-----BEGIN PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE----- Proc-Type: 2001,MIC-CLEAR Originator-Name: webmaster@www.sec.gov Originator-Key-Asymmetric: MFgwCgYEVQgBAQICAf8DSgAwRwJAW2sNKK9AVtBzYZmr6aGjlWyK3XmZv3dTINen TWSM7vrzLADbmYQaionwg5sDW3P6oaM5D3tdezXMm7z1T+B+twIDAQAB MIC-Info: RSA-MD5,RSA, AdwC6+54M+feijqD3gYc11y8azw1z/OXOV4tu4ZtT8rpgNSkb5ZUeqIQVkpsHPYh VFM/Y5Iu4gLOvQZjNF6Rpg== 0001047469-10-007073.txt : 20100805 0001047469-10-007073.hdr.sgml : 20100805 20100805172320 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001047469-10-007073 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 6 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20100805 ITEM INFORMATION: Results of Operations and Financial Condition ITEM INFORMATION: Regulation FD Disclosure ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20100805 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20100805 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: ASSURED GUARANTY LTD CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0001273813 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: SURETY INSURANCE [6351] IRS NUMBER: 000000000 STATE OF INCORPORATION: D0 FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 001-32141 FILM NUMBER: 10995621 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 30 WOOD BOURNE AVE CITY: HAMILTON BERMUDA STATE: D0 ZIP: 0000 BUSINESS PHONE: 441-279-5700 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: 30 WOOD BOURNE AVE CITY: HAMILTON BERMUDA STATE: D0 ZIP: 0000 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: AGR LTD DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 20040122 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: AGC HOLDINGS LTD DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 20031218 8-K 1 a2199690z8-k.htm FORM 8-K
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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549



FORM 8-K
Current Report
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): August 5, 2010



ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)



Bermuda   001-32141   98-0429991

(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation)

 

(Commission File Number)

 

(IRS Employer Identification No.)



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08 Bermuda

(Address of principal executive offices)

Registrant's telephone number, including area code: (441) 279-5700

Not applicable.
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

    o
    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

    o
    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

    o
    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

    o
    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))



Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

            On August 5, 2010, Assured Guaranty Ltd. ("AGL") issued a press release reporting its second quarter 2010 results and the availability of its June 30, 2010 financial supplement. The press release and the financial supplement are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, and are hereby incorporated herein by reference.


Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure

            On August 5, 2010, AGL also made available on the Investor Information section of its website its Equity Investor Presentation for the second quarter of 2010 and its Fixed Income Investor Presentation for the second quarter of 2010. Both presentations can be obtained from AGL's website at http://www.assuredguaranty.com/Content/ContentDisplay.aspx?ContentID=2668.


Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

      (d) Exhibits

Exhibit
Number
 
Description
99.1   Assured Guaranty Ltd. Press release dated August 5, 2010 reporting second quarter 2010 results

99.2

 

June 30, 2010 Financial Supplement of Assured Guaranty Ltd.

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SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

    ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.

 

 

By:

 

/S/ Robert B. Mills
       
Robert B. Mills
Chief Financial Officer

DATE:    August 5, 2010

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SIGNATURES
EX-99.1 2 a2199690zex-99_1.htm EXHIBIT 99.1
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Exhibit 99.1

GRAPHIC

Assured Guaranty Ltd. Reports Second Quarter 2010 Operating Income of
$172.0 Million ($0.91 per Diluted Share), Up 530% from Second Quarter 2009

Second Quarter 2010 Net Income of $203.5 Million ($1.08 per Diluted Share) Versus
$(170.0) Million Net Loss in Prior year Period

Hamilton, Bermuda, August 5, 2010 – Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE: AGO) ("AGL" and, together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty" or "the Company") reported its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2010 ("second quarter 2010") today. The Company's second quarter 2010 operating income, a financial measure that is not in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the U.S. ("non-GAAP financial measure"), was $172.0 million, a 530% increase from $27.3 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2009 ("second quarter 2009"). The July 1, 2009 acquisition of Financial Security Assurance Holdings Ltd., which has been renamed Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. ("AGMH"), is the principal reason for the growth in Assured Guaranty's second quarter 2010 operating income over prior year period. The Company's financial resources, including its investment portfolio, unearned premium reserve and claims-paying resources, were materially enhanced by the acquisition of AGMH ("AGMH Acquisition"). Assured Guaranty today is the largest financial guaranty enterprise active in the global capital markets.

"Our operating earnings this quarter are the highest we have achieved since our initial public offering, reflecting the embedded earnings power of the combined Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp., Assured Guaranty Corp. and Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. subsidiaries, as well as improved performance on our insured U.S. residential mortgage-backed exposures," said Dominic Frederico, President and Chief Executive Officer of Assured Guaranty. "During the quarter, we made progress in building our U.S. municipal market franchise and benefited from an accelerated rate of defective mortgage loan repurchases by originators, having reached agreement on or received $71 million for loan put-backs. Early stage mortgage delinquencies on our portfolio also continued to improve, resulting in our decision not to extend the conditional default rate loss curve on our insured residential mortgage exposures."

Assured Guaranty also reported second quarter 2010 net income attributable to AGL ("net income") of $203.5 million versus a second quarter 2009 net loss attributable to AGL ("net loss") of $170.0 million. Second quarter 2010 net income per diluted share was $1.08 versus a net loss of $1.82 per diluted share in second quarter 2009. The significant change in results between the two periods largely resulted from Assured Guaranty's improved operating income as well as the change in after-tax non-credit fair value gains and losses on credit derivatives. Second quarter 2010 net income included $40.6 million of after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains on credit derivatives ($0.21 per diluted share) versus after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value losses of $(150.8) million ($(1.62) per diluted share) in second quarter 2009. A reconciliation of operating income to net income (loss) and operating income per diluted share to net income (loss) per diluted share is provided in Table 1. Please see the "Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures" section of this press release for a definition of operating income and other non-GAAP financial measures.

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Table 1: Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.
to Operating Income
($ in millions, except per share data)

 
  2Q-10   2Q-09  

Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.

  $ 203.5   $ (170.0 )

Less: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax

    (4.3 )   (7.1 )

Less: Non-credit impairment fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax

    40.6     (150.8 )

Less: Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

    8.2     (39.4 )

Less: Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable, after tax

    (19.0 )   -  

Less: Effect of consolidating variable interest entities ("VIEs"), after tax1

    6.0     -  
           

Operating income

  $ 172.0   $ 27.3  
           

 

 
  2Q-10   2Q-09  

Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per diluted share

  $ 1.08   $ (1.82 )

Less: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax

    (0.02 )   (0.08 )

Less: Non-credit impairment fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax

    0.21     (1.62 )

Less: Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

    0.04     (0.42 )

Less: Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable, after tax

    (0.10 )   -  

Less: Effect of consolidating VIEs, after tax1

    0.03     -  
           

Operating income

  $ 0.91   $ 0.29  
           

Weighted average shares outstanding (in millions):

             

Basic shares outstanding - GAAP

   
184.1
   
93.1
 

Diluted shares outstanding - GAAP

   
188.8
   
93.1
 

Diluted shares outstanding - non-GAAP

   
188.9
   
93.8
 
    1.
    Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

Shareholders' Equity:    Assured Guaranty's shareholders' equity at June 30, 2010 was $3,868.6 million, a 10% increase from December 31, 2009 book value of $3,520.5 million. The increase in shareholders' equity during the six months ended June 30, 2010 ("first half 2010") resulted primarily from the Company's $525.5 million of net income for the period offset, in part, by the effect of consolidating certain VIEs on January 1, 2010.

Assured Guaranty's June 30, 2010 shareholders' equity per share was $21.05, up 10% from December 31, 2009 book value per share of $19.12. Shares outstanding at June 30, 2010 were 183.7 million, down slightly from 184.2 million at December 31, 2010 due to the Company's repurchase of 707,350 common shares in May 2010, thereby completing its 2.0 million share repurchase program. On August 4, 2010, Assured Guaranty announced a new share repurchase program for 2.0 million shares.

Operating Shareholders' Equity:    Operating shareholders' equity, a non-GAAP financial measure, was $4,385.4 million, a 6% increase from $4,142.2 million at December 31, 2009, largely due to Company's first half 2010 operating income of $284.6 million. Operating shareholders' equity per share was $23.87 at June 30, 2010, a 6% increase from $22.49 at December 31, 2009.

2


Adjusted Book Value:    The Company's adjusted book value, a non-GAAP financial measure, was $8,895.0 million at June 30, 2010, a slight reduction from $8,913.7 million at December 31, 2009.

Adjusted book value per share was $48.41 at June 30, 2010, essentially flat with December 31, 2009 adjusted book value of $48.40. Table 2 provides a reconciliation of shareholders' equity to operating shareholders' equity and adjusted book value.

Table 2: Reconciliation of Shareholders' Equity to Operating Shareholders' Equity
and Adjusted Book Value
(amounts in millions, except per share data)

 
  As of  
 
  June 30, 2010   December 31, 2009  

Total shareholders' equity

  $ 3,868.6   $ 3,520.5  

Less: Effect of consolidating VIEs, after tax1

    (204.8 )   -  

Less: Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax

    (503.9 )   (767.6 )

Less: Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

    13.6     6.2  

Less: Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect, after tax

    178.3     139.7  
           

Operating shareholders' equity

  $ 4,385.4   $ 4,142.2  

Less: Deferred acquisition costs ("DAC"), after tax

    259.8     235.3  

Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue, after tax

    472.8     520.0  

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, after tax

    4,296.6     4,486.8  
           

Adjusted book value

  $ 8,895.0   $ 8,913.7  
           

Shares outstanding at the end of period (in millions)

   
183.7
   
184.2
 

Per share:

             

Total shareholders' equity

  $ 21.05   $ 19.12  

Less: Effect of consolidating VIEs, after tax1

    (1.11 )   -  

Less: Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax

    (2.74 )   (4.17 )

Less: Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

    0.07     0.03  

Less: Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect, after tax

    0.97     0.76  
           

Operating shareholders' equity

  $ 23.87   $ 22.49  

Less: DAC, after tax

    1.41     1.28  

Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue, after tax

    2.57     2.82  

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, after tax

    23.38     24.36  
           

Adjusted book value

  $ 48.41   $ 48.40  
           
    1.
    Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating shareholders' equity reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

3


Second Quarter 2010 New Business Production

The Company also announced today that second quarter 2010 present value of new business production ("PVP"), a non-GAAP financial measure, was $89.9 million. PVP decreased 36% from $140.0 million in second quarter 2009 due to reduced market volume and a different exposure mix in the new issue tax-exempt U.S. municipal market and a decline in structured finance PVP compared to second quarter 2009. Table 3 below provides a reconciliation of PVP to gross written premiums.

Mr. Frederico commented: "Our new issue tax-exempt municipal market share increased this quarter over the previous three quarters, reaching 10.8% in June. This trend has continued in July, when we insured 150 U.S public finance primary market transactions for gross par of $2.5 billion and insured penetration of 11.0%. This demonstrates our continued market acceptance."

Total U.S. public finance PVP was $81.4 million in second quarter 2010, a decline of 36% from $127.8 million in second quarter 2009 due to the 24% decline in total tax-exempt U.S. public finance market new issuance that is generally attributed to the high volume of Build America Bonds. Assured Guaranty insured 9.0% of second quarter 2010 new issue tax-exempt U.S. public finance par, equal to 9.0% in second quarter 2009. Assured Guaranty also generated $0.7 million of non-U.S. public finance PVP from a secondary market guaranty of an airport transaction.

The Company's structured finance PVP totaled $7.8 million this quarter versus $12.2 million in second quarter 2009. This quarter's production included one credit card transaction totaling $400 million in gross par written and an asset-backed securities conduit for $1.0 billion in gross par written. Both transactions were private and were rated AAA by the Company's internal ratings scale.

4


Table 3: Reconciliation of PVP to Gross Written Premiums

 
  Quarter Ended
June 30,
 
Consolidated gross written premiums ("GWP") analysis:
($ in millions)
  2010   2009  

Present value of new business production ("PVP")

             

Public finance - U.S.

             
 

Primary markets

  $ 72.7   $ 112.8  
 

Secondary markets

    8.7     15.0  

Public finance - non-U.S.

             
 

Primary markets

    -     -  
 

Secondary markets

    0.7     -  

Structured finance - U.S.

    5.7     12.2  

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    2.1     -  
           

Total PVP

    89.9     140.0  
 

Less: PVP of credit derivatives

    -     -  
           

PVP of financial guaranty insurance

    89.9     140.0  
 

Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVP

    1.8     12.5  
           

Total: Financial guaranty upfront GWP

    88.1     127.5  
 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP adjustment1

    3.6     14.6  
           

Total financial guaranty GWP

    91.7     142.1  

Plus: Other segment GWP

    -     (1.1 )
           

Total GWP

  $ 91.7   $ 141.0  
           

1.       Includes the difference between management's estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments and the discount rate used according to financial guaranty insurance accounting standard and changes in the estimated term for future installments.

Second Quarter 2010 Income Statement Highlights

The Company's second quarter 2010 total revenues were $428.1 million, including $49.9 million in pre-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains on credit derivatives ($40.6 million after tax or $0.21 per diluted share). Second quarter 2009 total revenues were $(169.6) million due to $(219.0) million in non-credit impairment fair value losses on credit derivatives. Please see Table 4 for a summary of total revenues and revenue items that are not included in the calculation of operating income.

5


Table 4: Summary of Total Revenues and Revenue Items Not Included in Operating Income
($ in millions)

 
  Quarter Ended June 30,  
 
  2010   2009  

Revenues

             

Net earned premiums1

  $ 292.1   $ 78.6  

Net investment income

    90.9     43.3  

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (8.4 )   (4.9 )

Change in fair value of credit derivatives:

             
 

Realized gains on credit derivatives2

    51.7     27.7  
 

Credit impairment on credit derivatives

    (28.1 )   (35.2 )
 

Non-credit impairment fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    49.9     (219.0 )
           

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    73.5     (226.5 )

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    12.6     (60.6 )

Financial guaranty VIEs' revenues

    (19.1 )   -  

Other income

    (13.5 )   0.5  
       

Total revenues

    428.1     (169.6 )
       

Less revenue items not included in the calculation of operating income

             

Net earned premiums on VIEs

  $ (15.6 ) $ -  

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (8.4 )   (4.9 )

Non-credit impairment fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives3

    49.9     (219.0 )

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    12.6     (60.6 )

Financial guaranty VIEs' revenues

    (19.1 )   -  

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivables included in other income

    (24.2 )   -  

Reinsurance cession associated with other than temporary impairment of investment assets included in other income

    8.5     -  
       

Total revenues not included in the calculation of operating income

    3.7     (284.5 )
       

Total revenues included in operating income

  $ 424.4   $ 114.9  
       
1.
Excludes net earned premiums on consolidated VIEs.
2.
Includes revenue earned on credit derivatives.
3.
The Company does not include non-credit impairment fair value losses on credit derivatives in its calculation of operating income because these fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors that are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss to the Company.

Second quarter 2010 net earned premiums totaled $292.1 million, an increase of 272% from $78.6 million in second quarter 2009. Net earned premiums for the quarter exclude $15.6 million of net earned premiums associated with 20 VIEs that were consolidated according to GAAP accounting requirements which was effective January 1, 2010 while second quarter 2009 did not include any VIE consolidation. Including the VIEs, second quarter 2010 net earned premiums were $307.7 million, a 291% increase from second quarter 2009. The significant increase in net earned premiums between the two periods resulted almost entirely from the AGMH Acquisition. Second quarter 2010 net earned premiums included $15.4 million ($0.05 per diluted share) of premiums from refundings and accelerations, a 23% decrease from $20.1 million ($0.14 per diluted share) in second quarter 2009.

Assured Guaranty's second quarter 2010 investment income was $90.9 million, a 110% increase from second quarter 2009 net investment income of $43.3 million due to the increase in invested assets resulting from the AGMH Acquisition. Investment income is reported net of investment expenses and

6



amortization or accretion on bonds. Second quarter 2010 investment income included $7.7 million of expenses for the amortization of the acquisition premium on the acquired AGMH investment portfolio while second quarter 2009 did not include any amortization expenses on the AGMH investment portfolio.

