EX-99.1 2 a16-14399_1ex99d1.htm 2015 GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES REPORT

Exhibit 99.1

 

 

ALLIED WORLD ASSURANCE COMPANY HOLDINGS, AG

 

2015 GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES

 



 

Global Loss Development Triangle Cautionary Language

 

This report is for informational purposes only and is current only as of December 31, 2015.  Allied World Assurance Company Holdings, AG (“Allied World”, the “Company”, “we”, “us” or “our”) is under no obligation (and expressly disclaims any such obligation) to update or revise this report, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.  Nothing contained in this report is or should be relied upon as a promise or representation as to the future.  Although the loss development patterns disclosed in this report are an important factor in the process used to estimate loss reserve requirements, they are not the only factors considered in establishing reserves.  The process for establishing reserves is subject to considerable variability and requires the use of informed estimates and judgments.  Important details, such as specific loss development expectations for particular contracts, years or events, cannot be developed solely by analyzing the information provided in this report.  In addition to analyzing loss development data, management incorporates additional information into the reserving process, such as pricing for insurance and reinsurance products as well as current market conditions.  Readers must keep these and other qualifications more fully described in this report in mind when reviewing this information.  Information presented in this report may differ materially from that reported in the Company’s financial statements prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States due to differences in foreign exchange rates, exclusions, the impact of premium adjustments and other adjustments.  This report is a supplement to the Company’s financial disclosures and should be read in conjunction with the Company’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and other documents on file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”).  This report shall not be incorporated by reference into any of the Company’s filings under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.

 

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

 

Any forward-looking statements made in this report reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  Such statements involve risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements.  For example, the Company’s forward-looking statements could be affected by pricing and policy term trends; increased competition; the adequacy of our loss reserves; negative rating agency actions; greater frequency or severity of unpredictable catastrophic events; the impact of acts of terrorism and acts of war; the Company or its subsidiaries becoming subject to significant income taxes in the United States or elsewhere; changes in regulations or tax laws; changes in the availability, cost or quality of reinsurance or retrocessional coverage; adverse general economic conditions; and judicial, legislative, political and other governmental developments, as well as management’s response to these factors, and other factors identified in the Company’s filings with the SEC.  You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date on which they are made.  The Company is under no obligation (and expressly disclaims any such obligation) to update or revise any forward-looking statement that may be made from time to time, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise.

 



 

ALLIED WORLD ASSURANCE COMPANY HOLDINGS, AG

2015 GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES

 

Table of Contents

 

 

Page

I.             EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

1

 

 

– Overview

1

– Major Changes From 2014 Global Loss Triangles

3

– Limitations of the Reserving Processes

3

– Treaty Year Projections

5

 

 

II.            RECONCILIATION OF GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES TO DECEMBER 31, 2015 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

7

 

 

III.          GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES

8

 

 

– Basis of Presentation

8

– Description of Data Presented

9

– GLT Class Details

10

– Property Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

13

– General Casualty Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

14

– Professional Liability Lines Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

15

– Healthcare Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

16

– Specialty Lines Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

17

– Asian Operations Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

18

– Property Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

19

– General Casualty Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

20

– Professional Liability Lines Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

21

– Healthcare Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

22

– Specialty Lines Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

23

– Asian Operations Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

24

– Property Catastrophe Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

25

– Property Per Risk Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

26

– General Casualty Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

27

– Professional Liability Lines Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

28

– Specialty Lines Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

29

– Property Catastrophe Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

30

– Property Per Risk Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

31

– General Casualty Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

32

– Professional Liability Lines Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

33

– Specialty Lines Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

34

– Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary

35

– Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary

36

– Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary

37

– Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary

38

 

 

 



 

IV.          SELECTED EXCERPTS FROM ALLIED WORLD’S 2015 10-K DISCLOSURE

39

 

 

V.            GLOSSARY

45

 



 

I.                                        EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

 

Overview

 

A critical component of financial reporting for insurance and reinsurance companies is to accurately estimate potential losses and associated loss expenses on risks that have been insured or reinsured.  This report is Allied World’s release of its Global Loss Triangles (“GLTs”) as of December 31, 2015.  For your convenience, we have included a glossary of selected insurance and reinsurance terms beginning on page 45.

 

We establish a reserve for losses and loss expenses to cover our estimated liability for the payment of all losses and loss expenses incurred with respect to earned premiums on the policies and treaties that we write.  This reserve is a balance sheet liability representing estimates of losses and loss expenses we are required to pay for insured or reinsured claims that have occurred as of or before the balance sheet date.

 

The process of establishing loss reserves can be complex and is subject to considerable variability as it requires the use of judgment regarding numerous items, including future litigation trends, future inflation trends, new laws and regulations, attachment points and timing of payments.  Estimates of these reserves are subject to potential errors of estimation, which could be significant, as they are based upon the outcomes of future events.  The estimates are even more difficult for a company such as Allied World, as some of our casualty lines of business have relatively high attachment points (often exceeding $100 million) and relatively high net limits (with $25 million being a typical maximum).  Those characteristics make some of our casualty lines subject to claims that are very low in frequency (the number of actual claims), but very high in severity (the average claim size).  The combination of low frequency and high severity exacerbates the difficulty in establishing loss reserves for Allied World.  We caution that an attempt to evaluate our loss reserves using exclusively the data presented in this report could be misleading.

 

The reserve for losses and loss expenses is comprised of two main elements: outstanding loss reserves, also known as “case reserves,” and reserves for losses incurred but not reported (“IBNR”).  Outstanding loss reserves relate to known claims and represent management’s best estimate of the likely loss settlement cost.  Thus, there is a significant amount of estimation involved in determining the likely loss payment.  IBNR is the estimated liability for (1) claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported, and (2) changes in the values of claims that have been reported to us but are not yet settled.  IBNR reserves require judgment because they relate primarily to unreported events that, based on industry information, management’s experience and actuarial evaluation, can reasonably be expected to have occurred and are reasonably likely to result in a loss to the Company.  IBNR reserves related to estimated development of reported events are based on industry information, management’s experience and actuarial evaluation, and can reasonably be expected to reach our attachment point and are reasonably likely to result in a loss to the Company.  Each claim is resolved individually based upon its merits and it is not unusual for a claim to take years after being reported to settle, especially if legal action is involved.  As a result, reserves for losses and loss expenses include significant estimates for IBNR reserves.

 

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The reserve for IBNR is estimated by management for each line of business based on various factors, including underwriters’ expectations about loss experience, actuarial analysis, comparisons with the results of industry benchmarks and loss experience to date.  The reserve for IBNR is calculated as the ultimate amount of losses and loss expenses less cumulative paid losses and loss expenses and case reserves.  Our actuaries employ generally accepted actuarial methodologies to determine estimated ultimate loss reserves.

 

When estimating IBNR reserves, we segregate the Company’s insurance and reinsurance loss and exposure data into over 160 classes in total.  Within each class, the business is further segregated by treaty year, accident year or report year.  Professional liability and healthcare lines of business are reviewed on a report year basis due to the claims-made nature of the underlying contracts.  Our general casualty insurance business is a mixture of claims-made and loss-occurring contracts.  Since the Company’s formation in November 2001, 68% of our gross earned premiums and 72% of our net earned premiums have been associated with occurrence policies for our general casualty insurance business.

 

Generally, initial actuarial estimates of IBNR reserves not related to a single event (such as a catastrophe) are based upon the expected loss ratio method applied to each class of business.  Actual paid losses and case reserves are subtracted from the expected ultimate losses to derive the IBNR reserves.  The initial expected loss ratio used in the expected loss ratio method involve managerial judgments and are based upon historical information for the class of business, which includes historic loss ratios, market conditions, changes in pricing, policy terms and conditions, peer analysis, underwriting changes, changes in claims emergence and other factors that may influence expected ultimate losses.  Over time, the actuarial estimates for our non-property lines of business generally become a blend of the Bornhuetter-Ferguson reported loss method (the “B-F method”) and the expected loss ratio method.  The B-F method incorporates actual reported loss data and expected unreported losses, which is a function of the initial expected loss ratio and the expected loss emergence pattern, to determine an estimate of ultimate losses.  The B-F method is often appropriate for lines of business where there is limited actual loss data and/or a relatively less stable pattern of loss emergence.  For additional details on the B-F method, see “IV.  Selected Excerpts from Allied World’s 2015 10-K Disclosure — Expected Loss Ratio Method” and “— Bornhuetter-Ferguson Reported Loss Method.”

 

These actuarial methods may be inappropriate for lines of business with very low frequency and high severity and in certain specific situations, such as catastrophe losses.  In such situations, specific knowledge of the open claims, the underlying exposures, ceded reinsurance, litigation trends, the types of coverages involved and the changes in the frequency or severity of the claim may be used to establish reserves.

 

Multiple estimates of ultimate losses using a variety of actuarial methods are calculated for many of our classes of business for each year of loss experience.  Our actuaries review each class of business and each year of loss experience and determine the most appropriate point estimate based upon the characteristics of the particular class of business and other relevant factors as described above.  Once our actuaries make their determination of the most appropriate point estimate for each class of business and for each year of loss experience, both gross and net

 

2



 

of reinsurance, this information is aggregated and presented to management for consideration in establishing the recorded reserves for losses and loss expenses.

 

Major Changes From 2014 Global Loss Triangles

 

We have made several changes to our GLT report this year.  The changes were made for two primary reasons: (1) to move the reporting closer to what will be reported in our loss triangles under the new Financial Accounting Standards Board guidelines1, and (2) to reflect the Asian operations we acquired in 2015.  The changes are as follows:

 

·                  Non-U.S. dollar case reserves are now translated into U.S. dollars at the December 31, 2015 conversion rate.  Previously, the adjustment was based on the transaction date of the case reserves;

·                  We are no longer excluding large catastrophe events, such as earthquakes and hurricanes, from our GLTs;

·                  Aggregate loss triangles for our Asian operations, which include the Hong Kong, Singapore and Labuan operations acquired from Royal & Sun Alliance Insurance plc in April 2015, are presented separately along with the other GLTs; and

·                  We remapped several smaller lines of business within the GLTs.

 

Limitations of the Reserving Processes

 

Reserving actuaries, especially in personal lines and mid-market commercial lines companies, often employ common actuarial loss development methods to project ultimate losses from triangles of paid and reported losses.  These methods rely on an assumption that losses develop consistently from one year to the next, and for the expected loss ratio and B-F methods, on the assumption that an initial expected loss ratio and expected emergence pattern can be accurately selected.  However, Allied World writes complex lines of business, including excess casualty insurance and reinsurance, which often do not have the consistent patterns of reported losses that personal lines and mid-market commercial lines companies do.

 

Projections of ultimate losses require a significant amount of estimation and judgment based on a variety of factors.  We strongly caution against any assumption that common loss projection techniques applied mechanically can alone be used to estimate ultimate losses for our data as the outcome of such a simplistic approach would lead to misleading results and inaccurate conclusions.  Reasons to avoid simplistic projections include:

 

·                                          Many of our GLTs lack sufficient actuarial credibility to project ultimate losses and do not have the history to accurately estimate the development of losses beyond ten years.

 


1  Accounting Standards Update 2015-09, “Disclosures about Short-Duration Contracts”  (“ASU 2015-09”) issued in May 2015.  ASU 2015-09 will be effective starting with the Company’s Form 10-K for the year ending December 31, 2016.

 

3



 

·                                          As many of our casualty lines can have relatively low frequency and relatively high severity losses, the absence or emergence of only a few losses can distort our paid and reported GLTs.

 

·                                          Our casualty insurance with lower attachment points has been generally growing faster than our casualty insurance with higher attachment points.  The changing mix in attachment points can cause historical loss development to be inappropriate for estimating future loss development.

 

·                                          Our casualty insurance written on an occurrence policy form has been generally growing faster than our casualty insurance not written on an occurrence policy form.  The changing mix of policy forms can cause historical loss development to be inappropriate for future loss development.

 

·                                          Some of our largest inward reinsurance treaties have special characteristics, such as loss corridors, annual aggregate deductibles or swing-rated premiums that cannot be considered in a simplistic aggregate projection.

 

·                                          We have had changes in our underwriting philosophy over time, exiting or paring back some classes of business and in other classes changing coverage terms and conditions.

 

·                                          Losses develop differently for different classes of business.  The aim of the GLTs contained herein is to present our loss development experience in an informative format, while protecting proprietary Company information.  Accordingly, we do not show our 160+ reserving classes, but rather have aggregated them into 11 classes, which represent different geographies, pricing environments, legislative climates and policy forms and which will not be as homogeneous as our actual reserving classes would be if reported individually.

 

·                                          Paid loss development patterns are considerably longer than the corresponding reported loss development patterns and can produce for many of our classes of business extremely volatile indications, particularly within the first several years of development.

 

·                                          For many classes of business, pricing conditions have changed in recent years.  The extrapolation of losses and loss expense ratios from prior periods to current periods might not be appropriate.

 

In addition to these factors, financial turmoil in a particular geography or the effects of inflation (as discussed in more detail below) could adversely impact our ultimate losses and cause our projections and judgments regarding our expected loss reserves to differ materially from the ultimate losses we may incur.

 

4



 

Financial and Housing Markets — Worldwide financial and housing markets have experienced volatility and disruption in recent years.  As a result of the global credit crisis in 2007 through 2009, the following reserving classes have been impacted:

 

·              direct insurance professional liability lines (primarily the 2007 and 2008 report years), and

 

·              reinsurance professional liability lines (primarily the 2006 through 2008 treaty years).

 

These reported claims have caused higher reported losses and ALAE ratios for these years compared to other years at similar stages of development.  As a result, the ultimate loss development patterns on these years may differ from other years.  The uncertainty is increased by the fact that we often have relatively high average attachment points for many of these potential credit crisis-related claims for our direct insurance business and by the fact that we often provide D&O side A cover.  On side A cover, we are required to provide coverage to directors and officers for claims alleging negligence or malfeasance if such claims are not indemnified by the insured.

 

Our reserves for these lines of business are based on a detailed analysis of all open claims that considers attachment points, exposed limits, coverage provided and litigation trends as well as quarterly, in-depth discussions with members of our claims department and underwriting staff.

 

Inflation — Losses and loss expense reserves can be impacted by social and judicial inflation.  Higher than expected inflation can negatively impact the costs of claims as it may cause an increase in frequency (the number of actual claims) and severity (the average claim size).  Though our reserving techniques factor in inflation through the use of expected loss ratios derived from our pricing models, which consider the effects of inflation, and through the use of industry loss development patterns that go back as far as 1984, losses and loss expense reserves can be impacted by unexpected changes in inflation rates.  We do not explicitly account for excessive inflation in our reserves.

 

Treaty Year Projections

 

Data organized by treaty year assigns claims and premiums to the year in which the assumed reinsurance contract incepted.  As such, a treaty year may cover claims spanning several accident years.  This has two primary implications for estimating ultimate loss reserves.  First, the payment and reporting patterns are generally slower to develop than for the data presented by accident year or report year.  This means that it is even more critical that premium-based reserving methods, such as the expected loss ratio method or the B-F method, are used for the more recent years rather than loss development methods that can be distorted by small movements in actual paid or reported loss activity due to the application of large loss development factors.  Second, treaty years for which premium is not fully earned require an adjustment to the indicated reserves to reflect only the portion of the ultimate treaty year losses that are associated with losses that have occurred prior to the evaluation date.  This is typically

 

5



 

done by developing an ultimate loss ratio estimate for the full treaty year and applying this loss ratio to the earned premiums from the treaty year.

 

6



 

II.            RECONCILIATION OF GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES TO DECEMBER 31, 2015 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

 

The tables below provide a reconciliation of our presented GLTs to our audited financial statements as of and for the year ended December 31, 2014 and 2015, respectively.

 

(Expressed in U.S. dollars in thousands)

 

Paid Losses and Paid LAE in 2014 Calendar Year

 

Consolidated GLTs – net paid losses and ALAE1

 

$

1,099,637

 

Paid losses and paid ALAE from excluded catastrophes

 

34,662

 

Paid ULAE

 

36,335

 

Foreign exchange and other

 

2,727

 

Paid losses and paid LAE in 2014 calendar year per Form 10-K

 

$

1,173,361

 

 

Paid Losses and Paid LAE in 2015 Calendar Year

 

Consolidated GLTs – net paid losses and ALAE2

 

$

1,256,960

 

Net paid losses and ALAE from Asian operations (since acquisition)

 

86,699

 

Paid ULAE

 

44,721

 

Foreign exchange and other

 

(779

)

Paid losses and paid LAE in 2015 calendar year per Form 10-K

 

$

1,387,600

 

 

Incurred Losses and Incurred LAE in 2014 Calendar Year

 

Consolidated GLTs – net reported losses and ALAE1

 

$

1,125,867

 

Reported losses and reported ALAE from excluded catastrophes

 

2,283

 

Reported ULAE

 

36,335

 

Change in IBNR

 

22,500

 

Foreign exchange and other

 

12,205

 

Incurred losses and incurred LAE in 2014 calendar year per Form 10-K

 

$

1,199,190

 

 

Incurred Losses and Incurred LAE in 2015 Calendar Year

 

Consolidated GLTs – net reported losses and ALAE2

 

$

1,222,156

 

Net reported losses and ALAE from Asian operations (since acquisition)

 

101,602

 

Reported ULAE

 

44,721

 

Change in IBNR

 

219,100

 

Foreign exchange and other

 

(1,278

)

Incurred losses and incurred LAE in 2015 calendar year per 10-K

 

$

1,586,300

 

 


1              Excludes losses from the following catastrophes: 2004 Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Charlie, Frances, Jeanne and Ivan; 2005 Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Katrina, Rita and Wilma; 2008 Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Gustav and Ike; 2010 Chilean Earthquake; 2011 Japanese Earthquake/Tsunami; 2012 Superstorm Sandy.

2              Includes $(321) paid and $(746) reported from previously excluded catastrophes.

 

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III.          GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES

 

Basis of Presentation

 

For the basis of this presentation, we have split our data into 11 classes of GLTs, six for our direct insurance business and five for our reinsurance business.  They are listed below:

 

Direct Insurance Business

Reinsurance Business

·              Property

·            Property Catastrophe

·              General Casualty

·            Property Per Risk

·              Professional Liability Lines

·            General Casualty

·              Healthcare

·            Professional Liability Lines

·              Specialty Lines

·              Asian Operations

·            Specialty Lines

 

·              Our direct insurance general casualty business contains a mix of claims-made, occurrence-reported and occurrence policy forms.

 

General Casualty

Distribution of Gross Premiums Written

 

 

Underwriting
Year

 

Claims-Made

 

Occurrence-
Reported

 

Occurrence

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

20.3

%

33.3

%

46.4

%

100.0

%

2003

 

14.4

%

38.8

%

46.8

%

100.0

%

2004

 

19.4

%

38.8

%

41.8

%

100.0

%

2005

 

12.9

%

37.2

%

49.9

%

100.0

%

2006

 

14.6

%

33.9

%

51.5

%

100.0

%

2007

 

16.2

%

35.7

%

48.1

%

100.0

%

2008

 

15.5

%

30.4

%

54.2

%

100.0

%

2009

 

10.9

%

22.1

%

67.0

%

100.0

%

2010

 

11.4

%

19.2

%

69.5

%

100.0

%

2011

 

11.0

%

15.0

%

74.0

%

100.0

%

2012

 

9.4

%

13.0

%

77.6

%

100.0

%

2013

 

8.5

%

10.7

%

80.8

%

100.0

%

2014

 

11.1

%

8.3

%

80.6

%

100.0

%

2015

 

10.3

%

6.4

%

83.2

%

100.0

%

 

·              Our direct insurance specialty lines business includes aviation, surety, trade credit, onshore construction, marine cargo and marine liability.

 

·              Our Asian operations are comprised of a wide variety of lines, including motor, property, marine and employees’ compensation.

 

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·              Our reinsurance business classified as “specialty lines” includes accident and health, workers’ compensation catastrophe coverage, aviation, crop and marine.

 

·              Our reinsurance business is presented separately from our direct insurance business as we show the reinsurance classes on a treaty year basis.  Many reinsurance treaties do not provide sufficient detail to split losses and loss adjustment expenses accurately by accident year or report year.

 

·              Our 11 classes were selected to create categories that were relatively homogeneous yet were not so small as to have insufficient actuarial credibility.

 

·              Our GLTs are presented in thousands of U.S. dollars, reflecting translation from local currencies.  These translations are as of December 31, 2015 for case reserves and as of the transaction date for paid losses.

 

Description of Data Presented

 

For each class of business, earned premiums are presented both gross and net of external reinsurance, with intercompany reinsurance transactions not being reflected in the GLTs.  For classes of business within our reinsurance lines, these premiums are presented on a treaty year basis.  For all other classes of business, the net earned premiums are presented on an accident year basis.  GLTs that show cumulative paid losses and ALAE, gross and net of reinsurance, are presented for each class of business.  In addition, we present GLTs of cumulative reported losses and ALAE (paid plus case reserves), gross and net of reinsurance, for each class of business.  For the reinsurance classes of business, the GLTs are presented on a treaty year basis.  For direct insurance business, property classes of business are presented on an accident year basis.  Our general casualty classes of business are a blend of policies where losses can be triggered by either report date or accident date, so the paid and reported losses are a blend of report year and accident year data.  The remaining casualty classes of business, including professional liability and healthcare, are presented on a report year basis.  These conventions match the common industry reserving practices for reinsurance and direct insurance, respectively.

 

Case reserves for Allied World’s reinsurance classes are generally established based upon reports received from ceding companies as we generally “follow their fortunes.”  Additional case reserves may be established by Allied World to reflect our estimated ultimate cost of a loss.  Any such additional case reserves have been included in the presented reinsurance GLTs.

 

The premiums in our reinsurance lines are often based upon estimates by the ceding companies.  At the end of the treaty year, these estimates will be replaced by actual premiums.  In addition, some of our reinsurance treaties may have premiums that are swing-rated subject to reinstatement premiums.  The presented premium data is subject to future adjustments, either upwards or downwards, based upon these factors.

 

9



 

GLT Class Details

 

Insurance Lines of Business

 

Property — Our property insurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 13 and 19).  The vast majority of the ceded reinsurance we have purchased for our direct property class of business is written as quota share reinsurance, with a smaller portion written as facultative reinsurance.

 

Our property book of business has shifted over time.  Over the last several years, we have de-emphasized energy classes of business, which included such industry classes as mining, chemical plants, pulp and paper manufacturing and refiners.  In addition, our Bermuda property book of business (which is included in the property insurance GLTs) has evolved from largely being a primary insurance account based book of business to where we now write many accounts on an excess basis.

 

General Casualty — Our general casualty insurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 14 and 20).  Our Bermuda and European casualty books of business are comprised largely of Fortune 1000-type accounts with generally high attachment points with medians between $80 million and $100 million.  Historically, about 64% to 66% of the earned premiums have come from occurrence policies.  This percentage grew to 83% in 2015 as our business mix has shifted to more occurrence business.  The vast majority of the ceded reinsurance we have purchased for the casualty class of business has been either quota share reinsurance or surplus treaty reinsurance.  The general casualty book has changed over time, with pharmaceutical and energy classes being de-emphasized in Bermuda and with the business underwritten in the United States (which generally has a lower attachment point profile) shrinking in the 2005-2007 calendar years and growing in the 2008-2015 calendar years.

