EX-13.2 3 mda.htm MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS FOR THE PERIOD ENDED MARCH 31, 2012. FG Filed by Filing Services Canada Inc. - (403) 717-3898
 
TRANSALTA CORPORATION
FIRST QUARTER REPORT FOR 2012
 

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
 
This Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) contains forward looking statements.  These statements are based on certain estimates and assumptions and involve risks and uncertainties.  Actual results may differ materially.  See the Forward Looking Statements section of this MD&A for additional information.

This MD&A should be read in conjunction with the unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements of TransAlta Corporation as at and for the three months ended March 31, 2012 and 2011, and should also be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements and MD&A contained within our 2011 Annual Report.  In this MD&A, unless the context otherwise requires, ‘we’, ‘our’, ‘us’, the ‘Corporation’ and ‘TransAlta’ refers to TransAlta Corporation and its subsidiaries.  The consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”).  All tabular amounts in the following discussion are in millions of Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted.  This MD&A is dated April 25, 2012.  Additional information respecting TransAlta, including its Annual Information Form, is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.


RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The results of operations are presented on a consolidated basis and by business segment.  We have three business segments: Generation, Energy Trading, and Corporate.  In this MD&A, the impact of foreign exchange fluctuations on foreign currency denominated transactions and balances is discussed with the relevant Condensed Consolidated Statements of Earnings and Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position items.  While individual line items in the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position may be impacted by foreign exchange fluctuations, the net impact of the translation of these items relating to foreign operations to our presentation currency is reflected in Accumulated Other Comprehensive (Loss) Income (“AOCI”) in the equity section of the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position.

 
1

 

The following table depicts key financial results and statistical operating data:

   

3 months ended 

March 31

   
2012
2011
Availability (%)(1)
91.7
90.3
Production (GWh)(1)
9,441
10,104
Revenues
656
818
Gross margin(2)
 
469
608
Operating income(2)
 
172
359
Comparable operating income(3)
 
121
160
Net earnings attributable to common shareholders
89
204
Net earnings per share attributable to common
  shareholders, basic and diluted
0.40
0.92
Comparable earnings per share(3)
0.20
0.34
Comparable EBITDA(3)
261
287
Funds from operations(3)
189
226
Funds from operations per share(3)
0.84
1.02
Cash flow from operating activities
 
183
168
Free cash flow(3)
10
100
Dividends paid per common share
0.29
0.29


As at
March 31, 2012
Dec. 31, 2011
Total assets
9,623
9,736
Total long-term liabilities
4,917
4,918

AVAILABILITY & PRODUCTION

Availability for the three months ended March 31, 2012 increased compared to the same period in 2011 primarily due to lower planned and unplanned outages at Centralia Thermal partially offset by higher planned outages at the Alberta coal Power Purchase Arrangement (“PPA”) facilities and higher unplanned outages, primarily at Genesee Unit 3.
 
 
Production for the three months ended March 31, 2012 decreased 663 gigawatt hours (“GWh”) compared to the same period in 2011 due to higher economic dispatching at Centralia Thermal, lower PPA customer demand, higher planned outages at the Alberta coal PPA facilities, and higher unplanned outages, primarily at Genesee Unit 3, partially offset by the commencement of commercial operations of Keephills Unit 3, lower planned and unplanned outages at Centralia Thermal, and higher wind volumes.



 
 
(1) Availability and production includes all generating assets (generation operations, finance lease, and equity investments).
 
 
(2) These items are Additional IFRS Measures.  Refer to the Additional IFRS Measures section of this MD&A for further discussion of these items.

 
(3) These items are not defined under IFRS.  Refer to the Non-IFRS Measures section of this MD&A for further discussion of these items, including, where applicable, reconciliations to measures calculated in accordance with IFRS.

 
 
2

 
NET EARNINGS ATTRIBUTABLE TO COMMON SHAREHOLDERS

The primary factors contributing to the change in net earnings attributable to common shareholders for the three months ended March 31, 2012 are presented below:

 
3 months ended March 31
Net earnings attributable to common shareholders, 2011
204
Decrease in Generation gross margins
(38)
Mark-to-market movements - Generation
(103)
Increase in Energy Trading gross margins
2
Increase in depreciation expense
(15)
Increase in gain on sale of facilities
3
Increase in inventory writedown
(34)
Increase in net interest expense
(11)
Decrease in income tax expense
90
Increase in preferred share dividends
(3)
Other
(6)
Net earnings attributable to common shareholders, 2012
89

Generation gross margins, excluding the impact of mark-to-market movements, for the three months ended March 31, 2012 decreased compared to the same period in 2011 primarily due to higher planned outages at the Alberta coal PPA facilities, lower hydro margins, higher unplanned outages, primarily at Genesee Unit 3, and unfavourable pricing, partially offset by the commencement of commercial operations of Keephills Unit 3, and higher wind volumes.
 
Mark-to-market movements decreased for the three months ended March 31, 2012 compared to the same period in 2011 due to the value of certain hedges being deemed ineffective in 2011 compared to a lower amount in 2012.

For the three months ended March 31, 2012, Energy Trading gross margins increased compared to the same period in 2011 principally due to successful trading strategies in the Western U.S. and Eastern regions, partially offset by lower results in Alberta from lower demand due to unseasonably mild weather.

Operations, maintenance, and administration (“OM&A”) costs for the three months ended March 31, 2012 were comparable to the same period in 2011.

For the three months ended March 31, 2012, depreciation expense increased compared to 2011 primarily due to an increased asset base, largely due to the commencement of commercial operations of Keephills Unit 3, and asset retirements.

The gain on sale of facilities in the three months ended March 31, 2012 is due to the release of a contingent provision on the sale of Grande Prairie.

The inventory writedown recorded in the three months ended March 31, 2012 is due to the writedown of coal inventories resulting from de-designation of the hedges at Centralia Thermal and the continued low price environment in the Pacific Northwest.

For the three months ended March 31, 2012, net interest expense increased compared to the same period in 2011 due to lower capitalized interest and higher interest rates, partially offset by lower debt levels.

Income tax expense for the three months ended March 31, 2012 decreased compared to the same period in 2011 due to lower net earnings and the positive resolution of $24 million of certain outstanding tax matters.
 
 
3

 
The preferred share dividends for the three months ended March 31, 2012 increased compared to the same period in 2011 due to a higher balance of preferred shares outstanding during 2012.
 
FUNDS FROM OPERATIONS AND FREE CASH FLOW

Funds from operations for the three months ended March 31, 2012 decreased $37 million compared to the same period in 2011 primarily due to lower net earnings.

Free cash flow for the three months ended March 31, 2012 decreased $90 million compared to the same period in 2011 due to the decrease in funds from operations and higher sustaining capital and productivity expenditures.  A significant part of the sustaining capital and productivity expenditures incurred during 2012 relates to more comprehensive maintenance incurred at Keephills Unit 2, including significant component replacements that should not be replaced again over the balance of the life of the plant. 


SIGNIFICANT EVENTS

Three months ended March 31, 2012

Centralia Coal Inventory Impairment

During the quarter, we recognized a pre-tax impairment charge of $34 million related to the coal inventory at our Centralia plant.  The impairment resulted from the de-designation of the hedges at Centralia Thermal and the continued low price environment in the Pacific Northwest.  During the quarter, we de-designated and recognized $85 million of pre-tax gains related to ineffective hedges at Centralia Thermal, which had previously been used in calculating the net recoverable amount of the coal inventory at Centralia Thermal.  The de-designation prevents us from including these contracts as part of the net recoverable amount of the coal, and with the continued low price environment we recognized an impairment charge on the coal inventory.  The net $51 million impact associated with the hedge de-designation and inventory impairment has been adjusted in calculating earnings on a comparable basis.  Please refer to the Non-IFRS Measures section of this MD&A.

 
MF Global Inc.

During the quarter, we filed our claim with the Administrator in the United Kingdom (“U.K.”) related to our collateral on foreign futures transactions that would have been in the accounts in the U.K.  There have been no additional funds returned during the quarter and our provision of $18 million associated with the $36 million of collateral remains unchanged.  Please refer to the Significant Events section of our 2011 Annual Report for additional information regarding MF Global Inc.


