8-K

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

Current Report

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15 (d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)—November 7, 2022

ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Bermuda	001-32141	98-0429991
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)	(Commission File Number)	(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

30 Woodbourne Avenue

Hamilton HM 08 Bermuda

(Address of principal executive offices)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (441) 279-5700

Not applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class:		Trading Symbol(s)	Name of exchange on which registered
Common Shares	$0.01 par value per share	AGO	New York Stock Exchange
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 5.000% Senior Notes due 2024 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)		AGO 24	New York Stock Exchange
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.150% Senior Notes due 2031 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)		AGO/31	New York Stock Exchange
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.600% Senior Notes due 2051 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)		AGO/51	New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR §230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR §240.12b-2).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02	Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 7, 2022 Assured Guaranty Ltd. issued a press release reporting its third quarter 2022 results and the availability of its September 30, 2022 financial supplement. The press release and the financial supplement are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, and are incorporated by reference herein.
Item 9.01	Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits
Exhibit Number	Description
99.1	Assured Guaranty Ltd. Press Release dated September 30, 2022 reporting third quarter 2022 results
99.2	September 30, 2022 Financial Supplement of Assured Guaranty Ltd.
104.1	Cover Page Interactive Data File - the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document

2

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Assured Guaranty Ltd.
By:	/s/ ROBERT A. BAILENSON
	Name: Robert A. Bailenson Title: Chief Financial Officer

DATE: November 7, 2022

3

EX-99.1

Assured Guaranty Ltd. Reports Results for Third Quarter 2022

•GAAP Highlights:

•Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. was $11 million, or $0.18 per share(1),for third quarter 2022, which includes after-tax losses of: $72 million related to foreign exchange remeasurement, and $40 million of fair value adjustments on credit derivatives.

•Shareholders’ equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per share was $81.17 as of September 30, 2022.

•Non-GAAP Highlights:

•Adjusted operating income(2) was $133 million, or $2.11 per share, for third quarter 2022.

•Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity(2) per share and adjusted book value (ABV)(2) per share were $91.82 and $137.87, respectively, as of September 30, 2022.

•Return of Capital to Shareholders:

•Third quarter 2022 capital returned to shareholders was $113 million, consisting of the repurchase of 1.8 million shares for $97 million, and dividends of $16 million.

•As of September 30, 2022, 60.7 million common shares were outstanding.

•Insurance Segment:

•Insurance segment adjusted operating income was $159 million for third quarter 2022.

•Gross written premiums (GWP) were $94 million for third quarter 2022.

•Present value of new business production (PVP)(2) was $95 million for third quarter 2022.

•Asset Management Segment:

•Asset Management segment adjusted operating loss was $3 million for third quarter 2022.

Hamilton, Bermuda, November 7, 2022 -- Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE: AGO) (AGL and, together with its consolidated entities, Assured Guaranty or the Company) announced today its financial results for the three-month period ended September 30, 2022 (third quarter 2022).

“Assured Guaranty performed well during the third quarter of 2022. New business production continued to be strong, with $94 million of gross written premiums and $95 million of PVP. Gross written premiums and PVP were driven mainly by our best third-quarter PVP in international public finance and our second-best third-quarter PVP in U.S. public finance in more than a decade. While GAAP net income per share was 18% lower in third quarter 2022 primarily due to foreign exchange remeasurement and fair value adjustments on credit derivatives, adjusted operating income per share was 369% higher than in third quarter 2021,” said President and CEO Dominic Frederico.

“In U.S. public finance, we saw strong demand for Assured Guaranty’s secondary market bond insurance where we wrote more insured par than in any first nine-month period of the last decade. Our $2.2 billion of secondary insured par totaled more than 11 times that of the same period last year.

“While rising interest rates and the resulting unrealized losses in the investment portfolio resulted in a decrease in our shareholders’ equity per share, our other principal measures of shareholder value, adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share and adjusted book value per share, both increased since the beginning of the year.

(1)    Per share information for net income and adjusted operating income is based on diluted shares.

(2)Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.”

1

“In our share repurchase program during the first three quarters of 2022, we repurchased over 7.1 million shares, representing more than 10% of our total shares outstanding on December 31, 2021.”

Summary Financial Results

(in millions, except per share amounts)

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2022		2021
GAAP
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL	$	11	$	17
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share	$	0.18	$	0.22
Weighted average diluted shares	62.9		73.6
Non-GAAP
Adjusted operating income (loss) (1)	$	133	$	34
Adjusted operating income per diluted share (1)	$	2.11	$	0.45
Weighted average diluted shares	62.9		73.6
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation(2) included in adjusted operating income	$	7	$	(4)
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income per share	$	0.12	$	(0.06)
Components of total adjusted operating income (loss)
Insurance segment	$	159	$	214
Asset Management segment	(3)		(7)
Corporate division	(30)		(169)
Other	7		(4)
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$	133	$	34

	As of
	September 30, 2022				December 31, 2021
	Amount		Per Share		Amount		Per Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL	$	4,929	$	81.17	$	6,292	$	93.19
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (1)	5,575		91.82		5,991		88.73
ABV (1)	8,371		137.87		8,823		130.67
Common Shares Outstanding	60.7				67.5

________________________________________________

(1)    Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release.

(2)    The effect of consolidating financial guaranty (FG) variable interest entities (VIEs) (FG VIEs) and consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs).

On a per share basis, shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL was $81.17 as of September 30, 2022, which was lower than shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL of $93.19 as of December 31, 2021, primarily due to unrealized losses on the investment portfolio caused largely by rising interest rates.

On a per share basis, adjusted operating shareholders’ equity increased to $91.82 as of September 30, 2022, from $88.73 as of December 31, 2021, and ABV increased to $137.87 as of September 30, 2022 from $130.67 as of December 31, 2021, primarily due to the accretive effect of the share repurchase program, and in the case of ABV, net premiums written and favorable loss development. See “Common Share Repurchases” on page 10.

2

Insurance Segment

The Insurance segment primarily consists of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries that provide credit protection products to the United States (U.S.) and non-U.S. public finance (including infrastructure) and structured finance markets.

Insurance Segment Results

(in millions)

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2022		2021
Segment revenues
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues	$	92	$	114
Net investment income	69		69
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities	(8)		—
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement and other income (loss)	(6)		7
Total segment revenues	147		190
Segment expenses
Loss expense (benefit)	(75)		(78)
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs (DAC)	4		3
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	34		35
Other operating expenses	21		18
Total segment expenses	(16)		(22)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	(11)		33
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes	152		245
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	(7)		31
Segment adjusted operating income (loss)	$	159	$	214

Insurance segment adjusted operating income was $159 million in third quarter 2022 compared with $214 million in the three-month period ended September 30, 2021 (third quarter 2021). The variance was primarily due to lower net asset values for alternative investments reported in “equity in earnings (losses) of investees” and lower net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues, as shown in the table above. The components of premiums, losses and income from the investment portfolio are presented below.

Insurance Segment Net Earned Premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues

Insurance Segment

Net Earned Premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues

(in millions)

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2022		2021
Scheduled net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues	$	80	$	99
Accelerations	12		15
Total	$	92	$	114

Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues in third quarter 2022 were lower than third quarter 2021 primarily due to net earned premiums of $13 million on certain transactions in third quarter 2021 that did not recur, and lower accelerations and updates to debt service assumptions in third quarter 2022.

3

Insurance Segment Loss Expense (Benefit) and the Rollforward of Expected Losses

Insurance Segment

Loss Expense (Benefit)

(in millions)

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2022		2021
Public finance	$	4	$	(23)
U.S. residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS)	(82)		(58)
Other structured finance	3		3
Total	$	(75)	$	(78)

Loss expense is a function of economic loss development (benefit), as well as the amortization of deferred premium revenue. Third quarter 2022 loss development (benefit) is presented in the table below.

Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered)(1)

(in millions)

	Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of June 30, 2022		Economic Loss Development (Benefit)		Net (Paid) Recovered Losses(2)		Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of September 30, 2022
Public finance	$	217	$	22	$	393	$	632
U.S. RMBS	179		(95)		(32)		52
Other structured finance	46		1		(4)		43
Total	$	442	$	(72)	$	357	$	727

________________________________________________

(1)    Economic loss development (benefit) represents the change in net expected loss to be paid (recovered) attributable to the effects of changes in the economic performance of insured transactions, changes in assumptions based on observed market trends, changes in discount rates, accretion of discount and the economic effects of loss mitigation efforts, each net of reinsurance. Economic loss development (benefit) is the principal measure that the Company uses to evaluate the loss experience in its insured portfolio. Expected loss to be paid (recovered) includes all transactions insured by the Company, whether written in insurance or credit derivative form, regardless of the accounting model prescribed under accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP), and without consideration of unearned premium reserves.

(2)    Includes recoveries received in the form of contingent value instruments in third quarter 2022 as part of the Puerto Rico resolutions and plan support agreements.

The economic benefit in U.S. RMBS in third quarter 2022 was $95 million, which was mainly attributable to the purchase of a loss mitigation security, updates in the projected conditional default rate curves on second lien transactions, a benefit on certain assumed RMBS transactions related to a settlement between a ceding company and a representation and warranty provider, improved performance in certain transactions, and higher recoveries for secured second lien charged-off loans.

In third quarter 2022, the effect of higher risk-free rates used to discount expected losses was a benefit of $25 million across all sectors.

4

Insurance Segment Income from Investment Portfolio

Insurance Segment

Income from Investment Portfolio

(in millions)

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2022		2021
Net investment income	$	69	$	69
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities	(8)		—
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees:
AssuredIM Funds (1)	9		23
Other alternative investments	(20)		10
Total	$	50	$	102

________________________________________________

(1)    Funds managed by Assured Investment Management LLC (AssuredIM LLC) and its investment management affiliates (together with AssuredIM LLC, AssuredIM).

Net investment income from the available-for-sale portfolio in third quarter 2022 was consistent with third quarter 2021.

Contingent value instruments issued by Puerto Rico that were received in the first and third quarters of 2022 as part of the Puerto Rico resolutions and plan support agreements are classified as trading securities with changes in fair value reported in the consolidated statements of operations. Fair value losses on trading securities were $8 million in third quarter 2022.

In the Insurance segment, investments in AssuredIM Funds are recorded at net asset value (NAV), with the change in NAV reported in “equity in earnings (losses) of investees.” The AssuredIM Funds include healthcare, collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), municipal bond and asset-based funds. Equity in earnings of AssuredIM Funds in third quarter 2022 was a gain primarily attributable to fair value gains in the assets held in the CLO fund. Equity in earnings of AssuredIM Funds in third quarter 2021 was a gain mainly attributable to an overall increase in the NAV of the healthcare and CLO funds. As of September 30, 2022, the Insurance segment had invested $574 million (at fair value) in AssuredIM Funds. Inception-to-date realized and unrealized gains on AssuredIM Funds as of September 30, 2022 totaled $107 million.

Equity in earnings (losses) of investees also includes the Company’s interests in other alternative investments, which reported a loss in third quarter 2022, primarily attributable to a private equity fund, compared with a gain in third quarter 2021.

To the extent that the amounts invested in AssuredIM Funds and other alternative investments increase and available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities decrease, net investment income may decline and mark-to-market volatility may increase.

Insurance Segment New Business Production

PVP, a non-GAAP financial measure, measures the value of the Insurance segment’s new business production and includes upfront premiums and the present value of expected future installments on new business at the time of issuance, for all contracts regardless of form or GAAP accounting model. See “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release.

5

Insurance Segment

New Business Production

(in millions)

	Quarter Ended September 30,
	2022						2021
	GWP		PVP (1)		Gross Par Written (1)		GWP		PVP (1)		Gross Par Written (1)
Public finance - U.S.	$	54	$	57	$	3,622	$	52	$	55	$	7,703
Public finance - non-U.S.	44		37		194		21		17		156
Structured finance - U.S.	(2)		1		30		29		21		436
Structured finance - non-U.S.	(2)		—		—		4		3		266
Total	$	94	$	95	$	3,846	$	106	$	96	$	8,561

________________________________________________

(1)    PVP and Gross Par Written in the table above are based on “close date,” when the transaction settles.

U.S. public finance GWP and PVP in third quarter 2022 was higher than the comparable GWP and PVP in third quarter 2021, primarily due to a large transportation revenue transaction in third quarter 2022 and a higher proportion of secondary market business which generally carries a higher premium rate.

In the U.S. public finance primary market, which had lower new issuance in third quarter 2022 compared with third quarter 2021, the ratio of PVP to par written was higher as the coupon on insured transactions increased due to the higher interest rate environment.

The average rating of U.S. public finance par written was A- in both third quarter 2022 and third quarter 2021. The Company’s direct par written in the primary market represented 56% of the total U.S. municipal market insured issuance in third quarter 2022, compared with 64% in third quarter 2021, and the Company’s penetration of all municipal issuance was 3.2% in third quarter 2022 compared with 5.4% in third quarter 2021.

In third quarter 2022, non-U.S. public finance GWP and PVP were primarily attributable to a secondary market guarantee of a portfolio of regulated utilities.

6

Asset Management Segment

Asset Management Segment Results

(in millions)

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2022		2021
Segment revenues
Management fees:
CLOs (1)	$	12	$	12
Opportunity funds and liquid strategies	6		4
Wind-down funds	—		1
Total management fees	18		17
Performance fees	2		—
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement and other income (loss)	1		2
Total segment revenues	21		19
Segment expenses
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	16		19
Other operating expenses (2)	8		10
Total segment expenses	24		29
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes	(3)		(10)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	—		(3)
Segment adjusted operating income (loss)	$	(3)	$	(7)

________________________________________________

(1) CLO fees are the net management fees that AssuredIM retains after rebating the portion of these fees that pertains to the CLO equity that is held directly by AssuredIM Funds.

(2)    Includes amortization of intangible assets of $2 million and $3 million in third quarter 2022 and third quarter 2021, respectively.

Management fees from opportunity funds increased primarily due to higher third-party assets under management (AUM) in healthcare funds. Fees from the wind-down funds decreased as distributions to investors continued. As of September 30, 2022, AUM of the wind-down funds was $0.2 billion, compared with $0.8 billion as of September 30, 2021, and $0.6 billion as of December 31, 2021.

7

Roll Forward of Assets Under Management

(in millions)

	CLOs (1)		Opportunity Funds (2)		Liquid Strategies		Wind-Down Funds		Total
AUM, June 30, 2022	$	15,176	$	2,050	$	372	$	339	$	17,937
Inflows-third party	—		1		—		—		1
Inflows-intercompany	115		—		1		—		116
Outflows:
Redemptions	—		—		—		—		—
Distributions	(154)		(47)		—		(114)		(315)
Total outflows	(154)		(47)		—		(114)		(315)
Net flows	(39)		(46)		1		(114)		(198)
Change in value	(186)		14		(6)		(17)		(195)
AUM, September 30, 2022	$	14,951	$	2,018	$	367	$	208	$	17,544

_______________________________________________

(1)    CLOs inflows and outflows include $105 million related to the transfer of assets between two CLO funds.

(2)    Distributions from opportunity funds include $41 million related to the AssuredIM Funds created prior to the acquisition of BlueMountain Capital Management, LLC (now known as AssuredIM LLC). As of September 30, 2022, AUM related to these funds was $74 million.

Components of Assets Under Management (1)

(in millions)

	As of
	September 30, 2022		June 30, 2022
Funded AUM	$	16,714	$	17,046
Unfunded AUM	830		891
Fee-earning AUM	$	16,818	$	17,148
Non-fee earning AUM	726		789
Intercompany AUM
Funded AUM (2)	$	1,112	$	1,100
Unfunded AUM	218		241

_______________________________________________

(1)    Please see “Definitions” at the end of this press release.

(2)    Includes assets managed by AssuredIM under an Investment Management Agreement with its insurance affiliates of $537 million in investment-grade CLO and liquid municipal strategies as of September 30, 2022 and of $548 million as of June 30, 2022.

Corporate Division

The Corporate division primarily consists of interest expense on the debt of Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. (AGUS) and Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. (AGMH), as well as other operating expenses attributed to holding company activities. Adjusted operating loss for the Corporate division was $30 million in third quarter 2022 compared with $169 million in third quarter 2021. The Corporate division loss in third quarter 2021 was primarily due to the loss on extinguishment of debt of $175 million on a pre-tax basis ($138 million after-tax) associated with the redemption of AGMH and AGUS debt, which represented the difference between the amount paid to redeem the debt and the carrying value of the debt. The loss on extinguishment of debt primarily consisted of a $156 million acceleration of unamortized fair value adjustments that were originally recorded upon the acquisition of AGMH in 2009, and a $19 million make-whole payment associated with the redemption of $170 million of AGUS 5% Senior Notes.

8

Other (Effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation)

The effect of consolidating FG VIEs and CIVs was a gain of $7 million in third quarter 2022 compared with a loss of $4 million in third quarter 2021.

Reconciliation to GAAP

The following table presents a reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to AGL to adjusted operating income (loss).

Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Attributable to AGL to

Adjusted Operating Income (Loss)

(in millions, except per share amounts)

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2022				2021
	Total		Per Diluted Share		Total		Per Diluted Share
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL	$	11	$	0.18	$	17	$	0.22
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments	(14)		(0.22)		3		0.04
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	(49)		(0.78)		9		0.12
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities (CCS)	1		0.02		(3)		(0.05)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserves	(78)		(1.25)		(27)		(0.36)
Total pre-tax adjustments	(140)		(2.23)		(18)		(0.25)
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments	18		0.30		1		0.02
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$	133	$	2.11	$	34	$	0.45
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income	$	7	$	0.12	$	(4)	$	(0.06)

Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value losses on credit derivatives in third quarter 2022 were generated primarily as a result of wider asset spreads and a tightening of Assured Guaranty Corp. spreads. In third quarter 2021, non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains on credit derivatives were mainly attributable to the termination of several credit default swap policies, including several trust preferred securities transactions and one RMBS transaction. Except for underlying credit impairment, which is recognized as loss expense in the Insurance segment, the fair value adjustments on credit derivatives in the insured portfolio are non-economic adjustments that reverse to zero over the remaining term of that portfolio.

Fair value of CCS is heavily affected by, and in part fluctuates with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

Foreign exchange gains (losses) in both periods primarily relate to remeasurement of premiums receivable and are mainly due to changes in the exchange rate of the pound sterling and euro relative to the U.S. dollar.

9

Common Share Repurchases

Summary of Share Repurchases

(in millions, except per share amounts)

	Amount		Number of Shares	Average Price Per Share
2022 (January 1 - March 31)	$	155	2.738	$	56.62
2022 (April 1 - June 30)	151		2.606	58.03
2022 (July 1 - September 30, 2022)	97		1.790	53.77
2022 (October 1 - November 7)	42		0.786	53.99
Total 2022	$	445	7.920	56.18

From 2013 through November 7, 2022, the Company repurchased a total of 140 million common shares at an average price of $32.89, representing approximately 72% of the total shares outstanding at the beginning of the repurchase program in 2013. As of November 7, 2022, the Company was authorized to purchase $261 million of its common shares. These repurchases can be made from time to time in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions.

The timing, form and amount of the share repurchases under the program are at the discretion of management and will depend on a variety of factors, including funds available at the parent company, other potential uses for such funds, market conditions, the Company's capital position, legal requirements and other factors. The repurchase program may be modified, extended or terminated by the Board of Directors at any time. It does not have an expiration date.

10

Financial Statements

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)

(in millions)

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2022		2021
Revenues
Net earned premiums	$	89	$	102
Net investment income	67		66
Asset management fees	16		20
Net realized investment gains (losses)	(14)		3
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	(48)		21
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	1		(3)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs	11		5
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	8		16
Foreign exchange gain (loss) on remeasurement	(80)		(27)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities	(8)		—
Other income (loss)	(1)		9
Total revenues	41		212
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit)	(75)		(68)
Interest expense	20		23
Loss on extinguishment of debt	—		175
Amortization of DAC	4		3
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	57		59
Other operating expenses	37		38
Total expenses	43		230
Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in earnings (losses) of investees	(2)		(18)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	(20)		23
Income (loss) before income taxes	(22)		5
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	(27)		(15)
Net income (loss)	5		20
Less: Noncontrolling interests	(6)		3
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL	$	11	$	17

11

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)

(in millions)

	As of
	September 30, 2022		December 31, 2021
Assets
Investments:
Fixed-maturity securities available-for-sale, at fair value	$	6,780	$	8,202
Fixed-maturity securities, trading, at fair value	393		—
Short-term investments, at fair value	1,177		1,225
Other invested assets	130		181
Total investments	8,480		9,608
Cash	131		120
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable	1,178		1,372
DAC	142		131
Salvage and subrogation recoverable	385		801
FG VIEs’ assets, at fair value	236		260
Assets of CIVs	5,336		5,271
Goodwill and other intangible assets	166		175
Other assets	606		470
Total assets	$	16,660	$	18,208
Liabilities
Unearned premium reserve	$	3,596	$	3,716
Loss and LAE reserve	882		869
Long-term debt	1,675		1,673
Credit derivative liabilities, at fair value	195		156
FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value	251		289
Liabilities of CIVs	4,447		4,436
Other liabilities	440		569
Total liabilities	11,486		11,708
Redeemable noncontrolling interests	21		22
Shareholders’ equity
Common shares	1		1
Retained earnings	5,579		5,990
Accumulated other comprehensive income	(652)		300
Deferred equity compensation	1		1
Total shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL	4,929		6,292
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests	224		186
Total shareholders’ equity	5,153		6,478
Total liabilities, redeemable noncontrolling interests and shareholders’ equity	$	16,660	$	18,208

12

Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

The Company discloses both (a) financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP and (b) financial measures not determined in accordance with GAAP (non-GAAP financial measures).

Financial measures identified as non-GAAP should not be considered substitutes for GAAP financial measures. The primary limitation of non-GAAP financial measures is the potential lack of comparability to financial measures of other companies, whose definitions of non-GAAP financial measures may differ from those of the Company.

The Company believes its presentation of non-GAAP financial measures provides information that is necessary for analysts to calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty’s financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and for investors, analysts and the financial news media to evaluate Assured Guaranty’s financial results.

GAAP requires the Company to consolidate entities where it is deemed to be the primary beneficiary which include:

•FG VIEs, which the Company does not own and where its exposure is limited to its obligation under the financial guaranty insurance contract, and

•CIVs in which certain subsidiaries invest and which are managed by AssuredIM.

The Company discloses the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation that is embedded in each non-GAAP financial measure, as applicable. The Company believes this information may also be useful to analysts and investors evaluating Assured Guaranty’s financial results. In the case of both the consolidated FG VIEs and the CIVs, the economic effect on the Company of each of the consolidated FG VIEs and CIVs is reflected primarily in the results of the Insurance segment.

Management of the Company and AGL’s Board of Directors use non-GAAP financial measures further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (which the Company refers to as its core financial measures), as well as GAAP financial measures and other factors, to evaluate the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and progress towards long-term goals. The Company uses core financial measures in its decision-making process for and in its calculation of certain components of management compensation. The financial measures that the Company uses to help determine compensation are: (1) adjusted operating income, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (2) adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (3) adjusted book value per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (4) PVP; and (5) gross third-party assets raised.

Management believes that many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and/or adjusted book value, each further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, as the principal financial measures for valuing AGL’s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell AGL’s common shares. Management also believes that many of the Company’s fixed income investors also use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to evaluate the Company’s capital adequacy.

Adjusted operating income, further adjusted for the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company’s financial results in comparison with the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure disclosed by the Company and describe why it is useful. To the extent there is a directly comparable GAAP financial measure, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is presented below.

13

Adjusted Operating Income

Management believes that adjusted operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the operating results of the Company. Adjusted operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of realized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments, except for gains and losses on securities classified as trading. The timing of realized gains and losses, which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of sales is largely subject to the Company’s discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company’s tax and capital profile.

2)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are recognized in net income, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

3)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS that are recognized in net income. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

4)    Elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of net premium receivables and loss and LAE reserves that are recognized in net income. Long-dated receivables and loss and LAE reserves represent the present value of future contractual or expected cash flows. Therefore, the current period’s foreign exchange remeasurement gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

5)    Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

See “Reconciliation to GAAP” above for a reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to AGL to adjusted operating income (loss).

Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and Adjusted Book Value

Management believes that adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it excludes the fair value adjustments on investments, credit derivatives and CCS that are not expected to result in economic gain or loss.

Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is defined as shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

2)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

14

3)    Elimination of unrealized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore would not recognize an economic gain or loss.

4)     Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Management uses adjusted book value, further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to measure the intrinsic value of the Company, excluding franchise value. Adjusted book value per share, further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core adjusted book value), is one of the key financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation elements to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors. Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues net of expected losses. Adjusted book value is adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of deferred acquisition costs, net. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued and will be expensed in future accounting periods.

2)    Addition of the net present value of estimated net future revenue. See below.

3)    Addition of the deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the present value of the expected future net earned premiums, net of the present value of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

4)     Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

The unearned premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors.

15

Reconciliation of GAAP Shareholders’ Equity attributable to AGL to

Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and ABV

(in millions, except per share amounts)

	As of
	September 30, 2022				December 31, 2021
	Total		Per Share		Total		Per Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL	$	4,929	$	81.17	$	6,292	$	93.19
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	(101)		(1.66)		(54)		(0.80)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	35		0.58		23		0.34
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect	(672)		(11.07)		404		5.99
Less taxes	92		1.50		(72)		(1.07)
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity	5,575		91.82		5,991		88.73
Pre-tax adjustments:
Less: DAC	142		2.33		131		1.95
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue	159		2.62		160		2.37
Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed	3,373		55.54		3,402		50.40
Plus taxes	(594)		(9.78)		(599)		(8.88)
ABV	$	8,371	$	137.87	$	8,823	$	130.67
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity	$	27	$	0.44	$	32	$	0.47
ABV	16		0.27		23		0.34
Shares outstanding at the end of the period	60.7				67.5

Net Present Value of Estimated Net Future Revenue

Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the present value of estimated net future revenue for non-financial guaranty insurance contracts. This amount represents the net present value of estimated future revenue from these contracts (other than credit derivatives with net expected losses), net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes.

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than loss mitigation securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Net present value of estimated future revenue for an obligation may change from period to period due to a change in the discount rate or due to a change in estimated net future revenue for the obligation, which may change due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or Present Value of New Business Production

Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production in the Insurance segment by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as additional installment premiums and fees on existing contracts (which may result from supplements or fees or from the issuer not calling an insured obligation the

16

Company projected would be called), regardless of form, which management believes GAAP gross written premiums and changes in fair value of credit derivatives do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums. 

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as loss mitigation securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Under GAAP, financial guaranty installment premiums are discounted at a risk-free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction.

Actual installment premiums may differ from those estimated in the Company’s PVP calculation due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. 

Reconciliation of GWP to PVP

(in millions)

	Quarter Ended
	September 30, 2022
	Public Finance				Structured Finance
	U.S.		Non - U.S.		U.S.		Non - U.S.		Total
GWP	$	54	$	44	$	(2)	$	(2)	$	94
Less: Installment GWPand other GAAP adjustments(1)	—		44		(3)		(2)		39
Upfront GWP	54		—		1		—		55
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)	3		37		—		—		40
PVP	$	57	$	37	$	1	$	—	$	95

	Quarter Ended
	September 30, 2021
	Public Finance				Structured Finance
	U.S.		Non - U.S.		U.S.		Non - U.S.		Total
GWP	$	52	$	21	$	29	$	4	$	106
Less: Installment GWPand other GAAP adjustments(1)	(1)		22		27		4		52
Upfront GWP	53		(1)		2		—		54
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)	2		18		19		3		42
PVP	$	55	$	17	$	21	$	3	$	96

________________________________________________

(1)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.

(2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturities such as loss mitigation securities.

17

AUM Definitions

The Company uses AUM as a metric to measure progress in its Asset Management segment. Management fee revenue is based on a variety of factors and is not perfectly correlated with AUM. However, the Company believes that AUM is a useful metric for assessing the relative size and scope of the Company’s asset management business. The Company uses measures of its AUM in its decision-making process and uses a measure of change in AUM in its calculation of certain components of management compensation. Investors also use AUM to evaluate companies that participate in the asset management business. AUM refers to the assets managed, advised or serviced by the Asset Management segment and equals the sum of the following:

•the amount of aggregate collateral balance and principal cash of AssuredIM’s CLOs, including CLO Equity that may be held by AssuredIM Funds. This also includes CLO assets managed by BlueMountain Fuji Management, LLC (BM Fuji), which was sold to a third party in second quarter 2021. AssuredIM is not the investment manager of BM Fuji-advised CLOs, but following the sale, AssuredIM sub-advises and continues to provide personnel and other services to BM Fuji associated with the management of BM Fuji-advised CLOs pursuant to a sub-advisory agreement and a personnel and services agreement, consistent with past practices; and

•the net asset value of all funds and accounts other than CLOs, plus any unfunded commitments. Changes in NAV attributable to movements in fund value of certain private equity funds are reported on a quarter lag.

The Company’s calculation of AUM may differ from the calculation employed by other investment managers and, as a result, this measure may not be directly comparable to similar measures presented by other investment managers. The calculation also differs from the manner in which AssuredIM affiliates registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) report “Regulatory Assets Under Management” on Form ADV and Form PF in various ways.

    The Company also uses several other measurements of AUM to understand and measure its AUM in more detail and for various purposes, including its relative position in the market and its income and income potential:

“Third-party AUM” refers to the assets AssuredIM manages or advises on behalf of third-party investors. This includes current and former employee investments in AssuredIM Funds. For CLOs, this also includes CLO Equity that may be held by AssuredIM Funds.

“Intercompany AUM” refers to the assets AssuredIM manages or advises on behalf of the Company. This includes investments from affiliates of Assured Guaranty along with general partners’ investments of AssuredIM (or its affiliates) into the AssuredIM Funds.

“Funded AUM” refers to assets that have been deployed or invested into the funds or CLOs.

“Unfunded AUM” refers to unfunded capital commitments from closed-end funds and CLO warehouse funds.

“Fee earning AUM” refers to assets where AssuredIM collects fees and has elected not to waive or rebate fees to investors.

“Non-fee earning AUM” refers to assets where AssuredIM does not collect fees or has elected to waive or rebate fees to investors. AssuredIM reserves the right to waive some or all fees for certain investors, including investors affiliated with AssuredIM and/or the Company. Further, to the extent that the Company’s wind-down and/or opportunity funds are invested in AssuredIM managed CLOs, AssuredIM may rebate any management fees and/or performance fees earned from the CLOs to the extent such fees are attributable to the wind-down and opportunity funds’ holdings of CLOs also managed by AssuredIM.

18

Conference Call and Webcast Information

The Company will host a conference call for investors at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time (9:00 a.m. Atlantic Time) on Tuesday, November 8, 2022. The conference call will be available via live webcast in the Investor Information section of the Company's website at AssuredGuaranty.com or by dialing 1-844-200-6205 (in the U.S.) or 1-929-526-1599 (International); the passcode is 169640.

A replay of the conference call will be available approximately three hours after the call ends through February 7, 2023. The replay will be available via archived webcast in the Investor Information section of the Company’s website at AssuredGuaranty.com or by dialing 1-866-813-9403 (in the U.S.) or 1-929-458-6194 (International); the passcode is 534304.

Please refer to Assured Guaranty's September 30, 2022 Financial Supplement, which is posted on the Company's website at assuredguaranty.com/agldata, for more information on the Company's financial guaranty portfolio, investment portfolio and other items. In addition, the Company is posting at assuredguaranty.com/presentations its “September 30, 2022 Equity Investor Presentation”.

The Company plans to post by early next week on its website at assuredguaranty.com/agldata the following:

•“Public Finance Transactions in 3Q 2022,” which lists the U.S. public finance new issues insured by the Company in third quarter 2022, and

•“Structured Finance Transactions at September 30, 2022,” which lists the Company's structured finance exposure as of that date.

In addition, the Company will post on its website, when available, the Company's separate-company subsidiary financial supplements and its “Fixed Income Presentation” for the current quarter. Those documents will be furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission in a Current Report on Form 8-K.

# # #

Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a publicly traded (NYSE: AGO), Bermuda-based holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty provides credit enhancement products to the U.S. and international public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets and also provides asset management services. More information on Assured Guaranty Ltd. and its subsidiaries can be found at AssuredGuaranty.com.

19

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Any forward-looking statements made in this press release reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. For example, Assured Guaranty’s calculations of ABV, PVP, net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force and total estimated net future premium earnings and statements regarding its capital position and demand for its insurance and other forward-looking statements could be affected by (1) changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession; (2) consequences of the conflict in Ukraine, including economic sanctions, fragmentation of global supply chains, volatility in energy prices, and the potential for increased cyberattacks; (3) the development, course and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic and the governmental and private actions taken in response, and the global consequences of the pandemic and such actions, including their impact on the factors listed in this section; (4) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets that adversely affect insured obligors’ repayment rates, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, investments of Assured Guaranty or assets it manages; (5) reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance; (6) the loss of investors in Assured Guaranty’s asset management strategies or the failure to attract new investors to Assured Guaranty’s asset management business; (7) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls or other factors will result in credit losses or impairments on obligations of state, territorial and local governments and their related authorities and public corporations that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (8) insured losses in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures, including as a result of the failure to resolve Assured Guaranty’s exposures to Puerto Rico (Puerto Rico or the Commonwealth) in a manner substantially consistent with the support agreements signed to date; (9) increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry; (10) poor performance of Assured Guaranty’s asset management strategies compared to the performance of the asset management strategies of Assured Guaranty’s competitors; (11) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio, including alternative investments and investments it manages, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to reduced liquidity at a time it requires liquidity or to unanticipated consequences; (12) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, most of its financial guaranty contracts written in credit default swap form, and certain consolidated variable interest entities; (13) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of AGL or any of its insurance subsidiaries, and/or of any securities AGL or any of its subsidiaries have issued, and/or of transactions that AGL’s insurance subsidiaries have insured; (14) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms; (15) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (16) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, or other governmental actions; (17) the possibility that acquisitions made by Assured Guaranty, including its acquisition of BlueMountain Capital Management, LLC (now known as Assured Investment Management LLC) and its associated entities (BlueMountain Acquisition), do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to unanticipated consequences; (18) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (19) loss of key personnel; (20) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (21) natural or man-made catastrophes or pandemics; (22) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); (23) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and; (24) management’s response to these factors. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of November 7, 2022, and Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update publicly or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.