The Company reported $73.5 million in net change in the fair value of credit derivatives in second quarter 2010 versus $(226.5) million in second quarter 2009. The net change in fair value of credit derivatives is comprised of three items: realized gains or losses on credit derivatives; credit impairment on credit derivatives; and non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains or losses on credit derivatives.

    Second quarter 2010 realized gains on credit derivatives increased 87% to $51.7 million from $27.7 million for second quarter 2009. As of June 30, 2010, the Company had $110.5 billion of net par outstanding direct credit derivative contracts outstanding, up from $70.2 billion at June 30, 2009 as a result of the AGMH Acquisition.

    Credit impairment on credit derivatives was $28.1 million in second quarter 2010, a decrease of 20% from $35.2 million in second quarter 2009. Second quarter 2009 credit impairment was largely associated with U.S. residential mortgage-backed securities ("RMBS"), while second quarter 2010 credit impairment was principally associated with a structured finance transaction backed by a portfolio of peaker power plants.

    The Company also recognized second quarter 2010 non-credit impairment fair value gains on credit derivatives of $49.9 million as compared to losses of $(219.0) million in second quarter 2009. The improvement compared to the prior year period reflects unrealized gains principally due to the widening of credit spreads for Assured Guaranty Corp. ("AGC") and Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. ("AGM"), the Company's two principal financial guaranty direct insurance companies. The quoted price on AGC's and AGM's credit derivatives increased to 1010 basis points and 802 basis points, respectively, at June 30, 2010 compared to 734 basis points and 468 basis points at March 31, 2010.

Other income of $(13.5) million in second quarter 2010 was largely associated with items that are not included in the Company's calculation of operating income, including foreign exchange revaluation on premiums receivables of $(24.2) million and $8.5 million of other income resulting from a reinsurance cession of an other than temporary impairment of investment assets associated with a below investment grade financial guaranty contract. The Company revised its calculation of operating income this quarter to exclude the effect of foreign exchange revaluations associated with non-U.S. dollar-denominated installment premiums. These foreign exchange translation adjustments are included in Assured Guaranty's calculation of shareholders' equity, operating shareholders' equity and adjusted book value. Assured Guaranty did not incur any material foreign exchange revaluation gains or losses related to premium receivables in second quarter 2009.

Second Quarter 2010 Total Expense Highlights

The Company's total expenses rose 20% to $133.6 million in second quarter 2010 from $111.7 million in second quarter 2009 due to higher loss and loss adjustment expenses ("LAE") and increased interest and other operating expenses as a result of the AGMH Acquisition. These increases were partially offset by a reduction in AGMH Acquisition-related expenses from $24.2 million ($15.6 million after tax or $0.17 per diluted share) in second quarter 2009 to $2.8 million ($1.5 million after tax or $0.01 per diluted share) in second quarter 2010. In addition, second quarter 2010 total expenses were reduced by $24.3 million loss and LAE due to the consolidation of VIEs and financial guaranty VIEs' expenses of $(19.6) million. The Company did not incur similar VIE expenses in second quarter 2009 because the new accounting requirement for consolidation of VIEs was effective January 1, 2010. The Company does not include the effect of consolidating the VIEs in its calculation of operating income. Excluding

7



the VIEs, total expenses rose 59% to $177.5 million. Please see Table 5 below for a summary of total expenses and expense items not included in the calculation of operating income.

Table 5: Summary of Total Expenses and Expense Items Not Included in Operating Income
($ in millions)

 
  Quarter Ended
June 30,
 
 
  2010   2009  

Expenses

             

Loss and loss adjustment expenses1

  $ 71.2   $ 38.0  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    6.9     16.5  

AGMH Acquisition-related expenses

    2.8     24.2  

Interest expense

    24.9     6.5  

Financial guaranty VIEs' expenses

    (19.6 )   -  

Other operating expenses

    47.4     26.5  
       

Total expenses

    133.6     111.7  
       

Less expense items not included in the calculation of operating income

             

Loss and loss adjustment expenses from VIEs

    (24.3 )   -  

Financial guaranty VIEs' expenses

    (19.6 )   -  
       

Total expense items not included in the calculation of operating income

    (43.9 )   -  
       

Total expenses included in operating income

  $ 177.5   $ 111.7  
       
    1.
    Excludes loss and LAE on VIEs.

The Company's second quarter 2010 loss and LAE totaled $71.2 million versus $38.0 million in second quarter 2009. Including $24.3 million of loss and LAE expense that the Company would have recognized if it had not consolidated 20 VIEs according to new accounting requirements that were effective January 1, 2010, second quarter loss and LAE totaled $95.5 million, of which $80.6 million was associated with U.S. RMBS, principally for alternative-A option-adjustable rate and subprime mortgages. The Company did not, as in recent quarters, extend the conditional default rate loss curve on its RMBS exposures this quarter due to decreased early stage delinquencies. Therefore, its RMBS loss and LAE for second quarter 2010 is largely for losses that the Company had expected to recognize due to the expected amortization of unearned premium reserves.

Included in second quarter 2010 loss and LAE was $72.0 million associated with non-RMBS structured finance deals, including increased loss reserves on non-government guaranteed student loan transactions and life insurance securitizations. The Company also recorded a $(17.1) million reduction in loss and LAE reserves on several public finance transactions, reflecting an increase in the discount rate as mandated by accounting requirements and improved operating performance for some exposures.

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs, which reflects the amortization of ceding commissions paid and received and also of operating expenses that were deferred previously and were related to the acquisition of new business, was $6.9 million, down 58% from $16.5 million in second quarter 2009. This decrease is primarily due to the elimination of deferred acquisition costs related to policies assumed by Assured Guaranty Re Ltd., the Company's Bermuda-based reinsurer, from AGM as a result of the AGMH Acquisition and also due to lower refundings and accelerations in second quarter 2010 compared to the prior year's quarter.

Other operating expenses, which are principally for employee-related expenses, were $47.4 million in second quarter 2010 as compared to $26.5 million in second quarter 2009, primarily due to the AGMH Acquisition and the resulting increase in employee headcount.

8


Interest expense was $24.9 million in second quarter 2010 compared to $6.5 million in second quarter 2009 due to the increase in the Company's outstanding debt as a result of the AGMH Acquisition.

The Company recorded a $91.0 million provision for income taxes in second quarter 2010 (an effective tax rate of 30.9%) compared to a $111.3 million benefit in second quarter 2009 (an effective tax rate of 39.6%). The Company's effective tax rate for net income and operating income has increased since the AGMH Acquisition due to the higher proportion of the Company's taxable income that is generated in the U.S. Table 6 below provides a tax expense reconciliation between the Company's reported tax expense (benefit) and tax expense on operating income.

Table 6: Tax Expense Reconciliation

 
  Quarter Ended
June 30,
 
($ in millions)
  2010   2009  

Tax expense (benefit) as reported

  $ 91.0   $ (111.3 )

Less tax expense (benefit) items not included in the calculation of operating income:

             

Effect of consolidating VIEs

    3.2     -  

Realized gains (losses) on investment

    (4.2 )   2.2  

Non-credit impairment fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    17.8     (68.0 )

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    4.4     (21.2 )

Foreign exchange loss on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (5.1 )   -  
       

Tax expense (benefit) items not included in the calculation of operating income

    16.1     (87.0 )
       

Tax expense (benefit) included in operating income

  $ 74.9   $ (24.3 )
       

Conference Call and Webcast Information:    The Company will host a conference call for investors and analysts on August 6, 2010 at 7:30 a.m. Eastern Time (8:30 a.m. Atlantic Time). The conference call will be available via live and archived webcast in the Investor Information section of the Company's website at http://www.assuredguaranty.com or by dialing 866-578-5747 (in the U.S.) or 617-213-8054 (International), passcode 63621973. A replay of the call will be available through September 6, 2010 by dialing 888-286-8010 (in the U.S.) or 617-801-6888 (International), passcode 74655841.

Please refer to Assured Guaranty's June 30, 2010 Financial Supplement, which is posted on the Company's website at http://www.assuredguaranty.com/investor/ltd/financial.aspx for more information on the Company's individual segment performance, financial guaranty portfolios, investment portfolio and other items. The Company has also posted on its website Assured Guaranty's Financial Guaranty Direct Segment's U.S. and International Structured Finance Transaction List and New Issue U.S. Public Finance List, both as of June 30, 2010.

# # #

Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a publicly-traded (NYSE: AGO) Bermuda-based holding company. Its operating subsidiaries provide credit enhancement products to the U.S. and international public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets. More information on Assured Guaranty Ltd. and its subsidiaries can be found at www.assuredguaranty.com.

9


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Income Statements
($ in millions)

 
  Quarter Ended
June 30,

 
 
  2010   2009  

Revenues:

             

Net earned premiums

  $ 292.1   $ 78.6  

Net investment income

    90.9     43.3  

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (8.4 )   (4.9 )

Change in fair value of credit derivatives:

             
 

Realized gains and other settlements

    51.7     27.7  
 

Credit impairment on credit derivatives

    (28.1 )   (35.2 )
 

Non-credit impairment fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    49.9     (219.0 )
       

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    73.5     (226.5 )

Fair value gains (loss) on committed capital securities

    12.6     (60.6 )

Financial guaranty VIEs' revenues1

    (19.1 )   -  

Other income

    (13.5 )   0.5  
       

Total revenues

    428.1     (169.6 )

Expenses:

             

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    71.2     38.0  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    6.9     16.5  

AGMH Acquisition-related expenses

    2.8     24.2  

Interest expense

    24.9     6.5  

Financial guaranty VIEs' expenses1

    (19.6 )   -  

Other operating expenses

    47.4     26.5  
       

Total expenses

    133.6     111.7  
       

Income before provision for income taxes

    294.5     (281.3 )

Provision for income taxes

    91.0     (111.3 )
       

Net income

   
203.5
   
(170.0

)

Less: Noncontrolling interest of variable interest entities

    -     -  
       

Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd

    203.5     (170.0 )

Less: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax

    (4.3 )   (7.1 )

Less: Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax

    40.6     (150.8 )

Less: Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

    8.2     (39.4 )

Less: Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable, after tax

    (19.0 )   -  

Less: Effect of consolidating VIEs, after tax1

    6.0     -  
       

Operating income

  $ 172.0   $ 27.3  
       
    1.
    Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

10


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
($ in millions)

 
  As of:
 
 
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Assets

             

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

             

Fixed maturity securities, at fair value

  $ 9,113.8   $ 9,139.9  

Short-term investments

    1,391.2     1,668.3  
           

Total investment portfolio

    10,505.0     10,808.2  

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions

    138.3     152.4  

Cash

    97.2     44.1  

Premiums receivable, net of ceding commissions payable

    1,311.3     1,418.2  

Ceded unearned premium reserve

    929.5     1,080.5  

Deferred acquisition costs

    250.6     242.0  

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

    19.0     14.1  

Credit derivative assets

    491.1     492.5  

Committed capital securities, at fair value

    20.8     9.5  

Deferred tax asset, net

    1,072.3     1,158.2  

Salvage and subrogation recoverable

    686.0     420.3  

Financial guaranty VIE assets1

    1,844.7     762.3  

Other assets

    222.8     200.4  
           

Total assets

  $ 17,588.6   $ 16,802.7  
           

Liabilities and shareholders' equity

             

Liabilities

             

Unearned premium reserves

  $ 7,661.3   $ 8,400.2  

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

    403.5     289.5  

Long-term debt

    921.6     917.4  

Notes payable

    137.6     149.1  

Credit derivative liabilities

    1,766.0     2,034.6  

Reinsurance balances payable, net

    243.0     215.2  

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities with recourse1

    2,049.3     762.7  

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities without recourse1

    184.9     -  

Other liabilities

    352.8     513.9  
           

Total liabilities

    13,720.0     13,282.6  

Shareholders' equity

             

Common stock

    1.8     1.8  

Additional paid-in capital

    2,581.3     2,585.0  

Retained earnings1

    1,092.1     789.9  

Accumulated other comprehensive income

    191.4     141.8  

Deferred equity compensation

    2.0     2.0  
           

Total shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd

    3,868.6     3,520.5  

Noncontrolling interest in consolidated VIEs1

    -     (0.4 )
           

Total shareholders' equity

    3,868.6     3,520.1  
           

Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

  $ 17,588.6   $ 16,802.7  
           

          1.       Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts.

11


Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures:

The Company references financial measures that are not in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP") which management uses and in order to assist investors and analysts in evaluating the Company's financial results. The following paragraphs define each financial measure not in accordance with GAAP ("non-GAAP financial measures") and describe why they are useful. In each case, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed as substitutes for their most directly comparable GAAP measures.

Assured Guaranty's presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is consistent with how analysts calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty's financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty, and with how investors, analysts and the financial news media evaluate Assured Guaranty's financial results. In addition, Assured Guaranty's management and board of directors also utilize non-GAAP measures as a basis for determining senior management incentive compensation. By providing a calculation of Assured Guaranty's non-GAAP financial measures in the Company's financial results press release, periodic financial reports filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and investor presentations, investors, analysts and financial news media reporters have access to the same information that management reviews internally.

Operating Income: Management believes that operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the underwriting results of the Company's financial guaranty insurance business, and also includes financing costs and net investment income, and enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company's financial results as compared to the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases. Operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain financial guaranty variable interest entities ("VIEs") in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, including other than temporary impairments, and credit and interest rate related gains and losses from sales of securities. Impairments and losses from sales of credit-impaired securities, the timing of which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of other sales that would result in gains or losses, such as interest rate related gains or losses, is largely subject to the Company's discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company's tax and capital profile. Trends in the underlying profitability of the Company's business can be more clearly identified without the fluctuating effects of these transactions.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. Additionally, such adjustments present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

12


    5)
    Elimination of the after-tax foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of net premium receivables. Long-dated receivables constitute a significant portion of the net premium receivable balance and represent the present value of future contractual or expected collections. Therefore, the current period's foreign exchange revaluation gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

Operating Shareholders' Equity: Management believes that operating shareholders' equity is a useful measure because it presents the equity of Assured Guaranty Ltd. with all financial guaranty contracts accounted for on a more consistent basis and excluding fair value adjustments that are not expected to result in economic loss. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating shareholders' equity as the principal financial measure for valuing Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s common shares. Many of the Company's fixed income investors also use operating shareholders' equity to evaluate the Company's capital adequacy. Operating shareholders' equity is the basis of the calculation of adjusted book value (see below). Operating shareholders' equity is defined as shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) (excluding foreign exchange revaluation). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore will not recognize an economic loss.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

Operating return on equity ("Operating ROE"): Operating ROE represents operating income for a specified period divided by the average of operating shareholders' equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate the Company's return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating ROE to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis.

Adjusted Book Value: Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the net present value of the Company's in force premiums and revenues in addition to operating shareholders' equity. The premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in, foreign exchange rates, refinancing

13



or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use adjusted book value to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Adjusted book value is operating shareholders' equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued that will be expensed in future accounting periods.

    2)
    Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue. See below.

