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Exhibit 99.2

Assured Guaranty Ltd.
September 30, 2010
Financial Supplement

Table of Contents   Page
 

Selected Financial Highlights

  1
 

Consolidated Statements of Operations

  2
 

Net income Reconciliation to Operating Income

  3-4
 

Consolidated Balance Sheets

  5
 

Adjusted Book Value

  6
 

Consolidated Capital and Claims Paying Resources and Statutory-basis Exposures

  7
 

New Business Production

  8
 

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written

  9
 

Segment Consolidation

  10-11
 

Financial Guaranty Direct Segment

  12-13
 

Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Segment

  14-15
 

Investment Portfolio

  16
 

Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Estimated Future Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues

  17
 

Expected Amortization of U.S. and Non-U.S Structured Finance Net Par Outstanding

  18
 

Present Value of Financial Guaranty Net Insurance Loss to be Expensed

  19
 

Financial Guaranty Profile

  20-22
 

Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

  23
 

Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile

  24
 

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile

  25-26
 

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile

  27
 

Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile

  28
 

Below Investment Grade Exposures

  29-33
 

Largest Exposures by Sector

  34-37
 

Loss and LAE Reserves by Segment/Type

  38
 

Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Representations and Warranties Benefit Development

  39
 

Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid

  40
 

Summary Financial and Statistical Data

  41
 

Glossary

  42-43
 

Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

  44-45

This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. ("AGL" and, together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty" or the "Company") with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the periods ended March 31, 2010, June 30, 2010 and September 30, 2010

Amounts in this financial supplement include the consolidated results of Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc., formerly Financial Security Assurance Holdings Ltd. ("AGMH"), since Assured Guaranty acquired AGMH on July 1, 2009.

Some amounts in this financial supplement may not add due to rounding.

 
    Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:    

 

 

Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. The Company's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade or change in outlook of the Company or its affiliates and/or of transactions insured by the Company or its affiliates, both of which have occurred in the past; (2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, the Company's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the world's credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses implicating the adequacy of the Company's loss reserves; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of the Company's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) reduction in the amount of reinsurance portfolio opportunities available to the Company; (7)  deterioration in the financial condition of our reinsurers, the amount and timing of reinsurance recoverable actually received and the risk that reinsurers may dispute amount owed to us under our reinsurance agreements; (8) the possibility that the Company will not realize insurance loss recoveries or damages expected from originators, sellers, sponsors, underwriters or servicers of residential mortgage-backed securities transactions; (9) decreased demand or increased competition; (10) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (11) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance and tax laws; (12) other governmental actions; (13) difficulties with the execution of the Company's business strategy; (14) contract cancellations; (15) the Company's dependence on customers; (16) loss of key personnel; (17) adverse technological developments; (18) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (19) natural or man-made catastrophes; (20) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (21) management's response to these factors; and (22) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.

 

 
 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,
   
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
3Q-09
  % Change
versus
YTD-09
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Operating income reconciliation:

                                     
 

Operating income 1

    $ 222.8     $ 46.2     382%     $ 507.4     $ 137.0     270%  
 

Plus after-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (1.3 )   (6.0 )   (78)%     1.1     (30.2 )   NM  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (192.6 )   (41.3 )   366%     78.8     (165.8 )   NM  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    (3.6 )   (34.5 )   (90)%     3.8     (61.1 )   NM  
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    24.4     23.9     2%     (17.6 )   23.9     NM  
   

Effect of consolidating variable interest entities ("VIEs") 2

    131.2     -         NM     132.9     -         NM  
   

Goodwill and settlement of pre-existing relationship

    -         (23.3 )   (100)%     -         (23.3 )   (100)%  
                               
 

Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.

    $ 180.9     $ (35.0 )   NM     $ 706.4     $ (119.5 )   NM  
                               

Return on equity ("ROE") calculations 3:

                                     
 

ROE, excluding unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio

    19.2%     (5.7)%           26.0%     (7.0)%        
 

Operating ROE

    19.8%     5.8%           15.4%     6.3%        

Earnings per diluted share:

                                     
 

Operating income

    $ 1.19     $ 0.29     310%     $ 2.68     $ 1.19     125%  
 

Plus after-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (0.01 )   (0.04 )   (75)%     0.01     (0.27 )   NM  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (1.03 )   (0.26 )   296%     0.42     (1.46 )   NM  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    (0.02 )   (0.22 )   (91)%     0.02     (0.54 )   NM  
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    0.13     0.15     (13)%     (0.09 )   0.21     NM  
   

Effect of consolidating VIEs 2

    0.70     -         NM     0.70     -         NM  
   

Goodwill and settlement of pre-existing relationship

    -         (0.15 )   (100)%     -         (0.21 )   (100)%  
                               
 

Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. 4

    $ 0.96     $ (0.22 )   NM     $ 3.73     $ (1.05 )   NM  
                               

Other information:

                                     
 

Gross par written

    $ 7,426     $ 9,097     (18)%     $ 22,875     $ 41,934     (45)%  
 

Effective tax rate on operating income

    (2.7)%     43.4%           19.4%     16.2%        
 

Effective tax rate on net income

    (2.4)%     (43.5)%           22.2%     40.4%        

 

 
  As of    
 
 
  September 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
   
 

Other information:

                   
 

Net debt service outstanding

    $ 941,509     $ 958,265     (2)%  
 

Net par outstanding

    628,072     640,422     (2)%  
 

Claims-paying resources 5

    12,798     13,051     (2)%  

1. The Company has revised its definition of operating income in 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. Prior periods are presented on a consistent basis.

2. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of variable interest entities ("VIEs") where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

3. Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

4. Total may not add due to differences in calculating GAAP and non-GAAP per diluted share amounts.

5. See page 7.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

Page 1


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Statements of Operations
(dollars and shares in millions, except per share amounts)

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,
   
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
3Q-09
  % Change
versus
YTD 2009
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Revenues:

                                     
 

Net earned premiums

    $ 288.7     $ 330.0     (13)%     $ 900.4     $ 557.1     62%  
 

Net investment income

    85.6     84.7     1%     260.8     171.6     52%  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (2.4 )   (6.1 )   (61)%     (1.4 )   (28.1 )   (95)%  
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                                     
   

Credit derivative revenues

    50.7     57.3     (12)%     157.1     114.7     37%  
   

Losses incurred on credit derivatives

    (15.4 )   (142.2 )   (89)%     (119.9 )   (178.4 )   (33)%  
   

Net unrealized gain (loss), excluding incurred losses

    (267.8 )   (48.7 )   450%     82.6     (248.8 )   NM  
                               
   

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    (232.5 )   (133.6 )   74%     119.8     (312.5 )   NM  
 

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    (5.5 )   (53.1 )   (90)%     5.8     (94.0 )   NM  
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' revenues

    76.5     4.9     NM     61.6     4.9     NM  
 

Other income

    33.8     57.0     (41)%     7.4     58.4     (87)%  
                               
   

Total revenues

    244.2     283.8     (14)%     1,354.4     357.4     279%  

Expenses:

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    109.1     133.3     (18)%     310.8     251.1     24%  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    8.0     1.3     515%     23.1     41.3     (44)%  
 

Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. ("AGMH") acquisition-related expenses

    -         51.3     (100)%     6.8     80.2     (92)%  
 

Interest expense

    24.9     25.2     (1)%     74.9     37.5     100%  
 

Goodwill and settlement of pre-existing relationship

    -         23.3     (100)%     -         23.3     (100)%  
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' expenses

    (126.7 )   10.2     NM     (131.5 )   10.2     NM  
 

Other operating expenses

    52.2     67.3     (22)%     162.2     123.1     32%  
                               
   

Total expenses

    67.5     311.9     (78)%     446.3     566.7     (21)%  
                               
 

Income (loss) before income taxes

    176.7     (28.1 )   NM     908.1     (209.3 )   NM  
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    (4.2 )   12.2     NM     201.7     (84.5 )   NM  
                               
 

Net income (loss)

    180.9     (40.3 )   NM     706.4     (124.8 )   NM  
 

Less: Noncontrolling interest of variable interest entities

    -         (5.3 )   (100)%     -         (5.3 )   (100)%  
                               
 

Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.

    $ 180.9     $ (35.0 )   NM     $ 706.4     $ (119.5 )   NM  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (1.3 )   (6.0 )   (78)%     1.1     (30.2 )   NM  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (192.6 )   (41.3 )   366%     78.8     (165.8 )   NM  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    (3.6 )   (34.5 )   (90)%     3.8     (61.1 )   NM  
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    24.4     23.9     2%     (17.6 )   23.9     NM  
   

Effect of consolidating VIEs' 1

    131.2     -         NM     132.9     -         NM  
   

Goodwill and settlement of pre-existing relationship

    -         (23.3 )   (100)%     -         (23.3 )   (100)%  
                               
 

Operating income

    $ 222.8     $ 46.2     382%     $ 507.4     $ 137.0     270%  
                               

Weighted average shares outstanding

                                     
 

Basic shares outstanding - GAAP (for net income (loss) per share calculation)

    183.7     156.3     18%     184.0     113.6     62%  
 

Diluted shares outstanding - GAAP (for net income (loss) per share calculation)

    187.3     156.3     20%     188.9     113.6     66%  
 

Diluted shares outstanding - non-GAAP (for operating income per share calculation)

    187.5     160.1     17%     189.1     115.4     64%  
 

Shares outstanding at the end of period

    183.7     156.6     17%                    

Effect of refundings and accelerations, net

                                     
 

Earned premiums from refundings and accelerations, net

    $ 21.2     $ 17.4     22%     $ 52.0     $ 127.7     (59)%  
 

Operating income effect

    $ 13.9     $ 9.9     40%     $ 33.7     $ 87.5     (61)%  
 

Operating income per diluted share effect

    $ 0.07     $ 0.06     17%     $ 0.18     $ 0.76     (76)%  

1. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

Page 2


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Statements of Operations
Net Income Reconciliation to Operating Income (1 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30, 2010
  Three Months Ended
September 30, 2009
 
 
  GAAP Income
Statement As
Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income Results
  GAAP Income
Statement
As Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income Results
 

Revenues:

                                     
 

Net earned premiums

    $ 288.7     $ (12.8 )   $ 301.5     $ 330.0     $ -         $ 330.0  
 

Net investment income

    85.6     -         85.6     84.7     -         84.7  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (2.4 )   (2.4 )   -         (6.1 )   (6.1 )   -      
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                                     
   

Realized gains and other settlements

    52.4     52.4     -         71.7     71.7     -      
   

Net unrealized gains (losses)

    (284.9 )   (284.9 )   -         (205.3 )   (205.3 )   -      
   

Credit derivative revenues

    -         (50.7 )   50.7     -         (57.3 )   57.3  
   

Losses incurred on credit derivatives

    -         15.4     (15.4 )   -         142.2     (142.2 )
                           
     

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    (232.5 )   (267.8 )   35.3     (133.6 )   (48.7 )   (84.9 )
 

Fair value gain (loss) on committed capital securities

    (5.5 )   (5.5 )   -         (53.1 )   (53.1 )   -      
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' revenues

    76.5     76.5     -         4.9     4.9     -      
 

Other income

    33.8     33.6     0.2     57.0     26.9     30.1  
                           
 

Total revenues

    244.2     (178.4 )   422.6     283.8     (76.1 )   359.9  

Expenses:

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    109.1     (11.5 )   120.6     133.3     -         133.3  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    8.0     -         8.0     1.3     -         1.3  
 

AGMH acquisition-related expenses

    -         -         -         51.3     -         51.3  
 

Interest expense

    24.9     -         24.9     25.2     -         25.2  
 

Goodwill and settlement of pre-existing relationship

    -         -         -         23.3     23.3     -      
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' expenses

    (126.7 )   (126.7 )   -         10.2     10.2     -      
 

Other operating expenses

    52.2     -         52.2     67.3     -         67.3  
                           
 

Total expenses

    67.5     (138.2 )   205.7     311.9     33.5     278.4  
                           
 

Income (loss) before income taxes

    176.7     (40.2 )   216.9     (28.1 )   (109.6 )   81.5  
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    (4.2 )   1.7     (5.9 )   12.2     (23.1 )   35.3  
                           
 

Net income (loss)

    180.9     (41.9 )   222.8     (40.3 )   (86.5 )   46.2  
 

Less: Noncontrolling interest of variable interest entities

    -         -         -         (5.3 )   (5.3 )   -      
                           
 

Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. 

