-----BEGIN PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE----- Proc-Type: 2001,MIC-CLEAR Originator-Name: webmaster@www.sec.gov Originator-Key-Asymmetric: MFgwCgYEVQgBAQICAf8DSgAwRwJAW2sNKK9AVtBzYZmr6aGjlWyK3XmZv3dTINen TWSM7vrzLADbmYQaionwg5sDW3P6oaM5D3tdezXMm7z1T+B+twIDAQAB MIC-Info: RSA-MD5,RSA, EVqSlQoP7k2z4tLkE8GwzjU8qVcFLRIDHBrEvYUmLxp/0VWHlOZRCNtxlEZW7WsK DDHsOf3PxEKlM9Mnp1oz2g== 0001047469-10-007508.txt : 20100813 0001047469-10-007508.hdr.sgml : 20100813 20100813172819 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001047469-10-007508 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 11 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20100813 ITEM INFORMATION: Results of Operations and Financial Condition ITEM INFORMATION: Other Events ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20100813 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20100813 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: ASSURED GUARANTY LTD CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0001273813 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: SURETY INSURANCE [6351] IRS NUMBER: 000000000 STATE OF INCORPORATION: D0 FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 001-32141 FILM NUMBER: 101016381 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 30 WOOD BOURNE AVE CITY: HAMILTON BERMUDA STATE: D0 ZIP: 0000 BUSINESS PHONE: 441-279-5700 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: 30 WOOD BOURNE AVE CITY: HAMILTON BERMUDA STATE: D0 ZIP: 0000 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: AGR LTD DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 20040122 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: AGC HOLDINGS LTD DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 20031218 8-K 1 a2199860z8-k.htm 8-K
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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549



FORM 8-K
Current Report
Pursuant To Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) — August 13, 2010



ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)



Bermuda   001-32141   98-0429991

(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)

 

(Commission File Number)

 

(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08 Bermuda

(Address of principal executive offices)

Registrant's telephone number, including area code: (441) 279-5700

Not applicable
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

    o
    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

    o
    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

    o
    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

    o
    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))



Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

            On August 13, 2010, Assured Guaranty Ltd. ("AGL") made available on the Investor Information section of its website the following materials: (i) the Assured Guaranty Corp. ("AGC") June 30, 2010 Financial Supplement, (ii) the Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. ("AGM") June 30, 2010 Financial Supplement and (iii) the Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. ("AG Re") June 30, 2010 Financial Supplement.

            The AGC Financial Supplement, the AGM Financial Supplement and the AG Re Financial Supplement are attached as Exhibit 99.1, Exhibit 99.2 and Exhibit 99.3, respectively.


Item 8.01 Other Events.

            AGL is filing this Current Report on Form 8-K to supplement its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2010 with AGC's June 30, 2010 Consolidated Financial Statements, which are attached as Exhibit 99.4 and incorporated by reference herein.


Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

      (d) Exhibits

Exhibit
Number
 
Description
99.1   Assured Guaranty Corp. June 30, 2010 Financial Supplement

99.2

 

Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. June 30, 2010 Financial Supplement

99.3

 

Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. June 30, 2010 Financial Supplement

99.4

 

Assured Guaranty Corp. June 30, 2010 Consolidated Financial Statements

2



SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

    ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.

 

 

By:

 

/s/ Robert Mills

Name: Robert Mills
Title: Chief Financial Officer

DATE:    August 13, 2010

3



EXHIBIT INDEX

Exhibit
Number
 
Description
99.1   Assured Guaranty Corp. June 30, 2010 Financial Supplement

99.2

 

Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. June 30, 2010 Financial Supplement

99.3

 

Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. June 30, 2010 Financial Supplement

99.4

 

Assured Guaranty Corp. June 30, 2010 Consolidated Financial Statements

4




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EXHIBIT INDEX
EX-99.1 2 a2199860zex-99_1.htm EXHIBIT 99.1
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Exhibit 99.1

LOGO


Assured Guaranty Corp.
June 30, 2010
Financial Supplement

Table of Contents   Page
 

Selected Financial Highlights

  1
 

Consolidated Statements of Operations

  2
 

Consolidated Balance Sheets

  3
 

Claims Paying Resources and Statutory-basis Exposures

  4
 

New Business Production

  5
 

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written

  6
 

Underwriting Gain (Loss)

  7
 

Investment Portfolio

  8
 

Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Estimated Future Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues

  9
 

Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed

  10
 

Financial Guaranty Profile

  11-13
 

Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

  14
 

Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile

  15
 

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile

  16-19
 

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile

  20
 

Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile

  21
 

Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile

  22
 

Below Investment Grade Exposures

  23-25
 

Largest Exposures by Sector

  26-29
 

Loss and LAE Reserves by Segment/Type

  30
 

Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid

  31
 

Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data

  32
 

Glossary

  33
 

Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

  35

This supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty") with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including Assured Guaranty's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for periods ended March 31, 2010 and June 30, 2010. For the purposes of this financial supplement, all references to the "Company" shall mean AGC.

Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to rounding.

 
    Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:    

 

 

Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade of Assured Guaranty Ltd. or its subsidiaries and/or of transactions insured by Assured Guaranty Ltd's subsidiaries, both of which have occurred in the past; (2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, Assured Guaranty's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the world's credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses implicating the adequacy of Assured Guaranty's loss reserves; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) reduction in the amount of reinsurance portfolio opportunities available to Assured Guaranty; (7) decreased demand or increased competition; (8) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (9) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance and tax laws; (10) other governmental actions; (11) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty's business strategy; (12) contract cancellations; (13) Assured Guaranty's dependence on customers; (14) loss of key personnel; (15) adverse technological developments; (16) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (17) natural or man-made catastrophes; (18) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (19) management's response to these factors; and (20) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

 

 
 

Assured Guaranty Corp.
Selected Financial Highlights
(dollars in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,
   
  Six Months Ended
June 30,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
2Q-09
  % Change
versus
YTD 2009
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Operating income reconciliation:

                                     
 

Operating income (loss) 1

    $ 30.2     $ (19.5 )   NM     $ (8.7 )   $ 31.2     NM  
 

Plus after-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (0.3 )   3.5     NM     1.6     3.6     (56)%  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    6.4     (129.3 )   NM     166.7     (143.5 )   NM  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    3.8     (39.4 )   NM     4.7     (26.6 )   NM  
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (1.6 )   -         NM     (3.3 )   -         NM  
   

Effect of consolidating variable interest entities ("VIEs") 2

    (5.9 )   -         NM     1.6     -         NM  
                               
 

Net income (loss)

    $ 32.6     $ (184.7 )   NM     $ 162.6     $ (135.3 )   NM  
                               

Return on equity ("ROE") calculations 3:

                                     
 

ROE, excluding unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio

    10.2%     (73.0)%           26.2%     (27.4)%        
 

Operating ROE

    7.9%     (6.1)%           (1.1)%     5.0%        

Other Information

                                     
 

Gross par written

    2,372     10,558     (78)%     4,631     32,110     (86)%  

 

 
  As of    
 
Reconciliation of shareholder's equity to adjusted book value:
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
  % Change
versus
12/31/2009
 
 

Shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp.

    $ 1,329.7     $ 1,226.2     8%  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

                   
   

Effect of consolidating VIEs 2

    (38.4 )   -         NM  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (213.9 )   (380.7 )   (44)%  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    7.3     2.6     181%  
   

Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect

    43.7     27.6     58%  
                 
 

Operating shareholder's equity

    $ 1,531.0     $ 1,576.7     (3)%  
 

After-tax adjustments

                   
   

Less: Deferred acquisition costs

    33.3     29.3     14%  
   

Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue

    228.1     244.8     (7)%  
   

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed

    639.2     651.3     (2)%  
                 
 

Adjusted book value

    $ 2,365.0     $ 2,443.5     (3)%  
                 

Other Information

                   
 

Net debt service outstanding

    $ 179,862     $ 186,606     (4)%  
 

Net par outstanding

    124,565     130,468     (5)%  
 

Claims-paying resources 4

    3,765     3,877     (3)%  

1. The Company has revised its definition of operating income in the three months ended June 30, 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. Prior periods are presented on a consistent basis.

2. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income and operating shareholder's equity reverse the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

3. Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

4. See page 4.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

Page 1


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Consolidated Statements of Operations
(dollars in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,
   
  Six Months Ended
June 30,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
2Q-09
  % Change
versus
YTD 2009
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Revenues:

                                     
 

Net earned premiums

    $ 25.1     $ 26.7     (6)%     $ 54.6     $ 94.4     (42)%  
 

Net investment income

    23.8     19.7     21%     43.4     39.0     11%  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (0.4 )   5.4     NM     2.4     5.6     (57)%  
 

Change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                                     
   

Realized gains and other settlements

    20.9     22.0     (5)%     41.6     45.0     (8)%  
   

Credit impairment on credit derivatives

    0.4     (26.2 )   NM     (64.2 )   (27.3 )   135%  
   

Non-credit impairment fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    9.8     (198.8 )   NM     256.5     (220.7 )   NM  
                               
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    31.1     (203.0 )   NM     233.9     (203.0 )   NM  
 

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    5.9     (60.6 )   NM     7.3     (40.9 )   NM  
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' revenues

    27.5     -         NM     54.5     -         NM  
 

Other income

    (2.9 )   0.4     NM     (5.1 )   1.1     NM  
                               
   

Total revenues

    110.1     (211.4 )   NM     391.0     (103.8 )   NM  

Expenses:

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    3.7     46.4     (92)%     38.2     67.8     (44)%  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    1.6     3.1     (48)%     5.7     2.8     104%  
 

Interest expense

    3.7     -         NM     7.5     -         NM  
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' expenses

    35.9     -         NM     51.4     -         NM  
 

Other operating expenses

    19.1     32.2     (41)%     46.7     48.8     (4)%  
                               
   

Total expenses

    64.0     81.7     (22)%     149.5     119.4     25%  
                               
 

Income (loss) before provision for income taxes

    46.1     (293.1 )   NM     241.5     (223.2 )   NM  
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    13.5     (108.4 )   NM     78.9     (87.9 )   NM  
                               
 

Net income (loss)

    $ 32.6     $ (184.7 )   NM     $ 162.6     $ (135.3 )   NM  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (0.3 )   3.5     NM     1.6     3.6     (56)%  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    6.4     (129.3 )   NM     166.7     (143.5 )   NM  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    3.8     (39.4 )   NM     4.7     (26.6 )   NM  
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (1.6 )   -         NM     (3.3 )   -         NM  
   

Effect of consolidating VIEs 1

    (5.9 )   -         NM     1.6     -         NM  
                               
 

Operating income (loss)

    $ 30.2     $ (19.5 )   NM     $ (8.7 )   $ 31.2     NM  
                               
 

Effect of refundings and accelerations, net

                                     
 

Earned premiums from refundings and accelerations, net

    $ 1.4     $ 1.6     (13)%     $ 3.5     $ 44.2     (92)%  
 

Operating income effect

    $ 0.6     $ 0.7     (14)%     $ 1.8     $ 30.3     (94)%  

1. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

Page 2


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Assets

             
 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

             
   

Fixed maturity securities, at fair value

    $ 2,363.2     $ 2,045.2  
   

Short-term investments

    389.9     802.6  
           
 

Total investment portfolio

    2,753.1     2,847.8  
 

Cash

   
27.1
   
2.5
 
 

Premiums receivable, net of ceding commissions payable

    333.1     351.4  
 

Ceded unearned premium reserve

    423.6     435.3  
 

Deferred acquisition costs

    51.2     45.2  
 

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

    56.9     50.7  
 

Credit derivative assets

    285.3     252.0  
 

Committed capital securities, at fair value

    11.3     4.0  
 

Deferred tax asset, net

    181.7     241.8  
 

Salvage and subrogation recoverable

    213.9     169.9  
 

Financial guaranty VIE assets 1

    392.4     -      
 

Other assets

    116.9     99.2  
           

Total assets

    $ 4,846.5     $ 4,499.8  
           

Liabilities and shareholder's equity

             

Liabilities

             
 

Unearned premium reserves

    $ 1,424.0     $ 1,451.6  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

    196.2     191.2  
 

Note payable to affiliate

    300.0     300.0  
 

Credit derivative liabilities

    879.8     1,076.7  
 

Reinsurance balances payable, net

    150.0     166.0  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities with recourse 1

    433.3     -      
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities without recourse 1

    12.5     -      
 

Other liabilities

    121.0     88.1  
           

Total liabilities

    3,516.8     3,273.6  

Shareholder's equity

             
 

Common stock

    15.0     15.0  
 

Additional paid-in capital

    1,037.1     1,037.1  
 

Retained earnings 1

    246.5     153.7  
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

    31.1     20.4  
           

Total shareholder's equity

    1,329.7     1,226.2  
           

Total liabilities and shareholder's equity

    $ 4,846.5     $ 4,499.8  
           

1. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts.

Page 3


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Claims Paying Resources and Statutory-basis Exposures 1
(dollars in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Claims paying resources

             

Policyholders' surplus

    $ 1,019     $ 1,224  

Contingency reserve

    627     556  
           
 

Qualified statutory capital

    1,646     1,780  

Unearned premium reserve

    886     887  

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

    439     398  
           
 

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves 1

    2,971     3,065  

Present value of installment premium 2

    594     612  

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    200     200  
           
 

Total claims paying resources

    $ 3,765     $ 3,877  
           

Net par outstanding 2

    $ 124,565     $ 130,468  

Net debt service outstanding 2

    179,862     186,606  

Ratios:

             
 

Net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital

   
76:1
   
73:1
 
 

Capital ratio 3

    109:1     105:1  
 

Financial resources ratio 4

    48:1     48:1  

1. Statutory basis.

2. Includes financial guaranty insurance and credit derivatives.

3. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

4. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

Page 4


Assured Guaranty Corp.
New Business Production
(in millions)

 
  Three Month Ended
June 30,
  Six Months Ended
June 30,
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Consolidated new business production analysis:

                         
 

Present value of new business production ("PVP")

                         
   

Public finance - U.S.

                         
     

Primary markets

    $ 8.2     $ 112.8     $ 20.3     $ 307.0  
     

Secondary markets

    0.7     15.0     9.4     38.3  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

                         
     

Primary markets

    -         -         -         1.6  
     

Secondary markets

    0.7     -         0.7     0.2  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    5.2     12.2     9.2     14.6  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -         -         -      
                   
 

Total PVP

    14.8     140.0     39.6     361.7  
   

Less: PVP of credit derivatives

    -         -         -         2.4  
                   
 

PVP of financial guaranty insurance

    14.8     140.0     39.6     359.3  
   

Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVP

    5.7     12.5     9.7     24.1  
                   
 

Total: Financial guaranty upfront gross written premiums ("GWP")

    9.1     127.5     29.9     335.2  
   

Plus: Financial guaranty installment adjustment 1

    16.7     13.9     22.2     40.8  
                   
 

Total financial guaranty GWP

    25.8     141.4     52.1     376.0  
 

Plus: Other segment GWP

    -         -         -         -      
                   
 

Total GWP

    $ 25.8     $ 141.4     $ 52.1     $ 376.0  
                   
 

Consolidated financial gross par written:

                         
 

Public finance - U.S.

                         
   

Primary markets

    $ 913     $ 9,774     $ 1,944     $ 30,692  
   

Secondary markets

    25     482     253     728  
 

Public finance - non-U.S.

                         
   

Primary markets

    -         -         -         226  
   

Secondary markets

    34     -         34     90  
 

Structured finance - U.S.

    1,400     302     2,400     374  
 

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -         -         -      
                   
   

Total

    $ 2,372     $ 10,558     $ 4,631     $ 32,110  
                   

1. Includes the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments compared to the discount rate used for the new financial guaranty insurance accounting standard, as well as the changes in estimated term for future installments.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 5


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written by Asset Type

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30, 2010
  Six Months Ended
June 30, 2010
 
 
  Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating 1   Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating 1  

Sector:

                         

U.S. Public Finance

                         
 

General obligation

    $ 623     A     $ 1,505     A  
 

Tax backed

    68     A     230     A  
 

Municipal utilities

    51     A     210     A  
 

Transportation

    144     A     157     A  
 

Higher education

    46     A+     84     A  
 

Healthcare

    6     A     11     A  
                       
   

Total U.S. public finance

    938     A     2,197     A  

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

                         
 

Infrastructure finance

    34     BBB     34     BBB  
                       
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    34     BBB     34     BBB  
                       

Total public finance

    $ 972     A     $ 2,231     A  
                       

U.S. Structured Finance

                         

Consumer receivables

    $ 400     AAA     $ 1,400     AAA  

Other Structured finance

    1,000     AAA     1,000     AAA  
                       
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    1,400     AAA     2,400     AAA  

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

                         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    -               -            
                       

Total structured finance

    $ 1,400     AAA     $ 2,400     AAA  
                       

Total gross par written

 
  $

2,372
   

AA

 
  $

4,631
   

AA

 
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 6


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Underwriting Gain (Loss)
(in millions)

 
   
   
   
   
   
   
  Six Months Ended
June 30,
 
 
  1Q-09   2Q-09   3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   2009   2010  

Income statement:

                                                 

Net earned premiums:

                                                 
 

Scheduled net earned premiums

                                                 
   

Public finance - U.S.

    $ 13.0     $ 15.0     $ (0.7 )   $ 14.0     $ 10.9     $ 19.3     $ 28.0     $ 30.2  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    0.8     0.6     0.8     0.6     6.1     (4.9 )   1.4     1.2  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    1.1     18.2     9.2     9.0     9.6     9.1     19.3     18.7  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    10.2     (8.7 )   0.9     0.9     0.8     0.9     1.5     1.7  
                                   
 

Total scheduled net earned premiums

    25.1     25.1     10.2     24.5     27.4     24.4     50.2     51.8  
 

Net earned premiums from refundings and accelerations

    42.6     1.6     3.2     6.4     2.1     1.4     44.2     3.5  
                                   

Total net earned premiums

    67.7     26.7     13.4     30.9     29.5     25.8     94.4     55.3  

Realized gains on credit derivatives 1

    23.0     22.0     22.4     21.5     20.7     20.9     45.0     41.6  

Other income

    0.7     0.4     (0.2 )   0.2     0.4     (0.4 )   1.1     -      
                                   
 

Total underwriting revenues

    91.4     49.1     35.6     52.6     50.6     46.3     140.5     96.9  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

   
21.4
   
46.4
   
77.8
   
47.4
   
34.5
   
3.7
   
67.8
   
38.2
 

Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives 2

    1.1     26.2     141.9     61.4     64.6     (0.4 )   27.3     64.2  
                                   
 

Total incurred losses

    22.5     72.6     219.7     108.8     99.1     3.3     95.1     102.4  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    (0.3 )   3.1     0.1     3.8     4.1     1.6     2.8     5.7  

Operating expenses

    15.2     14.2     13.8     14.6     24.5     15.8     29.4     40.3  
                                   
 

Total underwriting expenses

    37.4     89.9     233.6     127.2     127.7     20.7     127.3     148.4  
                                   
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

    $ 54.0     $ (40.8 )   $ (198.0 )   $ (74.6 )   $ (77.1 )   $ 25.6     $ 13.2     $ (51.5 )
                                   

1. Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

2. Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

Page 7


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Investment Portfolio
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

 
  Amortized
Cost
  Pre-Tax
Book
Yield
  After-Tax
Book
Yield
  Fair
Value
  Annualized
Investment
Income 1
 

Investment portfolio, available for sale:

                               

Fixed maturity securities:

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

    $ 314.6     2.36%     1.53%     $ 327.9     $ 7.4  
 

Agency obligations

    131.4     2.99%     1.95%     138.5     3.9  
 

Foreign government securities

    82.1     3.78%     2.46%     87.2     3.1  
 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

    841.3     4.59%     4.33%     869.2     38.6  
 

Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions 2

    399.5     3.97%     3.76%     413.6     15.9  
 

Corporate securities

    215.9     3.49%     2.27%     221.6     7.5  
 

Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"):

                               
   

Residential MBS ("RMBS")

    151.3     3.72%     2.42%     140.9     5.6  
   

Commercial MBS ("CMBS")

    74.2     5.58%     3.63%     77.7     4.1  
 

Asset-backed securities 3

    85.8     1.54%     1.00%     86.6     1.3  
                       
     

Total fixed maturity securities

    2,296.1     3.81%     3.18%     2,363.2     87.4  

Short-term investments

    389.9     0.17%     0.11%     389.9     0.7  
                       
     

Total investment portfolio

    $ 2,686.0     3.28%     2.73%     $ 2,753.1     $ 88.1  
                       

Ratings 4:

 

Fair Value

 

% of Total

 

 


 

 


 

 


 

Treasury and government obligations

    $ 327.9     13.9%                    

Agency obligations

    138.5     5.9%                    

AAA/Aaa

    628.7     26.6%                    

AA/Aa

    900.0     38.1%                    

A/A

    326.9     13.8%                    

BBB

    5.3     0.2%                    

Below investment grade ("BIG") 5

    35.9     1.5%                    
                             
 

Total fixed maturity securities available for sale

    $ 2,363.2     100.0%                    
                             

Duration of investment portfolio (in years):

          5.0                    
                               

Average ratings of investment portfolio

          AA+                    
                               

1. Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.

2. Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by Standard & Poor's Rating Services ("S&P") or Moody's Investors Service, Inc. ("Moody's") average AA-.

3. Contains no collateralized debt obligations ("CDOs") of asset-backed securities ("ABS").

4. Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's and S&P classifications.

5. Included in the investment portfolio are securities purchased or obtained as part of the Company's loss mitigation strategy encompassing $124.9 million in par with a carrying value of $35.9 million.

Page 8


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization 1 and Estimated Future Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues
(in millions)

 
   
   
  Financial Guaranty Insurance 2    
   
 
 
  Estimated Net
Debt Service
Amortization
  Estimated
Ending Net
Debt Service
Outstanding
  Expected PV
Net Earned
Premiums
  Accretion of
Discount
  Future Net
Premiums
Earned
  Future
Credit
Derivative
Revenues 3
  Total  

2010 (as of June 30)

    -         $ 179,862                                

2010 (July 1 - September 30)

    2,682     177,180     $ 19.5     $ 1.7     $ 21.2     $ 10.7     $ 31.9  

2010 (October 1 - December 31)

    2,201     174,979     19.3     1.7     21.0     20.8     41.8  

2011

    10,379     164,600     79.6     6.2     85.8     80.3     166.1  

2012

    12,557     152,043     71.6     5.7     77.3     69.4     146.7  

2013

    12,475     139,568     66.7     5.1     71.8     56.4     128.2  

2014

    14,117     125,451     61.1     4.7     65.8     41.8     107.6  

2010-2014

   
54,411
   
125,451
   
317.8
   
25.1
   
342.9
   
279.4
   
622.3
 

2015-2019

    42,601     82,850     253.0     18.3     271.3     112.2     383.5  

2020-2024

    28,849     54,001     180.6     11.4     192.0     65.9     257.9  

2025-2029

    20,302     33,699     120.9     6.6     127.5     46.8     174.3  

After 2029

    33,699     -         128.0     3.9     131.9     68.6     200.5  
                                 
 

Total

    $ 179,862           $ 1,000.3     $ 65.3     $ 1,065.6     $ 572.9     $ 1,638.5  
                                 

1. Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of June 30, 2010. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization.

2. See page 10 for "Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed."

3. Excludes contracts with credit impairment.

Page 9


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed
(in millions)

 
  Expected
Net Loss to be
Expensed 1
 

Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed:

       

2010 (July 1 - September 30)

    $ 0.5  

2010 (October 1 - December 31)

    0.4  

2011

    1.6  

2012

    1.3  

2013

    1.1  

2014

    1.0  

2010-2014

   
5.9
 

2015-2019

    4.3  

2020-2024

    2.4  

2025-2029

    1.8  

After 2029

    2.5  
       
 

Total expected PV of net loss to be expensed

    16.9  

Discount

    77.2  
       
 

Total future value

    $ 94.1  
       

1. The expected present value of net loss to be expensed is discounted by weighted-average risk free rates ranging from 0% to 4.81%.

Page 10


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
(in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 
  As of June 30, 2010
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Avg. Rating 1

U.S. Public Finance:

         
 

General obligation

    $ 25,934   A
 

Tax backed

    11,988   A
 

Municipal utilities

    9,293   A-
 

Transportation

    6,938   A
 

Healthcare

    5,310   A-
 

Higher education

    3,285   A
 

Infrastructure finance

    956   BBB
 

Investor-owned utilities

    658   BBB+
 

Housing

    333   AA-
 

Other public finance

    1,765   A
         
   

Total U.S. public finance

    66,460   A

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

         
 

Pooled infrastructure

    2,278   AA+
 

Infrastructure finance

    1,225   BBB
 

Regulated utilities

    1,052   BBB+
 

Other public finance

    411   AA
         
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    4,966   A+
         

Total public finance

    $ 71,426   A
         

U.S. Structured Finance:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    $ 21,800   AA+
 

RMBS and home equity

    10,336   BB+
 

CMBS

    5,662   AAA
 

Consumer receivables

    2,451   AAA
 

Structured credit

    1,246   BBB+
 

Commercial receivables

    1,066   BBB+
 

Insurance securitizations

    255   A
 

Other structured finance

    119   AA
         
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    42,935   AA-

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    6,403   AAA
 

RMBS and home equity

    2,085   AAA
 

Commercial receivables

    617   A-
 

Structured credit

    498   BBB
 

CMBS

    319   AAA
 

Insurance securitizations

    279   CCC-
 

Other structured finance

    3   A
         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    10,204   AA+
         

Total structured finance

    $ 53,139   AA-
         

Total net par outstanding

    $ 124,565   A+
         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 11


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 
  As of June 30, 2010  
 
  Public Finance -
U.S.
  Public Finance -
Non-U.S.
  Structured Finance -
U.S.
  Structured Finance -
Non-U.S.
  Consolidated  
Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %  

Super senior

    $ -         0.0%     $ 1,420     28.6%     $ 7,764     18.1%     $ 2,123     20.8%     $ 11,307     9.1%  

AAA

    305     0.5%     15     0.3%     16,511     38.5%     5,426     53.2%     22,257     17.9%  

AA

    11,987     18.0%     316     6.4%     3,507     8.2%     369     3.6%     16,179     13.0%  

A

    42,634     64.1%     1,468     29.6%     2,756     6.4%     403     3.9%     47,261     37.9%  

BBB

    10,802     16.3%     1,652     33.3%     5,064     11.8%     1,562     15.3%     19,080     15.3%  

BIG

    732     1.1%     95     1.8%     7,333     17.0%     321     3.2%     8,481     6.8%  
                       
 

Total net par outstanding

    $ 66,460     100.0%     $ 4,966     100.0%     $ 42,935     100.0%     $ 10,204     100.0%     $ 124,565     100.0%  
                       

Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer and Insurer Financial Strength Rating

Reinsurer
  Moody's
Rating
  S&P
Rating
  Ceded Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

Affiliated Companies

    A1     AA     $ 44,409     92.5%  

Non-Affiliated Companies:

                         
 

RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd.

    WR     WR     3,091     6.4%  
 

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

    Ba1     BB-     176     0.4%  
 

MBIA Insurance Corporation

    B3     BB+     171     0.4%  
 

Ambac Assurance Corporation

    Caa2     R     109     0.2%  
 

Other

    Various     Various     38     0.1%  
                   

Non-Affiliated Companies

                3,585     7.5%  
                   
 

Total

                $ 47,994     100.0%  
                   

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 12


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of June 30, 2010

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

U.S.:

             

Public Finance:

             
 

California

    $ 8,012     6.4%  
 

Texas

    6,610     5.3%  
 

New York

    5,021     4.0%  
 

Florida

    4,841     3.9%  
 

Pennsylvania

    4,633     3.7%  
 

Illinois

    3,912     3.1%  
 

New Jersey

    2,708     2.2%  
 

Puerto Rico

    2,044     1.6%  
 

Alabama

    1,800     1.4%  
 

Michigan

    1,769     1.4%  
 

Other states

    25,110     20.2%  
           
   

Total U.S. Public Finance

    66,460     53.2%  

Structured finance (multiple states)

    42,935     34.6%  
           
   

Total U.S.

    109,395     87.8%  
           

Non-U.S.:

             
 

United Kingdom

    7,005     5.6%  
 

Australia

    1,238     1.0%  
 

Germany

    833     0.7%  
 

Cayman Islands

    738     0.6%  
 

Other

    5,356     4.3%  
           
   

Total non-U.S.

    15,170     12.2%  
           
 

Total net par outstanding

 
  $

124,565
   
100.0%
 
           

Page 13


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings as of June 30, 2010

  Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 2
   
 
 

Super Senior

    $ 4,944     17.8%     40.8%     38.5%        
 

AAA

    16,440     59.2%     33.2%     30.8%        
 

AA

    1,711     6.2%     42.1%     32.9%        
 

A

    569     2.0%     47.9%     40.4%        
 

BBB

    2,493     9.0%     46.2%     34.0%        
 

BIG

    1,623     5.8%     44.3%     25.8%        
                           
   

Total exposures

    $ 27,780     100.0%     37.2%     32.5%        
                           

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of June 30, 2010

  Asset class:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement
  Internal
Rating 1
 
 

CBOs/CLOs 3

    $ 18,479     66.5%     34.7%     30.9%     AAA  
 

Market value CDOs 4 of corporate

    3,513     12.6%     37.7%     38.4%     AAA  
 

Trust preferred - banks and insurance

    2,701     9.7%     46.9%     32.2%     BBB  
 

Trust preferred - US Mortgage and REITs 5

    1,848     6.7%     50.1%     38.4%     BB  
 

Synthetic investment grade pooled corporate

    702     2.5%     30.0%     30.1%     Super Senior  
 

Trust preferred - European Mortgage and REITs

    537     2.0%     37.4%     31.6%     BBB-  
                         
   

Total

  $ 27,780     100.0%     37.2%     32.5%     AA+  
                         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

3. CBOs (collateralized bond obligations) /CLOs (collateralized loan obligations) are largely non-investment grade/high yield collateral.

4. CDOs are collateralized debt obligations.

5. REITs are real estate investment trusts.

Page 14


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and Type of Exposure as of June 30, 2010

  Ratings 1:
  Prime First
Lien
  Closed End
Seconds
("CES")
  HELOC 2   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

Super senior

    $ -         $ -         $ 0     $ 11     $ -         $ 3     $ 14  
 

AAA

    3     0     9     4     1     838     856  
 

AA

    27     32     9     154     40     995     1,257  
 

A

    15     1     1     75     98     1,008     1,197  
 

BBB

    20     -         9     884     61     631     1,605  
 

BIG

    535     209     549     2,645     841     629     5,408  
                                 
   

Total exposures

    $ 599     $ 242     $ 577     $ 3,773     $ 1,041     $ 4,104     $ 10,336  
                                 

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure as of June 30, 2010

  Year insured:
  Prime First
Lien
  CES   HELOC   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

2004 and prior

    $ 45     $ 1     $ 33     $ 41     $ 43     $ 255     $ 418  
 

2005

    117     -         222     266     25     36     666  
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         35     3,067     3,102  
 

2007

    437     241     322     2,042     850     745     4,637  
 

2008

    -         -         -         1,424     89     -         1,513  
                                 
   

Total exposures

  $ 599   $ 242   $ 577   $ 3,773   $ 1,041   $ 4,104   $ 10,336  
                                 

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and Year Insured as of June 30, 2010

  Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  
 

2004 and prior

    $ 14     $ 111     $ 80     $ 47     $ 135     $ 31     $ 418  
 

2005

    -         36     -         75     69     485     666  
 

2006

    -         699     993     975     331     103     3,102  
 

2007

    -         9     38     11     508     4,072     4,637  
 

2008

    -         -         145     89     562     718     1,513  
                                 
   

Total exposures

    $ 14     $ 856     $ 1,257     $ 1,197     $ 1,605     $ 5,408     $ 10,336  
                                 
 

% of total

   
0.1%
   
8.3%
   
12.2%
   
11.6%
   
15.5%
   
52.3%
   
100.0%
 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. Home equity line of credit ("HELOC") securitizations.

AGC has not insured any U.S. RMBS transactions since 2008.

Page 15


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 4)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2010 1

U.S. Prime First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 2   Subordination 3   Cumulative
Losses 4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 117     58.1%     4.9%     0.6%     6.5%     6  
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2007

    437     70.6%     10.4%     1.9%     12.9%     1  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 554     67.9%     9.3%     1.6%     11.5%     7  
                             

U.S. CES

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination 6   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2007

    241     36.2%     6.3%     52.6%     11.1%     5  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 241     36.2%     6.3%     52.6%     11.1%     5  
                             

U.S. HELOC

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 222     23.0%     0.0%     17.8%     14.3%     2  
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2007

    322     42.9%     0.0%     33.0%     8.9%     2  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 544     34.7%     0.0%     26.8%     11.1%     4  
                             

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 266     49.1%     11.7%     2.4%     15.8%     13  
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2007

    2,042     64.2%     11.2%     6.4%     33.5%     8  
 

2008

    1,424     60.1%     27.7%     7.6%     31.7%     5  
                             
 

    $ 3,732     61.6%     17.5%     6.6%     31.6%     26  
                             

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that have been delinquent for more than 60 days and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned ("REO"), divided by net par outstanding.

6. Many of the CES transactions insured by the Company have unique structures whereby the collateral may be written down for losses without a corresponding write-down of the obligations insured by the Company. Many of these transactions are currently under-collateralized, with the principal amount of collateral being less than the principal amount of the obligation insured by the Company. The Company is not required to pay principal shortfalls until legal maturity (rather than making timely principal payments), and takes the under-collateralization into account when estimating expected losses for these transactions.

Page 16


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 4)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2010 1

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 2   Subordination 3   Cumulative
Losses 4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 25     25.6%     25.8%     3.1%     25.6%     1  
 

2006

    35     42.1%     12.3%     6.3%     24.1%     1  
 

2007

    850     67.0%     11.9%     7.3%     35.5%     5  
 

2008

    89     66.7%     49.6%     6.3%     35.2%     1  
                             
 

    $ 998     65.1%     15.6%     7.0%     34.8%     8  
                             

U.S. Subprime First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 36     21.7%     80.2%     10.0%     60.3%     1  
 

2006

    3,067     26.4%     61.3%     12.6%     42.2%     2  
 

2007

    745     39.1%     30.0%     18.1%     49.2%     4  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 3,848     28.8%     55.4%     13.6%     43.7%     7  
                             

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO, divided by net par outstanding.

Page 17


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 4)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating 1, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2010 2

U.S. Prime First Lien

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 3   Subordination 4   Cumulative
Losses 5
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 6
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

AA

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

A

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BBB

    19     54.4%     3.8%     0.2%     2.8%     1  
 

BIG

    535     68.4%     9.5%     1.7%     11.8%     6  
                             
 

    $ 554     67.9%     9.3%     1.6%     11.5%     7  
                             

U.S. CES

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination 7   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

AA

    32     61.7%     47.3%     8.9%     3.7%     1  
 

A

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BIG

    209     32.3%     -         59.3%     12.3%     4  
                             
 

    $ 241     36.2%     6.3%     52.6%     11.1%     5  
                             

U.S. HELOC

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

AA

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

A

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BIG

    544     34.7%     0.0%     26.8%     11.1%     4  
                             
 

    $ 544     34.7%     0.0%     26.8%     11.1%     4  
                             

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

AA

    145     59.5%     53.2%     12.2%     38.7%     1  
 

A

    75     34.5%     27.4%     4.5%     22.7%     1  
 

BBB

    867     57.2%     20.0%     5.8%     26.9%     5  
 

BIG

    2,645     63.9%     14.5%     6.6%     32.9%     19  
                             
 

    $ 3,732     61.6%     17.5%     6.6%     31.6%     26  
                             

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

3. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

4. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

5. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

6. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO, divided by net par outstanding.

7. Many of the CES transactions insured by the Company have unique structures whereby the collateral may be written down for losses without a corresponding write-down of the obligations insured by the Company. Many of these transactions are currently under-collateralized, with the principal amount of collateral being less than the principal amount of the obligation insured by the Company. The Company is not required to pay principal shortfalls until legal maturity (rather than making timely principal payments), and takes the under-collateralization into account when estimating expected losses for these transactions.

Page 18


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (4 of 4)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating 1, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2010 2

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 3   Subordination 4   Cumulative
Losses 5
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 6
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ 1     43.9%     18.6%     7.1%     37.5%     1  
 

AA

    6     43.9%     18.6%     7.1%     37.5%     1  
 

A

    89     66.7%     49.6%     6.3%     35.2%     1  
 

BBB

    61     41.2%     21.7%     4.4%     24.1%     1  
 

BIG

    841     66.9%     11.5%     7.3%     35.5%     4  
                             
 

    $ 998     65.1%     15.6%     7.0%     34.8%     8  
                             

U.S. Subprime First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ 743     26.0%     61.4%     12.4%     43.0%     1  
 

AA

    993     26.3%     61.1%     12.5%     42.2%     1  
 

A

    986     26.8%     61.8%     12.8%     42.5%     1  
 

BBB

    523     29.8%     50.2%     14.1%     44.4%     1  
 

BIG

    603     38.8%     32.8%     17.8%     48.8%     3  
                             
 

    $ 3,848     28.8%     55.4%     13.6%     43.7%     7  
                             

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

3. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

4. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

5. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

6. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO, divided by net par outstanding.