SUBSEQUENT EVENTS

Project Pioneer

On April 26, 2012, Project Pioneer’s industry partners announced they will not proceed with the joint carbon capture and storage (“CCS”) project. Project Pioneer was a joint effort by TransAlta, Capital Power, Enbridge Inc., and the federal and provincial governments to demonstrate the commercial-scale viability of CCS technology.
 
 
 
4

 

 
The first step of the project was to prove the technical and economic feasibility of CCS through a front end engineering and design (“FEED”) study before making any major capital commitments.  Following the conclusion of the FEED study, the industry partners determined that although the technology works and capital costs were in-line with expectations, the revenue from carbon sales and the price of emissions reductions were insufficient to allow the project to proceed at this time.

Sundance Units 1 and 2 Shut Down

On April 9, 2012, arbitration commenced related to the disputed notice of force majeure and termination for destruction under the terms of the PPA.  Although no assurance can be given as to the timing or ultimate outcome of these matters, our view continues to be that we expect no material financial impact associated with the shut down to the extent the event meets the termination for destruction criteria under the PPA.  Please refer to the Significant Events section of our 2011 Annual Report for additional information regarding the Sundance Units 1 and 2 shut down.
 
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT

We operate in a variety of business environments to generate electricity, find buyers for the power we generate, and arrange for its transmission.  The major markets we own and operate in are Western Canada, the Western U.S., and Eastern Canada.  For a further description of the regions in which we operate as well as the impact of prices of electricity and natural gas upon our financial results, refer to our 2011 Annual MD&A.

Contracted Cash Flows

During the first quarter of 2012, approximately 90 per cent of our consolidated power portfolio was contracted through the use of PPAs and other long-term contracts.  We also enter into short-term physical and financial contracts for the remaining volumes, which are primarily for periods of up to five years, with the average price of these contracts for the balance of 2012 ranging from
$60 to $65 per megawatt hour (“MWh”) in Alberta, and from U.S.$50 to $55 per MWh in the Pacific Northwest.  For further information on the contracts related to the Pacific Northwest, please refer to the Non-IFRS Measures section of this MD&A.

 
5

 

Electricity Prices

Please refer to the Business Environment section of our 2011 Annual MD&A for a full discussion of the spot electricity market and the impact of electricity prices on our business, as well as our strategy to hedge our risk associated with changes in those prices.

The average spot electricity prices for the three months ended March 31, 2012 and 2011 in our three major markets are shown in the following graphs.


For the three months ended March 31, 2012, average spot prices decreased in Alberta due to unseasonably mild weather and decreases in demand due to heavy oil sand turnaround activity and high wind production.  In the Pacific Northwest, average spot prices were comparable to the same period in 2011 with 2011 being negatively impacted by higher than normal hydro production and 2012 being impacted by low gas prices.  In Ontario, average spot prices decreased compared to the same period in 2011 due to lower natural gas prices.

 
6

 

Spark Spreads

Please refer to the Business Environment section of our 2011 Annual MD&A for a full discussion of spark spreads and the impact of spark spreads on our business.

The average spark spreads for the three months ended March 31, 2012 and 2011 in our three major markets are shown in the following graphs.

(1) For a 7,000 Btu/KWh heat rate plant.

For the three months ended March 31, 2012, average spark spreads decreased in Alberta due to lower power prices.  In the Pacific Northwest, average spark spreads increased due to lower natural gas prices.  In Ontario, spark spreads were comparable to the same period in 2011.

 
7

 

GENERATION:  TransAlta owns and operates hydro, wind, natural gas- and coal-fired facilities, and related mining operations in Canada, the U.S., and Australia.  Generation revenues and overall profitability are derived from the availability and production of electricity and steam as well as ancillary services such as system support.  For a full listing of all of our generating assets and the regions in which they operate, refer to the Plant Summary section of our 2011 Annual MD&A.

Generation Operations:  At March 31, 2012, our generating assets had 8,174 MW of gross generating capacity(3) in operation (7,831 MW net ownership interest) and 129 MW net under construction.  The following information excludes assets that are accounted for as a finance lease or using the equity method, which are discussed separately within this discussion of the Generation Segment.

The results of Generation Operations are as follows:
   
2012
 
2011
3 months ended March 31
Total
Comparable
 adjustments
Comparable
 total(2)
Per installed
MWh
 
Comparable
 total(2)
Per installed
MWh
Revenues
 
639
(85)
554
31.03
 
604
35.20
Fuel and purchased power
187
-
187
10.48
 
210
12.24
Gross margin
452
(85)
367
20.55
 
394
22.96
Operations, maintenance and administration
98
-
98
5.49
 
100
5.83
Depreciation and amortization
124
-
124
6.95
 
109
6.35
Inventory writedown
34
(34)
-
-
 
-
-
Taxes, other than income taxes
7
-
7
0.39
 
7
0.41
Intersegment cost allocation
3
-
3
0.17
 
2
0.12
Operating income
186
(51)
135
7.55
 
176
10.25
Installed capacity (GWh)
17,851
 
17,851
   
17,157
 
Production (GWh)
8,913
 
8,913
   
9,559
 
Availability (%)
91.6
 
91.6
   
90.2
 



 
 
(1) We measure capacity as net maximum capacity (see Glossary of Key Terms for definition of this and other key items) which is consistent with industry standards.  Capacity figures represent capacity owned and in operation unless otherwise stated.

 
(2) Comparable revenues, comparable gross margin, and comparable operating income figures are not defined under IFRS.  Refer to the Non-IFRS Measures section of this MD&A for further discussion of comparable adjustments.
 

 
 
8

 
Generation Production and Comparable Gross Margins

Production volumes, comparable revenues(1), fuel and purchased power costs, and comparable gross margins based on geographical regions and fuel types are presented below.
3 months ended March 31, 2012
Production (GWh)
Installed (GWh)
Comparable revenues
Fuel & purchased power
Comparable
gross margin
Comparable revenues per
installed MWh
Fuel & purchased power per installed MWh
Comparable
gross margin per
installed MWh
                 
Coal
5,263
6,944
222
93
129
31.97
13.39
18.58
Gas
704
778
31
6
25
39.85
7.71
32.14
Renewables
751
2,921
48
3
45
16.43
1.03
15.40
Total Western Canada
6,718
10,643
301
102
199
28.28
9.58
18.70
                 
Gas
1,003
1,638
99
43
56
60.44
26.25
34.19
Renewables
460
1,444
45
2
43
31.16
1.39
29.77
Total Eastern Canada
1,463
3,082
144
45
99
46.72
14.60
32.12
                 
Coal
404
2,929
82
32
50
28.00
10.93
17.07
Gas
328
1,197
27
8
19
22.56
6.68
15.88
Total International
732
4,126
109
40
69
26.42
9.69
16.73
                 
 
8,913
17,851
554
187
367
31.03
10.48
20.55

3 months ended
March 31, 2011
Production (GWh)
Installed (GWh)
Comparable revenues
Fuel & purchased power
Comparable gross margin
Comparable revenues per
installed MWh
Fuel &
purchased power per installed MWh
Comparable
gross margin per
installed MWh
                 
Coal
5,546
6,366
204
59
145
32.05
9.27
22.78
Gas
742
823
38
9
29
46.17
10.94
35.23
Renewables
711
2,840
51
3
48
17.96
1.06
16.90
Total Western Canada
6,999
10,029
293
71
222
29.22
7.08
22.14
                 
Gas
1,006
1,620
117
65
52
72.22
40.12
32.10
Renewables
410
1,428
39
2
37
27.31
1.40
25.91
Total Eastern Canada
1,416
3,048
156
67
89
51.18
21.98
29.20
                 
Coal
816
2,896
125
62
63
43.16
21.41
21.75
Gas
328
1,184
30
10
20
25.34
8.45
16.89
Total International
1,144
4,080
155
72
83
37.99
17.65
20.34
                 
 
9,559
17,157
604
210
394
35.20
12.24
22.96




 
 
(1) Comparable revenues, comparable gross margin, and comparable operating income figures are not defined under IFRS.  Refer to the Non-IFRS Measures section of this MD&A for further discussion of comparable adjustments.
 


 
 
9

 
Western Canada

Our Western Canada assets consist of coal, natural gas, hydro, and wind facilities.  Refer to the Discussion of Segmented Results section of our 2011 Annual MD&A for further details on our Western Canadian operations.

