FWP 1 dp12646_fwp.htm FREE WRITING PROSPECTUS
 
 



                                          Registration Statement No. 333-137902
                                              Dated February 23, 2009; Rule 433


                                 DEUTSCHE BANK


                            Commodity-Linked Indices

 Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index - Mean Reversion and Mean Reversion Plus

                                 February 2009

The instruments described in this presentation are hybrid instruments under the
Commodity Exchange Act ("CEA").

As such, the instruments are not contracts of sale of a commodity for future
delivery (or options on such contracts) and are not subject to the CEA.

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Disclaimer

Commodities are speculative and highly volatile. The risk of loss in trading
commodities can be substantial. Commodity prices may be subject to substantial
and unpredictable fluctuations over short periods of time and may be affected
by, among other things, a wide variety of regulatory, monetary and/or economic
developments and policies. Prospective investors must independently assess the
appropriateness of an investment in commodities in light of their own financial
situation and investment objectives.

The price of an instrument and the commodities which comprise the index may be
affected by numerous market factors, including events in the market for
commodities, the equity markets, the bond market and the foreign exchange
market, fluctuations in interest rates, and world economic, political and
regulatory events. A rise in the value of one commodity may be offset by a fall
in the value of one or more of the other commodities comprising the index.

Commodity prices can be highly volatile and may impact negatively the value of
an instrument. Volatility around the time of maturity could have a significant
impact on the overall performance of an investment.

The value of any instrument linked to either index described herein will depend
on, among other things, fluctuations in interest rates, the value of the
commodities underlying the index, the time remaining to the maturity date, and
associated options markets and hedging costs of the issuer. The value of any
instrument may start to decline significantly if the value of the index is
below the level of the index on the issue date of the instrument. Price
movements may also be caused by changes in the credit spread of the issuer.

The receipt by the investor of monies owed under instruments linked to either
index described herein is subject to and dependent on the issuer's abilities to
pay such monies. Consequently, investors are subject to a counterparty risk and
are susceptible to risks relating to the creditworthiness of the issuer.

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Contents

Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index - Mean Reversion TM and Mean Reversion
                                    Plus TM



o    Executive Summary

o    Sources of Return in Commodities

o    The Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index - Mean Reversion TM

o    The Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index - Mean Reversion Plus TM

o    Performance and Descriptive Statistics

o    Market Data Sources


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Executive Summary

   Why invest in Commodities via an Index?

o    An investment in a commodity index is a simple way for an investor to gain
     exposure to the asset class while insulating them from the mechanics of
     rolling futures and posting collateral

o    Transparent, rule-based roll mechanism eliminates human intervention

  Characteristics of Commodities

o    Commodities are an asset class in their own right and exhibit unique
     characteristics

     o    Low to negative correlation with traditional asset classes

     o    Historically exhibit mean reversion

     o    Positive correlation with inflation on a historical basis

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Sources of Return in Commodities

Commodity indices invest in futures contracts and are subject to the impact of
"roll return."

Spot Return:                  Return resulting from the change in the value of a
                              commodity futures contract

Roll Return:                  Return from the change in value of a commodity
                              futures contract resulting from its movement over
                              time along its forward curve - also known as
                              "roll yield" or "carry."

Backwardation:* The roll return (carry) is Positive

o    Negative slope or inverted "backward" forward curve

o    Supply disruption price elasticity

o    Risk premium at near-term delivery - "convenience yield" theory

Contango:* The roll return (carry) is Negative

o    Positive slope or "normal" upward forward curve

o    Typically reflects markets that are not as price elastic to supply shocks

o    Market participants pay a "cost of carry" for deferred payment and
     delivery

o    Time value of money, storage costs and delivery are all priced into the
     deferred premium

*Definitions:

Backwardation: market condition where the futures price is lower in the distant
delivery months than in the near delivery months

Contango: market condition where the future price for distant delivery is
higher than near delivery months, often due to the costs of storing and
insuring the underlying commodity; opposite of - backwardation


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Sources of Return in Commodities

Backwardation Example: WTI Crude

WTI Crude normally has high demand with only a finite supply available for
immediate delivery. This may create a market where near dated contracts trade
at a premium to contracts for future delivery.

                               [GRAPHIC OMITTED]

*This illustration is designed to explain the concept of "backwardation," and
assumes a constant spot price.

Losses can occur as a result of spot movement.


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Sources of Return in Commodities

Contango example: Gold


Gold normally has insurance and storage costs associated with future delivery.