 

Professional Liability Lines — Our professional liability lines insurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 15 and 21).  Professional liability lines include directors and officers liability, errors & omissions liability, D&O side A cover, employment practices liability insurance, crime and fiduciary liability business.  Similar to our casualty lines of business, many of our Bermuda and European professional liability lines are comprised of Fortune 1000 and FTSE 1000-type accounts with generally high attachment points with medians between $80 million and $100 million.  It is not uncommon for the Company to “ventilate” an account, which means the Company underwrites two excess layers with differing attachment points.  Our professional liability book underwritten in the United States has a very different profile, with a portion of the business underwritten on a primary basis for smaller, non-Fortune 1000 accounts.  Common classes include insurance agencies, psychologists/counselors and smaller law firms.  Our professional liability lines book of business, excluding crime, is written on a claims-made and an occurrence-reported basis and virtually none of this business is written on an occurrence basis (regardless of where it is written).  Crime insurance is written on a losses discovered basis.

 

Healthcare — Our healthcare insurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 16 and 22).  Our healthcare book of business is written on a claims-

 

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made and occurrence-reported basis and has virtually no business written on occurrence policy forms.  The Bermuda healthcare group writes gross lines of up to $25 million, with average attachment points of around $45 million.  This business is largely comprised of large hospitals, but does include managed care organizations and healthcare systems.  The healthcare business underwritten in the United States has a much lower attachment point profile than the Bermuda book of business, with much of the U.S. business being written on a primary basis.  It includes smaller hospitals and hospital systems, and medical facilities such as home care providers, specialized surgery and rehabilitation centers, and outpatient clinics.  Our Bermuda business also writes some accounts on a primary basis, although typically over a large deductible.

 

Specialty Lines — Our specialty lines insurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 17 and 23).  Our specialty lines book includes aviation, surety, trade credit and marine cargo lines of business.  Our aviation line writes a combination of airlines, aerospace and general aviation.  It writes gross lines up to $85 million but with much smaller net lines.  Our surety line targets contractors and writes (on a per bond basis) gross limits up to $20 million and net lines up to $10 million.  Our trade credit line targets exporters, importers, financial institutions, contractors and investors.

 

Asian Operations — Our Asian operations GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 18 and 24).  This is a roll-up of our recently acquired Asian operations2.  They are comprised of a wide variety of lines, including motor, property, marine and employees’ compensation.  While this is a mix of many different lines of business, they have historically tended to have a relatively short tail in aggregate.  These GLTs are presented to show how losses developed under prior management and may not be indicative of how the losses will develop in subsequent periods due to changes in reserving methodologies and claims handling processes.

 

Reinsurance Lines of Business

 

Property Catastrophe — Our property catastrophe reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 25 and 30).  This business is excess-of-loss property catastrophe reinsurance.  Typically, it has a relatively short tail.

 

Property Per Risk — Our property per risk reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 26 and 31).  This line contains our entire property reinsurance book of business, excluding property catastrophe coverages, and is written as either excess-of-loss reinsurance or quota share reinsurance.  As discussed previously, these loss triangles do not have catastrophe losses removed this year.

 

General Casualty — Our general casualty reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 27 and 32).  This business is essentially comprised of any business that does not fit into the other casualty classes.  It is largely umbrella casualty business that contains some workers’ compensation business.  This business can be written as either excess-of-loss reinsurance or quota share reinsurance.

 


2              The loss triangles presented on pages 18 and 24 reflect loss development data solely with respect to the Hong Kong, Singapore and Labuan operations that we acquired from Royal & Sun Alliance Insurance plc in April 2015.  Loss development data with respect to our Asian operations that were not acquired from Royal & Sun Alliance Insurance plc is reflected in the loss triangles for the applicable classes of our Direct Insurance Business and Reinsurance Business.

 

11



 

Professional Liability Lines — Our professional liability lines reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 28 and 33).  This business is largely written on a claims-made basis.  Lines of business include employment practices liability insurance, medical malpractice, directors and officers, errors and omissions and miscellaneous professional classes and transactional risk liability.  Some of our larger treaties can have complex structures, including swing-rated premiums, loss corridors and annual aggregate deductibles.  This business is written as either excess-of-loss reinsurance or quota share reinsurance.

 

Specialty Lines — Our specialty lines reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 29 and 34).  This business is a mixture of miscellaneous lines, including accident and health (which is predominantly catastrophe driven), workers’ compensation catastrophe, aviation, crop and marine.  The marine treaties were impacted by various hurricanes (specifically Ivan, Katrina, Rita, Ike and Gustav) that went through the Gulf of Mexico.  As discussed previously, these loss triangles do not have catastrophe losses removed this year.

 

12


 


 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Property Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

2,584

 

29,354

 

46,287

 

51,590

 

56,582

 

56,687

 

56,776

 

56,675

 

56,700

 

56,701

 

56,701

 

56,701

 

56,709

 

56,709

 

2003

 

50,572

 

136,299

 

198,801

 

217,328

 

218,048

 

217,531

 

221,698

 

221,688

 

221,846

 

221,814

 

221,834

 

221,827

 

221,825

 

 

 

2004

 

71,776

 

264,033

 

346,876

 

373,186

 

388,494

 

394,203

 

400,577

 

401,922

 

407,787

 

408,345

 

408,743

 

408,790

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

147,847

 

490,807

 

704,656

 

782,860

 

813,007

 

820,158

 

823,598

 

823,818

 

829,918

 

828,093

 

828,309

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

30,040

 

103,621

 

172,546

 

201,132

 

208,659

 

210,277

 

212,916

 

218,960

 

218,053

 

216,058

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

43,151

 

129,076

 

169,655

 

186,261

 

191,756

 

199,710

 

214,911

 

213,399

 

215,002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

88,514

 

232,729

 

289,377

 

303,164

 

316,204

 

321,218

 

321,435

 

319,800

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

24,044

 

64,420

 

74,513

 

77,316

 

80,185

 

80,135

 

80,122

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

87,553

 

166,541

 

193,563

 

208,715

 

213,078

 

214,366

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

62,097

 

150,752

 

211,260

 

232,808

 

235,153

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

31,760

 

138,574

 

180,051

 

194,558

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

38,279

 

83,361

 

97,849

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

49,596

 

112,313

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

73,937

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

18,244

 

54,063

 

58,482

 

59,101

 

57,368

 

56,845

 

57,984

 

56,707

 

56,700

 

56,701

 

56,701

 

56,701

 

56,709

 

56,709

 

2003

 

145,799

 

207,397

 

228,095

 

231,881

 

226,970

 

223,985

 

222,854

 

222,650

 

222,549

 

222,481

 

222,501

 

222,494

 

222,493

 

 

 

2004

 

201,119

 

385,929

 

409,787

 

415,463

 

409,219

 

407,538

 

407,046

 

405,201

 

409,067

 

409,276

 

409,349

 

409,191

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

578,969

 

841,190

 

849,854

 

835,013

 

837,823

 

828,110

 

828,032

 

825,320

 

830,667

 

828,640

 

828,589

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

147,288

 

216,616

 

229,833

 

220,279

 

217,833

 

215,061

 

217,096

 

222,269

 

219,773

 

217,415

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

172,162

 

221,442

 

223,688

 

218,546

 

219,371

 

220,368

 

222,945

 

221,321

 

219,559

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

345,481

 

363,252

 

337,760

 

325,964

 

325,700

 

322,438

 

321,829

 

319,882

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

88,283

 

88,113

 

86,485

 

84,983

 

81,972

 

81,566

 

81,130

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

174,669

 

218,663

 

218,666

 

216,236

 

216,124

 

216,345

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

206,076

 

237,064

 

237,899

 

242,067

 

241,570

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

152,780

 

198,425

 

197,498

 

199,051

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

91,290

 

107,945

 

105,536

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

136,722

 

149,927

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

162,016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

9

%

28

%

30

%

30

%

29

%

29

%

30

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

2003

 

30

%

43

%

47

%

48

%

47

%

46

%

46

%

46

%

46

%

46

%

46

%

46

%

46

%

 

 

2004

 

36

%

68

%

72

%

73

%

72

%

72

%

72

%

72

%

72

%

72

%

72

%

72

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

122

%

177

%

178

%

175

%

176

%

174

%

174

%

173

%

174

%

174

%

174

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

33

%

49

%

52

%

50

%

49

%

49

%

49

%

50

%

50

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

41

%

52

%

53

%

52

%

52

%

52

%

53

%

52

%

52

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

97

%

102

%

94

%

91

%

91

%

90

%

90

%

89

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

32

%

32

%

32

%

31

%

30

%

30

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

74

%

93

%

93

%

92

%

92

%

92

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

90

%

104

%

104

%

106

%

106

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

58

%

75

%

75

%

75

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

32

%

37

%

36

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

43

%

48

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

196,237

 

56,709

 

 

56,709

 

 

56,709

 

28.9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

483,719

 

221,825

 

668

 

222,493

 

167

 

222,660

 

46.0

%

834

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

565,327

 

408,790

 

401

 

409,191

 

255

 

409,446

 

72.4

%

655

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

476,481

 

828,309

 

280

 

828,589

 

7

 

828,595

 

173.9

%

287

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

441,138

 

216,058

 

1,357

 

217,415

 

350

 

217,765

 

49.4

%

1,707

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

423,468

 

215,002

 

4,556

 

219,559

 

1,628

 

221,187

 

52.2

%

6,185

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

357,588

 

319,800

 

83

 

319,882

 

1,056

 

320,938

 

89.8

%

1,139

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

272,980

 

80,122

 

1,008

 

81,130

 

1,846

 

82,976

 

30.4

%

2,854

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

235,337

 

214,366

 

1,979

 

216,345

 

4,275

 

220,620

 

93.7

%

6,254

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

228,168

 

235,153

 

6,418

 

241,570

 

(104

)

241,467

 

105.8

%

6,314

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

264,979

 

194,558

 

4,493

 

199,051

 

2,168

 

201,219

 

75.9

%

6,661

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

289,523

 

97,849

 

7,687

 

105,536

 

2,538

 

108,074

 

37.3

%

10,225

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

315,217

 

112,313

 

37,614

 

149,927

 

12,456

 

162,383

 

51.5

%

50,070

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

330,956

 

73,937

 

88,079

 

162,016

 

43,909

 

205,925

 

62.2

%

131,988

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

4,881,118

 

3,274,791

 

154,621

 

3,429,413

 

70,552

 

3,499,965

 

71.7

%

225,173

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

13



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

General Casualty Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

0

 

0

 

185

 

464

 

2,848

 

4,691

 

5,591

 

6,574

 

7,802

 

8,662

 

9,887

 

32,509

 

47,524

 

48,104

 

2003

 

0

 

461

 

16,019

 

18,500

 

29,401

 

55,140

 

57,458

 

57,463

 

57,487

 

57,534

 

58,354

 

58,446

 

58,518

 

 

 

2004

 

0

 

21

 

90

 

634

 

5,507

 

8,516

 

19,470

 

24,754

 

31,861

 

35,183

 

42,687

 

49,065

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

15

 

26,548

 

31,396

 

63,544

 

65,785

 

118,117

 

118,386

 

120,531

 

121,513

 

121,544

 

121,963

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

274

 

2,591

 

34,249

 

84,696

 

108,738

 

108,776

 

108,837

 

110,379

 

110,471

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

107

 

7,235

 

9,707

 

13,553

 

26,963

 

29,224

 

30,500

 

33,784

 

33,871

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

1,319

 

8,351

 

26,339

 

47,512

 

53,180

 

56,216

 

120,967

 

121,446

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

309

 

8,309

 

36,390

 

60,410

 

72,053

 

77,508

 

78,367

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

1,031

 

61,092

 

132,685

 

141,521

 

154,745

 

161,520

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

8,218

 

28,670

 

66,021

 

109,831

 

162,266

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

7,699

 

47,592

 

93,942

 

134,238

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

14,045

 

57,152

 

94,969

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

19,957

 

86,552

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

24,189

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

1,350

 

572

 

943

 

552

 

6,299

 

15,593

 

16,504

 

17,367

 

23,355

 

22,051

 

32,228

 

45,248

 

55,757

 

55,948

 

2003

 

23

 

13,124

 

25,852

 

33,579

 

58,980

 

59,132

 

57,656

 

57,566

 

57,537

 

57,534

 

58,484

 

58,476

 

58,518

 

 

 

2004

 

1,007

 

540

 

816

 

915

 

7,822

 

24,800

 

25,153

 

34,192

 

35,431

 

43,149

 

56,753

 

57,440

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

29,917

 

109,089

 

113,264

 

119,558

 

123,445

 

124,353

 

123,265

 

149,552

 

137,550

 

137,774

 

138,062

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

165

 

30,097

 

39,318

 

90,005

 

92,725

 

108,758

 

108,816

 

110,876

 

110,379

 

110,494

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3,422

 

14,710

 

15,238

 

32,022

 

37,217

 

38,275

 

37,185

 

36,419

 

36,301

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

8,193

 

26,711

 

52,120

 

52,735

 

56,867

 

70,910

 

121,546

 

122,533

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1,845

 

35,215

 

49,780

 

70,483

 

83,539

 

81,797

 

82,013

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

70,040

 

131,957

 

159,197

 

165,320

 

174,735

 

177,221

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

34,351

 

109,140

 

160,133

 

173,535

 

171,834

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

56,092

 

89,051

 

136,529

 

179,476

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

55,032

 

98,613

 

135,867

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

59,653

 

140,662

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

56,140

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

2

%

1

%

1

%

1

%

7

%

18

%

19

%

20

%

27

%

25

%

37

%

51

%

63

%

64

%

2003

 

0

%

5

%

10

%

13

%

23

%

23

%

22

%

22

%

22

%

22

%

23

%

23

%

23

%

 

 

2004

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

2

%

7

%

8

%

10

%

11

%

13

%

17

%

17

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

10

%

37

%

38

%

40

%

41

%

42

%

41

%

50

%

46

%

46

%

46

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

0

%

11

%

14

%

33

%

34

%

39

%

40

%

40

%

40

%

40

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

1

%

6

%

6

%

12

%

14

%

14

%

14

%

14

%

14

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

3

%

11

%

21

%

22

%

23

%

29

%

50

%

50

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1

%

13

%

19

%

27

%

32

%

31

%

31

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

24

%

46

%

55

%

57

%

60

%

61

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

10

%

33

%

48

%

52

%

52

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

14

%

22

%

34

%

44

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

10

%

18

%

25

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

9

%

21

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

88,051

 

48,104

 

7,844

 

55,948

 

6,796

 

62,744

 

71.3

%

14,640

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

257,017

 

58,518

 

 

58,518

 

18,878

 

77,397

 

30.1

%

18,878

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

332,389

 

49,065

 

8,376

 

57,440

 

28,090

 

85,531

 

25.7

%

36,466

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

297,511

 

121,963

 

16,099

 

138,062

 

47,166

 

185,227

 

62.3

%

63,264

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

275,405

 

110,471

 

23

 

110,494

 

36,678

 

147,171

 

53.4

%

36,701

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

264,680

 

33,871

 

2,430

 

36,301

 

40,506

 

76,807

 

29.0

%

42,936

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

243,673

 

121,446

 

1,087

 

122,533

 

42,704

 

165,237

 

67.8

%

43,791

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

264,961

 

78,367

 

3,646

 

82,013

 

59,388

 

141,401

 

53.4

%

63,035

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

288,877

 

161,520

 

15,700

 

177,221

 

91,871

 

269,092

 

93.2

%

107,571

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

330,615

 

162,266

 

9,568

 

171,834

 

108,982

 

280,815

 

84.9

%

118,550

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

405,906

 

134,238

 

45,238

 

179,476

 

140,498

 

319,974

 

78.8

%

185,736

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

539,076

 

94,969

 

40,898

 

135,867

 

258,253

 

394,121

 

73.1

%

299,152

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

655,564

 

86,552

 

54,110

 

140,662

 

304,827

 

445,489

 

68.0

%

358,937

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

787,259

 

24,189

 

31,950

 

56,140

 

482,576

 

538,715

 

68.4

%

514,526

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

5,030,983

 

1,285,538

 

236,970

 

1,522,508

 

1,667,213

 

3,189,722

 

63.4

%

1,904,183

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Professional Liability Lines Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

10

 

61

 

5,225

 

13,909

 

45,884

 

59,860

 

59,930

 

59,944

 

59,984

 

62,538

 

62,538

 

62,540

 

62,604

 

2003

 

20

 

80

 

603

 

802

 

6,002

 

16,936

 

17,238

 

26,397

 

26,479

 

27,620

 

27,634

 

28,261

 

53,291

 

 

 

2004

 

15

 

683

 

7,406

 

29,477

 

30,403

 

39,004

 

48,452

 

48,571

 

48,702

 

48,721

 

48,766

 

48,794

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

95

 

3,328

 

7,370

 

23,528

 

24,320

 

44,267

 

44,547

 

44,851

 

66,526

 

66,685

 

66,952

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

296

 

6,850

 

44,815

 

59,330

 

88,030

 

97,134

 

111,154

 

121,125

 

174,147

 

193,541

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

1,401

 

12,296

 

41,310

 

66,992

 

77,189

 

91,900

 

97,010

 

98,165

 

143,410

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

2,750

 

22,943

 

46,656

 

103,602

 

162,592

 

193,830

 

211,287

 

241,210

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

6,051

 

31,866

 

52,805

 

68,042

 

91,771

 

125,441

 

138,955

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

9,628

 

43,547

 

70,837

 

97,257

 

121,085

 

130,212

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

15,377

 

70,623

 

147,005

 

176,979

 

214,727

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

17,676

 

76,777

 

138,139

 

221,047

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

11,280

 

58,759

 

111,192

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

14,349

 

88,784

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

13,847

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

2,010

 

7,062

 

23,775

 

27,996

 

47,706

 

60,640

 

59,930

 

59,944

 

59,984

 

62,538

 

62,538

 

62,540

 

62,740

 

2003

 

60

 

243

 

858

 

6,194

 

33,142

 

41,421

 

44,378

 

41,936

 

43,495

 

43,136

 

50,658

 

67,531

 

67,565

 

 

 

2004

 

434

 

1,692

 

8,106

 

32,701

 

55,437

 

55,592

 

61,361

 

60,795

 

60,926

 

55,930

 

55,975

 

53,869

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

3,931

 

15,625

 

48,363

 

51,426

 

50,281

 

58,062

 

58,190

 

59,136

 

67,575

 

76,773

 

102,099

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

41,225

 

52,944

 

91,062

 

114,912

 

131,744

 

181,488

 

183,861

 

177,677

 

178,785

 

194,987

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

11,223

 

47,137

 

111,621

 

143,673

 

135,584

 

124,919

 

129,073

 

136,781

 

176,722

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

17,245

 

85,867

 

125,477

 

174,699

 

212,851

 

221,787

 

229,701

 

264,896

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

20,752

 

62,066

 

79,278

 

92,914

 

158,071

 

188,723

 

164,429

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

30,729

 

70,626

 

107,181

 

119,337

 

141,075

 

163,323

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

47,119

 

120,391

 

195,479

 

220,618

 

238,910

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

47,121

 

168,666

 

266,923

 

317,095

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

45,746

 

103,763

 

158,248

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

44,386

 

131,614

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

37,110

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

0

%

3

%

12

%

40

%

47

%

80

%

102

%

101

%

101

%

101

%

105

%

105

%

105

%

105

%

2003

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

3

%

14

%

17

%

19

%

18

%

18

%

18

%

21

%

28

%

28

%

 

 

2004

 

0

%

1

%

3

%

10

%

17

%

17

%

19

%

19

%

19

%

17

%

17

%

17

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

1

%

4

%

14

%

15

%

14

%

16

%

17

%

17

%

19

%

22

%

29

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

10

%

13

%

23

%

29

%

33

%

46

%

47

%

45

%

45

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3

%

11

%

26

%

33

%

31

%

29

%

30

%

32

%

41

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

4

%

19

%

27

%

38

%

47

%

49

%

50

%

58

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

4

%

12

%

16

%

18

%

31

%

37

%

32

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

6

%

15

%

23

%

25

%

30

%

34

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

10

%

25

%

41

%

46

%

50

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

9

%

32

%

51

%

61

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

8

%

18

%

28

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

8

%

22

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

59,558

 

62,604

 

136

 

62,740

 

148

 

62,888

 

105.6

%

284

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

237,656

 

53,291

 

14,274

 

67,565

 

6,455

 

74,020

 

31.1

%

20,729

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

321,801

 

48,794

 

5,075

 

53,869

 

6,296

 

60,165

 

18.7

%

11,371

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

352,174

 

66,952

 

35,147

 

102,099

 

11,876

 

113,975

 

32.4

%

47,023

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

395,104

 

193,541

 

1,447

 

194,987

 

13,363

 

208,350

 

52.7

%

14,809

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

431,009

 

143,410

 

33,313

 

176,722

 

19,496

 

196,218

 

45.5

%

52,809

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

457,068

 

241,210

 

23,685

 

264,896

 

48,675

 

313,571

 

68.6

%

72,361

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

506,068

 

138,955

 

25,473

 

164,429

 

44,537

 

208,966

 

41.3

%

70,010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

475,071

 

130,212

 

33,111

 

163,323

 

70,639

 

233,962

 

49.2

%

103,750

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

475,741

 

214,727

 

24,183

 

238,910

 

88,768

 

327,678

 

68.9

%

112,951

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

523,397

 

221,047

 

96,048

 

317,095

 

143,645

 

460,740

 

88.0

%

239,693

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

568,033

 

111,192

 

47,055

 

158,248

 

223,631

 

381,878

 

67.2

%

270,686

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

585,137

 

88,784

 

42,831

 

131,614

 

279,119

 

410,734

 

70.2

%

321,950

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

657,896

 

13,847

 

23,264

 

37,110

 

382,082

 

419,192

 

63.7

%

405,346

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

6,045,712

 

1,728,568

 

405,041

 

2,133,609

 

1,338,730

 

3,472,339

 

57.4

%

1,743,771

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

15



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Healthcare Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

835

 

2,158

 

3,209

 

5,533

 

8,008

 

8,020

 

8,023

 

8,025

 

8,025

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

2003

 

1

 

4,202

 

11,148

 

13,777

 

14,724

 

18,198

 

18,756

 

20,074

 

20,104

 

23,203

 

23,682

 

24,210

 

24,253

 

 

 

2004

 

2

 

852

 

5,892

 

9,738

 

12,694

 

13,229

 

13,379

 

13,786

 

15,325

 

16,432

 

17,060

 

17,115

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

277

 

2,861

 

4,941

 

10,255

 

11,122

 

11,692

 

13,475

 

13,647

 

14,205

 

15,012

 

15,037

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

381

 

4,009

 

5,864

 

12,839

 

16,034

 

19,443

 

22,350

 

22,403

 

