EX-99.C2 2 dex99c2.htm NEGOTIATING PRESENTATION, DATED JULY 5, 2006 Negotiating Presentation, dated July 5, 2006
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HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL
Review of Special Committee Analysis and Assumptions


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English_General
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English_Fairness or valuation
Goldman Sachs does not provide legal, tax or accounting advice.
Any tax statements made herein were not intended
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to manage our risk properly when determining allocations and their manner and timing.


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Executive summary
JPMorgan
and
Goldman
Sachs
understand
that
Credit
Suisse
has
reviewed
with
the
Special
Committee,
among
other
things,
Alpha’s
stand-alone
alternatives
and
intrinsic
value,
using
the
management
case
financials
Value
from
stand-alone
alternatives
measured
by
an
assessment
of
future
potential
stock
price
both
with
and
without
a
large
share
repurchase
Intrinsic
value
determined
by
a
discounted
cash
flow
analysis
JPMorgan
and
Goldman
Sachs
believe
that
the
assessment
of
future
stock
price
is
an
inappropriate
valuation
methodology
Inherently
academic
and
subjective
with
value
being
created
through
arbitrage
between
assumed
stock
price
growth
and
selected
discount rate
Core
assumption
is
contradicted
by
4.5
years
of
actual
trading
history
The
Credit
Suisse
share
repurchase
analysis
compounds
the
impact
of
the
future
stock
price
assessment
methodology
Even
more
“value”
generated
on
paper
through
selected
enhanced
inputs
and
the
period
of
time
the
model
is
allowed
to
run
Besides
the
inherent
unreliability
of
a
future
stock
price
assessment,
JPMorgan
and
Goldman
Sachs
disagree
with
various
assumptions
used
in
Credit
Suisse’
share
repurchase
analysis,
including:
Credit
Suisse
analysis
assumes
built-in
multiple
expansion
by
applying
an
average
historical
P/E
multiple,
which
implies
FV/EBITDA
multiple
expansion
into
the
future
Disregards
impact
on
cost
of
equity
of
a
substantially
riskier
investment
from
higher
leverage
Quantitative
output
doesn’t
factor
feasibility
of
execution,
negative
consequences
of
a
buyback
of
40%
of
outstanding
shares
(including
potential
liquidity
constraints),
ownership
consequences
of
a
non-pro
rata
tender
and
advisability
of
operating
as
a
highly
leveraged
public
company
JPMorgan
and
Goldman
Sachs
believe
that
there
are
several
assumptions
being
used
in
the
Credit
Suisse
DCF
analysis
that
are
yielding
results
above
true
intrinsic
value
Credit
Suisse
analysis
adjusts
acquisition
assumptions
and
assumes
aggressive
terminal
value
multiple
which
yields
an
excessively
high
terminal
growth
rate
JPMorgan
and
Goldman
Sachs
believe
that
using
only
the
management
case
financials
in
performing
a
stand-alone
or
intrinsic
value
assessment
is
incomplete
Management
case
assumes
organic
growth,
capital
intensity
declines
and
margin
expansion
improvements
over
historical
results
Management's
forecasting
/
budgeting
philosophy
is
to
set
stretch
goals
2006
YTD
actual
results
are
trending
below
the
management
case
estimate
1


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Valuation range summary
Price per share
Credit Suisse case
Adjusted 
Credit Suisse case
JPMorgan/
Goldman Sachs case
Unaffected stock price (as of 4/28/06)
$28.11
Offer price
$32.00
Future stock price analysis
$31.00—$33.00
$29.19—$32.94
Not valid analysis
Share buyback
$31.00—$36.00
$30.71—$32.23
$29.81—$30.21
Discounted cash flow
$34.00—$40.00
$26.62—$37.54
$26.62—$37.54
2


Agenda
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Appendix
Review of management projections
Discounted cash flow analysis
Leveraged recap analysis
Future stock price analysis
3
3
10
16
20
25