    3)
    Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of net expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the expected future net earned premiums, net of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue: This amount represents the present value of estimated future revenue from the Company's credit derivative in-force book of business, net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes in excess of expected losses, and is discounted at 6% (which represents the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). Estimated net future credit derivative revenue may change from period to period due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or present value of new business production: Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as premium supplements and additional installment premium on existing contracts as to which the issuer has the right to call the insured obligation but has not exercised such right, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of insurance and credit derivative contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, in each case, discounted at 6% (the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at 6%, while under GAAP, these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:

Any forward-looking statements made in this press release reflect the Company's current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions

14


of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. For example, Assured Guaranty's forward-looking statements regarding financial strength and growth opportunities and its calculations of adjusted book value, PVP, net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force and total estimated net future premium earnings could be affected by a rating agency action, such as a ratings downgrade, developments in the world's financial and capital markets, changes in the world's credit markets, more severe or frequent losses affecting the adequacy of Assured Guaranty's loss reserve, the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of our contracts written in credit default swap form, reduction in the amount of reinsurance portfolio opportunities available to the Company, decreased demand or increased competition, changes in accounting policies or practices, changes in laws or regulations, other governmental actions, difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty's business strategy, contract cancellations, Assured Guaranty's dependence on customers, loss of key personnel, adverse technological developments, the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures, natural or man-made catastrophes, other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time, management's response to these factors, and other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements which are made as of August 5, 2010. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Contact Information:

Equity Investors:
Sabra R. Purtill, CFA
Managing Director, Investor Relations
212-408-6044
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com

Ross Aron
Assistant Vice President, Investor Relations
212-261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com

Media:
Betsy Castenir
Managing Director, Corporate Communications
212-339-3424
bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
212-408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com

Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
212-339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com

Michael Walker
Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
212-261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

15




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EX-99.2 3 a2199690zex-99_2.htm EXHIBIT 99.2
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Exhibit 99.2

LOGO


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
June 30, 2010
Financial Supplement

Table of Contents   Page
 

Selected Financial Highlights

  1
 

Consolidated Statements of Operations

  2
 

Consolidated Balance Sheets

  3
 

Adjusted Book Value

  4
 

Consolidated Capital and Claims Paying Resources and Statutory-basis Exposures

  5
 

New Business Production

  6
 

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written

  7
 

Consolidated Statements of Operations Impact of VIEs

  8
 

Segment Consolidation

  9-10
 

Financial Guaranty Direct Segment

  11-12
 

Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Segment

  13-14
 

Investment Portfolio

  15
 

Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Estimated Future Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues

  16
 

Expected Amortization of U.S. and Non-U.S Structured Finance Net Par Outstanding

  17
 

Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed

  18
 

Financial Guaranty Profile

  19-21
 

Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

  22
 

Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile

  23
 

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile

  24-27
 

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile

  28
 

Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile

  29
 

Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile

  30
 

Below Investment Grade Exposures

  31-35
 

Largest Exposures by Sector

  36-39
 

Loss and LAE Reserves by Segment/Type

  40
 

Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid

  41
 

Summary Financial and Statistical Data

  42
 

Glossary

  43
 

Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

  45

This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. ("AGL" and, together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty" or the "Company") with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the three months ended March 31, 2010 and six months ended June 30, 2010.

Amounts in this financial supplement include the consolidated results of Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc., formerly Financial Security Assurance Holdings Ltd. ("AGMH"),since Assured Guaranty acquired AGMH on July 1, 2009.

Some amounts in this financial supplement may not add due to rounding.

 
    Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:    

 

 

Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. The Company's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade of the Company or its affiliates and/or of transactions insured by the Company or its affiliates, both of which have occurred in the past;(2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, the Company's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the world's credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses implicating the adequacy of the Company's loss reserves; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of the Company's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) reduction in the amount of reinsurance portfolio opportunities available to the Company; (7) decreased demand or increased competition; (8) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (9) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance and tax laws; (10) other governmental actions;(11) difficulties with the execution of the Company's business strategy; (12) contract cancellations;(13) the Company's dependence on customers; (14) loss of key personnel; (15) adverse technological developments; (16) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (17) natural or man-made catastrophes; (18) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (19) management's response to these factors; and (20) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

 

 
 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,
   
  Six Months Ended
June 30,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
2Q-09
  % Change
versus
YTD-09
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Operating income reconciliation:

                                     
 

Operating income 1

    $ 172.0     $ 27.3     530%     $ 284.6     $ 90.8     213%  
 

Plus after-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (4.3 )   (7.1 )   (39)%     2.4     (24.2 )   NM  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    40.6     (150.8 )   NM     271.4     (124.5 )   NM  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    8.2     (39.4 )   NM     7.4     (26.6 )   NM  
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (19.0 )   -         NM     (42.0 )   -         NM  
   

Effect of consolidating variable interest entities ("VIEs") 2

    6.0     -         NM     1.7     -         NM  
                               
 

Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.

    $ 203.5     $ (170.0 )   NM     $ 525.5     $ (84.5 )   NM  
                               

Return on equity ("ROE") calculations 3:

                                     
 

ROE, excluding unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio

    22.7%     (31.0)%           29.7%     (8.5)%        
 

Operating ROE

    15.9%     4.1%           13.4%     7.0%        

Earnings per diluted share:

                                     
 

Operating income

    $ 0.91     $ 0.29     214%     $ 1.50     $ 0.98     53%  
 

Plus after-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (0.02 )   (0.08 )   (75)%     0.01     (0.26 )   NM  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    0.21     (1.62 )   NM     1.43     (1.35 )   NM  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    0.04     (0.42 )   NM     0.04     (0.29 )   NM  
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (0.10 )   -         NM     (0.22 )   -         NM  
   

Effect of consolidating VIEs 1

    0.03     -         NM     0.01     -         NM  
                               
 

Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. 4

    $ 1.08     $ (1.82 )   NM     $ 2.77     $ (0.91 )   NM  
                               

Other information:

                                     
 

Gross par written

    8,261     10,561     (22)%     15,449     32,837     (53)%  
 

Effective tax rate on operating income

    30.4%     (780.7)%           31.1%     (11.0)%        
 

Effective tax rate on net income

    30.9%     39.6%           28.2%     53.4%        

 

 
  As of    
 
Other information:
  June 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
   
 
 

Net debt service outstanding

    $ 942,641     $ 958,265     (2)%  
 

Net par outstanding

    627,514     640,422     (2)%  
 

Claims-paying resources 5

    13,290     13,525     (2)%  

1. The Company has revised its definition of operating income in the three months ended June 30, 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. Prior periods are presented on a consistent basis.

2. Effective January 1, 2010, accounting guidance requires the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

3. Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

4. Total may not add due to differences in calculating GAAP and non-GAAP per diluted share amounts.

5. See page 5.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

Page 1


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Statements of Operations
(dollars and shares in millions, except per share amounts)

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,
   
  Six Months Ended
June 30,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
2Q-09
  % Change
versus
YTD 2009
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Revenues:

                                     
 

Net earned premiums

    $ 292.1     $ 78.6     272%     $ 611.7     $ 227.1     169%  
 

Net investment income

    90.9     43.3     110%     175.2     86.9     102%  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (8.4 )   (4.9 )   71%     1.0     (22.0 )   NM  
 

Change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                                     
   

Realized gains and other settlements

    51.7     27.7     87%     106.4     57.4     85%  
   

Credit impairment on credit derivatives

    (28.1 )   (35.2 )   (20)%     (104.5 )   (36.2 )   189%  
   

Non-credit impairment fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    49.9     (219.0 )   NM     350.4     (200.1 )   NM  
                               
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    73.5     (226.5 )   NM     352.3     (178.9 )   NM  
 

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    12.6     (60.6 )   NM     11.3     (40.9 )   NM  
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' revenues

    (19.1 )   -         NM     (14.9 )   -         NM  
 

Other income

    (13.5 )   0.5     NM     (26.4 )   1.4     NM  
                               
   

Total revenues

    428.1     (169.6 )   NM     1,110.2     73.6     1408%  

Expenses:

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    71.2     38.0     87%     201.7     117.8     71%  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    6.9     16.5     (58)%     15.1     40.0     (62)%  
 

Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. ("AGMH") acquisition-related expenses

    2.8     24.2     (88)%     6.8     28.8     (76)%  
 

Interest expense

    24.9     6.5     283%     50.0     12.3     307%  
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' expenses

    (19.6 )   -         NM     (4.8 )   -         NM  
 

Other operating expenses

    47.4     26.5     79%     110.0     55.9     97%  
                               
   

Total expenses

    133.6     111.7     20%     378.8     254.8     49%  
                               
 

Income (loss) before provision for income taxes

   
294.5
   
(281.3

)
 
NM
   
731.4
   
(181.2

)
 
NM
 
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    91.0     (111.3 )   NM     205.9     (96.7 )   NM  
                               
 

Net income (loss)

    203.5     (170.0 )   NM     525.5     (84.5 )   NM  
 

Less: Noncontrolling interest of variable interest entities

    -         -         NM     -         -         NM  
                               
 

Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd

    $ 203.5     $ (170.0 )   NM     $ 525.5     $ (84.5 )   NM  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (4.3 )   (7.1 )   (39)%     2.4     (24.2 )   NM  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    40.6     (150.8 )   NM     271.4     (124.5 )   NM  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    8.2     (39.4 )   NM     7.4     (26.6 )   NM  
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (19.0 )   -         NM     (42.0 )   -         NM  
   

Effect of consolidating VIEs 1

    6.0     -         NM     1.7     -         NM  
                               
 

Operating income

    $ 172.0     $ 27.3     530%     $ 284.6     $ 90.8     213%  
                               

Weighted average shares outstanding

                                     
 

Basic shares outstanding - GAAP (for net income (loss) per share calculation)

   
184.1
   
93.1
   
98%
   
184.2
   
91.9
   
100%
 
 

Diluted shares outstanding - GAAP (for net income (loss) per share calculation)

   
188.8
   
93.1
   
103%
   
189.8
   
91.9
   
107%
 
 

Diluted shares outstanding - non-GAAP (for operating income per share

    188.9     93.8     101%     189.9     92.6     105%  
 

Shares outstanding at the end of period

   
183.7
   
134.4
   
37%
                   

Effect of refundings and accelerations, net

                                     
 

Earned premiums from refundings and accelerations, net

    $ 15.4     $ 20.1     (23)%     $ 30.8     $ 110.3     (72)%  
 

Operating income effect

    $ 9.9     $ 12.9     (23)%     $ 19.8     $ 77.6     (74)%  
 

Operating income per diluted share effect

    $ 0.05     $ 0.14     (64)%     $ 0.10     $ 0.84     (88)%  

1. Effective January 1, 2010, accounting guidance requires the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

Page 2


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in millions)

 
  As of :  
 
  June 30, 2010   December 31, 2009  

Assets

             
 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

             
   

Fixed maturity securities, at fair value

    $ 9,113.8     $ 9,139.9  
   

Short-term investments

    1,391.2     1,668.3  
           
 

Total investment portfolio

    10,505.0     10,808.2  
 

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions

   
138.3
   
152.4
 
 

Cash

    97.2     44.1  
 

Premiums receivable, net of ceding commissions payable

    1,311.3     1,418.2  
 

Ceded unearned premium reserve

    929.5     1,080.5  
 

Deferred acquisition costs

    250.6     242.0  
 

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

    19.0     14.1  
 

Credit derivative assets

    491.1     492.5  
 

Committed capital securities, at fair value

    20.8     9.5  
 

Deferred tax asset, net

    1,072.3     1,158.2  
 

Salvage and subrogation recoverable

    686.0     420.3  
 

Financial guaranty VIE assets 1

    1,844.7     762.3  
 

Other assets

    222.8     200.4  
           

Total assets

    $ 17,588.6     $ 16,802.7  
           

Liabilities and shareholders' equity

             

Liabilities

             
 

Unearned premium reserves

    $ 7,661.3     $ 8,400.2  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

    403.5     289.5  
 

Long-term debt

    921.6     917.4  
 

Notes payable

    137.6     149.1  
 

Credit derivative liabilities

    1,766.0     2,034.6  
 

Reinsurance balances payable, net

    243.0     215.2  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities with recourse 1

    2,049.3     762.7  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities without recourse 1

    184.9     -      
 

Other liabilities

    352.8     513.9  
           

Total liabilities

    13,720.0     13,282.6  

Shareholders' equity

             
 

Common stock

    1.8     1.8  
 

Additional paid-in capital

    2,581.3     2,585.0  
 

Retained earnings 1

    1,092.1     789.9  
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

    191.4     141.8  
 

Deferred equity compensation

    2.0     2.0  
           
 

Total shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.

    3,868.6     3,520.5  
 

Noncontrolling interest in consolidated VIEs 1

    -         (0.4 )
           
 

Total shareholders' equity

    3,868.6     3,520.1  
           

Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

    $ 17,588.6     $ 16,802.7  
           

1. Effective January 1, 2010, accounting guidance requires the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts.

Page 3


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Adjusted Book Value
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

 
  As of :    
   
 
 
  % Change versus
12/31/2009
 
 
  June 30, 2010   December 31, 2009  
 
  Total   Per share   Total   Per share   Total   Per share  

Reconciliation of shareholders' equity to adjusted book value:

                                     
 

Shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.

    $ 3,868.6     $ 21.05     $ 3,520.5     $ 19.12     10%     10%  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Effect of consolidating VIEs 1

    (204.8 )   (1.11 )   -         -         NM     NM  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (503.9 )   (2.74 )   (767.6 )   (4.17 )   (34)%     (34)%  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    13.6     0.07     6.2     0.03     119%     133%  
   

Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect

    178.3     0.97     139.7     0.76     28%     28%  
                               
 

Operating shareholders' equity

    $ 4,385.4     $ 23.87     $ 4,142.2     $ 22.49     6%     6%  
 

After-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Less: Deferred acquisition costs

    259.8     1.41     235.3     1.28     10%     10%  
   

Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue

    472.8     2.57     520.0     2.82     (9)%     (9)%  
   

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed

    4,296.6     23.38     4,486.8     24.36     (4)%     (4)%  
                               
 

Adjusted book value

    $ 8,895.0     $ 48.41     $ 8,913.7     $ 48.40     (0)%     0%  
                               

1. Effective January 1, 2010, accounting guidance requires the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating shareholders' equity reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

Page 4


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Capital and Claims Paying Resources and Statutory-basis Exposures 1
(dollars in millions)

 
  As of June 30, 2010  
 
  Assured
Guaranty Corp.
  Assured
Guaranty Re
Ltd. 2
  Assured
Guaranty
Municipal Corp.
  Eliminations 6   Consolidated  

Claims paying resources

                               

Policyholders' surplus

    $ 1,019     $ 1,069     $ 843     $ (300 )   $ 2,631  

Contingency reserve

    627     -         1,421     -         2,048  
                       
 

Qualified statutory capital

    1,646     1,069     2,264     (300 )   4,679  

Unearned premium reserve

    886     1,037     2,260     -         4,183  

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

    439     267     1,194     -         1,900  
                       
 

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    2,971     2,373     5,718     (300 )   10,762  

Present value of installment premium 3

    594     321     715     -         1,630  

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    200     200     498     -         898  
                       
 

Total claims paying resources

    $ 3,765     $ 2,894     $ 6,931     $ (300 )   $ 13,290  
                       

Net par outstanding

    $ 124,565     $ 143,090     $ 347,713     $ (1,490 )   $ 613,878  

Net debt service outstanding

    $ 179,862     $ 230,984     $ 519,966     $ (3,435 )   $ 927,377  

Ratios:

                               
   

Net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital

   
76:1
   
134:1
   
154:1
         
131:1
 
   

Capital ratio 4

    109:1     216:1     230:1           198:1  
   

Financial resources ratio 5

    48:1     80:1     75:1           70:1  

1. Statutory basis.

2. Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. ("AG Re") numbers are the Company's estimate of U.S. statutory as this company files Bermuda statutory financial statements.

3. Includes financial guaranty and credit derivatives.

4. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

5. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

6. In 2009, Assured Guaranty Corp. ("AGC") issued a $300.0 million note payable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. ("AGM"). Net par and net debt service outstanding eliminations represent second-to-pay policies between Assured Guaranty's insurance subsidiaries.

Page 5


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production
(dollars in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,
   
  Six Months Ended
June 30,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
2Q-09
  % Change
versus
YTD 2009
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Consolidated new business production analysis:

                                     
 

Present value of new business production ("PVP")

                                     
 

Public finance - U.S.:

                                     
   

Primary markets

    $ 72.7     $ 112.8     (36)%     $ 133.1     $ 307.0     (57)%  
   

Secondary markets

    8.7     15.0     (42)%     22.6     38.3     (41)%  
 

Public finance - non-U.S.

