0001047469-11-002370.txt : 20110321 0001047469-11-002370.hdr.sgml : 20110321 20110321071910 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001047469-11-002370 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 10 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20110321 ITEM INFORMATION: Results of Operations and Financial Condition ITEM INFORMATION: Regulation FD Disclosure ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20110321 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20110321 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: ASSURED GUARANTY LTD CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0001273813 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: SURETY INSURANCE [6351] IRS NUMBER: 000000000 STATE OF INCORPORATION: D0 FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 001-32141 FILM NUMBER: 11699798 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 30 WOOD BOURNE AVE CITY: HAMILTON BERMUDA STATE: D0 ZIP: 0000 BUSINESS PHONE: 441-279-5700 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: 30 WOOD BOURNE AVE CITY: HAMILTON BERMUDA STATE: D0 ZIP: 0000 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: AGR LTD DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 20040122 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: AGC HOLDINGS LTD DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 20031218 8-K 1 a2202829z8-k.htm 8-K
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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549



FORM 8-K

Current Report
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) — March 21, 2011



ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)



Bermuda   001-32141   98-0429991

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)

 

(Commission File Number)

 

(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08 Bermuda

(Address of principal executive offices)

Registrant's telephone number, including area code: (441) 279-5700

Not applicable
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

    o
    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

    o
    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

    o
    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

    o
    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))



Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

            On March 21, 2011, Assured Guaranty Ltd. ("AGL") made available in the Investor Information section of its website the following materials: (i) the Assured Guaranty Corp. ("AGC") December 31, 2010 Financial Supplement, (ii) the Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. ("AGM") December 31, 2010 Financial Supplement and (iii) the Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. ("AG Re") December 31, 2010 Financial Supplement.

            The AGC Financial Supplement, the AGM Financial Supplement and the AG Re Financial Supplement are attached as Exhibit 99.1, Exhibit 99.2 and Exhibit 99.3, respectively.


Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure.

            On or before March 24, 2011, AGL will make available in the Investor Information section of its website its Fixed Income Investor Presentation for the Fourth Quarter of 2010. This presentation can be obtained from the AGL website at http://www.assuredguaranty.com/presentations.


Item 9.01 Exhibits.

      (d) Exhibits

Exhibit
Number
 
Description
99.1   Assured Guaranty Corp. December 31, 2010 Financial Supplement

99.2

 

Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. December 31, 2010 Financial Supplement

99.3

 

Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. December 31, 2010 Financial Supplement

2



SIGNATURES

            Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

    ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.

 

 

By:

 

/s/ Robert Mills

Name: Robert Mills
Title: Chief Financial Officer

DATE:    March 21, 2011

3



EXHIBIT INDEX

Exhibit
Number
 
Description
99.1   Assured Guaranty Corp. December 31, 2010 Financial Supplement

99.2

 

Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. December 31, 2010 Financial Supplement

99.3

 

Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. December 31, 2010 Financial Supplement

4




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EXHIBIT INDEX
EX-99.1 2 a2202829zex-99_1.htm EX-99.1
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Exhibit 99.1

LOGO


Assured Guaranty Corp.
December 31, 2010
Financial Supplement

Table of Contents   Page  
Selected Financial Highlights     1  
Consolidated Statements of Operations     2  
Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income     3-4  
Consolidated Balance Sheets     5  
Claims Paying Resources     6  
New Business Production     7  
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written     8  
Underwriting Gain (Loss)     9  
Investment Portfolio, Available-for-Sale     10  
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Estimated Future Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues     11  
Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Net Loss to be Expensed     12  
Financial Guaranty Profile     13-15  
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile     16  
Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile     17  
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile     18-19  
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile     20  
Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile     21  
Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile     22  
Below Investment Grade Exposures     23-25  
Largest Exposures by Sector     26-29  
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves and Credit Impairment by Segment     30  
Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense to be Paid     31  
Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Representations and Warranties Benefit Development     32  
Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid     33  
Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data     34  
Glossary     35-36  
Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures     37-38  

This supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty") with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including Assured Guaranty's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010. For the purposes of this financial supplement, all references to the "Company" shall mean Assured Guaranty Corp. ("AGC").

Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to rounding.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:
Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade or change in outlook at any time of Assured Guaranty Ltd. or its subsidiaries and/or of transactions insured by Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s subsidiaries, both of which have occurred in the past, or a change in rating criteria; (2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, Assured Guaranty's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the world's credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses implicating the adequacy of Assured Guaranty's expected loss estimates; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) reduction in the amount of reinsurance portfolio opportunities available to Assured Guaranty; (7) deterioration in the financial condition of our reinsurers, the amount and timing of reinsurance recoverable actually received and the risk that reinsurers may dispute amounts owed to us under our reinsurance agreements; (8) the possibility that Assured Guaranty will not realize insurance loss recoveries or damages expected from originators, sellers, sponsors, underwriters or servicers of residential mortgage-backed securities transactions; (9) decreased demand or increased competition; (10) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (11) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance and tax laws; (12) other governmental actions; (13) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty's business strategy; (14) contract cancellations; (15) Assured Guaranty's dependence on customers; (16) loss of key personnel; (17) adverse technological developments; (18) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (19) natural or man-made catastrophes; (20) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (21) management's response to these factors; and (22) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Selected Financial Highlights
(dollars in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
December 31,
  Year Ended
December 31,
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Operating income reconciliation:

                         
 

Operating income (loss) 1

  $ (52.8 ) $ (37.4 ) $ (49.0 ) $ (130.0 )
 

Plus after-tax adjustments:

                         
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    0.1     (2.1 )   1.6     1.9  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (57.9 )   (58.8 )   (12.6 )   (165.3 )
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    1.3     (3.2 )   4.6     (30.6 )
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (0.5 )   0.4     (2.4 )   2.8  
   

Effect of consolidating financial guaranty variable interest entities ("VIEs") 2

    (7.4 )   -     9.9     -  
   

Goodwill impairment

    -     -     -     (85.4 )
                   
 

Net income (loss)

  $ (117.2 ) $ (101.1 ) $ (47.9 ) $ (406.6 )
                   

Return on equity ("ROE") calculations 3:

                         
 

ROE, excluding unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio

    (41.7 )%   (41.6 )%   (4.2 )%   (36.1 )%
 

Operating ROE

    (14.0 )%   (11.3 )%   (3.2 )%   (9.2 )%

Other Information

                         
 

Gross par written

  $ 911   $ 6,491   $ 6,763   $ 46,633  

 

 
  As of  
 
  December 31,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Reconciliation of shareholder's equity to adjusted book value:

             
 

Shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp.

  $ 1,074.1   $ 1,226.2  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

             
   

Effect of consolidating financial guaranty VIEs 2

    (30.0 )   -  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (385.1 )   (380.7 )
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    7.2     2.6  
   

Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect

    13.5     27.6  
           
 

Operating shareholder's equity

  $ 1,468.5   $ 1,576.7  
 

After-tax adjustments

             
   

Less: Deferred acquisition costs

    37.6     29.3  
   

Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue

    199.4     244.8  
   

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed

    595.6     651.3  
           
 

Adjusted book value

  $ 2,225.9   $ 2,443.5  
           

Other Information

             
 

Net debt service outstanding

  $ 171,047   $ 186,606  
 

Net par outstanding

    118,908     130,468  
 

Claims-paying resources 4

    3,621     3,759  

1. The Company has revised its definition of operating income in 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. Prior periods are presented on a consistent basis.

2. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income and operating shareholder's equity reverse the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

3. Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

4. See page 6.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 1



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Consolidated Statements of Operations
(dollars in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
December 31,
  Year Ended
December 31,
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Revenues:

                         
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 24.4   $ 30.9   $ 106.7   $ 138.7  
 

Net investment income

    24.9     18.3     88.1     76.6  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    0.1     (3.2 )   2.4     3.0  
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                         
   

Credit derivative revenues

    23.8     21.5     86.6     88.9  
   

Losses incurred on credit derivatives

    (71.6 )   (61.4 )   (144.7 )   (230.6 )
   

Net unrealized gains (losses), excluding losses incurred

    (89.1 )   (90.5 )   (19.4 )   (254.4 )
                   
   

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    (136.9 )   (130.4 )   (77.5 )   (396.1 )
 

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    2.0     (4.9 )   7.1     (47.1 )
 

Net change in financial guaranty VIEs

    (16.2 )   -         11.2     -      
 

Other income

    (0.5 )   0.8     (4.8 )   5.4  
                   
   

Total revenues

    (102.2 )   (88.5 )   133.2     (219.5 )

Expenses:

                         
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    55.0     47.4     111.2     193.0  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    6.3     3.8     16.2     6.7  
 

Interest expense

    3.7     0.5     15.0     0.5  
 

Goodwill impairment

    -         -         -         85.4  
 

Other operating expenses

    18.6     19.9     84.1     86.8  
                   
   

Total expenses

    83.6     71.6     226.5     372.4  
                   
 

Income (loss) before income taxes

    (185.8 )   (160.1 )   (93.3 )   (591.9 )
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    (68.6 )   (59.0 )   (45.4 )   (185.3 )
                   
 

Net income (loss)

  $ (117.2 ) $ (101.1 ) $ (47.9 ) $ (406.6 )
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

                         
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    0.1     (2.1 )   1.6     1.9  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (57.9 )   (58.8 )   (12.6 )   (165.3 )
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    1.3     (3.2 )   4.6     (30.6 )
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (0.5 )   0.4     (2.4 )   2.8  
   

Effect of consolidating financial guaranty VIEs 1

    (7.4 )   -         9.9     -      
   

Goodwill impairment

    -         -         -         (85.4 )
                   
 

Operating income (loss)

  $ (52.8 ) $ (37.4 ) $ (49.0 ) $ (130.0 )
                   
 

Effect of refundings and accelerations, net

                         
 

Earned premiums from refundings and accelerations, net

  $ 0.2   $ 6.4   $ 4.3   $ 53.8  
 

Operating income effect

  $ -       $ 2.5   $ 2.1   $ 34.0  

1. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 2



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (1 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
December 31, 2010
  Three Months Ended
December 31, 2009
 
 
  GAAP Income
Statement As
Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income
Results
  GAAP Income
Statement As
Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income
Results
 

Revenues:

                                     
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 24.4   $ (0.4 ) $ 24.8   $ 30.9   $ -       $ 30.9  
 

Net investment income

    24.9     -         24.9     18.3     -         18.3  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    0.1     0.1     -         (3.2 )   (3.2 )   -      
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                                     
   

Realized gains and other settlements

    28.1     28.1     -         18.4     18.4     -      
   

Net unrealized gains (losses)

    (165.0 )   (165.0 )   -         (148.8 )   (148.8 )   -      
   

Credit derivative revenues

    -         (23.8 )   23.8     -         (21.5 )   21.5  
   

Losses incurred on credit derivatives

    -         71.6     (71.6 )   -         61.4     (61.4 )
                           
     

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    (136.9 )   (89.1 )   (47.8 )   (130.4 )   (90.5 )   (39.9 )
 

Fair value gain (loss) on committed capital securities

    2.0     2.0     -         (4.9 )   (4.9 )   -      
 

Net change in financial guaranty VIEs

    (16.2 )   (16.2 )   -         -         -         -      
 

Other income

    (0.5 )   (0.8 )   0.3     0.8     0.6     0.2  
                           
 

Total revenues

    (102.2 )   (104.4 )   2.2     (88.5 )   (98.0 )   9.5  

Expenses:

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    55.0     (5.2 )   60.2     47.4     -         47.4  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    6.3     -         6.3     3.8     -         3.8  
 

Interest expense

    3.7     -         3.7     0.5     -         0.5  
 

Goodwill impairment

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

Other operating expenses

    18.6     -         18.6     19.9     -         19.9  
                           
 

Total expenses

    83.6     (5.2 )   88.8     71.6     -         71.6  
                           
 

Income (loss) before income taxes

    (185.8 )   (99.2 )   (86.6 )   (160.1 )   (98.0 )   (62.1 )
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    (68.6 )   (34.8 )   (33.8 )   (59.0 )   (34.3 )   (24.7 )
                           
 

Net income (loss)

  $ (117.2 ) $ (64.4 ) $ (52.8 ) $ (101.1 ) $ (63.7 ) $ (37.4 )
                           

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 3



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (2 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  Year Ended
December 31, 2010
  Year Ended
December 31, 2009
 
 
  GAAP Income
Statement As
Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income
Results
  GAAP Income
Statement As
Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income
Results
 

Revenues:

                                     
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 106.7   $ (1.4 ) $ 108.1   $ 138.7   $ -   $ 138.7  
 

Net investment income

    88.1     -     88.1     76.6     -     76.6  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    2.4     2.4     -     3.0     3.0     -  
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                                     
   

Realized gains and other settlements

    73.7     73.7     -     85.3     85.3     -  
   

Net unrealized gains (losses)

    (151.2 )   (151.2 )   -     (481.4 )   (481.4 )   -  
   

Credit derivative revenues

    -     (86.6 )   86.6     -     (88.9 )   88.9  
   

Losses incurred on credit derivatives

    -     144.7     (144.7 )   -     230.6     (230.6 )
                           
     

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    (77.5 )   (19.4 )   (58.1 )   (396.1 )   (254.4 )   (141.7 )
 

Fair value gain (loss) on committed capital securities

    7.1     7.1     -     (47.1 )   (47.1 )   -  
 

Net change in financial guaranty VIEs

    11.2     11.2     -     -     -     -  
 

Other income

    (4.8 )   (3.8 )   (1.0 )   5.4     4.2     1.2  
                           
 

Total revenues

    133.2     (3.9 )   137.1     (219.5 )   (294.3 )   74.8  

Expenses:

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    111.2     (5.5 )   116.7     193.0     -     193.0  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    16.2     -     16.2     6.7     -     6.7  
 

Interest expense

    15.0     -     15.0     0.5     -     0.5  
 

Goodwill impairment

    -     -     -     85.4     85.4     -  
 

Other operating expenses

    84.1     -     84.1     86.8     -     86.8  
                           
 

Total expenses

    226.5     (5.5 )   232.0     372.4     85.4     287.0  
                           
 

Income (loss) before income taxes

    (93.3 )   1.6     (94.9 )   (591.9 )   (379.7 )   (212.2 )
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    (45.4 )   0.5     (45.9 )   (185.3 )   (103.1 )   (82.2 )
                           
 

Net income (loss)

  $ (47.9 ) $ 1.1   $ (49.0 ) $ (406.6 ) $ (276.6 ) $ (130.0 )
                           

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 4



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  December 31, 2010   December 31, 2009  

Assets:

             
 

Investment portfolio:

             
   

Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale, at fair value

  $ 2,488.9   $ 2,045.2  
   

Short-term investments, at fair value

    235.7     802.6  
   

Other invested assets

    12.5     -      
           
 

Total investment portfolio

    2,737.1     2,847.8  
 

Cash

   
16.6
   
2.5
 
 

Premiums receivable, net of ceding commissions payable

    269.6     351.4  
 

Ceded unearned premium reserve

    388.6     435.3  
 

Deferred acquisition costs

    57.9     45.2  
 

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

    68.1     50.7  
 

Salvage and subrogation recoverable

    184.0     169.9  
 

Credit derivative assets

    399.5     252.0  
 

Deferred tax asset, net

    342.6     241.8  
 

Current income tax receivable

    38.3     60.1  
 

Financial guaranty VIE assets1, at fair value

    966.0     -      
 

Other assets

    74.6     43.1  
           

Total assets

  $ 5,542.9   $ 4,499.8  
           

Liabilities and shareholder's equity:

             

Liabilities:

             
 

Unearned premium reserve

  $ 1,323.1   $ 1,451.6  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

    231.1     191.2  
 

Reinsurance balances payable, net

    121.6     166.0  
 

Note payable to affiliate

    300.0     300.0  
 

Credit derivative liabilities

    1,360.4     1,076.7  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities with recourse1, at fair value

    523.5     -      
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities without recourse1, at fair value

    495.7     -      
 

Other liabilities

    113.4     88.1  
           

Total liabilities

    4,468.8     3,273.6  

Shareholder's equity:

             
 

Preferred stock

    -         -      
 

Common stock

    15.0     15.0  
 

Additional paid-in capital

    1,037.1     1,037.1  
 

Retained earnings 1

    15.9     153.7  
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

    6.1     20.4  
           

Total shareholder's equity

    1,074.1     1,226.2  
           

Total liabilities and shareholder's equity

  $ 5,542.9   $ 4,499.8  
           

1. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts.

Page 5



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Claims Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  December 31,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Claims paying resources

             

Policyholders' surplus

  $ 854   $ 1,224  

Contingency reserve

    703     556  
           
 

Qualified statutory capital

    1,557     1,780  

Unearned premium reserve

    877     887  

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve 1

    448     280  
           
 

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    2,882     2,947  

Present value of installment premium 2

    539     612  

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    200     200  
           
 

Total claims paying resources

  $ 3,621   $ 3,759  
           

Net par outstanding 3

  $ 118,898   $ 130,468  

Net debt service outstanding 3

    171,037     186,606  

Ratios:

             
 

Net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital

    76:1     73:1  
 

Capital ratio 4

    110:1     105:1  
 

Financial resources ratio 5

    47:1     50:1  

1. Reserves as of December 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009 are reduced by approximately $0.3 billion and $0.3 billion, respectively, for the benefit related to representation and warranty recoverables.

2. Includes financial guaranty insurance and credit derivatives.

3. Net par outstanding and net debt service outstanding are presented on a statutory basis. Under statutory accounting, such amounts would be reduced both when an outstanding issue is legally defeased (i.e., the rights and interests of bondholders and their lien on pledged revenues or other security are terminated in accordance with bond documentation) and when such issue is economically defeased (i.e., bond documentation does not provide a procedure for termination of such rights, interests and lien other than through payment of all outstanding debt in full; funds are deposited in an escrow account for future payment of the debt; and if the funds deposited prove insufficient to pay the outstanding debt in full, the issuer continues to be legally obligated to make payment on such debt).

4. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

5. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

Page 6



Assured Guaranty Corp.
New Business Production
(in millions)

 
  Three Month Ended
December 31,
  Year Ended
December 31,
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Consolidated new business production analysis:

                         
 

Present value of new business production ("PVP")

                         
   

Public finance - U.S.

                         
     

Primary markets

  $ 6.2   $ 82.2   $ 36.3   $ 527.2  
     

Secondary markets

    -         13.9     10.1     56.1  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

                         
     

Primary markets

    -         -         -         1.6  
     

Secondary markets

    -         -         0.7     0.2  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    15.8     4.7     27.0     21.3  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -         -         -      
                   
 

Total PVP

    22.0     100.8     74.1     606.4  
   

Less: PVP of credit derivatives

    -         -         -         2.4  
                   
 

PVP of financial guaranty insurance

    22.0     100.8     74.1     604.0  
   

Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVP

    16.1     18.8     28.1     52.1  
                   
 

Total: Financial guaranty upfront gross written premiums ("GWP")

    5.9     82.0     46.0     551.9  
   

Plus: Financial guaranty installment adjustment 1

    (48.3 )   (10.8 )   (25.9 )   25.0  
                   
 

Total financial guaranty GWP

    (42.4 )   71.2     20.1     576.9  
 

Plus: other segment GWP

    -         -         -         -      
                   
 

Total GWP

  $ (42.4 ) $ 71.2   $ 20.1   $ 576.9  
                   
 

Consolidated financial guaranty gross par written:

                         
 

Public finance - U.S.

                         
     

Primary markets

  $ 547   $ 4,806   $ 3,472   $ 42,784  
     

Secondary markets

    2     435     295     1,309  
 

Public finance - non-U.S.

                         
     

Primary markets

    -     -     -     226  
     

Secondary markets

    -     -     34     90  
 

Structured finance - U.S.

    362     1,250     2,962     2,224  
 

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -     -     -     -  
                   
   

Total

  $ 911   $ 6,491   $ 6,763   $ 46,633  
                   

1. Represents present value of new business on installment policies plus GWP adjustment on existing installment deals due to changes in assumptions.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 7



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written by Asset Type

 
  Three Months Ended
December 31, 2010
  Year Ended
December 31, 2010
 
 
  Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating 1   Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating 1  

Sector:

                         

U.S. public finance

                         
 

General obligation

    $ 329     A     $ 2,401     A  
 

Municipal utilities

    104     A     513     A-  
 

Higher education

    114     A-     415     A  
 

Tax backed

    1     A-     264     A  
 

Transportation

    1     A     163     A  
 

Healthcare

    -               11     A  
                       
   

Total U.S. public finance

    549     A     3,767     A  

Non-U.S. public finance:

                         
 

Infrastructure finance

    -         -     34     BBB  
                       
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    -         -     34     BBB  
                       

Total public finance

    $ 549     A     $ 3,801     A  
                       

U.S. structured finance

                         

Consumer receivables

    $ -         -     $ 1,600     AAA  

Structured credit

    362     A-     362     A-  

Other structured finance

    -         -     1,000     AAA  
                       
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    362     A-     2,962     AA+  

Non-U.S. structured finance:

                         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    -               -            
                       

Total structured finance

    $ 362     A-     $ 2,962     AA+  
                       

Total gross par written

 
  $

911
   

A

 
  $

6,763
   

AA-

 
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized statistical rating organizations ("NRSROs"); however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Note: Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 8



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Underwriting Gain (Loss)
(in millions)

 
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
  Full Year  
 
  1Q-09   2Q-09   3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   3Q-10   4Q-10   2009   2010  

Income statement:

                                                             

Net earned premiums:

                                                             
 

Scheduled net earned premiums:

                                                             
   

Public finance - U.S.

    $ 13.0     $ 15.0     $ (0.7 )   $ 14.0     $ 10.9     $ 19.3     $ 15.7     $ 17.5     $ 41.3     $ 63.4  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    0.8     0.6     0.8     0.6     6.1     (4.9 )   2.2     0.5     2.8     3.9  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    1.1     18.2     9.2     9.0     9.6     9.1     8.1     5.8     37.5     32.6  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    10.2     (8.7 )   0.9     0.9     0.8     0.9     1.4     0.8     3.3     3.9  
                                           
 

Total scheduled net earned premiums

    25.1     25.1     10.2     24.5     27.4     24.4     27.4     24.6     84.9     103.8  
 

Net earned premiums from refundings and accelerations

    42.6     1.6     3.2     6.4     2.1     1.4     0.6     0.2     53.8     4.3  
                                           

Total net earned premiums

    67.7     26.7     13.4     30.9     29.5     25.8     28.0     24.8     138.7     108.1  

Credit derivative revenues 1

    23.0     22.0     22.4     21.5     20.7     20.9     21.2     23.8     88.9     86.6  

Other income

    0.7     0.5     (0.2 )   0.2     0.4     (0.4 )   (1.3 )   0.3     1.2     (1.0 )
                                           
 

Total underwriting revenues

    91.4     49.2     35.6     52.6     50.6     46.3     47.9     48.9     228.8     193.7  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

   
21.4
   
46.4
   
77.8
   
47.4
   
34.5
   
3.7
   
18.3
   
60.2
   
193.0
   
116.7
 

Losses incurred on credit derivatives 2

    1.1     26.2     141.9     61.4     64.6     (0.4 )   8.9     71.6     230.6     144.7  
                                           
 

Total losses incurred

    22.5     72.6     219.7     108.8     99.1     3.3     27.2     131.8     423.6     261.4  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    (0.3 )   3.1     0.1     3.8     4.1     1.6     4.2     6.3     6.7     16.2  

Operating expenses

    15.2     14.2     13.8     14.6     24.5     15.8     17.4     17.3     57.8     75.0  
                                           
 

Total underwriting expenses

    37.4     89.9     233.6     127.2     127.7     20.7     48.8     155.4     488.1     352.6  
                                           
   

Underwriting gain (loss) 3

    $ 54.0     $ (40.7 )   $ (198.0 )   $ (74.6 )   $ (77.1 )   $ 25.6     $ (0.9 )   $ (106.5 )   $ (259.3 )   $ (158.9 )
                                           

1. Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

2. Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

3. The Company has revised its definition of underwriting gain in 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. 2009 amounts are presented on a consistent basis.

