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INVESTMENTS
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2022
Investments, Debt and Equity Securities [Abstract]  
INVESTMENTS
INVESTMENTS

We classify our fixed maturity securities into one of two categories: (i) "available for sale" (which we carry at estimated fair value with any unrealized gain or loss, net of tax and related adjustments, recorded as a component of shareholders' equity); or (ii) "trading" (which we carry at estimated fair value with changes in such value recognized as either net investment income (classified as investment income from policyholder and other special-purpose portfolios) or investment gains (losses)).

Trading securities include: (i) investments purchased with the intent of selling in the near term to generate income; and (ii) certain fixed maturity securities containing embedded derivatives for which we have elected the fair value option.  The change in fair value of the income generating investments is recognized in income from policyholder and other special-purpose portfolios (a component of net investment income). The change in fair value of securities with embedded derivatives is recognized in other investment gains (losses).

We review our available for sale fixed maturity securities with unrealized losses to determine whether such impairments are the result of credit losses. We analyze various factors to make such determinations including, but not limited to: (i) actions
taken by rating agencies; (ii) default by the issuer; (iii) the significance of the decline; (iv) an assessment of our intent to sell the security before recovering the security's amortized cost; (v) an economic analysis of the issuer's industry; and (vi) the financial strength, liquidity, and recoverability of the issuer. We perform a security by security review each quarter to evaluate whether a credit loss has occurred.

In determining the credit loss component, we discount the estimated cash flows on a security by security basis. We consider the impact of macroeconomic conditions on inputs used to measure the amount of credit loss. For most structured securities, cash flow estimates are based on bond-specific facts and circumstances that may include collateral characteristics, expectations of delinquency and default rates, loss severity, prepayment speeds and structural support, including overcollateralization, excess spread, subordination and guarantees. For corporate bonds, cash flow estimates are derived by considering asset type, rating, time to maturity, and applying an expected loss rate.

If a portion of the decline is due to credit-related factors, we separate the credit loss component of the impairment from the amount related to all other factors. The credit loss component is recorded as an allowance and reported in other investment gains (losses) (limited to the difference between estimated fair value and amortized cost). The impairment related to all other factors (non-credit factors) is reported in accumulated other comprehensive income along with unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, available for sale, net of tax and related adjustments. The allowance is adjusted for any additional credit losses and subsequent recoveries. When recognizing an allowance associated with a credit loss, the cost basis is not adjusted. When we determine a security is uncollectable, the remaining amortized cost will be written off.
  
If we intend to sell an impaired fixed maturity security, available for sale, or identify an impaired fixed maturity security, available for sale, for which it is more likely than not we will be required to sell before anticipated recovery, the difference between the fair value and the amortized cost is included in other investment gains (losses) and the fair value becomes the new amortized cost. The new cost basis is not adjusted for any subsequent recoveries in fair value.

The Company reports accrued investment income separately from fixed maturities, available for sale, and has elected not to measure an allowance for credit losses for accrued investment income. Accrued investment income is written off through net investment income at the time the issuer of the bond defaults or is expected to default on payments.

Accumulated other comprehensive income is primarily comprised of the net effect of unrealized appreciation (depreciation) on our investments.  These amounts, included in shareholders' equity as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, were as follows (dollars in millions):
March 31,
2022
December 31,
2021
Net unrealized gains on investments having no allowance for credit losses $900.8 $2,963.3 
Unrealized losses on investments with an allowance for credit losses (387.9)(23.1)
Adjustment to present value of future profits (a)(.4)(8.3)
Adjustment to deferred acquisition costs(31.2)(420.2)
Adjustment to insurance liabilities— (25.5)
Deferred income tax liabilities(100.8)(539.1)
Accumulated other comprehensive income$380.5 $1,947.1 
________
(a)The present value of future profits is the value assigned to the right to receive future cash flows from contracts existing at September 10, 2003, the date Conseco, Inc., an Indiana corporation, emerged from bankruptcy.

At December 31, 2021, adjustments to the present value of future profits, deferred acquisition costs, insurance liabilities and deferred tax assets included $(7.3) million, $(132.2) million, $(25.5) million and $35.8 million, respectively, for premium deficiencies that would exist on certain blocks of business if unrealized gains on the assets backing such products had been realized and the proceeds from the sales of such assets were invested at then current yields. There were no such adjustments at March 31, 2022.
At March 31, 2022, the amortized cost, gross unrealized gains, gross unrealized losses, allowance for credit losses and estimated fair value of fixed maturities, available for sale, were as follows (dollars in millions):
Amortized costGross unrealized gainsGross unrealized lossesAllowance for credit lossesEstimated fair value
Corporate securities$13,932.6 $847.4 $(380.4)$(35.6)$14,364.0 
United States Treasury securities and obligations of United States government corporations and agencies168.0 31.1 (2.5)— 196.6 
States and political subdivisions2,646.0 155.7 (102.2)(.8)2,698.7 
Foreign governments78.2 5.1 (2.6)(.1)80.6 
Asset-backed securities1,189.7 8.0 (34.8)(.1)1,162.8 
Agency residential mortgage-backed securities33.9 1.8 — — 35.7 
Non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities1,826.6 112.0 (54.3)— 1,884.3 
Collateralized loan obligations689.2 .9 (6.7)— 683.4 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities2,425.1 11.7 (63.5)— 2,373.3 
Total fixed maturities, available for sale$22,989.3 $1,173.7 $(647.0)$(36.6)$23,479.4 