The primary factors contributing to the change in production for the three months ended March 31, 2012 are presented below:

   
3 months ended
March 31
   
(GWh)
Production, 2011
 
6,999
Lower PPA customer demand
 
(367)
Higher planned outages at the Alberta coal PPA facilities
 
(235)
Higher unplanned outages at Genesee Unit 3
 
(85)
Higher unplanned outages at the Alberta coal PPA facilities
 
(44)
Lower hydro volumes
 
(39)
Market curtailments
 
(22)
Lower production at natural gas-fired facilities
 
(8)
Commencement of commercial operations of Keephills Unit 3
 
449
Higher wind volumes
 
79
Other
 
(9)
Production, 2012
 
6,718

The primary factors contributing to the change in comparable gross margin for the three months ended March 31, 2012 are presented below:

   
3 months ended
March 31
Comparable gross margin, 2011
 
222
Higher planned outages at the Alberta coal PPA facilities
 
(18)
Higher unplanned outages at the Alberta coal PPA facilities
 
(6)
Lower hydro margins
 
(6)
Higher unplanned outages at Genesee Unit 3
 
(5)
Unfavourable pricing
 
(6)
Unfavourable coal pricing
 
(3)
Commencement of commercial operations of Keephills Unit 3
 
19
Higher wind volumes
 
3
Other
 
(1)
Comparable gross margin, 2012
 
199

 
10

 

Eastern Canada

Our Eastern Canada assets consist of natural gas, hydro, and wind facilities.  Refer to the Discussion of Segmented Results section of our 2011 Annual MD&A for further details on our Eastern Canadian operations.

The primary factors contributing to the change in production for the three months ended March 31, 2012 are presented below:

   
3 months ended
March 31
   
(GWh)
Production, 2011
 
1,416
Higher wind volumes
 
58
Unfavourable market conditions at natural gas-fired facilities
 
(3)
Other
 
(8)
Production, 2012
 
1,463

The primary factors contributing to the change in gross margin for the three months ended March 31, 2012 are presented below:

   
3 months ended
March 31
Gross margin, 2011
 
89
Favourable contracted gas input costs
 
5
Higher wind volumes
 
4
Other
 
1
Gross margin, 2012
 
99

International

Our International assets consist of coal, natural gas, and hydro facilities in various locations in the United States, and natural gas and diesel assets in Australia.  Refer to the Discussion of Segmented Results section of our 2011 Annual MD&A for further details on our International operations.

The primary factors contributing to the change in production for the three months ended March 31, 2012 are presented below:

   
3 months ended
March 31
   
(GWh)
Production, 2011
 
1,144
Higher economic dispatching at Centralia Thermal
 
(739)
Lower planned and unplanned outages at Centralia Thermal
 
330
Other
 
(3)
Production, 2012
 
732

 
11

 

The primary factors contributing to the change in comparable gross margin for the three months ended March 31, 2012 are presented below:

   
3 months ended
March 31
Comparable gross margin, 2011
 
83
Unfavourable pricing, including purchased power prices
 
(20)
Favourable foreign exchange
 
1
Other
 
5
Comparable gross margin, 2012
 
69

Operations, Maintenance, and Administration Expense

OM&A costs for the three months ended March 31, 2012 were comparable to the same period in 2011.

Depreciation Expense

The primary factors contributing to the change in depreciation expense for the three months ended March 31, 2012 are presented below:

   
3 months ended
March 31
Depreciation and amortization expense, 2011
 
109
Increase in asset base
 
10
Asset retirements
 
3
Unfavourable foreign exchange
 
1
Other
 
1
Depreciation and amortization expense, 2012
 
124

Finance Lease

Fort Saskatchewan is a natural gas-fired facility with a gross generating capacity of 118 MW in operation, of which TransAlta Cogeneration, L.P. has a 60 per cent ownership interest (35 MW net ownership interest).  Key operational information adjusted to reflect our interest in the Fort Saskatchewan facility, which we continue to operate, is summarized below:

   
3 months ended March 31
   
2012
2011
Availability (%)
 
102.6
105.4
Production (GWh)
137
119

Availability for the three months ended March 31, 2012 decreased compared to the same periods in 2011 due to seasonal derates due to milder than expected winter temperatures.

Production for the three months ended March 31, 2012 increased by 18 GWh compared to the same period in 2011 due to increased customer demand partially offset by higher unplanned outages.

Finance lease income for the three months ended March 31, 2012 was consistent with the same period in 2011 at $2 million.
 
 
12

 
 
Please refer to Note 6 of our audited consolidated financial statements within our 2011 Annual Report for additional information regarding our finance lease.

Equity Investments

Our interests in the CE Generation (“CE Gen”), LLC and Wailuku Hydroelectric, L.P. joint ventures are accounted for under the equity method and are comprised of geothermal, natural gas, and hydro facilities in various locations throughout the U.S., with 839 MW of gross generating capacity (390 MW net ownership interest).  The table below summarizes key operational information adjusted to reflect our interest in investments accounted for under the equity method:

   
3 months ended March 31
   
2012
2011
Availability (%)
92.9
90.6
Production (GWh)
   
Gas
 
91
125
Renewables
300
301
Total production
391
426

Availability for the three months ended March 31, 2012 increased compared to the same period in 2011 due to lower planned outages partially offset by higher unplanned outages.

Production for the three months ended March 31, 2012 decreased compared to the same period in 2011 due to unfavourable market conditions and higher unplanned outages, partially offset by lower planned outages.

Since 2001, a significant portion of the CE Gen plants have been operating under modified fixed energy price contracts.  Commencing May 1, 2012, the terms of the contracts will revert to a pricing clause that will permit the power purchaser to pay their short-run avoided costs (“SRAC”) as the price for power.  The SRAC is linked with the price of natural gas.  There can be no assurances that prices based on the avoided cost of energy after May 1, 2012 will result in revenues equivalent to the current fixed energy prices being received.

Please refer to Note 7 of our audited consolidated financial statements within our 2011 Annual Report and Note 6 of our interim condensed consolidated financial statements as at and for the three months ended March 31, 2012 for additional financial information regarding our equity accounted investments.


ENERGY TRADING: Derives revenue and earnings from the wholesale trading of electricity and other energy-related commodities and derivatives.  Achieving gross margins, while remaining within Value at Risk (“VaR”) limits, is a key measure of Energy Trading’s activities.  Refer to the Value at Risk and Trading Positions discussion in the Risk Management section of our 2011 Annual MD&A for further discussion on VaR.

Energy Trading manages available generating capacity, as well as the fuel and transmission needs, of the Generation Segment by utilizing contracts of various durations for the forward purchase and sale of electricity and for the purchase and sale of natural gas and transmission capacity.  Energy Trading is also responsible for recommending portfolio optimization decisions.  The results of these activities are included in the Generation Segment.

For a more in-depth discussion of our Energy Trading activities, refer to the Discussion of Segmented Results section of our 2011 Annual MD&A.

 
13

 
The results of the Energy Trading Segment, with all trading results presented on a net basis, are as follows:

 
3 months ended March 31
 
2012
2011
Revenues
17
15
Fuel and purchased power
-
-
Gross margin
17
15
Operations, maintenance, and administration
7
5
Intersegment cost allocation
(3)
(2)
Operating income
13
12

For the three months ended March 31, 2012, Energy Trading gross margins increased compared to the same period in 2011 principally due to successful trading strategies in the Western U.S. and Eastern regions, partially offset by lower results in Alberta from lower demand due to unseasonably mild weather.

OM&A costs for the three months ended March 31, 2012 increased compared to the same periods in 2011 due to increased support costs and higher compensation costs associated with favourable results.


CORPORATE: Our Generation and Energy Trading Segments are supported by a Corporate group that provides finance, tax, treasury, legal, regulatory, environmental, health and safety, sustainable development, corporate communications, government and investor relations, information technology, risk management, human resources, internal audit, and other administrative support.

The expenses incurred by the Corporate Segment are as follows:

   
3 months ended March 31
   
2012
2011
Operations, maintenance, and administration
 
22
23
Depreciation and amortization
 
5
5
Operating loss
 
27
28

For the three months ended March 31, 2012, OM&A costs were comparable to the same period in 2011.