Page 19


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating 1, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2010 2

U.S. CMBS

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 3   Subordination 4   Cumulative
Losses 5
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 6
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

Super senior

  $ 3,352     91.7%     30.6%     0.3%     6.7%     185  
 

AAA

    195     86.5%     26.3%     0.3%     8.9%     7  
 

AA

    713     90.5%     13.7%     0.3%     6.9%     39  
 

A

    208     68.4%     11.0%     0.8%     6.1%     1  
 

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BIG

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

  $ 4,468     90.2%     26.8%     0.3%     6.8%     232  
                             

CDOs of U.S. Commercial Real Estate and CMBS 7

   
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 8
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 8
   
   
 
 

CDOs of Commercial Real Estate

  $ 599     51.8%     49.4%     46.9%              
 

CDO of CMBS 9

    557     48.2%     29.5%     44.8%              
                                 
 

  $ 1,156     100.0%     39.8%     45.9%              
                                 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

3. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

4. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

5. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

6. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

7. Represents U.S. other CMBS not included in the table above.

8. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

9. Relates to vintages 2003 and prior.

Page 20


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables by Rating 1 as of June 30, 2010

  Rating:
  Credit Cards   Student
Loans
  Auto   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

Super senior

    $ 1,100     $ -         $ -         $ 1,100  
 

AAA

    -         1,029     -         1,029  
 

AA

    -         -         -         -      
 

A

    -         -         140     140  
 

BBB

    -         -         61     61  
 

BIG

    -         -         -         -      
                     
 

    $ 1,100     $ 1,029     $ 201     $ 2,330  
                     
 

Average rating 1

    Super Senior     AAA     A     AAA  
 

Avg. initial credit enhancement 2

    54.2%     7.1%     19.8%     30.4%  
 

Avg. current credit enhancement 2

    55.0%     11.0%     27.4%     33.2%  

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

Page 21


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Rating

   
  June 30, 2010  
  Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  
 

Super senior

    $ 10,201     22.7%  
 

AAA

    18,587     41.5%  
 

AA

    3,185     7.1%  
 

A

    3,120     7.0%  
 

BBB

    4,425     9.9%  
 

BIG

    5,323     11.8%  
             
   

Total direct credit derivative net par outstanding

    $ 44,841     100.0%  
             

Distribution of Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Sector and Average Rating

 
  June 30, 2010  
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Average
Rating 1
 

Public Finance

             
 

U.S. public finance

    $ -         -      
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    3,125     AA-  
           

Total public finance

    $ 3,125     AA-  
           

U.S. Structured Finance:

             
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    $ 18,984     AA+  
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    7,916     BBB-  
 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    5,438     AAA  
 

Commercial receivables

    548     BBB+  
 

Consumer receivables

    462     AAA  
 

Structured credit

    192     BB  
 

Insurance securitizations

    75     BBB  
 

Other structured finance

    95     AAA  
           
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    33,710     AA-  
           

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

             
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    5,792     AAA  
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    1,722     AAA  
 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    286     AAA  
 

Structured credit

    125     BBB  
 

Commercial receivables

    51     A  
 

Insurance securitizations

    30     CCC  
           
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    8,006     AAA  
           

Total structured finance

    $ 41,716     AA  
           
 

Total direct credit derivative net par outstanding

    $ 44,841     AA  
           

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 22


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 3)
As of June 30, 2010
(in millions)

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type:
  Net Par
Outstanding 
 

U.S. Public Finance:

       
 

Municipal utilities

    $ 232  
 

Transportation

    162  
 

Healthcare

    104  
 

General obligation

    94  
 

Tax backed

    57  
 

Infrastructure finance

    26  
 

Higher education

    12  
 

Housing

    2  
 

Other public finance

    43  
       
   

Total U.S. public finance

    732  

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

       
 

Infrastructure finance

    95  
       
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    95  
       

Total public finance

    $ 827  
       

U.S. Structured Finance:

       

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    $ 5,408  

Pooled corporate obligations

    1,637  

Structured credit

    246  

Consumer receivables

    13  

Commercial receivables

    7  

Other structured finance

    22  
       
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    7,333  
       

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

       

Insurance securitizations

    279  

Pooled corporate obligations

    42  
       
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    321  
       

Total structured finance

    $ 7,654  
       

Total BIG net par outstanding

    $ 8,481  
       

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 23


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 3)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category 1

 
  Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit
Derivatives Surveillance Categories
 
Description:
  June 30, 2010    December 31, 2009  

BIG:

             

Category 1

             
 

U.S. public finance

    $ 449     $ 280  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    59     65  
 

U.S. structured finance

    1,278     1,543  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    -         -      
           
   

Total Category 1

    1,786     1,888  

Category 2

             
 

U.S. public finance

    84     63  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    4     4  
 

U.S. structured finance

    4,571     4,179  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    43     -      
           
   

Total Category 2

    4,702     4,246  

Category 3

             
 

U.S. public finance

    199     271  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    32     36  
 

U.S. structured finance

    1,484     1,507  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    278     279  
           
   

Total Category 3

    1,993     2,093  
           
     

BIG Total

    $ 8,481     $ 8,227  
           

1. Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of below investment grade ("BIG") credits. The BIG credits are divided into three categories: BIG Category 1: Below investment grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make material losses possible, but for which no losses have been incurred. Non-investment grade transactions on which liquidity claims have been paid are in this category. BIG Category 2: Below investment grade transactions for which expected losses have been established but for which no unreimbursed claims have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below investment grade transactions for which expected losses have been established and on which unreimbursed claims have been paid. Transactions remain in this category when claims have been paid and only a recoverable remains.

Page 24


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 3)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

Name or Description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 2
 

U.S. Public Finance:

                         
 

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

  $ 190     D              
 

San Joaquin Hills California Transportation

    162     BB              
 

Detroit (City of) Michigan

    87     BB+              
 

Orlando Tourist Development Tax - Florida

    57     BB+              
 

St. Barnabas Health System - New Jersey

    56     BB              
                         
     

Total

  $ 552                    

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

                         
     

Total

  $ -                        

U.S. Structured Finance:

                         
 

U.S. RMBS:

                         
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

  $ 528     CCC     4.7%     32.4%  
 

MortgageIT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    437     B     10.4%     12.9%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    390     CCC     26.3%     31.3%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    369     B     23.8%     30.1%  
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    369     B     9.3%     26.7%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    348     BB     23.1%     29.3%  
 

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

    336     CCC     7.2%     47.1%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    330     B     17.0%     36.9%  
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

    307     CCC     0.0%     9.0%  
 

AAA Trust 2007-2

    286     CCC     37.4%     50.2%  
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J

    182     CCC     0.0%     15.6%  
 

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-OA10

    141     CCC     10.0%     39.7%  
 

Lehman Excess Trust 2007-16N

    109     CCC     0.0%     12.3%  
 

ACE Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-SL3

    95     BB     0.0%     37.8%  
 

Taylor Bean & Whitaker 2007-2

    94     CCC     9.1%     55.3%  
 

MASTR Asset Backed Securities Trust 2005-NC2

    68     CCC     18.9%     44.0%  
 

CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2007-1

    53     CCC     0.1%     34.7%  
                         
   

Total U.S. RMBS

  $ 4,442                    
 

Other:

                         
 

Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD.

  $ 219     CCC     33.4%        
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, LTD.

    216     B-     6.7%        
 

Weinstein Film Securitization

    192     BB     NA        
 

Taberna Preferred Funding II, LTD.

    185     CCC     30.5%        
 

Attentus CDO I Limited

    174     BB     32.3%        
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XVII, LTD.

    172     B     17.0%        
 

Taberna Preferred Funding III, LTD.

    146     CCC     27.8%        
 

Attentus CDO II Limited

    142     BB     32.2%        
 

Taberna Preferred Funding VI, LTD.

    114     CCC     37.1%        
 

US Capital Funding IV, LTD.

    113     B     15.1%        
 

Taberna Preferred Funding III, LTD.

    69     CCC     27.8%        
 

CAPCO - Excess SIPC Excess of Loss Reinsurance

    54     BB     NA        
                         
   

Total Other

  $ 1,796                    
                         
     

Total

  $ 6,238                    

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

                         
 

Orkney RE II, PLC Series A-1 Floating Rate Notes

  $ 149     CCC     NA        
 

Ballantyne RE PLC Class A-2 Floating Rate Notes

    130     CC     NA        
                         
     

Total

  $ 279                    
                         

Total

  $ 7,069                    
                         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

Page 25


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S Public Finance Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par Outstanding   Internal Rating 1
 

California (State of)

    $ 1,169   A-
 

Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of)

    885   BBB-
 

North Texas Tollway Authority

    713   A+
 

Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport

    684   A+
 

Miami-Dade County Florida School District

    649   A-
 

Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission

    592   AA-
 

Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania

    581   BBB+
 

New Jersey (State of)

    578   AA-
 

New York (City of) New York

    512   AA-
 

Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority

    503   BBB
 

New York (State of)

    497   AA-
 

Houston Texas Water and Sewer Authority

    490   A+
 

San Francisco Airports Commission

    429   A
 

Georgia Board of Regents

    423   A
 

Dade County, Florida General Obligation

    399   AA-
 

Chicago-O'Hare International Airport

    388   A
 

Denver (City and County of) Colorado Airport Revenue Bonds

    356   A+
 

Chicago Illinois Public Schools

    355   A+
 

New York MTA Transportation Authority

    353   A
 

Michigan (State of)

    351   A+
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of)

    334   AA
 

Dormitory Authority of the State of New York School District

    316   A
 

Indianapolis Indiana Waterworks Project

    304   A+
 

Chicago (City of) Illinois

    299   AA-
 

Puerto Rico Aqueduct & Sewer Authority

    288   BBB-
 

Piedmont Municipal Power Authority - South Carolina

    275   BBB
 

American Municipal Power-Ohio, Inc. - Prairie State

    269   A
 

Massachusetts Turnpike Authority

    269   A
 

Kentucky (Commonwealth of)

    264   AA-
 

Metro Wash Airports Authority Dulles Toll Road

    263   BBB+
 

New Jersey Higher Education Student Assistance 2008-A

    263   A
 

Long Island Power Authority

    257   A-
 

Chicago Transit Authority Capital Grant Receipts

    252   A
 

Louisiana (State of) - Dependent Credits

    248   A+
 

Louisville Arena Authority Inc.

    246   BBB-
 

Dallas (City of) Texas Civic Center Convention Complex

    244   A
 

North Carolina Eastern Municipal Power Agency

    239   BBB
 

Florida (State of) Department of Environmental Protection

    239   A+
 

Oakland (City of) California General Obligation

    227   A
 

Virtua Health

    221   A
 

Orange County Schools, Florida

    216   A+
 

Nassau County, New York

    209   A
 

District of Columbia Water and Sewer Authority Public Utility Bonds

    209   A+
 

North Carolina Turnpike Authority - Triangle Expressway

    203   BBB-
 

Yankee Stadium LLC

    202   BBB-
 

Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority

    200   A-
 

Iowa Health System

    196   A+
 

Port Authority of New York and New Jersey

    191   AA-
 

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

    190   D
 

Maine (State of)

    189   A
           
   

Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures

    $ 18,229    
           

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 26


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 4)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S Structured Finance Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement %
 
 

Citibank OMNI Trust 2007-A7

    $ 650     Super Senior     49.4%  
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    528     CCC     4.7%  
 

ARES Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund

    506     AAA     42.0%  
 

Anchorage Crossover Credit Finance LTD

    504     AAA     31.3%  
 

280 Funding I

    495     AAA     39.0%  
 

MortgageIT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    437     B     10.4%  
 

Private Structured Credit Transaction

    400     BBB+     N/A  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    390     CCC     26.3%  
 

Southfork CLO LTD. Series 2005-A1

    383     AAA     27.6%  
 

SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2007-A

    375     AAA     15.0%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    369     B     23.8%  
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    369     B     9.3%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    358     BBB-     23.5%  
 

Applebees Enterprises LLC

    352     BBB-     N/A  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    348     BB     23.1%  
 

KKR Financial CLO 2007-1

    341     AAA     50.9%  
 

Sandelman Finance 2006-1 Limited

    338     AAA     38.2%  
 

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

    336     CCC     7.2%  
 

SLM Student Loan Trust 2007-6

    333     AAA     3.6%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    330     B     17.0%  
 

Liberty CLO LTD

    321     Super Senior     31.1%  
 

Symphony Credit Opportunities Fund

    308     AAA     35.1%  
 

ARES Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund

    308     AAA     42.0%  
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

    307     CCC     0.0%  
 

Private Consumer Receivable Transaction

    300     Super Senior     62.2%  
 

AAA Trust 2007-2

    286     CCC     37.4%  
 

Wasatch CLO, LTD.

    273     AAA     21.5%  
 

CDX.NA.IG.8 5-YR 30-100%

    272     Super Senior     30.3%  
 

GEER Mountain Financing, LTD.

    270     AAA     28.2%  
 

Cent CDO XI Limited

    270     AAA     21.4%  
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XIV

    269     BBB-     28.4%  
 

SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2006-C

    267     AAA     14.0%  
 

HSAM Long/Short 2007-2

    255     AAA     29.6%  
 

Jupiter Securitization Company

    249     AAA     N/A  
 

Babcock & Brown Air Funding I LTD. Series 2007-1

    248     A-     N/A  
 

Field Point IV, Limited

    247     AA-     22.5%  
 

Sandelman Finance 2006-2, LTD.

    235     AAA     34.0%  
 

Kodiak CDO II

    233     AA     50.1%  
 

Newstar Credit Opportunities Funding II LTD

    231     AAA     18.3%  
 

Blue Mountain CLO LTD. 2005-1

    227     Super Senior     34.5%  
 

CDX.NA.IG.4 7-YR 30-100%

    225     Super Senior     29.7%  
 

Kingsland IV

    224     AAA     21.0%  
 

Baker Street CLO II

    224     AAA     21.4%  
 

RAIT Preferred Funding II, LTD.

    223     Super Senior     48.7%  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD.

    219     CCC     33.4%  
 

Kingsland V

    219     AAA     24.6%  
 

Franklin CLO V Limited

    219     AAA     25.0%  
 

Foothill CLO I, LTD.

    217     AAA     26.8%  
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, LTD.

    216     B-     6.9%  
 

Stone Tower CLO IV LTD

    213     Super Senior     33.5%  
                     
   

Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures

    $ 15,717              
                     

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 27


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 4)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

25 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal Rating 1  
 

PB Domicile 2006-1

    $ 778     AAA  
 

Fortress Credit Investments I Class A-1 Revolver

    738     AAA  
 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital III

    626     Super Senior  
 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital II

    541     Super Senior  
 

Global Senior Loan Index Fund 1 B.V.

    401     Super Senior  
 

Windmill CLO I PLC

    377     Super Senior  
 

Paragon Mortgages (NO.13) PLC

    354     AAA  
 

Harvest CLO III

    311     AAA  
 

RMF EURO CDO V PLC

    294     AAA  
 

NSW Housing # 1 Property Limited

    294     AA  
 

Taberna Europe CDO I PLC

    294     BBB-  
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    286     A-  
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    286     A-  
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    286     A-  
 

NEMUS Funding NO.1 PLC

    286     AAA  
 

Broadcast Australia Finance

    284     BBB  
 

Airspeed Limited Series 2007-1

    281     BBB+  
 

Wood Street CLO V B.V.

    267     Super Senior  
 

Halcyon Structured Management Europe CLO 2007-I

    264     AAA  
 

Halcyon Structured Management Europe CLO 2007-I

    260     Super Senior  
 

Stichting Profile Securitisation I

    252     Super Senior  
 

Alpstar CLO 2 PLC

    251     Super Senior  
 

Highlander EURO CDO

    244     Super Senior  
 

Taberna Europe CDO II PLC

    243     BBB-  
 

Dalradian European CLO IV B.V.

    225     AAA  
               
   

Total top 25 largest non-U.S. exposures

    $ 8,723        
               

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 28


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (4 of 4)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

10 Largest U.S. Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

  Servicer:
  Net Par
Outstanding
   
   
 
 

Bank of America, N.A. 1

    $ 2,798              
 

Wells Fargo Bank NA

    1,513              
 

GMAC Mortgage, LLC

    1,442              
 

American Home Mortgage Servicing, Inc.

    1,153              
 

JPMorgan Chase Bank

    833              
 

Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC

    327              
 

Wilshire Credit Corporation

    321              
 

Carrington Mortgage Services

    305              
 

OneWest Bank Group LLC

    269              
 

Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc.

    226              
                     
   

Total top 10 residential mortgage servicers exposures

    $ 9,187              
                     

10 Largest Healthcare Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 2
  State  
 

Virtua Health

    $ 221     A     NJ  
 

Iowa Health System

    196     A+     IA  
 

CHRISTUS Health

    167     A+     TX  
 

Integris Health, Inc.

    164     AA-     OK  
 

Children's Hospital

    162     A+     AL  
 

Fairview Health Services

    160     A     MN  
 

Spartanburg Regional Medical Center

    141     A     SC  
 

Essentia Health

    139     A-     MN  
 

Methodist Healthcare

    136     A     TN  
 

Meridian Health System

    136     A-     NJ  
                     
   

Total top 10 healthcare exposures

    $ 1,622              
                     

    1. Includes Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP.

    2. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 29


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Segment/Type
(in millions)

 
  As of June 30, 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Total
Financial
Guaranty
  Other   Total  

Financial Guaranty segments insurance reserves by segment and type:

                               

Gross loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Case

    $ 155.5     $ 39.6     $ 195.1     $ 0.7     $ 195.8  

Incurred but not reported ("IBNR") and portfolio

    -         -         -         0.4     0.4  
                       
 

Total gross loss and LAE reserves

    $ 155.5     $ 39.6     $ 195.1     $ 1.1     $ 196.2  

Ceded loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Case

    $ 55.5     $ 0.3     $ 55.8     $ 0.7     $ 56.5  

IBNR and portfolio

    -         -         -         0.4     0.4  
                       
 

Total ceded loss and LAE reserves

    $ 55.5     $ 0.3     $ 55.8     $ 1.1     $ 56.9  

Loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance:

                               

Case

    $ 100.0     $ 39.3     $ 139.3     $ -         $ 139.3  

IBNR and portfolio

    -         -         -         -         -      
                       
 

Total net loss and LAE reserves

    $ 100.0     $ 39.3     $ 139.3     $ -         $ 139.3  
                       

Salvage and subrogation recoverable on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Gross

    $ 203.7     $ 10.2     $ 213.9     $ -         $ 213.9  

Ceded 1

    59.8     -         59.8     -         59.8  
                       
 

Net salvage and subrogation recoverable

    $ 143.9     $ 10.2     $ 154.1     $ -         $ 154.1  
                       

                            -      

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts 2:

                               

Case gross

    $ 377.2     $ -         $ 377.2     $ -         $ 377.2  

Case ceded

    82.2     -         82.2     -         82.2  
                       
 

Case net credit derivative reserves

    $ 295.0     $ -         $ 295.0     $ -         $ 295.0  
                       

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty insurance and credit derivative contracts, net of reinsurance 3

 

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance

    $ 100.0     $ 39.3     $ 139.3              

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts

    295.0     -         295.0              
                           
 

Net Loss and LAE reserves

    $ 395.0     $ 39.3     $ 434.3              
                           

1. Recorded in "reinsurance balances payable, net" on the consolidated balance sheets.

2. Credit derivative assets and liabilities recorded on the balance sheet incorporate credit impairment on credit derivatives.

3. Gross of salvage and subrogation recoverable.

Page 30


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid
As of June 30, 2010
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and
Credit Derivatives
  Total Net Par
Outstanding for
BIG
Transactions
  2Q-10
Incurred
Losses
  2Q-10
Paid Losses
  Net Loss and
LAE Reserve 1
  Net Salvage
and
Subrogation
Assets
  Expected Loss
to be
Expensed
 

Financial Guaranty Direct and

                                     

Reinsurance:

                                     
 

First lien:

                                     
   

Prime first lien

    $ 535.1     $ -         $ -         $ 0.1     $ -         $ -      
   

Alt-A first lien

    2,645.3     (17.0 )   0.1     116.7     -         1.5  
   

Alt-A option ARMs

    840.6     (1.2 )   (2.9 )   115.8     -         0.9  
   

Subprime first lien

    629.6     18.4     3.3     72.5     -         3.2  
                           
     

Total first lien

    4,650.6     0.2     0.5     305.1     -         5.6  
 

Second lien:

                                     
   

Closed end seconds

    208.8     (10.2 )   9.4     3.7     11.5     4.0  
   

HELOC

    548.7     8.5     18.6     3.9     136.7     0.1  
                           
     

Total second lien

    757.5     (1.7 )   28.0     7.6     148.2     4.1  
                           
     

Total U.S. RMBS

    5,408.1     (1.5 )   28.5     312.7     148.2     9.7  
 

Other structured finance

    2,246.2     15.0     1.0     92.6     0.8     3.5  
 

Public finance

    827.2     (10.2 )   6.5     29.0     9.3     3.7  
                           

Total Financial Guaranty Direct and

                                     

Reinsurance

    $ 8,481.5     $ 3.3     $ 36.0     $ 434.3     $ 158.3     $ 16.9  
                           

Effect of consolidating VIEs

   
- -    
   
- -    
   
(4.2

)
 
- -    
   
(4.2

)
 
- -    
 
                           

Total

 
  $

8,481.5
 
  $

3.3
 
  $

31.8
 
  $

434.3
 
  $

154.1
 
  $

16.9
 
                           

1. Includes credit impairment on credit derivative transactions.

Page 31


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions)

 
    Year Ended December 31,  
 
  YTD 2010   2009   2008   2007   2006  

Statutory Data

                               
 

Net income (loss)

    $ (56.4 )   $ (243.1 )   $ 27.7     $ 71.6     $ 64.3  
 

Policyholders' surplus

    $ 1,019     $ 1,224     $ 378     $ 400     $ 286  
 

Contingency reserve

    627     556     712     582     631  
                       
     

Qualified statutory capital

    1,646     1,780     1,090     982     917  
 

Unearned premium reserve

    886     887     570     302     239  
 

Loss and LAE reserves

    439     398     15     12     15  
                       
     

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    2,971     3,065     1,675     1,296     1,171  
 

Present value of installment premium

    594     612     566     554     356  
 

Standby line of credit / stop loss

    200     200     200     280     455  
                       
     

Total claims-paying resources

    $ 3,765     $ 3,877     $ 2,441     $ 2,130     $ 1,982  
   

Statutory Financial Ratios

                               
 

Loss and LAE ratio

    156.7%     243.9%     90.3%     (13.5)%     4.5%  
 

Expense ratio

    65.8%     15.4%     11.5%     49.9%     64.8%  
                       
 

Combined ratio

    222.5%     259.3%     101.8%     36.4%     69.3%  
   

Other Financial Information (Statutory basis):

                               
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

    $ 179,862     $ 186,606     $ 164,283     $ 128,351     $ 85,522  
 

Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)

    250,421     259,867     225,152     172,046     112,115  
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    124,565     130,468     111,025     94,127     68,370  
 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

    172,559     180,765     152,801     127,743     91,858  
 

Ceded par to all Assured Guaranty companies

    44,409     46,411     37,372     29,087     22,569  
 

Ratios:

                               
   

Par insured to statutory capital

    76:1     73:1     102:1     75:1     75:1  
   

Capital ratio 1

    109:1     105:1     151:1     93:1     93:1  
   

Financial resources ratio 2

    48:1     48:1     67:1     43:1     43:1  
 

Gross debt service written:

                               
   

Public finance - U.S.

    $ 3,483     $ 78,012     $ 56,865     $ 8,142     $ 3,440  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    43     522     771     $ 5,202     7,402  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    1,810     2,480     13,228     35,396     26,848  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -         5,265     10,061     5,843  
                       
 

Total gross debt service written

    $ 5,336     $ 81,014     $ 76,128     $ 58,801     $ 43,533  
                       
   

1. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured divided by qualified statutory capital.

2. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured by total claims paying resources.

Page 32


Glossary

Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s 10-K report for the year ended December 31, 2009.

General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit bonds that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy ad valorem taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation. They include tax-backed revenue bonds, general fund obligations and lease revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose. Bonds in this category also include moral obligations of municipalities or governmental authorities.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported bonds, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution's revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily backed by investor-owned utilities, first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, and also include sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Regulated Utilities Obligations are issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities. The majority of the Company's international regulated utility business is conducted in the UK.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of CDS obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations.

Other public finance: primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.

Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in "tranches," with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company's financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") and Home Equity Securities are obligations backed by closed-end first mortgage loans and closed- and open-end second mortgage loans or home equity loans on one-to-four family residential properties, including condominiums and cooperative apartments. First mortgage loan products in these transactions include fixed rate, adjustable rate ("ARM") and option adjustable-rate ("Option ARM") mortgages. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including "prime", "subprime" and "Alt-A". A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with

Page 33



higher risk characteristics, usually as determined by credit score and/or credit history. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income.

Structured Credit Securities include program-wide credit enhancement for commercial paper conduits in the U.S., and securities issued in whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Program-wide credit enhancement generally involves insuring against the default of ABS in a bank-sponsored commercial paper conduit. Securities issued in whole business and intellectual property securitizations are backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.

Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as automobile loans and leases, credit card receivables and other consumer receivables.

Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS") are obligations backed by pools of commercial mortgages. The collateral supporting CMBS include office, multi-family, retail, hotel, industrial and other specialized or mixed-use properties.

Commercial Receivables Securities are obligations backed by equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings, business loans and trade receivables. Credit support is derived from the cash flows generated by the underlying obligations, as well as property or equipment values as applicable.

Insurance Securitization Securities are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Other Structured Finance Securities are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories.

Page 34


Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures:

Assured Guaranty references financial measures that are not in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP"). Management uses these financial measures not in accordance with GAAP ("non-GAAP financial measures") and believes they assist investors and analysts in evaluating Assured Guaranty's financial results.

Assured Guaranty's presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is consistent with how analysts calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty's financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty, and with how investors, analysts and the financial news media evaluate Assured Guaranty's financial results. In addition, Assured Guaranty's management and board of directors also utilize non-GAAP financial measures as a basis for determining senior management incentive compensation. By providing a calculation of Assured Guaranty's non-GAAP financial measures in Assured Guaranty's financial results press release, periodic financial reports filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and investor presentations, investors, analysts and financial news media reporters have access to the same information that management reviews internally.

The following paragraphs describe why each non-GAAP financial measure is useful for Assured Guaranty and define such non-GAAP financial measures on a separate company basis for Assured Guaranty Corp. In each case, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed as substitutes for their most directly comparable GAAP measures.

Operating Income:    Management believes that operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the underwriting results of Assured Guaranty's financial guaranty insurance business, and also includes financing costs and net investment income, and enables investors and analysts to evaluate Assured Guaranty's financial results as compared to the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases. Operating income for Assured Guaranty Corp. is defined as net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain financial guaranty variable interest entities (VIEs) in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, including other than temporary impairments, and credit and interest rate-related gains and losses from sales of securities. Impairments and losses from sales of credit-impaired securities, the timing of which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of other sales that would result in gains or losses, such as interest rate-related gains or losses, is largely subject to the Company's discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company's tax and capital profile. Trends in the underlying profitability of the Company's business can be more clearly identified without the fluctuating effects of these transactions.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. Additionally, such adjustments present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    5)
    Elimination of the after-tax foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of net premium receivables. Long-dated receivables constitute a significant portion of the net premium receivable balance and represent the present value of future contractual or expected collections. Therefore, the current period's foreign exchange revaluation gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

Operating Shareholder's Equity:    Management believes that operating shareholder's equity is a useful measure because it presents the equity of Assured Guaranty with all financial guaranty contracts accounted for on a more consistent basis and excluding fair value adjustments that are not expected to result in economic loss. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating shareholder's equity as the principal financial measure for valuing Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Many of Assured Guaranty's fixed income investors also use operating shareholder's equity to evaluate Assured Guaranty's capital adequacy. Operating shareholder's equity for Assured Guaranty Corp. is the basis of the calculation of adjusted book value (see below). Operating shareholder's equity is defined as shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

Page 35


    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) (excluding foreign exchange revaluation). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore will not recognize an economic loss.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

Operating return on equity ("Operating ROE"):    Operating ROE represents operating income for a specified period divided by the average of operating shareholder's equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate Assured Guaranty's return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating ROE to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis.

Adjusted Book Value:    Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the net present value of Assured Guaranty's in force premiums and revenues in addition to operating shareholder's equity. The premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use adjusted book value to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Adjusted book value for Assured Guaranty Corp. is operating shareholder's equity for Assured Guaranty Corp. as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued that will be expensed in future accounting periods.

    2)
    Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue. See below.

    3)
    Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of net expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the expected future net earned premiums, net of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue:    This amount represents the present value of estimated future revenue from the Company's credit derivative in-force book of business, net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes in excess of expected losses, and is discounted at 6% (which represents the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). Estimated net future credit derivative revenue may change from period to period due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or present value of new business production:    Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty Corp. by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as premium supplements and additional installment premium on existing contracts as to which the issuer has the right to call the insured obligation but has not exercised such right, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of insurance and credit derivative contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, in each case, discounted at 6% (the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at 6%, while under GAAP, these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

Page 36


LOGO

    Contacts:

Equity Investors:
Sabra Purtill
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 408-6044
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com

Ross Aron
Assistant Vice President, Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

Assured Guaranty Corp.
31 West 52nd Street
New York, NY 10019
(212) 974-0100
www.assuredguaranty.com

 

Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com

Michael Walker
Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

Media:
Betsy Castenir
Managing Director, Corporate Communications
(212) 339-3424
bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com

 




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Assured Guaranty Corp. June 30, 2010 Financial Supplement
EX-99.2 3 a2199860zex-99_2.htm EXHIBIT 99.2
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Exhibit 99.2

LOGO


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
June 30, 2010
Financial Supplement

Table of Contents   Page
 

Selected Financial Highlights

  1
 

Consolidated Statements of Operations

  2
 

Consolidated Balance Sheets

  3
 

Claims Paying Resources and Statutory-basis Exposures

  4
 

New Business Production

  5
 

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written

  6
 

Underwriting Gain (Loss)

  7
 

Investment Portfolio

  8
 

Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Estimated Future Net Premium Reserve and Credit Derivative Revenues

  9
 

Expected Amortization of U.S. and Non-U.S. Structured Finance Net Par Outstanding

  10
 

Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed

  11
 

Financial Guaranty Profile

  12-14
 

Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

  15
 

Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile

  16-20
 

U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile

  21
 

Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile

  22
 

Below Investment Grade Exposures

  23-27
 

Largest Exposures by Sector

  28-31
 

Loss and LAE Reserves by Segment/Type

  32
 

Financial Guaranty Losses Incurred and Paid

  33
 

Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data

  34
 

Glossary

  35
 

Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

  37

This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty"), with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including Assured Guaranty's Annual Reports on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the periods ended March 31, 2010 and June 30, 2010. Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. ("AGM") was purchased by Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc., a subsidiary of Assured Guaranty Ltd., on July 1, 2009. This financial supplement presents financial information since its acquisition, except for statutory data, which is based on full year statutory accounting principles. Purchase accounting adjustments were pushed down to AGM, which affects comparability to periods prior to the acquisition. AGM is a subsidiary of Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. ("AGMH"), which terminated its registration with the SEC in July 2009 and no longer files reports with the SEC. For the purposes of this financial supplement, all references to the "Company" shall mean AGM.

Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to rounding.

 
    Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:    

 

 

Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade of Assured Guaranty Ltd. or its subsidiaries and/or of transactions insured by Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s subsidiaries, both of which have occurred in the past; (2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, Assured Guaranty's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the world's credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses implicating the adequacy of Assured Guaranty's loss reserves; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) reduction in the amount of reinsurance portfolio opportunities available to Assured Guaranty; (7) decreased demand or increased competition; (8) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (9) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance and tax laws; (10) other governmental actions; (11) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty's business strategy; (12) contract cancellations; (13) Assured Guaranty's dependence on customers; (14) loss of key personnel; (15) adverse technological developments; (16) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (17) natural or man-made catastrophes; (18) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (19) management's response to these factors; and (20) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

 

 
 

Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Selected Financial Highlights
(dollars in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30, 2010
  Six Months Ended
June 30, 2010
 

Operating income reconciliation:

             
 

Operating income 1

  $ 149.6   $ 331.3  
 

Plus after-tax adjustments:

             
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (8.2 )   (4.7 )
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    27.4     (4.4 )
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    4.4     2.6  
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (8.0 )   (21.4 )
   

Effect of consolidating variable interest entities ("VIEs") 2

    12.0     0.2  
           
   

Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

  $ 177.2   $ 303.6  
           

Return on equity ("ROE") calculations 3:

             
 

ROE, excluding unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio

    34.7%     29.4%  
 

Operating ROE

    25.2%     29.1%  

Other information

             
 

Gross par written

  $ 5,890   $ 10,819  

 

 
  As of:  
 
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Reconciliation of shareholder's equity to adjusted book value:

             
 

Shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

  $ 2,166.9   $ 2,074.5  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

             
   

Effect of consolidating VIEs 2

    (166.5 )   -      
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (128.8 )   (143.5 )
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    6.2     3.6  
   

Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect

    39.1     75.1  
           

Operating shareholder's equity

  $ 2,416.9   $ 2,139.3  
 

After-tax adjustments:

             
   

Less: Deferred acquisition costs

    (50.8 )   (17.5 )
   

Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue

    165.5     191.9  
   

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed

    2,105.8     2,510.6  
           
 

Adjusted book value

  $ 4,739.0   $ 4,859.3  
           

Other information

             
 

Net debt service outstanding

  $ 532,293   $ 583,796  
 

Net par outstanding

    358,718     393,990  
 

Claims-paying resources 4

    6,931     7,232  

1. The Company has revised its definition of operating income in the three months ended June 30, 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. Prior periods are presented on a consistent basis.

2. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

3. Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

4. See page 4.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 1


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated Statements of Operations
(in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30, 2010
  Six Months Ended
June 30, 2010
 

Revenues:

             
 

Net earned premiums

    $ 223.0     $ 473.0  
 

Net investment income

    48.9     96.7  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (12.5 )   (7.2 )
 

Change in fair value of credit derivatives:

             
   

Realized gains and other settlements

    25.1     53.2  
   

Credit impairment on credit derivatives

    (20.0 )   (17.2 )
   

Non-credit impairment fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    33.8     (15.1 )
           
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    38.9     20.9  
 

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    6.7     4.0  
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' revenues

    (46.6 )   (69.5 )
 

Other income

    (2.6 )   (4.0 )
           
   

Total revenues

    255.8     513.9  

Expenses:

             
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    35.7     94.7  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    (3.0 )   (4.3 )
 

Interest expense

    1.6     3.5  
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' expenses

    (55.5 )   (56.3 )
 

Other operating expenses

    20.1     40.2  
           
   

Total expenses

    (1.1 )   77.8  
           
 

Income (loss) before provision for income taxes

   
256.9
   
436.1
 
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    79.7     132.5  
           
 

Net income (loss)

   
177.2
   
303.6
 
 

Less: Noncontrolling interest of consolidated VIEs

    -         -      
           
 

Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

    $ 177.2     $ 303.6  
 

Less after-tax adjustments

             
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (8.2 )   (4.7 )
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains on credit derivatives

    27.4     (4.4 )
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    4.4     2.6  
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (8.0 )   (21.4 )
   

Effect of consolidating VIEs 1

    12.0     0.2  
           
 

Operating income

    $ 149.6     $ 331.3  
           

Effect of refundings and accelerations, net

             

Earned premiums from refundings and accelerations, net

    $ 10.4     $ 21.2  

Operating income effect

    $ 6.8     $ 13.8  

1. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 2


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Assets

             
 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

             
   

Fixed maturity securities, at fair value

    $ 4,787.6     $ 5,183.6  
   

Short-term investments

    518.2     542.0  
           
 

Total investment portfolio

    5,305.8     5,725.6  
 

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions

   
138.3
   
152.4
 
 

Note receivable from affiliate

    300.0     300.0  
 

Cash

    35.6     23.6  
 

Premiums receivable

    713.7     787.4  
 

Ceded unearned premium reserve

    1,564.0     1,537.1  
 

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

    21.0     13.7  
 

Credit derivative assets

    202.7     227.0  
 

Committed capital securities, at fair value

    9.6     5.6  
 

Deferred tax asset, net

    969.2     972.4  
 

Salvage and subrogation recoverable

    469.0     248.1  
 

Financial guaranty VIE assets 1

    1,452.3     762.3  
 

Other assets

    106.1     135.5  
           

Total assets

    $ 11,287.3     $ 10,890.7  
           

Liabilities and shareholder's equity

             

Liabilities

             
 

Unearned premium reserves

    $ 5,787.8     $ 6,468.3  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

    131.7     55.3  
 

Notes payable

    137.6     149.1  
 

Credit derivative liabilities

    626.7     625.8  
 

Reinsurance balances payable, net

    295.7     259.0  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities with recourse 1

    1,615.9     762.7  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities without recourse 1

    172.4     -      
 

Other liabilities

    352.6     496.4  
           

Total liabilities

    9,120.4     8,816.6  

Shareholder's equity

             
 

Preferred stock

    -         -      
 

Common stock

    15.0     15.0  
 

Additional paid-in capital

    1,216.8     1,241.8  
 

Retained earnings 1

    880.4     743.4  
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

    54.7     74.3  
           

Total shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

    2,166.9     2,074.5  
 

Noncontrolling interest in consolidated VIEs 1

    -         (0.4 )
           

Total shareholder's equity

    2,166.9     2,074.1  
           

Total liabilities and shareholder's equity

    $ 11,287.3     $ 10,890.7  
           

1. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts.

Page 3


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Claims Paying Resources and Statutory-basis Exposures 1
(dollars in millions)

 
  As of:  
 
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Claims paying resources

             

Policyholders' surplus

    $ 843     $ 909  

Contingency reserve

    1,421     1,323  
           
 

Qualified statutory capital

    2,264     2,232  

Unearned premium reserve

    2,260     2,392  

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

    1,194     1,236  
           
 

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves 1

    5,718     5,860  

Present value of installment premiums 2

    715     874  

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    498     498  
           
 

Total claims paying resources

    $ 6,931     $ 7,232  
           

Net par outstanding

    $ 347,713     $ 381,148  

Net debt service outstanding

    $ 519,966     $ 568,594  

Ratios:

             
 

Net par insured to statutory capital

   
154:1
   
171:1
 
 

Capital ratio 3

    230:1     255:1  
 

Financial resources ratio 4

    75:1     79:1  

1. Statutory basis.

2. Includes financial guaranty insurance and credit derivatives.

3. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

4. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

Page 4


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
New Business Production
(in millions)

 
  Three Months
Ended
June 30, 2010
  Six Months
Ended
June 30, 2010
 

Consolidated new business production analysis:

             
 

Present value of new business production ("PVP")

             
   

Public finance - U.S.

             
     

Primary markets

  $ 64.5   $ 112.8  
     

Secondary markets

    7.9     13.2  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

             
     

Primary markets

    -         -      
     

Secondary markets

    -         -      
   

Structured finance - U.S. 1

    0.5     0.9  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S. 1

    2.1     2.1  
           
   

Total PVP

    75.0     129.0  
 

Less: PVP of credit derivatives

    -         -      
           
 

PVP of financial guaranty insurance

    75.0     129.0  
   

Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVP

    1.3     1.9  
           
 

Total: Financial guaranty upfront gross written premiums ("GWP")

    73.7     127.1  
 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP adjustment 2

    2.3     16.1  
           
   

Total GWP

  $ 76.0   $ 143.2  
           

Consolidated financial guaranty gross par written:

             
 

Public finance - U.S.

             
     

Primary markets

  $ 5,625   $ 10,410  
     

Secondary markets

    265     409  
 

Public finance - non-U.S.

             
     

Primary markets

    -         -      
     

Secondary markets

    -         -      
 

Structured finance - U.S.

    -         -      
 

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -      
           
   

Total

  $ 5,890   $ 10,819  
           

1. These policies represent existing policies that have additional premium and have no par outstanding.

2. Includes the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments compared to the discount rate used for new financial guaranty insurance accounting standard as well as the changes in estimated term for future installments.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 5


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written by Asset Type

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30, 2010
  Six Months Ended
June 30, 2010
 
 
  Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating 1   Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating 1  

Sector:

                         

U.S. Public Finance:

                         
 

General obligation

    $ 2,539     A     $ 4,612     A  
 

Municipal utilities

    832     A     2,054     A  
 

Tax backed

    885     A+     2,022     A  
 

Transportation

    312     A     587     A  
 

Healthcare

    381     BBB+     549     A-  
 

Higher education

    226     A     250     A  
 

Investor-owned utilities

    -         -     30     A-  
 

Other public finance

    715     A     715     A  
                       
   

Total U.S. public finance

    5,890     A     10,819     A  

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

                         
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    -         -     -         -  
                       

Total public finance

    $ 5,890     A     $ 10,819     A  
                       

U.S. Structured Finance:

                         
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    $ -         -     $ -         -  

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

                         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    -         -     -         -  
                       

Total structured finance

    $ -         -     $ -         -  
                       

Total gross par written

    $ 5,890     A     $ 10,819     A  
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 6


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Underwriting Gain (Loss)
(in millions)

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   Six
Months Ended
June 30, 2010
 

Income statement:

                               

Net earned premiums:

                               
 

Scheduled net earned premiums

                               
   

Public finance - U.S.

