net loans to assets ratio of 47.18% is below the Comparable Group median of 56.51%. The Bank has a higher level of securities as a percentage of assets.

Funding Mix – The Bank funds itself through deposits, 86.98% of assets and borrowings, 3.98% of assets. The Comparable Group has a deposits to assets ratio of 73.61% and a borrowing to asset ratio of 13.75%.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 40

 

Cash Liquidity - The cash liquidity of the Bank and the Comparable Group appear to be sufficient to meet funding requirements and regulatory guidelines.

Interest Rate Risk - The Bank’s interest rate risk position is illustrated on page 19. The Bank’s profile appears to be within acceptable regulatory parameters. No similar data is available for the Comparable Group.

FIGURE 31 - CAPITAL DATA

 

          Capital for the Most Recent Period End  

Ticker

  

Short Name

  

Equity/

Assets

(%)

   

Tangible

Equity/

Tang Assets

(%)

   

Intangible

Assets/

Equity

(%)

  

Core Capital/

Tangible

Assets

(%)

   

Equity +

Reserves/

Assets

(%)

 
   Comparable Thrift Data            
ABBC    Abington Community Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    13.49     13.49     —      10.55     13.66  
BCSB    BCSB Bankcorp, Inc. (MHC)    5.01     4.71     6.34    6.88     5.33  
CSBK    Clifton Savings Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    23.75     23.75     —      17.21     23.90  
ALLB    Greater Delaware Valley Savings Bank (MHC)    8.77     8.77     —      9.02     9.46  
NVSL    Naugatuck Valley Financial Corp. (MHC)    13.97     13.92     0.42    NA     14.50  
OSHC    Ocean Shore Holding Company (MHC)    11.01     11.01     —      NA     11.34  
ONFC    Oneida Financial Corp. (MHC)    12.76     9.58     27.57    NA     13.24  
PBIP    Prudential Bancorp, Inc. of Pennsylvania (MHC)    20.48     20.48     —      20.44     20.60  
PSBH    PSB Holdings, Inc. (MHC)    11.62     9.87     16.69    NA     11.96  
SIFI    SI Financial Group Inc. (MHC)    11.57     11.46     1.02    9.31     12.10  
WFD    Westfield Financial Inc. (MHC)    13.98     13.98     —      NA     14.65  
                                
   Average    13.31     12.82     4.73    12.24     13.70  
   Median    12.76     11.46     —      9.93     13.24  
   Maximum    23.75     23.75     27.57    20.44     23.90  
   Minimum    5.01     4.71     —      6.88     5.33  
   Fox Chase Bank    8.39     8.39     —      8.72     9.50  
   Variance to the Comparable Median    (4.37 )   (3.07 )   —      (1.21 )   (3.74 )

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

Capitalization - The Comparable Group’s median equity to assets ratio of 12.76% is above the Bank’s ratio of 8.39%. The Bank’s pro forma equity to assets ratio is projected to be 13.03% at the midpoint of the valuation range.

Intangible Levels - An important factor influencing market values is the level of intangibles that an institution carries on its books. Three of the Comparables have intangible assets. The Bank does not have any intangible assets.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 41

 

The asset quality of an institution is an important determinant of market value. The investment community considers levels of nonperforming loans, Real Estate Owned (“REO”) and levels of Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses (“ALLL”) in assessing the attractiveness of investing in the common stock of an institution.

FIGURE 32 - ASSET QUALITY TABLE

 

          Asset Quality for the Most Recent Period End  

Ticker

  

Short Name

  

NPLs/

Loans

(%)

  

Reserves/

NPLs

(%)

   

NPAs/

Assets

(%)

  

NPAs/

Equity

(%)

  

Reserves/

Loans

(%)

  

Reserves/

NPAs + 90

(%)

 
   Comparable Thrift Data                 
ABBC    Abington Community Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    0.04    721.50     0.02    0.17    0.27    370.00  
BCSB    BCSB Bankcorp, Inc. (MHC)    0.14    409.84     0.09    1.84    0.57    350.67  
CSBK    Clifton Savings Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    0.01    NM     —      0.02    0.31    NM  
ALLB    Greater Delaware Valley Savings Bank (MHC)    0.43    271.34     0.71    8.14    1.18    71.49  
NVSL    Naugatuck Valley Financial Corp. (MHC)    NA    NA     0.11    0.79    0.73    482.59  
OSHC    Ocean Shore Holding Company (MHC)    0.07    609.03     0.05    0.49    0.44    609.03  
ONFC    Oneida Financial Corp. (MHC)    NA    NA     NA    NA    0.87    NA  
PBIP    Prudential Bancorp, Inc. of Pennsylvania (MHC)    —      NM     0.08    0.39    0.30    79.71  
PSBH    PSB Holdings, Inc. (MHC)    0.04    NM     0.02    0.14    0.80    NM  
SIFI    SI Financial Group Inc. (MHC)    0.06    NM     0.09    0.80    0.71    574.49  
WFD    Westfield Financial Inc. (MHC)    0.54    266.59     0.25    1.80    1.43    266.59  
                                   
   Average    0.15    455.66     0.14    1.46    0.69    350.57  
   Median    0.06    409.84     0.09    0.64    0.71    360.34  
   Maximum    0.54    721.50     0.71    8.14    1.43    609.03  
   Minimum    —      266.59     —      0.02    0.27    71.49  
   Fox Chase Bank    1.26    186.82     0.59    7.06    2.27    186.82  
   Variance to the Comparable Median    1.20    (172.65 )   0.51    6.42    1.56    (173.51 )

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

The Bank’s level of nonperforming loans (“NPL”) to total loans, at 1.26%, is above the Comparable Group median at 0.06%. The Bank had a nonperforming assets to assets ratio of 0.59%, which is above the Comparable median of 0.09%. The Bank’s reserve level, 2.27% is total loans, is above the Comparable median of 0.71% of loans. The Bank’s level of reserves to NPLs is below that of the Comparable Group, due to the Bank’s higher level of NPLs.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 42

 

Positive

 

Neutral

 

Negative

Lower Borrowings to Assets     Lower Loans to Assets
Higher Deposits to Assets     Lower Capital
Higher ALLL to Loans     Higher NPLs
Higher Pro forma Tangible Capital     Higher NPAs
    Lower ALLL to NPLs

The Bank’s asset mix is not as strong as the Comparable Group’s mix. The Bank has a higher level of deposits and lower level of borrowings as a percentage of assets relative to the Comparable Group. The Bank has lower capital levels, but at the midpoint of the range will have higher tangible capital levels after the reorganization. The Bank has a higher level of NPLs and NPAs, but also has a higher level of reserves as a percentage of loans relative to the Comparable levels. The Bank’s ALLL to NPLs ratio is below the Comparable Group median. Taken collectively, moderate downward adjustment is warranted for financial condition.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 43

 

BALANCE SHEET GROWTH

The Bank’s assets, loans and deposits have decreased, while the Comparable Group experienced growth. A portion of the decline in balance sheet size is attributable to the restrictions of the Order to Cease and Desist.

