8-K

UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

Current Report
Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 20, 2007
    

ASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS LIMITED
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Bermuda			001-31909			Not Applicable
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)			(Commission File Number)			(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

Maxwell Roberts Building
1 Church Street
Hamilton HM 11
Bermuda
(Address of principal executive offices)
(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (441) 295-8201

Not Applicable
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
    

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

[ ] Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

[ ] Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

[ ] Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act
(17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

[ ] Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act
(17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Section 7 — Regulation FD

Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure

The information about Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited (the ‘‘Company’’) described in the slides attached to this report as Exhibit 99.1 will be presented by the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer of the Company to various investors on February 20, 2007 through February 28, 2007 and in March 2007. The Company furnishes the attached presentation which includes 2006 results, current market rates and conditions and 2007 Guidance.

Safe Harbor for Forward-Looking Statements

Some of the statements in Exhibit 99.1 include forward-looking statements which reflect our current views with respect to future events and financial performance. Such statements may include forward-looking statements both with respect to us in general and the insurance and reinsurance sectors specifically, both as to underwriting and investment matters. Statements which include the words ‘‘expect,’’ ‘‘intend,’’ ‘‘plan,’’ ‘‘believe,’’ ‘‘project,’’ ‘‘anticipate,’’ ‘‘seek,’’ ‘‘will,’’ and similar statements of a future or forward looking nature identify forward-looking statements in Exhibit 99.1 for purposes of the U.S. federal securities laws or otherwise. We intend these forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

All forward-looking statements address matters that involve risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, there are or may be important factors that could cause actual results to differ from those indicated in the forward-looking statements. See slide 2 of the attached presentation for such factors as well as our Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC.

Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made, and we undertake no obligation publicly to update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise.

Section 9. Financial Statements and Exhibits

Item 9.01- Financial Statements and Exhibits

(c)    The following exhibit is furnished under Item 7.01 as part of this report:

	99.1	Slides from presentation by management.

The information furnished under Item 7.01 ‘‘Regulation FD Disclosure’’ shall not be deemed ‘‘filed’’ for purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the ‘‘Exchange Act’’), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.

2

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

ASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS LIMITED
        (Registrant)

Dated: February 20, 2007			By:  /s/ Julian Cusack
			Name: Julian Cusack Title:    Chief Financial Officer

3

INDEX TO EXHIBITS

Exhibit No.			Description
99.1			Slides from presentation by management

4

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited

Chris O’Kane, Chief Executive Officer

Julian Cusack, Chief Financial Officer

February 2007

AHL: NYSE

This presentation contains non-GAAP measures and is for information purposes only.  It should be read in conjunction with our financial supplement posted on our website on the Investor Relations page and with other documents filed or to be filed shortly by Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited (the “Company” or “Aspen”) with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

In presenting Aspen's results, management has included and discussed certain "non-GAAP financial measures", as such term is defined in Regulation G. Management believes that these non-GAAP measures, which may be defined differently by other companies, better explain Aspen's results of operations in a manner that allows for a more complete understanding of the underlying trends in Aspen's business. However, these measures should not be viewed as a substitute for those determined in accordance with GAAP. The reconciliation of such non-GAAP financial measures to their respective most directly comparable GAAP financial measures in accordance with Regulation G is included herein or in the financial supplement, as applicable, which can be obtained from the Investor Relations section of Aspen's website at www.aspen.bm.

Application of the Safe Harbor of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995:

This presentation contains written or oral "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the U.S. federal securities laws. These statements are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts, and can be identified by the use of words such as "expect," "intend," "plan," "believe," "project," "anticipate," "seek," "will," "estimate," "may," "continue," and similar expressions of a future or forward-looking nature.

