EX-99.3 4 dex993.htm THIRD QUARTER 2006 EARNINGS RELEASE. Third Quarter 2006 Earnings Release.
Third Quarter 2006 Earnings Release
October 30, 2006
Exhibit 99.3


2
Earnings Call Agenda
Introduction and Overview
Chuck Raymond –
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Commercial and Operations Update
John Handy –
Executive Vice President
Financial Review
Mark Urbania –
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Questions and Answers


3
Forward-Looking Statements
Risks, Uncertainties, Other Factors with Respect to “Forward-Looking
Statements:”
Certain statements contained in this presentation constitute “forward-
looking
statements”
within
the
meaning
of
the
Private
Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  Such statements that are not of
historical
fact
constitute
“forward-looking
statements”
and,
accordingly, involve estimates, assumptions, judgments and
uncertainties.  There are a number of factors that could cause actual
results
or
outcomes
to
differ
materially
from
those
addressed
in
the
“forward-looking statements”.  Such factors are detailed in the
Horizon Lines, Inc.’s final prospectus filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission on September 13, 2006.  Other factors may
include changes in tax laws or their interpretation or application,
adverse tax audits and other tax matters.


4
Third Quarter 2006 Earnings Release
Chuck Raymond
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Introduction and Overview


5
Third Quarter Highlights
Record earnings
19
th
consecutive quarter of adjusted EBITDA growth
Tonnage tax adopted
Horizon Hunter christened and new vessels delivery and phase-in
on track
Horizon Edge on schedule and capturing early wins
Positive economic outlook for remainder of 2006


6
Third Quarter Financial Highlights
Adjusted
2006
Results
versus
Adjusted
2005
Results
19 consecutive quarters of adjusted EBITDA growth
Operating revenue increased by $15.6 million or 5.4%
Adjusted operating income improved by $4.9 million or 15.8%
Adjusted EBITDA higher by $3.5 million or 7.2%
Adjusted net income increased by $0.9 million or 6.7%
Adjusted earnings per share grew by $.03 or 7.5%


7
Third Quarter 2006 Earnings Release
John Handy
Executive Vice President
Commercial and Operations Update


8
Rate Update Third Quarter 2006
Rate improvement in all three trades more than offset the softness
in shipments
Mix upgrade continues to be a factor in rate improvement with
gains in refrigerated cargo
Operating efficiencies help moderate contract renewal increases
Maintaining responsible surcharges to offset fluctuations in fuel-
related expenses


9
Volume Update Third Quarter 2006
Alaska volumes off to a slow start, but rebounded in September
Hawaii southbound volumes impacted by the planned reduction in
automobile shipments
Continued uncertainty over tax law changes impacted Puerto Rico
volumes
Revenue Containers
(3,208)
80,316
77,108
Variance
2005
2006


10
Competitive Update Third Quarter 2006
No significant changes in services or market shares in any of our
trades
Market softness in Puerto Rico resulted in a capacity reduction in
third quarter
Softer summer shipping season in Alaska resulted in fewer summer
sailings
Horizon's competitive advantage into Guam has strengthened our
position in Guam and Saipan


11
Economic Outlook -
2006
Optimism in Hawaii and Guam reflects the strength of military
expansion and tourism
Uncertainty
in
tax
reform
legislation
continued
to
impact
Puerto
Rico
volumes
Unseasonably cool weather appeared to dampen consumer
spending in Alaska
Mix and margin improvements continue to deliver revenue and
profitability growth


12
Operating Highlights
Vessel enhancement initiative remains ahead of schedule
Horizon Edge customer focus and service efficiency program 
initiative on track and delivering initial savings of $2.0 million to date
Rolling stock initiative continues with 550 new replacement
containers
Key operating metrics illustrate excellent performance
Operating efficiency and cost savings continue


