EX-99.2 3 a08-19772_1ex99d2.htm EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

 

 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Preliminary Second Quarter 2008 Financial Supplement

June 30, 2008

 

Table of Contents

 

Page

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

 

 

Financial Guaranty Profile

 

1-2

Pooled Corporate Profile

 

3

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile

 

4-7

Credit Derivative Exposures Profile

 

8

CDOs of ABS Profile

 

9

Non-Investment Grade Exposures

 

10

Closely Monitored Credits

 

11

Largest Exposures by Sector

 

12-15

Glossary

 

 

 

This supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (“Assured” or the “Company”) with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our 10-Q’s dated March 31, 2007, June 30, 2007, September 30, 2007 and March 31, 2008 and our 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007.

 

Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to rounding.

 

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:

 

Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements.  For example, the Company’s forward-looking statements, including its calculations of adjusted book value, present value of insurance and credit derivative gross written premiums (“PVP”), net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force, total estimated net future premium earnings, and statements regarding losses, pricing, ratings, capital adequacy and the growth of the direct business could be affected by many events.  These events include a significant reduction in the amount of reinsurance ceded by one or more of our principal ceding companies, rating agency action such as a ratings downgrade, difficulties with the execution of the Company’s business strategy, contract cancellations, developments or volatility in the world’s financial and capital markets, more severe or frequent losses associated with products affecting the adequacy of the Company’s loss reserves, changes in regulation or tax laws, governmental actions, natural catastrophes, the Company’s dependence on customers, decreased demand or increased competition, loss of key personnel, technological developments, the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures, changes in accounting policies or practices, changes in general economic conditions, other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time, management’s response to these factors, and other risk factors identified in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.  Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made.  The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

 



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 2)

As of June 30, 2008

(dollars in millions)

 

Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 

 

 

Financial Guaranty
Direct

 

Financial Guaranty
Reinsurance

 

Consolidated

 

Sector:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Avg.
Rating (1)

 

U.S. public finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

General obligation

 

$

5,954

 

A+

 

$

19,299

 

A+

 

$

25,253

 

A+

 

Tax backed

 

7,488

 

A

 

16,939

 

A+

 

24,427

 

A+

 

Municipal utilities

 

3,967

 

A

 

11,419

 

A

 

15,386

 

A

 

Healthcare

 

4,870

 

A

 

8,339

 

A+

 

13,209

 

A

 

Transportation

 

2,859

 

A

 

9,293

 

A

 

12,152

 

A

 

Higher education

 

1,793

 

A-

 

3,064

 

A+

 

4,857

 

A+

 

Investor-owned utilities

 

119

 

A

 

2,247

 

BBB+

 

2,365

 

BBB+

 

Housing

 

 

 

2,064

 

A+

 

2,064

 

A+

 

Other public finance

 

554

 

A

 

3,337

 

A+

 

3,891

 

A+

 

Total U.S. public finance

 

$

27,602

 

A

 

$

76,003

 

A+

 

$

103,605

 

A+

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. structured finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

$

34,147

 

AAA

 

$

1,376

 

AA+

 

$

35,523

 

AAA

 

Prime mortgage-backed and home equity

 

11,548

 

AA-

 

1,210

 

BBB-

 

12,758

 

AA-

 

Consumer receivables

 

4,732

 

AA+

 

2,654

 

A

 

7,386

 

AA

 

Subprime mortgage-backed and home equity

 

6,690

 

AA+

 

302

 

BBB+

 

6,992

 

AA+

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

5,709

 

AAA

 

224

 

A-

 

5,934

 

AAA

 

Commercial receivables

 

2,334

 

AA

 

3,142

 

A-

 

5,476

 

A+

 

Structured credit

 

1,660

 

A-

 

423

 

BBB

 

2,083

 

BBB+

 

Insurance securitizations

 

947

 

AA-

 

354

 

AA

 

1,301

 

AA-

 

Other structured finance

 

49

 

AA

 

453

 

A-

 

502

 

A

 

Total U.S. structured finance

 

$

67,816

 

AA+

 

$

10,139

 

A

 

$

77,955

 

AA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Infrastructure and pooled infrastructure

 

$

7,150

 

AA+

 

$

4,445

 

BBB+

 

$

11,596

 

AA-

 

Mortgage-backed and home equity

 

9,854

 

AAA

 

275

 

AA

 

10,130

 

AAA

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

8,661

 

AAA

 

1,020

 

AAA

 

9,681

 

AAA

 

Regulated utilities

 

4,401

 

A

 

4,358

 

BBB+

 

8,759

 

A-

 

Commercial receivables

 

1,001

 

A-

 

907

 

A-

 

1,908

 

A-

 

Public finance

 

839

 

AA

 

1,018

 

A

 

1,857

 

A+

 

Future flow

 

943

 

BBB

 

373

 

A-

 

1,316

 

BBB+

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

644

 

AAA

 

390

 

A-

 

1,034

 

AA

 

Insurance securitizations

 

923

 

BB

 

82

 

A

 

1,005

 

BB

 

Structured credit

 

 

 

600

 

A-

 

600

 

A-

 

Consumer receivables

 

 

 

99

 

AAA

 

99

 

AAA

 

Other international structured finance

 

741

 

AAA

 

117

 

BBB+

 

858

 

AA+

 

Total international

 

$

35,158

 

AA

 

$

13,684

 

A-

 

$

48,841

 

AA-

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total net par outstanding

 

$

130,576

 

AA

 

$

99,826

 

A

 

$

230,402

 

AA-

 

 


1. Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

 

1



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 2)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 

 

 

As of June 30, 2008

 

 

 

Financial Guaranty
Direct

 

Financial Guaranty
Reinsurance

 

Consolidated

 

Ratings (1):