20

Contact Information

Robert Tucker

Senior Managing Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications

212-339-0861

rtucker@agltd.com

Ashweeta Durani

Vice President, Media Relations

212-408-6042

adurani@agltd.com

21

EX-99.2

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

September 30, 2022

Financial Supplement

Table of Contents		Page
	Selected Financial Highlights	1
	Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)	3
	Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)	4
	Income Components	5
	Selected Financial Highlights GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations	10
	Fixed-Maturity Securities, Short-Term Investments and Cash	13
	Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs	14
	Income from Investment Portfolio and CIVs	15
	Equity Method Alternative Investments in the Insurance Segment	17
	Insurance Segment:	18
	Insurance Segment Results	19
	Claims-Paying Resources	20
	New Business Production	21
	Gross Par Written	22
	New Business Production by Quarter	24
	Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Estimated Future Financial Guaranty Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues	25
	Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses to be Paid	26
	Loss Measures	27
	Net Expected Loss to be Expensed	28
	Financial Guaranty Profile	29
	Specialty Insurance and Reinsurance Exposures	32
	Expected Amortization of Net Par Outstanding	33
	Exposure to Puerto Rico	34
	U.S. RMBS Profile	37
	Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile	38
	Below Investment Grade Exposures	39
	Largest Exposures by Sector	42
	Asset Management Segment	45
	Asset Management Results	46
	Corporate Division	49
	Corporate Results	50
	Other	51
	Other Results	52
	Summary	54
	Summary of Financial and Statistical Data	55
	Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations	56
	Glossary	58
	Glossary	58
	Non-GAAP Financial Measures	61

This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) with the United States (U.S.) Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended March 31, 2022, June 30, 2022 and September 30, 2022.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward Looking Statements

Any forward looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession; (2) consequences of the conflict in Ukraine, including economic sanctions, fragmentation of global supply chains, volatility in energy prices, and the potential for increased cyberattacks; (3) the development, course and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic and the governmental and private actions taken in response, and the global consequences of the pandemic and such actions, including their impact on the factors listed in this section; (4) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets that adversely affect insured obligors’ repayment rates, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, investments of Assured Guaranty or assets it manages; (5) reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance; (6) the loss of investors in Assured Guaranty’s asset management strategies or the failure to attract new investors to Assured Guaranty’s asset management business; (7) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls or other factors will result in credit losses or impairments on obligations of state, territorial and local governments and their related authorities and public corporations that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (8) insured losses in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures, including as a result of the failure to resolve Assured Guaranty’s exposures to Puerto Rico (Puerto Rico or the Commonwealth) in a manner substantially consistent with the support agreements signed to date; (9) increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry; (10) poor performance of Assured Guaranty’s asset management strategies compared to the performance of the asset management strategies of Assured Guaranty’s competitors; (11) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio, including alternative investments and investments it manages, do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to reduced liquidity at a time it requires liquidity or to unanticipated consequences; (12) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, most of its financial guaranty contracts written in credit default swap form, and certain consolidated variable interest entities; (13) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of AGL or any of its insurance subsidiaries, and/or of any securities AGL or any of its subsidiaries have issued, and/or of transactions that AGL’s insurance subsidiaries have insured; (14) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms; (15) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (16) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, or other governmental actions; (17) the possibility that acquisitions made by Assured Guaranty, including its acquisition of BlueMountain Capital Management, LLC (now known as Assured Investment Management LLC) and its associated entities (BlueMountain Acquisition), do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to unanticipated consequences; (18) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (19) loss of key personnel; (20) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (21) natural or man-made catastrophes or pandemics; (22) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); (23) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and; (24) management’s response to these factors. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update publicly or review any forward looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Selected Financial Highlights (1 of 2)

(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
	September 30,						September 30,
	2022			2021			2022			2021
GAAP(1) Highlights
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL	$	11		$	17		$	30		$	126
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share	$	0.18		$	0.22		$	0.46		$	1.66
Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic shares outstanding	61.7			72.7			63.9			74.9
Diluted shares outstanding (7)	62.9			73.6			65.1			75.7
Effective tax rate on net income	123.5		%	(313.3)		%	(12.1)		%	6.0		%
GAAP return on equity (ROE) (4)	0.9		%	1.0		%	0.7		%	2.6		%
Non-GAAP Highlights (2)
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$	133		$	34		$	253		$	197
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share (2)	$	2.11		$	0.45		$	3.88		$	2.60
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding	62.9			73.6			65.1			75.7
Effective tax rate on adjusted operating income (3)	(7.3)		%	(56.9)		%	8.1		%	10.3		%
Adjusted operating ROE (2)(4)	9.5		%	2.2		%	5.8		%	4.4		%
Components of adjusted operating income (loss) (2)
Insurance segment	$	159		$	214		$	347		$	445
Asset Management segment	(3)			(7)			(3)			(16)
Corporate division	(30)			(169)			(98)			(232)
Other (5)	7			(4)			7			—
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$	133		$	34		$	253		$	197
Insurance Segment
Gross written premiums (GWP)	$	94		$	106		$	229		$	277
Present value of new business production (PVP) (2)	95			96			240			263
Gross par written	3,846			8,561			15,012			20,170
Asset Management Segment
Assets under management (AUM):
Inflows-third party	$	1		$	843		$	1,362		$	2,082
Inflows-intercompany	116			73			270			182
Effect of refundings and terminations on GAAP measures:
Net earned premiums, pre-tax	$	12		$	8		$	145		$	39
Fair value gains (losses) of credit derivatives, pre-tax	—			7			2			7
Net income effect	9			12			115			36
Net income per diluted share	0.15			0.16			1.77			0.48
Effect of refundings and terminations on non-GAAP measures:
Operating net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues(5), pre-tax	$	12		$	15		$	147		$	46
Adjusted operating income(5) effect	9			12			115			36
Adjusted operating income per diluted share (5)	0.15			0.16			1.77			0.48

1)    Accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP).

2)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

3)    Represents the ratio of adjusted operating provision for income taxes to adjusted operating income before income taxes.

4)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns. See page 11 for additional information on calculation.

5)    Condensed consolidated statement of operations items mentioned in this Financial Supplement that are described as operating (i.e. operating net earned premiums) are non-GAAP measures and represent components of adjusted operating income. Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

6)    Represents the effect of consolidating financial guaranty variable interest entities and consolidated investment vehicles (FG VIE and CIV consolidation).

7)    In periods where the Company recognized a net loss, the impact of potentially dilutive outstanding stock-based awards was excluded from the calculation of diluted loss per share as their inclusion would have an antidilutive effect.

1

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Selected Financial Highlights (2 of 2)

(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

	As of
	September 30, 2022				December 31, 2021
	Amount		Per Share		Amount		Per Share
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL	$	4,929	$	81.17	$	6,292	$	93.19
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity (1)	5,575		91.82		5,991		88.73
Adjusted book value (1)	8,371		137.87		8,823		130.67
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity	27		0.44		32		0.47
Adjusted book value	16		0.27		23		0.34
Shares outstanding at the end of period	60.7				67.5
Exposure
Financial guaranty net debt service outstanding	$	356,701			$	367,360
Financial guaranty net par outstanding:
Investment grade	$	221,286			$	229,036
Below-investment-grade (BIG)	5,785				7,356
Total	$	227,071			$	236,392
Claims-paying resources (2)	$	10,752			$	11,219
AUM
Collateralized loan obligations (CLOs)	$	14,951			$	14,699
Opportunity funds	2,018				1,824
Liquid strategies	367				389
Wind-down funds	208				582
Total	$	17,544			$	17,494

1)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

2)    See page 20 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.

2

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)

(dollars in millions)

	As of
	September 30,		December 31,
	2022		2021
Assets
Investments:
Fixed-maturity securities available-for-sale, at fair value	$	6,780	$	8,202
Fixed-maturity securities, trading, at fair value	393		—
Short-term investments, at fair value	1,177		1,225
Other invested assets	130		181
Total investments	8,480		9,608
Cash	131		120
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable	1,178		1,372
Deferred acquisition costs (DAC)	142		131
Salvage and subrogation recoverable	385		801
Financial guaranty variable interest entities’ (FG VIEs’) assets, at fair value	236		260
Assets of consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs)	5,336		5,271
Goodwill and other intangible assets	166		175
Other assets	606		470
Total assets	$	16,660	$	18,208
Liabilities
Unearned premium reserve	$	3,596	$	3,716
Loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserve	882		869
Long-term debt	1,675		1,673
Credit derivative liabilities, at fair value	195		156
FG VIEs’ liabilities, at fair value	251		289
Liabilities of CIVs	4,447		4,436
Other liabilities	440		569
Total liabilities	11,486		11,708
Redeemable noncontrolling interests	21		22
Shareholders’ equity
Common shares	1		1
Retained earnings	5,579		5,990
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)	(652)		300
Deferred equity compensation	1		1
Total shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL	4,929		6,292
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests	224		186
Total shareholders’ equity	5,153		6,478
Total liabilities, redeemable noncontrolling interests and shareholders’ equity	$	16,660	$	18,208

3

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)

(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	September 30,				September 30,
	2022		2021		2022		2021
Revenues
Net earned premiums	$	89	$	102	$	385	$	307
Net investment income	67		66		191		204
Asset management fees	16		20		71		65
Net realized investment gains (losses)	(14)		3		(39)		4
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	(48)		21		(42)		(31)
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities (CCS)	1		(3)		12		(28)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs	11		5		27		18
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	8		16		25		53
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement	(80)		(27)		(181)		(22)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities	(8)		—		(30)		—
Other income (loss)	(1)		9		12		15
Total revenues	41		212		431		585
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit)	(75)		(68)		(29)		(54)
Interest expense	20		23		60		67
Loss on extinguishment of debt	—		175		—		175
Amortization of DAC	4		3		11		10
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	57		59		189		173
Other operating expenses	37		38		120		135
Total expenses	43		230		351		506
Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in earnings (losses) of investees	(2)		(18)		80		79
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	(20)		23		(31)		66
Income (loss) before income taxes	(22)		5		49		145
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	(27)		(15)		(6)		8
Net income (loss)	5		20		55		137
Less: Noncontrolling interests	(6)		3		25		11
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL	$	11	$	17	$	30	$	126
Earnings per share:
Basic	$	0.18	$	0.22	$	0.47	$	1.67
Diluted	$	0.18	$	0.22	$	0.46	$	1.66

4

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Income Components (1 of 5)

(in millions)

Components of Adjusted Operating Income and Reconciliation to Net Income (Loss) Attributable to AGL

	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	September 30,				September 30,
	2022		2021		2022		2021
Components of adjusted operating income:
Segments:
Insurance	$	159	$	214	$	347	$	445
Asset Management	(3)		(7)		(3)		(16)
Total segments	156		207		344		429
Corporate division	(30)		(169)		(98)		(232)
Other	7		(4)		7		—
Subtotal	133		34		253		197
Reconciliation to net income (loss) attributable to AGL:
Realized gains (losses) on investments	(14)		3		(39)		4
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	(49)		9		(46)		(41)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	1		(3)		12		(28)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves	(78)		(27)		(180)		(21)
Tax effect	18		1		30		15
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL	$	11	$	17	$	30	$	126

5

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Income Components (2 of 5)

(in millions)

Components of Income for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2022

	Segments				Corporate and Other
	Insurance		Asset Management		Corporate		Other (1)		Reconciling Items		Consolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums	$	90	$	—	$	—	$	(1)	$	—	$	89
Net investment income	69		—		1		(3)		—		67
Asset management fees	—		20		—		(4)		—		16
Net realized investment gains (losses)	—		—		—		—		(14)		(14)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)	2		—		—		—		(50)		(48)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	—		—		—		—		1		1
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs	—		—		—		11		—		11
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	—		—		—		8		—		8
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement	(3)		(1)		—		2		(78)		(80)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities	(8)		—		—		—		—		(8)
Other income (loss)	(3)		2		—		—		—		(1)
Total revenues	147		21		1		13		(141)		41
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (3)	(75)		—		—		1		(1)		(75)
Interest expense	—		—		22		(2)		—		20
Amortization of DAC	4		—		—		—		—		4
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	34		16		7		—		—		57
Other operating expenses	21		8		5		3		—		37
Total expenses	(16)		24		34		2		(1)		43
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	(11)		—		—		(9)		—		(20)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	(7)		—		(3)		1		(18)		(27)
Less: Noncontrolling interests	—		—		—		(6)		—		(6)
Total	$	159	$	(3)	$	(30)	$	7	$	(122)	$	11

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.

2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.

3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).

6

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Income Components (3 of 5)

(in millions)

Components of Income for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2021

	Segments				Corporate and Other
	Insurance		Asset Management		Corporate		Other (1)		Reconciling Items		Consolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums	$	103	$	—	$	—	$	(1)	$	—	$	102
Net investment income	69		—		1		(4)		—		66
Asset management fees	—		17		—		3		—		20
Net realized investment gains (losses)	—		—		—		—		3		3
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)	10		—		—		—		11		21
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	—		—		—		—		(3)		(3)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs	—		—		—		5		—		5
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	—		—		—		16		—		16
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement	—		—		—		—		(27)		(27)
Other income (loss)	8		2		—		(1)		—		9
Total revenues	190		19		1		18		(16)		212
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit) (3)	(78)		—		—		8		2		(68)
Interest expense	—		—		25		(2)		—		23
Loss on extinguishment of debt	—		—		175		—		—		175
Amortization of DAC	3		—		—		—		—		3
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	35		19		5		—		—		59
Other operating expenses	18		10		6		4		—		38
Total expenses	(22)		29		211		10		2		230
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	33		—		1		(11)		—		23
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	31		(3)		(40)		(2)		(1)		(15)
Less: Noncontrolling interests	—		—		—		3		—		3
Total	$	214	$	(7)	$	(169)	$	(4)	$	(17)	$	17

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.

2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.

3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).

7

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Income Components (4 of 5)

(in millions)

Components of Income for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022

	Segments				Corporate and Other
	Insurance		Asset Management		Corporate		Other (1)		Reconciling Items		Consolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums	$	388	$	—	$	—	$	(3)	$	—	$	385
Net investment income	198		—		3		(10)		—		191
Asset management fees	—		86		—		(15)		—		71
Net realized investment gains (losses)	—		—		—		—		(39)		(39)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)	9		—		—		—		(51)		(42)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	—		—		—		—		12		12
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs	—		—		—		27		—		27
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	—		—		—		25		—		25
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement	(7)		(1)		—		7		(180)		(181)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities	(30)		—		—		—		—		(30)
Other income (loss)	6		3		—		3		—		12
Total revenues	564		88		3		34		(258)		431
Expenses
Loss and LAE(benefit)(3)	(32)		—		—		8		(5)		(29)
Interest expense	1		—		66		(7)		—		60
Amortization of DAC	11		—		—		—		—		11
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	107		62		20		—		—		189
Other operating expenses	60		29		18		13		—		120
Total expenses	147		91		104		14		(5)		351
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	(46)		—		—		15		—		(31)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	24		—		(3)		3		(30)		(6)
Less: Noncontrolling interests	—		—		—		25		—		25
Total	$	347	$	(3)	$	(98)	$	7	$	(223)	$	30

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.

2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.

3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).

8

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Income Components (5 of 5)

(in millions)

Components of Income for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2021

	Segments				Corporate and Other
	Insurance		Asset Management		Corporate		Other (1)		Reconciling Items		Consolidated
Revenues
Net earned premiums	$	310	$	—	$	—	$	(3)	$	—	$	307
Net investment income	213		—		1		(10)		—		204
Asset management fees	—		56		—		9		—		65
Net realized investment gains (losses)	—		—		—		—		4		4
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives (2)	17		—		—		—		(48)		(31)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	—		—		—		—		(28)		(28)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs	—		—		—		18		—		18
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	—		—		—		53		—		53
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement	(1)		—		—		—		(21)		(22)
Other income (loss)	12		4		—		(1)		—		15
Total revenues	551		60		1		66		(93)		585
Expenses
Loss and LAE(benefit)(3)	(60)		—		—		13		(7)		(54)
Interest expense	—		—		74		(7)		—		67
Loss on extinguishment of debt	—		—		175		—		—		175
Amortization of DAC	10		—		—		—		—		10
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	105		53		15		—		—		173
Other operating expenses	76		29		15		15		—		135
Total expenses	131		82		279		21		(7)		506
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	100		—		1		(35)		—		66
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	75		(6)		(45)		(1)		(15)		8
Less: Noncontrolling interests	—		—		—		11		—		11
Total	$	445	$	(16)	$	(232)	$	—	$	(71)	$	126

1)    Includes the consolidation of the FG VIEs and CIVs and intersegment eliminations.