    $ 180.9     $ (41.9 )   $ 222.8     $ (35.0 )   $ (81.2 )   $ 46.2  
                           

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 3


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Statements of Operations
Net Income Reconciliation to Operating Income (2 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2010
  Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2009
 
 
  GAAP Income
Statement
As Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income Results
  GAAP Income
Statement
As Reported
  Less:
Operating
Income
Adjustments
  Non-GAAP
Operating
Income Results
 

Revenues:

                                     
 

Net earned premiums

    $ 900.4     $ (34.4 )   $ 934.8     $ 557.1     $ -         $ 557.1  
 

Net investment income

    260.8     -         260.8     171.6     -         171.6  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (1.4 )   (1.4 )   -         (28.1 )   (28.1 )   -      
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                                     
   

Realized gains and other settlements

    117.5     117.5     -         120.1     120.1     -      
   

Net unrealized gains (losses)

    2.3     2.3     -         (432.6 )   (432.6 )   -      
   

Credit derivative revenues

    -         (157.1 )   157.1     -         (114.7 )   114.7  
   

Losses incurred on credit derivatives

    -         119.9     (119.9 )   -         178.4     (178.4 )
                           
     

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    119.8     82.6     37.2     (312.5 )   (248.8 )   (63.7 )
 

Fair value gain (loss) on committed capital securities

    5.8     5.8     -         (94.0 )   (94.0 )   -      
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' revenues

    61.6     61.6     -         4.9     4.9     -      
 

Other income

    7.4     (13.2 )   20.6     58.4     26.9     31.5  
                           
 

Total revenues

    1,354.4     101.0     1,253.4     357.4     (339.1 )   696.5  

Expenses:

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    310.8     (45.8 )   356.6     251.1     -         251.1  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    23.1     -         23.1     41.3     -         41.3  
 

AGMH acquisition-related expenses

    6.8     -         6.8     80.2     -         80.2  
 

Interest expense

    74.9     -         74.9     37.5     -         37.5  
 

Goodwill and settlement of pre-existing relationship

    -         -         -         23.3     23.3     -      
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' expenses

    (131.5 )   (131.5 )   -         10.2     10.2     -      
 

Other operating expenses

    162.2     -         162.2     123.1     -         123.1  
                           
 

Total expenses

    446.3     (177.3 )   623.6     566.7     33.5     533.2  
                           
 

Income (loss) before income taxes

    908.1     278.3     629.8     (209.3 )   (372.6 )   163.3  
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    201.7     79.3     122.4     (84.5 )   (110.8 )   26.3  
                           
 

Net income (loss)

    706.4     199.0     507.4     (124.8 )   (261.8 )   137.0  
 

Less: Noncontrolling interest of variable interest entities

    -         -         -         (5.3 )   (5.3 )   -      
                           
 

Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. 

    $ 706.4     $ 199.0     $ 507.4     $ (119.5 )   $ (256.5 )   $ 137.0  
                           

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 4


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in millions)

 
  As of :  
 
  September 30, 2010   December 31, 2009  

Assets

             
 

Investment portfolio:

             
   

Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale, at fair value

    $ 9,775.8     $ 9,139.9  
   

Short-term investments, at fair value

    907.7     1,668.3  
           
   

Total investment portfolio

    10,683.5     10,808.2  
 

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions

   
133.2
   
152.4
 
 

Cash

    87.4     44.1  
 

Premiums receivable, net of ceding commissions payable

    1,322.5     1,418.2  
 

Ceded unearned premium reserve

    897.2     1,080.5  
 

Deferred acquisition costs

    251.2     242.0  
 

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

    18.1     14.1  
 

Credit derivative assets

    475.6     492.5  
 

Committed capital securities, at fair value

    15.3     9.5  
 

Deferred tax asset, net

    842.1     1,158.2  
 

Salvage and subrogation recoverable

    824.8     420.3  
 

Financial guaranty VIE assets 1

    2,296.7     762.3  
 

Other assets

    523.5     200.4  
           

Total assets

    $ 18,371.1     $ 16,802.7  
           

Liabilities and shareholders' equity

             

Liabilities

             
 

Unearned premium reserve

    $ 7,374.8     $ 8,400.2  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

    467.0     289.5  
 

Long-term debt

    923.8     917.4  
 

Notes payable

    132.1     149.1  
 

Credit derivative liabilities

    2,180.7     2,034.6  
 

Reinsurance balances payable, net

    259.3     215.2  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities with recourse 1

    2,225.7     762.7  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities without recourse 1

    236.9     -      
 

Other liabilities

    381.6     513.9  
           

Total liabilities

    14,181.9     13,282.6  

Shareholders' equity

             
 

Common stock

    1.8     1.8  
 

Additional paid-in capital

    2,583.2     2,585.0  
 

Retained earnings 1

    1,264.7     789.9  
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

    337.5     141.8  
 

Deferred equity compensation

    2.0     2.0  
           
 

Total shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.

    4,189.2     3,520.5  
 

Noncontrolling interest of financial guaranty VIEs' 1

    -         (0.4 )
           
 

Total shareholders' equity

    4,189.2     3,520.1  
           

Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

 
  $

18,371.1
 
  $

16,802.7
 
           

1. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts.

Page 5


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Adjusted Book Value
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

 
  As of:    
   
 
 
  % Change versus
12/31/2009
 
 
  September 30, 2010   December 31, 2009  
 
  Total   Per share   Total   Per share   Total   Per share  

Reconciliation of shareholders' equity to adjusted book value:

                                     
 

Shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.

  $ 4,189.2   $ 22.80   $ 3,520.5   $ 19.12     19%     19%  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Effect of consolidating VIEs 1

    (73.6 )   (0.40 )   -         -         NM     NM  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (698.9 )   (3.80 )   (767.6 )   (4.17 )   (9)%     (9)%  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    9.9     0.05     6.2     0.03     60%     67%  
   

Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect

    327.3     1.78     139.7     0.76     134%     134%  
                               
 

Operating shareholders' equity

  $ 4,624.5   $ 25.17   $ 4,142.2   $ 22.49     12%     12%  
 

After-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Less: Deferred acquisition costs

    258.2     1.41     235.3     1.28     10%     10%  
   

Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue

    459.5     2.50     520.0     2.82     (12)%     (11)%  
   

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed

    4,180.1     22.75     4,486.8     24.36     (7)%     (7)%  
                               
 

Adjusted book value

  $ 9,005.9   $ 49.01   $ 8,913.7   $ 48.40     1%     1%  
                               

1. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating shareholders' equity reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

Page 6


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Capital and Claims Paying Resources and Statutory-basis Exposures 1
(dollars in millions)

 
  As of September 30, 2010  
 
  Assured Guaranty Corp.   Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. 5   Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.   Eliminations 6   Consolidated  

Claims paying resources

                               

Policyholders' surplus

    $ 973     $ 1,091     $ 1,008     $ (300 )   $ 2,772  

Contingency reserve

    666     -         1,505     -         2,171  
                       
 

Qualified statutory capital

    1,639     1,091     2,513     (300 )   4,943  

Unearned premium reserve

    882     1,009     2,305     -         4,196  

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves 7

    295     209     670     -         1,174  
                       
 

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    2,816     2,309     5,488     (300 )   10,313  

Present value of installment premium 2

    570     303     714     -         1,587  

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    200     200     498     -         898  
                       
 

Total claims paying resources

    $ 3,586     $ 2,812     $ 6,700     $ (300 )   $ 12,798  
                       

Net par outstanding

    $ 123,464     $ 141,810     $ 351,494     $ (1,479 )   $ 615,289  

Net debt service outstanding

    $ 177,585     $ 227,748     $ 525,385     $ (3,486 )   $ 927,232  

Ratios:

                               
 

Net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital

    75:1     130:1     140:1           124:1  
 

Capital ratio 3

    108:1     209:1     209:1           188:1  
 

Financial resources ratio 4

    50:1     81:1     78:1           72:1  

1. Statutory basis.

2. Includes financial guaranty insurance and credit derivatives.

3. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

4. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

5. Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. ("AG Re") numbers are the Company's estimate of U.S. statutory as this company files Bermuda statutory financial statements.

6. In 2009, Assured Guaranty Corp. ("AGC") issued a $300.0 million note payable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. ("AGM"). Net par and net debt service outstanding eliminations represent second-to-pay policies between Assured Guaranty's insurance subsidiaries.

7. Reserves are reduced by approximately $1.3 billion for benefit related to representation and warranty recoverables.

Page 7


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production
(dollars in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,
   
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
3Q-09
  % Change versus YTD 2009  
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Consolidated new business production analysis:

                                     
 

Present value of new business production ("PVP")

                                     
 

Public finance - U.S.:

                                     
   

Primary markets

    $ 74.7     $ 150.6     (50)%     $ 207.8     $ 457.6     (55)%  
   

Secondary markets

    9.8     4.3     128%     32.4     42.6     (24)%  
 

Public finance - non-U.S.

                                     
   

Primary markets

    -         -         NM     -         1.6     (100)%  
   

Secondary markets

    -         -         NM     0.7     0.2     250%  
 

Structured finance - U.S. 

    3.7     2.3     61%     13.9     16.9     (18)%  
 

Structured finance - non-U.S. 

    0.7     0.9     (22)%     2.8     0.9     211%  
                               
 

Total PVP

    88.9     158.1     (44)%     257.6     519.8     (50)%  
   

Less: PVP of credit derivatives

    -         -         NM     -         2.4     (100)%  
                               
 

PVP of financial guaranty insurance

    88.9     158.1     (44)%     257.6     517.4     (50)%  
   

Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVP

    4.9     4.2     17%     17.4     28.3     (39)%  
                               
 

Total: Financial guaranty upfront gross written premiums ("GWP")

    84.0     153.9     (45)%     240.2     489.1     (51)%  
   

Plus: Financial guaranty installment adjustment 1

    (6.4 )   (29.8 )   (79)%     21.2     11.8     80%  
                               
 

Total financial guaranty GWP

    77.6     124.1     (37)%     261.4     500.9     (48)%  
 

Plus: Other segment GWP

    -         0.1     (100)%     -         (0.9 )   (100)%  
                               
 

Total GWP

    $ 77.6     $ 124.2     (38)%     $ 261.4     $ 500.0     (48)%  
                               

Consolidated financial guaranty gross par written:

                                     
 

Public finance - U.S.

                                     
   

Primary markets

    $ 6,785     $ 8,338     (19)%     $ 19,138     $ 39,497     (52)%  
   

Secondary markets

    441     159     177%     1,103     887     24%  
 

Public finance - non-U.S.

                                     
   

Primary markets

    -         -         NM     -         466     (100)%  
   

Secondary markets

    -         -         NM     34     90     (62)%  
 

Structured finance - U.S. 

    200     600     (67)%     2,600     994     162%  
 

Structured finance - non-U.S. 

