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Reserves For Losses And Loss Expenses
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2020
Insurance [Abstract]  
Reserves For Losses And Loss Expenses Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses
The Company's reserves for losses and loss expenses are comprised of case reserves and incurred but not reported liabilities (IBNR). When a claim is reported, a case reserve is established for the estimated ultimate payment based upon known information about the claim. As more information about the claim becomes available over time, case reserves are adjusted up or down as appropriate. Reserves are also established on an aggregate basis to provide for IBNR liabilities and expected loss reserve development on reported claims.
Loss reserves included in the Company’s financial statements represent management’s best estimates based upon an actuarially derived point estimate and other considerations. The Company uses a variety of actuarial techniques and methods to derive an actuarial point estimate for each operating unit. These methods may include paid loss development, incurred loss development, paid and incurred Bornhuetter-Ferguson methods and frequency and severity methods. In circumstances where one actuarial method is considered more credible than the others, that method is used to set the point estimate. The actuarial point estimate may also be based on a judgmental weighting of estimates produced from each of the methods considered. Industry loss experience is used to supplement the Company’s own data in selecting “tail factors” in areas where the Company’s own data is limited. The actuarial data is analyzed by line of business, coverage and accident or policy year, as appropriate, for each operating unit.
The establishment of the actuarially derived loss reserve point estimate also includes consideration of qualitative factors that may affect the ultimate losses. These qualitative considerations include, among others, the impact of re-underwriting initiatives, changes in claims handling procedures, changes in the mix of business, changes in distribution sources and changes in policy terms and conditions.
The key assumptions used to arrive at the best estimate of loss reserves are the expected loss ratios, rate of loss cost inflation, and reported and paid loss emergence patterns. Expected loss ratios represent management’s expectation of losses at the time the business is priced and written, before any actual claims experience has emerged. This expectation is a significant determinant of the estimate of loss reserves for recently written business where there is little paid or incurred loss data to consider. Expected loss ratios are generally derived from historical loss ratios adjusted for the impact of rate changes, loss cost trends and known changes in the type of risks underwritten. Expected loss ratios are estimated for each key line of business within each operating unit. Expected loss cost inflation is particularly important for the long-tail lines, such as excess casualty, and claims with a high medical component, such as workers’ compensation. Reported and paid loss emergence patterns are used to project current reported or paid loss amounts to their ultimate settlement value. Loss development factors are based on the historical emergence patterns of paid and incurred losses, and are derived from the Company’s own experience and industry data. The paid loss emergence pattern is also significant to excess and assumed workers’ compensation reserves because those reserves are discounted to their estimated present value based upon such estimated payout patterns.
Loss frequency and severity are measures of loss activity that are considered in determining the key assumptions described in our discussion of loss and loss expense reserves, including expected loss ratios, rate of loss cost inflation and reported and paid loss emergence patterns. Loss frequency is a measure of the number of claims per unit of insured exposure, and loss severity is a measure of the average size of claims. Factors affecting loss frequency include the effectiveness of loss controls and safety programs and changes in economic activity or weather patterns. Factors affecting loss severity include changes in policy limits, retentions, rate of inflation and judicial interpretations.
Another factor affecting estimates of loss frequency and severity is the loss reporting lag, which is the period of time between the occurrence of a loss and the date the loss is reported to the Company. The length of the loss reporting lag affects our ability to accurately predict loss frequency (loss frequencies are more predictable for lines with short reporting lags) as well as the amount of reserves needed for incurred but not reported losses (less IBNR is required for lines with short reporting lags). As a result, loss reserves for lines with short reporting lags are likely to have less variation from initial loss estimates. For lines with short reporting lags, which include commercial automobile, primary workers’ compensation, other liability (claims-made) and property business, the key assumption is the loss emergence pattern used to project ultimate loss estimates from known losses paid or reported to date. For lines of business with long reporting lags, which include other liability (occurrence), products liability, excess workers’ compensation and liability reinsurance, the key assumption is the expected loss ratio since there is often little paid or incurred loss data to consider. Historically, the Company has experienced less variation from its initial loss estimates for lines of businesses with short reporting lags than for lines of business with long reporting lags.
The key assumptions used in calculating the most recent estimate of the loss reserves are reviewed each quarter and adjusted, to the extent necessary, to reflect the latest reported loss data, current trends and other factors observed.
A claim may be defined as an event, as a claimant (number of parties claiming damages from an event) or by exposure type (e.g., an event may give rise to two parties, each claiming loss for bodily injury and property damage).
The most commonly used claim count method is by event. Most of the Company's operating units use the number of events to define and quantify the number of claims. However, in certain lines of business, where it is common for multiple parties to claim damages arising from a single event, an operating unit may quantify claims on the basis of the number of separate parties involved in an event. This may be the case with businesses writing substantial automobile or transportation exposure.