    $ 60.7     $ 55.3     $ 43.2     $ 45.6     $ 88.8  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    13.3     11.5     9.5     13.0     22.5  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    189.5     180.6     179.8     146.6     326.4  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    5.5     11.0     6.7     7.4     14.1  
                       
 

Total scheduled net earned premiums

    269.0     258.4     239.2     212.6     451.8  
 

Net earned premiums from refundings and accelerations

    11.5     36.5     10.8     10.4     21.2  
                       

Total net earned premiums

    280.5     294.9     250.0     223.0     473.0  

Realized gains on credit derivatives 1

    28.8     27.8     28.1     25.1     53.2  

Other income

    28.9     (0.7 )   17.2     11.8     29.0  
                       
 

Total underwriting revenues

    338.2     322.0     295.3     259.9     555.2  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

   
0.9
   
50.9
   
59.0
   
35.7
   
94.7
 

Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives 2

    (27.3 )   (19.7 )   (2.8 )   20.0     17.2  
                       
 

Total incurred losses

    (26.4 )   31.2     56.2     55.7     111.9  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    -         (0.5 )   (1.3 )   (3.0 )   (4.3 )

Operating expenses

    41.7     25.5     18.8     19.7     38.5  
                       
 

Total underwriting expenses

    15.3     56.2     73.7     72.4     146.1  
                       
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

    $ 322.9     $ 265.8     $ 221.6     $ 187.5     $ 409.1  
                       

1. Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

2. Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

Page 7


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Investment Portfolio
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

 
  Amortized
Cost
  Pre-Tax
Book
Yield
  After-Tax
Book
Yield
  Fair
Value
  Annualized
Investment
Income 1
 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

                               

Fixed maturity securities:

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

    $ 35.2     3.44%     2.24%     $ 37.2     $ 1.2  
 

Agency obligations

    119.7     2.03%     1.32%     122.4     2.4  
 

Foreign government securities

    269.5     2.83%     1.84%     253.5     7.6  
 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

    1,667.9     3.69%     3.50%     1,732.5     61.5  
 

Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions 2

    1,697.3     4.77%     4.51%     1,774.3     81.0  
 

Corporate securities

    126.2     2.78%     1.80%     126.6     3.5  
 

Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"):

                               
     

Residential MBS ("RMBS")

    458.8     3.61%     2.35%     412.3     16.6  
     

Commercial MBS ("CMBS")

    12.7     4.53%     2.95%     12.7     0.6  
 

Asset-backed securities

    314.8     2.56%     1.66%     316.1     8.1  
                       
     

Total fixed maturity securities

    4,702.1     3.88%     3.42%     4,787.6     182.5  

Short-term investments

    517.7     0.24%     0.15%     518.2     1.2  
                       
     

Total investment portfolio

    $ 5,219.8     3.52%     3.09%     $ 5,305.8     $ 183.7  
                       

Ratings 3:

 

Fair Value

 

%

 

 


 

 


 

 


 

Treasury and U.S. government obligations

    $ 37.2     0.8%                    

Agency obligations

    122.4     2.6%                    

AAA/Aaa

    1,405.1     29.3%                    

AA/Aa

    2,063.4     43.1%                    

A/A

    778.6     16.3%                    

BBB

    120.2     2.5%                    

Below investment grade ("BIG") 4

    250.4     5.2%                    

Not rated

    10.3     0.2%                    
                             
 

Total fixed maturity securities available for sale

    $ 4,787.6     100.0%                    
                             

Duration of investment portfolio (in years):

          4.9                    
                               

Average ratings of investment portfolio

          AA-                    
                               

1. Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.

2. Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by Standard & Poor's Rating Services ("S&P") or Moody's Investors Service, Inc. ("Moody's"), average A+. Includes $200.4 million insured by AGM.

3. Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's and S&P classifications.

4. Included in the investment portfolio are securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation strategies of $528.3 million in par with carrying value of $250.4 million.

Page 8


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization 1 and Estimated Future Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues
(in millions)

 
   
   
  Financial Guaranty Insurance 2    
   
 
 
  Estimated Net
Debt Service
Amortization
  Estimated
Ending Net
Debt Service
Outstanding
  Expected PV
Net Earned
Premiums
  Accretion of
Discount
  Future Net
Premiums
Earned
  Future
Credit
Derivative
Revenues 3
  Total  

2010 (as of June 30)

          $ 532,293                                

2010 (July 1 - September 31)

    $ 11,028     521,265     $ 202.1     $ 3.6     $ 205.7     $ 20.5     $ 226.2  

2010 (October 1 - December 31)

    13,013     508,252     186.0     3.5     189.5     18.6     208.1  

2011

    40,512     467,740     561.0     13.3     574.3     71.0     645.3  

2012

    43,692     424,048     422.5     12.5     435.0     51.7     486.7  

2013

    35,987     388,061     353.1     11.6     364.7     35.2     399.9  

2014

    37,430     350,631     309.6     10.8     320.4     23.0     343.4  

2010-2014

   
181,662
   
350,631
   
2,034.3
   
55.3
   
2,089.6
   
220.0
   
2,309.6
 

2015-2019

    123,774     226,857     1,058.0     43.7     1,101.7     31.6     1,133.3  

2020-2024

    89,978     136,879     588.3     29.9     618.2     2.6     620.8  

2025-2029

    62,955     73,924     338.2     19.3     357.5     2.2     359.7  

After 2029

    73,924     -         377.4     19.6     397.0     6.7     403.7  
                                 
 

Total

    $ 532,293           $ 4,396.2     $ 167.8     $ 4,564.0     $ 263.1     $ 4,827.1  
                                 

1. Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of June 30, 2010. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization. obligations.

2. See page 11 for "Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed."

3. Excludes contracts with credit impairment.

Page 9


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Expected Amortization of U.S. and Non-U.S. Structured Finance Net Par Outstanding
(in millions)

 
  Estimated Net Par Amortization    
 
 
  U.S. and
Non-U.S. Pooled
Corporate
  U.S.
RMBS
  Financial
Products 1
  Other
Structured
Finance
  Total   Estimated
Ending Net Par
Outstanding
 

Structured Finance Net Par Amortization:

       

2010 (as of June 30)

                                 
81,718
 

2010 (July 1 - September 30)

    $ 2,550     $ 884     $ 653     $ 592     $ 4,679     77,039  

2010 (October 1 - December 31)

    4,242     817     240     435     5,734     71,305  

2011

    7,063     2,586     703     1,814     12,166     59,139  

2012

    11,121     1,683     1,252     1,385     15,441     43,698  

2013

    7,656     1,079     973     398     10,106     33,592  

2014

    10,767     906     745     210     12,628     20,964  

2010-2014

   
43,399
   
7,955
   
4,566
   
4,834
   
60,754
   
20,964
 

2015-2019

    9,725     2,945     913     991     14,574     6,390  

2020-2024

    183     1,280     626     231     2,320     4,070  

2025-2029

    33     461     462     161     1,117     2,953  

After 2029

    81     695     1,827     350     2,953     -      
                             
 

Total structured finance

    $ 53,421     $ 13,336     $ 8,394     $ 6,567     $ 81,718        
                             

1. See Glossary for description of financial products.

Page 10


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed
(in millions)

 
  Expected
Net Loss to be
Expensed 1
 

Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed:

       

2010 (July 1 - December 31)

  $ 151.8  

2011

    176.0  

2012

    105.4  

2013

    83.2  

2014

    79.1  

2010-2014

   
595.5
 

2015-2019

    244.3  

2020-2024

    109.6  

2025-2029

    60.0  

After 2029

    56.5  
       
 

Total expected PV of net loss to be expensed

    1,065.9  

Discount

    426.7  
       
 

Total future value

  $ 1,492.6  
       

1. The expected present value of net loss to be expensed is discounted by weighted-average risk free rates ranging from 0% to 4.81%.

Page 11


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
(in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 
  As of June 30, 2010
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Avg.
Rating 1

U.S. Public Finance:

         
 

General obligation

    $ 111,426   A+
 

Tax backed

    50,836   A+
 

Municipal utilities

    46,510   A
 

Transportation

    19,999   A
 

Healthcare

    10,046   A
 

Higher education

    6,794   A+
 

Housing

    5,398   AA-
 

Infrastructure finance

    1,144   BBB
 

Investor-owned utilities

    47   BBB+
 

Other public finance

    1,808   A
         
   

Total U.S. public finance

    254,008   A+

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

         
 

Infrastructure finance

    10,230   BBB
 

Regulated utilities

    6,390   BBB+
 

Other public finance

    6,372   AA-
         
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    22,992   A-
         

Total public finance

    $ 277,000   A+
         

U.S. Structured Finance:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    $ 40,681   AAA
 

RMBS and home equity

    13,336   BB-
 

Financial products 2

    8,394   AA-
 

Consumer receivables

    2,692   A-
 

Insurance securitization

    369   AA
 

Commercial receivables

    95   BBB
 

Structured credit

    80   BBB-
 

Other structured finance

    640   A
         
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    66,287   AA-

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    12,740   AAA
 

RMBS and home equity

    1,499   AA
 

Structured credit

    539   BBB
 

Commercial receivables

    240   A
 

Insurance securitizations

    38   A+
 

Other structured finance

    375   AAA
         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    15,431   AAA
         

Total structured finance

    $ 81,718   AA
         

Total net par outstanding

    $ 358,718   A+
         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. See Glossary for description of financial products.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 12


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 
  As of June 30, 2010  
 
  Public Finance -
U.S.
  Public Finance -
non-U.S.
  Structured Finance -
U.S.
  Structured Finance -
non-U.S.
  Consolidated  
Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %  

Super senior

    $ -         0.0%     $ -         0.0%     $ 11,493     17.3%     $ 4,759     30.8%     $ 16,252     4.5%  

AAA

    5,640     2.2%     1,296     5.6%     25,130     37.9%     6,470     41.9%     38,536     10.7%  

AA

    107,028     42.1%     1,390     6.0%     14,698     22.2%     1,768     11.5%     124,884     34.8%  

A

    119,411     47.0%     6,879     29.9%     3,157     4.8%     1,006     6.5%     130,453     36.4%  

BBB

    20,755     8.2%     13,090     56.9%     1,482     2.2%     1,349     8.7%     36,676     10.2%  

BIG

    1,174     0.5%     337     1.6%     10,327     15.6%     79     0.6%     11,917     3.4%  
                       
 

Total net par outstanding

    $ 254,008     100.0%     $ 22,992     100.0%     $ 66,287     100.0%     $ 15,431     100.0%     $ 358,718     100.0%  
                       

Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer and Insurer Financial Strength Rating

Reinsurer   Moody's
Rating
  S&P
Rating
  Ceded Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

Affiliated Companies

    A1     AA     $ 65,993     48.6%  

Non-Affiliated Companies:

                         
 

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

    Ba1     BB-     22,737     16.8%  
 

Tokio Marine & Nichido Fire Insurance Co., Ltd.

    Aa2     AA     20,326     15.0%  
 

RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd.

    WR     WR     10,784     7.9%  
 

R.V.I. Guaranty Co. Ltd.

    WR     BBB     4,119     3.0%  
 

Syncora Guarantee Inc.

    Ca     WR     4,051     3.0%  
 

Swiss Reinsurance Company

    A1     A+     2,881     2.1%  
 

Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Co. Ltd.

    Aa3     AA-     2,473     1.8%  
 

Other

    Various     Various     2,301     1.8%  
                   

Non-Affiliated Companies

                69,672     51.4%  
                   
   

Total

                $ 135,665     100.0%  
                   

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 13


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of June 30, 2010

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

U.S.:

             

Public Finance:

             
 

California

    $ 36,900     10.3%  
 

New York

    21,063     5.9%  
 

Pennsylvania

    19,028     5.3%  
 

Texas

    17,065     4.8%  
 

Illinois

    15,922     4.4%  
 

Florida

    14,349     4.0%  
 

New Jersey

    11,490     3.2%  
 

Michigan

    11,374     3.2%  
 

Washington

    8,725     2.4%  
 

Massachusetts

    7,572     2.1%  
 

Other states

    90,520     25.3%  
           
   

Total Public Finance

    254,008     70.9%  

Structured finance (multiple states)

    66,287     18.5%  
           
   

Total U.S.

    320,295     89.4%  
           

Non-U.S.:

             
 

United Kingdom

    11,398     3.2%  
 

Australia

    4,470     1.2%  
 

Canada

    4,119     1.1%  
 

France

    1,679     0.5%  
 

Italy

    1,609     0.4%  
 

Other

    15,148     4.2%  
           
   

Total non-U.S.

    38,423     10.6%  
           

Total net par outstanding

 
  $

358,718
   
100.0%
 
           

Page 14


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings as of June 30, 2010

  Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 2
   
 
 

Super senior

    $ 15,740     29.5%     27.3%     25.2%        
 

AAA

    29,194     54.6%     24.2%     25.4%        
 

AA

    5,729     10.7%     36.4%     32.4%        
 

A

    1,785     3.3%     22.6%     19.5%        
 

BBB

    742     1.4%     12.1%     10.2%        
 

BIG

    231     0.5%     39.9%     8.9%        
                           
   

Total exposures

    $ 53,421     100.0%     26.2%     25.6%        
                           

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of June 30, 2010

  Asset class:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg.
Rating 1
 
 

CBOs/CLOs 3

    $ 30,144     56.4%     27.1%     26.3%     AAA  
 

Synthetic investment grade pooled corporates

    11,769     22.0%     17.3%     15.4%     AAA  
 

Synthetic high yield pooled corporates

    9,105     17.0%     38.0%     32.9%     AA  
 

Market Value CDOs of corporates

    1,492     2.8%     17.0%     58.2%     AAA  
 

Trust preferred - banks and insurance

    162     0.3%     47.4%     44.0%     A  
 

CDO of CDOs (corporate) 4

    36     0.1%     26.3%     27.9%     A  
 

Other pooled corporates

    713     1.4%     0.0%     0.0%     A  
                         
   

Total

    $ 53,421     100.0%     26.2%     25.6%     AAA  
                         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinate tranches that are junior in the capital structure to AGM's exposure, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the numbers shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to adjustments.

3. CBOs (collateralized bond obligations)/CLOs (collateralized loan obligations) are largely non-investment/high yield collateral.

4. CDOs are collateralized debt obligations.

Page 15


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") Profile (1 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and Type of Exposure as of June 30, 2010

  Ratings:
  Prime First
Lien 2
  Closed End
Seconds
("CES")
  HELOC 3   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  NIMs 4   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

Super senior

    $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -      
 

AAA

    105     -         423     89     148     1,259     -         2,024  
 

AA

    2     36     493     39     -         264     0     834  
 

A

    1     -         -         -         -         120     -         121  
 

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         250     31     281  
 

BIG

    -         1,099     3,196     1,375     2,137     2,116     153     10,076  
                                     
 

Total exposures

    $ 108     $ 1,135     $ 4,113     $ 1,504     $ 2,285     $ 4,008     $ 183     $ 13,336  
                                     

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure as of June 30, 2010

  Year insured:
  Prime First
Lien
  CES   HELOC   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  NIMs   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

2004 and prior

    $ 7     $ -         $ 276     $ 71     $ -         $ 1,272     $ 0     $ 1,625  
 

2005

    -         -         648     368     124     376     -         1,515  
 

2006

    101     448     1,584     517     902     126     86     3,764  
 

2007

    -         687     1,605     548     1,260     2,166     97     6,363  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         69     -         69  
                                     
 

Total exposures

    $ 108     $ 1,135     $ 4,113     $ 1,504     $ 2,285     $ 4,008     $ 183     $ 13,336  
                                     

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and Year Insured as of June 30, 2010

Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  

2004 and prior

    $ -         $ 1,265     $ 2     $ 44     $ 16     $ 298     $ 1,625  

2005

    -         177     112     -         46     1,181     1,515  

2006

    -         301     -         77     -         3,387     3,764  

2007

    -         282     721     -         149     5,211     6,363  

2008

    -         -         -         -         69     -         69  
                               

Total exposures

    $ -         $ 2,024     $ 834     $ 121     $ 281     $ 10,076     $ 13,336  
                               

% of total

   
0.0%
   
15.2%
   
6.3%
   
0.9%
   
2.1%
   
75.5%
   
100.0%
 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous MBS transactions.

3. Home equity line of credit ("HELOC") securitizations.

4. NIMs are net interest margin securities.

AGM has not insured any U.S. RMBS transactions since 2008.

Page 16


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2010 1

U.S. CES

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 2   Subordination 3 6   Cumulative
Losses 4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2006

    448     23.8%     -         53.4%     16.3%     2  
 

2007

    687     29.1%     -         58.1%     12.4%     9  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 1,135     27.0%     -         56.3%     13.9%     11  
                             

U.S. HELOC

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 648     22.7%     4.0%     8.4%     10.5%     4  
 

2006

    1,584     38.5%     1.9%     25.5%     13.9%     7  
 

2007

    1,605     55.4%     4.3%     21.6%     6.8%     7  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 3,837     42.9%     3.3%     21.0%     10.3%     18  
                             

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 368     39.8%     12.7%     5.8%     23.4%     8  
 

2006

    517     52.5%     1.1%     11.1%     39.9%     7  
 

2007

    548     65.5%     1.0%     11.1%     45.8%     4  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 1,433     54.2%     4.0%     9.8%     37.9%     19  
                             

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned ("REO") divided by net par outstanding.

6. Many of the CES transactions insured by the Company have unique structures whereby the collateral may be written down for losses without a corresponding write-down of the obligations insured by the Company. Many of these transactions are currently under-collateralized, with the principal amount of collateral being less than the principal amount of the obligation insured by the Company. The Company is not required to pay principal shortfalls until legal maturity (rather than making timely principal payments), and takes the under-collateralization into account when estimating expected losses for these transactions.

Page 17


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2010 1

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 2   Subordination 3   Cumulative
Losses 4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 124     33.9%     6.2%     8.0%     42.2%     3  
 

2006

    902     60.6%     6.0%     9.3%     52.5%     6  
 

2007

    1,260     65.7%     4.4%     10.7%     46.9%     6  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 2,285     62.0%     5.1%     10.0%     48.9%     15  
                             

U.S. Subprime First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 376     38.3%     46.2%     4.0%     38.7%     6  
 

2006

    126     41.8%     43.2%     10.6%     40.1%     2  
 

2007

    2,166     70.5%     26.6%     9.0%     49.3%     9  
 

2008

    69     73.7%     34.3%     5.3%     31.5%     1  
                             
 

    $ 2,737     64.9%     30.3%     8.3%     47.0%     18  
                             

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO, divided by net par outstanding.

Page 18


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (4 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating 1, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2010 2

U.S. CES

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 3   Subordination 4 7   Cumulative
Losses 5
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 6
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

AA

    36     61.7%     -         8.9%     3.7%     4  
 

A

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BIG

    1,099     25.9%     -         57.8%     14.3%     7  
                             
 

    $ 1,135     27.0%     -         56.3%     13.9%     11  
                             

U.S. HELOC

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ 404     73.2%     7.9%     0.5%     1.1%     3  
 

AA

    493     67.1%     10.2%     7.9%     3.4%     2  
 

A

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BIG

    2,939     34.7%     1.5%     26.0%     12.8%     13  
                             
 

    $ 3,837     42.9%     3.3%     21.0%     10.3%     18  
                             

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ 19     15.4%     46.6%     5.9%     23.1%     2  
 

AA

    39     45.8%     17.7%     2.0%     13.6%     1  
 

A

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BIG

    1,375     55.0%     3.1%     10.0%     38.8%     16  
                             
 

    $ 1,433     54.2%     4.0%     9.8%     37.9%     19  
                             

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

3. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

4. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

5. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

6. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO, divided by net par outstanding.

7. Many of the CES transactions insured by the Company have unique structures whereby the collateral may be written down for losses without a corresponding write-down of the obligations insured by the Company. Many of these transactions are currently under-collateralized, with the principal amount of collateral being less than the principal amount of the obligation insured by the Company. The Company is not required to pay principal shortfalls until legal maturity (rather than making timely principal payments), and takes the under-collateralization into account when estimating expected losses for these transactions.

Page 19


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (5 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating 1, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2010 2

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 3   Subordination 4   Cumulative
Losses 5
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 6
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ 148     62.7%     0.1%     11.4%     52.8%     1  
 

AA

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

A

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BIG

    2,137     61.9%     5.4%     9.9%     48.6%     14  
                             
 

    $ 2,285     62.0%     5.1%     10.0%     48.9%     15  
                             

U.S. Subprime First Lien

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ 87     25.2%     81.6%     4.5%     44.8%     2  
 

AA

    264     39.5%     42.3%     7.6%     34.4%     2  
 

A

    77     23.0%     56.3%     14.9%     40.3%     1  
 

BBB

    234     65.5%     32.6%     6.3%     33.0%     5  
 

BIG

    2,075     71.2%     25.4%     8.6%     50.5%     8  
                             
 

    $ 2,737     64.9%     30.3%     8.3%     47.0%     18  
                             

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

3. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

4. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

5. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

6. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO, divided by net par outstanding.

Page 20


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. Consumer Receivables by Rating 1 as of June 30, 2010

  Rating:
  Credit Cards   Manufactured
Housing
  Auto   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

AAA

  $ -       $ 84   $ 25   $ 109  
 

AA

    -         47     27     74  
 

A

    -         -         1,485     1,485  
 

BBB

    88     -         768     856  
 

BIG

    -         168     -         168  
                     
 

  $ 88   $ 299   $ 2,305   $ 2,692  
                     
 

Average rating 1

    BBB     A-     A-     A-  
 

Avg. initial credit enhancement 2

    13.2%     27.5%     10.9%     12.8%  
 

Avg. current credit enhancement 2

    15.6%     26.1%     28.4%     27.8%  

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinate tranches that are junior in the capital structure to AGM's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to adjustments.

Page 21


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Rating

   
  As of June 30, 2010  
  Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  
 

Super senior

    $ 15,696     29.8%  
 

AAA

    26,521     50.3%  
 

AA

    5,987     11.4%  
 

A

    2,500     4.7%  
 

BBB

    1,357     2.6%  
 

BIG

    660     1.2%  
             
   

Total credit derivative net par outstanding

    $ 52,721     100.0%  
             

Distribution of Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Sector and Average Rating

   
  As of June 30, 2010
   
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Average
Rating 1
 

Public Finance

         
   

U.S. public finance

    $ 826   A-
   

Non-U.S. public finance

    2,425   A
           
 

Total public finance

    $ 3,251   A
           
 

U.S. Structured Finance:

         
   

Pooled corporate obligations

    $ 36,732   AAA
   

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    369   BBB-
   

Insurance securitizations

    368   AA
   

Commercial receivables

    67   BBB-
   

Other structured finance

    119   B
           
     

Total U.S. structured finance

    37,655   AAA
 

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

         
   

Pooled corporate obligations

    11,310   AAA
   

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    454   AA-
   

Insurance securitizations

    38   A+
   

Structured credit

    13   BBB
           
     

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    11,815   AAA
           
 

Total structured finance

    $ 49,470   AAA
           
 

Total credit derivative net par outstanding

    $ 52,721   AAA
           

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 22


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 5)
As of June 30, 2010
(in millions)

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type:
  Net Par
Outstanding
 

U.S. Public Finance:

       
 

General obligation

    $ 521  
 

Healthcare

    208  
 

Tax backed

    190  
 

Municipal utilities

    160  
 

Housing

    6  
 

Higher education

    5  
 

Other public finance

    84  
       
   

Total U.S. public finance

    1,174  

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

       
 

Infrastructure finance

    337  
       
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    337  
       

Total public finance

    $ 1,511  

U.S. Structured Finance:

       
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    $ 9,889  
 

Consumer receivables

    168  
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    151  
 

Other structured finance

    119  
       
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    10,327  

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

       
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    79  
       
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    79  
       

Total structured finance

    $ 10,406  
       

Total BIG net par outstanding

    $ 11,917  
       

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 23


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category 1

 
  Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit
Derivatives Surveillance Categories
 
Description:
  June 30, 2010   December 31, 2009  

BIG:

             

Category 1

             
 

U.S. public finance

    $ 814     $ 991  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    337     380  
 

U.S. structured finance

    1,463     1,775  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    1     2  
           
   

Total Category 1

    2,615     3,148  

Category 2

             
 

U.S. public finance

    181     330  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    -         -      
 

U.S. structured finance

    4,894     4,601  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    2     2  
           
   

Total Category 2

    5,077     4,933  

Category 3

             
 

U.S. public finance

    179     186  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    -         -      
 

U.S. structured finance

    3,970     3,895  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    76     77  
           
   

Total Category 3

    4,225     4,158  
           
     

BIG Total

    $ 11,917     $ 12,239  
           

1. Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of below investment grade ("BIG") credits. The BIG credits are divided into three categories: BIG Category 1: Below investment grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make material losses possible, but for which no losses have been incurred. Non-investment grade transactions on which liquidity claims have been paid are in this category. BIG Category 2: Below investment grade transactions for which expected losses have been established but for which no unreimbursed claims have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below investment grade transactions for which expected losses have been established and on which unreimbursed claims have been paid. Transactions remain in this category when claims have been paid and only a recoverable remains.

Page 24


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 5)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Public Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

Name or Description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
 

U.S. Public Finance:

             

Detroit (City of) School District Michigan

    $ 162     BB  

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

    145     D  

Jefferson County Alabama School Sales Tax Limited Obligation

    144     BB  

Reading (City of) Pennsylvania

    113     BB  

Detroit (City of) Michigan

    112     BB+  

Mashantucket Pequot Tribe, Connecticut

    84     B  

Harrisburg (City of) Pennsylvania General Obligation

    75     B  

St. Barnabas Health System - New Jersey

    62     BB  
             
 

Total

    $ 897        

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

             

Aeroporti Di Roma (ADR) Romulus Finance S.R.L. (Rome Airport)

    $ 192     BB  

Cross City Tunnel Motorway Finance Limited

    145     BB  
             
 

Total

    $ 337        
             

Total

    $ 1,234        
             

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 25


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (4 of 5)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Structured Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

Name or Description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 2
 

U.S. Structured Finance:

                         

U.S. RMBS:

                         
 

MABS 2007-NCW

  $ 617     BB     33.9%     67.2%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-I

    568     CCC     0.0%     9.4%  
 

MASTR 2007-3

    547     CCC     5.2%     57.3%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-F

    509     CCC     0.0%     26.3%  
 

Option One 2007-FXD2

    394     B     18.6%     30.1%  
 

Nomura Asset Acceptance Corp. 2007-1

    388     CCC     1.6%     44.0%  
 

Harborview 2006-12

    336     B     10.7%     56.7%  
 

MARM 2007-1 (FKA MASTR 2007-OA1)

    307     CCC     0.0%     35.0%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2005-D

    297     CCC     0.0%     13.2%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2007-A

    291     CCC     0.0%     9.8%  
 

Countrywide 2007-13

    279     BB     31.3%     56.4%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2007-B

    264     CCC     0.0%     9.7%  
 

GMACM 2004-HE3

    257     B     0.0%     2.5%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-12SL

    251     CCC     0.0%     18.4%  
 

CWABS 2007-4

    219     B     22.1%     42.1%  
 

Indymac 2007-H1 HELOC

    215     CCC     0.0%     10.2%  
 

FHABS 2006-HE2 HELOC

    212     BB     0.0%     3.0%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-1SL

    206     CCC     0.0%     10.3%  
 

Soundview 2007-WMC1

    201     CCC     11.9%     71.4%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-10SL

    197     CCC     0.0%     13.8%  
 

Harborview 2006-1

    193     CCC     6.3%     60.5%  
 

Harborview 2007-1

    190     B     14.0%     56.8%  
 

New Century 2005-A

    170     BB     20.5%     30.3%  
 

Harborview 2006-10

    154     CCC     1.2%     33.6%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2005-C

    151     CCC     0.4%     11.1%  
 

CSAB 2006-3

    147     CCC     0.0%     45.5%  
 

Renaissance (DELTA) 2007-3

    146     B     26.2%     35.1%  
 

Flagstar HELOC 2006-2

    135     CCC     20.4%     12.0%  
 

Flagstar HELOC 2005-1

    129     BB     17.1%     8.9%  
 

NAAC 2007-S2

    118     CCC     0.0%     14.5%  
 

AHMA 2007-4

    113     CCC     0.0%     31.3%  
 

IMSC 2007-HOA1

    102     CCC     0.0%     29.1%  
 

CSAB 2006-2

    91     CCC     3.5%     40.2%  
 

Countrywide ALTA 2005-22T

    91     B     5.9%     23.3%  
 

Deutsche ALT-B 2006-AB1

    90     CCC     4.8%     30.7%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2005-16HE

    72     BB     13.4%     26.9%  
 

Deutsche ALT-B 2006-AB4

    72     CCC     0.0%     37.2%  
 

CSMC 2007-3

    70     CCC     0.0%     34.2%  
 

ACE 2006-GP1

    68     CCC     0.0%     9.7%  
 

ACE 2007-SL1

    63     CCC     0.0%     12.1%  
 

GSAA 2005-12

    62     BB     11.1%     23.4%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-6ALT

    61     CCC     0.0%     76.2%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-H

    59     CCC     0.0%     20.5%  
 

CWALT 2005-62

    58     CCC     11.2%     57.4%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2005-14HE

    58     BB     12.5%     26.6%  
 

DSLA 2005-AR5

    54     CCC     2.0%     27.7%  
 

CSAB 2006-4

    52     CCC     0.1%     39.4%  
 

Luminent 2006-2

    52     CCC     7.2%     55.7%  
                         
 

Total U.S. RMBS

  $ 9,376                    
                         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

Page 26


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (5 of 5)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Structured Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

Name or Description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
 

U.S. Structured Finance:

                   
 

Other:

                   
 

NRG Peaker

  $ 119     B     N/A  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    113     CCC     9.5%  
 

Conseco Finance MH Series 2001-2

    94     BB     N/A  
 

Greenpoint 2000-4

    74     BB     14.8%  
                   
   

Total other

  $ 400              
                   
     

Total

  $ 9,776              

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

                   
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

  $ 75     CCC     9.5%  
                   
     

Total

  $ 75              
                   
 

Total

  $ 9,851              
                   

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 27


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4)
As of June 30, 2010
(in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
 

New Jersey (State of)

    $ 2,893   AA-
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of)

    2,054   AA
 

New York (State of)

    2,010   AA
 

Chicago (City of) Illinois

    1,684   AA-
 

New York (City of) New York

    1,522   AA-
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) State Sales Tax

    1,472   AA
 

Houston Texas Water and Sewer Authority

    1,461   A+
 

University of California Board of Regents

    1,397   AA
 

Washington (State of)

    1,371   AAA
 

Wisconsin (State of)

    1,366   A+
 

Arizona (State of)

    1,352   AA-
 

Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of)

    1,330   AA-
 

Illinois (State of)

    1,325   A+
 

California (State of)

    1,318   A-
 

Port Authority of New York and New Jersey

    1,294   AA-
 

New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority

    1,293   AA+
 

Illinois Toll Highway Authority

    1,260   AA
 

Atlanta Georgia Water & Sewer System

    1,241   BBB+
 

Los Angeles California Unified School District

    1,235   AA
 

California (State of) Department of Water Resources - Electric Power Revenue

    1,209   A-
 

New York MTA Dedicated Tax

    1,134   AA-
 

Broward County Florida School Board

    1,101   AA-
 

New York MTA Transportation Authority

    1,086   A
 

Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of)

    1,026   BBB-
 

Denver Colorado School District No. 1

    1,016   A+
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources

    992   AA
 

Los Angeles California Department of Water and Power - Electric Revenue

    964   AA-
 

Long Island Power Authority

    941   A-
 

Chicago-O'Hare International Airport

    932   A
 

San Diego County, CA Water Revenue Stream

    915   AA
 

Connecticut (State of)

    905   AA-
 

Kentucky (Commonwealth of)

    892   AA-
 

Michigan (State of)

    889   A+
 

New Jersey Turnpike Authority

    874   A
 

Orlando-Orange County Expressway Authority, Florida

    869   A+
 

Louisiana (State of) Gas and Fuel Tax

    866   A
 

Michigan (State of) Gas & Motor Vehicle Tax

    839   AA
 

Detroit Michigan Sewer

    835   A
 

San Diego California Unified School District

    834   AA
 

California State University System Trustee

    822   AA-
 

Skyway Concession Company LLC

    820   BBB
 

Chicago Illinois Public Schools

    815   A+
 

Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport

    804   A+
 

Metro Washington Airport Authority

    803   AA-
 

Oregon (State of)

    786   AA-
 

Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania

    783   BBB-
 

Hawaii (State of) Department of Hawaiian Home Lands

    783   AA
 

Austin Texas Combined Utility System Revenue Bonds

    761   AA-
 

Seattle Municipal Light, Washington Revenue Stream

    753   A+
 

Florida (State of)

    751   AA+
           
   

Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures

    $ 56,678    
           

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 28


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 4)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
 
 

Fortress Credit Opportunities I, LP.

    $ 1,268   AA     28.6%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    1,126   AAA     13.4%  
 

Stone Tower Credit Funding

    1,119   AAA     58.2%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    973   AA-     42.2%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    763   Super Senior     14.8%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    754   Super Senior     24.2%  
 

Mizuho II Synthetic CDO

    735   A     30.7%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    730   AA-     40.0%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    723   AAA     25.0%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    675   Super Senior     23.4%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    652   AAA     17.2%  
 

MABS 2007-NCW

    617   BB     33.9%  
 

Countrywide Heloc 2006-I

    568   CCC     0.0%  
 

MASTR 2007-3

    547   CCC     5.2%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    523   Super Senior     29.7%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    521   Super Senior     24.5%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    512   Super Senior     14.3%  
 

Countrywide Heloc 2006-F

    509   CCC     0.0%  
 

Eastland CLO, LTD

    494   Super Senior     33.0%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    492   AA     45.7%  
 

Denali CLO VII, LTD.

    470   AAA     19.9%  
 

Avenue CLO V

    448   AAA     19.8%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    433   AAA     10.7%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    419   AAA     23.7%  
 

Churchill Financial Cayman

    412   AAA     36.8%  
 

Americredit 2007-B-F

    403   A     21.9%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    399   Super Senior     14.0%  
 

Westchester CLO

    397   AAA     34.1%  
 

Grayson CLO

    396   Super Senior     23.7%  
 

Option One 2007-FXD2

    394   B     18.6%  
 

Nomura Asset Acceptance Corp. 2007-1

    388   CCC     1.6%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    385   Super Senior     12.0%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    383   Super Senior     36.0%  
 

Stone Tower III

    381   AAA     21.2%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    377   Super Senior     10.3%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    369   AAA     29.5%  
 

Cent CDO 15 Limited

    360   Super Senior     16.5%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    357   AAA     36.0%  
 

Stone Tower CLO V

    357   Super Senior     27.8%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    350   AAA     34.0%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    348   AAA     24.7%  
 

MUIR Grove CLO

    340   AAA     22.0%  
 

KKR Financial CLO 2005-1

    340   AAA     23.7%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    339   Super Senior     14.2%  
 

Harborview 2006-12

    336   B     10.7%  
 

Madison Park Funding

    329   AAA     23.9%  
 

CIFC Funding 2006-1

    328   AAA     22.4%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    327   AAA     30.0%  
 

LCM VI LTD.

    316   AAA     21.2%  
 

MARM 2007-1 (FKA MASTR 2007-OA1)

    307   CCC     0.0%  
                   
   

Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures

    $ 25,489            
                   

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of Credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 29


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 4)
As of June 30, 2010
(in millions)

25 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating 1  
 

Quebec Provence

    $ 1,931     A  
 

Sydney Airport Finance Company

    1,271     BBB  
 

Thames Water Utility Finance PLC

    1,080     A-  
 

Channel Link Enterprises Finance PLC

    837     BBB  
 

International AAA Sovereign Debt Synthetic CDO

    821     AAA  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    629     Super Senior  
 

Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment Agency

    573     AA  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    504     Super Senior  
 

Artesian Finance II PLC (Southern) - Swap Policy

    477     A-  
 

Central Nottinghamshire Hospitals PLC

    448     BBB  
 

Capital Hospitals (Issuer) PLC

    436     BBB-  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    416     AAA  
 

Integrated Accomodation Services PLC

    386     BBB+  
 

Queen Street CLO I

    384     Super Senior  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    381     Super Senior  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    377     Super Senior  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    375     AAA  
 

Verbund - Wachovia wrap of securities Lease and Sublease of Hydro-Electric equipment

    375     AAA  
 

Stone Tower Credit Funding

    373     AAA  
 

Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited

    368     BBB-  
 

The Hospital Company (QAH Portsmouth) Limited

    363     BBB  
 

M6 Duna Autopalya Koncesszios Zartkoruen Mukodo Reszvenytarsasag

    347     BBB  
 

Plenary Health North Bay Finco Inc.

    334     A  
 

NewHospitals (St Helens & Knowsley) Finance PLC

    334     BBB  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    333     Super Senior  
               
   

Total top 25 non-U.S. exposures

    $ 14,153        
               

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 30


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (4 of 4)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

  Servicer:
  Net Par
Outstanding
   
   
 
 

Bank of America, N.A. 1

    $ 5,753              
 

American Home Mortgage Servicing, Inc.

    1,717              
 

GMAC Mortgage, LLC

    1,073              
 

Specialized Loan Servicing LLC

    883              
 

Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC

    846              
 

Wells Fargo Bank NA

    761              
 

OneWest Bank Group LLC

    673              
 

First Tennessee Bank N.A.

    444              
 

Litton Loan Servicing LP

    281              
 

Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc.

    274              
                     
   

Total top 10 residential mortgage servicers exposures

    $ 12,705              
                     

10 Largest Healthcare Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 2
  State  
 

Asante Health System

    $ 247     A     OR  
 

SSM Health Care

    242     A+     MO  
 

Hospital Sisters Health Services Inc Obligated Group

    203     AA-     IL  
 

MultiCare Health System

    198     A+     WA  
 

CHRISTUS Health

    192     A+     TX  
 

Catholic Health Initiatives

    188     AA     CO  
 

Clarian Health Partners

    177     A+     IN  
 

Carolina HealthCare System

    176     AA-     NC  
 

Covenant Health Hospital

    162     A-     TN  
 

Memorial Hermann Healthcare

    158     A     TX  
                     
   

Total top 10 healthcare exposures

    $ 1,943              
                     

    1. Includes Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP.

    2. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 31


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Segment/Type
(in millions)

 
  As of June 30, 2010  

Financial guaranty insurance reserves by segment and type:

       

Gross

    $ 131.7  

Ceded

    21.0  
       
 

Net financial guaranty insurance reserves

    $ 110.7  
       

Salvage and subrogation recoverable:

       

Gross

    $ 469.0  

Ceded 1

    98.8  
       
 

Net salvage and subrogation recoverable

    $ 370.2  
       

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts 2:

       

Case gross

    $ 138.2  

Case ceded

    32.8  
       
 

Case net credit derivative reserves

    $ 105.4  
       

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty insurance and credit derivative contracts, net of reinsurance 3

       

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance

    $ 110.7  

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts

    105.4  
       

Net loss and LAE reserves

    $ 216.1  
       

1. Recorded in "reinsurance balances payable, net" on the consolidated balance sheets.

2. Credit derivative assets and liabilities recorded on the balance sheet incorporate credit impairment on credit derivatives.