    -         -         NM     -         -         NM  
                               
   

Total

    $ 7,426     $ 9,097     (18)%     $ 22,875     $ 41,934     (45)%  
                               

1. Includes the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments compared to the discount rate used for new financial guaranty insurance accounting standard as well as the changes in estimated term for future installments.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

Page 8


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written by Asset Type

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30, 2010
  Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2010
 
 
  Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating 1   Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating 1  

Sector:

                         

U.S. Public Finance:

                         
 

General obligation

    $ 3,570     A     $ 9,687     A  
 

Tax backed

    1,107     A+     3,360     A+  
 

Municipal utilities

    985     A-     3,249     A  
 

Transportation

    736     A     1,479     A  
 

Higher education

    606     A     940     A  
 

Healthcare

    216     A-     775     A-  
 

Investor-owned utilities

    -         -     30     A-  
 

Other public finance

    6     A-     721     A  
                       
   

Total U.S. public finance

    7,226     A     20,241     A  

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

                         
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    -         -     34     BBB  
                       

Total public finance

    $ 7,226     A     $ 20,275     A  
                       

U.S. Structured Finance:

                         
 

Consumer receivables

    $ 200     A     $ 1,600     AAA  
 

Other structure finance

    -         -     1,000     AAA  
                       
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    200     A     2,600     AAA  

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

                         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    -         -     -         -      
                       

Total structured finance

    $ 200     A     $ 2,600     AAA  
                       

Total gross par written

 
  $

7,426
   

A

 
  $

22,875
   

A+

 
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 9


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Segment Consolidation (1 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended September 30, 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance 3
  Other 4   Underwriting
Gain (Loss)
  Consolidation
of VIEs
  Total  

Total PVP

  $ 88.9   $ -       $ -       $ 88.9   $ -       $ 88.9  

Income statement:

                                     

Net earned premiums

   
284.2
   
16.7
   
0.6
   
301.5
   
(12.8

)
 
288.7
 

Credit derivative revenues 1

    50.4     0.3     -         50.7     -         50.7  

Other income

    0.2     -         -         0.2     -         0.2  
                           
 

Total underwriting revenues

    334.8     17.0     0.6     352.4     (12.8 )   339.6  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

   
113.4
   
7.1
   
0.1
   
120.6
   
(11.5

)
 
109.1
 

Losses incurred on credit derivatives 2

    14.6     0.8     -         15.4     -         15.4  
                           
 

Total incurred losses

    128.0     7.9     0.1     136.0     (11.5 )   124.5  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    3.9     4.1     -         8.0     -         8.0  

Other operating expenses

    42.3     7.5     0.1     49.9     -         49.9  
                           
 

Total underwriting expenses

    174.2     19.5     0.2     193.9     (11.5 )   182.4  
                               
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

 
$

160.6
 
$

(2.5

)

$

0.4
 
$

158.5
             
                               

 

 
  Three Months Ended September 30, 2009 5    
   
 
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance 3
  Other 4   Total    
   
 

Total PVP

  $ 158.1   $ -       $ -       $ 158.1              

Income statement:

                                     

Net earned premiums

   
314.7
   
14.6
   
0.7
   
330.0
             

Credit derivative revenues 1

    57.0     0.3     -         57.3              

Other income

    30.1     -         -         30.1              
                               
 

Total underwriting revenues

    401.8     14.9     0.7     417.4              

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

   
97.2
   
35.9
   
0.2
   
133.3
             

Losses incurred on credit derivatives 2

    142.4     (0.2 )   -         142.2              
                               
 

Total incurred losses

    239.6     35.7     0.2     275.5              

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    3.0     (1.8 )   0.1     1.3              

Other operating expenses

    57.4     6.3     1.0     64.7              
                               
 

Total underwriting expenses

    300.0     40.2     1.3     341.5              
                               
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

 
$

101.8
 
$

(25.3

)

$

(0.6

)

$

75.9
             
                               

1. Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

2. Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

3. Due to the timing of receiving reports prepared by Assured Guaranty's ceding companies, PVP for installment premiums, par written and par outstanding on treaty business in the Company's financial guaranty reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.

4. Other includes the Company's former mortgage guaranty and other segments.

5. The Company has revised its definition of underwriting gain in 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. 2009 amounts are presented on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 10



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Segment Consolidation (2 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  Nine Months Ended September 30, 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance 3
  Other 4   Underwriting
Gain (Loss)
  Consolidation
of VIEs
  Total  

Total PVP

  $ 257.6   $ -       $ -       $ 257.6   $ -       $ 257.6  

Income statement:

                                     

Net earned premiums

   
880.7
   
52.2
   
1.9
   
934.8
   
(34.4

)
 
900.4
 

Credit derivative revenues 1

    157.1     -         -         157.1     -         157.1  

Other income

    20.6     -         -         20.6     -         20.6  
                           
 

Total underwriting revenues

    1,058.4     52.2     1.9     1,112.5     (34.4 )   1,078.1  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

   
307.3
   
49.1
   
0.2
   
356.6
   
(45.8

)
 
310.8
 

Losses incurred on credit derivatives 2

    111.0     8.9     -         119.9     -         119.9  
                           
 

Total incurred losses

    418.3     58.0     0.2     476.5     (45.8 )   430.7  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    10.4     12.6     0.1     23.1     -         23.1  

Other operating expenses

    131.1     22.7     1.2     155.0     -         155.0  
                           
 

Total underwriting expenses

    559.8     93.3     1.5     654.6     (45.8 )   608.8  
                               
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

 
$

498.6
 
$

(41.1

)

$

0.4
 
$

457.9
             
                               

 

 
  Nine Months Ended September 30, 2009 5    
   
 
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance 3
  Other 4   Total    
   
 

Total PVP

  $ 429.0   $ 90.8   $ -       $ 519.8              

Income statement:

                                     

Net earned premiums

   
446.6
   
108.2
   
2.3
   
557.1
             

Credit derivative revenues 1

    113.3     1.4     -         114.7              

Other income

    31.4     0.1     -         31.5              
                               
 

Total underwriting revenues

    591.3     109.7     2.3     703.3              

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

   
140.7
   
98.3
   
12.1
   
251.1
             

Losses incurred on credit derivatives 2

    178.8     (0.4 )   -         178.4              
                               
 

Total incurred losses

    319.5     97.9     12.1     429.5              

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    12.8     28.1     0.4     41.3              

Other operating expenses

    93.6     21.2     2.5     117.3              
                               
 

Total underwriting expenses

    425.9     147.2     15.0     588.1              
                               
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

 
$

165.4
 
$

(37.5

)

$

(12.7

)

$

115.2
             
                               

1. Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

2. Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

3. Due to the timing of receiving reports prepared by Assured Guaranty's ceding companies, PVP for installment premiums, par written and par outstanding on treaty business in the Company's financial guaranty reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.

4. Other includes the Company's former mortgage guaranty and other segments.

5. The Company has revised its definition of underwriting gain in 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. 2009 amounts are presented on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 11


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct Segment (1 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   3Q-10   Nine Months
2010
 

Income statement:

                                     

Net earned premiums:

                                     
 

Scheduled net earned premiums

                                     
   

Public finance - U.S.

  $ 69.7   $ 77.8   $ 67.6   $ 72.0   $ 74.2   $ 213.8  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    17.9     15.4     13.0     16.8     17.7     47.5  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    208.4     202.9     203.7     177.9     162.3     543.9  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    7.6     13.1     8.7     9.4     9.8     27.9  
                           
 

Total scheduled net earned premiums

    303.6     309.2     293.0     276.1     264.0     833.1  
 

Net earned premiums from refundings and accelerations

    11.1     37.3     13.6     13.8     20.2     47.6  
                           

Total net earned premiums

    314.7     346.5     306.6     289.9     284.2     880.7  

Credit derivative revenues 1

    57.0     54.8     55.0     51.7     50.4     157.1  

Other income

    30.1     (0.1 )   18.2     2.2     0.2     20.6  
                           
 

Total underwriting revenues

    401.8     401.2     379.8     343.8     334.8     1,058.4  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    97.2     101.2     112.3     81.6     113.4     307.3  

Losses (gains) incurred on credit derivatives 2

    142.4     59.2     74.6     21.8     14.6     111.0  
                           
 

Total incurred losses

    239.6     160.4     186.9     103.4     128.0     418.3  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    3.0     3.5     3.8     2.7     3.9     10.4  

Other operating expenses

    57.4     42.8     49.7     39.1     42.3     131.1  
                           
 

Total underwriting expenses

    300.0     206.7     240.4     145.2     174.2     559.8  
                           
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

  $ 101.8   $ 194.5   $ 139.4   $ 198.6   $ 160.6   $ 498.6  
                           

1. Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

2. Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

Page 12


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct Segment (2 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   3Q-10   Nine Months
2010
 

PVP:

                                     

Public finance - U.S.

                                     
 

Primary markets

  $ 150.6   $ 99.5   $ 60.4   $ 72.7   $ 74.7   $ 207.8  
 

Secondary markets

    4.3     14.5     13.9     8.7     9.8     32.4  

Public finance - non-U.S.

                                     
 

Primary markets

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

Secondary markets

    -     -     -     0.7     -     0.7  

Structured finance - U.S.

    2.3     6.3     4.5     5.7     3.7     13.9  

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    0.9     0.1     -     2.1     0.7     2.8  
                           

Total PVP

    158.1     120.4     78.8     89.9     88.9     257.6  
   

Less: PVP of credit derivatives GWP

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
                           

PVP of financial guaranty GWP

    158.1     120.4     78.8     89.9     88.9     257.6  
 

Less: Present value of insurance installment premiums

    4.2     (2.9 )   4.5     8.0     4.9     17.4  
                           
 

Upfront financial guaranty GWP

    153.9     123.3     74.3     81.9     84.0     240.2  
 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment adjustment 1

    (22.3 )   (45.4 )   19.5     19.6     8.0     47.1  
                           

Financial guaranty direct GWP

  $ 131.6   $ 77.9   $ 93.8   $ 101.5   $ 92.0   $ 287.3  
                           

Gross par written 2:

                                     

Public finance - U.S.

                                     
 

Primary markets

  $ 8,338   $ 6,296   $ 5,816   $ 6,537   $ 6,785   $ 19,138  
 

Secondary markets

    159     440     372     290     441     1,103  

Public finance - non-U.S.

                                     
 

Primary markets

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
 

Secondary markets

    -     -     -     34     -     34  

Structured finance - U.S.

    600     1,250     1,000     1,400     200     2,600  

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
                           
 

Total

  $ 9,097   $ 7,986   $ 7,188   $ 8,261   $ 7,426   $ 22,875  
                           

Net par outstanding (end of period):

                                     
 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   3Q-10    
 

Public finance - U.S.

  $ 371,748   $ 372,088   $ 380,361   $ 380,749   $ 379,534        

Public finance - non-U.S.

    37,139     37,281     36,099     34,731     36,966        

Structured finance - U.S.

    135,939     132,945     128,495     121,027     120,873        

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    33,080     33,194     31,530     29,254     30,797        
                             
 

Total

  $ 577,906   $ 575,508   $ 576,485   $ 565,761   $ 568,170        
                             

1. Includes the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments compared to the discount rate used for new financial guaranty insurance accounting standard as well as the changes in estimated term for future installments.

2. Includes committed amount including undrawn revolvers.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Note: AGM is included in the financial guaranty direct segment.

Page 13


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Segment (1 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   3Q-10   Nine Months
2010
 

Income statement:

                                     

Net earned premiums:

                                     
 

Scheduled net earned premiums

  $ 8.3   $ 17.4   $ 16.6   $ 15.5   $ 15.7   $ 47.8  
 

Net earned premiums from refundings and accelerations

    6.3     8.8     1.8     1.6     1.0     4.4  
                           

Total net earned premiums

    14.6     26.2     18.4     17.1     16.7     52.2  

Credit derivative revenues 1

    0.3     0.6     (0.3 )       0.3      

Other income

                         
                           
 

Total underwriting revenues

    14.9     26.8     18.1     17.1     17.0     52.2  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    35.9     25.5     28.2     13.8     7.1     49.1  

Losses (gains) incurred on credit derivatives 2

    (0.2 )   1.0     1.8     6.3     0.8     8.9  
                           
 

Total incurred losses

    35.7     26.5     30.0     20.1     7.9     58.0  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    (1.8 )   9.0     4.3     4.2     4.1     12.6  

Other operating expenses

    6.3     5.2     9.4     5.8     7.5     22.7  
                           
 

Total underwriting expenses

    40.2     40.7     43.7     30.1     19.5     93.3  
                           
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

  $ (25.3 ) $ (13.9 ) $ (25.6 ) $ (13.0 ) $ (2.5 ) $ (41.1 )
                           

1. Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

2. Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

Page 14


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Segment 1 (2 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   3Q-10   Nine Months 2010  

PVP:

                                     

Public finance - U.S.

