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Assumption of Insured Portfolio and Business Combinations
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2018
Business Combinations [Abstract]  
Assumption of Insured Portfolio and Business Combinations

Consistent with one of its key business strategies of supplementing its book of business through acquisitions of legacy financial guaranty companies or their portfolios, the Company has acquired two financial guaranty companies and completed one reinsurance transaction, since January 1, 2016, as described below.

Reinsurance of Syncora Guarantee Inc.’s Insured Portfolio

On June 1, 2018, the Company closed a reinsurance transaction (SGI Transaction) with Syncora Guarantee Inc. (SGI) under which AGC assumed, generally on a 100% quota share basis, substantially all of SGI’s insured portfolio and AGM reassumed a book of business previously ceded to SGI by AGM. As of June 1, 2018, the net par value of exposures reinsured and commuted totaled approximately $12 billion (including credit derivative net par of approximately $1.5 billion). The reinsured portfolio consists predominantly of public finance and infrastructure obligations that meet AGC’s underwriting criteria and generated $330 million of gross written premiums. On June 1, 2018, as consideration, SGI paid $363 million and assigned to Assured Guaranty financial guaranty future insurance installment premiums of $45 million, and future credit derivative installments of approximately $17 million. The assumed portfolio from SGI included below-investment-grade (BIG) contracts which had, as of June 1, 2018, expected losses to be paid of $131 million (present value basis using risk free rates), which will be expensed over the expected terms of those contracts as unearned premium reserve amortizes. In connection with the SGI Transaction, the Company incurred and expensed $4 million in fees to professional advisors.

The effect of the SGI Transaction on the insurance and credit derivative balances as of June 1, 2018 is summarized below:
 
 
Commutation
 
Assumption
 
Total
 
 
(in millions)
Cash
 
$
20

 
$
343

 
$
363

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Premiums receivable/payable, net of commissions
 
$
16

 
$
45

 
$
61

Unearned premium reserve, net
 
(56
)
 
(319
)
 
(375
)
Credit derivative liability, net
 

 
(68
)
 
(68
)
Other
 
2

 
(1
)
 
1

Impact to net assets (liabilities), excluding cash
 
$
(38
)
 
$
(343
)
 
$
(381
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commutation loss
 
$
18

 
$

 
$
18



Additionally, beginning on June 1, 2018, on behalf of SGI, AGC began providing certain administrative services on the assumed portfolio, including surveillance, risk management, and claims processing.

Business Combinations

Accounting Policies

The acquisitions were accounted for under the acquisition method of accounting which requires that the assets and liabilities acquired be recorded at fair value. The Company exercised significant judgment to determine the fair value of the assets it acquired and liabilities it assumed in each of the acquisitions. The most significant of these determinations related to the valuation of the acquired financial guaranty insurance contracts. On an aggregate basis, the acquired companies' contractual premiums for financial guaranty insurance contracts acquired were less than the premiums a market participant of similar credit quality would demand to acquire those contracts at the date of acquisition (particularly for BIG transactions) resulting in a significant amount of the purchase price being allocated to these contracts. For information on the methodology used to measure the fair value of assets acquired and liabilities assumed in the acquisitions, see Note 7, Fair Value Measurement.

The fair value of the Company's stand-ready obligation on the date of acquisition is recorded in unearned premium reserve. Thereafter, loss reserves and loss and loss adjustment expenses (LAE) are recorded in accordance with the Company's accounting policy for insurance or credit derivatives, depending on each contract's characteristics.

The excess of the fair value of net assets acquired over the consideration transferred was recorded, in each acquisition, as a bargain purchase gain in the statement of operations. In addition, the Company and each of the acquired companies had pre-existing reinsurance relationships, which were effectively settled at fair value on their respective acquisition dates. The gain or loss on settlement of these pre-existing reinsurance relationships represents the net difference between the historical assumed or ceded balances that were recorded by the Company and the fair value of ceded or assumed balances acquired and was also recorded in the statement of operations.

MBIA UK Insurance Limited

AGC completed its acquisition of MBIA UK Insurance Limited (MBIA UK) (the MBIA UK Acquisition), the U.K. operating subsidiary of MBIA Insurance Corporation (MBIA) on January 10, 2017 (the MBIA UK Acquisition Date). As consideration for the outstanding shares of MBIA UK plus $23 million in cash, AGC exchanged all its holdings of notes issued in the Zohar II 2005-1 transaction (Zohar II Notes), which were insured by MBIA. AGC’s Zohar II Notes had total outstanding principal of approximately $347 million and fair value of $334 million as of the MBIA UK Acquisition Date. The MBIA UK Acquisition added approximately $12 billion of net par insured on January 10, 2017.