2)    Insurance segment balances for this line include only the credit derivative revenues component of realized gains (losses) on credit derivatives.

3)    Insurance segment balances for this line item includes credit derivative impairment (recoveries).

9

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Selected Financial Highlights

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (1 of 3)

(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Adjusted Operating Income Reconciliation	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	September 30,				September 30,
	2022		2021		2022		2021
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL	$	11	$	17	$	30	$	126
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments	(14)		3		(39)		4
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	(49)		9		(46)		(41)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	1		(3)		12		(28)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves	(78)		(27)		(180)		(21)
Total pre-tax adjustments	(140)		(18)		(253)		(86)
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments	18		1		30		15
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$	133	$	34	$	253	$	197
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income	$	7	$	(4)	$	7	$	—
Per diluted share:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL	$	0.18	$	0.22	$	0.46	$	1.66
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments	(0.22)		0.04		(0.59)		0.05
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	(0.78)		0.12		(0.71)		(0.54)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	0.02		(0.05)		0.18		(0.37)
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves	(1.25)		(0.36)		(2.77)		(0.28)
Total pre-tax adjustments	(2.23)		(0.25)		(3.89)		(1.14)
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments	0.30		0.02		0.47		0.20
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$	2.11	$	0.45	$	3.88	$	2.60
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income	$	0.12	$	(0.06)	$	0.11	$	—

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

10

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Selected Financial Highlights

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (2 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

ROE Reconciliation and Calculation
	September 30,		June 30,		December 31,			September 30,			June 30			December 31,
	2022		2022		2021			2021			2021			2020
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL	$	4,929	$	5,304	$	6,292		$	6,300		$	6,503		$	6,643
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity	5,575		5,634		5,991			5,906			6,063			6,087
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating shareholders' equity	27		26		32			—			3			2
					Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
					September 30,						September 30,
					2022			2021			2022			2021
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL					$	11		$	17		$	30		$	126
Adjusted operating income (loss)					133			34			253			197
Average shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL					$	5,117		$	6,402		$	5,611		$	6,472
Average adjusted operating shareholders’ equity					5,605			5,985			5,783			5,997
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in average adjusted operating shareholders' equity					27			2			30			1
GAAP ROE (1)					0.9		%	1.0		%	0.7		%	2.6		%
Adjusted operating ROE (1)					9.5		%	2.2		%	5.8		%	4.4		%

1)    Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

11

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Selected Financial Highlights

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (3 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

	As of
	September 30,		June 30,		December 31,		September 30,		June 30,		December 31,
	2022		2022		2021		2021		2021		2020
Reconciliation of shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL to adjusted book value:
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL	$	4,929	$	5,304	$	6,292	$	6,300	$	6,503	$	6,643
Less pre-tax reconciling items:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	(101)		(51)		(54)		(32)		(41)		9
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	35		34		23		24		27		52
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect	(672)		(359)		404		492		552		611
Less taxes	92		46		(72)		(90)		(98)		(116)
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity	5,575		5,634		5,991		5,906		6,063		6,087
Pre-tax reconciling items:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs	142		139		131		129		126		119
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue	159		161		160		164		178		182
Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed	3,373		3,366		3,402		3,383		3,354		3,355
Plus taxes	(594)		(594)		(599)		(597)		(596)		(597)
Adjusted book value	$	8,371	$	8,428	$	8,823	$	8,727	$	8,873	$	8,908
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(6), $(6), $(5), $1, $(1) and $-)	$	27	$	26	$	32	$	—	$	3	$	2
Adjusted book value (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(4), $(3), $(3), $3, $2 and $2)	$	16	$	18	$	23	$	(9)	$	(6)	$	(8)

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

12

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Fixed-Maturity Securities, Short-Term Investments and Cash

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

	Amortized Cost		Allowance for Credit Losses			Pre-Tax Book Yield		After-Tax Book Yield		Fair Value		Annualized Investment Income (1)
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale:
Obligations of states and political subdivisions(2)(4)(7)	$	3,264	$	(13)		3.45	%	3.16	%	$	3,101	$	113
U.S. government and agencies	122		—			2.03		1.74		115		3
Corporate securities	2,405		(4)			2.63		2.31		2,000		63
Mortgage-backed securities:
Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) (3)(4)	432		(19)			5.10		4.24		361		22
Commercial mortgage-backed securities	291		—			3.48		3.04		280		10
Asset-backed securities (ABS)
CLOs	445		—			4.58		3.62		414		20
Other ABS (4)	425		(21)			3.26		2.63		420		14
Non-U.S. government securities	122		—			1.00		0.98		89		1
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale	7,506		(57)			3.28		2.88		6,780		246
Short-term investments	1,177		—			2.40		1.93		1,177		28
Cash (5)	131		—			—		—		131		—
Total	$	8,814	$	(57)		3.16	%	2.75	%	$	8,088	$	274
Fixed maturity securities, trading (8)										$	393
Ratings (6):	Fair Value		% of Portfolio
U.S. government and agencies	$	115	1.7		%
AAA/Aaa	1,000		14.8
AA/Aa	2,493		36.8
A/A	1,696		25.0
BBB	786		11.6
BIG	566		8.3
Not rated (7)	124		1.8
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale	$	6,780	100.0		%
Duration of available-for-sale fixed maturity securities and short-term investments (in years):			3.5
Average ratings of fixed maturity securities and short-term investments			A+

1)    Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.

2)    Includes obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by S&P Global Ratings, a division of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC (S&P) or Moody's Investors Service, Inc. (Moody's), average A.

3)    Includes fair value of $166 million in subprime RMBS, which has an average rating of BIG.

4)    Includes securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies.

5)    Cash is not included in the yield calculation.

6)    Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's or S&P classifications except for purchased securities that it has insured, and for which it had expected losses to be paid (loss mitigation securities) and certain other securities, which use internal ratings classifications. Loss mitigation and other securities for which internal ratings are used total $856 million in par with carrying value of $566 million and are included in the BIG category.

7)    Includes $64 million of new recovery bonds received in connection with the consummation of the each of the March Puerto Rico Resolutions (see page 34).

8)    Represents contingent value instruments received in connection with the consummation of the March Puerto Rico Resolutions and pursuant to the GO/PBA Plan and the terms of the HTA PSA (see page 34). These securities are not rated.

13

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs

GAAP

(dollars in millions)

Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs as of September 30, 2022

	Insurance Subsidiaries (1)		Holding Companies (2)		Other		AGL Consolidated
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale	$	6,718	$	62	$	—	$	6,780
Fixed-maturity securities, trading	393		—		—		393
Short-term investments	1,032		135		10		1,177
Cash	76		10		45		131
Total short-term investments and cash	1,108		145		55		1,308
Other invested assets
AssuredIM Funds (3)
CLOs	279		—		(279)		—
Municipal bonds	104		—		(104)		—
Healthcare	86		—		(86)		—
Asset-based	105		—		(105)		—
Equity method investments-AssuredIM Funds	574		—		(574)		—
Other	118		10		2		130
Other invested assets	692		10		(572)		130
Total investment portfolio and cash	$	8,911	$	217	$	(517)	$	8,611
CIVs
Assets of CIVs	$	—	$	—	$	5,336	$	5,336
Liabilities of CIVs	—		—		(4,447)		(4,447)
Redeemable noncontrolling interests	—		—		(21)		(21)
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests	—		—		(224)		(224)
Total CIVs	$	—	$	—	$	644	$	644

Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs as of December 31, 2021

	Insurance Subsidiaries		Holding Companies		Other		AGL Consolidated
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale	$	8,106	$	96	$	—	$	8,202
Short-term investments	859		355		11		1,225
Cash	71		—		49		120
Total short-term investments and cash	930		355		60		1,345
Other invested assets
AssuredIM Funds
CLOs	228		—		(228)		—
Municipal bonds	107		—		(107)		—
Healthcare	115		—		(115)		—
Asset-based	93		—		(93)		—
Equity method investments-AssuredIM Funds	543		—		(543)		—
Other	167		8		6		181
Other invested assets	710		8		(537)		181
Total investment portfolio and cash	$	9,746	$	459	$	(477)	$	9,728
CIVs
Assets of CIVs	$	—	$	—	$	5,271	$	5,271
Liabilities of CIVs	—		—		(4,436)		(4,436)
Redeemable noncontrolling interests	—		—		(22)		(22)
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests	—		—		(186)		(186)
Total CIVs	$	—	$	—	$	627	$	627

1)    Includes the Company's U.S., Bermuda and European insurance subsidiaries.

2)    Includes the Company's' holding companies: AGL, Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. and Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc..

3)    Funds managed by Assured Investment Management LLC (AssuredIM LLC) and its investment management affiliates (together with AssuredIM LLC, AssuredIM) (AssuredIM Funds).

14

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Income from Investment Portfolio and CIVs

Segment (1 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

Income from Investment Portfolio and Fair Value Gains (Losses) on CIVs on a Segment basis for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2022 and September 30, 2021

	Three Months Ended September 30, 2022
	Insurance		Asset Management		Corporate		Other		Total
Net investment income	$	69	$	—	$	1	$	(3)	$	67
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities	$	(8)	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	(8)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
AssuredIM Funds	$	9	$	—	$	—	$	(9)	$	—
Other	(20)		—		—		—		(20)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	$	(11)	$	—	$	—	$	(9)	$	(20)
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	8	$	8
Noncontrolling interests	—		—		—		6		6
Total CIVs	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	14	$	14

	Three Months Ended September 30, 2021
	Insurance		Asset Management		Corporate		Other		Total
Net investment income	$	69	$	—	$	1	$	(4)	$	66
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
AssuredIM Funds	$	23	$	—	$	—	$	(11)	$	12
Other	10		—		1		—		11
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	$	33	$	—	$	1	$	(11)	$	23
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	16	$	16
Noncontrolling interests	—		—		—		(3)		(3)
Total CIVs	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	13	$	13

15

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Income from Investment Portfolio and CIVs

Segment (2 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

Income from Investment Portfolio and Fair Value Gains (Losses) on CIVs on a Segment basis for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022 and September 30, 2021

	Nine Months Ended September 31, 2022
	Insurance		Asset Management		Corporate		Other		Total
Net investment income	$	198	$	—	$	3	$	(10)	$	191
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities	$	(30)	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	(30)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
AssuredIM Funds	$	(13)	$	—	$	—	$	15	$	2
Other	(33)		—		—		—		(33)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	$	(46)	$	—	$	—	$	15	$	(31)
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	25	$	25
Noncontrolling interests	—		—		—		(25)		(25)
Total CIVs	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	—

	Nine Months Ended September 31, 2021
	Insurance		Asset Management		Corporate		Other		Total
Net investment income	$	213	$	—	$	1	$	(10)	$	204
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees
AssuredIM Funds	$	70	$	—	$	—	$	(35)	$	35
Other	30		—		1		—		31
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	$	100	$	—	$	1	$	(35)	$	66
CIVs
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	53	$	53
Noncontrolling interests	—		—		—		(11)		(11)
Total CIVs	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	42	$	42

16

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Equity Method Alternative Investments in the Insurance Segment

(dollars in millions)

	Carrying Value				Equity in Earnings
	September 30, 2022		December 31, 2021		Third Quarter 2022		Nine Months 2022		Inception-to-Date
AssuredIM Funds(1)
Strategy:
CLOs	$	279	$	228	$	6	$	(10)	$	31
Municipal bonds	104		107		—		(4)		4
Healthcare(3)	86		115		3		(6)		43
Asset-based(3)	105		93		—		7		29
AssuredIM Funds (2)	574		543		9		(13)		107
Other alternative investments(3)	113		161		(20)		(33)		55
Total	$	687	$	704	$	(11)	$	(46)	$	162

1)    Eliminated in consolidation at the AGL level, reported in equity in earnings at AG Asset Strategies LLC (AGAS), which is owned 65% by Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (AGM) and 35% by Assured Guaranty Corp. (AGC). AGAS is consolidated in AGM's consolidated financial statements.

2)    The inception-to-date annualized internal rate of return (IRR) is 10.3%, the year to date return was a negative 2.3% and the quarter to date return was 1.5%. For AssuredIM Funds, the returns represent IRR based on mark-to-market gains (losses). The inception-to-date IRRs are annualized; the quarterly and year-to-date returns are not annualized.

3)    Includes funds and investments reported on a lag. Excludes equity method investment in the Corporate division of $7 million and $8 million as of September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.

17

Insurance Segment

18

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Insurance Segment Results

(dollars in millions)

	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	September 30,				September 30,
	2022		2021		2022		2021
Segment revenues
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues	$	92	$	114	$	397	$	327
Net investment income	69		69		198		213
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities	(8)		—		(30)		—
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement and other income (loss)	(6)		7		(1)		11
Total segment revenues	147		190		564		551
Segment expenses
Loss expense (benefit)	(75)		(78)		(32)		(60)
Interest expense	—		—		1		—
Amortization of DAC	4		3		11		10
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	34		35		107		105
Write-off of Municipal Assurance Corp. (MAC) insurance licenses	—		—		—		16
Other operating expenses	21		18		60		60
Total segment expenses	(16)		(22)		147		131
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	(11)		33		(46)		100
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes	152		245		371		520
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	(7)		31		24		75
Segment adjusted operating income (loss)	$	159	$	214	$	347	$	445

19

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Claims-Paying Resources

(dollars in millions)

	As of September 30, 2022
	AGM		AGC		AG Re(6)		Eliminations(2)		Consolidated
Claims-paying resources
Policyholders' surplus	$	2,660	$	1,964	$	721	$	(215)	$	5,130
Contingency reserve	915		348		—		—		1,263
Qualified statutory capital	3,575		2,312		721		(215)		6,393
Unearned premium reserve and net deferred ceding commission income(1)	2,102		323		541		(72)		2,894
Loss and LAE reserves (1)	—		75		148		—		223
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves	5,677		2,710		1,410		(287)		9,510
Present value of installment premium	439		174		229		—		842
CCS	200		200		—		—		400
Total claims-paying resources	$	6,316	$	3,084	$	1,639	$	(287)	$	10,752
Statutory net exposure (1)(3)(7)	$	150,163	$	20,010	$	55,471	$	(570)	$	225,074
Net debt service outstanding (1)(3)(7)	$	239,376	$	31,220	$	85,051	$	(1,187)	$	354,460
Ratios:
Net exposure to qualified statutory capital	42:1		9:1		77:1				35:1
Capital ratio (4)	67:1		14:1		118:1				55:1
Financial resources ratio (5)	38:1		10:1		52:1				33:1
Statutory net exposure to claims-paying resources	24:1		6:1		34:1				21:1

1)    The numbers shown for AGM have been adjusted to include 100% share of its United Kingdom (U.K.) and French insurance subsidiaries.

2)    Eliminations are primarily for (i) intercompany surplus notes between AGM and AGC, and (ii) eliminations of intercompany deferred ceding commissions. Net exposure and net debt service outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary.

3)    Net exposure and net debt service outstanding are presented on a statutory basis. Includes $1,169 million of specialty insurance and reinsurance exposure.

4)    The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

5)    The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims-paying resources.

6)    Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (AG Re) numbers represent the Company's estimate of AG Re on a U.S. statutory-basis, except for contingency reserves.

7)    Includes a guarantee of rental income cash flows, written by Assured Guaranty Overseas Ltd. with maximum potential exposure of $232 million.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding.

20

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

New Business Production

(dollars in millions)

Reconciliation of GWP to PVP for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2022 and September 30, 2021

	Three Months Ended										Three Months Ended
	September 30, 2022										September 30, 2021
	Public Finance				Structured Finance						Public Finance				Structured Finance
	U.S.		Non - U.S.		U.S.		Non - U.S.		Total		U.S.		Non - U.S.		U.S.		Non - U.S.		Total
Total GWP	$	54	$	44	$	(2)	$	(2)	$	94	$	52	$	21	$	29	$	4	$	106
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1)	—		44		(3)		(2)		39		(1)		22		27		4		52
Upfront GWP	54		—		1		—		55		53		(1)		2		—		54
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)	3		37		—		—		40		2		18		19		3		42
Total PVP	$	57	$	37	$	1	$	—	$	95	$	55	$	17	$	21	$	3	$	96
Gross par written	$	3,622	194		30		—		$	3,846	$	7,703	156		436		266		$	8,561

Reconciliation of GWP to PVP for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022 and September 30, 2021

	Nine Months Ended										Nine Months Ended
	September 30, 2022										September 30, 2021
	Public Finance				Structured Finance						Public Finance				Structured Finance
	U.S.		Non - U.S.		U.S.		Non - U.S.		Total		U.S.		Non - U.S.		U.S.		Non - U.S.		Total
Total GWP	$	160	$	66	$	4	$	(1)	$	229	$	160	$	70	$	43	$	4	$	277
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (1)	—		66		1		(1)		66		33		49		39		4		125
Upfront GWP	160		—		3		—		163		127		21		4		—		152
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)	3		67		—		7		77		38		42		28		3		111
Total PVP	$	163	$	67	$	3	$	7	$	240	$	165	$	63	$	32	$	3	$	263
Gross par written	$	13,982	624		106		300		$	15,012	$	17,846	1,117		941		266		$	20,170

(1)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.

