FWP 1 dp15154_fwp-sp.htm FORM FWP
 
 



Issuer Free Writing Prospectus
Filed Pursuant to
Rule 433
Registration Statement No. 333-162195
Dated October 7, 2009

Bloomberg Ticker: SPGRCUUT
Reuters Ticker: .SPGRCUUT


S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index
Benchmark Performance With Lower Carbon Emissions

September 30 2009 Presentation

The S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index was launched on March 9, 2009. Accordingly,
the Index performance from September 17, 2004 to March 6, 2009 shown in this
presentation does not reflect the performance of the actual Index, but has been
back-calculated on a retrospective basis by Standard & Poor's. The Index did
not exist during the period of retrospective calculation, and past performance
is not indicative of how the Index will perform in the future.

 

 
 




Carbon Emissions

Growing Impact Everywhere


It is widely believed that CO2 emissions are causing global warming and climate
change with far reaching negative impact to the planet Potential Effects on
Environment:

--   Substantial temperature increase and sea-level rise by end of century
--   Glacial retreat: Glacier National Park had 27 glaciers in 2007 versus 150
     in 1910 and it is speculated that Himalayan glaciers could disappear by
     mid century
--   Rising levels of CO2 in oceans will harm aquatic life and ecosystems; many
     species are threatened due to rising sea temperatures
--   Severe storms and weather patterns causing destruction of property and
     crops

 Potential Effect on Humanity:

--   Millions of homes around the world may be flooded by rising sea levels

--   Underdeveloped nations may face armed conflict and riots over shortages of
     resources and food


Sources: Wikipedia, National Geographic Magazine, The Telegraph


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Low Carbon Indices Have Been Unsuccessful Thus Far

     Existing Carbon Indices have underperformed their equity benchmarks

     --   There has been negative alpha in most long-only Carbon Indices

     --   Some European Low Carbon Indices have underperformed by more than 20%
          since 2004

     --   Investors have been unwilling to forgo performance in order to be
          "green"

 Carbon Index "Trackers" have recently been introduced in Europe

     --   These indices include all benchmark companies -- overweight Low
          Carbon companies and underweight high carbon companies

     --   Resulting performance is in line with benchmark but only marginally
          lower carbon footprint

How can market performance be delivered with a meaningfully lower Carbon
Footprint?


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S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index

Market Performance with a Carbon Efficient Perspective

S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index aims to closely track S&P 500 performance with
a lower Carbon Footprint and Greenhouse Gas emissions

 A "Green" alternative/complement to the S&P 500 benchmark

--   Very high correlation to S&P 500 (0.99)

--   Historically close tracking to S&P 500 performance since 2004 (1.1%
     annualized tracking error)

--   45% lower Carbon Footprint (higher energy efficiency) compared to S&P 500

--   60% lower Greenhouse Gas emissions (total emissions tonnage per year)

S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index was developed in collaboration with Deutsche
Bank and Trucost, the market leader in company Carbon Footprint analysis.


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S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index

Executive Summary

An index of up to 375 of the lowest Carbon Footprint companies from the S&P 500

     --   Carbon Footprint measured by Trucost PLC, an industry leader in
          providing detailed Carbon Footprint analysis worldwide

     --   The Index excludes "worst" polluters from the S&P 500 (reduces
          overall Carbon Footprint)

     --   No more than 50% of an S&P GIC Sector can be excluded (1) (minimize
          tracking error)

 Index constituents are re-optimized quarterly to track the S&P 500

     --   Northfield Optimizer used to create the optimal number of
          constituents and their weights within the Carbon Index

     --   Optimizer is completely quantitative and contains no discretion or
          subjectivity

Owned and calculated by Standard & Poor's, developed in collaboration with
Deutsche Bank.

Deutsche Bank has been granted a period of worldwide exclusivity on Structured
Products and ETFs on the Index


(1)During the exclusion process, a company can be eligible for the Carbon Index
if the current total excluded percentage of a sector is below 50% and the
company's incremental S&P weight causes the excluded percentage of its sector
to exceed 50% but not 55%.