NET INTEREST EXPENSE

The components of net interest expense are shown below:

   
3 months ended March 31
   
2012
2011
Interest on debt
 
56
55
Capitalized interest
 
-
(11)
Interest expense
 
56
44
Accretion of provisions
 
4
5
Net interest expense
 
60
49


 
14

 

The change in net interest expense for the three months ended March 31, 2012, compared to the same period in 2011 is shown below:

   
3 months ended
March 31
Net interest expense, 2011
 
49
Lower capitalized interest
 
11
Higher interest rates
2
Lower debt levels
 
(2)
Net interest expense, 2012
 
60


INCOME TAXES

A reconciliation of income taxes and effective tax rates on earnings, excluding non-comparable items, is presented below:

   
3 months ended March 31
   
2012
2011
Earnings before income taxes
 
111
313
Income attributable to non-controlling interests
 
(13)
(13)
Impacts associated with certain de-designated and
  ineffective hedges
 
(85)
(199)
Inventory writedown
 
34
-
Gain on sale of facilities
 
(3)
-
Earnings attributable to TransAlta shareholders
  excluding non-comparable items subject to tax
 
44
101
Income tax expense
 
2
92
Income tax expense related to impacts associated with
  certain de-designated and ineffective hedges
 
(30)
(70)
Income tax recovery related to inventory writedown
 
12
-
Income tax expense related to gain on sale of facilities and
  development projects
 
(1)
-
Income tax recovery related to the resolution of certain
  outstanding tax matters
 
9
-
Income tax expense (recovery) excluding non-comparable items
 
(8)
22
Effective tax rate on earnings attributable to TransAlta
  shareholders excluding non-comparable items (%)
 
(18)
22

The income tax expense excluding non-comparable items for the three months ended March 31, 2012 decreased compared to the same period in 2011 due to lower comparable earnings, changes in the amount of earnings between the jurisdictions in which
pre-tax income is earned, and the positive resolution of $15 million of certain outstanding tax matters during the quarter that were comparable in nature.

The effective tax rate on earnings attributable to TransAlta shareholders excluding non-comparable items for the three months ended March 31, 2012 decreased compared to the same period in 2011 due to the effect of certain deductions that do not fluctuate with earnings, changes in the amount of earnings between the jurisdictions in which pre-tax income is earned, and the positive resolution of certain outstanding tax matters during the quarter.


 
15

 

NON-CONTROLLING INTERESTS

Net earnings attributable to non-controlling interests for the three months ended March 31, 2012 was comparable to the same period in 2011.


FINANCIAL POSITION

The following chart highlights significant changes in the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position from
Dec. 31, 2011 to March 31, 2012:

 
Increase/
   
 
(Decrease)
 
Primary factors explaining change
Cash and cash equivalents
(18)
 
Decrease in net earnings
Accounts receivable
(105)
 
Timing of customer receipts and lower revenues
Prepaid expenses
12
 
Prepayments of annual insurance premiums
Income taxes receivable
14
 
Resolution of certain tax matters
Property, plant, and equipment, net
(14)
 
Depreciation and unfavourable foreign exchange rates partially offset by additions
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities
(101)
 
Timing of payments and lower capital accruals
Long-term debt (including current portion)
(13)
 
Repayments offset by  increased borrowings under credit facilities
Equity attributable to shareholders
13
 
Net earnings for the period offset by movements in AOCI
Non-controlling interests
(13)
 
Non-controlling interests' portion of net earnings


FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS

Refer to Note 13 of the notes to the consolidated financial statements within our 2011 Annual Report and Note 9 of our interim condensed consolidated financial statements as at and for the three months ended March 31, 2012 for details on Financial Instruments.  Refer to the Risk Management section of our 2011 Annual Report and Note 10 of our interim condensed consolidated financial statements for further details on our risks and how we manage them.  Our risk management profile and practices have not changed materially from Dec. 31, 2011.

Energy Trading may enter into commodity transactions involving non-standard features for which market observable data is not available.  These are defined under IFRS as Level III financial instruments.  Level III financial instruments are not traded in an active market and fair value is, therefore, developed using valuation models based upon internally developed assumptions or inputs.  Our
Level III fair values are determined using data such as unit availability, transmission congestion, or demand profiles.  Fair values are validated on a quarterly basis by using reasonably possible alternative assumptions as inputs to valuation techniques, and any material differences are disclosed in the notes to the financial statements.

We also have various contracts with terms that extend beyond five years.  As forward price forecasts are not available for the full period of these contracts, the value of these contracts must be derived by reference to a forecast that is based on a combination of external and internal fundamental modeling, including discounting.  As a result, these contracts are classified in Level III.  These contracts are for specified prices with counterparties that we believe to be creditworthy.

 
16

 

At March 31, 2012, total Level III financial instruments had a net asset carrying value of $6 million (Dec. 31, 2011 - $7 million net liability).

During the three months ended March 31, 2012, unrealized pre-tax gains of $75 million were released from AOCI and recognized in earnings due to certain power hedging relationships being deemed ineffective for accounting purposes.  These unrealized gains were calculated using current forward prices which will change between now and the time the underlying hedged transactions are expected to occur.  Had these hedges not been deemed ineffective for accounting purposes, the revenues associated with these contracts would have been recorded in net earnings in the period in which they settle, the majority of which will occur during 2012.  As these gains have already been recognized in earnings in the current period, future reported earnings will be lower, however, the expected cash flows from these contracts will not change.

In addition, we discontinued hedge accounting for certain cash flow hedges that no longer met the criteria for hedge accounting. As at March 31, 2012, cumulative gains of $20 million will continue to be deferred in AOCI and will be reclassified to net earnings as the forecasted transactions occur.  The prospective changes in fair value of the derivatives from the date of discontinuing hedge accounting will be recognized in net earnings in the period they occur. 


STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

The following charts highlight significant changes in the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the three months ended March 31, 2012 compared to the same period in 2011:

3 months ended March 31
2012

2011     

Primary factors explaining change
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning
   of period
49
35      
 
Provided by (used in):
     
Operating activities
183
168      
Favourable changes in working capital of $52 million offset by lower cash earnings of $37 million
       
Investing activities
(165)
(133)      
Increase in additions to PP&E of $50 million offset by an increase in collateral received from counterparties of $16 million, a decrease in change in working capital related to investing activites of $9 million, and an increase in proceeds on sale of facilities of $3 million
       
Financing activities
(36)
(29)      
Increase in preferred share dividends of $4 million and an increase in distributions paid to subsidiaries' non-controlling interests of $2 million, offset by a decrease in common share dividends of $2 million
Translation of foreign currency cash
-
(1)      
 
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period
31
40       
 


LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Liquidity risk arises from our ability to meet general funding needs, engage in trading and hedging activities, and manage the assets, liabilities and capital structure of the Corporation.  Liquidity risk is managed by maintaining sufficient liquid financial resources to fund obligations as they come due in the most cost-effective manner.

 
17

 

Our liquidity needs are met through a variety of sources, including cash generated from operations, borrowings under our long-term credit facilities, and long-term debt issued under our Canadian and U.S. shelf registrations.  Our primary uses of funds are operational expenses, capital expenditures, dividends, distributions to non-controlling limited partners, and interest and principal payments on debt securities.

Debt

Long-term debt totalled $4.0 billion at March 31, 2012 and $4.0 billion at Dec. 31, 2011.
Credit Facilities

At March 31, 2012, we have a total of $2.0 billion (Dec. 31, 2011 - $2.0 billion) of committed credit facilities of which $0.9 billion (Dec. 31, 2011 - $0.9 billion) is not drawn and available, subject to customary borrowing conditions.  At March 31, 2012, the
$1.1 billion (Dec. 31, 2011 - $1.1 billion) of credit utilized under these facilities is comprised of actual drawings of $0.8 billion (Dec. 31, 2011 - $0.8 billion) and of letters of credit of $0.3 billion (Dec. 31, 2011 - $0.3 billion).  These facilities are comprised of a $1.5 billion committed syndicated bank facility, with the remainder comprised of bilateral credit facilities which mature between the third and fourth quarter of 2013.  We anticipate renewing these facilities, based on reasonable commercial terms, prior to their maturities.  In April 2012, we completed a renewal of our $1.5 billion committed syndicated bank facility, and extended the maturity from 2015 to 2016.
 