FIGURE 33 - BALANCE SHEET GROWTH DATA

 

          Growth  

Ticker

  

Short Name

  

Asset Growth

LTM

(%)

   

Loan Growth

LTM

(%)

   

Deposit Growth

LTM

(%)

 
   Comparable Thrift Data       
ABBC    Abington Community Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    14.34     27.54     21.57  
BCSB    BCSB Bankcorp, Inc. (MHC)    4.77     16.10     3.58  
CSBK    Clifton Savings Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    0.68     19.37     3.95  
ALLB    Greater Delaware Valley Savings Bank (MHC)    1.81     6.90     3.77  
NVSL    Naugatuck Valley Financial Corp. (MHC)    29.32     24.81     31.18  
OSHC    Ocean Shore Holding Company (MHC)    4.66     19.94     1.54  
ONFC    Oneida Financial Corp. (MHC)    0.82     9.99     0.42  
PBIP    Prudential Bancorp, Inc. of Pennsylvania (MHC)    10.44     20.70     (2.79 )
PSBH    PSB Holdings, Inc. (MHC)    29.56     15.83     27.28  
SIFI    SI Financial Group Inc. (MHC)    10.76     14.69     11.26  
WFD    Westfield Financial Inc. (MHC)    2.86     2.31     3.76  
                     
   Average    10.00     16.20     9.59  
   Median    4.77     16.10     3.77  
   Maximum    29.56     27.54     31.18  
   Minimum    0.68     2.31     (2.79 )
   Fox Chase Bank    (14.30 )   (26.30 )   (17.10 )
   Variance to the Comparable Median    (19.07 )   (42.40 )   (20.87 )

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

 

Positive

 

Neutral

 

Negative

    Lower Asset Growth
    Lower Loan Growth
    Lower Deposit Growth

A strong downward adjustment is warranted.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 44

 

EARNINGS QUALITY, PREDICTABILITY AND GROWTH

The earnings quality, predictability and growth are critical components in the establishment of market values for thrifts. Thrift earnings are primarily a function of:

 

    net interest income

 

    loan loss provision

 

    non-interest income

 

    non-interest expense

The quality and predictability of earnings is dependent on both internal and external factors. Some internal factors include the mix of the balance sheet, the interest rate sensitivity of the balance sheet, the asset quality, and the infrastructure in place to deliver the assets and liabilities to the public. External factors include the competitive market for both assets and liabilities, the global interest rate scenario, local economic factors and regulatory issues.

Investors are focusing on earnings sustainability as interest rate volatility has caused a wide variation in income levels. With the intense competition for both assets and deposits, banks cannot easily replace lost spread and margin with balance sheet growth.

Each of these factors can influence the earnings of an institution, and each of these factors is volatile. Investors prefer stability and consistency. As such, solid, consistent earnings are preferred to high but risky earnings. Investors also prefer earnings to be diversified and not entirely dependent on interest income.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 45

 

The Bank’s annual net income increased between the twelve months ended December 31, 2001 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2003. The increase during this time period was primarily a function of rising net interest income and noninterest income. Noninterest expense and income tax expense also increased to a lesser extent.

The Bank posted a $1.9 million net loss during the twelve months ended December 31, 2004. The loss was primarily a function of a $12.3 million posting of provision expense. The Bank posted a $6.0 million profit for the twelve months ended December 31, 2005. During the twelve months ended December 31, 2005, the Bank recaptured $6.0 million in provision expense. The change in net income/(loss) between the 2004 and 2005 fiscal years was primarily attributable to the $18.3 million change in provision expense. Additionally, between the twelve months ended December 31, 2004 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2005, net interest income declined $969 thousand, noninterest income declined $1.0 million, noninterest expense rose $3.9 million and provision for income tax expense rose $4.6 million.

For the three months ended March 31, 2006 compared to three months ended March 31, 2005, net income declined $899 thousand or 77.04%. The decline was primarily attributable to a decline in net interest income of $989 thousand and an increase in noninterest expense of $398 thousand. These factors were partially offset by a $454 thousand decline in provision for income tax expense.

FIGURE 34 - NET INCOME CHART

LOGO

Source: Offering Prospectus


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 46

 

The Bank’s ROAA is at the Comparable Group median, and ROAE is above the Comparable Group median. However, the Bank’s core ROAA and ROAE of 0.21% and 2.66%, respectively, are below the Comparable levels. The Bank’s higher capitalization following the offering is expected to reduce return on equity for the near term. On a pro forma basis, the Bank’s core ROAA and core ROAE are 0.25% and 1.84%, respectively.

FIGURE 35 - PROFITABILITY DATA

 

          LTM Profitability

Ticker

  

Short Name

  

Return on

Avg Assets

(%)

  

Return on

Avg Equity

(%)

   Comparable Thrift Data      
ABBC    Abington Community Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    0.80    5.61
BCSB    BCSB Bankcorp, Inc. (MHC)    0.05    0.93
CSBK    Clifton Savings Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    0.51    2.14
ALLB    Greater Delaware Valley Savings Bank (MHC)    0.30    3.39
NVSL    Naugatuck Valley Financial Corp. (MHC)    0.60    3.80
OSHC    Ocean Shore Holding Company (MHC)    0.55    4.98
ONFC    Oneida Financial Corp. (MHC)    0.88    7.18
PBIP    Prudential Bancorp, Inc. of Pennsylvania (MHC)    0.86    4.78
PSBH    PSB Holdings, Inc. (MHC)    0.61    4.31
SIFI    SI Financial Group Inc. (MHC)    0.52    4.19
WFD    Westfield Financial Inc. (MHC)    0.74    5.14
            
   Average    0.58    4.22
   Median    0.60    4.31
   Maximum    0.88    7.18
   Minimum    0.05    0.93
   Fox Chase Bank    0.61    7.91
   Variance to the Comparable Median    0.00    2.64

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 47

 

FIGURE 36 - INCOME STATEMENT DATA

 

          LTM Income Statement

Ticker

  

Short Name

  

Yield on

Ave Earn

Assets

(%)

   

Cost of

Funds

(%)

  

Net

Interest

Spread

(%)

   

Net

Interest

Margin

(%)

   

Noninterest

Income/

Avg Assets

(%)

   

Noninterest

Expense/

Avg Assets

(%)

   

Efficiency

Ratio

(%)

  

Overhead

Ratio

(%)