                                     
   

Primary markets

    -         -         NM     -         1.6     (100)%  
   

Secondary markets

    0.7     -         NM     0.7     0.2     250%  
 

Structured finance - U.S.

    5.7     12.2     (53)%     10.2     14.6     (30)%  
 

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    2.1     -         NM     2.1     -         NM  
                               
 

Total PVP

    89.9     140.0     (36)%     168.7     361.7     (53)%  
   

Less: PVP of credit derivatives

    -         -         NM     -         2.4     (100)%  
                               
 

PVP of financial guaranty insurance

    89.9     140.0     (36)%     168.7     359.3     (53)%  
   

Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVP

    1.8     12.5     (86)%     6.3     24.1     (74)%  
                               
 

Total: Financial guaranty upfront gross written premiums ("GWP")

    88.1     127.5     (31)%     162.4     335.2     (52)%  
 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP adjustment 1

    3.6     14.6     (75)%     21.4     41.7     (49)%  
                               
 

Total financial guaranty GWP

    91.7     142.1     (35)%     183.8     376.9     (51)%  
                               
 

Plus: Other segment GWP

    -         (1.1 )   (100)%     -         (1.1 )   (100)%  
                               
 

Total GWP

    $ 91.7     $ 141.0     (35)%     $ 183.8     $ 375.8     (51)%  
                               

Consolidated financial guaranty gross par written:

                                     
 

Public finance - U.S.

                                     
   

Primary markets

    $ 6,537     $ 9,776     (33)%     $ 12,353     $ 31,159     (60)%  
   

Secondary markets

    290     482     (40)%     662     728     (9)%  
 

Public finance - non-U.S.

                                     
   

Primary markets

    -         1     (100)%     -         466     (100)%  
   

Secondary markets

    34     -         NM     34     90     (62)%  
 

Structured finance - U.S.

    1,400     302     364%     2,400     394     509%  
 

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -         NM     -         -         NM  
                               
   

Total

    $ 8,261     $ 10,561     (22)%     $ 15,449     $ 32,837     (53)%  
                               

1. Includes the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments compared to the discount rate used for new financial guaranty insurance accounting standard as well as the changes in estimated term for future installments.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

Page 6


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written by Asset Type

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30, 2010
  Six Months Ended
June 30, 2010
 
Sector:
  Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating 1   Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating 1  

U.S. Public Finance:

                         
 

General obligation

    $ 3,162     A     $ 6,117     A  
 

Municipal utilities

    883     A     2,264     A  
 

Tax backed

    954     A+     2,253     A  
 

Transportation

    455     A     743     A  
 

Healthcare

    386     BBB+     559     A-  
 

Higher education

    272     A     334     A  
 

Investor-owned utilities

    -         -     30     A-  
 

Other public finance

    715     A     715     A  
                       
   

Total U.S. public finance

    6,827     A     13,015     A  

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

                         
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    34     BBB     34     BBB  
                       

Total public finance

    $ 6,861     A     $ 13,049     A  
                       

U.S. Structured Finance:

                         
 

Consumer receivables

    $ 400     AAA     $ 1,400     AAA  
 

Other structure finance

    1,000     AAA     1,000     AAA  
                       
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    1,400     AAA     2,400     AAA  

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

                         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    -         -     -            
                       

Total structured finance

    $ 1,400     AAA     $ 2,400     AAA  
                       

Total gross par written

 
  $

8,261
   

A+

 
  $

15,449
   

A+

 
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 7


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Statements of Operations Impact of VIEs
(dollars in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30, 2010
  Six Months Ended
June 30, 2010
 
 
  As Reported   De-Consolidation
of VIEs
  Adjusted   As Reported   De-Consolidation
of VIEs
  Adjusted  

Revenues:

                                     
 

Net earned premiums

    $ 292.1     $ 15.6     $ 307.7     $ 611.7     $ 21.6     $ 633.3  
 

Net investment income

    90.9     -         90.9     175.2     -         175.2  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (8.4 )   -         (8.4 )   1.0     -         1.0  
 

Change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                                     
 

Realized gains and other settlements

    51.7     -         51.7     106.4     -         106.4  
 

Credit impairment on credit derivatives

    (28.1 )   -         (28.1 )   (104.5 )   -         (104.5 )
 

Non-credit impairment fair value gains on credit derivatives

    49.9     -         49.9     350.4     -         350.4  
                           
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    73.5     -         73.5     352.3     -         352.3  
 

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    12.6     -         12.6     11.3     -         11.3  
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' revenues

    (19.1 )   19.1     -         (14.9 )   14.9     -      
 

Other income

    (13.5 )   -         (13.5 )   (26.4 )   -         (26.4 )
                           
 

Total revenues

    428.1     34.7     462.8     1,110.2     36.5     1,146.7  

Expenses:

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    71.2     24.3     95.5     201.7     34.3     236.0  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    6.9     -         6.9     15.1     -         15.1  
 

AGMH acquisition-related expenses

    2.8     -         2.8     6.8     -         6.8  
 

Interest expense

    24.9     -         24.9     50.0     -         50.0  
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' expenses

    (19.6 )   19.6     -         (4.8 )   4.8     -      
 

Other operating expenses

    47.4     -         47.4     110.0     -         110.0  
                           
 

Total expenses

    133.6     43.9     177.5     378.8     39.1     417.9  
                           
 

Income (loss) before provision for income taxes

    294.5     (9.2 )   285.3     731.4     (2.6 )   728.8  
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    91.0     (3.2 )   87.8     205.9     (0.9 )   205.0  
                           
 

Net income (loss)

    203.5     (6.0 )   197.5     525.5     (1.7 )   523.8  
 

Less: Noncontrolling interest of variable interest entities

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                           
 

Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.

    $ 203.5     $ (6.0 )   $ 197.5     $ 525.5     $ (1.7 )   $ 523.8  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (4.3 )   -         (4.3 )   2.4     -         2.4  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains on credit derivatives

    40.6     -         40.6     271.4     -         271.4  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    8.2     -         8.2     7.4     -         7.4  
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    (19.0 )   -         (19.0 )   (42.0 )   -         (42.0 )
   

Effect of consolidating VIEs 1

    6.0     (6.0 )   -         1.7     (1.7 )   -      
                           
 

Operating income

    $ 172.0     $ -         $ 172.0     $ 284.6     $ -         $ 284.6  
                           

1. Effective January 1, 2010, accounting guidance requires the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 8


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Segment Consolidation (1 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended June 30, 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance 1
  Other 4   Underwriting
Gain (Loss)
  Consolidation
of VIEs
  Total  

Total PVP

    $ 89.9     $ -         $ -         $ 89.9     $ -         $ 89.9  

Income statement:

                                     

Net earned premiums

    289.9     17.1     0.7     307.7     (15.6 )   292.1  

Realized gains on credit derivatives 2

    51.7     -         -         51.7     -         51.7  

Other income

    2.2     -         -         2.2     -         2.2  
                           
 

Total underwriting revenues

    343.8     17.1     0.7     361.6     (15.6 )   346.0  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    81.6     13.8     0.1     95.5     (24.3 )   71.2  

Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives 3

    21.8     6.3     -         28.1     -         28.1  
                           
 

Total incurred losses

    103.4     20.1     0.1     123.6     (24.3 )   99.3  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    2.7     4.2     -         6.9     -         6.9  

Operating expenses

    39.1     5.8     0.2     45.1     -         45.1  
                           
 

Total underwriting expenses

    145.2     30.1     0.3     175.6     (24.3 )   151.3  
                               
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

    $ 198.6     $ (13.0 )   $ 0.4     $ 186.0              
                               

 

 
  Three Months Ended June 30, 2009    
   
 
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance 1
  Other 4   Total    
   
 

Total PVP

    $ 140.0     $ -         $ -         $ 140.0              

Income statement:

                                     

Net earned premiums

    30.4     47.4     0.8     78.6              

Realized gains on credit derivatives 2

    27.5     0.2     -         27.7              

Other income

    0.5     -         -         0.5              
                               
 

Total underwriting revenues

    58.4     47.6     0.8     106.8              

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    31.8     25.6     (19.4 )   38.0              

Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives 3

    35.0     0.2     -         35.2              
                               
 

Total incurred losses

    66.8     25.8     (19.4 )   73.2              

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    3.6     12.8     0.1     16.5              

Operating expenses

    15.6     8.2     0.8     24.6              
                               
 

Total underwriting expenses

    86.0     46.8     (18.5 )   114.3              
                               
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

    $ (27.6 )   $ 0.8     $ 19.3     $ (7.5 )            
                               

1. Due to the timing of receiving reports prepared by Assured Guaranty's ceding companies, PVP for installment premiums, par written and par outstanding on treaty business in the Company's financial guaranty reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.

2. Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

3. Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

4. Other includes the Company's former mortgage guaranty and other segments.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 9


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Segment Consolidation (2 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  Six Months Ended June 30, 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance 1
  Other 4   Underwriting
Gain (Loss)
  Consolidation
of VIEs
  Total  

Total PVP

    $ 168.7     $ -         $ -         $ 168.7     $ -         $ 168.7  

Income statement:

                                     

Net earned premiums

    596.5     35.5     1.3     633.3     (21.6 )   611.7  

Realized gains on credit derivatives 2

    106.7     (0.3 )   -         106.4     -         106.4  

Other income

    20.4     -         -         20.4     -         20.4  
                           
 

Total underwriting revenues

    723.6     35.2     1.3     760.1     (21.6 )   738.5  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    193.9     42.0     0.1     236.0     (34.3 )   201.7  

Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives 3

    96.4     8.1     -         104.5     -         104.5  
                           

Total incurred losses

    290.3     50.1     0.1     340.5     (34.3 )   306.2  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    6.5     8.5     0.1     15.1     -         15.1  

Operating expenses

    88.8     15.2     1.1     105.1     -         105.1  
                           
 

Total underwriting expenses

    385.6     73.8     1.3     460.7     (34.3 )   426.4  
                               
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

    $ 338.0     $ (38.6 )   $ -         $ 299.4              
                               

 

 
  Six Months Ended June 30, 2009    
   
 
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance 1
  Other 4   Total    
   
 

Total PVP

    $ 270.9     $ 90.8     $ -         $ 361.7              

Income statement:

                                     

Net earned premiums

    131.9     93.6     1.6     227.1              

Realized gains on credit derivatives 2

    56.3     1.1     -         57.4              

Other income

    1.3     0.1     -         1.4              
                               
 

Total underwriting revenues

    189.5     94.8     1.6     285.9              

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    43.5     62.4     11.9     117.8              

Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives 3

    36.4     (0.2 )   -         36.2              
                               

Total incurred losses

    79.9     62.2     11.9     154.0              

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    9.8     29.9     0.3     40.0              

Operating expenses

    36.2     14.9     1.5     52.6              
                               
 

Total underwriting expenses

    125.9     107.0     13.7     246.6              
                               
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

    $ 63.6     $ (12.2 )   $ (12.1 )   $ 39.3              
                               

1. Due to the timing of receiving reports prepared by Assured Guaranty's ceding companies, PVP for installment premiums, par written and par outstanding on treaty business in the Company's financial guaranty reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.

2. Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

3. Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

4. Other includes the Company's former mortgage guaranty and other segments.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 10


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct Segment (1 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   1H-10  

Income statement:

                               

Net earned premiums:

                               
 

Scheduled net earned premiums

                               
   

Public finance - U.S.

    $ 69.7     $ 77.8     $ 67.6     $ 72.0     $ 139.6  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    17.9     15.4     13.0     16.8     29.8  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    208.4     202.9     203.7     177.9     381.6  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    7.6     13.1     8.7     9.4     18.1  
                       
 

Total scheduled net earned premiums

    303.6     309.2     293.0     276.1     569.1  
 

Net earned premiums from refundings and accelerations

    11.1     37.3     13.6     13.8     27.4  
                       

Total net earned premiums

    314.7     346.5     306.6     289.9     596.5  

Realized gains on credit derivatives 1

    57.0     54.8     55.0     51.7     106.7  

Other income

    29.2     (0.1 )   18.2     2.2     20.4  
                       
 

Total underwriting revenues

    400.9     401.2     379.8     343.8     723.6  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

   
97.2
   
101.2
   
112.3
   
81.6
   
193.9
 

Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives 2

    142.4     59.2     74.6     21.8     96.4  
                       
 

Total incurred losses

    239.6     160.4     186.9     103.4     290.3  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    3.0     3.5     3.8     2.7     6.5  

Operating expenses

    59.1     42.8     49.7     39.1     88.8  
                       
 

Total underwriting expenses

    301.7     206.7     240.4     145.2     385.6  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

    $ 99.2     $ 194.5     $ 139.4     $ 198.6     $ 338.0  
                       

1. Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

2. Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

Page 11


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct Segment (2 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   1H-10  

PVP:

                               

Public finance - U.S.

                               
 

Primary markets

    $ 150.6     $ 99.5     $ 60.4     $ 72.7     $ 133.1  
 

Secondary markets

    4.3     14.5     13.9     8.7     22.6  

Public finance - non-U.S.

                               
 

Primary markets

    -         -         -         -         -      
 

Secondary markets

    -         -         -         0.7     0.7  

Structured finance - U.S.

    2.3     6.3     4.5     5.7     10.2  

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    0.9     0.1     -         2.1     2.1  
                       

Total PVP

    158.1     120.4     78.8     89.9     168.7  
 

Less: PVP of credit derivatives GWP

    -         -         -         -         -      
                       

PVP of financial guaranty GWP

    158.1     120.4     78.8     89.9     168.7  
 

Less: Present value of insurance installment premiums

    4.2     (2.9 )   4.5     1.8     6.3  
                       
 

Upfront financial guaranty GWP

    153.9     123.3     74.3     88.1     162.4  
 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP adjustment 1

    (22.3 )   (45.4 )   19.5     13.4     32.9  
                       

Financial guaranty direct GWP

    $ 131.6     $ 77.9     $ 93.8     $ 101.5     $ 195.3  
                       

Gross par written 2:

                               

Public finance - U.S.

                               
 

Primary markets

    $ 8,338     $ 6,296     $ 5,816     $ 6,537     $ 12,353  
 

Secondary markets

    159     440     372     290     662  

Public finance - non-U.S.

                               
 

Primary markets

    -         -         -         -         -      
 

Secondary markets

    -         -         -         34     34  

Structured finance - U.S.

    600     1,250     1,000     1,400     2,400  

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -         -         -         -      
                       
 

Total

    $ 9,097     $ 7,986     $ 7,188     $ 8,261     $ 15,449  
                       

Net par outstanding:
(end of period)


 

3Q-09

 

4Q-09

 

1Q-10

 

2Q-10

 

 


 

Public finance - U.S.

    $ 371,748     $ 372,088     $ 380,361     $ 380,749        

Public finance - non-U.S.

    37,139     37,281     36,099     34,731        

Structured finance - U.S.

    135,939     132,945     128,495     121,027        

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    33,080     33,194     31,530     29,254        
                         
 

Total

    $ 577,906     $ 575,508     $ 576,485     $ 565,761        
                         

1. Includes the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments compared to the discount rate used for new financial guaranty insurance accounting standard as well as the changes in estimated term for future installments.

2. Includes committed amount including undrawn revolvers.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

Note: AGM is included in the financial guaranty direct segment.

Page 12


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Segment (1 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   1H-10  

Income statement:

                               

Net earned premiums:

                               
 

Scheduled net earned premiums

    $ 8.3     $ 17.4     $ 16.6     $ 15.5     $ 32.1  
 

Net earned premiums from refundings and accelerations

    6.3     8.8     1.8     1.6     3.4  
                       

Total net earned premiums

    14.6     26.2     18.4     17.1     35.5  

Realized gains on credit derivatives 1

    0.3     0.6     (0.3 )   -         (0.3 )

Other income

    -         -         -         -         -      
                       
 

Total underwriting revenues

    14.9     26.8     18.1     17.1     35.2  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

   
35.9
   
25.5
   
28.2
   
13.8
   
42.0
 

Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives 2

    (0.2 )   1.0     1.8     6.3     8.1  
                       
 

Total incurred losses

    35.7     26.5     30.0     20.1     50.1  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    (1.8 )   9.0     4.3     4.2     8.5  

Operating expenses

    6.3     5.2     9.4     5.8     15.2  
                       
 

Total underwriting expenses

    40.2     40.7     43.7     30.1     73.8  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

    $ (25.3 )   $ (13.9 )   $ (25.6 )   $ (13.0 )   $ (38.6 )
                       

1. Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

2. Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

Page 13


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Segment 1 (2 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   1H-10  

PVP:

                               

Public finance - U.S.