In addition to the $0.9 billion available under the credit facilities, we also have $31 million of cash available.

Share Capital

On April 25, 2012, we had 227.0 million common shares outstanding and 12.0 million Series A and 11.0 million Series C first preferred shares outstanding.

At March 31, 2012, we had 224.6 million (Dec. 31, 2011 - 223.6 million) common shares issued and outstanding.  During the three months ended March 31, 2012, 1.0 million (March 31, 2011 - 0.9 million) common shares were issued for $20 million
(March 31, 2011 - $18 million).  During the three months ended March 31, 2012, all the common shares were issued under the terms of the Dividend Reinvestment and Share Purchase (“DRASP”) plan.  Of the 0.9 million shares issued during the three months ended March 31, 2011, 0.1 million were issued for cash proceeds of $1 million and 0.8 million were issued for $17 million under the terms of the DRASP plan.
 
We employ a variety of stock-based compensation to align employee and corporate objectives.  At March 31, 2012, we had 1.6 million outstanding employee stock options (Dec. 31, 2011 - 1.7 million).  During the three months ended March 31, 2012,
0.1 million options expired, or were exercised or cancelled (March 31, 2011 - a nominal number).

Guarantee Contracts

We have obligations to issue letters of credit and cash collateral to secure potential liabilities to certain parties including those related to potential environmental obligations, energy trading activities, hedging activities, and purchase obligations.
At March 31, 2012, we provided letters of credit totalling $280 million (Dec. 31, 2011 - $328 million) and cash collateral of $51 million (Dec. 31, 2011 - $45 million).  These letters of credit and cash collateral secure certain amounts included on our Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Positions under “Risk Management Liabilities” and “Decommissioning and Other Provisions”.

 
18

 

CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE ENVIRONMENT

In Alberta there are requirements for coal-fired generation units to implement additional air emission controls for oxides of nitrogen (“NOx”), sulphur dioxide (“SO2”), and particulate matter, once they reach the end of their PPAs, in most cases at 2020.  These regulatory requirements were developed by the Province in 2004 as a result of multi-stakeholder discussions under Alberta’s Clean Air Strategic Alliance (“CASA”).  However, as new Greenhouse Gas (“GHG”) regulations for coal-fired power are developed there is a risk that the CASA air pollutant requirements and schedules become misaligned with GHG retirement schedules for older coal plants, which in themselves will result in significant reductions of NOx, SO2, and particulates.  We are in discussions with both the federal and provincial governments to ensure coordination between GHG and air pollutant regulations, such that emission reduction objectives are achieved in the most effective manner while taking into the consideration the reliability and cost of Alberta’s generation supply.

On Aug. 27, 2011, the Government of Canada published in the Canada Gazette draft regulations entitled “Reduction of CO2 Emissions from Coal-Fired Generation of Electricity”.  These regulations propose a 45-year end-of-life for coal-fired power units, at which point the units would have to meet a GHG emissions performance standard similar to natural gas-fired levels, or close.  Should they be passed, the regulations would become effective on July 1, 2015.

In the U.S., the Environmental Protection Agency (“EPA”) proposed, on March 27, 2012, carbon standards for future coal-fired power plants.  It is intended that the proposed standard would be met with fuel switching or clean coal technologies.  As this regulatory framework is for new coal-fired plants, there is no material impact on our existing coal units at Centralia.  The draft standards are currently open for public review, and are expected to be finalized later in 2012.
 
In December 2011, the EPA issued national standards for mercury pollution from power plants.  Existing sources will have up to four years to comply.  We are already proceeding with the installation of voluntary mercury capture technology at our Centralia coal-fired plant, to be operational by the end of 2012.  We are also installing additional capture technology to further reduce NOx, consistent with the Washington State Bill passed in April 2011 requiring TransAlta to begin operating such technology by Jan. 1, 2013.

We continue to make operational improvements and investments to our existing generating facilities to reduce the environmental impact of generating electricity.  We installed mercury control equipment at our Alberta Thermal operations in 2010 in order to meet the province’s 70 per cent reduction objectives. Our new Keephills Unit 3 plant began operation in September 2011 using supercritical combustion technology to maximize thermal efficiency, as well as sulphur dioxide capture and low NOx combustion technology, which is consistent with the technology that is currently in use at Genesee Unit 3.  Uprate projects at our Keephills and Sundance plants were undertaken in 2011 and scheduled for completion in 2012, which will improve the energy and emissions efficiency of those units.

 
 
19

 

 
2012 OUTLOOK

Business Environment

Power Prices

Over the balance of 2012, power prices in Alberta are expected to be lower than 2011, driven by weak prices influenced by lower natural gas prices, offset by continued load growth.  In the Pacific Northwest, we continue to expect weak prices due to historically low natural gas prices and slow load growth.  Market prices and the success of contracting will influence the asset values at Centralia Thermal.  Continued low prices could result in an adjustment to the current $757 million carrying amount of the plant and the associated tax asset of $238 million.  Because any such determination will be based on future events and circumstances no assurance can be given as to the timing or amount of any impairment, although it is possible that such an adjustment could be material and could occur in 2012.    

Environmental Legislation

The state of development of environmental regulations in both Canada and the U.S. remains fluid.  Canada has indicated its intention to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from coal-fired power units by 2015.  This regulatory framework is under discussion between the federal and provincial governments and the industry, and is expected to be finalized in 2012.

In the U.S., it is not yet clear how climate change legislation for existing fossil-fuel-based generation will unfold.  Additionally, new air pollutant regulations for the power sector are anticipated in 2012, but will not directly affect our coal-fired operations in Washington State.  TransAlta’s agreement with Washington State, established in April 2011, provides regulatory clarity regarding an emissions regime related to the Centralia Coal plant until 2025.

We continue to closely monitor the progress and risks associated with environmental legislation changes on our future operations.

The siting, construction, and operation of electrical energy facilities requires interaction with many stakeholders.  More recently, certain stakeholders have brought actions against government agencies and owners over alleged adverse impacts of wind projects.  We are monitoring these claims in order to assess the risk associated with these activities.

Economic Environment

The economic environment showed signs of improvement in 2011 and we expect this trend to continue through 2012 at a slow to moderate pace.  We continue to monitor global events and their potential impact on the economy and our supplier and commodity counterparty relationships.

We had no counterparty losses in the first quarter of 2012, and we continue to monitor counterparty credit risk and act in accordance with our established risk management policies.  We do not anticipate any material change to our existing credit practices and continue to deal primarily with investment grade counterparties.

 
20

 

Operations

Capacity, Production, and Availability

Generating capacity is expected to increase for the remainder of 2012 due to the three uprates at our Alberta coal PPA facilities and the completion of New Richmond.  Overall production is expected to increase for 2012 due to a full year of operating Keephills Unit 3 and lower unplanned outages, offset by higher planned outages at our Alberta PPA facilities and economic dispatching at Centralia Thermal.  Overall availability in 2012 is expected to be in the range of 89 to 90 per cent.

Contracted Cash Flows

Through the use of Alberta PPAs, long-term contracts, and other short-term physical and financial contracts, on average approximately 70 per cent of our capacity is contracted over the next seven years.  On an aggregated portfolio basis, we target being up to 90 per cent contracted for the upcoming year, stepping down to 65 per cent in the fourth year.  As at the end of the first quarter, approximately 90 per cent of our 2012 capacity was contracted.  The average price of our short-term physical and financial contracts for the balance of 2012 ranges from $60 to $65 per MWh in Alberta, and from U.S.$50 to U.S.$55 per MWh in the Pacific Northwest.

Fuel Costs

Mining coal in Alberta is subject to cost increases due to greater overburden removal, inflation, capital investments, and commodity prices.  Seasonal variations in coal costs at our Alberta mine are minimized through the application of standard costing.  Coal costs for 2012, on a standard cost basis, are expected to increase by approximately four per cent compared to 2011 due to the drivers mentioned above and lower coal production volumes, offset by productivity initiatives.
 
 
Although we own the Centralia mine in the State of Washington, it is not currently operational.  Fuel at Centralia Thermal is purchased from external suppliers in the Powder River Basin and delivered by rail.  The delivered cost of fuel per MWh for 2012 is expected to increase by approximately four per cent due to higher diesel, commodity costs, and coal dust mitigation expenses.

