0001104659-15-048898.txt : 20150630 0001104659-15-048898.hdr.sgml : 20150630 20150630164203 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001104659-15-048898 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 27 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20150630 ITEM INFORMATION: Regulation FD Disclosure ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20150630 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20150630 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: Allied World Assurance Co Holdings, AG CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0001163348 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE [6331] IRS NUMBER: 000000000 FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 001-32938 FILM NUMBER: 15961822 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: PARK TOWER, 15TH FLOOR STREET 2: GUBELSTRASSE 24 CITY: ZUG STATE: V8 ZIP: 6300 BUSINESS PHONE: 441-278-5400 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: PARK TOWER, 15TH FLOOR STREET 2: GUBELSTRASSE 24 CITY: ZUG STATE: V8 ZIP: 6300 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: ALLIED WORLD ASSURANCE CO HOLDINGS LTD DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 20060615 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: ALLIED WORLD ASSURANCE HOLDINGS LTD DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 20011207 8-K 1 a15-14961_18k.htm 8-K

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 


 

FORM 8-K

 


 

Current Report

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

 

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): June 30, 2015

 


 

ALLIED WORLD ASSURANCE COMPANY HOLDINGS, AG

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

 


 

Switzerland

 

001-32938

 

98-0681223

(State or Other Jurisdiction
of Incorporation)

 

(Commission File Number)

 

(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)

 

Gubelstrasse 24

Park Tower, 15th Floor

6300 Zug, Switzerland

(Address of Principal Executive Offices and Zip Code)

 

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: 41-41-768-1080

 


 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

 

o                 Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

o                 Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

o                 Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

o                 Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 

 



 

Item 7.01.  Regulation FD Disclosure.

 

On June 30, 2015, Allied World Assurance Company Holdings, AG (the “Company”) released its 2014 Global Loss Triangles report.  A copy of this report is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is also available at the “Investor Relations” section of the Company’s website at www.awac.com.

 

The information in Item 7.01 of this report is being furnished, not filed, pursuant to Regulation FD.  Accordingly, the information in Item 7.01 of this report will not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement filed by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, unless specifically identified therein as being incorporated by reference. The furnishing of the information in this report is not intended to, and does not, constitute a determination or admission by the Company that the information in this report is material or complete, or that investors should consider this information before making an investment decision with respect to any security of the Company.

 

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

 

Any forward-looking statements made in the report in Exhibit 99.1 reflect our current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. For example, our forward-looking statements could be affected by risks that the acquisitions of the Hong Kong and Singapore operations of Royal & Sun Alliance Insurance plc (“RSA”) disrupt our current plans and operations; the ability to retain key personnel; the ability to recognize the benefits of the RSA acquisitions; the amount of costs, fees, expenses and charges related to the RSA acquisitions; pricing and policy term trends; increased competition; the adequacy of our loss reserves; negative rating agency actions; greater frequency or severity of unpredictable catastrophic events; the impact of acts of terrorism and acts of war; the Company or its subsidiaries becoming subject to significant income taxes in the United States or elsewhere; changes in regulations or tax laws; changes in the availability, cost or quality of reinsurance or retrocessional coverage; adverse general economic conditions; and judicial, legislative, political and other governmental developments, as well as management’s response to these factors, and other factors identified in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date on which they are made. We are under no obligation (and expressly disclaim any such obligation) to update or revise any forward-looking statement that may be made from time to time, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise.

 

Item 9.01.  Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

(d)                                 Exhibits

 

Exhibit
Number

 

Description

 

 

 

99.1

 

2014 Global Loss Triangles report.

 

2



 

SIGNATURES

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

 

 

ALLIED WORLD ASSURANCE COMPANY HOLDINGS, AG

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dated: June 30, 2015

By:

/s/ Wesley D. Dupont

 

Name:

Wesley D. Dupont

 

Title:

Executive Vice President & General Counsel

 

3



 

EXHIBIT INDEX

 

Exhibit
Number

 

Description

 

 

 

99.1

 

2014 Global Loss Triangles report.

 

4


EX-99.1 2 a15-14961_1ex99d1.htm 2014 GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES REPORT

Exhibit 99.1

 

 

ALLIED WORLD ASSURANCE COMPANY HOLDINGS, AG

 

2014 GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES

 



 

Global Loss Development Triangle Cautionary Language

 

This report is for informational purposes only and is current only as of December 31, 2014.  Allied World Assurance Company Holdings, AG (“Allied World”, the “Company”, “we”, “us” or “our”) is under no obligation (and expressly disclaims any such obligation) to update or revise this report, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.  Nothing contained in this report is or should be relied upon as a promise or representation as to the future.  Although the loss development patterns disclosed in this report are an important factor in the process used to estimate loss reserve requirements, they are not the only factors considered in establishing reserves.  The process for establishing reserves is subject to considerable variability and requires the use of informed estimates and judgments.  Important details, such as specific loss development expectations for particular contracts, years or events, cannot be developed solely by analyzing the information provided in this report.  In addition to analyzing loss development data, management incorporates additional information into the reserving process, such as pricing for insurance and reinsurance products as well as current market conditions.  Readers must keep these and other qualifications more fully described in this report in mind when reviewing this information.  Information presented in this report may differ materially from that reported in the Company’s financial statements prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States due to differences in foreign exchange rates, exclusions, the impact of premium adjustments and other adjustments.  This report is a supplement to the Company’s financial disclosures and should be read in conjunction with the Company’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and other documents on file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”).  This report shall not be incorporated by reference into any of the Company’s filings under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.

 

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

 

Any forward-looking statements made in this report reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  Such statements involve risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements.  For example, the Company’s forward-looking statements could be affected by pricing and policy term trends; increased competition; the adequacy of our loss reserves; negative rating agency actions; greater frequency or severity of unpredictable catastrophic events; the impact of acts of terrorism and acts of war; the Company or its subsidiaries becoming subject to significant income taxes in the United States or elsewhere; changes in regulations or tax laws; changes in the availability, cost or quality of reinsurance or retrocessional coverage; adverse general economic conditions; and judicial, legislative, political and other governmental developments, as well as management’s response to these factors, and other factors identified in the Company’s filings with the SEC.  You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date on which they are made.  The Company is under no obligation (and expressly disclaims any such obligation) to update or revise any forward-looking statement that may be made from time to time, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise.

 



 

ALLIED WORLD ASSURANCE COMPANY HOLDINGS, AG

2014 GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES

 

Table of Contents

 

 

Page

I.             EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

1

 

 

— Overview

1

— Limitations of the Reserving Processes

3

— Treaty Year Projections

5

 

 

II.            RECONCILIATION OF GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES TO DECEMBER 31, 2014 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

6

 

 

III.          GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES

7

 

 

— Basis of Presentation

7

— Description of Data Presented

8

— Large Losses

8

— GLT Class Details

9

— Property Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

13

— General Casualty Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

14

— Professional Liability Lines Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

15

— Healthcare Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

16

— Specialty Lines Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

17

— Property Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

18

— General Casualty Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

19

— Professional Liability Lines Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

20

— Healthcare Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

21

— Specialty Lines Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

22

— Property Catastrophe Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

23

— Property Per Risk Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

24

— General Casualty Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

25

— Professional Liability Lines Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

26

— Specialty Lines Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

27

— Property Catastrophe Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

28

— Property Per Risk Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

29

— General Casualty Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

30

— Professional Liability Lines Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

31

— Specialty Lines Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

32

— Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary

33

— Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary

34

— Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary

35

— Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance) Premium/Loss Summary

36

 



 

IV.          SELECTED EXCERPTS FROM ALLIED WORLD’S 2014 10-K DISCLOSURE

37

 

 

V.            GLOSSARY

43

 



 

I.             EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

 

Overview

 

A critical component of financial reporting for insurance and reinsurance companies is to accurately estimate potential losses and associated loss expenses on risks that have been insured or reinsured.  This report is Allied World’s release of its Global Loss Triangles (“GLTs”) as of December 31, 2014.  For your convenience, we have included a glossary beginning on page 43 of selected insurance and reinsurance terms.

 

We establish a reserve for losses and loss expenses to cover our estimated liability for the payment of all losses and loss expenses incurred with respect to earned premiums on the policies and treaties that we write.  This reserve is a balance sheet liability representing estimates of losses and loss expenses we are required to pay for insured or reinsured claims that have occurred as of or before the balance sheet date.

 

The process of establishing loss reserves can be complex and is subject to considerable variability as it requires the use of judgment regarding numerous items, including future litigation trends, future inflation trends, new laws and regulations, attachment points and timing of payments.  Estimates of these reserves are subject to potential errors of estimation, which could be significant, as they are based upon the outcomes of future events.  The estimates are even more difficult for a company such as Allied World, as some of our casualty lines of business have relatively high attachment points (often exceeding $100 million) and relatively high net limits (with $25 million being a typical maximum).  Those characteristics make some of our casualty lines subject to claims that are very low in frequency (the number of actual claims), but very high in severity (the average claim size).  The combination of low frequency and high severity exacerbates the difficulty in establishing loss reserves for Allied World.  We caution that an attempt to evaluate our loss reserves using exclusively the data presented in this report could be misleading.

 

The reserve for losses and loss expenses is comprised of two main elements: outstanding loss reserves, also known as “case reserves,” and reserves for losses incurred but not reported (“IBNR”).  Outstanding loss reserves relate to known claims and represent management’s best estimate of the likely loss settlement cost.  Thus, there is a significant amount of estimation involved in determining the likely loss payment.  IBNR reserves require judgment because they relate primarily to unreported events that, based on industry information, management’s experience and actuarial evaluation, can reasonably be expected to have occurred and are reasonably likely to result in a loss to the Company.  IBNR reserves also relate to estimated development of reported events that based on industry information, management’s experience and actuarial evaluation, can reasonably be expected to reach our attachment point and are reasonably likely to result in a loss to the Company.

 

IBNR is the estimated liability for (1) claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported as well as (2) changes in the values of claims that have been reported to us but are not yet settled.  Each claim is settled individually based upon its merits and it is not unusual for a

 

1



 

claim to take years after being reported to settle, especially if legal action is involved.  As a result, reserves for losses and loss expenses include significant estimates for IBNR reserves.

 

The reserve for IBNR is estimated by management for each line of business based on various factors, including underwriters’ expectations about loss experience, actuarial analysis, comparisons with the results of industry benchmarks and loss experience to date.  The reserve for IBNR is calculated as the ultimate amount of losses and loss expenses less cumulative paid losses and loss expenses and case reserves.  Our actuaries employ generally accepted actuarial methodologies to determine estimated ultimate loss reserves.

 

When estimating IBNR reserves, we segregate the Company’s insurance and reinsurance loss and exposure data into over 160 classes in total.  Within each class, the business is further segregated by treaty year, accident year or report year.  Professional liability and healthcare lines of business are reviewed on a report year basis due to the claims-made nature of the underlying contracts.  Our general casualty insurance business is a mixture of claims-made and loss-occurring contracts.  Since the Company’s formation in November 2001, 65% of our gross earned premiums and 69% of our net earned premiums have been associated with occurrence policies for our general casualty insurance business.

 

Generally, initial actuarial estimates of IBNR reserves not related to a single event (such as a catastrophe) are based upon the expected loss ratio method applied to each class of business.  Actual paid losses and case reserves are subtracted from the expected ultimate losses to derive the IBNR reserves.  The initial expected loss ratio used in the expected loss ratio method involve managerial judgments and are based upon historical information for the class of business, which includes historic loss ratios, market conditions, changes in pricing, policy terms and conditions, peer analysis, underwriting changes, changes in claims emergence and other factors that may influence expected ultimate losses.  Over time, the actuarial estimates for our non-property lines of business generally become a blend of the Bornhuetter-Ferguson reported loss method (the “B-F method”) and the expected loss ratio method.  The B-F method incorporates actual reported loss data and expected unreported losses, which is a function of the initial expected loss ratio and the expected loss emergence pattern, to determine an estimate of ultimate losses.  The B-F method is often appropriate for lines of business where there is limited actual loss data and/or a relatively less stable pattern of loss emergence.  For additional details on the B-F method, see “IV. Selected Excerpts from Allied World’s 2014 10-K Disclosure — Expected Loss Ratio Method” and “— B-F Method.”

 

These actuarial methods may be inappropriate for lines of business with very low frequency and high severity and in certain specific situations, such as catastrophe losses.  In such situations, specific knowledge of the open claims, the underlying exposures, ceded reinsurance, litigation trends, the types of coverages involved and the changes in the frequency or severity of the claim may be used to establish reserves.

 

Multiple estimates of ultimate losses using a variety of actuarial methods are calculated for many of our classes of business for each year of loss experience.  Our actuaries review each class of business and each year of loss experience and determine the most appropriate point estimate based upon the characteristics of the particular class of business and other relevant

 

2



 

factors as described above.  Once our actuaries make their determination of the most appropriate point estimate for each class of business and for each year of loss experience, both gross and net of reinsurance, this information is aggregated and presented to management for consideration in establishing the recorded reserves for losses and loss expenses.

 

Limitations of the Reserving Processes

 

Reserving actuaries, especially in personal lines and mid-market commercial lines companies, often employ standard actuarial loss development methods to project ultimate losses from triangles of paid and reported losses.  These methods rely on an assumption that losses develop consistently from one year to the next, and for the expected loss ratio and B-F methods, on the assumption that an initial expected loss ratio and expected emergence pattern can be accurately selected.  However, Allied World writes complex lines of business, including excess casualty insurance and reinsurance, which often do not have the consistent patterns of reported losses that personal lines and mid-market commercial lines companies do.

 

Projections of ultimate losses require a significant amount of estimation and judgment based on a variety of factors.  We strongly caution against any assumption that standard loss projection techniques applied mechanically can alone be used to estimate ultimate losses for our data as the outcome of such a simplistic approach would lead to misleading results and inaccurate conclusions.  Reasons to avoid simplistic projections include:

 

·                                          Allied World has only been in existence since November 2001 and many of our GLTs lack sufficient actuarial credibility to project ultimate losses and do not have the history to accurately estimate the development of losses beyond ten years.

 

·                                          As many of our casualty lines can have relatively low frequency and relatively high severity losses, the absence or emergence of only a few losses can distort our paid and reported GLTs.

 

·                                          Our casualty insurance with lower attachment points has been generally growing faster than our casualty insurance with higher attachment points.  The changing mix in attachment points can cause historical loss development not to be appropriate for estimating future loss development.

 

·                                          Our casualty insurance written on an occurrence policy form has been generally growing faster than our casualty insurance not written on an occurrence policy form.  The changing mix of policy forms can cause historical loss development not to be appropriate for future loss development.

 

·                                          Some of our largest reinsurance treaties have special characteristics, such as loss corridors, annual aggregate deductibles or swing-rated premiums that cannot be considered in a simplistic aggregate projection.

 

3



 

·              We have had changes in our underwriting philosophy over time, exiting or paring back some classes of business and in other classes changing coverage terms and conditions.

 

·              Losses develop differently for different classes of business.  The aim of the GLTs contained herein is to present our loss development experience in an informative format, while protecting proprietary Company information.  Accordingly, we do not show our 160+ reserving classes, but rather have aggregated them into ten classes, which represent different geographies, pricing environments, legislative climates and policy forms and which will not be as homogeneous as our actual reserving classes would be if reported individually.

 

·              Paid loss development patterns are considerably longer than the corresponding reported loss development patterns and can produce for many of our classes of business extremely volatile indications, particularly within the first several years of development.

 

·              For many classes of business, pricing conditions have changed in recent years.  The extrapolation of losses and loss expense ratios from prior periods to current periods might not be appropriate.

 

In addition to these factors, financial turmoil in a particular geography or the effects of inflation (as discussed in more detail below) could adversely impact our ultimate losses and cause our projections and judgments regarding our expected loss reserves to differ materially from the ultimate losses we may incur.

 

Financial and Housing Markets — Worldwide financial and housing markets have experienced volatility and disruption in recent years.  As a result of the global credit crisis in 2007 through 2009, the following reserving classes have been impacted:

 

·              direct insurance professional liability lines (primarily the 2007 and 2008 report years), and

 

·              reinsurance professional liability lines (primarily the 2006 through 2008 treaty years).

 

These reported claims have caused higher reported losses and ALAE ratios for these years compared to other years at similar stages of development.  As a result, the ultimate loss development patterns on these years may differ from other years.  The uncertainty is increased by the fact that we often have relatively high average attachment points for many of these potential credit crisis-related claims for our direct insurance business and by the fact that we often provide D&O side A cover.  On side A cover, we are required to provide coverage to directors and officer for claims alleging negligence or malfeasance if such claims are not indemnified by the insured.

 

4



 

Our reserves for these lines of business are based on a detailed analysis of all open claims that considers attachment points, exposed limits, coverage provided and litigation trends as well as quarterly, in-depth discussions with members of our claims department and underwriting staff.

 

Inflation — Losses and loss expense reserves can be impacted by social and judicial inflation.  Higher than expected inflation can negatively impact the costs of claims as it may cause an increase in frequency (the number of actual claims) and severity (the average claim size).  Though our reserving techniques factor in inflation through the use of expected loss ratios derived from our pricing models, which consider the effects of inflation, and through the use of industry loss development patterns that go back as far as 1984, losses and loss expense reserves can be impacted by unexpected changes in inflation rates.  We do not explicitly account for excessive inflation in our reserves.

 

Treaty Year Projections

 

Data organized by treaty year assigns claims and premiums to the year in which the assumed reinsurance contract incepted.  As such, a treaty year may cover claims spanning several accident years.  This has two primary implications for estimating ultimate loss reserves.  First, the payment and reporting patterns are generally slower to develop than for the data presented by accident year or report year.  This means that it is even more critical that premium-based reserving methods, such as the expected loss ratio method or the B-F method, are used for the more recent years rather than loss development methods that can be distorted by small movements in actual paid or reported loss activity due to the application of large loss development factors.  Second, treaty years for which premium is not fully earned require an adjustment to the indicated reserves to reflect only the portion of the ultimate treaty year losses that are associated with losses that have occurred prior to the evaluation date.  This is typically done by developing an ultimate loss ratio estimate for the full treaty year and applying this loss ratio to the earned premiums from the treaty year.

 

5



 

II.            RECONCILIATION OF GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES TO DECEMBER 31, 2014 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

 

The tables below provide a reconciliation of our presented GLTs to our audited financial statements as of and for the year ended December 31, 2013 and 2014, respectively.

 

(Expressed in U.S. dollars in thousands)

 

Paid Losses and Paid LAE in 2013 Calendar Year

 

Consolidated GLTs — net paid losses and ALAE(1)

 

$

975,101

 

Paid losses and paid ALAE from excluded catastrophes

 

82,526

 

Paid ULAE

 

32,904

 

Foreign exchange and other

 

(876

)

Paid losses and paid LAE in 2013 calendar year per 10-K

 

$

1,089,656

 

 

Paid Losses and Paid LAE in 2014 Calendar Year

 

Consolidated GLTs — net paid losses and ALAE(1)

 

$

1,099,637

 

Paid losses and paid ALAE from excluded catastrophes

 

34,662

 

Paid ULAE

 

36,335

 

Foreign exchange and other

 

2,727

 

Paid losses and paid LAE in 2014 calendar year per 10-K

 

$

1,173,361

 

 

Incurred Losses and Incurred LAE in 2013 Calendar Year

 

Consolidated GLTs — net reported losses and ALAE(1)

 

$

1,017,327

 

Reported losses and reported ALAE from excluded catastrophes

 

31,051

 

Reported ULAE

 

32,904

 

Change in IBNR

 

37,395

 

Foreign exchange and other

 

4,565

 

Incurred losses and incurred LAE in 2013 calendar year per 10-K

 

$

1,123,242

 

 

Incurred Losses and Incurred LAE in 2014 Calendar Year

 

Consolidated GLTs — net reported losses and ALAE(1)

 

$

1,125,867

 

Reported losses and reported ALAE from excluded catastrophes

 

2,283

 

Reported ULAE

 

36,335

 

Change in IBNR

 

22,500

 

Foreign exchange and other

 

12,205

 

Incurred losses and incurred LAE in 2014 calendar year per 10-K

 

$

1,199,190

 

 


1.             Excludes losses from the following catastrophes: 2004 Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Charlie, Frances, Jeanne and Ivan; 2005 Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Katrina, Rita and Wilma; 2008 Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Gustav and Ike; 2010 Chilean Earthquake; 2011 Japanese Earthquake/Tsunami; 2012 Superstorm Sandy.

 

6



 

III.                              GLOBAL LOSS TRIANGLES

 

Basis of Presentation

 

For the basis of this presentation, we have split our data into ten classes of GLTs, five for our direct insurance business and five for our reinsurance business.  They are listed below:

 

Direct Insurance Business

 

Reinsurance Business

·                                          Property

 

·                                          Property Catastrophe

·                                          General Casualty

 

·                                          Property Per Risk

·                                          Professional Liability Lines

 

·                                          General Casualty

·                                          Healthcare

 

·                                          Professional Liability Lines

·                                          Specialty Lines

 

·                                          Specialty Lines Reinsurance

 

·                                          Our direct insurance general casualty business contains a mix of claims-made, occurrence-reported and occurrence policy forms.