   Comparable Thrift Data                   
ABBC    Abington Community Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    5.43     NA    NA     2.77     0.36     1.85     62.15    56.92
BCSB    BCSB Bankcorp, Inc. (MHC)    NA     NA    NA     2.08     0.19     2.17     98.93    98.83
CSBK    Clifton Savings Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    4.24     NA    NA     2.25     0.03     1.37     61.96    61.40
ALLB    Greater Delaware Valley Savings Bank (MHC)    5.43     2.69    2.74     3.00     0.34     2.83     88.23    86.82
NVSL    Naugatuck Valley Financial Corp. (MHC)    NA     NA    NA     3.70     0.48     3.14     80.71    77.97
OSHC    Ocean Shore Holding Company (MHC)    5.42     2.69    2.73     3.06     0.42     2.26     70.04    65.57
ONFC    Oneida Financial Corp. (MHC)    5.58     NA    NA     3.46     2.78     4.61     78.84    59.46
PBIP    Prudential Bancorp, Inc. of Pennsylvania (MHC)    5.10     NA    NA     2.84     0.13     1.59     54.83    52.71
PSBH    PSB Holdings, Inc. (MHC)    NA     NA    NA     2.94     0.50     2.49     75.50    71.12
SIFI    SI Financial Group Inc. (MHC)    5.54     2.35    3.19     3.56     0.95     3.47     80.15    74.52
WFD    Westfield Financial Inc. (MHC)    5.05     NA    NA     3.10     0.43     2.31     69.09    64.56
                                               
   Average    5.22     2.58    2.89     2.98     0.60     2.55     74.58    69.99
   Median    5.43     2.69    2.74     3.00     0.42     2.31     75.50    65.57
   Maximum    5.58     2.69    3.19     3.70     2.78     4.61     98.93    98.83
   Minimum    4.24     2.35    2.73     2.08     0.03     1.37     54.83    52.71
   Fox Chase Bank    4.59     2.86    1.72     2.02     0.15     1.93     95.14    94.76
   Variance to the Comparable Median    (0.60 )   0.17    (0.78 )   (0.95 )   (0.27 )   (0.41 )   19.64    29.19

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

Note: The data for cost of funds and spread are not meaningful due to the lack of Comparable Data.

The Bank has a 98 basis point disadvantage in net margin. Additionally, the Bank has a 27 basis point disadvantage in noninterest income. These differences are partially offset by a 39 basis point advantage in noninterest expense.

The Bank’s efficiency ratio of 95.14% is above the Comparable median of 75.50%.

On a forward looking basis, after the conversion the Bank’s operating expenses are expected to rise as a result of the stock benefit plans and additional costs of being a public company. At the same time, the Bank will have additional capital to deploy and leverage.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 48

 

Positive

 

Neutral

 

Negative

Lower Noninterest Expense

    Lower core ROAA
    Lower core ROAE
    Lower Pro Forma ROAE
    Lower Net Margin
    Lower Noninterest Income

The Bank is less profitable than the Comparables on a core ROAA and core ROAE basis. The Bank’s earnings composition is weaker than the Comparable Group as the Bank has a lower net margin and lower noninterest income. However, the Bank has a lower noninterest expense. The Bank’s historical earnings have been inconsistent. Taken collectively, a strong downward adjustment is warranted for this factor.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 49

 

MARKET AREA

The market area that an institution serves has a significant impact on value, as future success is interrelated with the economic, demographic and competitive aspects of the market. The location of an institution will have an impact on the trading value of an institution, as many analysts compare the pricing of institutions relative to a state or regional multiples in investor presentations.

The following figure compares the demographic and competitive data for the counties serviced by the Bank, to the county data of the Comparable Group members.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 50

 

FIGURE 37 – MARKET AREA DATA

 

   

County

 

Bank’s Deps

in the County
06/30/05
(actual)

 

Bank’s

Deposit
Market Share
(%)

 

Number
of

Branches
06/30/05
(actual)

 

Total

Population
2005

(actual)

 

Population
Per Branch
(actual)

  Population    

Median

HH Income
2005

($)

  HH Income  

Unemp. Rate
Dec. 2005

(%)

Institution Name

              Change
2000-2005
(%)
    Change
2005-2010
(%)
      Change
2000-2005
(%)
  Change
2005-2010
(%)
 

Abington Community Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)

  Montgomery   457,581   2.57   354   775,046   2,189   3.33     2.96     75,725   24.41   24.30   3.30

Abington Community Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)

  Bucks   20,902   0.19   247   622,564   2,521   4.17     3.87     73,522   23.10   21.65   3.60
                                                 

Deposit Weighted Market Data

      2.47       2,204   3.37     3.00     75,629   24.35   24.18   3.31

BCSB Bankcorp, Inc. (MHC)

  Baltimore   460,404   3.42   285   789,038   2,769   4.61     4.98     57,839   14.07   15.19   3.70

BCSB Bankcorp, Inc. (MHC)

  Harford   104,475   4.31   82   239,907   2,926   9.75     9.60     64,564   13.18   14.19   3.40

BCSB Bankcorp, Inc. (MHC)

  Howard   27,948   0.82   74   271,796   3,673   9.67     9.01     86,586   16.72   18.86   2.50

BCSB Bankcorp, Inc. (MHC)

  Baltimore (City)   10,181   0.07   129   629,541   4,880   (3.32 )   (2.29 )   33,614   11.76   11.55   6.30
                                                 

Deposit Weighted Market Data

      3.40       2,873   5.60     5.84     59,927   14.00   15.13   3.64

First Bancorp of Indiana, Inc.

  Vanderburgh   191,278   5.62   57   172,943   3,034   0.59     0.95     41,299   12.19   11.67   4.90

First Bancorp of Indiana, Inc.

  Warrick   5,471   1.13   14   55,643   3,975   6.22     5.46     54,076   10.87   12.72   4.40
                                                 

Deposit Weighted Market Data

      5.50       3,060   0.75     1.08     41,654   12.15   11.70   4.89

Clifton Savings Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)

  Passaic   459,537   5.14   150   505,860   3,372   3.44     3.57     55,643   13.07   13.37   5.40

Clifton Savings Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)

  Bergen   111,373   0.34   484   902,287   1,864   2.06     1.93     76,516   17.87   16.20   3.60
                                                 

Deposit Weighted Market Data

      4.20       3,078   3.17     3.25     59,715   14.01   13.92   5.05

Greater Delaware Valley Savings Bank (MHC)

  Delaware   281,429   3.36   177   564,067   3,187   2.40     3.06     62,297   24.34   23.15   3.90

Greater Delaware Valley Savings Bank (MHC)

  Chester   13,687   0.18   185   471,098   2,546   8.67     8.17     81,043   25.00   27.48   3.00
                                                 

Deposit Weighted Market Data

      3.21       3,157   2.69     3.30     63,166   24.37   23.35   3.86

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corp. (MHC)

  New Haven   199,851   1.20   268   845,412   3,155   2.60     2.95     56,802   16.32   15.83   4.70

