10-Q 1 d10q.htm FORM 10-Q Form 10-Q
Table of Contents

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-Q

(Mark One)

þ        QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2007

OR

¨        TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from

to

Commission file number 000-50795

LOGO

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

Delaware   75-2770432
(State of other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
  (I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
4450 Sojourn Drive, Suite 500  
Addison, Texas   75001
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

(972) 728-6300

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Not Applicable

(Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.

Yes  þ    No  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer or non-accelerated filer. See definition of “accelerated filer and large accelerated filer” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (check one):

 

Large Accelerated Filer  ¨   Accelerated Filer  þ   Non-Accelerated Filer  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act):

¨  Yes    No  þ

Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date.

The number of shares outstanding of the registrant’s common stock,

$.01 par value, as of November 6, 2007: 15,375,848

 



Table of Contents

Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Quarter Ended September 30, 2007

Index to Form 10-Q

 

Part I – Financial Information

   3
  Item 1. Financial Statements    3
    Consolidated Balance Sheets – September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006    3
    Consolidated Statements of Income – Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007 and 2006    4
    Consolidated Statements of Stockholders’ Equity – September 30, 2007 and 2006    5
    Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss) – Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007 and 2006    5
    Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows – Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007 and 2006    6
    Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements    7
  Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations    20
  Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk    41
  Item 4. Controls and Procedures    43

Part II – Other Information

   44
  Item 1. Legal Proceedings    44
  Item 1A. Risk Factors    44
  Item 6. Exhibits    44

SIGNATURES

   45

 

2


Table of Contents

PART I – FINANCIAL INFORMATION

Item 1. Financial Statements

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(in thousands, except share data)

 

     September 30,
2007
    December 31,
2006
 
     (unaudited)        

Assets

    

Fixed maturities – available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost 2007: $359,655; 2006: $220,649)

   $ 359,957     $ 219,960  

Short-term investments

     13,610       1,810  
                

Total invested assets

     373,567       221,770  

Cash and cash equivalents

     49,042       52,484  

Fiduciary and restricted cash

     17,815       35,582  

Accrued investment income

     4,958       1,837  

Premiums and fees receivable

     91,688       78,307  

Premium finance receivable, net

     37,542        

Commissions receivable

     622       909  

Receivable from reinsurers, net

     67,434       19,706  

Deferred acquisition costs

     30,150       23,865  

Deferred tax assets

     5,422       8,880  

Federal income taxes receivable

     15,316       7,153  

Investment in real property, net

     5,993        

Property and equipment, net

     24,627       10,289  

Goodwill

     163,462       65,288  

Other intangible assets, net

     24,649       18,155  

Other assets, net of allowance for doubtful accounts of $7,213 for 2007 and 2006

     14,288       7,953  
                

Total assets

   $ 926,575     $ 552,178  
                

Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity

    

Liabilities

    

Reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses

   $ 235,632     $ 162,569  

Unearned premium

     144,952       92,124  

Deferred revenue

     9,088       7,877  

Senior secured credit facility

     198,500        

Notes payable

     76,935       56,702  

Capital lease obligation

     37        

Other liabilities

     46,539       26,513  
                

Total liabilities

     711,683       345,785  
                

Stockholders’ Equity

    

Common stock, $0.01 par value; 75,000,000 shares authorized, 17,729,211 shares issued and 15,375,848 shares outstanding at September 30, 2007; 17,707,938 shares issued and 15,354,475 shares outstanding at December 31, 2006

     177       177  

Additional paid-in capital

     161,774       160,862  

Treasury stock, at cost (2,353,363 shares at September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006)

     (32,880 )     (32,880 )

Accumulated other comprehensive loss

     (147 )     (448 )

Retained earnings

     85,968       78,682  
                

Total stockholders’ equity

     214,892       206,393  
                

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

   $ 926,575     $ 552,178  
                

See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

3


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME

(in thousands, except per share data)

 

    

Three Months Ended

September 30,

   

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

 
     2007     2006     2007     2006  
     (unaudited)  

Revenues

        

Net premiums earned

   $ 103,850     $ 71,877     $ 299,877     $ 218,668  

Commission income and fees

     21,964       14,420       68,634       46,471  

Net investment income

     4,158       2,233       12,158       6,447  

Net realized losses

     (91 )     (78 )     (582 )     (444 )
                                

Total revenues

     129,881       88,452       380,087       271,142  
                                

Expenses

        

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

     74,067       46,044       213,919       140,777  

Selling, general and administrative expenses

     41,084       32,979       127,621       99,774  

Depreciation and amortization

     2,636       1,094       8,734       3,213  

Interest expense

     6,304       1,085       19,220       3,256  
                                

Total expenses

     124,091       81,202       369,494       247,020  
                                

Income before income taxes and minority interest

     5,790       7,250       10,593       24,122  

Income taxes

     948       2,278       2,387       7,954  

Minority interest, net of income taxes

                       81  
                                

Net income

   $ 4,842     $ 4,972     $ 8,206     $ 16,087  
                                

Net income per common share:

        

Basic

   $ 0.31     $ 0.33     $ 0.53     $ 1.05  
                                

Diluted

   $ 0.31     $ 0.33     $ 0.53     $ 1.05  
                                

Weighted average common shares outstanding:

        

Basic

     15,375       15,140       15,367       15,297  
                                

Diluted

     15,392       15,187       15,401       15,327  
                                

Dividends declared per common share

   $ 0.02     $ 0.02     $ 0.06     $ 0.06  
                                

See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

4


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY

(in thousands, except per share data)

 

     Nine Months Ended September 30,  
     2007     2006  
     Shares    Amounts     Shares    Amounts  
     (unaudited)  

Common stock

          

Balance at beginning of year

   17,707,938    $ 177     17,483,520    $ 175  

Issuance of restricted stock

   7,273                

Exercises of stock options

   14,000          10,329       
                          

Balance at end of period

   17,729,211      177     17,493,849      175  
                          

Additional paid-in capital

          

Balance at beginning of year

        160,862          158,904  

Exercises of stock options

        204          116  

Stock-based compensation expense

        708          396  
                      

Balance at end of period

        161,774          159,416  
                      

Retained earnings

          

Balance at beginning of year

        78,682          70,158  

Net income

        8,206          16,087  

Dividends declared

        (920 )        (915 )
                      

Balance at end of period

        85,968          85,330  
                      

Treasury stock

          

Balance at end of period

   2,353,363      (32,880 )   2,050,963      (28,746 )

Purchase of treasury stock

            302,400      (4,134 )
                          

Balance at end of period

   2,353,363      (32,880 )   2,353,363      (32,880 )
                          

Accumulated other comprehensive loss

          

Balance at beginning of year

        (448 )        (529 )

Unrealized appreciation on investment securities

        647          98  

Loss on cash flow hedge

        (346 )         
                      

Balance at end of period

        (147 )        (431 )
                      

Total stockholders’ equity

      $ 214,892        $ 211,610  
                      

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

(in thousands)

 

    

Three Months Ended

September 30,

   

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

 
     2007     2006     2007     2006  
     (unaudited)  

Net income

   $ 4,842     $ 4,972     $ 8,206     $ 16,087  
                                

Other comprehensive income (loss) –

        

Unrealized gain on investment securities

     1,995       563       995       151  

Loss on cash flow hedge

     (1,140 )           (532 )      
                                
     855       563       463       151  

Applicable income tax expense

     (299 )     (197 )     (162 )     (53 )
                                

Other comprehensive income, net

     556       366       301       98  
                                

Total comprehensive income

   $ 5,398     $ 5,338     $ 8,507     $ 16,185  
                                

See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

5


Table of Contents

Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc. and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(in thousands)

 

    

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

       2007            2006    
     (Unaudited)

Cash flows from operating activities

     

Net income

    $ 8,206      $ 16,087 

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:

     

Depreciation and amortization

     8,734       3,213 

Stock-based compensation expense

     708       396 

Amortization of debt acquisition cost

     671       — 

Realized loss on disposal of assets

     582       367 

Amortization of premiums and discounts on investments

     1,999       1,062 

Changes in assets and liabilities –

     

Fiduciary and restricted cash

     17,887       (2,449)

Premiums and commissions receivable

     (13,094)      (6,941)

Reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     1,541       12,919 

Net due to/from reinsurers

     35,817       4,351 

Premium finance contracts

     (272)      — 

Deferred revenue

     (7,633)      (1,208)

Unearned premiums

     7,365       1,877 

Deferred acquisition costs

     (6,285)      (1,552)

Deferred income taxes

     10,790       4,895 

Federal income taxes receivable/payable

     (8,188)      7,260 

Other

     11,641       (8,940)
             

Net cash provided by operating activities

     70,469       31,337 
             

Cash flows from investing activities

     

Proceeds from sales and maturities of bonds

     129,004       290,794 

Cost of bonds acquired

     (203,240)      (300,081)

Purchases of property and equipment

     (14,066)      (3,601)

Net cash paid for acquisitions

     (176,750)      (4,286)
             

Net cash used in investing activities

     (265,052)      (17,174)
             

Cash flows from financing activities

     

Principal payments under capital lease obligations

     (125)      — 

Borrowings under senior secured credit facility

     200,000       — 

Principal payments on senior secured credit facility

     (1,500)      — 

Debt acquisition costs paid

     (6,518)      — 

Proceeds from exercise of stock options

     204       116 

Treasury stock purchased

     —       (4,134)

Dividends paid

     (920)      (915)
             

Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities

     191,141       (4,933)
             

Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents

     (3,442)      9,230 

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period

     52,484       48,037 
             

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period

    $ 49,042      $ 57,267 
             

Supplemental disclosure of cash flow information:

     

Cash paid (refunded) for –

     

Interest

    $ 17,126      $ 3,159 

Income taxes

    $ (216)     $ (4,628)

See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

6


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited)


 

 

1. General

Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc. is an insurance holding company engaged in underwriting, servicing and distributing non-standard automobile insurance policies and related products and services to individual consumers in targeted geographic areas. In this report, the terms “Affirmative,” “the Company,” “we,” “us,” or “our” mean Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc. and all entities included in the consolidated financial statements. Our subsidiaries include five insurance companies, four underwriting agencies, six retail agencies with 230 owned retail locations (15 of which are located in leased space within supermarkets owned by a major supermarket chain under an agreement signed in late 2005) and 35 operating franchise retail store locations in Florida as of September 30, 2007. Our underwriting agencies utilize approximately 3,600 independent agencies to sell the policies that they administer. In addition, we have relationships with two unaffiliated underwriting agencies in California producing new business for our insurance companies through approximately 4,300 independent agencies. We are currently active in offering insurance products and services through retail stores in 10 states (Louisiana, Illinois, Texas, Missouri, Indiana, South Carolina, Florida, Kansas, Wisconsin and Alabama) including our franchised stores in Florida and distributing our own insurance policies through independent agents in eight states (Illinois, Texas, Missouri, Indiana, South Carolina, Florida, Michigan and New Mexico).

On January 31, 2007, we completed the acquisition of USAgencies L.L.C. (“USAgencies”), a non-standard automobile insurance distributor and provider headquartered in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, in a fully-financed all cash transaction. At the time of acquisition, USAgencies had 91 operating retail sales locations in Louisiana, Illinois and Alabama selling its products directly to consumers through its owned retail stores, virtual call centers and internet site. The acquisition gives us a leading market position in Louisiana, the 12th largest non-standard personal automobile insurance market. See Note 3.

 

2. Summary of Significant Accounting Policies

Basis of Presentation

Our consolidated financial statements included herein have been prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) and include our accounts and the accounts of our operating subsidiaries. All intercompany accounts and transactions have been eliminated in consolidation. Certain information and footnote disclosures normally included in financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP have been condensed or omitted pursuant to rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) for interim financial reporting. These financial statements should be read in conjunction with the audited financial statements and notes thereto for the year ended December 31, 2006 included in the reports on the Form 10-K filed with the SEC on March 16, 2007 and the Form 8-K/A filed with the SEC on April 17, 2007.

The interim financial statements as of September 30, 2007 and 2006 and for the three and nine months then ended are unaudited; however, in our opinion, the interim data includes all adjustments, consisting only of normal recurring adjustments, necessary for a fair statement of the results for the interim periods. Operating results for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2007 are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for the full fiscal year.

Certain amounts in the consolidated financial statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006 have been reclassified to conform to the presentation format adopted in 2007. These reclassifications have no effect on the net income previously reported.

 

7


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited) – Continued


 

Use of Estimates in the Preparation of Financial Statements

The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting periods. These estimates and assumptions are particularly important in determining revenue recognition, reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses, deferred policy acquisition costs, reinsurance receivables and impairment of assets. We base our estimates on historical experience and on various other assumptions that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities. Actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions.

Adoption of New Accounting Standards

We adopted the provisions of Statement of Financial Accounting Standard (“SFAS”) No. 155, Accounting for Certain Hybrid Financial Instruments – an amendment of Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) Statements No. 133 and 140 (“SFAS 155”), which permits the fair value remeasurement of any hybrid financial instrument that contains an embedded derivative that otherwise would require bifurcation under SFAS No. 133, Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities (“SFAS 133”); clarifies which interest-only strips and principal-only strips are not subject to the requirements of SFAS 133; establishes a requirement to evaluate interests in securitized financial assets to identify interests that are freestanding derivatives or hybrid financial instruments that contain an embedded derivative requiring bifurcation and clarifies that concentrations of credit risk in the form of subordination are not embedded derivatives. All securities acquired on or after January 1, 2007 have been accounted for in accordance with the new guidance. The adoption of SFAS 155 did not have a material impact on our consolidated financial statements.

Beginning January 1, 2007, we have accounted for uncertainty in income taxes recognized in the financial statements in accordance with FASB Interpretation No. 48, Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes (“FIN 48”). FIN 48 requires that a more-likely-than-not threshold be met before the benefit of a tax position may be recognized in the financial statements and prescribes how such benefit should be measured. It also provides guidance on derecognition, classification, accrual of interest and penalties, accounting in interim periods, disclosure and transition. It requires that the new standard be applied to the balances of assets and liabilities as of the beginning of the period of adoption and that a corresponding adjustment be made to the opening balance of retained earnings. As a result of the adoption, we recognized no additional liability or reduction in deferred tax asset for unrecognized tax benefits. We are no longer subject to US federal, state, local or non-US income tax examinations by tax authorities for years prior to 2003. While we typically do not incur significant interest or penalties on income tax liabilities, our policy is to classify those amounts as administrative expense. We did not change our policy on classification of interest and penalties on income tax liabilities upon adoption of FIN 48.

Recently Issued Accounting Standards

In September 2006, the FASB issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 157, Fair Value Measurements (“SFAS 157”). SFAS 157 defines fair value to be the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date and emphasizes that fair value is a market-based measurement, not an entity-specific measurement. It establishes a fair value hierarchy and expands disclosures about fair value measurements in both interim and annual periods. SFAS 157 will be effective for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007 and interim periods within those fiscal years. We are currently evaluating the impact of adopting SFAS 157.