This may create a market where future dated contracts trade at a premium to
contracts for immediate delivery.

                               [GRAPHIC OMITTED]

*This illustration is designed to explain the concept of "contango," and
assumes a constant spot price.

Losses can occur as a result of spot movement.


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Concept and Construction of the DBLCI-MR TM Excess Return

The DBLCI-MR TM Excess Return is composed of only six underlying commodity
futures contracts:

These 6 commodities represent some of the most liquid contracts in their
respective sectors (energy, precious metals, industrial metals, grains)


Crude Oil:                The First Nearby Month Light Sweet WTI Crude Oil futures contract on the
                          New York Mercantile Exchange ("NYMEX")

Heating Oil:              The First Nearby Month Heating Oil futures contract on the
                          New York Mercantile Exchange ("NYMEX")

Aluminum:                 The December Expiry Aluminum futures contract that trades on the
                          London Metal Exchange ("LME")

Gold:                     The December Expiry Gold futures contract that trades on the
                          Commodity Exchange Inc., New York ("COMEX")

Wheat:                    The December Expiry Wheat futures contract that trades on the
                          Board of Trade of the City of Chicago Inc. ("CBOT")

Corn:                     The December Expiry Corn futures contract that trades on the
                          Board of Trade of the City of Chicago Inc. ("CBOT")


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Concept and Construction of the DBLCI-MR TM Excess Return

Weighting of the Index mechanically rebalances

o    The DBLCI - MR TM mechanically rebalances its 6 constituent commodities
     such that "expensive" commodities have their weights reduced while "cheap"
     commodities have their weights increased. This is done according to a
     simple, pre-defined formula.

o    A rebalancing will occur whenever one of the commodities undergoes a
     "trigger event." A trigger event occurs when the one-year moving average
     price of the commodity trades +/- 5% than the five- year moving average.

o    The DBLCI-MR Plus TM combines the DBLCI-MR's approach to optimizing
     sector-allocation in commodities with a quantitative rule-based momentum
     strategy that aims to reduce exposure and maintain returns during
     downturns in commodity markets.

o        The entire rebalancing process is rule-based and mandatory.


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Commodity Allocation of the DBLCI-MR TM Excess Return

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Commodity                           Base Weight             Current Weight*
                                                                      ------------------------
ENERGY            Light Sweet Crude                        35.00%                      22.15%
                  Heating Oil                              20.00%                      10.37%

INDUSTRIAL METALS Aluminum                                 12.50%                      53.60%
PRECIOUS METALS   Gold                                     10.00%                       7.30%

AGRICULTURE       Wheat                                    11.25%                       4.25%
                  Corn                                     11.25%                       2.33%

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Historical Allocation

                               [GRAPHIC OMITTED]

Source: Deutsche Bank (Jan 1999 - 31 Jan 2009)
*As of 31 Jan 2009

Index Details
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Commodity                Roll Frequency      Current Contract*
---------                --------------      -----------------

Light Sweet Crude        Monthly             20 Feb 2009
Heating Oil              Monthly             27 Feb 2009

Aluminum                 Yearly              16 Dec 2009
Gold                     Yearly              29 Dec 2009

Wheat                    Yearly              14 Dec 2009
Corn                     Yearly              14 Dec 2009

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Concept and Construction of the DBLCI-MR TM Total Return

The DBLCI - MR TM Total Return Index adds collateral yield to the Excess Return

                  Excess Return =    Spot Return + Roll Return

                  Total Return =     Excess Return + Collateral Yield

o    Collateral yield of 3-Month U.S. Treasury Bills is added to the DBLCI - MR
     TM Excess Return to create the DBLCI-MR TM Total Return

o    The DBLCI - MR TM Total Return and Excess Return Indexes were launched in
     February 2003 with available price history since December 1, 1988


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Concept and Construction of the DBLCI-MR Plus TM Excess Return

The DBLCI-MR Plus TM aims to preserve excess returns generated by the DBLCI-MR
TM by dynamically adjusting its commodity exposure to reflect upward and
downward momentum cycles

o    DBLCI-MR Plus TM Excess Return is a dynamic allocation strategy based on
     the performance of the DBLCI-MR TM Excess Return Index

o    Mandatory rebalancing takes place on a monthly basis

o    At each monthly rebalancing, the allocation in the DBLCI-MR TM Excess
     Return strategy is determined based on the performance of the DBLCI-MR TM
     Excess Return over the previous 12 months

o    Twelve performance indicators are built, reflecting the performance of
     DBLCI-MR TM Excess Return over previous 12- months,11-months,
     10-months....3-months, 2-months, 1-month

o    The allocation or component weight to commodities is proportional to the
     number of times the DBCLI-MR TM Excess

o    Return performance is greater than zero

o    Rules based momentum strategy with no human intervention, only execution

                               [GRAPHIC OMITTED]