(2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturities such as loss mitigation securities. This also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with a financial guarantee written by the Company that, under GAAP, is accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

21

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Gross Par Written (1 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

Gross Par Written by Asset Type

	Three Months Ended September 30,
	2022			2021
	Gross Par Written		Average Internal Rating	Gross Par Written		Average Internal Rating
Sector:
U.S. public finance
General obligation	$	1,482	A-	$	2,405	A-
Transportation	742		BBB+	1,460		A
Municipal utilities	394		A-	1,527		A-
Tax backed	589		A-	1,337		BBB+
Healthcare	225		A-	332		BBB+
Higher education	125		A	642		A
Infrastructure finance	65		A	—		—
Total U.S. public finance	3,622		A-	7,703		A-
Non-U.S. public finance:
Regulated Utilities	194		BBB	—		—
Infrastructure finance	—		—	156		BBB+
Total non-U.S. public finance	194		BBB	156		BBB+
Total public finance	3,816		A-	7,859		A-
U.S. structured finance:
Commercial mortgage-backed securities	13		A	—		—
Structured credit	17		BBB	—		—
Insurance securitizations	—		—	395		AA-
Other structured finance	—		—	41		A-
Total U.S. structured finance	30		BBB+	436		AA-
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Pooled corporate obligations	—		—	266		AA-
Total non-U.S. structured finance	—		—	266		AA-
Total structured finance	30		BBB+	702		AA-
Total gross par written	$	3,846	A-	$	8,561	A-

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of internal ratings and sectors.

22

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Gross Par Written (2 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

Gross Par Written by Asset Type

	Nine Months Ended September 30,
	2022			2021
	Gross Par Written		Average Internal Rating	Gross Par Written		Average Internal Rating
Sector:
U.S. public finance
General obligation	$	4,864	A	$	6,675	A-
Transportation	2,975		BBB+	2,451		A
Municipal utilities	2,260		A	2,324		BBB+
Tax backed	1,805		A-	3,301		A-
Healthcare	1,586		BBB+	1,077		BBB+
Higher education	368		A-	1,203		A-
Infrastructure finance	124		BBB+	752		BBB+
Housing revenue	—		—	44		BBB-
Other U.S. public finance	—		—	19		A
Total U.S. public finance	13,982		A-	17,846		A-
Non-U.S. public finance:
Regulated utilities	417		BBB	—		—
Infrastructure finance	207		BBB-	858		BBB
Renewable energy	—		—	153		BBB+
Sovereign and sub-sovereign	—		—	106		A
Total non-U.S. public finance	624		BBB	1,117		BBB+
Total public finance	14,606		A-	18,963		A-
U.S. structured finance:
Commercial mortgage-backed securities	13		A	37		A
Structured credit	17		BBB	—		—
Insurance securitizations	—		—	848		A+
Other structured finance	76		A-	56		A-
Total U.S. structured finance	106		A-	941		A+
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Commercial receivables	257		AA	—		—
Pooled corporate obligations	—		—	266		AA-
Other structured finance	43		A	—		—
Total non-U.S. structured finance	300		AA	266		AA-
Total structured finance	406		AA-	1,207		A+
Total gross par written	$	15,012	A-	$	20,170	A-

1)    Represent guarantees of rental income cash flows.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of internal ratings and sectors.

23

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

New Business Production by Quarter

(dollars in millions)

															Nine Months
	1Q-21		2Q-21		3Q-21		4Q-21		1Q-22		2Q-22		3Q-22		2022		2021
PVP:
Public finance - U.S.	$	81	$	29	$	55	$	70	$	49	$	57	$	57	$	163	$	165
Public finance - non-U.S.	3		43		17		16		12		18		37		67		63
Structured finance - U.S.	2		9		21		10		2		—		1		3		32
Structured finance - non-U.S.	—		—		3		2		6		1		—		7		3
Total PVP (1)	$	86	$	81	$	96	$	98	$	69	$	76	$	95	$	240	$	263
Reconciliation of GWP to PVP:
Total GWP	$	87	$	84	$	106	$	100	$	70	$	65	$	94	$	229	$	277
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments	38		35		52		33		19		8		39		66		125
Upfront GWP	49		49		54		67		51		57		55		163		152
Plus: Installment premiums and other(2)	37		32		42		31		18		19		40		77		111
Total PVP	$	86	$	81	$	96	$	98	$	69	$	76	$	95	$	240	$	263
Gross par written:
Public finance - U.S.	$	5,427	$	4,716	$	7,703	$	5,947	$	3,931	$	6,429	$	3,622	$	13,982	$	17,846
Public finance - non-U.S.	—		961		156		—		223		207		194		624		1,117
Structured finance - U.S.	45		460		436		375		60		16		30		106		941
Structured finance - non-U.S. (1)	—		—		266		164		257		43		—		300		266
Total	$	5,472	$	6,137	$	8,561	$	6,486	$	4,471	$	6,695	$	3,846	$	15,012	$	20,170

1)    First quarter 2022 PVP and gross par written includes the present value (PV) of future premiums and total exposure, respectively, associated with a financial guarantee written by the Company that, under GAAP, are accounted for under ASC 460, Guarantees.

2)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturities such as loss mitigation securities. This also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with a financial guarantee written by the Company that, under GAAP, is accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

24

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Estimated Future Financial Guaranty Net Premium

and Credit Derivative Revenues

(dollars in millions)

					Financial Guaranty Insurance (2)
	Estimated Net Debt Service Amortization(1)		Estimated Ending Net Debt Service Outstanding		Expected PV Net Earned Premiums (i.e. Net Deferred Premium Revenue)		Accretion of Discount		Effect of FG VIE Consolidation on Expected PV Net Earned Premiums and Accretion of Discount		Future Credit Derivative Revenues (3)
2022 3Q (as of September 30)			$	356,701
2022 4Q	$	5,363	351,338		$	71	$	5	$	1	$	2
2023	18,868		332,470		271		19		3		9
2024	18,374		314,096		256		18		3		8
2025	19,504		294,592		240		17		3		8
2026	18,666		275,926		224		15		2		7
2022-2026	80,775		275,926		1,062		74		12		34
2027-2031	81,171		194,755		927		63		12		32
2032-2036	68,076		126,679		650		42		11		25
2037-2041	50,361		76,318		396		27		2		17
After 2041	76,318		—		555		42		—		13
Total	$	356,701			$	3,590	$	248	$	37	$	121

Reconciliation of Net Deferred Premium Revenue to Net Unearned Premium Reserve(4).

	GAAP		Effect of FG VIE Consolidation on Net Unearned Premium Reserve
Net deferred premium revenue:
Financial guaranty	$	3,590	$	36
Specialty	10		—
Net deferred premium revenue	3,600		36
Contra-paid	(18)		(4)
Net unearned premium reserve	$	3,582	$	32

1)    Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of September 30, 2022. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations, terminations and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization.

2)    See also page 28, for ‘‘Net Expected Loss to be Expensed.’’

3)     Represents expected future premiums on insured credit derivatives.

4)    Unearned premium reserve represents deferred premium revenue less claim payments made (net of recoveries received) that have been recognized in the statement of operations (contra-paid).

25

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid

(dollars in millions)

Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid (1) for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2022

	Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of June 30, 2022		Economic Loss Development (Benefit) During 3Q-22		Net (Paid) Recovered Losses During 3Q-22		Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of September 30, 2022
Public Finance:
U.S. public finance	$	210	$	24	$	392	$	626
Non-U.S public finance	7		(2)		1		6
Public Finance	217		22		393		632
Structured Finance:
U.S. RMBS	179		(95)		(32)		52
Other structured finance	46		1		(4)		43
Structured Finance	225		(94)		(36)		95
Total	$	442	$	(72)	$	357	$	727

Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid (1) for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022

	Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of December 31, 2021		Economic Loss Development (Benefit) During 2022		Net (Paid) Recovered Losses During 2022		Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of September 30, 2022
Public Finance:
U.S. public finance	$	197	$	(16)	$	445	$	626
Non-U.S public finance	12		(6)		—		6
Public Finance	209		(22)		445		632
Structured Finance:
U.S. RMBS	$	150	$	(127)	$	29	$	52
Other structured finance	52		1		(10)		43
Structured Finance	202		(126)		19		95
Total	$	411	$	(148)	$	464	$	727

1)    Includes net expected loss to be paid, economic loss development and paid (recovered) losses for all contracts (i.e. those accounted for as insurance, credit derivatives and FG VIEs).

26

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Loss Measures

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

			Three Months Ended September 30, 2022						Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022
	Total Net Par Outstanding for BIG Transactions		GAAP Loss and LAE (1)		Loss and LAE included in Adjusted Operating Income (2)		Insurance Segment  Loss and LAE (3)		GAAP Loss and LAE (1)		Loss and LAE included in Adjusted Operating Income (2)		Insurance Segment  Loss and LAE (3)
Public finance:
U.S. public finance	$	4,187	$	1	$	1	$	4	$	67	$	67	$	70
Non-U.S public finance	462		—		—		—		—		—		—
Public finance	4,649		1		1		4		67		67		70
Structured finance:
U.S. RMBS	1,029		(78)		(78)		(82)		(97)		(93)		(104)
Other structured finance	107		2		3		3		1		2		2
Structured finance	1,136		(76)		(75)		(79)		(96)		(91)		(102)
Total	$	5,785	$	(75)	$	(74)	$	(75)	$	(29)	$	(24)	$	(32)

1)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts.

2)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts and credit derivatives.

3)    Includes loss expense related to contracts that are accounted for as insurance contracts, credit derivatives, and consolidated FG VIEs.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.

27

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Net Expected Loss to be Expensed (1)

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

	GAAP
2022 4Q	$	3
2023	16
2024	17
2025	16
2026	20
2022-2026	72
2027-2031	75
2032-2036	51
2037-2041	11
After 2041	9
Total expected present value of net expected loss to be expensed(2)	218
Future accretion	163
Total expected future loss and LAE	$	381

1)    The present value of net expected loss to be paid is discounted using risk free rates ranging from 2.98% to 4.18% for U.S. dollar denominated obligations.

2)     Excludes $23 million related to FG VIEs, which are eliminated in consolidation.

28

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Internal Rating by Asset Type

	As of September 30, 2022			As of December 31, 2021
	Net Par Outstanding		Average Internal Rating	Net Par Outstanding		Average Internal Rating
U.S. public finance:
General obligation	$	71,751	A-	$	72,896	A-
Tax backed	34,265		A-	35,726		A-
Municipal utilities	26,059		A-	25,556		A-
Transportation	19,204		BBB+	17,241		BBB+
Healthcare	10,747		BBB+	9,588		BBB+
Higher education	6,888		A-	6,927		A-
Infrastructure finance	6,391		A-	6,329		A-
Housing revenue	966		BBB-	1,000		BBB-
Investor-owned utilities	333		A-	611		A-
Renewable energy	183		A-	193		A-
Other public finance	1,055		BBB	1,152		A-
Total U.S. public finance	177,842		A-	177,219		A-
Non-U.S public finance:
Regulated utilities	16,340		BBB+	18,814		BBB+
Infrastructure finance	12,616		BBB	16,475		BBB
Sovereign and sub-sovereign	9,082		A+	10,886		A+
Renewable energy	2,022		A-	2,398		A-
Pooled infrastructure	1,003		AAA	1,372		AAA
Total non-U.S. public finance	41,063		BBB+	49,945		BBB+
Total public finance	$	218,905	A-	227,164		A-
U.S. structured finance:
Life insurance transactions	$	3,272	AA-	3,431		AA-
RMBS	2,006		BBB-	2,391		BB+
Pooled corporate obligations	498		AA+	534		AA+
Financial products	470		AA-	770		AA-
Consumer receivables	470		A+	583		A+
Other structured finance	733		BBB+	665		BBB+
Total U.S. structured finance	7,449		A	8,374		A
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Pooled corporate obligations	304		AAA	351		AAA
RMBS	248		A-	325		A
Other structured finance	165		AA+	178		AA
Total non-U.S structured finance	717		AA	854		AA
Total structured finance	$	8,166	A	9,228		A
Total	$	227,071	A-	$	236,392	A-

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and the Company's internal rating approach, and of the various sectors.

29

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

	Public Finance - U.S.				Public Finance - Non-U.S.				Structured Finance - U.S.				Structured Finance - Non-U.S.				Total
Ratings:	Net Par Outstanding		%		Net Par Outstanding		%		Net Par Outstanding		%		Net Par Outstanding		%		Net Par Outstanding		%
AAA	$	259	0.1	%	$	1,879	4.6	%	$	794	10.7	%	$	432	60.3	%	$	3,364	1.5	%
AA	16,451		9.3		3,454		8.4		4,522		60.7		11		1.5		24,438		10.8
A	96,052		54.0		8,491		20.7		510		6.8		170		23.7		105,223		46.3
BBB	60,893		34.2		26,777		65.2		487		6.5		104		14.5		88,261		38.9
BIG	4,187		2.4		462		1.1		1,136		15.3		—		—		5,785		2.5
Net Par Outstanding (1)	$	177,842	100.0	%	$	41,063	100.0	%	$	7,449	100.0	%	$	717	100.0	%	$	227,071	100.0	%

1)    As of September 30, 2022, the Company excluded $1.3 billion of net par attributable to loss mitigation securities.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and the Company's internal rating approach, and of the various sectors.

30

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

	Net Par Outstanding		% of Total
U.S.:
U.S. public finance:
California	$	36,075	15.9	%
Texas	18,041		7.9
New York	15,721		6.9
Pennsylvania	15,608		6.9
Illinois	12,770		5.6
New Jersey	9,809		4.3
Florida	7,514		3.3
Louisiana	5,037		2.2
Michigan	5,009		2.2
Alabama	3,842		1.7
Other	48,416		21.3
Total U.S. public finance	177,842		78.2
U.S. structured finance	7,449		3.3
Total U.S.	185,291		81.5
Non-U.S.:
United Kingdom	31,891		14.0
Canada	1,719		0.8
Spain	1,477		0.7
Australia	1,415		0.6
France	1,303		0.6
Other	3,975		1.8
Total non-U.S.	41,780		18.5
Total net par outstanding	$	227,071	100.0	%

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.

31

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Specialty Insurance and Reinsurance Exposure

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

	As of September 30, 2022				As of December 31, 2021
	Gross Exposure		Net Exposure		Gross Exposure		Net Exposure
Life insurance transactions (1)	$	1,301	$	969	$	1,250	$	871
Aircraft residual value insurance policies (2)	355		200		355		200
Total	$	1,656	$	1,169	$	1,605	$	1,071

1)    The life insurance transactions net exposure is projected to reach $1.1 billion by June 30, 2024.

2)    As of both September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021, gross exposure of $144 million and net exposure of $84 million of aircraft residual value insurance was BIG.

32

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Expected Amortization of Net Par Outstanding

(dollars in millions)

	Public Finance				Structured Finance
	Estimated Net Par Amortization		Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding		U.S. and Non-U.S. Pooled Corporate		U.S. RMBS		Financial Products		Other Structured Finance		Total		Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding
2022 3Q (as of September 30)			$	218,905											$	8,166
2022 4Q	$	2,248	216,657		$	8	$	101	$	(6)	$	17	$	120	8,046
2023	8,611		208,046		31		349		8		259		647		7,399
2024	8,993		199,053		80		294		10		171		555		6,844
2025	10,662		188,391		36		245		30		149		460		6,384
2026	10,245		178,146		107		174		38		207		526		5,858
2022-2026	40,759		178,146		262		1,163		80		803		2,308		5,858
2027-2031	45,464		132,682		364		414		254		1,368		2,400		3,458
2032-2036	43,099		89,583		68		204		116		1,336		1,724		1,734
2037-2041	34,013		55,570		108		219		19		867		1,213		521
After 2041	55,570		—		—		6		1		514		521		—
Total	$	218,905			$	802	$	2,006	$	470	$	4,888	$	8,166

Net par outstanding (end of period)

	1Q-21		2Q-21		3Q-21		4Q-21		1Q-22		2Q-22		3Q-22
Public finance - U.S.	$	172,941	$	173,667	$	175,952	$	177,219	$	175,957	$	179,648	$	177,842
Public finance - non-U.S.	52,099		51,966		50,305		49,945		48,506		44,447		41,063
Structured finance - U.S.	8,678		8,568		8,677		8,374		8,101		7,935		7,449
Structured finance - non-U.S.	552		535		734		854		815		782		717
Net par outstanding	$	234,270	$	234,736	$	235,668	$	236,392	$	233,379	$	232,812	$	227,071

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.