MBIA UK was renamed Assured Guaranty (London) Ltd. and on June 1, 2017, was re-registered as a public limited company (plc). In a multi-step business combination completed on November 7, 2018, it ultimately transferred its insurance portfolio to and merged with and into AGE. See Note 1, Business and Basis of Presentation for additional information on the Combination of the Company's European subsidiaries, including AGLN.

The following table shows the net effect of the MBIA UK Acquisition on January 10, 2017, including the effects of the settlement of pre-existing relationships.

 
Fair Value of Net Assets Acquired, before Settlement of Pre-existing Relationships
 
Net effect of Settlement of Pre-existing Relationships
 
Net Effect of
MBIA UK Acquisition
 
(in millions)
Purchase price (1)
$
334

 
$

 
$
334

 
 
 
 
 
 
Identifiable assets acquired:
 
 
 
 
 
Investments
459

 

 
459

Cash
72

 

 
72

Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable
274

 
(4
)
 
270

Other assets
16

 
(6
)
 
10

Total assets
821

 
(10
)
 
811

 
 

 
 
 
 

Liabilities assumed:
 
 
 
 
 
Unearned premium reserves
389

 
(6
)
 
383

Current tax payable
25

 

 
25

Other liabilities
4

 
(5
)
 
(1
)
Total liabilities
418

 
(11
)
 
407

Net assets of MBIA UK
403

 
1

 
404

Cash acquired from MBIA Holdings
23

 

 
23

Deferred tax liability
(36
)
 

 
(36
)
Net asset effect of MBIA UK Acquisition
390

 
1

 
391

Bargain purchase gain and settlement of pre-existing relationships resulting from MBIA UK Acquisition, after-tax
56

 
1

 
57

Deferred tax

 
1

 
1

Bargain purchase gain and settlement of pre-existing relationships resulting from MBIA UK Acquisition, pre-tax
$
56

 
$
2

 
$
58

_____________________
(1)
The purchase price of $334 million was allocated as follows: (1) $329 million for the purchase of net assets of $385 million, and (2) the settlement of pre-existing relationships between MBIA UK and Assured Guaranty at a fair value of $5 million
    
The Company believes the bargain purchase gain resulted from MBIA's strategy to address its insurance obligations with regards to the Zohar II Notes, the issuers of which MBIA did not expect would have sufficient funds to repay such notes in full on the scheduled maturity date of such notes in January 2017.     

Revenue and net income (excluding the effects of subsequent tax reform) related to MBIA UK from the MBIA UK Acquisition Date through December 31, 2017 included in the consolidated statement of operations were approximately $192 million and $139 million, respectively, including the bargain purchase gain, settlement of pre-existing relationships, activity during the year and realized gain on the disposition of AGC's Zohar II Notes. For 2017, the Company recognized transaction expenses related to the MBIA UK Acquisition of $7 million, primarily related to legal and financial advisors fees.

Unaudited Pro Forma Results of Operations

The following unaudited pro forma information presents the combined results of operations of Assured Guaranty and MBIA UK as if the acquisition had been completed on January 1, 2016, as required under GAAP. The pro forma accounts include the estimated historical results of the Company and MBIA UK and pro forma adjustments related to the earning of the unearned premium reserve and expected losses that would be recognized in the statement of operations for each prior period presented, as well as the bargain purchase gain, settlement of pre-existing relationships, realized gain on the disposition of the Zohar II Notes and MBIA UK acquisition related expenses, all net of tax at the applicable statutory rate.

The unaudited pro forma combined financial information is presented for illustrative purposes only and does not indicate the financial results of the combined company had the companies actually been combined as of January 1, 2016, nor is it indicative of the results of operations in future periods. The Company did not include any pro forma combined financial information for 2017 as substantially all of MBIA UK's results of operations for 2017 are included in the year ended December 31, 2017 consolidated statements of operations.