22,478

 

22,482

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

944

 

7,190

 

17,307

 

20,125

 

23,303

 

32,100

 

41,666

 

42,528

 

43,306

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

793

 

9,776

 

18,469

 

28,147

 

34,461

 

37,679

 

40,462

 

43,490

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

6,586

 

16,658

 

27,046

 

38,893

 

65,611

 

104,218

 

108,255

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

2,139

 

12,035

 

32,320

 

51,202

 

69,401

 

85,166

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

1,952

 

15,628

 

58,652

 

96,232

 

117,577

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

1,917

 

19,552

 

47,615

 

80,110

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

3,299

 

21,868

 

88,284

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

1,638

 

12,043

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

1,221

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

130

 

1,350

 

5,450

 

8,985

 

8,910

 

8,444

 

8,121

 

8,086

 

8,046

 

8,042

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

2003

 

345

 

11,153

 

20,246

 

20,723

 

20,529

 

23,625

 

23,160

 

23,420

 

23,793

 

25,905

 

24,294

 

24,893

 

24,253

 

 

 

2004

 

1,849

 

6,406

 

12,190

 

14,720

 

14,999

 

16,045

 

15,928

 

15,944

 

17,967

 

16,524

 

17,064

 

17,115

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

5,566

 

11,649

 

15,497

 

14,435

 

13,384

 

13,710

 

14,639

 

15,443

 

15,803

 

15,283

 

15,088

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

5,666

 

11,753

 

13,222

 

17,022

 

19,082

 

24,650

 

23,322

 

23,184

 

22,478

 

26,865

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3,773

 

15,281

 

24,537

 

37,172

 

39,822

 

45,816

 

44,230

 

44,551

 

43,922

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

3,801

 

19,115

 

33,315

 

40,238

 

45,251

 

46,688

 

47,868

 

47,031

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

10,999

 

29,590

 

48,289

 

73,091

 

97,406

 

110,718

 

112,353

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

11,731

 

38,553

 

77,116

 

83,186

 

86,459

 

93,921

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

10,479

 

50,825

 

100,131

 

121,249

 

139,605

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

15,082

 

56,592

 

79,474

 

122,157

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

10,583

 

82,633

 

122,612

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

7,712

 

26,124

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

9,330

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

0

%

3

%

14

%

23

%

22

%

21

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

2003

 

0

%

15

%

27

%

27

%

27

%

31

%

30

%

31

%

31

%

34

%

32

%

33

%

32

%

 

 

2004

 

2

%

5

%

10

%

12

%

12

%

13

%

13

%

13

%

15

%

14

%

14

%

14

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

4

%

9

%

11

%

11

%

10

%

10

%

11

%

11

%

12

%

11

%

11

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

4

%

8

%

9

%

11

%

13

%

16

%

16

%

15

%

15

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3

%

10

%

17

%

25

%

27

%

31

%

30

%

30

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

2

%

11

%

20

%

24

%

27

%

27

%

28

%

28

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

6

%

15

%

24

%

37

%

49

%

56

%

57

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

5

%

17

%

35

%

37

%

39

%

42

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

5

%

22

%

44

%

53

%

61

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

6

%

24

%

33

%

51

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

5

%

35

%

52

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

4

%

13

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

5

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

39,904

 

8,027

 

 

8,027

 

 

8,027

 

20.1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

76,140

 

24,253

 

 

24,253

 

879

 

25,132

 

33.0

%

879

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

120,800

 

17,115

 

0

 

17,115

 

1,306

 

18,421

 

15.2

%

1,306

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

136,577

 

15,037

 

50

 

15,088

 

1,928

 

17,016

 

12.5

%

1,979

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

150,401

 

22,482

 

4,383

 

26,865

 

1,708

 

28,572

 

19.0

%

6,091

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

147,720

 

43,306

 

616

 

43,922

 

3,365

 

47,287

 

32.0

%

3,981

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

170,600

 

43,490

 

3,541

 

47,031

 

5,107

 

52,138

 

30.6

%

8,648

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

197,273

 

108,255

 

4,098

 

112,353

 

8,478

 

120,831

 

61.3

%

12,575

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

222,171

 

85,166

 

8,756

 

93,921

 

14,821

 

108,742

 

48.9

%

23,577

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

228,445

 

117,577

 

22,028

 

139,605

 

18,333

 

157,939

 

69.1

%

40,361

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

238,007

 

80,110

 

42,048

 

122,157

 

41,455

 

163,613

 

68.7

%

83,503

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

234,000

 

88,284

 

34,327

 

122,612

 

61,393

 

184,004

 

78.6

%

95,720

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

205,536

 

12,043

 

14,081

 

26,124

 

115,380

 

141,504

 

68.8

%

129,461

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

180,511

 

1,221

 

8,110

 

9,330

 

117,890

 

127,220

 

70.5

%

126,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

2,348,083

 

666,366

 

142,037

 

808,403

 

392,043

 

1,200,446

 

51.1

%

534,080

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

16



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Specialty Lines Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

0

 

202

 

2,820

 

3,172

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

324

 

7,387

 

25,104

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

22,204

 

56,929

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

18,432

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

0

 

210

 

3,165

 

3,172

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

420

 

9,862

 

27,685

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

29,374

 

71,924

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

41,147

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

0

%

2

%

23

%

23

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

1

%

29

%

82

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

40

%

98

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

44

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

153

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

3,132

 

1

 

 

1

 

(3

)

(2

)

-0.1

%

(3

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

13,764

 

3,172

 

 

3,172

 

(41

)

3,131

 

22.7

%

(41

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

33,696

 

25,104

 

2,581

 

27,685

 

2,903

 

30,588

 

90.8

%

5,484

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

73,707

 

56,929

 

14,995

 

71,924

 

7,604

 

79,527

 

107.9

%

22,599

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

92,551

 

18,432

 

22,716

 

41,147

 

28,451

 

69,599

 

75.2

%

51,167

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

217,004

 

103,637

 

40,292

 

143,929

 

38,914

 

182,842

 

84.3

%

79,206

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

17



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Asian Operations Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

9,359

 

29,168

 

34,526

 

39,059

 

42,108

 

48,509

 

49,229

 

48,560

 

48,675

 

48,780

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

10,617

 

37,508

 

45,876

 

53,175

 

59,478

 

61,350

 

61,948

 

63,964

 

66,540

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

12,319

 

34,034

 

52,117

 

57,963

 

61,257

 

63,041

 

64,526

 

64,886

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

9,659

 

34,466

 

53,407

 

60,716

 

71,320

 

73,008

 

73,667

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

11,694

 

34,440

 

48,694

 

57,156

 

63,749

 

67,094

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

16,538

 

54,842

 

90,740

 

118,743

 

125,294

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

17,012

 

51,472

 

83,475

 

100,936

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

23,589

 

59,130

 

97,612

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

27,223

 

73,501

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

27,638

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

42,535

 

50,419

 

53,869

 

50,792

 

50,070

 

51,216

 

50,391

 

49,410

 

49,369

 

49,017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

58,279

 

68,061

 

71,707

 

70,186

 

66,704

 

65,359

 

65,713

 

66,103

 

67,164

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

51,163

 

68,092

 

73,245

 

68,603

 

66,962

 

66,521

 

66,130

 

65,667

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

60,956

 

80,109

 

80,447

 

77,337

 

77,981

 

76,668

 

76,326

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

64,159

 

73,197

 

72,963

 

71,266

 

71,453

 

71,048

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

141,222

 

157,383

 

139,746

 

133,799

 

135,350

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

80,694

 

110,564

 

114,867

 

116,508

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

99,375

 

129,527

 

140,751

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

113,819

 

150,398

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

114,205

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

29

%

34

%

37

%

34

%

34

%

35

%

34

%

34

%

34

%

33

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

40

%

47

%

50

%

49

%

46

%

45

%

46

%

46

%

47

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

33

%

44

%

47

%

44

%

43

%

43

%

42

%

42

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

37

%

49

%

49

%

47

%

48

%

47

%

47

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

36

%

42

%

41

%

41

%

41

%

40

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

71

%

79

%

70

%

67

%

68

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

35

%

48

%

50

%

51

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

40

%

52

%

56

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

40

%

53

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

43

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

147,287

 

48,780

 

237

 

49,017

 

5

 

49,022

 

33.3

%

243

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

144,091

 

66,540

 

624

 

67,164

 

5

 

67,169

 

46.6

%

629

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

155,810

 

64,886

 

781

 

65,667

 

14

 

65,681

 

42.2

%

795

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

162,997

 

73,667

 

2,659

 

76,326

 

(34

)

76,293

 

46.8

%

2,626

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

175,880

 

67,094

 

3,954

 

71,048

 

439

 

71,488

 

40.6

%

4,394

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

199,097

 

125,294

 

10,057

 

135,350

 

(26

)

135,325

 

68.0

%

10,031

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

228,099

 

100,936

 

15,572

 

116,508

 

1,696

 

118,204

 

51.8

%

17,267

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

250,071

 

97,612

 

43,140

 

140,751

 

6,979

 

147,731

 

59.1

%

50,119

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

283,822

 

73,501

 

76,898

 

150,398

 

18,722

 

169,120

 

59.6

%

95,620

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

268,233

 

27,638

 

86,566

 

114,205

 

55,181

 

169,386

 

63.1

%

141,748

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

2,015,386

 

745,948

 

240,488

 

986,436

 

82,983

 

1,069,420

 

53.1

%

323,472

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The loss triangles presented on pages 18 and 24 reflect loss development data solely with respect to the Hong Kong, Singapore and Labuan operations that we acquired from Royal & Sun Alliance Insurance plc in April 2015.  Loss development data with respect to our Asian operations that were not acquired from Royal & Sun Alliance Insurance plc is reflected in the loss triangles for the applicable classes of our Direct Insurance Business and Reinsurance Business.

 

18



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Property Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

2,572

 

27,085

 

39,606

 

43,638

 

48,955

 

49,063

 

49,154

 

49,054

 

49,066

 

49,067

 

49,067

 

49,067

 

49,071

 

49,071

 

2003

 

49,208

 

118,094

 

163,485

 

175,303

 

175,715

 

175,379

 

179,293

 

179,283

 

179,378

 

179,392

 

179,412

 

179,410

 

179,408

 

 

 

2004

 

57,083

 

196,908

 

262,214

 

280,576

 

289,018

 

291,553

 

296,691

 

297,588

 

301,860

 

301,232

 

301,638

 

301,686

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

76,106

 

211,621

 

308,951

 

344,013

 

352,377

 

354,479

 

355,889

 

355,167

 

357,303

 

358,403

 

358,472

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

12,871

 

46,209

 

76,773

 

87,886

 

93,293

 

94,060

 

95,230

 

98,988

 

98,771

 

98,621

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

20,325

 

62,106

 

79,511

 

86,918

 

89,091

 

94,204

 

101,836

 

101,156

 

101,753

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

48,611

 

134,043

 

166,988

 

176,412

 

183,006

 

187,538

 

187,645

 

186,331

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

15,993

 

42,846

 

50,242

 

53,634

 

54,424

 

54,457

 

54,405

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

65,905

 

114,361

 

133,976

 

143,780

 

147,533

 

148,427

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

38,681

 

104,447

 

150,416

 

167,691

 

169,427

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

25,304

 

110,366

 

142,507

 

153,044

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

31,119

 

67,616

 

79,478

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

39,548

 

86,228

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

55,528

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

15,598

 

47,896

 

50,569

 

50,851

 

49,718

 

49,203

 

50,343

 

49,066

 

49,066

 

49,067

 

49,067

 

49,067

 

49,071

 

49,071

 

2003

 

130,333

 

172,603

 

187,503

 

187,058

 

182,727

 

180,628

 

179,872

 

179,675

 

179,639

 

179,619

 

179,638

 

179,636

 

179,635

 

 

 

2004

 

143,255

 

281,296

 

301,663

 

308,410

 

302,220

 

301,183

 

300,647

 

300,306

 

302,619

 

301,809

 

301,926

 

301,825

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

301,418

 

388,699

 

379,504

 

365,313

 

364,693

 

358,493

 

358,219

 

355,666

 

357,591

 

358,609

 

358,571

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

61,370

 

93,472

 

99,015

 

98,188

 

97,152

 

96,511

 

98,126

 

101,406

 

100,199

 

99,738

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

83,866

 

104,807

 

105,956

 

104,739

 

104,984

 

105,673

 

107,706

 

106,926

 

106,131

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

208,526

 

217,763

 

199,797

 

190,215

 

189,704

 

187,958

 

187,592

 

186,081

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

57,979

 

60,694

 

59,807

 

60,318

 

55,619

 

55,449

 

55,152

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

118,379

 

148,221

 

149,447

 

148,897

 

149,774

 

149,563

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

144,372

 

168,358

 

169,766

 

174,510

 

174,052

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

120,149

 

157,121

 

155,481

 

156,537

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

76,083

 

87,113

 

85,383

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

102,862

 

112,712

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

111,974

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

9

%

28

%

29

%

30

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

2003

 

37

%

48

%

53

%

53

%

51

%

51

%

50

%

50

%

50

%

50

%

50

%

50

%

50

%

 

 

2004

 

43

%

84

%

91

%

93

%

91

%

90

%

90

%

90

%

91

%

91

%

91

%

91

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

133

%

171

%

167

%

161

%

161

%

158

%

158

%

157

%

158

%

158

%

158

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

32

%

49

%

52

%

51

%

51

%

51

%

51

%

53

%

53

%

52

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

46

%

58

%

59

%

58

%

58

%

59

%

60

%

59

%

59

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

120

%

125

%

115

%

109

%

109

%

108

%

108

%

107

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

41

%

42

%

42

%

42

%

39

%

39

%

39

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

91

%

114

%

115

%

115

%

115

%

115

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

101

%

118

%

119

%

123

%

122

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

64

%

83

%

83

%

83

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

38

%

44

%

43

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

51

%

56

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

55

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

171,696

 

49,071

 

 

49,071

 

 

49,071

 

28.6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

356,275

 

179,408

 

227

 

179,635

 

57

 

179,692

 

50.4

%

284

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

333,170

 

301,686

 

140

 

301,825

 

70

 

301,896

 

90.6

%

210

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

226,828

 

358,472

 

99

 

358,571

 

(8

)

358,563

 

158.1

%

91

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

190,783

 

98,621

 

1,116

 

99,738

 

640

 

100,378

 

52.6

%

1,757

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

180,460

 

101,753

 

4,378

 

106,131

 

(140

)

105,992

 

58.7

%

4,238

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

173,790

 

186,331

 

(250

)

186,081

 

1,518

 

187,599

 

107.9

%

1,268

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

142,962

 

54,405

 

747

 

55,152

 

1,857

 

57,008

 

39.9

%

2,604

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

129,734

 

148,427

 

1,136

 

149,563

 

3,833

 

153,396

 

118.2

%

4,969

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

142,243

 

169,427

 

4,626

 

174,052

 

(137

)

173,916

 

122.3

%

4,489

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

188,204

 

153,044

 

3,493

 

156,537

 

118

 

156,655

 

83.2

%

3,611

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

198,821

 

79,478

 

5,905

 

85,383

 

1,276

 

86,659

 

43.6

%

7,181

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

200,906

 

86,228

 

26,484

 

112,712

 

7,595

 

120,307

 

59.9

%

34,078

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

202,736

 

55,528

 

56,446

 

111,974

 

23,804

 

135,778

 

67.0

%

80,250

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

2,838,609

 

2,021,879

 

104,546

 

2,126,425

 

40,482

 

2,166,908

 

76.3

%

145,029

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

19



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

General Casualty Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

0

 

0

 

185

 

464

 

2,848

 

4,691

 

5,591

 

6,574

 

7,802

 

8,662

 

9,887

 

32,509

 

47,524

 

48,104

 

2003

 

0

 

461

 

16,018

 

18,499

 

29,401

 

55,139

 

57,457

 

57,462

 

57,486

 

57,533

 

58,350

 

58,422

 

58,461

 

 

 

2004

 

0

 

14

 

77

 

506

 

5,053

 

7,545

 

16,465

 

21,745

 

28,834

 

32,156

 

39,645

 

46,003

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

15

 

26,496

 

31,126

 

60,576

 

62,700

 

93,736

 

93,977

 

95,881

 

96,746

 

96,775

 

97,165

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

266

 

2,570

 

29,999

 

56,694

 

72,659

 

72,688

 

72,748

 

74,285

 

74,341

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

90

 

6,212

 

7,646

 

11,171

 

23,180

 

25,344

 

26,630

 

28,240

 

28,317

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

1,114

 

5,663

 

18,971

 

35,927

 

39,871

 

42,115

 

78,508

 

78,887

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

308

 

5,891

 

25,335

 

45,877

 

53,466

 

57,515

 

58,105

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

919

 

33,943

 

81,383

 

89,496

 

101,004

 

105,997

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

6,751

 

24,405

 

51,360

 

84,311

 

113,332

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

7,524

 

41,448

 

75,426

 

112,881

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

13,104

 

48,865

 

84,333

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

14,588

 

74,776

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

21,702

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

1,350

 

572

 

943

 

552

 

6,299

 

15,593

 

16,504

 

17,367

 

23,355

 

22,051

 

32,228

 

45,248

 

55,757

 

55,948

 

2003

 

23

 

13,124

 

25,852

 

33,578

 

58,980

 

59,131

 

57,655

 

57,565

 

57,536

 

57,533

 

58,480

 

58,452

 

58,461

 

 

 

2004

 

1,007

 

532

 

802

 

668

 

7,207

 

21,322

 

21,802

 

30,831

 

32,089

 

39,807

 

53,371

 

54,047

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

29,917

 

85,133

 

89,044

 

95,170

 

98,949

 

99,852

 

98,706

 

123,341

 

112,786

 

113,002

 

113,264

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

165

 

27,081

 

35,290

 

61,938

 

63,445

 

72,671

 

72,728

 

74,787

 

74,285

 

74,359

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3,372

 

12,655

 

13,106

 

28,022

 

31,117

 

32,101

 

31,371

 

30,819

 

30,716

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

5,543

 

19,455

 

39,074

 

39,446

 

42,662

 

53,014

 

78,980

 

79,830

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1,845

 

23,918

 

32,769

 

51,953

 

60,400

 

59,254

 

59,375

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

46,215

 

81,247

 

100,381

 

105,174

 

113,462

 

116,026

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

29,132

 

67,470

 

105,354

 

117,530

 

122,719

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

41,676

 

75,505

 

113,949

 

150,327

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

46,100

 

85,163

 

119,592

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

50,032

 

121,306

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

52,157

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

2

%

1

%

1

%

1

%

7

%

18

%

19

%

20

%

27

%

25

%

37

%

51

%

63

%

64

%

2003

 

0

%

6

%

11

%

14

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

 

 

2004

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

3

%

8

%

8

%

11

%

12

%

15

%

20

%

20

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

13

%

36

%

38

%

40

%

42

%

42

%

42

%

52

%

48

%

48

%

48

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

0

%

13

%

16

%

29

%

30

%

34

%

34

%

35

%

35

%

35

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

2

%

7

%

7

%

15

%

16

%

17

%

16

%

16

%

16

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

3

%

12

%

24

%

24

%

26

%

33

%

49

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1

%

14

%

19

%

30

%

35

%

34

%

34

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

24

%

42

%

52

%

54

%

59

%

60

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

13

%

31

%

48

%

53

%

56

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

15

%

28

%

42

%

56

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

13

%

24

%

33

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

11

%

27

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

88,051

 

48,104

 

7,844

 

55,948

 

6,796

 

62,744

 

71.3

%

14,640

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

233,589

 

58,461

 

 

58,461

 

17,459

 

75,920

 

32.5

%

17,459

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

271,204

 

46,003

 

8,044

 

54,047

 

22,990

 

77,037

 

28.4

%

31,034

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

236,235

 

97,165

 

16,099

 

113,264

 

36,958

 

150,222

 

63.6

%

53,057

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

214,002

 

74,341

 

18

 

74,359

 

28,411

 

102,770

 

48.0

%

28,429

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

192,099

 

28,317

 

2,398

 

30,716

 

29,624

 

60,340

 

31.4

%

32,023

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

162,754

 

78,887

 

943

 

79,830

 

28,847

 

108,677

 

66.8

%

29,790

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

172,311

 

58,105

 

1,270

 

59,375

 

35,651

 

95,026

 

55.1

%

36,921

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

193,929

 

105,997

 

10,029

 

116,026

 

56,475

 

172,500

 

89.0

%

66,504

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

220,139

 

113,332

 

9,387

 

122,719

 

61,075

 

183,794

 

83.5

%

70,462

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

270,124

 

112,881

 

37,446

 

150,327

 

70,141

 

220,467

 

81.6

%

107,587

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

357,511

 

84,333

 

35,259

 

119,592

 

144,727

 

264,319

 

73.9

%

179,986

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

446,852

 

74,776

 

46,531

 

121,306

 

177,233

 

298,540

 

66.8

%

223,764

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

577,075

 

21,702

 

30,455

 

52,157

 

336,018

 

388,176

 

67.3

%

366,473

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

3,635,876

 

1,002,402

 

205,725

 

1,208,127

 

1,052,405

 

2,260,532

 

62.2

%

1,258,130

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Professional Liability Lines Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

10

 

61

 

5,225

 

13,909

 

45,884

 

59,860

 

59,930

 

59,944

 

59,984

 

62,538

 

62,538

 

62,540

 

62,604

 

2003

 

20

 

80

 

603

 

799

 

5,997

 

15,424

 

15,727

 

24,885

 

24,967

 

26,108

 

26,122

 

26,749

 

51,779

 

 

 

2004

 

15

 

681

 

7,403

 

29,464

 

30,384

 

38,983

 

48,431

 

48,537

 

48,664

 

48,681

 

48,725

 

48,753

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

95

 

3,328

 

7,272

 

18,291

 

19,043

 

40,954

 

41,214

 

41,518

 

63,193

 

63,352

 

63,619

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

266

 

4,296

 

34,123

 

48,611

 

70,853

 

79,956

 

93,976

 

103,946

 

155,841

 

170,219

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

1,312

 

11,982

 

36,732

 

56,952

 

66,212

 

77,668

 

81,848

 

82,974

 

124,537

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

2,728

 

20,856

 

38,433

 

81,913

 

130,144

 

154,778

 

170,812

 

191,611

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

5,938

 

30,737

 

51,066

 

65,487

 

87,231

 

115,405

 

123,911

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

9,575

 

43,251

 

69,631

 

93,515

 

112,452

 

120,741

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

15,257

 

65,775

 

125,150

 

151,485

 

181,956

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

17,643

 

72,702

 

125,325

 

180,281

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

11,189

 

56,850

 

108,156

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

13,929

 

78,142

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

13,325

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

2,010

 

7,062

 

23,775

 

27,996

 

47,706

 

60,640

 

59,930

 

59,944

 

59,984

 

62,538

 

62,538

 

62,540

 

62,740

 

2003

 

60

 

243

 

858

 

6,191

 

31,637

 

39,908

 

42,866

 

40,424

 

41,983

 

41,624

 

49,146

 