At December 31, 2021, the amortized cost, gross unrealized gains, gross unrealized losses, allowance for credit losses and estimated fair value of fixed maturities, available for sale, were as follows (dollars in millions):
Amortized costGross unrealized gainsGross unrealized lossesAllowance for credit lossesEstimated fair value
Corporate securities$13,195.4 $2,284.5 $(21.7)$(7.4)$15,450.8 
United States Treasury securities and obligations of United States government corporations and agencies166.2 54.3 (.9)— 219.6 
States and political subdivisions2,649.0 356.7 (1.5)— 3,004.2 
Foreign governments85.4 13.6 (.3)(.2)98.5 
Asset-backed securities1,129.0 37.0 (3.1)— 1,162.9 
Agency residential mortgage-backed securities36.7 3.7 — — 40.4 
Non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities1,870.4 156.5 (3.1)— 2,023.8 
Collateralized loan obligations587.3 2.3 (1.3)— 588.3 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities2,148.2 77.9 (9.2)— 2,216.9 
Total fixed maturities, available for sale$21,867.6 $2,986.5 $(41.1)$(7.6)$24,805.4 
The following table sets forth the amortized cost and estimated fair value of fixed maturities, available for sale, at March 31, 2022, by contractual maturity.  Actual maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without penalties.  Structured securities (such as asset-backed securities, agency residential mortgage-backed securities, non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities, collateralized loan obligations and commercial mortgage-backed securities, collectively referred to as "structured securities") frequently include provisions for periodic principal payments and permit periodic unscheduled payments.
Amortized
cost
Estimated
fair
value
 (Dollars in millions)
Due in one year or less$60.6 $59.0 
Due after one year through five years1,561.7 1,557.9 
Due after five years through ten years2,292.6 2,266.7 
Due after ten years12,909.9 13,456.3 
Subtotal16,824.8 17,339.9 
Structured securities6,164.5 6,139.5 
Total fixed maturities, available for sale$22,989.3 $23,479.4 

The following table sets forth the amortized cost and estimated fair value of fixed maturities, available for sale, at December 31, 2021, by contractual maturity.
Amortized
cost
Estimated
fair
value
 (Dollars in millions)
Due in one year or less$80.3 $80.5 
Due after one year through five years1,147.4 1,205.6 
Due after five years through ten years1,458.4 1,573.7 
Due after ten years13,409.9 15,913.3 
Subtotal16,096.0 18,773.1 
Structured securities5,771.6 6,032.3 
Total fixed maturities, available for sale$21,867.6 $24,805.4 

Gross Unrealized Investment Losses

Our investment strategy is to maximize, over a sustained period and within acceptable parameters of quality and risk, investment income and total investment return through active strategic asset allocation and investment management. Accordingly, we may sell securities at a gain or a loss to enhance the projected total return of the portfolio as market opportunities change, to reflect changing perceptions of risk, or to better match certain characteristics of our investment portfolio with the corresponding characteristics of our insurance liabilities.
The following table summarizes the gross unrealized losses and fair values of our investments with unrealized losses for which an allowance for credit losses has not been recorded, aggregated by investment category and length of time that such securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position, at March 31, 2022 (dollars in millions):

 Less than 12 months12 months or greaterTotal
Description of securitiesFair
value
Unrealized
losses
Fair
value
Unrealized
losses
Fair
value
Unrealized
losses
Corporate securities$993.4 $(54.5)$17.4 $(1.4)$1,010.8 $(55.9)
United States Treasury securities and obligations of United States government corporations and agencies16.8 (.6)17.7 (1.9)34.5 (2.5)
States and political subdivisions487.0 (43.4)— — 487.0 (43.4)
Foreign governments3.0 (.1)— — 3.0 (.1)
Asset-backed securities765.6 (32.8)17.2 (.8)782.8 (33.6)
Agency residential mortgage-backed securities.6 — — — .6 — 
Non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities849.6 (54.4)1.7 — 851.3 (54.4)
Collateralized loan obligations471.7 (6.0)48.0 (.7)519.7 (6.7)
Commercial mortgage-backed securities1,567.6 (59.4)47.5 (4.1)1,615.1 (63.5)
Total fixed maturities, available for sale$5,155.3 $(251.2)$149.5 $(8.9)$5,304.8 $(260.1)