Unaudited Pro Forma Results of Operations

 
 
Year Ended December 31, 2016
 
 
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Pro forma revenues
 
$
1,849

Pro forma net income
 
1,005

Pro forma earnings per share (EPS):
 
 
  Basic
 
7.55

  Diluted
 
7.49




CIFG Holding Inc.
    
On July 1, 2016, AGC acquired all of the issued and outstanding capital stock of CIFG Holding Inc. (CIFGH, and together with its subsidiaries, CIFG) (the CIFG Acquisition), the parent of financial guaranty insurer CIFG Assurance North America, Inc. (CIFGNA), for $450.6 million in cash. AGUS previously owned 1.6% of the outstanding shares of CIFGH, for which it received $7.1 million in consideration from AGC, resulting in a net consolidated purchase price of $443 million. AGC merged CIFGNA with and into AGC, with AGC as the surviving company, on July 5, 2016. The CIFG Acquisition added $4.2 billion of net par insured on July 1, 2016.

At the time of the CIFG Acquisition, CIFGNA had a subsidiary financial guaranty company domiciled in France, CIFGE, which had been put into run-off and surrendered its licenses. CIFGNA had reinsured all of CIFGE’s outstanding financial guaranty business and also had issued a “second-to-pay policy” pursuant to which CIFGNA guaranteed the full and complete payment of any shortfall in amounts due from CIFGE on its insured portfolio; AGC assumed these obligations as part of the CIFGNA merger with and into AGC. As part of the Combination completed on November 7, 2018, CIFGE transferred its insurance portfolio to and merged with and into AGE. See Note 1, Business and Basis of Presentation for additional information on the Combination.

    

The following table shows the net effect of the CIFG Acquisition on July 1, 2016, including the effects of the settlement of pre-existing relationships.

 
Fair Value of Net Assets Acquired, before Settlement of Pre-existing Relationships
 
Net effect of Settlement of Pre-existing Relationships
 
Net Effect of CIFG Acquisition
 
(in millions)
Cash Purchase Price (1)
$
443

 
$

 
$
443

 
 
 
 
 
 
Identifiable assets acquired:
 
 
 
 
 
Investments
770

 

 
770

Cash
8

 

 
8

Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable
18

 

 
18

Ceded unearned premium reserve
173

 
(173
)
 

Deferred acquisition costs
1

 
(1
)
 

Salvage and subrogation recoverable
23

 

 
23

Credit derivative assets
1

 

 
1

Deferred tax asset, net
194

 
34

 
228

Other assets
4

 

 
4

Total assets
1,192

 
(140
)
 
1,052

 
 

 
 
 
 
Liabilities assumed:
 
 
 
 
 
Unearned premium reserves
306

 
(10
)
 
296

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve
1

 
(66
)
 
(65
)
Credit derivative liabilities
68

 

 
68

Other liabilities
17

 

 
17

Total liabilities
392

 
(76
)
 
316

Net asset effect of CIFG Acquisition
800

 
(64
)
 
736

Bargain purchase gain and settlement of pre-existing relationships resulting from CIFG Acquisition, after-tax
357

 
(64
)
 
293

Deferred tax

 
(34
)
 
(34
)
Bargain purchase gain and settlement of pre-existing relationships resulting from CIFG Acquisition, pre-tax
$
357

 
$
(98
)
 
$
259

_____________________
(1)
The cash purchase price of $443 million represents the cash transferred for the acquisition which was allocated as follows: (1) $270 million for the purchase of net assets of $627 million, and (2) the settlement of pre-existing relationships between CIFGH and Assured Guaranty at a fair value of $173 million.

The bargain purchase gain reflects the fair value of CIFG’s assets and liabilities, as well as tax attributes that were recorded in deferred taxes related to net operating losses (NOL) (after Internal Revenue Code change in control provisions) and other temporary book-to-tax differences for which CIFG had recorded a full valuation allowance. The Company believes the bargain purchase gain resulted from the nature of the financial guaranty business and the desire of investors in CIFG to monetize their investments in CIFG.

Revenue and net income related to CIFG from the CIFG Acquisition Date through December 31, 2016 included in the consolidated statement of operations were approximately $307 million and $323 million, respectively. For 2016, the Company recognized transaction expenses related to the CIFG Acquisition of $6 million, primarily consisting of legal and financial advisors fees.

The Company has determined that the presentation of pro forma information is impractical for the CIFG Acquisition as historical financial records are not available on a U.S. GAAP basis.