Claim counts for assumed reinsurance will vary based on whether the business is written on a facultative or treaty basis. Further variability as respects treaty claim counts may be reflective of the nature of the treaty, line of business coverage, and type of participation such as quota share or excess of loss contracts. Accordingly, the claim counts have been excluded from the below Reinsurance & Monoline Excess segment tables due to this variability.
The claim count information set forth in the tables presented below may not provide an accurate reflection of ultimate loss payouts by product line.
The following tables present undiscounted incurred and paid claims development as of December 31, 2020, net of reinsurance, as well as cumulative claim frequency and the total of incurred but not reported liabilities (IBNR). The information about incurred and paid claims development for the years ended December 31, 2011 to 2019 is presented as supplementary information. To enhance the comparability of the loss development data, the Company has removed the impact of foreign exchange rate movements by using the December 31, 2020 exchange rate for all periods. Beginning with accident year 2012, the Company's U.K. and European insurance business is included in the Insurance segment's tables for Other Liability, Professional Liability, Commercial Automobile and Short-Tail Lines. Prior to 2012, the actuarial analysis for its U.K. and European insurance business was performed on an underwriting year basis and accident year data is not available for those years.
Insurance
Other Liability
(In thousands)
Loss and Loss Expenses Incurred, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2020
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020IBNRCumulative Number of Reported Claims
2011$665,626 $671,712 $657,819 $657,143 $652,134 $647,241 $643,358 $632,565 $643,446 $644,565 $16,298 24
2012— 692,549 701,212 702,022 708,805 712,698 722,946 717,453 715,466 713,714 23,827 24
2013— — 750,993 791,768 784,674 784,487 805,447 811,775 806,348 810,500 41,398 26
2014— — — 848,658 851,404 849,440 853,826 866,096 872,150 867,239 66,901 27
2015— — — — 953,198 988,569 963,451 966,872 968,783 979,014 99,480 27
2016— — — — — 1,019,851 1,012,851 1,021,524 1,032,780 1,046,823 171,325 27
2017— — — — — — 1,067,556 1,101,376 1,123,930 1,140,639 253,192 27
2018— — — — — — — 1,106,108 1,133,601 1,123,121 408,131 26
2019— — — — — — — — 1,243,287 1,240,028 662,084 25
2020— — — — — — — — — 1,342,065 1,099,126 17
Total$9,907,708 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$48,846 $141,216 $265,109 $377,836 $469,123 $522,488 $554,278 $573,364 $592,637 $604,657 
2012— 57,599 157,499 298,644 416,561 512,283 579,454 621,454 652,178 667,749 
2013— — 63,358 188,411 331,779 472,731 588,650 649,657 695,301 721,879 
2014— — — 79,111 191,320 339,194 481,706 595,794 681,976 732,313 
2015— — — — 82,817 211,212 382,869 539,242 677,386 758,890 
2016— — — — — 69,579 209,217 390,664 559,218 678,209 
2017— — — — — — 80,163 256,345 453,973 639,977 
2018— — — — — — — 86,958 264,629 436,282 
2019— — — — — — — — 88,422 275,803 
2020— — — — — — — — — 72,274 
Total$5,588,033 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses before 2011, net of reinsurance117,290 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$4,436,965 
Workers' Compensation
(In thousands)
Loss and Loss Expenses Incurred, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2020
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020IBNRCumulative Number of Reported Claims
2011$413,429 $444,887 $457,134 $470,026 $472,087 $474,076 $475,729 $471,471 $473,766 $472,593 $14,609 46
2012— 501,681 501,810 503,956 503,863 509,167 512,707 508,169 506,730 506,827 19,328 48
2013— — 552,570 547,295 546,995 543,238 547,000 542,274 541,926 540,322 23,485 53
2014— — — 639,436 637,307 627,767 617,242 615,435 604,030 600,194 36,001 57
2015— — — — 712,800 690,525 650,997 641,169 626,432 620,741 50,083 58
2016— — — — — 702,716 696,339 684,700 660,520 651,278 51,369 58
2017— — — — — — 762,093 733,505 689,622 673,216 64,176 58
2018— — — — — — — 778,964 724,697 715,055 80,252 56
2019— — — — — — — — 784,281 721,018 141,657 53
2020— — — — — — — — — 725,245 319,131 39
Total$6,226,489 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$106,899 $236,207 $309,509 $355,909 $385,759 $408,304 $420,945 $428,811 $436,905 $442,163 