 

General Casualty

Distribution of Gross Premiums Written

 

Underwriting
Year

 

Claims-Made

 

Occurrence-
Reported

 

Occurrence

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

20.3

%

33.3

%

46.4

%

100.0

%

2003

 

14.4

%

38.8

%

46.8

%

100.0

%

2004

 

19.4

%

38.8

%

41.8

%

100.0

%

2005

 

12.9

%

37.2

%

49.9

%

100.0

%

2006

 

14.6

%

33.9

%

51.5

%

100.0

%

2007

 

16.2

%

35.7

%

48.1

%

100.0

%

2008

 

15.5

%

30.4

%

54.2

%

100.0

%

2009

 

10.9

%

22.1

%

67.0

%

100.0

%

2010

 

11.4

%

19.2

%

69.4

%

100.0

%

2011

 

11.0

%

15.1

%

73.9

%

100.0

%

2012

 

9.4

%

13.0

%

77.6

%

100.0

%

2013

 

8.5

%

10.7

%

80.8

%

100.0

%

2014

 

11.3

%

8.5

%

80.2

%

100.0

%

 

·                                          Our direct insurance specialty lines business includes aviation, surety, trade credit and marine cargo.

 

·                                          Our reinsurance business classified as “specialty lines reinsurance” includes accident and health, workers’ compensation catastrophe coverage, aviation, crop and marine.

 

·                                          Our reinsurance business is presented separately from our direct insurance business as we show the reinsurance classes on a treaty year basis.  Many

 

7



 

reinsurance treaties do not provide sufficient detail to split losses and loss adjustment expenses accurately by accident year or report year.

 

·                                          Our ten classes were selected to create categories that were relatively homogeneous yet were not so small as to have insufficient actuarial credibility.

 

·                                          Our GLTs are presented in thousands of U.S. dollars, reflecting conversions from local currencies based upon the date on which the transactions were entered into the Company’s systems.

 

Description of Data Presented

 

For each class of business, earned premiums are presented both gross and net of external reinsurance, with intercompany reinsurance transactions not being reflected in the GLTs.  For classes of business within our reinsurance lines, these premiums are presented on a treaty year basis.  For all other classes of business, the net earned premiums are presented on a calendar year basis.  GLTs that show cumulative paid losses and ALAE, gross and net of reinsurance, are presented for each class of business.  In addition, we present GLTs of cumulative reported losses and ALAE (paid plus case reserves), gross and net of reinsurance, for each class of business.  For the reinsurance classes of business, the GLTs are presented on a treaty year basis.  For direct insurance business, property classes of business are presented on an accident year basis.  Our general casualty classes of business are a blend of policies where losses can be triggered by either report date or accident date, so the paid and reported losses are a blend of report year and accident year data.  The remaining casualty classes of business, including professional liability and healthcare, are presented on a report year basis.  These conventions match the standard industry reserving practices for reinsurance and direct insurance, respectively.

 

Case reserves for Allied World’s reinsurance classes are generally established based upon reports received from ceding companies as we generally “follow their fortunes.”  Additional case reserves may be established by Allied World to reflect our estimated ultimate cost of a loss.  Any such additional case reserves have been included in the presented reinsurance GLTs.

 

The premiums in our reinsurance lines are often based upon estimates by the ceding companies.  At the end of the treaty year, these estimates will be replaced by actual premiums.  In addition, some of our reinsurance treaties may have premiums that are swing-rated subject to reinstatement premiums.  The presented premium data is subject to future adjustments, either upwards or downwards, based upon these factors.

 

Large Losses

 

Loss development associated with the following six groups of catastrophic losses have been excluded from the GLTs for all lines except for property catastrophe reinsurance: (1) 2004 hurricanes, (2) 2005 hurricanes, (3) 2008 hurricanes, (4) 2010 Chilean Earthquake, (5) 2011 Japanese Earthquake/Tsunami and (6) 2012 Superstorm Sandy.  These events have been excluded from the GLTs due to their magnitude in order to avoid distortions in the development factors and indicated reserve levels.  Reserves for these events are not based on aggregate

 

8



 

development statistics, but rather on ground-up, exposure-based assessments reflecting information provided by insureds and cedents on an insurance policy-by-policy and reinsurance contract-by-contract basis.  Separate information is provided on these catastrophic events including gross and net paid losses, reported losses and IBNR as of December 31, 2014.

 

GLT Class Details

 

Insurance Lines of Business

 

Property — Our property insurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 13 and 18).  The vast majority of the ceded reinsurance we have purchased for our direct property class of business is written as quota share reinsurance, with a smaller portion written as facultative reinsurance.  We have not removed losses associated with recoveries from any catastrophe covers as we have excluded major catastrophes already from the data.  The major catastrophes removed from our property insurance GLTs, as well as from our “property per risk reinsurance” and our “specialty lines reinsurance” GLTs discussed below, include:

 

·                                          2004 — Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Charlie, Frances, Jeanne and Ivan;

·                                          2005 — Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Katrina, Rita and Wilma;

·                                          2008 — Hurricanes/Tropical Storms Gustav and Ike;

·                                          2010 — Chilean Earthquake;

·                                          2011 — Japanese Earthquake/Tsunami; and

·                                          2012 — Superstorm Sandy.

 

It should be noted that we removed all property losses associated with these events, even after such storms may have weakened and moved inland.  For our property insurance GLTs, the total amounts excluded from these storms are as follows:

 

 

 

Gross

 

Net of Reinsurance

 

 

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

 

 

(Dollars in Millions)

 

(Dollars in Millions)

 

2004 Events

 

$

170.5

 

$

170.5

 

$

148.8

 

$

148.8

 

2005 Events

 

$

458.7

 

$

459.0

 

$

191.4

 

$

191.5

 

2008 Events

 

$

97.9

 

$

97.9

 

$

62.0

 

$

62.0

 

2010 Events

 

$

65.9

 

$

65.9

 

$

50.5

 

$

50.5

 

2011 Events

 

$

54.4

 

$

54.7

 

$

38.6

 

$

38.8

 

2012 Events

 

$

109.7

 

$

117.7

 

$

86.8

 

$

92.7

 

 

Our property book of business has shifted over time.  Over the last several years, we have de-emphasized energy classes of business, which included such industry classes as mining, chemical plants, pulp and paper manufacturing and refiners.  In addition, our Bermuda property book of business (which is included in the property insurance GLTs) has evolved from largely being a primary insurance account based book of business to where we now write many accounts on an excess basis.

 

9



 

General Casualty — Our general casualty insurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 14 and 19).  Our Bermuda and European casualty books of business are comprised largely of Fortune 1000-type accounts with generally high attachment points with medians between $80 million and $100 million.  Historically, about 64% to 66% of the earned premiums have come from occurrence policies.  This percentage grew to 80% in 2014 as our business mix has shifted to more occurrence business.  The vast majority of the ceded reinsurance we have purchased for the casualty class of business has been either quota share reinsurance or surplus treaty reinsurance.  The general casualty book has changed over time, with pharmaceutical and energy classes being de-emphasized in Bermuda and with the business underwritten in the United States (which generally has a lower attachment point profile) shrinking in the 2005-2007 calendar years and growing in the 2008-2014 calendar years.

 

Professional Liability Lines — Our professional liability lines insurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 15 and 20).  Professional liability lines include directors and officers liability, errors & omissions liability, D&O side A cover, employment practices liability insurance, crime and fiduciary liability business.  Similar to our casualty lines of business, many of our Bermuda and European professional liability lines are comprised of Fortune 1000 and FTSE 1000-type accounts with generally high attachment points with medians between $80 million and $100 million.  It is not uncommon for the Company to “ventilate” an account, which means the Company underwrites two excess layers with differing attachment points.  Our professional liability book underwritten in the United States has a very different profile, with a portion of the business underwritten on a primary basis for smaller, non-Fortune 1000 accounts.  Common classes include insurance agencies, psychologists/counselors and smaller law firms.  Our professional liability lines book of business, excluding crime, is written on claims-made and occurrence-reported basis and virtually none of this business is written on an occurrence basis (regardless of where it is written).  Crime insurance is written on a losses discovered basis.

 

Healthcare — Our healthcare insurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 16 and 21).  Our healthcare book of business is written on a claims-made and occurrence-reported basis and has virtually no business written on occurrence policy forms.  The Bermuda healthcare group writes gross lines of up to $25 million, with average attachment points of around $45 million.  This business is largely comprised of large hospitals, but does include managed care organizations and healthcare systems.  The healthcare business underwritten in the United States has a much lower attachment point profile than the Bermuda book of business, with much of the U.S. business being written on a primary basis.  It includes smaller hospitals and hospital systems, managed care organizations and medical facilities such as home care providers, specialized surgery and rehabilitation centers, and outpatient clinics.  Our Bermuda business also writes some accounts on a primary basis, although typically over a large deductible.

 

Specialty Lines — Our specialty lines insurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 17 and 22).  Our specialty lines book includes aviation, surety, trade credit and marine cargo lines of business.  Our aviation line writes a combination of airlines, aerospace and general aviation.  It writes gross lines up to $85 million but with much smaller net lines. Our surety line targets contractors and writes (on a per bond basis) gross limits

 

10



 

up to $20 million and net lines up to $10 million.  Our trade credit line targets exporters, importers, financial institutions, contractors and investors.

 

Reinsurance Lines of Business

 

Property Catastrophe — Our property catastrophe reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 23 and 28).  This business is excess-of-loss property catastrophe reinsurance.  Typically, it has a relatively short tail.

 

Property Per Risk — Our property per risk reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 24 and 29).  This line contains our entire property reinsurance book of business, excluding property catastrophe coverages, and is written as either excess-of-loss reinsurance or quota share reinsurance.

 

General Casualty — Our general casualty reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 25 and 30).  This business is essentially comprised of any business that does not fit into the other casualty classes.  It is largely umbrella casualty business that contains some workers’ compensation business.  This business can be written as either excess-of-loss reinsurance or quota share reinsurance.

 

Professional Liability Lines — Our professional liability lines reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 26 and 31).  This business is largely written on a claims-made basis.  Lines of business include employment practices liability insurance, medical malpractice, directors and officers, errors and omissions and miscellaneous professional classes and transactional risk liability.  Some of our larger treaties can have complex structures, including swing-rated premiums, loss corridors and annual aggregate deductibles.  This business is written as either excess-of-loss reinsurance or quota share reinsurance.

 

Specialty Lines — Our specialty lines reinsurance GLTs are shown on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis (see pages 27 and 32).  This business is a mixture of miscellaneous lines including accident and health (which is predominantly catastrophe driven), workers’ compensation catastrophe, aviation, crop and marine.  The marine treaties were impacted by various hurricanes (specifically Ivan, Katrina, Rita, Ike and Gustav) that went through the Gulf of Mexico.

 

11



 

For our specialty lines reinsurance and property per risk GLTs, the total amounts excluded from the 2004, 2005, 2008, 2010, 2011 and 2012 events discussed above are as follows:

 

 

 

Gross

 

Net of Reinsurance

 

 

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

 

 

(Dollars in Millions)

 

(Dollars in Millions)

 

2004 Events

 

$

38.5

 

$

38.5

 

$

38.5

 

$

38.5

 

2005 Events

 

$

94.0

 

$

94.4

 

$

87.0

 

$

87.5

 

2008 Events

 

$

1.6

 

$

2.8

 

$

1.6

 

$

2.8

 

2010 Events

 

$

0.1

 

$

0.8

 

$

0.1

 

$

0.8

 

2011 Events

 

$

0.1

 

$

0.4

 

$

0.1

 

$

0.4

 

2012 Events

 

$

22.8

 

$

28.3

 

$

22.8

 

$

28.3

 

 

12



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

Excluding large losses

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Property Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

2,584

 

29,354

 

46,287

 

51,590

 

56,582

 

56,687

 

56,776

 

56,675

 

56,700

 

56,701

 

56,701

 

56,701

 

56,709

 

2003

 

50,572

 

136,299

 

198,801

 

217,328

 

218,048

 

217,531

 

221,698

 

221,688

 

221,846

 

221,814

 

221,834

 

221,827

 

 

 

2004

 

38,251

 

153,141

 

203,006

 

217,517

 

229,205

 

232,011

 

233,997

 

234,829

 

237,674

 

238,234

 

238,264

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

91,198

 

228,634

 

308,207

 

354,253

 

366,892

 

365,434

 

367,337

 

365,380

 

371,504

 

369,422

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

30,040

 

103,621

 

172,546

 

201,132

 

208,659

 

210,277

 

212,916

 

218,960

 

218,053

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

43,151

 

129,076

 

169,655

 

186,261

 

191,756

 

199,710

 

214,911

 

213,399

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

75,528

 

155,973

 

198,875

 

210,168

 

218,452

 

223,365

 

223,581

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

24,044

 

64,420

 

74,513

 

77,316

 

80,185

 

80,135

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

44,677

 

107,035

 

128,647

 

142,847

 

147,201

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

52,142

 

115,929

 

167,463

 

178,161

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

21,849

 

55,504

 

68,332

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

37,145

 

82,180

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

49,596

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

18,005

 

55,432

 

58,559

 

59,169

 

57,437

 

56,848

 

57,987

 

56,707

 

56,700

 

56,701

 

56,701

 

56,701

 

56,709

 

2003

 

146,467

 

208,054

 

228,434

 

232,111

 

227,106

 

224,146

 

222,856

 

222,651

 

222,550

 

222,481

 

222,501

 

222,494

 

 

 

2004

 

132,453

 

223,557

 

246,425

 

247,612

 

244,839

 

239,798

 

238,060

 

235,425

 

238,232

 

238,809

 

238,876

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

224,245

 

353,712

 

382,922

 

384,183

 

382,139

 

370,420

 

368,929

 

366,287

 

371,875

 

369,684

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

157,140

 

225,124

 

235,681

 

222,453

 

219,524

 

215,327

 

217,148

 

222,291

 

219,798

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

189,533

 

227,570

 

227,509

 

220,583

 

221,004

 

220,826

 

223,190

 

221,521

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

263,049

 

265,851

 

240,547

 

229,376

 

226,406

 

224,528

 

223,998

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

89,871

 

89,436

 

88,222

 

85,366

 

82,359

 

81,818

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

114,296

 

156,421

 

155,810

 

151,297

 

150,789

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

156,246

 

188,552

 

186,102

 

187,879

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

72,725

 

81,044

 

79,279

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

91,583

 

107,936

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

139,140

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

9

%

28

%

30

%

30

%

29

%

29

%

30

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

2003

 

30

%

43

%

47

%

48

%

47

%

46

%

46

%

46

%

46

%

46

%

46

%

46

%

 

 

2004

 

23

%

40

%

44

%

44

%

43

%

42

%

42

%

42

%

42

%

42

%

42

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

47

%

74

%

80

%

81

%

80

%

78

%

77

%

77

%

78

%

78

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

36

%

51

%

53

%

50

%

50

%

49

%

49

%

50

%

50

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

45

%

54

%

54

%

52

%

52

%

52

%

53

%

52

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

74

%

74

%

67

%

64

%

63

%

63

%

63

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

33

%

33

%

32

%

31

%

30

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

49

%

67

%

67

%

65

%

65

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

69

%

84

%

82

%

83

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

28

%

31

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

32

%

37

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

44

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

196,237

 

56,709

 

 

56,709

 

 

56,709

 

28.9

%

 

2003

 

483,719

 

221,827

 

667

 

222,494

 

167

 

222,662

 

46.0

%

835

 

2004

 

565,327

 

238,264

 

613

 

238,876

 

128

 

239,004

 

42.3

%

740

 

2005

 

476,481

 

369,422

 

262

 

369,684

 

1,589

 

371,273

 

77.9

%

1,851

 

2006

 

441,138

 

218,053

 

1,745

 

219,798

 

465

 

220,264

 

49.9

%

2,211

 

2007

 

423,468

 

213,399

 

8,122

 

221,521

 

1,056

 

222,577

 

52.6

%

9,178

 

2008

 

357,588

 

223,581

 

416

 

223,998

 

84

 

224,082

 

62.7

%

500

 

2009

 

272,873

 

80,135

 

1,683

 

81,818

 

573

 

82,392

 

30.2

%

2,257

 

2010

 

233,716

 

147,201

 

3,587

 

150,789

 

1,895

 

152,684

 

65.3

%

5,482

 

2011

 

225,599

 

178,161

 

9,718

 

187,879

 

2,060

 

189,938

 

84.2

%

11,778

 

2012

 

260,347

 

68,332

 

10,947

 

79,279

 

3,248

 

82,528

 

31.7

%

14,195

 

2013

 

288,689

 

82,180

 

25,756

 

107,936

 

11,820

 

119,756

 

41.5

%

37,576

 

2014

 

314,336

 

49,596

 

89,544

 

139,140

 

35,721

 

174,861

 

55.6

%

125,265

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

4,539,516

 

2,146,860

 

153,061

 

2,299,922

 

58,807

 

2,358,729

 

52.0

%

211,869

 

 

13



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

General Casualty Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

0

 

0

 

185

 

464

 

2,848

 

4,691

 

5,591

 

6,574

 

7,802

 

8,662

 

9,887

 

32,509

 

47,524

 

2003

 

0

 

461

 

16,019

 

18,500

 

29,401

 

55,140

 

57,458

 

57,463

 

57,487

 

57,534

 

58,354

 

58,446

 

 

 

2004

 

0

 

21

 

90

 

634

 

5,507

 

8,516

 

19,470

 

24,754

 

31,861

 

35,183

 

42,687

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

15

 

26,548

 

31,396

 

63,544

 

65,785

 

118,117

 

118,386

 

120,531

 

121,513

 

121,544

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

274

 

2,591

 

34,249

 

84,696

 

108,738

 

108,776

 

108,837

 

110,379

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

107

 

7,235

 

9,707

 

13,553

 

26,963

 

29,224

 

30,500

 

33,784

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

1,319

 

8,351

 

26,339

 

47,500

 

53,168

 

56,203

 

120,945

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

309

 

8,309

 

36,402

 

60,422

 

72,065

 

77,530

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

1,045

 

61,109

 

132,702

 

141,538

 

154,763

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

8,380

 

28,876

 

66,220

 

110,037

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

8,699

 

49,617

 

96,230

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

15,162

 

57,715

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

19,219

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

1,429

 

618

 

989

 

552

 

6,299

 

15,616

 

16,506

 

17,369

 

23,361

 

22,058

 

32,290

 

45,256

 

55,760

 

2003

 

23

 

13,124

 

25,852

 

33,579

 

58,980

 

59,141

 

57,667

 

57,575

 

57,537

 

57,534

 

58,484

 

58,476

 

 

 

2004

 

1,007

 

540

 

816

 

915

 

7,822

 

24,831

 

25,154

 

34,193

 

35,432

 

43,150

 

56,754

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

30,852

 

109,619

 

113,339

 

119,923

 

124,573

 

124,781

 

123,362

 

149,613

 

137,571

 

137,844

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

165

 

30,097

 

39,318

 

90,005

 

92,725

 

108,758

 

108,816

 

110,876

 

110,379

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

4,131

 

15,419

 

15,970

 

32,500

 

37,670

 

38,733

 

37,800

 

37,010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

8,193

 

26,768

 

52,114

 

52,723

 

56,855

 

70,897

 

121,524

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1,876

 

35,225

 

49,792

 

70,495

 

83,552

 

81,819

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

70,055

 

131,974

 

159,214

 

165,337

 

174,752

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

34,513

 

109,349

 

160,328

 

173,741

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

57,620

 

91,112

 

138,999

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

56,177

 

99,242

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

61,255

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

2

%

1

%

1

%

1

%

7

%

18

%

19

%

20

%

27

%

25

%

37

%

51

%

63

%

2003

 

0

%

5

%

10

%

13

%

23

%

23

%

22

%

22

%

22

%

22

%

23

%

23

%

 

 

2004

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

2

%

7

%

8

%

10

%

11

%

13

%

17

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

10

%

37

%

38

%

40

%

42

%

42

%

41

%

50

%

46

%

46

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

0

%

11

%

14

%

33

%

34

%

39

%

40

%

40

%

40

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

2

%

6

%

6

%

12

%

14

%

15

%

14

%

14

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

3

%

11

%

21

%

22

%

23

%

29

%

50

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1

%

13

%

19

%

27

%

32

%

31

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

24

%

45

%

55

%

57

%

60

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

10

%

33

%

48

%

52

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

14

%

22

%

34

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

10

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

88,051

 

47,524

 

8,236

 

55,760

 

7,235

 

62,994

 

71.5

%

15,470

 

2003

 

257,017

 

58,446

 

30

 

58,476

 

23,357

 

81,833

 

31.8

%

23,387

 

2004

 

332,389

 

42,687

 

14,067

 

56,754

 

34,617

 

91,371

 

27.5

%

48,684

 

2005

 

297,511

 

121,544

 

16,300

 

137,844

 

45,906

 

183,750

 

61.8

%

62,206

 

2006

 

275,405

 

110,379

 

 

110,379

 

39,793

 

150,172

 

54.5

%

39,793

 

2007

 

264,680

 

33,784

 

3,225

 

37,010

 

45,809

 

82,819

 

31.3

%

49,034

 

2008

 

243,673

 

120,945

 

579

 

121,524

 

47,033

 

168,557

 

69.2

%

47,612

 

2009

 

265,068

 

77,530

 

4,289

 

81,819

 

78,582

 

160,401

 

60.5

%

82,872

 

2010

 

290,498

 

154,763

 

19,989

 

174,752

 

105,788

 

280,540

 

96.6

%

125,777

 

2011

 

333,193

 

110,037

 

63,704

 

173,741

 

131,685

 

305,425

 

91.7

%

195,389

 

2012

 

410,539

 

96,230

 

42,769

 

138,999

 

168,979

 

307,977

 

75.0

%

211,748

 

2013

 

540,110

 

57,715

 

41,528

 

99,242

 

279,906

 

379,148

 

70.2

%

321,433

 

2014

 

656,303

 

19,219

 