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S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index Methodology

A quarterly process maintained by Standard & Poor's


Step I Rank S&P 500 Constituents by Trucost Carbon Footprint

Step II Exclude 100 Companies with highest Carbon Footprint

Step III Optimize Remaining 400 Companies to Track S&P 500 Index Using No More
Than 375 Constituents

Do not exclude more than 50% of a Sector by Market Capitalization 1
S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index

                                 Ongoing Step

Adjust Index for Deletions from the S&P 500 Index

(1)During the exclusion process, a company can be eligible for the Carbon Index
if the current total excluded percentage of a sector is below 50% and the
company's incremental S&P weight causes the excluded percentage of its sector
to exceed 50% but not 55%.


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Carbon Reduction Analysis

Annual Carbon Footprint Comparison (GHG Emissions / Annual Revenues)

                                   [GRAPHIC]

Source: Standard & Poor's, Trucost PLC


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Carbon Reduction Analysis

Annual Total Carbon Emissions (Total GHG Emissions Tonnage)

                                   [GRAPHIC]

Source: Standard & Poor's, Trucost PLC



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S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index

Historical and retrospective index levels vs. S&P 500 TR Index

                                   [GRAPHIC]

S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index has been retrospectively calculated and did not
exist prior to March 9, 2009. Accordingly, the results shown during the
retrospective periods are hypothetical and do no reflect actual returns. Past
performance is not necessarily indicative of how the Index will perform in the
future. The performance of any investment product based on the Index would have
been lower than the Index as a result of fees and/or costs.

Source: Standard & Poor's, Bloomberg


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S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index

Historical and retrospective annual returns vs. S&P 500 TR Index

                                   [GRAPHIC]

S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index has been retrospectively calculated and did not
exist prior to March 9, 2009. Accordingly, the results shown during the
retrospective periods are hypothetical and do no reflect actual returns. Past
performance is not necessarily indicative of how the Index will perform in the
future. The performance of any investment product based on the Index would have
been lower than the Index as a result of fees and/or costs.

2004 return is from Index Inception Date of September 17, 2004; Annualized
return is over entire period from September 17, 2004

Source: Standard & Poor's,

Bloomberg


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S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index

Historical and retrospective annual tracking error vs. S&P 500 TR Index

                                   [GRAPHIC]

S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index has been retrospectively calculated and did not
exist prior to March 9, 2009. Accordingly, the results shown during the
retrospective periods are hypothetical and do no reflect actual returns. Past
performance is not necessarily indicative of how the Index will perform in the
future. The performance of any investment product based on the Index would have
been lower than the Index as a result of fees and/or costs.

2004 tracking error is from Index Inception Date of September 17, 2004;
Annualized tracking error is over entire period from September 17, 2004

Source: Standard & Poor's, Bloomberg


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S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index

Performance Summary

S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index -- Retrospective Index Levels

Retrospective Annual Performance vs. Actual S&P 500 Returns

S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index -- Summary Analytics

Volatility Analysis September 17, 2004 -- September 30, 2009

S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index has been retrospectively calculated and did not
exist prior to March 9, 2009. Accordingly, the results shown during the
retrospective periods are hypothetical and do no reflect actual returns. Past
performance is not necessarily indicative of how the Index will perform in the
future. The performance of any investment product based on the Index would have
been lower than the Index as a result of fees and/or costs.


*Inception date for the Index was September 17, 2004
Source: Standard & Poor's, Bloomberg


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S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index

Monthly Comparisons


S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index -- Simulated Monthly Performance