Naugatuck Valley Financial Corp. (MHC)

  Fairfield   21,612   0.10   339   910,228   2,685   3.13     3.36     80,439   23.99   26.23   3.80
                                                 

Deposit Weighted Market Data

      1.09       3,109   2.65     2.99     59,109   17.07   16.84   4.61

Ocean Shore Holding Company (MHC)

  Cape May   235,487   9.47   58   112,796   1,945   10.23     11.88     46,862   12.49   12.72   8.40

Ocean Shore Holding Company (MHC)

  Atlantic   197,989   4.30   82   270,524   3,299   7.12     7.45     49,020   11.43   9.33   5.60
                                                 

Deposit Weighted Market Data

      7.11       2,563   8.81     9.86     47,848   12.01   11.17   7.12

Oneida Financial Corp. (MHC)

  Madison   301,480   40.84   21   70,473   3,356   1.49     0.56     45,756   13.87   13.11   5.10

Oneida Financial Corp. (MHC)

  Oneida   20,542   0.55   68   236,373   3,476   0.38     1.37     40,924   13.98   13.19   4.60

Oneida Financial Corp. (MHC)

  Onondaga   4,946   0.07   146   465,053   3,185   1.47     2.25     47,339   15.81   15.36   4.40
                                                 

Deposit Weighted Market Data

      37.69       3,361   1.42     0.64     45,476   13.91   13.15   5.06

Prudential Bancorp, Inc. of Pennsylvania (MHC)

  Philadelphia   334,009   0.94   335   1,484,645   4,432   (2.17 )   (1.58 )   36,853   19.73   20.19   6.00

Prudential Bancorp, Inc. of Pennsylvania (MHC)

  Delaware   23,248   0.28   177   564,067   3,187   2.40     3.06     62,297   24.34   23.15   3.90
                                                 

Deposit Weighted Market Data

      0.90       4,351   (1.87 )   (1.28 )   38,509   20.03   20.38   5.86

PSB Holdings, Inc. (MHC)

  Windham   245,778   18.41   36   113,626   3,156   4.16     4.55     50,762   12.52   11.53   5.00

PSB Holdings, Inc. (MHC)

  New London   63,947   1.62   87   267,790   3,078   3.36     3.66     57,903   14.30   13.56   4.10
                                                 

Deposit Weighted Market Data

      14.94       3,140   3.99     4.37     52,236   12.89   11.95   4.81

SI Financial Group Inc. (MHC)

  Windham   244,114   18.28   36   113,626   3,156   4.16     4.55     50,762   12.52   11.53   5.00

SI Financial Group Inc. (MHC)

  New London   114,226   2.90   87   267,790   3,078   3.36     3.66     57,903   14.30   13.56   4.10

SI Financial Group Inc. (MHC)

  Tolland   89,396   4.80   40   146,009   3,650   7.07     5.80     68,651   16.29   14.58   3.60

SI Financial Group Inc. (MHC)

  Hartford   39,972   0.17   270   875,250   3,242   2.11     2.45     59,492   17.16   15.60   4.70
                                                 

Deposit Weighted Market Data

      10.72       3,235   4.34     4.40     56,429   14.01   12.90   4.51

Westfield Financial Inc. (MHC)

  Hampden   618,311   8.42   143   462,529   3,234   1.38     1.97     47,505   19.60   19.22   5.50
                                                 
      7.92       3,235   1.42     2.00     48,233   19.45   19.00  
                                                 

Comparable Median

      4.85       3,124   2.93     3.12     54,333   14.01   14.52   4.81
                                                 

Fox Chase Bank

  Atlantic   57,700   1.25   82   270,524   3,299   7.12     7.45     49,020   11.43   9.33   5.60

Fox Chase Bank

  Cape May   33,295   1.34   58   112,796   1,945   10.23     11.88     46,862   12.49   12.72   8.40

Fox Chase Bank

  Philadelphia   357,489   1.01   335   1,484,625   4,432   (2.17 )   (1.58 )   36,853   19.73   20.19   6.00

Fox Chase Bank

  Bucks   177,943   1.60   247   622,564   2,521   4.17     3.87     73,522   23.10   21.65   3.60

Fox Chase Bank

  Montgomery   129,963   0.73   354   775,046   2,189   3.33     2.96     75,725   24.41   24.30   3.30
                                                 

Deposit Weighted Market Data

      1.13       3,401   1.52     1.76     53,527   20.38   20.08   5.05
                                                 

State of Pennsylvania

          12,480,851     1.63     1.71     48,534   21.01   20.86   4.40
                                                 

State of New Jersey

          8,768,091     4.20     4.18     63,135   14.62   14.29   4.40
                                                 

National Average

          298,727,898   1,628   6.15     6.26     49,747   17.98   17.36   4.90
                                                 

Sources: SNL Securities


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 51

 

Positive

  

Neutral

  

Negative

Higher Population Per Branch

      Lower Population Growth

Higher Income Growth

      Higher Unemployment
      Lower Income

The Bank’s market area has grown and is projected to continue to grow at a slower rate than the Comparable Group’s markets. Unemployment levels are higher in the Bank’s markets. Household income levels are lower in the Bank’s markets, but are projected to grow at a rate faster than the Comparables. The Bank’s market area has a higher ratio of population to branches than the Comparable Group. Based upon these factors, a slight downward adjustment is warranted for market area.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 52

 

CASH DIVIDENDS

The last few years have seen yet another shift away from dividend policies concurrent with conversion. Recent issues have been fully or oversubscribing without the need for the additional enticement of dividends. After the conversion is another issue, however. Pressures on ROAE and on internal rate of returns to investors prompted the industry toward cash dividends. This trend is exacerbated by the lack of growth potential. Typically, when institutions are in a growth mode, they issue stock dividends or do not declare a dividend. When growth is stunted, these institutions shift toward reducing equity levels and thus utilize cash dividends as a tool in managing equity. Recent tax code changes have made cash dividends more attractive to investors.

FIGURE 38 - DIVIDEND DATA

 

          Dividends  

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Current
Dividend
Yield
(%)
   

LTM Dividend
Payout

Ratio

(%)

 
   Comparable Thrift Data     

ABBC

   Abington Community Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    1.47     47.62  

BCSB

   BCSB Bankcorp, Inc. (MHC)    4.00     714.29  

CSBK

   Clifton Savings Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    1.89     153.85  

ALLB

   Greater Delaware Valley Savings Bank (MHC)    1.50     79.41  

NVSL

   Naugatuck Valley Financial Corp. (MHC)    1.89     69.23  

OSHC

   Ocean Shore Holding Company (MHC)    —       —    

ONFC

   Oneida Financial Corp. (MHC)    3.98     87.76  

PBIP

   Prudential Bancorp, Inc. of Pennsylvania (MHC)    1.23     NA  

PSBH

   PSB Holdings, Inc. (MHC)    2.15     NA  

SIFI

   SI Financial Group Inc. (MHC)    1.46     46.43  

WFD

   Westfield Financial Inc. (MHC)    2.56     161.29  
               
   Average    2.01     151.10  
   Median    1.89     79.41  
   Maximum    4.00     714.29  
   Minimum    —       —    
   Fox Chase Bank    —       —    
   Variance to the Comparable Median    (1.89 )   (79.41 )

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 53

 

All Comparable institutions with the exception of Ocean Shore Holding Company had declared cash dividends. The median dividend payout ratio for the Comparable Group was 79.41%, ranging from a high of 714.29% to a low of 0.00%. The Bank, on a pro forma basis at the mid point of the value range will have an equity to assets ratio of 13.03%. The Bank will have adequate capital and profits to pay cash dividends.