 

8


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited) – Continued


 

In February 2007, the FASB issued Statement No. 159, Establishing the Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Liabilities (“SFAS 159”), which includes an amendment to FASB No. 115, Accounting for Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities (“SFAS 115”). SFAS 159 permits entities to choose to measure many financial instruments and certain other items at fair value. The objective is to improve financial reporting by providing entities with the opportunity to mitigate volatility in reported earnings caused by measuring related assets and liabilities differently without having to apply complex hedge accounting provisions. This statement is expected to expand the use of fair value measurement, which is consistent with the FASB’s long-term measurement objectives for accounting for financial instruments. This statement applies to all entities and most of the provisions of this statement apply only to entities that elect the fair value option. However, the amendment to FAS 115 applies to all entities with available-for-sale and trading securities. SFAS 159 is effective for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007, with early adoption permitted for an entity that has also elected to apply the provisions of SFAS 157. An entity is prohibited from retroactively applying SFAS 159, unless it has chosen early adoption. SFAS 159 also applies to eligible items existing at November 15, 2007 (or early adoption). We are currently evaluating the impact of adopting SFAS 159.

 

3. Acquisitions

USAgencies • On January 31, 2007, we completed the acquisition of USAgencies through a fully-financed all cash transaction valued at approximately $199.1 million. The purchase of USAgencies was financed through $200.0 million in borrowings under a $220.0 million senior secured credit facility that was entered into concurrently with the completion of the acquisition. See Note 8. For accounting purposes, the transaction was effective as of January 1, 2007, so the operating results of USAgencies have been included in our consolidated financial statements since that effective date.

The estimated fair values and useful lives of assets acquired and liabilities assumed are based on management’s valuation. We completed a valuation study to determine the allocation of the total purchase price to the various assets acquired and liabilities assumed. The final purchase price allocations did not result in material differences in allocations for tangible and intangible assets than presented in previously reported Consolidated Balance Sheets.

 

9


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited) – Continued


 

The following table summarizes the allocation of the purchase price (in thousands):

 

Assets acquired:

  

Cash and cash equivalents

    $ 22,749 

Investments

     79,164 

Reinsurance receivable

     83,545 

Premium finance receivable

     37,270 

Real estate

     6,080 

Fixed assets

     4,303 

Goodwill

     97,808 

Intangible assets

     11,500 

Deferred tax assets

     7,494 

Other assets

     4,090 
      

Total assets acquired

     354,003 
      

Liabilities assumed:

  

Accounts payable and accrued liabilities

     8,617 

Notes payable

     20,262 

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     71,522 

Unearned premiums

     45,463 

Unearned revenues

     8,844 

Capital leases

     162 
      

Total liabilities assumed

     154,870 
      

Total purchase price

     199,133 

Less: Cash and cash equivalents acquired

     22,749 
      

Net cash paid for acquisition

    $ 176,384 
      

Included in the purchase price allocation are intangible assets subject to amortization totaling $9.8 million, consisting of $1.0 million for a non-competition agreement, $4.7 million of customer relationships, $3.9 million of trademark and $200,000 of lease interest. As of September 30, 2007, these intangible assets had a carrying value of $5.6 million. Goodwill recorded in connection with the acquisition is not deductible for tax purposes. Other intangible assets related to state licenses of $1.7 million are not subject to amortization. Estimated amortization expenses related to the USAgencies acquisition for 2007 and the future years is as follows (in thousands):

 

2007

    $ 5,095 

2008

     2,890 

2009

     1,700 

2010

     115 
      

Total

    $ 9,800 
      

Other Acquisitions • For the nine months ended September 30, 2007, we paid $366,000 in contingent purchase price adjustments related to prior acquisitions.

On March 14, 2006, we completed the acquisition of the 27% minority ownership interest of Space Coast Holdings, Inc (“Space Coast”). We paid approximately $3.2 million to the minority owners and recorded $3.2 million in goodwill. Consequently, our current ownership interest in Space Coast is 100%. In addition, for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, we paid $779,000 in contingent purchase price adjustments related to prior acquisitions, $225,000 for the purchase of two retail stores and $64,000 for the purchase of a franchise. We do not anticipate making any material future payments of contingent purchase price adjustments related to acquisitions completed prior to the date of this report.

 

10


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited) – Continued


 

4. Reinsurance

The effect of reinsurance on premiums written and earned is as follows (in thousands):

 

    

Three Months Ended

September 30,

   

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

 
     2007     2006     2007     2006  
     Written     Earned     Written     Earned     Written     Earned     Written    Earned  

Direct

   $ 93,136     $ 120,884     $ 53,695     $ 51,666     $ 303,179     $ 293,681     $ 153,064    $ 138,498  

Assumed

     15,673       16,712       14,791       20,362       50,936       53,076       69,902      82,590  

Ceded

     (11,570 )     (33,746 )     (126 )     (151 )     (25,047 )     (46,880 )     572      (2,420 )
                                                               

Total

   $ 97,239     $ 103,850     $ 68,360     $ 71,877     $ 329,068     $ 299,877     $ 223,538    $ 218,668  
                                                               

Through the acquisition of USAgencies, we acquired two additional insurance companies, USAgencies Casualty Insurance Company (“Casualty”), a Louisiana-domiciled insurer, issuing policies only in Louisiana, and USAgencies Direct Insurance Company (“Direct”), a New York-domiciled carrier, issuing policies in Illinois and Alabama. Casualty and Direct had entered into significant quota share reinsurance contracts with GMAC Reinsurance (“GMAC”) and had been dependent upon these reinsurance contracts in order to continue to write and finance their historical level of insurance premiums. The quota share reinsurance contracts in existence at the time of acquisition for Casualty’s Louisiana and Direct’s Illinois business were originally in effect through 2008. Direct’s Alabama business was covered under a quota share reinsurance contract through 2007.

In connection with the completion of the acquisition of USAgencies, we re-evaluated their reinsurance program in light of the capital structure and risk management programs of the larger combined operations of Affirmative. As a result, terms were re-negotiated with GMAC and a new quota share reinsurance agreement was made effective April 1, 2007, under which the net retention increased from 30% to 75% in Louisiana and from 25% to 75% in Alabama on policies issued in those two states by Affirmative Insurance Company (“AIC”), Casualty or Direct. Concurrently, we exercised our option to terminate the prior GMAC quota share contracts on a “cut-off” basis. Further, Casualty has been made a party to the intercompany reinsurance arrangement by which all premiums on policies written by Casualty since January 1, 2007, that are not specifically ceded to any other reinsurer will be ceded to AIC. As a result, Casualty will have no net written premium subsequent to January 1, 2007. A new catastrophe excess of loss reinsurance contract for risks in Alabama and Louisiana was also negotiated and became effective April 1, 2007.

Direct and Casualty have received ceding commissions from GMAC. The quota share ceding commission rate structure varies based on loss experience. The estimates of loss experience are continually reviewed and adjusted, and the resulting adjustments to ceding commissions are reflected in current operations.

The ceding commissions recognized are reflected as a reduction of the following expenses for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 (in thousands):

 

    

Three Months

Ended

September 30,

2007

  

Nine Months

Ended

September 30,

2007

Selling, general and administrative expenses

   $ 1,705    $ 7,495

Loss adjustment expenses

     1,216      5,401
             

Total

   $ 2,921    $ 12,896
             

 

11


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited) – Continued


 

The amount of recoveries pertaining to quota share reinsurance contracts that were deducted from losses incurred during 2007 was approximately $53.3 million.

The amount of loss reserves and unearned premium we would remain liable for in the event our reinsurers are unable to meet their obligations is as follows (in thousands):

 

    

As of

September 30,

2007

  

As of

December 31,

2006

Losses and loss adjustment expense reserves

   $ 51,032    $ 21,590

Unearned premiums reserves

     12,294      1,221
             

Total

   $ 63,326    $ 22,811
             

On April 1, 2007, as discussed above, we exercised our option to terminate the GMAC quota share contracts on a “cut-off” basis. On April 30, 2007, we received $31.0 million to settle the unearned premiums less return ceding commissions. Taking this recovery into account, our net exposure for reinsurance provided by GMAC at September 30, 2007 was $32.6 million.

The following table summarizes the ceded incurred losses (consisting of paid losses ceded, loss adjustment expenses ceded and change in loss reserves ceded) to various reinsurers for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 (in thousands):

 

    

Three Months Ended

September 30,

   

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

     2007     2006     2007     2006

Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses ceded:

        

by USAgencies

   $ 14,723     $     $ 45,182     $

by others

     3,148       1,118       5,755       5,628
                              

Total (A)

   $ 17,871     $ 1,118     $ 50,937     $ 5,628
                              

Change in loss reserves ceded:

        

by USAgencies

   $ 10,477     $     $ (2,064 )   $

by others

     (1,206 )     (1,391 )     4,416       1,514
                              

Total (B)

   $ 9,271     $ (1,391 )   $ (2,352 )   $ 1,514
                              

Incurred losses ceded:

        

by USAgencies

   $ 25,200     $     $ 43,118     $

by others

     1,942       (273 )     10,171       7,142
                              

Total (A) + (B)

   $ 27,142     $ (273 )   $ 53,289     $ 7,142
                              

At September 30, 2007, our total receivables from reinsurers were $67.4 million, consisting of $32.6 million from GMAC (rated A- by A.M. Best) for business reinsured in Louisiana and Alabama, $20.1 million net receivable (net of $2.5 million payable) from subsidiaries of Vesta Insurance Group (“VIG”), including primarily Vesta Fire Insurance Corporation (“VFIC”), $8.5 million receivable from the Michigan Catastrophic Claims Association, the mandatory reinsurance association in Michigan, $3.6 million from Evergreen National Indemnity Company (rated A by A.M. Best) and $2.6 million receivables from other reinsurers. Under the reinsurance agreement with VFIC, AIC had the right, under certain circumstances, to require VFIC to provide a letter of credit or establish a trust account to collateralize the gross amount due AIC and Insura Property and Casualty Insurance Company (“Insura”) from VFIC under the reinsurance agreement. Accordingly, AIC, Insura and VFIC entered into a Security Fund Agreement effective September 1, 2004. On August 30, 2005, AIC received a letter from VFIC’s President that irrevocably confirmed VFIC’s duty and obligation under the Security Fund Agreement to provide security sufficient to satisfy VFIC’s gross obligations under the reinsurance agreement (the

 

12


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited) – Continued


 

“VFIC Trust”). At September 30, 2007, the VFIC Trust held $23.8 million to collateralize the $22.6 million gross recoverable from VFIC. In June 2006, the Texas Department of Insurance placed VFIC, along with several of its affiliates, into rehabilitation and subsequently into liquidation. Due to VFIC’s liquidation status, AIC has worked through certain procedures to effect its right to withdraw funds from the VFIC Trust. AIC has worked with the Special Deputy Receiver (the “SDR”) and the SDR’s staff on this matter since VFIC was placed into liquidation. To date, the SDR has not taken issue with the validity of the VFIC Trust, and we have negotiated with the SDR and established the manner in which funds will be withdrawn from the VFIC Trust, which includes the approval of the Special Master of the Receivership Court.

On November 6, 2007, AIC completed its first withdrawal of funds from the VFIC Trust in the amount of $5.8 million. As a result of this transaction, the VFIC Trust balance will decrease, the gross receivable from VFIC will decrease and cash and cash equivalents will increase by $5.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2007.

At September 30, 2007, $17.2 million was included in reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses that represented the amounts owed from AIC and Insura under reinsurance agreements with the VIG affiliated companies, including Hawaiian Insurance and Guaranty Company, Ltd (“Hawaiian”). Affirmative established a trust account to collateralize this payable, which currently holds $22.9 million (including accrued interest) in securities (the “AFIC Trust”). The AFIC Trust has not been drawn upon by the SDR in Texas or the SDR in Hawaii. It is the expectation that the terms for withdrawal of funds from the AFIC trust will be similar to those we expect to be agreed to in regards to the VFIC Trust.

AIC is a party to a 100% quota share reinsurance agreement with Hawaiian, which is ultimately a wholly-owned subsidiary of VIG. On November 4, 2004, Hawaiian was named among a group of four other named defendants and twenty unnamed defendants in a complaint filed in the Superior Court of the State of California for the County of Los Angeles alleging causes of action as follows: enforcement of coverage under Hawaiian’s policy of an underlying default judgment plaintiff obtained against Hawaiian’s former insured, who was denied a defense in the underlying lawsuit due to his failure to timely pay the Hawaiian policy premium; ratification and waiver of policy lapse and declaratory relief against Hawaiian; breach of implied covenant of good faith and fair dealing against Hawaiian with the plaintiff as the assignee of the insured; intentional misconduct as to the defendant SCJ Insurance Services (“SCJ”); and professional negligence as to the defendants Prompt Insurance Services, Paul Ruelas, and Anthony David Medina. SCJ, Prompt Insurance Services, Paul Ruelas, and Anthony David Medina are not affiliated with Affirmative. The plaintiff sought to enforce an underlying default judgment obtained against Hawaiian’s insured on September 24, 2004 in the amount of $35.0 million and additional bad faith damages including punitive damages in the amount of $35.0 million.

On August 8, 2005, plaintiff served a copy of its Second Amended Complaint, which added a cause of action for fraud and deceit against all defendants, and a cause of action for negligent misrepresentation against Hawaiian and SCJ.

On January 31, 2006, Judge Bigelow absolved Hawaiian and SCJ of all counts plaintiff filed against them in this litigation on the trial court level by virtue of court order on motions for summary judgment that were submitted by both Hawaiian and SCJ. A partial dismissal without prejudice was entered as to defendant Paul Ruelas. Plaintiff filed a notice of appeal on April 18, 2006. On September 22, 2006, Hawaiian moved to stay appellate proceedings pursuant to an Order of Liquidation entered on August 21, 2006, in the Circuit Court for the State of Hawaii.

On October 2, 2006, The Court of Appeal of the State of California, Second Appellate District, Division Five, granted the stay order requested by Hawaiian. On December 11, 2006, the court modified its October 2, 2006 stay order by lifting it as to SCJ, causing the suit to proceed with SCJ as the sole defendant. Hawaiian filed a status update with the court on March 7, 2007 indicating that the liquidation proceeding for Hawaiian remained pending and in full force and effect. On March 15, 2007, plaintiff moved the Court of Appeal to lift the stay and that motion was denied. On March 27, 2007, plaintiff filed a petition with the Supreme Court of California for review of the Court of Appeal’s order denying

 

13


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited) – Continued


 

plaintiff’s motion to lift the stay, and on July 13, 2007, the Supreme Court of California denied that petition. Hawaiian and the other defendants thereto believe plaintiff’s allegations in this lawsuit are without merit and will continue to vigorously contest the claims brought by the plaintiff, and intend to exercise all available rights and remedies against them; however, the ultimate outcome of this matter is uncertain.