All forward-looking statements address matters that involve risks and uncertainties.  Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Aspen believes these factors include, but are not limited to: the impact that our future operating results, capital position and rating agency and other considerations have on the execution of any capital management initiatives; the impact of any capital management activities on our financial condition; the impact of acts of terrorism and related legislation and acts of war; the possibility of greater frequency or severity of claims and loss activity, including as a result of natural or man-made catastrophic events such as Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma, than our underwriting, reserving or investment practices have anticipated; evolving interpretive issues with respect to coverage as a result of Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma; the level of inflation in repair costs due to limited availability of labor and materials after catastrophes; the effectiveness of Aspen's loss limitation methods; changes in the availability, cost or quality of reinsurance or retrocessional coverage, which may affect our decision to purchase such coverage; the reliability of, and changes in assumptions to, catastrophe pricing, accumulation and estimated loss models; loss of key personnel; a decline in our operating subsidiaries' ratings with Standard & Poor's, A.M. Best Company or Moody's Investors Service; changes in general economic conditions including inflation, foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates and other factors that could affect our investment portfolio; the number and type of insurance and reinsurance contracts that we wrote at the January 1st and other renewal periods in 2007 and the premium rates available at the time of such renewals within our targeted business lines; increased competition on the basis of pricing, capacity, coverage terms or other factors; decreased demand for Aspen’s insurance or reinsurance products and cyclical downturn of the industry; changes in governmental regulations, interpretations or tax laws in jurisdictions where Aspen conducts business; proposed and future changes to insurance laws and regulations, including with respect to U.S. state- and other government-sponsored reinsurance funds and primary insurers; Aspen or its Bermudian subsidiary becoming subject to income taxes in the United States or the United Kingdom; the effect on insurance markets, business practices and relationships of ongoing litigation, investigations and regulatory activity by the New York State Attorney General's office and other authorities concerning contingent commission arrangements with brokers and bid solicitation activities; the total industry losses resulting from Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma and the actual number of Aspen's insureds incurring losses from these storms; and with respect to Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma, Aspen’s continued reliance on loss reports received from cedants and loss adjustors, Aspen's reliance on industry loss estimates and those generated by modeling techniques, the impact of these storms on Aspen's reinsurers, any changes in Aspen's reinsurers' credit quality, the amount and timing of reinsurance recoverables and reimbursements actually received by Aspen from its reinsurers and the overall level of competition and the related demand and supply dynamics as contracts come up for renewal. For a more detailed description of these uncertainties and other factors, please see the "Risk Factors" section in Aspen's Annual Reports on Form 10-K as filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.  Aspen undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made.

Safe Harbor Disclosure

2

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Key Topics

2006 Performance

Current Market Conditions, 2007 Outlook

Florida: risks and opportunities

Capital Management

2007 Guidance

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Performance Highlights

Diversified Operating platform delivering results

Improving Absolute Returns

         2003 ROAE*  15.9%                             2006 ROAE*  18.5%

Focus on Book Value growth not top line

         2004 BV $19.30                             2006 BV $ 22.35   

Increasing contribution from Investment Income and Capital
Management

ERM core enabler reducing volatility and risk tolerance

17.5% at 1:100;  25% at 1:250

$1,663.6 m

$378.1 m

82.4%

2006

$278 m

$119.5 m

76.8%

4Q ‘06

NWP

Net Income

Combined Ratio

4

* Reconciliation of Average Equity to closing shareholders’ equity is provided in our quarterly financial supplements available in the Financial Results section of the
Investor Relations page of Aspen website at  www.aspen.bm

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Strategy: Key Components

Our strategy has 4 key components

1.

‘Specialty’ insurer and reinsurer

2.

Diversified operating platform

3.

Focus on book value growth per share, not top line

4.

Enterprise Risk Management is our core strategic enabler

A Robust and Sustainable Business Model to Deliver Consistent ROE

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Increased Diversification

* 2003 Specialty lines excludes QQS of Wellington Syndicate 2020

Improved Spread of Risk

Specialty insurance and reinsurance has grown from 7.9% of GWP in
2004 to 26.3% in 2006

43%

12%

23%

22%

*

2005

Property Reinsurance           Casualty Reinsurance

Specialty Lines                     Insurance

100% = $1.3bn

41%

8%

23%

28%

39%

18%

18%

25%

31%

26%

18%

25%

2004

2003

2006

100% = $1.6bn

100% = $2.1bn

100% = $1.9bn

Gross Written Premiums

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Book value per share at end of period in US$