As such, no adjustment is warranted for this factor.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 54

 

LIQUIDITY OF THE ISSUE

The Comparable Group is by definition composed only of companies that trade in the public markets with all of the Comparables trading on NASDAQ or AMEX. Typically, the number of shares outstanding and the market capitalization provides an indication of how much liquidity there will be in a given stock. The actual liquidity can be measured by volume traded over a given period of time.

FIGURE 39 - MARKET CAPITALIZATION DATA

 

          Market Data

Ticker

  

Short Name

   Market
Value
($)
   Stock
Price
($)
   Price
High
($)
   Price
Low
($)
   Book
Value
($)
   Tangible
Book
Value
($)
   Comparable Thrift Data                  

ABBC

   Abington Community Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    213.10    13.60    13.68    13.20    7.36    7.36

BCSB

   BCSB Bankcorp, Inc. (MHC)    73.90    12.50    14.08    12.10    6.89    6.45

CSBK

   Clifton Savings Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    321.60    10.57    10.73    10.20    6.54    6.54

ALLB

   Greater Delaware Valley Savings Bank (MHC)    82.60    24.00    25.59    24.00    9.92    9.92

NVSL

   Naugatuck Valley Financial Corp. (MHC)    80.60    10.60    10.90    10.25    6.73    6.70

OSHC

   Ocean Shore Holding Company (MHC)    109.10    12.45    12.50    11.40    7.00    7.00

ONFC

   Oneida Financial Corp. (MHC)    85.30    11.07    11.98    10.31    7.12    5.16

PBIP

   Prudential Bancorp, Inc. of Pennsylvania (MHC)    162.50    13.00    14.00    12.00    7.33    7.33

PSBH

   PSB Holdings, Inc. (MHC)    75.30    11.17    11.31    10.41    7.41    6.17

SIFI

   SI Financial Group Inc. (MHC)    136.60    10.93    11.75    10.35    6.38    6.31

WFD

   Westfield Financial Inc. (MHC)    224.90    23.42    25.18    23.01    12.36    12.36
                                
   Average    142.32    13.94    14.70    13.38    7.73    7.39
   Median    109.10    12.45    12.50    11.40    7.12    6.70
   Maximum    321.60    24.00    25.59    24.00    12.36    12.36
   Minimum    73.90    10.57    10.73    10.20    6.38    5.16
   Fox Chase Bank    111.00    NA    NA    NA    NA    NA
   Variance to the Comparable Median    1.90    NA    NA    NA    NA    NA

Sources: SNL and Offering Circular Data, FinPro Computations

The market capitalization values of the Comparable Group range from a low of $73.9 million to a high of $321.6 million with a median market capitalization of $109.1 million. The Bank expects to have $111.0 million of market capital at the midpoint on a pro forma basis. It is expected that the Bank will trade on NASDAQ along with ten of the eleven Comparables.

No adjustment for this factor appears warranted, due to the similar levels of pro forma market capitalization and expected liquidity, relative to the Comparables.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 55

 

RECENT REGULATORY MATTERS

Regulatory matters influence the market for thrift conversions. The Bank will operate in substantially the same regulatory environment as the Comparable Group. The only material difference is that the federally regulated Comparables have the ability to waive dividends to the MHC. This factor was addressed in the cash dividends section.

Taken collectively, no adjustment for this factor is warranted as both the Bank and the Comparables will operate in the same ownership structure and will be supervised in the same regulatory environment.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 56

 

5. Other Factors

MANAGEMENT

As a result of the Order to Cease and Desist, the Bank was required to hire a new CEO and appoint new directors. The current management team including CEO, CFO and lending personnel are new to the institution.

However, the current team has considerable banking experience and has held similar positions in other financial institutions. The current team has made considerable progress in addressing the items specified in the Order to Cease and Desist and has had many of the regulatory restrictions lifted.

The Bank’s organizational chart is reasonable for an institution of its size and complexity. The Board is active and oversees and advises on all key strategic and policy decisions and holds the management to high performance standards.

As such, no adjustment appears to be warranted for this factor.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 57

 

ORDER TO CEASE AND DESIST

The Bank is subject to the terms of the Order to Cease and Desist. However, the restrictions on asset growth and lending contained in the Order were lifted. Additionally, the restriction on entering into third party contracts outside of the ordinary course of business without the prior written approval of the Office of Thrift Supervision was lifted. There can be no assurance as to when the Order to Cease and Desist will be terminated.

The Order to Cease and Desist did not remove the Bank’s designation as a “troubled institution” as imposed by the Office of Thrift Supervision in January 2005. Such designation requires Fox Chase to pay increased assessment fees to the Office of Thrift Supervision and increases the deposit insurance premiums paid to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Further, such designation generally requires the regulators to undertake additional procedures when considering applications the Bank submits, such as for the establishment of new branches, for acquisitions or for certain dividend payments, which may result in a delay in the processing of the Bank’s applications. If the Bank fails to comply with the Order to Cease and Desist in a manner satisfactory to the Office of Thrift Supervision, it can take additional, and possibly more severe, enforcement action against management and the Board of Directors, including assessing civil monetary penalties and initiating injunctive actions. Moreover, they can impose restrictions on the Bank’s operations, which would negatively affect the Bank’s ability to implement its operating strategy and negatively affect the Bank’s profitability.

FinPro has reviewed and considered the progress evident in the Bank’s recent exam reports. The factors underlying the reasons for the Order to Cease and Desist have been adjusted for elsewhere in this appraisal. As such, the actual lifting of the Order to Cease and Desist does not in-and-of itself impact the appraisal.

As such, no adjustment is warranted for this factor.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 58

 

SUBSCRIPTION INTEREST

The pro forma price to fully converted book multiple of MHC conversions declined from 2005 to May 2, 2006.