2012— 115,536 255,063 339,560 387,368 419,588 437,196 451,991 459,119 466,028 
2013— — 117,900 277,538 363,028 414,160 447,894 466,580 479,104 489,075 
2014— — — 148,405 319,743 412,611 471,235 503,915 521,141 531,475 
2015— — — — 139,320 323,744 421,734 477,541 512,933 531,512 
2016— — — — — 142,998 338,835 446,072 504,850 537,861 
2017— — — — — — 153,456 362,299 468,817 525,753 
2018— — — — — — — 171,006 397,464 508,546 
2019— — — — — — — — 184,715 397,376 
2020— — — — — — — — — 172,478 
Total$4,602,267 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses before 2011, net of reinsurance219,529 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$1,843,751 
Professional Liability
(In thousands)
Loss and Loss Expenses Incurred, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020IBNRCumulative Number of Reported Claims
2011$180,508 $165,844 $187,797 $190,849 $177,748 $174,038 $177,335 $176,396 $176,944 $181,874 $5,325 4
2012— 242,530 245,962 268,761 253,146 241,342 247,789 246,478 247,072 249,846 5,919 6
2013— — 275,051 251,419 245,984 252,024 273,679 282,150 287,310 284,837 10,867 6
2014— — — 257,442 250,025 263,540 246,983 242,449 261,150 259,892 19,573 7
2015— — — — 262,459 261,069 278,012 278,868 294,435 285,557 29,712 8
2016— — — — — 313,365 327,706 364,312 405,390 442,521 49,740 9
2017— — — — — — 335,565 334,682 340,569 379,408 85,159 10
2018— — — — — — — 337,865 324,934 335,852 125,091 10
2019— — — — — — — — 339,825 336,559 176,941 11
2020— — — — — — — — — 398,429 328,303 10
Total$3,154,775 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$18,803 $62,560 $103,263 $134,862 $151,135 $159,309 $167,595 $169,191 $170,873 $172,294 
2012— 22,269 87,951 129,282 160,243 191,702 216,199 225,442 233,637 236,481 
2013— — 24,893 64,439 120,224 178,579 208,368 250,507 260,023 265,297 
2014— — — 19,773 84,457 139,934 177,575 201,002 218,055 229,615 
2015— — — — 20,565 85,945 140,517 188,608 217,625 234,585 
2016— — — — — 28,833 103,321 202,906 257,221 299,813 
2017— — — — — — 36,839 97,034 163,731 244,396 
2018— — — — — — — 28,432 100,284 156,102 
2019— — — — — — — — 32,081 98,625 
2020— — — — — — — — — 28,474 
Total$1,965,682 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses before 2011, net of reinsurance14,011 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$1,203,104 
Commercial Automobile
(In thousands)
Loss and Loss Expenses Incurred, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020IBNRCumulative Number of Reported Claims
2011$314,028 $322,516 $329,917 $334,816 $343,421 $344,174 $345,044 $346,619 $346,490 $342,581 $100 37
2012— 314,309 326,831 342,588 355,609 364,717 364,966 367,216 366,493 366,649 365 41
2013— — 327,514 349,136 368,894 377,696 368,106 367,720 366,885 365,820 586 44
2014— — — 363,996 385,329 420,139 418,150 415,727 415,621 411,158 1,506 47
2015— — — — 390,002 419,663 425,865 434,254 435,438 433,888 3,111 53
2016— — — — — 434,582 434,117 445,516 446,521 443,338 8,135 52
2017— — — — — — 431,504 429,372 431,177 435,099 14,298 47
2018— — — — — — — 443,045 463,057 479,502 29,712 45
2019— — — — — — — — 483,483 488,777 74,684 44
2020— — — — — — — — — 523,753 264,630 28
Total$4,290,565 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$135,350 $211,756 $262,685 $296,370 $321,814 $333,987 $338,325 $340,360 $340,799 $341,781 
2012— 136,844 215,214 273,446 312,342 344,952 356,264 361,342 362,426 363,587 
2013— — 142,929 218,596 267,253 323,227 344,357 354,280 363,038 363,805 
2014— — — 155,614 237,765 329,979 367,283 396,089 404,087 406,795 
2015— — — — 160,237 267,420 327,462 372,587 400,304 413,838 
2016— — — — — 186,867 282,375 344,503 393,509 412,967 
2017— — — — — — 181,317 268,201 327,765 372,689 
2018— — — — — — — 180,306 281,888 350,572 
2019— — — — — — — — 185,488 290,449 
2020— — — — — — — — — 142,826 
Total$3,459,309 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses before 2011, net of reinsurance4,119 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$835,375 
Short-tail lines
(In thousands)
Loss and Loss Expenses Incurred, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020IBNRCumulative Number of Reported Claims
2011$494,704 $490,235 $472,041 $467,989 $467,205 $461,629 $459,369 $459,557 $463,053 $456,106 $550 22