Page 9



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Investment Portfolio, Available-For-Sale
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

 
  Amortized
Cost
  Pre-Tax
Book
Yield
  After-Tax
Book
Yield
  Fair Value   Annualized
Investment
Income 1
 

Investment portfolio, available for sale:

                               

Fixed maturity securities:

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

  $ 313.4     2.54%     1.65%   $ 325.7   $ 7.9  
 

Agency obligations

    152.2     2.89%     1.88%     158.6     4.4  
 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

    1,089.1     4.33%     4.07%     1,076.7     47.2  
 

Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions 2

    363.7     4.75%     4.50%     360.8     17.3  
 

Corporate securities

    217.0     3.45%     2.24%     224.8     7.5  
 

Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"):

                               
   

Residential MBS ("RMBS")

    115.0     4.30%     2.79%     113.5     4.9  
   

Commercial MBS ("CMBS")

    76.0     5.37%     3.49%     80.3     4.1  
 

Asset-backed securities 3

    57.0     2.60%     1.69%     59.3     1.5  
 

Foreign government securities

    84.4     3.80%     2.47%     89.2     3.2  
                       
     

Total fixed maturity securities

    2,467.8     3.97%     3.34%     2,488.9     98.0  

Short-term investments

    235.7     0.15%     0.10%     235.7     0.3  
                       
     

Total

  $ 2,703.5     3.64%     3.06%   $ 2,724.6   $ 98.3  
                       

 

Ratings 4 :
  Fair Value   % of Total    
   
   
 
 

Treasury and government obligations of U.S. government agencies

  $ 325.7     13.1%                    
 

Agency obligations

    158.6     6.4%                    
 

AAA/Aaa

    607.5     24.4%                    
 

AA/Aa

    1,012.0     40.7%                    
 

A/A

    324.0     13.0%                    
 

BBB

    13.6     0.5%                    
 

Below investment grade ("BIG") 5

    47.5     1.9%                    
                             
   

Total fixed maturity securities available for sale

  $ 2,488.9     100.0%                    
                             

Duration of available-for-sale investment portfolio (in years):

          5.7                    
                               

Average ratings of available-for-sale investment portfolio

          AA                    
                               

1. Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.

2. Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by Standard & Poor's Rating Services ("S&P") or Moody's Investors Service, Inc. ("Moody's") average AA-.

3. Contains no collateralized debt obligations ("CDOs") of asset-backed securities ("ABS").

4. Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's and S&P classifications except for bonds purchased for loss mitigation or risk management strategies which use internal ratings classifications.

5. Included in the investment portfolio are securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies of $152.9 million in par with carrying value of $47.5 million.

Page 10



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization 1 and Estimated Future Net Earned Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues
(in millions)

 
   
   
  Financial Guaranty Insurance 2    
   
 
 
  Estimated Net
Debt Service
Amortization
  Estimated
Ending Net
Debt Service
Outstanding
  Expected PV
Net Earned
Premiums
  Accretion of
Discount
  Future Net
Earned
Premiums
  Future
Credit
Derivative
Revenues 3
  Total  

2010 (as of December 31)

          $ 171,047                                

2011

    10,272     160,775     $ 75.7     $ 5.7     $ 81.4     $ 67.0     $ 148.4  

2012

    11,845     148,930     71.5     5.2     76.7     60.1     136.8  

2013

    11,970     136,960     66.5     4.6     71.1     49.2     120.3  

2014

    14,094     122,866     60.8     4.2     65.0     35.9     100.9  

2015

    12,678     110,188     56.9     3.9     60.8     26.1     86.9  

2011-2015

   
60,859
   
110,188
   
331.4
   
23.6
   
355.0
   
238.3
   
593.3
 

2016-2020

    35,274     74,914     229.4     14.5     243.9     75.7     319.6  

2021-2025

    27,734     47,180     160.5     8.9     169.4     47.9     217.3  

2026-2030

    18,512     28,668     105.6     5.3     110.9     36.6     147.5  

After 2030

    28,668     -         107.6     2.8     110.4     55.9     166.3  
                                 
 

Total

    $ 171,047           $ 934.5     $ 55.1     $ 989.6     $ 454.4     $ 1,444.0  
                                 

1. Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of December 31, 2010. Actual amortization may differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization.

2. See page 12 for "Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Net Loss to be Expensed."

3. Excludes contracts with credit impairment.

Page 11



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Present Value ("PV") of Financial Guaranty Insurance Net Loss to be Expensed
(in millions)

 
  Net Expected
Loss to be
Expensed 1
 

Financial guaranty insurance losses to be expensed:

       

2011 (January 1 - March 31)

  $ 0.5  

2011 (April 1 - June 30)

    0.5  

2011 (July 1 - September 30)

    0.5  

2011 (October 1 - December 31)

    0.4  

2012

    1.7  

2013

    1.5  

2014

    1.3  

2015

    1.1  

2011-2015

   
7.5
 

2016-2020

    4.2  

2021-2025

    2.1  

2026-2030

    1.6  

After 2030

    2.0  
       
 

Total expected PV of net loss to be expensed

    17.4  

Discount

    125.3  
       
 

Total future value

  $ 142.7  
       

1. The expected present value of net loss to be expensed is discounted by weighted-average risk free rates ranging from 0% to 5.34%.

Page 12



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
(in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 
  As of December 31, 2010
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Avg. Rating 1

U.S. public finance:

         
 

General obligation

  $ 25,281   A
 

Tax backed

    11,791   A
 

Municipal utilities

    9,002   A
 

Transportation

    6,538   A
 

Healthcare

    5,035   A
 

Higher education

    3,447   A
 

Infrastructure finance

    962   BBB
 

Investor-owned utilities

    577   A-
 

Housing

    246   AA-
 

Other public finance

    1,701   A
         
   

Total U.S. public finance

    64,580   A

Non-U.S. public finance:

         
 

Pooled infrastructure

    1,849   AA
 

Infrastructure finance

    1,192   BBB
 

Regulated utilities

    1,070   A-
 

Other public finance

    92   AA-
         
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    4,203   A
         

Total public finance

  $ 68,783   A
         

U.S. structured finance:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

  $ 20,871   AA+
 

RMBS

    9,710   BB+
 

CMBS and other commercial real estate related exposures

    5,467   AAA
 

Consumer receivables

    2,283   AAA
 

Commercial receivables

    1,054   BBB+
 

Structured credit

    916   BBB
 

Insurance securitizations

    243   A
 

Other structured finance

    117   A-
         
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    40,661   AA-

Non-U.S. structured finance:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    6,830   AAA
 

RMBS

    1,240   AAA
 

Commercial receivables

    560   A-
 

Structured credit

    364   BBB
 

Insurance securitizations

    279   CCC-
 

CMBS and other commercial real estate related exposures

    188   AAA
 

Other structured finance

    3   A
         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    9,464   AA+
         

Total structured finance

  $ 50,125   AA-
         

Total net par outstanding

  $ 118,908   A+
         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Note: Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 13



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
(in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 
   
  As of December 31, 2010  
 
   
  Public Finance -
U.S.
  Public Finance -
Non-U.S.
  Structured Finance -
U.S.
  Structured Finance -
Non-U.S.
  Consolidated  
Ratings1 :
  Net Par
Outstanding

  %
  Net Par
Outstanding

  %
  Net Par
Outstanding

  %
  Net Par
Outstanding

  %
  Net Par
Outstanding

  %
 
 
   
                     
Super senior   $ -     0.0%   $ 955     22.7%   $ 6,919     17.0%   $ 2,313     24.4%   $ 10,187     8.6%  
AAA     126     0.2%     13     0.3%     16,143     39.7%     4,666     49.3%     20,948     17.6%  
AA     11,240     17.4%     257     6.1%     3,326     8.2%     434     4.6%     15,257     12.8%  
A     41,849     64.8%     1,368     32.5%     2,966     7.3%     266     2.8%     46,449     39.1%  
BBB     10,565     16.4%     1,409     33.5%     3,627     8.9%     1,230     13.0%     16,831     14.2%  
BIG     800     1.2%     201     4.9%     7,680     18.9%     555     5.9%     9,236     7.7%  
                           
  Total net par outstanding   $ 64,580     100.0%   $ 4,203     100.0%   $ 40,661     100.0%   $ 9,464     100.0%   $ 118,908     100.0%  
                           

Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer and Insurer Financial Strength Rating

Reinsurer
   
  Moody's
Rating

  S&P
Rating

  Ceded Par
Outstanding

  % of
Total

 
     
         
Affiliated companies     A1     AA   $ 42,989     92.8%  

Non-affiliated companies:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd.     WR     WR     2,904     6.3%  
  Radian Asset Assurance Inc.     Ba1     BB-     183     0.4%  
  Ambac Assurance Corporation     Caa2     WR     109     0.2%  
  MBIA Insurance Corporation     B3     B     108     0.2%  
  Other     Various     Various     36     0.1%  
                       
Non-affiliated companies                 3,340     7.2%  
                       
  Total               $ 46,329     100.0%  
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 14



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of December 31, 2010

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

U.S.:

             

Public finance:

             
 

California

  $ 7,633     6.4%  
 

Texas

    6,488     5.5%  
 

New York

    4,973     4.2%  
 

Pennsylvania

    4,715     4.0%  
 

Florida

    4,587     3.9%  
 

Illinois

    3,593     3.0%  
 

New Jersey

    2,665     2.2%  
 

Puerto Rico

    1,998     1.7%  
 

Alabama

    1,970     1.7%  
 

Other states

    25,958     21.8%  
           
   

Total U.S. public finance

    64,580     54.4%  

Structured finance (multiple states)

    40,661     34.2%  
           
   

Total U.S.

    105,241     88.6%  
           

Non-U.S.:

             
 

United Kingdom

    6,227     5.2%  
 

Australia

    1,058     0.9%  
 

Cayman Islands

    734     0.6%  
 

Turkey

    222     0.2%  
 

Other

    5,426     4.5%  
           
   

Total non-U.S.

    13,667     11.4%  
           
 

Total net par outstanding

  $ 118,908     100.0%  
           

Page 15



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings as of December 31, 2010

Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 2
 

Super Senior

  $ 4,968     18.2%     41.7%     38.0%  

AAA

    16,474     60.2%     34.5%     32.1%  

AA

    1,444     5.3%     42.8%     38.0%  

A

    386     1.4%     53.9%     47.2%  

BBB

    1,871     6.8%     45.3%     34.9%  

BIG

    2,218     8.1%     45.4%     22.5%  
                   
 

Total exposures

  $ 27,361     100.0%     38.2%     33.1%  
                   

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of December 31, 2010

Asset class:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement
  Avg. Rating 1  

CBOs/CLOs 3

  $ 18,499     67.6%     35.3%     32.5%     AAA  

Market value CDOs 4 of corporate

    3,109     11.4%     43.1%     39.3%     AAA  

Trust preferred - banks and insurance 5

    2,659     9.7%     46.8%     31.1%     BBB-  

Trust preferred - U.S. mortgage and REITs 5 6

    1,827     6.7%     50.1%     33.2%     BB  

Synthetic investment grade pooled corporate

    702     2.6%     30.0%     30.1%     Super Senior  

Trust preferred - european Mortgage and REITs 5 6

    565     2.0%     37.3%     33.9%     BBB-  
                       
 

Total exposures

  $ 27,361     100.0%     38.2%     33.1%     AA+  
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

3. CBOs (collateralized bond obligations) /CLOs (collateralized loan obligations) are largely non-investment grade/high yield collateral.

4. CDOs are collateralized debt obligations.

5. Prior to fourth quarter 2010, the ratio of average current credit enhancement for Trust Preferred Pooled Corporate Obligations was based on the value of the collateral as reported by the trustees, which for non-performing or low-rated collateral varied by transaction in accordance with the individual transaction documents. Beginning fourth quarter 2010, Assured Guaranty has made the measure consistent across transactions, assigning a value of 100% of the par to all performing securities, applying a standard haircut for restructured performing collateral, assigning recovery assumptions for defaulted collateral by collateral type, and making additional negative adjustments for transactions where the notional amount of interest rate hedges materially exceeds the amount of performing collateral requiring hedges.

6. REITs are real estate investment trusts.

Page 16



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and Type of Exposure as of December 31, 2010

  Ratings 1:
  Prime First Lien   Closed End Seconds   HELOC 2   Alt-A First Lien   Alt-A Option ARMs   Subprime First Lien   Total Net Par Outstanding  
 

AAA

  $ 2   $ 0   $ 12   $ 12   $ -       $ 753   $ 780  
 

AA

    27     28     5     134     22     1,274     1,490  
 

A

    14     0     -         77     96     858     1,045  
 

BBB

    19     -         9     809     87     357     1,282  
 

BIG

    487     200     492     2,551     754     627     5,111  
                                 
   

Total exposures

  $ 549   $ 228   $ 519   $ 3,584   $ 959   $ 3,869   $ 9,710  
                                 

    Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure as of December 31, 2010

 
Year insured 3:
  Prime First
Lien
  Closed End Seconds   HELOC   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

2004 and prior

  $ 44   $ 0   $ 31   $ 38   $ 39   $ 239   $ 391  
 

2005

    115     -         198     261     23     28     626  
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         32     2,873     2,905  
 

2007

    390     228     291     1,989     783     729     4,410  
 

2008

    -         -         -         1,295     82     -         1,377  
                                 
   

Total exposures

  $ 549   $ 228   $ 519   $ 3,584   $ 959   $ 3,869   $ 9,710  
                                 

    Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and Year Insured as of December 31, 2010

 
Year insured:
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total    
 
 

2004 and prior

  $ 117   $ 63   $ 46   $ 133   $ 31   $ 391        
 

2005

    28     -         75     54     469     626        
 

2006

    628     1,273     805     99     100     2,905        
 

2007

    7     29     38     477     3,860     4,410        
 

2008

    -         125     82     519     651     1,377        
                                   
   

Total exposures

  $ 780   $ 1,490   $ 1,045   $ 1,282   $ 5,111   $ 9,710        
                                   
 

% of total

    8.0%     15.4%     10.8%     13.2%     52.6%     100.0%        

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

2. Home equity line of credit ("HELOC") securitizations.

3. AGC has not insured any U.S. RMBS transactions since 2008.

Page 17



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of December 31, 2010 1

U.S. Prime First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 2   Subordination 3   Cumulative
Losses 4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 115     50.4%     4.9%     0.9%     7.9%     6  
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2007

    390     62.9%     10.3%     2.4%     14.7%     1  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

  $ 505     60.0%     9.1%     2.0%     13.2%     7  
                             

U.S. Closed End Seconds

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2007

    228     31.8%     1.3%     56.2%     13.0%     5  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

  $ 228     31.8%     1.3%     56.2%     13.0%     5  
                             

U.S. HELOC

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 198     20.6%     0.0%     18.4%     16.4%     2  
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2007

    291     38.6%     0.0%     36.4%     10.0%     2  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

  $ 489     31.3%     0.0%     29.1%     12.6%     4  
                             

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 261     44.1%     11.7%     2.9%     15.9%     13  
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2007

    1,989     59.6%     9.2%     8.2%     33.1%     8  
 

2008

    1,295     55.5%     26.3%     9.4%     30.9%     5  
                             
 

  $ 3,546     56.9%     15.7%     8.3%     31.0%     26  
                             

1. Net par outstanding is based on values as of December 31, 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on December 31, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that have been delinquent for more than 60 days and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned ("REO"), divided by net par outstanding.

Page 18



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of December 31, 2010 1

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 2   Subordination 3   Cumulative
Losses 4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 23     23.4%     24.3%     4.0%     21.7%     1  
 

2006

    32     38.1%     9.2%     8.0%     23.5%     1  
 

2007

    783     60.8%     8.1%     9.2%     33.0%     5  
 

2008

    82     62.2%     49.4%     8.1%     35.1%     1  
                             
 

    $ 921     59.2%     12.2%     8.9%     32.6%     8  
                             

U.S. Subprime First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 28     20.3%     83.6%     10.9%     61.5%     1  
 

2006

    2,873     25.0%     62.0%     13.7%     41.1%     2  
 

2007

    729     36.6%     27.9%     20.0%     47.2%     4  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 3,630     27.3%     55.3%     15.0%     42.5%     7  
                             

1. Net par outstanding is based on values as of December 31, 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on December 31, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

Page 19



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. CMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating 1, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of December 31, 2010 2

U.S. CMBS

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 3   Subordination 4   Cumulative
Losses 5
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 6
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

Super senior

  $ 3,349     88.3%     31.4%     0.7%     8.3%     183  
 

AAA

    196     82.6%     27.3%     0.4%     13.2%     9  
 

AA

    525     85.3%     14.1%     0.9%     7.3%     29  
 

A

    370     75.2%     12.9%     0.8%     8.9%     11  
 

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BIG

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

Total exposures

  $ 4,440     86.6%     27.6%     0.7%     8.5%     232  
                             

CDOs of U.S. Commercial Real Estate and CMBS 7

   
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 8
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 8
   
   
 
 

CDOs of commercial real estate

  $ 557     55.8%     49.7%     50.5%              
 

CDO of CMBS 9

    442     44.2%     30.4%     47.9%              
                                 
 

Total exposures

  $ 999     100.0%     41.2%     49.3%              
                                 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA- rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. Net par outstanding is based on values as of December 31, 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on December 31, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

3. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

4. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

5. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

6. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

7. Represents U.S. other CMBS not included in the table above.

8. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

9. Relates to vintages 2003 and prior.

Page 20



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables by Rating 1 as of December 31, 2010

  Rating:
  Credit Cards   Student
Loans
  Auto   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

Super senior

  $ 863   $ -       $ -       $ 863  
 

AAA

    -         1,029     -         1,029  
 

AA

    -         -         -         -      
 

A

    -         -         246     246  
 

BBB

    -         -         44     44  
 

BIG

    -         -         -         -      
                     
   

Total exposures

  $ 863   $ 1,029   $ 290   $ 2,182  
                     
 

Average rating 1

    Super Senior     AAA     A     AAA  
 

Avg. initial credit enhancement 2

    53.7%     7.1%     19.8%     27.2%  
 

Avg. current credit enhancement 2

    56.8%     8.5%     30.7%     30.5%  

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA- rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

Page 21



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Rating

   
  December 31, 2010  
  Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  
 

Super senior

    $ 9,325     21.9%  
 

AAA

    17,799     41.8%  
 

AA

    3,232     7.6%  
 

A

    2,998     7.0%  
 

BBB

    3,321     7.8%  
 

BIG

    5,892     13.9%  
             
   

Total direct credit derivative net par outstanding

    $ 42,567     100.0%  
             

Distribution of Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Sector and Average Rating

 
  December 31, 2010  
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Average
Rating 1
 

Public finance

             
 

U.S. public finance

    $ -         -      
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    2,830     A+  
           

Total public finance

    $ 2,830     A+  
           

U.S. structured finance:

             
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    $ 18,235     AA+  
 

RMBS

    7,445     BBB-  
 

CMBS

    5,272     AAA  
 

Commercial receivables

    581     BBB+  
 

Consumer receivables

    462     AAA  
 

Structured credit

    191     BB  
 

Insurance securitizations

    75     BBB  
 

Other structured finance

    95     AA-  
           
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    32,356     AA-  
           

Non-U.S. structured finance:

             
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    6,204     AAA  
 

RMBS

    887     AAA  
 

CMBS

    189     AAA  
 

Structured credit

    71     BBB  
 

Insurance securitizations

    30     CCC  
           
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    7,381     AAA  
           

Total structured finance

    $ 39,737     AA  
           
 

Total direct credit derivative net par outstanding

    $ 42,567     AA  
           

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Note: Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 22



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 3)
As of December 31, 2010
(in millions)

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
 

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type

       

U.S. public finance:

       
 

Municipal utilities

  $ 193  
 

Transportation

    162  
 

Tax backed

    113  
 

General obligation

    111  
 

Healthcare

    98  
 

Infrastructure finance

    26  
 

Higher education

    12  
 

Housing

    1  
 

Other public finance

    84  
       
   

Total U.S. public finance

    800  

Non-U.S. public finance:

       
 

Infrastructure finance

    201  
       
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    201  
       

Total public finance

  $ 1,001  
       

U.S. structured finance:

       

RMBS

  $ 5,111  

Pooled corporate obligations

    2,224  

Structured credit

    245  

Commercial receivables

    67  

Consumer receivables

    13  

Other structured finance

    20  
       
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    7,680  
       

Non-U.S. structured finance:

       

Insurance securitizations

    279  

Pooled corporate obligations

    276  
       
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    555  
       

Total structured finance

  $ 8,235  
       

Total BIG net par outstanding

  $ 9,236  
       

Note: Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 23



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 3)
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category 1

 
  Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit
Derivatives BIG Surveillance Categories
 
 
  December 31, 2010   December 31, 2009  

Category 1

             
 

U.S. public finance

  $ 502   $ 280  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    200     65  
 

U.S. structured finance

    2,434     1,543  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    276     —      
           
   

Total Category 1

    3,412     1,888  

Category 2

             
 

U.S. public finance

    47     63  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    1     4  
 

U.S. structured finance

    3,641     4,179  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

         
           
   

Total Category 2

    3,689     4,246  

Category 3

             
 

U.S. public finance

    251     271  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

        36  
 

U.S. structured finance

    1,605     1,507  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    279     279  
           
   

Total Category 3

    2,135     2,093  
           

Total BIG net par outstanding

  $ 9,236   $ 8,227  
           

1. Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of BIG credits. During the fourth quarter of 2010 the Company revised the definitions of the three BIG surveillance categories to more closely track Risk Management personnel's view of whether a transaction is expected to experience a loss, without regard to whether the probability weighted expected loss exceeded the unearned premium reserve. While the revisions resulted in a number of transactions moving between BIG categories, the Company estimates that the revisions had a relatively small impact on the totals in each category. BIG Category 1: Below investment grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make lifetime losses possible, but for which none are currently expected. Transactions on which claims have been paid but are expected to be fully reimbursed (other than investment grade transactions on which only liquidity claims have been paid) are in this category. BIG Category 2: Below investment grade transactions for which lifetime losses are expected but for which no claims (other than liquidity claims) have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below investment grade transactions for which lifetime losses are expected and on which claims (other than liquidity claims) have been paid. Transactions remain in this category when claims have been paid and only a recoverable remains.