                               
 

Primary markets

    $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -      
 

Secondary markets

    -         -         -         -         -      

Public finance - non-U.S.

                               
 

Primary markets

    -         -         -         -         -      
 

Secondary markets

    -         -         -         -         -      

Structured finance - U.S.

    -         -         -         -         -      

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -         -         -         -      
                       

Total PVP

    -         -         -         -         -      
 

Less: PVP of credit derivatives GWP

    -         -         -         -         -      
                       

PVP of financial guaranty GWP

    -         -         -         -         -      
 

Less: Present value of financial guaranty installment premiums

    -         -         -         -         -      
                       
 

Upfront financial guaranty GWP

    -         -         -         -         -      
 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP adjustment 2

    (7.5 )   (21.5 )   (1.7 )   (9.8 )   (11.5 )
                       

Financial guaranty reinsurance GWP

    $ (7.5 )   $ (21.5 )   $ (1.7 )   $ (9.8 )   $ (11.5 )
                       

Gross par written:

                               

Public finance - U.S.

                               
 

Primary markets

    $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -      
 

Secondary markets

    -         -         -         -         -      

Public finance - non-U.S.

                               
 

Primary markets

    -         -         -         -         -      
 

Secondary markets

    -         -         -         -         -      

Structured finance - U.S.

    -         -         -         -         -      

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -         -         -         -      
                       
 

Total

    $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -      
                       

Net par outstanding:
(end of period)


 

3Q-09

 

4Q-09

 

1Q-10

 

2Q-10

 

 


 

Public finance - U.S.

    $ 53,137     $ 50,990     $ 49,751     $ 49,125        

Public finance - non-U.S.

    6,088     5,494     5,307     4,842        

Structured finance - U.S.

    6,244     5,356     5,049     4,928        

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    3,255     3,074     2,873     2,858        
                         
 

Total

    $ 68,724     $ 64,914     $ 62,980     $ 61,753        
                         

1. Due to the timing of receiving reports prepared by Assured Guaranty's ceding companies, PVP for installment premiums, par written and par outstanding on treaty business in the Company's financial guaranty reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.

2. Includes the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments compared to the discount rate used for new financial guaranty insurance accounting standard as well as the changes in estimated term for future installments.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

Note: AGM is included in the financial guaranty direct segment.

Page 14


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Investment Portfolio
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

 
  Amortized
Cost
  Pre-Tax
Book
Yield
  After-Tax
Book
Yield
  Fair
Value
  Annualized
Investment
Income 1
 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

                               

Fixed maturity securities:

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

    $ 454.3     2.84%     2.15%     $ 478.7     $ 12.9  
 

Agency obligations

    520.9     3.21%     2.73%     550.7     16.7  
 

Foreign government securities

    353.8     3.06%     1.99%     343.0     10.8  
 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

    2,551.2     4.00%     3.79%     2,645.9     102.0  
 

Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions 2

    2,103.2     4.62%     4.36%     2,194.2     97.2  
 

Corporate securities

    683.4     3.60%     2.95%     705.5     24.6  
 

Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS") 3:

                               
   

Residential MBS ("RMBS")

    1,352.5     4.49%     3.99%     1,335.0     60.7  
   

Commercial MBS ("CMBS")

    279.3     5.51%     4.67%     290.9     15.4  
 

Asset-backed securities 4

    563.1     2.71%     2.14%     569.9     15.3  
                       
     

Total fixed maturity securities

    8,861.7     4.01%     3.60%     9,113.8     355.6  

Short-term investments

    1,390.7     0.20%     0.13%     1,391.2     2.8  
                       
     

Total investment portfolio

    $ 10,252.4     3.50%     3.13%     $ 10,505.0     $ 358.4  
                       

Ratings 5:

 

Fair Value

 

%

 

 


 

 


 

 


 

Treasury and U.S. government obligations

    $ 478.7     5.3%                    

Agency obligations

    550.7     6.0%                    

AAA/Aaa

    3,137.2     34.4%                    

AA/Aa

    3,127.2     34.3%                    

A/A

    1,309.7     14.4%                    

BBB

    125.6     1.4%                    

Below investment grade ("BIG") 6

    374.4     4.1%                    

Not rated

    10.3     0.1%                    
                             
 

Total fixed maturity securities available for sale

    $ 9,113.8     100.0%                    
                             

Duration of investment portfolio (in years):

          4.3                    
                               

Average ratings of investment portfolio

          AA                    
                               

1. Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.

2. Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds average A+. Includes $378.2 million insured by AGC and AGM.

3. $0.4 million is U.S. subprime RMBS, which has an average rating of AAA.

4. Contains no collateralized debt obligations ("CDOs") of asset-backed securities ("ABS").

5. Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's classifications.

6. Included in the investment portfolio are securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation strategies of $787.2 million in par with carrying value of $332.7 million.

Page 15


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization 1 and Estimated Future Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues
(in millions)

 
   
   
  Financial Guaranty Insurance 2    
   
 
 
  Estimated Net
Debt Service
Amortization
  Estimated
Ending Net
Debt Service
Outstanding
  Expected PV
Net Earned
Premiums
  Accretion of
Discount
  Future Net
Premiums
Earned
  Future
Credit
Derivative
Revenues 3
  Total  

2010 (as of June 30)

          $ 942,641                                

2010 (July 1 - September 30)

    $ 18,624     924,017     $ 254.8     $ 9.1     $ 263.9     $ 32.2     $ 296.1  

2010 (October 1 - December 31)

    18,125     905,892     239.7     8.9     248.6     $ 43.9     292.5  

2011

    63,038     842,854     762.2     33.8     796.0     168.4     964.4  

2012

    69,249     773,605     604.8     31.7     636.5     135.3     771.8  

2013

    60,606     712,999     522.4     29.3     551.7     102.3     654.0  

2014

    63,917     649,082     501.2     27.3     528.5     72.6     601.1  

2010-2014

   
293,559
   
649,082
   
2,885.1
   
140.1
   
3,025.2
   
554.7
   
3,579.9
 

2015-2019

    218,181     430,901     1,678.1     110.5     1,788.6     161.7     1,950.3  

2020-2024

    162,101     268,800     1,025.1     74.8     1,099.9     78.2     1,178.1  

2025-2029

    114,058     154,742     631.0     46.5     677.5     56.6     734.1  

After 2029

    154,742     -         681.4     39.3     720.7     96.8     817.5  
                                 
 

Total

    $ 942,641           $ 6,900.7     $ 411.2     $ 7,311.9     $ 948.0     $ 8,259.9  
                                 

1. Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of June 30, 2010. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization. obligations.

2. See page 18 for "Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed."

3. Excludes contracts with credit impairment.

Page 16


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Expected Amortization of U.S. and Non-U.S. Structured Finance Net Par Outstanding
(in millions)

 
  Estimated Net Par Amortization    
 
 
  U.S. and
Non-U.S. Pooled
Corporate
  U.S.
RMBS
  Financial
Products 1
  Other
Structured
Finance
  Total   Estimated
Ending Net Par
Outstanding
 

Structured Finance Net Par Amortization:

       

2010 (as of June 30)

                               
  $

158,067
 

2010 (July 1 - December 31)

    $ 7,237     $ 2,960     $ 893     $ 2,443     $ 13,533     144,534  

2011

    8,053     4,860     703     5,108     18,724     125,810  

2012

    14,742     3,650     1,252     5,380     25,024     100,786  

2013

    13,356     2,789     973     2,254     19,372     81,414  

2014

    19,307     2,084     745     1,461     23,597     57,817  

2010-2014

   
62,695
   
16,343
   
4,566
   
16,646
   
100,250
   
57,817
 

2015-2019

    21,284     5,660     913     7,519     35,376     22,441  

2020-2024

    2,654     2,344     626     1,832     7,456     14,985  

2025-2029

    452     811     462     744     2,469     12,516  

After 2029

    3,675     1,854     1,827     5,160     12,516     -      
                             
 

Total structured finance

    $ 90,760     $ 27,012     $ 8,394     $ 31,901     $ 158,067        
                             

1. See Glossary for description of financial products.

Page 17


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed
(in millions)

 
  Expected
Net Loss to be
Expensed 1
 

Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed:

       

2010 (July 1 - September 30)

    $ 82.3  

2010 (October 1 - December 31)

    74.8  

2011

    186.3  

2012

    115.4  

2013

    92.9  

2014

    88.6  

2010-2014

   
640.3
 

2015-2019

    257.6  

2020-2024

    117.3  

2025-2029

    65.5  

After 2029

    64.6  
       
 

Total expected PV of net loss to be expensed

    1,145.3  

Discount

    632.8  
       
 

Total future value

    $ 1,778.1  
       

1. The expected present value of net loss to be expensed is discounted by weighted-average risk free rates ranging from 0% to 4.81%.

Page 18


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
As of June 30, 2010
(in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 
  Financial Guaranty
Direct
  Financial Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Consolidated
 
  Net Par Outstanding   Net Par Outstanding   Net Par
Outstanding
  Avg. Rating 1

U.S. Public Finance:

                     
 

General obligation

    $ 165,351     $ 16,617     $ 181,968   A+
 

Tax backed

    75,030     9,625     84,655   A+
 

Municipal utilities

    64,542     6,445     70,987   A
 

Transportation

    30,514     6,242     36,756   A
 

Healthcare

    20,408     1,749     22,157   A
 

Higher education

    12,125     2,646     14,771   A+
 

Housing

    6,237     425     6,662   AA-
 

Infrastructure finance

    2,309     1,690     3,999   BBB+
 

Investor-owned utilities

    163     1,511     1,674   BBB+
 

Other public finance

    4,070     2,175     6,245   A-
                 
   

Total U.S. public finance

    380,749     49,125     429,874   A+

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

                     
 

Infrastructure finance

    12,687     2,261     14,948   BBB
 

Regulated utilities

    10,657     2,288     12,945   BBB+
 

Pooled infrastructure

    4,008     -         4,008   AA
 

Other public finance

    7,379     293     7,672   AA-
                 
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    34,731     4,842     39,573   A-
                 

Total public finance

    $ 415,480     $ 53,967     $ 469,447   A
                 

U.S. Structured Finance:

                     
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    $ 67,977     $ 866     $ 68,843   AAA
 

RMBS and home equity

    26,629     383     27,012   BB
 

Financial products 2

    8,394     -         8,394   AA-
 

CMBS

    6,919     375     7,294   AAA
 

Consumer receivables

    5,634     1,420     7,054   A+
 

Structured credit

    2,100     376     2,476   BBB+
 

Commercial receivables

    1,260     1,101     2,361   BBB+
 

Insurance securitizations

    1,314     337     1,651   A+
 

Other structured finance

    800     70     870   A-
                 
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    121,027     4,928     125,955   AA-

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

                     
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    20,985     932     21,917   AAA
 

RMBS and home equity

    4,436     29     4,465   AAA
 

Structured credit

    1,258     551     1,809   BBB
 

Commercial receivables

    837     869     1,706   A-
 

Insurance securitizations

    964     15     979   CCC-
 

CMBS

    381     293     674   AA
 

Other structured finance

    393     169     562   AAA
                 
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    29,254     2,858     32,112   AA+
                 

Total structured finance

    $ 150,281     $ 7,786     $ 158,067   AA-
                 

Total net par outstanding

    $ 565,761     $ 61,753     $ 627,514   A+
                 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. See Glossary for description of financial products.

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

NA = Not Applicable

Page 19


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 
  As of June 30, 2010  
 
  Public Finance -
U.S.
  Public Finance -
Non-U.S.
  Structured Finance -
U.S.
  Structured Finance -
Non-U.S.
  Consolidated  
Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %  

Super senior

    $ -         0.0%     $ 2,076     5.2%     $ 21,140     16.8%     $ 7,377     23.0%     $ 30,593     4.9%  

AAA

    8,486     2.0%     1,402     3.5%     46,506     36.9%     14,361     44.7%     70,755     11.3%  

AA

    163,842     38.1%     1,919     4.8%     19,705     15.6%     2,380     7.4%     187,846     29.9%  

A

    213,136     49.6%     12,197     30.8%     7,747     6.2%     2,366     7.4%     235,446     37.5%  

BBB

    41,250     9.6%     21,404     54.1%     10,187     8.1%     4,558     14.2%     77,399     12.3%  

BIG

    3,160     0.7%     575     1.6%     20,670     16.4%     1,070     3.3%     25,475     4.1%  
                       
 

Total net par outstanding

    $ 429,874     100.0%     $ 39,573     100.0%     $ 125,955     100.0%     $ 32,112     100.0%     $ 627,514     100.0%  
                       

Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer and Insurer Financial Strength Rating

Reinsurer   Moody's
Rating
  S&P
Rating
  Ceded Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

    Ba1     BB-     $ 22,851     31.2%  

Tokio Marine & Nichido Fire Insurance Co., Ltd

    Aa2     AA     20,255     27.7%  

RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd.

    WR     WR     13,851     18.9%  

R.V.I. Guaranty Co. Ltd.

    WR     BBB     4,119     5.6%  

Syncora Guarantee Inc.

    Ca     WR     4,051     5.5%  

Swiss Reinsurance Company

    A1     A+     2,880     3.9%  

Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Co. Ltd.

    Aa3     AA-     2,463     3.5%  

Other

    Various     Various     2,658     3.7%  
                   
 

Total

                $ 73,128     100.0%  
                   

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 20


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of June 30, 2010

 
  Net Par Outstanding   % of Total  

U.S.:

             

Public Finance:

             
 

California

    $ 61,314     9.8%  
 

New York

    35,441     5.6%  
 

Texas

    31,186     5.0%  
 

Pennsylvania

    29,595     4.7%  
 

Florida

    26,869     4.3%  
 

Illinois

    26,036     4.1%  
 

New Jersey

    18,410     2.9%  
 

Michigan

    17,003     2.7%  
 

Washington

    13,074     2.1%  
 

Massachusetts

    12,920     2.1%  
 

Other states

    158,026     25.2%  
           
   

Total Public Finance

    429,874     68.5%  

Structured finance (multiple states)

    125,955     20.1%  
           
   

Total U.S.

    555,829     88.6%  
           

Non-U.S.:

             
 

United Kingdom

    28,522     4.5%  
 

Australia

    7,890     1.3%  
 

Canada

    4,607     0.7%  
 

France

    2,349     0.4%  
 

Italy

    2,123     0.3%  
 

Other

    26,194     4.2%  
           
   

Total non-U.S.

    71,685     11.4%  
           

Total net par outstanding

 
  $

627,514
   
100.0%
 
           

Page 21


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings as of June 30, 2010

  Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 2
   
 
 

Super Senior

    $ 21,992     24.7%     31.2%     29.0%        
 

AAA

    50,651     56.9%     28.0%     27.8%        
 

AA

    8,172     9.2%     38.4%     32.1%        
 

A

    1,633     1.8%     24.4%     21.7%        
 

BBB

    4,188     4.7%     38.2%     28.6%        
 

BIG

    2,326     2.7%     44.2%     24.4%        
                           
   

Total exposures

    $ 88,962     100.0%     30.6%     28.3%        
                           

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of June 30, 2010

  Asset class:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg.
Rating 1
 
 

CBOs/CLOs 3

    $ 54,078     60.8%     30.6%     28.3%     AAA  
 

Synthetic investment grade pooled corporates

    12,666     14.2%     18.2%     16.4%     AAA  
 

Synthetic high yield pooled corporates

    8,440     9.5%     38.0%     33.1%     AAA  
 

Market value CDOs of corporates

    6,010     6.8%     32.1%     43.9%     AAA  
 

Trust preferred - banks and insurance

    3,613     4.1%     46.9%     33.3%     BBB  
 

Trust preferred - U.S. mortgage and REITs 4

    2,373     2.7%     50.0%     38.1%     BB  
 

Trust preferred - European mortgage and REITs

    876     1.0%     36.8%     31.2%     BBB-  
 

Other pooled corporates

    906     0.9%     26.2%     23.0%     A-  
                         
   

Total

    $ 88,962     100.0%     30.6%     28.3%     AAA  
                         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

3. CBOs (collateralized bond obligation)/CLOs (collateralized loan obligation) are largely non-investment grade/high yield collateral.