                                     
 

Primary markets

  $   $   $   $   $   $  
 

Secondary markets

                         

Public finance - non-U.S.

                                   
 

Primary markets

                         
 

Secondary markets

                         

Structured finance - U.S.

                         

Structured finance - non-U.S.

                         
                           

Total PVP

                         
 

Less: PVP of credit derivatives GWP

                         
                           

PVP of financial guaranty GWP

                         
 

Less: Present value of financial guaranty installment premiums

                         
                           
 

Upfront financial guaranty GWP

                         
 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment adjustment 2

    (7.5 )   (21.5 )   (1.7 )   (9.8 )   (14.4 )   (25.9 )
                           

Financial guaranty reinsurance GWP

  $ (7.5 ) $ (21.5 ) $ (1.7 ) $ (9.8 ) $ (14.4 ) $ (25.9 )
                           

Gross par written

  $   $   $   $   $   $  

Net par outstanding (end of period):

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   3Q-10    
 

Public finance - U.S.

  $ 53,137   $ 50,990   $ 49,751   $ 49,125   $ 47,050        

Public finance - non-U.S.

    6,088     5,494     5,307     4,842     5,159        

Structured finance - U.S.

    6,244     5,356     5,049     4,928     4,806        

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    3,255     3,074     2,873     2,858     2,887        
                             
 

Total

  $ 68,724   $ 64,914   $ 62,980   $ 61,753   $ 59,902        
                             

1. Due to the timing of receiving reports prepared by Assured Guaranty's ceding companies, PVP for installment premiums, par written and par outstanding on treaty business in the Company's financial guaranty reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.

2. Includes the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments compared to the discount rate used for new financial guaranty insurance accounting standard as well as the changes in estimated term for future installments.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Note: AGM is included in the financial guaranty direct segment.

Page 15


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Investment Portfolio
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

 
  Amortized
Cost
  Pre-Tax
Book
Yield
  After-Tax
Book
Yield
  Fair
Value
  Annualized
Investment
Income 1
 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

                               

Fixed maturity securities:

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

    $ 524.4     2.70%     2.10%     $ 556.4     $ 14.1  
 

Agency obligations

    514.6     3.18%     2.68%     553.8     16.4  
 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

    2,782.8     4.04%     3.79%     2,945.6     112.4  
 

Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions 2

    2,011.2     4.81%     4.54%     2,146.0     96.6  
 

Corporate securities

    945.3     3.67%     3.00%     989.9     34.7  
 

Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS") 3:

                               
   

Residential MBS ("RMBS")

    1,271.3     4.97%     4.22%     1,279.1     63.2  
   

Commercial MBS ("CMBS")

    348.4     4.95%     4.26%     367.5     17.2  
 

Asset-backed securities 4

    564.0     2.50%     1.86%     574.0     14.1  
 

Foreign government securities

    356.4     3.07%     2.00%     363.5     10.9  
                       
     

Total fixed maturity securities

    9,318.4     4.07%     3.61%     9,775.8     379.6  

Short-term investments

    907.5     0.18%     0.12%     907.7     1.6  
                       
     

Total investment portfolio

    $ 10,225.9     3.73%     3.30%     $ 10,683.5     $ 381.2  
                       

 

Ratings 5:
  Fair Value   %    
 

Treasury and U.S. government obligations

    $ 556.4     5.7%        

Agency obligations

    553.8     5.7%        

AAA/Aaa

    3,276.0     33.5%        

AA/Aa

    3,505.8     35.9%        

A/A

    1,359.2     13.9%        

BBB

    104.5     1.1%        

Below investment grade ("BIG") 6

    384.8     3.9%        

Not rated

    35.3     0.3%        
                 
 

Total fixed maturity securities, available for sale

    $ 9,775.8     100.0%        
                 

Duration of investment portfolio (in years):

          4.6        
                   

Average ratings of investment portfolio

          AA        
                   

1. Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.

2. Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by Standard & Poor's Rating Services ("S&P") or Moody's Investors Service, Inc. ("Moody's") average A+. Includes $357.8 million insured by AGC and AGM.

3. $0.3 million is U.S. subprime RMBS, which has an average rating of AAA.

4. Contains no collateralized debt obligations ("CDOs") of asset-backed securities ("ABS").

5. Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's and S&P classifications.

6. Included in the investment portfolio are securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation strategies or other risk management of $798.5 million in par with carrying value of $344.2 million.

Page 16


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization 1 and Estimated Future Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues
(in millions)

 
   
   
  Financial Guaranty Insurance 2    
   
 
 
  Estimated Net
Debt Service
Amortization
  Estimated
Ending Net
Debt Service
Outstanding
  Expected PV
Net Earned
Premiums
  Accretion of
Discount
  Future Net
Premiums
Earned
  Future
Credit
Derivative
Revenues 3
  Total  

2010 (as of September 30)

        $ 941,509                                

2010 (October 1 - December 31)

  $ 18,425     923,084   $ 233.9   $ 8.9   $ 242.8   $ 31.7   $ 274.5  

2011

    66,130     856,954     748.7     33.9     782.6     171.3     953.9  

2012

    70,010     786,944     593.2     31.8     625.0     137.5     762.5  

2013

    61,010     725,934     512.9     29.5     542.4     104.5     646.9  

2014

   
64,696
   
661,238
   
458.5
   
27.5
   
486.0
   
74.9
   
560.9
 

2010-2014

    280,271     661,238     2,547.2     131.6     2,678.8     519.9     3,198.7  

2015-2019

    222,568     438,670     1,687.1     111.6     1,798.7     166.4     1,965.1  

2020-2024

    164,262     274,408     1,046.5     75.4     1,121.9     79.7     1,201.6  

2025-2029

    115,676     158,732     650.4     46.9     697.3     58.2     755.5  

After 2029

    158,732     -     718.9     39.7     758.6     100.8     859.4  
                                 
 

Total

  $ 941,509         $ 6,650.1   $ 405.2   $ 7,055.3   $ 925.0   $ 7,980.3  
                                 

1. Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of September 30, 2010. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization.obligations.

2. See page 19 for "Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed."

3. Excludes contracts with credit impairment.

Page 17


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Expected Amortization of U.S. and Non-U.S. Structured Finance Net Par Outstanding
(in millions)

 
  Estimated Net Par Amortization    
 
 
  U.S. and
Non-U.S. Pooled
Corporate
  U.S.
RMBS
  Financial
Products  1
  Other
Structured
Finance
  Total   Estimated
Ending Net Par
Outstanding
 

Structured Finance Net Par Amortization:

                                     

2010 (as of September 30)

                               
$

159,363
 

2010 (October 1 - December 31)

  $ 4,698   $ 1,515   $ 239   $ 899   $ 7,351     152,012  

2011

    9,923     5,041     700     5,827     21,491     130,521  

2012

    15,242     3,729     1,247     5,507     25,725     104,796  

2013

    13,125     2,843     969     2,302     19,239     85,557  

2014

    19,648     2,119     743     1,494     24,004     61,553  

2010-2014

    62,636     15,247     3,898     16,029     97,810     61,553  

2015-2019

    24,523     5,723     910     7,616     38,772     22,781  

2020-2024

    2,826     2,361     624     2,125     7,936     14,845  

2025-2029

    471     820     460     848     2,599     12,246  

After 2029

    3,629     1,864     1,820     4,933     12,246     -  
                             
 

Total structured finance

  $ 94,085   $ 26,015   $ 7,712   $ 31,551   $ 159,363        
                             

1. See Glossary for description of financial products.

Page 18


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Present Value ("PV") of Financial Guaranty Net Insurance Loss to be Expensed
(in millions)

 
  Net Expected
Loss to be
Expensed 1
 

Financial Guaranty Insurance Loss to be Expensed:

       

2010 (October 1-December 31)

  $ 79.6  

2011

    192.9  

2012

    116.5  

2013

    89.8  

2014

    77.7  

2010-2014

   
556.5
 

2015-2019

    245.9  

2020-2024

    123.1  

2025-2029

    72.0  

After 2029

    72.8  
       
 

Total expected PV of net loss to be expensed

    1,070.3  

Discount

    579.9  
       
 

Total future value

  $ 1,650.2  
       

1. The expected present value of net loss to be expensed is discounted by weighted-average risk free rates ranging from 0% to 4.51%.

Page 19


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
As of September, 2010
(in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 
  Financial Guaranty
Direct
  Financial Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Consolidated
 
  Net Par Outstanding   Net Par Outstanding   Net Par
Outstanding
  Avg. Rating 1

U.S. Public Finance:

                     
 

General obligation

    $ 165,866     $ 15,860     $ 181,726   A+
 

Tax backed

    73,791     9,822     83,613   A+
 

Municipal utilities

    64,020     5,916     69,936   A
 

Transportation

    30,247     5,970     36,217   A
 

Healthcare

    20,337     1,558     21,895   A
 

Higher education

    12,465     2,627     15,092   A+
 

Housing

    6,306     421     6,727   AA-
 

Infrastructure finance

    2,311     1,725     4,036   BBB+
 

Investor-owned utilities

    162     1,435     1,597   A-
 

Other public finance

    4,029     1,716     5,745   A-
                 
   

Total U.S. public finance

    379,534     47,050     426,584   A+

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

                     
 

Infrastructure finance

    13,816     2,416     16,232   BBB
 

Regulated utilities

    11,597     2,433     14,030   BBB+
 

Pooled infrastructure

    4,367         4,367   AA
 

Other public finance

    7,186     310     7,496   AA-
                 
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    36,966     5,159     42,125   A-
                 

Total public finance

    $ 416,500     $ 52,209     $ 468,709   A
                 

U.S. Structured Finance:

                     
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    $ 69,822     $ 854     $ 70,676   AAA
 

RMBS

    25,649     366     26,015   BB
 

Financial products 2

    7,712         7,712   AA-
 

CMBS and other commercial real estate related exposures

    6,858     386     7,244   AAA
 

Consumer receivables

    5,345     1,395     6,740   AA-
 

Structured credit

    2,088     446     2,534   BBB+
 

Commercial receivables

    1,302     984     2,286   BBB+
 

Insurance securitizations

    1,314     337     1,651   A+
 

Other structured finance

    783     38     821   A-
                 
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    120,873     4,806     125,679   AA-

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

                     
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    22,449     960     23,409   AAA
 

RMBS

    4,665     24     4,689   AAA
 

Commercial receivables

    815     979     1,794   A-
 

Structured credit

    1,189     595     1,784   BBB
 

Insurance securitizations

    964     16     980   CCC-
 

CMBS and other commercial real estate related exposures

    338     311     649   AA+
 

Other structured finance

    377     2     379   AAA
                 
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    30,797     2,887     33,684   AA+
                 

Total structured finance

    $ 151,670     $ 7,693     $ 159,363   AA-
                 

Total net par outstanding

    $ 568,170     $ 59,902     $ 628,072   A+
                 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. See the Glossary for a description of financial products.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 20


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 
  As of September 30, 2010  
 
  Public Finance -
U.S.
  Public Finance -
Non-U.S.
  Structured Finance -
U.S.
  Structured Finance -
Non-U.S.
  Consolidated  
Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %  

Super senior

    $ -         0.0%     $ 2,339     5.6%     $ 24,062     19.1%     $ 8,167     24.2%     $ 34,568     5.5%  

AAA

    5,976     1.4%     1,407     3.3%     46,432     36.9%     15,487     46.0%     69,302     11.0%  

AA

    163,924     38.4%     1,348     3.2%     19,071     15.2%     2,031     6.0%     186,374     29.7%  

A

    212,172     49.7%     13,142     31.2%     6,191     4.9%     2,749     8.2%     234,254     37.3%  

BBB

    41,495     9.7%     22,169     52.6%     8,975     7.1%     3,950     11.7%     76,589     12.2%  

BIG

    3,017     0.8%     1,720     4.1%     20,948     16.8%     1,300     3.9%     26,985     4.3%  
                       
 

Total net par outstanding

    $ 426,584     100.0%     $ 42,125     100.0%     $ 125,679     100.0%     $ 33,684     100.0%     $ 628,072     100.0%  
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 21


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of September 30, 2010

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

U.S.:

             

Public Finance:

             
 

California

  $ 59,799     9.5%  
 

New York

    35,242     5.6%  
 

Texas

    31,149     5.0%  
 

Pennsylvania

    30,203     4.8%  
 

Florida

    27,011     4.3%  
 

Illinois

    25,902     4.1%  
 

New Jersey

    18,073     2.9%  
 

Michigan

    16,836     2.7%  
 

Washington

    12,917     2.1%  
 

Massachusetts

    12,702     2.0%  
 

Other states

    156,750     24.9%  
           
   

Total Public Finance

    426,584     67.9%  

Structured finance (multiple states)

    125,679     20.0%  
           
   

Total U.S.