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Super senior

 

$

44,493

 

34.1

%

$

29

 

0.0

%

$

44,522

 

19.3

%

AAA

 

34,986

 

26.8

%

5,354

 

5.4

%

40,340

 

17.5

%

AA

 

14,167

 

10.8

%

33,117

 

33.2

%

47,285

 

20.5

%

A

 

22,978

 

17.6

%

40,192

 

40.3

%

63,170

 

27.4

%

BBB

 

11,256

 

8.6

%

19,770

 

19.8

%

31,026

 

13.5

%

Below investment grade

 

2,697

 

2.1

%

1,363

 

1.4

%

4,060

 

1.8

%

Total exposures

 

$

130,576

 

100.0

%

$

99,826

 

100.0

%

$

230,402

 

100.0

%

 

 

 

As of December 31, 2007

 

 

 

Financial Guaranty
Direct

 

Financial Guaranty
Reinsurance

 

Consolidated

 

Ratings (1):

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Super senior

 

$

36,359

 

35.3

%

$

 

 

$

36,359

 

18.2

%

AAA

 

41,716

 

40.5

%

5,617

 

5.8

%

47,333

 

23.6

%

AA

 

5,576

 

5.4

%

32,858

 

33.8

%

38,434

 

19.2

%

A

 

9,873

 

9.6

%

39,304

 

40.4

%

49,177

 

24.6

%

BBB

 

7,970

 

7.7

%

18,892

 

19.4

%

26,862

 

13.4

%

Below investment grade

 

1,526

 

1.5

%

588

 

0.6

%

2,114

 

1.1

%

Total exposures

 

$

103,021

 

100.0

%

$

97,258

 

100.0

%

$

200,279

 

100.0

%

 

 

 

As of June 30, 2008

 

 

 

U.S. Public
Finance

 

U.S. Structured
Finance

 

International

 

Consolidated

 

Ratings (1):

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Super senior

 

$

 

 

$

28,997

 

37.2

%

$

15,524

 

31.8

%

$

44,522

 

19.3

%

AAA

 

1,618

 

1.6

%

26,947

 

34.6

%

11,774

 

24.1

%

40,340

 

17.5

%

AA

 

37,091

 

35.8

%

6,912

 

8.9

%

3,282

 

6.7

%

47,285

 

20.5

%

A

 

50,436

 

48.7

%

6,149

 

7.9

%

6,584

 

13.5

%

63,170

 

27.4

%

BBB

 

13,679

 

13.2

%

6,681

 

8.6

%

10,666

 

21.8

%

31,026

 

13.5

%

Below investment grade

 

780

 

0.8

%

2,268

 

2.9

%

1,011

 

2.1

%

4,060

 

1.8

%

Total exposures

 

$

103,605

 

100.0

%

$

77,955

 

100.0

%

$

48,841

 

100.0

%

$

230,402

 

100.0

%

 

 

 

As of December 31, 2007

 

 

 

U.S. Public
Finance

 

U.S. Structured
Finance

 

International

 

Consolidated

 

Ratings (1):

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Super senior

 

$

 

 

$

22,098

 

29.9

%

$

14,261

 

32.0

%

$

36,359

 

18.2

%

AAA

 

1,777

 

2.2

%

34,370

 

46.6

%

11,185

 

25.1

%

47,333

 

23.6

%

AA

 

31,750

 

38.8

%

4,676

 

6.3

%

2,008

 

4.5

%

38,434

 

19.2

%

A

 

37,604

 

45.9

%

5,302

 

7.2

%

6,271

 

14.1

%

49,177

 

24.6

%

BBB

 

10,608

 

13.0

%

5,479

 

7.4

%

10,776

 

24.2

%

26,862

 

13.4

%

Below investment grade

 

174

 

0.2

%

1,894

 

2.6

%

45

 

0.1

%

2,114

 

1.1

%

Total exposures

 

$

81,914

 

100.0

%

$

73,820

 

100.0

%

$

44,546

 

100.0

%

$

200,279

 

100.0

%

 


1. Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

2



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Pooled Corporate Profile

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution by Ratings of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations as of June 30, 2008

 

Ratings (1):

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Avg. Initial Credit
Enhancement (2)

 

Avg. Current
Enhancement (2)

 

AAA

 

$

38,012

 

88.8

%

37.7

%

36.2

%

AA

 

3,907

 

9.1

%

34.4

%

32.2

%

A

 

635

 

1.5

%

46.5

%

41.1

%

BBB

 

253

 

0.6

%

48.2

%

39.7

%

Below investment grade

 

 

 

 

 

Total exposures

 

$

42,808

 

100.0

%

37.6

%

36.0

%

 

Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Year Insured as of June 30, 2008

 

Year insured:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Avg. Initial Credit
Enhancement (2)

 

Avg. Current
Enhancement (2)

 

2004 and prior

 

$

2,069

 

4.8

%

33.9

%

33.9

%

2005

 

7,499

 

17.5

%

36.9

%

34.7

%

2006

 

13,213

 

30.9

%

37.7

%

35.0

%

2007

 

16,765

 

39.2

%

38.3

%

37.2

%

2008 YTD

 

3,262

 

7.6

%

37.5

%

37.6

%

 

 

$

42,808

 

100.0

%

37.6

%

36.0

%

 

Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of June 30, 2008

 

Asset class:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Average Rating (1)

 

Avg. Initial Credit
Enhancement (2)

 

Avg. Current
Enhancement (2)

 

High yield corporates

 

$

27,314

 

63.8

%

AAA

 

35.4

%

33.6

%

Trust preferred - banks and insurance

 

3,907

 

9.1

%

AAA

 

47.2

%

45.9

%

Trust preferred - US mortgage and REITs

 

2,571

 