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$0.97
$1.19
$1.26
$1.39
$1.53
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Alpha historical EPS
Historically, Alpha stock price has not appreciated in-line with
EPS growth and forward P/E has been declining
Historical 12-month forward P/E
13.0x
14.0x
15.0x
16.0x
17.0x
18.0x
19.0x
04/28/03
01/27/04
10/27/04
07/28/05
04/28/06
Source: Company filings and Factset
Source: Tradeline
Note: CAGR based on stock price performance over 4.5 years; Alpha IPO price of $23
and price as of 4/28/06 of $28.11
Source: Factset
Average historical P/E
1 year
15.8x
2 years
16.1x
3 years
16.5x
Stock price performance since IPO
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
12/11/01
01/14/03
02/18/04
03/24/05
04/28/06
Alpha historical EBITDA
$648
$730
$838
$836
$895
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
4


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Organic growth remains the primary driver of Alpha’s
stock price…
Alpha stock price performance
Note: All organic growth rates from quarterly and annual reports, except for Sep-02 and Sep-03 which were derived from press releases and JPM estimates
YOY organic revenue growth
Stock price and organic growth performance since IPO
2.0%
2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
2.0%
3.0%
5.0%
2.0%
4.0%
4.0%
6.0%
6.0%
6.0%
4.0%
8.0%
7.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Dec-
01
Mar-
02
Jun-
02
Sep-
02
Dec-
02
Mar-
03
Jun-
03
Sep-
03
Dec-
03
Mar-
04
Jun-
04
Sep-
04
Dec-
04
Mar-
05
Jun-
05
Sep-
05
Dec-
05
Mar-
06
$0.0
$5.0
$10.0
$15.0
$20.0
$25.0
$30.0
5


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0.1%
(1.9%)
(0.7%)
0.0%
0.1%
(0.3%)
0.6%
0.0%
0.3%
(0.1%)
0.1%
(0.4%)
(2.1%)
0.1%
(2.5%)
(2.0%)
(1.5%)
(1.0%)
(0.5%)
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
Dec-02
Mar-03
Jun-03
Sep-03
Dec-03
Mar-04
Jun-04
Sep-04
Dec-04
Mar-05
Jun-05
Sep-05
Dec-05
Mar-06
…though operating leverage is a key measure of earnings
sustainability and quality
Note: All operating profit margins taken from quarterly and annual reports
Stock price and operating
margin
performance since IPO
Alpha stock price performance
YOY change in operating profit margin
Op. profit
margin:
5.7%
4.3%
5.5%
7.8%
5.6%
4.3%
5.6%
5.7%
5.3%
4.4%
5.2%
6.3%
5.4%
4.4%
$0.0
$5.0
$10.0
$15.0
$20.0
$25.0
$30.0
6


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Credit Suisse future stock price analysis
Credit Suisse assumptions and methodology
Credit Suisse analysis
A.
Grow stock price at by applying constant P/E multiple (i.e. stock grows by
EPS growth)
B.
Project out up to three years
C.
Apply 16.5x-17.0x 12-month forward P/E, based on unaffected P/E multiple
Based on Alpha 3 year historical forward P/E
D.
Discount at cost of equity of 11%
JPM/GS review of Credit Suisse assumptions
A.
Since
the
IPO,
Alpha
EPS
has
grown
12.1%
per
year,
whereas
stock
price
has
only
appreciated
by
4.6%
per
year
B.
Creates
more
value
the
further
out
you
grow
the
stock
price
due
to
the
arbitrage between
modeled
EPS
growth
and
cost
of
equity
assumption
C.
Current
12-month
forward
P/E
multiple
on
unaffected
price
is
16.0x
(current
12-
month
forward
FV/EBITDA
multiple
is
7.1x)¹
Alpha
historical
forward
multiple
has
been
declining
over
time
3-year average forward multiple is 16.5x
2-year average forward multiple is 16.1x
1-year average forward multiple is 15.8x
D.
Cost of equity is inherently subjective
Credit Suisse analysis adjusted by JPM/GS
1
Current
12-month
forward
EBITDA
multiple
calculated
as
of
04/28/06;
assumes
12-month
forward
EBITDA
of
$1,000mm
based
on
2006E
EBITDA
of
$958mm
and
2007E
EBITDA of
$1,030mm;
fully
diluted
shares
of
181.2mm
and
net
debt
(includes
off-balance
sheet
debt
of
$206mm)
as
of
latest
10-Q
2
Assumes
ending
diluted
shares
outstanding
of
179.8mm
(reflecting
no
share
repurchases)
based
on
management
projections;
cash
flow
to
paydown
debt
adjusted
to
include annual
dividends
of
$50mm
7
Stock price projected to 2007
Forward P/E multiple
16.5x
2008 EPS
$2.16
Implied stock price in 2007
$35.64
Cost of equity
11.0%
Present value of stock
$32.11
Stock price projected to 2008
Forward P/E multiple
16.5x
2009 EPS
$2.46
Implied stock price in 2008
$40.66
Cost of equity
11.0%
Present value of stock
$32.94
Stock price projected to 2007
Forward P/E multiple
(7.1x forward FV/EBITDA)
2
15.8x
2008 EPS
$2.16
Implied stock price in 2007
$34.14
Cost of equity
11.0%
Present value of stock
$30.76
Stock price projected to 2008
Forward P/E multiple
(7.1x forward FV/EBITDA)
2
15.8x
2009 EPS
$2.46
Implied stock price in 2008
$38.81
Cost of equity
11.0%
Present value of stock
$31.50