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Concept and Construction of the DBLCI-MR Plus TM Excess Return

Applying the Momentum Strategy to the DBLCI-MR TM Excess Return

The objective of this strategy is for the DBLCI-MR Plus TM Excess Return to
avoid full exposure to commodity markets during extended periods of negative
performance, while regaining partial or full exposure as they subsequently
rally

                               [GRAPHIC OMITTED]

Source: Deutsche Bank, Jan 2009

Past Performance is not Indicative of Future Results


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Performance and Descriptive Statistics

                               [GRAPHIC OMITTED]

 Source: DB Global Markets Research, Bloomberg, Jan 1998 - Jan 2009
 Past performance is not indicative of future results

* The DBLCI-MR and DBLCI-MR Plus have existed since February 2003 and July
2007, respectively. The results from their respective inception dates through
January 2009 represent actual performance (gross of fees). Results prior to
inception dates are based on historical simulations run from January 1991 for
the DBLCI-MR Plus and December 1988 for the DBLCI-MR through their respective
inception dates, which do not reflect the performance of the actual indices.
This hypothetical performance is provided as an illustration and should not be
relied upon in reaching an investment decision. No representation is made that
performance of the commodity-linked indices would have been the same or similar
to the hypothetical performance reflected.

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DBLCI-MR Plus TM vs. DBLCI-MR TM return distributions


o    These returns are charted assuming investment in the underlying index
     occurred at the beginning of each month since January 1998.

o    Over both time horizons, the historical average annualized returns of
     DBLCI-MR+ have been positively skewed when compared to the DBLCI-MR.

                       [GRAPHIC OMITTED]

 Source: DB Global Markets Research, Bloomberg, Feb 2003 - Jan 2009

 Past performance is not indicative of future results

* The DBLCI-MR and DBLCI-MR Plus have existed since February 2003 and July
2007, respectively. The results from their respective inception dates through
January 2009 represent actual performance (gross of fees). Results prior to
inception dates are based on historical simulations run from January 1991 for
the DBLCI-MR Plus and December 1988 for the DBLCI-MR through their respective
inception dates, which do not reflect the performance of the actual indices.
This hypothetical performance is provided as an illustration and should not be
relied upon in reaching an investment decision. No representation is made that
performance of the commodity-linked indices would have been the same or similar
to the hypothetical performance reflected.


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                         DBLCI - MRTM Index Performance

Recent Performance
Jan-08: +2.28%                                        Sector Performance*
Feb-08: +11.81%
Mar-08: +0.07%          [GRAPHIC OMITTED]         Month         Dec-08  Jan-09
April-08: +4.03%                               Crude oil        -21.38% -15.46%
May-08: +6.17%                               Heating oil        -18.00%  -1.21%
June-08: +8.18%                                Aluminium        -13.77% -12.81%
July-08: -7.93%                                     Gold          7.47%   5.12%
Aug-08: -8.25%                                     Wheat          7.17%  -5.54%
Sep-08: -10.28%                                     Corn          9.19%  -5.87%
Oct-08: -20.22%                               DBLCI - MR        -11.36% -10.77%
Nov-08: -11.90%                        DBLCI - MR 'Plus'          0.00%  -0.59%
Dec-08: -11.36%                        * based on excess return indices
Jan-09: -10.76%



Recent Performance
Jan-08: +2.24%                                               Sector Allocation**
Feb-08: +11.81%                                             Month   Dec-08  Jan-09
Mar-08: +0.07%                                          Crude oil   17.43%  23.25%
April-08: +4.17%        [GRAPHIC OMITTED]             Heating oil    9.86%  11.21%
May-08: +5.70%                                          Aluminium   54.77%  50.72%
June-08: +8.18%                                              Gold   10.34%   8.01%
July-08: -7.93%                                             Wheat    4.31%   4.03%
Aug-08: -8.32%                                               Corn    3.29%   2.77%
Sep-08: -5.79%                               ** average weight in the DBLCI - MR
Oct-08: -7.37%                               Source:    Bloomberg (Jan 1990 - Jan 2009)
Nov-08: -1.04%
Dec-08:  0.00%
Jan-09:  -0.58%



Past performance is not indicative of future results

-The DBLCI-MR and DBLCI-MR Plus have existed since February 2003 and July 2007,
respectively. The results from their respective inception dates through January
2009 represent actual performance (gross of fees). Results prior to inception
dates are based on historical simulations run from January 1991 for the
DBLCI-MR Plus and December 1988 for the DBLCI-MR through their respective
inception dates, which do not reflect the performance of the actual indices.
This hypothetical performance is provided as an illustration and should not be
relied upon in reaching an investment decision. No representation is made that
performance of the commodity-linked indices would have been the same or similar
to the hypothetical performance reflected.