33

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Exposure to Puerto Rico (1 of 3)

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

Exposure to Puerto Rico

	Par Outstanding				Debt Service Outstanding
	Gross		Net		Gross		Net
Total	$	2,088	$	2,071	$	2,944	$	2,924

Exposure to Puerto Rico by Risk

	Net Par Outstanding
	AGM		AGC		AG Re		Eliminations (1)		Total Net Par Outstanding		Gross Par Outstanding
Puerto Rico Exposures Subject to a Plan or Support Agreement
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - General Obligation (GO) (2)	$	—	$	19	$	6	$	—	$	25	$	25
Puerto Rico Public Buildings Authority (PBA) (2)	1		4		—		(1)		4		4
Subtotal - GO/PBA Plan	1		23		6		(1)		29		29
Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (PRHTA) (Transportation revenue) (4)	222		453		175		(79)		771		771
PRHTA (Highway revenue) (4)	344		51		23		—		418		418
Subtotal - HTA PSA	566		504		198		(79)		1,189		1,189
Subtotal Subject to a Plan or Support Agreement	567		527		204		(80)		1,218		1,218
Other Puerto Rico Exposures
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA)	446		69		205		—		720		730
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency (MFA) (3)	101		6		24		—		131		138
Puerto Rico Aqueduct and Sewer Authority (PRASA) and University of Puerto Rico (U of PR) (3)	—		2		—		—		2		2
Subtotal Other Puerto Rico Exposures	547		77		229		—		853		870
Total exposure to Puerto Rico	$	1,114	$	604	$	433	$	(80)	$	2,071	$	2,088

1)    Net par outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary.

2)    On March 15, 2022, the Modified Eighth Amended Title III Joint Plan of Adjustment, confirmed on January 18, 2022, was consummated (March Puerto Rico Resolutions), pursuant to which the Company, among other things, fully paid claims on all of its directly insured Puerto Rico GO bonds, other than certain GO bonds whose holders made certain elections. On the same date and pursuant to the same Plan of Adjustment, the Company fully paid claims on all of its directly insured PBA bonds, other than certain PBA bonds whose holders made certain elections.

3)    All debt service on these insured exposures have been paid to date without any insurance claim being made on the Company.

4)    On October 12, 2022, the United States District Court of the District of Puerto Rico (Federal District Court of Puerto Rico), acting under Title III of the Puerto Rico Oversight, Management, and Economic Stability Act (PROMESA), entered an order and judgment confirming the amended plan of adjustment for the Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (PRHTA) filed by the financial oversight and management board (FOMB) with the Federal District Court of Puerto Rico on September 6, 2022 (HTA Plan). The HTA Plan restructures approximately $6.4 billion of debt (including the PRHTA bonds insured by the Company), and the Company believes its terms are consistent with the terms of the settlement embodied in the PRHTA plan support agreement entered into on May 5, 2021, by AGM and AGC and certain other stakeholders, the Commonwealth, and the FOMB (the HTA PSA). The HTA Plan, similar to the GO/PBA Plan, provides an option for certain bondholders to elect to receive custody receipts that represent an interest in the legacy insurance policy plus Toll Bonds.

34

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Exposure to Puerto Rico (2 of 3)

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

Amortization Schedule of Net Par Outstanding of Puerto Rico

	2022 (4Q)		2023 (1Q)		2023 (2Q)		2023 (3Q)		2023 (4Q)		2024		2025		2026		2027		2028		2029		2030		2031		2032 - 2036		2037 - 2041		2042		Total
Puerto Rico Exposures Subject to a Plan or Support Agreement
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - GO	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	2	$	4	$	—	$	19	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	25
PBA	—		—		—		2		—		—		2		—		—		—		—		—		—		—		—		—		4
Subtotal - GO/PBA Plan	—		—		—		2		—		—		2		2		4		—		19		—		—		—		—		—		29
PRHTA (Transportation revenue)	—		—		—		34		—		4		29		24		29		34		49		31		21		310		201		5		771
PRHTA (Highway revenue)	—		—		—		32		—		33		34		1		—		10		13		16		39		240		—		—		418
Subtotal - HTA PSA	—		—		—		66		—		37		63		25		29		44		62		47		60		550		201		5		1,189
Subtotal Subject to a Plan or Support Agreement	—		—		—		68		—		37		65		27		33		44		81		47		60		550		201		5		1,218
Other Puerto Rico Exposures
PREPA	—		—		—		95		—		93		68		106		105		69		39		44		75		26		—		—		720
MFA	—		—		—		18		—		18		18		37		15		12		7		6		—		—		—		—		131
PRASA and U of PR	—		—		—		—		—		1		—		—		—		—		—		—		—		1		—		—		2
Subtotal Other Puerto Rico Exposures	—		—		—		113		—		112		86		143		120		81		46		50		75		27		—		—		853
Total	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	181	$	—	$	149	$	151	$	170	$	153	$	125	$	127	$	97	$	135	$	577	$	201	$	5	$	2,071

35

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Exposure to Puerto Rico (3 of 3)

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

Amortization Schedule of Net Debt Service Outstanding of Puerto Rico

	2022 (4Q)		2023 (1Q)		2023 (2Q)		2023 (3Q)		2023 (4Q)		2024		2025		2026		2027		2028		2029		2030		2031		2032 - 2036		2037 - 2041		2042		Total
Puerto Rico Exposures Subject to a Plan or Support Agreement
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - GO	$	—	$	1	$	—	$	1	$	—	$	1	$	1	$	3	$	6	$	1	$	20	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	34
PBA	—		—		—		3		—		—		2		—		—		—		—		—		—		—		—		—		5
Subtotal - GO/PBA Plan	—		1		—		4		—		1		3		3		6		1		20		—		—		—		—		—		39
PRHTA (Transportation revenue)	—		20		—		53		—		42		67		61		64		67		81		61		49		423		237		5		1,230
PRHTA (Highway revenue)	—		11		—		43		—		53		52		18		17		27		29		32		54		279		—		—		615
Subtotal - HTA PSA	—		31		—		96		—		95		119		79		81		94		110		93		103		702		237		5		1,845
Subtotal Subject to a Plan or Support Agreement	—		32		—		100		—		96		122		82		87		95		130		93		103		702		237		5		1,884
Other Puerto Rico Exposures
PREPA	3		14		2		109		3		122		92		126		122		80		47		51		81		29		—		—		881
MFA	—		3		—		21		—		24		23		41		17		14		8		6		—		—		—		—		157
PRASA and U of PR	—		—		—		—		—		1		—		—		—		—		—		—		—		1		—		—		2
Subtotal Other Puerto Rico Exposures	3		17		2		130		3		147		115		167		139		94		55		57		81		30		—		—		1,040
Total	$	3	$	49	$	2	$	230	$	3	$	243	$	237	$	249	$	226	$	189	$	185	$	150	$	184	$	732	$	237	$	5	$	2,924

36

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

U.S. RMBS Profile

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating and Type of Exposure

Ratings:	Prime First Lien		Alt-A First Lien		Option ARMs		Subprime First Lien		Second Lien		Total Net Par Outstanding
AAA	$	3	$	70	$	10	$	384	$	2	$	469
AA	8		78		7		143		120		356
A	3		—		—		8		80		91
BBB	5		—		—		38		18		61
BIG	40		211		16		645		117		1,029
Total exposures	$	59	$	359	$	33	$	1,218	$	337	$	2,006

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure

Year insured:	Prime First Lien		Alt-A First Lien		Option ARMs		Subprime First Lien		Second Lien		Total Net Par Outstanding
2004 and prior	$	10	$	9	$	—	$	354	$	15	$	388
2005	23		125		16		186		56		406
2006	26		26		1		46		112		211
2007	—		199		16		600		154		969
2008	—		—		—		32		—		32
Total exposures	$	59	$	359	$	33	$	1,218	$	337	$	2,006

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's presentation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and a description of sectors.

37

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings

	Net Par Outstanding		% of Total		Average Initial Credit Enhancement		Average Current Credit Enhancement
Ratings:
AAA	$	606	75.7	%	41.9	%	52.9	%
AA	71		8.9		42.7		54.7
A	94		11.8		38.2		48.4
BBB	29		3.6		42.6		44.8
Total exposures	$	800	100.0	%	41.6	%	52.2	%

Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class

	Net Par Outstanding		% of Total		Average Initial Credit Enhancement		Average Current Credit Enhancement		Number of Transactions	Average Rating
Asset class:
Trust preferred
Banks and insurance	$	371	46.3	%	43.7	%	62.5	%	12	AAA
U.S. mortgage and real estate investment trusts	86		10.8		47.4		65.4		3	A+
CLOs	343		42.9		37.8		37.8		5	AAA
Total exposures	$	800	100.0	%	41.6	%	52.2	%	20	AAA

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of internal ratings, performance indicators and sectors.

38

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type

	As of
	September 30,		December 31,
	2022		2021
U.S. public finance:
Tax backed	$	1,600	$	2,327
Municipal utilities	1,031		1,069
Healthcare	832		23
General obligation	350		1,561
Transportation	109		110
Housing revenue	73		90
Infrastructure finance	46		46
Higher education	21		46
Other public finance	125		100
Total U.S. public finance	4,187		5,372
Non-U.S. public finance:
Infrastructure finance	353		470
Sovereign and sub-sovereign	90		102
Renewable energy	19		28
Total non-U.S. public finance	462		600
Total public finance	$	4,649	$	5,972
U.S. structured finance:
RMBS	$	1,029	$	1,265
Consumer receivables	62		72
Life insurance transactions	40		40
Other structured finance	5		7
Total U.S. structured finance	1,136		1,384
Non-U.S. structured finance:
Total non-U.S. structured finance	—		—
Total structured finance	$	1,136	$	1,384
Total BIG net par outstanding	$	5,785	$	7,356

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.

39

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category(1)

	As of
	September 30,		December 31,
	2022		2021
BIG Category 1
U.S. public finance	$	2,029	$	1,765
Non-U.S. public finance	425		556
U.S. structured finance	17		122
Non-U.S. structured finance	—		—
Total BIG Category 1	2,471		2,443
BIG Category 2
U.S. public finance	124		116
Non-U.S. public finance	—		—
U.S. structured finance	74		65
Non-U.S. structured finance	—		—
Total BIG Category 2	198		181
BIG Category 3
U.S. public finance	2,034		3,491
Non-U.S. public finance	37		44
U.S. structured finance	1,045		1,197
Non-U.S. structured finance	—		—
Total BIG Category 3	3,116		4,732
BIG Total	$	5,785	$	7,356

1)    Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring the Company's portfolio of credits and maintains a list of BIG credits. BIG Category 1: Below-investment-grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make future losses possible, but for which none are currently expected. BIG Category 2: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected but for which no claims (other than liquidity claims which are claims that the Company expects to be reimbursed within one year) have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected and on which claims (other than liquidity claims) have been paid.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.

40

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 3)

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

Public Finance and Structured Finance BIG Exposures with Revenue Sources Greater Than $50 Million

	Net Par Outstanding		Internal Rating (1)	60+ Day Delinquencies
Name or description
U.S. public finance:
Puerto Rico Highways & Transportation Authority	$	1,189	CCC
ProMedica Healthcare Obligated Group, Ohio	820		BB+
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority	720		CCC
Illinois Sports Facilities Authority	259		BB+
Jackson Water & Sewer System, Mississippi	166		BB
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency	131		CCC
Stockton City, California	96		B
Harrisburg Parking System, Pennsylvania	79		B
San Jacinto River Authority (GRP Project), Texas	65		BB+
Indiana University of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania	58		CCC
Atlantic City, New Jersey	54		BB
Total U.S. public finance	$	3,637
Non-U.S. public finance:
Road Management Services PLC (A13 Highway)	118		B+
Dartford & Gravesham NHS Trust The Hospital Company (Dartford) Plc	105		BB+
M6 Duna Autopalya Koncesszios Zrt.	58		BB+
Total non-U.S. public finance	$	281
Total public finance	$	3,918
U.S. structured finance:
RMBS:
Option One 2007-FXD2	$	122	CCC	17.0%
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HL1	99		CCC	23.4%
Argent Securities Inc. 2005-W4	93		CCC	9.7%
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-1	66		CCC	22.8%
New Century 2005-A	59		CCC	16.6%
Total RMBS-U.S. structured finance	$	439
Total non-U.S. structured finance	$	—
Total structured finance	$	439
Total	$	4,357

1)    Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of performance indicators and sectors.

41

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 3)

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures by Revenue Source

Credit Name:	Net Par Outstanding		Internal Rating (1)
New Jersey (State of)	$	3,309	BBB
New York Metropolitan Transportation Authority	1,749		A-
Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of)	1,679		A-
Metro Washington Airports Authority (Dulles Toll Road)	1,631		BBB+
Illinois (State of)	1,312		BBB-
Alameda Corridor Transportation Authority, California	1,257		BBB+
North Texas Tollway Authority	1,225		A+
Foothill/Eastern Transportation Corridor Agency, California	1,219		BBB
Puerto Rico Highways & Transportation Authority	1,189		CCC
CommonSpirit Health, Illinois	1,000		A-
San Joaquin Hills Transportation, California	989		BBB
Yankee Stadium LLC New York City Industrial Development Authority	921		BBB
San Diego Family Housing, LLC	911		AA
Philadelphia School District, Pennsylvania	892		A-
Port Authority of New York and New Jersey	848		BBB
Montefiore Medical Center, New York	839		BBB-
Great Lakes Water Authority (Sewerage), Michigan	821		A-
ProMedica Healthcare Obligated Group, Ohio	820		BB+
Dade County Seaport, Florida	810		A
Wisconsin (State of)	782		A
California (State of)	774		AA-
Metropolitan Pier and Exposition Authority, Illinois	773		BBB-
Tucson (City of), Arizona	760		A+
Jefferson County Alabama Sewer	758		BBB
Chicago Public Schools, Illinois	756		BBB-
Nassau County, New York	755		A
New York (City of), New York	750		AA-
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources	750		AA
Central Florida Expressway Authority, Florida	745		A+
New York Power Authority	726		AA-
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority	720		CCC
Los Angeles Department of Airports (LAX Project), California	719		A-
Suffolk County, New York	715		BBB+
Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission	711		A-
Anaheim (City of), California	696		A-
Clark County School District, Nevada	692		BBB+
Philadelphia (City of), Pennsylvania	674		BBB+
Pittsburgh Water & Sewer, Pennsylvania	648		A-
Mets Queens Ballpark	608		BBB
North Carolina Turnpike Authority	603		BBB-
Oglethorpe Power Corporation, Georgia	575		BBB
Hayward Unified School District, California	547		A
Kansas City, Missouri	534		A
Municipal Electric Authority of Georgia	530		BBB+
LCOR Alexandria LLC	527		BBB
Regional Transportation Authority (Sales Tax), Illinois	518		AA-
Long Island Power Authority	512		A-
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of)	498		AA-
Garden State Preservation Trust, New Jersey Open Space & Farmland	497		BBB+
New Jersey Turnpike Authority	463		A
Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures	$	43,737

1) Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.

42

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 3)

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

25 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures

Credit Name:	Net Par Outstanding		Internal Rating (1)
Private US Insurance Securitization	$	1,100	AA
Private US Insurance Securitization	825		AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization	394		AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization	391		AA-
Private US Insurance Securitization	386		AA-
SLM Student Loan Trust 2007-A	228		AA
Private US Insurance Securitization	130		AA
Option One 2007-FXD2	122		CCC
CWABS 2007-4	105		A+
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HL1	99		CCC
Argent Securities Inc. 2005-W4	93		CCC
SLM Student Loan Trust 2006-C	80		AA
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-1	66		CCC
ALESCO Preferred Funding XIII, Ltd.	65		AAA
Private Other Structured Finance Transaction	65		A-
CAPCO - Excess SIPC Excess of Loss Reinsurance	63		BBB
Private Balloon Note Guarantee	60		BBB
New Century 2005-A	59		CCC
CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9	56		A
Private Other Structured Finance Transaction	54		A-
Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, Ltd.	52		A
Countrywide 2007-13	52		AA
Private Balloon Note Guarantee	50		A
ACE 2007-SL1	50		CCC
Preferred Term Securities XXIV, Ltd.	49		AAA
Total top 25 U.S. structured finance exposures	$	4,694

1)    Transactions rated below B- are categorized as CCC.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.