6.0

%

AA

 

50.0

%

45.7

%

Trust preferred - European mortgage and REITs

 

1,309

 

3.1

%

AAA

 

36.6

%

36.8

%

Market value CDOs of corporates

 

4,245

 

9.9

%

AAA

 

38.6

%

36.8

%

Investment grade corporates

 

2,337

 

5.5

%

AAA

 

28.7

%

29.6

%

Commercial real estate

 

755

 

1.8

%

AAA

 

49.0

%

48.9

%

CDO of CDOs (corporate)

 

370

 

0.9

%

AAA

 

34.6

%

35.3

%

 

 

$

42,808

 

100.0

%

AAA

 

37.6

%

36.0

%

 


1. Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

 

2.”Average Credit Enhancement” is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinate tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured’s exposure, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the numbers shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

 

3



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile (1 of 4)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution by Ratings(1) of Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Category as of June 30, 2008

 

 

 

June 30, 2008

 

 

 

US

 

International

 

Total Net Par

 

 

 

Ratings (1):

 

Prime

 

Subprime

 

Prime

 

Subprime

 

Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

Super senior

 

$

5,554

 

$

3,370

 

$

2,826

 

$

 

$

11,750

 

39.3

%

AAA

 

2,499

 

2,372

 

7,009

 

15

 

11,895

 

39.8

%

AA

 

366

 

581

 

154

 

2

 

1,103

 

3.7

%

A

 

1,338

 

203

 

110

 

 

1,651

 

5.5

%

BBB

 

978

 

276

 

14

 

 

1,267

 

4.2

%

Below investment grade

 

2,023

 

190

 

 

 

2,213

 

7.4

%

Total exposures

 

$

12,758

 

$

6,992

 

$

10,113

 

$

17

 

$

29,879

 

100.0

%

 

Distribution of Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Category and by Year Insured as of June 30, 2008

 

 

 

US

 

International

 

Total Net Par

 

 

 

Year insured:

 

Prime

 

Subprime

 

Prime

 

Subprime

 

Outstanding

 

% of Total

 

2004 and prior

 

$

616

 

$

648

 

$

463

 

$

14

 

1,741

 

5.8

%

2005

 

1,543

 

101

 

1,245

 

0

 

2,889

 

9.7

%

2006

 

699

 

4,558

 

2,383

 

 

7,639

 

25.6

%

2007

 

7,129

 

1,649

 

2,830

 

2

 

11,610

 

38.9

%

2008 YTD

 

2,771

 

37

 

3,192

 

 

6,000

 

20.1

%

 

 

$

12,758

 

$

6,992

 

$

10,113

 

$

17

 

$

29,879

 

100.0

%

 

Distribution of U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Rating(1) as of June 30, 2008

 

 

 

Direct

 

 

 

Reinsurance

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Ratings (1):

 

Outstanding

 

%

 

Outstanding

 

%

 

Outstanding

 

%

 

Super senior

 

$

8,915

 

48.9

%

$

9

 

0.6

%

$

8,924

 

45.2

%

AAA

 

4,508

 

24.7

%

363

 

24.0

%

4,871

 

24.7

%

AA

 

844

 

4.6

%

103

 

6.8

%

947

 

4.8

%

A

 

1,371

 

7.5

%

170

 

11.3

%

1,541

 

7.8

%

BBB

 

915

 

5.0

%

338

 

22.4

%

1,254

 

6.3

%

Below investment grade

 

1,685

 

9.2

%

528

 

34.9

%

2,213

 

11.2

%

 

 

$

18,238

 

100.0

%

$

1,512

 

100.0

%

$

19,750

 

100.0

%

 


1. Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

4



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile (2 of 4)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Rating(1) as of June 30, 2008

 

Ratings (1):

 

Prime First
Lien

 

Prime Closed
End Seconds

 

Prime HELOC

 

Alt-A First Lien

 

Subprime First
Lien

 

Total Net Par
Outstanding

 

Super senior

 

$

696

 

$

48

 

$

 

$

4,809

 

$

3,370

 

$

8,924

 

AAA

 

494

 

67

 

17

 

1,922

 

2,372

 

4,871

 

AA

 

92

 

258

 

14

 

2

 

581

 

947

 

A

 

145

 

 

15

 

1,178

 

203

 

1,541

 

BBB

 

738

 

6

 

210

 

23

 

276

 

1,254

 

Below investment grade

 

0

 

105

 

1,818

 

99

 

190

 

2,213

 

Total exposures

 

$

2,164

 

$

485

 

$

2,075

 

$

8,034

 

$

6,992

 

$

19,750

 

 

Distribution of Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Year Issued as of June 30, 2008

 

Year issued:

 

Prime First
Lien

 

Prime Closed
End Seconds

 

Prime HELOC

 

Alt-A First Lien

 

Subprime First
Lien

 

Total Net Par
Outstanding

 

2004 and prior

 

$

303

 

$

 

$

214

 

$

158

 

$

638

 

$

1,313

 

2005

 

226

 

 

837

 

557

 

3,747

 

5,367

 

2006

 

498

 

6

 

204

 

634

 

1,921

 

3,263

 

2007

 

1,137

 

478

 

820

 

6,685

 

667

 

9,788

 

2008 YTD

 

 

 

 

 

19

 

19

 

 

 

$

2,164

 

$

485

 

$

2,075

 

$

8,034

 

$

6,992

 

$

19,750

 

 


1. Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

5



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile (3 of 4)

(dollars in millions)

 

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Net Par Outstanding Underwritten Since January 1, 2004 by Rating(1) and Year of Issue as of June 30, 2008

 

Year

 

Super

 

AAA

 

AA

 

A

 

BBB

 

BIG

 

 

 

Issued

 

Senior

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Rated

 

Total

 