2012— 532,843 540,714 542,017 537,142 508,366 507,344 509,216 508,294 509,058 2,406 24
2013— — 580,902 591,686 582,666 555,715 554,167 550,604 548,672 547,932 2,160 25
2014— — — 714,360 719,508 667,627 666,246 667,061 667,278 669,729 2,930 30
2015— — — — 747,683 734,204 730,251 728,720 720,324 718,820 8,958 32
2016— — — — — 775,477 778,376 765,311 759,735 754,184 9,360 34
2017— — — — — — 754,135 754,217 748,399 747,739 12,056 42
2018— — — — — — — 761,177 750,123 747,396 23,631 48
2019— — — — — — — — 722,122 702,281 43,842 43
2020— — — — — — — — — 901,698 244,828 34
Total$6,754,943 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$303,049 $417,792 $436,787 $441,025 $445,323 $447,016 $447,619 $450,432 $454,991 $455,702 
2012— 282,703 456,872 508,333 519,093 499,014 500,181 504,451 505,183 506,308 
2013— — 315,304 491,801 541,563 533,269 540,132 541,400 541,990 543,195 
2014— — — 374,757 604,942 615,833 635,415 650,762 658,053 660,640 
2015— — — — 397,261 613,868 669,706 691,705 701,503 707,349 
2016— — — — — 417,988 672,013 713,634 729,011 734,110 
2017— — — — — — 445,835 690,343 719,286 731,440 
2018— — — — — — — 415,529 662,657 709,202 
2019— — — — — — — — 405,500 616,695 
2020— — — — — — — — — 460,656 
Total$6,125,297 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses before 2011, net of reinsurance1,571 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$631,217 
Reinsurance & Monoline Excess
Casualty
(In thousands)
Loss and Loss Expenses Incurred, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020IBNR
2011$293,274 $312,321 $306,721 $301,847 $309,235 $307,772 $299,076 $295,376 $301,670 $298,292 $13,368 
2012— 335,187 339,236 334,299 326,934 337,777 340,026 337,901 334,461 337,437 14,927 
2013— — 322,718 273,683 276,688 288,556 297,121 302,768 307,426 305,080 21,094 
2014— — — 323,837 323,920 323,130 334,617 328,741 328,289 339,941 25,778 
2015— — — — 262,448 234,862 233,443 255,400 296,297 306,296 35,570 
2016— — — — — 243,970 256,011 248,367 270,833 304,845 45,117 
2017— — — — — — 234,561 224,835 242,603 265,111 58,308 
2018— — — — — — — 224,640 213,665 234,286 88,934 
2019— — — — — — — — 240,408 234,813 142,399 
2020— — — — — — — — — 305,114 255,936 
Total$2,931,215 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$17,976 $52,597 $98,086 $134,814 $170,629 $194,320 $210,245 $222,618 $234,552 $246,140 
2012— 22,516 62,563 112,474 153,950 188,955 221,679 243,586 259,429 279,123 
2013— — 29,122 64,239 111,189 145,508 179,494 207,312 227,884 244,082 
2014— — — 21,441 69,568 116,908 156,495 199,846 229,562 254,532 
2015— — — — 17,952 48,833 91,949 142,334 179,884 206,864 
2016— — — — — 19,998 62,094 100,862 141,301 172,994 
2017— — — — — — 16,498 40,440 70,129 124,641 
2018— — — — — — — 11,187 41,382 78,219 
2019— — — — — — — — 14,641 39,435 
2020— — — — — — — — — 20,845 
Total$1,666,875 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses before 2011, net of reinsurance380,546 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$1,644,886 
Monoline Excess
(In thousands)
Loss and Loss Expenses Incurred, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020IBNR
2011$88,650 $93,993 $98,051 $89,031 $87,030 $83,850 $78,246 $74,109 $72,091 $69,205 $10,955 
2012— 72,366 73,230 73,670 75,274 72,441 67,878 69,361 67,205 66,269 9,184 
2013— — 63,995 50,355 48,143 42,419 38,551 35,120 31,752 29,758 11,097 
2014— — — 63,561 57,650 49,478 45,758 41,671 42,541 42,618 15,319 
2015— — — — 69,977 57,897 50,099 45,115 39,682 39,781 17,184 
2016— — — — — 72,657 70,281 71,404 64,957 65,485 20,435 
2017— — — — — — 76,701 80,508 70,749 71,025 27,947 
2018— — — — — — — 77,820 72,505 71,448 34,366 
2019— — — — — — — 78,929 77,482 39,832 
2020— — — — — — — — — 84,354 59,854 
Total$617,425 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$2,593 $4,848 $6,395 $14,042 $15,684 $18,638 $20,164 $21,463 $23,686 $24,842 
2012— 1,127 6,097 10,815 11,167 13,234 15,738 17,982 20,004 22,528 
2013— — 647 1,897 2,158 3,008 3,396 4,418 5,349 6,476 
2014— — — 377 1,729 3,354 4,175 5,808 7,595 11,154 
2015— — — — 2,069 2,481 3,272 4,099 4,416 5,083 
2016— — — — — 2,498 4,783 5,573 5,928 7,685 
2017— — — — — — 6,282 12,810 15,356 17,327 
2018— — — — — — — 6,141 8,230 9,368 
2019— — — — — — — — 6,241 10,884 
2020— — — — — — — — — 4,869 