42,036

 

61,255

 

372,181

 

433,436

 

66.0

%

414,217

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

4,254,436

 

1,050,802

 

256,753

 

1,307,555

 

1,380,869

 

2,688,424

 

63.2

%

1,637,622

 

 

14



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Professional Liability Lines Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

10

 

61

 

5,225

 

13,909

 

45,884

 

59,860

 

59,930

 

59,944

 

59,984

 

62,538

 

62,538

 

62,540

 

2003

 

20

 

80

 

603

 

802

 

6,002

 

16,936

 

17,238

 

26,397

 

26,479

 

27,620

 

27,634

 

28,261

 

 

 

2004

 

15

 

683

 

7,406

 

29,477

 

30,403

 

39,004

 

48,452

 

48,571

 

48,702

 

48,721

 

48,766

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

95

 

3,328

 

7,370

 

23,528

 

24,320

 

44,267

 

44,547

 

44,851

 

66,526

 

66,685

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

296

 

6,850

 

44,815

 

59,330

 

88,030

 

97,134

 

111,154

 

121,125

 

174,147

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

1,401

 

12,296

 

41,310

 

66,992

 

77,189

 

91,900

 

97,010

 

98,165

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

2,750

 

22,943

 

46,656

 

103,602

 

162,592

 

193,830

 

211,287

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

6,051

 

31,866

 

52,805

 

68,042

 

91,771

 

125,441

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

9,628

 

43,547

 

70,837

 

97,257

 

121,100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

15,377

 

70,623

 

147,005

 

176,964

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

17,676

 

76,777

 

137,900

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

11,317

 

59,402

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

15,145

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

2,010

 

7,062

 

23,775

 

28,000

 

47,706

 

60,648

 

59,930

 

59,944

 

59,984

 

62,538

 

62,538

 

62,540

 

2003

 

60

 

243

 

858

 

6,255

 

33,468

 

41,460

 

44,712

 

42,038

 

43,597

 

43,237

 

50,759

 

67,580

 

 

 

2004

 

434

 

1,692

 

8,106

 

32,701

 

55,437

 

55,592

 

61,361

 

60,795

 

60,926

 

55,930

 

55,975

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

3,931

 

15,625

 

48,363

 

51,426

 

50,281

 

58,062

 

58,190

 

59,136

 

67,575

 

76,773

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

41,225

 

52,944

 

92,820

 

120,819

 

133,887

 

185,213

 

184,305

 

177,967

 

179,075

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

11,223

 

47,137

 

111,624

 

143,673

 

135,584

 

124,918

 

129,073

 

136,781

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

17,483

 

86,164

 

126,011

 

175,230

 

214,566

 

223,464

 

232,329

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

20,752

 

62,075

 

79,290

 

92,922

 

160,122

 

190,773

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

30,731

 

70,628

 

107,204

 

119,358

 

141,303

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

47,123

 

120,843

 

195,734

 

220,619

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

47,124

 

168,886

 

267,349

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

45,849

 

104,557

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

43,123

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

0

%

3

%

12

%

40

%

47

%

80

%

102

%

101

%

101

%

101

%

105

%

105

%

105

%

2003

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

3

%

14

%

17

%

19

%

18

%

18

%

18

%

21

%

28

%

 

 

2004

 

0

%

1

%

3

%

10

%

17

%

17

%

19

%

19

%

19

%

17

%

17

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

1

%

4

%

14

%

15

%

14

%

16

%

17

%

17

%

19

%

22

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

10

%

13

%

23

%

31

%

34

%

47

%

47

%

45

%

45

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3

%

11

%

26

%

33

%

31

%

29

%

30

%

32

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

4

%

19

%

28

%

38

%

47

%

49

%

51

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

4

%

12

%

16

%

18

%

32

%

38

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

6

%

15

%

23

%

25

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

10

%

25

%

41

%

46

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

9

%

32

%

51

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

8

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

59,558

 

62,540

 

 

62,540

 

2,159

 

64,698

 

108.6

%

2,159

 

2003

 

237,656

 

28,261

 

39,319

 

67,580

 

9,608

 

77,188

 

32.5

%

48,927

 

2004

 

321,801

 

48,766

 

7,209

 

55,975

 

14,463

 

70,438

 

21.9

%

21,672

 

2005

 

352,174

 

66,685

 

10,088

 

76,773

 

22,067

 

98,840

 

28.1

%

32,155

 

2006

 

395,104

 

174,147

 

4,928

 

179,075

 

23,499

 

202,573

 

51.3

%

28,427

 

2007

 

431,009

 

98,165

 

38,616

 

136,781

 

28,667

 

165,448

 

38.4

%

67,283

 

2008

 

457,068

 

211,287

 

21,042

 

232,329

 

77,742

 

310,071

 

67.8

%

98,784

 

2009

 

506,027

 

125,441

 

65,332

 

190,773

 

53,324

 

244,097

 

48.2

%

118,656

 

2010

 

475,071

 

121,100

 

20,204

 

141,303

 

120,704

 

262,007

 

55.2

%

140,908

 

2011

 

475,741

 

176,964

 

43,655

 

220,619

 

155,280

 

375,899

 

79.0

%

198,935

 

2012

 

523,494

 

137,900

 

129,449

 

267,349

 

200,107

 

467,456

 

89.3

%

329,556

 

2013

 

568,088

 

59,402

 

45,154

 

104,557

 

293,883

 

398,439

 

70.1

%

339,037

 

2014

 

585,737

 

15,145

 

27,977

 

43,123

 

343,027

 

386,150

 

65.9

%

371,005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

5,388,527

 

1,325,802

 

452,973

 

1,778,775

 

1,344,528

 

3,123,304

 

58.0

%

1,797,501

 

 

15



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Healthcare Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

835

 

2,158

 

3,209

 

5,533

 

8,008

 

8,020

 

8,023

 

8,025

 

8,025

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

2003

 

1

 

4,202

 

11,148

 

13,777

 

14,724

 

18,198

 

18,756

 

20,074

 

20,104

 

23,203

 

23,682

 

24,210

 

 

 

2004

 

2

 

852

 

5,892

 

9,738

 

12,694

 

13,229

 

13,379

 

13,786

 

15,325

 

16,432

 

17,060

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

277

 

2,861

 

4,941

 

10,255

 

11,122

 

11,692

 

13,475

 

13,647

 

14,205

 

15,012

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

381

 

4,009

 

5,864

 

12,839

 

16,034

 

19,443

 

22,350

 

22,403

 

22,478

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

944

 

7,190

 

17,307

 

20,125

 

23,303

 

32,100

 

41,666

 

42,528

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

793

 

9,776

 

18,469

 

28,147

 

34,461

 

37,679

 

40,462

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

6,586

 

16,658

 

27,046

 

38,893

 

65,611

 

104,218

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

2,139

 

12,035

 

32,320

 

51,166

 

69,401

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

1,952

 

15,628

 

58,652

 

96,232

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

1,917

 

19,552

 

47,615

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

3,334

 

21,868

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

1,638

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

130

 

1,350

 

5,450

 

8,985

 

8,910

 

8,444

 

8,121

 

8,086

 

8,046

 

8,042

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

2003

 

345

 

11,153

 

20,246

 

20,723

 

20,529

 

23,625

 

23,160

 

23,420

 

23,793

 

25,905

 

24,294

 

24,893

 

 

 

2004

 

1,849

 

6,406

 

12,190

 

14,720

 

14,999

 

16,045

 

15,928

 

15,944

 

17,967

 

16,524

 

17,064

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

5,566

 

11,649

 

15,497

 

14,435

 

13,384

 

13,710

 

14,639

 

15,443

 

15,803

 

15,283

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

5,666

 

11,753

 

13,222

 

17,022

 

19,082

 

24,650

 

23,322

 

23,184

 

22,478

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3,773

 

15,281

 

24,537

 

37,172

 

39,822

 

45,816

 

44,230

 

44,551

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

3,801

 

19,115

 

33,315

 

40,238

 

45,251

 

46,688

 

47,868

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

10,999

 

29,590

 

48,289

 

72,916

 

97,231

 

110,718

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

11,731

 

38,553

 

77,291

 

83,261

 

86,459

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

10,479

 

50,825

 

100,134

 

121,351

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

15,082

 

56,582

 

79,464

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

10,764

 

83,143

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

7,843

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

0

%

3

%

14

%

23

%

22

%

21

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

2003

 

0

%

15

%

27

%

27

%

27

%

31

%

30

%

31

%

31

%

34

%

32

%

33

%

 

 

2004

 

2

%

5

%

10

%

12

%

12

%

13

%

13

%

13

%

15

%

14

%

14

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

4

%

9

%

11

%

11

%

10

%

10

%

11

%

11

%

12

%

11

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

4

%

8

%

9

%

11

%

13

%

16

%

16

%

15

%

15

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3

%

10

%

17

%

25

%

27

%

31

%

30

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

2

%

11

%

20

%

24

%

27

%

27

%

28

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

6

%

15

%

24

%

37

%

49

%

56

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

5

%

17

%

35

%

37

%

39

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

5

%

22

%

44

%

53

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

6

%

24

%

33

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

5

%

36

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

39,904

 

8,027

 

 

8,027

 

 

8,027

 

20.1

%

 

2003

 

76,140

 

24,210

 

682

 

24,893

 

1,016

 

25,909

 

34.0

%

1,699

 

2004

 

120,800

 

17,060

 

4

 

17,064

 

1,479

 

18,543

 

15.4

%

1,483

 

2005

 

136,577

 

15,012

 

271

 

15,283

 

2,568

 

17,851

 

13.1

%

2,839

 

2006

 

150,401

 

22,478

 

0

 

22,478

 

2,383

 

24,861

 

16.5

%

2,383

 

2007

 

147,720

 

42,528

 

2,022

 

44,551

 

5,216

 

49,766

 

33.7

%

7,238

 

2008

 

170,600

 

40,462

 

7,406

 

47,868

 

8,118

 

55,986

 

32.8

%

15,524

 

2009

 

197,314

 

104,218

 

6,500

 

110,718

 

10,402

 

121,121

 

61.4

%

16,903

 

2010

 

222,171

 

69,401

 

17,058

 

86,459

 

25,601

 

112,060

 

50.4

%

42,659

 

2011

 

228,445

 

96,232

 

25,118

 

121,351

 

34,031

 

155,382

 

68.0

%

59,150

 

2012

 

237,910

 

47,615

 

31,849

 

79,464

 

64,344

 

143,808

 

60.4

%

96,193

 

2013

 

233,745

 

21,868

 

61,275

 

83,143

 

91,439

 

174,582

 

74.7

%

152,714

 

2014

 

205,262

 

1,638

 

6,204

 

7,843

 

122,769

 

130,612

 

63.6

%

128,973

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

2,166,988

 

510,750

 

158,390

 

669,140

 

369,367

 

1,038,507

 

47.9

%

527,757

 

 

16



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Specialty Lines Insurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

 

202

 

2,820

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

324

 

7,413

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

22,178

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

 

210

 

3,250

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

420

 

9,891

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

29,385

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

0

%

2

%

24

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

1

%

29

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

40

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2010

 

153

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2011

 

3,124

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2012

 

13,763

 

2,820

 

430

 

3,250

 

111

 

3,361

 

24.4

%

541

 

2013

 

33,696

 

7,413

 

2,478

 

9,891

 

11,957

 

21,848

 

64.8

%

14,435

 

2014

 

73,524

 

22,178

 

7,207

 

29,385

 

27,983

 

57,368

 

78.0

%

35,190

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

124,260

 

32,411

 

10,116

 

42,526

 

40,051

 

82,577

 

66.5

%

50,166

 

 

17



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

Excluding large losses

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Property Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

2,572

 

27,085

 

39,606

 

43,638

 

48,955

 

49,063

 

49,154

 

49,054

 

49,066

 

49,067

 

49,067

 

49,067

 

49,071

 

2003

 

49,208

 

118,094

 

163,485

 

175,303

 

175,715

 

175,379

 

179,293

 

179,283

 

179,378

 

179,392

 

179,412

 

179,410

 

 

 

2004

 

25,256

 

94,518

 

131,352

 

141,420

 

148,139

 

149,307

 

150,467

 

150,907

 

152,189

 

152,736

 

152,803

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

40,373

 

99,880

 

138,713

 

161,091

 

165,024

 

165,290

 

166,393

 

164,486

 

167,270

 

166,962

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

12,871

 

46,209

 

76,773

 

87,886

 

93,293

 

94,060

 

95,230

 

98,988

 

98,771

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

20,325

 

62,106

 

79,511

 

86,918

 

89,091

 

94,204

 

101,836

 

101,156

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

38,751

 

84,955

 

109,698

 

117,040

 

121,119

 

125,558

 

125,665

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

15,993

 

42,846

 

50,242

 

53,634

 

54,424

 

54,457

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

29,325

 

67,717

 

83,322

 

92,881

 

96,993

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

31,764

 

79,873

 

119,623

 

128,865

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

17,121

 

43,658

 

53,675

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

29,985

 

66,434

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

39,548

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

15,359

 

48,581

 

50,631

 

50,905

 

49,787

 

49,206

 

50,347

 

49,066

 

49,066

 

49,067

 

49,067

 

49,067

 

49,071

 

2003

 

130,863

 

173,192

 

187,840

 

187,279

 

182,859

 

180,769

 

179,873

 

179,676

 

179,641

 

179,619

 

179,638

 

179,636

 

 

 

2004

 

83,824

 

136,345

 

156,171

 

159,157

 

156,810

 

153,693

 

152,326

 

151,247

 

152,540

 

153,117

 

153,094

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

99,789

 

152,456

 

173,462

 

173,122

 

172,390

 

167,846

 

167,108

 

164,600

 

167,408

 

167,069

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

65,486

 

96,268

 

101,170

 

99,127

 

97,845

 

96,643

 

98,153

 

101,414

 

100,204

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

91,985

 

107,261

 

107,409

 

105,592

 

105,695

 

105,889

 

107,814

 

106,996

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

153,019

 

152,847

 

136,537

 

128,392

 

126,912

 

125,946

 

125,628

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

59,002

 

61,631

 

60,966

 

60,584

 

55,866

 

55,584

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

70,807

 

99,751

 

100,178

 

98,475

 

99,459

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

109,473

 

134,352

 

133,262

 

135,886

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

55,943

 

63,487

 

62,017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

76,222

 

86,914

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

104,726

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

9

%

28

%

29

%

30

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

2003

 

37

%

49

%

53

%

53

%

51

%

51

%

50

%

50

%

50

%

50

%

50

%

50

%

 

 

2004

 

25

%

41

%

47

%

48

%

47

%

46

%

46

%

45

%

46

%

46

%

46

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

44

%

67

%

76

%

76

%

76

%

74

%

74

%

73

%

74

%

74

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

34

%

50

%

53

%

52

%

51

%

51

%

51

%

53

%

53

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

51

%

59

%

60

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

60

%

59

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

88

%

88

%

79

%

74

%

73

%

72

%

72

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

41

%

43

%

43

%

42

%

39

%

39

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

55

%

78

%

78

%

77

%

77

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

78

%

96

%

95

%

97

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

30

%

34

%

34

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

38

%

44

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

52

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

171,696

 

49,071

 

 

49,071

 

 

49,071

 

28.6

%

 

2003

 

356,275

 

179,410

 

227

 

179,636

 

76

 

179,713

 

50.4

%

303

 

2004

 

333,170

 

152,803

 

290

 

153,094

 

(39

)

153,055

 

45.9

%

252

 

2005

 

226,828

 

166,962

 

107

 

167,069

 

83

 

167,152

 

73.7

%

190

 

2006

 

190,783

 

98,771

 

1,433

 

100,204

 

208

 

100,412

 

52.6

%

1,641

 

2007

 

180,460

 

101,156

 

5,840

 

106,996

 

435

 

107,431

 

59.5

%

6,275

 

2008

 

173,790

 

125,665

 

(37

)

125,628

 

358

 

125,986

 

72.5

%

321

 

2009

 

142,872

 

54,457

 

1,127

 

55,584

 

356

 

55,940

 

39.2

%

1,483

 

2010

 

128,427

 

96,993

 

2,466

 

99,459

 

4,496

 

103,955

 

80.9

%

6,962

 

2011

 

139,897

 

128,865

 

7,021

 

135,886

 

7,574

 

143,460

 

102.5

%

14,594

 

2012

 

184,341

 

53,675

 

8,342

 

62,017

 

10,798

 

72,815

 

39.5

%

19,140

 

2013

 

198,607

 

66,434

 

20,479

 

86,914

 

12,169

 

99,082

 

49.9

%

32,648

 

2014

 

203,256

 

39,548

 

65,178

 

104,726

 

4,394

 

109,120

 

53.7

%

69,572

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

2,630,403

 

1,313,810

 

112,473

 

1,426,283

 

40,907

 

1,467,190

 

55.8

%

153,380

 

 

18



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

General Casualty Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

0

 

0

 

185

 

464

 

2,848

 

4,691

 

5,591

 

6,574

 

7,802

 

8,662

 

9,887

 

32,509

 

47,524

 

2003

 

0

 

461

 

16,018

 

18,499

 

29,401

 

55,139

 

57,457

 

57,462

 

57,486

 

57,533

 

58,350

 

58,422

 

 

 

2004

 

0

 

14

 

77

 

506

 

5,053

 

7,545

 

16,465

 

21,745

 

28,834

 

32,156

 

39,645

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

15

 

26,496

 

31,126

 

60,576

 

62,700

 

93,736

 

93,977

 

95,881

 

96,746

 

96,775

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

266

 

2,570

 

29,999

 

56,694

 

72,659

 

72,688

 

72,748

 

74,285

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

90

 

6,212

 

7,646

 

11,171

 

23,180

 

25,344

 

26,630

 

28,240

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

1,114

 

5,663

 

18,971

 

35,915

 

39,859

 

42,103

 

78,487

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

308

 

5,891

 

25,347

 

45,889

 

53,478

 

57,537

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

932

 

33,959

 

81,399

 

89,512

 

101,020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

6,911

 

24,609

 

51,559

 

84,515

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

8,513

 

43,462

 

77,538

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

14,231

 

49,484

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

14,004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

1,429

 

618

 

989

 

552

 

6,299

 

15,616

 

16,506

 

17,369

 

23,361

 

22,058

 

32,290

 

45,256

 

55,760

 

2003

 

23

 

13,124

 

25,852

 

33,578

 

58,980

 

59,140

 

57,666

 

57,574

 

57,536

 

57,533

 

58,480

 

58,452

 

 

 

2004

 

1,007

 

532

 

802

 

668

 

7,207

 

21,354

 

21,803

 

30,832

 

32,090

 

39,808

 

53,371

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

30,852

 

85,663

 

89,087

 

95,511

 

100,049

 

100,281

 

98,800

 

123,397

 

112,804

 

113,070

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

165

 

27,081

 

35,290

 

61,938

 

63,445

 

72,671

 

72,728

 

74,787

 

74,285

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

4,081

 

13,364

 

13,836

 

28,498

 

31,557

 

32,539

 

31,970

 

31,398

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

5,543

 

19,509

 

39,067

 

39,434

 

42,650

 

53,002

 

78,958

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1,875

 

23,928

 

32,781

 

51,965

 

60,412

 

59,277

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

46,228

 

81,263

 

100,397

 

105,190

 

113,478

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

29,292

 

67,676

 

105,550

 

117,733

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

43,065

 

77,426

 

116,038

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

47,253

 

85,812

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

50,613

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

2

%

1

%

1

%

1

%

7

%

18

%

19

%

20

%

27

%

25

%

37

%

51

%

63

%

2003

 

0

%

6

%

11

%

14

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

 

 

2004

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

3

%

8

%

8

%

11

%

12

%

15

%

20

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

13

%

36

%

38

%

40

%

42

%

42

%

42

%

52

%

48

%

48

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

0

%

13

%

16

%

29

%

30

%

34

%

34

%

35

%

35

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

2

%

7

%

7

%

15

%

16

%

17

%

17

%

16

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

3

%

12

%

24

%

24

%

26

%

33

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1

%

14

%

19

%

30

%

35

%

34

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

24

%

42

%

51

%

54

%

58

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

13

%

30

%

47

%

53

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

16

%

28

%

42

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

13

%

24

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

11

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

88,051

 

47,524

 

8,236

 

55,760

 

7,231

 

62,990

 

71.5

%

15,466

 

2003

 

233,589

 

58,422

 

30

 

58,452

 

21,280

 

79,732

 

34.1

%

21,310

 

2004

 

271,160

 

39,645

 

13,727

 

53,371

 

27,548

 

80,919

 

29.8

%

41,274

 

2005

 

236,587

 

96,775

 

16,296

 

113,070

 

36,618

 

149,688

 

63.3

%

52,913

 

2006

 

214,376

 

74,285

 

 

74,285

 

30,715

 

105,000

 

49.0

%

30,715

 

2007

 

192,097

 

28,240

 

3,158

 

31,398

 

33,211

 

64,609

 

33.6

%

36,369

 

2008

 

162,750

 

78,487

 

471

 

78,958

 

30,944

 

109,901

 

67.5

%

31,414

 

2009

 

172,403

 

57,537

 

1,740

 

59,277

 

47,402

 

106,679

 

61.9

%

49,142

 

2010

 

195,237

 

101,020

 

12,457

 

113,478

 

66,508

 

179,986

 

92.2

%

78,965

 

2011

 

222,493

 

84,515

 

33,218

 

117,733

 

73,590

 

191,323

 

86.0

%

106,808

 

2012

 

274,262

 

77,538

 

38,499

 

116,038

 