The following table summarizes the gross unrealized losses and fair values of our investments with unrealized losses for which an allowance for credit losses has not been recorded, aggregated by investment category and length of time that such securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position, at December 31, 2021 (dollars in millions):

 Less than 12 months12 months or greaterTotal
Description of securitiesFair
value
Unrealized
losses
Fair
value
Unrealized
losses
Fair
value
Unrealized
losses
Corporate securities$87.8 $(.4)$9.2 $(.1)$97.0 $(.5)
United States Treasury securities and obligations of United States government corporations and agencies5.7 — 18.7 (.9)24.4 (.9)
States and political subdivisions47.3 (.4)— — 47.3 (.4)
Asset-backed securities210.8 (2.4)17.8 (.7)228.6 (3.1)
Non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities380.8 (3.1)2.3 — 383.1 (3.1)
Collateralized loan obligations271.5 (1.2)32.8 (.1)304.3 (1.3)
Commercial mortgage-backed securities694.7 (7.6)41.4 (1.6)736.1 (9.2)
Total fixed maturities, available for sale$1,698.6 $(15.1)$122.2 $(3.4)$1,820.8 $(18.5)

Based on management's current assessment of investments with unrealized losses at March 31, 2022, the Company believes the issuers of the securities will continue to meet their obligations.  While we do not have the intent to sell securities with unrealized losses and it is not more likely than not that we will be required to sell securities with unrealized losses prior to their anticipated recovery, our intent on an individual security may change, based upon market or other unforeseen
developments. In such instances, if a loss is recognized from a sale subsequent to a balance sheet date due to these unexpected developments, the loss is recognized in the period in which we had the intent to sell the security before its anticipated recovery.

The following table summarizes changes in the allowance for credit losses related to fixed maturities, available for sale, for the three months ended March 31, 2022 (dollars in millions):

Corporate securitiesStates and political subdivisionsForeign governmentsAsset-backed securitiesTotal
Allowance at December 31, 2021$7.4 $— $.2 $— $7.6 
Additions for securities for which credit losses were not previously recorded14.0 .3 .1 — 14.4 
Additions for purchased securities with deteriorated credit— — — — — 
Additions (reductions) for securities where an allowance was previously recorded14.6 .5 (.2).1 15.0 
Reduction for securities sold during the period(.4)— — — (.4)
Reduction for securities for which the Company made the decision to sell where an allowance was previously recorded— — — — — 
Write-offs— — — — — 
Recoveries of previously written-off amount— — — — — 
Allowance at March 31, 2022$35.6 $.8 $.1 $.1 $36.6 
The following table summarizes changes in the allowance for credit losses related to fixed maturities, available for sale, for the three months ended March 31, 2021 (dollars in millions):

Corporate securitiesStates and political subdivisionsTotal
Allowance at December 31, 2020$1.9 $.3 $2.2 
Additions for securities for which credit losses were not previously recorded1.7 .1 1.8 
Additions for purchased securities with deteriorated credit— — — 
Additions (reductions) for securities where an allowance was previously recorded1.5 — 1.5 
Reduction for securities sold during the period(.2)— (.2)
Reduction for securities for which the Company made the decision to sell where an allowance was previously recorded— — — 
Write-offs— — — 
Recoveries of previously written-off amount— — — 
Allowance at March 31, 2021$4.9 $.4 $5.3 

Mortgage Loans

Mortgage loans are carried at amortized unpaid balance, net of allowance for estimated credit losses. Interest income is accrued on the principal amount of the loan based on the loan's contractual interest rate. Payment terms specified for mortgage loans may include a prepayment penalty for unscheduled payoff of the investment. Prepayment penalties are recognized as investment income when received.

The allowance for estimated credit losses is measured using a loss-rate method on an individual asset basis. Inputs used include asset-specific characteristics, current economic conditions, historical loss information and reasonable and supportable forecasts about future economic conditions.