    552,263     87.9%  
           

Non-U.S.:

             
 

United Kingdom

    30,071     4.8%  
 

Australia

    8,629     1.4%  
 

Canada

    4,751     0.8%  
 

France

    2,439     0.4%  
 

Italy

    2,332     0.4%  
 

Other

    27,587     4.3%  
           
   

Total non-U.S.

    75,809     12.1%  
           
 

Total net par outstanding

 
  $

628,072
   
100.0%
 
           

Page 22


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings as of September 30, 2010

  Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 2
   
 
 

Super Senior

    $ 26,092     28.3%     31.8%     29.4%        
 

AAA

    51,627     56.0%     28.4%     27.4%        
 

AA

    6,416     7.0%     40.0%     34.1%        
 

A

    1,579     1.7%     24.4%     21.9%        
 

BBB

    3,609     3.9%     36.2%     27.8%        
 

BIG

    2,948     3.1%     45.0%     24.7%        
                           
   

Total exposures

    $ 92,271     100.0%     30.9%     28.3%        
                           

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of September 30, 2010

  Asset class:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg. Rating 1  
 

CBOs/CLOs 3

    $ 54,428     59.0%     31.0%     29.2%     AAA  
 

Synthetic investment grade pooled corporates

    15,031     16.3%     19.2%     17.7%     AAA  
 

Synthetic high yield pooled corporates

    9,537     10.3%     38.1%     33.4%     AAA  
 

Market value CDOs of corporates

    5,454     5.9%     35.1%     36.3%     AAA  
 

Trust preferred - banks and insurance

    3,613     3.9%     46.8%     32.1%     BBB  
 

Trust preferred - U.S. mortgage and REITs 4

    2,355     2.6%     50.0%     38.2%     BIG  
 

Trust preferred - European mortgage and REITs

    947     1.0%     36.7%     32.0%     BBB  
 

Other pooled corporates

    906     1.0%     24.4%     25.0%     A-  
                         
   

Total exposures

    $ 92,271     100.0%     30.9%     28.3%     AAA  
                         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

3. CBOs (collateralized bond obligation)/CLOs (collateralized loan obligation) are largely non-investment grade/high yield collateral.

4. REITs are real estate investment trusts.

Page 23


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and by Segment as of September 30, 2010

  Ratings 1:
  Direct
Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Reinsurance
Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Total
Net Par
Outstanding
  %  
 

Super senior

    $ -           0.0%     $ -           0.0%     $ -           0.0%  
 

AAA

    2,949     11.5%     42     11.5%     2,991     11.5%  
 

AA

    2,474     9.6%     50     13.7%     2,524     9.7%  
 

A

    1,457     5.7%     40     10.9%     1,497     5.8%  
 

BBB

    2,136     8.3%     34     9.3%     2,170     8.3%  
 

BIG

    16,633     64.9%     200     54.6%     16,833     64.7%  
                             
 

Total exposures

  $ 25,649     100.0%   $ 366     100.0%   $ 26,015     100.0%  
                             

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and Type of Exposure as of September 30, 2010

  Ratings:
  Prime First
Lien 2
  Closed End
Seconds
("CES")
  HELOC 3   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  NIMs 4   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

Super senior

    $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -  
 

AAA

    11     0     459     112     113     2,296     -     2,991  
 

AA

    172     35     275     228     37     1,777     -     2,524  
 

A

    20     2     5     100     126     1,244     -     1,497  
 

BBB

    26     -     14     1,098     101     901     31     2,170  
 

BIG

    656     1,143     4,232     4,737     3,025     2,887     153     16,833  
                                     
   

Total exposures

    $ 885     $ 1,180     $ 4,985     $ 6,274     $ 3,402     $ 9,105     $ 184     $ 26,015  
                                     

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured 5 and Type of Exposure as of September 30, 2010

  Year insured 5:
  Prime First
Lien
  CES   HELOC   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  NIMs   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

2004 and prior

    $ 61     $ 2     $ 371     $ 139     $ 55     $ 1,645     $ -     $ 2,273  
 

2005

    183     -     1,104     714     159     406     -     2,567  
 

2006

    143     459     1,539     506     892     3,951     87     7,577  
 

2007

    498     719     1,971     3,090     2,181     3,014     96     11,571  
 

2008

    -     -     -     1,825     114     88     -         2,027  
                                     
   

Total exposures

    $ 885     $ 1,180     $ 4,985     $ 6,274     $ 3,402     $ 9,105     $ 184     $ 26,015  
                                     

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2010

  Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  
 

2004 and prior

    $ -     $ 1,501     $ 91     $ 193     $ 98     $ 390     $ 2,273  
 

2005

    -     209     105     101     124     2,028     2,567  
 

2006

    -     981     1,668     1,052     421     3,456     7,577  
 

2007

    -     300     481     38     719     10,033     11,571  
 

2008

    -     -     178     114     809     926     2,027  
                                 
   

Total exposures

    $ -     $ 2,991     $ 2,524     $ 1,497     $ 2,170     $ 16,833     $ 26,015  
                                 
 

% of total

   
0.0%
   
11.5%
   
9.7%
   
5.8%
   
8.3%
   
64.7%
   
100.0%
 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous RMBS transactions.

3. Home equity line of credit ("HELOC") securitizations.

4. NIMs are net interest margin securities.

5. Assured Guaranty has not insured any U.S. RMBS transactions since 2008.

Page 24


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 20101

U.S. Prime First Lien 2

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 3   Subordination 4   Cumulative
Losses 5
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 6
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 180     55.1%     5.1%     0.9%     7.9%     6  
 

2006

    143     66.2%     7.9%     0.0%     13.5%     1  
 

2007

    498     67.0%     10.4%     2.1%     14.8%     1  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 820     64.3%     8.8%     1.5%     13.1%     8  
                             

U.S. CES

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination 7   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2006

    448     22.5%     -         54.5%     17.1%     2  
 

2007

    719     27.1%     -         60.0%     12.0%     10  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

  $ 1,167     25.3%     -         57.9%     14.0%     12  
                             

U.S. HELOC

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 1,048     21.8%     2.5%     12.4%     11.7%     6  
 

2006

    1,509     36.0%     2.0%     27.8%     11.3%     7  
 

2007

    1,971     51.0%     3.2%     25.1%     6.9%     9  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

  $ 4,528     39.2%     2.6%     23.0%     9.5%     22  
                             

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 711     42.7%     11.8%     4.4%     19.6%     21  
 

2006

    506     50.2%     1.2%     12.3%     39.7%     7  
 

2007

    3,090     62.1%     8.0%     8.4%     35.1%     12  
 

2008

    1,825     57.5%     27.0%     8.6%     30.3%     5  
                             
 

  $ 6,132     57.5%     13.5%     8.3%     32.3%     45  
                             

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 30, 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous MBS transactions.

3. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

4. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

5. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

6. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned ("REO") divided by net par outstanding.

7. Many of the CES transactions insured by the Company have unique structures whereby the collateral may be written down for losses without a corresponding write-down of the obligations insured by the Company. Many of these transactions are currently under-collateralized, with the principal amount of collateral being less than the principal amount of the obligation insured by the Company. The Company is not required to pay principal shortfalls until legal maturity (rather than making timely principal payments), and takes the under-collateralization into account when estimating expected losses for these transactions.

Page 25


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. CMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 2010 1

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 2   Subordination 3   Cumulative
Losses 4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 149     30.6%     9.2%     7.5%     37.7%     4  
 

2006

    885     57.2%     5.4%     10.3%     50.8%     7  
 

2007

    2,181     63.5%     6.0%     10.8%     40.4%     11  
 

2008

    114     64.3%     49.3%     7.3%     34.5%     1  
                             
 

  $ 3,330     60.4%     7.5%     10.4%     42.8%     23  
                             

U.S. Subprime First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

  $ 401     36.3%     49.2%     4.9%     40.9%     7  
 

2006

    3,944     26.1%     61.3%     13.2%     40.7%     4  
 

2007

    3,014     60.1%     27.0%     12.6%     48.6%     13  
 

2008

    82     72.4%     33.6%     6.3%     32.8%     1  
                             
 

  $ 7,442     41.0%     46.5%     12.4%     43.8%     25  
                             

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

Page 26


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating 1, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 2010 2

U.S. CMBS

  Rating:
  Net Par Outstanding   Pool Factor 3   Subordination 4   Cumulative Losses 5   60+ Day Delinquencies 6   Number of Transactions  
 

Super senior

  $ 4,185     89.4%     33.6%     0.5%     7.7%     185  
 

AAA

    244     85.1%     27.6%     0.3%     9.9%     7  
 

AA

    950     87.8%     18.8%     0.6%     7.3%     39  
 

A

    229     64.4%     11.9%     0.9%     8.1%     1  
 

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BIG

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

Total exposures

  $ 5,608     87.9%     30.0%     0.5%     7.7%     232  
                             

CDOs of U.S. Commercial Real Estate and CMBS 7

   
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 8
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 8
   
   
 
 

CDOs of Commercial Real Estate

  $ 712     57.7%     49.4%     48.3%              
 

CDOs of CMBS 9

    522     42.3%     29.6%     45.3%              
                                 
 

Total exposures

  $ 1,234     100.0%     41.0%     47.0%              
                                 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 30, 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Trepp LLC, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

3. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

4. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches, over-collateralization and any first loss deductible, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

5. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

6. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO and any matured non-performing loans divided by net par outstanding.