91,724

 

207,762

 

75.8

%

130,224

 

2013

 

355,375

 

49,484

 

36,327

 

85,812

 

159,726

 

245,538

 

69.1

%

196,054

 

2014

 

443,757

 

14,004

 

36,609

 

50,613

 

236,983

 

287,596

 

64.8

%

273,592

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

3,062,137

 

807,475

 

200,768

 

1,008,243

 

863,480

 

1,871,723

 

61.1

%

1,064,248

 

 

19



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Professional Liability Lines Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

10

 

61

 

5,225

 

13,909

 

45,884

 

59,860

 

59,930

 

59,944

 

59,984

 

62,538

 

62,538

 

62,540

 

2003

 

20

 

80

 

603

 

799

 

5,997

 

15,424

 

15,727

 

24,885

 

24,967

 

26,108

 

26,122

 

26,749

 

 

 

2004

 

15

 

681

 

7,403

 

29,464

 

30,384

 

38,983

 

48,431

 

48,537

 

48,664

 

48,681

 

48,725

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

95

 

3,328

 

7,272

 

18,291

 

19,043

 

40,954

 

41,214

 

41,518

 

63,193

 

63,352

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

266

 

4,296

 

34,123

 

48,611

 

70,853

 

79,956

 

93,976

 

103,946

 

155,841

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

1,312

 

11,982

 

36,732

 

56,952

 

66,212

 

77,668

 

81,848

 

82,974

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

2,728

 

20,856

 

38,433

 

81,913

 

130,144

 

154,778

 

170,812

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

5,938

 

30,737

 

51,066

 

65,487

 

87,231

 

115,405

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

9,575

 

43,251

 

69,631

 

93,515

 

112,462

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

15,257

 

65,775

 

125,150

 

151,474

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

17,643

 

72,702

 

125,251

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

11,208

 

57,425

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

14,545

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

2,010

 

7,062

 

23,775

 

28,000

 

47,706

 

60,648

 

59,930

 

59,944

 

59,984

 

62,538

 

62,538

 

62,540

 

2003

 

60

 

243

 

858

 

6,252

 

31,963

 

39,947

 

43,200

 

40,526

 

42,085

 

41,725

 

49,247

 

66,068

 

 

 

2004

 

434

 

1,690

 

8,102

 

32,688

 

55,417

 

55,570

 

61,340

 

60,761

 

60,888

 

55,890

 

55,934

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

3,931

 

12,613

 

40,988

 

43,748

 

42,802

 

54,727

 

54,855

 

55,801

 

64,240

 

73,438

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

41,109

 

40,424

 

77,728

 

97,820

 

112,069

 

162,521

 

161,730

 

159,555

 

160,436

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

10,557

 

30,869

 

79,692

 

107,002

 

112,600

 

106,267

 

110,413

 

114,531

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

15,136

 

72,016

 

104,703

 

144,350

 

174,781

 

182,616

 

186,339

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

20,418

 

59,130

 

74,956

 

86,676

 

141,375

 

167,101

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

30,527

 

68,384

 

101,151

 

111,877

 

130,615

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

46,013

 

113,706

 

164,253

 

187,073

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

45,869

 

154,392

 

219,967

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

45,186

 

101,087

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

41,319

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

0

%

3

%

12

%

40

%

47

%

80

%

102

%

101

%

101

%

101

%

105

%

105

%

105

%

2003

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

3

%

14

%

17

%

19

%

17

%

18

%

18

%

21

%

28

%

 

 

2004

 

0

%

1

%

3

%

11

%

18

%

18

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

18

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

1

%

4

%

13

%

13

%

13

%

17

%

17

%

17

%

20

%

22

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

12

%

12

%

23

%

28

%

33

%

47

%

47

%

46

%

47

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3

%

9

%

23

%

31

%

32

%

30

%

32

%

33

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

4

%

21

%

31

%

42

%

51

%

53

%

54

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

5

%

15

%

19

%

22

%

36

%

43

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

9

%

19

%

28

%

31

%

37

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

13

%

32

%

47

%

53

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

13

%

42

%

60

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

11

%

26

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

10

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

59,558

 

62,540

 

 

62,540

 

2,159

 

64,698

 

108.6

%

2,159

 

2003

 

232,141

 

26,749

 

39,319

 

66,068

 

9,358

 

75,426

 

32.5

%

48,677

 

2004

 

304,642

 

48,725

 

7,209

 

55,934

 

13,686

 

69,621

 

22.9

%

20,895

 

2005

 

326,766

 

63,352

 

10,086

 

73,438

 

21,184

 

94,622

 

29.0

%

31,270

 

2006

 

343,955

 

155,841

 

4,595

 

160,436

 

22,149

 

182,585

 

53.1

%

26,744

 

2007

 

350,081

 

82,974

 

31,557

 

114,531

 

24,998

 

139,529

 

39.9

%

56,555

 

2008

 

342,038

 

170,812

 

15,527

 

186,339

 

61,926

 

248,265

 

72.6

%

77,453

 

2009

 

387,530

 

115,405

 

51,696

 

167,101

 

43,684

 

210,784

 

54.4

%

95,380

 

2010

 

355,437

 

112,462

 

18,152

 

130,615

 

86,521

 

217,135

 

61.1

%

104,673

 

2011

 

352,026

 

151,474

 

35,599

 

187,073

 

98,966

 

286,039

 

81.3

%

134,565

 

2012

 

365,086

 

125,251

 

94,716

 

219,967

 

117,014

 

336,981

 

92.3

%

211,730

 

2013

 

393,010

 

57,425

 

43,662

 

101,087

 

179,414

 

280,500

 

71.4

%

223,075

 

2014

 

421,011

 

14,545

 

26,775

 

41,319

 

236,172

 

277,491

 

65.9

%

262,946

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

4,233,281

 

1,187,554

 

378,894

 

1,566,448

 

917,229

 

2,483,677

 

58.7

%

1,296,122

 

 

20



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Healthcare Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

835

 

2,158

 

3,209

 

5,533

 

8,008

 

8,020

 

8,023

 

8,025

 

8,025

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

2003

 

1

 

4,202

 

11,148

 

13,777

 

14,724

 

18,198

 

18,756

 

20,074

 

20,104

 

23,203

 

23,682

 

24,210

 

 

 

2004

 

2

 

841

 

5,881

 

9,727

 

12,683

 

13,218

 

13,368

 

13,775

 

15,315

 

16,421

 

17,049

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

237

 

2,681

 

4,577

 

9,493

 

10,026

 

10,549

 

11,912

 

12,068

 

12,622

 

13,423

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

308

 

2,652

 

4,428

 

8,749

 

11,948

 

14,604

 

16,824

 

16,875

 

16,950

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

934

 

6,029

 

15,608

 

18,396

 

21,564

 

25,807

 

35,089

 

35,936

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

789

 

7,893

 

15,849

 

25,510

 

31,383

 

33,650

 

36,080

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

4,581

 

14,167

 

24,510

 

35,976

 

54,691

 

77,317

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

2,135

 

12,031

 

31,600

 

49,743

 

63,932

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

1,923

 

15,082

 

51,054

 

81,843

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

1,903

 

17,840

 

38,377

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

3,244

 

15,258

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

1,588

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

130

 

1,350

 

5,450

 

8,985

 

8,910

 

8,444

 

8,121

 

8,086

 

8,046

 

8,042

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

2003

 

345

 

11,153

 

20,246

 

20,723

 

20,529

 

23,625

 

23,160

 

23,420

 

23,793

 

25,905

 

24,294

 

24,893

 

 

 

2004

 

1,846

 

6,395

 

12,054

 

14,584

 

14,863

 

15,909

 

15,917

 

15,933

 

17,957

 

16,514

 

17,053

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

5,197

 

10,142

 

13,483

 

12,473

 

11,766

 

12,116

 

12,937

 

13,753

 

14,113

 

13,593

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

4,267

 

8,926

 

10,239

 

12,740

 

14,827

 

17,791

 

17,796

 

17,657

 

16,950

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3,603

 

13,040

 

22,295

 

31,659

 

34,971

 

35,581

 

37,622

 

37,940

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

3,786

 

16,754

 

29,522

 

35,794

 

38,252

 

39,607

 

39,769

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

8,941

 

26,830

 

45,105

 

61,791

 

77,272

 

82,762

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

11,044

 

37,863

 

69,498

 

76,309

 

77,576

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

10,218

 

48,409

 

87,339

 

105,141

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

15,061

 

46,588

 

65,631

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

10,502

 

59,287

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

7,267

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

0

%

3

%

14

%

23

%

22

%

21

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

20

%

2003

 

0

%

15

%

27

%

28

%

27

%

31

%

31

%

31

%

32

%

35

%

32

%

33

%

 

 

2004

 

2

%

6

%

10

%

13

%

13

%

14

%

14

%

14

%

16

%

14

%

15

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

4

%

9

%

11

%

11

%

10

%

10

%

11

%

12

%

12

%

11

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

3

%

7

%

8

%

10

%

12

%

14

%

14

%

14

%

14

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3

%

11

%

19

%

27

%

30

%

30

%

32

%

32

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

3

%

13

%

22

%

27

%

29

%

30

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

6

%

18

%

30

%

41

%

51

%

55

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

6

%

22

%

41

%

45

%

46

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

6

%

28

%

50

%

61

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

9

%

26

%

37

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

6

%

34

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

5

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

39,904

 

8,027

 

 

8,027

 

 

8,027

 

20.1

%

 

2003

 

75,002

 

24,210

 

682

 

24,893

 

1,014

 

25,907

 

34.5

%

1,697

 

2004

 

114,883

 

17,049

 

4

 

17,053

 

1,479

 

18,532

 

16.1

%

1,483

 

2005

 

118,565

 

13,423

 

170

 

13,593

 

2,566

 

16,159

 

13.6

%

2,737

 

2006

 

124,024

 

16,950

 

0

 

16,950

 

2,299

 

19,249

 

15.5

%

2,299

 

2007

 

117,774

 

35,936

 

2,004

 

37,940

 

4,342

 

42,282

 

35.9

%

6,346

 

2008

 

131,428

 

36,080

 

3,689

 

39,769

 

6,656

 

46,426

 

35.3

%

10,346

 

2009

 

150,183

 

77,317

 

5,445

 

82,762

 

7,751

 

90,513

 

60.3

%

13,196

 

2010

 

170,003

 

63,932

 

13,644

 

77,576

 

18,695

 

96,271

 

56.6

%

32,339

 

2011

 

173,748

 

81,843

 

23,298

 

105,141

 

23,502

 

128,643

 

74.0

%

46,800

 

2012

 

176,483

 

38,377

 

27,254

 

65,631

 

46,933

 

112,565

 

63.8

%

74,188

 

2013

 

173,347

 

15,258

 

44,029

 

59,287

 

67,698

 

126,984

 

73.3

%

111,726

 

2014

 

158,161

 

1,588

 

5,679

 

7,267

 

93,197

 

100,464

 

63.5

%

98,877

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,723,504

 

429,990

 

125,899

 

555,888

 

276,133

 

832,022

 

48.3

%

402,032

 

 

21



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Specialty Lines Insurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

 

126

 

1,778

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

189

 

5,214

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

13,075

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

 

131

 

2,048

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

245

 

6,720

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

18,429

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Accident

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

0

%

0

%

0

%

0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

0

%

1

%

22

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

1

%

28

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

39

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2010

 

153

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2011

 

2,470

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

2012

 

9,471

 

1,778

 

270

 

2,048

 

60

 

2,109

 

22.3

%

330

 

2013

 

24,246

 

5,214

 

1,506

 

6,720

 

9,888

 

16,608

 

68.5

%

11,394

 

2014

 

47,544

 

13,075

 

5,353

 

18,429

 

17,811

 

36,239

 

76.2

%

23,164

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

83,884

 

20,068

 

7,129

 

27,197

 

27,759

 

54,956

 

65.5

%

34,888

 

 

22



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Property Catastrophe Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

101

 

2,131

 

4,161

 

4,194

 

4,310

 

4,310

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

2003

 

3,977

 

6,251

 

6,882

 

6,831

 

6,843

 

7,235

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

 

 

2004

 

17,379

 

47,475

 

55,350

 

57,786

 

59,259

 

60,040

 

60,489

 

60,852

 

61,286

 

61,324

 

61,738

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

35,255

 

121,814

 

141,709

 

148,497

 

151,206

 

152,497

 

152,998

 

153,327

 

153,722

 

153,867

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

710

 

8,912

 

9,671

 

9,829

 

9,903

 

9,917

 

9,917

 

9,917

 

9,917

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3,999

 

12,770

 

12,511

 

12,767

 

12,561

 

12,603

 

12,641

 

12,644

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

15,798

 

26,979

 

30,619

 

32,007

 

33,204

 

33,596

 

33,677

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

269

 

905

 

2,977

 

4,139

 

4,664

 

4,794

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

3,798

 

54,580

 

76,523

 

86,082

 

95,651

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

22,254

 

64,133

 

103,495

 

117,937

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

26,282

 

65,659

 

77,277

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

13,043

 

50,071

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

32,418

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

3,041

 

5,163

 

4,370

 

4,390

 

4,372

 

4,371

 

4,356

 

4,356

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

2003

 

6,172

 

7,561

 

7,009

 

6,920

 

6,939

 

7,235

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

 

 

2004

 

33,642

 

56,808

 

59,396

 

60,325

 

60,712

 

61,073

 

60,889

 

61,110

 

61,373

 

61,373

 

61,748

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

130,142

 

151,004

 

151,495

 

153,665

 

154,739

 

155,285

 

155,383

 

155,317

 

154,028

 

154,040

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

3,275

 

9,580

 

9,885

 

10,172

 

10,131

 

10,136

 

10,131

 

10,141

 

10,122

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

17,051

 

15,664

 

13,584

 

13,412

 

12,847

 

12,778

 

12,789

 

12,694

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

31,318

 

32,595

 

33,106

 

33,901

 

33,952

 

33,896

 

33,823

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

2,557

 

5,613

 

5,246

 

5,281

 

5,051

 

5,066

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

32,490

 

86,547

 

103,457

 

100,107

 

102,928

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

89,719

 

123,934

 

124,451

 

125,298

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

55,315

 

84,386

 

83,920

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

46,205

 

73,575

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

69,124

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

9

%

13

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

2003

 

12

%

12

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

 

 

2004

 

60

%

84

%

87

%

89

%

89

%

90

%

90

%

90

%

90

%

90

%

91

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

180

%

182

%

183

%

185

%

187

%

187

%

187

%

187

%

186

%

186

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

6

%

14

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

30

%

22

%

19

%

18

%

18

%

18

%

18

%

17

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

63

%

49

%

49

%

50

%

51

%

51

%

50

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

4

%

7

%

6

%

6

%

6

%

6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

31

%

64

%

76

%

73

%

75

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

64

%

63

%

63

%

63

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

31

%

33

%

33

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

19

%

22

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

27

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

41,284

 

4,336

 

0

 

4,336

 

(0

)

4,336

 

10.5

%

 

2003

 

61,251

 

7,237

 

0

 

7,237

 

(0

)

7,237

 

11.8

%

0

 

2004

 

68,026

 

61,738

 

9

 

61,748

 

8

 

61,756

 

90.8

%

18

 

2005

 

82,969

 

153,867

 

174

 

154,040

 

22

 

154,062

 

185.7

%

196

 

2006

 

67,244

 

9,917

 

205

 

10,122

 

40

 

10,162

 

15.1

%

245

 

2007

 

72,659

 

12,644

 

50

 

12,694

 

250

 

12,944

 

17.8

%

300

 

2008

 

67,071

 

33,677

 

146

 

33,823

 

308

 

34,131

 

50.9

%

454

 

2009

 

82,862

 

4,794

 

272

 

5,066

 

48

 

5,114

 

6.2

%

320

 

2010

 

136,355

 

95,651

 

7,277

 

102,928

 

1,922

 

104,850

 

76.9

%

9,199

 

2011

 

198,855

 

117,937

 

7,362

 

125,298

 

4,318

 

129,616

 

65.2

%

11,679

 

2012

 

254,005

 

77,277

 

6,643

 

83,920

 

2,995

 

86,915

 

34.2

%

9,638

 

2013

 

329,407

 

50,071

 

23,504

 

73,575

 

14,884

 

88,459

 

26.9

%

38,388

 

2014

 

257,424

 

32,418

 

36,706

 

69,124

 

45,380

 

114,504

 

44.5

%

82,086

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,719,412

 

661,565

 

82,347

 

743,912

 

70,175

 

814,087

 

47.3

%

152,523

 

 

23



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

Excluding large losses

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Property Per Risk Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

1,994

 

14,146

 

21,254

 

24,533

 

26,202

 

27,034

 

27,241

 

27,550

 

27,573

 

27,588

 

27,587

 

28,446

 

28,447

 

2003

 

1,794

 

9,960

 

13,446

 

16,264

 

17,931

 

18,421

 

18,892

 

19,262

 

19,340

 

19,374

 

19,377

 

19,446

 

 

 

2004

 

949

 

7,461

 

11,995

 

14,439

 

15,598

 

17,294

 

17,210

 

17,405

 

17,442

 

17,490

 

17,527

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

5,111

 

23,166

 

29,796

 

31,025

 

42,623

 

46,347

 

46,594

 

47,527

 

47,900

 

47,847

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

3,793

 

17,679

 

23,689

 

27,465

 

29,525

 

29,862

 

29,924

 

29,785

 

29,862

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

717

 

8,668

 

12,738

 

14,733

 

15,753

 

19,398

 

19,896

 

19,985

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

3,920

 

10,738

 

12,479

 

14,966

 

15,195

 

15,210

 

15,708

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

4,664

 

12,112

 

18,692

 

21,638

 

23,043

 

23,203

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

5,835

 

20,289

 

29,650

 

32,846

 

34,570

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

4,003

 

22,074

 

31,706

 

36,567

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

5,422

 

31,365

 

44,911

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

5,155

 

44,616

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

10,880

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

3,082

 

17,552

 

26,185

 

27,026

 

27,589

 

27,756

 

27,588

 

27,715

 

27,606

 

27,628

 

27,603

 

28,448

 

28,448

 

2003

 

6,313

 

14,931

 

17,064

 

19,609

 

19,904

 

19,931

 

20,437

 

19,891

 

19,427

 

19,377

 

19,428

 

19,458

 

 

 

2004

 

7,729

 

9,571

 

14,654

 

16,236

 

16,650

 

17,180

 

17,493

 

17,538

 

17,528

 

17,858

 

17,893

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

6,675

 

33,802

 

43,645

 

45,360

 

45,571

 

46,163

 

46,136

 

47,257

 

48,255

 

48,191

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

9,307

 

23,794

 

30,449

 

30,525

 

30,085

 

30,377

 

30,259

 

30,121

 

29,945

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3,360

 

23,153

 

24,853

 

23,927

 

23,660

 

20,075

 

20,199

 

20,328

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

9,627

 

15,156

 

15,746

 

16,123

 

16,068

 

15,801

 

16,079

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

11,574

 

20,126

 

21,982

 

23,031

 

23,360

 

23,754

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

13,219

 

34,080

 

36,749

 

35,946

 

35,640

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

16,736

 

38,181

 

41,381

 

39,940

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

19,163

 

43,213

 

52,947

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

22,853

 

70,171

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

28,476

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

17

%

28

%

41

%

42

%

43

%

43

%

43

%

43

%

43

%

43

%

43

%

44

%

44

%

2003

 

19

%

22

%

24

%

28

%

29

%

30

%

31

%

30

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

 

 

2004

 

16

%

13

%

20

%

22

%

22

%

23

%

23

%

23

%

23

%

24

%

24

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

15

%

43

%

57

%

59

%

59

%

60

%

60

%

61

%

63

%

63

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

19

%

35

%

45

%

45

%

44

%

45

%

44

%

44

%

44

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

14

%

57

%

60

%

57

%

56

%

48

%

48

%

48

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

42

%

46

%

48

%

49

%

48

%

48

%

48

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

51

%

58

%

62

%

65

%

66

%

67

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

39

%

69

%

72

%

71

%

70

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

38

%

54

%

59

%

57

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

33

%

43

%

51

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

31

%

57

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

33

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

64,249

 

28,447

 

1

 

28,448

 

0

 

28,448

 

44.3

%

1

 

2003

 

66,185

 

19,446

 

12

 

19,458

 

5

 

19,463

 

29.4

%

17

 

2004

 

75,094

 

17,527

 

366

 

17,893

 

183

 

18,075

 

24.1

%

548

 

2005

 

77,036

 

47,847

 

345

 

48,191

 

187

 

48,378

 

62.8

%

532

 

2006

 

68,058

 

29,862

 

82

 

29,945

 

41

 

29,986

 

44.1

%

123

 

2007

 

41,919

 

19,985

 

343

 

20,328

 

171

 

20,499

 

48.9

%

515

 

2008

 

33,175

 

15,708

 

370

 

16,079

 

190

 

16,269

 

49.0

%

561

 

2009

 

35,338

 

23,203

 

551

 

23,754

 

302

 

24,056

 

68.1

%

853

 

2010

 

51,026

 

34,570

 

1,071

 

35,640

 

941

 

36,581

 

71.7

%

2,011

 

2011

 

69,663

 

36,567

 

3,372

 

39,940

 

3,608

 

43,547

 

62.5

%

6,980

 

2012

 

104,533

 

44,911

 

8,037

 

52,947

 

10,977

 

63,925

 

61.2

%

19,014

 

2013

 

122,638

 

44,616

 

25,555

 

70,171

 

17,749

 

87,920

 

71.7

%

43,304

 