Total$120,216 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses before 2011, net of reinsurance735,818 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$1,233,027 
Property
(In thousands)
Loss and Loss Expenses Incurred, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020IBNR
2011$95,737 $88,345 $85,462 $86,879 $85,304 $85,028 $84,744 $85,160 $84,938 $84,112 $366 
2012— 104,336 95,164 86,809 85,846 84,285 84,286 85,222 85,025 91,342 1,429 
2013— — 142,340 113,201 114,638 112,419 113,053 112,373 110,165 108,017 1,757 
2014— — — 113,962 97,411 97,933 100,640 99,892 99,535 99,924 2,185 
2015— — — — 127,852 118,026 132,399 130,888 130,005 131,669 2,404 
2016— — — — — 168,634 174,935 182,171 181,429 186,786 4,318 
2017— — — — — — 207,096 200,917 199,892 198,529 8,040 
2018— — — — — — — 108,829 112,503 103,751 2,423 
2019— — — — — — — — 103,749 77,618 6,913 
2020— — — — — — — — — 115,116 48,509 
Total$1,196,864 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the Year Ended December 31,
Unaudited
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$31,545 $59,054 $73,601 $76,267 $78,835 $82,038 $82,587 $83,669 $83,750 $83,229 
2012— 15,725 51,964 64,489 70,955 77,842 79,407 82,129 83,007 89,194 
2013— — 36,668 74,806 92,968 101,947 104,756 106,483 108,062 104,863 
2014— — — 39,019 67,251 82,646 88,857 92,011 93,723 95,222 
2015— — — — 53,482 89,366 109,378 118,977 123,023 125,939 
2016— — — — — 78,994 133,805 157,834 169,013 176,509 
2017— — — — — — 72,180 141,651 172,100 180,242 
2018— — — — — — — 34,195 65,527 82,815 
2019— — — — — — — — 23,103 54,864 
2020— — — — — — — — — 26,637 
Total$1,019,514 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses before 2011, net of reinsurance1,928 
Reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$179,278 
The reconciliation of the net incurred and paid claims development tables to the reserves for losses and loss expenses in the consolidated balance sheet is as follows:
(In thousands)December 31, 2020
Undiscounted reserves for loss and loss expenses, net of reinsurance:
Other liability$4,436,965 
Workers' compensation1,843,751 
Professional liability1,203,104 
Commercial automobile835,375 
Short-tail lines631,217 
Other96,257 
  Insurance9,046,669 
Casualty1,644,886 
Monoline excess1,233,027 
Property179,278 
  Reinsurance & Monoline Excess3,057,191 
Total undiscounted reserves for loss and loss expenses, net of reinsurance$12,103,860 
(In thousands)December 31, 2020
Due from reinsurers on unpaid claims:
Other liability$609,006 
Workers' compensation267,707 
Professional liability644,841 
Commercial automobile32,140 
Short-tail lines352,168 
Other36,070 
  Insurance1,941,932 
Casualty104,372 
Monoline excess41,598 
Property76,135 
  Reinsurance & Monoline Excess222,105 
Total due from reinsurers on unpaid claims$2,164,037 
(In thousands)December 31, 2020
Loss reserve discount:
Other liability$— 
Workers' compensation(11,700)
Professional liability— 
Commercial automobile— 
Short-tail lines— 
Other— 
  Insurance(11,700)
Casualty(100,536)
Monoline excess(371,231)
Property— 
  Reinsurance & Monoline Excess(471,767)
Total loss reserve discount$(483,467)
Total gross reserves for loss and loss expenses$13,784,430 
The following is supplementary information regarding average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2020:
Insurance
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
Years12345678910
Other liability7.5 %14.4 %17.7 %16.6 %13.4 %8.7 %5.6 %3.5 %2.6 %1.9 %
Workers' compensation23.2 %29.4 %15.9 %9.3 %5.9 %3.5 %2.4 %1.6 %1.5 %1.1 %
Professional liability8.4 %20.7 %19.5 %16.4 %10.1 %8.3 %4.0 %2.0 %2.3 %0.8 %
Commercial automobile37.7 %21.5 %15.3 %10.9 %6.6 %2.9 %1.4 %0.4 %0.2 %0.3 %
Short-tail lines57.0 %31.7 %6.0 %1.6 %0.4 %0.5 %0.4 %0.3 %0.6 %0.2 %
Reinsurance & Monoline Excess
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
Years12345678910
Casualty6.5 %11.7 %14.1 %14.0 %11.5 %8.9 %6.5 %4.7 %4.9 %3.9 %
Monoline excess4.9 %4.5 %2.8 %3.1 %2.4 %3.5 %4.3 %2.9 %3.5 %1.7 %
Property33.3 %33.2 %15.4 %6.0 %3.9 %2.2 %1.6 %1.2 %0.8 %0.6 %
The table below provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending reserve balances:
(In thousands)202020192018
Net reserves at beginning of year$10,697,998 $10,248,883 $10,056,914 
Cumulative effect adjustment resulting from changes in accounting principles (1)5,927 — — 
Restated net reserves at beginning of period10,703,925 10,248,883 10,056,914 