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Credit Suisse future stock price sensitivities
Implied stock price based on forward P/E multiple
Credit Suisse analysis adjusted by JPMorgan/Goldman Sachs
2008E
PV of stock
15.0x 2009E EPS/(6.9x 2009E EBITDA)
$29.95
15.5x 2009E EPS/(7.0x 2009E EBITDA)
$30.95
16.0x 2009E EPS/(7.2x 2009E EBITDA)
$31.95
Implied stock price based on forward P/E multiple
2007E
PV of stock 
15.0x 2008E EPS/(6.9x 2008E EBITDA)
$29.19
15.5x 2008E EPS/(7.0x 2008E EBITDA)
$30.16
16.0x 2008E EPS/(7.2x 2008E EBITDA)
$31.14
1
Assumes historical CAGR is applied to Alpha undisturbed price as of 4/28/06; implied price in 2008 is discounted back to present using 11% cost of equity
2
Implied forward P/E based on 2009E EPS of $2.46
Historical CAGR (‘01-‘05)
%
PV of price1
Implied fwd P/E2
Stock price appreciation  
4.6%
$24.94
12.5x  
EBITDA CAGR 
8.4%
$26.81
13.4x  
EPS  CAGR  
12.1%
$28.65
14.4x 
Historical CAGR analysis
8


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This future stock price analysis as of the IPO would indicate a
$44.28 stock price in 2006
Source: Tradeline
1
Based on $23 price at IPO
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
$45
Stock price performance since IPO
Actual
Future
Fwd EPS
$1.19
$1.36
$1.55
$1.77
$2.02
$2.30
EPS growth
NA
14%
14%
14%
14%
14%
P/E multiple¹
19.3x
19.3x
19.3x
19.3x
19.3x
19.3x
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006 YTD
9


Agenda
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Appendix
Review of management projections
Discounted cash flow analysis
Leveraged recap analysis
Future stock price analysis
10
3
10
16
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Critique of key assumptions and methodology
Credit Suisse assumptions and methodology
JPM and GS review of CS assumptions
Repurchase 35%-40% of shares outstanding at $32 to
mid-$30s
4.5x leverage is outlier high in public peer group
Increased financial and business risk of operating
below investment grade as a public company
Total leverage post buyback of 4.5x
Refinance existing capital structure;
average cost of debt 7%-8%
Estimate future stock price over two to three years
based on accreted EPS growth rate
Since the IPO, Alpha EPS has grown at 12.1% per
year whereas stock price has only appreciated by
4.6% per year
Inflates value based on high EPS growth from
deleveraging, which will not be accorded the
same value as core earnings growth
Not a valid comparison to a static purchase price
1 turn multiple discount to 16.5x-17.0x P/E is
applied due to increased leverage
Discount at 11% cost of equity
Value to shareholders based on blended value
Current 12-month forward P/E multiple on
unaffected stock price is 16.0x (represents 7.1x
FV/EBITDA)
1 turn discount is subjective
Cost of equity inherently subjective; no attempt
to compensate for increased risk due to proforma
leverage
40% of shares could impact trading fundamentals
A non-pro rata tender could result in an
unexpected change in control
11


