EX-99.1 2 d54966bexv99w1.htm POWERPOINT SLIDESHOW PRESENTATION exv99w1
 

Exhibit 99.1
Deutsche Bank Conference March 2008


 

Safe Harbor In keeping with the SEC's "Safe Harbor" guidelines, certain statements made during this presentation could be considered forward-looking and subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause results to differ materially from those projected. When we use the words "will likely result," "may," "anticipate," "estimate," "should," "expect," "believe," "intend," or similar expressions, we intend to identify forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, our business and investment strategy, our understanding of our competition, current market trends and opportunities, projected operating results, and projected capital expenditures. These forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated including, without limitation: general volatility of the capital markets and the market price of our common stock; changes in our business or investment strategy; availability, terms and deployment of capital; availability of qualified personnel; changes in our industry and the market in which we operate, interest rates or the general economy, and the degree and nature of our competition. These and other risk factors are more fully discussed in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. EBITDA is defined as net income before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA yield is defined as trailing twelve month EBITDA divided by the purchase price. EBITDA, FFO, AFFO, CAD and other terms are non-GAAP measures, reconciliations of which have been provided in prior earnings releases and filings with the SEC.


 

Ashford Advantage AHT's diversified platform should perform better in periods of economic uncertainty AHT's risk profile is mitigated by its capital recycling strategies AHT's strategies are designed to further secure the dividend AHT's dividend is covered by the operating business. Its capital recycling strategies are match funded through asset sales


 

Ashford Snapshot Portfolio Statistics AHT Total Enterprise Value (1) $3.7 Bil Peer Comparison (2) 3rd largest # of Hotels 110 # of Rooms 25,483 ADR (3) $137.80 RevPAR (3) $101.61 RevPAR Growth (3) 7.2% Financial Statistics # Shares Outstanding(4) 141.7 M Avg. Daily Trading Volume (3 Month) 1.5 M 2007 FFO per Share / Y-o-Y % Growth $1.28 / 13.3% Net Debt / Gross Assets 61% Debt Weighted Average Maturity 7 years Debt Weighted Average Cost 5.9% EBITDA / Interest Expense - 2007 2.7x Dividend Yield % (1) 13.3% CAD Dividend Coverage - 2007 1.20x Price per Key(5) $142,000 Assumes 3/7/08 share price of $6.30. Ranked by Total Enterprise Value of pure lodging peers. All hotels included in continuing operations not under renovation for twelve months ended 12/31/07. Diluted shares as of 4Q '07. Assumes 3/7/08 share price and mezzanine platform valuation at book value.


 

Despite economic uncertainty, AHT provides attractive risk adjusted returns: Diversified hotel portfolio yields less volatile income stream Chain scale Brand Geography Investment strategy Flexible capital recycling provides opportunities throughout the entire hotel cycle Mezz Stock buybacks ROI capex Attractive dividend yield and coverage Attractive stock price relative to per key values AHT Opportunity


 

Attractive Dividend Dividend covered by operating business Strong dividend CAD/AFFO coverage: 2007 - 1.20x CAD coverage 2007 - 1.52x AFFO coverage Consistently paid one of the highest covered dividends of lodging REIT peers Highest in peer group with dividend yield of 13.3%(1) Assumes 3/7/08 stock price of $6.30. Note: Peers include BEE, DRH, FCH, HPT, HST, HT, LHO, and SHO. Dividend Dividend Yield Dividend Yield - Peer Avg. 1Q 04 0.06 0.024 0.032 2Q 04 0.1 0.048 0.039 3Q 04 0.14 0.06 0.04 4Q 04 0.15 0.055 0.042 1Q 05 0.16 0.063 0.047 2Q 05 0.17 0.063 0.043 3Q 05 0.18 0.067 0.048 4Q 05 0.18 0.069 0.052 1Q 06 0.2 0.065 0.047 2Q 06 0.2 0.063 0.049 3Q 06 0.2 0.067 0.051 4Q 06 0.2 0.064 0.052 1Q 07 0.21 0.07 0.049 2Q 07 0.21 0.071 0.05 3Q 07 0.21 0.084 0.055 4Q 07 0.21 0.117 0.069 3/7/2008 0.21 0.133 0.082


 

Capital Strategy Because of AHT's flexible capital recycling platform, several accretive opportunities exist in the near-term AHT's capital recycling strategies are currently match funded through asset sales and cash flow above our dividend 2008 Capital Strategy 2008 Capital Strategy Sources of Capital Uses of Capital Cash flow above dividend Asset sales Debt pay down Mezzanine lending Capex Share buybacks


 

Potential Asset Sales Since its IPO, AHT has sold 41 assets, including 2 office buildings, for $522 million Weighted average cap on TTM NOI of 6.7% In 2007, AHT sold 22 assets for $380 million AHT plans to dispose of at least $600 million of hotel assets through outright sale or JVs AHT is actively marketing a broad representation of its portfolio, representing approx. $2 billion of assets, to capitalize on buyer demand AHT will sell provided pricing is attractive Ability to sell enhanced by existing debt terms 80% of the assets have assumable debt (either in part or with the entire pool, by contractual right or subject to lender approval) Weighted average cost of fixed rate debt of 5.8%


 

Mezzanine Opportunities 2003 - 2005 2006 - Early 2007 Late 2007 - Present Market Spreads Float Fixed Float Fixed L + 800 - 1,200 N/A L + 275 - 500 N/A L + 600 - 900 12.0% - 14.0% Covenants Covenants Covenants Tight Loose Tight AHT Loans Float Fixed Float Fixed 12 2 3 0 2 2 $ Value of Loans(1) Float Fixed Float Fixed $130.9m $12.0m $37.3m N/A $24.6m $38.4m Wt. Avg. Rate(1) Float Fixed Float Fixed L + 957 14.0% L + 536 N/A L + 1,338 13.2% AHT has a proven track-record of issuing mezzanine loans at the most advantageous times in the debt cycle AHT is actively pursuing expansion of its mezzanine platform as attractive returns are again available in the marketplace Value of the loans and weighted average rate reflect AHT's ownership and current yield.