Page 24



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 3)
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

Name or description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 2

U.S. public finance:

                 
 

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

    $ 192   D        
 

San Joaquin Hills California Transportation

    162   BB        
 

Detroit (City of) Michigan

    87   BB+        
 

Orlando Tourist Development Tax - Florida

    57   BB+        
 

St. Barnabas Health System - New Jersey

    55   BB        
                 
     

Total

    $ 553            

Non-U.S. public finance:

                 
 

Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited

    $ 117   BB        
 

Alte Liebe I Limited (Wind Farm)

    57   BB        
                 
   

Total

    $ 174            

U.S. structured finance:

                 
 

U.S. RMBS:

                 
 

Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    $ 582   CCC   1.6%   31.6%
 

Mortgage IT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    390   B   10.3%   14.7%
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    346   CCC   24.8%   32.8%
 

Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    343   B   6.2%   22.1%
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    341   B   21.8%   29.5%
 

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

    317   CCC   6.4%   47.5%
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    311   BB   21.8%   28.7%
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    310   B   14.7%   36.2%
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

    277   CCC   0.0%   10.3%
 

AAA Trust 2007-2

    273   CCC   34.5%   47.3%
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J

    163   CCC   0.0%   16.3%
 

CWALT 2007-OA10

    123   CCC   10.5%   53.7%
 

Lehman Excess Trust 2007-16N

    105   CCC   8.6%   43.2%
 

ACE Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-SL3

    96   B   0.0%   16.3%
 

Taylor Bean & Whitaker 2007-2

    90   CCC   0.0%   30.8%
 

MASTR Asset Backed Securities Trust 2005-NC2

    68   B   15.1%   39.5%
 

CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2007-1

    52   CCC   0.0%   33.6%
                 
   

Total U.S. RMBS

    $ 4,187            
 

Other:

                 
 

Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD.

    219   CCC   26.1%   N/A
 

Taberna Preferred Funding III, LTD.

    215   CCC   16.7%   N/A
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, LTD.

    215   B-   7.8%   N/A
 

Trapeza CDO XI

    196   BB   26.8%   N/A
 

Weinstein Film Securitization

    191   BB   N/A   N/A
 

Taberna Preferred Funding II, LTD.

    176   CCC   21.0%   N/A
 

Attentus CDO I Limited

    172   BB   30.0%   N/A
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XVII, LTD.

    172   B-   15.8%   N/A
 

Attentus CDO II Limited

    142   BB   26.7%   N/A
 

Trapeza CDO X, LTD.

    133   BB   29.4%   N/A
 

Taberna Preferred Funding VI, LTD.

    114   CCC   25.7%   N/A
 

US Capital Funding IV, LTD.

    113   B-   13.4%   N/A
 

Preferred Term Securities XVI, LTD.

    101   B   26.5%   N/A
 

Capco - Excess SIPC Excess of Loss Reinsurance

    54   BB   N/A   N/A
                 
   

Total other

    $ 2,213            
                 
     

Total

    $ 6,400            

Non-U.S. structured finance:

                 
 

Orkney Re II, Plc Series A-1 Floating Rate Notes

    $ 149   CCC   N/A   N/A
 

Ballantyne Re PLC

    130   CC   N/A   N/A
 

Augusta Funding Limited 05 Perpetual Note Issue

    82   BB   N/A   N/A
 

Augusta Funding Limited 07 Perpetual Note Issue

    77   BB   N/A   N/A
                 
     

Total

    $ 438            
                 

Total

    $ 7,565            
                 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

2. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

Page 25



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4)
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S Public Finance Exposures

  Credit name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
 

California (State of)

    $ 1,017   A-
 

Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of)

    907   BBB-
 

North Texas Tollway Authority

    699   A
 

Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport

    683   A+
 

Miami-Dade County Florida School District

    651   A-
 

Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission

    590   A+
 

Georgia Board of Regents Revenue Stream

    590   A
 

Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania

    580   BBB+
 

New Jersey (State of)

    568   AA-
 

New York (State of)

    509   AA
 

Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority

    500   BBB
 

Houston Texas Water and Sewer Authority

    482   A+
 

New York (City of) New York

    465   AA
 

Dade County, Florida General Obligation

    401   AA-
 

Chicago-O'Hare International Airport

    368   A
 

San Francisco Airports Commission

    362   A
 

Michigan (State of)

    355   A+
 

Denver (City and County of) Colorado Airport Revenue Bonds

    353   A+
 

Dormitory Authority of the State of New York School District

    315   A
 

The Indianapolis Local Public Improvement Bond Bank, Indiana

    305   AA-
 

Puerto Rico Aqueduct & Sewer Authority

    288   BBB-
 

Chicago Illinois Public Schools

    285   A+
 

New York MTA Transportation Authority

    283   A
 

Piedmont Municipal Power Authority - South Carolina

    272   A-
 

American Municipal Power-Ohio, Inc. - Prairie State

    269   A
 

Metro Wash Airports Authority Dulles Toll Road

    269   BBB+
 

Kentucky (Commonwealth of)

    263   AA-
 

New Jersey Higher Education Student Assistance 2008-A

    263   A
 

Massachusetts Turnpike Authority Revenue Stream

    260   A
 

Chicago Transit Authority Capital Grant Receipts

    252   A
 

Louisville Arena Authority Inc.

    247   BBB-
 

Dallas (City of) Texas Civic Center Convention Complex

    243   A
 

Long Island Power Authority

    240   A-
 

North Carolina Eastern Municipal Power Agency

    239   BBB
 

Louisiana (State of)

    236   AA-
 

Oakland (City of) California General Obligation

    226   A
 

Florida (State of) Department of Environmental Protection

    222   A+
 

Virtua Health - New Jersey

    221   A
 

Orange County Schools, Florida

    218   A+
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of)

    213   AA
 

Nassau County, New York

    209   A
 

District of Columbia Water and Sewer Authority Public Utility Bonds

    205   A+
 

Yankee Stadium LLC (New York City Industrial Development Authority)

    205   BBB-
 

North Carolina Turnpike Authority - Triangle Expressway

    204   BBB-
 

Orlando Tourist Development Tax - Florida

    200   A
 

Iowa Health System

    195   A+
 

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

    192   D
 

Port Authority of New York and New Jersey

    190   AA-
 

Matanuska-Sustina Borough, AK

    180   A+
 

Indianapolis Gas Utility Revenue Stream

    170   A
           
   

Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures

    $ 17,659    
           

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Page 26



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 4)
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S Structured Finance Exposures

  Credit name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
 
 

Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

  $ 582     CCC     1.6%  
 

ARES Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund

    506     AAA     42.5%  
 

280 Funding I

    495     AAA     39.1%  
 

Private Consumer Receivable Transaction

    488     Super Senior     49.4%  
 

Private Structured Credit Transaction

    400     BBB+     N/A  
 

MortgageIT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    390     B     10.3%  
 

SLM Private Credit Student Trust 2007-A

    375     AAA     11.3%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    346     CCC     24.8%  
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    343     B     6.2%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    341     B     21.8%  
 

KKR Financial CLO 2007-1

    341     AAA     51.4%  
 

Sandelman Finance 2006-1 Limited

    338     AAA     40.5%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    337     BBB-     22.0%  
 

SLM Student Loan Trust 2007-6

    333     AAA     3.4%  
 

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

    317     CCC     6.4%  
 

Liberty CLO LTD Series

    316     Super Senior     36.0%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    310     BB     21.8%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    310     B     14.7%  
 

ARES Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund

    308     AAA     42.5%  
 

Private Consumer Receivable Transaction

    300     Super Senior     62.2%  
 

Symphony Credit Opportunities Fund

    295     AAA     46.2%  
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

    277     CCC     0.0%  
 

Wasatch CLO, LTD.

    273     AAA     22.6%  
 

AAA Trust 2007-2

    273     CCC     34.5%  
 

CDX.NA.IG.8 5-YR 30-100%

    273     Super Senior     30.3%  
 

Geer Mountain Financing, LTD.

    270     AAA     31.0%  
 

Cent CDO XI Limited

    270     AAA     21.9%  
 

SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2006-C

    267     AAA     10.5%  
 

Southfork CLO LTD. Series 2005-A1

    265     AAA     29.6%  
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XIV

    264     BBB-     28.4%  
 

Advantage Capital Holdings II, L.L.C.

    262     A-     N/A  
 

HSAM Long/Short 2007-2

    255     AAA     30.4%  
 

Babcock & Brown Air Funding I LTD. Series 2007-1

    245     A-     N/A  
 

Sandelman Finance 2006-2, LTD.

    235     AAA     33.5%  
 

Fortress Credit Funding I LP

    234     Super Senior     41.6%  
 

Fortress Credit Funding III

    234     AAA     50.5%  
 

Newstar Credit Opportunities Funding II LTD

    231     AAA     30.5%  
 

Kodiak CDO II

    231     AA     49.3%  
 

Blue Mountain CLO LTD. 2005-1

    227     Super Senior     34.5%  
 

CDX.NA.IG.4 7-YR 30-100%

    225     Super Senior     29.7%  
 

Kingsland IV

    225     AAA     21.1%  
 

Baker Street CLO II

    224     AAA     21.9%  
 

RAIT Preferred Funding II, LTD.

    223     AAA     47.5%  
 

Denali Credit Opportunity Fund

    221     AAA     32.0%  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD.

    219     CCC     26.1%  
 

Kingsland V

    219     AAA     25.0%  
 

Franklin CLO V Limited

    219     AAA     26.1%  
 

Foothill CLO I, LTD.

    217     AAA     27.5%  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding III, LTD.

    215     CCC     16.7%  
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, LTD.

    215     B-     7.8%  
                     
   

Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures

  $ 14,779              
                     

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA- rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 27



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 4)
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

25 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures

  Credit name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital II

    $ 735   Super Senior
 

Fortress Credit Investments I

    734   AAA
 

Global Senior Loan Index Fund 1 B.V.

    439   Super Senior
 

Windmill CLO I PLC

    412   Super Senior
 

Paragon Mortgages (No.13) PLC

    348   AAA
 

Broadcast Australia Finance

    347   BBB
 

Harvest CLO III

    340   AAA
 

RMF Euro CDO V PLC

    318   AAA
 

Taberna Europe CDO I PLC

    299   BBB-
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    298   A-
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    298   A-
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    298   A-
 

Wood Street CLO V B.V.

    293   Super Senior
 

Neptuno CLO I B.V.

    287   AAA
 

Halcyon Structured Management Europe CLO 2007-I

    282   Super Senior
 

Airspeed Limited Series 2007-1

    275   BBB+
 

Alpstar CLO 2 PLC

    273   Super Senior
 

Taberna Europe CDO II PLC

    265   BBB-
 

Highlander Euro CDO

    261   Super Senior
 

Dalradian European CLO IV B.V.

    240   AAA
 

North Westerly CLO III B.V.

    228   AAA
 

Stichting Profile Securitisation I

    221   Super Senior
 

Dalradian European CLO II B.V.

    206   AA
 

RMF Euro CDO IV PLC

    201   AAA
 

Dalradian European CLO III B.V.

    193   Super Senior
           
   

Total top 25 largest non-U.S. exposures

    $ 8,091    
           

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 28



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (4 of 4)
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

10 Largest U.S. Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

  Servicer:
  Net Par
Outstanding
   
   
 
 

Bank of America, N.A. 1

  $ 2,663              
 

Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.

    1,477              
 

GMAC Mortgage Corporation

    1,431              
 

American Home Mortgage Servicing, Inc.

    1,149              
 

JPMorgan Chase Bank

    765              
 

Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC.

    348              
 

Carrington Mortgage Services

    327              
 

Wilshire Credit Corporation

    324              
 

Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc.

    239              
 

OneWest Bank Group LLC

    225              
                     
   

Total top 10 U.S. residential mortgage servicers exposures

  $ 8,948              
                     

10 Largest U.S. Healthcare Exposures

  Credit name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 2
  State  
 

Virtua Health - New Jersey

  $ 221     A     NJ  
 

Iowa Health System

    195     A+     IA  
 

CHRISTUS Health

    167     A+     TX  
 

Children's Hospital - Alabama

    162     A+     AL  
 

Integris Health, Inc.

    162     AA-     OK  
 

Fairview Health Services

    157     A     MN  
 

Spartanburg Regional Medical Center

    141     A     SC  
 

Essentia Health

    139     A-     MN  
 

Meridian Health System

    135     A-     NJ  
 

Methodist Healthcare, TN

    135     A     TN  
                     
   

Total top 10 U.S. healthcare exposures

  $ 1,614              
                     

    1. Includes Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP.

    2. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Page 29



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves and Credit Impairment by Segment
(in millions)

 
  As of December 31, 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Total
Financial
Guaranty
  Other   Total  

Insurance reserves:

                               

Gross

    $ 175.8     $ 54.1     $ 229.9     $ 1.2     $ 231.1  

Ceded

    66.9     -         66.9     1.2     68.1  
                       
 

Net insurance reserves

    $ 108.9     $ 54.1     $ 163.0     $ -         $ 163.0  
                       

Salvage and subrogation recoverable:

                               

Gross

    $ 181.9     $ 2.1     $ 184.0     $ -         $ 184.0  

Ceded 1

    52.4     -         52.4     -         52.4  
                       
 

Net salvage and subrogation recoverable

    $ 129.5     $ 2.1     $ 131.6     $ -         $ 131.6  
                       

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts 2:

                               

Gross

    $ 479.4     $ -         $ 479.4     $ -         $ 479.4  

Ceded

    92.4     -         92.4     -         92.4  
                       
 

Net credit derivative credit impairment

    $ 387.0     $ -         $ 387.0     $ -         $ 387.0  
                       

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty insurance and credit derivative contracts, net of reinsurance 3

 

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance

    $ 108.9     $ 54.1     $ 163.0              

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts

    387.0     -         387.0              
                           
 

Net Loss and LAE reserves and credit impairment

    $ 495.9     $ 54.1     $ 550.0              
                           

1. Recorded in "reinsurance balances payable, net" on the consolidated balance sheets.

2. Credit derivative assets and liabilities recorded on the balance sheet incorporate credit impairment on credit derivatives.

3. Gross of salvage and subrogation assets.

Page 30



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid
As of December 31, 2010
(in millions)

Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2010

Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and Credit Derivatives   Expected Loss to
be Paid as of
September 30, 2010
  Loss
Development and
Accretion of
Discount for 4Q-10 1
  Less:
Paid Losses 4Q-10
  Expected Loss to
be Paid as of
December 31, 2010
 

U.S. RMBS

                         
 

First lien:

                         
   

Prime first lien

    $ 1.3     $ (0.5 )   $ -         $ 0.8  
   

Alt-A first lien

    155.9     47.1     7.7     195.3  
   

Alt-A option ARMs

    140.3     (0.8 )   0.5     139.0  
   

Subprime first lien

    82.0     20.6     2.7     99.9  
                   
     

Total first lien

    379.5     66.4     10.9     435.0  
 

Second lien:

                         
   

Closed end seconds

    (16.5 )   26.5     16.3     (6.3 )
   

HELOC

    (249.2 )   162.3     31.4     (118.3 )
                   
     

Total second lien

    (265.7 )   188.8     47.7     (124.6 )
                   
     

Total U.S. RMBS

    113.8     255.2     58.6     310.4  
 

TruPS

    72.6     (2.3 )   2.5     67.8  
 

Other structured finance

    170.4     (115.9 )   (12.6 )   67.1  
 

Public finance

    21.9     29.8     4.4     47.3  
                   

Total

    $ 378.7     $ 166.8     $ 52.9     $ 492.6  
                   

Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid for the Year Ended December 31, 2010

Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and Credit Derivatives   Expected Loss to
be Paid as of
January 1, 2010
  Loss
Development and
Accretion of
Discount for 2010 1
  Less:
Paid Losses During 2010
  Expected Loss to
be Paid as of
December 31, 2010
 

U.S. RMBS

                         
 

First lien:

                         
   

Prime first lien

    $ -         $ 0.8     $ -         $ 0.8  
   

Alt-A first lien

    125.4     76.8     6.9     195.3  
   

Alt-A option ARMs

    128.3     34.4     23.7     139.0  
   

Subprime first lien

    48.2     59.0     7.3     99.9  
                   
     

Total first lien

    301.9     171.0     37.9     435.0  
 

Second lien:

                         
   

Closed end seconds

    17.4     25.7     49.4     (6.3 )
   

HELOC

    (107.5 )   71.4     82.2     (118.3 )
                   
     

Total second lien

    (90.1 )   97.1     131.6     (124.6 )
                   
     

Total U.S. RMBS

    211.8     268.1     169.5     310.4  
 

TruPS

    45.4     24.9     2.5     67.8  
 

Other structured finance

    24.7     23.3     (19.1 )   67.1  
 

Public finance

    55.8     23.1     31.6     47.3  
                   

Total

    $ 337.7     $ 339.4     $ 184.5     $ 492.6  
                   

1. Includes the effect of changes in the Company's estimate of future recovery on representations and warranties ("R&W").

Page 31



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS R&W Benefit Development
(dollars in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS R&W Benefit Development for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2010

 
  Future Net R&W
Benefit at
September 30, 2010
  Development and
Accretion of
Discount
During 4Q-10
  Less:
R&W
Recovered
During 4Q-10
  Future Net R&W
Benefit at
December 31, 2010
 

Financial guaranty insurance:

                         
 

Prime first lien

    $ 0.5     $ 0.1     $ -         $ 0.6  
 

Alt-A first lien

    10.1     -         -         10.1  
 

Alt-A option ARMs

    16.8     11.0     13.5     14.3  
 

Subprime first lien

    -         -         -         -      
 

Closed end seconds

    63.1     3.9     -         67.0  
 

HELOC

    174.2     (7.0 )   4.7     162.5  
                   
   

Total

    $ 264.7     $ 8.0     $ 18.2     $ 254.5  
                   

Credit derivatives

 
  $

62.6
 
  $

(13.8

)

  $

-    
   
48.8
 
                   

Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS R&W Benefit Development for the Year Ended December 31, 2010

 
  Future Net R&W
Benefit at
December 31, 2009
  R&W
Development and
Accretion of
Discount
During 2010
  Less:
R&W
Recovered
During 2010
  Future Net R&W
Benefit at
December 31, 2010
 

Financial guaranty insurance:

                         
 

Prime first lien

    $ -         $ 0.6     $ -         $ 0.6  
 

Alt-A first lien

    8.8     1.3     -         10.1  
 

Alt-A option ARMs

    16.3     13.6     15.6     14.3  
 

Subprime first lien

    -         -         -         -      
 

Closed end seconds

    64.2     2.8     -         67.0  
 

HELOC

    193.4     (2.9 )   28.0     162.5  
                   
   

Total

    $ 282.7     $ 15.4     $ 43.6     $ 254.5  
                   

Credit derivatives

 
  $

24.4
 
  $

24.4
 
  $

-    
   
48.8
 
                   

Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Debt Services on Policies With R&W Benefit as of December 31, 2010 and 2009

 
  # of Insurance Policies with
R&W Benefit Recorded
as of December 31,
  Outstanding Principal and Interest on
Policies with R&W Benefit Recorded
as of December 31,
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Financial guaranty insurance:

                         
 

Prime first lien

    1     -         $ 28.6        
 

Alt-A first lien

    6     6     353.3     312.8  
 

Alt-A option ARMs

    1     1     67.9     81.3  
 

Subprime first lien

    -         -         -         -      
 

Closed end seconds

    2     2     156.5     187.9  
 

HELOC

    3     3     492.3     606.3  
                   
   

Total

    13     12     $ 1,098.6     $ 1,188.3  
                   

Credit derivatives

   
6
   
1
 
  $

2,626.4
 
  $

1,496.4
 
                   

Page 32



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid
As of December 31, 2010
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and
Credit Derivatives
  Total Net Par
Outstanding for
BIG
Transactions
  4Q-10
Losses
Incurred
  2010
Losses Incurred
  Net Reserve
and
Credit
Impairment
  Net Salvage
and
Subrogation
Assets
  Expected Loss
to be
Expensed
 

Financial guaranty direct and reinsurance:

                                     
 

First lien:

                                     
   

Prime first lien

    $ 486.5     $ 0.2     $ 0.5     $ 0.6     $ -         $ -      
   

Alt-A first lien

    2,551.3     42.7     56.2     171.8     -         1.5  
   

Alt-A option ARMs

    754.2     14.9     33.9     137.8     -         1.1  
   

Subprime first lien

    626.8     26.3     62.8     91.5     -         1.5  
                           
     

Total first lien

    4,418.8     84.1     153.4     401.7     -         4.1  
 

Second lien:

                                     
   

Closed end seconds

    200.1     7.2     4.0     6.0     16.2     3.9  
   

HELOC

    492.4     24.7     39.9     2.3     120.7     0.1  
                           
     

Total second lien

    692.5     31.9     43.9     8.3     136.9     4.0  
                           
     

Total U.S. RMBS

    5,111.3     116.0     197.3     410.0     136.9     8.1  
 

Other structured finance

    3,123.7     1.1     53.4     113.0     2.3     6.3  
 

Public finance

    1,001.4     14.6     10.6     44.4     1.3     3.8  
                           

Total financial guaranty direct and reinsurance

    $ 9,236.4     $ 131.7     $ 261.3     $ 567.4     $ 140.5     $ 18.2  
                           

Effect of consolidating financial guaranty VIEs

    -         (5.2 )   (5.5 )   (17.4 )   (8.9 )   (0.8 )
                           

Total

 
  $

9,236.4
 
  $

126.5
 
  $

255.8
 
  $

550.0
 
  $

131.6
 
  $

17.4
 
                           

Page 33



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions)

 
  Year Ended December 31,  
 
  2010   2009   2008   2007   2006  

Statutory Data

                               
 

Net income (loss)

  $ (182.1 ) $ (243.1 ) $ 27.7   $ 71.6   $ 64.3  
 

Policyholders' surplus

 
$

854
 
$

1,224
 
$

378
 
$

400
 
$

286
 
 

Contingency reserve

    703     556     712     582     631  
                       
     

Qualified statutory capital

    1,557     1,780     1,090     982     917  
 

Unearned premium reserve

    877     887     570     302     239  
 

Loss and LAE reserves

    448     280     15     12     15  
                       
     

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    2,882     2,947     1,675     1,296     1,171  
 

Present value of installment premium

    539     612     566     554     356  
 

Standby line of credit / stop loss

    200     200     200     280     455  
                       
     

Total claims-paying resources

  $ 3,621   $ 3,759   $ 2,441   $ 2,130   $ 1,982  
                       

Statutory Financial Ratios

                               
   

Loss and LAE ratio

    181.8 %   243.9 %   90.3 %   (13.5 )%   4.5 %
   

Expense ratio

    66.0 %   15.4 %   11.5 %   49.9 %   64.8 %
                       
   

Combined ratio

    247.8 %   259.3 %   101.8 %   36.4 %   69.3 %
                       

Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis)

                               
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

  $ 171,037   $ 186,606   $ 164,283   $ 128,351   $ 85,522  
 

Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)

    238,455     259,867     225,152     172,046     112,115  
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    118,898     130,468     111,025     94,127     68,370  
 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

    165,227     180,765     152,801     127,743     91,858  
 

Ceded par to all Assured Guaranty companies

    42,989     46,411     37,372     29,087     22,569  
 

Ratios:

                               
   

Par insured to statutory capital

    76:1     73:1     102:1     75:1     75:1  
   

Capital ratio 1

    110:1     105:1     151:1     93:1     93:1  
   

Financial resources ratio 2

    47:1     50:1     67:1     43:1     43:1  
 

Gross debt service written:

                               
   

Public finance — U.S.

  $ 5,876   $ 78,012   $ 56,864   $ 8,142   $ 3,440  
   

Public finance — non-U.S.

    51     522     771     5,202     7,402  
   

Structured finance — U.S.

    2,962     2,480     13,228     35,396     26,848  
   

Structured finance — non-U.S.

    -         -         5,265     10,061     5,843  
                       
 

Total gross debt service written

  $ 8,889   $ 81,014   $ 76,128   $ 58,801   $ 43,533  
                       

1. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured divided by qualified statutory capital.

2. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured by total claims paying resources.

Page 34



Glossary

Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s 10-K report for the year ended December 31, 2010.