66,019

 

66,053

 

 

 

2004

 

434

 

1,690

 

8,102

 

32,688

 

55,417

 

55,570

 

61,340

 

60,761

 

60,888

 

55,890

 

55,934

 

53,828

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

3,931

 

12,613

 

40,988

 

43,748

 

42,802

 

54,727

 

54,855

 

55,801

 

64,240

 

73,438

 

98,764

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

41,109

 

40,424

 

75,970

 

92,814

 

109,997

 

158,866

 

161,356

 

159,336

 

160,217

 

171,403

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

10,557

 

30,869

 

79,689

 

107,001

 

112,600

 

106,268

 

110,413

 

114,531

 

151,246

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

14,898

 

71,720

 

104,169

 

143,819

 

173,066

 

180,939

 

184,283

 

208,158

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

20,418

 

59,123

 

74,948

 

86,670

 

139,412

 

165,138

 

146,265

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

30,526

 

68,382

 

101,129

 

111,857

 

130,415

 

145,951

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

46,008

 

113,254

 

164,065

 

187,032

 

200,787

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

45,866

 

154,169

 

219,559

 

253,628

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

45,130

 

100,406

 

148,771

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

41,644

 

117,013

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

35,989

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

0

%

3

%

12

%

40

%

47

%

80

%

102

%

101

%

101

%

101

%

105

%

105

%

105

%

105

%

2003

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

3

%

14

%

17

%

18

%

17

%

18

%

18

%

21

%

28

%

28

%

 

 

2004

 

0

%

1

%

3

%

11

%

18

%

18

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

18

%

18

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

1

%

4

%

13

%

13

%

13

%

17

%

17

%

17

%

20

%

22

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

12

%

12

%

22

%

27

%

32

%

46

%

47

%

46

%

47

%

50

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3

%

9

%

23

%

31

%

32

%

30

%

32

%

33

%

43

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

4

%

21

%

30

%

42

%

50

%

53

%

54

%

61

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

5

%

15

%

19

%

22

%

36

%

43

%

38

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

9

%

19

%

28

%

31

%

37

%

41

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

13

%

32

%

47

%

53

%

57

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

12

%

42

%

60

%

69

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

12

%

26

%

38

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

10

%

28

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

59,558

 

62,604

 

136

 

62,740

 

147

 

62,887

 

105.6

%

283

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

232,141

 

51,779

 

14,274

 

66,053

 

6,269

 

72,322

 

31.2

%

20,543

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

304,598

 

48,753

 

5,075

 

53,828

 

6,078

 

59,906

 

19.7

%

11,153

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

327,118

 

63,619

 

35,145

 

98,764

 

9,971

 

108,735

 

33.2

%

45,116

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

344,329

 

170,219

 

1,184

 

171,403

 

11,735

 

183,138

 

53.2

%

12,919

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

349,449

 

124,537

 

26,709

 

151,246

 

17,449

 

168,695

 

48.3

%

44,158

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

343,474

 

191,611

 

16,547

 

208,158

 

40,678

 

248,835

 

72.4

%

57,225

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

386,508

 

123,911

 

22,354

 

146,265

 

34,812

 

181,077

 

46.8

%

57,166

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

355,205

 

120,741

 

25,209

 

145,951

 

45,605

 

191,556

 

53.9

%

70,814

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

351,111

 

181,956

 

18,831

 

200,787

 

56,895

 

257,682

 

73.4

%

75,726

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

366,967

 

180,281

 

73,347

 

253,628

 

80,333

 

333,961

 

91.0

%

153,680

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

391,645

 

108,156

 

40,614

 

148,771

 

124,615

 

273,386

 

69.8

%

165,229

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

419,098

 

78,142

 

38,871

 

117,013

 

177,328

 

294,341

 

70.2

%

216,199

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

528,712

 

13,325

 

22,665

 

35,989

 

301,866

 

337,855

 

63.9

%

324,531

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

4,759,913

 

1,519,636

 

340,960

 

1,860,596

 

913,780

 

2,774,376

 

58.3

%

1,254,740

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

21



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Healthcare Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

835

 

2,158

 

3,209

 

5,533

 

8,008

 

8,020

 

8,023

 

8,025

 

8,025

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

2003

 

1

 

4,202

 

11,148

 

13,777

 

14,724

 

18,198

 

18,756

 

20,074

 

20,104

 

23,203

 

23,682

 

24,210

 

24,253

 

 

 

2004

 

2

 

841

 

5,881

 

9,727

 

12,683

 

13,218

 

13,368

 

13,775

 

15,315

 

16,421

 

17,049

 

17,104

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

237

 

2,681

 

4,577

 

9,493

 

10,026

 

10,549

 

11,912

 

12,068

 

12,622

 

13,423

 

13,447

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

308

 

2,652

 

4,428

 

8,749

 

11,948

 

14,604

 

16,824

 

16,875

 

16,950

 

16,954

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

934

 

6,029

 

15,608

 

18,396

 

21,564

 

25,807

 

35,089

 

35,936

 

36,705

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

789

 

7,893

 

15,849

 

25,510

 

31,383

 

33,650

 

36,080

 

37,696

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

4,581

 

14,167

 

24,510

 

35,976

 

54,691

 

77,317

 

80,258

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

2,135

 

12,031

 

31,600

 

49,779

 

63,932

 

74,041

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

1,923

 

15,082

 

51,054

 

81,843

 

98,366

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

1,903

 

17,840

 

38,377

 

61,599

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

3,208

 

15,258

 

61,265

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

1,588

 

11,793

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

1,198

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

130

 

1,350

 

5,450

 

8,985

 

8,910

 

8,444

 

8,121

 

8,086

 

8,046

 

8,042

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

2003

 

345

 

11,153

 

20,246

 

20,723

 

20,529

 

23,625

 

23,160

 

23,420

 

23,793

 

25,905

 

24,294

 

24,893

 

24,253

 

 

 

2004

 

1,846

 

6,395

 

12,054

 

14,584

 

14,863

 

15,909

 

15,917

 

15,933

 

17,957

 

16,514

 

17,053

 

17,104

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

5,197

 

10,142

 

13,483

 

12,473

 

11,766

 

12,116

 

12,937

 

13,753

 

14,113

 

13,593

 

13,498

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

4,267

 

8,926

 

10,239

 

12,740

 

14,827

 

17,791

 

17,796

 

17,657

 

16,950

 

21,337

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3,603

 

13,040

 

22,295

 

31,659

 

34,971

 

35,581

 

37,622

 

37,940

 

37,306

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

3,786

 

16,754

 

29,522

 

35,794

 

38,252

 

39,607

 

39,769

 

39,609

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

8,941

 

26,830

 

45,105

 

61,966

 

77,447

 

82,762

 

84,294

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

11,044

 

37,863

 

69,323

 

76,234

 

77,576

 

82,401

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

10,218

 

48,409

 

87,336

 

105,039

 

117,799

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

15,061

 

46,598

 

65,641

 

92,926

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

10,343

 

58,860

 

90,164

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

7,221

 

25,499

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

8,980

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

0

%

3

%

14

%

23

%

22

%

21

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

2003

 

0

%

15

%

27

%

28

%

27

%

31

%

31

%

31

%

32

%

35

%

32

%

33

%

32

%

 

 

2004

 

2

%

6

%

10

%

13

%

13

%

14

%

14

%

14

%

16

%

14

%

15

%

15

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

4

%

9

%

11

%

11

%

10

%

10

%

11

%

12

%

12

%

11

%

11

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

3

%

7

%

8

%

10

%

12

%

14

%

14

%

14

%

14

%

17

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3

%

11

%

19

%

27

%

30

%

30

%

32

%

32

%

32

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

3

%

13

%

22

%

27

%

29

%

30

%

30

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

6

%

18

%

30

%

41

%

51

%

55

%

56

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

7

%

22

%

41

%

45

%

46

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

6

%

28

%

50

%

61

%

68

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

9

%

27

%

37

%

53

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

6

%

34

%

52

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

5

%

16

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

39,904

 

8,027

 

 

8,027

 

 

8,027

 

20.1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

75,002

 

24,253

 

 

24,253

 

858

 

25,111

 

33.5

%

858

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

114,883

 

17,104

 

0

 

17,104

 

1,306

 

18,410

 

16.0

%

1,306

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

118,565

 

13,447

 

50

 

13,498

 

1,912

 

15,410

 

13.0

%

1,962

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

124,024

 

16,954

 

4,383

 

21,337

 

1,708

 

23,045

 

18.6

%

6,091

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

117,774

 

36,705

 

601

 

37,306

 

2,847

 

40,153

 

34.1

%

3,448

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

131,228

 

37,696

 

1,913

 

39,609

 

3,275

 

42,884

 

32.7

%

5,188

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

150,491

 

80,258

 

4,036

 

84,294

 

6,022

 

90,316

 

60.0

%

10,058

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

169,302

 

74,041

 

8,359

 

82,401

 

11,651

 

94,051

 

55.6

%

20,010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

173,039

 

98,366

 

19,433

 

117,799

 

14,919

 

132,718

 

76.7

%

34,352

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

175,742

 

61,599

 

31,327

 

92,926

 

30,931

 

123,857

 

70.5

%

62,258

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

173,618

 

61,265

 

28,900

 

90,164

 

46,393

 

136,557

 

78.7

%

75,293

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

158,205

 

11,793

 

13,706

 

25,499

 

83,607

 

109,106

 

69.0

%

97,313

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

137,088

 

1,198

 

7,783

 

8,980

 

87,102

 

96,083

 

70.1

%

94,885

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,858,865

 

542,706

 

120,490

 

663,196

 

292,532

 

955,728

 

51.4

%

413,022

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

22



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Specialty Lines Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

0

 

126

 

1,778

 

1,998

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

189

 

5,196

 

17,067

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

13,093

 

34,232

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

13,123

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

0

 

131

 

1,995

 

2,027

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

245

 

6,700

 

18,638

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

18,415

 

44,486

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

27,582

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

0

%

1

%

21

%

21

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

1

%

28

%

77

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

39

%

93

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

45

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

153

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

2,478

 

1

 

 

1

 

(3

)

(2

)

-0.1

%

(3

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

9,472

 

1,998

 

28

 

2,027

 

(55

)

1,972

 

20.8

%

(27

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

24,246

 

17,067

 

1,571

 

18,638

 

2,209

 

20,848

 

86.0

%

3,781

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

47,673

 

34,232

 

10,253

 

44,486

 

4,656

 

49,141

 

103.1

%

14,909

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

60,933

 

13,123

 

14,459

 

27,582

 

19,255

 

46,837

 

76.9

%

33,714

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

144,956

 

66,422

 

26,312

 

92,733

 

26,062

 

118,796

 

82.0

%

52,374

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

23


 


 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Asian Operations Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

7,513

 

17,624

 

22,621

 

26,939

 

29,932

 

31,360

 

32,242

 

31,556

 

31,668

 

31,757

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

8,566

 

26,743

 

31,495

 

38,504

 

43,780

 

45,602

 

46,031

 

48,036

 

50,615

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

8,244

 

22,275

 

33,121

 

38,317

 

41,298

 

42,846

 

43,475

 

43,755

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

7,727

 

22,706

 

33,106

 

38,973

 

48,330

 

44,239

 

44,498

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

9,163

 

25,421

 

34,804

 

41,518

 

46,191

 

49,333

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

11,985

 

39,396

 

56,678

 

66,884

 

72,641

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

12,342

 

39,078

 

63,574

 

78,910

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

16,329

 

45,474

 

70,518

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

21,792

 

60,915

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

23,468

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

31,070

 

36,001

 

38,957

 

36,250

 

34,107

 

33,579

 

33,371

 

32,333

 

32,291

 

31,963

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

46,026

 

54,297

 

52,228

 

50,936

 

47,728

 

47,351

 

46,840

 

47,237

 

47,364

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

34,733

 

46,071

 

49,958

 

46,367

 

45,588

 

44,898

 

44,609

 

44,155

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

40,566

 

50,442

 

49,956

 

46,407

 

45,784

 

45,438

 

45,110

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

44,908

 

52,840

 

51,849

 

51,557

 

52,321

 

51,970

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

65,376

 

82,037

 

79,937

 

78,130

 

79,827

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

61,078

 

85,425

 

88,996

 

90,749

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

72,764

 

97,942

 

104,889

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

92,531

 

123,577

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

95,842

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

37

%

43

%

47

%

44

%

41

%

40

%

40

%

39

%

39

%

38

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

52

%

61

%

59

%

57

%

53

%

53

%

53

%

53

%

53

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

41

%

55

%

60

%

55

%

54

%

54

%

53

%

53

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

46

%

57

%

57

%

53

%

52

%

51

%

51

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

44

%

52

%

51

%

50

%

51

%

51

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

53

%

67

%

65

%

64

%

65

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

41

%

57

%

59

%

61

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

40

%

54

%

58

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

45

%

60

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

47

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

83,138

 

31,757

 

206

 

31,963

 

5

 

31,968

 

38.5

%

212

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

89,213

 

50,615

 

(3,250

)

47,364

 

8

 

47,372

 

53.1

%

(3,243

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

83,757

 

43,755

 

400

 

44,155

 

3

 

44,159

 

52.7

%

404

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

88,328

 

44,498

 

611

 

45,110

 

(60

)

45,050

 

51.0

%

551

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

102,245

 

49,333

 

2,637

 

51,970

 

437

 

52,408

 

51.3

%

3,074

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

122,444

 

72,641

 

7,186

 

79,827

 

265

 

80,092

 

65.4

%

7,451

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

149,601

 

78,910

 

11,839

 

90,749

 

1,729

 

92,478

 

61.8

%

13,568

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

181,714

 

70,518

 

34,371

 

104,889

 

6,700

 

111,589

 

61.4

%

41,072

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

204,323

 

60,915

 

62,662

 

123,577

 

18,140

 

141,717

 

69.4

%

80,802

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

205,151

 

23,468

 

72,374

 

95,842

 

48,409

 

144,252

 

70.3

%

120,784

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,309,913

 

526,409

 

189,038

 

715,447

 

75,638

 

791,085

 

60.4

%

264,676

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The loss triangles presented on pages 18 and 24 reflect loss development data solely with respect to the Hong Kong, Singapore and Labuan operations that we acquired from Royal & Sun Alliance Insurance plc in April 2015.  Loss development data with respect to our Asian operations that were not acquired from Royal & Sun Alliance Insurance plc is reflected in the loss triangles for the applicable classes of our Direct Insurance Business and Reinsurance Business.

 

24



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Property Catastrophe Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

101

 

2,131

 

4,161

 

4,194

 

4,310

 

4,310

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

2003

 

3,977

 

6,251

 

6,882

 

6,831

 

6,843

 

7,235

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

 

 

2004

 

17,379

 

47,475

 

55,350

 

57,786

 

59,259

 

60,040

 

60,489

 

60,852

 

61,286

 

61,324

 

61,738

 

61,815

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

35,255

 

121,814

 

141,709

 

148,497

 

151,206

 

152,497

 

152,998

 

153,327

 

153,722

 

153,867

 

154,049

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

710

 

8,912

 

9,671

 

9,829

 

9,903

 

9,917

 

9,917

 

9,917

 

9,917

 

9,917

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3,999

 

12,770

 

12,511

 

12,767

 

12,561

 

12,603

 

12,641

 

12,644

 

12,644

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

15,798

 

26,979

 

30,619

 

32,007

 

33,204

 

33,596

 

33,677

 

33,722

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

269

 

905

 

2,977

 

4,139

 

4,664

 

4,794

 

4,834

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

3,798

 

54,580

 

76,523

 

86,082

 

95,651

 

99,303

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

22,254

 

64,133

 

103,495

 

117,937

 

123,346

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

26,286

 

65,659

 

77,277

 

80,421

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

13,043

 

50,071

 

64,536

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

32,418

 

86,011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

6,524

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

3,041

 

5,163

 

4,370

 

4,390

 

4,372

 

4,371

 

4,356

 

4,356

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

2003

 

6,172

 

7,561

 

7,009

 

6,920

 

6,939

 

7,235

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

 

 

2004

 

33,642

 

56,808

 

59,396

 

60,325

 

60,712

 

61,073

 

60,888

 

61,109

 

61,373

 

61,373

 

61,748

 

61,815

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

130,142

 

151,004

 

151,495

 

153,665

 

154,704

 

155,251

 

155,346

 

155,317

 

154,028

 

154,040

 

154,074

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

3,275

 

9,580

 

9,885

 

10,140

 

10,092

 

10,096

 

10,097

 

10,097

 

10,097

 

10,096

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

15,440

 

15,618

 

13,530

 

13,396

 

12,832

 

12,770

 

12,779

 

12,688

 

12,644

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

31,318

 

32,595

 

33,106

 

33,901

 

33,952

 

33,896

 

33,823

 

33,733

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

2,001

 

5,268

 

4,985

 

5,147

 

4,985

 

5,033

 

5,058

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

29,322

 

81,269

 

98,186

 

98,051

 

102,093

 

103,368

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

86,386

 

119,906

 

122,407

 

124,507

 

124,389

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

53,884

 

82,521

 

83,428

 

83,746

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

40,584

 

70,848

 

71,553

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

66,515

 

105,010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

34,481

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

9

%

13

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

2003

 

12

%

12

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

 

 

2004

 

60

%

84

%

87

%

89

%

89

%

90

%

90

%

90

%

90

%

90

%

91

%

91

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

180

%

182

%

183

%

185

%

186

%

187

%

187

%

187

%

186

%

186

%

186

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

6

%

14

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

28

%

22

%

19

%

18

%

18

%

18

%

18

%

17

%

17

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

64

%

50

%

50

%

51

%

51

%

51

%

50

%

50

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

3

%

6

%

6

%

6

%

6

%

6

%

6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

28

%

60

%

72

%

72

%

75

%

76

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

62

%

61

%

62

%

63

%

63

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

31

%

33

%

33

%

33

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

17

%

22

%

22

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

26

%

32

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

15

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

41,285

 

4,336

 

 

4,336

 

 

4,336

 

10.5

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

61,251

 

7,237

 

 

7,237

 

 

7,237

 

11.8

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

68,026

 

61,815

 

 

61,815

 

 

61,815

 

90.9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

82,969

 

154,049

 

26

 

154,074

 

17

 

154,092

 

185.7

%

43

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

67,244

 

9,917

 

179

 

10,096

 

10

 

10,107

 

15.0

%

189

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

72,659

 

12,644

 

0

 

12,644

 

(0

)

12,644

 

17.4

%

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

67,074

 

33,722

 

11

 

33,733

 

2

 

33,735

 

50.3

%

13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

82,896

 

4,834

 

224

 

5,058

 

24

 

5,082

 

6.1

%

248

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

136,364

 

99,303

 

4,065

 

103,368

 

1,241

 

104,609

 

76.7

%

5,306

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

198,861

 

123,346

 

1,043

 

124,389

 

1,163

 

125,551

 

63.1

%

2,205

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

254,544

 

80,421

 

3,326

 

83,746

 

1,393

 

85,139

 

33.4

%

4,718

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

331,064

 

64,536

 

7,017

 

71,553

 

5,166

 

76,718

 

23.2

%

12,182

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

326,146

 

86,011

 

18,998

 

105,010

 

15,951

 

120,961

 

37.1

%

34,950

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

225,351

 

6,524

 

27,957

 

34,481

 

34,719

 

69,200

 

30.7

%

62,675

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

2,015,736

 

748,695

 

62,845

 

811,540

 

59,686

 

871,226

 

43.2

%

122,531

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

25



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Property Per Risk Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

1,994

 

14,146

 

21,254

 

24,533

 

26,792

 

27,665

 

27,872

 

28,181

 

28,203

 

28,235

 

28,234

 

29,092

 

29,093

 

29,093

 

2003

 

1,794

 

10,900

 

19,511

 

27,293

 

30,857

 

32,394

 

33,895

 

34,544

 

34,688

 

34,727

 

34,730

 

34,861

 

34,866

 

 

 

2004

 

6,380

 

35,198

 

56,633

 

66,651

 

73,205

 

76,274

 

76,888

 

77,455

 

77,918

 

78,111

 

78,152

 

78,232

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

6,530

 

46,097

 

61,684

 

69,042

 

81,394

 

85,266

 

86,107

 

87,149

 

88,477

 

88,438

 

86,777

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

3,793

 

17,679

 

23,689

 

27,465

 

29,525

 

29,862

 

29,924

 

29,785

 

29,862

 

29,869

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

717

 

8,668

 

12,738

 

14,733

 

15,753

 

19,398

 

19,896

 

19,985

 

19,999

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

3,973

 

11,217

 

12,987

 

16,028

 

16,557

 

16,655

 

17,156

 

17,201

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

4,664

 

12,112

 

18,692

 

21,638

 

23,043

 

23,203

 

23,369

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

5,933

 

20,316

 

29,677

 

32,873

 

34,606

 

35,101

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

4,047

 

22,318

 

31,785

 

36,652

 

37,879

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

6,117

 

33,154

 

47,067

 

52,681

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

5,155

 

44,609

 

69,516

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

10,888

 

45,378

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

9,689

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

3,082

 

17,552

 

26,709

 

27,669

 

28,277

 

28,445

 

28,219

 

28,346

 

28,237

 

28,275

 

28,250

 

29,095

 

29,094

 

29,099

 

2003

 

6,306

 

20,389

 

27,305

 

34,491

 

35,046

 

35,509

 

36,485

 

35,850

 

35,279

 

34,880

 

34,905

 

34,873

 

34,888

 

 

 

2004

 

20,077

 

68,874

 

78,988

 

79,108

 

78,265

 

78,647

 

78,381

 

78,382

 

78,740

 

78,583

 

78,621

 

78,283

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

29,974

 

71,340

 

80,920

 

86,256

 

86,205

 

86,827

 

87,186

 

88,389

 

89,492

 

89,163

 

87,226

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

9,306

 

23,650

 

30,427

 

30,524

 

30,084

 

30,372

 

30,250

 

30,110

 

29,945

 

29,942

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3,040

 

23,118

 

24,835

 

23,916

 

23,652

 

20,075

 

20,199

 

20,328

 

20,328

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

9,989

 

15,878

 

16,563

 

17,651

 

17,503

 

17,282

 

17,526

 

17,391

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

10,744

 

19,422

 

21,629

 

22,955

 

23,360

 

23,754

 

23,645

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

13,780

 

34,368

 

37,260

 

36,535

 

36,563

 

36,619

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

15,878

 

37,729

 

41,068

 

39,798

 

39,779

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

20,884

 

49,257

 

58,646

 

60,148

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

21,452

 

69,294

 

78,286

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

27,822

 

69,432

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

32,214

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

11

%

27

%

42

%

43

%

44

%

44

%

44

%

44

%

44

%

44

%

44

%

45

%

45

%

45

%

2003

 

12

%

30

%

39

%

49

%

51

%

54

%

55

%

54

%

53

%

53

%

53

%

53

%

53

%

 

 

2004

 