2014

 

85,528

 

10,880

 

17,596

 

28,476

 

26,936

 

55,412

 

64.8

%

44,532

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

894,444

 

373,569

 

57,701

 

431,270

 

61,290

 

492,560

 

55.1

%

118,991

 

 

24



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

General Casualty Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

329

 

3,688

 

7,670

 

10,682

 

13,471

 

15,290

 

16,500

 

17,685

 

18,347

 

18,481

 

18,814

 

18,880

 

18,770

 

2003

 

705

 

3,063

 

5,962

 

11,466

 

21,916

 

26,087

 

27,838

 

30,357

 

32,877

 

35,385

 

36,800

 

37,497

 

 

 

2004

 

648

 

1,088

 

6,331

 

11,850

 

21,718

 

28,466

 

37,451

 

40,561

 

44,091

 

45,848

 

48,522

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

119

 

1,584

 

9,500

 

19,705

 

31,410

 

41,416

 

50,092

 

57,041

 

59,700

 

61,398

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

944

 

6,183

 

20,496

 

34,829

 

43,542

 

51,219

 

56,562

 

63,383

 

67,263

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3

 

3,135

 

10,113

 

26,839

 

39,243

 

49,828

 

59,483

 

64,482

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

29

 

1,468

 

13,077

 

22,515

 

34,675

 

49,334

 

63,918

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

460

 

4,842

 

16,498

 

27,254

 

44,857

 

54,216

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

519

 

24,429

 

45,235

 

61,016

 

78,894

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

849

 

12,560

 

32,168

 

47,822

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

842

 

10,435

 

22,198

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

75

 

1,582

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

(102

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

346

 

5,531

 

10,970

 

18,737

 

19,011

 

19,864

 

20,694

 

19,214

 

19,906

 

19,931

 

19,860

 

19,869

 

19,871

 

2003

 

1,588

 

8,176

 

11,853

 

21,884

 

28,983

 

29,495

 

32,262

 

33,460

 

36,363

 

37,525

 

38,890

 

40,070

 

 

 

2004

 

1,357

 

9,104

 

14,286

 

23,228

 

36,173

 

44,570

 

45,306

 

48,468

 

53,339

 

55,381

 

59,774

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

2,055

 

11,283

 

23,806

 

34,636

 

44,890

 

51,272

 

55,714

 

63,185

 

63,357

 

64,889

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

2,682

 

20,398

 

38,266

 

51,622

 

57,314

 

64,110

 

67,040

 

70,856

 

71,421

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

1,033

 

9,706

 

34,826

 

47,229

 

58,048

 

67,933

 

69,384

 

70,747

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

1,591

 

13,743

 

37,550

 

48,234

 

61,791

 

71,902

 

77,296

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1,256

 

20,078

 

37,140

 

55,604

 

60,568

 

62,809

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

10,615

 

43,972

 

67,172

 

89,112

 

105,466

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

2,869

 

23,007

 

60,018

 

86,477

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

2,991

 

32,838

 

53,900

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

2,370

 

10,168

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

1,325

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

10

%

20

%

33

%

56

%

57

%

59

%

62

%

57

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

2003

 

7

%

10

%

12

%

22

%

29

%

29

%

32

%

33

%

36

%

37

%

39

%

40

%

 

 

2004

 

3

%

8

%

11

%

19

%

29

%

36

%

37

%

40

%

43

%

45

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

4

%

8

%

15

%

22

%

29

%

33

%

36

%

40

%

40

%

41

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

6

%

16

%

29

%

40

%

44

%

49

%

52

%

54

%

55

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

2

%

7

%

25

%

33

%

40

%

47

%

48

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

4

%

11

%

29

%

37

%

47

%

55

%

59

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

2

%

13

%

24

%

36

%

39

%

40

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

18

%

28

%

37

%

50

%

60

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

5

%

12

%

28

%

41

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

5

%

21

%

31

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

4

%

6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

2

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

33,674

 

18,770

 

1,101

 

19,871

 

970

 

20,841

 

61.9

%

2,071

 

2003

 

100,665

 

37,497

 

2,573

 

40,070

 

5,004

 

45,074

 

44.8

%

7,577

 

2004

 

122,803

 

48,522

 

11,252

 

59,774

 

7,256

 

67,030

 

54.6

%

18,508

 

2005

 

156,637

 

61,398

 

3,490

 

64,889

 

10,359

 

75,248

 

48.0

%

13,850

 

2006

 

130,637

 

67,263

 

4,158

 

71,421

 

11,683

 

83,104

 

63.6

%

15,841

 

2007

 

143,458

 

64,482

 

6,265

 

70,747

 

17,470

 

88,217

 

61.5

%

23,735

 

2008

 

131,893

 

63,918

 

13,378

 

77,296

 

18,545

 

95,841

 

72.7

%

31,923

 

2009

 

156,756

 

54,216

 

8,594

 

62,809

 

42,161

 

104,971

 

67.0

%

50,755

 

2010

 

177,224

 

78,894

 

26,572

 

105,466

 

40,948

 

146,414

 

82.6

%

67,520

 

2011

 

213,270

 

47,822

 

38,655

 

86,477

 

71,295

 

157,772

 

74.0

%

109,950

 

2012

 

173,491

 

22,198

 

31,703

 

53,900

 

74,099

 

128,000

 

73.8

%

105,802

 

2013

 

163,912

 

1,582

 

8,586

 

10,168

 

102,832

 

113,000

 

68.9

%

111,418

 

2014

 

55,729

 

(102

)

1,426

 

1,325

 

36,797

 

38,121

 

68.4

%

38,223

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,760,148

 

566,459

 

157,754

 

724,213

 

439,418

 

1,163,631

 

66.1

%

597,173

 

 

25



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Professional Liability Lines Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

915

 

1,676

 

4,405

 

10,898

 

12,884

 

14,202

 

15,561

 

16,061

 

16,838

 

16,776

 

17,687

 

18,171

 

2003

 

0

 

191

 

1,274

 

3,207

 

12,429

 

16,125

 

21,385

 

24,308

 

26,798

 

27,514

 

28,948

 

29,171

 

 

 

2004

 

9

 

345

 

5,373

 

10,445

 

19,634

 

24,920

 

31,103

 

32,512

 

34,241

 

36,816

 

37,907

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

8

 

786

 

6,852

 

22,841

 

35,126

 

43,205

 

48,780

 

51,822

 

57,422

 

63,479

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

1

 

711

 

7,112

 

20,428

 

34,442

 

46,932

 

52,492

 

60,388

 

67,284

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

5

 

1,263

 

11,453

 

41,735

 

69,029

 

100,723

 

122,946

 

138,191

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

37

 

2,140

 

10,455

 

25,184

 

46,029

 

55,912

 

70,081

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

17

 

1,675

 

6,595

 

15,484

 

23,175

 

29,499

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

24

 

2,064

 

8,371

 

14,651

 

21,579

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

19

 

610

 

3,943

 

7,703

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

32

 

975

 

4,281

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

69

 

1,557

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

3,594

 

12,221

 

21,012

 

22,717

 

22,060

 

22,297

 

21,292

 

19,469

 

19,553

 

18,660

 

18,524

 

18,374

 

2003

 

65

 

1,599

 

13,981

 

21,047

 

29,125

 

29,219

 

33,173

 

33,043

 

34,729

 

34,090

 

34,098

 

33,142

 

 

 

2004

 

819

 

7,902

 

20,205

 

33,619

 

36,122

 

35,884

 

42,934

 

41,564

 

41,758

 

40,978

 

41,523

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

456

 

6,067

 

22,581

 

46,077

 

50,876

 

55,740

 

61,260

 

68,872

 

70,690

 

73,866

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

71

 

8,619

 

26,873

 

50,886

 

66,537

 

70,039

 

77,882

 

84,750

 

79,801

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

227

 

17,507

 

75,722

 

118,166

 

134,239

 

138,158

 

162,118

 

169,975

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

2,684

 

15,190

 

38,738

 

61,121

 

78,988

 

84,521

 

101,863

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

295

 

6,314

 

17,184

 

29,616

 

36,600

 

43,234

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

502

 

5,216

 

13,559

 

24,495

 

32,816

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

165

 

2,973

 

7,305

 

14,891

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

394

 

4,737

 

8,128

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

619

 

7,365

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

201

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

0

%

9

%

26

%

46

%

49

%

48

%

48

%

46

%

42

%

42

%

40

%

40

%

39

%

2003

 

0

%

2

%

15

%

22

%

29

%

29

%

33

%

33

%

35

%

34

%

34

%

33

%

 

 

2004

 

2

%

7

%

17

%

28

%

30

%

30

%

36

%

35

%

35

%

34

%

35

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

1

%

3

%

11

%

22

%

24

%

27

%

30

%

33

%

34

%

36

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

0

%

5

%

14

%

26

%

34

%

36

%

40

%

43

%

41

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

0

%

9

%

36

%

55

%

62

%

64

%

75

%

79

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

5

%

9

%

21

%

33

%

43

%

46

%

55

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1

%

5

%

13

%

22

%

27

%

32

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

2

%

5

%

13

%

22

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

1

%

4

%

9

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

2

%

7

%

11

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

2

%

11

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

46,832

 

18,171

 

203

 

18,374

 

1,704

 

20,078

 

42.9

%

1,906

 

2003

 

99,803

 

29,171

 

3,971

 

33,142

 

4,247

 

37,389

 

37.5

%

8,217

 

2004

 

119,153

 

37,907

 

3,616

 

41,523

 

6,406

 

47,929

 

40.2

%

10,022

 

2005

 

207,043

 

63,479

 

10,388

 

73,866

 

14,125

 

87,991

 

42.5

%

24,512

 

2006

 

195,332

 

67,284

 

12,517

 

79,801

 

15,405

 

95,206

 

48.7

%

27,922

 

2007

 

214,803

 

138,191

 

31,785

 

169,975

 

23,784

 

193,760

 

90.2

%

55,569

 

2008

 

185,192

 

70,081

 

31,781

 

101,863

 

29,722

 

131,585

 

71.1

%

61,503

 

2009

 

134,683

 

29,499

 

13,734

 

43,234

 

47,905

 

91,139

 

67.7

%

61,639

 

2010

 

111,093

 

21,579

 

11,237

 

32,816

 

43,815

 

76,631

 

69.0

%

55,052

 

2011

 

83,679

 

7,703

 

7,188

 

14,891

 

41,292

 

56,183

 

67.1

%

48,480

 

2012

 

74,735

 

4,281

 

3,846

 

8,128

 

39,958

 

48,086

 

64.3

%

43,805

 

2013

 

64,525

 

1,557

 

5,807

 

7,365

 

34,145

 

41,510

 

64.3

%

39,953

 

2014

 

21,167

 

13

 

188

 

201

 

13,186

 

13,387

 

63.2

%

13,375

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,558,041

 

488,919

 

136,261

 

625,180

 

315,693

 

940,873

 

60.4

%

451,955

 

 

26



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

Excluding large losses

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Specialty Lines Reinsurance (Gross of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

52

 

1,225

 

2,576

 

3,222

 

3,687

 

4,081

 

4,191

 

4,439

 

4,466

 

4,475

 

4,484

 

4,491

 

4,505

 

2003

 

15

 

886

 

2,373

 

3,294

 

4,452

 

4,656

 

4,602

 

4,660

 

4,728

 

4,800

 

4,831

 

4,919

 

 

 

2004

 

43

 

5,115

 

8,048

 

10,943

 

9,076

 

9,470

 

9,876

 

10,582

 

10,649

 

10,633

 

10,677

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

278

 

3,943

 

9,184

 

7,919

 

10,600

 

12,078

 

12,797

 

12,955

 

13,324

 

13,817

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

68

 

2,821

 

5,666

 

6,934

 

7,793

 

8,329

 

8,560

 

8,714

 

8,866

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

279

 

4,098

 

7,242

 

8,936

 

10,047

 

10,686

 

11,036

 

11,269

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

534

 

4,050

 

7,972

 

10,335

 

12,427

 

13,650

 

14,436

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

121

 

2,196

 

4,283

 

6,338

 

6,635

 

6,962

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

73

 

1,222

 

3,879

 

5,023

 

5,814

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

2,365

 

10,645

 

21,002

 

27,634

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

28,387

 

88,259

 

97,585

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

1,123

 

71,848

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

13,492

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

270

 

3,065

 

4,472

 

4,580

 

4,963

 

4,700

 

4,691

 

4,629

 

4,623

 

4,609

 

4,587

 

4,591

 

4,583

 

2003

 

54

 

887

 

2,614

 

4,643

 

5,266

 

5,158

 

4,929

 

4,872

 

4,905

 

4,996

 

5,104

 

5,076

 

 

 

2004

 

134

 

8,197

 

9,085

 

11,931

 

10,545

 

9,696

 

9,826

 

9,694

 

9,641

 

10,939

 

10,928

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

304

 

11,551

 

11,472

 

10,788

 

11,522

 

12,312

 

14,221

 

14,149

 

15,529

 

14,250

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

69

 

6,022

 

7,949

 

8,880

 

9,035

 

9,226

 

9,256

 

9,185

 

9,162

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

841

 

7,432

 

9,808

 

10,708

 

10,667

 

10,645

 

10,788

 

10,689

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

1,072

 

9,821

 

12,870

 

11,804

 

12,130

 

15,075

 

15,449

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

326

 

3,799

 

6,911

 

7,929

 

7,684

 

7,594

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

237

 

3,781

 

5,245

 

6,636

 

6,898

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

4,691

 

17,305

 

26,694

 

33,801

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

31,773

 

95,652

 

103,563

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

6,980

 

77,796

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

16,645

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

22

%

28

%

39

%

38

%

41

%

39

%

39

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

2003

 

2

%

7

%

13

%

23

%

26

%

26

%

25

%

24

%

24

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

 

 

2004

 

1

%

26

%

24

%

32

%

28

%

25

%

26

%

25

%

25

%

28

%

28

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

3

%

33

%

28

%

26

%

28

%

30

%

35

%

34

%

38

%

35

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

0

%

20

%

26

%

29

%

29

%

30

%

30

%

30

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

4

%

20

%

25

%

27

%

27

%

27

%

28

%

27

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

5

%

30

%

38

%

35

%

36

%

45

%

46

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

2

%

12

%

21

%

24

%

24

%

23

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

1

%

10

%

13

%

17

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

10

%

24

%

34

%

43

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

29

%

66

%

70

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

4

%

40

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

10

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

12,191

 

4,505

 

78

 

4,583

 

36

 

4,619

 

37.9

%

114

 

2003

 

20,145

 

4,919

 

157

 

5,076

 

99

 

5,175

 

25.7

%

256

 

2004

 

38,346

 

10,677

 

252

 

10,928

 

188

 

11,117

 

29.0

%

440

 

2005

 

41,176

 

13,817

 

433

 

14,250

 

391

 

14,641

 

35.6

%

824

 

2006

 

30,988

 

8,866

 

295

 

9,162

 

449

 

9,610

 

31.0

%

744

 

2007

 

38,960

 

11,269

 

(580

)

10,689

 

646

 

11,335

 

29.1

%

66

 

2008

 

33,871

 

14,436

 

1,014

 

15,449

 

638

 

16,087

 

47.5

%

1,652

 

2009

 

32,634

 

6,962

 

633

 

7,594

 

885

 

8,479

 

26.0

%

1,518

 

2010

 

38,881

 

5,814

 

1,083

 

6,898

 

2,224

 

9,121

 

23.5

%

3,307

 

2011

 

78,124

 

27,634

 

6,168

 

33,801

 

5,228

 

39,029

 

50.0

%

11,396

 

2012

 

147,570

 

97,585

 

5,977

 

103,563

 

11,854

 

115,416

 

78.2

%

17,831

 

2013

 

196,243

 

71,848

 

5,949

 

77,796

 

36,166

 

113,963

 

58.1

%

42,115

 

2014

 

158,909

 

13,492

 

3,153

 

16,645

 

98,779

 

115,425

 

72.6

%

101,932

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

868,038

 

291,824

 

24,611

 

316,435

 

157,583

 

474,018

 

54.6

%

182,194

 

 

27



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Property Catastrophe Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

101

 

2,131

 

4,161

 

4,194

 

4,310

 

4,310

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

2003

 

3,977

 

6,251

 

6,882

 

6,831

 

6,843

 

7,235

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

 

 

2004

 

17,379

 

47,475

 

55,350

 

57,786

 

58,813

 

59,457

 

59,741

 

60,097

 

60,525

 

60,338

 

60,779

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

35,255

 

99,502

 

106,468

 

111,778

 

113,039

 

112,992

 

113,330

 

113,657

 

113,693

 

114,551

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

710

 

8,912

 

9,671

 

9,829

 

9,903

 

9,917

 

9,917

 

9,917

 

9,917

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3,999

 

12,770

 

12,511

 

12,767

 

12,561

 

12,603

 

12,641

 

12,644

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

15,798

 

26,979

 

30,619

 

32,007

 

33,204

 

33,596

 

33,677

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

269

 

905

 

2,977

 

4,139

 

4,664

 

4,794

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

3,798

 

54,580

 

76,523

 

86,082

 

95,651

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

22,254

 

64,133

 

103,495

 

117,937

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

26,282

 

65,659

 

77,277

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

13,043

 

50,071

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

32,418

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

3,041

 

5,163

 

4,370

 

4,390

 

4,372

 

4,371

 

4,356

 

4,356

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

2003

 

6,172

 

7,561

 

7,009

 

6,920

 

6,939

 

7,235

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

 

 

2004

 

33,642

 

56,808

 

59,396

 

60,325

 

60,267

 

60,490

 

60,141

 

60,355

 

60,613

 

60,387

 

60,788

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

130,142

 

128,692

 

116,254

 

116,946

 

116,572

 

115,780

 

115,715

 

115,648

 

113,998

 

114,725

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

3,275

 

9,580

 

9,885

 

10,172

 

10,131

 

10,136

 

10,131

 

10,141

 

10,122

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

17,051

 

15,664

 

13,584

 

13,412

 

12,847

 

12,778

 

12,789

 

12,694

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

31,318

 

32,595

 

33,106

 

33,901

 

33,952

 

33,896

 

33,823

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

2,557

 

5,613

 

5,246

 

5,281

 

5,051

 

5,066

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

32,490

 

86,547

 

103,457

 

100,107

 

102,928

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

89,719

 

123,934

 

124,451

 

125,298

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

55,315

 

84,386

 

83,920

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

46,205

 

73,575

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

69,124

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

9

%

13

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

2003

 

12

%

12

%

11

%

11

%

11

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

12

%

 

 

2004

 

70

%

95

%

99

%

101

%

100

%

101

%

100

%

101

%

101

%

101

%

101

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

224

%

186

%

168

%

169

%

169

%

168

%

168

%

168

%

165

%

166

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

6

%

14

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

15

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

31

%

22

%

19

%

18

%

18

%

18

%

18

%

17

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

64

%

49

%

50

%

51

%

51

%

51

%

50

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

4

%

7

%

6

%

6

%

6

%

6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

31

%

65

%

76

%

73

%

75

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

64

%

63

%

63

%

63

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

31

%

33

%

33

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

22

%

24

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

28

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

41,284

 

4,336

 

0

 

4,336

 

(0

)

4,336

 

10.5

%

 

2003

 

61,251

 

7,237

 

0

 

7,237

 

(0

)

7,237

 

11.8

%

0

 

2004

 

59,976

 

60,779

 

9

 

60,788

 

(89

)

60,699

 

101.2

%

(80

)

2005

 

69,029

 

114,551

 

174

 

114,725

 

97

 

114,822

 

166.3

%

271

 

2006

 

66,181

 

9,917

 

205

 

10,122

 

40

 

10,162

 

15.4

%

245

 

2007

 

72,592

 

12,644

 

50

 

12,694

 

250

 

12,944

 

17.8

%

300

 

2008

 

66,990

 

33,677

 

146

 

33,823

 

308

 

34,131

 

50.9

%

454

 

2009

 

82,782

 

4,794

 

272

 

5,066

 

48

 

5,114

 

6.2

%

320

 

2010

 

136,338

 

95,651

 

7,277

 

102,928

 

1,922

 

104,850

 

76.9

%

9,199

 

2011

 

198,853

 

117,937

 

7,362

 

125,298

 

4,318

 

129,616

 

65.2

%

11,679

 

2012

 

254,003

 

77,277

 

6,643

 

83,920

 

2,995

 

86,915

 

34.2

%

9,638

 

2013

 

302,831

 

50,071

 

23,504

 

73,575

 

14,884

 

88,459

 

29.2

%

38,388

 

2014

 

243,094

 

32,418

 

36,706

 

69,124

 

45,380

 

114,504

 

47.1

%

82,086

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,655,203

 

621,290

 

82,347

 

703,637

 

70,153

 

773,790

 

46.7

%

152,500

 

 

28



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

Excluding large losses

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Property Per Risk Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

1,994

 

14,146

 

21,254

 

24,533

 

26,202

 

27,034

 

27,241

 

27,550

 

27,573

 

27,588

 

27,587

 

28,446

 

28,447

 

2003

 

1,794

 

9,960

 

13,446

 

16,264

 

17,931

 

18,421

 

18,892

 

19,262

 

19,340

 

19,374

 

19,377

 

19,446

 

 

 

2004

 

949

 

7,461

 

11,995

 

14,439

 

15,598

 

17,294

 

17,210

 

17,405

 

17,442

 

17,490

 

17,527

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

5,111

 

23,166

 

29,796

 

31,025

 

42,623

 

46,347

 

46,594

 

47,527

 

47,900

 