2004 and prior

 

$

17

 

$

436

 

$

6

 

$

 

$

178

 

$

54

 

$

691

 

2005

 

2,082

 

2,213

 

180

 

 

 

706

 

5,181

 

2006

 

1,387

 

404

 

400

 

150

 

444

 

118

 

2,903

 

2007

 

5,429

 

1,455

 

257

 

1,221

 

293

 

807

 

9,462

 

2008 YTD

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

8,915

 

$

4,508

 

$

844

 

$

1,371

 

$

915

 

$

1,685

 

$

18,238

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of total

 

48.9

%

24.7

%

4.6

%

7.5

%

5.0

%

9.2

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Rating(1) as of June 30, 2008

 

Ratings (1):

 

Prime First
Lien

 

Prime Closed
End Seconds

 

Prime HELOC

 

Alt-A First
Lien

 

Subprime First
Lien

 

Total Net Par
Outstanding

 

Super senior

 

$

696

 

$

48

 

$

 

$

4,800

 

$

3,370

 

$

8,915

 

AAA

 

338

 

64

 

 

1,873

 

2,233

 

4,508

 

AA

 

 

257

 

6

 

 

580

 

844

 

A

 

 

 

 

1,177

 

194

 

1,371

 

BBB

 

662

 

 

19

 

 

234

 

915

 

Below investment grade

 

 

97

 

1,416

 

93

 

79

 

1,685

 

Total exposures

 

$

1,697

 

$

466

 

$

1,441

 

$

7,944

 

$

6,690

 

$

18,238

 

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Rating(1) as of June 30, 2008

 

Ratings (1):

 

Prime First
Lien

 

Prime Closed
End Seconds

 

Prime HELOC

 

Alt-A First
Lien

 

Subprime First
 Lien

 

Super senior

 

41.0

%

10.3

%

 

60.4

%

50.4

%

AAA

 

19.9

%

13.6

%

 

23.6

%

33.4

%

AA

 

 

55.2

%

0.4

%

 

8.7

%

A

 

 

 

 

14.8

%

2.9

%

BBB

 

39.0

%

 

1.3

%

 

3.5

%

Below investment grade

 

 

20.8

%

98.2

%

1.2

%

1.2

%

Total exposures

 

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Year Insured as of June 30, 2008

 

Year insured:

 

Prime First
Lien

 

Prime Closed
End Seconds

 

Prime HELOC

 

Alt-A First
Lien

 

Subprime First
Lien

 

Total Net Par
Outstanding

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

 

$

25

 

$

133

 

$

516

 

$

675

 

2005

 

194

 

 

706

 

439

 

88

 

1,428

 

2006

 

369

 

 

 

54

 

4,535

 

4,958

 

2007

 

1,134

 

466

 

710

 

4,547

 

1,550

 

8,406

 

2008 YTD

 

 

 

 

2,771

 

 

2,771

 

 

 

$

1,697

 

$

466

 

$

1,441

 

$

7,944

 

$

6,690

 

$

18,238

 

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Year Issued as of June 30, 2008

 

Year issued:

 

Prime First
Lien

 

Prime Closed
End Seconds

 

Prime HELOC

 

Alt-A First
Lien

 

Subprime First
Lien

 

Total Net Par
Outstanding

 

2004 and prior

 

$

 

$

 

$

25

 

$

150

 

$

516

 

$

691

 

2005

 

194

 

 

706

 

557

 

3,723

 

5,181

 

2006

 

369

 

 

 

634

 

1,900

 

2,903

 

2007

 

1,134

 

466

 

710

 

6,603

 

550

 

9,462

 

2008 YTD

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

1,697

 

$

466

 

$

1,441

 

$

7,944

 

$

6,690

 

$

18,238

 

 


1. Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

6



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile (4 of 4)

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquincies as of June 30, 2008 (1)

 

U.S. Prime First Lien

 

Year issued:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

2005

 

$

194

 

77.8

%

3.3

%

0.03

%

1.4

%

2006

 

369

 

73.2

%

4.2

%

0.0

%

2.9

%

2007

 

1,134

 

91.2

%

9.2

%

0.0

%

1.7

%

2008

 

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

 

 

$

1,697

 

85.8

%

7.5

%

0.004

%

1.9

%

 

U.S. Prime CES

 

Year issued:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

2005

 

$

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

2006

 

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

2007

 

466

 

82.9

%

32.9

%

10.6

%

12.8

%

2008

 

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

 

 

$

466

 

82.9

%

32.9

%

10.6

%

12.8

%

 

U.S. Prime HELOC

 

Year issued:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

2005

 

$

706

 

39.1

%

0.6

%

6.3

%

12.9

%

2006

 

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

2007

 

710

 

79.7

%

0.0

%

6.2

%

8.2

%

2008

 

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

 

 

$

1,416

 

59.4

%

0.3

%

6.2

%

10.5

%

 

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

 

Year issued:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

2005

 

$

557

 

57.6

%

13.4

%

0.3

%

8.2

%

2006

 

634

 

75.1

%

31.6

%

0.4

%

18.6

%

2007

 

6,603

 

83.5

%

20.5

%

0.2

%

11.1

%

2008

 

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

 

 

$

7,794

 

81.0

%

20.9

%

0.2

%

11.5

%

 

U.S. Subprime First Lien

 

Year issued:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative
Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

2005

 

$

3,723

 

39.3

%

59.9

%

3.2

%

40.9

%

2006

 

1,900

 

57.4

%

41.3

%

3.8

%

39.0

%

2007

 

550

 

63.1

%

41.5

%

4.0

%

40.0

%

2008

 

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

 

 

$

6,174

 

47.0

%

52.5

%

3.4

%

40.2

%

 

U.S. CMBS

 

Year issued:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Pool Factor(2)

 

Subordination (3)

 

Cumulative Losses (4)

 

60+ Day
Delinquencies (5)

 

2005

 

$

3,429

 

97.2

%

28.8

%

0.0

%

0.1

%

2006

 

1,418

 

98.6

%

30.5

%

0.0

%

0.1

%

2007

 

554

 

92.9

%

19.2

%

0.0

%

0.9

%

2008

 

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

N/A

 

 

 

$

5,401

 

97.2

%

28.3

%

0.0

%

0.1

%

 


1.  For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2008.  Pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency data is based on June 2008 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

 

2. Pool factor is the percentage of net par outstanding divided by the original net par outstanding of the transactions at inception.