26

%

94

%

110

%

110

%

104

%

105

%

104

%

104

%

105

%

105

%

105

%

104

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

43

%

91

%

105

%

112

%

112

%

113

%

113

%

115

%

116

%

116

%

113

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

19

%

35

%

45

%

45

%

44

%

45

%

45

%

44

%

44

%

44

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

13

%

57

%

60

%

57

%

57

%

48

%

48

%

49

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

43

%

48

%

50

%

53

%

53

%

52

%

53

%

53

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

47

%

56

%

61

%

65

%

66

%

67

%

67

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

40

%

70

%

74

%

73

%

73

%

73

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

36

%

54

%

59

%

57

%

57

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

34

%

50

%

57

%

58

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

29

%

57

%

62

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

33

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

41

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

64,246

 

29,093

 

6

 

29,099

 

3

 

29,102

 

45.3

%

9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

66,185

 

34,866

 

22

 

34,888

 

12

 

34,900

 

52.7

%

34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

75,097

 

78,232

 

50

 

78,283

 

49

 

78,332

 

104.3

%

100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

77,039

 

86,777

 

449

 

87,226

 

366

 

87,592

 

113.7

%

815

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

67,928

 

29,869

 

74

 

29,942

 

59

 

30,001

 

44.2

%

133

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

41,845

 

19,999

 

330

 

20,328

 

180

 

20,508

 

49.0

%

510

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

33,092

 

17,201

 

190

 

17,391

 

91

 

17,482

 

52.8

%

281

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

35,343

 

23,369

 

276

 

23,645

 

157

 

23,802

 

67.3

%

433

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

50,432

 

35,101

 

1,519

 

36,619

 

1,099

 

37,718

 

74.8

%

2,618

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

69,623

 

37,879

 

1,899

 

39,779

 

1,467

 

41,246

 

59.2

%

3,367

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

103,612

 

52,681

 

7,467

 

60,148

 

3,172

 

63,320

 

61.1

%

10,639

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

125,818

 

69,516

 

8,771

 

78,286

 

11,056

 

89,343

 

71.0

%

19,827

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

141,402

 

45,378

 

24,054

 

69,432

 

16,930

 

86,362

 

61.1

%

40,984

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

78,670

 

9,689

 

22,524

 

32,214

 

35,784

 

67,998

 

86.4

%

58,308

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,030,332

 

569,650

 

67,631

 

637,281

 

70,427

 

707,707

 

68.7

%

138,057

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

26



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

General Casualty Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

329

 

3,688

 

7,670

 

10,682

 

13,471

 

15,290

 

16,500

 

17,685

 

18,347

 

18,481

 

18,814

 

18,880

 

18,770

 

18,838

 

2003

 

705

 

3,063

 

5,962

 

11,466

 

21,916

 

26,087

 

27,838

 

30,357

 

32,877

 

35,385

 

36,800

 

37,497

 

37,888

 

 

 

2004

 

648

 

1,088

 

6,331

 

11,850

 

21,718

 

28,466

 

37,451

 

40,561

 

44,091

 

45,848

 

48,522

 

50,357

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

119

 

1,584

 

9,500

 

19,705

 

31,410

 

41,416

 

50,092

 

57,041

 

59,700

 

61,398

 

62,981

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

944

 

6,183

 

20,496

 

34,829

 

43,542

 

51,219

 

56,562

 

63,383

 

67,263

 

68,375

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3

 

3,135

 

10,113

 

26,839

 

39,243

 

49,828

 

59,483

 

64,482

 

68,737

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

29

 

1,468

 

13,077

 

22,515

 

34,675

 

49,334

 

63,918

 

67,237

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

460

 

4,842

 

16,498

 

27,254

 

44,857

 

54,216

 

62,013

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

474

 

24,314

 

44,312

 

61,016

 

78,894

 

92,055

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

805

 

11,071

 

32,168

 

47,822

 

80,659

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

842

 

10,435

 

22,198

 

46,894

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

75

 

1,582

 

8,992

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

(110

)

1,877

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

(120

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

346

 

5,531

 

10,970

 

18,737

 

19,011

 

19,864

 

20,694

 

19,214

 

19,906

 

19,931

 

19,860

 

19,869

 

19,871

 

19,821

 

2003

 

1,588

 

8,176

 

11,853

 

21,884

 

28,983

 

29,495

 

32,262

 

33,460

 

36,363

 

37,525

 

38,890

 

40,070

 

40,625

 

 

 

2004

 

1,357

 

9,066

 

14,254

 

23,012

 

36,152

 

44,510

 

45,306

 

48,467

 

53,339

 

55,342

 

59,751

 

62,016

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

2,055

 

11,283

 

23,806

 

34,636

 

44,890

 

51,272

 

55,714

 

63,185

 

63,357

 

64,889

 

65,470

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

2,623

 

20,000

 

38,130

 

50,831

 

56,623

 

63,541

 

66,404

 

70,525

 

71,275

 

72,178

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

941

 

9,690

 

34,772

 

47,073

 

57,898

 

67,883

 

69,365

 

70,737

 

76,163

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

1,559

 

13,540

 

37,453

 

48,159

 

61,639

 

71,716

 

77,206

 

74,489

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1,256

 

20,052

 

37,081

 

55,522

 

60,445

 

62,755

 

67,585

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

10,371

 

43,750

 

65,948

 

88,937

 

105,311

 

112,077

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

2,720

 

20,858

 

59,482

 

86,234

 

112,280

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

2,862

 

32,477

 

53,674

 

82,544

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

2,305

 

9,922

 

24,546

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

1,261

 

11,243

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

3,780

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

4

%

18

%

33

%

56

%

57

%

59

%

62

%

57

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

2003

 

3

%

9

%

12

%

22

%

29

%

29

%

32

%

33

%

36

%

37

%

39

%

40

%

40

%

 

 

2004

 

2

%

8

%

11

%

19

%

29

%

36

%

37

%

40

%

43

%

45

%

49

%

51

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

2

%

8

%

15

%

22

%

29

%

33

%

36

%

40

%

40

%

41

%

42

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

5

%

16

%

29

%

39

%

43

%

49

%

51

%

54

%

55

%

55

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

2

%

7

%

25

%

33

%

40

%

47

%

48

%

49

%

53

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

4

%

11

%

29

%

37

%

47

%

54

%

59

%

56

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

2

%

13

%

24

%

36

%

39

%

40

%

43

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

18

%

28

%

37

%

50

%

59

%

63

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

5

%

12

%

28

%

40

%

52

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

5

%

21

%

31

%

47

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

4

%

6

%

13

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

2

%

8

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

33,674

 

18,838

 

983

 

19,821

 

895

 

20,716

 

61.5

%

1,878

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

100,666

 

37,888

 

2,737

 

40,625

 

3,946

 

44,571

 

44.3

%

6,683

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

122,804

 

50,357

 

11,659

 

62,016

 

6,545

 

68,561

 

55.8

%

18,204

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

156,722

 

62,981

 

2,488

 

65,470

 

8,445

 

73,914

 

47.2

%

10,933

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

130,679

 

68,375

 

3,803

 

72,178

 

9,914

 

82,092

 

62.8

%

13,717

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

143,668

 

68,737

 

7,425

 

76,163

 

12,682

 

88,845

 

61.8

%

20,108

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

131,947

 

67,237

 

7,252

 

74,489

 

16,188

 

90,677

 

68.7

%

23,440

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

156,783

 

62,013

 

5,572

 

67,585

 

25,578

 

93,162

 

59.4

%

31,150

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

177,408

 

92,055

 

20,022

 

112,077

 

35,285

 

147,362

 

83.1

%

55,307

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

213,867

 

80,659

 

31,621

 

112,280

 

53,389

 

165,669

 

77.5

%

85,010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

174,798

 

46,894

 

35,650

 

82,544

 

60,312

 

142,856

 

81.7

%

95,962

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

182,127

 

8,992

 

15,554

 

24,546

 

101,442

 

125,988

 

69.2

%

116,996

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

139,936

 

1,877

 

9,366

 

11,243

 

86,089

 

97,333

 

69.6

%

95,455

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

44,263

 

(120

)

3,900

 

3,780

 

27,825

 

31,604

 

71.4

%

31,724

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,909,343

 

666,783

 

158,033

 

824,816

 

448,536

 

1,273,352

 

66.7

%

606,569

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

27



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Professional Liability Lines Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

915

 

1,676

 

4,405

 

10,898

 

12,884

 

14,202

 

15,561

 

16,061

 

16,838

 

16,776

 

17,687

 

18,171

 

18,171

 

2003

 

0

 

191

 

1,274

 

3,207

 

12,429

 

16,125

 

21,385

 

24,308

 

26,798

 

27,514

 

28,948

 

29,171

 

29,178

 

 

 

2004

 

9

 

345

 

5,373

 

10,445

 

19,634

 

24,920

 

31,103

 

32,512

 

34,241

 

36,816

 

37,907

 

38,336

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

8

 

786

 

6,852

 

22,841

 

34,827

 

42,900

 

48,475

 

51,477

 

57,077

 

63,133

 

68,342

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

1

 

711

 

7,112

 

20,254

 

32,692

 

45,159

 

50,719

 

58,489

 

65,385

 

69,666

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

5

 

1,263

 

11,453

 

41,443

 

68,496

 

100,132

 

122,355

 

137,600

 

151,473

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

37

 

1,632

 

9,445

 

23,652

 

44,426

 

54,163

 

68,333

 

80,768

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

17

 

1,675

 

6,595

 

15,484

 

23,175

 

29,499

 

37,631

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

68

 

2,179

 

8,870

 

14,651

 

21,579

 

27,859

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

19

 

620

 

3,943

 

7,703

 

15,263

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

32

 

975

 

4,281

 

8,436

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

69

 

1,557

 

6,598

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

13

 

843

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

16

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

3,594

 

12,221

 

21,012

 

22,717

 

22,060

 

22,297

 

21,292

 

19,469

 

19,553

 

18,660

 

18,524

 

18,374

 

18,284

 

2003

 

65

 

1,599

 

13,961

 

20,992

 

29,038

 

29,173

 

33,065

 

32,991

 

34,673

 

34,042

 

34,035

 

33,106

 

32,600

 

 

 

2004

 

818

 

7,863

 

20,102

 

33,441

 

36,042

 

35,729

 

42,846

 

41,468

 

41,678

 

40,904

 

41,478

 

41,303

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

455

 

6,030

 

22,443

 

46,011

 

50,422

 

54,558

 

60,045

 

67,586

 

70,208

 

73,481

 

74,265

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

71

 

7,219

 

26,724

 

49,999

 

59,704

 

65,386

 

72,804

 

82,405

 

77,608

 

79,419

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

207

 

17,423

 

74,240

 

117,190

 

132,576

 

136,748

 

160,217

 

168,767

 

177,788

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

2,659

 

13,893

 

35,866

 

57,744

 

75,391

 

81,166

 

98,846

 

106,262

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

228

 

5,874

 

16,214

 

28,346

 

35,362

 

42,224

 

46,967

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

546

 

5,328

 

14,096

 

24,452

 

32,641

 

37,107

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

165

 

2,976

 

7,303

 

14,639

 

25,467

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

394

 

4,681

 

8,065

 

13,302

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

612

 

7,158

 

12,950

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

201

 

4,373

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

98

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

0

%

8

%

26

%

46

%

49

%

48

%

48

%

46

%

42

%

42

%

40

%

40

%

39

%

39

%

2003

 

0

%

2

%

15

%

22

%

29

%

29

%

33

%

33

%

35

%

34

%

34

%

33

%

33

%

 

 

2004

 

1

%

7

%

17

%

28

%

30

%

30

%

36

%

35

%

35

%

34

%

35

%

35

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

0

%

3

%

11

%

22

%

25

%

27

%

29

%

33

%

34

%

36

%

36

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

0

%

4

%

14

%

26

%

31

%

34

%

38

%

43

%

40

%

41

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

0

%

9

%

35

%

55

%

62

%

64

%

75

%

79

%

83

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

4

%

8

%

19

%

30

%

40

%

43

%

52

%

56

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1

%

5

%

12

%

21

%

26

%

31

%

35

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

2

%

5

%

13

%

22

%

29

%

33

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

1

%

4

%

9

%

17

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

2

%

7

%

11

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

2

%

11

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

1

%

6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

46,832

 

18,171

 

113

 

18,284

 

1,574

 

19,858

 

42.4

%

1,687

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

99,806

 

29,178

 

3,423

 

32,600

 

3,502

 

36,102

 

36.2

%

6,925

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

119,156

 

38,336

 

2,967

 

41,303

 

5,461

 

46,764

 

39.2

%

8,428

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

204,393

 

68,342

 

5,923

 

74,265

 

13,016

 

87,281

 

42.7

%

18,939

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

193,375

 

69,666

 

9,753

 

79,419

 

13,343

 

92,762

 

48.0

%

23,096

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

214,022

 

151,473

 

26,315

 

177,788

 

20,510

 

198,298

 

92.7

%

46,825

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

190,067

 

80,768

 

25,494

 

106,262

 

23,114

 

129,376

 

68.1

%

48,608

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

134,776

 

37,631

 

9,335

 

46,967

 

27,561

 

74,527

 

55.3

%

36,896

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

111,129

 

27,859

 

9,248

 

37,107

 

33,411

 

70,518

 

63.5

%

42,659

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

83,803

 

15,263

 

10,204

 

25,467

 

29,598

 

55,065

 

65.7

%

39,802

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

74,963

 

8,436

 

4,866

 

13,302

 

34,887

 

48,189

 

64.3

%

39,753

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

70,068

 

6,598

 

6,352

 

12,950

 

30,872

 

43,822

 

62.5

%

37,224

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

75,410

 

843

 

3,530

 

4,373

 

44,399

 

48,772

 

64.7

%

47,929

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

14,538

 

16

 

82

 

98

 

9,623

 

9,722

 

66.9

%

9,705

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,632,339

 

552,580

 

117,605

 

670,186

 

290,871

 

961,056

 

58.9

%

408,476

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

28



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Specialty Lines Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

52

 

1,225

 

2,576

 

3,222

 

3,687

 

4,081

 

4,191

 

4,439

 

4,466

 

4,475

 

4,484

 

4,491

 

4,505

 

4,509

 

2003

 

15

 

911

 

2,398

 

3,399

 

4,519

 

4,767

 

4,994

 

5,053

 

5,121

 

5,193

 

5,224

 

5,312

 

5,317

 

 

 

2004

 

64

 

5,141

 

9,589

 

12,882

 

13,504

 

14,295

 

14,701

 

15,407

 

15,474

 

15,458

 

15,502

 

15,572

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

278

 

5,552

 

12,204

 

17,988

 

20,551

 

22,029

 

22,748

 

22,906

 

23,275

 

23,769

 

23,803

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

68

 

2,821

 

5,666

 

6,934

 

7,793

 

8,329

 

8,560

 

8,714

 

8,866

 

8,898

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

279

 

4,098

 

7,242

 

8,936

 

10,047

 

10,686

 

11,036

 

11,269

 

11,307

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

534

 

4,231

 

8,153

 

10,516

 

12,609

 

13,831

 

14,617

 

14,801

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

121

 

2,196

 

4,283

 

6,338

 

6,635

 

6,962

 

7,045

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

73

 

1,341

 

4,422

 

5,401

 

6,196

 

6,598

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

2,364

 

11,911

 

21,832

 

28,530

 

31,146

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

28,387

 

105,205

 

117,024

 

121,405

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

1,123

 

71,855

 

89,202

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

13,492

 

103,124

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

3,634

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

270

 

3,065

 

4,472

 

4,580

 

4,963

 

4,700

 

4,691

 

4,629

 

4,623

 

4,609

 

4,587

 

4,591

 

4,583

 

4,582

 

2003

 

54

 

913

 

2,665

 

4,981

 

5,374

 

5,280

 

5,373

 

5,316

 

5,349

 

5,440

 

5,496

 

5,468

 

5,450

 

 

 

2004

 

155

 

10,401

 

14,444

 

16,471

 

15,735

 

15,910

 

16,041

 

15,909

 

15,856

 

15,764

 

15,753

 

15,741

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

304

 

13,159

 

20,234

 

21,716

 

22,548

 

23,338

 

25,247

 

25,175

 

25,480

 

24,201

 

24,214

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

69

 

6,022

 

7,949

 

8,880

 

9,035

 

9,226

 

9,256

 

9,185

 

9,162

 

9,131

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

841

 

7,432

 

11,012

 

11,912

 

11,871

 

11,849

 

11,925

 

11,826

 

11,762

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

1,072

 

12,929

 

15,978

 

14,912

 

15,238

 

15,256

 

15,631

 

15,496

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

326

 

3,799

 

6,911

 

7,929

 

7,684

 

7,594

 

7,614

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

237

 

8,968

 

10,997

 

7,008

 

7,278

 

7,214

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

4,667

 

19,175

 

27,610

 

34,731

 

34,891

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

37,939

 

115,884

 

124,097

 

129,111

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

6,893

 

77,735

 

96,003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

16,641

 

111,077

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

7,126

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

8

%

27

%

39

%

38

%

41

%

39

%

39

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

2003

 

1

%

7

%

13

%

25

%

27

%

26

%

27

%

26

%

27

%

27

%

27

%

27

%

27

%

 

 

2004

 

1

%

33

%

38

%

44

%

41

%

42

%

42

%

41

%

41

%

41

%

41

%

41

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

1

%

37

%

50

%

53

%

55

%

57

%

61

%

61

%

62

%

59

%

59

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

0

%

20

%

25

%

29

%

29

%

30

%

30

%

30

%

29

%

29

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

4

%

20

%

28

%

30

%

30

%

30

%

31

%

30

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

5

%

39

%

47

%

44

%

45

%

45

%

46

%

46

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

2

%

12

%

21

%

24

%

24

%

23

%

23

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

1

%

23

%

27

%

18

%

18

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

10

%

26

%

35

%

44

%

45

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

34

%

79

%

83

%

87

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

4

%

40

%

48

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

10

%

57

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

12,191

 

4,509

 

72

 

4,582

 

18

 

4,600

 

37.7

%

90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

20,150

 

5,317

 

133

 

5,450

 

55

 

5,506

 

27.3

%

188

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

38,251

 

15,572

 

169

 

15,741

 

109

 

15,850

 

41.4

%

278

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

41,190

 

23,803

 

411

 

24,214

 

266

 

24,479

 

59.4

%

677

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

31,134

 

8,898

 

233

 

9,131

 

315

 

9,446

 

30.3

%

548

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

39,029

 

11,307

 

455

 

11,762

 

448

 

12,210

 

31.3

%

903

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

33,975

 

14,801

 

695

 

15,496

 

691

 

16,188

 

47.6

%

1,386

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

32,704

 

7,045

 

569

 

7,614

 

643

 

8,257

 

25.2

%

1,212

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

39,487

 

6,598

 

616

 

7,214

 

1,740

 

8,954

 

22.7

%

2,356

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

77,872

 

31,146

 

3,746

 

34,891

 

4,591

 

39,482

 

50.7

%

8,337

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

148,151

 

121,405

 

7,706

 

129,111

 

7,943

 

137,054

 

92.5

%

15,649

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

198,000

 

89,202

 

6,802

 

96,003

 

11,870

 

107,873

 

54.5

%

18,672

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

196,573

 

103,124

 

7,952

 

111,077

 

25,339

 

136,416

 

69.4

%

33,292

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

166,208

 

3,634

 

3,492

 

7,126

 

112,540

 

119,666

 

72.0

%

116,032

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,074,913

 

446,361

 

33,051

 

479,412

 

166,569

 

645,981

 

60.1

%

199,620

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

29



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Property Catastrophe Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

101

 

2,131

 

4,161

 

4,194

 

4,310

 

4,310

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

2003

 

3,977

 

6,251

 

6,882

 

6,831

 

6,843

 

7,235

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

 

 

2004

 

17,379

 

47,475

 

55,350

 

57,601

 

58,813

 

59,370

 

59,741

 

60,097

 

60,525

 

60,338

 

60,779

 

60,855

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

35,255

 

100,131

 

109,194

 

111,778

 

113,125

 

112,992

 

113,330

 

113,657

 

113,693

 

114,551

 

114,733

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

710

 

8,912

 

9,671

 

9,829

 

9,903

 

9,917

 

9,917

 

9,917

 

9,917

 

9,917

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3,999

 

12,770

 

12,511

 

12,767

 

12,561

 

12,603

 

12,641

 

12,644

 

12,644

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

15,798

 

26,979

 

30,619

 

32,007

 

33,204

 

33,596

 

33,677

 

33,722

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

269

 

905

 

2,977

 

4,139

 

4,664

 

4,794

 

4,834

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

3,798

 

54,580

 

76,523

 

86,082

 

95,651

 

99,303

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

22,254

 

64,133

 

103,495

 

117,937

 

123,346

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

26,286

 

65,659

 

77,277

 

80,421

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

13,043

 

50,071

 

64,536

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

32,418

 

86,011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

6,524

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

3,041

 

5,163

 

4,370

 

4,390

 

4,372

 

4,371

 

4,356

 

4,356

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

2003

 

6,172

 

7,561

 

7,009

 

6,920

 

6,939

 

7,235

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

 

 

2004

 

33,642

 

56,808

 

59,396

 

60,140

 

60,267

 

60,403

 

60,140

 

60,355

 

60,613

 

60,387

 

60,788

 

60,855

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

130,142

 

129,321

 

118,980

 

116,946

 

116,624

 

115,746

 

115,678

 

115,648

 

113,998

 

114,725

 

114,759

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

3,275

 

9,580

 

9,885

 

10,140

 

10,092

 

10,096

 

10,097

 

10,097

 

10,097

 

10,096

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

15,440

 

15,618

 

13,530

 

13,396

 

12,832

 

12,770

 

12,779

 

12,688

 

12,644

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

31,318

 

32,595

 

33,106

 

33,901

 

33,952

 

33,896

 

33,823

 

33,733

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

2,001

 

5,268

 

4,985

 

5,147

 

4,985

 

5,033

 

5,058

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

29,322

 

81,269

 

98,186

 

98,051

 

102,093

 

103,368

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

86,386

 

119,906

 

122,407

 

124,507

 

124,389

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

53,884

 

82,521

 

83,428

 

83,746

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

40,584

 

70,848

 

71,553

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

66,515

 

105,010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

34,481

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

9

%

13

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

2003

 

12

%

12

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

 

 

2004

 

66

%

95

%

99

%

100

%

100

%

101

%

100

%

101

%

101

%

101

%

101

%

101

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

214

%

187

%

172

%

169

%

169

%

168

%

168

%

168

%

165

%

166

%

166

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

6

%

14

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

28

%

22

%

19

%

18

%

18

%

18

%

18

%

17

%

17

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

64

%

50

%

50

%

51

%

51

%

51

%

50

%

50

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

3

%

6

%

6

%

6

%

6

%

6

%

6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

28

%

61

%

72

%

72

%

75

%

76

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

62

%

61

%

62

%

63

%

63

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

31

%

33

%

33

%

33

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

19

%

23

%

23

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

27

%

34

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

17

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

41,285

 

4,336

 

 

4,336

 

 

4,336

 

10.5

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

61,251

 

7,237

 

 

7,237

 