Book Value per Share

$19.3

$20.2

$21.9

$22.4

$15

$20

$25

2005 Q4

2006 Q2

2006 Q3

2006 Q4

16%

Focus on Growing Book Value

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Book Value Growth Drivers

Disciplined approach to underwriting opportunities

margin stability, selective margin expansion

Capital management

Tax efficiency

ERM, no surprises

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Market Conditions 2007 Outlook:
Property and Specialty Lines

Risk Excess
Treaty

Pro Rata

Catastrophe
Treaty

Trend

Outlook ’07

Line

Specialty
Reinsurance

Marine & Energy
Liability

Offshore Energy
Physical Damage

Marine Hull

Aviation

Trend

Outlook ’07

Line

International
Property Fac.

E&S Property

UK Property

Trend

Outlook ’07

Line

Property Reinsurance

Specialty lines

Insurance

= Absolute rate levels attractive

= Absolute rate levels mixed

= Absolute rate levels very challenging

= 12 month rate trend positive

= 12 month rate trend neutral

= 12 month rate trend slightly downwards

= 12 month rate trend downwards

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Market Conditions 2007 Outlook:
Casualty Lines

Casualty
Facultative

US Casualty

International
Casualty

Trend

Outlook ’07

Line

E&S Casualty

UK Liability

Trend

Outlook ’07

Line

Casualty Reinsurance

Insurance

Pricing Under Pressure but still Adequate

= Absolute rate levels attractive

= Absolute rate levels mixed

= Absolute rate levels very challenging

= 12 month rate trend positive

= 12 month rate trend neutral

= 12 month rate trend downwards

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80%

Target Combined Ratios:
Across Cycles, 2007 Outlook

E2007

E2007

95%

100%

105%

90%

85%

75%

95%

100%

105%

90%

85%

80%

75%

95%

100%

105%

90%

85%

80%

75%

78%-82%

81%-
85%

Cycle
Range

83%-88%

92%-
97%

Cycle
Range

Property and
Specialty Lines

Casualty Lines

Overall

E2007

92%-97%

85%-
92%

Cycle
Range

Expected Market Conditions in 2007 Supportive of Continuing
Strong Underwriting Performance

Note: Assuming no major losses or prior year reserve movements

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Strengthening Risk Management:
Managing Volatility of Results

Group / regulatory  / reputational

Operational

Liquidity

Minimize risk

Non – core risks

Credit

Strategic

Investment

Optimize risk- return

Core risks

Underwriting

Risk Type

Risk management policy

Risk Type

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Reduce Volatility, Lower Risk Tolerance

1-in-100 Tolerance

(% of Surplus)

2005

1-in-250 Tolerance

(% of Surplus)

25%

35%

2005

-1000bp

20.0%

17.5%

2007

2007

-250bp

Significant Reduction in Risk Tolerances

Single Zone Risk Tolerance Per Peril Net of Reinsurance, Post Tax

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Focus is on Growth in Book Value Per Share, Not Top Line

Core Beliefs about Growth

GWP and / or capital may shrink before we grow,
according to market conditions

Growth must be profitable and increase book value per
share

Growth in new lines should meet two overarching sets of
criteria

Underwriting fit

Operational fit

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Approach to Growth - ‘Palette’
(lines we do not currently write)

Focus on Opportunities which Offer Best Fit with Our Underwriting
and Operational Capabilities

Financial
Institutions

Personal
Accident

UK D&O

UK PI

Operational fit

Underwriting fit

Medical
Expenses

Property
fac

Bloodstock

Cargo and
Specie

Credit and
surety

Homeowners

Standard
Auto

US D&O

in US

High Net
Worths

Agriculture

Political
risk

US Airlines

Binder
Business

US
Products

Liability

War and
Terrorism

UK SMEs

Primary
Japanese
Property

HIGH

LOW

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2007 Impact of Florida Legislation

Aspen direct exposure

to Florida

$3 million estimated 2007 premium loss from

Florida domiciled clients (maximum)

Aspen indirect exposure

to Florida

$10 million estimated premium loss

from non-Florida domiciled business

Other indirect Impact

Estimated 2.5% reduction in worldwide property

reinsurance premium due to increased competition

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Financial Highlights – Full Year

Year Ended December 31

2006

2005

Change

(US$ in millions, except per share data)