Effective August 1, 2005, we entered into novation agreements with several unaffiliated reinsurers who participated in a quota share reinsurance agreement in which we also participated. Pursuant to these agreements, we were substituted in place of these reinsurers assuming all rights, interests, liabilities and obligations related to the original quota share reinsurance agreement. As a result of these novation agreements, our participation in the original reinsurance agreement increased from 5% to 100%, effective August 1, 2005. In consideration for our assumption of their liabilities, these reinsurers agreed to pay us an amount equal to their share of the liabilities under the original quota share agreement as of July 31, 2005. We received cash in the amount of $14.2 million in relation to this novation. The terms of this reinsurance agreement did not meet the risk transfer requirements according to FAS 113, “Accounting and Reporting for Reinsurance of Short Duration and Long Duration Contracts”, and, therefore, this contract was accounted for as deposits according to the guidelines of SOP 98-7, “Deposit Accounting for Insurance and Reinsurance Contracts that do not Transfer Insurance Risk”. Under deposit accounting, the deposit liability should be adjusted based on the adjusted amount and timing of the cash flows. Changes in the carrying amount of the deposit liability should be reported as income or expense as appropriate. In the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, we recognized $90,000 and $311,000, respectively, in income related to this novation. In the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006, we recognized $169,000 and $561,000, respectively, in income related to this novation. At September 30, 2007, the remaining deposit liability to be recognized in the future was $304,000.

 

5. Premium Finance Receivables

Finance receivables, which are secured by unearned premiums from the underlying insurance policies, consisted of the following at September 30, 2007 (in thousands):

 

Premium finance contracts

   $     41,583  

Unearned finance charges

     (3,491 )

Allowance for credit losses

     (550 )
        

Total

   $     37,542  
        

The original term of a substantial portion of a premium finance contract is generally five months, although premium finance contracts may be as long as twelve months. Our experience is that a substantial portion of the insurance coverage and related finance receivables will cancel before contractual maturity dates.

 

14


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited) – Continued


 

6. Policy Acquisition Costs

Policy acquisition costs, primarily commissions, premium taxes and underwriting expenses related to issuing a policy are deferred and charged against income ratably over the terms of the related policies. The components of deferred acquisition costs and the related policy acquisition costs amortized to expense were as follows (in thousands):

 

    

Three Months Ended

September 30,

  

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

     2007    2006    2007    2006

Beginning deferred acquisition costs

    $ 30,558      $ 26,944      $ 23,865      $ 24,453 

Additions

     19,993       17,625       68,361       57,672 

Amortization

     (20,401)      (18,564)      (62,076)      (56,120)
                           

Ending deferred acquisition costs

    $ 30,150      $ 26,005      $ 30,150      $ 26,005 
                           

 

7. Notes Payable

Our long-term debt instruments and balances outstanding at September 30, 2007 and 2006 were as follows (in thousands):

 

     September 30,
         2007            2006    

Notes payable due 2034, bearing interest at 7.545% through December 15, 2009, adjusted quarterly to the 90-day Libor rate plus 3.6% thereafter

    $ 30,928      $ 30,928 

Notes payable due 2035, bearing interest at 7.792% through June 15, 2010, adjusted quarterly to the 90-day Libor rate plus 3.6% thereafter

     25,774       25,774 

Notes payable due 2035, bearing interest at three-month Libor rate plus 3.95% not exceeding 12.5% through March 2010, no limit thereafter

     20,233       -     
             

Total notes payable

    $ 76,935      $ 56,702 
             

In connection with the acquisition of USAgencies, we assumed the $20.0 million floating rate subordinated notes issued by USAgencies on March 29, 2005. We are required to make interest-only payments on a quarterly basis at the rate of the three-month Libor plus 3.95 percentage points (9.644% at September 30, 2007). The variable interest rate will not exceed 12.50% through March 2010, with no limit thereafter. The notes are redeemable in whole or in part anytime after March 15, 2010. Prior to March 15, 2010, the notes may only be redeemed in whole or in part subject to certain specific restrictions and prepayment penalties pursuant to the indenture agreement.

 

8. Senior Credit Facility

On January 31, 2007, we entered into a $220.0 million senior secured credit facility (the “Facility”) provided by a syndicate of lenders, including Credit Suisse, Cayman Islands Branch, as Administrative Agent and Collateral Agent that provides for a $200.0 million senior term loan facility and a revolving facility of up to $20.0 million, depending on our borrowing capacity. On March 8, 2007, we added The Frost National Bank, N.A. (“Frost”) to the Facility when we received approval of the First Amendment to the Facility and executed a joinder agreement whereby Frost became the provider of an initial revolving credit commitment of $15.0 million. On September 6, 2007, we added JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A. (“Morgan”) to the Facility and executed agreements whereby Morgan became the provider of $10.0 million and Frost’s commitment was reduced to $10.0 million, thereby increasing our total revolving credit line to $20.0 million. The revolving portion of the Facility includes an option to increase the $20.0 million principal amount of revolving loans available thereunder by up to an additional $20.0 million and a $2.0 million sublimit for letters of credit. As of September 30, 2007, we have no borrowings under the revolving

 

15


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited) – Continued


 

portion of the Facility. Our obligations under the Facility are guaranteed by our material operating subsidiaries (other than our insurance companies) and are secured by a first lien security interest on all of our assets and the assets of our material operating subsidiaries (other than our insurance companies), including a pledge of 100% of the stock of AIC. The facility contains certain financial covenants, which include capital expenditure limitations, minimum interest coverage requirements, maximum leverage ratio requirements, minimum risk-based capital requirements, maximum combined ratio limitations, minimum fixed charge coverage ratios and a minimum consolidated net worth requirement, as well as other restrictive covenants. As time passes, certain of the financial covenants become increasingly more restrictive. At September 30, 2007, we were in compliance with all of our financial and other restrictive covenants.

In connection with entering into the Facility, we paid $6.5 million in deferred debt acquisition costs that is being amortized over the seven year term of the Facility.

Concurrently with entering into the Facility, we borrowed $200.0 million (the “Borrowing”) under the term loan portion of the Facility to finance our acquisition of USAgencies and to pay related costs and expenses. The principal amount of the Borrowing is payable in quarterly installments of $500,000, with the remaining balance due on the seventh anniversary of the closing of the Facility. Beginning in 2008, we are also required to make additional annual principal payments that are to be calculated based upon our financial performance during the preceding fiscal year. In addition, certain events, such as the sale of material assets or the issuance of significant new equity, necessitate additional required principal repayments.

The interest rate is determined at the beginning of each interest period based on the Alternative Base Rate (“ABR”) or the Adjusted Libor Rate as defined in the credit agreement. The ABR is the greater of (a) the prime rate plus 2.50% or (b) the federal funds rate plus 3.00%. The Adjusted Libor Rate is the one, two, three or six month Libor rate plus a margin of 3.50%. For the initial 60 day interest period ending March 30, 2007, interest was determined by the credit agreement at the ABR of 10.75% (8.25% prime rate plus 2.50%). At the beginning of each subsequent interest period, the rate is the ABR unless we elect to use the Adjusted Libor Rate by notifying the lender prior to the effective interest period. We will choose the lower interest rate for each subsequent interest period. The interest rate on the borrowings under the Facility at September 30, 2007 was 8.842%, as determined by using the applicable Libor rates plus a margin of 3.50%. We notified the lender prior to the September 30, 2007 interest period of our election to use the Adjusted Libor Rate for the current interest period.

Effective April 30, 2007, we entered into an interest rate swap with a notional amount of $50.0 million that has been designated as a hedge of variable cash flows associated with that portion of the Facility. This derivative instrument requires quarterly settlements whereby we pay a fixed rate of 4.993% and receive a three-month Libor rate, reset every three months. The derivative expires on April 30, 2011. In connection with the interest rate swap, we have elected and will continue to elect the three month Libor rate for a minimum of $50.0 million until the expiration of the swap. We utilize the hypothetical derivative methodology for the measurement of ineffectiveness. Derivative gains and losses not effective in hedging the expected cash flows will be recognized immediately in earnings. Management does not expect the ineffectiveness related to its hedging activity to be material to our financial results in the future. There were no components of the derivative instrument that were excluded from the assessment of hedge effectiveness.

We have designated this derivative instrument as a cash flow hedge in accordance with SFAS No. 133, Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities (“SFAS 133”), as subsequently amended by SFAS 138, Accounting for Certain Derivative Instruments and Certain Hedging Activities

 

16


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited) – Continued


 

an amendment of SFAS 133. The credit risk associated with this contract is limited to the uncollected interest payments and the fair market value of the derivative to the extent it has become favorable to us.

In connection with our closing on the Facility on January 31, 2007, we terminated our then existing credit agreement with The Frost National Bank dated July 30, 2004, as amended (the “Prior Credit Agreement”). At the time of the termination of the Prior Credit Agreement, there were no borrowings or other amounts outstanding under the Prior Credit Agreement.

 

9. Earnings Per Share

The following table sets forth the reconciliation of numerators and denominators for the basic and diluted earnings per share computation for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 (in thousands, except per share amounts):

 

    

Three Months Ended

September 30,

  

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

         2007            2006            2007            2006    

Numerator:

           

Net income available to common stockholders

    $ 4,842      $ 4,972      $ 8,206      $ 16,087 
                           

Denominator:

           

Weighted average basic shares –

           

Weighted average common stock outstanding

     15,375       15,140       15,367       15,297 
                           

Weighted average diluted shares –

           

Weighted average common stock outstanding

     15,375       15,140       15,367       15,297 

Effect of dilutive stock options

     17       47       34       30 
                           

Total weighted average diluted shares

     15,392       15,187       15,401       15,327 
                           

Basic earnings per share

    $ 0.31      $ 0.33      $ 0.53      $ 1.05 
                           

Diluted earnings per share

    $ 0.31      $ 0.33      $ 0.53      $ 1.05 
                           

 

10. Contingencies and Legal Proceedings

We and our subsidiaries are named from time to time as defendants in various legal actions arising in the ordinary course of our business and arising out of or related to claims made in connection with our insurance policies and claims handling. We believe that the resolution of these legal actions will not have a material adverse effect on our financial position or results of operations. However, the ultimate outcome of these matters is uncertain.

In December 2003, InsureOne Independent Agency, LLC (“InsureOne”), American Agencies, General Agency, Inc. and Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc. brought action in the Circuit Court of Cook County, Illinois to enforce non-compete and non-solicitation agreements entered into with James Hallberg, the former president of InsureOne, a wholly-owned subsidiary, and eight former employees of InsureOne and two of Hallberg’s family trusts. The court entered interim orders prohibiting all defendants, including Hallberg, from hiring any employees of InsureOne or of plaintiffs’ other underwriting agencies. We are seeking between $15 and 23 million in damages for lost profits and diminution in value. James Hallberg and the Hallberg family gift trust have asserted counterclaims seeking combined damages of approximately $4.5 million. The bench trial of this matter has concluded and the parties are currently waiting for the court to render judgment.

 

17


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited) – Continued


 

Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc. and Affirmative Property Holdings, Inc. brought action against Business Risk Technology, Inc. and Steven M. Repetti (“BRT”) in the Circuit Court of the 17th Judicial Circuit, Broward County, Florida on January 6, 2006 for fraudulent inducement, breach of contract, breach of the covenant of good faith and fair dealing, and for declaratory and supplemental relief arising from the defendant’s wrongful conduct and contractual breaches. This action involves our enforcement of certain rights under a software license agreement we entered with BRT wherein BRT agreed to develop and provide us with a complete, turnkey software system for use by our various affiliates. BRT has asserted counterclaims for breach of contract, unjust enrichment, and fraud. In July 2007, the court granted summary judgment in favor of BRT on our breach of contract claim. The trial of this matter is scheduled for November 2007.

Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc. and Affirmative Insurance Company (referred to herein collectively as “Affirmative”) brought action against Hopson B. Nance, E. Murray Meadows, Paul H. Saeger, Jr., Fred H. Wright, and Does 1-10 in the United States District Court of the Northern District of Alabama, Southern Division, on December 28, 2006 for negligent misrepresentation, fraud, tortious interference with contractual relations, breach of fiduciary duty, negligence and conversion. The case involves an action by Affirmative to recover $7.2 million of Affirmative’s funds used improperly by Defendants to satisfy a debt of one of VIG’s subsidiaries. On February 15, 2007, by consent of the parties, the Court referred the action to the United States Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of Alabama, where bankruptcy proceedings are pending with respect to VIG. On February 28, 2007, the Bankruptcy Court entered an order, upon consent of the parties, temporarily staying the action. The parties have agreed to extend the stay until January 2008.

On December 21, 2005, Donna Villegas brought suit against Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc. in the United States District Court for the Northern District of Texas, Dallas Division, under the Family and Medical Leave Act (“FMLA”) for retaliation. On August 21, 2007, the court entered an order dismissing all claims pursuant to a confidential settlement agreement.

On October 18, 2002, the named plaintiff Nickey Marsh filed suit in the Fourth Judicial District Court of Louisiana against USAgencies alleging that certain adjustments to the actual cash value of his total loss automobile claim were improper. An amending petition, filed on October 24, 2003, made class action allegations, and sought class-wide compensatory damages, attorneys’ fees and punitive damages of $5,000 per claimant. After a class certification discovery and a hearing in February of 2006, an order was rendered on August 7, 2006 certifying the class. The Louisiana Second Circuit Court of Appeal subsequently affirmed the trial court’s certification of the class on May 16, 2007. On October 26, 2007, the Louisiana Supreme Court denied USAgencies’ writ for certiorari. Pursuant to the terms of the Acquisition Agreement between the Company and USAgencies, the selling parties (the “Seller”) are bound to indemnify the Company from any and all losses attendant to claims arising out of the Marsh litigation out of a sum placed into escrow specifically for such purpose (the “Marsh Litigation Reserve”). The Acquisition Agreement provides that the Marsh Litigation Reserve shall not exceed the amount placed into escrow, and that upon the final resolution of the Marsh litigation by (i) a court order that is final and nonappealable or (ii) a binding settlement agreement, and the determination of all amounts to be paid with respect to Marsh litigation (the “Marsh Payments”), the amount constituting the Marsh Payments shall be paid out of the Marsh Litigation Reserve to the Company either (a) in accordance with a joint written instruction by the Company and the Seller or (b) pursuant to a court order or judgment that is final and nonappealable sent to the escrow agent by the Company or the Seller, and any portion of the Marsh Litigation Reserve not so required to be paid to the Company shall be promptly paid by the escrow agent to the Seller. Although we believe it is unlikely, it is nevertheless possible that the aggregate amount payable at the conclusion of the Marsh litigation may exceed the Marsh Litigation Reserve, and the Seller may not have the financial ability to indemnify the Company for any losses in excess of said reserve.