43

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 3)

As of September 30, 2022

(dollars in millions)

50 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures by Revenue Source

Credit Name:	Country	Net Par Outstanding		Internal Rating
Southern Water Services Limited	United Kingdom	$	1,997	BBB
Southern Gas Networks PLC	United Kingdom	1,606		BBB
Thames Water Utilities Finance Plc	United Kingdom	1,606		BBB
Quebec Province	Canada	1,499		AA-
Dwr Cymru Financing Limited	United Kingdom	1,468		A-
National Grid Gas PLC	United Kingdom	1,220		BBB+
Anglian Water Services Financing PLC	United Kingdom	1,074		A-
Channel Link Enterprises Finance PLC	France, United Kingdom	1,051		BBB
British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC)	United Kingdom	980		A+
Yorkshire Water Services Finance Plc	United Kingdom	962		BBB
Verbund, Lease and Sublease of Hydro-Electric Equipment	Austria	858		AAA
Capital Hospitals (Issuer) PLC	United Kingdom	787		BBB-
Aspire Defence Finance plc	United Kingdom	669		BBB+
Verdun Participations 2 S.A.S.	France	613		BBB-
Envestra Limited	Australia	576		A-
National Grid Company plc	United Kingdom	551		BBB+
Severn Trent Water Utilities Finance Plc	United Kingdom	518		BBB+
Coventry & Rugby Hospital Company (Walsgrave Hospital) Plc	United Kingdom	467		BBB-
Campania Region - Healthcare Receivable	Italy	462		BB+
Sydney Airport Finance Company	Australia	449		BBB+
Wessex Water Services Finance plc	United Kingdom	445		BBB+
United Utilities Water PLC	United Kingdom	439		BBB+
Derby Healthcare PLC	United Kingdom	422		BBB
South East Water	United Kingdom	401		BBB
Scotland Gas Networks plc	United Kingdom	400		BBB
NewHospitals (St Helens & Knowsley) Finance PLC	United Kingdom	399		BBB+
North Staffordshire PFI, 32-year EIB Index-Linked Facility	United Kingdom	393		BBB-
Central Nottinghamshire Hospitals PLC	United Kingdom	390		BBB-
The Hospital Company (QAH Portsmouth) Limited	United Kingdom	373		BBB
Comision Federal De Electricidad (CFE) El Cajon Project	Mexico	363		BBB-
International Infrastructure Pool	United Kingdom	334		AAA
International Infrastructure Pool	United Kingdom	334		AAA
International Infrastructure Pool	United Kingdom	334		AAA
Heathrow Funding Limited	United Kingdom	332		BBB
University of Essex, United Kingdom	United Kingdom	322		BBB+
Private International Sub-Sovereign Transaction	United Kingdom	315		AA-
Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment Agency	Japan	305		A+
Q Energy - Phase II - Pride Investments, S.A.	Spain	292		BBB+
South Lanarkshire Schools	United Kingdom	292		BBB
Hypersol Solar Inversiones, S.A.U.	Spain	287		BBB
Private International Sub-Sovereign Transaction	United Kingdom	278		A
Q Energy - Phase III - FSL Issuer, S.A.U.	Spain	263		BBB
Northumbrian Water PLC	United Kingdom	263		BBB+
Feria Muestrario Internacional de Valencia	Spain	262		BBB-
Octagon Healthcare Funding PLC	United Kingdom	258		BBB
University of Sussex - East Slope Residencies PLC	United Kingdom	258		BBB+
Bakethin Finance Plc	United Kingdom	258		A-
Catalyst Healthcare (Romford) Financing PLC	United Kingdom	257		BBB
Private International Sub-Sovereign Transaction	United Kingdom	256		A+
Western Power Distribution (South West) PLC	United Kingdom	253		BBB+
Total top 50 non-U.S. exposures		$	29,191

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.

44

Asset Management Segment

45

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Asset Management Segment Results (1 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	September 30,				September 30,
	2022		2021		2022		2021
Segment revenues
Management fees:
CLOs	$	12	$	12	$	36	$	36
Opportunity funds and liquid strategies	6		4		29		13
Wind-down funds	—		1		1		6
Total management fees	18		17		66		55
Performance fees	2		—		20		1
Other income (loss)	1		2		2		4
Total segment revenues	21		19		88		60
Segment expenses
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	16		19		62		53
Other operating expenses	8		10		29		29
Total segment expenses	24		29		91		82
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes	(3)		(10)		(3)		(22)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	—		(3)		—		(6)
Segment adjusted operating income (loss)	$	(3)	$	(7)	$	(3)	$	(16)

46

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Asset Management Segment Results (2 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

Rollforward of Assets Under Management for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2022

	CLOs		Opportunity Funds		Liquid Strategies		Wind-Down Funds		Total
AUM, June 30, 2022	$	15,176	$	2,050	$	372	$	339	$	17,937
Inflows-third party	—		1		—		—		1
Inflows-intercompany	115		—		1		—		116
Outflows:
Redemptions	—		—		—		—		—
Distributions	(154)		(47)		—		(114)		(315)
Total outflows	(154)		(47)		—		(114)		(315)
Net flows	(39)		(46)		1		(114)		(198)
Change in value	(186)		14		(6)		(17)		(195)
AUM, September 30, 2022	$	14,951	$	2,018	$	367	$	208	$	17,544

Rollforward of Assets Under Management for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022

	CLOs		Opportunity Funds		Liquid Strategies (1)		Wind-Down Funds		Total
AUM, December 31, 2021	$	14,699	$	1,824	$	389	$	582	$	17,494
Inflows-third party	1,049		292		21		—		1,362
Inflows-intercompany	165		—		105		—		270
Outflows:
Redemptions	—		—		—		—		—
Distributions	(511)		(190)		(125)		(389)		(1,215)
Total outflows	(511)		(190)		(125)		(389)		(1,215)
Net flows	703		102		1		(389)		417
Change in value	(451)		92		(23)		15		(367)
AUM, September 30, 2022	$	14,951	$	2,018	$	367	$	208	$	17,544

1)    Liquid strategies inflows and outflows relate to the transfer of assets from an existing municipal bond fund to a new municipal relative value fund.

47

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Asset Management Segment Results (3 of 3)

(dollars in millions)

Assets Under Management

	CLOs		Opportunity Funds		Liquid Strategies		Wind-Down Funds		Total
As of September 30, 2022:
Funded AUM (1)	$	14,857	$	1,304	$	367	$	186	$	16,714
Unfunded AUM (1)	94		714		—		22		830
Fee-earning AUM (2)	$	14,575	$	1,766	$	367	$	110	$	16,818
Non-fee earning AUM (2)	376		252		—		98		726
Intercompany AUM
Funded AUM	$	574	$	192	$	346	$	—	$	1,112
Unfunded AUM	93		125		—		—		218
As of June 30, 2022:
Funded AUM (1)	$	15,069	$	1,288	$	372	$	317	$	17,046
Unfunded AUM (1)	107		762		—		22		891
Fee-earning AUM (2)	$	14,773	$	1,801	$	372	$	202	$	17,148
Non-fee earning AUM (2)	403		249		—		137		789
Intercompany AUM
Funded AUM	$	562	$	187	$	351	$	—	$	1,100
Unfunded AUM	106		135		—		—		241
As of December 31, 2021:
Funded AUM	$	14,575	$	1,297	$	389	$	560	$	16,821
Unfunded AUM	124		527		—		22		673
Fee-earning AUM	$	14,252	$	1,527	$	389	$	408	$	16,576
Non-fee earning AUM	447		297		—		174		918
Intercompany AUM
Funded AUM	$	541	$	217	$	368	$	—	$	1,126
Unfunded AUM	123		121		—		—		244

1)    Funded AUM refers to assets that have been deployed or invested into the funds or CLOs. Unfunded AUM refers to unfunded capital commitments from closed-end funds and CLO warehouse fund.

2)    Fee-earning AUM refers to assets where AssuredIM collects fees or has elected not to waive or rebate fees to investors. Non-fee earning AUM refers to assets where AssuredIM does not collect fees or has elected to waive or rebate fees to investors.

48

Corporate Division

49

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Corporate Division Results

(dollars in millions)

	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	September 30,				September 30,
	2022		2021		2022		2021
Total revenues	$	1	$	1	$	3	$	1
Expenses
Interest expense	22		25		66		74
Loss on extinguishment of debt	—		175		—		175
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	7		5		20		15
Other operating expenses	5		6		18		15
Total expenses	34		211		104		279
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	—		1		—		1
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes	(33)		(209)		(101)		(277)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	(3)		(40)		(3)		(45)
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$	(30)	$	(169)	$	(98)	$	(232)

50

Other

51

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Other Results (1 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

	Three Months Ended September 30, 2022
	FG VIEs		CIVs		Intersegment Eliminations and Reclasses		Total Other
	(in millions)
Revenues
Net earned premiums	$	(1)	$	—	$	—	$	(1)
Net investment income	(1)		—		(2)		(3)
Asset management fees	—		(7)		3		(4)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs	11		—		—		11
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	—		8		—		8
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement	—		2		—		2
Other income (loss)	(1)		1		—		—
Total revenues	8		4		1		13
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit)	1		—		—		1
Interest expense	—		—		(2)		(2)
Other operating expenses	—		—		3		3
Total expenses	1		—		1		2
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	—		(9)		—		(9)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes	7		(5)		—		2
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	1		—		—		1
Less: Noncontrolling interests	—		(6)		—		(6)
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$	6	$	1	$	—	$	7

	Three Months Ended September 30, 2021
	FG VIEs		CIVs		Intersegment Eliminations and Reclasses		Total Other
	(in millions)
Revenues
Net earned premiums	$	(1)	$	—	$	—	$	(1)
Net investment income	(1)		—		(3)		(4)
Asset management fees	—		(2)		5		3
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs	5		—		—		5
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	—		16		—		16
Other income (loss)	(1)		—		—		(1)
Total revenues	2		14		2		18
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit)	8		—		—		8
Interest expense	—		—		(2)		(2)
Other operating expenses	—		—		4		4
Total expenses	8		—		2		10
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	—		(11)		—		(11)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes	(6)		3		—		(3)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	(2)		—		—		(2)
Less: Noncontrolling interests	—		3		—		3
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$	(4)	$	—	$	—	$	(4)

52

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Other Results (2 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

	Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022
	FG VIEs		CIVs		Intersegment Eliminations and Reclasses		Total Other
	(in millions)
Revenues
Net earned premiums	$	(3)	$	—	$	—	$	(3)
Net investment income	(3)		—		(7)		(10)
Asset management fees	—		(29)		14		(15)
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs	27		—		—		27
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	—		25		—		25
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement	—		7		—		7
Other income (loss)	(2)		5		—		3
Total revenues	19		8		7		34
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit)	8		—		—		8
Interest expense	—		—		(7)		(7)
Other operating expenses	—		(1)		14		13
Total expenses	8		(1)		7		14
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	—		15		—		15
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes	11		24		—		35
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	2		1		—		3
Less: Noncontrolling interests	—		25		—		25
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$	9	$	(2)	$	—	$	7

	Nine Months Ended September 30, 2021
	FG VIEs		CIVs		Intersegment Eliminations and Reclasses		Total Other
	(in millions)
Revenues
Net earned premiums	$	(3)	$	—	$	—	$	(3)
Net investment income	(3)		—		(7)		(10)
Asset management fees	—		(6)		15		9
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs	18		—		—		18
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	—		53		—		53
Other income (loss)	(1)		—		—		(1)
Total revenues	11		47		8		66
Expenses
Loss expense (benefit)	13		—		—		13
Interest expense	—		—		(7)		(7)
Other operating expenses	—		—		15		15
Total expenses	13		—		8		21
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	—		(35)		—		(35)
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes	(2)		12		—		10
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	(1)		—		—		(1)
Less: Noncontrolling interests	—		11		—		11
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$	(1)	$	1	$	—	$	—

53

Summary

54

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Summary of Financial and Statistical Data

(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

	As of and for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022			Year Ended December 31,
				2021			2020			2019			2018
GAAP Summary Statements of Operations Data
Net earned premiums	$	385		$	414		$	485		$	476		$	548
Net investment income	191			269			297			378			395
Total expenses	351			465			729			503			422
Income (loss) before income taxes	49			383			386			460			580
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL	30			389			362			402			521
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share	0.46			5.23			4.19			4.00			4.68
GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data
Total investments and cash	$	8,611		$	9,728		$	10,000		$	10,409		$	10,977
Total assets	16,660			18,208			15,334			14,326			13,603
Unearned premium reserve	3,596			3,716			3,735			3,736			3,512
Loss and LAE reserve	882			869			1,088			1,050			1,177
Long-term debt	1,675			1,673			1,224			1,235			1,233
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL	4,929			6,292			6,643			6,639			6,555
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL per share	81.17			93.19			85.66			71.18			63.23
Other Financial Information (GAAP Basis)
Financial guaranty:
Net debt service outstanding (end of period)	$	356,701		$	367,360		$	366,233		$	374,130		$	371,586
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)	356,894			367,770			366,692			375,776			375,080
Net par outstanding (end of period)	227,071			236,392			234,153			236,807			241,802
Gross par outstanding (end of period)	227,243			236,765			234,571			238,156			244,191
Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis)(1)
Financial guaranty:
Net debt service outstanding (end of period)	$	353,059		$	362,013		$	360,392		$	367,630		$	359,499
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)	353,252			362,423			360,852			369,251			362,974
Net par outstanding (end of period)	223,673			231,742			229,008			230,984			230,664
Gross par outstanding (end of period)	223,845			232,115			229,426			232,333			233,036
Claims-paying resources(2)
Policyholders' surplus	$	5,130		$	5,572		$	5,077		$	5,056		$	5,148
Contingency reserve	1,263			1,225			1,557			1,607			1,663
Qualified statutory capital	6,393			6,797			6,634			6,663			6,811
Unearned premium reserve and net deferred ceding commission income	2,894			2,972			2,983			2,961			2,950
Loss and LAE reserves	223			167			202			529			1,023
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves	9,510			9,936			9,819			10,153			10,784
Present value of installment premium	842			883			858			804			577
CCS and standby line of credit	400			400			400			400			400
Excess of loss reinsurance facility	—			—			—			—			180
Total claims-paying resources	$	10,752		$	11,219		$	11,077		$	11,357		$	11,941
Ratios:
Net exposure to qualified statutory capital	35		:1	34		:1	35		:1	35		:1	34		:1
Capital ratio	55		:1	53		:1	54		:1	55		:1	53		:1
Financial resources ratio	33		:1	32		:1	33		:1	32		:1	30		:1
Adjusted statutory net exposure to claims-paying resources	21		:1	21		:1	21		:1	20		:1	19		:1
Par and Debt Service Written (FG and Specialty)
Gross debt service written:
Public finance - U.S.	$	25,026		$	35,572		$	33,596		$	28,054		$	31,989
Public finance - non-U.S.	756			1,890			1,860			17,907			7,166
Structured finance - U.S.	110			1,319			508			1,704			1,191
Structured finance - non-U.S.	300			431			254			88			369
Total gross debt service written	$	26,192		$	39,212		$	36,218		$	47,753		$	40,715
Net debt service written	$	26,192		$	39,212		$	35,965		$	47,731		$	40,630
Net par written	15,012			26,656			23,012			24,331			24,538
Gross par written	15,012			26,656			23,265			24,353			24,624

1)    Statutory amounts prepared on a consolidated basis. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners Annual Statements for U.S. Domiciled Insurance Subsidiaries are prepared on a stand-alone basis.

2)    See page 20 for additional detail on claims-paying resources.

Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding and of the various sectors.

55

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations(1) (1 of 2)

(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

	Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022		Year Ended December 31,
			2021		2020		2019		2018
Total GWP	$	229	$	377	$	454	$	677	$	612
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (2)	66		158		191		469		119
Upfront GWP	163		219		263		208		493
Plus: Installment premiums and other (3)	77		142		127		361		204
Total PVP	$	240	$	361	$	390	$	569	$	697
PVP:
Public finance - U.S.	$	163	$	235	$	292	$	201	$	402
Public finance - non-U.S.	67		79		82		308		116
Structured finance - U.S.	3		42		14		53		167
Structured finance - non-U.S.	7		5		2		7		12
Total PVP	$	240	$	361	$	390	$	569	$	697
Adjusted operating income reconciliation:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL	$	30	$	389	$	362	$	402	$	521
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments	(39)		15		18		22		(32)
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	(46)		(64)		65		(10)		101
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	12		(28)		(1)		(22)		14
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves	(180)		(21)		42		22		(32)
Total pre-tax adjustments	(253)		(98)		124		12		51
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments	30		17		(18)		(1)		(12)
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$	253	$	470	$	256	$	391	$	482
Adjusted operating income per diluted share reconciliation:
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share	$	0.46	$	5.23	$	4.19	$	4.00	$	4.68
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments	(0.59)		0.20		0.21		0.22		(0.29)
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	(0.71)		(0.85)		0.75		(0.11)		0.90
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	0.18		(0.38)		(0.01)		(0.22)		0.13
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves	(2.77)		(0.29)		0.49		0.21		(0.29)
Total pre-tax adjustments	(3.89)		(1.32)		1.44		0.10		0.45
Tax effect on pre-tax adjustments	0.47		0.23		(0.22)		(0.01)		(0.11)
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share	$	3.88	$	6.32	$	2.97	$	3.91	$	4.34

1)    Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

2)    Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.