(*) = Percentage ratio not meaningful comparison

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Gross Premiums Written

$1,945.5

$2,092.5

(7.0%)

Net Premiums Written

1,663.6

1,651.6

0.7%

Net Premiums Earned

1,676.2

1,508.4

11.1%

Underwriting Income

295.6

(259.2)

NM*

Net Investment Income

204.4

121.3

68.5%

Net Income after tax

378.1

(177.8)

NM*

GAAP Ratios:

Loss Ratio

53.1%

90.1%

(37.0%)  pts

Expense Ratio

29.3%

27.1%

2.2%  pts

Combined Ratio

82.4%

117.2%

(34.8%) pts

Full Year ROAE

18.5%

(11.7%)

NM*

Diluted Operating

Earnings Per Ordinary Share

$3.72

($2.11)

NM*

2006 Performance

Good performance in ongoing
business

GWP $158 million

Attritional losses from non-renewed

Risk Excess
XOL Treaty

Disappointing performance in
Bermuda book

Good performance in Japan and
Aspen Re America portfolios

GWP $119 million

Pro Rata

Strong performance

GWP $315 million

Catastrophe
Treaty

Comment

Result

Line

Good results

GWP $82 million

E&S
Casualty

Loss making in 2006

Taking steps to rectify
difficulties

GWP $72 million

E&S Property

Strong performance

GWP $125 million

UK Liability

Strong performance

GWP $51 million

UK Property

Comment

Result

Line

/

Property Reinsurance
Retro cost in '06 not necessary in '07

Property & Casualty Insurance

x

x

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GWP Underwriting Pattern

44

19

25

11

40

24

22

14

38

26

24

12

35

27

24

15

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

2003

2004

2005

2006

Production pattern shifted from
44% in Q1 2003 to 35% in 2006

Diversification strategy
results coming through

Reflects changing business
mix as additional lines of
business have been added

GWP by Quarter (% of annual total)

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Improving Absolute Returns

Pick-up in yield

Investment Return

$200m hybrid offering and $200m buy-back completed;
authorisation for an additional $100m share buy-back

Financial Leverage

Re-distribution of income between operating companies
will result in reduced average tax rate

Tax Rate

Increase due to growth in reserves

Investment
leverage

Market conditions expected to remain attractive in most
lines

Combined Ratio

Reduction in GWP offset by reduction in ceded premium

Operating leverage

Significant reduction in retrocession purchased; risk
tolerances unchanged

Ceded premium

Expected impact
on ROAE

Outlook 2007

Lever

Targeted Management of Underlying Levers of ROE

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0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

U/W Profit

Earned RI

Costs

Invest

Income

Other inc

pref divs

Tax

Total

Decomposition of Historical ROAE*

Increasing Contribution from Investment Income

2004

2006

2005

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

U/W Profit

Earned RI

Costs

Invest

Income

Other

Tax

Total

32%

-17%

5%

-0.4%

-5%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

U/W Profit

Earned RI

Costs

Invest

Income

Other

Tax

Total

-28%

13%

8%

-1%

-11%

32%

-17%

10%

-2%

19%

2003

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

U/W Profit

Earned RI

Costs

Invest

Income

Other

Tax

Total

37%

-18%

3%

-6%

16%

14%

-3%

-5%

21

* Reconciliation of Average Equity to closing shareholders’ equity is provided in our quarterly financial supplements available in the Financial Results section of the
Investor Relations page of Aspen website at  www.aspen.bm

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(1)

Reconciliations of Average Equity to closing shareholders’ equity and operating income to net income are provided in our 4Q06 financial supplement available on the Aspen website at www.aspen.bm

(2)

Pro forma Average Equity is reduced by $167 million from average equity assuming that our $200 million share repurchase program occurred on January 1, 2006.

(3)

Pro forma net income and operating income reduces net income and operating income by the additional preference share dividends payable assuming the $200 million share
repurchase program occurred on January 1, 2006.