 

18


Table of Contents

AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited) – Continued


 

On December 8, 2006, Michael V. Clegg, APLC, brought suit for damages for alleged breach of contract against USAgencies Insurance Company [sic] (“USAgencies”), a subsidiary of the Registrant, in the Nineteenth Judicial District Court of Louisiana. Plaintiff alleges that USAgencies breached a contract with Mr. Clegg’s law firm purportedly granting the firm exclusive rights to serve as counsel for USAgencies in the State of Louisiana for a period of two (2) years commencing on December 15, 2005 and ending December 15, 2007. On May 31, 2007, judgment was entered in favor of USAgencies and against plaintiff. Plaintiff has pursued an appeal of that judgment and briefing is in progress.

From time to time, we and our subsidiaries are subject to random compliance audits from federal and state authorities regarding various operations within our business that involve collecting and remitting taxes in one form or another. In 2006, two of our owned underwriting agencies were subject to a sales and use tax audit conducted by the State of Texas. The examiner for the State of Texas completed his audit report and delivered an audit assessment asserting that, for the period from January 2002 to December 2005, we should have collected and remitted approximately $2.9 million in sales tax derived from claims services performed by our underwriting agencies for policies sold by these underwriting agencies and issued by Old American County Mutual Insurance Company, an unaffiliated insurance company, through a fronting arrangement. Our insurance companies reinsured 100% of these policies. The assessment includes an additional $412,000 for accrued interest and penalty for a total assessment of $3.3 million. We believe that these services are not subject to sales tax, are vigorously contesting the assertions made by the state, and are exercising all available rights and remedies available to us. On October 19, 2006, we responded to the assessment by filing petitions with the Comptroller of Public Accounts for the State of Texas requesting a re-determination of the tax due and a hearing to present written and oral evidence and legal arguments to contest the imposition of the asserted taxes. As a result of the timely filing of these petitions, an administrative appeal process has commenced and the date for payment is delayed until the completion of the appeal process. Such appeals routinely take up to three years and much longer for complex cases. As such, the outcome of this tax assessment will not be known for a commensurate amount of time. At this time, we are uncertain of the probability of the outcome of our appeal and therefore cannot reasonably estimate the ultimate liability. We have not made an accrual for this potential liability as of September 30, 2007 as we do not believe that the potential assessment meets the requirements of SFAS No. 5, “Accounting for Contingencies”.

 

19


Table of Contents

Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

OVERVIEW

Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and completed an initial public offering of its common stock in July 2004. We are a distributor and producer of non-standard personal automobile insurance policies for individual consumers in targeted geographic markets. Non-standard personal automobile insurance policies provide coverage to drivers who find it difficult to obtain insurance from standard insurance companies due to their lack of prior insurance, age, driving record, limited financial resources or other factors. Non-standard personal automobile insurance policies generally require higher premiums than standard automobile insurance policies for comparable coverage.

We are currently active in offering insurance (both our own policies and those of third-party carriers) directly to individual consumers through our own retail sales locations in 10 states (Louisiana, Illinois, Texas, Missouri, Indiana, South Carolina, Florida, Kansas, Wisconsin and Alabama) including our franchised stores in Florida and distributing our own insurance policies through independent agents in 8 states (Illinois, Texas, Missouri, Indiana, South Carolina, Florida, Michigan and New Mexico) and two unaffiliated underwriting agencies in California. Today, the 13 states in which we operate collectively represent approximately 46% of the national non-standard personal automobile insurance market. These combined states accounted for $13.7 billion in direct written premium in 2006, based on information from A. M. Best and our company analysis. We believe the states in which we operate are among the most attractive non-standard personal automobile insurance markets due to a number of factors, including size of market and existing regulatory and competitive environments.

On January 31, 2007, we completed the acquisition of USAgencies in a fully-financed all cash transaction valued at approximately $199.1 million. USAgencies is a non-standard personal automobile insurance distributor and provider headquartered in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. At the time of acquisition it had 91 operating retail sales locations in Louisiana, Illinois and Alabama selling its own insurance products directly to consumers through its own retail stores, virtual call centers and internet site. In 2006, USAgencies had gross written premium of approximately $177.1 million, an increase of 12.6% from 2005 gross written premiums of $157.3 million. The purchase of USAgencies was financed through $200.0 million in borrowings under a $220.0 million senior secured credit facility that was entered into concurrently with the completion of the acquisition.

As of September 30, 2007, our subsidiaries included five insurance companies licensed to write insurance policies in 40 states, four underwriting agencies and six retail agencies serving 13 states through 230 owned retail stores (15 of which are located in leased space within supermarkets owned by a major supermarket chain under an agreement signed in late 2005) and 35 franchised retail store locations. The acquisition of USAgencies, effective January 1, 2007, increased our operations by two insurance companies, a premium finance company and 91 additional owned retail stores.

Our operating components often function as a vertically integrated unit, capturing the premium and associated risk and commission income and fees generated from the sale of an insurance policy. There are other instances, however, when each of our operations functions with unaffiliated entities on an unbundled basis, either independently or with one or more of the other operations. For example, as of September 30, 2007, our insurance companies had relationships with two unaffiliated underwriting agencies that design, distribute and service our policies through their approximately 4,300 independent agencies, and our underwriting agencies distributed insurance policies through approximately 3,600 independent agencies in addition to our 230 owned and 35 franchised retail stores. In addition, our retail stores earn commission income and fees from sales of third-party policies, services and products.

 

20


Table of Contents

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES

We adopted the provisions of Statement of Financial Accounting Standard (“SFAS”) No. 155, Accounting for Certain Hybrid Financial Instruments – an amendment of Financial Accounting Statement Board (“FASB”) Statements No. 133 and 140 (“SFAS 155”), which permits the fair value remeasurement of any hybrid financial instrument that contains an embedded derivative that otherwise would require bifurcation under SFAS No. 133, Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities (“SFAS 133”); clarifies which interest-only strips and principal-only strips are not subject to the requirements of SFAS 133; establishes a requirement to evaluate interests in securitized financial assets to identify interests that are freestanding derivatives or hybrid financial instruments that contain an embedded derivative requiring bifurcation and clarifies that concentrations of credit risk in the form of subordination are not embedded derivatives. All securities acquired on or after January 1, 2007 have been accounted for in accordance with the new guidance. The adoption of SFAS 155 did not have material impact on our consolidated financial statements.

Since January 1, 2007, we have accounted for uncertainty in income taxes recognized in the financial statements in accordance with FASB Interpretation No. 48, Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes (“FIN 48”). FIN 48 requires that a more-likely-than-not threshold be met before the benefit of a tax position may be recognized in the financial statements and prescribes how such benefit should be measured. It also provides guidance on derecognition, classification, accrual of interest and penalties, accounting in interim periods, disclosure and transition. It requires that the new standard be applied to the balances of assets and liabilities as of the beginning of the period of adoption and that a corresponding adjustment be made to the opening balance of retained earnings. As a result of the adoption, we recognized no additional liability or reduction in deferred tax asset for unrecognized tax benefits.

There have been no other changes of critical accounting policies since December 31, 2006.

RECENTLY ISSUED ACCOUNTING STANDARDS

In September 2006, FASB issued SFAS No. 157, Fair Value Measurements (“SFAS 157”). SFAS 157 defines fair value to be the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date and emphasizes that fair value is a market-based measurement, not an entity-specific measurement. It establishes a fair value hierarchy and expands disclosures about fair value measurements in both interim and annual periods. SFAS 157 will be effective for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007 and interim periods within those fiscal years. We are currently evaluating the impact of adopting SFAS 157.

In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 159, Establishing the Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Liabilities (“SFAS 159”), which includes an amendment to FASB No. 115, Accounting for Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities (“SFAS 115”). SFAS 159 permits entities to choose to measure many financial instruments and certain other items at fair value. The objective is to improve financial reporting by providing entities with the opportunity to mitigate volatility in reported earnings caused by measuring related assets and liabilities differently without having to apply complex hedge accounting provisions. This statement is expected to expand the use of fair value measurement, which is consistent with the FASB’s long-term measurement objectives for accounting for financial instruments. This statement applies to all entities and most of the provisions of this statement apply only to entities that elect the fair value option. However, the amendment to FAS 115 applies to all entities with available-for-sale and trading securities. SFAS 159 is effective for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007, with early adoption permitted for an entity that has also elected to apply the provisions of SFAS 157. An entity is prohibited from retroactively applying SFAS 159, unless it has chosen early adoption. SFAS 159 also applies to eligible items existing at November 15, 2007 (or earlier adoption). We are currently evaluating the impact of adopting SFAS 159.

 

21


Table of Contents

MEASUREMENT OF PERFORMANCE

The Sales Process.    We are an insurance holding company engaged in the underwriting, servicing and distributing of non-standard personal automobile insurance policies and related products and services. We distribute our products through three distinct distribution channels: our owned retail stores, independent agents and unaffiliated managing general agencies. We generate earned premiums and fees from policyholders through the sale of our insurance products. In addition, through our owned retail stores, we sell insurance policies of third-party insurers and other products or services of unaffiliated third-party providers and thereby earn commission income from those third-party providers/insurers and fees from the customers.

As part of our corporate strategy, we treat our owned retail stores as independent agents, encouraging them to sell to their individual customers whatever products are most appropriate for and affordable to those customers. We believe that this offers our retail customers the best combination of service and value, developing stronger customer loyalty and improving customer retention. In practice, this means that in our owned retail stores, the relative proportion of the sales of our own insurance products as compared to the sales of the third-party policies will vary depending upon the competitiveness of our insurance products in the marketplace during the period. This reflects our intention of maintaining the margins in our owned insurance carriers, even at the cost of business lost to third-party carriers.

In response to the market conditions that have existed for the past several years, our owned insurance carriers have been developing and introducing new and better segmented products to serve our target markets, resulting in a slightly lower aggregate rate level and improving the competitiveness of our insurance products offered through our distribution channels. Management of our insurance carriers is responsible for developing and pricing our products, while maintaining and improving our insurance margins.

In the independent agency distribution channel and the unaffiliated managing general agency (MGA) distribution channel, the effect of competitive conditions is the same as in our owned retail store distribution channel. As in our retail stores, independent agents (either working directly with us or through unaffiliated MGAs) not only offer our products but also offer their customers a selection of products by third-party carriers. Therefore, our insurance products must be competitive in pricing, features, commission rates and ease of sale or the independent agents will sell the products of those third-parties instead of our products. We believe that we are generally competitive in the markets we serve and we constantly evaluate our products relative to those of other carriers.

For our owned insurance carriers, one measurement of our performance is the level of gross premiums written and a second measurement is the relative proportion of premiums written through our three distribution channels. The following table displays our gross premiums written by distribution channel for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 (in thousands):

 

    

Three Months Ended

 

September 30,

  

Nine Months Ended

 

September 30,

     2007    2006    2007    2006

Our underwriting agencies:

           

Retail agencies

    $ 60,575      $ 19,417      $ 196,244      $ 71,202 

Independent agencies

     39,079       40,440       128,001       120,845 
                           

Subtotal

     99,654       59,857       324,245       192,047 

Unaffiliated underwriting agencies

     9,149       8,615       29,865       30,876 

Other

          14            43 
                           

Total

    $     108,809      $     68,486      $     354,115      $     222,966 
                           

Total gross premiums written for the three months ended September 30, 2007 increased $40.3 million, or 58.9%, to $108.8 million, as compared to $68.5 million for the same period of 2006, primarily

 

22


Table of Contents

due to the increase in premiums written through our retail stores resulting from the acquisition of USAgencies in January 2007. In our retail distribution channel, gross premiums written consist of premiums written for our affiliated insurance carriers’ products only and do not include premiums written for third-party insurance carriers in our retail and franchised stores. We earn only commission income and fees in our retail distribution channel for sales of third-party insurance policies. Gross premiums written in our retail distribution channel were $60.6 million, an increase of $41.2 million, or 212.0%, as compared to $19.4 million in the same period in 2006, primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies in January 2007.

Total gross premiums written for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 were $354.1 million, an increase of $131.1 million, or 58.8%, as compared to $223.0 million for the same period in 2006. Gross premiums written in our retail distribution channel were $196.2 million, an increase of $125.0 million, or 175.6%, as compared to $71.2 million in the prior year primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies, which was effective on January 1, 2007.

In our independent agency distribution channel, gross premiums written for the three months ended September 30, 2007 were $39.1 million, a decrease of $1.4 million, or 3.4%, as compared to $40.4 million for the same period in 2006, principally due to decreased production in our Texas, South Carolina and Indiana underwriting agencies, partially offset by increased production in Michigan and Florida operations. Gross premiums written in our independent agency distribution channel for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 were $128.0 million, an increase of $7.2 million, or 5.9%, as compared to $120.8 million for the same period in 2006.

Gross premiums written by our unaffiliated agencies for the three months ended September 30, 2007 were $9.1 million, an increase of $534,000, or 6.2%, as compared to $8.6 million in the same period in 2006. Gross premiums written by our unaffiliated agencies for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 were $29.9 million, a decrease of $1.0 million, or 3.3%, as compared to $30.9 million in the prior year. For strategic reasons we have chosen to reduce our emphasis on growth in unaffiliated underwriting agencies distribution channel. As of September 30, 2007, we have two active unaffiliated relationships as compared to three in the same period of the prior year.

The following table displays our gross premiums written by state for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 (in thousands):

 

     Three Months Ended September 30,    Nine Months Ended September 30,
           2007                2006                Change                2007                2006                Change      

Louisiana*

    $ 35,211      $ -          $ 35,211      $ 112,661      $ -          $ 112,661 

Illinois*

     15,806       15,682       124       53,652       54,304      (652)

Texas

     17,062       18,777       (1,715)      55,806       62,477      (6,671)

California

     8,910       7,354       1,556       28,731       29,071      (340)

Michigan

     5,608       5,282       326       19,202       13,136      6,066 

Florida

     9,222       5,490       3,732       25,953       15,138      10,815 

Alabama*

     6,137       -           6,137       17,707       -           17,707 

Missouri

     3,561       3,639       (78)      13,109       8,817       4,292 

Indiana

     2,755       3,773       (1,018)      10,934       14,499       (3,565)

South Carolina

     3,204       4,714       (1,510)      11,274       15,381       (4,107)

New Mexico

     1,089       2,500       (1,411)      3,947       8,295       (4,348)

Arizona

     156       903       (747)      708       1,087       (379)

Georgia

     85       121       (36)      298       441       (143)

Utah

     (2)      235       (237)      128       277       (149)

Other

          16       (11)           43       (38)
                                         

Total

    $ 108,809      $ 68,486      $ 40,323      $ 354,115      $ 222,966      $ 131,149 
                                         

                 

* States in which USAgencies operated retail locations.