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                           SPGSCITM Index Performance

Recent Performance
Jan-08: -0.28%
Feb-08: +11.06
Mar-08: -1.30%
April-08: +7.85
May-08: +8.95%                     [GRAPHIC OMITTED]
June-08: +9.04%
July-08: -12.36%
Aug-08: -7.24%
Sep-08: -12.56%
Oct-08: -28.25%
Nov-08: -14.87%
Dec-08: -13.32
Jan-09: -8.95%


                          DJ-AIGCITM Index Performance

Recent Performance

Jan-08: +3.96%
Feb-08: +12.08%
Mar-08: -6.46%
April-08: +3.45%
May-08: +2.59%
June-08: +8.92%
July-08: -11.99%                     [GRAPHIC OMITTED]
Aug-08: -7.42%
Sep-08: -11.65%
Oct-08: -21.34%
Nov-08: -6.99%
Dec-08: -4.49%
Jan-09: -5.39%

 Recent Performance*

                 2008        2009(ytd)
   DBLCI MR      -35.43%      -10.77%
   DBLCI MR+     -0.67%        -0.59%
   SPGSCI        -47.29%       -8.95%
   DJAIG         -36.61%       -5.39%

  * based on excess return indices

Source:   Bloomberg (Jan 1990 - Jan 2009)

Past performance is not indicative of future results

* The SPGSCI and DJ-AIGCI have existed since January 1970 and July 1998,
respectively. The results from their respective inception dates through January
2009 represent actual performance (gross of fees). Results prior to inception
dates are based on historical simulations run from January 1991 for the

DJ-AIGCI through their respective inception dates, which do not reflect the
performance of the actual indices. This hypothetical performance is provided as
an illustration and should not be relied upon in reaching an investment
decision. No representation is made that performance of the commodity-linked
indices would have been the same or similar to the hypothetical performance
reflected.


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Performance and Descriptive Statistics

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Historical Returns
----------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------
DBLCI-MR TM                   DBLCI-MR  **Equities    *Commodities
                              Plus TM

Total Return         9.52%     14.76%          0.22%           1.58%
Excess Return        5.94%     11.01%         -3.36%          -2.00%
Volatility          18.42%     15.15%         17.80%          21.64%
Sharpe Ratio          0.32      0.73          -0.19            -0.09

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Source: Deutsche Bank, 2008, Bloomberg , 01 Jan 1998 - 31 Jan 2009


-------------------------------------------------------------------
Correlation with other asset classes++
-------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                   DBLCI-MR
Correlation                  DBLCI-MR TM            Plus TM
Equities **                      11.27%              1.03%
US Treasuries***                 -0.91%             -0.62%
Commodities *                    78.19%             65.84%

*: S&P GSCI
**: S&P 500 Index
***: USGATR - US Govt All Total Return Index
++: Correlation of monthly returns from Jan 1998-Jan 2009

Past performance is not indicative of future results

* The DBLCI-MR and DBLCI-MR Plus have existed since February 2003 and July
2007, respectively. The results from their respective inception dates through
January 2009 represent actual performance (gross of fees). Results prior to
inception dates are based on historical simulations run from January 1991 for
the DBLCI-MR Plus and December 1988 for the DBLCI-MR through their respective
inception dates, which do not reflect the performance of the actual indices.
This hypothetical performance is provided as an illustration and should not be
relied upon in reaching an investment decision. No representation is made that
performance of the commodity-linked indices would have been the same or similar
to the hypothetical performance reflected.


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Market Data Sources


Bloomberg Tickers:

DBLCI-MR TM Total Return                           DBLCMMVL Index
DBLCI-MR TM Excess Return                          DBLCMMCL Index
DBLCI-MR Plus TM Total Return                      DBLCMPUT Index
DBLCI-MR Plus TM Excess Return                     DBLCMPUE Index
S&P 500                                            SPTR Index
S&P GSCI TM Excess Return                          SPGCCIP Index
DJ-AIGCI TM  Excess Return                         DJAIG Index


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Important Notes

This document is intended to provide you with information regarding the
Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index - Mean Reversion and Deutsche Bank Liquid
Commodity Index - Mean Reversion Plus.