The value of coal inventories are assessed for impairment at the end of each reporting period.  If the inventory is impaired, further charges will be recognized in net earnings.  For more information on the inventory impairment charge recorded in the first quarter of 2012, please refer to the Significant Events section of this MD&A.

We purchase natural gas from outside companies coincident with production or have it supplied by our customers, thereby minimizing our risk to changes in prices.  The continued success of unconventional gas production in North America could reduce the year to year volatility of prices in the near term.

We closely monitor the risks associated with changes in electricity and input fuel prices on our future operations and, where we consider it appropriate, use various physical and financial instruments to hedge our assets and operations from such price risk.

Operations, Maintenance, and Administration Costs

OM&A costs for 2012 are expected to be approximately five per cent lower than 2011 OM&A.

 
21

 


Energy Trading

Earnings from our Energy Trading Segment are affected by prices in the market, overall strategies adopted, and changes in legislation.  We continuously monitor both the market and our exposure to maximize earnings while still maintaining an acceptable risk profile.  Our 2012 objective is for Energy Trading to contribute between $65 million and $85 million in gross margin.

Exposure to Fluctuations in Foreign Currencies

Our strategy is to minimize the impact of fluctuations in the Canadian dollar against the U.S. dollar, Euro, and Australian dollar by offsetting foreign denominated assets with foreign denominated liabilities and by entering into foreign exchange contracts.  We also have foreign denominated expenses, including interest charges, which largely offset our net foreign denominated revenues.

Net Interest Expense

Net interest expense for 2012 is expected to be higher than our reported 2011 net interest expense mainly due to lower capitalized interest.  However, changes in interest rates and in the value of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar will affect the amount of net interest expense incurred.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

If there is increased volatility in power and natural gas markets, or if market trading activities increase, we may need additional liquidity in the future.  To mitigate this liquidity risk, we expect to maintain $2.0 billion of committed credit facilities, and will continuously monitor our exposures and obligations.

Accounting Estimates

A number of our accounting estimates, including those outlined in in the Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates section of our 2011 Annual MD&A, are based on the current economic environment and outlook.  As a result of the current economic environment, market fluctuations could impact, among other things, future commodity prices, foreign exchange rates, and interest rates, which could, in turn, impact future earnings and the unrealized gains or losses associated with our risk management assets and liabilities and asset valuation for our asset impairment calculations. 

Income Taxes

The effective tax rate on earnings excluding non-comparable items for 2012 is expected to be approximately 21 to 26 per cent.

Capital Expenditures

Our major projects are focused on sustaining our current operations and supporting our growth strategy.
 
22

 

Growth Capital Expenditures

We have four significant growth capital projects that are currently in progress with targeted completion dates between Q2 2012 and Q4 2012.  A summary of each of these projects is outlined below:

 
Total Project
 
2012
Target
   
Project
Estimated spend
Spent to date(1)
 
Estimated spend
Spent to date(1)
completion
date
 
Details
                 
Keephills Unit 1
  uprate
25
16
 
10 - 20
3
Q3 2012
 
An expected 23 MW efficiency uprate at our
Keephills facility
Keephills Unit 2
  uprate
26
23
 
10 - 20
13
Q2 2012
 
An expected 23 MW efficiency uprate at our
Keephills facility
Sundance Unit 3
  uprate
27
12
 
15 - 20
1
Q4 2012
 
An expected 15 MW efficiency uprate at our Sundance facility
New Richmond(2)
205
46
 
165 - 185
17
Q4 2012
 
A 68 MW wind farm in Quebec
Total growth
283
97
 
200 - 245
34
     
 
Transmission

For the three months ended March 31, 2012, a total of $1 million was spent on transmission projects.  The estimated spend for 2012 for transmission projects is $8 million.  Transmission projects consist of the major maintenance and reconfiguration of the transmission networks of Alberta to increase capacity of power flow in the lines. 

Sustaining Capital and Productivity Expenditures

For 2012, our estimate for total sustaining capital and productivity expenditures, net of any contributions received, is allocated among the following:

Category
Description
   
Expected
cost
Spent to date(3)
               
Routine capital
Expenditures to maintain our existing generating capacity
100 - 115
21
Productivity capital
Projects to improve power production efficiency
50 - 70
6
Mining equipment and
   land purchases
Expenditures related to mining equipment and
   land purchases
40 - 50
6
Planned maintenance
Regularly scheduled major maintenance
290 - 310
74
Total sustaining and productivity expenditures
   
480 - 545
107




 
 
(1) Represents amounts spent as of March 31, 2012.  During the quarter, we also spent a combined $1 million on Keephills Unit 3, Ardenville, Kent Hills 2, and Bone Creek.

 
(2) New Richmond total project costs spent to date include expenditures of $5 million, which were included in project development costs in 2011.

 
(3) Represents amounts incurred as of March 31, 2012.
 

 
 
23

 
Details of the 2012 planned maintenance program, including major inspection costs, are outlined as follows:

       
Coal
Gas and Renewables
Expected
spend
in 2012
Spent
to date(1)
Capitalized
     
215 - 230
75 - 80
290 - 310
74
Expensed
     
-
0 - 5
0 - 5
-
       
215 - 230
75 - 85
290 - 315
74
               
       
Coal
Gas and Renewables
Expected
total
Lost
to date
GWh lost
     
3,920 - 3,930
380 - 390
4,300 - 4,320
511
 
Financing

Financing for these capital expenditures is expected to be provided by cash flow from operating activities, existing borrowing capacity, re-invested dividends under the Premium DividendTM, Dividend Reinvestment and Optional Common Share Purchase Plan, and capital markets.  The funds required for committed growth and sustaining capital and productivity projects are not expected to be impacted by the current economic environment due to the highly contracted nature of our cash flow, our financial position, and the amount of capital available to us under existing committed credit facilities.
 
FUTURE ACCOUNTING CHANGES

For a summary of future accounting changes that we have not yet applied please refer to the Future Accounting Changes section of our 2011 annual MD&A.
 
ADDITIONAL IFRS MEASURES

An additional IFRS measure is a line item, heading, or subtotal that is relevant to an understanding of the financial statements but is not a minimum line item mandated under IFRS, or the presentation of a financial measure that is relevant to an understanding of the financial statements but is not presented elsewhere in the financial statements.  We have included line items entitled “gross margin” and “operating income” in our Condensed Consolidated Statements of Earnings for the three months ended March 31, 2012 and 2011.  Presenting these line items provides management and investors with a measurement of ongoing operating performance which is readily comparable from period to period.
 
NON-IFRS MEASURES

We evaluate our performance and the performance of our business segments using a variety of measures.  Those discussed below, and elsewhere in this MD&A, are not defined under IFRS and, therefore, should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to or to be more meaningful than net earnings attributable to common shareholders or cash flow from operating activities, as determined in accordance with IFRS, when assessing our financial performance or liquidity.  These measures are not necessarily comparable to a similarly titled measure of another company.
 

 
(1) Represents amounts incurred as of March 31, 2012.
 
 
24

 
Presenting earnings on a comparable basis, comparable gross margin, and comparable operating income from period to period provides management and investors with supplemental information to evaluate earnings trends in comparison with results from prior periods.  In calculating these items, we exclude the impact related to certain hedges that are either de-designated or deemed ineffective for accounting purposes, as management believes that these transactions are not representative of our business operations.  Had these hedges not been deemed ineffective for accounting purposes, the revenues associated with these contracts would have been recorded in net earnings in the period in which they settle.  As these gains have already been recognized in earnings in the current period, future reported earnings will be lower, however, the expected cash flows from these contracts will not change.  In calculating comparable earnings for the first quarter of 2012, we have also excluded the inventory writedown, as the recognition of the writedown is related to the hedges that were de-designated or deemed ineffective during the quarter.  The effect of the hedge de-designation and inventory impairment will be recognized in comparable earnings over the balance of the year.  We have also excluded the income tax recovery related to the resolution of certain tax matters and the gain on sale of facilities, as management believes these transactions are not representative of our business operations. Earnings on a comparable basis per share are calculated using the weighted average common shares outstanding during the period.