 

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

 

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

 

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and also includes all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

 

7



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Credit Derivative Exposure Profile

(dollars in millions)

 

Financial Guaranty Direct Distribution of Credit Derivative Exposure by Rating

 

 

 

June 30, 2008

 

December 31, 2007

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Ratings (1):

 

Outstanding

 

%

 

Outstanding

 

%

 

Super senior

 

$

40,880

 

53.0

%

$

34,328

 

49.1

%

AAA

 

29,144

 

37.8

%

33,318

 

47.6

%

AA

 

4,567

 

5.9

%

1,796

 

2.6

%

A

 

1,732

 

2.2

%

101

 

0.1

%

BBB

 

765

 

1.0

%

368

 

0.5

%

Below investment grade

 

100

 

0.1

%

26

 

 

Total exposures

 

$

77,186

 

100.0

%

$

69,936

 

100.0

%

 

Financial Guaranty Direct Distribution of Credit Derivative Exposure by Sector and Average Rating

 

 

 

June 30, 2008

 

December 31, 2007

 

Sector:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Average
Rating (1)

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Average
Rating (1)

 

U.S. public finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

General obligation

 

$

429

 

AAA

 

$

431

 

AAA

 

Tax backed

 

69

 

BBB+

 

70

 

AAA

 

Investor-owned utilities

 

39

 

AAA

 

39

 

AAA

 

Municipal utilities

 

26

 

AAA

 

26

 

AAA

 

Total U.S. public finance

 

$

562

 

AA+

 

$

565

 

AAA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. structured finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

$

29,396

 

AAA

 

$

28,229

 

AAA

 

Prime mortgage-backed and home equity

 

7,412

 

AAA

 

4,901

 

AAA

 

Subprime mortgage-backed and home equity

 

5,759

 

AA+

 

5,843

 

AAA

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

5,381

 

AAA

 

5,391

 

AAA

 

Commercial receivables

 

1,625

 

AA+

 

1,584

 

AAA

 

Consumer receivables

 

645

 

AAA

 

695

 

AA+

 

Structured credit

 

352

 

AA+

 

346

 

AAA

 

Insurance securitizations

 

100

 

AA

 

108

 

AAA

 

Other structured finance

 

49

 

AA

 

643

 

AAA

 

Total U.S. structured finance

 

$

50,719

 

AAA

 

$

47,740

 

AAA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mortgage-backed and home equity

 

$

9,086

 

AAA

 

$

6,032

 

AAA

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

8,056

 

AAA

 

6,984

 

AAA

 

Infrastructure and pooled Infrastructure

 

6,390

 

AAA

 

6,404

 

AAA

 

Regulated utilities

 

786

 

AA-

 

462

 

AAA

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

644

 

AAA

 

832

 

AAA

 

Future flow

 

153

 

A-

 

173

 

A+

 

Insurance securitizations

 

41

 

BB

 

41

 

BBB-

 

Public finance

 

8

 

AAA

 

9

 

AAA

 

Commercial receivables

 

 

 

 

 

Consumer receivables

 

 

 

 

 

Structured credit

 

 

 

 

 

Other international structured finance

 

741

 

AAA

 

695

 

AAA

 

Total international

 

$

25,905

 

AAA

 

$

21,631

 

AAA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total exposures

 

$

77,186

 

AAA

 

$

69,936

 

AAA

 

 


(1) Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

 

8



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

CDOs of ABS Profile

(dollars in millions)

 

Financial Guaranty Direct Collateralized Debt Obligations of Asset-Backed Securities (CDOs of ABS)(1) Net Par Outstanding by Type of CDO, by Year Insured and by Collateral:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Type of Collateral as a Percent of Total Pool

 

Ratings as of
June 30, 2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year
Insured

 

Legal
Final
Maturity(2)

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

ABS

 

RMBS
(Includes
Subprime)

 

Comm.
MBS
(CMBS)(3)

 

CDOs of
Investment
Grade
Corporate

 

CDOs of
ABS

 

Total
Collateral
Pool

 

U.S.
Subprime
RMBS

 

S&P

 

Moody’s

 

Original AAA
Sub-
ordination

 

Original Sub-
ordination
Below
Assured

 

Current Sub-
ordination
Below
Assured

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CDOs of Mezzanine ABS(3):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2001

 

2017

 

$

113.6

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

25.1

%

25.1

%

30.3

%

2001

 

2016

 

59.8

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

28.1

%

28.1

%

40.1

%

2002

 

2017

 

124.9

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

24.6

%

24.6

%

34.9

%

2002

 

2017

 

107.1

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

22.1

%

22.1

%

28.6

%

2002

 

2017

 

88.7

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

35.0

%

35.0

%

48.0

%

2002

 

2017

 

71.2

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

24.0

%

24.0

%

32.2

%

2003

 

2018

 

124.1

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

20.0

%

20.0

%

25.1

%

2003

 

2038

 

75.7

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

23.0

%

38.0

%

47.6

%

2003

 

2018

 

49.9

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

63.0

%

63.0

%

66.3

%

 

 