13
Vessels Delivery and Phase-In Dates
New Transpacific (TP)1 ships delivery dates remain unchanged and
on schedule:
March 2007
Horizon Tiger
May 2007
Horizon Falcon
April 2007
Horizon Eagle
March 2007
Horizon Hawk
November 2006
Horizon Hunter
Current Outlook
Horizon
Hunter
christened
on
October
11
th
,
with
closing
expected
around November 30
th
Targeted 2007 phase-in dates continue on track:
March –
Commencement of TP1 ex Asia
April  –
Commence new Jones Act Pacific Northwest (PNW) Tacoma-
Oakland-Honolulu service
May –
Last new TP1 vessel deployed ex Asia
3Qtr –
First C8 to Puerto Rico


14
Horizon Edge Project Update
Status
Implementation commenced in May in Dallas, Honolulu, San Juan,
Anchorage and Charlotte
Progress and results at or ahead of schedule
Early Successes
Record low cost per lift in Puerto Rico
Maximized container stows on TransPacific
(TP) 1 vessel
Record return of empty containers to Maersk
in Asia
Anchorage maintenance savings
Initial savings of $2.0 million to date


15
Key Operating Metrics
84.0%
85.7%
Vessel On-Time Arrivals
(3)
92.9%
90.2%
Vessel Utilization
(2)
99.8%
99.7%
Vessel Availability
(1)
Third Quarter
2005
Third Quarter
2006
Notes:
(1)
Employs a zero departure time delay tolerance
(2)
Based upon headhaul
direction volume
(3)
Employs a zero arrival time delay tolerance


16
Operating Efficiency and Cost Savings
Container Inventory
5.9% reduction in container fleet
40.0% reduction in containers operated by third parties
28.5% decrease in container aging
Container Maintenance
$2.9 million improvement in labor and parts costs
New refrigerated containers are costing $78.85 less
on a cost per load
basis
New dry boxes are costing $32.86 less
on a cost per load basis


17
Third Quarter 2006 Earnings Release
Mark Urbania
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Financial Update


18
Income Statement Summary –
Third Quarter
Adjusted
(1)
($ in Millions)
Actual
($ in Millions)
33,544,170
33,544,170
19,169,170
33,544,170
Shares Outstanding –
Basic
$
13.4
$
14.3
$
2.8
$
52.9
Net Income Common Shareholders
--
--
0.4
--
Preferred Stock Accretion
89.2%
88.2%
93.6%
88.4%
Operating Ratio
$
48.3
$
51.8
$
35.3
$
51.0
EBITDA
$
0.40
$
0.43
$
0.14
$
1.58
Earnings Per Share –
Basic
13.4
14.3
3.2
52.9
Net Income
7.2
9.5
2.2
(29.9)
Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
20.6
23.8
5.4
23.0
Pretax Income
10.5
12.2
13.0
12.2
Other Expense
31.1
36.0
18.4
35.2
Operating Income
258.0
268.7
270.7
269.5
Operating Expense
$
304.7
Quarter Ended
September 24,
2006
$
289.1
$
289.1
$
304.7
Operating Revenue
Quarter Ended
September 25,
2005
Quarter Ended
September 25,
2005
Quarter Ended
September 24,
2006
(1)
Adjusted to exclude expenses related to stock offerings and a terminated management agreement, pro forma changes in vessel lease and
depreciation
expense,
pro
forma
changes
in
net
interest
expense,
and
impact
of
election
of
tonnage
tax
on
2006
results.
Please
see
Financial
Appendix for details.