4. REITs are real estate investment trusts.

Page 22


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and by Segment as of June 30, 2010

Ratings 1:
  Direct
Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Reinsurance
Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Total
Net Par
Outstanding
  %  

Super senior

    $ 12     0.0%     $ 10     2.5%     $ 22     0.1%  

AAA

    3,229     12.1%     29     7.5%     3,258     12.1%  

AA

    2,356     8.8%     56     14.7%     2,412     8.9%  

A

    1,654     6.2%     37     9.6%     1,691     6.3%  

BBB

    2,300     8.6%     45     11.7%     2,345     8.7%  

BIG

    17,078     64.3%     207     54.0%     17,285     63.9%  
                           

Total exposures

    $ 26,629     100.0%     $ 383     100.0%     $ 27,012     100.0%  
                           

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and Type of Exposure as of June 30, 2010

  Ratings:
  Prime First
Lien 2
  Closed End
Seconds
("CES")
  HELOC 3   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  NIMs 4   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

Super senior

    $ -         $ -         $ 1     $ 17     $ -         $ 3     $ -         $ 22  
 

AAA

    158     0     464     98     150     2,388     -         3,258  
 

AA

    29     38     521     243     53     1,529     -         2,412  
 

A

    23     2     5     100     131     1,429     -         1,691  
 

BBB

    26     -         15     1,155     79     1,039     31     2,345  
 

BIG

    684     1,178     4,287     4,905     3,165     2,914     154     17,285  
                                     
   

Total exposures

    $ 920     $ 1,218     $ 5,293     $ 6,518     $ 3,579     $ 9,300     $ 184     $ 27,012  
                                     

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured 5 and Type of Exposure as of June 30, 2010

  Year insured:
  Prime First
Lien
  CES   HELOC   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  NIMs   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

2004 and prior

    $ 64     $ 2     $ 389     $ 142     $ 57     $ 1,669     $ -         $ 2,322  
 

2005

    185     -         1,162     732     170     431     -         2,680  
 

2006

    147     463     1,673     523     964     4,051     87     7,908  
 

2007

    525     753     2,068     3,210     2,270     3,060     97     11,983  
 

2008

    -         -         -         1,912     118     90     -         2,120  
                                     
   

Total exposures

    $ 920     $ 1,218     $ 5,293     $ 6,518     $ 3,579     $ 9,300     $ 184     $ 27,012  
                                     

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and Year Insured 5 as of June 30, 2010

Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  

2004 and prior

    $ 22     $ 1,496     $ 111     $ 111     $ 178     $ 403     $ 2,322  

2005

    -         228     113     101     143     2,095     2,680  

2006

    -         1,229     1,262     1,347     425     3,645     7,908  

2007

    -         305     733     13     760     10,172     11,983  

2008

    -         -         193     118     838     970     2,120  
                               
 

Total exposures

    $ 22     $ 3,258     $ 2,412     $ 1,691     $ 2,345     $ 17,285     $ 27,012  
                               

% of total

   
0.1%
   
12.1%
   
8.9%
   
6.3%
   
8.7%
   
63.9%
   
100.0%
 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous RMBS transactions.

3. Home equity line of credit ("HELOC") securitizations.

4. NIMs are net interest margin securities.

5. Assured Guaranty has not insured any U.S. RMBS transactions since 2008.

Page 23


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 4)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2010 1

U.S. Prime First Lien 2

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 3   Subordination 4   Cumulative
Losses 5
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 6
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 181     58.2%     5.1%     0.8%     7.2%     6  
 

2006

    147     67.6%     7.9%     0.0%     12.8%     1  
 

2007

    525     70.6%     10.4%     1.9%     12.9%     1  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 852     67.4%     8.9%     1.3%     11.6%     8  
                             

U.S. CES

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination 7   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2006

    451     23.8%     -         53.4%     16.3%     2  
 

2007

    753     29.3%     -         58.2%     12.5%     10  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 1,204     27.2%     -         56.4%     13.9%     12  
                             

U.S. HELOC

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 1,102     22.9%     2.4%     12.0%     12.1%     6  
 

2006

    1,640     38.3%     1.9%     25.7%     14.0%     7  
 

2007

    2,068     52.7%     3.3%     23.9%     7.3%     9  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 4,810     41.0%     2.6%     21.8%     10.7%     22  
                             

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 729     44.4%     12.2%     4.1%     19.7%     21  
 

2006

    523     52.5%     1.1%     11.1%     39.9%     7  
 

2007

    3,210     64.9%     8.9%     7.2%     35.6%     12  
 

2008

    1,912     60.1%     27.7%     7.6%     31.7%     5  
                             
 

    $ 6,373     60.1%     14.3%     7.3%     33.0%     45  
                             

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous MBS transactions.

3. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

4. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

5. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

6. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned ("REO") divided by net par outstanding.

7. Many of the CES transactions insured by the Company have unique structures whereby the collateral may be written down for losses without a corresponding write-down of the obligations insured by the Company. Many of these transactions are currently under-collateralized, with the principal amount of collateral being less than the principal amount of the obligation insured by the Company. The Company is not required to pay principal shortfalls until legal maturity (rather than making timely principal payments), and takes the under-collateralization into account when estimating expected losses for these transactions.

Page 24


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 4)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2010 1

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 2   Subordination 3   Cumulative
Losses 4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 160     32.2%     10.2%     7.0%     38.8%     4  
 

2006

    957     59.7%     6.3%     9.2%     51.1%     7  
 

2007

    2,270     66.3%     7.7%     9.2%     41.8%     11  
 

2008

    118     66.7%     49.6%     6.3%     35.2%     1  
                             
 

    $ 3,505     62.9%     8.8%     9.0%     44.0%     23  
                             

U.S. Subprime First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 426     36.5%     50.0%     4.7%     41.1%     7  
 

2006

    4,043     26.9%     60.9%     12.6%     42.2%     4  
 

2007

    3,060     61.5%     27.6%     11.6%     49.3%     13  
 

2008

    83     73.7%     34.3%     5.3%     31.5%     1  
                             
 

    $ 7,613     41.9%     46.6%     11.7%     44.9%     25  
                             

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

Page 25


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 4)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating 1, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2010 2

U.S. Prime First Lien 3

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 4   Subordination 5   Cumulative
Losses 6
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 7
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ 147     67.6%     7.9%     -         12.8%     1  
 

AA

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

A

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BBB

    25     54.4%     3.8%     0.2%     2.8%     1  
 

BIG

    680     67.9%     9.3%     1.7%     11.7%     6  
                             
 

    $ 852     67.4%     8.9%     1.3%     11.6%     8  
                             

U.S. CES

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination 8   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

AA

    38     61.7%     -         8.9%     3.7%     1  
 

A

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BIG

    1,166     26.1%     -         57.9%     14.2%     11  
                             
 

    $ 1,204     27.2%     -         56.4%     13.9%     12  
                             

U.S. HELOC

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ 420     73.4%     7.9%     0.5%     1.1%     3  
 

AA

    496     67.1%     10.2%     7.9%     3.4%     2  
 

A

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BIG

    3,894     34.1%     1.1%     25.9%     12.6%     17  
                             
 

    $ 4,810     41.0%     2.6%     21.8%     10.7%     22  
                             

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ 19     15.3%     46.6%     5.9%     23.1%     2  
 

AA

    232     57.1%     47.2%     10.4%     34.5%     2  
 

A

    100     34.5%     27.4%     4.5%     22.7%     1  
 

BBB

    1,125     57.2%     20.5%     5.9%     27.2%     5  
 

BIG

    4,897     61.6%     10.9%     7.5%     34.4%     35  
                             
 

    $ 6,373     60.1%     14.3%     7.3%     33.0%     45  
                             

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

3. Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous MBS transactions

4. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

5. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

6. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

7. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

8. Many of the CES transactions insured by the Company have unique structures whereby the collateral may be written down for losses without a corresponding write-down of the obligations insured by the Company. Many of these transactions are currently under-collateralized, with the principal amount of collateral being less than the principal amount of the obligation insured by the Company. The Company is not required to pay principal shortfalls until legal maturity (rather than making timely principal payments), and takes the under-collateralization into account when estimating expected losses for these transactions.

Page 26


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (4 of 4)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating 1, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2010 2

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 3   Subordination 4   Cumulative
Losses 5
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 6
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ 150     62.5%     0.3%     11.4%     52.7%     1  
 

AA

    7     43.9%     18.6%     7.1%     37.5%     1  
 

A

    118     66.7%     49.6%     6.3%     35.2%     1  
 

BBB

    76     40.4%     21.9%     4.3%     24.2%     2  
 

BIG

    3,153     63.4%     7.4%     9.1%     44.4%     18  
                             
 

    $ 3,505     62.9%     8.8%     9.0%     44.0%     23  
                             

U.S. Subprime First Lien

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

AAA

    $ 1,026     25.9%     63.4%     11.7%     43.2%     5  
 

AA

    1,527     28.6%     58.0%     11.7%     40.8%     2  
 

A

    1,360     26.6%     61.6%     13.0%     42.4%     1  
 

BBB

    905     40.0%     45.8%     11.8%     41.1%     6  
 

BIG

    2,795     63.0%     27.3%     10.9%     50.1%     11  
                             
 

    $ 7,613     41.9%     46.6%     11.7%     44.9%     25  
                             

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

3. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

4. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

5. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

6. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

Page 27


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating 1, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2010 2

U.S. CMBS

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 3   Subordination 4   Cumulative
Losses 5
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 6
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

Super senior

    $ 4,185     91.5%     30.6%     0.3%     6.6%     185  
 

AAA

    245     85.9%     26.0%     0.3%     8.6%     7  
 

AA

    950     90.5%     13.7%     0.3%     6.9%     39  
 

A

    245     68.4%     11.0%     0.8%     6.1%     1  
 

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BIG

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 5,625     90.1%     26.7%     0.3%     6.7%     232  
                             

CDOs of U.S. Commercial Real Estate and CMBS 7

   
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 8
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 8
   
   
 
 

CDOs of Commercial Real Estate

    $ 715     56.3%     49.4%     47.0%              
 

CDOs of CMBS 9

    556     43.7%     29.5%     44.8%              
                                 
 

    $ 1,271     100.0%     40.7%     46.0%              
                                 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 30, 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

3. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

4. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

5. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

6. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

7. Represents other U.S. Commercial Real Estate not included in the table above.

8. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

9. Relates to vintages 2003 and prior.

Page 28


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables by Rating 1 as of June 30, 2010

  Rating:
  Credit Cards   Student
Loans
  Manufactured
Housing
  Auto   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

Super senior

    $ 1,250     $ -         $ -         $ -         $ 1,250  
 

AAA

    -         1,261     85     25     1,371  
 

AA

    -         -         48     27     75  
 

A

    -         -         -         1,817     1,817  
 

BBB

    89     -         171     861     1,121  
 

BIG

    -         -         -         -         -      
                         
 

    $ 1,339     $ 1,261     $ 304     $ 2,730     $ 5,634  
                         
 

Average rating 1

    AAA     AAA     A-     A-     AA  
 

Avg. initial credit enhancement 2

    53.1%     7.2%     27.6%     12.1%     21.6%  
 

Avg. current credit enhancement 2

    53.3%     11.2%     26.2%     29.2%     30.7%  

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

Page 29


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Rating 1

   
  June 30, 2010  
  Ratings 2:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  
 

Super senior

    $ 28,776     26.0%  
 

AAA

    50,235     45.5%  
 

AA

    9,841     8.9%  
 

A

    6,775     6.1%  
 

BBB

    7,305     6.6%  
 

BIG

    7,586     6.9%  
             
   

Total direct credit derivative net par outstanding

    $ 110,518     100.0%  
             

Distribution of Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Sector and Average Rating

 
  June 30, 2010  
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Average
Rating 2
 

Public Finance

             
 

U.S. public finance

    $ 1,189     A-  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    7,869     A+  
           
 

Total public finance

    $ 9,058     A+  
           

Structured Finance

             
 

U.S. Structured Finance:

             
   

Pooled corporate obligations

    $ 60,326     AAA  
   

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    10,425     BBB-  
   

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    6,674     AAA  
   

Commercial receivables

    721     BBB+  
   

Consumer receivables

    545     AAA  
   

Structured credit

    226     BB  
   

Other structured finance

    179     B+  
   

Insurance securitizations

    170     A-  
           
     

Total U.S. structured finance

    79,266     AA+  
 

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

             
   

Pooled corporate obligations

    18,906     AAA  
   

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    2,617     AAA  
   

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    381     AAA  
   

Structured credit

    148     BBB  
   

Insurance securitizations

    82     BB  
   

Commercial receivables

    60     A  
           
     

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    22,194     AAA  
           
 

Total structured finance

    $ 101,460     AA+  
           
 

Total direct credit derivative net par outstanding

    $ 110,518     AA+  
           

1. Includes credit derivatives accounted for at fair value and excludes $3.6 billion of CDS not at fair value.

2. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 30


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 5)
As of June 30, 2010
(in millions)

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type
  Net Par
Outstanding 1
 

U.S. Public Finance:

       
 

General obligation

    $ 852  
 

Municipal utilities

    621  
 

Tax backed

    375  
 

Healthcare

    365  
 

Transportation

    162  
 

Infrastructure finance

    26  
 

Higher education

    21  
 

Housing

    8  
 

Other public finance

    730  
       
   

Total U.S. public finance

    3,160  

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

       
 

Infrastructure finance

    575  
       
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    575  
       

Total public finance

    $ 3,735  
       

U.S. Structured Finance:

       
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    $ 17,285  
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    2,261  
 

Consumer receivables

    542  
 

Structured credit

    289  
 

Commercial receivables

    117  
 

Other structured finance

    176  
       
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    20,670  
       

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

       
 

Insurance securitizations

    923  
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    122  
 

Commercial receivables

    21  
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    4  
       
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    1,070  
       

Total structured finance

    $ 21,740  
       

Total BIG net par outstanding

    $ 25,475  
       

1. Includes $747.3 million in gross par which the Company purchased or obtained for risk mitigation purposes.

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 31


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category 1

 
  Financial Guaranty and Credit Derivatives Surveillance Categories  
 
  June 30, 2010 2   December 31, 2009  

Category 1

             
 

U.S. public finance

    $ 1,698     $ 1,761  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    536     600  
 

U.S. structured finance

    3,207     4,275  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    1     2  
           
   

Total Category 1

    5,442     6,638  

Category 2

             
 

U.S. public finance

    897     719  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    4     4  
 

U.S. structured finance

    11,178     9,913  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    70     3  
           
   

Total Category 2

    12,149     10,639  

Category 3

             
 

U.S. public finance

    565     647  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    35     40  
 

U.S. structured finance

    6,285     6,202  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    999     1,000  
           
   

Total Category 3

    7,884     7,889  
           
     

BIG Total

    $ 25,475     $ 25,166  
           

1. Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of below investment grade ("BIG") credits. The BIG credits are divided into three categories: BIG Category 1: Below investment grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make material losses possible, but for which no losses have been incurred. Non-investment grade transactions on which liquidity claims have been paid are in this category. BIG Category 2: Below investment grade transactions for which expected losses have been established but for which no unreimbursed claims have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below investment grade transactions for which expected losses have been established and on which unreimbursed claims have been paid. Transactions remain in this category when claims have been paid and only a recoverable remains.