FIGURE 40 - MHC REORGANIZATIONS (SINCE 1/1/03) PRO FORMA DATA

 

                               Price to Pro Forma

Ticker

  

Short Name

  

IPO

Date

  

IPO
Price

($)

   Percentage
Retained By
MHC (%)
   Net
Proceeds
($000)
  

Fully Converted
Book Value

(%)

MFDB

   Mutual Federal Bancorp Inc. (MHC)    04/06/2006    10.0000    70.00    8,592    74.57

LSBK

   Lake Shore Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    04/04/2006    10.0000    53.00    24,485    81.29
                         

Q2’06

   Average                77.93
   Median                77.93
                         

UCBA

   United Community Bancorp (MHC)    03/31/2006    10.0000    55.00    30,228    85.06

MGYR

   Magyar Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    01/24/2006    10.0000    54.03    22,059    82.27

GVFF

   Greenville Federal Financial Corporation (MHC)    01/05/2006    10.0000    55.00    8,114    69.72
                         

Q1’06

   Average                79.02
   Median                82.27
                         

2006 YTD

   Average                78.58
   Median                81.29
                         

EQFC

   Equitable Financial Corp. (MHC)    11/08/2005    10.0000    55.00    11,460    79.39

ISBC

   Investors Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    10/12/2005    10.0000    54.27    444,954    85.40

WAUW

   Wauwatosa Holdings, Inc. (MHC)    10/05/2005    10.0000    68.35    85,953    82.52
                         

Q4’05

   Average                82.44
   Median                82.52
                         

OTTW

   Ottawa Savings Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    07/15/2005    10.0000    55.00    7,728    74.92

UBNK

   United Financial Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    07/13/2005    10.0000    53.40    61,624    84.38
                         

Q3’05

   Average                79.65
   Median                79.65
                         

COBK

   Colonial Bankshares, Inc. (MHC)    06/30/2005    10.0000    54.00    17,426    82.47

HBOS

   Heritage Financial Group (MHC)    06/30/2005    10.0000    70.00    25,908    84.17

NPEN

   North Penn Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    06/02/2005    10.0000    53.92    5,061    73.70

RCKB

   Rockville Financial, Inc. (MHC)    05/23/2005    10.0000    55.00    71,069    85.05

FFCO

   FedFirst Financial Corp. (MHC)    04/07/2005    10.0000    55.00    24,822    85.98

BFSB

   Brooklyn Federal Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    04/06/2005    10.0000    70.00    32,794    89.55
                         

Q2’05

   Average                83.49
   Median                84.61
                         

PBIP

   Prudential Bancorp, Inc. of Pennsylvania (MHC)    03/30/2005    10.0000    55.00    48,241    86.87

KFFB

   Kentucky First Federal Bancorp (MHC)    03/03/2005    10.0000    55.00    14,309    96.36

KRNY

   Kearny Financial Corp (MHC)    02/24/2005    10.0000    70.00    183,196    80.04

HFBL

   Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana (MHC)    01/21/2005    10.0000    60.00    11,988    75.39

BVFL

   BV Financial, Inc. (MHC)    01/14/2005    10.0000    55.00    9,646    87.78

GTWN

   Georgetown Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    01/06/2005    10.0000    55.00    10,347    88.45
                         

Q1’05

   Average                85.82
   Median                87.33
                         

2005

   Average                83.67
   Median                84.38
                         

1/1/2002

   Average                82.52

5/2/2006

   Median                83.35
                         

Source: SNL Securities


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 59

 

The first day “pop” increased modestly between 2005 and 2006 year-to-date. Four of the MHC conversions that closed since January 1, 2005 are currently trading below their IPO price.

FIGURE 41 - MHC REORGANIZATIONS PRICE APPRECIATION

 

                Percent Change from IPO

Ticker

  

Short Name

  

IPO

Date

   After
1 Day
(%)
   After
1 Week
(%)
  

After

1 Month
(%)

   

After

3 Months
(%)

   To
Date
(%)

MFDB

   Mutual Federal Bancorp Inc. (MHC)    04/06/2006    11.30    10.00    NA     NA    13.00

LSBK

   Lake Shore Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    04/04/2006    7.00    5.50    NA     NA    2.80
                               

Q2’06

   Average       9.15    7.75    NA     NA    7.90
   Median       9.15    7.75    NA     NA    7.90
                               

UCBA

   United Community Bancorp (MHC)    03/31/2006    8.00    8.40    5.50     NA    6.50

MGYR

   Magyar Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    01/24/2006    6.50    5.00    6.00     15.00    17.60

GVFF

   Greenville Federal Financial Corporation (MHC)    01/05/2006    NA    2.50    0.00     1.00    -1.50
                               

Q1’06

   Average       7.25    5.30    3.83     NA    7.53
   Median       7.25    5.00    5.50     NA    6.50
                               

2006 YTD

   Average       8.20    6.28    3.83     8.00    7.68
   Median       7.50    5.50    5.50     8.00    6.50
                               

EQFC

   Equitable Financial Corp. (MHC)    11/08/2005    NA    0.00    -5.00     -7.50    -7.50

ISBC

   Investors Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    10/12/2005    0.20    0.70    5.20     16.80    39.70

WAUW

   Wauwatosa Holdings, Inc. (MHC)    10/05/2005    12.50    11.50    9.50     15.60    37.80
                               

Q4’05

   Average       6.35    4.07    3.23     NA    23.33
   Median       6.35    0.70    5.20     NA    37.80
                               

OTTW

   Ottawa Savings Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    07/15/2005    10.00    5.00    7.00     -2.50    19.50

UBNK

   United Financial Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    07/13/2005    17.50    15.70    17.00     13.70    19.70
                               

Q3’05

   Average       13.75    10.35    12.00     NA    19.60
   Median       13.75    10.35    12.00     NA    19.60
                               

COBK

   Colonial Bankshares, Inc. (MHC)    06/30/2005    6.00    6.90    7.50     5.70    17.70

HBOS

   Heritage Financial Group (MHC)    06/30/2005    7.50    7.20    9.30     10.00    23.80

NPEN

   North Penn Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    06/02/2005    10.00    2.50    1.50     1.50    10.00

RCKB

   Rockville Financial, Inc. (MHC)    05/23/2005    4.80    10.50    19.60     38.90    42.30

FFCO

   FedFirst Financial Corp. (MHC)    04/07/2005    -6.60    -7.10    -14.50     -9.00    0.90

BFSB

   Brooklyn Federal Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    04/06/2005    -0.50    -0.10    -5.00     7.90    20.50
                               

Q2’05

   Average       3.53    3.32    3.07     9.17    19.20
   Median       5.40    4.70    4.50     6.80    19.10
                               

PBIP

   Prudential Bancorp, Inc. of Pennsylvania (MHC)    03/30/2005    -1.50    -6.50    -12.50     8.40    30.00

KFFB

   Kentucky First Federal Bancorp (MHC)    03/03/2005    7.90    11.00    12.40     15.50    5.50

KRNY

   Kearny Financial Corp (MHC)    02/24/2005    13.90    14.30    10.80     6.00    39.70