3. Gross of salvage and subrogation recoverable.

Page 32


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Losses Incurred and Paid
As of June 30, 2010
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and
Credit Derivatives
  Total Net Par
Outstanding for
BIG
Transactions
  2Q-10
Incurred
Losses
  2Q-10
Paid Losses
  Net Loss and
LAE Reserve 1
  Net Salvage
and
Subrogation
Assets
  Expected Loss
to be
Expensed
 

First lien:

                                     
 

Prime first lien

    $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -      
 

Alt-A first lien

    1,375.1     3.3     14.8     1.3     1.3     177.2  
 

Alt-A option ARMs

    2,137.3     47.0     31.1     83.0     12.9     463.4  
 

Subprime first lien

    2,268.5     16.0     0.8     63.5     -         82.0  
                           
   

Total first lien

    5,780.9     66.3     46.7     147.8     14.2     722.6  

Second lien:

                                     
 

Closed end seconds

    911.5     (1.7 )   19.1     26.2     18.8     176.8  
 

HELOC

    3,196.1     (6.1 )   135.5     3.6     370.3     223.3  
                           
   

Total second lien

    4,107.6     (7.8 )   154.6     29.8     389.1     400.1  
                           
   

Total U.S. RMBS

    9,888.5     58.5     201.3     177.6     403.3     1,122.7  

Other structured finance

    517.8     24.5     0.5     50.9     -         6.8  

Public finance

    1,510.3     (3.0 )   2.8     5.0     3.0     27.0  
                           

Total Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance

    $ 11,916.6     $ 80.0     $ 204.6     $ 233.5     $ 406.3     $ 1,156.5  
                           

Consolidation of VIEs

    -         (24.3 )   (36.7 )   (17.4 )   (36.1 )   (90.6 )
                           

Total

    $ 11,916.6     $ 55.7     $ 167.9     $ 216.1     $ 370.2     $ 1,065.9  
                           

1. Includes credit impairment on credit derivative transactions.

Page 33


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions)

 
    Year Ended December 31,  
 
  YTD 2010   2009   2008   2007   2006   2005  

Statutory Data

                                     
 

Net income (loss)

    $ 76.7     $ 228.2     $ (1,376.7 )   $ 312.9     $ 339.6     $ 293.5  
 

Policyholders' surplus

    $ 843     $ 909     $ 711     $ 1,609     $ 1,543     $ 1,511  
 

Contingency reserve

    1,421     1,323     1,282     1,094     1,011     907  
                           
   

Qualified statutory capital

    2,264     2,232     1,993     2,703     2,554     2,418  
 

Unearned premium reserve

    2,260     2,392     2,520     2,275     2,071     1,850  
 

Loss and LAE reserves

    1,194     1,236     1,688     98     53     54  
                           
   

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    5,718     5,860     6,201     5,076     4,678     4,322  
 

Present value of installment premiums

    715     874     963     1,113     828     804  
 

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    498     498     550     550     550     550  
                           
   

Total claims-paying resources

    $ 6,931     $ 7,232     $ 7,714     $ 6,739     $ 6,056     $ 5,676  
   

Statutory Financial Ratios

                                     
   

Loss and LAE ratio

    105.6%     17.4%     480.2%     16.1%     0.0%     2.1%  
   

Expense ratio

    65.7%     48.1%     9.1%     30.0%     29.9%     27.8%  
                           
   

Combined ratio

    171.3%     65.5%     489.3%     46.1%     29.9%     29.9%  
   

Other Financial Information (Statutory basis):

                                     
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

    $ 519,966     $ 568,594     $ 631,886     $ 623,158     $ 552,695     $ 497,625  
 

Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)

    731,432     755,360     834,426     858,458     765,632     686,134  
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    347,713     381,148     424,393     426,512     376,456     351,398  
 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

    478,071     493,798     545,568     564,515     498,619     472,374  
 

Ceded par to all Assured Guaranty companies

    63,359     32,501     32,927     30,872     37,590     44,599  
 

Ceded par to other companies

    66,999     79,433     88,248     107,131     84,573     76,377  
 

Ratios:

                                     
   

Par insured to statutory capital

    154:1     171:1     213:1     158:1     147:1     145:1  
   

Capital ratio 1

    230:1     255:1     317:1     231:1     216:1     206:1  
   

Financial resources ratio 2

    75:1     79:1     82:1     92:1     91:1     88:1  
 

Gross debt service written:

                                     
     

Public finance

    $ 19,052     $ 4,202     $ 85,666     $ 133,792     $ 127,294     $ 120,745  
     

Structured finance

    -         -         5,193     57,434     48,794     40,347  
                           
 

Total gross debt service written

    $ 19,052     $ 4,202     $ 90,859     $ 191,226     $ 176,088     $ 161,092  
                           
   

1. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured divided by qualified statutory capital.

2. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured by total claims paying resources.

Page 34


Glossary

Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009.

General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit bonds that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy ad valorem taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation. They include tax-backed revenue bonds, general fund obligations and lease revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose. Bonds in this category also include moral obligations of municipalities or governmental authorities.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported bonds, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution's revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily backed by investor-owned utilities, first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, and also include sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Regulated Utilities Obligations are issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities. The majority of the Company's international regulated utility business is conducted in the UK.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of CDS obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations.

Other Public Finance. Other domestic public finance obligations insured by AGM include bonds secured by revenues and guarantees from the Federal government, financings supported by specific state or local government entity revenues and stadium financings.

Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in "tranches," with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company's financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") and Home Equity Securities are obligations backed by closed-end first mortgage loans and closed- and open-end second mortgage loans or home equity loans on one-to-four family residential properties, including condominiums and cooperative apartments. First mortgage loan products in these transactions include fixed rate, adjustable rate ("ARM") and option adjustable-rate ("Option ARM") mortgages. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including "prime", "subprime" and "Alt-A". A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with

Page 35



higher risk characteristics, usually as determined by credit score and/or credit history. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income.

Financial Products is the guaranteed investment contracts ("GICs") portion of the former Financial Products Business of AGMH. AGM has issued financial guaranty insurance policies on the GICs and in respect of the GICs business that cannot be revoked or cancelled. Assured Guaranty is indemnified against exposure to the former Financial Products Business by Dexia. In addition, the French and Belgian governments have issued guaranties in respect of the GICs portion of the Financial Products Business. The Financial Products Business is currently being run off.

Structured Credit Securities include program-wide credit enhancement for commercial paper conduits in the U.S., and securities issued in whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Program-wide credit enhancement generally involves insuring against the default of ABS in a bank-sponsored commercial paper conduit. Securities issued in whole business and intellectual property securitizations are backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.

Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as automobile loans and leases, credit card receivables and other consumer receivables.

Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS") are obligations backed by pools of commercial mortgages. The collateral supporting CMBS include office, multi-family, retail, hotel, industrial and other specialized or mixed-use properties.

Commercial Receivables Securities are obligations backed by equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings, business loans and trade receivables. Credit support is derived from the cash flows generated by the underlying obligations, as well as property or equipment values as applicable.

Insurance Securitization Securities are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Other Structured Finance Securities are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories.

Page 36


Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures:

Assured Guaranty references financial measures that are not in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP"). Management uses these financial measures not in accordance with GAAP ("non-GAAP financial measures") and believes they assist investors and analysts in evaluating Assured Guaranty's financial results.

Assured Guaranty's presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is consistent with how analysts calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty's financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty, and with how investors, analysts and the financial news media evaluate Assured Guaranty's financial results. In addition, Assured Guaranty's management and board of directors also utilize non-GAAP financial measures as a basis for determining senior management incentive compensation. By providing a calculation of Assured Guaranty's non-GAAP financial measures in Assured Guaranty's financial results press release, periodic financial reports filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and investor presentations, investors, analysts and financial news media reporters have access to the same information that management reviews internally.

The following paragraphs describe why each non-GAAP financial measure is useful for Assured Guaranty and define such non-GAAP financial measures on a separate company basis for AGM. In each case, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed as substitutes for their most directly comparable GAAP measures.

Operating Income:    Management believes that operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the underwriting results of Assured Guaranty's financial guaranty insurance business, and also includes financing costs and net investment income, and enables investors and analysts to evaluate Assured Guaranty's financial results as compared to the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases. Operating income for AGM is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AGM, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain financial guaranty variable interest entities (VIEs) in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, including other than temporary impairments, and credit and interest rate-related gains and losses from sales of securities. Impairments and losses from sales of credit-impaired securities, the timing of which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of other sales that would result in gains or losses, such as interest rate-related gains or losses, is largely subject to the Company's discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company's tax and capital profile. Trends in the underlying profitability of the Company's business can be more clearly identified without the fluctuating effects of these transactions.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. Additionally, such adjustments present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    5)
    Elimination of the after-tax foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of net premium receivables. Long-dated receivables constitute a significant portion of the net premium receivable balance and represent the present value of future contractual or expected collections. Therefore, the current period's foreign exchange revaluation gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

Operating Shareholder's Equity:    Management believes that operating shareholder's equity is a useful measure because it presents the equity of Assured Guaranty with all financial guaranty contracts accounted for on a more consistent basis and excluding fair value adjustments that are not expected to result in economic loss. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating shareholder's equity as the principal financial measure for valuing Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Many of Assured Guaranty's fixed income investors also use operating shareholder's equity to evaluate Assured Guaranty's capital adequacy. Operating shareholder's equity is the basis of the calculation of adjusted book value (see below). Operating shareholder's equity for AGM is defined as shareholder's equity attributable to AGM, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

Page 37


    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) (excluding foreign exchange revaluation). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore will not recognize an economic loss.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

Operating return on equity ("Operating ROE"):    Operating ROE represents operating income for a specified period divided by the average of operating shareholder's equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate Assured Guaranty's return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating ROE to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis.

Adjusted Book Value:    Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the net present value of Assured Guaranty's in force premiums and revenues in addition to operating shareholder's equity. The premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use adjusted book value to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Adjusted book value for AGM is operating shareholder's equity for AGM, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued that will be expensed in future accounting periods.

    2)
    Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue. See below.

    3)
    Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of net expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the expected future net earned premiums, net of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue:    This amount represents the present value of estimated future revenue from AGM's credit derivative in-force book of business, net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes in excess of expected losses, and is discounted at 6% (which represents AGM's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). Estimated net future credit derivative revenue may change from period to period due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or present value of new business production:    Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production for AGM by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as premium supplements and additional installment premium on existing contracts as to which the issuer has the right to call the insured obligation but has not exercised such right, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of insurance and credit derivative contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, in each case, discounted at 6% (AGM's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at 6%, while under GAAP, these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums AGM expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

Page 38


LOGO

    Contacts:

Equity Investors:
Sabra Purtill
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 408-6044
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com

Ross Aron
Assistant Vice President, Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com

Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
31 West 52nd Street
New York, NY 10019
(212) 974-0100
www.assuredguaranty.com

 

Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com

Michael Walker
Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

Media:
Betsy Castenir
Managing Director, Corporate Communications
(212) 339-3424
bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com

 




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Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. June 30, 2010 Financial Supplement
EX-99.3 4 a2199860zex-99_3.htm EXHIBIT 99.3
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Exhibit 99.3

LOGO

Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
June 30, 2010
Financial Supplement

Table of Contents   Page

New Business Production and Consolidated Statements of Operations

  1

Consolidated Balance Sheets

  2

Adjusted Book Value

  3

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written

  4

Investment Portfolio

  5

Financial Guaranty Profile

  6-8

Largest Exposures by Sector

  9-10

Claims Paying Resources and Statutory-basis Exposures

  11

Loss and LAE Reserves by Segment/Type

  12

Below Investment Grade Exposures

  13

Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data

  14

Glossary

  15-16

Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

  17-18

This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty") with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including Assured Guaranty's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for periods ended March 31, 2010 and June 30, 2010. For the purposes of this financial supplement, all references to the "Company" shall mean AG Re.

Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to rounding.

 
    Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:    

 

 

Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade of Assured Guaranty Ltd. or its subsidiaries and/or of transactions insured by Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s subsidiaries, both of which have occurred in the past; (2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, Assured Guaranty's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the world's credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses implicating the adequacy of Assured Guaranty's loss reserves; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) reduction in the amount of reinsurance portfolio opportunities available to Assured Guaranty; (7) decreased demand or increased competition; (8) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (9) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance and tax laws; (10) other governmental actions; (11) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty's business strategy; (12) contract cancellations; (13) Assured Guaranty's dependence on customers; (14) loss of key personnel; (15) adverse technological developments; (16) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (17) natural or man-made catastrophes; (18) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (19) management's response to these factors; and (20) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

 

 
 

Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
New Business Production and Consolidated Statements of Operations
(dollars in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,
   
  Six Months Ended
June 30,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
2Q-09
  % Change
versus
YTD 2009
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Consolidated new business production analysis:

                                     
 

Present value of new business production ("PVP")

                                     
   

Assured Guaranty Corp.

    $ 3.7     $ 36.4     (90)%     $ 9.9     $ 113.4     (91)%  
   

Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. 1

    -         -         NM     181.3     -         NM  
   

Third parties 1

    -         -         NM     -         -         NM  
                               
 

Total PVP

    3.7     36.4     (90)%     191.2     113.4     69%  
   

Less: PVP of credit derivatives

    -         -         NM     -         0.6     (100)%  
                               
 

PVP of financial guaranty insurance

    3.7     36.4     (90)%     191.2     112.8     70%  
   

Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVP

    1.7     5.4     (69)%     (28.7 )   9.5     NM  
                               
 

Total: Financial guaranty upfront gross written premiums ("GWP")

    2.0     31.0     (94)%     219.9     103.3     113%  
   

Plus: Financial guaranty installment adjustment 1

    (11.8 )   13.2     NM     (13.0 )   13.0     NM  
                               
 

Total: Financial guaranty GWP

    (9.8 )   44.2     NM     206.9     116.3     78%  
 

Plus: Other segment GWP

    -         -         NM     -         -         NM  
                               
 

Total GWP

    $ (9.8 )   $ 44.2     NM     $ 206.9     $ 116.3     78%  
                               

Revenues:

                                     
 

Net earned premiums

    $ 39.9     $ 52.0     (23)%     $ 74.4     $ 132.7     (44)%  
 

Net investment income

    21.9     23.5     (7)%     42.4     47.9     (11)%  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    4.6     (10.3 )   NM     5.8     (27.6 )   NM  
 

Change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                                     
   

Realized gains and other settlements

    4.6     4.4     5%     9.2     9.7     (5)%  
   

Credit impairment on credit derivatives

    (8.6 )   (8.9 )   (3)%     (23.2 )   (8.6 )   170%  
   

Non-credit impairment fair value gains on credit derivatives

    6.2     (20.0 )   NM     109.0     20.7     427%  
                               
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    2.2     (24.5 )   NM     95.0     21.8     336%  
 

Other income

    (7.1 )   -         NM     (16.8 )   -         NM  
                               
   

Total revenues

    61.5     40.7     51%     200.8     174.8     15%  

Expenses:

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    28.1     (8.4 )   NM     67.5     50.0     35%  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    10.5     13.4     (22)%     18.5     37.2     (50)%  
 

Other operating expenses

    5.7     6.4     (11)%     12.3     11.1     11%  
                               
   

Total expenses

    44.3     11.4     289%     98.3     98.3     0%  
                               
 

Income before provision for income taxes

    17.2     29.3     (41)%     102.5     76.5     34%  
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    1.1     1.9     (42)%     1.8     (2.2 )   NM  
                               
 

Net income

    16.1     27.4     (41)%     100.7     78.7     28%  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    4.2     (10.6 )   NM     5.5     (27.8 )   NM  
   

Non-credit impairments unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    6.6     (21.5 )   NM     108.9     19.0     473%  
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (7.1 )   -         NM     (16.9 )   -         NM  
                               
 

Operating income 3

    $ 12.4     $ 59.5     (79)%     $ 3.2     $ 87.5     (96)%  
                               

1. Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. became an affiliate of AG Re effective July 1, 2009. PVP for quarter ended June 30, 2009 is included in "Third parties" line.

2. Includes the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments compared to the discount rate used for new financial guaranty insurance accounting standard as well as the changes in estimated term for future installments.

3. The Company has revised its definition of operating income in the three months ended June 30, 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. Prior periods are presented on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

Page 1


Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Assets

             
 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

             
   

Fixed maturity securities, at fair value

    $ 1,951.4     $ 1,895.3  
   

Short-term investments

    405.8     224.6  
           
 

Total investment portfolio

    2,357.2     2,119.9  
 

Cash

   
22.2
   
10.9
 
 

Premiums receivable, net of ceding commissions payable

    405.1     446.2  
 

Ceded unearned premium reserve

    0.4     0.5  
 

Deferred acquisition costs

    391.1     342.0  
 

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

    0.4     0.9  
 

Credit derivative assets

    65.9     68.4  
 

Deferred tax asset, net

    5.9     9.7  
 

Salvage and subrogation recoverable

    78.3     65.3  
 

Other assets

    40.9     22.9  
           

Total assets

    $ 3,367.4     $ 3,086.7  
           

Liabilities and shareholder's equity

             

Liabilities

             
 

Unearned premium reserves

    $ 1,442.2     $ 1,301.5  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

    156.8     122.3  
 

Credit derivative liabilities

    319.5     379.4  
 

Reinsurance balances payable, net

    10.8     9.9  
 

Other liabilities

    26.2     20.9  
           

Total liabilities

    1,955.5     1,834.0  

Shareholder's equity

             
 

Common stock

    1.4     1.4  
 

Additional paid-in capital

    856.6     856.6  
 

Retained earnings

    458.4     357.7  
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

    95.5     37.0  
           
 

Total shareholder's equity

    1,411.9     1,252.7  
           

Total liabilities and shareholder's equity

    $ 3,367.4     $ 3,086.7  
           

Page 2


Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Adjusted Book Value
(dollars in millions)

 
  As of    
 
 
  % Change versus
12/31/2009
 
 
  June 30, 2010   December 31, 2009  

Reconciliation of shareholder's equity to adjusted book value:

                   
 

Shareholder's equity

    $ 1,411.9     $ 1,252.7     13%  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

                   
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (161.0 )   (243.2 )   (34)%  
   

Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect

    95.5     37.0     158%  
                 
 

Operating shareholder's equity

    $ 1,477.4     $ 1,458.9     1%  
 

After-tax adjustments:

                   
   

Less: Deferred acquisition costs

    390.8     341.7     14%  
   

Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue

    79.1     83.3     (5)%  
   

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed

    1,410.1     1,270.4     11%  
                 
 

Adjusted book value

    $ 2,575.8     $ 2,470.9     4%  
                 

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 3


Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written by Asset Type

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30, 2010
  Six Months Ended
June 30, 2010
 
Sector:
  Gross Par
Written
  Gross Par
Written
 

U.S. Public Finance:

             
 

General obligation

    $ 156     $ 18,295  
 

Tax backed

    17     5,169  
 

Municipal utilities

    13     4,880  
 

Transportation

    36     1,842  
 

Healthcare

    1     1,690  
 

Higher education

    12     1,389  
 

Infrastructure finance

    -         2  
 

Housing

    -         390  
 

Other public finance

    -         185  
           
   

Total U.S. public finance

    235     33,842  

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

             
 

Infrastructure finance

    8     8  
 

Other public finance

    -         8  
           
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    8     16  
           

Total public finance

    243     33,858  
           

U.S. Structured Finance:

             
 

Pooled corporate obligations

             
 

Consumer receivables

    100     350  
 

Other structured finance

    250     250  
           
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    350     600  

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

             
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    -         -      
           

Total structured finance

    350     600  
           

Total gross par written

    $ 593     $ 34,458  
           

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 4


Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Investment Portfolio
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

 
  Amortized
Cost
  Pre-Tax
Book
Yield
  After-Tax
Book
Yield
  Fair
Value
  Annualized
Investment
Income 1
 

Investment portfolio, available for sale:

                               

Fixed maturity securities:

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

    $ 104.5     4.09%     3.99%     $ 113.5     $ 4.3  
 

Agency obligations

    268.8     3.84%     3.75%     288.8     10.3  
 

Foreign government securities

    2.1     4.44%     3.87%     2.2     0.1  
 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

    42.0     4.63%     4.56%     44.3     1.9  
 

Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions 2

    6.3     4.66%     4.45%     6.4     0.3  
 

Corporate securities

    339.6     3.98%     3.82%     355.7     13.5  
 

Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS") 3:

                               
   

Residential MBS ("RMBS")

    734.3     5.20%     5.10%     773.4     38.2  
   

Commercial MBS ("CMBS")

    192.4     5.54%     5.19%     200.4     10.7  
 

Asset-backed securities 4

    162.1     3.66%     3.66%     166.7     5.9  
                       
     

Total fixed maturity securities

    1,852.1     4.60%     4.47%     $ 1,951.4     85.2  

Short-term investments

    405.8     0.17%     0.12%     405.8     0.7  
                       
     

Total investment portfolio

    $ 2,257.9     3.81%     3.69%     $ 2,357.2     $ 85.9  
                       

Ratings 5:

 

Fair Value

 

%

 

 


 

 


 

 


 

Treasury and government obligations

    $ 113.5     5.8%                    

Agency obligations

    288.8     14.8%                    

AAA/Aaa

    1,095.0     56.1%                    

AA/Aa

    163.8     8.4%                    

A/A

    202.2     10.4%                    

BBB

    -         -                        

Below investment grade ("BIG") 6

    88.1     4.5%                    
                             
 

Total fixed maturity securities available for sale

    $ 1,951.4     100.0%                    
                             

Duration of investment portfolio (in years):

          2.4                    
                               

Average ratings of investment portfolio

          AA+                    
                               

1. Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.

2. Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by Standard & Poor's Rating Services ("S&P") or Moody's Investors Service, Inc. ("Moody's"), average A.

3. $0.4 million is U.S. subprime RMBS, which has an average rating of AAA.

4. Contains no collateralized debt obligations ("CDOs") of asset-backed securities ("ABS").

5. Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's and S&P classifications.

6. Included in the investment portfolio are securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation strategies of $134.0 million in par with carrying value of $46.4 million.

Page 5


Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 
  As of June 30, 2010
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Avg. Rating 1

U.S. Public Finance:

         
 

General obligation

    $ 44,646   A+
 

Tax backed

    21,927   A+
 

Municipal utilities

    15,204   A
 

Transportation

    9,850   A
 

Healthcare

    6,803   A
 

Higher education

    4,692   A+
 

Infrastructure finance

    1,899   A-
 

Investor-owned utilities

    969   BBB+
 

Housing

    931   AA-
 

Other public finance

    2,691   BBB+
         
   

Total U.S. public finance

    109,612   A+

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

         
 

Regulated utilities

    5,710   BBB+
 

Infrastructure finance

    3,718   BBB
 

Pooled infrastructure

    1,729   AA-
 

Other public finance

    896   A+
         
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    12,053   A-
         

Total public finance

    121,665   A+
         

U.S. Structured Finance:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    6,562   AA+
 

RMBS and home equity

    3,569   BB
 

Consumer receivables

    1,910   A-
 

CMBS

    1,632   AAA
 

Insurance securitizations

    1,336   A+
 

Commercial receivables

    1,213   BBB
 

Structured credit

    1,149   A-
 

Other structured finance

    206   BBB+
         
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    17,577   A

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    2,778   AA+
 

RMBS and home equity

    880   AAA
 

Commercial receivables

    850   A-
 

Structured credit

    771   BBB
 

Insurance securitizations

    663   CCC-
 

CMBS

    355   A
 

Consumer receivables

    17   AAA
 

Other structured finance

    168   A
         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    6,482   A+
         

Total structured finance

    24,059   A
         

Total net par outstanding

    $ 145,724   A
         

 

 
  Assumed
from AGC
  Assumed
from AGM
  Third Party   Total Net Par
Outstanding
  %  

Public Finance:

                               
 

U.S. public finance

    $ 24,640     $ 58,322     $ 26,650     $ 109,612     75.2%  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    3,401     5,627     3,025     12,053     8.3%  
                       
   

Total public finance

    28,041     63,949     29,675     121,665     83.5%  
                       

Structured Finance:

                               
 

U.S. structured finance

    12,327     1,460     3,790     17,577     12.1%  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    3,960     584     1,938     6,482     4.4%  
                       
   

Total structured finance

    16,287     2,044     5,728     24,059     16.5%  
                       

Total net par outstanding

    $ 44,328     $ 65,993     $ 35,403     $ 145,724     100.0%  
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 6


Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 
  June 30, 2010  
Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  %  

Super senior

    $ 3,035     2.1%  

AAA

    10,165     7.0%  

AA

    47,798     32.8%  

A

    57,539     39.5%  

BBB

    22,089     15.2%  

BIG

    5,098     3.4%  
           
 

Total net par outstanding

    $ 145,724     100.0%  
           

Distribution of BIG Exposures by Sector as of June 30, 2010

 
  Net Par
Outstanding 
  % of Total
Net Par
Outstanding
 

Public Finance:

             
 

General obligation

    $ 238     0.2%  
 

Municipal utilities

    228     0.2%  
 

Infrastructure finance

    144     0.1%  
 

Tax backed

    128     0.1%  
 

Healthcare

    53     0.0%  
 

Higher education

    4     0.0%  
 

Other public finance

    621     0.4%  
           
   

Total public finance

    1,416     1.0%  

Structured Finance:

             
 

RMBS and home equity

    1,996     1.4%  
 

Insurance securitizations

    644     0.4%  
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    472     0.3%  
 

Consumer receivables

    360     0.2%  
 

Commercial receivables

    130     0.1%  
 

Structured credit

    43     0.0%  
 

Other structured finance

    37     0.0%  
           
   

Total structured finance

    3,682     2.4%  
           
   

Total BIG exposures

    $ 5,098     3.4%  
           

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 7


Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of June 30, 2010

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

U.S.:

             

Public Finance

             
 

California

    $ 16,435     11.3%  
 

New York

    9,360     6.4%  
 

Florida

    7,680     5.3%  
 

Texas

    7,529     5.2%  
 

Illinois

    6,202     4.3%  
 

Pennsylvania

    5,935     4.1%  
 

New Jersey

    4,221     2.9%  
 

Michigan

    3,860     2.6%  
 

Massachusetts

    3,806     2.6%  
 

Washington

    3,514     2.4%  
 

Other states

    41,070     28.1%  
           
   

Total Public Finance

    109,612     75.2%  

Structured finance (multiple states)

    17,577     12.1%  
           
   

Total U.S.

    127,189     87.3%  
           

Non-U.S.:

             
 

United Kingdom

    10,550     7.2%  
 

Australia

    2,181     1.5%  
 

France

    565     0.4%  
 

Italy

    479     0.3%  
 

Canada

    405     0.3%  
 

Other

    4,355     3.0%  
           
   

Total non-U.S.

    18,535     12.7%  
           

Net par outstanding

 
  $

145,724
   
100.0%
 
           

Page 8


Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

25 Largest U.S Public Finance Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
 
 

New Jersey (State of)

    $ 1,281     AA-  
 

California (State of)

    1,276     A-  
 

New York (City of) New York

    1,203     AA-  
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of)

    1,093     AA  
 

New York (State of)

    973     AA-  
 

Washington (State of)

    906     AA-  
 

Los Angeles California Unified School District

    838     AA  
 

Wisconsin (State of)

    827     AA-  
 

Port Authority of New York and New Jersey

    729     AA-  
 

Florida (State of)

    718     AA+  
 

Illinois (State of)

    670     BBB+  
 

Chicago (City of) Illinois

    643     AA-  
 

Long Island Power Authority

    632     A-  
 

New York MTA Transportation Authority

    625     A  
 

Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania

    592     BBB-  
 

Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport

    573     A+  
 

Hawaii (State of) Department of Hawaiian Home Lands

    568     AA  
 

District of Columbia

    540     A+  
 

Michigan (State of)

    538     A+  
 

Philadelphia Pennsylvania School District

    495     A  
 

Miami-Dade County Florida School District

    494     A-  
 

Los Angeles California Department of Water and Power - Electric Revenue Bonds

    491     AA-  
 

Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of)

    485     BBB-  
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) State Sales Tax

    477     AA  
 

Clark County Nevada School District

    470     AA  
               
   

Total top 25 U.S public finance exposures

    $ 18,137        
               

25 Largest U.S Structured Finance Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
 
 

LIICA Holdings, LLC

    $ 405     AA  
 

Shenandoah Trust Capital I Term Securities

    394     A+  
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    336     CCC  
 

Private Structured Credit Transaction

    267     BBB+  
 

Jupiter Securitization Company

    265     AAA  
 

DB Master Finance LLC, Series 2006-1

    234     BBB-  
 

Applebees Enterprises LLC

    233     BBB-  
 

Sandelman Finance 2006-1 Limited

    225     AAA  
 

Timberlake Financial, LLC Floating Insured Notes

    221     BBB  
 

Prudential Closed Block Reinsurance Treaty

    200     A+  
 

Ford Credit Floorplan Master Owner Trust 2006-6

    187     AA  
 

Spirit Master Funding, LLC 2005-1

    185     BBB  
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J

    182     CCC  
 

280 Funding I

    165     AAA  
 

Field Point IV, Limited

    165     AA-  
 

National Collegiate Trust Series 2007-3

    155     CCC  
 

Stone Tower Credit Funding

    134     AAA  
 

Private Structured Credit Transaction

    128     AAA  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    126     B  
 

National Collegiate Trust Series 2007-4

    125     CCC  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    123     BBB-  
 

Hertz Vehicle Financing, LLC Series 2005-2 & 3

    120     BBB  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    119     BB  
 

Field Point III, Limited

    119     AA-  
 

Liberty CLO LTD

    107     Super Senior  
               
   

Total top 25 U.S structured finance exposures

    $ 4,920        
               

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 9


Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

25 Largest non-U.S Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
 
 

Southern Gas Networks PLC

    $ 462     BBB  
 

United Utilities Water PLC

    436     A  
 

Paragon Mortgages (No.13) PLC

    391     AAA  
 

Ballantyne Re PLC Class A-2 Floating Rate Notes

    370     CC  
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    358     A-  
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    358     A-  
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    358     A-  
 

Powercor Australia LLC

    301     A-  
 

Orkney Re II, PLC Series A-1 Floating Rate Notes

    274     CCC  
 

DBNGP Finance Co Pty Ltd Note Issue 1 & 2

    269     BBB  
 

Quebec Provence

    262     A+  
 

PB Domicile 2006-1

    259     AAA  
 

Taberna Europe CDO II PLC

    255     BBB-  
 

National Grid Gas PLC

    254     A  
 

Stichting Profile Securitisation I

    252     Super Senior  
 

A28 Motorway

    240     BBB  
 

Scotland Gas Networks PLC (A2)

    235     BBB  
 

Thames Water Utility Finance PLC

    230     BBB+  
 

Societe des Autoroutes du Nord et de l'est de France S.A.

    228     A  
 

Capital Hospitals (Issuer) plc

    226     BBB-  
 

Harbourmaster CLO I B.V.

    224     AAA  
 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital III

    224     Super Senior  
 

Spirit Issuer Plc Class A1 Debenture Bonds

    219     BBB-  
 

Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited

    217     BBB+  
 

Telereal Securitisation PLC (British Telecom) A1

    206     BBB+  
               
   

Total top 25 largest non-U.S exposures

    $ 7,108        
               

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 10


Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Claims Paying Resources and Statutory-basis Exposures 1
(dollars in millions)

   
  As of  
   
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 
 

Claims paying resources

             
 

Policyholders' surplus

    $ 1,069     $ 1,190  
 

Contingency reserve

    -         -      
             
   

Qualified statutory capital

    1,069     1,190  
 

Unearned premium reserve

    1,037     848  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

    267     129  
             
   

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    2,373     2,167  
 

Present value of installment premium 2

    321     349  
 

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    200     200  
             
   

Total claims paying resources

    $ 2,894     $ 2,716  
             
 

Net par insured outstanding

 
  $

143,090
 
  $

116,117
 
 

Net debt service outstanding

    $ 230,984     $ 190,089  
 

Ratios:

             
   

Net par insured to statutory capital

    134:1     98:1  
   

Capital ratio 3

    216:1     160:1  
   

Financial resources ratio 4

    80:1     70:1  

1. Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. ("AG Re") numbers are the Company's estimate of U.S. statutory as this company files Bermuda statutory financial statements. Statutory basis.

2. Includes financial guaranty insurance and credit derivatives.

3. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

4. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

Page 11


Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Segment/Type
(in millions)

 
  As of June 30, 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Total
Financial
Guaranty
  Other   Total  

Financial Guaranty segments insurance reserves by segment and type:

                               

Gross loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Case

    $ -         $ 154.4     $ 154.4     $ 0.3     $ 154.7  

Incurred but not reported ("IBNR") and portfolio

    -         -         -         2.1     2.1  
                       
 

Total gross loss and LAE reserves

    $ -         $ 154.4     $ 154.4     $ 2.4     $ 156.8  

Ceded loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Case

    $ -         $ -         $ -         $ 0.2     $ 0.2  

IBNR and portfolio

    -         -         -         0.2     0.2  
                       
 

Total ceded loss and LAE reserves

    $ -         $ -         $ -         $ 0.4     $ 0.4  

Loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance:

                               

Case

    $ -         $ 154.4     $ 154.4     $ 0.1     $ 154.5  

IBNR and portfolio

    -         -         -         1.9     1.9  
                       
 

Total net loss and LAE reserves

    $ -         $ 154.4     $ 154.4     $ 2.0     $ 156.4  
                       

Salvage and subrogation recoverable on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Gross

    $ -         $ 78.3     $ 78.3     $ -         $ 78.3  

Ceded 1

    -         -         -         -         -      
                       
 

Net salvage and subrogation recoverable

    $ -         $ 78.3     $ 78.3     $ -         $ 78.3  
                       

                            -      

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts 2:

                               

Case gross

    $ -         $ 86.7     $ 86.7     $ -         $ 86.7  

Case ceded

    -         -         -         -         -      
                       
 

Case net credit derivative reserves

    $ -         $ 86.7     $ 86.7     $ -         $ 86.7  
                       

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty insurance and credit derivative contracts, net of reinsurance 3

 

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance

    $ -         $ 154.4     $ 154.4              

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts

    -         86.7     86.7              
                           
 

Net Loss and LAE reserves

    $ -         $ 241.1     $ 241.1              
                           

1. Recorded in "reinsurance balances payable, net" on the consolidated balance sheets.

2. Credit derivative assets and liabilities recorded on the balance sheet incorporate credit impairment on credit derivatives.

3. Gross of salvage and subrogation recoverable.

Page 12


Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Public Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

Name or Description
  Net Par
Outstanding
 

U.S. Public Finance:

       
   

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    $ 250  
   

Detroit (City of) Michigan

    215  
   

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

    177  
   

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    136  
   

Finance Authority of Maine

    91  
   

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    71  
   

Orlando Tourist Development Tax - Florida

    62  
   

Mashantucket Pequot Tribe, Connecticut

    60  
       
 

Total U.S. public finance

    $ 1,062  

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

       
   

Cross City Tunnel Motorway Finance Limited

    $ 99  
       
 

Total non-U.S. public finance

    $ 99  

U.S. Structured Finance:

       
   

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    $ 336  
   

COUNTRYWIDE HOME EQUITY LOAN TRUST 2005-J CL 1-A

    182  
   

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    126  
   

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    119  
   

MortageIT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    87  
   

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    69  
   

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    69  
   

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

    59  
   

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    58  
   

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

    58  
   

AAA Trust 2007-2

    50  
       
     

Total U.S. RMBS

    1,213  
   

National Collegiate Trust Series 2007-3

   
155
 
   

National Collegiate Trust Series 2007-4

    125  
   

Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD. Class A-1

    73  
   

National Collegiate Trust Series 2005-1 Class A-5-1 Grantor Trust Certificates

    65  
   

Rental Car Finance Corp. 2006-1

    60  
   

Taberna Preferred Funding II, LTD.

    59  
   

Attentus CDO I Limited Class A-1

    58  
   

Rental Car Finance Corp. 2007-1

    50  
       
     

Total Other

    645  
 

Total U.S. structured finance

 
  
$

1,858
 

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

       
   

Ballantyne Re plc

    370  
   

Orkney Re II, plc

    274  
       
 

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    $ 644  
       

Total

    $ 3,663  
       

Page 13


Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data
(in millions)

 
    Year Ended December 31,  
 
  YTD 2010   2009   2008   2007   2006   2005  

Claims Paying Resources 1

                                     
 

Policyholders' surplus

    $ 1,069     $ 1,190     $ 1,220     $ 1,097     $ 741     $ 691  
 

Contingency reserve

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                           
   

Qualified statutory capital

    1,069     1,190     1,220     1,097     741     691  
 

Unearned premium reserve

    1,037     848     720     629     444     356  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

    267     129     37     18     18     26  
                           
   

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    2,373     2,167     1,977     1,744     1,203     1,073  
 

Present value of installment premium

    321     349     345     366     230     174  
 

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    200     200     200     200     -         -      
                           
   

Total claims paying resources

    $ 2,894     $ 2,716     $ 2,522     $ 2,310     $ 1,433     $ 1,247  
   

Other Financial Information (Statutory basis)

                                     
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    $ 143,090     $ 116,117     $ 111,715     $ 106,253     $ 63,927     $ 49,806  
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

    $ 230,984     $ 190,089     $ 184,541     $ 174,173     $ 94,652     $ 74,925  

1. AG Re's numbers are the Company's estimate of U.S. statutory as this company files Bermuda statutory financial statements.

Page 14


Glossary

Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s 10-K report for the year ended December 31, 2009.

General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit bonds that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy ad valorem taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation. They include tax-backed revenue bonds, general fund obligations and lease revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose. Bonds in this category also include moral obligations of municipalities or governmental authorities.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported bonds, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution's revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily backed by investor-owned utilities, first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, and also include sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Regulated Utilities Obligations are issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities. The majority of the Company's international regulated utility business is conducted in the UK.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of CDS obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations.

Other public finance: primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.

Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in "tranches," with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company's financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") and Home Equity Securities are obligations backed by closed-end first mortgage loans and closed- and open-end second mortgage loans or home equity loans on one-to-four family residential properties, including condominiums and cooperative apartments. First mortgage loan products in these transactions include fixed rate, adjustable rate ("ARM") and option adjustable-rate ("Option ARM") mortgages. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including "prime", "subprime" and "Alt-A". A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with

Page 15



higher risk characteristics, usually as determined by credit score and/or credit history. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income.

Structured Credit Securities include program-wide credit enhancement for commercial paper conduits in the U.S., and securities issued in whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Program-wide credit enhancement generally involves insuring against the default of ABS in a bank-sponsored commercial paper conduit. Securities issued in whole business and intellectual property securitizations are backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.

Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as automobile loans and leases, credit card receivables and other consumer receivables.

Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS") are obligations backed by pools of commercial mortgages. The collateral supporting CMBS include office, multi-family, retail, hotel, industrial and other specialized or mixed-use properties.

Commercial Receivables Securities are obligations backed by equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings, business loans and trade receivables. Credit support is derived from the cash flows generated by the underlying obligations, as well as property or equipment values as applicable.

Insurance Securitization Securities are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Other Structured Finance Securities are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories.

Page 16


Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures:

Assured Guaranty references financial measures that are not in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP"). Management uses these financial measures not in accordance with GAAP ("non-GAAP financial measures") and believes they assist investors and analysts in evaluating Assured Guaranty's financial results.

Assured Guaranty's presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is consistent with how analysts calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty's financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty, and with how investors, analysts and the financial news media evaluate Assured Guaranty's financial results. In addition, Assured Guaranty's management and board of directors also utilize non-GAAP financial measures as a basis for determining senior management incentive compensation. By providing a calculation of Assured Guaranty's non-GAAP financial measures in Assured Guaranty's financial results press release, periodic financial reports filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and investor presentations, investors, analysts and financial news media reporters have access to the same information that management reviews internally.

The following paragraphs describe why each non-GAAP financial measure is useful for Assured Guaranty and define such non-GAAP financial measures on a separate company basis for AG Re. In each case, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed as substitutes for their most directly comparable GAAP measures.

Operating Income:    Management believes that operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the underwriting results of Assured Guaranty's financial guaranty insurance business, and also includes financing costs and net investment income, and enables investors and analysts to evaluate Assured Guaranty's financial results as compared to the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases. Operating income for AG Re is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AG Re, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, including other than temporary impairments, and credit and interest rate-related gains and losses from sales of securities. Impairments and losses from sales of credit-impaired securities, the timing of which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of other sales that would result in gains or losses, such as interest rate-related gains or losses, is largely subject to the Company's discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company's tax and capital profile. Trends in the underlying profitability of the Company's business can be more clearly identified without the fluctuating effects of these transactions.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. Additionally, such adjustments present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of net premium receivables. Long-dated receivables constitute a significant portion of the net premium receivable balance and represent the present value of future contractual or expected collections. Therefore, the current period's foreign exchange revaluation gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

Operating Shareholder's Equity:    Management believes that operating shareholder's equity is a useful measure because it presents the equity of Assured Guaranty with all financial guaranty contracts accounted for on a more consistent basis and excluding fair value adjustments that are not expected to result in economic loss. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating shareholder's equity as the principal financial measure for valuing Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Many of Assured Guaranty's fixed income investors also use operating shareholder's equity to evaluate Assured Guaranty's capital adequacy. Operating shareholder's equity is the basis of the calculation of adjusted book value (see below). Operating shareholder's equity for AG Re is defined as shareholder's equity attributable to AG Re, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) (excluding foreign exchange revaluation). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore will not recognize an economic loss.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

Adjusted Book Value:    Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the net present value of Assured Guaranty's in force premiums and revenues in addition to operating shareholder's equity. The

Page 17



premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use adjusted book value to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Adjusted book value for AG Re is operating shareholder's equity for AG Re, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued that will be expensed in future accounting periods.