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Leveraged share buyback—review of Credit Suisse’s analysis
Credit Suisse analysis
Credit Suisse analysis adjusted by JPM/GS
$ millions, except per share data
Price per share
$32.00
New debt
$2,250 
Shares repurchased
70.3 
% reduction in shares
39.1%
2006 total debt
$4,325 
2006 EBITDA
$958 
2006 total debt/EBITDA
4.5x
Pro forma 2009E EPS
$2.94 
Forward P/E multiple (7.1x fwd FV/EBITDA)
14.1x
2008E share price
$41.33 
Cost of equity
13.0%
Present value of stock price
$32.37 
% of shares remaining
60.9%
Blended value to shareholders
$32.23 
$ in millions, except per share data
Price per share
$32.00
New debt
$2,250 
Shares repurchased
70.3 
% reduction in shares
39.1%
2006 total debt
$4,325 
2006 EBITDA
$958 
2006 total debt/EBITDA
4.5x
2006 effective interest rate
7.5%
Pro forma 2009E EPS
$2.94 
Standalone forward multiple
17.0x
Multiple discount
(1.0x)
Pro forma forward multiple
16.0x
2008E share price
$46.98 
Cost of equity
11.0%
Present value of stock price
$38.13 
% of shares remaining
60.9%
Blended value to shareholders
$35.73 
Illustrative example: 35—40% buyback
Blended value sensitivities¹
Forward P/E multiple
 
15.5x
16.0x
16.5x
Implied fwd FV/EBITDA
7.5x
7.7x
7.8x
1 year
$33.41 
$34.08 
$34.76 
2 years
$35.01 
$35.73 
$36.46 
3 years
$36.17 
$36.93 
$37.69 
Forward P/E multiple ²
 
13.6x
14.1x
14.6x
Implied fwd FV/EBITDA
7.0x
7.1x
7.3x
12.0%
$31.87 
$32.58 
$33.29 
13.0%
$31.52 
$32.23 
$32.93 
14.0%
$31.19 
$31.88 
$32.57 
Forward P/E multiple
 
13.6x
14.1x
14.6x
Implied fwd FV/EBITDA
7.0x
7.1x
7.3x
1 year
$30.49 
$31.15 
$31.81 
2 years
$31.52 
$32.23 
$32.93 
3 years
$32.15 
$32.87 
$33.60 
Blended value sensitivities
Note: Alpha stand-alone EPS of $1.86, $2.16 and $2.46 in 2007E, 2008E, and 2009E respectively
1
Assumes repurchase at $32.00 a share, cost of equity at 11%
2
Assumes repurchase at $32.00 a share, valuation at 2 years
3
Assumes repurchase at $32.00 a share, cost of equity at 13%
12
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Credit Suisse analysis
Credit Suisse analysis adjusted by JPM/GS
$ millions, except per share data
Price per share
$32.00
New debt
$500 
Shares repurchased
15.6 
% reduction in shares
8.7%
2006 total debt
$2,575 
2006 EBITDA
$958 
2006 total debt/EBITDA
2.7x
Pro forma 2009E EPS
$2.50 
Forward P/E multiple (7.1x fwd FV/EBITDA)
15.6x
2008E share price
$39.06 
Cost of equity
13.0%
Present value of stock price
$30.59 
% of shares remaining
91.3%
Blended value to shareholders
$30.71 
$ in millions, except per share data
Price per share
$32.00
New debt
$500 
Shares repurchased
15.6 
% reduction in shares
8.7%
2006 total debt
$2,575 
2006 EBITDA
$958 
2006 total debt/EBITDA
2.7x
2006 effective interest rate
7.5%
Pro forma 2009E EPS
$2.50 
Standalone forward multiple
16.5x
Multiple discount
(1.0x)
Pro forma forward multiple
15.5x
2008E share price
$38.76 
Cost of equity
11.0%
Present value of stock price
$31.46 
% of shares remaining
91.3%
Blended value to shareholders
$31.50 
Illustrative example: 8—10% buyback
Blended value sensitivities¹
Forward P/E multiple
 
15.0x
15.5x
16.0x
Implied fwd FV/EBITDA
6.9x
7.1x
7.3x
1 year
$29.44 
$30.33 
$31.22 
2 years
$30.58 
$31.50 
$32.43 
3 years
$31.31 
$32.27 
$33.22 
Blended value sensitivities
Forward P/E multiple
 