        2004   2005   2006   2007   2008    2009

Jan            -2.17% 2.14%  1.25%  -6.22%  -8.17%
Feb            1.53%  0.28%  -1.98% -2.73%  -10.74%
Mar            -1.49% 1.32%  1.01%  -0.45%  9.13%
Apr            -1.82% 0.90%  4.29%  4.63%   10.06%
May            3.19%  -2.77% 3.37%  1.94%   5.01%
Jun            0.26%  0.17%  -1.66% -8.25%  0.06%
Jul            3.79%  0.86%  -3.10% -0.44%  7.33%
Aug           -0.92% 2.72%  1.58%  1.46%   3.77%
Sep     -1.15% 0.40%  2.64%  3.52%  -9.08%  3.61%
Oct     1.20% -1.47% 3.16%  1.70%  -17.45%
Nov     3.84%  4.00%  2.03%  -4.54% -7.68%
Dec     3.22%  0.12%  1.89%  -0.79% 1.06%
Annual 7.22%  5.28%  16.32% 4.31%  -37.15% 19.38%


S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index --Monthly Excess Return vs. S&P 500


        2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009

Jan            0.26%  -0.50% -0.26% -0.22% 0.26%
Feb            -0.57% 0.01%  -0.02% 0.52%  -0.09%
Mar            0.28%  0.08%  -0.11% -0.02% 0.37%
Apr           0.08%  -0.45% -0.14% -0.24% 0.49%
May            0.01%  0.11%  -0.12% 0.65%  -0.58%
Jun            0.12%  0.04%  0.01%  0.18%  -0.14%
Jul            0.07%  0.24%  0.00%  0.40%  -0.23%
Aug           -0.01% 0.34%  0.08%  0.01%  0.16%
Sep      0.04%  -0.41% 0.06%  -0.22% -0.17% -0.12%
Oct     -0.32% 0.19%  -0.10% 0.11%  -0.66%
Nov     -0.21% 0.22%  0.13%  -0.36% -0.51%
Dec     -0.19% 0.08%  0.49%  -0.10% -0.01%
Annual -0.72% 0.37%  0.52%  -1.18% -0.15% 0.11%

S&P 500 -- Actual Monthly Performance

        2004   2005   2006   2007   2008    2009

Jan            -2.44% 2.65%  1.51%  -6.00%  -8.43%
Feb            2.10%  0.27%  -1.96% -3.25%  -10.65%
Mar            -1.77% 1.24%  1.12%  -0.43%  8.76%
Apr           -1.90% 1.34%  4.43%  4.87%   9.57%
May            3.18%  -2.88% 3.49%  1.30%   5.59%
Jun            0.14%  0.14%  -1.66% -8.43%  0.20%
Jul            3.72%  0.62%  -3.10% -0.84%  7.56%
Aug           -0.91% 2.38%  1.50%  1.45%   3.61%
Sep     -1.19% 0.81%  2.58%  3.74%  -8.91%  3.73%
Oct     1.53%  -1.67% 3.26%  1.59%  -16.79%
Nov     4.05%  3.78%  1.90%  -4.18% -7.18%
Dec     3.40%  0.03%  1.40%  -0.69% 1.06%
Annual 7.94%  4.91%  15.79% 5.49%  -37.00% 19.26%


S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index Monthly Annualized Tracking Error


       2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009

Jan          0.83% 1.10% 0.64% 1.44% 1.43%
Feb          0.80% 0.76% 0.48% 1.39% 1.55%
Mar          0.80% 0.73% 0.73% 1.22% 1.44%
Apr          1.04% 1.19% 0.53% 1.33% 1.35%
May          0.66% 1.08% 0.68% 1.13% 1.24%
Jun          0.71% 0.78% 0.64% 1.01% 1.14%
Jul          0.69% 0.99% 1.32% 2.02% 1.12%
Aug          0.65% 0.62% 1.21% 0.75% 0.96%
Sep          0.77% 0.80% 0.67% 1.83% 0.79%
Oct    0.59% 0.82% 0.62% 1.23% 2.95%
Nov    0.70% 0.48% 0.58% 1.25% 2.02%
Dec    0.53% 0.60% 0.85% 0.76% 1.87%
Annual 0.65% 0.76% 0.86% 0.89% 1.68% 1.23%

S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index has been retrospectively calculated and did not
exist prior to March 9, 2009. Accordingly, the results shown during the
retrospective periods are hypothetical and do no reflect actual returns. Past
performance is not necessarily indicative of how the Index will perform in the
future. The performance of any investment product based on the Index would have
been lower than the Index as a result of fees and/or costs.