 

7,237

 

11.8

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

59,976

 

60,855

 

 

60,855

 

(9

)

60,846

 

101.4

%

(9

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

69,029

 

114,733

 

26

 

114,759

 

17

 

114,777

 

166.3

%

43

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

66,180

 

9,917

 

179

 

10,096

 

10

 

10,107

 

15.3

%

189

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

72,592

 

12,644

 

0

 

12,644

 

(0

)

12,644

 

17.4

%

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

66,993

 

33,722

 

11

 

33,733

 

2

 

33,735

 

50.4

%

13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

82,816

 

4,834

 

224

 

5,058

 

24

 

5,082

 

6.1

%

248

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

136,347

 

99,303

 

4,065

 

103,368

 

1,241

 

104,609

 

76.7

%

5,306

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

198,859

 

123,346

 

1,043

 

124,389

 

1,163

 

125,551

 

63.1

%

2,205

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

254,542

 

80,421

 

3,326

 

83,746

 

1,393

 

85,139

 

33.4

%

4,718

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

304,488

 

64,536

 

7,017

 

71,553

 

5,166

 

76,718

 

25.2

%

12,182

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

309,892

 

86,011

 

18,998

 

105,010

 

15,951

 

120,961

 

39.0

%

34,950

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

198,810

 

6,524

 

27,957

 

34,481

 

34,719

 

69,200

 

34.8

%

62,675

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,923,061

 

708,420

 

62,845

 

771,265

 

59,677

 

830,942

 

43.2

%

122,522

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Property Per Risk Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

1,994

 

14,146

 

21,254

 

24,533

 

26,792

 

27,665

 

27,872

 

28,181

 

28,203

 

28,235

 

28,234

 

29,092

 

29,093

 

29,093

 

2003

 

1,794

 

10,900

 

19,511

 

27,293

 

30,857

 

32,394

 

33,895

 

34,544

 

34,688

 

34,727

 

34,730

 

34,861

 

34,866

 

 

 

2004

 

6,380

 

35,198

 

56,633

 

66,651

 

73,205

 

76,274

 

76,888

 

77,455

 

77,918

 

78,111

 

78,152

 

78,232

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

6,530

 

42,270

 

55,946

 

62,562

 

74,674

 

78,294

 

79,107

 

80,149

 

81,413

 

81,500

 

79,839

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

3,793

 

17,679

 

23,689

 

27,465

 

29,525

 

29,862

 

29,924

 

29,785

 

29,862

 

29,869

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

717

 

8,668

 

12,738

 

14,733

 

15,753

 

19,398

 

19,896

 

19,985

 

19,999

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

3,973

 

11,217

 

12,987

 

16,028

 

16,557

 

16,655

 

17,156

 

17,201

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

4,664

 

12,112

 

18,692

 

21,638

 

23,043

 

23,203

 

23,369

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

5,933

 

20,316

 

29,677

 

32,873

 

34,606

 

35,101

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

4,047

 

22,318

 

31,785

 

36,652

 

37,879

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

6,117

 

29,694

 

39,881

 

44,856

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

5,155

 

40,669

 

61,169

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

10,870

 

42,117

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

9,689

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

3,082

 

17,552

 

26,709

 

27,669

 

28,277

 

28,445

 

28,219

 

28,346

 

28,237

 

28,275

 

28,250

 

29,095

 

29,094

 

29,099

 

2003

 

6,306

 

20,389

 

27,305

 

34,491

 

35,046

 

35,509

 

36,485

 

35,850

 

35,279

 

34,880

 

34,905

 

34,873

 

34,888

 

 

 

2004

 

20,077

 

68,874

 

78,988

 

79,108

 

78,265

 

78,647

 

78,381

 

78,382

 

78,740

 

78,583

 

78,621

 

78,283

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

29,974

 

67,514

 

75,182

 

79,776

 

79,485

 

79,856

 

80,186

 

81,388

 

82,428

 

82,225

 

80,288

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

9,306

 

23,650

 

30,427

 

30,524

 

30,084

 

30,372

 

30,250

 

30,110

 

29,945

 

29,942

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3,040

 

23,118

 

24,835

 

23,916

 

23,652

 

20,075

 

20,199

 

20,328

 

20,328

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

9,989

 

15,878

 

16,563

 

17,651

 

17,503

 

17,282

 

17,526

 

17,391

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

10,744

 

19,422

 

21,629

 

22,955

 

23,360

 

23,754

 

23,645

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

13,780

 

34,368

 

37,260

 

36,535

 

36,563

 

36,619

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

15,878

 

37,729

 

41,068

 

39,798

 

39,779

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

20,884

 

44,484

 

50,382

 

51,670

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

21,452

 

64,105

 

68,567

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

27,711

 

64,767

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

32,214

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

11

%

27

%

42

%

43

%

44

%

44

%

44

%

44

%

44

%

44

%

44

%

45

%

45

%

45

%

2003

 

12

%

30

%

39

%

49

%

51

%

54

%

55

%

54

%

53

%

53

%

53

%

53

%

53

%

 

 

2004

 

26

%

94

%

110

%

110

%

104

%

105

%

104

%

104

%

105

%

105

%

105

%

104

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

44

%

89

%

101

%

107

%

107

%

107

%

108

%

109

%

111

%

110

%

108

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

20

%

35

%

45

%

45

%

45

%

45

%

45

%

45

%

44

%

44

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

13

%

57

%

60

%

57

%

57

%

48

%

48

%

49

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

46

%

50

%

53

%

56

%

55

%

54

%

55

%

55

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

47

%

56

%

61

%

65

%

66

%

67

%

67

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

40

%

70

%

74

%

73

%

73

%

73

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

36

%

54

%

59

%

57

%

57

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

36

%

51

%

56

%

58

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

30

%

58

%

61

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

33

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

41

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

64,246

 

29,093

 

6

 

29,099

 

3

 

29,102

 

45.3

%

9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

66,185

 

34,866

 

22

 

34,888

 

12

 

34,900

 

52.7

%

34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

75,097

 

78,232

 

50

 

78,283

 

49

 

78,332

 

104.3

%

100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

74,579

 

79,839

 

449

 

80,288

 

366

 

80,654

 

108.1

%

815

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

67,502

 

29,869

 

74

 

29,942

 

59

 

30,001

 

44.4

%

133

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

41,845

 

19,999

 

330

 

20,328

 

180

 

20,508

 

49.0

%

510

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

31,760

 

17,201

 

190

 

17,391

 

91

 

17,482

 

55.0

%

281

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

35,343

 

23,369

 

276

 

23,645

 

157

 

23,802

 

67.3

%

433

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

50,432

 

35,101

 

1,519

 

36,619

 

1,099

 

37,718

 

74.8

%

2,618

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

69,623

 

37,879

 

1,899

 

39,779

 

1,467

 

41,246

 

59.2

%

3,367

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

89,856

 

44,856

 

6,814

 

51,670

 

2,821

 

54,491

 

60.6

%

9,635

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

111,552

 

61,169

 

7,398

 

68,567

 

10,311

 

78,878

 

70.7

%

17,709

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

131,428

 

42,117

 

22,650

 

64,767

 

15,355

 

80,123

 

61.0

%

38,005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

78,561

 

9,689

 

22,524

 

32,214

 

35,784

 

67,998

 

86.6

%

58,308

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

988,007

 

543,280

 

64,200

 

607,480

 

67,755

 

675,235

 

68.3

%

131,956

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

General Casualty Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

329

 

3,688

 

7,670

 

10,682

 

13,471

 

15,290

 

16,500

 

17,685

 

18,347

 

18,481

 

18,814

 

18,880

 

18,770

 

18,838

 

2003

 

705

 

3,063

 

5,962

 

11,466

 

21,916

 

26,087

 

27,838

 

30,357

 

32,877

 

35,385

 

36,800

 

37,497

 

37,888

 

 

 

2004

 

648

 

1,088

 

6,331

 

11,850

 

21,718

 

28,466

 

37,451

 

40,561

 

44,091

 

45,848

 

48,522

 

50,357

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

119

 

1,584

 

9,500

 

19,705

 

31,410

 

41,416

 

50,092

 

57,041

 

59,700

 

61,398

 

62,981

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

944

 

6,183

 

20,496

 

34,829

 

43,542

 

51,219

 

56,562

 

63,383

 

67,263

 

68,375

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3

 

3,135

 

10,113

 

26,839

 

39,243

 

49,828

 

59,483

 

64,482

 

68,737

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

29

 

1,468

 

13,077

 

22,515

 

34,675

 

49,334

 

63,918

 

67,237

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

460

 

4,842

 

16,498

 

27,254

 

44,857

 

54,216

 

62,013

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

474

 

24,314

 

44,312

 

61,016

 

78,894

 

92,055

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

805

 

11,071

 

32,168

 

47,822

 

80,659

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

842

 

10,435

 

22,198

 

46,894

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

75

 

1,582

 

8,992

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

(110

)

1,877

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

(120

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

346

 

5,531

 

10,970

 

18,737

 

19,011

 

19,864

 

20,694

 

19,214

 

19,906

 

19,931

 

19,860

 

19,869

 

19,871

 

19,821

 

2003

 

1,588

 

8,176

 

11,853

 

21,884

 

28,983

 

29,495

 

32,262

 

33,460

 

36,363

 

37,525

 

38,890

 

40,070

 

40,625

 

 

 

2004

 

1,357

 

9,066

 

14,254

 

23,012

 

36,152

 

44,510

 

45,306

 

48,467

 

53,339

 

55,342

 

59,751

 

62,016

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

2,055

 

11,283

 

23,806

 

34,636

 

44,890

 

51,272

 

55,714

 

63,185

 

63,357

 

64,889

 

65,470

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

2,623

 

20,000

 

38,130

 

50,831

 

56,623

 

63,541

 

66,404

 

70,525

 

71,275

 

72,178

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

941

 

9,690

 

34,772

 

47,073

 

57,898

 

67,883

 

69,365

 

70,737

 

76,163

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

1,559

 

13,540

 

37,453

 

48,159

 

61,639

 

71,716

 

77,206

 

74,489

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1,256

 

20,052

 

37,081

 

55,522

 

60,445

 

62,755

 

67,585

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

10,371

 

43,750

 

65,948

 

88,937

 

105,311

 

112,077

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

2,720

 

20,858

 

59,482

 

86,234

 

112,280

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

2,862

 

32,477

 

53,674

 

82,544

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

2,305

 

9,922

 

24,546

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

1,261

 

11,243

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

3,780

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

4

%

18

%

33

%

56

%

57

%

59

%

62

%

57

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

2003

 

3

%

9

%

12

%

22

%

29

%

29

%

32

%

33

%

36

%

37

%

39

%

40

%

40

%

 

 

2004

 

2

%

8

%

11

%

19

%

29

%

36

%

37

%

40

%

43

%

45

%

49

%

51

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

2

%

8

%

15

%

22

%

29

%

33

%

36

%

40

%

40

%

41

%

42

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

6

%

16

%

29

%

39

%

44

%

49

%

51

%

54

%

55

%

55

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

2

%

7

%

25

%

33

%

40

%

48

%

48

%

49

%

53

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

4

%

11

%

29

%

37

%

47

%

55

%

59

%

57

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

2

%

13

%

24

%

36

%

39

%

40

%

43

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

18

%

29

%

38

%

50

%

60

%

63

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

5

%

12

%

28

%

40

%

52

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

5

%

21

%

31

%

47

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

4

%

6

%

14

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

2

%

8

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

33,674

 

18,838

 

983

 

19,821

 

895

 

20,716

 

61.5

%

1,878

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

100,666

 

37,888

 

2,737

 

40,625

 

3,946

 

44,571

 

44.3

%

6,683

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

122,804

 

50,357

 

11,659

 

62,016

 

6,545

 

68,561

 

55.8

%

18,204

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

156,591

 

62,981

 

2,488

 

65,470

 

8,445

 

73,914

 

47.2

%

10,933

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

130,499

 

68,375

 

3,803

 

72,178

 

9,914

 

82,092

 

62.9

%

13,717

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

143,407

 

68,737

 

7,425

 

76,163

 

12,682

 

88,845

 

62.0

%

20,108

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

131,509

 

67,237

 

7,252

 

74,489

 

16,188

 

90,677

 

69.0

%

23,440

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

156,512

 

62,013

 

5,572

 

67,585

 

25,578

 

93,162

 

59.5

%

31,150

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

176,883

 

92,055

 

20,022

 

112,077

 

35,285

 

147,362

 

83.3

%

55,307

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

213,867

 

80,659

 

31,621

 

112,280

 

53,389

 

165,669

 

77.5

%

85,010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

174,798

 

46,894

 

35,650

 

82,544

 

60,312

 

142,856

 

81.7

%

95,962

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

181,598

 

8,992

 

15,554

 

24,546

 

101,211

 

125,757

 

69.2

%

116,765

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

138,876

 

1,877

 

9,366

 

11,243

 

85,627

 

96,870

 

69.8

%

94,993

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

43,756

 

(120

)

3,900

 

3,780

 

27,603

 

31,383

 

71.7

%

31,503

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,905,442

 

666,783

 

158,033

 

824,816

 

447,621

 

1,272,437

 

66.8

%

605,654

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

32



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Professional Liability Lines Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

915

 

1,676

 

4,405

 

10,898

 

12,884

 

14,202

 

15,561

 

16,061

 

16,838

 

16,776

 

17,687

 

18,171

 

18,171

 

2003

 

0

 

191

 

1,274

 

3,207

 

12,429

 

16,125

 

21,385

 

24,308

 

26,798

 

27,514

 

28,948

 

29,171

 

29,178

 

 

 

2004

 

9

 

345

 

5,373

 

10,445

 

19,634

 

24,920

 

31,103

 

32,512

 

34,241

 

36,816

 

37,907

 

38,336

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

8

 

786

 

6,852

 

22,841

 

34,827

 

42,900

 

48,475

 

51,477

 

57,077

 

63,133

 

68,342

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

1

 

711

 

7,112

 

20,254

 

32,692

 

45,159

 

50,719

 

58,489

 

65,385

 

69,666

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

5

 

1,263

 

11,453

 

41,443

 

68,496

 

100,132

 

122,355

 

137,600

 

151,473

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

37

 

1,632

 

9,445

 

23,652

 

44,426

 

54,163

 

68,333

 

80,768

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

17

 

1,675

 

6,595

 

15,484

 

23,175

 

29,499

 

37,631

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

68

 

2,179

 

8,870

 

14,651

 

21,579

 

27,859

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

19

 

620

 

3,943

 

7,703

 

15,263

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

32

 

975

 

4,281

 

8,436

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

69

 

1,557

 

6,598

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

13

 

843

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

16

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

 

3,594

 

12,221

 

21,012

 

22,717

 

22,060

 

22,297

 

21,292

 

19,469

 

19,553

 

18,660

 

18,524

 

18,374

 

18,284

 

2003

 

65

 

1,599

 

13,961

 

20,992

 

29,038

 

29,173

 

33,065

 

32,991

 

34,673

 

34,042

 

34,035

 

33,106

 

32,600

 

 

 

2004

 

818

 

7,863

 

20,102

 

33,441

 

36,042

 

35,729

 

42,846

 

41,468

 

41,678

 

40,904

 

41,478

 

41,303

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

455

 

6,030

 

22,443

 

46,011

 

50,422

 

54,558

 

60,045

 

67,586

 

70,208

 

73,481

 

74,265

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

71

 

7,219

 

26,724

 

49,999

 

59,704

 

65,386

 

72,804

 

82,405

 

77,608

 

79,419

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

207

 

17,423

 

74,240

 

117,190

 

132,576

 

136,748

 

160,217

 

168,767

 

177,788

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

2,659

 

13,893

 

35,866

 

57,744

 

75,391

 

81,166

 

98,846

 

106,262

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

228

 

5,874

 

16,214

 

28,346

 

35,362

 

42,224

 

46,967

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

546

 

5,328

 

14,096

 

24,452

 

32,641

 

37,107

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

165

 

2,976

 

7,303

 

14,639

 

25,467

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

394

 

4,681

 

8,065

 

13,302

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

612

 

7,158

 

12,950

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

201

 

4,373

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

98

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

0

%

8

%

26

%

46

%

49

%

48

%

48

%

46

%

42

%

42

%

40

%

40

%

39

%

39

%

2003

 

0

%

2

%

15

%

22

%

29

%

29

%

33

%

33

%

35

%

34

%

34

%

33

%

33

%

 

 

2004

 

1

%

7

%

17

%

28

%

30

%

30

%

36

%

35

%

35

%

34

%

35

%

35

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

0

%

3

%

11

%

22

%

25

%

27

%

29

%

33

%

34

%

36

%

36

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

0

%

4

%

14

%

26

%

31

%

34

%

38

%

43

%

40

%

41

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

0

%

9

%

35

%

55

%

62

%

64

%

75

%

79

%

83

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

4

%

8

%

19

%

30

%

40

%

43

%

52

%

56

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1

%

5

%

12

%

21

%

26

%

31

%

35

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

2

%

5

%

13

%

22

%

29

%

33

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

1

%

4

%

9

%

17

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

2

%

7

%

11

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

2

%

11

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

1

%

6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

46,832

 

18,171

 

113

 

18,284

 

1,574

 

19,858

 

42.4

%

1,687

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

99,806

 

29,178

 

3,423

 

32,600

 

3,502

 

36,102

 

36.2

%

6,925

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

119,156

 

38,336

 

2,967

 

41,303

 

5,461

 

46,764

 

39.2

%

8,428

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

204,393

 

68,342

 

5,923

 

74,265

 

13,016

 

87,281

 

42.7

%

18,939

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

193,375

 

69,666

 

9,753

 

79,419

 

13,343

 

92,762

 

48.0

%

23,096

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

214,022

 

151,473

 

26,315

 

177,788

 

20,510

 

198,298

 

92.7

%

46,825

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

190,067

 

80,768

 

25,494

 

106,262

 

23,114

 

129,376

 

68.1

%

48,608

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

134,776

 

37,631

 

9,335

 

46,967

 

27,561

 

74,527

 

55.3

%

36,896

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

111,129

 

27,859

 

9,248

 

37,107

 

33,411

 

70,518

 

63.5

%

42,659

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

83,803

 

15,263

 

10,204

 

25,467

 

29,598

 

55,065

 

65.7

%

39,802

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

74,963

 

8,436

 

4,866

 

13,302

 

34,887

 

48,189

 

64.3

%

39,753

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

70,068

 

6,598

 

6,352

 

12,950

 

30,872

 

43,822

 

62.5

%

37,224

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

75,410

 

843

 

3,530

 

4,373

 

44,399

 

48,772

 

64.7

%

47,929

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

14,538

 

16

 

82

 

98

 

9,623

 

9,722

 

66.9

%

9,705

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,632,339

 

552,580

 

117,605

 

670,186

 

290,871

 

961,056

 

58.9

%

408,476

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

33



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Specialty Lines Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

52

 

1,225

 

2,576

 

3,222

 

3,687

 

4,081

 

4,191

 

4,439

 

4,466

 

4,475

 

4,484

 

4,491

 

4,505

 

4,509

 

2003

 

15

 

911

 

2,398

 

3,399

 

4,519

 

4,767

 

4,994

 

5,053

 

5,121

 

5,193

 

5,224

 

5,312

 

5,317

 

 

 

2004

 

28

 

4,725

 

8,452

 

11,464

 

12,012

 

12,788

 

13,193

 

13,900

 

13,966

 

13,950

 

13,994

 

14,064

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

162

 

5,261

 

11,664

 

17,420

 

19,990

 

21,405

 

22,123

 

22,281

 

22,650

 

23,144

 

23,178

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

68

 

2,821

 

5,666

 

6,934

 

7,793

 

8,329

 

8,560

 

8,714

 

8,866

 

8,898

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

279

 

4,098

 

7,242

 

8,936

 

10,047

 

10,686

 

11,036

 

11,269

 

11,307

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

534

 

4,231

 

8,153

 

10,516

 

12,609

 

13,831

 

14,617

 

14,801

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

121

 

2,196

 

4,283

 

6,338

 

6,635

 

6,962

 

7,045

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

73

 

1,341

 

4,422

 

5,401

 

6,196

 

6,598

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

2,364

 

11,911

 

21,269

 

27,966

 

30,582

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

28,387

 

105,205

 

116,495

 

120,877

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

1,123

 

71,855

 

89,202

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

13,492

 

103,124

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

3,634

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

270

 

3,065

 

4,472

 

4,580

 

4,963

 

4,700

 

4,691

 

4,629

 

4,623

 

4,609

 

4,587

 

4,591

 

4,583

 

4,582

 

2003

 

54

 

913

 

2,665

 

4,981

 

5,374

 

5,280

 

5,373

 

5,316

 

5,349

 

5,440

 

5,496

 

5,468

 

5,450

 

 

 

2004

 

58

 

9,520

 

12,888

 

14,833

 

14,317

 

14,489

 

14,614

 

14,481

 

14,429

 

14,252

 

14,246

 

14,233

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

58

 

12,762

 

19,610

 

21,176

 

22,019

 

22,747

 

24,656

 

24,583

 

24,853

 

23,577

 

23,589

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

69

 

6,022

 

7,949

 

8,880

 

9,035

 

9,226

 

9,256

 

9,185

 

9,162

 

9,131

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

841

 

7,432

 

11,012

 

11,912

 

11,871

 

11,849

 

11,925

 

11,826

 

11,762

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

1,072

 

12,929

 

15,978

 

14,912

 

15,238

 

15,256

 

15,631

 

15,496

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

326

 

3,799

 

6,911

 

7,929

 

7,684

 

7,594

 

7,614

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

237

 

8,968

 

10,997

 

7,008

 

7,278

 

7,214

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

4,667

 

19,175

 

27,046

 

34,168

 

34,328

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

37,939

 

115,884

 

123,568

 

128,583

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

6,893

 

77,735

 

96,003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

16,641

 

111,077

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

7,126

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

168

 

2002

 

8

%

27

%

39

%

38

%

41

%

39

%

39

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

2003

 

1

%

7

%

13

%

25

%

27

%

26

%

27

%

26

%

27

%

27

%

27

%

27

%

27

%

 

 

2004

 

0

%

36

%

38

%

45

%

43

%

44

%

44

%

43

%

43

%

42

%

42

%

43

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

0

%

41

%

54

%

58

%

60

%

62

%

67

%

66

%

67

%

64

%

64

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

0

%

20

%

25

%

29

%

29

%

30

%

30

%

30

%

29

%

29

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

4

%

20

%

28

%

30

%

30

%

30

%

31

%

30

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

5

%

39

%

47

%

44

%

45

%

45

%

46

%

46

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

2

%

12

%

21

%

24

%

24

%

23

%

23

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

1

%

23

%

28

%

18

%

19

%

19

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

11

%

27

%

36

%

45

%

45

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

34

%

80

%

84

%

88

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

4

%

40

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

11

%

57

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

12,191

 

4,509

 

72

 

4,582

 

18

 

4,600

 

37.7

%

90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

20,150

 

5,317

 

133

 

5,450

 

55

 

5,506

 