15.1x
15.6x
16.1x
Implied fwd FV/EBITDA
7.0x
7.1x
7.3x
12.0%
$30.30 
$31.21 
$32.12 
13.0%
$29.82 
$30.71 
$31.61 
14.0%
$29.35 
$30.23 
$31.10 
Forward P/E multiple
 
15.1x
15.6x
16.1x
Implied fwd FV/EBITDA
7.0x
7.1x
7.3x
1 year
$29.18 
$30.05 
$30.93 
2 years
$29.82 
$30.71 
$31.61 
3 years
$30.05 
$30.95 
$31.85 
Note: Alpha stand-alone EPS of $1.86, $2.16 and $2.46 in 2007E, 2008E, and 2009E respectively
1
Assumes repurchase at $32.00 a share, cost of equity at 11%
2
Assumes repurchase at $32.00 a share, valuation at 2 years
3
Assumes repurchase at $32.00 a share, cost of equity at 13%
13
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$ millions, except per share values
Source: Management projections
Note:
Unaffected
stock
price as of
04/28/06;
assumes
transaction
date
of
09/30/06;
Average share
count
of
179.8mm
in
2007
and
179.8mm
in
2008
1
Buyback
financed
with
senior
unsecured
term
loan
at
L
+
125
bps;
existing
capital
structure  remains
in
place;
financing
fees
of
$15mm
amortized
over
7
years;
denotes
risk
of
negative
outlook
or
one
notch
downgrade
from
indicated
rating
2
Buyback
financed
with
senior
secured
term
loan
at
L
+
175
bps;
$250mm
5%
senior
notes
due
2012
remain
outstanding,
and
all
other
existing
debt
refinanced
with
senior
secured credit
facilities
at
L
+
175
bps;
total
financing
fees
for
new
and
refinanced
debt
of
$47mm
amortized
over
7
years
3
Buyback
financed
with
$1,450mm
senior
secured
term
loan
at
L
+
200
bps
and
$500mm
senior
unsecured
notes
priced
at
7.50%;
$250mm
5%
senior
notes
dues
2012
remain
in
place,
all
other
existing
debt
refinanced
with
senior
secured
credit
facilities
at
L
+
200
bps;
total
financing
fees
for
new
and
refinanced
debt
of
$54mm
amortized
over
7
years
4
Assumes
unaffected
P/E
of
15.1x
(based
on
standalone
2007E
EPS
and
share
price
of
$28.11
as
of
4/28/06)
applied
to
PF
EPS
JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs leveraged recap analysis
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Scenario 3
Amount of repurchase:
Standalone
$1,000 million¹
$1,450 million
$1,950 million³
Price paid per share
$28.11 
$30.00
$31.00
$32.00
$30.00
$31.00
$32.00
$30.00
$31.00
$32.00
% premium
6.7%
10.3%
13.8%
6.7%
10.3%
13.8%
6.7%
10.3%
13.8%
Shares repurchased (mm)
33.3 
32.3 
31.3 
48.3 
46.8 
45.3 
65.0 
62.9 
60.9 
% reduction in shares
18.5%
17.9%
17.4%
26.9%
26.0%
25.2%
36.1%
35.0%
33.9%
EPS accretion - FY2007E
$1.86 
7.1%
6.3%
5.6%
5.3%
4.1%
2.9%
6.7%
4.8%
3.1%
EPS accretion - FY2008E
$2.16 
9.0%
8.2%
7.5%
9.2%
7.9%
6.8%
12.8%
10.8%
9.0%
EPS LTGR (06-11 CAGR)
14.1%
16.8%
16.7%
16.5%
17.8%
17.5%
17.2%
19.4%
18.9%
18.5%
Pro forma share price
$30.26 
$30.04 
$29.84 
$29.75 
$29.40 
$29.08 
$30.15 
$29.61 
$29.12 
Blended value 
$30.21 
$30.21 
$30.21 
$29.82 
$29.81 
$29.81 
$30.10 
$30.09 
$30.09 
Total debt/2006E EBITDA
2.0x
3.2x
3.2x
3.2x
3.7x
3.7x
3.7x
4.3x
4.3x
4.3x
2006E EBITDA/net int exp
7.5x
4.9x
4.9x
4.9x
3.9x
3.9x
3.9x
3.3x
3.3x
3.3x
Implied pro forma rating
BBB-
BB+
BB+
BB+
BB
BB
BB
BB-
BB-
BB-
Total debt
$2,075 
$3,091 
$3,091 
$3,091 
$3,572 
$3,572 
$3,572 
$4,080 
$4,080 
$4,080 
JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs do not view future stock price convention to be a valid methodology
for comparisons to a static purchase price
14
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Share repurchase sensitivity analysis
Note: Assumes transaction date of 09/30/06
1