 

23


Table of Contents

Under normal circumstances, net premiums written would be less than gross premiums written by the amount of written premiums ceded to reinsurers. In our case, for the periods presented, our net premiums written were increased by the premiums recovered from reinsurers in connection with the termination of their contracts on a “cut-off” basis as described in Note 4 “Reinsurance” of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. For some of the periods, this resulted in net premiums written greater than gross premiums written. The following table displays our net premiums written by distribution channel for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 (in thousands):

 

    

Three Months Ended

September 30,

    Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2007     2006     2007     2006  

Our underwriting agencies:

        

Retail agencies – gross premiums written

   $ 60,575     $ 19,417     $ 196,244     $ 71,202  

Ceded GMAC QS January 2007 through March 2007

                 (39,090 )      

Ceded GMAC QS termination (1)

                 39,734        

Ceded GMAC 25% QS subsequent to April 1, 2007

     (10,518 )           (21,327 )      
                                

Subtotal retail agencies net premiums written

     50,057       19,417       175,561       71,202  
                                

Independent agencies – gross premiums written

     39,079       40,440       128,001       120,845  

Ceded Michigan (2)

     (660 )           (3,111 )      

Ceded FolksAmerica (3)

           7             (1,795 )

Ceded FolksAmerica QS termination (4)

                       2,850  
                                

Subtotal independent agencies net premiums written

     38,419       40,447       124,890       121,900  
                                

Unaffiliated underwriting agencies – gross premiums written(5)

     9,149       8,615       29,865       30,876  

Ceded USAUTO Ins. Co. (6)

     (85 )     (121 )     (298 )     (441 )
                                

Subtotal unaffiliated underwriting agencies net premium written

     9,064       8,494       29,567       30,435  
                                

Catastrophe and contingent coverages with various reinsurers

     (301 )           (950 )      

Other, net

           2             1  
                                

Total net premiums written

   $ 97,239     $ 68,360     $ 329,068     $ 223,538  
                                

(1)

We terminated the existing GMAC quota share agreements on a “cut-off” basis effective April 1, 2007.

(2)

In Michigan, we are required to cede premiums to the Michigan Catastrophic Claims Association (“MCCA”).

(3)

In Florida, we ceded 25% of premiums to FolksAmerica through April 30, 2006.

(4)

Effective May 1, 2006, we terminated our quota share agreement with FolksAmerica in Florida on a “cut-off” basis.

(5)

Predominantly premiums written in California through two unaffiliated underwriting agencies. Includes less than $500,000 per quarter written in Arizona, Utah and Georgia through programs with unaffiliated underwriting agencies that are now in run-off.

(6)

In Georgia, we cede 100% of the premiums written to USAUTO Ins. Co.

Total net premiums written for the three months ended September 30, 2007 were $97.2 million, an increase of $28.8 million, or 42.2%, as compared to $68.4 million for the same period in 2006 primarily due to increased net premiums written through the retail operations acquired in the USAgencies acquisition. Net premiums written in our retail distribution channel were $50.1 million, an increase of $30.6 million, or 157.8%, as compared to $19.4 million in the prior year primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies and the termination of the prior GMAC quota share contracts on a “cut-off” basis. Under these prior reinsurance contracts, USAgencies ceded 70% of gross premiums written in Louisiana and 75% of gross premiums written in Alabama on policies issued in those two states. As a result of the termination of these quota share contracts effective April 1, 2007, $39.7 million of ceded premiums written prior to that date were returned by the reinsurer, increasing our net premiums written.

Total net premiums written for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 were $329.1 million, an increase of $105.6 million, or 47.2%, as compared to $223.5 million for the same period in 2006 primarily due to increased net premiums written through the retail operations acquired in the USAgencies acquisition. Net premiums written in our retail distribution channel were $175.6 million, an increase of $104.4 million, or 146.6%, as compared to $71.2 million in the prior year primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies and the termination of the prior GMAC quota share contracts.

 

24


Table of Contents

Commission Income and Fees.    Another measurement of our performance is the relative level of production of commission income and fees. Commission income and fees consists of three principal types, including (a) the commission income and fees earned by our underwriting agencies on insurance business that is not written or retained by us, (b) policy, installment, premium finance, franchise, royalty and agency fees earned for business written or assumed by our insurance companies both through independent agents and our retail agencies and (c) the commission income earned on sales of unaffiliated (third-party) companies’ insurance polices or other products sold by our retail agencies. These various types of commission income and fees are impacted in different ways by the corporate decisions we make in pursuing our corporate strategy.

Commission income and fees are earned by our underwriting agencies on business that is not written or retained by us. We only earn this income when we reinsure a portion of our insurance business to other parties. With the exception of USAgencies’ reinsurance program, we have substantially eliminated our reinsurance contracts and, as a result, this income source has been almost eliminated. Instead, we generate additional premium on the retained business, increasing our earned premiums. Had we continued to utilize reinsurance to a greater extent, our earned premiums would have been reduced but we would have earned greater commission income and fees for servicing the policies. Beginning January 1, 2007, as a result of the acquisition of USAgencies, a significant portion of the business written in Louisiana and Alabama has been reinsured as described in Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. In the future, we may choose to increase the use of reinsurance, which could result in an increase in this type of commission income and fees, and a concomitant reduction in earned premiums.

Policy, installment, premium finance, franchise, royalty and agency fees are earned for business written or assumed by our insurance companies both through independent agents and our retail agencies. Policy, installment and agency fees are fees charged to the customers in connection with their purchase of coverage from our insurance carriers. We can increase or decrease agency and installment fees at will, but policy fees and interest rates must be approved by the applicable state’s department of insurance. Premium finance fees are financing fees earned by our premium finance subsidiary (acquired as part of our acquisition of USAgencies), and consist of interest and origination fees on our carriers’ policies that customers choose to finance. Franchise and royalty fees are earned from our franchised stores in Florida, but are not significant to our financial results. In the second quarter of 2006, we reduced or eliminated our agency fees in our retail stores to reduce the cost to the customer of purchasing coverage from us. This increased the overall level of sales and thereby increased our commission income (when the product sold is a third-party carrier’s coverage) and earned premiums (when the product sold is our own insurance carrier’s coverage). We believe that this change in our agency fee implementation reduced our near-term commission income and fees but increased our long-term profitability as those incremental commissions from third-party carriers and earned premiums at our own insurance carriers are earned into revenue over the service life of the incremental policies sold. In the fourth quarter of 2006, we reinstituted certain agency fees but at a moderate level as compared to the first half of 2006.

Commissions are earned on sales of unaffiliated (third-party) companies’ products sold by our retail agencies. As described above, in our owned retail stores, there can be a shift in the relative proportion of the sales of third-party insurance products as compared to sales of our own carriers’ products due to the relative competitiveness of our insurance products that could result in an increase in our commission income and fees from non-affiliated third-party insurers. We negotiate commission rates with the various third-party carriers whose products we agree to sell in our retail stores. As a result, the level of third-party commission income will also vary depending upon the mix by carrier of third-party products that are sold. In addition, we earn fees from the sales of other products and services (such as tax preparation services, auto club memberships and bond cards) offered by unaffiliated companies.

Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses.    Since the largest expenses of an insurance company are the losses and loss adjustment expenses, another measurement of our insurance carriers’ performance is the level of such expenses, specifically as a ratio to earned premiums. Our losses and loss adjustment expenses are a blend of the specific estimated and actual costs of providing the coverage contracted by the

 

25


Table of Contents

purchasers of our insurance policies. We maintain reserves to cover our estimated ultimate liability for losses and related loss adjustment expenses for both reported and unreported claims on the insurance policies issued by our insurance companies. The establishment of appropriate reserves is an inherently uncertain process, involving actuarial and statistical projections of what we expect to be the cost of the ultimate settlement and administration of claims based on historical claims information, estimates of future trends in claims severity and other variable factors such as inflation. Due to the inherent uncertainty of estimating reserves, reserve estimates can be expected to vary from period to period. To the extent that our reserves prove to be inadequate in the future, we would be required to increase our reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses and incur a charge to earnings in the period during which such reserves are increased. We have a limited history in establishing reserves and the historic development of our reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses is not necessarily indicative of future trends in the development of these amounts.

On a quarterly basis, for each financial reporting period, we record our best estimate of our overall reserve for both current and prior accident years. The amount recorded represents the remaining amount we expect to pay for all covered losses that occurred through the current financial statement date, as well as the amount we expect to expend for all claim settlement expenses. The overall reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses that we record is the difference between (1) our point estimate of the ultimate loss and ultimate loss adjustment expenses, and (2) the amount of losses and loss adjustment expenses paid through the current financial statement. Our point estimate of ultimate loss consists of a point estimate for Incurred But Not Reported (“IBNR”) losses. The point estimate of ultimate loss adjustment expenses consists of a separate point estimate for adjusting and other expenses (“A&O”) and for defense and cost containment expenses (“DCC”).

We utilize different processes to determine our best estimate for unpaid losses and unpaid loss adjustment expenses. For our non-standard personal automobile insurance business, we establish a standard system-generated case loss reserve that varies by state, program, coverage and, in some instances for certain coverages, elapsed time since date of loss. The only variation to this methodology for setting case loss reserves exists in the instance where our claims professionals believe our financial exposure for a particular loss event is significant and in fact may approach or be equal to our policy limits. In these instances our claims staff will establish a case loss reserve to reflect their view regarding the potential cost of this exposure to us. The system automatically adjusts the case loss reserves downward in the event a partial payment is made and a claim remains open. The adjuster does have the ability to re-adjust the case loss reserves in an instance where a partial payment is made if they believe the facts of the claim justify a different reserve. This activity is generally limited to our personal injury protection coverage, where we have a significant amount of this type of activity.

We estimate IBNR losses and ultimate loss adjustment expenses quarterly using detailed statistical analyses and judgment including adjustment for deviations in trends caused by internal and external variables that may affect the resulting reserves. The underlying processes require the use of estimates and informed judgment, and as a result the establishment of reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses is an inherently uncertain process. The following generally accepted actuarial loss and loss adjustment expenses reserving methodologies are used in our analysis:

 

  ·  

Paid Loss Development – Uses historical loss or loss adjustment expense payments over discrete periods of time to estimate future losses or loss adjustment expense. Paid development methods assume that the pattern of paid losses or loss adjustment expense occurring in past periods will recur for losses occurring in subsequent periods.

  ·  

Incurred Loss Development – Uses historical case incurred loss and loss adjustment expense (i.e. the sum of cumulative loss and loss adjustment expense payments plus outstanding case loss reserves) over discrete periods of time to estimate future losses. Incurred development methods assume that the case loss and loss adjustment expense reserving practices are consistently applied over time.

 

26


Table of Contents
  ·  

Paid Bornhuetter/Ferguson – Uses a combination of paid development methods and expected loss and loss adjustment expense methods. Expected loss ratio methods are based on the assumption that ultimate losses vary proportionately with premiums. Expected loss and loss adjustment expense ratios are typically developed based upon the information used in pricing and are multiplied by the total amount of premiums earned to calculate ultimate loss and loss adjustment expense.

  ·  

Incurred Bornhuetter/Ferguson – Uses a combination of incurred development methods and expected loss adjustment expense methods. Expected loss ratio methods are based on the assumption that ultimate losses vary proportionately with premiums. Expected loss and loss adjustment expense ratios are typically developed based upon the information used in pricing and are multiplied by the total amount of premiums earned to calculate ultimate loss and loss adjustment expense.

  ·  

Frequency and Severity Methods – Uses historical claim count development over discrete periods of time to estimate future claim count development. A ratio of ultimate claim counts to earned car years is applied to the ultimate dollars of loss per claim for each accident quarter.

There are numerous factors, both internal and external, that we consider when evaluating the reasonableness of the various methods used to determine the actuarial best estimate of loss and loss adjustment expense reserves. Many of the factors vary for different states, programs, coverage groups, and accident periods. Some examples of internal factors considered are changes in product mix, changes in claims-handling practices, loss cost trends and underwriting standards and rules. External factors considered include claims frequency, claim severity, the effect of inflation on medical hospitalization, material repair and replacement costs, as well as general economic and legal trends.

We review loss reserve adequacy quarterly by accident year at a state, program and coverage level. Carried reserves are adjusted as additional information becomes known. Such adjustments are reflected in current year operations. Reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses are certified to state regulators annually.

If existing estimates of the ultimate liability for losses and related loss adjustment expenses are lowered, then that favorable development is recognized in the subsequent period in which the reserves are reduced. This has the effect of benefiting that subsequent period, when the aggregate losses and loss adjustment expenses (reflecting the favorable development related to previously reported earned premiums) are reduced relative to that period’s earned premium. Although the favorable development must be included in that subsequent period’s financial statements, it is appropriate for measurement purposes to compare only the losses and loss adjustment expenses related to any specific period’s earned premiums in evaluating performance during that particular period. Overall, we are experiencing frequency indications that are flat compared to prior year selections and severity trends of low single digits on an aggregate basis. In a period of stable premium rates, these trends would have resulted in generally stable loss ratios (the ratio of losses and loss adjustment expenses to earned premiums). However, the current competitive environment has led management of our insurance carriers to selectively reduce rates in certain markets and on certain products. Such rate decreases constrict our insurance margins and increase our loss ratios.

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses.    Another measurement of our performance that addresses our overall efficiency is the level of selling, general and administrative expenses. We recognize that our customers are primarily motivated by low prices. As a result, we strive to keep our costs as low as possible to be able to keep our prices affordable and thus to maximize our sales while still maintaining profitability. Our selling, general and administrative expenses include not only the cost of acquiring the insurance policies through our insurance carriers (the amortization of the deferred acquisition costs) and managing our insurance carriers and the retail stores, but also the costs of the holding company. The largest component of selling, general and administrative expenses is personnel costs, including payroll, benefits and accrued bonus expenses.

 

27


Table of Contents

Deferred policy acquisition costs represent the deferral of expenses that we incur in acquiring new business or renewing existing business. Policy acquisition costs, consisting of primarily commission, premium taxes, underwriting and retail agency expenses, are initially deferred and then charged against income ratably over the terms of the related policies through amortization of the deferred policy acquisition costs. Thus, the amortization of deferred acquisition costs is correlated with earned premium and the ratio of amortization of deferred acquisition costs to earned premium in an accounting period is another measurement of performance.

Consolidation Process. Our agencies sell non-standard personal automobile insurance policies that are issued by our own insurance carriers as well as third-party carriers. For the policies issued by our own insurance carriers, our insurance companies pay our underwriting agencies a commission. Our insurance companies recognize earned premium and related commission expense associated with these policies, while our underwriting agencies recognize commission income and fees. The amount of commission that our insurance companies pay our underwriting agencies is recorded as insurance-level commission expense that becomes part of the insurance companies’ deferred acquisition costs. In addition, the underwriting agencies record agency-level policy acquisition expenses such as independent agent commissions, workforce and operating expenses. Our underwriting agencies incur policy acquisition expenses because our underwriting operation is accounted for as a function of those agencies. Since both the insurance companies and the underwriting agencies have recorded revenue and expenses related to selling our own insurance policies, we eliminate the internal commission income and fees and the policy acquisition expenses recorded as selling, general and administrative expenses on our underwriting agencies.

 

28


Table of Contents

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The following table sets forth the components of consolidated statements of income as a percentage of total revenue and certain operational information for the periods indicated ($ in thousands).