General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit bonds that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy ad valorem taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation. They include tax-backed revenue bonds, general fund obligations and lease revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose. Bonds in this category also include moral obligations of municipalities or governmental authorities.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported bonds, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution's revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily backed by investor-owned utilities, first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, and also include sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Regulated Utilities Obligations are issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities. The majority of the Company's international regulated utility business is conducted in the UK.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of CDS obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations.

Other public finance: primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.

Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in "tranches," with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company's financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") and Home Equity Securities are obligations backed by closed-end first mortgage loans and closed- and open-end second mortgage loans or home equity loans on one-to-four family residential properties, including condominiums and cooperative apartments. First mortgage loan products in these transactions include fixed rate, adjustable rate ("ARM") and option adjustable-rate ("Option ARM") mortgages. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including "prime", "subprime" and "Alt-A". A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with

Page 35



higher risk characteristics, usually as determined by credit score and/or credit history. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income.

Structured Credit Securities include program-wide credit enhancement for commercial paper conduits in the U.S., and securities issued in whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Program-wide credit enhancement generally involves insuring against the default of ABS in a bank-sponsored commercial paper conduit. Securities issued in whole business and intellectual property securitizations are backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.

Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as automobile loans and leases, credit card receivables and other consumer receivables.

Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS") and other real estate related exposures are obligations backed by pools of commercial mortgages. The collateral supporting CMBS include office, multi-family, retail, hotel, industrial and other specialized or mixed-use properties.

Commercial Receivables Securities are obligations backed by equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings, business loans and trade receivables. Credit support is derived from the cash flows generated by the underlying obligations, as well as property or equipment values as applicable.

Insurance Securitization Securities are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Other Structured Finance Securities are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories. One such type of asset is a tax benefit to be realized by an investor in one of the Federal or state programs that permit such investor to receive a credit against taxes (such as Federal corporate income tax or state insurance premium tax) for making qualified investments in specified enterprises, typically located in designated low-income areas.

Page 36


Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:

The Company references financial measures that are not in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP").

Assured Guaranty's management and board of directors utilize non-GAAP measures in evaluating the Company's financial performance and as a basis for determining senior management incentive compensation. By providing these non-GAAP financial measures, investors, analysts and financial news reporters have access to the same information that management reviews internally. In addition, Assured Guaranty's presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is consistent with how analysts calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty's financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and with how investors, analysts and the financial news media evaluate Assured Guaranty's financial results.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure and describe why it is useful. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented within this financial supplement. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed as substitutes for their most directly comparable GAAP measures.

Operating Income:    Management believes that operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the underwriting results of the Company's financial guaranty insurance business, and also includes financing costs and net investment income, and enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company's financial results as compared to the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases. Operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, including other than temporary impairments, and credit and interest rate related gains and losses from sales of securities. Impairments and losses from sales of credit-impaired securities, the timing of which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of other sales that would result in gains or losses, such as interest rate related gains or losses, is largely subject to the Company's discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company's tax and capital profile. Trends in the underlying profitability of the Company's business can be more clearly identified without the fluctuating effects of these transactions.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. Additionally, such adjustments present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of net premium receivables. Long-dated receivables constitute a significant portion of the net premium receivable balance and represent the present value of future contractual or expected collections. Therefore, the current period's foreign exchange revaluation gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

    5)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain financial guaranty VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

    6)
    Elimination of goodwill impairment.

Operating Shareholder's Equity:    Management believes that operating shareholders' equity is a useful measure because it presents the equity of Assured Guaranty Ltd. with all financial guaranty contracts accounted for on a more consistent basis and excluding fair value adjustments that are not expected to result in economic loss. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use operating shareholders' equity as the principal financial measure for valuing Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s common shares. Many of the Company's fixed income investors also use operating shareholders' equity to evaluate the Company's capital adequacy. Operating shareholders' equity is the basis of the calculation of adjusted book value (see below). Operating shareholders' equity is defined as shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

Page 37


    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) (excluding foreign exchange revaluation). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore will not recognize an economic loss.

Operating return on equity ("Operating ROE"):    Operating ROE represents operating income for a specified period divided by the average of operating shareholders' equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate the Company's return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating ROE to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis.

Adjusted Book Value:    Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the net present value of the Company's in force premiums and revenues in addition to operating shareholders' equity. The premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted book value to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Adjusted book value is operating shareholders' equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued that will be expensed in future accounting periods.

    2)
    Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue. See below.

    3)
    Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of net expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the expected future net earned premiums, net of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue:    Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure. This amount represents the present value of estimated future revenue from the Company's credit derivative in-force book of business, net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes in excess of expected losses, and is discounted at 6% (which represents the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). Estimated net future credit derivative revenue may change from period to period due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

PVP or present value of new business production:    Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as premium supplements and additional installment premium on existing contracts as to which the issuer has the right to call the insured obligation but has not exercised such right, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of insurance and credit derivative contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, in each case, discounted at 6% (the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at 6%, while under GAAP, these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and credit derivative revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

Page 38


LOGO

    Contacts:

Equity Investors:
Sabra Purtill
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 408-6044
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com
    Ross Aron
Assistant Vice President, Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

Assured Guaranty Corp.
31 West 52nd Street
New York, NY 10019
(212) 974-0100
www.assuredguaranty.com

 

Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com

Michael Walker
Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

Media:
Betsy Castenir
Managing Director, Corporate Communications
(212) 339-3424
bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com



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Assured Guaranty Corp. December 31, 2010 Financial Supplement
Assured Guaranty Corp. Selected Financial Highlights (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated Statements of Operations (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (1 of 2) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (2 of 2) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated Balance Sheets (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Claims Paying Resources (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. New Business Production (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Underwriting Gain (Loss) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Investment Portfolio, Available-For-Sale As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Estimated Net Exposure Amortization 1 and Estimated Future Net Earned Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Present Value ("PV") of Financial Guaranty Insurance Net Loss to be Expensed (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 2) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 2) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 3) As of December 31, 2010 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 3) As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 3) As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4) As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 4) As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 4) As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Largest Exposures by Sector (4 of 4) As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves and Credit Impairment by Segment (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid As of December 31, 2010 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS R&W Benefit Development (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid As of December 31, 2010 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data (dollars in millions)
Glossary
EX-99.2 3 a2202829zex-99_2.htm EX-99.2
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Exhibit 99.2

LOGO


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
December 31, 2010
Financial Supplement

Table of Contents   Page  
Selected Financial Highlights     1  
Consolidated Statements of Operations     2  
Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income     3-4  
Consolidated Balance Sheets     5  
Claims Paying Resources     6  
New Business Production     7  
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written     8  
Underwriting Gain (Loss)     9  
Investment Portfolio, Available-for-Sale     10  
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Estimated Future Net Premium Reserve and Credit Derivative Revenues     11  
Expected Amortization of U.S. and Non-U.S. Structured Finance Net Par Outstanding     12  
Present Value of Financial Guaranty Net Insurance Net Loss to be Expensed     13  
Financial Guaranty Profile     14-16  
Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile     17  
Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile     18-20  
U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile     21  
Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile     22  
Below Investment Grade Exposures     23-27  
Largest Exposures by Sector     28-31  
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves and Credit Impairment     32  
Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense to be Paid     33  
Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Representations and Warranties Benefit Development     34  
Financial Guaranty Losses Incurred and Paid     35  
Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data     36  
Glossary     37-38  
Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures     39-40  

This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty"), with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including Assured Guaranty's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010. Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. ("AGM") was purchased by Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc., a subsidiary of Assured Guaranty Ltd., on July 1, 2009. This financial supplement presents financial information since its acquisition, except for statutory data, which is based on full year statutory accounting principles. Purchase accounting adjustments were pushed down to AGM, which affects comparability to periods prior to the acquisition. AGM is a subsidiary of Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. ("AGMH"), which terminated its registration with the SEC in July 2009 and no longer files reports with the SEC. For the purposes of this financial supplement, all references to the "Company" shall mean AGM and its consolidated entities.

Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to rounding.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:
Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade or change in outlook at any time of Assured Guaranty Ltd. or its subsidiaries and/or of transactions insured by Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s subsidiaries, both of which have occurred in the past, or a change in rating criteria; (2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, Assured Guaranty's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the world's credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses implicating the adequacy of Assured Guaranty's expected loss estimates; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) reduction in the amount of reinsurance portfolio opportunities available to Assured Guaranty; (7) deterioration in the financial condition of our reinsurers, the amount and timing of reinsurance recoverable actually received and the risk that reinsurers may dispute amounts owed to us under our reinsurance agreements; (8) the possibility that Assured Guaranty will not realize insurance loss recoveries or damages expected from originators, sellers, sponsors, underwriters or servicers of residential mortgage-backed securities transactions; (9) decreased demand or increased competition; (10) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (11) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance and tax laws; (12) other governmental actions; (13) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty's business strategy; (14) contract cancellations; (15) Assured Guaranty's dependence on customers; (16) loss of key personnel; (17) adverse technological developments; (18) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (19) natural or man-made catastrophes; (20) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (21) management's response to these factors; and (22) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Selected Financial Highlights
(dollars in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended December 31,   Year Ended
December 31,
  Six Months
Ended
December 31,
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Operating income reconciliation:

                         
   

Operating income 1

  $ 191.8   $ 208.4   $ 723.3   $ 435.6  
   

Plus after-tax adjustments:

                         
     

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (1.1 )   0.5     (7.8 )   0.8  
     

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    17.5     169.2     (10.6 )   119.2  
     

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    0.9     (15.6 )   1.3     (49.3 )
     

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (0.2 )   1.0     (5.5 )   4.5  
     

Effect of consolidating financial guaranty variable interest entities ("VIEs") 2

    (230.7 )   -     (115.1 )   -  
     

Gain on bargain purchase

    -     -     -     232.6  
                   
     

Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

  $ (21.8 ) $ 363.5   $ 585.6   $ 743.4  
                   
 

Return on equity ("ROE") calculations 3:

                         
   

ROE, excluding unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio

    (3.6 )%   80.0 %   26.8 %   45.3 %
   

Operating ROE

    28.3 %   40.5 %   29.3 %   23.1 %
 

Other information

                         
   

Gross par written

  $ 6,972   $ 1,495   $ 23,995   $ 2,560  

 

 
  As of:  
 
  December 31,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Reconciliation of shareholder's equity to adjusted book value:

             
 

Shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

  $ 2,382.3   $ 2,074.5  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

             
   

Effect of consolidating financial guaranty VIEs 2

    (281.7 )   -  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (136.2 )   (143.5 )
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    4.9     3.6  
   

Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect

    4.6     75.1  
           

Operating shareholder's equity

  $ 2,790.7   $ 2,139.3  
 

After-tax adjustments:

             
   

Less: Deferred acquisition costs

    (53.9 )   (17.5 )
   

Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue

    151.9     191.9  
   

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed

    1,944.0     2,510.6  
           
 

Adjusted book value

  $ 4,940.5   $ 4,859.3  
           

Other information

             
 

Net debt service outstanding

  $ 533,840   $ 583,796  
 

Net par outstanding

    358,408     393,990  
 

Claims-paying resources 4

    6,501     6,927  

1. The Company has revised its definition of operating income in 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. Prior periods are presented on a consistent basis.

2. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

3. Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

4. See page 6.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 1



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated Statements of Operations
(in millions)

 
  Three Months
Ended
December 31,
  Year
Ended
December 31,
  Six Months
Ended
December 31,
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Revenues:

                         
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 217.4   $ 294.9   $ 907.8   $ 575.4  
 

Net investment income

    50.2     47.1     196.0     92.0  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (1.7 )   0.8     (12.0 )   1.3  
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                         
   

Credit derivative revenues

    23.3     27.8     100.4     56.6  
   

Losses incurred on credit derivatives

    (3.3 )   19.7     (24.6 )   47.0  
   

Net unrealized gains (losses), excluding losses incurred

    27.0     260.2     (24.7 )   183.3  
                   
   

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    47.0     307.7     51.1     286.9  
 

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    1.4     (24.0 )   2.1     (75.8 )
 

Net change in financial guaranty VIEs

    (360.0 )   4.1     (194.3 )   (1.2 )
 

Other income

    36.9     0.9     58.4     35.2  
                   
     

Total revenues

    (8.8 )   631.5     1,009.1     913.8  

Expenses:

                         
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    18.9     50.9     191.5     51.8  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    (2.8 )   (0.5 )   (8.7 )   (0.5 )
 

Interest expense

    1.5     2.1     6.7     4.4  
 

Gain on bargain purchase

    -     -     -     (232.6 )
 

Other operating expenses

    20.9     31.6     82.8     107.5  
                   
     

Total expenses

    38.5     84.1     272.3     (69.4 )
                   
 

Income (loss) before income taxes

   
(47.3

)
 
547.4
   
736.8
   
983.2
 
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    (25.5 )   179.8     151.2     241.0  
                   
 

Net income (loss)

   
(21.8

)
 
367.6
   
585.6
   
742.2
 
 

Less: Noncontrolling interest of VIEs

    -     4.1     -     (1.2 )
                   
 

Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

  $ (21.8 ) $ 363.5   $ 585.6   $ 743.4  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

                         
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (1.1 )   0.5     (7.8 )   0.8  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    17.5     169.2     (10.6 )   119.2  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    0.9     (15.6 )   1.3     (49.3 )
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (0.2 )   1.0     (5.5 )   4.5  
   

Effect of consolidating financial guaranty VIEs1

    (230.7 )   -     (115.1 )   -  
   

Gain on bargain purchase

    -     -     -     232.6  
                   
 

Operating income

  $ 191.8   $ 208.4   $ 723.3   $ 435.6  
                   
 

Effect of refundings and accelerations, net

                         
 

Earned premiums from refundings and accelerations, net

  $ 30.5   $ 36.5   $ 67.1   $ 48.0  
 

Operating income effect

    19.9     23.7     43.7     31.2  

1. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 2



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (1 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
December 31, 2010
  Three Months Ended
December 31, 2009
 
 
  GAAP Income
Statement As
Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income Results
  GAAP Income
Statement As
Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income Results
 

Revenues:

                                     
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 217.4   $ (12.8 ) $ 230.2   $ 294.9   $ -       $ 294.9  
 

Net investment income

    50.2     -         50.2     47.1     -         47.1  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (1.7 )   (1.7 )   -         0.8     0.8     -      
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                                     
   

Realized gains and other settlements

    2.9     2.9     -         19.8     19.8     -      
   

Net unrealized gains (losses)

    44.1     44.1     -         287.9     287.9     -      
   

Credit derivative revenues

    -         (23.3 )   23.3     -         (27.8 )   27.8  
   

Losses incurred on credit derivatives

    -         3.3     (3.3 )   -         (19.7 )   19.7  
                           
     

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    47.0     27.0     20.0     307.7     260.2     47.5  
 

Fair value gain (loss) on committed capital securities

    1.4     1.4     -         (24.0 )   (24.0 )   -      
 

Net change in financial guaranty VIEs

    (360.0 )   (360.0 )   -         4.1     4.1     -      
 

Other income

    36.9     (0.3 )   37.2     0.9     1.6     (0.7 )
                           
 

Total revenues

    (8.8 )   (346.4 )   337.6     631.5     242.7     388.8  

Expenses:

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    18.9     (17.9 )   36.8     50.9     -         50.9  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    (2.8 )   -         (2.8 )   (0.5 )   -         (0.5 )
 

Interest expense

    1.5     -         1.5     2.1     -         2.1  
 

Gain on bargain purchase

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

Other operating expenses

    20.9     -         20.9     31.6     -         31.6  
                           
 

Total expenses

    38.5     (17.9 )   56.4     84.1     -         84.1  
                           
 

Income (loss) before income taxes

    (47.3 )   (328.5 )   281.2     547.4     242.7     304.7  
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    (25.5 )   (114.9 )   89.4     179.8     83.5     96.3  
                           
 

Net income (loss)

    (21.8 )   (213.6 )   191.8     367.6     159.2     208.4  
 

Less: Noncontrolling interest of VIEs

    -         -         -         4.1     4.1     -      
                           
 

Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

  $ (21.8 ) $ (213.6 ) $ 191.8   $ 363.5   $ 155.1   $ 208.4  
                           

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 3



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (2 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  Year Ended
December 31, 2010
  Six Months Ended
December 31, 2009
 
 
  GAAP Income
Statement As
Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income
Results
  GAAP Income
Statement As
Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income
Results
 

Revenues:

                                     
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 907.8   $ (46.2 ) $ 954.0   $ 575.4   $ -   $ 575.4  
 

Net investment income

    196.0     -     196.0     92.0     -     92.0  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (12.0 )   (12.0 )   -     1.3     1.3     -  
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                                     
   

Realized gains and other settlements

    61.8     61.8     -     63.5     63.5     -  
   

Net unrealized gains (losses)

    (10.7 )   (10.7 )   -     223.4     223.4     -  
   

Credit derivative revenues

    -     (100.4 )   100.4     -     (56.6 )   56.6  
   

Losses incurred on credit derivatives

    -     24.6     (24.6 )   -     (47.0 )   47.0  
                           
     

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    51.1     (24.7 )   75.8     286.9     183.3     103.6  
 

Fair value gain (loss) on committed capital securities

    2.1     2.1     -     (75.8 )   (75.8 )   -  
 

Net change in financial guaranty VIEs

    (194.3 )   (194.3 )   -     (1.2 )   (1.2 )   -  
 

Other income

    58.4     0.1     58.3     35.2     7.0     28.2  
                           
 

Total revenues

    1,009.1     (275.0 )   1,284.1     913.8     114.6     799.2  

Expenses:

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    191.5     (63.4 )   254.9     51.8     -     51.8  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    (8.7 )   -     (8.7 )   (0.5 )   -     (0.5 )
 

Interest expense

    6.7     -     6.7     4.4     -     4.4  
 

Gain on bargain purchase

    -     -     -     (232.6 )   (232.6 )   -  
 

Other operating expenses

    82.8     -     82.8     107.5     -     107.5  
                           
 

Total expenses

    272.3     (63.4 )   335.7     (69.4 )   (232.6 )   163.2  
                           
 

Income (loss) before income taxes

    736.8     (211.6 )   948.4     983.2     347.2     636.0  
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    151.2     (73.9 )   225.1     241.0     40.6     200.4  
                           
 

Net income (loss)

    585.6     (137.7 )   723.3     742.2     306.6     435.6  
 

Less: Noncontrolling interest of VIEs

    -     -     -     (1.2 )   (1.2 )   -  
                           
 

Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

  $ 585.6   $ (137.7 ) $ 723.3   $ 743.4   $ 307.8   $ 435.6  
                           

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 4



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  December 31, 2010   December 31, 2009  

Assets:

             
 

Investment portfolio:

             
   

Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale, at fair value

  $ 4,678.7   $ 5,183.6  
   

Short-term investments, at fair value

    588.7     542.0  
   

Other invested assets

    133.7     156.1  
           
 

Total investment portfolio

    5,401.1     5,881.7  
 

Note receivable from affiliate

    300.0     300.0  
 

Cash

    43.7     23.6  
 

Premiums receivable

    729.2     787.4  
 

Ceded unearned premium reserve

    1,494.4     1,537.1  
 

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

    24.6     13.7  
 

Salvage and subrogation recoverable

    846.1     248.1  
 

Credit derivative assets

    181.8     227.0  
 

Deferred tax asset, net

    956.4     972.4  
 

Financial guaranty VIE assets 1, at fair value

    3,368.4     762.3  
 

Other assets

    57.9     137.4  
           

Total assets

  $ 13,403.6   $ 10,890.7  
           

Liabilities and shareholder's equity:

             

Liabilities:

             
 

Unearned premium reserve

  $ 5,321.3   $ 6,468.3  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

    243.0     55.3  
 

Reinsurance balances payable, net

    410.2     259.0  
 

Notes payable

    127.0     149.1  
 

Credit derivative liabilities

    592.8     625.8  
 

Current income tax payable

    183.6     245.3  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities with recourse 1, at fair value

    2,403.5     762.7  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities without recourse 1, at fair value

    1,518.4     -      
 

Other liabilities

    221.5     251.1  
           

Total liabilities

    11,021.3     8,816.6  

Shareholder's equity:

             
 

Preferred stock

    -         -      
 

Common stock

    15.0     15.0  
 

Additional paid-in capital

    1,191.8     1,241.8  
 

Retained earnings 1

    1,162.3     743.4  
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

    13.2     74.3  
           

Total shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

    2,382.3     2,074.5  
 

Noncontrolling interest of financial guaranty VIEs 1

    -         (0.4 )
           

Total shareholder's equity

    2,382.3     2,074.1  
           

Total liabilities and shareholder's equity

  $ 13,403.6   $ 10,890.7  
           

1. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts.

Page 5



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Claims Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)

 
  As of:  
 
  December 31,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Claims paying resources

             

Policyholders' surplus

  $ 993   $ 909  

Contingency reserve

    1,585     1,323  
           
 

Qualified statutory capital

    2,578     2,232  

Unearned premium reserve

    2,298     2,392  

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves 1

    436     1,022  
           
 

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    5,312     5,646  

Present value of installment premiums 2

    691     783  

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    498     498  
           
 

Total claims paying resources

  $ 6,501   $ 6,927  
           

Net par outstanding 3

  $ 343,619   $ 381,148  

Net debt service outstanding 3

  $ 516,080   $ 568,594  

Ratios:

             
 

Net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital

    133:1     171:1  
 

Capital ratio 4

    200:1     255:1  
 

Financial resources ratio 5

    79:1     82:1  

1. Reserves as of December 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009 are reduced by approximately $1.1 billion and $0.8 billion, respectively, for the benefit related to representation and warranty recoverables.

2. Includes financial guaranty insurance and credit derivatives.

3. Net par outstanding and net debt service outstanding are presented on a statutory basis. Under statutory accounting, such amounts would be reduced both when an outstanding issue is legally defeased (i.e., the rights and interests of bondholders and their lien on pledged revenues or other security are terminated in accordance with bond documentation) and when such issue is economically defeased (i.e., bond documentation does not provide a procedure for termination of such rights, interests and lien other than through payment of all outstanding debt in full; funds are deposited in an escrow account for future payment of the debt; and if the funds deposited prove insufficient to pay the outstanding debt in full, the issuer continues to be legally obligated to make payment on such debt).

4. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

5. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

Page 6



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
New Business Production
(in millions)

 
  Three Months
Ended
December 31,
  Year
Ended
December 31,
  Six Months
Ended
December 31,
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Consolidated new business production analysis:

                         
 

Present value of new business production ("PVP")

                         
   

Public finance - U.S.

                         
     

Primary markets

  $ 71.5   $ 17.3   $ 249.2   $ 29.9  
     

Secondary markets

    10.1     0.6     32.4     1.0  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

                         
     

Primary markets

    -         -         -         -      
     

Secondary markets

    -         -         -         -      
   

Structured finance - U.S. 1

    0.6     1.5     3.2     1.9  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S. 1

    0.9     0.1     3.7     1.0  
                   
   

Total PVP

    83.1     19.5     288.5     33.8  
 

Less: PVP of credit derivatives

    -         -         -         -      
                   
 

PVP of financial guaranty insurance

    83.1     19.5     288.5     33.8  
   

Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVP

    1.6     (21.7 )   6.2     (17.3 )
                   
 

Total: Financial guaranty upfront gross written premiums ("GWP")

    81.5     41.2     282.3     51.1  
 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment adjustment 2

    10.3     (36.0 )   30.4     (45.2 )
                   
   

Total GWP

  $ 91.8   $ 5.2   $ 312.7   $ 5.9  
                   

Consolidated financial guaranty gross par written:

                         
 

Public finance - U.S.