The analysis set forth herein is based on information we believe to be
reliable, including internal models, certain assumptions (all of which are
subject to change without notice) and available market data, which may be
internally generated.

"Deutsche Bank" means Deutsche Bank AG and its affiliated companies, as the
context requires. Deutsche Bank Private Wealth Management refers to Deutsche
Bank's wealth management activities for high net worth clients around the
world.

Investors should consider an investment linked to the indices described herein
only after careful consideration and consultation with their legal, tax,
accounting and other advisers as to the suitability of the investments in light
of their own particular financial, tax and other circumstances and the
information set out in this document and the other documents we provide to you.

Deutsche Bank AG has filed a registration statement (including a prospectus)
with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, for offerings to which
these materials relate. Before you invest, you should read the prospectus in
that registration statement and the other documents relating to such offering
that Deutsche Bank AG has filed with the SEC for more complete information
about Deutsche Bank AG and such offering. You may obtain these documents
without cost by visiting EDGAR on the SEC Web site at www.sec.gov.
Alternatively, Deutsche Bank AG, any agent or any dealer participating in such
offering will arrange to send you the prospectus, prospectus supplement and
other documents relating to the offering if you so request by calling toll-free
1-800-311-4409.

Your return on an investment linked to the indices described herein will be
dependent on the performance of the indices during the term of the instrument.
There is no assurance that the commodities which comprise the index will have
positive performance and past performance of any of the commodities which
comprise the index is not a guarantee, nor necessarily indicative, of their
future performance.

Deutsche Bank AG, including its subsidiaries and affiliates, does not provide
legal, tax or accounting advice. This communication was prepared solely in
connection with the promotion or marketing, to the extent permitted by
applicable law, of the matter addressed herein, and was not intended or written
to be used, and cannot be used or relied upon, by any taxpayer for purposes of
avoiding any U.S. federal tax penalties. The recipient of this communication
should seek advice from an independent tax advisor regarding any tax matters
addressed herein based on its particular circumstances.

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S&P GSCI Disclaimer

These materials are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Standard &
Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. ("S&P"). Standard &
Poor's does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the
owners of any instrument linked to the indices described herein or any member
of the public regarding the advisability of investing in securities generally
or in any instrument linked to the indices described herein or the ability of
S&P GSCI Index to track general commodity market performance. S&P's only
relationship to Deutsche Bank AG is the licensing of certain trademarks and
trade names of S&P and of S&P GSCI Index, which indices are determined,
composed and calculated by S&P without regard to Deutsche Bank AG any
instrument linked to the indices described herein. S&P has no obligation to
take the needs of Deutsche Bank AG or the owners of any instrument linked to
the indices described herein into consideration in determining, composing or
calculating S&P GSCI Index. S&P is not responsible for and have not
participated in the determination of the timing of, prices at, or quantities of
any instrument linked to the indices described herein to be issued or in the
determination or calculation of the equation by which the S&P GSCI Index are to
be converted into cash. S&P has no obligation or liability in connection with
the administration, marketing or trading of any instrument linked to the
indices described herein.

S&P DOES NOT GUARANTEE THE ACCURACY AND/OR THE COMPLETENESS OF S&P GSCI INDEX
OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN AND S&P SHALL HAVE NO LIABILITY FOR ANY ERRORS,
OMISSIONS, OR INTERRUPTIONS THEREIN. S&P MAKES NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED,
AS TO RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED BY DEUTSCHE BANK AG, OWNERS OF ANY INSTRUMENT
LINKED TO THE INDICES DESCRIBED HEREIN OR ANY OTHER PERSON OR ENTITY FROM THE
USE OF S&P GSCI INDEX OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN. S&P MAKES NO EXPRESS OR
IMPLIED WARRANTIES, AND EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY
OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE WITH RESPECT TO THE S&P INDICES OR
ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN. WITHOUT LIMITING ANY OF THE FOREGOING, IN NO EVENT
SHALL S&P HAVE ANY LIABILITY FOR ANY SPECIAL, PUNITIVE, INDIRECT, OR
CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES (INCLUDING LOST PROFITS), EVEN IF NOTIFIED OF THE
POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES.

S&P GSCI Index is a trademark of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. and has been
licensed for use by Deutsche Bank AG.


                                    page 21