27.3

%

188

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

33,465

 

14,064

 

169

 

14,233

 

109

 

14,342

 

42.9

%

278

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

36,994

 

23,178

 

411

 

23,589

 

266

 

23,855

 

64.5

%

677

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

31,134

 

8,898

 

233

 

9,131

 

315

 

9,446

 

30.3

%

548

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

39,029

 

11,307

 

455

 

11,762

 

448

 

12,210

 

31.3

%

903

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

33,975

 

14,801

 

695

 

15,496

 

691

 

16,188

 

47.6

%

1,386

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

32,704

 

7,045

 

569

 

7,614

 

643

 

8,257

 

25.2

%

1,212

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

38,951

 

6,598

 

616

 

7,214

 

1,740

 

8,954

 

23.0

%

2,356

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

76,081

 

30,582

 

3,746

 

34,328

 

4,591

 

38,919

 

51.2

%

8,337

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

146,273

 

120,877

 

7,706

 

128,583

 

5,792

 

134,374

 

91.9

%

13,498

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

196,408

 

89,202

 

6,802

 

96,003

 

11,870

 

107,873

 

54.9

%

18,672

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

193,366

 

103,124

 

7,952

 

111,077

 

25,339

 

136,416

 

70.5

%

33,292

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

165,034

 

3,634

 

3,492

 

7,126

 

112,540

 

119,666

 

72.5

%

116,032

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,055,752

 

443,136

 

33,051

 

476,187

 

164,418

 

640,605

 

60.7

%

197,468

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

34



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary

 

Premium

 

Cal/Acc

 

Property

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Healthcare

 

Specialty Lines

 

Asian Operations

 

Year

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

2002

 

376,526

 

196,237

 

166,995

 

88,051

 

141,612

 

59,558

 

73,076

 

39,904

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

554,735

 

483,719

 

305,812

 

257,017

 

301,271

 

237,656

 

95,630

 

76,140

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

547,959

 

565,327

 

352,392

 

332,389

 

358,020

 

321,801

 

142,160

 

120,800

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

412,879

 

476,481

 

289,364

 

297,511

 

372,460

 

352,174

 

137,074

 

136,577

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

463,900

 

441,138

 

276,940

 

275,405

 

434,999

 

395,104

 

156,698

 

150,401

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

391,018

 

423,468

 

252,902

 

264,680

 

452,245

 

431,009

 

153,567

 

147,720

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

327,491

 

357,588

 

235,939

 

243,673

 

498,544

 

457,068

 

184,055

 

170,600

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

243,386

 

272,980

 

286,892

 

264,961

 

489,822

 

506,068

 

210,473

 

197,273

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

226,751

 

235,337

 

309,689

 

288,877

 

467,161

 

475,071

 

228,810

 

222,171

 

1,874

 

153

 

 

 

2011

 

249,130

 

228,168

 

375,493

 

330,615

 

497,587

 

475,741

 

235,559

 

228,445

 

11,286

 

3,132

 

 

 

2012

 

278,357

 

264,979

 

467,288

 

405,906

 

557,944

 

523,397

 

234,339

 

238,007

 

31,065

 

13,764

 

 

 

2013

 

305,166

 

289,523

 

628,048

 

539,076

 

587,109

 

568,033

 

220,249

 

234,000

 

64,325

 

33,696

 

 

 

2014

 

333,677

 

315,217

 

745,852

 

655,564

 

623,273

 

585,137

 

202,714

 

205,536

 

91,291

 

73,707

 

 

 

2015

 

334,180

 

330,956

 

836,935

 

787,259

 

661,576

 

657,896

 

163,432

 

180,511

 

113,358

 

92,551

 

182,135

 

206,079

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

5,045,154

 

4,881,118

 

5,530,542

 

5,030,983

 

6,443,625

 

6,045,712

 

2,437,835

 

2,348,083

 

313,198

 

217,004

 

182,135

 

206,079

 

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Property

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Healthcare

 

Specialty Lines

 

Asian Operations

 

Year

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

2002

 

56,709

 

56,709

 

48,104

 

55,948

 

62,604

 

62,740

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

221,825

 

222,493

 

58,518

 

58,518

 

53,291

 

67,565

 

24,253

 

24,253

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

408,790

 

409,191

 

49,065

 

57,440

 

48,794

 

53,869

 

17,115

 

17,115

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

828,309

 

828,589

 

121,963

 

138,062

 

66,952

 

102,099

 

15,037

 

15,088

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

216,058

 

217,415

 

110,471

 

110,494

 

193,541

 

194,987

 

22,482

 

26,865

 

 

 

48,780

 

49,017

 

2007

 

215,002

 

219,559

 

33,871

 

36,301

 

143,410

 

176,722

 

43,306

 

43,922

 

 

 

66,540

 

67,164

 

2008

 

319,800

 

319,882

 

121,446

 

122,533

 

241,210

 

264,896

 

43,490

 

47,031

 

 

 

64,886

 

65,667

 

2009

 

80,122

 

81,130

 

78,367

 

82,013

 

138,955

 

164,429

 

108,255

 

112,353

 

 

 

73,667

 

76,326

 

2010

 

214,366

 

216,345

 

161,520

 

177,221

 

130,212

 

163,323

 

85,166

 

93,921

 

 

 

67,094

 

71,048

 

2011

 

235,153

 

241,570

 

162,266

 

171,834

 

214,727

 

238,910

 

117,577

 

139,605

 

1

 

1

 

125,294

 

135,350

 

2012

 

194,558

 

199,051

 

134,238

 

179,476

 

221,047

 

317,095

 

80,110

 

122,157

 

3,172

 

3,172

 

100,936

 

116,508

 

2013

 

97,849

 

105,536

 

94,969

 

135,867

 

111,192

 

158,248

 

88,284

 

122,612

 

25,104

 

27,685

 

97,612

 

140,751

 

2014

 

112,313

 

149,927

 

86,552

 

140,662

 

88,784

 

131,614

 

12,043

 

26,124

 

56,929

 

71,924

 

73,501

 

150,398

 

2015

 

73,937

 

162,016

 

24,189

 

56,140

 

13,847

 

37,110

 

1,221

 

9,330

 

18,432

 

41,147

 

27,638

 

114,205

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

3,274,791

 

3,429,413

 

1,285,538

 

1,522,508

 

1,728,568

 

2,133,609

 

666,366

 

808,403

 

103,637

 

143,929

 

745,948

 

986,436

 

 

35



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary

 

Premium

 

Cal/Acc

 

Property

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Healthcare

 

Specialty Lines

 

Asian Operations

 

Year

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

2002

 

300,021

 

171,696

 

166,995

 

88,051

 

141,612

 

59,558

 

73,076

 

39,904

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

383,345

 

356,275

 

260,049

 

233,589

 

287,807

 

232,141

 

93,126

 

75,002

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

308,623

 

333,170

 

283,611

 

271,204

 

330,125

 

304,598

 

126,731

 

114,883

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

170,895

 

226,828

 

227,791

 

236,235

 

323,624

 

327,118

 

106,857

 

118,565

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

193,652

 

190,783

 

209,939

 

214,002

 

363,937

 

344,329

 

124,109

 

124,024

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

176,420

 

180,460

 

173,100

 

192,099

 

346,655

 

349,449

 

120,773

 

117,774

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

169,889

 

173,790

 

150,779

 

162,754

 

386,010

 

343,474

 

149,237

 

131,228

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

123,178

 

142,962

 

196,214

 

172,311

 

371,458

 

386,508

 

165,143

 

150,491

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

134,465

 

129,734

 

205,860

 

193,929

 

351,408

 

355,205

 

176,539

 

169,302

 

1,874

 

153

 

 

 

2011

 

164,417

 

142,243

 

253,209

 

220,139

 

359,821

 

351,111

 

178,860

 

173,039

 

7,983

 

2,478

 

 

 

2012

 

207,063

 

188,204

 

309,644

 

270,124

 

379,394

 

366,967

 

173,187

 

175,742

 

20,487

 

9,472

 

 

 

2013

 

201,461

 

198,821

 

411,478

 

357,511

 

406,251

 

391,645

 

165,312

 

173,618

 

42,941

 

24,246

 

 

 

2014

 

206,521

 

200,906

 

528,544

 

446,852

 

473,943

 

419,098

 

153,833

 

158,205

 

55,993

 

47,673

 

 

 

2015

 

195,552

 

202,736

 

614,400

 

577,075

 

557,590

 

528,712

 

118,523

 

137,088

 

74,811

 

60,933

 

121,330

 

160,952

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

2,935,501

 

2,838,609

 

3,991,613

 

3,635,876

 

5,079,637

 

4,759,913

 

1,925,308

 

1,858,865

 

204,090

 

144,956

 

121,330

 

160,952

 

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Property

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Healthcare

 

Specialty Lines

 

Asian Operations

 

Year

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

2002

 

49,071

 

49,071

 

48,104

 

55,948

 

62,604

 

62,740

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

179,408

 

179,635

 

58,461

 

58,461

 

51,779

 

66,053

 

24,253

 

24,253

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

301,686

 

301,825

 

46,003

 

54,047

 

48,753

 

53,828

 

17,104

 

17,104

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

358,472

 

358,571

 

97,165

 

113,264

 

63,619

 

98,764

 

13,447

 

13,498

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

98,621

 

99,738

 

74,341

 

74,359

 

170,219

 

171,403

 

16,954

 

21,337

 

 

 

31,757

 

31,963

 

2007

 

101,753

 

106,131

 

28,317

 

30,716

 

124,537

 

151,246

 

36,705

 

37,306

 

 

 

50,615

 

47,364

 

2008

 

186,331

 

186,081

 

78,887

 

79,830

 

191,611

 

208,158

 

37,696

 

39,609

 

 

 

43,755

 

44,155

 

2009

 

54,405

 

55,152

 

58,105

 

59,375

 

123,911

 

146,265

 

80,258

 

84,294

 

 

 

44,498

 

45,110

 

2010

 

148,427

 

149,563

 

105,997

 

116,026

 

120,741

 

145,951

 

74,041

 

82,401

 

 

 

49,333

 

51,970

 

2011

 

169,427

 

174,052

 

113,332

 

122,719

 

181,956

 

200,787

 

98,366

 

117,799

 

1

 

1

 

72,641

 

79,827

 

2012

 

153,044

 

156,537

 

112,881

 

150,327

 

180,281

 

253,628

 

61,599

 

92,926

 

1,998

 

2,027

 

78,910

 

90,749

 

2013

 

79,478

 

85,383

 

84,333

 

119,592

 

108,156

 

148,771

 

61,265

 

90,164

 

17,067

 

18,638

 

70,518

 

104,889

 

2014

 

86,228

 

112,712

 

74,776

 

121,306

 

78,142

 

117,013

 

11,793

 

25,499

 

34,232

 

44,486

 

60,915

 

123,577

 

2015

 

55,528

 

111,974

 

21,702

 

52,157

 

13,325

 

35,989

 

1,198

 

8,980

 

13,123

 

27,582

 

23,468

 

95,842

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

2,021,879

 

2,126,425

 

1,002,402

 

1,208,127

 

1,519,636

 

1,860,596

 

542,706

 

663,196

 

66,422

 

92,733

 

526,409

 

715,447

 

 

36



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary

 

Premium

 

Treaty

 

Property Catastrophe

 

Property Per Risk

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Specialty Lines

 

Year

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

2002

 

41,285

 

41,285

 

64,246

 

64,246

 

33,674

 

33,674

 

46,832

 

46,832

 

12,191

 

12,191

 

2003

 

61,251

 

61,251

 

66,185

 

66,185

 

100,666

 

100,666

 

99,806

 

99,806

 

20,150

 

20,150

 

2004

 

68,026

 

68,026

 

75,097

 

75,097

 

122,804

 

122,804

 

119,156

 

119,156

 

38,251

 

38,251

 

2005

 

82,969

 

82,969

 

77,039

 

77,039

 

156,722

 

156,722

 

204,393

 

204,393

 

41,190

 

41,190

 

2006

 

67,244

 

67,244

 

67,928

 

67,928

 

130,679

 

130,679

 

193,375

 

193,375

 

31,134

 

31,134

 

2007

 

72,659

 

72,659

 

41,845

 

41,845

 

143,668

 

143,668

 

214,022

 

214,022

 

39,029

 

39,029

 

2008

 

67,074

 

67,074

 

33,092

 

33,092

 

131,947

 

131,947

 

190,067

 

190,067

 

33,975

 

33,975

 

2009

 

82,896

 

82,896

 

35,343

 

35,343

 

156,783

 

156,783

 

134,776

 

134,776

 

32,704

 

32,704

 

2010

 

136,364

 

136,364

 

50,432

 

50,432

 

177,408

 

177,408

 

111,129

 

111,129

 

39,487

 

39,487

 

2011

 

198,861

 

198,861

 

69,623

 

69,623

 

213,853

 

213,867

 

83,803

 

83,803

 

77,872

 

77,872

 

2012

 

254,544

 

254,544

 

103,612

 

103,612

 

174,878

 

174,798

 

74,963

 

74,963

 

148,151

 

148,151

 

2013

 

331,472

 

331,064

 

125,818

 

125,818

 

182,223

 

182,127

 

70,068

 

70,068

 

198,000

 

198,000

 

2014

 

330,578

 

326,146

 

145,127

 

141,402

 

151,922

 

139,936

 

86,389

 

75,410

 

200,104

 

196,573

 

2015

 

285,242

 

225,351

 

121,770

 

78,670

 

125,036

 

44,263

 

61,577

 

14,538

 

193,321

 

166,208

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

2,080,468

 

2,015,736

 

1,077,157

 

1,030,332

 

2,002,266

 

1,909,343

 

1,690,356

 

1,632,339

 

1,105,557

 

1,074,913

 

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Property Catastrophe

 

Property Per Risk

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Specialty Lines

 

Year

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

2002

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

29,093

 

29,099

 

18,838

 

19,821

 

18,171

 

18,284

 

4,509

 

4,582

 

2003

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

34,866

 

34,888

 

37,888

 

40,625

 

29,178

 

32,600

 

5,317

 

5,450

 

2004

 

61,815

 

61,815

 

78,232

 

78,283

 

50,357

 

62,016

 

38,336

 

41,303

 

15,572

 

15,741

 

2005

 

154,049

 

154,074

 

86,777

 

87,226

 

62,981

 

65,470

 

68,342

 

74,265

 

23,803

 

24,214

 

2006

 

9,917

 

10,096

 

29,869

 

29,942

 

68,375

 

72,178

 

69,666

 

79,419

 

8,898

 

9,131

 

2007

 

12,644

 

12,644

 

19,999

 

20,328

 

68,737

 

76,163

 

151,473

 

177,788

 

11,307

 

11,762

 

2008

 

33,722

 

33,733

 

17,201

 

17,391

 

67,237

 

74,489

 

80,768

 

106,262

 

14,801

 

15,496

 

2009

 

4,834

 

5,058

 

23,369

 

23,645

 

62,013

 

67,585

 

37,631

 

46,967

 

7,045

 

7,614

 

2010

 

99,303

 

103,368

 

35,101

 

36,619

 

92,055

 

112,077

 

27,859

 

37,107

 

6,598

 

7,214

 

2011

 

123,346

 

124,389

 

37,879

 

39,779

 

80,659

 

112,280

 

15,263

 

25,467

 

31,146

 

34,891

 

2012

 

80,421

 

83,746

 

52,681

 

60,148

 

46,894

 

82,544

 

8,436

 

13,302

 

121,405

 

129,111

 

2013

 

64,536

 

71,553

 

69,516

 

78,286

 

8,992

 

24,546

 

6,598

 

12,950

 

89,202

 

96,003

 

2014

 

86,011

 

105,010

 

45,378

 

69,432

 

1,877

 

11,243

 

843

 

4,373

 

103,124

 

111,077

 

2015

 

6,524

 

34,481

 

9,689

 

32,214

 

(120

)

3,780

 

16

 

98

 

3,634

 

7,126

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

748,695

 

811,540

 

569,650

 

637,281

 

666,783

 

824,816

 

552,580

 

670,186

 

446,361

 

479,412

 

 

37



 

 

Year-End 2015 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary

 

Premium

 

Treaty

 

Property Catastrophe

 

Property Per Risk

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Specialty Lines

 

Year

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

2002

 

41,285

 

41,285

 

64,246

 

64,246

 

33,674

 

33,674

 

46,832

 

46,832

 

12,191

 

12,191

 

2003

 

61,251

 

61,251

 

66,185

 

66,185

 

100,666

 

100,666

 

99,806

 

99,806

 

20,150

 

20,150

 

2004

 

59,976

 

59,976

 

75,097

 

75,097

 

122,804

 

122,804

 

119,156

 

119,156

 

33,465

 

33,465

 

2005

 

69,029

 

69,029

 

74,579

 

74,579

 

156,591

 

156,591

 

204,393

 

204,393

 

36,994

 

36,994

 

2006

 

66,180

 

66,180

 

67,502

 

67,502

 

130,499

 

130,499

 

193,375

 

193,375

 

31,134

 

31,134

 

2007

 

72,592

 

72,592

 

41,845

 

41,845

 

143,407

 

143,407

 

214,022

 

214,022

 

39,029

 

39,029

 

2008

 

66,993

 

66,993

 

31,760

 

31,760

 

131,509

 

131,509

 

190,067

 

190,067

 

33,975

 

33,975

 

2009

 

82,816

 

82,816

 

35,343

 

35,343

 

156,512

 

156,512

 

134,776

 

134,776

 

32,704

 

32,704

 

2010

 

136,347

 

136,347

 

50,432

 

50,432

 

176,883

 

176,883

 

111,129

 

111,129

 

38,951

 

38,951

 

2011

 

198,859

 

198,859

 

69,623

 

69,623

 

213,853

 

213,867

 

83,803

 

83,803

 

76,081

 

76,081

 

2012

 

254,542

 

254,542

 

89,856

 

89,856

 

174,878

 

174,798

 

74,963

 

74,963

 

146,273

 

146,273

 

2013

 

304,897

 

304,488

 

111,552

 

111,552

 

181,695

 

181,598

 

70,068

 

70,068

 

196,408

 

196,408

 

2014

 

314,324

 

309,892

 

133,737

 

131,428

 

150,863

 

138,876

 

86,389

 

75,410

 

196,896

 

193,366

 

2015

 

255,117

 

198,810

 

121,590

 

78,561

 

124,351

 

43,756

 

61,577

 

14,538

 

190,913

 

165,034

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,984,209

 

1,923,061

 

1,033,346

 

988,007

 

1,998,186

 

1,905,442

 

1,690,356

 

1,632,339

 

1,085,162

 

1,055,752

 

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Property Catastrophe

 

Property Per Risk

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Specialty Lines

 

Year

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

2002

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

29,093

 

29,099

 

18,838

 

19,821

 

18,171

 

18,284

 

4,509

 

4,582

 

2003

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

34,866

 

34,888

 

37,888

 

40,625

 

29,178

 

32,600

 

5,317

 

5,450

 

2004

 

60,855

 

60,855

 

78,232

 

78,283

 

50,357

 

62,016

 

38,336

 

41,303

 

14,064

 

14,233

 

2005

 

114,733

 

114,759

 

79,839

 

80,288

 

62,981

 

65,470

 

68,342

 

74,265

 

23,178

 

23,589

 

2006

 

9,917

 

10,096

 

29,869

 

29,942

 

68,375

 

72,178

 

69,666

 

79,419

 

8,898

 

9,131

 

2007

 

12,644

 

12,644

 

19,999

 

20,328

 

68,737

 

76,163

 

151,473

 

177,788

 

11,307

 

11,762

 

2008

 

33,722

 

33,733

 

17,201

 

17,391

 

67,237

 

74,489

 

80,768

 

106,262

 

14,801

 

15,496

 

2009

 

4,834

 

5,058

 

23,369

 

23,645

 

62,013

 

67,585

 

37,631

 

46,967

 

7,045

 

7,614

 

2010

 

99,303

 

103,368

 

35,101

 

36,619

 

92,055

 

112,077

 

27,859

 

37,107

 

6,598

 

7,214

 

2011

 

123,346

 

124,389

 

37,879

 

39,779

 

80,659

 

112,280

 

15,263

 

25,467

 

30,582

 

34,328

 

2012

 

80,421

 

83,746

 

44,856

 

51,670

 

46,894

 

82,544

 

8,436

 

13,302

 

120,877

 

128,583

 

2013

 

64,536

 

71,553

 

61,169

 

68,567

 

8,992

 

24,546

 

6,598

 

12,950

 

89,202

 

96,003

 

2014

 

86,011

 

105,010

 

42,117

 

64,767

 

1,877

 

11,243

 

843

 

4,373

 

103,124

 

111,077

 

2015

 

6,524

 

34,481

 

9,689

 

32,214

 

(120

)

3,780

 

16

 

98

 

3,634

 

7,126

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

708,420

 

771,265

 

543,280

 

607,480

 

666,783

 

824,816

 

552,580

 

670,186

 

443,136

 

476,187

 

 

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IV.                               SELECTED EXCERPTS FROM ALLIED WORLD’S 2015 10-K DISCLOSURE

 

The reserve for losses and loss expenses is comprised of two main elements: outstanding loss reserves, also known as case reserves, and reserves for IBNR.  Outstanding loss reserves relate to known claims and represent management’s best estimate of the likely loss settlement.  IBNR reserves relate primarily to unreported events that, based on industry information, management’s experience and actuarial evaluation, can reasonably be expected to have occurred and are reasonably likely to result in a loss to our company.  IBNR reserves also relate to estimated development of reported events that based on industry information, management’s experience and actuarial evaluation, can reasonably be expected to reach our attachment point and are reasonably likely to result in a loss to our company.  We also include in IBNR changes in the values of claims that have been reported to us but are not yet settled.  Each claim is settled individually based upon its merits and it is not unusual for a claim to take years after being reported to settle, especially if legal action is involved.  As a result, reserves for losses and loss expenses include significant estimates for IBNR reserves.

 

The reserve for IBNR is estimated by management for each line of business based on various factors, including underwriters’ expectations about loss experience, actuarial analysis, comparisons with the results of industry benchmarks and loss experience to date.  We implicitly factor into IBNR inflation by assuming an inflation rate consistent with historical trends.  The reserve for IBNR is calculated as the ultimate amount of losses and loss expenses less cumulative paid losses and loss expenses and case reserves.  Our actuaries employ generally accepted actuarial methodologies to determine estimated ultimate loss reserves.

 

While management believes that our case reserves and IBNR reserves are sufficient to cover losses assumed by us, there can be no assurance that losses will not deviate from our reserves, possibly by material amounts.  The methodology of estimating loss reserves is periodically reviewed to ensure that the assumptions made continue to be appropriate.  To the extent actual reported losses exceed estimated losses, the carried estimate of the ultimate losses will be increased (i.e., unfavorable reserve development), and to the extent actual reported losses are less than estimated losses, the carried estimate of ultimate losses will be reduced (i.e., favorable reserve development).  We record any changes in our loss reserve estimates and the related reinsurance recoverables in the periods in which they are determined.  Determining whether our estimated losses are sufficient to cover all reported and non-reported claims involves a high degree of judgment.  It is our practice to address unfavorable loss emergence early in our long-tail lines of business while we tend to recognize favorable loss emergence more slowly in our long-tail lines once actual loss emergence and data provides greater confidence around the adequacy of ultimate estimates.