Calculation of Pro Forma ROAE

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2006

FY

Average Equity reported in earnings release (1)

$1,955

Pro forma Average Equity (2)

$1,788

Net Income adjusted for preference share dividend

$363

Operating Income adjusted for preference share dividend (1)

$360

Pro forma net income adjusted for preference share dividend (3)

$351

Pro forma operating income adjusted for preference share dividend (3)

$349

ROAE:  Net Income adjusted for preference share dividend

18.5%

ROAE:  Operating Income adjusted for preference share dividend

18.4%

Pro forma ROAE:  Net Income adjusted for preference share dividend

19.7%

Pro forma ROAE:  Operating Income adjusted for preference share dividend

19.5%

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(US$ in millions)

Improvement in Investment Yield

2.00%

2.50%

3.00%

3.50%

4.00%

4.50%

5.00%

Mar-04

Jun-04

Sep-04

Dec-04

Mar-05

Jun-05

Sep-05

Dec-05

Mar-06

Jun-06

Sep-06

Dec-06

Aspen Book Yield

3-Year Treasury Market Yield

Fixed income management has kept the improvement in our book yield
in-line with the 3 year Treasury market yield.

In recognition that the Fed was to begin a period of increasing the Federal Funds Rate in
2004, Aspen embarked on an incremental duration extension program to capture book
yield as the Fed raised rates. Aspen also recognized the value of extending duration into
the steep yield curve during 2004. The result has been a pick up in book yield of
approximately 235 basis points.

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U.S. government

and agency

securities

28.7%

Corporate

securities

23.0%

Foreign

government

9.4%

Asset-backed

securities

6.2%

Mortgage-backed

securities

14.4%

Hedge funds

3.4%

Short-term

investments

14.9%

Municipals

0.03%

Portfolio investments to limit book
value volatility

Diversified, highly-rated, liquid
fixed income portfolio. AAA rating
capture yield curve opportunities

Strict guidelines on overall
portfolio concentration, credit and
duration

Fixed Income duration of 3.01
years and book yield of 4.52%, at
December 2006 (vs. 2.86 years
and 4.08% at December 2005)

Investment portfolio sector allocations
(Excluding Cash and Cash Equivalents)

As of December 31, 2006

100% = $4.7 billion

Investment Strategy

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Continued extension of fixed income portfolio
duration in-line with liability duration and long-term
yield curve and interest rate outlook

Fixed income portfolio duration of 1.1 years in
late 2003 to 3.00 years at December 31, 2006

Strategy of incrementally diversifying investment
portfolio away from 100% fixed income securities

April 1, 2006 invested 3% of assets in two low-
volatility, diversified hedge funds-of-funds

February 1, 2007 invested an additional 3% of
assets in low-volatility, diversified hedge funds-
of-funds

Continue to actively monitor credit spreads and
sector allocations and effect changes when
appropriate

Fixed Income Portfolio Duration

Investment Strategy: Growth Opportunities

25

Dec-

04

Mar-

05

Jun-

05

Sep-

05

Dec-

05

Mar-

06

Jun-

06

Sep-

06

Dec-

06

Dec-

04

Mar-

05

Jun-

05

Sep-

05

Dec-

05

Mar-

06

Jun-

06

Sep-

06

Dec-

06

Yield       

Book

Market

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2007 Guidance

(*) Assumes no major losses or prior year reserve movements

As provided on February 9, 2007 earnings conference call

16% to 19%

Tax Rate

$135 million

Assumed Average Cat-Load

$230 – $250 million

Investment Income

83% – 88%*

Combined Ratio

6% – 8% of GWP

% Premium Ceded

$1.9 billion + 5%

GWP

Implied ROE of 16% – 20%

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Float as a % of shares outstanding

Improved Share Trading Liquidity

18%

20%

59%

71%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

12/31/03

12/31/04

12/31/05

12/31/06

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Conclusions

Robust business model — enhanced returns with reduced volatility

Market conditions remain attractive in 2007

Strong risk management and ROAE

Focused management of underlying ROAE drivers to improve
returns

Selective organic growth opportunities

Enhanced Returns with Lower Volatility

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Standard & Poor’s on the Aspen Group

“…Aspen’s proven management team, strong ERM, strong earnings, strong competitive position, and strong capitalization… will be reflected in reduced earnings volatility prospectively.”

-- November 27, 2006

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