HFBL

   Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana (MHC)    01/21/2005    -1.00    0.00    -0.80     -6.00    2.20

BVFL

   BV Financial, Inc. (MHC)    01/14/2005    -6.50    -4.00    -1.50     -8.60    -5.50

GTWN

   Georgetown Bancorp, Inc. (MHC)    01/06/2005    2.00    0.00    0.50     -3.50    -11.00
                               

Q1’05

   Average       2.47    2.47    1.48     1.97    10.15
   Median       0.50    —      (0.15 )   1.25    3.85
                               

2005

   Average       4.76    3.98    3.59     6.05    16.78
   Median       5.40    2.50    5.20     6.00    19.50
                               

1/1/2002

   Average       5.45    4.50    3.63     6.26    14.71

5/2/2006

   Median       6.75    5.00    5.35     6.00    15.30
                               

Source: SNL Securities

No adjustment is warranted as the vast majority of recent deals are trading near, but not below, their IPO price which would indicate that current pro forma pricing levels are appropriate.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 60

 

VALUATION ADJUSTMENTS

Relative to the Comparables the following adjustments need to be made to the Bank’s pro forma market value.

 

Valuation Factor

 

Valuation Adjustment

Financial Condition

 

Moderate Downward

Balance Sheet Growth

 

Strong Downward

Earnings Quality, Predictability and Growth

 

Strong Downward

Market Area

 

Slight Downward

Dividends

 

No Adjustment

Liquidity of the Issue

 

No Adjustment

Recent Regulatory Matters

 

No Adjustment

Additionally, the following adjustment should be made to the Bank’s market value.

 

Valuation Factor

 

Valuation Adjustment

Management   No Adjustment
Cease and Desist Order   No Adjustment
Subscription Interest   No Adjustment

Taken collectively, FinPro is of the opinion that, a discount should be applied to the Bank’s market value.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 61

 

6. Valuation

In applying the accepted valuation methodology promulgated by the regulators, i.e., the pro forma market value approach, three key pricing multiples were considered. The four multiples include:

Price to core earnings (“P/E”)

Price to book value (“P/B”) / Price to tangible book value (“P/TB”)

Price to assets (“P/A”)

All of the approaches were calculated on a pro forma basis including the effects of the conversion proceeds. All of the assumptions utilized are presented in Exhibits 11 through 15.

DISCUSSION OF WEIGHT GIVEN TO VALUATION MULTIPLES

To ascertain the pro forma estimated market value of the Bank, the market multiples for the Comparable Group were utilized. As a secondary check, all Pennsylvania public thrifts, all publicly traded thrifts and the recent (2005 to date) and historical MHC conversions were assessed. The multiples for the Comparable Group, all publicly traded MHC, and Pennsylvania MHC thrifts are shown in Exhibit 9.

Price to Earnings – According to the Appraisal Guidelines: “When both the converting institution and the comparable companies are recording “normal” earnings. A P/E approach may be the simplest and most direct method of valuation. When earnings are low or negative, however, this approach may not be appropriate and the greater consideration should be given to the P/BV approach.” In this particular case, the Bank’s earnings are “normal”. As a basis for comparison, the price to core earnings was utilized for both the Bank and the Comparable Group to eliminate any nonrecurring items. As such, this approach was considered in this appraisal.

In the pro forma figures for the Bank, FinPro incorporated the impact of SFAS 123, which requires the expensing of stock options. In preparing the fully converted pro forma figures for the Comparable Group, FinPro also incorporated the impact of SFAS 123.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 62

 

Price to Book/Price to Tangible Book - According to the Appraisal Guidelines: “The P/BV approach works best when the converting institution and the Comparables have a normal amount of book value. The P/BV approach could seriously understate the value of an institution that has almost no book value but has an outstanding future earnings potential. For converting institutions with high net worth, the appraiser may have difficulty in arriving at a pro forma market value because of pressure placed on the P/E multiple as higher P/BV levels are required to reflect a similar P/BV ratio as the peer group average. The P/BV approach also suffers from the use of historical cost accounting data.”

Since thrift earnings in general have had a high degree of volatility over the past decade, the P/B is utilized frequently as the benchmark for market value. A better approach is the P/TB approach. In general, investors tend to price financial institutions on a tangible book basis, because it incorporates the P/B approach adjusted for intangibles. Initially following conversion, FinPro believes that thrifts often trade on a price to tangible book basis.

Price to Assets - According to the Appraisal Guidelines: “This approach remedies the problems of a small base that can occur with the P/BV approach, but the approach has many of the other limitations of the latter approach (the P/BV approach).” FinPro places little weight on this valuation approach due to the lack of consideration of asset and funding mixes and the resulting earnings impact.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 63

 

FULL OFFERING VALUE IN RELATION TO COMPARABLES

Based upon the adjustments defined in the previous section, the Bank is pricing at the midpoint as if fully converted with a foundation is estimated to be $111,000,000. Based upon a range below and above the midpoint value, the relative values are $94,350,000 at the minimum and $127,650,000 at the maximum respectively. At the super maximum of the range, the offering value would be $146,797,500.

At the various levels of the estimated value range, the full offering would result in the following offering data:

FIGURE 42 - VALUE RANGE - FULL OFFERING

 

Conclusion

   Total Shares
Shares
   Price
Per Share
  

Total

Value

Appraised Value - Midpoint

   11,100,000    $ 10.00    $ 111,000,000

Range:

        

- Minimum

   9,435,000      10.00      94,350,000

- Maximum

   12,765,000      10.00      127,650,000

- Super Maximum

   14,679,750      10.00      146,797,500

Source: FinPro Inc. Pro forma Model


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 64

 

FIGURE 43 – AS IF FULLY CONVERTED OFFERING PRICING MULTIPLES

 

               Bank     Comparables     State     National  
                     Mean     Median     Mean     Median     Mean     Median  
   Min       34.48              

Price-Core Earnings Ratio P/E

   Mid       37.04     41.79     30.64     28.33     31.32     34.31     30.39  
   Max       41.67              
   Smax       43.48              
   Min       66.36 %            

Price-to-Book Ratio P/B

   Mid       70.82 %   93.23 %   91.72 %   98.31 %   98.27 %   94.57 %   91.97 %
   Max       74.52 %            
   Smax       78.06 %            
   Min       66.36 %            

Price-to-Tangible Book Ratio P/TB

   Mid       70.82 %   95.95 %   96.49 %   101.32 %   98.27 %   97.73 %   97.44 %
   Max       74.52 %            
   Smax       78.06 %            
   Min       11.46 %            

Price-to-Assets Ratio P/A

   Mid       13.23 %   20.67 %   18.54 %   26.69 %   22.27 %   24.19 %   22.13 %
   Max       14.93 %            
   Smax       16.82 %            

Source: FinPro Calculations

FIGURE 44 - COMPARABLE AS IF FULLY CONVERTED PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANKS PRO FORMA MIDPOINT

 

     Price Relative to  
     Earnings     Core Earnings     Book     Tangible Book     Assets  

The Bank (at midpoint) Full Conversion

   16.95     37.04     70.82 %   70.82 %   13.23 %

Comparable Group Median

   29.80     30.64     91.72 %   96.49 %   18.54 %

(Discount) Premium

   -43.12 %   20.88 %   -22.79 %   -26.61 %   -28.64 %

Source: SNL data, FinPro Calculations

As Figure 44 demonstrates, at the midpoint of the estimated valuation range the Bank is priced at a premium of 20.88% on a fully converted core earnings basis. On a price to fully converted tangible book basis, the Bank is priced at a 26.61% discount to the Comparable Group.