19
Income Statement Summary –
Nine Months
Adjusted
(1)
($ in Millions)
Actual
($ in Millions)
33,544,170
33,544,170
19,043,073
33,544,170
Shares Outstanding -
Basic
$
19.1
$
24.0
$
(11.0)
$
61.7
Net Income (Loss) Common Shareholders
--
--
3.6
--
Preferred Stock Accretion
92.4%
91.4%
95.8%
91.5%
Operating Ratio
$
113.7
$
124.2
$
85.1
$
122.5
EBITDA
$
0.57
$
0.72
$
(0.58)
$
1.84
Earnings (Loss) Per Share –
Basic
19.1
24.0
(7.4)
61.7
Net Income (Loss)
10.8
15.1
2.4
(24.3)
Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
29.9
39.1
(5.0)
37.4
Pretax Income (Loss)
31.7
36.1
39.2
36.1
Other Expense
61.6
75.2
34.2
73.5
Operating Income
755.6
794.2
783.0
795.9
Operating Expense
$
869.4
Nine Months
Ended
September 24,
2006
$
817.2
$
817.2
$
869.4
Operating Revenue
Nine Months
Ended
September 25,
2005
Nine Months
Ended
September 25,
2005
Nine Months
Ended
September 24,
2006
(1)
Adjusted to exclude expenses related to stock offerings and a terminated management agreement, pro forma changes in vessel lease and
depreciation
expense,
pro
forma
changes
in
net
interest
expense,
and
impact
of
election
of
tonnage
tax
on
2006
results.
Please
see
Financial
Appendix for details.


20
Operating Revenue
289.1
304.7
250
260
270
280
290
300
310
2005
2006
Third Quarter
($ in Millions)
817.2
869.4
780
800
820
840
860
880
2005
2006
Nine Months
($ in Millions)
5.4%
6.4%


21
Operating Revenue
34.5
12.1
Cargo Mix and Rate Improvement
$
(28.0)
$
(10.2)
Volume Variance
42.1
14.4
Fuel Surcharges Cost Offset
Revenue Growth
($ in Millions)
$
15.6
(0.7)
Third Quarter
2006
$
52.3
Total Revenue Increase
3.7
Other / Non-Transportation Revenue
Nine Months
2006


22
Adjusted EBITDA
48.3
51.8
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
2005
2006
Third Quarter
($ in Millions)
113.7
124.2
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
2005
2006
Nine Months
($ in Millions)
7.2%
9.2%


23
Adjusted EPS
.40
.43
.00
.10
.20
.30
.40
.50
.60
2005
2006
Third Quarter
.57
.72
.10
.20
.30
.40
.50
.60
.70
.80
2005
2006
Nine Months
26.3%
7.5%
($)
($)


24
Cash Flows
0.9
1.6
Proceeds from Asset Sales, Net of Investment
(6.0)
(1.2)
Financing/Transaction Costs**
(0.5)
--
Distribution  to Holders of Preferred Stock
1.1
--
Sale of Stock
12.0
0.7
Stock Compensation
Cash Flow Summary
($ in Millions)
$
7.3
$
40.4
Net Cash Flow
(2.0)
(3.3)
Debt Repayment*
13.8
43.3
Free Cash Flow
--
(11.1)
Dividends
(21.4)
(22.5)
Interest
--
--
Taxes
(12.6)
(13.7)
Dry-Dock Expenditures
(29.5)
(10.4)
Capital Expenditures
(19.8)
(22.2)
Working Capital
$
85.1
$
122.5
EBITDA
Nine Months
September 25,
2005
Nine Months
September 24,
2006
*Includes $1.3 million open market purchase of 11% Senior Discount Notes
**Includes vessel financing costs and IPO and secondary offerings fees and credit agreement fees


25
Improving Leverage
3.5x
3.5x
LTM Adj. EBITDA  / LTM Interest Expense (b)
78%
72%
Debt / Capitalization
3.6x
3.3x
Debt / LTM Adj. EBITDA
Credit
Statistics:
$
682.4
$
737.1
Total Capitalization
151.8
203.0
Equity
530.6
534.1
Total Debt
81.7
87.2
11% Notes
(a)
197.0
197.0
9% Notes
251.9
249.9
Total Senior Secured Debt
0.5
0.4
Capital Leases
4.5
4.5
Vessel Mortgages
246.9
245.0
Term Loan
$
---
$
---
Revolver
(a)
December 25,
2005
September 24,
2006
($ in Millions)
(a)
Fully accreted balances were $104 million at December 25, 2005 and $102.5 million on September 24, 2006.
(b)
Excludes amortization of Financing Fees.  December 25, 2005 and September 24, 2006 LTM Interest Expense are pro forma.