    2)
    Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue. See below.

    3)
    Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of net expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the expected future net earned premiums, net of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue:    This amount represents the present value of estimated future revenue from the Company's credit derivative in-force book of business, net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes in excess of expected losses, and is discounted at 6% (which represents the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). Estimated net future credit derivative revenue may change from period to period due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or present value of new business production:    Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production for AG Re by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as premium supplements and additional installment premium on existing contracts as to which the issuer has the right to call the insured obligation but has not exercised such right, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of insurance and credit derivative contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, in each case, discounted at 6% (AG Re's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at 6%, while under GAAP, these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums AG Re expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

Page 18


LOGO

    Contacts:

Equity Investors:
Sabra Purtill
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 408-6044
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com

Ross Aron
Assistant Vice President, Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com

Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08
Bermuda
www.assuredguaranty.com

 

Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com

Michael Walker
Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

Media:
Betsy Castenir
Managing Director, Corporate Communications
(212) 339-3424
bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com

 




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EX-99.4 5 a2199860zex-99_4.htm EXHIBIT 99.4
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Exhibit 99.4

Assured Guaranty Corp.

Consolidated Financial Statements

(Unaudited)

Index

June 30, 2010

 
  Page(s)  

Financial Statements

       

Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited) as of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009

    2  

Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited) for the Three and Six Months Ended June 30, 2010 and 2009

    3  

Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (unaudited) for the Three and Six Months Ended June 30, 2010 and 2009

    4  

Consolidated Statement of Shareholder's Equity (unaudited) for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2010

    5  

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (unaudited) for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2010 and 2009

    6  

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (unaudited)

    7 - 77  


Assured Guaranty Corp.

Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited)

(dollars in thousands except per share and share amounts)

 
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Assets

             

Investment portfolio:

             
 

Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost of $2,296,082 and $2,002,706)

  $ 2,363,170   $ 2,045,211  
 

Short-term investments, at fair value

    389,929     802,567  
           
   

Total investment portfolio

    2,753,099     2,847,778  

Cash

    27,068     2,470  

Premiums receivable, net of ceding commissions payable

    333,072     351,468  

Ceded unearned premium reserve

    423,627     435,268  

Deferred acquisition costs

    51,243     45,162  

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

    56,910     50,706  

Credit derivative assets

    285,353     251,992  

Committed capital securities, at fair value

    11,305     3,987  

Deferred tax asset, net

    181,706     241,796  

Salvage and subrogation recoverable

    213,923     169,917  

Financial guaranty variable interest entities' assets

    392,357      

Other assets

    116,795     99,266  
           
 

Total assets

  $ 4,846,458   $ 4,499,810  
           

Liabilities and shareholder's equity

             

Unearned premium reserves

  $ 1,423,933   $ 1,451,576  

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

    196,208     191,211  

Note payable to affiliate

    300,000     300,000  

Credit derivative liabilities

    879,828     1,076,726  

Reinsurance balances payable, net

    150,023     165,892  

Financial guaranty variable interest entities' liabilities with recourse

    433,347      

Financial guaranty variable interest entities' liabilities without recourse

    12,529      

Other liabilities

    120,906     88,188  
           
 

Total liabilities

  $ 3,516,774   $ 3,273,593  
           

Commitments and contingencies

             

Preferred stock ($1,000 liquidation preference, 200,004 shares authorized; none issued and outstanding in 2010 and 2009)

         

Common stock ($720.00 par value, 500,000 shares authorized; 20,834 shares issued and outstanding in 2010 and 2009)

    15,000     15,000  

Additional paid-in capital

    1,037,059     1,037,059  

Retained earnings

    246,453     153,738  

Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of deferred tax provision (benefit) of $16,786 and $10,999

    31,172     20,420  
           
 

Total shareholder's equity

    1,329,684     1,226,217  
           
 

Total liabilities and shareholder's equity

  $ 4,846,458   $ 4,499,810  
           

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.

2



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Consolidated Statements of Operations (Unaudited)

(in thousands)

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,
  Six Months Ended
June 30,
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Revenues

                         

Net earned premiums

  $ 25,138   $ 26,666   $ 54,628   $ 94,391  

Net investment income

    23,796     19,713     43,355     39,014  

Net realized investment gains (losses):

                         
 

Other-than-temporary impairment ("OTTI") losses

    (400 )   (5,163 )   (400 )   (7,672 )
 

Less: portion of OTTI loss recognized in other comprehensive income

        (3,403 )       (3,403 )
 

Other net realized investment gains (losses)

    7     7,116     2,848     9,863  
                   
   

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (393 )   5,356     2,448     5,594  

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                         
 

Realized gains (losses) and other settlements

    23,862     22,004     17,182     44,973  
 

Net unrealized gains (losses)

    7,256     (225,010 )   216,712     (248,033 )
                   
   

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    31,118     (203,006 )   233,894     (203,060 )

Fair value gain (loss) on committed capital securities

    5,897     (60,570 )   7,318     (40,904 )

Financial guaranty variable interest entities' revenues

    27,435         54,483      

Other income

    (2,952 )   481     (5,114 )   1,133  
                   
 

Total Revenues

    110,039     (211,360 )   391,012     (103,832 )
                   

Expenses

                         

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    3,721     46,427     38,245     67,809  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    1,536     3,099     5,680     2,756  

Interest expense

    3,750         7,500      

Financial guaranty variable interest entities' expenses

    35,889         51,423      

Other operating expenses

    19,035     32,198     46,662     48,789  
                   
 

Total Expenses

    63,931     81,724     149,510     119,354  
                   

Income (loss) before income taxes

    46,108     (293,084 )   241,502     (223,186 )

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

                         
 

Current

    19,965     (4,851 )   3,150     13,144  
 

Deferred

    (6,457 )   (103,532 )   75,738     (101,002 )
                   

Total provision (benefit) for income taxes

    13,508     (108,383 )   78,888     (87,858 )
                   

Net income (loss)

  $ 32,600   $ (184,701 ) $ 162,614   $ (135,328 )
                   

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.

3



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income (Unaudited)

(in thousands)

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,
  Six Months Ended
June 30,
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Net income(loss)

  $ 32,600   $ (184,701 ) $ 162,614   $ (135,328 )
 

Unrealized holding gains (losses) arising during the period on:

                         
   

Investments with no OTTI, net of deferred income tax provision (benefit) of $5,568, $8,205, $9,443 and $12,097

    10,503     15,241     17,541     22,466  
   

Investments with OTTI, net of deferred income tax provision (benefit) of $0, $(1,191), $0 and $(1,191)

        (2,212 )       (2,212 )
                   
 

Unrealized holding gains (losses) during the period, net of tax

    10,503     13,029     17,541     20,254  
 

Less: reclassification adjustment for gains (losses) included in net income (loss), net of deferred income tax provision (benefit) of $(137), $1,875, $857 and $1,958

    (256 )   3,481     1,591     3,636  
                   
 

Change in net unrealized gains on investments

    10,759     9,548     15,950     16,618  
 

Change in cumulative translation adjustment

    (1,430 )   6,174     (5,198 )   (2,159 )
                   
 

Other comprehensive income (loss)

    9,329     15,722     10,752     14,459  
                   

Comprehensive income (loss)

  $ 41,929   $ (168,979 ) $ 173,366   $ (120,869 )
                   

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.

4



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Consolidated Statement of Shareholder's Equity (Unaudited)

For the Six Months Ended June 30, 2010

(in thousands)

 
  Preferred
Stock
  Common
Stock
  Additional
Paid-in
Capital
  Retained
Earnings
  Accumulated
Other
Comprehensive
Income
  Total
Shareholder's
Equity
 

Balance, December 31, 2009

  $   $ 15,000   $ 1,037,059   $ 153,738   $ 20,420   $ 1,226,217  

Cumulative effect of accounting change—consolidation of variable interest entities effective January 1, 2010 (Note 7)

                (39,898 )       (39,898 )
                           

Balance, January 1, 2010

        15,000     1,037,059     113,840     20,420     1,186,319  

Net income

                162,614         162,614  

Dividends

                (30,001 )       (30,001 )

Change in cumulative translation adjustment, net of tax of $(2,799)

                    (5,198 )   (5,198 )

Unrealized gain on investments, net of tax of $8,586

                    15,950     15,950  
                           

Balance, June 30, 2010

  $   $ 15,000   $ 1,037,059   $ 246,453   $ 31,172   $ 1,329,684  
                           

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.

5



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited)

(in thousands)

 
  Six Months Ended June 30,  
 
  2010   2009  

Net cash flows provided by (used in) operating activities

  $ (82,363 ) $ 170,791  
           

Investing activities

             
 

Fixed maturity securities:

             
   

Purchases

    (507,535 )   (543,322 )
   

Sales

    146,946     387,149  
   

Maturities

    89,501      
 

Net sales (purchases) of short-term investments, net

    412,871     (9,122 )
 

Proceeds from financial guaranty variable interest entities' assets

    6,053      
           

Net cash flows provided by (used in) investing activities

    147,836     (165,295 )
           

Financing activities

             
 

Dividends paid

    (30,001 )   (10,709 )
 

Paydown of financial guaranty variable interest entities' liabilities

    (10,774 )    
           

Net cash flows provided by (used in) financing activities

    (40,775 )   (10,709 )

Effect of exchange rate changes

    (100 )   211  
           

Increase (decrease) in cash

    24,598     (5,002 )

Cash at beginning of period

    2,470     7,823  
           

Cash at end of period

  $ 27,068   $ 2,821  
           

Supplemental cash flow information

             

Cash paid during the period for:

             
 

Income taxes

  $   $ 6,992  
 

Claims, net of reinsurance recoverable

  $ 111,611   $ 109,344  

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.

6



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited)

June 30, 2010

1. Business and Organization

        Assured Guaranty Corp. ("AGC" and, together with its subsidiaries, the "Company") is a Maryland domiciled insurance company which commenced operations in January 1988. It is licensed to conduct financial guaranty insurance business in all fifty states of the United States ("U.S."), the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico. The Company's principal product is a guaranty of scheduled principal and interest payments when due on: debt securities issued by governmental entities such as U.S. state or municipal authorities; obligations issued for international infrastructure projects; and asset-backed securities ("ABS") issued by special purpose entities ("SPEs"). AGC's ultimate parent is Assured Guaranty Ltd. ("AGL" and, together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty"), a Bermuda-based insurance holding company that provides, through its operating subsidiaries, credit protection products to the public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets in the U.S. as well as internationally. AGC owns 100% of Assured Guaranty (UK) Ltd. ("AGUK"), a company incorporated in the United Kingdom ("U.K.") as a U.K. insurance company and which is also authorized to operate in various countries throughout the European Economic Area.

        On July 1, 2009 (the "Acquisition Date"), Assured Guaranty acquired Financial Security Assurance Holdings Ltd. (renamed Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. and, together with its subsidiaries acquired by Assured Guaranty, is referred to as "AGMH") and most of its subsidiaries, including Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. ("AGM"), from Dexia Holdings Inc. ("Dexia Holdings") (the "AGMH Acquisition"). AGM is a New York domiciled financial guaranty insurance company and the principal operating subsidiary of AGMH. AGMH's financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries participate in the same markets and issue financial guaranty contracts similar to those issued by AGC.

Segments

        The Company's business includes two principal segments: financial guaranty direct and financial guaranty reinsurance. The financial guaranty direct and reinsurance segments include financial guaranties of residential mortgage-backed securities ("RMBS") and commercial mortgage-backed securities ("CMBS"). The segments are reported net of business ceded to external reinsurers. The financial guaranty segments include contracts accounted for as both insurance and credit derivatives. These segments are further discussed in Note 17.

Importance of Financial Strength Ratings

        Debt obligations guaranteed by AGC and its subsidiary AGUK are generally awarded debt credit ratings that are the same rating as the financial strength rating of AGC or AGUK, as the case may be. Investors in products insured by AGC or AGUK frequently rely on rating agency ratings because they influence the trading value of securities and form the basis for many institutions' investment guidelines as well as individuals' bond purchase decisions. Therefore, AGC and AGUK manage their businesses with the goal of achieving high financial strength ratings, preferably the highest that an agency will assign. However, the models used by rating agencies differ, presenting conflicting goals that sometimes make it inefficient or impractical to reach the highest rating level. The models are not fully transparent, contain subjective data (such as assumptions about future market demand for AGC's and AGUK's products) and change frequently.

        Historically, insurance financial strength ratings are with respect to an insurer's ability to pay under its insurance policies and contracts in accordance with their terms. The opinion is not specific to any

7



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

1. Business and Organization (Continued)


particular policy or contract. Insurance financial strength ratings do not refer to an insurer's ability to meet non-insurance obligations and are not a recommendation to purchase any policy or contract issued by an insurer or to buy, hold, or sell any security insured by an insurer. More recently, ratings also reflect qualitative factors with respect to such things as the insurer's business strategy and franchise value, the anticipated future demand for its product, the composition of its portfolio, and its capital adequacy, profitability and financial flexibility.

        The rating agencies have developed and published rating guidelines for rating financial guaranty insurers. The rating criteria used by the rating agencies in establishing these ratings include consideration of the sufficiency of capital resources to meet projected growth (as well as access to such additional capital as may be necessary to continue to meet applicable capital adequacy standards), a company's overall financial strength, and demonstrated management expertise in financial guaranty and traditional reinsurance, credit analysis, systems development, marketing, capital markets and investment operations.

        Financial strength ratings reflect only the views of the respective rating agencies and are subject to continuous review and revision or withdrawal at any time. There can be no assurance that rating agencies will not take action on AGC's or AGUK's ratings, including downgrading such ratings. Each of AGC's and AGUK's business and its financial condition have been and will continue to be subject to risk of the global financial and economic conditions that could materially and negatively affect the demand for its products, the amount of losses incurred on transactions it guarantees, and its financial strength ratings.

2. Summary of Significant Accounting Policies

Basis of Presentation

        The unaudited interim consolidated financial statements have been prepared in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP") and, in the opinion of management, reflect all adjustments, which are of a normal recurring nature, necessary for a fair statement of the Company's financial condition, results of operations and cash flows for the periods presented. The year end balance sheet data was derived from audited financial statements, but does not include all disclosures required by GAAP. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities as of the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates. These unaudited interim consolidated financial statements cover the three-month period ended June 30, 2010 ("Second Quarter 2010"), the three-month period ended June 30, 2009 ("Second Quarter 2009), the six-month period ended June 30, 2010 ("Six Months 2010") and the six-month period ended June 30, 2009 ("Six Months 2009). Results of operations for the Second Quarter and Six Months ended June 30, 2010 and 2009 are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for a full year. In addition, 2010 financial statements include the effects of consolidating certain financial guaranty variable interest entities ("VIEs") (See Note 7).

        Intercompany accounts and transactions have been eliminated. Certain prior year balances have been reclassified to conform to the current year's presentation.

8



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

2. Summary of Significant Accounting Policies (Continued)

        These unaudited interim consolidated financial statements should be read in conjunction with the Company's consolidated financial statements included as Exhibit 99.1 in AGL's Form 8-K dated August 6, 2010, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC").

        AGC and AGUK are subject to U.S. and U.K. income tax, respectively. The provision for income taxes for interim financial periods is not based on an estimated annual effective rate due to the variability in changes in fair value of its credit derivatives, which prevents the Company from projecting a reliable estimated annual effective tax rate and pre-tax income for the full year of 2010. A discrete calculation of the provision is calculated for each interim period.

        The global financial markets experienced volatility and disruption over the past several years, including depressed home prices and increased foreclosures, falling equity market values, rising unemployment, declining business and consumer confidence and the risk of increased inflation, which have precipitated an economic slowdown. While there have been signs of a recovery as seen by stabilizing unemployment and home prices as well as rising equity markets, there can be no assurance that volatility and disruption will not return to these markets in the near term. These conditions may adversely affect the Company's future profitability, financial position, investment portfolio, cash flow, statutory capital, financial strength ratings and stock price. Additionally, future legislative, regulatory or judicial changes in the jurisdictions regulating the Company may adversely affect its ability to pursue its current mix of business, materially impacting its financial results.

3. Outstanding Exposure

        The Company's insurance policies and credit derivative contracts (which, although written in different forms, collectively are considered financial guaranty contracts), typically guarantee the scheduled payments of principal and interest on public finance and structured finance obligations. The gross amount of in force exposure (principal and interest) was $250.4 billion at June 30, 2010 and $259.9 billion at December 31, 2009. The net amount of in force exposure (principal and interest), which deducts amounts ceded to third party reinsurers, was $179.9 billion at June 30, 2010 and $186.6 billion at December 31, 2009.

        The Company seeks to limit its exposure to losses by underwriting obligations that are investment grade ("IG") at inception, diversifying its portfolio and maintaining rigorous subordination or collateralization requirements on structured finance obligations, as well as through reinsurance.

9



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

3. Outstanding Exposure (Continued)

        The par outstanding of insured obligations in the public finance insured portfolio includes the following amounts by type of issue:

Summary of Public Finance Insured Portfolio

 
  Gross Par Outstanding   Ceded Par Outstanding   Net Par Outstanding  
Types of Issues
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 
 
  (in millions)
 

U.S.:

                                     
 

General obligation

  $ 36,479   $ 35,616   $ 10,545   $ 10,316   $ 25,934   $ 25,300  
 

Tax backed

    16,055     16,409     4,067     4,114     11,988     12,295  
 

Municipal utilities

    12,553     12,825     3,260     3,288     9,293     9,537  
 

Transportation

    9,020     8,928     2,082     2,030     6,938     6,898  
 

Healthcare

    8,013     8,366     2,703     2,873     5,310     5,493  
 

Higher education

    4,547     4,846     1,262     1,346     3,285     3,500  
 

Infrastructure finance

    1,430     1,735     474     554     956     1,181  
 

Investor-owned utilities

    737     749     79     61     658     688  
 

Housing

    432     468     99     102     333     366  
 

Other public finance—U.S. 

    2,446     2,583     681     718     1,765     1,865  
                           
   

Total public finance—U.S. 

    91,712     92,525     25,252     25,402     66,460     67,123  

Non-U.S.:

                                     
 

Pooled infrastructure

    4,267     4,684     1,989     2,169     2,278     2,515  
 

Infrastructure finance

    1,715     1,926     490     545     1,225     1,381  
 

Regulated utilities

    2,344     2,533     1,292     1,375     1,052     1,158  
 

Other public finance—non-U.S. 

    451     636     40     115     411     521  
                           
   

Total public finance—non-U.S. 

    8,777     9,779     3,811     4,204     4,966     5,575  
                           
 

Total public finance obligations

  $ 100,489   $ 102,304   $ 29,063   $ 29,606   $ 71,426   $ 72,698  
                           

10



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

3. Outstanding Exposure (Continued)

        The par outstanding of insured obligations in the structured finance insured portfolio includes the following amounts by type of collateral:

Summary of Structured Finance Insured Portfolio

 
  Gross Par Outstanding   Ceded Par Outstanding   Net Par Outstanding  
Types of Collateral
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 
 
  (in millions)
 

U.S.:

                                     
 

Pooled corporate obligations

  $ 29,048   $ 30,699   $ 7,248   $ 7,819   $ 21,800   $ 22,880  
 

RMBS and home equity

    13,533     14,683     3,197     3,471     10,336     11,212  
 

CMBS

    6,987     7,100     1,325     1,333     5,662     5,767  
 

Consumer receivables

    2,944     3,662     493     674     2,451     2,988  
 

Structured credit

    2,048     2,173     802     793     1,246     1,380  
 

Commercial receivables

    1,407     1,359     341     339     1,066     1,020  
 

Insurance securitizations

    1,100     1,100     845     845     255     255  
 

Other structured finance—U.S. 

    143     669     24     125     119     544  
                           
   

Total structured finance—U.S. 

    57,210     61,445     14,275     15,399     42,935     46,046  

Non-U.S.:

                                     
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    8,715     9,887     2,312     2,646     6,403     7,241  
 

RMBS and home equity

    3,097     3,558     1,012     1,120     2,085     2,438  
 

Commercial receivables

    918     1,089     301     355     617     734  
 

Structured credit

    787     870     289     345     498     525  
 

CMBS

    417     469     98     110     319     359  
 

Insurance securitizations

    923     923     644     645     279     278  
 

Other structured finance—non-U.S. 

    3     220         71     3     149  
                           
   

Total structured finance—non-U.S. 

    14,860     17,016     4,656     5,292     10,204     11,724  
                           
 

Total structured finance obligations

  $ 72,070   $ 78,461   $ 18,931   $ 20,691   $ 53,139   $ 57,770  
                           

11



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

3. Outstanding Exposure (Continued)

        The following table sets forth the net financial guaranty par outstanding by rating:

 
  June 30, 2010   December 31, 2009  
Ratings(1)
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Net Par
Outstanding
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Net Par
Outstanding
 
 
  (dollars in millions)
 

Super senior

  $ 11,307     9.1 % $ 15,902     12.2 %

AAA

    22,257     17.9     20,026     15.3  

AA

    16,179     13.0     17,918     13.7  

A

    47,261     37.9     48,129     36.9  

BBB

    19,080     15.3     20,266     15.5  

Below investment grade ("BIG") (See Note 4)

    8,481     6.8     8,227     6.4  
                   
 

Total exposures

  $ 124,565     100.0 % $ 130,468     100.0 %
                   

(1)
Represents the Company's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where the Company's triple-A-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated triple-A that is subordinated to the Company's exposure or (2) the Company's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes the Company's attachment point to be materially above the triple-A attachment point.

        As part of its financial guaranty business, the Company enters into credit derivative transactions. In such transactions, the buyer of protection pays the seller of protection a periodic fee in fixed basis points on a notional amount. In return, the seller makes a contingent payment to the buyer if one or more defined credit events occurs with respect to one or more third party referenced securities or loans. A credit event may be a nonpayment event such as a failure to pay, bankruptcy or restructuring, as negotiated by the parties to the credit derivative transaction. The total notional amount of insured credit derivative exposure outstanding which is accounted for at fair value as of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009 and included in the Company's financial guaranty exposure in the tables above was $44.8 billion and $48.2 billion, respectively. See Note 6.

        In addition to amounts shown in the tables above, the Company had outstanding commitments to provide guarantees of $5.7 billion for structured finance and $0.1 million for public finance transactions at June 30, 2010. The structured finance commitments include the unfunded component of and delayed draws on pooled corporate transactions. Public finance commitments are typically short term and relate to primary and secondary public finance debt issuances. The commitments are contingent on the satisfaction of all conditions set forth in them and may expire unused or be cancelled at the counterparty's request. Therefore, the total commitment amount does not necessarily reflect actual future guaranteed amounts.

12



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

4. Significant Risk Management Activities

        Surveillance personnel are responsible for monitoring and reporting on all transactions in the insured portfolio, including exposures in both financial guaranty insurance and credit derivative form. The primary objective of the surveillance process is to monitor trends and changes in transaction credit quality, detect any deterioration in credit quality, and recommend to management such remedial actions as may be necessary or appropriate. All transactions in the insured portfolio are assigned internal credit ratings, and Surveillance personnel are responsible for recommending adjustments to those ratings to reflect changes in transaction credit quality.

        Work-out personnel are responsible for managing work-out and loss situations. They develop strategies designed to enhance the ability of the Company to enforce its contractual rights and remedies and to mitigate its losses, engage in negotiation discussions with transaction participants and, when necessary, manage the Company's litigation proceedings.

        In Second Quarter 2010, AGC filed lawsuits against a sponsor of a U.S. RMBS transaction it had insured, alleging breaches of representations and warranties both in respect of the underlying loans in the transaction and the accuracy of the information provided to AGC, and failure to cure or repurchase defective loans identified by AGC to such sponsors.

        The Company segregates its insured portfolio into IG and BIG surveillance categories to facilitate the appropriate allocation of resources to monitoring and loss mitigation efforts and to aid in establishing the appropriate cycle for periodic review for each exposure. BIG credits include all credits internally rated lower than BBB-. The Company's internal credit ratings are based on the Company's internal assessment of the likelihood of default. The Company's internal credit ratings are expressed on a ratings scale similar to that used by the rating agencies and are generally reflective of an approach similar to that employed by the rating agencies, but may not necessarily be the same as ratings assigned by any rating agency.

        The Company monitors its IG credits to determine whether any new credits need to be internally downgraded to BIG. Quarterly procedures include qualitative and quantitative analysis of the Company's insured portfolio to identify potential new BIG credits. The Company refreshes its internal credit ratings on individual credits in cycles based on the Company's view of the credit's quality, loss potential, volatility and sector. Ratings on credits in sectors identified as under the most stress or with the most potential volatility are reviewed every quarter. Credits identified through this process as BIG are subjected to further review by Surveillance personnel to determine the various probabilities of a loss. Surveillance personnel present analysis related to potential loss scenarios to the reserve committee.

Below Investment Grade Surveillance Categories

        Within the BIG category, the Company assigns each credit to one of three surveillance categories. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed for all BIG categories, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly:

    BIG Category 1: Below investment grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make material losses possible, but for which no losses have been incurred. Non-investment grade transactions on which liquidity claims have been paid are in this category.

13



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

4. Significant Risk Management Activities (Continued)

    BIG Category 2: Below investment grade transactions for which expected losses have been established but for which no unreimbursed claims have yet been paid.

    BIG Category 3: Below investment grade transactions for which expected losses have been established and on which unreimbursed claims have been paid. Transactions remain in this category when claims have been paid and only a recoverable remains.

Financial Guaranty Exposures
(Insurance and Credit Derivative Form)

 
  June 30, 2010  
 
  BIG Net Par Outstanding    
 
 
  Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 
  BIG 1   BIG 2   BIG 3   Total BIG  
 
  (in millions)
 

First Lien U.S. RMBS:

                               
 

Prime First Lien

  $ 18   $ 517   $   $ 535   $ 599  
 

Alt-A First Lien

    360     2,191     94     2,645     3,773  
 

Alt-A Options ARM

        841         841     1,041  
 

Subprime

    12     583     35     630     4,104  

Second Lien U.S. RMBS:

                               
 

Closed end second lien ("CES")

    95     38     76     209     242  
 

Home equity lines of credit ("HELOC")

    4         544     548     577  
                       
   

Total U.S. RMBS

    489     4,170     749     5,408     10,336  

Other structured finance

    789     444     1,013     2,246     42,803  

Public finance

    508     88     231     827     71,426  
                       
   

Total

  $ 1,786   $ 4,702   $ 1,993   $ 8,481   $ 124,565  
                       

14



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

4. Significant Risk Management Activities (Continued)

 

 
  December 31, 2009  
 
  BIG Net Par Outstanding    
 
 
  Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 
  BIG 1   BIG 2   BIG 3   Total BIG  
 
  (in millions)
 

First Lien U.S. RMBS:

                               
 

Prime First Lien

  $ 467   $ 25   $   $ 492   $ 643  
 

Alt-A First Lien

    447     1,894     96     2,437     4,162  
 

Alt-A Options ARM

    142     788         930     1,142  
 

Subprime

    43     597         640     4,334  

Second Lien U.S. RMBS:

                               
 

CES

    102     39     95     236     273  
 

HELOC

            621     621     658  
                       
   

Total U.S. RMBS

    1,201     3,343     812     5,356     11,212  

Other structured finance

    342     836     974     2,152     46,558  

Public finance

    345     67     307     719     72,698  
                       
   

Total

  $ 1,888   $ 4,246   $ 2,093   $ 8,227   $ 130,468  
                       

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance

        The following tables provide information for contracts accounted for as financial guaranty insurance contracts:

Expected Collections of Gross Premiums Receivable,
Net of Ceding Commissions Payable

 
  June 30, 2010(1)  
 
  (in thousands)
 

2010 (July 1 - September 30)

  $ 19,228  

2010 (October 1 - December 31)

    12,284  

2011

    42,347  

2012

    35,731  

2013

    31,676  

2014

    25,161  

2015 - 2019

    101,659  

2020 - 2024

    67,214  

2025 - 2029

    42,630  

After 2029

    46,500  
       
 

Total expected collections

  $ 424,430  
       

(1)
Represents nominal amounts expected to be collected.

15



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)

        The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending balances of gross premium receivable net of ceding commission payable:

Gross Premium Receivable, Net of Ceding Commissions Payable Roll Forward

 
  (in thousands)  

Premium receivable, net at December 31, 2009

  $ 351,468  
 

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle

    (9,245 )
       
 

Premium receivable, net at January 1, 2010

    342,223  
 

Premium written, net

    43,973  
 

Premium payments received, net

    (58,461 )
 

Adjustments to the premium receivable:

       
   

Changes in the expected term of financial guaranty insurance contracts

    7,856  
   

Accretion of the premium receivable discount

    5,420  
   

Foreign exchange rate changes

    (7,310 )
   

Other adjustments

    (843 )
       

Premium receivable, net at June 30, 2010

  $ 332,858  
       

        The $7.3 million loss due to foreign exchange rate changes relates to installment premium receivable denominated in currencies other than the U.S. dollar. Approximately 7% of the Company's installment premiums at June 30, 2010 are denominated in currencies other than the U.S. dollar, primarily in Australian Dollars, British Pound Sterling ("GBP") and Euros. Premium receivable is revalued to the spot rate at the end of each reporting period with the change reflected in either (1) other income in the consolidated statements of operations for premium receivable recorded by subsidiaries using the U.S. dollar as its functional currency or (2) other comprehensive income ("OCI") as a cumulative translation adjustment for premium receivables recorded by subsidiaries using a functional currency other than the U.S. dollar

Selected Information for Policies Paid in Installments

 
  June 30, 2010  
 
  (dollars in thousands)
 

Premiums receivable, net of ceding commission payable

  $ 332,858  

Deferred premium revenue

    340,303  

Weighted-average risk-free rate to discount premiums

    3.1 %

Weighted-average period of premiums receivable (in years)

    8.7  

        The following table presents the components of net premiums earned.

16



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)

Net Earned Premiums(1)

 
  Second Quarter   Six Months  
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Scheduled net earned premiums

  $ 21,997   $ 23,531   $ 47,654   $ 47,176  

Acceleration of premium earnings(2)

    1,356     1,583     3,488     44,160  

Accretion of discount on premium receivable

    1,736     1,493     3,389     2,938  
                   
 

Total net earned premium

  $ 25,089   $ 26,607   $ 54,531   $ 94,274  
                   

(1)
Excludes $0.1 million and $0 million in net earned premium related to the Other segment for the Second Quarter 2010 and 2009, respectively, and $0.1 million and $0 million for the Six Months 2010 and 2009, respectively.

(2)
Reflects the unscheduled pre-payment or refundings of underlying insured obligations.

        The following table provides a schedule of how the Company's financial guaranty net deferred premium revenue and PV of expected losses are expected to run off in the consolidated statement of operations:

Expected Financial Guaranty Scheduled Net Earned Premiums and
Net Loss to be Expensed

 
  As of June 30, 2010  
 
  Scheduled Net
Earned Premium
  Expected Loss
and LAE(1)
  Net  
 
  (in thousands)
 

2010 (July 1 - September 30)

  $ 19,476   $ 454   $ 19,022  

2010 (October 1 - December 31)

    19,285     439     18,846  

2011

    79,629     1,584     78,045  

2012

    71,634     1,337     70,297  

2013

    66,695     1,130     65,565  

2014

    61,083     994     60,089  

2015 - 2019

    253,048     4,318     248,730  

2020 - 2024

    180,581     2,425     178,156  

2025 - 2029

    120,927     1,790     119,137  

After 2029

    127,948     2,415     125,533  
               
 

Total present value basis(2)(3)

    1,000,306     16,886     983,420  

Discount

    65,269     77,178     (11,909 )
               
 

Total future value

  $ 1,065,575   $ 94,064   $ 971,511  
               

(1)
These amounts reflect the Company's estimate as of June 30, 2010 of expected losses to be expensed and are not included in loss and loss adjustment expense ("LAE") reserve because these losses are less than deferred premium revenue determined on a contract-by-contract basis.

(2)
Balances represent discounted amounts.

(3)
The effect of consolidating VIEs resulted in a reduction of $174.7 million in scheduled net earned premium and $90.6 million to expected loss and LAE.

17



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)

        The following table presents a roll forward of the net expected loss and LAE net of salvage and subrogation recoverable since December 31, 2009 by sector.

Financial Guaranty Insurance
Present Value of Net Expected Loss and Loss Adjustment Payments
Roll Forward By Sector(1)

 
  Expected
Loss to be
Paid as of
January 1,
2010
  Loss
Development
and Accretion
of Discount
  Less:
Paid
Losses
  Expected
Loss to be
Paid as of
June 30,
2010
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

U.S. RMBS:

                         
 

First Lien:

                         
   

Prime First lien

  $   $ 208   $ 6   $ 202  
   

Alt-A First lien

    20,614     5,117     (859 )   26,590  
   

Alt-A Options ARM

    17,399     18,287     164     35,522  
   

Subprime

    16,914     7,576     533     23,957  
                   
     

Total First Lien

    54,927     31,188     (156 )   86,271  
 

Second Lien:

                         
   

CES

    17,390     (3,042 )   17,988     (3,640 )
   

HELOC

    (107,493 )   14,232     39,475     (132,736 )
                   
     

Total Second Lien

    (90,103 )   11,190     57,463     (136,376 )
                   

Total U.S. RMBS

    (35,176 )   42,378     57,307     (50,105 )

Other structured finance

    19,676     5,008     377     24,307  

Public finance

    55,798     (6,854 )   25,658     23,286  
                   
     

Subtotal(1)

    40,298     40,532     83,342     (2,512 )

Effect of consolidating VIEs

    91     (111 )   (4,183 )   4,163  
                   
     

Total

  $ 40,389   $ 40,421   $ 79,159   $ 1,651  
                   

(1)
Excludes $1.1 million and $2.2 million of expected losses related to the Other segment recorded in loss reserves on the consolidated balance sheet as of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, respectively.

        The amount of "expected loss to be paid" differs from "expected PV net loss to be expensed" due primarily to amounts of expected loss included in unearned premium. Gross and ceded unearned premium reserve represents the stand ready obligation under GAAP. Loss reserves are recorded at the time, and for the amount of, expected losses in excess of unearned premium reserve on a contract by contract basis. Loss expense is recognized in the consolidated statements of operations only when present value of future expected losses exceeds unearned premium reserve.

        The Company's estimate of ultimate losses on a policy is subject to significant uncertainty over the life of the insured transaction due to the potential for significant variability in credit performance due to changing economic, fiscal and financial market variability over the long duration of most contracts.

18



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)


The determination of expected loss is an inherently subjective process involving numerous estimates, assumptions and judgments by management. The Company's estimates of expected losses on RMBS transactions takes into account expected recoveries from sellers and originators of the underlying residential mortgages due to breaches in the originator's representations and warranties regarding the loans transferred to the RMBS transaction.

        The following table provides information on financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance contracts categorized as BIG as of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009:

Financial Guaranty Insurance BIG Transaction Loss Summary
June 30, 2010

 
  BIG Categories  
 
  BIG 1   BIG 2   BIG 3   Total
BIG
  Effect of
Consolidating
VIEs(2)
  Total  
 
  (dollars in millions)
 

Number of risks

    21     96     31     148         148  

Remaining weighted-average contract period (in years)

    13.5     6.7     15.7     12.5         12.5  

Gross insured contractual payments outstanding:

                                     
 

Principal

  $ 1,055   $ 1,412   $ 2,220   $ 4,687   $   $ 4,687  
 

Interest

    543     382     596     1,521         1,521  
                           
   

Total

  $ 1,598   $ 1,794   $ 2,816   $ 6,208   $   $ 6,208  
                           

Gross expected cash outflows for loss and LAE

  $ 57.9   $ 236.4   $ 813.4   $ 1,107.7   $ (57.8 ) $ 1,049.9  

Less:

                                     
 

Gross potential recoveries(1)

    67.4     60.6     799.9     927.9     (67.4 )   860.5  
 

Discount

    (5.6 )   70.9     114.1     179.4     5.4     184.8  
                           

Present value of expected cash flows for loss and LAE

  $ (3.9 ) $ 104.9   $ (100.6 ) $ 0.4   $ 4.2   $ 4.6  
                           

Deferred premium revenue

  $ 10.0   $ 13.1   $ 24.8   $ 47.9   $ (1.9 ) $ 46.0  

Gross reserves (salvage) for loss and LAE reported in the balance sheet

  $ (4.1 ) $ 93.4   $ (112.3 ) $ (23.0 ) $ 4.2   $ (18.8 )

Reinsurance recoverable (payable)

  $ (1.0 ) $ 13.6   $ (16.6 ) $ (4.0 ) $   $ (4.0 )

(1)
Includes estimated future recoveries for breaches of representations and warranties as well as excess spread and draws on HELOCs.

(2)
The Company does not eliminate principal and interest outstanding from its disclosures in order to reflect the full net par outstanding for all financial guaranty insurance contracts, regardless of the accounting model applied.

19



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)

Financial Guaranty BIG Transaction Loss Summary
December 31, 2009

 
  BIG Categories  
 
  BIG 1   BIG 2   BIG 3   Total  
 
  (dollars in millions)
 

Number of risks

    31     88     10     129  

Remaining weighted-average contract period (in years)

    11.1     4.5     12.9     9.5  

Insured contractual payments outstanding:

                         
 

Principal

  $ 639   $ 1,070   $ 1,328   $ 3,037  
 

Interest

    259     188     389     836  
                   
   

Total

  $ 898   $ 1,258   $ 1,717   $ 3,873  
                   

Gross expected cash outflows for loss and LAE

  $   $ 177.3   $ 700.3   $ 877.6  

Less:

                         
 

Gross potential recoveries(1)

    0.1     33.5     592.9     626.5  
 

Discount, net

        68.3     136.2     204.5  
                   

Present value of expected cash flows for loss and LAE

  $ (0.1 ) $ 75.5   $ (28.8 ) $ 46.6  
                   

Deferred premium revenue

  $ 2.6   $ 5.1   $ 26.7   $ 34.4  

Gross reserves (salvage) for loss and LAE reported in the balance sheet

  $ (0.3 ) $ 69.7   $ (50.3 ) $ 19.1  

Reinsurance recoverable (payable)

  $   $ 10.7   $ (17.6 ) $ (6.9 )

(1)
Includes estimated future recoveries for breaches of representations and warranties as well as excess spread and draws on HELOCs.

        The Company used weighted-average risk free rates ranging from 0% to 4.81% and 0.07% to 5.21% to discount expected losses as of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, respectively.

20



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)

        The following table provides information on loss and LAE reserves net of reinsurance on the consolidated balance sheets.

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves, Net of Reinsurance

 
  As of
June 30, 2010
  As of
December 31, 2009
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

First Lien:

             
 

Prime First lien

  $ 122   $  
 

Alt-A First lien

    25,131     19,781  
 

Alt-A Options ARM

    34,262     16,560  
 

Subprime

    22,215     16,162  
           
   

Total First Lien

    81,730     52,503  

Second Lien:

             
 

CES

    3,703     16,706  
 

HELOC

    3,900     5,415  
           
   

Total Second Lien

    7,603     22,121  
           
   

Total U.S. RMBS

    89,333     74,624  

Other structured finance

    21,009     15,745  

Public Finance

    28,956     50,136  
           

Total financial guaranty

    139,298     140,505  

Other

         
           
     

Subtotal

    139,298     140,505  

Effects of consolidating VIEs

         
           
       

Total

  $ 139,298   $ 140,505  
           

21



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)

        The following table provides information on financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance contracts recorded as an asset on the consolidated balance sheets.