FIGURE 45 - COMPARABLE AS IF FULLY CONVERTED PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANKS PRO FORMA SUPER MAXIMUM

 

     Price Relative to  
     Earnings     Core Earnings     Book     Tangible Book     Assets  

The Bank (at the supermax) Full Conversion

   21.28     43.48     78.06 %   78.06 %   16.82 %

Comparable Group Median

   29.80     30.64     91.72 %   96.49 %   18.54 %

(Discount) Premium

   -28.58 %   41.90 %   -14.89 %   -19.10 %   -9.27 %

Source: SNL data, FinPro Calculations

As Figure 45 demonstrates, at the super maximum of the estimated valuation range the Bank is priced at a premium of 41.90% on a fully converted core earnings basis. On a price to fully converted tangible book basis, the Bank is priced at a 19.10% discount to the Comparable Group.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 65

 

The Bank pricing at the midpoint for a MHC conversion assuming an issuance of 43.57%, is $48,361,700. Based upon a range below and above the midpoint value, the relative values are $41,107,450 at the minimum and $55,615,960 at the maximum, respectively. At the super maximum of the range, the offering value would be $63,958,350.

FIGURE 46 - VALUE RANGE MHC OFFERING DATA

 

Conclusion

   Total
Shares
   Price per
Share
  

Total

Value

Appraised Value - $94,350,000 at 44%

   4,110,745    $ 10    $ 41,107,450

Appraised Value - $111,000,000 at 44%

   4,836,170    $ 10    $ 48,361,700

Appraised Value - $127,650,000 at 44%

   5,561,596    $ 10    $ 55,615,960

Appraised Value - $146,797,500 at 44%

   6,395,835    $ 10    $ 63,958,350

Source: FinPro Inc. Pro forma Model

FIGURE 47 - COMPARABLE GAAP PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANKS PRO FORMA MIDPOINT

 

     Price Relative to  
     Earnings     Core Earnings     Book     Tangible Book     Assets  

The Bank (at midpoint) MHC

   20.00     52.63     107.18 %   107.18 %   13.97 %

Unadjusted MHC Trading Median

   39.40     39.40     176.70 %   177.70 %   21.45 %

(Discount) Premium

   -49.24 %   33.58 %   -39.34 %   -39.68 %   -34.87 %

Source: SNL data, FinPro Calculations

As Figure 47 demonstrates, at the midpoint of the estimated valuation range the Bank is priced at a premium of 33.58% on a GAAP core earnings basis. On a price to GAAP tangible book basis, the Bank is priced at a 39.68% discount to the Comparable Group.

FIGURE 48 - COMPARABLE GAAP PRICING MULTIPLES TO THE BANKS PRO FORMA SUPER MAXIMUM

 

     Price Relative to  
     Earnings     Core Earnings     Book     Tangible Book     Assets  

The Bank (at the supermax) MHC

   25.64     66.67     125.79 %   125.79 %   18.18 %

Unadjusted MHC Trading Median

   39.40     39.40     176.70 %   177.70 %   21.45 %

(Discount) Premium

   -34.92 %   69.21 %   -28.81 %   -29.21 %   -15.24 %

Source: SNL data, FinPro Calculations

As Figure 48 demonstrates, at the super maximum of the estimated valuation range the Bank is priced at a premium of 69.21% on a GAAP core earnings basis. On a price to GAAP tangible book basis, the Bank is priced at a 29.21% discount to the Comparable Group.


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 66

 

COMPARISON TO RECENT MHC CONVERSIONS

As a secondary check, to verify and validate that the range created on a comparable basis is appropriate, FinPro compared the pricing of this deal relative to other MHC conversions.

FIGURE 49 – COMPARISON TO FILED AND PENDING MHC OFFERINGS

 

Name

   State    Super Maximum
Appraisal Price to
Full Converted
Tangible Book
 

Fox Chase Bancorp, Inc.

   PA    78.06 %

Applications Filed:

     

ViewPoint Financial Corp

   TX    79.77 %

Seneca-Cayuga Bancorp

   NY    79.06 %

Northeast Community Bancorp

   NY    85.76 %

Roma Financial Corp

   NJ    77.07 %

Source: 5/3/06 Conversion Watch


Conversion Valuation Appraisal Report    Page: 67

 

VALUATION CONCLUSION

We believe that the discount on a tangible book basis is appropriate relative to the Comparable Group. This range was confirmed by our analysis of other filed and pending MHC offerings as secondary checks.

It is, therefore, FinPro’s opinion that as of May 2, 2006, the estimated pro forma market value of the Bank in a full offering was $111,000,000 at the midpoint of a range with a minimum of $94,350,000 to a maximum of $127,650,000 at 15% below and 15% above the midpoint of the range respectively. Assuming an adjusted maximum value of 15% above the maximum value, the adjusted maximum value or super maximum value in a full offering is $146,797,500. The shares issued to the foundation will be funded using authorized be unissued shares.

Using the pro forma market values for a full offering shown above, the amount of stock publicly offered as part of the MHC reorganization issuing 43.57% will equal 4,110,745 shares, 4,836,170 shares, 5,561,596 shares and 6,395,835 shares at the minimum, midpoint, maximum and super maximum, respectively. Additionally, the Bank will issue 135,000 shares and $150,000 in cash to the charitable foundation.

The document represents an initial valuation for the Bank. Due to the duration of time that passes between the time this document is compiled and the time the offering closes, numerous factors could lead FinPro to update or revise the appraised value of the Bank. Some factors that could lead FinPro to adjust the appraised value include: (1) changes in the Bank’s operations and financial condition; (2) changes in the market valuation or financial condition of the Comparable Group; (3) changes in the broader market; and (4) changes in the market for thrift conversions. Should there be material changes to any of these factors, FinPro will prepare an appraisal update to appropriately adjust the value of the Bank. At the time of closing, FinPro will prepare a final appraisal to determine if the valuation range is still appropriate and determine the exact valuation amount appropriate for the Bank.