 

    

Three Months Ended

September 30,

   

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

 
         2007             2006             2007             2006      

Revenues

        

Net premiums earned

     80.0 %     81.3 %     78.9 %     80.7 %

Commission income and fees

     16.9       16.3       18.1       17.1  

Net investment income

     3.2       2.5       3.2       2.4  

Net realized gains (losses)

     (0.1 )     (0.1 )     (0.2 )     (0.2 )
                                

Total revenues

     100.0       100.0       100.0       100.0  
                                

Expenses

        

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

     57.0       52.1       56.3       51.9  

Selling, general and administrative expenses

     31.6       37.3       33.6       36.8  

Depreciation and amortization

     2.0       1.2       2.3       1.2  

Interest expense

     4.9       1.2       5.0       1.2  
                                

Total expenses

     95.5       91.8       97.2       91.1  
                                

Income before income taxes

     4.5       8.2       2.8       8.9  

Income taxes

     0.7       2.6       0.6       3.0  
                                

Net income

     3.8 %     5.6 %     2.2 %     5.9 %
                                

Operational Information

        

Gross premiums written

   $ 108,809     $ 68,486     $ 354,115     $ 222,966  

Net premiums written (1)

   $ 97,239     $ 68,360     $ 329,068     $ 223,538  

Percentage retained (1)

     89.4 %     99.8 %     92.9 %     100.3 %

% of losses and loss adjustment expenses to net premiums earned

     71.3 %     64.1 %     71.3 %     64.4 %

% of net expenses to net premiums earned (2)

     20.9       27.3       22.6       25.8  
                                

% of combined losses and loss adjustment expense and net expenses to net premiums earned

     92.2 %     91.4 %     93.9 %     90.2 %
                                

Effective tax rate

     16.4 %     31.4 %     22.6 %     33.0 %
                                

        
 

(1)

The 2007 amounts and percentages reflect the inclusion of $39.7 million from cancellation of the USAgencies’ quota share reinsurance contracts with GMAC on a “cut-off” basis effective April 1, 2007, as more fully described in Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

(2)

Net expenses represent selling, general and administrative expenses plus depreciation and amortization minus commission income and fees.

Comparison of the Quarter Ended September 30, 2007 to the Quarter Ended September 30, 2006

Total revenues for the three months ended September 30, 2007 (the “current quarter”) increased $41.4 million, or 46.8%, to $129.9 million from $88.5 million for the three months ended September 30, 2006 (the “prior year quarter”). The increase is primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies in January 2007, which increased the revenues from policies sold in Louisiana and Alabama, two states where we had not previously operated.

Net Premiums Earned. The largest component of revenues is net premiums earned on insurance policies issued by our five affiliated insurance carriers. Net premiums earned for the current quarter were $103.9 million, an increase of $32.0 million, or 44.5%, as compared to $71.9 million in the prior year quarter. Since insurance premiums are earned over the service period of the policies, the revenue in the current quarter includes premiums earned on insurance products written through our three distribution channels in both current and previous periods. Net premiums earned during the current quarter on

 

29


Table of Contents

policies sold through our affiliated underwriting agencies (including retail and independent agencies) increased by $31.7 million, or 51.0%. This increase is primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies with its insurance business in Louisiana, Alabama and Illinois. Net premiums earned on insurance products sold through the unaffiliated underwriting agencies distribution channel increased by $295,000, or 3.0%, as compared to the prior year quarter. For strategic reasons we have chosen to reduce our emphasis on the unaffiliated underwriting agencies distribution channel. The following table sets forth net premiums earned by distribution channel for the current quarter and the prior year quarter ($ in thousands):

 

    

Three Months Ended

September 30,

 
     2007    2006    $ Change    % Change  

Our underwriting agencies

   $ 93,841    $ 62,163    $ 31,678    51.0 %

Unaffiliated underwriting agencies

     10,009      9,714      295    3.0  
                           

Total

   $ 103,850    $ 71,877    $ 31,973    44.5 %
                           

Commission Income and Fees. Commission income and fees consists of (a) the commission income and fees earned by our underwriting agencies on business that is not written or retained by us, (b) policy, installment, premium finance, franchise, royalty and agency fees earned for business written or assumed by our insurance companies (“affiliated”) through independent agents and our retail stores and (c) the commissions and agency fees earned on sales of unaffiliated (third-party) companies’ insurance policies or products sold by our retail stores.

Commission income and fees increased $7.5 million, or 52.3%, in the current quarter to $21.9 million from $14.4 million in the prior year quarter. The increase is primarily attributable to the addition of income from premium finance fees generated largely by the premium finance company acquired as a part of the USAgencies transaction. Commission income and fees on non-retained business has continued to decline as policies that were reinsured in prior periods expire. The following sets forth the components of consolidated commission income and fees earned for the current quarter and the prior year quarter ($ in thousands):

 

    

Three Months Ended

September 30,

 
     2007    2006    $ Change     % Change  

Income on non-retained business:

          

MGA commissions

   $ 111    $ 195    $ (84 )   (43.1 )%

Claims service fee income

     286      428      (142 )   (33.2 )

Affiliated:

          

Policyholder fee income

     12,521      10,237      2,284     22.3  

Premium finance fees and interest

     4,843           4,843     NM  

Agency fees

     442      211      231     109.5  

Non-affiliated income, third-party:

          

Commissions and fees

     3,107      3,305      (198 )   (6.0 )

Agency fees

     654      44      610     NM  
                            

Total commission income and fees

   $ 21,964    $ 14,420    $ 7,544     52.3 %
                            

Our affiliated commission income and fees increased during the current quarter as compared to the prior year quarter primarily due to the increased policyholder fee income earned in connection with the increase in net premiums written and the premium finance fees generated by the premium finance company acquired as part of our acquisition of USAgencies. Non-affiliated commission income and fees from sales of third-party insurance policies and products for the current quarter increased 12.3% compared to the prior year quarter. In the second quarter of 2006, we reduced or eliminated our agency fees in our retail stores to reduce the cost to the customer of purchasing coverage from us. This increased the overall level of sales and thereby increased our commission income (when the product sold is a

 

30


Table of Contents

third-party carrier’s coverage) and earned premiums (when the product sold is our own insurance carrier’s coverage). We believe that this change in our agency fee implementation reduced our near-term commission income and fees but increased our long-term profitability as those incremental commissions from third-party carriers and earned premiums at our own insurance carriers are earned into revenue over the service life of the incremental policies sold. In the fourth quarter of 2006, we reinstituted certain agency fees but at a moderate level as compared to the first half of 2006.

Net Investment Income. Net investment income for the current quarter was $4.2 million, an increase of $1.9 million, or 86.2%, from $2.2 million in the prior year quarter. The increase was primarily due to a 60.7% increase in total average invested assets to $366.4 million during the current quarter from $228.0 million during the prior year quarter, as a result of the acquisition of USAgencies effective January 1, 2007. The average investment yield was 3.49% (5.01% on a taxable equivalent basis) in the current quarter as compared to 3.30% (4.63% on taxable equivalent basis) in the prior year quarter.

Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses. Losses and loss adjustment expenses for the current quarter were $74.1 million, an increase of $28.0 million, or 60.9%, from $46.0 million for the prior year quarter. The increase was primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies effective January 1, 2007. The percentage of losses and loss adjustment expense to net premiums earned (the “loss ratio”) was 71.3% in the current period compared to 64.1% in the prior year quarter. The increase in loss ratio is due to three factors. The 2007 loss ratio reflects a modest increase compared to 2006 due to a positive, single digit loss trend accompanied by a declining average rate level attributable to selected rate and product changes. Policies written by the insurance companies acquired with USAgencies, which were designed with a higher loss ratio than the policies of our other insurance companies, has caused the average loss ratio to increase. Finally, we saw a lower amount of favorable loss development in the current period resulting from the re-evaluation of the loss ratio expected on premiums earned prior to the current period than we experienced in the prior year quarter. The following table displays the impact of favorable loss development related to prior periods’ business on our loss ratio for the current quarter and the prior year quarter:

 

    

Three Months Ended

September 30,

 
           2007                 2006        

Loss ratio - current quarter

   72.0 %   68.2 %

Favorable loss ratio development - prior period business

   (0.7 )   (4.1 )
            

Reported loss ratio

   71.3 %   64.1 %
            

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses. Selling, general and administrative expenses (“SG&A expenses”) were $41.1 million for the current quarter, an increase of $8.1 million, or 24.6%, as compared to $33.0 million for the prior year quarter. The overall increase in SG&A expenses was primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies in January 2007. Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs (“DAC”) is a major component of SG&A expenses.

 

31


Table of Contents

The following table sets forth the impact that amortization of DAC has on SG&A expenses and the change in DAC ($ in thousands):

 

    

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 
         2007             2006      

Amortization of DAC

   $ 20,401     $ 18,564  

Other selling, general and administrative expenses

     20,683       14,415  
                

Total selling, general and administrative expenses

   $ 41,084     $ 32,979  
                

Total SG&A expenses as a % of net premiums earned

     39.6 %     45.9 %
                

Beginning DAC

   $ 30,558     $ 26,944  

Additions

     19,993       17,625  

Amortization

     (20,401 )     (18,564 )
                

Ending DAC

   $ 30,150     $ 26,005  
                

Amortization of DAC as a % of net premiums earned

     19.6 %     25.8 %
                

The amortization of DAC as a percentage of net premiums earned decreased in the current quarter to 19.6% from 25.8% in the prior year quarter. The decrease reflected the mix of business produced by our various distribution channels. In addition, the decrease in the ratio reflects the effect of purchase accounting whereby USAgencies’ historical DAC as of the effective date of the acquisition was used to value the unearned premium on that date, essentially eliminating the DAC and thereby resulting in decreased amortization of DAC for the current quarter related to USAgencies’ business written before the date of the acquisition. Since net premiums earned in 2007 include some premiums from USAgencies business that was written prior to the date of acquisition, our overall ratio is lower than it would otherwise be, absent the effect of the purchase accounting. This effect will continue to dissipate as the pre-acquisition policies lapse or renew over the course of 2007.

Other SG&A expenses increased 43.5% from $14.4 million in the prior year quarter to $20.7 million in the current quarter, due in part to the acquisition of USAgencies. In addition, the implementation of our information technology (“IT”) strategy beginning in the fourth quarter of 2006 has resulted in significant costs that impact the comparability of SG&A expenses for periods subsequent to the beginning of that implementation as compared to previous periods. For the current quarter, we incurred approximately $3.4 million in the cost of such implementation, consisting of $674,000 in IT costs related to our strategic systems transformation project (as more fully described in “Liquidity and Capital Resources”), and $2.7 million expensed (net of revenue volume discount) in the current quarter for our obligation to Accenture LLP (“Accenture”), in connection with the outsourcing contract completed in October 2006 under which we outsource substantially all of our IT operations to Accenture, including our data center, field support and application management. The combined total of the Accenture outsourcing expense (which excludes the transformation costs) and our continuing IT operating expenses in the current quarter exceeded the cost of our IT operations in the prior year quarter by $1.8 million largely due to the expenses related to transitioning from our previous completely in-house IT department during 2006 to the new outsourced environment in 2007.

Personnel cost increased primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies. We employed 1,319 at September 30, 2007, 942 at December 31, 2006 and 1,040 persons at September 30, 2006. The increase in 2007 is primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies.

Net expenses, defined as the sum of SG&A expenses and depreciation and amortization less commission income and fees, as a percentage of net premiums earned (the “net expense ratio”) decreased to 20.9% in the current quarter compared to 27.3% in the prior year quarter. The decrease is primarily due to a 44.5% increase in net premiums earned and a 52.3% increase in commission income and fees (which reduces the net expenses) resulting from the increase in premium finance fees. These increases were partially offset by a 24.6% increase in SG&A expenses.

 

32


Table of Contents

The following table sets forth the components of the net expenses and the computation of the net expense ratios for the periods indicated ($ in thousands):

 

    

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 
     2007     2006  

SG&A expenses

   $ 41,084     $ 32,979  

Depreciation and amortization

     2,636       1,094  

Less: commission income and fees

     (21,964 )     (14,420 )
                

Net expenses

   $ 21,756     $ 19,653  
                

Net premiums earned

   $ 103,850     $ 71,877  
                

Net expense ratio

     20.9 %     27.3 %
                

Depreciation and Amortization. Depreciation and amortization expenses for the current quarter were $2.6 million, an increase of $1.5 million, or 141.0%, as compared to $1.1 million for the prior year quarter. Depreciation expense increased by $561,000 and amortization expense increased by $981,000 for current quarter, primarily as a result of the acquisition of USAgencies. The USAgencies-related costs consist of the amortization for the intangible costs of trade name, non-competition agreement and customer relationships determined as required by purchase accounting.

Interest Expense. Interest expense for the current quarter was $6.3 million, an increase of $5.2 million, or 481.0%, as compared to $1.1 million for the prior year quarter. The increase in interest expense is due to the higher weighted average debt outstanding resulting from the $220.0 million senior secured credit facility that we entered into on January 31, 2007 and the $20.0 million in floating rate subordinated notes assumed in the acquisition of USAgencies. The weighted average total debt outstanding was $275.9 million during the current quarter (with a blended borrowing cost of 9.14%) and $56.7 million during the prior year quarter (with a blended borrowing cost of 7.66%).

Income Taxes. Income tax expense for the current quarter was $948,000, or an effective rate of 16.4%, as compared to income tax expense of $2.3 million, or an effective rate of 31.4%, for the prior year quarter. The substantially lower effective tax rate for the current quarter is primarily due to the relatively high proportion of the current quarter investment income generated by the tax-exempt investment portfolio. The effective tax rate on income differs from the federal statutory tax rate of 35% for the following reasons ($ in thousands):

 

    

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 
     2007     2006  

Income before income taxes and minority interest

   $ 5,790     $ 7,250  
                

Tax provision computed at the federal statutory income tax rate

   $ 2,027     $ 2,538  

Increases (reductions) in tax resulting from:

    

Tax exempt interest

     (800 )     (292 )

State income taxes

     240       495  

Adjustments reflecting anticipated calendar year federal tax rate

     (551 )      

Other

     32       (463 )
                
   $ 948     $ 2,278  
                

Effective tax rate

     16.4 %     31.4 %
                

Comparison of the Nine Month Period Ended September 30, 2007 to the Nine Month Period Ended September 30, 2006

Total revenues for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 (the “current period”) increased $109.0 million, or 40.2%, to $380.1 million from $271.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 (the “prior year period”). The increase was primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies, which increased our revenues from the policies sold in Louisiana and Alabama, two states where we had not previously operated.

 

33


Table of Contents

Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned for the current period were $299.9 million, an increase of $81.2 million, or 37.1%, as compared to $218.7 million in the prior year period. Since insurance premiums are earned over the service period of the policies, our revenue in the current period includes premiums earned on insurance products written through our three distribution channels in both current and previous periods. As shown in the table set forth below, net premiums earned on policies sold through our affiliated underwriting agencies (the combined retail and independent agencies distribution channels) increased $81.4 million, or 43.2% during the current period, primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies with its insurance business in Louisiana, Alabama and Illinois. Net premiums earned on insurance products sold through the unaffiliated underwriting agencies distribution channel decreased $187,000, or 0.6%, in the current period as compared to the prior year period. For strategic reasons we have chosen to reduce our emphasis on the unaffiliated underwriting agencies distribution channel.