47,847

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

3,793

 

17,679

 

23,689

 

27,465

 

29,525

 

29,862

 

29,924

 

29,785

 

29,862

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

717

 

8,668

 

12,738

 

14,733

 

15,753

 

19,398

 

19,896

 

19,985

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

3,920

 

10,738

 

12,479

 

14,966

 

15,195

 

15,210

 

15,708

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

4,664

 

12,112

 

18,692

 

21,638

 

23,043

 

23,203

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

5,835

 

20,289

 

29,650

 

32,846

 

34,570

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

4,003

 

22,074

 

31,706

 

36,567

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

5,422

 

27,905

 

37,725

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

5,155

 

40,677

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

10,861

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

3,082

 

17,552

 

26,185

 

27,026

 

27,589

 

27,756

 

27,588

 

27,715

 

27,606

 

27,628

 

27,603

 

28,448

 

28,448

 

2003

 

6,313

 

14,931

 

17,064

 

19,609

 

19,904

 

19,931

 

20,437

 

19,891

 

19,427

 

19,377

 

19,428

 

19,458

 

 

 

2004

 

7,729

 

9,571

 

14,654

 

16,236

 

16,650

 

17,180

 

17,493

 

17,538

 

17,528

 

17,858

 

17,893

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

6,675

 

33,802

 

43,645

 

45,360

 

45,571

 

46,163

 

46,136

 

47,257

 

48,255

 

48,191

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

9,307

 

23,794

 

30,449

 

30,525

 

30,085

 

30,377

 

30,259

 

30,121

 

29,945

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3,360

 

23,153

 

24,853

 

23,927

 

23,660

 

20,075

 

20,199

 

20,328

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

9,627

 

15,156

 

15,746

 

16,123

 

16,068

 

15,801

 

16,079

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

11,574

 

20,126

 

21,982

 

23,031

 

23,360

 

23,754

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

13,219

 

34,080

 

36,749

 

35,946

 

35,640

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

16,736

 

38,181

 

41,381

 

39,940

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

19,163

 

38,439

 

44,683

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

22,853

 

64,982

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

28,365

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

17

%

28

%

41

%

42

%

43

%

43

%

43

%

43

%

43

%

43

%

43

%

44

%

44

%

2003

 

19

%

22

%

24

%

28

%

29

%

30

%

31

%

30

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

29

%

 

 

2004

 

16

%

13

%

20

%

22

%

22

%

23

%

23

%

23

%

23

%

24

%

24

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

16

%

44

%

59

%

61

%

61

%

62

%

62

%

63

%

65

%

65

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

20

%

35

%

45

%

45

%

44

%

45

%

45

%

45

%

44

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

14

%

57

%

60

%

57

%

56

%

48

%

48

%

48

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

44

%

48

%

50

%

51

%

50

%

50

%

50

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

51

%

58

%

62

%

65

%

66

%

67

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

39

%

69

%

72

%

71

%

70

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

38

%

54

%

59

%

57

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

34

%

43

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

32

%

59

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

34

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

64,249

 

28,447

 

1

 

28,448

 

0

 

28,448

 

44.3

%

1

 

2003

 

66,185

 

19,446

 

12

 

19,458

 

5

 

19,463

 

29.4

%

17

 

2004

 

75,094

 

17,527

 

366

 

17,893

 

183

 

18,075

 

24.1

%

548

 

2005

 

74,576

 

47,847

 

345

 

48,191

 

187

 

48,378

 

64.9

%

532

 

2006

 

67,633

 

29,862

 

82

 

29,945

 

41

 

29,986

 

44.3

%

123

 

2007

 

41,919

 

19,985

 

343

 

20,328

 

171

 

20,499

 

48.9

%

515

 

2008

 

31,843

 

15,708

 

370

 

16,079

 

190

 

16,269

 

51.1

%

561

 

2009

 

35,338

 

23,203

 

551

 

23,754

 

302

 

24,056

 

68.1

%

853

 

2010

 

51,026

 

34,570

 

1,071

 

35,640

 

941

 

36,581

 

71.7

%

2,011

 

2011

 

69,663

 

36,567

 

3,372

 

39,940

 

3,608

 

43,547

 

62.5

%

6,980

 

2012

 

90,783

 

37,725

 

6,958

 

44,683

 

9,095

 

53,778

 

59.2

%

16,053

 

2013

 

110,366

 

40,677

 

24,305

 

64,982

 

14,829

 

79,811

 

72.3

%

39,134

 

2014

 

84,097

 

10,861

 

17,504

 

28,365

 

26,116

 

54,481

 

64.8

%

43,620

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

862,772

 

362,425

 

55,280

 

417,705

 

55,668

 

473,373

 

54.9

%

110,948

 

 

29



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

General Casualty Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

329

 

3,688

 

7,670

 

10,682

 

13,471

 

15,290

 

16,500

 

17,685

 

18,347

 

18,481

 

18,814

 

18,880

 

18,770

 

2003

 

705

 

3,063

 

5,962

 

11,466

 

21,916

 

26,087

 

27,838

 

30,357

 

32,877

 

35,385

 

36,800

 

37,497

 

 

 

2004

 

648

 

1,088

 

6,331

 

11,850

 

21,718

 

28,466

 

37,451

 

40,561

 

44,091

 

45,848

 

48,522

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

119

 

1,584

 

9,500

 

19,705

 

31,410

 

41,416

 

50,092

 

57,041

 

59,700

 

61,398

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

944

 

6,183

 

20,496

 

34,829

 

43,542

 

51,219

 

56,562

 

63,383

 

67,263

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

3

 

3,135

 

10,113

 

26,839

 

39,243

 

49,828

 

59,483

 

64,482

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

29

 

1,468

 

13,077

 

22,515

 

34,675

 

49,334

 

63,918

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

460

 

4,842

 

16,498

 

27,254

 

44,857

 

54,216

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

519

 

24,429

 

45,235

 

61,016

 

78,894

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

849

 

12,560

 

32,168

 

47,822

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

842

 

10,435

 

22,198

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

75

 

1,582

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

(102

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

346

 

5,531

 

10,970

 

18,737

 

19,011

 

19,864

 

20,694

 

19,214

 

19,906

 

19,931

 

19,860

 

19,869

 

19,871

 

2003

 

1,588

 

8,176

 

11,853

 

21,884

 

28,983

 

29,495

 

32,262

 

33,460

 

36,363

 

37,525

 

38,890

 

40,070

 

 

 

2004

 

1,357

 

9,104

 

14,286

 

23,228

 

36,173

 

44,570

 

45,306

 

48,468

 

53,339

 

55,381

 

59,774

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

2,055

 

11,283

 

23,806

 

34,636

 

44,890

 

51,272

 

55,714

 

63,185

 

63,357

 

64,889

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

2,682

 

20,398

 

38,266

 

51,622

 

57,314

 

64,110

 

67,040

 

70,856

 

71,421

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

1,033

 

9,706

 

34,826

 

47,229

 

58,048

 

67,933

 

69,384

 

70,747

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

1,591

 

13,743

 

37,550

 

48,234

 

61,791

 

71,902

 

77,296

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1,256

 

20,078

 

37,140

 

55,604

 

60,568

 

62,809

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

10,615

 

43,972

 

67,172

 

89,112

 

105,466

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

2,869

 

23,007

 

60,018

 

86,477

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

2,991

 

32,838

 

53,900

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

2,370

 

10,168

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

1,325

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

10

%

20

%

33

%

56

%

57

%

59

%

62

%

57

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

59

%

2003

 

7

%

10

%

12

%

22

%

29

%

29

%

32

%

33

%

36

%

37

%

39

%

40

%

 

 

2004

 

3

%

8

%

11

%

19

%

29

%

36

%

37

%

40

%

43

%

45

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

4

%

8

%

15

%

22

%

29

%

33

%

36

%

40

%

40

%

41

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

6

%

16

%

29

%

40

%

44

%

49

%

52

%

54

%

55

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

2

%

7

%

25

%

33

%

41

%

48

%

48

%

49

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

4

%

11

%

29

%

37

%

47

%

55

%

59

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

2

%

13

%

24

%

36

%

39

%

40

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

18

%

28

%

38

%

50

%

60

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

5

%

12

%

28

%

41

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

5

%

21

%

31

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

4

%

6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

2

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

33,674

 

18,770

 

1,101

 

19,871

 

970

 

20,841

 

61.9

%

2,071

 

2003

 

100,665

 

37,497

 

2,573

 

40,070

 

5,004

 

45,074

 

44.8

%

7,577

 

2004

 

122,803

 

48,522

 

11,252

 

59,774

 

7,256

 

67,030

 

54.6

%

18,508

 

2005

 

156,507

 

61,398

 

3,490

 

64,889

 

10,359

 

75,248

 

48.1

%

13,850

 

2006

 

130,457

 

67,263

 

4,158

 

71,421

 

11,683

 

83,104

 

63.7

%

15,841

 

2007

 

143,198

 

64,482

 

6,265

 

70,747

 

17,470

 

88,217

 

61.6

%

23,735

 

2008

 

131,454

 

63,918

 

13,378

 

77,296

 

18,545

 

95,841

 

72.9

%

31,923

 

2009

 

156,485

 

54,216

 

8,594

 

62,809

 

42,161

 

104,971

 

67.1

%

50,755

 

2010

 

176,699

 

78,894

 

26,572

 

105,466

 

40,948

 

146,414

 

82.9

%

67,520

 

2011

 

213,270

 

47,822

 

38,655

 

86,477

 

71,295

 

157,772

 

74.0

%

109,950

 

2012

 

173,491

 

22,198

 

31,703

 

53,900

 

74,099

 

128,000

 

73.8

%

105,802

 

2013

 

163,383

 

1,582

 

8,586

 

10,168

 

102,710

 

112,878

 

69.1

%

111,297

 

2014

 

54,879

 

(102

)

1,426

 

1,325

 

36,422

 

37,746

 

68.8

%

37,848

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,756,964

 

566,459

 

157,754

 

724,213

 

438,922

 

1,163,135

 

66.2

%

596,676

 

 

30



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

 

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Professional Liability Lines Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

915

 

1,676

 

4,405

 

10,898

 

12,884

 

14,202

 

15,561

 

16,061

 

16,838

 

16,776

 

17,687

 

18,171

 

2003

 

0

 

191

 

1,274

 

3,207

 

12,429

 

16,125

 

21,385

 

24,308

 

26,798

 

27,514

 

28,948

 

29,171

 

 

 

2004

 

9

 

345

 

5,373

 

10,445

 

19,634

 

24,920

 

31,103

 

32,512

 

34,241

 

36,816

 

37,907

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

8

 

786

 

6,852

 

22,841

 

35,126

 

43,205

 

48,780

 

51,822

 

57,422

 

63,479

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

1

 

711

 

7,112

 

20,428

 

34,442

 

46,932

 

52,492

 

60,388

 

67,284

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

5

 

1,263

 

11,453

 

41,735

 

69,029

 

100,723

 

122,946

 

138,191

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

37

 

2,140

 

10,455

 

25,184

 

46,029

 

55,912

 

70,081

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

17

 

1,675

 

6,595

 

15,484

 

23,175

 

29,499

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

24

 

2,064

 

8,371

 

14,651

 

21,579

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

19

 

610

 

3,943

 

7,703

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

32

 

975

 

4,281

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

69

 

1,557

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

 

3,594

 

12,221

 

21,012

 

22,717

 

22,060

 

22,297

 

21,292

 

19,469

 

19,553

 

18,660

 

18,524

 

18,374

 

2003

 

65

 

1,599

 

13,981

 

21,047

 

29,125

 

29,219

 

33,173

 

33,043

 

34,729

 

34,090

 

34,098

 

33,142

 

 

 

2004

 

819

 

7,902

 

20,205

 

33,619

 

36,122

 

35,884

 

42,934

 

41,564

 

41,758

 

40,978

 

41,523

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

456

 

6,067

 

22,581

 

46,077

 

50,876

 

55,740

 

61,260

 

68,872

 

70,690

 

73,866

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

71

 

8,619

 

26,873

 

50,886

 

66,537

 

70,039

 

77,882

 

84,750

 

79,801

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

227

 

17,507

 

75,722

 

118,166

 

134,239

 

138,158

 

162,118

 

169,975

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

2,684

 

15,190

 

38,738

 

61,121

 

78,988

 

84,521

 

101,863

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

295

 

6,314

 

17,184

 

29,616

 

36,600

 

43,234

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

502

 

5,216

 

13,559

 

24,495

 

32,816

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

165

 

2,973

 

7,305

 

14,891

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

394

 

4,737

 

8,128

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

619

 

7,365

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

201

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

0

%

9

%

26

%

46

%

49

%

48

%

48

%

46

%

42

%

42

%

40

%

40

%

39

%

2003

 

0

%

2

%

15

%

22

%

29

%

29

%

33

%

33

%

35

%

34

%

34

%

33

%

 

 

2004

 

2

%

7

%

17

%

28

%

30

%

30

%

36

%

35

%

35

%

34

%

35

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

1

%

3

%

11

%

22

%

24

%

27

%

30

%

33

%

34

%

36

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

0

%

5

%

14

%

26

%

34

%

36

%

40

%

43

%

41

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

0

%

9

%

36

%

55

%

62

%

64

%

75

%

79

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

5

%

9

%

21

%

33

%

43

%

46

%

55

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

1

%

5

%

13

%

22

%

27

%

32

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

2

%

5

%

13

%

22

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

1

%

4

%

9

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

2

%

7

%

11

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

2

%

11

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

46,832

 

18,171

 

203

 

18,374

 

1,704

 

20,078

 

42.9

%

1,906

 

2003

 

99,803

 

29,171

 

3,971

 

33,142

 

4,247

 

37,389

 

37.5

%

8,217

 

2004

 

119,153

 

37,907

 

3,616

 

41,523

 

6,406

 

47,929

 

40.2

%

10,022

 

2005

 

207,043

 

63,479

 

10,388

 

73,866

 

14,125

 

87,991

 

42.5

%

24,512

 

2006

 

195,332

 

67,284

 

12,517

 

79,801

 

15,405

 

95,206

 

48.7

%

27,922

 

2007

 

214,803

 

138,191

 

31,785

 

169,975

 

23,784

 

193,760

 

90.2

%

55,569

 

2008

 

185,192

 

70,081

 

31,781

 

101,863

 

29,722

 

131,585

 

71.1

%

61,503

 

2009

 

134,683

 

29,499

 

13,734

 

43,234

 

47,905

 

91,139

 

67.7

%

61,639

 

2010

 

111,093

 

21,579

 

11,237

 

32,816

 

43,815

 

76,631

 

69.0

%

55,052

 

2011

 

83,679

 

7,703

 

7,188

 

14,891

 

41,292

 

56,183

 

67.1

%

48,480

 

2012

 

74,735

 

4,281

 

3,846

 

8,128

 

39,958

 

48,086

 

64.3

%

43,805

 

2013

 

64,525

 

1,557

 

5,807

 

7,365

 

34,145

 

41,510

 

64.3

%

39,953

 

2014

 

21,167

 

13

 

188

 

201

 

13,186

 

13,387

 

63.2

%

13,375

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,558,041

 

488,919

 

136,261

 

625,180

 

315,693

 

940,873

 

60.4

%

451,955

 

 

31



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

Excluding large losses

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Specialty Lines Reinsurance (Net of Ceded Reinsurance)

 

Cumulative Paid Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

52

 

1,225

 

2,576

 

3,222

 

3,687

 

4,081

 

4,191

 

4,439

 

4,466

 

4,475

 

4,484

 

4,491

 

4,505

 

2003

 

15

 

886

 

2,373

 

3,294

 

4,452

 

4,656

 

4,602

 

4,660

 

4,728

 

4,800

 

4,831

 

4,919

 

 

 

2004

 

24

 

4,699

 

6,910

 

9,525

 

7,585

 

7,963

 

8,368

 

9,075

 

9,141

 

9,125

 

9,169

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

265

 

3,772

 

8,768

 

7,471

 

10,158

 

11,573

 

12,292

 

12,450

 

12,699

 

13,193

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

68

 

2,821

 

5,666

 

6,934

 

7,793

 

8,329

 

8,560

 

8,714

 

8,866

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

279

 

4,098

 

7,242

 

8,936

 

10,047

 

10,686

 

11,036

 

11,269

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

534

 

4,050

 

7,972

 

10,335

 

12,427

 

13,650

 

14,436

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

121

 

2,196

 

4,283

 

6,338

 

6,635

 

6,962

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

73

 

1,222

 

3,879

 

5,023

 

5,814

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

2,365

 

10,645

 

20,438

 

27,070

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

28,387

 

88,259

 

97,585

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

1,123

 

71,848

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

13,492

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

270

 

3,065

 

4,472

 

4,580

 

4,963

 

4,700

 

4,691

 

4,629

 

4,623

 

4,609

 

4,587

 

4,591

 

4,583

 

2003

 

54

 

887

 

2,614

 

4,643

 

5,266

 

5,158

 

4,929

 

4,872

 

4,905

 

4,996

 

5,104

 

5,076

 

 

 

2004

 

37

 

7,097

 

7,476

 

10,324

 

9,038

 

8,188

 

8,319

 

8,186

 

8,134

 

9,431

 

9,421

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

278

 

11,206

 

10,817

 

10,337

 

11,080

 

11,801

 

13,710

 

13,637

 

14,898

 

13,625

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

69

 

6,022

 

7,949

 

8,880

 

9,035

 

9,226

 

9,256

 

9,185

 

9,162

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

841

 

7,432

 

9,808

 

10,708

 

10,667

 

10,645

 

10,788

 

10,689

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

1,072

 

9,821

 

12,870

 

11,804

 

12,130

 

15,075

 

15,449

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

326

 

3,799

 

6,911

 

7,929

 

7,684

 

7,594

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

237

 

3,781

 

5,245

 

6,636

 

6,898

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

4,691

 

17,305

 

26,130

 

33,238

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

31,773

 

95,652

 

103,563

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

6,980

 

77,796

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

16,645

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Loss & ALAE Ratio to Earned Premium (excluding IBNR)

 

Treaty

 

Months of Development

 

Year

 

12

 

24

 

36

 

48

 

60

 

72

 

84

 

96

 

108

 

120

 

132

 

144

 

156

 

2002

 

22

%

28

%

39

%

38

%

41

%

39

%

39

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

38

%

2003

 

2

%

7

%

13

%

23

%

26

%

26

%

25

%

24

%

24

%

25

%

25

%

25

%

 

 

2004

 

0

%

29

%

24

%

33

%

29

%

26

%

26

%

26

%

25

%

30

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

2005

 

2

%

34

%

28

%

27

%

29

%

31

%

35

%

35

%

39

%

35

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

 

0

%

20

%

26

%

29

%

29

%

30

%

30

%

30

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

4

%

20

%

25

%

27

%

27

%

27

%

28

%

27

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

5

%

30

%

38

%

35

%

36

%

45

%

46

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

 

2

%

12

%

21

%

24

%

24

%

23

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

 

1

%

10

%

14

%

17

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

 

11

%

25

%

34

%

44

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

29

%

67

%

71

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

 

4

%

40

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

 

11

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Treaty

 

Earned

 

Loss & ALAE

 

Year

 

Premium

 

Paid

 

Case O/S

 

Reported

 

IBNR

 

Ultimate

 

Ult. Ratio

 

Unpaid

 

2002

 

12,191

 

4,505

 

78

 

4,583

 

36

 

4,619

 

37.9

%

114

 

2003

 

20,145

 

4,919

 

157

 

5,076

 

99

 

5,175

 

25.7

%

256

 

2004

 

31,870

 

9,169

 

252

 

9,421

 

188

 

9,609

 

30.2

%

440

 

2005

 

38,669

 

13,193

 

433

 

13,625

 

391

 

14,017

 

36.2

%

824

 

2006

 

30,988

 

8,866

 

295

 

9,162

 

449

 

9,610

 

31.0

%

744

 

2007

 

38,960

 

11,269

 

(580

)

10,689

 

646

 

11,335

 

29.1

%

66

 

2008

 

33,871

 

14,436

 

1,014

 

15,449

 

638

 

16,087

 

47.5

%

1,652

 

2009

 

32,634

 

6,962

 

633

 

7,594

 

885

 

8,479

 

26.0

%

1,518

 

2010

 

38,345

 

5,814

 

1,083

 

6,898

 

2,224

 

9,121

 

23.8

%

3,307

 

2011

 

76,340

 

27,070

 

6,168

 

33,238

 

5,228

 

38,465

 

50.4

%

11,396

 

2012

 

145,691

 

97,585

 

5,977

 

103,563

 

11,854

 

115,416

 

79.2

%

17,831

 

2013

 

193,755

 

71,848

 

5,949

 

77,796

 

36,166

 

113,963

 

58.8

%

42,115

 

2014

 

157,818

 

13,492

 

3,153

 

16,645

 

98,355

 

115,000

 

72.9

%

101,508

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

851,277

 

289,128

 

24,611

 

313,739

 

157,159

 

470,898

 

55.3

%

181,770

 

 

32



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

Excluding large losses on Property

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Premium - Gross of ceded reinsurance

 

Cal/Acc

 

Property

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Healthcare

 

Specialty Lines

 

Year

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

2002

 

376,526

 

196,237

 

166,995

 

88,051

 

141,612

 

59,558

 

73,076

 

39,904

 

 

 

2003

 

554,735

 

483,719

 

305,812

 

257,017

 

301,271

 

237,656

 

95,630

 

76,140

 

 

 

2004

 

547,959

 

565,327

 

352,392

 

332,389

 

358,020

 

321,801

 