 

PREI Joint Venture AHT has partnered with Prudential Real Estate Investors (PREI) to form a hotel lending joint venture Advantage of JV structure Provides opportunity to achieve outsized yields at same or less risky LTVs Creates access to a greater number of deals, which increases diversity, reduces risk and smoothes income streams $400 million equity 75% PREI / 25% AHT AHT promote equal to 1.3x venture yield PREI's equity will be senior to AHT's JV will have ROFR on all AHT's mezz opportunities Current investments: $21.5m Westin portfolio loan and $70.0m 29- property loan


 

Recent Mezzanine Originations Westin Resort Portfolio Hotel La Jolla Ritz-Carlton Key Biscayne JER Portfolio Properties 2 Westin resorts (Tucson, AZ) (Hilton Head, SC) Hotel La Jolla (La Jolla, CA) Ritz-Carlton Key Biscayne (Miami, FL) 22 full-service 7 select-service Keys 899 108 302 188 Condo Units 8,633 $ Value Loan AHT's Share $21.5m $5.4m $7.0m $33.0m $70.0m $17.5m AHT Current Yield 17.6% L + 900 12.5% 17.9% (L + 1,515) Term 10 years 3 years 2 1-year extensions 10 years 3 years 2 1-year extensions In PREI JV? Yes No No Yes TTM DSCR 1.07x 0.58x (Debt 100% guaranteed) 1.10x 1.72x LTV 69 - 76% 61 - 79% 63 - 78% 68 - 72% AHT Last Dollar of Debt $257,000 / key $278,700 / key $655,600 / key (Excludes condo units) $185,900 / key


 

2008 Capex Plan $190 million of potential capital expenditure in 2008 AHT is contractually obligated or has already initiated $80 million of projects and has the flexibility to defer other projects to 2009 - 2010 $60 million are normal capex projects $50 million are discretionary ROI projects Several capital-intensive assets are candidates for outright sale or JV, which could reduce 2008 capex needs by up to $37 million Should lodging fundamentals soften in the near-term, AHT will be prudent in its capital allocation and use discretion in determining the timing and magnitude of projects


 

Share Buybacks $50m share repurchase program approved by the Board in December 2007 AHT repurchased 2.4m shares of common stock at an average price of $7.67 during the fourth quarter Approx. $25 million of share repurchase authorization remains Accretive use of capital given AHT's current stock price and 13.3% dividend yield(1) AHT will be opportunistic with the share buyback program, recognizing that other alternative uses of capital exist Assumes 3/7/08 stock price of $6.30.


 

Debt Maturity Schedule 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total 74 126 122 257 339 0 111 261 396 981 Clear 74 126 122 257 339 0 111 261 396 981 Debt Maturities ($m) Note: Company estimates as of 4Q '07. Last dollar of debt includes debt attributable to JV partners, mezzanine platform valuation at book value, 4Q '07 room count, and reflects the sale of JW Marriott New Orleans. Debt maturity schedule assumes extendable loans are extended and excludes JV debt. AHT's debt is favorably priced and has a diversified maturity schedule 2007 interest charge coverage of 2.7x AHT's last dollar of net debt as of 12/31/07 is $95,000 per key


 

Ashford has the broadest diversification of hotel assets Advantages: Diversifies exposure across economic markets High quality select service assets provide stability 35% of 2007 EBITDA High concentration of EBITDA in top 25 markets 77% of 2007 EBITDA Less concentrated risk to new supply Mezzanine lending provides attractive yields and is lower in risk than owning hotel properties Diversified Portfolio Note: Proforma based on TTM 12/31/07 owned EBITDA for the 110 hotels in continuing operations.


 

Broad Portfolio Mix Marriott Hilton Hyatt Starwood IHG Other 0.483 0.332 0.08 0.071 0.029 0.005 Marriott Remington Hilton Hyatt Starwood Interstate Hotel Equities 0.423 0.262 0.179 0.08 0.026 0.017 0.013 Brand Manager Note: Proforma based on TTM 12/31/07 owned EBITDA for the 110 hotels in continuing operations.


 

Recession Plan In light of uncertainty regarding 2008 economic environment, all property managers have created contingency plans Submit plans based on 2%, 5% or 10% decline in revenues Goal to maintain 50% GOP flow through cost-cutting initiatives AHT asset management is proactively monitoring hotel performance No fewer than 3 visits to each property in 2008 Booking pace will be randomly checked and cancellations closely monitored AHT has 26% of EBITDA operated by affiliate Remington, which enhances ability to more rapidly implement operational changes to preserve margins


 

Ashford Advantage AHT's diversified platform should perform better in periods of economic uncertainty AHT's risk profile is mitigated by its capital recycling strategies AHT's strategies are designed to further secure the dividend AHT's dividend is covered by the operating business. Its capital recycling strategies are match funded through asset sales


 

Deutsche Bank Conference March 2008