7. Represents other U.S. Commercial Real Estate not included in the table above.

8. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

9. Relates to vintages 2003 and prior.

Page 27


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables by Rating 1 as of September 30, 2010

  Rating:
  Credit Cards   Student
Loans
  Manufactured
Housing
  Auto   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

Super senior

  $ 1,150   $ -       $ -       $ -       $ 1,150  
 

AAA

    -         1,261     83     40     1,384  
 

AA

    -         -         46     1,365     1,411  
 

A

    -         -         -         472     472  
 

BBB

    89     -         -         673     762  
 

BIG

    -         -         166     -         166  
                         
   

Total exposures

  $ 1,239   $ 1,261   $ 295   $ 2,550   $ 5,345  
                         
 

Average rating 1

    AAA     AAA     A-     A+     AA  
 

Avg. initial credit enhancement 2

    50.8%     7.2%     27.6%     12.8%     21.1%  
 

Avg. current credit enhancement 2

    53.6%     8.4%     26.1%     31.0%     30.6%  

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

Page 28


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 5)
As of September 30, 2010
(in millions)

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type
U.S. Public Finance:

  Net Par
Outstanding 1
 
 

General obligation

    $ 849  
 

Municipal utilities

    537  
 

Tax backed

    418  
 

Healthcare

    347  
 

Transportation

    162  
 

Infrastructure finance

    61  
 

Higher education

    21  
 

Housing

    8  
 

Other public finance

    614  
       
   

Total U.S. public finance

    3,017  

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

       
 

Infrastructure finance

    1,426  
 

Municipal finance

    294  
       
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    1,720  
       

Total public finance

    $ 4,737  
       

U.S. Structured Finance:

       
 

RMBS

    $ 16,833  
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    2,876  
 

Consumer receivables

    536  
 

Structured credit

    288  
 

Commercial receivables

    241  
 

Other structured finance

    174  
       
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    20,948  
       

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

       
 

Insurance securitizations

    923  
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    355  
 

Commercial receivables

    19  
 

RMBS

    3  
       
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    1,300  
       

Total structured finance

    $ 22,248  
       

Total BIG net par outstanding

    $ 26,985  
       

1. As of September 30, 2010, securities purchased for loss mitigation purposes represented $484.6 million of gross par outstanding. In addition, under the terms of certain credit derivative contracts, the Company has obtained the underlying collateral of transactions and recorded it in invested assets in the consolidated balance sheets. Such amounts totaled $274.4 million in gross par outstanding.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 29


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category 1

 
  Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit
Derivatives Surveillance Categories
 
 
  September 30, 2010 2   December 31, 2009  

Category 1

             
 

U.S. public finance

    $ 1,689     $ 1,761  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    1,673     600  
 

U.S. structured finance

    3,446     4,275  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    234     2  
           
   

Total Category 1

    7,042     6,638  

Category 2

             
 

U.S. public finance

    757     719  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    6     4  
 

U.S. structured finance

    10,618     9,913  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    67     3  
           
   

Total Category 2

    11,448     10,639  

Category 3

             
 

U.S. public finance

    571     647  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    41     40  
 

U.S. structured finance

    6,884     6,202  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    999     1,000  
           
   

Total Category 3

    8,495     7,889  
           
     

BIG Total

    $ 26,985     $ 25,166  
           

1. Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of below investment grade ("BIG") credits. The BIG credits are divided into three categories: BIG Category 1: Below investment grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make material losses possible, but for which no losses have been incurred. Non-investment grade transactions on which liquidity claims have been paid are in this category. BIG Category 2: Below investment grade transactions for which expected losses have been established but for which no unreimbursed claims have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below investment grade transactions for which expected losses have been established and on which unreimbursed claims have been paid. Transactions remain in this category when claims have been paid and only a recoverable remains.

2. As of September 30, 2010, securities purchased for loss mitigation purposes represented $484.6 million of gross par outstanding. In addition, under the terms of certain credit derivative contracts, the Company has obtained the underlying collateral of transactions and recorded it in invested assets in the consolidated balance sheets. Such amounts totaled $274.4 million in gross par outstanding.

Page 30


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 5)
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Public Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

Name or Description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
 

U.S. Public Finance:

             
 

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

    $ 512     D  
 

Detroit (City of) Michigan

    414     BB  
 

Jefferson County Alabama School Sales Tax Limited Obligation

    177     BB  
 

Detroit (City of) School District Michigan

    164     BB  
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    163     BB  
 

San Joaquin Hills California Transportation

    162     BB  
 

St. Barnabas Health System—New Jersey

    147     BB  
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    136     CCC  
 

Reading (City of) Pennsylvania

    119     BB  
 

Orlando Tourist Development Tax—Florida

    118     BB+  
 

Mashantucket Pequot Tribe, Connecticut

    107     B  
 

Harrisburg (City of) Pennsylvania General Obligation

    95     B-  
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    91     BB-  
 

Puerto Rico Public Finance Corporation—Commonwealth Appropriation

    88     BB+  
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    69     BB-  
             
   

Total

    $ 2,562        

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

             
 

Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited

    776     BB  
 

Hellenic Republic

    294     BB+  
 

Aeroporti Di Roma (ADR) Romulus Finance S.R.L. (Rome Airport)

    293     BB  
 

Cross City Tunnel Motorway Finance Limited

    283     BB  
             
   

Total

    $ 1,646        
             

Total

    $ 4,208        
             

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 31


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (4 of 5)
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Structured Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

Name or Description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 2
 

U.S. Structured Finance:

                         
 

U.S. RMBS:

                         
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

  $ 830     CCC     2.7%     32.0%  
 

MABS 2007-NCW

    603     B     33.5%     66.1%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-I

    565     CCC     0.0%     8.9%  
 

MASTR 2007-3

    532     CCC     2.9%     54.1%  
 

Mortgage IT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    498     B     10.4%     14.8%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    480     B     22.7%     28.9%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-F (includes $39.6 million repurchased) 3

    461     CCC     0.0%     19.1%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    440     BB     22.5%     28.4%  
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    425     B     7.1%     21.9%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    421     CCC     25.8%     31.9%  
 

Option One 2007-FXD2

    392     CCC     18.0%     29.4%  
 

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

    384     CCC     6.5%     46.4%  
 

Nomura Asset Acceptance Corp. 2007-1 (includes $0.9 million repurchased) 3

    382     CCC     0.0%     42.0%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    377     CCC     16.2%     36.3%  
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

    346     CCC     0.0%     9.0%  
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J

    345     CCC     0.0%     16.0%  
 

AAA Trust 2007-2

    328     CCC     35.9%     48.1%  
 

HarborView 2006-12

    327     BB     9.7%     56.6%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2005-D

    312     CCC     0.0%     12.2%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2007-A

    291     CCC     0.0%     9.2%  
 

MARM 2007-1 (FKA MASTR 2007-OA1) (includes $1.3 million repurchased) 3

    290     CCC     0.0%     35.5%  
 

Countrywide 2007-13

    278     B     31.6%     56.4%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2007-B

    262     CCC     0.0%     8.3%  
 

GMACM 2004-HE3

    259     BB     0.0%     3.0%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-12SL (includes $74.3 million repurchased) 3

    251     CCC     0.0%     19.0%  
 

FHABS 2007-HE1 HELOC

    223     BB     0.0%     2.6%  
 

CWABS 2007-4

    221     B     22.0%     43.5%  
 

IndyMac 2007-H1 HELOC

    212     CCC     0.0%     9.8%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-1SL (includes $46.0 million repurchased) 3

    207     CCC     0.0%     11.1%  
 

FHABS 2006-HE2 HELOC

    203     BB     0.0%     4.2%  
 

Soundview 2007-WMC1

    199     CCC     10.9%     71.4%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-10SL (includes $32.8 million repurchased) 3

    196     CCC     0.0%     14.6%  
 

HarborView 2006-1

    191     CCC     4.6%     61.8%  
 

HarborView 2007-1

    187     BB     13.0%     58.1%  
 

New Century 2005-A

    168     B     20.5%     30.9%  
 

CWALT 2007-OA10 (includes $54.1 million repurchased) 3

    163     CCC     8.6%     55.1%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2005-C

    150     CCC     0.0%     11.1%  
 

Renaissance (DELTA) 2007-3

    148     B     25.9%     35.4%  
 

HarborView 2006-10

    145     B     0.0%     30.4%  
 

CSAB 2006-3

    145     CCC     0.0%     45.6%  
 

Lehman Excess Trust 2007-16N

    126     CCC     9.3%     40.6%  
 

Flagstar HELOC 2006-2

    125     CCC     21.3%     10.9%  
 

Flagstar HELOC 2005-1

    119     BB     18.5%     6.4%  
 

NAAC 2007-S2

    109     CCC     0.0%     12.7%  
 

Taylor Bean & Whitaker 2007-2 (includes $30.5 million repurchased) 3

    108     CCC     0.0%     35.1%  
 

American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2007-4

    106     CCC     0.0%     31.3%  
 

ACE Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-SL3

    105     BB     0.0%     10.7%  
 

IndyMac IMSC Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HOA1

    96     CCC     0.0%     31.2%  
 

CSAB 2006-2 (includes $12.1 million repurchased) 3

    92     CCC     2.1%     40.3%  
 

Deutsche ALT-B 2006-AB1

    91     CCC     3.7%     29.6%  
 

Countrywide ALTA 2005-22T

    89     B     6.0%     25.5%  
 

MASTR Asset Backed Securities Trust 2005-NC2

    80     B     16.9%     40.0%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-H (includes $15.1 million repurchased) 3

    74     CCC     0.0%     19.4%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2005-16HE

    71     BB     12.5%     27.6%  
 

CSMC 2007-3

    69     CCC     0.0%     32.6%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-6ALT (includes $27.7 million repurchased) 3

    67     CCC     0.0%     82.2%  
 

Deutsche ALT-B 2006-AB4

    66     CCC     0.0%     37.0%  
 

ACE 2006-GP1

    64     CCC     0.0%     10.0%  
 

ACE 2007-SL1

    64     CCC     0.0%     11.6%  
 

CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2007-1 (includes $12.2 million repurchased) 3

    62     CCC     0.4%     34.4%  
 

GSAA 2005-12

    58     B     10.8%     22.4%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2005-14HE

    57     B     11.1%     26.1%  
 

CWALT 2005-62

    56     CCC     10.5%     58.0%  
 

DSLA 2005-AR5

    54     CCC     0.0%     26.5%  
 

CSAB 2006-4 (includes $17.6 million repurchased) 3

    52     CCC     0.0%     40.6%  
 

Luminent 2006-2

    51     CCC     5.3%     58.1%  
 

ACE Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-SL2

    50     CCC     0.0%     9.4%  
                         
   

Total U.S. RMBS

  $ 14,998                    
                         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

3. Represents amounts of gross par which were purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation strategies and recorded as part of the investment portfolio.

Page 32


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (5 of 5)
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Structured Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

  Name or Description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
 
 

U.S. Structured Finance:

                   
   

Other:

                   
   

Taberna Preferred Funding IV, Ltd.

  $ 292     CCC     33.4%  
   

Taberna Preferred Funding III, Ltd.

    287     CCC     28.4%  
   

Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, Ltd.

    258     B-     6.4%  
   

Taberna Preferred Funding II, Ltd.

    236     CCC     33.8%  
   

Trapeza CDO XI

    232     BB     28.5%  
   

Attentus CDO I Limited

    231     BB     33.8%  
   

Weinstein Film Securitization

    225     BB     N/A  
   

Alesco Preferred Funding XVII, Ltd.

    204     B-     10.6%  
   

Attentus CDO II Limited

    189     BB     31.2%  
   

Trapeza CDO X, Ltd.

    177     BB     32.1%  
   

NRG Peaker 2

    155     B     N/A  
   

Private Student Loan Transaction

    155     CCC     N/A  
   

Taberna Preferred Funding VI, Ltd.

    152     CCC     35.1%  
   

US Capital Funding IV, Ltd.

    150     B-     14.7%  
   

Private Student Loan Transaction

    125     CCC     N/A  
   

Preferred Term Securities XVI, Ltd.

    122     BB+     19.8%  
   

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    114     CCC     7.7%  
   

Conseco Finance Manufactured Housing Series 2001-2

    99     BB     17.0%  
   

Greenpoint 2000-4

    73     BB     13.8%  
   

Private Student Loan Transaction

    65     B-     N/A  
   

America West Airlines EETC

    63     BB     N/A  
   

CAPCO - Excess SIPC Excess of Loss Reinsurance

    63     BB     N/A  
   

Rental Car Finance Corp 2006-1

    60     BB     N/A  
   

Preferred Term Securities XX, Ltd.

    54     BB+     30.4%  
   

Rental Car Finance Corp 2007-1

    50     BB     N/A  
                     
     

Total Other

  $ 3,831              
                     
       

Total

  $ 18,829              
 

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

                   
   

Ballantyne Re PLC Class A-2 Floating Rate Notes (includes $106.4 million repurchased) 3

 
$

500
   

CC

   

N/A

 
   

Orkney Re II, PLC Series A-1 Floating Rate Notes

    423     CCC     N/A  
   

Augusta Funding Limited 05 Perpetual Note Issue

    82     BB     N/A  
   

Augusta Funding Limited 07 Perpetual Note Issue

    77     BB     N/A  
   

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    76     CCC     7.7%  
                     
     

Total

  $ 1,158              
                     
   

Total

  $ 19,987              
                     

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. Net par shown is net of $96 million of ceded par. The Company owns 100% of the collateral in the insured transaction.

3. Represents amounts of gross par which were purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation strategies and recorded as part of the investment portfolio.