Subtotal:

 

$

815.0

 

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

27.2

%

28.6

%

36.6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CDOs of High Grade ABS(4):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

No CDO of ABS business written

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CDOs of Pooled AAA ABS(5):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

2010

 

741.1

 

35

%

34

%

26

%

5

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

0.0

%

12.5

%

12.5

%

 

 

Subtotal:

 

$

741.1

 

35

%

34

%

26

%

5

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

0.0

%

12.5

%

12.5

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total:

 

$

1,556.0

 

17

%

16

%

65

%

2

%

0

%

100

%

0

%

AAA

 

Aaa

 

14.2

%

20.9

%

25.1

%


(1) A “CDO of ABS” is a collateralized debt obligation (CDO) transaction whose collateral pool consists primarily of asset-backed securities (ABS), including mortgage-backed securities (MBS).  ABS transactions securities generally represent an ownership interest in a trust that contains collateral supporting the notes.  Those interests are divided into several tranches that can have varying levels of subordination, credit protection triggers and credit ratings. 

(2) “Legal Final Maturity” represents the final date for payment specified in the transaction documents and does not take into account prepayments that shorten the expected maturity and weighted average life.

(3) “CDOs of Mezzanine ABS” is a market term that refers to transactions where the underlying collateral at issuance is comprised primarily of mezzanine tranches rated BBB or lower.  The collateral underlying Assured’s exposure to CDOs of Mezzanine ABS is comprised of mezzanine tranches of CMBS transactions and senior unsecured debt issued by commercial property REITs.  The transactions to which Assured has exposure are static pools rather than actively managed transactions, and the collateral in these static pools was originated primarily in the period from 1997-2003. The collateral underlying Assured’s exposure to CDOs of Mezzanine ABS had weighted average ratings, based on rating information as of June 30, 2008, as follows: 18% AAA, 7% AA, 12% A, 45% BBB and 18% below investment grade (BIG).

(4) “CDOs of High Grade ABS” is a market term that refers to transactions where the underlying collateral at issuance is comprised of mezzanine tranches rated single-A or higher.

(5) “CDOs of Pooled AAA ABS” is a market term that refers to transactions where the underlying collateral at issuance is comprised of the senior-most AAA rated securities.  Assured’s exposure to CDOs of Pooled AAA ABS was rated, based on rating information as of June 30, 2008: 100% AAA.

 

9



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Non-Investment Grade Exposures

As of June 30, 2008

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

 

Weighted Average

 

Net Par

 

Average

 

Non-Investment Grade Exposures by Asset Type:

 

Remaining Life

 

Outstanding

 

Rating (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. public finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Municipal utilities

 

27.0

 

$

571

 

CCC

 

Healthcare

 

16.2

 

112

 

BB-

 

Tax backed

 

16.0

 

43

 

BB

 

General obligation

 

9.1

 

25

 

BB

 

Transportation

 

15.3

 

24

 

C

 

Housing

 

13.9

 

4

 

B

 

Higher education

 

12.4

 

1

 

BB+

 

Investor-owned utilities

 

9.0

 

0

 

BB

 

Total U.S. public finance

 

23.8

 

$

780

 

CCC+

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. structured finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Prime mortgage-backed and home equity

 

7.0

 

$

2,023

 

B

 

Subprime mortgage-backed and home equity

 

10.1

 

190

 

B

 

Commercial receivables

 

12.5

 

20

 

B

 

Pooled corporate obligations

 

2.6

 

18

 

B-

 

Other structured finance

 

16.5

 

17

 

B

 

Total U.S. structured finance

 

7.3

 

$

2,268

 

B

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Insurance securitizations

 

12.3

 

$

923

 

BB

 

Infrastructure and pooled infrastructure

 

10.1

 

88

 

B

 

Total international

 

12.1

 

$

1,011

 

BB

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total non-investment grade exposures

 

11.7

 

4,060

 

B

 

 

Top Ten Non-Investment Grade Exposures as of June 30, 2008

 

Name or Description

 

Segment

 

Weighted Average
Remaining Life

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Average
Rating (1)

 

CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

 

Direct

 

6.4

 

$

679

 

BB

 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J Class 1 & 2

 

Direct

 

5.4

 

608

 

B

 

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

 

Reinsurance

 

27.3

 

560

 

CCC

 

Ballantyne Re PLC Class A-2 Floating Rate Notes

 

Direct

 

13.8

 

500

 

BB

 

Orkney Re II, PLC

 

Direct

 

10.6

 

423

 

BB

 

SACO I Trust 2005-GP1

 

Direct

 

2.8

 

98

 

CCC

 

American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2007-3

 

Direct

 

2.8

 

97

 

CCC

 

Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-5AR

 

Direct

 

5.1

 

93

 

BB

 

Trover Clinic Foundation

 

Direct

 

18.9

 

77

 

BB

 

Domestic Residential Mortgage-backed HELOC transaction

 

Reinsurance

 

6.0

 

73

 

CCC

 

Total

 

 

 

11.6

 

$

3,209

 

B+

 

 


(1). Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

 

10



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Closely Monitored Credits (“CMC”)

(dollars in millions)

 

 

Net Par Outstanding by Credit Monitoring Category (1)

 

 

 

June 30, 2008

 

Description:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Number of Credits
in Category

 

Fundamentally sound risk

 

$

226,254

 

98.2

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Closely monitored credits:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Category 1

 

1,460

 

0.6

%

32

 

Category 2

 

1,972

 

0.9

%

18

 

Category 3

 

661

 

0.3

%

41

 

Category 4

 

20

 

 

16

 

CMC Total

 

4,114

 

1.8

%

107

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other below investment grade risk

 

34

 

 

52

 

Total

 

$

230,402

 

100.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

December 31, 2007

 