                         
     

Primary markets

  $ 6,510   $ 1,488   $ 22,722   $ 2,540  
     

Secondary markets

    462     7     1,273     20  
 

Public finance - non-U.S.

                         
     

Primary markets

    -         -         -         -      
     

Secondary markets

    -         -         -         -      
 

Structured finance - U.S.

    -         -         -         -      
 

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -         -         -      
                   
   

Total

  $ 6,972   $ 1,495   $ 23,995   $ 2,560  
                   

1. These policies represent existing policies that have additional premium and have no par outstanding.

2. Represents present value of new business on installment policies plus GWP adjustment on existing installment deals due to changes in assumptions.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 7



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written by Asset Type

 
  Three Months Ended
December 31, 2010
  Year Ended
December 31, 2010
 
 
  Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating 1   Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating 1  

Sector:

                         

U.S. public finance:

                         
 

General obligation

    $ 2,844     A     $ 10,459     A  
 

Tax backed

    1,308     A+     4,405     A+  
 

Municipal utilities

    1,398     A     4,238     A  
 

Transportation

    654     A     1,971     A  
 

Healthcare

    109     A-     873     A-  
 

Higher education

    570     A-     1,209     A  
 

Housing revenue

    89     AA     89     AA  
 

Investor-owned utilities

    -         -     30     A-  
 

Other public finance

    -         -     721     A  
                       
   

Total U.S. public finance

    6,972     A     23,995     A  

Non-U.S. public finance:

                         
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    -         -     -         -  
                       

Total public finance

    $ 6,972     A     $ 23,995     A  
                       

U.S. structured finance:

                         
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    $ -         -     $ -         -  

Non-U.S. structured finance:

                         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    -         -     -         -  
                       

Total structured finance

    $ -         -     $ -         -  
                       

Total gross par written

 
  $

6,972
   

A

 
  $

23,995
   

A

 
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized statistical rating organizations ("NRSROs"); however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Note: Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 8



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Underwriting Gain (Loss)
(in millions)

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   3Q-10   4Q-10   Six Months
Ended
December 31,
2009
  Year Ended
December 31,
2010
 

Income statement:

                                                 

Net earned premiums:

                                                 
 

Scheduled net earned premiums:

                                                 
   

Public finance - U.S.

    $ 60.7     $ 55.3     $ 43.2     $ 45.6     $ 47.3     $ 45.5     $ 116.0     $ 181.6  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    13.3     11.5     9.5     13.0     12.5     14.5     24.8     49.5  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    189.5     180.6     185.8     161.5     147.7     132.9     370.1     627.9  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    5.5     11.0     6.7     7.4     7.0     6.8     16.5     27.9  
                                   
 

Total scheduled net earned premiums

    269.0     258.4     245.2     227.5     214.5     199.7     527.4     886.9  
 

Net earned premiums from refundings and accelerations

    11.5     36.5     10.8     10.4     15.4     30.5     48.0     67.1  
                                   

Total net earned premiums

    280.5     294.9     256.0     237.9     229.9     230.2     575.4     954.0  

Credit derivative revenues 1

    28.8     27.8     28.1     25.1     23.9     23.3     56.6     100.4  

Other income

    28.9     (0.7 )   17.2     3.3     0.6     37.2     28.2     58.3  
                                   
 

Total underwriting revenues

    338.2     322.0     301.3     266.3     254.4     290.7     660.2     1,112.7  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    0.9     50.9     69.0     60.0     89.1     36.8     51.8     254.9  

Losses incurred on credit derivatives 2

    (27.3 )   (19.7 )   (2.8 )   20.0     4.1     3.3     (47.0 )   24.6  
                                   
 

Total losses incurred

    (26.4 )   31.2     66.2     80.0     93.2     40.1     4.8     279.5  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    -         (0.5 )   (1.3 )   (3.0 )   (1.6 )   (2.8 )   (0.5 )   (8.7 )

Operating expenses

    41.7     25.5     18.8     19.7     20.8     19.8     67.2     79.1  
                                   
 

Total underwriting expenses

    15.3     56.2     83.7     96.7     112.4     57.1     71.5     349.9  
                                   
   

Underwriting gain (loss) 3

    $ 322.9     $ 265.8     $ 217.6     $ 169.6     $ 142.0     $ 233.6     $ 588.7     $ 762.8  
                                   

1. Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

2. Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

3. The Company has revised its definition of underwriting gain in 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. 2009 amounts are presented on a consistent basis.

Page 9



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Investment Portfolio, Available-for Sale
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

 
  Amortized Cost   Pre-Tax Book Yield   After-Tax Book Yield   Fair Value   Annualized Investment Income 1  

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

                               

Fixed maturity securities:

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

  $ 35.0     3.44%     2.24%   $ 36.2   $ 1.2  
 

Agency obligations

    112.4     2.08%     1.35%     115.0     2.3  
 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

    1,780.4     3.91%     3.69%     1,806.9     69.6  
 

Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions 2

    1,583.7     4.83%     4.58%     1,610.3     76.5  
 

Corporate securities

    193.2     2.97%     1.93%     192.5     5.7  
 

Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"):

                               
   

Residential MBS ("RMBS")

    371.6     5.12%     3.33%     344.5     19.0  
   

Commercial MBS ("CMBS")

    18.1     3.58%     2.32%     18.3     0.6  
 

Asset-backed securities

    300.8     2.83%     1.84%     297.8     8.5  
 

Foreign government securities

    263.0     2.82%     1.84%     257.2     7.4  
                       
     

Total fixed maturity securities

    4,658.2     4.10%     3.59%     4,678.7     190.8  

Short-term investments

    588.4     0.15%     0.10%     588.7     0.9  
                       
     

Total

  $ 5,246.6     3.66%     3.20%   $ 5,267.4   $ 191.7  
                       

 

Ratings 3 :
  Fair Value   %    
   
   
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

  $ 36.2     0.8%                    

Agency obligations

    115.0     2.5%                    

AAA/Aaa

    1,342.4     28.7%                    

AA/Aa

    2,023.5     43.2%                    

A/A

    755.1     16.1%                    

BBB

    152.2     3.3%                    

Below investment grade ("BIG") 4

    71.9     1.5%                    

Not rated 4

    182.4     3.9%                    
                             
     

Total fixed maturity securities available for sale

  $ 4,678.7     100.0%                    
                             

Duration of available-for-sale investment portfolio (in years):

          5.3
                   
                               

Average ratings of available-for-sale investment portfolio

          AA
                   
                               

1. Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.

2. Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by Standard & Poor's Rating Services ("S&P") or Moody's Investors Service, Inc. ("Moody's") average A+.

3. Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's and S&P classifications except for bonds purchased for loss mitigation or other risk management strategies which use internal ratings classifications.

4. Included in the investment portfolio are securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies of $525.1 million in par with carrying value of $237.0 million.

Page 10



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization 1 and Estimated Future Net Earned Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues
(in millions)

 
   
   
  Financial Guaranty Insurance 2    
   
 
 
  Estimated Net
Debt Service
Amortization
  Estimated
Ending Net
Debt Service
Outstanding
  Expected PV
Net Earned
Premiums
  Accretion of
Discount
  Future Net
Earned
Premiums
  Future
Credit
Derivative
Revenues 3
  Total  

2010 (as of December 31)

          $ 533,840                                

2011

    43,131     490,709     $ 528.2     $ 14.4     $ 542.6     $ 79.1     $ 621.7  

2012

    44,991     445,718     398.1     13.3     411.4     57.7     469.1  

2013

    39,596     406,122     334.7     12.4     347.1     37.9     385.0  

2014

    38,474     367,648     294.5     11.6     306.1     23.9     330.0  

2015

    30,557     337,091     257.7     10.8     268.5     14.7     283.2  

2011-2015

   
196,749
   
337,091
   
1,813.2
   
62.5
   
1,875.7
   
213.3
   
2,089.0
 

2016-2020

    118,565     218,526     923.4     43.2     966.6     20.3     986.9  

2021-2025

    88,121     130,405     539.7     29.1     568.8     2.3     571.1  

2026-2030

    60,498     69,907     316.5     18.4     334.9     2.4     337.3  

After 2030

    69,907     -         348.2     17.7     365.9     6.5     372.4  
                                 
 

Total

    $ 533,840           $ 3,941.0     $ 170.9     $ 4,111.9     $ 244.8     $ 4,356.7  
                                 

1. Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of December 31, 2010. Actual amortization may differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization. obligations.

2. See page 13 for "Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Net Loss to be Expensed."

3. Excludes contracts with credit impairment.

Page 11



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Expected Amortization of U.S. and Non-U.S. Structured Finance Net Par Outstanding
(in millions)

 
  Estimated Net Par Amortization    
 
 
  U.S. and
Non-U.S.
Pooled
Corporate
  U.S.
RMBS
  Financial
Products 1
  Other
Structured
Finance
  Total   Estimated
Ending Net Par
Outstanding
 

Structured finance net par amortization:

                                     

2010 (as of December 31)

                               
  $

78,382
 

2011

    $ 8,551     $ 2,893     $ 640     $ 1,939     $ 14,023     64,359  

2012

    11,363     1,789     1,140     1,416     15,708     48,651  

2013

    10,440     1,127     886     419     12,872     35,779  

2014

    11,086     936     679     221     12,922     22,857  

2015

    4,749     878     368     426     6,421     16,436  

2011-2015

   
46,189
   
7,623
   
3,713
   
4,421
   
61,946
   
16,436
 

2016-2020

    6,945     2,509     502     680     10,636     5,800  

2021-2025

    140     1,068     648     275     2,131     3,669  

2026-2030

    2     376     614     180     1,172     2,497  

After 2030

    80     743     1,354     320     2,497     -      
                             
 

Total structured finance

    $ 53,356     $ 12,319     $ 6,831     $ 5,876     $ 78,382        
                             

1. See Glossary for description of financial products.

Page 12



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Present Value ("PV") of Financial Guaranty Insurance Net Loss to be Expensed
(in millions)

 
  Net Expected
Loss to be
Expensed 1
 

Financial guaranty insurance losses to be expensed:

       

2011 (January 1 - March 31)

  $ 48.7  

2011 (April 1 - June 30)

    39.5  

2011 (July 1 - September 30)

    31.3  

2011 (October 1 - December 31)

    26.0  

2012

    74.3  

2013

    68.5  

2014

    59.0  

2015

    51.8  

2011-2015

   
399.1
 

2016-2020

    172.9  

2021-2025

    89.3  

2026-2030

    50.7  

After 2030

    48.0  
       
 

Total expected PV of net loss to be expensed

    760.0  

Discount

    383.8  
       
 

Total future value

  $ 1,143.8  
       

1. The expected present value of net loss to be expensed is discounted by weighted-average risk free rates ranging from 0% to 5.34%.

Page 13



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
(in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 
  As of December 31, 2010
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Avg. Rating 1

U.S. public finance:

         
 

General obligation

  $ 112,213   A+
 

Tax backed

    50,097   A+
 

Municipal utilities

    46,164   A+
 

Transportation

    20,665   A
 

Healthcare

    10,057   A
 

Higher education

    7,353   A+
 

Housing

    5,396   AA-
 

Infrastructure finance

    1,197   BBB
 

Investor-owned utilities

    46   A-
 

Other public finance

    1,687   A
         
   

Total U.S. public finance

    254,875   A+

Non-U.S. public finance:

         
 

Infrastructure finance

    11,533   BBB
 

Regulated utilities

    7,222   BBB+
 

Other public finance

    6,396   AA-
         
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    25,151   A-
         

Total public finance

  $ 280,026   A+
         

U.S. structured finance:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

  $ 40,273   AAA
 

RMBS

    12,319   BB-
 

Financial products 2

    6,831   AA-
 

Consumer receivables

    1,981   A+
 

Insurance securitization

    368   AA
 

Commercial receivables

    90   BBB-
 

Structured credit

    80   BB
 

Other structured finance

    609   A-
         
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    62,551   AA

Non-U.S. structured finance:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    13,083   AAA
 

RMBS

    1,574   AA
 

Structured credit

    498   BBB+
 

Commercial receivables

    229   A
 

Insurance securitizations

    38   A+
 

Other structured finance

    409   Super Senior
         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    15,831   AAA
         

Total structured finance

  $ 78,382   AA
         

Total net par outstanding

  $ 358,408   A+
         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. See Glossary for description of financial products.

Note: Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 14



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 
   
  As of December 31, 2010  
 
   
  Public Finance -
U.S.
  Public Finance -
non-U.S.
  Structured Finance -
U.S.
  Structured Finance -
non-U.S.
  Consolidated  
Ratings 1 :
  Net Par
Outstanding

  %
  Net Par
Outstanding

  %
  Net Par
Outstanding

  %
  Net Par
Outstanding

  %
  Net Par
Outstanding

  %
 
 
   
                     
Super senior   $ -         0.0%   $ -         0.0%   $ 13,019     20.8%   $ 5,031     31.8%   $ 18,050     5.0%  
AAA     4,122     1.6%     1,304     5.2%     24,241     38.8%     6,899     43.6%     36,566     10.2%  
AA     106,360     41.7%     1,187     4.7%     12,729     20.3%     1,320     8.3%     121,596     33.9%  
A     121,903     47.8%     7,847     31.2%     1,523     2.4%     904     5.7%     132,177     36.9%  
BBB     21,362     8.4%     13,783     54.8%     1,074     1.7%     1,599     10.1%     37,818     10.6%  
BIG     1,128     0.5%     1,030     4.1%     9,965     16.0%     78     0.5%     12,201     3.4%  
                           
  Total net par outstanding   $ 254,875     100.0%   $ 25,151     100.0%   $ 62,551     100.0%   $ 15,831     100.0%   $ 358,408     100.0%  
                           

Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer and Insurer Financial Strength Rating

Reinsurer
   
  Moody's
Rating

  S&P
Rating

  Ceded Par
Outstanding

  % of
Total

 
     
         
Affiliated companies     A1     AA   $ 67,095     52.4%  

Non-affiliated companies:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Radian Asset Assurance Inc.     Ba1     BB-     21,700     17.0%  
  Tokio Marine & Nichido Fire Insurance Co., Ltd.     Aa2     AA-     19,286     15.1%  
  RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd.     WR     WR     10,480     8.2%  
  Syncora Guarantee Inc.     Ca     WR     4,252     3.3%  
  Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Co. Ltd.     Aa3     AA-     2,462     1.9%  
  ACA Financial Guaranty Corporation     NR     WR     835     0.7%  
  Swiss Reinsurance Company     A1     A+     516     0.4%  
  Financial Guaranty Insurance Company     WR     WR     249     0.2%  
  CIFG Assurance North America Inc.     WR     WR     73     0.1%  
  Other     Various     Various     1,023     0.7%  
                       
Non-affiliated companies                 60,876     47.6%  
                       
    Total               $ 127,971     100.0%  
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 15



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of December 31, 2010

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

U.S.:

             

Public finance:

             
 

California

  $ 36,284     10.1%  
 

New York

    21,242     5.9%  
 

Pennsylvania

    20,099     5.6%  
 

Texas

    17,548     4.9%  
 

Illinois

    16,239     4.5%  
 

Florida

    14,747     4.1%  
 

New Jersey

    11,334     3.2%  
 

Michigan

    11,297     3.2%  
 

Washington

    8,455     2.4%  
 

Massachusetts

    7,439     2.1%  
 

Other states

    90,191     25.1%  
           
   

Total public finance

    254,875     71.1%  

Structured finance (multiple states)

    62,551     17.5%  
           
   

Total U.S

    317,426     88.6%  
           

Non-U.S.:

             
 

United Kingdom

    12,209     3.4%  
 

Australia

    5,581     1.6%  
 

Canada

    4,072     1.1%  
 

France

    1,714     0.5%  
 

Italy

    1,666     0.5%  
 

Other

    15,740     4.3%  
           
   

Total non-U.S.

    40,982     11.4%  
           
 

Total net par outstanding

  $ 358,408     100.0%  
           

Page 16



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings as of December 31, 2010

Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 2
 

Super senior

  $ 17,440     32.7%     27.3%     26.0%  

AAA

    29,022     54.4%     24.5%     25.9%  

AA

    4,121     7.7%     38.1%     34.2%  

A

    1,177     2.2%     2.9%     3.5%  

BBB

    1,375     2.6%     8.1%     6.5%  

BIG

    221     0.4%     40.8%     7.6%  
                   
 

Total exposures

  $ 53,356     100.0%     25.6%     25.5%  
                   

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of December 31, 2010

Asset class:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg. Rating 1  

CBOs/CLOs 3

  $ 28,932     54.2%     27.4%     27.5%     AAA  

Synthetic investment grade pooled corporates

    14,005     26.2%     18.6%     16.8%     AAA  

Synthetic high yield pooled corporates

    8,020     15.0%     34.9%     30.6%     AA+  

Market value CDOs of corporates

    1,492     2.8%     17.0%     49.9%     AAA  

Trust preferred - banks and insurance 4

    152     0.3%     50.3%     47.8%     A  

CDO of CDOs (corporate) 5

    29     0.1%     24.2%     24.4%     A  

Other pooled corporates

    726     1.4%     0.0%     0.0%     A-  
                       
 

Total exposures

  $ 53,356     100.0%     25.6%     25.5%     AAA  
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinate tranches that are junior in the capital structure to AGM's exposure, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the numbers shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to adjustments.

3. CBOs (collateralized bond obligations)/CLOs (collateralized loan obligations) are largely non-investment/high yield collateral.

4. Prior to fourth quarter 2010, the ratio of average current credit enhancement for Trust Preferred Pooled Corporate Obligations was based on the value of the collateral as reported by the trustees, which for non-performing or low-rated collateral varied by transaction in accordance with the individual transaction documents. Beginning fourth quarter 2010, Assured Guaranty has made the measure consistent across transactions, assigning a value of 100% of the par to all performing securities, applying a standard haircut for restructured performing collateral, assigning recovery assumptions for defaulted collateral by collateral type, and making additional negative adjustments for transactions where the notional amount of interest rate hedges materially exceeds the amount of performing collateral requiring hedges.

5. CDOs are collateralized debt obligations.

Page 17



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and Type of Exposure as of December 31, 2010

Ratings:
  Prime First
Lien 2
  Closed End
Seconds
  HELOC 3   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime First
Lien
  Net Interest
Margin
  Total Net Par
Outstanding
 

AAA

  $ 4   $ -       $ 403   $ 80   $ 86   $ 1,209   $ -       $ 1,782  

AA

    97     200     241     39     -         237     0     814  

A

    1     -         -         -         -         120     -         121  

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         167     23     190  

BIG

    -         877     3,027     1,285     1,937     2,134     151     9,411  
                                   
 

Total exposures

  $ 102   $ 1,077   $ 3,672   $ 1,404   $ 2,023   $ 3,866   $ 175   $ 12,319  
                                   

    Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure as of December 31, 2010

Year insured 4:
  Prime First
Lien
  Closed End
Seconds
  HELOC   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  Net Interest
Margin
  Total Net Par
Outstanding
 

2004 and prior

  $ 6   $ -       $ 249   $ 66   $ -       $ 1,238   $ 0   $ 1,561  

2005

    -         -         589     334     106     338     0     1,367  

2006

    95     443     1,375     485     764     126     86     3,374  

2007

    -         634     1,458     519     1,153     2,096     88     5,949  

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         68     -         68  
                                   
 

Total exposures

  $ 102   $ 1,077   $ 3,672   $ 1,404   $ 2,023   $ 3,866   $ 175   $ 12,319  
                                   

    Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and Year Insured as of December 31, 2010

Year insured:
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total    
   
 

2004 and prior

  $ 1,226   $ 2   $ 44   $ 14   $ 275   $ 1,561              

2005

    147     100     -         46     1,074     1,367              

2006

    137     95     77     -         3,065     3,374              

2007

    273     617     -         62     4,997     5,949              

2008

    -         -         -         68     -         68              
                                       
 

Total exposures

  $ 1,782   $ 814   $ 121   $ 190   $ 9,411   $ 12,319              
                                       

% of total

    14.5%     6.6%     1.0%     1.5%     76.4%     100.0%              

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

2. Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous MBS transactions.

3. Home equity line of credit ("HELOC") securitizations.

4. AGM has not insured any U.S. RMBS transactions since 2008.

Page 18



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of December 31, 2010 1

U.S. Closed End Seconds

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 2   Subordination 3 6   Cumulative
Losses 4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2006

    443     20.4%     -         56.4%     14.8%     2  
 

2007

    634     25.2%     -         61.2%     13.6%     9  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

  $ 1,077     23.2%     -         59.2%     14.1%     11  
                             

U.S. HELOC

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool
Factor
  Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 589     20.9%     4.3%     9.2%     9.2%     4  
 

2006

    1,375     34.3%     2.1%     28.8%     11.3%     7  
 

2007

    1,458     51.9%     4.2%     23.5%     6.3%     7  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

  $ 3,422     39.5%     3.4%     23.2%     8.8%     18  
                             

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool
Factor
  Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 334     36.7%     11.7%     6.5%     24.4%     8  
 

2006

    485     48.0%     0.5%     13.3%     38.9%     7  
 

2007

    519     60.3%     0.4%     13.9%     40.7%     4  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

  $ 1,338     49.9%     3.3%     11.8%     36.0%     19  
                             

1. Net par outstanding is based on values as of December 31, 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on December 31, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned ("REO") divided by net par outstanding.

6. Many of the CES transactions insured by the Company have unique structures whereby the collateral may be written down for losses without a corresponding write-down of the obligations insured by the Company. Many of these transactions are currently under-collateralized, with the principal amount of collateral being less than the principal amount of the obligation insured by the Company. The Company is not required to pay principal shortfalls until legal maturity (rather than making timely principal payments), and takes the under-collateralization into account when estimating expected losses for these transactions.

Page 19



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of December 31, 2010 1

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 2   Subordination 3   Cumulative
Losses 4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 106     30.6%     4.5%     8.9%     42.3%     3  
 

2006

    764     56.0%     4.3%     12.1%     53.6%     6  
 

2007

    1,153     59.9%     2.5%     13.9%     46.7%     6  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

  $ 2,023     56.9%     3.3%     12.9%     49.1%     15  
                             

U.S. Subprime First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 338     37.8%     44.3%     4.5%     39.7%     6  
 

2006

    126     40.0%     43.5%     11.6%     40.6%     2  
 

2007

    2,096     67.6%     25.9%     11.0%     49.8%     9  
 

2008

    68     71.2%     32.9%     7.1%     34.2%     1  
                             
 

  $ 2,627     62.6%     29.3%     10.1%     47.6%     18  
                             

1. Net par outstanding is based on values as of December 31, 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on December 31, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

Page 20



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. Consumer Receivables by Rating 1 as of December 31, 2010

  Rating:
  Credit Cards   Manufactured
Housing
  Auto   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

AAA

  $ -       $ 77   $ 30   $ 107  
 

AA

    -         44     986     1,030  
 

A

    -         -         177     177  
 

BBB

    89     -         419     508  
 

BIG

    -         159     -         159  
                     
   

Total exposures

  $ 89   $ 280   $ 1,612   $ 1,981  
                     
 

Average rating 1

    BBB     A-     A+     A+  
 

Avg. initial credit enhancement 2

    13.2%     27.5%     11.2%     13.6%  
 

Avg. current credit enhancement 2

    13.2%     26.1%     32.4%     30.7%  

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinate tranches that are junior in the capital structure to AGM's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to adjustments.