Net provision for losses and loss expenses:
Claims occurring during the current year (2)4,432,937 4,057,989 3,926,489 
Increase in estimates for claims occurring in prior years (3)627 34,079 6,831 
Loss reserve discount accretion35,142 39,048 41,382 
Total4,468,706 4,131,116 3,974,702 
Net payments for claims:   
Current year921,054 985,599 964,808 
Prior year2,677,595 2,673,803 2,700,077 
Total3,598,649 3,659,402 3,664,885 
Foreign currency translation46,411 (22,599)(117,848)
Net reserves at end of year11,620,393 10,697,998 10,248,883 
Ceded reserve at end of year2,164,037 1,885,251 1,717,565 
Gross reserves at end of year$13,784,430 $12,583,249 $11,966,448 
Net change in premiums and losses occurring in prior years:
Increase in estimates for claims occurring in prior years (3)$(627)$(34,079)$(6,831)
Retrospective premium adjustments for claims occurring in prior years (4)16,807 53,511 45,638 
Net favorable premium and reserve development on prior years
$16,180 $19,432 $38,807 
_______________________________________
(1)The cumulative effect adjustment resulting from changes in accounting principals relates to the allowance for expected credit losses on reinsurance recoverables that commenced on January 1, 2020 due to the adoption of ASU 2016-13. See Note 1 for more details.
(2)Claims occurring during the current year are net of loss reserve discounts of $10 million, $20 million and $24 million in 2020, 2019, and 2018, respectively.
(3)The change in estimates for claims occurring in prior years is net of loss reserve discount. On an undiscounted basis, the estimates for claims occurring in prior years decreased by $21 million in 2020, increased by $19 million in 2019, and decreased by $4 million in 2018, respectively.
(4)For certain retrospectively rated insurance polices and reinsurance agreements, changes in loss and loss expenses for prior years are offset by additional or return premiums.
The ongoing COVID-19 global pandemic has impacted, and will likely continue to impact, the Company’s results through its effect on claim frequency and severity. Loss cost trends have been impacted and will likely be further impacted by COVID-19-related claims in certain lines of business, as well as by other effects of COVID-19 associated with economic conditions, inflation, and social distancing and work from home rules, for example. Although it is still too early to determine the net impact, it appears that the losses incurred due to COVID-19-related claims are being offset, to a certain extent, by lower claim frequency in certain lines of our businesses, including commercial auto, workers’ compensation, and other liability. However, given the continuing nature of the pandemic, the impact of COVID-19 could ultimately increase or decrease overall loss cost trends and is likely to have differing impacts on the Company's different lines of business.
Most of the COVID-19-related claims reported to the Company to date involve certain short-tailed lines of business, including contingency and event cancellation, business interruption, and film production delay. The Company expects additional claims to be reported for these lines of business. The Company has also received COVID-19-related claims for longer-tailed casualty lines of business such as workers’ compensation and other liability; however, the estimated incurred loss impact for these reported claims appears to be modest at this time. Given the continuing uncertainty regarding the pandemic's pervasiveness, the future impact that the pandemic may have on claim frequency and severity remains uncertain at this time. In workers’ compensation, for example, nearly two-thirds of the states have enacted rules, legislation or administrative orders creating a presumption that certain “essential”
workers who contract COVID-19 did so through the course of their employment. Several other states are considering similar actions, including varying the definition of “essential” workers. While the ultimate impact of these presumptions are unknown at this time, the Company believes that such state actions will likely increase workers’ compensation claims with respect to workers deemed “essential,” although this impact may be partially offset by lower workers’ compensation claim frequency with respect to non-essential workers.