 

In certain lines of business, claims are generally reported and paid within a relatively short period of time (“short-tail lines”) during and following the policy coverage period.  This generally enables us to determine with greater certainty our estimate of ultimate losses and loss expenses.  The estimate of reserves for our short-tail lines of business and products, such as property, crop, aviation, marine, motor, personal accident and workers compensation catastrophe (re)insurance relies primarily on traditional loss reserving methodologies, utilizing selected paid and reported loss development factors.

 

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Our casualty insurance and casualty reinsurance lines of business include general liability risks, healthcare, professional liability and other specialty risks.  Claims may be reported or settled several years after the coverage period has terminated for these lines of business (“long-tail lines”), which increases uncertainties of our reserve estimates in such lines.  In addition, our attachment points for these long-tail lines can be relatively high, making reserving for these lines of business more difficult than short-tail lines due to having to estimate whether the severity of the estimated losses will exceed our attachment point.  We establish a case reserve when sufficient information is gathered to make a reasonable estimate of the liability, which often requires a significant amount of information and time.  Due to the lengthy reporting pattern of these casualty lines, reliance is placed on industry benchmarks supplemented by our own experience.  For expected loss ratio selections, we consider our existing experience supplemented with analysis of loss trends, rate changes and experience of peer companies.

 

Our reinsurance treaties are reviewed individually, based upon individual characteristics and loss experience emergence.  Loss reserves on assumed reinsurance often have unique features that make them more difficult to estimate than direct insurance.  We establish loss reserves upon receipt of advice from a cedent that a reserve is merited.  Our claims staff may establish additional loss reserves where, in their judgment, the amount reported by a cedent is potentially inadequate.  The following are the most significant features that make estimating loss reserves on assumed reinsurance difficult:

 

·                                          Reinsurers have to rely upon the cedents and reinsurance intermediaries to report losses in a timely fashion.

·                                          Reinsurers must rely upon cedents to price the underlying business appropriately.

·                                          Reinsurers have less predictable loss emergence patterns than direct insurers, particularly when writing excess-of-loss reinsurance.

 

For excess-of-loss reinsurance, cedents generally are required to report losses that either exceed 50% of the retention, have a reasonable probability of exceeding the retention or meet serious injury reporting criteria.  For quota share reinsurance treaties, cedents are required to give a periodic statement of account, generally monthly or quarterly.  These periodic statements typically include information regarding written premiums, earned premiums, unearned premiums, ceding commissions, brokerage amounts, applicable taxes, paid losses and outstanding losses.  They can be submitted 60 to 90 days after the close of the reporting period.  Some quota share reinsurance treaties have specific language regarding earlier notice of serious claims.

 

Reinsurance generally has a greater time lag than direct insurance in the reporting of claims.  The time lag is caused by the claim first being reported to the cedent, then the intermediary (such as a broker) and finally the reinsurer.  This lag can be up to six months or longer in certain cases.  There is also a time lag because the insurer may not be required to report claims to the reinsurer until certain reporting criteria are met.  In some instances this could be several years while a claim is being litigated.  We use reporting factors based on data from the Reinsurance Association of America to adjust for time lags.  We also use historical treaty-specific reporting factors when applicable.  Loss and premium information are entered into our reinsurance system by our claims department and our accounting department on a timely basis.

 

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We record the individual case reserves sent to us by the cedents through the reinsurance intermediaries.  Individual claims are reviewed by our reinsurance claims department and adjusted as deemed appropriate.  The loss data received from the intermediaries is checked for reasonableness and for known events.  Details of the loss listings are reviewed during routine claim audits.

 

The expected loss ratios that we assign to each treaty are based upon analysis and modeling performed by a team of pricing actuaries.  The historical data reviewed by the team of pricing actuaries is considered in setting the reserves for each cedent.  The historical data in the submissions is matched against our carried reserves for our historical treaty years.

 

Loss reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability.  Rather, loss reserves are estimates of what we expect the ultimate resolution and administration of claims will cost.  These estimates are based on actuarial and statistical projections and on our assessment of currently available data, as well as estimates of future trends in claims severity and frequency, judicial theories of liability and other factors.  Loss reserve estimates are refined as experience develops and as claims are reported and resolved.  In addition, the relatively long periods between when a loss occurs and when it may be reported to our claims department for our casualty insurance and casualty reinsurance lines of business increase the uncertainties of our reserve estimates in such lines.

 

We utilize a variety of standard actuarial methods in our analysis.  The selections from these various methods are based on the loss development characteristics of the specific line of business.  For lines of business with long reporting periods such as casualty reinsurance, we may rely more on an expected loss ratio method (as described below) until losses begin to develop.  For lines of business with short reporting periods such as property insurance, we may rely more on a paid loss development method (as described below) as losses are reported relatively quickly.  The actuarial methods we utilize include:

 

Paid Loss Development Method.   We estimate ultimate losses by calculating past paid loss development factors and applying them to exposure periods with further expected paid loss development.  The paid loss development method assumes that losses are paid at a consistent rate.  The paid loss development method provides an objective test of reported loss projections because paid losses contain no reserve estimates.  In some circumstances, paid losses for recent periods may be too varied for accurate predictions.  For many coverages, especially casualty coverages, claim payments are made slowly and it may take years for claims to be fully reported and settled.  These payments may be unreliable for determining future loss projections because of shifts in settlement patterns or because of large settlements in the early stages of development.  Choosing an appropriate “tail factor” to determine the amount of payments from the latest development period to the ultimate development period may also require considerable judgment, especially for coverages that have long payment patterns.  When necessary, we have had to supplement our paid loss development patterns with appropriate benchmarks.

 

Reported Loss Development Method.   We estimate ultimate losses by calculating past reported loss development factors and applying them to exposure periods with further expected reported loss development.  Since reported losses include payments and case reserves, changes in

 

41



 

both of these amounts are incorporated in this method.  This approach provides a larger volume of data to estimate ultimate losses than the paid loss development method.  Thus, reported loss patterns may be less varied than paid loss patterns, especially for coverages that have historically been paid out over a long period of time but for which claims are reported relatively early and have case loss reserve estimates established.  This method assumes that reserves have been established using consistent practices over the historical period that is reviewed.  Changes in claims handling procedures, large claims or significant numbers of claims of an unusual nature may cause results to be too varied for accurate forecasting.  Also, choosing an appropriate “tail factor” to determine the change in reported loss from the latest development period to the ultimate development period may require considerable judgment.  When necessary, we have had to supplement our reported loss development patterns with appropriate benchmarks.

 

Expected Loss Ratio Method.   To estimate ultimate losses under the expected loss ratio method, we multiply earned premiums by an expected loss ratio.  The expected loss ratio is selected utilizing industry data, historical company data and professional judgment.  This method is particularly useful for new lines of business where there are no historical losses or where past loss experience is not credible.

 

Bornhuetter-Ferguson Paid Loss Method.   The Bornhuetter-Ferguson paid loss method is a combination of the paid loss development method and the expected loss ratio method.  The amount of losses yet to be paid is based upon the expected loss ratios and the expected percentage of losses unpaid.  These expected loss ratios are modified to the extent paid losses to date differ from what would have been expected to have been paid based upon the selected paid loss development pattern.  This method avoids some of the distortions that could result from a large development factor being applied to a small base of paid losses to calculate ultimate losses.  This method will react slowly if actual loss ratios develop differently because of major changes in rate levels, retentions or deductibles, the forms and conditions of reinsurance coverage, the types of risks covered or a variety of other changes.

 

Bornhuetter-Ferguson Reported Loss Method.   The Bornhuetter-Ferguson reported loss method is similar to the Bornhuetter-Ferguson paid loss method with the exception that it uses reported losses and reported loss development factors.

 

During 2015, 2014 and 2013, we adjusted our reliance on actuarial methods utilized for certain casualty lines of business and loss years within each of our operating segments shifting from the expected loss ratio method to the Bornhuetter-Ferguson reported loss method to varying degrees depending on the class of business, for example excess casualty versus primary casualty, and how old the loss year is.  Placing greater reliance on more responsive actuarial methods for certain casualty lines of business and loss years within each of our operating segments is a natural progression that allows us to further refine our estimate of the reserve for losses and loss expenses.  We believe utilizing only the Bornhuetter-Ferguson reported loss method for certain older loss years will more accurately reflect the reported loss activity we have had thus far in our ultimate loss ratio selections, and will better reflect how the ultimate losses will develop over time.  We will continue to utilize the expected loss ratio method for the most recent loss years until we have sufficient experience to utilize other acceptable actuarial methodologies.

 

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The key assumptions used to arrive at our best estimate of loss reserves are the expected loss ratios, rate of loss cost inflation, selection of benchmarks and reported and paid loss emergence patterns.  Our reporting factors and expected loss ratios are based on a blend of our own experience and industry benchmarks for long-tailed business and primarily our own experience for short-tail business.  The benchmarks selected were those that we believe are most similar to our underwriting business.

 

Our expected loss ratios for short-tail lines change from year to year.  As our losses from short-tail lines of business are reported relatively quickly, we select our expected loss ratios for the most recent years based upon our actual loss ratios for our older years adjusted for rate changes, inflation, cost of reinsurance and average storm activity.  For the short-tail lines, we initially used benchmarks for reported and paid loss emergence patterns.  We continue to supplement those benchmark patterns with our actual patterns as appropriate.  For the long-tail lines, we continue to use benchmark patterns, although we supplement the benchmark patterns with internal company data as appropriate.

 

For short-tail lines, the primary assumption that changed during both 2015 as compared to 2014 and 2014 as compared to 2013 as it relates to prior year losses was that actual paid and reported loss emergence patterns were generally less severe than estimated for each year due to lower frequency and severity of reported losses.  As a result of this change, we recognized net favorable prior year reserve development in both 2015 and 2014.

 

During the years ended December 31, 2015, 2014 and 2013, we incurred $60.5 million, $65.0 million and $13.5 million of catastrophe-related losses.  We classify catastrophe losses as those losses that result from a major singular event or series of similar events (such as tornadoes) which are assigned a catastrophe loss number by industry data services, where our consolidated net losses are expected to be at least $10 million per loss event or series of similar events and where we believe it is important to our investors’ understanding of our operations.

 

We will continue to evaluate and monitor the development of these losses and the impact it has on our current and future assumptions.  We believe recognition of the reserve changes in the period they were recorded was appropriate since a pattern of reported losses had not emerged and the loss years were previously too immature to deviate from the expected loss ratio method in prior periods.

 

The selection of the expected loss ratios for the long-tail lines is our most significant assumption.  Due to the lengthy reporting pattern of long-tail lines, we supplement our own experience with industry benchmarks of expected loss ratios and reporting patterns.  For our older loss years that are long-tail lines, the primary assumption that changed during both 2015 as compared to 2014 and 2014 as compared to 2013 as it relates to prior year losses was using the Bornhuetter-Ferguson loss development method for certain casualty lines of business and loss years as discussed previously.  This method calculated a lower projected loss ratio based on loss emergence patterns to date.  As a result of the change in the expected loss ratio, we recognized net favorable prior year reserve development in 2015, 2014 and 2013.  For the years ended December 31, 2015, and 2014, we recorded a decrease in losses and loss expenses of $92.6 million and $159.7 million, respectively, as a result of shifting from the expected loss ratio

 

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method to the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method for older loss years.  Also during 2015, actual paid and reported loss emergence for our casualty and healthcare lines of business was more severe than estimated in our North American Insurance segment for the 2012 through 2014 loss years.  The additions to the 2012 through 2014 loss years are consistent with our practice of addressing unfavorable loss emergence early in our long-tail lines of business.  We believe that recognition of the reserve changes in the period they were recorded was appropriate since a pattern of reported losses had not emerged and the loss years were previously too immature to deviate from the expected loss ratio method in prior periods.

 

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V.                                    GLOSSARY

 

Accident year

 

The year in which the event occurred that triggers a claim to us. All years referred to are years ending December 31.

 

 

 

ALAE

 

Allocated loss adjustment expense, which is an estimate of the associated external expenses to be incurred in settling a claim. ALAE includes the costs of third party loss assessors and legal experts.

 

 

 

Assumed reinsurance

 

That portion of a risk that a reinsurer accepts from a cedent in return for a stated premium.

 

 

 

Attachment point

 

The loss point at which an insurance or reinsurance policy becomes operative and below which any losses are retained by either the insured or other insurers or reinsurers, as the case may be.

 

 

 

Case reserves

 

Loss reserves established with respect to specific individual reported claims.

 

 

 

Casualty lines

 

Insurance that is primarily concerned with losses due to injuries to persons and liability imposed on the insured for such injury or for damage to the property of others.

 

 

 

Catastrophe reinsurance

 

A form of excess-of-loss reinsurance that, subject to a specified limit, indemnifies the ceding company for the amount of loss in excess of a specified retention with respect to an accumulation of losses resulting from a catastrophic event. The actual reinsurance document is called a “catastrophe cover.” These reinsurance contracts are typically designed to cover property insurance losses but can be written to cover other types of insurance losses such

 

45



 

 

 

as workers’ compensation policies.

 

 

 

Cede, cedent or ceding company

 

When an insurer transfers some or all of its risk to a reinsurer, it “cedes” business and is referred to as the “ceding company” or “cedent.”

 

 

 

Claims-made policies

 

A liability policy covering all claims first advised during the term of the insurance policy, as long as the loss occurred after the retroactive date listed in the policy.

 

 

 

Deductible

 

The amount of exposure an insured retains on any one risk or group of risks. The term may apply to an insurance policy, where the insured is an individual or business, or a reinsurance contract, where the reinsured is an insurance company. See “Retention.”

 

 

 

D&O side A cover

 

Insurance that provides liability coverage to directors and officers for non-indemnified losses arising from their negligence or malfeasance. Coverage applies only if the directors and officers are not indemnified by their company for such loss. Such coverage is provided on both an excess basis (i.e., policy attaches after all underlying policy limits are exhausted) and on a “difference-in-conditions” basis (i.e., policy drops down and attaches at a lower attachment point due to the failure or inability of the underlying policy(ies) to pay the loss).

 

 

 

Earned premiums

 

That portion of premiums written that applies to the expired portion of the policy term. Earned premiums are recognized as revenues under both statutory accounting practice and accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of

 

46



 

 

 

America.

 

 

 

Employment practices liability insurance

 

Insurance that primarily provides liability coverage to organizations and their employees for losses arising from acts of discrimination, harassment and retaliation against current and prospective employees of the organization.

 

 

 

Errors and omissions

 

Insurance that provides liability coverage for claims arising from professional negligence or malpractice, subject to applicable exclusions, terms and conditions of the policy.

 

 

 

Excess or Excess layer

 

Insurance to cover losses in one or more layers above a certain amount with losses below that amount usually covered by the insured’s primary policy and its self-insured retention.

 

 

 

Excess-of-loss reinsurance

 

Reinsurance that indemnifies the insured against all or a specified portion of losses over a specified amount or retention.

 

 

 

Exclusions

 

Provisions in an insurance or reinsurance policy excluding certain risks or otherwise limiting the scope of coverage.

 

 

 

Exposure

 

The possibility of loss. A unit of measure of the amount of risk a company assumes.

 

 

 

Facultative reinsurance

 

The reinsurance of all or a portion of the insurance provided by a single policy. Each policy reinsured is separately negotiated.

 

 

 

Fiduciary liability insurance

 

Insurance that primarily provides liability coverage to fiduciaries of employee benefit and welfare plans for losses arising from the breach of any fiduciary duty owed to plan

 

47



 

 

 

beneficiaries.

 

 

 

General casualty

 

Insurance that is primarily concerned with losses due to injuries to persons and liability imposed on the insured for such injury or for damage to the property of others.

 

 

 

Global loss triangles

 

A table of loss experience showing total losses for a certain period at regular valuation dates, reflecting the change in amounts as claims mature. Older periods in the table will have one more entry than the next youngest period, leading to the triangle shape of the data in the table.

 

 

 

Gross premiums written

 

Total premiums for insurance and reinsurance written during a given period.

 

 

 

Healthcare lines

 

Insurance coverage, often referred to as medical malpractice insurance, which addresses liability risks of doctors, surgeons, nurses, other healthcare professionals and the institutions (hospitals, clinics, etc.) in which they practice.

 

 

 

Incurred but not reported (“IBNR”)
reserves

 

Reserves established by us for claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported to us as well as for changes in the values of claims that have been reported to us but are not yet settled.

 

 

 

LAE

 

The total of ALAE and ULAE.

 

 

 

Loss corridor

 

A mechanism contained in a reinsurance treaty that requires the cedent to be responsible for a certain amount of the ultimate net loss that is above the company’s designated retention and below the designated limit, and which would otherwise be reimbursed under the treaty. Loss corridors are employed to mitigate the

 

48



 

 

 

volatility of reinsurance agreements.

 

 

 

Loss development

 

The difference between the original loss as initially reserved by an insurer or reinsurer and its subsequent evaluation at a later date or at the time of its closure. Loss development occurs because of inflation and time lags between the occurrence of claims and the time they are actually reported to an insurer or reinsurer. To account for these increases, a “loss development factor” or multiplier is usually applied to a claim or group of claims in an effort to more accurately project the ultimate amount that will be paid.

 

 

 

Loss reserves

 

Liabilities established by insurers and reinsurers to reflect the estimated cost of claims incurred that the insurer or reinsurer will ultimately be required to pay. Reserves are established for losses and for loss expenses, and consist of case reserves and IBNR reserves. As the term is used in this report, “loss reserves” is meant to include reserves for both losses and for loss expenses.

 

 

 

Loss year

 

The year to which a claim is attributed based upon the terms in the underlying policy or contract. All years referred to are years ending December 31.

 

 

 

Losses and loss expense ratio

 

Derived by dividing net losses and loss expenses by net earned premiums.

 

 

 

Losses and loss expenses

 

“Losses” are an occurrence that is the basis for submission or payment of a claim. Losses may be covered, limited or excluded from coverage, depending on the terms of the insurance policy or other insurance or reinsurance contracts. “Loss

 

49



 

 

 

expenses” are the expenses incurred by an insurance or reinsurance company in settling a loss.

 

 

 

Losses discovered basis

 

Covers losses that are discovered by the insured during the policy period and a specified period thereafter (unless replaced with similar insurance), no matter when the loss occurred and it does not matter if the insured had prior coverage.

 

 

 

Net limits

 

The amount that an insurer or reinsurer will insure or reinsure for a specified risk, a portfolio of risks or on a single insured entity, less any applicable reinsurance purchased by such insurer or reinsurer. The term also refers to the maximum amount of benefit payable for a given claim or occurrence.

 

 

 

Occurrence policies

 

A liability policy covering all claims arising from an event that takes place during the policy period, regardless of when the claim is reported to us.

 

 

 

Occurrence-reported policies

 

A liability policy covering all claims arising from an event that takes place after a retroactive date specified in the policy and the claims must be reported to the insurer during the policy period.

 

 

 

Paid losses

 

Claim amounts paid to insureds or ceding companies.

 

 

 

Primary insurance

 

Insurance that absorbs the losses immediately above the insured’s retention layer. A primary insurer will pay up to a certain dollar amount of losses over the insured’s retention, at which point a higher layer excess insurer will be liable for additional losses. The coverage terms of a primary insurance layer typically assume an element of regular loss

 

50



 

 

 

frequency.

 

 

 

Professional liability

 

Insurance that provides liability coverage to directors and officers, attorneys, doctors, accountants and other professionals who offer services to the general public and claim expertise in a particular area greater than the ordinary layperson for their negligence or malfeasance.

 

 

 

Property catastrophe coverage

 

In reinsurance, coverage that protects the ceding company against accumulated losses in excess of a stipulated sum that arise from a catastrophic event such as an earthquake, fire or windstorm. “Catastrophe loss” generally refers to the total loss of an insurer arising out of a single catastrophic event.

 

 

 

Quota share reinsurance

 

A proportional reinsurance treaty in which the ceding company cedes an agreed-on percentage of every risk it insures that falls within a class or classes of business subject to the treaty.

 

 

 

Reinsurance

 

The practice whereby one insurer, called the reinsurer, in consideration of a premium paid to that reinsurer, agrees to indemnify another insurer, called the ceding company, for part or all of the liability of the ceding company under one or more policies or contracts of insurance that it has issued.

 

 

 

Report year

 

The year in which a claim is reported to us. All years referred to are years ending December 31.

 

 

 

Reserves

 

Liabilities established by insurers and reinsurers to reflect the estimated cost of claims incurred that the insurer or reinsurer will ultimately be required to pay. Reserves are established for

 

51



 

 

 

losses and for loss expenses, and consist of case reserves and IBNR reserves. As the term is used in this report, “reserves” are meant to include reserves for both losses and for loss expenses.

 

 

 

Retention

 

The amount of exposure an insured retains on any one risk or group of risks. The term may apply to an insurance policy, where the insured is an individual or business, or a reinsurance contract, where the insured is an insurance company. See “Deductible.”

 

 

 

Short tail

 

Lines of business where claims are generally reported and paid within a relatively short period of time following the policy coverage period.

 

 

 

Surplus treaty reinsurance

 

Reinsurance contracts under which the ceding company agrees to cede and the reinsurer agrees to assume part of every risk that exceeds the ceding company’s predetermined retention limit. The reinsurer shares in premiums and losses in the same proportion as it shares in the total policy limits of the risk.

 

 

 

Swing-rated premium

 

Earned premiums from a “swing-rated” reinsurance contract, which is a contract that links the ultimate amount of ceded premium to the ultimate loss ratio on the reinsured business. This type of reinsurance contract enables the cedent to retain a greater portion of premium if the ultimate loss ratio develops at a level below the initial loss threshold set by the reinsurers, but requires a higher amount of ceded premium if the ultimate loss ratio develops above the initial threshold.

 

 

 

Treaties

 

Reinsurance contracts under which

 

52



 

 

 

the ceding company agrees to cede and the reinsurer agrees to assume risks of a particular class or classes of business.

 

 

 

Treaty year

 

The year in which the contract incepts. Exposure from contracts incepting during the current treaty year will potentially affect both the current accident year as well future accident years.

 

 

 

ULAE

 

Means unallocated loss adjustment expenses, which are an assessment of the internal expenses required to settle claims.

 

 

 

Ultimate loss

 

Total of all expected settlement amounts, whether paid or reserved together with any associated loss adjustment expenses, and is the estimated total amount of loss at the measurement date. For purposes of this report, “ultimate loss” is the sum of paid losses, case reserves and IBNR.

 

 

 

Underwriter

 

An employee of an insurance or reinsurance company who examines, accepts or rejects risks and classifies accepted risks in order to charge an appropriate premium for each accepted risk. The underwriter is expected to select business that will produce an average risk of loss no greater than that anticipated for the class of business.

 

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