Description:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

Number of Credits
in Category

 

Fundamentally sound risk

 

$

198,133

 

98.9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Closely monitored credits:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Category 1

 

1,288

 

0.6

%

36

 

Category 2

 

743

 

0.4

%

12

 

Category 3

 

71

 

 

16

 

Category 4

 

24

 

 

16

 

CMC Total

 

2,126

 

1.1

%

80

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other below investment grade risk

 

20

 

 

46

 

Total

 

$

200,279

 

100.0

%

 

 

 


(1).  Assured’s surveillance department is responsible for monitoring the Company’s portfolio of credits and maintains a list of closely monitored credits. The closely monitored credits are divided into four categories: Category 1 (low priority; fundamentally sound, greater than normal risk); Category 2 (medium priority; weakening credit profile, may result in loss); Category 3 (high priority; claim/default probable, case reserve established); Category 4 (claim paid, case reserve established for future payments). The closely monitored credits include all below investment grade (BIG) exposures where there is a material amount of exposure (generally greater than $10.0 million) or a material risk of the Company incurring a loss greater than $0.5 million. The closely monitored credits also include investment grade (IG) risks where credit quality is deteriorating and where, in the view of the Company, there is significant potential that the risk quality will fall below investment grade.

 

11



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Largest Exposures by Sector (Part 1 of 4)

As of June 30, 2008

(dollars in millions)

 

25 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Credit Name:

 

Outstanding

 

Rating(1)

 

State of California General Obligation & Leases

 

$

1,568

 

A+

 

State of New Jersey General Obligation & Leases

 

1,183

 

AA-

 

New York City General Obligation & Leases

 

1,099

 

A+

 

City of Chicago General Obligation & Leases

 

996

 

AA-

 

Los Angeles Unified School District

 

906

 

AA

 

State of New York General Obligation & Leases

 

857

 

A+

 

San Francisco Airport Commission

 

847

 

A

 

State of Washington General Obligation

 

836

 

AA

 

Denver International Airport System

 

795

 

BBB-

 

Commonwealth of Puerto Rico General Obligation & Leases

 

794

 

BBB-

 

Commonwealth of Massachusetts General Obligation & Bay Transportation

 

793

 

A

 

Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority

 

769

 

A

 

Florida State General Obligation

 

680

 

AA

 

Port Authority of New York & New Jersey

 

651

 

AA-

 

Metropolitan Transportation Authority (New York) - Transportation Revenue

 

651

 

A

 

District of Columbia General Obligation

 

635

 

A

 

Puerto Rico Highway & Transportation Authority

 

628

 

BBB

 

Michigan State General Obligation

 

626

 

AA+

 

Hawaii State General Obligation

 

621

 

AA-

 

Long Island Power Authority

 

609

 

A-

 

Pennsylvania State Turnpike Commission

 

608

 

A+

 

New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority

 

586

 

AA

 

Jefferson County, Alabama Sewer Enterprise

 

560

 

CCC

 

Miami-Dade County School Board

 

548

 

A

 

Chicago Public Building Commission - Chicago Board of Education

 

533

 

A

 

Total top 25 U.S. public finance exposures

 

$

19,380

 

 

 

 

10 Largest Healthcare Exposures

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

 

 

Credit Name:

 

Outstanding

 

Rating(1)

 

State

 

Iowa Health System

 

$

418

 

AA-

 

IA

 

Methodist Health System

 

305

 

A-

 

TN

 

Essentia Health

 

262

 

A-

 

MN

 

Integris Health, Inc.

 

258

 

AA

 

OK

 

Catholic Healthcare West

 

235

 

A

 

CA

 

Children’s Memorial Hospital

 

215

 

A-

 

IL

 

Meridian Health System Obligated Group

 

213

 

A-

 

NJ

 

Hackensack Medical Center

 

207

 

A-

 

NJ

 

Lifebridge Health

 

207

 

A

 

MD

 

Centracare Health System

 

196

 

A

 

MN

 

Total top 10 healthcare exposures

 

$

2,514

 

 

 

 

 

 


(1). Assured’s internal rating. Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

12



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Largest Exposures by Sector (Part 2 of 4)

As of June 30, 2008

(dollars in millions)

 

50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Credit Name:

 

Outstanding

 

Rating(1)

 

Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

 

$

1,071

 

AAA

 

Discover Card Master Trust I Series A

 

1,000

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Private - CDO

 

998

 

AAA

 

Field Point III & IV, Limited

 

810

 

AA-

 

Prospect Funding I LLC

 

775

 

AAA

 

Goldentree Credit Opportunities Financing I

 

764

 

AAA

 

Ares Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund

 

750

 

AAA

 

Private - CDO

 

716

 

AAA

 

Chrysler Retail Auto Loan Receivables Class-A

 

704

 

A

 

MortgageIt Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

 

696

 

AAA / Super senior

 

CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

 

679

 

BB

 

Field Point I & II, Limited

 

672

 

AA-

 

Private RMBS Re-Remic

 

668

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Private - CDO

 

660

 

AAA

 

Applebee’s Enterprises LLC

 

645

 

BBB-

 

Private RMBS Re-Remic

 

623

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Sandelman Finance 2006-1 Limited

 

623

 

AA

 

Citibank Omni Master Trust

 

614

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J Class 1 & 2

 

608

 

B

 

Private RMBS Re-Remic

 

607

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Private RMBS Re-Remic

 

604

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Private Structured Credit

 

600

 

BBB+

 

Private - CDO

 

551

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Chrysler Retail Auto Loan Receivables Class A

 

550

 

AAA

 

Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

 

535

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Liberty CLO Ltd

 

530

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Aaa Trust 2007-2

 

506

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Private RMBS Transaction

 

497

 

A-

 

LIICA Holdings, LLC

 

495

 

AA

 

Private RMBS Re-Remic

 

486

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Private - CDO

 

486

 

AAA

 

Impac CMB Trust Series 2007-A

 

451

 

A+

 

SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2007

 

450

 

AAA

 

Synthetic CDO - IG Corporate

 

438

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Synthetic CDO - IG Corporate

 

438

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Synthetic CDO - IG Corporate

 

438

 

AAA / Super senior

 

McDonnell Loan Opportunity Fund II

 

400

 

AAA

 

Private RMBS Re-Remic

 

400

 

AAA / Super senior

 

SLM Student Loan Trust 2007

 

392

 

AAA

 

Wasatch CLO, Ltd.