Summary of Recoverables Recorded as Salvage and Subrogation

 
  As of
June 30, 2010
  As of
December 31, 2009
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

U.S. RMBS:

             
 

Second Lien:

             
   

CES

  $ 13,961   $ 91  
   

HELOC

    193,964     168,359  
           
     

Total Second Lien

    207,925     168,450  
           

Total U.S. RMBS

    207,925     168,450  

Other structured finance

    824     993  

Public Finance

    9,337     474  
           
     

Total

    218,086     169,917  

Less: Ceded recoverable(1)

    59,771     55,384  
           
     

Net recoverable

    158,315     114,533  

Effect of consolidating VIEs

    (4,163 )    
           
     

Total net recoverable

  $ 154,152   $ 114,533  
           

(1)
Recorded in "reinsurance balances payable, net" on the consolidated balance sheets.

22



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses (Recoveries)
By Type

 
  Second Quarter   Six Months  
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Financial Guaranty:

                         

U.S. RMBS:

                         
 

First Lien:

                         
   

Prime First lien

  $ (15 ) $   $ 16   $  
   

Alt-A First lien

    3,795     1,689     4,588     3,175  
   

Alt-A Options ARM

    7,652     6,856     17,838     7,532  
   

Subprime

    (515 )   3,862     6,542     4,659  
                   
     

Total First Lien

    10,917     12,407     28,984     15,366  
 

Second Lien:

                         
   

CES

    (10,207 )   20,423     (6,411 )   27,865  
   

HELOC

    8,483     7,391     14,245     9,931  
                   
     

Total Second Lien

    (1,724 )   27,814     7,834     37,796  
                   

Total U.S. RMBS

    9,193     40,221     36,818     53,162  

Other structured finance

    4,775     (3,215 )   5,847     (3,247 )

Public Finance

    (10,227 )   9,421     (4,400 )   17,894  
                   
 

Subtotal

    3,741     46,427     38,265     67,809  

Effect of consolidating VIEs

    (20 )       (20 )    
                   
 

Total loss and LAE

  $ 3,721   $ 46,427   $ 38,245   $ 67,809  
                   

23



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)

Net Losses Paid on Financial Guaranty Insurance and Reinsurance Contracts

 
  Second Quarter   Six Months  
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  
 
  (in thousands)
 

U.S. RMBS:

                         
 

First Lien:

                         
   

Prime First lien

  $ 6   $   $ 6   $  
   

Alt-A First lien

            (859 )    
   

Alt-A Options ARM

    164         164      
   

Subprime

    317     258     533     542  
                   
     

Total First Lien

    487     258     (156 )   542  
 

Second Lien:

                         
   

CES

    9,418     20,358     17,988     29,080  
   

HELOC

    18,572     38,421     39,475     66,525  
                   
     

Total Second Lien

    27,990     58,779     57,463     95,605  
                   

Total U.S. RMBS

    28,477     59,037     57,307     96,147  

Other structured finance

    128     364     377     (206 )

Public Finance

    6,477     6,396     25,658     13,403  
                   
 

Subtotal

    35,082     65,797     83,342     109,344  

Effect of consolidating VIEs

    (4,183 )       (4,183 )    
                   
 

Total

  $ 30,899   $ 65,797   $ 79,159   $ 109,344  
                   

Loss Reserving

        In accordance with the Company's standard practices, the Company evaluated the most current available information as part of its loss estimation process, including trends in delinquencies and charge-offs on the underlying loans and its experience in requiring providers of representations and warranties to purchase ineligible loans out of these transactions. Most of the Company's expected loss and LAE reserves and paid losses relate to U.S. RMBS. As has been widely reported in the press, unprecedented levels of delinquencies and defaults have negatively impacted the mortgage market, especially U.S. RMBS issued in the period from 2005 through 2007. Based on information observed during the quarter (particularly early stage delinquencies), the Company determined that it may be witnessing the beginning of an improvement in the housing and mortgage markets. The Company also formed a view that any improvement in the second lien loan markets may be more gradual than it had assumed in its prior projection scenarios for second liens. As a result, the Company adjusted from prior quarters the assumptions and probability weightings of its loss projection scenarios to reflect those views. These changes were made with respect to how scenarios were run in the first quarter of 2010. The scenarios used in the first quarter of 2010, with the exception of an adjustment to the subprime severity, were the same as those employed at year-end 2009.

24



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)

U.S. Second Lien RMBS: HELOCs and CES

        The Company insures two types of second lien RMBS: those secured by HELOCs and those secured by CES mortgages. HELOCs are revolving lines of credit generally secured by a second lien on a one to four family home. A mortgage for a fixed amount secured by a second lien on a one to four family home is generally referred to as a CES. The Company has material exposure to second lien mortgage loans originated and serviced by a number of parties, but the Company's most significant second lien exposure is to HELOCs originated and serviced by Countrywide, a subsidiary of Bank of America.

        The performance of the Company's HELOC and CES exposures began to deteriorate in 2007, and such transactions, particularly those originated in the period from 2005 through 2007, continue to perform below the Company's original underwriting expectations. While insured securities benefitted from structural protections within the transactions designed to absorb collateral losses in excess of previous historical high levels, in many second lien RMBS projected losses now exceed those structural protections.

        The Company believes the primary variables impacting its expected losses in second lien RMBS transactions are the amount and timing of future losses in the collateral pool supporting the transactions and the amount of loans repurchased for breaches of representations and warranties. Expected losses are also a function of the structure of the transaction, the voluntary prepayment rate, typically also referred as conditional prepayment rate ("CPR"), of the collateral; the interest rate environment; and assumptions about the draw rate and loss severity. These variables are interrelated, difficult to predict and subject to considerable volatility. If actual experience differs from the Company's assumptions, the losses incurred could be materially different from the estimate. The Company continues to update its evaluation of these exposures as new information becomes available.

        The following table shows the Company's key assumptions used in its calculation of estimated expected losses for these types of policies as of June 30, 2010, March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009:

Key Assumptions in Base Case Expected Loss Estimates
Second Lien RMBS(1)

HELOC Key Variables
  June 30,
2010
  March 31,
2010
  December 31,
2009

Plateau conditional default rate ("CDR")

  11.2% - 20.1%   14.0 - 23.8%   14.8 - 32.3%

Final CDR trended down to

  0.5% - 3.2%   0.5 - 2.2%   0.5 - 2.2%

Expected Period until Final CDR

  24 months   21 months   21 months

Initial CPR

  1.0% - 20.1%   0.4 - 3.7%   4.8 - 14.9%

Final CPR

  10%   10.0%   10.0%

Loss Severity

  95%   95%   95%

Future Repurchase of Ineligible Loans

  $184.2 million   $189.2 million   $193.4 million

Initial Draw Rate

  0.2% - 6.9%   0.4 - 0.5%   0.4 - 0.7%

25



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)

 

CES Key Variables
  June 30,
2010
  March 31,
2010
  December 31,
2009

Plateau CDR

  8.0% - 28.0%   31.5 - 36.4%   34.0 - 44.2%

Final CDR Rate trended down to

  2.9% - 8.1%   2.9 - 8.1%   3.5 - 8.1%

Expected Period until Final CDR achieved

  24 months   21 months   21 months

Initial CPR

  0.8% - 10.1%   1.6 - 8.4%   0.8 - 2.4%

Final CPR

  10%   10.0%   10.0%

Loss Severity

  95%   95%   95%

Future Repurchase of Ineligible Loans

  $61.7 million   $63.1 million   $64.2 million

(1)
Represents assumptions for most heavily weighted scenario (the "base case").

        For second lien transactions, the Company calculates expected losses in the following fashion: A loan is generally "charged off" by the securitization's servicer once the loan is 180 days past due and therefore the Company's projections assume that a loss is charged off once it is 180 days past due. Most second lien transactions report the amount of loans in five monthly delinquency categories (i.e., 30-59 days past due, 60-89 days past due, 90-119 days past due, 120-149 days past due and 150-179 days past due). The Company estimates the amount of loans that will default over the next five months by calculating current representative liquidation rates (the percent of loans in a given delinquency status that are assumed to ultimately default) from selected transactions and then applying those liquidation rates to the amount of loans in the delinquency categories. The amount of loans projected to default in the third, fourth and fifth month are then expressed as CDR, and the average of those CDRs is then used as the basis for calculating defaults after the fifth month. In the base scenario, this CDR (the "plateau CDR") is held constant for one month. During First Quarter 2010, the base scenario's plateau was 4 months; the change for Second Quarter 2010 reflects an improvement in the mortgage and real estate markets. Once the plateau period has ended, the CDR is assumed to gradually trend down in uniform increments to its final long-term steady state CDR. In the base scenario, the time over which the CDR trends down to its final CDR is eighteen months. During First Quarter 2010, the base scenario's ramp was 12 months, the change this quarter was implemented to reflect that the recovery may take longer than the Company had previously anticipated. Therefore, in the base case scenario, the total time from the current period to the end of the ramp (when the long-term steady CDR is reached) is 24 months. The long-term steady state CDRs are calculated as the constant conditional default rates that would have yielded the amount of losses originally expected at underwriting.

        Breaches of Representations and Warranties—Second Lien U.S. RMBS:    As mentioned above, performance of the collateral underlying certain securitizations has substantially differed from the Company's original expectations. The Company has employed several loan file diligence firms and law firms as well as devoting internal resources to review the mortgage files surrounding many of the defaulted loans. As of June 30, 2010, the Company had performed a detailed review of approximately 7,800 files, representing nearly $600 million in outstanding par of defaulted second lien loans underlying insured transactions, and identified a material number of defaulted loans that breach representations and warranties regarding the characteristics of the loans such as misrepresentation of income or occupation, undisclosed debt and non-compliance with underwriting guidelines at loan origination. The Company continues to review new files as new loans default and as new loan files are made available to it. As of June 30, 2010, following negotiation with the sellers and originators of the

26



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)


breaching loans, the Company had reached agreement to have $75 million of the second lien loans repurchased and has included in its net expected loss estimates for second liens as of June 30, 2010 an estimated benefit from repurchases of $246.0 million of second lien loans, of which $184.2 million relates to HELOCs and the remainder to CES. The amount the Company ultimately recovers related to contractual representations and warranties is uncertain and subject to a number of factors including the counterparty's ability to pay, the number and amount of loans determined to have breached representations and warranties and, potentially, negotiated settlements or litigation. As such, the Company's estimate of recoveries is uncertain and actual amounts realized may differ significantly from these estimates. In arriving at the expected recovery from breaches of representations and warranties the Company considered: the credit worthiness of the provider of representations and warranties, the number of breaches found on defaulted loans, the success rate resolving these breaches with the provider of the representations and warranties and the potential amount of time until the recovery is realized. This calculation involved a variety of scenarios which ranged from the Company recovering substantially all of the losses it incurred due to violations of representations and warranties, to the Company realizing very limited recoveries. These scenarios were probability weighted in order to determine the recovery incorporated into the Company's reserve estimate. This approach was used for both loans that had already defaulted and those assumed to default in the future. Recoveries were limited to amounts paid or expected to be paid out by the Company.

        The rate at which the principal amount of loan is prepaid may impact both the amount of losses projected (which is a function of the CDR and the loan balance over time) as well as the amount of excess spread (which is the excess of the interest paid by the borrowers on the underlying loan over the amount of interest and expenses owed on the insured obligations). In the base case, the current CPR is assumed to continue until the end of the plateau before gradually ramping to the final CPR over the same period the CDR decreases. The final CPR is assumed to be 10% for both HELOC and CES transactions. This level is generally higher than current rates, but lower than the historical average, which reflects the Company's continued uncertainty about performance of the borrowers in these transactions. This pattern is consistent with how the Company modeled the CPR in both the First Quarter 2010 and the three months ended December 31, 2009.

        The Company uses a number of other variables in its second lien loss projections, including the spread between relevant interest rate indices, loss severities (assumed to be 95%) and HELOC draw rates (the amount of new advances provided on existing HELOCs expressed as a percent of current outstanding advances). For HELOC transactions, the draw rate is assumed to decline from the current level to the final draw rate over a period of three months. The final draw rates were assumed to range from 0.1% to 1.0%.

        In estimating expected losses, the Company modeled and probability weighted three possible CDR curves applicable to the period preceding the return to the long-term steady state CDR. Given that draw rates have been reduced to levels below the historical average and that loss severities in these products have been higher than anticipated at inception, the Company believes that the level of the elevated CDR and the length of time it will persist is the primary driver behind the likely amount of losses the collateral will suffer (before considering the effects of repurchases of ineligible loans). The Company continues to evaluate the assumptions affecting its modeling results.

27



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)

        In prior quarters the Company's base case assumed a 4 month CDR plateau and a 12 month CDR ramp down, reflecting the Company's belief that the primary variable relating to the Company's reserve assumption was when an improvement in the mortgage markets would begin. In prior quarters it also modeled a 1 month CDR plateau and a 7 month CDR plateau. Consistent with the Company's current belief that an improvement in the mortgage market may be beginning but that any recovery may be more gradual than had previously been anticipated, this quarter's base case assumed a 1 month plateau and an 18 month ramp down. Increasing the CDR plateau to 4 months and keeping the ramp down at 18 months would increase the expected loss by approximately $10.9 million for HELOC transactions and $2.0 million for CES transactions. On the other hand, keeping the CDR plateau at 1 month but decreasing the length of the CDR ramp down back to last quarter's 12 month assumption would decrease the expected loss from those taken by approximately $12.3 million for HELOC transactions and $2.0 million for CES transactions.

U.S. First Lien RMBS: Alt-A, Option ARM, Subprime and Prime

        First lien RMBS are generally categorized in accordance with the characteristics of the first lien mortgage loans on one to four family homes supporting the transactions. The collateral supporting "Subprime RMBS" transactions is comprised of first-lien residential mortgage loans made to subprime borrowers. A "subprime borrower" is one considered to be a higher risk credit based on credit scores or other risk characteristics. Another type of RMBS transaction is generally referred to as "Alt-A RMBS." The collateral supporting such transactions is comprised of first-lien residential mortgage loans made to "prime" quality borrowers that lack certain ancillary characteristics that would make them prime. When more than 66% of the loans originally included in the pool are mortgage loans with an option to make a minimum payment that has the potential to negatively amortize the loan (i.e., increase the amount of principal owed), the transaction is referred to as an "Option ARM." Finally, transactions may be primarily composed of loans made to prime borrowers.

        The performance of the Company's first lien RMBS exposures began to deteriorate in 2007 and such transactions, particularly those originated in the period from 2005 through 2007, continue to perform below the Company's original underwriting expectations. The Company currently projects first lien collateral losses many times those expected at the time of underwriting. While insured securities benefitted from structural protections within the transactions designed to absorb some of the collateral losses, in many first lien RMBS projected losses exceed those structural protections.

        The majority of projected losses in first lien RMBS transactions are expected to come from mortgage loans that are delinquent or in foreclosure. An increase in delinquent and foreclosed loans beyond those delinquent and foreclosed last quarter is one of the primary drivers of loss development in this portfolio. In order to determine the number of defaults resulting from these delinquent and foreclosed loans, the Company applies a liquidation rate assumption to loans in each of various delinquency categories. The following table shows the Company's liquidation assumptions for various delinquency categories as of June 30, 2010 and March 31, 2010. The liquidation rate is a standard

28



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)


industry measure that is used to estimate the number of loans in a given aging category that will default within a specified time period. The Company projects these liquidations over two years.

 
  June 30,
2010
  March 31,
2010
 

30 - 59 Days Delinquent

             
 

Alt-A First Lien

    50 %   50 %
 

Alt-A Option ARM

    50     50  
 

Subprime

    45     45  

60 - 89 Days Delinquent

             
 

Alt-A First Lien

    65     65  
 

Alt-A Option ARM

    65     65  
 

Subprime

    65     65  

90 days - Bankruptcy

             
 

Alt-A First Lien

    75     75  
 

Alt-A Option ARM

    75     75  
 

Subprime

    70     70  

Foreclosure

             
 

Alt-A First Lien

    85     85  
 

Alt-A Option ARM

    85     85  
 

Subprime

    85     85  

Real estate owned

             
 

Alt-A First Lien

    100     100  
 

Alt-A Option ARM

    100     100  
 

Subprime

    100     100  

        Losses are also projected on first lien RMBS that are presently current loans. The Company projects these losses by applying a CDR trend. The start of that CDR trend is based on the defaults the Company projected would emerge from currently delinquent and foreclosed loans. The total amount of expected defaults from these loans is then translated into a constant CDR (i.e., the CDR plateau), which, if applied for each of the next 24 months, would be sufficient to produce approximately the amount of losses that were calculated to emerge from the various delinquency categories. In the base case, each transaction's CDR is projected to improve over 12 months to an intermediate CDR (calculated as 15% of its CDR plateau); that intermediate CDR is held constant for 36 months and then trails off in steps to a final CDR of 5% of the CDR plateau. In the First Quarter 2010, the CDR plateau was held constant for 3 months before it was assumed to begin improving, which reflects the Company's view that an improvement in the real estate and mortgage market may be beginning. Under the Company's methodology, defaults projected to occur in the first 24 months represent defaults that can be attributed to loans that are currently delinquent or in foreclosure, while the defaults projected to occur using the projected CDR trend after the first 24 month period represent defaults attributable to borrowers that are currently performing.

        Another important driver of loss projections is loss severity, which is the amount of loss the transaction incurs on a loan after the application of net proceeds from the disposal of the underlying property. Loss severities experienced in first lien transactions have reached historical highs and the

29



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)


Company is assuming that these historical highs continue for another year. The Company determines its initial loss severity based on actual recent experience. The Company then assumes that loss severities begin returning to levels consistent with underwriting assumptions beginning in June 2011, and in the base scenario decline over two years to 40%.

        The following table shows the Company's key assumptions used in its calculation of expected losses for these types of policies as of June 30, 2010, March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009:

Key Assumptions in Base Case Expected Loss Estimates of First Lien RMBS Transactions

 
  June 30,
2010
  March 31,
2010
  December 31,
2009

Alt-A First Lien

           
 

Plateau CDR

  2.2% - 19.9%   2.0% - 19.1%   1.5% - 19.6%
 

Intermediate CDR

  0.3% - 3.0%   0.3% - 2.9%   0.2% - 2.9%
 

Final CDR

  0.1% - 1.0%   0.1% - 1.0%   0.1% - 1.0%
 

Initial Loss Severity

  60%   60%   60%
 

Future Repurchases of Ineligible Loans

  $9.9 million   $9.5 million   $8.8 million
 

Initial CPR

  0.0% - 16.2%   2.7% - 27.9%   0.0% - 20.5%
 

Final CPR

  10%   10%   10%

Alt-A Option ARM

           
 

Plateau CDR

  12.5% - 26.5%   15.3% - 23.3%   14.4% - 21.9%
 

Intermediate CDR

  1.9% - 4.0%   2.3% - 3.5%   2.2% - 3.3%
 

Final CDR

  0.6% - 1.3%   0.8% - 1.2%   0.7% - 1.1%
 

Initial Loss Severity

  60%   60%   60%
 

Future Repurchases of Ineligible Loans

  $16.3 million   $15.9 million   $16.3 million
 

Initial CPR

  0.8% - 2.7%   0.0% - 2.3%   0.3% - 1.4%
 

Final CPR

  10%   10%   10%

Subprime

           
 

Plateau CDR

  8.4% - 12.4%   7.8% - 12.8%   7.1% - 12.1%
 

Intermediate CDR

  1.3% - 1.9%   1.2% - 1.9%   1.1% - 1.8%
 

Final CDR

  0.4% - 0.6%   0.4% - 0.6%   0.4% - 0.6%
 

Initial Loss Severity

  75%   75%   70%
 

Future Repurchases of Ineligible Loans

  $0   $0   $0
 

Initial CPR

  1.8% - 10.2%   0.9% - 12.5%   0.5% - 12.0%
 

Final CPR

  10%   10%   10%

30



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)

        The rate at which the principal amount of loans is prepaid may impact both the amount of losses projected (since that amount is a function of the CDR and the loan balance over time) as well as the amount of excess spread (the amount by which the interest paid by the borrowers on the underlying loan exceeds the amount of interest owed on the insured obligations). The assumption for the CPR follows a similar pattern to that of the CDR. The current level of voluntary prepayments is assumed to continue for the plateau period before gradually ramping over 12 months to the final CPR, which is assumed to be either 10% or 15% depending on the scenario run.

        Breaches of Representations and Warranties—First Lien U.S. RMBS:    As mentioned above, performance of the collateral underlying certain securitizations has substantially differed from the Company's original expectations. The Company has employed several loan file diligence firms and law firms as well as devoting internal resources to review the mortgage files surrounding many of the defaulted loans. As of June 30, 2010, the Company had performed a detailed review of approximately 1,000 files representing nearly $520 million in outstanding par of defaulted first lien loans underlying insured transactions, and identified a material number of defaulted loans that breach representations and warranties regarding the characteristics of the loans. The Company continues to review new files as new loans default and as new loan files are made available to it. Following negotiation with the sellers and originators of the breaching loans, as of June 30, 2010, the Company had reached agreement to have $4.4 million of first lien loans repurchased. The Company has included in its net expected loss estimates for first liens as of June 30, 2010 an estimated benefit from repurchases of $26.6 million, of which $16.3 million relates to Option ARMs, $9.9 million to Alt-A first liens and $0.4 million to prime transactions. The amount the Company will ultimately recover related to contractual representations and warranties is uncertain and subject to a number of factors including the counterparty's ability to pay, the number and amount of loans determined to have breached representations and warranties and, potentially, negotiated settlements or litigation recoveries. As such, the Company's estimate of recoveries is uncertain and actual amounts realized may differ significantly from these estimates. In arriving at the expected recovery from breaches of representations and warranties, the Company considered the credit worthiness of the provider of representations and warranties, the number of breaches found on defaulted loans, the success rate in resolving these breaches with the provider of the representations and warranty and the potential amount of time until the recovery is realized. This calculation involved a variety of scenarios which ranged from the Company recovering substantially all of the losses it incurred due to violations of representations and warranties to the Company realizing very limited recoveries. These scenarios were probability weighted in order to determine the recovery incorporated into the Company's reserve estimate. This approach was used for both loans that had already defaulted and those assumed to default in the future. In all cases, recoveries were limited to amounts paid or expected to be paid by the Company.

        The ultimate performance of the Company's first lien RMBS transactions remains highly uncertain and may be subject to considerable volatility due to the influence of many factors, including the level and timing of loan defaults, changes in housing prices and other variables. The Company will continue to monitor the performance of its RMBS exposures and will adjust the risk ratings of those transactions based on actual performance and management's estimates of future performance.

        In establishing its reserves, the Company modeled and probability weighted sensitivities for first lien transactions by varying its assumptions of how fast an economic recovery is expected to occur. The

31



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)


primary variable when modeling sensitivities was how quickly the CDR returned to its modeled equilibrium, which was defined as 5% of the current CDR. The Company also stressed CPRs and the speed of recovery of loss severity rates. In a somewhat more stressful environment than that of the base case, where the CDR recovery was more gradual and the final CPR was 15% rather than 10%, the Company's expected losses would increase by approximately $1.0 million for Alt-A first liens, $8.0 million for Option ARMs, $2.4 million for subprime and $0.0 million for prime transactions. In an even more stressful scenario where the CDR plateau was extended 3 months (to be 27 months long) before the same more gradual CDR recovery and loss severities were assumed to recover over 4 rather than 2 years (and subprime loss severities were assumed to recover only to 55%), the Company's expected losses would increase by approximately $5.2 million for Alt-A first liens, $22.6 million for Option ARMs, $8.4 million for subprime and $0.3 million for prime transactions. The Company also considered a scenario where the recovery was faster than in its base case. In this scenario, where the CDR plateau was 3 months shorter (21 months, effectively assuming that liquidation rates would improve) and the CDR recovery was more pronounced, the Company's expected losses would decrease by approximately $3.7 million for Alt-A first liens, $12.5 million for Option ARMs, $3.1 million for subprime and $0.1 million for prime transactions.

"XXX" Life Insurance Transactions

        AGC and AGUK have insured $428.2 million of net par in "XXX" life insurance reserve securitization transactions based on discrete blocks of individual life insurance business. In these transactions, the monies raised by the sale of the bonds insured by AGC and AGUK are used to capitalize a special purpose vehicle that provides reinsurance to a life insurer or reinsurer. The monies are invested at inception in accounts managed by third-party investment managers. In order for AGC and AGUK to incur an ultimate net loss on these transactions, adverse experience on the underlying block of life insurance policies and/or credit losses in the investment portfolio would need to exceed the level of credit enhancement built into the transaction structures. In particular, such credit losses in the investment portfolio could be realized in the event that circumstances arise resulting in the early liquidation of assets at a time when their market value is less than their intrinsic value.

        AGC's and AGUK's $428.2 million in net par of XXX Life Insurance transactions include $248.2 million rated BIG by the Company as of June 30, 2010 and corresponded to two transactions. These two BIG XXX transactions had material amounts of their assets invested in U.S. RMBS transactions. Based on its analysis of the information currently available, including estimates of future investment performance provided by the current investment manager, projected credit impairments on the invested assets and performance of the blocks of life insurance business at June 30, 2010, AGC's and AGUK's gross expected loss, prior to reinsurance or netting of unearned premium, for the two BIG XXX insurance transactions was $63.3 million and their net reserve was $13.6 million.

        On December 19, 2008, AGUK sued J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. ("JPMIM"), the investment manager in one of the transactions, which relates to Orkney Re II p.l.c. ("Orkney Re II") in New York Supreme Court ("Court") alleging that JPMIM engaged in breaches of fiduciary duty, gross negligence and breaches of contract based upon its handling of the investments of Orkney Re II. On January 28, 2010 the Court ruled against AGUK on a motion to dismiss filed by JPMIM. Oral argument on the AGUK's appeal was heard before the Appellate Division on May 26, 2010.

32



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

5. Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Insurance (Continued)

Public Finance Transactions

        Within the public finance category, $827.2 million was rated BIG with the largest BIG exposure being a public finance transaction for sewer service in Jefferson County, Alabama. AGC's total exposure to this transaction is approximately $190.2 million of net par. AGC has made debt service payments during the year and expects to make additional payments in the near term. AGC is continuing its risk remediation efforts for this exposure.

Other Sectors and Transactions

        The Company continues to closely monitor other sectors and individual financial guaranty insurance transactions it feels warrant the additional attention, including, as of June 30, 2010, its commercial mortgage exposure of $256.6 million of net par, its trust preferred securities ("TruPS") collateralized debt obligations ("CDOs") exposure of $688.9 million, and its U.S. health care exposure of $5.3 billion of net par.

6. Credit Derivatives

        Certain financial guaranty contracts written in credit derivative form, principally in the form of insured credit default swap ("CDS") contracts, have been deemed to meet the definition of a derivative under GAAP, which requires that an entity recognize as either assets or liabilities in the consolidated balance sheet and measure those instruments at fair value with changes in fair value recorded in consolidated statements of operations. GAAP requires companies to recognize freestanding or embedded derivatives relating to beneficial interests in securitized financial instruments.

        In general, the Company structures credit derivative transactions such that the circumstances giving rise to the Company's obligation to make loss payments are similar to those for financial guaranty contracts written in insurance form and only occurs as losses are realized on the underlying reference obligation. Nonetheless, credit derivative transactions are governed by International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Inc. ("ISDA") documentation and operate differently from financial guaranty contracts written in insurance form. For example, the Company's control rights with respect to a reference obligation under a credit derivative may be more limited than when the Company issues a financial guaranty contract written in insurance form. In addition, while the Company's exposure under credit derivatives, like the Company's exposure under financial guaranty contracts written in insurance form, has been generally for as long as the reference obligation remains outstanding, unlike financial guaranty contracts, a credit derivative may be terminated for a breach of the ISDA documentation or other specific events. If events of default or termination events specified in the credit derivative documentation were to occur, the non-defaulting or the non-affected party, which may be either the Company or the counterparty, depending upon the circumstances, may decide to terminate a credit derivative prior to maturity. The Company may be required to make a termination payment to its swap counterparty upon such termination.

        Some of the Company's CDS have rating triggers that allow certain CDS counterparties to terminate in the case of downgrades. If certain of its credit derivative contracts were terminated, the Company could be required to make a termination payment as determined under the relevant documentation, although under certain documents, the Company may have the right to cure the

33



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

6. Credit Derivatives (Continued)


termination event by posting collateral, assigning its rights and obligations in respect of the transactions to a third party or seeking a third party guaranty of the obligations of the Company. As of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, if AGC's ratings were downgraded to levels between BBB or Baa2 and BB+ or Ba1, certain CDS counterparties could terminate certain CDS contracts covering approximately $5.9 billion and $6.0 billion, of par insured, respectively. The Company does not believe that it can accurately estimate the termination payments it could be required to make if, as a result of any such downgrade, a CDS counterparty terminated its CDS contracts with the Company. These payments could have a material adverse effect on the Company's liquidity and financial condition.

        Under a limited number of other CDS contracts, the Company may be required to post eligible securities as collateral—generally cash or U.S. government or agency securities. For certain of such contracts, this requirement is based on a mark-to-market valuation, as determined under the relevant documentation, in excess of contractual thresholds that decline or are eliminated if the Company's ratings decline. Under other contracts, the Company has negotiated caps such that the posting requirement cannot exceed a certain amount. As of June 30, 2010, without giving effect to thresholds that apply under current ratings, the amount of par that is subject to collateral posting is approximately $18.9 billion, for which the Company has posted approximately $636.9 million of collateral. Counterparties have agreed that for approximately $17.6 billion of that $18.9 billion, the maximum amount that the Company could be required to post at current ratings is $425 million, which amount is included in the $636.9 million posted as of June 30, 2010. If AGC were downgraded to A+ by Standard & Poor's Rating Services ("S&P") or A3 by Moody's Investors Service, Inc. ("Moody's"), that maximum amount would be $475 million. The Company may be required to post additional collateral from time to time, depending on its ratings and on the market values of the transactions subject to the collateral posting.

        Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives include credit derivative premiums received and receivable for credit protection the Company has sold under its insured CDS contracts, premiums paid and payable for credit protection the Company has purchased, contractual claims paid and payable and received and receivable related to insured credit events under these contracts, ceding commissions (expense) income and realized gains or losses related to their early termination.

34



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

6. Credit Derivatives (Continued)

        The following table disaggregates realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives into its component parts for the Second Quarter 2010 and 2009 and Six Months 2010 and 2009:

Realized Gains and Other Settlements on Credit Derivatives

 
  Second Quarter   Six Months  
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Net credit derivative premiums received and receivable

  $ 18,943   $ 19,970   $ 37,662   $ 40,720  

Ceding commissions received and receivable (paid and payable), net

    1,920     2,034     3,917     4,253  
                   
 

Realized gains on credit derivatives

    20,863     22,004     41,579     44,973  

Net credit derivative losses (paid and payable) recovered and recoverable

    2,999         (24,397 )    
                   
 

Total realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives

  $ 23,862   $ 22,004   $ 17,182   $ 44,973  
                   

        Net unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives represent the adjustments for changes in fair value in excess of realized gains and other settlements that are recorded in each reporting period. Changes in unrealized gains and losses on credit derivatives are reflected in the consolidated statements of operations. Fair value of credit derivatives is reflected as either net assets or net liabilities, determined on a contract by contract basis, in the Company's consolidated balance sheets. Unrealized gains and losses resulting from changes in the fair value of credit derivatives occur primarily because of changes in interest rates, credit spreads, credit ratings of the referenced entities, claim payments, and the issuing company's own credit rating, credit spreads and other market factors. Except for estimated credit impairments, the unrealized gains and losses on credit derivatives will reduce to zero as the exposure approaches its maturity date.

        The Company determines the fair value of its credit derivative contracts primarily through modeling that uses various inputs to derive an estimate of the value of the Company's contracts in principal markets. Inputs include expected contractual life and credit spreads, based on observable market indices and on recent pricing for similar contracts. Credit spreads capture the impact of recovery rates and performance of underlying assets, among other factors, on these contracts. The Company's pricing model takes into account not only how credit spreads on risks that it assumes affect pricing, but also how the Company's own credit spread affects the pricing of its deals. If credit spreads of the underlying obligations change, the fair value of the related credit derivative changes. Market liquidity could also impact valuations of the underlying obligations.

        The impact of changes in credit spreads will vary based upon the volume, tenor, interest rates, and other market conditions at the time these fair values are determined. In addition, since each transaction has unique collateral and structure terms, the underlying change in fair value of each transaction may vary considerably. The fair value of credit derivative contracts also reflects the change in the Company's own credit cost based on the price to purchase credit protection on AGC. The Company determines its own credit risk based on quoted CDS prices traded on the Company at each

35



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

6. Credit Derivatives (Continued)


balance sheet date. Generally, a widening of the CDS prices traded on AGC has an effect of offsetting unrealized losses that result from widening general market credit spreads, while a narrowing of the CDS prices traded on AGC has an effect of offsetting unrealized gains that result from narrowing general market credit spreads. An overall narrowing of spreads generally results in an unrealized gain on credit derivatives for the Company and an overall widening of spreads generally results in an unrealized loss for the Company.

Effect of Company's Credit Spread on Credit Derivatives Fair Value

 
  As of
June 30, 2010
  As of
December 31, 2009
 
 
  (dollars in millions)
 

Quoted price of CDS contract (in basis points)

    1,010     634  

Fair value of CDS contracts:

             
 

Before considering implication of the Company's credit spreads

  $ (2,862.1 ) $ (2,630.2 )
 

After considering implication of the Company's credit spreads

  $ (594.5 ) $ (824.7 )

        As of June 30, 2010, AGC's credit spreads remained relatively wide compared to pre-2007 levels, as did general market spreads. The $2.9 billion liability as of June 30, 2010, which represents the fair value of CDS contracts before considering the implications of AGC's credit spreads, is a direct result of continued wide credit spreads in the fixed income security markets, and ratings downgrades. The asset classes that remain most affected are the more recent vintages of Subprime RMBS and Alt-A deals, as well as trust- preferred securities. When looking at June 30, 2010, compared to December 31, 2009, there was a widening of market prices relating to Alt-A transactions as a result of underlying credit deterioration. This resulted in a loss of approximately $231.9 million before taking into account AGC's credit spreads.

        Management believes that the trading level of AGC's credit spread is due to the correlation between AGC's risk profile and that experienced currently by the broader financial markets and increased demand for credit protection against AGC as the result of its direct segment financial guarantee volume as well as the overall lack of liquidity in the CDS market. Offsetting the benefit attributable to AGC's credit spread were declines in fixed income security market prices primarily attributable to widening spreads in certain markets as a result of the continued deterioration in credit markets and some credit rating downgrades. The higher credit spreads in the fixed income security market are due to the recent lack of liquidity in the high yield CDOs and collateralized loan obligation ("CLOs") markets as well as continuing market concerns over the most recent vintages of subprime RMBS and CMBS.

        The estimated remaining weighted average life of credit derivative was 7.6 years at June 30, 2010 and 8.0 years at December 31, 2009.

36



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

6. Credit Derivatives (Continued)

        The components of the Company's net par outstanding as of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009 are:

Net Par Outstanding on Credit Derivatives

 
  As of June 30, 2010   As of December 31, 2009
Asset Type
  Original
Subordination(1)
  Current
Subordination(1)
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Weighted
Average
Credit
Rating(2)
  Original
Subordination(1)
  Current
Subordination(1)
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Weighted
Average
Credit
Rating(2)
 
  (dollars in millions)

Financial Guaranty Direct:

                                           
 

Pooled corporate obligations:

                                           
   

CLOs/CBOs

    35.5 %   31.4 % $ 16,531   AAA     35.4 %   30.2 % $ 17,312   AAA
   

Synthetic investment grade pooled corporate

    30.0     30.1     702   AAA     30.0     29.4     1,647   AAA
   

TruPS CDOs

    46.7     33.6     4,400   BB+     46.5     36.9     4,566   BB+
   

Market value CDOs of corporate obligations

    38.5     38.6     3,143   AAA     38.8     39.0     3,002   AAA
                                 
 

Total pooled corporate obligations

    37.7     32.7     24,776   AA+     37.4     32.3     26,527   AA+
 

U.S. RMBS:

                                           
   

Alt-A Option ARMs and Alt-A First Lien

    20.1     19.7     3,871   B+     20.3     22.0     4,320   BB
   

Subprime First Lien

    27.5     57.6     3,596   A+     27.6     52.4     3,782   A+
   

Prime First Lien

    10.9     10.4     437   B     10.9     11.1     467   BB
   

CES and HELOCs

    0.0     18.9     12   AA     0.0     19.2     13   AA
                                 
 

Total U.S. RMBS

    22.8     36.1     7,916   BBB-     22.9     34.6     8,582   BBB
 

CMBS

    28.7     29.2     5,724   AAA     28.5     30.9     5,844   AAA
 

Other

            6,427   AA             7,255   AA
                                         

Total

              $ 44,843   AA               $ 48,208   AA
                                         

(1)
Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

(2)
Based on the Company's internal rating, The Company's rating scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

37



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

6. Credit Derivatives (Continued)

        The components of the Company's change in unrealized gains (loss) on credit derivatives are as follows:

Change in Unrealized Gain (Loss) on Credit Derivatives

 
  Second Quarter   Six Months  
Asset Type
  2010   2009   2010   2009  
 
  (in millions)
 

Pooled corporate obligations:

                         
 

CLOs/CBOs

  $ 2.0   $ 1.2   $ 3.0   $ (61.2 )
 

Synthetic investment grade pooled corporate

    0.7     1.3     (0.1 )   2.9  
 

TruPS CDOs

    28.5     (60.8 )   51.8     0.3  
 

Market value CDOs of corporate obligations

    (0.1 )   (0.3 )   0.1     (6.1 )
 

Commercial Real Estate

        0.1         (1.7 )
 

CDO of CDOs (corporate)

        0.5         (0.2 )
                   

Total pooled corporate obligations

    31.1     (58.0 )   54.8     (66.0 )

U.S. RMBS:

                         
 

Alt-A Option ARMs and Alt-A First Lien

    8.3     (160.2 )   123.6     (200.4 )
 

Subprime First lien

    0.3     0.5     0.9     (2.8 )
 

Prime first lien

    4.5     (18.6 )   16.4     (60.1 )
 

CES and HELOCs

                 
                   

Total U.S. RMBS

    13.1     (178.3 )   140.9     (263.3 )

CMBS

    0.3     0.7     8.3     (24.5 )

Other(1)

    (37.2 )   10.6     12.8     105.8  
                   

Total

  $ 7.3   $ (225.0 ) $ 216.8   $ (248.0 )
                   

(1)
"Other" includes all other U.S. and international asset classes, such as commercial receivables, international infrastructure, international RMBS and home equity securities, and pooled infrastructure securities.

38



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

6. Credit Derivatives (Continued)

        The Company's exposure to pooled corporate obligations is highly diversified in terms of obligors and, except in the case of TruPS CDOs, industries. Most pooled corporate transactions are structured to limit exposure to any given obligor and industry. The majority of the Company's pooled corporate exposure consists of CLOs or synthetic pooled corporate obligations. Most of these CLOs have an average obligor size of less than 1% and typically restrict the maximum exposure to any one industry to approximately 10%. The Company's exposure also benefits from embedded credit enhancement in the transactions which allows a transaction to sustain a certain level of losses in the underlying collateral, further insulating the Company from industry specific concentrations of credit risk on these deals.