3)    Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturities such as loss mitigation securities. This also includes the present value of future premiums and fees associated with a financial guarantee written by the Company that, under GAAP, is accounted for under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees.

56

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations(1) (2 of 2)

(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

	As of September 30, 2022		As of December 31,
			2021		2020		2019		2018
Adjusted book value reconciliation:
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL	$	4,929	$	6,292	$	6,643	$	6,639	$	6,555
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	(101)		(54)		9		(56)		(45)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	35		23		52		52		74
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect	(672)		404		611		486		247
Less taxes	92		(72)		(116)		(89)		(63)
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity	5,575		5,991		6,087		6,246		6,342
Pre-tax adjustments:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs	142		131		119		111		105
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue	159		160		182		206		219
Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed	3,373		3,402		3,355		3,296		3,005
Plus taxes	(594)		(599)		(597)		(590)		(526)
Adjusted book value	$	8,371	$	8,823	$	8,908	$	9,047	$	8,935
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(6), $(5), $-, $(2) and $(1))	$	27	$	32	$	2	$	7	$	3
Adjusted book value (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(4), $(3), $2, $1 and $4)	$	16	$	23	$	(8)	$	(4)	$	(15)
Adjusted book value per share reconciliation:
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL per share	$	81.17	$	93.19	$	85.66	$	71.18	$	63.23
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	(1.66)		(0.80)		0.12		(0.60)		(0.44)
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	0.58		0.34		0.66		0.56		0.72
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect	(11.07)		5.99		7.89		5.21		2.39
Less taxes	1.50		(1.07)		(1.50)		(0.95)		(0.61)
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share	91.82		88.73		78.49		66.96		61.17
Pre-tax adjustments:
Less: Deferred acquisition costs	2.33		1.95		1.54		1.19		1.01
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue	2.62		2.37		2.35		2.20		2.11
Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed	55.54		50.40		43.27		35.34		28.98
Plus taxes	(9.78)		(8.88)		(7.70)		(6.32)		(5.07)
Adjusted book value per share	$	137.87	$	130.67	$	114.87	$	96.99	$	86.18
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share	0.44		$	0.47	$	0.03	$	0.07	$	0.03
Adjusted book value per share	0.27		$	0.34	$	(0.10)	$	(0.05)	$	(0.15)

1)    See Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.

57

Glossary

Financial Guaranty Insurance

Net Par Outstanding and Internal Ratings

Net Par Outstanding is insured par exposure, net of reinsurance cessions. Unless otherwise indicated, GAAP net par outstanding amounts exclude amounts as a result of loss mitigation strategies, including securities the Company has purchased for loss mitigation purposes that are held in the investment portfolio.

Internal Rating utilizes the Company’s ratings scale, which is similar to that used by the nationally recognized statistical rating organizations; however, the ratings in the tables may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Statutory Net Par and Net Debt Service Outstanding. Under statutory accounting, net par and net debt service outstanding would be reduced both when an outstanding issue is legally defeased (i.e., an issuer has legally discharged its obligations with respect to a municipal security by satisfying conditions set forth in defeasance provisions contained in transaction documents and is no longer responsible for the payment of debt service with respect to such obligations) and when such issue is economically defeased (i.e., transaction documents for a municipal security do not contain defeasance provisions but the issuer establishes an escrow account with U.S. government securities in amounts sufficient to pay the refunded bonds when due; the refunded bonds are not considered paid and continue to be outstanding under the transaction documents and the issuer remains responsible to pay debt service when due to the extent monies on deposit in the escrow account are insufficient for such purpose).

Performance Indicators

The performance information described below is obtained from third parties and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to revision as updated or additional information is obtained:

60+ Day Delinquenciesare defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned divided by current collateral balance.

Average Credit Enhancementis intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty’s exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Some asset classes may not have subordinated tranches so they are excluded from the weighted averages.

Sectors

Below are brief descriptions of selected types of public and structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021.

Public Finance:

General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit obligations that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy property taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation and tax-backed revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or an income tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported obligations, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community-based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution’s revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue or revenue relating to student accommodation.

58

Glossary (continued)

Sectors (continued)

Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily issued by investor-owned utilities and include first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, as well as sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Renewable Energy Bonds are obligations backed by revenue from renewable energy sources.

Other Public Finance Bonds include other debt issued, guaranteed or otherwise supported by U.S. national or local governmental authorities, as well as student loans, revenue bonds, and obligations of some not-for-profit organizations.

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

Regulated Utility Obligations are obligations issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities, supported by the rates and charges paid by the utilities’ customers. The majority of the Company’s international regulated utility business is conducted in the United Kingdom.

Infrastructure Finance Obligations are obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of international infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure, student accommodations, stadiums, and other physical assets delivering essential services supported either by long-term concession arrangements or a regulatory regime. The majority of the Company’s international infrastructure business is conducted in the U.K.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of credit default swap obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations.

Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Obligations primarily include obligations of local, municipal, regional or national governmental authorities or agencies outside of the United States.

Renewable Energy Bonds are obligations secured by revenues relating to renewable energy sources, typically solar or wind farms. In addition, these transactions typically benefit from regulatory support in the form of regulated minimum prices for the electricity produced. The majority of the Company’s international renewable energy business is conducted in Spain.

Other Public Finance are obligations of, or backed by, local, municipal, regional or national governmental authorities or agencies not generally described in any of the other described categories.

Structured Finance:

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities are obligations backed by first and second lien mortgage loans on residential properties. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including “prime,” “subprime” and “Alt-A.” A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with higher risk characteristics. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income. RMBS include home equity lines of credit, which refers to a type of residential mortgage-backed transaction backed by second-lien loan collateral. The Company has not provided insurance for RMBS in the primary market since 2008.

Life Insurance Transactions are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Pooled Corporate Obligationsare securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in “tranches,” with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company’s financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Consumer Receivables Securitiesare obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as student loans, automobile loans and leases, manufactured home loans and other consumer receivables.

59

Glossary (continued)

Sectors (continued)

Financial Products Businessis the guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) portion of a line of business previously conducted by Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. (AGMH) that the Company did not acquire when it purchased AGMH in 2009 from Dexia SA and that is being run off. That line of business consisted of AGMH’s guaranteed investment contracts business, its medium term notes business and the equity payment agreements associated with AGMH’s leveraged lease business. Although Dexia SA and certain of its affiliates (Dexia) assumed the liabilities related to such businesses when the Company purchased AGMH, AGM policies related to such businesses remained outstanding. Assured Guaranty is indemnified by Dexia SA and certain of its affiliates against loss from the former Financial Products Business.

Other Structured Finance Obligationsare obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories.

Specialty Insurance and Reinsurance

The Company provides specialty insurance and reinsurance in transactions with similar risk profiles to its structured finance exposures written in financial guaranty form. The Company provides such specialty insurance and reinsurance, for example, for life insurance transactions and aircraft residual value insurance transactions.

AUM Definitions

The Company uses AUM as a metric to measure progress in its Asset Management segment. Management fee revenue is based on a variety of factors and is not perfectly correlated with AUM. However, the Company believes that AUM is a useful metric for assessing the relative size and scope of the Company’s asset management business. The Company uses measures of its AUM in its decision-making process and uses a measure of change in AUM in its calculation of certain components of management compensation. Investors also use AUM to evaluate companies that participate in the asset management business. AUM refers to the assets managed, advised or serviced by the Asset Management segment and equals the sum of the following:

•the amount of aggregate collateral balance and principal cash of AssuredIM’s CLOs, including CLO Equity that may be held by AssuredIM Funds. This also includes CLO assets managed by BlueMountain Fuji Management, LLC (BM Fuji), which was sold to a third party in second quarter 2021. AssuredIM is not the investment manager of BM Fuji-advised CLOs, but following the sale, AssuredIM sub-advises and continues to provide personnel and other services to BM Fuji associated with the management of BM Fuji-advised CLOs pursuant to a sub-advisory agreement and a personnel and services agreement, consistent with past practices; and

•the net asset value of all funds and accounts other than CLOs, plus any unfunded commitments. Changes in NAV attributable to movements in fund value of certain private equity funds are reported on a quarter lag.

The Company’s calculation of AUM may differ from the calculation employed by other investment managers and, as a result, this measure may not be directly comparable to similar measures presented by other investment managers. The calculation also differs from the manner in which AssuredIM affiliates registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) report “Regulatory Assets Under Management” on Form ADV and Form PF in various ways.

    The Company also uses several other measurements of AUM to understand and measure its AUM in more detail and for various purposes, including its relative position in the market and its income and income potential:

“Third-party AUM” refers to the assets AssuredIM manages or advises on behalf of third-party investors. This includes current and former employee investments in AssuredIM Funds. For CLOs, this also includes CLO Equity that may be held by AssuredIM Funds.

“Intercompany AUM” refers to the assets AssuredIM manages or advises on behalf of the Company. This includes investments from affiliates of Assured Guaranty along with general partners’ investments of AssuredIM (or its affiliates) into the AssuredIM Funds.

“Funded AUM” refers to assets that have been deployed or invested into the funds or CLOs.

“Unfunded AUM” refers to unfunded capital commitments from closed-end funds and CLO warehouse funds.

“Fee earning AUM” refers to assets where AssuredIM collects fees and has elected not to waive or rebate fees to investors.

“Non-fee earning AUM” refers to assets where AssuredIM does not collect fees or has elected to waive or rebate fees to investors. AssuredIM reserves the right to waive some or all fees for certain investors, including investors affiliated with AssuredIM and/or the Company. Further, to the extent that the Company’s wind-down and/or opportunity funds are invested in AssuredIM managed CLOs, AssuredIM may rebate any management fees and/or performance fees earned from the CLOs to the extent such fees are attributable to the wind-down and opportunity funds’ holdings of CLOs also managed by AssuredIM.

60

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

The Company discloses both (a) financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP and (b) financial measures not determined in accordance with GAAP (non-GAAP financial measures). Financial measures identified as non-GAAP should not be considered substitutes for GAAP financial measures. The primary limitation of non-GAAP financial measures is the potential lack of comparability to financial measures of other companies, whose definitions of non-GAAP financial measures may differ from those of the Company.

The Company believes its presentation of non-GAAP financial measures provides information that is necessary for analysts to calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty’s financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and for investors, analysts and the financial news media to evaluate Assured Guaranty’s financial results.

GAAP requires the Company to consolidate entities where it is deemed to be the primary beneficiary which include:

•FG VIEs, which the Company does not own and where its exposure is limited to its obligation under the financial guaranty insurance contract, and

•CIVs in which certain subsidiaries invest and which are managed by AssuredIM.

The Company discloses the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation that is embedded in each non-GAAP financial measure, as applicable. The Company believes this information may also be useful to analysts and investors evaluating Assured Guaranty’s financial results. In the case of both the consolidated FG VIEs and the CIVs, the economic effect on the Company of each of the consolidated FG VIEs and CIVs is reflected primarily in the results of the Insurance segment.

Management of the Company and AGL’s Board of Directors use non-GAAP financial measures further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (which the Company refers to as its core financial measures), as well as GAAP financial measures and other factors, to evaluate the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and progress towards long-term goals. The Company uses core financial measures in its decision-making process for and in its calculation of certain components of management compensation. The financial measures that the Company uses to help determine compensation are: (1) adjusted operating income, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (2) adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (3) adjusted book value per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation; (4) PVP; and (5) gross third-party assets raised.

Management believes that many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and/or adjusted book value, each further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, as the principal financial measures for valuing AGL’s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell AGL’s common shares. Management also believes that many of the Company’s fixed income investors also use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to evaluate the Company’s capital adequacy.

Adjusted operating income, further adjusted for the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company’s financial results in comparison with the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure disclosed by the Company and describe why it is useful. To the extent there is a directly comparable GAAP financial measure, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is presented within this financial supplement.

Adjusted Operating Income: Management believes that adjusted operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the operating results of the Company. Adjusted operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of realized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments, except for gains and losses on securities classified as trading. The timing of realized gains and losses, which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of sales is largely subject to the Company’s discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company’s tax and capital profile.

2)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are recognized in net income, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

61

Non-GAAP Financial Measures (continued)

3)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS that are recognized in net income. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

4)    Elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of net premium receivables and loss and LAE reserves that are recognized in net income. Long-dated receivables and loss and LAE reserves represent the present value of future contractual or expected cash flows. Therefore, the current period’s foreign exchange remeasurement gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

5)    Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and Adjusted Book Value: Management believes that adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it excludes the fair value adjustments on investments, credit derivatives and CCS that are not expected to result in economic gain or loss.

Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is defined as shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of non-credit impairment-related unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount of unrealized fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses, and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

2)    Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s CCS. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt, and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

3)    Elimination of unrealized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore would not recognize an economic gain or loss.

4)     Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

Management uses adjusted book value, further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to measure the intrinsic value of the Company, excluding franchise value. Adjusted book value per share, further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core adjusted book value), is one of the key financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation elements to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors. Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues net of expected losses. Adjusted book value is adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

1)    Elimination of deferred acquisition costs, net. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued and will be expensed in future accounting periods.

2)    Addition of the net present value of estimated net future revenue. See below.

3)    Addition of the deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the present value of the expected future net earned premiums, net of the present value of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

4)     Elimination of the tax effects related to the above adjustments, which are determined by applying the statutory tax rate in each of the jurisdictions that generate these adjustments.

The unearned premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors.

62

Non-GAAP Financial Measures (continued)

Adjusted Operating Return on Equity (Adjusted Operating ROE): Adjusted Operating ROE represents adjusted operating income for a specified period divided by the average of adjusted operating shareholders’ equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that adjusted operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate the Company’s return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use adjusted operating ROE, adjusted for VIE consolidation, to evaluate AGL’s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the AGL common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date adjusted operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis. Adjusted operating ROE, adjusted for VIE consolidation, is one of the key management financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors.

Net Present Value of Estimated Net Future Revenue: Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the present value of estimated net future revenue for non-financial guaranty insurance contracts. This amount represents the net present value of estimated future revenue from these contracts (other than credit derivatives with net expected losses), net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes.

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than loss mitigation securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Net present value of estimated future revenue for an obligation may change from period to period due to a change in the discount rate or due to a change in estimated net future revenue for the obligation, which may change due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or Present Value of New Business Production: Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production in the Insurance segment by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as additional installment premiums and fees on existing contracts (which may result from supplements or fees or from the issuer not calling an insured obligation the Company projected would be called), regardless of form, which management believes GAAP gross written premiums and changes in fair value of credit derivatives do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums. 

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as loss mitigation securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Under GAAP, financial guaranty installment premiums are discounted at a risk-free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction.

Actual installment premiums may differ from those estimated in the Company’s PVP calculation due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. 

63

Assured Guaranty Ltd.    

30 Woodbourne Avenue

Hamilton HM 08

Bermuda

(441) 279-5705

www.assuredguaranty.com

Contacts:

Equity and Fixed Income Investors:

Robert Tucker

Senior Managing Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications

(212) 339-0861

rtucker@agltd.com

Michael Walker

Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations

(212) 261-5575

mwalker@agltd.com

Andre Thomas

Managing Director, Equity Investor Relations

(212) 339-3551

athomas@agltd.com

Media:

Ashweeta Durani

Vice President, Media Relations

(212) 408-6042

adurani@agltd.com

XML

Cover Page Cover Page	Nov. 07, 2022
Entity Information [Line Items]
Document Type	8-K
Document Period End Date	Nov. 07, 2022
Entity Registrant Name	ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
Entity Incorporation, State or Country Code	D0
Entity File Number	001-32141
Entity Tax Identification Number	98-0429991
Entity Address, Address Line One	30 Woodbourne Avenue
Entity Address, City or Town	Hamilton
Entity Address, Postal Zip Code	HM 08
Entity Address, Country	BM
City Area Code	441
Local Phone Number	279-5700
Written Communications	false
Soliciting Material	false
Pre-commencement Tender Offer	false
Pre-commencement Issuer Tender Offer	false
Entity Emerging Growth Company	false
Amendment Flag	false
Entity Central Index Key	0001273813
Common Shares | New York Stock Exchange
Entity Information [Line Items]
Title of 12(b) Security	Common Shares
Trading Symbol	AGO
Security Exchange Name	NYSE
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 5.000% Senior Notes due 2024 (and the related guarantee of Registrant) | New York Stock Exchange
Entity Information [Line Items]
Title of 12(b) Security	Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 5.000% Senior Notes due 2024 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)
Trading Symbol	AGO 24
Security Exchange Name	NYSE
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.150% Senior Notes due 2031 | New York Stock Exchange
Entity Information [Line Items]
Title of 12(b) Security	Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.150% Senior Notes due 2031 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)
Trading Symbol	AGO/31
Security Exchange Name	NYSE
Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.600% Senior Notes due 2051 | New York Stock Exchange
Entity Information [Line Items]
Title of 12(b) Security	Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.600% Senior Notes due 2051 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)
Trading Symbol	AGO/51
Security Exchange Name	NYSE