Earnings on a Comparable Basis

Earnings on a comparable basis are reconciled to net earnings attributable to common shareholders below:

         
3 months ended March 31
     
2012
2011
Net earnings attributable to common shareholders
 
89
204
Impacts associated with certain de-designated and ineffective
  hedges, net of tax
(55)
(129)
Gain on sale of facilities, net of tax
(2)
-
Inventory writedown, net of tax
 
22
-
Income tax recovery related to the resolution of certain tax
  matters
 
(9)
-
Earnings on a comparable basis
 
45
75
             
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding
   in the period
225
221
Earnings on a comparable basis per share
 
0.20
0.34

Comparable Gross Margin

Comparable gross margin is calculated as follows:

         
3 months ended March 31
     
2012
2011
Gross margin(1)
     
469
608
Impacts associated with certain de-designated and
  ineffective hedges, pre-tax
 
(85)
(199)
Comparable gross margin
   
384
409
 

 
 
 
(1) This item is an Additional IFRS Measures.  Refer to the Additional IFRS Measures section of this MD&A for further discussion of this item.

 
 
25

 
Comparable Operating Income

A reconciliation of comparable operating income is as follows:

         
3 months ended March 31
     
2012
2011
Operating income(1)
     
172
359
Impacts associated with certain de-designated and
  ineffective hedges, pre-tax
 
(85)
(199)
Inventory writedown, pre-tax
34
-
Comparable operating income
 
121
160

Comparable EBITDA

Presenting comparable EBITDA from period to period provides management and investors with a proxy for the amount of cash generated from operating activities before net interest expense, non-controlling interests, income taxes, and working capital adjustments.

A reconciliation of comparable EBITDA to operating income is as follows:

         
3 months ended March 31
     
2012
2011
Operating income(1)
     
172
359
Inventory writedown, pre-tax
   
34
-
Depreciation and amortization per the Consolidated
  Statements of Cash Flows(2)
 
140
127
Impacts associated with certain de-designated and
  ineffective hedges, pre-tax
 
(85)
(199)
Comparable EBITDA
   
261
287
 
Funds From Operations and Funds From Operations per Share

Presenting funds from operations and funds from operations per share from period to period provides management and investors with a proxy for the amount of cash generated from operating activities, before changes in working capital, and provides the ability to evaluate cash flow trends more readily in comparison with results from prior periods.  Funds from operations per share is calculated as follows using the weighted average number of common shares outstanding during the period:

         
3 months ended March 31
     
2012
2011
Cash flow from operating activites
 
183
168
Change in non-cash operating working capital balances
 
6
58
Funds from operations
   
189
226
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding
   in the period
 
225
221
Funds from operations per share
 
0.84
1.02
 


 
 
(1) These items are Additional IFRS Measures.  Refer to the Additional IFRS Measures section of this MD&A for further discussion of these items.

 
(2) To calculate comparable EBITDA, we use depreciation and amortization per the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows in order to account for depreciation related to mine assets, which is included in fuel and purchased power on the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Earnings.

 
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Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow represents the amount of cash generated from operations by our business, before changes in working capital, that is available to invest in growth initiatives, make scheduled principal repayments of debt, pay additional common share dividends, or repurchase common shares.  Changes in working capital are excluded so as to not distort free cash flow with changes that we consider temporary in nature, reflecting, among other things, the impact of seasonal factors and the timing of capital projects.
 
 
Sustaining capital and productivity expenditures for the three months ended March 31, 2012 represents total additions to property, plant, and equipment and intangibles per the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows less $37 million ($36 million net of partners’ contributions) that we have invested in growth projects.  For the same period in 2011, we invested $34 million in growth projects.

The reconciliation between cash flow from operating activities and free cash flow is calculated below:

 
3 months ended March 31
 
2012
2011
Cash flow from operating activities
183
168
Add (deduct):
   
Changes in non-cash operating working capital
6
58
Sustaining capital and productivity expenditures
(107)
(58)
Dividends paid on common shares
(45)
(47)
Dividends paid on preferred shares
(8)
(4)
Distributions paid to subsidiaries' non-controlling interests
(19)
(17)
Free cash flow
10
100

We seek to maintain sufficient cash balances and committed credit facilities to fund periodic net cash outflows related to our business.


SELECTED QUARTERLY INFORMATION
 
       
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
               
Revenue
   
515
629
701
656
Net earnings attributable to common shareholders
   
12
50
24
89
Net earnings per share attributable to common shareholders,
   basic and diluted
0.05
0.22
0.11
0.40
Comparable earnings per share
   
0.29
0.27
0.13
0.20
               
       
Q2 2010
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
               
Revenue
   
547
651
779
818
Net earnings attributable to common shareholders
   
63
40
92
204
Net earnings per share attributable to common shareholders,
   basic and diluted
0.29
0.18
0.42
0.92
Comparable earnings per share
   
0.15
0.18
0.36
0.34

Basic and diluted earnings per share attributable to common shareholders and comparable earnings per share are calculated each period using the weighted average common shares outstanding during the period.  As a result, the sum of the earnings per share for the four quarters making up the calendar year may sometimes differ from the annual earnings per share.
 
 
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DISCLOSURE CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

As required by Rule 13a-15 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (“Exchange Act”), management has evaluated, with the participation of our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the period covered by this report.  Disclosure controls and procedures refer to controls and other procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed in the reports we file or submit under the Exchange Act are recorded, processed, summarized, and reported within the time periods specified in the rules and forms of the Securities and Exchange Commission.  Disclosure controls and procedures include, without limitation, controls and procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by us in our reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act are accumulated and communicated to management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate to allow timely decisions regarding our required disclosure.  In designing and evaluating our disclosure controls and procedures, management recognizes that any controls and procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable assurance of achieving the desired control objectives, and management was required to apply its judgment in evaluating and implementing possible controls and procedures.

There has been no change in the internal control over financial reporting during the period covered by this report that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.  Based on the foregoing evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that, as of March 31, 2012, the end of the period covered by this report, our disclosure controls and procedures were effective at a reasonable assurance level.
 
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

This MD&A, the documents incorporated herein by reference, and other reports and filings made with the securities regulatory authorities, include forward looking statements.  All forward looking statements are based on our beliefs as well as assumptions based on information available at the time the assumption was made and on management’s experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected further developments, and other factors deemed appropriate in the circumstances.  Forward looking statements are not facts, but only predictions and generally can be identified by the use of statements that include phrases such as “may”, “will”, “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “plan”, “foresee”, “potential”, “enable”, “continue” or other comparable terminology.  These statements are not guarantees of our future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause our actual performance to be materially different from those projected.

In particular, this MD&A contains forward looking statements pertaining to the following: expectations relating to the timing of the completion and commissioning of projects under development, including uprates, and their attendant costs; expectations related to future earnings and cash flow from operating activities; estimates of fuel supply and demand conditions and the costs of procuring fuel; our estimated spend on growth and sustaining capital and productivity projects; expectations for demand for electricity in both the short-term and long-term, and the resulting impact on electricity prices; expected impact of load growth and natural gas costs on power prices; expectations in respect of generation availability, capacity, and production; expectations in terms of the cost of operations and maintenance, and the variability of those costs; expected financing of our capital expenditures; expected governmental regulatory regimes and legislation and their expected impact on us, as well as the cost of complying with resulting regulations and laws; our trading strategy and the risk involved in these strategies; estimates of future tax rates, future tax expense, and the adequacy of tax provisions; accounting estimates; expectations for the outcome of existing or potential contractual claims; the impact of certain hedges on future reported earnings and cash flows; the estimated impact of changes in interest rates and the value of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar; the monitoring of our exposure to liquidity risk; expectations in respect to the global economic environment; our credit practices; and the estimated contribution of Energy Trading activities to gross margin.
 