        The Company's TruPS CDO asset pools are generally less diversified by obligors and industries than the typical CLO asset pool. Also, the underlying collateral in TruPS CDOs consists primarily of subordinated debt instruments such as TruPS CDOs issued by banks, real estate investment trusts ("REITs") and insurance companies, while CLOs typically contain primarily senior secured obligations. Finally, TruPS CDOs typically contain interest rate hedges that may complicate the cash flows. However, to mitigate these risks TruPS CDOs were typically structured with higher levels of embedded credit enhancement than typical CLOs.

        The Company's exposure to "Other" CDS contracts is also highly diversified. It includes $2.3 billion of exposure to four pooled infrastructure transactions comprised of diversified pools of international infrastructure project transactions and loans to regulated utilities. These pools were all structured with underlying credit enhancement sufficient for the Company to attach at super senior AAA levels. The remaining $4.1 billion of exposure in "Other" CDS contracts is comprised of numerous deals typically structured with significant underlying credit enhancement and spread across various asset classes, such as commercial receivables, international RMBS and home equity securities, infrastructure, regulated utilities and consumer receivables.

        With considerable volatility continuing in the market, unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives may fluctuate significantly in future periods.

39



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

6. Credit Derivatives (Continued)

        The following tables present additional details about the Company's unrealized gain or loss on credit derivatives associated with U.S. RMBS by vintage for the Second Quarter 2010 and Six Months 2010:

U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities

Vintage
  Original
Subordination(1)
  Current
Subordination(1)
  Net Par
Outstanding
(in millions)
  Weighted
Average
Credit
Rating(2)
  Second Quarter 2010
Unrealized Gain
(Loss)
(in millions)
  Six Months 2010
Unrealized Gain
(Loss)
(in millions)
 

2004 and Prior

    6.1 %   19.4 % $ 130   A+   $ (0.1 ) $ 0.2  

2005

    26.8     58.9     2,592   AA-     (0.1 )   1.3  

2006

    28.5     50.5     1,340   BBB     (3.4 )   0.9  

2007

    19.1     17.1     3,854   B     16.7     138.5  

2008

                       

2009

                       

2010

                       
                               

Total

    22.8 %   36.1 % $ 7,916   BBB-   $ 13.1   $ 140.9  
                               

(1)
Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

(2)
Based on the Company's internal rating. The Company's rating scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

40



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

6. Credit Derivatives (Continued)

        The following table presents additional details about the Company's unrealized gain or loss on credit derivatives associated with CMBS transactions by vintage for the Second Quarter 2010 and Six Months 2010:

Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities

Vintage
  Original
Subordination(1)
  Current
Subordination(1)
  Net Par
Outstanding
(in millions)
  Weighted
Average
Credit
Rating(2)
  Second Quarter 2010
Unrealized Gain
(Loss)
(in millions)
  Six Months 2010
Unrealized Gain
(Loss)
(in millions)
 

2004 and Prior

    28.5 %   43.8 % $ 579   AAA   $   $ 0.2  

2005

    17.6     25.0     513   AAA     (0.1 )   0.2  

2006

    26.4     25.3     3,438   AAA     0.5     4.3  

2007

    41.1     37.5     1,194   AAA     (0.1 )   3.6  

2008

                       

2009

                       

2010

                       
                               

Total

    28.7 %   29.2 % $ 5,724   AAA   $ 0.3   $ 8.3  
                               

(1)
Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

(2)
Based on the Company's internal rating. The Company's rating scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

        The following table summarizes the estimated change in fair values on the net balance of the Company's credit derivative positions assuming immediate parallel shifts in credit spreads on AGC and on the risks that it assumes:

 
  As of June 30, 2010  
Credit Spreads
  Estimated Net
Fair Value (Pre-Tax)
  Estimated Pre-Tax
Change in Gain /(Loss)
 
 
  (in millions)
 

100% widening in spreads

  $ (1,586.3 ) $ (991.8 )

50% widening in spreads

    (1,090.4 )   (495.9 )

25% widening in spreads

    (842.5 )   (248.0 )

10% widening in spreads

    (693.7 )   (99.2 )

Base Scenario

    (594.5 )    

10% narrowing in spreads

    (525.8 )   68.7  

25% narrowing in spreads

    (422.7 )   171.8  

50% narrowing in spreads

    (260.6 )   333.9  

(1)
Includes the effects of spreads on both the underlying asset classes and the Company's own credit spread.

41



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

7. Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities

        The Company has exposure to VIEs through the issuance of financial guaranty insurance contracts that typically ensure the timely payment of principal and interest to the holders of VIE debt. As part of the terms of its insurance contracts, at the outset of a contract the Company obtains certain protective rights over the control of a VIE based upon the occurrence of certain trigger events, such as deal performance or servicer or collateral manager financial health. At deal inception, the Company typically is not deemed to be have control of a VIE, however, once a trigger event occurs the Company's control of the VIE typically increases.

        Under accounting rules previously in effect, the Company determined whether it was the primary beneficiary (i.e., the variable interest holder required to consolidate a VIE) of a VIE by first performing a qualitative analysis of the VIE that includes, among other factors, its capital structure, contractual terms, which variable interests create or absorb variability, related party relationships and the design of the VIE. The Company performed a quantitative analysis when qualitative analysis was not conclusive.

        The accounting guidance effective January 1, 2010, requires the Company to perform an analysis to determine whether its variable interests give it a controlling financial interest in a VIE. This analysis identifies the primary beneficiary of a VIE as the enterprise that has both 1) the power to direct the activities of a VIE that most significantly impact the entity's economic performance; and 2) the obligation to absorb losses of the entity that could potentially be significant to the VIE or the right to receive benefits from the entity that could potentially be significant to the VIE. Additionally, this guidance requires an ongoing reassessment of whether the Company is the primary beneficiary of a VIE.

        Pursuant to the new accounting guidance, the Company evaluated its power to direct the significant activities that most significantly impact the economic performance of VIEs that have debt obligations insured by the Company and, accordingly, where the Company is obligated to absorb VIE losses that could potentially be significant to the VIE. The Company determined that it is the primary beneficiary of three VIEs based on the assessment of its control rights over servicer or collateral manager replacement, given that servicing/managing collateral were deemed to be the VIEs' most significant activities. The Company is not primarily liable for the debt obligations issued by the VIEs and would only be required to make payments on these debt obligations in the event that the issuer of such debt obligations defaults on any principal or interest due. The Company's creditors do not have any rights with regard to the assets of the VIEs.

42



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

7. Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities (Continued)

        The table below shows the carrying value of the consolidated VIE assets and liabilities in the Company's unaudited interim consolidated financial statements, segregated by the types of assets held by VIEs that collateralize their respective debt obligations:

Consolidated VIEs

 
  As of June 30, 2010  
 
  Assets   Liabilities  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Alt-A Second liens

  $ 98,552   $ 152,071  

Life insurance

    293,805     293,805  
           
 

Total

  $ 392,357   $ 445,876  
           

        The table below shows the revenues and expenses of the consolidated VIEs:

 
  Second Quarter
2010
  Six Months
2010
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

Revenues:

             

Financial guaranty variable interest entities' revenues:

             
 

Interest income

  $ 4,949   $ 10,450  
 

Net realized and unrealized gains (losses) on assets

    22,486     44,033  
           
   

Financial guaranty variable interest entities' revenues

  $ 27,435   $ 54,483  
           

Expenses:

             

Financial guaranty variable interest entities' expenses:

             
 

Interest expense

  $ 1,961   $ 4,323  
 

Net realized and unrealized losses (gains) on liabilities with recourse

    33,750     47,164  
 

Net realized and unrealized (gains) losses on liabilities without recourse

    (2,145 )   (5,526 )
 

Other expenses

    2,323     5,462  
           
   

Financial guaranty variable interest entities' expenses

  $ 35,889   $ 51,423  
           

        The financial reports of the consolidated VIEs are prepared by outside parties and are not available within the time constraints that the Company requires to ensure the financial accuracy of the operating results. As such, the financial results of the three VIEs are consolidated on a one quarter lag.

        The new accounting guidance mandates the accounting changes prescribed by the statement to be recognized by the Company as a cumulative effect adjustment to retained earnings as of January 1, 2010. The cumulative effect of adopting the new accounting guidance was a $39.9 million after-tax

43



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

7. Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities (Continued)


decrease to the opening retained earnings balance due to the consolidation of three VIEs at fair value. The impact of adopting the new accounting guidance on the Company's balance sheet was as follows:

 
  As of
December 31,
2009
  Transition
Adjustment
  As of
January 1,
2010
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

Assets:

                   

Premiums receivable, net of ceding commission payable

  $ 351,468   $ (9,245 ) $ 342,223  

Deferred tax asset, net

    241,796     21,484     263,280  

Financial guaranty variable interest entities' assets

        348,324     348,324  

Total assets

    4,499,810     360,563     4,860,373  

Liabilities and shareholder's equity:

                   

Unearned premium reserves

    1,451,576     (7,959 )   1,443,617  

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

    191,211     91     191,302  

Financial guaranty variable interest entities' liabilities with recourse

        390,274     390,274  

Financial guaranty variable interest entities' liabilities without recourse

        18,055     18,055  

Total liabilities

    3,273,593     400,461     3,674,054  

Retained earnings

    153,738     (39,898 )   113,840  

Total shareholder's equity

    1,226,217     (39,898 )   1,186,319  

Total liabilities and shareholder's equity

  $ 4,499,810     360,563   $ 4,860,373  

Non-Consolidated VIEs

        To date, the results of qualitative and quantitative analyses have indicated that the Company does not have a majority of the variability in any other VIE and, as a result, are not consolidated in the Company's unaudited interim consolidated financial statements. The Company's exposure provided through its financial guaranties with respect to debt obligations of non-consolidated SPEs is included within net par outstanding in Note 3.

44



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

8. Fair Value of Financial Instruments

        The carrying amount and estimated fair value of financial instruments are presented in the following table:

Fair Value of Financial Instruments

 
  As of June 30, 2010   As of December 31, 2009  
 
  Carrying
Amount
  Estimated
Fair Value
  Carrying
Amount
  Estimated
Fair Value
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

Assets:

                         
 

Fixed maturity securities

  $ 2,363,170   $ 2,363,170   $ 2,045,211   $ 2,045,211  
 

Short-term investments

    389,929     389,929     802,567     802,567  
 

Credit derivative assets

    285,353     285,353     251,992     251,992  
 

Committed capital securities, at fair value

    11,305     11,305     3,987     3,987  
 

Financial guaranty VIE assets

    392,357     392,357          

Liabilities:

                         
 

Financial guaranty insurance contracts(1)

    742,632     933,074     801,320     1,061,330  
 

Note payable to affiliate

    300,000     340,280     300,000     300,000  
 

Credit derivative liabilities

    879,828     879,828     1,076,726     1,076,726  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities with recourse

    433,347     433,347          
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities without recourse

    12,529     12,529          

(1)
Includes the balance sheet amounts related to financial guaranty insurance contract premiums and losses, net of reinsurance.

Background

        Fair value framework defines fair value as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability (an exit price) in an orderly transaction between market participants on the measurement date. The price represents the price available in the principal market for the asset or liability. If there is no principal market, then the price is based on the market that maximizes the value received for an asset or minimizes the amount paid for a liability (i.e. the most advantageous market).

45



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

8. Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Continued)

        The fair value hierarchy is determined based on whether the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value are observable or unobservable. Observable inputs reflect market data obtained from independent sources, while unobservable inputs reflect the Company estimates of market assumptions. In accordance with GAAP, the fair value hierarchy prioritizes model inputs into three broad levels as follows, with level 1 being the highest and level 3 the lowest:

        Level 1—Quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets.

        Level 2—Quoted prices for similar instruments in active markets; quoted prices for identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active; and observable inputs other than quoted prices, such as interest rates or yield curves and other inputs derived from or corroborated by observable market inputs.

        Level 3—Model derived valuations in which one or more significant inputs or significant value drivers are unobservable. This hierarchy requires the use of observable market data when available. Financial instruments are considered Level 3 when their values are determined using pricing models, discounted cash flow methodologies or similar techniques and at least one significant model assumption or input is unobservable. Level 3 financial instruments also include those for which the determination of fair value requires significant management judgment or estimation.

        An asset or liability's categorization within the fair value hierarchy is based on the lowest level of significant input to its valuation.

Financial Instruments Carried at Fair Value

        Amounts recorded at fair value in the Company's financial statements are included in the tables below.

46



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

8. Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Continued)

Fair Value Hierarchy of Financial Instruments
As of June 30, 2010

 
   
  Fair Value Hierarchy  
 
  Fair Value   Level 1   Level 2   Level 3  
 
  (in millions)
 

Assets:

                         

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

                         
 

Fixed maturity securities:

                         
   

U.S. government and agencies

  $ 466.4   $   $ 466.4   $  
   

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

    1,282.7         1,282.7      
   

Corporate securities

    221.6         221.6      
   

Mortgage-backed securities:

                         
     

RMBS

    140.9         105.0     35.9  
     

CMBS

    77.7         77.7      
   

Asset-backed securities

    86.6         86.6      
   

Foreign government securities

    87.3         87.3      
                   
     

Total fixed maturity securities

    2,363.2         2,327.3     35.9  
 

Short-term investments

    389.9     148.4     241.5      
 

Credit derivative assets

    285.3             285.3  
 

Committed capital securities, at fair value

    11.3         11.3      
 

Financial guaranty VIE assets

    392.4             392.4  
                   
   

Total assets

  $ 3,442.1   $ 148.4   $ 2,580.1   $ 713.6  
                   

Liabilities:

                         
 

Credit derivative liabilities

  $ 879.8   $   $   $ 879.8  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities with recourse

    433.3             433.3  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities without recourse

    12.5             12.5  
                   
   

Total liabilities

  $ 1,325.6   $   $   $ 1,325.6  
                   

47



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

8. Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Continued)

Fair Value Hierarchy of Financial Instruments
As of December 31, 2009

 
   
  Fair Value Hierarchy  
 
  Fair Value   Level 1   Level 2   Level 3  
 
  (in millions)
 

Assets:

                         

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

                         
 

Fixed maturity securities:

                         
   

U.S. government and agencies

  $ 451.5   $   $ 451.5   $  
   

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

    1,059.1         1,059.1      
   

Corporate securities

    183.3         183.3      
   

Mortgage-backed securities:

                         
     

RMBS

    190.6         190.6      
     

CMBS

    64.3         64.3      
   

Asset-backed securities

    16.7         16.7      
   

Foreign government securities

    79.7         79.7      
                   
     

Total fixed maturity securities

    2,045.2         2,045.2      
 

Short-term investments

    802.6     43.2     759.4      
 

Credit derivative assets

    252.0             252.0  
 

Committed capital securities, at fair value

    4.0         4.0      
                   
   

Total assets

  $ 3,103.8   $ 43.2   $ 2,808.6   $ 252.0  
                   

Liabilities:

                         
 

Credit derivative liabilities

  $ 1,076.7   $   $   $ 1,076.7  
                   
   

Total liabilities

  $ 1,076.7   $   $   $ 1,076.7  
                   

Fixed Maturity Securities and Short-term Investments

        The fair value of bonds in the Investment Portfolio is generally based on quoted market prices received from third party pricing services or alternative pricing sources with reasonable levels of price transparency. Such quotes generally consider a variety of factors, including recent trades of the same and similar securities. If quoted market prices are not available, the valuation is based on pricing models that use dealer price quotations, price activity for traded securities with similar attributes and other relevant market factors as inputs, including security type, rating, vintage, tenor and its position in the capital structure of the issuer. The Company considers securities prices from pricing services, index providers or broker-dealers to be Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy. Prices determined based upon model processes are considered to be Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy. The Company used model processes to price five fixed maturity securities as of June 30, 2010 and these securities were classified as Level 3.

        Broker-dealer quotations obtained to price securities are generally considered to be indicative and are nonactionable (i.e. non-binding).

48



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

8. Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Continued)

        The Company did not make any internal adjustments to prices provided by its third party pricing service.

Committed Capital Securities

        The fair value of committed capital securities CCS represents the difference between the present value of remaining expected put option premium payments under AGC's CCS (the "AGC CCS Securities") agreements and the value of such estimated payments based upon the quoted price for such premium payments as of the reporting dates. See Note 15. Changes in fair value of this financial instrument are included in the consolidated statements of operations. The significant market inputs used are observable, therefore, the Company classified this fair value measurement as Level 2.

Financial Guaranty Credit Derivatives Accounted for as Derivatives

        The Company's credit derivatives consist primarily of insured CDS contracts. The Company does not typically exit its credit derivative contracts, and there are no quoted prices for its instruments or for similar instruments. Observable inputs other than quoted market prices exist; however, these inputs reflect contracts that do not contain terms and conditions similar to the credit derivative contracts issued by the Company. Therefore, the valuation of credit derivative contracts requires the use of models that contain significant, unobservable inputs. The Company accordingly believes the credit derivative valuations are in Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy.

        The fair value of the Company's credit derivative contracts represents the difference between the present value of remaining expected net premiums the Company receives or pays for the credit protection and the estimated present value of premiums that a comparable credit-worthy financial guarantor would hypothetically charge or pay the Company for the same protection at the balance sheet date. The fair value of the Company's credit derivatives depends on a number of factors, including notional amount of the contract, expected term, credit spreads, changes in interest rates, the credit ratings of referenced entities, the Company's own credit risk and remaining contractual cash flows.

        Market conditions at June 30, 2010 were such that market prices of the Company's CDS contracts were not generally available. Since market prices were not available, the Company used proprietary valuation models that used both unobservable and observable market data inputs such as various market indices, credit spreads, the Company's own credit spread, and estimated contractual payments to estimate the fair value of its credit derivatives. These models are primarily developed internally based on market conventions for similar transactions.

        Management considers the non-standard terms of its credit derivative contracts in determining the fair value of these contracts. These terms differ from more standardized credit derivative contracts sold by companies outside the financial guaranty industry. The non-standard terms include the absence of collateral support agreements or immediate settlement provisions. In addition, the Company employs relatively high attachment points and does not exit derivatives it sells or purchases for credit protection purposes, except under specific circumstances such as novations upon exiting a line of business. Because of these terms and conditions, the fair value of the Company's credit derivatives may not reflect the same prices observed in an actively traded market of credit derivatives that do not contain

49



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

8. Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Continued)


terms and conditions similar to those observed in the financial guaranty market. The Company's models and the related assumptions are continuously reevaluated by management and enhanced, as appropriate, based upon improvements in modeling techniques and availability of more timely and relevant market information.

        Valuation models include management estimates and current market information. Management is also required to make assumptions on how the fair value of credit derivative instruments is affected by current market conditions. Management considers factors such as current prices charged for similar agreements, performance of underlying assets, life of the instrument and the nature and extent of activity in the financial guaranty credit derivative marketplace. The assumptions that management uses to determine the fair value may change in the future due to market conditions. Due to the inherent uncertainties of the assumptions used in the valuation models to determine the fair value of these credit derivative products, actual experience may differ from the estimates reflected in the Company's unaudited interim consolidated financial statements and the differences may be material.

Assumptions and Inputs

        Listed below are various inputs and assumptions that are key to the establishment of the Company's fair value for CDS contracts.

        The key assumptions used in the Company's internally developed model include the following:

    How gross spread is calculated: Gross spread is the difference between the yield of a security paid by an issuer on an insured versus uninsured basis or, in the case of a CDS transaction, the difference between the yield and an index such as the London Interbank Offered Rate ("LIBOR"). Such pricing is well established by historical financial guaranty fees relative to capital market spreads as observed and executed in competitive markets, including in financial guaranty reinsurance and secondary market transactions.

    How gross spread is allocated: Gross spread on a financial guaranty written in CDS form is allocated among:

    1.
    the profit the originator, usually an investment bank, realizes for putting the deal together and funding the transaction ("bank profit");

    2.
    premiums paid to the Company for the Company's credit protection provided ("net spread"); and

    3.
    the cost of CDS protection purchased on the Company by the originator to hedge their counterparty credit risk exposure to the Company ("hedge cost").

    The expected remaining contractual cash flows, which are the most readily observable inputs since they are based on the CDS contractual terms. These cash flows include i) net premiums received and receivable on written credit derivative contracts, ii) net premiums paid and payable on purchased contracts, iii) losses paid and payable to credit derivative contract counterparties and iv) losses recovered and recoverable on purchased contracts.

        The premium the Company receives is referred to as the "net spread." The Company's own credit risk is factored into the determination of net spread based on the impact of changes in the quoted

50



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

8. Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Continued)


market price for credit protection bought on the Company, as reflected by quoted market prices on CDS referencing AGC. The cost to acquire CDS protection referencing AGC affects the amount of spread on CDS deals that the Company retains and, hence, their fair value. As the cost to acquire CDS protection referencing AGC increases, the amount of premium the Company retains on a deal generally decreases. As the cost to acquire CDS protection referencing AGC decreases, the amount of premium the Company retains on a deal generally increases. In the Company's valuation model, the premium the Company captures is not permitted to go below the minimum rate that the Company would currently charge to assume similar risks. This assumption can have the effect of mitigating the amount of unrealized gains that are recognized on certain CDS contracts.

        The Company determines the fair value of its CDS contracts by applying the difference between the current net spread and the contractual net spread for the remaining duration of each contract to the notional value of its CDS contracts. To the extent available, actual transactions executed in the accounting period are used to validate the model results and to explain the correlation between various market indices and indicative CDS market prices.

        The Company's fair value model inputs are gross spread, credit spreads on risks assumed and credit spreads on the Company's name.

        Gross spread is an input into the Company's fair value model that is used to ultimately determine the net spread a comparable financial guarantor would charge the Company to transfer risk at the reporting date. The Company's estimate of the fair value adjustment represents the difference between the estimated present value of premiums that a comparable financial guarantor would accept to assume the risk from the Company on the current reporting date, on terms identical to the original contracts written by the Company and the contractual premium for each individual credit derivative contract. This is an observable input that the Company obtains for deals it has closed or bid on in the market place.

        The Company obtains credit spreads on risks assumed from market data sources published by third parties (e.g. dealer spread tables for the collateral similar to assets within the Company's transactions) as well as collateral-specific spreads provided by trustees or obtained from market sources. If observable market credit spreads are not available or reliable for the underlying reference obligations, then market indices are used that most closely resembles the underlying reference obligations, considering asset class, credit quality rating and maturity of the underlying reference obligations. As discussed previously, these indices are adjusted to reflect the non-standard terms of the Company's CDS contracts. Market sources determine credit spreads by reviewing new issuance pricing for specific asset classes and receiving price quotes from their trading desks for the specific asset in question. Management validates these quotes by cross-referencing quotes received from one market source against quotes received from another market source to ensure reasonableness. In addition, the Company compares the relative change in price quotes received from one quarter to another, with the relative change experienced by published market indices for a specific asset class. Collateral specific spreads obtained from third-party, independent market sources are un-published spread quotes from market participants or market traders whom are not trustees. Management obtains this information as the result of direct communication with these sources as part of the valuation process.

51



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

8. Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Continued)

        For credit spreads on the Company's name the Company obtains the quoted price of CDS contracts traded on AGC from market data sources published by third parties.

Example

        The following is an example of how changes in gross spreads, the Company's own credit spread and the cost to buy protection on the Company affect the amount of premium the Company can demand for its credit protection. Scenario 1 represents the market conditions in effect on the transaction date and Scenario 2 represents market conditions at a subsequent reporting date.

 
  Scenario 1   Scenario 2  
 
  bps   % of Total   bps   % of Total  

Original gross spread/cash bond price (in bps)

    185           500        

Bank profit (in bps)

    115     62 %   50     10 %

Hedge cost (in bps)

    30     16     440     88  

The Company premium received per annum (in bps)

    40     22     10     2  

        In Scenario 1, the gross spread is 185 basis points. The bank or deal originator captures 115 basis points of the original gross spread and hedges 10% of its exposure to AGC, when the CDS spread on AGC was 300 basis points (300 basis points × 10% = 30 basis points). Under this scenario the Company received premium of 40 basis points, or 22% of the gross spread.

        In Scenario 2, the gross spread is 500 basis points. The bank or deal originator captures 50 basis points of the original gross spread and hedges 25% of its exposure to AGC, when the CDS spread on AGC was 1,760 basis points (1,760 basis points × 25% = 440 basis points). Under this scenario the Company would receive premium of 10 basis points, or 2% of the gross spread.

        In this example, the contractual cash flows (the Company premium received per annum above) exceed the amount a market participant would require the Company to pay in today's market to accept its obligations under the CDS contract, thus resulting in an asset. This credit derivative asset is equal to the difference in premium rate discounted at the corresponding LIBOR over the weighted average remaining life of the contract. The expected future cash flows for the Company's credit derivatives were discounted at rates ranging from 1.0% to 3.6% at June 30, 2010. The expected future cash flows for the Company's credit derivatives were discounted at rates ranging from 1.0% to 4.5% at December 31, 2009.

        The Company corroborates the assumptions in its fair value model, including the amount of exposure to AGC hedged by its counterparties, with independent third parties each reporting period. The current level of AGC's own credit spread has resulted in the bank or deal originator hedging a significant portion of its exposure to AGC. This reduces the amount of contractual cash flows AGC can capture for selling its protection.

        The amount of premium a financial guaranty insurance market participant can demand is inversely related to the cost of credit protection on the insurance company as measured by market credit spreads. This is because the buyers of credit protection typically hedge a portion of their risk to the financial guarantor, due to the fact that contractual terms of financial guaranty insurance contracts typically do not require the posting of collateral by the guarantor. The widening of a financial

52



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

8. Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Continued)


guarantor's own credit spread increases the cost to buy credit protection on the guarantor, thereby reducing the amount of premium the guarantor can capture out of the gross spread on the deal. The extent of the hedge depends on the types of instruments insured and the current market conditions.

        A credit derivative asset is the result of contractual cash flows on in-force deals in excess of what a hypothetical financial guarantor could receive if it sold protection on the same risk as of the current reporting date. If the Company were able to freely exchange these contracts (i.e., assuming its contracts did not contain proscriptions on transfer and there was a viable exchange market), it would be able to realize an asset representing the difference between the higher contractual premiums to which it is entitled and the current market premiums for a similar contract.

        Management does not believe there is an established market where financial guaranty insured credit derivatives are actively traded. The terms of the protection under an insured financial guaranty credit derivative do not, except for certain rare circumstances, allow the Company to exit its contracts. Management has determined that the exit market for the Company's credit derivatives is a hypothetical one based on its entry market. Management has tracked the historical pricing of the Company's deals to establish historical price points in the hypothetical market that are used in the fair value calculation.

        The following spread hierarchy is utilized in determining which source of spread to use, with the rule being to use CDS spreads where available. If not available, the Company either interpolates or extrapolates CDS spreads based on similar transactions or market indices.

    Actual collateral specific credit spreads (if up-to-date and reliable market-based spreads are available, they are used).

    Credit spreads are interpolated based upon market indices or deals priced or closed during a specific quarter within a specific asset class and specific rating.

    Credit spreads provided by the counterparty of the CDS.

    Credit spreads are extrapolated based upon transactions of similar asset classes, similar ratings, and similar time to maturity.

        Over time the data inputs can change as new sources become available or existing sources are discontinued or are no longer considered to be the most appropriate. It is the Company's objective to move to higher levels on the hierarchy whenever possible, but it is sometimes necessary to move to lower priority inputs because of discontinued data sources or management's assessment that the higher priority inputs are no longer considered to be representative of market spreads for a given type of collateral. This can happen, for example, if transaction volume changes such that a previously used spread index is no longer viewed as being reflective of current market levels.

53



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

8. Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Continued)

Information by Credit Spread Type

 
  As of
June 30,
2010
  As of
December 31,
2009
 

Based on actual collateral specific spreads

    9 %   9 %

Based on market indices

    81 %   81 %

Provided by the CDS counterparty

    10 %   10 %
           

Total

    100 %   100 %
           

        The Company interpolates a curve based on the historical relationship between premium the Company receives when a financial guaranty contract written in CDS form is closed to the daily closing price of the market index related to the specific asset class and rating of the deal. This curve indicates expected credit spreads at each indicative level on the related market index. For specific transactions where no price quotes are available and credit spreads need to be extrapolated, an alternative transaction for which the Company has received a spread quote from one of the first three sources within the Company's spread hierarchy is chosen. This alternative transaction will be within the same asset class, have similar underlying assets, similar credit ratings, and similar time to maturity. The Company then calculates the percentage of relative spread change quarter over quarter for the alternative transaction. This percentage change is then applied to the historical credit spread of the transaction for which no price quote was received in order to calculate the transactions current spread. Counterparties determine credit spreads by reviewing new issuance pricing for specific asset classes and receiving price quotes from their trading desks for the specific asset in question. These quotes are validated by cross-referencing quotes received from one market source with those quotes received from another market source to ensure reasonableness. In addition, management compares the relative change experienced on published market indices for a specific asset class for reasonableness and accuracy.

Strengths and Weaknesses of Model

        The Company's credit derivative valuation model, like any financial model, has certain strengths and weaknesses.

        The primary strengths of the Company's CDS modeling techniques are:

    The model takes account of transaction structure and the key drivers of market value. The transaction structure includes par insured, weighted average life, level of subordination and composition of collateral.

    The model maximizes the use of market-driven inputs whenever they are available. The key inputs to the model are market-based spreads for the collateral, and the credit rating of referenced entities. These are viewed by the Company to be the key parameters that affect fair value of the transaction.

    The Company is able to use actual transactions, when available, to validate its model results and to explain the correlation between various market indices and indicative CDS market prices.

54



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

8. Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Continued)

      Management first attempts to compare modeled values to premiums on deals the Company received on new deals written within the reporting period. If no new transactions were written for a particular asset type in the period or if the number of transactions is not reflective of a representative sample, management compares modeled results to premium bids offered by the Company to provide credit protection on new transactions within the reporting period, the premium the Company has received on historical transactions to provide credit protection in net tight and wide credit environments and/or the premium on transactions closed by other financial guaranty insurance companies during the reporting period.

    The model is a documented, consistent approach to valuing positions that minimizes subjectivity. The Company has developed a hierarchy for market-based spread inputs that helps mitigate the degree of subjectivity during periods of high illiquidity.

        The primary weaknesses of the Company's CDS modeling techniques are:

    There is no exit market or actual exit transactions. Therefore the Company's exit market is a hypothetical one based on the Company's entry market.

    There is a very limited market in which to verify the fair values developed by the Company's model.

    At June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, the markets for the inputs to the model were highly illiquid, which impacts their reliability. However, the Company employs various procedures to corroborate the reasonableness of quotes received and calculated by the Company's internal valuation model, including comparing to other quotes received on similarly structured transactions, observed spreads on structured products with comparable underlying assets and, on a selective basis when possible, through second independent quotes on the same reference obligation.

    Due to the non-standard terms under which the Company enters into derivative contracts, the fair value of its credit derivatives may not reflect the same prices observed in an actively traded market of credit derivatives that do not contain terms and conditions similar to those observed in the financial guaranty market.

        Financial assets and liabilities are classified in their entirety based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement. As of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, these contracts are classified as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy since there is reliance on at least one unobservable input deemed significant to the valuation model, most significantly the Company's estimate of the value of the non-standard terms and conditions of its credit derivative contracts and of the Company's current credit standing.

Fair Value Option on Financial Guaranty VIE Assets and Liabilities

        The Company elected the Fair Value Option for financial guaranty VIE assets and liabilities upon adopting the new accounting guidance on accounting for VIEs (see Note 7).

55



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

8. Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Continued)

        The Company's financial guaranty VIEs issued securities collateralized by Alt-A second lien RMBS and other receivables. As the lowest level input that is significant to the fair value measurement of these securities in its entirety was a Level 3 input, we classified all such securities as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy. The securities were priced with the assistance of an independent third-party using a discounted cash flow approach and the third- party's proprietary pricing models. The models to price the VIEs liabilities used, where appropriate, inputs such as estimated prepayment speeds; losses; recoveries; market values of the assets that collateralize the securities; estimated default rates (determined on the basis of an analysis of collateral attributes, historical collateral performance, borrower profiles and other features relevant to the evaluation of collateral credit quality); discount rates implied by market prices for similar securities; house price depreciation/appreciation rates based on macroeconomic forecasts and benefit from the Company's insurance policy guaranteeing the timely payment of principal and interest for the VIE tranches insured by the Company. Those VIE liabilities insured by the Company are considered to be with recourse, since the Company guarantees the payment of principal and interest regardless of the performance of the related VIE assets.

        The Company is not primarily liable for the debt obligations issued by the VIEs and would only be required to make payments on these debt obligations in the event that the issuer of such debt obligations defaults on any principal or interest due. The Company's creditors do not have any rights with regard to the assets of the VIEs.

        The Company determined the fair value of the VIE assets using a similar methodology as described above with the exception that there was no benefit assigned to the value of the Company's financial guarantee, since the Company does not guarantee the performance of the underlying assets of the VIE.

        Changes in fair value of the financial guaranty VIE assets and liabilities are included in the consolidated statement of operations. Interest income on VIE assets is recognized when received and recorded in "variable interest entities' revenues" in the consolidated statements of operations. Except for credit impairment, the unrealized fair value adjustments related to the consolidated VIEs will reverse to zero over the terms of these financial instruments.

        The total unpaid principal balance for the VIE assets that were over 90 days or more past due was approximately $16.1 million. The change in the instrument-specific credit risk of the VIE assets was a gain of approximately $1.3 million and $37.0 million for the Second Quarter 2010 and Six Months 2010, respectively. The difference between the aggregate unpaid principal and aggregate fair value of the VIE liabilities was approximately $215.5 million at June 30, 2010.

Financial Instruments Carried at Fair Value on a Non-recurring Basis

Level 3 Instruments

        The table below presents a rollforward of the Company's financial instruments whose fair value included significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) during the Second Quarter and Six Months 2010 and 2009. There were no significant transfers between Level 1 and Level 2 financial assets during the period.

56



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

8. Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Continued)

Fair Value Level 3 Rollforward

 
   
  Second Quarter 2010  
 
   
  Total Pre-tax Realized/
Unrealized
Gains/(Losses)(1)
Recorded in:
   
   
   
  Change in
Unrealized
Gains/(Losses)
Related to
Financial
Instruments
Held at
June 30,
2010
 
 
  Fair
Value at
March 31,
2010
  Net
Income
(Loss)
  Other
Comprehensive
Income
(Loss)
  Purchases,
Issuances,
Settlements,
net
  Transfers
in and/or
out of
Level 3
  Fair
Value at
June 30,
2010
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

Investment portfolio

  $ 31,445   $ 3,762 (2) $ (8,101 ) $ 124   $ 8,673   $ 35,903   $ (8,101 )

Financial guaranty VIE assets

    369,871     27,435 (3)       (4,949 )       392,357     25,009  

Credit derivative asset (liability), net(4)

    (614,012 )   31,118 (5)       (11,581 )       (594,475 )   24,052  

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities with recourse

    (403,688 )   (35,953 )(3)       6,294         (433,347 )   37,525  

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities without recourse

    (14,674 )   64 (3)       2,081         (12,529 )   (2,144 )

 

 
   
  Second Quarter 2009  
 
   
   
   
   
   
   
  Change in
Unrealized
Gains/(Losses)
Related to
Financial
Instruments
Held at
June 30,
2009
 
 
   
  Total Pre-tax Realized/
Unrealized
Gains/(Losses)(1)
Recorded in:
   
   
   
 
 
  Fair
Value at
March 31,
2009
  Purchases,
Issuances,
Settlements,
net
  Transfers
in and/or
out of
Level 3
  Fair
Value at
June 30,
2009
 
 
  Net
Income
(Loss)
  Other
Comprehensive
Income (Loss)
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

Credit derivative asset (liability), net(5)

  $ (369,951 ) $ (203,006 )(5) $   $ (7,086 ) $   $ (580,043 ) $ (275,065 )

Fair Value Level 3 Rollforward

 
   
   
   
  Six Months 2010  
 
   
   
   
  Total Pre-tax Realized/
Unrealized
Gains/(Losses)(1)
Recorded in:
   
   
   
  Change in
Unrealized
Gains/(Losses)
Related to
Financial
Instruments
Held at
June 30,
2010
 
 
  Fair
Value at
December 31,
2009
  Adoption
of New
Accounting
Guidance
  Fair
Value at
January 1,
2010
  Net
Income
(Loss)
  Other
Comprehensive
Income
(Loss)
  Purchases,
Issuances,
Settlements,
net
  Transfers
in and/or
out of
Level 3
  Fair
Value at
June 30,
2010
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

Investment portfolio

  $   $   $   $ 3,666 (2) $ (7,422 ) $ 2,558   $ 37,101   $ 35,903   $ (7,422 )

Financial guaranty VIE assets

        348,324     348,324     54,483 (3)       (10,450 )       392,357     56,886  

Credit derivative asset (liability), net(4)

    (824,734 )       (824,734 )   233,894 (5)       (3,635 )       (594,475 )   22,656  

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities with recourse

        (390,274 )   (390,274 )   (52,431 )(3)       9,358         (433,347 )   18,958  

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities without recourse

        (18,055 )   (18,055 )   1,008 (3)       4,518         (12,529 )   (4,927 )

57



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

8. Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Continued)

 

 
   
  Six Months 2009  
 
   
   
   
   
   
   
  Change in
Unrealized
Gains/(Losses)
Related to
Financial
Instruments
Held at
June 30,
2009
 
 
   
  Total Pre-tax Realized/
Unrealized
Gains/(Losses)(1)
Recorded in:
   
   
   
 
 
  Fair
Value at
December 31,
2008
  Purchases,
Issuances,
Settlements,
net
  Transfers
in and/or
out of
Level 3
  Fair
Value at
June 30,
2009
 
 
  Net
Income
(Loss)
  Other
Comprehensive
Income (Loss)
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

Credit derivative asset (liability), net(5)

  $ (341,546 ) $ (203,060 )(5) $   $ (35,437 ) $   $ (580,043 ) $ (247,883 )

(1)
Realized and unrealized gains (losses) from changes in values of Level 3 financial instruments represent gains (losses) from changes in values of those financial instruments only for the periods in which the instruments were classified as Level 3.

(2)
Included in net investment income.

(3)
Included in financial guaranty variable interest entities revenues or expenses.

(4)
Represents net position of credit derivatives. The consolidated balance sheet presents gross assets and liabilities based on net counterparty exposure.

(5)
Reported in net change in fair value of credit derivatives.

Unearned Premium Reserves

        The fair value of the Company's unearned premium reserve was based on management's estimate of what a similarly rated financial guaranty insurance company would demand to acquire the Company's in-force book of financial guaranty insurance business. This amount was based on the pricing assumptions management has observed in recent portfolio transfers that have occurred in the financial guaranty market and included adjustments to the carrying value of unearned premium reserve for stressed losses and ceding commissions. The significant inputs for stressed losses and ceding commissions were not readily observable inputs. The Company accordingly classified this fair value measurement as Level 3.

Note Payable to Affiliate

        The fair value of the Company's note payable to affiliate is determined by calculating the effect of changes in U.S. Treasury yield at the end of reporting period and the appropriate credit spread for similar debt instruments. The significant market inputs are observable, therefore, the Company classified this fair value measurement as Level 2.