September results shown are from Index Inception Date of September 17, 2004

Source: Standard & Poor's, Bloomberg page 12


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Contacts



 Global Markets Structuring - Americas

Michael Nadel -- T. +1 212 250 8866

 Structured Equity Sales - US

T. +1 212 250 9905


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Disclaimer


This document is intended for discussion purposes only and does not create any
legally binding obligations on the part of Deutsche Bank AG and/or its
affiliates ("DB"). When making an investment decision, you should rely solely
on the final documentation relating to the transaction and not the summary
contained herein. DB is not acting as your financial adviser or in any other
fiduciary capacity with respect to this proposed transaction. The transactions
or products mentioned herein may not be appropriate for all investors and
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fully understand the transaction and have made an independent assessment of the
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proposed transaction and types of financial instruments please go to
www.globalmarkets. db.com/riskdisclosures. You should also consider seeking
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Assumptions, estimates and opinions contained in this document constitute our
judgment as of the date of the document and are subject to change without
notice. Any projections are based on a number of assumptions as to market
conditions and there can be no guarantee that any projected results will be
achieved. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. This material
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"The Products are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Standard &
Poor's, a division of The McGraw -Hill Companies, Inc. ("S&P") . Standard &
Poor's does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the
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ability of the S&P Indices to track general stock market performance. S&P's
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issued or in the determination or calculation of the equation by which the
Products are to be converted into cash. S&P has no obligation or liability in
connection with the administration, marketing or trading of the Products.

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OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN AND S&P SHALL HAVE NO LIABILITY FOR ANY ERRORS,
OMISSIONS, OR INTERRUPTIONS THEREIN. S&P MAKES NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED,
AS TO RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED BY LICENSEE, OWNERS OF THE PRODUCTS OR ANY OTHER
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S&P MAKES NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, AND EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL
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OF THE FOREGOING, IN NO EVENT SHALL S&P HAVE ANY LIABILITY FOR ANY SPECIAL,
PUNITIVE, INDIRECT, OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES (INCLUDING LOST PROFITS), EVEN IF
NOTIFIED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES.



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Important Information



Deutsche Bank AG has filed a registration statement (including a prospectus)
with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, for offerings to which
this communication relates. Before you invest, you should read the prospectus
in that registration statement and the other documents relating to such
offering that Deutsche Bank AG has filed with the SEC for more complete
information about Deutsche Bank AG and the offering. You may obtain these
documents without cost by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at www.sec.gov.
Alternatively, Deutsche Bank AG, any agent or any dealer participating in the
offering will arrange to send you the prospectus if you so request by calling
toll-free 1-800-311-4409.

Risk Factors

LIMITED HISTORY OF THE INDEX -- Publication of the Index began on March 9,
2009. Therefore, the Index has very limited performance history, and no actual
investments which allowed a tracking of the performance of the Index was
possible before that date.

STANDARD & POOR'S, AS THE SPONSOR OF THE INDEX, MAY ADJUST THE INDEX IN A WAY
THAT AFFECTS ITS LEVEL --Standard & Poor's, as the sponsor of the Index, is
responsible for calculating and maintaining the Index. The sponsor can make
methodological changes that could affect the level of the Index. You should
realize that any changes in the components of the Index, as well as changes in
the components of the S&P 500 Index, may affect the Index, as any newly added
component stock may perform significantly better or worse than the component
stock it replaces.

INDEX STRATEGY RISK -- The Index seeks to closely track the S&P 500 Index
performance with a basket of stocks having a lower carbon footprint and
greenhouse gas emissions. AN INVESTMENT LINKED OR RELATED TO THE INDEX IS NOT
THE SAME AS AN INVESTMENT IN THE S&P 500 INDEX OR IN ANY OF ITS UNDERLYING
COMPONENTS. The Index may not successfully track the market performance of the
S&P 500 Index.




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