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Factors that may adversely impact our forward looking statements include risks relating to: fluctuations in market prices and availability of fuel supplies required to generate electricity and in the price of electricity; the regulatory and political environments in the jurisdictions in which we operate; environmental requirements and changes in, or liabilities under, these requirements; changes in general economic conditions including interest rates; operational risks involving our facilities, including unplanned outages at such facilities; disruptions in the transmission and distribution of electricity; effects of weather; disruptions in the source of fuels, water, or wind required to operate our facilities; natural disasters; the threat of domestic terrorism and cyber-attacks; equipment failure; energy trading risks; industry risk and competition; fluctuations in the value of foreign currencies and foreign political risks; need for additional financing; structural subordination of securities; counterparty credit risk; insurance coverage; our provision for income taxes; legal and contractual proceedings involving the Corporation; reliance on key personnel; labour relations matters; and development projects and acquisitions.  The foregoing risk factors, among others, are described in further detail in the Risk Management section of our 2011 Annual MD&A and under the heading “Risk Factors” in our 2012 Annual Information Form.

Readers are urged to consider these factors carefully in evaluating the forward looking statements and are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements.  The forward looking statements included in this document are made only as of the date hereof and we do not undertake to publicly update these forward looking statements to reflect new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable laws.  In light of these risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, the forward looking events might occur to a different extent or at a different time than we have described, or might not occur.  We cannot assure that projected results or events will be achieved.

 
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SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION
     
March 31, 2012
Dec. 31, 2011
         
Closing market price (TSX) ($)
   
18.70
21.02
         
Price range for the last 12 months (TSX) ($)
High
 
21.37
23.24
         
 
Low
 
18.52
19.45
         
Debt to invested capital (%)
   
52.4
52.4
         
Debt to invested capital excluding non-recourse debt (%)
   
50.0
49.9
         
Return on equity attributable to common shareholders (%)
   
6.1
10.6
         
Comparable return on equity attributable to common shareholders(1), (2) (%)
   
7.0
8.4
         
Return on capital employed(1) (%)
   
6.2
8.8
         
Comparable return on capital employed(1), (2) (%)
   
6.8
7.5
         
Cash dividends per share(1) ($)
   
1.16
1.16
         
Price/comparable earnings ratio(1) (times)
   
20.8
20.4
         
Earnings coverage(1) (times)
   
1.8
2.7
         
Dividend payout ratio based on net earnings(1) (%)
   
148.0
66.9
         
Dividend payout ratio based on comparable earnings(1), (2) (%)
   
129.5
84.3
         
Dividend payout ratio based on funds from operations(1), (2) (%)
   
33.5
24.0
         
Dividend yield(1) (%)
   
6.2
5.5
         
Cash flow to debt(1) (%)
   
19.3
20.2
         
Cash flow to interest coverage(1) (times)
   
4.3
4.4
 
 
 
(1)    Last 12 months
(2)  These ratios incorporate items that are not defined under IFRS.  None of these measurements should be used in isolation or as a substitute for the Corporation’s reported financial performance or position as presented in accordance with IFRS.  These ratios are useful complementary measurements for assessing the Corporation’s financial performance, efficiency, and liquidity and are common in the reports of other companies but may differ by definition and application.  For a reconciliation of the Non-IFRS measures used in this calculation, refer to the Non-IFRS Measures section of this MD&A.

RATIO FORMULAS
 
Debt to invested capital = (long-term debt including current portion - cash and cash equivalents) / (long-term debt including current portion + non-controlling interests + equity attributable to common shareholders - cash and cash equivalents)

Return on common shareholders’ equity = net earnings attributable to common shareholders or earnings on a comparable basis / average equity attributable to common shareholders excluding AOCI

Return on capital employed = (earnings before non-controlling interests and income taxes + net interest expense or comparable earnings before non-controlling interests and income taxes + net interest expense) / average invested capital excluding AOCI

Price/comparable earnings ratio = current period’s closing market price / comparable earnings per share

Earnings coverage = (net earnings attributable to common shareholders+ income taxes + net interest expense) / (interest on debt - interest income)

Dividend payout ratio = common share dividends / net earnings attributable to common shareholders or earnings on a comparable basis or funds from operations

Dividend yield = dividend per common share / current period’s closing market price

Cash flow to debt = cash flow from operating activities before changes in working capital / average total debt – average cash and cash equivalents
 
Cash flow to interest coverage = (cash flow from operating activities before changes in working capital + interest on debt - interest income - capitalized interest) / (interest on debt - interest income)
 
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GLOSSARY OF KEY TERMS

Alberta Power Purchase Arrangement (PPA) - A long-term arrangement established by regulation for the sale of electric energy from formerly regulated generating units to PPA Buyers.

Availability - A measure of time, expressed as a percentage of continuous operation 24 hours a day, 365 days a year that a generating unit is capable of generating electricity, regardless of whether or not it is actually generating electricity.

Boiler - A device for generating steam for power, processing or heating purposes, or for producing hot water for heating purposes or hot water supply.  Heat from an external combustion source is transmitted to a fluid contained within the tubes of the boiler shell.

British thermal unit (Btu) - A measure of energy.  The amount of energy required to raise the temperature of one pound of water one degree Fahrenheit, when the water is near 39.2 degrees Fahrenheit.

Capacity - The rated continuous load-carrying ability, expressed in megawatts, of generation equipment.

Derate - To lower the rated electrical capability of a power generating facility or unit.

Flue Gas Desulphurization Unit (Scrubber) - Equipment used to remove sulphur oxides from the combustion gases of a boiler plant before discharge to the atmosphere.  Chemicals, such as lime, are used as the scrubbing media.

Force Majeure - Literally means “major force”.  These clauses excuse a party from liability if some unforeseen event beyond the control of that party prevents it from performing its obligations under the contract.

Geothermal Plant - A plant in which the prime mover is a steam turbine.  The turbine is driven either by steam produced from hot water or by natural steam that derives its energy from heat found in rocks or fluids at various depts. Beneath the surface of the earth.  The energy is extracted by drilling and/or pumping.

Gigajoule (GJ) - A metric unit of energy commonly used in the energy industry.  One GJ equals 947,817 Btu.

Gigawatt - A measure of electric power equal to 1,000 megawatts.

Gigawatt hour (GWh) - A measure of electricity consumption equivalent to the use of 1,000 megawatts of power over a period of one hour.

Greenhouse Gas (GHG) – Gases having potential to retain heat in the atmosphere, including water vapour, carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, and perfluorocarbons.

Heat rate - A measure of conversion, expressed as Btu/MWh, of the amount of thermal energy required to generate electrical energy.

Megawatt (MW) - A measure of electric power equal to 1,000,000 watts.

Megawatt hour (MWh) - A measure of electricity consumption equivalent to the use of 1,000,000 watts of power over a period of one hour.

Net Maximum Capacity - The maximum capacity or effective rating, modified for ambient limitations, that a generating unit or power plant can sustain over a specific period, less the capacity used to supply the demand of station service or auxiliary needs.

Renewable Plant - Power generated from renewable terrestrial mechanisms including wind, geothermal, solar, and biomass with regeneration.

Spark Spread - A measure of gross margin per MW (sales price less cost of natural gas).

Supercritical Technology - The most advanced coal-combustion technology in Canada employing a supercritical boiler,
high-efficiency multi-stage turbine, flue gas desulphurization unit (scrubber), bag house, and low nitrogen oxide burners.

Turbine - A machine for generating rotary mechanical power from the energy of a stream of fluid (such as water, steam, or hot gas).  Turbines convert kinetic energy of fluids to mechanical energy through the principles of impulse and reaction or a mixture of the two.

Unplanned Outage - The shut down of a generating unit due to an unanticipated breakdown.

Uprate - To increase the rated electrical capability of a power generating facility or unit.

Value at Risk (VaR) - A measure to manage earnings exposure from energy trading activities.
 
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TransAlta Corporation
Box 1900, Station “M”
110 - 12th Avenue S.W.
Calgary, Alberta Canada T2P 2M1
Phone 403.267.7110
 
Website
www.transalta.com
 
CIBC Mellon Trust Company
P.O. Box 7010 Adelaide Street Station
Toronto, Ontario Canada M5C 2W9
 
Phone
Toll-free in North America: 1.800.387.0825
Toronto or outside North America: 416.643.5500
Fax 416.643.5501
Website
www.cibcmellon.com
 
FOR MORE INFORMATION

Media and Investor Inquiries
Jess Nieukerk
Director, Investor Relations
 
Phone
1.800.387.3598 in Canada and United States
or 403.267.2520
 
Fax
403.267.2590
 
E-mail
Investor_relations@transalta.com
 
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