At March 31, 2022, the mortgage loan balance was primarily comprised of commercial mortgage loans and there were no commercial mortgage loans in process of foreclosure. At March 31, 2022, we held residential mortgage loan investments with an amortized cost and fair value of $41.8 million and $42.2 million, respectively. At March 31, 2022, there were 12 residential mortgage loans that were noncurrent with a carrying value of $4.0 million (of which, 6 such loans with a carrying value of $2.3 million were in forbearance and one loan with a carrying value of $0.1 million was in foreclosure). There were no other mortgage loans that were noncurrent at March 31, 2022.
The following table provides the amortized cost by year of origination and estimated fair value of our outstanding commercial mortgage loans and the underlying collateral as of March 31, 2022 (dollars in millions):
Estimated fair
value
Loan-to-value ratio (a)20222021202020192018PriorTotal amortized costMortgage loansCollateral
Less than 60%$76.6 $138.8 $27.9 $88.8 $100.8 $592.8 $1,025.7 $1,031.5 $4,108.4 
60% to less than 70%7.9 22.2 5.8 — — 46.9 82.8 79.1 127.9 
70% to less than 80%— — 12.4 — 8.3 12.1 32.8 31.3 45.4 
80% to less than 90%— — — — — 35.2 35.2 32.1 43.0 
Total$84.5 $161.0 $46.1 $88.8 $109.1 $687.0 $1,176.5 $1,174.0 $4,324.7 
________________
(a)Loan-to-value ratios are calculated as the ratio of: (i) the amortized cost of the commercial mortgage loans; to (ii) the estimated fair value of the underlying collateral.

The following table summarizes changes in the allowance for credit losses related to mortgage loans (dollars in millions):

Three months ended
March 31,
20222021
Allowance at the beginning of the period$5.6 $11.8 
Current period provision for expected credit losses(.5)(3.0)
Initial allowance recognized for purchased financial assets with credit deterioration— — 
Write-offs charged against the allowance— — 
Recoveries of amounts previously written off— — 
Allowance at the end of the period$5.1 $8.8 
Total Investment Gains (Losses)

The following table sets forth the total investment gains (losses) for the periods indicated (dollars in millions):

Three months ended
March 31,
 20222021
Realized investment gains (losses): 
Gross realized gains on sale$54.8 $13.2 
Gross realized losses on sale(30.6)(13.8)
Equity securities, net(4.7)— 
Other, net(.7)(5.4)
Total realized investment gains (losses)18.8 (6.0)
Change in allowance for credit losses (a)(30.7)9.6 
Change in fair value of equity securities (b)(1.2)(1.8)
Other changes in fair value (c)(19.6)(4.6)
Other investment gains (losses)(51.5)3.2 
Total investment losses$(32.7)$(2.8)
_________________
(a)    Changes in the allowance for credit losses includes $(2.2) million and $9.7 million in the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively, related to investments held by variable interest entities ("VIEs").
(b)    Changes in the estimated fair value of equity securities (that are still held as of the end of the respective periods) were $(5.2) million and $(1.3) million for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
(c)    Change in the estimated fair value of trading securities that we have elected the fair value option (that are still held as of the end of the respective periods) were $(12.8) million and $(1.6) million in the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.

During the first three months of 2022, we recognized net investment losses of $32.7 million, which were comprised of: (i) $23.5 million of net gains from the sales of investments; (ii) $5.9 million of losses related to equity securities, including the change in fair value; (iii) the decrease in fair value of certain fixed maturity investments with embedded derivatives of $13.1 million; (iv) the decrease in fair value of embedded derivatives related to a modified coinsurance agreement of $6.5 million; and (v) an increase in the allowance for credit losses of $30.7 million.

During the first three months of 2021, we recognized net investment losses of $2.8 million, which were comprised of: (i) $6.0 million of net losses from the sales of investments; (ii) $1.8 million of losses related to equity securities, including the change in fair value; (iii) the decrease in fair value of certain fixed maturity investments with embedded derivatives of $1.6 million; (iv) the decrease in fair value of embedded derivatives related to a modified coinsurance agreement of $3.0 million; and (v) a decrease in the allowance for credit losses of $9.6 million.

Our fixed maturity investments are generally purchased in the context of various long-term strategies, including funding insurance liabilities, so we do not generally seek to generate short-term realized gains through the purchase and sale of such securities.  In certain circumstances, including those in which securities are selling at prices which exceed our view of their underlying economic value, or when it is possible to reinvest the proceeds to better meet our long-term asset-liability objectives, we may sell certain securities.

At March 31, 2022, there were no fixed maturity investments in default.

During the first three months of 2022, the $30.6 million of gross realized losses on sales of $786.6 million of fixed maturity securities, available for sale, included: (i) $14.6 million related to various corporate securities; (ii) $9.8 million related to non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities; (iii) $4.2 million related to states and political subdivisions; and (iv) $2.0 million related to various other investments. Securities are generally sold at a loss following unforeseen issuer-specific events or conditions or shifts in perceived relative values.  These reasons include but are not limited to: (i) changes in the investment
environment; (ii) expectation that the market value could deteriorate; (iii) our desire to reduce our exposure to an asset class, an issuer or an industry; (iv) prospective or actual changes in credit quality; or (v) changes in expected portfolio cash flows.

During the first three months of 2021, the $13.8 million of gross realized losses on sales of $215.5 million of fixed maturity securities, available for sale, related to various corporate securities.

Future events may occur, or additional information may become available, which may necessitate future realized losses in our portfolio.  Significant losses could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial statements in future periods.