Page 21



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Rating

   
  As of December 31, 2010  
  Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  
 

Super senior

    $ 17,409     32.8%  
 

AAA

    26,757     50.4%  
 

AA

    4,351     8.2%  
 

A

    2,320     4.4%  
 

BBB

    1,496     2.8%  
 

BIG

    717     1.4%  
             
   

Total credit derivative net par outstanding

    $ 53,050     100.0%  
             

Distribution of Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Sector and Average Rating

 
  As of December 31, 2010  
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Average
Rating 1
 

Public finance

             
 

U.S. public finance

    $ 801     A  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    2,731     A  
           

Total public finance

    $ 3,532     A  
           

U.S. structured finance:

             
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    $ 36,612     AAA  
 

Insurance securitizations

    369     AA  
 

RMBS

    339     BBB-  
 

Commercial receivables

    62     BB  
 

Other structured finance

    109     CCC  
           
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    37,491     AAA  

Non-U.S. structured finance:

             
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    11,495     AAA  
 

RMBS

    490     AA-  
 

Insurance securitizations

    38     A+  
 

Structured credit

    4     BBB  
           
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    12,027     AAA  
           

Total structured finance

    $ 49,518     AAA  
           
 

Total credit derivative net par outstanding

    $ 53,050     AAA  
           

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Note: Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 22



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 5)
As of December 31, 2010
(in millions)

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
 

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type:

       

U.S. public finance:

       
 

General obligation

  $ 514  
 

Tax backed

    189  
 

Healthcare

    187  
 

Municipal utilities

    161  
 

Housing

    6  
 

Higher education

    5  
 

Other public finance

    66  
       
   

Total U.S. public finance

    1,128  

Non-U.S. public finance:

       
 

Infrastructure finance

    836  
 

Municipal finance

    194  
       
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    1,030  
       

Total public finance

  $ 2,158  

U.S. structured finance:

       
 

RMBS

  $ 9,411  
 

Consumer receivables

    159  
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    143  
 

Structured credit

    80  
 

Commercial receivables

    63  
 

Other structured finance

    109  
       
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    9,965  

Non-U.S. structured finance:

       
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    78  
       
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    78  
       

Total structured finance

  $ 10,043  
       

Total BIG net par outstanding

  $ 12,201  
       

Note: Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 23



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category 1

 
  Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit
Derivatives BIG Surveillance Categories
 
 
  December 31, 2010   December 31, 2009  

Category 1

             
 

U.S. public finance

  $ 932   $ 991  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    1,030     380  
 

U.S. structured finance

    1,446     1,775  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    1     2  
           
   

Total Category 1

    3,409     3,148  

Category 2

             
 

U.S. public finance

    12     330  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

         
 

U.S. structured finance

    3,953     4,601  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    2     2  
           
   

Total Category 2

    3,967     4,933  

Category 3

             
 

U.S. public finance

    184     186  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

         
 

U.S. structured finance

    4,566     3,895  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    75     77  
           
   

Total Category 3

    4,825     4,158  
           
     

BIG Total

  $ 12,201   $ 12,239  
           

1. Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of BIG credits. During the fourth quarter of 2010 the Company revised the definitions of the three BIG surveillance categories to more closely track Risk Management personnel's view of whether a transaction is expected to experience a loss, without regard to whether the probability weighted expected loss exceeded the unearned premium reserve. While the revisions resulted in a number of transactions moving between BIG categories, the Company estimates that the revisions had a relatively small impact on the totals in each category. BIG Category 1: Below investment grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make lifetime losses possible, but for which none are currently expected. Transactions on which claims have been paid but are expected to be fully reimbursed (other than investment grade transactions on which only liquidity claims have been paid) are in this category. BIG Category 2: Below investment grade transactions for which lifetime losses are expected but for which no claims (other than liquidity claims) have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below investment grade transactions for which lifetime losses are expected and on which claims (other than liquidity claims) have been paid. Transactions remain in this category when claims have been paid and only a recoverable remains.

Page 24



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 5)
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Public Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

 
  Net Par Outstanding   Internal Rating 1  

Name or description

             

U.S. public finance:

             

Detroit (City of) School District Michigan

  $ 163     BB  

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

    145     D  

Jefferson County Alabama School Sales Tax Limited Obligation

    144     BB  

Detroit (City of) Michigan

    113     BB+  

Reading (City of) Pennsylvania

    100     BB  

Harrisburg (City of) Pennsylvania General Obligation

    73     B-  

Mashantucket Pequot Tribe, Connecticut

    65     B  

St. Barnabas Health System — New Jersey

    58     BB  
             
 

Total

  $ 861        

Non-U.S. public finance:

             

Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited

  $ 448     BB  

Aeroporti Di Roma (ADR) Romulus Finance S.R.L. (Rome Airport)

    210     BB  

Hellenic Republic

    194     BB+  

Cross City Tunnel Motorway Finance Limited

    178     BB  
             
 

Total

  $ 1,030        
             

Total

  $ 1,891        
             

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Page 25



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (4 of 5)
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Structured Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

Name or description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 2

U.S. structured finance:

                 
 

U.S. RMBS:

                 
 

MABS 2007-NCW

    $ 588   B   33.3%   67.0%
 

MASTR 2007-3

    518   CCC   1.1%   55.0%
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-I

    502   CCC   0.0%   9.1%
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-F

    424   CCC   0.0%   20.0%
 

Option One 2007-FXD2

    387   CCC   17.3%   29.3%
 

Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-1

    365   CCC   0.0%   40.6%
 

HARBORVIEW 2006-12

    318   BB   8.9%   58.5%
 

Countrywide HELOC 2005-D

    274   CCC   0.0%   12.3%
 

Countrywide 2007-13

    272   B   31.4%   58.1%
 

MARM 2007-1 (FKA MASTR 2007-OA1)

    268   CCC   0.0%   34.3%
 

Countrywide HELOC 2007-A

    259   CCC   0.0%   8.1%
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-12SL

    249   CCC   0.0%   16.9%
 

GMACM 2004-HE3

    236   BB   0.0%   4.2%
 

Countrywide HELOC 2007-B

    234   CCC   0.0%   8.9%
 

CWABS 2007-4

    218   CCC   21.9%   45.4%
 

FHABS 2007-HE1 HELOC

    209   B   0.0%   3.2%
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-1SL

    204   CCC   0.0%   11.5%
 

Soundview 2007-WMC1

    195   CCC   9.8%   72.3%
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-10SL

    194   CCC   0.0%   12.1%
 

FHABS 2006-HE2 HELOC

    190   B   0.0%   3.9%
 

Indymac 2007-H1 HELOC

    189   CCC   0.0%   9.1%
 

Harborview 2006-1

    187   CCC   2.6%   62.1%
 

Harborview 2007-1

    181   B   12.4%   59.5%
 

New Century 2005-A

    164   B   20.6%   32.8%
 

Renaissance (DELTA) 2007-3

    146   B   25.2%   35.5%
 

CSAB 2006-3

    139   CCC   0.0%   44.4%
 

Countrywide HELOC 2005-C

    139   CCC   0.0%   10.8%
 

Harborview 2006-10

    117   CCC   0.0%   27.9%
 

Flagstar HELOC 2006-2

    113   CCC   22.0%   7.1%
 

Flagstar HELOC 2005-1

    110   BB   19.9%   4.1%
 

NAAC 2007-S2

    101   CCC   0.0%   14.5%
 

American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2007-4

    98   CCC   0.0%   30.4%
 

CSAB 2006-2

    91   CCC   0.8%   39.7%
 

Deutsche ALT-B 2006-AB1

    90   CCC   2.1%   29.9%
 

IndyMac IMSC Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HOA1

    89   CCC   0.0%   33.1%
 

Countrywide Alt-A 2005-22T

    81   B   5.8%   26.5%
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    75   BB   26.9%   33.2%
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2005-16HE

    68   B   11.2%   28.2%
 

CSMC 2007-3

    67   CCC   0.0%   34.0%
 

ACE 2007-SL1

    62   CCC   0.0%   11.6%
 

ACE 2006-GP1

    60   CCC   0.0%   9.5%
 

Deutsche ALT-B 2006-AB4

    59   CCC   0.0%   36.6%
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-6 Alt-A

    58   CCC   0.0%   54.6%
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-H

    54   CCC   0.0%   19.6%
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2005-14HE

    53   B   10.3%   26.2%
 

GSAA 2005-12

    52   B   10.9%   23.5%
 

CWALT 2005-62

    50   CCC   9.6%   58.0%
                 
   

Total U.S. RMBS

    $ 8,797            
                 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

2. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO, divided by net par outstanding.

Page 26



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (5 of 5)
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Structured Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million (continued)

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
 

Name or description

                   

U.S. structured finance:

                   
 

Other:

                   
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

  $ 113     CCC     7.7%  
 

NRG Peaker

    109     CCC     N/A  
 

Conseco Finance Manufactured Housing Series 2001-2

    89     BB     16.7%  
 

Private Other Non-Municipal Transaction

    80     BB     N/A  
 

Greenpoint 2000-4

    70     BB     13.2%  
 

America West Airlines EETC

    63     BB     N/A  
                   
   

Total other

  $ 524              
                   
     

Total

  $ 9,321              

Non-U.S. structured finance:

                   
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

  $ 75     CCC     7.7%  
                   
     

Total

  $ 75              
                   
 

Total

  $ 9,396              
                   

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Page 27



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4)
As of December 31, 2010
(in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures

  Credit name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
 

New Jersey (State of)

    $ 2,706   AA-
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of)

    2,052   AA
 

New York (State of)

    1,912   AA-
 

Chicago (City of) Illinois

    1,803   AA-
 

New York (City of) New York

    1,557   AA
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) State Sales Tax

    1,504   AA
 

Houston Texas Water and Sewer Authority

    1,494   A+
 

University of California Board of Regents

    1,483   AA
 

Illinois (State of)

    1,457   A+
 

Washington (State of)

    1,436   AA
 

Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of)

    1,428   AA-
 

Wisconsin (State of)

    1,382   A+
 

Arizona (State of)

    1,380   AA-
 

California (State of)

    1,355   BBB+
 

Port Authority of New York and New Jersey

    1,350   AA-
 

New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority

    1,338   AA+
 

Los Angeles California Unified School District

    1,285   AA-
 

Atlanta Georgia Water & Sewer System

    1,224   BBB+
 

New York MTA Dedicated Tax

    1,110   AA-
 

Broward County Florida School Board

    1,095   AA-
 

New York MTA Transportation Authority

    1,091   A
 

Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of)

    1,051   BBB-
 

Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport

    1,042   A+
 

Denver Colorado School District No.1

    1,014   A+
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources

    1,004   AA
 

Illinois Toll Highway Authority

    997   AA
 

Los Angeles California Department of Water and Power - Electric Revenue Bonds

    971   AA-
 

Long Island Power Authority

    946   A-
 

Chicago-O'Hare International Airport

    939   A
 

New Jersey Turnpike Authority

    924   A-
 

San Diego County, California Water

    915   AA
 

Orlando-Orange County Expressway Authority, Florida

    881   A+
 

Louisiana (State of) Gas and Fuel Tax

    866   AA-
 

Connecticut (State of)

    860   AA-
 

Michigan (State of)

    839   A+
 

Skyway Concession Company LLC

    833   BBB
 

Kentucky (Commonwealth of)

    832   AA-
 

Detroit Michigan Sewer

    821   BBB+
 

San Diego California Unified School District

    820   AA
 

California State University System Trustee

    815   AA-
 

Metro Washington Airport Authority

    808   AA-
 

Michigan (State of) Gas & Motor Vehicle Tax

    804   AA
 

Chicago Illinois Public Schools

    802   A+
 

California (State of) Department of Water Resources - Electric Power Revenue

    792   A+
 

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Water and Wastewater System

    785   A-
 

Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania

    767   BBB-
 

Hawaii (State of) Department of Hawaiian Home Lands

    756   AA
 

Oregon (State of)

    751   AA-
 

Detroit, Michigan Water System

    745   A-
 

Austin Texas Combined Utility System Revenue Bonds

    740   AA-
           
   

Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures

    $ 56,562    
           

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Page 28



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 4)
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures

  Credit name:
  Net Par Outstanding   Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit Enhancement  
 

Fortress Credit Opportunities I, LP.

  $ 1,268     AA     31.2%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    1,126     AAA     13.3%  
 

Stone Tower Credit Funding

    1,119     AAA     49.9%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    973     AA-     41.1%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    841     Super Senior     31.4%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    813     Super Senior     30.3%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    763     Super Senior     14.8%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    754     Super Senior     24.2%  
 

Mizuho II Synthetic CDO

    744     A     30.7%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    738     Super Senior     23.6%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    737     Super Senior     29.2%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    730     AA-     40.0%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    652     AAA     17.2%  
 

MABS 2007-NCW

    588     B     33.3%  
 

MASTR 2007-3

    518     CCC     1.1%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    512     Super Senior     14.3%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-I

    502     CCC     0.0%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    492     AAA     46.7%  
 

Denali CLO VII, LTD.

    480     AAA     20.2%  
 

Eastland CLO, LTD

    475     Super Senior     35.8%  
 

Avenue CLO V

    448     AAA     21.0%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    434     Super Senior     24.5%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    433     AAA     10.7%  
 

Countrywide Heloc 2006-F

    424     CCC     0.0%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    412     Super Senior     12.0%  
 

Churchill Financial Cayman

    412     AAA     37.8%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    399     Super Senior     14.0%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    391     AAA     35.6%  
 

Option One 2007-FXD2

    387     CCC     17.3%  
 

Grayson CLO

    385     Super Senior     26.3%  
 

Westchester CLO

    382     AAA     36.9%  
 

Stone Tower III

    380     AAA     21.6%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    380     Super Senior     29.2%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    371     Super Senior     14.2%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    368     Super Senior     10.3%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    368     AAA     29.5%  
 

Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-1

    365     CCC     0.0%  
 

CENT CDO 15 LIMITED

    360     Super Senior     17.3%  
 

Stone Tower CLO V

    357     Super Senior     28.1%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    348     AAA     34.2%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    342     AAA     17.5%  
 

MUIR GROVE CLO

    340     AAA     21.8%  
 

KKR Financial CLO 2005-1

    340     AAA     25.0%  
 

Madison Park Funding

    329     AAA     26.9%  
 

CIFC FUNDING 2006-1

    328     AAA     23.5%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    327     AAA     29.5%  
 

Harborview 2006-12

    318     BB     8.9%  
 

LCM VI LTD.

    316     AAA     21.2%  
 

Credit Protection Trust 188

    306     AA     N/A  
 

AMERICREDIT 2007-B-F

    302     AA     21.9%  
                     
   

Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures

  $ 25,877              
                     

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA- rated exposure has additional Credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of Credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such Credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 29



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 4)
As of December 31, 2010
(in millions)

25 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures

  Credit name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating 1
 

Quebec Province

    $ 1,932   A
 

Sydney Airport Finance Company

    1,548   BBB
 

Thames Water Utility Finance PLC

    1,272   A-
 

Channel Link Enterprises Finance PLC

    894   BBB
 

International AAA Sovereign Debt Synthetic CDO

    821   AAA
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    672   Super Senior
 

Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment Agency

    624   AA
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    551   Super Senior
 

Duchess I CDO

    514   BBB-
 

Artesian Finance II Plc (Southern)

    503   A-
 

Central Nottinghamshire Hospitals plc

    482   BBB
 

Capital Hospitals (Issuer) PLC

    470   BBB-
 

Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited

    449   BB
 

ETSA Utility Finance Pty Ltd.

    434   A-
 

Queen Street CLO I

    420   Super Senior
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    416   AAA
 

Integrated Accomodation Services PLC

    399   BBB+
 

The Hospital Company (QAH Portsmouth) Limited

    392   BBB
 

Verbund - Lease and Sublease of Hydro-Electric equipment

    386   AAA
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    381   Super Senior
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    375   AAA
 

Stone Tower Credit Funding

    373   AAA
 

Brisbane Airport

    373   BBB
 

Private Other Structured Finance Transaction

    373   Super Senior
 

MPC Funding Limited

    372   BBB
           
   

Total top 25 non-U.S. exposures

    $ 15,426    
           

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 30



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (4 of 4)
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

10 Largest U.S. Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

  Servicer:
  Net Par
Outstanding
   
   
 
 

Bank of America, N.A. 1

  $ 5,279              
 

American Home Mortgage Servicing, Inc.

    1,624              
 

GMAC Mortgage Corporation

    956              
 

Specialized Loan Servicing, LLC.

    856              
 

Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC.

    812              
 

Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.

    724              
 

OneWest Bank Group, LLC.

    590              
 

First Tennessee Bank N.A.

    401              
 

Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc.

    263              
 

Litton Loan Servicing LP

    259              
                     
   

Total top 10 U.S. residential mortgage servicers exposures

  $ 11,764              
                     

10 Largest U.S. Healthcare Exposures

  Credit name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating 2   State  
 

Asante Health System

  $ 246     A     OR  
 

MultiCare Health System

    228     A+     WA  
 

Hospital Sisters Health Services Inc Obligated Group

    210     AA-     IL  
 

CHRISTUS Health

    202     A+     TX  
 

Carolina HealthCare System

    192     AA-     NC  
 

Catholic Health Initiatives

    188     AA     CO  
 

Clarian Health Partners

    182     A+     IN  
 

Columbus Regional Healthcare System Inc.

    171     A-     GA  
 

Covenant Health Hospital Revenue Bonds

    164     A-     TN  
 

Memorial Hermann Healthcare Revenue Stream

    158     A     TX  
                     
   

Total top 10 U.S. healthcare exposures

  $ 1,941              
                     

    1. Includes Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP.

    2. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Page 31



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves and Credit Impairment
(in millions)

 
  As of December 31, 2010  

Insurance reserves:

       

Gross

    $ 243.0  

Ceded

    24.6  
       
 

Net insurance reserves

    $ 218.4  
       

Salvage and subrogation recoverable:

       

Gross

    $ 846.1  

Ceded 1

    162.6  
       
 

Net salvage and subrogation recoverable

    $ 683.5  
       

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts 2:

       

Gross

    $ 131.5  

Ceded

    33.8  
       
 

Net credit derivative credit impairment

    $ 97.7  
       

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty insurance and credit derivative contracts, net of reinsurance 3

       

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance

    $ 218.4  

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts

    97.7  
       

Net loss and LAE reserves and credit impairment

    $ 316.1  
       

1. Recorded in "reinsurance balances payable, net" on the consolidated balance sheets.

2. Credit derivative assets and liabilities recorded on the balance sheet incorporate estimates of expected losses.

3. Gross of salvage and subrogation assets.

Page 32



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid
As of December 31, 2010
(in millions)

Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2010

Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and Credit Derivatives   Expected Loss to
be Paid as of
September 30,
2010
  Loss
Development
and Accretion
of Discount for
4Q-10 1
  Less: Paid
Losses
4Q-10
  Expected Loss to
be Paid as of
December 31,
2010
 

U.S. RMBS

                         
 

First lien:

                         
   

Alt-A first lien

  $ 150.4   $ 11.3   $ 16.7   $ 145.0  
   

Alt-A option ARMs

    489.7     47.1     76.9     459.9  
   

Subprime first lien

    150.6     36.6     7.2     180.0  
                   
     

Total first lien

    790.7     95.0     100.8     784.9  
 

Second lien:

                         
   

Closed end seconds

    141.4     (40.4 )   8.9     92.1  
   

HELOC

    (425.5 )   (143.9 )   51.6     (621.0 )
                   
     

Total second lien

    (284.1 )   (184.3 )   60.5     (528.9 )
                   
     

Total U.S. RMBS

    506.6     (89.3 )   161.3     256.0  
 

TruPS

    -         -         -         -      
 

Other structured finance

    58.5     (0.9 )   -         57.6  
 

Public finance

    12.6     (0.5 )   2.7     9.4  
                   

Total

    $ 577.7     $ (90.7 )   $ 164.0     $ 323.0  
                   

Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid for the Year Ended December 31, 2010

Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and Credit Derivatives   Expected Loss to
be Paid as of
January 1,
2010
  Loss
Development
and Accretion
of Discount for
2010 1
  Less: Paid
Losses During
2010
  Expected Loss to
be Paid as of
December 31,
2010
 

U.S. RMBS

                         
 

First lien:

                         
   

Alt-A first lien

  $ 175.9   $ 29.4   $ 60.3   $ 145.0  
   

Alt-A option ARMs

    515.8     122.4     178.3     459.9  
   

Subprime first lien

    88.6     100.3     8.9     180.0  
                   
     

Total first lien

    780.3     252.1     247.5     784.9  
 

Second lien:

                         
   

Closed end seconds

    220.1     (78.0 )   50.0     92.1  
   

HELOC

    (85.5 )   (121.3 )   414.2     (621.0 )
                   
     

Total second lien

    134.6     (199.3 )   464.2     (528.9 )
                   
     

Total U.S. RMBS

    914.9     52.8     711.7     256.0  
 

TruPS

    -         -         -         -      
 

Other structured finance

    32.0     27.5     1.9     57.6  
 

Public finance

    49.4     (13.0 )   27.0     9.4  
                   

Total

    $ 996.3     $ 67.3     $ 740.6     $ 323.0  
                   

1. Includes the effect of changes in the Company's estimate of future recovery on representations and warranties ("R&W").