The following table sets forth net premiums earned by distribution channel for the current period and the prior year period ($ in thousands):

 

    

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

 
     2007    2006    $ Change     % Change  

Our underwriting agencies

   $ 269,597    $ 188,201    $ 81,396     43.2 %

Unaffiliated underwriting agencies

     30,280      30,467      (187 )   (0.6 )
                            

Total

   $ 299,877    $ 218,668    $ 81,209     37.1 %
                            

Commission Income and Fees. Commission income and fees increased $22.2 million, or 45.7% to $68.6 million in the current period from $46.5 million in the prior year period, primarily due to the increase in premium finance fees generated largely by the premium finance company that was acquired as a part of the USAgencies transaction and the increased policyholder fee income earned in connection with the increase in net written premiums. The following sets forth the components of consolidated commission income and fees earned for the current period and the prior year period ($ in thousands):

 

     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2007    2006    $ Change     % Change  

Income on non-retained business:

          

MGA commissions

   $ 691    $ 1,448    $ (757 )   (52.3 )%

Claims service fee income

     1,176      1,970      (794 )   (40.3 )

Affiliated:

          

Policyholder fee income

     38,201      30,238      7,963     26.3  

Premium finance fees and interest

     16,235           16,235     NM  

Agency fees

     1,235      1,771      (536 )   (30.3 )

Non-affiliated income, third-party:

          

Commissions and fees

     9,386      10,573      (1,187 )   (11.2 )

Agency fees

     1,710      471      1,239     263.1  
                            

Total commission income and fees

   $ 68,634    $ 46,471    $ 22,163     47.7 %
                            

Non-affiliated commission income and fees from sales of third-party insurance policies and products for the current period increased only 0.5% compared to the prior year period. The level of third-party commission income has decreased 11.2% due to the mix by carrier of third-party products that were sold and the decrease in the fees we have earned from the sales of other products and services (such as tax preparation services, auto club memberships and bond cards) offered by unaffiliated companies. In the second quarter of 2006, we reduced or eliminated our agency fees in our retail stores to reduce the cost to the customer of purchasing coverage from us. This increased the overall level of sales and thereby

 

34


Table of Contents

increased our commission income (when the product sold is a third-party carrier’s coverage) and earned premiums (when the product sold is our own insurance carrier’s coverage). We believe that this change in our agency fee implementation reduced our near-term commission income and fees but increased our long-term profitability as those incremental commissions from third-party carriers and earned premiums at our own insurance carriers are earned into revenue over the service life of the incremental policies sold. In the fourth quarter of 2006, we reinstituted certain agency fees but at a moderate level as compared to the first half of 2006.

Net Investment Income. Net investment income for the current period was $12.1 million, an increase of $5.7 million, or 88.6%, compared to $6.4 million in the prior year period. The increase was primarily due to a 41.2% increase in total average invested assets to $318.7 million during the current period from $225.7 million during the prior year period, as a result of the acquisition of USAgencies effective January 1, 2007. The average investment yield was 3.48% (4.85% on a taxable equivalent basis) in the current period as compared to 3.37% (4.76% on taxable equivalent basis) in the prior year period.

Losses and loss adjustment expenses. Losses and loss adjustment expenses for the current period were $213.9 million, an increase of $73.1 million, or 52.0%, as compared to $140.8 million for the prior year period. The increase was primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies effective January 1, 2007. The loss ratio was 71.3% in the current period as compared to 64.4% in the prior year period. The increase in loss ratio is due to three factors. The 2007 loss ratio reflects a modest increase compared to 2006 due to a positive, single digit loss trend accompanied by a declining average rate level attributable to selected rate and product changes. In addition, we saw a lower amount of favorable loss development in the current period resulting from the re-evaluation of the loss ratio expected on premiums earned prior to the current period than we experienced in the prior year period. Finally, the addition of USAgencies’ book of business, which operates at a higher loss ratio than our other insurance companies, has caused the average loss ratio to increase.

The following table displays the impact of favorable loss development related to prior periods’ business on our loss ratio for the current period and the prior year period:

 

    

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

 
     2007     2006  

Loss ratio – current period

   72.6 %   68.3 %

Favorable loss ratio development – prior period business

   (1.3 )   (3.9 )
            

Reported loss ratio

   71.3 %   64.4 %
            

 

35


Table of Contents

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses. SG&A expenses were $127.6 million for the current period, an increase of $27.8 million, or 27.9%, as compared to $99.8 million for the prior year period. The overall increase in SG&A expenses was primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies in January 2007. The following table sets forth the impact that amortization of DAC has on SG&A and the change in DAC ($ in thousands):

 

    

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

 
           2007                 2006        

Amortization of DAC

   $ 62,076     $ 56,120  

Other selling, general and administrative expenses

     65,545       43,654  
                

Total selling, general and administrative expenses

   $ 127,621     $ 99,774  
                

Total SG&A expenses as a % of net premiums earned

     42.6 %     45.6 %
                

Beginning DAC

   $ 23,865     $ 24,453  

Additions

     68,361       57,672  

Amortization

     (62,076 )     (56,120 )
                

Ending DAC

   $ 30,150     $ 26,005  
                

Amortization of DAC as a % of net premiums earned

     20.7 %     25.7 %
                

The amortization of DAC decreased as a percentage of net premiums earned in the current period to 20.7% from 25.7% in the prior year period. The decrease in the ratio reflects the effect of purchase accounting whereby USAgencies’ historical DAC as of the effective date of the acquisition was eliminated, resulting in decreased amortization of DAC for the current period related to USAgencies’ previously written business. Since net premiums earned in 2007 include some premiums from USAgencies business that was written prior to the date of acquisition, our overall ratio is lower than it would otherwise be, absent the effect of the purchase accounting. This effect will continue to dissipate as the pre-acquisition policies lapse or renew over the course of 2007.

Other SG&A expenses increased 50.1% from $43.7 million in the prior year period to $65.5 million in the current period largely due to the inclusion of USAgencies’ SG&A expenses in our operating results beginning January 1, 2007. In addition, items affecting the comparability of the current period results to the prior year period consisted of $1.9 million in IT costs in 2007 related to our strategic systems transformation project, $785,000 in IT expenses related to the migration of our Melbourne, Florida, data center to Omaha, Nebraska, and $280,000 for the write-off of software costs deemed to be of no future value. In addition, we expensed $8.7 million (net of revenue volume discount) in the current period for our obligation to Accenture in connection with the outsourcing contract. The combined total of the Accenture outsourcing expense (which excludes the transformation and data center migration costs) and our continuing IT operating expenses in the current period exceeded the cost of our IT operations in the prior year period by approximately $6.9 million largely due to the expenses related to transitioning from our previous completely in-house IT department during 2006 to the new outsourced environment in 2007.

Personnel cost increased primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies. We employed 1,319 at September 30, 2007, 942 at December 31, 2006 and 1,040 persons at September 30, 2006. The increase in 2007 is primarily due to the acquisition of USAgencies.

The net expense ratio decreased to 22.6% in the current period compared to 25.8% in the prior year period. The decrease is primarily due to a 37.1% increase in net premiums earned and a 47.7% increase in commission income and fees (which reduces the net expenses) resulting from the increase in premium finance fees. These increases were partially offset by a 27.9% increase in SG&A expenses.

 

36


Table of Contents

The following table sets forth the components of the net expenses and the computation of the net expense ratios for the periods indicated ($ in thousands):

 

    

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

 
     2007     2006  

SG&A expenses

   $ 127,621     $ 299,774  

Depreciation and amortization

     8,734       3,213  

Less: commission income and fees

     (68,634 )     (46,471 )
                

Net expenses

   $ 67,721     $ 56,516  
                

Net premiums earned

   $ 299,877     $ 218,668  
                

Net expense ratio

     22.6 %     25.8 %
                

Depreciation and Amortization. Depreciation and amortization expenses for the current period were $8.7 million, an increase of $5.5 million, or 171.8%, as compared to $3.2 million for the prior year period. Depreciation expense increased by $1.8 million and amortization expense increased by $3.7 million for the current period primarily as a result of the acquisition of USAgencies effective January 1, 2007. The USAgencies-related costs consist of the amortization for the intangible costs of brand name, non-competition agreement and customer relationships determined as required by purchase accounting.

Interest Expense. Interest expense for the current period was $19.2 million, an increase of $15.9 million, or 490.3%, as compared to $3.3 million for the prior year period. The increase in interest expense is due to the higher weighted average debt outstanding resulting from the $220.0 million senior secured credit facility that we entered into on January 31, 2007 and the $20.0 million in floating rate subordinated notes assumed in the acquisition of USAgencies. The weighted average total debt outstanding was $276.4 million during the current period (with a blended borrowing cost of 9.27%) and $56.7 million during the prior year period (with a blended borrowing cost of 7.66%).

Income Taxes. Income tax expense for the current period was $2.4 million, or an effective rate of 22.5%, as compared to income tax expense of $8.0 million, or an effective rate of 33.0%, for the prior year period. The substantially lower effective tax rate for the current period is primarily due to the relatively high proportion of the current period investment income generated by the tax-exempt investment portfolio. The effective tax rate on income differs from the federal statutory tax rate of 35% for the following reasons ($ in thousands):

 

    

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

 
     2007     2006  

Income before income taxes and minority interest

   $ 10,593     $ 24,122  
                

Tax provision computed at the federal statutory income tax rate

   $ 3,708     $ 8,443  

Increases (reductions) in tax resulting from:

    

Tax exempt interest

     (2,233 )     (1,335 )

State income taxes

     490       1,286  

Adjustments reflecting anticipated calendar year federal tax rate

     236        

Other

     186       (440 )
                
   $ 2,387     $ 7,954  
                

Effective tax rate

     22.5 %     33.0 %
                

 

37


Table of Contents

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Sources and uses of funds. We are a holding company with no business operations of our own. Consequently, our ability to pay dividends to stockholders, meet our debt payment obligations and pay our taxes and administrative expenses is largely dependent on dividends or other distributions from our subsidiaries, including our insurance company subsidiaries.

There are no restrictions on the payment of dividends by our non-insurance company subsidiaries other than state corporate laws regarding solvency. As a result, our non-insurance company subsidiaries generate revenues, profits and net cash flows that are generally unrestricted as to their availability for the payment of dividends, and we expect to use those revenues to service our corporate financial obligations, such as debt service and stockholder dividends. As of September 30, 2007, we had $2.3 million of cash at the holding company level and $26.7 million of cash and cash equivalents at our non-insurance company subsidiaries.

State insurance laws restrict the ability of our insurance company subsidiaries to declare stockholder dividends. Under the state laws, no dividends may be declared or paid at any time except out of earned, as distinguished from contributed, surplus. These subsidiaries may not make an “extraordinary dividend” until 30 days after the applicable commissioner of insurance has received notice of the intended dividend and has not objected in such time or until the commissioner has approved the payment of the extraordinary dividend within the 30-day period. In most states, an extraordinary dividend is defined as any dividend or distribution of cash or other property whose fair market value, together with that of other dividends and distributions made within the preceding 12 months, exceeds the greater of 10.0% of the insurance company’s surplus as of the preceding December 31 or the insurance company’s net income for the 12-month period ending the preceding December 31, in each case determined in accordance with statutory accounting practices. In addition, an insurance company’s remaining surplus after payment of a dividend or other distribution to stockholder affiliates must be both reasonable in relation to its outstanding liabilities and adequate to its financial needs. In 2007, our insurance companies may pay up to $16.0 million in ordinary dividends (including $4.9 million that Casualty may pay) to us without prior regulatory approval. However, the maximum dividend capacity is not immediately available in 2007 due to dividend payments of $15.3 million (including $3.8 million from Casualty) by our insurance company subsidiaries in December 2006. Our insurance companies’ statutory surplus as of September 30, 2007 was $184.5 million for the combined AIC group of insurance companies (the “AIC Group”), consisting of AIC, Insura, Affirmative Insurance Company of Michigan (“AIC of Michigan”) and Casualty, and $8.7 million for Direct (not part of the AIC Group) as compared to $136.1 million as of September 30, 2006.

The National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ model law for risk-based capital provides formulas to determine the amount of capital that an insurance company needs to ensure that it has an acceptable expectation of not becoming financially impaired. At September 30, 2007, the capital ratios of the AIC Group and Direct substantially exceeded the risk-based capital requirements and exceeded the highest level for regulatory action under the risk-based capital guidelines.

Following the completion of our acquisition of USAgencies on January 31, 2007, A.M. Best downgraded our rating from “B+” (Good) to “B” (Fair) due, in part, to our high tangible financial leverage resulting from the additional $200.0 million in debt that was utilized to finance the acquisition of USAgencies and to certain execution risks that A.M. Best believes exists relative to the overall infrastructure resulting from the combination of the two companies.

Our operating subsidiaries’ primary sources of funds are premiums received, commission and fee income, investment income and the proceeds from the sale and maturity of investments. Funds are used to pay claims and operating expenses, to purchase investments and to pay dividends to our holding company.

 

38


Table of Contents

Net cash provided by operating activities was $70.5 million and $31.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. The increase in the operating cash flows was principally due to the effects of the termination of USAgencies existing quota share agreements effective April 1, 2007. This termination resulted in the collection of $31.0 million from the reinsurer, GMAC. The termination of the GMAC quota share agreements resulted in the return of $39.7 million in ceded premiums, reduced by $8.7 million for the return of ceding commissions, for a net cash payment of $31.0 million. Additionally, the increase in operating cash flows was also attributable to a decrease of $17.9 million in restricted cash of our agencies, resulting from an internal cash settlement between our underwriting agencies and our insurance companies of approximately $17.7 million.

Net cash used in investing activities was $265.1 million and $17.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. The increase in cash used in investing activities was primarily due to the $176.4 million of cash paid for the acquisition of USAgencies in January 2007, and an increase in bonds acquired of $64.9 million.

Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities was $191.1 million and ($4.9 million) for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. The increase in financing cash flows was primarily due to the cash received from the issuance of the senior secured credit facility for the acquisition of USAgencies in January 2007 offset by $6.5 million paid in debt issuance costs and $1.5 million in principal payments.

During 2006, we developed a comprehensive implementation plan and supporting business case to consolidate and transform our primary business applications onto a new strategic platform. This plan encompasses consolidating and migrating our multiple claims, point-of-sale and policy administration systems onto single strategic platforms, as well as deploying new premium finance, reporting and business analytics capabilities. For all components of this systems transformation plan, we have selected, or are in the process of selecting, a software package that we will configure and integrate to meet our unique needs. We believe this systems transformation will position us to realize significant strategic benefits including: systemic pricing advantage in our marketplace via consolidated and streamlined systems and operations; faster product time to market; additional retail revenue via premium financing; improved claims and underwriting performance via increased automated application of best practice processing rules; a platform to simplify and hasten post-merger and acquisition integration—reducing integration costs and accelerating synergies realization; and improved customer focus and retention. In November 2006, we received approval from our board of directors to commence with the first phase of this transformation, the implementation of premium finance. In addition, during the first quarter of 2007, we received the approval from our board of directors to commence the other phases of the systems consolidation and transformation program. During the nine months ended September 30, 2007, we capitalized $11.2 million in software development and license costs in connection with this transformation. Through September 30, 2007, we have capitalized $12.0 million of costs related to the transformation.

