EX-99.1 2 file2.htm INVESTOR UPDATE DATED MAR. 21, 2007 OF JETBLUE



JetBlue Airways Investor Relations

Cindy England

Lisa Studness

(203) 669-3191

ir@jetblue.com


Investor Update

March 21, 2007


This investor update provides selected investor guidance for the first quarter ending March 31, 2007 and full year 2007.


Operating Margin

(Estimated operating margin range)


 

First Quarter 2007

Full Year 2007

Estimated Operating
Margin Range

(4)-(2)%

7-9%



Income (Loss) Before Income Taxes

(Estimated pre-tax margin range)


 

First Quarter 2007

Full Year 2007

Estimated Pre-tax
Margin Range

(10)-(8)%

2-4%



Passenger Revenue per Available Seat Mile (PRASM)

(Year over year percentage improvement)


Estimated First Quarter 2007

7-9%

Estimated Full Year 2007

8-10%


The PRASM guidance in both the first quarter and full year includes the impact of the reduction in seats on our A320 aircraft from 156 to 150 seats per aircraft.  











Cost per Available Seat Mile (CASM) at Assumed Fuel Cost

(Estimated year over year percentage increases)



 

First Quarter 2007

Full Year 2007

Estimated CASM

7-9%

7-9%


The CASM guidance in both the first quarter and full year includes the impact of the reduction in seats on our A320 aircraft from 156 to 150 seats per aircraft.


Cost per Available Seat Mile (CASM) Excluding Fuel

(Estimated year over year percentage increases)


 

First Quarter 2007

Full Year 2007

Estimated Ex-fuel
CASM

7-9%

7-9%


The Ex-fuel CASM guidance in both the first quarter and full year includes the impact of the reduction in seats on our A320 aircraft from 156 to 150 seats per aircraft.


Fuel Hedges

 

We continue to enter into advanced fuel derivative agreements to reduce our exposure to fluctuations in fuel price.  Currently, the agreements covering 2007 are:


 

Gallons
(Est. % of consumption)

Price

Q1 ‘07

72 million (70%)

22% in heat collars with the average cap at $2.35/gal and the average put at $1.95/gal


48% in heat swaps at an average of $1.78/gal

Q2 ‘07

73 million (64%)

11% in heat collars with the average cap at $2.33/gal and the average put at $1.95/gal


42% in heat swaps at an average of $1.73/gal


11% in crude collars with the average cap at  $74/bbl and the average put at $59/bbl

Q3 ‘07

41 million (35%)

24% in heat swaps at an average of $1.76/gal


11% in crude collars with the average cap at $74/bbl and the average put at $59/bbl

Q4 ‘07

29 million (25%)


25% in heat swaps at an average of $1.85/gal













 

First Quarter 2007

Full Year 2007

Estimated Fuel
Gallons Consumed

103 million

455 million

Estimated Average
Fuel Price per Gallon,
Net of Hedges

$1.90

$1.98




This investor update contains statements of a forward-looking nature which represent our management's beliefs and assumptions concerning future events. Forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions, and are based on information currently available to us. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements due to many factors, including, without limitation, our extremely competitive industry; increases in fuel prices, maintenance costs and interest rates; our ability to implement our growth strategy, including the ability to operate reliably the EMBRAER 190 aircraft; our significant fixed obligations; our ability to attract and retain qualified personnel and maintain our culture as we grow; our reliance on high daily aircraft utilization; our dependence on the New York metropolitan market; our reliance on automated systems and technology; our being subject to potential unionization; our reliance on a limited number of suppliers; changes in or additional government regulation; changes in our industry due to other airlines' financial condition; and external geopolitical events and conditions. Further information concerning these and other factors is contained in the Company's Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including but not limited to, the Company's 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that may arise after the date of this update.