26
2006 Earnings Guidance
$.92 -
$.94
$.21 -
$.23
Adjusted
(1)(2)
$2.19 -
$2.21
$.31 -
$.33
As Reported
Full Year
Fourth Quarter
Earnings Guidance
($ in Millions except EPS)
EPS
$161 -
$166
$40 -
$45
EBITDA
$1,155 -
$1,165
$290 -
$295
Operating Revenue
(1)
Fourth
quarter
excludes
tonnage
tax
benefit
of
$3.3
million
or
$.10
per
share.
(2)
Full
year
excludes
tonnage
tax
benefit
of
$42.6
million
or
$1.28
per
share,
and
excludes
transaction
costs
of
$1.7
million
or
$.04
per
share.


27
Financial Appendix


28
Adjusted Operating Income Results
1.9
1.7
1.8
0.8
Transaction-Related Expense
3.8
--
1.1
--
Lease Buyout
12.0
--
1.6
--
IPO Restricted Stock Compensation
Adjustments
(a)
Adjusted Operating Income
($ in Millions)
(a)
These charges are not anticipated to recur regularly in the ordinary course of business.
$
61.6
$
75.2
$
31.1
$
36.0
Adjusted Operating Income
27.4
1.7
12.7
0.8
Total Adjustments
9.7
--
8.2
--
Management Fees
$
18.4
Quarter
Ended
September 25,
2005
$
35.2
Quarter
Ended
September 24,
2006
$
34.2
$
73.5
Operating Income
Nine Months
Ended
September 25,
2005
Nine Months
Ended
September 24,
2006


29
Adjusted Net Income Results
--
(39.4)
--
(39.4)
Tonnage Tax Impact
1.9
1.7
1.8
0.8
Transaction-Related Expense
3.8
--
1.1
--
Lease Buyout
$
19.1
30.1
(8.4)
7.5
9.7
12.0
$
(7.4)
Nine Months
Ended
September 25,
2005
$
24.0
(37.7)
--
--
--
--
$
61.7
Nine Months
Ended
September 24,
2006
(5.0)
--
Tax Impact
10.6
(38.6)
Total Adjustments
8.2
--
Management Fees
1.6
--
IPO Restricted Stock Compensation
Adjusted Net Income
($ in Millions)
$
13.4
$
14.3
Adjusted Net Income
2.5
--
Interest Expense Reduction
Adjustments
$
3.2
$
52.9
Net Income (Loss)
Quarter
Ended
September 25,
2005
Quarter
Ended
September 24,
2006


30
Net Income/EBITDA Reconciliation
1.9
1.7
1.8
0.8
Transaction-Related Expense
5.0
--
1.4
--
Lease Buyout
$
113.7
9.7
12.0
85.1
50.9
2.4
39.2
$
(7.4)
Nine Months
Ended
September 25,
2005
$
124.2
--
--
122.5
48.9
(24.3)
36.2
$
61.7
Nine Months
Ended
September 24,
2006
8.2
--
Management Fees
1.6
--
IPO Restricted Stock Compensation
Net Income/EBITDA Reconciliation
($ in Millions)
$
48.3
$
51.8
Adjusted EBITDA
35.3
51.0
EBITDA
16.9
15.8
Depreciation and Amortization
2.2
(29.9)
Tax Expense
13.0
12.2
Interest Expense, Net
$
3.2
$
52.9
Net Income (Loss)
Quarter
Ended
September 25,
2005
Quarter
Ended
September 24,
2006
Note:  EBITDA is defined as net income plus net interest expense, income taxes, depreciation and amortization.  We believe that EBITDA is a meaningful
measure
for
investors
as
(i)
EBITDA
is
a
component
of
the
measure
used
by
our
board
of
directors
and
management
team
to
evaluate
our
operating
performance, (ii) the senior credit facility contains covenants that require Horizon Lines Holding Corp. to maintain certain interest expense coverage and
leverage ratios, which contain EBITDA  and (iii) EBITDA is a measure used by our management team to make day-to-day operating decisions.


31
Third Quarter 2006 Earnings Release
Questions & Answers



33
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