Page 33



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS R&W Benefit Development
(dollars in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS R&W Benefit Development for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2010

 
  Future Net R&W
Benefit at
September 30, 2010
  R&W
Development and
Accretion of
Discount During
4Q-10
  Less:
R&W
Recovered
During
4Q-10
  Future Net R&W
Benefit at
December 31, 2010
 

Financial guaranty insurance:

                         
 

Alt-A first lien

    $ 71.2     $ (3.0 )   $ -         $ 68.2  
 

Alt-A option ARMs

    227.1     66.4     2.3     291.2  
 

Subprime first lien 1

    -         26.6     -         26.6  
 

Closed end seconds

    60.3     38.1     -         98.4  
 

HELOC

    562.1     203.3     27.0     738.4  
                   
   

Total

    $ 920.7     $ 331.4     $ 29.3     $ 1,222.8  
                   

Credit derivatives

    $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -      
                   

Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS R&W Benefit Development for the Year Ended December 31, 2010

 
  Future Net R&W
Benefit at
December 31, 2009
  R&W
Development and
Accretion of
Discount
During 2010
  Less:
R&W
Recovered
During 2010
  Future Net R&W
Benefit at
December 31, 2010
 

Financial guaranty insurance:

                         
 

Alt-A first lien

    $ 53.2     $ 15.0     $ -         $ 68.2  
 

Alt-A option ARMs

    183.6     147.3     39.7     291.2  
 

Subprime first lien 1

    -         26.6     -         26.6  
 

Closed end seconds

    -         98.4     -         98.4  
 

HELOC

    524.4     293.3     79.3     738.4  
                   
   

Total

    $ 761.2     $ 580.6     $ 119.0     $ 1,222.8  
                   

Credit derivatives

    $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -      
                   

Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Debt Services on Policies With R&W Benefit as of December 31, 2010 and 2009

 
  # of Insurance Policies with R&W Benefit Recorded
as of December 31,
  Outstanding Principal and Interest on Policies with R&W Benefit Recorded as of December 31,  
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Financial guaranty insurance:

                         
 

Alt-A first lien

    11     11     $ 1,441.2     $ 1,459.5  
 

Alt-A option ARMs

    10     8     1,818.8     2,251.9  
 

Subprime first lien 1

    1     -         227.0     -      
 

Closed end seconds

    2     -         258.3     -      
 

HELOC

    10     8     2,190.5     3,107.1  
                   
   

Total

    34     27     $ 5,935.8     $ 6,818.5  
                   

Credit derivatives

    -         -         $ -         $ -      
                   

1. Includes net interest margin.

Page 34



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Losses Incurred and Paid
As of December 31, 2010
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and
Credit Derivatives
  Total Net Par
Outstanding for
BIG
Transactions 1
  4Q-10
Losses
Incurred
  2010
Losses
Incurred
  Net Reserve
and
Credit
Impairment
  Net Salvage
and
Subrogation
Assets
  Expected Loss
to be
Expensed
 

First lien:

                                     
 

Prime first lien

    $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -      
 

Alt-A first lien

    1,285.0     10.3     25.9     3.4     2.5     177.7  
 

Alt-A option ARMs

    1,936.9     94.2     231.5     155.6     61.1     380.0  
 

Subprime first lien 1

    2,284.7     23.5     64.6     97.1     0.1     84.8  
                           
   

Total first lien

    5,506.6     128.0     322.0     256.1     63.7     642.5  

Second lien:

                                     
 

Closed end seconds

    877.1     5.3     2.3     31.5     33.0     132.5  
 

HELOC

    3,027.4     (97.9 )   (83.8 )   3.8     643.8     162.4  
                           
   

Total second lien

    3,904.5     (92.6 )   (81.5 )   35.3     676.8     294.9  
                           
   

Total U.S. RMBS

    9,411.1     35.4     240.5     291.4     740.5     937.4  

Other structured finance

    632.3     2.8     32.4     43.6     -         9.6  

Public finance

    2,157.7     1.9     6.6     13.2     26.3     24.1  
                           

Total

    $ 12,201.1     $ 40.1     $ 279.5     $ 348.2     $ 766.8     $ 971.1  
                           

Effect of consolidating of VIEs

    -         (17.9 )   (63.4 )   (32.1 )   (83.3 )   (211.1 )
                           

Total

    $ 12,201.1     $ 22.2     $ 216.1     $ 316.1     $ 683.5     $ 760.0  
                           

1. Includes net interest margin.

Page 35



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions)

 
  Year Ended December 31,  
 
  2010   2009   2008   2007   2006  

Statutory Data

                               
 

Net income (loss)

  $ 401.8   $ 228.2   $ (1,376.7 ) $ 312.9   $ 339.6  
 

Policyholders' surplus

 
$

993
 
$

909
 
$

711
 
$

1,609
 
$

1,543
 
 

Contingency reserve

    1,585     1,323     1,282     1,094     1,011  
                       
   

Qualified statutory capital

    2,578     2,232     1,993     2,703     2,554  
 

Unearned premium reserve

    2,298     2,392     2,520     2,275     2,071  
 

Loss and LAE reserves

    436     1,022     1,688     98     53  
                       
   

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    5,312     5,646     6,201     5,076     4,678  
 

Present value of installment premiums

    691     783     963     1,113     828  
 

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    498     498     550     550     550  
                       
   

Total claims-paying resources

  $ 6,501   $ 6,927   $ 7,714   $ 6,739   $ 6,056  
                       

Statutory Financial Ratios

                               
   

Loss and LAE ratio

    47.0 %   17.4 %   480.2 %   16.1 %   0.0 %
   

Expense ratio

    32.5 %   48.1 %   9.1 %   30.0 %   29.9 %
                       
   

Combined ratio

    79.5 %   65.5 %   489.3 %   46.1 %   29.9 %
                       

Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis)

                               
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

  $ 516,080   $ 568,594   $ 631,886   $ 623,158   $ 552,695  
 

Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)

    715,938     755,360     834,426     858,458     765,632  
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    343,619     381,148     424,393     426,512     376,456  
 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

    464,904     493,798     545,568     564,515     498,619  
 

Ceded par to all Assured Guaranty companies

    63,602     32,501     32,927     30,872     37,590  
 

Ceded par to other companies

    57,682     79,433     88,248     107,131     84,573  
 

Ratios:

                               
   

Par insured to statutory capital

    133:1     171:1     213:1     158:1     147:1  
   

Capital ratio 1

    200:1     255:1     317:1     231:1     216:1  
   

Financial resources ratio 2

    79:1     82:1     82:1     92:1     91:1  
 

Gross debt service written:

                               
     

Public finance

  $ 43,115   $ 4,202   $ 85,666   $ 133,792   $ 127,294  
     

Structured finance

    -         -         5,193     57,434     48,794  
                       
 

Total gross debt service written

  $ 43,115   $ 4,202   $ 90,859   $ 191,226   $ 176,088  
                       

1. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured divided by qualified statutory capital.

2. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured by total claims paying resources.

Page 36



Glossary

Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010.

General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit bonds that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy ad valorem taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation. They include tax-backed revenue bonds, general fund obligations and lease revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose. Bonds in this category also include moral obligations of municipalities or governmental authorities.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported bonds, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution's revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily backed by investor-owned utilities, first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, and also include sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Regulated Utilities Obligations are issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities. The majority of the Company's international regulated utility business is conducted in the UK.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of CDS obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations.

Other Public Finance. Other domestic public finance obligations insured by AGM include bonds secured by revenues and guarantees from the Federal government, financings supported by specific state or local government entity revenues and stadium financings.

Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in "tranches," with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company's financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") and Home Equity Securities are obligations backed by closed-end first mortgage loans and closed- and open-end second mortgage loans or home equity loans on one-to-four family residential properties, including condominiums and cooperative apartments. First mortgage loan products in these transactions include fixed rate, adjustable rate ("ARM") and option adjustable-rate ("Option ARM") mortgages. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including "prime", "subprime" and "Alt-A". A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with

Page 37



higher risk characteristics, usually as determined by credit score and/or credit history. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income.

Financial Products is the guaranteed investment contracts ("GICs") portion of the former Financial Products Business of AGMH. AGM has issued financial guaranty insurance policies on the GICs and in respect of the GICs business that cannot be revoked or cancelled. Assured Guaranty is indemnified against exposure to the former Financial Products Business by Dexia. In addition, the French and Belgian governments have issued guaranties in respect of the GICs portion of the Financial Products Business. The Financial Products Business is currently being run off.

Structured Credit Securities include program-wide credit enhancement for commercial paper conduits in the U.S., and securities issued in whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Program-wide credit enhancement generally involves insuring against the default of ABS in a bank-sponsored commercial paper conduit. Securities issued in whole business and intellectual property securitizations are backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.

Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as automobile loans and leases, credit card receivables and other consumer receivables.

Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS") are obligations backed by pools of commercial mortgages. The collateral supporting CMBS include office, multi-family, retail, hotel, industrial and other specialized or mixed-use properties.

Commercial Receivables Securities are obligations backed by equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings, business loans and trade receivables. Credit support is derived from the cash flows generated by the underlying obligations, as well as property or equipment values as applicable.

Insurance Securitization Securities are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Other Structured Finance Securities are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories. One such type of asset is a tax benefit to be realized by an investor in one of the Federal or state programs that permit such investor to receive a credit against taxes (such as Federal corporate income tax or state insurance premium tax) for making qualified investments in specified enterprises, typically located in designated low-income areas.

Page 38


Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:

The Company references financial measures that are not in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP").

Assured Guaranty's management and board of directors utilize non-GAAP measures in evaluating the Company's financial performance and as a basis for determining senior management incentive compensation. By providing these non-GAAP financial measures, investors, analysts and financial news reporters have access to the same information that management reviews internally. In addition, Assured Guaranty's presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is consistent with how analysts calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty's financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and with how investors, analysts and the financial news media evaluate Assured Guaranty's financial results.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure and describe why it is useful. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented within this financial supplement. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed as substitutes for their most directly comparable GAAP measures.

Operating Income:    Management believes that operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the underwriting results of the Company's financial guaranty insurance business, and also includes financing costs and net investment income, and enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company's financial results as compared to the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases. Operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, including other than temporary impairments, and credit and interest rate related gains and losses from sales of securities. Impairments and losses from sales of credit-impaired securities, the timing of which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of other sales that would result in gains or losses, such as interest rate related gains or losses, is largely subject to the Company's discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company's tax and capital profile. Trends in the underlying profitability of the Company's business can be more clearly identified without the fluctuating effects of these transactions.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. Additionally, such adjustments present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of net premium receivables. Long-dated receivables constitute a significant portion of the net premium receivable balance and represent the present value of future contractual or expected collections. Therefore, the current period's foreign exchange revaluation gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

    5)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain financial guaranty VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

    6)
    Elimination of gain on bargain purchase in order to show the 2009 contribution to operating income of AGMH without the distorting effects of acquisition accounting adjustments recorded on the date of closing of the acquisition of AGMH.

Operating Shareholder's Equity:    Management believes that operating shareholders' equity is a useful measure because it presents the equity of Assured Guaranty Ltd. with all financial guaranty contracts accounted for on a more consistent basis and excluding fair value adjustments that are not expected to result in economic loss. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use operating shareholders' equity as the principal financial measure for valuing Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s common shares. Many of the Company's fixed income investors also use operating shareholders' equity to evaluate the Company's capital adequacy. Operating shareholders' equity is the basis of the calculation of adjusted book value (see below). Operating shareholders' equity is defined as shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to

Page 39


      consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) (excluding foreign exchange revaluation). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore will not recognize an economic loss.

Operating return on equity ("Operating ROE"):    Operating ROE represents operating income for a specified period divided by the average of operating shareholders' equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate the Company's return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating ROE to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis.

Adjusted Book Value:    Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the net present value of the Company's in force premiums and revenues in addition to operating shareholders' equity. The premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted book value to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Adjusted book value is operating shareholders' equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued that will be expensed in future accounting periods.

    2)
    Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue. See below.

    3)
    Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of net expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the expected future net earned premiums, net of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue:    Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure. This amount represents the present value of estimated future revenue from the Company's credit derivative in-force book of business, net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes in excess of expected losses, and is discounted at 6% (which represents the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). Estimated net future credit derivative revenue may change from period to period due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

PVP or present value of new business production:    Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as premium supplements and additional installment premium on existing contracts as to which the issuer has the right to call the insured obligation but has not exercised such right, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of insurance and credit derivative contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, in each case, discounted at 6% (the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at 6%, while under GAAP, these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and credit derivative revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

Page 40


LOGO

    Contacts:

Equity Investors:
Sabra Purtill
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 408-6044
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com
    Ross Aron
Assistant Vice President, Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
31 West 52nd Street
New York, NY 10019
(212) 974-0100
www.assuredguaranty.com

 

Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com

Michael Walker
Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

Media:
Betsy Castenir
Managing Director, Corporate Communications
(212) 339-3424
bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com



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Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. December 31, 2010 Financial Supplement
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Selected Financial Highlights (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated Statements of Operations (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (1 of 2) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (2 of 2) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated Balance Sheets (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Claims Paying Resources (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. New Business Production (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Underwriting Gain (Loss) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Investment Portfolio, Available-for Sale As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Estimated Net Exposure Amortization 1 and Estimated Future Net Earned Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Expected Amortization of U.S. and Non-U.S. Structured Finance Net Par Outstanding (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Present Value ("PV") of Financial Guaranty Insurance Net Loss to be Expensed (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 3) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 3) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 3) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 5) As of December 31, 2010 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 5) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 5) As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (4 of 5) As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (5 of 5) As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4) As of December 31, 2010 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 4) As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 4) As of December 31, 2010 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Largest Exposures by Sector (4 of 4) As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves and Credit Impairment (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid As of December 31, 2010 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS R&W Benefit Development (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Financial Guaranty Losses Incurred and Paid As of December 31, 2010 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data (dollars in millions)
Glossary
EX-99.3 4 a2202829zex-99_3.htm EX-99.3
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Exhibit 99.3

LOGO


Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
December 31, 2010
Financial Supplement

Table of Contents   Page  
New Business Production and Consolidated Statements of Operations     1  
Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income     2-3  
Consolidated Balance Sheets     4  
Adjusted Book Value     5  
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written     6  
Investment Portfolio, Available-for Sale     7  
Financial Guaranty Profile     8-10  
Below Investment Grade Exposures     11  
Largest Exposures by Sector     12-13  
Claims Paying Resources     14  
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves and Credit Impairment by Segment     15  
Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data     16  
Glossary     17-18  
Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures     19-20  

This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty") with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including Assured Guaranty's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010. For the purposes of this financial supplement, all references to the "Company" shall mean Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. ("AG Re") and its consolidated entities.

Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to rounding.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:
Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade or change in outlook at any time of Assured Guaranty Ltd. or its subsidiaries and/or of transactions insured by Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s subsidiaries, both of which have occurred in the past, or a change in rating criteria; (2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, Assured Guaranty's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the world's credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses implicating the adequacy of Assured Guaranty's expected loss estimates; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) reduction in the amount of reinsurance portfolio opportunities available to Assured Guaranty; (7) deterioration in the financial condition of our reinsurers, the amount and timing of reinsurance recoverable actually received and the risk that reinsurers may dispute amounts owed to us under our reinsurance agreements; (8) the possibility that Assured Guaranty will not realize insurance loss recoveries or damages expected from originators, sellers, sponsors, underwriters or servicers of residential mortgage-backed securities transactions; (9) decreased demand or increased competition; (10) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (11) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance and tax laws; (12) other governmental actions; (13) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty's business strategy; (14) contract cancellations; (15) Assured Guaranty's dependence on customers; (16) loss of key personnel; (17) adverse technological developments; (18) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (19) natural or man-made catastrophes; (20) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (21) management's response to these factors; and (22) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
New Business Production and Consolidated Statements of Operations
(dollars in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
December 31,
  Year Ended
December 31,
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Consolidated new business production analysis:

                         
 

Present value of new business production ("PVP")

                         
   

Assured Guaranty Corp.

  $ 5.5   $ 24.9   $ 18.5   $ 173.8  
   

Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. 1

    33.2     -         214.5     28.7  
   

Assured Guaranty Europe 1

    37.0     -         37.0     -      
   

Third parties 1

    -         -         -         -      
                   
 

Total PVP

    75.7     24.9     270.0     202.5  
   

Less: PVP of credit derivatives

    -         -         -         0.6  
                   
 

PVP of financial guaranty insurance

    75.7     24.9     270.0     201.9  
   

Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVP

    11.6     3.1     (16.6 )   14.9  
                   
 

Total: Financial guaranty upfront gross written premiums ("GWP")

    64.1     21.8     286.6     187.0  
   

Plus: Financial guaranty installment adjustment 2

    (95.8 )   (24.6 )   (115.0 )   (17.0 )
                   
 

Total: Financial guaranty GWP

    (31.7 )   (2.8 )   171.6     170.0  
 

Plus: Other segment GWP

    -         -         -         (0.9 )
                   
 

Total GWP

  $ (31.7 ) $ (2.8 ) $ 171.6   $ 169.1  
                   

Revenues:

                         
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 40.1   $ 37.0   $ 153.6   $ 181.1  
 

Net investment income

    22.4     22.5     85.1     90.7  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    1.0     (2.1 )   7.6     (37.2 )
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                         
   

Credit derivative revenues

    4.4     4.8     18.0     19.4  
   

Losses incurred on credit derivatives

    (14.1 )   (18.3 )   (39.3 )   (54.8 )
   

Net unrealized gains (losses), excluding losses incurred

    (28.3 )   (26.8 )   26.8     (34.9 )
                   
     

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    (38.0 )   (40.3 )   5.5     (70.3 )
 

Other income

    (6.2 )   (1.3 )   (16.0 )   29.5  
                   
   

Total revenues

    19.3     15.8     235.8     193.8  

Expenses:

                         
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    25.7     39.7     106.1     133.6  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    6.7     8.1     34.1     43.7  
 

Other operating expenses

    5.2     5.0     22.6     25.6  
                   
   

Total expenses

    37.6     52.8     162.8     202.9  
                   
 

Income before income taxes

    (18.3 )   (37.0 )   73.0     (9.1 )
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    (5.8 )   1.1     (2.5 )   (0.1 )
                   
 

Net income

    (12.5 )   (38.1 )   75.5     (9.0 )
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

                         
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    0.9     (2.4 )   7.3     (37.2 )
   

Non-credit impairments unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (28.8 )   (26.7 )   26.5     (36.0 )
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (6.2 )   (1.8 )   (16.1 )   23.1  
                   
 

Operating income (loss) 3

  $ 21.6   $ (7.2 ) $ 57.8   $ 41.1  
                   

1. Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. became an affiliate of AG Re effective July 1, 2009. PVP for six months ended June 30, 2009 is included in "Third parties" line.

2. Represents present value of new business on installment policies plus GWP adjustment on existing installment deals due to changes in assumptions and any cancellations of assumed reinsurance contracts.

3. The Company has revised its definition of operating income in 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. Prior periods are presented on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 1



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (1 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
December 31, 2010
  Three Months Ended
December 31, 2009
 
 
  GAAP Income
Statement As
Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income Results
  GAAP Income
Statement As
Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income Results
 

Revenues:

                                     
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 40.1   $ -       $ 40.1   $ 37.0   $ -       $ 37.0  
 

Net investment income

    22.4     -         22.4     22.5     -         22.5  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    1.0     1.0     -         (2.1 )   (2.1 )   -      
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                                     
   

Realized gains and other settlements

    3.8     3.8     -         4.0     4.0     -      
   

Net unrealized gains (losses)

    (41.8 )   (41.8 )   -         (44.3 )   (44.3 )   -      
   

Credit derivative revenues

    -         (4.4 )   4.4     -         (4.8 )   4.8  
   

Losses incurred on credit derivatives

    -         14.1     (14.1 )   -         18.3     (18.3 )
                           
     

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    (38.0 )   (28.3 )   (9.7 )   (40.3 )   (26.8 )   (13.5 )
 

Other income

    (6.2 )   (6.2 )   -         (1.3 )   (1.7 )   0.4  
                           
 

Total revenues

    19.3     (33.5 )   52.8     15.8     (30.6 )   46.4  

Expenses:

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    25.7     -         25.7     39.7     -         39.7  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    6.7     -         6.7     8.1     -         8.1  
 

Other operating expenses

    5.2     -         5.2     5.0     -         5.0  
                           
 

Total expenses

    37.6     -         37.6     52.8     -         52.8  
                           
 

Income (loss) before income taxes

    (18.3 )   (33.5 )   15.2     (37.0 )   (30.6 )   (6.4 )
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    (5.8 )   0.6     (6.4 )   1.1     0.3     0.8  
                           
 

Net income (loss)

  $ (12.5 ) $ (34.1 ) $ 21.6   $ (38.1 ) $ (30.9 ) $ (7.2 )
                           

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 2



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (2 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  Year Ended
December 31, 2010
  Year Ended
December 31, 2009
 
 
  GAAP Income
Statement As
Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income
Results
  GAAP Income
Statement As
Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income
Results
 

Revenues:

                                     
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 153.6   $ -   $ 153.6   $ 181.1   $ -   $ 181.1  
 

Net investment income

    85.1     -     85.1     90.7     -     90.7  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    7.6     7.6     -     (37.2 )   (37.2 )   -  
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                                     
   

Realized gains and other settlements

    13.5     13.5     -     9.3     9.3     -  
   

Net unrealized gains (losses)

    (8.0 )   (8.0 )   -     (79.6 )   (79.6 )   -  
   

Credit derivative revenues

    -     (18.0 )   18.0     -     (19.4 )   19.4  
   

Losses incurred on credit derivatives

    -     39.3     (39.3 )   -     54.8     (54.8 )
                           
     

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    5.5     26.8     (21.3 )   (70.3 )   (34.9 )   (35.4 )
 

Other income

    (16.0 )   (16.1 )   0.1     29.5     22.9     6.6  
                           
 

Total revenues

    235.8     18.3     217.5     193.8     (49.2 )   243.0  

Expenses:

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    106.1     -     106.1     133.6     -     133.6  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    34.1     -     34.1     43.7     -     43.7  
 

Other operating expenses

    22.6     -     22.6     25.6     -     25.6  
                           
 

Total expenses

    162.8     -     162.8     202.9     -     202.9  
                           
 

Income (loss) before income taxes

    73.0     18.3     54.7     (9.1 )   (49.2 )   40.1  
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    (2.5 )   0.6     (3.1 )   (0.1 )   0.9     (1.0 )
                           
 

Net income (loss)

  $ 75.5   $ 17.7   $ 57.8   $ (9.0 ) $ (50.1 ) $ 41.1  
                           

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 3



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  December 31,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Assets:

             
 

Investment portfolio:

             
   

Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale, at fair value

  $ 2,228.7   $ 1,895.3  
   

Short-term investments, at fair value

    105.5     224.6  
           
 

Total investment portfolio

    2,334.2     2,119.9  
 

Cash

   
14.5
   
10.9
 
 

Premiums receivable, net of ceding commissions payable

    348.1     446.2  
 

Ceded unearned premium reserve

    0.4     0.5  
 

Deferred acquisition costs

    375.4     342.0  
 

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

    0.4     0.9  
 

Salvage and subrogation recoverable

    88.0     65.3  
 

Credit derivative assets

    103.5     68.4  
 

Deferred tax asset, net

    13.1     9.7  
 

Current income tax receivable

    2.5     4.1  
 

Other assets

    46.5     18.8  
           

Total assets

  $ 3,326.6   $ 3,086.7  
           

Liabilities and shareholder's equity:

             

Liabilities:

             
 

Unearned premium reserve

  $ 1,332.2   $ 1,301.5  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

    178.3     122.3  
 

Reinsurance balances payable, net

    3.7     9.9  
 

Credit derivative liabilities

    446.4     379.4  
 

Other liabilities

    16.4     20.9  
           

Total liabilities

    1,977.0     1,834.0  

Shareholder's equity:

             
 

Preferred stock

    -         -      
 

Common stock

    1.4     1.4  
 

Additional paid-in capital

    856.6     856.6  
 

Retained earnings

    409.3     357.7  
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

    82.3     37.0  
           

Total shareholder's equity

    1,349.6     1,252.7  
           

Total liabilities and shareholder's equity

  $ 3,326.6   $ 3,086.7  
           

Page 4



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Adjusted Book Value
(dollars in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  December 31,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Reconciliation of shareholder's equity to adjusted book value:

             
 

Shareholder's equity

  $ 1,349.6   $ 1,252.7  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

             
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (240.2 )   (243.2 )
   

Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect

    82.3     37.0  
           
 

Operating shareholder's equity

  $ 1,507.5   $ 1,458.9  
 

After-tax adjustments:

             
   

Less: Deferred acquisition costs

    375.2     341.7  
   

Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue

    73.6     83.3  
   

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed

    1,305.2     1,270.4  
           
 

Adjusted book value

  $ 2,511.1   $ 2,470.9  
           

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 5



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written by Asset Type

 
  Three Months Ended
December 31, 2010
  Year Ended
December 31, 2010
 

Sector:

             

U.S. public finance:

             
 

General obligation

  $ 1,219   $ 19,656  
 

Tax backed

    523     5,700  
 

Municipal utilities

    585     5,515  
 

Transportation

    262     2,105  
 

Healthcare

    44     1,734  
 

Higher education

    257     1,700  
 

Housing

    36     426  
 

Infrastructure finance

    -         2  
 

Other public finance

    -         185  
           
   

Total U.S. public finance

    2,926     37,023  

Non-U.S. public finance:

             
 

Infrastructure finance

    212     220  
 

Regulated utilities

    323     323  
 

Other public finance

    57     65  
           
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    592     608  
           

Total public finance

  $ 3,518   $ 37,631  
           

U.S. structured finance:

             
 

Consumer receivables

  $ -       $ 400  
 

Structured credit

    91     91  
 

Other structured finance

    -         250  
           
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    91     741  

Non-U.S. structured finance:

             
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    -         -      
           

Total structured finance

  $ 91   $ 741  
           

Total gross par written

 
$

3,609
 
$

38,372
 
           

Note: Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 6



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Investment Portfolio, Available-For-Sale
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

 
  Amortized
Cost
  Pre-Tax
Book
Yield
  After-Tax
Book
Yield
  Fair Value   Annualized
Investment
Income 1
 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

                               

Fixed maturity securities:

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

  $ 154.3     3.37%     3.29%   $ 162.6   $ 5.2  
 

Agency obligations

    233.0     4.06%     3.96%     250.2     9.5  
 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

    99.9     5.23%     5.07%     100.0     5.2  
 

Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions 2

    4.3     4.41%     4.23%     4.2     0.2  
 

Corporate securities

    554.5     3.98%     3.69%     560.3     22.1  
 

Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"):

                               
   

Residential MBS ("RMBS")

    684.5     5.17%     5.08%     723.6     35.4  
   

Commercial MBS ("CMBS")

    271.4     4.59%     4.34%     280.3     12.5  
 

Asset-backed securities 3

    139.9     2.59%     2.58%     145.3     3.6  
 

Foreign government securities

    2.1     4.44%     3.87%     2.2     0.1  
                       
     

Total fixed maturity securities

    2,143.9     4.37%     4.21%   $ 2,228.7     93.8  

Short-term investments

    105.5     0.16%     0.14%     105.5     0.2  
                       
     

Total

  $ 2,249.4     4.17%     4.02%   $ 2,334.2   $ 94.0  
                       

 

Ratings 4 :
  Fair Value   %    
   
   
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

  $ 162.6     7.3%                    

Agency obligations

    250.2     11.2%                    

AAA/Aaa

    1,087.2     48.8%                    

AA/Aa

    348.0     15.6%                    

A/A

    302.8     13.6%                    

BBB

    -     0.0%                    

Below investment grade ("BIG") 5

    77.2     3.5%                    

Not rated

    0.7     0.0%                    
                             
     

Total fixed maturity securities available-for-sale

  $ 2,228.7     100.0%                    
                             

Duration of available-for-sale investment portfolio (in years):

          3.9
                   
                               

Average ratings of available-for-sale investment portfolio

          AA
                   
                               

1. Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.

2. Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by Standard & Poor's Rating Services ("S&P") or Moody's Investors Service, Inc. ("Moody's") average A+.

3. Contains no collateralized debt obligations ("CDOs") of asset-backed securities ("ABS").

4. Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's and S&P classifications except for bonds purchased for loss mitigation or other risk management strategies which use internal ratings classifications.

5. Included in the investment portfolio are securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies of $101.9 million in par with carrying value of $37.6 million.

Page 7



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 
  As of December 31, 2010
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Avg. Rating 1

U.S. public finance:

         
 

General obligation

    $ 44,345   A+
 

Tax backed

    21,641   A+
 

Municipal utilities

    14,935   A
 

Transportation

    9,774   A
 

Healthcare

    6,503   A
 

Higher education

    4,887   A+
 

Infrastructure finance

    1,933   BBB+
 

Housing

    920   AA
 

Investor-owned utilities

    881   A-
 

Other public finance

    1,945   BBB
         
   

Total U.S. public finance

    107,764   A+

Non-U.S. public finance:

         
 

Regulated utilities

    5,908   BBB+
 

Infrastructure finance

    3,487   BBB
 

Pooled infrastructure

    1,583   A+
 

Other public finance

    878   A
         
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    11,856   BBB+
         

Total public finance

    $ 119,620   A
         

U.S. structured finance:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    $ 6,380   AA+
 

RMBS

    3,306   BB+
 

Consumer receivables

    1,809   A
 

CMBS and other commercial real estate related exposures

    1,616   AAA
 

Insurance securitizations

    1,281   A+
 

Structured credit

    733   BBB
 

Commercial receivables

    1,007   BBB
 

Other structured finance

    172   BBB
         
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    16,304   A+

Non-U.S. structured finance:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    2,701   AA+
 

Commercial receivables

    939   A-
 

RMBS

    581   AAA
 

Structured credit

    405   BBB
 

Insurance securitizations

    648   CCC-
 

CMBS and other commercial real estate related exposures

    63   AAA
 

Other structured finance

    10   AAA
         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    5,347   A+
         

Total structured finance

    21,651   A+
         

Total net par outstanding

 
  $

141,271
 

A

         

 
  Assumed
from AGC
  Assumed
from AGM
  Third Party   Total Net Par
Outstanding
  %  

Public finance:

                               
 

U.S. public finance

    $ 24,041     $ 58,414     $ 25,309     $ 107,764     76.4%  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    3,410     6,722     1,724     11,856     8.3%  
                       
   

Total public finance

    27,451     65,136     27,033     119,620     84.7%  
                       

Structured finance:

                               
 

U.S. structured finance

    11,696     1,343     3,265     16,304     11.5%  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    3,781     616     950     5,347     3.8%  
                       
   

Total structured finance

    15,477     1,959     4,215     21,651     15.3%  
                       

Total net par outstanding

 
  $

42,928
 
  $

67,095
 
  $

31,248
 
  $

141,271
   
100.0%
 
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. To the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized statistical rating organizations ("NRSROs"); however the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.

Note: Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 8



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 
  December 31, 2010  
Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  %  

Super senior

  $ 2,902     2.1%  

AAA

    8,329     5.9%  

AA

    47,264     33.5%  

A

    56,436     39.9%  

BBB

    20,953     14.8%  

BIG

    5,387     3.8%  
           
 

Total net par outstanding

  $ 141,271     100.0%  
           

Distribution of BIG Exposures by Sector as of December 31, 2010

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total
Net Par
Outstanding
 

Public finance:

             
 

Infrastructure finance

  $ 504     0.4%  
 

General obligation

    258     0.2%  
 

Municipal utilities

    186     0.1%  
 

Tax backed

    128     0.1%  
 

Healthcare

    49     0.0%  
 

Higher education

    4     0.0%  
 

Other public finance

    683     0.5%  
           
   

Total public finance

    1,812     1.3%  

Structured finance:

             
 

RMBS

    1,835     1.3%  
 

Insurance securitizations

    644     0.4%  
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    608     0.4%  
 

Consumer receivables

    253     0.2%  
 

Commercial receivables

    127     0.1%  
 

Structured credit

    75     0.1%  
 

Other structured finance

    33     0.0%  
           
   

Total structured finance

    3,575     2.5%  
           
   

Total BIG net par outstanding

 
$

5,387
   
3.8%
 
           

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. To the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 9



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of December 31, 2010

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

U.S.:

             

Public fnance

             
 

California

  $ 15,823     11.2%  
 

New York

    9,186     6.5%  
 

Texas

    7,610     5.4%  
 

Florida

    7,429     5.3%  
 

Pennsylvania

    6,347     4.5%  
 

Illinois

    6,245     4.4%  
 

New Jersey

    4,085     2.9%  
 

Michigan

    3,762     2.7%  
 

Massachusetts

    3,569     2.5%  
 

Washington

    3,356     2.4%  
 

Other states

    40,352     28.6%  
           
   

Total public finance

    107,764     76.4%  

Structured finance (multiple states)

    16,304     11.5%  
           
   

Total U.S.

    124,068     87.9%  
           

Non-U.S.:

             
 

United Kingdom

    9,084     6.4%  
 

Australia

    2,584     1.8%  
 

France

    762     0.5%  
 

Italy

    352     0.2%  
 

Canada

    329     0.2%  
 

Other

    4,092     3.0%  
           
   

Total non-U.S.

    17,203     12.1%  
           

Total net par outstanding

  $ 141,271     100.0%  
           

Page 10



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

Name or description
  Net Par
Outstanding
 

U.S. public finance:

       
 

Detroit (City of) Michigan

  $ 215  
 

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

    176  
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    161  
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    136  
 

Orlando Tourist Development Tax - Florida

    62  
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    61  
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    59  
 

Mashantucket Pequot Tribe, Connecticut

    55  
       
   

Total

  $ 925  

Non-U.S. public finance:

       
 

Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited

  $ 256  
 

Cross City Tunnel Motorway Finance Limited

    123  
 

Hellenic Republic

    96  
       
   

Total

  $ 475  

U.S. structured finance:

       
 

U.S. RMBS:

       
 

Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

  $ 313  
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J

    163  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    117  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    106  
 

Mortgage IT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    78  
 

Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    64  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    61  
 

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

    56  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    55  
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

    52  
       
   

Total U.S. RMBS

    1,065  
 

Other:

       
 

Private Student Loan Transaction

    132  
 

Private Student Loan Transaction

    106  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD

    73  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding III, LTD

    72  
 

Private Commercial Receivable Transaction

    60  
 

Attentus CDO I Limited

    57  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding II, LTD.

    56  
 

Private Commercial Receivable Transaction

    50  
       
   

Total other

    606  
     

Total

 
$

1,671
 

Non-U.S. structured finance:

       
 

Ballantyne Re PLC

  $ 370  
 

Orkney Re II, Plc Series A-1 Floating Rate Notes

    274  
       
   

Total

  $ 644  
       

Total

  $ 3,715  
       

Page 11



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 2)
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

25 Largest U.S Public Finance Exposures

  Credit name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
 

New Jersey (State of)

    $ 1,201   AA-
 

California (State of)

    1,186   A-
 

New York (City of) New York

    1,135   AA
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of)

    1,004   AA
 

New York (State of)

    949   AA-
 

Washington (State of)

    905   AA-
 

Los Angeles California Unified School District

    839   AA-
 

Wisconsin (State of)

    827   AA-
 

Port Authority of New York and New Jersey

    720   AA-
 

Florida (State of)

    714   AA+
 

Illinois (State of)

    645   BBB+
 

Long Island Power Authority

    628   A-
 

Chicago (City of) Illinois

    602   AA-
 

New York State Thruway - Highway Trust Fund

    599   AA-
 

Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport

    577   A+
 

New York MTA Transportation Authority

    556   A
 

Hawaii (State of) Department of Hawaiian Home Lands

    538   AA
 

District of Columbia

    528   A+
 

Michigan (State of)

    526   A+
 

Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania

    518   BBB-
 

Philadelphia Pennsylvania School District

    494   A
 

Miami-Dade County Florida School District

    489   A-
 

Los Angeles California Department of Water and Power - Electric Revenue Bonds

    489   AA-
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) State Sales Tax

    472   AA
 

Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of)

    471   BBB-
           
   

Total top 25 U.S public finance exposures

    $ 17,612    
           

25 Largest U.S Structured Finance Exposures

  Credit name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
 

Shenandoah Trust Capital I Term Securities

    $ 394   A+
 

LIICA Holdings, LLC

    350   AA
 

Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    313   CCC
 

Private Structured Credit Transaction

    267   BBB+
 

Sandelman Finance 2006-1 Limited

    225   AAA
 

Private Insurance Transaction

    221   BBB
 

Prudential Closed Block Reinsurance Treaty

    200   A+
 

Sandelman Finance 2006-1 Limited

    184   BBB-
 

Private Consumer Receivable Transaction

    182   AA
 

Private Commercial Real Estate Transaction

    182   BBB
 

280 Funding I

    165   AAA
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J

    163   CCC
 

Private Consumer Receivable Transaction

    163   Super Senior
 

Stone Tower Credit Funding

    134   AAA
 

Private Student Loan Transaction

    132   CCC
 

Private Student Loan Transaction

    128   BBB-
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    117   B
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    115   BBB-
 

Private Student Loan Transaction

    106   BBB
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    106   BB
 

Private Student Loan Transaction

    106   CCC
 

Liberty CLO Ltd Series

    105   Super Senior
 

Cent CDO XI Limited

    103   AAA
 

Ares Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund

    101   AAA
 

ACS 2006-1

    101   A
           
   

Total top 25 U.S structured finance exposures

    $ 4,363    
           

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. To the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 12



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 2)
As of December 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

25 Largest non-U.S Exposures

  Credit name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
 

Southern Gas Networks PLC

    $ 468   BBB
 

United Utilities Water PLC

    467   BBB+
 

Paragon Mortgages (No.13) PLC

    385   AAA
 

Societe des Autoroutes du Nord et de l'est de France S.A. 

    384   BBB+
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    373   A-
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    373   A-
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    373   A-
 

Ballantyne Re PLC

    370   CC
 

Powercor Australia LLC

    367   A-
 

DBNGP Finance Co Pty Ltd Note Issue 1 & 2

    327   BBB
 

Scotland Gas Networks Plc (A2)

    295   BBB
 

Taberna Europe CDO II PLC

    278   BBB-
 

A28 Motorway

    278   BBB
 

Orkney Re II, Plc Series A-1 Floating Rate Notes

    274   CCC
 

National Grid Gas PLC

    274   BBB+
 

Quebec Province

    262   A+
 

Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited

    256   BB
 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital II

    245   Super Senior
 

Wessex Water PLC

    240   BBB+
 

Stichting Profile Securitisation I

    221   Super Senior
 

Thames Water Utility Finance PLC

    219   A-
 

NewHospitals (St Helens & Knowsley) Finance PLC

    215   AA-
 

Envestra Limited

    214   BBB-
 

Dali Capital PLC-Northumbrian Water (Swap)

    213   BBB+
 

Capital Hospitals (Issuer) PLC

    204   BBB-
           
   

Total top 25 largest non-U.S exposures

    $ 7,575    
           

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. To the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the NRSROs; however the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 13



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Claims Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  December 31,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Claims paying resources

             

Policyholders' surplus

  $ 1,080   $ 1,129  

Contingency reserve

    -         -      
           
 

Qualified statutory capital

    1,080     1,129  

Unearned premium reserve

    1,045     848  

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves 1

    228     139  
           
 

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    2,353     2,116  

Present value of installment premium 2

    255     349  

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    200     200  
           
 

Total claims paying resources

  $ 2,808   $ 2,665  
           

Net par outstanding 3

 
$

137,779
 
$

116,117
 

Net debt service outstanding 3

  $ 221,452   $ 190,089  

Ratios:

             
 

Net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital

    128:1     103:1  
 

Capital ratio 4

    205:1     168:1  
 

Financial resources ratio 5

    79:1     71:1  

1. Reserves as of December 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009 are reduced by approximately $0.1 billion and $0, respectively, for benefit related to representation and warranty recoverables.

2. Includes financial guaranty insurance and credit derivatives.

3. Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. ("AG Re") numbers are the Company's estimate of U.S. statutory as this company files Bermuda statutory financial statements. Net par outstanding and net debt service outstanding are presented on a statutory basis. Under statutory accounting, such amounts would be reduced both when an outstanding issue is legally defeased (i.e., the rights and interests of bondholders and their lien on pledged revenues or other security are terminated in accordance with bond documentation) and when such issue is economically defeased (i.e., bond documentation does not provide a procedure for termination of such rights, interests and lien other than through payment of all outstanding debt in full; funds are deposited in an escrow account for future payment of the debt; and if the funds deposited prove insufficient to pay the outstanding debt in full, the issuer continues to be legally obligated to make payment on such debt).

4. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

5. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

Page 14



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves and Credit Impairment by Segment
(in millions)

 
  As of December 31, 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Total
Financial
Guaranty
  Other   Total  

Insurance reserves:

                               

Gross

    $ -         $ 175.8     $ 175.8     $ 2.5     $ 178.3  

Ceded

    -         -         -         0.4     0.4  
                       
 

Net insurance reserves

    $ -         $ 175.8     $ 175.8     $ 2.1     $ 177.9  
                       

Salvage and subrogation recoverable:

                               

Gross

    $ -         $ 88.0     $ 88.0     $ -         $ 88.0  

Ceded 1

    -         -         -         -         -      
                       
 

Net salvage and subrogation recoverable

    $ -         $ 88.0     $ 88.0     $ -         $ 88.0  
                       

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts 2:

                               

Gross

    $ -         $ 103.4     $ 103.4     $ -         $ 103.4  

Ceded

    -         -         -         -         -      
                       
 

Net credit derivative credit impairment

    $ -         $ 103.4     $ 103.4     $ -         $ 103.4  
                       

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty insurance and credit derivative contracts, net of reinsurance 3

 

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance

    $ -         $ 175.8     $ 175.8              

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts

    -         103.4     103.4              
                           
 

Net Loss and LAE reserves and credit impairment

    $ -         $ 279.2     $ 279.2              
                           

1. Recorded in "reinsurance balances payable, net" on the consolidated balance sheets.

2. Credit derivative assets and liabilities recorded on the balance sheet incorporate estimates of expected losses.

3. Gross of salvage and subrogation assets.

Page 15



Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data
(in millions)

 
  Year Ended December 31,  
 
  2010   2009   2008   2007   2006  

Claims Paying Resources 1

                               
 

Policyholders' surplus

    $ 1,080     $ 1,129     $ 1,220     $ 1,097     $ 741  
 

Contingency reserve

    -         -         -         -         -      
                       
   

Qualified statutory capital

    1,080     1,129     1,220     1,097     741  
 

Unearned premium reserve

    1,045     848     720     629     444  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

    228     139     37     18     18  
                       
   

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    2,353     2,116     1,977     1,744     1,203  
 

Present value of installment premium

    255     349     345     366     230  
 

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    200     200     200     200     -      
                       
   

Total claims paying resources

    $ 2,808     $ 2,665     $ 2,522     $ 2,310     $ 1,433  
   

Other Financial Information (Statutory basis)

                               
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    $ 137,779     $ 116,117     $ 111,715     $ 106,253     $ 63,927  
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

    $ 221,452     $ 190,089     $ 184,541     $ 174,173     $ 94,652  

1. AG Re's numbers are the Company's estimate of U.S. statutory as this company files Bermuda statutory financial statements.

Page 16



Glossary

Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s 10-K report for the year ended December 31, 2010.

General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit bonds that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy ad valorem taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation. They include tax-backed revenue bonds, general fund obligations and lease revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose. Bonds in this category also include moral obligations of municipalities or governmental authorities.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported bonds, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution's revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily backed by investor-owned utilities, first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, and also include sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Regulated Utilities Obligations are issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities. The majority of the Company's international regulated utility business is conducted in the UK.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of CDS obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations.

Other public finance:    primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.

Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in "tranches," with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company's financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") and Home Equity Securities are obligations backed by closed-end first mortgage loans and closed- and open-end second mortgage loans or home equity loans on one-to-four family residential properties, including condominiums and cooperative apartments. First mortgage loan products in these transactions include fixed rate, adjustable rate ("ARM") and option adjustable-rate ("Option ARM") mortgages. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including "prime", "subprime" and "Alt-A". A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with

Page 17



higher risk characteristics, usually as determined by credit score and/or credit history. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income.

Structured Credit Securities include program-wide credit enhancement for commercial paper conduits in the U.S., and securities issued in whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Program-wide credit enhancement generally involves insuring against the default of ABS in a bank-sponsored commercial paper conduit. Securities issued in whole business and intellectual property securitizations are backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.

Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as automobile loans and leases, credit card receivables and other consumer receivables.

Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS") and other commercial real estate related exposures are obligations backed by pools of commercial mortgages. The collateral supporting CMBS include office, multi-family, retail, hotel, industrial and other specialized or mixed-use properties.

Commercial Receivables Securities are obligations backed by equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings, business loans and trade receivables. Credit support is derived from the cash flows generated by the underlying obligations, as well as property or equipment values as applicable.

Insurance Securitization Securities are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Other Structured Finance Securities are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories. One such type of asset is a tax benefit to be realized by an investor in one of the Federal or state programs that permit such investor to receive a credit against taxes (such as Federal corporate income tax or state insurance premium tax) for making qualified investments in specified enterprises, typically located in designated low-income areas.

Page 18


Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:

The Company references financial measures that are not in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP").

Assured Guaranty's management and board of directors utilize non-GAAP measures in evaluating the Company's financial performance and as a basis for determining senior management incentive compensation. By providing these non-GAAP financial measures, investors, analysts and financial news reporters have access to the same information that management reviews internally. In addition, Assured Guaranty's presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is consistent with how analysts calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty's financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and with how investors, analysts and the financial news media evaluate Assured Guaranty's financial results.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure and describe why it is useful. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented within this financial supplement. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed as substitutes for their most directly comparable GAAP measures.

Operating Income:    Management believes that operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the underwriting results of the Company's financial guaranty insurance business, and also includes financing costs and net investment income, and enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company's financial results as compared to the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases. Operating income for AG Re is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AG Re, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, including other than temporary impairments, and credit and interest rate related gains and losses from sales of securities. Impairments and losses from sales of credit-impaired securities, the timing of which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of other sales that would result in gains or losses, such as interest rate related gains or losses, is largely subject to the Company's discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company's tax and capital profile. Trends in the underlying profitability of the Company's business can be more clearly identified without the fluctuating effects of these transactions.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. Additionally, such adjustments present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of net premium receivables. Long-dated receivables constitute a significant portion of the net premium receivable balance and represent the present value of future contractual or expected collections. Therefore, the current period's foreign exchange revaluation gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

Operating Shareholder's Equity:    Management believes that operating shareholders' equity is a useful measure because it presents the equity of Assured Guaranty Ltd. with all financial guaranty contracts accounted for on a more consistent basis and excluding fair value adjustments that are not expected to result in economic loss. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use operating shareholders' equity as the principal financial measure for valuing Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s common shares. Many of the Company's fixed income investors also use operating shareholders' equity to evaluate the Company's capital adequacy. Operating shareholders' equity is the basis of the calculation of adjusted book value (see below). Operating shareholder's equity for AG Re is defined as shareholder's equity attributable to AG Re, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

Adjusted Book Value:    Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the net present value of the Company's in force premiums and revenues in addition to operating shareholders' equity. The premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors. Many investors, analysts and financial news

Page 19



reporters use adjusted book value to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Adjusted book value for AG Re is operating shareholder's equity for AG Re, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued that will be expensed in future accounting periods.

    2)
    Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue. See below.

    3)
    Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of net expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the expected future net earned premiums, net of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue:    Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure. This amount represents the present value of estimated future revenue from the Company's credit derivative in-force book of business, net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes in excess of expected losses, and is discounted at 6% (which represents the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). Estimated net future credit derivative revenue may change from period to period due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

PVP or present value of new business production:    Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as premium supplements and additional installment premium on existing contracts as to which the issuer has the right to call the insured obligation but has not exercised such right, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of insurance and credit derivative contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, in each case, discounted at 6% (the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at 6%, while under GAAP, these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and credit derivative revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

Page 20


LOGO

    Contacts:

Equity Investors:
Sabra Purtill
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 408-6044
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com
    Ross Aron
Assistant Vice President, Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08
Bermuda
www.assuredguaranty.com

 

Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com

Michael Walker
Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

Media:
Betsy Castenir
Managing Director, Corporate Communications
(212) 339-3424
bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com

 




QuickLinks

Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. December 31, 2010 Financial Supplement
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. New Business Production and Consolidated Statements of Operations (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (1 of 2) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (2 of 2) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Consolidated Balance Sheets (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Adjusted Book Value (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Investment Portfolio, Available-For-Sale As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Below Investment Grade Exposures As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 2) As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 2) As of December 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Claims Paying Resources (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves and Credit Impairment by Segment (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data (in millions)
Glossary
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