 

389

 

AAA

 

Daimler Chrysler 2007-A Lease Trust

 

387

 

AAA

 

Newstar Credit Opportunities Funding II

 

380

 

AA

 

Southfork CLO Ltd. Series 2005-A1 Class A1G

 

380

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Cent CDO XI Limited

 

373

 

AAA

 

SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2006

 

356

 

AAA

 

ACS 2007-1 Pass Through Trust G-1

 

355

 

A

 

Private - CDO

 

338

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Synthetic CDO - IG Corporate

 

335

 

AAA / Super senior

 

United Commercial Mortgage Securities 2007-1

 

328

 

A

 

Comstock Funding Ltd

 

326

 

AAA

 

Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures

 

$

27,876

 

 

 

 


(1). Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

13



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Largest Exposures by Sector (Part 3 of 4)

As of June 30, 2008

(dollars in millions)

 

25 Largest International Exposures

 

 

 

Net Par

 

 

 

Credit Name:

 

Outstanding

 

Rating(1)

 

Prime European RMBS

 

$

1,591

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Permanent Master Issuer PLC

 

1,453

 

AAA

 

Arkle Master Issuer PLC

 

1,450

 

AAA

 

Gracechurch Mortgage Financing PLC

 

1,447

 

AAA

 

Granite Master Issuer PLC

 

1,255

 

AAA

 

Graphite Mortgages PLC Provide Graphite 2005-2

 

1,235

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital II

 

1,139

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital III

 

1,115

 

AAA / Super senior

 

International Infrastructure Pool

 

844

 

AAA / Super senior

 

International Infrastructure Pool

 

844

 

AAA / Super senior

 

International Infrastructure Pool

 

844

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Taberna Europe CDO II PLC

 

803

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Paragon Mortgages (No.13) PLC

 

768

 

AAA

 

Synthetic CDO - IG ABS

 

741

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Stichting Profile Securitisation I

 

675

 

AAA / Super senior

 

United Utilities Water PLC

 

674

 

A

 

Global Senior Loan Index Fund 1 B.V.

 

605

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Nemus Funding No.1 PLC

 

603

 

AAA / Super senior

 

National Grid Gas PLC

 

598

 

A

 

Harvest CLO III

 

543

 

AAA

 

Northumbrian Water PLC

 

542

 

BBB+

 

National Grid Electricity Transmission PLC

 

539

 

A

 

Taberna Europe CDO I PLC

 

506

 

AAA / Super senior

 

Ballantyne Re Plc Class A-2 Floating Rate Notes

 

500

 

BB

 

RMF Euro CDO V PLC

 

498

 

AAA

 

Total top 25 international exposures

 

$

21,812

 

 

 

 


(1). Assured’s internal rating.  Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.  The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

 

14



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Largest Exposures by Sector (Part 4 of 4)

As of June 30, 2008

(dollars in millions)

 

10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

 

Servicer:

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

Countrywide Home Loans, Inc.

 

$

4,670

 

Residential Funding Corporation

 

2,966

 

Northern Rock PLC

 

2,489

 

Wells Fargo Home Mortgage, Inc.

 

2,486

 

European Mortgage Servicer (Private Transaction)

 

1,591

 

Halifax PLC

 

1,458

 

Cheltenham & Gloucester PLC

 

1,450

 

Barclays Bank PLC

 

1,447

 

EMC Mortgage Corp

 

784

 

Paragon Finance PLC

 

768

 

Total top 10 residential mortgage servicers exposures

 

$

20,109

 

 

15



 

Glossary

 

Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s 10-K report.

 

Other public finance: primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.

 

Pooled corporate obligations are structured financings backed by a pool of debt obligations. These financings are typically structured in multiple tranches (layers) from equity (first loss) through super senior (high excess). Losses on defaulted pool assets are allocated successively first to the equity tranche then to higher rated tranches.

 

Mortgage-backed and home equity: includes individual and repackaged securities backed by either prime, Alt-A, or subprime first and second lien mortgages.

 

Consumer receivables: principally includes auto loan receivables and credit card receivables.

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities: includes individual and repackaged securities backed by commercial mortgage-backed securities.

 

Commercial receivables: includes equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings and franchise loans.

 

Structured credit: includes whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Whole business securitizations are obligations backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.

 

Other structured finance: includes, manufactured housing, collateralized debt obligations of asset-backed securities and other securitizations not included in other asset classes.

 



 

 

 

Contacts:

 

 

 

Equity Investors and Media

 

Sabra Purtill

 

Managing Director, Global Communications

 

and Investor Relations

 

(212) 408-6044

 

spurtill@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

Ross Aron

 

Associate, Investor Relations

 

(212) 261-5509

 

raron@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Fixed Income Investors

30 Woodbourne Avenue

Michael Walker

Hamilton HM 08

Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations

Bermuda

(212) 261-5575

www.assuredguaranty.com

mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

Media

 

Ashweeta Durani

 

Vice President, Global Communications

 

and Media Relations

 

(212) 408-6042

 

adurani@assuredguaranty.com