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Commitments And Contingencies
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2019
Commitments and Contingencies Disclosure [Abstract]  
Commitments And Contingencies Commitments and Contingencies
737 MAX Grounding
On March 13, 2019, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) issued an order to suspend operations of all 737 MAX aircraft in the U.S. and by U.S. aircraft operators following two recent fatal 737 MAX accidents. Non-U.S. civil aviation authorities have issued directives to the same effect. We are working closely with the relevant government authorities to support both accident investigations. We are also fully cooperating with other U.S. government investigations related to the accidents. While production continues on the 737 MAX, deliveries have been suspended until clearance is granted by the appropriate regulatory authorities.
We have been developing a software update to the Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System (MCAS) on the 737 MAX, together with an associated pilot training and supplementary education program. We continue to work with the FAA and other regulatory agencies worldwide to develop and certify the software update and training program. Charges recognized during the first quarter of 2019 related to the MCAS software update and related pilot training were immaterial.
Prior to the grounding, Boeing had delivered 387 737 MAX aircraft of which 57 were delivered in the first quarter of 2019. On April 5, 2019, we announced plans to reduce the production rate from 52 aircraft per month to 42 per month effective April 15, 2019. The resulting impacts, which were reflected in the first quarter, increased costs to produce aircraft included in the current accounting quantity by $1,016 and reduced 737
program and overall BCA segment margins. We will continue to evaluate production rates depending on the timing and conditions surrounding a return to service. Prior to the grounding, we expected MAX deliveries to approximate 90 percent of total 737 deliveries in 2019. In addition to the grounding, the timing of MAX deliveries during the quarter was adversely affected by delays in the supply chain. We may face additional costs, delays in return to service, and/or a prolonged reduction in the production rate.
The grounding has reduced revenues, operating earnings and cash flows during the first quarter of 2019 and will continue to adversely affect our results until deliveries resume and production rates increase. We may also experience claims or assertions from customers and/or suppliers in connection with the grounding. We are unable at this time to reasonably estimate potential future financial impacts or a range of loss, if any, because any such estimate would depend on many factors, including the ongoing status of the accident investigations and the timing and conditions surrounding a return to service. Any such impacts could have a material adverse effect on our financial position, results of operations, or cash flows.
Environmental
The following table summarizes environmental remediation activity during the three months ended March 31, 2019 and 2018.
 
2019

 
2018

Beginning balance – January 1

$555

 

$524

Reductions for payments made
(11
)
 
(7
)
Changes in estimates
4

 
22

Ending balance – March 31

$548

 

$539


The liabilities recorded represent our best estimate or the low end of a range of reasonably possible costs expected to be incurred to remediate sites, including operation and maintenance over periods of up to 30 years. It is reasonably possible that we may incur charges that exceed these recorded amounts because of regulatory agency orders and directives, changes in laws and/or regulations, higher than expected costs and/or the discovery of new or additional contamination. As part of our estimating process, we develop a range of reasonably possible alternate scenarios that includes the high end of a range of reasonably possible cost estimates for all remediation sites for which we have sufficient information based on our experience and existing laws and regulations. There are some potential remediation obligations where the costs of remediation cannot be reasonably estimated. At March 31, 2019 and December 31, 2018, the high end of the estimated range of reasonably possible remediation costs exceeded our recorded liabilities by $1,090 and $796.
Product Warranties
The following table summarizes product warranty activity recorded during the three months ended March 31, 2019 and 2018.
 
2019

 
2018

Beginning balance – January 1

$1,127

 

$1,211

Additions for current year deliveries
50

 
70

Reductions for payments made
(8
)
 
(32
)
Changes in estimates
(60
)
 
(101
)
Ending balance – March 31

$1,109

 

$1,148


Commercial Aircraft Commitments
In conjunction with signing definitive agreements for the sale of new aircraft (Sale Aircraft), we have entered into trade-in commitments with certain customers that give them the right to trade in used aircraft at a specified price upon the purchase of Sale Aircraft. The probability that trade-in commitments will be exercised is
determined by using both quantitative information from valuation sources and qualitative information from other sources. The probability of exercise is assessed quarterly, or as events trigger a change, and takes into consideration the current economic and airline industry environments. Trade-in commitments, which can be terminated by mutual consent with the customer, may be exercised only during the period specified in the agreement, and require advance notice by the customer.
Trade-in commitment agreements at March 31, 2019 have expiration dates from 2019 through 2026. At March 31, 2019, and December 31, 2018 total contractual trade-in commitments were $1,504 and $1,519. As of March 31, 2019 and December 31, 2018, we estimated that it was probable we would be obligated to perform on certain of these commitments with net amounts payable to customers totaling $511 and $522 and the fair value of the related trade-in aircraft was $477 and $485.
Financing Commitments
Financing commitments related to aircraft on order, including options and those proposed in sales campaigns, and refinancing of delivered aircraft, totaled $18,265 and $19,462 as of March 31, 2019 and December 31, 2018. The estimated earliest potential funding dates for these commitments as of March 31, 2019 are as follows:
  