We believe that existing cash and investment balances, as well as new cash flows generated from operations and available borrowings under our other credit facilities, will be adequate to meet our capital and liquidity needs during the 12-month period following the date of this report at both the holding company and insurance company levels. We do not currently know of any events that could cause a material increase or decrease in our long-term liquidity needs other than the capital expenditures related to our strategic systems consolidation and transformation program and the debt service requirements of the senior secured credit facility completed on January 31, 2007 to fund the acquisition of USAgencies.

Senior secured credit facility. On January 31, 2007, we entered into a $220.0 million senior secured credit facility (the “Facility”) provided by a syndicate of lenders, including Credit Suisse, Cayman Islands Branch, as Administrative Agent and Collateral Agent. The Facility provides for a $200.0 million senior term loan facility and a revolving facility of up to $20.0 million, depending on our borrowing capacity. On March 8, 2007, we added The Frost National Bank, N.A. (“Frost”) to the Facility when we received

 

39


Table of Contents

approval of the First Amendment to the Facility and executed a joinder agreement whereby Frost became the provider of an initial revolving credit commitment of $15.0 million. On September 6, 2007, we added JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A. (“Morgan”) to the Facility and executed agreements whereby Morgan became the provider of $10.0 million and Frost’s commitment was reduced to $10.0 million, thereby increasing our total revolving credit line to $20.0 million. The revolving portion of the Facility includes an option to increase the $20.0 million principal amount of revolving loans available thereunder by up to an additional $20.0 million and a $2.0 million sublimit for letters of credit. Our obligations under the Facility are guaranteed by our material operating subsidiaries (other than our insurance companies) and are secured by a first lien security interest on all of our assets and the assets of our material operating subsidiaries (other than our insurance companies), including a pledge of 100% of the stock of AIC. The facility contains certain financial covenants, which include capital expenditure limitations, minimum interest coverage requirements, maximum leverage ratio requirements, minimum risk-based capital requirements, maximum combined ratio limitations, minimum fixed charge coverage ratios and a minimum consolidated net worth requirement, as well as other restrictive covenants. As time passes, certain of the financial covenants become increasingly more restrictive. At September 30, 2007, we were in compliance with all of our financial and other restrictive covenants.

Concurrently with entering into the Facility, we borrowed $200.0 million (the “Borrowing”) under the senior term loan portion of the Facility to finance our acquisition of USAgencies and to pay related costs and expenses. The principal amount of the Borrowing is payable in quarterly installments of $500,000, with the remaining balance due on the seventh anniversary of the closing of the Facility. Beginning in 2008, we are also required to make additional annual principal payments that are to be calculated based upon our financial performance during the preceding fiscal year. In addition, certain events, such as the sale of material assets or the issuance of significant new equity, will necessitate additional required principal repayments. As of the date of this filing, we have not borrowed any funds under the revolving portion of the Facility.

The interest rate for the Facility shall be determined at the beginning of each interest period based on the Alternative Base Rate (“ABR”) or the Adjusted Libor Rate as defined in the credit agreement. The ABR is the greater of (a) the prime rate plus 2.50% or (b) the federal funds rate plus 3.00%. The Adjusted Libor Rate is the one, two, three or six month Libor plus a margin of 3.50%. For the initial 60 day interest period ending March 30, 2007, interest was determined by the credit agreement at the ABR of 10.75% (8.25% prime rate plus 2.50%). At the beginning of each subsequent interest period, the rate is the ABR unless we elect to use the Adjusted Libor Rate by notifying the lender prior to the effective interest period. We will choose the lower interest rate for each subsequent interest period. The interest rate on the borrowings under the Facility at September 30, 2007 was 8.842%, as determined by using the applicable Libor rates plus a margin of 3.5%. We notified the lender prior to the September 30, 2007 interest period of our election to use the Adjusted Libor Rate for the current interest period.

Effective April 30, 2007, we entered into an interest rate swap with a notional amount of $50.0 million that has been designated as a hedge of variable cash flows associated with that portion of the senior secured credit facility. This derivative instrument requires quarterly settlements whereby we pay a fixed rate of 4.993% and receive a three-month Libor rate, reset every three months. The derivative expires on April 30, 2011. In connection with the interest rate swap, we have elected and will continue to elect the three month Libor rate for a minimum of $50.0 million until the expiration of the swap.

We have designated this derivative instrument as a cash flow hedge in accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133, Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities (“SFAS 133”), as subsequently amended by SFAS 138, Accounting for Certain Derivative Instruments and Certain Hedging Activitiesan amendment of SFAS 133. The credit risk associated with this contract is limited to the uncollected interest payments and the fair market value of the derivative to the extent it has become favorable to us.

 

40


Table of Contents

In connection with our closing on the Facility on January 31, 2007, we terminated our then existing credit agreement with Frost dated July 30, 2004, as amended (the “Prior Credit Agreement”). At the time of the termination, there were no borrowings outstanding under the Prior Credit Agreement.

SPECIAL NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

Any statement contained in this report that is not a historical fact, or that might otherwise be considered an opinion or projection concerning the Company or its business, whether express or implied, is meant as and should be considered a forward-looking statement as that term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements often contain such phrases as: “we expect,” “we believe,” “we anticipate,” “we plan” and “we may.” Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and opinions concerning a variety of known and unknown risks, including but not necessarily limited to changes in market conditions, natural disasters and other catastrophic events, increased competition, changes in availability and cost of reinsurance, changes in governmental regulations, and general economic conditions, as well as other risks more completely described in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. If any of these assumptions or opinions proves incorrect, any forward-looking statements made on the basis of such assumptions or opinions may also prove materially incorrect in one or more respects.

Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

We are principally exposed to two types of market risk: interest rate risk and credit risk.

Interest rate risk. Our investment portfolio consists principally of investment-grade, fixed income securities, all of which are classified as available for sale. Accordingly, the primary market risk exposure to our debt securities is interest rate risk. In general the fair market value of a portfolio of fixed income securities increases or decreases inversely with changes in market interest rates, while net investment income realized from future investments in fixed income securities increases or decreases along with interest rates. In addition, some of our fixed income securities have call or prepayment options. This could subject us to reinvestment risk should interest rates fall and issuers call their securities and we reinvest at lower interest rates. We attempt to mitigate this interest rate risk by investing in securities with varied maturity dates and by managing the duration of our investment portfolio to a defined range of less than three years. The fair value of our fixed income securities as of September 30, 2007 was $360.0 million. The effective duration of the portfolio as of September 30, 2007 was 1.24 years. Should the market interest rates increase 1.0%, our fixed income investment portfolio would be expected to decline in market value by 1.24%, or $4.5 million, representing the effective duration multiplied by the change in market interest rates. Conversely, a 1.0% decline in interest rates would result in a 1.24%, or $4.5 million, increase in the market value of our fixed income investment portfolio.

Credit risk. An additional exposure to our fixed income securities portfolio is credit risk. We attempt to manage our credit risk by investing only in investment grade securities and limiting our exposure to a single issuer. As of September 30, 2007, our fixed income investments were invested in the following: U.S. Treasury securities – 2.0%, U.S. agencies securities – 0.5%, corporate securities – 2.3%, mortgaged backed securities – 2.3% and tax-exempt securities – 92.9%. As of September 30, 2007, 99.7% of our fixed income securities were rated “A” or better by nationally recognized statistical rating organizations. The average quality of our portfolio was “AA+” as of September 30, 2007.

 

41


Table of Contents

We invest our insurance portfolio funds in highly rated fixed income securities. Our portfolio is maintained by an outside investment advisor in compliance with the investment policies provided by us. The investment advisor makes investments and divestitures only as approved in advance by us. Information about our investment portfolio is as follows ($ in thousands):

 

    

As of

September 30,

2007

  

As of

December 31,

2006

Total invested assets

   $ 373,567    $ 221,770

Tax equivalent book yield

     5.32%      5.33%

Average duration in years

     1.24      1.0

Average S&P rating

     AA+      AA+

We are subject to credit risks with respect to our reinsurers. Although a reinsurer is liable for losses to the extent of the coverage which it assumes, our reinsurance contracts do not discharge our insurance companies from primary liability to each policyholder for the full amount of the applicable policy, and consequently our insurance companies remain obligated to pay claims in accordance with the terms of the policies regardless of whether a reinsurer fulfills or defaults on its obligations under the related reinsurance agreement. In order to mitigate credit risk to reinsurance companies, we attempt to select financially strong reinsurers with an A.M. Best rating of “A-” or better and continue to evaluate their financial condition. Our only current external quota share reinsurance agreement is with GMAC, which is currently rated A- by A.M. Best.

At September 30, 2007, our total receivables from reinsurers were $67.4 million, consisting of $32.6 million from GMAC (rated A- by A.M. Best) for business reinsured in Louisiana and Alabama, $20.1 million net receivable (net of $2.5 million payable) from subsidiaries of Vesta Insurance Group, Inc. (“VIG”) including primarily Vesta Fire Insurance Corporation (“VFIC”), $8.5 million receivable from the Michigan Catastrophic Claims Association, the mandatory reinsurance association in Michigan, $3.6 million from Evergreen National Indemnity Company (rated A by A.M. Best) and $2.6 million receivables from other reinsurers. Under the reinsurance agreement with VFIC, AIC had the right, under certain circumstances, to require VFIC to provide a letter of credit or establish a trust account to collateralize the gross amount due AIC and Insura from VFIC under the reinsurance agreement. Accordingly, AIC, Insura and VFIC entered into a Security Fund Agreement effective September 1, 2004. On August 30, 2005 AIC received a letter from VFIC’s President that irrevocably confirmed VFIC’s duty and obligations under the Security Fund Agreement to provide security sufficient to satisfy VFIC’s gross obligations under the reinsurance agreement (the “VFIC Trust”). At September 30, 2007 the VFIC Trust held $23.8 million to collateralize the $22.6 million gross recoverable from VFIC. In June 2006, the Texas Department of Insurance placed VFIC, along with several of its affiliates, into rehabilitation and subsequently into liquidation. Due to VFIC’s liquidation status, AIC has worked through certain procedures to effect its right to withdraw funds from the VFIC Trust. AIC has worked with the Special Deputy Receiver (the “SDR”) and the SDR’s staff on this matter since VFIC was placed into liquidation. To date, the SDR has not taken issue with the validity of the VFIC Trust, and we have negotiated with the SDR and established the manner in which funds will be withdrawn from the VFIC Trust, which includes the approval of the Special Master of the Receivership Court.

On November 6, 2007, AIC completed its first withdrawal of funds from the VFIC Trust in the amount of $5.8 million. As a result of this transaction, the VFIC Trust balance will decrease, the gross receivable from VFIC will decrease and cash and cash equivalents will increase by $5.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2007.

At September 30, 2007, $17.2 million was included in reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses that represented the amount owed from AIC and Insura under reinsurance agreements with VIG affiliated companies, including Hawaiian. AIC established a trust account to collateralize this payable, which currently holds $29.8 million (including accrued interest) in securities (the “AFIC Trust”). The AFIC Trust has not been drawn upon by the SDR in Texas or the SDR in Hawaii. It is our expectation that the terms for withdrawal of funds from the AFIC trust will be similar to those we expect to be agreed to in regards to the VFIC Trust (see Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements).

 

42


Table of Contents

In May of 2006, certain of VIG’s insurance companies, including VFIC, redomesticated to the state of Texas. Subsequently on June 28, 2006, an Agreed Order Appointing Rehabilitator and Permanent Injunction was issued by the Texas Department of Insurance (“Department”) whereby, based upon the Department’s findings, a rehabilitator was appointed, the company and certain of their officers were enjoined from various actions, and actions against the VIG companies were stayed. On July 18, 2006, the Department then filed an Application for Order of Liquidation and Requested for Expedited Hearing that remains pending. Such Order was granted on August 1, 2006 as to VFIC.

As part of the terms of the acquisition of AIC and Insura, VIG has indemnified us for any losses due to uncollectible reinsurance related to reinsurance agreements entered into with unaffiliated reinsurers prior to December 31, 2003. As of September 30, 2007, all such unaffiliated reinsurers had A.M. Best ratings of “A” or better.

Effects of inflation. We do not believe that inflation has a material effect on our results of operations, except for the effect that inflation may have on interest rates and claims costs. The effects of inflation are considered in pricing and estimating reserves for unpaid claims and claim expenses. The actual effects of inflation on our results are not known until claims are ultimately settled. In addition to general price inflation, we are exposed to a persisting long-term upward trend in the cost of judicial awards for damages. We attempt to mitigate the effects of inflation in our pricing and establishing of reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses.

Item 4. Controls and Procedures

Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures

We maintain “disclosure controls and procedures,” as such term is defined in the Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”), that are designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by us in the reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms, and that such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our principal executive officer and principal financial officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure.

As of the end of the period covered by this report, we carried out an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of our Disclosure Committee and management, including our principal executive officer and principal financial officer, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures pursuant to Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(b) and 15d-15(b). Based upon this evaluation, our principal executive officer and principal financial officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of September 30, 2007.

Changes in Internal Control over Financial Reporting

There were no changes in our internal control over financial reporting that occurred during our last fiscal quarter that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

The acquisition of USAgencies has resulted in the adoption of the existing internal controls of that organization into the population of controls relied upon by Affirmative’s management in the reporting of the consolidated financial results of Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc. Management performed due diligence in advance of the acquisition and completed subsequent operational reviews that support the conclusion that data relied upon for financial reporting is materially accurate for consolidation purposes. Management has established an implementation schedule intended to bring the new entity into full compliance with Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 by December 31, 2007.

 

43


Table of Contents

PART II – OTHER INFORMATION

Item 1. Legal Proceedings

The information set forth in Note 10 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, “Contingencies and Legal Proceedings,” is hereby incorporated by reference into this Item 1.

Item 1A. Risk Factors

There are no material changes with respect to those risk factors previously disclosed in Item 1A to Part I of our Form 10-K, as filed with the Commission on March 16, 2007.

Item 6. Exhibits

 

31.1

   Certification of Kevin R. Callahan, Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

31.2

   Certification of Mark E. Pape, Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

32.1

   Certification of Kevin R. Callahan, Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

32.2

   Certification of Mark E. Pape Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

 

44


Table of Contents

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

 

    Affirmative Insurance Holdings, Inc.
Date: November 9, 2007  
 

/s/ Mark E. Pape

  By: Mark E. Pape
  Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
  (and in his capacity as Principal Financial Officer)

 

45