Page 33


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4)
As of September 30, 2010
(in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating 1  
 

New Jersey (State of)

  $ 4,758     AA-  
 

California (State of)

    3,794     A-  
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of)

    3,317     AA  
 

New York (State of)

    3,300     AA  
 

New York (City of) New York

    3,140     AA-  
 

Chicago (City of) Illinois

    2,559     AA-  
 

Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of)

    2,376     BBB-  
 

Houston Texas Water and Sewer Authority

    2,324     A+  
 

Washington (State of)

    2,317     AA-  
 

Illinois (State of)

    2,296     BBB+  
 

Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport

    2,248     A+  
 

Wisconsin (State of)

    2,209     AA-  
 

Port Authority of New York and New Jersey

    2,202     AA-  
 

Los Angeles California Unified School District

    2,151     AA-  
 

Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania

    1,943     BBB-  
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) State Sales Tax

    1,927     AA  
 

New York MTA Transportation Authority

    1,918     A  
 

Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of)

    1,872     AA-  
 

University of California Board of Regents

    1,850     AA-  
 

Long Island Power Authority

    1,835     A-  
 

Michigan (State of)

    1,786     A+  
 

New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority

    1,779     AA+  
 

Chicago-O'Hare International Airport

    1,644     A  
 

Arizona (State of)

    1,553     AA-  
 

Miami-Dade County Florida School District

    1,537     A-  
 

Chicago Illinois Public Schools

    1,500     A+  
 

Florida (State of)

    1,489     AA+  
 

Kentucky (Commonwealth of)

    1,474     AA-  
 

Los Angeles California Department of Water and Power - Electric Revenue Bonds

    1,462     AA-  
 

New York MTA Dedicated Tax

    1,419     AA-  
 

Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority

    1,397     BBB  
 

New Jersey Turnpike Authority

    1,377     A-  
 

Hawaii (State of) Department of Hawaiian Home Lands

    1,372     AA  
 

Atlanta Georgia Water & Sewer System

    1,367     BBB+  
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources

    1,358     AA  
 

San Francisco Airports Commission

    1,325     A  
 

Metro Washington Airport Authority

    1,279     AA-  
 

Broward County Florida School Board

    1,269     AA-  
 

Illinois Toll Highway Authority

    1,236     AA  
 

Philadelphia Pennsylvania School District

    1,201     A  
 

Connecticut (State of)

    1,194     AA+  
 

District of Columbia

    1,182     A+  
 

New York State Thruway - Highway Trust Fund

    1,165     AA-  
 

Austin Texas Combined Utility System Revenue Bonds

    1,152     AA-  
 

Detroit Michigan Sewer

    1,147     A+  
 

California (State of) Department of Water Resources - Electric Power Revenue

    1,146     A-  
 

Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority

    1,139     A-  
 

California State University System Trustee

    1,130     AA-  
 

Clark County Nevada School District

    1,083     AA-  
 

Houston (City of) Texas Airport System

    1,069     A  
               
   

Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures

  $ 90,567        
               

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 34


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 4)
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating1   Credit
Enhancement
 
 

Fortress Credit Opportunities I, LP.

    $ 1,302     AA     29.6%  
 

Stone Tower Credit Funding

    1,254     AAA     32.9%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    1,157     AAA     13.3%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    975     AA-     42.2%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    855     AAA     25.0%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    851     Super Senior     31.4%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    840     Super Senior     30.3%  
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    830     CCC     2.7%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    765     Super Senior     14.8%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    754     Super Senior     29.4%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    752     Super Senior     23.4%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    740     Super Senior     29.2%  
 

Mizuho II Synthetic CDO

    738     A     30.7%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    732     AA-     40.0%  
 

Private Structured Credit Transaction

    666     BBB+     N/A  
 

280 Funding I

    660     AAA     39.5%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    653     AAA     17.2%  
 

Citibank OMNI Trust 2007-A7

    650     Super Senior     49.4%  
 

ARES Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund

    608     AAA     45.0%  
 

MABS 2007-NCW

    603     B     33.5%  
 

Applebees Enterprises LLC

    584     BBB-     N/A  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-I

    565     CCC     0.0%  
 

Sandelman Finance 2006-1 Limited

    563     AAA     40.7%  
 

MASTR 2007-3

    532     CCC     2.9%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    523     Super Senior     29.7%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    523     Super Senior     24.5%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    514     Super Senior     14.3%  
 

Jupiter Securitization Company

    505     AAA     N/A  
 

Mortgage IT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    498     B     10.4%  
 

LIICA Holdings, LLC

    495     AA     N/A  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    494     AAA     46.7%  
 

Eastland CLO, Ltd.

    490     Super Senior     33.9%  
 

Denali CLO VII, Ltd.

    490     AAA     20.0%  
 

Shenandoah Trust Capital I Term Securities

    484     A+     N/A  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    479     B     22.7%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    466     BBB-     22.6%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-F (includes $39.6 million repurchased)2

    461     CCC     0.0%  
 

SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2007-A

    450     AAA     11.2%  
 

Avenue CLO V

    449     AAA     20.4%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    441     BB     22.5%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    437     AAA     29.5%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    433     AAA     10.7%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    431     Super Senior     12.0%  
 

Liberty CLO Ltd. Series

    428     Super Senior     35.1%  
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    426     B     7.1%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    421     CCC     25.8%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    419     AAA     34.2%  
 

Grayson CLO

    418     Super Senior     24.0%  
 

Churchill Financial Cayman

    413     AAA     N/A  
 

KKR Financial CLO 2007-1

    409     AAA     50.8%  
                     
   

Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures

    $ 30,626              
                     

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

    2. Represents amounts of gross par which were purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation strategies and recorded as part of the investment portfolio.

Page 35


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 4)
As of September 30, 2010
(in millions)

25 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating1  
 

Quebec Province

    $ 2,263     A+  
 

Sydney Airport Finance Company

    1,654     BBB  
 

Thames Water Utility Finance PLC

    1,515     BBB+  
 

PB Domicile 2006-1

    1,129     AAA  
 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital II

    998     Super Senior  
 

Fortress Credit Investments I

    976     AAA  
 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital III

    894     Super Senior  
 

Channel Link Enterprises Finance PLC

    892     BBB  
 

Southern Gas Networks PLC

    831     BBB  
 

International AAA Sovereign Debt Synthetic CDO

    821     AAA  
 

Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited

    776     BB  
 

Paragon Mortgages (No.13) PLC

    738     AAA  
 

United Utilities Water PLC

    709     A  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    704     Super Senior  
 

Capital Hospitals (Issuer) PLC

    702     BBB-  
 

Powercor Australia LLC

    681     A-  
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    676     A-  
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    676     A-  
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    676     A-  
 

Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment Agency

    655     AA  
 

Artesian Finance II PLC (Southern)

    609     A-  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    561     Super Senior  
 

Taberna Europe CDO II PLC

    553     BBB-  
 

Campania Region—Healthcare receivable

    551     A-  
 

DBNGP Finance Co Pty Ltd Note Issue 1 & 2

    534     BBB  
               
   

Total top 25 non-U.S. exposures

    $ 21,774        
               

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 36


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (4 of 4)
As of September 30, 2010
(in millions)

10 Largest U.S. Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

  Servicer:
  Net Par
Outstanding
   
   
 
 

Bank of america, N.A.1

    $ 8,186              
 

American Home Mortgage Acceptance, Inc

    2,803              
 

GMAC Mortgage Corporation

    2,423              
 

Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.

    2,209              
 

Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC.

    1,152              
 

JPMorgan Chase Bank

    943              
 

Specialized Loan Servicing, LLC.

    915              
 

OneWest Bank Group, LLC.

    870              
 

Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc.

    494              
 

First Tennessee Bank, N.A.

    426              
                     
   

Total top 10 residential mortgage servicers exposures

    $ 20,421              
                     

10 Largest U.S. Healthcare Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating2   State  
 

CHRISTUS Health

    $ 485     A+     TX  
 

MultiCare Health System

    417     A+     WA  
 

Methodist Healthcare

    369     A     TN  
 

Virtua Health

    363     A     NJ  
 

Meridian Health System

    352     A-     NJ  
 

Covenant Health

    346     A-     TN  
 

Iowa Health System

    332     A+     IA  
 

Bon Secours Health System Obligated Group

    313     A-     MD  
 

Asante Health System

    297     A     OR  
 

Lehigh Valley Health Network

    293     A+     PA  
                     
   

Total top 10 U.S. healthcare exposures

    $ 3,567              
                     

    1. Includes Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP.

    2. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 37


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Segment/Type
(in millions)

 
  As of September 30, 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Total
Financial
Guaranty
  Other   Total  

Financial Guaranty segments insurance reserves by segment and type:

                               

Gross loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Case

    $ 344.0     $ 119.4     $ 463.4     $ 1.0     $ 464.4  

Incurred but not reported ("IBNR") and portfolio

    -         -         -         2.6     2.6  
                       
 

Total gross loss and LAE reserves

    $ 344.0     $ 119.4     $ 463.4     $ 3.6     $ 467.0  

Ceded loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Case

    $ 16.6     $ -         $ 16.6     $ 0.9     $ 17.5  

IBNR and portfolio

    -         -         -         0.6     0.6  
                       
 

Total ceded loss and LAE reserves

    $ 16.6     $ -         $ 16.6     $ 1.5     $ 18.1  

Loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance:

                               

Case

    $ 327.4     $ 119.4     $ 446.8     $ 0.1     $ 446.9  

IBNR and portfolio

    -         -         -         2.0     2.0  
                       
 

Total net loss and LAE reserves

    $ 327.4     $ 119.4     $ 446.8     $ 2.1     $ 448.9  
                       

Salvage and subrogation recoverable on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Gross

    $ 808.3     $ 16.5     $ 824.8     $ -         $ 824.8  

Ceded 1

    97.2     -         97.2     -         97.2  
                       
 

Net salvage and subrogation recoverable

    $ 711.1     $ 16.5     $ 727.6     $ -         $ 727.6  
                       

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts 2:

                               

Case gross

    $ 548.0     $ -         $ 548.0     $ -         $ 548.0  

Case ceded

    41.7     -         41.7     -         41.7  
                       
 

Case net credit derivative reserves

    $ 506.3     $ -         $ 506.3     $ -         $ 506.3  
                       

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty insurance and credit derivative contracts, net of reinsurance 3

 

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance

    $ 327.4     $ 119.4     $ 446.8              

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts

    506.3     -         506.3              
                           

Net loss and LAE reserves

    $ 833.7     $ 119.4     $ 953.1              
                           

1. Recorded in "reinsurance balances payable, net" on the consolidated balance sheets.

2. Credit derivative assets and liabilities recorded on the balance sheet incorporate credit impairment on credit derivatives.