Total

April through December 2019

$981

2020
3,429

2021
3,087

2022
1,784

2023
3,261

Thereafter
5,723

 

$18,265


As of March 31, 2019, $18,012 of these financing commitments related to customers we believe have less than investment-grade credit. We have concluded that no reserve for future potential losses is required for these financing commitments based upon the terms, such as collateralization and interest rates, under which funding would be provided.
Standby Letters of Credit and Surety Bonds
We have entered into standby letters of credit and surety bonds with financial institutions primarily relating to the guarantee of our future performance on certain contracts. Contingent liabilities on outstanding letters of credit agreements and surety bonds aggregated approximately $3,828 and $3,761 as of March 31, 2019 and December 31, 2018.
United States Government Defense Environment Overview
The Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018, passed in February 2018, raised the 2011 Budget Control Act spending caps for fiscal years 2018 and 2019 (FY18 and FY19). The consolidated spending bills signed into law in September 2018 provide defense funding for FY19, in compliance with the revised caps. These bills also provided FY19 appropriations for most of the federal government. The Consolidated Appropriations Act, enacted in February 2019, provided FY19 appropriations for the remaining parts of the federal government, including the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA).
There continues to be uncertainty with respect to future program-level appropriations for the U.S. DoD and other government agencies, including NASA. The 2011 Budget Control Act continues to mandate spending caps on U.S. government discretionary spending for fiscal years 2020 and 2021 (FY20 and FY21). In March 2019, the Administration submitted its FY20 budget request, which calls for funding for the base national defense budget at the spending caps specified for FY20. The Administration also requested that an additional
$98 billion in base national defense requirements be appropriated outside of the base funding request that is subject to the spending caps, in order to avoid raising the caps. The lower budget caps will take effect again in FY20 and FY21 unless Congress acts to raise or appropriate funding outside of the spending caps or to repeal or suspend the law. As a result, continued budget uncertainty and the risk of future sequestration cuts remain. Future budget cuts or investment priority changes could result in reductions, cancellations and/or delays of existing contracts or programs. Any of these impacts could have a material effect on the results of the Company’s operations, financial position and/or cash flows.
BDS Fixed-Price Development Contracts
Fixed-price development work is inherently uncertain and subject to significant variability in estimates of the cost and time required to complete the work. BDS fixed-price contracts with significant development work include Commercial Crew, USAF KC-46A Tanker, T-X Trainer, VC-25B Presidential Aircraft, MQ-25 Stingray, and commercial and military satellites. The operational and technical complexities of these contracts create financial risk, which could trigger termination provisions, order cancellations or other financially significant exposure. Changes to cost and revenue estimates could result in lower margins or material charges for reach-forward losses. For example, we have recorded reach-forward losses on the KC-46A Tanker and we continue to have risk for further losses if we experience further production, technical or quality issues, and delays in flight testing, certification and/or delivery. In addition, in 2018, in connection with winning the T-X Trainer and MQ-25 Stingray competitions, we recorded a loss of $400 associated with options for 346 T-X Trainer aircraft and a loss of $291 related to the MQ-25 Stingray Engineering, Manufacturing and Development (EMD) contract. Moreover, our fixed-price development programs remain subject to additional reach-forward losses if we experience further technical or quality issues, schedule delays, or increased costs. 
KC-46A Tanker
In 2011, we were awarded a contract from the U.S. Air Force (USAF) to design, develop, manufacture and deliver four next generation aerial refueling tankers. This EMD contract is a fixed-price incentive fee contract valued at $4.9 billion and involves highly complex designs and systems integration. In 2016, the USAF authorized two low rate initial production (LRIP) lots for 7 and 12 aircraft valued at $2.8 billion. In January 2017, the USAF authorized an additional LRIP lot for 15 aircraft valued at $2.1 billion. On September 10, 2018, the USAF authorized an additional 18 aircraft valued at $2.9 billion. In January 2019, we delivered the first KC-46A Tanker to the USAF.
At March 31, 2019, we had approximately $383 of capitalized precontract costs and $784 of potential termination liabilities to suppliers.
Recoverable Costs on Government Contracts  
Our final incurred costs for each year are subject to audit and review for allowability by the U.S. government, which can result in payment demands related to costs they believe should be disallowed. We work with the U.S. government to assess the merits of claims and where appropriate reserve for amounts disputed. If we are unable to satisfactorily resolve disputed costs, we could be required to record an earnings charge and/or provide refunds to the U.S. government.