2. Includes $747.3 million in gross par as of June 30, 2010, which the Company purchased or obtained for risk mitigation purposes.

Page 32


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 5)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Public Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

Name or Description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
 

U.S. Public Finance:

             
 

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

    $ 512     D  
 

Detroit (City of) Michigan

    414     BB  
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    254     BB  
 

Jefferson County Alabama School Sales Tax Limited Obligation

    177     BB  
 

Detroit (City of) School District Michigan

    164     BB  
 

San Joaquin Hills California Transportation

    162     BB  
 

St. Barnabas Health System - New Jersey

    155     BB  
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    136     CCC  
 

Mashantucket Pequot Tribe, Connecticut

    130     B  
 

Reading (City of) Pennsylvania

    119     BB  
 

Orlando Tourist Development Tax - Florida

    118     BB+  
 

Harrisburg (City of) Pennsylvania General Obligation

    96     B  
 

Finance Authority of Maine

    91     BB-  
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    71     BB-  
             
   

Total

    $ 2,599        

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

             
 

Aeroporti Di Roma (ADR) Romulus Finance S.R.L. (Rome Airport)

    $ 263     BB  
 

Cross City Tunnel Motorway Finance Limited

    244     BB  
             
   

Total

    $ 507        
             

Total

    $ 3,106        
             

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 33


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (4 of 5)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Structured Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

Name or Description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 2
 

U.S. Structured Finance:

                         
 

U.S. RMBS:

                         
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    $ 864     CCC     4.7%     32.4%  
 

MABS 2007-NCW

    618     BB     33.9%     67.2%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-I

    601     CCC     0.0%     9.4%  
 

MASTR 2007-3

    548     CCC     5.2%     56.7%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-F ($45.5 million included in investments) 3

    529     CCC     0.0%     26.3%  
 

Mortgage IT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    525     B     10.4%     12.9%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    496     B     23.8%     30.1%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    468     BB     23.1%     29.3%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    459     CCC     26.3%     31.3%  
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    438     B     9.3%     26.7%  
 

Option One 2007-FXD2

    395     B     18.6%     30.1%  
 

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

    395     CCC     7.2%     47.1%  
 

Nomura Asset Acceptance Corp. 2007-1 ($0.9 million included in investments) 3

    390     CCC     1.6%     44.0%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    389     B     17.0%     36.9%  
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

    365     CCC     0.0%     9.0%  
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J

    363     CCC     0.0%     15.6%  
 

HarborView 2006-12

    337     B     10.7%     56.7%  
 

AAA Trust 2007-2

    336     CCC     37.4%     50.2%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2005-D

    326     CCC     0.0%     13.2%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2007-A

    309     CCC     0.0%     9.8%  
 

MARM 2007-1 (FKA MASTR 2007-OA1)

    309     CCC     0.0%     35.0%  
 

Countrywide 2007-13

    281     BB     31.3%     56.4%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2007-B

    280     CCC     0.0%     9.7%  
 

GMACM 2004-HE3

    270     B     0.0%     0.0%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-12SL ($58.7 million included in investments) 3

    253     CCC     0.0%     18.4%  
 

IndyMac 2007-H1 HELOC

    227     CCC     0.0%     10.2%  
 

CWABS 2007-4

    221     B     22.1%     42.1%  
 

FHABS 2006-HE2 HELOC

    213     BB     0.0%     3.0%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-1SL ($46.1 million included in investments) 3

    208     CCC     0.0%     10.3%  
 

Soundview 2007-WMC1

    203     CCC     11.9%     71.4%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-10SL ($32.5 million included in investments)

    198     CCC     0.0%     13.8%  
 

HarborView 2006-1

    194     CCC     6.3%     60.5%  
 

HarborView 2007-1

    192     B     14.0%     56.8%  
 

New Century 2005-A

    171     BB     20.5%     30.3%  
 

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-OA10 ($55.5 million included in investments) 3

    167     CCC     9.1%     55.3%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2005-C

    156     CCC     0.4%     11.1%  
 

HarborView 2006-10

    155     CCC     1.2%     33.6%  
 

CSAB 2006-3

    148     CCC     0.0%     45.5%  
 

Renaissance (DELTA) 2007-3

    148     B     26.2%     35.1%  
 

Flagstar HELOC 2006-2

    136     CCC     20.4%     12.0%  
 

Flagstar HELOC 2005-1

    130     BB     17.1%     8.9%  
 

Lehman Excess Trust 2007-16N

    129     CCC     10.0%     39.7%  
 

NAAC 2007-S2

    119     CCC     0.0%     14.5%  
 

ACE Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-SL3

    114     BB     0.0%     12.3%  
 

AHMA 2007-4

    114     CCC     0.0%     31.3%  
 

Taylor Bean & Whitaker 2007-2 ($31.2 million included in investments) 3

    111     CCC     0.0%     37.8%  
 

IMSC 2007-HOA1

    103     CCC     0.0%     29.1%  
 

CSAB 2006-2 ($12.1 million included in investments) 3

    92     CCC     3.5%     40.2%  
 

Countrywide ALTA 2005-22T

    92     B     5.9%     23.3%  
 

Deutsche ALT-B 2006-AB1

    90     CCC     4.8%     30.7%  
 

MASTR Asset Backed Securities Trust 2005-NC2

    80     CCC     18.9%     44.0%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-H ($16.2 million included in investments) 3

    78     CCC     0.0%     20.5%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2005-16HE

    73     BB     13.4%     26.9%  
 

Deutsche ALT-B 2006-AB4

    72     CCC     0.0%     37.2%  
 

CSMC 2007-3

    70     CCC     0.0%     34.2%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-6ALT ($20.8 million included in investments) 3

    69     CCC     0.0%     76.2%  
 

ACE 2006-GP1

    68     CCC     0.0%     9.7%  
 

ACE 2007-SL1

    64     CCC     0.0%     12.1%  
 

GSAA 2005-12

    63     BB     11.1%     23.4%  
 

CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2007-1 ($12.3 million included in investments) 3

    63     CCC     0.1%     34.7%  
 

CWALT 2005-62

    60     CCC     11.2%     57.4%  
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2005-14HE

    58     BB     12.5%     26.6%  
 

DSLA 2005-AR5

    56     CCC     2.0%     27.7%  
 

ACE Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-SL2

    54     CCC     0.0%     9.8%  
 

SACO I Trust 2005-GP1

    54     CCC     0.0%     8.6%  
 

CSAB 2006-4 ($18.0 million included in investments) 3

    53     CCC     0.1%     39.4%  
 

Luminent 2006-2

    52     CCC     7.2%     55.7%  
                         
   

Total U.S. RMBS

    $ 15,462                    

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

3. Represents amounts of gross par which were purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation strategies and recorded as part of the investment portfolio.

Page 34


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (5 of 5)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Structured Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

Name or Description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
 

U.S. Structured Finance:

                   
 

Other:

                   
 

Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD. Class A-1

  $ 292     CCC     33.4%  
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, LTD. 

    259     B-     6.9%  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding II, LTD. 

    244     CCC     30.1%  
 

Attentus CDO I Limited Class A-1

    232     BB     33.4%  
 

Weinstein Film Securitization

    226     BB     N/A  
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XVII, LTD. 

    204     B     15.0%  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding III, LTD. Class A-1B

    195     CCC     27.1%  
 

Attentus CDO II Limited Class A-1

    189     BB     33.7%  
 

NRG Peaker ($251 million included in investments) 2 3

    155     B     N/A  
 

National Collegiate Trust Series 2007-3

    155     CCC     N/A  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding VI, Ltd. Class A-1

    152     CCC     38.0%  
 

US Capital Funding IV, Ltd. Class A-1

    151     B     18.6%  
 

National Collegiate Trust Series 2007-4

    125     CCC     N/A  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    114     CCC     9.5%  
 

Conseco Finance MH Series 2001-2

    102     BB     17.3%  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding III, LTD. Class A-1A

    93     CCC     27.1%  
 

Greenpoint 2000-4

    75     BB     14.8%  
 

National Collegiate Trust Series 2005-1 CLASS A-5-1 Grantor Trust Certificates

    65     B-     N/A  
 

CAPCO - Excess SIPC Excess of Loss Reinsurance

    63     BB     N/A  
 

Rental Car Finance Corp 2006-1

    60     BB     N/A  
 

Rental Car Finance Corp 2007-1

    50     BB     N/A  
                   
   

Total Other

  $ 3,201              
                   
     

Total

  $ 18,663              

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

                   
 

Ballantyne Re PLC Class A-2 Floating Rate Notes ($106.4 million included in investments) 2

 
$

500
   

CC

   

N/A

 
 

Orkney Re II, PLC Series A-1 Floating Rate Notes

    423     CCC     N/A  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    76     CCC     9.5%  
                   
     

Total

  $ 999              
                   
 

Total

  $ 19,662              
                   

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. Represents amounts of gross par which were purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation strategies and recorded as part of the investment portfolio.

3. Net par shown is net of $96 million of ceded par. The Company owns 100% of the collateral in the insured transaction.

Page 35


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4)
As of June 30, 2010
(in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par Outstanding   Rating 1
 

New Jersey (State of)

    $ 4,752   AA-
 

California (State of)

    3,764   A-
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of)

    3,481   AA
 

New York (State of)

    3,480   AA
 

New York (City of) New York

    3,237   AA-
 

Chicago (City of) Illinois

    2,626   AA-
 

Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of)

    2,389   BBB-
 

Washington (State of)

    2,359   AA-
 

Houston Texas Water and Sewer Authority

    2,323   A+
 

Port Authority of New York and New Jersey

    2,214   AA-
 

Wisconsin (State of)

    2,209   AA-
 

Illinois (State of)

    2,169   BBB+
 

Los Angeles California Unified School District

    2,136   AA
 

New York MTA Transportation Authority

    2,064   A
 

Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport

    2,061   A+
 

Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania

    1,956   BBB-
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) State Sales Tax

    1,949   AA
 

University of California Board of Regents

    1,857   AA-
 

Long Island Power Authority

    1,830   A-
 

New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority

    1,827   AA+
 

Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of)

    1,803   AA-
 

Michigan (State of)

    1,778   A+
 

California (State of) Department of Water Resources - Electric Power Revenue

    1,675   A-
 

Chicago-O'Hare International Airport

    1,639   A
 

Chicago Illinois Public Schools

    1,630   A+
 

Illinois Toll Highway Authority

    1,605   AA
 

Miami-Dade County Florida School District

    1,553   A-
 

Arizona (State of)

    1,541   AA-
 

San Francisco Airports Commission

    1,531   A
 

Kentucky (Commonwealth of)

    1,529   AA-
 

Florida (State of)

    1,522   AA+
 

Los Angeles California Department of Water and Power - Electric Revenue Bonds

    1,472   AA-
 

New York MTA Dedicated Tax

    1,419   AA-
 

Hawaii (State of) Department of Hawaiian Home Lands

    1,416   AA
 

New Jersey Turnpike Authority

    1,405   A
 

Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority

    1,402   BBB
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources

    1,394   AA
 

Atlanta Georgia Water & Sewer System

    1,367   BBB+
 

Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority

    1,333   A-
 

Broward County Florida School Board

    1,287   AA-
 

Metro Washington Airport Authority

    1,279   AA-
 

District of Columbia

    1,221   A+
 

Connecticut (State of)

    1,214   AA+
 

Philadelphia Pennsylvania School District

    1,204   A
 

Detroit Michigan Sewer

    1,170   A+
 

New York State Thruway - Highway Trust Fund

    1,165   AA-
 

Austin Texas Combined Utility System Revenue Bonds

    1,133   AA-
 

California State University System Trustee

    1,130   AA-
 

Houston (City of) Texas Airport System

    1,090   A+
 

Clark County Nevada School District

    1,083   AA
           
   

Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures

    $ 92,673    
           

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 36


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 4)
As of June 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating 1   Credit
Enhancement
 
 

Fortress Credit Opportunities I, LP.

    $ 1,302     AA     28.6%  
 

Stone Tower Credit Funding

    1,254     AAA     58.2%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    1,157     AAA     13.4%  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    975     AA-     42.2%  
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    864     CCC     4.7%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    765     Super Senior     14.8%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    754     Super Senior     24.2%  
 

Mizuho II Synthetic CDO

    738     A     30.7%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    731     AA-     40.0%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    725     AAA     25.0%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    675     Super Senior     23.4%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    667     BBB+     N/A  
 

280 Funding I

    660     AAA     39.0%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    653     AAA     17.2%  
 

Citibank OMNI Trust 2007-A7

    650     Super Senior     49.4%  
 

MABS 2007-NCW

    618     BB     33.9%  
 

ARES Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund

    608     AAA     42.0%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-I

    601     CCC     0.0%  
 

Anchorage Crossover Credit Finance LTD

    600     AAA     31.3%  
 

Applebees Enterprises LLC

    584     BBB-     N/A  
 

Sandelman Finance 2006-1 Limited

    563     AAA     38.2%  
 

MASTR 2007-3

    548     CCC     5.2%  
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-F ($45.5 million included in investments) 2

    529     CCC     0.0%  
 

Mortgage IT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    525     B     10.4%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    523     Super Senior     29.7%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    523     Super Senior     24.5%  
 

Jupiter Securitization Company

    514     AAA     N/A  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    514     Super Senior     14.3%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    496     B     23.8%  
 

Eastland CLO, LTD

    496     Super Senior     33.0%  
 

LIICA Holdings, LLC

    495     AA     N/A  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    494     AA     45.7%  
 

Shenandoah Trust Capital I Term Securities

    484     A+     N/A  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    480     BBB-     23.5%  
 

Denali CLO VII, LTD.

    472     AAA     19.9%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    468     BB     23.1%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    459     CCC     26.3%  
 

SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2007-A

    450     AAA     15.0%  
 

Avenue CLO V

    449     AAA     19.8%  
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    438     B     9.3%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    438     AAA     29.5%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    433     AAA     10.7%  
 

Liberty CLO LTD

    428     Super Senior     31.1%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    420     AAA     34.0%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    419     AAA     23.7%  
 

Grayson CLO

    418     Super Senior     23.7%  
 

Churchill Financial Cayman

    413     AAA     36.8%  
 

Field Point IV, Limited

    412     AA-     22.5%  
 

KKR Financial CLO 2007-1

    409     AAA     50.9%  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    405     Super Senior     36.0%  
                     
   

Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures

    $ 29,696              
                     

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

    2. Represents amounts of gross par which were purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation strategies and recorded as part of the investment portfolio.

Page 37


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 4)
As of June 30, 2010
(in millions)

25 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating 1  
 

Quebec Provence

    $ 2,261     A+  
 

Sydney Airport Finance Company

    1,438     BBB  
 

Thames Water Utility Finance PLC

    1,310     BBB+  
 

PB Domicile 2006-1

    1,038     AAA  
 

Fortress Credit Investments I Class A-1

    936     AAA  
 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital III

    850     Super Senior  
 

Channel Link Enterprises Finance Plc

    837     BBB  
 

International AAA Sovereign Debt Synthetic CDO

    821     AAA  
 

Southern Gas Networks Plc

    786     BBB  
 

Paragon Mortgages (No.13) Plc

    745     AAA  
 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital II

    722     Super Senior  
 

Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited

    691     BBB+  
 

United Utilities Water PLC

    665     A  
 

Capital Hospitals (Issuer) plc

    662     BBB-  
 

International Infrastructure Pool (WISE 2006-1 Plc Senior Swap - B)

    644     A-  
 

International Infrastructure Pool (WISE 2006-1 Plc Senior Swap - A)

    644     A-  
 

International Infrastructure Pool (WISE 2006-1 Plc Senior Swap - C)

    644     A-  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    632     Super Senior  
 

Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment Agency

    619     AA  
 

Powercor Australia LLC

    592     A-  
 

Artesian Finance II Plc (Southern) - Swap Policy

    577     A-  
 

Stichting Profile Securitisation I

    504     Super Senior  
 

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    504     Super Senior  
 

Ballantyne Re PLC Class A-2 Floating Rate Notes ($106.4 million included in investments)2

    500     CC  
 

Taberna Europe CDO II Plc

    498     BBB-  
               
   

Total top 25 non-U.S. exposures

    $ 20,120        
               

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure on its internal rating scale has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

    2. Represents amounts of gross par which were purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation strategies and recorded as part of the investment portfolio.