The Company has estimated the potential COVID-19 impact to its contingency and event cancellation, workers’ compensation, and other lines of business under a number of possible scenarios; however, due to COVID-19’s evolving impact and the still limited amount of available data, there remains a high degree of uncertainty around the Company’s COVID-19 reserves. In addition, several states (and international jurisdictions), through regulation, legislation and/or judicial action, continue to seek to expand policy coverage terms beyond the policy’s intended coverage, including, for example, but not limited to, property coverages, where there are attempts to extend business interruption coverage where there is no physical damage or loss to property, and attempts to disregard policy exclusions for communicable disease. Accordingly, losses arising from these actions, and the other factors described above, could exceed the Company’s reserves established for those related policies.
For the year ended December 31, 2020, the Company recognized losses for COVID-19-related claims activity, net of reinsurance, of approximately $171 million, of which $161 million related to the Insurance segment and $10 million related to the Reinsurance & Monoline Excess segment. Such $171 million of COVID-19-related losses included $95 million of reported losses and $76 million of IBNR.
Favorable prior year development (net of additional and return premiums) was $16 million in 2020.
Insurance – Reserves for the Insurance segment developed favorably by $24 million in 2020 net of additional and return premiums). Continuing the pattern seen in recent years, the overall favorable development in 2020 resulted from more significant favorable development on workers’ compensation business, which was partially offset by unfavorable development on professional liability, including excess professional liability.
For workers’ compensation, the favorable development was spread across almost all prior accident years, including prior to 2011, but was most significant in accident years 2016 through 2019. The favorable workers’ compensation development reflects a continuation of the benign loss cost trends experienced during recent years, particularly the favorable claim frequency trends (i.e., number of reported claims per unit of exposure). The long term trend of declining workers’ compensation frequency can be attributable to improved workplace safety. Loss severity trends were also aided by our continued investment in claims handling initiatives such as medical case management services and vendor savings through usage of preferred provider networks and pharmacy benefit managers. Reported workers’ compensation losses in 2020 continued to be below our expectations at most of our operating units, and were below the assumptions underlying our initial loss ratio picks and our previous reserve estimates for most prior accident years.
For professional liability business, unfavorable development was driven mainly by large losses reported in the directors and officers (“D&O”), lawyers professional and excess hospital professional liability lines of business. For these lines of business, we continue to see an increase in the number of large losses reported and a lengthening of the reporting “tail” beyond historical levels. We believe a contributing cause is rising social inflation in the form of, for example, higher jury awards on cases that go to trial, and the corresponding higher demands from plaintiffs and higher values required to reach settlement on cases that do not go to trial. The unfavorable development for professional liability affected mainly accident years 2016 through 2018.
Reinsurance & Monoline Excess – Reserves for the Reinsurance & Monoline Excess segment developed unfavorably by $8 million in 2020. The unfavorable development in the segment was driven by non-proportional assumed liability business written in both the U.S. and U.K., and was partially offset by favorable development on excess workers’ compensation business. The unfavorable non-proportional assumed liability development was concentrated in accident years 2014 through 2018, and related primarily to accounts insuring construction projects and professional liability exposures.
Favorable prior year development (net of additional and return premiums) was $19 million in 2019.
Insurance - Reserves for the Insurance segment developed favorably by $21 million in 2019 (net of additional and return premiums). This overall favorable development resulted from more significant favorable development on workers’ compensation business, which was partially offset by unfavorable development on professional liability and general liability business.
For workers’ compensation, the favorable development was spread across many accident years, including prior to 2010, but was most significant in accident years 2014 through 2018, and particularly 2017 and 2018. The favorable workers’ compensation development reflects a continuation during 2019 of the benign loss cost trends experienced during recent years, particularly the favorable claim frequency trends (i.e., number of reported claims per unit of exposure). The long term trend of declining workers’ compensation frequency can be attributable to improved workplace safety. Loss severity trends were also aided by our continued
investment in claims handling initiatives such as medical case management services and vendor savings through usage of preferred provider networks and pharmacy benefit managers. Our initial loss ratio “picks” for this line of business over the past few accident years have contemplated an increase in loss cost trends and reflect decreasing premium rates in the marketplace; reported workers’ compensation losses in 2019 continued to be below our expectations at most of our operating units, and were below the assumptions underlying our initial loss ratio picks and our previous reserve estimates.
For professional liability business, the unfavorable development was driven mainly by an increase in the number of large losses reported in the lawyers professional liability and directors and officers (“D&O”) liability lines of business. Many of the lawyers large losses involved claims made against insured law firms relating to work performed on matters stemming from the 2008 financial crisis. These claims affected mainly accident years 2013 through 2016. In addition, for both of these lines of business, we have seen evidence of social inflation in the form of higher jury awards on cases that go to trial, and corresponding higher demands from plaintiffs and higher values required to reach settlement on cases that do not go to trial. The unfavorable development for D&O affected mainly accident years 2014 through 2017.