142,160

 

120,800

 

 

 

2005

 

412,879

 

476,481

 

289,364

 

297,511

 

372,460

 

352,174

 

137,074

 

136,577

 

 

 

2006

 

463,900

 

441,138

 

276,940

 

275,405

 

434,999

 

395,104

 

156,698

 

150,401

 

 

 

2007

 

391,018

 

423,468

 

252,902

 

264,680

 

452,245

 

431,009

 

153,567

 

147,720

 

 

 

2008

 

327,491

 

357,588

 

235,939

 

243,673

 

498,544

 

457,068

 

184,055

 

170,600

 

 

 

2009

 

243,193

 

272,873

 

287,085

 

265,068

 

489,872

 

506,027

 

210,422

 

197,314

 

 

 

2010

 

224,453

 

233,716

 

311,987

 

290,498

 

467,161

 

475,071

 

228,810

 

222,171

 

1,874

 

153

 

2011

 

244,636

 

225,599

 

379,295

 

333,193

 

498,288

 

475,741

 

235,559

 

228,445

 

11,278

 

3,124

 

2012

 

274,558

 

260,347

 

471,087

 

410,539

 

558,184

 

523,494

 

234,099

 

237,910

 

31,064

 

13,763

 

2013

 

305,595

 

288,689

 

626,288

 

540,110

 

588,698

 

568,088

 

219,991

 

233,745

 

64,325

 

33,696

 

2014

 

333,937

 

314,336

 

758,778

 

656,303

 

613,803

 

585,737

 

202,451

 

205,262

 

87,838

 

73,524

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

4,700,881

 

4,539,516

 

4,714,865

 

4,254,436

 

5,775,158

 

5,388,527

 

2,273,592

 

2,166,988

 

196,378

 

124,260

 

 

Loss & ALAE - Gross of ceded reinsurance

 

Accident

 

Property

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Healthcare

 

Specialty Lines

 

Year

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

2002

 

56,709

 

56,709

 

47,524

 

55,760

 

62,540

 

62,540

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

 

 

2003

 

221,827

 

222,494

 

58,446

 

58,476

 

28,261

 

67,580

 

24,210

 

24,893

 

 

 

2004

 

238,264

 

238,876

 

42,687

 

56,754

 

48,766

 

55,975

 

17,060

 

17,064

 

 

 

2005

 

369,422

 

369,684

 

121,544

 

137,844

 

66,685

 

76,773

 

15,012

 

15,283

 

 

 

2006

 

218,053

 

219,798

 

110,379

 

110,379

 

174,147

 

179,075

 

22,478

 

22,478

 

 

 

2007

 

213,399

 

221,521

 

33,784

 

37,010

 

98,165

 

136,781

 

42,528

 

44,551

 

 

 

2008

 

223,581

 

223,998

 

120,945

 

121,524

 

211,287

 

232,329

 

40,462

 

47,868

 

 

 

2009

 

80,135

 

81,818

 

77,530

 

81,819

 

125,441

 

190,773

 

104,218

 

110,718

 

 

 

2010

 

147,201

 

150,789

 

154,763

 

174,752

 

121,100

 

141,303

 

69,401

 

86,459

 

 

 

2011

 

178,161

 

187,879

 

110,037

 

173,741

 

176,964

 

220,619

 

96,232

 

121,351

 

 

 

2012

 

68,332

 

79,279

 

96,230

 

138,999

 

137,900

 

267,349

 

47,615

 

79,464

 

2,820

 

3,250

 

2013

 

82,180

 

107,936

 

57,715

 

99,242

 

59,402

 

104,557

 

21,868

 

83,143

 

7,413

 

9,891

 

2014

 

49,596

 

139,140

 

19,219

 

61,255

 

15,145

 

43,123

 

1,638

 

7,843

 

22,178

 

29,385

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

2,146,860

 

2,299,922

 

1,050,802

 

1,307,555

 

1,325,802

 

1,778,775

 

510,750

 

669,140

 

32,411

 

42,526

 

 

33



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - North American and Global Markets Segments

Excluding large losses on Property

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Premium - Net of ceded reinsurance

 

Cal/Acc

 

Property

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Healthcare

 

Specialty Lines

 

Year

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

2002

 

300,021

 

171,696

 

166,995

 

88,051

 

141,612

 

59,558

 

73,076

 

39,904

 

 

 

2003

 

383,345

 

356,275

 

260,049

 

233,589

 

287,807

 

232,141

 

93,126

 

75,002

 

 

 

2004

 

308,623

 

333,170

 

283,537

 

271,160

 

330,199

 

304,642

 

126,731

 

114,883

 

 

 

2005

 

170,895

 

226,828

 

228,477

 

236,587

 

322,937

 

326,766

 

106,857

 

118,565

 

 

 

2006

 

193,652

 

190,783

 

211,686

 

214,376

 

362,190

 

343,955

 

124,109

 

124,024

 

 

 

2007

 

176,420

 

180,460

 

173,099

 

192,097

 

346,657

 

350,081

 

120,773

 

117,774

 

 

 

2008

 

169,889

 

173,790

 

150,779

 

162,750

 

386,010

 

342,038

 

149,237

 

131,428

 

 

 

2009

 

123,011

 

142,872

 

195,581

 

172,403

 

371,663

 

387,530

 

165,738

 

150,183

 

 

 

2010

 

132,548

 

128,427

 

207,783

 

195,237

 

352,831

 

355,437

 

175,110

 

170,003

 

1,874

 

153

 

2011

 

160,551

 

139,897

 

256,741

 

222,493

 

361,559

 

352,026

 

177,464

 

173,748

 

7,974

 

2,470

 

2012

 

204,046

 

184,341

 

313,042

 

274,262

 

378,205

 

365,086

 

173,997

 

176,483

 

20,486

 

9,471

 

2013

 

201,459

 

198,607

 

407,667

 

355,375

 

409,431

 

393,010

 

165,946

 

173,347

 

42,941

 

24,246

 

2014

 

211,559

 

203,256

 

530,608

 

443,757

 

469,234

 

421,011

 

153,783

 

158,161

 

53,650

 

47,544

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

2,736,019

 

2,630,403

 

3,386,045

 

3,062,137

 

4,520,336

 

4,233,281

 

1,805,948

 

1,723,504

 

126,926

 

83,884

 

 

Loss & ALAE - Net of ceded reinsurance

 

Accident

 

Property

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Healthcare

 

Specialty Lines

 

Year

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

2002

 

49,071

 

49,071

 

47,524

 

55,760

 

62,540

 

62,540

 

8,027

 

8,027

 

 

 

2003

 

179,410

 

179,636

 

58,422

 

58,452

 

26,749

 

66,068

 

24,210

 

24,893

 

 

 

2004

 

152,803

 

153,094

 

39,645

 

53,371

 

48,725

 

55,934

 

17,049

 

17,053

 

 

 

2005

 

166,962

 

167,069

 

96,775

 

113,070

 

63,352

 

73,438

 

13,423

 

13,593

 

 

 

2006

 

98,771

 

100,204

 

74,285

 

74,285

 

155,841

 

160,436

 

16,950

 

16,950

 

 

 

2007

 

101,156

 

106,996

 

28,240

 

31,398

 

82,974

 

114,531

 

35,936

 

37,940

 

 

 

2008

 

125,665

 

125,628

 

78,487

 

78,958

 

170,812

 

186,339

 

36,080

 

39,769

 

 

 

2009

 

54,457

 

55,584

 

57,537

 

59,277

 

115,405

 

167,101

 

77,317

 

82,762

 

 

 

2010

 

96,993

 

99,459

 

101,020

 

113,478

 

112,462

 

130,615

 

63,932

 

77,576

 

 

 

2011

 

128,865

 

135,886

 

84,515

 

117,733

 

151,474

 

187,073

 

81,843

 

105,141

 

 

 

2012

 

53,675

 

62,017

 

77,538

 

116,038

 

125,251

 

219,967

 

38,377

 

65,631

 

1,778

 

2,048

 

2013

 

66,434

 

86,914

 

49,484

 

85,812

 

57,425

 

101,087

 

15,258

 

59,287

 

5,214

 

6,720

 

2014

 

39,548

 

104,726

 

14,004

 

50,613

 

14,545

 

41,319

 

1,588

 

7,267

 

13,075

 

18,429

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,313,810

 

1,426,283

 

807,475

 

1,008,243

 

1,187,554

 

1,566,448

 

429,990

 

555,888

 

20,068

 

27,197

 

 

34



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

Excluding large losses on Property Per Risk and Specialty Lines

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Premium - Gross of ceded reinsurance

 

Treaty

 

Property Catastrophe

 

Property Per Risk

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Specialty Lines

 

Year

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

2002

 

41,284

 

41,284

 

64,249

 

64,249

 

33,674

 

33,674

 

46,832

 

46,832

 

12,191

 

12,191

 

2003

 

61,251

 

61,251

 

66,185

 

66,185

 

100,665

 

100,665

 

99,803

 

99,803

 

20,145

 

20,145

 

2004

 

68,026

 

68,026

 

75,094

 

75,094

 

122,803

 

122,803

 

119,153

 

119,153

 

38,346

 

38,346

 

2005

 

82,969

 

82,969

 

77,036

 

77,036

 

156,637

 

156,637

 

207,043

 

207,043

 

41,176

 

41,176

 

2006

 

67,244

 

67,244

 

68,058

 

68,058

 

130,637

 

130,637

 

195,332

 

195,332

 

30,988

 

30,988

 

2007

 

72,659

 

72,659

 

41,919

 

41,919

 

143,458

 

143,458

 

214,803

 

214,803

 

38,960

 

38,960

 

2008

 

67,071

 

67,071

 

33,175

 

33,175

 

131,893

 

131,893

 

185,192

 

185,192

 

33,871

 

33,871

 

2009

 

82,862

 

82,862

 

35,338

 

35,338

 

156,756

 

156,756

 

134,683

 

134,683

 

32,634

 

32,634

 

2010

 

136,355

 

136,355

 

51,026

 

51,026

 

177,224

 

177,224

 

111,093

 

111,093

 

38,881

 

38,881

 

2011

 

198,855

 

198,855

 

69,663

 

69,663

 

213,296

 

213,270

 

83,679

 

83,679

 

78,124

 

78,124

 

2012

 

254,360

 

254,005

 

104,537

 

104,533

 

173,562

 

173,491

 

74,735

 

74,735

 

147,570

 

147,570

 

2013

 

331,581

 

329,407

 

124,488

 

122,638

 

180,625

 

163,912

 

70,457

 

64,525

 

199,180

 

196,243

 

2014

 

323,814

 

257,424

 

139,195

 

85,528

 

155,596

 

55,729

 

84,533

 

21,167

 

200,920

 

158,909

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,788,332

 

1,719,412

 

949,965

 

894,444

 

1,876,826

 

1,760,148

 

1,627,339

 

1,558,041

 

912,986

 

868,038

 

 

Loss & ALAE - Gross of ceded reinsurance

 

Treaty

 

Property Catastrophe

 

Property Per Risk

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Specialty Lines

 

Year

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

2002

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

28,447

 

28,448

 

18,770

 

19,871

 

18,171

 

18,374

 

4,505

 

4,583

 

2003

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

19,446

 

19,458

 

37,497

 

40,070

 

29,171

 

33,142

 

4,919

 

5,076

 

2004

 

61,738

 

61,748

 

17,527

 

17,893

 

48,522

 

59,774

 

37,907

 

41,523

 

10,677

 

10,928

 

2005

 

153,867

 

154,040

 

47,847

 

48,191

 

61,398

 

64,889

 

63,479

 

73,866

 

13,817

 

14,250

 

2006

 

9,917

 

10,122

 

29,862

 

29,945

 

67,263

 

71,421

 

67,284

 

79,801

 

8,866

 

9,162

 

2007

 

12,644

 

12,694

 

19,985

 

20,328

 

64,482

 

70,747

 

138,191

 

169,975

 

11,269

 

10,689

 

2008

 

33,677

 

33,823

 

15,708

 

16,079

 

63,918

 

77,296

 

70,081

 

101,863

 

14,436

 

15,449

 

2009

 

4,794

 

5,066

 

23,203

 

23,754

 

54,216

 

62,809

 

29,499

 

43,234

 

6,962

 

7,594

 

2010

 

95,651

 

102,928

 

34,570

 

35,640

 

78,894

 

105,466

 

21,579

 

32,816

 

5,814

 

6,898

 

2011

 

117,937

 

125,298

 

36,567

 

39,940

 

47,822

 

86,477

 

7,703

 

14,891

 

27,634

 

33,801

 

2012

 

77,277

 

83,920

 

44,911

 

52,947

 

22,198

 

53,900

 

4,281

 

8,128

 

97,585

 

103,563

 

2013

 

50,071

 

73,575

 

44,616

 

70,171

 

1,582

 

10,168

 

1,557

 

7,365

 

71,848

 

77,796

 

2014

 

32,418

 

69,124

 

10,880

 

28,476

 

(102

)

1,325

 

13

 

201

 

13,492

 

16,645

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

661,565

 

743,912

 

373,569

 

431,270

 

566,459

 

724,213

 

488,919

 

625,180

 

291,824

 

316,435

 

 

35



 

 

December 2014 Global Loss Triangles - Reinsurance Segment

Excluding large losses on Property Per Risk and Specialty Lines

U.S. dollars in thousands

 

Premium - Net of ceded reinsurance

 

Treaty

 

Property Catastrophe

 

Property Per Risk

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Specialty Lines

 

Year

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

 

2002

 

41,284

 

41,284

 

64,249

 

64,249

 

33,674

 

33,674

 

46,832

 

46,832

 

12,191

 

12,191

 

2003

 

61,251

 

61,251

 

66,185

 

66,185

 

100,665

 

100,665

 

99,803

 

99,803

 

20,145

 

20,145

 

2004

 

59,976

 

59,976

 

75,094

 

75,094

 

122,803

 

122,803

 

119,153

 

119,153

 

31,870

 

31,870

 

2005

 

69,029

 

69,029

 

74,576

 

74,576

 

156,507

 

156,507

 

207,043

 

207,043

 

38,669

 

38,669

 

2006

 

66,181

 

66,181

 

67,633

 

67,633

 

130,457

 

130,457

 

195,332

 

195,332

 

30,988

 

30,988

 

2007

 

72,592

 

72,592

 

41,919

 

41,919

 

143,198

 

143,198

 

214,803

 

214,803

 

38,960

 

38,960

 

2008

 

66,990

 

66,990

 

31,843

 

31,843

 

131,454

 

131,454

 

185,192

 

185,192

 

33,871

 

33,871

 

2009

 

82,782

 

82,782

 

35,338

 

35,338

 

156,485

 

156,485

 

134,683

 

134,683

 

32,634

 

32,634

 

2010

 

136,338

 

136,338

 

51,026

 

51,026

 

176,699

 

176,699

 

111,093

 

111,093

 

38,345

 

38,345

 

2011

 

198,853

 

198,853

 

69,663

 

69,663

 

213,296

 

213,270

 

83,679

 

83,679

 

76,340

 

76,340

 

2012

 

254,358

 

254,003

 

90,787

 

90,783

 

173,562

 

173,491

 

74,735

 

74,735

 

145,691

 

145,691

 

2013

 

305,006

 

302,831

 

111,515

 

110,366

 

180,096

 

163,383

 

70,457

 

64,525

 

196,692

 

193,755

 

2014

 

307,561

 

243,094

 

127,805

 

84,097

 

154,746

 

54,879

 

84,533

 

21,167

 

198,082

 

157,818

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,722,199

 

1,655,203

 

907,633

 

862,772

 

1,873,641

 

1,756,964

 

1,627,339

 

1,558,041

 

894,478

 

851,277

 

 

Loss & ALAE - Net of ceded reinsurance

 

Treaty

 

Property Catastrophe

 

Property Per Risk

 

General Casualty

 

Prof. Liab. Lines

 

Specialty Lines

 

Year

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

Paid

 

Reported

 

2002

 

4,336

 

4,336

 

28,447

 

28,448

 

18,770

 

19,871

 

18,171

 

18,374

 

4,505

 

4,583

 

2003

 

7,237

 

7,237

 

19,446

 

19,458

 

37,497

 

40,070

 

29,171

 

33,142

 

4,919

 

5,076

 

2004

 

60,779

 

60,788

 

17,527

 

17,893

 

48,522

 

59,774

 

37,907

 

41,523

 

9,169

 

9,421

 

2005

 

114,551

 

114,725

 

47,847

 

48,191

 

61,398

 

64,889

 

63,479

 

73,866

 

13,193

 

13,625

 

2006

 

9,917

 

10,122

 

29,862

 

29,945

 

67,263

 

71,421

 

67,284

 

79,801

 

8,866

 

9,162

 

2007

 

12,644

 

12,694

 

19,985

 

20,328

 

64,482

 

70,747

 

138,191

 

169,975

 

11,269

 

10,689

 

2008

 

33,677

 

33,823

 

15,708

 

16,079

 

63,918

 

77,296

 

70,081

 

101,863

 

14,436

 

15,449

 

2009

 

4,794

 

5,066

 

23,203

 

23,754

 

54,216

 

62,809

 

29,499

 

43,234

 

6,962

 

7,594

 

2010

 

95,651

 

102,928

 

34,570

 

35,640

 

78,894

 

105,466

 

21,579

 

32,816

 

5,814

 

6,898

 

2011

 

117,937

 

125,298

 

36,567

 

39,940

 

47,822

 

86,477

 

7,703

 

14,891

 

27,070

 

33,238

 

2012

 

77,277

 

83,920

 

37,725

 

44,683

 

22,198

 

53,900

 

4,281

 

8,128

 

97,585

 

103,563

 

2013

 

50,071

 

73,575

 

40,677

 

64,982

 

1,582

 

10,168

 

1,557

 

7,365

 

71,848

 

77,796

 

2014

 

32,418

 

69,124

 

10,861

 

28,365

 

(102

)

1,325

 

13

 

201

 

13,492

 

16,645

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

621,290

 

703,637

 

362,425

 

417,705

 

566,459

 

724,213

 

488,919

 

625,180

 

289,128

 

313,739

 

 

36



 

IV.                               SELECTED EXCERPTS FROM ALLIED WORLD’S 2014 10-K DISCLOSURE

 

The reserve for losses and loss expenses is comprised of two main elements: outstanding loss reserves, also known as case reserves, and reserves for IBNR.  Outstanding loss reserves relate to known claims and represent management’s best estimate of the likely loss settlement.  IBNR reserves relate primarily to unreported events that, based on industry information, management’s experience and actuarial evaluation, can reasonably be expected to have occurred and are reasonably likely to result in a loss to our company.  IBNR reserves also relate to estimated development of reported events that based on industry information, management’s experience and actuarial evaluation, can reasonably be expected to reach our attachment point and are reasonably likely to result in a loss to our company.  We also include in IBNR changes  the values of claims that have been reported to us but are not yet settled.  Each claim is settled individually based upon its merits and it is not unusual for a claim to take years after being reported to settle, especially if legal action is involved.  As a result, reserves for losses and loss expenses include significant estimates for IBNR reserves.

 

The reserve for IBNR is estimated by management for each line of business based on various factors, including underwriters’ expectations about loss experience, actuarial analysis, comparisons with the results of industry benchmarks and loss experience to date.  The reserve for IBNR is calculated as the ultimate amount of losses and loss expenses less cumulative paid losses and loss expenses and case reserves.  Our actuaries employ generally accepted actuarial methodologies to determine estimated ultimate loss reserves.

 

While management believes that our case reserves and IBNR are sufficient to cover losses assumed by us, there can be no assurance that losses will not deviate from our reserves, possibly by material amounts.  The methodology of estimating loss reserves is periodically reviewed to ensure that the assumptions made continue to be appropriate.  To the extent actual reported losses exceed estimated losses, the carried estimate of the ultimate losses will be increased (i.e., unfavorable reserve development), and to the extent actual reported losses are less than estimated losses, the carried estimate of ultimate losses will be reduced (i.e., favorable reserve development).  We record any changes in our loss reserve estimates and the related reinsurance recoverables in the periods in which they are determined.  Determining whether our estimated losses are sufficient to cover all reported and non-reported claims involves a high degree of judgment.  It is our practice to address unfavorable loss emergence early in our long-tail lines of business while we tend to recognize favorable loss emergence more slowly in our long-tail lines once actual loss emergence and data provides greater confidence around the adequacy of ultimate estimates.

 

In certain lines of business, claims are generally reported and paid within a relatively short period of time (“short-tail lines”) during and following the policy coverage period.  This generally enables us to determine with greater certainty our estimate of ultimate losses and loss expenses.  The estimate of reserves for our short-tail lines of business and products, including property, crop, aviation, marine, personal accident and workers compensation catastrophe relies primarily on traditional loss reserving methodologies, utilizing selected paid and reported loss development factors.

 

37



 

Our casualty insurance and casualty reinsurance lines of business include general liability risks, healthcare and professional liability risks.  Claims may be reported or settled several years after the coverage period has terminated for these lines of business (“long-tail lines”), which increases uncertainties of our reserve estimates in such lines.  In addition, our attachment points for these long-tail lines can be relatively high, making reserving for these lines of business more difficult than short-tail lines due to having to estimate whether the severity of the estimated losses will exceed our attachment point.  We establish a case reserve when sufficient information is gathered to make a reasonable estimate of the liability, which often requires a significant amount of information and time.  Due to the lengthy reporting pattern of these casualty lines, reliance is placed on industry benchmarks supplemented by our own experience.  For expected loss ratio selections, we are giving increasing consideration to our existing experience supplemented with analysis of loss trends, rate changes and experience of peer companies.