58



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

9. Investment Portfolio

        The following table summarizes the Company's aggregate investment portfolio:

Investment Portfolio by Security Type

 
  As of June 30, 2010
Investments Category
  Percent of
Total(1)
  Amortized
Cost
  Gross
Unrealized
Gains
  Gross
Unrealized
Losses
  Estimated
Fair Value
  AOCI
gain (loss)
on Securities
with
OTTI(2)
  Weighted
Average of
Credit
Quality
 
   
  (dollars in thousands)
   

Fixed maturity securities

                                       
 

U.S. government and agencies

    17 % $ 446,044   $ 20,379   $   $ 466,423   $   AAA
 

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

    46     1,240,781     44,976     (3,040 )   1,282,717       AA
 

Corporate securities

    8     215,922     6,776     (1,145 )   221,553       A+
 

Mortgage-backed securities(2):

                                       
   

RMBS

    6     151,253     2,005     (12,372 )   140,886     291   A
   

CMBS

    2     74,217     3,567     (52 )   77,732       AA+
 

Asset-backed securities

    3     85,736     901     (19 )   86,618       AAA
 

Foreign government securities

    3     82,129     5,112         87,241       AA+
                             
   

Total fixed maturity securities

    85     2,296,082     83,716     (16,628 )   2,363,170     291   AA

Short-term investments

    15     389,929             389,929       AAA
                             
   

Total investment portfolio

    100 % $ 2,686,011   $ 83,716   $ (16,628 ) $ 2,753,099   $ 291   AA+
                             

59



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

9. Investment Portfolio (Continued)

 

 
  As of December 31, 2009
Investments Category
  Percent of
Total(1)
  Amortized
Cost
  Gross
Unrealized
Gains
  Gross
Unrealized
Losses
  Estimated
Fair Value
  AOCI
gain (loss)
on Securities
with
OTTI(2)
  Weighted
Average of
Credit
Quality
 
   
  (dollars in thousands)
   

Fixed maturity securities

                                       
 

U.S. government and agencies

    16 % $ 445,714   $ 6,590   $ (776 ) $ 451,528   $   AAA
 

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

    36     1,018,185     44,738     (3,868 )   1,059,055       AA
 

Corporate securities

    6     182,153     3,004     (1,869 )   183,288       A+
 

Mortgage-backed securities(2):

                                       
   

RMBS

    7     197,558         (6,993 )   190,565     (539 ) AA-
   

CMBS

    2     65,173     771     (1,602 )   64,342     (1,183 ) AA+
 

Asset-backed securities

    1     16,827         (75 )   16,752       AAA
 

Foreign government securities

    3     77,096     2,851     (266 )   79,681       AAA
                             
   

Total fixed maturity securities

    71     2,002,706     57,954     (15,449 )   2,045,211     (1,722 ) AA

Short-term investments

    29     802,567             802,567       AAA
                             
   

Total investment portfolio

    100 % $ 2,805,273   $ 57,954   $ (15,449 ) $ 2,847,778   $ (1,722 ) AA+
                             

(1)
Based on amortized cost.

(2)
As of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, respectively, approximately 48% and 61% of the Company's total mortgage-backed securities were government agency obligations.

        Ratings in the tables above represent the lower of the Moody's and S&P classifications. The Company's portfolio is comprised primarily of high-quality, liquid instruments. The Company continues to receive sufficient information to value its investments and has not had to modify its valuation approach due to the current market conditions.

        The amortized cost and estimated fair value of available-for-sale fixed maturity securities by contractual maturity as of June 30, 2010, are shown below. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties.

60



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

9. Investment Portfolio (Continued)

Distribution of Fixed-Maturity Securities in the Investment Portfolio
by Contractual Maturity

 
  As of June 30, 2010  
 
  Amortized
Cost
  Estimated
Fair Value
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

Due within one year

  $ 9,986   $ 10,216  

Due after one year through five years

    725,496     746,481  

Due after five years through ten years

    312,993     333,209  

Due after ten years

    1,022,137     1,054,646  

Mortgage-backed securities:

             
 

RMBS

    151,253     140,886  
 

CMBS

    74,217     77,732  
           

Total

  $ 2,296,082   $ 2,363,170  
           

        Proceeds from the sale of available-for-sale fixed maturity securities were $146.9 million and $387.1 million for Six Months 2010 and 2009, respectively.

Net Investment Income

 
  Second Quarter   Six Months  
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Income from fixed maturity securities

  $ 24,236   $ 19,956   $ 44,133   $ 39,153  

Income from short-term investments

    113     172     344     691  
                   
 

Gross investment income

    24,349     20,128     44,477     39,844  

Investment expenses

    (553 )   (415 )   (1,122 )   (830 )
                   
 

Net investment income

  $ 23,796   $ 19,713   $ 43,355   $ 39,014  
                   

        Under agreements with its cedants and in accordance with statutory requirements, the Company maintains fixed maturity securities in trust accounts of $8.4 million and $8.0 million as of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, respectively, for the benefit of reinsured companies and for the protection of policyholders.

        Under certain derivative contracts, AGC is required to post eligible securities as collateral, generally cash or U.S. government or agency securities. The need to post collateral under these transactions is generally based on mark-to-market valuation in excess of contractual thresholds. The fair market value of AGC's pledged securities totaled $636.9 million and $648.7 million as of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, respectively.

        The Company is not exposed to significant concentrations of credit risk within its investment portfolio.

        No material investments of the Company were non-income producing for the Second Quarter and Six Months 2010 and 2009, respectively.

61



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

9. Investment Portfolio (Continued)

Other-Than Temporary Impairment

        The credit loss component of the amortized cost of fixed maturity securities for which the Company has recognized OTTI and where the portion of the fair value adjustment related to other factors was recognized in OCI was $1.6 million at June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009.

        As of June 30, 2010, amounts, net of tax OCI included a net unrealized gain of $0.2 million for securities for which the Company had recognized OTTI and a gain of $43.4 million for securities for which the Company had not recognized OTTI. As of December 31, 2009, amounts, net of tax, in accumulated OCI included an unrealized loss of $1.1 million for securities for which the Company had recognized OTTI and an unrealized gain of $28.7 million for securities for which the Company had not recognized OTTI.

        The following tables summarize, for all securities in an unrealized loss position as of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, the aggregate fair value and gross unrealized loss by length of time the amounts have continuously been in an unrealized loss position.

Gross Unrealized Loss by Length of Time

 
  As of June 30, 2010  
 
  Less than 12 months   12 months or more   Total  
 
  Fair
value
  Unrealized
loss
  Fair
value
  Unrealized
loss
  Fair
value
  Unrealized
loss
 
 
  (dollars in millions)
 

U.S. government and agencies

  $   $   $   $   $   $  

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

    244.2     (1.6 )   38.2     (1.3 )   282.4     (2.9 )

Corporate securities

    31.8     (1.1 )   1.5     (0.1 )   33.3     (1.2 )

Mortgage-backed securities:

                                     
 

RMBS

    46.1     (12.4 )           46.1     (12.4 )
 

CMBS

    6.0     (0.1 )           6.0     (0.1 )

Asset-backed securities

    28.3     (0.0 )           28.3     (0.0 )

Foreign government securities

                         
                           
 

Total

  $ 356.4   $ (15.2 ) $ 39.7   $ (1.4 ) $ 396.1   $ (16.6 )
                           
 

Number of securities

          60           7           67  
                                 
 

Number of securities with OTTI

                               
                                 

62



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

9. Investment Portfolio (Continued)

 

 
  As of December 31, 2009  
 
  Less than 12 months   12 months or more   Total  
 
  Fair
value
  Unrealized
loss
  Fair
value
  Unrealized
loss
  Fair
value
  Unrealized
loss
 
 
  (dollars in millions)
 

U.S. government and agencies

  $ 96.7   $ (0.8 ) $   $   $ 96.7   $ (0.8 )

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

    111.5     (1.7 )   48.8     (2.2 )   160.3     (3.9 )

Corporate securities

    121.6     (1.7 )   1.7     (0.2 )   123.3     (1.9 )

Mortgage-backed securities:

                                     
 

RMBS

    183.7     (7.0 )           183.7     (7.0 )
 

CMBS

    23.0     (1.1 )   12.0     (0.5 )   35.0     (1.6 )

Asset-backed securities

    16.6     (0.1 )           16.6     (0.1 )

Foreign government securities

    24.0     (0.2 )           24.0     (0.2 )
                           
 

Total

  $ 577.1   $ (12.6 ) $ 62.5   $ (2.9 ) $ 639.6   $ (15.5 )
                           
 

Number of securities

          80           12           92  
                                 
 

Number of securities with OTTI

          5                     5  
                                 

        Of the securities in an unrealized loss position for 12 months or more as of June 30, 2010, none had an unrealized loss greater than 10% of book value.

Net Realized Investment Gains (Losses)

 
  Second Quarter   Six Months  
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Realized gains on investment portfolio

  $ 1,100   $ 7,441   $ 4,264   $ 13,644  

Realized losses on investment portfolio

    (1,093 )   (325 )   (1,416 )   (3,781 )

OTTI

    (400 )   (1,760 )   (400 )   (4,269 )
                   
 

Net realized investment (losses) gains on investment portfolio

  $ (393 ) $ 5,356   $ 2,448   $ 5,594  
                   

10. Income Taxes

        AGC files as part of a consolidated federal income tax return with its shareholder, Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. ("AGUS") and its U.S. taxpaying subsidiaries. Each company, as a member of its respective consolidated tax return group, has paid its proportionate share of the consolidated federal tax burden for its group as if each company filed on a separate return basis with current period credit for net losses.

        The effective rate for Second Quarter 2010 and Second Quarter 2009 was 29.3% and 37.0%, respectively. The effective rate for Six Months 2010 and Six Months 2009 was 32.7% and 39.4%,

63



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

10. Income Taxes (Continued)


respectively. The change in the effective tax rate from year to year is primarily due to a higher portion of pre-tax income earned in different tax jurisdictions at varying statutory rates.

Taxation of Subsidiary

        AGC and AGUK are subject to income taxes imposed by U.S. and U.K. authorities and file applicable tax returns.

        The Internal Revenue Service ("IRS") has completed audits of AGC's federal tax returns for taxable years through 2001. The IRS is currently reviewing tax years 2002 through the date of the IPO. The Company is indemnified by ACE Financial Services Inc. for any potential tax liability associated with the tax examination as it relates to years prior to the IPO. The IRS has commenced an audit of AGUS consolidated group for tax years 2006 through 2008.

Tax Treatment of CDS

        AGC treats the guaranty it provides on CDS as insurance contracts for tax purposes and as such a taxable loss does not occur until AGC expects to make a loss payment to the buyer of credit protection based upon the occurrence of one or more specified credit events with respect to the contractually referenced obligation or entity. AGC holds its CDS to maturity, at which time any unrealized mark to market loss in excess of credit- related losses would revert to zero.

        The tax treatment of CDS is an unsettled area of the law. The uncertainty relates to the IRS determination of the income or potential loss associated with CDS as either subject to capital gain (loss) or ordinary income (loss) treatment. In treating CDS as insurance contracts AGC treats both the receipt of premium and payment of losses as ordinary income and believes it is more likely than not that any CDS credit related losses will be treated as ordinary by the IRS. To the extent the IRS takes the view that the losses are capital losses in the future and AGC incurred actual losses associated with the CDS, AGC would need sufficient taxable income of the same character within the carryback and carryforward period available under the tax law.

Valuation Allowance

        As of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, net deferred tax assets were $181.7 million and $241.8 million, respectively. The June 30, 2010, deferred tax asset of $181.7 million consists primarily of $162.0 million in mark to market adjustments for CDS, offset by net deferred tax liabilities. The December 31, 2009 deferred tax asset of $241.8 million consists primarily of $205.0 million in mark to market adjustments for CDS, offset by net deferred tax liabilities.

64



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

10. Income Taxes (Continued)

        The Company came to the conclusion that it is more likely than not that its net deferred tax asset will be fully realized after weighing all positive and negative evidence available as required under GAAP. The evidence that was considered included the following:

Negative Evidence

    Although the Company believes that income or losses for its CDS are properly characterized for tax purposes as ordinary, the federal tax treatment is an unsettled area of tax law, as noted above.

    Changes in the fair value of CDS have resulted in significant swings in the Company's net income in recent periods. Changes in the fair value of CDS in future periods could result in the U.S. consolidated tax group having a pre-tax loss under GAAP. Although not recognized for tax, this loss could result in a cumulative three year pre-tax loss, which is considered significant negative evidence for the recoverability of a deferred tax asset under GAAP.

Positive Evidence

    The mark-to-market loss on CDS is not considered a tax event, and therefore no taxable loss has occurred.

    After analysis of the current tax law on CDS the Company believes it is more likely than not that the CDS will be treated as ordinary income or loss for tax purposes.

    Assuming a hypothetical loss was triggered for the amount of deferred tax asset, there would be enough taxable income in the future to offset it as follows:

    (a)
    The amortization of the tax-basis unearned premium reserve of $833.5 million as of June 30, 2010, as well as the collection of future installment premiums on contracts already written the Company believes will result in significant taxable income in the future.

    (b)
    Although the Company has a significant tax exempt portfolio, this can be converted to taxable securities as permitted as a tax planning strategy under GAAP.

    (c)
    The mark-to-market loss is reflective of market valuations and will change from quarter to quarter. It is not indicative of the Company's ability to write new business. The Company writes and continues to write new business which will increase the amortization of unearned premium and investment portfolio resulting in expected taxable income in future periods.

        After examining all of the available positive and negative evidence, the Company believes that no additional valuation allowance is necessary in connection with this deferred tax asset. The Company will continue to analyze the need for a valuation allowance on a quarter-to-quarter basis.

65



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

11. Reinsurance

        AGC assumes exposure on insured obligations ("Reinsurance Business") and cedes portions of its exposure on obligations it has insured ("Ceded Business") in exchange for premiums, net of ceding commissions.

        AGC enters into ceded reinsurance agreements with non-affiliated companies to limit its exposure to risk on an on-going basis. In the event that any of the reinsurers are unable to meet their obligations, AGC would be liable for such defaulted amounts.

        Direct, assumed, and ceded premium and loss and LAE amounts for the Second Quarter and Six Months 2010 and 2009 were as follows:

 
  Second Quarter   Six Months  
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Premiums Written

                         
 

Direct

  $ 25,875   $ 137,548   $ 52,492   $ 277,628  
 

Assumed

    (47 )   3,903     (365 )   98,416  
 

Ceded

    (2,586 )   (44,771 )   (8,681 )   (116,957 )
                   
 

Net

  $ 23,242   $ 96,680   $ 43,446   $ 259,087  
                   

Premiums Earned

                         
 

Direct

  $ 29,657   $ 30,273   $ 63,232   $ 136,127  
 

Assumed

    6,387     7,969     13,858     17,825  
 

Ceded

    (10,906 )   (11,576 )   (22,462 )   (59,561 )
                   
 

Net

  $ 25,138   $ 26,666   $ 54,628   $ 94,391  
                   

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses

                         
 

Direct

  $ 20,025   $ 28,940     60,829   $ 44,006  
 

Assumed

    (6,613 )   10,945     (247 )   18,875  
 

Ceded

    (9,691 )   6,542     (22,337 )   4,928  
                   
 

Net

  $ 3,721   $ 46,427   $ 38,245   $ 67,809  
                   

        AGC's Ceded contracts generally allow AGC to recapture Ceded Business after certain triggering events, such as reinsurer downgrades.

66



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

11. Reinsurance (Continued)

Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer and Ratings

 
  Ratings at July 31, 2010    
   
 
 
   
  Ceded Par
Outstanding
as a % of
Total
 
Reinsurer
  Moody's
Reinsurer Rating
  S&P
Reinsurer Rating
  Ceded Par
Outstanding
 
 
  (dollars in millions)
 

Affiliated Companies(1)

  A1   AA   $ 44,409     92.5 %

Non-Affiliated Companies:

                     
 

RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd. 

  WR(2)   WR(2)     3,091     6.4  
 

Radian Asset Assurance Inc. ("Radian")

  Ba1   BB-     176     0.4  
 

MBIA Insurance Corporation

  B3   BB+     171     0.4  
 

Ambac Assurance Corporation

  Caa2   R     109     0.2  
 

Other

  Various   Various     38     0.1  
                   

Non-Affiliated Companies

            3,585     7.5  
                   
   

Total

          $ 47,994     100.0 %
                   

(1)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. and its subsidiaries ("AG Re") are affiliates of AGC.

(2)
Represents "Withdrawn Rating."

Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer and Credit Rating
As of June 30, 2010

 
  Credit Rating  
Reinsurer
  Super Senior   AAA   AA   A   BBB   BIG   Total  
 
  (in millions)
 

Affiliated Companies

  $ 2,894   $ 6,131   $ 6,252   $ 18,927   $ 7,182   $ 3,023   $ 44,409  

RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd. 

    336     1,390     152     516     417     280     3,091  

Radian

                176             176  

MBIA Insurance Corporation

            171                 171  

Ambac Assurance Corporation

                109             109  

Other

            1         37         38  
                               
 

Total

  $ 3,230   $ 7,521   $ 6,576   $ 19,728   $ 7,636   $ 3,303   $ 47,994  
                               

        In accordance with statutory accounting requirements and U.S. insurance laws and regulations, in order for the Company to receive credit for liabilities ceded to reinsurers domiciled outside of the U.S., such reinsurers must secure their liabilities to the Company. Most of the unauthorized reinsurers in the table above post collateral for the benefit of the Company in an amount at least equal to the sum of their ceded unearned premiums reserve, loss reserves and contingency reserves calculated on a statutory basis of accounting. In the case of CIFG Assurance North America Inc. ("CIFG") and Radian, which are authorized reinsurers and, therefore, are not required to post security, their collateral equals or exceeds their ceded statutory loss reserves. Collateral may be in the form of letters of credit or trust accounts. The total collateral posted by all non-affiliated reinsurers as of June 30, 2010 exceeds $28.4 million.

67



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

11. Reinsurance (Continued)

        Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and LAE as of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009 were $56.9 million and $50.7 million, respectively. In the event that any or all of the reinsurers are unable to meet their obligations, the Company would be liable for such defaulted amounts.

Agreement with CIFG Assurance North America, Inc.

        AGC entered into an agreement with CIFG to assume a diversified portfolio of financial guaranty contracts totaling approximately $13.3 billion of net par outstanding. The Company closed the transaction in January 2009 and received $75.6 million, which included $85.7 million of upfront premiums net of ceding commissions, and approximately $12.2 million of future installments related to this transaction.

12. Dividends and Capital Requirements

        AGC is a Maryland domiciled insurance company. Under Maryland's 1993 revised insurance law, AGC may not pay dividends out of earned surplus in any twelve-month period in an aggregate amount exceeding the lesser of (a) 10% of surplus to policyholders or (b) net investment income at the preceding December 31, 2009 (including net investment income which has not already been paid out as dividends for the three calendar years prior to the preceding calendar year) without prior approval of the Maryland Commissioner of Insurance. As of June 30, 2010, the amount available for distribution from the Company during 2010 with notice to, but without prior approval of, the Maryland Commissioner of Insurance under the Maryland insurance law is approximately $101.9 million. During the Six Months 2010 and 2009, AGC declared and paid $30.0 million and $10.7 million, respectively, in dividends to AGUS. Under Maryland insurance regulations, AGC is required at all times to maintain a minimum capital stock of $1.5 million and minimum surplus as regards policyholders of $1.5 million.

13. Commitments and Contingencies

Litigation

        Lawsuits arise in the ordinary course of the Company's business. It is the opinion of the Company's management, based upon the information available, that the expected outcome of litigation against the Company, individually or in the aggregate, will not have a material adverse effect on the Company's financial position or liquidity, although an adverse resolution of litigation against the Company could have a material adverse effect on the Company's results of operations in a particular quarter or fiscal year. In addition, in the ordinary course of its business, either AGC or AGUK may assert claims in legal proceedings against third parties to recover losses paid in prior periods. The amounts, if any, AGC or AGUK will recover in these proceedings are uncertain, although recoveries, or failure to obtain recoveries, in any one or more of these proceedings during any quarter or fiscal year could be material to the Company's results of operations in that particular quarter or fiscal year.

        The Company has received subpoenas duces tecum and interrogatories from the State of Connecticut Attorney General and the Attorney General of the State of California related to antitrust concerns associated with the methodologies used by rating agencies for determining the credit rating of municipal debt, including a proposal by Moody's to assign corporate equivalent ratings to municipal obligations, and the Company's communications with rating agencies. The Company has satisfied or is in the process of

68



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

13. Commitments and Contingencies (Continued)


satisfying such requests. It may receive additional inquiries from these or other regulators and expects to provide additional information to such regulators regarding their inquiries in the future.

        AGM, which became an affiliate of the Company on July 1, 2009, and various other financial guarantors were named in three complaints filed in the Superior Court, San Francisco County in December 2008 and January 2009 by the following plaintiffs: (a) City of Los Angeles, acting by and through the Department of Water and Power; (b) Sacramento Municipal Utility District; and (c) City of Sacramento. On or about August 31, 2009, plaintiffs in these cases filed amended complaints against AGC and AGM. At the same time, AGC and AGM were named in six other amended complaints and three new complaints by the following plaintiffs: (d) City of Los Angeles; (e) City of Oakland; (f) City of Riverside; (g) City of Stockton; (h) County of Alameda; (i) County of Contra Costa; (j) County of San Mateo; (k) Los Angeles World Airports; and (l) City and County of San Francisco. Plaintiffs thereafter dismissed AGC and AGM from the City and County of San Francisco complaint in September 2009.

        These complaints allege (i) participation in a conspiracy in violation of California's antitrust laws to maintain a dual credit rating scale that misstated the credit default risk of municipal bond issuers and created market demand for municipal bond insurance, (ii) participation in risky financial transactions in other lines of business that damaged each bond insurer's financial condition (thereby undermining the value of each of their guaranties), and (iii) a failure to adequately disclose the impact of those transactions on their financial condition. In addition to their antitrust claims, various plaintiffs in these actions assert claims for breach of the covenant of good faith and fair dealing, fraud, unjust enrichment, negligence, and misrepresentation.

        At a hearing on March, 1, 2010, the court on its own motion struck all of the plaintiffs' complaints with leave to amend. The court instructed plaintiffs to file one consolidated compliant. The complaints in these lawsuits generally seek unspecified monetary damages, interest, attorneys' fees, costs and other expenses. On May 28, 2010, the plaintiffs, together with certain new plaintiffs, filed two consolidated complaints, making allegations similar to those contained in their previous complaints. The newly added plaintiffs are as follows: (m) City of Richmond; (n) Redwood City; (o) East Bay Municipal Utility District; (p) Sacramento Suburban Water District; (q) City of San Jose; (r) County of Tulare; (s) The Regents of the University of California; (t) The Redevelopment Agency of the City of Riverside and (u) The Public Financing Authority of the City of Riverside. On July 7, 2010, plaintiffs' counsel filed another complaint, adding as a new plaintiff (v) The Jewish Community Center of San Francisco, which in addition to asserting the claims discussed above, asserts claims for unfair business practices under California state law, and (w) the San Jose Redevelopment Agency, which asserts claims for antitrust violations under California law. By letter dated July 13, 2010, plaintiffs' counsel has proposed amending a similar complaint filed by (x) The Olympic Club to allege claims against AGC and AGM. The Company cannot reasonably estimate the possible loss or range of loss that may arise from these lawsuits.

Reinsurance

        The Company is party to reinsurance agreements with other monoline financial guaranty insurance companies. The Company's facultative and treaty agreements are generally subject to termination:

    (a)
    upon written notice (ranging from 90 to 120 days) prior to the specified deadline for renewal,

69



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

13. Commitments and Contingencies (Continued)

    (b)
    at the option of the primary insurer if the Company fails to maintain certain financial, regulatory and rating agency criteria which are equivalent to or more stringent than those the Company is otherwise required to maintain for its own compliance with state mandated insurance laws and to maintain a specified financial strength rating for the particular insurance subsidiary, or

    (c)
    upon certain changes of control of the Company.

        Upon termination under the conditions set forth in (b) and (c) above, the Company may be required (under some of its reinsurance agreements) to return to the primary insurer all statutory unearned premiums, less ceding commissions, attributable to reinsurance ceded pursuant to such agreements after which the Company would be released from liability with respect to the Ceded Business. Upon the occurrence of the conditions set forth in (b) above, whether or not an agreement is terminated, the Company may be required to obtain a letter of credit or alternative form of security to collateralize its obligation to perform under such agreement or it may be obligated to increase the level of ceding commission paid. See Note 11.

14. Summary of Relationships with Monolines

        The tables below summarize the exposure to each financial guaranty monoline insurer by exposure category and the underlying ratings of the Company's insured risks based on the Company's internal rating scale.

Summary of Relationships with Monolines

 
  As of June 30, 2010  
 
  Insured Portfolios    
  Assumed
Premium
Receivable
net of
Commissions
   
 
 
  Assumed Par
Outstanding
  Second-to-Pay
Insured Par
Outstanding
  Ceded Par
Outstanding
  Investment
Portfolio
  Expected
Loss
and LAE
 
 
  (in millions)
   
   
 

Affiliated Companies

  $   $ 42   $ 44,409   $ 97.6   $   $  

RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd. 

            3,091              

Radian

        1     176              

MBIA Insurance Corporation

    7,857     2,005     171     159.5     0.5     16.9  

CIFG

    5,995     109             9.5      

Ambac Assurance Corporation

    2,660     2,296     109     151.0     14.9     8.4  

Financial Guaranty Insurance Company

    648     1,581         5.5         17.6  

Syncora Guarantee Inc. ("Syncora")

    19     900                 1.5  

ACA Financial Guaranty Corporation

    2     1     37              

Multiple owner

        1,487                  
                           

Total

  $ 17,181     8,422   $ 47,993   $ 413.6   $ 24.9   $ 44.4  
                           

        Assumed par outstanding represents the amount of par assumed by the Company from other monolines. Under these relationships, the Company assumes a portion of the ceding company's insured

70



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

14. Summary of Relationships with Monolines (Continued)


risk in exchange for a premium. The Company may be exposed to risk in this portfolio in that the Company may be required to pay losses without a corresponding premium in circumstances where the ceding company is experiencing financial distress and is unable to pay premiums.

        Second-to-pay insured par outstanding represents transactions we have insured on a second-to-pay basis that were previously insured by other monolines. The Company underwrites such transactions based on the underlying insured obligation without regard to the primary insurer.

        Ceded par outstanding represents the portion of insured risk ceded to other reinsurers. Under these relationships, the Company cedes a portion of its insured risk in exchange for a premium paid to the reinsurer. The Company remains primarily liable for all risks it directly underwrites and is required to pay all gross claims. It then seeks reimbursement from the reinsurer for its proportionate share of claims. The Company may be exposed to risk for this exposure if were required to pay the gross claims and not be able to collect ceded claims from an assuming company experiencing financial distress. See Note 11.

        Securities within the Investment Portfolio that are wrapped by monolines may decline in value based on the rating of the monoline.

        The table below presents the insured par outstanding categorized by rating as of June 30, 2010:

Second-to-Pay Insured Par Outstanding
As of June 30, 2010

 
  Public Finance   Structured Finance    
 
 
  AAA   AA   A   BBB   BIG   AAA   AA   A   BBB   BIG   Total  
 
  (in millions)
   
 

Affiliated Companies

  $ 42   $   $   $   $   $   $   $   $   $   $ 42  

RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd. 

                                               

MBIA Insurance Corporation

    47     252     1,131     138         45     90     35     263     4     2,005  

Radian

                1                             1  

CIFG

        4     40     65                             109  

Ambac Assurance Corporation

    27     360     622     699         28         261     101     198     2,296  

Financial Guaranty Insurance Company

        48     90     335         805     168     117     18         1,581  

Syncora

            234     172             145     89     204     56     900  

ACA Financial Guaranty Corporation

                1                             1  

Multiple owner

    626     2     859                                 1,487  
                                               
 

Total

  $ 742   $ 666   $ 2,976   $ 1,411   $   $ 878   $ 403   $ 502   $ 586   $ 258   $ 8,422  
                                               

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating.

71



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

15. Note Payable to Affiliate and Credit Facilities

Note Payable to Affiliate

        On December 18, 2009, AGC issued a surplus note with a principal amount of $300.0 million to AGM. This Note Payable to Affiliate carries a simple interest rate of 5.0% per annum and matures on December 31, 2029. Principal is payable at the option of AGC prior to the final maturity of the note in 2029 and interest is payable on the note annually in arrears as of December 31st of each year, commencing December 31, 2010. Payments of principal and interest are subject to AGC having policyholders' surplus in excess of statutory minimum requirements after such payment and to prior written approval by the Maryland Insurance Administration. No amounts were due for payment in Six Months 2010.

Credit Facilities

2006 Credit Facility

        On November 6, 2006, AGL and certain of its subsidiaries entered into a $300.0 million five-year unsecured revolving credit facility (the "2006 Credit Facility") with a syndicate of banks. Under the 2006 Credit Facility, each of AGC, AGUK, AG Re, Assured Guaranty Re Overseas Ltd. ("AGRO") and AGL are entitled to request the banks to make loans to such borrower or to request that letters of credit be issued for the account of such borrower. Of the $300.0 million available to be borrowed, no more than $100.0 million may be borrowed by AGL, AG Re or AGRO, individually or in the aggregate, and no more than $20.0 million may be borrowed by AGUK. The stated amount of all outstanding letters of credit and the amount of all unpaid drawings in respect of all letters of credit cannot, in the aggregate, exceed $100.0 million. The 2006 Credit Facility also provides that AGL may request that the commitment of the banks be increased an additional $100.0 million up to a maximum aggregate amount of $400.0 million. Any such incremental commitment increase is subject to certain conditions provided in the agreement and must be for at least $25.0 million.

        The proceeds of the loans and letters of credit are to be used for the working capital and other general corporate purposes of the borrowers and to support reinsurance transactions.

        At the closing of the 2006 Credit Facility, AGC guaranteed the obligations of AGUK under the facility and AGL guaranteed the obligations of AG Re and AGRO under the facility and agreed that, if the Company consolidated assets (as defined in the related credit agreement) of AGC and its subsidiaries were to fall below $1.2 billion, it would, within 15 days, guarantee the obligations of AGC and AGUK under the facility. At the same time, Assured Guaranty Overseas US Holdings Inc. guaranteed the obligations of AGL, AG Re and AGRO under the facility, and each of AG Re and AGRO guaranteed the other as well as AGL.

        The 2006 Credit Facility's financial covenants require that AGL:

    (a)
    maintain a minimum net worth of 75% of the Consolidated Net Worth of Assured Guaranty as of June 30, 2009 (calculated as if the acquisition of AGMH had been consummated on such date); and

    (b)
    maintain a maximum debt-to-capital ratio of 30%.

        In addition, the 2006 Credit Facility requires that AGC maintain qualified statutory capital of at least 75% of its statutory capital as of the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2006. Furthermore, the 2006

72



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

15. Note Payable to Affiliate and Credit Facilities (Continued)


Credit Facility contains restrictions on AGL and its subsidiaries, including, among other things, in respect of their ability to incur debt, permit liens, become liable in respect of guaranties, make loans or investments, pay dividends or make distributions, dissolve or become party to a merger, consolidation or acquisition, dispose of assets or enter into affiliate transactions. Most of these restrictions are subject to certain minimum thresholds and exceptions. The 2006 Credit Facility has customary events of default, including (subject to certain materiality thresholds and grace periods) payment default, failure to comply with covenants, material inaccuracy of representation or warranty, bankruptcy or insolvency proceedings, change of control and cross-default to other debt agreements. A default by one borrower will give rise to a right of the lenders to terminate the facility and accelerate all amounts then outstanding. As of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, Assured Guaranty was in compliance with all of the financial covenants.

        As of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009, no amounts were outstanding under this facility. There have not been any borrowings under the 2006 Credit Facility.

        Letters of credit totaling approximately $2.9 million remained outstanding as of June 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009. The Company obtained the letters of credit in connection with entering into a lease for new office space in 2008, which space was subsequently sublet.

Committed Capital Securities

Committed Capital Securities

 
  Second Quarter   Six Months  
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Put option premium (expense)

  $ (1,804 ) $ (1,868 ) $ (3,282 ) $ (3,268 )

Fair value gain (loss)

    5,897     (60,570 )   7,318     (40,904 )

AGC CCS Securities

        On April 8, 2005, AGC entered into separate agreements (the "Put Agreements") with four custodial trusts (each, a "Custodial Trust") pursuant to which AGC may, at its option, cause each of the Custodial Trusts to purchase up to $50.0 million of perpetual preferred stock of AGC (the "AGC Preferred Stock"). The custodial trusts were created as a vehicle for providing capital support to AGC by allowing AGC to obtain immediate access to new capital at its sole discretion at any time through the exercise of the put option. If the put options were exercised, AGC would receive $200.0 million in return for the issuance of its own perpetual preferred stock, the proceeds of which may be used for any purpose, including the payment of claims. The put options have not been exercised through the date of this filing. Initially, all of AGC CCS Securities were issued to a special purpose pass-through trust (the "Pass-Through Trust"). The Pass-Through Trust was dissolved in April 2008 and the AGC CCS Securities were distributed to the holders of the Pass-Through Trust's securities. Neither the Pass-Through Trust nor the custodial trusts are consolidated in the Company's financial statements.

        Income distributions on the Pass-Through Trust Securities and AGC CCS Securities were equal to an annualized rate of one-month LIBOR plus 110 basis points for all periods ending on or prior to

73



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

15. Note Payable to Affiliate and Credit Facilities (Continued)


April 8, 2008. Following dissolution of the Pass-Through Trust, distributions on the AGC CCS Securities are determined pursuant to an auction process. On April 7, 2008, this auction process failed, thereby increasing the annualized rate on the AGC CCS Securities to One-Month LIBOR plus 250 basis points. Distributions on the AGC preferred stock will be determined pursuant to the same process.

16. Employee Benefit Plans

Share-Based Compensation

Share-Based Compensation Summary

 
  Second Quarter   Six Months  
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  
 
  (in millions)
 

Share-based compensation cost, before the effects of DAC, pre tax

  $ 1.6   $ 1.5   $ 4.3   $ 3.7  

Share based compensation expense for retirement-eligible employees, pre-tax

            1.5     0.6  

Cash-Based Compensation

Performance Retention Plan

 
  Second Quarter   Six Months  
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  
 
  (in millions)
 

Performance Retention Plan expense, pre-tax

  $ 0.9   $ 0.8   $ 5.1   $ 3.0  

Performance Retention Plan expense for retirement-eligible employees, pre-tax

            1.3     1.5  

17. Segment Reporting

        The Company has two principal business segments, each reported net of cessions to third party reinsurers:

    (1)
    financial guaranty direct, which includes transactions whereby the Company provides an unconditional and irrevocable guaranty that indemnifies the holder of a financial obligation against non-payment of principal and interest when due, and may take the form of a credit derivative; and

    (2)
    financial guaranty reinsurance, which includes agreements whereby the Company is a reinsurer and agrees to indemnify a primary insurance company against part or all of the loss which the latter may sustain under a policy it has issued; and

        The Other includes lines of business in which the Company no longer active. The Company does not segregate assets and liabilities at a segment level since management reviews and controls these assets and liabilities on a consolidated basis. The Company allocates operating expenses to each segment based on a comprehensive cost study and is based on departmental time estimates and headcount.

74



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

17. Segment Reporting (Continued)

        The Company manages its business without regard to accounting requirements to consolidate certain VIEs. As a result, underwriting gain or loss includes results of operations as if consolidated VIEs were accounted for as insurance.

        The following tables summarize the components of underwriting gain (loss) for each reporting segment:

Underwriting Gain (Loss) by Segment

 
  Second Quarter 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Other   Underwriting
Gain (Loss)
  Consolidation
of VIEs
  Total  
 
  (in millions)
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 21.0   $ 4.7   $ 0.1   $ 25.8   $ (0.7 ) $ 25.1  

Realized gains on credit derivatives(1)

    20.9             20.9         20.9  

Other income

    (0.4 )           (0.4 )       (0.4 )

Loss and loss adjustment (expenses) recoveries

    (8.9 )   5.2         (3.7 )   0.0     (3.7 )

Incurred losses on credit derivatives

    0.5     (0.1 )       0.4         0.4  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    1.9     (3.5 )         (1.6 )       (1.6 )

Other operating expenses

    (14.9 )   (0.9 )       (15.8 )       (15.8 )
                               

Underwriting gain (loss)

  $ 20.1   $ 5.4   $ 0.1   $ 25.6              
                               

 

 
  Second Quarter, 2009  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Other   Total  
 
  (in millions)
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 20.9   $ 5.8   $   $ 26.7  

Realized gain on credit derivatives(1)

    22.0             22.0  

Other income

    0.4             0.4  

Loss and loss adjustment (expenses) recoveries

    (24.1 )   (22.3 )       (46.4 )

Incurred losses on credit derivatives

    (25.9 )   (0.3 )       (26.2 )

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    (0.7 )   (2.4 )       (3.1 )

Other operating expenses

    (11.5 )   (2.7 )       (14.2 )
                   

Underwriting gain (loss)

  $ (18.9 ) $ (21.9 ) $   $ (40.8 )
                   

75



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

17. Segment Reporting (Continued)

 

 
  Six Months 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Other   Underwriting
Gain (Loss)
  Consolidation
of VIEs
  Total  
 
  (in millions)
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 44.4   $ 10.8     0.1   $ 55.3   $ (0.7 ) $ 54.6  

Realized gains on credit derivatives(1)

    41.5     0.1         41.6         41.6  

Other income

                         

Loss and loss adjustment (expenses) recoveries

    (37.0 )   (1.2 )       (38.2 )   0.0     (38.2 )

Incurred losses on credit derivatives

    (63.7 )   (0.5 )       (64.2 )       (64.2 )

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    (2.0 )   (3.7 )       (5.7 )       (5.7 )

Other operating expenses

    (37.9 )   (2.4 )       (40.3 )       (40.3 )
                               

Underwriting gain (loss)

  $ (54.7 ) $ 3.1   $ 0.1   $ (51.5 )            
                               

 

 
  Six Months 2009  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Other   Total  
 
  (in millions)
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 81.1   $ 13.3   $   $ 94.4  

Realized gain on credit derivatives(1)

    45.0             45.0  

Other income

    1.0     0.1         1.1  

Loss and loss adjustment (expenses) recoveries

    (48.2 )   (19.6 )       (67.8 )

Incurred losses on credit derivatives

    (27.0 )   (0.3 )       (27.3 )

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    3.1     (5.9 )       (2.8 )

Other operating expenses

    (24.7 )   (4.7 )       (29.4 )
                   

Underwriting gain (loss)

  $ 30.3   $ (17.1 ) $   $ 13.2  
                   

(1)
Comprised of premiums and ceding commissions.

76



Assured Guaranty Corp.

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) (Continued)

June 30, 2010

17. Segment Reporting (Continued)

Reconciliation of Underwriting Gain (Loss)
to Income (Loss) before Income Taxes

 
  Second Quarter   Six Months  
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  
 
  (in millions)
 

Total underwriting gain (loss)

  $ 25.6   $ (40.8 ) $ (51.5 ) $ 13.2  

Net investment income

    23.8     19.7     43.4     39.0  

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (0.4 )   5.4     2.4     5.6  

Unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, excluding incurred losses on credit derivatives

    9.8     (198.8 )   256.5     (220.7 )

Fair value (loss) gain on committed capital securities

    5.9     (60.6 )   7.3     (40.9 )

Financial guaranty VIE net revenues and expenses

    (8.4 )       3.1      

Other income(1)

    (2.5 )       (5.1 )    

Interest expense

    (3.7 )       (7.5 )    

Other operating expenses(2)

    (3.3 )   (18.0 )   (6.4 )   (19.4 )

Elimination of insurance accounts for VIE

    (0.7 )       (0.7 )    
                   

Income (loss) before provision for income taxes

  $ 46.1   $ (293.1 ) $ 241.5   $ (223.2 )
                   

(1)
Include foreign exchange gain (loss) on revaluation of premium receivable.

(2)
Represents amounts recorded for CCS premium expense and lease termination and other charges.

77




QuickLinks

Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited) (dollars in thousands except per share and share amounts)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated Statements of Operations (Unaudited) (in thousands)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income (Unaudited) (in thousands)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated Statement of Shareholder's Equity (Unaudited) For the Six Months Ended June 30, 2010 (in thousands)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited) (in thousands)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) June 30, 2010
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-----END PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE-----