Assumes unaffected P/E of 15.1x (based on standalone 2007E EPS and share price of $28.11 as of 4/28/06) applied to PF EPS
2
Assumes shares repurchased at $31.00
Pro forma price per share sensitivies¹
Blended value sensitivities²
Share repurchase ($mm)
$500
$1,000
$1,450
$1,950
$28.11 
$29.48 
$30.74 
$30.50 
$31.35 
$29.00 
$29.38 
$30.50 
$30.13 
$30.75 
$30.00 
$29.27 
$30.26 
$29.75 
$30.15 
$31.00 
$29.18 
$30.04 
$29.40 
$29.61 
$32.00 
$29.09 
$29.84 
$29.08 
$29.12 
$33.00 
$29.00 
$29.65 
$28.78 
$28.67 
Share repurchase ($mm)
$500
$1,000
$1,450
$1,950
13.6x
$26.71 
$27.77 
$27.66 
$28.19 
14.1x
$27.59 
$28.59 
$28.38 
$28.82 
14.6x 
$28.46 
$29.40 
$29.10 
$29.46 
15.1x 
$29.34 
$30.21 
$29.81 
$30.09 
15.6x
$30.22 
$31.03 
$30.53 
$30.73 
16.0x
$30.83 
$31.60 
$31.04 
$31.18 
Management case
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Appendix
Review of management projections
Discounted cash flow analysis
Leveraged recap analysis
Future stock price analysis
16
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20
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Summary of projected free cash flows:
Management
projections
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
Sales
$12,222
$12,904
$13,624
$14,378
$15,162
EBITDA
1,030
1,103
1,171
1,248
1,320
EBIT
664
721
780
836
899
Non tax-deductible amortization
57
56
49
51
41
EBITA
721
778
828
888
940
Taxes
270
292
311
333
352
EBIAT
451
486
518
555
587
Depreciation
$267
$281
$296
$311
$327
Tax-deductible amortization
41
44
47
50
53
Capital expenditures
(341)
(352)
(372)
(392)
(414)
Increase in working capital
(13)
(14)
(14)
(14)
(14)
Deferred taxes
4
6
7
8
9
Other non-cash items
8
8
8
9
9
Acquisitions
(20)
(20)
(85)
(37)
(23)
Unlevered free cash flow
$397
$439
$406
$489
$534
Terminal value adjustments
Deferred taxes deducted since not in perpetuity
(9)
Other non-cash items deducted since not in perpetuity
(9)
Capital expenditures reduced to equal depreciation in perpetuity
87
Tax-deductible amortization prorated for 2.5% long-term growth rate
(11)
Acquisitions added back since not in perpetuity
23
Terminal value
$615
Difference with CS
Add back acquisitions
$20
$20
$85
$37
$23
Unlevered free cash flow
$417
$459
$490
$526
$557
Terminal value (should be unchanged from Credit Suisse)
$615
US $ millions
Note: Does not add back non-cash impact of options expense; assumes dilution from future stock option issuance is equal to cash cost of stock options expense
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Discounted cash flow analysis: Management projections
1,2
CS case (excludes acquisitions, end-of-year convention)
Equity value per share
3,4
Implied perpetuity growth rates of FCF
3,4
Terminal multiple of 2011E EBITDA
8.00x
8.25x
8.50x
8.75x
9.00x
10.00%
3.9%
4.1%
4.3%
4.4%
4.6%
9.75%
3.7%
3.9%
4.0%
4.2%
4.3%
9.50%
3.5%
3.6%
3.8%
4.0%
4.1%
9.25%
3.2%
3.4%
3.6%
3.7%
3.9%
9.00%
3.0%
3.2%
3.3%
3.5%
3.6%
Equity value per share
Implied terminal EBITDA multiple
Perpetuity growth rate
2.00%
2.25%
2.50%
2.75%
3.00%
10.00%
$26.62 
$27.55 
$28.54 
$29.59 
$30.72 
9.75%
$27.81 
$28.81 
$29.87 
$31.01 
$32.23 
9.50%
$29.08 
$30.16 
$31.30 
$32.54 
$33.87 
9.25%
$30.44 
$31.60 
$32.84 
$34.18 
$35.63 
9.00%
$31.90 
$33.15 
$34.50 
$35.96 
$37.54 
Perpetuity growth rate
2.00%
2.25%
2.50%
2.75%
3.00%
10.00%
6.2x
6.4x
6.7x
6.9x
7.2x
9.75%
6.4x
6.7x
6.9x
7.2x
7.5x
9.50%
6.6x
6.9x
7.1x
7.4x
7.7x
9.25%