For general liability business, most of the unfavorable development emanated from our excess and surplus lines (E&S) businesses, and was driven by an increase in the number of large losses reported. Many of these large losses were from construction and contracting classes of business, which have also been impacted by social inflation. The general liability unfavorable development impacted mainly accident years 2015 through 2018.
Reinsurance & Monoline Excess - Reserves for the Reinsurance & Monoline Excess segment developed unfavorably by $2 million in 2019. The unfavorable development in the segment was driven by non-proportional assumed liability business in both the U.S. and U.K., and was largely offset by favorable development on excess workers’ compensation business. The unfavorable non-proportional assumed liability development was concentrated in accident years 2015 through 2018, and included an adjustment for the Ogden discount rate in the U.K.
Favorable prior year development (net of additional and return premiums) was $39 million in 2018.
Insurance - Reserves for the Insurance segment developed favorably by $19 million in 2018. The favorable development was primarily attributable to workers’ compensation business, and was partially offset by unfavorable development for professional liability business.
For workers’ compensation, the favorable development was spread across many accident years, but was most significant in accident years 2015 through 2017. The favorable workers’ compensation development reflects a continuation during 2018 of the benign loss cost trends experienced during recent years, particularly the favorable claim frequency trends (i.e., number of reported claims per unit of exposure). The long term trend of declining workers' compensation frequency can be attributable to improved workplace safety. Loss severity trends were also aided by our continued investment in claims handling initiatives such as medical case management services and vendor savings through usage of preferred provider networks. Reported workers’ compensation losses in 2018 continued to be below our expectations at most of our operating units, and were below the assumptions underlying our previous reserve estimates.
For professional liability business, adverse development was primarily related to unexpected large directors and officers (“D&O”) liability losses at one of our U.S. operating units, as well as lawyers professional liability losses at another operating unit. The adverse development stemmed primarily from accident years 2015 and 2016, and was driven by a higher frequency of large losses than we had experienced in previous years.
Reinsurance & Monoline Excess - Reserves for the Reinsurance & Monoline Excess segment developed favorably by $20 million in 2018. The favorable development was primarily due to excess workers’ compensation business, and was spread across many accident years, including years prior to 2009. This favorable excess workers’ compensation development was partially offset by unfavorable development on U.S. casualty facultative assumed business from accident years 2009 and prior related to construction projects.
Environmental and Asbestos — To date, known environmental and asbestos claims have not had a material impact on the Company’s operations, because its subsidiaries generally did not insure large industrial companies that are subject to significant environmental or asbestos exposures prior to 1986 when an absolute exclusion was incorporated into standard policy language.
The Company’s net reserves for losses and loss expenses relating to asbestos and environmental claims on policies written before adoption of the absolute exclusion was $19 million at December 31, 2020 and $24 million at December 31, 2019. The estimation of these liabilities is subject to significantly greater than normal variation and uncertainty because it is difficult to make an actuarial estimate of these liabilities due to the absence of a generally accepted actuarial methodology for these exposures and the potential effect of significant unresolved legal matters, including coverage issues, as well as the cost of litigating the legal issues.
Additionally, the determination of ultimate damages and the final allocation of such damages to financially responsible parties are highly uncertain.
Discounting — The Company discounts its liabilities for certain workers’ compensation reserves. The amount of workers’ compensation reserves that were discounted was $1,655 million and $1,731 million at December 31, 2020 and 2019, respectively. The aggregate net discount for those reserves, after reflecting the effects of ceded reinsurance, was $483 million and $530 million at December 31, 2020 and 2019, respectively. At December 31, 2020, discount rates by year ranged from 0.7% to 6.5%, with a weighted average discount rate of 3.6%.
Substantially all discounted workers’ compensation reserves (97% of total discounted reserves at December 31, 2020) are excess workers’ compensation reserves. In order to properly match loss expenses with income earned on investment securities supporting the liabilities, reserves for excess workers’ compensation business are discounted using risk-free discount rates determined by reference to the U.S. Treasury yield curve. These rates are determined annually based on the weighted average rate for the period. Once established, no adjustments are made to the discount rate for that period, and any increases or decreases in loss reserves in subsequent years are discounted at the same rate, without regard to when any such adjustments are recognized. The expected loss and loss expense payout patterns subject to discounting are derived from the Company’s loss payout experience.
The Company also discounts reserves for certain other long-duration workers’ compensation reserves (representing approximately 3% of total discounted reserves at December 31, 2020), including reserves for quota share reinsurance and reserves related to losses regarding occupational lung disease. These reserves are discounted at statutory rates prescribed or permitted by the Department of Insurance of the State of Delaware.