 

Our reinsurance treaties are reviewed individually, based upon individual characteristics and loss experience emergence.  Loss reserves on assumed reinsurance often have unique features that make them more difficult to estimate than direct insurance.  We establish loss reserves upon receipt of advice from a cedent that a reserve is merited.  Our claims staff may establish additional loss reserves where, in their judgment, the amount reported by a cedent is potentially inadequate.  The following are the most significant features that make estimating loss reserves on assumed reinsurance difficult:

 

·                                          Reinsurers have to rely upon the cedents and reinsurance intermediaries to report losses in a timely fashion.

·                                          Reinsurers must rely upon cedents to price the underlying business appropriately.

·                                          Reinsurers have less predictable loss emergence patterns than direct insurers, particularly when writing excess-of-loss reinsurance.

 

For excess-of-loss reinsurance, cedents generally are required to report losses that either exceed 50% of the retention, have a reasonable probability of exceeding the retention or meet serious injury reporting criteria.  For quota share reinsurance treaties, cedents are required to give a periodic statement of account, generally monthly or quarterly.  These periodic statements typically include information regarding written premiums, earned premiums, unearned premiums, ceding commissions, brokerage amounts, applicable taxes, paid losses and outstanding losses.  They can be submitted 60 to 90 days after the close of the reporting period.  Some quota share reinsurance treaties have specific language regarding earlier notice of serious claims.

 

Reinsurance generally has a greater time lag than direct insurance in the reporting of claims.  The time lag is caused by the claim first being reported to the cedent, then the intermediary (such as a broker) and finally the reinsurer.  This lag can be up to six months or longer in certain cases.  There is also a time lag because the insurer may not be required to report claims to the reinsurer until certain reporting criteria are met.  In some instances this could be several years while a claim is being litigated.  We use reporting factors based on data from the Reinsurance Association of America to adjust for time lags.  We also use historical treaty-specific reporting factors when applicable.  Loss and premium information are entered into our reinsurance system by our claims department and our accounting department on a timely basis.

 

38



 

We record the individual case reserves sent to us by the cedents through the reinsurance intermediaries.  Individual claims are reviewed by our reinsurance claims department and adjusted as deemed appropriate.  The loss data received from the intermediaries is checked for reasonableness and for known events.  Details of the loss listings are reviewed during routine claim audits.

 

The expected loss ratios that we assign to each treaty are based upon analysis and modeling performed by a team of pricing actuaries.  The historical data reviewed by the team of pricing actuaries is considered in setting the reserves for each cedent.  The historical data in the submissions is matched against our carried reserves for our historical treaty years.

 

Loss reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability.  Rather, loss reserves are estimates of what we expect the ultimate resolution and administration of claims will cost.  These estimates are based on actuarial and statistical projections and on our assessment of currently available data, as well as estimates of future trends in claims severity and frequency, judicial theories of liability and other factors.  Loss reserve estimates are refined as experience develops and as claims are reported and resolved.  In addition, the relatively long periods between when a loss occurs and when it may be reported to our claims department for our casualty insurance and casualty reinsurance lines of business increase the uncertainties of our reserve estimates in such lines.

 

We utilize a variety of standard actuarial methods in our analysis.  The selections from these various methods are based on the loss development characteristics of the specific line of business.  For lines of business with long reporting periods such as casualty reinsurance, we may rely more on an expected loss ratio method (as described below) until losses begin to develop.  For lines of business with short reporting periods such as property insurance, we may rely more on a paid loss development method (as described below) as losses are reported relatively quickly.  The actuarial methods we utilize include:

 

Paid Loss Development Method.  We estimate ultimate losses by calculating past paid loss development factors and applying them to exposure periods with further expected paid loss development.  The paid loss development method assumes that losses are paid at a consistent rate.  The paid loss development method provides an objective test of reported loss projections because paid losses contain no reserve estimates.  In some circumstances, paid losses for recent periods may be too varied for accurate predictions.  For many coverages, especially casualty coverages, claim payments are made slowly and it may take years for claims to be fully reported and settled.  These payments may be unreliable for determining future loss projections because of shifts in settlement patterns or because of large settlements in the early stages of development.  Choosing an appropriate “tail factor” to determine the amount of payments from the latest development period to the ultimate development period may also require considerable judgment, especially for coverages that have long payment patterns.  When necessary, we have had to supplement our paid loss development patterns with appropriate benchmarks.

 

Reported Loss Development Method.  We estimate ultimate losses by calculating past reported loss development factors and applying them to exposure periods with further expected reported loss development.  Since reported losses include payments and case reserves, changes in

 

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both of these amounts are incorporated in this method.  This approach provides a larger volume of data to estimate ultimate losses than the paid loss development method.  Thus, reported loss patterns may be less varied than paid loss patterns, especially for coverages that have historically been paid out over a long period of time but for which claims are reported relatively early and have case loss reserve estimates established.  This method assumes that reserves have been established using consistent practices over the historical period that is reviewed.  Changes in claims handling procedures, large claims or significant numbers of claims of an unusual nature may cause results to be too varied for accurate forecasting.  Also, choosing an appropriate “tail factor” to determine the change in reported loss from the latest development period to the ultimate development period may require considerable judgment.  When necessary, we have had to supplement our reported loss development patterns with appropriate benchmarks.

 

Expected Loss Ratio Method.  To estimate ultimate losses under the expected loss ratio method, we multiply earned premiums by an expected loss ratio.  The expected loss ratio is selected utilizing industry data, historical company data and professional judgment.  This method is particularly useful for new lines of business where there are no historical losses or where past loss experience is not credible.

 

Bornhuetter-Ferguson Paid Loss Method.  The Bornhuetter-Ferguson paid loss method is a combination of the paid loss development method and the expected loss ratio method.  The amount of losses yet to be paid is based upon the expected loss ratios and the expected percentage of losses unpaid.  These expected loss ratios are modified to the extent paid losses to date differ from what would have been expected to have been paid based upon the selected paid loss development pattern.  This method avoids some of the distortions that could result from a large development factor being applied to a small base of paid losses to calculate ultimate losses.  This method will react slowly if actual loss ratios develop differently because of major changes in rate levels, retentions or deductibles, the forms and conditions of reinsurance coverage, the types of risks covered or a variety of other changes.

 

B-F Method.  The B-F method is similar to the Bornhuetter-Ferguson paid loss method with the exception that it uses reported losses and reported loss development factors.

 

During 2014, 2013 and 2012, we adjusted our reliance on actuarial methods utilized for certain casualty lines of business and loss years within each of our operating segments shifting from the expected loss ratio method to the B-F method to varying degrees depending on the class of business, for example excess casualty versus primary casualty and how old the loss year is.   Placing greater reliance on more responsive actuarial methods for certain casualty lines of business and loss years within each of our operating segments is a natural progression as we mature as a company and gain sufficient historical experience of our own that allows us to further refine our estimate of the reserve for losses and loss expenses.  We believe utilizing only the B-F method for certain older loss years will more accurately reflect the reported loss activity we have had thus far in our ultimate loss ratio selections, and will better reflect how the ultimate losses will develop over time.  We will continue to utilize the expected loss ratio method for the most recent loss years until we have sufficient experience to utilize other acceptable actuarial methodologies.

 

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The key assumptions used to arrive at our best estimate of loss reserves are the expected loss ratios, rate of loss cost inflation, selection of benchmarks and reported and paid loss emergence patterns.  Our reporting factors and expected loss ratios are based on a blend of our own experience and industry benchmarks for long-tailed business and primarily our own experience for short-tail business.  The benchmarks selected were those that we believe are most similar to our underwriting business.

 

Our expected loss ratios for short-tail lines change from year to year.  As our losses from short-tail lines of business are reported relatively quickly, we select our expected loss ratios for the most recent years based upon our actual loss ratios for our older years adjusted for rate changes, inflation, cost of reinsurance and average storm activity.  For the short-tail lines, we initially used benchmarks for reported and paid loss emergence patterns.  As we mature as a company, we have begun supplementing those benchmark patterns with our actual patterns as appropriate.  For the long-tail lines, we continue to use benchmark patterns, although we update the benchmark patterns as additional information is published regarding the benchmark data.

 

For short-tail lines, the primary assumption that changed during both 2014 as compared to 2013 and 2013 as compared to 2012 as it relates to prior year losses was actual paid and reported loss emergence patterns were generally less severe than estimated for each year due to lower frequency and severity of reported losses.  As a result of this change, we recognized net favorable prior year reserve development in both 2014 and 2013.

 

During the years ended December 31, 2014, 2013 and 2012, we incurred $65.0 million, $13.5 million and $179.6 million of catastrophe-related losses.  In addition, during the year ended December 31, 2012, we recognized $36.0 million related to drought losses on the U.S. crop reinsurance book.  We classify catastrophe losses as those losses that result from a major singular event or series of similar events (such as tornadoes) that are assigned a catastrophe loss number by industry data services, where our consolidated losses are expected to be at least $10 million per net loss event or series of similar events and where we believe it is important to our investors’ understanding of our operations.

 

We will continue to evaluate and monitor the development of these losses and the impact it has on our current and future assumptions.  We believe recognition of the reserve changes in the period they were recorded was appropriate since a pattern of reported losses had not emerged and the loss years were previously too immature to deviate from the expected loss ratio method in prior periods.

 

The selection of the expected loss ratios for the long-tail lines is our most significant assumption.  Due to the lengthy reporting pattern of long-tail lines, we supplement our own experience with industry benchmarks of expected loss ratios and reporting patterns in addition to our own experience.  For our older loss years that are long-tail lines, the primary assumption that changed during both 2014 as compared to 2013 and 2013 as compared to 2012 as it relates to prior year losses was using the Bornhuetter-Ferguson loss development method for certain casualty lines of business and loss years as discussed previously.  This method calculated a lower projected loss ratio based on loss emergence patterns to date.  As a result of the change in the expected loss ratio, we recognized net favorable prior year reserve development in 2014, 2013

 

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and 2012.  For the years ended December 31, 2014, and 2013, we recorded a decrease in losses and loss expenses of $159.7 million and $110.5 million, respectively, as a result of shifting from the expected loss ratio method to the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method for older loss years.  Also during 2014, actual paid and reported loss emergence was more severe than estimated in our North American Insurance segment for the 2011 through 2013 loss years.  The additions to the 2011 through 2013 loss years are consistent with our practice of addressing unfavorable loss emergence early in our long-tail lines of business.  We believe that recognition of the reserve changes in the period they were recorded was appropriate since a pattern of reported losses had not emerged and the loss years were previously too immature to deviate from the expected loss ratio method in prior periods.

 

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V.                                    GLOSSARY

 

Accident year

 

The year in which the event occurred that triggers a claim to us. All years referred to are years ending December 31st.

 

 

 

ALAE

 

Allocated loss adjustment expense, which is an estimate of the associated external expenses to be incurred in settling a claim. ALAE includes the costs of third party loss assessors and legal experts.

 

 

 

Assumed reinsurance

 

That portion of a risk that a reinsurer accepts from a cedent in return for a stated premium.

 

 

 

Attachment point

 

The loss point at which an insurance or reinsurance policy becomes operative and below which any losses are retained by either the insured or other insurers or reinsurers, as the case may be.

 

 

 

Case reserves

 

Loss reserves, established with respect to specific, individual reported claims.

 

 

 

Casualty lines

 

Insurance that is primarily concerned with losses due to injuries to persons and liability imposed on the insured for such injury or for damage to the property of others.

 

 

 

Catastrophe reinsurance

 

A form of excess-of-loss reinsurance that, subject to a specified limit, indemnifies the ceding company for the amount of loss in excess of a specified retention with respect to an accumulation of losses resulting from a catastrophic event. The actual reinsurance document is called a “catastrophe cover.” These reinsurance contracts are typically designed to cover property insurance losses but can be written to cover

 

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other types of insurance losses such as workers’ compensation policies.

 

 

 

Cede, cedent or ceding company

 

When an insurer transfers some or all of its risk to a reinsurer, it “cedes” business and is referred to as the “ceding company” or “cedent.”

 

 

 

Claims-made policies

 

A liability policy covering all claims first advised during the term of the insurance policy, as long as the loss occurred after the retroactive date listed in the policy.

 

 

 

Deductible

 

The amount of exposure an insured retains on any one risk or group of risks. The term may apply to an insurance policy, where the insured is an individual or business, or a reinsurance contract, where the reinsured is an insurance company. See “Retention.”

 

 

 

D&O side A cover

 

Insurance that provides liability coverage to directors and officers for non-indemnified losses arising from their negligence or malfeasance. Coverage applies only if the directors and officers are not indemnified by their company for such loss. Such coverage is provided on both an excess basis (i.e., policy attaches after all underlying policy limits are exhausted) and on a “difference-in-conditions” basis (i.e., policy drops down and attaches at a lower attachment point due to the failure or inability of the underlying policy(ies) to pay the loss).

 

 

 

Earned premiums

 

That portion of premiums written that applies to the expired portion of the policy term. Earned premiums are recognized as revenues under both statutory accounting practice and accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of

 

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America.

 

 

 

Employment practices liability insurance

 

Insurance that primarily provides liability coverage to organizations and their employees for losses arising from acts of discrimination, harassment and retaliation against current and prospective employees of the organization.

 

 

 

Errors and omissions

 

Insurance that provides liability coverage for claims arising from professional negligence or malpractice, subject to applicable exclusions, terms and conditions of the policy.

 

 

 

Excess or Excess layer

 

Insurance to cover losses in one or more layers above a certain amount with losses below that amount usually covered by the insured’s primary policy and its self-insured retention.

 

 

 

Excess-of-loss reinsurance

 

Reinsurance that indemnifies the insured against all or a specified portion of losses over a specified amount or retention.

 

 

 

Exclusions

 

Provisions in an insurance or reinsurance policy excluding certain risks or otherwise limiting the scope of coverage.

 

 

 

Exposure

 

The possibility of loss. A unit of measure of the amount of risk a company assumes.

 

 

 

Facultative reinsurance

 

The reinsurance of all or a portion of the insurance provided by a single policy. Each policy reinsured is separately negotiated.

 

 

 

Fiduciary liability insurance

 

Insurance that primarily provides liability coverage to fiduciaries of employee benefit and welfare plans for losses arising from the breach of any fiduciary duty owed to plan

 

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beneficiaries.

 

 

 

General casualty

 

Insurance that is primarily concerned with losses due to injuries to persons and liability imposed on the insured for such injury or for damage to the property of others.

 

 

 

Global loss triangles

 

A table of loss experience showing total losses for a certain period at regular valuation dates, reflecting the change in amounts as claims mature. Older periods in the table will have one more entry than the next youngest period, leading to the triangle shape of the data in the table.

 

 

 

Gross premiums written

 

Total premiums for insurance and reinsurance written during a given period.

 

 

 

Healthcare lines

 

Insurance coverage, often referred to as medical malpractice insurance, which addresses liability risks of doctors, surgeons, nurses, other healthcare professionals and the institutions (hospitals, clinics, etc.), in which they practice.

 

 

 

Incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) reserves

 

Reserves established by us for claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported to us as well as for changes in the values of claims that have been reported to us but are not yet settled.

 

 

 

LAE

 

The total of ALAE and ULAE.

 

 

 

Loss corridor

 

A mechanism contained in a reinsurance treaty that requires the cedent to be responsible for a certain amount of the ultimate net loss that is above the company’s designated retention and below the designated limit, and which would otherwise be reimbursed under the treaty. Loss corridors are employed to mitigate the

 

46



 

 

 

volatility of reinsurance agreements.

 

 

 

Loss development

 

The difference between the original loss as initially reserved by an insurer or reinsurer and its subsequent evaluation at a later date or at the time of its closure. Loss development occurs because of inflation and time lags between the occurrence of claims and the time they are actually reported to an insurer or reinsurer. To account for these increases, a “loss development factor” or multiplier is usually applied to a claim or group of claims in an effort to more accurately project the ultimate amount that will be paid.

 

 

 

Loss reserves

 

Liabilities established by insurers and reinsurers to reflect the estimated cost of claims incurred that the insurer or reinsurer will ultimately be required to pay. Reserves are established for losses and for loss expenses, and consist of case reserves and IBNR reserves. As the term is used in this Form 10-K, “loss reserves” is meant to include reserves for both losses and for loss expenses.

 

 

 

Loss year

 

The year to which a claim is attributed based upon the terms in the underlying policy or contract. All years referred to are years ending December 31.

 

 

 

Losses and loss expense ratio

 

Derived by dividing net losses and loss expenses by net earned premiums.

 

 

 

Losses and loss expenses

 

“Losses” are an occurrence that is the basis for submission or payment of a claim. Losses may be covered, limited or excluded from coverage, depending on the terms of the insurance policy or other insurance or reinsurance contracts. “Loss

 

47



 

 

 

expenses” are the expenses incurred by an insurance or reinsurance company in settling a loss.

 

 

 

Losses discovered basis

 

Covers losses that are discovered by the insured during the policy period and a specified period thereafter (unless replaced with similar insurance), no matter when the loss occurred and it does not matter if the insured had prior coverage.

 

 

 

Net limits

 

The amount that an insurer or reinsurer will insure or reinsure for a specified risk, a portfolio of risks or on a single insured entity, less any applicable reinsurance purchased by such insurer or reinsurer. The term also refers to the maximum amount of benefit payable for a given claim or occurrence.

 

 

 

Occurrence policies

 

A liability policy covering all claims arising from an event that takes place during the policy period, regardless of when the claim is reported to us.

 

 

 

Occurrence-reported policies

 

A liability policy covering all claims arising from an event that takes place after a retroactive date specified in the policy and the claims must be reported to the insurer during the policy period.

 

 

 

Paid losses

 

Claim amounts paid to insureds or ceding companies.

 

 

 

Primary insurance

 

Insurance that absorbs the losses immediately above the insured’s retention layer. A primary insurer will pay up to a certain dollar amount of losses over the insured’s retention, at which point a higher layer excess insurer will be liable for additional losses. The coverage terms of a primary insurance layer typically assume an element of regular loss

 

48



 

 

 

frequency.

 

 

 

Professional liability

 

Insurance that provides liability coverage to directors and officers, attorneys, doctors, accountants and other professionals who offer services to the general public and claim expertise in a particular area greater than the ordinary layperson for their negligence or malfeasance.

 

 

 

Property catastrophe coverage

 

In reinsurance, coverage that protects the ceding company against accumulated losses in excess of a stipulated sum that arise from a catastrophic event such as an earthquake, fire or windstorm. “Catastrophe loss” generally refers to the total loss of an insurer arising out of a single catastrophic event.

 

 

 

Quota share reinsurance

 

A proportional reinsurance treaty in which the ceding company cedes an agreed-on percentage of every risk it insures that falls within a class or classes of business subject to the treaty.

 

 

 

Reinsurance

 

The practice whereby one insurer, called the reinsurer, in consideration of a premium paid to that reinsurer, agrees to indemnify another insurer, called the ceding company, for part or all of the liability of the ceding company under one or more policies or contracts of insurance that it has issued.

 

 

 

Report year

 

The year in which a claim is reported to us. All years referred to are years ending December 31.

 

 

 

Reserves

 

Liabilities established by insurers and reinsurers to reflect the estimated cost of claims incurred that the insurer or reinsurer will ultimately be required to pay. Reserves are established for

 

49



 

 

 

losses and for loss expenses, and consist of case reserves and IBNR reserves. As the term is used in this report, “reserves” are meant to include reserves for both losses and for loss expenses.

 

 

 

Retention

 

The amount of exposure an insured retains on any one risk or group of risks. The term may apply to an insurance policy, where the insured is an individual or business, or a reinsurance contract, where the insured is an insurance company. See “Deductible.”

 

 

 

Short tail

 

Lines of business where claims are generally reported and paid within a relatively short period of time following the policy coverage period.

 

 

 

Surplus treaty reinsurance

 

Reinsurance contracts under which the ceding company agrees to cede and the reinsurer agrees to assume part of every risk that exceeds the ceding company’s predetermined retention limit. The reinsurer shares in premiums and losses in the same proportion as it shares in the total policy limits of the risk.

 

 

 

Swing-rated premium

 

Earned premiums from a “swing-rated” reinsurance contract, which is a contract that links the ultimate amount of ceded premium to the ultimate loss ratio on the reinsured business. This type of reinsurance contract enables the cedent to retain a greater portion of premium if the ultimate loss ratio develops at a level below the initial loss threshold set by the reinsurers, but requires a higher amount of ceded premium if the ultimate loss ratio develops above the initial threshold.

 

 

 

Treaties

 

Reinsurance contracts under which

 

50



 

 

 

the ceding company agrees to cede and the reinsurer agrees to assume risks of a particular class or classes of business.

 

 

 

Treaty year

 

The year in which the contract incepts. Exposure from contracts incepting during the current treaty year will potentially affect both the current accident year as well future accident years.

 

 

 

ULAE

 

Means unallocated loss adjustment expenses, which are an assessment of the internal expenses required to settle claims.

 

 

 

Ultimate loss

 

Total of all expected settlement amounts, whether paid or reserved together with any associated loss adjustment expenses, and is the estimated total amount of loss at the measurement date. For purposes of this report, “ultimate loss” is the sum of paid losses, case reserves and IBNR.

 

 

 

Underwriter

 

An employee of an insurance or reinsurance company who examines, accepts or rejects risks and classifies accepted risks in order to charge an appropriate premium for each accepted risk. The underwriter is expected to select business that will produce an average risk of loss no greater than that anticipated for the class of business.

 

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