6.9x
7.1x
7.4x
7.7x
8.0x
9.00%
7.1x
7.4x
7.7x
8.0x
8.4x
1
Projections as per management as of April 19, 2006 
2
Free cash flow discounted to end of September 2006. Terminal value calculated as of fiscal year 2011
3
Assumes net debt of $2,031 and 181.2 million basics shares outstanding as of 30 September 2006.  Net debt also includes $206 million A/R facility
4
Assumes 11.2 million options outstanding with a weighted average strike price of $24.09 per share
Terminal multiple of 2011E EBITDA
8.00x
8.25x
8.50x
8.75x
9.00x
10.00%
$34.44 
$35.51 
$36.57 
$37.64 
$38.70 
9.75%
$34.90 
$35.97 
$37.05 
$38.13 
$39.20 
9.50%
$35.36 
$36.44 
$37.53 
$38.62 
$39.71 
9.25%
$35.82 
$36.92 
$38.03 
$39.13 
$40.23 
9.00%
$36.29 
$37.41 
$38.52 
$39.64 
$40.75 
GS-JPM case (includes acquisitions, mid-year convention)
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Discounted cash flow analysis: Management projections sensitivities
1,2
Sales growth
4.4%
4.7%
5.0%
5.3%
5.6%
8.4 % 
$26.80 
$27.47 
$28.14 
$28.83 
$29.52 
8.5 % 
$27.42 
$28.10 
$28.78 
$29.48 
$30.18 
8.6 % 
$28.04 
$28.73 
$29.42 
$30.12 
$30.83 
8.7 % 
$28.67 
$29.36 
$30.06 
$30.77 
$31.49 
8.8 % 
$29.29 
$29.99 
$30.70 
$31.42 
$32.14 
1
Projections as per management as of April 19, 2006 as adjusted to assume flat annual sales growth rates and EBITDA margins based on sensitivity
2
Free cash flow discounted to end of September 2006. Terminal value calculated as of fiscal year 2011
3
Assumes net debt of $2,031 and 181.2 million basics shares outstanding as of 30 September 2006.  Net debt also includes $206 million A/R facility
4
Assumes 11.2 million options outstanding with a weighted average strike price of $24.09 per share
5
Assumes 9.5% discount rate and 2.5% perpetuity growth rate
Sensitized management projections
Equity value per share
3,4,5
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Appendix
Review of management projections
Discounted cash flow analysis
Leveraged recap analysis
Future stock price analysis
20
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Historic revenue growth: organic revenue growth in the last six years has been 4.4% and as low as 1.7%
Management is projecting an increase in organic growth
2000A—2011E
Source: Management
Note:
2006P
uses
year-over-year
growth
rate
as
a
proxy
for
organic
growth.
Does
not
reverse
impact
of
acquired
revenue
from
SeamlessWeb
or
Park
Avenue
acquisitions
Historical vs. projected organic growth
4.4%
5.6%
2000A—2006P
2006P—2011E
4.4% historical organic growth compares to management’s projection of 5.6% for the next five years
$7,048
$7,686
$8,595
$9,591
$10,212
$10,894
$11,572
$12,222
$12,904
$13,624
$14,378
$15,162
5.5%
5.5%
5.6%
5.6%
5.6%
6.2%
4.0%
5.7%
5.2%
5.1%
1.7%
2.6%
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
$16,000
2000A
2001A
2002A
2003A
2004A
2005A
2006F
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Historic and projected revenue growth 2000A—2011E ($ millions)
Organic growth
Revenue
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8.18%
8.22%
8.27%
8.56%
8.68%
8.73%
8.82%
8.84%
8.00%
8.25%
8.50%
8.75%
9.00%
2004A
2005A
2006F
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
Projected EBITDA margin expansion ($ millions)
2006—2011 = 57bps of margin expansion
Management is projecting unprecedented margin expansion
2004A—2011E
Source: Management
Note:
2006
EBITDA
assumes
May
Forecast
and
add-back
of