3. Gross of salvage and subrogation assets.

Page 38


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Representations and Warranties ("R&W") Benefit Development
(dollars in millions)

Financial Guaranty
Insurance
  # of Insurance
Policies as of
September 30, 2010
with R&W Benefit
Recorded
  Outstanding Principal
and Interest Policies
with R&W Benefit
Recorded as of
September 30, 2010
  Future Net R&W
Benefit at
December 31, 2009
  R&W
Development and
Accretion of
Discount during
Year
  R&W
Recovered
During 2010
  Future Net R&W
Benefit at
September 30, 2010
 

Prime First Lien

      1     $ 58.5     $ -         $ 1.0     $ -         $ 1.0  

Alt-A First Lien

    17     1,964.2     64.2     19.8     -         84.0  

Alt-A Option ARMs

    10     2,083.3     203.7     86.8     42.5     248.0  

Subprime First Lien (including NIMs)

    -         -         -         -         -         -      

CES

    3     312.9     76.5     59.5     -         136.0  

HELOC

    11     3,618.9     828.7     98.1     88.9     837.9  
                           
 

Total

      42     $ 8,037.8     $ 1,173.1     $ 265.2     $ 131.4     $ 1,306.9  
                           

Credit Derivatives

      5     $ 3,938.4     $ 37.6     $ 46.8     $ -         $ 84.4  
                           

Page 39


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid
As of September 30, 2010
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and
Credit Derivatives
  Total Net Par
Outstanding for
BIG
Transactions 1
  3Q-10
Losses
Incurred
  3Q-10
Paid Losses
  Net Loss and
LAE Reserves 2
  Net Salvage
and
Subrogation
Assets
  Net Expected
Loss to be
Expensed
 

Total Financial Guaranty Direct and

                                     

Reinsurance:

                                     
 

First Lien:

                                     
   

Prime First Lien

    $ 655.9     $ 0.5     $ -         $ 0.8     $ -         $ -      
   

Alt-A First Lien

    4,736.8     16.8     14.1     164.7     2.3     184.3  
   

Alt-A option ARMs

    3,024.6     65.9     54.6     268.5     34.9     440.7  
   

Subprime First Lien (including NIMs)

    3,040.1     5.2     2.7     163.3     -     83.0  
                           
       

Total First Lien

    11,457.4     88.4     71.4     597.3     37.2     708.0  
 

Second Lien:

                                     
   

CES

    1,143.3     9.9     23.8     35.6     56.8     188.2  
   

HELOC

    4,232.0     17.2     129.5     5.8     664.5     210.8  
                           
     

Total Second Lien

    5,375.3     27.1     153.3     41.4     721.3     399.0  
                           
     

Total U.S. RMBS

    16,832.7     115.5     224.7     638.7     758.5     1,107.0  
 

Other structured finance

    5,415.5     20.2     (9.2 )   277.0     0.8     35.2  
 

Public finance

    4,737.2     0.2     23.7     58.0     43.2     38.1  
                           

Total Financial Guaranty Direct and

                                     

Reinsurance

  $ 26,985.4   $ 135.9   $ 239.2   $ 973.7   $ 802.5   $ 1,180.3  
                           

Effect of consolidating of VIEs

   
-    
   
(11.5

)
 
(37.0

)
 
(20.6

)
 
(74.9

)
 
(110.0

)
                           

Total excluding consolidated VIE amounts

 
  $

26,985.4
 
  $

124.4
 
  $

202.2
 
  $

953.1
 
  $

727.6
 
  $

1,070.3
 
                           

1. As of September 30, 2010, securities purchased for loss mitigation purposes represented $484.6 million of gross par outstanding. In addition, under the terms of certain credit derivative contracts, the Company has obtained the underlying collateral of transactions and recorded it in invested assets in the consolidated balance sheets. Such amounts totaled $274.4 million in gross par outstanding.

2. Includes credit impairment on credit derivative transactions.

Page 40


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

 
    Year Ended December 31,  
 
  YTD 2010   2009   2008   2007   2006  

GAAP Summary Income Statement Data

                               
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 900.4   $ 930.4   $ 261.4   $ 159.3   $ 144.8  
 

Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives

    117.5     163.6     117.6     74.0     73.9  
 

Net investment income

    260.8     2,529.2     162.6     128.1     111.5  
 

Total expenses

    446.3     796.7     440.9     161.5     150.4  
 

Income (loss) before income taxes

    908.1     132.9     112.3     (463.0 )   190.0  
 

Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.

    706.4     97.2     68.9     (303.3 )   159.7  
 

Operating income

    507.4     293.3     74.5     178.0     157.2  
 

Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per diluted share

  $ 3.73   $ 0.75   $ 0.77   $ (4.38 ) $ 2.13  
 

Operating income per diluted share

  $ 2.68   $ 2.27   $ 0.84   $ 2.57   $ 2.12  
   

GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data (End of Period)

                               
 

Total investments and cash

  $ 10,770.9   $ 10,852.3   $ 3,643.6   $ 3,147.9   $ 2,469.9  
 

Total assets

    18,371.1     16,802.7     4,555.7     3,762.9     2,931.6  
 

Unearned premium reserve

    7,374.8     8,400.2     1,233.7     887.2     631.0  
 

Loss and LAE reserves

    467.0     289.5     196.8     125.6     115.9  
 

Long-term debt

    923.8     917.4     347.2     347.1     347.1  
 

Shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.

    4,189.2     3,520.5     1,926.2     1,666.6     1,650.8  
 

Book value attributable to Assured per share

  $ 22.80   $ 19.12   $ 21.18   $ 20.85   $ 24.44  
   

Other Financial Information (GAAP Basis):

                               
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

  $ 941,509   $ 958,265   $ 348,816   $ 302,413   $ 180,174  
 

Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)

    1,051,334     1,095,037     354,858     307,657     181,503  
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    628,072     640,422     222,722     200,279     132,296  
 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

    696,155     726,929     227,164     204,809     133,303  
   

Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis):

                               
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

  $ 927,232   $ 942,193   $ 348,816   $ 302,413   $ 180,174  
 

Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)

    1,034,301     1,076,039     354,858     307,657     181,503  
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    615,289     626,274     222,722     200,279     132,296  
 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

    680,901     709,786     227,164     204,809     133,303  
 

Consolidated qualified statutory capital

    4,943     4,841     2,310     2,079     1,658  
 

Consolidated policyholders' surplus and reserves

    10,313     10,409     3,652     3,040     2,374  
 

Ratios:

                               
   

Par insured to statutory capital

    124:1     129:1     96:1     96:1     80:1  
   

Capital ratio 1

    188:1     195:1     151:1     145:1     109:1  
   

Financial resources ratio 2

    72:1     72:1     70:1     68:1     53:1  
 

Gross debt service written:

                               
   

Public finance - U.S.

  $ 34,795   $ 87,940   $ 68,265   $ 66,190   $ 13,260  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    49     894     3,350     11,849     10,531  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    1,890     2,501     13,972     42,414     28,902  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -         5,490     13,122     7,448  
                       
 

Total gross debt service written

  $ 36,734   $ 91,335   $ 91,077   $ 133,575   $ 60,141  
                       
 

Net debt service written

  $ 36,734   $ 91,335   $ 89,871   $ 129,872   $ 59,775  
 

Net par written

    22,875     49,759     55,418     84,686     50,541  
 

Gross par written

    22,875     49,921     56,140     88,117     50,892  
   

1. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

2. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 41


Glossary

Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s 10-K report for December 31, 2009.

General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit bonds that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy ad valorem taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation. They include tax-backed revenue bonds, general fund obligations and lease revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose. Bonds in this category also include moral obligations of municipalities or governmental authorities.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported bonds, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution's revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily backed by investor-owned utilities, first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, and also include sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Regulated Utilities Obligations are issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities. The majority of the Company's international regulated utility business is conducted in the UK.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of CDS obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations.

Other public finance: primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.

Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in "tranches," with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company's financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") and Home Equity Securities are obligations backed by closed-end first mortgage loans and closed- and open-end second mortgage loans or home equity loans on one-to-four family residential properties, including condominiums and cooperative apartments. First mortgage loan products in these transactions include fixed rate, adjustable rate ("ARM") and option adjustable-rate ("Option ARM") mortgages. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including "prime", "subprime" and "Alt-A". A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with

Page 42



higher risk characteristics, usually as determined by credit score and/or credit history. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income.

Financial Products is the guaranteed investment contracts ("GICs") portion of the former Financial Products Business of AGMH. AGM has issued financial guaranty insurance policies on the GICs and in respect of the GICs business that cannot be revoked or cancelled. Assured Guaranty is indemnified against exposure to the former financial products business by Dexia SA and certain of its affiliates. In addition, the French and Belgian governments have issued guaranties in respect of the GICs portion of the financial products business. The financial products business is currently being in run off.

Structured Credit Securities include program-wide credit enhancement for commercial paper conduits in the U.S., and securities issued in whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Program-wide credit enhancement generally involves insuring against the default of ABS in a bank-sponsored commercial paper conduit. Securities issued in whole business and intellectual property securitizations are backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.

Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as automobile loans and leases, credit card receivables and other consumer receivables.

Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS") and other commercial real estate relates exposures are obligations backed by pools of commercial mortgages. The collateral supporting CMBS include office, multi-family, retail, hotel, industrial and other specialized or mixed-use properties.

Commercial Receivables Securities are obligations backed by equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings, business loans and trade receivables. Credit support is derived from the cash flows generated by the underlying obligations, as well as property or equipment values as applicable.

Insurance Securitization Securities are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Other Structured Finance Securities are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories.

Page 43


Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:

The Company references financial measures that are not in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP").

Assured Guaranty's management and board of directors utilize non-GAAP measures in evaluating the Company's financial performance and as a basis for determining senior management incentive compensation. By providing these non-GAAP financial measures, investors, analysts and financial news reporters have access to the same information that management reviews internally. In addition, Assured Guaranty's presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is consistent with how analysts calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty's financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and with how investors, analysts and the financial news media evaluate Assured Guaranty's financial results.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure and describe why they are useful. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented above. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed as substitutes for their most directly comparable GAAP measures.

Operating Income:    Management believes that operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the underwriting results of the Company's financial guaranty insurance business, and also includes financing costs and net investment income, and enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company's financial results as compared to the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases. Operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, including other than temporary impairments, and credit and interest rate related gains and losses from sales of securities. Impairments and losses from sales of credit-impaired securities, the timing of which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of other sales that would result in gains or losses, such as interest rate related gains or losses, is largely subject to the Company's discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company's tax and capital profile. Trends in the underlying profitability of the Company's business can be more clearly identified without the fluctuating effects of these transactions.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. Additionally, such adjustments present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of net premium receivables. Long-dated receivables constitute a significant portion of the net premium receivable balance and represent the present value of future contractual or expected collections. Therefore, the current period's foreign exchange revaluation gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

    5)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain financial guaranty VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

    6)
    Elimination of goodwill and settlement of pre-existing relationship in order to show the 2009 contribution to operating income of AGMH without the distorting effects of acquisition accounting adjustments recorded on date of closing of the acquisition of AGMH by the Company.

Operating Shareholders' Equity:    Management believes that operating shareholders' equity is a useful measure because it presents the equity of Assured Guaranty Ltd. with all financial guaranty contracts accounted for on a more consistent basis and excluding fair value adjustments that are not expected to result in economic loss. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use operating shareholders' equity as the principal financial measure for valuing Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s common shares. Many of the Company's fixed income investors also use operating shareholders' equity to evaluate the Company's capital adequacy. Operating shareholders' equity is the basis of the calculation of adjusted book value (see below). Operating shareholders' equity is defined as shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

Page 44


    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) (excluding foreign exchange revaluation). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore will not recognize an economic loss.

Operating return on equity ("Operating ROE"):    Operating ROE represents operating income for a specified period divided by the average of operating shareholders' equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate the Company's return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating ROE to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis.

Adjusted Book Value:    Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the net present value of the Company's in force premiums and revenues in addition to operating shareholders' equity. The premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted book value to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Adjusted book value is operating shareholders' equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued that will be expensed in future accounting periods.

    2)
    Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue. See below.

    3)
    Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of net expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the expected future net earned premiums, net of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue:    Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure. This amount represents the present value of estimated future revenue from the Company's credit derivative in-force book of business, net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes in excess of expected losses, and is discounted at 6% (which represents the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). Estimated net future credit derivative revenue may change from period to period due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

PVP or present value of new business production:    Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as premium supplements and additional installment premium on existing contracts as to which the issuer has the right to call the insured obligation but has not exercised such right, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of insurance and credit derivative contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, in each case, discounted at 6% (the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at 6%, while under GAAP, these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

Page 45


LOGO

    Contacts:

Equity Investors:
Sabra Purtill
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 408-6044
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com

Ross Aron
Assistant Vice President, Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08
Bermuda
(441) 279-5705
www.assuredguaranty.com

 

Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com


Michael Walker
Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

Media:
Betsy Castenir
Managing Director, Corporate Communications
(212) 339-3424
bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com

 




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Assured Guaranty Ltd. September 30, 2010 Financial Supplement