Page 38


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (4 of 4)
As of June 30, 2010
(in millions)

10 Largest U.S. Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

  Servicer:
  Net Par
Outstanding
   
   
 
 

Bank of America, N.A. 1

    $ 8,550              
 

American Home Mortgage Acceptance, Inc.

    2,871              
 

GMAC Mortgage Corporation

    2,515              
 

Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.

    2,274              
 

Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC.

    1,173              
 

JPMorgan Chase Bank

    1,001              
 

OneWest Bank Group, LLC.

    942              
 

Specialized Loan Servicing, LLC.

    927              
 

Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc.

    500              
 

First Tennessee Bank, N.A.

    444              
                     
   

Total top 10 residential mortgage servicers exposures

    $ 21,197              
                     

10 Largest U.S. Healthcare Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating 1   State  
 

CHRISTUS Health

    $ 491     A+     TX  
 

MultiCare Health System

    417     A+     WA  
 

Methodist Healthcare Hospital Revenue Bonds

    372     A     TN  
 

Virtua Health

    370     A     NJ  
 

Meridian Health System

    357     A-     NJ  
 

Covenant Health Hospital Revenue Bonds

    345     A-     TN  
 

Iowa Health System Hospital Revenue Bonds

    334     A+     IA  
 

Bon Secours Health System Obligated Group

    314     A-     MD  
 

Lehigh Valley Health Network

    300     A+     PA  
 

Sutter Health

    297     AA-     CA  
                     
   

Total top 10 U.S. healthcare exposures

    $ 3,597              
                     

    1. Includes Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP.

    2. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 39


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Segment/Type
(in millions)

 
  As of June 30, 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Total
Financial
Guaranty
  Other   Total  

Financial Guaranty segments insurance reserves by segment and type:

                               

Gross loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Case

    $ 287.6     $ 112.4     $ 400.0     $ 1.0     $ 401.0  

Incurred but not reported ("IBNR") and portfolio

    -         -         -         2.5     2.5  
                       
 

Total gross loss and LAE reserves

    $ 287.6     $ 112.4     $ 400.0     $ 3.5     $ 403.5  

Ceded loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Case

    $ 17.5     $ -         $ 17.5     $ 0.9     $ 18.4  

IBNR and portfolio

    -         -         -         0.6     0.6  
                       
 

Total ceded loss and LAE reserves

    $ 17.5     $ -         $ 17.5     $ 1.5     $ 19.0  

Loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance:

                               

Case

    $ 270.1     $ 112.4     $ 382.5     $ 0.1     $ 382.6  

IBNR and portfolio

    -         -         -         1.9     1.9  
                       
 

Total net loss and LAE reserves

    $ 270.1     $ 112.4     $ 382.5     $ 2.0     $ 384.5  
                       

Salvage and subrogation recoverable on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Gross

    $ 672.7     $ 13.3     $ 686.0     $ -         $ 686.0  

Ceded 1

    83.5     -         83.5     -         83.5  
                       
 

Net salvage and subrogation recoverable

    $ 589.2     $ 13.3     $ 602.5     $ -         $ 602.5  
                       

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts 2:

                               

Case gross

    $ 517.4     $ -         $ 517.4     $ -         $ 517.4  

Case ceded

    30.3     -         30.3     -         30.3  
                       
 

Case net credit derivative reserves

    $ 487.1     $ -         $ 487.1     $ -         $ 487.1  
                       

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty insurance and credit derivative contracts, net of reinsurance 3

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance

    $ 270.1     $ 112.4     $ 382.5              

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts

    487.1     -         487.1              
                           

Net loss and LAE reserves

    $ 757.2     $ 112.4     $ 869.6              
                           

1. Recorded in "reinsurance balances payable, net" on the consolidated balance sheets.

2. Credit derivative assets and liabilities recorded on the balance sheet incorporate estimates of expected losses.

3. Gross of salvage and subrogation assets.

Page 40


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid
As of June 30, 2010
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and
Credit Derivatives
  Total Net Par
Outstanding for
BIG
Transactions 1
  2Q-10
Incurred
Losses
  2Q-10
Paid Losses
  Net Loss and
LAE Reserve2
  Net Salvage
and
Subrogation
Assets
  Expected Loss
to be
Expensed
 

Total Financial Guaranty Direct and

                                     

Reinsurance:

                                     
 

First lien:

                                     
   

Prime first lien

    $ 683.8     $ -         $ -         $ 0.2     $ -         $ -      
   

Alt-A first lien

    4,904.6     (17.5 )   15.1     154.8     1.3     181.3  
   

Alt-A option ARMs

    3,165.0     51.1     29.7     223.2     15.1     468.7  
   

Subprime first lien (including NIMs)

    3,067.2     37.2     4.9     155.5     -         87.2  
                           
     

Total first lien

    11,820.6     70.8     49.7     533.7     16.4     737.2  
 

Second lien:

                                     
   

Prime closed end seconds

    1,177.9     (13.3 )   30.6     32.5     32.5     183.2  
   

Prime HELOC

    4,286.6     11.2     166.9     15.1     577.6     236.1  
                           
     

Total second lien

    5,464.5     (2.1 )   197.5     47.6     610.1     419.3  
                           
     

Total U.S. RMBS

    17,285.1     68.7     247.2     581.3     626.5     1,156.5  
 

Other structured finance

    4,454.9     72.0     3.4     249.9     0.8     31.5  
 

Public finance

    3,734.5     (17.1 )   9.7     55.8     15.4     47.9  
                           

Total Financial Guaranty Direct and

                                     

Reinsurance

    $ 25,474.5     $ 123.6     $ 260.3     $ 887.0     $ 642.7     $ 1,235.9  
                           

Consolidation of VIEs

   
- -    
   
(24.3

)
 
(41.0

)
 
(17.4

)
 
(40.2

)
 
(90.6

)
                           

Total

 
  $

25,474.5
 
  $

99.3
 
  $

219.3
 
  $

869.6
 
  $

602.5
 
  $

1,145.3
 
                           

1. Includes $747.3 million in gross par which the Company purchased or obtained for risk mitigation purposes

2. Includes credit impairment on credit derivative transactions.

Page 41


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

 
    Year Ended December 31,  
 
  YTD 2010   2009   2008   2007   2006  

GAAP Summary Income Statement Data

                               
 

Net earned premiums

    $ 611.7     $ 930.4     $ 261.4     $ 159.3     $ 144.8  
 

Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives

    65.1     163.6     117.6     74.0     73.9  
 

Net investment income

    175.2     2,529.2     162.6     128.1     111.5  
 

Total expenses

    378.8     796.7     440.9     161.5     150.4  
 

Income (loss) before provision for income taxes

    731.4     132.9     112.3     (463.0 )   190.0  
 

Net income (loss) of Assured Guaranty Ltd. and subsidiaries

    525.5     97.2     68.9     (303.3 )   159.7  
 

Operating income

    284.6     293.3     74.5     178.0     157.2  
 

Net income (loss) of Assured Guaranty Ltd. and subsidiaries per

                               
 

diluted share

    $ 2.77     $ 0.75     $ 0.77     $ (4.38 )   $ 2.13  
 

Operating income per diluted share

    $ 1.50     $ 2.27     $ 0.84     $ 2.57     $ 2.12  
   

GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data (End of Period)

                               
 

Total investments and cash

    $ 10,602.2     $ 10,852.3     $ 3,643.6     $ 3,147.9     $ 2,469.9  
 

Total assets

    17,588.6     16,802.7     4,555.7     3,762.9     2,931.6  
 

Unearned premium reserves

    7,661.3     8,400.2     1,233.7     887.2     631.0  
 

Loss and LAE reserves

    403.5     289.5     196.8     125.6     115.9  
 

Long-term debt

    921.6     917.4     347.2     347.1     347.1  
 

Shareholders' equity of Assured Guaranty Ltd. and subsidiaries

    3,868.6     3,520.5     1,926.2     1,666.6     1,650.8  
 

Book value attributable to Assured per share

    $ 21.05     $ 19.12     $ 21.18     $ 20.85     $ 24.44  
   

Other Financial Information (GAAP Basis):

                               
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

    $ 942,641     $ 958,265     $ 348,816     $ 302,413     $ 180,174  
 

Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)

    1,057,977     1,095,037     354,858     307,657     181,503  
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    627,514     640,422     222,722     200,279     132,296  
 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

    700,642     726,929     227,164     204,809     133,303  
   

Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis):

                               
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

    $ 927,377     $ 942,193     $ 348,816     $ 302,413     $ 180,174  
 

Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)

    1,039,734     1,076,039     354,858     307,657     181,503  
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    613,878     626,274     222,722     200,279     132,296  
 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

    684,330     709,786     227,164     204,809     133,303  
 

Consolidated qualified statutory capital

   
4,679
   
4,902
   
2,310
   
2,079
   
1,658
 
 

Consolidated policyholders' surplus and reserves

    10,762     10,792     3,652     3,040     2,374  
 

Ratios:

                               
   

Par insured to statutory capital

    131:1     128:1     96:1     96:1     80:1  
   

Capital ratio 1

    198:1     192:1     151:1     145:1     109:1  
   

Financial resources ratio 2

    70:1     70:1     70:1     68:1     53:1  
 

Gross debt service written:

                               
   

Public finance - U.S.

    $ 22,669     $ 87,940     $ 68,265     $ 66,190     $ 13,260  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    43     894     3,350     11,849     10,531  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    1,809     2,501     13,972     42,414     28,902  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -         5,490     13,122     7,448  
                       
 

Total gross debt service written

    $ 24,521     $ 91,335     $ 91,077     $ 133,575     $ 60,141  
                       
 

Net debt service written

    $ 24,521     $ 91,335     $ 89,871     $ 129,872     $ 59,775  
 

Net par written

    15,449     49,759     55,418     84,686     50,541  
 

Gross par written

    15,449     49,921     56,140     88,117     50,892  
   

1. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

2. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 42


Glossary

Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s 10-K report for December 31, 2009.

General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit bonds that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy ad valorem taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation. They include tax-backed revenue bonds, general fund obligations and lease revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose. Bonds in this category also include moral obligations of municipalities or governmental authorities.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported bonds, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution's revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily backed by investor-owned utilities, first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, and also include sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Regulated Utilities Obligations are issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities. The majority of the Company's international regulated utility business is conducted in the UK.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of CDS obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations.

Other public finance: primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.

Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in "tranches," with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company's financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") and Home Equity Securities are obligations backed by closed-end first mortgage loans and closed- and open-end second mortgage loans or home equity loans on one-to-four family residential properties, including condominiums and cooperative apartments. First mortgage loan products in these transactions include fixed rate, adjustable rate ("ARM") and option adjustable-rate ("Option ARM") mortgages. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including "prime", "subprime" and "Alt-A". A prime borrower is generallydefined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with higher risk characteristics, usually as determined by credit score and/or credit history. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income.

Page 43


Financial Products is the guaranteed investment contracts ("GICs") portion of the former Financial Products Business of AGMH. AGM has issued financial guaranty insurance policies on the GICs and in respect of the GICs business that cannot be revoked or cancelled. Assured Guaranty is indemnified against exposure to the former financial products business by Dexia SA and certain of its affiliates. In addition, the French and Belgian governments have issued guaranties in respect of the GICs portion of the financial products business. The financial products business is currently beingin run off.

Structured Credit Securities include program-wide credit enhancement for commercial paper conduits in the U.S., and securities issued in whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Program-wide credit enhancement generally involves insuring against the default of ABS in a bank-sponsored commercial paper conduit. Securities issued in whole business and intellectual property securitizations are backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.

Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as automobile loans and leases, credit card receivables and other consumer receivables.

Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS") are obligations backed by pools of commercial mortgages. The collateral supporting CMBS include office, multi-family, retail, hotel, industrial and other specialized or mixed-use properties.

Commercial Receivables Securities are obligations backed by equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings, business loans and trade receivables. Credit support is derived from the cash flows generated by the underlying obligations, as well as property or equipment values as applicable.

Insurance Securitization Securities are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Other Structured Finance Securities are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories.

Page 44


Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures:

The Company references financial measures that are not in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP") which management uses and in order to assist investors and analysts in evaluating the Company's financial results. The following paragraphs define each financial measure not in accordance with GAAP ("non-GAAP financial measures") and describe why they are useful. In each case, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed as substitutes for their most directly comparable GAAP measures.

Assured Guaranty's presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is consistent with how analysts calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty's financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty, and with how investors, analysts and the financial news media evaluate Assured Guaranty's financial results. In addition, Assured Guaranty's management and board of directors also utilize non-GAAP measures as a basis for determining senior management incentive compensation. By providing a calculation of Assured Guaranty's non-GAAP financial measures in the Company's financial results press release, periodic financial reports filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and investor presentations, investors, analysts and financial news media reporters have access to the same information that management reviews internally.

Operating Income:    Management believes that operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the underwriting results of the Company's financial guaranty insurance business, and also includes financing costs and net investment income, and enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company's financial results as compared to the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases. Operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain financial guaranty variable interest entities (VIEs) in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, including other than temporary impairments, and credit and interest rate-related gains and losses from sales of securities. Impairments and losses from sales of credit-impaired securities, the timing of which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of other sales that would result in gains or losses, such as interest rate-related gains or losses, is largely subject to the Company's discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company's tax and capital profile. Trends in the underlying profitability of the Company's business can be more clearly identified without the fluctuating effects of these transactions.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. Additionally, such adjustments present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    5)
    Elimination of the after-tax foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of net premium receivables. Long-dated receivables constitute a significant portion of the net premium receivable balance and represent the present value of future contractual or expected collections. Therefore, the current period's foreign exchange revaluation gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

Operating Shareholders' Equity:    Management believes that operating shareholders' equity is a useful measure because it presents the equity of Assured Guaranty Ltd. with all financial guaranty contracts accounted for on a more consistent basis and excluding fair value adjustments that are not expected to result in economic loss. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating shareholders' equity as the principal financial measure for valuing Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s common shares. Many of the Company's fixed income investors also use operating shareholders' equity to evaluate the Company's capital adequacy. Operating shareholders' equity is the basis of the calculation of adjusted book value (see below). Operating shareholders' equity is defined as shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) (excluding foreign exchange revaluation). The AOCI component

Page 45


      of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore will not recognize an economic loss.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

Operating return on equity ("Operating ROE"):    Operating ROE represents operating income for a specified period divided by the average of operating shareholders' equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate the Company's return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating ROE to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis.

Adjusted Book Value:    Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the net present value of the Company's in force premiums and revenues in addition to operating shareholders' equity. The premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use adjusted book value to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Adjusted book value is operating shareholders' equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued that will be expensed in future accounting periods.

    2)
    Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue. See below.

    3)
    Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of net expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the expected future net earned premiums, net of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue:    This amount represents the present value of estimated future revenue from the Company's credit derivative in-force book of business, net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes in excess of expected losses, and is discounted at 6% (which represents the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). Estimated net future credit derivative revenue may change from period to period due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or present value of new business production:    Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as premium supplements and additional installment premium on existing contracts as to which the issuer has the right to call the insured obligation but has not exercised such right, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of insurance and credit derivative contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, in each case, discounted at 6% (the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at 6%, while under GAAP, these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

Page 46


LOGO

    Contacts:

Equity Investors:
Sabra Purtill
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 408-6044
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com

Ross Aron
Assistant Vice President, Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com

Assured Guaranty Ltd.
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08
Bermuda
(441) 279-5705
www.assuredguaranty.com

 

Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com

Michael Walker
Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

Media:
Betsy Castenir
Managing Director, Corporate Communications
(212) 339-3424
bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com

 




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Assured Guaranty Ltd. June 30, 2010 Financial Supplement
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