management’s
estimate
of
$16.8mm
in
non-cash
options
expense
due
to
adoption
of
SFAS
No.
123
in
FY
1Q06.
EBITDA
margin
in
projected
period
also
pro
forma
for
non-cash
options
expense
developed
by
Ernst
&
Young
in
consultation
with
the
Company
Management’s assumes 57 basis points of EBITDA margin expansions
Alpha’s projected margin expansion would exceed historical results
Average EBITDA margin in 2004—2006 was 8.22%
2004—2006: Average of 8.22%
EBITDA margin
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Management is projecting a less capital intensive business
2004A—2011E
Source: Management
Note:
CapEx/EBITDA
assumes
May
Forecast
and
does
not
include
ordinary
course
disposals,
Acquisition
CapEx,
or
SeamlessWeb
earnout
of
$85mm
Management
projections
assume
that
the
business
will
become
less
capital
intensive
over
time
347 basis point decline in Capex/EBITDA between 2006 and 2011
Capex/EBITDA vs. EBITDA margin: 2004A—2011E
37.2%
35.2%
37.0%
35.4%
34.1%
33.9%
33.6%
33.5%
30.0%
32.0%
34.0%
36.0%
38.0%
2004A
2005A
2006F
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2007—2011: Average of 34.11%
2004—2006: Average of 36.45%
CapEx as a % of EBITDA
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$588.5
$556.2
$615.8
$578.6
$642.2
$618.0
6.1%
5.7%
5.8%
5.6%
5.9%
6.2%
500
550
600
$650
2003P
2003A
2004P
2004A
2005P
2005A
5.0%
5.3%
5.6%
5.9%
6.2%
6.5%
Management has underperformed projected margins
2003A—2005A
Source: Management
Note: EBITDA is not pro forma for non-cash options expense of $16.8mm per adoption of SFAS No.123 in 1Q06
2003—2005 EBIT (Pre-corporate)
($ millions)
Actual
EBIT
has
underperformed
plan
in
both
absolute
dollars
(4%
to
6%
shortfall)
and
margins
(20—30
basis
point
shortfall)
Latest management estimate (May Forecast) of 2006 EBITDA has been a downward revision on both a dollar and margin basis
Actual vs. plan
(5)%
(6)%
(4)%
EBIT margin
EBIT
$958.4
$940.0
8.3%
8.1%
800
900
1,000
$1,100
2006P
2006 May
frcst.
7.0%
7.5%
8.0%
8.5%
9.0%
2006 EBITDA—plan vs. May forecast
($ millions)
Plan vs. May frcst.
(2)%
EBITDA margin
EBITDA
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Agenda
Page
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E
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P
H
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Appendix
Review of management projections
Discounted cash flow analysis
Leveraged recap analysis
Future stock price analysis
25
3
10
16
20
25


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Proposed offer price
Transaction value
Transaction metrics
$ millions, except per share data
Alpha stock price (4/28/06)
$28.11 
Offer price
$32.00 
% premium
13.8%
    Basic shares¹
181.2
Options²
2.8
Fully diluted shares 
184.0
Equity value
$5,887 
Net debt³
2,031
Transaction value
$7,918 
$ millions, except per share data
Premiums to undisturbed:
1-week average
$27.76
15.3%
1-month average
$28.39
12.7%
52-week/all time high
$29.93
6.9%
Implied multiples
Metric
Multiple
Firm value/revenue
2006E
$11,552 
0.69x
2007E
12,222 
0.65 
Firm value/EBITDA
2006E
$958 
8.3x
2006E (revised)
940
8.4
2007E
1,030 
7.7 
Note: Transaction date as of 9/30/06
Source: Company filings, management projections and Tradeline
1
Includes basic shares outstanding of 179.8mm and restricted stock of 1.4mm based on management
2
Calculated using treasury stock method
3
As of 9/30/06; includes off-balance sheet debt of $206mm
26